DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/25 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.2 - - 87.1 - - 85.9 - - 74.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 452 - - 386 - - 146 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9982 - - 13079 - - 11053 - - 116 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 14368 - - 16826 - - 14461 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 16667 - - 19764 - - 17738 - - 6801 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3315 - - 1492 - - 2963 - - 844 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 702 - - 729 - - 499 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 13 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 10 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 267 - - 271 - - 273 - - 309 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - -8 - - -8 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1028 - - 2963 - - 320 - - -7962 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15639 - - 16802 - - 17418 - - 14764 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -416 - - 1679 - - -1288 - - -11883 ODpotential blCL - - - 17083 - - 18085 - - 19026 - - 18684 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 94 - - 69 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 170 - - 250 - - 80 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.2 - - 87.1 - - 85.9 - - 74.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.9 - - 36.5 - - 32.8 - - 33.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.5 - - 84.6 - - 84.6 - - 78.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.7 - - 36.3 - - 32.6 - - 33.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 452 - - 386 - - 146 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9982 - - 13079 - - 11053 - - 116 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 16 - - 77 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99196 30 123 21 120 23 105 22 072 99196 91743 27 118 19 103 21 097 18 084 91743 85998 24 096 24 114 18 086 20 101 85998 81224 21 080 25 104 13 115 26 076 81224 77093 13 094 20 092 15 119 16 077 77093 73440 12 118 12 093 12 093 12 105 73440 70142 12 125 5 086 11 076 13 084 70142 67127 6 095 7 096 8 076 11 069 67127 64361 5 122 5 074 8 081 6 082 64361 61711 8 126 6 161 3 137 5 092 61711 58954 7 173 6 235 4 285 3 012 58954 56111 11 202 15 232 18 263 18 285 56111 53424 12 253 14 227 19 246 22 265 53424 51013 21 273 17 251 21 256 26 268 51013 48844 31 261 27 253 24 263 29 266 48844 46868 36 257 34 251 28 262 32 266 46868 45051 36 255 37 250 33 256 34 258 45051 43360 35 254 35 249 38 258 38 260 43360 41779 34 255 33 254 41 262 40 270 41779 40296 30 255 32 256 40 265 37 275 40296 38906 27 252 30 250 37 268 33 270 38906 37579 24 250 27 248 33 267 30 269 37579 36251 20 248 24 254 32 264 28 272 36251 34892 18 251 23 258 31 266 28 272 34892 33509 19 250 23 259 25 268 26 274 33509 32090 18 250 24 259 22 270 22 275 32090 30629 17 254 24 260 21 269 20 276 30629 29129 17 261 22 261 19 267 20 276 29129 27595 18 264 21 266 17 269 19 272 27595 26032 22 263 20 271 17 269 15 266 26032 24444 22 263 17 276 15 268 12 260 24444 22824 18 269 13 280 11 268 10 247 22824 21166 16 280 9*288 7 269 10 238 21166 19494 17 285 8*291 4 281 10 238 19494 17890 17*282 8 282 5*283 9 239 17890 16428 16*277 9 276 6*280 7 237 16428 15115 14 274 9 274 6 279 4 236 15115 13932 11 271 10 272 7 278 3 243 13932 12861 9 271 10 271 8 276 2 271 12861 11888 7 267 11 269 9 274 3 295 11888 11006 5 259 11 268 9 272 5 299 11006 10211 5 256 12 266 10 271 6 300 10211 9491 5 254 12 266 10 270 7 301 9491 8832 5 252 12 265 10 270 9 302 8832 8238 4 249 12 265 10 269 10 303 8238 7733 4 248 12 265 10 269 10 303 7733 7339 4 248 12 265 10 268 10 303 7339 7065 4 247 12 265 10 268 9 303 7065 6897 4 247 11 264 10 269 6*304 6897 6801 4 248 10 265 9 268 4*309 6801 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography