DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/08 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 9.0 - - 18.5 - - 18.8 - - 12.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 49 - - 121 - - 30 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 72 - - 3344 - - 73 - - 73 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 765 - - 2436 - - 766 - - 765 Hcrit BL Top - - - 781 - - 4053 - - 782 - - 782 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2199 - - 1133 - - 4082 - - 2784 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 62 - - 302 - - 54 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 18 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 288 - - 314 - - 323 - - 314 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2001 - - 1212 - - -1920 - - -1200 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2782 - - 2842 - - 2702 - - 1983 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -17178 - - 642 - - -1994 - - -2213 ODpotential blCL - - - 17959 - - 3411 - - 2776 - - 2995 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 96 - - 99 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 9.0 - - 18.5 - - 18.8 - - 12.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 0.1 - - 9.2 - - 10.1 - - 7.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 8.6 - - 17.6 - - 18.2 - - 15.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -0.9 - - 8.3 - - 9.0 - - 7.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 49 - - 121 - - 30 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 72 - - 3344 - - 73 - - 73 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 17 - - 84 - - 95 - - 56 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96491 23 224 28 235 26 254 31 253 96491 89301 21 240 18 264 14 265 11 285 89301 83745 10 247 13 248 14 252 15 252 83745 79081 6 248 8 218 8 259 16 265 79081 75048 5 292 13 251 10 293 20 295 75048 71508 7 291 8 213 13 233 15 258 71508 68302 26 325 23 333 16 322 20 313 68302 65331 35 287 41 297 38 308 33 307 65331 62565 32 266 39 274 44 297 40 299 62565 59870 30 281 37 283 45 293 44 291 59870 57050 36 300 41 286 49 290 46 291 57050 54115 51 300 49 289 56 285 57 293 54115 51307 66 297 61 290 67 285 67 290 51307 48772 75 293 70 286 73 284 70 288 48772 46490 79 291 72 284 75 286 75 288 46490 44412 80 291 72 288 75 286 80 289 44412 42505 80 294 72 291 78 287 82 290 42505 40741 83 295 78 292 82 291 81 293 40741 39102 86 294 84 294 86 294 83 297 39102 37581 89 294 90 297 85 297 88 297 37581 36165 92 295 93 298 91 300 91 296 36165 34810 99 296 98 298 99 299 93 296 34810 33447 107 296 105 298 102 296 95 298 33447 32047 111 296 109 297 101 296 95 298 32047 30614 115 295 111 299 102 298 90 300 30614 29131 120 293 113 301 106 299 86 304 29131 27582 119 292 107 301 103 298 88 306 27582 25960 112 293 98 300 98 299 90 306 25960 24262 108 293 93 299 95 300 90 306 24262 22488 101 295 90 300 91 301 86 307 22488 20643 96 298 87 301 85 303 78 310 20643 18725 93 301 83 304 78 306 73 313 18725 16732 90 304 81 306 72 310 69 313 16732 14702 83 307 79 308 67 313 63 316 14702 12750 73 311 74 309 64 315 58 321 12750 10978 65 311 70 310 63 316 51 325 10978 9411 60 312 67 311 59 317 41 327 9411 8028 55 314 60 313 51 318 32 331 8028 6809 47 320 50 316 43 318 25 333 6809 5737 41 324 36 317 36 315 20 336 5737 4799 37 325 22*312 27 308 21 331 4799 3985 32 323 21*311 23 311 23 325 3985 3276 28 322 20 312 22 314 23 326 3276 2644 23 320 19 314 21 317 22 326 2644 2086 18 317 18 315 20 319 21 326 2086 1619 15 315 18 316 19 321 19 325 1619 1262 12 309 17 317 18 322 16 323 1262 1016 9 299 16 317 16 322 12 321 1016 867 7 290 14 317 13 323 9*319 867 782 5*288 10 317 10*323 4*314 782 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography