DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/03 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.7 - - 90.8 - - - - - 80.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 244 - - 264 - - - - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3136 - - 6671 - - - - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4045 - - 6787 - - - - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5236 - - 8771 - - - - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3232 - - 1419 - - - - - 861 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 378 - - 497 - - - - - 11 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 10 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 9 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 128 - - 126 - - - - - 103 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -6 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3780 - - -2077 - - - - - -5770 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9017 - - 10848 - - - - - 7916 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10214 - - -6972 - - - - - -11124 ODpotential blCL - - - 15450 - - 15743 - - - - - 13269 blCL maxRH - - - 53 - - 56 - - - - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.7 - - 90.8 - - - - - 80.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.5 - - 50.4 - - - - - 53.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.1 - - 88.7 - - - - - 82.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.0 - - 49.9 - - - - - 53.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 244 - - 264 - - - - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3136 - - 6671 - - - - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97954 10 281 15 238 18 293 97954 90634 5 208 11 202 11 302 90634 84995 6 148 6 147 7 246 84995 80294 5 142 3 090 2 224 80294 76255 3 070 6 034 6 064 76255 72715 8 049 8 037 13 058 72715 69545 5 061 5 064 16 052 69545 66662 2 051 4 114 15 039 66662 64002 4 037 5 111 8 349 64002 61437 1 016 3 327 7 295 61437 58776 2 098 3 234 9 231 58776 56028 4 309 4 258 8 239 56028 53418 6 301 10 268 14 279 53418 51063 22 324 17 306 18 300 51063 48931 28 313 23 301 27 311 48931 46972 29 309 26 300 32 303 46972 45154 29 308 25 304 33 298 45154 43456 28 318 23 312 30 296 43456 41859 29 324 25 324 27 298 41859 40352 32 329 28 330 27 304 40352 38924 36 326 30 336 26 309 38924 37540 34 328 36 331 23 313 37540 36134 38 336 35 341 25 327 36134 34676 29 331 35 345 26 339 34676 33173 18 319 20 352 23 357 33173 31623 8 360 10 012 13 024 31623 30019 10 052 11 043 10 071 30019 28351 10 041 12 047 13 093 28351 26614 11 015 12 043 16 088 26614 24807 13 065 13 064 19 081 24807 22936 19 069 17 065 19 074 22936 20994 19 067 17 074 19 071 20994 18973 21 086 21 091 22 089 18973 16915 27 093 24 095 25 099 16915 14935 27 093 24 094 25 098 14935 13135 23 095 21 095 21 094 13135 11536 15 102 14 105 12 093 11536 10112 8 105 8 131 6 160 10112 8839 6 125 9*137 7 177 8839 7702 6 152 9*134 7 146 7702 6688 8 157 9 132 10 134 6688 5790 11*145 10 128 15 131 5790 4992 16*131 10 125 19 129 4992 4275 17 128 10 123 22 123 4275 3639 17 128 9 122 24 116 3639 3106 17 128 9 120 25 111 3106 2697 17 128 9 119 22 109 2697 2415 16 128 9 118 15 107 2415 2244 15 128 8 118 11 105 2244 2145 13 128 8 118 5*103 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography