DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/02 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 85.1 - - 78.8 - - 78.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 87 - - 22 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2096 - - 929 - - 20 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 894 - - 84 - - 84 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2176 - - 1009 - - 100 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3861 - - 1957 - - 3282 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 255 - - 120 - - 18 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 20 - - 13 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 181 - - 185 - - 186 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 9 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - -3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 31 - - 403 - - -664 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2145 - - 606 - - 764 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -868 - - -39 - - -1308 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3044 - - 1048 - - 1408 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 99 - - 100 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 2140 - - 1640 - - 1240 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 85.1 - - 78.8 - - 78.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 75.4 - - 75.7 - - 74.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 84.6 - - 78.9 - - 79.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 74.5 - - 75.5 - - 74.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 87 - - 22 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2096 - - 929 - - 20 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 97 - - 100 - - 86 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 18 - - 19 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99263 41 098 28 093 31 070 99263 91794 37 090 34 089 31 078 91794 86054 35 082 35 080 32 081 86054 81293 33 081 32 077 32 074 81293 77192 31 086 26 082 27 071 77192 73563 25 079 21 089 20 080 73563 70277 18 075 17 092 15 092 70277 67259 14 092 15 083 12 098 67259 64465 14 105 13 082 8 096 64465 61769 12 111 11 097 7 115 61769 58967 8 107 8 103 11 128 58967 56071 6 127 3 125 12 121 56071 53336 8 167 8 192 5 153 53336 50914 15 178 16 193 11 201 50914 48764 18 185 20 196 17 208 48764 46813 19 184 20 198 23 208 46813 45015 17 179 19 190 23 203 45015 43335 14 185 19 194 19 213 43335 41755 17 199 21 214 21 220 41755 40262 22 215 24 217 23 221 40262 38848 24 214 26 210 22 219 38848 37472 24 209 27 207 22 218 37472 36065 24 203 25 206 27 214 36065 34596 22 199 22 210 28 212 34596 33068 23 211 23 211 28 209 33068 31466 28 221 24 211 27 202 31466 29777 27 214 25 213 26 208 29777 28004 24 200 26 212 26 219 28004 26146 25 202 26 210 23 218 26146 24206 25 199 25 209 20 207 24206 22189 24 201 25 203 22 198 22189 20090 25 208 27 199 24 194 20090 17904 25 209 30 196 24 185 17904 15681 24 206 35 196 27 183 15681 13548 22 202 33 197 31 185 13548 11607 22 200 26 200 32 194 11607 9879 20 195 22 197 29 211 9879 8348 19 192 22 197 26 208 8348 6993 20 190 21 203 28 204 6993 5795 21 188 22 202 30 204 5795 4735 22 187 24 200 31 205 4735 3804 22 185 26 197 34 203 3804 2984 22 184 26 195 32 199 2984 2252 22*183 25 193 30 197 2252 1606 21*182 23 191 28 196 1606 1068 21 182 19*188 23 192 1068 655 20 181 16*185 20 190 655 371 19 181 14 185 16 188 371 199 16 181 12 184 14 187 199 100 12 180 9 184 9*186 100 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography