DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/11 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.1 - - 84.2 - - 85.4 - - 77.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 127 - - 207 - - 31 - - -66 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 668 - - 3819 - - 4907 - - 20 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 83 - - 2453 - - 1498 - - 84 Hcrit BL Top - - - 748 - - 3899 - - 4987 - - 100 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 544 - - 2111 - - 1914 - - 800 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 179 - - 379 - - 236 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 18 - - 26 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 182 - - 211 - - 210 - - 195 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 13 - - 18 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -10 - - -8 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2980 - - -1374 - - -736 - - -3965 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3728 - - 5273 - - 5723 - - 4066 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6424 - - -3277 - - -3499 - - -8091 ODpotential blCL - - - 7172 - - 7176 - - 8486 - - 8191 blCL maxRH - - - 64 - - 84 - - 77 - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - 240 - - 720 - - 740 - - 290 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.1 - - 84.2 - - 85.4 - - 77.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 60.2 - - 61.4 - - 60.6 - - 60.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.3 - - 83.1 - - 85.4 - - 80.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.8 - - 60.8 - - 60.0 - - 60.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 127 - - 207 - - 31 - - -66 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 668 - - 3819 - - 4907 - - 20 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 38 - - 10 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 11 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96331 21 261 15 263 27 270 19 298 96331 89272 4 324 11 258 15 277 16 280 89272 83811 4 033 8 280 7 295 9 269 83811 79273 6 322 10 271 7 273 6 306 79273 75364 7 263 4 255 4 258 12 308 75364 71906 10 264 11 263 7 275 7 266 71906 68766 16 255 14 273 15 274 6 242 68766 65882 20 271 17 256 23 258 17 267 65882 63220 26 282 17 251 17 228 23 251 63220 60641 36 267 19 274 23 261 30 246 60641 57937 38 243 38 269 39 263 29 253 57937 55119 49 255 58 256 55 256 52 266 55119 52425 59 256 60 258 62 261 56 260 52425 49985 66 267 74 275 71 268 65 265 49985 47782 83 272 77 273 81 271 78 266 47782 45781 76 268 69 270 73 267 77 262 45781 43964 70 263 63 262 55 261 63 255 43964 42308 47 275 52 256 43 259 52 259 42308 40772 39 291 36 265 37 271 44 262 40772 39330 48 287 48 275 37 275 45 266 39330 37964 54 285 48 271 47 269 43 265 37964 36634 61 284 43 261 50 268 50 268 36634 35273 62 282 47 259 48 261 59 267 35273 33852 57 284 45 260 44 250 56 265 33852 32376 49 283 42 255 43 246 52 267 32376 30833 43 278 41 253 42 242 36 270 30833 29210 42 264 37 255 43 244 28 255 29210 27503 38 253 35 250 40 254 29 255 27503 25712 28 258 34 250 37 262 33 252 25712 23837 24 267 27 265 36 265 39 256 23837 21883 25 264 25 274 38 266 45 267 21883 19842 31 259 29 264 41 266 47 264 19842 17706 34 251 35 266 49 267 45 259 17706 15526 32 243 37 261 49 266 43 256 15526 13427 31 245 44 249 45 262 41 253 13427 11517 28 249 35 255 38 245 40 250 11517 9817 21 246 25 251 30 241 37 251 9817 8306 22 241 34 231 28 237 35 247 8306 6966 23 231 39 236 33 227 38 239 6966 5778 24 220 35 237 32*218 40 228 5778 4728 23 217 29*231 30*213 41 224 4728 3801 20 216 23*223 29 211 41 221 3801 2983 17 213 20 214 28 210 41 217 2983 2251 15 214 18 209 27 209 40 214 2251 1605 14 211 17 207 26 209 38 210 1605 1066 13*199 17 206 25 208 35 206 1066 653 10*183 16 206 23 208 30 202 653 369 9 182 15 205 21 207 21 198 369 198 9 182 14 205 18 207 18 197 198 100 7 181 11 204 13 207 9*195 100 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography