DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/11 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.8 - - 55.0 - - 59.6 - - 55.7 - - 43.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 6 - - 363 - - 415 - - 83 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 4427 - - 6162 - - 4986 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 9799 - - 11226 - - 9393 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 6798 - - 11112 - - 12847 - - 11671 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1799 - - 1603 - - 1833 - - 1947 - - 395 Hgt.Variab. W* 38 - - 499 - - 582 - - 317 - - 9 W* B/S 2 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 16 - - 19 - - 17 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 285 - - 336 - - 327 - - 327 - - 296 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 13 - - 10 - - 9 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5692 - - -4779 - - -4306 - - -4587 - - -6979 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12490 - - 15892 - - 17153 - - 16259 - - 13777 sfcLCL ODpotential -13412 - - -10925 - - -9077 - - -9912 - - -14806 ODpotential blCL 20210 - - 22037 - - 21924 - - 21583 - - 21604 blCL maxRH 32 - - 40 - - 33 - - 39 - - 45 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.8 - - 55.0 - - 59.6 - - 55.7 - - 43.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 11.4 - - 9.0 - - 7.9 - - 8.3 - - 7.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.1 - - 53.0 - - 57.4 - - 55.2 - - 45.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 10.7 - - 8.3 - - 7.2 - - 7.8 - - 7.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 6 - - 363 - - 415 - - 83 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 4427 - - 6162 - - 4986 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96447 4 249 18 289 10 247 20 264 20 291 96447 89280 4 014 10 266 14 270 15 244 22 290 89280 83785 12 331 5 275 20 288 16 290 16 295 83785 79219 13 295 11 286 13 269 24 292 20 295 79219 75289 16 317 21 295 10 276 16 264 16 269 75289 71786 24 281 24 276 26 285 21 282 19 320 71786 68574 27 263 30 258 37 279 35 283 33 311 68574 65633 33 265 29 253 40 276 38 284 36 295 65633 62932 38 270 30 266 40 270 36 280 33 282 62932 60314 41 279 40 277 38 274 37 287 31 281 60314 57556 45 282 45 281 42 276 44 290 42 298 57556 54691 51 284 51 294 46 283 48 290 51 300 54691 51970 57 282 56 292 52 293 52 297 52 297 51970 49522 56 275 57 283 59 291 58 298 53 294 49522 47324 47 276 53 279 60 284 61 292 54 290 47324 45337 41 274 51 282 58 287 60 291 58 294 45337 43542 39 288 50 293 61 296 62 297 65 300 43542 41909 47 308 59 303 66 299 66 300 69 301 41909 40395 61 317 68 304 70 300 70 299 70 302 40395 38974 69 319 72 301 72 300 72 298 71 303 38974 37640 71 320 72 299 75 301 73 297 71 305 37640 36365 71 320 73 298 77 300 72 297 70 305 36365 35091 71 320 73 300 78 301 71 299 66 305 35091 33788 71 319 74 303 79 302 70 301 63 310 33788 32463 69 318 76 306 77 303 67 303 60 316 32463 31101 65 315 74 309 71 304 63 304 58 319 31101 29696 61 312 68 311 65 306 59 306 56 319 29696 28250 58 310 59 312 61 307 55 309 53 318 28250 26768 55 310 52 313 58 309 52 313 51 319 26768 25253 52 311 48 314 55 311 50 318 48 322 25253 23710 49 311 46 317 52 314 50 323 43 324 23710 22134 46 311 44 320 48 317 48 326 38 324 22134 20517 43 310 41 322 45 320 44 326 34 322 20517 18891 42 308 38 322 43 322 40 325 33 323 18891 17335 42 306 37 321 41 324 37 325 32 324 17335 15922 42 305 36 320 37 327 34 329 31 326 15922 14662 43 304 34 321 31 332 29 335 28 328 14662 13531 44 306 31 325 24*336 23 342 25 330 13531 12510 44 310 28 332 20*335 18*342 22 334 12510 11587 43 316 23*337 19 333 17*338 19 339 11587 10752 42 323 19*338 19 331 17 334 17 343 10752 10001 42 334 18 337 20 328 17 331 17 348 10001 9323 42 344 17 336 20 326 17 327 18 351 9323 8704 38 349 17 336 20 324 18 324 18 351 8704 8145 31 352 16 335 20 322 17 323 18 346 8145 7671 23 352 15 334 20 321 17 322 17 334 7671 7302 16 349 14 333 19 320 17 321 17 321 7302 7045 9 340 14 333 19 319 16 320 16 305 7045 6888 6*323 13 332 18 319 15 319 13*300 6888 6798 4*285 12 332 15 318 13 319 7*296 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography