DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/14 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.4 - - 65.6 - - 76.3 - - 73.4 - - 60.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 120 - - 179 - - -17 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 43 - - 795 - - 3645 - - 44 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit 2126 - - 2127 - - 4271 - - 2128 - - 2127 Hcrit BL Top 2143 - - 2895 - - 5745 - - 2144 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 75 - - 1009 - - 1783 - - 5454 - - 331 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 187 - - 355 - - 0 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 16 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 160 - - 125 - - 124 - - 098 - - 153 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -1 - - 4 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3254 - - -8215 - - -7809 - - -10924 - - -8056 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5397 - - 11111 - - 13555 - - 13068 - - 10201 sfcLCL ODpotential -16248 - - -15949 - - -13745 - - -18182 - - -18472 ODpotential blCL 18391 - - 18844 - - 19490 - - 20326 - - 20616 blCL maxRH 38 - - 30 - - 43 - - 22 - - 21 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 43.4 - - 65.6 - - 76.3 - - 73.4 - - 60.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.1 - - 25.0 - - 24.4 - - 24.0 - - 24.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.4 - - 64.5 - - 74.9 - - 75.1 - - 66.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.0 - - 24.9 - - 24.2 - - 23.6 - - 24.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 120 - - 179 - - -17 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 43 - - 795 - - 3645 - - 44 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96168 8 343 8 359 8 345 10 347 7 012 96168 89176 17 078 21 100 15 111 17 071 21 066 89176 83778 20 076 22 096 24 100 22 083 20 073 83778 79276 25 082 20 099 24 095 20 087 19 078 79276 75375 24 093 22 102 23 090 19 084 15 081 75375 71908 22 091 23 093 20 095 18 084 13 082 71908 68759 21 073 21 086 17 102 14 103 13 073 68759 65862 16 059 14 080 13 074 12 084 13 057 65862 63193 15 048 8 088 6 024 9 051 11 058 63193 60627 15 036 13 074 4 087 7 086 2 025 60627 57946 9 022 14 037 7 061 9 051 5 048 57946 55162 14 044 17 038 20 030 17 026 14 341 55162 52498 18 004 13 007 18 004 17 025 8 311 52498 50082 8 327 1 177 8 284 19 047 20 038 50082 47909 13 046 16 056 17 050 23 082 17 084 47909 45936 26 046 37 048 45 068 37 085 28 101 45936 44126 27 041 37 045 50 070 41 080 37 096 44126 42456 22 033 28 031 48 066 39 077 37 094 42456 40905 13 079 22 047 42 064 34 080 33 099 40905 39455 22 116 27 067 39 065 36 081 32 103 39455 38089 48 086 33 070 40 069 41 080 34 104 38089 36772 63 079 38 073 42 072 43 078 35 100 36772 35438 63 080 41 079 43 072 44 075 35 092 35438 34058 58 083 41 085 40 072 45 074 35 086 34058 32632 51 084 37 090 35 073 43 074 35 084 32632 31146 45 078 33 092 29 078 41 076 35 085 31146 29588 45 076 25 091 25 079 38 078 33 087 29588 27956 42 083 26 081 25 067 35 080 26 080 27956 26250 34 078 25 073 28 061 35 081 24 078 26250 24472 25 060 22 058 31 063 33 082 22 078 24472 22626 19 046 21 053 31 066 31 076 22 077 22626 20703 14 043 20 060 31 072 31 068 25 076 20703 18699 15 038 21 067 29 080 30 066 28 077 18699 16656 18 031 24 072 27 088 26 080 28 078 16656 14689 19 037 23 074 22 094 19 100 23 084 14689 12900 20 043 22 070 20 103 14 098 16 082 12900 11312 18 051 19 067 19 110 13 094 15 070 11312 9903 9 076 15 069 17 108 13 095 16 075 9903 8650 10 090 13 083 14 107 12 100 12 087 8650 7537 15 088 12 093 14 119 11 112 7 111 7537 6549 16 090 13 103 17*124 13 116 8 133 6549 5675 14 094 17 115 17*124 14 115 13 140 5675 4900 12 100 23 120 17 124 14 114 18 139 4900 4204 9 097 23 121 17 124 13 112 19 135 4204 3587 7 085 18 124 17 125 13 111 23 127 3587 3072 4 089 11*127 16 125 12 109 24 122 3072 2676 3 107 7*127 15 124 11 107 17 122 2676 2404 4 121 6 125 14 124 10 104 11 128 2404 2238 4*138 6 124 13 124 8 101 6*134 2238 2144 4*160 5 123 11 124 5*098 3*153 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography