DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/11 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.5 - - 83.7 - - - - - 67.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 410 - - 441 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3826 - - 10377 - - - - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9367 - - 14681 - - - - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10511 - - 17062 - - - - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5046 - - 2275 - - - - - 891 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 494 - - 706 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 7 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 18 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 257 - - 283 - - - - - 005 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 6 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8091 - - 418 - - - - - -3829 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 18603 - - 16645 - - - - - 10630 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11330 - - -1059 - - - - - -7607 ODpotential blCL - - - 21841 - - 18121 - - - - - 14407 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 89 - - - - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 20 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.5 - - 83.7 - - - - - 67.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.1 - - 33.7 - - - - - 44.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.0 - - 81.2 - - - - - 68.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.0 - - 33.7 - - - - - 44.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 410 - - 441 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3826 - - 10377 - - - - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 2 - - 56 - - - - - 64 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 5 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98798 12 139 10 224 3 051 98798 91377 9 113 9 122 6 082 91377 85642 8 115 10 113 7 119 85642 80851 6 134 11 135 3 061 80851 76718 7 167 6 120 2 009 76718 73072 10 164 10 203 3 331 73072 69767 2 227 9 199 2 227 69767 66741 2 190 2 290 6 315 66741 63965 4 260 5 275 7 277 63965 61315 12 314 4 279 11 296 61315 58598 13 274 18 241 19 285 58598 55816 18 253 21 241 21 277 55816 53168 26 264 24 271 28 257 53168 50784 30 279 33 278 33 272 50784 48643 38 283 38 280 38 284 48643 46688 45 286 44 283 48 288 46688 44885 51 285 49 281 51 287 44885 43209 51 282 48 282 48 285 43209 41642 47 281 45 287 46 284 41642 40164 45 284 48 286 46 282 40164 38773 42 282 51 282 47 280 38773 37442 40 274 49 279 48 279 37442 36109 40 270 46 274 49 277 36109 34747 40 271 44 271 49 275 34747 33362 41 276 43 273 49 273 33362 31942 42 281 42 278 46 274 31942 30478 38 281 40 285 41 278 30478 28978 33 283 40 286 32 283 28978 27441 30 286 39 284 30 293 27441 25870 29 289 34 290 27 302 25870 24273 28 291 29 295 24 303 24273 22645 27 291 25 284 20 306 22645 20981 24 288 19 276 19 309 20981 19309 21 288 17 265 19 314 19309 17712 20 290 16*270 20 322 17712 16262 19 290 16*282 19 324 16262 14967 19 291 17 283 17 321 14967 13804 18 292 17 283 14 311 13804 12751 18 295 18 284 11 300 12751 11796 17 296 18 284 10 295 11796 10930 14*292 19 284 9 300 10930 10149 10*277 19 284 9 309 10149 9442 9 266 20 284 9 319 9442 8794 9 256 20 283 10 333 8794 8210 8 253 20 283 11 349 8210 7713 8 250 19 283 14 001 7713 7327 8 249 19 283 14 006 7327 7059 8 248 18 283 11 006 7059 6894 8 247 18 283 8*005 6894 6800 7 247 16 283 3*005 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography