DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/12 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 43.2 - - 37.1 - - 40.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 40 - - 120 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2467 - - 855 - - 250 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 81 - - 81 - - 81 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2547 - - 935 - - 330 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1025 - - 1894 - - 2013 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 200 - - 191 - - 33 W* B/S - - - - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 29 - - 14 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 340 - - 351 - - 309 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 19 - - 7 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1256 - - 573 - - -627 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1291 - - 362 - - 957 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 802 - - 496 - - -1567 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 1745 - - 439 - - 1897 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 80 - - 50 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 43.2 - - 37.1 - - 40.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 38.0 - - 36.1 - - 36.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 43.2 - - 36.6 - - 40.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 37.1 - - 35.4 - - 35.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 40 - - 120 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2467 - - 855 - - 250 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 102 - - 44 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96234 13 275 20 271 20 271 96234 89122 15 260 12 283 13 283 89122 83612 16 218 15 272 9 253 83612 79044 11 215 18 256 13 268 79044 75123 12 230 18 203 17 237 75123 71648 14 231 15 183 16 219 71648 68469 21 235 19 204 22 224 68469 65523 25 229 32 225 34 228 65523 62799 32 231 37 228 43 220 62799 60169 36 218 38 229 45 225 60169 57422 42 227 45 236 50 229 57422 54555 57 236 63 234 61 231 54555 51800 75 234 63 228 68 235 51800 49311 79 229 73 236 77 236 49311 47061 83 234 92 233 86 235 47061 44998 95 236 100 230 94 234 44998 43096 100 233 103 230 101 234 43096 41344 99 229 105 226 106 231 41344 39730 96 228 104 226 109 228 39730 38233 96 224 107 223 110 224 38233 36829 94 223 104 218 110 223 36829 35473 96 224 100 216 118 224 35473 34095 100 224 100 224 127 222 34095 32666 99 222 104 226 130 220 32666 31188 95 221 104 223 130 220 31188 29648 92 218 102 219 128 220 29648 28036 92 217 100 216 116 217 28036 26348 91 218 98 212 97 219 26348 24581 88 221 92 206 79 236 24581 22742 86 221 89 206 79 237 22742 20832 87 216 85 215 74 236 20832 18840 94 206 71 230 67 248 18840 16761 88 201 61 231 66 257 16761 14639 78 201 58 223 62 261 14639 12595 68 200 54 224 55 269 12595 10741 57 200 51 229 53 279 10741 9109 50 200 49 228 49 282 9109 7680 42 198 43 238 41 299 7680 6430 27 198 42 273 39 316 6430 5330 8 293 44 312 39 321 5330 4357 30 332 45 331 37 321 4357 3500 34 339 40 340 35 321 3500 2744 34*340 33 347 31 320 2744 2069 34*340 27 351 25 318 2069 1475 32 340 23 352 19 316 1475 981 31 340 20*352 13 313 981 604 28 340 17*352 10 310 604 345 25 340 15 351 8*310 345 187 21 340 13 351 7*309 187 97 15 340 10 352 5 309 97 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography