DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/10 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 96.7 - - 101.8 - - 101.6 - - 92.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 348 - - 378 - - 96 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5767 - - 8510 - - 7679 - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6205 - - 8435 - - 6817 - - 2130 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7867 - - 10610 - - 9779 - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1970 - - 3041 - - 3633 - - 3922 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 517 - - 605 - - 372 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 13 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 297 - - 326 - - 337 - - 262 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1951 - - -957 - - -2815 - - -7908 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9818 - - 11567 - - 12595 - - 10055 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4045 - - -2380 - - -4788 - - -11173 ODpotential blCL - - - 11912 - - 12990 - - 14567 - - 13319 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 83 - - 74 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 840 - - 940 - - 280 - - 600 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 96.7 - - 101.8 - - 101.6 - - 92.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 60.8 - - 58.1 - - 53.5 - - 56.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 94.2 - - 99.2 - - 100.5 - - 95.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 60.7 - - 57.9 - - 53.3 - - 56.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 348 - - 378 - - 96 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5767 - - 8510 - - 7679 - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 23 - - 30 - - 0 - - 36 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 11 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98775 17 121 21 111 14 108 20 101 98775 91332 24 114 21 096 18 098 25 083 91332 85597 28 096 24 108 19 101 18 077 85597 80824 27 096 23 109 24 101 17 085 80824 76713 22 099 17 102 17 091 17 087 76713 73089 12 102 15 113 9 086 11 088 73089 69823 10 115 9 113 8 088 9 078 69823 66843 10 116 5 122 4 080 8 060 66843 64107 10 049 9 100 7 137 3 062 64107 61483 8 045 9 051 4 080 3 068 61483 58776 5 103 7 030 7 008 7 009 58776 56012 5 058 4 067 5 341 8 332 56012 53409 7 348 6 338 6 344 7 336 53409 51068 5 328 9 293 11 300 10 328 51068 48951 7 354 7 304 11 282 12 301 48951 47009 11 000 8 351 7 272 11 290 47009 45211 18 350 15 348 9 316 12 311 45211 43534 22 339 23 337 18 332 18 322 43534 41958 18 324 23 328 20 322 18 315 41958 40470 15 316 20 324 18 309 16 297 40470 39061 10 318 11 323 15 298 17 291 39061 37696 7 326 8 335 12 288 17 289 37696 36307 4 338 6 325 12 285 16 282 36307 34867 2 318 7 305 11 284 14 275 34867 33382 2 317 8 309 8 294 9 274 33382 31836 5 331 8 315 7 299 5 276 31836 30216 6 338 6 331 4 308 4 278 30216 28525 8 357 5 003 2 059 3 245 28525 26768 9 009 3 031 1 073 2 239 26768 24949 7 024 3 072 1 177 2 346 24949 23066 7 080 3 091 2 087 6 014 23066 21119 9 089 6 083 6 107 8 046 21119 19104 11 090 10 085 9 085 13 063 19104 17057 11 072 11 075 10 060 16 061 17057 15084 11 053 11 060 11 055 14 058 15084 13282 12 055 11 053 10 048 10 041 13282 11674 11 050 8*028 7 026 7 354 11674 10236 12 018 8*334 8*338 10 306 10236 8949 12*357 8 330 9*334 12 302 8949 7798 7*306 8 328 9 333 11 306 7798 6770 7 300 8 326 9 334 11 311 6770 5858 7 297 9 324 9 336 10 314 5858 5048 7 295 9 324 9 337 10 309 5048 4319 7 294 8 324 9 338 10 301 4319 3671 6 294 9 324 9 339 10 290 3671 3128 6 295 8 324 9 341 10 283 3128 2710 6 295 8 325 9 341 9 280 2710 2422 5 295 8 324 9 341 8 276 2422 2246 5 295 8 325 8 342 7*267 2246 2146 5 295 7 325 8 342 5*262 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography