DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/06 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 22.9 - - 31.2 - - 31.3 - - 28.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 39 - - 10 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 73 - - 74 - - 74 - - 74 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 766 - - 766 - - 766 - - 766 Hcrit BL Top - - - 782 - - 783 - - 783 - - 783 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 418 - - 3397 - - 2749 - - 1481 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 47 - - 60 - - 38 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 180 - - 183 - - 187 - - 216 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1346 - - -1755 - - -448 - - -29 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2128 - - 2539 - - 1231 - - 812 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8671 - - -2194 - - -689 - - -1196 ODpotential blCL - - - 9453 - - 2977 - - 1472 - - 1979 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 94 - - 96 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 22.9 - - 31.2 - - 31.3 - - 28.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 16.4 - - 22.7 - - 28.6 - - 27.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 22.5 - - 30.4 - - 30.8 - - 29.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 15.4 - - 21.7 - - 28.2 - - 28.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 39 - - 10 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 73 - - 74 - - 74 - - 74 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 62 - - 76 - - 82 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96201 40 225 33 232 33 247 35 249 96201 89009 25 241 28 245 31 254 21 257 89009 83486 26 254 21 244 25 253 24 259 83486 78876 20 269 18 262 28 266 26 273 78876 74890 24 297 21 277 26 267 28 276 74890 71346 26 297 19 274 16 258 30 261 71346 68113 20 289 22 281 20 276 32 261 68113 65125 22 293 32 281 26 278 29 268 65125 62347 30 282 36 285 35 293 37 294 62347 59652 36 279 44 291 46 289 49 287 59652 56824 39 282 49 283 50 286 48 276 56824 53854 45 285 41 273 53 280 49 277 53854 50991 44 286 35 277 53 277 60 280 50991 48399 42 284 47 288 59 280 69 279 48399 46064 44 281 60 282 64 279 67 278 46064 43940 48 279 61 277 66 280 65 284 43940 41995 54 277 60 280 65 283 65 288 41995 40205 56 274 58 282 63 285 65 290 40205 38549 54 275 53 282 58 284 65 291 38549 37009 53 279 50 283 53 282 65 291 37009 35572 53 280 48 285 53 282 62 292 35572 34198 51 278 48 287 54 284 61 294 34198 32817 49 277 51 289 54 284 60 295 32817 31404 46 278 51 288 51 287 56 296 31404 29964 44 280 52 283 50 290 53 301 29964 28487 46 279 56 278 46 287 48 304 28487 26963 46 275 61 274 44 287 46 306 26963 25393 43 277 67 270 40 288 45 304 25393 23761 44 283 69 270 36 290 41 303 23761 22061 44 287 66 274 33 289 38 301 22061 20290 41 287 62 279 35 286 36 300 20290 18443 39 288 51 284 37 282 37 301 18443 16513 39 289 39 276 38 277 38 300 16513 14543 37 285 35 268 40 274 39 300 14543 12649 35 272 36 263 40 275 39 304 12649 10932 36 263 37 261 40 280 41 305 10932 9410 37 257 35 261 39 284 41 305 9410 8064 32 250 31 256 37 285 37 308 8064 6875 22 240 27 253 34 283 31 305 6875 5824 20 230 23 252 30 281 28 296 5824 4895 19 227 20 248 24 280 28 293 4895 4075 14 223 15 239 18 274 27 294 4075 3350 12 218 12 227 14 263 25 295 3350 2701 12 209 9 215 10 248 20 297 2701 2126 12 197 6 198 7 227 15 298 2126 1646 11 189 5 185 5 209 10 298 1646 1278 9 188 4 184 4 195 6 294 1278 1024 6 186 4 181 3 191 4 283 1024 871 4 185 3*182 3*188 2*256 871 783 2*180 3*183 2*187 2*216 783 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography