DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/14 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 38.8 - - 48.0 - - 50.5 - - 36.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 161 - - 219 - - 3 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1126 - - 2737 - - 2391 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7072 - - 8340 - - 6782 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7811 - - 9422 - - 9076 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 656 - - 1706 - - 2710 - - 501 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 245 - - 363 - - 96 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 23 - - 7 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 9 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 120 - - 248 - - 260 - - 222 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -8 - - 11 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1013 - - 247 - - -3605 - - -454 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6798 - - 9176 - - 12682 - - 7252 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2310 - - -3342 - - -8716 - - -7920 ODpotential blCL - - - 10121 - - 12764 - - 17792 - - 14718 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 66 - - 49 - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 38.8 - - 48.0 - - 50.5 - - 36.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.5 - - 31.4 - - 18.8 - - 28.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 37.8 - - 46.5 - - 50.8 - - 37.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.3 - - 30.3 - - 18.2 - - 28.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 161 - - 219 - - 3 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1126 - - 2737 - - 2391 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 67 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96552 20 091 28 083 19 102 25 073 96552 89442 24 096 24 097 16 110 20 080 89442 83913 18 090 17 092 16 102 5 086 83913 79326 11 079 10 099 14 098 8 093 79326 75356 7 118 4 077 4 028 11 065 75356 71821 4 112 3 266 4 254 12 347 71821 68622 11 275 9 277 6 239 10 300 68622 65685 17 254 18 258 12 265 9 277 65685 62959 21 256 22 258 21 271 21 272 62959 60328 26 277 26 263 29 261 29 259 60328 57598 36 264 38 257 37 259 36 264 57598 54775 31 258 40 263 40 268 41 262 54775 52082 48 274 51 275 53 276 50 267 52082 49640 60 274 57 277 61 278 54 266 49640 47422 60 280 58 280 64 283 56 274 47422 45390 57 289 63 288 68 287 63 283 45390 43525 59 294 70 291 71 286 69 289 43525 41807 64 293 75 292 71 284 73 290 41807 40221 62 294 70 294 69 288 72 291 40221 38759 56 313 62 306 65 293 68 293 38759 37411 60 328 64 317 60 300 64 296 37411 36135 68 333 65 318 57 306 61 297 36135 34861 68 333 59 318 56 305 59 293 34861 33562 62 334 52 321 55 302 54 288 33562 32242 52 331 47 322 53 302 47 287 32242 30890 47 328 44 321 51 306 43 295 30890 29496 47 326 43 319 48 308 43 304 29496 28065 48 327 44 321 46 312 45 308 28065 26597 47 331 46 325 47 318 49 309 26597 25098 45 334 44 329 50 322 52 310 25098 23572 42 337 41 332 51 324 53 310 23572 22013 37 343 38 333 48 328 49 312 22013 20417 32 350 33 338 41 331 40 317 20417 18810 30 355 29 338 34 333 28 324 18810 17270 28 002 26 338 30 335 22 327 17270 15869 24 009 24 344 27 340 21 326 15869 14616 19 009 21 353 23 349 18 332 14616 13491 14 006 19 359 18 001 13 341 13491 12475 10 003 16 356 14 005 8 346 12475 11556 6 000 15 344 10 360 3 331 11556 10725 4 360 13 325 7 329 2 240 10725 9976 3 002 11*302 8 293 3 223 9976 9301 2 359 10*274 11*275 3 258 9301 8684 2 351 9 257 12*267 5 310 8684 8129 1*043 9 245 13 263 12 307 8129 7659 2*113 9 241 13 259 16 291 7659 7295 2 119 9 238 13 257 15 269 7295 7041 2 122 9 236 12 255 13 246 7041 6887 2 125 8 235 11 253 10*236 6887 6798 2 126 8 233 9 251 5*222 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography