DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/12 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.4 - - 86.6 - - 81.2 - - 80.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 108 - - 13 - - 7 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2927 - - 2045 - - 1558 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3558 - - 2129 - - 2129 - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5027 - - 4145 - - 3658 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3222 - - 5885 - - 2152 - - 4224 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 293 - - 196 - - 131 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 23 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 7 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 251 - - 243 - - 141 - - 190 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -3 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1432 - - -2085 - - -80 - - -754 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6459 - - 6231 - - 3738 - - 2899 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4103 - - -4005 - - -2847 - - -2949 ODpotential blCL - - - 9130 - - 8150 - - 6505 - - 5094 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 99 - - 98 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 1180 - - 1550 - - 2530 - - 3650 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.4 - - 86.6 - - 81.2 - - 80.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 65.1 - - 66.3 - - 71.4 - - 74.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.5 - - 86.4 - - 81.3 - - 81.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 64.0 - - 65.0 - - 70.3 - - 72.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 108 - - 13 - - 7 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2927 - - 2045 - - 1558 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 97 - - 97 - - 94 - - 47 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 13 - - 17 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99070 32 096 38 092 35 090 43 096 99070 91592 38 108 33 112 29 099 24 083 91592 85835 40 105 35 122 24 096 22 084 85835 81053 32 101 35 106 23 101 21 087 81053 76946 24 099 29 090 27 098 25 092 76946 73324 19 101 17 088 24 087 28 096 73324 70036 13 104 14 105 12 089 21 088 70036 67023 10 113 10 097 7 112 14 075 67023 64253 8 127 2 090 2 096 7 062 64253 61592 9 122 2 208 1 231 2 027 61592 58837 4 135 5 169 4 186 5 265 58837 55993 5 220 9 211 5 201 8 246 55993 53290 9 202 15 226 8 221 7 232 53290 50868 9 187 15 213 10 224 7 216 50868 48708 8 180 11 198 13 226 11 223 48708 46749 10 180 13 203 16 212 16 226 46749 44946 16 182 21 194 21 201 19 215 44946 43269 20 181 24 190 22 193 20 206 43269 41695 16 169 17 178 21 196 22 215 41695 40210 9 175 14 189 21 207 24 217 40210 38806 12 227 18 206 20 202 23 216 38806 37448 15 225 20 205 19 188 22 217 37448 36068 16 219 20 206 17 174 21 216 36068 34638 17 217 18 211 15 176 20 213 34638 33161 16 207 16 215 14 182 18 209 33161 31624 15 198 15 209 11 187 16 207 31624 30016 13 200 13 199 10 208 13 210 30016 28337 12 215 12 199 11 223 10 220 28337 26590 12 235 11 206 8 236 7 228 26590 24776 9 242 7 201 7 236 6 220 24776 22900 4 228 5 173 4 224 6 210 22900 20957 9 181 6 137 3 244 5 208 20957 18941 11 173 8 144 3 263 4 204 18941 16889 11 166 7 139 2 311 4 158 16889 14916 10 106 7 108 2 072 6 117 14916 13124 9 079 8 073 5 111 6 125 13124 11530 7 066 7 056 6 127 4 105 11530 10109 6 059 4 030 6 130 4 033 10109 8839 6 044 3 342 4 116 4 011 8839 7704 5 019 4 314 3 061 1 310 7704 6693 4 346 4 294 2 044 6 205 6693 5797 3*308 5 275 2 119 9 206 5797 5001 3*251 6 259 7 172 10 211 5001 4284 3 246 7*252 7*169 12 215 4284 3647 3 246 7*248 8*148 12 216 3647 3113 2 251 7 244 9 142 11 213 3113 2701 2 260 7 242 9 140 10 208 2701 2417 2 265 6 240 8 137 8 200 2417 2244 1 268 6 239 8 136 6 194 2244 2145 1 271 6 238 7 135 3*190 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography