DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/12 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.7 - - 78.7 - - - - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 109 - - 226 - - - - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2575 - - 6155 - - - - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3297 - - 6305 - - - - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - 4675 - - 8255 - - - - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2416 - - 3225 - - - - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 279 - - 461 - - - - - - W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - - B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 19 - - - - - - BL Wind Direction - - - 220 - - 219 - - - - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 9 - - - - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -9 - - - - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 837 - - 462 - - - - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3838 - - 7793 - - - - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -41 - - -412 - - - - - - ODpotential blCL - - - 4716 - - 8667 - - - - - - blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 86 - - - - - - maxRH CAPE - - - 170 - - 90 - - - - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.7 - - 78.7 - - - - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 60.9 - - 51.7 - - - - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.8 - - 77.3 - - - - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 60.0 - - 51.3 - - - - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 109 - - 226 - - - - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2575 - - 6155 - - - - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 65 - - 42 - - - - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 8 - - - - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97858 24 294 26 278 97858 90584 11 290 13 289 90584 84952 4 247 7 279 84952 80266 8 238 7 245 80266 76236 7 299 3 281 76236 72695 9 278 8 293 72695 69505 5 276 8 312 69505 66583 11 239 9 267 66583 63890 8 245 3 227 63890 61293 13 250 16 251 61293 58602 22 191 20 200 58602 55815 21 185 20 204 55815 53151 39 221 46 222 53151 50759 57 228 59 224 50759 48610 68 233 68 232 48610 46649 79 235 82 237 46649 44837 88 235 91 237 44837 43143 87 235 91 235 43143 41548 85 234 88 235 41548 40038 84 233 89 238 40038 38607 82 234 91 239 38607 37222 84 235 90 237 37222 35816 86 235 86 233 35816 34359 87 235 84 230 34359 32853 86 233 84 229 32853 31285 86 230 86 227 31285 29646 84 229 86 226 29646 27949 77 230 82 229 27949 26202 70 231 75 233 26202 24406 65 230 69 233 24406 22552 61 229 66 230 22552 20629 59 228 63 226 20629 18626 55 225 60 224 18626 16586 50 223 53 222 16586 14624 46 219 47 222 14624 12850 44 215 41 220 12850 11289 38 211 30 214 11289 9907 31 209 26 212 9907 8672 28 210 24*213 8672 7566 25 213 22*215 7566 6581 23 215 21 216 6581 5708 21 216 20 217 5708 4931 19*218 20 218 4931 4232 17*219 19 219 4232 3610 14 219 18 221 3610 3089 13 220 18 222 3089 2688 12 220 17 223 2688 2410 11 220 16 223 2410 2242 10 220 15 223 2242 2145 9 220 13 223 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography