DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/01 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.4 - - 87.9 - - 90.9 - - 84.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 51 - - 129 - - 38 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2285 - - 2972 - - 46 - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2821 - - 3709 - - 2129 - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4385 - - 5072 - - 2146 - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2258 - - 2707 - - 7669 - - 2594 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 240 - - 316 - - 53 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 35 - - 49 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 005 - - 263 - - 309 - - 282 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -16 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -335 - - -1384 - - -6300 - - -4175 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4720 - - 6456 - - 8446 - - 6321 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3340 - - -4633 - - -8492 - - -7818 ODpotential blCL - - - 7725 - - 9705 - - 10638 - - 9964 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 66 - - 64 - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 1270 - - 1380 - - 680 - - 740 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.4 - - 87.9 - - 90.9 - - 84.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 68.6 - - 66.6 - - 61.2 - - 63.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.9 - - 86.9 - - 91.1 - - 87.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 67.2 - - 65.5 - - 60.3 - - 62.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 51 - - 129 - - 38 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2285 - - 2972 - - 46 - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 13 - - 12 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98918 21 113 19 102 16 098 16 074 98918 91440 25 094 21 105 20 091 23 092 91440 85685 22 097 22 104 21 087 27 086 85685 80922 24 097 23 095 21 096 24 074 80922 76833 24 101 21 101 20 098 20 066 76833 73241 15 094 15 108 17 087 19 085 73241 70000 10 115 10 090 13 087 14 086 70000 67027 13 135 3 143 7 068 9 097 67027 64275 11 160 8 152 2 175 8 142 64275 61624 12 182 15 180 14 203 16 206 61624 58885 11 221 11 195 15 212 20 207 58885 56089 16 238 19 249 18 261 15 262 56089 53466 19 233 24 250 22 263 23 272 53466 51109 25 251 31 250 27 258 27 264 51109 48979 27 251 31 250 28 255 31 258 48979 47020 26 263 31 257 29 251 33 254 47020 45201 29 276 30 262 30 249 34 253 45201 43500 30 279 31 267 31 252 35 256 43500 41905 31 278 32 272 31 260 32 262 41905 40403 31 277 34 276 32 268 31 264 40403 38985 30 276 35 275 31 268 32 264 38985 37617 30 276 33 271 29 268 32 266 37617 36229 28 277 30 270 28 270 30 270 36229 34792 26 277 27 268 27 267 28 270 34792 33309 23 277 26 263 26 261 27 263 33309 31766 21 278 24 262 26 258 27 260 31766 30151 17 276 21 257 24 257 25 256 30151 28467 15 271 19 254 22 256 23 254 28467 26711 16 270 19 267 20 263 21 257 26711 24883 20 281 18 275 18 267 17 260 24883 22989 13 280 13 271 13 260 12 255 22989 21027 11 234 11 226 10 227 11 211 21027 18999 15 223 16 232 11 243 9 217 18999 16951 10 206 12 223 10 245 5 227 16951 14987 7 204 6 206 4 193 7 158 14987 13198 5 267 2 260 2 133 8 138 13198 11599 3 316 1 030 3 108 6 139 11599 10171 1 329 2 068 3 117 5 159 10171 8892 1 117 2 123 2 142 4 188 8892 7749 2 108 3 147 1 193 5 213 7749 6730 1 128 2 163 2 255 5 231 6730 5826 2 119 2*185 3 273 5 247 5826 5023 2*085 2*208 3 281 5 260 5023 4300 1*042 2 229 3 288 5 271 4300 3658 1 012 1 261 3 293 5 280 3658 3120 1 003 1 281 3 299 5 286 3120 2705 1 357 1 306 3 304 5 288 2705 2419 1 351 1 313 3 305 4 289 2419 2245 1 350 1 324 3*308 4*288 2245 2146 1 351 1 325 3*309 3*282 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography