DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/10 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.4 - - 55.2 - - 52.6 - - 43.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 224 - - 281 - - -1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1811 - - 5034 - - 4049 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7662 - - 10173 - - 6782 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8496 - - 11719 - - 10734 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1405 - - 2719 - - 3335 - - 1362 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 315 - - 478 - - 54 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 8 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 11 - - 11 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 159 - - 240 - - 269 - - 344 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -6 - - 3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5218 - - -2993 - - -4863 - - -6366 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13715 - - 14713 - - 15598 - - 13165 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9416 - - -6575 - - -9392 - - -12074 ODpotential blCL - - - 17912 - - 18294 - - 20126 - - 18873 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 74 - - 87 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.4 - - 55.2 - - 52.6 - - 43.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 13.2 - - 14.3 - - 8.0 - - 9.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.9 - - 53.5 - - 52.9 - - 47.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 12.9 - - 13.9 - - 7.7 - - 9.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 224 - - 281 - - -1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1811 - - 5034 - - 4049 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 47 - - 51 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96678 32 084 26 089 25 080 21 071 96678 89566 24 084 31 090 26 092 27 081 89566 84023 19 112 20 098 25 092 23 085 84023 79391 20 110 12 115 15 092 16 083 79391 75402 17 111 13 149 11 084 13 068 75402 71872 13 114 5 150 3 211 11 036 71872 68675 12 091 6 183 9 215 10 295 68675 65754 17 298 13 313 9 204 16 250 65754 63043 28 262 24 284 15 245 18 245 63043 60401 36 248 34 269 26 261 23 268 60401 57643 40 242 39 253 41 258 46 265 57643 54787 44 243 53 251 49 253 50 251 54787 52039 47 247 54 243 56 258 45 254 52039 49534 56 241 58 254 63 262 50 264 49534 47270 60 240 74 249 72 257 64 267 47270 45221 67 242 73 245 74 256 76 263 45221 43361 69 246 68 243 76 260 83 261 43361 41672 61 249 61 251 81 264 97 257 41672 40134 52 251 63 266 86 263 100 254 40134 38716 56 262 71 276 83 263 92 257 38716 37389 60 269 70 278 75 264 86 258 37389 36116 58 272 66 278 67 267 85 259 36116 34838 55 272 64 278 68 270 81 258 34838 33531 49 266 62 274 67 271 76 256 33531 32200 48 264 59 270 63 267 71 257 32200 30834 50 262 57 272 63 264 68 260 30834 29428 49 260 54 270 63 263 65 263 29428 27984 48 262 50 265 60 264 62 265 27984 26509 46 266 45 261 55 264 58 269 26509 25007 43 264 43 260 50 265 53 273 25007 23481 42 253 43 258 46 266 51 272 23481 21926 40 244 42 247 46 266 49 265 21926 20338 37 243 43 240 45 262 45 257 20338 18743 35 244 40 245 42 254 38 252 18743 17219 33 247 33 252 35 254 32 252 17219 15835 30 247 28 258 31 263 28 259 15835 14599 25 246 25 261 26 274 25 266 14599 13488 19 245 22 260 23 277 21 270 13488 12482 14 242 18*255 18 277 19 270 12482 11569 13 225 14*249 14 275 18 269 11569 10742 14 216 12 242 13*274 16 268 10742 9996 14 213 11 240 12*273 14 268 9996 9321 12 207 11 239 12 271 12 269 9321 8703 10*193 10 238 12 270 9 277 8703 8146 8*171 10 238 12 269 6 298 8146 7672 8 159 10 238 12 268 5 320 7672 7303 8 157 10 239 11 267 5 325 7303 7046 7 155 10 238 11 267 4 323 7046 6889 7 154 9 238 10 266 3*324 6889 6799 6 155 8 238 8 266 2*344 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography