DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/21 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.9 - - 63.7 - - 62.9 - - 53.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 158 - - 238 - - 24 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2368 - - 2863 - - 2793 - - 18 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1269 - - 1795 - - 82 - - 82 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2448 - - 2943 - - 2873 - - 98 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 727 - - 721 - - 814 - - 1326 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 295 - - 358 - - 174 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 17 - - 17 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 360 - - 358 - - 358 - - 345 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 7 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1347 - - -2851 - - -2778 - - -2789 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3795 - - 5794 - - 5651 - - 2888 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12014 - - -13061 - - -12800 - - -13947 ODpotential blCL - - - 14462 - - 16004 - - 15673 - - 14045 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 55 - - 53 - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.9 - - 63.7 - - 62.9 - - 53.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.9 - - 38.9 - - 38.8 - - 41.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.2 - - 62.5 - - 62.8 - - 55.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.1 - - 38.0 - - 38.1 - - 40.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 158 - - 238 - - 24 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2368 - - 2863 - - 2793 - - 18 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97452 18 254 19 275 16 290 14 256 97452 90144 11 273 13 274 16 276 14 287 90144 84550 7 270 9 279 9 290 15 287 84550 79929 5 259 9 262 10 319 11 319 79929 75953 6 326 5 201 7 289 10 336 75953 72435 9 323 4 093 8 283 9 337 72435 69248 7 324 2 016 12 292 12 327 69248 66332 8 319 9 347 9 317 9 320 66332 63644 8 321 13 340 11 324 10 326 63644 61047 10 314 11 326 10 311 11 324 61047 58333 13 311 10 310 10 305 13 315 58333 55515 14 305 11 309 11 302 16 298 55515 52823 14 308 13 317 12 304 15 292 52823 50388 15 309 17 308 16 301 18 297 50388 48185 15 302 15 302 14 290 19 287 48185 46167 14 306 12 298 12 276 16 273 46167 44309 14 310 13 304 11 282 13 263 44309 42584 15 311 15 314 11 306 8 278 42584 40969 14 316 15 324 14 317 11 313 40969 39449 14 337 14 334 13 326 14 321 39449 38007 15 350 13 340 14 334 15 320 38007 36606 11 357 10 339 16 333 16 325 36606 35177 7 345 7 343 13 331 18 343 35177 33698 5 359 3 005 6 346 11 335 33698 32187 6 025 3 058 4 012 3 328 32187 30628 10 349 7 029 7 021 3 008 30628 28998 9 347 11 004 12 015 10 002 28998 27290 10 357 13 007 14 014 12 002 27290 25498 11 004 12 003 14 002 12 355 25498 23623 12 015 11 352 14 343 12 334 23623 21670 10 007 13 342 16 333 15 320 21670 19631 9 352 13 326 18 326 15 315 19631 17492 13 003 12 335 16 333 13 327 17492 15301 13 024 12 360 15 348 13 350 15301 13189 16 039 13 019 16 001 15 011 13189 11270 21 044 16 024 14 010 18 011 11270 9568 21 037 18 033 16 017 20 006 9568 8061 20 031 22 032 20 024 19 004 8061 6728 21 027 25 030 22 024 19 006 6728 5552 25 024 28 023 26 017 20 008 5552 4521 27 014 30 014 29 009 23 007 4521 3623 25 006 26*005 27*359 26 358 3623 2839 22*006 18*357 19*355 28 354 2839 2141 20*003 18 357 19 356 26 355 2141 1527 19 001 18 358 18 358 22 357 1527 1015 18 360 17 358 17 359 19 358 1015 623 17 358 17 358 17 360 17 357 623 354 16 358 16 358 15 000 13 356 354 191 14 357 14 358 13 000 10*353 191 98 11 356 11 358 10 001 5*345 98 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography