DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/03 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.9 - - 63.9 - - 61.2 - - 51.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 151 - - 168 - - -23 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4109 - - 4543 - - 44 - - 43 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4528 - - 4900 - - 2127 - - 2126 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6209 - - 6643 - - 2144 - - 2143 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1965 - - 3249 - - 7899 - - 625 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 351 - - 374 - - 9 - - 2 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 19 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 240 - - 267 - - 299 - - 312 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 14 - - -6 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -133 - - 222 - - -5766 - - -3938 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6342 - - 6422 - - 7910 - - 6081 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -788 - - -503 - - -6997 - - -7109 ODpotential blCL - - - 6997 - - 7146 - - 9141 - - 9252 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 82 - - 76 - - 45 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 140 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.9 - - 63.9 - - 61.2 - - 51.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.5 - - 43.1 - - 34.1 - - 32.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.7 - - 62.6 - - 62.5 - - 54.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.3 - - 42.9 - - 33.9 - - 32.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 151 - - 168 - - -23 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4109 - - 4543 - - 44 - - 43 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 17 - - 26 - - 2 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96531 9 020 8 094 9 283 11 302 96531 89405 9 069 4 148 2 357 4 046 89405 83913 9 073 4 155 1 083 5 048 83913 79338 4 099 4 037 6 130 4 002 79338 75381 1 094 10 012 8 082 7 022 75381 71865 2 273 10 340 8 024 14 011 71865 68681 9 252 8 288 4 337 11 336 68681 65757 13 258 11 268 7 263 8 270 65757 63019 18 272 17 264 12 272 8 316 63019 60350 26 261 21 266 20 264 19 289 60350 57566 30 264 28 263 22 257 17 279 57566 54657 37 263 30 268 31 279 26 283 54657 51881 36 261 36 259 39 269 37 279 51881 49407 37 264 33 269 42 273 37 281 49407 47195 47 283 41 275 41 282 38 293 47195 45196 60 280 52 280 49 291 49 287 45196 43376 64 276 62 276 60 282 57 279 43376 41706 72 276 70 276 64 280 59 274 41706 40155 83 269 83 276 68 280 64 274 40155 38702 93 262 93 271 76 278 79 277 38702 37335 99 256 100 265 86 273 96 270 37335 36018 101 251 109 263 94 269 109 266 36018 34684 97 250 114 260 102 268 116 262 34684 33303 93 253 107 258 111 265 120 259 33303 31874 86 257 99 259 108 261 120 259 31874 30385 83 261 94 260 100 262 115 262 30385 28822 81 266 87 264 99 267 102 263 28822 27192 81 271 83 270 94 271 89 267 27192 25504 83 274 84 274 87 273 82 275 25504 23756 81 272 86 275 81 275 78 280 23756 21943 80 266 86 273 77 275 73 281 21943 20054 80 265 82 271 75 277 67 284 20054 18085 75 269 75 271 69 281 63 293 18085 16099 61 272 61 273 55 285 48 305 16099 14214 46 273 40 267 42 275 26 288 14214 12513 36 270 35 262 33 268 27 263 12513 11000 27 259 30 262 27 267 27 269 11000 9653 22 252 24 260 22 281 17 282 9653 8452 18 249 22 258 17 287 11 289 8452 7379 15 244 21*259 17 290 10 293 7379 6423 15*244 20*262 17 292 10 309 6423 5576 17*241 20 264 17 295 11 328 5576 4825 17 240 20 265 16 297 12 341 4825 4151 17 240 19 267 16 298 14 344 4151 3551 16 240 19 268 16 300 15 342 3551 3050 16 240 18 269 15 300 15 339 3050 2663 15 241 18 270 14 301 14 336 2663 2397 14 241 17 271 12 300 11 332 2397 2235 13 241 16 271 10*299 7*323 2235 2143 11 240 13 271 7*299 4*312 2143 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography