DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/13 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.0 - - 79.0 - - - - - 69.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 313 - - 323 - - - - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5056 - - 7819 - - - - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5597 - - 7790 - - - - - 2127 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7156 - - 9919 - - - - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2180 - - 2396 - - - - - 6510 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 476 - - 556 - - - - - 12 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 25 - - - - - 14 BL Wind Direction - - - 231 - - 231 - - - - - 242 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 13 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - -12 - - - - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3388 - - -1355 - - - - - -6386 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10545 - - 11274 - - - - - 8530 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5732 - - -3277 - - - - - -9821 ODpotential blCL - - - 12888 - - 13196 - - - - - 11965 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 90 - - - - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.0 - - 79.0 - - - - - 69.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.0 - - 36.6 - - - - - 39.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.0 - - 77.2 - - - - - 69.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.9 - - 36.6 - - - - - 39.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 313 - - 323 - - - - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5056 - - 7819 - - - - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 83 - - 61 - - - - - 75 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97554 20 271 28 284 29 322 97554 90192 17 296 21 300 28 311 90192 84494 24 301 22 309 25 297 84494 79798 16 300 16 294 20 306 79798 75770 15 310 11 292 16 309 75770 72201 21 274 24 291 9 286 72201 68968 17 227 29 264 16 258 68968 65995 8 237 20 247 27 254 65995 63226 22 248 23 243 26 246 63226 60526 34 250 31 246 25 252 60526 57699 39 244 37 245 32 253 57699 54769 42 246 41 245 44 251 54769 51986 52 251 48 246 51 246 51986 49500 60 248 58 244 57 247 49500 47280 68 245 65 242 66 249 47280 45276 72 242 71 242 74 249 45276 43452 73 242 75 245 82 248 43452 41782 77 246 81 248 88 247 41782 40240 88 248 91 248 94 245 40240 38802 93 245 98 246 98 244 38802 37449 90 242 96 243 96 245 37449 36141 85 241 90 239 91 246 36141 34814 84 241 88 238 89 247 34814 33438 84 240 88 240 85 248 33438 32018 82 242 80 243 80 249 32018 30541 72 244 71 246 75 249 30541 28997 63 244 66 249 73 249 28997 27386 57 244 58 250 70 250 27386 25708 53 244 53 247 66 251 25708 23965 49 241 54 245 61 250 23965 22162 47 239 53 239 57 245 22162 20292 46 242 54 240 56 239 20292 18351 46 243 55 242 56 237 18351 16375 45 241 52 240 56 238 16375 14466 43 239 45 236 54 238 14466 12725 38 239 41 237 51 237 12725 11177 33 239 37*237 46 235 11177 9800 32 236 29*231 39 233 9800 8574 32 232 26 229 32 228 8574 7482 25*227 26 229 29 226 7482 6509 21*226 25 230 28 230 6509 5649 20 227 25 231 28 235 5649 4884 19 230 24 232 27 237 4884 4196 19 232 24 232 27 239 4196 3585 18 234 23 233 26 240 3585 3072 17 235 22 233 25 241 3072 2677 16 237 22 234 23 242 2677 2405 16 237 21 234 21 243 2405 2239 15 237 19 234 18*243 2239 2144 13 238 16 234 14*242 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography