DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/16 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 89.2 - - 97.0 - - 98.8 - - 91.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 199 - - 329 - - 167 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1838 - - 5779 - - 6884 - - 21 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 995 - - 4162 - - 4647 - - 84 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1918 - - 5859 - - 6964 - - 101 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1757 - - 1998 - - 1819 - - 5135 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 293 - - 505 - - 430 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 47 - - 14 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 2 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 018 - - 226 - - 226 - - 225 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 5 - - 9 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2030 - - -764 - - -1105 - - -6219 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3948 - - 6623 - - 8070 - - 6320 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5723 - - -3449 - - -3271 - - -10422 ODpotential blCL - - - 7641 - - 9308 - - 10235 - - 10523 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 73 - - 80 - - 37 maxRH CAPE - - - 1890 - - 1600 - - 680 - - 280 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 89.2 - - 97.0 - - 98.8 - - 91.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 72.0 - - 68.2 - - 63.7 - - 63.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 87.9 - - 95.0 - - 97.7 - - 92.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 71.5 - - 67.6 - - 63.1 - - 63.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 199 - - 329 - - 167 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1838 - - 5779 - - 6884 - - 21 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 16 - - 13 - - 12 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99498 44 082 44 091 36 092 29 088 99498 91941 34 088 34 077 36 081 29 080 91941 86111 30 086 30 079 32 077 31 075 86111 81280 27 083 26 085 27 087 28 066 81280 77136 22 089 22 084 24 087 22 066 77136 73488 17 085 16 094 17 082 17 070 73488 70195 12 072 12 097 10 087 10 066 70195 67177 9 048 8 086 7 083 5 107 67177 64390 3 051 2 044 5 035 2 079 64390 61700 4 034 3 310 1 349 2 265 61700 58905 5 331 9 284 12 311 5 315 58905 56030 4 316 10 251 17 275 13 290 56030 53320 15 323 11 308 16 286 17 276 53320 50900 12 280 14 283 19 288 21 286 50900 48737 7 323 11 278 17 287 21 285 48737 46779 29 346 16 317 18 319 21 311 46779 44987 24 316 21 323 20 313 23 306 44987 43322 19 298 19 316 18 310 24 304 43322 41759 17 310 20 321 24 325 29 316 41759 40283 24 340 25 328 31 324 34 324 40283 38883 26 339 33 330 30 322 35 322 38883 37521 29 339 32 329 28 316 31 313 37521 36127 25 331 23 323 25 304 29 309 36127 34672 17 319 16 279 21 277 26 296 34672 33160 13 300 17 277 23 283 25 287 33160 31573 20 311 15 293 20 278 24 277 31573 29901 19 314 15 266 21 274 22 282 29901 28145 16 278 19 267 25 282 23 300 28145 26302 17 276 22 283 24 286 23 300 26302 24378 17 258 18 269 21 278 19 287 24378 22376 18 245 22 262 23 268 18 284 22376 20285 15 242 21 256 22 261 18 288 20285 18100 11 240 13 243 17 250 17 284 18100 15865 13 243 9 236 11 245 11 271 15865 13714 12 236 7 239 6 289 4 301 13714 11761 8 211 5 212 4 316 6 351 11761 10026 10 191 3 217 4 340 7 351 10026 8484 9 194 3 291 5 344 4 348 8484 7114 5 228 2 296 3*267 3 322 7114 5900 3 272 2*249 4*246 4 308 5900 4826 1 309 2*239 4 238 6 293 4826 3880 3 005 2 230 5 230 8 265 3880 3046 8 026 2 229 6 226 10 250 3046 2299 9*027 2 225 7 223 12 242 2299 1639 7*025 2 223 7 221 13 238 1639 1089 4 017 2 220 7 220 13 235 1089 667 3 013 2 222 7 219 13 232 667 377 3 013 2 218 7 218 12 230 377 202 3 012 2 219 6 218 9*228 202 101 2 012 2 217 6 217 5*225 101 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography