DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/19 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 95.6 - - 95.4 - - 88.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 403 - - 208 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6606 - - 7319 - - 21 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4900 - - 5106 - - 84 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6686 - - 7399 - - 101 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1664 - - 3325 - - 6505 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 561 - - 467 - - 12 W* B/S - - - - - - 12 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 11 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 220 - - 217 - - 182 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 10 - - 11 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1496 - - -306 - - -5913 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 8182 - - 7705 - - 6014 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -3167 - - -1394 - - -8298 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9853 - - 8793 - - 8399 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 58 - - 71 - - 44 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 800 - - 1390 - - 1300 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 95.6 - - 95.4 - - 88.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 60.1 - - 62.1 - - 63.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 93.4 - - 94.4 - - 90.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 59.5 - - 61.7 - - 63.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 403 - - 208 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6606 - - 7319 - - 21 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 11 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98250 8 087 8 185 11 267 98250 90768 11 145 8 167 5 183 90768 85046 13 134 4 279 12 066 85046 80336 6 062 4 143 14 030 80336 76293 9 025 9 093 8 047 76293 72728 6 026 9 047 7 079 72728 69521 6 087 7 051 3 060 69521 66585 9 065 10 061 6 020 66585 63858 10 007 13 029 14 014 63858 61213 10 012 12 014 17 356 61213 58462 15 027 15 010 12 352 58462 55622 26 347 19 000 12 010 55622 52921 24 318 18 347 15 347 52921 50487 12 286 23 331 19 330 50487 48293 5 144 9 272 19 314 48293 46299 7 074 4 014 6 193 46299 44492 5 029 10 004 8 122 44492 42831 1 358 4 334 6 081 42831 41279 11 132 9 121 11 107 41279 39817 18 118 13 106 18 109 39817 38436 17 103 14 096 21 105 38436 37095 16 088 16 091 15 123 37095 35726 16 076 16 094 13 151 35726 34296 17 065 13 121 15 148 34296 32809 16 068 13 154 13 156 32809 31248 14 098 10 168 12 167 31248 29600 14 131 8 189 10 181 29600 27868 16 146 9 207 6 214 27868 26050 10 169 7 235 5 333 26050 24148 7 196 8 227 2 285 24148 22162 9 201 10 244 6 226 22162 20090 10 231 9 249 7 209 20090 17935 10 247 8 261 5 218 17935 15741 7 229 11 260 6 263 15741 13628 6 219 10 251 7 262 13628 11701 9 255 13 277 8 268 11701 9983 11 272 14 287 12 285 9983 8453 12 281 11*278 13 288 8453 7091 8*255 10*248 12 279 7091 5882 8*234 10 239 13 245 5882 4811 9 229 11 226 15 227 4811 3867 9 224 12 216 16 220 3867 3034 9 220 12 211 16 213 3034 2289 9 216 13 207 17 206 2289 1632 9 214 13 204 18 200 1632 1084 9 212 13 202 17 194 1084 664 9 210 12 201 16 190 664 375 8 209 12 200 14 187 375 201 8 209 11 199 11*184 201 101 7 208 9 198 7*182 101 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography