DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/25 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0659z - - 0959z - - 1337z - - 1602z - - 1900z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.9 - - 61.2 - - 62.6 - - 65.4 - - 64.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 31 - - 120 - - 62 - - 85 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 76 - - 76 - - 76 - - 76 - - 76 BL Depth Hcrit 768 - - 769 - - 769 - - 769 - - 769 Hcrit BL Top 785 - - 785 - - 785 - - 785 - - 785 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2141 - - 2948 - - 3149 - - 3695 - - 3703 Hgt.Variab. W* 56 - - 86 - - 70 - - 78 - - 20 W* B/S 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 054 - - 105 - - 122 - - 134 - - 158 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - -2 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -853 - - -1435 - - -1413 - - -1775 - - -1304 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1638 - - 2220 - - 2198 - - 2560 - - 2089 sfcLCL ODpotential -1411 - - -1316 - - -1425 - - -1771 - - -1906 ODpotential blCL 2196 - - 2101 - - 2210 - - 2556 - - 2691 blCL maxRH 89 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 55.9 - - 61.2 - - 62.6 - - 65.4 - - 64.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 51.7 - - 54.4 - - 55.8 - - 57.1 - - 58.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.1 - - 59.9 - - 61.6 - - 64.4 - - 64.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 51.2 - - 53.7 - - 55.4 - - 56.4 - - 57.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 31 - - 120 - - 62 - - 85 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 76 - - 76 - - 76 - - 76 - - 76 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 56 - - 100 - - 101 - - 100 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98183 15 081 18 079 12 084 17 072 16 028 98183 90792 15 084 12 086 9 068 13 069 14 057 90792 85091 14 055 9 060 8 061 5 025 14 033 85091 80351 8 045 8 040 9 075 4 293 12 024 80351 76268 6 033 9 016 7 041 6 330 12 027 76268 72675 9 006 8 018 3 047 8 320 13 008 72675 69442 11 358 9 008 7 048 4 261 10 347 69442 66476 9 308 8 337 12 347 2 337 6 292 66476 63719 11 282 8 286 13 299 8 326 6 288 63719 61045 17 286 14 278 16 278 17 288 18 297 61045 58268 29 282 23 290 22 283 22 277 21 281 58268 55398 31 263 30 280 26 272 26 276 18 281 55398 52677 23 262 25 266 31 274 32 272 25 290 52677 50261 27 285 29 261 37 266 35 266 31 292 50261 48136 41 287 30 259 31 256 29 260 37 269 48136 46235 38 291 27 273 28 265 29 271 34 272 46235 44483 40 305 30 283 31 267 31 280 32 279 44483 42846 44 301 36 287 31 263 34 283 32 280 42846 41309 46 297 40 287 30 263 34 285 29 277 41309 39858 40 295 33 280 29 268 28 278 22 266 39858 38479 34 299 27 271 30 274 26 270 24 262 38479 37134 30 300 24 279 28 266 27 262 24 255 37134 35757 26 282 22 287 23 263 24 248 23 253 35757 34321 27 273 25 301 19 268 17 239 22 259 34321 32830 24 268 28 304 15 276 9 254 19 243 32830 31269 29 257 27 298 14 293 12 282 13 227 31269 29623 26 257 21 288 18 300 17 278 14 237 29623 27892 15 264 20 276 18 301 18 268 17 231 27892 26080 14 264 17 260 17 274 16 251 19 221 26080 24190 19 258 15 264 18 270 17 249 21 237 24190 22228 20 240 18 257 16 264 18 246 19 247 22228 20189 16 223 20 242 19 248 19 253 18 242 20189 18067 9 224 14 222 20 237 17 277 17 235 18067 15904 8 226 10 210 20 237 17 277 17 236 15904 13820 6 242 7 221 17 226 15 256 16 239 13820 11925 3 252 8 203 12 223 15 239 13 243 11925 10242 2 160 10 202 11 242 12 236 11 248 10242 8750 5 166 10 205 10 244 10 249 9 247 8750 7426 7 167 9 195 8 209 8 228 9 221 7426 6261 9 150 10 167 11 169 11 193 13 200 6261 5240 8 139 10 157 13 153 12 167 14 173 5240 4347 8 126 10 142 14 135 15 134 17 149 4347 3560 11 103 11 124 12 123 15 129 17 145 3560 2857 11 091 10 109 12 122 15 129 17 145 2857 2236 10 084 9 106 11 121 14 130 16 150 2236 1718 9 080 9 106 11 121 13 132 14 154 1718 1320 7 071 8 105 10 121 12 133 12 156 1320 1046 5 060 8 105 10 121 11 134 10 157 1046 880 3*055 7 106 8 122 10 134 7 157 880 785 3*054 6*105 6*122 7*134 4*158 785 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography