DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/11 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 91.2 - - 92.4 - - 85.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 216 - - 77 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4779 - - 5343 - - 21 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3219 - - 2999 - - 84 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4859 - - 5423 - - 101 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1489 - - 1849 - - 4035 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 421 - - 319 - - 11 W* B/S - - - - - - 9 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 8 - - 14 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 291 - - 278 - - 211 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -204 - - -544 - - -3732 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5063 - - 5967 - - 3833 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -3020 - - -2652 - - -6346 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7879 - - 8075 - - 6447 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 76 - - 78 - - 52 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1710 - - 1260 - - 1310 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 91.2 - - 92.4 - - 85.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 69.2 - - 66.5 - - 68.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 89.9 - - 92.0 - - 87.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 68.3 - - 65.7 - - 68.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 216 - - 77 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4779 - - 5343 - - 21 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 3 - - 13 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 14 - - 13 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99292 28 071 30 081 24 051 99292 91813 24 081 27 079 19 060 91813 86035 25 086 20 071 16 071 86035 81213 22 086 16 074 18 069 81213 77054 14 074 13 072 16 070 77054 73397 6 100 9 052 12 077 73397 70094 3 086 5 350 7 062 70094 67057 1 353 1 269 4 002 67057 64243 5 286 4 278 8 298 64243 61524 14 281 8 285 4 261 61524 58705 16 268 15 294 13 294 58705 55805 27 262 31 273 23 285 55805 53068 34 238 37 250 35 276 53068 50624 31 246 29 241 34 262 50624 48447 33 256 32 262 30 256 48447 46487 37 262 40 271 27 266 46487 44698 38 265 43 272 31 281 44698 43037 40 271 41 264 33 276 43037 41483 41 269 36 254 34 269 41483 40018 38 263 32 251 31 262 40018 38630 35 256 31 251 28 262 38630 37280 29 258 29 253 28 266 37280 35900 27 260 28 252 29 269 35900 34459 30 265 27 252 29 270 34459 32958 35 279 28 257 29 267 32958 31380 36 284 29 271 28 265 31380 29714 31 278 30 271 26 265 29714 27959 31 282 32 272 25 269 27959 26116 33 282 32 271 26 273 26116 24189 32 279 30 265 28 270 24189 22187 30 284 28 283 27 268 22187 20101 32 290 25 298 25 278 20101 17930 31 292 22 297 28 278 17930 15719 31 294 23 299 29 281 15719 13591 33 290 26 303 28 294 13591 11661 36 288 29 302 34 298 11661 9946 36 289 28 304 35 292 9946 8420 34 297 25 308 27 286 8420 7064 29 310 23 302 22 282 7064 5859 23*311 18*290 20 282 5859 4793 10*291 15*278 16 285 4793 3853 9 288 15 278 13 283 3853 3024 9 289 14 278 10 269 3024 2283 8 289 14 278 10 256 2283 1628 8 291 14 278 10 250 1628 1082 7 293 13 279 10 244 1082 663 7 294 13 279 9 237 663 375 7 295 12 279 9 229 375 200 6 295 11 279 7*221 200 101 5 295 8 280 4*211 101 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography