DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/23 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 44.9 - - 50.5 - - 46.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -33 - - -45 - - -52 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 17 - - 18 - - 18 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 81 - - 82 - - 81 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 97 - - 98 - - 98 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 922 - - 1041 - - 146 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 13 - - 17 - - 9 W* B/S - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 10 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 220 - - 232 - - 227 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -646 - - -1621 - - -784 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 743 - - 1719 - - 882 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -9063 - - -10204 - - -10620 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9160 - - 10302 - - 10718 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 85 - - 68 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 44.9 - - 50.5 - - 46.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 42.3 - - 43.6 - - 42.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 46.1 - - 52.2 - - 48.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 42.1 - - 43.0 - - 42.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -33 - - -45 - - -52 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 17 - - 18 - - 18 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 42 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95876 57 258 45 260 42 246 95876 88782 46 262 40 254 39 252 88782 83271 34 245 34 253 34 255 83271 78698 25 229 29 251 33 256 78698 74781 27 247 33 248 29 256 74781 71326 28 249 25 249 27 241 71326 68200 28 263 26 261 33 262 68200 65357 38 271 45 272 38 274 65357 62739 45 269 48 272 33 274 62739 60160 48 277 50 279 38 292 60160 57446 56 286 60 287 63 295 57446 54617 75 289 83 290 79 295 54617 51897 82 286 93 288 96 291 51897 49444 89 292 96 289 104 288 49444 47241 103 298 106 293 104 292 47241 45234 112 298 113 296 110 299 45234 43397 110 296 115 298 120 299 43397 41700 105 295 114 297 119 294 41700 40121 100 293 107 293 108 292 40121 38654 97 294 97 292 99 299 38654 37292 98 297 94 300 108 310 37292 35984 98 297 99 308 117 311 35984 34650 93 294 105 309 116 309 34650 33255 90 292 108 303 109 307 33255 31807 89 292 106 297 98 303 31807 30290 89 291 99 292 92 297 30290 28692 88 291 93 289 84 296 28692 27011 85 290 83 294 72 296 27011 25244 81 290 75 298 68 297 25244 23392 74 292 77 299 67 298 23392 21460 66 293 72 299 65 299 21460 19446 59 291 58 297 60 300 19446 17342 53 289 52 297 52 298 17342 15192 48 284 49 301 49 296 15192 13117 43 274 45 301 49 298 13117 11226 40 265 43 297 48 300 11226 9544 42 256 41 294 46 301 9544 8050 40 266 39 290 41 302 8050 6728 39 278 37 284 36 301 6728 5561 40 280 37 281 31 297 5561 4537 45 273 38 282 30 291 4537 3641 51 261 39 281 32 283 3641 2853 54 251 39 275 34 276 2853 2149 51 248 38 263 34 271 2149 1529 42 241 35 256 35 262 1529 1013 33 233 28 246 33 253 1013 620 25 227 21 239 29 246 620 351 19 223 17 236 20 234 351 190 16 222 14*235 17*232 190 98 10*220 8*232 6*227 98 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography