DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/05 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 76.4 - - 77.8 - - 66.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 159 - - 20 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3514 - - 3971 - - 19 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2108 - - 83 - - 83 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3594 - - 4051 - - 99 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1838 - - 1625 - - 1475 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 340 - - 190 - - 9 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 15 - - 14 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 232 - - 223 - - 195 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 8 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - 4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -270 - - -627 - - -1093 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3865 - - 4678 - - 1193 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1783 - - -3647 - - -5736 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5377 - - 7698 - - 5835 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 78 - - 79 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 460 - - 370 - - 180 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 76.4 - - 77.8 - - 66.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 60.0 - - 57.8 - - 61.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 75.6 - - 77.7 - - 68.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 59.2 - - 57.2 - - 61.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 159 - - 20 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3514 - - 3971 - - 19 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 11 - - 16 - - 17 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 10 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96282 22 249 30 265 28 263 96282 89164 19 268 29 241 25 263 89164 83674 26 255 28 248 20 278 83674 79124 24 258 21 262 19 255 79124 75187 27 274 21 305 10 281 75187 71712 30 277 34 286 29 301 71712 68605 27 272 31 262 34 294 68605 65742 23 282 33 297 36 294 65742 63069 40 292 42 293 45 285 63069 60482 47 290 48 284 45 279 60482 57773 57 281 52 275 48 287 57773 54945 65 277 53 276 57 286 54945 52231 69 279 60 282 60 283 52231 49770 75 278 71 286 64 281 49770 47553 79 273 83 276 70 278 47553 45542 79 266 83 270 74 273 45542 43708 62 264 71 264 72 272 43708 42033 42 278 55 264 59 272 42033 40501 44 285 48 269 44 278 40501 39080 46 276 49 251 43 274 39080 37736 50 264 49 246 46 261 37736 36427 49 259 47 247 48 251 36427 35087 44 254 45 247 42 247 35087 33687 42 254 46 248 37 246 33687 32230 41 254 47 251 39 244 32230 30702 40 254 47 253 45 246 30702 29088 39 253 48 255 47 249 29088 27389 37 253 48 255 47 251 27389 25604 37 253 48 254 47 255 25604 23738 37 257 47 253 49 258 23738 21792 37 261 45 255 51 260 21792 19755 35 261 43 257 49 260 19755 17622 34 261 41 259 44 259 17622 15439 33 250 38 252 38 253 15439 13336 32 240 35 244 36 237 13336 11427 34 233 34 235 37 228 11427 9731 33 234 36 236 38 226 9731 8222 30 238 35 240 37 228 8222 6882 26 248 30 243 34 233 6882 5696 20 259 20 243 30 234 5696 4650 21 255 17*228 27 231 4650 3733 20*244 16*225 30 223 3733 2927 18*234 15 224 31 218 2927 2208 17 233 15 223 30 214 2208 1574 16 232 14 223 28 211 1574 1046 15 231 13 222 26 207 1046 641 14 230 12 222 23 203 641 363 14 230 12 222 18 199 363 195 12 230 10 222 14 197 195 99 10 229 8 222 7*195 99 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography