DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/19 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 59.8 - - 58.9 - - 53.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 142 - - 12 - - -53 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3445 - - 2810 - - 18 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2000 - - 82 - - 82 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3525 - - 2890 - - 98 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 494 - - 883 - - 2240 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 326 - - 150 - - 11 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 21 - - 21 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 011 - - 002 - - 351 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 10 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 474 - - -425 - - -1912 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3051 - - 3315 - - 2011 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -66 - - -11257 - - -13587 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3591 - - 14147 - - 13685 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 88 - - 80 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 59.8 - - 58.9 - - 53.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 47.2 - - 45.0 - - 45.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 59.3 - - 59.0 - - 55.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 46.2 - - 44.4 - - 44.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 142 - - 12 - - -53 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3445 - - 2810 - - 18 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 53 - - 21 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97705 18 259 18 277 11 260 97705 90397 13 227 15 258 18 282 90397 84784 10 209 18 254 13 284 84784 80115 10 203 18 247 13 275 80115 76091 6 230 14 225 20 265 76091 72544 5 259 11 193 21 257 72544 69337 7 229 10 231 11 230 69337 66389 8 216 12 254 3 189 66389 63661 6 259 7 252 7 284 63661 61024 6 287 5 278 12 274 61024 58275 6 289 10 281 15 285 58275 55443 4 311 7 255 14 258 55443 52756 10 313 3 303 10 224 52756 50322 23 270 17 301 4 255 50322 48115 20 247 28 275 18 290 48115 46102 6 335 13 272 23 279 46102 44251 13 352 13 331 11 309 44251 42541 19 351 17 343 17 341 42541 40948 25 347 22 350 20 342 40948 39456 27 351 24 354 21 342 39456 38051 27 001 27 355 24 347 38051 36692 35 010 29 001 29 351 36692 35311 41 010 33 008 30 353 35311 33877 43 009 38 008 30 357 33877 32391 41 010 37 005 30 002 32391 30835 36 012 26 003 29 005 30835 29194 30 011 22 003 28 002 29194 27470 31 012 24 004 29 359 27470 25660 30 012 27 008 28 008 25660 23769 27 011 28 008 25 009 23769 21799 25 012 28 011 26 008 21799 19742 28 012 31 015 29 010 19742 17587 29 013 31 011 28 006 17587 15380 27 023 27 009 25 356 15380 13250 24 031 24 014 23 001 13250 11313 23 027 22 019 24 007 11313 9596 24 029 23 025 22 015 9596 8078 26 036 26 029 22 023 8078 6736 28 034 28 032 23 027 6736 5553 31 027 33 032 28 021 5553 4517 27 019 31 022 31 021 4517 3619 23*013 27*011 31 019 3619 2835 23*012 24*004 30 018 2835 2138 23 012 23 003 29 014 2138 1524 22 011 23 002 28 009 1524 1013 22 011 22 001 25 003 1013 622 21 011 20 000 22 358 622 354 20 011 19 360 17 355 354 191 17 010 16 359 14*353 191 98 13 010 11 359 8*351 98 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography