DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/13 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 1000z - - 1334z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 96.3 - - 97.3 - - 91.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 333 - - 83 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6195 - - 6692 - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 6526 - - 5953 - - 2130 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 8295 - - 8792 - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2497 - - 3106 - - 9546 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 523 - - 339 - - 4 W* B/S - - - - - - 19 - - 16 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 205 - - 236 - - 346 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -8 - - -2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1126 - - -1061 - - -6462 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 9421 - - 9853 - - 8608 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2737 - - -2376 - - -8419 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 11032 - - 11168 - - 10565 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 80 - - 77 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1330 - - 1430 - - 1280 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 96.3 - - 97.3 - - 91.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 62.0 - - 61.2 - - 61.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 93.9 - - 96.3 - - 94.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 61.8 - - 61.0 - - 61.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 333 - - 83 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6195 - - 6692 - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 19 - - 9 - - 66 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - 12 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98724 17 114 19 109 20 088 98724 91320 20 124 17 108 17 115 91320 85573 18 124 19 111 13 101 85573 80805 19 125 17 107 16 117 80805 76703 17 114 17 099 14 104 76703 73101 13 100 14 086 12 079 73101 69860 10 109 9 106 10 072 69860 66880 7 128 2 189 5 051 66880 64115 7 150 6 278 3 360 64115 61460 8 139 6 221 5 295 61460 58747 3 151 10 178 7 248 58747 55973 5 283 2 201 4 214 55973 53344 9 244 9 284 6 304 53344 50980 13 208 14 248 13 264 50980 48852 11 199 12 227 14 232 48852 46909 13 242 12 251 14 237 46909 45113 19 236 19 244 18 241 45113 43440 26 228 27 244 26 256 43440 41869 28 229 27 244 29 249 41869 40384 28 236 27 243 27 244 40384 38977 26 234 28 239 28 234 38977 37614 25 232 29 242 27 225 37614 36228 20 228 23 249 23 231 36228 34792 16 225 16 231 21 240 34792 33312 14 233 17 233 17 238 33312 31770 13 236 14 231 16 231 31770 30158 12 238 12 234 16 228 30158 28475 12 241 11 242 14 230 28475 26725 8 252 9 253 11 230 26725 24911 8 255 7 244 9 225 24911 23036 8 229 8 235 9 226 23036 21093 9 218 9 230 10 218 21093 19079 10 211 10 219 10 214 19079 17029 10 217 10 213 11 229 17029 15052 11 219 10 214 14 233 15052 13251 10 208 10 210 13 212 13251 11647 9 200 9 212 11 209 11647 10216 8 197 7 219 10 224 10216 8934 7*198 6*225 8 229 8934 7787 6*199 5*227 7 235 7787 6763 6 199 5 230 5 240 6763 5854 5 201 4 233 4 249 5854 5046 5 205 4 236 4 261 5046 4318 5 206 3 238 3 278 4318 3671 5 209 3 242 3 296 3671 3129 4 210 3 245 3 315 3129 2710 4 211 3 244 3 329 2710 2422 4 211 2 246 3 342 2422 2246 4 210 2 246 2 349 2246 2146 4 211 2 247 2*346 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography