DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/11 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 29.2 - - 44.4 - - 52.4 - - 44.7 - - 36.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 132 - - 141 - - -3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 698 - - 1122 - - 114 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 6782 - - 6962 - - 6782 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top 6798 - - 7383 - - 7807 - - 6799 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 161 - - 296 - - 494 - - 841 - - 126 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 193 - - 231 - - 14 - - 14 W* B/S 0 - - 15 - - 6 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 7 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 055 - - 208 - - 257 - - 206 - - 083 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -1 - - 2 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - -2325 - - -3015 - - -2239 - - -109 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6798 - - 9709 - - 10822 - - 9038 - - 6907 sfcLCL ODpotential -11310 - - -10688 - - -9189 - - -9866 - - -9676 ODpotential blCL 18108 - - 18071 - - 16996 - - 16665 - - 16474 blCL maxRH 68 - - 53 - - 48 - - 46 - - 56 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 29.2 - - 44.4 - - 52.4 - - 44.7 - - 36.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.5 - - 26.1 - - 28.9 - - 29.1 - - 29.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 32.6 - - 43.6 - - 51.3 - - 48.6 - - 41.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.6 - - 25.5 - - 28.6 - - 28.9 - - 29.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 132 - - 141 - - -3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 698 - - 1122 - - 114 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96120 27 341 30 320 32 324 30 308 38 299 96120 89161 33 349 22 347 23 341 16 319 29 314 89161 83701 17 358 25 000 16 345 18 338 20 319 83701 79116 10 025 19 349 15 350 13 327 17 317 79116 75150 15 007 12 305 20 329 17 331 18 341 75150 71637 16 350 7 225 17 289 21 320 22 326 71637 68455 19 314 6 005 7 256 17 301 18 306 68455 65527 17 315 17 307 13 322 25 315 23 306 65527 62826 23 329 27 285 32 297 40 305 34 312 62826 60249 41 320 29 293 37 296 40 291 38 310 60249 57584 44 305 40 309 37 317 33 298 35 313 57584 54812 42 287 43 308 41 313 34 317 36 320 54812 52152 30 295 36 306 38 306 36 314 40 320 52152 49748 34 323 33 314 34 305 36 304 41 311 49748 47589 38 326 33 312 35 306 36 301 42 308 47589 45631 35 322 32 304 34 302 36 306 39 307 45631 43848 29 312 31 301 29 302 36 307 33 306 43848 42214 25 304 27 301 26 307 32 298 29 304 42214 40696 25 299 21 305 24 310 31 291 27 301 40696 39272 24 299 20 311 22 309 31 292 26 304 39272 37931 23 300 22 308 22 305 30 302 25 309 37931 36646 24 302 27 302 26 298 30 309 25 310 36646 35354 24 303 30 299 27 297 30 312 25 310 35354 34033 25 299 28 298 27 298 32 316 24 313 34033 32687 27 299 26 297 24 296 34 319 23 316 32687 31308 29 303 24 295 22 293 34 320 23 321 31308 29887 28 306 22 294 22 291 33 319 22 326 29887 28429 26 311 22 291 24 289 29 316 21 332 28429 26935 22 307 22 284 28 291 26 315 21 339 26935 25410 20 290 23 278 29 289 23 317 21 343 25410 23859 21 285 23 281 29 285 20 322 20 341 23859 22278 23 296 24 289 30 287 18 321 21 333 22278 20657 24 301 24 297 29 294 18 313 24 327 20657 19024 25 309 24 304 26 300 20 309 25 328 19024 17458 24 320 24 309 24 303 22 311 25 333 17458 16035 23 330 24 314 24 306 22 317 24 336 16035 14761 23 337 25 319 24 313 23 326 24 339 14761 13615 22 339 26 324 25 323 24 335 25 345 13615 12580 21 339 26 328 25 333 23 341 25 353 12580 11642 20 338 25 332 23 340 23 350 25 001 11642 10795 18 338 23 337 20 345 21 357 24 009 10795 10033 16 338 21 343 17 342 18 360 20 016 10033 9346 13 337 19 348 13 330 14 355 14 021 9346 8718 10 334 14 348 12 307 11 333 9 021 8718 8153 7 332 8 337 10*285 10 307 4 357 8153 7673 3 349 2*274 7*260 7 275 4 004 7673 7302 3 086 2*210 7 257 6 244 5 022 7302 7044 4 109 2 208 7 256 6 226 3 069 7044 6888 3*088 2 207 6 255 5*213 4*087 6888 6798 3*055 2 208 6 256 4*206 4*083 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography