DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/24 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0703z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 65.9 - - 75.5 - - 77.8 - - 76.5 - - 66.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 161 - - 480 - - 504 - - 182 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1304 - - 14251 - - 14587 - - 13352 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit 7181 - - 17938 - - 18251 - - 16489 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top 7989 - - 20936 - - 21272 - - 20037 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2900 - - 1512 - - 1221 - - 2820 - - 11641 Hgt.Variab. W* 253 - - 808 - - 829 - - 574 - - 3 W* B/S 6 - - 40 - - 31 - - 17 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 126 - - 229 - - 239 - - 233 - - 304 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 6 - - 4 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -13 - - -9 - - -18 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7706 - - 3378 - - 2795 - - 970 - - -9665 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 15696 - - 17559 - - 18478 - - 19068 - - 16466 sfcLCL ODpotential -10082 - - 1718 - - 1453 - - -687 - - -12796 ODpotential blCL 18071 - - 19218 - - 19819 - - 20724 - - 19596 blCL maxRH 66 - - 75 - - 67 - - 48 - - 66 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 100 - - 70 - - 10 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 65.9 - - 75.5 - - 77.8 - - 76.5 - - 66.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 20.9 - - 21.4 - - 19.4 - - 15.6 - - 18.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.7 - - 72.8 - - 74.9 - - 75.1 - - 71.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 20.6 - - 20.9 - - 18.7 - - 15.1 - - 18.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 161 - - 480 - - 504 - - 182 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1304 - - 14251 - - 14587 - - 13352 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98421 14 104 18 098 12 112 17 094 15 097 98421 90979 14 105 13 095 12 122 9 059 17 078 90979 85258 13 107 20 124 6 123 6 072 12 067 85258 80521 11 118 11 149 2 097 10 101 6 089 80521 76442 9 135 14 174 7 139 4 114 2 117 76442 72836 4 136 9 166 3 156 1 113 2 025 72836 69560 3 281 7 183 6 198 10 267 4 343 69560 66531 7 269 7 199 12 176 12 218 9 269 66531 63722 11 256 11 253 8 195 10 199 7 263 63722 60991 14 239 17 258 18 272 15 263 10 282 60991 58146 15 250 19 263 25 271 22 277 14 285 58146 55213 18 272 17 262 20 261 24 281 22 284 55213 52434 20 278 17 265 16 252 26 265 27 271 52434 49958 22 277 21 271 20 256 25 255 27 260 49958 47755 23 275 24 275 19 257 19 248 22 250 47755 45768 22 275 23 276 17 263 17 252 23 244 45768 43963 21 268 22 275 20 256 17 244 26 245 43963 42308 19 263 22 268 20 251 17 238 28 242 42308 40769 20 266 24 267 18 255 16 230 26 235 40769 39327 23 265 25 263 18 258 15 235 23 228 39327 37976 24 264 22 258 17 256 16 236 21 224 37976 36686 23 267 18 260 14 253 16 233 19 224 36686 35397 21 270 15 264 12 250 18 234 20 228 35397 34082 20 270 15 265 13 248 19 234 21 228 34082 32743 19 265 17 259 14 247 19 230 20 223 32743 31371 17 264 16 253 15 247 16 227 20 217 31371 29957 15 266 15 250 16 251 13 229 18 214 29957 28507 16 260 14 251 15 254 13 237 17 217 28507 27024 15 260 13 251 15 252 13 238 18 215 27024 25514 15 278 13 247 14 247 14 231 18 208 25514 23977 15 279 9 258 14 233 13 232 17 210 23977 22404 8 279 9*260 8*224 12 230 17 225 22404 20792 7 281 6*247 4*219 10*217 16 226 20792 19168 9 283 6 245 4 220 8*211 11 199 19168 17612 10 300 7 238 4 223 7 212 9 184 17612 16191 8 311 7 240 4 226 7 214 6 183 16191 14916 5 317 5 245 4 230 7 219 3 191 14916 13766 4 320 3 233 5 236 6 225 2 230 13766 12722 3 310 2 209 5 240 6 235 2 290 12722 11774 1 231 2 200 5 244 6 242 3 305 11774 10914 2 142 2 188 6 246 6 249 5 308 10914 10137 3 123 2 181 6 248 6 254 6 305 10137 9434 4 118 2 176 6 250 6 257 8 301 9434 8790 6 124 2 174 7 251 6 261 10 296 8790 8208 9*129 2 172 7 251 6 263 11 294 8208 7714 9*125 2 167 7 253 6 264 11 291 7714 7328 8 125 2 169 7 252 6 267 11 291 7328 7059 8 126 2 170 7 253 6 266 8 294 7059 6895 7 127 2 169 7 253 6 267 6*299 6895 6800 7 126 2 167 6 252 5 266 4*304 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography