DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/27 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.7 - - 72.1 - - 71.4 - - 64.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 323 - - 284 - - 30 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6003 - - 7844 - - 6817 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10995 - - 12397 - - 9249 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12688 - - 14529 - - 13502 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2091 - - 1674 - - 3176 - - 428 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 531 - - 557 - - 252 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 23 - - 32 - - 27 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 160 - - 184 - - 177 - - 092 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 3 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 10 - - 10 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1075 - - 1602 - - 575 - - -4247 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11614 - - 12928 - - 12928 - - 11047 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -735 - - 221 - - -1369 - - -7466 ODpotential blCL - - - 13423 - - 14308 - - 14871 - - 14266 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 86 - - 83 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 30 - - 80 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.7 - - 72.1 - - 71.4 - - 64.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.2 - - 38.8 - - 38.2 - - 39.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.7 - - 70.2 - - 71.1 - - 65.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.9 - - 38.6 - - 38.1 - - 39.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 323 - - 284 - - 30 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6003 - - 7844 - - 6817 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 51 - - 43 - - 30 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98363 3 160 5 264 10 227 12 318 98363 91000 3 301 3 116 7 001 2 228 91000 85298 2 252 7 103 5 012 2 188 85298 80549 3 108 3 062 3 021 5 006 80549 76460 2 090 8 030 4 108 8 350 76460 72870 6 102 4 323 5 016 10 044 72870 69652 8 058 2 243 5 348 11 030 69652 66710 9 323 5 003 5 336 11 346 66710 64001 10 285 8 297 10 300 14 313 64001 61395 18 279 18 285 20 279 15 296 61395 58669 20 271 23 274 22 270 26 280 58669 55838 26 289 23 268 28 273 34 264 55838 53158 47 285 41 282 40 276 37 275 53158 50763 59 279 62 278 56 275 54 276 50763 48606 67 270 76 272 59 275 58 275 48606 46630 68 275 75 278 82 284 76 284 46630 44806 78 278 95 280 103 281 101 280 44806 43108 83 277 98 275 104 275 102 274 43108 41511 86 276 95 273 106 272 102 270 41511 40006 86 276 93 273 103 271 102 268 40006 38594 76 276 88 272 98 267 97 265 38594 37249 70 274 82 271 90 265 89 262 37249 35910 72 271 73 269 79 267 76 262 35910 34551 62 271 59 259 64 267 53 258 34551 33174 54 273 53 260 50 261 45 261 33174 31764 51 270 52 266 46 249 43 261 31764 30309 48 270 49 268 41 241 40 256 30309 28814 39 266 40 265 34 256 36 248 28814 27283 30 266 30 254 36 271 36 244 27283 25722 32 262 24 244 29 267 32 245 25722 24133 26 249 26 247 25 252 30 257 24133 22511 22 253 28 250 23 250 27 260 22511 20853 20 260 23 243 22 246 27 250 20853 19198 17 261 16 250 21 242 23 240 19198 17627 12 258 13 245 18 234 17 222 17627 16199 9 257 7 234 13 214 14 201 16199 14919 8 251 4*216 12 208 13 195 14919 13765 6*224 4*211 10*207 12 186 13765 12719 5*202 3 201 7*206 12 178 12719 11770 5 195 3 196 5 201 12 169 11770 10909 4 181 3 188 3 194 12 162 10909 10131 4 158 3 181 2 181 12 154 10131 9429 4 143 3 176 1 155 12 146 9429 8785 4 139 3 171 1 104 12 137 8785 8204 5 136 3 167 2 074 12 128 8204 7711 5 134 3 165 2 063 13 119 7711 7325 5 134 3 162 2 061 13 110 7325 7057 5 135 3 162 2 060 11 102 7057 6894 4 135 3 162 2 055 7*094 6894 6800 4 135 3 162 2 058 4*092 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography