DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/12 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.5 - - 70.4 - - 68.1 - - 57.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 144 - - 191 - - -7 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1219 - - 3951 - - 44 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2374 - - 4527 - - 2127 - - 2127 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3319 - - 6051 - - 2144 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1131 - - 1356 - - 5877 - - 215 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 229 - - 372 - - 7 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 9 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 132 - - 109 - - 098 - - 057 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8762 - - -7578 - - -11079 - - -8775 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12082 - - 13630 - - 13223 - - 10919 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15205 - - -12386 - - -16275 - - -16298 ODpotential blCL - - - 18524 - - 18437 - - 18419 - - 18442 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 79 - - 25 - - 24 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.5 - - 70.4 - - 68.1 - - 57.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 17.6 - - 18.1 - - 17.8 - - 17.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.4 - - 68.9 - - 69.6 - - 62.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.3 - - 17.7 - - 17.4 - - 17.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 144 - - 191 - - -7 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1219 - - 3951 - - 44 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 14 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95994 32 326 27 301 28 308 21 333 95994 89062 22 360 13 350 8 010 16 009 89062 83659 23 018 17 030 16 056 15 038 83659 79135 17 002 22 027 20 046 21 048 79135 75212 10 006 17 014 23 039 23 051 75212 71736 12 024 13 021 17 026 25 031 71736 68599 11 014 12 039 12 047 16 018 68599 65705 14 348 20 012 20 014 17 035 65705 63008 14 318 23 344 25 346 24 007 63008 60400 11 297 18 332 26 336 28 359 60400 57673 15 314 14 323 23 321 25 348 57673 54823 21 316 13 318 19 312 23 332 54823 52084 24 318 17 333 17 319 22 319 52084 49604 23 320 23 339 19 337 19 326 49604 47371 20 318 24 338 21 351 19 343 47371 45340 17 321 22 332 22 355 21 350 45340 43483 17 328 19 327 22 358 19 349 43483 41773 20 334 20 340 23 003 16 356 41773 40189 22 330 21 341 26 357 18 003 40189 38718 20 329 18 339 24 349 20 002 38718 37351 18 348 15 345 20 342 18 005 37351 36054 21 002 14 358 19 334 16 003 36054 34754 22 007 14 003 19 338 12 007 34754 33412 20 010 15 354 19 342 15 003 33412 32023 19 027 14 356 18 341 18 354 32023 30573 22 027 15 010 16 346 17 001 30573 29049 22 029 18 024 16 008 17 031 29049 27456 23 037 18 028 17 026 18 046 27456 25791 25 038 18 030 17 035 19 050 25791 24057 25 042 18 026 17 035 20 055 24057 22258 17 052 15 053 11 055 16 049 22258 20390 7 062 6 046 6 028 10 044 20390 18442 7 064 5 014 7 010 11 026 18442 16448 9 067 6 032 9 026 12 031 16448 14520 9 044 10 032 11 050 13 053 14520 12762 9 033 9 034 11 062 10 070 12762 11200 7 041 8 050 10 083 12 094 11200 9811 6 059 6 060 13 096 12 099 9811 8575 6 072 6 072 13 098 11 094 8575 7475 5 083 7 095 13 099 10 089 7475 6500 4 085 9*107 11 101 7 093 6500 5637 7 111 10*108 10 101 7 118 5637 4872 14 123 10 109 8 102 10 129 4872 4184 19 126 9 109 8 101 13 126 4184 3574 19*129 9 109 7 103 14 120 3574 3064 16*132 9 109 6 102 13 116 3064 2672 14 133 8 108 6 103 8 107 2672 2401 13 132 8 108 5 101 5 086 2401 2237 12 133 7 107 5*100 3*067 2237 2144 10 133 7 107 3*098 2*057 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography