DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/27 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.4 - - 63.6 - - 60.9 - - 50.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 547 - - 511 - - 136 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8608 - - 10700 - - 9220 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13334 - - 15029 - - 12990 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15293 - - 17385 - - 15905 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1536 - - 2077 - - 4205 - - 10198 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 715 - - 752 - - 462 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 26 - - 29 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 207 - - 217 - - 229 - - 251 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 23 - - 19 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 8 - - 12 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1219 - - -722 - - -2506 - - -8483 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16512 - - 18108 - - 18412 - - 15283 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5095 - - -2998 - - -4912 - - -11045 ODpotential blCL - - - 20388 - - 20383 - - 20817 - - 17844 blCL maxRH - - - 47 - - 87 - - 96 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.4 - - 63.6 - - 60.9 - - 50.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 12.0 - - 6.8 - - 2.9 - - 6.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.6 - - 61.1 - - 60.2 - - 52.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 11.3 - - 6.0 - - 2.2 - - 6.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 547 - - 511 - - 136 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8608 - - 10700 - - 9220 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 47 - - 86 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97567 7 259 6 242 11 278 9 306 97567 90175 8 124 4 124 3 329 4 065 90175 84549 8 117 7 127 5 064 9 032 84549 79881 8 105 8 111 7 057 7 069 79881 75848 4 088 12 077 13 107 8 075 75848 72280 6 131 5 100 10 103 9 082 72280 69039 12 139 9 131 7 091 11 075 69039 66053 8 121 5 185 8 239 6 024 66053 63281 15 068 14 152 8 162 11 170 63281 60617 14 070 21 232 17 247 22 230 60617 57839 33 222 33 231 33 210 27 205 57839 54903 33 188 37 200 30 221 26 215 54903 52058 30 228 32 236 31 243 38 241 52058 49501 49 237 44 239 42 242 49 237 49501 47224 52 236 50 234 53 236 52 237 47224 45167 57 234 54 231 61 233 56 239 45167 43287 65 231 63 230 65 233 59 238 43287 41548 74 228 70 227 68 233 62 239 41548 39934 80 226 78 229 76 234 72 239 39934 38432 87 227 92 229 91 234 81 239 38432 37040 94 227 104 227 106 232 88 237 37040 35724 93 225 107 226 117 231 92 235 35724 34419 89 224 110 226 124 230 93 234 34419 33099 86 224 110 225 125 228 95 234 33099 31767 86 223 107 225 120 227 94 232 31767 30417 85 223 103 224 113 225 91 230 30417 29037 84 223 98 222 102 222 87 229 29037 27630 82 223 95 221 93 220 82 226 27630 26195 80 223 90 220 86 219 77 223 26195 24732 78 222 85 220 77 217 71 221 24732 23245 76 221 79 218 70 215 64 220 23245 21731 72 220 72 217 65 212 56 217 21731 20185 66 220 64 214 57 210 49 215 20185 18630 59 220 53*210 51 210 38 216 18630 17142 51 219 38*207 43*211 28 222 17142 15787 38*216 31 209 35*217 29 230 15787 14571 28*210 30 211 34 219 29 234 14571 13472 22 205 28 213 31 225 30 239 13472 12476 20 204 27 215 30 229 31 243 12476 11570 20 205 25 220 29 230 31 247 11570 10747 19 205 25 222 29 232 32 251 10747 10003 18 206 24 224 28 233 33 254 10003 9329 18 207 24 226 28 235 33 257 9329 8712 18 207 23 227 27 235 33 258 8712 8153 17 208 23 228 27 236 32 259 8153 7677 17 209 22 229 27 236 29 259 7677 7306 16 209 21 229 26 236 25 258 7306 7048 16 210 21 229 25 236 19 255 7048 6890 15 210 20 230 23 237 16*253 6890 6799 14 210 17 230 18 237 8*251 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography