DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/17 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.6 - - 88.4 - - 87.5 - - 75.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 461 - - 459 - - 151 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8885 - - 11758 - - 12765 - - 116 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13489 - - 15854 - - 15880 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15570 - - 18443 - - 19450 - - 6801 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2409 - - 1872 - - 1197 - - 382 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 685 - - 752 - - 537 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 21 - - 22 - - 22 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 311 - - 308 - - 304 - - 285 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 7 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -15 - - -19 - - 38 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4192 - - -1669 - - -466 - - -10245 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 19763 - - 20113 - - 19917 - - 17047 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8167 - - -5113 - - -3874 - - -14646 ODpotential blCL - - - 23737 - - 23556 - - 23324 - - 21447 blCL maxRH - - - 46 - - 47 - - 64 - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.6 - - 88.4 - - 87.5 - - 75.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.4 - - 22.4 - - 22.6 - - 25.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.1 - - 86.0 - - 86.5 - - 79.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.9 - - 22.0 - - 22.1 - - 24.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 461 - - 459 - - 151 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8885 - - 11758 - - 12765 - - 116 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98674 39 108 36 109 28 103 29 099 98674 91185 26 114 24 110 23 099 25 094 91185 85455 23 115 20 112 17 111 19 092 85455 80713 19 105 22 105 20 110 16 109 80713 76627 18 110 17 097 19 091 20 103 76627 73024 18 095 12 092 14 084 20 087 73024 69775 15 080 11 098 7 086 15 077 69775 66794 7 060 12 090 6 141 5 089 66794 64038 3 130 1 029 3 334 2 290 64038 61383 4 204 4 274 9 298 10 302 61383 58632 4 255 10 287 14 278 17 292 58632 55800 12 303 16 277 17 281 23 275 55800 53108 18 295 17 279 20 285 23 274 53108 50681 18 279 15 287 20 282 20 285 50681 48492 10 273 10 265 16 293 15 278 48492 46492 5 252 5 223 13 274 9 268 46492 44655 7 163 3 104 9 231 7 256 44655 42959 16 130 6 101 7 192 6 238 42959 41386 16 118 6 121 6 153 3 277 41386 39917 12 087 4 143 5 133 4 271 39917 38543 7 078 4 196 2 149 8 318 38543 37233 3 085 5 231 5 315 9 329 37233 35923 1 225 6 243 7 300 9 340 35923 34584 5 348 6 269 7 295 8 324 34584 33220 7 325 8 286 8 292 6 271 33220 31821 7 274 8 265 9 280 7 263 31821 30380 7 246 11 254 12 284 8 288 30380 28901 9 232 11 258 11 294 9 295 28901 27385 10 236 12 261 10 306 8 303 27385 25838 10 249 11 257 10 308 8 299 25838 24264 9 279 10 284 10 305 8 278 24264 22656 13 296 11 316 8 321 5 323 22656 21012 18 299 15 333 14*344 16 342 21012 19363 20 313 19*332 21*324 24 324 19363 17786 24 321 21*320 22 315 24 319 17786 16345 24*323 21 316 23 313 24 319 16345 15052 22*320 22 313 23 310 24 320 15052 13885 22 318 22 310 23 306 24 319 13885 12826 21 316 23 308 23 303 23 318 12826 11864 21 314 23 306 23 300 23 316 11864 10990 22 311 23 305 23 298 22 313 10990 10200 22 309 23 304 23 296 22 310 10200 9485 22 307 23 303 22 294 22 306 9485 8829 22 306 23 302 22 293 22 303 8829 8236 22 304 22 302 22 292 21 299 8236 7732 21 303 22 301 21 291 20 295 7732 7338 21 303 21 301 21 291 17 292 7338 7065 20 302 21 301 20 291 14 289 7065 6897 19 302 20 301 19 290 11*287 6897 6801 16 302 17 301 16 290 6*285 6801 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography