DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/13 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.3 - - 89.0 - - - - - 74.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 245 - - 331 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2738 - - 6755 - - - - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3741 - - 6961 - - - - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4838 - - 8855 - - - - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3746 - - 1549 - - - - - 177 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 358 - - 535 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 28 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 144 - - 307 - - - - - 019 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -4 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9332 - - -8526 - - - - - -12450 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14171 - - 17382 - - - - - 14596 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14326 - - -13057 - - - - - -19846 ODpotential blCL - - - 19164 - - 21912 - - - - - 21991 blCL maxRH - - - 49 - - 37 - - - - - 18 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.3 - - 89.0 - - - - - 74.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.4 - - 19.0 - - - - - 18.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.5 - - 86.7 - - - - - 79.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.2 - - 18.6 - - - - - 17.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 245 - - 331 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2738 - - 6755 - - - - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96319 17 265 27 264 26 262 96319 89062 18 290 17 259 23 273 89062 83530 12 274 16 276 14 284 83530 78972 14 260 21 265 15 317 78972 75054 15 295 15 278 21 312 75054 71600 25 311 24 307 29 315 71600 68509 32 323 26 319 29 319 68509 65700 39 323 29 325 31 323 65700 63096 34 317 31 325 31 314 63096 60558 35 322 30 326 30 310 60558 57891 34 319 28 319 32 307 57891 55110 30 310 30 302 31 303 55110 52443 27 300 28 290 31 304 52443 50024 28 303 26 290 32 301 50024 47843 31 312 28 303 31 301 47843 45856 33 321 29 313 37 308 45856 44043 35 325 32 316 44 310 44043 42388 36 325 36 321 42 324 42388 40860 37 325 40 332 50 333 40860 39429 37 327 50 342 54 335 39429 38077 36 331 60 346 53 340 38077 36768 36 336 63 347 52 345 36768 35436 39 336 62 347 46 343 35436 34053 42 332 60 346 42 340 34053 32623 42 332 56 343 39 338 32623 31130 46 330 52 339 37 333 31130 29566 46 326 51 332 40 331 29566 27933 43 325 49 327 40 328 27933 26231 38 324 43 327 38 320 26231 24463 34 320 36 321 34 315 24463 22629 32 318 31 313 30 316 22629 20723 31 329 27 309 28 318 20723 18740 28 331 23 317 26 317 18740 16718 26 330 21 325 22 318 16718 14765 21 330 18 339 16 322 14765 12984 14 325 11 334 10 319 12984 11400 9 317 8 303 7 286 11400 9992 5 321 4*279 10 268 9992 8738 3 340 3*282 13 272 8738 7619 1 360 3 288 13 275 7619 6622 1 132 3 294 12 277 6622 5739 3 126 3 302 9 282 5739 4953 4*130 4 309 7 295 4953 4247 4*144 4 315 5 323 4247 3620 4 146 4 320 6 350 3620 3094 4 145 4 324 7 003 3094 2690 4 144 4 327 8 009 2690 2411 4 142 4 328 8 013 2411 2241 3 141 4 329 6*019 2241 2145 3 140 4 330 4*019 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography