DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/03 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.4 - - 79.0 - - 85.1 - - 83.1 - - 68.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 269 - - 353 - - 61 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 44 - - 3868 - - 7828 - - 7406 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit 2127 - - 4621 - - 7848 - - 6085 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top 2144 - - 5968 - - 9928 - - 9506 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 90 - - 2157 - - 2053 - - 2146 - - 340 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 414 - - 574 - - 314 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 14 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 15 - - 14 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 195 - - 275 - - 264 - - 272 - - 315 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 11 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 3 - - -4 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7661 - - -8898 - - -8216 - - -7699 - - -10049 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9805 - - 14867 - - 18145 - - 17206 - - 12194 sfcLCL ODpotential -15405 - - -13498 - - -12718 - - -12728 - - -17597 ODpotential blCL 17549 - - 19466 - - 22646 - - 22234 - - 19741 blCL maxRH 38 - - 28 - - 16 - - 27 - - 24 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 60.4 - - 79.0 - - 85.1 - - 83.1 - - 68.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.9 - - 20.7 - - 11.1 - - 13.8 - - 23.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.7 - - 77.0 - - 82.7 - - 82.5 - - 72.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.8 - - 20.4 - - 10.7 - - 13.7 - - 22.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 269 - - 353 - - 61 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 44 - - 3868 - - 7828 - - 7406 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96290 16 277 20 269 29 255 28 283 19 294 96290 89136 10 276 10 243 16 246 19 268 15 299 89136 83673 16 261 12 253 11 293 9 256 13 262 83673 79148 11 264 4 284 10 307 5 022 10 234 79148 75278 9 284 3 350 7 302 12 352 4 350 75278 71890 9 332 5 242 10 272 12 321 13 345 71890 68843 12 020 3 095 2 221 5 296 10 321 68843 66050 12 347 5 315 1 281 1 331 7 314 66050 63455 5 040 4 222 12 199 14 224 10 255 63455 60922 5 272 14 285 11 241 14 232 11 239 60922 58248 33 277 33 288 29 279 29 277 24 269 58248 55432 36 281 36 282 37 277 38 277 34 274 55432 52707 44 287 39 281 40 276 40 273 39 270 52707 50227 53 283 47 279 45 276 43 272 44 272 50227 47988 59 276 55 273 53 271 51 273 50 273 47988 45941 58 273 57 269 57 267 56 268 56 270 45941 44050 53 272 54 266 55 265 55 264 56 267 44050 42295 52 274 50 265 51 267 50 265 49 266 42295 40662 54 275 47 266 48 272 46 268 47 270 40662 39139 54 271 46 268 47 272 45 273 49 277 39139 37724 54 269 45 267 44 266 46 269 45 286 37724 36384 53 267 43 266 39 266 42 271 42 290 36384 35046 57 261 41 269 39 281 40 276 41 290 35046 33676 62 253 42 273 35 285 38 277 38 289 33676 32267 61 253 42 270 29 292 37 283 35 287 32267 30800 57 256 40 267 29 304 36 288 33 288 30800 29262 53 258 37 267 30 310 33 290 32 290 29262 27652 50 259 36 268 31 314 30 295 31 293 27652 25973 47 260 36 267 30 319 28 303 29 295 25973 24225 45 258 38 267 24 310 27 305 27 300 24225 22409 41 257 37 267 29 282 28 306 26 300 22409 20518 38 259 35 269 33 276 24 299 27 308 20518 18545 36 260 33 269 31 272 27 292 23 310 18545 16534 35 259 32 265 27 269 25 283 23 292 16534 14601 34 261 32 260 25 263 24 265 24 277 14601 12847 32 265 30 258 26 258 23 261 25 264 12847 11285 31 265 28 257 25*257 19 261 22 260 11285 9895 29 261 27 255 20*257 15*264 16 241 9895 8656 28 258 27 257 18 257 15*267 12 233 8656 7551 26 257 22 264 18 258 15 269 10 251 7551 6567 23 259 14*268 16 263 15 270 10 274 6567 5693 18 261 8*269 15 266 15 272 11 294 5693 4918 10 254 7 272 14 268 15 273 13 308 4918 4221 5 232 6 274 14 270 14 274 14 318 4221 3601 3 239 5 275 13 272 14 274 15 324 3601 3082 4 262 5 278 13 273 14 275 15 328 3082 2682 5 253 4 280 13 274 14 275 14 330 2682 2407 5 218 4 282 12 275 13 275 11 329 2407 2240 5*193 4 282 12 275 12 275 7 324 2240 2144 4*195 3 284 10 275 10 275 4*315 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography