DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/29 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 75.3 - - 75.7 - - 70.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 76 - - 17 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3668 - - 3785 - - 19 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1766 - - 83 - - 83 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3748 - - 3865 - - 99 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2785 - - 3047 - - 2435 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 277 - - 185 - - 15 W* B/S - - - - - - 84 - - 12 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 1 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 339 - - 013 - - 100 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 479 - - 341 - - -930 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3269 - - 3524 - - 1029 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -205 - - -410 - - -2177 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3953 - - 4275 - - 2276 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 98 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 70 - - 60 - - 150 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 75.3 - - 75.7 - - 70.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 61.3 - - 60.6 - - 65.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 74.6 - - 75.7 - - 70.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 60.3 - - 59.6 - - 65.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 76 - - 17 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3668 - - 3785 - - 19 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 99 - - 92 - - 25 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 11 - - 11 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97991 5 210 7 244 12 283 97991 90704 9 252 8 266 7 275 90704 85065 7 298 8 292 11 342 85065 80386 6 335 11 315 13 352 80386 76351 6 296 14 311 11 342 76351 72784 6 251 15 292 13 325 72784 69566 4 219 13 283 12 315 69566 66620 1 227 9 272 9 298 66620 63895 5 296 5 247 8 270 63895 61255 9 287 4 235 13 271 61255 58499 12 276 5 280 15 275 58499 55632 12 271 13 307 12 278 55632 52892 11 272 16 293 10 286 52892 50424 12 257 13 271 11 297 50424 48208 13 248 12 272 15 298 48208 46190 16 254 14 279 17 295 46190 44333 15 258 15 267 14 302 44333 42618 14 257 17 250 17 310 42618 41027 16 257 17 241 21 291 41027 39540 21 254 17 248 19 267 39540 38142 21 251 25 238 20 249 38142 36790 21 264 25 225 22 249 36790 35417 26 272 21 236 26 248 35417 33991 29 268 25 246 23 245 33991 32513 26 264 27 249 19 264 32513 30966 23 258 26 247 22 270 30966 29334 22 253 23 247 26 271 29334 27613 22 246 21 257 27 272 27613 25802 21 242 21 269 25 277 25802 23904 22 241 20 272 22 281 23904 21921 23 241 21 270 20 286 21921 19851 21 240 19 274 16 305 19851 17692 21 239 17 275 14 308 17692 15488 17 242 16 272 14 313 15488 13363 11 235 13 268 12 303 13363 11432 8 245 10 261 14 281 11432 9723 10 253 11 263 13 266 9723 8216 8 262 10 261 14 264 8216 6883 7 244 8 254 14 263 6883 5703 6 250 6 265 12 261 5703 4661 4*254 5*280 8 262 4661 3744 2*260 2*338 5 261 3744 2934 1 301 2 002 1 177 2934 2213 1 348 3 014 5 136 2213 1577 1 008 3 018 9 133 1577 1048 1 014 3 019 12 125 1048 643 1 019 3 023 12 117 643 365 1 023 3 022 10 109 365 196 1 022 3 024 8 105 196 99 1 017 3 023 4*100 99 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography