DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/14 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 40.7 - - 47.0 - - 47.7 - - 38.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 103 - - 233 - - 102 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3142 - - 5829 - - 5114 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8313 - - 10726 - - 9669 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9827 - - 12514 - - 11799 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4161 - - 4684 - - 4318 - - 4413 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 303 - - 479 - - 345 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 15 - - 17 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 243 - - 250 - - 274 - - 282 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 11 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - -12 - - -12 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2322 - - 1966 - - 202 - - -1713 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7506 - - 10548 - - 11598 - - 8511 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 131 - - -511 - - -1449 - - -4695 ODpotential blCL - - - 9696 - - 13025 - - 13248 - - 11493 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 97 - - 84 - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 230 - - 110 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 40.7 - - 47.0 - - 47.7 - - 38.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.5 - - 24.4 - - 20.6 - - 25.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 40.1 - - 45.6 - - 47.1 - - 42.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.3 - - 23.2 - - 20.1 - - 25.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 103 - - 233 - - 102 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3142 - - 5829 - - 5114 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 87 - - 35 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97231 41 296 54 296 53 298 56 296 97231 89897 48 298 55 296 49 306 44 300 89897 84274 41 289 41 298 49 308 39 305 84274 79613 33 276 32 292 37 296 29 305 79613 75578 26 273 30 273 27 265 33 273 75578 72017 20 255 23 267 23 246 32 252 72017 68798 16 214 21 239 18 229 22 228 68798 65812 20 231 28 196 15 209 24 238 65812 63021 37 241 34 229 35 241 34 239 63021 60311 43 234 42 227 46 232 40 234 60311 57484 36 234 36 229 42 225 40 231 57484 54547 37 239 36 239 38 230 39 235 54547 51747 41 237 41 239 40 235 42 243 51747 49237 46 237 45 238 42 241 41 242 49237 46988 52 240 51 240 44 248 38 247 46988 44940 56 242 55 239 46 250 44 249 44940 43066 60 243 54 238 47 247 50 241 43066 41339 64 240 52 241 47 245 52 235 41339 39738 69 234 57 245 52 243 52 237 39738 38250 74 231 67 243 61 241 55 237 38250 36871 78 230 75 237 72 236 57 236 36871 35568 83 230 81 234 80 234 57 236 35568 34278 89 230 87 233 86 234 62 235 34278 32973 96 229 93 233 91 233 66 235 32973 31656 100 229 96 233 91 232 63 236 31656 30314 100 229 97 232 88 233 56 236 30314 28940 99 231 97 233 81 235 45 237 28940 27542 98 233 94 234 71 238 27 251 27542 26117 96 234 86 236 56 242 19 288 26117 24662 90 234 74 238 37 266 20 309 24662 23177 83 233 60 242 34 278 23 312 23177 21660 77 233 48 251 32 270 20 302 21660 20105 69 234 43 257 33 264 20 287 20105 18539 54 238 42 256 32 269 22 275 18539 17042 35 240 30 254 27 266 22 271 17042 15684 30 239 27 252 24 259 19 269 15684 14472 27 237 25 249 24 258 17 270 14472 13381 25 238 24*248 23 259 16 272 13381 12394 24 240 21*248 21*262 17 278 12394 11498 23 243 17 249 20*265 18 284 11498 10685 22 245 16 250 18 270 18 290 10685 9952 20*246 14 250 18 273 18 295 9952 9288 18*247 14 251 18 275 17 296 9288 8680 15 245 13 251 18 277 17 296 8680 8130 12 243 13 251 17 277 17 296 8130 7662 12 242 12 251 17 278 15 295 7662 7297 11 241 12 251 17 279 13 293 7297 7043 11 241 12 251 16 279 10 291 7043 6887 10 241 11 251 15 279 7*286 6887 6798 9 240 10 251 13 279 4*282 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography