DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/05 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.6 - - 66.0 - - 73.0 - - 72.0 - - 60.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 40 - - 316 - - 305 - - 17 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 280 - - 2398 - - 4260 - - 4129 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit 6782 - - 8195 - - 9603 - - 6784 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top 6965 - - 9083 - - 10945 - - 10814 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 729 - - 1219 - - 3271 - - 2710 - - 424 Hgt.Variab. W* 96 - - 388 - - 464 - - 176 - - 0 W* B/S 5 - - 17 - - 19 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 110 - - 267 - - 291 - - 276 - - 245 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 2 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -2 - - -6 - - 5 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1077 - - -1380 - - -1338 - - -1671 - - -2685 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8043 - - 10464 - - 12283 - - 12486 - - 9486 sfcLCL ODpotential -6730 - - -4860 - - -4291 - - -4609 - - -8029 ODpotential blCL 13695 - - 13943 - - 15236 - - 15423 - - 14829 blCL maxRH 65 - - 60 - - 51 - - 52 - - 63 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 30 - - 350 - - 270 - - 260 CAPE Temp@2m 55.6 - - 66.0 - - 73.0 - - 72.0 - - 60.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.0 - - 43.7 - - 42.5 - - 40.8 - - 42.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.5 - - 64.1 - - 70.9 - - 72.0 - - 63.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.8 - - 43.4 - - 42.3 - - 40.6 - - 42.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 40 - - 316 - - 305 - - 17 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 280 - - 2398 - - 4260 - - 4129 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97985 22 273 16 251 17 216 19 242 17 252 97985 90652 15 231 11 241 12 249 22 232 18 272 90652 84993 4 162 12 213 16 253 16 249 12 297 84993 80281 6 047 9 200 10 242 9 281 5 327 80281 76245 4 047 7 154 5 204 3 336 1 262 76245 72703 3 167 4 070 2 176 10 357 8 051 72703 69513 4 045 5 064 4 220 10 316 11 357 69513 66604 13 009 8 014 2 015 5 331 10 345 66604 63918 12 333 11 343 10 345 8 350 10 348 63918 61318 11 307 14 319 14 337 13 337 16 334 61318 58611 13 311 17 307 16 305 17 293 19 310 58611 55797 23 308 20 300 19 297 19 289 17 303 55797 53110 37 301 32 293 30 299 31 305 38 301 53110 50693 49 288 45 285 49 292 52 293 48 290 50693 48520 51 283 50 279 54 284 54 292 48 294 48520 46532 53 289 48 277 55 292 57 301 58 301 46532 44693 56 290 50 286 58 298 64 301 65 299 44693 42982 57 288 54 290 59 298 65 302 66 299 42982 41384 53 285 51 289 56 297 63 302 66 302 41384 39890 47 285 46 289 49 295 53 298 62 303 39890 38496 41 284 42 289 43 296 41 295 50 295 38496 37175 36 284 41 288 40 297 37 298 39 292 37175 35865 35 283 40 292 36 298 37 294 31 297 35865 34529 35 290 41 294 36 296 32 302 27 299 34529 33166 29 290 36 299 35 307 30 315 25 298 33166 31766 25 283 27 296 28 311 26 325 20 311 31766 30322 21 294 21 286 24 302 23 320 18 321 30322 28840 16 316 15 285 21 296 21 313 19 327 28840 27325 15 346 10 290 16 291 20 310 17 341 27325 25778 13 354 8 301 12 292 17 311 16 344 25778 24205 11 354 8 321 9 318 11 319 14 337 24205 22599 10 357 9 344 9 340 7 341 11 338 22599 20956 8 359 11 003 8 360 6 356 9 344 20956 19301 6 008 11 008 8 031 6 037 4 345 19301 17715 6 032 8 014 10 044 12 060 7 072 17715 16269 6 032 7 017 10 051 15 061 12 078 16269 14972 7 022 6 012 10 056 14 063 11 079 14972 13803 8 014 5 019 10 057 11 066 8 067 13803 12745 9 010 6 033 8 060 8 059 7 046 12745 11786 10 008 8 029 6*054 4 359 5 022 11786 10918 10 003 9 009 3*018 4*315 5 353 10918 10136 8 355 9 351 4 301 6*290 5 326 10136 9430 7 341 7*331 5 290 6 283 7 306 9430 8785 4 336 4*285 5 287 7 278 9 297 8785 8203 1 344 4 270 5 285 7 273 11 293 8203 7709 3 165 4 266 5 284 7 272 12 287 7709 7324 6 154 4 263 5 283 7 270 12 279 7324 7057 6*125 4 260 5 282 7 269 10 268 7057 6893 4*111 4 259 5 282 6 269 7*253 6893 6800 3 110 4 259 5 282 6 268 4*245 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography