DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/20 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.0 - - 60.0 - - 60.7 - - 51.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 294 - - 370 - - 84 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4395 - - 5296 - - 4333 - - 43 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5063 - - 5858 - - 4258 - - 2127 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6495 - - 7396 - - 6433 - - 2143 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1376 - - 1237 - - 1993 - - 1558 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 446 - - 512 - - 293 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 10 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 280 - - 278 - - 295 - - 356 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - -2 - - 2 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1641 - - -2941 - - -4205 - - -6278 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8137 - - 10337 - - 10639 - - 8421 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8828 - - -9057 - - -9726 - - -13508 ODpotential blCL - - - 15323 - - 16453 - - 16159 - - 15651 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 64 - - 71 - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.0 - - 60.0 - - 60.7 - - 51.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.7 - - 21.8 - - 21.3 - - 22.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.2 - - 57.7 - - 59.9 - - 53.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.4 - - 21.6 - - 21.2 - - 22.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 294 - - 370 - - 84 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4395 - - 5296 - - 4333 - - 43 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96449 7 206 8 047 20 122 20 127 96449 89319 8 219 8 240 2 187 2 299 89319 83834 11 148 10 229 6 260 8 010 83834 79247 6 150 10 222 5 252 4 340 79247 75256 6 075 6 163 4 234 4 274 75256 71714 6 251 3 281 3 211 5 280 71714 68510 9 182 10 214 12 233 16 252 68510 65558 5 248 12 243 18 239 19 252 65558 62828 18 252 18 254 20 256 24 280 62828 60197 13 260 28 272 27 273 26 268 60197 57441 32 250 43 271 37 288 31 274 57441 54573 40 249 53 270 54 281 47 281 54573 51831 46 276 62 269 61 272 59 276 51831 49352 67 282 68 272 65 270 67 269 49352 47126 80 274 80 272 72 270 74 270 47126 45108 82 268 85 270 80 272 84 274 45108 43271 85 268 89 272 90 272 94 275 43271 41586 94 272 98 273 101 269 100 272 41586 40028 107 272 106 274 103 267 106 271 40028 38580 116 271 108 275 104 270 109 270 38580 37226 118 270 112 275 107 271 110 268 37226 35920 117 272 113 274 109 270 109 269 35920 34595 118 275 112 273 108 270 107 271 34595 33222 120 276 110 272 106 269 103 273 33222 31808 122 276 106 272 104 270 100 276 31808 30337 123 275 102 272 100 272 97 274 30337 28794 121 276 100 273 94 272 93 272 28794 27183 115 277 99 274 90 273 89 272 27183 25502 104 277 96 274 87 276 84 272 25502 23755 94 276 89 274 83 277 79 274 23755 21943 86 276 83 273 78 276 75 278 21943 20062 81 277 80 271 74 275 68 278 20062 18111 76 280 75 273 68 276 61 278 18111 16137 73 285 66 279 57 278 49 277 16137 14245 68 288 55 285 47 279 40 277 14245 12527 60 291 47 289 40 282 36 278 12527 10998 52 291 39 289 34 286 31 280 10998 9637 44 287 30 287 26 284 25 277 9637 8427 32 280 21*283 17 269 19 257 8427 7354 22*274 10*272 11*272 14 240 7354 6402 14*272 9 273 10*278 10 258 6402 5560 12 274 9 274 10 285 7 284 5560 4812 9 280 9 277 10 293 7 325 4812 4141 9 282 9 279 10 298 10 350 4141 3544 9 284 9 282 10 301 12 001 3544 3045 8 286 8 283 10 304 14 004 3045 2661 8 287 8 285 9 305 13 006 2661 2396 7 288 8 285 9 307 12 005 2396 2235 7 288 8 286 9 307 8*002 2235 2143 7 289 7 286 8 308 4*356 2143 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography