DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/25 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 15.1 - - 19.4 - - 21.8 - - 21.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 33 - - 21 - - 10 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 73 - - 73 - - 73 - - 73 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 765 - - 765 - - 766 - - 766 Hcrit BL Top - - - 782 - - 782 - - 782 - - 782 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1364 - - 1523 - - 1394 - - 795 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 54 - - 47 - - 37 - - 27 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 046 - - 045 - - 036 - - 358 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -636 - - -431 - - -352 - - -200 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1418 - - 1214 - - 1134 - - 982 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -784 - - -529 - - -506 - - -19476 ODpotential blCL - - - 1566 - - 1311 - - 1288 - - 20258 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 101 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 40 - - 10 - - 30 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 15.1 - - 19.4 - - 21.8 - - 21.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 12.2 - - 17.2 - - 19.9 - - 20.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 14.5 - - 18.8 - - 21.4 - - 21.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 11.7 - - 17.0 - - 19.6 - - 20.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 33 - - 21 - - 10 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 73 - - 73 - - 73 - - 73 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 102 - - 102 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95732 137 232 111 239 108 243 117 239 95732 88516 106 237 101 238 107 246 108 246 88516 83079 77 243 80 239 93 247 89 250 83079 78618 63 251 67 247 72 244 71 250 78618 74760 51 257 62 253 57 248 60 250 74760 71337 39 262 54 247 52 250 54 249 71337 68238 36 263 48 247 51 248 53 250 68238 65380 42 264 48 256 52 252 51 252 65380 62722 55 259 58 261 61 256 55 254 62722 60147 63 259 66 254 67 253 63 253 60147 57456 71 252 65 251 72 248 71 255 57456 54645 76 251 71 255 73 249 84 254 54645 51941 78 251 81 252 81 255 92 251 51941 49489 84 258 86 251 86 256 92 251 49489 47270 94 260 95 254 92 258 98 251 47270 45242 100 261 103 256 107 258 103 250 45242 43379 111 263 106 259 133 255 121 251 43379 41666 123 262 117 259 153 251 151 247 41666 40091 133 263 136 258 150 247 157 243 40091 38631 133 263 155 257 148 247 149 241 38631 37260 119 258 155 255 146 245 145 239 37260 35933 109 249 138 253 134 241 140 235 35933 34586 102 247 119 249 126 239 134 230 34586 33186 90 249 96 242 119 238 124 226 33186 31735 88 250 82 241 116 236 114 224 31735 30212 90 248 73 248 115 237 110 224 30212 28609 93 245 66 248 104 240 99 224 28609 26926 93 244 70 246 84 239 91 227 26926 25165 85 245 73 244 77 231 91 231 25165 23327 74 243 75 243 74 228 95 231 23327 21415 69 238 78 243 72 228 92 230 21415 19426 66 235 77 241 73 229 91 227 19426 17359 62 231 78 239 75 230 94 225 17359 15257 62 228 81 238 79 231 94 225 15257 13238 68 225 71 231 81 231 92 227 13238 11403 76 221 71 225 84 230 89 228 11403 9774 81 212 80 218 87 229 87 228 9774 8332 76 205 82 208 88 227 82 228 8332 7054 64 191 72 202 82 224 75 231 7054 5927 48 163 50 194 65 219 65 236 5927 4938 37 137 37 155 39 206 50 234 4938 4079 32 123 33 125 24 169 35 222 4079 3334 31 107 26 102 21 132 22 206 3334 2677 26 094 21 080 17 100 12 166 2677 2102 18 081 16 064 13 075 9 131 2102 1628 11 065 12 052 9 056 4 090 1628 1266 8 055 10 046 7 045 3 005 1266 1019 7 051 9 045 6 041 3 350 1019 868 7*049 8*045 5 039 2 352 868 782 5*046 6*045 4*036 2*358 782 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography