DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/07 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 67.1 - - 66.1 - - 54.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 166 - - -6 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3858 - - 2879 - - 18 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2355 - - 82 - - 82 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3938 - - 2959 - - 98 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2215 - - 4318 - - 77 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 350 - - 77 - - 4 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 16 - - 14 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 258 - - 269 - - 264 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 11 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -840 - - -1636 - - -2240 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4778 - - 4595 - - 2338 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2001 - - -2297 - - -5496 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5939 - - 5256 - - 5594 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 72 - - 79 - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 30 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 67.1 - - 66.1 - - 54.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 46.4 - - 46.4 - - 44.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 66.2 - - 66.6 - - 57.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 46.0 - - 46.0 - - 44.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 166 - - -6 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3858 - - 2879 - - 18 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 17 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96596 41 261 47 263 51 259 96596 89304 23 252 33 254 34 265 89304 83746 21 254 23 266 23 260 83746 79144 20 255 18 278 14 285 79144 75173 16 281 20 283 21 297 75173 71679 12 287 13 286 17 260 71679 68532 5 270 2 189 13 311 68532 65616 27 282 26 298 12 342 65616 62865 35 277 35 273 30 295 62865 60185 32 276 39 262 44 284 60185 57395 37 265 45 272 50 284 57395 54491 43 272 50 280 58 280 54491 51709 53 278 57 276 61 276 51709 49200 60 275 60 275 65 278 49200 46948 63 271 65 276 71 281 46948 44912 67 269 72 277 77 282 44912 43061 73 271 78 277 80 283 43061 41367 80 273 81 278 79 283 41367 39807 87 275 80 280 75 284 39807 38365 90 275 80 280 79 287 38365 37016 90 275 78 278 79 283 37016 35713 88 277 76 282 71 281 35713 34388 93 278 82 286 68 283 34388 33011 96 276 86 284 64 287 33011 31579 92 275 81 282 61 293 31579 30079 86 278 75 284 59 295 30079 28494 85 279 75 286 56 292 28494 26824 85 280 76 287 57 290 26824 25068 80 279 73 287 61 289 25068 23228 73 276 67 286 61 290 23228 21306 70 274 61 281 58 291 21306 19296 69 274 56 277 54 289 19296 17193 66 273 53 276 49 286 17193 15048 59 270 49 277 44 280 15048 12983 53 265 43 275 37 279 12983 11113 47 263 37 275 29 272 11113 9460 40 264 33 279 25 272 9460 8002 36 270 30 285 21 279 8002 6714 33 275 26 285 18 283 6714 5571 29 277 23 284 17 286 5571 4557 24*275 21 281 17 287 4557 3664 19*268 19*277 16 286 3664 2875 18 262 17*273 15 286 2875 2169 16 257 16 270 14 286 2169 1547 15 255 15 268 12 288 1547 1028 15 253 14 267 10 289 1028 630 14 252 13 266 9 286 630 357 13 252 11 265 7 274 357 192 12 251 10 265 4 261 192 98 10 251 7 264 2*264 98 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography