DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/01 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 26.0 - - 26.3 - - 22.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 276 - - 59 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3474 - - 73 - - 73 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2931 - - 766 - - 766 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4183 - - 782 - - 782 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1105 - - 3723 - - 1491 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 399 - - 66 - - 7 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 18 - - 7 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 307 - - 312 - - 003 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -6 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1603 - - -4616 - - -3335 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5786 - - 5399 - - 4117 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -13323 - - -15569 - - -15144 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 17506 - - 16351 - - 15926 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 66 - - 61 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 26.0 - - 26.3 - - 22.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 3.1 - - 5.3 - - 7.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 24.4 - - 25.5 - - 22.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 2.5 - - 5.0 - - 6.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 276 - - 59 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3474 - - 73 - - 73 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 5 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94669 96 228 96 231 98 233 94669 87507 69 228 83 223 75 237 87507 81933 78 243 81 243 74 250 81933 77315 85 249 83 254 79 262 77315 73415 75 260 69 261 74 266 73415 70012 57 265 51 266 60 268 70012 66929 45 263 46 264 49 266 66929 64069 43 266 50 275 44 273 64069 61397 49 272 58 284 55 286 61397 58807 62 275 68 285 71 286 58807 56105 72 276 76 280 75 282 56105 53281 76 276 77 278 72 278 53281 50562 79 276 79 278 69 280 50562 48097 81 274 80 277 68 287 48097 45876 78 271 77 276 70 285 45876 43858 73 273 75 280 72 282 43858 42012 75 281 77 283 75 288 42012 40311 83 284 82 285 86 292 40311 38735 87 284 85 284 93 289 38735 37267 89 285 86 284 95 289 37267 35899 96 289 92 286 102 293 35899 34593 111 290 98 286 112 290 34593 33278 119 288 100 285 113 285 33278 31915 119 287 101 285 101 282 31915 30508 118 289 103 285 91 289 30508 29040 118 289 106 285 95 293 29040 27500 117 289 109 283 95 291 27500 25888 112 288 107 283 88 285 25888 24202 104 286 102 285 80 282 24202 22446 93 283 95 285 72 283 22446 20628 86 287 86 286 74 282 20628 18737 85 292 79 287 76 279 18737 16762 83 294 74 287 72 281 16762 14743 79 292 71 287 64 284 14743 12799 74 289 69 288 60 284 12799 11034 71 288 65 290 57 283 11034 9469 67 290 61 290 52 285 9469 8085 59 293 54 290 47 286 8085 6864 48 292 43 288 42 284 6864 5792 34 293 33 280 36 277 5792 4854 20*300 23 275 28 266 4854 4034 19*304 14 285 23 254 4034 3313 19 306 12 297 19 258 3313 2670 19 307 11 302 15 276 2670 2103 18 307 11 306 13 297 2103 1630 18 308 11 308 11 317 1630 1268 17 308 11 310 9 339 1268 1020 16 308 10 311 7 352 1020 869 14 309 9 311 5 357 869 782 11 309 7*312 2*003 782 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography