DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/07 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 36.8 - - 39.2 - - 39.1 - - 38.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 55 - - 70 - - 20 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 692 - - 668 - - 598 - - 17 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 80 - - 81 - - 81 - - 80 Hcrit BL Top - - - 772 - - 748 - - 678 - - 97 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 876 - - 1088 - - 1086 - - 1295 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 137 - - 146 - - 93 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 6 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 001 - - 203 - - 242 - - 298 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 279 - - 328 - - 241 - - -303 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 493 - - 420 - - 437 - - 400 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 293 - - 344 - - 191 - - -485 ODpotential blCL - - - 479 - - 404 - - 487 - - 582 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 36.8 - - 39.2 - - 39.1 - - 38.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.4 - - 38.1 - - 37.9 - - 37.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 36.6 - - 38.8 - - 39.1 - - 39.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.9 - - 37.6 - - 37.6 - - 36.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 55 - - 70 - - 20 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 692 - - 668 - - 598 - - 17 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 100 - - 100 - - 90 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96301 17 249 19 263 15 285 9 272 96301 89045 14 239 15 244 21 251 15 292 89045 83427 12 231 15 236 24 246 24 277 83427 78792 20 250 16 245 20 251 22 252 78792 74820 26 259 23 243 25 256 28 256 74820 71337 27 248 26 246 28 251 30 257 71337 68187 26 259 28 255 26 250 30 253 68187 65269 36 258 37 263 33 258 38 257 65269 62563 43 263 44 254 39 258 38 251 62563 59928 53 257 47 253 47 258 40 256 59928 57171 60 251 59 249 62 246 70 259 57171 54341 68 248 70 248 77 243 87 251 54341 51651 84 253 80 247 93 250 88 245 51651 49210 97 251 97 257 97 252 91 248 49210 47004 106 253 107 260 104 256 99 253 47004 44992 115 253 117 259 113 258 108 256 44992 43146 119 250 122 255 122 255 119 257 43146 41446 115 248 127 252 125 253 128 253 41446 39879 112 251 133 249 136 252 136 250 39879 38424 112 254 137 248 145 251 136 249 38424 37057 112 254 134 247 135 249 135 246 37057 35735 112 253 129 247 125 248 137 240 35735 34388 115 252 133 247 133 250 135 238 34388 32978 119 248 145 244 151 246 134 235 32978 31506 115 246 151 239 147 236 134 233 31506 29957 107 246 152 239 150 235 136 233 29957 28318 99 246 148 245 149 239 140 236 28318 26595 93 248 125 249 150 252 143 242 26595 24797 89 250 98 246 112 254 130 248 24797 22932 85 248 91 247 92 254 100 255 22932 21001 85 249 87 251 86 257 85 258 21001 18991 80 254 80 254 75 262 70 256 18991 16901 65 252 65 255 60 260 58 254 16901 14778 53 250 50 254 46 257 46 258 14778 12743 44 253 39 255 39 255 34 259 12743 10897 34 253 33 253 35 257 28 261 10897 9259 29 264 27 254 30 259 26 264 9259 7810 27 268 25 266 23 264 22 261 7810 6528 27 263 25 273 20 275 15 271 6528 5394 23 265 24 277 19 285 14 299 5394 4396 17 258 19 280 17 289 14 303 4396 3521 6 242 12 256 11 280 13 293 3521 2753 3 155 9 181 10 221 10 258 2753 2070 5 118 7 193 9 223 11 240 2070 1471 2 028 5 203 5 236 8 248 1471 978 2*005 5*203 4*241 4 253 978 602 2*002 5*204 3*240 2 256 602 344 2 360 4 203 3 242 2 261 344 187 2 000 4 203 3 242 1*269 187 97 1 001 3 204 2 241 1*298 97 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography