DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/09 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 31.1 - - 33.9 - - 33.8 - - 31.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 68 - - 109 - - 1 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 715 - - 1367 - - 993 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 80 - - 80 - - 80 - - 80 Hcrit BL Top - - - 795 - - 1447 - - 1073 - - 96 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 839 - - 858 - - 1224 - - 1078 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 151 - - 218 - - 60 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 9 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 336 - - 284 - - 261 - - 173 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -2 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1653 - - -1039 - - -825 - - -1182 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2448 - - 2486 - - 1898 - - 1278 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12353 - - -10954 - - -9821 - - -9976 ODpotential blCL - - - 13148 - - 12401 - - 10894 - - 10072 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 71 - - 73 - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 31.1 - - 33.9 - - 33.8 - - 31.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.1 - - 23.6 - - 26.1 - - 26.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 30.9 - - 33.2 - - 34.1 - - 31.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.0 - - 22.5 - - 25.0 - - 25.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 68 - - 109 - - 1 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 715 - - 1367 - - 993 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96068 45 232 52 246 56 251 60 248 96068 88716 31 250 37 238 44 249 47 247 88716 83096 41 258 36 239 43 246 41 249 83096 78466 45 251 41 244 45 245 35 247 78466 74462 42 251 44 245 44 254 41 250 74462 70919 41 264 44 253 47 255 50 259 70919 67731 47 262 50 262 52 259 51 259 67731 64809 53 254 56 260 54 258 55 261 64809 62091 57 250 59 252 58 252 61 260 62091 59449 56 258 59 258 59 253 63 258 59449 56677 69 260 73 261 65 259 69 260 56677 53796 86 250 88 251 75 259 77 255 53796 51038 94 248 94 249 90 255 77 255 51038 48550 99 252 104 251 96 251 88 256 48550 46329 107 254 103 253 99 251 90 251 46329 44314 108 253 103 254 101 250 87 251 44314 42465 102 253 108 254 101 248 93 253 42465 40767 102 256 111 252 102 249 95 250 40767 39205 110 255 111 252 108 250 89 249 39205 37755 109 253 109 254 106 249 80 252 37755 36391 105 259 106 256 98 250 80 250 36391 35076 102 265 103 260 95 251 79 244 35076 33747 95 267 103 263 95 250 76 244 33747 32377 90 274 102 260 97 249 78 246 32377 30961 93 277 102 258 100 249 78 246 30961 29475 96 275 101 258 100 250 73 247 29475 27906 94 276 97 257 96 251 67 250 27906 26254 90 280 90 255 92 251 60 251 26254 24517 88 279 86 254 86 251 54 254 24517 22699 84 280 83 251 81 248 55 255 22699 20803 68 283 76 254 73 247 56 254 20803 18823 62 276 64 259 63 252 51 255 18823 16757 62 270 50 262 51 259 43 257 16757 14647 49 274 47 265 39 260 35 257 14647 12615 32 275 36 261 34 266 29 256 12615 10778 20 277 29 260 29 270 27 261 10778 9152 15 275 23 262 24 273 23 262 9152 7714 10 263 18 260 20 268 20 265 7714 6441 4 279 18 242 19 253 19 259 6441 5316 3 312 14 225 19 231 19 252 5316 4327 3 293 10 233 19 214 20 242 4327 3462 6 276 9 252 16 219 25 235 3462 2707 9 277 8 263 14 236 24 234 2707 2038 6 305 8*271 11 250 17 231 2038 1452 9 356 5*281 8*255 11 217 1452 965 10*350 5 284 5*257 9 195 965 593 9*339 4 285 5 261 8 181 593 339 8 336 4 285 4 262 7 178 339 185 7 335 4 284 4 263 5 175 185 96 6 334 3 287 3 263 4*173 96 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography