DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/04 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.3 - - 69.8 - - 74.0 - - 71.6 - - 61.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 26 - - 302 - - 306 - - 21 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 114 - - 4135 - - 6522 - - 4018 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit 6782 - - 9505 - - 11381 - - 6783 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top 6799 - - 10820 - - 13207 - - 10703 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 715 - - 2344 - - 2598 - - 3647 - - 391 Hgt.Variab. W* 62 - - 459 - - 536 - - 189 - - 8 W* B/S 3 - - 21 - - 38 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 067 - - 168 - - 276 - - 290 - - 298 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 3 - - -9 - - -8 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3158 - - -2287 - - -1259 - - -2213 - - -3661 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9957 - - 13108 - - 14467 - - 12917 - - 10461 sfcLCL ODpotential -8607 - - -6423 - - -4195 - - -5224 - - -8365 ODpotential blCL 15406 - - 17243 - - 17402 - - 15927 - - 15165 blCL maxRH 65 - - 59 - - 55 - - 70 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 70 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m 58.3 - - 69.8 - - 74.0 - - 71.6 - - 61.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.6 - - 36.0 - - 34.1 - - 38.6 - - 39.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.3 - - 67.9 - - 72.0 - - 71.6 - - 65.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.2 - - 35.6 - - 33.8 - - 38.5 - - 39.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 26 - - 302 - - 306 - - 21 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 114 - - 4135 - - 6522 - - 4018 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 21 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97843 14 254 12 253 21 236 16 274 8 305 97843 90532 13 181 11 246 9 234 15 247 8 272 90532 84917 7 046 9 169 6 213 5 238 3 270 84917 80254 12 032 9 098 4 151 4 027 3 086 80254 76240 4 356 7 080 8 115 4 102 3 033 76240 72713 3 049 7 080 4 070 8 095 1 066 72713 69549 10 353 9 041 6 086 5 033 8 038 69549 66658 13 001 12 332 12 019 8 037 7 020 66658 63984 14 350 9 337 12 322 16 329 13 010 63984 61390 15 293 11 329 12 314 16 313 16 340 61390 58687 14 290 15 294 13 309 18 295 20 303 58687 55897 18 319 20 286 17 282 21 275 28 279 55897 53248 24 315 25 293 21 283 23 277 30 284 53248 50864 37 296 33 291 30 287 34 295 39 300 50864 48713 42 289 36 286 36 285 40 299 49 296 48713 46738 47 292 38 284 36 283 41 301 51 296 46738 44905 51 294 41 281 36 283 42 301 50 298 44905 43197 55 293 44 278 37 284 40 299 42 297 43197 41601 57 292 46 280 38 287 37 300 36 293 41601 40110 55 293 45 286 38 288 34 301 29 293 40110 38714 48 297 41 291 35 290 32 297 29 292 38714 37381 42 299 34 293 34 291 32 292 27 294 37381 36048 39 303 32 297 35 294 31 295 25 299 36048 34687 37 306 31 301 35 297 31 300 25 302 34687 33303 32 308 29 303 32 300 29 300 25 304 33303 31887 27 301 27 300 28 300 25 297 27 302 31887 30431 23 302 26 300 26 302 24 296 28 299 30431 28939 16 319 21 309 21 313 21 307 26 302 28939 27414 13 331 16 315 16 319 17 314 19 312 27414 25859 13 334 12 313 13 318 14 318 15 321 25859 24278 11 342 10 327 11 319 12 325 13 330 24278 22664 11 358 8 355 8 340 9 335 12 345 22664 21009 10 004 9 014 6 005 5 356 10 351 21009 19340 10 358 10 016 6 032 6 064 5 351 19340 17741 10 354 13 008 9 042 14 077 9 086 17741 16288 8 351 13 356 11 033 14 071 13 097 16288 14986 3 358 10 340 10 023 11 063 10 093 14986 13815 1 293 6 320 7*012 8 047 8 059 13815 12756 5 187 2 291 3*344 5 017 7 033 12756 11795 7 183 3 184 2 293 4 321 4 020 11795 10926 7 177 5*168 2 270 6*297 4 344 10926 10143 7 178 5*168 3 264 7*291 5 321 10143 9436 9 168 4 167 3 264 8 290 7 315 9436 8789 11 158 4 167 3 267 8 290 9 312 8789 8206 14 147 4 166 3 270 8 290 11 311 8206 7711 14 134 4 168 3 270 8 290 12 309 7711 7326 11 113 4 168 3 273 8 290 12 307 7326 7058 8 084 3 169 3 274 8 290 10 304 7058 6894 6*068 3 172 3 274 8 290 7*298 6894 6800 4*067 3 172 3 274 6 291 4*298 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography