DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/24 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.0 - - 62.2 - - 55.6 - - 55.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 113 - - 172 - - 8 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1940 - - 3221 - - 789 - - 722 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7495 - - 8592 - - 6782 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8625 - - 9906 - - 7474 - - 7407 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1471 - - 1980 - - 1649 - - 2080 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 263 - - 352 - - 88 - - 75 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 13 - - 5 - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 165 - - 119 - - 059 - - 114 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 7 - - -5 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1414 - - 1857 - - 675 - - 608 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7211 - - 8049 - - 6799 - - 6799 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1025 - - 198 - - -870 - - 125 ODpotential blCL - - - 9650 - - 9708 - - 8344 - - 7282 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 97 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 160 - - 350 - - 150 - - 530 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.0 - - 62.2 - - 55.6 - - 55.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.6 - - 50.1 - - 52.3 - - 54.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.1 - - 61.1 - - 55.7 - - 55.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.9 - - 49.6 - - 51.7 - - 53.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 113 - - 172 - - 8 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1940 - - 3221 - - 789 - - 722 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 92 - - 89 - - 97 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98355 10 092 9 114 9 137 1 105 98355 91019 11 113 10 130 9 079 10 101 91019 85342 11 127 7 127 6 078 12 090 85342 80621 9 108 4 100 3 086 7 087 80621 76578 4 117 4 054 2 041 9 052 76578 73020 1 272 3 010 9 350 9 030 73020 69798 2 061 4 108 4 011 10 001 69798 66830 3 123 3 157 3 184 7 322 66830 64076 5 146 7 224 5 189 4 249 64076 61414 5 230 8 244 2 243 3 163 61414 58646 15 214 17 226 15 252 11 244 58646 55790 14 203 17 196 21 220 19 208 55790 53066 19 237 16 215 22 224 14 228 53066 50602 41 229 38 230 37 235 30 235 50602 48391 49 209 46 219 41 228 37 223 48391 46384 43 197 41 211 39 223 38 216 46384 44542 37 194 40 205 39 216 41 214 44542 42838 33 193 42 200 39 207 45 210 42838 41254 32 196 41 194 38 200 44 205 41254 39776 33 195 35 194 34 197 38 202 39776 38396 31 192 29 194 30 196 32 200 38396 37079 29 190 24 186 26 191 29 195 37079 35764 30 182 26 174 22 183 26 191 35764 34420 34 174 29 163 21 183 24 188 34420 33056 33 175 28 159 25 193 23 188 33056 31657 27 183 24 172 27 197 19 190 31657 30215 24 193 23 192 21 193 14 190 30215 28733 25 187 23 199 19 182 12 179 28733 27212 28 192 29 206 18 187 13 175 27212 25659 23 210 27 209 18 199 17 190 25659 24078 14 208 10 216 16 204 20 204 24078 22466 9 193 8 212 8 182 20 203 22466 20817 5 205 6 165 9 165 16 196 20817 19156 10 169 7 154 8 163 16 200 19156 17570 12 172 9 184 10 177 13 196 17570 16130 7 215 6 227 11 181 12 193 16130 14842 3 090 3 269 11 184 13 195 14842 13685 5 079 1 021 10 184 13 191 13685 12640 6 083 1 073 10 180 12 176 12640 11695 8 098 3 117 10 176 11 161 11695 10842 9 108 3 116 10 176 9 151 10842 10074 8 117 4*114 11 177 9 147 10074 9382 7 126 4*117 10 173 10 147 9382 8749 5*154 4 118 7 152 9 146 8749 8178 5*163 5 119 5 121 9 145 8178 7693 5 164 5 118 4*083 8*139 7693 7316 5 166 5 120 3*062 6*124 7316 7053 5 165 5 119 3 060 5 111 7053 6892 5 165 5 119 3 057 4 110 6892 6799 4 166 5 119 3 054 4 108 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography