DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/10 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 28.9 - - 42.3 - - 49.7 - - 44.1 - - 35.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 128 - - 145 - - -4 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 909 - - 1548 - - 114 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 6781 - - 7310 - - 6782 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top 6798 - - 7594 - - 8233 - - 6799 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 162 - - 536 - - 661 - - 1382 - - 148 Hgt.Variab. W* 13 - - 210 - - 259 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 15 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 6 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 101 - - 188 - - 278 - - 209 - - 068 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 1 - - -4 - - 2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -162 - - -1669 - - -1792 - - -1610 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6960 - - 9263 - - 10025 - - 8409 - - 6798 sfcLCL ODpotential -12732 - - -10985 - - -8786 - - -9769 - - -10458 ODpotential blCL 19530 - - 18579 - - 17019 - - 16568 - - 17256 blCL maxRH 60 - - 56 - - 55 - - 56 - - 62 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 28.9 - - 42.3 - - 49.7 - - 44.1 - - 35.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 22.7 - - 25.8 - - 29.7 - - 31.3 - - 30.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 31.8 - - 41.4 - - 48.7 - - 47.6 - - 40.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.3 - - 25.1 - - 29.3 - - 30.9 - - 30.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 128 - - 145 - - -4 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 909 - - 1548 - - 114 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96085 43 324 45 336 40 342 39 338 34 319 96085 89088 29 336 38 346 33 351 31 349 33 358 89088 83602 22 344 24 335 25 340 29 345 28 355 83602 79050 21 349 13 324 19 337 25 333 25 350 79050 75145 15 010 10 333 17 328 22 335 21 009 75145 71683 14 008 13 343 20 324 25 341 30 354 71683 68548 17 010 12 346 15 317 21 323 19 328 68548 65657 21 010 10 334 8 329 9 288 10 273 65657 62936 13 000 12 314 16 335 14 325 12 312 62936 60285 17 334 21 300 20 310 27 318 31 329 60285 57567 29 309 16 296 23 314 34 326 45 333 57567 54794 33 300 32 314 35 316 37 315 43 320 54794 52151 34 326 29 323 30 306 35 300 42 305 52151 49756 52 332 41 328 31 311 32 305 36 302 49756 47602 55 315 50 324 41 325 36 320 33 310 47602 45651 53 297 54 318 50 326 42 325 36 327 45651 43873 50 296 56 317 50 326 46 328 37 329 43873 42245 50 299 56 315 49 328 48 326 35 326 42245 40738 49 303 55 311 52 326 51 323 35 327 40738 39328 48 306 51 309 54 322 49 324 35 328 39328 38000 45 309 46 307 52 320 45 325 32 331 38000 36726 43 311 42 308 49 323 39 323 27 331 36726 35446 42 316 40 315 47 327 35 324 25 331 35446 34135 42 324 36 323 44 327 33 326 25 333 34135 32798 42 332 32 330 39 326 32 325 25 329 32798 31422 39 336 31 336 33 328 29 319 23 317 31422 30001 36 337 32 335 29 325 26 311 25 310 30001 28538 34 335 31 328 28 321 27 312 26 301 28538 27039 33 333 28 320 29 320 26 317 26 300 27039 25508 31 330 27 317 28 321 26 324 25 317 25508 23948 31 329 27 318 27 321 26 328 24 333 23948 22353 31 328 29 322 26 319 26 330 25 336 22353 20716 34 329 30 327 25 320 27 331 28 333 20716 19066 36 330 31 332 25 326 27 332 30 332 19066 17486 39 331 32 335 25 334 26 334 31 332 17486 16049 41 333 33 337 27 340 26 337 31 335 16049 14767 41 337 32 338 28 344 26 340 30 338 14767 13615 39 342 31 341 27 347 26 345 30 341 13615 12577 36 347 29 345 25 350 25 350 30 344 12577 11638 30 350 25 351 21 351 23 355 30 347 11638 10790 23 352 19 355 15 349 20 357 30 351 10790 10027 16 349 13 358 9 337 15 353 28 354 10027 9340 12 338 7 352 7 307 11 334 25 356 9340 8713 10 326 3 319 7*289 10 308 18 355 8713 8149 6 339 2 205 6*281 8 282 10 353 8149 7671 4 044 3*187 6 279 7 254 6 014 7671 7300 6 090 3*188 6 278 7 239 5 035 7300 7044 7 100 3 188 6 277 6 229 5 074 7044 6888 6*101 2 190 6 277 5*218 5*072 6888 6798 4*101 2 190 5 276 3*209 4*068 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography