DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/21 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 95.1 - - 100.8 - - - - - 84.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 248 - - 351 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2213 - - 8448 - - - - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3362 - - 8343 - - - - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4313 - - 10548 - - - - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3191 - - 3520 - - - - - 201 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 335 - - 588 - - - - - 5 W* B/S - - - 74 - - 12 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 9 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 277 - - 294 - - - - - 335 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 5 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 5 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -14715 - - -10487 - - - - - -15042 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 19029 - - 21036 - - - - - 17187 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -19214 - - -14540 - - - - - -21817 ODpotential blCL - - - 23527 - - 25088 - - - - - 23962 blCL maxRH - - - 49 - - 54 - - - - - 24 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 95.1 - - 100.8 - - - - - 84.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 17.8 - - 13.4 - - - - - 16.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 93.1 - - 98.2 - - - - - 89.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.6 - - 13.0 - - - - - 16.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 248 - - 351 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2213 - - 8448 - - - - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96782 26 268 31 274 35 261 96782 89530 22 271 22 271 21 276 89530 83987 9 267 15 264 12 312 83987 79413 3 322 7 186 12 302 79413 75482 2 091 4 140 5 342 75482 72002 6 112 4 323 8 010 72002 68846 9 047 1 066 10 347 68846 65960 13 056 6 063 4 353 65960 63315 17 053 12 048 5 079 63315 60778 14 038 17 030 11 083 60778 58144 11 052 16 025 14 043 58144 55407 15 041 15 024 18 025 55407 52775 18 022 13 018 19 004 52775 50379 15 011 7 357 17 337 50379 48210 13 020 5 004 11 293 48210 46229 14 014 7 011 7 279 46229 44409 11 356 12 350 9 306 44409 42727 12 317 15 326 15 304 42727 41168 12 299 17 305 16 310 41168 39713 17 295 19 297 17 321 39713 38347 20 292 21 293 18 327 38347 37031 20 295 20 291 20 315 37031 35696 19 294 21 288 21 299 35696 34311 17 278 20 280 19 296 34311 32878 19 270 19 275 20 290 32878 31384 18 265 17 273 21 284 31384 29816 12 268 12 266 20 274 29816 28178 8 262 9 263 17 268 28178 26469 3 266 8 257 13 257 26469 24690 2 211 6 237 10 234 24690 22842 4 152 7 202 9 205 22842 20920 7 136 7 173 8 196 20920 18918 10 135 9 149 8 194 18918 16878 8 149 9 147 12 208 16878 14917 6 192 5 203 10 228 14917 13137 6 219 10 253 10 256 13137 11550 5 219 11*265 11 278 11550 10130 5 222 9*279 11 292 10130 8859 4 277 9 283 12 303 8859 7721 5 294 9 288 12 314 7721 6707 4 325 9 291 13 322 6707 5807 5 349 9 296 14 327 5807 5008 5*342 9 299 15 331 5008 4289 2*318 9 302 16 334 4289 3649 1 270 9 305 17 336 3649 3114 1 254 8 307 17 338 3114 2701 1 246 8 308 15 341 2701 2416 0 241 8 309 11 347 2416 2244 0 240 8 309 5 347 2244 2145 0 246 7 310 3*335 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography