DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/01 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.2 - - 64.3 - - 62.3 - - 53.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 62 - - 178 - - 9 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1407 - - 2918 - - 2275 - - 18 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 82 - - 1710 - - 82 - - 82 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1487 - - 2998 - - 2355 - - 98 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1422 - - 962 - - 1076 - - 1513 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 185 - - 327 - - 124 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 046 - - 046 - - 037 - - 071 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 1 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1198 - - -3436 - - -3802 - - -2317 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2686 - - 6434 - - 6157 - - 2416 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6212 - - -10867 - - -11408 - - -9617 ODpotential blCL - - - 7699 - - 13865 - - 13763 - - 9715 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 81 - - 78 - - 63 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.2 - - 64.3 - - 62.3 - - 53.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.4 - - 37.1 - - 36.3 - - 44.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.9 - - 63.3 - - 62.3 - - 56.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.4 - - 35.9 - - 35.6 - - 43.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 62 - - 178 - - 9 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1407 - - 2918 - - 2275 - - 18 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 68 - - 23 - - 13 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96884 88 244 96 245 101 245 93 243 96884 89653 67 241 71 244 74 256 64 252 89653 84089 49 252 46 247 53 252 46 256 84089 79485 31 260 32 251 37 253 38 259 79485 75523 23 262 25 265 25 253 35 265 75523 72026 22 269 19 281 15 259 28 268 72026 68861 22 271 22 282 13 275 19 275 68861 65937 21 273 25 277 16 292 19 281 65937 63212 24 284 28 274 25 284 19 284 63212 60561 30 282 30 266 28 271 25 289 60561 57798 35 275 30 263 34 271 31 282 57798 54943 35 268 33 261 39 263 35 280 54943 52223 39 265 35 263 36 260 36 278 52223 49782 41 257 41 265 36 264 37 271 49782 47605 40 253 42 258 41 270 39 268 47605 45639 39 255 45 251 51 256 48 262 45639 43858 44 250 49 248 57 248 54 257 43858 42239 46 245 47 247 51 246 48 254 42239 40742 44 245 42 246 45 250 37 249 40742 39326 40 252 41 258 47 251 27 248 39326 37979 33 255 43 266 48 248 30 270 37979 36664 29 265 45 265 46 248 42 285 36664 35318 28 274 43 260 43 254 42 288 35318 33909 28 278 40 258 42 259 36 285 33909 32438 27 274 36 257 37 268 34 273 32438 30889 24 269 35 262 34 277 33 271 30889 29248 23 268 32 267 34 284 30 275 29248 27516 26 266 32 273 34 286 30 274 27516 25691 28 257 30 273 33 291 30 282 25691 23779 29 250 24 278 28 287 27 295 23779 21785 24 250 26 279 26 290 26 299 21785 19703 22 273 26 284 21 294 23 293 19703 17531 20 284 13 305 10 289 15 292 17531 15326 18 284 8 320 3 291 8 297 15326 13210 16 282 10 320 5 343 8 310 13210 11292 21 315 10 332 9 350 9 320 11292 9592 9 359 10 360 10 009 8 342 9592 8087 12 011 12 022 14 029 8 021 8087 6755 15 012 16 029 17 034 11 036 6755 5579 16 012 16 029 18 038 14 041 5579 4545 16 016 15 030 17 034 14 046 4545 3641 16 038 14*040 14 028 12 045 3641 2850 17 054 10*046 12*032 10 045 2850 2148 17 057 10 046 12*036 11 051 2148 1531 15*055 10 046 12 037 12 058 1531 1018 11*048 10 046 11 038 12 063 1018 625 10 046 9 046 11 038 11 067 625 355 9 045 9 045 10 038 10 070 355 191 8 045 8 045 9 038 8 071 191 98 6 044 7 045 7 038 4*071 98 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography