DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/12 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0950z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 34.9 - - 50.1 - - 55.5 - - 49.4 - - 41.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 137 - - 149 - - -2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1304 - - 2285 - - 114 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 7119 - - 7856 - - 6782 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 6798 - - 7989 - - 8970 - - 6799 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 157 - - 991 - - 1098 - - 2450 - - 239 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 243 - - 300 - - 6 - - 3 W* B/S 1 - - 30 - - 70 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 071 - - 088 - - 159 - - 233 - - 053 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -4 - - -3 - - 1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -411 - - -1892 - - -2383 - - -2222 - - -208 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7209 - - 9881 - - 11353 - - 9021 - - 7007 sfcLCL ODpotential -10335 - - -8448 - - -7854 - - -8071 - - -8008 ODpotential blCL 17133 - - 16437 - - 16824 - - 14870 - - 14807 blCL maxRH 57 - - 51 - - 46 - - 51 - - 78 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 34.9 - - 50.1 - - 55.5 - - 49.4 - - 41.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.5 - - 30.7 - - 29.6 - - 33.6 - - 34.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 37.8 - - 49.1 - - 54.5 - - 52.6 - - 46.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.6 - - 29.6 - - 28.9 - - 33.2 - - 34.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 137 - - 149 - - -2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1304 - - 2285 - - 114 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 12 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96233 50 285 46 296 35 282 36 276 47 279 96233 89129 34 292 35 295 34 295 30 305 26 298 89129 83682 21 300 25 289 29 305 26 319 23 315 83682 79163 14 327 18 309 18 312 24 310 22 328 79163 75236 13 342 16 311 17 320 21 311 20 330 75236 71755 13 349 14 300 18 299 24 310 22 320 71755 68612 15 348 7 295 15 278 22 296 21 310 68612 65729 18 325 12 311 12 276 21 292 20 303 65729 63063 23 310 19 303 17 283 20 287 20 289 63063 60497 28 298 27 301 23 290 28 284 31 283 60497 57841 32 294 32 291 30 282 30 272 32 268 57841 55098 31 297 28 290 28 287 28 277 32 270 55098 52475 41 312 38 311 36 295 32 295 33 287 52475 50098 63 304 56 302 49 298 53 297 46 288 50098 47950 64 298 63 293 62 289 60 286 55 281 47950 45987 54 299 57 297 61 284 57 280 59 275 45987 44178 51 305 53 308 55 294 56 289 60 276 44178 42503 49 309 52 317 57 306 58 297 60 286 42503 40942 45 315 47 316 54 313 54 300 57 289 40942 39475 41 325 39 307 49 315 45 307 47 291 39475 38098 41 339 35 314 44 308 35 308 35 289 38098 36783 40 350 33 336 34 307 34 298 32 284 36783 35464 35 340 31 340 29 316 31 299 32 289 35464 34114 27 325 28 329 26 326 29 304 27 296 34114 32742 15 334 21 321 25 329 24 312 23 298 32742 31337 12 024 12 328 17 324 17 330 13 299 31337 29893 10 042 7 008 8 318 13 316 6 306 29893 28412 9 033 7 029 3 004 5 270 6 240 28412 26900 15 017 11 033 6 051 6 107 11 166 26900 25363 18 022 16 043 12 067 11 102 12 140 25363 23806 19 054 16 065 13 087 13 136 14 156 23806 22220 19 064 14 098 9 146 10 183 13 188 22220 20598 16 057 9 100 8 176 8 231 6 222 20598 18967 10 037 5 085 4 196 6 250 4 253 18967 17406 8 015 4 047 0 333 2 198 2 213 17406 15986 9 021 4 042 3 051 4 117 6 155 15986 14717 8 034 4 054 6 064 7 119 9 156 14717 13578 6 044 3 062 6 070 8 122 10 161 13578 12548 3 035 1 064 6 070 8 121 9 154 12548 11618 2 344 1 337 5 066 8 118 9 144 11618 10777 4 309 3 332 6 061 8 117 8 142 10777 10021 6 297 4 324 5 053 6 119 5 145 10021 9339 6 289 5 315 2*058 2 104 3 139 9339 8716 5 282 4 311 1*110 1 355 3 108 8716 8155 3 279 2*321 1 148 1 270 3 089 8155 7678 1 246 1*078 1 161 2 245 3 085 7678 7306 2 117 1 085 1 168 2 239 2 078 7306 7047 4 102 2 092 1 173 3 237 2 066 7047 6889 4*086 2 093 1 178 3*233 2*059 6889 6799 3*071 1 095 1 176 3*233 3*053 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography