DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/15 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.5 - - 52.1 - - 57.1 - - 56.3 - - 46.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 105 - - 492 - - 497 - - 160 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 763 - - 7441 - - 9176 - - 7194 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 12333 - - 13757 - - 11539 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 7448 - - 14126 - - 15861 - - 13879 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3803 - - 1503 - - 1045 - - 2093 - - 810 Hgt.Variab. W* 185 - - 657 - - 707 - - 447 - - 6 W* B/S 7 - - 8 - - 11 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 14 - - 11 - - 13 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 287 - - 290 - - 291 - - 279 - - 247 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 4 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -9 - - -10 - - -18 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1524 - - 2027 - - 1383 - - -722 - - -5662 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8972 - - 12100 - - 14479 - - 14601 - - 12461 sfcLCL ODpotential -4026 - - 276 - - 152 - - -3723 - - -10600 ODpotential blCL 11474 - - 13850 - - 15709 - - 17602 - - 17398 blCL maxRH 56 - - 59 - - 72 - - 57 - - 39 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 30 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.5 - - 52.1 - - 57.1 - - 56.3 - - 46.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.0 - - 22.6 - - 17.0 - - 15.8 - - 15.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.9 - - 49.6 - - 54.5 - - 55.2 - - 49.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.6 - - 22.1 - - 16.5 - - 15.3 - - 15.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 105 - - 492 - - 497 - - 160 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 763 - - 7441 - - 9176 - - 7194 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97074 58 295 65 284 66 288 64 295 48 302 97074 89849 45 295 44 290 51 292 54 295 55 301 89849 84263 34 289 27 287 40 287 45 288 48 285 84263 79604 26 282 28 274 38 280 41 280 42 278 79604 75567 25 268 35 260 35 263 39 263 38 270 75567 71982 24 228 35 244 32 239 34 244 33 250 71982 68736 27 241 33 245 31 228 35 230 33 231 68736 65741 43 247 38 253 33 241 36 242 31 240 65741 62956 49 243 46 247 42 249 45 251 43 260 62956 60271 47 239 48 234 49 243 51 247 48 253 60271 57473 39 243 39 234 44 234 46 236 45 245 57473 54556 38 247 39 245 39 237 39 237 44 247 54556 51773 35 246 41 236 41 239 41 246 44 252 51773 49281 32 250 33 238 40 237 41 245 44 249 49281 47050 40 258 36 256 36 251 35 249 38 245 47050 45027 43 255 40 259 39 258 35 264 35 266 45027 43189 38 254 38 256 36 258 39 261 35 273 43189 41519 34 266 31 262 29 261 22 270 27 271 41519 39990 33 270 25 283 18 302 14 301 16 284 39990 38570 26 280 25 302 23 350 8 330 18 292 38570 37241 21 298 20 318 27 004 11 346 20 286 37241 35971 20 325 19 357 24 006 14 343 20 281 35971 34702 24 343 26 008 22 360 17 331 21 284 34702 33406 25 352 28 002 23 344 20 329 22 290 33406 32088 25 359 25 355 22 337 22 332 21 297 32088 30739 24 357 22 351 20 337 20 334 18 306 30739 29352 22 355 21 348 20 334 16 330 16 312 29352 27929 20 002 21 342 20 324 14 322 15 311 27929 26471 21 356 21 340 19 321 14 319 13 307 26471 24982 23 344 22 343 18 324 14 324 12 306 24982 23467 22 327 22 348 17 327 13 324 9 306 23467 21919 17 304 18 346 15 328 12 317 9 300 21919 20335 16 288 15 325 14 318 12 305 10 290 20335 18741 17 296 15 304 15 312 13 301 12 275 18741 17218 17 301 16 295 13*324 10 312 13 271 17218 15838 15 304 16 293 11*319 9 331 11 268 15838 14604 14 306 15*297 11 317 10*318 8 264 14604 13494 16 311 15*297 11 313 10*300 6 265 13494 12488 18 315 15 296 11 294 11 295 7 267 12488 11576 19 316 15 294 12 288 12 286 10 271 11576 10749 18 316 15 292 12 284 14 279 12 276 10749 10003 17 317 15 291 13 280 15 276 13 277 10003 9328 15 319 15 289 13 278 15 275 14 276 9328 8710 14 321 15 287 13 276 15 273 15 274 8710 8151 12 322 14 286 13 274 15 273 15 270 8151 7676 9*316 14 284 13 273 15 272 15 268 7676 7305 6*300 14 284 13 273 15 271 14 264 7305 7047 4 283 13 284 13 272 15 271 13 259 7047 6889 4 279 13 283 12 272 14 270 9 252 6889 6798 4 279 11 283 11 271 12 270 5*247 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography