DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/15 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 38.8 - - 37.0 - - 32.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 327 - - 103 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4376 - - 5230 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3052 - - 3010 - - 80 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4456 - - 5310 - - 96 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 935 - - 779 - - 6460 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 454 - - 328 - - 7 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 15 - - 20 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 278 - - 284 - - 286 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 3 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2791 - - -971 - - -5217 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7247 - - 6282 - - 5314 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -10638 - - -8170 - - -5766 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 15094 - - 13480 - - 5862 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 56 - - 79 - - 40 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 38.8 - - 37.0 - - 32.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 6.7 - - 9.3 - - 9.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 37.4 - - 36.7 - - 33.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 6.6 - - 9.1 - - 8.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 327 - - 103 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4376 - - 5230 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 15 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95726 48 267 47 258 52 261 95726 88831 27 264 28 272 24 294 88831 83519 19 269 21 265 17 287 83519 79051 13 274 18 275 14 272 79051 75123 12 270 17 269 18 270 75123 71602 12 256 13 261 17 266 71602 68393 13 264 12 265 15 270 68393 65419 21 259 16 265 17 278 65419 62632 25 240 26 267 24 275 62632 59904 34 249 37 249 30 264 59904 57033 41 234 38 235 39 248 57033 54040 43 227 41 235 49 238 54040 51180 54 233 56 237 53 232 51180 48606 70 228 65 229 51 229 48606 46295 74 219 63 223 50 227 46295 44197 68 219 60 220 52 226 44197 42275 71 225 62 217 57 224 42275 40504 83 224 67 216 63 221 40504 38860 94 219 78 217 65 219 38860 37326 103 215 92 214 67 218 37326 35887 113 214 103 211 70 216 35887 34504 125 214 111 208 76 212 34504 33107 132 210 115 205 84 207 33107 31665 136 208 118 204 90 203 31665 30181 138 209 123 203 94 202 30181 28643 144 210 131 201 99 200 28643 27039 150 207 140 199 104 196 27039 25373 148 204 143 197 110 192 25373 23643 143 204 142 196 115 191 23643 21849 142 206 138 196 106 192 21849 19997 116 209 122 200 89 197 19997 18088 85 214 93 205 78 202 18088 16104 71 215 76 210 69 207 16104 14082 62 216 66 214 62 213 14082 12135 56 220 59 218 52 221 12135 10374 53 226 52 225 40 235 10374 8821 48 230 43 239 32 248 8821 7450 41 235 33 251 23 259 7450 6247 34 238 21*266 23 284 6247 5187 18*251 20*280 24 289 5187 4246 15*272 20 282 24 290 4246 3416 15 275 20 283 24 291 3416 2683 16 277 20 284 23 293 2683 2028 16 279 20 285 23 294 2028 1448 16 280 20 285 21 293 1448 965 15 281 20 286 19 292 965 594 15 282 19 286 16 290 594 339 14 282 18 286 12 288 339 185 13 282 16 286 10 287 185 96 10 282 12 286 6*286 96 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography