DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/22 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.1 - - 78.2 - - 71.8 - - 67.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 343 - - 125 - - 49 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5473 - - 5324 - - 1830 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10607 - - 9972 - - 6784 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12158 - - 12009 - - 8515 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2651 - - 2904 - - 3332 - - 2467 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 528 - - 375 - - 206 - - 25 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 17 - - 10 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 162 - - 200 - - 044 - - 234 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 7 - - -1 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2000 - - 1155 - - 1275 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10159 - - 10855 - - 7240 - - 6800 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -99 - - -846 - - -1667 - - -1251 ODpotential blCL - - - 12257 - - 12855 - - 10182 - - 8051 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 101 - - 95 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 1330 - - 870 - - 2260 - - 2390 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.1 - - 78.2 - - 71.8 - - 67.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.5 - - 53.7 - - 62.6 - - 64.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.9 - - 77.2 - - 71.5 - - 67.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.0 - - 53.3 - - 61.6 - - 63.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 343 - - 125 - - 49 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5473 - - 5324 - - 1830 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 92 - - 102 - - 81 - - 93 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 11 - - 15 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99326 37 089 36 102 35 091 51 091 99326 91806 34 102 27 109 32 096 34 085 91806 86053 35 102 28 105 30 113 26 098 86053 81275 32 096 34 097 28 099 29 100 81275 77159 26 100 30 095 28 098 29 092 77159 73536 23 093 23 091 26 100 26 096 73536 70269 20 083 20 090 21 097 23 096 70269 67280 19 098 17 095 19 094 22 084 67280 64531 23 100 18 105 15 092 19 076 64531 61889 17 100 16 122 10 092 15 098 61889 59152 11 111 16 136 9 102 13 101 59152 56343 3 103 12 140 11 140 6 151 56343 53689 9 217 13 174 12 169 12 189 53689 51304 21 196 23 203 17 212 13 215 51304 49150 30 191 30 210 26 230 19 234 49150 47180 36 186 36 208 31 228 25 232 47180 45363 35 192 37 204 28 227 24 228 45363 43672 32 193 31 211 24 227 21 221 43672 42088 27 198 28 219 21 228 18 221 42088 40600 25 211 26 223 19 230 16 233 40600 39199 24 208 26 226 18 223 16 240 39199 37856 22 209 26 218 17 226 16 254 37856 36508 23 209 23 210 17 238 15 250 36508 35127 23 203 22 214 16 236 14 226 35127 33719 23 203 21 220 17 223 14 229 33719 32275 23 204 20 220 18 218 16 220 32275 30784 23 205 18 220 18 211 17 213 30784 29253 24 204 18 220 18 215 17 221 29253 27689 24 200 19 212 18 217 19 228 27689 26093 23 195 20 200 19 215 19 223 26093 24469 21 192 19 193 20 210 18 218 24469 22816 18 189 16 184 22 208 17 212 22816 21128 14 182 13 180 21 201 17 210 21128 19434 15 182 12 178 19 195 17 208 19434 17818 15 185 14 171 18 192 17 208 17818 16353 15 185 15 171 18 187 16 205 16353 15044 13 181 12 174 16 183 16 203 15044 13866 12 179 8 184 15 180 16 203 13866 12801 10*179 7*192 12 176 15 205 12801 11836 8*173 6*195 9 170 13 206 11836 10962 7 169 5 198 6 163 11 207 10962 10173 7 165 5 199 3 149 8 199 10173 9460 7 162 4 199 2 071 6 181 9460 8808 7 159 4 199 3*041 5 173 8808 8221 7 157 3 203 4*042 6 189 8221 7722 7 155 3 203 4 044 4 180 7722 7332 7 154 3 205 4 043 3 185 7332 7062 6 154 2 206 4 044 2 197 7062 6896 6 154 2 206 4 044 2 220 6896 6800 6 154 2 209 3 045 2*234 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography