DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/03 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.7 - - 96.7 - - 97.7 - - 90.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 207 - - 270 - - 106 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1362 - - 5994 - - 6965 - - 21 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 671 - - 4239 - - 4366 - - 85 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1442 - - 6074 - - 7045 - - 101 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1193 - - 1706 - - 1761 - - 6117 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 268 - - 480 - - 373 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 13 - - 13 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 229 - - 272 - - 274 - - 193 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2013 - - -1274 - - -751 - - -5225 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3456 - - 7349 - - 7797 - - 5327 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4276 - - -4304 - - -3011 - - -8173 ODpotential blCL - - - 5718 - - 10378 - - 10056 - - 8274 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 64 - - 81 - - 40 maxRH CAPE - - - 2020 - - 800 - - 740 - - 1080 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.7 - - 96.7 - - 97.7 - - 90.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 72.7 - - 64.8 - - 63.9 - - 67.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 86.3 - - 95.0 - - 96.9 - - 93.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 72.2 - - 64.1 - - 63.3 - - 66.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 207 - - 270 - - 106 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1362 - - 5994 - - 6965 - - 21 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 22 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 17 - - 12 - - 12 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99044 15 092 21 109 6 116 10 042 99044 91592 6 088 18 111 12 123 9 073 91592 85831 8 116 8 111 12 078 12 107 85831 81046 11 113 6 146 10 051 9 089 81046 76930 10 091 5 097 10 082 7 097 76930 73296 8 048 10 066 7 093 6 109 73296 70014 7 041 10 052 5 100 5 072 70014 67008 7 024 10 027 7 058 8 032 67008 64237 6 057 5 018 5 348 8 357 64237 61575 11 005 6 033 7 328 12 339 61575 58829 11 342 9 353 9 314 14 297 58829 56018 23 336 13 337 18 329 17 315 56018 53371 28 324 22 315 23 308 24 294 53371 50988 30 331 24 324 24 324 23 308 50988 48834 40 330 33 329 35 319 39 319 48834 46869 45 330 33 327 37 316 41 318 46869 45058 43 334 34 331 39 319 39 317 45058 43372 36 335 34 333 39 322 36 316 43372 41791 29 331 30 334 39 324 34 314 41791 40301 30 325 29 327 31 314 31 309 40301 38891 31 315 32 316 25 305 31 300 38891 37522 29 305 32 310 23 304 31 293 37522 36124 24 301 29 310 23 306 25 290 36124 34666 22 295 27 310 25 306 25 293 34666 33150 23 291 22 309 26 316 25 307 33150 31561 24 294 20 305 22 319 22 318 31561 29888 22 301 22 300 19 307 15 309 29888 28127 19 306 23 307 19 306 14 284 28127 26279 19 302 19 302 20 304 19 292 26279 24349 19 301 17 288 21 293 21 296 24349 22343 19 298 18 291 21 289 21 294 22343 20252 18 303 18 301 21 297 19 295 20252 18072 20 303 20 307 20 308 16 300 18072 15855 16 289 23 297 23 309 16 301 15855 13722 16 295 21 286 23 301 17 304 13722 11779 17 298 20 296 22 296 20 313 11779 10048 16 284 17 294 22 305 21 314 10048 8507 16 274 14 288 18 302 21 312 8507 7137 13 274 10*291 8*278 13 293 7137 5921 11 280 7*286 7*272 9 265 5921 4844 11 283 7 277 7 271 8 255 4844 3895 10 285 7 273 6 271 8 247 3895 3056 9 280 7 270 5 273 8 241 3056 2306 8 255 7 268 5 275 7 236 2306 1644 7*240 6 267 4 277 7 232 1644 1092 6*231 6 266 4 278 6 228 1092 669 6 229 6 266 4 280 6 223 669 378 5 227 5 267 4 282 5 216 378 202 4 227 5 266 3 281 4 205 202 101 4 227 4 266 3 281 3*193 101 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography