DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/13 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 24.9 - - 41.1 - - 50.3 - - 42.2 - - 35.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 134 - - 130 - - -2 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 692 - - 1239 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6780 - - 6781 - - 7003 - - 6782 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top 6797 - - 7377 - - 7924 - - 6798 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 88 - - 343 - - 552 - - 1057 - - 219 Hgt.Variab. W* 15 - - 193 - - 232 - - 3 - - 5 W* B/S 1 - - 31 - - 27 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 080 - - 151 - - 282 - - 236 - - 078 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -2 - - -3 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -3312 - - -5157 - - -3780 - - -1823 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6797 - - 10689 - - 13082 - - 10578 - - 8621 sfcLCL ODpotential -11540 - - -11756 - - -11516 - - -11952 - - -11343 ODpotential blCL 18337 - - 19133 - - 19440 - - 18750 - - 18141 blCL maxRH 60 - - 49 - - 55 - - 55 - - 69 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 24.9 - - 41.1 - - 50.3 - - 42.2 - - 35.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.8 - - 18.8 - - 17.3 - - 20.3 - - 22.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 29.6 - - 40.3 - - 49.4 - - 46.5 - - 41.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 21.1 - - 18.3 - - 17.0 - - 20.0 - - 22.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 134 - - 130 - - -2 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 692 - - 1239 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95857 29 301 36 297 31 302 31 287 39 297 95857 88896 29 324 22 313 28 308 27 304 32 312 88896 83476 22 325 12 317 17 311 22 314 27 329 83476 78968 17 345 13 326 12 319 16 327 22 343 78968 75078 24 354 15 329 18 320 21 347 26 011 75078 71636 25 358 11 354 17 337 23 348 31 016 71636 68510 25 023 22 346 14 029 20 359 24 011 68510 65620 22 356 25 331 20 357 26 012 22 358 65620 62947 24 331 29 338 21 352 24 357 26 321 62947 60383 26 326 31 333 24 341 28 339 28 321 60383 57711 32 317 34 322 27 326 33 321 32 318 57711 54925 36 314 35 316 33 324 36 318 32 317 54925 52249 39 315 39 314 38 315 37 318 32 318 52249 49824 43 312 42 309 38 310 37 313 32 319 49824 47640 44 308 42 303 39 308 40 308 34 308 47640 45651 42 305 40 297 40 307 39 305 34 303 45651 43826 39 303 38 295 39 296 36 309 30 305 43826 42140 37 300 36 296 35 293 35 304 28 307 42140 40574 31 300 30 292 34 292 32 301 27 309 40574 39117 24 307 24 293 26 284 29 292 28 300 39117 37759 23 308 21 304 18 292 21 284 27 292 37759 36469 23 307 21 309 16 305 16 299 23 289 36469 35182 23 306 20 305 16 304 16 309 18 292 35182 33871 20 310 16 301 15 301 15 311 17 296 33871 32539 20 314 14 307 13 302 13 314 16 298 32539 31177 21 311 15 314 11 308 9 356 11 293 31177 29776 22 306 17 319 8 335 10 015 4 315 29776 28337 25 307 17 327 9 002 8 007 4 311 28337 26862 31 304 17 338 7 353 6 325 6 295 26862 25354 36 303 14 351 6 332 8 309 7 295 25354 23816 32 308 13 354 8 330 11 320 8 308 23816 22244 24 321 14 350 12 330 14 328 9 321 22244 20631 21 330 14 340 15 328 15 329 10 334 20631 19004 22 328 15 331 15 328 15 330 10 342 19004 17443 22 328 15 328 15 328 14 332 10 350 17443 16021 22 330 15 330 14 329 12 336 9 357 16021 14749 22 332 14 334 13 333 10 345 8 006 14749 13603 21 333 14 337 12 342 8 004 6 024 13603 12568 20 333 14 340 11 356 7 035 5 063 12568 11631 19 332 14 343 10 009 7 059 7 087 11631 10783 18 331 14 343 9 019 7 070 9 088 10783 10021 17 328 13 342 8 020 7 074 10 090 10021 9334 16 324 11 337 7 011 6 077 10 094 9334 8707 14 319 10 328 5 354 5 063 9 096 8707 8144 11 314 7 323 2*327 3 061 7 093 8144 7668 6 316 2*330 1*294 1 131 5 089 7668 7299 0 107 1*152 2 283 2 221 3 092 7299 7043 3 125 1 152 2 278 3 231 1 111 7043 6888 4*101 1 148 2 279 3 233 1*102 6888 6798 3*080 1 152 2 275 3*236 2*078 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography