DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/22 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.5 - - 82.9 - - - - - 76.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 392 - - 329 - - - - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8481 - - 8501 - - - - - 116 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13077 - - 13005 - - - - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15166 - - 15186 - - - - - 6801 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3190 - - 2802 - - - - - 9590 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 637 - - 602 - - - - - 11 W* B/S - - - 23 - - 8 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 14 - - - - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 252 - - 271 - - - - - 355 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 17 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - 10 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1025 - - 983 - - - - - -5783 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14142 - - 14204 - - - - - 12585 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -854 - - -724 - - - - - -8885 ODpotential blCL - - - 16020 - - 15910 - - - - - 15686 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 94 - - - - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 370 - - 240 - - - - - 420 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.5 - - 82.9 - - - - - 76.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.8 - - 43.9 - - - - - 44.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.2 - - 81.0 - - - - - 79.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.4 - - 43.4 - - - - - 44.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 392 - - 329 - - - - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8481 - - 8501 - - - - - 116 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 63 - - 75 - - - - - 78 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99119 31 107 23 119 19 085 99119 91724 30 106 21 099 19 084 91724 85973 24 092 26 093 19 097 85973 81172 18 073 20 102 20 093 81172 77047 16 073 18 105 19 086 77047 73423 11 109 11 087 18 094 73423 70144 16 116 5 069 20 095 70144 67140 12 113 5 122 16 053 67140 64392 14 114 9 125 7 022 64392 61758 8 086 0 052 1 086 61758 59012 5 274 5 237 2 293 59012 56167 6 272 5 266 8 321 56167 53468 8 335 5 314 13 316 53468 51054 14 314 8 335 12 305 51054 48898 18 286 12 324 7 254 48898 46944 22 273 14 285 7 242 46944 45146 17 241 12 229 12 245 45146 43474 16 214 16 207 18 226 43474 41908 15 198 18 196 21 209 41908 40433 15 180 17 197 21 207 40433 39045 11 173 16 196 18 207 39045 37717 6 163 13 189 13 196 37717 36385 5 188 12 176 12 194 36385 35024 13 217 10 167 14 200 35024 33638 15 207 9 215 17 199 33638 32214 14 188 12 224 17 193 32214 30746 13 179 9 261 13 194 30746 29238 9 178 7 276 10 212 29238 27691 6 102 5 250 10 216 27691 26111 5 089 7 229 7 235 26111 24506 5 129 10 220 8 250 24506 22871 6 149 11 206 6 266 22871 21198 6 160 11 204 6 275 21198 19516 3 208 10 191 3 256 19516 17907 3 224 6 172 6 274 17907 16443 4*184 5*169 12 281 16443 15130 4*198 4*195 13 279 15130 13946 5 237 5 247 12 274 13946 12872 5 251 9 264 11 271 12872 11898 5 256 12 271 9 271 11898 11015 5 258 16 274 8 273 11015 10217 5 259 19 275 7 280 10217 9496 5 260 20 275 5 292 9496 8836 5 261 21 275 4 309 8836 8241 5 261 22 276 4 326 8241 7735 5 261 22 275 4 339 7735 7340 5 262 21 275 3 349 7340 7066 5 262 21 276 3 353 7066 6897 4 263 20 275 2*356 6897 6801 4 262 17 276 1*355 6801 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography