DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/17 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.3 - - 59.5 - - - - - 46.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 188 - - 217 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1552 - - 2598 - - - - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7437 - - 8230 - - - - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8237 - - 9283 - - - - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 919 - - 1348 - - - - - 229 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 287 - - 354 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 24 - - 15 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 119 - - 115 - - - - - 036 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -4 - - - - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1329 - - -3324 - - - - - -1075 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9567 - - 12608 - - - - - 7875 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9042 - - -9355 - - - - - -8942 ODpotential blCL - - - 17279 - - 18638 - - - - - 15741 blCL maxRH - - - 56 - - 54 - - - - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.3 - - 59.5 - - - - - 46.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.4 - - 28.2 - - - - - 36.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.3 - - 58.1 - - - - - 51.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.4 - - 27.4 - - - - - 35.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 188 - - 217 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1552 - - 2598 - - - - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 19 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97665 20 270 20 275 26 290 97665 90384 19 279 22 275 24 283 90384 84786 16 271 19 257 17 289 84786 80132 8 227 17 241 18 303 80132 76106 2 205 11 257 15 284 76106 72568 6 299 9 300 11 281 72568 69394 7 288 6 282 13 279 69394 66488 8 296 6 228 16 261 66488 63790 14 280 11 284 10 265 63790 61173 18 268 24 285 16 291 61173 58464 15 269 25 271 24 266 58464 55664 17 285 20 264 26 261 55664 52981 20 281 21 270 30 280 52981 50557 28 271 29 279 36 287 50557 48367 29 267 35 273 42 287 48367 46354 29 264 32 270 49 280 46354 44492 28 250 33 267 52 273 44492 42766 22 227 38 261 51 266 42766 41163 17 201 36 254 41 257 41163 39677 10 180 29 250 36 254 39677 38302 4 208 17 236 26 249 38302 37002 7 249 18 254 18 244 37002 35703 13 249 24 276 22 239 35703 34375 14 251 30 280 14 256 34375 33019 12 243 32 288 9 285 33019 31627 11 238 26 283 11 231 31627 30190 9 251 15 255 20 220 30190 28709 5 252 17 244 23 225 28709 27191 7 158 16 238 21 236 27191 25639 10 139 10 213 18 240 25639 24060 11 147 6 188 13 242 24060 22452 10 142 8 206 8 225 22452 20808 9 139 10 218 8 201 20808 19152 8 150 10 206 7 210 19152 17563 7 155 7 183 10 217 17563 16118 7 155 6 162 11 200 16118 14828 7 154 7 160 10 181 14828 13671 7 155 7 163 8 174 13671 12627 6 157 7 160 8 173 12627 11683 5 163 7 156 10 171 11683 10830 6 172 7 151 9 163 10830 10063 5 173 6 138 8 160 10063 9372 4 159 5*118 8 160 9372 8740 3*124 4*114 6 147 8740 8170 2*113 4 113 5 116 8170 7688 2 115 4 115 6 088 7688 7312 2 121 4 115 6 071 7312 7051 2 123 4 117 4 059 7051 6891 2 127 4 116 4*043 6891 6799 2 130 3 117 4*036 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography