DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/18 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.3 - - 88.5 - - 86.9 - - 75.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 413 - - 431 - - 134 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10837 - - 12023 - - 11318 - - 116 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 15026 - - 16029 - - 14614 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 17522 - - 18708 - - 18003 - - 6801 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1852 - - 1505 - - 2053 - - 423 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 702 - - 738 - - 493 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 25 - - 16 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 8 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 253 - - 277 - - 288 - - 320 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -6 - - -17 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2202 - - 1231 - - 288 - - -8100 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15320 - - 17478 - - 17716 - - 14902 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 247 - - -495 - - -2333 - - -12246 ODpotential blCL - - - 17275 - - 19203 - - 20336 - - 19047 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 68 - - 63 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 250 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.3 - - 88.5 - - 86.9 - - 75.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.4 - - 34.8 - - 32.4 - - 34.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.8 - - 85.8 - - 85.8 - - 79.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.9 - - 34.4 - - 31.9 - - 34.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 413 - - 431 - - 134 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10837 - - 12023 - - 11318 - - 116 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99197 29 103 26 104 29 093 29 110 99197 91718 32 101 29 103 22 098 30 080 91718 85966 29 107 27 103 21 095 26 079 85966 81184 30 097 22 089 23 096 22 078 81184 77065 23 092 20 087 21 090 17 080 77065 73431 19 082 13 096 15 074 15 064 73431 70149 15 077 14 102 9 074 16 048 70149 67142 12 050 12 052 10 070 10 040 67142 64378 14 050 6 039 12 056 12 053 64378 61729 14 018 9 030 16 020 12 026 61729 58974 6 328 10 322 14 326 10 359 58974 56128 9 340 13 298 17 287 18 314 56128 53424 21 309 17 298 17 294 17 291 53424 50990 30 296 27 302 26 304 23 307 50990 48816 34 298 31 298 31 309 25 314 48816 46863 34 300 29 296 28 308 19 323 46863 45080 35 292 25 283 24 312 17 348 45080 43423 27 274 24 278 22 316 19 357 43423 41864 21 267 17 269 19 318 17 354 41864 40392 24 274 15 291 18 324 17 345 40392 39006 24 275 14 307 16 324 18 337 39006 37677 21 273 16 303 16 318 13 331 37677 36344 20 273 16 275 15 308 11 309 36344 34982 20 271 14 267 15 301 16 299 34982 33597 18 267 14 273 16 298 19 305 33597 32177 19 260 15 274 15 303 22 312 32177 30712 19 253 16 276 15 316 22 317 30712 29207 16 260 16 287 14 323 17 320 29207 27664 14 281 16 302 14 313 13 312 27664 26089 11 305 15 305 15 302 14 307 26089 24486 7 322 13 307 12 300 12 299 24486 22854 7 332 11 317 8 297 7 291 22854 21187 5 320 8 332 3 290 7 317 21187 19511 10 289 7*321 4*324 10 318 19511 17906 12*283 7*297 6*304 13 302 17906 16441 11*279 8 291 8 293 16 292 16441 15128 8 275 8 288 8 290 17 288 15128 13944 7 269 8 282 10 287 16 288 13944 12871 7 259 8 279 11 286 16 290 12871 11896 6 256 9 275 12 286 15 293 11896 11014 6 250 9 272 13 286 14 297 11014 10217 4 230 9 270 13 287 14 301 10217 9496 4 212 9 268 14 286 13 305 9496 8837 4 205 8 267 14 287 13 309 8837 8241 4 199 8 265 14 287 14 312 8241 7735 3 197 8 265 14 287 13 313 7735 7340 3 193 8 264 14 287 13 315 7340 7065 3 192 8 264 13 287 11 315 7065 6897 3 193 8 265 13 287 8*316 6897 6801 3 192 7 264 11 287 5*320 6801 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography