DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/14 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.1 - - 79.1 - - 72.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 86 - - -7 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3818 - - 3411 - - 20 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2073 - - 84 - - 83 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3898 - - 3491 - - 100 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1673 - - 2345 - - 4647 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 305 - - 155 - - 17 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 14 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 350 - - 000 - - 017 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 9 - - 12 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1194 - - 841 - - -1531 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2704 - - 2650 - - 1631 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 416 - - -277 - - -2739 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3482 - - 3768 - - 2839 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 93 - - 96 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1160 - - 550 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.1 - - 79.1 - - 72.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 70.4 - - 67.8 - - 65.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 81.7 - - 79.6 - - 74.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 69.2 - - 66.7 - - 65.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 86 - - -7 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3818 - - 3411 - - 20 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 73 - - 86 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 14 - - 13 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98745 14 081 19 078 25 063 98745 91451 19 095 17 092 16 065 91451 85782 20 089 13 096 15 064 85782 81038 12 080 14 093 10 075 81038 76952 13 100 11 069 9 090 76952 73337 8 078 4 065 7 073 73337 70052 7 121 2 103 6 080 70052 67026 7 129 4 225 2 347 67026 64231 4 112 5 203 4 220 64231 61531 6 297 3 266 2 163 61531 58727 10 261 12 298 11 302 58727 55854 15 279 12 293 18 305 55854 53125 29 261 35 285 27 305 53125 50675 43 268 39 283 38 298 50675 48497 52 272 43 279 33 297 48497 46516 53 272 42 277 37 318 46516 44691 59 271 40 284 56 311 44691 43005 63 266 50 293 54 301 43005 41430 65 261 59 288 47 302 41430 39947 66 259 60 278 48 316 39947 38543 63 260 56 274 53 326 38543 37180 59 265 51 277 58 333 37180 35788 59 271 51 279 63 338 35788 34337 60 275 54 279 65 338 34337 32830 60 277 57 279 61 335 32830 31251 58 275 58 276 52 328 31251 29589 55 270 59 275 45 320 29589 27842 53 267 57 277 42 317 27842 26010 52 271 54 281 39 314 26010 24092 47 270 49 284 40 309 24092 22091 45 266 46 284 43 309 22091 20001 43 272 44 285 44 312 20001 17820 37 279 42 294 41 317 17820 15597 32 286 38 303 36 321 15597 13456 29 289 31 301 30 318 13456 11510 26 291 28 290 26 314 11510 9788 21 294 26 292 21 313 9788 8267 18 296 17 293 21 299 8267 6923 15 296 15 287 22 297 6923 5735 12 303 12 313 15 307 5735 4688 11*327 15 349 12 356 4688 3768 12*346 15*352 15 006 3768 2956 12 349 15*355 17 013 2956 2231 12 350 15 358 18 015 2231 1590 12 351 15 000 19 016 1590 1057 12 352 14 002 18 017 1057 648 12 353 13 004 17 018 648 367 11 353 12 005 14 018 367 197 10 354 10 005 10*017 197 100 8 354 8 005 6*017 100 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography