DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/20 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 73.5 - - 84.2 - - 89.7 - - 90.3 - - 78.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 62 - - 426 - - 458 - - 146 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 363 - - 6211 - - 10841 - - 11620 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit 2128 - - 6641 - - 10432 - - 10211 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top 2463 - - 8311 - - 12941 - - 13720 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1888 - - 4096 - - 1385 - - 1670 - - 2588 Hgt.Variab. W* 115 - - 565 - - 697 - - 488 - - 6 W* B/S 7 - - 96 - - 21 - - 16 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 1 - - 6 - - 5 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 092 - - 156 - - 189 - - 239 - - 261 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 7 - - 9 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - -4 - - -24 - - 25 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -10329 - - -7297 - - -3918 - - -3822 - - -12167 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12793 - - 15608 - - 16860 - - 17543 - - 14313 sfcLCL ODpotential -15699 - - -10615 - - -6920 - - -6817 - - -17290 ODpotential blCL 18162 - - 18926 - - 19861 - - 20537 - - 19435 blCL maxRH 67 - - 35 - - 32 - - 40 - - 42 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 73.5 - - 84.2 - - 89.7 - - 90.3 - - 78.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.0 - - 22.2 - - 21.5 - - 19.1 - - 23.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 72.7 - - 81.6 - - 86.8 - - 89.0 - - 80.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.9 - - 22.2 - - 21.5 - - 19.1 - - 23.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 62 - - 426 - - 458 - - 146 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 363 - - 6211 - - 10841 - - 11620 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97595 20 265 21 260 27 267 29 280 25 292 97595 90210 21 286 22 269 22 266 24 284 19 283 90210 84537 19 282 20 280 16 258 18 274 17 281 84537 79835 14 243 17 278 13 257 15 271 13 285 79835 75784 13 259 14 251 14 240 12 262 10 279 75784 72213 18 276 12 263 13 254 12 276 11 270 72213 68991 15 278 15 273 17 272 18 289 14 284 68991 66038 17 268 18 266 19 270 20 281 20 274 66038 63328 20 254 17 254 18 263 21 262 22 254 63328 60729 23 243 19 253 19 261 21 249 22 246 60729 58014 27 241 24 247 24 256 23 248 23 247 58014 55182 30 245 30 245 30 251 31 248 30 246 55182 52475 37 255 38 249 38 251 35 252 34 246 52475 50037 42 253 44 255 41 258 40 261 41 252 50037 47839 47 251 51 256 48 263 49 266 46 259 47839 45828 51 249 50 253 50 269 55 270 52 265 45828 43991 51 251 49 255 52 272 55 272 51 271 43991 42313 50 261 48 269 52 278 60 274 53 274 42313 40761 49 272 43 285 44 287 54 277 54 274 40761 39310 44 290 38 295 33 295 41 282 50 274 39310 37943 40 298 35 308 28 329 29 282 43 271 37943 36623 39 293 37 327 32 342 20 302 37 277 36623 35283 35 292 42 338 34 338 19 320 31 279 35283 33892 29 305 40 337 37 325 25 304 24 276 33892 32459 23 314 36 331 37 328 30 290 20 272 32459 30971 19 323 31 320 36 320 28 295 20 271 30971 29413 16 331 21 312 38 313 28 294 19 273 29413 27786 11 332 16 313 36 318 30 295 19 277 27786 26089 6 309 17 312 30 319 27 308 18 281 26089 24324 7 281 14 302 17 304 21 331 14 302 24324 22497 5 268 10 281 13 293 14 318 10 309 22497 20603 5 284 9 266 12 278 12 285 8 291 20603 18636 3 276 8 259 7 270 8 264 10 260 18636 16628 5 235 6 242 6 246 4 193 7 233 16628 14695 11 182 7 177 10*186 10*180 14 157 14695 12940 12 152 14 147 10*178 9*192 15 140 12940 11378 11 153 16 144 10 180 8 198 7 140 11378 9981 10 158 12 156 9 182 7 212 2 166 9981 8731 7 128 8*163 9 183 6 227 3 272 8731 7614 6 084 6*163 7 189 6 243 6 276 7614 6617 6 049 2 162 5 196 6 256 9 274 6617 5734 6 031 1 163 4 201 6 266 13 272 5734 4950 4 011 1 161 4 208 6 273 16 270 4950 4244 2 276 0 157 3 217 6 278 20 267 4244 3618 2 213 0 039 3 224 6 282 24 265 3618 3094 2 121 1 011 2 233 6 284 24 264 3094 2690 5*083 1 004 2 239 6 286 23 263 2690 2411 4*088 1 008 2 241 6 286 18 263 2411 2241 2 094 1 006 2 244 6 286 14*263 2241 2145 2 096 1 006 2 246 6 287 8*261 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography