DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/19 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 26.5 - - 31.8 - - - - - 25.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 260 - - 389 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3282 - - 5386 - - - - - 112 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8803 - - 10584 - - - - - 6780 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9967 - - 12071 - - - - - 6797 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1903 - - 1528 - - - - - 2253 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 406 - - 546 - - - - - 10 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 15 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 265 - - 263 - - - - - 084 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - -7 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1330 - - -516 - - - - - -4177 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11298 - - 12588 - - - - - 10975 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4653 - - -2903 - - - - - -8476 ODpotential blCL - - - 14620 - - 14974 - - - - - 15273 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 76 - - - - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 26.5 - - 31.8 - - - - - 25.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 0.9 - - 0.3 - - - - - 1.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 25.0 - - 29.7 - - - - - 27.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -0.0 - - -0.3 - - - - - 1.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 260 - - 389 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3282 - - 5386 - - - - - 112 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 49 - - 6 - - - - - 62 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96603 36 117 30 098 27 090 96603 89464 29 109 28 113 23 086 89464 83919 17 094 15 105 17 092 83919 79281 7 083 7 100 11 065 79281 75264 2 040 2 096 3 057 75264 71704 3 240 8 243 5 033 71704 68468 1 315 8 202 6 326 68468 65477 7 305 9 231 9 294 65477 62683 21 228 22 224 19 242 62683 59964 21 231 17 211 25 206 59964 57121 32 247 23 246 21 247 57121 54181 46 249 38 253 33 256 54181 51375 50 243 46 248 37 253 51375 48829 45 238 48 255 44 255 48829 46535 40 245 57 264 57 264 46535 44460 47 261 72 264 70 266 44460 42565 66 267 80 267 80 267 42565 40811 76 267 88 266 92 263 40811 39179 89 266 93 265 99 259 39179 37662 107 265 98 264 103 259 37662 36262 111 265 102 263 112 261 36262 34949 109 267 105 263 126 263 34949 33653 114 269 106 264 132 261 33653 32342 119 267 104 266 124 259 32342 31021 119 264 103 269 111 258 31021 29681 112 263 106 271 99 259 29681 28316 106 262 111 270 91 262 28316 26929 108 262 114 268 88 264 26929 25518 111 261 112 267 88 264 25518 24080 110 262 102 269 87 264 24080 22620 101 263 83 270 82 265 22620 21140 88 269 62 272 67 269 21140 19636 74 273 56 285 51 275 19636 18129 60 275 51 295 44 274 18129 16686 47 276 44 290 41 265 16686 15375 37 276 40 277 37 251 15375 14204 31 278 37 269 33 239 14204 13153 28 286 31 265 30 236 13153 12202 24 295 20*263 26 238 12202 11338 19 300 16*262 23 240 11338 10554 14*295 16 262 21 237 10554 9845 12*281 15 263 17 232 9845 9203 11 268 15 263 11 224 9203 8615 12 264 15 264 5 197 8615 8084 11 262 14 264 3 128 8084 7632 11 261 14 264 4 098 7632 7280 11 261 14 264 4 087 7280 7034 11 260 13 264 5 084 7034 6884 10 260 12 265 5*084 6884 6797 10 260 11 265 4*084 6797 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography