DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/20 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.0 - - 73.1 - - 70.1 - - 56.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 133 - - 193 - - -9 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 990 - - 3585 - - 44 - - 43 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2127 - - 4264 - - 2127 - - 2127 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3090 - - 5685 - - 2144 - - 2143 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1193 - - 1738 - - 4259 - - 197 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 208 - - 362 - - 10 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 29 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 2 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 130 - - 064 - - 347 - - 329 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -3 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8745 - - -8353 - - -11248 - - -7972 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11836 - - 14039 - - 13393 - - 10116 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15840 - - -14192 - - -17522 - - -17296 ODpotential blCL - - - 18930 - - 19877 - - 19666 - - 19439 blCL maxRH - - - 34 - - 60 - - 18 - - 19 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.0 - - 73.1 - - 70.1 - - 56.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.0 - - 18.9 - - 18.9 - - 20.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.8 - - 71.6 - - 70.8 - - 61.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.8 - - 18.5 - - 18.6 - - 20.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 133 - - 193 - - -9 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 990 - - 3585 - - 44 - - 43 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95996 13 334 3 220 17 287 8 296 95996 88921 13 336 5 350 7 277 10 287 88921 83471 10 309 18 331 9 351 8 293 83471 78937 5 267 19 315 17 333 17 340 78937 75043 1 297 13 285 13 314 15 336 75043 71603 9 321 16 322 16 333 17 335 71603 68494 8 305 19 326 19 344 17 334 68494 65645 11 330 14 332 17 345 21 338 65645 63000 19 333 14 336 15 330 25 323 63000 60424 26 333 19 332 17 323 29 315 60424 57729 33 329 27 331 27 321 37 312 57729 54932 36 317 35 319 33 312 38 308 54932 52243 34 307 37 308 37 307 38 309 52243 49802 33 303 40 301 42 308 42 315 49802 47604 35 308 41 303 51 311 55 323 47604 45603 38 312 44 304 63 313 64 317 45603 43766 40 310 46 306 61 311 62 313 43766 42063 41 305 46 308 56 307 59 308 42063 40478 40 301 43 308 46 302 52 303 40478 39002 40 299 41 304 41 307 42 298 39002 37626 39 295 37 301 40 314 37 303 37626 36311 36 295 34 299 38 317 40 313 36311 34991 35 293 28 288 35 314 46 321 34991 33629 32 295 29 289 36 311 46 326 33629 32220 29 296 28 291 36 310 44 330 32220 30751 28 297 25 290 35 309 40 335 30751 29210 29 302 26 296 33 312 35 334 29210 27599 29 307 27 301 32 316 31 327 27599 25916 25 308 28 304 31 317 31 322 25916 24163 24 307 27 305 29 316 32 321 24163 22343 25 303 26 305 26 313 29 321 22343 20450 23 300 26 303 24 309 25 318 20450 18481 19 299 24 300 25 307 23 315 18481 16476 18 297 22 300 25 306 22 314 16476 14543 19 294 21 302 25 309 22 317 14543 12784 19 296 21 302 23 312 20 321 12784 11218 16 301 18 309 19 317 16 327 11218 9828 12 303 11 317 11 324 10 331 9828 8591 7 329 6 326 6 321 5 329 8591 7490 6 013 2 035 3 286 4 333 7490 6510 6 039 3*098 2 255 4 343 6510 5644 5 060 2*090 1 299 3 009 5644 4876 4 090 2 082 3 337 5 036 4876 4186 8 126 2 071 5 344 8 026 4186 3576 13*130 2 061 6 345 11 013 3576 3065 11*130 2 052 7 346 12 003 3065 2671 9 131 2 045 7 346 12 354 2671 2401 8 130 3 042 7 346 10 351 2401 2237 7 129 2 040 6*346 6 345 2237 2143 6 129 2 038 5*347 3*329 2143 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography