DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/20 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.4 - - 63.9 - - 57.3 - - 47.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 273 - - 260 - - -23 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2532 - - 4481 - - 114 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8256 - - 9714 - - 6782 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9217 - - 11166 - - 6799 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1495 - - 1567 - - 3673 - - 175 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 378 - - 449 - - 19 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 19 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 282 - - 307 - - 288 - - 294 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -10 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2240 - - -3885 - - -6738 - - -3982 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11458 - - 15052 - - 13538 - - 10782 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8900 - - -10801 - - -14304 - - -13624 ODpotential blCL - - - 18117 - - 21967 - - 21103 - - 20423 blCL maxRH - - - 46 - - 31 - - 36 - - 35 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.4 - - 63.9 - - 57.3 - - 47.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.9 - - 21.6 - - 22.0 - - 24.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.8 - - 62.3 - - 58.4 - - 51.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.3 - - 21.0 - - 21.8 - - 24.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 273 - - 260 - - -23 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2532 - - 4481 - - 114 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97567 47 259 45 272 44 292 47 288 97567 90327 31 279 28 272 33 279 30 292 90327 84678 20 293 16 258 26 265 24 289 84678 79944 17 286 13 275 22 272 20 273 79944 75866 20 251 13 270 16 282 19 289 75866 72286 16 237 11 260 15 291 15 305 72286 69062 1 007 10 257 13 256 9 291 69062 66078 18 341 4 262 12 261 11 276 66078 63297 28 291 22 299 23 297 22 290 63297 60645 39 286 35 296 35 305 34 303 60645 57941 40 278 43 288 42 301 39 306 57941 55156 41 280 47 285 47 294 48 301 55156 52506 50 285 54 285 53 292 57 296 52506 50131 61 282 62 284 60 290 62 291 50131 48008 68 279 67 282 63 286 63 288 48008 46076 73 278 68 280 64 282 62 283 46076 44299 75 276 68 278 64 280 61 279 44299 42650 75 274 70 278 60 285 56 284 42650 41110 76 272 71 279 55 290 50 290 41110 39666 76 272 70 280 54 295 49 299 39666 38312 72 273 66 281 55 303 43 303 38312 37017 67 277 63 282 54 306 36 308 37017 35716 66 283 60 282 51 308 33 319 35716 34384 67 284 60 285 49 308 34 327 34384 33025 67 283 65 287 48 308 36 327 33025 31629 67 281 68 286 46 307 37 323 31629 30188 67 280 68 284 45 305 37 317 30188 28707 67 286 65 286 45 304 36 310 28707 27190 63 291 58 292 46 304 38 309 27190 25641 58 294 56 297 47 308 39 315 25641 24063 55 295 54 300 49 310 41 320 24063 22449 53 295 52 302 50 309 40 321 22449 20795 51 296 50 304 50 308 39 318 20795 19129 48 298 48 304 47 308 38 314 19129 17536 45 299 46 303 43 309 36 314 17536 16088 43 301 44 304 40 312 34 318 16088 14797 41 304 41 308 37 317 31 324 14797 13641 39 308 36 315 34 321 28 329 13641 12601 37 312 31 322 29 326 24 331 12601 11664 35 317 23*322 24 330 21 330 11664 10817 31 323 20*317 20 329 18 328 10817 10054 26 322 20 314 19 322 17 327 10054 9366 21*312 20 310 19 314 16 328 9366 8736 18*299 19 305 21 307 16 330 8736 8169 17 286 19 304 21 301 16 329 8169 7687 16 278 19 302 21 297 16 326 7687 7311 16 276 18 300 20 293 16 319 7311 7049 15 275 18 300 18 291 14 307 7049 6890 14 275 17 299 15*290 10*299 6890 6799 12 274 14 299 11*288 6*294 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography