DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/14 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.8 - - 53.2 - - 45.2 - - 37.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 116 - - 125 - - -1 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 880 - - 2112 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6782 - - 7632 - - 6782 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7565 - - 8797 - - 6798 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 995 - - 850 - - 1894 - - 66 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 199 - - 273 - - 0 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 25 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 118 - - 119 - - 039 - - 048 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -5 - - -1 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5115 - - -5474 - - -5660 - - -2831 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12681 - - 14271 - - 12458 - - 9629 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12376 - - -11212 - - -13075 - - -12095 ODpotential blCL - - - 19941 - - 20009 - - 19873 - - 18893 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 53 - - 81 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.8 - - 53.2 - - 45.2 - - 37.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 15.8 - - 15.0 - - 15.3 - - 19.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.1 - - 52.4 - - 50.4 - - 42.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 15.3 - - 14.6 - - 15.0 - - 19.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 116 - - 125 - - -1 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 880 - - 2112 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 24 - - 28 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96145 39 290 37 334 16 360 22 016 96145 89260 17 018 24 021 24 043 27 028 89260 83847 24 038 19 038 29 045 40 050 83847 79348 21 037 17 027 33 038 43 054 79348 75465 18 047 15 034 27 033 34 046 75465 72022 20 028 12 040 19 039 23 042 72022 68880 14 013 16 030 20 034 17 028 68880 65977 16 358 15 002 17 020 15 016 65977 63282 18 348 17 345 19 356 18 359 63282 60671 21 341 21 349 19 347 27 342 60671 57954 18 340 17 337 15 330 22 323 57954 55141 19 332 17 332 16 324 16 329 55141 52448 22 322 19 324 19 317 17 322 52448 50005 23 312 21 323 21 312 16 309 50005 47802 21 300 21 308 22 309 16 313 47802 45789 18 292 20 285 21 294 18 296 45789 43933 20 287 19 284 18 287 16 285 43933 42220 26 281 28 283 24 280 24 278 42220 40641 28 280 32 278 28 274 26 270 40641 39184 33 289 34 277 31 273 29 272 39184 37839 37 288 34 278 37 273 33 274 37839 36565 36 288 32 282 41 275 36 276 36565 35291 32 293 31 279 39 278 41 277 35291 33986 28 294 29 280 34 273 42 279 33986 32654 26 289 27 282 33 269 34 285 32654 31288 25 286 26 286 27 274 27 281 31288 29879 24 284 24 289 22 284 23 277 29879 28432 23 284 21 289 18 293 17 288 28432 26945 23 286 21 289 16 298 14 296 26945 25424 21 288 21 292 16 302 11 302 25424 23871 14 274 17 292 16 311 10 320 23871 22285 12 238 12 265 11 308 8 327 22285 20658 9 240 13 237 9 273 6 279 20658 19022 8 254 11 240 10 252 9 267 19022 17457 9 255 10 254 10 258 9 262 17457 16032 10 257 9 269 9 279 8 267 16032 14754 10 261 9 277 8 294 7 285 14754 13605 10 267 8 277 6 295 7 295 13605 12566 8 274 6 275 4 284 6 290 12566 11627 6 279 4 273 3 274 5 274 11627 10780 3 267 3 254 1 263 3 264 10780 10019 1 198 2 210 1 237 1 250 10019 9334 4 148 2*147 1 183 1 139 9334 8710 7 130 2*125 2 116 3 117 8710 8149 7 120 2 121 2 097 5 110 8149 7673 6*117 2 118 2 085 6 098 7673 7303 5*117 2 117 2 073 6 081 7303 7045 5 117 2 118 1 057 7 064 7045 6888 4 118 2 115 1 045 7*050 6888 6798 4 119 2 116 1*039 6*048 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography