DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/10 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1555z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 69.8 - - 70.0 - - 68.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -17 - - -12 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 190 - - 19 - - 19 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 83 - - 83 - - 83 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 270 - - 99 - - 99 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3296 - - 3987 - - 2092 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 38 - - 15 - - 14 W* B/S - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 8 - - 5 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 085 - - 072 - - 096 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1326 - - -1263 - - -724 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1596 - - 1362 - - 823 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1826 - - -2053 - - -2306 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2096 - - 2152 - - 2405 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 89 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 60 - - 90 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 69.8 - - 70.0 - - 68.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 63.3 - - 64.5 - - 65.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 70.8 - - 70.9 - - 69.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 62.9 - - 64.1 - - 64.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -17 - - -12 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 190 - - 19 - - 19 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 100 - - 56 - - 50 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - 13 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97981 40 240 44 253 46 258 97981 90701 26 246 30 252 31 257 90701 85041 19 259 20 253 22 276 85041 80314 17 255 20 251 20 280 80314 76250 15 249 20 262 21 269 76250 72673 11 245 17 273 15 261 72673 69453 11 255 14 261 9 279 69453 66513 15 266 17 260 20 292 66513 63814 16 257 17 245 19 270 63814 61220 21 259 22 267 18 270 61220 58531 32 259 32 267 30 271 58531 55757 47 251 47 259 38 265 55757 53132 50 238 53 250 41 253 53132 50787 43 247 50 247 45 249 50787 48674 55 252 54 249 54 241 48674 46736 71 248 65 247 58 242 46736 44943 77 239 76 238 71 240 44943 43273 78 232 77 228 78 233 43273 41707 75 230 74 226 75 225 41707 40229 75 230 73 227 72 221 40229 38826 75 229 70 225 65 224 38826 37459 71 228 64 223 58 224 37459 36060 68 228 61 223 57 220 36060 34596 64 230 58 223 58 212 34596 33070 59 232 53 228 55 211 33070 31466 55 233 48 232 54 217 31466 29775 51 233 45 234 51 227 29775 28005 50 232 43 236 42 239 28005 26158 50 234 42 240 33 242 26158 24225 48 243 42 245 32 244 24225 22207 38 248 38 253 29 243 22207 20097 30 239 30 255 23 231 20097 17893 20 237 27 240 22 208 17893 15648 17 208 26 218 30 190 15648 13488 23 205 21 200 33 186 13488 11526 10 208 14 187 25 179 11526 9789 20 082 11 153 11 151 9789 8252 22 079 21 102 14 133 8252 6894 16 091 23 101 19 127 6894 5698 18 103 24 107 26 112 5698 4649 22 108 26 110 33 110 4649 3730 24 108 25 106 34 109 3730 2923 24 102 24 099 34 105 2923 2203 22 095 22 097 33 104 2203 1570 20 093 20 092 29 105 1570 1044 18 091 16 087 24 105 1044 641 16 089 14 084 20 102 641 364 13*088 11 080 16 099 364 196 11*087 9 076 13 097 196 99 7 084 5*072 7*096 99 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography