DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/15 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 84.7 - - 84.1 - - 79.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 170 - - 70 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3399 - - 3768 - - 20 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2076 - - 1791 - - 84 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3479 - - 3848 - - 100 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2025 - - 2273 - - 3738 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 348 - - 275 - - 14 W* B/S - - - - - - 8 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 8 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 037 - - 043 - - 075 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 182 - - -51 - - -2002 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3297 - - 3900 - - 2102 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -681 - - -1155 - - -3611 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4160 - - 5003 - - 3711 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 92 - - 99 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 300 - - 60 - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 84.7 - - 84.1 - - 79.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 70.5 - - 67.4 - - 70.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 83.8 - - 83.8 - - 80.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 69.7 - - 66.6 - - 70.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 170 - - 70 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3399 - - 3768 - - 20 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 68 - - 97 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 15 - - 13 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99330 41 086 27 087 28 061 99330 91853 42 075 37 079 33 081 91853 86069 38 065 40 077 35 078 86069 81282 27 075 32 075 27 076 81282 77169 20 073 25 071 22 074 77169 73529 15 084 16 064 19 056 73529 70235 11 079 8 100 13 041 70235 67214 7 052 6 062 7 052 67214 64430 5 034 7 357 8 046 64430 61759 7 359 12 341 13 360 61759 59004 7 348 10 302 15 334 59004 56169 10 330 11 311 15 339 56169 53481 12 309 20 312 25 327 53481 51090 27 292 30 299 34 306 51090 48964 34 284 33 301 33 302 48964 47030 39 297 36 306 33 320 47030 45245 38 300 39 310 31 326 45245 43578 37 295 40 315 28 332 43578 42006 36 291 39 314 28 335 42006 40514 37 294 38 309 29 336 40514 39094 39 298 37 308 30 336 39094 37712 42 300 34 306 29 329 37712 36298 41 298 30 308 29 311 36298 34823 37 293 27 311 29 306 34823 33289 39 294 26 305 27 310 33289 31679 35 301 24 305 26 306 31679 29981 32 294 23 306 27 303 29981 28198 31 287 25 303 29 303 28198 26327 30 287 25 303 29 302 26327 24371 29 289 24 301 29 301 24371 22336 28 289 25 301 31 304 22336 20219 28 289 24 305 31 309 20219 18013 26 294 23 303 30 309 18013 15762 27 294 23 303 29 317 15762 13597 29 292 24 310 29 324 13597 11632 29 290 21 305 25 323 11632 9895 25 291 18 295 19 322 9895 8363 19 291 15 301 15 325 8363 7005 14 288 11 313 9 325 7005 5802 12 295 8 338 5 341 5802 4740 8 311 7*006 6 025 4740 3808 6*350 8*031 6 033 3808 2987 7*030 8 038 6 053 2987 2254 7 035 8 043 7 076 2254 1607 8 037 9 045 9 084 1607 1069 8 039 9 046 10 081 1069 655 8 040 9 047 10 079 655 371 8 041 8 048 9 077 371 199 7 040 8 047 7*077 199 100 6 042 6 047 4*075 100 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography