DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/06 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 83.5 - - 82.7 - - 75.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 303 - - 147 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5927 - - 5894 - - 20 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4238 - - 3803 - - 83 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6007 - - 5974 - - 100 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1543 - - 1971 - - 4939 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 495 - - 390 - - 10 W* B/S - - - - - - 8 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 026 - - 028 - - 060 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - -7 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -339 - - -678 - - -3144 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6347 - - 6652 - - 3244 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2501 - - -2831 - - -4824 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8508 - - 8805 - - 4924 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 83 - - 69 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 83.5 - - 82.7 - - 75.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 56.0 - - 53.9 - - 61.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 81.9 - - 81.9 - - 76.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 55.2 - - 53.4 - - 61.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 303 - - 147 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5927 - - 5894 - - 20 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 31 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 9 - - 8 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98903 16 110 16 101 16 070 98903 91503 18 084 18 113 11 088 91503 85783 18 094 15 098 11 101 85783 80998 14 093 7 068 11 078 80998 76853 8 061 5 083 7 073 76853 73188 4 351 6 085 5 107 73188 69877 4 311 8 008 6 139 69877 66843 5 283 9 297 3 360 66843 64046 3 279 6 269 7 330 64046 61360 5 360 9 324 12 330 61360 58577 10 357 12 293 16 301 58577 55699 14 320 14 287 19 295 55699 52954 24 313 23 290 27 299 52954 50490 35 299 32 292 35 302 50490 48285 32 281 36 288 44 293 48285 46286 30 288 38 283 42 279 46286 44457 33 301 37 288 38 279 44457 42770 40 296 41 289 41 285 42770 41203 43 289 43 285 45 288 41203 39734 39 288 40 282 49 287 39734 38345 37 290 32 281 50 285 38345 36992 38 284 31 285 46 281 36992 35607 32 279 35 273 42 277 35607 34159 30 275 32 256 39 273 34159 32654 26 277 30 255 36 276 32654 31079 27 275 28 270 32 278 31079 29423 32 279 29 277 28 277 29423 27682 34 282 30 282 28 284 27682 25849 31 282 28 285 28 283 25849 23928 29 276 25 280 28 283 23928 21928 29 270 26 284 26 298 21928 19849 28 277 27 290 21 309 19849 17684 28 282 25 292 18 305 17684 15479 27 284 23 298 16 305 15479 13360 25 295 20 303 17 308 13360 11438 25 309 18 309 19 309 11438 9737 24 319 15 326 14 317 9737 8236 18 337 9 346 8 350 8236 6908 13*009 8*008 9 011 6908 5730 11*021 9*018 10 013 5730 4687 11 023 9 021 11 019 4687 3768 11 025 10 025 12 035 3768 2958 11 025 11 028 13 047 2958 2233 11 027 11 030 14 054 2233 1592 11 028 11 031 15 058 1592 1059 11 028 11 032 15 060 1059 649 11 029 11 033 14 061 649 368 10 029 11 033 12 062 368 197 10 029 10 033 9*061 197 100 8 028 8 033 5*060 100 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography