DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/12 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 87.0 - - 89.2 - - 83.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 208 - - 120 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4122 - - 5299 - - 21 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2687 - - 3249 - - 84 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4202 - - 5379 - - 101 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2985 - - 2341 - - 5986 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 391 - - 357 - - 9 W* B/S - - - - - - 11 - - 15 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 002 - - 346 - - 050 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 179 - - 387 - - -2951 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4023 - - 4992 - - 3052 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -498 - - -267 - - -4112 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4700 - - 5646 - - 4213 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 84 - - 83 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1520 - - 1230 - - 1290 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 87.0 - - 89.2 - - 83.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 69.5 - - 67.5 - - 70.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 85.7 - - 88.3 - - 84.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 68.8 - - 66.8 - - 69.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 208 - - 120 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4122 - - 5299 - - 21 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 34 - - 33 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 15 - - 14 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99247 35 083 34 085 31 080 99247 91780 30 093 27 087 29 073 91780 86002 22 096 21 081 24 075 86002 81194 17 091 19 075 18 082 81194 77053 18 089 17 086 12 106 77053 73397 13 076 11 101 9 102 73397 70080 5 065 3 131 5 054 70080 67026 2 001 4 279 5 342 67026 64200 4 213 7 255 5 292 64200 61483 5 318 7 287 10 320 61483 58681 12 304 11 279 16 288 58681 55796 15 269 20 295 22 300 55796 53065 32 294 41 295 34 297 53065 50633 44 278 43 279 38 284 50633 48466 38 254 39 267 41 297 48466 46497 34 246 33 274 41 290 46497 44692 35 274 37 291 29 298 44692 43027 49 277 42 291 33 307 43027 41476 57 269 43 285 33 293 41476 40008 53 256 45 271 33 308 40008 38610 42 239 42 261 47 311 38610 37249 37 236 40 265 56 310 37249 35861 41 259 38 271 54 301 35861 34411 43 271 38 277 41 298 34411 32900 40 278 39 285 30 293 32900 31315 38 277 38 293 25 290 31315 29643 31 286 36 303 32 283 29643 27885 29 285 36 309 33 289 27885 26043 31 278 41 310 34 293 26043 24117 28 284 33 302 31 291 24117 22108 30 295 27 288 26 286 22108 20019 30 304 29 296 25 303 20019 17856 28 315 28 310 21 311 17856 15660 23 319 19 322 17 304 15660 13542 20 329 15 328 18 297 13542 11612 19 330 17 330 18 304 11612 9897 19 324 20 338 15 322 9897 8376 16 327 16 339 14 331 8376 7024 12 335 9 332 10 313 7024 5827 8 354 8*331 6 270 5827 4769 8*356 5*336 5 276 4769 3835 7*358 5 338 4 285 3835 3010 7 001 4 342 3 307 3010 2272 7 001 4 347 2 003 2272 1621 7 002 4 350 4 046 1621 1077 7 003 4 354 5 052 1077 660 6 002 4 356 6 053 660 374 6 004 3 358 6 053 374 200 6 003 3 357 5*051 200 101 5 003 3 358 3*050 101 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography