DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/19 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.2 - - 91.4 - - 82.9 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 86 - - 114 - - 21 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1979 - - 4997 - - 1828 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - 770 - - 3068 - - 84 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - 2059 - - 5077 - - 1908 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2382 - - 2522 - - 2129 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 246 - - 357 - - 166 - - - W* B/S - - - 5 - - 7 - - 5 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 10 - - 6 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - 278 - - 267 - - 002 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 6 - - 3 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 24 - - 9 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 394 - - 331 - - 445 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1665 - - 4746 - - 1463 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -888 - - -652 - - -467 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - 2947 - - 5729 - - 2375 - - - blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 90 - - 100 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - 2370 - - 1990 - - 3030 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.2 - - 91.4 - - 82.9 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 75.6 - - 70.7 - - 76.2 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.6 - - 90.7 - - 82.9 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 74.4 - - 69.7 - - 75.3 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 86 - - 114 - - 21 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1979 - - 4997 - - 1828 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 82 - - 60 - - 99 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 18 - - 15 - - 19 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99194 36 083 36 092 34 084 99194 91696 31 081 32 081 32 082 91696 85934 27 080 31 074 26 084 85934 81164 21 077 27 070 24 078 81164 77050 17 076 20 068 20 069 77050 73402 20 071 14 089 13 069 73402 70092 21 051 12 087 9 069 70092 67055 12 044 10 062 7 076 67055 64252 4 074 4 025 4 045 64252 61556 3 044 2 332 3 333 61556 58761 11 326 10 343 10 352 58761 55866 20 288 17 299 18 309 55866 53117 26 274 26 292 27 298 53117 50669 33 270 32 278 35 287 50669 48487 39 260 39 263 43 274 48487 46522 41 258 46 250 50 262 46522 44729 44 257 51 243 53 253 44729 43065 44 253 50 245 52 245 43065 41504 43 255 48 248 48 248 41504 40031 42 258 47 250 49 255 40031 38633 41 261 45 251 50 262 38633 37272 43 263 44 251 43 266 37272 35881 42 259 42 256 39 261 35881 34430 36 260 35 269 35 263 34430 32924 27 257 32 275 33 266 32924 31343 25 267 31 269 31 261 31343 29678 28 278 29 266 29 254 29678 27927 24 276 23 266 29 254 27927 26090 25 263 23 255 29 259 26090 24171 30 263 28 261 28 264 24171 22174 30 264 27 267 30 267 22174 20094 29 266 27 272 31 268 20094 17927 27 270 26 268 30 264 17927 15713 26 272 23 262 28 257 15713 13575 26 270 20 256 25 250 13575 11633 26 268 19 253 25 251 11633 9911 25 268 20 262 23 257 9911 8385 24 265 20 261 21 256 8385 7031 22 261 17 256 16 247 7031 5830 16 255 13*253 12 250 5830 4767 12 259 11*255 8 267 4767 3830 10 276 11 260 5 309 3830 3004 11 279 10 263 5 345 3004 2267 11*276 10 268 6*348 2267 1616 10*275 9 271 6*339 1616 1074 10 277 9 274 6 002 1074 659 9 278 9 276 7 006 659 373 8 279 8 277 7 008 373 200 8 280 8 278 6 009 200 101 6 280 6 279 5 010 101 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography