DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/15 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 30.1 - - 42.7 - - 51.4 - - 51.3 - - 42.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - 118 - - 226 - - 5 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 971 - - 2669 - - 2152 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 6781 - - 8296 - - 6782 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 6798 - - 7656 - - 9354 - - 8837 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 197 - - 1157 - - 1071 - - 2053 - - 572 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 211 - - 362 - - 101 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 9 - - 18 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 072 - - 125 - - 164 - - 163 - - 046 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -4 - - -5 - - -5 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - -134 - - -3131 - - -4112 - - -3200 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6798 - - 7790 - - 12486 - - 12950 - - 9999 sfcLCL ODpotential -8470 - - -6846 - - -8909 - - -9363 - - -9683 ODpotential blCL 15268 - - 14502 - - 18263 - - 18200 - - 16481 blCL maxRH 87 - - 87 - - 90 - - 90 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 30.1 - - 42.7 - - 51.4 - - 51.3 - - 42.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.6 - - 32.4 - - 20.5 - - 18.5 - - 22.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 32.5 - - 41.9 - - 49.9 - - 51.4 - - 46.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.4 - - 31.2 - - 19.6 - - 18.0 - - 21.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - 118 - - 226 - - 5 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 971 - - 2669 - - 2152 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 46 - - 50 - - 60 - - 60 - - 88 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96693 36 085 26 084 34 078 31 100 18 099 96693 89552 25 094 22 098 20 089 24 082 20 092 89552 84016 21 093 13 114 12 102 10 068 19 058 84016 79385 14 094 9 129 6 077 9 077 12 048 79385 75369 8 067 4 185 0 089 4 073 6 026 75369 71821 4 008 5 263 3 013 5 101 4 226 71821 68615 6 230 12 249 14 277 10 308 3 285 68615 65668 8 245 13 238 16 252 19 270 18 291 65668 62934 16 262 22 266 21 263 29 264 31 265 62934 60303 29 255 39 263 34 259 37 256 34 255 60303 57580 38 258 40 257 32 258 34 255 35 261 57580 54749 45 262 41 262 39 263 41 260 47 262 54749 52033 53 267 51 264 54 257 54 258 54 257 52033 49571 63 268 62 262 64 256 61 259 60 258 49571 47350 70 266 70 260 72 259 71 261 71 259 47350 45327 73 264 75 258 82 259 83 259 79 258 45327 43477 75 262 80 257 86 257 87 257 81 258 43477 41784 75 263 82 259 84 258 87 260 85 260 41784 40236 74 265 78 262 82 262 89 262 90 262 40236 38809 71 266 75 267 80 264 87 263 92 266 38809 37480 67 267 71 268 79 264 83 265 92 269 37480 36208 61 267 64 267 77 265 79 266 91 270 36208 34931 56 266 61 265 75 265 77 265 83 268 34931 33626 55 267 61 263 73 265 76 264 79 264 33626 32297 60 269 62 263 71 265 76 263 78 261 32297 30932 64 269 64 262 70 263 74 262 76 260 30932 29525 65 265 66 262 67 261 72 261 73 260 29525 28080 61 260 66 260 65 257 69 260 70 261 28080 26602 55 255 64 254 64 254 65 259 68 262 26602 25094 51 256 59 248 64 250 62 256 66 262 25094 23563 51 260 55 248 62 245 59 253 61 259 23563 22003 52 262 55 249 57 245 57 253 57 255 22003 20405 52 262 56 249 53 247 53 253 55 252 20405 18797 48 261 54 250 49 250 48 251 52 251 18797 17261 43 261 47 251 44 250 44 252 47 250 17261 15865 38 261 39 250 39 248 39 252 42 250 15865 14620 32 260 32 244 36 245 35 250 36 249 14620 13502 26 257 28 236 33 243 30 249 30 247 13502 12493 22 248 25 231 28 242 24 249 24 245 12493 11577 20 239 22 231 23 244 18 251 19 245 11577 10748 15 236 16 230 17 244 12 254 15 241 10748 9999 9 231 10 224 11*239 7 249 11 234 9999 9323 3 204 6 210 4*195 3*190 7 214 9323 8704 3 113 4 169 3 166 3*166 5 172 8704 8147 6 107 5 133 4 162 3 164 5 138 8147 7673 8 107 5*126 4 158 3 162 4 110 7673 7303 9 105 4*124 4 156 3 162 4 087 7303 7046 9 096 4 125 4 156 3 162 4 067 7046 6889 7*082 4 125 4 156 3 161 5 052 6889 6798 4*072 4 126 3 155 3 161 4*046 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography