DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/20 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.2 - - 69.1 - - 67.5 - - 57.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 544 - - 548 - - 209 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9343 - - 11113 - - 10004 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13935 - - 15406 - - 13927 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 16028 - - 17798 - - 16689 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1914 - - 1853 - - 2399 - - 3009 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 732 - - 779 - - 546 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 9 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 16 - - 15 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 223 - - 235 - - 257 - - 332 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 10 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - -9 - - -17 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 963 - - 508 - - -545 - - -8353 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15065 - - 17291 - - 17235 - - 15153 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -767 - - -1148 - - -2718 - - -12506 ODpotential blCL - - - 16795 - - 18946 - - 19407 - - 19305 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 69 - - 59 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.2 - - 69.1 - - 67.5 - - 57.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.4 - - 16.1 - - 15.0 - - 14.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.3 - - 66.2 - - 66.1 - - 59.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.8 - - 15.4 - - 14.5 - - 14.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 544 - - 548 - - 209 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9343 - - 11113 - - 10004 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 13 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98152 8 131 12 098 11 087 13 097 98152 90748 11 111 11 066 7 069 12 061 90748 85060 7 125 4 045 3 040 8 014 85060 80333 9 106 5 209 3 042 6 027 80333 76246 5 069 2 234 7 313 7 353 76246 72625 4 039 5 156 3 266 1 047 72625 69344 4 276 3 258 4 336 2 014 69344 66326 4 246 4 264 3 143 4 192 66326 63516 10 220 13 253 16 260 12 294 63516 60784 20 211 24 230 25 244 25 255 60784 57931 18 221 22 214 23 231 28 239 57931 54966 23 250 20 247 22 247 26 248 54966 52141 34 250 35 254 33 258 31 256 52141 49611 40 238 41 243 39 252 34 257 49611 47358 35 229 37 237 39 246 37 251 47358 45333 31 244 35 240 35 247 34 255 45333 43492 40 257 39 256 39 254 37 257 43492 41806 57 251 51 256 45 257 44 262 41806 40258 62 242 61 253 50 261 47 263 40258 38835 63 241 66 252 51 261 46 262 38835 37511 71 244 68 249 48 258 40 258 37511 36244 72 241 66 246 41 261 31 271 36244 34976 67 239 61 246 38 265 32 285 34976 33681 63 240 57 248 36 274 34 286 33681 32362 62 242 55 249 36 283 32 282 32362 31009 59 244 53 247 35 287 29 277 31009 29613 53 248 51 247 32 289 28 273 29613 28180 50 248 50 248 27 281 26 273 28180 26712 48 245 48 250 31 268 25 274 26712 25212 47 244 44 250 35 264 23 274 25212 23684 47 242 42 250 34 261 21 262 23684 22125 45 237 41 250 34 258 25 256 22125 20530 43 236 39 248 33 253 26 257 20530 18926 39 237 34*241 29 239 28 242 18926 17393 32*238 21*232 22*234 27 233 17393 15998 23*233 18 229 18*238 24 231 15998 14747 17 222 17 229 17 239 22 234 14747 13618 17 221 17 230 16 245 20 241 13618 12595 16 220 16 232 16 248 17 250 12595 11666 16 220 16 235 15 258 14 263 11666 10824 15 221 15 238 14 265 12 282 10824 10064 15 221 15 240 14 269 12 304 10064 9376 15 222 15 242 14 271 12 319 9376 8746 15 223 15 244 14 273 14 325 8746 8177 14 224 14 246 14 275 15 327 8177 7693 14 225 14 246 14 275 16 328 7693 7316 14 225 14 248 14 276 15 327 7316 7053 13 226 13 248 13 277 14 328 7053 6892 13 226 13 248 13 277 11*328 6892 6799 11 226 12 248 11 277 6*332 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography