DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/25 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.1 - - 51.5 - - 52.4 - - 47.6 - - 41.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 10 - - 81 - - 37 - - -7 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 220 - - 2939 - - 4377 - - 329 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6782 - - 8074 - - 8467 - - 6782 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 6905 - - 9624 - - 11062 - - 7014 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1817 - - 3542 - - 2948 - - 6112 - - 1359 Hgt.Variab. W* 56 - - 282 - - 260 - - 44 - - 19 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 14 - - 11 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 105 - - 183 - - 211 - - 277 - - 057 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 8 - - 8 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 5 - - -4 - - 1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 107 - - 2659 - - 3232 - - 215 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6798 - - 6965 - - 7830 - - 6799 - - 6798 sfcLCL ODpotential 1 - - -76 - - 274 - - -1723 - - -2060 ODpotential blCL 6904 - - 9700 - - 10788 - - 8737 - - 8858 blCL maxRH 100 - - 81 - - 78 - - 92 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 390 - - 710 - - 640 - - 720 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m 45.1 - - 51.5 - - 52.4 - - 47.6 - - 41.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.9 - - 44.3 - - 41.5 - - 43.9 - - 39.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.1 - - 51.0 - - 52.2 - - 48.3 - - 42.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.7 - - 43.0 - - 40.3 - - 43.1 - - 39.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 10 - - 81 - - 37 - - -7 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 220 - - 2939 - - 4377 - - 329 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 23 - - 12 - - 70 - - 44 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97386 17 261 23 244 28 265 20 266 24 279 97386 90087 9 247 11 252 10 274 8 276 11 293 90087 84495 2 181 2 230 2 300 3 231 6 005 84495 79844 6 055 3 185 3 281 5 356 4 021 79844 75840 6 011 4 062 5 144 7 253 6 303 75840 72317 4 293 7 339 7 097 5 198 8 314 72317 69133 4 270 7 314 4 069 4 162 5 266 69133 66211 8 222 11 249 5 344 4 346 1 098 66211 63498 5 199 17 180 10 244 5 274 4 273 63498 60871 6 268 11 162 14 219 10 214 14 233 60871 58120 20 247 8 124 11 189 12 161 13 208 58120 55240 32 216 24 222 25 228 20 226 22 226 55240 52482 31 210 31 211 31 212 30 212 28 222 52482 49988 25 203 26 205 30 206 27 201 30 217 49988 47738 22 203 25 201 27 208 24 204 28 206 47738 45681 24 224 23 205 27 218 25 211 29 213 45681 43793 36 232 28 215 33 223 24 227 25 232 43793 42057 45 219 40 215 37 219 32 235 37 239 42057 40453 48 207 46 205 40 216 38 229 38 234 40453 38956 49 203 45 206 45 209 41 224 40 238 38956 37556 53 208 54 208 49 207 43 219 41 239 37556 36224 59 208 63 205 53 208 44 216 40 235 36224 34895 66 205 69 204 62 206 51 213 39 234 34895 33546 74 202 71 202 67 201 56 210 37 237 33546 32184 74 200 71 200 67 200 57 207 35 233 32184 30804 75 197 72 197 65 201 55 207 29 224 30804 29399 79 196 75 195 59 201 48 202 23 222 29399 27967 77 196 74 196 52 202 36 197 21 220 27967 26507 66 198 64 200 46 204 27 203 19 198 26507 25017 49 201 53 201 37 205 23 203 17 167 25017 23501 36 201 43 200 32 203 21 203 16 167 23501 21955 28 195 32 199 31 202 23 206 12 192 21955 20372 25 190 28 196 29 198 24 207 10 231 20372 18778 23 187 26 192 25 191 21 205 13 224 18778 17250 20 183 24 189 23 189 19 204 20 217 17250 15859 18 184 24 188 23 190 20 200 25 215 15859 14612 18 185 23 185 22 193 21 199 26 218 14612 13492 19 188 22 185 20 196 21 201 25 223 13492 12480 19 191 20 183 19 198 19 206 21 231 12480 11563 18 192 20 183 16*200 16 214 17 242 11563 10733 16 188 19 184 15*201 13 226 13 243 10733 9986 13 178 18*184 13 205 11 242 10 238 9986 9310 12 163 17*183 12 208 11 255 7 229 9310 8693 10 148 16 183 11 215 11 263 3 164 8693 8137 9 142 15 183 10 217 11 265 6 077 8137 7666 8 135 13 183 10 218 11 270 11 056 7666 7299 7 124 12 183 10 219 11 274 13 052 7299 7044 6*111 12 183 9 219 10*276 11 052 7044 6888 5*106 11 183 9 220 9*276 9*053 6888 6798 4 104 9 183 8 220 7 277 5*057 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography