DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/05 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.8 - - 78.5 - - 78.1 - - 70.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 66 - - 123 - - -8 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 660 - - 3757 - - 2944 - - 20 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 83 - - 2133 - - 83 - - 83 Hcrit BL Top - - - 740 - - 3837 - - 3024 - - 100 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1403 - - 2183 - - 2831 - - 954 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 146 - - 319 - - 93 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 19 - - 16 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 180 - - 196 - - 194 - - 161 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 12 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -5 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -610 - - 808 - - -246 - - -648 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1350 - - 3030 - - 3270 - - 748 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1813 - - 200 - - -1425 - - -2655 ODpotential blCL - - - 2553 - - 3637 - - 4449 - - 2755 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 91 - - 95 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 860 - - 940 - - 720 - - 1420 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.8 - - 78.5 - - 78.1 - - 70.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 67.0 - - 65.3 - - 64.0 - - 67.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.5 - - 77.9 - - 78.6 - - 72.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 66.7 - - 64.9 - - 63.7 - - 67.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 66 - - 123 - - -8 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 660 - - 3757 - - 2944 - - 20 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 82 - - 65 - - 81 - - 33 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 12 - - 12 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96561 80 243 99 247 98 252 91 251 96561 89317 54 256 58 253 58 252 57 256 89317 83778 34 273 35 255 37 249 39 262 83778 79218 23 287 19 254 21 254 26 266 79218 75307 15 280 11 263 16 273 17 270 75307 71844 6 286 9 260 16 274 15 279 71844 68698 10 284 7 252 13 272 16 271 68698 65788 15 262 12 239 13 259 14 266 65788 63084 13 246 13 227 11 254 15 262 63084 60464 9 227 14 252 15 254 18 262 60464 57740 14 270 15 256 16 248 19 245 57740 54930 27 250 20 247 22 239 27 260 54930 52265 31 240 24 247 23 256 34 249 52265 49874 35 241 34 248 37 256 27 250 49874 47713 37 240 38 239 39 237 38 262 47713 45751 36 234 37 233 32 241 54 261 45751 43965 35 223 36 230 40 253 49 260 43965 42321 38 221 37 223 44 254 42 263 42321 40792 43 211 38 225 42 249 44 264 40792 39357 43 202 37 230 39 232 41 257 39357 37997 39 204 32 229 37 225 40 254 37997 36674 36 208 33 229 37 234 41 256 36674 35320 34 208 33 229 36 238 41 256 35320 33907 30 212 30 231 35 238 40 251 33907 32437 30 224 28 235 33 240 38 249 32437 30895 31 226 27 241 31 243 36 249 30895 29273 31 228 27 249 30 246 34 247 29273 27568 30 231 23 251 28 247 31 237 27568 25773 30 239 21 256 24 236 30 226 25773 23888 27 249 20 264 21 240 28 226 23888 21918 24 245 23 254 19 255 27 230 21918 19860 26 234 28 241 19 259 24 239 19860 17712 29 236 29 235 24 255 23 238 17712 15520 28 240 23 229 22 238 22 226 15520 13407 25 238 20 227 20 223 24 217 13407 11483 21 225 20 222 19 221 23 207 11483 9772 18 215 21 219 20 226 21 210 9772 8257 22 220 19 217 20 233 21 223 8257 6916 23 224 19 211 20 222 21 230 6916 5730 22 217 22 207 20 213 23 223 5730 4686 21 206 22*205 19 210 22 219 4686 3767 23 201 22*203 19*204 21 216 3767 2956 25 196 21 199 18*199 20 206 2956 2231 25 192 20 196 18 196 20 196 2231 1590 23 188 19 194 17 194 20 187 1590 1056 21*184 18 192 16 192 21 176 1056 647 18*182 17 192 15 191 20 169 647 367 14 180 16 192 14 190 16 164 367 197 12 179 14 191 12 189 14*162 197 100 9 179 11 191 8 189 6*161 100 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography