DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/07 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.3 - - 93.3 - - - - - 78.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 389 - - 402 - - - - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5245 - - 15964 - - - - - 116 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10472 - - 19254 - - - - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11930 - - 22649 - - - - - 6801 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 8119 - - 3688 - - - - - 206 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 541 - - 794 - - - - - 12 W* B/S - - - 51 - - 39 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 091 - - 350 - - - - - 273 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 19 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -11 - - 5 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6590 - - 695 - - - - - -11694 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 18520 - - 21955 - - - - - 18496 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10187 - - -1267 - - - - - -15601 ODpotential blCL - - - 22117 - - 23916 - - - - - 22402 blCL maxRH - - - 33 - - 42 - - - - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 40 - - 40 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.3 - - 93.3 - - - - - 78.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.3 - - 19.0 - - - - - 21.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.0 - - 90.7 - - - - - 83.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.6 - - 18.3 - - - - - 21.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 389 - - 402 - - - - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5245 - - 15964 - - - - - 116 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99267 38 107 29 104 30 092 99267 91798 41 102 34 103 37 093 91798 86047 35 098 35 110 31 086 86047 81279 26 106 36 098 29 087 81279 77181 25 105 26 090 23 096 77181 73570 19 103 19 106 21 095 73570 70301 20 090 15 121 15 085 70301 67303 16 088 14 100 9 081 67303 64531 12 095 12 090 12 113 64531 61838 9 102 12 113 9 112 61838 59056 9 180 2 186 6 023 59056 56223 3 317 3 253 9 338 56223 53546 11 314 14 319 10 331 53546 51141 8 320 12 325 14 339 51141 48979 11 346 10 350 17 337 48979 47009 14 353 16 007 18 343 47009 45189 18 357 20 357 23 350 45189 43495 22 359 24 351 25 351 43495 41908 25 359 25 350 26 355 41908 40417 25 358 24 350 27 357 40417 39018 25 355 23 352 28 359 39018 37682 24 350 21 359 30 359 37682 36345 23 349 23 007 29 001 36345 34981 22 354 25 009 25 007 34981 33594 24 358 26 009 22 010 33594 32174 24 003 24 008 18 010 32174 30713 24 008 21 009 15 353 30713 29216 18 009 16 018 12 331 29216 27689 9 015 8 029 3 289 27689 26134 4 033 3 044 2 104 26134 24550 2 053 4 055 3 139 24550 22932 3 037 10*048 3 052 22932 21271 6 011 15*039 8 025 21271 19593 7 351 12 034 10 016 19593 17979 6 354 8 026 11 007 17979 16506 6 025 5 017 11 360 16506 15184 8 031 4 004 12 350 15184 13991 8 034 3 329 12 342 13991 12911 7*035 3 295 13 334 12911 11930 6*039 4 280 14 327 11930 11041 4 047 5 275 14 320 11041 10238 2 073 5 272 15 313 10238 9512 2 115 5 270 15 306 9512 8848 2 131 6 270 16 300 8848 8249 2 140 6 270 17 295 8249 7740 2 144 6 269 17 292 7740 7343 2 147 6 270 17 288 7343 7066 2 147 6 270 14 285 7066 6898 2 151 6 270 10*278 6898 6801 2 151 5 270 6*273 6801 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography