DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/28 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1553z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.1 - - 67.7 - - 64.6 - - 58.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 92 - - 132 - - 7 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1865 - - 3631 - - 1820 - - 19 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 540 - - 2064 - - 82 - - 82 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1945 - - 3711 - - 1900 - - 99 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1568 - - 648 - - 2418 - - 1088 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 231 - - 319 - - 101 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 10 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 059 - - 067 - - 061 - - 058 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -3 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 118 - - 460 - - -558 - - -857 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1827 - - 3251 - - 2458 - - 956 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -603 - - 354 - - -903 - - -2702 ODpotential blCL - - - 2548 - - 3357 - - 2803 - - 2801 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 99 - - 100 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.1 - - 67.7 - - 64.6 - - 58.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.8 - - 54.1 - - 54.6 - - 55.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.7 - - 67.1 - - 64.7 - - 60.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.0 - - 53.7 - - 54.4 - - 55.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 92 - - 132 - - 7 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1865 - - 3631 - - 1820 - - 19 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 54 - - 97 - - 102 - - 20 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97044 43 249 58 249 56 256 58 259 97044 89790 30 249 33 244 41 256 44 256 89790 84191 25 229 24 231 32 252 31 249 84191 79565 14 216 15 230 22 243 22 258 79565 75588 9 253 9 252 14 222 18 244 75588 72093 13 263 8 263 11 217 14 242 72093 68947 15 247 14 253 13 262 16 255 68947 66066 18 259 17 249 22 265 20 258 66066 63403 23 269 21 245 20 248 21 246 63403 60814 29 246 22 245 23 246 24 249 60814 58100 31 239 32 247 30 246 33 252 58100 55278 44 242 42 248 41 246 38 256 55278 52576 58 242 58 244 52 249 51 255 52576 50143 69 238 67 236 62 240 60 247 50143 47969 70 236 69 231 66 235 64 243 47969 46007 63 231 69 230 68 232 67 241 46007 44218 52 228 62 227 66 227 67 241 44218 42564 46 238 52 229 61 224 68 240 42564 41018 47 244 51 232 57 228 67 239 41018 39558 41 244 51 233 57 235 65 241 39558 38174 35 244 49 238 57 237 60 238 38174 36830 29 245 41 238 52 239 56 236 36830 35461 31 269 29 238 47 238 53 235 35461 34036 32 280 28 236 42 239 51 235 34036 32554 27 285 28 240 39 237 42 243 32554 30996 21 282 29 247 38 241 41 250 30996 29351 22 277 26 253 32 249 38 256 29351 27620 22 267 22 256 32 259 40 253 27620 25806 17 254 25 261 33 261 38 249 25806 23907 20 254 25 261 29 260 33 255 23907 21920 18 249 20 249 19 247 24 249 21920 19842 15 235 18 236 18 247 15 235 19842 17672 12 218 14 220 16 244 10 240 17672 15464 8 230 11 213 13 235 9 236 15464 13337 3 238 7 194 8 227 7 217 13337 11401 1 314 4 168 3 198 4 207 11401 9680 4 000 1 066 4 071 3 127 9680 8158 7 049 5 044 6 075 6 078 8158 6813 8 075 6 078 4 106 7 054 6813 5626 7 120 7 100 7 159 5 011 5626 4585 10 145 7*105 6 145 1 267 4585 3677 9 093 8*090 6 105 3 141 3677 2882 12 073 9 079 8 075 5 104 2882 2173 15*065 11 065 11*065 8 088 2173 1548 15*062 12 063 12*062 13 086 1548 1029 14 060 12 061 12 061 14 083 1029 631 13 059 12 060 12 060 13 079 631 358 12 058 11 060 11 059 11 073 358 193 11 057 10 060 10 058 9*068 193 99 8 056 8 059 7 057 4*058 99 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography