DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/22 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.6 - - 86.9 - - 85.6 - - 73.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 460 - - 470 - - 165 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9120 - - 11253 - - 9731 - - 116 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13678 - - 15446 - - 13550 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15805 - - 17938 - - 16416 - - 6801 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2005 - - 1682 - - 2601 - - 5256 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 689 - - 745 - - 503 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 10 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 13 - - 14 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 253 - - 263 - - 270 - - 333 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 10 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -10 - - -5 - - -7 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5480 - - -5343 - - -6739 - - -12730 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 21286 - - 23282 - - 23157 - - 19532 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10557 - - -10279 - - -11872 - - -18860 ODpotential blCL - - - 26362 - - 28217 - - 28288 - - 25661 blCL maxRH - - - 44 - - 44 - - 50 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.6 - - 86.9 - - 85.6 - - 73.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 11.6 - - 6.5 - - 6.1 - - 12.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.9 - - 84.1 - - 84.4 - - 79.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 11.0 - - 6.1 - - 5.6 - - 11.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 460 - - 470 - - 165 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9120 - - 11253 - - 9731 - - 116 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99085 28 112 33 104 37 106 32 101 99085 91570 28 101 34 106 27 113 26 101 91570 85770 26 110 28 116 23 103 20 092 85770 80959 23 119 22 118 16 094 22 095 80959 76822 23 113 19 116 14 117 22 084 76822 73184 25 108 15 114 18 107 14 103 73184 69899 10 099 12 118 9 099 15 114 69899 66875 4 148 3 044 13 074 13 082 66875 64089 10 179 6 233 5 336 8 021 64089 61426 10 086 16 188 9 255 11 242 61426 58685 13 310 6 335 7 307 10 284 58685 55862 23 279 21 290 18 294 15 284 55862 53165 32 276 32 288 31 290 23 289 53165 50736 42 278 44 286 43 290 38 293 50736 48566 51 280 53 281 53 286 52 290 48566 46600 57 283 60 281 58 285 58 288 46600 44795 63 285 64 284 60 285 60 288 44795 43122 66 285 64 285 59 284 59 289 43122 41561 65 283 63 286 57 283 57 288 41561 40099 63 282 61 284 57 283 56 286 40099 38726 64 282 62 282 58 283 57 286 38726 37413 67 280 63 280 58 281 57 286 37413 36096 66 278 61 278 57 280 55 283 36096 34751 63 279 58 278 56 279 53 283 34751 33384 62 281 57 281 53 279 50 284 33384 31983 62 283 57 285 51 280 47 285 31983 30538 61 285 57 286 51 283 46 287 30538 29050 53 286 52 285 52 284 47 287 29050 27523 41 283 43 282 52 283 48 286 27523 25962 35 283 38 279 47 280 45 286 25962 24372 32 284 32 278 37 277 40 284 24372 22750 28 282 28 280 30 277 34 283 22750 21090 30 280 28 279 27 278 28 283 21090 19419 26 274 27*275 26 275 27 276 19419 17818 21 273 20*270 22*269 25 261 17818 16364 18*266 14 266 15*266 24 255 16364 15062 14*260 13 265 14 267 22 257 15062 13888 13 257 13 265 14 268 19 260 13888 12824 11 257 13 265 14 269 16 266 12824 11858 10 256 13 263 14 269 12 274 11858 10982 9 253 13 262 14 270 11 285 10982 10192 8 250 13 260 14 271 10 296 10192 9477 8 247 13 259 14 271 10 304 9477 8822 7 246 12 259 14 271 10 311 8822 8231 7 244 12 258 14 272 11 316 8231 7729 7 243 12 257 14 272 11 319 7729 7336 6 242 12 256 14 272 10 321 7336 7063 6 243 11 257 13 272 9 324 7063 6897 6 242 11 256 13 272 7*328 6897 6801 6 242 10 256 11 272 5*333 6801 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography