DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/26 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 61.4 - - 60.3 - - 60.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -15 - - -36 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2235 - - 19 - - 19 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 82 - - 82 - - 82 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2315 - - 99 - - 99 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1682 - - 4109 - - 3687 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 108 - - 19 - - 17 W* B/S - - - - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 21 - - 9 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 326 - - 331 - - 338 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 16 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 572 - - -1406 - - -1167 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1743 - - 1505 - - 1266 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -123 - - -1970 - - -1750 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2438 - - 2069 - - 1849 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 84 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 61.4 - - 60.3 - - 60.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 54.0 - - 54.0 - - 54.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 62.0 - - 61.6 - - 61.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 53.4 - - 53.5 - - 54.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -15 - - -36 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2235 - - 19 - - 19 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 37 - - 58 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98450 11 061 5 018 9 057 98450 91106 13 079 6 065 9 024 91106 85411 5 081 7 069 5 006 85411 80661 3 177 2 062 7 038 80661 76555 5 209 4 315 6 015 76555 72936 2 177 4 290 6 338 72936 69679 2 081 3 241 7 311 69679 66700 3 097 3 135 3 319 66700 63943 6 087 3 166 1 358 63943 61275 5 063 4 162 0 356 61275 58498 2 022 4 180 2 252 58498 55621 4 027 8 240 5 233 55621 52878 10 282 10 263 6 259 52878 50411 11 271 9 270 8 285 50411 48193 12 270 15 273 15 277 48193 46168 15 261 16 263 18 280 46168 44298 14 253 26 255 24 266 44298 42561 17 249 27 251 26 264 42561 40936 22 240 24 254 28 260 40936 39411 19 235 24 260 28 255 39411 37974 17 264 27 265 27 258 37974 36586 30 265 30 268 21 260 36586 35178 32 254 29 268 17 264 35178 33720 31 241 25 266 16 271 33720 32215 32 238 20 266 14 275 32215 30646 30 244 18 264 11 298 30646 29001 22 251 18 259 11 322 29001 27279 17 245 14 266 11 344 27279 25481 16 256 11 309 13 341 25481 23602 16 270 11 288 13 311 23602 21638 15 276 11 284 14 287 21638 19582 18 301 14 324 14 297 19582 17435 13 310 15 309 14 304 17435 15251 15 325 12 307 15 317 15251 13149 17 331 11 352 8 333 13149 11237 19 331 15 009 9 332 11237 9538 25 351 17 003 12 330 9538 8036 39 347 22 348 19 347 8036 6714 41 343 31 344 22 341 6714 5551 28 334 33 336 29 328 5551 4531 30 335 32 337 31 336 4531 3640 29 330 32 336 33 342 3640 2855 28*328 31 335 33 343 2855 2156 26*326 29 335 32 342 2156 1538 25 326 27 334 29 340 1538 1023 23 326 25 333 26 340 1023 629 21 326 21 333 22 339 629 357 18 326 17 332 19 339 357 193 15 326 14*332 15*339 193 99 10 325 9*331 10*338 99 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography