DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/31 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 22.1 - - 24.6 - - 23.8 - - 19.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 118 - - 222 - - 94 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2062 - - 2080 - - 2094 - - 204 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 837 - - 1188 - - 653 - - 79 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2142 - - 2160 - - 2174 - - 284 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 538 - - 573 - - 649 - - 2545 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 250 - - 311 - - 234 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 22 - - 23 - - 14 BL Wind Direction - - - 025 - - 022 - - 014 - - 007 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 10 - - 12 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -2 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -342 - - -946 - - -627 - - -426 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2484 - - 3106 - - 2801 - - 710 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9384 - - -10040 - - -10102 - - -702 ODpotential blCL - - - 11526 - - 12200 - - 12276 - - 986 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 96 - - 93 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 22.1 - - 24.6 - - 23.8 - - 19.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 11.8 - - 11.5 - - 12.0 - - 17.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 21.8 - - 24.0 - - 23.6 - - 20.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 11.7 - - 11.2 - - 11.9 - - 17.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 118 - - 222 - - 94 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2062 - - 2080 - - 2094 - - 204 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 77 - - 85 - - 72 - - 71 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96400 60 209 56 205 46 231 42 221 96400 89085 51 217 60 206 51 219 62 215 89085 83393 53 232 58 216 57 217 61 219 83393 78661 56 241 55 237 58 224 60 236 78661 74596 51 242 56 235 59 233 65 238 74596 71022 44 239 52 228 59 232 62 240 71022 67806 47 238 47 235 57 225 61 231 67806 64837 49 236 46 249 54 220 53 220 64837 62047 54 247 61 254 57 244 49 235 62047 59320 70 252 76 243 76 250 58 246 59320 56474 77 248 78 232 80 241 70 245 56474 53527 77 249 72 231 78 231 77 236 53527 50713 86 247 72 240 75 229 80 228 50713 48173 100 241 78 244 76 231 76 227 48173 45891 110 236 91 241 81 231 77 230 45891 43825 110 231 103 235 87 229 81 227 43825 41938 102 227 105 227 89 225 88 221 41938 40201 94 229 103 222 89 224 91 218 40201 38588 93 232 100 222 89 223 89 217 38588 37084 98 231 104 223 92 223 88 216 37084 35671 103 230 111 222 96 223 89 213 35671 34311 106 230 115 221 101 221 89 209 34311 32940 104 228 108 221 99 218 89 208 32940 31537 103 224 98 221 94 216 88 206 31537 30111 101 225 96 222 93 214 85 203 30111 28641 98 225 95 221 91 214 80 201 28641 27106 91 223 91 219 90 213 76 201 27106 25501 86 224 86 218 86 211 72 201 25501 23820 78 224 82 219 79 211 67 199 23820 22056 70 220 74 218 73 209 60 198 22056 20217 66 216 64 213 64 204 52 197 20217 18301 60 211 58 206 60 196 41 189 18301 16301 56 207 54 201 57 189 30 169 16301 14255 51 209 49 198 47 188 26 174 14255 12279 45 211 45 199 38 197 25 178 12279 10482 40 207 37 202 32 204 19 168 10482 8888 34 227 25 219 23 216 9 210 8888 7480 15 250 12 264 6 335 13 021 7480 6236 3 296 8 342 16 029 21 037 6236 5138 5 026 10 029 20 046 21 045 5138 4175 9 030 14 042 21 044 26 033 4175 3342 17 032 20 039 24 032 33 025 3342 2620 20*029 23*027 26*018 33 020 2620 1978 19*026 23*023 25*015 32 017 1978 1412 19 025 23 022 25 014 30 014 1412 941 18 024 23 022 24 014 27 011 941 580 17 024 22 022 23 014 24 009 580 332 16 024 21 021 21 013 21*008 332 182 14 024 18 021 18 013 17*007 182 96 11 023 13 021 13 012 12 006 96 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography