DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/22 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 104.6 - - 109.9 - - - - - 98.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 357 - - 408 - - - - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6418 - - 15244 - - - - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6729 - - 13988 - - - - - 2130 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8518 - - 17344 - - - - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 7137 - - 2600 - - - - - 353 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 539 - - 752 - - - - - 3 W* B/S - - - 65 - - 39 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 4 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 155 - - 134 - - - - - 347 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 10 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -13 - - - - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5028 - - 1549 - - - - - -12131 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13547 - - 15796 - - - - - 14278 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6225 - - 834 - - - - - -14656 ODpotential blCL - - - 14743 - - 16510 - - - - - 16802 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 79 - - - - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - 710 - - 550 - - - - - 90 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 104.6 - - 109.9 - - - - - 98.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.3 - - 47.1 - - - - - 43.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 102.0 - - 107.0 - - - - - 101.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.2 - - 47.0 - - - - - 43.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 357 - - 408 - - - - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6418 - - 15244 - - - - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 17 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 6 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99015 32 107 32 131 22 073 99015 91559 32 108 27 105 25 079 91559 85811 36 100 24 099 24 093 85811 81034 33 091 29 104 29 108 81034 76921 23 091 33 093 33 109 76921 73298 19 100 27 078 27 100 73298 70031 21 116 15 078 24 091 70031 67046 22 121 13 126 20 081 67046 64303 19 108 17 133 14 076 64303 61663 15 090 18 136 7 102 61663 58933 12 107 18 130 8 137 58933 56125 10 138 13 146 10 145 56125 53455 8 152 10 163 8 178 53455 51057 10 212 6 197 5 207 51057 48908 13 237 4 235 6 232 48908 46947 10 246 5 242 8 236 46947 45137 8 259 5 227 10 246 45137 43447 8 224 7 211 9 232 43447 41860 14 182 12 209 8 237 41860 40369 19 148 20 178 13 209 40369 38967 19 150 23 174 17 186 38967 37613 20 159 22 169 19 176 37613 36242 20 154 21 170 18 179 36242 34823 21 148 21 173 20 181 34823 33359 20 153 17 173 23 173 33359 31834 17 168 13 171 23 173 31834 30236 16 176 12 171 19 177 30236 28568 14 178 14 164 15 176 28568 26829 14 181 14 167 11 165 26829 25023 14 181 12 171 10 159 25023 23151 13 181 12 172 13 151 23151 21215 13 153 7 146 18 142 21215 19209 12 130 8*119 19 132 19209 17166 9 110 9*124 17 130 17166 15189 6 100 8 137 15 130 15189 13378 7 118 7 140 12 129 13378 11757 8 126 6 141 8 125 11757 10306 9 127 4 138 5 114 10306 9007 7*122 3 137 3 071 9007 7845 5*120 2 132 4 026 7845 6809 4 124 1 128 7 009 6809 5889 3 129 1 096 9 000 5889 5073 1 190 0 032 11 356 5073 4337 1 216 1 353 13 354 4337 3684 1 232 1 347 14 353 3684 3137 2 243 1 345 15 352 3137 2715 2 248 2 346 14 351 2715 2424 2 253 2 342 13 351 2424 2247 2 251 2 343 10 351 2247 2146 1 254 2 345 5*347 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography