DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/14 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.2 - - 49.8 - - 50.1 - - 42.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 135 - - 147 - - 1 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4313 - - 6402 - - 3910 - - 17 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2569 - - 4169 - - 81 - - 81 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4393 - - 6482 - - 3990 - - 97 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1918 - - 622 - - 3336 - - 186 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 340 - - 398 - - 89 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 23 - - 17 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 313 - - 309 - - 298 - - 275 Direction Wind Shear - - - 19 - - 12 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -2 - - -12 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 318 - - 1158 - - -1338 - - -3396 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4075 - - 5324 - - 5329 - - 3493 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -557 - - 714 - - -1857 - - -5306 ODpotential blCL - - - 4950 - - 5768 - - 5847 - - 5403 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 100 - - 90 - - 44 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.2 - - 49.8 - - 50.1 - - 42.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.8 - - 26.7 - - 27.1 - - 28.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.8 - - 49.3 - - 50.3 - - 45.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.8 - - 26.0 - - 26.5 - - 27.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 135 - - 147 - - 1 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4313 - - 6402 - - 3910 - - 17 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 30 - - 99 - - 60 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96818 67 243 68 245 61 253 60 258 96818 89459 53 238 51 243 55 247 47 254 89459 83813 36 231 38 229 43 240 41 245 83813 79161 22 239 27 217 35 231 32 244 79161 75181 23 239 21 230 25 218 26 231 75181 71662 27 235 23 247 22 216 24 227 71662 68464 23 238 25 240 22 234 23 236 68464 65520 22 244 29 234 29 241 24 254 65520 62785 24 258 33 233 31 240 32 253 62785 60130 30 251 34 228 41 246 43 245 60130 57360 39 254 36 242 48 240 46 242 57360 54477 52 255 50 251 52 247 54 245 54477 51711 68 254 65 253 67 252 62 247 51711 49211 78 253 80 250 77 250 68 246 49211 46960 85 251 87 246 82 247 76 245 46960 44907 87 249 90 245 86 248 80 245 44907 43022 88 250 93 247 91 249 83 248 43022 41288 92 252 95 249 97 250 91 252 41288 39685 97 253 99 251 102 251 103 251 39685 38189 100 253 106 253 107 252 109 248 38189 36778 102 253 114 253 112 252 109 250 36778 35411 102 252 121 253 117 253 114 252 35411 34024 99 251 124 252 122 252 119 251 34024 32584 95 253 119 252 123 252 116 251 32584 31093 94 254 108 253 117 252 108 251 31093 29536 88 253 98 256 103 254 97 252 29536 27909 74 255 82 258 81 259 80 257 27909 26225 61 258 66 260 62 265 54 264 26225 24485 53 260 48 265 42 283 34 283 24485 22678 49 258 34 285 36 302 32 302 22678 20798 44 260 30 309 34 309 33 309 20798 18835 39 273 28 315 32 313 34 312 18835 16782 39 282 29 317 31 318 33 311 16782 14680 39 286 29 315 30 314 31 309 14680 12650 38 287 30 306 28 310 28 312 12650 10805 33 288 36 298 32 303 29 310 10805 9177 32 288 35 293 32 300 29 305 9177 7750 32 289 32*305 29 304 26 303 7750 6495 32 300 25*306 28 305 25 300 6495 5387 30*314 25 307 27 304 23 303 5387 4407 28*318 24 308 24*303 22 305 4407 3543 25 316 24 309 21*300 22 305 3543 2780 21 314 23 310 19 298 22 305 2780 2099 19 311 23 310 18 298 22 304 2099 1497 16 310 22 311 16 297 22 303 1497 996 15 309 21 311 15 296 20 300 996 612 14 309 20 311 14 297 17 295 612 348 13 308 19 311 13 296 14 288 348 188 12 308 17 311 11 296 11 283 188 97 9 308 13 312 8 295 5*275 97 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography