DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/30 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.3 - - 45.2 - - 44.5 - - 32.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 223 - - 264 - - -12 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1224 - - 2281 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7241 - - 8054 - - 6781 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7909 - - 8966 - - 6798 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 708 - - 2146 - - 4891 - - 105 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 275 - - 359 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 10 - - 5 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 213 - - 260 - - 244 - - 333 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -4 - - 3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4673 - - -4715 - - -6647 - - -4240 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12583 - - 13682 - - 13446 - - 11038 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10891 - - -9985 - - -12500 - - -12261 ODpotential blCL - - - 18800 - - 18951 - - 19298 - - 19059 blCL maxRH - - - 44 - - 38 - - 34 - - 63 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.3 - - 45.2 - - 44.5 - - 32.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 6.6 - - 9.4 - - 9.8 - - 9.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 35.9 - - 43.6 - - 45.8 - - 36.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 6.3 - - 9.1 - - 9.5 - - 9.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 223 - - 264 - - -12 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1224 - - 2281 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95357 61 265 76 273 61 288 57 278 95357 88412 41 280 58 278 45 288 44 285 88412 83026 31 282 48 285 38 296 44 303 83026 78532 30 297 41 300 37 305 47 313 78532 74661 31 304 32 300 35 298 42 310 74661 71231 26 293 25 291 33 300 34 304 71231 68105 31 303 30 314 34 314 33 315 68105 65216 42 313 43 322 43 319 42 326 65216 62538 48 309 49 313 50 310 54 315 62538 59958 45 306 45 303 49 301 55 301 59958 57267 44 317 40 314 45 303 47 304 57267 54453 49 327 47 327 47 317 54 320 54453 51756 57 323 57 323 67 318 70 312 51756 49330 63 316 60 318 70 311 70 304 49330 47151 55 324 62 325 60 323 59 309 47151 45172 65 340 74 334 72 335 67 327 45172 43369 84 340 83 336 84 335 81 329 43369 41723 86 335 83 337 87 336 83 334 41723 40207 78 341 79 341 86 341 78 341 40207 38794 83 359 81 351 85 348 73 345 38794 37472 96 007 84 357 85 353 72 345 37472 36205 102 006 87 360 85 355 72 346 36205 34933 100 004 88 000 83 354 72 348 34933 33631 96 004 85 000 81 354 70 348 33631 32302 92 004 82 000 75 356 69 350 32302 30936 88 002 80 001 68 355 67 354 30936 29527 86 358 78 360 65 353 62 356 29527 28079 80 358 74 000 64 353 55 357 28079 26598 72 000 68 000 62 356 49 357 26598 25088 65 003 59 001 57 356 46 355 25088 23553 60 002 52 002 50 351 45 354 23553 21989 53 359 48 001 45 348 45 354 21989 20389 44 358 46 360 43 350 44 355 20389 18781 34 359 42 001 42 353 42 356 18781 17243 27 357 35 005 37 358 38 357 17243 15844 24 352 28 009 32 006 34 358 15844 14593 22 349 24 008 27 014 30 001 14593 13471 19 347 22 004 22 015 26 005 13471 12457 17 346 20 356 17 005 23 010 12457 11540 15 349 19 348 15 351 20 015 11540 10712 12 356 17 339 14 339 17 021 10712 9967 10 005 14 323 13 327 16 026 9967 9295 7 014 12*300 12 314 16 029 9295 8681 5 013 10*275 12 299 15 030 8681 8128 1*295 10 261 11 282 14 026 8128 7659 4*214 10 258 11 271 15 014 7659 7294 4 213 10 256 10 261 16 360 7294 7041 4 212 10 255 9 254 15 347 7041 6886 4 213 9 254 7*248 12*338 6886 6798 4 212 8 253 5*244 7*333 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography