DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/01 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.0 - - 67.1 - - 65.4 - - 60.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 256 - - 319 - - 96 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3302 - - 5585 - - 3378 - - 281 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2144 - - 3984 - - 1650 - - 82 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3382 - - 5665 - - 3458 - - 361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1158 - - 1311 - - 2587 - - 2690 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 383 - - 490 - - 279 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 23 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 4 - - 11 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 039 - - 190 - - 193 - - 187 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 5 - - -3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2440 - - -2937 - - -3667 - - -2862 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5822 - - 8602 - - 7125 - - 3223 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6153 - - -6892 - - -7058 - - -5185 ODpotential blCL - - - 9535 - - 12557 - - 10516 - - 5546 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 99 - - 99 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.0 - - 67.1 - - 65.4 - - 60.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.9 - - 29.4 - - 34.5 - - 46.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.6 - - 65.3 - - 64.9 - - 60.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.1 - - 28.4 - - 33.9 - - 46.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 256 - - 319 - - 96 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3302 - - 5585 - - 3378 - - 281 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 63 - - 96 - - 97 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97602 8 254 25 255 22 270 24 285 97602 90257 14 246 24 242 22 254 19 267 90257 84593 18 239 12 222 19 237 16 250 84593 79872 17 231 8 227 11 255 13 244 79872 75800 14 210 15 207 13 235 12 232 75800 72202 8 224 12 184 14 200 13 227 72202 68963 9 245 11 196 13 218 11 222 68963 65984 10 252 4 231 3 250 6 153 65984 63195 18 239 16 237 24 263 19 256 63195 60488 26 252 21 242 29 243 27 246 60488 57664 31 257 22 251 30 252 32 254 57664 54730 37 261 42 265 43 260 43 258 54730 51940 53 259 59 254 52 259 60 264 51940 49436 61 250 59 248 63 258 78 257 49436 47200 54 256 54 254 75 256 86 252 47200 45178 76 266 70 261 87 255 87 248 45178 43337 99 260 93 258 93 252 85 250 43337 41652 101 257 109 259 94 256 95 261 41652 40101 102 262 119 261 108 264 120 263 40101 38660 111 269 127 262 123 264 128 255 38660 37298 122 268 131 261 131 263 125 250 37298 35967 128 269 134 261 136 259 122 247 35967 34605 131 270 138 262 137 256 117 246 34605 33183 126 266 142 263 138 257 116 245 33183 31702 124 263 134 265 137 259 115 248 31702 30148 124 264 123 263 126 261 128 259 30148 28515 115 263 117 258 115 259 119 265 28515 26806 108 260 116 264 109 264 102 265 26806 25016 89 260 107 266 99 266 96 266 25016 23150 77 251 95 260 90 261 86 263 23150 21219 72 249 82 259 83 259 76 257 21219 19215 60 252 65 259 71 260 70 255 19215 17124 48 255 61 249 58 259 64 259 17124 14994 39 253 48 242 52 256 53 259 14994 12944 35 263 41 238 45 252 45 255 12944 11083 36 269 33 262 37 243 36 260 11083 9437 29 268 28 282 36 260 28 252 9437 7978 21 268 21 265 28 274 25 256 7978 6682 15 265 17*248 18 263 18 261 6682 5535 12 271 6*209 12 247 15 238 5535 4524 8 294 5 199 9 224 10 215 4524 3634 6*016 4 193 9*206 9 201 3634 2850 7*036 4 188 10*195 11 198 2850 2150 8 038 4 185 11 193 15 192 2150 1534 8 039 3 181 11 192 16 190 1534 1021 8 040 3 176 11 193 15 189 1021 627 8 040 3 173 11 192 14*188 627 357 7 040 3 173 10 192 13*187 357 193 7 040 2 172 9 192 10 187 193 99 6 040 2 169 8 193 7 187 99 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography