DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/05 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0702z - - 1001z - - 1555z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.2 - - 82.3 - - 81.8 - - 75.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 322 - - 396 - - 177 - - -51 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2287 - - 6013 - - 6024 - - 20 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1468 - - 4421 - - 4024 - - 83 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2367 - - 6093 - - 6104 - - 100 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2345 - - 2337 - - 2413 - - 6163 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 365 - - 541 - - 418 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 20 - - 24 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 216 - - 201 - - 195 - - 178 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 8 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -1 - - -7 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4143 - - -2010 - - -2115 - - -5379 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6510 - - 8103 - - 8220 - - 5479 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6390 - - -3754 - - -3871 - - -7890 ODpotential blCL - - - 8757 - - 9847 - - 9975 - - 7990 blCL maxRH - - - 49 - - 52 - - 60 - - 45 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 70 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.2 - - 82.3 - - 81.8 - - 75.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.2 - - 47.0 - - 46.0 - - 51.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.6 - - 80.5 - - 81.0 - - 76.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.6 - - 46.3 - - 45.4 - - 51.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 322 - - 396 - - 177 - - -51 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2287 - - 6013 - - 6024 - - 20 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98077 3 076 8 254 11 289 6 272 98077 90662 6 229 9 212 16 252 13 267 90662 84949 16 240 11 225 19 249 19 259 84949 80208 17 235 14 218 16 228 14 234 80208 76080 14 227 15 230 18 241 12 243 76080 72411 19 213 22 229 22 232 16 245 72411 69096 15 188 20 214 16 224 17 241 69096 66036 11 220 11 241 21 235 16 236 66036 63196 19 252 19 241 22 238 29 264 63196 60473 26 252 28 253 32 256 37 259 60473 57656 29 254 32 246 29 255 32 253 57656 54718 33 257 32 258 21 274 25 267 54718 51905 38 259 38 270 37 286 48 280 51905 49405 42 258 48 272 64 276 57 276 49405 47204 41 258 46 270 64 270 51 288 47204 45232 39 266 43 276 53 282 68 300 45232 43442 39 276 46 282 63 296 82 295 43442 41796 38 278 42 283 63 295 80 295 41796 40259 32 277 35 285 57 298 75 296 40259 38813 28 290 31 294 52 304 71 297 38813 37447 30 294 36 299 53 304 54 296 37447 36130 30 282 35 295 53 306 43 292 36130 34794 27 265 34 294 47 303 47 286 34794 33404 27 260 35 296 47 297 44 278 33404 31957 28 261 31 302 39 293 42 269 31957 30435 30 265 29 311 29 293 39 274 30435 28828 29 267 27 321 25 279 30 278 28828 27136 29 266 23 297 25 270 33 251 27136 25360 31 259 26 283 22 271 36 240 25360 23504 33 264 27 279 21 266 29 232 23504 21570 33 264 27 273 21 260 23 228 21570 19554 34 251 30 264 26 261 21 238 19554 17451 29 240 29 245 26 256 19 246 17451 15304 27 229 28 236 25 239 21 230 15304 13236 26 227 31 227 29 237 22 230 13236 11354 22 231 28 215 35 226 29 236 11354 9682 21 221 25 213 35 217 34 226 9682 8196 23 218 24 212 32 214 34 223 8196 6876 22 219 22*210 26*203 30 214 6876 5704 20 221 20*206 25*200 29 207 5704 4667 20 225 20 204 25 198 29 201 4667 3752 19 236 20 203 25 197 29 197 3752 2945 20*235 20 202 25 195 29 194 2945 2223 18*226 20 200 25 194 29 191 2223 1585 17 216 20 200 24 193 28 188 1585 1053 16 214 20 199 24 193 26 185 1053 646 16 213 19 198 23 192 23 183 646 366 15 212 18 198 22 192 18 181 366 197 13 212 16 197 19 192 15*180 197 100 10 211 13 197 14 191 9*178 100 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography