DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/13 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1553z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.8 - - 52.9 - - 50.6 - - 44.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 135 - - 173 - - 27 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3397 - - 4982 - - 3649 - - 17 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1919 - - 3213 - - 81 - - 81 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3477 - - 5062 - - 3729 - - 97 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1447 - - 1446 - - 2570 - - 4308 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 316 - - 387 - - 192 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 15 - - 15 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 314 - - 312 - - 321 - - 351 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -1 - - -7 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -73 - - 582 - - -475 - - -2354 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3550 - - 4480 - - 4204 - - 2451 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1318 - - 286 - - -1007 - - -3427 ODpotential blCL - - - 4795 - - 4776 - - 4736 - - 3524 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 100 - - 90 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.8 - - 52.9 - - 50.6 - - 44.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.5 - - 33.4 - - 32.4 - - 34.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.2 - - 52.2 - - 50.5 - - 46.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.6 - - 32.7 - - 31.9 - - 34.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 135 - - 173 - - 27 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3397 - - 4982 - - 3649 - - 17 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 45 - - 100 - - 61 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96498 64 238 70 246 74 252 70 256 96498 89193 45 245 50 248 50 245 52 252 89193 83644 37 242 37 244 32 245 35 237 83644 79031 26 244 25 238 27 255 23 249 79031 75027 22 224 23 241 27 251 25 267 75027 71491 17 229 22 239 26 233 30 255 71491 68304 16 276 12 235 22 223 35 241 68304 65359 25 273 16 254 21 241 33 227 65359 62604 33 260 25 250 26 234 29 231 62604 59921 30 264 24 254 25 245 28 235 59921 57104 38 271 38 266 35 252 30 257 57104 54159 59 247 59 248 52 254 47 255 54159 51334 68 239 70 241 67 240 64 238 51334 48783 79 242 76 237 72 233 69 234 48783 46489 91 238 85 235 79 233 73 235 46489 44405 98 234 95 233 86 233 77 235 44405 42494 101 232 96 229 90 231 82 232 42494 40727 102 230 97 226 91 228 86 228 40727 39085 103 228 97 225 91 226 87 223 39085 37552 101 227 96 224 88 226 83 221 37552 36117 102 231 97 226 85 227 76 222 36117 34739 107 234 105 227 86 226 72 223 34739 33348 110 233 118 225 92 223 73 223 33348 31919 108 231 119 223 99 221 76 223 31919 30458 108 232 114 225 94 222 77 222 30458 28959 109 233 106 227 88 222 73 222 28959 27409 100 235 94 228 82 220 66 219 27409 25795 83 236 88 227 74 222 56 217 25795 24107 74 240 76 230 64 226 50 220 24107 22340 70 242 65 236 59 229 47 221 22340 20496 61 244 59 238 54 231 46 225 20496 18565 52 247 52 239 49 231 44 228 18565 16544 40 256 45 241 43 233 38 231 16544 14479 32 265 39 251 34 239 29 239 14479 12498 32 268 32 260 23 254 24 257 12498 10710 31 271 31 263 23 283 22 263 10710 9127 31 272 23 272 21 285 24 270 9127 7719 28 283 19 286 18 280 25 280 7719 6467 26 291 18 291 17 278 22 289 6467 5358 27 295 16*297 16 285 19 312 5358 4381 24 300 15*304 16*295 20 332 4381 3523 18*308 15 308 16*311 20 342 3523 2766 16*312 15 311 16 319 19 347 2766 2089 16 313 15 313 16 321 19 350 2089 1491 16 314 15 314 15 323 18 353 1491 993 15 315 15 315 15 324 17 354 993 611 14 316 14 316 14 325 16 354 611 348 14 316 14 316 14 325 13 354 348 188 12 316 13 317 12 325 10 353 188 97 9 315 10 317 9 326 5*351 97 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography