DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/27 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.8 - - 80.0 - - - - - 70.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 470 - - 498 - - - - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5436 - - 7768 - - - - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6060 - - 7965 - - - - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7536 - - 9868 - - - - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1206 - - 1336 - - - - - 5083 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 558 - - 642 - - - - - 4 W* B/S - - - 26 - - 10 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 11 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 217 - - 243 - - - - - 269 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 14 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -4 - - - - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3232 - - -4126 - - - - - -10236 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10769 - - 13995 - - - - - 12381 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8405 - - -8241 - - - - - -16074 ODpotential blCL - - - 15941 - - 18109 - - - - - 18218 blCL maxRH - - - 40 - - 49 - - - - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.8 - - 80.0 - - - - - 70.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.8 - - 25.2 - - - - - 24.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.1 - - 77.0 - - - - - 72.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.7 - - 25.1 - - - - - 24.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 470 - - 498 - - - - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5436 - - 7768 - - - - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97673 25 246 31 264 23 288 97673 90250 21 274 24 278 19 306 90250 84554 10 300 17 281 18 335 84554 79859 8 336 1 007 20 324 79859 75840 9 355 13 044 7 331 75840 72298 8 340 6 003 9 015 72298 69078 8 271 7 052 1 182 69078 66129 11 258 6 205 3 306 66129 63392 17 255 16 244 11 249 63392 60727 31 248 39 247 29 242 60727 57955 43 240 49 250 39 249 57955 55074 51 243 60 252 53 260 55074 52308 65 250 74 251 71 257 52308 49806 83 253 83 250 83 257 49806 47564 95 255 92 253 93 259 47564 45534 103 255 102 256 101 261 45534 43686 108 255 106 258 108 261 43686 41996 108 256 107 259 113 262 41996 40434 111 259 113 261 113 263 40434 38974 112 261 119 262 111 263 38974 37601 110 262 120 261 110 264 37601 36278 107 261 114 260 110 263 36278 34941 100 260 104 260 105 263 34941 33561 90 259 94 258 96 264 33561 32139 84 257 86 257 90 268 32139 30662 81 254 82 257 84 270 30662 29117 80 252 80 256 80 264 29117 27506 78 251 78 256 80 259 27506 25828 75 254 75 256 77 258 25828 24084 72 256 72 255 72 258 24084 22276 67 255 68 252 67 258 22276 20396 61 254 63 250 63 259 20396 18439 54 254 59 251 58 259 18439 16447 47 254 53 252 49 260 16447 14529 41 252 46 250 40 260 14529 12784 35 251 39 245 32 256 12784 11234 29 247 30*235 24 243 11234 9854 22 240 17*226 19 227 9854 8624 15*232 16 228 15 227 8624 7525 7*219 15 230 14 243 7525 6546 5 214 11 243 15 255 6546 5678 4 212 10 250 17 262 5678 4907 4 214 10 256 18 265 4907 4213 3 216 9 260 20 267 4213 3596 3 219 9 265 21 270 3596 3079 3 223 8 269 20 271 3079 2681 2 224 8 272 19 272 2681 2406 2 229 8 273 16 272 2406 2239 2 230 8 274 12 271 2239 2144 2 229 7 274 7*269 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography