DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/26 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.9 - - 56.0 - - 59.7 - - 57.3 - - 45.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 307 - - 360 - - 35 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 5325 - - 6289 - - 4434 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 10439 - - 11269 - - 7822 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top 6798 - - 12010 - - 12974 - - 11119 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 88 - - 1828 - - 1563 - - 2340 - - 131 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 502 - - 559 - - 232 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 21 - - 24 - - 26 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 262 - - 319 - - 314 - - 311 - - 285 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 14 - - 12 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -18 - - -17 - - -16 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1423 - - 353 - - -1197 - - -3717 - - -5678 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8221 - - 11658 - - 14172 - - 14837 - - 12476 sfcLCL ODpotential -8525 - - -1837 - - -5815 - - -9301 - - -13425 ODpotential blCL 15323 - - 13847 - - 18789 - - 20420 - - 20223 blCL maxRH 55 - - 72 - - 58 - - 52 - - 66 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.9 - - 56.0 - - 59.7 - - 57.3 - - 45.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.0 - - 28.5 - - 21.2 - - 16.1 - - 15.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.3 - - 54.4 - - 58.0 - - 57.3 - - 48.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.8 - - 28.1 - - 20.8 - - 15.8 - - 15.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 307 - - 360 - - 35 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 5325 - - 6289 - - 4434 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96619 13 101 9 101 11 108 9 092 13 043 96619 89411 13 079 7 104 7 162 8 044 11 046 89411 83841 14 077 8 158 6 160 5 025 12 069 83841 79194 5 029 12 125 10 162 4 267 5 327 79194 75177 6 343 2 112 10 177 5 274 8 301 75177 71647 11 311 3 311 6 181 14 289 14 290 71647 68502 21 316 13 320 8 117 2 263 17 324 68502 65628 36 326 43 336 30 358 15 014 25 323 65628 62971 37 336 51 327 48 328 28 312 34 305 62971 60410 32 323 50 317 52 312 49 302 41 307 60410 57717 44 309 55 315 55 308 58 308 53 305 57717 54900 59 306 59 310 66 304 68 310 70 307 54900 52220 66 302 66 298 73 303 77 312 80 310 52220 49812 66 308 71 298 76 309 84 313 84 313 49812 47638 77 315 87 308 84 313 90 311 88 315 47638 45651 92 311 99 309 93 310 94 308 95 314 45651 43833 107 305 106 305 102 306 98 306 101 311 43833 42173 116 300 112 304 107 304 99 304 104 309 42173 40642 118 297 114 305 106 304 98 304 102 310 40642 39210 116 297 111 305 98 305 96 306 97 311 39210 37865 112 297 106 305 90 307 94 309 90 310 37865 36576 109 299 103 304 89 312 92 310 83 311 36576 35283 104 302 101 305 90 315 90 312 79 316 35283 33961 100 305 100 307 90 316 89 314 77 322 33961 32614 99 306 101 308 91 315 86 316 78 324 32614 31235 98 307 101 310 90 315 82 317 77 324 31235 29814 97 307 97 312 86 316 78 319 74 323 29814 28355 96 307 87 312 81 316 74 319 73 323 28355 26860 90 307 76 312 75 314 69 318 70 324 26860 25333 79 306 69 314 71 313 64 316 67 323 25333 23778 68 307 65 316 65 314 60 317 62 321 23778 22193 61 311 62 316 61 316 56 320 57 321 22193 20572 59 314 60 313 59 315 53 323 51 323 20572 18942 56 314 58 308 57 312 53 325 48 325 18942 17382 52 310 56 305 55 310 55 325 47 326 17382 15964 47 307 51 304 52 312 53 325 48 326 15964 14698 43 306 46 305 46 316 49 324 46 324 14698 13562 40 307 40 308 37*319 43 323 44 322 13562 12538 37 308 34*313 28*318 37 322 40 320 12538 11612 34 310 28*317 26 316 31*317 37 319 11612 10775 32 310 24 320 25 316 29*315 33 320 10775 10021 30 311 23 320 25 315 28 313 30 322 10021 9340 28 312 21 319 24 314 27 312 27 324 9340 8717 25 313 20 319 24 313 27 311 24 325 8717 8156 22 315 20 319 23 312 26 310 21 322 8156 7678 17 318 19 318 23 312 25 310 19 316 7678 7306 11 316 18 318 22 311 24 309 17 307 7306 7048 7 296 17 318 21 311 23 309 15 295 7048 6889 5*272 16 317 20 311 20 308 13*289 6889 6798 3*262 14 318 17 310 16 308 6*285 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography