DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/10 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.6 - - 79.3 - - 77.3 - - 67.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 208 - - 267 - - 15 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3889 - - 8500 - - 8008 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4524 - - 8223 - - 2128 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5989 - - 10600 - - 10108 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3926 - - 2660 - - 3408 - - 1589 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 381 - - 537 - - 204 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 12 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 8 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 223 - - 225 - - 227 - - 252 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 13 - - -3 - - 14 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2711 - - -211 - - 324 - - -4354 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8700 - - 10812 - - 9784 - - 6499 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3828 - - -689 - - -325 - - -6797 ODpotential blCL - - - 9817 - - 11289 - - 10433 - - 8941 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 88 - - 95 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 40 - - 20 - - 70 - - 140 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.6 - - 79.3 - - 77.3 - - 67.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.8 - - 39.0 - - 41.8 - - 46.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.9 - - 77.5 - - 77.2 - - 69.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.7 - - 38.9 - - 41.7 - - 46.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 208 - - 267 - - 15 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3889 - - 8500 - - 8008 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 12 - - 51 - - 82 - - 47 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96582 14 103 8 116 20 083 21 061 96582 89398 17 087 12 106 18 095 24 066 89398 83846 16 098 14 086 14 083 15 089 83846 79253 13 121 14 063 14 089 10 098 79253 75296 14 145 3 022 8 098 9 105 75296 71808 10 131 8 177 3 191 1 119 71808 68663 7 153 10 186 11 192 7 246 68663 65777 10 222 12 208 17 203 15 215 65777 63105 21 256 13 243 18 229 20 232 63105 60519 32 246 30 267 32 257 29 250 60519 57806 40 240 44 249 43 249 40 258 57806 54977 42 243 46 244 52 247 52 255 54977 52267 59 253 61 247 66 250 62 252 52267 49808 64 251 66 248 74 252 74 258 49808 47585 66 254 73 256 80 253 84 254 47585 45565 76 255 76 255 80 252 88 250 45565 43735 71 256 80 254 82 254 84 249 43735 42074 62 261 77 255 86 249 81 249 42074 40548 59 275 60 263 69 242 82 245 40548 39118 60 283 56 269 68 248 79 244 39118 37766 55 284 57 274 68 253 78 248 37766 36455 51 283 57 275 64 255 79 250 36455 35122 50 284 53 275 63 257 75 253 35122 33740 50 285 49 273 62 258 70 255 33740 32311 52 288 46 271 61 260 66 256 32311 30821 53 291 44 271 58 262 64 256 30821 29258 48 293 45 274 56 265 60 256 29258 27624 35 296 46 275 55 266 62 257 27624 25921 30 294 46 275 57 267 62 258 25921 24156 29 294 46 278 57 268 56 259 24156 22330 29 295 40 280 51 269 48 259 22330 20436 24 293 31 278 39 269 40 255 20436 18470 13 279 17 273 31 264 33 248 18470 16470 7 234 13 250 22 249 24 243 16470 14550 9 225 18 223 17 218 16 231 14550 12808 10 204 18 220 15 208 16 192 12808 11260 10 216 13*225 13*210 14 170 11260 9880 9 221 10*224 12*214 11 172 9880 8645 7 212 10 223 12 217 11 194 8645 7542 9 222 9 223 12 222 13 213 7542 6559 13*228 9 224 12 227 15 225 6559 5687 15*226 8 224 12 230 16 233 5687 4912 15 224 8 225 12 232 18 240 4912 4216 14 224 8 226 12 234 20 245 4216 3598 14 223 7 226 11 235 20 250 3598 3080 13 223 7 228 11 236 20 253 3080 2681 12 222 6 228 11 237 18 257 2681 2406 11 222 6 228 11 236 14 258 2406 2240 10 222 6 228 10 237 11*257 2240 2144 9 221 6 228 8 237 6*252 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography