DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/03 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 90.1 - - 92.8 - - 90.3 - - 79.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 346 - - 445 - - 145 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 12899 - - 14052 - - 11805 - - 116 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 16621 - - 17736 - - 15073 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 19584 - - 20737 - - 18490 - - 6801 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1871 - - 1532 - - 3045 - - 436 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 705 - - 789 - - 514 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 19 - - 16 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 277 - - 282 - - 294 - - 277 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 7 - - -13 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1471 - - 664 - - -1091 - - -10082 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 18114 - - 20074 - - 19582 - - 16884 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 397 - - -1179 - - -4268 - - -14164 ODpotential blCL - - - 19187 - - 21916 - - 22758 - - 20965 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 60 - - 58 - - 38 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 90.1 - - 92.8 - - 90.3 - - 79.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.5 - - 27.0 - - 27.2 - - 29.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 87.8 - - 90.2 - - 89.4 - - 83.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.0 - - 26.5 - - 26.7 - - 28.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 346 - - 445 - - 145 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 12899 - - 14052 - - 11805 - - 116 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 87 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99216 43 096 35 096 31 088 33 089 99216 91692 42 096 38 090 34 101 30 096 91692 85942 33 095 35 094 35 091 32 098 85942 81204 29 097 28 104 26 091 30 081 81204 77122 29 101 21 122 18 092 23 073 77122 73510 24 100 21 125 13 093 19 081 73510 70234 15 096 18 113 11 114 13 088 70234 67221 11 106 15 091 12 108 11 078 67221 64440 6 124 11 063 11 100 5 101 64440 61768 7 195 2 064 3 071 2 064 61768 59009 9 215 6 264 5 293 3 282 59009 56172 7 238 12 245 17 271 17 292 56172 53495 8 292 11 249 17 258 20 287 53495 51106 10 311 9 302 12 265 20 269 51106 48956 15 305 18 314 12 293 18 285 48956 46985 16 307 23 307 22 309 25 303 46985 45163 17 312 21 302 25 312 28 307 45163 43467 19 318 21 304 28 317 28 311 43467 41879 24 317 22 306 32 318 29 315 41879 40388 27 312 23 304 31 314 32 317 40388 38990 29 309 22 299 28 306 34 314 38990 37653 30 307 23 297 26 292 29 307 37653 36315 30 301 27 296 28 289 27 300 36315 34949 24 291 30 295 28 293 26 298 34949 33559 21 286 28 293 25 295 23 300 33559 32135 22 283 23 286 22 290 20 297 32135 30668 23 278 22 278 21 281 19 289 30668 29161 26 275 22 273 21 278 23 284 29161 27619 28 270 21 274 21 274 24 281 27619 26046 26 263 23 278 19 272 19 281 26046 24450 25 267 23 273 17 279 14 285 24450 22827 22 279 19 274 16 286 10 293 22827 21168 18*277 17*279 14 297 8 305 21168 19500 20*260 19*282 15*303 7 314 19500 17900 19 264 19 282 16*299 9 313 17900 16441 16 275 19 282 16 296 11 308 16441 15132 15 281 19 282 16 296 12 305 15132 13951 15 283 19 282 16 295 13 302 13951 12881 15 283 20 282 16 294 14 299 12881 11908 15 283 20 282 16 294 15 297 11908 11025 15 283 20 282 16 293 16 295 11025 10228 15 282 20 282 16 293 16 294 10228 9506 15 281 20 282 16 292 17 293 9506 8845 14 281 20 282 16 292 17 291 8845 8247 14 280 20 282 15 292 17 290 8247 7739 14 280 19 282 15 292 17 289 7739 7343 13 279 19 282 15 292 16 287 7343 7067 13 279 19 282 14 291 13 284 7067 6898 13 279 18 282 14 292 9*282 6898 6801 11 278 16 282 12 292 6*277 6801 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography