DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/17 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0953z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.2 - - 84.4 - - 86.1 - - 78.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 135 - - 235 - - 77 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1271 - - 2678 - - 2713 - - 20 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 381 - - 1663 - - 1025 - - 84 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1351 - - 2758 - - 2793 - - 100 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1080 - - 863 - - 1280 - - 518 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 230 - - 351 - - 246 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 9 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 209 - - 216 - - 219 - - 207 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - -5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1855 - - -2668 - - -3294 - - -3474 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3206 - - 5426 - - 6087 - - 3574 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6385 - - -6379 - - -6699 - - -8195 ODpotential blCL - - - 7736 - - 9137 - - 9492 - - 8295 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 82 - - 83 - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 100 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.2 - - 84.4 - - 86.1 - - 78.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 63.7 - - 61.3 - - 60.1 - - 63.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.3 - - 83.0 - - 85.6 - - 80.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 62.9 - - 60.5 - - 59.5 - - 63.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 135 - - 235 - - 77 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1271 - - 2678 - - 2713 - - 20 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 26 - - 31 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 11 - - 11 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98695 17 065 16 082 10 040 17 039 98695 91339 20 060 18 052 14 051 16 038 91339 85691 16 067 14 063 15 034 15 027 85691 80996 15 059 13 076 13 039 15 030 80996 76934 10 058 14 075 11 066 15 020 76934 73328 9 057 12 061 9 081 12 013 73328 70056 7 053 9 048 6 077 6 016 70056 67054 6 080 6 035 6 015 3 048 67054 64285 7 052 3 070 6 332 2 006 64285 61618 7 345 4 023 7 334 2 325 61618 58856 4 330 7 325 11 345 9 357 58856 56021 3 348 8 315 12 352 14 355 56021 53347 12 070 2 031 8 351 15 351 53347 50962 22 048 16 088 10 095 4 058 50962 48839 23 040 20 067 18 091 18 111 48839 46915 25 041 23 035 21 047 21 086 46915 45137 27 063 25 028 24 026 22 051 45137 43472 31 070 22 052 20 043 21 040 43472 41900 33 069 23 064 19 058 20 053 41900 40413 32 074 26 068 20 065 20 071 40413 39005 31 080 28 069 23 070 21 078 39005 37636 28 081 30 071 23 076 17 076 37636 36235 25 080 27 076 16 073 17 056 36235 34773 24 079 19 074 13 059 23 049 34773 33249 27 090 15 073 14 055 20 049 33249 31648 31 102 14 085 13 064 12 046 31648 29957 31 103 16 101 12 079 8 024 29957 28178 27 094 17 102 11 098 5 043 28178 26312 21 070 17 068 10 066 9 047 26312 24361 16 008 15 029 14 037 13 041 24361 22331 13 037 14 031 12 024 12 030 22331 20223 12 018 13 012 16 007 16 009 20223 18028 11 359 12 356 17 007 15 013 18028 15794 7 331 15 360 18 006 16 349 15794 13648 8 345 17 004 16 360 16 342 13648 11695 12 005 12 003 11 353 14 341 11695 9957 13 353 12 355 13 344 18 339 9957 8415 13 350 14 350 15 343 17 334 8415 7046 10 336 16 346 14 340 14 333 7046 5832 13 332 14 335 14 328 11 329 5832 4760 13 342 10 333 12 318 10 314 4760 3819 4 011 4 316 6 292 9 283 3819 2992 4 134 7*217 5*227 11 238 2992 2256 4 171 7*216 6*221 13 212 2256 1608 4*207 7 216 6 219 14 206 1608 1069 5*208 7 216 6 218 14 208 1069 655 4 210 7 216 6 219 13 210 655 370 4 210 7 216 6 219 11 210 370 198 4 208 6 217 5 218 9 209 198 100 3 207 5 217 5 217 4*207 100 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography