DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/11 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.6 - - 89.5 - - 85.2 - - 73.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 324 - - 415 - - 46 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7531 - - 11590 - - 3538 - - 116 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12217 - - 15652 - - 7881 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14216 - - 18275 - - 10223 - - 6801 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4784 - - 2575 - - 9697 - - 614 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 575 - - 721 - - 244 - - 25 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 16 - - 4 - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 8 - - 11 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 305 - - 302 - - 337 - - 104 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -14 - - -5 - - 50 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1242 - - 2160 - - -4344 - - -1521 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15459 - - 16115 - - 14567 - - 8323 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3141 - - 144 - - -6564 - - -5631 ODpotential blCL - - - 17357 - - 18131 - - 16787 - - 12432 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 69 - - 99 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 210 - - 530 - - 630 - - 2360 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.6 - - 89.5 - - 85.2 - - 73.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.1 - - 41.8 - - 44.6 - - 59.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.5 - - 86.9 - - 84.7 - - 75.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.6 - - 41.3 - - 43.7 - - 57.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 324 - - 415 - - 46 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7531 - - 11590 - - 3538 - - 116 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 88 - - 0 - - 95 - - 57 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99326 30 112 28 101 26 082 28 089 99326 91768 34 104 29 104 23 094 24 087 91768 85960 34 092 26 106 26 102 27 077 85960 81188 26 087 27 104 23 101 25 081 81188 77100 19 101 17 073 21 096 21 092 77100 73488 16 092 11 085 13 056 20 089 73488 70207 12 094 9 102 5 085 12 076 70207 67187 6 088 5 079 7 107 5 092 67187 64396 2 077 1 156 5 061 4 134 64396 61704 3 082 5 207 3 021 4 133 61704 58915 4 075 4 177 2 221 4 181 58915 56064 2 236 2 220 7 232 7 278 56064 53384 7 230 12 236 13 255 15 296 53384 50996 9 273 17 232 17 256 13 276 50996 48858 11 290 4 232 13 235 10 280 48858 46907 8 279 2 336 5 182 12 209 46907 45107 5 258 3 342 1 124 10 165 45107 43434 2 196 2 339 2 298 9 148 43434 41866 2 104 2 171 4 211 8 158 41866 40388 2 032 7 157 11 191 7 193 40388 38998 2 100 11 185 14 187 12 194 38998 37667 6 149 14 187 15 178 15 196 37667 36332 8 155 15 184 16 181 15 186 36332 34968 7 147 14 176 15 187 12 172 34968 33580 7 135 10 170 12 191 10 171 33580 32158 7 135 9 145 10 183 11 166 32158 30691 7 182 7 123 7 177 8 172 30691 29184 6 188 4 100 5 160 8 172 29184 27639 6 246 2 132 4 139 7 159 27639 26064 10 261 2 202 3 130 4 143 26064 24461 7 246 4 206 3 166 2 117 24461 22825 5 228 6 202 6 177 5 210 22825 21153 7 256 5 216 6 173 10 227 21153 19475 7 259 3*304 2 225 11 242 19475 17870 5 255 5*333 5 290 11 267 17870 16409 4 275 6 325 9 299 12 289 16409 15102 5*306 6 319 11 299 12 303 15102 13923 8*318 7 314 11 300 11 313 13923 12855 9 320 8 307 11 303 9 323 12855 11884 10 316 9 302 11 308 8 338 11884 11004 9 310 10 297 11 315 6 001 11004 10209 9 304 10 294 11*322 7 025 10209 9490 8 298 11 293 11*329 9 041 9490 8832 7 291 11 291 11 335 13 055 8832 8237 6 285 11 290 11 338 15 060 8237 7732 5 281 11 289 11 340 14 066 7732 7339 5 278 11 289 11 340 11 077 7339 7065 5 274 11 289 11 341 7 094 7065 6897 4 275 11 288 10 340 4*105 6897 6801 4 274 10 288 9 338 2*104 6801 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography