DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/15 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.1 - - 81.3 - - 79.4 - - 69.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 487 - - 489 - - 175 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6785 - - 10508 - - 8734 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11793 - - 14845 - - 12799 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13470 - - 17193 - - 15419 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2491 - - 1807 - - 2393 - - 3478 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 634 - - 735 - - 492 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 12 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 11 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 278 - - 266 - - 278 - - 297 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - 7 - - -14 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -888 - - 1527 - - -482 - - -6644 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14359 - - 15667 - - 15902 - - 13445 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3684 - - 174 - - -3506 - - -10670 ODpotential blCL - - - 17154 - - 17019 - - 18925 - - 17470 blCL maxRH - - - 59 - - 70 - - 53 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 50 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.1 - - 81.3 - - 79.4 - - 69.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.5 - - 35.9 - - 33.1 - - 35.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.3 - - 78.5 - - 78.1 - - 72.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.0 - - 35.4 - - 32.6 - - 34.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 487 - - 489 - - 175 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6785 - - 10508 - - 8734 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99302 41 102 41 095 35 094 37 084 99302 91825 41 101 39 111 32 089 39 084 91825 86065 37 102 32 113 30 096 33 083 86065 81295 26 095 29 101 26 100 26 102 81295 77184 17 100 18 094 20 093 20 094 77184 73546 13 121 13 109 13 088 21 072 73546 70254 13 138 8 148 12 077 16 071 70254 67244 10 134 12 164 7 082 11 076 67244 64473 15 117 12 147 12 128 7 107 64473 61808 6 075 9 115 9 128 5 133 61808 59051 2 259 5 050 5 114 5 207 59051 56213 3 298 4 140 7 180 11 217 56213 53502 23 251 21 253 8 249 9 193 53502 51048 31 226 37 232 31 244 25 247 51048 48859 32 208 36 220 40 222 30 233 48859 46878 31 225 34 236 35 213 22 233 46878 45054 36 240 47 244 36 246 35 258 45054 43367 44 234 51 230 50 241 44 248 43367 41795 48 216 47 225 51 237 47 236 41795 40317 50 212 47 237 49 243 45 233 40317 38927 51 223 50 246 49 249 42 236 38927 37594 50 231 51 246 49 252 41 242 37594 36258 45 231 51 247 49 257 40 249 36258 34892 40 228 49 250 48 260 36 255 34892 33502 39 224 44 247 45 265 34 264 33502 32077 38 223 39 235 35 260 30 262 32077 30608 38 218 40 224 30 237 29 244 30608 29100 41 216 41 226 34 227 33 230 29100 27553 35 222 35 235 35 236 35 235 27553 25976 31 230 28 236 29 243 30 248 25976 24374 29 230 28 233 23 235 21 244 24374 22742 26 226 26 237 18 229 15 224 22742 21077 22 227 20 244 12 231 12 201 21077 19403 17 232 14 243 8 239 10 192 19403 17801 14 241 9*247 6 250 8 211 17801 16343 12 252 9*261 7*272 9 230 16343 15038 12 262 9 263 8*277 9 244 15038 13862 11*275 9 265 9 278 9 255 13862 12797 11*280 10 266 11 278 9 266 12797 11832 11 281 11 267 12 278 10 277 11832 10959 11 280 11 267 13 278 11 285 10959 10171 12 279 12 267 14 278 12 292 10171 9459 12 279 12 266 14 278 14 297 9459 8808 12 278 13 266 14 278 15 299 8808 8221 12 277 13 266 14 279 15 301 8221 7721 12 276 13 266 14 279 15 301 7721 7332 12 275 13 265 14 278 14 300 7332 7061 12 275 12 265 14 278 12 299 7061 6896 11 275 12 266 13 279 9*298 6896 6800 10 275 11 266 12 278 5*297 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography