DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/03 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.0 - - 80.8 - - 81.0 - - 74.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 297 - - 392 - - 202 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4524 - - 8681 - - 8217 - - 19 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3132 - - 6553 - - 5786 - - 83 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4604 - - 8761 - - 8297 - - 99 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3982 - - 1513 - - 1962 - - 7247 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 447 - - 609 - - 481 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 10 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 11 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 328 - - 015 - - 009 - - 106 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 5 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3181 - - -1080 - - -1743 - - -7724 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7786 - - 9842 - - 10040 - - 7824 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6842 - - -5242 - - -8042 - - -14543 ODpotential blCL - - - 11446 - - 14003 - - 16339 - - 14642 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 65 - - 61 - - 26 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.0 - - 80.8 - - 81.0 - - 74.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.3 - - 37.7 - - 37.1 - - 40.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.5 - - 78.8 - - 79.8 - - 76.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.4 - - 36.6 - - 36.1 - - 40.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 297 - - 392 - - 202 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4524 - - 8681 - - 8217 - - 19 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98564 14 099 20 125 11 041 18 135 98564 91095 16 097 11 095 9 105 18 075 91095 85368 18 087 10 081 18 108 19 037 85368 80636 16 082 10 098 17 100 8 061 80636 76549 12 083 11 093 17 093 6 114 76549 72916 10 091 13 093 10 063 12 109 72916 69615 14 095 11 096 6 053 12 062 69615 66582 12 053 4 091 4 042 10 035 66582 63781 6 011 4 123 6 303 7 355 63781 61066 10 356 4 067 5 277 9 339 61066 58230 10 314 6 357 7 318 14 311 58230 55300 5 307 6 334 12 328 7 304 55300 52514 8 312 8 321 17 324 7 345 52514 50019 6 310 10 332 17 320 18 324 50019 47798 7 348 12 339 16 335 19 322 47798 45793 11 002 13 016 11 012 21 350 45793 43969 15 022 29 023 29 020 32 356 43969 42305 37 026 43 010 45 003 36 355 42305 40766 48 035 48 013 48 002 36 356 40766 39323 55 044 50 029 46 008 39 003 39323 37958 67 043 54 032 46 012 44 004 37958 36631 68 041 58 030 47 014 46 000 36631 35274 66 039 59 028 47 015 46 359 35274 33856 65 036 58 025 46 015 46 005 33856 32379 63 034 55 024 45 016 48 012 32379 30829 63 032 48 024 44 019 48 016 30829 29194 64 033 45 025 44 020 46 017 29194 27475 65 034 45 024 44 017 42 017 27475 25670 66 035 46 022 42 016 40 016 25670 23780 67 038 47 023 41 017 36 012 23780 21814 65 043 48 033 40 018 35 003 21814 19759 57 036 49 035 40 027 34 005 19759 17603 46 030 50 033 42 033 34 018 17603 15397 34 033 38 039 41 039 33 037 15397 13274 34 032 29 039 29 032 28 042 13274 11355 27 032 25 042 22 021 25 035 11355 9665 20 029 18*034 15*002 24 010 9665 8175 18 024 12*014 11*347 16 358 8175 6855 19 009 12 012 10 348 12 346 6855 5685 18 002 12 012 9 350 10 348 5685 4648 14*347 12 013 8 359 9 356 4648 3735 13*336 11 014 7 014 7 015 3735 2930 12 333 11 015 7 025 6 045 2930 2211 11 327 11 017 7 033 6 074 2211 1576 11 325 11 018 7 038 7 088 1576 1048 10 324 10 018 7 042 8 096 1048 643 10 323 10 019 7 044 8 102 643 365 9 323 9 019 7 045 7 104 365 196 8 323 9 020 7 046 6 105 196 99 7 323 7 019 6 045 4*106 99 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography