DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/14 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 31.9 - - 30.2 - - 25.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 97 - - 22 - - 26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3038 - - 4662 - - 5632 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1443 - - 80 - - 80 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3118 - - 4742 - - 5712 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1200 - - 1267 - - 1005 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 273 - - 205 - - 216 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 24 - - 26 - - 31 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 322 - - 316 - - 316 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 14 - - 16 - - 17 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - -3 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1260 - - 1627 - - 1484 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1858 - - 3115 - - 4228 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 719 - - 800 - - 1105 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2399 - - 3942 - - 4607 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 99 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 31.9 - - 30.2 - - 25.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 24.3 - - 17.1 - - 7.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 31.7 - - 30.3 - - 25.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 23.1 - - 16.0 - - 7.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 97 - - 22 - - 26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3038 - - 4662 - - 5632 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 98 - - 99 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95726 110 239 119 241 114 241 95726 88619 93 236 99 242 93 244 88619 83225 75 240 78 243 79 244 83225 78723 62 243 62 245 64 247 78723 74817 51 247 52 251 52 251 74817 71352 43 254 41 250 38 252 71352 68178 36 257 33 249 31 264 68178 65216 36 260 37 265 41 281 65216 62462 45 263 46 259 45 269 62462 59784 54 254 47 247 46 258 59784 56975 50 243 50 256 56 257 56975 54067 55 252 60 253 58 256 54067 51290 68 252 64 250 59 266 51290 48786 74 245 67 252 73 268 48786 46549 75 243 74 256 83 261 46549 44525 84 247 89 256 84 251 44525 42672 98 248 103 250 82 244 42672 40955 114 244 109 244 80 243 40955 39351 124 237 110 239 82 246 39351 37846 126 231 108 237 85 248 37846 36425 122 228 108 235 90 248 36425 35046 119 230 107 233 92 249 35046 33639 121 231 106 233 95 250 33639 32178 128 231 104 235 97 252 32178 30669 134 229 105 239 101 252 30669 29099 130 229 110 242 102 251 29099 27454 123 231 116 243 101 251 27454 25734 122 234 123 241 102 250 25734 23939 121 234 127 238 102 247 23939 22077 119 233 126 236 98 244 22077 20161 115 233 122 235 89 247 20161 18189 110 234 115 236 80 254 18189 16149 104 232 101 238 75 259 16149 14079 97 228 82 244 69 263 14079 12099 87 226 69 250 60 267 12099 10313 75 231 56 258 50 273 10313 8746 60 240 45 265 41 277 8746 7377 46 258 38 277 32 283 7377 6179 34 283 33 294 30*307 6179 5124 27 307 29*309 31*312 5124 4192 25 321 29*311 32 314 4192 3370 26*321 28 314 33 315 3370 2645 27*322 28 315 33 316 2645 1997 26 322 27 316 32 317 1997 1426 25 322 27 317 32 317 1426 950 24 322 26 318 30 318 950 585 23 322 24 319 28 318 585 335 21 322 21 319 25 318 335 183 18 322 18 319 21 318 183 96 13 322 13 319 15 318 96 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography