DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/20 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 94.0 - - 99.2 - - 98.9 - - 92.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 357 - - 402 - - 133 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6576 - - 9070 - - 8474 - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6856 - - 8919 - - 7733 - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8676 - - 11170 - - 10574 - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1782 - - 2223 - - 4009 - - 7171 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 544 - - 630 - - 432 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 21 - - 20 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 9 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 262 - - 300 - - 296 - - 261 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 3 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - 8 - - 5 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1321 - - -426 - - -737 - - -6729 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9997 - - 11597 - - 11311 - - 8876 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3015 - - -782 - - -1851 - - -8596 ODpotential blCL - - - 11691 - - 11952 - - 12425 - - 10742 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 88 - - 93 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 230 - - 340 - - 520 - - 790 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 94.0 - - 99.2 - - 98.9 - - 92.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.3 - - 55.3 - - 56.4 - - 60.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 91.6 - - 96.5 - - 97.8 - - 92.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.2 - - 55.2 - - 55.9 - - 60.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 357 - - 402 - - 133 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6576 - - 9070 - - 8474 - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 86 - - 51 - - 70 - - 47 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 10 - - 10 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98971 36 105 31 111 28 117 34 089 98971 91446 36 106 36 108 25 094 35 086 91446 85680 37 101 37 102 28 095 36 096 85680 80943 35 093 34 089 33 108 33 100 80943 76883 31 095 30 093 35 101 30 095 76883 73291 26 096 28 108 32 090 25 092 73291 70044 19 095 24 105 25 091 20 093 70044 67086 13 101 17 090 19 093 16 093 67086 64360 15 129 13 081 13 095 15 082 64360 61719 17 135 13 097 13 096 19 083 61719 58971 19 129 16 111 13 095 18 085 58971 56144 24 105 24 117 18 116 17 105 56144 53468 30 098 31 104 26 111 25 108 53468 51066 33 101 31 097 27 102 25 096 51066 48907 34 099 26 107 24 107 17 105 48907 46939 29 096 26 116 20 120 14 139 46939 45129 20 101 20 116 20 123 17 143 45129 43444 8 097 8 128 13 105 13 143 43444 41865 3 075 7 237 2 198 7 139 41865 40377 4 268 17 268 9 289 1 348 40377 38969 8 269 15 270 10 285 5 334 38969 37605 5 285 9 261 8 266 4 324 37605 36221 3 301 7 246 9 243 4 312 36221 34785 4 278 7 247 9 236 4 314 34785 33303 5 274 7 255 7 239 5 313 33303 31759 5 273 6 269 4 256 4 343 31759 30144 3 272 4 284 3 263 3 005 30144 28461 2 080 2 072 4 216 2 017 28461 26709 3 084 4 101 3 141 4 062 26709 24892 4 077 5 086 7 092 8 092 24892 23014 6 089 7 096 12 096 12 101 23014 21068 10 119 8 098 14 092 13 106 21068 19050 15 112 13 095 15 088 13 105 19050 16997 20 102 16 103 16 089 16 094 16997 15019 17 097 16 108 12 088 18 081 15019 13219 11 092 9 102 8 079 13 062 13219 11616 7 091 3*340 6*338 10 013 11616 10185 6 012 4*318 7*321 11 358 10185 8904 5*321 5 312 8 315 11 345 8904 7759 5*302 5 306 9 306 11 325 7759 6738 5 277 6 302 9 299 13 303 6738 5832 5 269 6 298 10 293 16 284 5832 5028 5 260 6 296 10 290 19 274 5028 4305 5 256 6 294 11 288 20 269 4305 3661 5 250 7 292 11 286 20 266 3661 3123 4 245 7 292 11 284 20 264 3123 2707 4 241 7 291 11 283 19 263 2707 2420 4 239 6 291 10 283 17 262 2420 2246 4 239 6 290 10 283 14*262 2246 2146 4 236 6 291 9 282 10*261 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography