DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/05 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 100.7 - - 105.2 - - - - - 94.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 417 - - 395 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5650 - - 9093 - - - - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6186 - - 8926 - - - - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7750 - - 11193 - - - - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3633 - - 4376 - - - - - 2655 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 544 - - 626 - - - - - 4 W* B/S - - - 19 - - 41 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 3 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 310 - - 322 - - - - - 356 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 9 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9414 - - -7790 - - - - - -14508 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17165 - - 18984 - - - - - 16654 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12653 - - -11108 - - - - - -19880 ODpotential blCL - - - 20403 - - 22301 - - - - - 22026 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 95 - - - - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 100.7 - - 105.2 - - - - - 94.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.8 - - 27.5 - - - - - 29.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 97.8 - - 102.5 - - - - - 97.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.7 - - 27.4 - - - - - 29.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 417 - - 395 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5650 - - 9093 - - - - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 63 - - 80 - - - - - 61 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98859 45 116 29 129 39 086 98859 91385 31 101 31 108 33 083 91385 85650 25 108 32 087 26 097 85650 80896 26 102 24 089 25 102 80896 76810 27 085 22 097 27 091 76810 73223 26 085 23 100 29 088 73223 69987 28 076 24 104 21 084 69987 67023 17 074 21 089 18 089 67023 64292 18 088 18 099 20 085 64292 61667 16 092 17 083 16 083 61667 58949 16 086 8 096 17 066 58949 56158 14 054 12 099 11 030 56158 53525 17 010 15 007 18 013 53525 51157 14 332 13 336 20 348 51157 49014 16 335 12 345 17 346 49014 47045 19 333 16 333 19 358 47045 45214 23 328 23 323 24 350 45214 43504 29 323 29 320 29 334 43504 41898 29 316 27 312 30 325 41898 40387 28 304 21 299 24 318 40387 38965 28 288 21 289 21 302 38965 37596 25 267 19 278 26 282 37596 36213 25 263 17 268 24 277 36213 34782 24 268 19 265 23 282 34782 33303 20 281 19 269 19 272 33303 31765 19 290 18 277 18 265 31765 30156 13 305 16 283 19 266 30156 28482 10 317 10 283 19 259 28482 26743 9 316 10 270 14 252 26743 24934 9 296 10 256 6 223 24934 23059 10 289 8 228 5 208 23059 21114 6 290 12 220 4 212 21114 19097 17 229 18 211 5 222 19097 17044 18 207 18 196 5 189 17044 15065 11 170 11 162 9 161 15065 13262 6 175 10 144 9 153 13262 11653 3 115 7*141 6 156 11653 10216 0 117 4*143 3 191 10216 8929 2*300 2 143 4 265 8929 7780 4*303 2 321 6 290 7780 6755 5 304 3 321 8 300 6755 5846 5 306 4 321 8 307 5846 5039 5 308 5 322 9 315 5039 4312 5 310 5 323 9 326 4312 3666 6 312 6 323 9 338 3666 3125 6 314 6 322 10 348 3125 2708 6 315 6 322 10 353 2708 2421 5 318 6 323 10 356 2421 2246 5 317 6 323 8*358 2246 2146 5 319 6 323 5*356 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography