DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/07 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 32.3 - - 47.3 - - 55.0 - - 52.9 - - 38.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 207 - - 268 - - -9 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1255 - - 5178 - - 255 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 7244 - - 10264 - - 6782 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top 6798 - - 7940 - - 11863 - - 6940 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 165 - - 1518 - - 3398 - - 8921 - - 211 Hgt.Variab. W* 14 - - 272 - - 475 - - 24 - - 13 W* B/S 2 - - 13 - - 9 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 4 - - 10 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 145 - - 227 - - 283 - - 282 - - 274 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 9 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 2 - - -11 - - 4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2209 - - -4340 - - -2105 - - -7390 - - -3536 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9007 - - 12281 - - 13969 - - 14331 - - 10334 sfcLCL ODpotential -9261 - - -8238 - - -4456 - - -10034 - - -8582 ODpotential blCL 16059 - - 16178 - - 16319 - - 16974 - - 15380 blCL maxRH 58 - - 72 - - 76 - - 55 - - 43 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 32.3 - - 47.3 - - 55.0 - - 52.9 - - 38.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 17.4 - - 17.6 - - 17.5 - - 14.0 - - 18.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 37.4 - - 45.9 - - 53.3 - - 53.5 - - 43.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 17.2 - - 17.3 - - 17.1 - - 13.7 - - 18.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 207 - - 268 - - -9 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1255 - - 5178 - - 255 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96484 9 177 2 182 9 278 6 269 5 289 96484 89374 5 080 9 143 5 236 6 345 6 090 89374 83908 6 023 10 139 10 195 11 349 3 106 83908 79345 9 338 5 103 10 147 6 286 3 292 79345 75393 5 313 2 144 4 169 4 221 5 277 75393 71901 2 168 3 278 3 346 2 182 2 121 71901 68739 3 197 9 261 7 330 2 070 3 205 68739 65836 4 290 12 257 15 292 8 307 5 315 65836 63146 11 309 15 258 21 278 18 278 14 302 63146 60549 18 283 17 259 22 270 21 276 18 283 60549 57848 18 259 18 254 22 262 28 267 26 284 57848 55021 19 273 21 263 26 261 29 252 33 281 55021 52282 31 260 26 277 26 257 26 248 34 261 52282 49789 29 236 33 260 25 264 22 251 31 244 49789 47535 22 236 31 242 32 258 25 255 27 246 47535 45476 29 248 32 243 39 250 32 258 27 257 45476 43580 42 236 45 235 44 244 34 262 28 258 43580 41828 44 228 46 229 42 237 34 257 21 243 41828 40211 45 225 39 230 38 230 33 236 19 251 40211 38715 48 226 36 235 35 235 31 237 27 268 38715 37330 46 231 40 244 41 251 41 254 31 264 37330 36021 52 244 49 247 61 248 56 246 34 261 36021 34728 71 246 70 245 88 238 69 235 37 256 34728 33419 83 245 85 242 98 235 79 228 37 253 33419 32099 81 244 79 240 83 236 76 228 31 257 32099 30757 73 239 67 238 67 228 64 231 28 267 30757 29379 67 234 57 235 67 227 61 232 21 278 29379 27968 64 233 56 232 62 241 51 239 16 284 27968 26520 62 234 59 231 49 254 41 254 15 292 26520 25040 57 234 54 240 38 263 30 270 16 296 25040 23527 48 235 37 246 30 263 23 276 15 296 23527 21978 39 238 29 243 23 254 18 268 14 295 21978 20388 35 243 27 253 18 257 14 264 13 293 20388 18790 27 257 23 266 16 276 11 287 13 300 18790 17262 21 273 17 275 14 290 12 313 13 310 17262 15874 19 292 13 284 12 303 10 338 12 312 15874 14632 17 304 12 295 11 318 11 354 9 312 14632 13513 16 303 12 303 11 324 11 351 7 321 13513 12500 15 296 12 310 12*321 11 340 7 335 12500 11582 15 294 12 316 11*313 12 327 9 339 11582 10751 14 298 12 320 11 303 13 315 11 336 10751 10001 14 303 11 322 11 293 14 305 12 332 10001 9323 14 308 10 321 10 286 14 300 13 325 9323 8703 14 313 7 315 10 272 14 296 14 315 8703 8145 14 319 4*285 10 268 14 292 16 307 8145 7670 11 318 4*230 10 265 14 289 17 300 7670 7301 7 301 4 229 10 263 14 287 17 294 7301 7044 4 275 4 225 10 261 13*285 13 287 7044 6888 2*232 4 225 10 261 11*284 8*278 6888 6798 1*145 4 224 9 260 9 282 4*274 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography