DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/27 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 52.1 - - 50.1 - - 42.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 217 - - 24 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3628 - - 3557 - - 17 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2309 - - 81 - - 81 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3708 - - 3637 - - 97 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1119 - - 1249 - - 5013 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 372 - - 180 - - 5 W* B/S - - - - - - 8 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 8 - - 12 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 279 - - 287 - - 278 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2673 - - -2640 - - -4421 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6382 - - 6278 - - 4519 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -11850 - - -9741 - - -9114 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 15558 - - 13378 - - 9211 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 91 - - 85 - - 41 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 52.1 - - 50.1 - - 42.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 24.4 - - 22.9 - - 23.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 50.9 - - 50.1 - - 44.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 24.0 - - 22.6 - - 23.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 217 - - 24 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3628 - - 3557 - - 17 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 62 - - 42 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95705 20 277 14 261 27 263 95705 88714 20 290 11 275 14 276 88714 83324 13 227 19 261 12 268 83324 78828 8 222 18 230 13 285 78828 74900 13 229 19 228 16 244 74900 71401 16 228 21 239 22 237 71401 68236 23 232 26 235 25 238 68236 65315 33 239 31 239 29 245 65315 62584 45 231 43 230 42 235 62584 59928 51 224 45 227 53 230 59928 57141 60 235 50 233 52 229 57141 54231 79 235 67 236 59 234 54231 51446 87 230 81 230 75 237 51446 48937 90 226 85 228 83 230 48937 46682 88 230 90 227 85 228 46682 44633 94 228 97 225 94 228 44633 42762 96 223 102 221 100 222 42762 41037 95 225 98 219 90 218 41037 39431 111 231 95 223 93 229 39431 37936 130 229 110 229 109 231 37936 36542 132 223 129 229 129 228 36542 35202 129 221 137 224 145 223 35202 33839 130 220 138 219 147 218 33839 32421 123 216 134 215 135 215 32421 30957 115 212 126 214 125 215 30957 29432 106 217 122 214 118 217 29432 27830 106 215 121 213 115 216 27830 26155 109 215 122 213 108 217 26155 24407 104 222 121 214 95 219 24407 22586 98 226 111 216 85 219 22586 20698 91 226 96 218 81 218 20698 18735 85 222 83 221 71 225 18735 16688 82 222 68 224 59 230 16688 14594 68 223 60 226 53 233 14594 12574 56 229 51 231 47 236 12574 10746 50 237 44 240 43 244 10746 9135 40 244 35 247 32 249 9135 7711 29 245 25 248 23 255 7711 6454 19 264 23 279 17 276 6454 5349 13 284 15 291 20 296 5349 4375 9*274 10*280 22 301 4375 3518 8*275 12*284 21 301 3518 2761 8 276 12 286 20 300 2761 2085 9 278 13 287 20 298 2085 1487 9 280 13 287 18 296 1487 990 9 281 13 288 17 293 990 608 8 282 12 288 15 291 608 346 8 283 12 289 12 287 346 188 7 283 10 289 9 284 188 97 6 283 8 288 4*278 97 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography