DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/09 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 32.1 - - 35.7 - - 33.1 - - 25.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 136 - - 169 - - -13 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2180 - - 3402 - - 113 - - 112 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7751 - - 8723 - - 6781 - - 6780 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8865 - - 10087 - - 6798 - - 6797 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2353 - - 4869 - - 8639 - - 1997 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 289 - - 358 - - 18 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 16 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 165 - - 244 - - 322 - - 053 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -14 - - 1 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -254 - - -206 - - -3551 - - -4025 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9119 - - 10293 - - 10349 - - 10823 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2973 - - -2231 - - -5618 - - -8234 ODpotential blCL - - - 11838 - - 12318 - - 12416 - - 15031 blCL maxRH - - - 59 - - 76 - - 75 - - 53 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 32.1 - - 35.7 - - 33.1 - - 25.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 16.2 - - 14.6 - - 12.0 - - 2.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 31.2 - - 34.6 - - 34.7 - - 27.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 15.1 - - 13.3 - - 11.0 - - 1.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 136 - - 169 - - -13 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2180 - - 3402 - - 113 - - 112 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96422 46 267 51 258 60 263 63 266 96422 89248 35 262 33 262 40 275 39 281 89248 83775 26 259 26 283 27 281 32 288 83775 79222 21 258 16 280 16 269 22 281 79222 75273 21 247 18 279 15 271 12 275 75273 71749 21 222 25 262 22 264 13 283 71749 68530 18 236 30 248 27 256 19 257 68530 65544 26 250 32 241 27 250 22 238 65544 62756 24 243 26 233 25 253 24 233 62756 60034 24 252 21 239 24 247 23 242 60034 57180 29 262 25 251 30 256 24 263 57180 54220 33 261 30 251 34 251 26 272 54220 51394 30 249 29 245 26 260 29 271 51394 48860 23 261 26 266 28 262 29 266 48860 46598 36 266 23 273 18 274 19 266 46598 44541 36 274 33 287 23 295 22 309 44541 42662 34 276 35 280 35 296 31 307 42662 40938 26 284 30 275 30 289 22 303 40938 39339 21 296 25 299 23 296 26 334 39339 37856 21 305 27 311 19 308 24 343 37856 36488 23 301 26 321 19 322 18 340 36488 35197 21 304 24 337 24 338 20 005 35197 33921 15 328 24 348 28 347 32 013 33921 32635 21 359 27 359 37 006 44 014 32635 31342 29 359 31 009 40 013 51 015 31342 30027 28 341 36 014 42 016 56 017 30027 28676 27 334 35 013 46 018 58 018 28676 27291 20 341 28 356 49 020 58 021 27291 25872 6 243 21 330 48 021 58 023 25872 24422 9 235 17 306 45 020 57 026 24422 22945 7 244 16 286 41 018 54 028 22945 21437 4 257 14 289 35 012 51 028 21437 19893 4 337 15 300 28 358 45 028 19893 18342 7 353 18 307 23 341 38 027 18342 16862 9 353 16 324 15 336 28 026 16862 15521 11 343 15 341 7 350 18 015 15521 14324 12 326 12 358 5 001 11 352 14324 13246 6 297 9 007 5 000 8 354 13246 12271 4 237 7 006 6 001 8 026 12271 11387 1 123 5 360 7 359 12 048 11387 10587 6 068 4*354 9 359 17 050 10587 9865 7 074 2*325 10 357 21 049 9865 9215 6*108 2 285 10 354 25 044 9215 8621 6*146 4 242 10 350 26 039 8621 8086 6 161 5 237 9 346 23 034 8086 7633 7 168 6 235 9 343 19 032 7633 7280 7 170 6 234 9 339 16 033 7280 7034 7 171 6 234 8 334 12 036 7034 6883 6 171 6 234 6*330 9*042 6883 6797 6 173 5 234 4*322 5*053 6797 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography