DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/22 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 45.2 - - 45.5 - - 37.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 222 - - 18 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2164 - - 1694 - - 17 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1241 - - 81 - - 80 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2244 - - 1774 - - 97 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1111 - - 1127 - - 531 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 313 - - 127 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 10 - - 12 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 018 - - 070 - - 105 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -4632 - - -5486 - - -5005 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6876 - - 7260 - - 5103 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -16191 - - -17812 - - -18317 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 18435 - - 19586 - - 18414 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 55 - - 70 - - 38 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 45.2 - - 45.5 - - 37.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 15.8 - - 14.6 - - 16.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 43.9 - - 45.5 - - 39.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 15.5 - - 14.3 - - 16.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 222 - - 18 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2164 - - 1694 - - 17 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96053 53 241 47 249 42 249 96053 88951 32 241 36 250 35 249 88951 83452 25 232 31 250 30 240 83452 78880 33 244 34 259 32 261 78880 74949 30 241 30 255 27 275 74949 71483 22 257 23 262 28 275 71483 68338 23 279 27 282 31 284 68338 65444 29 288 29 290 46 298 65444 62774 38 281 46 292 51 291 62774 60192 45 282 47 289 48 296 60192 57470 49 286 47 300 64 305 57470 54615 60 299 68 301 75 299 54615 51870 80 293 75 296 79 293 51870 49389 83 287 80 294 82 291 49389 47163 79 286 84 289 86 290 47163 45144 81 288 82 286 86 291 45144 43301 85 289 77 288 86 294 43301 41613 90 290 86 294 90 298 41613 40063 95 289 104 292 98 297 40063 38627 100 289 109 286 105 291 38627 37279 102 289 106 284 106 288 37279 35969 104 289 101 285 103 289 35969 34631 104 288 99 287 97 292 34631 33235 105 289 98 289 95 292 33235 31781 103 291 93 292 94 294 31781 30252 102 292 87 292 87 296 30252 28637 99 291 87 294 81 295 28637 26939 95 290 86 295 77 293 26939 25155 91 291 84 296 73 292 25155 23283 88 294 83 297 70 292 23283 21325 84 296 82 297 68 291 21325 19278 79 299 77 297 64 293 19278 17145 71 300 71 298 64 300 17145 14975 61 303 61 300 57 300 14975 12889 45 314 47 302 50 299 12889 11000 32 311 33 301 41 297 11000 9329 30 301 26 298 33 292 9329 7852 26 303 26 302 27 292 7852 6549 17 310 21 306 19 296 6549 5406 13 309 14 306 10 297 5406 4403 10 309 10 299 7 299 4403 3525 8 317 8 294 5 281 3525 2757 6*344 4 283 5 233 2757 2076 5*009 1*266 6 202 2076 1478 6 016 1*082 7 168 1478 982 6 018 2 070 9 132 982 603 6 020 2 068 12 115 603 343 6 021 2 069 11 109 343 186 5 021 2 067 9*108 186 97 5 022 2 067 4*105 97 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography