DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/10 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.2 - - 90.3 - - 92.3 - - 85.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 84 - - 159 - - 74 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1144 - - 2523 - - 4876 - - 21 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 84 - - 1420 - - 2634 - - 85 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1224 - - 2603 - - 4956 - - 101 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1297 - - 4256 - - 2911 - - 3991 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 198 - - 310 - - 306 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 7 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 8 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 249 - - 266 - - 237 - - 215 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 5 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1991 - - -2076 - - -689 - - -2774 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3215 - - 4680 - - 5645 - - 2875 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4365 - - -3799 - - -2920 - - -5052 ODpotential blCL - - - 5589 - - 6402 - - 7876 - - 5153 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 82 - - 76 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 1480 - - 1700 - - 1460 - - 2650 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.2 - - 90.3 - - 92.3 - - 85.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 71.3 - - 70.1 - - 67.8 - - 73.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.7 - - 89.2 - - 91.9 - - 87.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 70.3 - - 69.1 - - 67.0 - - 72.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 84 - - 159 - - 74 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1144 - - 2523 - - 4876 - - 21 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 35 - - 27 - - 6 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 16 - - 15 - - 13 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99331 43 086 31 096 23 081 26 063 99331 91875 28 077 34 075 32 080 27 072 91875 86096 20 077 28 065 28 076 28 085 86096 81282 18 083 21 080 16 074 21 080 81282 77137 21 083 15 092 10 087 12 072 77137 73482 17 080 12 096 9 104 9 073 73482 70190 14 086 8 111 6 119 6 058 70190 67171 10 090 8 122 2 129 4 028 67171 64369 4 114 7 138 3 288 5 343 64369 61656 7 185 4 196 7 276 11 299 61656 58844 4 245 7 234 7 235 13 246 58844 55963 10 273 15 260 12 259 14 240 55963 53245 20 285 22 261 22 260 18 264 53245 50815 23 268 21 262 23 262 28 274 50815 48640 21 262 19 275 30 275 33 270 48640 46666 27 271 28 270 36 272 36 269 46666 44854 34 276 35 260 39 267 39 269 44854 43173 41 272 38 256 40 257 41 261 43173 41602 40 268 40 255 38 251 40 257 41602 40127 37 267 41 253 38 249 41 257 40127 38733 37 268 41 251 38 248 40 252 38733 37374 35 263 42 251 40 247 37 247 37374 35982 35 262 43 253 42 247 36 248 35982 34529 34 261 44 255 42 247 36 254 34529 33020 31 262 42 255 41 255 34 261 33020 31440 33 263 40 257 40 263 27 274 31440 29775 36 264 36 259 34 267 24 281 29775 28023 36 262 31 259 25 269 21 284 28023 26183 25 263 29 257 23 277 22 283 26183 24260 23 261 29 254 25 285 25 283 24260 22258 22 262 29 251 26 293 28 287 22258 20173 21 260 28 260 27 299 28 286 20173 18003 21 257 25 284 27 306 27 283 18003 15789 18 264 23 295 23 304 21 278 15789 13654 15 266 17 299 17 305 15 273 13654 11713 12 271 12 280 15 298 14 285 11713 9989 10 280 12 256 13 287 16 292 9989 8457 10 275 12 242 12 273 17 292 8457 7095 12 269 11 240 13 252 18 294 7095 5885 12 265 9 247 13*247 19 292 5885 4813 12 264 9 252 12*244 18 284 4813 3870 12 265 9 258 12 242 16 271 3870 3037 12 269 10*265 12 239 15 258 3037 2293 12 267 9*268 12 237 14 251 2293 1635 11*261 9 267 12 235 14 246 1635 1086 9*254 8 266 11 233 14 241 1086 665 8 249 8 265 11 232 12 236 665 376 7 247 7 264 10 231 10 229 376 201 6 246 6 264 9 231 8*224 201 101 5 246 5 264 7 231 4*215 101 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography