DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/02 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1553z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.8 - - 65.3 - - 65.1 - - 55.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 79 - - 124 - - 5 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 947 - - 2292 - - 1970 - - 18 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 82 - - 1067 - - 82 - - 82 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1027 - - 2372 - - 2050 - - 98 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1063 - - 948 - - 1358 - - 230 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 173 - - 267 - - 98 - - 2 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 8 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 059 - - 077 - - 076 - - 059 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -3 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -776 - - -1382 - - -1587 - - -676 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1803 - - 3754 - - 3637 - - 774 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4895 - - -4919 - - -5330 - - -5988 ODpotential blCL - - - 5922 - - 7291 - - 7380 - - 6086 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 100 - - 94 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.8 - - 65.3 - - 65.1 - - 55.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.7 - - 49.6 - - 50.0 - - 53.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.3 - - 64.5 - - 65.3 - - 57.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.1 - - 49.0 - - 49.6 - - 53.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 79 - - 124 - - 5 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 947 - - 2292 - - 1970 - - 18 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 32 - - 99 - - 78 - - 2 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96840 85 246 96 242 93 246 94 241 96840 89582 74 247 76 251 74 252 64 259 89582 84034 52 243 42 255 46 255 40 268 84034 79439 31 253 27 250 29 249 24 264 79439 75473 23 267 21 255 22 278 18 283 75473 71973 16 264 18 265 27 280 22 298 71973 68817 10 272 16 263 24 256 20 285 68817 65903 17 297 14 285 16 246 13 287 65903 63179 27 293 21 301 17 279 19 301 63179 60537 30 287 23 290 25 287 24 298 60537 57787 29 277 22 272 30 282 31 293 57787 54944 30 270 24 265 29 279 31 280 54944 52240 32 270 25 265 22 281 21 269 52240 49804 33 272 26 274 15 287 13 303 49804 47621 36 267 30 272 18 303 22 328 47621 45649 38 255 34 264 24 296 28 328 45649 43854 30 243 36 262 23 281 26 332 43854 42207 29 239 38 254 20 284 31 360 42207 40682 41 230 40 239 18 307 50 017 40682 39251 47 229 38 232 19 321 62 018 39251 37892 45 236 30 245 19 319 64 016 37892 36569 41 241 30 252 17 309 60 015 36569 35212 30 239 31 242 15 284 49 012 35212 33796 23 240 29 226 17 265 33 001 33796 32325 20 236 23 219 25 239 20 336 32325 30782 19 233 17 217 31 225 13 290 30782 29154 19 233 18 228 28 234 14 268 29154 27438 19 234 23 237 21 258 11 275 27438 25635 18 240 22 239 20 270 6 336 25635 23746 18 244 20 243 20 275 9 341 23746 21772 18 249 20 258 19 276 10 319 21772 19706 17 257 22 263 21 281 11 306 19706 17545 14 263 20 260 18 275 10 285 17545 15341 11 265 15 261 12 271 10 255 15341 13225 6 243 13 282 10 280 9 239 13225 11311 3 250 7 229 11 295 5 236 11311 9621 4 324 2 229 9 264 7 291 9621 8126 3 002 3 014 5 247 7 286 8126 6799 3 039 5 031 2 294 3 274 6799 5623 4 057 5 050 2 350 2 263 5623 4585 3 073 3 074 2 340 4 265 4585 3675 2 076 4 103 4 137 5 253 3675 2876 2 044 6*090 7 123 4 211 2876 2167 2 067 6*082 7*109 6 147 2167 1544 6*078 6 079 6*086 6 130 1544 1026 7*066 6 077 6 078 7 106 1026 629 6 058 6 075 6 073 8 086 629 357 5 057 6 074 6 070 9 074 357 192 5 056 6 073 5 069 7 066 192 98 4 055 5 073 4 068 4*059 98 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography