DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/14 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.0 - - 86.0 - - 86.6 - - 75.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 76 - - 136 - - -14 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 616 - - 1640 - - 1282 - - 20 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 84 - - 697 - - 84 - - 83 Hcrit BL Top - - - 696 - - 1720 - - 1362 - - 100 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 225 - - 2100 - - 2869 - - 115 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 154 - - 252 - - 87 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 8 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 243 - - 237 - - 226 - - 224 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -2 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2386 - - -3517 - - -4331 - - -2374 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3082 - - 5237 - - 5693 - - 2474 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8376 - - -8079 - - -8933 - - -8441 ODpotential blCL - - - 9072 - - 9799 - - 10295 - - 8541 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 53 - - 44 - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.0 - - 86.0 - - 86.6 - - 75.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 63.9 - - 63.5 - - 62.1 - - 65.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.6 - - 85.1 - - 87.4 - - 78.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 62.9 - - 62.6 - - 61.3 - - 65.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 76 - - 136 - - -14 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 616 - - 1640 - - 1282 - - 20 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 11 - - 11 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97738 47 239 43 247 43 236 39 246 97738 90450 24 241 31 243 33 243 28 259 90450 84824 21 242 16 250 22 235 19 250 84824 80155 17 237 12 252 15 238 14 244 80155 76153 12 230 11 231 12 262 11 248 76153 72628 5 218 12 207 14 275 10 294 72628 69449 3 134 11 184 13 254 11 289 69449 66551 2 215 9 182 9 231 11 250 66551 63881 7 223 12 218 14 257 14 271 63881 61319 13 223 19 251 22 268 22 279 61319 58671 19 256 29 275 32 275 28 282 58671 55928 22 250 30 270 32 261 39 282 55928 53323 20 265 30 272 35 265 46 272 53323 50988 21 277 32 280 37 273 45 273 50988 48881 25 293 39 291 38 279 46 280 48881 46944 33 301 41 293 39 284 47 282 46944 45145 37 301 43 293 44 287 48 287 45145 43462 41 302 40 296 48 288 50 289 43462 41878 44 303 42 301 51 291 48 290 41878 40380 47 304 50 301 54 294 44 293 40380 38958 48 302 54 300 54 293 44 293 38958 37571 51 301 53 300 48 290 44 289 37571 36153 53 303 50 299 39 289 42 291 36153 34676 50 302 44 303 37 292 41 300 34676 33145 42 289 47 297 38 297 44 304 33145 31542 36 286 47 284 38 296 46 301 31542 29853 37 316 41 280 45 297 44 298 29853 28075 43 331 31 278 42 289 37 292 28075 26211 34 325 18 305 30 271 33 291 26211 24266 29 307 15 293 25 265 34 293 24266 22246 34 307 27 300 29 283 33 291 22246 20147 34 314 27 301 31 297 33 291 20147 17962 26 302 23 275 27 295 31 283 17962 15737 27 290 28 270 27 283 27 278 15737 13601 25 300 27 278 25 285 19 283 13601 11665 21 309 26 290 23 295 17 280 11665 9943 17 302 27 293 25 296 19 271 9943 8408 14 283 24 289 26 291 18 271 8408 7044 12 269 20 284 25 286 20 285 7044 5836 9 267 16 273 23 279 21 289 5836 4769 4 283 13 259 20 272 20 282 4769 3832 4 305 9 253 16 263 19 274 3832 3005 4 299 9 259 15 256 18 264 3005 2267 6 271 10*258 14 247 19 259 2267 1616 9 272 9*248 14*236 19 254 1616 1073 11*260 9 238 13*231 19 249 1073 657 9*247 8 235 12 227 18 243 657 371 8 243 8 233 11 224 15 235 371 199 7 241 7 232 9 222 13*231 199 100 6 240 6 230 6 219 5*224 100 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography