DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/22 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 88.8 - - 93.3 - - 92.4 - - 82.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 232 - - 227 - - 34 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3922 - - 8005 - - 6572 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4612 - - 7743 - - 4599 - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6022 - - 10105 - - 8672 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3574 - - 3690 - - 5108 - - 1053 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 400 - - 502 - - 253 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 19 - - 21 - - 11 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 175 - - 173 - - 170 - - 134 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 8 - - -4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3090 - - -287 - - -1593 - - -4072 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9113 - - 10392 - - 10266 - - 6217 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4805 - - -881 - - -2557 - - -6916 ODpotential blCL - - - 10827 - - 10986 - - 11229 - - 9061 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 92 - - 87 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 460 - - 700 - - 720 - - 1780 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 88.8 - - 93.3 - - 92.4 - - 82.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.0 - - 54.8 - - 54.5 - - 62.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 87.0 - - 91.3 - - 91.8 - - 84.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.5 - - 54.5 - - 54.3 - - 62.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 232 - - 227 - - 34 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3922 - - 8005 - - 6572 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 69 - - 67 - - 50 - - 68 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98307 2 078 12 202 16 252 12 309 98307 90893 6 138 9 169 7 216 4 202 90893 85216 9 110 7 108 10 110 10 102 85216 80504 13 095 7 076 13 083 15 090 80504 76442 11 079 11 100 11 067 13 079 76442 72871 10 062 13 096 9 093 8 066 72871 69650 7 080 8 079 11 111 6 037 69650 66683 6 085 6 094 9 114 0 209 66683 63935 3 091 4 064 7 097 7 133 63935 61280 12 159 8 164 3 203 2 168 61280 58518 11 168 9 178 9 218 6 211 58518 55675 17 204 16 209 17 225 14 229 55675 52979 21 207 22 209 25 219 22 214 52979 50555 28 216 30 219 31 223 26 224 50555 48376 38 220 38 218 38 221 35 226 48376 46393 44 221 46 215 42 215 43 224 46393 44576 54 218 54 210 48 211 51 219 44576 42899 56 216 54 206 53 204 61 206 42899 41340 59 211 55 203 53 199 78 192 41340 39876 59 202 57 200 57 199 78 184 39876 38489 65 198 57 198 60 200 76 179 38489 37142 61 199 56 201 60 200 77 182 37142 35772 54 207 51 207 58 201 72 191 35772 34355 47 216 41 211 52 204 49 204 34355 32898 37 220 31 209 40 208 37 209 32898 31385 32 223 29 209 31 206 31 205 31385 29802 29 226 28 210 25 206 27 201 29802 28147 23 222 25 214 25 201 23 201 28147 26424 19 216 20 211 23 195 22 202 26424 24634 16 216 17 197 20 195 20 207 24634 22781 14 206 18 190 18 196 19 211 22781 20859 14 189 18 192 16 199 18 213 20859 18866 18 183 17 193 13 207 14 209 18866 16841 19 184 17 190 12 203 11 194 16841 14892 22 179 17 195 13 205 10 181 14892 13117 22 180 18 197 11 199 9 180 13117 11533 19 185 18 197 9 195 8 171 11533 10117 16 184 11*197 7 182 7 155 10117 8848 14 181 7*193 5*170 8 143 8848 7714 12 177 7 190 5*165 9 138 7714 6702 8*176 5 181 5 167 9 138 6702 5804 6*176 4 173 4 168 9 138 5804 5005 5 176 4 165 4 170 8 140 5005 4286 4 176 4 158 4 172 8 141 4286 3648 3 174 3 152 4 174 8 140 3648 3114 3 176 3 147 4 174 8 140 3114 2701 2 174 3 143 4 175 8 137 2701 2417 2 173 3 142 4 176 7 134 2417 2244 2 175 3 141 4 176 6 132 2244 2145 2 174 3 138 3 176 4*134 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography