DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/05 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.7 - - 78.7 - - 75.5 - - 64.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 276 - - 385 - - 92 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5006 - - 8017 - - 7705 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5505 - - 8045 - - 6785 - - 2127 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7106 - - 10117 - - 9805 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2188 - - 1602 - - 2019 - - 4715 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 456 - - 596 - - 366 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 18 - - 22 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 239 - - 254 - - 260 - - 292 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - 10 - - -8 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7079 - - -4812 - - -3050 - - -9045 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14186 - - 14930 - - 12856 - - 11189 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11682 - - -8025 - - -6069 - - -13485 ODpotential blCL - - - 18788 - - 18142 - - 15874 - - 15629 blCL maxRH - - - 55 - - 37 - - 45 - - 51 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.7 - - 78.7 - - 75.5 - - 64.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.4 - - 19.5 - - 25.9 - - 22.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.8 - - 76.4 - - 74.8 - - 66.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.2 - - 19.4 - - 25.9 - - 22.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 276 - - 385 - - 92 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5006 - - 8017 - - 7705 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96405 35 283 33 266 36 266 41 277 96405 89230 26 284 25 273 26 271 26 284 89230 83750 23 276 24 271 22 290 19 299 83750 79205 9 289 17 259 15 280 18 307 79205 75286 7 356 3 297 5 246 13 300 75286 71829 1 285 9 012 4 083 4 204 71829 68722 9 213 7 264 7 339 1 026 68722 65867 4 201 14 210 14 247 12 311 65867 63198 2 321 17 208 20 222 19 258 63198 60605 16 245 18 222 19 214 22 228 60605 57879 30 239 26 244 23 231 22 224 57879 55013 41 231 40 244 35 245 27 248 55013 52246 41 238 45 240 45 243 36 255 52246 49736 42 247 42 244 45 246 44 253 49736 47470 45 256 43 251 48 252 47 254 47470 45396 49 258 48 255 54 256 52 256 45396 43481 52 256 51 255 59 256 60 257 43481 41705 54 258 53 255 64 257 66 257 41705 40058 57 260 56 260 66 259 68 255 40058 38535 62 261 63 263 69 260 68 255 38535 37129 69 260 66 262 69 258 69 256 37129 35792 73 255 63 262 65 257 67 257 35792 34452 70 248 67 262 64 262 66 259 34452 33074 68 247 71 256 67 264 67 261 33074 31661 68 253 71 253 68 261 70 263 31661 30198 58 257 60 251 66 257 75 261 30198 28672 49 257 52 255 64 257 78 257 28672 27082 49 257 51 260 62 257 78 253 27082 25428 49 257 51 259 58 258 72 252 25428 23711 47 257 51 256 57 258 64 252 23711 21931 40 257 49 253 57 255 58 254 21931 20082 35 256 45 251 54 253 55 254 20082 18162 33 256 41 249 48 252 52 249 18162 16210 32 256 39 246 40 248 47 242 16210 14331 32 257 34 247 34 246 40 238 14331 12622 29 258 25 245 28 242 33 239 12622 11101 21 256 20*240 23*241 26 237 11101 9746 20 257 18*245 21*251 22 249 9746 8535 18 251 18 247 22 254 21 262 8535 7452 13*241 18 250 22 257 21 269 7452 6487 12*238 18 253 22 259 22 280 6487 5630 11 238 18 255 23 261 23 290 5630 4870 10 238 18 256 23 262 24 298 4870 4185 10 238 18 258 23 263 25 302 4185 3577 9 239 18 259 22 264 25 304 3577 3067 9 239 17 260 22 264 24 303 3067 2674 8 239 17 261 22 264 21 300 2674 2403 7 240 16 261 21 264 16 295 2403 2238 7 239 16 261 19 264 12*293 2238 2144 6 239 14 261 16 264 7*292 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography