DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/04 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 101.8 - - 102.2 - - 95.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 340 - - 177 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 7232 - - 7571 - - 21 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5330 - - 5212 - - 85 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 7312 - - 7651 - - 101 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3072 - - 5378 - - 6742 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 551 - - 452 - - 16 W* B/S - - - - - - 15 - - 10 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 186 - - 202 - - 179 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 5 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -757 - - -854 - - -6108 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 8070 - - 8506 - - 6209 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -3058 - - -2915 - - -8970 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 10370 - - 10566 - - 9071 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 82 - - 88 - - 39 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 2090 - - 1970 - - 2430 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 101.8 - - 102.2 - - 95.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 66.7 - - 65.2 - - 68.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 99.9 - - 101.1 - - 96.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 66.0 - - 64.6 - - 68.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 340 - - 177 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 7232 - - 7571 - - 21 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 28 - - 53 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - 12 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99090 38 090 38 090 34 087 99090 91585 35 091 33 087 32 078 91585 85833 27 084 30 085 26 080 85833 81063 27 089 25 086 19 083 81063 76949 25 089 20 083 14 078 76949 73315 20 084 16 076 15 087 73315 70035 14 075 10 077 16 076 70035 67027 7 071 7 104 11 043 67027 64244 6 135 3 103 4 015 64244 61558 8 131 3 302 2 207 61558 58781 5 048 3 286 4 311 58781 55927 11 330 7 041 3 343 55927 53223 7 271 5 341 2 037 53223 50808 8 211 8 261 7 264 50808 48649 12 218 12 246 14 261 48649 46679 23 223 19 250 14 272 46679 44866 24 228 18 246 12 285 44866 43178 21 241 17 244 12 284 43178 41597 26 239 25 233 14 279 41597 40107 34 237 32 227 17 285 40107 38697 39 231 36 227 17 293 38697 37330 40 227 35 230 17 276 37330 35938 41 227 31 236 21 251 35938 34489 41 224 29 242 22 240 34489 32986 36 221 34 233 21 240 32986 31414 32 218 33 225 19 246 31414 29758 27 220 29 229 20 252 29758 28017 21 224 24 236 21 250 28017 26191 15 230 18 233 16 258 26191 24281 9 231 12 228 14 244 24281 22291 4 228 8 212 12 242 22291 20213 4 250 6 237 10 234 20213 18046 6 248 8 263 9 238 18046 15846 12 217 11 240 10 212 15846 13733 6 235 8 216 12 196 13733 11801 2 250 6 203 7 245 11801 10075 4 250 4 246 7 259 10075 8538 4*262 5*244 5 257 8538 7168 3*207 6*222 6 248 7168 5949 5 186 6 215 8 224 5949 4869 6 185 8 206 11 207 4869 3916 7 185 8 202 13 201 3916 3074 7 185 9 199 14 199 3074 2320 8 185 9 197 14 197 2320 1654 8 186 9 195 14 193 1654 1099 8 186 9 194 14 189 1099 673 8 187 9 193 14 185 673 380 8 186 9 193 12 183 380 203 7 186 9 193 9 180 203 101 6 186 7 192 6*179 101 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography