DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/08 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0703z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.3 - - 63.8 - - 68.4 - - 66.8 - - 54.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 74 - - 390 - - 430 - - 110 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 408 - - 5537 - - 11192 - - 10492 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit 6782 - - 10706 - - 15342 - - 13777 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top 7093 - - 12222 - - 17877 - - 17177 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 372 - - 5612 - - 2329 - - 3414 - - 504 Hgt.Variab. W* 134 - - 552 - - 720 - - 449 - - 4 W* B/S 4 - - 19 - - 11 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 5 - - 12 - - 12 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 104 - - 290 - - 287 - - 286 - - 283 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 12 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -9 - - -11 - - -10 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2495 - - -2818 - - 1474 - - -129 - - -7875 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9589 - - 15041 - - 16404 - - 17307 - - 14674 sfcLCL ODpotential -7283 - - -5162 - - -214 - - -2039 - - -11966 ODpotential blCL 14376 - - 17384 - - 18091 - - 19216 - - 18765 blCL maxRH 68 - - 55 - - 69 - - 58 - - 63 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.3 - - 63.8 - - 68.4 - - 66.8 - - 54.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.2 - - 21.2 - - 19.6 - - 14.1 - - 14.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.8 - - 61.4 - - 65.9 - - 66.1 - - 59.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.7 - - 20.4 - - 18.8 - - 13.5 - - 14.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 74 - - 390 - - 430 - - 110 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 408 - - 5537 - - 11192 - - 10492 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96720 42 262 52 253 50 254 45 264 49 262 96720 89438 33 271 39 274 44 269 45 279 37 269 89438 83881 31 276 30 265 37 271 45 283 38 282 83881 79304 34 293 25 283 22 277 30 276 35 289 79304 75385 39 306 31 308 20 299 21 277 25 290 75385 71908 37 300 37 300 32 298 27 299 25 305 71908 68730 34 285 33 286 34 296 33 299 32 298 68730 65796 29 283 29 292 33 293 33 295 33 290 65796 63070 30 298 30 301 33 289 32 292 30 293 63070 60418 40 303 36 298 32 288 33 290 27 299 60418 57645 45 296 40 293 34 292 35 290 30 293 57645 54768 45 293 44 291 40 292 37 293 33 288 54768 52022 49 296 48 292 47 291 43 293 36 286 52022 49544 56 295 54 292 52 285 47 289 38 287 49544 47315 54 297 55 293 52 281 50 284 42 288 47315 45292 53 301 51 296 47 282 49 280 44 283 45292 43464 56 302 49 304 44 289 43 282 43 276 43464 41811 60 298 52 303 47 294 44 282 42 277 41811 40292 56 295 52 298 46 290 44 278 45 277 40292 38875 47 296 47 296 43 286 43 278 46 273 38875 37546 41 303 43 298 42 290 41 280 45 271 37546 36276 39 307 40 302 41 294 40 284 44 272 36276 35004 38 309 39 307 40 295 39 287 42 274 35004 33704 38 310 39 312 37 295 36 288 39 278 33704 32381 38 310 39 316 35 296 35 288 36 278 32381 31025 39 310 37 320 33 299 34 288 34 278 31025 29626 38 309 34 321 32 302 31 289 33 279 29626 28188 36 304 32 317 29 304 27 287 31 283 28188 26714 33 297 30 311 26 307 23 286 28 285 26714 25210 30 295 31 299 25 312 20 292 27 288 25210 23685 29 295 32 295 25 313 18 299 24 291 23685 22130 27 295 27 297 25 310 17 306 19 290 22130 20539 23 307 22 303 20 306 15 309 15 286 20539 18940 24 321 19 313 15*307 12 308 13 284 18940 17407 24 316 19 313 13*301 10*301 11 284 17407 16009 23 311 19 304 12 299 11*296 10 284 16009 14757 22 314 19 303 12 296 11 294 10 283 14757 13628 21 320 18 306 12 292 11 291 10 283 13628 12604 20 326 16*312 12 289 12 289 10 283 12604 11675 18 332 13*318 12 285 12 286 10 284 11675 10832 13 332 9 316 12 282 13 285 10 287 10832 10071 10 325 6 301 12 281 13 284 11 289 10071 9382 7 316 4 273 12 279 13 283 11 290 9382 8750 6 315 4 262 12 277 14 282 12 291 8750 8180 3 332 4 258 12 276 14 281 13 291 8180 7695 4 105 4 254 11 275 13 281 12 291 7695 7317 8*107 4 253 11 274 13 280 12 290 7317 7053 7*104 4 251 11 274 13 280 10 288 7053 6891 6 104 4 251 10 273 12 280 7*285 6891 6799 5 103 4 250 10 273 11 280 4*283 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography