DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/10 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.6 - - 55.6 - - 60.3 - - 56.7 - - 46.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 2 - - 334 - - 395 - - 73 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 3795 - - 7303 - - 4942 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 9280 - - 12128 - - 9265 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 6798 - - 10480 - - 13988 - - 11627 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 88 - - 2796 - - 3018 - - 3327 - - 295 Hgt.Variab. W* 26 - - 462 - - 608 - - 305 - - 4 W* B/S 1 - - 7 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 12 - - 19 - - 23 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 028 - - 293 - - 293 - - 296 - - 280 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 4 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -10 - - -15 - - -17 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4059 - - -2753 - - -202 - - -1844 - - -4234 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10858 - - 13234 - - 14191 - - 13472 - - 11033 sfcLCL ODpotential -10107 - - -5567 - - -2097 - - -4599 - - -8949 ODpotential blCL 16905 - - 16047 - - 16085 - - 16226 - - 15747 blCL maxRH 70 - - 58 - - 58 - - 49 - - 62 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.6 - - 55.6 - - 60.3 - - 56.7 - - 46.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 16.3 - - 21.1 - - 21.4 - - 21.2 - - 21.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.9 - - 53.6 - - 58.2 - - 56.4 - - 49.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 15.9 - - 20.7 - - 21.0 - - 21.0 - - 21.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 2 - - 334 - - 395 - - 73 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 3795 - - 7303 - - 4942 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96545 18 219 27 267 14 299 12 260 9 269 96545 89299 12 288 16 264 16 273 16 293 16 315 89299 83777 12 295 9 267 19 232 26 274 14 329 83777 79189 19 286 17 287 20 258 28 265 18 324 79189 75206 28 283 23 268 26 274 27 252 29 293 75206 71692 32 276 28 264 30 277 27 268 32 273 71692 68528 31 263 31 266 36 269 34 277 32 258 68528 65622 32 244 29 261 39 260 35 265 37 256 65622 62923 32 237 29 249 40 253 38 254 39 249 62923 60289 35 242 33 243 43 250 43 257 36 257 60289 57520 40 249 42 247 45 250 46 256 43 269 57520 54639 42 256 46 247 43 251 46 260 47 266 54639 51878 40 255 45 251 41 256 47 256 47 262 51878 49380 34 251 40 255 46 260 51 264 44 264 49380 47139 35 244 37 258 49 256 52 262 40 272 47139 45118 38 238 36 252 44 248 46 265 42 282 45118 43293 35 239 36 238 36 254 39 276 41 281 43293 41630 34 238 28 237 33 266 28 302 35 303 41630 40095 30 233 21 276 25 312 41 337 51 326 40095 38669 20 238 23 322 46 343 53 336 63 328 38669 37339 7 282 35 348 54 346 53 333 68 327 37339 36068 22 004 44 352 54 351 46 329 70 326 36068 34795 30 002 44 350 56 351 43 328 71 327 34795 33493 25 004 40 349 56 346 47 328 70 329 33493 32169 18 347 34 354 54 343 53 330 65 330 32169 30812 9 285 32 354 53 342 57 335 60 332 30812 29415 8 240 31 352 48 341 56 339 58 332 29415 27980 8 198 24 347 39 338 50 341 56 333 27980 26511 6 209 16 326 30 335 42 336 53 335 26511 25015 10 279 13 286 22 335 36 328 48 337 25015 23496 9 272 15 275 19 336 33 323 42 330 23496 21948 8 248 13 277 14 316 32 320 41 318 21948 20364 10 257 9 247 11 271 31 316 42 311 20364 18770 8 249 7 243 12 276 29 313 40 308 18770 17247 11 235 8 269 15 293 25 310 35 307 17247 15865 15 218 10 276 18 298 23 306 31 310 15865 14629 14 233 11 278 18*299 22 307 28 309 14629 13516 12 265 12 287 18*298 22 306 26 306 13516 12509 13 296 14 303 18 297 22*303 26 304 12509 11594 16 314 17 310 19 295 23*300 27 301 11594 10765 16 326 17*311 19 294 23 298 29 298 10765 10016 14 333 16*308 20 293 23 297 30 295 10016 9338 10 330 15 303 20 292 23 296 30 293 9338 8717 9 320 14 298 20 292 23 295 29 292 8717 8156 10 311 12 286 20 291 23 294 28 292 8156 7679 9 306 11 283 20 290 23 293 24 290 7679 7307 4 310 11 281 19 290 22 293 21 289 7307 7048 3 023 10 280 19 289 21 292 15 285 7048 6889 5*032 10 279 18 289 19 292 12 283 6889 6798 3*028 9 279 15 289 15 292 6*280 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography