DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/12 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.1 - - 52.8 - - 44.8 - - 34.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 137 - - 129 - - -5 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 728 - - 1610 - - 114 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6781 - - 7297 - - 6782 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7413 - - 8295 - - 6799 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 413 - - 643 - - 1254 - - 222 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 198 - - 253 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 87 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 1 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 152 - - 193 - - 254 - - 189 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -2 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2638 - - -3781 - - -2606 - - -641 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10052 - - 12076 - - 9406 - - 7439 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10654 - - -9938 - - -10083 - - -10354 ODpotential blCL - - - 18067 - - 18233 - - 16882 - - 17152 blCL maxRH - - - 51 - - 40 - - 43 - - 53 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.1 - - 52.8 - - 44.8 - - 34.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.2 - - 24.0 - - 27.6 - - 26.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.1 - - 51.9 - - 48.5 - - 39.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.9 - - 23.6 - - 27.4 - - 26.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 137 - - 129 - - -5 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 728 - - 1610 - - 114 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95897 31 301 27 304 30 282 38 295 95897 88927 26 304 29 314 18 298 29 313 88927 83473 15 303 24 299 21 316 25 327 83473 78938 10 347 9 298 24 314 26 336 78938 75031 23 336 15 342 16 331 17 348 75031 71551 21 338 14 335 14 021 8 348 71551 68358 20 325 19 317 27 352 16 006 68358 65420 20 315 22 329 28 340 26 347 65420 62742 28 313 33 328 39 331 36 343 62742 60190 33 325 35 323 41 315 44 331 60190 57534 40 327 37 325 41 311 42 315 57534 54758 44 321 43 326 40 316 41 308 54758 52091 43 312 44 317 44 323 40 317 52091 49682 41 303 42 311 48 319 47 322 49682 47524 37 307 40 308 45 310 50 314 47524 45567 36 317 36 311 39 308 47 306 45567 43777 38 324 34 321 33 307 43 300 43777 42126 40 325 35 321 29 305 36 294 42126 40593 37 318 35 313 28 302 28 295 40593 39161 34 308 34 304 27 302 23 307 39161 37817 30 308 33 299 27 304 23 307 37817 36531 23 313 28 299 29 307 26 307 36531 35244 21 318 22 297 29 309 30 305 35244 33928 21 318 19 297 27 303 29 298 33928 32588 19 315 19 297 27 304 31 295 32588 31217 18 315 20 300 28 307 31 300 31217 29804 20 317 21 307 28 308 34 303 29804 28351 20 318 21 313 28 309 37 305 28351 26860 19 318 20 312 26 308 36 307 26860 25337 16 311 18 304 23 307 28 307 25337 23791 14 304 16 293 20 302 21 312 23791 22218 15 309 16 288 18 295 19 309 22218 20607 15 315 17 293 18 293 19 298 20607 18982 12 311 18 298 18 301 20 296 18982 17423 10 298 18 302 18 310 19 303 17423 16004 10 290 16 307 17 317 19 313 16004 14733 10 283 14 309 15 323 19 321 14733 13591 10 280 11 305 12 331 17 327 13591 12558 9 284 9 300 9 341 15 332 12558 11623 8 299 7 303 7 351 12 336 11623 10778 8 310 6 311 5 358 10 335 10778 10017 7 305 5 311 4 356 8 326 10017 9331 4 286 3 300 3 345 7 315 9331 8704 3 255 0*227 3 327 7 308 8704 8142 2 198 0*169 3 307 6 303 8142 7667 2*154 0 185 4 274 4 294 7667 7298 2*150 1 191 5 260 4 250 7298 7043 2 151 1 207 6 256 5 222 7043 6887 2 155 1 210 5*255 5*201 6887 6798 2 153 1 212 4*254 3*189 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography