DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/14 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 98.0 - - 104.0 - - - - - 95.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 467 - - 498 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6421 - - 10969 - - - - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6847 - - 10585 - - - - - 2130 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8521 - - 13069 - - - - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3605 - - 3350 - - - - - 10421 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 589 - - 720 - - - - - 3 W* B/S - - - 21 - - 19 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 301 - - 302 - - - - - 245 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2540 - - -122 - - - - - -8068 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11061 - - 13191 - - - - - 10214 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3641 - - -884 - - - - - -9791 ODpotential blCL - - - 12162 - - 13953 - - - - - 11937 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 66 - - - - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 850 - - 830 - - - - - 1410 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 98.0 - - 104.0 - - - - - 95.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.6 - - 53.0 - - - - - 57.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 95.1 - - 100.8 - - - - - 96.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.6 - - 52.9 - - - - - 57.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 467 - - 498 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6421 - - 10969 - - - - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 36 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - - - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98641 22 100 23 110 18 089 98641 91186 17 110 18 108 21 094 91186 85472 24 104 16 079 18 087 85472 80736 14 100 14 092 14 099 80736 76653 11 111 15 090 15 087 76653 73038 17 103 9 141 15 052 73038 69776 16 105 12 151 15 055 69776 66788 14 100 13 118 9 036 66788 64044 10 073 14 089 3 115 64044 61427 10 051 4 091 5 083 61427 58716 5 303 4 000 1 088 58716 55925 13 217 18 253 8 266 55925 53286 9 281 18 216 17 244 53286 50904 27 274 21 247 24 254 50904 48748 40 263 37 256 39 258 48748 46780 50 252 47 249 50 248 46780 44971 57 246 54 245 57 244 44971 43290 61 240 57 242 60 240 43290 41715 63 237 59 240 61 239 41715 40232 63 239 60 241 59 240 40232 38829 63 240 59 243 57 242 38829 37472 61 241 58 244 55 246 37472 36093 58 242 56 244 53 249 36093 34665 54 242 53 244 49 251 34665 33192 48 244 48 247 44 254 33192 31663 42 250 41 250 37 253 31663 30065 38 259 36 257 30 252 30065 28399 31 264 31 262 25 252 28399 26664 22 267 23 262 21 243 26664 24864 17 275 17 261 19 229 24864 23002 15 272 18 264 15 235 23002 21071 14 258 17 264 11 251 21071 19067 9 249 13 265 9 273 19067 17031 6 272 7 273 6 280 17031 15068 5 229 7 260 2 261 15068 13275 3 228 6*272 2 311 13275 11672 1 141 6*282 5 331 11672 10237 3 069 6 287 6 321 10237 8951 2*335 6 292 7 313 8951 7800 4*301 7 296 9 309 7800 6773 4 299 7 303 9 306 6773 5862 5 298 7 305 10 304 5862 5051 5 300 8 308 11 302 5051 4321 5 300 8 311 11 300 4321 3673 5 301 8 313 11 296 3673 3130 5 302 8 315 10 287 3130 2711 5 303 8 315 9 274 2711 2422 5 305 8 316 8 259 2422 2247 5 305 7 316 6*251 2247 2146 5 306 7 316 4*245 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography