DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/27 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 107.8 - - - - - 97.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 415 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 8552 - - - - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 8515 - - - - - 2130 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 10652 - - - - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 7066 - - - - - 495 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 624 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 73 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 2 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 288 - - - - - 330 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 11 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -10 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -3749 - - - - - -11600 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 14402 - - - - - 13746 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -4636 - - - - - -14450 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 15288 - - - - - 16596 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 67 - - - - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 700 - - - - - 160 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 107.8 - - - - - 97.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 51.4 - - - - - 45.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 104.9 - - - - - 101.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 51.4 - - - - - 45.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 415 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 8552 - - - - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - - - - 26 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98889 33 098 32 093 98889 91454 30 106 30 092 91454 85731 25 106 28 096 85731 80952 26 111 26 091 80952 76833 23 104 22 079 76833 73224 18 084 20 077 73224 69975 14 095 16 074 69975 66991 13 084 12 097 66991 64231 10 073 14 088 64231 61581 11 104 12 071 61581 58863 7 133 6 044 58863 56084 3 243 7 306 56084 53458 6 338 7 310 53458 51096 18 326 16 347 51096 48966 23 308 22 327 48966 47014 21 302 19 315 47014 45206 21 311 15 313 45206 43515 17 319 17 310 43515 41928 15 322 19 306 41928 40435 15 317 15 311 40435 39030 13 310 17 339 39030 37672 10 306 19 340 37672 36293 8 293 12 334 36293 34863 7 285 5 346 34863 33385 5 275 1 344 33385 31847 7 240 7 185 31847 30239 8 254 6 206 30239 28565 7 275 6 255 28565 26824 2 313 3 235 26824 25017 1 145 5 164 25017 23147 6 143 10 159 23147 21211 11 130 14 140 21211 19201 13 131 19 132 19201 17155 15 128 18 129 17155 15177 16 128 17 134 15177 13366 14 133 14 140 13366 11745 10*140 11 146 11745 10296 7*149 8 152 10296 8997 3 157 3 165 8997 7837 1 181 1 285 7837 6803 2 298 5 323 6803 5885 3 303 7 329 5885 5070 4 308 8 333 5070 4336 4 309 9 335 4336 3683 5 310 10 338 3683 3136 5 313 11 339 3136 2714 5 313 11 340 2714 2424 5 314 10 340 2424 2247 5 313 7 337 2247 2146 5 314 4*330 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography