DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/08 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 20.7 - - 27.6 - - 29.4 - - 23.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 251 - - 360 - - 147 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2691 - - 3930 - - 3720 - - 425 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1670 - - 2739 - - 2164 - - 79 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2771 - - 4010 - - 3800 - - 505 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 837 - - 658 - - 990 - - 3228 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 351 - - 450 - - 328 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 20 - - 20 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 326 - - 311 - - 314 - - 348 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 9 - - 10 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -5 - - -1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2453 - - -2337 - - -2952 - - -3054 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5225 - - 6348 - - 6752 - - 3559 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -17382 - - -14911 - - -15545 - - -14478 ODpotential blCL - - - 20153 - - 18921 - - 19345 - - 14983 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 80 - - 74 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 20.7 - - 27.6 - - 29.4 - - 23.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - -1.7 - - -0.0 - - 0.0 - - 8.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 19.8 - - 26.3 - - 28.8 - - 24.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -1.8 - - -0.1 - - -0.0 - - 8.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 251 - - 360 - - 147 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2691 - - 3930 - - 3720 - - 425 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 8 - - 21 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96592 20 229 24 228 21 254 19 255 96592 89352 22 234 20 240 11 242 12 247 89352 83775 8 253 8 222 12 230 11 265 83775 79128 4 262 5 226 12 213 17 290 79128 75113 4 250 9 232 10 277 14 288 75113 71559 17 283 16 294 17 295 18 278 71559 68359 15 264 12 279 15 287 12 279 68359 65407 24 303 17 293 21 318 25 332 65407 62650 43 293 39 287 40 298 40 307 62650 59982 43 284 47 282 48 285 47 290 59982 57195 44 279 50 285 50 278 54 282 57195 54282 59 287 60 286 57 283 59 279 54282 51475 70 280 68 283 68 282 63 282 51475 48932 71 281 69 280 79 282 72 286 48932 46646 73 284 76 281 90 281 82 287 46646 44571 80 287 84 282 96 279 91 285 44571 42673 88 289 88 283 91 277 95 281 42673 40920 92 290 89 283 89 281 95 279 40920 39287 95 289 91 284 95 284 93 281 39287 37757 99 289 96 287 98 287 93 286 37757 36329 103 289 102 289 99 289 99 290 36329 34965 105 292 102 292 100 292 106 291 34965 33594 109 293 108 295 109 294 114 291 33594 32186 111 292 114 294 115 293 120 290 32186 30739 111 290 120 293 113 293 120 288 30739 29230 113 290 123 292 112 295 115 289 29230 27642 115 290 120 291 115 296 112 292 27642 25978 112 290 113 290 115 296 106 294 25978 24235 108 290 108 290 110 296 99 295 24235 22413 104 291 101 291 101 296 94 296 22413 20515 98 293 96 293 92 296 90 297 20515 18536 91 295 90 295 84 298 84 299 18536 16478 86 299 81 296 77 299 75 302 16478 14382 81 303 75 297 73 300 67 303 14382 12365 71 304 70 298 70 299 63 304 12365 10536 62 306 66 300 65 301 60 305 10536 8914 55 308 62 302 62 304 58 308 8914 7485 48 311 55 305 59 307 54 313 7485 6234 41 315 45 308 49 308 46 315 6234 5146 36 320 36 312 38 304 37 302 5146 4197 32 328 22*310 22*309 29 303 4197 3368 29*331 21*310 22*310 23 315 3368 2642 21*327 21 311 22 312 22 330 2642 1994 21 327 21 311 21 314 22 339 1994 1423 20 326 20 311 21 315 21 343 1423 948 19 326 20 312 20 316 20 345 948 584 18 326 19 312 19 317 18*347 584 334 17 326 18 312 18 317 15*348 334 183 15 325 16 313 16 318 12 348 183 96 11 325 12 313 12 318 8 348 96 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography