DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/20 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.4 - - 77.7 - - - - - 60.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 286 - - 347 - - - - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2218 - - 4986 - - - - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8034 - - 10221 - - - - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8903 - - 11671 - - - - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2992 - - 2857 - - - - - 193 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 366 - - 511 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 22 - - 15 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 6 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 186 - - 257 - - - - - 254 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -7 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -11551 - - -9440 - - - - - -9799 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 20455 - - 21112 - - - - - 16599 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16856 - - -13714 - - - - - -16706 ODpotential blCL - - - 25759 - - 25385 - - - - - 23506 blCL maxRH - - - 32 - - 39 - - - - - 58 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.4 - - 77.7 - - - - - 60.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 6.1 - - 7.9 - - - - - 12.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.6 - - 75.4 - - - - - 65.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 5.2 - - 6.8 - - - - - 11.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 286 - - 347 - - - - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2218 - - 4986 - - - - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96565 21 276 22 269 16 255 96565 89423 3 328 11 244 17 308 89423 83958 4 315 7 315 8 325 83958 79426 6 164 9 284 9 009 79426 75507 8 084 6 202 9 350 75507 72021 4 021 3 211 9 312 72021 68856 8 313 10 328 15 302 68856 65967 14 343 15 356 10 337 65967 63324 16 001 20 346 21 355 63324 60795 17 360 16 349 24 352 60795 58158 23 339 21 336 27 344 58158 55404 27 330 26 324 28 334 55404 52759 26 330 24 322 26 318 52759 50359 25 339 21 328 22 309 50359 48185 26 339 18 336 19 317 48185 46201 27 330 27 324 24 326 46201 44385 31 316 35 314 31 330 44385 42710 28 312 37 306 38 319 42710 41156 28 313 37 305 38 312 41156 39712 32 315 40 312 37 317 39712 38366 39 315 45 318 40 322 38366 37078 44 318 47 320 41 318 37078 35786 47 320 44 324 39 318 35786 34463 42 317 37 322 37 325 34463 33113 37 314 34 321 34 324 33113 31727 35 322 33 325 32 319 31727 30297 37 327 33 329 30 320 30297 28828 37 326 32 333 26 322 28828 27322 36 329 29 335 20 320 27322 25784 32 333 25 331 16 311 25784 24215 28 334 20 326 16 306 24215 22612 23 333 17 323 17 310 22612 20967 17 337 13 324 17 318 20967 19310 13 342 11 321 14 323 19310 17721 11 342 10 323 9 320 17721 16273 11 346 10 328 4 302 16273 14976 10 352 9 335 2 288 14976 13808 8 357 8 345 3 314 13808 12750 5 354 5 341 5 328 12750 11791 2 348 4*297 7 333 11791 10923 1 031 4*273 9 334 10923 10140 2 103 5 265 12 330 10140 9433 3*119 6 260 14 324 9433 8786 2*152 6 256 15 316 8786 8203 3 182 7 254 16 308 8203 7709 3 188 7 252 17 300 7709 7324 3 191 7 251 16 292 7324 7057 3 194 7 250 13 279 7057 6893 3 196 7 250 8*260 6893 6800 3 196 7 250 5*254 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography