DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/15 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.4 - - 79.8 - - - - - 67.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 451 - - 150 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5494 - - 8456 - - - - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10725 - - 12566 - - - - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12179 - - 15141 - - - - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1924 - - 1978 - - - - - 638 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 577 - - 483 - - - - - 33 W* B/S - - - 36 - - 12 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 7 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 177 - - 013 - - - - - 344 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -17 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1489 - - 2892 - - - - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13668 - - 12249 - - - - - 6800 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3933 - - 671 - - - - - -4482 ODpotential blCL - - - 16112 - - 14470 - - - - - 11282 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 95 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 370 - - 560 - - - - - 1490 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.4 - - 79.8 - - - - - 67.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.6 - - 49.3 - - - - - 60.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.7 - - 78.6 - - - - - 67.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.3 - - 48.2 - - - - - 59.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 451 - - 150 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5494 - - 8456 - - - - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 21 - - 79 - - - - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99249 45 101 37 098 45 099 99249 91795 47 107 42 107 32 083 91795 86023 39 105 42 103 29 082 86023 81202 29 097 36 099 34 095 81202 77088 27 090 26 096 34 097 77088 73500 30 107 22 099 29 097 73500 70261 30 108 22 108 27 083 70261 67278 23 096 23 117 25 068 67278 64509 19 094 21 119 20 070 64509 61852 14 090 15 125 14 088 61852 59122 11 094 11 127 10 097 59122 56321 12 113 11 117 13 103 56321 53662 13 148 12 125 12 102 53662 51269 13 160 17 128 8 123 51269 49108 15 141 17 121 7 137 49108 47124 15 122 13 117 7 123 47124 45283 16 112 13 109 8 112 45283 43558 17 098 13 090 10 106 43558 41939 15 082 12 063 13 079 41939 40420 12 064 12 051 16 055 40420 39000 9 039 12 052 15 048 39000 37645 9 025 11 056 17 043 37645 36290 12 031 9 043 20 031 36290 34913 16 031 8 013 20 022 34913 33517 17 026 10 013 19 011 33517 32088 17 018 20 008 17 356 32088 30616 20 012 18 015 14 350 30616 29105 20 009 16 013 11 351 29105 27558 19 006 16 010 10 357 27558 25981 17 002 15 007 13 028 25981 24380 15 000 15 002 18 041 24380 22748 14 020 15 002 20 041 22748 21082 17 038 15 009 21 037 21082 19408 18 047 13 016 24 031 19408 17805 16 046 11 013 24 031 17805 16348 14 036 9*010 20 028 16348 15044 13 021 8*008 16 010 15044 13871 12 006 7 007 15 345 13871 12807 8*359 7 008 14 330 12807 11841 2*359 6 008 11 324 11841 10965 3 176 6 010 9 324 10965 10175 3 177 7 013 6 323 10175 9461 4 176 7 014 4 317 9461 8809 4 177 7 016 4 298 8809 8220 4 177 7 018 3 278 8220 7721 4 176 8 020 3 270 7721 7331 4 176 8 021 5 331 7331 7061 3 176 8 022 9 344 7061 6896 3 177 7 023 8 344 6896 6800 3 176 7 023 5*344 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography