DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/18 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 60.7 - - 59.8 - - 53.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 98 - - -19 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 891 - - 19 - - 18 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 82 - - 82 - - 82 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 971 - - 99 - - 98 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 478 - - 1116 - - 422 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 179 - - 10 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 177 - - 161 - - 134 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2502 - - -1627 - - -188 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3473 - - 1726 - - 286 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -9385 - - -4706 - - -5276 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 10356 - - 4805 - - 5374 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 76 - - 81 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 10 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 60.7 - - 59.8 - - 53.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 46.2 - - 52.9 - - 52.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 60.2 - - 60.8 - - 55.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 45.9 - - 52.8 - - 53.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 98 - - -19 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 891 - - 19 - - 18 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 4 - - 25 - - 70 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96416 39 259 31 278 23 296 96416 89418 14 284 18 265 21 291 89418 83975 9 265 11 247 13 258 83975 79386 11 242 17 231 15 239 79386 75379 14 222 21 212 17 238 75379 71829 9 216 14 220 18 246 71829 68627 9 260 20 246 21 258 68627 65700 23 254 23 247 19 249 65700 62990 30 248 29 243 26 258 62990 60376 38 254 36 241 35 247 60376 57668 47 251 34 249 40 234 57668 54860 46 250 34 254 46 234 54860 52172 50 253 47 250 56 239 52172 49747 58 250 58 247 65 238 49747 47555 55 252 55 252 58 239 47555 45539 59 260 61 253 61 248 45539 43679 63 253 68 249 78 248 43679 41964 66 252 73 243 87 241 41964 40380 92 254 86 249 85 239 40380 38909 112 254 106 249 92 239 38909 37540 113 249 115 248 102 238 37540 36221 109 244 105 243 92 232 36221 34873 104 243 97 236 81 224 34873 33466 88 239 94 238 80 222 33466 32001 79 243 77 238 80 222 32001 30462 72 241 69 231 78 222 30462 28836 61 245 65 232 77 225 28836 27124 50 247 55 234 71 229 27124 25325 41 245 50 237 55 227 25325 23442 34 235 48 239 46 230 23442 21479 32 217 41 226 42 238 21479 19430 34 218 41 195 52 235 19430 17316 37 216 42 191 58 193 17316 15183 31 206 47 188 56 182 15183 13121 25 203 48 185 50 179 13121 11239 25 202 47 188 43 180 11239 9567 26 200 41 189 34 180 9567 8086 32 201 36 191 33 187 8086 6772 33 207 34 192 33 194 6772 5607 32 213 34 191 32 192 5607 4578 30 216 32 190 32 182 4578 3674 28 218 30 188 34 170 3674 2878 26 222 29 183 38 165 2878 2168 22 220 29 180 40 164 2168 1542 17 199 27 176 38 163 1542 1022 13*185 24 172 34 157 1022 626 9*178 16 165 27 149 626 355 8 177 14 163 17 140 355 192 7 177 11*162 14 138 192 98 6 176 7*161 7*134 98 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography