DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/23 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.8 - - 66.9 - - 63.9 - - 55.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 99 - - 197 - - 29 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1363 - - 4724 - - 4152 - - 18 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 82 - - 3093 - - 82 - - 82 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1443 - - 4804 - - 4232 - - 98 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1187 - - 1095 - - 1627 - - 2883 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 212 - - 397 - - 206 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 10 - - 14 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 027 - - 039 - - 035 - - 049 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1222 - - -65 - - 71 - - -1499 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2665 - - 4870 - - 4161 - - 1597 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2913 - - -5383 - - -238 - - -2808 ODpotential blCL - - - 4356 - - 10187 - - 4470 - - 2906 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 76 - - 85 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.8 - - 66.9 - - 63.9 - - 55.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.8 - - 46.1 - - 46.4 - - 49.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.3 - - 65.7 - - 63.9 - - 57.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.9 - - 45.3 - - 46.0 - - 49.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 99 - - 197 - - 29 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1363 - - 4724 - - 4152 - - 18 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 2 - - 39 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97554 20 240 24 246 25 277 14 278 97554 90251 10 277 12 249 12 274 9 274 90251 84651 4 302 3 239 6 246 9 287 84651 79985 4 011 6 149 8 194 6 290 79985 75961 1 360 5 119 5 168 1 249 75961 72409 6 121 3 109 3 200 1 012 72409 69197 8 053 5 089 4 159 1 254 69197 66262 8 340 4 115 6 197 4 295 66262 63544 8 320 6 347 3 290 2 270 63544 60907 7 280 13 272 18 287 17 289 60907 58161 10 289 10 274 14 268 15 257 58161 55307 23 289 23 294 23 286 20 276 55307 52576 32 287 30 288 26 282 24 277 52576 50101 30 282 30 282 29 273 35 274 50101 47875 24 279 25 280 27 267 34 274 47875 45847 19 289 20 279 31 289 33 297 45847 43982 18 290 21 298 34 298 40 299 43982 42248 19 275 27 310 31 305 34 292 42248 40633 17 285 28 315 27 315 28 302 40633 39127 19 300 24 323 22 317 25 310 39127 37715 15 295 19 328 21 324 22 312 37715 36355 7 320 16 333 23 335 22 322 36355 34977 13 358 19 344 28 346 27 335 34977 33552 20 352 25 344 32 353 33 345 33552 32083 21 357 26 339 32 351 33 352 32083 30549 21 005 22 339 30 353 31 353 30549 28932 22 012 18 355 27 355 29 354 28932 27229 24 020 17 016 23 352 23 352 27229 25440 26 026 19 031 16 006 16 355 25440 23566 29 029 22 033 16 028 14 345 23566 21607 22 025 20 030 16 033 12 351 21607 19555 17 018 21 016 20 020 17 007 19555 17412 16 021 19 013 18 024 18 026 17412 15227 15 014 15 012 12 025 11 021 15227 13119 14 021 12 355 12 005 12 006 13119 11204 13 029 10 350 11 354 11 002 11204 9513 14 025 9 010 8 357 10 004 9513 8021 17 015 12 029 8 021 9 017 8021 6706 20 013 14 031 11 023 7 043 6706 5549 14 011 11*031 11 017 7 047 5549 4531 10 038 10*038 12*019 8 038 4531 3639 13 040 10 039 14*029 13 035 3639 2854 14 047 10 039 14 033 16 035 2854 2152 15 052 10 039 15 035 18 044 2152 1534 13*047 10 039 15 036 18 049 1534 1020 10*030 10 038 15 037 18 051 1020 626 9 027 10 038 14 037 17 052 626 356 9 026 9 039 13 038 14 052 356 192 8 025 9 038 12 038 10 052 192 98 6 025 7 038 9 038 5*049 98 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography