DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/16 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.5 - - 71.9 - - 76.8 - - 74.7 - - 63.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 46 - - 352 - - 360 - - 63 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 308 - - 4492 - - 11454 - - 9002 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit 6783 - - 9839 - - 15451 - - 12048 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top 6993 - - 11177 - - 18139 - - 15687 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 718 - - 6185 - - 1982 - - 3040 - - 214 Hgt.Variab. W* 104 - - 496 - - 683 - - 355 - - 6 W* B/S 3 - - 12 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 7 - - 18 - - 15 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 089 - - 233 - - 246 - - 268 - - 337 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 14 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 7 - - -12 - - -13 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3845 - - -1986 - - 2171 - - -776 - - -6995 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10839 - - 13163 - - 15969 - - 16464 - - 13795 sfcLCL ODpotential -8059 - - -4102 - - 580 - - -3262 - - -11470 ODpotential blCL 15052 - - 15279 - - 17559 - - 18949 - - 18270 blCL maxRH 73 - - 90 - - 73 - - 64 - - 53 maxRH CAPE 50 - - 170 - - 120 - - 0 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 60.5 - - 71.9 - - 76.8 - - 74.7 - - 63.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.0 - - 37.7 - - 30.0 - - 26.0 - - 26.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.3 - - 69.8 - - 74.8 - - 74.3 - - 67.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.6 - - 37.3 - - 29.7 - - 25.6 - - 26.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 46 - - 352 - - 360 - - 63 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 308 - - 4492 - - 11454 - - 9002 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 59 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98179 16 085 17 141 11 127 8 103 4 060 98179 90851 15 093 11 104 17 131 5 159 8 075 90851 85188 7 100 7 076 14 128 6 136 9 096 85188 80462 10 140 5 103 8 096 7 084 14 073 80462 76389 14 122 10 119 6 091 10 066 13 063 76389 72824 14 093 12 097 10 116 11 058 10 079 72824 69627 12 073 11 100 11 117 5 099 10 098 69627 66672 11 070 13 122 9 103 7 092 15 088 66672 63918 7 052 15 090 15 115 8 106 10 054 63918 61271 4 138 7 350 18 058 13 101 8 051 61271 58518 12 105 4 249 9 338 12 023 15 051 58518 55665 18 348 5 359 8 290 14 329 12 344 55665 52952 23 302 19 289 18 295 23 300 22 308 52952 50506 32 294 24 286 24 290 29 284 33 292 50506 48315 49 291 38 297 35 291 39 287 45 290 48315 46323 54 286 50 285 47 284 49 288 53 289 46323 44483 61 289 56 286 58 285 58 284 58 288 44483 42773 66 290 62 288 65 284 65 282 63 285 42773 41181 67 293 67 289 65 284 68 282 67 283 41181 39695 68 294 70 286 64 286 69 284 69 282 39695 38309 68 287 69 282 66 288 70 286 70 283 38309 36988 64 281 63 280 68 286 71 287 70 284 36988 35668 56 279 54 278 64 281 68 286 69 287 35668 34324 54 282 50 279 59 277 63 280 70 289 34324 32958 52 285 49 280 57 275 59 278 68 285 32958 31563 48 289 46 281 54 276 59 279 62 275 31563 30132 40 288 43 284 49 278 56 279 57 273 30132 28668 39 286 40 284 43 277 51 278 49 278 28668 27173 39 279 37 280 40 275 45 278 42 283 27173 25648 35 273 34 276 36 276 38 278 37 283 25648 24095 31 275 30 273 31 272 30 272 32 277 24095 22508 22 280 26 268 28 265 28 268 29 272 22508 20880 14 277 22 254 25 254 27 267 26 275 20880 19237 14 266 22 245 23*244 26 260 23 279 19237 17662 17 256 26 243 21*240 22 252 22 273 17662 16229 19 251 28 240 20 240 19*251 22 261 16229 14943 18 247 29 240 19 240 18*254 23 255 14943 13784 16 242 28 244 19 241 18 256 22 256 13784 12734 15 240 25 247 18 244 16 262 20 260 12734 11781 14 240 20*249 18 246 16 267 18 266 11781 10917 12 231 16*247 17 249 15 270 16 273 10917 10138 10 215 13 245 17 250 15 273 15 281 10138 9434 10 211 8 238 16 252 14 276 14 290 9434 8789 6 206 5 219 16 253 14 278 13 299 8789 8207 6 171 5 216 16 255 14 279 13 307 8207 7712 9 152 5 212 15 256 13 280 13 312 7712 7327 10 116 4 210 15 256 13 281 12 317 7327 7058 9*095 4 209 15 257 13 281 10 322 7058 6894 7*089 4 208 14 257 12 281 7*331 6894 6800 6 089 4 208 12 257 10 282 5*337 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography