DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/23 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.8 - - 87.2 - - 85.9 - - 75.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 466 - - 477 - - 167 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7667 - - 10419 - - 9757 - - 116 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12494 - - 14763 - - 13582 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14352 - - 17104 - - 16442 - - 6801 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2733 - - 2399 - - 3032 - - 6166 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 652 - - 729 - - 506 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 21 - - 21 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 276 - - 281 - - 286 - - 294 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 7 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - -9 - - -9 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5713 - - -2815 - - -3926 - - -11222 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 20066 - - 19920 - - 20369 - - 18023 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9338 - - -5964 - - -7440 - - -15762 ODpotential blCL - - - 23690 - - 23068 - - 23882 - - 22563 blCL maxRH - - - 35 - - 55 - - 48 - - 51 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.8 - - 87.2 - - 85.9 - - 75.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.7 - - 22.4 - - 19.3 - - 20.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.2 - - 84.6 - - 84.8 - - 80.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.2 - - 22.0 - - 18.9 - - 20.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 466 - - 477 - - 167 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7667 - - 10419 - - 9757 - - 116 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99212 34 092 30 103 30 091 38 093 99212 91664 31 101 26 105 25 095 28 092 91664 85861 29 123 30 109 25 104 23 094 85861 81051 26 127 23 099 25 106 21 088 81051 76923 23 111 16 099 17 089 18 087 76923 73296 18 102 14 110 14 085 10 101 73296 70016 17 109 15 120 10 114 13 098 70016 66994 10 080 16 115 9 138 4 089 66994 64209 3 146 11 093 7 117 8 079 64209 61535 11 131 2 043 7 026 12 072 61535 58766 11 057 2 155 2 018 5 006 58766 55916 13 353 4 002 3 297 10 283 55916 53225 20 310 11 303 19 284 26 278 53225 50820 35 294 33 293 34 286 26 282 50820 48656 45 284 46 291 42 289 37 291 48656 46686 56 280 48 284 45 290 49 291 46686 44876 62 276 49 280 48 289 54 290 44876 43193 61 273 53 278 49 286 55 290 43193 41619 57 272 53 277 50 281 53 288 41619 40142 53 273 53 276 53 278 51 284 40142 38760 52 274 55 275 56 278 52 280 38760 37448 51 273 54 272 56 278 53 278 37448 36136 47 273 50 272 51 276 52 275 36136 34795 42 271 46 270 45 275 45 270 34795 33429 38 267 45 267 42 272 40 268 33429 32026 36 265 42 264 40 270 38 269 32026 30579 34 266 39 262 36 266 36 270 30579 29090 33 267 35 264 33 263 33 271 29090 27565 29 267 31 269 30 262 31 273 27565 26010 26 270 28 272 26 264 28 275 26010 24425 24 275 26 270 23 270 26 277 24425 22807 24 278 25 268 23 280 25 282 22807 21148 24 275 24 268 25 288 25 285 21148 19476 24 273 24 276 28 291 26 287 19476 17871 25 272 24*283 27*290 26 286 17871 16410 27 274 22*284 23*286 26 287 16410 15099 26*276 22 283 22 284 24 289 15099 13918 23*277 21 283 22 285 23 292 13918 12849 21 277 21 282 22 285 22 295 12849 11878 20 277 21 282 22 285 21 297 11878 10998 19 277 21 281 21 286 20 299 10998 10204 18 276 21 281 21 286 19 299 10204 9486 18 276 20 280 21 287 19 299 9486 8829 18 276 20 280 20 287 18 299 8829 8236 17 276 20 280 20 288 18 299 8236 7731 17 275 19 279 19 288 16 298 7731 7338 16 275 19 279 19 288 14 298 7338 7064 15 275 18 279 18 289 11 296 7064 6897 15 275 17 279 17 289 8*294 6897 6801 13 275 15 279 14 289 5*294 6801 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography