DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/03 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1603z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 63.5 - - 74.4 - - 79.2 - - 78.4 - - 69.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 44 - - 475 - - 472 - - 119 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 537 - - 6891 - - 9494 - - 8916 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit 6783 - - 11867 - - 13990 - - 12624 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top 7222 - - 13576 - - 16179 - - 15601 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2577 - - 1676 - - 1117 - - 2190 - - 6019 Hgt.Variab. W* 128 - - 631 - - 701 - - 434 - - 0 W* B/S 15 - - 10 - - 9 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 11 - - 14 - - 9 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 025 - - 263 - - 250 - - 249 - - 002 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 8 - - 11 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -6 - - -10 - - -11 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1331 - - 548 - - 1650 - - 879 - - -6515 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8553 - - 13029 - - 14530 - - 14723 - - 13316 sfcLCL ODpotential -4660 - - -2197 - - 426 - - -699 - - -10062 ODpotential blCL 11882 - - 15773 - - 15753 - - 16300 - - 16862 blCL maxRH 58 - - 60 - - 80 - - 77 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 0 - - 40 - - 10 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 63.5 - - 74.4 - - 79.2 - - 78.4 - - 69.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.2 - - 40.6 - - 38.6 - - 37.1 - - 35.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.2 - - 71.6 - - 76.4 - - 77.2 - - 74.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.3 - - 40.4 - - 38.5 - - 37.0 - - 35.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 44 - - 475 - - 472 - - 119 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 537 - - 6891 - - 9494 - - 8916 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 22 - - 9 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99008 18 126 17 126 14 136 6 156 7 105 99008 91584 17 108 17 112 18 128 8 124 7 106 91584 85841 13 078 16 101 17 113 8 140 8 097 85841 81039 16 098 8 086 12 099 11 127 8 102 81039 76906 19 105 12 089 12 097 16 098 12 102 76906 73278 12 088 18 116 13 111 14 088 15 108 73278 70001 13 066 15 102 8 093 12 101 16 090 70001 66996 3 108 4 154 8 122 9 088 11 075 66996 64217 3 225 7 250 2 310 0 323 1 218 64217 61544 11 224 20 193 13 228 12 260 13 231 61544 58784 26 262 12 240 11 196 12 235 11 229 58784 55941 42 257 34 252 26 237 30 238 29 246 55941 53245 51 235 48 239 45 238 41 232 43 240 53245 50822 53 242 57 239 56 242 51 241 54 239 50822 48647 64 248 66 243 65 246 66 245 63 238 48647 46672 71 246 68 243 67 246 72 245 68 241 46672 44859 71 244 65 241 64 245 75 246 73 246 44859 43174 67 244 61 240 61 245 75 245 76 247 43174 41595 60 244 55 239 58 245 75 244 76 248 41595 40109 53 244 47 239 52 244 72 244 73 248 40109 38713 44 243 39 238 43 243 62 242 63 247 38713 37383 32 241 36 236 38 242 50 238 53 242 37383 36054 21 239 34 233 36 240 43 240 47 240 36054 34699 16 236 30 227 34 239 40 244 37 240 34699 33321 16 229 26 213 34 240 38 246 31 240 33321 31910 15 217 24 194 35 238 36 246 28 242 31910 30453 14 214 22 186 34 234 34 244 28 245 30453 28958 12 207 19 198 32 232 32 242 28 247 28958 27426 10 205 20 217 32 232 31 242 27 249 27426 25864 12 229 20 229 32 233 29 242 26 250 25864 24275 18 249 21 240 31 234 27 244 27 250 24275 22656 22 257 24 243 30 235 27 244 28 246 22656 20996 25 256 27 244 29 235 29 244 30 246 20996 19329 26 251 31 243 31 234 30 237 31 231 19329 17741 28 246 33 241 30 237 24 233 29 220 17741 16297 29 242 34 241 22*240 18*234 22 215 16297 15004 29 241 30 244 20*242 16*236 17 210 15004 13839 26 244 22*252 17 245 15 238 14 211 13839 12783 23 252 16*257 14 249 12 244 11 217 12783 11824 20 260 13 260 14 250 10 249 9 225 11824 10955 19 268 12 263 13 252 9 253 7 238 10955 10170 18 276 11 263 13 253 8 255 6 251 10170 9460 17 283 11 264 13 253 7 259 6 264 9460 8809 16 292 10 264 12 254 7 260 6 274 8809 8222 13 306 10 265 12 255 7 263 6 283 8222 7722 9 323 10 265 12 255 6 264 6 289 7722 7333 5*340 9 265 12 256 6 265 5 296 7333 7061 2*016 9 266 11 255 6 265 4 309 7061 6896 1 026 9 265 11 256 6 266 2*340 6896 6800 1 035 8 266 10 256 5 267 2*002 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography