DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/12 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 40.4 - - 43.0 - - 34.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 143 - - 4 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2648 - - 74 - - 74 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2050 - - 767 - - 767 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3357 - - 783 - - 783 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1013 - - 4005 - - 630 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 297 - - 33 - - 25 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 1 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 8 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 241 - - 249 - - 231 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -956 - - -4320 - - -2386 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4313 - - 5103 - - 3169 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -8739 - - -11177 - - -11209 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 12096 - - 11960 - - 11992 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 69 - - 58 - - 46 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 40.4 - - 43.0 - - 34.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 24.5 - - 23.6 - - 24.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 39.0 - - 42.7 - - 38.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 23.3 - - 22.6 - - 23.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 143 - - 4 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2648 - - 74 - - 74 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94609 100 246 101 246 102 248 94609 87844 79 249 76 255 76 254 87844 82658 61 250 62 260 58 258 82658 78315 47 252 52 255 48 263 78315 74510 41 256 47 256 45 267 74510 71103 41 260 47 261 44 269 71103 67989 41 259 44 261 41 266 67989 65092 37 260 40 262 39 266 65092 62365 39 260 42 260 46 269 62365 59695 44 263 45 252 55 262 59695 56899 51 264 50 254 58 258 56899 53987 59 260 59 258 67 261 53987 51204 69 255 71 256 77 258 51204 48699 74 252 77 253 79 255 48699 46453 75 254 76 254 79 258 46453 44427 76 255 79 256 79 259 44427 42578 77 255 82 255 81 259 42578 40872 81 253 82 252 84 258 40872 39294 85 253 80 250 90 257 39294 37834 86 252 81 253 93 254 37834 36475 85 256 88 254 88 252 36475 35166 89 261 94 253 84 256 35166 33838 97 266 100 255 86 262 33838 32463 102 265 104 256 92 265 32463 31045 102 262 104 255 96 266 31045 29568 99 260 101 255 97 267 29568 28017 97 261 100 257 94 265 28017 26391 89 262 95 258 85 265 26391 24691 80 265 87 258 76 266 24691 22916 72 267 76 260 74 265 22916 21073 65 265 67 263 72 265 21073 19156 57 262 62 262 65 266 19156 17158 50 267 55 266 56 268 17158 15114 44 274 47 276 47 275 15114 13141 37 275 42 281 42 282 13141 11345 33 270 38 278 38 284 11345 9751 30 264 35 277 34 281 9751 8341 28 263 34 279 32 280 8341 7091 28 269 34 279 32 282 7091 5985 28 274 31 274 32 283 5985 5012 25 271 24 265 31 280 5012 4160 17 261 16 249 26 271 4160 3412 10*243 11 243 19 257 3412 2745 10*242 10 245 16 243 2745 2156 9 241 9 245 12 238 2156 1665 9 240 8 247 9 244 1665 1289 8 240 8 249 7 254 1289 1030 7 240 7 249 5 259 1030 873 7 239 6 249 3 251 873 783 6 241 5*249 2*231 783 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography