DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/25 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.5 - - 53.2 - - 59.5 - - 58.9 - - 49.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 107 - - 211 - - 9 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 42 - - 1517 - - 4082 - - 3593 - - 43 BL Depth Hcrit 2126 - - 2441 - - 4682 - - 2127 - - 2127 Hcrit BL Top 2142 - - 3617 - - 6182 - - 5693 - - 2143 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 326 - - 2620 - - 1982 - - 2513 - - 290 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 229 - - 391 - - 134 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 69 - - 17 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 1 - - 4 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 243 - - 103 - - 289 - - 325 - - 083 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -2 - - 1 - - 5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -676 - - -576 - - -1471 - - -4686 - - -4033 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2818 - - 4193 - - 7653 - - 10380 - - 6176 sfcLCL ODpotential -4575 - - -2411 - - -3772 - - -10832 - - -9584 ODpotential blCL 6717 - - 6028 - - 9954 - - 16525 - - 11727 blCL maxRH 77 - - 74 - - 64 - - 69 - - 64 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.5 - - 53.2 - - 59.5 - - 58.9 - - 49.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.9 - - 42.3 - - 33.5 - - 20.9 - - 30.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.1 - - 52.2 - - 57.9 - - 58.8 - - 53.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.0 - - 41.2 - - 32.8 - - 20.3 - - 29.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 107 - - 211 - - 9 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 42 - - 1517 - - 4082 - - 3593 - - 43 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 9 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95987 88 257 79 265 93 265 100 263 91 264 95987 88943 73 262 70 262 83 263 82 267 80 270 88943 83511 55 281 48 262 67 261 64 269 64 277 83511 78981 46 288 39 267 43 261 50 272 51 279 78981 75059 38 281 35 274 32 273 37 276 42 275 75059 71574 26 281 27 274 32 281 29 272 35 272 71574 68400 27 290 27 265 29 275 29 272 33 279 68400 65474 35 268 25 256 33 276 38 278 40 286 65474 62766 26 263 25 264 43 263 44 269 46 281 62766 60144 27 286 42 255 40 253 42 266 47 279 60144 57395 42 267 37 255 36 259 46 273 53 279 57395 54523 30 254 27 258 50 270 54 269 61 272 54523 51764 16 267 55 274 55 270 56 269 64 268 51764 49271 56 277 62 270 54 275 58 273 65 270 49271 47046 77 265 64 277 59 275 62 279 64 276 47046 45039 76 267 71 280 62 277 66 287 67 288 45039 43208 77 285 73 289 72 288 74 291 83 287 43208 41535 86 300 79 298 84 295 87 287 97 281 41535 40001 87 304 85 302 92 296 98 287 103 282 40001 38574 82 309 89 305 97 298 108 289 108 285 38574 37231 84 315 94 305 101 299 112 291 109 287 37231 35932 90 317 96 306 99 299 102 294 104 289 35932 34611 97 317 98 306 96 299 90 294 92 292 34611 33244 101 315 97 306 93 301 86 293 84 295 33244 31832 102 315 95 308 91 301 80 296 79 296 31832 30362 102 318 91 308 87 301 77 299 75 296 30362 28823 102 324 89 311 82 302 75 301 70 299 28823 27219 97 327 86 316 79 304 71 303 66 299 27219 25547 85 325 83 320 76 311 70 308 62 300 25547 23806 68 321 80 324 73 316 66 313 58 302 23806 21999 52 323 70 328 70 320 61 315 53 303 21999 20122 45 330 56 324 63 327 54 319 49 309 20122 18170 43 331 45 318 52 327 46 321 45 316 18170 16186 40 335 38 320 42 321 41 321 39 322 16186 14286 37 345 35 326 35 322 36 324 32 329 14286 12563 31 354 31 333 30 330 30 331 27 336 12563 11031 24 358 25 341 24 335 23 340 23 342 11031 9669 21 351 23 352 20 335 17 341 19 346 9669 8457 19 333 19 358 15 339 14 341 16 346 8457 7379 18 322 12 353 10 338 10 328 13 335 7379 6421 15 321 8 345 5*310 7*319 11 318 6421 5575 9 332 5 009 5*297 7*320 9 320 5575 4824 6 008 4 073 4 294 7 322 7 332 4824 4150 6 042 4*085 4 289 7 323 5 346 4150 3550 6 048 1*087 4 287 6 325 4 009 3550 3049 4 350 1 109 4 285 6 328 4 029 3049 2663 7 302 0 112 4 283 6 329 5 041 2663 2397 8 273 0 106 3 283 6 330 5 050 2397 2235 5 255 0 125 3 282 6 329 4*067 2235 2143 3*243 0 118 3 283 5 331 3*083 2143 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography