DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/12 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 83.8 - - 83.5 - - 79.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 50 - - 13 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2428 - - 2114 - - 20 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 84 - - 84 - - 84 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2508 - - 2194 - - 100 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2882 - - 3361 - - 3942 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 224 - - 149 - - 11 W* B/S - - - - - - 12 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 162 - - 151 - - 141 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 12 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 528 - - 397 - - -421 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1980 - - 1797 - - 521 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -103 - - -297 - - -1378 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2611 - - 2491 - - 1478 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 2220 - - 2550 - - 2690 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 83.8 - - 83.5 - - 79.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 75.0 - - 75.5 - - 76.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 83.3 - - 83.5 - - 80.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 73.9 - - 74.7 - - 76.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 50 - - 13 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2428 - - 2114 - - 20 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 98 - - 100 - - 67 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 18 - - 18 - - 20 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98821 13 118 3 180 6 038 98821 91465 12 100 15 134 5 106 91465 85770 11 070 15 113 13 129 85770 81014 7 090 8 096 13 124 81014 76891 7 142 3 165 5 130 76891 73262 6 162 9 182 4 231 73262 69993 5 189 5 161 8 190 69993 66982 5 202 3 205 4 225 66982 64194 7 214 6 249 6 259 64194 61505 10 208 13 252 11 270 61505 58722 7 198 14 236 12 253 58722 55868 9 250 15 234 15 242 55868 53176 17 256 18 246 17 236 53176 50780 25 267 24 257 20 259 50780 48655 34 263 33 259 28 255 48655 46736 36 265 36 256 33 245 46736 44964 32 272 33 253 35 249 44964 43305 30 262 32 248 35 251 43305 41744 32 254 33 247 35 252 41744 40266 32 250 33 248 35 252 40266 38861 32 250 32 248 34 253 38861 37491 31 250 30 249 34 253 37491 36089 31 242 29 255 33 252 36089 34624 29 236 30 257 33 252 34624 33101 26 235 30 251 30 251 33101 31508 23 241 29 248 23 248 31508 29829 23 247 28 253 24 244 29829 28059 20 240 26 255 25 244 28059 26202 17 227 23 244 21 244 26202 24261 14 215 17 232 21 228 24261 22241 13 208 18 228 20 219 22241 20140 11 204 17 223 16 216 20140 17955 11 209 14 223 12 218 17955 15730 11 219 13 227 10 220 15730 13587 12 236 12 227 10 212 13587 11639 13 243 11 221 13 202 11639 9910 10 232 10 203 15 206 9910 8381 8 211 11 202 13 206 8381 7023 9 204 10 213 12 208 7023 5819 10 197 10 207 13 206 5819 4758 9 188 8 196 14 200 4758 3825 8 185 7 191 13 199 3825 3001 7*180 6 179 12 196 3001 2265 5*173 5*172 10 193 2265 1615 4 167 4*160 9 190 1615 1073 4 161 4 153 8 180 1073 658 3 156 3 148 7 169 658 372 3 151 3 146 6 153 372 199 3 150 3 146 5 147 199 100 2 149 2 144 3*141 100 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography