DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/06 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 93.7 - - 102.6 - - 102.9 - - 95.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 407 - - 462 - - 167 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4137 - - 7148 - - 7309 - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4986 - - 7430 - - 6989 - - 2130 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6237 - - 9248 - - 9409 - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1636 - - 2035 - - 3569 - - 6733 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 487 - - 609 - - 438 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 19 - - 19 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 338 - - 327 - - 314 - - 300 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1787 - - -3206 - - -3126 - - -9212 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8024 - - 12455 - - 12536 - - 11358 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4035 - - -4951 - - -4737 - - -12341 ODpotential blCL - - - 10272 - - 14199 - - 14146 - - 14487 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 71 - - 81 - - 49 maxRH CAPE - - - 1750 - - 510 - - 670 - - 360 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 93.7 - - 102.6 - - 102.9 - - 95.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 65.6 - - 55.0 - - 55.1 - - 53.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 91.1 - - 99.5 - - 101.5 - - 97.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 65.5 - - 55.0 - - 55.1 - - 53.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 407 - - 462 - - 167 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4137 - - 7148 - - 7309 - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 24 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 10 - - 10 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99182 51 101 47 108 39 105 38 092 99182 91698 44 100 42 111 30 109 36 094 91698 85913 33 103 34 098 31 102 33 099 85913 81091 27 106 28 099 36 092 37 097 81091 76949 27 092 28 107 35 095 38 097 76949 73328 34 095 30 098 32 099 37 096 73328 70084 32 094 24 091 27 101 30 088 70084 67123 24 102 18 107 21 094 20 088 67123 64388 16 120 22 130 12 097 12 103 64388 61743 19 120 19 116 11 132 9 122 61743 58988 17 097 11 105 12 105 13 113 58988 56155 8 069 6 082 13 072 15 075 56155 53488 5 108 3 136 9 062 11 065 53488 51110 9 120 8 121 4 099 4 075 51110 48986 9 109 10 091 6 096 7 126 48986 47042 11 095 14 056 8 050 11 086 47042 45238 13 061 13 041 10 010 14 034 45238 43555 19 017 17 020 14 008 19 011 43555 41975 22 356 21 007 16 012 16 357 41975 40486 22 331 21 351 16 005 15 346 40486 39079 18 308 15 324 10 328 16 331 39079 37716 13 294 12 311 8 302 15 317 37716 36329 9 300 11 331 4 325 14 310 36329 34892 6 337 8 010 2 163 10 314 34892 33408 5 020 6 061 6 176 0 217 33408 31864 5 058 4 115 11 155 5 145 31864 30248 8 090 9 124 12 157 9 160 30248 28561 10 104 10 114 12 179 9 164 28561 26809 9 139 7 125 16 182 13 177 26809 24998 13 155 15 170 17 177 13 165 24998 23128 19 153 20 169 17 166 13 156 23128 21189 22 147 19 155 15 147 13 141 21189 19172 27 142 21 156 17 143 14 133 19172 17120 27 143 22 156 19 154 13 131 17120 15138 22 143 17 144 17 156 13 124 15138 13329 18 138 13 137 13 140 11 118 13329 11709 9 119 9 135 9 128 7 113 11709 10262 3 123 5*086 1*046 2 101 10262 8968 3 055 4*338 5*318 3 326 8968 7813 3 039 5 330 6 317 7 319 7813 6783 4*348 5 327 7 316 9 316 6783 5869 5*338 6 325 8 314 11 313 5869 5057 5 337 6 325 8 313 12 310 5057 4326 5 337 7 325 8 313 13 307 4326 3676 5 337 7 326 9 313 14 303 3676 3132 5 338 7 326 9 313 14 300 3132 2712 4 340 7 327 9 312 13 299 2712 2423 4 341 7 327 9 313 12 300 2423 2247 4 341 7 328 8 312 9*300 2247 2146 4 342 6 327 7 313 5*300 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography