DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/01 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.6 - - 61.7 - - 65.5 - - 61.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 259 - - 297 - - 167 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2883 - - 4651 - - 5952 - - 76 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2480 - - 3870 - - 4569 - - 769 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3592 - - 5360 - - 6661 - - 785 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1712 - - 1831 - - 4108 - - 8545 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 372 - - 455 - - 410 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 14 - - 17 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 168 - - 184 - - 202 - - 197 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 7 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -4 - - -4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1759 - - -1530 - - -1370 - - -6017 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5351 - - 6890 - - 8031 - - 6803 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4956 - - -3587 - - -2138 - - -7299 ODpotential blCL - - - 8548 - - 8947 - - 8799 - - 8084 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 92 - - 87 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.6 - - 61.7 - - 65.5 - - 61.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.9 - - 34.0 - - 32.7 - - 34.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.6 - - 59.7 - - 64.2 - - 63.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.7 - - 32.9 - - 31.7 - - 34.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 259 - - 297 - - 167 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2883 - - 4651 - - 5952 - - 76 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 13 - - 68 - - 49 - - 41 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97554 3 249 19 240 21 267 20 282 97554 90196 16 240 20 247 17 258 18 253 90196 84543 14 224 13 226 17 232 15 237 84543 79834 10 209 9 188 12 220 13 246 79834 75772 7 174 10 194 8 223 11 232 75772 72189 6 220 10 169 7 215 9 216 72189 68950 11 206 6 193 5 243 7 212 68950 65946 11 220 11 209 12 234 12 223 65946 63143 17 236 15 217 16 240 17 249 63143 60430 17 222 14 222 20 243 19 240 60430 57562 18 256 22 257 19 245 17 242 57562 54554 37 266 36 251 34 251 39 263 54554 51714 48 259 45 248 51 255 58 262 51714 49190 52 253 50 253 58 256 69 252 49190 46934 53 251 54 257 65 252 68 243 46934 44884 61 259 62 257 69 251 64 244 44884 43002 77 259 72 258 76 255 66 251 43002 41266 83 256 84 259 81 257 73 257 41266 39658 85 259 97 258 86 260 82 261 39658 38162 97 264 101 257 108 263 102 261 38162 36773 107 264 101 260 138 262 137 260 36773 35449 112 262 105 262 152 259 158 258 35449 34104 114 264 112 263 154 258 161 256 34104 32702 119 265 118 264 142 260 165 257 32702 31249 122 264 121 265 122 262 142 260 31249 29735 120 261 121 263 111 262 121 263 29735 28147 112 259 117 263 112 264 117 264 28147 26487 91 256 98 260 100 267 112 266 26487 24762 69 253 81 258 83 263 92 266 24762 22984 56 247 71 256 72 259 76 260 22984 21148 51 247 60 252 69 258 73 255 21148 19237 45 257 53 250 65 257 69 256 19237 17242 40 260 46 256 56 256 62 259 17242 15213 34 259 37 258 47 255 51 255 15213 13269 32 258 29 254 42 252 38 247 13269 11503 33 256 28 251 36 246 29 252 11503 9929 28 253 27 251 29 239 23 253 9929 8527 22 257 26 245 25 231 20 251 8527 7277 15 260 23 230 21*219 18 243 7277 6163 9 261 16*200 19*208 17 231 6163 5173 5 269 15*192 19 206 17 221 5173 4300 3*214 15 189 18 203 16 214 4300 3526 5*175 15 186 18 201 16 209 3526 2833 5 171 14 184 17 200 16 204 2833 2219 5 168 14 181 17 199 15 200 2219 1707 5 167 14 180 16 198 13 197 1707 1314 5 165 13 179 15 197 11 194 1314 1043 5 164 12 178 15 197 9 192 1043 879 4 165 11 178 13 196 6 193 879 785 4 165 9 177 10 196 3*197 785 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography