DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/02 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 42.0 - - 53.7 - - 53.5 - - 41.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 93 - - 166 - - -12 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 497 - - 3129 - - 2941 - - 146 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 81 - - 1819 - - 82 - - 81 Hcrit BL Top - - - 577 - - 3209 - - 3021 - - 226 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 262 - - 1505 - - 1988 - - 791 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 145 - - 325 - - 64 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 17 - - 17 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 253 - - 259 - - 265 - - 042 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 13 - - 12 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 4 - - -1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2387 - - -1108 - - -1426 - - -2518 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2964 - - 4317 - - 4447 - - 2744 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11877 - - -7808 - - -8951 - - -13600 ODpotential blCL - - - 12454 - - 11017 - - 11972 - - 13826 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 79 - - 75 - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 42.0 - - 53.7 - - 53.5 - - 41.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.6 - - 35.0 - - 34.4 - - 29.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 41.6 - - 53.0 - - 54.2 - - 42.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.5 - - 34.8 - - 34.2 - - 29.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 93 - - 166 - - -12 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 497 - - 3129 - - 2941 - - 146 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 16 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95480 104 233 78 242 81 237 79 235 95480 88260 76 246 67 251 59 250 55 246 88260 82734 57 268 57 257 50 251 45 255 82734 78178 42 256 43 262 39 270 30 264 78178 74248 34 260 39 271 45 282 40 296 74248 70788 48 287 41 276 46 278 47 298 70788 67672 59 298 48 288 44 283 49 299 67672 64804 63 294 57 293 50 291 52 296 64804 62131 60 282 61 288 58 291 54 287 62131 59524 54 275 57 284 60 292 54 284 59524 56784 53 275 56 280 62 287 57 283 56784 53929 58 278 60 275 68 278 66 280 53929 51207 69 278 66 272 72 271 73 277 51207 48765 76 281 69 278 75 271 77 277 48765 46579 86 287 79 284 81 270 83 273 46579 44605 99 286 92 285 86 272 88 271 44605 42808 108 285 109 286 97 278 90 270 42808 41156 118 286 122 282 109 276 91 269 41156 39630 124 286 122 278 112 271 90 267 39630 38211 128 285 121 276 110 269 88 267 38211 36875 131 285 120 277 105 269 87 264 36875 35574 130 286 114 278 102 273 85 264 35574 34241 127 288 107 278 101 274 84 269 34241 32845 119 289 102 280 98 274 85 272 32845 31392 111 289 99 280 93 274 85 270 31392 29867 106 287 98 279 88 274 84 269 29867 28258 103 285 98 278 87 276 80 269 28258 26568 97 284 95 279 85 278 71 270 26568 24798 91 283 88 279 83 279 65 274 24798 22952 86 282 82 277 80 279 63 276 22952 21035 82 280 78 275 77 277 62 277 21035 19043 78 278 74 275 72 274 62 275 19043 16966 73 278 70 275 67 273 61 273 16966 14844 69 279 65 275 63 273 60 273 14844 12792 64 278 61 275 60 274 57 273 12792 10924 58 275 57 277 57 277 55 275 10924 9269 52 273 52 277 54 281 53 279 9269 7811 47 271 47 276 50 283 49 279 7811 6528 43 270 43 274 43 281 45 273 6528 5401 38 268 37 271 32 273 38 272 5401 4410 33 268 32 262 25 266 27 270 4410 3539 27 269 27*255 21*264 24 270 3539 2770 24 269 22*256 20*265 20 270 2770 2084 25 268 20 257 19 265 13 275 2084 1482 25 263 17 259 18 265 5 347 1482 983 22 259 16 261 17 266 13 041 983 604 14*255 15 261 15 266 14 042 604 345 9*252 14 262 14 266 14*043 345 187 8 253 13 262 11 267 12*042 187 97 6 252 10 262 8 267 8 041 97 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography