DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/10 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.2 - - 93.7 - - 95.1 - - 81.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 175 - - 282 - - 139 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3188 - - 6503 - - 7395 - - 20 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1936 - - 4667 - - 4927 - - 84 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3268 - - 6583 - - 7475 - - 100 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1919 - - 2530 - - 2912 - - 952 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 344 - - 503 - - 419 - - 20 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 9 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 10 - - 13 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 279 - - 257 - - 244 - - 258 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 7 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 7 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -745 - - 228 - - 259 - - -1514 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4014 - - 6356 - - 7217 - - 1614 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2832 - - -310 - - -884 - - -4291 ODpotential blCL - - - 6100 - - 6893 - - 8359 - - 4391 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 79 - - 76 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 750 - - 660 - - 430 - - 1760 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.2 - - 93.7 - - 95.1 - - 81.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 69.7 - - 66.1 - - 63.7 - - 74.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 86.0 - - 92.1 - - 94.3 - - 82.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 68.8 - - 65.3 - - 62.9 - - 73.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 175 - - 282 - - 139 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3188 - - 6503 - - 7395 - - 20 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 15 - - 6 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 13 - - 11 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99261 35 081 31 079 36 070 30 072 99261 91779 30 086 26 085 26 078 26 070 91779 86008 27 090 22 083 21 082 20 066 86008 81216 22 088 20 085 19 077 19 077 81216 77083 16 080 18 092 16 080 17 075 77083 73436 13 073 17 093 12 088 14 068 73436 70136 13 080 14 091 9 077 11 074 70136 67112 11 086 11 075 11 083 10 093 67112 64336 7 053 10 060 13 084 10 108 64336 61669 6 011 7 061 9 070 7 101 61669 58897 3 356 1 035 5 017 4 099 58897 56040 1 024 3 291 10 325 12 329 56040 53341 2 353 6 291 17 299 11 297 53341 50935 3 021 7 279 20 297 35 301 50935 48788 11 347 10 280 23 289 41 282 48788 46831 13 333 13 268 23 275 28 262 46831 45018 7 283 13 258 22 250 27 275 45018 43327 10 279 12 229 26 227 27 286 43327 41741 17 298 23 285 21 251 26 273 41741 40246 16 296 29 279 23 254 25 255 40246 38835 13 282 24 264 23 244 27 248 38835 37464 13 262 18 248 25 238 30 253 37464 36062 12 242 16 220 26 238 35 255 36062 34596 12 229 22 205 32 235 39 253 34596 33069 12 197 29 207 39 239 41 256 33069 31467 18 207 39 229 35 247 42 263 31467 29780 26 233 33 250 33 243 42 267 29780 28008 25 244 29 246 35 246 41 268 28008 26152 25 243 31 238 36 254 40 270 26152 24214 29 239 35 240 34 260 34 262 24214 22199 34 239 35 252 31 265 30 262 22199 20105 33 246 30 259 35 272 31 264 20105 17926 26 256 24 265 31 271 30 255 17926 15707 23 260 23 263 26 270 26 249 15707 13578 23 262 23 261 21 263 24 254 13578 11647 23 262 23 268 21 271 24 259 11647 9933 21 263 23 274 19 270 22 259 9933 8410 22 266 21 270 18*267 20 254 8410 7057 23 270 16*264 15*258 18 248 7057 5854 22 277 13*260 14 251 16 245 5854 4787 19 286 11 257 13 245 14 244 4787 3848 16*285 11 257 13 243 12 248 3848 3018 11*279 10 256 13 240 12 255 3018 2276 9 279 10 257 13 239 12 264 2276 1621 9 279 9 257 12 238 13 271 1621 1076 8 279 8 257 12 237 13 272 1076 659 7 280 8 257 11 237 11 266 659 373 7 280 8 257 11 236 9 262 373 200 6 280 7 257 10 235 7 261 200 100 5 280 6 258 8 235 4*258 100 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography