DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/21 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.1 - - 91.1 - - - - - 78.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 418 - - 477 - - - - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9060 - - 11569 - - - - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8929 - - 11053 - - - - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11160 - - 13669 - - - - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2172 - - 1723 - - - - - 3517 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 637 - - 722 - - - - - 7 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 10 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 13 - - - - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 203 - - 216 - - - - - 256 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 7 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 11 - - - - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3001 - - -2124 - - - - - -11793 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14162 - - 15794 - - - - - 13938 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5306 - - -4655 - - - - - -17638 ODpotential blCL - - - 16466 - - 18324 - - - - - 19782 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 45 - - - - - 27 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.1 - - 91.1 - - - - - 78.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.7 - - 27.9 - - - - - 24.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.5 - - 88.3 - - - - - 79.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.8 - - 27.8 - - - - - 24.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 418 - - 477 - - - - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9060 - - 11569 - - - - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 22 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97788 20 254 24 256 29 287 97788 90392 18 262 17 267 18 289 90392 84693 13 249 18 273 9 300 84693 79968 5 246 16 275 7 331 79968 75886 4 246 11 274 6 314 75886 72290 7 267 12 273 10 309 72290 69070 13 272 13 270 16 275 69070 66132 19 271 14 265 12 266 66132 63393 23 270 18 258 15 262 63393 60725 23 257 22 255 28 266 60725 57959 21 249 30 253 36 261 57959 55116 31 254 39 252 42 262 55116 52406 39 247 41 246 41 261 52406 49955 42 247 45 254 42 274 49955 47747 47 252 44 261 52 277 47747 45745 47 257 39 275 57 277 45745 43926 40 265 49 283 60 274 43926 42267 36 271 54 280 55 266 42267 40735 35 281 40 282 48 258 40735 39300 38 285 36 303 41 257 39300 37947 35 283 41 309 41 259 37947 36636 31 278 40 304 42 263 36636 35305 26 275 38 292 43 266 35305 33922 26 278 38 285 43 267 33922 32492 26 276 33 280 41 266 32492 31001 24 267 31 275 37 264 31001 29440 21 254 31 271 36 266 29440 27810 22 249 30 271 37 269 27810 26111 21 243 27 272 33 266 26111 24344 17 227 23 275 29 261 24344 22509 14 223 20 270 26 261 22509 20604 13 225 19 258 24 257 20604 18627 15 228 19 246 22 245 18627 16620 17 222 20 229 18 236 16620 14689 19 207 18*205 16 230 14689 12931 20 200 14*203 14 211 12931 11363 18*200 14 204 13 183 11363 9963 16*200 13 207 13 175 9963 8712 16 200 13 211 12 184 8712 7595 14 202 13 216 12 200 7595 6599 12 203 13 220 13 219 6599 5717 11 204 13 223 17 234 5717 4935 10 204 13 226 21 244 4935 4233 9 205 13 228 24 249 4233 3610 8 207 13 230 26 253 3610 3089 7 208 12 231 25 254 3089 2687 7 208 12 232 23 256 2687 2410 6 208 12 233 19 256 2410 2241 6 208 11 233 16 256 2241 2144 6 208 10 233 10*256 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography