DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/11 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 75.0 - - 77.2 - - 75.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 11 - - -16 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 491 - - 20 - - 126 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 84 - - 84 - - 84 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 571 - - 100 - - 206 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1510 - - 2625 - - 1815 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 77 - - 18 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 14 - - 8 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 190 - - 168 - - 195 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 0 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 273 - - -349 - - 106 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 298 - - 449 - - 100 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -40 - - -1173 - - -404 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 611 - - 1273 - - 610 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 97 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 620 - - 1610 - - 1170 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 75.0 - - 77.2 - - 75.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 73.4 - - 74.8 - - 74.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 75.1 - - 78.0 - - 76.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 73.2 - - 74.6 - - 74.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 11 - - -16 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 491 - - 20 - - 126 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 100 - - 87 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 18 - - 19 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97632 38 252 35 257 39 273 97632 90409 27 250 28 255 32 273 90409 84807 23 266 26 263 25 263 84807 80143 22 278 28 276 20 275 80143 76135 16 274 25 282 16 301 76135 72608 10 276 16 288 17 305 72608 69427 13 306 13 284 18 304 69427 66510 16 302 14 278 18 294 66510 63815 17 286 15 294 18 298 63815 61220 14 258 22 284 24 283 61220 58538 15 266 23 267 25 269 58538 55769 22 260 23 256 27 263 55769 53126 30 246 30 254 27 251 53126 50742 36 240 37 242 31 250 50742 48599 49 238 46 228 47 243 48599 46647 63 225 55 228 57 228 46647 44849 71 217 67 223 65 219 44849 43177 70 212 70 221 72 215 43177 41606 66 203 70 217 74 211 41606 40118 59 197 69 214 75 208 40118 38706 57 196 68 211 74 206 38706 37333 55 197 66 208 72 206 37333 35927 51 198 62 208 71 207 35927 34461 45 198 59 206 71 207 34461 32937 39 202 53 206 70 206 32937 31340 38 203 50 206 69 210 31340 29657 38 205 50 208 69 215 29657 27891 38 210 55 212 68 216 27891 26043 37 214 49 214 65 213 26043 24115 36 217 50 213 63 212 24115 22107 35 221 52 213 61 212 22107 20017 36 224 53 216 56 212 20017 17847 39 229 49 218 50 209 17847 15641 40 233 44 215 43 206 15641 13520 35 231 40 211 41 203 13520 11589 29 225 38 213 41 201 11589 9876 28 214 36 217 43 201 9876 8354 32 203 35 221 43 197 8354 7002 34 198 36 220 43 194 7002 5802 35 196 37 213 39 194 5802 4740 35 194 39 204 35 197 4740 3806 35 194 39 197 32 201 3806 2984 33 194 37 192 31 203 2984 2250 30 195 34 189 30 204 2250 1603 29 195 30 188 29 203 1603 1065 24 193 24 180 26 200 1065 653 20*191 20 174 22 198 653 370 17*191 16 172 19*197 370 198 14 190 13*170 15*196 198 100 10 190 8*168 9 195 100 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography