DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/03 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.0 - - 61.1 - - 63.6 - - 57.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 403 - - 487 - - 239 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5552 - - 6612 - - 6659 - - 18 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4056 - - 4981 - - 4672 - - 82 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5632 - - 6692 - - 6739 - - 98 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 994 - - 671 - - 1019 - - 6769 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 527 - - 595 - - 472 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 15 - - 12 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 302 - - 292 - - 289 - - 251 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - -3 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1231 - - -902 - - -2409 - - -7598 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6864 - - 7595 - - 9149 - - 7696 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6302 - - -6315 - - -8357 - - -14504 ODpotential blCL - - - 11934 - - 13007 - - 15096 - - 14602 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 74 - - 53 - - 26 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.0 - - 61.1 - - 63.6 - - 57.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.0 - - 27.9 - - 23.4 - - 24.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.3 - - 59.1 - - 62.4 - - 61.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.2 - - 27.0 - - 22.5 - - 24.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 403 - - 487 - - 239 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5552 - - 6612 - - 6659 - - 18 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97784 7 302 6 247 11 314 5 305 97784 90410 10 257 8 229 11 270 15 280 90410 84731 10 221 11 219 15 241 17 268 84731 80012 6 237 9 238 9 247 15 259 80012 75916 11 220 16 227 14 221 16 213 75916 72273 14 232 11 216 16 198 14 214 72273 68974 21 225 10 224 12 211 19 227 68974 65949 23 213 14 220 19 229 17 233 65949 63137 25 229 22 231 26 233 22 268 63137 60415 23 219 32 222 36 231 39 245 60415 57575 23 247 33 224 37 234 40 238 57575 54611 54 239 50 243 54 245 48 250 54611 51779 58 238 63 243 61 246 62 250 51779 49234 61 247 65 242 66 245 69 247 49234 46953 70 250 67 245 71 245 72 247 46953 44887 80 248 75 247 75 247 78 249 44887 43000 85 247 81 248 80 250 84 248 43000 41267 89 248 86 249 85 253 86 246 41267 39669 92 248 88 249 92 253 89 249 39669 38195 94 248 89 252 96 254 95 249 38195 36827 93 247 88 254 102 256 96 250 36827 35514 90 248 91 258 103 257 92 252 35514 34184 92 251 97 261 103 258 89 255 34184 32803 93 252 100 262 103 259 88 257 32803 31368 93 254 96 261 98 262 86 258 31368 29864 91 255 89 262 93 265 84 260 29864 28277 84 255 78 268 89 266 82 262 28277 26609 77 258 72 271 86 268 76 264 26609 24859 72 262 68 272 79 273 68 268 24859 23028 66 265 62 275 68 274 64 270 23028 21121 60 270 58 280 58 274 55 267 21121 19132 57 276 54 281 50 276 48 266 19132 17051 55 283 50 281 44 275 45 270 17051 14924 47 282 44 285 41 275 42 275 14924 12875 41 281 39 289 38 278 39 276 12875 11013 37 283 35 289 34 283 35 275 11013 9364 35 285 32 289 30 287 28 281 9364 7910 32 290 27*293 22*289 23 285 7910 6631 24*291 16*291 13*288 15 284 6631 5500 17*299 16 291 13 288 11 283 5500 4499 17 300 16 292 13 289 9 282 4499 3618 17 301 16 292 12 289 9 282 3618 2839 16 303 15 292 12 289 8 281 2839 2144 16 303 15 293 12 289 7 280 2144 1530 16 304 15 293 11 289 7 279 1530 1018 15 305 14 293 11 289 6 277 1018 625 14 305 13 293 10 289 5 275 625 356 14 305 13 293 10 290 5 272 356 192 13 305 12 293 9 289 4 264 192 98 10 305 10 293 8 289 3*251 98 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography