DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/18 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 99.5 - - 105.7 - - 105.5 - - 98.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 385 - - 432 - - 142 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5919 - - 11405 - - 12622 - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6366 - - 10863 - - 10974 - - 2130 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8019 - - 13505 - - 14722 - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2993 - - 2667 - - 2560 - - 9942 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 538 - - 696 - - 498 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 88 - - 60 - - 39 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 146 - - 053 - - 015 - - 322 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 8 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - -10 - - -15 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3514 - - -360 - - 466 - - -10742 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11534 - - 13866 - - 14257 - - 12889 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4964 - - -1116 - - 22 - - -12802 ODpotential blCL - - - 12983 - - 14621 - - 14700 - - 14948 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 71 - - 95 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 460 - - 450 - - 320 - - 130 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 99.5 - - 105.7 - - 105.5 - - 98.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.1 - - 51.7 - - 49.9 - - 49.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 96.9 - - 102.8 - - 104.1 - - 100.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.0 - - 51.6 - - 49.9 - - 49.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 385 - - 432 - - 142 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5919 - - 11405 - - 12622 - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 80 - - 33 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99093 34 105 30 104 29 112 24 096 99093 91550 35 102 33 106 28 092 35 095 91550 85769 35 103 31 109 28 092 35 088 85769 80993 32 090 30 095 29 093 30 089 80993 76892 26 086 25 093 28 087 28 084 76892 73288 25 102 19 105 20 085 26 065 73288 70040 20 088 18 102 18 089 17 067 70040 67060 18 072 17 089 19 084 17 085 67060 64308 17 058 18 076 21 068 22 078 64308 61670 10 089 16 075 15 065 20 070 61670 58949 12 126 9 100 8 078 14 050 58949 56153 13 126 8 153 4 118 10 341 56153 53500 13 084 6 202 4 247 7 296 53500 51105 16 001 11 352 5 352 4 343 51105 48946 28 325 21 337 17 349 14 344 48946 46976 29 319 18 342 18 006 14 343 46976 45163 24 324 16 356 17 018 11 357 45163 43479 23 334 13 015 17 015 16 003 43479 41904 23 344 16 017 20 008 22 007 41904 40422 23 353 20 018 21 014 25 011 40422 39025 24 006 24 020 19 025 27 015 39025 37673 25 013 25 025 17 028 24 019 37673 36300 21 011 22 022 16 030 20 026 36300 34876 15 025 18 019 15 035 21 029 34876 33404 14 045 16 026 15 036 18 027 33404 31869 15 054 16 033 16 031 17 030 31869 30261 15 054 16 033 17 019 19 037 30261 28583 17 051 17 027 21 022 21 044 28583 26835 17 040 22 032 26 042 23 057 26835 25019 23 037 21 051 24 060 23 072 25019 23140 24 060 17 080 18 076 18 077 23140 21196 20 069 16 081 18 083 16 089 21196 19179 15 077 15 067 16 082 18 093 19179 17128 16 093 12 069 13 085 17 092 17128 15153 16 084 12*079 10*086 13 096 15153 13347 16 064 7*083 5*082 9 099 13347 11732 14 063 4 079 4 078 6 099 11732 10286 11 084 3 074 3 076 4 094 10286 8992 7*109 2 068 2 042 2 073 8992 7833 4*131 2 053 2 000 2 010 7833 6800 3 139 1 029 3 342 3 343 6800 5883 2 149 1 012 3 336 4 334 5883 5068 1 158 2 003 4 334 5 332 5068 4334 1 170 2 353 4 332 7 330 4334 3682 0 204 2 353 4 333 8 330 3682 3136 0 281 2 350 4 333 8 329 3136 2715 0 300 2 350 4 333 8 329 2715 2424 0 317 2 348 4 332 8 328 2424 2248 0 314 2 349 4 334 7 327 2248 2146 1 324 2 350 4 334 5*322 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography