DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/19 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.3 - - 64.9 - - - - - 55.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 463 - - 469 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4660 - - 7975 - - - - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10066 - - 12746 - - - - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11345 - - 14660 - - - - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2108 - - 1597 - - - - - 3947 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 550 - - 661 - - - - - 5 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 15 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 8 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 196 - - 245 - - - - - 037 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -4 - - - - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4159 - - -2740 - - - - - -9226 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15504 - - 17401 - - - - - 16027 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8554 - - -6352 - - - - - -14213 ODpotential blCL - - - 19899 - - 21012 - - - - - 21013 blCL maxRH - - - 40 - - 49 - - - - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.3 - - 64.9 - - - - - 55.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 14.0 - - 11.8 - - - - - 9.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.8 - - 62.2 - - - - - 60.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 13.3 - - 11.1 - - - - - 8.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 463 - - 469 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4660 - - 7975 - - - - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97181 37 276 53 269 48 289 97181 89896 49 272 49 278 48 283 89896 84302 48 269 45 273 40 274 84302 79647 33 270 37 267 33 268 79647 75613 22 266 27 262 28 272 75613 72044 20 267 22 271 23 282 72044 68828 23 272 22 278 25 284 68828 65898 23 277 23 278 25 280 65898 63201 24 286 23 280 24 281 63201 60591 27 288 27 280 22 276 60591 57873 33 287 29 284 29 286 57873 55050 41 287 41 290 40 281 55050 52342 54 280 53 283 51 275 52342 49890 61 280 63 283 55 274 49890 47677 67 281 71 284 61 274 47677 45651 68 280 72 281 66 273 45651 43781 64 280 69 279 69 272 43781 42050 57 281 59 279 64 269 42050 40456 46 280 47 278 49 272 40456 38995 41 287 40 273 33 273 38995 37656 41 296 36 279 24 263 37656 36387 41 296 34 286 21 264 36387 35117 37 294 33 285 22 270 35117 33815 34 292 34 281 23 276 33815 32487 33 288 35 282 24 271 32487 31123 30 284 34 286 24 259 31123 29717 26 285 33 284 20 253 29717 28275 25 283 31 280 16 252 28275 26796 26 280 27 279 13 257 26796 25287 26 282 25 283 10 256 25287 23753 25 291 22 292 6 253 23753 22190 25 298 20 298 3 245 22190 20588 23 296 18 294 3 242 20588 18976 19 284 15 288 5 258 18976 17434 16 273 14 281 11 251 17434 16029 15 276 12 273 15 245 16029 14771 15 279 9*256 15 240 14771 13638 14 266 8*245 13 236 13638 12611 13 238 8 243 10 233 12611 11678 10*217 8 243 7 233 11678 10833 8*203 8 243 5 241 10833 10071 8 198 8 244 3 262 10071 9381 8 195 8 244 2 299 9381 8749 7 195 8 245 2 334 8749 8180 7 194 8 246 3 352 8180 7694 7 192 8 246 3 002 7694 7316 6 193 8 247 3 011 7316 7053 6 193 7 247 3 023 7053 6892 6 193 7 247 3*032 6892 6800 6 193 7 248 4*037 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography