DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/25 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.1 - - 60.9 - - 62.5 - - 55.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 79 - - 50 - - 32 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2125 - - 2578 - - 2294 - - 398 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7436 - - 7194 - - 6783 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8810 - - 9263 - - 8979 - - 7083 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1976 - - 2562 - - 3428 - - 1569 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 247 - - 227 - - 180 - - 30 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 13 - - 21 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 188 - - 174 - - 284 - - 061 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -3 - - 2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2011 - - 2117 - - 519 - - 284 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6799 - - 7147 - - 8461 - - 6799 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 307 - - 227 - - -2038 - - -707 ODpotential blCL - - - 8503 - - 9036 - - 11017 - - 7790 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 101 - - 96 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 800 - - 990 - - 530 - - 780 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.1 - - 60.9 - - 62.5 - - 55.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.7 - - 52.5 - - 48.6 - - 54.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.6 - - 60.4 - - 62.4 - - 56.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.5 - - 51.6 - - 48.3 - - 53.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 79 - - 50 - - 32 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2125 - - 2578 - - 2294 - - 398 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 103 - - 83 - - 77 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - 9 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98393 8 156 12 190 4 186 7 161 98393 90995 13 114 12 128 9 114 10 133 90995 85310 14 121 11 111 10 116 15 083 85310 80583 15 128 15 138 10 164 10 037 80583 76506 7 131 11 123 7 160 4 005 76506 72926 6 135 7 073 6 094 2 096 72926 69706 9 100 5 047 8 062 6 084 69706 66759 7 120 2 344 5 005 5 010 66759 64037 4 128 3 186 3 163 4 305 64037 61396 8 209 10 238 7 266 8 300 61396 58634 12 223 21 225 20 251 19 262 58634 55768 22 234 26 224 25 232 28 242 55768 53021 34 238 32 233 32 238 32 238 53021 50536 40 228 37 237 37 242 35 246 50536 48301 43 229 41 241 41 247 42 248 48301 46271 43 233 45 241 43 249 42 246 46271 44414 42 233 45 240 41 247 37 253 44414 42711 43 234 38 245 34 254 34 257 42711 41136 41 235 35 252 31 261 27 269 41136 39669 36 233 34 264 31 268 28 284 39669 38297 26 235 31 260 29 268 29 287 38297 36988 22 249 25 260 25 262 29 283 36988 35680 22 249 22 276 22 262 29 267 35680 34345 19 258 24 278 23 262 27 252 34345 32986 20 262 26 276 23 259 25 245 32986 31591 22 269 25 277 26 259 26 248 31591 30154 21 267 24 280 29 263 28 250 30154 28675 20 256 22 284 28 269 29 253 28675 27157 21 254 21 285 24 265 24 256 27157 25608 23 253 21 281 19 265 21 254 25608 24030 25 251 19 279 17 267 19 252 24030 22421 27 247 17 260 15 260 16 255 22421 20776 23 247 17 255 13 246 13 258 20776 19125 20 242 17 251 13 251 9 266 19125 17548 19 233 17 244 15 259 9 272 17548 16115 17 229 17 245 15 253 11 283 16115 14835 15 230 17 251 14 258 12 301 14835 13685 14 230 16 255 13 273 12 303 13685 12647 13 231 14 253 12 283 10 287 12647 11706 11 235 11 245 11 281 8 268 11706 10854 10 235 9 237 11 271 6 247 10854 10084 8 227 7 225 10 264 6 218 10084 9389 6*214 5*207 7*260 7 192 9389 8753 6*199 4*184 3*264 7 166 8753 8180 6 192 3 179 2 276 5 123 8180 7695 5 185 3 172 1 290 8 091 7695 7317 5 183 3 168 1 298 10*073 7317 7053 5 182 3 167 1 307 9*065 7053 6892 5 183 3 166 1 306 8 061 6892 6799 4 182 3 166 1 305 5 056 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography