DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/18 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 33.9 - - 44.5 - - 49.4 - - 44.8 - - 43.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 103 - - 113 - - -4 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1465 - - 4072 - - 114 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 7086 - - 8990 - - 6782 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 6798 - - 8150 - - 10757 - - 6799 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 223 - - 2121 - - 2363 - - 5601 - - 1147 Hgt.Variab. W* 15 - - 234 - - 332 - - 6 - - 13 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 9 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 10 - - 7 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 067 - - 103 - - 148 - - 098 - - 093 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -8 - - -1 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - -259 - - 1472 - - -1267 - - -900 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6798 - - 8410 - - 9286 - - 8066 - - 7699 sfcLCL ODpotential -5171 - - -3218 - - -260 - - -3921 - - -4271 ODpotential blCL 11969 - - 11368 - - 11017 - - 10720 - - 11070 blCL maxRH 73 - - 90 - - 92 - - 79 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 20 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 33.9 - - 44.5 - - 49.4 - - 44.8 - - 43.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.2 - - 31.3 - - 32.3 - - 33.2 - - 33.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 34.5 - - 43.7 - - 48.5 - - 47.9 - - 45.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.2 - - 30.1 - - 31.8 - - 32.8 - - 33.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 103 - - 113 - - -4 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1465 - - 4072 - - 114 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 59 - - 69 - - 15 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96604 3 074 17 299 7 342 9 270 18 282 96604 89525 8 099 5 300 4 167 16 340 5 037 89525 84061 9 092 3 142 3 203 11 332 5 032 84061 79505 10 093 9 155 5 358 2 131 7 349 79505 75547 8 072 8 118 3 323 6 116 2 016 75547 72023 7 102 5 087 3 168 2 130 4 041 72023 68825 6 076 5 225 3 239 6 335 4 328 68825 65883 5 285 6 212 6 242 11 310 7 355 65883 63138 12 259 6 256 11 237 19 256 18 297 63138 60465 19 252 11 244 10 216 15 236 25 269 60465 57684 23 228 19 248 12 250 17 254 21 255 57684 54803 24 217 26 237 25 242 28 242 27 241 54803 52043 28 241 33 236 31 233 39 233 36 235 52043 49555 45 245 44 239 47 236 44 236 41 232 49555 47327 55 239 57 233 49 237 52 235 49 233 47327 45309 59 234 57 231 56 238 64 233 60 231 45309 43466 62 233 60 233 67 232 71 230 69 228 43466 41767 68 236 68 233 74 230 74 228 73 226 41767 40190 76 236 80 233 81 231 80 228 78 227 40190 38720 83 234 91 232 92 232 88 229 83 228 38720 37350 85 233 97 230 102 231 95 230 87 228 37350 36047 84 233 100 229 107 231 98 230 88 228 36047 34750 80 234 97 228 107 230 98 230 87 228 34750 33429 73 233 88 227 103 229 96 231 85 229 33429 32093 66 232 78 227 92 228 90 230 84 229 32093 30733 59 232 73 228 81 227 82 227 84 228 30733 29341 53 231 69 227 72 228 69 226 81 227 29341 27917 50 230 65 227 65 229 60 225 70 226 27917 26461 49 227 61 227 58 228 52 224 57 224 26461 24973 48 226 57 225 50 228 47 224 47 224 24973 23458 46 230 53 224 48 228 47 223 42 221 23458 21911 43 235 47 223 47 225 44 220 40 220 21911 20329 39 238 41 224 42 224 39 220 38 219 20329 18738 32 238 37 224 37 225 34 222 35 220 18738 17213 25 233 33 221 34 225 32 224 33 222 17213 15830 18 227 30 217 31 224 31 224 28 222 15830 14597 14 223 24 213 27 224 26 223 24 218 14597 13487 12 224 17 205 22 221 22 223 21 211 13487 12481 10 224 11 194 14 210 17 217 17 201 12481 11568 8 222 10 195 10*196 13 207 14 182 11568 10741 6 227 9 188 8*181 10 197 14 157 10741 9994 4 229 8 167 7 154 8 179 14 143 9994 9320 3 212 9 143 7 146 6 152 14 140 9320 8702 3 170 10*120 7 142 6 131 15 144 8702 8145 4 132 11*107 7 141 6 121 16 148 8145 7672 6 121 10 103 7 139 6 116 15 145 7672 7303 8 112 10 102 7 138 5 113 12 133 7303 7046 8 092 10 102 6 138 5 109 9 113 7046 6889 6*075 9 101 6 137 5*106 7*100 6889 6799 3*067 8 101 6 138 4*098 4*093 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography