DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/20 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 94.7 - - 100.9 - - - - - 84.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 240 - - 337 - - - - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1917 - - 6216 - - - - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3138 - - 6541 - - - - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4017 - - 8316 - - - - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2121 - - 3077 - - - - - 135 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 316 - - 523 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 29 - - 26 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 175 - - 325 - - - - - 332 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -2 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -14728 - - -12288 - - - - - -16682 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 18746 - - 20605 - - - - - 18828 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -19489 - - -16128 - - - - - -24062 ODpotential blCL - - - 23506 - - 24444 - - - - - 26207 blCL maxRH - - - 35 - - 39 - - - - - 8 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 94.7 - - 100.9 - - - - - 84.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.1 - - 15.9 - - - - - 9.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 92.8 - - 98.6 - - - - - 90.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.9 - - 15.6 - - - - - 9.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 240 - - 337 - - - - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1917 - - 6216 - - - - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96700 33 273 29 285 28 268 96700 89505 15 278 20 271 16 285 89505 83971 2 005 7 283 9 343 83971 79385 8 082 2 013 8 036 79385 75452 12 054 4 045 8 026 75452 71991 11 041 2 034 10 020 71991 68865 11 046 5 094 11 005 68865 66001 17 026 15 058 13 031 66001 63364 20 032 18 024 17 039 63364 60829 21 037 19 018 13 043 60829 58189 17 022 18 023 17 037 58189 55446 18 015 16 026 21 031 55446 52820 15 010 12 026 23 020 52820 50440 12 021 9 037 17 002 50440 48288 16 023 12 065 6 347 48288 46323 13 358 12 045 1 270 46323 44520 7 003 3 327 9 281 44520 42861 4 315 4 294 12 282 42861 41322 7 299 9 289 15 285 41322 39879 13 285 15 288 18 287 39879 38519 16 280 17 281 19 290 38519 37202 15 278 18 283 19 290 37202 35862 14 281 17 291 18 288 35862 34472 14 287 16 304 18 285 34472 33034 8 316 14 315 15 294 33034 31534 10 360 11 332 11 315 31534 29960 11 006 12 343 8 338 29960 28313 12 007 14 355 8 012 28313 26593 13 014 13 003 11 031 26593 24805 12 027 13 008 13 035 24805 22951 11 027 12 020 15 044 22951 21027 10 042 13 044 17 058 21027 19023 11 076 14 055 18 068 19023 16977 13 086 12 065 16 072 16977 15002 12 085 9 082 8 063 15002 13200 5 102 5 106 3 062 13200 11594 3 203 1 231 3 014 11594 10161 4 200 3 282 3 354 10161 8879 1 218 2*302 4 335 8879 7735 2 003 2*311 6 326 7735 6717 3 032 3 316 9 325 6717 5815 4 056 3 319 11 326 5815 5013 5 088 4 322 12 329 5013 4292 3*136 4 326 12 334 4292 3652 2*171 4 329 13 338 3652 3115 2 175 4 331 13 341 3115 2702 2 177 5 333 13 343 2702 2417 2 178 5 334 12 344 2417 2244 2 176 4 334 8 341 2244 2145 1 175 4 335 5*332 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography