DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/16 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 79.7 - - 81.6 - - 73.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 215 - - 86 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3757 - - 3663 - - 20 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2425 - - 1802 - - 83 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3837 - - 3743 - - 100 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 595 - - 943 - - 3020 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 382 - - 281 - - 7 W* B/S - - - - - - 29 - - 18 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 153 - - 146 - - 184 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1050 - - -1817 - - -3108 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4887 - - 5560 - - 3209 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -7631 - - -7858 - - -10281 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 11468 - - 11601 - - 10381 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 73 - - 66 - - 57 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 79.7 - - 81.6 - - 73.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 59.0 - - 58.0 - - 60.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 78.4 - - 80.9 - - 76.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 58.0 - - 57.3 - - 60.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 215 - - 86 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3757 - - 3663 - - 20 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99052 18 108 18 118 10 084 99052 91653 19 084 14 082 10 068 91653 85932 21 091 10 067 12 067 85932 81178 19 094 9 067 15 061 81178 77079 16 097 8 077 15 054 77079 73462 15 097 12 108 10 056 73462 70193 14 098 15 102 10 084 70193 67189 12 092 15 095 10 101 67189 64417 9 098 8 082 9 104 64417 61751 6 100 4 019 7 087 61751 58997 7 101 3 332 5 060 58997 56162 10 057 7 016 10 041 56162 53474 14 048 14 010 22 003 53474 51081 23 071 19 053 18 007 51081 48951 35 047 30 057 7 023 48951 47015 33 029 34 044 30 066 47015 45233 22 024 30 041 34 061 45233 43571 20 018 29 030 27 051 43571 42008 24 017 28 021 26 047 42008 40530 24 016 23 024 27 050 40530 39124 23 004 20 019 27 053 39124 37751 21 356 20 013 25 052 37751 36344 19 347 19 019 22 048 36344 34873 18 356 19 022 20 039 34873 33342 16 009 19 021 22 027 33342 31735 19 025 19 018 24 023 31735 30039 19 024 19 015 24 023 30039 28255 19 017 18 019 21 023 28255 26382 19 014 17 015 17 024 26382 24424 18 011 19 356 17 016 24424 22383 19 359 19 350 17 002 22383 20259 17 003 19 356 15 360 20259 18049 12 016 16 360 13 005 18049 15800 9 010 14 352 15 010 15800 13636 11 003 14 352 18 007 13636 11671 16 012 17 359 21 004 11671 9925 22 022 20 011 22 006 9925 8374 24 028 21 026 23 013 8374 6997 23 029 23 035 22 022 6997 5781 17 023 20 042 17 052 5781 4711 6*034 6 063 12 058 4711 3779 2*142 3*124 1 124 3779 2963 2 149 3*132 4 191 2963 2236 2 154 3 142 4 193 2236 1593 3 154 3 144 5 190 1593 1059 3 157 3 149 5 181 1059 649 2 158 3 153 6 178 649 368 2 159 2 156 5 178 368 197 2 160 2 156 4*181 197 100 2 160 2 155 3*184 100 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography