DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/28 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 101.6 - - 107.6 - - - - - 97.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 318 - - 363 - - - - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5910 - - 11392 - - - - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6275 - - 10744 - - - - - 2130 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8010 - - 13492 - - - - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2976 - - 3934 - - - - - 5835 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 505 - - 656 - - - - - 3 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 65 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 2 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 149 - - 149 - - - - - 317 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 10 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - -14 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4666 - - -1391 - - - - - -10265 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12677 - - 14884 - - - - - 12412 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6102 - - -2156 - - - - - -12748 ODpotential blCL - - - 14112 - - 15648 - - - - - 14894 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 91 - - - - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 310 - - 300 - - - - - 340 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 101.6 - - 107.6 - - - - - 97.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.3 - - 49.0 - - - - - 51.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 99.3 - - 105.0 - - - - - 99.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.2 - - 49.0 - - - - - 51.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 318 - - 363 - - - - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5910 - - 11392 - - - - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 57 - - 65 - - - - - 52 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98894 33 100 32 101 30 104 98894 91457 41 112 34 118 29 098 91457 85719 39 108 34 113 29 093 85719 80956 32 096 32 099 32 095 80956 76875 18 088 24 101 25 093 76875 73280 17 107 21 111 18 085 73280 70021 18 111 21 107 15 101 70021 67038 20 115 19 107 14 118 67038 64290 16 089 13 116 14 113 64290 61637 12 093 12 141 5 092 61637 58911 10 071 13 157 6 212 58911 56127 8 321 3 104 11 197 56127 53490 19 280 14 295 12 285 53490 51133 14 281 14 279 22 288 51133 49013 17 306 14 284 21 290 49013 47064 17 310 16 290 20 290 47064 45252 17 312 16 298 19 290 45252 43556 17 312 17 306 18 285 43556 41963 18 313 17 307 17 281 41963 40463 20 304 13 303 14 275 40463 39054 17 289 7 284 13 260 39054 37698 15 276 6 221 17 250 37698 36321 14 252 8 198 13 220 36321 34893 14 231 12 195 17 196 34893 33416 15 213 14 194 16 193 33416 31878 15 201 13 199 10 205 31878 30266 15 197 13 206 8 205 30266 28586 16 202 14 202 8 184 28586 26837 16 199 13 175 8 190 26837 25021 17 180 11 152 8 184 25021 23144 15 159 3 141 5 165 23144 21200 12 159 5 175 10 145 21200 19183 8 175 10 163 20 131 19183 17134 6 178 16 143 22 130 17134 15156 8 149 14*140 18 132 15156 13347 8 141 8*137 12 131 13347 11729 9 116 6 137 5 133 11729 10282 11 103 5 139 1 240 10282 8988 11*106 4 142 5 283 8988 7830 8*120 2 152 7 291 7830 6797 7 130 1 187 9 299 6797 5881 6 139 1 265 11 304 5881 5066 6 158 1 285 12 309 5066 4333 6 162 2 298 13 312 4333 3681 5 165 2 302 13 315 3681 3135 5 168 3 304 14 317 3135 2714 5 171 3 306 13 319 2714 2424 5 171 3 305 11 320 2424 2247 4 171 3 306 8 319 2247 2146 4 171 3 307 4*317 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography