DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/13 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 42.3 - - 53.6 - - 55.6 - - 46.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 24 - - 121 - - -17 - - -54 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 75 - - 1859 - - 75 - - 75 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 767 - - 1392 - - 768 - - 768 Hcrit BL Top - - - 784 - - 2568 - - 784 - - 784 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 880 - - 1510 - - 3913 - - 337 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 52 - - 250 - - 23 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 12 - - 9 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 171 - - 184 - - 190 - - 175 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 3 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4373 - - -5204 - - -7314 - - -4695 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5157 - - 7772 - - 8099 - - 5480 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12539 - - -13185 - - -13720 - - -13224 ODpotential blCL - - - 13323 - - 15753 - - 14504 - - 14008 blCL maxRH - - - 42 - - 71 - - 40 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 42.3 - - 53.6 - - 55.6 - - 46.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.9 - - 22.3 - - 22.8 - - 25.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 41.9 - - 52.4 - - 55.9 - - 48.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.7 - - 21.2 - - 22.1 - - 24.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 24 - - 121 - - -17 - - -54 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 75 - - 1859 - - 75 - - 75 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94851 67 259 69 276 57 283 62 288 94851 88038 56 271 61 284 53 295 56 295 88038 82723 45 282 48 292 49 297 53 296 82723 78321 40 280 37 287 45 289 50 292 78321 74508 35 274 30 279 41 280 43 280 74508 71088 37 276 30 276 37 280 36 275 71088 67940 45 275 39 280 37 284 35 276 67940 65011 45 269 46 276 41 282 42 278 65011 62279 42 255 47 266 45 273 49 271 62279 59628 37 250 45 255 49 261 53 262 59628 56852 38 260 46 248 54 253 52 256 56852 53952 49 269 47 248 60 251 50 255 53952 51167 63 266 53 257 64 248 52 258 51167 48650 70 264 62 266 62 247 59 260 48650 46390 75 264 70 264 63 255 65 252 46390 44353 77 259 72 257 60 254 66 248 44353 42504 68 256 65 255 54 256 68 250 42504 40816 58 259 58 260 64 260 69 249 40816 39269 57 263 68 255 73 259 70 253 39269 37851 58 262 72 252 73 262 83 265 37851 36540 51 267 55 267 87 265 87 263 36540 35274 50 268 59 275 85 263 88 261 35274 33981 49 266 48 267 78 265 91 260 33981 32631 46 267 43 261 73 263 91 258 32631 31227 47 273 43 262 69 262 90 256 31227 29756 50 277 48 264 68 260 87 254 29756 28206 45 276 56 265 68 255 86 251 28206 26577 38 273 60 265 68 253 86 250 26577 24869 36 268 61 263 64 251 82 252 24869 23086 37 263 61 260 58 253 73 253 23086 21231 36 259 58 259 54 258 66 253 21231 19296 37 255 54 259 50 265 60 252 19296 17276 40 250 47 255 40 265 55 250 17276 15216 41 247 45 250 39 254 54 249 15216 13235 40 244 43 249 46 249 52 249 13235 11441 36 239 41 244 49 252 52 251 11441 9853 30 234 36 240 47 254 51 254 9853 8445 27 232 33 239 44 254 50 258 8445 7194 25 232 32 242 42 253 50 261 7194 6083 23 235 30 242 37 248 49 257 6083 5101 22 239 27 238 31 235 46 247 5101 4237 21 243 24 228 29 221 43 234 4237 3473 19 243 19 212 27 211 33 226 3473 2790 16 237 16*199 25 207 32 218 2790 2186 14 219 14*188 24 203 35 210 2186 1683 14 194 13 185 22 199 31 203 1683 1299 13 182 12 183 19 196 25 195 1299 1035 11 177 11 181 16 193 18 185 1035 875 8*174 10 180 13 192 14*181 875 784 6*171 8 179 9*190 7*175 784 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography