DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/20 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 42.8 - - 43.6 - - 37.2 - - 34.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 110 - - 60 - - 12 - - 25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2178 - - 2257 - - 637 - - 304 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7643 - - 7089 - - 6781 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8863 - - 8942 - - 7322 - - 6989 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1582 - - 2636 - - 1139 - - 1080 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 270 - - 226 - - 87 - - 85 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 7 - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 8 - - 2 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 115 - - 130 - - 165 - - 280 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -10 - - 1 - - -7 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2065 - - 2144 - - 524 - - 192 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6798 - - 6798 - - 6798 - - 6798 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 751 - - 622 - - 146 - - 154 ODpotential blCL - - - 8112 - - 8320 - - 7176 - - 6835 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 98 - - 100 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 170 - - 200 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 42.8 - - 43.6 - - 37.2 - - 34.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.7 - - 37.7 - - 36.1 - - 34.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.1 - - 43.2 - - 37.2 - - 34.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.8 - - 36.8 - - 35.8 - - 34.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 110 - - 60 - - 12 - - 25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2178 - - 2257 - - 637 - - 304 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 94 - - 100 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96375 18 322 17 020 14 324 12 033 96375 89414 5 044 7 025 9 350 14 027 89414 83990 9 090 4 326 8 041 10 011 83990 79424 10 059 2 051 8 068 5 337 79424 75472 8 035 1 035 9 062 3 001 75472 71979 2 089 3 222 5 009 7 020 71979 68825 5 207 2 206 5 245 5 356 68825 65931 12 249 6 317 8 240 9 266 65931 63231 11 255 8 270 9 231 17 230 63231 60594 14 291 10 276 11 268 11 219 60594 57833 24 280 22 273 22 258 14 243 57833 54976 28 266 28 261 30 248 26 243 54976 52263 28 279 24 265 24 244 25 224 52263 49820 37 287 29 289 24 260 28 242 49820 47614 41 283 42 281 39 256 41 243 47614 45594 41 276 48 267 41 250 50 241 45594 43720 37 278 49 262 44 242 56 237 43720 41968 33 284 46 263 42 243 52 235 41968 40328 33 286 40 269 42 245 45 233 40328 38795 30 278 38 277 38 248 41 234 38795 37363 29 264 41 280 37 256 40 239 37363 35999 29 251 44 281 37 261 43 244 35999 34639 29 238 38 283 38 268 44 245 34639 33265 27 228 29 267 42 270 45 251 33265 31887 37 212 29 265 42 272 44 259 31887 30496 63 193 33 224 44 280 37 262 30496 29077 65 184 51 173 36 281 33 264 29077 27634 56 182 44 169 19 204 30 287 27634 26168 43 176 35 168 23 152 17 270 26168 24688 37 170 28 174 17 138 24 156 24688 23192 35 164 23 187 15 124 28 134 23192 21667 34 176 20 191 10 112 23 132 21667 20107 34 199 16 188 6 144 14 111 20107 18537 19 201 13 176 10 149 12 097 18537 17036 17 201 10 146 13 139 10 107 17036 15671 16 203 9 132 12 128 7 110 15671 14452 14 210 6 101 11 119 6 111 14452 13355 11 213 6 058 9 108 5 090 13355 12364 7 200 7 058 8 092 3 054 12364 11466 5 157 9 078 6 066 3 324 11466 10653 9 113 10 097 5 018 8 293 10653 9922 13 109 9 106 6 352 14 290 9922 9261 16*114 9*113 5 353 17 292 9261 8656 16*114 9*119 5 360 17 293 8656 8111 16 115 9 126 3 011 15 292 8111 7649 16 115 8 131 1*071 11 286 7649 7289 15 115 8 134 2*160 9 282 7289 7039 15 115 8 136 2 165 7*279 7039 6886 14 115 7 136 3 166 7*280 6886 6798 11 115 7 137 2 167 6 279 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography