DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/09 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.9 - - 68.2 - - 73.4 - - 64.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 43 - - 187 - - 100 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 793 - - 1752 - - 3943 - - 19 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 82 - - 912 - - 2108 - - 83 Hcrit BL Top - - - 873 - - 1832 - - 4023 - - 99 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1483 - - 1308 - - 2585 - - 262 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 134 - - 283 - - 301 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 12 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 226 - - 260 - - 236 - - 184 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -1 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 311 - - -338 - - -366 - - -1554 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 562 - - 2170 - - 4389 - - 1653 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 220 - - -1970 - - -1026 - - -3521 ODpotential blCL - - - 653 - - 3802 - - 5049 - - 3620 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 90 - - 76 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 110 - - 10 - - 20 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.9 - - 68.2 - - 73.4 - - 64.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 61.7 - - 59.0 - - 54.6 - - 58.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.6 - - 67.1 - - 72.8 - - 66.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 61.2 - - 58.2 - - 54.0 - - 57.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 43 - - 187 - - 100 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 793 - - 1752 - - 3943 - - 19 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 58 - - 4 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 10 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96301 28 267 41 252 37 268 25 290 96301 89088 27 266 33 243 36 279 19 296 89088 83618 29 249 25 229 32 258 22 295 83618 79130 26 239 18 232 30 226 30 267 79130 75258 18 236 14 245 24 225 31 249 75258 71828 21 254 15 244 22 227 28 246 71828 68727 28 247 22 249 22 235 25 247 68727 65879 26 249 30 251 24 252 25 242 65879 63232 32 262 34 257 28 263 25 253 63232 60660 43 258 42 258 37 265 32 265 60660 57970 47 242 48 250 42 254 40 255 57970 55155 45 262 46 251 41 252 42 250 55155 52429 71 271 55 261 48 251 45 249 52429 49946 75 260 63 258 58 251 56 253 49946 47707 71 254 71 254 67 253 64 254 47707 45662 66 257 71 254 71 254 67 255 45662 43774 66 262 67 257 68 255 64 255 43774 42039 59 262 59 259 58 255 55 256 42039 40447 58 259 51 258 45 256 50 261 40447 38971 42 247 43 251 38 251 44 259 38971 37588 23 292 35 235 34 231 41 261 37588 36252 34 312 26 237 34 213 39 257 36252 34894 38 311 21 264 31 209 34 235 34894 33486 32 315 23 280 22 225 35 203 33486 32028 23 321 24 288 20 235 24 202 32028 30502 18 318 22 296 19 239 24 201 30502 28893 17 333 17 304 17 239 20 199 28893 27201 12 323 11 308 13 238 16 209 27201 25426 10 330 11 303 11 247 14 221 25426 23571 12 338 13 299 10 264 15 229 23571 21635 13 298 13 288 10 272 17 238 21635 19609 13 271 15 279 11 282 12 258 19609 17488 10 279 11 266 11 293 5 259 17488 15318 14 280 11 251 12 273 6 252 15318 13226 15 263 13 249 17 266 11 273 13226 11327 18 253 15 237 17 269 13 293 11327 9640 19 259 17 244 14 265 14 301 9640 8145 19 258 18 255 15 248 12 286 8145 6823 17 252 18 255 17 245 14 255 6823 5658 13 249 16 261 18 251 17 251 5658 4627 11 245 11 256 17*253 16 256 4627 3720 11 241 8 242 14*247 15 254 3720 2919 11 241 6 267 11 238 13 242 2919 2203 7 231 5*269 10 236 13 234 2203 1571 5 223 5*262 10 235 12 228 1571 1044 4*223 4 261 10 233 12 220 1044 640 4*225 4 259 9 233 11 211 640 363 4 226 4 259 9 233 10 201 363 195 3 227 3 259 8 232 8 192 195 99 3 228 3 259 7 232 4*184 99 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography