DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/03 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 30.8 - - 31.3 - - 28.6 - - 26.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 45 - - 27 - - 0 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1127 - - 1480 - - 466 - - 207 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6781 - - 6781 - - 6780 - - 6780 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7812 - - 8165 - - 7151 - - 6892 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1893 - - 2031 - - 1672 - - 1712 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 162 - - 150 - - 24 - - 47 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 6 - - 1 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 150 - - 205 - - 223 - - 166 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -4 - - 1 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1015 - - 1368 - - 354 - - 95 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6797 - - 6798 - - 6797 - - 6797 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 460 - - 269 - - 65 - - 28 ODpotential blCL - - - 7352 - - 7896 - - 7086 - - 6864 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 97 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 30.8 - - 31.3 - - 28.6 - - 26.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.1 - - 28.3 - - 27.8 - - 26.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 30.5 - - 31.2 - - 28.9 - - 27.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.3 - - 27.4 - - 27.7 - - 27.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 45 - - 27 - - 0 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1127 - - 1480 - - 466 - - 207 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 88 - - 102 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96486 10 069 15 067 12 070 7 063 96486 89371 12 082 18 061 9 052 7 037 89371 83856 7 114 7 062 0 245 9 003 83856 79264 5 127 4 360 2 008 12 013 79264 75289 9 033 4 196 8 320 17 017 75289 71760 15 316 7 321 6 334 16 002 71760 68558 13 285 16 308 9 347 14 351 68558 65606 15 280 24 301 19 342 17 333 65606 62862 20 282 27 289 24 327 18 318 62862 60191 20 266 24 282 27 316 18 321 60191 57376 21 281 25 287 30 306 25 313 57376 54429 27 280 26 280 30 296 33 307 54429 51598 26 283 25 284 30 290 39 299 51598 49044 32 288 28 284 30 283 38 289 49044 46758 38 281 28 282 28 281 34 282 46758 44691 44 273 32 285 31 280 33 281 44691 42803 48 264 42 275 36 276 34 281 42803 41066 54 258 51 264 40 274 33 280 41066 39454 60 255 55 258 40 272 30 277 39454 37953 63 253 53 254 40 266 30 272 37953 36559 65 250 53 251 40 257 29 267 36559 35238 69 246 53 249 42 251 28 264 35238 33927 72 245 55 247 44 248 24 263 33927 32600 74 245 59 247 43 249 18 271 32600 31264 76 246 61 248 39 254 17 281 31264 29907 77 247 60 249 35 257 20 274 29907 28529 74 248 53 249 29 258 17 278 28529 27140 63 246 40 249 18 252 8 287 27140 25736 47 236 28 245 15 246 7 294 25736 24307 35 232 21 245 13 246 7 299 24307 22852 30 245 14 254 11 247 5 329 22852 21367 30 255 12 248 11 240 4 012 21367 19847 24 249 13 238 7 243 4 340 19847 18317 15 215 16 234 6 260 6 294 18317 16851 9 197 15 230 9 263 7 293 16851 15516 6 194 10 219 9 265 9 289 15516 14321 7 184 6 215 7 278 8 284 14321 13244 9 172 5 226 7 292 6 284 13244 12270 10 167 7 226 7 299 5 291 12270 11387 8 163 9 218 7 298 4 274 11387 10587 5 162 12 207 7 291 4 229 10587 9866 2 152 13 202 7 283 5 186 9866 9216 3 121 11 202 8 274 5 147 9216 8622 3 126 9*203 7 262 5 126 8622 8088 4*140 6*204 6 249 5 138 8088 7634 4*147 4 205 6 240 5 158 7634 7281 4 150 4 207 6*231 6 163 7281 7034 4 150 4 205 5*225 5*165 7034 6884 4 151 4 206 5 222 5*166 6884 6797 3 152 3 207 3 220 4 166 6797 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography