DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/19 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.0 - - 82.0 - - 82.9 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 113 - - 214 - - 110 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3045 - - 3934 - - 78 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2275 - - 3215 - - 770 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - 3754 - - 4643 - - 787 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1977 - - 2917 - - 7184 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 301 - - 396 - - 87 - - - W* B/S - - - 7 - - 7 - - 2 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 10 - - 8 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - 329 - - 331 - - 338 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 632 - - -190 - - -4800 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3122 - - 4834 - - 5587 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -269 - - -1095 - - -5326 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - 4023 - - 5738 - - 6113 - - - blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 84 - - 84 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - 570 - - 120 - - 50 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.0 - - 82.0 - - 82.9 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 67.6 - - 63.3 - - 61.0 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.8 - - 80.4 - - 81.9 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 66.5 - - 62.3 - - 59.9 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 113 - - 214 - - 110 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3045 - - 3934 - - 78 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 70 - - 37 - - 38 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 12 - - 12 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99301 36 082 32 082 32 082 99301 91796 34 081 31 086 28 079 91796 86013 24 073 25 080 22 075 86013 81224 18 071 24 069 19 073 81224 77105 18 075 17 076 18 076 77105 73457 17 057 13 067 11 082 73457 70138 11 065 9 097 8 085 70138 67085 8 044 10 074 6 067 67085 64263 2 066 10 017 9 020 64263 61554 10 347 13 318 8 308 61554 58739 15 308 16 312 17 328 58739 55815 26 287 30 295 32 300 55815 53049 34 288 32 290 36 299 53049 50574 42 293 37 292 39 297 50574 48359 46 278 40 283 42 290 48359 46357 47 268 44 277 44 280 46357 44531 51 270 51 272 48 274 44531 42849 59 269 55 269 52 271 42849 41285 59 265 56 269 53 268 41285 39816 54 262 54 268 51 269 39816 38430 49 268 51 266 51 267 38430 37086 48 274 48 266 51 262 37086 35715 48 280 48 268 53 262 35715 34286 47 284 49 267 55 268 34286 32801 45 282 50 264 55 270 32801 31245 43 280 48 268 55 271 31245 29608 40 278 44 269 54 269 29608 27892 37 277 43 267 54 265 27892 26095 36 274 44 267 52 267 26095 24216 40 268 44 271 49 274 24216 22258 40 271 41 277 46 280 22258 20220 33 278 34 276 37 279 20220 18104 31 275 29 271 31 274 18104 15953 32 269 29 268 28 272 15953 13884 31 269 28 269 26 272 13884 12003 31 274 25 274 24 269 12003 10336 31 278 23 274 23 252 10336 8863 26 281 19 262 20 245 8863 7555 22 283 19 259 19 251 7555 6390 18 290 16 265 14 276 6390 5359 13 299 12*283 12 297 5359 4448 10*310 10*306 12 323 4448 3643 9*319 10 326 12 328 3643 2921 8 326 10 332 12 331 2921 2282 7 330 10 334 12 334 2282 1748 7 333 10 337 12 336 1748 1338 7 335 10 339 12 337 1338 1056 6 336 9 340 11 338 1056 885 6 337 9 340 10*338 885 787 5 336 7 340 8*338 787 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography