DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/25 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.6 - - 68.1 - - 66.0 - - 62.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 71 - - 127 - - -24 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 357 - - 2154 - - 163 - - 19 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 82 - - 980 - - 83 - - 82 Hcrit BL Top - - - 437 - - 2234 - - 243 - - 99 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 409 - - 2627 - - 2810 - - 425 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 119 - - 263 - - 25 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 19 - - 10 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 154 - - 173 - - 160 - - 146 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 13 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -2 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3114 - - -1383 - - -2355 - - -1159 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3551 - - 3617 - - 2598 - - 1258 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11342 - - -2460 - - -4069 - - -3820 ODpotential blCL - - - 11779 - - 4694 - - 4312 - - 3919 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 87 - - 75 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.6 - - 68.1 - - 66.0 - - 62.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.0 - - 52.8 - - 55.1 - - 57.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.3 - - 67.6 - - 67.1 - - 63.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.8 - - 52.5 - - 55.0 - - 56.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 71 - - 127 - - -24 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 357 - - 2154 - - 163 - - 19 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 46 - - 0 - - 8 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95941 43 263 50 267 47 273 45 276 95941 88972 25 267 33 272 32 280 25 280 88972 83582 21 279 22 279 25 276 18 288 83582 79068 15 282 16 268 23 282 17 293 79068 75165 9 295 10 265 15 280 14 284 75165 71718 13 294 12 287 10 283 8 281 71718 68589 13 277 20 274 18 277 15 280 68589 65713 19 283 23 257 22 264 21 262 65713 63043 26 280 23 265 21 256 21 234 63043 60445 29 284 30 281 26 271 23 250 60445 57736 43 272 46 274 40 265 35 264 57736 54914 50 261 51 267 48 265 47 258 54914 52198 48 266 48 269 47 264 49 259 52198 49739 58 274 47 272 46 263 52 261 49739 47536 63 268 53 270 51 266 58 259 47536 45545 63 257 64 256 60 256 63 254 45545 43728 42 243 52 235 54 240 62 247 43728 42053 30 265 40 253 44 243 55 243 42053 40496 50 281 66 274 54 263 50 247 40496 39039 61 260 66 263 64 261 58 252 39039 37670 63 254 60 248 71 250 71 249 37670 36346 63 255 59 236 74 235 72 242 36346 34995 61 248 56 232 65 233 66 236 34995 33586 60 246 53 229 59 236 61 238 33586 32119 63 251 51 232 59 239 61 242 32119 30582 64 251 50 236 59 240 65 243 30582 28963 61 252 49 240 58 239 67 243 28963 27260 62 255 52 247 54 239 65 241 27260 25473 67 255 61 251 50 242 60 242 25473 23603 69 251 66 249 58 246 52 243 23603 21649 60 246 67 243 64 244 51 241 21649 19610 54 247 57 241 65 235 54 240 19610 17485 51 251 49 241 58 235 52 240 17485 15314 41 243 44 242 48 245 47 244 15314 13221 27 228 38 241 38 250 46 254 13221 11320 23 220 29 225 36 244 47 259 11320 9632 21 220 27 221 36 242 45 252 9632 8134 20 218 24 222 31 230 42 236 8134 6806 19 210 21 229 25 225 35 229 6806 5637 22 205 22 229 23 220 30 221 5637 4607 25 205 25 219 24 214 29 206 4607 3701 22 196 26 207 24 208 29 196 3701 2903 17 167 26*189 25 189 28 191 2903 2190 17 163 24*182 25 180 28 188 2190 1560 20 164 21 173 24 171 28 181 1560 1036 20 162 20 171 21 166 27 171 1036 635 17*159 19 170 18 163 25 163 635 360 9*154 17 169 16*161 18 152 360 194 8 154 15 169 13*161 15*150 194 99 6 154 12 168 8 159 7*146 99 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography