DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/16 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 80.7 - - 83.0 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 133 - - -24 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2264 - - 902 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1138 - - 84 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2344 - - 982 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1111 - - 4439 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 280 - - 81 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 1 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 19 - - 15 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 216 - - 212 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 11 - - 10 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -3 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -819 - - -3752 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3163 - - 4735 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -5210 - - -7770 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7554 - - 8752 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 75 - - 65 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 140 - - 10 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 80.7 - - 83.0 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 66.9 - - 62.5 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 80.1 - - 84.0 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 66.2 - - 62.0 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 133 - - -24 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2264 - - 902 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 2 - - 0 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 13 - - 12 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97698 37 250 32 252 97698 90462 29 241 28 252 90462 84867 21 233 26 245 84867 80184 13 243 18 245 80184 76135 10 249 15 257 76135 72573 7 247 14 257 72573 69356 8 265 14 250 69356 66408 10 267 12 243 66408 63696 13 250 13 249 63696 61089 19 243 18 250 61089 58393 21 246 21 234 58393 55633 25 243 30 227 55633 53019 29 235 37 227 53019 50663 34 224 46 222 50663 48536 38 217 51 211 48536 46587 38 215 52 205 46587 44781 41 213 54 206 44781 43091 43 212 56 207 43091 41500 43 212 59 210 41500 39995 46 214 62 208 39995 38569 52 214 62 209 38569 37186 54 213 61 213 37186 35779 52 211 62 212 35779 34314 51 209 63 208 34314 32790 53 209 66 207 32790 31193 60 210 65 217 31193 29515 61 210 50 225 29515 27760 54 214 45 233 27760 25922 46 222 48 235 25922 24000 45 229 49 233 24000 22006 45 232 46 232 22006 19933 44 233 43 230 19933 17774 42 225 40 235 17774 15574 40 220 38 236 15574 13457 38 223 39 233 13457 11535 36 224 38 231 11535 9827 34 225 35 229 9827 8313 33 224 34 226 8313 6972 32 226 32 228 6972 5783 29 232 29 228 5783 4732 28 240 27 223 4732 3807 29 236 26 221 3807 2988 28*232 25 219 2988 2256 22*220 25 217 2256 1610 21 217 23 216 1610 1070 19 216 21*215 1070 656 18 215 19*213 656 372 17 214 17 212 372 199 15 214 14 211 199 100 11 213 9 210 100 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography