DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/11 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 93.5 - - 98.8 - - - - - 87.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 362 - - 390 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4951 - - 7618 - - - - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5581 - - 7732 - - - - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7051 - - 9718 - - - - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1807 - - 2629 - - - - - 5704 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 498 - - 589 - - - - - 10 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 14 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 8 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 277 - - 293 - - - - - 243 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 4 - - - - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1394 - - -407 - - - - - -4010 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8445 - - 10125 - - - - - 6156 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3688 - - -1157 - - - - - -6083 ODpotential blCL - - - 10739 - - 10875 - - - - - 8229 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 81 - - - - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 1350 - - 1450 - - - - - 2390 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 93.5 - - 98.8 - - - - - 87.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 63.5 - - 61.3 - - - - - 67.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 91.0 - - 96.0 - - - - - 88.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 63.3 - - 61.2 - - - - - 67.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 362 - - 390 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4951 - - 7618 - - - - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 2 - - 24 - - - - - 52 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 12 - - - - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98743 13 131 8 166 19 070 98743 91331 23 116 17 111 17 114 91331 85592 25 107 23 111 17 099 85592 80803 22 100 21 108 15 080 80803 76687 19 096 16 109 13 096 76687 73051 13 100 14 097 13 090 73051 69760 8 135 8 057 10 074 69760 66759 6 151 3 131 8 047 66759 64007 2 102 8 175 8 346 64007 61378 4 032 4 185 8 339 61378 58676 3 339 4 289 11 307 58676 55911 9 265 14 291 21 294 55911 53309 16 259 18 263 25 276 53309 50976 17 273 18 257 22 257 50976 48869 16 300 15 282 19 246 48869 46928 21 306 18 298 16 263 46928 45129 25 300 25 302 18 306 45129 43451 28 294 30 299 23 309 43451 41878 30 286 30 290 26 297 41878 40394 31 276 28 283 30 284 40394 38988 32 268 27 284 28 285 38988 37624 31 265 27 284 26 286 37624 36237 25 275 25 284 23 297 36237 34801 21 289 21 288 19 300 34801 33321 20 294 19 291 13 277 33321 31780 18 288 18 290 14 259 31780 30163 14 281 14 292 15 265 30163 28475 9 279 11 297 12 276 28475 26719 12 279 10 279 8 288 26719 24899 10 275 12 279 7 294 24899 23021 8 314 10 272 5 287 23021 21075 2 291 4 239 3 273 21075 19057 3 123 4 159 4 179 19057 17006 7 175 3 149 7 179 17006 15030 9 173 5 149 7 177 15030 13230 7 162 5 136 6 183 13230 11623 5 127 1 112 5 216 11623 10188 3 050 5*295 2 309 10188 8906 4 331 6*292 9 349 8906 7761 5*310 7 291 10 348 7761 6739 5*278 7 291 9 335 6739 5834 5 276 8 291 8 306 5834 5029 6 274 8 293 8 283 5029 4305 6 275 8 293 10 269 4305 3661 5 275 9 294 11 260 3661 3122 5 277 9 295 12 255 3122 2707 5 279 9 296 12 253 2707 2420 5 280 8 296 10 251 2420 2246 5 281 8 297 8*248 2246 2146 4 280 7 296 5*243 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography