DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/28 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.7 - - 83.5 - - 90.0 - - 89.2 - - 74.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - 220 - - 311 - - 44 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 44 - - 2513 - - 5647 - - 4871 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit 2127 - - 3537 - - 6059 - - 3773 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top 2144 - - 4613 - - 7747 - - 6971 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 75 - - 1883 - - 1755 - - 2688 - - 190 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 336 - - 494 - - 245 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 24 - - 11 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 3 - - 8 - - 9 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 184 - - 233 - - 306 - - 316 - - 332 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -1 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5702 - - -9446 - - -8629 - - -9210 - - -10870 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7846 - - 14060 - - 16376 - - 16182 - - 13015 sfcLCL ODpotential -15911 - - -15187 - - -13321 - - -13302 - - -17828 ODpotential blCL 18055 - - 19800 - - 21068 - - 20273 - - 19973 blCL maxRH 29 - - 65 - - 60 - - 76 - - 15 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 60.7 - - 83.5 - - 90.0 - - 89.2 - - 74.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.8 - - 29.3 - - 24.8 - - 25.1 - - 25.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.1 - - 81.8 - - 87.9 - - 88.7 - - 79.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.7 - - 29.1 - - 24.6 - - 24.9 - - 25.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - 220 - - 311 - - 44 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 44 - - 2513 - - 5647 - - 4871 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96547 5 273 15 288 10 265 11 260 15 272 96547 89354 4 148 6 258 8 275 6 255 9 294 89354 83795 4 357 3 299 8 273 9 288 12 319 83795 79170 16 344 14 340 12 328 11 313 16 342 79170 75221 18 344 19 329 20 331 24 339 29 346 75221 71801 19 345 21 332 22 337 19 340 26 337 71801 68752 31 353 27 347 22 346 15 354 19 332 68752 65956 35 349 35 355 31 353 24 349 22 351 65956 63350 41 330 44 339 42 335 36 337 33 336 63350 60819 42 316 42 318 42 317 42 320 42 320 60819 58168 43 318 38 310 41 309 45 310 47 314 58168 55385 45 320 38 308 46 301 51 298 53 302 55385 52701 47 317 41 303 45 293 53 293 55 297 52701 50265 47 312 44 302 43 291 53 292 57 295 50265 48070 50 305 49 302 45 295 55 291 59 293 48070 46072 53 299 51 296 52 292 59 290 61 291 46072 44239 56 293 50 289 55 288 59 283 60 287 44239 42547 59 285 52 285 56 286 57 285 59 286 42547 40979 57 283 52 283 55 285 56 288 55 287 40979 39520 49 287 46 281 52 285 52 287 51 288 39520 38155 37 287 37 278 45 280 46 284 48 286 38155 36841 34 288 33 279 39 274 42 281 45 285 36841 35506 36 293 34 286 38 278 41 279 45 285 35506 34121 40 300 39 296 39 286 40 280 43 284 34121 32691 44 302 41 297 42 288 42 281 42 282 32691 31200 43 296 38 291 43 286 45 280 42 281 31200 29636 41 291 37 288 43 283 46 278 41 282 29636 28001 38 293 35 291 41 284 44 281 39 284 28001 26294 35 299 33 293 37 285 40 285 35 286 26294 24520 31 297 30 289 33 288 35 288 28 291 24520 22681 28 293 28 285 31 288 30 288 24 300 22681 20771 24 295 22 291 29 287 27 288 24 305 20771 18787 17 299 18 295 22 295 22 290 22 296 18787 16765 12 293 14 288 19 303 20 305 18 296 16765 14814 12 287 12 285 17 301 22 322 20 316 14814 13035 13 293 12 295 15 297 22 328 24 332 13035 11449 13 300 14 302 15 293 20 326 28 339 11449 10034 11 310 14 302 15 289 18 317 27 344 10034 8769 8 326 13 304 12*291 13 301 21 345 8769 7641 8 337 12 311 9*298 11*300 15 332 7641 6638 7 347 10 316 8 299 10*303 12 301 6638 5750 6 002 7 314 8 302 10 308 11 292 5750 4962 5 020 4*296 8 305 10 313 11 307 4962 4254 2 036 3*248 8 308 10 317 11 321 4254 3624 1 150 3 235 8 310 10 321 11 333 3624 3097 5 169 3 230 8 312 9 323 10 341 3097 2691 7 167 2 228 8 314 9 324 10 347 2691 2411 8 176 2 225 8 315 9 325 8 350 2411 2242 7*177 2 225 7 315 9 326 4*350 2242 2145 5*184 2 223 7 315 8 326 2*332 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography