DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/22 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.0 - - 64.2 - - 58.6 - - 53.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -6 - - 25 - - 20 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 298 - - 868 - - 799 - - 983 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 83 - - 83 - - 82 - - 82 Hcrit BL Top - - - 378 - - 948 - - 879 - - 1063 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 921 - - 1484 - - 1269 - - 879 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 34 - - 117 - - 107 - - 49 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 8 - - 15 - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 247 - - 310 - - 359 - - 014 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 4 - - 7 - - 9 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -2 - - 3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -119 - - 365 - - 401 - - 413 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 497 - - 583 - - 478 - - 650 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2999 - - 139 - - 203 - - 31 ODpotential blCL - - - 3377 - - 809 - - 676 - - 1032 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 300 - - 320 - - 10 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.0 - - 64.2 - - 58.6 - - 53.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 60.9 - - 61.7 - - 56.7 - - 51.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.5 - - 64.2 - - 58.6 - - 54.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 60.7 - - 61.4 - - 56.4 - - 50.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -6 - - 25 - - 20 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 298 - - 868 - - 799 - - 983 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 92 - - 101 - - 101 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 12 - - 10 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95932 43 252 39 268 44 256 43 248 95932 88915 27 256 25 259 27 268 26 257 88915 83490 22 274 22 257 27 267 24 268 83490 78964 22 268 23 253 27 268 26 274 78964 75072 17 265 18 245 25 268 22 265 75072 71624 17 288 18 277 21 269 23 279 71624 68506 24 279 20 281 20 287 21 283 68506 65648 19 260 20 269 22 288 20 292 65648 62988 21 289 19 276 22 274 28 280 62988 60394 35 301 27 285 28 264 30 272 60394 57679 41 286 37 280 36 269 38 273 57679 54865 40 272 49 279 43 268 49 263 54865 52174 46 271 53 272 51 268 55 259 52174 49729 51 268 54 263 60 263 59 259 49729 47509 50 264 53 256 59 256 62 258 47509 45473 49 264 53 254 57 254 69 259 45473 43596 51 267 56 253 59 256 78 260 43596 41858 57 269 61 254 66 259 84 259 41858 40244 66 265 72 257 78 261 88 258 40244 38743 74 261 84 255 89 257 87 256 38743 37345 78 256 87 252 89 254 78 262 37345 36001 77 253 81 253 89 260 79 265 36001 34637 76 253 79 260 93 263 82 267 34637 33221 82 253 87 262 95 261 83 270 33221 31755 87 251 93 258 92 259 82 270 31755 30223 88 251 93 254 85 259 75 267 30223 28614 83 252 88 252 78 260 65 265 28614 26933 76 254 82 253 68 263 49 264 26933 25175 75 254 77 253 60 267 33 267 25175 23334 71 251 73 253 57 270 29 272 23334 21408 68 251 70 253 60 269 30 269 21408 19392 64 254 67 254 63 267 32 266 19392 17282 62 257 64 253 60 266 36 265 17282 15124 55 254 58 251 51 264 40 262 15124 13041 51 251 50 248 46 266 39 266 13041 11151 43 253 45 251 38 265 34 269 11151 9479 36 254 39 256 38 267 30 270 9479 8002 32 256 33 256 30 269 27 266 8002 6694 31 257 28 258 21 267 26 274 6694 5538 28 259 24 265 15 263 24 283 5538 4516 25 266 20 273 10 262 17 295 4516 3617 24 276 17 289 7 280 15 307 3617 2828 23 283 16 304 8 336 14 344 2828 2129 23 279 15 309 14 354 16 011 2129 1517 23 267 14 309 17 359 16*012 1517 1009 20 256 12*309 18*359 15*013 1009 620 15*250 10*310 17*359 14 014 620 353 12*247 9 310 16 359 12 015 353 191 10 246 8 310 14 359 10 015 191 98 6 246 6 310 10 360 7 015 98 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography