DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/09 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1556z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.2 - - 72.5 - - 70.2 - - 62.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 297 - - 273 - - 3 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3115 - - 10553 - - 9560 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8720 - - 14547 - - 6783 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9800 - - 17238 - - 16245 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4771 - - 2200 - - 3228 - - 5137 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 416 - - 607 - - 146 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 16 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 9 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 136 - - 230 - - 244 - - 345 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 14 - - -4 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2712 - - 2398 - - 865 - - -6673 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12512 - - 14840 - - 15381 - - 13473 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5209 - - 804 - - -1092 - - -9911 ODpotential blCL - - - 15009 - - 16434 - - 17337 - - 16710 blCL maxRH - - - 52 - - 60 - - 100 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 70 - - 150 - - 10 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.2 - - 72.5 - - 70.2 - - 62.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.8 - - 30.7 - - 26.2 - - 27.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.3 - - 70.6 - - 70.4 - - 66.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.5 - - 30.4 - - 26.0 - - 27.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 297 - - 273 - - 3 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3115 - - 10553 - - 9560 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 99 - - 82 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97740 16 288 9 288 12 281 14 271 97740 90471 5 287 3 304 5 292 6 247 90471 84810 4 075 4 217 5 294 4 011 84810 80100 8 070 2 155 3 267 7 006 80100 76053 2 065 5 347 5 343 6 023 76053 72497 4 331 6 333 9 324 7 002 72497 69306 8 331 7 314 11 306 12 336 69306 66388 8 336 10 319 11 305 15 316 66388 63689 10 325 13 324 10 305 17 293 63689 61077 13 318 15 311 11 307 19 275 61077 58355 16 303 18 287 17 290 20 275 58355 55532 21 293 23 278 26 289 24 286 55532 52839 26 290 24 283 29 285 29 285 52839 50410 30 288 24 289 27 284 31 283 50410 48224 29 287 28 286 27 287 30 285 48224 46229 29 283 32 284 28 290 30 292 46229 44392 29 284 34 282 31 290 30 294 44392 42687 28 289 35 281 34 288 32 288 42687 41096 28 292 33 284 32 285 31 279 41096 39610 30 296 31 293 28 289 27 277 39610 38223 33 299 32 305 30 300 28 285 38223 36903 35 298 36 307 34 305 33 292 36903 35584 33 294 38 305 38 303 35 293 35584 34235 31 290 39 302 38 299 35 293 34235 32861 30 289 39 299 37 296 34 292 32861 31455 27 287 38 296 36 297 34 296 31455 30014 23 279 35 294 36 298 35 302 30014 28540 19 248 29 286 37 299 36 308 28540 27033 22 213 23 262 37 298 35 307 27033 25495 21 212 21 240 33 291 32 295 25495 23933 19 216 21 236 29 278 31 281 23933 22345 17 214 21 229 24 267 27 276 22345 20725 17 213 21 222 23 255 23 266 20725 19102 16 221 18 226 22 249 23 234 19102 17551 14 227 13*231 17*251 26 230 17551 16137 11 232 10*230 13*247 22 236 16137 14868 7 236 8 228 10 241 19 247 14868 13724 7 253 7 229 10 240 16 255 13724 12687 7 246 7 229 10 240 13 258 12687 11745 8 231 7 229 9 241 11 256 11745 10889 7 220 6 229 9 242 9 249 10889 10117 5*195 6 230 9 244 9 240 10117 9418 5*151 6 231 8 246 9 235 9418 8777 5 138 6 232 8 246 10 233 8777 8199 6 135 6 232 8 248 9 234 8199 7707 6 133 6 232 8 249 8 239 7707 7324 6 132 5 234 7 250 6 249 7324 7057 5 132 5 233 7 250 4 260 7057 6894 5 131 5 233 7 251 2 285 6894 6799 5 132 5 234 6 251 2*345 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography