DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/09 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1555z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 74.6 - - 75.9 - - 66.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 112 - - 5 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1750 - - 2414 - - 19 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 662 - - 83 - - 83 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1830 - - 2494 - - 99 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2878 - - 2060 - - 173 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 243 - - 120 - - 10 W* B/S - - - - - - 8 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 005 - - 033 - - 072 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2679 - - -3439 - - -3680 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4509 - - 5933 - - 3779 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -9022 - - -9306 - - -10907 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 10852 - - 11800 - - 11006 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 55 - - 78 - - 40 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 74.6 - - 75.9 - - 66.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 55.4 - - 50.6 - - 51.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 73.9 - - 76.0 - - 69.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 54.2 - - 49.4 - - 50.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 112 - - 5 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1750 - - 2414 - - 19 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 11 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98009 23 208 32 238 36 240 98009 90663 19 220 21 240 25 229 90663 84975 18 216 17 236 17 234 84975 80246 18 232 17 215 14 221 80246 76153 17 232 21 228 19 261 76153 72548 12 241 15 239 20 263 72548 69305 16 261 15 253 18 263 69305 66346 20 252 22 247 20 273 66346 63619 22 249 21 254 22 279 63619 60993 30 253 29 263 30 267 60993 58286 35 250 37 259 39 253 58286 55511 43 253 50 253 47 252 55511 52873 54 253 61 248 55 251 52873 50503 63 252 65 246 62 250 50503 48376 74 258 68 249 71 255 48376 46435 94 257 79 249 88 255 46435 44643 111 250 94 246 98 246 44643 42974 108 244 97 244 95 241 42974 41407 100 244 100 244 93 241 41407 39925 94 242 100 244 89 243 39925 38518 96 240 97 244 84 245 38518 37150 93 240 93 244 81 244 37150 35749 90 241 88 244 79 244 35749 34284 88 238 82 243 75 242 34284 32759 89 236 81 240 73 241 32759 31161 82 236 80 234 74 241 31161 29474 62 242 70 232 74 239 29474 27702 35 261 43 244 68 235 27702 25847 30 263 26 273 47 233 25847 23929 29 251 24 265 13 281 23929 21950 27 252 24 258 11 286 21950 19884 23 262 19 265 15 247 19884 17720 20 266 17 264 16 238 17720 15513 17 267 14 268 15 246 15513 13389 17 288 15 297 11 266 13389 11458 17 305 17 316 10 309 11458 9743 17 313 16 328 11 332 9743 8222 16 324 15 340 10 343 8222 6877 15 343 15 345 11 359 6877 5689 6 336 10 355 7 008 5689 4646 3 322 4 341 4 337 4646 3732 6 348 2 336 4 340 3732 2927 7 360 3*011 5 004 2927 2209 7*003 3*024 5 015 2209 1574 6*004 3 031 5 026 1574 1046 6 004 3 034 6 043 1046 641 6 006 3 036 7 061 641 363 5 007 3 037 8 073 363 195 5 006 3 038 6*074 195 99 4 007 3 039 4*072 99 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography