DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/09 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.0 - - 89.3 - - - - - 76.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 461 - - 481 - - - - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8656 - - 15238 - - - - - 116 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13298 - - 18772 - - - - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15341 - - 21923 - - - - - 6801 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3861 - - 1585 - - - - - 368 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 677 - - 831 - - - - - 11 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 7 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 20 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 273 - - 274 - - - - - 349 Direction Wind Shear - - - 15 - - 12 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - 11 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -600 - - 2894 - - - - - -10823 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15942 - - 19030 - - - - - 17625 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3105 - - 251 - - - - - -14201 ODpotential blCL - - - 18446 - - 21672 - - - - - 21002 blCL maxRH - - - 56 - - 40 - - - - - 44 maxRH CAPE - - - 330 - - 150 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.0 - - 89.3 - - - - - 76.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.2 - - 28.4 - - - - - 23.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.2 - - 86.6 - - - - - 80.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.7 - - 27.8 - - - - - 23.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 461 - - 481 - - - - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8656 - - 15238 - - - - - 116 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 3 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99310 33 107 27 103 31 087 99310 91761 35 109 32 099 28 091 91761 85925 30 110 30 105 25 097 85925 81112 26 110 22 111 24 095 81112 76993 30 106 20 106 22 100 76993 73362 25 093 23 121 19 090 73362 70080 20 096 24 114 13 086 70080 67087 10 082 13 080 13 093 67087 64333 8 151 2 135 17 081 64333 61690 7 187 8 230 1 137 61690 58975 5 243 11 221 7 218 58975 56189 7 235 10 232 16 269 56189 53545 16 307 16 227 22 273 53545 51158 35 293 20 281 21 269 51158 48987 43 288 38 284 28 277 48987 46994 42 290 39 281 34 283 46994 45155 39 291 37 283 35 284 45155 43444 36 286 37 281 32 281 43444 41836 34 277 39 277 33 279 41836 40320 33 270 39 271 37 282 40320 38894 33 271 40 263 44 284 38894 37529 36 275 41 264 49 282 37529 36164 40 274 44 269 48 282 36164 34774 41 274 45 273 41 282 34774 33371 38 275 39 280 34 283 33371 31947 33 278 32 285 35 288 31947 30490 25 281 29 289 37 294 30490 29000 19 279 25 291 38 296 29000 27477 18 270 25 285 31 290 27477 25925 19 261 26 278 27 283 25925 24348 22 269 27 281 25 280 24348 22743 29 285 28*283 23 272 22743 21102 30 286 27*282 23 258 21102 19446 25 276 22 276 22 258 19446 17854 24 268 21 275 21 263 17854 16402 23*264 21 275 21 268 16402 15097 21*266 20 274 20 274 15097 13920 17 272 20 274 19 281 13920 12853 14 275 20 274 18 289 12853 11883 11 276 20 273 18 298 11883 11004 10 276 20 273 18 306 11004 10211 10 276 20 272 18 311 10211 9492 9 275 20 272 17 316 9492 8834 9 275 19 272 17 319 8834 8240 8 275 19 272 17 322 8240 7734 8 274 19 271 16 324 7734 7340 8 274 18 271 14 328 7340 7065 7 274 18 271 12 334 7065 6897 7 274 17 271 9*342 6897 6801 7 274 15 271 6*349 6801 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography