DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/05 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.2 - - 85.1 - - 84.5 - - 80.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 64 - - 79 - - 32 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2975 - - 3729 - - 2933 - - 20 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1235 - - 2005 - - 84 - - 84 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3055 - - 3809 - - 3013 - - 100 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1092 - - 1586 - - 1963 - - 4052 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 255 - - 302 - - 219 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 15 - - 14 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 199 - - 209 - - 206 - - 171 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 11 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -3 - - -8 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1404 - - 1294 - - 890 - - -662 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1651 - - 2515 - - 2123 - - 762 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 529 - - 384 - - -323 - - -1787 ODpotential blCL - - - 2526 - - 3425 - - 3336 - - 1887 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 93 - - 92 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 1140 - - 1580 - - 2090 - - 2540 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.2 - - 85.1 - - 84.5 - - 80.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 74.0 - - 74.1 - - 75.2 - - 76.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.9 - - 84.7 - - 84.5 - - 81.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 73.1 - - 72.8 - - 74.2 - - 76.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 64 - - 79 - - 32 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2975 - - 3729 - - 2933 - - 20 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 96 - - 71 - - 67 - - 48 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 16 - - 16 - - 17 - - 20 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99391 39 080 39 095 42 083 32 081 99391 91895 33 079 35 079 37 092 35 083 91895 86106 32 081 32 072 29 085 34 081 86106 81322 30 079 25 085 23 072 31 076 81322 77219 29 074 23 097 19 075 25 067 77219 73584 26 082 24 096 18 084 21 062 73584 70282 24 094 23 089 17 085 19 071 70282 67259 19 091 22 084 14 077 18 073 67259 64478 15 081 22 092 12 094 17 085 64478 61803 16 085 21 098 14 099 13 102 61803 59028 14 084 18 100 16 105 14 126 59028 56172 10 080 13 100 17 100 14 119 56172 53473 14 128 9 125 5 110 6 115 53473 51059 21 128 17 148 12 156 3 159 51059 48895 15 121 17 144 16 141 12 148 48895 46934 10 161 12 117 19 129 23 133 46934 45132 11 164 19 135 24 130 27 134 45132 43454 17 153 22 147 25 141 22 144 43454 41880 23 148 25 153 24 155 25 155 41880 40394 27 144 28 155 30 158 31 162 40394 38987 28 141 29 152 34 158 35 167 38987 37618 26 140 28 149 35 160 35 170 37618 36217 20 147 27 152 35 167 31 175 36217 34756 17 157 27 157 32 170 24 178 34756 33235 16 165 27 164 28 170 20 174 33235 31639 20 175 27 166 26 171 21 172 31639 29956 24 177 24 165 25 174 22 172 29956 28185 23 171 23 170 24 179 25 175 28185 26326 22 166 21 179 21 181 24 180 26326 24382 21 165 24 194 20 191 23 180 24382 22358 17 163 27 193 22 199 23 186 22358 20248 14 175 26 196 22 199 23 196 20248 18050 16 205 22 200 25 198 28 209 18050 15811 20 206 22 204 26 195 31 209 15811 13653 21 202 22 207 23 192 29 205 13653 11692 21 196 18 208 17 193 25 195 11692 9954 17 197 18 195 16 200 21 196 9954 8415 15 200 22 201 20 213 20 207 8415 7051 16 213 27 208 21 220 20 217 7051 5842 18 219 26 211 21 220 19 218 5842 4775 18 214 23 211 21 214 18 208 4775 3838 17*206 21*210 20*209 17 207 3838 3011 17*204 20*210 19*207 16 206 3011 2272 16 204 16 210 16 206 15 202 2272 1620 13 198 15 209 14 206 14 197 1620 1076 12 196 14 209 13 206 13 191 1076 659 11 196 13 209 12 207 11 185 659 374 10 194 12 209 11 207 9 180 374 200 9 194 11 209 10 206 7 176 200 100 7 193 9 208 8 207 4*171 100 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography