DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/15 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 71.0 - - 69.5 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 94 - - 65 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2203 - - 1924 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 813 - - 83 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2283 - - 2004 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 644 - - 712 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 243 - - 205 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 15 - - 13 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 053 - - 053 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -282 - - -562 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2565 - - 2566 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -6069 - - -8267 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8352 - - 10271 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 99 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 71.0 - - 69.5 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 60.2 - - 58.7 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 70.6 - - 69.2 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 59.8 - - 58.3 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 94 - - 65 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2203 - - 1924 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 99 - - 95 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 11 - - 10 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97641 37 236 40 250 97641 90406 28 248 30 261 90406 84784 25 250 24 257 84784 80099 16 243 15 239 80099 76092 9 236 10 236 76092 72582 3 249 9 269 72582 69417 2 021 6 272 69417 66504 6 346 6 326 66504 63809 15 296 17 318 63809 61232 22 272 22 280 61232 58585 18 272 23 250 58585 55863 19 295 20 259 55863 53271 29 296 30 300 53271 50930 40 285 42 295 50930 48813 41 278 44 278 48813 46875 43 280 44 276 46875 45080 44 283 44 281 45080 43402 45 288 43 280 43402 41823 46 294 42 279 41823 40331 47 298 41 281 40331 38917 47 300 39 284 38917 37542 44 298 37 286 37542 36137 38 291 34 285 36137 34669 37 281 31 276 34669 33141 36 270 33 270 33141 31537 34 261 33 276 31537 29849 24 264 32 278 29849 28075 23 277 28 268 28075 26210 21 267 24 264 26210 24256 22 260 23 261 24256 22218 25 266 25 268 22218 20098 27 267 27 269 20098 17892 27 273 25 266 17892 15650 26 274 21 266 15650 13495 25 265 22 269 13495 11539 24 270 24 272 11539 9804 23 280 22 283 9804 8269 23 276 21 282 8269 6909 17 265 19 270 6909 5704 15 262 18 282 5704 4642 10 253 13 273 4642 3712 2 181 4 273 3712 2901 14*071 11 063 2901 2186 16*054 15*053 2186 1559 16 054 15*052 1559 1037 16 053 14 053 1037 637 15 053 14 053 637 362 15 053 13 053 362 195 13 053 12 053 195 99 10 053 9 053 99 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography