DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/07 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.4 - - 71.2 - - 74.8 - - 74.1 - - 60.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 8 - - 239 - - 214 - - -2 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 114 - - 2669 - - 8442 - - 471 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit 6782 - - 8314 - - 12702 - - 6783 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top 6799 - - 9354 - - 15127 - - 7156 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 317 - - 6368 - - 5421 - - 14067 - - 161 Hgt.Variab. W* 42 - - 368 - - 519 - - 28 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 9 - - 19 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 073 - - 103 - - 104 - - 034 - - 018 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -5 - - -7 - - -2 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3605 - - -3302 - - 1079 - - -8589 - - -3904 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10404 - - 12656 - - 14049 - - 15745 - - 10704 sfcLCL ODpotential -8485 - - -5419 - - -1409 - - -10296 - - -8616 ODpotential blCL 15284 - - 14773 - - 16536 - - 17452 - - 15415 blCL maxRH 85 - - 88 - - 89 - - 75 - - 70 maxRH CAPE 310 - - 660 - - 730 - - 290 - - 150 CAPE Temp@2m 58.4 - - 71.2 - - 74.8 - - 74.1 - - 60.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.7 - - 39.2 - - 36.6 - - 28.6 - - 37.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.6 - - 69.5 - - 73.2 - - 74.5 - - 63.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.4 - - 38.9 - - 36.3 - - 28.3 - - 37.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 8 - - 239 - - 214 - - -2 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 114 - - 2669 - - 8442 - - 471 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 39 - - 53 - - 54 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97687 21 284 22 280 19 265 26 277 24 293 97687 90440 20 302 17 278 13 279 13 270 13 298 90440 84815 10 291 9 283 9 275 9 289 9 316 84815 80134 5 306 7 278 8 312 10 337 11 350 80134 76119 8 021 6 254 9 327 11 339 12 351 76119 72587 17 007 4 012 6 011 8 343 11 338 72587 69411 17 349 9 359 10 358 12 344 17 341 69411 66511 18 342 14 358 15 352 16 339 18 340 66511 63825 20 328 21 353 18 355 19 349 21 345 63825 61219 21 324 25 343 24 346 23 343 24 343 61219 58499 26 323 26 328 24 330 25 334 26 336 58499 55679 29 319 27 325 25 320 27 331 26 335 55679 52984 39 317 34 325 30 325 30 334 24 341 52984 50551 50 312 41 321 33 329 28 334 26 343 50551 48358 58 310 44 317 32 334 29 335 28 336 48358 46355 59 311 43 318 33 341 31 335 30 327 46355 44506 56 312 42 319 35 338 34 339 31 326 44506 42786 49 314 37 321 32 334 32 343 32 328 42786 41178 43 318 30 325 23 336 31 343 33 335 41178 39674 37 321 21 340 16 346 23 338 33 338 39674 38270 30 316 21 341 16 349 21 335 32 334 38270 36931 27 313 25 336 20 356 20 342 29 324 36931 35595 29 310 23 326 24 346 24 350 23 338 35595 34243 19 306 16 314 13 355 15 012 17 005 34243 32887 8 004 4 359 12 067 13 062 8 028 32887 31507 3 012 10 093 13 096 13 085 9 093 31507 30089 7 101 14 122 12 105 13 085 12 084 30089 28631 6 117 13 139 9 119 12 082 13 079 28631 27138 8 157 10 164 6 111 9 083 13 081 27138 25614 13 163 8 169 4 092 7 073 11 076 25614 24062 10 143 7 124 6 098 9 078 9 062 24062 22479 10 120 8 115 5 100 9 090 11 070 22479 20858 9 126 8 124 6 133 10 120 12 101 20858 19226 8 133 8 130 9 130 11 138 11 131 19226 17660 7 141 8 126 8 128 10 143 11 143 17660 16231 5 146 7 114 7*127 9 143 10 139 16231 14947 3 142 5 099 6*121 7 140 9 135 14947 13789 1 130 4 092 6 118 6 135 7 130 13789 12740 1 103 4 103 5 114 4 123 6 122 12740 11786 2 110 5 106 5 109 4 106 5 109 11786 10922 3 094 6 102 5 105 3 084 5 093 10922 10141 6 079 7 101 5 101 4 068 6 079 10141 9435 8 087 8*102 4 096 4 055 7 067 9435 8789 9 105 8*102 4 092 5 048 8 060 8789 8206 11 117 8 102 4 089 5 042 10 055 8206 7711 13 111 7 102 4 086 6 039 12 049 7711 7324 13 094 7 104 4 083 6*037 13 041 7324 7057 11 077 7 104 4 083 6*036 13 032 7057 6893 9*074 6 105 4 083 5 034 9 024 6893 6799 5*073 6 105 4 081 5 032 5*018 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography