DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/18 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 66.8 - - 89.3 - - 95.9 - - 95.3 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 260 - - 341 - - 58 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth 44 - - 2223 - - 6767 - - 4845 - - - BL Depth Hcrit 2127 - - 3386 - - 6983 - - 4216 - - - Hcrit BL Top 2144 - - 4323 - - 8867 - - 6945 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. 72 - - 4222 - - 1733 - - 3912 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 341 - - 540 - - 269 - - - W* B/S 0 - - 15 - - 13 - - 7 - - - B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 8 - - 7 - - - BL Wind Direction 195 - - 032 - - 358 - - 332 - - - Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -4 - - -6 - - -11 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8800 - - -12954 - - -10887 - - -12451 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10944 - - 17278 - - 19755 - - 19397 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential -19603 - - -19744 - - -16473 - - -18050 - - - ODpotential blCL 21747 - - 24067 - - 25340 - - 24995 - - - blCL maxRH 18 - - 43 - - 38 - - 61 - - - maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m 66.8 - - 89.3 - - 95.9 - - 95.3 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.7 - - 20.5 - - 15.3 - - 16.5 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 66.9 - - 87.3 - - 93.5 - - 94.5 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.5 - - 20.2 - - 14.9 - - 16.1 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 260 - - 341 - - 58 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth 44 - - 2223 - - 6767 - - 4845 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97000 36 279 35 288 30 276 34 273 97000 89642 22 267 22 276 21 284 21 267 89642 84035 13 267 16 292 11 286 10 268 84035 79438 6 102 9 194 6 252 7 304 79438 75510 15 069 20 127 9 183 2 115 75510 72064 6 056 17 108 12 134 9 149 72064 68938 8 190 3 177 4 083 6 144 68938 66046 4 218 5 191 5 275 10 356 66046 63383 6 005 3 343 10 300 15 346 63383 60835 16 022 9 009 10 358 9 334 60835 58188 22 009 18 016 14 019 12 360 58188 55443 24 001 20 014 13 010 15 000 55443 52819 28 358 21 009 16 006 15 002 52819 50443 28 353 25 005 21 004 17 006 50443 48302 28 350 28 000 24 002 24 004 48302 46364 27 351 26 351 28 002 29 002 46364 44598 27 006 28 008 33 009 27 017 44598 42964 31 018 32 024 34 012 34 035 42964 41432 35 022 28 025 26 012 34 034 41432 39986 35 026 26 031 25 020 32 037 39986 38617 39 031 29 028 27 031 30 043 38617 37290 42 032 32 026 31 039 28 049 37290 35943 41 030 37 032 36 044 28 051 35943 34544 39 028 39 035 38 048 28 051 34544 33097 37 027 35 037 35 050 27 051 33097 31588 34 023 30 036 32 046 26 051 31588 30009 29 014 27 028 32 039 25 045 30009 28358 27 010 28 023 33 039 24 039 28358 26634 31 017 30 027 31 044 23 044 26634 24838 33 025 30 035 27 051 23 056 24838 22972 34 031 30 044 23 056 24 067 22972 21030 33 034 28 047 19 056 22 069 21030 19007 30 034 26 044 18 054 24 061 19007 16946 28 033 26 039 21 053 29 054 16946 14959 26 035 27 040 25 053 28 059 14959 13152 24 040 26 044 25 057 23 068 13152 11546 21 044 22 047 21 062 18 073 11546 10119 18 045 17 045 14*059 12 069 10119 8847 14 040 13 033 8*030 8 055 8847 7711 13 036 12 027 7 021 6*031 7711 6698 13 039 11 029 7 004 5*010 6698 5800 14 043 10 035 8 354 6 341 5800 5003 14 049 9*040 8 350 7 331 5003 4285 14 058 7*041 8 348 8 328 4285 3647 13 068 4 033 9 347 8 327 3647 3113 9 089 4 030 9 346 8 326 3113 2701 6 134 3 025 9 345 8 326 2701 2417 6 171 3 026 9 345 8 325 2417 2245 6*185 3 024 8 345 8 325 2245 2146 4*195 3 023 8 345 7 324 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography