DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/03 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 100.6 - - 102.3 - - 96.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 326 - - 175 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6076 - - 6874 - - 21 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4392 - - 4673 - - 85 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6156 - - 6954 - - 101 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1766 - - 2313 - - 7306 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 512 - - 437 - - 15 W* B/S - - - - - - 41 - - 13 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 2 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 257 - - 242 - - 210 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1057 - - -1107 - - -5952 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7214 - - 8061 - - 6053 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -3440 - - -3089 - - -8971 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9596 - - 10043 - - 9072 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 66 - - 67 - - 40 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 2300 - - 2120 - - 2840 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 100.6 - - 102.3 - - 96.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 69.2 - - 67.3 - - 70.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 98.6 - - 101.1 - - 98.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 68.6 - - 66.8 - - 70.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 326 - - 175 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6076 - - 6874 - - 21 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 14 - - 14 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98998 34 084 34 076 40 087 98998 91555 33 085 30 071 29 069 91555 85867 31 080 28 070 25 058 85867 81126 26 068 24 068 27 062 81126 77022 17 067 18 067 25 060 77022 73386 13 064 12 069 18 059 73386 70095 12 085 7 094 10 053 70095 67072 12 094 8 120 6 036 67072 64278 8 087 5 099 4 058 64278 61599 9 068 6 057 2 099 61599 58844 9 079 9 056 2 087 58844 56013 5 064 8 070 3 045 56013 53327 6 198 2 185 3 281 53327 50927 15 184 14 213 12 221 50927 48790 18 183 20 219 17 226 48790 46847 17 177 19 217 18 223 46847 45055 14 176 17 209 16 220 45055 43384 14 188 18 213 19 225 43384 41814 14 209 17 215 18 213 41814 40332 13 231 16 247 13 226 40332 38929 16 240 24 257 18 257 38929 37568 17 237 25 255 22 258 37568 36176 16 235 22 254 30 253 36176 34721 15 237 19 251 29 247 34721 33205 16 238 18 244 24 247 33205 31615 15 235 18 238 21 245 31615 29937 14 235 17 236 19 249 29937 28174 10 243 13 242 16 259 28174 26326 5 271 7 246 9 246 26326 24396 8 294 7 263 9 238 24396 22391 8 297 8 290 7 285 22391 20309 10 300 12 312 8 336 20309 18144 12 318 12 351 11 032 18144 15939 13 006 16 002 12 023 15939 13812 15 006 16 006 10 012 13812 11868 12 357 15 354 13 013 11868 10131 10 348 13 335 13 000 10131 8583 7 347 10 319 12 334 8583 7205 5*325 6*289 12 316 7205 5979 3*288 6*276 12 310 5979 4891 3 276 6 267 11 301 4891 3932 2 267 6 248 9 283 3932 3085 2 257 6 239 9 259 3085 2328 2 250 6 233 9 242 2328 1660 2 239 7 228 10 231 1660 1102 2 234 7 224 11 224 1102 675 2 229 7 222 11 219 675 381 2 229 6 221 10 215 381 203 2 226 6 221 8 213 203 101 2 226 5 220 5*210 101 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography