DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/05 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 27.7 - - 29.2 - - 29.7 - - 25.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 28 - - 38 - - 0 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 73 - - 74 - - 74 - - 74 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 766 - - 766 - - 766 - - 766 Hcrit BL Top - - - 782 - - 783 - - 783 - - 783 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2107 - - 1875 - - 1468 - - 830 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 53 - - 58 - - 16 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 121 - - 125 - - 106 - - 104 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -508 - - -547 - - -320 - - -131 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1291 - - 1330 - - 1104 - - 914 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -568 - - -590 - - -562 - - -9565 ODpotential blCL - - - 1350 - - 1373 - - 1345 - - 10348 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 100 - - 97 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 27.7 - - 29.2 - - 29.7 - - 25.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.2 - - 26.4 - - 28.0 - - 24.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 27.2 - - 28.5 - - 29.6 - - 26.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.6 - - 25.7 - - 27.5 - - 26.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 28 - - 38 - - 0 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 73 - - 74 - - 74 - - 74 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 94 - - 99 - - 88 - - 96 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96249 8 328 5 298 8 346 6 007 96249 89073 5 001 5 346 7 282 11 305 89073 83528 7 015 3 308 9 230 13 281 83528 78920 13 261 15 280 11 306 10 305 78920 74933 11 237 23 261 21 295 17 287 74933 71400 22 292 21 260 26 288 19 267 71400 68198 31 272 29 257 31 280 28 269 68198 65260 27 265 29 260 30 270 36 267 65260 62550 32 272 32 273 29 262 36 266 62550 59919 45 278 39 274 32 267 39 269 59919 57149 57 273 47 273 41 270 46 269 57149 54254 61 265 55 270 55 273 56 269 54254 51474 60 258 64 262 69 266 69 264 51474 48965 65 257 73 255 79 261 79 259 48965 46722 77 259 81 254 87 258 84 257 46722 44693 92 258 89 254 97 256 89 257 44693 42837 112 255 106 253 108 255 98 258 42837 41127 127 247 126 250 119 252 111 257 41127 39543 133 249 138 247 127 250 122 254 39543 38064 150 251 148 247 140 250 127 252 38064 36673 158 250 158 245 152 250 130 251 36673 35334 155 248 162 244 152 249 132 249 35334 33979 157 249 163 248 149 249 133 249 33979 32584 159 251 170 249 146 248 131 248 32584 31150 153 255 162 249 143 248 131 247 31150 29654 134 252 138 244 140 248 133 247 29654 28082 126 245 132 239 135 247 134 247 28082 26431 127 245 131 244 130 247 124 249 26431 24705 122 250 118 247 125 247 104 253 24705 22907 114 251 107 249 117 249 84 258 22907 21036 100 250 97 254 96 252 78 262 21036 19085 87 248 80 255 76 253 72 264 19085 17060 74 247 65 250 63 248 64 262 17060 15006 64 244 49 248 47 246 52 259 15006 13038 54 249 34 256 33 256 40 258 13038 11254 38 259 32 249 26 261 29 259 11254 9672 22 244 24 245 22 258 21 258 9672 8269 19 239 21 239 21 254 17 255 8269 7024 20 235 21 238 20 255 15 255 7024 5923 23 218 23 234 20 260 15 258 5923 4956 21 200 24 218 20 257 13 261 4956 4109 19 181 20 201 19 237 10 253 4109 3365 20 148 19 179 16 218 11 230 3365 2704 17 136 14 163 10 214 11 219 2704 2123 13 128 9 143 6 183 7 184 2123 1642 10 124 8 131 5 124 9 140 1642 1274 8 122 7 129 5 115 8 123 1274 1023 7 121 7 127 5 111 6 114 1023 870 6 121 6*126 4*109 5*107 870 783 5*121 5*125 3*106 3*104 783 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography