DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/13 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 83.2 - - 84.2 - - 78.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 159 - - 40 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5441 - - 78 - - 78 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4238 - - 770 - - 770 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6150 - - 787 - - 787 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2266 - - 8426 - - 6011 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 410 - - 70 - - 23 W* B/S - - - - - - 11 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 294 - - 322 - - 334 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -365 - - -6415 - - -3966 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6516 - - 7202 - - 4753 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -3381 - - -7200 - - -5927 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9531 - - 7987 - - 6714 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 70 - - 71 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 50 - - 10 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 83.2 - - 84.2 - - 78.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 57.3 - - 55.4 - - 60.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 81.7 - - 83.8 - - 80.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 56.0 - - 54.1 - - 59.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 159 - - 40 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5441 - - 78 - - 78 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 9 - - 9 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98867 34 086 16 085 28 062 98867 91354 29 084 16 080 18 070 91354 85595 23 085 18 072 12 085 85595 80846 20 099 16 085 11 062 80846 76746 17 094 17 098 12 062 76746 73113 13 077 17 092 10 073 73113 69834 10 079 13 082 8 065 69834 66824 6 105 8 081 6 049 66824 64028 5 143 7 124 1 011 64028 61334 4 224 2 227 7 236 61334 58548 7 229 6 274 8 285 58548 55667 23 263 25 278 17 289 55667 52921 31 249 33 261 32 273 52921 50455 35 246 43 254 40 270 50455 48267 41 246 53 261 65 271 48267 46303 46 249 64 256 71 253 46303 44496 40 261 59 236 68 241 44496 42809 51 290 51 281 44 249 42809 41236 85 296 82 292 62 295 41236 39768 94 293 82 288 71 291 39768 38387 92 290 77 282 66 275 38387 37047 75 288 77 274 67 268 37047 35674 57 274 76 273 70 263 35674 34241 56 256 71 272 70 266 34241 32752 63 258 66 269 69 270 32752 31195 62 263 64 267 63 276 31195 29559 49 266 60 275 44 281 29559 27844 42 258 45 279 38 289 27844 26052 42 255 40 268 40 299 26052 24185 39 254 42 263 33 290 24185 22243 34 255 40 265 28 277 22243 20219 33 257 35 265 25 276 20219 18108 33 262 32 260 22 279 18108 15955 31 269 32 261 20 281 15955 13883 27 263 31 262 20 287 13883 12005 29 261 28 266 20 297 12005 10342 27 265 22 275 18 301 10342 8868 20 266 15 266 14 286 8868 7560 13 272 11 266 12 250 7560 6397 10*280 11 270 10 252 6397 5364 9*283 9 285 9 267 5364 4452 8 287 9 297 9 283 4452 3645 8 291 9 305 10 294 3645 2922 7 296 9 311 10 305 2922 2282 6 299 9 314 10 313 2282 1748 6 302 9 317 9 319 1748 1338 5 305 9 319 9 323 1338 1056 5 304 8 319 8 327 1056 885 5 305 8*320 6*330 885 787 4 307 6*322 3*334 787 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography