DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/19 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.4 - - 80.8 - - 74.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 199 - - 104 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4510 - - 3658 - - 20 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2960 - - 1940 - - 83 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4590 - - 3738 - - 100 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2100 - - 2238 - - 3493 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 398 - - 298 - - 11 W* B/S - - - - - - 9 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 8 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 035 - - 068 - - 087 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -6 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 152 - - -662 - - -2419 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4438 - - 4400 - - 2520 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -353 - - -1606 - - -4271 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4943 - - 5344 - - 4371 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 88 - - 86 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 40 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.4 - - 80.8 - - 74.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 62.3 - - 62.0 - - 63.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 80.2 - - 80.2 - - 75.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 61.4 - - 61.5 - - 63.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 199 - - 104 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4510 - - 3658 - - 20 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 54 - - 45 - - 10 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 11 - - 11 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98213 13 071 5 083 7 036 98213 90864 13 081 11 064 12 051 90864 85207 11 089 9 018 16 032 85207 80504 8 076 5 015 9 011 80504 76448 5 030 4 004 8 341 76448 72875 5 355 4 334 7 310 72875 69639 8 349 10 300 9 310 69639 66668 13 336 13 290 12 316 66668 63935 11 324 12 300 13 306 63935 61300 12 328 15 321 13 294 61300 58566 13 311 17 316 14 301 58566 55764 11 286 17 295 15 308 55764 53115 11 302 14 285 15 303 53115 50734 13 312 11 282 14 274 50734 48596 11 283 12 279 13 260 48596 46649 10 253 11 245 11 248 46649 44858 6 221 12 225 11 218 44858 43197 0 006 8 199 13 193 43197 41638 3 233 5 167 11 160 41638 40165 5 226 1 156 11 157 40165 38765 7 258 2 260 12 165 38765 37401 6 284 6 290 8 169 37401 36004 3 218 4 228 9 186 36004 34543 12 179 10 218 10 212 34543 33023 10 190 13 199 14 206 33023 31428 8 192 13 214 18 201 31428 29744 8 196 13 244 14 238 29744 27971 9 192 15 249 14 257 27971 26114 8 197 14 229 12 252 26114 24181 4 227 14 218 15 240 24181 22171 8 217 18 228 20 246 22171 20073 14 237 19 246 22 273 20073 17881 15 281 13 283 14 290 17881 15646 16 319 11 309 7 299 15646 13494 13 329 9 345 7 310 13494 11537 12 347 9 350 11 334 11537 9803 8 358 7 008 16 346 9803 8273 7 325 10 314 14 333 8273 6925 7 311 11 300 13 306 6925 5736 5 360 8 312 7 311 5736 4685 6*020 3 020 2 355 4685 3761 7*033 5*062 6 091 3761 2950 8 035 9*070 11 099 2950 2226 8 036 10 069 15 097 2226 1588 9 036 10 068 15 095 1588 1055 9 035 11 067 15 094 1055 647 9 035 11 066 14 092 647 367 8 035 10 066 12 090 367 197 8 034 9 066 9*089 197 100 7 034 8 065 5*087 100 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography