DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/04 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.5 - - 82.6 - - 87.6 - - 82.9 - - 71.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -15 - - 175 - - 202 - - -8 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 44 - - 2555 - - 7040 - - 45 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit 2127 - - 3466 - - 6906 - - 2128 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top 2144 - - 4655 - - 9140 - - 2145 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 135 - - 3074 - - 1809 - - 8837 - - 261 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 312 - - 460 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 10 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 6 - - 8 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 166 - - 192 - - 248 - - 306 - - 194 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -2 - - 8 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7153 - - -10294 - - -6913 - - -13293 - - -11390 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9298 - - 14950 - - 16053 - - 15439 - - 13535 sfcLCL ODpotential -17867 - - -16700 - - -12354 - - -19765 - - -20442 ODpotential blCL 20011 - - 21355 - - 21494 - - 21910 - - 22587 blCL maxRH 25 - - 72 - - 56 - - 26 - - 25 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 61.5 - - 82.6 - - 87.6 - - 82.9 - - 71.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.5 - - 24.4 - - 24.1 - - 22.6 - - 20.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.0 - - 80.9 - - 86.0 - - 85.0 - - 76.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.4 - - 24.2 - - 23.9 - - 22.3 - - 20.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -15 - - 175 - - 202 - - -8 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 44 - - 2555 - - 7040 - - 45 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96930 42 288 41 294 38 276 38 278 39 285 96930 89798 35 284 33 292 31 272 30 280 33 295 89798 84268 32 275 27 274 31 281 29 286 26 303 84268 79634 24 272 22 264 27 288 29 288 24 313 79634 75644 15 281 16 258 20 290 22 287 23 302 75644 72138 14 307 9 258 8 286 13 276 15 283 72138 68977 13 308 15 281 10 292 10 315 8 309 68977 66088 13 288 19 282 18 280 15 308 11 309 66088 63442 9 286 12 285 14 269 14 288 10 290 63442 60909 16 312 15 301 12 299 12 300 11 274 60909 58271 24 309 19 296 14 289 15 285 19 268 58271 55520 30 303 24 301 21 278 23 267 26 258 55520 52868 35 295 34 296 31 282 28 272 29 262 52868 50456 34 288 36 293 33 284 30 273 30 262 50456 48283 28 288 28 280 33 279 31 271 31 265 48283 46309 23 288 25 264 35 271 35 266 33 267 46309 44499 28 285 27 251 35 258 37 258 36 266 44499 42823 33 281 29 251 35 247 39 253 39 263 42823 41256 35 277 32 251 37 245 39 252 41 262 41256 39786 37 270 35 255 39 250 40 256 43 261 39786 38401 39 271 37 263 41 257 41 260 44 260 38401 37067 42 272 41 265 43 260 42 261 43 260 37067 35717 45 270 42 266 44 261 43 262 42 263 35717 34319 44 267 42 267 44 262 43 266 41 266 34319 32875 42 262 41 266 42 263 42 267 40 266 32875 31368 40 258 40 259 40 260 39 267 37 267 31368 29787 37 255 39 250 40 254 38 263 34 264 29787 28137 34 254 38 248 39 251 38 258 36 258 28137 26419 33 251 36 244 36 251 35 258 33 259 26419 24630 31 249 33 242 34 249 31 255 27 260 24630 22772 28 250 29 241 30 246 28 252 24 260 22772 20840 25 251 26 237 28 241 26 248 23 254 20840 18829 23 249 25 237 26 239 25 246 20 253 18829 16779 22 245 23 241 24 244 24 247 18 255 16779 14804 24 243 20 244 21 246 22 247 17 256 14804 13009 25 240 18 243 19 237 19 237 17 252 13009 11416 23 237 17 237 18 224 16 216 16 235 11416 10004 21 235 16 231 14*223 13 215 13 206 10004 8747 19 237 16 232 11*229 11 225 11 230 8747 7625 16 239 15 237 11 231 10 237 11 246 7625 6625 10 237 13 238 9 242 9 247 11 258 6625 5739 5 234 11 230 8 248 8 258 9 265 5739 4952 4 235 9*214 7 254 8 266 5 272 4952 4245 4 239 7*201 7 259 8 276 1 307 4245 3617 5 232 7 195 7 264 7 284 3 057 3617 3091 6 213 6 191 6 268 7 290 6 064 3091 2687 10 189 5 189 6 271 7 295 7 065 2687 2409 12 171 5 185 6 273 7 300 5 077 2409 2241 9*165 5 183 6 273 6*302 2*138 2241 2145 5*166 4 183 5 273 4*306 3*194 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography