DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/28 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 71.7 - - 84.9 - - 93.0 - - 94.1 - - 81.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 68 - - 390 - - 396 - - 89 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 934 - - 2726 - - 4976 - - 7599 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit 2128 - - 3883 - - 5631 - - 6662 - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top 3034 - - 4826 - - 7076 - - 9699 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 632 - - 1334 - - 5886 - - 6355 - - 232 Hgt.Variab. W* 163 - - 417 - - 512 - - 359 - - 3 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 8 - - 17 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 27 - - 21 - - 11 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 135 - - 133 - - 127 - - 080 - - 076 Direction Wind Shear 14 - - 6 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 1 - - -10 - - -19 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -9262 - - -9787 - - -9416 - - -7537 - - -13263 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12296 - - 14614 - - 16492 - - 17237 - - 15409 sfcLCL ODpotential -15247 - - -13298 - - -11465 - - -8910 - - -16998 ODpotential blCL 18281 - - 18124 - - 18541 - - 18609 - - 19143 blCL maxRH 73 - - 75 - - 86 - - 70 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 71.7 - - 84.9 - - 93.0 - - 94.1 - - 81.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.3 - - 28.1 - - 27.1 - - 24.5 - - 21.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 71.3 - - 82.6 - - 90.5 - - 93.1 - - 86.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.2 - - 28.1 - - 27.0 - - 24.5 - - 21.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 68 - - 390 - - 396 - - 89 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 934 - - 2726 - - 4976 - - 7599 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 2 - - 43 - - 0 - - 22 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96855 44 286 36 284 45 272 49 271 53 289 96855 89493 37 292 32 292 33 279 37 287 45 299 89493 83887 28 295 20 282 30 282 27 290 34 299 83887 79277 14 285 16 273 25 284 18 296 19 301 79277 75343 8 307 16 268 21 288 16 316 14 337 75343 71875 8 336 12 282 19 286 14 310 19 337 71875 68728 11 339 7 291 14 279 15 286 16 320 68728 65845 13 316 7 295 9 285 13 272 17 312 65845 63189 16 297 12 299 14 299 19 280 18 292 63189 60636 16 284 13 301 14 284 19 279 16 277 60636 57980 17 275 14 294 12 279 19 281 17 279 57980 55207 20 269 16 264 18 258 26 263 23 269 55207 52530 21 264 19 247 23 240 28 244 28 251 52530 50093 20 256 21 247 25 233 28 235 33 240 50093 47884 22 254 21 247 26 231 29 231 37 237 47884 45859 26 248 23 242 29 235 33 231 40 234 45859 43997 30 237 29 234 34 243 36 237 39 235 43997 42292 31 231 33 226 36 237 38 247 34 240 42292 40736 33 227 37 216 37 227 37 238 30 245 40736 39299 34 221 36 208 35 221 37 223 29 237 39299 37951 35 218 33 208 34 218 34 216 29 229 37951 36648 32 214 32 213 33 220 30 225 28 233 36648 35322 30 211 33 213 34 222 31 231 24 246 35322 33947 28 209 32 213 34 222 31 233 19 264 33947 32525 25 208 32 215 33 221 29 237 18 278 32525 31042 22 211 35 218 36 223 27 240 18 265 31042 29491 21 222 37 219 38 225 28 237 18 240 29491 27874 23 241 37 222 32 229 28 230 15 231 27874 26191 30 253 34 229 26 237 26 226 12 247 26191 24443 31 248 29 232 24 241 23 229 16 267 24443 22633 32 237 26 233 26 235 23 237 23 258 22633 20752 30 234 26 233 23 228 22 242 23 246 20752 18792 22 223 23 227 20 216 19 240 19 242 18792 16790 18 198 18 209 16 209 16 230 16 235 16790 14855 11 211 9 208 5 222 11 222 12 247 14855 13086 13 289 9 317 7 325 4 258 10 270 13086 11503 18 302 8 328 7 339 3 302 10 282 11503 10087 15 317 7 008 5 011 2*319 10 287 10087 8819 12 328 6 025 4 037 2*015 7 294 8819 7686 8 348 3 045 6*123 2 038 5 316 7686 6677 7 049 4 139 8*130 3 071 3 009 6677 5782 8 092 11 150 10 129 4 080 4 076 5782 4988 15 130 16*140 11 128 5 086 7 087 4988 4273 30 134 21*133 12 127 5 088 8 087 4273 3638 37 131 22 133 12 126 6 088 9 084 3638 3107 36*132 22 133 12 125 6 090 9 082 3107 2697 32*134 21 133 12 125 6 090 8 078 2697 2415 29 135 20 133 11 124 6 089 7 072 2415 2243 26 136 19 133 11 124 6 090 5*071 2243 2145 17 137 16 133 10 124 5 090 3*076 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography