DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/13 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 36.4 - - 54.3 - - 60.9 - - 53.2 - - 46.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -11 - - 173 - - 171 - - -16 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1151 - - 3494 - - 114 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 7103 - - 8783 - - 6782 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 6798 - - 7836 - - 10179 - - 6799 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 69 - - 1087 - - 2088 - - 2816 - - 207 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 249 - - 359 - - 0 - - 11 W* B/S 0 - - 17 - - 9 - - 0 - - 3 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 3 - - 8 - - 5 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 094 - - 209 - - 271 - - 232 - - 319 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -2 - - -8 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3035 - - -5307 - - -4200 - - -6055 - - -4722 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9833 - - 13144 - - 14380 - - 12854 - - 11522 sfcLCL ODpotential -14425 - - -12609 - - -10196 - - -13658 - - -14151 ODpotential blCL 21223 - - 20445 - - 20375 - - 20457 - - 20950 blCL maxRH 84 - - 81 - - 80 - - 83 - - 64 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 36.4 - - 54.3 - - 60.9 - - 53.2 - - 46.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.0 - - 20.9 - - 21.7 - - 21.2 - - 20.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.5 - - 53.3 - - 59.7 - - 56.4 - - 52.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 17.9 - - 20.6 - - 21.2 - - 20.9 - - 20.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -11 - - 173 - - 171 - - -16 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1151 - - 3494 - - 114 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 37 - - 24 - - 22 - - 33 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96122 33 271 39 271 40 279 32 280 43 276 96122 89127 24 298 27 274 29 274 30 288 28 285 89127 83729 22 308 19 295 21 272 28 287 23 297 83729 79239 19 299 16 308 14 277 21 277 18 308 79239 75358 12 303 12 283 11 317 13 269 13 302 75358 71918 7 321 9 258 13 303 6 311 6 328 71918 68790 8 333 9 319 8 314 7 293 10 322 68790 65904 10 299 11 302 9 309 9 271 6 013 65904 63236 13 288 11 304 13 290 21 277 19 287 63236 60690 24 287 26 281 21 271 24 273 23 275 60690 58049 29 294 29 287 24 281 26 280 29 283 58049 55287 33 282 29 283 28 275 32 284 36 279 55287 52630 35 275 31 280 33 275 35 273 40 267 52630 50227 37 275 40 276 37 270 39 267 41 260 50227 48066 45 273 47 269 45 269 46 269 41 260 48066 46097 52 269 51 268 52 268 50 267 45 263 46097 44287 52 267 51 268 53 267 51 266 48 261 44287 42613 52 267 53 270 54 269 52 268 49 259 42613 41053 54 268 54 269 55 269 54 268 49 259 41053 39590 57 269 54 268 53 266 56 266 50 262 39590 38218 59 270 55 267 50 264 56 265 52 266 38218 36910 59 270 55 267 50 263 55 265 51 269 36910 35603 57 270 56 267 51 263 54 264 48 269 35603 34267 54 269 57 268 53 264 51 263 46 267 34267 32909 51 268 55 270 52 264 48 262 45 265 32909 31515 49 266 52 272 48 266 44 263 43 264 31515 30077 48 264 50 271 45 268 42 263 41 263 30077 28599 49 265 50 268 44 268 42 262 39 264 28599 27083 53 269 48 264 44 265 44 263 39 265 27083 25535 50 270 44 258 46 261 45 264 44 265 25535 23961 44 269 43 258 47 260 46 265 49 263 23961 22353 42 267 40 263 44 264 45 266 47 262 22353 20707 40 263 39 265 37 270 41 269 38 260 20707 19052 36 263 35 264 29 271 35 270 30 259 19052 17473 33 269 29 265 24 270 28 271 25 264 17473 16043 29 280 25 271 21 271 22 277 22 269 16043 14768 25 290 23 282 18 278 17 288 18 275 14768 13625 23 298 20 293 16 291 14 301 15 280 13625 12593 21 305 16 299 15 306 11 314 13 286 12593 11659 19 310 14 307 13 312 10 321 13 292 11659 10813 17 315 13 316 11*305 9 315 12 297 10813 10051 16 319 13 320 9*295 10 302 11 299 10051 9363 14 323 11 322 8 281 10 291 9 299 9363 8734 10 327 9 318 8 272 11 277 8 296 8734 8167 6 335 6*304 8 266 11 264 8 294 8167 7685 2 005 3*232 8 263 11 255 8 289 7685 7310 4 106 3 207 8 260 11 248 8 279 7310 7049 7 107 3 203 7 259 11 242 6 271 7049 6890 7*098 3 202 7 258 9*237 3*273 6890 6799 5*094 3 198 7 258 5*232 1*319 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography