DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/25 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1001z - - 1338z - - 1604z - - 1902z - - 2202z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 81.7 - - 91.2 - - 97.3 - - 97.2 - - 85.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 102 - - 442 - - 465 - - 167 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 827 - - 4755 - - 9135 - - 9038 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit 2128 - - 5499 - - 9047 - - 8317 - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top 2927 - - 6855 - - 11235 - - 11138 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2854 - - 3402 - - 1606 - - 1560 - - 2878 Hgt.Variab. W* 179 - - 524 - - 663 - - 469 - - 3 W* B/S 7 - - 16 - - 18 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 237 - - 331 - - 327 - - 315 - - 003 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 4 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -2 - - -2 - - 3 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -10465 - - -8984 - - -7322 - - -8398 - - -14709 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13393 - - 15840 - - 18558 - - 19537 - - 16855 sfcLCL ODpotential -16879 - - -14283 - - -11294 - - -12330 - - -20712 ODpotential blCL 19806 - - 21138 - - 22529 - - 23468 - - 22857 blCL maxRH 40 - - 47 - - 46 - - 60 - - 25 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 81.7 - - 91.2 - - 97.3 - - 97.2 - - 85.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.6 - - 28.4 - - 21.5 - - 17.1 - - 19.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 80.7 - - 88.5 - - 94.3 - - 95.7 - - 90.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.6 - - 28.3 - - 21.4 - - 17.0 - - 19.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 102 - - 442 - - 465 - - 167 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 827 - - 4755 - - 9135 - - 9038 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98207 15 085 16 119 10 117 17 074 17 085 98207 90763 21 095 17 125 11 117 12 096 17 086 90763 85051 16 099 21 105 13 126 12 114 13 073 85051 80325 16 113 13 108 16 115 17 118 14 081 80325 76248 16 108 13 117 17 102 23 116 14 109 76248 72645 10 102 12 117 12 107 18 109 18 123 72645 69374 6 166 7 139 8 108 13 099 20 117 69374 66359 10 151 8 177 3 118 6 083 14 113 66359 63581 11 080 14 163 3 197 2 129 6 102 63581 60934 14 008 12 059 6 105 4 146 6 334 60934 58204 12 339 16 356 13 014 10 032 8 347 58204 55386 15 345 17 347 15 339 15 332 16 339 55386 52705 26 343 25 348 21 345 18 330 18 337 52705 50288 36 335 32 351 26 351 21 326 20 327 50288 48112 40 338 35 351 26 340 20 320 20 318 48112 46128 44 340 34 343 28 329 22 325 18 311 46128 44313 43 337 32 330 30 317 25 320 15 316 44313 42647 39 340 31 320 29 309 28 310 15 323 42647 41103 36 348 30 320 26 303 27 310 18 310 41103 39653 32 351 28 330 24 307 24 312 20 301 39653 38286 29 350 26 335 22 315 21 313 19 304 38286 36965 29 349 24 334 21 322 17 312 18 312 36965 35625 29 349 25 331 20 327 17 322 15 312 35625 34235 28 348 24 325 20 328 16 329 13 323 34235 32800 28 341 20 316 21 320 14 317 11 325 32800 31304 29 330 20 313 20 304 16 299 10 321 31304 29738 30 320 22 311 21 298 17 290 9 326 29738 28103 29 317 25 308 22 299 16 289 9 311 28103 26399 28 319 27 306 23 302 17 294 14 299 26399 24626 27 315 25 309 25 306 19 297 19 296 24626 22785 26 301 24 312 23 310 20 305 19 296 22785 20872 27 306 22 311 18 324 17 309 15 294 20872 18880 23 331 20 317 17 338 11 349 9 300 18880 16849 16 000 14 328 13 335 12 004 5 004 16849 14890 9 332 6 007 5 349 6 023 6 020 14890 13105 9 303 3 323 1 046 1 327 5 013 13105 11515 10 322 4 333 4*333 6*303 7 314 11515 10098 10 315 7 351 5*328 6*305 11 296 10098 8832 8 293 8 349 6 326 7 307 12 295 8832 7700 9 297 9*354 6 326 7 310 10 300 7700 6691 14 311 8*350 7 325 8 313 8 309 6691 5795 15 315 6 336 7 326 8 315 8 320 5795 4999 13 314 6 328 7 326 8 318 7 331 4999 4282 11 308 6 326 7 327 9 319 8 341 4282 3646 9 289 6 324 8 327 9 320 8 349 3646 3112 6*255 6 324 8 328 9 322 8 355 3112 2700 5*239 6 324 8 328 9 322 8 358 2700 2417 5 237 5 326 7 328 8 323 8 001 2417 2244 5 236 5 325 7 329 8 323 7 003 2244 2145 4 236 5 326 7 329 8 323 5*003 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography