DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/01 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.6 - - 82.8 - - 72.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 137 - - 9 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4844 - - 3228 - - 20 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3036 - - 84 - - 84 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4924 - - 3308 - - 100 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1096 - - 1950 - - 97 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 368 - - 160 - - 9 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 13 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 235 - - 222 - - 184 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -5 - - -11 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 342 - - -1475 - - -1995 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4582 - - 4783 - - 2095 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -4555 - - -5820 - - -7998 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9479 - - 9128 - - 8098 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 77 - - 67 - - 55 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.6 - - 82.8 - - 72.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 62.9 - - 62.3 - - 64.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 81.8 - - 82.9 - - 75.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 61.8 - - 61.5 - - 63.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 137 - - 9 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4844 - - 3228 - - 20 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 11 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98106 17 249 10 186 19 223 98106 90748 13 213 6 274 2 278 90748 85073 12 155 8 278 9 358 85073 80380 5 073 5 239 9 333 80380 76354 8 020 2 353 6 331 76354 72804 8 017 9 005 7 345 72804 69598 8 010 7 013 3 007 69598 66666 7 003 9 353 5 011 66666 63971 7 008 9 335 10 348 63971 61380 11 015 9 009 14 333 61380 58670 17 358 14 356 12 342 58670 55864 20 339 15 342 20 330 55864 53201 27 003 20 026 6 033 53201 50815 50 352 50 359 41 358 50815 48700 53 336 54 349 40 005 48700 46782 37 333 45 350 39 004 46782 45002 35 014 33 354 38 002 45002 43337 40 019 30 004 29 005 43337 41770 36 009 25 360 24 358 41770 40290 34 003 21 353 17 340 40290 38886 35 358 18 350 16 324 38886 37519 36 356 18 351 19 313 37519 36118 29 350 22 342 22 314 36118 34654 23 338 28 329 23 321 34654 33128 24 327 30 327 23 319 33128 31524 23 320 24 330 20 311 31524 29832 21 320 18 321 18 306 29832 28057 18 315 13 311 16 292 28057 26196 17 297 15 302 18 286 26196 24253 20 282 19 296 19 296 24253 22232 21 290 19 292 17 301 22232 20127 18 300 17 290 16 295 20127 17930 11 303 14 279 15 280 17930 15686 7 310 13 272 15 276 15686 13532 11 295 13 282 13 292 13532 11583 13 288 14 289 10 305 11583 9859 12 276 14 284 8 297 9859 8332 10 277 14 279 7 284 8332 6979 9 280 14 272 8 277 6979 5782 11*260 15 261 9 258 5782 4726 12*246 15 246 12 239 4726 3799 12 243 15*235 15 226 3799 2981 12 237 14*228 17 217 2981 2250 12 233 14 224 17 208 2250 1604 11 231 13 222 16 202 1604 1066 11 229 13 220 16 199 1066 653 10 228 12 219 14 197 653 369 10 227 11 218 13 194 369 198 9 227 10 217 10*190 198 100 7 226 7 216 4*184 100 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography