DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/01 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.7 - - 60.6 - - 60.6 - - 51.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 86 - - 186 - - 12 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 881 - - 4325 - - 3964 - - 18 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 82 - - 2767 - - 82 - - 81 Hcrit BL Top - - - 961 - - 4405 - - 4044 - - 98 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3680 - - 1549 - - 1986 - - 87 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 176 - - 379 - - 158 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 11 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 296 - - 283 - - 284 - - 176 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -3 - - -4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2834 - - -1378 - - -1990 - - -3570 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3795 - - 5783 - - 6034 - - 3669 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11752 - - -9790 - - -9991 - - -12610 ODpotential blCL - - - 12713 - - 14195 - - 14035 - - 12708 blCL maxRH - - - 55 - - 60 - - 58 - - 41 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.7 - - 60.6 - - 60.6 - - 51.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.6 - - 35.6 - - 34.7 - - 36.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.2 - - 59.4 - - 60.6 - - 55.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.3 - - 34.5 - - 33.7 - - 35.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 86 - - 186 - - 12 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 881 - - 4325 - - 3964 - - 18 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96998 42 271 45 268 46 270 49 277 96998 89861 40 266 34 267 39 282 35 275 89861 84382 44 270 34 262 39 271 37 273 84382 79833 36 263 32 257 35 264 37 263 79833 75877 28 251 25 256 24 238 26 256 75877 72322 26 242 25 256 22 234 27 252 72322 69069 31 235 35 235 35 237 35 244 69069 66083 35 235 37 226 37 242 37 246 66083 63311 39 234 41 230 42 243 42 249 63311 60610 44 231 47 227 48 230 49 236 60610 57802 49 226 50 228 49 224 51 226 57802 54913 59 227 51 232 57 232 56 230 54913 52169 61 227 73 230 72 231 71 239 52169 49701 73 235 80 226 86 229 88 232 49701 47489 92 232 88 227 93 225 98 226 47489 45484 99 232 96 230 97 227 101 224 45484 43642 102 233 104 230 101 228 103 226 43642 41938 104 232 106 228 102 229 106 229 41938 40353 101 231 101 225 101 230 110 232 40353 38874 92 231 94 227 95 230 112 233 38874 37488 82 235 88 232 91 230 105 232 37488 36152 77 241 87 235 90 229 99 227 36152 34797 73 246 85 236 88 229 97 223 34797 33386 72 243 83 235 83 229 95 221 33386 31919 70 243 80 234 80 227 90 220 31919 30379 73 242 74 234 78 227 86 218 30379 28753 69 233 69 233 75 228 81 217 28753 27042 66 230 67 232 71 227 75 218 27042 25245 65 231 65 232 67 226 68 221 25245 23368 61 234 59 233 58 226 59 224 23368 21415 57 237 52 233 53 228 53 225 21415 19381 56 239 51 233 50 232 49 230 19381 17259 53 241 48 236 45 237 43 238 17259 15095 47 243 41 240 38 238 34 237 15095 13009 39 244 35 243 31 241 30 235 13009 11114 33 242 30 244 26 247 23 235 11114 9433 29 252 27 263 21 282 15 282 9433 7955 25 273 27 283 24 309 18 324 7955 6657 18 267 22 286 22 316 21 333 6657 5515 10 268 15 283 13 308 17 328 5515 4507 10 325 8*286 7*292 13 323 4507 3622 12 335 7*284 6*286 10 321 3622 2841 10 333 7 283 5 285 7 321 2841 2144 7 314 6 283 4 284 4 322 2144 1528 8 305 6 282 4 282 1 324 1528 1016 7*303 6 282 3 283 1 172 1016 624 7*299 6 282 3 282 2 175 624 354 5 295 5 282 3 281 3 175 354 191 5 294 5 282 3 283 4*175 191 98 4 294 4 282 2 283 4*176 98 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography