DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/19 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.8 - - 67.2 - - 66.1 - - 56.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 571 - - 527 - - 201 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7063 - - 9512 - - 7882 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12082 - - 14062 - - 12222 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13748 - - 16197 - - 14567 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1374 - - 1655 - - 2895 - - 3353 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 678 - - 730 - - 497 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 18 - - 15 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 226 - - 230 - - 252 - - 327 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 14 - - 16 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -10 - - 6 - - -13 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -545 - - 1404 - - -1020 - - -6857 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14294 - - 14793 - - 15587 - - 13656 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4463 - - 297 - - -3132 - - -11288 ODpotential blCL - - - 18211 - - 15900 - - 17699 - - 18087 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 76 - - 68 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.8 - - 67.2 - - 66.1 - - 56.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.5 - - 25.5 - - 21.1 - - 21.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.8 - - 64.4 - - 64.7 - - 59.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.1 - - 25.0 - - 20.7 - - 20.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 571 - - 527 - - 201 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7063 - - 9512 - - 7882 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 5 - - 0 - - 25 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98132 11 169 3 102 4 301 7 070 98132 90705 6 060 4 100 1 318 5 337 90705 85011 2 050 2 017 2 040 6 343 85011 80296 1 048 6 017 7 127 6 327 80296 76232 4 207 4 300 7 068 5 118 76232 72620 12 170 8 172 5 308 9 082 72620 69335 12 179 10 191 7 254 3 342 69335 66322 15 180 17 222 8 269 2 006 66322 63535 9 196 21 217 16 242 9 270 63535 60830 11 189 19 213 18 232 14 264 60830 57995 20 213 20 219 22 223 22 244 57995 55047 24 249 20 240 22 224 27 232 55047 52241 35 250 32 255 26 245 32 239 52241 49737 44 232 43 243 33 250 35 242 49737 47515 49 219 47 228 40 243 38 243 47515 45518 49 233 52 236 51 240 44 241 45518 43710 65 244 68 242 64 244 53 242 43710 42058 78 247 78 245 74 246 67 241 42058 40530 82 246 80 244 77 244 76 237 40530 39097 81 242 80 242 76 244 76 235 39097 37749 82 241 79 241 75 244 73 236 37749 36455 81 239 77 240 74 243 71 238 36455 35159 81 237 77 236 72 242 70 239 35159 33834 81 235 77 234 70 242 68 236 33834 32490 78 235 74 235 68 241 66 235 32490 31117 75 235 70 236 65 240 61 237 31117 29707 72 236 66 237 62 240 55 237 29707 28261 70 236 62 238 59 240 52 237 28261 26781 68 235 60 239 57 239 50 236 26781 25271 67 236 60 240 56 239 49 236 25271 23734 66 237 59 240 56 239 49 235 23734 22166 62 237 57 240 55 236 49 232 22166 20562 57 237 53 237 53 232 50 227 20562 18948 51 236 47 232 47 224 49 219 18948 17405 46 234 33*226 36 218 46 214 17405 16002 40 235 26*223 28 218 38 215 16002 14747 33*237 22 224 25*222 32 218 14747 13616 22*232 21 224 22*227 26 223 13616 12591 18 226 19 228 20 232 21 231 12591 11662 17 224 18 230 17 241 17 242 11662 10820 17 224 18 232 15 251 14 257 10820 10060 17 224 17 234 14 261 12 277 10060 9373 17 225 17 236 14 265 12 297 9373 8744 16 225 16 238 14 268 13 313 8744 8176 16 225 16 239 14 270 14 322 8176 7692 16 226 15 241 14 271 15 324 7692 7315 15 227 15 241 13 272 15 326 7315 7052 15 226 14 242 13 272 13 326 7052 6892 14 227 14 242 13 273 10*327 6892 6799 13 227 12 242 11 274 5*327 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography