DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/23 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.8 - - 72.3 - - 58.9 - - 52.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 221 - - -5 - - 38 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1776 - - 3134 - - 2761 - - 3542 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 983 - - 83 - - 82 - - 81 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1856 - - 3214 - - 2841 - - 3622 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 706 - - 2836 - - 853 - - 992 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 298 - - 104 - - 195 - - 70 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 15 - - 25 - - 31 BL Wind Direction - - - 315 - - 325 - - 344 - - 342 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 7 - - 17 - - 19 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 39 - - -1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1945 - - -893 - - -80 - - -225 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3801 - - 4107 - - 2921 - - 3847 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5552 - - -1441 - - -4800 - - -10063 ODpotential blCL - - - 7408 - - 4655 - - 7641 - - 13685 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 100 - - 100 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 160 - - 290 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.8 - - 72.3 - - 58.9 - - 52.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.4 - - 54.6 - - 46.5 - - 35.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.5 - - 72.8 - - 58.9 - - 52.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.8 - - 54.0 - - 46.2 - - 35.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 221 - - -5 - - 38 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1776 - - 3134 - - 2761 - - 3542 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 50 - - 100 - - 100 - - 27 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 6 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96499 16 286 20 252 27 254 25 264 96499 89319 14 252 14 246 14 255 18 248 89319 83801 7 247 10 228 12 246 14 229 83801 79207 4 285 8 214 16 228 17 233 79207 75250 11 228 7 215 14 222 18 223 75250 71754 16 220 13 234 16 238 18 234 71754 68585 24 230 25 224 25 237 19 258 68585 65662 24 228 31 234 30 235 23 258 65662 62937 25 245 31 245 35 234 34 254 62937 60285 40 243 37 247 42 235 45 248 60285 57526 44 242 46 242 46 238 55 243 57526 54680 42 247 50 241 53 246 56 246 54680 51968 44 250 49 239 59 248 60 250 51968 49512 47 255 46 239 59 244 63 250 49512 47281 51 258 48 243 61 247 68 253 47281 45233 55 261 55 252 65 253 74 254 45233 43351 65 261 67 257 68 258 76 258 43351 41629 72 260 75 258 76 261 80 260 41629 40047 77 260 81 257 85 259 87 259 40047 38577 83 260 85 255 89 254 89 259 38577 37200 89 258 91 254 90 253 90 262 37200 35878 92 258 95 254 93 260 89 265 35878 34543 89 255 96 255 100 266 88 267 34543 33158 82 252 94 254 97 268 86 269 33158 31717 77 252 91 254 89 271 84 272 31717 30202 72 254 86 256 84 273 83 271 30202 28599 67 257 79 260 79 272 80 267 28599 26908 65 261 72 263 74 273 74 265 26908 25130 63 262 68 266 72 275 70 265 25130 23268 62 262 64 267 69 272 67 266 23268 21324 61 260 58 264 65 267 62 266 21324 19294 58 258 52 262 61 264 56 263 19294 17176 56 258 49 261 57 264 52 262 17176 15015 49 257 44 260 52 264 48 261 15015 12932 39 256 34 258 46 261 48 262 12932 11040 34 252 31 250 42 258 47 263 11040 9364 34 249 30 255 35 256 44 261 9364 7882 29 255 27 266 29 261 41 264 7882 6575 25 282 17 286 24 270 35 275 6575 5428 28 293 13 309 21 285 30 300 5428 4430 31 286 13 313 26 306 32*328 4430 3560 27 277 14*318 31*330 34*338 3560 2794 21 272 15*322 30*339 34 340 2794 2110 12*277 16 324 28 343 33 342 2110 1505 6*308 16 325 27 344 32 343 1505 1002 6 313 15 327 25 345 31 344 1002 616 6 316 15 328 24 346 28 345 616 351 5 319 13 328 21 346 25 346 351 190 5 321 11 329 18 346 21 346 190 98 5 321 8 328 13 347 15 346 98 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography