DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/15 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.3 - - 71.9 - - 70.0 - - 63.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 95 - - 103 - - -26 - - -61 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 626 - - 2412 - - 19 - - 19 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 82 - - 1036 - - 83 - - 83 Hcrit BL Top - - - 706 - - 2492 - - 99 - - 99 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 556 - - 2585 - - 5717 - - 901 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 159 - - 257 - - 14 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 11 - - 6 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 279 - - 244 - - 209 - - 211 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5683 - - -4008 - - -4751 - - -3631 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6389 - - 6501 - - 4850 - - 3730 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10514 - - -6397 - - -7641 - - -9495 ODpotential blCL - - - 11220 - - 8889 - - 7740 - - 9594 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 85 - - 50 - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.3 - - 71.9 - - 70.0 - - 63.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.9 - - 43.7 - - 49.1 - - 47.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.8 - - 71.3 - - 71.4 - - 65.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.5 - - 43.4 - - 48.9 - - 47.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 95 - - 103 - - -26 - - -61 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 626 - - 2412 - - 19 - - 19 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 22 - - 39 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96370 102 248 97 247 108 249 96 245 96370 89198 77 254 73 249 83 251 76 248 89198 83642 61 258 56 257 57 257 55 249 83642 79027 42 261 38 258 39 259 34 257 79027 75053 26 269 24 257 30 263 36 279 75053 71556 15 294 16 279 25 259 37 275 71556 68398 22 314 19 283 20 258 30 275 68398 65473 26 303 24 286 16 291 26 299 65473 62750 27 291 30 291 25 301 31 294 62750 60114 32 287 38 298 32 300 32 303 60114 57351 37 293 46 299 45 300 44 310 57351 54469 41 296 55 295 55 298 59 299 54469 51716 49 305 55 294 56 300 62 295 51716 49250 60 304 53 299 62 301 69 299 49250 47057 59 305 64 302 68 299 74 296 47057 45082 64 308 73 300 72 298 71 295 45082 43277 73 309 76 303 74 297 77 297 43277 41614 92 315 86 304 77 297 83 297 41614 40071 100 317 94 301 86 294 80 301 40071 38625 92 318 98 303 86 292 83 307 38625 37260 83 313 101 305 83 293 87 308 37260 35935 80 300 91 304 86 288 89 305 35935 34585 78 296 79 303 87 286 88 304 34585 33178 66 304 74 296 82 289 88 304 33178 31716 55 304 76 292 78 291 88 305 31716 30186 55 299 70 291 75 290 84 304 30186 28577 61 292 59 291 73 290 76 296 28577 26892 66 290 55 290 70 289 70 291 26892 25129 66 291 51 291 61 285 67 293 25129 23284 59 296 43 292 51 281 64 298 23284 21357 51 296 40 292 47 281 60 298 21357 19348 45 294 42 294 42 276 54 285 19348 17262 42 296 44 293 39 273 53 272 17262 15139 40 302 42 289 43 274 45 264 15139 13089 38 300 40 289 45 276 35 265 13089 11220 35 290 39 286 42 277 33 268 11220 9556 33 284 36 273 41 275 34 269 9556 8079 31 281 32 264 39 271 35 268 8079 6768 29 279 26 267 34 266 38 267 6768 5608 28 279 25 273 29 246 37 263 5608 4584 29 289 25 280 27 239 37 250 4584 3684 27 297 22 279 24 233 39 243 3684 2890 23 302 18*271 23 229 37 237 2890 2181 20 300 13*253 22 227 37 232 2181 1554 18 294 12 245 20 225 37 225 1554 1033 15*286 12 243 18 221 34 220 1033 633 11*281 11 241 16 217 29 216 633 360 10 279 11 241 13 214 21 213 360 193 8 278 10 240 10 211 18*212 193 99 7 277 8 240 6*209 9*211 99 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography