DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 04/26 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 63.9 - - 75.6 - - 80.7 - - 76.5 - - 68.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 110 - - 465 - - 518 - - 201 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1518 - - 6780 - - 9171 - - 7131 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit 2127 - - 7137 - - 9130 - - 6976 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top 3618 - - 8880 - - 11271 - - 9231 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2117 - - 1614 - - 1307 - - 2207 - - 7443 Hgt.Variab. W* 225 - - 600 - - 688 - - 462 - - 6 W* B/S 11 - - 9 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 11 - - 22 - - 26 - - 12 BL Wind Direction 246 - - 220 - - 242 - - 253 - - 248 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 4 - - 5 - - 11 - - -11 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4862 - - -3273 - - -2413 - - -1954 - - -6034 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8481 - - 12153 - - 13685 - - 11186 - - 8179 sfcLCL ODpotential -11802 - - -8777 - - -6540 - - -4890 - - -8114 ODpotential blCL 15420 - - 17657 - - 17811 - - 14121 - - 10258 blCL maxRH 48 - - 47 - - 46 - - 57 - - 72 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 63.9 - - 75.6 - - 80.7 - - 76.5 - - 68.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.2 - - 29.1 - - 27.1 - - 34.4 - - 39.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.9 - - 72.7 - - 78.0 - - 75.3 - - 68.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.2 - - 29.0 - - 27.0 - - 34.4 - - 39.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 110 - - 465 - - 518 - - 201 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1518 - - 6780 - - 9171 - - 7131 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97902 8 322 9 230 13 262 12 311 18 288 97902 90518 5 261 9 280 9 264 16 282 19 325 90518 84802 6 255 11 310 6 304 15 257 12 299 84802 80059 10 270 15 295 7 347 5 270 5 306 80059 75986 7 230 15 252 10 294 4 299 6 314 75986 72393 3 260 10 202 14 241 9 298 8 297 72393 69164 8 249 4 223 11 237 12 300 5 324 69164 66198 7 168 11 215 16 226 19 251 17 307 66198 63424 4 256 9 211 16 220 29 223 24 246 63424 60733 19 244 17 239 17 242 30 223 34 223 60733 57924 31 244 28 246 29 259 25 238 29 222 57924 54985 32 240 33 242 35 253 26 266 23 251 54985 52159 38 255 36 251 42 255 43 272 34 267 52159 49616 45 264 44 262 47 252 51 263 46 270 49616 47343 44 274 44 269 47 260 56 265 54 266 47343 45282 51 283 47 276 50 266 55 267 53 268 45282 43387 58 284 57 278 54 272 60 276 63 281 43387 41636 65 284 63 274 65 277 73 274 86 281 41636 40019 63 278 67 271 79 274 81 270 95 274 40019 38530 53 277 66 270 87 270 85 273 92 269 38530 37147 50 287 64 274 88 268 95 278 90 276 37147 35826 59 294 69 280 88 272 103 277 107 282 35826 34501 62 286 75 279 92 276 107 274 120 279 34501 33140 65 278 74 274 98 278 107 272 120 274 33140 31740 62 275 70 269 99 276 107 271 116 275 31740 30282 60 280 66 268 95 274 104 270 116 276 30282 28756 60 287 65 271 87 270 98 269 113 277 28756 27162 59 291 63 273 80 265 90 271 104 277 27162 25502 52 295 62 272 78 266 83 272 94 278 25502 23778 45 289 63 273 75 270 75 270 87 278 23778 21991 46 288 60 277 66 273 69 268 81 277 21991 20137 45 290 51 280 54 268 64 267 73 276 20137 18214 42 288 46 277 50 264 59 269 59 271 18214 16260 37 284 45 272 44 265 50 269 48 263 16260 14375 32 276 38 270 34 259 41 268 42 260 14375 12657 27 265 32 259 27*245 33 271 34 269 12657 11129 23 250 30 251 23*235 25 259 30 278 11129 9770 19 238 24*242 22 236 25*249 23 273 9770 8556 14 215 16*222 22 238 26*250 22 270 8556 7472 10 203 14 218 22 240 26 251 23 272 7472 6504 8 223 13 218 23 243 27 252 25 269 6504 5646 9 245 12 218 23 245 27 253 26 265 5646 4882 11 253 11 219 23 246 27 254 27 260 4882 4195 11*252 10 220 22 247 27 254 27 256 4195 3584 8*249 10 222 22 248 27 254 27 254 3584 3072 4 247 9 222 22 249 26 255 25 252 3072 2677 3 245 8 223 21 249 26 255 23 251 2677 2405 2 243 8 223 20 250 25 255 20 249 2405 2239 2 243 8 224 19 250 23 255 17*249 2239 2144 2 240 7 224 17 250 18 255 12*248 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography