DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/09 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 73.6 - - 86.4 - - 92.5 - - 90.5 - - 77.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 102 - - 385 - - 408 - - 124 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 750 - - 4531 - - 14534 - - 12253 - - 116 BL Depth Hcrit 6783 - - 9904 - - 18078 - - 15281 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top 7435 - - 11216 - - 21219 - - 18938 - - 6801 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 521 - - 7851 - - 2982 - - 4313 - - 251 Hgt.Variab. W* 182 - - 514 - - 774 - - 495 - - 11 W* B/S 4 - - 59 - - 19 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 2 - - 7 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 110 - - 200 - - 285 - - 290 - - 293 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 6 - - 6 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -7 - - -17 - - -14 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7101 - - -6079 - - 1300 - - -677 - - -7985 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14536 - - 17296 - - 19920 - - 19616 - - 14786 sfcLCL ODpotential -11485 - - -8523 - - -866 - - -2985 - - -12155 ODpotential blCL 18920 - - 19739 - - 22085 - - 21923 - - 18956 blCL maxRH 63 - - 71 - - 65 - - 76 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 50 - - 80 - - 30 - - 190 CAPE Temp@2m 73.6 - - 86.4 - - 92.5 - - 90.5 - - 77.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.0 - - 33.8 - - 27.6 - - 27.3 - - 36.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 72.8 - - 84.0 - - 90.0 - - 89.6 - - 81.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.7 - - 33.3 - - 27.0 - - 26.8 - - 36.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 102 - - 385 - - 408 - - 124 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 750 - - 4531 - - 14534 - - 12253 - - 116 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 5 - - 21 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99319 35 101 35 095 31 103 33 102 27 088 99319 91816 34 102 29 105 33 102 27 100 29 092 91816 85993 29 096 24 115 30 096 24 107 27 074 85993 81173 28 087 20 107 25 097 23 093 21 099 81173 77038 21 083 18 112 18 093 22 087 21 099 77038 73402 18 085 18 117 8 097 19 074 19 092 73402 70134 8 099 12 098 10 147 8 049 14 067 70134 67131 5 130 12 131 8 119 7 155 5 090 67131 64336 4 217 7 113 6 138 5 162 3 150 64336 61632 8 207 2 226 9 209 3 272 3 249 61632 58847 1 214 5 348 8 224 9 271 5 276 58847 56009 14 282 9 304 9 330 10 269 5 264 56009 53343 20 285 15 269 15 298 16 280 10 296 53343 50959 17 307 14 266 16 271 18 269 18 286 50959 48814 21 330 17 310 17 279 17 283 18 282 48814 46856 24 321 26 315 24 295 21 301 21 294 46856 45050 26 312 30 312 29 299 25 307 26 303 45050 43370 29 317 31 310 31 302 30 305 30 304 43370 41793 34 320 34 312 31 306 30 308 33 308 41793 40308 35 318 34 314 31 312 29 313 31 311 40308 38916 33 321 30 319 28 317 28 318 27 310 38916 37589 29 324 24 325 22 322 23 319 24 309 37589 36260 23 320 20 334 17 321 17 316 17 302 36260 34901 16 312 20 332 14 311 13 306 15 292 34901 33519 13 332 16 314 15 310 12 297 16 286 33519 32103 12 002 10 312 14 308 12 289 16 271 32103 30644 15 001 7 329 11 304 8 283 13 260 30644 29148 15 347 8 346 7 305 6 282 10 265 29148 27616 13 338 7 335 5 295 5 273 9 265 27616 26054 7 360 1 357 4 226 5 233 10 246 26054 24468 5 021 3 139 4 195 4 182 9 229 24468 22851 1 333 2 103 1*037 6 104 7 206 22851 21194 3 238 5 263 5*323 6 074 5 222 21194 19522 2 225 8 267 7 307 4*039 1 207 19522 17918 4 272 8 289 7 297 5*315 1 020 17918 16454 6 283 9 306 7 294 8 293 3 338 16454 15142 7 285 9 320 7 291 10 289 6 322 15142 13959 7 288 8 327 8 287 11 288 10 314 13959 12886 6 299 6 308 8 281 13 288 13 311 12886 11911 6 308 6*298 8 277 14 289 15 309 11911 11028 5 321 4*297 8 275 15 289 17 306 11028 10229 3 013 1 251 8 271 16 289 17 304 10229 9507 4 074 2 194 8 270 16 289 18 303 9507 8845 7 093 2 181 8 269 16 290 18 301 8845 8247 9 106 2 179 8 267 16 290 18 300 8247 7739 10*120 2 174 8 267 16 290 18 299 7739 7342 10*113 2 174 8 267 16 289 17 297 7342 7066 9 109 2 173 8 267 16 290 14 296 7066 6898 8 109 2 174 8 267 15 290 10*295 6898 6801 7 108 2 174 7 267 13 289 5*293 6801 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography