DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/16 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 98.7 - - 104.1 - - - - - 93.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 374 - - 382 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5429 - - 11245 - - - - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5967 - - 10658 - - - - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7529 - - 13345 - - - - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5781 - - 2373 - - - - - 6218 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 518 - - 665 - - - - - 4 W* B/S - - - 41 - - 33 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 011 - - 315 - - - - - 313 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 8 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -8 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3719 - - -820 - - - - - -10317 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11249 - - 14166 - - - - - 12464 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5308 - - -1614 - - - - - -14179 ODpotential blCL - - - 12837 - - 14959 - - - - - 16325 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 89 - - - - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - 890 - - 190 - - - - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 98.7 - - 104.1 - - - - - 93.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.7 - - 48.8 - - - - - 47.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 96.2 - - 101.4 - - - - - 97.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.5 - - 48.7 - - - - - 47.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 374 - - 382 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5429 - - 11245 - - - - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 36 - - 55 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 8 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98990 36 101 36 105 36 085 98990 91556 41 091 42 107 38 099 91556 85822 38 100 41 107 39 099 85822 81061 38 104 35 106 37 091 81061 76974 30 099 32 105 34 082 76974 73370 22 098 27 095 24 085 73370 70112 18 096 21 103 19 086 70112 67126 19 099 18 101 15 076 67126 64375 18 105 13 111 15 083 64375 61731 15 101 9 106 14 074 61731 58987 10 103 11 151 10 050 58987 56150 10 169 14 190 4 290 56150 53459 11 172 18 212 15 249 53459 51056 8 213 15 178 17 223 51056 48901 16 252 19 272 29 288 48901 46927 34 259 30 267 36 281 46927 45097 38 249 30 255 35 272 45097 43399 34 238 33 267 34 283 43399 41818 31 259 37 268 30 293 41818 40334 31 264 34 261 26 289 40334 38935 25 248 35 256 25 277 38935 37582 25 244 39 257 26 271 37582 36211 31 251 35 258 26 276 36211 34792 34 250 29 256 22 279 34792 33329 30 252 24 255 17 273 33329 31807 23 261 20 255 14 264 31807 30212 17 269 18 262 13 251 30212 28545 14 274 16 266 14 248 28545 26806 13 262 16 256 13 270 26806 24995 14 246 15 247 14 287 24995 23120 13 247 8 228 17 278 23120 21177 9 254 4 170 11 264 21177 19155 3 192 4 164 4 112 19155 17097 3 149 9 134 10 078 17097 15112 4 157 8*138 10 094 15112 13301 4 180 2*131 10 124 13301 11685 4 230 1 316 6 140 11685 10243 3 244 2 312 1 159 10243 8953 3 285 3 312 2 319 8953 7800 2*342 4 311 5 326 7800 6771 2*013 5 314 6 327 6771 5860 2 016 5 315 7 326 5860 5050 2 014 6 315 7 325 5050 4320 2 011 6 317 7 325 4320 3672 2 009 6 317 7 324 3672 3129 3 008 6 318 7 323 3129 2711 3 008 6 320 6 323 2711 2422 3 008 6 319 6 322 2422 2247 3 008 6 321 5*320 2247 2146 2 009 6 321 4*313 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography