DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/14 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.8 - - 39.2 - - 42.0 - - 39.1 - - 34.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 9 - - 77 - - 73 - - -19 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 868 - - 1209 - - 2300 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 6781 - - 7475 - - 6781 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top 7553 - - 7894 - - 8985 - - 6798 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1744 - - 1905 - - 2182 - - 2885 - - 438 Hgt.Variab. W* 90 - - 199 - - 245 - - 18 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 14 - - 19 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 247 - - 280 - - 293 - - 272 - - 271 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 6 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 5 - - 3 - - -12 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 755 - - 1096 - - 2187 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6798 - - 6798 - - 6798 - - 6798 - - 6798 sfcLCL ODpotential 308 - - 617 - - 289 - - -1020 - - -2573 ODpotential blCL 7245 - - 7277 - - 8696 - - 7818 - - 9371 blCL maxRH 101 - - 100 - - 90 - - 92 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 30 - - 160 - - 40 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.8 - - 39.2 - - 42.0 - - 39.1 - - 34.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.5 - - 37.4 - - 36.1 - - 37.1 - - 33.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.9 - - 38.8 - - 41.6 - - 40.3 - - 36.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.1 - - 36.5 - - 35.0 - - 36.8 - - 34.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 9 - - 77 - - 73 - - -19 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 868 - - 1209 - - 2300 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 102 - - 59 - - 68 - - 45 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96328 37 268 46 274 47 268 40 262 54 269 96328 89190 19 303 26 271 32 278 29 280 23 293 89190 83728 17 316 19 290 23 278 25 285 23 319 83728 79189 15 308 19 305 12 297 21 286 20 304 79189 75267 20 301 19 308 11 323 16 304 15 297 75267 71787 22 298 19 299 18 300 18 325 13 311 71787 68628 22 304 18 296 20 296 20 313 20 322 68628 65724 24 307 21 313 20 307 20 317 23 321 65724 63027 24 306 27 319 25 308 24 322 25 317 63027 60390 28 305 30 316 27 307 26 307 28 310 60390 57621 31 294 30 306 30 305 29 314 33 309 57621 54750 40 287 33 294 41 301 35 312 35 316 54750 52012 35 286 37 296 45 299 40 317 46 327 52012 49546 37 294 43 297 49 305 51 319 58 327 49546 47334 44 294 46 296 54 309 58 319 67 325 47334 45324 48 291 46 298 60 309 64 318 73 324 45324 43481 47 289 45 301 61 307 69 320 77 324 43481 41783 42 288 48 303 62 307 75 321 86 326 41783 40200 38 285 50 299 63 309 80 320 92 325 40200 38717 35 281 50 296 63 310 81 318 92 322 38717 37330 33 275 47 293 63 310 78 318 90 323 37330 36008 31 267 42 289 60 308 74 320 91 325 36008 34692 28 259 38 291 54 306 70 321 94 327 34692 33354 19 241 32 288 51 304 67 320 93 328 33354 31997 13 213 24 268 44 302 58 317 92 331 31997 30612 17 187 20 233 30 306 50 318 91 334 30612 29192 20 178 22 203 26 310 38 317 87 333 29192 27744 19 184 28 172 23 292 15 314 75 329 27744 26274 15 210 26 175 22 259 5 137 54 324 26274 24785 14 228 21 185 18 235 8 131 32 325 24785 23276 16 232 20 193 13 243 4 239 22 318 23276 21739 17 231 16 191 15 252 6 245 14 313 21739 20172 17 232 12 185 19 256 7 260 4 340 20172 18599 16 239 13 207 18 265 9 280 2 032 18599 17093 16 245 17 235 16 281 11 307 4 008 17093 15722 17 246 20 248 16 292 15 315 9 339 15722 14498 18 248 21 258 18 295 17 311 12 336 14498 13397 19 249 22 263 18 298 19 309 13 337 13397 12403 21 252 23 267 19 300 19 308 13 337 12403 11501 23 255 25 275 21 300 19 308 13 333 11501 10685 25 257 27 281 23 300 19 308 14 325 10685 9948 24 256 27 283 23 299 19 306 16 316 9948 9283 21 253 26 282 22*298 19 303 18 310 9283 8674 17 248 23 282 22*296 19 299 19 308 8674 8124 15 248 20*281 21 294 19 294 21 306 8124 7658 14*248 17*280 20 292 18 288 21 304 7658 7294 12*248 15 280 19 291 17 282 20 299 7294 7042 11 247 14 279 18 291 14 277 15 290 7042 6887 10 246 13 279 17 291 12*275 10*280 6887 6798 8 247 10 280 13 290 8*272 5*271 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography