DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/29 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 99.7 - - 105.0 - - - - - 89.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 422 - - 433 - - - - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6711 - - 9943 - - - - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7039 - - 9669 - - - - - 2130 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8811 - - 12043 - - - - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2809 - - 2087 - - - - - 1586 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 579 - - 666 - - - - - 31 W* B/S - - - 73 - - 24 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 5 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 242 - - 221 - - - - - 152 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 7 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2134 - - -352 - - - - - -1605 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10945 - - 12396 - - - - - 3751 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3716 - - -1562 - - - - - -5610 ODpotential blCL - - - 12527 - - 13605 - - - - - 7756 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 92 - - - - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 570 - - 970 - - - - - 4580 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 99.7 - - 105.0 - - - - - 89.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.8 - - 57.5 - - - - - 78.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 96.9 - - 102.1 - - - - - 90.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.7 - - 57.5 - - - - - 77.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 422 - - 433 - - - - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6711 - - 9943 - - - - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 66 - - - - - 87 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 10 - - - - - 23 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99043 44 112 27 099 53 089 99043 91612 50 107 39 115 40 095 91612 85878 50 104 42 115 30 112 85878 81083 42 105 43 103 32 115 81083 76939 33 111 37 103 34 106 76939 73294 25 099 30 105 30 105 73294 70035 21 080 26 103 25 112 70035 67076 18 100 21 092 22 116 67076 64353 27 127 10 079 18 096 64353 61729 30 130 11 167 15 076 61729 59011 23 116 22 152 6 093 59011 56239 13 111 19 147 10 135 56239 53620 11 145 18 154 11 153 53620 51249 16 167 21 156 13 169 51249 49103 21 175 19 159 16 175 49103 47135 25 169 20 160 19 179 47135 45317 22 172 22 159 20 185 45317 43622 22 172 20 163 20 189 43622 42034 17 171 16 174 18 186 42034 40537 16 176 14 179 16 179 40537 39123 14 175 13 182 16 175 39123 37755 14 191 12 194 17 173 37755 36367 16 199 13 205 18 168 36367 34928 17 199 12 203 17 158 34928 33442 16 191 11 204 15 149 33442 31896 12 186 7 177 10 150 31896 30277 9 222 9 188 9 151 30277 28587 6 200 16 188 11 153 28587 26829 9 180 14 174 11 159 26829 25004 17 181 16 176 11 163 25004 23116 22 171 19 173 11 174 23116 21160 23 164 18 171 11 187 21160 19132 24 164 15 190 11 191 19132 17075 22 170 14 207 11 178 17075 15100 14 178 15 202 12 165 15100 13300 12 186 13*197 7 173 13300 11691 11 184 8*205 4 214 11691 10252 8 179 8 208 5 249 10252 8962 4*190 7 214 5 264 8962 7808 3*209 6 218 6 271 7808 6778 2 219 5 224 7 274 6778 5864 2 229 4 230 8 274 5864 5052 2 242 4 235 8 272 5052 4321 1 253 3 241 7 266 4321 3672 1 274 3 247 6 256 3672 3130 1 294 3 254 5 247 3130 2711 1 303 3 259 4 224 2711 2422 1 318 2 259 5 185 2422 2247 1 315 2 262 5 162 2247 2146 1 320 2 262 3*152 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography