DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/25 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 100.4 - - 106.5 - - 104.6 - - 96.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 441 - - 472 - - 164 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6946 - - 12364 - - 11324 - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7247 - - 11706 - - 10088 - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9046 - - 14464 - - 13424 - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3710 - - 2592 - - 3464 - - 6354 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 594 - - 737 - - 503 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 21 - - 10 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 13 - - 14 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 251 - - 237 - - 250 - - 261 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 6 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - -9 - - -7 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3020 - - 107 - - -836 - - -11060 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12067 - - 14357 - - 14261 - - 13207 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4191 - - -124 - - -1435 - - -13744 ODpotential blCL - - - 13237 - - 14588 - - 14859 - - 15890 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 97 - - 92 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 590 - - 650 - - 490 - - 150 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 100.4 - - 106.5 - - 104.6 - - 96.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.5 - - 50.1 - - 48.9 - - 46.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 97.5 - - 103.5 - - 103.3 - - 97.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.5 - - 50.1 - - 48.8 - - 46.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 441 - - 472 - - 164 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6946 - - 12364 - - 11324 - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 6 - - 89 - - 67 - - 8 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98754 38 101 38 127 20 115 28 078 98754 91269 39 102 35 106 28 110 27 093 91269 85508 33 099 38 088 34 104 30 097 85508 80744 27 097 26 087 31 093 32 101 80744 76655 20 114 20 110 20 084 25 092 76655 73038 18 120 16 114 16 093 18 090 73038 69773 16 108 13 128 16 082 13 077 69773 66792 12 065 15 115 10 123 5 047 66792 64031 9 050 11 030 12 100 6 107 64031 61369 8 011 6 312 7 339 6 347 61369 58638 3 353 6 170 4 014 5 275 58638 55860 10 289 9 244 8 303 12 284 55860 53230 17 273 21 265 17 256 17 259 53230 50857 23 282 33 275 27 264 28 261 50857 48723 35 277 40 269 36 263 37 260 48723 46776 41 269 44 258 44 262 43 258 46776 44974 44 261 47 253 45 255 45 250 44974 43293 48 253 47 248 46 250 48 247 43293 41714 46 246 44 242 46 248 47 245 41714 40224 45 240 41 238 43 248 42 243 40224 38817 45 238 38 238 40 248 38 242 38817 37457 40 239 35 239 36 245 36 241 37457 36078 34 243 34 240 35 245 34 241 36078 34649 33 245 33 242 34 246 32 244 34649 33174 30 249 30 246 32 247 28 248 33174 31641 25 255 24 247 28 243 25 248 31641 30042 20 258 20 245 23 238 21 246 30042 28382 17 252 21 246 21 245 20 244 28382 26656 17 244 22 249 19 252 20 244 26656 24863 17 241 18 253 14 252 18 243 24863 23002 15 241 14 260 12 248 15 242 23002 21071 11 246 12 247 9 244 11 233 21071 19067 7 238 11 227 8 228 10 217 19067 17028 6 237 12 225 10 192 12 207 17028 15060 9 246 12*220 11*190 14 192 15060 13263 13 212 12*224 11*215 11 194 13263 11656 18 201 12 225 11 223 9 209 11656 10219 15*207 13 228 12 232 10 231 10219 8932 8*224 13 232 13 246 11 244 8932 7782 6 234 13 236 15 253 13 252 7782 6756 6 243 13 240 16 257 14 256 6756 5847 6 251 14 243 17 259 17 258 5847 5040 5 258 14 245 17 261 20 260 5040 4313 5 264 14 247 18 262 21 260 4313 3668 5 272 14 249 18 262 22 261 3668 3126 4 276 14 250 17 263 21 261 3126 2709 4 281 13 250 17 264 20 262 2709 2422 4 281 13 251 17 264 17 262 2422 2247 4 284 13 251 16 264 14*262 2247 2146 4 284 11 251 14 264 9*261 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography