DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/29 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 95.5 - - 98.8 - - 97.1 - - 89.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 494 - - 529 - - 239 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7151 - - 8720 - - 7754 - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7462 - - 8770 - - 7570 - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9251 - - 10820 - - 9854 - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2086 - - 2103 - - 2628 - - 6915 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 623 - - 681 - - 503 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 25 - - 22 - - 19 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 226 - - 229 - - 228 - - 246 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 7 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -12 - - -12 - - -11 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6257 - - -4735 - - -4347 - - -9190 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15509 - - 15555 - - 14202 - - 11336 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9832 - - -7758 - - -7458 - - -13169 ODpotential blCL - - - 19083 - - 18578 - - 17312 - - 15315 blCL maxRH - - - 42 - - 40 - - 42 - - 42 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 95.5 - - 98.8 - - 97.1 - - 89.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.0 - - 37.0 - - 41.6 - - 46.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 92.7 - - 95.8 - - 95.5 - - 90.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.9 - - 37.0 - - 41.6 - - 46.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 494 - - 529 - - 239 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7151 - - 8720 - - 7754 - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98777 36 109 25 125 15 108 24 085 98777 91280 30 092 30 110 24 109 23 109 91280 85537 26 087 32 096 31 104 27 105 85537 80804 21 101 27 088 27 092 23 088 80804 76715 16 121 21 088 22 084 18 085 76715 73098 14 122 17 083 22 096 21 098 73098 69848 12 114 15 087 20 099 18 103 69848 66872 6 157 6 082 10 079 9 107 66872 64111 15 157 7 170 1 097 4 104 64111 61445 10 232 9 236 10 281 11 317 61445 58686 18 230 18 227 16 249 15 299 58686 55853 17 237 23 237 25 242 21 260 55853 53171 29 259 31 253 32 243 30 233 53171 50757 36 259 36 254 36 242 36 232 50757 48585 43 258 42 253 41 245 37 236 48585 46608 49 250 47 250 47 243 43 239 46608 44788 51 248 48 245 50 242 48 242 44788 43095 50 252 49 249 52 249 48 247 43095 41508 47 251 50 254 52 257 47 251 41508 40017 40 250 50 256 52 260 46 254 40017 38611 37 252 42 248 49 259 44 253 38611 37254 35 249 34 244 42 253 42 249 37254 35878 33 244 31 247 34 244 39 244 35878 34457 31 245 31 246 28 244 35 242 34457 32994 29 252 28 244 26 240 29 242 32994 31474 28 261 26 249 24 238 27 242 31474 29883 28 262 27 253 25 245 26 238 29883 28222 29 264 27 259 25 252 25 240 28222 26493 28 271 25 262 23 250 24 242 26493 24695 26 267 24 255 24 242 24 244 24695 22833 26 252 26 248 25 245 25 249 22833 20904 26 241 27 244 27 249 26 249 20904 18901 25 240 25 240 24 246 22 245 18901 16864 23 237 22 232 20 235 19 232 16864 14904 20 233 19 225 18 223 17 216 14904 13119 22 236 21 224 18 215 18 209 13119 11527 27 237 22*222 20 212 22 205 11527 10108 29*232 22*223 19*215 23 201 10108 8838 27*227 23 224 19*217 22 200 8838 7704 26 225 23 226 19 220 21 204 7704 6693 26 225 23 228 20 225 21 212 6693 5797 25 225 23 230 20 228 20 220 5797 5001 25 226 23 231 20 231 21 228 5001 4284 25 227 23 233 20 233 21 233 4284 3647 24 227 23 234 20 234 21 238 3647 3113 24 228 22 235 20 235 20 241 3113 2701 23 229 22 235 19 236 19 244 2701 2418 22 229 21 236 19 236 17 245 2418 2245 20 229 20 236 18 237 14*246 2245 2146 17 229 17 236 15 237 9*246 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography