DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/16 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.6 - - 50.8 - - 55.7 - - 45.5 - - 42.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 122 - - 114 - - 0 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1009 - - 4073 - - 752 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 6782 - - 8996 - - 6782 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 6798 - - 7694 - - 10758 - - 7437 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 228 - - 2357 - - 2797 - - 1935 - - 3527 Hgt.Variab. W* 23 - - 217 - - 333 - - 51 - - 20 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 9 - - 16 - - 16 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 060 - - 100 - - 138 - - 208 - - 266 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -8 - - 15 - - 13 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -499 - - -212 - - 1366 - - 639 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7297 - - 7907 - - 9392 - - 6799 - - 6798 sfcLCL ODpotential -6496 - - -2856 - - -208 - - 67 - - -692 ODpotential blCL 13294 - - 10550 - - 10966 - - 7370 - - 7490 blCL maxRH 99 - - 90 - - 99 - - 101 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 30 - - 10 - - 80 - - 140 - - 160 CAPE Temp@2m 40.6 - - 50.8 - - 55.7 - - 45.5 - - 42.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.5 - - 39.5 - - 37.8 - - 44.0 - - 40.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.8 - - 49.8 - - 54.8 - - 45.8 - - 42.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.4 - - 38.5 - - 37.5 - - 43.7 - - 40.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 122 - - 114 - - 0 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1009 - - 4073 - - 752 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 97 - - 58 - - 94 - - 102 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96264 13 004 16 282 15 338 13 314 15 285 96264 89257 13 010 3 352 11 013 12 031 13 024 89257 83808 11 002 6 003 8 034 10 018 10 024 83808 79260 14 347 10 021 2 351 9 006 9 358 79260 75324 11 326 13 018 3 055 10 348 11 353 75324 71814 7 323 9 341 5 334 11 307 12 333 71814 68632 8 307 8 330 5 314 5 312 13 305 68632 65712 11 300 13 335 9 310 10 300 6 245 65712 63018 16 277 14 267 17 281 19 278 9 251 63018 60422 12 257 10 243 18 255 20 252 21 261 60422 57697 12 312 11 347 4 259 26 248 32 242 57697 54838 39 246 27 255 14 262 25 245 31 230 54838 52079 52 243 45 246 39 252 26 244 35 228 52079 49577 56 248 53 244 52 243 39 241 39 235 49577 47326 52 245 57 241 59 234 53 235 49 243 47326 45275 46 243 56 233 60 224 63 224 58 239 45275 43386 48 234 53 227 58 216 66 218 65 233 43386 41639 52 225 53 222 61 214 70 216 69 228 41639 40020 51 220 56 214 70 216 77 214 69 223 40020 38520 48 218 57 208 74 214 83 212 65 221 38520 37134 43 218 57 208 74 210 88 210 60 222 37134 35828 42 221 59 210 73 207 88 208 57 230 35828 34535 44 223 62 212 74 206 85 205 63 237 34535 33226 47 224 64 212 74 207 80 201 67 236 33226 31904 50 226 63 214 75 209 71 202 67 232 31904 30559 51 229 62 215 76 210 60 206 66 228 30559 29179 52 231 62 214 76 211 49 202 67 226 29179 27763 51 231 62 214 74 212 40 189 66 224 27763 26311 49 228 59 215 68 213 40 186 60 221 26311 24829 46 223 53 215 55 216 44 195 55 219 24829 23321 43 220 47 213 58 218 46 200 53 220 23321 21784 39 220 42 212 56 220 47 210 50 219 21784 20210 35 220 39 213 49 217 46 220 45 219 20210 18627 31 221 36 214 42 212 45 221 38 219 18627 17113 28 223 33 212 38 209 45 221 36 223 17113 15739 25 219 27 209 36 206 45 221 30 233 15739 14514 22 213 24 209 34 201 42 221 28 240 14514 13412 21 210 23 213 31 196 41 223 27 240 13412 12417 19 215 22 218 27 189 40 225 26 245 12417 11514 18 225 21 224 23 180 38 226 26 252 11514 10696 17 237 18 226 20*168 35 225 25 260 10696 9960 15 244 13 224 18*156 32 222 24 266 9960 9294 11 245 8 211 17 146 30 218 22 269 9294 8684 7 245 5 172 17 136 29 217 20 272 8684 8133 1 297 6*115 16 133 28 216 19 274 8133 7665 5 054 9*101 16 131 24*213 16 275 7665 7299 8 059 10 100 16 130 20*210 13 274 7299 7044 10 056 9 100 15 129 17 208 10 272 7044 6888 8*056 9 101 14 129 15 207 8 270 6888 6798 5*060 8 100 12 128 11 206 5*266 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography