DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/07 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 23.3 - - 23.6 - - 23.1 - - 21.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 260 - - 422 - - 178 - - 31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3420 - - 3733 - - 3791 - - 4259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2234 - - 2646 - - 2325 - - 79 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3500 - - 3813 - - 3871 - - 4339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1028 - - 1015 - - 1557 - - 1089 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 388 - - 468 - - 352 - - 206 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 39 - - 38 - - 35 - - 31 BL Wind Direction - - - 319 - - 317 - - 314 - - 312 Direction Wind Shear - - - 22 - - 20 - - 20 - - 24 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - 4 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -562 - - -1558 - - -1052 - - 96 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4062 - - 5372 - - 4923 - - 4243 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12163 - - -18018 - - -16361 - - -568 ODpotential blCL - - - 15663 - - 21831 - - 20232 - - 4907 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 56 - - 64 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 23.3 - - 23.6 - - 23.1 - - 21.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 5.7 - - 0.1 - - 1.6 - - 3.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 22.7 - - 22.6 - - 22.7 - - 22.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 5.0 - - -0.6 - - 1.5 - - 3.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 260 - - 422 - - 178 - - 31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3420 - - 3733 - - 3791 - - 4259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 64 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96599 27 218 28 228 24 254 16 242 96599 89318 26 208 20 239 22 241 23 252 89318 83727 13 236 8 224 15 224 14 246 83727 79079 14 273 13 236 10 235 7 236 79079 75046 11 272 11 190 12 250 10 303 75046 71481 12 313 7 208 20 241 20 265 71481 68264 16 281 7 199 12 232 14 229 68264 65295 9 294 24 318 17 324 11 353 65295 62508 45 285 50 273 35 293 36 294 62508 59820 54 247 57 244 33 266 55 267 59820 57051 60 264 53 232 51 261 40 271 57051 54135 47 288 37 289 50 244 52 295 54135 51316 71 296 74 306 56 298 68 288 51316 48779 86 296 97 301 84 300 82 290 48779 46496 93 295 109 297 99 298 94 291 46496 44412 97 295 112 295 108 297 102 290 44412 42493 104 294 113 294 112 295 105 289 42493 40719 109 292 114 294 113 293 107 289 40719 39075 107 293 114 293 114 294 109 290 39075 37546 108 295 115 294 119 295 111 292 37546 36117 113 297 120 297 126 296 116 295 36117 34749 119 297 131 299 135 296 124 297 34749 33374 123 297 143 299 144 296 133 297 33374 31959 122 297 151 297 150 296 141 298 31959 30501 121 299 152 296 152 296 146 297 30501 28980 123 302 149 296 154 297 146 298 28980 27377 125 303 145 296 155 298 145 299 27377 25691 120 302 141 298 154 301 144 302 25691 23924 110 301 135 300 148 302 141 304 23924 22086 100 300 131 303 135 302 138 305 22086 20180 95 300 128 306 122 303 131 306 20180 18196 93 300 116 306 118 306 121 309 18196 16128 89 299 103 308 111 308 112 312 16128 14034 83 296 93 308 101 309 99 313 14034 12041 75 296 84 306 90 311 85 314 12041 10257 65 300 75 305 79 313 72 316 10257 8698 57 305 68 307 70 316 62 320 8698 7334 54 310 63 312 63 320 55 323 7334 6135 54 315 61 317 58 320 51 319 6135 5081 54 318 56 319 49 317 44*313 5081 4154 46*318 41*317 39*313 37*311 4154 3340 42*319 40*317 38*313 36 311 3340 2622 42 319 40 317 38 313 34 311 2622 1981 42 319 40 317 37 314 32 312 1981 1414 41 320 39 317 36 314 30 312 1414 943 40 320 38 318 35 314 27 312 943 581 37 320 36 318 33 314 25 312 581 333 34 320 33 318 30 314 22 312 333 182 29 320 28 318 26 314 19 312 182 96 20 320 20 318 18 314 13 312 96 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography