DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/30 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.8 - - 74.9 - - 74.4 - - 62.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 92 - - 135 - - -8 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 619 - - 2015 - - 3169 - - 19 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 83 - - 948 - - 83 - - 82 Hcrit BL Top - - - 699 - - 2095 - - 3249 - - 99 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 343 - - 1388 - - 2192 - - 150 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 160 - - 267 - - 97 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 10 - - 13 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 256 - - 330 - - 328 - - 003 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 5 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 0 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1394 - - -3587 - - -1316 - - -1943 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2093 - - 5682 - - 4565 - - 2042 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6416 - - -7319 - - -4567 - - -6425 ODpotential blCL - - - 7115 - - 9414 - - 7816 - - 6524 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 63 - - 74 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.8 - - 74.9 - - 74.4 - - 62.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.2 - - 50.6 - - 55.0 - - 54.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.2 - - 74.1 - - 74.9 - - 65.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.4 - - 49.7 - - 54.5 - - 54.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 92 - - 135 - - -8 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 619 - - 2015 - - 3169 - - 19 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 16 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 7 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97085 73 248 78 248 81 258 73 255 97085 89798 48 251 56 242 63 252 53 257 89798 84184 35 248 38 242 41 247 45 255 84184 79536 27 256 26 235 28 240 35 245 79536 75551 21 263 15 247 20 229 25 241 75551 72031 20 276 13 267 17 235 19 261 72031 68854 24 272 17 262 23 248 25 269 68854 65957 26 261 21 262 23 243 25 259 65957 63277 25 266 22 276 18 260 23 259 63277 60673 31 275 33 278 23 272 24 267 60673 57945 38 271 43 272 31 279 32 278 57945 55112 56 261 52 266 46 270 48 264 55112 52405 58 241 57 254 53 259 49 259 52405 49963 54 248 56 252 54 269 53 273 49963 47777 59 266 60 270 63 274 63 278 47777 45809 74 272 71 273 72 278 72 279 45809 44023 76 269 68 272 85 276 81 276 44023 42376 59 275 61 279 72 274 69 278 42376 40840 55 288 59 287 62 280 68 286 40840 39402 53 293 58 289 60 282 71 292 39402 38045 54 289 56 290 61 284 67 293 38045 36726 52 285 58 290 61 285 62 292 36726 35374 48 285 58 291 58 283 58 290 35374 33958 46 288 53 293 52 281 56 289 33958 32481 47 289 49 292 48 283 54 287 32481 30929 46 288 51 291 44 292 51 287 30929 29290 45 288 52 291 42 297 47 282 29290 27564 42 284 45 292 44 297 42 278 27564 25750 33 285 36 292 43 296 36 284 25750 23851 29 299 26 285 34 291 30 289 23851 21873 28 306 22 289 28 285 27 287 21873 19807 26 306 22 294 24 280 24 290 19807 17647 23 303 22 293 22 278 22 299 17647 15442 22 304 22 295 21 292 24 308 15442 13316 24 310 20 299 29 302 27 311 13316 11385 24 312 22 299 32 302 30 310 11385 9677 19 310 24 295 31 297 28 304 9677 8170 15 306 24 297 28 293 22 302 8170 6840 14 308 20 295 23 293 18 316 6840 5665 10 317 17 291 19 300 18 323 5665 4630 7 342 13 295 17 314 16 324 4630 3720 10 356 13 316 15*322 14 336 3720 2918 12 357 16 331 15*325 16 346 2918 2201 12 347 14*331 15 326 18 353 2201 1569 10 326 12*329 14 328 20 358 1569 1043 8*296 11 329 14 329 20 001 1043 639 5*258 11 330 13 329 18 004 639 362 4 256 10 330 11 330 14 007 362 194 4 255 9 331 10 330 11*007 194 99 4 253 7 331 7 330 5*003 99 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography