DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/17 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.7 - - 62.0 - - 62.4 - - 62.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 33 - - 12 - - 1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1187 - - 779 - - 618 - - 470 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 82 - - 82 - - 82 - - 82 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1267 - - 859 - - 698 - - 550 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 973 - - 1413 - - 1500 - - 1746 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 144 - - 93 - - 47 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 5 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 9 - - 5 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 196 - - 198 - - 216 - - 214 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 494 - - 269 - - 235 - - 249 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 773 - - 590 - - 463 - - 301 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 355 - - 54 - - 24 - - 24 ODpotential blCL - - - 912 - - 805 - - 674 - - 526 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 110 - - 20 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.7 - - 62.0 - - 62.4 - - 62.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.6 - - 59.7 - - 60.6 - - 61.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.6 - - 62.0 - - 62.6 - - 62.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.1 - - 59.4 - - 60.3 - - 60.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 33 - - 12 - - 1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1187 - - 779 - - 618 - - 470 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 102 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98123 5 155 8 127 6 149 5 202 98123 90787 14 129 7 158 4 187 1 257 90787 85126 10 093 1 192 2 208 4 344 85126 80414 9 069 4 348 2 162 8 357 80414 76344 9 069 1 042 4 021 6 014 76344 72758 7 034 6 112 7 345 7 048 72758 69523 5 360 10 101 6 297 6 022 69523 66553 4 010 8 085 4 233 3 288 66553 63814 3 012 4 062 4 158 5 214 63814 61176 4 196 2 185 1 085 4 204 61176 58424 4 200 7 192 5 268 6 268 58424 55566 8 210 9 203 12 215 15 241 55566 52840 11 205 17 219 18 219 20 229 52840 50391 14 219 23 220 26 227 24 235 50391 48197 22 241 26 228 29 231 27 243 48197 46203 33 232 32 235 33 238 38 247 46203 44375 33 222 37 232 39 243 50 245 44375 42681 31 220 39 227 43 242 55 243 42681 41099 27 220 33 225 40 242 57 242 41099 39616 25 217 25 237 36 242 50 244 39616 38223 22 221 17 263 22 257 38 238 38223 36878 16 233 19 298 20 296 25 223 36878 35506 12 233 22 307 24 298 23 242 35506 34071 9 236 22 307 25 299 23 250 34071 32576 8 266 21 312 24 291 22 251 32576 31005 9 284 20 313 24 278 21 254 31005 29349 10 274 18 304 21 274 23 265 29349 27611 10 253 16 286 20 293 21 268 27611 25788 11 232 14 261 20 297 18 265 25788 23878 12 217 14 254 18 289 18 266 23878 21883 12 198 10 241 13 276 19 284 21883 19799 11 188 11 227 9 284 19 294 19799 17627 9 188 12 202 7 272 11 297 17627 15416 11 190 14 177 6 204 9 323 15416 13290 15 200 14 166 9 167 7 000 13290 11361 17 203 12 171 8 156 7 042 11361 9652 16 193 11 183 5 198 10 050 9652 8138 13 192 12 200 9 203 8 050 8138 6800 10 199 9 218 4 175 1 197 6800 5623 8 193 7 262 2 326 4 197 5623 4586 5 197 8 267 6 263 1 067 4586 3676 12 230 13 242 8 260 3 022 3676 2880 17 218 14 224 7 256 1 009 2880 2171 15 213 14 218 7 250 1 333 2171 1547 14*207 13 212 7 239 1 305 1547 1029 13*198 12*206 6*226 1 267 1029 632 12 197 10*200 5*219 1*231 632 359 11 195 9 199 5 216 1*217 359 193 9 195 8 197 4 215 1 213 193 99 7 194 6 197 3 214 1 213 99 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography