DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/11 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.5 - - 80.8 - - 86.1 - - 80.0 - - 68.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -15 - - 158 - - 173 - - -10 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 43 - - 1784 - - 3888 - - 45 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit 2127 - - 2874 - - 4430 - - 2128 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top 2143 - - 3884 - - 5988 - - 2145 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 112 - - 1645 - - 2642 - - 4753 - - 200 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 268 - - 358 - - 8 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 12 - - 14 - - 0 - - 32 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 BL Wind Direction 163 - - 168 - - 306 - - 337 - - 065 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -2 - - 2 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8643 - - -11141 - - -10325 - - -12826 - - -9924 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10786 - - 15026 - - 16314 - - 14971 - - 12068 sfcLCL ODpotential -20684 - - -18421 - - -16396 - - -20325 - - -19983 ODpotential blCL 22827 - - 22305 - - 22384 - - 22470 - - 22127 blCL maxRH 19 - - 80 - - 67 - - 14 - - 14 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 59.5 - - 80.8 - - 86.1 - - 80.0 - - 68.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.3 - - 22.4 - - 21.5 - - 22.0 - - 23.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.3 - - 79.5 - - 84.6 - - 82.1 - - 73.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 21.1 - - 22.2 - - 21.3 - - 21.8 - - 23.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -15 - - 158 - - 173 - - -10 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 43 - - 1784 - - 3888 - - 45 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 21 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96738 48 273 61 267 62 261 68 260 73 266 96738 89547 37 264 40 268 37 264 44 267 36 268 89547 84035 18 254 26 266 25 264 25 286 17 283 84035 79437 5 267 12 280 15 280 11 279 15 291 79437 75445 10 343 7 335 9 296 3 277 9 300 75445 71903 11 327 2 018 7 318 7 004 7 348 71903 68724 16 342 5 341 8 311 13 342 14 354 68724 65849 20 347 13 332 12 327 13 322 15 340 65849 63216 18 339 18 318 17 335 15 323 17 327 63216 60690 19 331 26 326 26 320 22 314 23 316 60690 58052 28 323 28 317 25 316 24 315 25 307 58052 55294 32 303 32 317 34 313 33 310 31 300 55294 52653 33 302 38 311 38 303 38 302 32 298 52653 50276 34 311 36 322 39 305 38 308 29 317 50276 48146 37 321 44 324 51 312 41 317 36 333 48146 46208 42 329 52 317 52 313 51 322 37 333 46208 44428 41 332 46 323 45 318 54 316 47 328 44428 42782 38 334 51 341 52 324 49 317 52 319 42782 41248 48 344 56 340 53 326 48 316 49 317 41248 39803 56 345 51 338 51 324 46 317 45 316 39803 38434 50 341 50 333 50 321 46 330 41 322 38434 37106 41 341 49 330 44 322 39 320 35 326 37106 35754 35 339 42 329 37 323 37 311 31 321 35754 34349 29 332 35 331 34 326 35 312 30 314 34349 32896 25 330 29 329 30 327 33 317 27 311 32896 31381 21 323 25 319 26 321 27 310 23 309 31381 29796 19 318 20 315 23 316 22 300 24 306 29796 28140 18 322 19 313 20 314 19 297 22 298 28140 26417 19 325 20 314 19 316 19 301 19 297 26417 24625 15 332 18 316 16 313 21 302 19 300 24625 22765 16 342 15 318 15 309 21 298 18 296 22765 20830 15 349 13 313 15 300 20 290 18 281 20830 18812 12 343 8 323 11 303 19 299 18 285 18812 16756 10 328 5 313 10 315 13 324 13 302 16756 14780 12 303 7 292 8 320 7 342 6 327 14780 12989 11 285 9 289 6 306 5 315 4 320 12989 11404 9 293 9 303 5 298 5 294 6 316 11404 9992 7 314 7 324 4 310 4 300 6 315 9992 8731 8 324 7 349 3 341 2 300 4 314 8731 7606 6 325 4 001 1 253 3 281 4 315 7606 6606 3 330 2 002 3*281 4 286 4 305 6606 5722 2 065 2 171 4*294 4 298 4 297 5722 4938 4 096 4 176 4 299 5 311 5 293 4938 4233 5 115 5*174 4 304 6 321 5 299 4233 3609 6 125 5*171 5 307 6 328 4 326 3609 3087 10 148 5 169 5 311 7 331 5 348 3087 2685 11 152 4 168 5 313 7 334 6 358 2685 2408 11 155 4 164 5 314 7 335 6 003 2408 2240 8 156 4 165 5 314 7*337 2 018 2240 2144 5*163 3 165 5 316 5*337 0*065 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography