DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/10 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 32.4 - - 50.7 - - 57.9 - - 50.5 - - 42.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 211 - - 187 - - -5 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1194 - - 2058 - - 114 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 7203 - - 7774 - - 6782 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 6798 - - 7879 - - 8743 - - 6799 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 87 - - 488 - - 677 - - 1719 - - 318 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 268 - - 309 - - 14 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 13 - - 15 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 045 - - 212 - - 253 - - 220 - - 210 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 2 - - -5 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2370 - - -5070 - - -5594 - - -5927 - - -4361 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9169 - - 12950 - - 14337 - - 12727 - - 11161 sfcLCL ODpotential -14814 - - -13579 - - -12243 - - -14081 - - -14419 ODpotential blCL 21612 - - 21458 - - 20986 - - 20880 - - 21218 blCL maxRH 49 - - 51 - - 57 - - 61 - - 55 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 32.4 - - 50.7 - - 57.9 - - 50.5 - - 42.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 17.0 - - 18.5 - - 19.3 - - 19.4 - - 18.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.1 - - 49.4 - - 56.7 - - 53.8 - - 48.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 16.8 - - 18.3 - - 19.1 - - 19.1 - - 18.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 211 - - 187 - - -5 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1194 - - 2058 - - 114 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96522 24 263 39 280 34 283 33 277 42 266 96522 89431 11 313 19 279 22 274 28 297 21 304 89431 83929 10 348 10 345 7 258 20 295 24 311 83929 79350 14 033 14 002 11 014 11 305 18 301 79350 75386 25 359 6 004 17 010 12 000 11 335 75386 71863 16 003 8 344 22 351 16 345 17 000 71863 68680 21 021 8 321 24 346 27 335 26 358 68680 65769 30 350 26 350 25 321 31 315 35 342 65769 63085 45 333 31 338 19 308 29 318 41 324 63085 60501 47 328 28 336 37 342 37 327 41 319 60501 57809 52 335 54 335 46 330 43 328 47 319 57809 55012 65 334 62 331 51 326 54 322 54 321 55012 52349 66 332 62 330 61 324 61 319 62 316 52349 49967 58 335 57 329 62 321 59 318 54 315 49967 47847 50 340 50 329 57 321 56 316 51 318 47847 45936 43 350 42 334 50 325 49 316 48 314 45936 44188 37 358 38 342 43 330 42 320 43 309 44188 42567 32 002 37 348 39 333 39 324 37 306 42567 41048 28 005 36 352 37 333 37 322 35 309 41048 39617 27 007 34 352 36 333 37 317 35 310 39617 38269 28 009 32 349 36 334 37 314 34 311 38269 36977 31 009 31 348 37 327 35 314 34 310 36977 35679 35 008 30 352 34 319 34 314 34 309 35679 34351 38 008 29 357 30 317 33 315 35 306 34351 32997 38 008 27 001 27 316 31 314 35 303 32997 31610 34 006 25 003 27 314 30 305 35 300 31610 30180 30 000 24 002 26 316 28 299 36 299 30180 28710 29 356 24 000 24 320 25 304 36 301 28710 27202 28 358 25 359 22 326 25 312 33 301 27202 25658 31 003 25 000 22 335 24 316 28 301 25658 24085 35 010 21 009 19 342 23 324 25 301 24085 22478 35 014 18 028 12 350 19 329 22 299 22478 20829 31 011 18 040 7 017 12 327 18 298 20829 19166 27 012 18 037 8 052 7 299 16 288 19166 17574 24 016 18 033 11 066 2 238 13 259 17574 16126 22 014 16 032 12 067 5 128 12 243 16126 14833 20 007 15 029 11 064 6 118 8 241 14833 13670 19 003 14 023 11 063 5 106 5 253 13670 12621 18 000 13 015 10 059 4 089 7 269 12621 11673 17 359 13 005 7 049 2 089 10 274 11673 10818 14 357 12 355 5 026 1 241 10 281 10818 10048 12 353 11 344 5 350 5 324 10 294 10048 9357 9 347 10 331 5*322 7 323 9 304 9357 8726 7 335 7 313 3*278 6 312 9 305 8726 8159 3 318 4*268 4 257 4 279 10 301 8159 7678 0 007 4*215 4 250 5 242 9 292 7678 7306 3 087 4 213 4 247 6 231 8 274 7306 7047 5 079 4 211 4 246 6 226 7 255 7047 6889 5*056 4 210 4 244 5*224 4*238 6889 6799 4*045 4 210 4 245 4*220 1*210 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography