DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/04 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.8 - - 88.2 - - 87.9 - - 76.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 379 - - 417 - - 115 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5961 - - 9623 - - 10410 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6392 - - 9384 - - 9035 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8061 - - 11723 - - 12510 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2496 - - 1937 - - 2406 - - 522 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 536 - - 649 - - 434 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 21 - - 19 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 131 - - 158 - - 121 - - 338 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 6 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -6 - - -12 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9125 - - -5999 - - -5286 - - -13670 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17187 - - 17723 - - 17796 - - 15816 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13548 - - -9849 - - -8694 - - -19188 ODpotential blCL - - - 21609 - - 21572 - - 21204 - - 21333 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 69 - - 72 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.8 - - 88.2 - - 87.9 - - 76.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 13.6 - - 16.1 - - 15.6 - - 14.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.5 - - 85.5 - - 86.7 - - 78.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 13.5 - - 16.1 - - 15.5 - - 14.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 379 - - 417 - - 115 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5961 - - 9623 - - 10410 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 27 - - 0 - - 0 - - 73 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97365 25 261 39 273 44 272 54 286 97365 90004 29 267 29 268 30 285 30 283 90004 84387 18 275 13 269 12 270 18 278 84387 79738 6 346 8 276 11 315 12 337 79738 75743 6 044 6 331 13 339 14 006 75743 72221 9 027 9 359 9 360 15 354 72221 69047 14 349 11 344 11 358 16 341 69047 66152 9 329 9 309 11 327 16 330 66152 63482 11 321 12 315 15 320 17 320 63482 60894 21 313 20 309 19 311 19 311 60894 58174 31 285 30 295 30 298 29 302 58174 55327 32 278 37 287 36 286 33 284 55327 52583 32 280 38 283 39 282 36 282 52583 50091 39 284 39 279 45 281 44 281 50091 47837 46 275 42 273 47 278 45 276 47837 45782 45 267 42 265 46 272 43 276 45782 43904 41 269 41 266 43 265 43 276 43904 42184 41 271 40 266 43 261 43 274 42184 40595 39 265 39 263 42 260 41 274 40595 39119 39 257 40 260 39 260 36 273 39119 37740 39 255 40 257 35 259 32 267 37740 36418 37 253 42 253 32 259 29 263 36418 35083 35 250 43 249 31 257 28 259 35083 33706 38 249 40 246 30 256 25 257 33706 32292 41 252 36 246 26 256 21 252 32292 30822 39 256 32 251 24 257 18 249 30822 29283 30 254 29 252 25 255 19 250 29283 27672 28 259 30 250 26 253 21 251 27672 25989 25 263 29 254 26 251 22 255 25989 24239 20 253 27 256 25 253 19 261 24239 22425 14 247 22 252 22 255 14 259 22425 20541 11 255 14 235 18 247 12 243 20541 18583 11 263 7 226 11 224 9 238 18583 16588 11 267 6 235 10 173 10 195 16588 14671 10 267 6 205 12 168 20 162 14671 12926 7 241 8*182 10*158 17 137 12926 11365 6 197 8*171 10*157 18 125 11365 9969 7 169 8 168 9 155 17 123 9969 8719 8*151 7 166 6 143 14 118 8719 7601 10*142 7 164 5 125 10 102 7601 6605 12 137 6 158 4 110 9 071 6605 5723 14 131 5 154 4 092 10 040 5723 4940 14 130 5 148 4 077 12 018 4940 4236 14 128 4 143 4 067 15 003 4236 3612 14 128 4 138 4 058 16 355 3612 3089 14 127 4 134 4 053 17 350 3089 2687 13 127 3 131 4 050 17 347 2687 2409 13 126 3 129 4 048 14 346 2409 2241 12 126 3 129 4 049 9*342 2241 2145 11 126 3 127 4 047 5*338 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography