DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/24 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0702z - - 1001z - - 1555z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.7 - - 63.5 - - 61.3 - - 54.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 62 - - 16 - - 6 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4648 - - 5767 - - 2859 - - 18 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2216 - - 82 - - 82 - - 82 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4728 - - 5847 - - 2939 - - 98 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1161 - - 1037 - - 2934 - - 1434 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 277 - - 201 - - 120 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 12 - - 13 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 065 - - 067 - - 045 - - 042 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2003 - - 1280 - - -354 - - -1150 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2725 - - 4568 - - 3293 - - 1248 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 638 - - 890 - - -1122 - - -3002 ODpotential blCL - - - 4090 - - 4957 - - 4061 - - 3100 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 100 - - 99 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 70 - - 40 - - 20 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.7 - - 63.5 - - 61.3 - - 54.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.6 - - 44.3 - - 47.7 - - 49.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.6 - - 63.5 - - 61.5 - - 56.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.8 - - 43.6 - - 47.4 - - 49.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 62 - - 16 - - 6 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4648 - - 5767 - - 2859 - - 18 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 72 - - 102 - - 97 - - 6 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97472 23 245 31 264 24 289 14 259 97472 90172 8 212 13 252 19 278 11 311 90172 84560 4 059 4 155 12 233 13 292 84560 79919 5 359 5 077 6 176 10 281 79919 75930 3 345 6 018 2 110 4 221 75930 72398 1 162 4 011 1 049 2 007 72398 69204 1 031 3 064 5 002 11 009 69204 66276 4 011 2 054 7 333 13 355 66276 63562 9 355 7 345 9 311 9 324 63562 60936 10 313 12 322 8 306 7 304 60936 58186 17 307 17 300 16 310 11 316 58186 55324 24 285 23 278 25 298 20 292 55324 52581 28 296 26 298 32 301 21 291 52581 50105 41 286 38 289 44 291 37 300 50105 47879 37 283 35 281 41 286 44 291 47879 45848 33 293 32 290 33 288 35 291 45848 43977 38 302 35 304 29 302 28 298 43977 42242 40 304 38 310 32 321 26 321 42242 40629 38 307 39 311 40 327 36 334 40629 39122 32 311 36 310 41 327 41 333 39122 37704 26 318 29 308 36 326 37 330 37704 36336 22 325 21 301 30 325 30 327 36336 34949 18 336 16 302 26 322 26 324 34949 33513 16 347 16 303 22 320 24 324 33513 32031 14 338 15 299 21 318 25 327 32031 30488 13 335 13 295 18 310 25 321 30488 28871 11 330 10 300 16 297 21 313 28871 27175 8 311 10 308 15 280 16 289 27175 25398 8 312 9 295 14 269 16 280 25398 23538 9 323 10 296 13 276 14 291 23538 21598 9 338 9 315 11 293 11 307 21598 19568 8 349 8 328 10 320 8 339 19568 17442 9 003 8 349 8 340 6 012 17442 15261 7 004 5 360 6 345 4 008 15261 13151 5 059 5 103 3 087 2 104 13151 11232 9 078 10 112 7 115 3 152 11232 9533 12 056 11 114 9 099 8 100 9533 8033 11 043 11 106 13 107 8 106 8033 6714 13 044 12*096 14 131 7 144 6714 5556 17*073 12*092 12 120 9 119 5556 4538 19*074 12 078 10 091 13 098 4538 3644 19 073 13 069 13*056 15 083 3644 2856 18 071 13 064 14*051 16 072 2856 2154 17 067 13 061 14 047 18 064 2154 1535 15 057 13 059 14 045 18 057 1535 1020 13 051 13 058 14 044 18 055 1020 626 13 049 12 057 13 043 16 053 626 356 12 047 12 056 12 043 13 050 356 192 11 046 10 055 11 043 10 048 192 98 8 046 8 055 8 042 5*042 98 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography