DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/17 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 98.9 - - 104.0 - - 102.7 - - 94.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 470 - - 488 - - 211 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7313 - - 14283 - - 14994 - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7570 - - 13313 - - 13243 - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9413 - - 16383 - - 17094 - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5343 - - 2469 - - 2285 - - 8111 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 617 - - 781 - - 601 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 9 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 15 - - 14 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 274 - - 278 - - 281 - - 261 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 5 - - -5 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2128 - - 2194 - - 2943 - - -10129 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11542 - - 14190 - - 14151 - - 12275 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3339 - - 1810 - - 2069 - - -12146 ODpotential blCL - - - 12752 - - 14573 - - 15025 - - 14292 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 88 - - 84 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 1090 - - 760 - - 620 - - 340 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 98.9 - - 104.0 - - 102.7 - - 94.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.2 - - 48.4 - - 47.4 - - 48.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 95.9 - - 101.1 - - 101.1 - - 95.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.1 - - 48.3 - - 47.3 - - 48.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 470 - - 488 - - 211 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7313 - - 14283 - - 14994 - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 52 - - 35 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98472 34 119 34 117 24 096 31 103 98472 90988 24 104 22 117 22 111 26 102 90988 85269 19 102 20 110 19 122 17 097 85269 80558 16 100 20 098 19 103 16 117 80558 76516 13 096 17 095 18 089 20 109 76516 72932 16 122 15 110 13 094 16 077 72932 69686 17 113 17 110 12 095 11 098 69686 66721 18 107 17 109 10 101 9 079 66721 64006 14 076 10 109 9 098 9 078 64006 61406 5 068 8 083 8 076 7 094 61406 58709 1 310 3 033 7 001 5 031 58709 55933 7 276 7 248 12 261 13 306 55933 53297 10 294 14 257 18 255 20 267 53297 50909 18 301 18 281 20 262 24 245 50909 48740 33 288 28 289 22 266 27 269 48740 46752 41 286 36 283 39 265 37 277 46752 44914 44 291 39 281 42 267 41 279 44914 43196 50 292 40 283 41 275 41 284 43196 41577 53 291 46 290 44 281 43 294 41577 40052 52 291 51 291 45 282 45 297 40052 38618 46 289 48 294 43 287 45 296 38618 37237 41 287 41 290 37 290 40 299 37237 35845 33 282 30 292 30 288 30 298 35845 34419 23 264 24 282 18 289 18 286 34419 32961 16 255 18 270 15 284 13 284 32961 31452 12 262 16 271 12 291 7 274 31452 29874 12 267 16 271 12 294 9 263 29874 28224 11 273 14 267 15 288 12 267 28224 26502 10 278 13 265 14 276 15 275 26502 24711 11 273 11 259 12 272 13 271 24711 22857 12 254 7 251 7 266 9 265 22857 20940 10 206 5 241 4 291 4 299 20940 18957 14 179 7 252 6*289 6 309 18957 16942 5 196 9*274 7*290 5 305 16942 14995 8 310 14*282 10 287 6 304 14995 13212 11 308 14 280 12 285 7 302 13212 11616 12 295 15 279 13 284 8 299 11616 10187 12*288 15 279 13 283 10 295 10187 8907 12*280 15 278 14 282 11 290 8907 7762 12 278 15 278 15 280 13 283 7762 6741 12 275 16 277 16 279 17 275 6741 5836 12 275 16 277 17 278 21 269 5836 5031 12 273 16 277 17 277 23 266 5031 4307 12 273 16 277 17 277 24 264 4307 3664 12 272 16 277 17 276 25 263 3664 3124 12 271 15 277 17 276 24 263 3124 2708 11 272 15 277 17 276 22 263 2708 2420 11 271 15 277 16 276 19 262 2420 2246 11 272 14 277 16 275 16*262 2246 2146 10 271 13 277 14 275 11*261 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography