DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/18 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 88.3 - - 83.6 - - 78.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 202 - - 9 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4386 - - 1988 - - 20 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2866 - - 84 - - 84 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4466 - - 2068 - - 100 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2470 - - 3790 - - 2622 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 394 - - 145 - - 15 W* B/S - - - - - - 7 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 324 - - 009 - - 036 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - 9 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 277 - - -894 - - -985 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4189 - - 2962 - - 1085 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -276 - - -2092 - - -2295 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4742 - - 4160 - - 2395 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 88 - - 100 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1050 - - 800 - - 1300 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 88.3 - - 83.6 - - 78.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 70.2 - - 70.7 - - 73.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 87.1 - - 84.0 - - 79.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 69.6 - - 69.9 - - 73.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 202 - - 9 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4386 - - 1988 - - 20 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 53 - - 100 - - 47 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 15 - - 15 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98396 9 059 8 328 16 358 98396 91047 14 049 6 066 15 010 91047 85410 17 054 10 064 15 025 85410 80728 16 043 10 055 12 022 80728 76677 13 018 13 034 8 028 76677 73084 10 359 14 007 10 021 73084 69828 6 360 10 340 12 350 69828 66839 4 349 7 321 9 328 66839 64072 4 308 9 296 10 319 64072 61414 2 309 10 275 15 314 61414 58675 8 351 11 325 10 325 58675 55859 13 337 20 330 20 343 55859 53198 7 337 12 326 16 337 53198 50817 7 056 8 342 11 338 50817 48680 15 027 5 355 10 331 48680 46735 18 006 11 356 11 348 46735 44950 11 342 17 346 8 010 44950 43292 5 349 13 332 10 006 43292 41731 4 357 8 340 10 353 41731 40254 9 346 11 358 9 356 40254 38853 15 343 12 360 12 356 38853 37490 14 345 13 008 23 346 37490 36097 10 337 17 016 21 012 36097 34641 6 331 19 013 16 014 34641 33125 5 335 17 009 15 026 33125 31533 5 344 14 003 21 040 31533 29851 6 348 12 355 23 047 29851 28078 6 357 9 357 13 046 28078 26219 6 009 5 007 5 026 26219 24278 7 036 2 008 2 269 24278 22259 8 047 4 299 7 273 22259 20158 6 036 8 303 10 301 20158 17969 5 340 11 341 8 334 17969 15739 12 355 13 352 13 333 15739 13592 18 355 10 350 21 325 13592 11642 16 340 12 328 22 319 11642 9910 20 329 12 326 21 319 9910 8377 22 328 14 322 17 318 8377 7018 17 325 12 322 16 314 7018 5814 14 319 9 334 12 309 5814 4752 13*320 9 350 9 324 4752 3818 12*322 10 359 10 349 3818 2993 11 323 11 008 11 010 2993 2257 11 324 12*010 13 021 2257 1608 11 324 12*010 13 026 1608 1069 11 324 12 009 14 036 1069 655 10 325 12 009 13 038 655 371 10 325 12 009 12 039 371 199 9 325 10 008 10 038 199 100 8 325 8 008 6*036 100 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography