DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/06 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.4 - - 78.4 - - 79.4 - - 70.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 406 - - 466 - - 166 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4967 - - 6468 - - 5720 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5638 - - 6886 - - 5772 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7067 - - 8568 - - 7820 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1229 - - 1734 - - 2462 - - 2308 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 518 - - 591 - - 402 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 22 - - 20 - - 17 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 360 - - 355 - - 004 - - 330 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -7 - - -10 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2414 - - -4428 - - -6768 - - -11218 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9482 - - 12996 - - 14589 - - 13363 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5641 - - -7595 - - -10556 - - -16566 ODpotential blCL - - - 12708 - - 16163 - - 18376 - - 18710 blCL maxRH - - - 47 - - 31 - - 26 - - 23 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.4 - - 78.4 - - 79.4 - - 70.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.1 - - 28.2 - - 22.2 - - 19.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.0 - - 75.6 - - 78.0 - - 73.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.7 - - 27.9 - - 21.9 - - 19.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 406 - - 466 - - 166 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4967 - - 6468 - - 5720 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98100 8 220 12 295 15 318 11 314 98100 90653 11 243 16 258 11 279 14 287 90653 84893 2 088 12 237 14 254 18 291 84893 80138 11 315 3 270 5 230 8 265 80138 76043 15 271 10 288 7 290 7 295 76043 72433 17 226 16 265 17 281 15 290 72433 69208 12 248 9 248 13 253 14 265 69208 66259 17 278 10 274 13 262 15 262 66259 63506 24 268 23 271 24 263 21 262 63506 60821 33 245 37 260 36 270 30 272 60821 58023 37 244 42 251 40 261 37 262 58023 55123 42 257 43 249 42 253 39 256 55123 52355 48 259 48 253 46 253 43 258 52355 49868 52 259 54 253 51 253 45 256 49868 47644 56 258 55 251 50 250 45 250 47644 45625 60 256 55 250 50 248 47 244 45625 43774 66 253 58 250 54 247 47 241 43774 42068 75 250 64 249 57 246 46 241 42068 40484 87 246 72 247 60 244 48 239 40484 39003 92 244 78 244 62 241 53 237 39003 37615 95 245 82 241 64 239 58 234 37615 36282 97 245 84 240 65 237 58 231 36282 34938 94 245 84 240 64 237 52 230 34938 33553 88 246 77 240 61 239 43 231 33553 32129 81 248 62 241 56 241 38 239 32129 30651 75 250 48 246 49 244 34 245 30651 29108 68 251 42 253 39 247 25 251 29108 27500 59 253 39 257 28 253 14 254 27500 25825 52 256 35 260 20 260 5 235 25825 24085 47 258 33 262 16 266 3 158 24085 22282 43 258 32 259 15 265 2 147 22282 20412 37 262 29 258 15 261 1 079 20412 18467 23 269 21 254 12 254 2 030 18467 16485 11 265 11 242 8 234 3 072 16485 14573 5 250 4 241 5 200 6 083 14573 12832 2 265 1 013 4 131 8 099 12832 11278 3 332 3 043 6 107 8 133 11278 9891 4 350 4 028 6 100 9 135 9891 8651 4 349 5*005 3*066 10 118 8651 7544 4*358 5*000 3*031 10 102 7544 6559 4*001 5 357 3 019 9 089 6559 5687 4 000 5 355 4 006 7 070 5687 4912 4 359 5 354 4 002 5 038 4912 4216 4 359 6 354 5 359 6 002 4216 3599 4 359 6 354 5 358 8 347 3599 3081 5 000 6 354 5 357 8 342 3081 2682 5 359 6 355 5 356 8 340 2682 2407 4 000 6 354 5 356 8 339 2407 2240 4 360 6 355 5 355 7 336 2240 2144 4 000 5 354 5 355 5*330 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography