DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/06 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 87.5 - - 88.9 - - 83.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 127 - - 56 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4016 - - 4229 - - 21 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2423 - - 1989 - - 84 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4096 - - 4309 - - 101 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2097 - - 2040 - - 5173 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 345 - - 274 - - 14 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 17 - - 14 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 220 - - 221 - - 221 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 8 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 846 - - 487 - - -1656 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3250 - - 3822 - - 1757 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -241 - - -451 - - -2903 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4337 - - 4760 - - 3004 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 84 - - 84 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 2380 - - 2410 - - 3630 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 87.5 - - 88.9 - - 83.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 73.5 - - 72.4 - - 76.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 86.9 - - 88.7 - - 85.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 72.4 - - 71.6 - - 75.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 127 - - 56 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4016 - - 4229 - - 21 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 36 - - 34 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 16 - - 16 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99368 37 083 36 086 29 069 99368 91872 36 082 32 076 36 077 91872 86097 34 079 30 076 34 075 86097 81317 34 079 26 081 28 074 81317 77211 32 092 22 080 24 076 77211 73590 30 091 20 077 21 077 73590 70317 22 079 18 078 18 077 70317 67309 14 075 14 084 16 077 67309 64522 9 090 8 089 14 066 64522 61834 9 116 3 120 9 040 61834 59037 13 118 7 148 4 001 59037 56136 17 109 14 140 8 166 56136 53383 20 112 17 122 15 145 53383 50921 22 100 17 110 18 130 50921 48720 21 106 22 103 18 126 48720 46720 27 110 22 109 18 133 46720 44890 32 116 24 119 23 137 44890 43205 37 120 27 129 25 139 43205 41638 34 125 31 136 25 141 41638 40168 30 133 34 139 22 146 40168 38781 28 138 34 137 20 147 38781 37433 29 141 31 136 18 146 37433 36056 31 143 27 137 17 150 36056 34616 31 145 24 138 17 156 34616 33116 28 147 22 142 18 158 33116 31541 25 148 20 148 18 157 31541 29879 23 148 15 149 17 155 29879 28131 21 152 15 153 17 154 28131 26294 20 156 17 155 15 155 26294 24372 17 160 17 159 17 153 24372 22366 16 164 17 167 17 162 22366 20269 15 174 15 178 15 175 20269 18080 15 195 15 178 15 182 18080 15850 17 194 16 192 17 197 15850 13700 18 206 16 208 17 209 13700 11741 19 219 17 218 20 216 11741 10002 19 218 17 229 20 223 10002 8463 21 206 19 233 17 237 8463 7096 19 210 18 236 15 236 7096 5882 19 217 17 230 17 226 5882 4811 19*219 16*224 18 225 4811 3868 18*219 16*223 18 226 3868 3035 18 219 15 222 18 227 3035 2290 18 220 15 221 18 228 2290 1632 17 220 14 221 17 229 1632 1084 17 220 14 221 16 229 1084 664 16 220 13 221 14 228 664 376 15 220 12 221 11 225 376 201 13 220 11 220 8*224 201 101 10 220 8 220 4*221 101 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography