DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/23 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.2 - - 84.4 - - - - - 76.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 449 - - 474 - - - - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5158 - - 6794 - - - - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5824 - - 7155 - - - - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7258 - - 8894 - - - - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1313 - - 1737 - - - - - 6158 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 541 - - 604 - - - - - 3 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 9 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 12 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 265 - - 266 - - - - - 285 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - -4 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5438 - - -5916 - - - - - -11228 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12696 - - 14811 - - - - - 13373 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9759 - - -9144 - - - - - -15604 ODpotential blCL - - - 17017 - - 18038 - - - - - 17748 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 84 - - - - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.2 - - 84.4 - - - - - 76.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.7 - - 26.0 - - - - - 25.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.5 - - 81.7 - - - - - 77.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.6 - - 25.9 - - - - - 24.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 449 - - 474 - - - - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5158 - - 6794 - - - - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 36 - - - - - 38 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97652 25 276 24 277 23 314 97652 90256 17 279 20 289 29 306 90256 84566 17 292 17 284 23 300 84566 79863 20 306 20 302 16 303 79863 75814 13 307 21 316 14 289 75814 72243 13 312 13 291 16 298 72243 69027 14 281 15 266 21 303 69027 66078 8 286 16 248 22 301 66078 63337 16 298 12 253 24 273 63337 60677 30 292 26 279 28 277 60677 57910 38 268 39 266 39 272 57910 55044 43 263 43 272 47 273 55044 52294 52 272 61 277 57 276 52294 49809 61 273 79 269 63 278 49809 47585 85 267 91 265 80 272 47585 45587 92 267 103 266 88 269 45587 43772 105 276 102 264 91 271 43772 42100 109 276 100 265 94 272 42100 40544 114 272 105 269 97 273 40544 39088 113 273 118 271 101 275 39088 37716 113 277 119 269 105 276 37716 36392 112 278 118 268 105 278 36392 35050 109 276 107 268 97 278 35050 33659 98 277 93 267 85 276 33659 32225 91 275 78 270 79 278 32225 30737 79 271 73 266 67 278 30737 29186 72 268 67 263 60 276 29186 27569 71 268 60 265 56 276 27569 25882 63 272 56 267 52 277 25882 24129 57 276 53 273 46 280 24129 22316 54 276 49 282 42 282 22316 20438 50 277 46 282 41 280 20438 18488 45 279 42 277 37 278 18488 16501 41 276 39 273 33 280 16501 14586 36 275 35 271 29 282 14586 12842 31 276 30 275 24 282 12842 11288 27 273 25 275 19 275 11288 9902 23 270 19*266 15 257 9902 8664 19 264 13*261 13 253 8664 7559 13*262 13 261 14 266 7559 6575 9*261 12 262 15 273 6575 5703 6 262 12 265 17 276 5703 4927 6 264 12 266 18 279 4927 4228 5 264 11 268 19 281 4228 3607 5 266 11 270 19 284 3607 3086 4 268 11 272 19 285 3086 2686 4 271 10 273 17 286 2686 2409 4 272 10 274 14 286 2409 2241 4 272 10 274 11 286 2241 2144 3 272 9 274 6*285 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography