DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/06 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 71.2 - - 68.7 - - 61.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 47 - - 10 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 77 - - 77 - - 76 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 769 - - 769 - - 769 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 786 - - 786 - - 785 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 4863 - - 3402 - - 2246 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 69 - - 43 - - 31 W* B/S - - - - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 4 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 235 - - 285 - - 317 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2076 - - -797 - - -1213 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2862 - - 1583 - - 1998 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2763 - - -1422 - - -4604 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3549 - - 2208 - - 5389 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 98 - - 100 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 430 - - 820 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 71.2 - - 68.7 - - 61.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 60.9 - - 64.0 - - 54.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 70.8 - - 68.4 - - 61.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 60.0 - - 63.3 - - 54.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 47 - - 10 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 77 - - 77 - - 76 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 92 - - 100 - - 72 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - 13 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97911 11 246 12 293 13 327 97911 90575 8 247 15 286 14 319 90575 84924 10 276 16 269 18 296 84924 80218 13 282 10 252 13 301 80218 76119 18 251 13 258 15 269 76119 72476 19 230 13 261 18 242 72476 69173 6 263 6 270 18 241 69173 66140 23 276 25 264 20 263 66140 63332 35 262 29 269 30 284 63332 60613 42 257 41 272 42 276 60613 57792 44 256 50 261 55 264 57792 54880 42 261 52 259 56 258 54880 52101 49 275 61 269 65 272 52101 49608 72 274 75 270 89 264 49608 47398 84 260 94 263 90 253 47398 45411 91 259 102 259 85 254 45411 43596 101 264 109 262 103 264 43596 41927 112 267 117 265 122 266 41927 40375 120 266 121 264 135 266 40375 38920 122 265 118 262 138 265 38920 37547 118 263 114 260 136 265 37547 36219 108 261 109 258 131 264 36219 34869 100 260 102 256 123 262 34869 33470 95 256 94 254 116 260 33470 32022 92 252 89 251 104 255 32022 30509 95 253 86 248 98 251 30509 28915 96 253 84 246 95 248 28915 27241 98 254 82 244 95 245 27241 25485 98 256 82 243 95 246 25485 23650 95 259 82 244 95 255 23650 21746 83 262 81 247 77 257 21746 19770 66 264 76 253 63 254 19770 17717 62 264 68 261 55 257 17717 15624 56 260 58 265 52 256 15624 13603 50 256 44 258 49 253 13603 11762 43 255 40 252 47 247 11762 10122 39 254 42 251 45 241 10122 8665 38 251 41 249 45 241 8665 7371 38 250 34 246 44 243 7371 6225 35 250 26 243 39 241 6225 5211 30 247 21 243 29 237 5211 4319 26 242 17 247 20 240 4319 3534 23 237 15 252 17 259 3534 2836 21 236 13 257 17 288 2836 2221 20 235 13 259 18 307 2221 1708 18 235 10 266 18 311 1708 1315 16 235 8 274 17 313 1315 1044 14 235 6 280 15 315 1044 880 12*235 5*282 12 316 880 785 9*235 4*285 7*317 785 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography