DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/18 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 93.1 - - 101.7 - - - - - 91.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 376 - - 454 - - - - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5045 - - 12476 - - - - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5671 - - 11776 - - - - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7145 - - 14576 - - - - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2653 - - 2501 - - - - - 4179 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 508 - - 730 - - - - - 9 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 13 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 10 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 247 - - 246 - - - - - 258 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -5 - - - - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3148 - - -285 - - - - - -12966 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10294 - - 14862 - - - - - 15113 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5600 - - -1161 - - - - - -18295 ODpotential blCL - - - 12745 - - 15737 - - - - - 20441 blCL maxRH - - - 54 - - 62 - - - - - 52 maxRH CAPE - - - 440 - - 40 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 93.1 - - 101.7 - - - - - 91.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.1 - - 43.0 - - - - - 32.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 90.6 - - 98.8 - - - - - 93.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.8 - - 42.8 - - - - - 32.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 376 - - 454 - - - - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5045 - - 12476 - - - - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 6 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98590 28 130 35 109 38 110 98590 91107 24 131 23 100 20 109 91107 85382 26 115 18 120 15 080 85382 80638 24 115 18 128 11 069 80638 76562 22 110 14 115 17 105 76562 72963 15 101 14 107 22 110 72963 69707 13 110 13 127 19 082 69707 66736 14 110 13 133 6 084 66736 64012 7 124 10 111 9 110 64012 61414 8 070 12 103 6 095 61414 58725 4 309 4 041 10 116 58725 55941 9 254 13 252 9 286 55941 53305 13 282 15 247 22 256 53305 50932 22 297 19 286 17 260 50932 48786 32 300 29 293 21 289 48786 46826 33 298 33 293 34 288 46826 45019 41 307 39 298 38 282 45019 43335 51 306 47 303 40 281 43335 41751 56 305 53 306 43 286 41751 40253 55 308 54 311 43 291 40253 38836 59 319 57 320 44 297 38836 37462 71 326 63 325 45 307 37462 36068 71 327 70 329 45 318 36068 34623 60 320 65 331 50 330 34623 33134 48 318 58 327 53 333 33134 31584 33 327 44 324 48 328 31584 29966 23 329 26 329 36 323 29966 28291 18 320 20 328 18 321 28291 26555 17 310 19 322 12 337 26555 24752 15 304 14 319 12 335 24752 22887 12 302 10 305 4 017 22887 20954 8 216 7 242 3 053 20954 18949 15 175 12 184 3 150 18949 16912 7 155 11 182 8 164 16912 14955 8 254 7*234 9 153 14955 13171 9 262 9*242 7 156 13171 11577 7 263 10 243 5 183 11577 10151 8 261 10 244 4 209 10151 8874 12 252 10 244 6 232 8874 7732 13*246 10 245 8 244 7732 6714 12*245 11 247 10 250 6714 5812 11 245 11 248 14 254 5812 5011 9 246 11 248 18 255 5011 4291 8 247 11 249 21 256 4291 3652 7 248 11 250 22 257 3652 3116 6 250 11 251 22 258 3116 2703 5 249 10 251 21 259 2703 2418 5 251 10 251 18 259 2418 2245 5 250 10 251 14*259 2245 2146 4 250 9 251 9*258 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography