DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/29 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 101.1 - - 107.9 - - - - - 95.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 389 - - 420 - - - - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6292 - - 13525 - - - - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6667 - - 12589 - - - - - 2130 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8392 - - 15625 - - - - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3678 - - 2447 - - - - - 6514 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 551 - - 730 - - - - - 8 W* B/S - - - 23 - - 34 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 274 - - 241 - - - - - 259 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 12 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2693 - - 1811 - - - - - -8131 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11086 - - 13815 - - - - - 10278 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4038 - - 1105 - - - - - -10438 ODpotential blCL - - - 12430 - - 14520 - - - - - 12584 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 84 - - - - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 1330 - - 1060 - - - - - 1240 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 101.1 - - 107.9 - - - - - 95.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.6 - - 54.0 - - - - - 57.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 98.5 - - 104.9 - - - - - 97.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.5 - - 54.0 - - - - - 57.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 389 - - 420 - - - - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6292 - - 13525 - - - - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 37 - - - - - 64 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 8 - - - - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98966 33 108 37 107 24 115 98966 91483 34 111 24 121 33 086 91483 85741 38 107 25 116 30 082 85741 81000 28 089 33 107 22 096 81000 76938 21 084 28 094 20 101 76938 73340 16 113 16 105 17 094 73340 70071 20 116 17 125 15 090 70071 67072 19 096 14 107 13 117 67072 64307 9 088 6 083 15 123 64307 61646 5 121 4 205 8 130 61646 58907 8 172 15 195 10 245 58907 56113 6 313 10 217 17 257 56113 53477 16 306 14 276 20 282 53477 51107 23 289 28 298 31 303 51107 48968 26 277 35 286 39 292 48968 47008 27 276 33 274 35 286 47008 45192 28 275 31 264 34 281 45192 43496 28 272 33 266 36 277 43496 41904 25 269 34 270 34 276 41904 40407 23 274 29 269 28 276 40407 38995 24 269 24 262 25 270 38995 37632 24 255 20 249 24 257 37632 36252 17 243 17 227 21 246 36252 34822 13 198 16 219 19 225 34822 33343 15 177 16 215 18 216 33343 31803 10 197 15 214 19 209 31803 30190 7 216 12 203 18 204 30190 28510 10 222 10 188 17 201 28510 26764 12 209 9 190 15 198 26764 24955 11 197 8 196 13 199 24955 23085 13 184 9 192 12 191 23085 21144 14 174 12 188 12 180 21144 19130 12 165 14 181 10 174 19130 17083 11 167 13*169 11 159 17083 15112 10 177 10*175 9 135 15112 13312 5 194 6 189 6 112 13312 11702 5 193 4 231 4 357 11702 10261 5 183 4 241 8 326 10261 8971 3*234 4 249 10 316 8971 7816 4*263 4 259 11 305 7816 6787 4 267 4 267 13 297 6787 5873 4 269 5 271 14 291 5873 5060 4 272 5 276 16 286 5060 4328 5 274 5 279 17 284 4328 3678 5 279 5 281 17 282 3678 3133 5 280 5 282 17 280 3133 2713 4 281 5 283 15 277 2713 2423 4 282 5 283 12 272 2423 2247 4 282 5 284 9 266 2247 2146 4 283 4 284 5*259 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography