DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/16 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.2 - - 86.9 - - 86.7 - - 74.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 275 - - 360 - - 76 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3261 - - 6652 - - 6125 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4171 - - 6921 - - 5436 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5361 - - 8752 - - 8225 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2402 - - 1437 - - 2009 - - 219 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 394 - - 548 - - 318 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 12 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 8 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 107 - - 009 - - 009 - - 302 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -6 - - 6 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -10078 - - -7569 - - -8513 - - -12020 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15440 - - 16322 - - 16739 - - 14166 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -17921 - - -14271 - - -15169 - - -20830 ODpotential blCL - - - 23282 - - 23023 - - 23394 - - 22975 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 61 - - 66 - - 34 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.2 - - 86.9 - - 86.7 - - 74.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.6 - - 21.9 - - 19.8 - - 20.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.2 - - 84.5 - - 85.8 - - 78.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.2 - - 21.6 - - 19.6 - - 19.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 275 - - 360 - - 76 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3261 - - 6652 - - 6125 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96845 38 248 39 274 41 260 36 262 96845 89562 11 263 20 255 30 249 35 269 89562 84013 12 311 8 228 11 252 21 263 84013 79400 5 004 9 225 7 305 8 291 79400 75422 16 032 5 069 8 032 9 065 75422 71914 13 027 14 036 15 044 22 054 71914 68766 6 162 5 342 9 029 22 029 68766 65887 17 054 16 044 9 033 22 017 65887 63223 24 038 25 042 15 048 20 013 63223 60642 34 030 32 026 26 033 27 017 60642 57960 34 004 33 360 30 015 29 016 57960 55180 34 004 35 008 32 016 29 008 55180 52507 43 014 46 013 46 012 42 009 52507 50091 62 012 59 011 60 007 57 015 50091 47928 68 002 69 005 69 005 72 015 47928 45976 59 351 68 355 73 360 75 009 45976 44199 47 358 60 354 69 358 69 010 44199 42560 61 027 73 022 64 015 65 021 42560 41029 92 033 91 029 80 031 75 034 41029 39593 80 027 86 027 87 031 77 033 39593 38234 58 015 74 022 82 028 70 027 38234 36918 48 005 64 017 72 024 67 021 36918 35577 50 356 54 010 62 021 66 019 35577 34185 53 351 50 003 55 017 64 019 34185 32744 52 351 49 358 50 009 63 020 32744 31241 47 358 49 357 47 001 59 022 31241 29668 50 012 51 357 46 357 47 022 29668 28027 45 018 48 001 49 007 38 008 28027 26317 38 015 41 002 47 017 37 004 26317 24536 37 358 36 357 37 014 42 021 24536 22686 36 345 35 352 31 006 40 027 22686 20761 34 344 36 354 32 001 25 359 20761 18754 29 349 34 354 33 001 27 352 18754 16711 25 350 28 351 32 005 28 008 16711 14748 23 345 20 351 29 011 28 026 14748 12967 21 339 15 344 25 015 25 039 12967 11386 18 339 13 343 18 019 17 046 11386 9980 18 339 13*003 10 020 12 047 9980 8727 17 354 9*011 9*017 12 045 8727 7610 12 012 8 012 9*015 13 044 7610 6614 9 031 8 011 10 013 14 038 6614 5732 6*055 8 010 10 011 13 027 5732 4948 5*091 8 009 10 009 12 016 4948 4243 5 103 8 008 10 007 11 002 4243 3617 4 110 8 007 10 005 11 347 3617 3092 4 112 8 007 10 005 10 336 3092 2689 4 115 8 007 10 004 10 329 2689 2410 4 116 8 006 10 004 9 325 2410 2241 3 116 8 007 9 003 7*315 2241 2145 3 115 7 006 8 003 5*302 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography