DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/07 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 88.8 - - 94.6 - - 97.3 - - 90.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 136 - - 114 - - 41 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1923 - - 3422 - - 46 - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2928 - - 3860 - - 2130 - - 2130 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4023 - - 5522 - - 2146 - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1334 - - 4321 - - 9579 - - 5883 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 267 - - 301 - - 51 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 12 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 346 - - 345 - - 347 - - 309 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -11 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3556 - - -5084 - - -9685 - - -9186 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7579 - - 10607 - - 11832 - - 11332 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6812 - - -7351 - - -11569 - - -12769 ODpotential blCL - - - 10835 - - 12873 - - 13715 - - 14915 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 97 - - 100 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 500 - - 80 - - 40 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 88.8 - - 94.6 - - 97.3 - - 90.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 62.8 - - 55.4 - - 52.6 - - 48.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 87.5 - - 93.4 - - 96.7 - - 94.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 62.2 - - 55.1 - - 52.4 - - 48.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 136 - - 114 - - 41 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1923 - - 3422 - - 46 - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 98 - - 87 - - 101 - - 2 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 10 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98820 24 085 29 115 19 123 19 100 98820 91362 28 102 26 110 24 103 19 073 91362 85613 22 107 20 105 21 089 24 085 85613 80830 16 108 13 108 15 075 22 092 80830 76716 12 105 11 103 13 081 15 088 76716 73115 15 107 11 103 12 091 13 080 73115 69875 17 104 13 107 12 091 14 074 69875 66908 14 110 14 112 12 102 9 084 66908 64177 11 112 13 113 10 141 1 148 64177 61559 8 112 10 131 16 168 11 196 61559 58863 1 175 4 186 11 167 13 176 58863 56100 11 234 11 239 7 235 4 192 56100 53487 14 207 17 211 15 223 9 255 53487 51136 12 224 16 218 16 218 12 238 51136 49013 10 261 14 221 13 232 11 228 49013 47065 18 289 15 275 11 250 13 209 47065 45256 23 280 19 282 14 253 15 221 45256 43564 26 266 22 264 18 245 18 237 43564 41970 26 243 24 242 21 245 19 243 41970 40463 28 230 27 231 23 239 21 235 40463 39038 31 219 27 226 28 240 23 227 39038 37659 32 205 26 226 27 237 24 227 37659 36259 29 193 21 225 23 226 23 226 36259 34810 27 193 22 228 19 219 19 221 34810 33320 29 196 23 217 17 225 14 227 33320 31771 30 194 24 207 19 211 15 217 31771 30152 25 193 22 205 20 203 18 212 30152 28463 15 203 14 213 15 196 16 194 28463 26709 11 223 8 216 8 186 12 182 26709 24893 10 204 10 195 6 187 10 173 24893 23018 14 170 13 167 8 171 7 163 23018 21074 14 168 13 163 8 170 6 146 21074 19057 13 180 13 169 7 162 7 140 19057 17006 8 193 12 179 7 154 9 135 17006 15031 6 206 7 186 4 152 9 153 15031 13232 5 236 2 253 2 072 7 165 13232 11626 7 276 6 336 6 025 2 054 11626 10193 5 301 7 346 8 000 10 016 10193 8912 4 336 7 351 9 346 13 359 8912 7767 6 001 8 352 9 343 14 348 7767 6746 8 004 8 348 8 341 13 341 6746 5840 8 358 7*343 8 341 12 338 5840 5034 8 351 7*341 8 342 11 336 5034 4309 7*342 6 341 7 343 10 335 4309 3664 6*341 5 343 7 345 9 334 3664 3124 6 344 4 347 7 346 8 334 3124 2708 6 347 4 352 6 347 7 334 2708 2420 5 350 3 354 6 347 6 333 2420 2246 5 350 3 355 6 347 4*327 2246 2146 5 351 3 357 5*347 3*309 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography