DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/27 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 71.6 - - 65.3 - - 64.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 83 - - -11 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4202 - - 1020 - - 19 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2319 - - 82 - - 82 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4282 - - 1100 - - 99 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 998 - - 2072 - - 3233 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 311 - - 84 - - 14 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 19 - - 19 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 285 - - 314 - - 299 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 11 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 4 - - -14 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 346 - - -716 - - -1446 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3936 - - 1816 - - 1545 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -5012 - - -2261 - - -2606 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9294 - - 3361 - - 2705 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 93 - - 100 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 71.6 - - 65.3 - - 64.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 54.5 - - 57.4 - - 57.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 71.3 - - 65.7 - - 65.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 53.2 - - 56.8 - - 57.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 83 - - -11 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4202 - - 1020 - - 19 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 73 - - 102 - - 24 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98258 6 299 5 037 6 227 98258 90894 1 254 3 055 1 102 90894 85196 1 247 2 286 5 036 85196 80489 5 180 9 276 5 341 80489 76441 11 178 12 241 7 284 76441 72866 13 164 12 223 7 273 72866 69625 9 129 6 237 6 283 69625 66647 9 095 2 238 5 282 66647 63897 6 100 3 184 4 229 63897 61234 3 172 6 181 6 184 61234 58448 5 158 8 179 8 203 58448 55561 3 181 6 187 10 209 55561 52815 9 236 10 229 12 222 52815 50344 14 231 17 229 16 234 50344 48120 20 234 23 233 23 235 48120 46092 23 240 26 238 27 227 46092 44224 25 246 27 244 24 219 44224 42493 24 244 29 244 23 233 42493 40888 22 244 28 244 24 237 40888 39392 20 257 21 248 21 239 39392 37987 22 251 17 262 20 249 37987 36635 13 242 17 253 18 244 36635 35264 11 280 10 270 13 234 35264 33838 14 288 12 303 8 226 33838 32353 16 289 15 309 7 237 32353 30793 17 293 16 298 13 232 30793 29147 16 295 19 286 11 259 29147 27414 17 286 21 282 11 279 27414 25597 19 273 27 283 18 273 25597 23696 19 275 27 282 27 280 23696 21716 19 282 22 278 31 278 21716 19652 21 298 20 300 27 276 19652 17496 28 305 20 303 22 270 17496 15298 30 295 21 298 22 284 15298 13186 29 299 27 296 25 288 13186 11274 32 305 29 296 26 286 11274 9582 30 306 30 301 25 293 9582 8086 27 308 31 307 28 297 8086 6766 26 307 33 300 32 294 6766 5602 27 300 31 296 32 293 5602 4577 23*287 30 295 32 299 4577 3677 21*285 30 299 31 307 3677 2885 21 285 29 302 30 310 2885 2178 20 285 28 306 28 312 2178 1554 19 284 27*309 24 312 1554 1034 19 285 23*312 21 310 1034 635 17 284 21 314 18 308 635 361 16 284 18 315 13 305 361 194 14 284 16 316 10*303 194 99 11 284 10 315 5*299 99 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography