DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/07 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.1 - - 68.3 - - 69.8 - - 60.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 104 - - 136 - - 11 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1391 - - 2426 - - 2152 - - 19 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 82 - - 1272 - - 83 - - 83 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1471 - - 2506 - - 2232 - - 99 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1122 - - 904 - - 1063 - - 169 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 220 - - 290 - - 140 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 11 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 5 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 223 - - 197 - - 205 - - 222 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -3 - - -8 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1609 - - -2172 - - -2716 - - -1815 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3080 - - 4678 - - 4948 - - 1915 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10976 - - -10319 - - -10481 - - -10517 ODpotential blCL - - - 12447 - - 12825 - - 12713 - - 10616 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 57 - - 51 - - 53 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.1 - - 68.3 - - 69.8 - - 60.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.1 - - 48.3 - - 48.7 - - 52.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.5 - - 67.4 - - 70.0 - - 64.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.8 - - 47.0 - - 47.5 - - 51.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 104 - - 136 - - 11 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1391 - - 2426 - - 2152 - - 19 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97958 20 241 22 244 22 255 17 272 97958 90639 12 240 17 222 17 247 15 240 90639 84944 14 253 12 231 18 260 17 259 84944 80180 14 245 11 233 18 239 19 261 80180 76088 8 228 13 234 17 229 18 240 76088 72495 12 276 13 246 17 232 13 227 72495 69246 16 268 15 262 16 254 15 272 69246 66261 16 236 16 261 18 256 19 273 66261 63501 11 218 12 245 18 232 23 248 63501 60848 16 266 14 245 19 230 24 245 60848 58101 30 264 23 254 23 243 27 247 58101 55261 39 252 36 255 33 255 36 253 55261 52555 42 250 46 255 48 260 48 258 52555 50122 52 250 57 248 61 252 58 254 50122 47939 65 247 68 243 70 243 67 248 47939 45954 72 243 71 241 69 239 75 243 45954 44128 73 244 72 241 68 241 80 242 44128 42437 74 247 74 241 73 244 83 243 42437 40859 77 245 77 241 78 246 85 244 40859 39378 83 242 80 242 78 248 83 245 39378 37982 83 240 81 242 76 250 72 247 37982 36632 74 238 75 240 72 251 64 250 36632 35258 61 238 63 239 67 250 57 254 35258 33829 50 242 54 240 61 249 55 257 33829 32346 46 243 50 242 51 246 45 262 32346 30797 43 245 47 243 38 252 42 265 30797 29165 37 249 41 247 29 265 36 268 29165 27448 32 258 34 252 25 276 33 275 27448 25642 30 264 30 260 25 275 32 277 25642 23750 27 260 28 261 25 277 29 279 23750 21778 26 251 26 256 24 287 25 287 21778 19728 27 244 23 268 21 296 24 283 19728 17596 19 263 20 288 19 295 22 280 17596 15416 18 288 19 283 20 290 20 280 15416 13310 17 290 18 273 19 281 17 281 13310 11393 14 295 17 266 18 275 17 281 11393 9691 12 298 17 267 17 273 17 282 9691 8181 9 300 14 267 15 273 15 285 8181 6842 6 298 11 258 14 265 13 283 6842 5658 3 298 8 242 13 247 12 267 5658 4615 5 335 7 229 12 235 13 241 4615 3702 8 331 6 220 13 214 16 225 3702 2901 8 317 6*205 12*204 15 205 2901 2189 3 287 5*201 9*204 14 197 2189 1561 3*222 5 199 7 206 13 203 1561 1037 3*223 5 197 7 206 11 214 1037 636 3 223 5 196 6 206 9 223 636 361 2 224 4 194 6 206 7 228 361 194 2 223 4 194 5 206 5 226 194 99 2 223 3 193 4 205 4*222 99 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography