DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/11 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.7 - - 68.7 - - 67.7 - - 56.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 89 - - 134 - - -5 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 560 - - 2500 - - 1996 - - 19 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 82 - - 1274 - - 83 - - 82 Hcrit BL Top - - - 640 - - 2580 - - 2076 - - 99 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 656 - - 2162 - - 2926 - - 283 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 150 - - 284 - - 62 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 21 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 2 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 053 - - 094 - - 093 - - 100 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -2 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2393 - - -2664 - - -3015 - - -1323 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3033 - - 5245 - - 5091 - - 1422 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8779 - - -7464 - - -7711 - - -6375 ODpotential blCL - - - 9419 - - 10044 - - 9787 - - 6474 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 67 - - 62 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.7 - - 68.7 - - 67.7 - - 56.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.9 - - 46.1 - - 45.8 - - 50.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.2 - - 67.8 - - 68.5 - - 58.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.4 - - 45.2 - - 44.8 - - 50.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 89 - - 134 - - -5 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 560 - - 2500 - - 1996 - - 19 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96782 83 245 89 240 85 249 77 248 96782 89404 50 250 59 248 61 262 48 255 89404 83766 31 268 32 247 40 252 33 249 83766 79099 24 266 28 249 34 256 27 257 79099 75089 18 257 25 247 29 257 26 271 75089 71563 24 275 20 261 20 248 26 269 71563 68376 31 271 26 267 25 258 30 256 68376 65438 34 262 30 253 29 250 31 250 65438 62704 39 265 32 260 32 256 36 266 62704 60054 45 261 44 268 44 263 48 267 60054 57302 50 259 52 258 53 259 53 256 57302 54462 55 255 54 248 57 251 55 252 54462 51745 58 252 56 251 60 249 57 251 51745 49287 60 255 62 255 65 248 61 250 49287 47082 64 259 65 255 69 249 67 250 47082 45093 69 259 65 252 71 251 77 247 45093 43284 69 256 70 249 72 252 77 242 43284 41617 71 251 73 247 72 249 73 244 41617 40063 72 246 72 247 71 246 73 245 40063 38607 70 244 74 248 71 245 70 243 38607 37236 67 243 76 245 73 244 66 241 37236 35912 61 246 76 239 74 242 62 239 35912 34567 56 248 72 238 73 239 55 240 34567 33169 48 247 65 243 72 239 48 243 33169 31717 38 243 60 244 70 241 44 246 31717 30194 25 233 55 240 66 243 42 252 30194 28587 22 233 44 232 58 244 40 258 28587 26896 22 234 36 225 51 241 37 260 26896 25130 22 237 31 228 45 237 35 256 25130 23293 25 243 31 234 37 237 32 253 23293 21379 31 243 31 238 33 241 30 251 21379 19379 32 244 29 241 30 245 29 250 19379 17288 29 246 26 245 26 245 26 249 17288 15150 26 252 24 247 25 243 25 243 15150 13087 23 258 21 247 24 241 24 239 13087 11211 20 264 18 248 20 241 22 235 11211 9542 17 268 16 249 17 243 18 232 9542 8063 14 270 14 252 15 245 13 238 8063 6754 10 269 12 246 13 241 11 245 6754 5595 7 267 11 232 12 227 12 243 5595 4571 5 265 10 223 10 209 12 240 4571 3672 3 307 4 202 8 191 9 231 3672 2880 3 019 2*127 5 143 7 198 2880 2172 6 050 2*106 5*126 7 174 2172 1547 10 055 2 097 5*107 9 156 1547 1027 11*055 2 093 5 096 11 134 1027 629 9*053 3 091 5 090 14 115 629 357 5 053 2 088 4 086 13 107 357 192 5 052 2 090 4 083 11*105 192 99 4 053 2 088 3 083 5*100 99 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography