DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/08 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.7 - - 56.8 - - 56.0 - - 49.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 73 - - 87 - - -20 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 925 - - 2030 - - 18 - - 18 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 81 - - 708 - - 82 - - 82 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1005 - - 2110 - - 98 - - 98 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 909 - - 765 - - 2235 - - 192 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 170 - - 239 - - 19 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 9 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 322 - - 232 - - 217 - - 207 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -1 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1118 - - -1248 - - -1889 - - -516 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2123 - - 3358 - - 1987 - - 614 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9721 - - -9407 - - -8203 - - -8253 ODpotential blCL - - - 10726 - - 11517 - - 8301 - - 8351 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 66 - - 71 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.7 - - 56.8 - - 56.0 - - 49.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.0 - - 42.6 - - 47.7 - - 47.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.2 - - 56.3 - - 57.0 - - 51.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.7 - - 41.4 - - 46.7 - - 47.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 73 - - 87 - - -20 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 925 - - 2030 - - 18 - - 18 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 6 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96695 90 246 84 246 91 246 88 249 96695 89341 53 256 57 250 63 251 57 260 89341 83760 31 253 33 251 39 253 39 265 83760 79155 22 254 25 260 24 249 29 260 79155 75203 18 248 20 255 16 250 22 258 75203 71710 12 240 17 247 15 253 21 258 71710 68538 17 243 17 247 18 254 21 261 68538 65615 24 248 20 244 22 254 24 257 65615 62900 24 250 22 241 25 253 27 259 62900 60270 24 251 26 240 31 254 32 260 60270 57518 29 253 31 248 34 255 32 264 57518 54638 37 257 40 258 40 261 39 278 54638 51877 44 254 49 255 48 258 54 272 51877 49394 48 249 53 253 53 259 54 263 49394 47170 50 251 56 254 57 260 57 264 47170 45153 58 255 63 258 61 263 60 262 45153 43304 66 254 68 259 64 264 59 265 43304 41603 68 253 69 258 64 263 70 269 41603 40033 72 255 71 260 67 264 76 265 40033 38567 71 255 75 261 68 265 72 264 38567 37193 63 258 73 262 59 263 69 272 37193 35880 65 262 66 261 49 273 62 269 35880 34556 68 263 61 265 56 280 54 262 34556 33179 66 259 60 267 55 275 52 271 33179 31747 65 258 49 269 48 276 57 277 31747 30245 65 258 43 282 50 283 56 278 30245 28659 65 257 42 290 53 285 52 282 28659 26989 63 257 41 292 48 284 50 282 26989 25234 56 258 41 290 44 283 48 280 25234 23392 50 266 41 289 41 283 46 281 23392 21466 45 267 40 290 38 285 43 284 21466 19452 41 269 36 293 35 286 39 285 19452 17343 40 273 33 295 33 279 35 281 17343 15184 38 275 31 293 31 272 35 275 15184 13103 32 285 31 290 32 275 35 274 13103 11216 26 299 30 295 29 285 29 276 11216 9547 24 306 28 303 25 295 25 275 9547 8065 23 304 24 306 22 299 22 269 8065 6748 22 299 22 295 20 296 20 264 6748 5579 19 297 23 289 18 289 19 265 5579 4545 17 299 22 279 20 287 19 273 4545 3640 14 299 19 267 20 278 22 275 3640 2847 9 299 15 255 20 265 25 263 2847 2145 10 326 11*239 17 242 26 251 2145 1528 11*332 10*235 15 229 24 241 1528 1015 10*330 9 233 14 224 23 230 1015 622 6 320 9 231 13 221 21 225 622 353 5 318 8 230 11 220 16 218 353 191 5 318 7 229 9 217 13 216 191 98 4 318 6 230 6*217 5*207 98 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography