DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/28 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.8 - - 54.9 - - 59.4 - - 58.9 - - 51.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 161 - - 547 - - 546 - - 174 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1550 - - 7015 - - 7545 - - 6430 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit 7357 - - 12027 - - 12460 - - 11007 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 8235 - - 13700 - - 14230 - - 13115 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 5375 - - 1067 - - 1205 - - 2140 - - 4726 Hgt.Variab. W* 268 - - 667 - - 683 - - 443 - - 6 W* B/S 6 - - 9 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 13 - - 17 - - 16 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 273 - - 271 - - 275 - - 278 - - 351 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - -5 - - -7 - - -7 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2742 - - 21 - - -1637 - - -4038 - - -8412 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10977 - - 13680 - - 15867 - - 17154 - - 15212 sfcLCL ODpotential -4344 - - -4025 - - -5342 - - -8118 - - -13261 ODpotential blCL 12579 - - 17725 - - 19572 - - 21233 - - 20060 blCL maxRH 54 - - 60 - - 76 - - 67 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.8 - - 54.9 - - 59.4 - - 58.9 - - 51.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 22.5 - - 18.4 - - 13.1 - - 7.0 - - 8.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.8 - - 52.1 - - 56.6 - - 57.7 - - 54.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.3 - - 17.9 - - 12.4 - - 6.4 - - 8.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 161 - - 547 - - 546 - - 174 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1550 - - 7015 - - 7545 - - 6430 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 5 - - 0 - - 33 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97464 18 276 26 260 29 267 26 274 24 281 97464 90126 14 293 18 273 19 278 17 283 17 301 90126 84497 10 348 12 302 12 295 14 297 20 321 84497 79846 9 345 11 326 5 327 10 333 15 313 79846 75860 9 356 14 319 10 339 14 344 11 341 75860 72331 15 348 9 337 8 319 16 331 12 352 72331 69117 8 337 9 001 4 034 8 288 6 346 69117 66144 6 253 7 282 11 319 11 271 8 248 66144 63379 13 236 18 213 18 258 16 250 14 281 63379 60686 21 265 20 236 21 252 23 268 24 289 60686 57855 38 254 34 257 32 269 33 265 36 273 57855 54919 47 248 47 256 48 263 47 260 52 264 54919 52134 50 252 57 258 57 261 59 266 62 264 52134 49645 58 263 63 263 65 266 74 267 71 268 49645 47419 73 261 73 266 79 268 82 264 82 268 47419 45397 79 258 80 264 90 264 89 263 93 262 45397 43556 83 265 91 266 95 264 96 262 95 260 43556 41880 99 269 104 267 100 265 99 263 101 265 41880 40336 107 267 107 267 110 268 104 269 111 270 40336 38890 106 268 107 269 116 270 111 271 120 270 38890 37531 106 271 111 272 115 271 114 270 123 269 37531 36232 110 274 115 273 112 272 112 268 121 267 36232 34933 114 274 116 273 109 271 108 269 114 266 34933 33609 112 275 115 272 106 269 103 269 107 266 33609 32267 102 274 109 271 103 269 98 269 100 266 32267 30896 94 271 101 268 101 270 94 269 94 266 30896 29488 81 270 96 266 98 269 91 268 88 264 29488 28046 68 271 87 270 90 268 85 266 81 262 28046 26574 65 274 71 273 75 268 78 265 74 260 26574 25076 64 275 59 272 62 272 67 266 65 263 25076 23554 60 275 54 272 55 270 54 268 53 266 23554 22003 55 277 54 274 51 267 45 268 46 264 22003 20415 52 281 54 275 48 266 40 266 41 261 20415 18818 46 285 50 278 45 270 35 266 38 261 18818 17290 40 283 42 280 40 275 31 267 35 260 17290 15900 34 283 32 282 33 278 28 263 32 254 15900 14657 29 284 21*283 21*277 26 261 28 246 14657 13538 27 282 14*276 18*277 18*269 25 243 13538 12525 23 282 14 274 17 277 16*275 21 244 12525 11606 19 287 14 273 17 276 16 276 15 247 11606 10774 14 294 14 273 17 276 16 277 9 257 10774 10023 12 296 14 271 18 275 16 278 6 284 10023 9343 12 294 14 270 18 274 16 279 5 316 9343 8721 12*288 13 269 17 274 16 279 6 329 8721 8160 11*280 13 268 17 274 16 279 7 333 8160 7682 10 275 13 267 17 273 15 280 7 332 7682 7309 8 269 13 266 17 273 15 280 7 332 7309 7049 7 267 12 266 16 272 15 280 6 332 7049 6890 7 266 12 265 15 272 14 280 4*337 6890 6799 6 266 11 265 14 272 12 279 3*351 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography