DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/10 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.2 - - 85.0 - - 82.4 - - 67.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 433 - - 446 - - 80 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6118 - - 9091 - - 6314 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11206 - - 13632 - - 10320 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12803 - - 15776 - - 12999 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1905 - - 2275 - - 3982 - - 121 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 588 - - 678 - - 339 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 8 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 15 - - 18 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 292 - - 298 - - 306 - - 284 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -6 - - -8 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6901 - - -5766 - - -9208 - - -11846 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 19705 - - 21543 - - 22208 - - 18647 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12403 - - -11382 - - -15502 - - -20377 ODpotential blCL - - - 25206 - - 27158 - - 28501 - - 27177 blCL maxRH - - - 52 - - 48 - - 65 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.2 - - 85.0 - - 82.4 - - 67.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 16.8 - - 12.9 - - 7.6 - - 10.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.6 - - 82.5 - - 81.8 - - 71.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 16.8 - - 12.7 - - 7.5 - - 10.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 433 - - 446 - - 80 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6118 - - 9091 - - 6314 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98921 11 109 3 009 8 061 13 095 98921 91460 7 101 9 109 5 062 11 069 91460 85704 8 113 8 123 7 080 10 061 85704 80915 6 095 8 130 5 063 8 067 80915 76773 6 093 8 148 5 193 5 011 76773 73125 6 060 7 158 8 216 4 299 73125 69844 3 255 5 144 6 209 4 328 69844 66850 4 305 3 315 5 221 7 319 66850 64096 3 318 8 308 3 344 6 268 64096 61456 2 025 7 310 9 324 2 270 61456 58737 5 298 6 279 12 294 11 304 58737 55953 14 302 14 298 21 290 23 296 55953 53313 35 301 32 297 26 297 28 293 53313 50934 40 304 35 300 31 307 27 301 50934 48791 44 318 42 313 42 317 36 311 48791 46831 49 312 50 312 47 315 41 306 46831 45020 51 303 49 301 46 309 39 306 45020 43337 51 308 44 297 43 304 34 306 43337 41762 51 313 42 300 39 302 34 306 41762 40281 49 313 40 301 36 302 35 308 40281 38887 47 309 41 302 33 306 34 308 38887 37552 46 308 40 301 31 308 30 305 37552 36214 45 310 39 299 28 300 27 301 36214 34847 44 310 39 294 30 303 27 301 34847 33455 44 306 39 293 29 311 28 304 33455 32031 43 306 38 303 28 312 27 305 32031 30564 40 311 35 310 28 312 26 305 30564 29058 37 313 31 310 28 309 24 306 29058 27514 33 312 29 308 28 305 25 300 27514 25939 28 311 26 309 25 301 25 297 25939 24340 23 312 22 311 21 299 23 298 24340 22712 21 316 18 313 17 297 17 291 22712 21050 19 319 17 316 14 298 13 272 21050 19379 15 314 14 316 13 305 10 280 19379 17781 14 310 13 323 9 323 7 296 17781 16327 14 319 12*324 9 343 6 324 16327 15026 15 329 13*315 10 340 10 330 15026 13854 15*332 13 312 13*327 12 328 13854 12794 13*322 13 308 15*318 14 325 12794 11831 12 311 15 299 17 314 15 323 11831 10959 11 305 16 296 18 309 16 324 10959 10172 11 294 17 293 19 306 18 324 10172 9461 10 285 17 292 19 304 19 322 9461 8809 10 279 17 291 19 302 20 320 8809 8221 10 274 17 290 19 301 20 316 8221 7721 10 270 17 289 19 301 20 312 7721 7331 10 267 17 289 19 300 18 304 7331 7060 10 266 17 288 18 299 15 297 7060 6895 9 265 16 288 17 299 11*290 6895 6800 9 265 14 288 14 298 6*284 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography