DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/31 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.1 - - 87.1 - - 88.0 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 157 - - 194 - - 82 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3224 - - 7543 - - 7868 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1909 - - 5294 - - 4897 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - 3304 - - 7623 - - 7948 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4499 - - 1301 - - 1042 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 333 - - 475 - - 370 - - - W* B/S - - - 9 - - 14 - - 15 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - 306 - - 291 - - 280 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 5 - - 11 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1209 - - 1356 - - 977 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4513 - - 6267 - - 6972 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2512 - - -39 - - 160 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - 5816 - - 7662 - - 7788 - - - blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 86 - - 85 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - 100 - - 60 - - 30 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.1 - - 87.1 - - 88.0 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 62.7 - - 60.0 - - 57.8 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.1 - - 85.9 - - 87.3 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 61.6 - - 58.6 - - 56.5 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 157 - - 194 - - 82 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3224 - - 7543 - - 7868 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 17 - - 43 - - 40 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 9 - - 9 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99376 40 082 35 075 42 076 99376 91931 38 076 36 075 35 069 91931 86194 39 078 38 078 32 079 86194 81421 37 077 34 083 29 081 81421 77297 27 078 28 077 24 075 77297 73655 22 083 22 075 24 074 73655 70357 23 073 21 083 20 069 70357 67337 20 061 19 081 17 081 67337 64543 20 057 15 077 16 075 64543 61830 14 059 12 078 12 042 61830 59005 14 067 10 063 9 028 59005 56084 15 008 10 011 13 357 56084 53311 18 308 14 351 17 331 53311 50827 10 323 19 352 19 331 50827 48597 19 333 24 339 26 336 48597 46572 26 338 37 341 39 345 46572 44712 32 350 44 345 47 342 44712 42988 49 348 57 351 48 345 42988 41387 55 343 66 350 59 351 41387 39896 59 343 68 346 70 350 39896 38494 50 342 62 345 66 345 38494 37133 42 338 52 342 59 350 37133 35745 37 335 48 344 53 349 35745 34299 33 331 49 342 50 345 34299 32794 35 331 52 343 51 345 32794 31215 33 329 48 343 50 350 31215 29549 29 327 36 337 40 355 29549 27801 25 329 32 330 27 352 27801 25971 20 326 27 330 22 344 25971 24056 18 324 21 326 21 335 24056 22059 15 317 19 315 17 321 22059 19981 12 315 19 312 18 311 19981 17819 12 327 17 311 17 312 17819 15614 17 319 15 314 16 318 15614 13482 18 321 12 322 17 322 13482 11543 14 328 8 318 14 320 11543 9831 11 332 6 324 11 301 9831 8322 11 329 7*289 6*284 8322 6987 10 318 7*287 5*284 6987 5798 9 320 6 287 5 283 5798 4744 7 321 6 289 5 280 4744 3815 7*302 6 291 4 279 3815 2994 7*304 6 292 4 280 2994 2260 7 304 6 293 4 279 2260 1612 7 306 6 294 4 279 1612 1072 7 307 6 295 4 278 1072 657 6 308 5 296 4 277 657 372 6 308 5 296 3 278 372 200 6 309 5 295 3 276 200 100 5 308 4 296 3 276 100 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography