DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/07 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 100.8 - - 107.2 - - - - - 99.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 432 - - 469 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5722 - - 11200 - - - - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6256 - - 10742 - - - - - 2130 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7822 - - 13300 - - - - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2029 - - 2852 - - - - - 13187 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 552 - - 711 - - - - - 5 W* B/S - - - 35 - - 117 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 1 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 333 - - 026 - - - - - 306 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 7 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -13 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5508 - - -1725 - - - - - -12180 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13331 - - 15026 - - - - - 14327 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7686 - - -2827 - - - - - -14207 ODpotential blCL - - - 15508 - - 16127 - - - - - 16353 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 65 - - - - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 50 - - 250 - - - - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 100.8 - - 107.2 - - - - - 99.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.5 - - 47.9 - - - - - 44.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 98.0 - - 104.2 - - - - - 102.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.4 - - 47.9 - - - - - 44.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 432 - - 469 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5722 - - 11200 - - - - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 72 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99098 46 111 37 104 36 101 99098 91581 36 113 31 111 33 092 91581 85776 32 107 38 099 29 096 85776 80992 35 094 39 096 31 109 80992 76905 25 088 30 101 34 103 76905 73312 18 105 22 114 31 089 73312 70066 22 107 20 108 25 081 70066 67097 26 090 20 094 22 089 67097 64366 22 093 18 091 24 087 64366 61745 13 110 18 100 22 072 61745 59049 16 136 21 113 12 078 59049 56295 19 104 23 107 17 113 56295 53682 17 069 14 089 16 103 53682 51315 13 076 8 096 10 096 51315 49165 12 085 8 076 10 084 49165 47190 13 083 7 100 9 096 47190 45353 13 066 8 114 7 133 45353 43634 11 025 7 066 5 152 43634 42016 13 355 10 013 7 048 42016 40491 14 321 12 340 15 022 40491 39050 15 291 13 309 18 352 39050 37662 27 273 18 288 23 322 37662 36262 28 268 17 277 25 305 36262 34823 19 268 11 269 17 293 34823 33348 12 283 8 279 12 293 33348 31815 10 288 7 305 9 311 31815 30212 7 300 4 310 8 307 30212 28539 2 310 2 098 1 283 28539 26796 5 029 5 074 7 139 26796 24987 9 020 7 033 8 143 24987 23115 9 030 5 025 4 141 23115 21177 7 082 4 044 10 086 21177 19169 9 114 7 073 14 099 19169 17122 10 092 9 095 13 100 17122 15147 9 086 11 124 5 113 15147 13342 5 098 8*130 3 155 13342 11727 3 095 4*124 2 201 11727 10282 3 062 3 121 3 279 10282 8988 4*068 1 104 6 300 8988 7830 2*011 1 058 8 307 7830 6798 2 335 1 001 9 310 6798 5882 3 330 2 350 10 311 5882 5067 3 327 2 344 10 311 5067 4334 3 328 3 345 11 312 4334 3682 4 330 3 343 11 312 3682 3136 4 331 3 344 11 312 3136 2715 4 333 4 343 10 312 2715 2424 4 334 4 344 9 312 2424 2247 4 336 4 345 7 310 2247 2146 3 337 3 345 5*306 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography