DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/06 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.5 - - 52.5 - - 54.5 - - 44.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 150 - - 393 - - 194 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2063 - - 8476 - - 8782 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7734 - - 13078 - - 12909 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8748 - - 15161 - - 15467 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2916 - - 3348 - - 1202 - - 4619 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 298 - - 639 - - 510 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 27 - - 18 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 320 - - 309 - - 330 - - 356 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 9 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -35 - - -18 - - -7 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1446 - - 2894 - - 151 - - -6128 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7303 - - 12267 - - 15317 - - 12926 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1107 - - -138 - - -5437 - - -13057 ODpotential blCL - - - 9855 - - 15299 - - 20904 - - 19855 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 69 - - 61 - - 31 maxRH CAPE - - - 140 - - 120 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.5 - - 52.5 - - 54.5 - - 44.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.0 - - 22.2 - - 10.7 - - 12.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.7 - - 50.7 - - 53.3 - - 47.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.6 - - 21.5 - - 10.1 - - 11.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 150 - - 393 - - 194 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2063 - - 8476 - - 8782 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 56 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98055 13 217 16 271 13 297 11 305 98055 90595 22 235 16 259 16 273 12 301 90595 84857 10 262 10 255 8 236 13 285 84857 80095 6 267 11 255 11 250 16 259 80095 76009 12 291 10 263 10 241 10 252 76009 72401 19 272 20 258 16 272 13 285 72401 69141 21 256 27 251 25 271 22 280 69141 66151 23 258 29 255 27 260 27 266 66151 63361 28 266 33 259 30 261 31 261 63361 60646 36 267 37 254 37 261 35 267 60646 57815 42 264 37 258 40 262 38 263 57815 54879 44 271 40 263 44 268 40 272 54879 52084 48 270 42 266 47 272 41 272 52084 49576 45 268 43 269 48 267 39 275 49576 47339 45 270 40 270 44 271 37 274 47339 45325 46 272 43 278 47 268 34 278 45325 43485 50 274 39 279 34 280 33 280 43485 41787 50 274 35 288 41 302 24 316 41787 40217 47 277 49 291 44 303 33 347 40217 38762 45 280 48 283 39 328 40 351 38762 37410 40 285 31 291 43 353 41 353 37410 36125 35 288 33 324 50 007 40 358 36125 34844 31 298 42 335 55 013 40 004 34844 33540 32 314 45 339 57 014 40 008 33540 32214 37 323 46 345 57 013 39 009 32214 30854 40 327 49 351 55 013 37 008 30854 29453 40 324 50 355 54 013 34 006 29453 28014 38 317 48 355 53 014 32 004 28014 26540 35 307 46 352 52 014 31 003 26540 25036 29 282 46 350 51 012 31 005 25036 23506 30 274 47 345 51 013 32 006 23506 21945 29 276 46 336 50 014 33 007 21945 20348 32 280 41 327 48 011 33 008 20348 18741 34 286 35 318 43 003 34 009 18741 17205 35 290 30 314 30 350 34 011 17205 15811 36 293 29*310 19*340 32 009 15811 14569 37 297 28*309 18*338 27 003 14569 13458 38 303 28 310 18 336 21 354 13458 12455 36 311 28 310 18 335 17 346 12455 11548 34 317 28 310 18 332 15 342 11548 10726 32 321 28 310 18 330 14 342 10726 9984 29 323 28 310 18 328 14 346 9984 9313 26*324 28 310 18 326 15 350 9313 8698 24*324 28 310 18 324 15 353 8698 8143 22 322 27 309 18 323 14 356 8143 7671 20 319 27 309 17 322 14 359 7671 7302 18 318 26 308 17 321 12 360 7302 7046 17 316 25 308 16 321 10 359 7046 6889 16 316 24 308 15 321 8 358 6889 6798 13 315 19 307 13 320 5*356 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography