DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/02 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 94.6 - - 97.8 - - 92.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 301 - - 168 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3220 - - 6107 - - 161 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2153 - - 4060 - - 85 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3300 - - 6187 - - 241 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3970 - - 1859 - - 5861 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 404 - - 414 - - 31 W* B/S - - - - - - 27 - - 39 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 230 - - 228 - - 167 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 9 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1983 - - -69 - - -3934 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5283 - - 6257 - - 4175 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2738 - - -950 - - -5532 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6038 - - 7137 - - 5773 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 90 - - 75 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1990 - - 2210 - - 3380 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 94.6 - - 97.8 - - 92.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 71.7 - - 70.7 - - 74.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 92.7 - - 96.7 - - 93.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 71.1 - - 70.1 - - 74.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 301 - - 168 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3220 - - 6107 - - 161 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 62 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 16 - - 15 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99261 42 084 31 077 37 068 99261 91732 31 076 31 079 28 078 91732 85969 24 087 26 072 22 086 85969 81212 22 093 25 079 20 076 81212 77111 16 095 21 080 18 071 77111 73477 11 101 13 080 16 061 73477 70182 14 097 8 104 14 054 70182 67153 15 091 8 122 11 045 67153 64363 12 084 8 114 7 065 64363 61686 8 072 5 085 6 076 61686 58918 5 057 5 031 6 077 58918 56079 7 085 4 020 3 101 56079 53404 13 111 5 117 6 174 53404 51022 15 117 9 129 8 167 51022 48898 12 109 12 134 11 166 48898 46966 11 114 12 132 11 162 46966 45182 10 104 11 126 12 150 45182 43513 5 124 8 121 11 146 43513 41941 8 204 6 199 9 185 41941 40455 12 208 10 223 9 203 40455 39047 14 216 13 228 11 213 39047 37678 18 225 14 234 14 219 37678 36277 19 222 16 228 14 230 36277 34815 16 227 18 232 13 241 34815 33293 5 225 12 242 15 250 33293 31695 3 238 6 218 11 241 31695 30008 4 288 5 265 8 227 30008 28234 3 059 2 212 4 259 28234 26374 3 083 2 159 5 266 26374 24436 4 088 1 168 5 249 24436 22428 4 096 1 280 5 264 22428 20337 3 007 9 331 8 322 20337 18155 9 312 16 337 18 358 18155 15932 12 358 20 012 22 026 15932 13795 21 017 25 023 26 032 13795 11844 23 019 26 021 24 033 11844 10104 19 025 22 020 20 027 10104 8554 11 013 16 011 17 018 8554 7177 5 005 9*334 12 336 7177 5954 5 007 6*323 12 319 5954 4870 7 352 3 300 9 306 4870 3914 6*344 2 275 6 274 3914 3070 3*308 2 210 6 229 3070 2317 3 237 3 194 8 203 2317 1651 3 224 4 187 10 187 1651 1097 3 221 4 184 11 178 1097 672 3 215 4 180 11 172 672 380 3 213 4 181 10*170 380 203 3 211 4 181 9*168 203 101 3 211 4 179 6 166 101 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography