DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/12 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.5 - - 78.8 - - 76.9 - - 75.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 49 - - 21 - - 13 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1970 - - 2001 - - 1327 - - 20 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 84 - - 84 - - 83 - - 84 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2050 - - 2081 - - 1407 - - 100 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1717 - - 2549 - - 2290 - - 3386 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 198 - - 160 - - 116 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 058 - - 049 - - 063 - - 079 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 1 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 719 - - 783 - - 590 - - -847 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1331 - - 1298 - - 817 - - 947 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 314 - - 373 - - 296 - - -1589 ODpotential blCL - - - 1736 - - 1708 - - 1111 - - 1689 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 100 - - 100 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 1310 - - 1690 - - 1640 - - 640 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.5 - - 78.8 - - 76.9 - - 75.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 72.7 - - 73.1 - - 73.3 - - 71.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.4 - - 78.7 - - 76.9 - - 76.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 72.1 - - 72.5 - - 72.9 - - 70.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 49 - - 21 - - 13 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1970 - - 2001 - - 1327 - - 20 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 96 - - 99 - - 99 - - 41 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 16 - - 17 - - 17 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99313 48 083 49 089 44 093 33 079 99313 91758 36 080 41 082 43 090 33 084 91758 85946 24 085 31 082 33 076 34 085 85946 81149 21 085 23 087 24 074 28 074 81149 77045 20 080 20 082 18 080 22 068 77045 73422 19 068 13 079 13 080 17 070 73422 70134 14 081 11 089 12 058 16 073 70134 67112 14 069 11 095 6 053 14 048 67112 64327 10 059 10 070 4 073 9 030 64327 61639 9 016 7 045 3 033 8 006 61639 58841 12 325 5 336 5 346 10 334 58841 55950 22 293 19 303 13 294 12 275 55950 53201 26 271 27 274 21 297 18 280 53201 50732 34 277 35 281 37 281 30 286 50732 48535 48 260 47 262 45 265 41 267 48535 46559 48 243 53 245 51 255 41 266 46559 44753 44 249 52 241 55 251 51 263 44753 43085 49 256 52 241 60 245 59 260 43085 41527 50 259 52 239 56 243 61 258 41527 40058 49 261 50 242 54 253 58 251 40058 38663 46 261 51 252 55 253 55 256 38663 37305 44 262 50 257 51 253 50 256 37305 35917 44 259 45 256 43 255 46 256 35917 34468 45 257 42 254 41 257 40 259 34468 32960 41 259 35 261 37 263 35 254 32960 31377 34 260 27 268 27 264 32 258 31377 29704 28 262 28 270 20 258 29 265 29704 27944 26 262 26 270 23 272 28 270 27944 26095 24 265 22 266 21 271 25 269 26095 24159 24 261 25 257 16 273 20 265 24159 22142 21 260 28 250 20 272 18 270 22142 20040 21 267 19 262 22 255 15 279 20040 17850 23 277 13 291 16 263 10 295 17850 15622 16 282 9 291 10 266 4 328 15622 13483 14 298 7 307 4 264 4 336 13483 11545 10 323 7 304 2 348 1 025 11545 9828 7 329 5 311 4 002 3 098 9828 8306 5 344 7 350 7 012 3 086 8306 6956 5 008 7 011 10 019 5 065 6956 5761 6 024 6 038 9 028 10 071 5761 4705 7 039 7 051 8 045 13 076 4705 3778 8 053 8 052 9 060 15 091 3778 2963 8 057 8 052 10 067 17 097 2963 2235 8*058 8*051 11 067 18 091 2235 1594 8*059 8*050 11*066 17 089 1594 1060 8 059 8 050 10*065 15 086 1060 650 7 058 8 049 9 063 13 084 650 369 7 058 7 047 9 062 10 082 369 198 6 058 7 047 8 060 8*081 198 100 5 057 5 048 6 060 5*079 100 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography