DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/21 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.3 - - 61.6 - - 62.0 - - 53.9 - - 52.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 11 - - 103 - - 50 - - 3 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 114 - - 2008 - - 1435 - - 210 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit 6782 - - 7440 - - 6783 - - 6783 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 6799 - - 8693 - - 8120 - - 6895 - - 6944 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 330 - - 3057 - - 2373 - - 2282 - - 1505 Hgt.Variab. W* 47 - - 252 - - 187 - - 38 - - 38 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 10 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 11 - - 3 - - 2 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 083 - - 124 - - 055 - - 261 - - 114 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 2 - - -2 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2258 - - -1145 - - 225 - - 96 - - 145 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9058 - - 9838 - - 7896 - - 6799 - - 6799 sfcLCL ODpotential -7922 - - -3583 - - -2575 - - -816 - - 21 ODpotential blCL 14721 - - 12276 - - 10695 - - 7711 - - 6923 blCL maxRH 93 - - 100 - - 87 - - 101 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 70 - - 60 - - 560 - - 150 - - 140 CAPE Temp@2m 51.3 - - 61.6 - - 62.0 - - 53.9 - - 52.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.5 - - 42.1 - - 50.5 - - 52.6 - - 52.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.4 - - 61.1 - - 61.6 - - 54.1 - - 53.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.3 - - 41.8 - - 49.6 - - 52.3 - - 52.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 11 - - 103 - - 50 - - 3 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 114 - - 2008 - - 1435 - - 210 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 73 - - 101 - - 49 - - 102 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 7 - - 9 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97438 12 321 7 278 5 309 9 262 13 278 97438 90192 3 296 10 306 7 356 3 015 0 269 90192 84642 15 326 6 005 5 301 7 009 2 042 84642 80048 6 337 8 316 6 302 9 349 4 032 80048 76087 5 035 5 254 6 290 8 312 8 349 76087 72584 3 008 6 135 6 231 7 305 10 326 72584 69412 1 148 2 156 4 208 7 253 8 292 69412 66492 5 225 5 254 0 097 1 330 5 242 66492 63786 10 213 10 217 12 222 10 265 7 196 63786 61159 9 205 12 233 12 216 12 231 7 207 61159 58435 13 224 19 232 18 235 20 224 19 224 58435 55646 22 222 29 219 30 218 29 218 24 217 55646 52974 32 226 33 226 31 213 31 219 22 222 52974 50542 41 232 45 237 40 235 38 239 35 238 50542 48349 47 232 56 237 52 233 49 240 50 241 48349 46352 47 230 56 233 52 230 59 239 61 241 46352 44520 48 234 54 231 57 234 64 240 64 240 44520 42831 54 240 56 231 64 234 63 240 59 238 42831 41273 59 241 57 232 65 233 63 236 57 231 41273 39827 62 240 61 236 67 239 65 230 55 228 39827 38471 65 239 65 241 73 242 59 223 50 217 38471 37169 69 241 69 242 71 238 54 222 48 213 37169 35860 74 245 74 240 66 238 53 224 47 214 35860 34519 70 249 76 240 58 241 51 226 46 216 34519 33151 57 249 73 243 52 243 49 228 45 217 33151 31746 48 247 66 249 46 246 45 230 44 219 31746 30294 44 244 52 252 39 246 41 233 42 223 30294 28802 41 239 44 253 37 241 42 238 40 226 28802 27271 40 244 41 255 38 241 45 243 38 230 27271 25706 42 248 38 252 40 243 41 245 38 235 25706 24113 37 245 36 249 43 244 33 240 39 241 24113 22487 32 238 38 244 45 243 26 235 38 244 22487 20826 34 228 39 233 45 244 26 235 36 248 20826 19158 30 229 36 224 41 240 26 235 33 250 19158 17564 22 224 35 225 38 233 23 233 31 250 17564 16119 17 210 32 219 35 226 20 232 29 245 16119 14828 17 205 27 200 31 215 19 229 31 243 14828 13671 16 207 25 192 26 202 17 214 30 239 13671 12629 15 205 22 190 22 193 17 196 27 232 12629 11687 12 196 21 186 20 186 16 180 21 225 11687 10836 11 179 20 181 19 175 12 166 12 216 10836 10069 11 160 18 173 16 164 8 149 7 191 10069 9377 12 143 17 163 12 155 6 129 7 165 9377 8744 13 140 15*149 8 141 6 124 7 149 8744 8174 15 137 13*132 5*122 6 126 8 140 8174 7690 16 124 12 125 3*078 6 102 9 127 7690 7313 15 103 11 123 3 053 4 092 10 116 7313 7052 13 085 11 122 3 049 2*078 9*113 7052 6892 10*083 10 121 3 046 1*285 8*114 6892 6799 5*083 9 121 3 043 2 259 6 114 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography