DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/02 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.2 - - 81.9 - - 80.9 - - 70.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 474 - - 482 - - 175 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6968 - - 9815 - - 11017 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11935 - - 14271 - - 14603 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13653 - - 16500 - - 17702 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2169 - - 3237 - - 2588 - - 11114 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 636 - - 717 - - 533 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 10 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 13 - - 13 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 209 - - 237 - - 244 - - 295 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 5 - - -12 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7347 - - -6350 - - -4907 - - -13065 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 21001 - - 22852 - - 22610 - - 19866 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12724 - - -10600 - - -9568 - - -18852 ODpotential blCL - - - 26377 - - 27100 - - 27270 - - 25652 blCL maxRH - - - 27 - - 30 - - 40 - - 39 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.2 - - 81.9 - - 80.9 - - 70.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 7.5 - - 3.5 - - 3.8 - - 7.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.3 - - 79.1 - - 79.7 - - 76.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 6.9 - - 2.8 - - 3.2 - - 7.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 474 - - 482 - - 175 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6968 - - 9815 - - 11017 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99254 34 099 33 104 32 099 33 098 99254 91742 34 101 26 111 24 100 27 089 91742 85972 25 114 27 103 25 104 21 097 85972 81197 25 112 24 111 21 113 21 100 81197 77069 24 096 21 113 13 115 21 095 77069 73419 15 096 16 103 19 089 18 086 73419 70129 14 112 13 123 10 081 14 084 70129 67106 13 134 14 121 12 108 6 092 67106 64307 9 157 2 110 6 051 5 088 64307 61611 4 133 7 121 11 133 5 187 61611 58806 15 230 10 243 2 193 6 207 58806 55892 12 215 9 203 10 243 15 236 55892 53108 23 239 23 253 22 259 16 255 53108 50594 34 233 35 245 27 261 28 265 50594 48342 35 228 39 244 35 257 37 266 48342 46305 35 232 41 240 41 254 44 262 46305 44455 37 231 38 242 44 252 44 256 44455 42768 39 236 38 248 46 254 39 253 42768 41214 44 242 41 252 48 257 38 262 41214 39765 46 244 44 253 48 259 39 269 39765 38409 45 244 45 252 47 259 40 270 38409 37111 43 244 44 252 45 261 39 269 37111 35809 43 243 44 255 44 262 39 267 35809 34478 43 242 44 257 43 260 38 265 34478 33121 43 243 42 257 43 258 37 262 33121 31729 43 246 42 256 42 257 36 259 31729 30294 42 248 42 253 41 259 37 261 30294 28817 40 250 41 249 40 260 38 264 28817 27303 36 250 39 246 39 261 38 264 27303 25756 34 251 37 246 38 260 38 262 25756 24181 36 252 35 249 36 257 36 256 24181 22577 35 251 33 250 35 252 35 247 22577 20940 31 245 30 249 33 247 32 236 20940 19295 29 238 27 247 29*240 26 223 19295 17718 26 236 24*244 20*232 22 222 17718 16281 23 234 17*238 15 232 19 229 16281 14992 20 228 14 235 14 233 16 241 14992 13829 16*220 14 235 14 235 14 253 13829 12775 13*215 13 235 13 238 13 263 12775 11818 11 209 13 235 13 243 13 269 11818 10950 11 208 13 236 12 247 13 273 10950 10166 11 208 13 237 12 250 13 275 10166 9456 10 208 13 238 12 253 12 277 9456 8807 10 208 13 239 12 256 12 278 8807 8220 10 209 12 239 12 257 11 279 8220 7722 9 210 12 240 11 259 10 281 7722 7332 9 210 12 240 11 260 9 282 7332 7061 9 210 11 241 11 260 7 284 7061 6896 9 210 11 241 11 261 5*289 6896 6800 8 211 10 241 9 261 4*295 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography