DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/25 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 101.6 - - 109.0 - - 108.2 - - 97.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 361 - - 408 - - 125 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3517 - - 12614 - - 9872 - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4464 - - 11819 - - 8710 - - 2130 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5617 - - 14714 - - 11972 - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3569 - - 3370 - - 6480 - - 273 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 443 - - 706 - - 439 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 41 - - 12 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 3 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 342 - - 032 - - 342 - - 345 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 12 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -15 - - -5 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6432 - - -797 - - -4171 - - -11860 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12049 - - 15512 - - 16144 - - 14007 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8230 - - -1847 - - -4758 - - -14776 ODpotential blCL - - - 13847 - - 16561 - - 16730 - - 16922 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 58 - - 92 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 920 - - 380 - - 90 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 101.6 - - 109.0 - - 108.2 - - 97.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.1 - - 47.6 - - 44.1 - - 44.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 99.1 - - 106.2 - - 107.1 - - 100.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.9 - - 47.4 - - 44.0 - - 43.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 361 - - 408 - - 125 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3517 - - 12614 - - 9872 - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 70 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98995 39 092 32 116 35 112 36 087 98995 91541 31 113 31 109 25 122 25 087 91541 85808 27 108 31 102 28 105 25 097 85808 81056 27 096 32 103 30 090 30 104 81056 76966 27 098 24 092 26 092 25 095 76966 73357 24 099 17 081 20 094 22 093 73357 70092 20 102 13 090 14 080 20 086 70092 67095 13 095 13 097 12 072 16 083 67095 64333 10 076 13 097 10 076 11 079 64333 61685 10 107 9 098 7 072 11 056 61685 58956 9 111 6 122 3 145 8 032 58956 56155 6 158 4 174 5 202 4 334 56155 53501 8 274 6 257 6 242 6 283 53501 51113 18 273 15 269 11 260 12 254 51113 48966 25 284 26 280 25 289 21 295 48966 47006 28 286 33 278 33 288 32 296 47006 45196 20 284 23 266 27 266 30 281 45196 43503 16 260 19 247 29 254 31 273 43503 41915 19 248 24 245 27 247 33 269 41915 40421 19 247 22 252 24 251 26 266 40421 39012 20 246 17 254 18 241 17 249 39012 37651 21 239 15 246 17 235 19 237 37651 36273 23 228 19 227 19 232 22 220 36273 34848 24 213 23 213 23 215 25 208 34848 33378 23 217 21 213 23 213 25 213 33378 31845 24 217 23 214 23 213 25 212 31845 30242 25 212 23 212 23 213 22 213 30242 28571 24 198 22 206 23 214 18 216 28571 26833 21 191 23 198 22 212 17 217 26833 25027 20 189 22 195 20 204 18 212 25027 23156 18 185 18 192 19 193 17 201 23156 21216 16 171 14 177 17 168 18 171 21216 19205 12 147 14 152 21 138 23 148 19205 17162 4 109 16 124 19 119 22 144 17162 15184 2 127 14*107 16 117 20 139 15184 13373 5 127 8*099 8*112 17 131 13373 11751 5 082 5 090 4*097 13 120 11751 10300 6 077 5 086 2 077 9 098 10300 9000 6 078 3 067 3 358 6 052 9000 7839 7 082 3 057 6 339 8 015 7839 6804 8 074 4 359 8 337 11 357 6804 5886 5*051 5 346 9 335 14 349 5886 5070 4*358 5 341 10 334 16 346 5070 4336 5 344 6 340 11 334 17 345 4336 3683 5 341 6 339 11 334 18 345 3683 3136 5 340 6 339 12 334 19 346 3136 2714 6 339 6 338 12 334 18 346 2714 2424 6 340 6 338 11 335 16 346 2424 2247 5 341 6 339 11 334 11 346 2247 2146 5 341 6 338 10 334 6*345 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography