DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/02 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 63.8 - - 60.6 - - 59.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 286 - - 79 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4499 - - 4442 - - 1021 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3092 - - 2232 - - 82 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4579 - - 4522 - - 1101 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1087 - - 1101 - - 5170 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 439 - - 287 - - 41 W* B/S - - - - - - 10 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 353 - - 002 - - 022 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 10 - - 6 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -407 - - 245 - - -4868 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4987 - - 4278 - - 5969 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2064 - - 129 - - -9101 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6643 - - 4393 - - 10202 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 98 - - 100 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 63.8 - - 60.6 - - 59.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 42.2 - - 42.1 - - 33.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 62.3 - - 60.1 - - 60.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 41.7 - - 41.6 - - 33.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 286 - - 79 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4499 - - 4442 - - 1021 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 92 - - 101 - - 70 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97791 12 248 20 270 14 288 97791 90445 15 239 20 258 17 265 90445 84784 15 228 14 263 15 255 84784 80058 18 230 13 224 12 244 80058 75971 17 220 16 212 12 257 75971 72339 14 216 16 216 17 251 72339 69047 16 223 18 238 21 231 69047 66054 15 202 18 225 18 214 66054 63294 11 224 15 211 16 235 63294 60601 29 227 29 224 30 236 60601 57773 36 240 39 236 39 240 57773 54831 49 242 52 244 52 241 54831 52031 59 245 66 241 63 240 52031 49517 66 245 66 240 62 238 49517 47249 72 245 69 243 64 243 47249 45186 78 239 72 244 75 243 45186 43300 80 235 84 244 85 241 43300 41572 91 239 104 239 102 234 41572 39992 105 238 116 234 116 231 39992 38527 110 236 116 231 123 228 38527 37150 104 234 115 229 123 226 37150 35819 104 236 111 228 123 227 35819 34465 103 236 107 228 125 227 34465 33054 102 234 103 228 122 227 33054 31586 106 231 101 228 117 227 31586 30046 105 230 98 229 112 227 30046 28423 98 230 92 229 109 228 28423 26718 92 228 86 224 104 228 26718 24929 85 230 80 219 98 228 24929 23065 77 232 86 218 86 227 23065 21132 68 233 90 224 77 221 21132 19121 64 228 83 231 69 224 19121 17027 66 225 52 221 55 221 17027 14886 64 226 59 225 52 216 14886 12824 45 215 52 238 40 234 12824 10963 27 219 26 243 26 250 10963 9324 17 267 18 273 18 270 9324 7876 17 276 17 275 17 285 7876 6596 15 257 12 259 13 310 6596 5469 9*257 4*312 11 339 5469 4475 5*344 7*357 11 348 4475 3600 7 352 8 359 10 354 3600 2827 8 353 8 001 10 360 2827 2135 9 354 8 003 10 009 2135 1524 9 354 8 004 10*015 1524 1014 9 353 8 005 10*019 1014 623 9 353 8 005 9 022 623 354 9 353 7 005 8 024 354 192 8 353 7 005 7 026 192 98 7 352 6 005 5 027 98 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography