DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/19 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.0 - - 72.4 - - 70.9 - - 61.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 314 - - 382 - - 70 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2757 - - 7473 - - 7254 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8469 - - 12248 - - 10880 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9442 - - 14158 - - 13939 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3712 - - 3657 - - 3982 - - 782 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 408 - - 605 - - 341 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 10 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 11 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 164 - - 251 - - 263 - - 138 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 7 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 7 - - -18 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1035 - - 1645 - - 1178 - - -2617 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8407 - - 12513 - - 12761 - - 9417 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1126 - - -810 - - -1204 - - -6446 ODpotential blCL - - - 10568 - - 14968 - - 15143 - - 13246 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 55 - - 64 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - 1190 - - 440 - - 280 - - 480 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.0 - - 72.4 - - 70.9 - - 61.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.2 - - 40.9 - - 38.4 - - 43.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.1 - - 70.1 - - 70.4 - - 64.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.7 - - 40.5 - - 38.2 - - 43.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 314 - - 382 - - 70 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2757 - - 7473 - - 7254 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 25 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 6 - - 5 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98405 22 084 20 079 17 070 15 073 98405 91088 21 074 17 098 18 060 17 064 91088 85456 17 076 13 091 15 067 17 055 85456 80778 11 094 12 064 14 067 17 062 80778 76727 7 102 13 056 11 048 15 040 76727 73139 5 082 10 042 9 040 11 028 73139 69900 6 103 5 036 9 013 13 014 69900 66923 7 049 4 041 6 328 12 007 66923 64159 8 359 7 335 7 322 9 357 64159 61490 4 330 10 289 11 314 9 355 61490 58727 4 322 8 286 12 293 11 322 58727 55879 8 303 12 280 16 279 17 298 55879 53161 13 290 15 268 21 272 25 289 53161 50711 22 289 22 271 33 278 37 276 50711 48514 28 271 28 272 37 273 38 266 48514 46508 31 264 32 273 35 271 36 265 46508 44652 33 263 34 272 36 276 35 266 44652 42921 34 259 34 269 40 274 36 266 42921 41297 34 250 36 265 43 269 38 262 41297 39773 35 245 37 261 42 263 39 257 39773 38349 39 242 41 254 38 258 37 256 38349 36999 41 239 44 247 35 257 36 259 36999 35664 41 237 41 242 33 258 34 268 35664 34316 38 236 36 243 33 257 33 276 34316 32956 36 240 34 247 33 256 34 279 32956 31565 37 244 33 247 33 257 34 275 31565 30133 37 243 29 252 32 261 34 272 30133 28664 39 239 28 262 31 267 33 273 28664 27160 39 237 25 269 31 270 32 271 27160 25626 36 238 24 270 32 269 29 266 25626 24062 33 237 22 267 30 270 28 268 24062 22466 31 237 25 261 27 267 27 274 22466 20832 30 235 29 252 25 263 27 281 20832 19187 28 236 27 252 24 267 29 282 19187 17616 25 242 23 257 22 272 25 275 17616 16191 23 246 20 259 20 275 22 270 16191 14916 22 245 17*260 19*275 21 268 14916 13764 21 239 15*259 17*274 19 264 13764 12719 20 231 12 256 15 273 18 259 12719 11770 19 229 11 254 12 269 15 252 11770 10909 17 230 11 252 11 266 12 243 10909 10132 13*234 10 250 10 260 10 231 10132 9429 7*228 10 248 9 256 9 219 9429 8786 4 184 10 248 9 253 8 205 8786 8205 5 151 10 246 8 251 8 192 8205 7711 5 147 10 245 8 250 7 180 7711 7326 6 146 10 245 8 249 7 170 7326 7058 6 144 9 244 8 249 7 162 7058 6894 5 143 9 245 7 248 6*151 6894 6800 5 144 8 244 7 248 4*138 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography