DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/29 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.7 - - 73.1 - - 69.4 - - 55.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 149 - - 226 - - -7 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 780 - - 3465 - - 44 - - 43 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2127 - - 4246 - - 2128 - - 2127 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2880 - - 5565 - - 2144 - - 2143 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 963 - - 1890 - - 4135 - - 283 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 199 - - 377 - - 9 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 26 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 8 - - 6 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 096 - - 359 - - 353 - - 359 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8072 - - -9781 - - -12927 - - -8794 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10953 - - 15347 - - 15072 - - 10937 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13941 - - -14746 - - -18359 - - -16929 ODpotential blCL - - - 16821 - - 20311 - - 20503 - - 19072 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 83 - - 20 - - 22 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.7 - - 73.1 - - 69.4 - - 55.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.8 - - 12.9 - - 10.7 - - 15.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.6 - - 71.4 - - 69.7 - - 60.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.6 - - 12.5 - - 10.2 - - 15.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 149 - - 226 - - -7 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 780 - - 3465 - - 44 - - 43 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96107 32 275 43 269 47 276 42 289 96107 88918 23 289 32 274 41 274 40 308 88918 83447 14 301 21 285 24 284 28 302 83447 78888 18 304 22 303 20 312 15 283 78888 74929 19 302 19 299 21 319 10 309 74929 71442 19 313 16 303 16 321 14 308 71442 68331 23 304 18 312 14 325 19 308 68331 65502 24 299 24 305 19 316 26 314 65502 62876 26 292 29 299 26 304 31 310 62876 60317 30 282 34 289 31 294 33 309 60317 57624 36 282 40 284 36 291 37 301 57624 54809 48 277 50 278 39 287 40 289 54809 52107 51 273 54 272 44 282 41 286 52107 49667 56 273 55 270 52 281 47 284 49667 47471 62 270 57 270 55 279 50 278 47471 45468 66 270 56 270 57 278 52 279 45468 43628 66 269 58 271 58 277 56 282 43628 41924 67 266 63 271 60 276 63 279 41924 40339 71 264 69 268 64 272 69 274 40339 38860 78 264 77 269 74 269 72 268 38860 37479 82 264 83 267 82 267 77 264 37479 36156 90 262 92 263 85 265 82 264 36156 34822 94 261 102 262 89 264 81 264 34822 33446 89 261 99 263 90 266 75 265 33446 32030 83 259 87 263 85 268 69 267 32030 30561 77 260 77 262 78 269 61 271 30561 29030 71 265 67 267 70 272 44 280 29030 27436 56 271 54 278 59 284 27 293 27436 25776 45 280 44 287 41 299 21 320 25776 24049 37 292 33 304 26 310 21 331 24049 22254 26 311 27 315 19 317 18 335 22254 20386 24 320 24 326 17 335 14 330 20386 18436 24 315 25 330 16 344 13 323 18436 16443 24 312 24 322 16 328 13 322 16443 14517 24 318 22 314 19 316 15 327 14517 12763 20 321 20 312 19 315 13 339 12763 11204 19 328 18 319 19 319 12 352 11204 9816 17 331 16 329 18 327 13 011 9816 8579 16 328 13 336 15 337 12 038 8579 7479 14 331 12 344 11 356 11 065 7479 6501 14 346 11 358 6 025 11 075 6501 5636 13 014 8*002 6 025 11 072 5636 4869 12 031 8*002 6 012 11 067 4869 4180 8 048 8 000 7 359 11 056 4180 3570 5 089 8 359 8 356 11 039 3570 3061 3*111 8 357 8 354 12 022 3061 2669 1*102 8 356 8 354 11 014 2669 2400 1 097 8 356 8 353 9 012 2400 2237 1 090 8 356 7 354 4 014 2237 2143 1 092 7 356 6*353 1*359 2143 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography