DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/30 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.3 - - 71.7 - - 72.0 - - 57.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 148 - - 221 - - -7 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1014 - - 3985 - - 44 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2127 - - 4621 - - 2128 - - 2127 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3114 - - 6085 - - 2144 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1063 - - 2035 - - 6530 - - 164 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 217 - - 391 - - 13 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 18 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 131 - - 072 - - 029 - - 028 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -6 - - 4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8494 - - -7830 - - -11889 - - -9695 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11609 - - 13916 - - 14033 - - 11839 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16896 - - -14311 - - -18128 - - -20592 ODpotential blCL - - - 20010 - - 20396 - - 20272 - - 22736 blCL maxRH - - - 37 - - 29 - - 25 - - 22 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.3 - - 71.7 - - 72.0 - - 57.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.5 - - 18.1 - - 18.0 - - 14.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.1 - - 70.0 - - 72.2 - - 63.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.2 - - 17.9 - - 17.7 - - 14.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 148 - - 221 - - -7 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1014 - - 3985 - - 44 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96012 35 276 44 272 55 269 47 292 96012 88843 37 275 38 283 42 289 36 291 88843 83352 31 278 38 283 34 298 30 299 83352 78815 23 292 30 306 20 296 22 292 78815 74892 21 295 30 310 18 319 20 296 74892 71422 18 299 25 296 21 309 23 312 71422 68310 13 313 19 289 19 289 24 301 68310 65459 16 317 19 317 18 313 28 306 65459 62824 27 304 30 310 29 322 37 313 62824 60308 33 292 36 289 42 306 44 310 60308 57701 31 304 35 290 42 292 49 285 57701 54954 41 321 38 317 30 307 52 277 54954 52275 59 320 55 326 48 324 44 302 52275 49848 65 307 64 318 61 323 52 315 49848 47674 58 290 65 290 69 305 60 309 47674 45717 41 280 45 273 70 289 66 295 45717 43932 31 303 29 288 48 271 56 280 43932 42275 40 326 38 330 33 318 30 301 42275 40735 48 333 48 332 44 336 34 340 40735 39301 48 342 46 327 44 335 37 341 39301 37951 45 003 37 333 41 339 32 346 37951 36645 56 023 33 359 40 349 31 004 36645 35317 67 024 39 016 37 355 34 016 35317 33939 67 019 42 014 32 355 33 005 33939 32512 62 014 45 008 29 351 33 354 32512 31021 57 010 48 004 30 347 32 350 31021 29459 53 008 49 360 34 346 29 345 29459 27824 51 007 47 357 35 350 28 342 27824 26116 54 006 41 358 33 358 26 343 26116 24335 52 004 38 002 28 357 22 350 24335 22486 43 003 38 007 24 352 17 354 22486 20568 34 004 37 007 24 001 16 352 20568 18580 31 004 31 358 24 009 19 353 18580 16558 32 001 29 354 25 008 22 000 16558 14606 32 003 30 001 26 007 25 006 14606 12827 28 005 29 013 27 014 27 018 12827 11246 23 003 27 025 25 026 27 033 11246 9846 22 003 23 034 22 041 23 043 9846 8606 23 013 20 043 17 056 20 048 8606 7503 21 028 16 057 12 062 17 050 7503 6524 18 040 10*070 11 059 16 049 6524 5656 14 049 7*075 11 051 15 047 5656 4887 12 063 5 073 10 045 15 046 4887 4196 11 078 4 073 10 041 15 045 4196 3582 8*092 4 072 10 037 16 045 3582 3069 4*119 3 071 10 034 16 045 3069 2674 3 136 3 069 9 032 15 044 2674 2402 3 137 2 069 9 030 12 043 2402 2237 2 136 2 070 8*030 8*037 2237 2144 2 134 2 068 6*029 5*028 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography