DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/15 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.4 - - 53.5 - - - - - 46.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 174 - - 146 - - - - - -43 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1528 - - 2114 - - - - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7403 - - 7751 - - - - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8213 - - 8799 - - - - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 625 - - 2332 - - - - - 303 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 281 - - 296 - - - - - 30 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 16 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 3 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 143 - - 103 - - - - - 077 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 7 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -8 - - - - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1376 - - 635 - - - - - -1330 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6837 - - 8164 - - - - - 8130 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3244 - - -1806 - - - - - -6584 ODpotential blCL - - - 11457 - - 10605 - - - - - 13383 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 75 - - - - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.4 - - 53.5 - - - - - 46.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.0 - - 41.3 - - - - - 34.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.3 - - 52.6 - - - - - 49.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.7 - - 40.3 - - - - - 33.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 174 - - 146 - - - - - -43 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1528 - - 2114 - - - - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 51 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97628 15 248 20 247 21 297 97628 90349 11 262 14 258 16 309 90349 84773 5 250 11 282 7 313 84773 80151 2 310 8 254 4 117 80151 76151 5 350 9 155 6 041 76151 72619 4 078 9 104 8 357 72619 69446 13 097 4 020 4 109 69446 66534 11 043 8 152 6 054 66534 63830 9 276 5 335 5 003 63830 61210 12 226 12 262 14 315 61210 58482 7 220 13 239 16 270 58482 55658 16 276 15 258 14 251 55658 52958 30 249 30 249 23 276 52958 50508 32 234 38 231 35 254 50508 48295 29 243 35 229 42 229 48295 46278 37 259 37 244 43 230 46278 44418 50 256 49 251 49 236 44418 42696 58 247 58 247 48 242 42696 41091 66 238 65 240 53 247 41091 39589 68 228 70 231 58 246 39589 38183 65 222 69 225 57 245 38183 36845 57 224 60 228 47 249 36845 35514 47 234 42 240 35 252 35514 34165 37 248 33 251 21 265 34165 32801 28 266 23 254 12 264 32801 31412 24 269 17 271 7 283 31412 29989 22 265 16 282 8 283 29989 28531 11 234 11 277 5 294 28531 27038 10 209 9 234 6 018 27038 25516 10 194 11 196 9 024 25516 23964 5 241 7 225 10 020 23964 22374 6 297 3 320 9 018 22374 20737 2 262 1 197 10 013 20737 19084 4 045 3 114 11 009 19084 17500 9 050 6 074 9 023 17500 16062 11 057 7 068 8 055 16062 14782 11 064 8 079 9 072 14782 13634 13 073 15 083 9 087 13634 12598 18 076 22 079 9 101 12598 11661 22 076 23 078 10 100 11661 10812 23 076 21 078 14 093 10812 10048 21 077 18 080 20 089 10048 9358 17 082 13*082 27 085 9358 8729 12*094 8*087 32 081 8729 8163 6*129 4 097 32 077 8163 7683 6 141 3 112 28 075 7683 7309 6 146 2 119 24 076 7309 7049 6 150 2 127 19 079 7049 6890 6 151 2 131 15*079 6890 6799 5 152 2 133 7*077 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography