DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/16 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 34.8 - - 45.4 - - 45.9 - - 35.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 102 - - 171 - - -6 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 595 - - 2145 - - 1556 - - 17 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 80 - - 1124 - - 81 - - 81 Hcrit BL Top - - - 675 - - 2225 - - 1636 - - 97 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 353 - - 716 - - 1443 - - 97 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 158 - - 288 - - 49 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 249 - - 247 - - 208 - - 175 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5036 - - -5534 - - -5311 - - -2955 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5712 - - 7759 - - 6947 - - 3053 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -18938 - - -18224 - - -18867 - - -18656 ODpotential blCL - - - 19613 - - 20449 - - 20503 - - 18753 blCL maxRH - - - 39 - - 35 - - 35 - - 43 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 34.8 - - 45.4 - - 45.9 - - 35.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 10.9 - - 12.2 - - 16.4 - - 22.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 34.4 - - 44.3 - - 46.4 - - 37.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 10.3 - - 11.4 - - 15.7 - - 22.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 102 - - 171 - - -6 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 595 - - 2145 - - 1556 - - 17 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95548 76 263 81 264 78 269 71 275 95548 88798 55 275 50 277 50 273 55 266 88798 83490 38 279 36 281 37 277 42 264 83490 78979 34 271 34 273 39 286 37 287 78979 75055 34 288 35 281 38 287 33 295 75055 71590 39 294 32 289 28 275 26 275 71590 68448 39 286 31 289 27 285 27 283 68448 65553 40 286 35 279 33 289 33 286 65553 62861 42 274 37 273 33 282 31 284 62861 60245 38 280 41 281 35 287 30 291 60245 57508 47 293 52 286 43 283 35 289 57508 54650 56 287 55 282 46 280 41 282 54650 51903 43 284 48 278 48 282 40 280 51903 49419 40 282 42 276 47 276 39 279 49419 47183 40 281 41 286 41 277 39 275 47183 45147 51 295 49 296 42 292 39 279 45147 43292 61 292 60 291 50 294 39 290 43292 41605 64 279 60 277 55 290 46 296 41605 40059 47 277 43 276 48 284 35 296 40059 38632 43 300 41 292 45 305 33 312 38632 37299 51 311 48 307 49 309 36 312 37299 36005 52 313 53 313 45 307 36 313 36005 34681 52 322 50 318 40 307 34 316 34681 33298 57 333 47 322 37 312 32 318 33298 31857 61 336 47 325 40 320 31 314 31857 30344 68 340 51 329 46 322 31 310 30344 28746 64 346 55 333 48 318 32 312 28746 27060 49 335 52 331 45 317 33 314 27060 25284 43 312 45 326 41 318 33 312 25284 23418 42 300 37 317 33 318 30 302 23418 21468 40 297 33 301 29 307 33 290 21468 19427 38 298 36 293 34 292 37 289 19427 17289 35 300 35 291 35 293 34 291 17289 15102 32 301 30 285 28 294 27 291 15102 12996 29 299 30 278 27 283 24 277 12996 11086 32 287 37 276 31 278 29 270 11086 9395 36 277 36 276 30 277 26 268 9395 7901 35 276 29 278 25 271 28 259 7901 6583 32 275 24 270 25 263 28 255 6583 5427 30 272 23 263 24 259 28 252 5427 4416 28 269 22 263 22 257 28 249 4416 3533 23 271 19 261 19 253 23 245 3533 2762 19 274 16*260 13 242 18 232 2762 2080 20 278 11*255 11*226 18 217 2080 1482 20 278 9 248 10*215 18 208 1482 985 18*273 9 246 10 210 18 203 985 605 10*250 8 244 9 205 16 198 605 344 9 249 7 243 9 203 13 192 344 187 8 248 7 243 7 201 10*184 187 97 6 246 6 242 5 200 4*175 97 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography