DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/24 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 102.7 - - 108.8 - - 107.3 - - 101.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 413 - - 467 - - 191 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5249 - - 10490 - - 8245 - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5864 - - 10157 - - 7803 - - 2130 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7349 - - 12590 - - 10345 - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3188 - - 3610 - - 5150 - - 9443 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 529 - - 695 - - 476 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 30 - - 12 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 4 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 310 - - 335 - - 352 - - 353 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -7 - - -4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3981 - - -1284 - - -3190 - - -9908 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11331 - - 13874 - - 13535 - - 12054 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5400 - - -2212 - - -4293 - - -12123 ODpotential blCL - - - 12749 - - 14802 - - 14638 - - 14269 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 58 - - 63 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 900 - - 540 - - 540 - - 740 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 102.7 - - 108.8 - - 107.3 - - 101.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 60.1 - - 54.7 - - 54.9 - - 56.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 99.9 - - 105.7 - - 105.4 - - 103.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 60.0 - - 54.6 - - 54.8 - - 56.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 413 - - 467 - - 191 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5249 - - 10490 - - 8245 - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99037 47 111 37 114 31 096 46 090 99037 91605 46 103 39 108 29 103 27 094 91605 85860 40 097 45 103 36 107 26 108 85860 81071 35 092 43 094 39 097 37 105 81071 76968 27 096 33 086 36 104 40 099 76968 73368 26 110 25 092 32 095 31 086 73368 70129 26 111 20 112 21 080 23 086 70129 67158 21 107 19 115 15 100 19 089 67158 64422 22 106 17 107 19 115 18 105 64422 61796 24 113 18 119 20 111 19 127 61796 59094 21 122 17 130 16 120 15 114 59094 56344 17 112 16 133 14 138 12 111 56344 53748 9 136 18 152 12 156 9 121 53748 51405 9 203 17 177 10 161 11 120 51405 49283 8 179 13 163 7 170 5 120 49283 47326 11 133 14 145 15 129 8 116 47326 45507 13 115 16 128 24 116 18 119 45507 43808 11 109 20 115 28 111 22 119 43808 42210 13 129 24 110 26 110 22 122 42210 40702 18 128 23 113 22 120 23 126 40702 39274 20 117 21 115 19 125 24 124 39274 37892 22 125 22 119 18 136 24 119 37892 36493 23 139 20 130 19 137 21 119 36493 35050 21 135 17 136 18 131 20 122 35050 33564 15 150 12 140 13 131 21 121 33564 32016 13 155 12 150 13 137 18 117 32016 30394 13 151 15 146 15 148 17 132 30394 28703 15 150 14 137 15 147 17 144 28703 26944 15 143 14 132 16 139 15 142 26944 25122 18 139 15 136 16 137 13 133 25122 23239 19 146 17 142 15 129 11 124 23239 21288 14 158 16 142 15 122 12 119 21288 19263 9 141 15 135 14 120 12 117 19263 17204 4 118 14 123 15 120 12 120 17204 15218 5 136 10 111 14 118 11 118 15218 13403 7 142 5*105 12 119 9 112 13403 11780 7 134 1*040 5*079 6 087 11780 10327 7 109 2 340 6*009 6 043 10327 9027 6 097 3 330 7 003 7 014 9027 7863 2*055 4 329 7 359 9 004 7863 6825 3*312 4 329 7 353 10 000 6825 5904 5 307 5 331 8 349 11 358 5904 5085 5 307 5 333 8 347 11 357 5085 4347 6 308 6 335 8 346 12 357 4347 3692 6 309 6 337 8 346 12 356 3692 3142 6 311 6 338 8 345 12 356 3142 2718 6 311 6 339 8 345 12 355 2718 2426 6 314 6 339 8 344 11 355 2426 2248 6 313 6 339 8 345 8 354 2248 2146 5 313 6 340 7 345 5*353 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography