DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/15 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 30.4 - - 45.5 - - 51.8 - - 42.7 - - 33.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - 103 - - 128 - - -8 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 801 - - 1631 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 6781 - - 7305 - - 6781 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top 6798 - - 7486 - - 8316 - - 6798 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 69 - - 602 - - 749 - - 1197 - - 155 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 186 - - 253 - - 7 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 31 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 1 - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 077 - - 245 - - 276 - - 227 - - 225 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -3 - - -4 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3149 - - -5352 - - -5392 - - -4919 - - -1732 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9947 - - 12839 - - 13709 - - 11718 - - 8531 sfcLCL ODpotential -14786 - - -13598 - - -12199 - - -13025 - - -11539 ODpotential blCL 21584 - - 21084 - - 20515 - - 19823 - - 18337 blCL maxRH 79 - - 74 - - 89 - - 83 - - 71 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 30.4 - - 45.5 - - 51.8 - - 42.7 - - 33.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 11.8 - - 13.8 - - 15.9 - - 16.0 - - 20.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.1 - - 44.7 - - 50.8 - - 46.9 - - 38.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 11.5 - - 13.2 - - 15.5 - - 15.6 - - 20.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - 103 - - 128 - - -8 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 801 - - 1631 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 16 - - 0 - - 58 - - 33 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96236 42 050 24 035 31 031 16 046 16 326 96236 89414 35 054 27 069 23 058 16 061 11 014 89414 84049 27 076 31 077 24 071 13 079 17 036 84049 79534 26 078 28 078 20 072 16 057 22 039 79534 75608 21 069 23 077 13 085 14 069 17 044 75608 72107 14 071 16 063 10 090 12 045 11 062 72107 68914 15 035 9 039 7 038 14 352 11 009 68914 65995 18 019 13 350 14 024 11 320 12 343 65995 63323 23 358 21 335 20 352 14 349 15 345 63323 60755 24 345 21 334 23 342 18 343 19 331 60755 58072 19 343 19 345 22 348 19 350 19 341 58072 55264 21 345 21 331 26 334 26 350 25 349 55264 52557 20 336 20 316 30 325 32 336 30 344 52557 50095 16 343 21 312 31 314 31 322 31 343 50095 47862 20 337 24 314 31 305 32 322 32 338 47862 45822 21 324 25 310 27 302 31 314 33 330 45822 43951 20 326 21 308 19 309 23 304 31 312 43951 42224 20 316 18 316 16 305 18 309 30 298 42224 40616 23 300 18 315 12 304 20 310 20 298 40616 39121 26 289 18 310 12 307 14 302 15 310 39121 37735 29 273 21 283 14 293 11 299 17 318 37735 36418 23 258 27 264 15 294 8 341 16 327 36418 35113 25 235 26 233 18 266 11 343 12 341 35113 33799 26 227 24 224 18 222 6 266 6 349 33799 32475 23 232 21 233 16 229 6 162 2 174 32475 31119 20 236 17 234 13 248 3 178 5 087 31119 29718 17 248 14 237 11 252 4 025 10 051 29718 28277 13 258 11 237 8 251 6 060 12 047 28277 26797 14 229 8 213 7 230 5 099 12 051 26797 25282 17 209 11 193 9 217 6 128 13 066 25282 23739 12 204 11 200 7 222 4 153 13 064 23739 22167 8 193 12 219 6 262 3 204 10 051 22167 20555 8 190 9 217 5 261 2 188 5 067 20555 18929 5 172 6 198 3 221 1 156 2 121 18929 17373 2 131 3 187 3 161 2 130 2 211 17373 15959 1 266 2 228 2 146 2 091 4 252 15959 14695 3 273 4 243 1 277 3 359 6 322 14695 13559 3 295 3 267 3 298 5 333 9 342 13559 12531 4 318 3 313 3 315 7 329 9 346 12531 11602 4 329 3 327 4 326 7 333 8 342 11602 10761 5 327 4 321 5 329 8 337 7 333 10761 10005 5 327 5 309 6 326 9 342 6 325 10005 9322 4 329 7 299 8 320 9 338 5 318 9322 8700 4 333 8 293 7*310 9 321 5 312 8700 8139 3 339 7 288 5*285 7 290 5 317 8139 7665 1 009 4*279 5 277 7 258 5 316 7665 7297 2 089 1*254 5 274 8 244 5 295 7297 7042 5 094 1 244 5 272 8 236 4 255 7042 6887 5*085 1 238 5 271 6*231 3*234 6887 6798 5*077 1 241 5 272 5*227 2*225 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography