DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/17 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 102.5 - - 107.5 - - 106.8 - - 97.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 365 - - 419 - - 153 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6337 - - 12842 - - 11839 - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6675 - - 12025 - - 10429 - - 2130 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8437 - - 14942 - - 13939 - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5914 - - 2609 - - 4074 - - 2104 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 541 - - 717 - - 499 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 23 - - 75 - - 27 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 130 - - 357 - - 344 - - 336 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -15 - - -15 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4278 - - -110 - - -1486 - - -10923 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12715 - - 15053 - - 15426 - - 13069 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5176 - - -776 - - -2206 - - -13382 ODpotential blCL - - - 13613 - - 15718 - - 16145 - - 15528 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 67 - - 68 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 550 - - 270 - - 120 - - 90 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 102.5 - - 107.5 - - 106.8 - - 97.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.9 - - 48.1 - - 45.9 - - 47.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 99.9 - - 104.6 - - 105.3 - - 99.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.8 - - 48.0 - - 45.8 - - 47.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 365 - - 419 - - 153 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6337 - - 12842 - - 11839 - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 7 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99041 40 112 45 108 31 122 25 096 99041 91529 43 099 39 104 32 100 35 087 91529 85781 35 098 31 096 29 100 32 087 85781 81029 31 104 28 101 28 094 31 094 81029 76940 29 109 24 097 27 095 30 092 76940 73334 25 102 25 109 26 092 22 091 73334 70079 25 091 19 112 24 090 20 093 70079 67091 21 078 16 103 18 085 20 074 67091 64340 15 079 14 071 15 090 13 071 64340 61705 14 080 12 082 13 058 17 064 61705 58983 8 093 7 084 9 040 17 028 58983 56179 5 112 5 152 3 169 4 008 56179 53511 14 323 13 321 9 343 9 335 53511 51111 18 283 18 284 18 288 16 305 51111 48958 13 243 10 322 10 309 11 336 48958 46990 19 327 26 339 21 348 19 358 46990 45176 36 323 30 339 31 347 29 357 45176 43492 30 331 29 344 27 350 27 357 43492 41919 31 025 21 003 21 359 22 350 41919 40440 29 023 25 054 22 014 20 001 40440 39041 23 346 29 057 22 022 20 011 39041 37688 23 330 25 041 24 012 21 013 37688 36315 23 004 25 014 25 007 24 005 36315 34890 32 030 25 354 27 359 26 002 34890 33417 29 026 27 356 28 006 27 002 33417 31880 26 006 27 010 26 017 26 003 31880 30270 25 009 26 023 26 035 24 021 30270 28587 20 012 24 027 26 042 26 053 28587 26830 12 004 17 027 25 044 18 054 26830 25008 10 007 13 018 19 029 17 034 25008 23133 13 030 12 022 16 017 17 021 23133 21191 14 024 12 031 12 042 14 050 21191 19178 9 021 8 053 8 081 9 095 19178 17133 4 053 4 101 8 097 9 117 17133 15158 3 328 3*088 7*097 9 118 15158 13351 5 306 1*066 4*087 8 117 13351 11733 2 251 1 051 3 073 6 115 11733 10286 4 138 1 029 2 039 3 108 10286 8990 6*124 1 011 2 349 1 046 8990 7831 5*126 2 353 4 331 3 330 7831 6798 5 127 2 344 5 327 5 325 6798 5881 5 129 2 342 6 327 7 327 5881 5066 5 131 3 341 6 328 9 329 5066 4333 4 132 3 342 6 328 10 332 4333 3681 4 132 3 342 7 329 11 335 3681 3135 4 133 3 344 7 330 11 338 3135 2714 3 132 3 343 7 329 12 339 2714 2424 3 130 3 345 7 330 11 340 2424 2247 3 130 3 344 7 331 9*338 2247 2146 3 131 3 345 6 331 5*336 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography