DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/28 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 24.8 - - 31.5 - - 33.2 - - 30.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 102 - - 171 - - 7 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1302 - - 3253 - - 3627 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 80 - - 1930 - - 80 - - 80 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1382 - - 3333 - - 3707 - - 96 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1325 - - 1084 - - 2180 - - 5305 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 207 - - 334 - - 141 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 11 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 5 - - 14 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 011 - - 197 - - 236 - - 252 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1790 - - -36 - - 747 - - -1593 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3172 - - 3370 - - 2960 - - 1689 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13082 - - -8413 - - -38 - - -2127 ODpotential blCL - - - 14464 - - 11746 - - 3745 - - 2223 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 74 - - 100 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 24.8 - - 31.5 - - 33.2 - - 30.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 11.6 - - 17.3 - - 20.8 - - 23.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 24.3 - - 30.6 - - 33.5 - - 31.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 10.4 - - 16.2 - - 19.7 - - 23.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 102 - - 171 - - 7 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1302 - - 3253 - - 3627 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 102 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96634 77 202 75 192 68 202 62 205 96634 89335 86 206 84 200 73 206 68 209 89335 83628 78 214 79 210 72 213 73 214 83628 78838 72 219 72 217 72 218 72 219 78838 74692 76 226 76 229 77 222 80 225 74692 71018 78 233 77 236 74 230 83 227 71018 67698 75 236 72 242 71 236 84 239 67698 64685 71 239 74 245 73 242 92 245 64685 61918 74 241 75 243 80 244 90 237 61918 59219 77 243 81 245 84 246 86 252 59219 56397 84 245 89 247 86 249 100 261 56397 53482 93 247 93 248 91 251 110 258 53482 50700 97 245 96 249 98 252 110 257 50700 48195 98 243 101 248 101 252 107 259 48195 45946 99 245 106 247 102 251 103 260 45946 43900 104 248 107 246 103 251 100 260 43900 42023 112 250 103 246 104 250 98 259 42023 40293 121 248 99 247 105 250 96 258 40293 38693 127 245 102 248 102 250 93 257 38693 37208 125 243 108 246 95 251 91 255 37208 35822 117 244 107 243 88 252 88 255 35822 34490 113 246 100 241 81 255 85 257 34490 33142 111 243 92 241 78 263 84 263 33142 31752 106 242 88 245 81 268 86 269 31752 30321 102 244 85 248 81 265 91 273 30321 28834 97 247 82 250 80 259 95 275 28834 27274 91 248 80 252 80 255 95 273 27274 25639 86 250 83 253 79 253 95 268 25639 23922 80 252 83 252 79 251 98 265 23922 22124 75 253 79 252 80 251 98 262 22124 20252 71 256 75 252 79 252 96 260 20252 18307 67 258 72 252 76 254 89 259 18307 16291 63 257 66 254 70 256 79 258 16291 14241 58 257 58 255 63 258 70 258 14241 12265 52 260 52 257 59 260 62 260 12265 10472 44 264 46 256 55 262 58 264 10472 8888 37 258 40 254 49 263 54 270 8888 7495 27 256 36 253 42 260 46 270 7495 6271 17 276 27 250 31 252 40 266 6271 5196 15 281 20 246 21 242 33 264 5196 4249 13 256 16 232 21*242 30 263 4249 3416 9 250 11*219 17*238 28 262 3416 2681 2 276 7*205 15 236 25 259 2681 2025 5 023 6 199 15 236 22 258 2025 1445 8*014 6 197 14 236 20 257 1445 963 8*012 5 195 13 235 17 256 963 593 8 011 5 192 12 235 13 254 593 339 8 010 4 190 11 235 10 253 339 185 7 010 4 190 10 236 8 252 185 96 6 010 3 189 7 236 5*252 96 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography