DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/04 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 23.6 - - 26.4 - - 26.7 - - 26.5 - - 20.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 5 - - 43 - - 75 - - -1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 283 - - 818 - - 991 - - 112 - - 112 BL Depth Hcrit 6780 - - 6780 - - 6780 - - 6780 - - 6780 Hcrit BL Top 6968 - - 7503 - - 7676 - - 6797 - - 6797 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1320 - - 1274 - - 796 - - 1737 - - 627 Hgt.Variab. W* 49 - - 142 - - 182 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 3 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 7 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 037 - - 224 - - 255 - - 208 - - 178 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -2 - - -5 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 172 - - 706 - - 879 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6797 - - 6797 - - 6797 - - 6797 - - 6797 sfcLCL ODpotential -215 - - 280 - - 538 - - -1926 - - -6267 ODpotential blCL 7183 - - 7223 - - 7138 - - 8723 - - 13064 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 89 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 23.6 - - 26.4 - - 26.7 - - 26.5 - - 20.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 22.5 - - 24.7 - - 25.6 - - 24.1 - - 18.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 23.7 - - 26.1 - - 26.2 - - 27.7 - - 23.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.3 - - 24.1 - - 24.7 - - 23.7 - - 22.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 5 - - 43 - - 75 - - -1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 283 - - 818 - - 991 - - 112 - - 112 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 99 - - 101 - - 57 - - 66 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96415 17 177 4 070 8 117 9 164 9 148 96415 89271 11 107 9 061 10 111 4 077 7 031 89271 83763 22 049 5 080 10 049 9 085 15 022 83763 79224 25 013 9 106 14 017 16 031 8 085 79224 75300 13 003 6 062 8 017 14 009 11 059 75300 71810 12 002 14 013 13 036 9 039 9 041 71810 68647 17 341 15 341 19 005 12 028 12 026 68647 65734 16 005 13 303 19 354 14 029 14 025 65734 63026 25 001 17 325 18 343 13 023 20 007 63026 60403 27 347 19 328 15 341 15 011 19 003 60403 57667 21 334 22 348 16 355 17 004 16 015 57667 54816 23 332 29 350 21 010 23 011 24 020 54816 52081 28 329 32 350 30 011 33 006 33 002 52081 49603 25 335 34 344 33 359 32 356 30 354 49603 47360 26 345 31 332 32 349 27 347 28 356 47360 45307 30 343 29 319 30 340 23 338 32 356 45307 43416 32 336 27 306 30 322 23 326 32 356 43416 41661 33 330 26 297 32 307 25 319 35 356 41661 40024 34 319 26 291 34 302 30 315 36 346 40024 38495 37 304 29 289 36 296 36 307 38 333 38495 37077 40 287 33 288 37 288 41 301 44 324 37077 35746 41 277 37 286 39 283 42 297 44 320 35746 34445 38 275 38 285 38 281 37 298 35 322 34445 33135 34 280 38 285 36 283 29 309 27 344 33135 31809 32 287 37 285 34 287 27 336 32 013 31809 30454 31 292 37 285 34 290 35 355 49 017 30454 29064 29 298 34 285 35 293 38 352 62 016 29064 27643 26 305 31 288 38 292 36 338 66 017 27643 26189 25 317 29 293 39 292 34 329 57 016 26189 24706 25 329 28 299 37 293 31 332 47 007 24706 23197 27 340 28 303 35 293 31 341 42 355 23197 21661 29 349 27 309 33 290 33 339 40 345 21661 20089 27 354 24 315 30 290 32 329 38 334 20089 18509 25 350 21 319 26 293 29 322 37 325 18509 16999 22 340 19 321 23 300 27 321 35 323 16999 15627 20 332 18 319 21 307 26 319 31 322 15627 14402 18 325 19 318 19 313 24 318 27 320 14402 13302 17 324 19 318 18 321 21 321 24 318 13302 12310 17 327 19 322 17 330 18 326 21 320 12310 11414 15 329 18 328 16 334 15 329 19 322 11414 10605 11 329 16 332 14 330 14 328 16 325 10605 9877 8 335 12 330 12 319 15 321 14 326 9877 9222 5 351 7 315 11 303 15 311 10 325 9222 8624 4 025 4 275 10 277 13 301 7 326 8624 8086 6 058 3 236 9*263 9 287 6 325 8086 7632 5 062 3*225 7*255 5 268 6 314 7632 7279 5 061 4*224 7 255 4 250 5 284 7279 7033 4*051 4 224 7 254 3 238 4 223 7033 6883 3*040 4 224 6 253 2*224 2*195 6883 6797 3 036 3 225 5 254 2*208 2*178 6797 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography