DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/02 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 80.6 - - 82.8 - - 73.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 227 - - 123 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3806 - - 4841 - - 20 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2477 - - 2905 - - 83 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3886 - - 4921 - - 100 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3068 - - 3314 - - 880 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 388 - - 345 - - 9 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 14 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 210 - - 189 - - 080 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1109 - - -622 - - -3351 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4996 - - 5544 - - 3451 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2048 - - -1248 - - -5135 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5934 - - 6169 - - 5235 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 98 - - 81 - - 56 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 330 - - 480 - - 200 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 80.6 - - 82.8 - - 73.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 59.3 - - 59.1 - - 59.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 79.3 - - 82.0 - - 74.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 58.7 - - 58.5 - - 58.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 227 - - 123 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3806 - - 4841 - - 20 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 91 - - 25 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96902 33 238 43 250 48 259 96902 89652 30 244 34 256 31 262 89652 84075 29 247 27 259 25 265 84075 79441 24 260 22 265 20 281 79441 75463 17 278 16 269 14 275 75463 71948 16 293 10 289 10 275 71948 68755 17 292 11 289 14 286 68755 65819 16 281 9 278 15 279 65819 63088 17 287 13 292 16 286 63088 60435 21 281 22 283 19 283 60435 57668 22 271 25 276 25 286 57668 54811 20 273 32 284 29 278 54811 52097 22 271 33 276 20 278 52097 49679 18 271 22 280 25 307 49679 47562 23 299 21 295 26 312 47562 45684 14 290 17 279 7 011 45684 43969 20 025 13 076 20 083 43969 42363 40 028 27 045 26 049 42363 40851 36 024 36 028 32 029 40851 39424 27 015 36 029 30 029 39424 38070 20 012 28 042 23 058 38070 36750 17 011 18 047 26 090 36750 35396 15 008 11 044 20 099 35396 33980 10 002 8 046 7 100 33980 32507 7 347 4 033 3 068 32507 30959 5 355 1 075 5 024 30959 29322 3 050 5 139 2 008 29322 27597 1 022 9 158 5 217 27597 25786 4 156 11 177 9 231 25786 23890 8 166 10 178 10 204 23890 21914 8 171 10 185 13 185 21914 19854 8 202 9 207 11 176 19854 17709 11 220 10 227 7 177 17709 15522 17 231 13 232 9 199 15522 13416 18 226 14 231 15 188 13416 11497 17 220 13 223 17 176 11497 9790 15 205 12 209 17 175 9790 8279 14 191 12 189 13 179 8279 6940 13 201 12 187 10 196 6940 5755 13 223 11*190 12 193 5755 4705 14*225 10*191 14 189 4705 3779 14*215 10 190 15 186 3779 2963 14 213 10 190 16 183 2963 2234 14 211 10 190 16 179 2234 1591 14 209 10 188 15 174 1591 1056 14 208 10 188 12 161 1056 647 14 208 10 187 8 136 647 366 13 207 9 187 6 113 366 196 12 207 8 187 5*099 196 100 10 206 7 187 4*080 100 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography