DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/27 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1553z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.9 - - 69.0 - - 68.0 - - 57.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 100 - - 165 - - 12 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 643 - - 1657 - - 1596 - - 19 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 82 - - 778 - - 82 - - 82 Hcrit BL Top - - - 723 - - 1737 - - 1676 - - 99 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 445 - - 783 - - 901 - - 940 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 165 - - 264 - - 118 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 7 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 7 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 037 - - 025 - - 034 - - 062 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1396 - - -2120 - - -2257 - - -601 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2119 - - 3857 - - 3933 - - 700 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10208 - - -9860 - - -10243 - - -9899 ODpotential blCL - - - 10931 - - 11597 - - 11919 - - 9998 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 65 - - 65 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.9 - - 69.0 - - 68.0 - - 57.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.3 - - 52.8 - - 51.5 - - 55.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.2 - - 68.0 - - 68.0 - - 59.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.5 - - 52.0 - - 51.1 - - 55.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 100 - - 165 - - 12 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 643 - - 1657 - - 1596 - - 19 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 16 - - 0 - - 0 - - 29 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97021 40 254 41 240 49 259 46 269 97021 89795 25 248 29 249 30 264 33 262 89795 84228 16 250 23 253 21 257 23 260 84228 79615 15 239 17 241 16 241 15 246 79615 75641 16 232 17 234 17 243 14 265 75641 72148 16 238 17 241 16 245 13 276 72148 69003 13 241 16 260 17 255 16 264 69003 66117 8 250 17 253 20 250 20 241 66117 63449 11 249 16 252 20 258 17 251 63449 60871 19 255 24 259 26 261 25 270 60871 58193 25 250 26 250 31 252 33 251 58193 55414 26 262 29 253 32 249 35 252 55414 52750 35 260 37 257 42 254 48 253 52750 50343 44 253 49 249 49 246 51 247 50343 48166 46 251 47 242 47 246 53 250 48166 46174 46 254 43 247 43 249 49 252 46174 44347 46 249 46 246 42 245 44 250 44347 42667 41 244 45 248 41 249 39 247 42667 41108 34 239 38 237 38 247 28 252 41108 39647 23 242 35 231 37 245 28 247 39647 38264 16 268 29 232 34 239 30 247 38264 36919 18 289 22 239 26 241 31 243 36919 35544 24 284 21 256 17 249 28 247 35544 34112 32 276 26 261 14 266 20 244 34112 32625 33 273 28 260 16 275 13 247 32625 31067 31 274 27 265 19 273 18 258 31067 29422 30 278 28 270 23 274 21 255 29422 27686 26 278 21 274 22 270 20 262 27686 25863 22 286 18 279 18 265 19 269 25863 23957 23 285 19 277 18 284 16 279 23957 21970 22 274 18 272 16 293 12 289 21970 19894 18 279 13 279 13 301 9 285 19894 17723 16 299 10 298 10 311 5 255 17723 15504 15 311 9 315 8 319 5 298 15504 13365 15 317 10 320 8 318 7 317 13365 11419 14 323 10 325 8 332 8 316 11419 9692 14 337 11 338 7 354 6 335 9692 8167 12 350 12 359 9 018 7 031 8167 6822 9 001 13 013 12 032 11 040 6822 5638 9 019 12 039 12 036 11 034 5638 4598 10 056 12 042 11 041 10 034 4598 3685 11 061 9 048 9 031 9 041 3685 2884 13 048 7 055 8 024 12 050 2884 2171 14 049 7*034 11*029 15 048 2171 1546 14 047 7*026 11*033 16 049 1546 1027 13*044 7 026 11 034 18 053 1027 630 8*037 7 025 11 035 17 056 630 358 7 037 6 026 10 035 13 059 358 192 6 037 6 025 9 035 11*060 192 99 5 036 5 024 7 036 4*062 99 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography