DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/15 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.0 - - 55.0 - - 61.8 - - 53.4 - - 47.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -14 - - 178 - - 170 - - -5 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1198 - - 2831 - - 114 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 7150 - - 8295 - - 6782 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 6798 - - 7883 - - 9516 - - 6799 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 74 - - 694 - - 1893 - - 2386 - - 274 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 255 - - 334 - - 5 - - 14 W* B/S 0 - - 48 - - 23 - - 0 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 081 - - 134 - - 229 - - 235 - - 028 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -3 - - -3 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1999 - - -4874 - - -4524 - - -5305 - - -3873 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8798 - - 12757 - - 14041 - - 12105 - - 10672 sfcLCL ODpotential -13944 - - -11896 - - -9697 - - -12679 - - -12505 ODpotential blCL 20742 - - 19779 - - 19213 - - 19478 - - 19304 blCL maxRH 58 - - 47 - - 41 - - 69 - - 68 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.0 - - 55.0 - - 61.8 - - 53.4 - - 47.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 22.8 - - 23.2 - - 24.0 - - 24.5 - - 24.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.8 - - 53.8 - - 60.6 - - 57.1 - - 53.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.6 - - 22.9 - - 23.8 - - 24.3 - - 24.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -14 - - 178 - - 170 - - -5 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1198 - - 2831 - - 114 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96237 34 282 27 281 32 284 33 276 36 292 96237 89226 17 323 19 281 21 296 18 317 17 312 89226 83813 14 312 9 003 12 282 19 308 15 356 83813 79305 4 305 13 332 5 089 13 288 15 354 79305 75398 4 023 6 286 11 003 6 334 10 341 75398 71936 4 351 3 070 14 330 9 340 9 006 71936 68788 6 318 7 302 10 321 11 312 12 355 68788 65889 8 287 15 297 11 302 13 287 13 310 65889 63222 4 308 15 273 16 290 14 283 15 277 63222 60661 10 320 13 235 21 256 21 263 18 263 60661 57986 19 281 10 247 17 240 18 253 22 255 57986 55196 26 272 16 259 22 247 29 253 36 250 55196 52518 31 255 24 254 31 234 39 240 42 240 52518 50089 41 260 33 253 28 235 36 232 38 230 50089 47890 41 260 39 254 29 252 32 236 32 228 47890 45889 42 251 42 248 39 250 36 241 49 238 45889 44078 44 246 43 242 45 238 46 237 48 236 44078 42419 44 241 42 237 44 230 49 225 41 242 42419 40865 40 232 42 235 41 227 42 213 43 236 40865 39404 37 230 38 235 40 223 40 212 40 212 39404 38037 35 229 35 233 39 222 38 221 38 207 38037 36733 34 225 34 230 38 220 38 229 40 212 36733 35428 31 225 34 226 36 219 38 227 39 219 35428 34097 30 226 32 224 34 222 37 227 36 219 34097 32742 32 225 31 224 32 224 35 227 34 217 32742 31355 33 223 32 222 30 223 34 226 33 220 31355 29928 30 222 32 221 28 225 33 227 32 227 29928 28463 27 224 28 219 26 229 34 228 33 233 28463 26963 24 225 24 212 25 226 35 228 34 235 26963 25431 21 221 23 203 28 220 35 226 35 235 25431 23870 18 216 22 201 29 219 35 229 38 237 23870 22275 15 219 20 206 28 220 35 235 38 244 22275 20643 14 230 17 204 26 221 32 237 35 248 20643 19003 14 235 14 198 22 218 25 230 29 247 19003 17437 13 235 12 200 16 207 16 219 21 241 17437 16018 9 232 10 194 13 189 11 196 14 215 16018 14753 6 244 9 185 13 183 9 181 13 195 14753 13617 6 271 6 184 10 185 7 178 12 192 13617 12590 7 286 3 220 5 179 5 166 10 191 12590 11658 9 301 3 301 2 115 4 138 9 195 11658 10815 10 319 5 327 2 070 4 124 8 204 10815 10053 10 335 5 343 1*086 2 093 7 217 10053 9365 8 351 5 355 2*224 1 007 5 231 9365 8736 6 005 3 006 2 226 2 313 4 250 8736 8168 3 014 1*036 3 227 3 265 4 268 8168 7686 3 114 1*119 3 229 4 251 4 269 7686 7311 7 117 1 132 3 231 5 245 4 263 7311 7050 9 103 1 138 3 231 6 241 3 263 7050 6890 8*089 1 144 3 231 6*238 1*275 6890 6799 5*081 1 140 3 230 4*235 1*028 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography