DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/24 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 36.7 - - 36.7 - - 34.3 - - 25.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 148 - - 94 - - -11 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2311 - - 2465 - - 1566 - - 112 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7883 - - 7731 - - 6781 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8996 - - 9150 - - 8251 - - 6797 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2875 - - 3309 - - 3611 - - 1311 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 303 - - 265 - - 55 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 17 - - 18 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 253 - - 282 - - 301 - - 336 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 6 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - -15 - - -11 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2051 - - 1541 - - -319 - - -1179 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6946 - - 7610 - - 8570 - - 7977 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 425 - - -175 - - -2848 - - -5071 ODpotential blCL - - - 8571 - - 9325 - - 11099 - - 11868 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 88 - - 82 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 110 - - 110 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 36.7 - - 36.7 - - 34.3 - - 25.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.8 - - 27.0 - - 20.5 - - 15.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 35.8 - - 36.2 - - 35.0 - - 28.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.7 - - 26.4 - - 20.0 - - 14.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 148 - - 94 - - -11 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2311 - - 2465 - - 1566 - - 112 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 62 - - 50 - - 27 - - 29 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94980 85 259 87 269 82 268 91 263 94980 88194 57 274 62 273 60 271 65 269 88194 82911 39 274 49 273 48 275 49 285 82911 78462 28 270 38 264 41 281 46 297 78462 74619 21 275 24 259 38 285 36 295 74619 71224 21 286 19 262 33 278 24 288 71224 68115 28 287 24 278 29 277 21 288 68115 65214 32 278 33 286 36 286 33 287 65214 62509 31 266 37 275 39 280 41 279 62509 59894 30 261 35 261 37 273 47 274 59894 57163 33 271 36 268 43 274 51 263 57163 54294 43 275 45 270 47 270 48 263 54294 51518 51 270 49 269 50 268 52 272 51518 48997 53 267 55 270 55 266 55 271 48997 46722 57 266 59 267 57 265 55 267 46722 44645 58 259 57 262 56 266 54 266 44645 42734 52 259 53 261 54 266 54 262 42734 40961 50 265 53 266 54 266 52 262 40961 39311 52 269 54 272 56 266 55 270 39311 37779 60 269 62 273 57 263 61 269 37779 36358 67 261 70 263 58 259 63 259 36358 35017 66 258 70 252 58 255 58 252 35017 33696 71 254 69 253 59 255 51 250 33696 32372 94 241 79 251 67 254 48 254 32372 31049 118 235 87 240 76 247 52 257 31049 29713 121 234 104 231 81 239 57 251 29713 28349 122 235 109 233 79 234 58 248 28349 26962 118 240 99 238 74 236 52 260 26962 25559 93 243 81 247 62 247 56 268 25559 24136 66 250 68 255 51 261 58 264 24136 22692 56 254 52 258 46 275 54 266 22692 21220 42 260 42 256 47 282 48 269 21220 19716 38 256 37 257 43 283 45 266 19716 18200 37 253 31 262 31 281 43 269 18200 16751 35 258 26 267 26 277 34 276 16751 15434 29 269 24 273 26 272 22 285 15434 14256 25 279 22 280 26 274 16 299 14256 13196 21 285 19 289 25 280 15 312 13196 12237 18 292 17 294 23 291 15 321 12237 11367 15 298 17 295 22 301 14 329 11367 10577 13 301 18 295 22 306 14 340 10577 9863 11 300 18 293 22 309 16 350 9863 9217 9*290 18*290 22 309 20 357 9217 8626 9*272 18*286 22*307 25 002 8626 8091 9 255 18 283 21*305 27 004 8091 7637 9 251 17 281 20 302 25 002 7637 7283 9 248 17 281 19 300 22 357 7283 7035 9 246 16 279 17 299 17 349 7035 6884 9 246 15 279 15 298 14*345 6884 6797 8 245 12 279 10 296 6*336 6797 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography