DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/18 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.5 - - 59.3 - - 58.4 - - 52.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 93 - - 106 - - -7 - - -49 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2973 - - 4733 - - 4456 - - 18 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1422 - - 2772 - - 82 - - 82 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3053 - - 4813 - - 4536 - - 98 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1853 - - 928 - - 927 - - 4494 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 274 - - 334 - - 133 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 24 - - 22 - - 22 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 028 - - 035 - - 033 - - 010 Direction Wind Shear - - - 16 - - 13 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 5 - - 8 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 621 - - 1400 - - 893 - - -1651 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2432 - - 3414 - - 3643 - - 1750 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -193 - - 603 - - 43 - - -2976 ODpotential blCL - - - 3246 - - 4210 - - 4493 - - 3074 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 95 - - 91 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.5 - - 59.3 - - 58.4 - - 52.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.7 - - 45.2 - - 43.4 - - 46.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.2 - - 59.0 - - 58.9 - - 54.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.6 - - 44.0 - - 42.4 - - 45.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 93 - - 106 - - -7 - - -49 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2973 - - 4733 - - 4456 - - 18 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 53 - - 80 - - 64 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97737 15 253 19 236 19 258 20 255 97737 90443 14 242 19 254 21 257 15 262 90443 84837 13 240 12 257 22 244 12 264 84837 80174 13 231 10 259 16 238 14 248 80174 76140 10 222 11 219 13 233 9 251 76140 72565 7 297 10 211 12 209 9 253 72565 69333 13 298 9 208 12 229 14 260 69333 66383 9 268 7 184 12 214 15 264 66383 63670 11 277 8 282 8 257 12 260 63670 61048 13 257 8 268 15 295 7 269 61048 58312 10 285 15 279 14 280 7 251 58312 55466 25 280 21 261 10 285 8 275 55466 52738 26 250 27 262 20 276 22 283 52738 50272 20 233 27 237 26 261 29 276 50272 48048 17 256 23 227 25 261 25 278 48048 46019 24 275 15 258 18 266 17 268 46019 44157 29 283 10 287 11 275 9 264 44157 42435 23 284 13 319 16 328 14 341 42435 40839 20 264 24 315 27 340 26 352 40839 39356 13 259 27 325 26 353 34 005 39356 37969 8 350 26 339 25 005 36 011 37969 36629 14 011 30 002 34 014 34 016 36629 35265 26 014 41 005 44 013 38 025 35265 33848 35 013 46 001 49 007 49 024 33848 32376 47 013 48 002 48 004 52 020 32376 30829 56 018 48 005 45 003 50 020 30829 29194 61 020 48 005 43 006 45 019 29194 27474 64 019 46 007 41 009 41 016 27474 25667 63 018 44 011 38 008 38 017 25667 23771 60 022 44 013 37 008 37 016 23771 21789 52 027 43 012 36 008 34 015 21789 19713 43 026 40 019 33 012 31 013 19713 17540 37 018 35 019 30 016 30 011 17540 15318 33 022 29 018 28 016 28 016 15318 13178 33 026 24 022 26 021 28 035 13178 11238 33 034 25 028 26 035 25 050 11238 9518 33 039 31 034 29 044 24 051 9518 8001 31 045 36 036 33 045 28 039 8001 6671 30 042 35 041 34 043 33 039 6671 5513 28 041 25*041 26*038 27 043 5513 4504 28 047 25*041 24*035 25 043 4504 3619 28*047 24 040 24 034 25 041 3619 2838 28*040 24 037 23 033 25 036 2838 2141 26 031 23 033 23 033 25 032 2141 1526 25 026 22 032 22 032 24 030 1526 1015 24 024 21 030 21 031 22 025 1015 623 23 023 21 029 20 031 20 021 623 354 21 023 19 029 18 030 16 016 354 191 18 022 17 028 15 030 12*014 191 98 13 021 13 027 11 029 7*010 98 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography