DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/10 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 78.2 - - 76.2 - - 62.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 155 - - -23 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 7759 - - 77 - - 76 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5924 - - 769 - - 769 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 8468 - - 786 - - 785 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2941 - - 10082 - - 2783 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 443 - - 32 - - 27 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 13 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 254 - - 290 - - 342 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 15 - - 1 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 301 - - -6624 - - -814 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 8167 - - 7410 - - 1599 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -642 - - -7467 - - -1329 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9110 - - 8253 - - 2114 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 89 - - 87 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 130 - - 180 - - 200 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 78.2 - - 76.2 - - 62.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 44.9 - - 46.5 - - 58.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 76.9 - - 76.7 - - 62.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 43.8 - - 45.7 - - 58.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 155 - - -23 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 7759 - - 77 - - 76 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 56 - - 47 - - 59 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 7 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98075 14 122 10 165 10 276 98075 90644 3 139 4 232 4 304 90644 84926 6 196 5 267 3 198 84926 80190 10 210 10 236 6 256 80190 76107 8 209 13 226 10 263 76107 72489 7 199 8 239 15 258 72489 69198 9 206 11 230 20 239 69198 66162 10 251 10 229 23 245 66162 63348 16 234 17 225 21 242 63348 60629 23 247 25 247 30 252 60629 57805 34 249 33 250 34 247 57805 54887 43 253 39 257 35 252 54887 52112 47 254 45 251 41 260 52112 49617 52 258 51 252 54 252 49617 47389 58 254 52 257 57 251 47389 45372 63 253 68 254 59 258 45372 43517 73 256 80 248 73 262 43517 41814 90 248 86 242 87 245 41814 40245 101 239 90 241 86 237 40245 38784 96 234 88 240 84 253 38784 37424 79 242 85 250 97 258 37424 36120 86 267 96 257 99 254 36120 34789 98 272 96 254 95 249 34789 33399 92 263 98 250 98 250 33399 31954 91 253 95 251 90 254 31954 30446 89 247 87 252 76 254 30446 28861 83 243 81 250 73 260 28861 27197 80 245 69 257 67 261 27197 25452 76 250 64 263 59 256 25452 23627 70 252 64 258 57 250 23627 21724 64 253 62 256 61 254 21724 19746 59 252 52 264 58 258 19746 17694 46 250 42 264 43 253 17694 15606 37 247 38 254 33 247 15606 13592 34 246 34 245 32 249 13592 11759 29 249 27 238 30 248 11759 10130 24 253 24 239 28 244 10130 8680 20*254 20 240 26 241 8680 7389 17*254 16 241 23 243 7389 6241 15 254 14 243 20 253 6241 5224 14 253 13 247 17 271 5224 4331 13 254 12 254 16 300 4331 3546 13 254 11 261 18 330 3546 2847 12 254 11 268 19 339 2847 2229 11 255 11 275 18 340 2229 1713 11 255 11 282 17 341 1713 1317 10 255 11 285 15 343 1317 1045 10 256 10 288 13 343 1045 880 9 256 8*289 11 343 880 785 7 256 6*290 7*342 785 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography