DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/24 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.5 - - 92.3 - - 91.2 - - 83.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 410 - - 423 - - 141 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8583 - - 12420 - - 11141 - - 116 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13182 - - 16349 - - 14523 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15268 - - 19105 - - 17826 - - 6801 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2285 - - 1689 - - 3402 - - 8887 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 649 - - 743 - - 499 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 29 - - 32 - - 12 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 334 - - 309 - - 288 - - 325 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 8 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -13 - - -8 - - 5 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1765 - - 2440 - - 1386 - - -7744 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13504 - - 16666 - - 16441 - - 14546 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -823 - - 615 - - -357 - - -10652 ODpotential blCL - - - 16091 - - 18490 - - 18183 - - 17453 blCL maxRH - - - 64 - - 68 - - 92 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 660 - - 230 - - 230 - - 170 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.5 - - 92.3 - - 91.2 - - 83.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.4 - - 42.3 - - 42.3 - - 43.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.9 - - 89.7 - - 90.1 - - 85.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.8 - - 41.7 - - 41.7 - - 42.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 410 - - 423 - - 141 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8583 - - 12420 - - 11141 - - 116 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 67 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99339 40 106 41 099 38 095 34 089 99339 91827 40 107 36 101 30 088 41 085 91827 86050 36 107 34 107 27 090 38 080 86050 81278 30 096 32 103 30 090 31 090 81278 77181 24 084 31 098 27 102 25 096 77181 73573 22 094 25 093 25 099 21 098 73573 70312 20 100 16 101 18 087 22 100 70312 67319 18 103 10 114 10 097 19 076 67319 64560 14 114 10 127 9 119 11 110 64560 61907 6 106 13 138 9 146 10 111 61907 59177 4 179 12 173 7 149 4 143 59177 56396 3 285 11 171 6 196 6 240 56396 53771 14 294 6 257 5 221 9 262 53771 51416 21 285 18 279 14 279 17 301 51416 49294 27 289 23 279 19 286 18 298 49294 47348 32 297 30 294 23 300 19 298 47348 45541 34 300 29 303 19 306 19 297 45541 43852 35 303 26 312 15 317 15 302 43852 42265 21 293 21 317 17 334 10 322 42265 40766 15 271 11 312 11 330 8 343 40766 39353 13 263 9 302 7 296 3 263 39353 37999 14 274 8 277 8 288 6 255 37999 36642 15 273 8 261 10 285 7 270 36642 35256 14 265 10 257 13 280 11 274 35256 33845 10 255 11 254 13 277 12 275 33845 32398 7 274 8 251 12 273 10 272 32398 30908 8 288 5 252 7 262 6 253 30908 29381 8 284 5 256 5 242 6 207 29381 27821 8 276 4 277 3 249 6 194 27821 26233 8 281 6 292 4 263 3 185 26233 24620 9 293 8 284 6 278 0 049 24620 22976 8 320 5 282 3 268 2 258 22976 21298 7 346 0 048 7 071 4 111 21298 19614 7 356 7*018 7 066 4 084 19614 17998 10 005 7*002 5*059 4 015 17998 16524 11*007 5 338 3*326 6 352 16524 15201 9*007 5 330 3 311 8 335 15201 14008 6 360 5 322 6 292 9 327 14008 12926 5 351 4 303 7 288 11 324 12926 11944 5 342 4 294 8 286 12 323 11944 11054 4 324 4 288 9 286 12 323 11054 10250 4 312 4 284 10 285 12 325 10250 9522 3 305 4 280 10 285 11 326 9522 8857 3 300 4 279 10 284 11 328 8857 8256 3 294 4 276 10 284 11 329 8256 7744 3 291 4 274 10 284 10 328 7744 7346 3 290 4 273 10 284 9 325 7346 7068 3 288 4 273 10 284 7 320 7068 6899 3 287 4 274 10 284 5*320 6899 6801 3 286 4 273 9 284 3*325 6801 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography