DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/26 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.8 - - 49.3 - - 45.9 - - 39.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 140 - - 156 - - -1 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1439 - - 3628 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7226 - - 8842 - - 6782 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8124 - - 10313 - - 6798 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1437 - - 1420 - - 5450 - - 175 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 252 - - 354 - - 14 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 8 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - 2 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 120 - - 210 - - 129 - - 088 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 3 - - 0 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 911 - - 1422 - - -1040 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7213 - - 8891 - - 7839 - - 6798 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1317 - - 29 - - -3595 - - -4100 ODpotential blCL - - - 9441 - - 10284 - - 10393 - - 10898 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 87 - - 88 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.8 - - 49.3 - - 45.9 - - 39.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.9 - - 33.9 - - 35.1 - - 35.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.9 - - 48.3 - - 48.7 - - 42.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.4 - - 33.6 - - 34.9 - - 35.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 140 - - 156 - - -1 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1439 - - 3628 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 52 - - 49 - - 53 - - 50 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95786 36 295 33 284 31 292 45 287 95786 88823 21 281 26 286 27 299 31 283 88823 83434 21 311 20 301 23 299 25 307 83434 78939 19 309 18 319 16 286 22 307 78939 75035 18 306 18 319 15 311 17 300 75035 71561 17 311 12 285 17 285 15 294 71561 68412 20 293 20 310 18 300 16 304 68412 65519 30 272 32 293 27 306 24 285 65519 62844 31 259 40 271 25 290 15 264 62844 60234 30 253 45 251 36 271 25 262 60234 57475 52 255 51 245 52 249 40 248 57475 54612 68 254 64 249 63 249 55 247 54612 51892 77 250 79 249 73 249 66 248 51892 49448 80 248 85 245 79 246 72 247 49448 47256 80 251 87 245 83 244 78 248 47256 45274 82 251 89 246 89 245 85 249 45274 43472 85 249 92 245 96 244 90 249 43472 41821 89 246 93 244 99 242 97 246 41821 40295 92 245 92 243 98 242 105 248 40295 38869 93 245 90 244 97 244 113 252 38869 37530 92 246 87 246 95 244 108 251 37530 36247 90 248 86 248 92 244 98 247 36247 34961 88 249 86 249 89 243 94 246 34961 33645 84 249 86 249 87 244 93 245 33645 32306 81 249 85 249 86 245 92 246 32306 30932 78 248 85 249 85 246 92 246 30932 29518 76 247 84 248 85 247 92 247 29518 28067 75 246 82 246 85 248 91 248 28067 26582 74 243 79 244 85 248 88 249 26582 25068 72 240 75 242 83 248 85 247 25068 23528 70 237 72 243 79 249 80 244 23528 21959 66 236 69 244 73 250 74 243 21959 20359 62 235 64 245 67 252 66 245 20359 18758 56 236 57 244 60 252 58 247 18758 17230 50 236 50 242 53 251 52 245 17230 15843 45 237 46 241 48 249 49 244 15843 14605 40 238 43 241 44 246 45 243 14605 13492 36 239 39 241 37 242 39 241 13492 12486 31 242 32 240 27 236 31 237 12486 11574 25 246 24 238 23 234 25 230 11574 10747 19 250 14*231 19 231 22 228 10747 10000 12 244 11*225 15 227 20 225 10000 9324 9 220 9 218 11 220 17 220 9324 8705 7 190 7 207 8 211 14 211 8705 8146 6*153 7 203 6 201 11 189 8146 7672 7*123 7 202 4 190 9 155 7672 7302 7 120 6 201 3 179 10 125 7302 7045 7 119 6 200 3 166 11 103 7045 6888 6 119 6 199 2 152 9*090 6888 6798 6 118 6 199 2*129 6*088 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography