DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/22 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 99.8 - - 105.1 - - 104.8 - - 95.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 413 - - 468 - - 190 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5856 - - 8383 - - 8940 - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6346 - - 8436 - - 8341 - - 2130 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7956 - - 10483 - - 11040 - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1648 - - 2155 - - 2438 - - 5410 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 549 - - 645 - - 488 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 11 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 11 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 234 - - 261 - - 271 - - 287 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -5 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -11691 - - -9377 - - -6972 - - -12954 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 19648 - - 19860 - - 18013 - - 15101 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -17578 - - -13107 - - -10739 - - -18112 ODpotential blCL - - - 25534 - - 23590 - - 21779 - - 20258 blCL maxRH - - - 55 - - 44 - - 58 - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 99.8 - - 105.1 - - 104.8 - - 95.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.7 - - 23.6 - - 31.9 - - 36.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 97.1 - - 102.1 - - 103.1 - - 97.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.5 - - 23.5 - - 31.9 - - 36.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 413 - - 468 - - 190 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5856 - - 8383 - - 8940 - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98810 32 102 39 101 42 110 38 101 98810 91302 32 107 34 116 27 104 29 092 91302 85550 29 105 24 118 25 106 22 094 85550 80790 23 109 24 112 18 097 23 088 80790 76680 23 111 23 100 18 104 22 073 76680 73053 21 103 20 094 22 093 19 105 73053 69787 12 113 15 093 19 085 20 097 69787 66808 11 134 8 084 16 082 14 089 66808 64070 11 131 3 176 9 047 16 073 64070 61439 9 120 6 146 2 042 8 038 61439 58728 1 354 1 172 1 196 1 311 58728 55950 8 305 6 273 9 263 8 266 55950 53319 20 284 18 281 19 283 16 284 53319 50956 25 278 23 276 24 279 24 275 50956 48832 28 283 29 280 29 280 28 275 48832 46892 32 283 32 279 33 281 33 279 46892 45098 33 285 34 281 35 280 35 279 45098 43425 32 287 33 282 35 282 34 278 43425 41853 30 282 29 280 35 283 33 279 41853 40371 30 275 26 275 31 280 32 282 40371 38969 28 268 26 268 27 274 28 280 38969 37613 26 261 25 260 25 262 25 261 37613 36241 26 261 24 253 23 253 26 252 36241 34819 25 258 25 249 21 247 26 247 34819 33349 24 250 25 240 22 236 24 240 33349 31822 21 241 23 234 23 230 23 230 31822 30223 20 235 22 231 24 227 23 224 30223 28553 19 225 21 225 22 219 22 217 28553 26811 19 216 21 214 22 213 20 213 26811 24997 16 211 19 206 21 212 18 211 24997 23118 11 211 14 198 19 203 16 208 23118 21171 5 194 13 182 17 193 16 201 21171 19147 6 175 12 178 15 191 18 195 19147 17087 14 231 13 221 13 218 13 204 17087 15098 24 234 19 240 15 242 10 241 15098 13282 21 238 17 238 12 232 8 237 13282 11664 18 250 12*242 9*242 5 203 11664 10222 18 250 11*248 9*249 2 187 10222 8934 14*234 10 250 9 252 2 318 8934 7783 10*227 11 254 9 264 4 319 7783 6757 10 228 11 258 10 271 7 312 6757 5848 9 230 11 262 10 275 9 303 5848 5040 8 233 11 265 10 278 12 297 5040 4313 8 236 11 267 11 280 14 293 4313 3667 7 240 11 270 11 282 15 289 3667 3126 7 243 11 271 11 283 16 288 3126 2709 6 246 11 272 10 284 16 287 2709 2421 6 247 10 273 10 284 14 287 2421 2246 6 247 10 273 10 285 11 288 2246 2146 5 248 9 273 9 284 6*287 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography