DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/06 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 65.5 - - 65.3 - - 56.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 130 - - 11 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3622 - - 3157 - - 18 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2114 - - 82 - - 82 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3702 - - 3237 - - 98 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1054 - - 1131 - - 277 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 329 - - 164 - - 10 W* B/S - - - - - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 8 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 015 - - 030 - - 080 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - -5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1670 - - -2047 - - -1934 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5372 - - 5284 - - 2032 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -12436 - - -12476 - - -11697 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 16138 - - 15713 - - 11795 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 53 - - 57 - - 51 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 65.5 - - 65.3 - - 56.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 42.5 - - 42.8 - - 48.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 64.7 - - 65.4 - - 59.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 41.3 - - 41.6 - - 47.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 130 - - 11 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3622 - - 3157 - - 18 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98124 12 230 26 261 22 279 98124 90744 13 246 15 251 19 271 90744 85020 16 247 11 248 16 266 85020 80258 11 253 12 259 12 243 80258 76154 11 294 9 268 9 254 76154 72546 14 293 10 269 11 302 72546 69303 16 281 13 274 14 305 69303 66332 17 269 18 272 16 270 66332 63582 18 282 21 266 17 266 63582 60923 22 278 23 267 21 276 60923 58169 28 271 30 272 31 278 58169 55338 37 269 41 267 39 273 55338 52649 49 265 48 262 47 266 52649 50230 58 260 56 259 58 260 50230 48054 64 257 62 258 66 254 48054 46071 67 258 67 259 70 251 46071 44251 65 257 69 259 73 252 44251 42568 61 253 67 258 76 253 42568 40996 57 254 62 256 76 251 40996 39519 53 256 61 254 71 249 39519 38123 49 256 59 250 66 249 38123 36767 46 254 55 249 65 251 36767 35379 44 250 51 251 65 253 35379 33931 38 248 47 251 57 255 33931 32428 31 254 42 249 47 255 32428 30853 28 254 35 241 43 255 30853 29200 28 248 31 238 37 253 29200 27472 29 243 28 244 32 252 27472 25667 29 253 24 257 25 253 25667 23780 28 273 23 270 21 254 23780 21808 28 278 28 280 22 263 21808 19739 29 270 28 279 24 268 19739 17569 24 264 29 272 26 274 17569 15355 19 266 26 276 23 284 15355 13231 19 266 21 282 20 290 13231 11305 16 262 18 279 19 288 11305 9598 12 262 11 282 14 281 9598 8089 9 287 7 295 7 279 8089 6757 12 322 8 329 6 320 6757 5581 11 344 8 338 9 342 5581 4551 7*351 6 343 8 323 4551 3652 7*010 6*005 7 323 3652 2863 8 013 6*019 5 349 2863 2160 8 015 6 025 5 030 2160 1540 8 016 6 030 6 062 1540 1024 8 016 6 033 8 073 1024 629 8 016 5 035 9 077 629 357 7 017 5 037 9 078 357 192 7 017 5 038 8 080 192 98 6 017 4 038 4*080 98 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography