DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/05 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 88.6 - - 78.8 - - 76.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 265 - - 16 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4696 - - 1572 - - 1147 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3224 - - 84 - - 83 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4776 - - 1652 - - 1227 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1449 - - 1257 - - 1571 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 439 - - 141 - - 64 W* B/S - - - - - - 9 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 334 - - 355 - - 007 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 9 - - 3 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - 15 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 304 - - 345 - - 539 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4473 - - 1307 - - 688 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -606 - - -1320 - - 218 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5382 - - 2972 - - 1009 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 88 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1590 - - 1640 - - 1480 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 88.6 - - 78.8 - - 76.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 69.0 - - 72.9 - - 72.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 87.0 - - 78.7 - - 76.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 68.5 - - 72.2 - - 72.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 265 - - 16 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4696 - - 1572 - - 1147 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 53 - - 100 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 14 - - 17 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98863 21 098 10 125 8 074 98863 91455 18 088 9 127 12 047 91455 85710 11 073 10 083 11 087 85710 80915 9 114 9 063 11 117 80915 76790 7 139 7 056 9 091 76790 73146 6 126 5 326 7 036 73146 69846 3 113 1 282 7 014 69846 66825 1 332 2 229 5 316 66825 64046 3 057 1 212 5 269 64046 61380 12 347 8 022 6 314 61380 58604 18 312 17 315 12 310 58604 55733 18 286 25 299 25 307 55733 53006 28 293 34 282 30 305 53006 50560 36 287 36 284 40 295 50560 48381 40 289 41 288 43 283 48381 46407 48 286 47 279 42 283 46407 44585 51 277 44 266 43 284 44585 42892 43 273 37 266 43 276 42892 41317 38 288 38 286 49 268 41317 39844 41 291 49 288 53 260 39844 38452 37 284 52 280 49 260 38452 37099 37 277 49 275 48 262 37099 35714 33 263 44 266 48 263 35714 34268 31 274 37 262 46 265 34268 32765 35 285 34 266 40 267 32765 31190 35 285 35 276 36 273 31190 29529 33 286 35 282 39 286 29529 27783 33 289 34 285 38 293 27783 25951 37 292 34 286 37 296 25951 24036 46 289 37 283 34 299 24036 22047 51 283 39 282 29 309 22047 19974 43 280 37 285 29 313 19974 17808 29 274 35 293 31 314 17808 15599 28 269 38 303 31 314 15599 13475 26 280 40 301 32 320 13475 11545 27 299 38 293 28 328 11545 9830 33 309 33 288 25 321 9830 8312 33 308 25 284 22 312 8312 6966 27 306 15 278 20 307 6966 5773 21*315 8 256 13 304 5773 4716 14*325 5 247 9 303 4716 3788 11 330 3 283 5 314 3788 2970 9 334 5 348 5 356 2970 2240 9 336 8*354 7 004 2240 1597 8 337 8*344 7*001 1597 1061 8 339 9 356 7*004 1061 651 8 339 9 358 7 007 651 369 7 340 9 358 6 008 369 198 7 341 8 359 6 008 198 100 6 340 6 357 4 009 100 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography