DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/29 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.1 - - 70.2 - - 70.7 - - 66.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 8 - - 36 - - -2 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 45 - - 643 - - 45 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2128 - - 2128 - - 2128 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2145 - - 2743 - - 2145 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1911 - - 1653 - - 5042 - - 3347 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 32 - - 127 - - 33 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 9 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 224 - - 267 - - 300 - - 333 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -2 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1 - - 599 - - -241 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2145 - - 2145 - - 2386 - - 2144 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -357 - - -22 - - -1441 - - -1135 ODpotential blCL - - - 2502 - - 2765 - - 3586 - - 3279 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 92 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 670 - - 880 - - 880 - - 860 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.1 - - 70.2 - - 70.7 - - 66.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 68.0 - - 68.4 - - 66.7 - - 64.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.0 - - 69.7 - - 70.7 - - 66.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 67.8 - - 67.7 - - 65.7 - - 64.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 8 - - 36 - - -2 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 45 - - 643 - - 45 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 102 - - 66 - - 55 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 16 - - 16 - - 15 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98102 6 067 9 156 14 212 14 275 98102 90749 5 090 6 152 2 066 6 054 90749 85082 10 121 3 113 12 089 10 089 85082 80387 7 129 4 123 7 061 14 074 80387 76337 5 114 6 102 5 068 17 058 76337 72758 13 125 9 095 8 086 10 064 72758 69555 9 095 8 113 7 103 7 073 69555 66643 8 070 13 117 11 129 9 122 66643 63954 6 048 7 079 13 071 11 117 63954 61357 7 280 5 341 8 022 8 094 61357 58668 13 235 10 239 7 232 11 201 58668 55897 18 214 23 232 21 230 17 234 55897 53235 28 260 28 231 26 252 30 266 53235 50807 59 261 41 246 57 252 50 252 50807 48608 80 254 68 254 70 252 57 245 48608 46590 87 249 86 252 79 254 59 247 46590 44721 91 248 92 249 84 251 69 251 44721 42982 93 248 93 247 84 248 81 249 42982 41353 91 247 93 247 84 249 86 248 41353 39815 89 245 95 245 86 249 88 249 39815 38359 88 241 96 243 88 245 89 249 38359 36952 86 239 93 240 90 242 91 249 36952 35526 82 237 87 238 91 240 93 249 35526 34051 75 235 79 236 87 239 94 250 34051 32535 66 235 73 236 78 240 86 248 32535 30967 59 234 68 235 69 239 77 242 30967 29338 56 228 65 230 67 237 76 243 29338 27649 48 218 63 223 70 236 73 247 27649 25903 50 215 59 215 75 232 65 248 25903 24103 52 207 54 209 76 229 57 247 24103 22256 54 205 43 209 72 233 50 243 22256 20358 49 207 44 212 58 230 41 243 20358 18396 48 212 49 214 48 227 31 250 18396 16405 41 220 46 217 42 226 26 253 16405 14497 33 225 37 214 35 219 24 250 14497 12764 30 227 30 217 31 217 18 246 12764 11219 28 224 25 223 27 225 17 243 11219 9841 27 221 21 225 25 234 19 249 9841 8612 27 218 17 228 22 246 21 254 8612 7515 25 217 15 237 20 254 20 264 7515 6538 23 219 15 250 18 259 18 276 6538 5672 21 220 15 260 16 263 17 287 5672 4903 20 222 15 263 15 269 15 295 4903 4210 20 223 14 263 13 275 13 304 4210 3595 19 223 14 259 13 280 13 315 3595 3079 16 224 12*263 12 288 12 325 3079 2682 13 225 10*266 11 295 12 330 2682 2407 10 225 9 267 11 297 10 332 2407 2240 9*225 8 267 10*299 8 333 2240 2144 7*224 7 267 8*300 5*333 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography