DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/30 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 100.5 - - 105.9 - - - - - 100.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 411 - - 397 - - - - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5912 - - 8415 - - - - - 47 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6389 - - 8382 - - - - - 2130 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8012 - - 10515 - - - - - 2147 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2965 - - 2830 - - - - - 10457 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 550 - - 612 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - 20 - - 20 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 344 - - 311 - - - - - 295 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 6 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - -7 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3871 - - -3730 - - - - - -10792 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11884 - - 14245 - - - - - 12939 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6073 - - -5035 - - - - - -13400 ODpotential blCL - - - 14085 - - 15550 - - - - - 15547 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 90 - - - - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 150 - - 30 - - - - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 100.5 - - 105.9 - - - - - 100.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.5 - - 50.3 - - - - - 51.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 97.8 - - 103.1 - - - - - 102.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.4 - - 50.2 - - - - - 50.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 411 - - 397 - - - - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5912 - - 8415 - - - - - 47 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 54 - - 59 - - - - - 11 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 8 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99212 50 114 39 105 52 090 99212 91749 58 104 43 115 43 110 91749 85978 50 094 48 112 36 115 85978 81177 34 101 39 106 35 095 81177 77043 29 112 34 105 31 087 77043 73403 27 112 30 103 26 097 73403 70135 27 111 25 110 25 104 70135 67168 27 111 23 117 26 102 67168 64444 24 108 21 119 24 099 64444 61821 14 105 19 120 18 100 61821 59118 13 119 19 119 17 108 59118 56358 16 106 20 129 16 111 56358 53740 14 129 24 147 12 144 53740 51375 20 139 23 156 17 175 51375 49239 16 131 19 148 16 176 49239 47284 16 144 16 124 15 151 47284 45474 19 129 10 144 16 134 45474 43781 12 111 12 145 16 137 43781 42187 1 026 9 147 14 137 42187 40682 3 312 4 191 9 125 40682 39259 6 275 4 229 6 124 39259 37882 8 256 5 248 7 137 37882 36484 6 190 3 220 11 144 36484 35035 5 185 3 165 17 141 35035 33540 8 215 2 123 16 140 33540 31988 10 199 4 222 15 125 31988 30366 13 181 9 203 12 104 30366 28676 17 176 8 188 11 123 28676 26917 21 180 7 184 10 144 26917 25094 24 181 10 190 11 163 25094 23209 28 177 12 188 8 169 23209 21254 27 177 11 177 6 189 21254 19222 24 173 9 146 8 162 19222 17155 21 162 9 141 12 154 17155 15165 16 151 11 156 11 157 15165 13353 10 174 11 164 3 183 13353 11734 12 207 8*178 7 336 11734 10287 2 286 3*248 10 330 10287 8992 4*358 4 288 11 323 8992 7834 5*349 5 304 12 315 7834 6800 5 346 6 308 12 309 6800 5883 5 344 6 313 13 305 5883 5069 5 343 7 316 14 301 5069 4335 5 341 7 318 15 299 4335 3683 5 342 7 320 16 297 3683 3136 6 342 7 321 16 296 3136 2715 6 343 7 322 15 295 2715 2425 5 342 7 324 12 296 2425 2248 5 343 7 323 9*296 2248 2147 5 344 6 324 5*295 2147 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography