DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/15 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.7 - - 92.9 - - 89.0 - - 83.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 228 - - 210 - - 12 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3646 - - 7159 - - 46 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4403 - - 7036 - - 2129 - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5746 - - 9259 - - 2146 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3077 - - 2478 - - 8882 - - 2075 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 390 - - 472 - - 40 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 10 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 9 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 161 - - 198 - - 169 - - 148 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 16 - - -3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -364 - - 425 - - -5079 - - -4237 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6110 - - 8834 - - 7225 - - 6382 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1657 - - -349 - - -6149 - - -6698 ODpotential blCL - - - 7403 - - 9608 - - 8295 - - 8843 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 93 - - 92 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 1670 - - 970 - - 1410 - - 740 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.7 - - 92.9 - - 89.0 - - 83.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 66.9 - - 61.3 - - 64.5 - - 62.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.0 - - 91.2 - - 89.2 - - 84.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 66.5 - - 60.9 - - 63.6 - - 62.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 228 - - 210 - - 12 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3646 - - 7159 - - 46 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 52 - - 73 - - 66 - - 54 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 12 - - 14 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98697 20 107 25 119 18 110 24 096 98697 91312 24 102 27 115 23 118 21 093 91312 85621 24 105 27 108 27 120 21 114 85621 80892 23 115 24 096 24 110 30 109 80892 76805 23 122 24 117 20 093 26 101 76805 73194 23 129 18 130 19 102 20 102 73194 69934 15 116 16 146 13 104 16 104 69934 66947 13 146 13 140 12 121 15 113 66947 64175 13 145 13 162 8 149 7 111 64175 61493 14 152 9 173 9 184 2 253 61493 58735 7 162 8 192 10 212 8 256 58735 55938 5 299 1 225 9 232 11 251 55938 53309 7 289 7 304 8 282 6 269 53309 50949 8 279 10 284 11 287 8 283 50949 48814 10 273 10 263 10 271 8 275 48814 46852 15 266 16 244 13 256 10 261 46852 45040 26 245 27 237 26 244 21 253 45040 43356 32 234 32 230 29 233 24 241 43356 41776 36 224 35 223 32 227 30 237 41776 40287 37 217 36 220 33 226 35 230 40287 38880 35 213 36 222 32 225 35 223 38880 37517 32 207 32 217 31 226 32 218 37517 36134 28 208 28 213 29 223 30 215 36134 34703 24 215 24 219 24 219 28 208 34703 33227 22 217 22 221 22 214 24 213 33227 31686 20 208 21 212 22 205 20 221 31686 30073 13 199 17 203 22 200 21 211 30073 28390 10 202 11 205 19 199 22 197 28390 26639 8 195 11 199 16 202 18 192 26639 24824 8 179 12 192 14 195 16 189 24824 22947 7 194 11 192 12 191 16 184 22947 21002 7 229 8 194 8 202 11 186 21002 18982 7 243 6 205 5 216 6 201 18982 16928 7 236 7 211 5 184 8 184 16928 14950 8 215 8 202 10 166 13 169 14950 13151 9 197 9 192 10 161 14 154 13151 11549 11 195 11 199 7 180 11 148 11549 10123 13 193 11*202 8 205 6 149 10123 8851 14 190 11*203 9 209 7 164 8851 7714 14 186 11 203 10 208 10 178 7714 6700 13 182 10 202 10 206 11 189 6700 5802 12*178 9 199 10 202 12 201 5802 5004 12*175 9 197 10 198 12 208 5004 4285 11 168 8 195 9 192 12 211 4285 3647 10 160 8 193 9 185 11 202 3647 3112 9 156 7 191 8 179 10 181 3112 2700 9 152 7 190 8 176 10 165 2700 2417 8 149 6 189 7 172 9 156 2417 2244 8 147 6 189 7*171 8 152 2244 2145 7 147 6 188 6*169 5*148 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography