DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/04 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.7 - - 86.1 - - 84.9 - - 72.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 434 - - 452 - - 166 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9139 - - 12548 - - 11415 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13662 - - 16494 - - 14880 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15824 - - 19233 - - 18100 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3582 - - 2605 - - 3666 - - 1484 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 675 - - 762 - - 531 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 14 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 280 - - 265 - - 278 - - 302 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -10 - - -5 - - -8 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4633 - - -2905 - - -4454 - - -12954 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 20458 - - 22139 - - 22555 - - 19755 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9180 - - -6024 - - -8013 - - -17703 ODpotential blCL - - - 25004 - - 25257 - - 26113 - - 24503 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 79 - - 56 - - 43 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.7 - - 86.1 - - 84.9 - - 72.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 15.5 - - 10.9 - - 8.1 - - 10.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.0 - - 83.4 - - 83.7 - - 77.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 14.9 - - 10.3 - - 7.6 - - 9.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 434 - - 452 - - 166 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9139 - - 12548 - - 11415 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 32 - - 18 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99007 33 111 32 098 35 092 35 086 99007 91542 25 105 34 094 28 090 30 084 91542 85809 30 096 27 100 25 089 24 086 85809 81056 32 087 23 108 23 092 20 081 81056 76966 19 090 19 093 19 075 20 078 76966 73358 15 087 10 111 19 064 17 073 73358 70109 12 078 14 084 10 072 16 061 70109 67134 11 079 14 082 9 079 12 052 67134 64386 11 082 14 065 14 084 11 073 64386 61728 6 019 11 050 15 086 11 113 61728 58951 2 148 9 008 13 015 17 033 58951 56082 10 062 4 029 11 000 13 339 56082 53359 19 348 16 356 18 002 23 351 53359 50916 29 317 26 329 29 332 32 331 50916 48718 30 301 30 316 29 318 31 326 48718 46703 29 300 30 309 30 319 33 335 46703 44843 35 301 33 309 35 321 34 330 44843 43118 41 295 40 306 39 314 33 321 43118 41510 41 287 42 301 40 309 30 317 41510 40009 38 286 38 295 40 303 30 316 40009 38611 38 289 38 285 43 293 31 312 38611 37279 40 281 39 281 44 289 37 308 37279 35951 37 271 38 273 42 289 39 305 35951 34601 35 261 36 254 34 279 38 299 34601 33237 38 258 37 250 34 269 31 286 33237 31847 40 257 39 254 35 262 30 277 31847 30418 39 259 37 257 33 266 31 275 30418 28946 37 260 33 260 29 272 28 274 28946 27434 33 263 27 264 23 275 21 280 27434 25890 29 265 23 266 17 274 13 280 25890 24318 27 263 20 267 14 269 9 274 24318 22713 24 255 18 268 11 270 5 263 22713 21066 23 253 15 273 8 284 3 218 21066 19406 26 257 12*286 5*304 4 192 19406 17812 24 263 9*280 7*294 4 200 17812 16359 18*277 9 279 8 286 4 211 16359 15056 14*288 9 277 8 284 4 229 15056 13881 13 292 9 273 9 280 4 256 13881 12818 11 293 10 268 10 278 6 272 12818 11852 9 291 10 264 11 276 7 280 11852 10977 8 285 10 260 11 275 8 288 10977 10187 7 276 10 257 11 275 10 294 10187 9473 7 268 11 255 12 274 11 298 9473 8819 7 263 11 253 12 273 13 302 8819 8229 7 258 11 251 12 273 13 304 8229 7727 7 255 11 250 12 273 14 305 7727 7335 7 253 11 250 11 273 13 305 7335 7063 7 252 11 249 11 273 12 305 7063 6896 7 252 10 249 11 273 8 303 6896 6800 7 251 9 249 10 273 6*302 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography