DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/09 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.9 - - 70.5 - - 76.8 - - 72.5 - - 62.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 10 - - 321 - - 230 - - -1 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 43 - - 2994 - - 8086 - - 44 - - 1011 BL Depth Hcrit 2127 - - 4025 - - 7804 - - 2128 - - 2127 Hcrit BL Top 2143 - - 5094 - - 10186 - - 2144 - - 3111 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 719 - - 4014 - - 4522 - - 9010 - - 1501 Hgt.Variab. W* 31 - - 403 - - 503 - - 8 - - 75 W* B/S 5 - - 20 - - 6 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 4 - - 16 - - 10 - - 17 BL Wind Direction 137 - - 117 - - 187 - - 209 - - 243 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 13 - - 0 - - 9 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -3 - - 16 - - -5 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3324 - - -3158 - - -665 - - -6939 - - -2017 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5467 - - 8252 - - 10851 - - 9083 - - 5128 sfcLCL ODpotential -6223 - - -4333 - - -1063 - - -8204 - - -4727 ODpotential blCL 8366 - - 9427 - - 11249 - - 10348 - - 7838 blCL maxRH 78 - - 63 - - 99 - - 101 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 110 - - 360 - - 300 CAPE Temp@2m 57.9 - - 70.5 - - 76.8 - - 72.5 - - 62.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.6 - - 41.6 - - 36.2 - - 40.0 - - 47.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.7 - - 68.4 - - 75.1 - - 72.4 - - 62.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.6 - - 41.6 - - 36.1 - - 39.9 - - 47.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 10 - - 321 - - 230 - - -1 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 43 - - 2994 - - 8086 - - 44 - - 1011 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 13 - - 0 - - 95 - - 103 - - 59 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96615 37 268 27 271 31 250 30 258 34 269 96615 89350 17 277 22 284 32 269 26 269 30 288 89350 83806 13 290 23 261 29 274 29 289 25 300 83806 79229 15 294 23 260 24 277 26 287 23 298 79229 75308 18 286 20 260 19 282 18 263 26 289 75308 71846 18 296 17 260 19 284 16 255 25 284 71846 68698 21 290 20 256 20 256 23 269 23 280 68698 65800 19 273 21 231 26 233 29 248 35 268 65800 63108 25 257 14 236 22 223 32 239 41 247 63108 60475 27 256 20 269 25 243 34 224 36 226 60475 57693 45 228 41 227 38 234 34 229 37 226 57693 54781 48 215 45 217 41 224 41 234 41 231 54781 51992 35 211 35 220 42 223 47 231 37 234 51992 49481 33 224 37 220 51 210 53 224 37 232 49481 47230 42 225 50 208 46 209 44 210 36 226 47230 45186 49 222 55 204 50 206 37 213 32 223 45186 43314 53 218 57 204 51 202 43 215 31 220 43314 41586 55 214 58 199 59 201 48 204 29 211 41586 39977 54 207 56 188 67 191 50 201 28 211 39977 38467 56 203 56 188 66 184 60 196 36 212 38467 37049 58 200 65 195 74 191 66 189 42 207 37049 35692 58 198 72 196 88 196 66 188 44 204 35692 34333 58 200 73 193 95 195 68 191 45 202 34333 32942 59 202 72 191 96 194 75 192 55 199 32942 31528 58 203 71 192 87 193 79 190 65 193 31528 30081 55 202 71 193 72 191 74 189 62 187 30081 28584 52 200 69 192 65 188 64 186 55 177 28584 27023 49 197 62 188 62 182 59 178 45 166 27023 25392 47 192 55 181 57 177 57 170 45 162 25392 23691 45 188 52 174 56 176 54 166 50 158 23691 21927 44 184 52 173 57 177 52 164 50 156 21927 20093 43 183 52 174 56 175 52 162 51 150 20093 18185 41 182 49 174 55 171 48 157 51 149 18185 16239 39 182 47 172 47 164 44 152 50 149 16239 14362 40 181 47 173 35 155 39 149 47 149 14362 12651 43 181 48 177 31 155 35 148 43 148 12651 11124 46 183 44 178 26*158 30 149 37 146 11124 9761 41 182 36 171 20*165 27 152 29 142 9761 8542 28 176 28 159 17 172 24 158 22 139 8542 7452 17 161 23 152 17 176 21 166 16 136 7452 6480 14 140 19 151 16 185 19 176 11 143 6480 5620 13 135 15*150 16 192 18 180 9 173 5620 4857 12 145 9*144 15 196 17 190 13 205 4857 4173 11 162 4 124 15 199 17 197 19 224 4173 3567 11 181 3 107 15 200 16 200 21*236 3567 3061 9 192 3 101 15 202 16 203 20*241 3061 2671 5 195 3 092 15 203 15 205 19 243 2671 2401 2 165 2 086 14 204 14 207 17 244 2401 2238 2 138 2 084 14 204 13 208 15 246 2238 2144 1*137 2 082 12 205 10*209 11 246 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography