DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/26 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.4 - - 65.9 - - 64.8 - - 59.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 1 - - 8 - - -39 - - -52 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 465 - - 1238 - - 19 - - 19 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 83 - - 83 - - 83 - - 82 Hcrit BL Top - - - 545 - - 1318 - - 99 - - 99 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1210 - - 2234 - - 4517 - - 495 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 46 - - 108 - - 19 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 17 - - 8 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 204 - - 226 - - 245 - - 224 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -3 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -316 - - 438 - - -1035 - - -784 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 861 - - 880 - - 1134 - - 883 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2443 - - 16 - - -1905 - - -3155 ODpotential blCL - - - 2988 - - 1302 - - 2004 - - 3254 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 98 - - 82 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 170 - - 70 - - 80 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.4 - - 65.9 - - 64.8 - - 59.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 61.8 - - 62.1 - - 60.0 - - 56.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.7 - - 66.0 - - 66.4 - - 62.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 61.6 - - 61.6 - - 59.4 - - 56.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 1 - - 8 - - -39 - - -52 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 465 - - 1238 - - 19 - - 19 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 79 - - 94 - - 28 - - 6 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 12 - - 11 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95732 34 267 31 288 26 267 24 277 95732 88762 16 271 25 287 21 287 20 265 88762 83393 8 276 14 266 18 283 12 269 83393 78916 7 289 10 224 16 289 7 288 78916 75017 8 266 14 216 17 249 14 284 75017 71549 10 228 14 203 18 219 17 251 71549 68392 17 213 14 212 22 205 18 246 68392 65472 21 216 23 247 28 236 30 233 65472 62778 35 231 40 229 33 226 38 234 62778 60187 37 225 39 226 36 233 44 236 60187 57478 39 241 50 241 50 240 55 240 57478 54644 61 244 63 240 67 239 67 238 54644 51916 73 237 73 236 76 237 77 236 51916 49448 69 234 79 235 82 236 87 236 49448 47231 69 242 82 235 85 235 93 233 47231 45212 79 246 83 236 87 236 94 232 45212 43366 84 244 87 240 90 238 98 234 43366 41674 85 237 95 242 96 242 105 237 41674 40114 83 233 101 241 104 243 111 240 40114 38661 85 237 103 239 112 242 115 240 38661 37297 87 238 106 239 115 241 116 239 37297 35978 85 235 105 237 110 239 118 238 35978 34633 81 233 101 234 107 236 117 236 34633 33229 79 234 97 232 104 234 115 235 33229 31770 78 235 94 230 102 233 113 234 31770 30241 76 234 91 229 100 231 110 233 30241 28634 75 232 90 230 99 230 98 234 28634 26955 73 231 86 230 96 228 87 235 26955 25196 71 232 79 230 91 229 85 235 25196 23353 73 235 75 232 84 231 81 235 23353 21427 74 237 72 232 77 233 75 237 21427 19414 66 237 68 230 70 231 69 240 19414 17308 55 230 66 227 63 233 65 240 17308 15153 56 222 65 228 57 235 64 242 15153 13079 54 226 63 231 55 236 58 242 13079 11199 48 229 62 231 55 236 52 239 11199 9533 44 233 59 230 52 238 49 236 9533 8057 47 227 55 228 47 241 46 240 8057 6749 54 226 52 227 41 244 43 247 6749 5595 46 224 54 232 36 244 36 258 5595 4577 44 225 41 235 32 244 35 264 4577 3680 42 228 32 235 31 245 34 263 3680 2888 39 228 30 235 30 246 32 257 2888 2179 38 224 28 235 28 247 32 250 2179 1554 34 219 25*231 26 248 32 244 1554 1033 26 211 21*228 23 248 30 239 1033 633 21*207 19 226 20 247 27 235 633 359 18*205 16 225 16 247 19 229 359 193 15 204 14 224 13 246 16*228 193 99 10 203 10 224 8*245 8*224 99 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography