DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/30 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 77.9 - - 78.6 - - 71.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 160 - - 29 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3951 - - 4427 - - 20 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2447 - - 83 - - 83 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4031 - - 4507 - - 100 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1785 - - 1952 - - 795 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 358 - - 222 - - 11 W* B/S - - - - - - 55 - - 15 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 1 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 293 - - 182 - - 111 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 113 - - 329 - - -1409 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3919 - - 4178 - - 1509 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -569 - - -248 - - -3760 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4600 - - 4755 - - 3860 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 84 - - 86 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 10 - - 30 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 77.9 - - 78.6 - - 71.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 61.1 - - 60.8 - - 65.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 76.8 - - 78.5 - - 73.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 59.9 - - 59.8 - - 64.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 160 - - 29 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3951 - - 4427 - - 20 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 37 - - 43 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 11 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98045 13 205 10 254 16 249 98045 90696 5 194 10 289 3 269 90696 85056 2 029 13 270 2 296 85056 80394 4 018 4 249 5 314 80394 76366 4 330 4 063 8 353 76366 72805 3 092 5 044 8 358 72805 69594 5 066 5 014 7 019 69594 66643 4 049 3 336 9 359 66643 63913 5 019 7 319 10 345 63913 61283 8 324 9 298 11 339 61283 58557 15 308 17 308 14 309 58557 55733 19 300 18 325 13 316 55733 53024 17 303 22 312 24 309 53024 50580 15 294 24 298 25 299 50580 48392 13 297 21 294 14 285 48392 46399 13 309 16 303 16 325 46399 44585 17 336 23 330 35 347 44585 42927 30 339 31 338 67 350 42927 41378 41 345 33 355 66 351 41378 39914 43 356 41 002 49 349 39914 38527 45 007 44 005 40 348 38527 37178 46 008 42 003 39 356 37178 35799 45 006 38 004 32 351 35799 34359 43 002 34 006 27 347 34359 32858 41 359 32 360 22 349 32858 31283 38 358 30 353 20 349 31283 29620 34 004 25 355 21 344 29620 27870 27 013 18 005 17 333 27870 26033 22 018 15 004 13 330 26033 24113 18 016 13 360 13 322 24113 22110 17 023 11 008 12 300 22110 20018 11 002 7 000 9 280 20018 17833 12 294 11 315 13 281 17833 15606 14 286 16 298 17 288 15606 13465 12 296 15 302 17 302 13465 11524 10 289 13 306 14 320 11524 9805 9 269 12 301 12 334 9805 8281 6 269 11 303 15 336 8281 6934 5 296 7 281 14 312 6934 5746 7 290 6 250 8 279 5746 4698 6*281 5*241 6 231 4698 3776 3*277 4*203 8 204 3776 2962 2 281 3 192 8 192 2962 2234 1 291 3 183 8 179 2234 1592 1 300 3 177 8 156 1592 1058 1 320 3 172 10 134 1058 648 1 330 2 167 12 121 648 367 1 349 2 168 11 116 367 197 1 351 2 165 9*113 197 100 0 349 2 164 4*111 100 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography