DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/01 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.3 - - 52.5 - - 49.4 - - 37.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 190 - - 233 - - -6 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1199 - - 2137 - - 991 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7173 - - 7909 - - 6782 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7884 - - 8822 - - 7676 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 526 - - 869 - - 1271 - - 334 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 260 - - 337 - - 0 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 28 - - 12 - - 0 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 5 - - 7 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 203 - - 257 - - 258 - - 195 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -5 - - -5 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4797 - - -5730 - - -5636 - - -3606 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12682 - - 14552 - - 13313 - - 10405 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12543 - - -11365 - - -11730 - - -12191 ODpotential blCL - - - 20427 - - 20187 - - 19406 - - 18989 blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 57 - - 54 - - 58 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.3 - - 52.5 - - 49.4 - - 37.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 12.2 - - 12.8 - - 15.4 - - 16.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.2 - - 50.9 - - 50.2 - - 42.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 11.9 - - 12.6 - - 15.0 - - 16.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 190 - - 233 - - -6 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1199 - - 2137 - - 991 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95415 74 268 62 261 67 266 80 264 95415 88491 56 264 48 280 50 279 54 282 88491 83195 28 278 39 282 38 290 35 295 83195 78780 17 297 33 285 35 289 27 306 78780 74931 14 296 30 285 33 280 28 312 74931 71481 13 306 19 293 23 275 27 303 71481 68339 21 302 21 304 24 281 27 287 68339 65476 25 294 24 297 26 282 30 273 65476 62845 24 297 18 303 25 287 26 272 62845 60287 29 314 28 308 26 301 27 290 60287 57599 43 305 37 297 37 295 41 290 57599 54794 48 304 45 297 43 292 48 286 54794 52101 55 305 53 297 50 289 50 285 52101 49665 55 300 56 293 54 289 56 280 49665 47471 51 301 54 294 50 291 52 277 47471 45472 46 302 47 295 46 293 48 280 45472 43633 43 305 41 298 43 291 47 283 43633 41938 42 308 41 295 40 293 41 280 41938 40378 42 310 40 291 38 291 38 279 40378 38933 43 307 37 288 41 279 41 282 38933 37586 44 303 37 285 37 272 43 273 37586 36303 38 309 40 284 33 273 42 260 36303 35027 31 304 39 280 34 272 39 253 35027 33728 30 291 35 272 35 263 38 253 33728 32410 29 293 31 269 34 259 36 253 32410 31059 28 298 30 276 35 261 38 255 31059 29666 30 305 31 279 37 261 39 256 29666 28232 33 307 30 289 35 268 36 260 28232 26762 34 317 31 299 31 280 31 269 26762 25258 35 327 31 305 29 293 27 278 25258 23724 36 338 30 311 27 300 22 284 23724 22157 37 347 27 326 25 302 19 289 22157 20550 32 352 25 347 20 314 17 287 20550 18929 25 359 21 001 11 326 12 284 18929 17374 21 007 12 004 5 300 14 251 17374 15960 17 012 8 005 4 257 15 248 15960 14694 14 014 6 360 5 257 14 256 14694 13555 10 013 5 348 6 265 11 264 13555 12527 7 006 5 337 7 270 8 272 12527 11598 6 351 5 328 7 275 6 278 11598 10758 6 334 6 323 6 283 5 272 10758 10003 6 331 5 317 6 298 4 270 10003 9322 6 338 4*298 7 305 3 283 9322 8700 4 344 4*265 8 299 4 288 8700 8141 0*327 5 258 7*280 6 282 8141 7667 1*201 5 256 7*265 6 271 7667 7299 2 203 5 255 7 258 7 257 7299 7044 2 203 5 253 7 255 6 244 7044 6888 2 205 5 252 6 253 3*224 6888 6798 2 201 5 253 5 253 1*195 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography