DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/06 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.8 - - 69.1 - - 66.5 - - 56.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 72 - - 136 - - -4 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 76 - - 4262 - - 76 - - 76 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 769 - - 3201 - - 769 - - 768 Hcrit BL Top - - - 785 - - 4971 - - 785 - - 785 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3356 - - 1772 - - 6808 - - 2706 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 74 - - 346 - - 28 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 8 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 296 - - 284 - - 305 - - 327 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 8 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4099 - - -2839 - - -5740 - - -2661 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4884 - - 7811 - - 6525 - - 3447 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8890 - - -9563 - - -10212 - - -5239 ODpotential blCL - - - 9675 - - 14534 - - 10997 - - 6024 blCL maxRH - - - 54 - - 90 - - 65 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.8 - - 69.1 - - 66.5 - - 56.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.1 - - 37.4 - - 40.6 - - 44.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.8 - - 67.8 - - 66.5 - - 58.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.0 - - 36.4 - - 39.9 - - 44.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 72 - - 136 - - -4 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 76 - - 4262 - - 76 - - 76 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 61 - - 0 - - 20 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96258 79 249 91 251 84 254 86 249 96258 89103 47 257 55 249 58 262 49 256 89103 83651 30 247 29 251 39 259 35 266 83651 79133 17 256 21 261 25 254 30 266 79133 75221 13 290 15 265 17 251 24 259 75221 71762 7 289 11 266 8 240 16 250 71762 68622 6 285 15 269 6 251 13 265 68622 65718 13 268 19 266 15 264 17 264 65718 63011 12 247 18 257 20 260 13 258 63011 60367 9 231 18 236 24 257 26 271 60367 57597 22 267 22 245 34 236 41 253 57597 54740 34 254 30 245 34 237 44 242 54740 52024 45 246 41 250 43 253 45 243 52024 49568 56 247 53 248 60 251 54 246 49568 47356 66 241 64 242 65 245 60 246 47356 45341 67 233 68 235 70 243 67 247 45341 43493 66 235 70 233 75 239 75 245 43493 41787 69 240 73 235 76 235 79 243 41787 40199 74 243 75 237 75 235 80 242 40199 38713 76 242 78 239 76 234 80 241 38713 37314 77 239 80 238 76 232 81 237 37314 35966 77 234 82 237 79 231 80 234 35966 34600 75 231 82 234 84 230 77 233 34600 33189 70 230 79 230 87 228 73 233 33189 31735 67 226 75 225 87 225 70 231 31735 30223 68 222 74 222 84 221 67 223 30223 28640 68 219 75 222 81 217 63 219 28640 26987 66 216 72 217 78 214 62 218 26987 25259 66 214 73 215 77 210 61 219 25259 23453 67 216 74 215 77 210 53 222 23453 21572 67 220 73 213 76 212 46 224 21572 19609 64 219 73 212 75 215 43 226 19609 17558 62 214 71 211 71 219 41 227 17558 15462 59 212 69 214 63 223 39 231 15462 13441 52 212 66 226 53 228 36 236 13441 11607 44 214 53 235 42 239 33 240 11607 9984 38 218 34 235 34 249 29 244 9984 8550 31 225 26 235 25 248 20 231 8550 7285 26 227 21 245 12 233 13 185 7285 6162 20 231 14 257 9 240 8 213 6162 5167 16 255 10*268 9 260 10 257 5167 4292 17 284 9*273 10 279 14 285 4292 3518 17 296 9 279 11 290 18 296 3518 2826 16 297 8 283 12 295 21 304 2826 2214 12 296 8 286 12 299 22 309 2214 1704 10 295 7 290 13 301 21 311 1704 1312 9 295 7 292 12 302 18 313 1312 1042 9 296 7 294 11 304 13 317 1042 879 8 296 6 295 10 304 9*319 879 785 6*296 5 295 7*305 4*327 785 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography