DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/16 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 70.0 - - 68.0 - - 66.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 34 - - -46 - - -68 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1087 - - 19 - - 19 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 83 - - 83 - - 83 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1167 - - 99 - - 99 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2463 - - 2614 - - 2047 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 156 - - 19 - - 15 W* B/S - - - - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 29 - - 15 - - 16 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 181 - - 173 - - 175 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 287 - - -347 - - -255 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 880 - - 446 - - 354 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -453 - - -1265 - - -1585 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 1620 - - 1364 - - 1684 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 99 - - 96 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1050 - - 1020 - - 690 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 70.0 - - 68.0 - - 66.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 65.9 - - 65.7 - - 64.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 70.1 - - 69.2 - - 67.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 65.3 - - 65.5 - - 64.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 34 - - -46 - - -68 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1087 - - 19 - - 19 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 95 - - 82 - - 70 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 13 - - 14 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96612 37 263 33 266 35 280 96612 89429 25 259 27 262 22 279 89429 83899 16 264 19 254 17 276 83899 79286 7 283 13 256 13 268 79286 75275 5 291 8 253 14 266 75275 71714 2 014 9 213 12 241 71714 68492 2 006 8 180 10 179 68492 65515 13 245 5 185 6 217 65515 62754 28 203 26 209 33 217 62754 60105 29 207 34 220 37 209 60105 57338 39 224 40 233 36 224 57338 54448 50 222 60 223 61 226 54448 51685 60 214 67 213 67 213 51685 49193 67 214 71 213 67 213 49193 46961 72 217 76 214 74 214 46961 44949 78 218 83 215 79 210 44949 43121 81 216 88 215 86 209 43121 41457 85 211 91 212 100 214 41457 39940 84 205 94 202 110 211 39940 38530 80 202 92 201 108 204 38530 37192 80 201 90 201 106 199 37192 35887 81 204 89 202 97 192 35887 34553 80 204 89 201 89 189 34553 33160 78 198 86 202 85 189 33160 31712 75 193 82 203 84 190 31712 30192 65 185 77 202 84 191 30192 28589 63 186 75 200 82 193 28589 26905 62 190 72 198 79 195 26905 25138 62 195 70 199 78 198 25138 23292 61 198 73 198 82 206 23292 21371 61 201 73 198 86 214 21371 19370 60 202 70 200 82 216 19370 17283 60 202 68 203 80 215 17283 15155 59 201 71 203 76 210 15155 13103 60 202 74 204 75 211 13103 11236 61 205 74 203 73 209 11236 9579 62 208 72 202 77 203 9579 8108 63 207 69 202 82 202 8108 6801 62 205 66 202 83 203 6801 5639 61 202 63 198 82 202 5639 4610 59 199 61 193 79 200 4610 3705 57 196 59 190 72 198 3705 2908 53 192 56 188 62 193 2908 2194 47 189 51 184 55 187 2194 1565 42*186 47 182 49 183 1565 1041 37*183 40 179 41 180 1041 639 32 181 34 177 35 178 639 363 28 180 28 176 29 176 363 195 23 180 24 175 24 176 195 99 17 179 15*173 16*175 99 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography