DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/27 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 100.0 - - 105.6 - - 106.7 - - 100.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 441 - - 483 - - 206 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6013 - - 9777 - - 11629 - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6498 - - 9590 - - 10528 - - 2130 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8113 - - 11877 - - 13729 - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1957 - - 2872 - - 2432 - - 12103 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 566 - - 686 - - 548 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 14 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 303 - - 306 - - 311 - - 299 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 3 - - 7 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2826 - - -654 - - 134 - - -9419 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10940 - - 12532 - - 13596 - - 11565 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4536 - - -2049 - - -728 - - -10714 ODpotential blCL - - - 12649 - - 13926 - - 14457 - - 12860 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 60 - - 73 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 820 - - 1140 - - 660 - - 1110 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 100.0 - - 105.6 - - 106.7 - - 100.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.1 - - 57.6 - - 53.9 - - 57.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 97.0 - - 102.5 - - 104.9 - - 101.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.1 - - 57.5 - - 53.8 - - 57.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 441 - - 483 - - 206 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6013 - - 9777 - - 11629 - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 69 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 10 - - 9 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98989 34 111 32 113 31 111 43 087 98989 91544 33 111 25 105 20 100 29 095 91544 85783 37 102 30 112 25 102 26 100 85783 80976 32 090 33 105 32 101 32 094 80976 76868 27 091 32 097 29 102 33 097 76868 73262 27 097 29 099 28 103 31 102 73262 70014 27 106 26 096 25 100 27 097 70014 67059 26 113 21 095 23 087 24 085 67059 64340 23 113 21 113 16 098 20 080 64340 61710 23 108 27 119 20 130 10 118 61710 58983 27 104 29 118 28 124 20 139 58983 56188 24 104 24 115 29 112 29 126 56188 53549 23 134 21 137 23 117 27 124 53549 51183 33 146 29 153 26 150 27 142 51183 49051 39 143 35 154 32 155 29 156 49051 47097 37 138 34 148 34 153 30 157 47097 45287 33 140 31 141 33 150 30 152 45287 43599 28 143 26 139 28 143 29 146 43599 42019 26 146 21 145 24 135 25 135 42019 40528 25 148 19 152 21 139 23 129 40528 39118 21 150 19 155 20 144 22 135 39118 37752 16 148 17 156 20 147 22 142 37752 36368 11 145 15 153 21 149 22 150 36368 34934 8 171 16 149 22 148 23 155 34934 33454 12 169 18 148 22 147 23 155 33454 31912 19 157 21 147 22 145 22 151 31912 30299 23 152 22 145 23 144 22 146 30299 28615 23 146 26 146 24 147 22 152 28615 26863 22 143 26 143 23 150 20 154 26863 25047 18 142 19 141 21 147 18 149 25047 23169 15 121 15 127 20 140 19 147 23169 21221 11 092 16 114 17 126 17 142 21221 19197 6 092 11 099 14 116 16 126 19197 17140 7 111 6 110 8 105 15 111 17140 15160 2 176 2 160 2*078 10 095 15160 13353 6 276 5*290 8*314 6 340 13353 11739 6 325 8*306 9 312 10 322 11739 10294 5 353 8 306 9 312 12 317 10294 8999 7*324 9 305 9 311 14 315 8999 7840 8*308 9 306 10 311 14 314 7840 6806 8 305 9 306 10 311 15 312 6806 5889 8 303 9 306 10 311 15 311 5889 5073 8 302 9 306 10 311 15 310 5073 4339 8 302 9 307 10 311 15 308 4339 3685 8 302 9 308 10 311 15 306 3685 3138 8 303 9 308 9 311 14 305 3138 2716 8 303 9 308 9 311 13 304 2716 2425 8 303 9 309 9 311 11 302 2425 2248 7 304 9 309 9 311 8 300 2248 2146 7 304 8 309 8 311 6*299 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography