DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/30 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.3 - - 90.4 - - 87.8 - - 83.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 130 - - 155 - - 50 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 78 - - 4822 - - 78 - - 78 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 771 - - 3733 - - 771 - - 771 Hcrit BL Top - - - 787 - - 5531 - - 787 - - 787 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4077 - - 2991 - - 7402 - - 4382 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 91 - - 385 - - 72 - - 27 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 10 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 164 - - 190 - - 206 - - 187 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 12 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3299 - - 39 - - -3695 - - -2053 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4086 - - 5492 - - 4482 - - 2840 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4912 - - -1036 - - -4848 - - -3758 ODpotential blCL - - - 5699 - - 6567 - - 5635 - - 4545 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 83 - - 93 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 1070 - - 1830 - - 2100 - - 2620 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.3 - - 90.4 - - 87.8 - - 83.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 68.8 - - 68.7 - - 70.5 - - 72.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.9 - - 88.9 - - 87.0 - - 84.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 67.9 - - 67.7 - - 69.4 - - 72.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 130 - - 155 - - 50 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 78 - - 4822 - - 78 - - 78 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 6 - - 34 - - 73 - - 9 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 14 - - 16 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99102 47 084 33 095 29 069 30 078 99102 91578 37 079 33 085 27 090 24 075 91578 85786 23 078 30 077 26 091 22 086 85786 80977 16 094 22 071 21 088 19 078 80977 76848 16 086 14 080 16 097 15 062 76848 73211 15 064 14 087 14 108 9 062 73211 69927 12 056 10 082 12 085 9 090 69927 66927 8 073 7 084 9 047 10 091 66927 64168 9 071 7 105 6 036 5 071 64168 61517 2 049 4 105 5 030 3 098 61517 58769 1 251 3 316 8 345 3 087 58769 55926 5 241 8 266 11 297 7 349 55926 53217 3 258 8 232 12 253 10 300 53217 50785 9 329 7 236 13 251 13 266 50785 48622 17 315 5 289 11 239 12 269 48622 46675 14 300 17 331 6 332 7 261 46675 44892 7 299 19 324 11 352 3 272 44892 43232 9 321 19 322 9 332 5 258 43232 41670 14 313 20 324 13 301 14 280 41670 40195 23 315 20 325 20 296 16 281 40195 38795 28 316 19 327 15 290 15 286 38795 37433 30 316 17 325 9 273 17 291 37433 36042 32 317 14 310 15 261 19 295 36042 34595 31 314 12 289 17 264 20 300 34595 33095 25 291 16 273 19 276 19 302 33095 31524 24 257 24 270 20 269 15 297 31524 29867 21 253 21 254 19 257 15 282 29867 28129 20 243 17 244 21 256 18 275 28129 26315 21 237 19 247 22 254 18 274 26315 24426 19 230 21 251 22 249 16 271 24426 22461 18 232 21 254 22 249 16 263 22461 20419 19 230 20 251 19 248 15 258 20419 18294 19 229 18 247 18 244 17 239 18294 16130 18 227 18 242 18 235 17 235 16130 14046 15 225 19 237 19 231 14 234 14046 12155 12 228 18 226 20 229 16 238 12155 10475 10 228 16 213 19 222 18 232 10475 8982 8 217 14 204 17 217 21 235 8982 7654 8 204 12 203 15 214 21 234 7654 6473 8 199 10*201 14 207 21 231 6473 5427 8 202 9*197 13 202 21 225 5427 4503 7 205 8 195 12 196 21 221 4503 3685 7 200 7 191 12 194 21 218 3685 2952 6 187 7 189 12 194 20 213 2952 2304 4 173 6 186 11 196 19 208 2304 1762 4 168 6 185 10 199 18 203 1762 1347 3 165 5 183 10 201 15 198 1347 1060 3 163 5 183 9 203 12 193 1060 887 2 164 5 183 8 204 10 191 887 787 2*164 4 184 6*206 6*187 787 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography