DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/15 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.7 - - 69.2 - - 72.3 - - 67.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 405 - - 468 - - 229 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4530 - - 5674 - - 5851 - - 19 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3256 - - 4216 - - 4024 - - 82 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4610 - - 5754 - - 5931 - - 99 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 954 - - 835 - - 1236 - - 6034 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 494 - - 559 - - 446 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 16 - - 11 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 306 - - 301 - - 291 - - 299 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -931 - - -1199 - - -1865 - - -6523 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5541 - - 6953 - - 7797 - - 6622 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5618 - - -8772 - - -10071 - - -15425 ODpotential blCL - - - 10228 - - 14526 - - 16002 - - 15524 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 77 - - 63 - - 35 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.7 - - 69.2 - - 72.3 - - 67.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.7 - - 38.9 - - 38.4 - - 39.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.9 - - 67.1 - - 71.1 - - 70.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.2 - - 38.3 - - 37.7 - - 39.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 405 - - 468 - - 229 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4530 - - 5674 - - 5851 - - 19 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 17 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98245 3 122 5 168 6 292 11 299 98245 90841 3 286 2 184 8 308 9 282 90841 85131 5 280 2 240 7 291 10 318 85131 80381 5 280 2 215 6 264 12 319 80381 76289 4 237 3 196 8 221 11 285 76289 72666 3 262 4 185 8 208 11 232 72666 69378 5 277 4 203 4 213 7 270 69378 66350 8 253 5 244 6 248 9 257 66350 63544 7 243 8 228 7 269 7 317 63544 60828 8 255 5 309 6 266 10 271 60828 57992 15 257 20 277 16 284 13 288 57992 55065 19 269 25 262 23 273 22 289 55065 52289 29 287 32 282 24 288 25 296 52289 49797 35 282 42 281 38 295 35 296 49797 47581 41 282 45 272 45 288 41 286 47581 45599 48 288 37 280 43 285 40 280 45599 43802 60 291 48 292 41 292 37 277 43802 42146 67 282 55 304 44 301 33 280 42146 40609 61 282 63 314 50 304 35 309 40609 39174 57 298 74 317 57 306 51 314 39174 37823 75 321 84 314 65 306 58 305 37823 36508 105 329 90 311 69 305 57 294 36508 35159 118 324 93 308 68 302 54 294 35159 33748 114 321 91 310 65 300 53 293 33748 32279 107 321 85 309 60 303 54 285 32279 30735 95 311 79 312 57 306 53 273 30735 29104 96 304 75 315 59 303 48 272 29104 27386 100 301 74 311 62 298 49 276 27386 25579 100 304 75 302 59 294 51 279 25579 23686 92 306 76 300 55 291 48 282 23686 21712 83 305 76 303 56 295 46 283 21712 19651 76 305 74 310 59 303 44 287 19651 17498 70 307 64 314 57 313 42 300 17498 15300 63 308 51 316 48 317 34 304 15300 13184 53 308 44 321 41 310 29 301 13184 11267 45 315 41 320 36 309 30 301 11267 9577 42 323 37 322 31 321 25 306 9577 8088 37 317 28 324 24 323 21 309 8088 6774 32 311 22*312 15*295 19 298 6774 5616 27*310 17*298 13*288 15 287 5616 4594 18*305 17 298 12 289 12 288 4594 3693 18 305 16 299 12 290 10 290 3693 2898 17 306 16 301 12 291 10 292 2898 2188 17 306 16 302 11 292 9 294 2188 1560 17 307 16 303 11 294 8 296 1560 1038 16 308 15 304 10 294 7 298 1038 637 15 308 14 305 10 295 7 300 637 362 14 309 14 305 9 296 6 301 362 194 13 308 13 305 9 296 4*301 194 99 11 308 10 306 7 296 3*299 99 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography