DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/29 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 69.3 - - 81.1 - - 86.9 - - 87.1 - - 77.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 82 - - 435 - - 472 - - 150 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 519 - - 5748 - - 7847 - - 8274 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit 2128 - - 6279 - - 8004 - - 7645 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top 2619 - - 7848 - - 9947 - - 10374 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1627 - - 1450 - - 1077 - - 2312 - - 5178 Hgt.Variab. W* 142 - - 554 - - 632 - - 440 - - 6 W* B/S 62 - - 35 - - 13 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 0 - - 3 - - 9 - - 14 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 252 - - 288 - - 267 - - 265 - - 262 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 9 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 5 - - -4 - - 15 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6645 - - -7444 - - -7091 - - -6758 - - -12098 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9265 - - 15293 - - 17039 - - 17133 - - 14243 sfcLCL ODpotential -12716 - - -13934 - - -11885 - - -11620 - - -17458 ODpotential blCL 15335 - - 21782 - - 21832 - - 21994 - - 19603 blCL maxRH 73 - - 80 - - 76 - - 81 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 69.3 - - 81.1 - - 86.9 - - 87.1 - - 77.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.4 - - 20.9 - - 18.2 - - 18.0 - - 22.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 68.5 - - 78.5 - - 84.0 - - 85.8 - - 79.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.4 - - 20.8 - - 18.2 - - 17.9 - - 22.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 82 - - 435 - - 472 - - 150 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 519 - - 5748 - - 7847 - - 8274 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 19 - - 4 - - 23 - - 47 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97682 16 296 13 232 23 252 25 270 24 300 97682 90249 11 291 9 296 8 290 12 268 17 300 90249 84572 12 340 12 346 6 006 7 345 10 334 84572 79898 11 012 9 357 10 352 11 009 14 003 79898 75893 11 048 9 041 7 339 14 023 15 024 75893 72344 13 030 10 023 9 049 10 025 14 022 72344 69122 11 351 7 326 11 011 14 028 9 015 69122 66190 8 294 6 326 6 294 11 333 9 345 66190 63479 18 276 15 314 13 295 8 326 4 005 63479 60832 37 262 37 260 36 274 28 286 21 293 60832 58059 43 251 49 257 49 262 48 265 41 271 58059 55195 49 259 58 258 58 256 56 261 53 268 55195 52475 58 263 63 253 62 262 64 263 58 266 52475 50034 62 259 57 254 66 256 64 260 61 264 50034 47853 75 265 61 269 64 257 66 261 62 261 47853 45886 104 264 88 275 82 269 84 263 71 262 45886 44103 127 259 116 270 110 266 105 260 97 262 44103 42464 128 259 115 266 108 262 110 254 106 258 42464 40927 118 261 112 265 102 262 107 253 101 253 40927 39474 108 263 106 265 100 260 98 256 90 251 39474 38100 105 265 105 264 100 257 93 259 87 251 38100 36767 100 263 108 262 102 255 90 258 87 252 36767 35409 97 260 109 261 101 257 88 255 88 254 35409 34002 98 258 105 260 101 260 87 254 88 259 34002 32548 100 259 103 261 97 262 87 256 84 263 32548 31034 102 261 101 263 93 263 87 257 87 263 31034 29449 88 267 88 267 94 264 88 255 86 262 29449 27796 67 271 69 269 82 270 87 254 78 257 27796 26074 61 270 54 265 64 275 76 264 73 248 26074 24288 57 265 48 257 52 270 59 272 66 249 24288 22444 55 260 47 257 49 259 50 267 61 268 22444 20541 53 255 47 261 50 256 47 261 42 272 20541 18575 51 259 46 261 48 260 46 262 41 261 18575 16574 50 265 45 261 47 265 45 265 44 262 16574 14646 48 268 44 265 44 269 41 267 35 267 14646 12891 42 271 39 272 36 269 33 266 25 269 12891 11331 34 271 32 273 28*262 20*256 16 261 11331 9939 26 266 19 270 13*252 16*255 11 255 9939 8696 19 268 9*260 10 255 16 256 10 266 8696 7586 12 275 3*267 10 258 15 259 12 273 7586 6596 5 282 3 271 9 264 14 263 14 274 6596 5718 4 356 3 279 8 269 14 266 16 273 5718 4939 5 013 3 286 8 274 14 269 18 271 4939 4237 6 020 3 291 8 278 13 271 20 269 4237 3613 6 029 3 300 7 281 13 273 21 268 3613 3090 4 035 3 307 7 285 13 275 20 267 3090 2687 1*004 3 311 7 286 12 276 19 266 2687 2410 0*263 3 314 7 288 12 276 16 265 2410 2241 0 245 3 313 7 287 11 277 12*264 2241 2145 0 249 3 315 6 289 10 277 7*262 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography