DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/22 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.6 - - 57.6 - - 49.1 - - 42.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 116 - - 132 - - -7 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 778 - - 1870 - - 114 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6782 - - 7496 - - 6782 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7463 - - 8555 - - 6799 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 711 - - 1502 - - 1557 - - 184 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 191 - - 268 - - 0 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 9 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 099 - - 258 - - 209 - - 063 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -3 - - 2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3012 - - -4332 - - -4263 - - -2711 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10475 - - 12888 - - 11063 - - 9511 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9864 - - -9667 - - -11128 - - -11025 ODpotential blCL - - - 17327 - - 18222 - - 17927 - - 17824 blCL maxRH - - - 62 - - 62 - - 51 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.6 - - 57.6 - - 49.1 - - 42.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.8 - - 25.1 - - 24.9 - - 25.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.8 - - 56.6 - - 53.5 - - 48.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.6 - - 24.8 - - 24.7 - - 25.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 116 - - 132 - - -7 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 778 - - 1870 - - 114 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95940 33 290 30 291 30 304 20 296 95940 88895 29 292 26 301 27 315 13 330 88895 83422 24 279 28 278 26 278 22 308 83422 78885 15 285 16 286 21 275 19 306 78885 74967 21 281 23 289 19 282 12 300 74967 71500 19 265 19 275 15 292 11 271 71500 68383 17 281 25 271 26 280 23 283 68383 65556 37 266 39 263 37 268 40 270 65556 62972 45 272 44 267 39 264 40 259 62972 60470 52 273 48 269 36 268 37 254 60470 57841 58 263 55 266 45 268 42 258 57841 55092 57 254 57 258 53 258 51 253 55092 52456 50 251 54 253 56 253 59 248 52456 50070 49 256 54 253 60 253 65 250 50070 47915 57 261 58 255 68 255 68 252 47915 45940 68 258 65 256 74 254 71 250 45940 44111 73 254 70 253 74 251 72 246 44111 42407 70 255 70 250 72 249 71 246 42407 40817 71 263 71 257 72 254 69 251 40817 39340 77 272 78 266 73 263 69 262 39340 37973 78 276 79 270 73 266 67 267 37973 36680 68 270 65 268 71 266 65 266 36680 35386 63 261 57 260 67 268 63 263 35386 34060 57 258 56 254 58 262 63 264 34060 32707 53 259 55 254 55 253 61 264 32707 31322 50 257 55 254 55 252 56 257 31322 29899 48 255 52 253 53 254 54 253 29899 28441 47 255 48 253 50 258 51 256 28441 26949 45 257 45 256 46 260 46 258 26949 25426 44 256 43 260 41 257 40 257 25426 23874 44 254 43 260 40 253 37 252 23874 22289 44 254 43 255 41 251 36 250 22289 20664 42 256 42 251 41 251 36 253 20664 19028 39 260 40 249 39 252 34 258 19028 17460 35 262 36 250 35 253 32 261 17460 16035 30 263 32 251 31 253 28 260 16035 14761 26 265 29 251 28 254 25 258 14761 13616 23 269 26 252 25 256 22 259 13616 12582 21 272 22 258 22 258 19 262 12582 11646 19 275 19 269 19 262 15 265 11646 10801 19 276 16 279 15 274 13 262 10801 10039 17 279 14 285 11 294 10 262 10039 9353 15 282 12 288 8 306 6 273 9353 8725 10 285 9*285 7 297 3 305 8725 8160 4 295 6*263 5 266 1 282 8160 7680 1*081 5 259 5 229 3 211 7680 7307 3*098 5 257 6 218 4 198 7307 7048 3 099 5 255 6 216 3 185 7048 6889 3 099 5 255 6*214 1*126 6889 6799 2 098 4 254 5*209 2*063 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography