DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/19 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.2 - - 45.4 - - 40.4 - - 29.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 199 - - 225 - - -14 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1370 - - 3291 - - 113 - - 112 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7311 - - 8749 - - 6781 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8055 - - 9976 - - 6798 - - 6797 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 628 - - 2551 - - 2730 - - 221 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 276 - - 385 - - 9 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 17 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 4 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 122 - - 268 - - 243 - - 099 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -5 - - 2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3313 - - -3417 - - -5217 - - -2737 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11368 - - 13394 - - 12016 - - 9534 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8868 - - -7145 - - -9106 - - -8823 ODpotential blCL - - - 16923 - - 17121 - - 15904 - - 15620 blCL maxRH - - - 43 - - 44 - - 46 - - 36 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.2 - - 45.4 - - 40.4 - - 29.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 11.6 - - 10.6 - - 11.9 - - 11.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 36.2 - - 44.0 - - 41.4 - - 34.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 11.6 - - 10.4 - - 11.8 - - 11.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 199 - - 225 - - -14 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1370 - - 3291 - - 113 - - 112 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96190 10 354 17 016 10 064 8 020 96190 89116 4 297 11 355 9 004 9 010 89116 83634 5 031 6 008 5 323 16 358 83634 79079 8 357 14 357 8 031 16 345 79079 75129 5 024 15 333 11 334 9 349 75129 71596 6 032 8 316 21 339 25 353 71596 68391 23 352 20 320 26 320 29 324 68391 65439 24 338 20 328 25 320 29 321 65439 62697 32 334 30 332 30 326 36 327 62697 60049 37 321 38 326 37 325 41 323 60049 57288 41 313 44 314 45 320 41 319 57288 54413 48 310 50 306 50 312 45 319 54413 51664 53 309 54 302 56 309 56 318 51664 49196 59 310 60 302 65 307 65 312 49196 46985 72 305 70 302 75 304 70 307 46985 44974 82 300 78 298 80 300 70 303 44974 43128 90 299 80 296 79 298 69 300 43128 41424 90 299 78 294 76 296 69 301 41424 39850 82 298 73 294 73 296 67 302 39850 38390 74 298 70 297 71 298 62 303 38390 37031 68 298 71 299 69 299 59 306 37031 35739 64 298 71 297 69 298 58 307 35739 34453 61 297 68 294 68 295 58 305 34453 33145 61 298 65 294 67 293 57 305 33145 31821 61 298 65 296 66 293 56 304 31821 30469 62 297 65 296 66 293 55 303 30469 29081 62 296 65 296 67 294 54 302 29081 27660 61 296 66 296 67 296 50 304 27660 26209 59 298 65 297 66 298 45 309 26209 24732 58 300 62 299 63 300 41 315 24732 23231 57 302 58 301 58 302 34 318 23231 21704 53 302 52 301 49 303 28 325 21704 20145 46 301 45 298 39 301 23 334 20145 18578 39 301 40 298 30 304 19 341 18578 17079 34 303 34 304 23 316 14 347 17079 15715 29 308 28 314 17 332 11 358 15715 14494 25 314 22 329 12 352 7 006 14494 13395 21 320 16 345 10 358 3 045 13395 12401 17 327 13 355 9 350 3 088 12401 11499 14 334 11 358 8 332 3 095 11499 10682 12 342 8*353 8 308 2 105 10682 9944 9 349 4*325 9 287 1 096 9944 9277 7 357 4 279 10 273 2 024 9277 8667 4 013 4 268 12 260 3 355 8667 8118 2*089 4 261 13 250 3 326 8118 7652 3*116 5 258 13 247 2 230 7652 7291 3 121 5 254 12 245 5 172 7291 7039 3 124 5 253 12 244 6 134 7039 6886 3 126 5 253 10*243 6 106 6886 6797 3 127 5 252 7*243 6*099 6797 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography