DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/30 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 78.9 - - 75.9 - - 67.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 398 - - 223 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5660 - - 5617 - - 19 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4150 - - 3844 - - 83 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5740 - - 5697 - - 99 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1411 - - 1096 - - 4772 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 534 - - 440 - - 15 W* B/S - - - - - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 15 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 349 - - 349 - - 027 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 10 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 16 - - 8 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -774 - - -2135 - - -5107 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6514 - - 7832 - - 5206 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2925 - - -8162 - - -11016 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8665 - - 13859 - - 11115 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 70 - - 57 - - 51 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 78.9 - - 75.9 - - 67.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 50.5 - - 41.9 - - 45.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 77.0 - - 74.8 - - 68.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 49.6 - - 40.9 - - 44.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 398 - - 223 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5660 - - 5617 - - 19 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 7 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98469 21 112 8 143 7 344 98469 90995 15 107 7 118 7 061 90995 85234 10 091 11 094 9 062 85234 80451 15 103 10 075 9 094 80451 76324 13 093 8 085 5 058 76324 72663 9 089 8 077 4 156 72663 69349 6 046 6 011 4 353 69349 66326 6 008 7 357 5 307 66326 63543 9 324 10 346 11 348 63543 60854 15 305 18 304 15 304 60854 58037 21 300 29 292 25 296 58037 55123 27 297 35 297 38 306 55123 52379 36 300 39 303 41 299 52379 49933 47 290 45 299 42 297 49933 47751 54 279 52 290 48 294 47751 45780 56 275 60 285 55 289 45780 43984 60 276 67 283 65 289 43984 42332 65 275 70 281 76 289 42332 40795 66 270 72 280 80 286 40795 39344 65 266 72 280 81 285 39344 37965 64 267 72 281 81 286 37965 36619 63 271 71 282 81 286 36619 35239 63 273 71 281 80 285 35239 33797 63 273 70 280 78 286 33797 32299 62 274 68 282 76 291 32299 30736 61 280 65 287 67 294 30736 29093 59 287 59 291 60 295 29093 27367 55 295 55 297 56 294 27367 25552 55 299 55 301 54 295 25552 23650 54 298 57 302 53 297 23650 21662 54 297 58 301 53 299 21662 19589 52 296 56 299 51 299 19589 17434 50 295 50 298 48 300 17434 15248 47 294 42 298 41 304 15248 13151 42 292 37 300 35 308 13151 11249 38 291 34 302 35 306 11249 9566 33 292 33 304 34 303 9566 8080 27 295 30 306 30 302 8080 6766 21*301 23*306 22 303 6766 5604 13*314 14*326 18 322 5604 4580 11 330 14 333 18 347 4580 3680 11 343 15 340 20 003 3680 2887 12 353 16 353 22 016 2887 2180 13 358 17 357 23 021 2180 1555 13 002 17 360 23 024 1555 1034 13 004 17 001 23 025 1034 635 13 005 16 002 21 026 635 360 12 006 16 003 19 027 360 194 12 006 14 003 16*027 194 99 10 007 11 003 11*027 99 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography