DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/25 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - - - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 94.7 - - 105.0 - - 110.2 - - - - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 104 - - 411 - - 459 - - - - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth 992 - - 6013 - - 10208 - - - - - - BL Depth Hcrit 2129 - - 6469 - - 9915 - - - - - - Hcrit BL Top 3092 - - 8113 - - 12308 - - - - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2545 - - 3690 - - 4096 - - - - - - Hgt.Variab. W* 192 - - 553 - - 684 - - - - - - W* B/S 4 - - 19 - - 25 - - - - - - B/S BL Wind 8 - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - - BL Wind Direction 230 - - 325 - - 346 - - - - - - Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 4 - - -5 - - - - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8089 - - -5499 - - -2609 - - - - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11182 - - 13613 - - 14918 - - - - - - sfcLCL ODpotential -11339 - - -6977 - - -3482 - - - - - - ODpotential blCL 14431 - - 15090 - - 15790 - - - - - - blCL maxRH 83 - - 71 - - 69 - - - - - - maxRH CAPE 290 - - 210 - - 350 - - - - - - CAPE Temp@2m 94.7 - - 105.0 - - 110.2 - - - - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m 53.3 - - 52.4 - - 51.4 - - - - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 93.6 - - 102.2 - - 107.1 - - - - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 53.2 - - 52.3 - - 51.4 - - - - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 104 - - 411 - - 459 - - - - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth 992 - - 6013 - - 10208 - - - - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT 30 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98914 50 106 41 097 42 100 98914 91470 42 094 47 101 40 106 91470 85747 37 086 39 097 39 103 85747 81010 33 092 30 092 34 092 81010 76943 31 096 30 092 30 094 76943 73353 28 100 31 101 28 107 73353 70108 26 108 28 107 25 111 70108 67137 30 109 25 109 24 113 67137 64409 30 109 25 109 24 109 64409 61798 24 124 25 113 21 110 61798 59110 19 138 19 135 16 128 59110 56351 15 121 18 140 15 136 56351 53727 17 091 21 106 18 120 53727 51360 25 085 27 100 27 115 51360 49227 26 087 31 099 32 114 49227 47276 23 099 29 096 32 108 47276 45465 20 112 22 100 30 105 45465 43769 22 126 23 122 26 110 43769 42176 29 137 29 136 22 123 42176 40673 37 143 35 137 22 125 40673 39251 38 141 35 135 22 123 39251 37874 33 135 32 131 23 124 37874 36476 26 130 31 127 26 127 36476 35031 20 114 31 122 29 129 35031 33540 20 107 28 117 27 127 33540 31990 19 113 24 119 24 124 31990 30369 17 126 20 117 19 129 30369 28680 20 134 18 099 17 124 28680 26925 21 128 17 099 19 115 26925 25103 21 109 16 113 16 108 25103 23219 21 094 15 128 12 112 23219 21272 19 075 13 124 11 120 21272 19251 13 054 12 086 12 109 19251 17191 9 043 11 066 14 086 17191 15203 7 068 10 061 13 073 15203 13386 11 085 10 060 10*068 13386 11763 12 077 10 056 5*038 11763 10312 12 053 10 049 4 014 10312 9014 15 024 8*044 4 354 9014 7853 17 013 5*014 5 346 7853 6817 13 006 5 332 5 339 6817 5898 9 355 5 324 6 336 5898 5081 5 334 6 321 6 334 5081 4345 5 284 6 319 6 332 4345 3690 8 255 6 318 6 332 3690 3142 9*232 6 317 6 331 3142 2719 9*230 6 316 6 332 2719 2426 9 230 6 317 6 332 2426 2249 8 229 6 317 6 332 2249 2147 7 229 6 318 6 332 2147 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography