DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/09 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 95.7 - - 101.5 - - 100.6 - - 90.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 452 - - 493 - - 205 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6030 - - 9773 - - 9370 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6521 - - 9598 - - 8736 - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8130 - - 11873 - - 11470 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1764 - - 2462 - - 2515 - - 4100 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 571 - - 691 - - 509 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 9 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 13 - - 14 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 241 - - 238 - - 252 - - 275 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 14 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - -5 - - -6 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7157 - - -4594 - - -5125 - - -12893 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15288 - - 16468 - - 16596 - - 15039 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11313 - - -7964 - - -9371 - - -19609 ODpotential blCL - - - 19443 - - 19837 - - 20841 - - 21754 blCL maxRH - - - 44 - - 47 - - 38 - - 30 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 95.7 - - 101.5 - - 100.6 - - 90.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.4 - - 35.4 - - 34.2 - - 32.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 92.8 - - 98.5 - - 99.2 - - 92.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.3 - - 35.4 - - 34.1 - - 32.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 452 - - 493 - - 205 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6030 - - 9773 - - 9370 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98671 28 120 34 129 22 123 19 100 98671 91172 29 114 27 122 21 101 21 099 91172 85407 22 107 23 107 22 102 23 097 85407 80640 19 108 24 100 23 097 23 087 80640 76556 18 099 23 090 25 104 20 099 76556 72978 12 099 21 082 26 096 25 105 72978 69749 16 127 13 111 15 079 22 094 69749 66782 14 129 12 125 8 103 13 072 66782 64057 18 155 9 161 2 104 7 068 64057 61441 11 170 12 174 8 200 4 175 61441 58734 13 197 18 198 19 204 14 224 58734 55943 21 248 18 234 17 206 23 219 55943 53270 42 233 37 246 32 256 28 259 53270 50858 50 226 54 233 54 244 47 250 50858 48692 49 240 53 240 54 247 51 245 48692 46719 56 248 54 246 56 250 53 247 46719 44904 59 249 55 246 60 248 61 248 44904 43217 58 245 49 244 56 244 63 248 43217 41633 49 241 41 245 43 245 55 247 41633 40142 31 244 28 251 33 249 42 247 40142 38737 16 286 17 270 26 253 27 248 38737 37380 10 289 10 277 17 252 22 252 37380 36005 7 031 5 282 11 243 21 237 36005 34586 12 014 6 314 11 225 14 234 34586 33125 10 360 6 307 9 257 11 250 33125 31604 12 337 7 300 11 298 9 292 31604 30011 14 296 11 306 11 318 9 322 30011 28348 19 265 12 305 11 327 9 340 28348 26613 18 263 12 274 10 303 9 332 26613 24808 14 260 12 259 10 263 10 301 24808 22937 12 259 11 256 12 244 12 269 22937 20995 16 246 13 255 12 248 11 263 20995 18979 24 238 21 244 15 252 11 261 18979 16932 28 229 25 235 17 239 12 240 16932 14963 32 222 28 221 19 220 15 222 14963 13172 34 222 26*214 17 210 19 217 13172 11573 30 219 18*214 13*219 19 211 11573 10145 24 213 16 216 13*225 14 208 10145 8867 17*216 15 220 13 228 9 213 8867 7726 11*225 13 238 13 248 7 234 7726 6710 10 229 13 244 14 253 8 256 6710 5809 9 236 13 250 14 257 11 271 5809 5009 8 242 13 254 15 260 14 275 5009 4290 8 247 13 257 15 261 16 275 4290 3651 7 251 13 260 15 263 18 275 3651 3116 7 256 13 262 15 264 19 275 3116 2703 7 259 12 263 15 265 18 275 2703 2418 6 260 12 264 14 265 16 275 2418 2244 6 260 12 265 14 265 12 276 2244 2145 6 261 11 265 12 266 7*275 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography