DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/04 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.0 - - 69.6 - - 68.6 - - 59.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 108 - - 163 - - -9 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1310 - - 3053 - - 44 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2127 - - 3792 - - 2128 - - 2127 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3410 - - 5153 - - 2144 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1583 - - 1466 - - 5724 - - 369 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 213 - - 324 - - 8 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 13 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 337 - - 173 - - 319 - - 231 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 6 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2195 - - -2531 - - -5601 - - -3321 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5605 - - 7684 - - 7745 - - 5466 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8223 - - -7674 - - -10536 - - -9667 ODpotential blCL - - - 11633 - - 12827 - - 12680 - - 11811 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 89 - - 67 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.0 - - 69.6 - - 68.6 - - 59.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.0 - - 43.3 - - 42.2 - - 42.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.0 - - 68.2 - - 69.4 - - 62.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.9 - - 43.2 - - 42.1 - - 42.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 108 - - 163 - - -9 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1310 - - 3053 - - 44 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 46 - - 55 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96380 20 276 19 273 31 264 33 269 96380 89137 10 250 17 267 20 282 20 298 89137 83644 9 307 12 295 11 300 13 297 83644 79114 10 296 9 282 11 318 12 289 79114 75210 10 293 12 268 10 318 11 305 75210 71745 9 289 11 266 11 265 17 301 71745 68615 10 279 12 267 12 239 17 245 68615 65752 16 262 17 277 13 284 13 250 65752 63076 36 261 33 267 29 278 29 276 63076 60464 46 251 43 244 41 251 43 252 60464 57731 45 253 40 248 45 245 49 245 57731 54880 56 254 47 256 48 255 50 253 54880 52144 66 248 58 259 61 262 64 264 52144 49685 69 246 76 257 77 256 84 257 49685 47494 72 252 88 245 88 246 90 245 47494 45511 76 253 88 242 86 244 89 242 45511 43711 101 257 95 258 97 253 94 248 43711 42074 116 252 117 256 111 253 110 250 42074 40552 106 251 112 248 112 252 108 249 40552 39116 101 247 108 247 111 250 103 245 39116 37755 99 245 111 251 104 249 98 243 37755 36436 99 247 107 250 95 246 92 243 36436 35096 95 252 96 241 89 242 86 242 35096 33706 82 254 91 236 86 236 76 244 33706 32272 72 244 85 235 83 234 57 250 32272 30779 75 237 81 235 80 239 55 255 30779 29217 77 237 77 240 69 252 55 260 29217 27586 69 237 71 251 57 257 53 263 27586 25887 55 240 51 258 43 258 48 263 25887 24124 44 246 38 259 33 263 40 260 24124 22300 32 261 34 256 26 265 34 254 22300 20406 21 255 28 253 21 257 30 250 20406 18435 21 243 25 252 23 247 30 247 18435 16430 24 241 26 249 28 243 33 247 16430 14502 22 244 27 248 29 242 36 245 14502 12747 18 250 26 250 27 242 32 244 12747 11187 15 255 22 253 23 240 25 235 11187 9803 14 258 16 250 19 235 19 221 9803 8573 13 249 12 240 16 222 16 204 8573 7480 12 234 11 229 14 234 11 211 7480 6507 9 231 10 217 11 255 8 241 6507 5645 6 236 7*196 9 269 9 261 5645 4880 4 258 5*178 8 284 11 268 4880 4192 3 300 5 175 8 295 12 270 4192 3581 2*334 5 173 8 304 12 269 3581 3068 2*333 4 171 7 309 11 270 3068 2675 2 337 4 168 7 314 9 270 2675 2403 2 340 4 168 7 317 7 266 2403 2238 2 339 4 167 6 318 4*250 2238 2144 2 341 4 168 5*319 3*231 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography