DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/28 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 38.3 - - 44.1 - - 38.2 - - 26.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 186 - - 198 - - -22 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2731 - - 4319 - - 113 - - 112 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8261 - - 9465 - - 6781 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9416 - - 11004 - - 6798 - - 6797 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1127 - - 1561 - - 3996 - - 306 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 340 - - 404 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 16 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 326 - - 272 - - 216 - - 133 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 13 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4117 - - -5934 - - -9206 - - -5540 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13534 - - 16939 - - 16005 - - 12338 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12370 - - -13087 - - -17034 - - -15711 ODpotential blCL - - - 21786 - - 24091 - - 23832 - - 22508 blCL maxRH - - - 27 - - 24 - - 61 - - 57 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 38.3 - - 44.1 - - 38.2 - - 26.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 3.2 - - -6.4 - - -7.5 - - -2.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 37.2 - - 42.8 - - 40.5 - - 30.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 2.1 - - -7.1 - - -8.0 - - -2.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 186 - - 198 - - -22 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2731 - - 4319 - - 113 - - 112 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96100 7 226 19 350 18 353 13 006 96100 89104 13 013 16 028 13 343 22 338 89104 83666 12 015 7 002 15 349 12 024 83666 79099 24 331 10 001 16 329 15 004 79099 75146 16 294 16 325 15 324 20 339 75146 71650 15 285 25 280 23 278 25 311 71650 68463 22 278 27 271 27 266 27 276 68463 65525 35 265 35 271 29 275 29 261 65525 62797 38 254 40 265 30 272 29 263 62797 60142 40 261 42 267 34 273 34 278 60142 57359 48 269 49 266 45 276 42 285 57359 54472 55 266 55 263 53 277 49 280 54472 51730 62 259 58 266 54 276 48 274 51730 49273 65 258 66 269 59 272 50 277 49273 47070 70 262 77 264 68 267 61 270 47070 45072 77 262 83 261 78 263 72 266 45072 43248 79 261 82 260 87 262 83 263 43248 41581 78 263 82 264 88 265 86 262 41581 40049 88 266 101 267 99 268 107 265 40049 38621 105 270 118 269 122 268 128 263 38621 37279 116 269 122 267 134 264 130 258 37279 35991 121 266 124 265 133 264 129 260 35991 34697 118 264 114 265 128 266 127 263 34697 33377 104 263 91 264 118 268 110 268 33377 32041 80 263 63 263 96 267 82 271 32041 30682 54 265 38 269 70 262 54 264 30682 29289 41 265 32 278 51 259 47 258 29289 27861 34 265 31 281 34 265 36 262 27861 26399 29 272 31 280 31 276 31 271 26399 24904 25 292 33 277 33 277 30 279 24904 23383 27 314 34 276 32 277 29 283 23383 21831 31 326 34 278 30 281 26 287 21831 20242 36 332 33 287 29 286 24 297 20242 18644 39 333 32 307 27 300 24 309 18644 17117 40 330 32 323 28 313 24 320 17117 15733 39 324 31 333 25 322 21 325 15733 14498 39 321 30 346 21 336 16 331 14498 13390 39 322 27 356 18 360 11 350 13390 12390 38 326 21 358 15 013 7 028 12390 11487 35 332 11*349 10 008 5 081 11487 10670 30 337 6*328 6 352 6 108 10670 9933 23*339 5 314 4 320 5 122 9933 9268 16*336 5 275 5 280 4 139 9268 8659 13 331 5 262 6 260 3 150 8659 8111 11 324 5 255 8 250 3 133 8111 7646 10 322 5 250 10 244 2 079 7646 7285 10 320 6 246 11 237 3 200 7285 7036 9 319 6 244 10 229 6 183 7036 6884 9 319 5 243 9*221 5*148 6884 6797 8 317 5 243 6*216 4*133 6797 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography