DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/06 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 32.2 - - 41.0 - - 42.3 - - 35.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 173 - - 308 - - 65 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 985 - - 2916 - - 4963 - - 682 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 80 - - 1919 - - 2361 - - 80 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1065 - - 2996 - - 5043 - - 762 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 860 - - 960 - - 795 - - 1626 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 223 - - 389 - - 277 - - 48 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 7 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 11 - - 15 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 191 - - 227 - - 239 - - 245 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 4 - - 8 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 2 - - 10 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4214 - - -3236 - - -947 - - -867 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5279 - - 6232 - - 5990 - - 1630 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13256 - - -10241 - - -6219 - - -2162 ODpotential blCL - - - 14321 - - 13237 - - 11262 - - 2924 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 80 - - 95 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 32.2 - - 41.0 - - 42.3 - - 35.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 9.4 - - 13.7 - - 15.9 - - 28.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 31.4 - - 39.5 - - 42.1 - - 35.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 9.0 - - 13.1 - - 15.8 - - 28.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 173 - - 308 - - 65 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 985 - - 2916 - - 4963 - - 682 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 20 - - 79 - - 90 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96271 48 218 37 218 40 241 26 255 96271 89100 33 225 30 216 28 244 25 244 89100 83568 17 252 16 233 21 232 21 243 83568 78945 14 275 8 252 14 239 14 256 78945 74951 17 278 13 287 9 235 15 271 74951 71412 19 269 15 290 12 281 24 278 71412 68215 21 283 20 278 18 280 27 275 68215 65264 27 280 21 263 21 286 27 268 65264 62503 29 281 25 273 32 287 28 292 62503 59813 37 282 37 279 41 284 45 289 59813 56996 46 275 44 278 53 279 50 272 56996 54049 49 267 48 277 48 272 53 268 54049 51216 46 268 51 274 44 285 56 270 51216 48647 47 272 54 273 68 282 68 276 48647 46333 50 272 54 275 76 270 76 274 46333 44224 53 270 55 277 68 272 76 271 44224 42283 53 268 63 275 71 277 74 272 42283 40488 53 270 68 269 71 277 72 274 40488 38821 55 273 66 267 68 276 70 275 38821 37267 54 273 63 270 69 273 70 278 37267 35813 49 273 64 271 71 271 72 280 35813 34418 47 273 64 274 70 271 71 281 34418 33015 50 274 67 279 68 273 68 281 33015 31575 56 275 68 281 69 274 67 279 31575 30101 58 275 68 280 76 273 65 275 30101 28582 56 277 68 282 79 271 60 274 28582 27008 52 278 69 285 77 269 55 276 27008 25387 51 276 67 285 70 262 52 279 25387 23711 51 278 67 291 64 256 54 276 23711 21970 50 285 66 288 65 260 55 274 21970 20158 47 288 58 297 61 261 55 276 20158 18267 45 287 47 285 55 264 53 278 18267 16291 43 284 42 280 49 267 50 278 16291 14271 42 284 41 282 45 264 44 280 14271 12321 40 287 39 275 47 259 43 283 12321 10546 34 287 37 269 46 256 41 280 10546 8971 31 281 34 271 43 258 36 280 8971 7578 28 273 26 271 40 265 32 289 7578 6346 23 267 24 261 33 262 32 291 6346 5255 17 265 22 253 23*250 30 287 5255 4293 12 265 18 247 17*241 27 280 4293 3447 9 268 13*235 16 239 27 271 3447 2703 7 275 12*230 16 239 24 260 2703 2039 4 299 11 229 15 238 20 249 2039 1455 1*313 11 227 15 238 18 246 1455 969 2*193 11 225 14 238 17*246 969 597 3 192 10 225 13 238 15*245 597 341 3 190 9 223 12 238 13 245 341 185 3 191 9 223 11 238 11 245 185 97 3 189 7 223 9 238 7 244 97 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography