DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/14 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.5 - - 55.7 - - 52.8 - - 50.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 98 - - 60 - - 9 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 611 - - 1503 - - 1450 - - 136 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 81 - - 82 - - 81 - - 82 Hcrit BL Top - - - 691 - - 1583 - - 1530 - - 216 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 376 - - 652 - - 1546 - - 2315 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 158 - - 183 - - 104 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 17 - - 22 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 222 - - 217 - - 221 - - 207 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 12 - - 16 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -2 - - -13 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5692 - - -5400 - - -2026 - - -2190 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6383 - - 6983 - - 3556 - - 2406 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15372 - - -14821 - - -4822 - - -5072 ODpotential blCL - - - 16063 - - 16404 - - 6352 - - 5288 blCL maxRH - - - 37 - - 92 - - 96 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.5 - - 55.7 - - 52.8 - - 50.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.2 - - 25.5 - - 37.4 - - 40.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.1 - - 55.5 - - 53.0 - - 51.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.9 - - 25.3 - - 37.2 - - 40.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 98 - - 60 - - 9 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 611 - - 1503 - - 1450 - - 136 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 68 - - 85 - - 13 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95504 59 256 53 271 47 260 55 270 95504 88609 32 268 33 271 37 277 41 283 88609 83273 23 288 23 282 26 285 32 290 83273 78795 27 298 24 295 23 289 25 297 78795 74869 25 300 25 286 22 282 25 292 74869 71355 23 285 22 277 23 285 28 285 71355 68154 27 269 25 270 27 281 29 284 68154 65199 31 267 28 263 29 265 31 265 65199 62451 39 259 31 257 29 265 28 253 62451 59781 45 250 34 253 35 268 31 260 59781 56981 48 247 44 250 45 252 45 245 56981 54066 54 239 56 246 56 242 52 235 54066 51274 56 239 62 240 59 237 59 235 51274 48755 60 246 64 240 64 240 68 235 48755 46496 66 241 74 238 77 236 71 233 46496 44447 68 237 77 233 82 231 68 234 44447 42575 67 235 73 232 83 228 77 235 42575 40874 69 236 72 235 83 227 91 228 40874 39327 68 238 78 237 82 229 88 222 39327 37892 62 239 82 230 88 230 74 226 37892 36544 65 238 78 226 92 227 90 232 36544 35242 70 235 75 224 88 218 97 230 35242 33917 73 236 69 221 90 212 96 228 33917 32536 75 237 68 220 90 207 92 225 32536 31102 74 238 67 220 80 203 90 223 31102 29598 72 240 67 223 80 204 86 223 29598 28014 69 239 70 223 85 208 89 220 28014 26353 66 235 72 223 87 212 101 214 26353 24612 63 228 74 222 83 217 105 213 24612 22792 64 223 76 220 82 219 95 215 22792 20897 61 219 78 219 78 219 86 214 20897 18919 54 217 82 218 72 219 83 211 18919 16849 49 221 84 216 67 219 79 212 16849 14737 50 223 74 208 66 221 71 216 14737 12709 48 216 56 199 64 220 64 220 12709 10874 46 210 41 204 63 219 52 225 10874 9250 44 211 36 214 62 216 44 227 9250 7816 41 213 36 226 61 213 35 230 7816 6547 37 218 37 237 61 213 28 241 6547 5423 34 225 38 239 61 214 27 248 5423 4430 29 228 36 239 57 216 29 247 4430 3558 21 229 27 236 47 217 32 242 3558 2790 17 228 24 233 38 218 35 233 2790 2106 18 228 25*227 32*220 34 224 2106 1503 21 230 21*220 28*221 29 218 1503 1000 21*227 19 217 25 221 24 213 1000 615 16*223 17 216 23 221 21 211 615 350 14 222 16 215 20 221 17*209 350 190 13 222 14 215 17 220 14*208 190 98 9 221 10 214 12 220 9 207 98 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography