DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/27 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 93.1 - - 93.7 - - 95.4 - - 83.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 194 - - 92 - - 28 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4470 - - 7279 - - 8011 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4939 - - 6486 - - 5179 - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6570 - - 9379 - - 10111 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4347 - - 2763 - - 2463 - - 230 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 394 - - 361 - - 254 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 29 - - 13 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 162 - - 242 - - 301 - - 042 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 10 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 24 - - 25 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7498 - - -4458 - - -3996 - - -9873 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14069 - - 13838 - - 14108 - - 12019 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12134 - - -8454 - - -7247 - - -16314 ODpotential blCL - - - 18704 - - 17833 - - 17358 - - 18459 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 99 - - 94 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 93.1 - - 93.7 - - 95.4 - - 83.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.5 - - 40.1 - - 40.5 - - 38.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 91.5 - - 92.8 - - 94.8 - - 87.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.8 - - 39.7 - - 40.1 - - 38.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 194 - - 92 - - 28 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4470 - - 7279 - - 8011 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 84 - - 95 - - 76 - - 29 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98353 7 093 13 110 8 177 7 027 98353 90973 14 104 12 139 8 105 10 073 90973 85278 13 101 11 109 12 094 12 068 85278 80552 15 101 12 086 14 080 13 067 80552 76488 13 100 15 075 13 078 10 085 76488 72911 8 092 16 054 12 098 8 101 72911 69693 7 081 10 035 15 057 11 081 69693 66753 1 124 1 110 13 031 11 065 66753 64048 5 233 7 254 9 003 7 065 64048 61440 7 177 17 224 9 242 4 223 61440 58746 3 046 10 206 12 222 11 237 58746 55995 15 308 10 286 13 247 18 248 55995 53380 36 274 31 281 27 277 31 261 53380 51021 41 269 52 284 49 287 47 280 51021 48894 58 272 66 275 55 281 55 285 48894 46938 67 268 69 266 66 270 58 271 46938 45119 61 265 69 263 70 263 67 263 45119 43416 59 266 61 258 75 255 74 259 43416 41817 63 266 58 257 78 255 75 253 41817 40307 61 262 60 257 76 255 73 251 40307 38876 62 261 59 256 75 254 69 252 38876 37490 61 260 57 252 70 256 66 251 37490 36085 60 255 64 253 64 258 66 253 36085 34637 62 249 70 254 66 254 65 251 34637 33144 61 250 66 250 68 246 70 246 33144 31594 51 255 55 245 65 243 68 242 31594 29980 39 262 47 243 52 244 56 243 29980 28309 35 260 37 245 44 243 44 244 28309 26575 36 251 33 247 39 245 41 238 26575 24771 32 243 32 246 34 241 37 241 24771 22901 28 239 29 245 29 237 31 249 22901 20961 27 239 28 249 25 241 26 250 20961 18945 26 244 27 249 24 251 24 246 18945 16897 23 243 23 241 19 258 19 240 16897 14926 19 236 17 216 17 226 16 217 14926 13132 13 228 14 191 16 199 18 195 13132 11535 10 207 12 189 12 200 17 195 11535 10112 10 202 8*189 8*215 13 215 10112 8842 9 192 7*190 5*239 10 238 8842 7706 8 173 5 195 4 255 9 259 7706 6694 7*162 4 203 3 280 8 276 6694 5796 7*160 2 233 4 301 7 290 5796 4999 7 160 2 272 4 315 5 309 4999 4281 7 163 3 303 4 322 5 351 4281 3644 7 163 3 311 5 325 7 023 3644 3110 6 163 4 315 5 328 9 030 3110 2699 6 164 4 319 5 328 9 031 2699 2416 5 164 4 319 5 330 9 032 2416 2243 5 165 4 321 5 329 6 040 2243 2145 5 164 4 322 5 330 3*042 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography