DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/08 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 99.9 - - 106.1 - - 106.7 - - 99.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 447 - - 482 - - 213 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5230 - - 9473 - - 10485 - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5878 - - 9339 - - 9644 - - 2130 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7330 - - 11573 - - 12585 - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2608 - - 3896 - - 3958 - - 10089 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 542 - - 678 - - 535 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 20 - - 29 - - 13 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 4 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 348 - - 329 - - 333 - - 351 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -5 - - -7 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4497 - - -2343 - - -1885 - - -10810 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11827 - - 13917 - - 14470 - - 12956 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6435 - - -3393 - - -3008 - - -12919 ODpotential blCL - - - 13765 - - 14966 - - 15593 - - 15065 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 68 - - 68 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 490 - - 580 - - 480 - - 500 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 99.9 - - 106.1 - - 106.7 - - 99.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.3 - - 51.9 - - 50.1 - - 50.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 97.0 - - 103.0 - - 104.9 - - 101.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.2 - - 51.9 - - 50.1 - - 50.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 447 - - 482 - - 213 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5230 - - 9473 - - 10485 - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 50 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99147 46 103 34 102 28 111 33 094 99147 91579 40 096 38 106 36 109 26 097 91579 85748 30 097 38 106 35 098 34 102 85748 80950 23 100 28 092 32 093 36 089 80950 76871 23 104 22 090 29 085 30 097 76871 73289 25 111 23 097 25 079 26 106 73289 70045 28 110 24 095 23 091 21 098 70045 67069 25 105 21 100 25 100 17 094 67069 64336 14 102 17 094 22 082 20 095 64336 61722 9 118 6 066 17 055 23 086 61722 59032 15 125 7 140 5 064 14 076 59032 56287 15 098 17 116 7 122 6 072 56287 53683 14 101 15 100 12 114 10 105 53683 51318 15 105 13 114 10 117 10 119 51318 49168 16 097 11 117 7 109 6 119 49168 47192 11 066 10 102 4 076 1 100 47192 45355 9 016 6 030 8 002 5 352 45355 43636 7 005 6 003 11 335 9 340 43636 42022 7 009 5 352 11 342 11 348 42022 40501 9 358 7 347 10 351 10 356 40501 39064 11 350 7 347 7 346 9 346 39064 37675 10 346 7 330 8 336 9 340 37675 36270 10 324 10 311 14 329 11 344 36270 34820 15 313 14 311 18 330 13 342 34820 33333 14 320 11 324 13 334 12 337 33333 31795 11 332 6 346 7 339 7 331 31795 30195 8 334 6 014 2 010 3 344 30195 28527 6 341 7 010 4 058 4 354 28527 26789 4 018 8 021 6 048 6 001 26789 24982 4 043 9 027 8 049 7 034 24982 23113 7 042 11 056 13 074 10 058 23113 21181 7 048 9 064 15 073 10 074 21181 19178 6 086 7 094 11 071 10 088 19178 17134 8 095 9 121 8 095 13 117 17134 15158 7 081 9 110 8 120 11 123 15158 13350 4 070 6 102 4*124 6 125 13350 11734 4 138 2*079 4*331 1 345 11734 10288 6 131 2*345 5 328 8 320 10288 8994 6 110 2 330 6 328 10 323 8994 7836 3*070 3 325 7 329 10 328 7836 6803 4*355 4 324 8 331 11 334 6803 5886 4 348 5 327 8 333 11 340 5886 5071 5 348 5 327 9 334 12 344 5071 4337 5 347 5 329 9 336 12 346 4337 3684 5 348 6 330 9 337 13 348 3684 3137 6 348 6 332 9 338 13 350 3137 2716 6 349 6 333 9 338 13 351 2716 2425 6 349 6 333 9 339 11 351 2425 2247 6 349 6 333 9 339 8 351 2247 2146 5 350 5 334 8 339 5*351 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography