DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/09 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1553z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.2 - - 62.8 - - 61.5 - - 53.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 25 - - 84 - - -21 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 725 - - 3717 - - 19 - - 18 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 82 - - 1890 - - 82 - - 82 Hcrit BL Top - - - 805 - - 3797 - - 99 - - 98 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1667 - - 1046 - - 4830 - - 97 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 121 - - 288 - - 17 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 15 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 287 - - 292 - - 312 - - 359 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2623 - - -991 - - -4182 - - -2136 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3429 - - 4788 - - 4281 - - 2234 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10835 - - -9251 - - -11647 - - -11826 ODpotential blCL - - - 11640 - - 13048 - - 11746 - - 11924 blCL maxRH - - - 54 - - 65 - - 50 - - 49 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.2 - - 62.8 - - 61.5 - - 53.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.7 - - 42.2 - - 43.3 - - 44.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.3 - - 62.5 - - 62.7 - - 56.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.5 - - 40.9 - - 42.3 - - 43.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 25 - - 84 - - -21 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 725 - - 3717 - - 19 - - 18 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96760 79 246 78 241 86 245 75 252 96760 89332 50 250 62 242 61 246 57 252 89332 83713 33 264 33 255 42 258 33 260 83713 79117 20 259 19 264 21 256 24 259 79117 75157 16 261 14 265 16 258 20 257 75157 71656 20 273 10 261 14 238 18 264 71656 68493 18 269 17 279 15 261 21 258 68493 65583 18 266 20 253 21 254 19 262 65583 62873 19 255 23 271 26 276 23 295 62873 60251 24 270 36 278 36 267 36 285 60251 57526 34 271 38 268 38 269 40 267 57526 54690 36 267 42 275 43 283 43 279 54690 51982 47 278 52 281 57 282 61 286 51982 49547 56 276 59 282 66 278 73 278 49547 47353 60 278 63 281 64 278 69 275 47353 45356 65 281 70 283 66 282 67 278 45356 43530 75 282 76 278 69 278 69 275 43530 41844 83 278 74 274 69 274 65 275 41844 40280 78 273 71 278 67 277 62 284 40280 38823 71 276 75 285 73 287 68 291 38823 37459 70 283 80 286 80 292 71 292 37459 36140 72 287 77 283 79 291 70 293 36140 34800 71 284 72 283 76 289 68 296 34800 33405 68 279 71 285 74 289 67 295 33405 31956 63 278 75 284 74 289 65 293 31956 30435 60 280 79 283 74 289 63 291 30435 28827 60 282 81 282 73 289 61 292 28827 27132 62 282 79 283 70 292 60 296 27132 25350 65 283 76 285 69 296 58 300 25350 23484 64 286 72 287 68 299 57 302 23484 21537 60 287 66 287 65 299 55 303 21537 19505 56 284 60 285 61 299 55 304 19505 17381 54 279 55 285 58 298 55 305 17381 15209 54 276 52 286 55 297 55 309 15209 13112 52 276 49 288 54 298 54 312 13112 11204 49 280 48 288 52 301 49 312 11204 9514 45 283 47 289 50 304 42 309 9514 8023 39 283 43 292 47 305 37 307 8023 6708 32 284 39 297 40 304 34 306 6708 5551 26 286 33 301 31 300 29 299 5551 4536 23 289 25*298 23 296 21 295 4536 3645 21 294 16*290 18 298 19 304 3645 2859 21 300 16 291 16 301 18 315 2859 2157 21 300 15 291 15 304 16 325 2157 1538 21 297 15 292 15 307 15 334 1538 1022 19*294 14 293 14 309 13 343 1022 628 14*290 13 293 13 310 12 351 628 356 12 287 13 294 11 312 11 356 356 192 10 286 11 294 9*313 8*359 192 98 7 285 9 294 5*312 4*359 98 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography