DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/18 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0741z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1556z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.0 - - 64.6 - - 68.1 - - 66.2 - - 57.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 99 - - 492 - - 490 - - 107 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 649 - - 7545 - - 8593 - - 7187 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit 6782 - - 12417 - - 13272 - - 11237 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top 7334 - - 14230 - - 15278 - - 13872 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 749 - - 2116 - - 1996 - - 2742 - - 6862 Hgt.Variab. W* 171 - - 660 - - 688 - - 392 - - 4 W* B/S 19 - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 20 - - 21 - - 17 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 199 - - 278 - - 269 - - 263 - - 292 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 12 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 5 - - -7 - - -11 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5695 - - -749 - - -1610 - - -3127 - - -8139 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13030 - - 14980 - - 16889 - - 17000 - - 14939 sfcLCL ODpotential -10709 - - -3217 - - -5089 - - -6544 - - -12690 ODpotential blCL 18043 - - 17447 - - 20367 - - 20416 - - 19489 blCL maxRH 78 - - 70 - - 78 - - 79 - - 78 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.0 - - 64.6 - - 68.1 - - 66.2 - - 57.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.0 - - 22.2 - - 17.1 - - 15.0 - - 16.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.2 - - 62.1 - - 65.5 - - 65.4 - - 62.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.8 - - 21.8 - - 16.7 - - 14.5 - - 15.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 99 - - 492 - - 490 - - 107 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 649 - - 7545 - - 8593 - - 7187 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 12 - - 0 - - 12 - - 16 - - 11 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97677 3 049 9 279 8 256 11 298 15 296 97677 90328 3 006 5 098 2 229 4 007 1 320 90328 84677 4 047 8 081 3 100 5 129 3 065 84677 79993 4 124 0 147 4 081 3 085 6 063 79993 75946 8 088 1 245 1 217 1 320 4 056 75946 72354 2 107 5 245 5 263 5 292 4 023 72354 69104 9 263 5 234 6 291 10 311 7 007 69104 66132 13 259 13 263 16 271 20 292 12 318 66132 63398 12 287 15 281 16 272 21 275 20 289 63398 60756 21 290 21 285 22 267 24 263 30 275 60756 57997 32 276 30 280 25 260 32 264 34 264 57997 55118 43 273 37 275 34 272 35 264 36 261 55118 52360 54 272 51 271 49 275 43 272 45 269 52360 49864 61 269 62 265 62 268 58 274 56 268 49864 47615 66 269 68 267 67 265 68 269 64 266 47615 45571 68 268 73 268 68 270 72 268 70 265 45571 43716 64 267 71 268 74 271 77 267 75 263 43716 42030 62 269 69 272 75 267 79 264 77 260 42030 40485 62 275 72 278 74 276 77 268 77 261 40485 39049 65 281 77 279 89 282 86 272 85 263 39049 37704 68 279 79 278 93 279 90 274 91 261 37704 36417 68 275 78 276 90 274 87 272 90 261 36417 35125 69 273 78 274 86 272 83 267 86 261 35125 33804 72 273 77 274 82 275 79 265 80 259 33804 32459 72 274 75 274 75 276 69 268 74 259 32459 31081 70 275 74 275 69 274 63 272 71 265 31081 29664 65 275 72 277 65 273 64 272 65 265 29664 28213 63 275 69 279 64 273 68 271 63 263 28213 26733 63 276 68 281 63 273 69 269 68 264 26733 25227 62 280 68 281 62 275 67 265 70 261 25227 23699 58 283 65 282 61 276 62 263 65 258 23699 22146 50 280 59 282 58 277 58 268 58 257 22146 20555 44 274 51 280 53 276 55 274 53 259 20555 18949 42 273 45 277 46 275 48 277 46 265 18949 17410 37 273 41 277 39 274 40 270 34 260 17410 16012 31 276 37 279 32*273 31 256 28 243 16012 14761 28 280 33*280 25*272 23*252 25 242 14761 13634 26 282 26*280 23 271 20*254 23 247 13634 12612 25 284 24 280 22 270 20 255 23 249 12612 11682 24 292 21 280 22 270 19 257 22 250 11682 10839 22 300 20 280 21 270 17 262 21 251 10839 10076 17 302 20 279 21 269 17 265 19 253 10076 9386 11 298 19 278 21 268 16 267 16 256 9386 8754 8 292 19 277 21 268 16 268 14 261 8754 8183 7 281 18 276 20 267 16 269 11 269 8183 7697 6*270 18 276 20 267 15 270 9 277 7697 7318 3*243 17 275 19 267 15 271 8 284 7318 7054 2 182 16 275 18 267 14 271 6 288 7054 6892 2 178 16 274 18 267 14 271 4*289 6892 6799 2 175 14 274 15 267 12 271 2*292 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography