DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/09 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.7 - - 91.1 - - 92.1 - - 85.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 105 - - 169 - - 53 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1189 - - 4809 - - 5854 - - 21 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 84 - - 3130 - - 3056 - - 84 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1269 - - 4889 - - 5934 - - 101 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1028 - - 3009 - - 2706 - - 5281 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 215 - - 393 - - 298 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 8 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 9 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 250 - - 255 - - 250 - - 217 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1420 - - 276 - - 755 - - -2539 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2689 - - 4614 - - 5180 - - 2640 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3513 - - -952 - - -181 - - -4166 ODpotential blCL - - - 4782 - - 5841 - - 6115 - - 4267 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 83 - - 79 - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 1770 - - 2070 - - 1880 - - 2900 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.7 - - 91.1 - - 92.1 - - 85.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 73.0 - - 71.1 - - 69.7 - - 74.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.1 - - 90.1 - - 91.8 - - 87.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 72.0 - - 70.1 - - 68.9 - - 74.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 105 - - 169 - - 53 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1189 - - 4809 - - 5854 - - 21 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 54 - - 33 - - 16 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 17 - - 14 - - 14 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99312 32 090 32 089 26 081 32 071 99312 91836 29 081 28 090 32 082 30 080 91836 86074 25 094 25 091 25 084 27 087 86074 81286 25 091 23 090 21 095 19 089 81286 77157 23 078 19 090 19 097 13 098 77157 73512 18 076 15 095 14 092 12 089 73512 70210 13 077 13 100 9 091 11 080 70210 67175 8 067 12 105 5 104 9 064 67175 64376 6 068 10 107 6 132 4 080 64376 61680 6 123 5 140 4 181 3 350 61680 58881 7 137 3 237 4 212 7 280 58881 56003 2 280 5 278 4 259 8 241 56003 53294 10 282 8 258 12 274 13 258 53294 50882 16 278 15 257 19 264 19 275 50882 48720 18 267 19 260 22 260 19 267 48720 46744 19 264 21 263 23 267 22 256 46744 44922 23 254 24 256 26 252 28 255 44922 43237 24 249 27 247 30 247 32 252 43237 41668 24 255 28 247 30 249 31 246 41668 40191 26 259 30 250 33 256 31 249 40191 38792 26 259 31 245 36 254 32 252 38792 37430 24 253 30 241 35 245 32 252 37430 36037 22 248 27 245 32 238 31 250 36037 34582 20 244 27 251 30 246 30 249 34582 33067 19 238 27 247 29 251 29 250 33067 31476 22 236 28 241 29 252 29 255 31476 29797 22 238 29 241 30 253 31 265 29797 28034 22 241 29 249 31 256 33 269 28034 26189 23 255 29 258 31 258 25 259 26189 24260 25 263 31 265 29 269 23 264 24260 22251 26 261 30 269 28 278 21 273 22251 20161 26 256 26 268 24 281 15 272 20161 17985 23 262 21 271 18 284 12 268 17985 15769 21 278 17 275 16 280 12 252 15769 13637 19 286 15 271 17 280 12 281 13637 11702 17 282 15 276 17 281 11 307 11702 9983 14 279 17 283 14 283 9 296 9983 8455 11 272 17 282 14 278 7 289 8455 7096 9 269 13 271 14*274 6 290 7096 5888 7 284 11*265 13*264 7 284 5888 4817 7 307 10*260 13 253 9 274 4817 3873 8 315 10 258 12 251 11 261 3873 3039 6 313 10 257 12 249 13 245 3039 2294 7 291 9 254 12 247 14 237 2294 1635 9*266 9 253 12 247 15 232 1635 1086 8*253 9 251 11 246 15 228 1086 666 8 251 8 250 11 245 14 225 666 376 7 250 8 250 10 244 12 222 376 201 6 248 7 250 9 245 9*220 201 101 5 248 6 248 7 244 5*217 101 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography