DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 04/24 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.5 - - 87.5 - - - - - 75.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 437 - - 477 - - - - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5730 - - 9191 - - - - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6268 - - 9106 - - - - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7830 - - 11291 - - - - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2300 - - 1373 - - - - - 5328 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 555 - - 670 - - - - - 5 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 9 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 14 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 232 - - 249 - - - - - 256 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 8 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 6 - - - - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6433 - - -5026 - - - - - -9402 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14263 - - 16318 - - - - - 11547 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10494 - - -8502 - - - - - -14087 ODpotential blCL - - - 18324 - - 19793 - - - - - 16231 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 78 - - - - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.5 - - 87.5 - - - - - 75.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.7 - - 21.8 - - - - - 32.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.9 - - 84.6 - - - - - 77.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 25.6 - - 21.7 - - - - - 32.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 437 - - 477 - - - - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5730 - - 9191 - - - - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 13 - - 13 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97603 21 278 28 275 24 289 97603 90189 20 275 23 277 27 296 90189 84510 14 280 17 297 23 289 84510 79813 12 313 18 283 15 300 79813 75768 11 324 18 279 17 327 75768 72204 13 327 11 304 18 324 72204 68986 16 307 10 307 19 293 68986 66030 21 294 14 294 19 273 66030 63294 24 278 26 276 23 274 63294 60649 27 277 28 274 30 269 60649 57889 38 277 36 278 35 269 57889 55016 46 266 44 271 40 281 55016 52260 51 273 52 270 56 279 52260 49776 62 280 56 269 66 272 49776 47553 75 277 66 271 72 272 47553 45545 80 275 77 270 79 276 45545 43719 85 275 81 273 88 278 43719 42045 91 275 85 275 96 278 42045 40494 94 274 89 276 100 277 40494 39047 92 274 89 276 103 278 39047 37687 87 275 84 276 101 278 37687 36374 84 275 80 276 95 279 36374 35043 83 273 79 276 88 277 35043 33664 79 272 77 276 82 276 33664 32241 74 272 74 276 79 279 32241 30760 67 273 66 274 75 281 30760 29210 62 273 60 271 66 277 29210 27593 58 274 59 271 59 274 27593 25908 54 277 56 271 57 274 25908 24157 51 278 54 275 57 273 24157 22342 47 276 50 278 55 274 22342 20458 41 274 45 275 49 278 20458 18500 35 273 39 267 38 277 18500 16507 30 270 33 261 31 265 16507 14587 26 265 29 257 28 257 14587 12841 23 262 26 249 23 248 12841 11286 20 259 17*236 19 235 11286 9901 17 260 16*237 16 227 9901 8664 13*252 15 239 14 230 8664 7559 8*233 15 243 14 238 7559 6574 8 230 14 247 15 245 6574 5701 7 229 14 251 18 250 5701 4925 7 230 14 253 20 252 4925 4227 6 232 13 256 23 254 4227 3607 6 234 13 258 24 255 3607 3087 6 236 13 260 23 256 3087 2686 5 237 12 260 22 257 2686 2409 5 239 12 261 18 257 2409 2241 5 238 12 262 14 257 2241 2144 5 238 10 262 9*256 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography