DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/23 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 102.5 - - 109.1 - - 106.9 - - 97.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 357 - - 424 - - 108 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6129 - - 14682 - - 12440 - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6500 - - 13550 - - 10532 - - 2130 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8229 - - 16782 - - 14540 - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4576 - - 2489 - - 4818 - - 5285 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 531 - - 752 - - 452 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 1729 - - 73 - - 14 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 0 - - 2 - - 6 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 124 - - 131 - - 304 - - 270 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 16 - - 16 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - -7 - - 15 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4497 - - 1334 - - -306 - - -7913 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12727 - - 15449 - - 14846 - - 10059 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5761 - - 282 - - -960 - - -10249 ODpotential blCL - - - 13990 - - 16500 - - 15500 - - 12395 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 54 - - 97 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 730 - - 600 - - 500 - - 1770 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 102.5 - - 109.1 - - 106.9 - - 97.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.9 - - 47.8 - - 48.6 - - 60.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 99.9 - - 106.2 - - 105.8 - - 97.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.8 - - 47.8 - - 48.6 - - 60.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 357 - - 424 - - 108 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6129 - - 14682 - - 12440 - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 86 - - 30 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 6 - - 8 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99000 44 117 20 122 20 088 30 101 99000 91544 32 098 23 130 25 081 30 097 91544 85801 26 094 28 121 20 098 24 092 85801 81052 25 096 34 100 26 121 21 095 81052 76964 23 099 29 091 30 109 22 116 76964 73344 18 106 21 095 27 099 20 106 73344 70071 18 108 13 108 21 094 17 098 70071 67086 18 112 13 124 13 087 15 097 67086 64335 21 117 15 112 11 114 13 105 64335 61678 13 106 15 125 9 129 7 107 61678 58928 8 099 17 141 12 148 4 150 58928 56117 7 077 14 137 15 148 10 151 56117 53463 5 229 5 159 10 179 10 168 53463 51081 9 223 6 214 10 208 11 202 51081 48947 4 263 3 199 9 214 12 210 48947 46995 10 277 9 257 12 246 11 224 46995 45183 13 266 14 265 18 264 16 247 45183 43486 14 248 15 256 21 264 20 255 43486 41892 18 237 17 239 23 257 22 252 41892 40393 18 237 21 237 30 247 28 243 40393 38984 15 220 21 236 29 240 31 236 38984 37624 20 222 20 233 26 237 27 233 37624 36242 27 211 24 224 26 237 23 230 36242 34812 23 180 27 212 25 231 21 216 34812 33338 23 166 28 193 21 215 26 201 33338 31806 22 163 24 182 24 195 28 200 31806 30203 22 168 19 178 22 196 18 207 30203 28531 23 174 16 180 19 199 17 201 28531 26792 22 174 14 169 18 195 16 197 26792 24986 23 168 15 160 18 186 16 186 24986 23114 19 157 15 152 15 167 19 167 23114 21173 15 145 14 126 18 123 23 138 21173 19163 15 137 13 108 19 107 25 104 19163 17122 14 128 13*113 17 104 24 098 17122 15147 11 127 11*118 11*097 18 090 15147 13339 8 127 7 122 6*080 12 063 13339 11721 9 108 6 124 4 049 11 043 11721 10274 8 094 6 125 3 002 9 021 10274 8979 4*094 3 129 5 321 9 354 8979 7820 2*093 1 171 7 305 10 326 7820 6787 2 096 1 286 8 298 11 305 6787 5872 1 109 3 291 10 293 14 290 5872 5059 0 188 3 293 11 290 18 278 5059 4327 0 263 4 295 11 288 22 273 4327 3677 1 273 5 294 11 287 23 271 3677 3133 2 280 5 296 12 286 23 271 3133 2713 2 278 5 296 12 286 21 271 2713 2424 2 279 5 295 12 285 19 271 2424 2247 2 283 5 296 11 286 16 270 2247 2146 2 282 5 296 10 285 11*270 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography