DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/04 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1553z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.2 - - 75.4 - - 75.4 - - 68.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 90 - - 148 - - -2 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 461 - - 3637 - - 3427 - - 19 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 83 - - 2139 - - 83 - - 83 Hcrit BL Top - - - 541 - - 3717 - - 3507 - - 99 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 964 - - 1900 - - 2585 - - 208 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 141 - - 332 - - 83 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 10 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 128 - - 183 - - 187 - - 144 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 3 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2023 - - 57 - - -233 - - -1417 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2564 - - 3660 - - 3740 - - 1516 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6783 - - -244 - - -868 - - -3448 ODpotential blCL - - - 7324 - - 3961 - - 4375 - - 3547 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 92 - - 83 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 30 - - 20 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.2 - - 75.4 - - 75.4 - - 68.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.5 - - 59.8 - - 59.4 - - 61.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.6 - - 74.5 - - 75.8 - - 70.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.1 - - 59.3 - - 59.0 - - 61.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 90 - - 148 - - -2 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 461 - - 3637 - - 3427 - - 19 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 70 - - 67 - - 34 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96666 90 248 91 249 103 250 99 255 96666 89397 58 255 62 255 67 257 64 257 89397 83846 26 255 45 258 42 264 31 265 83846 79279 24 276 17 246 25 255 25 286 79279 75344 19 268 14 270 12 261 19 266 75344 71858 5 299 16 261 11 274 11 279 71858 68709 7 341 7 240 13 259 13 286 68709 65812 6 321 1 227 12 244 13 271 65812 63125 6 306 5 314 6 184 13 248 63125 60529 7 279 9 287 4 152 7 253 60529 57834 8 261 7 265 6 244 9 253 57834 55053 14 250 7 211 16 247 13 236 55053 52414 13 221 13 220 19 241 15 229 52414 50051 13 178 23 231 20 238 22 239 50051 47936 18 169 26 211 30 222 27 221 47936 46011 17 170 25 194 34 204 29 195 46011 44238 13 179 20 202 27 201 32 192 44238 42593 17 208 15 224 24 207 28 197 42593 41062 20 228 18 248 24 222 29 233 41062 39623 18 240 27 254 29 240 36 234 39623 38255 21 245 22 250 29 237 31 227 38255 36919 25 258 22 251 26 233 29 220 36919 35551 23 260 20 249 23 234 27 222 35551 34120 17 267 18 249 22 243 24 222 34120 32631 14 267 19 252 21 250 21 226 32631 31069 18 255 23 247 21 250 21 237 31069 29422 21 252 24 241 22 247 20 246 29422 27690 16 260 19 246 19 248 18 243 27690 25872 13 264 17 251 17 245 16 225 25872 23968 14 250 15 237 17 233 18 228 23968 21980 11 229 14 222 16 218 19 221 21980 19900 11 223 17 214 20 206 23 206 19900 17722 14 196 18 212 21 207 25 211 17722 15501 16 180 19 195 20 206 21 233 15501 13374 15 185 16 206 17 212 16 234 13374 11452 9 191 9 210 11 215 10 220 11452 9751 3 184 5 181 9 203 10 197 9751 8240 4 126 6 155 8 184 13 201 8240 6898 6 128 9 159 12 188 17 206 6898 5716 6 146 13 179 14 188 15 203 5716 4674 7 157 15 186 13 186 14 180 4674 3756 13 170 15*186 11*186 14 172 3756 2947 17 179 14*185 10*186 15 172 2947 2224 15 182 11 183 9 187 14 174 2224 1585 12 176 10 183 8 187 13 173 1585 1053 9 149 10 182 8 188 11 172 1053 645 7*134 9 183 7 188 9 167 645 366 4*128 8 182 7 189 7 158 366 196 4 128 8 182 6 187 5 146 196 99 3 127 6 182 4 188 4*144 99 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography