DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/13 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1555z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 36.1 - - 49.2 - - 53.8 - - 48.7 - - 43.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 147 - - 165 - - -8 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1524 - - 4362 - - 114 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 7316 - - 9420 - - 6782 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 6798 - - 8209 - - 11047 - - 6799 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 146 - - 2348 - - 2865 - - 5168 - - 1747 Hgt.Variab. W* 15 - - 262 - - 385 - - 10 - - 20 W* B/S 1 - - 7 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 081 - - 128 - - 184 - - 083 - - 128 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -3 - - -5 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -712 - - -1345 - - 757 - - -1863 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7511 - - 9554 - - 10291 - - 8662 - - 6799 sfcLCL ODpotential -9496 - - -4765 - - -1205 - - -4722 - - -2745 ODpotential blCL 16294 - - 12974 - - 12252 - - 11521 - - 9544 blCL maxRH 76 - - 86 - - 74 - - 89 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 50 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 36.1 - - 49.2 - - 53.8 - - 48.7 - - 43.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.2 - - 31.0 - - 32.2 - - 34.2 - - 39.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.8 - - 48.2 - - 52.6 - - 51.2 - - 45.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.2 - - 30.2 - - 31.6 - - 33.9 - - 39.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 147 - - 165 - - -8 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1524 - - 4362 - - 114 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 4 - - 45 - - 0 - - 54 - - 29 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96236 36 276 38 274 44 285 40 272 46 286 96236 89072 23 302 22 304 34 276 21 288 30 288 89072 83557 18 302 27 313 20 302 20 301 17 317 83557 79016 14 334 25 300 16 335 19 311 17 329 79016 75104 15 333 20 293 15 316 21 305 19 312 75104 71625 16 325 14 296 17 305 16 298 19 297 71625 68454 24 307 17 306 28 296 22 302 20 304 68454 65534 27 289 19 288 32 281 26 277 20 306 65534 62836 21 277 20 298 25 284 21 278 22 300 62836 60228 22 270 27 273 26 273 26 285 22 289 60228 57491 34 253 31 261 24 269 28 270 30 277 57491 54625 42 240 39 244 32 253 29 264 35 256 54625 51872 44 232 42 223 39 244 33 256 36 251 51872 49398 41 235 45 221 41 234 35 252 36 261 49398 47195 62 239 50 223 44 232 32 252 39 274 47195 45202 78 230 53 220 54 220 32 254 41 289 45202 43368 70 222 58 210 54 205 37 236 45 291 43368 41662 56 218 62 200 58 196 42 215 47 282 41662 40070 54 217 65 198 60 194 46 197 37 259 40070 38596 52 217 59 198 61 193 42 193 32 216 38596 37235 47 214 52 196 60 191 40 200 36 197 37235 35951 38 207 50 191 57 187 41 204 39 187 35951 34675 33 202 48 191 52 182 38 204 40 179 34675 33375 33 204 47 195 46 184 39 200 42 183 33375 32053 33 202 45 198 40 192 40 195 42 190 32053 30697 32 198 42 197 38 200 40 195 40 194 30697 29301 30 196 38 198 36 204 36 196 38 200 29301 27871 28 199 32 204 31 203 34 198 38 203 27871 26409 26 204 25 209 28 200 33 200 37 195 26409 24921 25 206 20 204 29 194 31 202 33 193 24921 23411 22 202 20 200 30 188 28 204 34 194 23411 21871 20 199 22 195 30 183 26 204 32 190 21871 20296 19 198 23 190 30 183 23 199 29 195 20296 18711 20 194 25 190 28 189 22 210 24 208 18711 17196 21 188 27 194 27 202 30 221 23 213 17196 15818 21 183 29 197 26 216 33 224 23 217 15818 14587 20 184 27 199 24 225 30 226 24 218 14587 13478 18 191 24 198 21 228 25 226 23 219 13478 12474 17 198 20 195 18 227 20 224 20 221 12474 11562 15 197 15 190 14*219 15 218 15 212 11562 10734 12 191 12 184 10*206 10 205 13 188 10734 9988 10 189 10 181 8 195 8 188 14 161 9988 9314 9 192 9 177 6 182 6 166 16 147 9314 8698 9 196 8*166 6 176 6 141 17 141 8698 8143 9 190 8*147 5 174 6 123 18 141 8143 7671 10 166 7 126 5 171 6 110 19 143 7671 7302 11 133 7 124 5 169 6 102 18 141 7302 7046 11 102 7 123 5 168 6 096 16 134 7046 6889 8*091 7 122 5 167 6*089 12*131 6889 6799 5*081 6 122 4 168 4*083 8*128 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography