DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/02 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 33.5 - - 40.7 - - 35.4 - - 32.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 184 - - 131 - - -15 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1068 - - 2460 - - 113 - - 230 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7072 - - 7910 - - 6781 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7753 - - 9145 - - 6798 - - 6915 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 575 - - 1117 - - 2458 - - 1094 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 249 - - 293 - - 14 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 4 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 14 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 247 - - 269 - - 252 - - 078 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 4 - - 2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1610 - - -2578 - - -3523 - - -1463 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9363 - - 11724 - - 10322 - - 8378 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11094 - - -10192 - - -9621 - - -6481 ODpotential blCL - - - 18847 - - 19337 - - 16419 - - 13396 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 92 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 33.5 - - 40.7 - - 35.4 - - 32.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 16.5 - - 13.2 - - 14.2 - - 20.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 32.4 - - 39.9 - - 36.7 - - 33.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 15.9 - - 12.6 - - 13.9 - - 19.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 184 - - 131 - - -15 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1068 - - 2460 - - 113 - - 230 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 25 - - 66 - - 96 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96550 31 077 31 065 23 080 25 039 96550 89376 26 074 27 058 20 081 15 042 89376 83819 13 064 16 044 18 046 15 042 83819 79198 13 053 9 043 15 004 15 016 79198 75217 15 029 8 029 10 303 19 344 75217 71676 8 020 6 009 9 282 18 333 71676 68426 2 004 6 315 10 316 14 324 68426 65425 4 004 9 288 14 307 12 311 65425 62650 9 307 14 280 18 274 13 297 62650 59959 16 287 22 281 19 282 19 274 59959 57146 23 283 26 275 22 287 22 261 57146 54231 35 288 33 275 31 283 29 272 54231 51466 41 280 40 277 38 271 38 270 51466 48989 45 270 44 274 39 268 43 266 48989 46767 43 268 53 276 47 273 47 263 46767 44750 49 277 63 270 56 276 52 259 44750 42907 65 280 72 271 68 272 59 257 42907 41219 68 274 81 273 86 263 73 258 41219 39666 64 287 87 272 94 258 91 258 39666 38225 74 291 88 269 95 255 98 254 38225 36881 71 288 88 267 94 256 98 248 36881 35599 70 286 87 269 93 261 98 246 35599 34317 69 282 86 269 92 261 97 248 34317 33007 68 281 83 265 91 258 98 250 33007 31678 61 278 80 263 90 260 96 255 31678 30326 51 274 78 266 85 266 87 254 30326 28944 51 274 69 270 77 264 80 248 28944 27527 51 277 61 273 73 260 78 247 27527 26078 49 281 58 274 68 257 74 256 26078 24609 46 284 57 272 62 257 60 272 24609 23119 45 281 59 270 57 260 61 285 23119 21599 44 274 57 270 53 262 59 287 21599 20044 46 271 54 272 47 269 53 286 20044 18479 43 272 50 270 39 284 44 284 18479 16981 35 273 46 266 36 296 36 285 16981 15620 30 276 40 266 37 298 30 290 15620 14406 27 281 33 272 38 292 25 294 14406 13315 26 288 27 282 36 284 21 296 13315 12328 25 296 23 295 30 278 21 301 12328 11435 24 302 20 308 24 278 23 300 11435 10627 23 304 18 315 18 281 25 291 10627 9901 22 303 17 308 15 288 23 281 9901 9245 19 301 15*287 14 290 20 278 9245 8645 17 298 15*278 15 289 16 282 8645 8103 13*291 15 271 15 282 11 299 8103 7644 5*257 15 268 15 274 7 331 7644 7286 4 246 15 266 14 267 4 017 7286 7037 4 243 14 265 12 260 4*061 7037 6885 4 242 13 264 10*256 4*078 6885 6797 4 240 11 263 6*252 4 079 6797 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography