DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/06 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.1 - - 69.4 - - 64.0 - - 63.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 21 - - 22 - - -2 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 759 - - 724 - - 791 - - 327 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 83 - - 83 - - 82 - - 83 Hcrit BL Top - - - 839 - - 804 - - 871 - - 407 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1464 - - 1519 - - 1444 - - 1512 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 110 - - 107 - - 58 - - 38 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 4 - - 14 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 188 - - 280 - - 334 - - 355 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 2 - - 10 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 376 - - 423 - - 357 - - -190 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 463 - - 381 - - 514 - - 598 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 28 - - 195 - - -24 - - -3852 ODpotential blCL - - - 811 - - 609 - - 895 - - 4259 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 1390 - - 770 - - 370 - - 230 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.1 - - 69.4 - - 64.0 - - 63.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 68.9 - - 67.6 - - 61.8 - - 60.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.2 - - 69.3 - - 64.3 - - 63.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 68.6 - - 67.2 - - 61.6 - - 60.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 21 - - 22 - - -2 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 759 - - 724 - - 791 - - 327 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 - - 54 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 14 - - 12 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96602 80 244 95 248 93 253 87 247 96602 89328 55 246 57 253 61 252 56 254 89328 83778 30 260 33 251 37 257 36 256 83778 79204 18 278 20 261 23 260 26 266 79204 75275 12 270 16 266 15 258 18 265 75275 71809 10 247 10 263 10 248 13 237 71809 68670 6 276 11 262 13 255 16 256 68670 65778 13 299 15 260 14 243 17 257 65778 63082 17 272 18 266 19 256 19 277 63082 60463 13 249 27 258 28 256 30 258 60463 57736 26 265 26 245 31 245 28 245 57736 54909 30 248 30 248 31 255 38 264 54909 52227 35 256 41 256 46 265 48 254 52227 49818 56 258 52 259 57 255 51 251 49818 47642 66 249 59 251 64 247 57 250 47642 45657 64 249 66 249 65 246 62 245 45657 43835 66 257 75 250 71 249 65 245 43835 42151 72 260 81 250 79 248 76 248 42151 40584 72 261 82 251 81 247 89 247 40584 39115 71 262 83 251 83 249 100 247 39115 37731 69 258 84 249 85 249 108 248 37731 36387 68 255 83 246 83 245 111 246 36387 35015 63 254 80 244 81 244 107 245 35015 33586 56 252 73 241 75 244 91 244 33586 32108 51 247 63 233 63 238 72 240 32108 30571 46 241 59 225 56 226 61 232 30571 28959 43 236 58 223 55 218 59 224 28959 27266 40 231 52 223 56 214 56 225 27266 25488 40 233 53 225 55 219 51 223 25488 23626 42 228 50 226 51 229 48 221 23626 21680 48 234 48 231 52 235 47 219 21680 19646 49 234 44 237 52 237 49 215 19646 17520 46 224 38 236 52 240 48 218 17520 15345 41 210 33 222 49 234 48 216 15345 13250 36 209 35 210 47 218 47 209 13250 11342 30 205 35 207 41 203 44 209 11342 9646 27 204 34 207 34 192 41 220 9646 8144 28 207 32 205 26 183 31 232 8144 6814 27 204 27 200 17 175 25 231 6814 5637 27 202 22 202 2 187 18 228 5637 4598 26 208 17 207 9 325 12 248 4598 3687 26 213 14 211 13 328 13 258 3687 2885 25 211 12 214 17 334 11 277 2885 2173 24 207 7 227 21 339 11 323 2173 1548 23 203 6 247 21 337 14 345 1548 1030 19*195 5*270 20*335 13 355 1030 633 15*190 4*276 18*334 11*356 633 360 13 188 4 281 15 333 9*356 360 194 11 187 4 283 13 333 7 355 194 99 8 186 3 284 8 333 4 353 99 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography