DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/28 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.3 - - 66.7 - - 75.1 - - 72.7 - - 56.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -28 - - 138 - - 191 - - -1 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 43 - - 1029 - - 3817 - - 44 - - 43 BL Depth Hcrit 2126 - - 2127 - - 4429 - - 2128 - - 2127 Hcrit BL Top 2143 - - 3129 - - 5917 - - 2144 - - 2143 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 90 - - 1293 - - 2103 - - 5931 - - 386 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 213 - - 368 - - 12 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 33 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 10 - - 2 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 158 - - 139 - - 148 - - 336 - - 337 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4662 - - -8586 - - -8704 - - -12091 - - -7433 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6806 - - 11716 - - 14622 - - 14235 - - 9577 sfcLCL ODpotential -15733 - - -14667 - - -13471 - - -17036 - - -15433 ODpotential blCL 17876 - - 17796 - - 19388 - - 19180 - - 17576 blCL maxRH 75 - - 92 - - 83 - - 75 - - 74 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.3 - - 66.7 - - 75.1 - - 72.7 - - 56.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.1 - - 23.3 - - 18.1 - - 17.7 - - 23.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.3 - - 65.5 - - 73.5 - - 72.8 - - 61.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.0 - - 23.1 - - 17.8 - - 17.5 - - 23.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -28 - - 138 - - 191 - - -1 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 43 - - 1029 - - 3817 - - 44 - - 43 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 2 - - 67 - - 34 - - 2 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96250 29 278 40 287 48 278 42 290 39 288 96250 89007 27 320 19 292 29 272 35 278 33 297 89007 83472 29 312 23 310 25 304 30 293 33 318 83472 78911 28 308 28 310 20 321 22 302 25 321 78911 74977 34 307 29 303 18 320 17 316 19 313 74977 71488 32 297 33 303 29 321 26 331 20 318 71488 68351 27 287 36 298 31 306 33 325 22 329 68351 65502 22 294 33 283 33 295 33 307 18 322 65502 62871 26 303 28 268 35 288 32 298 31 315 62871 60320 29 299 28 273 37 277 37 295 38 293 60320 57660 36 284 36 279 39 274 38 294 39 288 57660 54883 47 267 45 271 47 276 39 288 44 287 54883 52207 56 263 56 265 58 263 45 278 51 283 52207 49779 71 257 67 262 65 260 51 274 56 281 49779 47597 72 250 73 263 64 268 57 274 61 280 47597 45617 63 265 73 264 67 267 64 272 64 275 45617 43799 62 272 70 262 73 265 71 267 70 272 43799 42117 77 266 76 257 86 263 86 264 79 271 42117 40553 94 262 81 251 102 256 109 256 101 260 40553 39098 97 261 69 258 106 252 111 253 110 252 39098 37733 88 264 69 269 90 250 97 253 106 252 37733 36415 89 265 70 276 78 260 84 262 99 256 36415 35081 85 266 60 274 74 267 79 270 72 254 35081 33704 75 266 56 265 67 269 73 272 60 253 33704 32279 59 262 57 259 61 266 66 269 63 259 32279 30792 43 250 53 255 57 261 61 267 59 266 30792 29235 34 242 46 252 53 265 56 268 56 273 29235 27609 31 246 39 255 44 270 48 269 49 273 27609 25914 33 238 31 254 37 271 35 274 47 269 25914 24152 29 217 28 250 30 269 34 273 44 270 24152 22325 24 210 32 241 20 274 33 269 34 275 22325 20431 21 222 28 220 16 272 19 285 29 281 20431 18465 18 216 15 212 16 296 18 305 25 276 18465 16464 16 217 14 278 19 267 18 312 23 296 16464 14534 13 217 17 275 16 254 16 306 20 316 14534 12774 9 227 13 252 12 288 14 301 17 323 12774 11207 8 245 10 249 9 286 11 306 14 324 11207 9816 6 241 7 254 7 285 9 292 9 307 9816 8578 4 215 3 234 6 278 7 278 6 288 8578 7475 3 191 3 176 4 251 4 273 4 296 7475 6496 2 193 4 144 2*192 3 303 3 297 6496 5631 3 175 5 137 2*165 4 326 4 312 5631 4865 6 153 8 142 2 159 7 334 7 319 4865 4179 10 147 12 144 2 152 9 335 9 326 4179 3570 17 144 15*141 2 146 10 335 11 335 3570 3061 21 139 13*140 2 137 11 335 13 340 3061 2670 20 140 10 139 2 131 11 335 14 341 2670 2400 16 145 9 138 2 128 11 335 12 341 2400 2237 10*149 8 138 2 127 10*335 7 340 2237 2143 6*158 7 138 2 124 8*336 4*337 2143 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography