DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/12 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0949z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.0 - - 67.3 - - 65.1 - - 59.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 30 - - 51 - - -14 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 580 - - 3620 - - 19 - - 18 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 82 - - 1244 - - 82 - - 82 Hcrit BL Top - - - 660 - - 3700 - - 99 - - 98 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 449 - - 2881 - - 6575 - - 4248 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 110 - - 241 - - 15 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 17 - - 5 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 226 - - 251 - - 226 - - 261 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -8 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1127 - - -690 - - -3626 - - -2614 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1787 - - 4390 - - 3725 - - 2712 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4713 - - -1791 - - -4785 - - -4001 ODpotential blCL - - - 5373 - - 5491 - - 4884 - - 4099 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 100 - - 56 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 40 - - 120 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.0 - - 67.3 - - 65.1 - - 59.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.3 - - 48.0 - - 48.8 - - 47.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.0 - - 67.2 - - 66.1 - - 60.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.7 - - 47.2 - - 48.1 - - 47.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 30 - - 51 - - -14 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 580 - - 3620 - - 19 - - 18 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 9 - - 101 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96518 66 244 75 235 85 254 77 252 96518 89185 45 251 47 251 50 250 48 249 89185 83597 29 251 30 248 35 242 35 240 83597 78952 23 248 25 248 27 252 27 249 78952 74955 25 254 25 253 22 254 21 261 74955 71428 22 255 14 233 18 239 19 261 71428 68229 22 258 16 260 17 243 23 251 68229 65278 26 259 21 263 22 249 24 250 65278 62528 25 251 24 250 23 252 26 251 62528 59844 29 257 28 248 33 250 38 249 59844 57030 39 263 41 249 39 244 43 244 57030 54100 56 252 51 246 47 251 56 252 54100 51300 64 240 59 244 62 248 66 243 51300 48783 68 237 67 239 69 240 66 239 48783 46528 69 235 68 234 68 234 72 241 46528 44484 66 238 67 237 65 236 79 239 44484 42615 71 244 75 240 77 243 85 236 42615 40890 87 237 90 234 94 240 86 234 40890 39285 86 229 95 227 97 234 81 233 39285 37783 80 231 89 224 93 226 78 236 37783 36375 89 241 85 230 81 233 82 238 36375 35026 106 241 90 237 89 240 90 236 35026 33667 110 236 99 241 100 241 93 236 33667 32269 112 233 108 237 108 238 95 234 32269 30835 109 231 115 231 107 237 96 231 30835 29348 106 231 118 231 104 238 91 229 29348 27795 106 230 116 232 98 239 86 230 27795 26171 107 229 111 237 88 240 83 231 26171 24468 103 229 91 237 73 241 78 232 24468 22685 93 228 79 232 60 240 69 233 22685 20825 82 224 79 230 51 241 59 234 20825 18883 69 228 74 234 48 242 46 238 18883 16854 54 231 58 238 47 243 39 241 16854 14780 49 234 48 240 47 245 34 242 14780 12776 44 240 42 241 43 245 35 243 12776 10951 35 237 40 237 36 246 38 240 10951 9334 36 241 39 234 33 242 40 236 9334 7905 35 248 37 235 35 240 37 235 7905 6634 33 250 31 236 33 245 27 244 6634 5504 30 239 29 240 30 246 24 251 5504 4503 26 230 24*248 28 245 23 261 4503 3622 24 229 20*253 23 238 24 276 3622 2844 22 234 19 253 20 232 27 279 2844 2149 21 238 17 252 18 231 28 276 2149 1534 21 236 16 250 16 231 27 274 1534 1021 19*232 16 249 15 231 25 271 1021 627 15*229 15 249 13 231 22 269 627 356 12 226 14 248 10 229 17 265 356 192 10 225 12 247 8*228 14 264 192 98 8 225 9 247 5*226 7*261 98 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography