DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/19 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 36.0 - - 35.0 - - 25.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 218 - - 60 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4185 - - 74 - - 74 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3367 - - 767 - - 766 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4894 - - 783 - - 783 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1163 - - 5369 - - 4591 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 394 - - 67 - - 9 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 19 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 253 - - 264 - - 289 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 6 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1178 - - -5332 - - -3764 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6072 - - 6115 - - 4547 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -9268 - - -12803 - - -12945 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 14162 - - 13586 - - 13728 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 68 - - 61 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 36.0 - - 35.0 - - 25.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 11.9 - - 10.8 - - 8.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 34.7 - - 34.3 - - 27.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 11.0 - - 10.2 - - 8.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 218 - - 60 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4185 - - 74 - - 74 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95889 15 279 14 307 15 240 95889 88859 8 255 13 290 16 247 88859 83396 9 209 16 260 16 257 83396 78827 13 219 14 224 14 253 78827 74842 14 220 17 263 30 270 74842 71296 25 220 34 231 45 252 71296 68097 34 221 46 237 47 236 68097 65131 46 244 48 240 40 227 65131 62322 51 235 48 234 48 241 62322 59567 53 223 57 234 67 248 59567 56711 61 232 73 235 79 244 56711 53775 81 238 88 238 88 238 53775 50971 94 236 103 235 97 235 50971 48438 104 233 108 232 106 235 48438 46162 108 232 108 233 115 236 46162 44098 111 235 113 237 122 237 44098 42212 116 237 121 240 127 237 42212 40478 121 236 128 240 131 237 40478 38874 123 236 130 239 134 237 38874 37385 125 236 128 237 135 237 37385 35998 123 235 125 236 135 237 35998 34671 121 236 122 235 133 235 34671 33334 123 236 120 234 130 234 33334 31955 125 235 120 233 129 234 31955 30532 125 236 119 233 129 235 30532 29048 124 236 118 236 129 237 29048 27489 121 237 117 239 128 240 27489 25858 119 236 115 241 126 242 25858 24159 117 236 111 241 123 243 24159 22393 111 240 107 241 121 243 22393 20559 102 247 100 244 116 244 20559 18650 93 252 91 246 106 248 18650 16667 85 254 82 245 88 248 16667 14652 78 254 78 244 73 244 14652 12717 72 254 73 245 66 243 12717 10964 67 254 68 248 63 247 10964 9416 62 254 63 252 59 253 9416 8054 57 255 56 256 54 257 8054 6857 46 255 45 256 47 259 6857 5804 30 252 31 253 38 260 5804 4877 21*251 24 255 32 264 4877 4060 21*251 24 257 28 268 4060 3338 20 252 23 258 26 270 3338 2692 20 253 23 260 24 273 2692 2120 19 253 22 261 22 276 2120 1642 18 253 21 262 20 279 1642 1275 17 254 20 263 17 282 1275 1023 16 254 19 263 13 285 1023 870 14 254 16 264 9*288 870 783 11 254 11*264 5*289 783 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography