DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/18 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.6 - - 57.0 - - - - - 46.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 499 - - 503 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4053 - - 6185 - - - - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9606 - - 11319 - - - - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10738 - - 12870 - - - - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1292 - - 2502 - - - - - 1738 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 538 - - 621 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 61 - - 20 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 6 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 139 - - 259 - - - - - 246 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -11 - - -13 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8139 - - -7396 - - - - - -11499 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 18878 - - 20267 - - - - - 18299 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14311 - - -12536 - - - - - -17820 ODpotential blCL - - - 25049 - - 25406 - - - - - 24619 blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 72 - - - - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.6 - - 57.0 - - - - - 46.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - -9.9 - - -9.4 - - - - - -9.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.1 - - 54.4 - - - - - 51.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -10.6 - - -10.2 - - - - - -10.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 499 - - 503 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4053 - - 6185 - - - - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 11 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97192 31 260 54 280 48 298 97192 89910 50 278 50 281 51 290 89910 84345 57 274 44 274 46 278 84345 79698 41 263 34 264 40 267 79698 75638 28 255 30 256 42 264 75638 72043 21 265 30 267 34 268 72043 68815 28 266 34 271 29 273 68815 65854 33 260 36 266 30 280 65854 63101 33 270 33 266 29 290 63101 60438 36 277 29 274 32 297 60438 57669 36 271 31 284 33 293 57669 54789 32 268 35 284 32 293 54789 52020 35 279 37 287 35 294 52020 49513 43 284 42 283 38 291 49513 47258 48 278 44 278 42 292 47258 45211 49 269 44 277 45 289 45211 43342 47 268 45 272 44 282 43342 41632 48 277 46 283 42 286 41632 40068 61 283 52 283 43 288 40068 38637 61 276 52 282 40 295 38637 37314 50 286 54 290 40 304 37314 36055 55 299 57 294 41 307 36055 34795 57 300 56 294 42 305 34795 33505 57 297 56 293 42 304 33505 32193 57 295 56 291 41 301 32193 30846 58 293 57 290 41 296 30846 29459 58 293 56 291 41 294 29459 28033 57 294 54 293 40 293 28033 26573 55 296 52 294 38 293 26573 25083 52 297 48 295 35 292 25083 23565 48 298 44 297 34 289 23565 22015 44 300 39 299 33 287 22015 20425 39 304 32 298 28 285 20425 18825 34 309 26 297 23 280 18825 17293 30 320 21 308 19 277 17293 15900 29 336 14 337 13 271 15900 14655 28 356 12 000 8 256 14655 13534 26 010 9*000 7 228 13534 12520 22 014 5*332 7 222 12520 11599 15*015 4 291 6 220 11599 10766 5*023 5 265 3 220 10766 10015 1 074 6 257 2 235 10015 9336 2 137 6 252 2 253 9336 8714 2 155 7 251 3 256 8714 8153 2 160 7 248 5 253 8153 7677 3 165 8 247 6 250 7677 7306 3 169 8 246 6 248 7306 7048 3 170 8 246 7 247 7048 6890 3 169 8 245 5*246 6890 6799 3 170 7 246 3*246 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography