DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/15 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.5 - - 53.6 - - 50.9 - - 46.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 92 - - 48 - - 21 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 594 - - 1038 - - 923 - - 453 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 81 - - 82 - - 81 - - 81 Hcrit BL Top - - - 674 - - 1118 - - 1003 - - 533 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 316 - - 2538 - - 1321 - - 1010 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 153 - - 156 - - 115 - - 35 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 9 - - 9 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 267 - - 180 - - 118 - - 090 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 7 - - 5 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -6 - - -6 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3386 - - -1530 - - 260 - - 67 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4061 - - 2648 - - 743 - - 466 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6814 - - -3650 - - -283 - - -76 ODpotential blCL - - - 7488 - - 4768 - - 1286 - - 609 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 96 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 30 - - 10 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.5 - - 53.6 - - 50.9 - - 46.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.4 - - 42.6 - - 48.2 - - 45.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.0 - - 53.5 - - 51.1 - - 46.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.0 - - 41.3 - - 47.6 - - 44.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 92 - - 48 - - 21 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 594 - - 1038 - - 923 - - 453 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 80 - - 84 - - 100 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96439 25 081 36 038 30 060 24 058 96439 89354 25 086 23 062 23 068 21 051 89354 83820 16 082 14 098 5 080 15 021 83820 79206 13 067 10 126 4 231 11 321 79206 75232 11 355 4 071 4 202 13 284 75232 71710 8 329 6 304 2 291 15 244 71710 68497 7 301 11 268 15 309 12 272 68497 65524 13 282 18 262 24 286 17 280 65524 62773 23 300 22 274 26 288 23 283 62773 60118 40 291 35 290 36 288 31 277 60118 57344 50 277 47 280 43 281 38 276 57344 54452 48 273 50 280 56 274 48 281 54452 51683 51 282 61 279 63 271 70 281 51683 49192 65 282 64 277 66 272 69 270 49192 46958 73 276 65 276 66 274 64 269 46958 44926 75 273 67 276 69 276 69 272 44926 43068 73 273 73 277 77 273 77 266 43068 41364 77 280 84 279 87 269 83 258 41364 39802 99 278 98 266 94 266 89 253 39802 38365 110 267 94 262 98 250 93 238 38365 37024 105 269 87 263 95 246 89 233 37024 35726 97 273 82 262 91 251 79 235 35726 34402 87 271 77 257 84 253 76 239 34402 33020 75 267 77 252 80 253 77 243 33020 31578 71 268 77 253 84 253 73 244 31578 30063 70 268 82 258 85 254 68 245 30063 28461 71 265 85 257 78 258 64 245 28461 26774 73 264 81 254 68 259 58 246 26774 25003 73 266 74 258 60 257 52 246 25003 23150 69 267 63 263 56 256 47 246 23150 21219 62 262 54 265 50 254 46 249 21219 19206 48 260 50 259 41 246 49 253 19206 17109 39 269 47 256 49 244 55 248 17109 14974 38 273 39 259 53 242 57 232 14974 12916 34 273 34 260 50 240 56 227 12916 11046 34 266 34 252 40 241 52 227 11046 9386 39 257 32 233 35 253 50 223 9386 7918 48 254 29 233 35 253 48 217 7918 6616 44 252 29 247 34 244 41 202 6616 5465 31 246 28 243 33 230 39 183 5465 4451 17 206 27 218 30 219 37 173 4451 3563 14 199 27 203 23 212 26 164 3563 2786 12 209 25 197 16 200 21 144 2786 2098 11 221 22 194 12 174 20 119 2098 1493 11 239 18*190 11*144 23 103 1493 993 10*253 13*185 11*125 21 097 993 610 8*265 9 180 10 118 18*093 610 348 6 267 8 178 9 115 15*091 348 189 6 268 7 177 8 113 13 090 189 97 5 270 6 177 6 111 8 088 97 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography