DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/12 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 34.2 - - 38.8 - - 31.2 - - 25.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 82 - - 128 - - 3 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 415 - - 632 - - 113 - - 112 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6781 - - 6781 - - 6781 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7100 - - 7317 - - 6798 - - 6797 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 304 - - 274 - - 297 - - 120 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 139 - - 186 - - 30 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 5 - - 1 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 301 - - 258 - - 253 - - 029 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -2 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1714 - - -1693 - - -586 - - -526 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8814 - - 9011 - - 7384 - - 7323 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9357 - - -8448 - - -8979 - - -10651 ODpotential blCL - - - 16457 - - 15765 - - 15777 - - 17448 blCL maxRH - - - 55 - - 54 - - 60 - - 53 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 34.2 - - 38.8 - - 31.2 - - 25.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.0 - - 23.6 - - 23.2 - - 18.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 33.6 - - 37.9 - - 33.1 - - 30.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.0 - - 22.6 - - 22.9 - - 19.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 82 - - 128 - - 3 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 415 - - 632 - - 113 - - 112 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95861 38 355 43 035 35 038 30 026 95861 89032 36 028 43 042 36 042 37 044 89032 83654 31 035 35 036 38 037 39 052 83654 79136 22 032 29 029 29 035 36 049 79136 75222 15 037 21 024 21 040 31 037 75222 71751 19 022 16 023 19 027 26 024 71751 68586 15 359 13 014 16 027 20 011 68586 65659 12 352 13 348 17 026 16 007 65659 62948 16 355 11 349 20 009 13 353 62948 60318 17 344 14 357 19 350 16 350 60318 57548 18 332 16 344 20 335 15 342 57548 54651 18 327 18 333 20 323 16 340 54651 51879 18 323 19 330 19 328 19 354 51879 49395 18 321 20 327 22 342 23 357 49395 47182 17 329 20 320 23 343 23 359 47182 45187 17 335 14 318 16 335 21 003 45187 43378 14 342 13 351 16 015 15 001 43378 41718 15 009 13 016 19 040 13 057 41718 40182 23 035 20 061 27 061 22 057 40182 38760 26 041 30 061 35 051 25 055 38760 37443 23 049 33 069 33 055 24 078 37443 36192 26 059 38 072 29 073 29 092 36192 34940 35 061 38 076 31 090 36 089 34940 33658 40 065 38 081 32 093 35 086 33658 32352 41 070 37 082 32 088 33 092 32352 31010 41 073 35 080 32 079 31 086 31010 29623 39 077 33 078 30 070 30 080 29623 28195 32 079 32 076 27 067 29 088 28195 26728 26 072 32 071 28 062 25 074 26728 25225 25 062 33 069 30 055 27 052 25225 23689 26 062 33 067 30 057 30 050 23689 22119 25 065 32 067 29 063 25 056 22119 20510 24 066 31 069 27 070 21 063 20510 18890 22 066 28 071 22 080 17 064 18890 17338 20 065 24 074 20 088 12 057 17338 15925 19 064 20 079 18 089 13 045 15925 14662 18 065 17 082 15 088 14 045 14662 13527 18 066 16 084 14 087 15 053 13527 12502 19 067 16 082 14 083 15 061 12502 11575 20 066 16 078 13 081 14 068 11575 10737 20 064 16 073 11 085 12 071 10737 9982 17 062 13 070 7 088 11 070 9982 9301 12 062 9 062 4 066 9 068 9301 8680 6 060 5 028 4 002 7 066 8680 8123 2 028 6 324 6 331 5 054 8123 7653 3 331 6*295 6 316 4 044 7653 7290 3*313 5*264 4 284 2 025 7290 7038 2*307 5 257 3 256 1 009 7038 6885 1 300 5 255 2*247 2*019 6885 6797 1 295 5 256 1*253 3*029 6797 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography