DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/02 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.7 - - 62.7 - - 68.3 - - 66.6 - - 57.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 94 - - 176 - - 0 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 43 - - 1376 - - 3084 - - 44 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit 2127 - - 2127 - - 3859 - - 2128 - - 2127 Hcrit BL Top 2143 - - 3476 - - 5184 - - 2144 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 154 - - 1843 - - 1773 - - 4730 - - 616 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 213 - - 335 - - 12 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 23 - - 42 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 2 - - 1 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 197 - - 266 - - 059 - - 047 - - 057 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -287 - - -439 - - -3134 - - -490 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2143 - - 3763 - - 5623 - - 5278 - - 2634 sfcLCL ODpotential -4836 - - -1961 - - -2226 - - -4719 - - -4067 ODpotential blCL 6979 - - 5437 - - 7410 - - 6863 - - 6211 blCL maxRH 77 - - 82 - - 77 - - 75 - - 70 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.7 - - 62.7 - - 68.3 - - 66.6 - - 57.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 48.7 - - 53.6 - - 51.0 - - 50.9 - - 53.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.5 - - 61.8 - - 66.9 - - 66.7 - - 61.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.7 - - 52.8 - - 50.7 - - 50.7 - - 53.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 94 - - 176 - - 0 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 43 - - 1376 - - 3084 - - 44 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 7 - - 27 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96038 10 336 16 315 25 299 16 311 18 303 96038 88959 17 026 12 357 15 322 12 323 16 347 88959 83533 16 359 12 360 10 331 15 353 15 339 83533 79043 13 003 12 351 12 342 10 330 11 013 79043 75148 12 357 12 339 10 325 9 332 12 332 75148 71679 11 003 7 347 6 338 8 339 14 280 71679 68541 8 314 11 312 12 320 9 326 9 278 68541 65655 11 285 15 276 22 283 19 298 15 306 65655 62977 17 284 18 289 22 273 24 274 22 276 62977 60383 20 291 20 298 18 282 22 270 22 268 60383 57672 31 292 29 284 24 283 26 268 23 262 57672 54867 36 275 33 271 30 278 27 273 24 258 54867 52202 38 268 36 272 36 274 35 273 31 264 52202 49803 40 271 40 273 40 272 40 270 35 261 49803 47638 42 280 44 271 40 275 36 274 38 271 47638 45660 50 284 48 277 44 283 46 278 46 278 45660 43840 58 282 57 277 53 278 52 274 51 274 43840 42158 62 274 61 278 57 273 56 268 52 271 42158 40604 59 267 61 279 57 276 53 266 54 271 40604 39161 60 267 58 274 55 277 47 267 54 271 39161 37809 63 267 54 270 53 281 45 271 53 272 37809 36504 62 268 48 273 50 283 45 273 53 273 36504 35177 53 273 47 280 48 280 44 275 51 272 35177 33799 46 281 46 281 45 280 43 277 48 272 33799 32374 45 280 45 279 41 282 40 276 46 273 32374 30887 40 273 43 276 36 278 38 274 46 276 30887 29329 37 274 42 273 35 275 34 276 42 275 29329 27703 36 281 41 275 40 274 33 279 35 271 27703 26010 36 287 43 278 41 276 33 278 31 274 26010 24250 34 288 43 282 40 279 32 278 30 282 24250 22423 33 285 39 282 37 279 31 278 26 288 22423 20522 35 284 34 282 34 281 28 278 23 284 20522 18542 37 287 33 288 30 285 26 285 21 284 18542 16526 36 292 34 296 29 297 26 300 17 305 16526 14583 34 296 34 301 29 303 25 307 19 332 14583 12815 30 300 29 305 25 306 23 304 19 338 12815 11240 26 301 21 304 18 301 17 295 15 332 11240 9841 21 299 16 298 15 285 13 282 10 321 9841 8598 15 296 12 299 12 279 10 265 6 303 8598 7494 10 295 7 284 8 285 6 262 4 282 7494 6516 6 305 4 254 4 268 3 285 2 308 6516 5650 5 337 4 262 1*262 3 043 3 006 5650 4883 4 342 4 262 0*066 4 054 4 024 4883 4193 2 314 3 262 1 061 5 051 5 046 4193 3581 2 264 2*261 1 061 5 049 5 064 3581 3069 2 243 2*261 2 057 5 049 4 063 3069 2675 3 226 2 265 2 059 5 048 5 051 2675 2403 4 204 2 267 2 058 5 047 4 046 2403 2238 5 192 1 270 2 058 5*046 3*050 2238 2144 4*197 1 270 2 058 4*047 2*057 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography