DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/05 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 40.5 - - 41.4 - - 37.7 - - 31.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 104 - - 77 - - -7 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2301 - - 2960 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7683 - - 7921 - - 6781 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8986 - - 9645 - - 6798 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3515 - - 3948 - - 5675 - - 744 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 268 - - 263 - - 8 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 16 - - 4 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 268 - - 285 - - 295 - - 025 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -13 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1594 - - 1737 - - -634 - - -18 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7392 - - 7909 - - 7432 - - 6817 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 4 - - 69 - - -2993 - - -3916 ODpotential blCL - - - 8982 - - 9576 - - 9791 - - 10714 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 100 - - 86 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 40.5 - - 41.4 - - 37.7 - - 31.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.8 - - 30.5 - - 29.0 - - 25.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 39.8 - - 41.0 - - 39.6 - - 36.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.0 - - 30.0 - - 28.6 - - 26.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 104 - - 77 - - -7 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2301 - - 2960 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 75 - - 98 - - 45 - - 22 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96218 31 274 33 259 36 267 36 276 96218 89027 18 267 18 287 17 274 21 273 89027 83586 9 231 17 275 13 312 8 277 83586 79082 7 254 12 281 18 295 10 300 79082 75179 6 262 17 297 12 316 8 317 75179 71699 6 306 15 283 9 293 12 322 71699 68531 8 353 5 288 8 208 17 268 68531 65623 20 252 23 258 10 252 24 255 65623 62918 29 249 25 248 26 264 23 257 62918 60284 43 262 39 266 34 267 33 270 60284 57509 54 255 55 262 51 264 51 264 57509 54603 51 251 64 256 61 251 63 255 54603 51806 58 258 69 253 65 253 71 252 51806 49278 74 256 74 252 71 257 72 252 49278 47010 81 248 80 251 79 257 75 258 47010 44966 81 247 87 251 87 256 91 260 44966 43117 93 253 98 253 98 255 106 257 43117 41433 119 252 112 254 108 255 116 256 41433 39886 133 249 126 249 120 257 127 257 39886 38456 136 248 134 246 133 255 135 257 38456 37121 136 247 135 246 137 253 135 257 37121 35842 136 247 134 248 133 253 132 258 35842 34560 131 249 129 251 128 254 127 259 34560 33251 124 252 121 253 124 257 122 259 33251 31920 116 253 116 255 114 259 115 261 31920 30559 111 254 112 259 107 260 102 264 30559 29162 107 255 105 261 99 263 93 265 29162 27733 103 255 94 261 84 264 85 266 27733 26275 99 253 85 260 72 263 76 266 26275 24789 94 254 78 261 68 264 69 267 24789 23279 84 257 73 264 67 267 66 268 23279 21738 72 262 68 266 64 268 63 268 21738 20160 62 266 62 268 62 268 58 269 20160 18576 55 266 56 269 59 269 52 270 18576 17062 51 263 48 270 55 272 43 275 17062 15690 47 262 42 270 47 273 36 280 15690 14467 42 263 30 274 35 272 30 282 14467 13370 33 266 26 277 27 270 26 279 13370 12380 23 271 25 280 24 272 23 274 12380 11483 19 279 23 282 21 278 22 272 11483 10671 18 283 22 284 20 283 20 273 10671 9938 18 286 21*285 18 289 18 276 9938 9275 17*286 20*285 16 293 16 281 9275 8668 14*281 17 285 14 298 14 291 8668 8121 12 274 16 285 12 300 12 302 8121 7656 9 263 16 284 11 301 9 311 7656 7293 9 261 15 284 10 300 6 318 7293 7041 8 260 14 285 8 298 4 321 7041 6886 8 259 13 285 6*296 2*329 6886 6798 7 259 11 285 4*295 1*025 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography