DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/03 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.9 - - 84.5 - - 78.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 23 - - 54 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2928 - - 3073 - - 414 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 84 - - 1068 - - 84 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3008 - - 3153 - - 494 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1864 - - 1984 - - 2258 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 197 - - 241 - - 36 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 16 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 219 - - 217 - - 186 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 10 - - 6 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1190 - - 957 - - -48 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1818 - - 2196 - - 542 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 361 - - 287 - - -574 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2647 - - 2866 - - 1068 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 95 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1750 - - 1990 - - 1760 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.9 - - 84.5 - - 78.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 74.6 - - 74.7 - - 75.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 82.9 - - 84.3 - - 78.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 74.0 - - 74.0 - - 75.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 23 - - 54 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2928 - - 3073 - - 414 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 100 - - 82 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 17 - - 17 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99289 36 086 38 091 37 084 99289 91816 33 093 27 092 33 082 91816 86067 35 091 24 091 28 076 86067 81287 32 078 27 081 28 080 81287 77171 27 074 27 076 29 077 77171 73543 23 082 24 080 25 070 73543 70265 22 094 19 087 18 065 70265 67259 17 093 15 095 12 067 67259 64479 10 082 12 088 9 083 64479 61794 9 094 8 096 8 093 61794 59002 10 092 8 116 7 114 59002 56117 4 103 5 142 8 124 56117 53383 8 204 9 213 7 180 53383 50941 22 185 18 215 14 211 50941 48766 25 188 27 207 24 211 48766 46800 27 202 29 201 29 207 46800 44994 30 208 30 200 29 206 44994 43313 32 211 32 202 30 207 43313 41734 35 204 36 203 33 211 41734 40244 38 200 38 203 37 212 40244 38831 40 196 38 211 40 215 38831 37454 40 200 43 213 44 217 37454 36043 43 208 45 208 45 215 36043 34573 43 207 45 201 44 213 34573 33047 43 206 43 200 44 211 33047 31446 42 207 43 204 42 210 31446 29757 38 208 42 206 40 213 29757 27980 37 206 38 211 35 219 27980 26123 38 206 35 219 30 221 26123 24184 37 213 31 226 24 212 24184 22165 31 217 28 231 24 229 22165 20072 29 218 27 234 21 255 20072 17901 23 228 20 246 11 280 17901 15689 21 236 15 248 7 277 15689 13559 20 238 13 238 6 216 13559 11622 19 226 11 244 9 215 11622 9902 18 222 11 255 9 229 9902 8376 20 234 13 258 8 276 8376 7020 20 233 15 249 8 286 7020 5817 19 228 14 249 9 266 5817 4752 19 227 13 243 10 252 4752 3817 19*224 12*238 12 237 3817 2992 18*222 12*232 12 223 2992 2256 17 221 11 219 11 208 2256 1608 16 219 11 215 9 207 1608 1069 15 218 10 213 9 197 1069 656 14 217 10 211 8*192 656 372 13 217 9 210 7*188 372 199 12 217 8 210 6 186 199 100 9 216 7 208 3 182 100 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography