DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/26 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 102.7 - - 110.1 - - 110.3 - - 98.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 352 - - 394 - - 119 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3434 - - 13469 - - 13844 - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4390 - - 12501 - - 11735 - - 2130 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5534 - - 15569 - - 15944 - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2280 - - 3807 - - 4002 - - 2279 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 435 - - 714 - - 484 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 34 - - 19 - - 16 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 7 - - 5 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 279 - - 123 - - 115 - - 255 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 23 - - 21 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - -14 - - -17 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6987 - - 28 - - -871 - - -10384 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12522 - - 15542 - - 16816 - - 12531 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8866 - - -1882 - - -1987 - - -13041 ODpotential blCL - - - 14400 - - 17451 - - 17931 - - 15187 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 91 - - 69 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 910 - - 590 - - 210 - - 850 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 102.7 - - 110.1 - - 110.3 - - 98.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.1 - - 48.5 - - 42.9 - - 51.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 100.2 - - 107.3 - - 109.0 - - 100.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.0 - - 48.4 - - 42.9 - - 51.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 352 - - 394 - - 119 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3434 - - 13469 - - 13844 - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 16 - - 63 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 6 - - 6 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98971 33 100 28 113 24 088 31 090 98971 91525 34 109 32 110 28 112 26 084 91525 85784 31 103 29 103 31 094 29 096 85784 81012 23 094 28 092 31 085 32 102 81012 76908 23 092 23 085 24 083 32 087 76908 73295 19 101 17 088 21 089 24 078 73295 70036 22 112 17 098 15 074 15 088 70036 67048 20 099 16 104 11 096 13 080 67048 64289 14 091 18 102 14 103 16 080 64289 61642 15 101 8 100 9 070 16 058 61642 58925 9 098 13 142 6 191 6 341 58925 56148 4 009 7 130 10 161 5 255 56148 53515 12 303 7 319 2 023 2 341 53515 51147 17 287 23 306 18 319 11 329 51147 49013 13 293 22 290 21 298 15 300 49013 47055 9 320 13 283 18 280 18 288 47055 45238 13 318 13 289 14 273 18 286 45238 43537 17 309 16 293 13 285 13 287 43537 41941 16 302 20 297 16 310 13 311 41941 40441 14 286 21 299 23 315 18 320 40441 39029 16 254 15 252 24 305 24 313 39029 37664 21 261 18 255 17 278 26 310 37664 36282 23 245 21 256 19 271 22 274 36282 34851 23 221 22 234 17 267 22 274 34851 33373 17 228 18 220 15 259 16 264 33373 31838 15 226 13 216 12 236 12 235 31838 30239 18 218 12 220 8 236 9 233 30239 28574 17 207 14 197 9 215 9 225 28574 26844 15 202 12 190 8 175 8 213 26844 25045 11 191 10 179 7 138 11 227 25045 23176 8 161 10 153 12 130 14 194 23176 21232 8 146 10 133 18 126 20 134 21232 19218 13 142 14 134 19 122 24 116 19218 17173 19 141 21*136 19*125 20 108 17173 15195 20 143 20*131 16*129 16 109 15195 13384 12 133 15 125 14 130 11 101 13384 11763 8 109 12 123 12 129 7 074 11763 10312 9 092 10 122 10 127 6 032 10312 9012 10 083 9 124 7 121 7 358 9012 7850 9 075 5 124 4 106 8 334 7850 6812 7 068 3 121 2 059 10 312 6812 5892 2*054 1 093 3 010 12 295 5892 5074 2*282 1 000 4 353 16 282 5074 4338 2 276 1 337 5 346 20 273 4338 3684 2 278 2 331 5 344 23 266 3684 3137 3 280 2 329 6 342 24 262 3137 2715 3 281 3 328 6 342 22 260 2715 2424 2 281 3 327 6 341 19 259 2424 2247 2 281 3 327 6 341 15 257 2247 2146 2 282 3 328 5 341 9*255 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography