DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/10 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 11.9 - - 22.4 - - 30.3 - - 28.1 - - 19.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 2 - - 89 - - 152 - - 4 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 111 - - 765 - - 1143 - - 394 - - 112 BL Depth Hcrit 6780 - - 6780 - - 7031 - - 6781 - - 6780 Hcrit BL Top 6796 - - 7450 - - 7828 - - 7079 - - 6797 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 160 - - 492 - - 508 - - 677 - - 230 Hgt.Variab. W* 25 - - 175 - - 238 - - 51 - - 14 W* B/S 2 - - 19 - - 14 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 101 - - 198 - - 226 - - 273 - - 068 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -2 - - -3 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -259 - - -1117 - - -1961 - - -1684 - - -855 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7055 - - 8568 - - 9789 - - 8764 - - 7652 sfcLCL ODpotential -10670 - - -10250 - - -9594 - - -9967 - - -12212 ODpotential blCL 17466 - - 17700 - - 17422 - - 17046 - - 19009 blCL maxRH 57 - - 60 - - 50 - - 50 - - 46 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 11.9 - - 22.4 - - 30.3 - - 28.1 - - 19.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 5.9 - - 9.5 - - 12.0 - - 14.3 - - 10.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 16.1 - - 21.9 - - 29.3 - - 29.4 - - 24.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 6.8 - - 8.4 - - 10.9 - - 13.3 - - 10.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 2 - - 89 - - 152 - - 4 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 111 - - 765 - - 1143 - - 394 - - 112 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96008 59 263 62 266 60 259 69 270 56 280 96008 89016 41 275 42 273 41 281 39 277 30 286 89016 83632 30 278 33 269 30 284 23 279 22 289 83632 79110 17 280 24 266 25 282 21 290 20 307 79110 75180 19 281 20 263 21 274 20 284 21 297 75180 71684 18 254 19 246 17 263 11 258 9 273 71684 68490 14 279 18 270 22 299 12 317 14 324 68490 65542 23 289 18 265 27 284 23 301 20 294 65542 62802 20 267 16 236 21 261 22 312 18 285 62802 60134 15 291 24 297 19 297 28 311 21 312 60134 57354 31 306 28 301 24 303 29 305 25 321 57354 54481 31 304 16 309 21 300 25 300 23 326 54481 51746 22 306 18 324 14 307 20 301 23 337 51746 49284 22 313 27 328 18 331 17 324 24 356 49284 47081 22 309 23 328 20 347 19 342 25 359 47081 45088 20 331 24 345 24 356 26 357 27 356 45088 43276 26 348 29 345 29 357 37 004 30 014 43276 41625 27 330 25 343 25 350 35 003 28 022 41625 40103 19 336 28 019 23 020 28 013 16 050 40103 38686 24 042 45 037 38 035 33 036 38 068 38686 37366 55 039 59 035 50 034 39 040 43 062 37366 36112 73 027 64 030 52 032 40 037 37 057 36112 34860 75 021 62 027 49 035 36 032 31 058 34860 33580 69 020 58 026 44 037 29 030 28 062 33580 32274 66 021 56 025 41 038 24 027 23 063 32274 30932 65 024 55 024 38 034 25 019 18 061 30932 29544 65 026 55 022 37 029 26 013 14 064 29544 28115 61 026 55 022 40 023 28 010 13 069 28115 26647 55 027 54 021 42 018 29 011 11 049 26647 25142 49 028 51 021 43 015 29 013 13 025 25142 23605 42 025 47 020 40 012 28 013 15 022 23605 22035 38 022 43 019 35 009 26 009 15 025 22035 20426 38 024 38 021 30 008 25 002 15 016 20426 18806 35 026 33 025 25 010 23 357 15 009 18806 17254 29 024 27 031 22 013 18 358 14 009 17254 15843 24 018 21 035 19 015 13 005 13 014 15843 14581 21 010 16 035 17 016 11 020 12 025 14581 13447 19 003 13 032 15 018 11 039 11 042 13447 12426 17 359 11 029 13 021 12 051 11 057 12426 11503 15 356 9 030 12 023 13 054 12 066 11503 10671 13 354 7 038 10 026 12 050 14 069 10671 9925 10 350 5 052 8 030 8 040 14 069 9925 9254 8 335 3 054 5 042 5 020 11 069 9254 8644 7 305 1 001 2 077 4 345 6 062 8644 8097 7 285 2 275 2*196 3 318 4 011 8097 7637 6 279 1*214 3*218 2 310 2 359 7637 7280 2 266 2*200 3 223 2*288 2 044 7280 7033 2 143 2 198 3 229 2*276 2 067 7033 6883 3 113 2 198 3 231 3 273 2*070 6883 6797 3*101 2 197 3 231 2 271 2*068 6797 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography