DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/03 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1553z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.2 - - 65.7 - - 69.3 - - 61.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 98 - - 130 - - 6 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 341 - - 1096 - - 1361 - - 19 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 82 - - 82 - - 83 - - 82 Hcrit BL Top - - - 421 - - 1176 - - 1441 - - 99 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 422 - - 992 - - 1696 - - 319 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 132 - - 213 - - 92 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 37 - - 18 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 047 - - 183 - - 112 - - 091 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -1 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1033 - - -454 - - -1444 - - -1435 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1454 - - 1630 - - 2885 - - 1534 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5363 - - -3034 - - -4653 - - -7654 ODpotential blCL - - - 5784 - - 4210 - - 6094 - - 7753 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 94 - - 72 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.2 - - 65.7 - - 69.3 - - 61.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.5 - - 59.1 - - 57.3 - - 55.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.5 - - 64.8 - - 69.4 - - 63.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.9 - - 58.6 - - 56.9 - - 55.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 98 - - 130 - - 6 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 341 - - 1096 - - 1361 - - 19 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 42 - - 75 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96862 92 242 92 246 96 247 88 245 96862 89551 61 256 64 247 67 254 57 257 89551 83976 29 259 36 258 41 257 35 273 83976 79403 21 262 18 267 23 253 27 266 79403 75467 17 278 15 283 13 272 11 271 75467 72000 9 277 12 284 12 298 8 317 72000 68863 2 216 7 257 11 301 9 309 68863 65968 6 006 3 285 9 303 7 302 65968 63269 12 318 7 313 8 287 6 302 63269 60642 12 295 9 341 4 280 5 261 60642 57897 11 286 13 315 13 312 11 331 57897 55084 7 278 16 286 19 302 17 323 55084 52445 11 012 8 255 9 287 13 316 52445 50084 25 357 18 012 11 024 9 342 50084 47968 34 359 37 010 28 016 21 021 47968 46051 37 343 33 003 32 019 24 020 46051 44289 23 341 24 341 25 006 23 012 44289 42654 19 067 19 322 15 352 20 353 42654 41127 28 067 17 329 14 325 25 325 41127 39689 25 046 17 329 14 322 24 306 39689 38322 25 033 13 350 13 334 18 301 38322 36988 26 029 10 356 13 338 20 297 36988 35622 26 031 10 009 15 336 20 296 35622 34194 26 032 11 353 14 331 18 294 34194 32706 26 029 14 335 11 312 17 279 32706 31141 24 030 12 334 12 290 18 275 31141 29487 22 020 9 336 11 287 23 283 29487 27746 22 018 7 332 14 294 19 295 27746 25918 17 019 8 326 14 304 13 317 25918 24004 17 003 10 010 7 331 8 331 24004 22006 19 004 7 004 2 014 7 305 22006 19914 16 012 8 360 4 026 5 275 19914 17722 7 021 3 059 4 176 8 208 17722 15492 2 003 6 137 7 200 12 246 15492 13358 4 306 2 012 3 289 8 313 13358 11429 6 347 7 349 9 327 9 350 11429 9719 7 008 7 013 8 002 5 016 9719 8201 5 341 4 320 7 347 4 060 8201 6858 2 220 4 250 5 332 3 079 6858 5673 3 158 4 212 2 285 3 128 5673 4630 3 137 3 165 4 161 7 154 4630 3715 3 127 4 147 9 150 8 161 3715 2911 5 151 7 169 11 145 6 167 2911 2194 7 159 7 173 9 144 6 155 2194 1562 6 158 5*177 6*136 9 137 1562 1037 4 140 3*183 4*119 12 126 1037 635 2*107 2 183 4 113 13 116 635 360 1*060 2 184 3 109 12 107 360 194 1 042 2 185 3 107 9*100 194 99 1 043 2 183 3 106 4*091 99 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography