DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/04 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 75.7 - - 77.5 - - 69.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 399 - - 165 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6816 - - 7222 - - 19 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5066 - - 4886 - - 83 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6896 - - 7302 - - 99 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2415 - - 2291 - - 692 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 566 - - 433 - - 9 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 19 - - 17 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 227 - - 232 - - 190 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 13 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1312 - - -1898 - - -6752 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 8209 - - 9201 - - 6851 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -3447 - - -4214 - - -9482 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 10343 - - 11516 - - 9581 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 54 - - 63 - - 28 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 75.7 - - 77.5 - - 69.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 39.8 - - 37.2 - - 40.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 74.0 - - 76.6 - - 72.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 38.9 - - 36.2 - - 40.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 399 - - 165 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6816 - - 7222 - - 19 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97833 13 219 11 252 13 308 97833 90464 15 224 17 261 12 284 90464 84770 12 213 12 210 17 224 84770 80023 20 229 14 222 17 217 80023 75912 20 217 20 222 16 234 75912 72268 15 213 21 214 20 223 72268 68961 12 240 18 215 16 224 68961 65915 17 235 17 229 15 236 65915 63088 23 238 24 234 16 227 63088 60329 30 230 31 240 23 254 60329 57454 34 237 37 244 35 252 57454 54495 42 242 39 251 38 253 54495 51683 49 246 45 257 42 252 51683 49159 50 249 49 257 44 256 49159 46902 53 252 52 261 48 256 46902 44863 56 251 55 261 50 255 44863 43005 52 249 56 259 51 257 43005 41307 47 254 58 259 51 259 41307 39751 59 262 63 257 51 254 39751 38317 71 261 69 249 50 248 38317 36976 77 264 65 247 50 248 36976 35677 80 263 65 257 52 254 35677 34355 75 259 68 261 56 258 34355 32980 58 260 66 260 59 260 32980 31554 50 281 63 259 56 260 31554 30061 59 290 61 264 52 255 30061 28488 61 285 58 271 47 257 28488 26834 59 278 50 275 44 263 26834 25096 54 274 43 278 42 268 25096 23272 47 273 41 280 41 278 23272 21365 44 275 42 277 35 288 21365 19369 42 279 41 270 25 297 19369 17287 39 281 39 267 27 299 17287 15163 34 279 33 268 32 298 15163 13116 28 279 31 279 32 304 13116 11253 27 277 28 280 26 303 11253 9597 27 270 23 278 22 285 9597 8126 27*259 18*261 22 255 8126 6818 23*242 17*237 25 237 6818 5657 21 233 17 235 24 230 5657 4628 20 227 17 233 22 227 4628 3721 20 226 17 232 21 225 3721 2921 19 224 17 231 20 223 2921 2205 19 223 17 231 20 220 2205 1572 19 223 16 231 19 216 1572 1045 18 222 16 230 18 211 1045 641 17 221 15 230 16 206 641 363 16 221 15 230 13 200 363 195 15 221 13 229 10 196 195 99 12 220 10 229 5*190 99 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography