DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/12 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 97.1 - - 101.3 - - - - - 89.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 372 - - 438 - - - - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5691 - - 15399 - - - - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6171 - - 14168 - - - - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7791 - - 17499 - - - - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 6102 - - 1786 - - - - - 4966 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 525 - - 773 - - - - - 8 W* B/S - - - 28 - - 28 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 5 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 221 - - 232 - - - - - 265 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 23 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 38 - - - - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9185 - - -367 - - - - - -12992 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16977 - - 17866 - - - - - 15137 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10577 - - -338 - - - - - -16021 ODpotential blCL - - - 18368 - - 17837 - - - - - 18166 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 91 - - - - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 97.1 - - 101.3 - - - - - 89.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.8 - - 28.4 - - - - - 30.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 94.5 - - 98.3 - - - - - 91.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.7 - - 28.3 - - - - - 30.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 372 - - 438 - - - - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5691 - - 15399 - - - - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 76 - - 65 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98118 10 184 4 196 6 024 98118 90690 11 170 7 145 9 348 90690 84974 7 117 2 205 7 001 84974 80235 4 083 3 228 6 010 80235 76164 3 214 3 230 3 327 76164 72577 5 272 4 289 8 268 72577 69354 12 269 11 307 8 322 69354 66414 14 251 14 293 15 333 66414 63693 9 271 15 268 15 300 63693 61068 14 286 19 255 14 276 61068 58335 16 270 20 260 17 275 58335 55509 22 258 26 253 27 261 55509 52821 25 258 26 248 30 252 52821 50392 24 257 27 246 35 253 50392 48201 25 243 27 243 38 252 48201 46214 26 221 27 226 36 248 46214 44396 23 216 24 213 32 246 44396 42719 20 215 21 219 31 240 42719 41160 16 209 20 221 30 228 41160 39700 12 202 18 213 28 226 39700 38323 16 176 16 204 28 233 38323 36991 20 163 15 197 27 237 36991 35638 22 152 17 185 25 240 35638 34236 25 146 18 170 24 241 34236 32790 29 143 19 157 22 234 32790 31287 30 140 21 149 19 219 31287 29718 28 138 22 149 18 207 29718 28084 25 140 21 152 21 193 28084 26385 24 140 20 153 25 187 26385 24619 23 142 18 151 28 184 24619 22787 23 156 22 158 28 167 22787 20882 24 160 28 163 27 149 20882 18900 23 165 28*164 26 136 18900 16878 21 160 18*174 23 130 16878 14929 17 157 12 190 19 133 14929 13148 11 167 9 204 15 137 13148 11555 9 177 7 219 11 151 11555 10130 9 182 6 238 8 180 10130 8855 6*199 5 257 8 215 8855 7716 6*204 5 274 10 238 7716 6702 5 208 5 288 13 250 6702 5802 4 212 6 297 16 257 5802 5003 3 222 6 305 18 261 5003 4285 3 230 6 309 21 263 4285 3647 3 240 6 314 23 265 3647 3113 2 250 6 317 23 265 3113 2701 2 258 7 319 22 266 2701 2417 2 265 7 321 19 266 2417 2244 2 265 6 321 15 266 2244 2145 2 267 6 322 9*265 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography