DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/29 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 56.4 - - 59.6 - - 52.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 374 - - 150 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3779 - - 4595 - - 18 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2642 - - 2833 - - 82 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3859 - - 4675 - - 98 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1041 - - 1129 - - 410 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 452 - - 358 - - 7 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 14 - - 14 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 182 - - 200 - - 173 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2534 - - -2118 - - -3379 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6393 - - 6794 - - 3477 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -10864 - - -9327 - - -8049 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 14723 - - 14002 - - 8147 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 67 - - 67 - - 52 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 56.4 - - 59.6 - - 52.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 29.1 - - 30.5 - - 38.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 54.7 - - 58.9 - - 54.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 28.0 - - 29.6 - - 37.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 374 - - 150 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3779 - - 4595 - - 18 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96756 56 237 57 247 45 259 96756 89432 43 230 52 237 45 255 89432 83783 35 230 44 233 47 246 83783 79104 36 246 37 241 41 240 79104 75094 38 249 39 248 42 252 75094 71574 36 252 34 246 37 253 71574 68402 41 267 33 264 32 264 68402 65490 44 270 39 279 33 276 65490 62787 43 273 44 281 39 285 62787 60168 48 275 52 282 48 289 60168 57439 59 277 64 281 59 285 57439 54610 70 278 71 275 69 282 54610 51904 75 280 75 275 79 282 51904 49455 79 280 79 278 84 280 49455 47244 80 280 81 280 83 280 47244 45224 81 280 81 281 81 280 45224 43370 81 280 81 282 78 282 43370 41671 79 280 81 283 78 283 41671 40117 77 280 82 284 79 284 40117 38685 76 282 81 283 79 285 38685 37339 76 283 78 281 77 287 37339 36032 74 281 74 281 76 289 36032 34697 72 282 70 283 75 288 34697 33302 68 285 64 284 72 289 33302 31850 63 283 60 284 64 286 31850 30325 60 282 57 284 57 283 30325 28715 57 283 54 283 53 283 28715 27019 53 280 51 282 50 284 27019 25235 51 278 49 282 47 283 25235 23366 52 280 47 283 43 283 23366 21417 51 282 45 284 38 288 21417 19379 46 286 40 283 37 291 19379 17246 41 288 36 284 34 283 17246 15073 37 287 35 284 32 283 15073 12990 33 284 33 282 33 283 12990 11105 26 277 28 274 32 275 11105 9436 17 268 24 261 28 265 9436 7963 17 264 20 254 25 257 7963 6662 19 248 21 249 25 243 6662 5516 16 216 19*216 25 214 5516 4508 16*189 16*203 23 201 4508 3621 15*184 15 202 22 197 3621 2840 15 183 15 201 21 196 2840 2142 14 182 14 200 20 196 2142 1527 14 182 14 199 18 194 1527 1015 13 181 13 199 17 192 1015 623 13 181 13 198 15 189 623 354 12 181 12 198 13 185 354 191 11 181 11 197 10 181 191 98 9 181 9 197 4*173 98 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography