DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/13 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.6 - - 81.7 - - 79.0 - - 76.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 73 - - 84 - - -15 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2511 - - 3842 - - 219 - - 20 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 929 - - 2033 - - 84 - - 84 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2591 - - 3922 - - 299 - - 100 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3022 - - 1879 - - 5676 - - 4488 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 244 - - 298 - - 54 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 15 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 083 - - 084 - - 081 - - 086 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 10 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 490 - - 933 - - -1914 - - -1391 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2101 - - 2989 - - 2213 - - 1491 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -34 - - 213 - - -2693 - - -2294 ODpotential blCL - - - 2625 - - 3709 - - 2992 - - 2394 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 100 - - 91 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 940 - - 510 - - 440 - - 360 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.6 - - 81.7 - - 79.0 - - 76.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 70.6 - - 68.9 - - 69.5 - - 70.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.3 - - 81.5 - - 80.0 - - 77.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 69.9 - - 67.9 - - 68.6 - - 69.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 73 - - 84 - - -15 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2511 - - 3842 - - 219 - - 20 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 93 - - 100 - - 65 - - 27 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 14 - - 15 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99325 43 083 44 087 40 082 38 088 99325 91820 43 082 37 086 39 087 33 085 91820 86056 38 082 29 090 34 093 33 078 86056 81271 32 080 27 091 26 084 27 077 81271 77149 26 076 25 081 24 084 23 073 77149 73512 23 074 22 079 20 073 21 059 73512 70227 20 074 21 091 12 063 16 045 70227 67206 17 071 15 076 12 054 14 049 67206 64404 13 052 13 059 14 039 15 040 64404 61696 11 024 12 035 13 036 14 032 61696 58884 10 021 10 014 14 009 11 032 58884 55983 9 343 10 348 12 348 13 031 55983 53232 13 303 11 315 12 329 13 354 53232 50770 13 297 14 298 14 311 12 337 50770 48570 16 272 21 275 22 306 16 320 48570 46585 31 264 34 250 31 256 26 277 46585 44782 37 248 43 238 41 248 36 265 44782 43121 30 250 46 237 45 239 43 249 43121 41572 30 267 42 239 34 238 34 238 41572 40114 35 263 32 240 31 246 30 245 40114 38730 34 255 24 265 24 247 29 251 38730 37377 31 252 26 274 20 246 29 255 37377 35990 29 265 27 270 19 245 25 257 35990 34538 31 268 25 264 20 249 23 257 34538 33025 31 257 23 255 20 254 23 261 33025 31435 32 245 25 238 19 248 22 265 31435 29754 32 246 28 230 19 232 21 270 29754 27984 30 253 24 244 22 221 19 267 27984 26130 24 270 22 252 22 236 15 270 26130 24199 17 287 20 257 22 245 11 276 24199 22186 5 315 17 271 19 255 12 264 22186 20086 3 277 15 276 15 284 10 283 20086 17893 8 224 12 269 14 288 10 297 17893 15657 4 229 8 282 7 278 8 300 15657 13508 5 050 2 349 1 168 2 176 13508 11561 8 104 6 115 3 124 4 150 11561 9838 10 092 8 108 5 053 4 073 9838 8313 11 085 8 110 7 062 5 050 8313 6960 14 085 8 087 9 068 5 035 6960 5765 16 089 11 075 12 078 7 063 5765 4712 17 090 14*081 14 085 9 080 4712 3787 18 088 16*085 14 088 13 099 3787 2972 19*085 16 085 14 089 14 099 2972 2243 19*084 16 084 14 089 14 098 2243 1599 18 083 16 084 14 087 14 096 1599 1063 17 082 15 083 13 086 14 094 1063 652 17 082 15 083 12 085 13 093 652 370 15 082 14 082 11*084 11 091 370 198 14 082 12 082 9*082 8 089 198 100 10 081 10 082 6 081 5*086 100 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography