DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/06 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 99.7 - - 105.6 - - - - - 96.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 430 - - 467 - - - - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6653 - - 8919 - - - - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6999 - - 8872 - - - - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8753 - - 11019 - - - - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1243 - - 3488 - - - - - 6835 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 580 - - 658 - - - - - 4 W* B/S - - - 21 - - 24 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 278 - - 284 - - - - - 305 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 5 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - -5 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6845 - - -6537 - - - - - -12776 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15598 - - 17557 - - - - - 14923 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9644 - - -8162 - - - - - -16524 ODpotential blCL - - - 18397 - - 19181 - - - - - 18670 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 81 - - - - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 99.7 - - 105.6 - - - - - 96.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.2 - - 34.6 - - - - - 38.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 96.8 - - 102.6 - - - - - 99.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.2 - - 34.6 - - - - - 38.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 430 - - 467 - - - - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6653 - - 8919 - - - - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 29 - - 23 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99032 42 116 32 115 35 096 99032 91456 37 109 36 120 35 105 91456 85664 34 108 36 113 31 110 85664 80912 35 102 32 097 28 120 80912 76830 24 093 25 085 35 093 76830 73234 20 106 19 108 31 079 73234 69998 27 106 20 121 24 076 69998 67035 26 101 27 121 16 087 67035 64296 25 091 27 110 13 099 64296 61668 17 094 17 099 18 100 61668 58972 17 128 10 139 17 076 58972 56218 16 109 9 131 7 066 56218 53603 14 061 11 111 3 079 53603 51230 18 030 12 064 5 050 51230 49075 15 018 12 025 8 011 49075 47094 9 014 12 348 8 340 47094 45257 6 003 13 322 8 315 45257 43541 11 332 15 300 8 304 43541 41930 17 308 18 286 10 290 41930 40412 19 290 18 279 13 285 40412 38980 20 280 18 281 15 279 38980 37599 20 272 16 286 19 273 37599 36206 19 277 14 290 20 268 36206 34770 20 285 13 292 19 272 34770 33293 23 283 13 284 15 279 33293 31759 22 283 13 283 10 285 31759 30156 18 296 10 287 6 287 30156 28484 15 308 7 289 4 291 28484 26741 13 314 8 298 5 300 26741 24937 4 314 8 279 5 311 24937 23076 7 184 5 218 4 256 23076 21146 9 153 8 182 5 206 21146 19134 7 138 8 152 9 128 19134 17083 4 171 9 134 19 125 17083 15103 4 153 8 142 19 126 15103 13297 7 135 9 151 15 126 13297 11683 9 135 5*158 6 103 11683 10242 3 076 2*250 5 006 10242 8954 2*309 3 275 8 345 8954 7802 4*283 4 280 9 336 7802 6775 4 280 5 284 10 329 6775 5863 5 277 5 285 10 324 5863 5053 5 277 6 287 11 319 5053 4323 6 276 6 288 11 313 4323 3674 6 277 7 287 12 309 3674 3131 6 277 7 288 12 307 3131 2712 6 278 7 288 12 305 2712 2422 6 278 7 288 11 306 2422 2247 5 278 6 289 8*306 2247 2146 5 279 6 289 5*305 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography