DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/06 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 50.9 - - 53.0 - - 50.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 0 - - -7 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 75 - - 76 - - 75 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 768 - - 768 - - 768 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 784 - - 785 - - 784 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 846 - - 1358 - - 374 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 16 - - 17 - - 10 W* B/S - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 138 - - 160 - - 170 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1868 - - -1759 - - -937 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2652 - - 2544 - - 1721 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -7098 - - -5072 - - -4087 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7882 - - 5857 - - 4871 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 80 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 10 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 50.9 - - 53.0 - - 50.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 42.0 - - 44.5 - - 45.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 52.2 - - 54.0 - - 52.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 41.1 - - 43.9 - - 45.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 0 - - -7 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 75 - - 76 - - 75 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 19 - - 100 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96304 58 244 57 258 53 261 96304 89089 31 241 43 259 39 259 89089 83567 21 256 23 256 26 262 83567 78974 22 276 16 282 23 276 78974 75024 29 275 25 285 22 274 75024 71533 22 274 22 288 18 293 71533 68356 21 286 26 298 22 308 68356 65415 28 284 35 288 32 295 65415 62676 34 288 37 287 40 288 62676 60011 40 289 37 283 44 293 60011 57205 43 279 35 274 53 286 57205 54283 39 268 49 275 55 273 54283 51496 51 279 62 268 56 274 51496 48982 69 276 69 270 70 277 48982 46732 77 265 77 271 77 271 46732 44702 75 264 83 265 83 270 44702 42851 84 270 85 262 93 266 42851 41160 98 270 92 265 104 262 41160 39608 115 272 109 266 114 259 39608 38168 121 270 123 265 118 260 38168 36817 112 267 125 263 127 263 36817 35510 110 265 116 261 131 263 35510 34180 108 264 109 261 126 261 34180 32799 102 262 104 260 120 258 32799 31371 99 260 102 260 116 257 31371 29881 94 259 96 258 108 257 29881 28320 88 259 88 256 97 256 28320 26683 82 259 83 255 89 253 26683 24974 78 259 77 255 83 252 24974 23191 76 259 70 254 77 250 23191 21337 72 259 63 254 71 248 21337 19402 69 259 58 255 67 245 19402 17382 63 258 56 253 63 245 17382 15320 57 250 56 249 58 245 15320 13333 55 243 55 248 53 249 13333 11527 48 238 50 248 49 257 11527 9925 41 233 44 244 45 264 9925 8507 38 232 41 241 41 266 8507 7252 36 226 39 248 39 263 7252 6140 34 222 39 251 37 261 6140 5152 32 221 33 247 33 258 5152 4281 30 219 27 240 28 255 4281 3510 27 215 24 229 25 249 3510 2818 22 211 22 220 25 241 2818 2206 17 204 19 208 25 230 2206 1696 14 196 15 192 22 218 1696 1306 9 183 12 180 17 200 1306 1039 6 165 10 172 13 183 1039 877 4 156 8*167 9 177 877 784 3*138 5*160 4*170 784 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography