DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/01 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 100.5 - - 110.3 - - 110.6 - - 101.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 207 - - 459 - - 186 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4459 - - 8929 - - 10692 - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4948 - - 8870 - - 9702 - - 2130 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6559 - - 11029 - - 12792 - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2902 - - 6354 - - 5316 - - 8057 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 398 - - 654 - - 515 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 14 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 221 - - 329 - - 334 - - 340 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -12 - - 2 - - -3 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6103 - - -4795 - - -3484 - - -12651 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12662 - - 15824 - - 16276 - - 14798 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8356 - - -5546 - - -4343 - - -15530 ODpotential blCL - - - 14915 - - 16575 - - 17135 - - 17676 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 88 - - 71 - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 140 - - 70 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 100.5 - - 110.3 - - 110.6 - - 101.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.3 - - 47.5 - - 45.8 - - 44.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 98.7 - - 107.3 - - 108.9 - - 104.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.3 - - 47.4 - - 45.7 - - 44.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 207 - - 459 - - 186 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4459 - - 8929 - - 10692 - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 52 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99089 43 098 47 104 41 113 32 087 99089 91593 42 101 40 095 35 095 41 087 91593 85821 47 099 37 105 38 084 43 091 85821 81055 43 096 39 101 38 098 41 094 81055 76967 36 100 38 097 38 108 36 098 76967 73371 33 095 33 106 34 101 29 096 73371 70129 31 086 29 105 28 090 24 093 70129 67153 22 080 25 095 25 083 23 081 67153 64401 14 091 23 085 19 089 18 077 64401 61760 17 123 15 083 17 093 19 091 61760 59047 22 097 13 087 13 081 15 092 59047 56271 25 079 17 091 14 067 15 057 56271 53651 25 066 20 082 18 068 16 036 53651 51303 20 036 19 048 20 052 18 036 51303 49184 15 357 21 018 22 025 21 037 49184 47240 14 346 21 008 26 017 28 032 47240 45434 14 000 23 014 28 016 33 023 45434 43745 15 011 25 016 30 015 36 014 43745 42156 15 013 24 015 28 015 31 008 42156 40655 15 011 21 013 22 015 29 011 40655 39237 14 007 16 006 20 014 23 010 39237 37864 14 358 13 003 18 018 23 020 37864 36472 13 344 15 010 17 030 20 040 36472 35029 11 337 17 026 16 026 15 033 35029 33542 13 021 15 032 13 010 16 017 33542 31995 14 041 14 045 11 034 12 028 31995 30377 13 052 20 063 16 067 12 059 30377 28691 14 064 22 067 18 071 16 069 28691 26934 15 077 20 068 20 072 18 071 26934 25110 14 097 13 071 17 065 17 071 25110 23226 17 090 7 073 11 050 16 072 23226 21281 15 079 7 079 9 050 16 069 21281 19265 8 012 11 064 11 062 15 071 19265 17209 17 360 11 060 9 074 12 077 17209 15220 16 008 10 061 8 074 8 085 15220 13401 14 025 9 047 6*021 5 070 13401 11775 12 035 7*028 8*339 6 346 11775 10322 9 033 7*344 9 336 9 320 10322 9021 6 004 7 334 9 334 10 317 9021 7858 4 308 8 329 9 333 10 323 7858 6820 5*247 8 329 10 333 10 330 6820 5900 7*233 9 327 10 333 11 336 5900 5082 7 227 9 326 10 333 12 340 5082 4345 7 224 9 327 10 334 12 343 4345 3690 7 220 9 327 10 334 13 344 3690 3140 7 215 9 327 10 335 13 345 3140 2717 7 212 9 327 10 335 13 345 2717 2425 6 211 9 328 10 335 11 345 2425 2248 6 209 9 328 9 335 8 344 2248 2146 6 209 8 328 9 336 5*340 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography