DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/31 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.6 - - 63.6 - - 62.3 - - 55.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 119 - - 224 - - 16 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2336 - - 3042 - - 2813 - - 18 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1079 - - 1896 - - 82 - - 82 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2416 - - 3122 - - 2893 - - 98 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 803 - - 988 - - 1095 - - 2060 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 266 - - 356 - - 153 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 10 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 036 - - 016 - - 011 - - 044 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 1 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2081 - - -2580 - - -2462 - - -3350 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4498 - - 5703 - - 5355 - - 3448 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12108 - - -11416 - - -10404 - - -12397 ODpotential blCL - - - 14524 - - 14538 - - 13297 - - 12495 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 78 - - 83 - - 53 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.6 - - 63.6 - - 62.3 - - 55.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.9 - - 39.4 - - 39.8 - - 41.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.0 - - 62.3 - - 62.4 - - 57.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.1 - - 38.6 - - 39.2 - - 41.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 119 - - 224 - - 16 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2336 - - 3042 - - 2813 - - 18 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 13 - - 31 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97029 84 245 84 242 92 253 86 247 97029 89758 60 241 60 247 63 251 60 249 89758 84160 43 249 47 245 42 250 46 255 84160 79530 31 254 36 247 34 245 35 263 79530 75543 22 256 29 249 26 247 29 265 75543 72024 21 269 18 269 17 249 22 268 72024 68857 18 265 18 273 19 245 23 279 68857 65951 22 285 20 269 19 247 22 276 65951 63250 33 278 23 276 19 271 22 281 63250 60626 35 274 31 271 29 278 26 274 60626 57891 40 269 37 267 35 276 31 275 57891 55061 47 271 46 267 44 276 40 282 55061 52368 55 267 53 265 51 271 49 278 52368 49958 55 265 57 262 56 267 51 270 49958 47806 55 269 58 264 58 263 52 266 47806 45870 56 273 58 267 62 266 59 262 45870 44115 52 273 55 266 61 264 58 257 44115 42496 48 282 51 268 58 262 54 262 42496 40976 51 284 52 272 57 261 53 268 40976 39537 54 277 53 275 55 260 49 274 39537 38168 53 274 53 276 54 263 49 270 38168 36832 51 272 53 274 54 266 48 264 36832 35462 51 271 54 268 53 265 46 262 35462 34028 52 272 53 272 50 268 44 260 34028 32535 53 273 49 277 45 269 40 254 32535 30968 51 274 46 275 43 266 35 258 30968 29314 48 280 46 271 43 265 35 274 29314 27569 47 284 45 271 45 260 37 271 27569 25733 44 277 44 275 42 260 39 267 25733 23806 36 274 40 268 41 267 42 270 23806 21802 29 277 32 270 36 262 28 272 21802 19726 31 281 29 278 25 271 25 266 19726 17563 30 284 25 285 20 283 23 270 17563 15350 24 291 20 298 16 293 19 285 15350 13217 20 311 18 303 16 307 19 305 13217 11287 20 324 18 317 18 315 20 327 11287 9581 20 341 19 338 19 330 20 339 9581 8073 25 354 24 354 24 350 23 350 8073 6739 23 356 24 000 24 356 23 355 6739 5565 19 357 20 003 20 360 19 356 5565 4536 17 002 16 005 16 355 16 357 4536 3636 16 019 10*011 11*349 13 345 3636 2848 16*036 10*014 10*358 11 343 2848 2147 16*036 10 015 9 007 10 358 2147 1530 16 036 10 016 9 012 10 021 1530 1017 15 036 10 017 9 014 10 037 1017 625 15 036 10 018 9 016 10 042 625 355 14 036 9 018 8 018 9 045 355 191 12 036 9 019 7 018 7 045 191 98 9 035 7 018 6 019 4*044 98 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography