DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/24 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 15.9 - - 18.4 - - 16.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 302 - - 98 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2477 - - 73 - - 73 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2212 - - 765 - - 765 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3186 - - 782 - - 782 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 718 - - 3271 - - 2963 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 365 - - 78 - - 7 W* B/S - - - - - - 14 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 022 - - 032 - - 077 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -4222 - - -7713 - - -7279 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7409 - - 8496 - - 8062 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -23873 - - -26299 - - -26781 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 27059 - - 27081 - - 27563 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 81 - - 55 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 15.9 - - 18.4 - - 16.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - -13.5 - - -15.7 - - -15.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 14.0 - - 17.3 - - 16.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - -13.5 - - -15.7 - - -15.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 302 - - 98 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2477 - - 73 - - 73 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 22 - - 0 - - 70 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95364 113 240 116 244 113 249 95364 88310 86 242 95 245 94 253 88310 82916 63 244 72 247 79 250 82916 78431 49 248 58 249 66 250 78431 74554 41 252 50 251 60 250 74554 71129 45 261 47 251 57 249 71129 68028 50 257 49 251 54 253 68028 65165 55 261 55 257 58 255 65165 62498 63 258 59 254 62 254 62498 59900 65 252 60 257 64 256 59900 57169 66 253 71 258 73 259 57169 54318 78 259 80 258 85 262 54318 51587 89 261 91 262 95 258 51587 49112 97 261 104 260 99 257 49112 46876 107 260 111 259 105 257 46876 44837 113 259 115 259 112 256 44837 42956 117 258 118 254 112 254 42956 41215 120 255 113 250 108 260 41215 39617 117 256 107 252 113 265 39617 38162 124 258 125 261 131 263 38162 36824 131 257 136 261 128 263 36824 35535 126 255 130 261 130 267 35535 34215 119 254 131 263 126 266 34215 32837 116 255 126 262 122 263 32837 31404 115 255 119 261 124 260 31404 29900 114 257 115 260 124 258 29900 28310 112 257 110 258 122 260 28310 26637 114 257 109 255 113 263 26637 24880 113 259 109 256 103 264 24880 23042 104 263 104 258 99 264 23042 21126 91 262 93 256 90 258 21126 19125 87 257 84 255 87 257 19125 17039 86 260 80 255 82 255 17039 14921 78 266 74 256 70 252 14921 12898 60 264 58 258 56 249 12898 11074 47 259 45 257 46 247 11074 9469 40 261 39 256 39 250 9469 8061 34 267 34 262 31 257 8061 6826 24 268 26 268 22 269 6826 5744 13 268 15 262 14 267 5744 4801 5 295 6 246 6 228 4801 3985 4 022 3 042 6 115 3985 3275 5*024 6 036 8 089 3275 2642 5*023 6 036 8 083 2642 2084 5 024 6 035 8 081 2084 1618 5 022 6 033 7 080 1618 1261 5 021 6 033 7 078 1261 1016 4 021 6 033 6 078 1016 867 4 020 6*032 5*077 867 782 4 019 5*032 3*077 782 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography