DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/01 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.4 - - 90.6 - - 89.9 - - 74.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 215 - - 304 - - 40 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2106 - - 6210 - - 6051 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3233 - - 6490 - - 4450 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4206 - - 8310 - - 8151 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2834 - - 2324 - - 2843 - - 236 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 314 - - 506 - - 255 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 65 - - 11 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 8 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 281 - - 278 - - 286 - - 326 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 4 - - -2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -10137 - - -7577 - - -8422 - - -11827 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14344 - - 15888 - - 16574 - - 13972 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14551 - - -11351 - - -12247 - - -18595 ODpotential blCL - - - 18757 - - 19661 - - 20398 - - 20740 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 71 - - 85 - - 16 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.4 - - 90.6 - - 89.9 - - 74.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.8 - - 27.6 - - 23.8 - - 21.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.6 - - 88.4 - - 89.3 - - 79.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.6 - - 27.4 - - 23.6 - - 21.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 215 - - 304 - - 40 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2106 - - 6210 - - 6051 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 39 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96377 11 235 12 286 6 317 2 263 96377 89236 10 296 7 337 6 207 10 284 89236 83736 7 332 12 309 10 298 11 313 83736 79150 12 357 13 333 13 341 19 350 79150 75234 15 351 15 327 18 320 30 337 75234 71844 11 010 11 023 12 331 24 346 71844 68816 28 007 25 013 17 004 21 003 68816 66016 22 353 27 350 22 006 20 007 66016 63390 23 312 26 309 29 308 22 311 63390 60839 33 311 36 314 38 318 37 320 60839 58175 46 319 42 315 45 317 41 318 58175 55386 48 312 44 309 52 311 47 312 55386 52702 48 304 47 303 53 305 53 306 52702 50270 44 299 46 297 52 300 54 297 50270 48074 45 297 47 293 51 288 50 286 48074 46073 52 294 52 293 51 283 50 279 46073 44236 59 293 59 290 54 282 50 277 44236 42531 60 290 61 284 54 278 52 277 42531 40939 58 285 56 280 51 276 52 273 40939 39451 51 287 50 280 48 276 49 266 39451 38064 43 287 45 279 46 274 46 265 38064 36739 43 284 44 275 44 268 43 267 36739 35405 44 277 44 269 45 269 41 270 35405 34031 43 273 41 267 42 269 41 273 34031 32612 38 272 35 271 34 268 40 270 32612 31130 33 270 32 273 29 266 38 271 31130 29574 30 272 28 275 27 262 33 270 29574 27946 26 276 24 274 24 257 26 268 27946 26245 22 277 22 269 21 251 24 260 26245 24477 21 272 20 268 19 252 24 259 24477 22646 23 270 21 269 19 267 25 270 22646 20744 24 275 23 277 22 279 27 279 20744 18763 23 281 23 285 23 285 28 284 18763 16744 21 285 22 288 22 288 25 287 16744 14796 21 291 21 289 20 289 21 290 14796 13020 21 296 20 287 19 288 20 294 13020 11435 20 296 19 282 17 282 19 294 11435 10022 18 292 17 276 14 273 16 288 10022 8760 16 293 13*273 12*277 12 268 8760 7635 15 297 10*273 12*279 10 261 7635 6634 11 300 9 275 11 281 11 275 6634 5746 6 307 9 276 11 284 12 293 5746 4958 3 318 8 278 11 286 13 310 4958 4250 2*313 8 279 11 288 15 322 4250 3622 1*284 8 280 11 289 17 330 3622 3096 1 275 7 281 10 290 18 334 3096 2690 1 276 7 283 10 291 18 336 2690 2411 1 289 7 284 10 291 13 336 2411 2241 1 292 7 284 9 291 8*333 2241 2145 1 294 6 285 8 291 4*326 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography