DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/28 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.4 - - 54.0 - - 56.3 - - 50.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 51 - - 170 - - 52 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 298 - - 2008 - - 1794 - - 18 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 81 - - 1058 - - 82 - - 82 Hcrit BL Top - - - 378 - - 2088 - - 1874 - - 98 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1213 - - 431 - - 639 - - 1548 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 103 - - 288 - - 191 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 16 - - 15 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 035 - - 101 - - 147 - - 193 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -6 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1501 - - -90 - - -382 - - -666 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1879 - - 2178 - - 2256 - - 764 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11082 - - -4263 - - -4367 - - -6246 ODpotential blCL - - - 11460 - - 6351 - - 6241 - - 6344 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 87 - - 85 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.4 - - 54.0 - - 56.3 - - 50.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.8 - - 45.0 - - 46.9 - - 47.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.0 - - 53.0 - - 56.0 - - 53.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.7 - - 43.7 - - 45.8 - - 47.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 51 - - 170 - - 52 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 298 - - 2008 - - 1794 - - 18 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 50 - - 39 - - 36 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96607 4 176 4 143 7 218 1 335 96607 89452 10 146 11 162 10 179 11 182 89452 83932 17 173 15 186 13 181 19 200 83932 79316 16 199 17 193 18 192 17 217 79316 75307 17 221 17 199 22 200 22 238 75307 71740 17 205 15 214 18 209 19 225 71740 68480 13 220 16 225 16 228 14 211 68480 65470 11 237 17 215 19 230 12 218 65470 62679 11 236 20 184 19 219 15 220 62679 59988 22 229 20 212 23 242 20 239 59988 57203 35 216 26 230 31 228 30 236 57203 54320 36 229 29 238 30 227 34 234 54320 51564 40 235 38 242 38 232 39 235 51564 49081 45 238 48 243 43 234 41 236 49081 46854 52 241 56 235 46 238 42 243 46854 44833 56 235 60 230 56 238 47 244 44833 42992 60 231 69 229 64 232 52 231 42992 41313 74 225 73 224 68 227 61 230 41313 39765 78 215 78 217 69 222 70 221 39765 38320 75 210 81 210 68 214 73 208 38320 36961 72 208 83 206 69 212 67 203 36961 35648 66 210 84 202 71 210 62 209 35648 34311 62 214 88 201 71 207 58 212 34311 32922 56 217 92 201 71 206 55 213 32922 31484 46 219 91 204 70 207 51 215 31484 29980 35 226 80 208 62 213 45 219 29980 28397 30 226 65 212 59 219 43 227 28397 26735 28 224 47 217 55 224 44 232 26735 24994 24 221 34 213 46 229 37 240 24994 23174 18 214 29 215 37 232 33 246 23174 21273 16 218 25 224 30 233 32 241 21273 19282 17 238 19 243 26 228 30 233 19282 17196 17 259 17 253 23 222 27 228 17196 15058 16 258 15 244 23 223 24 234 15058 12994 16 245 17 241 19 247 17 243 12994 11120 17 253 16 259 15 274 12 280 11120 9462 14 257 12 279 12 293 15 313 9462 7994 9 251 10 263 9 322 16 316 7994 6691 7 267 8 240 9 333 9 333 6691 5537 7 255 7 235 8 311 8 007 5537 4517 4 230 6 260 7 291 9 003 4517 3622 2 187 4 267 6 291 7 325 3622 2833 4 130 1 335 3 271 6 294 2833 2134 5 104 2*090 2*181 4 282 2134 1522 3 080 3*102 2*160 4 255 1522 1012 3 040 3 101 2 151 5 241 1012 622 3*033 4 101 2 144 5 229 622 354 2*036 3 100 2 141 4 213 354 191 2 035 3 100 2 139 4*198 191 98 2 033 3 100 2 136 3*193 98 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography