DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/02 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 33.6 - - 36.2 - - 37.6 - - 38.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 157 - - 237 - - 42 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 74 - - 2234 - - 74 - - 74 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 767 - - 1957 - - 767 - - 767 Hcrit BL Top - - - 783 - - 2943 - - 783 - - 783 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2618 - - 964 - - 3212 - - 2790 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 92 - - 327 - - 59 - - 35 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 10 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 103 - - 111 - - 099 - - 141 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 3 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4345 - - -443 - - -2009 - - -1622 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5129 - - 3387 - - 2793 - - 2405 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15445 - - -10449 - - -2293 - - -1811 ODpotential blCL - - - 16228 - - 13392 - - 3076 - - 2594 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 97 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 33.6 - - 36.2 - - 37.6 - - 38.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 14.5 - - 24.6 - - 28.6 - - 30.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 32.2 - - 34.4 - - 36.8 - - 37.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 13.7 - - 24.0 - - 28.3 - - 30.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 157 - - 237 - - 42 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 74 - - 2234 - - 74 - - 74 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 57 - - 89 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96393 10 142 17 154 18 211 14 236 96393 89241 11 190 14 180 18 201 12 202 89241 83664 16 198 22 211 19 224 12 211 83664 79002 16 205 26 214 28 226 25 231 79002 74975 18 223 22 220 22 218 27 219 74975 71405 25 246 22 256 21 254 20 238 71405 68174 29 259 29 259 29 253 28 252 68174 65210 27 243 31 251 30 258 29 267 65210 62469 24 265 31 270 37 272 41 271 62469 59813 40 276 42 269 38 264 42 266 59813 57038 44 268 38 267 43 274 54 282 57038 54164 45 278 55 280 62 275 61 274 54164 51420 63 278 68 271 65 267 60 275 51420 48942 70 270 64 267 58 266 67 278 48942 46718 64 271 61 280 60 282 72 284 46718 44704 65 281 70 288 73 290 79 290 44704 42873 73 283 80 287 84 289 82 290 42873 41200 76 276 83 282 86 287 86 288 41200 39664 71 270 79 275 85 287 89 286 39664 38241 68 270 73 272 85 285 88 284 38241 36905 67 269 70 272 83 282 81 284 36905 35615 68 269 70 270 81 280 79 286 35615 34301 72 268 69 264 83 280 79 284 34301 32930 76 263 66 265 84 280 80 283 32930 31506 76 254 60 265 80 279 77 283 31506 30016 74 250 59 261 69 278 69 282 30016 28449 70 250 61 263 60 279 64 278 28449 26803 69 255 62 268 53 271 60 275 26803 25078 63 258 54 264 52 266 55 275 25078 23274 58 265 40 258 48 269 50 274 23274 21392 56 268 40 265 44 268 47 270 21392 19429 58 267 42 258 42 265 42 269 19429 17380 58 264 43 258 35 262 31 270 17380 15287 55 260 42 261 29 260 22 261 15287 13268 51 252 42 261 25 256 23 262 13268 11434 47 245 42 257 26 261 27 262 11434 9811 41 242 38 250 30 264 25 260 9811 8374 32 247 30 241 32 258 21 257 8374 7103 26 267 23 232 30 248 23 244 7103 5981 19 277 19 234 26 227 26 223 5981 4998 11 209 19 211 19 203 22 206 4998 4143 12 167 15 175 14 176 13 187 4143 3396 13 139 9*136 12 162 11 151 3396 2733 10 114 8*133 11 150 12 144 2733 2147 8 108 7 119 9 134 12 143 2147 1660 8 106 6 107 7 114 12 143 1660 1286 7 105 6 100 7 107 11 143 1286 1029 7 104 5 095 6 103 10 142 1029 873 6*104 5 091 6 101 9 142 873 783 5*103 4 088 5*099 6*141 783 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography