DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/28 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1556z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.3 - - 54.9 - - 54.4 - - 53.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 59 - - 18 - - 16 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1343 - - 980 - - 618 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6783 - - 6782 - - 6782 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8028 - - 7665 - - 7303 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1348 - - 1220 - - 1413 - - 1795 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 195 - - 118 - - 97 - - 38 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 13 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 2 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 108 - - 024 - - 130 - - 138 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -1 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1229 - - 866 - - 504 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6799 - - 6799 - - 6799 - - 6799 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1963 - - 117 - - 157 - - -139 ODpotential blCL - - - 9991 - - 7548 - - 7146 - - 6938 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 30 - - 30 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.3 - - 54.9 - - 54.4 - - 53.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.2 - - 52.4 - - 53.3 - - 53.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.8 - - 54.8 - - 54.4 - - 53.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.9 - - 51.9 - - 52.9 - - 53.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 59 - - 18 - - 16 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1343 - - 980 - - 618 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - 102 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98105 8 256 3 039 8 314 9 293 98105 90782 3 175 4 149 5 270 4 316 90782 85094 6 101 3 153 5 280 10 354 85094 80365 5 065 5 177 4 265 12 343 80365 76332 4 110 3 127 2 157 4 359 76332 72797 8 103 4 101 5 064 8 135 72797 69598 10 086 7 144 6 045 6 103 69598 66659 6 082 8 122 2 009 1 294 66659 63949 5 291 4 026 6 355 3 357 63949 61335 10 271 10 281 12 300 11 317 61335 58608 19 281 19 277 13 269 14 258 58608 55778 24 263 22 269 19 273 16 259 55778 53082 31 263 36 275 36 279 35 273 53082 50657 47 263 53 262 52 264 48 263 50657 48480 57 265 59 261 65 262 66 259 48480 46495 67 268 67 261 74 258 82 257 46495 44662 77 267 73 260 77 258 86 253 44662 42950 85 266 77 261 80 257 86 251 42950 41340 87 265 80 262 79 255 89 250 41340 39824 81 265 80 259 75 251 87 249 39824 38407 72 264 73 256 69 243 75 245 38407 37062 64 257 62 252 68 234 69 233 37062 35726 55 245 54 249 69 230 75 225 35726 34368 47 242 48 247 65 229 81 221 34368 32988 45 240 46 246 61 229 80 221 32988 31575 47 238 46 245 59 228 76 222 31575 30120 47 239 43 242 54 230 72 226 30120 28628 47 241 40 236 46 231 66 231 28628 27101 45 241 40 233 42 228 56 233 27101 25545 42 240 45 234 43 226 46 230 25545 23965 39 239 45 233 45 227 42 229 23965 22357 38 237 45 230 45 226 39 227 22357 20715 37 234 46 227 44 225 39 225 20715 19067 39 229 46 229 43 224 42 225 19067 17495 42 223 47 229 43 222 40 223 17495 16066 43 219 48 228 42 223 35 224 16066 14789 43 215 48 225 40 225 31 227 14789 13640 43 216 46 221 39 227 27 230 13640 12604 42 221 39 218 37 229 22 233 12604 11667 40 227 31 212 34 230 17 234 11667 10820 35 230 23 201 29 229 10 227 10820 10058 26 228 17 194 22 223 8 192 10058 9370 16 216 12 196 18 214 9 167 9370 8740 10 186 6 210 13 197 10 162 8740 8172 8*151 4 219 11 174 10 160 8172 7689 8*119 0*003 11 147 11 152 7689 7313 7 107 1*024 11*133 10 142 7313 7052 7 104 2 023 10*131 9 139 7052 6891 7 103 2 023 10 130 7 138 6891 6799 6 103 2 025 8 129 6*138 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography