DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/10 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.7 - - 73.0 - - 72.8 - - 61.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 495 - - 495 - - 160 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9483 - - 10945 - - 9326 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 14006 - - 15212 - - 13200 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 16168 - - 17630 - - 16011 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1261 - - 1461 - - 3152 - - 328 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 713 - - 748 - - 489 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 70 - - 70 - - 16 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 2 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 333 - - 336 - - 280 - - 247 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 14 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - -13 - - 9 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2351 - - -2571 - - -4259 - - -10420 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 18520 - - 20202 - - 20271 - - 17219 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7027 - - -6158 - - -7702 - - -15772 ODpotential blCL - - - 23195 - - 23788 - - 23713 - - 22571 blCL maxRH - - - 31 - - 37 - - 37 - - 36 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.7 - - 73.0 - - 72.8 - - 61.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 10.3 - - 6.8 - - 6.5 - - 10.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.9 - - 70.1 - - 71.5 - - 64.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 9.6 - - 5.9 - - 5.6 - - 9.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 495 - - 495 - - 160 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9483 - - 10945 - - 9326 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97849 7 190 12 226 7 267 3 337 97849 90422 9 188 12 180 10 223 7 265 90422 84715 8 134 12 207 8 173 6 214 84715 79984 4 189 10 202 2 130 7 129 79984 75914 5 188 9 180 3 231 2 061 75914 72337 2 210 5 146 5 200 3 141 72337 69113 3 271 1 346 2 233 4 186 69113 66147 4 285 4 295 4 277 6 201 66147 63387 7 271 11 278 12 292 6 312 63387 60736 9 253 12 238 10 286 11 320 60736 57998 15 312 9 322 8 280 7 300 57998 55155 17 295 17 310 18 326 10 324 55155 52430 8 302 18 272 20 312 18 323 52430 49972 14 325 18 314 20 315 28 326 49972 47782 13 316 23 319 23 334 29 333 47782 45814 13 331 24 337 29 355 30 351 45814 44026 47 001 38 359 40 359 32 359 44026 42380 58 356 52 360 46 355 32 003 42380 40849 59 357 56 360 50 356 32 004 40849 39414 62 360 56 002 52 358 35 002 39414 38067 63 002 57 005 53 359 38 000 38067 36778 63 003 57 007 53 359 40 000 36778 35486 61 003 58 009 50 360 40 360 35486 34166 59 004 58 009 47 002 39 358 34166 32822 58 005 56 006 43 003 38 356 32822 31442 50 007 52 004 40 001 36 355 31442 30018 41 005 48 005 39 359 34 355 30018 28556 36 000 41 003 39 000 32 353 28556 27059 35 359 34 358 35 004 31 354 27059 25532 34 005 27 359 27 004 27 356 25532 23980 31 014 22 015 18 003 22 353 23980 22396 25 018 21 036 9 010 16 345 22396 20773 19 018 21 046 10 037 10 333 20773 19138 15 020 17*041 15 040 4 025 19138 17574 14*011 10*032 13 038 7 064 17574 16149 10*008 6 029 5*017 7 045 16149 14874 5 017 5 027 3*351 5 012 14874 13724 3 017 4 021 3 336 6 330 13724 12684 1 003 2 341 5 288 8 308 12684 11740 1 332 2 285 5 281 10 300 11740 10884 1 286 3 267 6 277 11 296 10884 10112 2 269 3 261 7 274 12 291 10112 9413 2 263 4 255 7 271 13 287 9413 8773 3 260 4 253 7 270 14 282 8773 8196 3 257 5 252 8 269 15 277 8196 7705 3 259 5 250 8 267 15 272 7705 7322 3 257 5 250 8 267 15 266 7322 7056 3 258 5 250 7 267 13 260 7056 6893 3 256 5 249 7 267 9 252 6893 6799 3 257 5 250 7 266 6*247 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography