DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/27 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.9 - - 75.5 - - 74.8 - - 65.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 486 - - 526 - - 189 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4920 - - 7200 - - 6463 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5662 - - 7527 - - 6419 - - 2127 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7020 - - 9300 - - 8563 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1247 - - 1734 - - 1978 - - 5029 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 546 - - 637 - - 437 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 14 - - 15 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 252 - - 252 - - 256 - - 298 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 9 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -6 - - -6 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3392 - - -4678 - - -6481 - - -10802 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10412 - - 13979 - - 15045 - - 12947 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8852 - - -9148 - - -11318 - - -17376 ODpotential blCL - - - 15872 - - 18448 - - 19881 - - 19520 blCL maxRH - - - 43 - - 43 - - 30 - - 26 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.9 - - 75.5 - - 74.8 - - 65.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.5 - - 20.8 - - 15.4 - - 16.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.2 - - 72.6 - - 73.4 - - 67.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.4 - - 20.7 - - 15.3 - - 16.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 486 - - 526 - - 189 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4920 - - 7200 - - 6463 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97559 8 297 16 245 16 288 14 324 97559 90161 5 202 7 210 6 297 9 353 90161 84487 13 107 4 127 9 125 1 149 84487 79795 13 078 10 087 12 111 10 133 79795 75765 6 070 10 093 14 091 12 089 75765 72206 7 123 4 080 8 070 12 052 72206 68985 11 144 3 058 3 273 5 014 68985 66033 9 151 6 177 9 205 6 214 66033 63311 6 235 11 185 12 200 17 196 63311 60666 23 229 22 220 22 237 25 223 60666 57882 31 227 39 227 32 236 34 235 57882 54975 39 225 42 224 39 233 38 235 54975 52186 46 235 43 235 40 239 38 238 52186 49673 58 244 50 244 50 249 45 252 49673 47430 67 246 56 247 57 250 57 254 47430 45410 73 242 65 247 63 254 63 253 45410 43575 77 240 73 246 74 260 68 257 43575 41897 79 242 83 253 88 262 74 261 41897 40347 91 247 101 251 98 258 83 259 40347 38902 98 242 106 247 99 254 87 255 38902 37544 93 240 105 251 99 254 87 253 37544 36231 94 246 110 252 100 254 87 253 36231 34898 96 244 109 249 103 253 88 252 34898 33516 95 241 108 246 104 251 90 251 33516 32088 93 238 108 243 103 250 90 252 32088 30600 93 236 109 242 102 249 89 254 30600 29042 93 235 107 241 99 248 87 252 29042 27416 90 235 104 239 97 246 86 250 27416 25722 87 235 100 237 95 245 85 249 25722 23963 84 234 96 235 90 244 80 249 23963 22144 82 233 91 235 83 244 70 248 22144 20265 79 232 80 235 72 247 55 250 20265 18319 74 232 68 234 58 251 41 258 18319 16341 64 233 59 235 46 254 33 264 16341 14434 50 232 47 237 39 256 27 257 14434 12697 41 231 38 234 34 256 26 250 12697 11152 39 229 31 228 28 249 23 242 11152 9778 34 228 20*227 20 238 20 218 9778 8555 24 227 16*234 15*244 15 213 8555 7466 13*230 15 239 15*247 12 235 7466 6496 8*237 15 247 15 251 12 255 6496 5637 7 241 14 252 15 254 13 268 5637 4874 6 250 14 256 15 257 14 278 4874 4188 5 255 14 258 15 259 15 286 4188 3579 5 261 14 261 15 260 16 292 3579 3068 5 265 14 263 15 261 16 296 3068 2674 4 269 14 265 14 262 15 298 2674 2403 4 273 13 265 14 263 13 299 2403 2238 4 271 13 266 13 263 10*299 2238 2144 4 273 11 266 12 263 6*298 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography