DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/06 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.3 - - 82.1 - - 77.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 136 - - 117 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4688 - - 5584 - - 20 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2856 - - 3406 - - 83 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4768 - - 5664 - - 100 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1615 - - 1965 - - 4066 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 352 - - 355 - - 11 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 30 - - 25 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 212 - - 236 - - 206 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 18 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -6 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1881 - - -210 - - -5206 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6650 - - 5875 - - 5306 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -4045 - - -684 - - -7525 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8813 - - 6348 - - 7625 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 98 - - 43 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 30 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.3 - - 82.1 - - 77.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 52.5 - - 56.6 - - 55.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 80.8 - - 81.6 - - 79.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 52.1 - - 56.3 - - 55.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 136 - - 117 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4688 - - 5584 - - 20 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 100 - - 91 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 10 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97882 14 254 15 289 12 318 97882 90576 13 268 16 280 16 319 90576 84947 18 257 17 274 20 306 84947 80249 14 259 16 271 15 278 80249 76165 13 254 14 242 13 255 76165 72521 12 257 17 255 21 258 72521 69227 19 254 18 264 22 248 69227 66210 17 258 16 290 13 293 66210 63413 31 289 37 284 32 288 63413 60716 45 275 51 270 51 276 60716 57932 48 264 43 266 50 268 57932 55062 51 274 50 280 48 276 55062 52321 62 272 63 276 68 278 52321 49870 67 263 79 271 88 269 49870 47703 68 276 89 274 95 263 47703 45752 95 286 101 276 91 270 45752 43969 113 284 109 277 108 278 43969 42320 111 283 111 276 114 278 42320 40777 108 282 109 274 110 276 40777 39326 102 281 104 274 107 275 39326 37953 93 278 95 273 103 275 37953 36620 86 272 84 267 97 274 36620 35259 79 266 79 258 89 270 35259 33838 73 258 74 251 81 268 33838 32362 69 251 64 246 73 266 32362 30812 65 252 57 250 68 265 30812 29179 69 262 53 254 69 267 29179 27463 72 271 52 254 66 269 27463 25661 61 277 53 254 61 268 25661 23776 51 276 52 253 56 265 23776 21812 50 270 51 250 52 270 21812 19760 45 254 49 245 49 274 19760 17620 40 269 48 245 44 282 17620 15443 40 273 45 249 36 280 15443 13346 40 262 33 243 32 263 13346 11440 44 258 29 236 30 268 11440 9753 47 253 33 243 32 265 9753 8256 44 246 34 255 31 251 8256 6926 42 241 31 252 37 241 6926 5746 39*232 27*238 38 236 5746 4701 34*218 26*235 34 232 4701 3780 32 214 26 235 32 228 3780 2967 31 212 26 235 31 226 2967 2239 31 211 26 236 29 222 2239 1597 30 210 25 236 27 219 1597 1061 29 210 25 237 24 215 1061 650 27 209 24 237 20 213 650 369 25 209 22 237 16 210 369 197 22 209 19 237 12*209 197 100 16 208 14 237 6*206 100 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography