DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/25 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 34.3 - - 31.3 - - 28.9 - - 27.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -17 - - 13 - - 19 - - 16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 17 - - 263 - - 457 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 80 - - 80 - - 80 - - 80 Hcrit BL Top - - - 97 - - 343 - - 537 - - 421 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 537 - - 319 - - 236 - - 345 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 0 - - 62 - - 83 - - 72 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 349 - - 242 - - 241 - - 242 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -2 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -48 - - 105 - - 131 - - 46 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 145 - - 238 - - 406 - - 375 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13896 - - 76 - - 76 - - -156 ODpotential blCL - - - 13993 - - 267 - - 461 - - 577 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 10 - - 0 - - 140 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 34.3 - - 31.3 - - 28.9 - - 27.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.2 - - 30.8 - - 27.7 - - 26.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 35.2 - - 31.4 - - 29.1 - - 27.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.8 - - 30.6 - - 27.4 - - 26.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -17 - - 13 - - 19 - - 16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 17 - - 263 - - 457 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96251 122 222 103 235 100 243 106 243 96251 89027 100 239 95 236 95 243 93 243 89027 83497 80 251 74 243 83 246 78 245 83497 78921 61 255 61 249 65 244 70 246 78921 74992 44 249 50 249 52 248 59 250 74992 71545 35 245 45 256 45 249 49 246 71545 68444 33 268 46 255 45 249 45 244 68444 65593 43 267 45 250 43 242 40 245 65593 62948 47 262 51 258 44 253 49 261 62948 60396 59 265 60 258 62 257 60 252 60396 57734 71 257 68 252 69 250 65 256 57734 54952 77 252 68 249 72 257 74 257 54952 52271 76 249 73 261 89 256 85 257 52271 49831 73 249 96 261 93 250 91 256 49831 47617 75 257 106 260 86 251 98 258 47617 45591 95 267 116 262 94 261 112 257 45591 43744 118 268 129 260 118 265 135 260 43744 42046 124 267 128 260 143 262 153 258 42046 40477 132 271 123 264 145 259 144 254 40477 39024 142 273 126 267 135 260 129 253 39024 37659 124 271 123 266 129 259 124 252 37659 36334 100 265 115 263 124 257 117 248 36334 34980 95 259 114 261 118 257 107 245 34980 33565 90 250 107 260 104 256 95 241 33565 32091 83 245 85 255 81 253 91 240 32091 30541 83 253 71 246 75 247 91 239 30541 28904 81 253 73 244 72 240 90 237 28904 27182 77 253 64 244 64 236 86 237 27182 25376 74 258 60 242 55 240 79 238 25376 23486 73 261 58 241 59 236 75 239 23486 21517 72 258 53 239 55 239 74 241 21517 19465 63 245 46 234 50 238 72 236 19465 17333 61 227 44 232 54 237 71 224 17333 15171 61 226 50 230 59 240 72 223 15171 13095 59 223 54 236 65 240 74 229 13095 11201 57 216 59 237 68 239 76 232 11201 9515 59 214 58 231 66 234 73 232 9515 8018 66 205 57 214 62 226 68 231 8018 6692 67 191 59 208 62 223 63 228 6692 5518 58 184 62 207 61 218 64 223 5518 4480 49 180 65 206 64 211 68 216 4480 3570 37 177 64 203 64 208 70 210 3570 2769 23 161 58 199 61 208 68 206 2769 2061 17 102 49 196 53 209 57 205 2061 1449 20 063 29 199 35 214 35 210 1449 956 20 039 15 218 16 233 17 230 956 587 16 013 11*239 11*240 11*240 587 335 12 355 10*242 9*241 8*241 335 183 10*351 8 242 8 241 7 242 183 96 7*349 6 242 6 242 6 242 96 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography