DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/25 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.7 - - 66.8 - - 64.3 - - 54.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 99 - - 199 - - 30 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2752 - - 4516 - - 3181 - - 18 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1282 - - 2941 - - 82 - - 82 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2832 - - 4596 - - 3261 - - 98 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2785 - - 745 - - 1482 - - 1008 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 269 - - 392 - - 190 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 9 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 8 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 085 - - 058 - - 055 - - 047 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 1 - - -5 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -804 - - -571 - - -1732 - - -1380 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3636 - - 5167 - - 4993 - - 1478 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1465 - - -6677 - - -8281 - - -9091 ODpotential blCL - - - 4297 - - 11273 - - 11542 - - 9189 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 71 - - 62 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.7 - - 66.8 - - 64.3 - - 54.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.7 - - 45.0 - - 43.3 - - 48.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.2 - - 65.6 - - 64.2 - - 56.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.7 - - 44.1 - - 42.8 - - 48.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 99 - - 199 - - 30 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2752 - - 4516 - - 3181 - - 18 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97342 24 240 32 256 34 274 28 256 97342 90096 8 261 14 255 22 265 14 262 90096 84530 4 291 3 241 8 247 5 262 84530 79902 5 358 7 122 3 216 6 299 79902 75926 6 020 6 062 3 114 1 297 75926 72416 1 125 3 358 3 083 2 050 72416 69241 6 107 2 084 2 139 4 334 69241 66332 7 074 4 143 3 238 5 301 66332 63639 9 066 2 166 6 250 8 283 63639 61026 10 039 5 335 3 267 9 285 61026 58298 12 339 6 320 5 266 14 284 58298 55480 23 337 10 345 2 226 12 248 55480 52790 34 310 23 289 17 297 9 295 52790 50360 31 294 27 288 27 288 24 293 50360 48169 31 297 30 316 27 311 24 282 48169 46155 30 302 36 326 33 330 15 296 46155 44293 24 317 36 326 41 334 23 341 44293 42566 28 342 33 327 43 331 35 340 42566 40952 34 347 33 337 39 332 39 335 40952 39433 36 341 36 346 38 344 42 334 39433 37998 34 336 39 352 43 350 44 340 37998 36609 30 340 42 354 46 352 48 347 36609 35198 31 346 43 355 49 353 53 353 35198 33736 31 348 44 354 55 355 61 359 33736 32225 32 353 44 351 60 355 68 003 32225 30648 32 359 40 349 57 355 70 004 30648 28990 28 006 37 352 49 356 62 004 28990 27257 22 000 34 359 41 359 50 005 27257 25452 9 349 24 001 33 005 38 007 25452 23577 9 012 16 002 27 009 29 010 23577 21634 9 040 10 008 18 010 19 009 21634 19611 8 051 7 015 10 007 11 004 19611 17494 7 031 6 025 7 020 7 006 17494 15320 8 016 6 023 8 027 6 019 15320 13216 9 032 8 025 9 027 8 030 13216 11298 8 078 9 050 10 034 11 038 11298 9596 16 103 10 086 8 055 11 049 9596 8089 23 109 16 095 12 076 12 074 8089 6756 21 108 18 097 15 085 15 082 6756 5582 8 076 10*086 10 086 13 078 5582 4550 7 054 7*064 6 066 10 055 4550 3648 8 068 7 061 6*063 11 030 3648 2859 11*082 8 060 7*060 11 025 2859 2156 14*085 8 057 9 057 11 030 2156 1536 14 085 8 056 9 055 10 045 1536 1022 13 085 8 055 9 054 10 054 1022 627 13 085 8 054 9 054 11 056 627 356 12 085 8 054 9 053 10 056 356 192 11 085 7 053 8 053 8 053 192 98 8 085 6 053 7 052 4*047 98 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography