DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/22 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.9 - - 84.1 - - 76.2 - - 66.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 73 - - 93 - - -12 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 590 - - 3357 - - 45 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2128 - - 3661 - - 2128 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2690 - - 5457 - - 2145 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 764 - - 2552 - - 3547 - - 188 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 144 - - 279 - - 0 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 10 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 157 - - 187 - - 341 - - 217 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -2 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -10997 - - -11010 - - -12605 - - -9778 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13688 - - 16468 - - 14750 - - 11922 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -17729 - - -16125 - - -19301 - - -18607 ODpotential blCL - - - 20419 - - 21582 - - 21446 - - 20751 blCL maxRH - - - 14 - - 75 - - 16 - - 15 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.9 - - 84.1 - - 76.2 - - 66.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.0 - - 18.8 - - 19.4 - - 22.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.1 - - 83.1 - - 79.8 - - 71.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.6 - - 18.4 - - 18.9 - - 22.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 73 - - 93 - - -12 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 590 - - 3357 - - 45 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96228 36 288 28 285 36 291 21 301 96228 89090 30 279 28 290 25 294 19 302 89090 83570 25 280 27 287 21 284 22 278 83570 79010 22 271 30 277 25 283 24 286 79010 75101 22 281 26 276 25 290 23 289 75101 71648 23 281 19 281 21 292 18 315 71648 68538 18 263 16 277 18 254 18 284 68538 65718 15 243 15 259 17 248 13 242 65718 63125 19 233 17 232 17 246 13 230 63125 60610 26 236 21 238 20 240 19 232 60610 57983 34 237 29 243 27 237 29 233 57983 55248 38 236 38 242 36 237 36 235 55248 52618 38 235 41 237 42 236 41 228 52618 50230 38 234 43 232 46 233 47 225 50230 48068 42 235 48 228 51 231 51 217 48068 46090 48 237 50 229 53 230 53 214 46090 44262 47 238 49 229 53 228 55 216 44262 42562 43 240 47 228 53 228 54 220 42562 40980 44 251 45 235 51 232 48 234 40980 39515 52 262 49 249 51 247 52 249 39515 38150 55 269 51 258 49 254 55 257 38150 36829 49 269 49 263 45 258 50 259 36829 35484 42 264 45 265 42 262 41 254 35484 34088 35 256 36 253 41 261 40 255 34088 32644 35 251 35 244 37 248 42 256 32644 31144 32 248 34 243 35 237 38 241 31144 29576 32 243 33 243 32 239 34 232 29576 27939 31 242 31 243 31 242 32 232 27939 26232 30 241 30 244 30 245 31 233 26232 24461 30 236 30 242 30 244 29 234 24461 22626 28 228 29 237 27 241 27 234 22626 20718 28 221 28 228 26 233 25 229 20718 18730 27 219 27 224 25 227 24 222 18730 16703 23 220 23 223 22 225 22 218 16703 14750 18 219 19 220 18 223 18 213 14750 12971 14 215 16 217 16 220 16 211 12971 11387 13 209 15 215 15 219 16 210 11387 9975 12 203 15 211 16 212 17 205 9975 8717 11 197 14 206 16 195 18 194 8717 7595 9 193 13 201 13 190 16 183 7595 6599 9 190 10 198 9 192 12 185 6599 5717 9 185 8*194 5 193 7 186 5717 4935 9 177 7*191 2 196 4 166 4935 4231 11 173 6 188 1 351 2 132 4231 3607 13 167 5 187 3 355 1 044 3607 3084 14*160 5 185 5 352 3 018 3084 2683 13*159 4 183 6 348 5 018 2683 2407 9 157 4 182 7 345 4 018 2407 2240 8 157 4 183 7*343 1 008 2240 2144 7 156 3 182 5*341 2*217 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography