DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/10 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 87.3 - - 92.4 - - 80.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 151 - - 149 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3966 - - 5781 - - 20 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2379 - - 3721 - - 84 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4046 - - 5861 - - 100 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2071 - - 2060 - - 1851 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 342 - - 388 - - 18 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 19 - - 20 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 228 - - 227 - - 237 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 9 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - 10 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -545 - - -813 - - -1036 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4591 - - 6674 - - 1136 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1951 - - -2101 - - -3250 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5997 - - 7962 - - 3350 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 90 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 870 - - 480 - - 2120 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 87.3 - - 92.4 - - 80.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 67.4 - - 63.5 - - 75.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 86.6 - - 91.7 - - 81.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 67.2 - - 63.1 - - 74.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 151 - - 149 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3966 - - 5781 - - 20 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 100 - - 62 - - 5 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 14 - - 12 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98627 26 079 22 061 18 066 98627 91165 21 084 11 075 15 058 91165 85450 7 072 11 073 15 052 85450 80736 2 108 10 076 14 035 80736 76690 13 083 13 091 9 018 76690 73099 18 078 13 080 7 028 73099 69823 17 070 15 060 12 061 69823 66809 15 056 15 043 15 062 66809 64034 15 047 16 031 17 066 64034 61373 18 046 18 041 18 064 61373 58626 25 029 28 033 25 054 58626 55809 31 015 35 020 33 033 55809 53148 35 018 38 012 35 013 53148 50752 38 017 38 005 35 357 50752 48595 43 011 36 004 32 348 48595 46631 45 001 36 001 30 347 46631 44825 41 356 42 347 31 342 44825 43144 34 352 42 344 39 326 43144 41566 29 348 32 345 38 319 41566 40081 25 345 21 328 20 311 40081 38677 20 355 15 309 19 295 38677 37310 12 347 10 305 23 291 37310 35910 11 320 12 294 20 291 35910 34451 8 323 13 290 14 291 34451 32939 8 296 16 267 14 293 32939 31354 10 281 15 256 17 287 31354 29683 11 270 13 251 20 285 29683 27924 14 264 14 257 23 280 27924 26079 19 264 18 265 25 278 26079 24152 24 265 21 266 25 273 24152 22147 25 258 19 273 25 271 22147 20058 20 261 17 282 24 269 20058 17882 18 285 20 280 24 264 17882 15667 19 288 19 276 25 252 15667 13540 17 270 20 267 26 251 13540 11609 21 254 25 261 27 258 11609 9896 25 250 27 260 27 259 9896 8376 23 248 26 259 27 257 8376 7027 22 242 23*252 25 253 7027 5829 22 239 22*234 23 247 5829 4766 22*233 22 229 23 246 4766 3830 20*230 21 228 23 248 3830 3003 20 229 21 227 22 253 3003 2264 20 228 20 226 20 258 2264 1613 20 228 19 225 18 259 1613 1072 19 228 18 224 14 260 1072 657 18 227 17 224 11 258 657 372 17 227 15 223 7 251 372 199 15 227 14 223 6 247 199 100 12 227 10 222 3*237 100 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography