DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/19 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 98.1 - - 102.5 - - - - - 90.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 426 - - 485 - - - - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9110 - - 11873 - - - - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8979 - - 11315 - - - - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11210 - - 13973 - - - - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2220 - - 1257 - - - - - 4599 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 642 - - 733 - - - - - 8 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 11 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 12 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 228 - - 229 - - - - - 254 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 8 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - 9 - - - - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4943 - - -2950 - - - - - -14122 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16154 - - 16923 - - - - - 16269 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11284 - - -8524 - - - - - -22564 ODpotential blCL - - - 22494 - - 22497 - - - - - 24710 blCL maxRH - - - 35 - - 58 - - - - - 35 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 98.1 - - 102.5 - - - - - 90.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.6 - - 34.2 - - - - - 26.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 95.2 - - 99.4 - - - - - 92.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.5 - - 34.0 - - - - - 26.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 426 - - 485 - - - - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9110 - - 11873 - - - - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98716 32 107 33 102 29 106 98716 91240 27 108 25 107 21 074 91240 85492 23 107 21 114 22 083 85492 80721 27 115 24 118 18 081 80721 76622 22 105 22 109 20 096 76622 73003 17 080 20 107 21 100 73003 69742 13 083 14 096 13 103 69742 66779 10 112 12 097 10 099 66779 64061 10 118 9 095 8 105 64061 61454 4 114 9 138 9 098 61454 58761 5 191 12 183 4 198 58761 55991 9 216 15 222 7 228 55991 53362 13 249 20 242 16 250 53362 50996 22 264 23 258 21 261 50996 48864 28 276 30 268 28 270 48864 46912 33 273 30 268 32 269 46912 45107 30 274 26 265 34 269 45107 43426 24 277 22 265 33 266 43426 41849 22 287 18 276 31 264 41849 40361 25 297 22 291 29 265 40361 38954 28 304 30 298 29 274 38954 37592 33 306 35 302 26 280 37592 36211 38 306 39 304 27 291 36211 34781 40 309 41 308 29 297 34781 33305 39 313 40 311 31 305 33305 31769 38 316 34 314 30 309 31769 30161 34 315 29 319 25 308 30161 28483 28 311 25 318 24 306 28483 26731 23 318 19 320 23 309 26731 24908 24 331 18 326 20 309 24908 23015 17 333 21 340 18 322 23015 21049 11 324 15 334 14 351 21049 19008 5 316 5 304 8 001 19008 16938 2 243 7 165 6 261 16938 14955 19 198 14*197 13 214 14955 13157 26 202 13*207 14 176 13157 11559 21*215 13 209 13 161 11559 10132 17*220 12 215 11 164 10132 8855 15 222 12 224 9 190 8855 7715 14 224 12 230 10 215 7715 6700 12 228 12 235 13 233 6700 5801 11 230 13 238 18 243 5801 5002 10 231 13 241 20 246 5002 4285 9 234 13 244 22 249 4285 3647 9 236 13 245 22 250 3647 3113 8 237 13 247 22 252 3113 2701 7 238 12 248 20 253 2701 2417 7 239 12 248 17 254 2417 2245 7 239 12 248 14*255 2245 2146 6 240 11 248 8*254 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography