DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/01 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.0 - - 75.2 - - 76.0 - - 66.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 415 - - 317 - - 116 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5947 - - 7133 - - 8141 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11054 - - 11884 - - 12015 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12632 - - 13818 - - 14826 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2715 - - 4663 - - 3610 - - 6690 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 575 - - 559 - - 418 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 29 - - 12 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 9 - - 10 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 240 - - 250 - - 259 - - 310 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - -13 - - -8 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1321 - - 1460 - - 1140 - - -5182 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11311 - - 12358 - - 13686 - - 11983 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 57 - - -389 - - -597 - - -8658 ODpotential blCL - - - 12575 - - 14207 - - 15423 - - 15458 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 88 - - 88 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 180 - - 250 - - 100 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.0 - - 75.2 - - 76.0 - - 66.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.7 - - 44.3 - - 39.4 - - 37.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.6 - - 73.1 - - 75.1 - - 70.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.6 - - 44.1 - - 39.2 - - 37.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 415 - - 317 - - 116 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5947 - - 7133 - - 8141 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 45 - - 52 - - 53 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98938 17 102 14 123 11 101 13 082 98938 91500 15 094 13 098 18 088 18 080 91500 85770 12 090 14 088 15 083 19 084 85770 81038 13 100 13 085 11 079 19 073 81038 76962 12 105 11 097 7 088 16 072 76962 73364 7 120 11 105 8 067 10 064 73364 70100 8 160 4 144 4 068 10 065 70100 67095 3 208 4 137 6 168 4 020 67095 64315 7 224 6 255 3 207 2 237 64315 61641 11 202 18 206 14 244 7 198 61641 58880 14 249 13 218 16 209 25 218 58880 56055 29 238 27 245 26 247 26 231 56055 53388 32 241 39 236 38 245 32 251 53388 50992 38 249 47 244 44 248 43 260 50992 48832 50 251 54 247 51 250 50 258 48832 46855 56 254 55 248 54 249 55 257 46855 45026 57 265 56 258 56 251 60 257 45026 43325 64 275 65 268 61 255 64 256 43325 41730 69 277 69 271 64 258 64 257 41730 40228 71 278 67 271 65 264 65 260 40228 38817 70 279 64 271 65 268 65 265 38817 37470 63 279 61 272 62 269 62 267 37470 36127 51 274 58 270 57 263 57 262 36127 34760 43 268 52 266 54 258 52 254 34760 33373 38 263 48 262 52 254 50 251 33373 31954 35 257 43 257 48 254 48 252 31954 30491 34 258 40 252 43 253 45 255 30491 28988 31 263 36 251 39 252 41 256 28988 27447 26 259 34 249 36 254 36 256 27447 25874 20 246 30 244 32 255 33 255 25874 24273 20 226 28 236 30 253 30 252 24273 22639 23 224 29 234 27 248 27 250 22639 20966 24 230 28 236 26 250 27 251 20966 19291 23 235 20 241 19 245 21 244 19291 17702 19 243 12 244 14 235 17 236 17702 16263 15 250 10 246 13 235 15 232 16263 14975 14 255 9*246 13*237 14 235 14975 13814 13 256 9*247 10*248 12 241 13814 12762 8*256 9 248 10 252 11 248 12762 11806 4*246 9 249 10 255 10 254 11806 10939 4 241 9 250 10 257 9 261 10939 10157 4 240 9 250 10 260 8 270 10157 9449 3 238 9 251 10 262 8 277 9449 8801 3 237 9 251 10 263 8 281 8801 8216 3 238 9 251 10 264 8 284 8216 7718 3 239 8 251 10 265 8 284 7718 7330 3 240 8 251 9 266 7 286 7330 7060 3 241 8 251 9 266 6 289 7060 6895 3 242 8 251 9 266 4*296 6895 6800 3 242 7 252 8 266 3*310 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography