DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/21 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 96.2 - - 103.4 - - 103.3 - - 92.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 423 - - 469 - - 188 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5602 - - 7923 - - 8198 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6153 - - 8065 - - 7757 - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7702 - - 10023 - - 10298 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 957 - - 1666 - - 2099 - - 2166 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 545 - - 634 - - 473 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 11 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 10 - - 13 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 215 - - 256 - - 260 - - 259 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - 3 - - -6 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -12440 - - -12102 - - -12610 - - -18129 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 20143 - - 22126 - - 22909 - - 20275 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -20153 - - -18213 - - -18263 - - -26062 ODpotential blCL - - - 27855 - - 28236 - - 28561 - - 28207 blCL maxRH - - - 46 - - 54 - - 65 - - 21 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 96.2 - - 103.4 - - 103.3 - - 92.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 14.1 - - 11.6 - - 7.9 - - 10.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 93.5 - - 100.5 - - 101.8 - - 94.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 13.8 - - 11.4 - - 7.6 - - 10.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 423 - - 469 - - 188 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5602 - - 7923 - - 8198 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98613 31 113 31 133 21 090 32 090 98613 91117 33 100 28 101 23 117 21 093 91117 85353 23 106 26 089 28 106 23 110 85353 80613 26 107 20 105 25 093 23 100 80613 76552 27 096 20 108 20 095 20 100 76552 72952 13 081 22 099 18 091 18 102 72952 69707 12 104 14 096 16 087 15 076 69707 66742 15 081 6 141 7 082 12 079 66742 64000 6 079 10 156 4 168 5 090 64000 61371 9 134 10 196 7 242 4 306 61371 58659 6 259 11 206 10 237 10 259 58659 55877 15 274 11 250 12 258 11 250 55877 53243 28 275 22 269 23 268 21 265 53243 50877 43 267 34 266 35 267 33 269 50877 48747 47 260 40 261 41 263 40 268 48747 46800 44 263 41 263 38 259 42 265 46800 45003 44 269 42 269 38 263 38 263 45003 43332 46 271 43 275 38 272 35 266 43332 41765 45 266 42 276 38 269 35 265 41765 40286 44 262 39 270 38 263 35 262 40286 38886 42 263 37 268 37 261 34 259 38886 37532 38 268 35 271 34 256 35 250 37532 36157 35 267 32 270 30 259 30 250 36157 34734 32 263 29 266 27 261 26 253 34734 33268 29 263 28 266 24 261 23 259 33268 31743 27 269 26 271 22 264 21 262 31743 30147 26 275 26 275 21 272 19 269 30147 28479 26 278 27 279 21 281 18 281 28479 26737 27 280 27 282 22 289 18 289 26737 24925 26 281 26 279 21 292 17 293 24925 23047 22 285 21 271 18 287 15 294 23047 21096 18 290 17 263 15 274 14 277 21096 19065 16 281 14 264 14 264 14 264 19065 16994 14 256 13 262 14 255 13 263 16994 15003 17 240 19 249 16 248 14 257 15003 13195 23 238 24 247 18 247 16 251 13195 11587 28 243 24 245 15*243 13 239 11587 10156 26 241 15*242 12*249 9 224 10156 8878 21*232 13*244 12 252 7 248 8878 7738 10*216 12 247 12 255 9 266 7738 6721 8 211 11 251 13 258 11 271 6721 5819 7 210 10 256 13 262 13 270 5819 5018 6 212 10 259 13 264 16 268 5018 4296 6 214 10 262 13 265 18 266 4296 3656 5 218 9 266 13 267 20 264 3656 3118 4 221 9 268 13 268 20 263 3118 2704 4 223 9 270 13 268 20 262 2704 2418 4 225 8 270 12 268 17 262 2418 2245 4 225 8 271 12 269 13 261 2245 2145 3 225 7 271 10 269 7*259 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography