DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/29 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 43.0 - - 42.9 - - 33.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 240 - - 22 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3789 - - 3376 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2463 - - 81 - - 80 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3869 - - 3456 - - 96 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 846 - - 788 - - 141 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 387 - - 168 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 16 - - 14 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 4 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 037 - - 070 - - 087 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2142 - - -2179 - - -3684 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6011 - - 5635 - - 3780 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -13263 - - -13325 - - -17694 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 17132 - - 16781 - - 17790 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 65 - - 64 - - 44 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 43.0 - - 42.9 - - 33.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 17.3 - - 19.0 - - 17.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 41.7 - - 42.9 - - 35.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 17.1 - - 18.8 - - 17.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 240 - - 22 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3789 - - 3376 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95739 25 269 30 270 36 271 95739 88771 21 258 24 275 20 265 88771 83338 25 254 24 278 16 275 83338 78792 26 248 24 262 22 277 78792 74861 25 239 22 250 24 264 74861 71365 24 244 24 251 27 264 71365 68179 28 249 29 248 31 250 68179 65246 30 253 30 250 33 242 65246 62523 37 253 34 254 36 249 62523 59874 47 246 41 255 34 249 59874 57110 55 238 48 252 55 259 57110 54246 59 241 67 248 62 252 54246 51501 68 246 73 245 70 252 51501 49024 73 247 76 244 79 248 49024 46815 74 243 76 240 78 240 46815 44827 71 242 70 240 67 234 44827 43021 69 246 64 249 69 250 43021 41372 69 244 62 251 79 252 41372 39858 62 236 53 247 70 248 39858 38450 54 245 50 249 53 242 38450 37121 45 251 51 251 42 246 37121 35824 38 256 49 249 46 253 35824 34498 39 257 47 248 55 259 34498 33118 40 254 46 249 62 263 33118 31683 43 249 43 252 59 256 31683 30174 45 247 40 257 55 245 30174 28577 47 246 41 258 50 241 28577 26889 44 247 43 255 48 240 26889 25112 45 255 41 249 47 243 25112 23247 45 259 38 248 42 245 23247 21297 42 261 38 249 36 242 21297 19260 37 256 38 252 34 239 19260 17132 33 254 34 253 32 234 17132 14962 31 255 31 256 30 228 14962 12871 25 258 28 255 29 230 12871 10968 22 270 23 258 22 236 10968 9280 21 291 17 266 15 228 9280 7792 16 300 9 284 9 220 7792 6486 10 315 4 275 4 230 6486 5344 7 360 1 157 2 198 5344 4350 4*042 2 132 6 165 4350 3488 4*045 2*111 9 154 3488 2735 5 042 2*095 9 147 2735 2063 5 039 2 081 7 131 2063 1471 5 037 2 072 7 110 1471 979 4 034 2 064 8 096 979 602 4 032 2 058 9 090 602 343 4 031 2 057 9 087 343 186 4 030 2 055 8 086 186 96 3 031 2 055 4*087 96 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography