DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/31 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 6.2 - - 14.8 - - 17.8 - - 16.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 48 - - 126 - - 34 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 72 - - 1367 - - 73 - - 73 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 764 - - 979 - - 765 - - 765 Hcrit BL Top - - - 781 - - 2076 - - 782 - - 782 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1014 - - 1178 - - 3208 - - 3395 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 61 - - 227 - - 56 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 10 - - 6 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 348 - - 002 - - 001 - - 340 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1763 - - -275 - - -1476 - - -1183 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2544 - - 2351 - - 2258 - - 1965 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12882 - - -9298 - - -1543 - - -1573 ODpotential blCL - - - 13663 - - 11374 - - 2325 - - 2355 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 79 - - 95 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 6.2 - - 14.8 - - 17.8 - - 16.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - -1.8 - - 7.6 - - 10.9 - - 10.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 5.6 - - 13.7 - - 17.2 - - 16.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -2.3 - - 6.6 - - 10.1 - - 10.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 48 - - 126 - - 34 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 72 - - 1367 - - 73 - - 73 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 16 - - 80 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96150 76 216 71 217 68 226 64 226 96150 88769 67 228 78 215 72 221 67 220 88769 83104 61 239 70 221 67 226 68 222 83104 78401 58 242 58 228 69 230 67 234 78401 74351 55 228 55 232 65 230 67 234 74351 70755 45 232 58 236 61 230 54 237 70755 67477 53 257 60 245 61 244 59 248 67477 64473 63 252 63 247 66 244 63 247 64473 61695 65 243 65 242 68 239 64 243 61695 58994 63 247 64 242 66 237 64 241 58994 56158 70 251 65 244 66 239 64 240 56158 53203 74 249 68 244 67 239 64 240 53203 50377 76 245 71 241 69 236 65 237 50377 47833 76 242 73 238 70 233 67 232 47833 45552 80 239 74 236 69 230 66 227 45552 43484 80 237 75 236 63 228 62 224 43484 41591 77 236 76 235 58 229 57 222 41591 39850 74 235 80 232 60 232 54 221 39850 38239 73 234 80 230 64 232 52 222 38239 36740 74 231 81 227 66 229 52 219 36740 35341 73 227 80 222 68 224 54 215 35341 34001 72 226 78 217 68 220 59 208 34001 32658 73 224 76 214 67 215 63 204 32658 31286 78 224 73 213 64 213 63 203 31286 29887 84 226 72 215 63 212 61 203 29887 28443 89 226 74 217 64 213 61 203 28443 26941 90 225 77 217 64 212 61 201 26941 25374 88 224 76 217 63 212 60 199 25374 23735 81 223 72 217 60 212 56 198 23735 22024 70 225 65 218 57 213 48 199 22024 20249 61 226 56 219 50 214 37 198 20249 18403 51 227 47 221 38 215 32 192 18403 16478 42 228 38 219 30 215 27 200 16478 14511 36 232 30 221 26 219 17 219 14511 12610 28 240 25 235 22 225 14 232 12610 10877 21 243 20 245 17 244 9 264 10877 9336 17 250 16 247 13 263 10 310 9336 7971 13 266 10 267 9 280 11 339 7971 6766 10 288 9 300 8 309 14 348 6766 5706 11 318 11 331 12 339 17 358 5706 4780 10 352 14 356 16 001 20 003 4780 3976 10 010 15 005 17 355 22 354 3976 3271 13 020 16 010 17 352 23 350 3271 2641 18 018 15*006 15 353 23 348 2641 2084 21 007 13*003 14 356 22 346 2084 1619 18 360 10 002 12 359 21 344 1619 1262 12 351 10 002 11 000 18 342 1262 1017 9 348 9 002 10 001 15 342 1017 867 7*349 8 002 9*002 12*341 867 782 5*348 6 002 6*001 8*340 782 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography