DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/09 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.3 - - 51.7 - - 59.3 - - 57.8 - - 47.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 12 - - 315 - - 380 - - 55 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 2428 - - 6085 - - 4857 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 8219 - - 11131 - - 8917 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 6797 - - 9113 - - 12770 - - 11542 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 206 - - 1568 - - 1692 - - 2991 - - 971 Hgt.Variab. W* 47 - - 390 - - 564 - - 277 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 17 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 15 - - 15 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 110 - - 229 - - 275 - - 283 - - 360 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -5 - - -14 - - -13 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5710 - - -6708 - - -4060 - - -4346 - - -6027 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12508 - - 15822 - - 16831 - - 15889 - - 12826 sfcLCL ODpotential -14864 - - -12637 - - -8612 - - -8510 - - -11682 ODpotential blCL 21661 - - 21750 - - 21382 - - 20052 - - 18481 blCL maxRH 35 - - 38 - - 50 - - 45 - - 47 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.3 - - 51.7 - - 59.3 - - 57.8 - - 47.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 5.3 - - 6.2 - - 8.8 - - 11.7 - - 15.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.4 - - 49.9 - - 57.1 - - 57.5 - - 52.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 5.0 - - 5.5 - - 8.0 - - 11.2 - - 15.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 12 - - 315 - - 380 - - 55 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 2428 - - 6085 - - 4857 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96428 22 254 28 268 21 267 20 235 30 268 96428 89175 11 240 20 254 20 263 21 283 17 300 89175 83660 9 257 18 256 23 260 24 272 19 317 83660 79098 15 279 17 275 23 256 27 278 22 298 79098 75172 20 294 18 264 20 264 27 272 22 283 75172 71704 23 281 20 262 22 259 23 264 24 273 71704 68562 27 262 28 264 28 256 27 271 27 275 68562 65660 32 264 33 257 32 254 34 263 31 275 65660 62951 35 258 34 252 33 253 34 245 35 262 62951 60307 37 246 35 248 36 249 35 240 38 248 60307 57536 38 248 42 249 42 243 38 241 40 244 57536 54647 37 250 46 244 41 249 36 250 41 248 54647 51871 35 247 39 241 46 242 43 242 43 247 51871 49374 35 242 36 244 47 229 44 241 39 244 49374 47159 34 245 37 234 41 231 46 247 36 251 47159 45163 41 251 40 244 43 244 51 242 47 241 45163 43349 49 250 46 249 52 240 54 236 53 231 43349 41692 48 247 52 241 54 235 54 231 58 223 41692 40163 32 246 51 242 50 239 47 230 52 218 40163 38738 15 241 48 247 46 244 43 233 45 220 38738 37403 8 256 42 253 44 245 41 235 42 226 37403 36127 11 222 42 255 41 247 40 236 42 229 36127 34851 14 197 45 254 37 249 39 236 42 231 34851 33547 17 185 44 258 36 248 38 236 40 232 33547 32219 15 183 43 265 36 245 35 238 38 234 32219 30860 14 185 39 264 36 247 32 243 36 235 30860 29459 14 198 38 258 36 250 31 247 33 234 29459 28023 14 211 37 253 38 251 32 245 31 233 28023 26555 13 228 33 249 41 247 34 240 28 232 26555 25058 13 236 31 250 42 240 35 239 26 233 25058 23537 18 239 36 253 42 236 34 242 25 238 23537 21989 23 245 37 253 38 243 32 249 25 243 21989 20406 23 250 31 255 29 262 26 258 23 252 20406 18813 24 261 26 258 23 262 24 254 22 259 18813 17286 25 265 23 261 24 259 26 254 25 259 17286 15898 25 265 23 264 24 263 26 256 26 248 15898 14657 24 265 24 267 23 271 24 263 27 242 14657 13541 25 268 25 270 21*279 22 272 26 244 13541 12530 26 273 25 272 17*281 19 277 24 247 12530 11611 27 278 24 273 16 281 17*281 19 250 11611 10778 23 283 21 275 16 281 16*283 14 253 10778 10026 16 287 17 276 15 276 16 283 10 261 10026 9346 10 285 11*271 14 274 16 283 7 274 9346 8723 5 274 5*241 14 273 15 283 5 294 8723 8161 2 240 4 231 14 271 15 283 6 311 8161 7682 4 138 4 227 13 269 15 283 6 316 7682 7309 8 124 4 225 13 268 14 283 5 320 7309 7049 9 119 4 222 12 268 14 283 5 322 7049 6890 7 115 4 221 12 267 13 283 3*334 6890 6799 4*110 4 222 11 268 11 283 2*360 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography