DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/04 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.1 - - 68.2 - - 68.5 - - 66.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 25 - - 33 - - 8 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 564 - - 680 - - 843 - - 753 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 83 - - 83 - - 83 - - 83 Hcrit BL Top - - - 644 - - 760 - - 923 - - 833 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 555 - - 861 - - 1050 - - 1069 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 100 - - 119 - - 84 - - 44 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 6 - - 7 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 007 - - 001 - - 340 - - 321 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 167 - - 383 - - 438 - - 371 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 477 - - 377 - - 485 - - 462 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 45 - - 202 - - 182 - - 86 ODpotential blCL - - - 599 - - 558 - - 741 - - 747 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 100 - - 50 - - 190 - - 140 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.1 - - 68.2 - - 68.5 - - 66.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 66.1 - - 66.6 - - 66.5 - - 64.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.9 - - 68.0 - - 68.7 - - 67.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 65.9 - - 66.2 - - 66.1 - - 64.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 25 - - 33 - - 8 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 564 - - 680 - - 843 - - 753 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 99 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 14 - - 14 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98222 9 230 14 231 13 229 9 245 98222 90853 11 195 11 211 12 259 9 262 90853 85153 13 185 10 194 10 273 6 253 85153 80408 7 224 9 202 14 240 11 264 80408 76327 6 267 6 197 12 224 12 236 76327 72730 7 245 5 204 10 242 10 232 72730 69489 6 198 8 197 13 229 11 258 69489 66525 8 282 10 233 16 243 17 278 66525 63786 17 266 13 252 18 247 17 260 63786 61150 17 250 15 282 17 263 19 269 61150 58422 26 252 30 277 30 265 30 265 58422 55620 28 240 39 257 40 257 43 258 55620 52962 27 253 41 249 46 252 47 259 52962 50572 36 272 45 257 50 261 55 263 50572 48429 49 270 52 262 55 262 59 262 48429 46475 62 266 63 264 63 262 70 263 46475 44686 72 266 73 264 78 267 90 266 44686 43031 77 267 78 263 90 267 97 262 43031 41476 79 263 81 257 87 262 92 256 41476 40001 84 264 82 254 85 256 92 255 40001 38597 87 265 81 254 83 252 91 255 38597 37228 83 265 73 252 80 251 88 257 37228 35829 62 260 60 243 74 251 78 252 35829 34372 56 248 53 235 67 251 71 247 34372 32858 54 247 53 236 62 247 68 247 32858 31271 52 248 51 241 56 240 65 246 31271 29599 51 250 43 238 53 238 58 247 29599 27841 49 252 34 233 48 243 55 244 27841 25995 43 249 32 225 42 246 51 240 25995 24067 38 236 30 219 35 234 46 244 24067 22069 35 228 26 220 33 231 35 246 22069 19987 28 231 24 227 29 251 29 248 19987 17815 21 226 23 234 28 264 28 261 17815 15595 18 217 20 234 26 271 27 263 15595 13457 13 243 18 232 23 263 19 257 13457 11517 10 263 16 232 12 246 15 263 11517 9796 9 189 13 233 9 246 16 272 9796 8272 9 190 11 237 8 259 14 256 8272 6918 8 169 10 233 6 274 14 270 6918 5717 8 158 9 213 5 273 12 271 5717 4657 6 133 8 188 4 239 8 261 4657 3730 8 116 6 171 3 216 7 271 3730 2917 9 114 4 163 1 010 7 292 2917 2195 7 107 2 116 5 014 9 328 2195 1563 6 080 5 027 9 353 12 333 1563 1039 7*032 7*003 9*344 12*327 1039 637 6*013 7*002 8*341 12*323 637 362 5 006 6 001 8 339 10 321 362 195 4 004 6 001 7 339 9 320 195 99 3 003 5 360 5 339 5 318 99 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography