DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 04/03 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.4 - - 84.0 - - - - - 71.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 398 - - 456 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4631 - - 7409 - - - - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5362 - - 7633 - - - - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6731 - - 9509 - - - - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1696 - - 1823 - - - - - 410 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 501 - - 613 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 19 - - 12 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 9 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 332 - - 313 - - - - - 336 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 3 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5250 - - -4547 - - - - - -10994 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11982 - - 14057 - - - - - 13139 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11486 - - -9605 - - - - - -18399 ODpotential blCL - - - 18217 - - 19114 - - - - - 20543 blCL maxRH - - - 48 - - 48 - - - - - 57 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.4 - - 84.0 - - - - - 71.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.0 - - 29.1 - - - - - 21.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.9 - - 81.2 - - - - - 75.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.8 - - 28.9 - - - - - 21.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 398 - - 456 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4631 - - 7409 - - - - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97049 28 273 35 260 52 274 97049 89783 29 256 30 256 32 285 89783 84209 21 259 23 263 12 307 84209 79566 6 305 11 289 11 335 79566 75570 10 345 7 352 14 345 75570 72057 7 345 7 340 10 340 72057 68895 6 335 11 352 9 333 68895 66003 21 294 18 329 19 327 66003 63324 27 280 21 294 23 299 63324 60730 26 294 26 289 29 287 60730 58023 37 292 38 287 31 290 58023 55197 46 289 45 284 38 297 55197 52479 48 278 49 283 45 293 52479 50018 52 274 50 276 52 285 50018 47800 54 276 51 277 50 281 47800 45779 54 279 53 283 53 284 45779 43926 56 281 57 284 57 277 43926 42223 61 279 61 280 56 273 42223 40659 66 277 60 277 62 275 40659 39214 69 279 59 280 71 276 39214 37858 70 280 63 283 78 273 37858 36550 68 277 68 285 77 272 36550 35219 65 272 65 282 72 271 35219 33838 58 271 59 279 60 273 33838 32412 52 272 54 275 51 274 32412 30927 49 279 48 272 43 281 30927 29369 51 279 44 270 40 266 29369 27740 50 281 45 273 45 261 27740 26042 44 282 43 282 45 270 26042 24275 37 279 33 283 34 276 24275 22443 31 275 26 282 25 274 22443 20540 30 277 27 286 22 280 20540 18561 30 280 28 287 18 289 18561 16549 29 289 27 291 13 289 16549 14617 25 301 23 298 7 309 14617 12863 17 305 18 299 4 012 12863 11303 11 305 11 303 3 040 11303 9914 7 306 8*304 5 034 9914 8675 6 316 8*306 8 025 8675 7568 6*326 9 307 9 015 7568 6582 5*329 9 309 10 007 6582 5707 5 329 9 311 11 001 5707 4929 5 330 9 313 11 358 4929 4229 5 331 10 315 11 355 4229 3608 5 333 10 317 11 352 3608 3087 5 336 10 318 11 350 3087 2686 4 338 10 319 11 348 2686 2409 4 338 10 319 10 347 2409 2240 4 337 9 319 7 344 2240 2144 4 340 9 321 5*336 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography