DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/22 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.9 - - 74.2 - - - - - 59.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 321 - - 364 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2776 - - 8287 - - - - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8485 - - 12881 - - - - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9461 - - 14972 - - - - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3768 - - 2149 - - - - - 285 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 410 - - 616 - - - - - 7 W* B/S - - - 19 - - 17 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 6 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 234 - - 282 - - - - - 250 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 13 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -17 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8370 - - -3625 - - - - - -9009 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17832 - - 18598 - - - - - 15809 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12996 - - -6868 - - - - - -14493 ODpotential blCL - - - 22457 - - 21840 - - - - - 21292 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 77 - - - - - 58 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.9 - - 74.2 - - - - - 59.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 14.2 - - 15.6 - - - - - 14.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.9 - - 71.9 - - - - - 64.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 13.5 - - 14.8 - - - - - 14.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 321 - - 364 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2776 - - 8287 - - - - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 34 - - 7 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96701 24 251 35 266 31 270 96701 89493 15 236 24 251 23 274 89493 83981 15 256 13 235 21 266 83981 79418 14 253 12 253 17 268 79418 75470 13 247 18 262 14 283 75470 71967 12 254 20 266 15 318 71967 68799 5 231 18 243 19 309 68799 65908 12 360 11 276 21 310 65908 63263 17 341 14 300 16 307 63263 60717 20 312 14 312 11 315 60717 58039 25 291 23 302 19 318 58039 55233 30 284 34 286 38 299 55233 52537 29 288 39 282 47 283 52537 50087 35 297 39 284 46 283 50087 47874 36 297 39 290 50 287 47874 45853 40 292 44 294 53 290 45853 44005 45 289 46 290 55 296 44005 42317 50 289 53 284 53 298 42317 40766 55 284 61 279 50 297 40766 39327 57 277 62 275 49 293 39327 37986 55 276 59 279 47 291 37986 36708 53 283 58 282 42 289 36708 35429 53 285 59 279 37 294 35429 34120 52 284 61 277 35 303 34120 32785 49 282 59 276 35 308 32785 31414 49 280 56 277 36 311 31414 29998 49 277 53 277 36 313 29998 28543 48 276 43 281 31 308 28543 27052 45 276 25 286 29 298 27052 25527 40 283 21 288 25 291 25527 23975 33 287 22 290 21 287 23975 22392 25 283 23 289 20 285 22392 20773 25 280 24 287 20 285 20773 19142 28 282 23 294 15 275 19142 17580 28 284 19 315 9 232 17580 16157 20 292 14*341 7 189 16157 14881 14 314 10*338 6 174 14881 13730 12 328 8 329 4 187 13730 12689 10 327 7 312 3 270 12689 11743 9 321 6 300 8 297 11743 10888 7 315 7 274 12 300 10888 10114 5*307 7 260 13 299 10114 9415 3*277 8 255 14 295 9415 8774 4 239 8 251 15 290 8774 8197 4 229 8 248 16 285 8197 7705 4 229 9 246 17 279 7705 7322 4 226 9 245 17 273 7322 7056 4 225 8 244 14 267 7056 6893 4 224 8 244 9 257 6893 6799 4 225 8 244 5*250 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography