DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/27 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.4 - - 74.7 - - - - - 65.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 462 - - 484 - - - - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8929 - - 10885 - - - - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13523 - - 15159 - - - - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15614 - - 17570 - - - - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1300 - - 1215 - - - - - 349 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 685 - - 745 - - - - - 13 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 11 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 12 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 178 - - 192 - - - - - 114 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 6 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - 12 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2213 - - 388 - - - - - -7297 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13401 - - 17183 - - - - - 14097 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 54 - - -3286 - - - - - -10748 ODpotential blCL - - - 15560 - - 20856 - - - - - 17548 blCL maxRH - - - 59 - - 54 - - - - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - 50 - - 0 - - - - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.4 - - 74.7 - - - - - 65.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.8 - - 22.2 - - - - - 27.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.7 - - 71.9 - - - - - 68.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.2 - - 21.5 - - - - - 26.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 462 - - 484 - - - - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8929 - - 10885 - - - - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98510 17 105 14 113 14 103 98510 91080 17 117 9 106 16 068 91080 85349 17 122 7 094 6 036 85349 80593 14 111 10 110 1 032 80593 76523 14 108 12 101 4 177 76523 72955 14 123 5 113 11 118 72955 69705 12 123 12 152 13 088 69705 66687 8 120 9 143 6 134 66687 63885 6 198 7 203 3 161 63885 61160 14 201 19 201 6 238 61160 58312 14 200 16 193 14 188 58312 55368 16 192 14 203 12 209 55368 52586 22 213 20 216 20 229 52586 50112 24 214 19 234 17 245 50112 47898 20 221 26 252 29 274 47898 45886 31 243 30 251 38 262 45886 44051 34 246 27 248 30 245 44051 42372 29 240 27 244 28 230 42372 40819 24 236 26 233 23 218 40819 39366 18 228 26 223 19 225 39366 38006 15 220 27 213 16 228 38006 36709 12 210 25 203 14 217 36709 35411 14 209 22 197 14 207 35411 34086 18 215 19 198 14 189 34086 32738 16 222 17 209 15 178 32738 31358 13 232 17 226 17 186 31358 29937 15 240 19 241 15 194 29937 28481 18 243 20 250 10 217 28481 26988 19 240 20 256 13 237 26988 25464 18 232 20 255 17 243 25464 23913 19 227 18 247 22 249 23913 22330 20 228 17 241 25 243 22330 20719 19 227 21 234 28 224 20719 19104 18 221 20*222 26 223 19104 17557 17 207 14*203 23 221 17557 16145 15*194 13 194 20 213 16145 14878 14*192 12 192 17 199 14878 13735 14 191 12 191 15 184 13735 12698 12 184 12 190 14 171 12698 11756 11 178 12 190 15 160 11756 10900 10 175 12 189 15 152 10900 10127 10 172 11 189 16 146 10127 9427 9 169 11 189 17 142 9427 8785 9 167 11 190 17 139 8785 8205 8 165 11 189 17 137 8205 7712 8 162 11 190 17 135 7712 7327 8 162 10 190 16 132 7327 7058 7 160 10 190 14 127 7058 6894 7 161 10 190 11*119 6894 6800 7 160 9 190 6*114 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography