DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/23 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.2 - - 68.1 - - 67.3 - - 66.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -13 - - 22 - - -9 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 570 - - 1197 - - 1680 - - 19 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 83 - - 83 - - 83 - - 83 Hcrit BL Top - - - 650 - - 1277 - - 1760 - - 99 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2510 - - 1969 - - 1817 - - 2995 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 60 - - 136 - - 107 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 22 - - 26 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 034 - - 034 - - 030 - - 030 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 14 - - 17 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -75 - - 495 - - 655 - - -549 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 725 - - 782 - - 1105 - - 648 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -563 - - 237 - - 136 - - -985 ODpotential blCL - - - 1213 - - 1040 - - 1624 - - 1084 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 90 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.2 - - 68.1 - - 67.3 - - 66.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 64.4 - - 65.0 - - 62.9 - - 64.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.8 - - 68.1 - - 67.7 - - 67.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 64.1 - - 64.6 - - 62.3 - - 63.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -13 - - 22 - - -9 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 570 - - 1197 - - 1680 - - 19 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - 99 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 13 - - 11 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98554 14 104 6 079 4 155 2 104 98554 91149 12 096 9 133 2 196 5 086 91149 85424 5 116 9 121 3 141 7 060 85424 80671 5 110 6 090 5 113 8 041 80671 76581 4 102 6 078 5 120 4 332 76581 72993 2 135 2 126 2 123 6 310 72993 69754 6 083 2 165 2 237 6 306 69754 66772 6 018 3 128 5 230 5 279 66772 64010 6 008 5 017 5 325 3 324 64010 61338 6 006 8 314 10 335 10 346 61338 58567 7 304 11 293 14 293 16 299 58567 55716 10 272 14 272 16 271 16 264 55716 52998 20 262 20 260 21 263 15 259 52998 50548 28 245 26 251 22 263 19 265 50548 48354 35 241 33 247 27 262 25 263 48354 46362 38 236 40 244 34 253 37 254 46362 44531 40 238 45 234 42 245 44 242 44531 42834 47 235 49 228 48 238 47 235 42834 41251 48 228 53 225 54 233 50 231 41251 39763 54 227 57 224 56 229 55 226 39763 38358 56 225 59 223 62 224 61 221 38358 36998 54 220 59 221 65 219 69 216 36998 35610 52 219 56 220 62 216 71 213 35610 34160 49 219 52 219 58 217 68 213 34160 32653 44 220 45 216 54 218 60 216 32653 31074 34 225 29 212 46 216 53 220 31074 29413 25 233 30 218 39 214 44 227 29413 27672 25 216 32 220 33 219 35 227 27672 25848 26 209 32 216 29 227 29 222 25848 23934 25 206 26 216 28 234 21 234 23934 21939 24 207 18 235 24 238 23 227 21939 19856 20 216 18 270 22 270 14 223 19856 17688 9 248 20 287 14 288 13 300 17688 15481 10 315 15 288 9 288 7 297 15481 13353 9 309 10 297 6 323 3 016 13353 11421 13 328 11 332 9 000 9 351 11421 9707 13 352 10 343 11 349 11 002 9707 8188 15 026 9 012 15 009 5 026 8188 6848 21 042 19 042 18 034 13 060 6848 5667 23 040 20 038 22 048 19 055 5667 4627 25 041 22 044 24 047 24 052 4627 3713 29 043 27 048 28 044 28 050 3713 2910 31 041 29 044 30 040 31 045 2910 2195 31 040 29 040 31*034 32 039 2195 1565 30 039 28*038 30*032 31 037 1565 1040 27*037 27*036 29 031 28 035 1040 639 24*035 24 035 27 030 25 034 639 362 21 034 21 034 23 029 21 032 362 195 17 033 18 033 19 028 17 031 195 99 12 033 13 032 13 027 11*030 99 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography