DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/07 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.0 - - 81.2 - - 80.1 - - 70.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 487 - - 486 - - 176 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8533 - - 12619 - - 13158 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13226 - - 16599 - - 16323 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15218 - - 19304 - - 19843 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2356 - - 1423 - - 2395 - - 10037 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 688 - - 784 - - 569 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 19 - - 20 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 271 - - 266 - - 262 - - 264 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 15 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -18 - - 12 - - -6 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1921 - - 626 - - 1202 - - -9059 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17140 - - 18679 - - 18642 - - 15860 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5399 - - -1379 - - -560 - - -12177 ODpotential blCL - - - 20617 - - 20683 - - 20403 - - 18977 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 64 - - 70 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.0 - - 81.2 - - 80.1 - - 70.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.8 - - 21.8 - - 21.2 - - 24.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.4 - - 78.3 - - 79.1 - - 73.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.3 - - 21.2 - - 20.7 - - 24.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 487 - - 486 - - 176 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8533 - - 12619 - - 13158 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 60 - - 0 - - 0 - - 5 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98525 15 119 18 111 16 074 20 094 98525 91043 14 105 17 089 18 078 19 094 91043 85341 16 128 14 108 16 072 22 089 85341 80659 18 119 18 114 8 098 20 070 80659 76626 15 114 13 118 11 125 13 073 76626 73036 11 106 16 118 9 102 11 082 73036 69771 7 155 12 123 5 201 6 058 69771 66774 6 137 18 152 18 160 7 221 66774 63998 6 159 14 184 12 153 14 168 63998 61314 7 226 14 188 19 215 18 205 61314 58539 24 204 25 224 26 218 20 216 58539 55664 23 233 23 225 17 187 23 223 55664 52910 37 254 26 240 33 241 36 234 52910 50433 40 259 40 246 52 238 46 231 50433 48206 43 259 52 246 53 239 49 233 48206 46175 47 252 57 244 52 245 49 241 46175 44314 46 243 56 240 51 248 51 247 44314 42603 42 234 51 235 50 248 53 248 42603 41020 39 231 47 237 49 245 54 246 41020 39545 38 236 43 238 47 240 54 245 39545 38169 39 244 42 236 49 235 52 242 38169 36859 41 248 42 234 52 233 51 236 36859 35554 43 248 43 237 52 233 53 233 35554 34225 43 247 44 244 51 233 54 235 34225 32875 39 245 42 250 49 234 51 241 32875 31491 34 238 38 252 45 236 49 243 31491 30065 35 234 33 248 40 239 43 237 30065 28600 34 237 28 241 35 240 34 234 28600 27103 32 241 27 238 33 243 28 237 27103 25574 30 246 28 240 33 250 27 246 25574 24020 28 252 30 247 33 255 27 254 24020 22438 26 257 32 253 32 254 27 254 22438 20821 26 259 32*254 28*252 26 247 20821 19195 27 254 27*257 23*256 23 243 19195 17636 28 251 21 263 21 259 22 245 17636 16215 27*255 20 264 21 261 21 252 16215 14939 23*263 20 264 21 261 20 257 14939 13788 21 267 19 266 20 262 20 261 13788 12743 20 269 19 267 20 263 21 265 12743 11794 20 271 18 268 20 264 21 266 11794 10932 19 271 18 268 20 264 21 267 10932 10153 19 272 17 269 20 264 21 268 10153 9448 19 273 17 270 19 265 22 268 9448 8801 19 273 17 270 19 265 22 268 8801 8217 18 273 16 271 19 265 22 267 8217 7720 18 274 16 272 19 265 21 267 7720 7331 17 274 15 271 18 265 19 267 7331 7061 16 274 15 272 17 264 15 267 7061 6895 16 274 14 272 16 264 11*266 6895 6800 14 274 13 272 14 264 5*264 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography