DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/02 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.2 - - 95.2 - - 96.9 - - 89.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 101 - - 355 - - 100 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2877 - - 6626 - - 7666 - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3539 - - 6897 - - 6856 - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4977 - - 8726 - - 9766 - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2783 - - 6284 - - 5529 - - 8119 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 294 - - 546 - - 378 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 19 - - 10 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 206 - - 239 - - 264 - - 271 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -3 - - 2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 94 - - -443 - - -1182 - - -6796 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4883 - - 9170 - - 10949 - - 8942 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1497 - - -1271 - - -2153 - - -9048 ODpotential blCL - - - 6474 - - 9997 - - 11919 - - 11194 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 79 - - 80 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 2100 - - 1190 - - 340 - - 210 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.2 - - 95.2 - - 96.9 - - 89.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 70.6 - - 62.1 - - 56.1 - - 57.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.1 - - 92.7 - - 95.8 - - 91.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 69.4 - - 61.8 - - 55.8 - - 56.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 101 - - 355 - - 100 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2877 - - 6626 - - 7666 - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 65 - - 16 - - 20 - - 54 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 16 - - 12 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98773 23 125 22 112 18 111 15 075 98773 91373 27 103 21 109 19 096 20 086 91373 85650 32 103 22 108 20 094 23 088 85650 80902 27 087 23 099 20 100 22 078 80902 76824 19 095 20 086 16 097 19 080 76824 73238 16 094 17 098 16 101 15 086 73238 70005 13 092 11 092 14 072 14 080 70005 67033 9 146 7 114 12 076 8 074 67033 64273 11 165 9 176 5 127 5 169 64273 61616 10 194 9 202 8 181 8 224 61616 58885 10 239 16 245 11 236 12 243 58885 56087 25 250 28 241 25 257 21 275 56087 53442 35 235 37 232 37 245 32 251 53442 51075 34 241 38 230 40 234 40 239 51075 48941 37 252 38 232 40 234 44 242 48941 46982 40 255 39 236 43 246 47 254 46982 45172 43 256 44 250 48 254 49 257 45172 43481 43 256 43 254 47 255 45 258 43481 41890 41 259 42 258 45 259 46 264 41890 40389 41 263 42 260 46 262 49 268 40389 38971 41 260 42 257 48 265 53 269 38971 37600 39 255 41 254 47 263 51 267 37600 36208 36 251 37 249 44 259 45 260 36208 34768 34 245 34 243 40 255 40 254 34768 33284 32 241 33 240 37 251 36 253 33284 31745 29 241 31 241 34 247 33 253 31745 30135 26 243 28 245 30 246 30 251 30135 28453 23 244 25 243 27 243 26 249 28453 26703 21 239 23 238 25 239 24 242 26703 24885 20 233 22 229 24 234 22 239 24885 23001 22 227 22 230 22 236 20 240 23001 21051 24 216 20 230 20 241 21 234 21051 19032 22 210 18 232 16 240 21 227 19032 16979 21 220 12 228 10 228 18 219 16979 15005 14 221 11 219 11 211 16 199 15005 13213 10 225 11 228 11 213 8 189 13213 11616 7 216 9 229 9 226 4 230 11616 10188 6 204 7 227 8*243 5 271 10188 8908 4 198 6*230 7*249 7 281 8908 7764 2 182 6*231 7 253 8 282 7764 6743 2 180 6 233 7 259 10 282 6743 5836 3 201 5 235 7 264 12 282 5836 5031 4*204 5 238 7 268 13 281 5031 4306 4*206 5 241 7 271 14 281 4306 3662 4 206 5 243 7 273 15 280 3662 3123 4 205 5 246 7 276 16 280 3123 2707 4 206 4 247 6 276 15 279 2707 2420 4 205 4 248 6 277 12 278 2420 2245 3 205 4 248 6 277 9*276 2245 2146 3 202 4 250 5 278 5*271 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography