DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/30 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 32.4 - - 37.7 - - 37.7 - - 31.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 183 - - 283 - - 48 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2673 - - 4036 - - 3663 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1527 - - 2728 - - 735 - - 80 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2753 - - 4116 - - 3743 - - 96 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1275 - - 662 - - 1216 - - 804 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 316 - - 420 - - 226 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 16 - - 17 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 285 - - 282 - - 283 - - 252 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 7 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -3 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2820 - - -2860 - - -3525 - - -5784 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5573 - - 6976 - - 7268 - - 5880 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13736 - - -12738 - - -13859 - - -17929 ODpotential blCL - - - 16489 - - 16854 - - 17602 - - 18025 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 52 - - 49 - - 33 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 32.4 - - 37.7 - - 37.7 - - 31.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 8.2 - - 7.2 - - 5.9 - - 5.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 31.7 - - 36.6 - - 37.6 - - 32.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 8.0 - - 7.0 - - 5.7 - - 5.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 183 - - 283 - - 48 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2673 - - 4036 - - 3663 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95659 69 225 82 226 93 237 96 231 95659 88446 69 224 73 226 74 234 72 227 88446 82878 57 229 62 225 61 223 61 224 82878 78268 45 232 47 222 52 221 65 222 78268 74309 34 230 39 226 47 225 65 220 74309 70807 31 235 41 230 47 227 58 229 70807 67627 42 241 45 234 52 228 60 231 67627 64689 51 237 51 236 58 232 57 237 64689 61954 56 237 58 242 64 238 62 245 61954 59301 63 234 68 242 71 238 73 245 59301 56527 68 240 72 235 71 238 78 238 56527 53623 72 244 72 244 75 239 80 246 53623 50843 83 250 85 249 83 246 95 250 50843 48349 100 251 96 248 97 249 94 246 48349 46104 110 246 103 247 103 247 91 246 46104 44060 111 241 107 243 105 243 95 251 44060 42207 110 241 111 240 103 240 100 250 42207 40521 108 242 107 238 97 241 92 245 40521 38964 112 244 99 239 97 244 79 237 38964 37501 120 243 98 243 94 244 70 250 37501 36122 130 242 105 245 83 244 73 255 36122 34798 139 239 114 244 72 245 74 256 34798 33460 140 237 119 241 66 251 67 259 33460 32080 133 237 110 239 65 260 59 272 32080 30656 125 239 96 242 64 263 64 285 30656 29172 120 241 89 249 59 264 67 285 29172 27614 110 243 80 256 57 265 67 281 27614 25979 96 247 60 270 60 266 64 278 25979 24263 87 252 56 275 63 268 58 276 24263 22464 77 257 64 269 63 270 57 271 22464 20587 70 260 68 269 64 269 63 267 20587 18625 67 260 66 271 65 273 65 266 18625 16570 63 261 63 272 61 278 59 269 16570 14470 60 263 59 274 51 276 53 270 14470 12446 56 265 51 273 47 264 48 269 12446 10611 48 269 44 269 47 262 45 271 10611 8992 38 276 39 271 42 269 40 277 8992 7569 30 279 34 277 39 285 36 287 7569 6321 25 283 29 286 34 294 31 290 6321 5230 24 299 25 291 24 283 24 288 5230 4276 22 312 17*283 20*281 20 292 4276 3439 17*312 17*282 19*282 20 291 3439 2699 14*300 17 282 19 283 20 291 2699 2038 14 286 17 282 18 283 19 289 2038 1455 14 283 17 282 18 283 19 286 1455 968 13 282 16 282 17 283 17 281 968 596 13 281 16 282 16 283 16 274 596 340 12 281 15 282 15 283 13 265 340 185 11 280 13 282 13 283 10 261 185 96 9 280 10 282 10 283 4*252 96 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography