DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/07 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0950z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 36.1 - - 47.9 - - 53.0 - - 47.1 - - 40.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 106 - - 89 - - -2 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1199 - - 2144 - - 114 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 6782 - - 7518 - - 6782 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 6798 - - 7884 - - 8829 - - 6799 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 220 - - 1113 - - 1895 - - 2299 - - 429 Hgt.Variab. W* 13 - - 221 - - 255 - - 9 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 159 - - 42 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 048 - - 278 - - 267 - - 254 - - 269 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -4 - - -4 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -665 - - -852 - - -543 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6798 - - 8550 - - 9681 - - 7342 - - 6799 sfcLCL ODpotential -6571 - - -5012 - - -4724 - - -4624 - - -6074 ODpotential blCL 13369 - - 12896 - - 13553 - - 11423 - - 12873 blCL maxRH 67 - - 61 - - 56 - - 60 - - 72 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 36.1 - - 47.9 - - 53.0 - - 47.1 - - 40.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.1 - - 34.2 - - 34.3 - - 38.6 - - 37.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 37.2 - - 47.1 - - 52.3 - - 49.9 - - 45.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.0 - - 32.9 - - 33.2 - - 37.6 - - 38.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 106 - - 89 - - -2 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1199 - - 2144 - - 114 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96378 56 272 69 260 69 276 68 281 58 280 96378 89322 43 281 41 266 43 281 36 283 32 285 89322 83860 28 285 23 283 20 281 21 279 20 293 83860 79301 15 274 14 278 17 270 13 282 17 294 79301 75368 13 296 11 303 19 268 16 305 17 301 75368 71906 12 285 12 285 23 263 23 297 23 301 71906 68778 14 306 14 310 17 241 21 283 23 290 68778 65889 22 307 18 311 12 269 18 282 16 301 65889 63205 20 300 21 319 18 312 23 310 22 316 63205 60601 22 314 20 297 21 309 24 279 14 329 60601 57882 20 300 13 294 22 331 28 312 22 333 57882 55076 28 347 26 334 34 329 31 310 27 312 55076 52402 33 344 25 331 27 319 25 297 27 305 52402 49984 22 339 18 351 16 324 22 335 25 320 49984 47810 28 016 28 008 22 360 38 345 37 331 47810 45836 43 012 37 002 38 358 38 342 39 321 45836 44023 46 008 41 008 39 359 30 351 29 334 44023 42345 48 015 48 016 39 012 32 018 31 353 42345 40779 54 021 59 021 46 020 43 023 32 360 40779 39312 49 025 61 023 56 021 51 021 32 010 39312 37940 41 025 55 024 58 022 54 020 34 017 37940 36636 38 031 47 029 52 023 49 020 35 021 36636 35336 42 038 42 039 44 023 41 024 35 022 35336 34016 44 041 42 044 39 029 36 026 31 022 34016 32677 42 043 40 047 37 039 34 027 27 027 32677 31304 40 046 39 051 38 045 34 028 24 030 31304 29888 42 050 38 051 36 045 32 028 26 025 29888 28432 43 052 38 051 34 042 29 029 30 022 28432 26938 41 052 36 054 32 046 29 031 31 022 26938 25412 41 050 34 050 31 050 29 039 28 024 25412 23857 42 048 35 048 31 050 27 050 23 030 23857 22271 43 052 38 054 32 055 26 057 19 033 22271 20645 39 056 37 063 32 064 25 061 18 039 20645 19008 29 050 33 063 31 068 24 067 19 052 19008 17439 18 037 27 056 29 069 23 073 18 062 17439 16012 12 034 20 052 25 069 22 073 18 063 16012 14736 10 046 13 045 20 070 20 072 18 063 14736 13590 9 058 9 044 15 069 16 075 18 070 13590 12557 7 063 7 051 11 066 12 078 16 078 12557 11624 5 070 7 061 10 064 10 078 13 089 11624 10782 5 077 6 072 8 064 8 077 9 100 10782 10024 6 082 6 079 7 064 6 069 6 106 10024 9340 6 082 6 085 5*062 4 047 4 099 9340 8715 4 074 4 083 1*009 4 356 2 000 8715 8153 3 040 2*063 1 283 4 327 4 315 8153 7676 2 017 0*012 1 260 4 305 4 287 7676 7304 1 052 0 281 2 259 4 284 6 268 7304 7047 2 077 0 268 2 252 4 269 6 262 7047 6889 2*063 0 258 2 252 4*262 4*260 6889 6799 3*048 0 261 2 250 3*254 2*269 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography