DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/06 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 96.7 - - 100.7 - - - - - 90.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 435 - - 484 - - - - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6902 - - 10949 - - - - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7205 - - 10555 - - - - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9002 - - 13049 - - - - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2657 - - 1694 - - - - - 5090 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 590 - - 714 - - - - - 8 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 10 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 12 - - - - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 267 - - 270 - - - - - 269 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -4 - - - - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8405 - - -3664 - - - - - -10807 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17407 - - 16714 - - - - - 12954 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11811 - - -5423 - - - - - -14118 ODpotential blCL - - - 20813 - - 18472 - - - - - 16264 blCL maxRH - - - 43 - - 54 - - - - - 51 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 96.7 - - 100.7 - - - - - 90.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.5 - - 33.3 - - - - - 40.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 93.9 - - 97.7 - - - - - 91.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.3 - - 33.3 - - - - - 40.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 435 - - 484 - - - - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6902 - - 10949 - - - - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98522 22 106 19 124 12 064 98522 91023 19 121 14 084 18 077 91023 85274 17 119 18 084 19 066 85274 80532 14 103 17 098 12 066 80532 76449 9 092 15 096 13 091 76449 72834 12 101 10 102 12 091 72834 69557 12 098 10 117 11 093 69557 66565 11 123 11 140 9 097 66565 63832 7 136 8 182 5 073 63832 61219 7 168 18 170 5 204 61219 58501 8 247 6 202 8 190 58501 55675 11 244 10 244 11 304 55675 52992 13 286 14 302 21 309 52992 50573 21 319 22 336 27 318 50573 48382 23 317 24 329 35 303 48382 46388 25 320 27 317 36 297 46388 44561 29 324 33 324 35 299 44561 42877 36 329 46 331 34 306 42877 41310 42 333 48 329 40 312 41310 39838 42 333 46 327 48 312 39838 38449 41 331 46 327 50 310 38449 37110 41 331 44 329 47 309 37110 35752 40 331 39 330 43 306 35752 34344 35 328 37 330 38 302 34344 32889 29 332 33 325 36 304 32889 31372 20 338 26 330 33 307 31372 29782 16 337 17 329 31 308 29782 28124 18 338 16 325 27 312 28124 26400 15 336 14 339 18 306 26400 24613 12 337 9 336 13 298 24613 22762 7 345 7 341 6 281 22762 20846 4 278 5 273 4 232 20846 18861 9 171 10 220 9 243 18861 16843 11 164 9 190 14 248 16843 14894 7 211 7 229 10 250 14894 13116 11 267 10*257 6 220 13116 11529 14 266 11*261 4 192 11529 10111 11*254 11 263 3 208 10111 8843 9*257 12 265 3 246 8843 7708 8 260 12 268 6 272 7708 6696 8 262 13 270 9 274 6696 5798 8 265 13 272 13 273 5798 5002 7 268 13 273 18 270 5002 4285 7 271 13 274 21 269 4285 3648 7 275 13 275 23 269 3648 3113 7 278 13 276 23 269 3113 2701 6 279 13 276 21 269 2701 2417 6 281 13 277 18 269 2417 2245 6 281 12 277 15*269 2245 2146 6 283 11 277 10*269 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography