DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/08 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0703z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 71.3 - - 87.3 - - 91.4 - - 90.5 - - 78.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 34 - - 377 - - 425 - - 125 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 159 - - 8400 - - 11058 - - 11318 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit 2128 - - 8340 - - 10568 - - 9826 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top 2259 - - 10500 - - 13158 - - 13418 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 265 - - 2846 - - 1463 - - 2064 - - 231 Hgt.Variab. W* 72 - - 600 - - 685 - - 460 - - 3 W* B/S 3 - - 21 - - 44 - - 17 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 173 - - 118 - - 211 - - 279 - - 328 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 8 - - 6 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -5 - - -11 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8866 - - -4495 - - -3460 - - -3335 - - -12303 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11126 - - 14996 - - 16619 - - 16754 - - 14449 sfcLCL ODpotential -14845 - - -7836 - - -6262 - - -6032 - - -17180 ODpotential blCL 17104 - - 18336 - - 19420 - - 19450 - - 19325 blCL maxRH 37 - - 48 - - 43 - - 45 - - 52 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 71.3 - - 87.3 - - 91.4 - - 90.5 - - 78.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.5 - - 28.0 - - 24.3 - - 22.9 - - 22.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 71.0 - - 84.7 - - 88.6 - - 89.3 - - 82.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.5 - - 27.9 - - 24.2 - - 22.9 - - 22.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 34 - - 377 - - 425 - - 125 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 159 - - 8400 - - 11058 - - 11318 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97130 55 278 51 264 53 259 53 268 52 262 97130 89751 42 273 39 272 44 265 46 266 42 270 89751 84128 23 273 25 270 29 267 32 266 31 277 84128 79503 19 297 17 287 16 273 20 280 21 288 79503 75536 14 309 12 310 8 258 13 296 14 315 75536 72046 7 318 7 323 2 240 5 284 10 326 72046 68889 9 317 8 346 4 332 4 244 6 291 68889 65976 11 304 11 316 7 337 4 278 8 256 65976 63264 20 282 18 289 14 290 16 288 16 280 63264 60630 24 285 21 283 23 275 24 282 23 280 60630 57877 32 286 27 287 29 283 28 284 25 281 57877 55016 40 282 35 288 32 284 30 283 29 276 55016 52279 42 279 41 281 38 280 35 280 33 277 52279 49807 39 278 42 274 43 271 40 275 36 279 49807 47583 38 281 39 272 42 266 40 272 37 279 47583 45566 39 286 36 273 40 264 37 267 38 272 45566 43734 43 285 34 276 33 264 31 261 36 259 43734 42061 40 280 32 278 27 267 28 272 30 254 42061 40516 34 279 29 273 23 265 27 273 24 264 40516 39074 27 277 25 265 22 256 23 264 22 259 39074 37722 22 279 21 254 21 242 21 259 22 254 37722 36416 20 283 17 254 16 229 22 255 21 258 36416 35092 18 286 17 257 11 237 20 243 19 264 35092 33725 18 298 15 264 11 246 17 232 17 254 33725 32314 19 298 13 275 10 247 15 244 16 246 32314 30844 18 299 13 284 9 244 12 264 14 267 30844 29305 16 310 11 292 8 242 11 281 12 285 29305 27697 17 318 10 306 9 254 11 297 10 293 27697 26021 17 318 9 301 12 272 12 315 12 311 26021 24276 14 292 14 278 15 288 15 318 15 314 24276 22466 15 285 16 285 14 293 16 313 14 315 22466 20586 17 302 15 307 11 302 9 311 9 299 20586 18627 16 324 11 326 6 326 2 315 3 238 18627 16631 10 339 4 315 2 273 4 197 4 200 16631 14710 6 299 3 305 4*197 9*206 12 194 14710 12963 4 208 2 208 5*193 7*216 11 206 12963 11402 9 138 7*158 5 195 7 222 9 237 11402 10005 10 126 9*144 5 197 5 244 9 263 10005 8755 7 104 8 134 4 200 5 272 9 276 8755 7636 7 077 7 122 3 209 5 288 9 284 7636 6638 8 064 6 113 2 220 6 299 9 290 6638 5752 7 059 5 108 2 234 6 304 10 296 5752 4965 5 057 4 104 2 254 7 308 10 301 4965 4257 4 070 4 102 2 274 7 310 10 307 4257 3627 5 110 3 094 2 288 7 312 10 314 3627 3100 6 144 3 092 2 295 7 313 10 320 3100 2693 7 162 3 086 2 304 7 314 10 325 2693 2413 7*173 3 085 2 307 7 315 10 330 2413 2242 6*172 3 083 2 309 7 314 7*331 2242 2145 4 174 2 083 2 310 6 315 5*328 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography