DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/04 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.8 - - 82.9 - - 81.0 - - 70.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 471 - - 454 - - 130 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6187 - - 14700 - - 13082 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11300 - - 18288 - - 15986 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12872 - - 21385 - - 19767 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 8332 - - 2098 - - 3177 - - 497 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 610 - - 806 - - 515 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 28 - - 16 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 9 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 262 - - 294 - - 310 - - 292 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - -5 - - 6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2644 - - 3011 - - 1548 - - -9413 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15516 - - 18375 - - 18219 - - 16213 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4908 - - 1653 - - -62 - - -12898 ODpotential blCL - - - 17780 - - 19732 - - 19829 - - 19698 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 87 - - 82 - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - 220 - - 140 - - 70 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.8 - - 82.9 - - 81.0 - - 70.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.0 - - 25.0 - - 24.1 - - 23.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.1 - - 80.2 - - 80.1 - - 74.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.3 - - 24.3 - - 23.5 - - 23.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 471 - - 454 - - 130 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6187 - - 14700 - - 13082 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 22 - - 49 - - 29 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98532 21 106 16 142 16 107 15 131 98532 91076 15 125 16 116 11 116 13 131 91076 85357 17 142 16 111 11 122 15 092 85357 80627 17 129 17 134 7 107 19 096 80627 76547 16 122 15 121 10 115 16 093 76547 72944 17 119 13 108 15 116 13 093 72944 69699 18 107 11 108 13 099 11 084 69699 66729 19 093 12 120 7 122 5 066 66729 63985 10 055 11 104 6 129 2 193 63985 61332 6 321 5 004 4 087 1 311 61332 58560 6 290 4 316 4 018 2 177 58560 55673 5 273 6 303 11 321 9 334 55673 52920 3 199 7 234 9 275 11 332 52920 50450 13 332 11 345 15 338 17 356 50450 48238 18 331 20 343 22 344 18 351 48238 46224 17 354 22 341 22 334 22 340 46224 44368 18 347 17 325 16 315 21 327 44368 42658 16 317 19 306 14 290 14 304 42658 41077 17 291 19 273 15 267 13 283 41077 39607 18 274 22 247 17 254 14 283 39607 38238 18 267 24 242 18 253 15 285 38238 36933 19 272 27 250 18 260 15 285 36933 35631 17 272 28 250 18 270 15 285 35631 34304 13 266 26 252 18 281 15 290 34304 32956 12 265 24 263 19 285 16 298 32956 31574 12 280 19 276 17 288 18 307 31574 30150 9 295 14 283 14 297 17 316 30150 28688 8 300 12 286 14 308 13 320 28688 27193 10 310 11 299 15 317 12 324 27193 25665 13 323 9 323 12 322 13 331 25665 24112 14 330 9 358 5 005 10 324 24112 22528 13 334 9*002 5 028 4 320 22528 20906 11 331 8*343 4*008 4 005 20906 19270 11 318 8 314 6*319 8 005 19270 17700 11 303 9 296 8 311 9 000 17700 16267 11 293 10 294 9 310 9 356 16267 14982 12 291 10 293 10 309 9 351 14982 13822 10*290 10 291 11 309 9 343 13822 12770 7*283 10 289 12 308 10 332 12770 11815 5 268 10 287 12 308 11 322 11815 10948 4 260 10 287 13 308 13 315 10948 10165 4 257 10 286 13 309 14 310 10165 9456 4 256 10 286 13 309 15 307 9456 8807 3 254 10 286 13 310 15 305 8807 8221 3 254 9 285 13 310 15 303 8221 7722 3 256 9 285 13 310 15 301 7722 7333 3 257 9 285 12 310 14 300 7333 7062 3 259 9 285 12 310 12 297 7062 6895 3 258 9 285 12 311 9*295 6895 6800 3 261 8 285 10 311 5*292 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography