DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/01 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 95.7 - - 100.4 - - 99.0 - - 87.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 456 - - 507 - - 208 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7718 - - 9544 - - 8378 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7885 - - 9424 - - 7969 - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9818 - - 11644 - - 10478 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1729 - - 1874 - - 2266 - - 4818 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 622 - - 692 - - 493 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 17 - - 15 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 217 - - 225 - - 235 - - 261 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 9 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - -8 - - -8 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9554 - - -10498 - - -11845 - - -15445 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 19373 - - 22143 - - 22324 - - 17591 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15276 - - -15388 - - -16979 - - -22271 ODpotential blCL - - - 25094 - - 27032 - - 27457 - - 24416 blCL maxRH - - - 12 - - 11 - - 13 - - 13 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 95.7 - - 100.4 - - 99.0 - - 87.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 16.3 - - 7.9 - - 5.9 - - 17.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 92.8 - - 97.4 - - 97.5 - - 89.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 16.1 - - 7.9 - - 5.9 - - 17.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 456 - - 507 - - 208 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7718 - - 9544 - - 8378 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98909 30 106 22 127 18 116 25 095 98909 91389 30 105 26 120 16 111 23 085 91389 85608 28 102 27 112 21 109 24 097 85608 80834 27 105 25 102 27 108 25 098 80834 76730 23 102 27 090 27 103 26 100 76730 73117 18 112 21 091 25 096 24 103 73117 69866 21 121 16 117 19 080 20 101 69866 66885 18 113 13 130 10 091 13 085 66885 64128 12 112 9 135 9 103 9 092 64128 61462 9 139 4 168 3 106 6 091 61462 58690 7 155 8 221 4 247 2 228 58690 55831 11 198 18 218 19 222 19 239 55831 53118 21 251 28 231 28 231 30 236 53118 50670 33 253 33 244 35 241 36 247 50670 48470 38 253 39 248 39 243 42 248 48470 46474 39 252 41 252 40 256 40 254 46474 44648 41 260 42 254 46 267 47 272 44648 42966 47 268 41 262 51 268 56 273 42966 41397 49 271 42 265 49 266 55 268 41397 39921 48 270 43 265 45 267 51 264 39921 38529 46 265 45 264 44 270 45 262 38529 37187 45 262 47 263 46 272 41 265 37187 35827 46 259 50 264 46 271 41 268 35827 34418 45 257 49 263 45 270 39 269 34418 32961 43 257 45 261 43 269 36 273 32961 31446 41 258 40 263 40 268 34 276 31446 29860 39 259 37 266 36 271 32 276 29860 28208 37 261 34 270 34 277 29 277 28208 26487 33 264 32 272 32 281 26 281 26487 24696 30 264 28 273 30 280 25 284 24696 22839 26 262 23 271 26 276 23 282 22839 20910 23 269 20 267 20 273 19 279 20910 18903 24 264 20 261 16 262 15 268 18903 16861 25 241 21 244 14 248 14 247 16861 14893 27 227 22 224 16 231 15 233 14893 13103 31 221 23*216 18 214 16 222 13103 11509 28 216 19*214 16*211 16 203 11509 10090 20*211 18 215 15*216 15 189 10090 8822 17*210 17 217 15 219 14 194 8822 7690 16 211 17 221 15 228 13 210 7690 6681 15 213 17 225 15 234 14 228 6681 5786 15 216 17 229 16 238 16 242 5786 4992 14 218 17 231 16 241 17 249 4992 4277 13 220 17 234 16 243 19 253 4277 3641 13 222 16 236 16 245 20 257 3641 3109 12 224 16 237 16 246 20 259 3109 2699 12 225 16 238 16 247 19 261 2699 2416 11 226 15 239 15 248 17 261 2416 2244 11 225 15 239 15 248 13 262 2244 2145 10 226 13 240 13 248 8*261 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography