DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/16 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 89.9 - - 90.4 - - 80.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 292 - - 91 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5249 - - 5798 - - 20 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3702 - - 3426 - - 84 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5329 - - 5878 - - 100 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1524 - - 1697 - - 307 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 473 - - 340 - - 11 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 22 - - 22 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 224 - - 223 - - 198 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 9 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -3013 - - -2717 - - -5926 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 8342 - - 8595 - - 6026 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -6546 - - -6425 - - -10795 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 11875 - - 12303 - - 10895 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 90 - - 44 - - 33 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 89.9 - - 90.4 - - 80.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 53.6 - - 53.0 - - 54.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 88.5 - - 90.1 - - 82.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 52.6 - - 52.2 - - 53.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 292 - - 91 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5249 - - 5798 - - 20 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 58 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97199 48 236 47 248 37 249 97199 89915 38 229 36 249 29 250 89915 84368 25 226 27 237 25 257 84368 79777 11 245 19 229 22 263 79777 75814 6 285 11 223 19 261 75814 72300 5 294 8 222 16 256 72300 69109 9 292 9 268 10 263 69109 66180 15 277 15 260 15 274 66180 63476 12 264 10 262 14 234 63476 60857 22 286 25 283 20 276 60857 58115 34 281 38 284 33 276 58115 55257 44 278 45 281 46 272 55257 52526 55 274 56 272 55 263 52526 50075 53 263 54 265 57 260 50075 47885 47 262 55 263 56 260 47885 45901 58 271 57 264 60 263 45901 44093 58 265 61 267 72 263 44093 42440 58 266 64 264 81 260 42440 40909 53 264 64 260 82 256 40909 39468 41 246 61 253 73 249 39468 38101 49 236 58 244 65 243 38101 36771 54 242 62 244 64 238 36771 35408 54 247 59 241 62 239 35408 33989 49 249 51 243 55 243 33989 32515 42 247 46 246 50 245 32515 30969 42 242 43 241 46 241 30969 29336 39 241 41 234 42 233 29336 27618 38 238 42 230 43 230 27618 25817 40 230 40 225 42 227 25817 23938 38 223 37 226 40 227 23938 21977 37 224 34 230 35 231 21977 19926 33 229 32 238 33 233 19926 17774 30 234 30 245 32 233 17774 15577 28 237 29 247 30 238 15577 13464 27 246 30 251 27 243 13464 11546 26 249 29 248 28 236 11546 9842 24 247 27 243 30 232 9842 8329 22 241 29 244 31 238 8329 6988 24 235 27*239 30 233 6988 5799 23*228 23*226 30 231 5799 4745 23*226 23 225 29 230 4745 3815 23 225 23 224 28 229 3815 2994 23 225 22 222 27 227 2994 2260 23 224 22 222 26 224 2260 1611 22 224 21 221 24 222 1611 1070 22 223 21 221 23 218 1070 656 21 223 20 220 20 213 656 371 20 223 19 219 16 208 371 198 18 223 16 219 13 204 198 100 14 222 12 219 5*198 100 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography