DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/12 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1334z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.0 - - 81.9 - - 80.1 - - 69.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 429 - - 423 - - 99 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5973 - - 8320 - - 8176 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11087 - - 12978 - - 11900 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12658 - - 15005 - - 14861 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2638 - - 3958 - - 3157 - - 532 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 582 - - 647 - - 397 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 14 - - 15 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 297 - - 284 - - 283 - - 331 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -15 - - -11 - - -23 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1102 - - 1497 - - 646 - - -4633 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11557 - - 13509 - - 14216 - - 11433 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -551 - - -6 - - -1493 - - -9219 ODpotential blCL - - - 13209 - - 15011 - - 16354 - - 16019 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 75 - - 62 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 670 - - 590 - - 190 - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.0 - - 81.9 - - 80.1 - - 69.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.5 - - 45.8 - - 41.2 - - 42.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.6 - - 79.3 - - 79.4 - - 73.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.4 - - 45.7 - - 41.1 - - 42.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 429 - - 423 - - 99 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5973 - - 8320 - - 8176 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98833 8 133 4 207 6 269 8 348 98833 91395 14 143 8 153 5 144 5 156 91395 85650 7 109 15 144 5 160 9 109 85650 80876 8 134 13 140 6 141 5 102 80876 76754 6 253 4 197 6 109 2 035 76754 73122 10 257 8 248 3 012 6 014 73122 69843 3 272 4 259 4 326 5 352 69843 66836 7 319 3 317 10 335 9 034 66836 64058 2 258 4 224 7 286 9 318 64058 61404 19 325 11 054 4 033 5 341 61404 58672 27 279 26 302 25 312 17 317 58672 55868 23 257 31 271 32 287 29 290 55868 53227 35 291 37 293 31 294 31 293 53227 50866 40 297 42 299 37 303 35 303 50866 48753 46 302 41 303 39 305 34 306 48753 46826 44 304 40 305 40 303 35 306 46826 45040 41 310 40 305 42 300 37 299 45040 43369 39 316 38 303 41 298 38 291 43369 41798 38 317 36 300 37 292 38 288 41798 40317 37 313 32 297 34 283 37 284 40317 38922 35 309 29 296 33 278 35 278 38922 37584 33 305 28 295 34 277 36 274 37584 36241 30 300 28 293 35 278 38 275 36241 34866 29 297 28 287 35 279 34 280 34866 33468 30 300 28 284 33 280 27 289 33468 32039 29 299 26 289 30 286 22 295 32039 30570 23 287 26 293 28 292 19 304 30570 29065 20 274 25 284 25 294 17 310 29065 27527 17 265 22 275 22 293 14 312 27527 25957 17 268 21 278 20 287 13 309 25957 24360 20 279 21 283 18 282 10 301 24360 22734 23 282 22 282 18 276 13 276 22734 21075 24 283 22 282 18 278 13 256 21075 19408 23 285 20 288 15 275 11 232 19408 17810 21 288 16 296 11 287 8 231 17810 16356 21 294 14 296 11 293 8 257 16356 15053 21 296 13*295 12*290 11 271 15053 13880 20 297 13*292 13*287 13 274 13880 12817 17*302 13 289 14 285 14 274 12817 11852 13*304 14 287 15 284 12 277 11852 10977 12 302 14 285 15 283 11 281 10977 10187 11 301 15 283 16 283 10 288 10187 9473 10 297 15 282 16 283 9 294 9473 8819 10 294 15 281 16 283 9 300 8819 8229 9 293 15 280 16 282 9 306 8229 7727 9 291 15 279 16 282 9 309 7727 7336 9 291 15 279 15 282 8 311 7336 7063 8 290 15 279 15 282 6 314 7063 6896 8 290 14 279 14 282 4*320 6896 6800 7 290 13 278 12 282 3*331 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography