DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/30 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.8 - - 55.5 - - 58.8 - - 55.8 - - 47.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 189 - - 153 - - -9 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 114 - - 2341 - - 3901 - - 114 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit 6782 - - 8000 - - 9036 - - 6782 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 6799 - - 9026 - - 10586 - - 6799 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 177 - - 2402 - - 2536 - - 5791 - - 236 Hgt.Variab. W* 23 - - 329 - - 361 - - 14 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 8 - - 7 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 7 - - 9 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 075 - - 131 - - 156 - - 117 - - 106 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -3 - - -6 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1264 - - 1924 - - -1325 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6799 - - 7763 - - 8662 - - 8124 - - 6799 sfcLCL ODpotential -5120 - - -668 - - 250 - - -3626 - - -3335 ODpotential blCL 11919 - - 9694 - - 10336 - - 10425 - - 10134 blCL maxRH 78 - - 87 - - 85 - - 90 - - 96 maxRH CAPE 130 - - 390 - - 560 - - 510 - - 270 CAPE Temp@2m 44.8 - - 55.5 - - 58.8 - - 55.8 - - 47.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.5 - - 44.8 - - 44.0 - - 43.5 - - 44.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.7 - - 54.2 - - 57.7 - - 57.2 - - 50.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.9 - - 44.1 - - 43.7 - - 43.3 - - 44.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 189 - - 153 - - -9 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 114 - - 2341 - - 3901 - - 114 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 12 - - 48 - - 40 - - 61 - - 86 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96684 62 275 63 274 62 278 56 271 78 271 96684 89569 43 279 54 273 53 277 51 284 50 289 89569 84114 29 287 40 271 46 278 47 288 39 300 84114 79556 24 278 28 268 35 272 38 280 31 293 79556 75603 20 271 20 266 25 267 31 274 29 277 75603 72102 23 269 21 270 18 259 25 266 24 263 72102 68921 24 270 21 261 17 256 17 255 17 260 68921 65974 24 263 27 260 28 264 22 263 25 260 65974 63231 30 253 34 242 37 248 32 255 29 248 63231 60558 33 246 27 229 36 232 33 239 22 249 60558 57752 27 242 23 243 31 238 24 255 39 253 57752 54864 43 264 37 259 38 257 43 256 45 245 54864 52129 65 248 50 246 46 246 50 243 42 240 52129 49665 61 239 49 236 44 237 47 236 42 243 49665 47452 49 244 48 241 45 244 43 235 46 248 47452 45450 50 244 53 246 49 245 42 238 50 249 45450 43631 51 244 54 244 49 241 42 242 48 246 43631 41964 53 239 50 238 46 236 44 246 42 246 41964 40417 51 231 45 232 49 233 52 238 46 244 40417 38978 40 227 46 230 54 227 59 228 60 230 38978 37643 27 277 48 228 54 226 63 225 67 222 37643 36372 34 280 48 226 52 228 62 224 64 224 36372 35100 37 266 45 226 47 229 61 228 54 228 35100 33799 39 257 41 228 41 231 54 233 47 228 33799 32471 43 254 37 236 37 230 45 232 41 227 32471 31107 46 257 37 247 37 232 41 224 36 226 31107 29698 45 261 36 251 37 234 37 222 32 225 29698 28249 40 260 33 249 32 237 33 228 30 224 28249 26762 35 250 34 245 28 234 32 232 29 217 26762 25243 31 242 33 245 28 224 29 236 28 217 25243 23696 25 216 27 239 21 216 25 237 28 218 23696 22119 24 201 20 207 20 203 22 228 26 213 22119 20510 20 196 22 183 22 188 19 189 23 203 20510 18896 17 179 20 176 22 192 20 180 25 195 18896 17358 16 171 18 156 21 186 19 189 23 189 17358 15962 13 171 18 146 19 177 20 190 20 187 15962 14713 12 172 15 144 19 159 20 180 19 182 14713 13587 12 165 15 150 18 151 18 170 19 179 13587 12568 11 156 14 152 15 152 15 164 19 173 12568 11643 8 152 11 151 12 158 13 160 19 166 11643 10804 6 152 10 161 11*158 12 156 19 160 10804 10047 7 168 10 170 10*157 10 149 20 156 10047 9362 11 174 10*167 10 157 10 143 20 155 9362 8735 14 163 8*150 9 156 9 139 19 152 8735 8169 13 144 8 130 9 156 9 134 18 147 8169 7687 12 117 8 128 9 155 9 129 16 142 7687 7312 13 101 7 127 8 155 8 126 14 135 7312 7051 13 087 7 126 8 155 8 122 11 127 7051 6891 9*079 7 126 8 154 6*119 7*113 6891 6799 5*075 6 126 7 155 4*117 5*106 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography