DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/10 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0949z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.0 - - 63.2 - - 62.8 - - 55.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 72 - - 77 - - -31 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 323 - - 1323 - - 19 - - 18 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 82 - - 82 - - 83 - - 82 Hcrit BL Top - - - 403 - - 1403 - - 99 - - 98 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 421 - - 1031 - - 2299 - - 63 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 118 - - 198 - - 17 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 11 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 187 - - 219 - - 216 - - 225 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1482 - - -2327 - - -3487 - - -2431 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1885 - - 3730 - - 3586 - - 2529 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10414 - - -9450 - - -9727 - - -10790 ODpotential blCL - - - 10817 - - 10853 - - 9826 - - 10888 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 59 - - 49 - - 45 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.0 - - 63.2 - - 62.8 - - 55.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.4 - - 47.5 - - 47.7 - - 44.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.6 - - 62.9 - - 64.5 - - 58.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.5 - - 46.2 - - 46.8 - - 44.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 72 - - 77 - - -31 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 323 - - 1323 - - 19 - - 18 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96791 79 245 80 243 85 250 84 250 96791 89385 54 238 58 245 60 253 54 260 89385 83761 25 242 36 247 35 252 36 256 83761 79139 18 269 20 250 22 235 30 234 79139 75162 19 285 19 264 20 238 16 241 75162 71639 19 283 18 267 23 254 19 279 71639 68456 22 271 20 252 26 254 27 264 68456 65542 24 272 22 240 27 253 28 269 65542 62842 29 280 25 262 30 263 36 272 62842 60222 42 273 40 279 36 268 43 268 60222 57489 49 267 51 272 48 274 53 267 57489 54669 52 268 59 267 64 269 65 266 54669 51992 60 271 65 266 72 263 74 267 51992 49586 66 271 69 270 75 264 79 269 49586 47424 69 272 78 272 80 270 84 268 47424 45458 72 274 87 270 87 272 85 265 45458 43656 75 275 87 268 90 268 87 264 43656 41988 71 272 82 269 85 265 86 265 41988 40434 62 270 76 266 82 265 80 266 40434 38980 60 271 62 262 79 267 74 267 38980 37611 58 270 56 264 74 265 71 265 37611 36284 56 270 56 263 62 258 67 266 36284 34933 54 273 55 263 52 256 56 264 34933 33529 54 275 53 264 52 259 50 265 33529 32072 53 278 53 264 54 259 50 267 32072 30543 51 278 54 263 55 262 50 269 30543 28930 50 277 55 263 55 263 50 269 28930 27233 52 276 55 264 53 264 51 269 27233 25450 53 275 53 266 51 266 52 268 25450 23581 50 276 50 268 50 267 50 268 23581 21630 46 275 48 269 48 268 48 270 21630 19592 43 271 46 270 46 270 45 273 19592 17462 42 271 42 271 44 270 41 273 17462 15288 41 271 39 272 42 269 39 271 15288 13197 39 265 38 272 39 272 37 268 13197 11299 38 267 36 273 36 277 32 266 11299 9614 34 271 34 273 33 280 27 269 9614 8121 29 274 31 272 29 281 25 278 8121 6797 24 273 28 270 27 281 22 290 6797 5626 17 268 24 267 27 279 22 297 5626 4593 13 256 22 259 27 271 23 293 4593 3688 15 251 22 253 28 261 25 281 3688 2892 14 234 21 250 26 252 26 263 2892 2181 13 223 20 245 24 242 24 256 2181 1555 13 195 15*232 21 231 22 254 1555 1032 12 177 12*221 19 227 20 249 1032 633 10*178 12 219 16 224 19 241 633 358 5*187 11 218 13 221 17 234 358 192 5 187 10 217 10*219 14 232 192 98 4 188 8 216 6*216 5*225 98 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography