DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/13 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.0 - - 95.5 - - 85.0 - - 78.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 196 - - 397 - - -13 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3830 - - 8173 - - 46 - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4498 - - 8189 - - 2129 - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5930 - - 10273 - - 2146 - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3378 - - 2966 - - 5349 - - 765 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 384 - - 607 - - 41 - - 23 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 25 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 193 - - 237 - - 120 - - 142 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -1 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -817 - - -394 - - -2427 - - -661 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6747 - - 10668 - - 4573 - - 2807 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2918 - - -956 - - -4798 - - -4626 ODpotential blCL - - - 8848 - - 11229 - - 6944 - - 6772 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 83 - - 94 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 1200 - - 340 - - 3380 - - 3350 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.0 - - 95.5 - - 85.0 - - 78.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 64.5 - - 55.8 - - 71.6 - - 73.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.5 - - 92.7 - - 85.5 - - 80.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 63.5 - - 55.6 - - 70.2 - - 72.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 196 - - 397 - - -13 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3830 - - 8173 - - 46 - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 37 - - 31 - - 74 - - 35 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 10 - - 18 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98976 35 104 39 106 27 098 34 091 98976 91508 30 098 35 110 27 109 28 088 91508 85761 28 088 32 108 25 115 25 088 85761 80984 30 095 31 099 29 105 28 098 80984 76868 31 102 27 100 29 096 30 097 76868 73251 21 104 19 097 21 092 24 092 73251 69998 11 107 13 096 15 078 16 092 69998 67023 7 137 8 097 11 083 10 094 67023 64277 7 139 6 102 7 087 8 098 64277 61620 9 166 4 176 3 250 2 001 61620 58855 8 189 9 201 7 235 3 258 58855 56001 11 236 11 231 9 245 4 300 56001 53291 13 230 15 237 15 258 13 273 53291 50866 14 216 16 228 18 239 18 245 50866 48698 17 219 19 225 19 220 21 232 48698 46734 21 218 27 232 21 228 22 229 46734 44940 25 217 28 223 23 228 22 220 44940 43282 23 216 22 228 13 228 16 211 43282 41721 20 243 17 237 18 266 14 249 41721 40244 24 255 16 261 29 282 16 266 40244 38844 26 247 24 280 28 273 19 260 38844 37487 25 239 27 286 13 262 21 252 37487 36106 22 243 22 290 6 215 12 208 36106 34672 19 246 17 281 7 188 12 190 34672 33189 15 228 13 261 15 191 16 205 33189 31645 15 228 16 217 20 190 19 210 31645 30030 13 234 15 206 20 192 19 203 30030 28346 12 218 14 203 18 193 18 195 28346 26595 13 214 15 209 16 191 19 192 26595 24782 13 216 14 208 16 184 19 189 24782 22910 14 218 14 210 14 177 15 190 22910 20973 14 218 13 216 11 182 12 201 20973 18961 14 217 13 226 8 195 10 214 18961 16915 12 220 11 232 6 226 6 193 16915 14947 7 226 9 222 8 224 6 188 14947 13159 1 220 8 216 9 227 7 221 13159 11565 2 212 7*226 9 247 7 246 11565 10141 4 239 6*232 9 257 8 244 10141 8867 6 248 6 234 8 259 10 241 8867 7728 8 248 6 235 8 254 10 240 7728 6712 8*231 5 237 7 242 10 238 6712 5811 8*215 4 239 7 224 9 234 5811 5010 7 204 4 239 7 199 8 230 5010 4289 6 193 4 239 7 178 7 214 4289 3648 6 188 3 240 8 160 8 183 3648 3113 5 181 3 241 9 145 13 153 3113 2701 5 177 2 244 8 130 16 142 2701 2417 5 173 2 241 8 125 14 141 2417 2244 4 172 2 243 7*122 10*141 2244 2146 4 170 2 240 6*120 6*142 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography