DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/21 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.6 - - 89.3 - - - - - 74.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 393 - - 197 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8398 - - 12894 - - - - - 116 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13012 - - 16201 - - - - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15083 - - 19579 - - - - - 6801 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3104 - - 2290 - - - - - 1785 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 636 - - 585 - - - - - 35 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 8 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 13 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 117 - - 125 - - - - - 253 Direction Wind Shear - - - 15 - - 18 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -14 - - 26 - - - - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1636 - - 3619 - - - - - -1493 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13447 - - 15961 - - - - - 8295 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 48 - - 1643 - - - - - -5404 ODpotential blCL - - - 15035 - - 17936 - - - - - 12205 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 100 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 770 - - 390 - - - - - 2190 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.6 - - 89.3 - - - - - 74.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.7 - - 42.4 - - - - - 60.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.0 - - 87.8 - - - - - 74.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.3 - - 41.9 - - - - - 59.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 393 - - 197 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8398 - - 12894 - - - - - 116 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 101 - - - - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 6 - - - - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99274 35 111 29 103 39 086 99274 91777 41 107 38 113 22 104 91777 85993 35 095 38 104 25 107 85993 81180 29 092 29 098 32 101 81180 77062 29 101 26 098 33 093 77062 73449 29 102 25 096 27 091 73449 70191 22 094 20 088 24 084 70191 67213 20 095 17 104 21 075 67213 64479 18 096 18 111 12 065 64479 61855 15 100 14 108 7 097 61855 59138 12 090 13 100 12 109 59138 56331 9 120 12 122 17 133 56331 53674 18 119 16 143 20 137 53674 51298 17 090 17 138 19 126 51298 49147 21 140 23 153 16 138 49147 47165 33 146 29 153 23 166 47165 45333 36 146 33 150 25 171 45333 43627 36 142 35 149 24 169 43627 42029 34 133 35 151 23 166 42029 40528 31 132 34 149 24 164 40528 39119 30 138 33 145 22 161 39119 37776 32 144 34 150 18 164 37776 36434 32 143 35 156 16 170 36434 35061 24 124 28 152 15 174 35061 33662 26 120 23 144 14 180 33662 32228 27 128 24 144 14 181 32228 30750 25 131 24 141 17 169 30750 29234 20 125 22 133 20 168 29234 27680 19 118 21 130 19 157 27680 26097 21 126 20 134 17 137 26097 24486 23 134 21 128 20 142 24486 22848 22 132 23 113 19 116 22848 21178 21 123 22*107 22 106 21178 19499 22 117 21*107 24 112 19499 17891 24 112 19 110 20 121 17891 16427 24 111 18 111 14 128 16427 15115 23*111 17 116 9 144 15115 13932 19*112 15 121 7 170 13932 12860 17 113 13 126 8 190 12860 11887 13 115 12 132 9 203 11887 11005 10 118 11 139 10 215 11005 10208 9 120 10 145 11 226 10208 9488 8 122 10 151 13 236 9488 8829 7 123 9 155 15 245 8829 8235 7 125 9 160 15 246 8235 7731 6 127 8 163 16 247 7731 7338 6 128 8 166 15 248 7338 7065 6 129 8 167 13 249 7065 6897 5 128 8 168 11*251 6897 6801 5 128 7 168 7*253 6801 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography