DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/21 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 90.8 - - 91.0 - - 87.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 370 - - 53 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 8350 - - 8379 - - 21 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 6262 - - 4630 - - 84 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 8430 - - 8459 - - 101 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1596 - - 3377 - - 10387 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 592 - - 317 - - 9 W* B/S - - - - - - 13 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 8 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 250 - - 255 - - 074 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 10 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 3 - - 9 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 28 - - -597 - - -6998 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 8402 - - 9056 - - 7100 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -453 - - -1139 - - -8220 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8883 - - 9598 - - 8321 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 82 - - 101 - - 33 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 20 - - 40 - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 90.8 - - 91.0 - - 87.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 54.1 - - 51.5 - - 56.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 88.6 - - 90.5 - - 88.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 53.3 - - 50.9 - - 56.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 370 - - 53 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 8350 - - 8379 - - 21 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 27 - - 102 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98984 30 087 34 088 25 083 98984 91478 27 090 28 104 24 091 91478 85670 29 092 26 104 26 094 85670 80852 26 092 19 087 24 082 80852 76721 22 095 12 077 17 072 76721 73087 15 122 7 082 13 073 73087 69810 16 126 5 138 8 070 69810 66800 13 086 8 156 3 043 66800 64017 3 173 7 236 10 255 64017 61338 2 348 8 239 11 253 61338 58542 14 284 12 256 12 275 58542 55657 22 291 21 283 24 289 55657 52932 40 280 32 291 34 302 52932 50503 48 290 50 298 62 302 50503 48358 74 281 72 281 69 273 48358 46412 71 262 76 256 64 258 46412 44608 49 264 62 262 55 251 44608 42928 36 283 38 318 32 299 42928 41355 44 297 61 324 52 310 41355 39881 42 282 60 314 58 307 39881 38492 44 268 50 299 57 301 38492 37141 47 266 48 286 56 294 37141 35757 50 267 47 279 49 286 35757 34314 55 267 46 277 45 277 34314 32812 62 267 44 276 41 267 32812 31233 65 272 44 275 41 262 31233 29564 59 278 46 275 42 266 29564 27804 55 278 47 277 45 257 27804 25962 53 273 51 271 45 253 25962 24042 52 272 48 268 45 251 24042 22044 55 281 47 277 41 259 22044 19963 44 291 44 284 37 283 19963 17797 37 274 32 280 30 284 17797 15592 37 268 33 280 30 281 15592 13475 33 271 28 282 28 283 13475 11563 29 275 19 272 20 269 11563 9872 23*282 17*269 18 266 9872 8364 14*272 11*258 16 254 8364 7021 9 251 10 256 14 242 7021 5825 9 248 10 256 12 239 5825 4766 8 246 9 254 10 236 4766 3832 8 245 8 254 9 235 3832 3007 7 245 7 254 7 235 3007 2269 7 244 6 254 5 234 2269 1618 7 245 6 255 2 228 1618 1075 6 244 6 255 1 122 1075 659 6 245 5 256 2 076 659 373 6 245 5 256 3 072 373 200 5 245 5 256 3*069 200 101 5 244 4 256 3*074 101 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography