DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/17 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.4 - - 62.1 - - 69.3 - - 66.6 - - 53.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 22 - - 335 - - 361 - - 57 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 3877 - - 7627 - - 6004 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit 6782 - - 9343 - - 12348 - - 9773 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 6798 - - 10562 - - 14312 - - 12689 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 338 - - 1811 - - 1453 - - 1957 - - 158 Hgt.Variab. W* 58 - - 465 - - 599 - - 301 - - 9 W* B/S 2 - - 9 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 10 - - 15 - - 16 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 322 - - 328 - - 345 - - 338 - - 304 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -12 - - -11 - - -7 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3284 - - -2874 - - -2687 - - -3856 - - -7589 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10082 - - 13436 - - 17000 - - 16546 - - 14389 sfcLCL ODpotential -10868 - - -8182 - - -9164 - - -10881 - - -16922 ODpotential blCL 17666 - - 18744 - - 23476 - - 23570 - - 23721 blCL maxRH 70 - - 45 - - 41 - - 33 - - 55 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.4 - - 62.1 - - 69.3 - - 66.6 - - 53.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.3 - - 26.8 - - 18.0 - - 17.6 - - 15.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.6 - - 60.2 - - 67.1 - - 66.3 - - 58.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.2 - - 26.3 - - 17.1 - - 16.8 - - 14.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 22 - - 335 - - 361 - - 57 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 3877 - - 7627 - - 6004 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96632 13 249 24 275 25 276 22 297 28 279 96632 89528 11 025 17 218 15 277 14 287 12 303 89528 84065 6 359 5 090 5 124 5 215 19 305 84065 79494 14 336 9 021 15 079 7 116 4 044 79494 75550 7 015 2 049 9 065 5 038 14 048 75550 72067 8 073 8 085 4 173 5 324 7 017 72067 68900 11 066 10 041 3 141 4 314 9 023 68900 65970 8 076 2 261 5 316 9 349 3 082 65970 63245 6 050 10 060 6 101 20 339 10 351 63245 60613 16 338 23 323 19 318 24 312 23 299 60613 57925 15 327 26 319 23 339 17 331 13 317 57925 55154 25 354 18 354 32 349 31 330 31 348 55154 52505 42 356 44 001 43 336 39 334 45 343 52505 50124 63 353 56 350 43 339 46 339 44 349 50124 47977 69 351 68 345 52 345 57 340 48 340 47977 46023 71 349 72 342 58 344 61 339 52 337 46023 44230 74 347 69 343 62 343 65 340 56 337 44230 42579 76 345 70 346 66 343 67 340 57 344 42579 41048 79 346 73 348 70 343 67 342 57 352 41048 39615 80 350 75 349 73 342 68 343 56 359 39615 38268 77 353 75 349 74 341 69 343 56 004 38268 36975 70 353 74 351 73 341 69 342 57 004 36975 35676 62 352 73 352 72 342 67 342 56 359 35676 34344 56 349 72 352 72 343 64 343 55 357 34344 32986 51 348 69 352 71 345 63 345 52 360 32986 31593 45 348 67 350 67 345 64 346 47 002 31593 30155 42 349 64 348 61 344 65 346 45 002 30155 28676 41 350 62 346 57 342 65 346 46 358 28676 27159 40 351 63 346 56 340 64 345 50 352 27159 25608 39 352 65 348 57 341 63 346 56 350 25608 24027 39 352 65 348 62 344 64 348 61 351 24027 22412 38 352 60 347 66 348 65 351 63 354 22412 20758 39 352 50 344 62 349 61 352 62 355 20758 19098 38 354 43 341 54 347 53 350 56 353 19098 17516 37 355 39 343 45 347 45 347 48 348 17516 16083 35 357 37 350 36 350 38 347 41 344 16083 14805 34 359 35 359 23*353 29 348 37 343 14805 13659 32 001 32 007 17*349 20*346 33 342 13659 12624 31 003 27 012 16 347 17*341 30 342 12624 11687 29 004 20 010 15 346 17 340 27 343 11687 10839 27 003 15*359 15 346 17 339 23 344 10839 10075 25 002 13*346 15 345 17 337 19 345 10075 9384 21 360 11 338 15 344 17 337 16 345 9384 8752 18 355 10 327 15 344 17 336 14 343 8752 8181 15 346 9 323 15 344 16 336 12 339 8181 7695 14 335 9 319 14 343 16 336 11 333 7695 7316 15 326 8 316 14 343 16 335 11 324 7316 7053 14 323 8 315 13 343 15 335 10 311 7053 6891 12 323 8 314 13 343 14 335 9*305 6891 6799 7*322 7 313 12 343 12 335 6*304 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography