DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/11 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.9 - - 51.3 - - - - - 42.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 65 - - 149 - - - - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1790 - - 3672 - - - - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6782 - - 8842 - - - - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8475 - - 10357 - - - - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1366 - - 3244 - - - - - 2430 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 211 - - 348 - - - - - 31 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 7 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 216 - - 240 - - - - - 077 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - -14 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 386 - - 113 - - - - - -1903 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8090 - - 10245 - - - - - 8702 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1979 - - -1480 - - - - - -5875 ODpotential blCL - - - 10454 - - 11837 - - - - - 12673 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 96 - - - - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.9 - - 51.3 - - - - - 42.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.3 - - 30.2 - - - - - 28.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.5 - - 50.2 - - - - - 46.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.8 - - 30.1 - - - - - 28.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 65 - - 149 - - - - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1790 - - 3672 - - - - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 84 - - - - - 46 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96483 23 078 20 081 12 012 96483 89434 22 082 21 069 16 048 89434 83943 21 101 18 075 19 065 83943 79331 16 098 20 074 17 081 79331 75331 11 061 13 069 15 075 75331 71812 12 040 10 071 7 038 71812 68648 4 311 1 013 5 010 68648 65735 8 336 1 352 10 354 65735 63034 17 271 10 279 22 264 63034 60433 24 272 20 280 17 239 60433 57714 37 263 38 275 35 253 57714 54874 55 245 54 253 59 254 54874 52153 48 246 55 248 61 246 52153 49686 53 270 61 264 50 251 49686 47466 85 273 96 270 66 267 47466 45450 112 264 121 262 96 264 45450 43608 113 257 123 251 118 254 43608 41917 114 251 115 248 122 246 41917 40360 115 252 108 252 114 243 40360 38916 116 254 109 249 109 245 38916 37565 117 255 109 248 109 247 37565 36271 116 253 109 247 110 249 36271 34974 115 252 110 247 108 250 34974 33650 113 252 110 247 104 251 33650 32302 111 253 108 249 103 251 32302 30922 108 256 106 253 101 252 30922 29502 103 259 102 256 97 251 29502 28051 97 260 95 259 82 251 28051 26571 84 261 83 262 64 254 26571 25066 69 258 69 265 60 257 25066 23535 60 254 58 266 60 255 23535 21974 53 253 55 263 58 253 21974 20379 49 254 56 256 54 251 20379 18777 43 252 49 248 47 249 18777 17248 33 243 39 243 40 244 17248 15860 25 238 32 239 36 238 15860 14618 23 239 28 237 34 236 14618 13501 22 242 24 236 30 235 13501 12490 21 243 21 236 23 234 12490 11574 20 243 18 237 16 240 11574 10745 18 242 12*236 11 253 10745 9998 15 238 8*237 5 252 9998 9323 12 233 7 238 1 174 9323 8705 9*225 7 239 2 104 8705 8147 7*223 7 240 2 090 8147 7674 6 222 6 241 2 080 7674 7304 4 210 6 242 1 073 7304 7046 3 202 6 242 2 076 7046 6889 3 201 6 242 3 081 6889 6798 3 202 5 242 3*077 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography