DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/07 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 67.5 - - 81.0 - - 86.4 - - 86.1 - - 75.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 62 - - 411 - - 458 - - 137 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 357 - - 5545 - - 8340 - - 7670 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit 2127 - - 6097 - - 8390 - - 7110 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top 2457 - - 7645 - - 10440 - - 9770 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1127 - - 2460 - - 2504 - - 3748 - - 254 Hgt.Variab. W* 115 - - 538 - - 639 - - 416 - - 4 W* B/S 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 12 - - 12 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 345 - - 008 - - 349 - - 339 - - 277 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 12 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 4 - - -6 - - -15 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5205 - - -3402 - - -2594 - - -3656 - - -9214 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7663 - - 11048 - - 13035 - - 13427 - - 11359 sfcLCL ODpotential -8566 - - -5998 - - -4033 - - -5706 - - -13035 ODpotential blCL 11023 - - 13643 - - 14473 - - 15476 - - 15180 blCL maxRH 55 - - 49 - - 51 - - 47 - - 50 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 67.5 - - 81.0 - - 86.4 - - 86.1 - - 75.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.6 - - 39.7 - - 35.9 - - 34.1 - - 33.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 66.9 - - 78.5 - - 83.5 - - 84.8 - - 78.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.6 - - 39.6 - - 35.9 - - 34.0 - - 33.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 62 - - 411 - - 458 - - 137 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 357 - - 5545 - - 8340 - - 7670 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96949 52 280 46 272 55 263 55 268 55 267 96949 89619 35 283 36 275 40 274 42 280 43 280 89619 84020 21 293 23 266 27 267 31 289 28 299 84020 79421 16 308 15 286 14 290 18 290 20 304 79421 75477 15 310 14 319 11 329 13 316 15 314 75477 72001 8 324 9 338 8 327 14 327 17 328 72001 68862 12 344 9 357 1 014 9 296 12 325 68862 65971 14 307 11 308 4 308 10 280 15 298 65971 63278 11 306 10 262 13 271 14 279 22 273 63278 60659 21 295 16 275 16 274 16 287 26 281 60659 57915 37 278 29 282 31 285 28 289 34 285 57915 55056 47 272 45 277 43 281 38 291 36 293 55056 52324 50 273 53 280 51 284 49 293 47 299 52324 49865 53 281 54 282 56 285 57 289 55 297 49865 47660 56 290 53 289 57 287 61 288 62 293 47660 45656 64 297 60 296 59 291 61 286 63 286 45656 43823 72 296 67 295 63 293 57 291 55 284 43823 42146 75 292 69 290 64 290 52 295 45 284 42146 40600 76 291 67 289 62 288 50 295 39 290 40600 39159 75 292 66 294 60 292 47 297 38 297 39159 37802 74 295 68 298 60 294 47 299 38 299 37802 36490 73 299 68 300 60 295 48 299 39 299 36490 35157 73 304 67 302 58 296 48 296 40 298 35157 33776 73 307 64 304 54 297 48 295 38 301 33776 32351 73 306 62 305 51 299 45 296 36 310 32351 30868 73 306 60 307 50 302 41 301 33 314 30868 29319 71 311 57 310 48 307 37 307 29 318 29319 27703 63 316 54 313 47 310 37 310 26 320 27703 26020 55 319 51 317 45 312 38 315 27 321 26020 24269 50 324 47 323 44 319 35 324 25 331 24269 22450 40 325 41 327 40 328 30 331 23 339 22450 20558 35 329 34 330 34 334 25 332 19 330 20558 18590 35 333 31 333 29 342 21 336 16 316 18590 16594 36 331 31 336 27 352 18 344 12 332 16594 14677 31 344 28 338 24 359 15 006 6 005 14677 12932 31 011 24 350 21 007 11 022 9 060 12932 11372 33 009 22 005 16*011 10 018 13 062 11372 9978 33 003 23 010 13*360 9*005 11 059 9978 8730 31 003 23*011 13 358 9*358 8 051 8730 7612 30 008 19*012 12 354 9 354 5 031 7612 6617 30 018 15 013 12 351 9 344 5 357 6617 5734 26 027 12 010 12 348 10 336 6 327 5734 4950 19 030 10 008 12 345 10 333 8 314 4950 4245 12 025 10 006 12 344 10 332 9 308 4245 3619 8 036 9 005 12 343 10 331 10 304 3619 3094 9 059 9 003 12 342 10 329 10 302 3094 2690 5*049 9 003 12 341 10 329 10 301 2690 2411 3*349 8 002 12 341 10 329 10 297 2411 2242 2 344 8 001 11 341 9 328 8*288 2242 2145 2 341 7 001 10 341 8 328 5*277 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography