DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/16 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.4 - - 85.9 - - - - - 73.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 476 - - 475 - - - - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8982 - - 9937 - - - - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13582 - - 14367 - - - - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15667 - - 16622 - - - - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2180 - - 1890 - - - - - 228 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 694 - - 718 - - - - - 14 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 22 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 310 - - 312 - - - - - 310 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 9 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -20 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4812 - - -3281 - - - - - -10640 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 20480 - - 19904 - - - - - 17441 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10029 - - -7298 - - - - - -16417 ODpotential blCL - - - 25696 - - 23920 - - - - - 23217 blCL maxRH - - - 55 - - 52 - - - - - 49 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.4 - - 85.9 - - - - - 73.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 16.0 - - 21.1 - - - - - 20.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.7 - - 83.4 - - - - - 77.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 15.4 - - 20.7 - - - - - 20.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 476 - - 475 - - - - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8982 - - 9937 - - - - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98610 37 096 29 095 24 080 98610 91112 23 094 25 091 25 088 91112 85358 23 088 22 102 27 078 85358 80600 19 093 16 088 20 080 80600 76520 17 090 18 105 21 069 76520 72929 15 072 20 099 19 054 72929 69704 15 084 17 078 17 072 69704 66751 16 060 13 072 16 079 66751 64018 7 039 9 029 12 063 64018 61386 4 346 16 351 9 022 61386 58649 10 327 16 325 14 320 58649 55818 17 324 15 305 15 314 55818 53127 21 322 19 333 16 308 53127 50702 25 321 18 332 18 308 50702 48520 22 304 15 319 19 314 48520 46540 12 329 17 333 16 326 46540 44728 21 003 18 340 13 360 44728 43056 22 009 15 010 13 015 43056 41500 19 027 18 037 11 016 41500 40041 24 044 20 034 8 009 40041 38668 28 044 18 028 7 360 38668 37354 26 038 13 027 6 003 37354 36036 21 036 11 025 6 016 36036 34690 17 032 12 018 9 000 34690 33319 14 026 11 002 13 004 33319 31911 13 019 10 353 16 011 31911 30460 13 011 13 351 17 012 30460 28968 14 360 17 351 17 014 28968 27439 14 349 20 352 15 012 27439 25880 14 345 20 352 12 359 25880 24296 16 347 20 350 12 351 24296 22680 18 347 20 346 11 343 22680 21025 19 343 20 341 11 335 21025 19360 22 332 21 340 15 337 19360 17768 26 328 21*336 21 334 17768 16321 25*326 21*326 26 327 16321 15027 22*323 21 322 27 320 15027 13860 21 321 21 319 27 317 13860 12803 21 318 22 315 26 317 12803 11843 20 313 23 311 26 319 11843 10971 20 310 23 309 26 322 10971 10184 20 306 23 307 25 325 10184 9471 20 304 23 306 25 327 9471 8819 20 302 24 305 24 328 8819 8229 20 300 23 304 23 327 8229 7727 20 299 23 303 21 325 7727 7336 19 298 23 302 19 322 7336 7063 19 298 22 302 16 317 7063 6896 18 297 21 302 12*312 6896 6800 15 297 18 301 7*310 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography