DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/25 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0659z - - 0959z - - 1337z - - 1602z - - 1900z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.0 - - 63.5 - - 63.1 - - 62.4 - - 62.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 11 - - 14 - - -5 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 306 - - 623 - - 679 - - 376 - - 225 BL Depth Hcrit 82 - - 83 - - 83 - - 82 - - 83 Hcrit BL Top 386 - - 703 - - 759 - - 456 - - 305 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1185 - - 1389 - - 1460 - - 1889 - - 1814 Hgt.Variab. W* 26 - - 81 - - 91 - - 38 - - 26 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 12 - - 13 - - 10 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 352 - - 041 - - 046 - - 038 - - 037 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 72 - - 255 - - 301 - - -113 - - -201 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 314 - - 448 - - 458 - - 569 - - 506 sfcLCL ODpotential -15 - - 144 - - 179 - - -371 - - -518 ODpotential blCL 401 - - 559 - - 580 - - 827 - - 823 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 20 - - 10 - - 20 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 61.0 - - 63.5 - - 63.1 - - 62.4 - - 62.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 60.1 - - 62.0 - - 61.5 - - 60.4 - - 60.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.2 - - 63.6 - - 63.2 - - 62.7 - - 62.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 60.0 - - 61.8 - - 61.3 - - 60.2 - - 60.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 11 - - 14 - - -5 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 306 - - 623 - - 679 - - 376 - - 225 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 12 - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98188 16 053 17 057 14 052 12 065 10 027 98188 90730 16 082 10 066 14 057 12 048 15 036 90730 85013 13 075 10 075 10 063 5 054 15 038 85013 80287 11 034 9 050 7 082 1 272 13 032 80287 76224 11 013 6 061 5 125 4 305 11 008 76224 72645 6 001 8 050 5 122 6 318 9 354 72645 69413 4 020 11 028 7 021 7 336 10 357 69413 66449 2 067 9 025 8 042 4 323 9 330 66449 63710 8 342 10 317 10 358 6 326 9 306 63710 61064 11 334 17 281 13 317 12 319 12 306 61064 58306 18 292 18 270 20 294 19 300 17 313 58306 55446 29 280 18 280 25 278 24 280 19 297 55446 52740 30 279 21 291 28 283 30 280 27 295 52740 50339 23 272 21 281 29 275 33 275 34 287 50339 48209 19 281 19 276 19 270 26 290 29 287 48209 46288 24 294 23 299 15 283 23 298 27 287 46288 44531 34 317 24 321 18 282 19 306 25 289 44531 42899 33 334 22 336 18 294 20 319 18 302 42899 41364 36 334 16 335 19 323 17 325 17 314 41364 39909 37 332 13 319 13 338 17 323 15 309 39909 38523 36 334 11 312 7 317 14 305 9 320 38523 37171 34 335 10 313 6 300 6 299 3 224 37171 35787 26 333 12 317 4 303 3 296 6 181 35787 34339 16 264 17 307 6 308 3 288 4 197 34339 32831 20 254 19 292 10 297 5 274 2 286 32831 31248 19 264 16 283 11 294 7 275 3 322 31248 29580 19 273 12 286 11 268 12 266 6 308 29580 27828 20 279 8 294 11 252 15 261 9 291 27828 25991 20 276 10 279 11 273 13 272 8 262 25991 24069 19 258 17 257 13 288 14 277 8 268 24069 22064 17 237 24 254 14 278 14 268 10 271 22064 19974 14 242 21 254 12 257 11 251 8 263 19974 17797 6 283 15 262 13 255 10 223 8 273 17797 15577 9 311 11 260 13 256 11 231 15 301 15577 13436 10 329 11 299 9 258 10 252 11 293 13436 11487 7 330 12 308 8 285 11 277 11 308 11487 9758 5 356 10 306 12 297 11 285 12 308 9758 8226 5 341 8 334 9 304 8 290 5 298 8226 6869 6 034 3 017 4 020 6 081 3 078 6869 5672 13 059 13 080 13 077 12 095 12 080 5672 4619 14 074 16 068 14 083 14 104 12 093 4619 3697 15 080 15 069 18 083 20 093 18 101 3697 2889 17 067 20 069 23 074 24 079 25 091 2889 2174 17 047 21 056 22 062 22 062 24 076 2174 1549 16 026 19 049 20 055 19 051 20 059 1549 1030 14 014 18*047 19*052 18 048 17 048 1030 632 12*000 14*043 16*047 15*044 15 043 632 359 10*354 13 041 14 046 12*040 12*040 359 193 9 352 11 040 12 044 10 037 10*037 193 99 6 350 8 038 9 043 7 037 7 036 99 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography