DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/02 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 71.2 - - 72.7 - - 68.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 284 - - 151 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 7056 - - 8013 - - 77 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5741 - - 6100 - - 769 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 7765 - - 8722 - - 786 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2868 - - 2829 - - 9072 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 520 - - 444 - - 17 W* B/S - - - - - - 9 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 10 - - 12 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 019 - - 360 - - 002 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - -3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 298 - - 324 - - -5822 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7467 - - 8399 - - 6608 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -679 - - -845 - - -6999 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8444 - - 9567 - - 7785 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 69 - - 66 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 90 - - 50 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 71.2 - - 72.7 - - 68.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 41.2 - - 38.7 - - 42.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 69.1 - - 71.4 - - 69.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 40.0 - - 37.4 - - 41.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 284 - - 151 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 7056 - - 8013 - - 77 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98572 28 096 17 065 17 060 98572 91108 21 084 14 076 13 067 91108 85373 19 074 16 099 14 051 85373 80616 17 076 18 093 17 079 80616 76505 13 087 15 071 18 072 76505 72868 10 090 15 069 13 075 72868 69573 8 055 18 050 14 058 69573 66539 10 076 11 053 8 019 66539 63724 15 021 16 031 9 034 63724 60994 11 001 16 001 15 359 60994 58150 8 001 12 348 13 344 58150 55197 15 337 17 341 16 347 55197 52376 26 312 23 325 21 338 52376 49845 26 298 25 307 23 332 49845 47582 22 294 22 299 23 334 47582 45533 19 305 20 310 19 341 45533 43659 21 324 19 324 21 356 43659 41930 24 329 18 339 25 005 41930 40326 24 331 19 004 31 017 40326 38833 23 332 25 011 39 022 38833 37441 20 328 26 011 47 042 37441 36108 16 329 28 027 63 046 36108 34763 14 350 44 047 71 054 34763 33375 19 013 61 052 86 059 33375 31935 26 023 69 053 86 055 31935 30425 28 026 71 053 83 054 30425 28832 25 023 67 052 75 052 28832 27160 21 008 61 050 72 050 27160 25407 20 353 52 045 63 052 25407 23575 19 360 45 040 53 045 23575 21670 20 018 31 031 52 039 21670 19689 20 023 23 019 43 043 19689 17634 18 020 21 016 34 038 17634 15546 18 008 21 018 28 027 15546 13539 16 008 20 015 21 018 13539 11718 13 008 16 354 19 005 11718 10106 13 009 14*349 19 359 10106 8673 13*009 14*351 17 002 8673 7396 13*011 13 354 15 006 7396 6259 11 016 13 358 14 008 6259 5250 11 018 13 359 13 009 5250 4360 11 019 12 001 13 010 4360 3572 10 021 12 003 12 011 3572 2866 10 021 12 003 12 011 2866 2243 10 022 11 005 12 011 2243 1722 9 022 11 004 11 011 1722 1323 9 023 11 005 10 011 1323 1048 8 023 10 005 8 009 1048 881 8 022 9 005 6*006 881 786 6 022 7 005 3*002 786 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography