DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/03 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.5 - - 69.8 - - - - - 56.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 192 - - 235 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3252 - - 5297 - - - - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8203 - - 9839 - - - - - 6555 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9481 - - 11526 - - - - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1885 - - 1583 - - - - - 785 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 365 - - 458 - - - - - 7 W* B/S - - - 30 - - 33 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 182 - - 268 - - - - - 225 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 6 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 14 - - - - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4461 - - -3753 - - - - - -5987 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13943 - - 15280 - - - - - 12558 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10211 - - -7734 - - - - - -12831 ODpotential blCL - - - 19692 - - 19260 - - - - - 19402 blCL maxRH - - - 40 - - 60 - - - - - 57 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.5 - - 69.8 - - - - - 56.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.4 - - 25.7 - - - - - 25.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.7 - - 67.7 - - - - - 61.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.6 - - 25.1 - - - - - 24.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 192 - - 235 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3252 - - 5297 - - - - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97682 9 235 8 246 15 277 97682 90480 3 152 3 278 10 307 90480 84889 9 096 2 273 8 289 84889 80240 10 317 2 300 7 323 80240 76257 8 297 9 295 9 313 76257 72759 12 303 14 320 7 338 72759 69583 14 283 15 317 13 344 69583 66641 11 279 14 304 19 326 66641 63905 13 296 20 304 21 319 63905 61249 19 300 25 302 25 323 61249 58483 25 308 26 296 29 308 58483 55627 31 313 27 297 30 297 55627 52913 36 308 37 299 35 300 52913 50474 43 300 44 297 39 303 50474 48279 48 301 47 307 40 312 48279 46284 56 306 50 310 39 317 46284 44449 55 303 49 308 40 320 44449 42748 51 304 46 307 38 321 42748 41163 51 306 44 309 36 326 41163 39683 50 303 44 304 35 331 39683 38301 47 295 42 300 34 332 38301 36987 38 294 41 295 36 317 36987 35678 28 297 38 292 40 305 35678 34345 23 303 33 289 38 302 34345 32990 21 304 28 286 35 300 32990 31600 22 304 26 290 33 303 31600 30165 22 304 26 292 30 308 30165 28690 20 302 25 286 26 309 28690 27175 18 299 23 280 24 306 27175 25624 18 299 20 281 22 305 25624 24043 19 298 18 285 18 298 24043 22426 20 296 16 288 18 285 22426 20768 20 298 14 287 19 276 20768 19096 18 310 11 283 19 275 19096 17491 15 323 8 271 18 280 17491 16030 12 332 7 257 16 286 16030 14724 10 330 7 249 12 285 14724 13550 8 316 7 245 11 276 13550 12491 7 303 7 232 11 258 12491 11534 6 299 5*228 12 243 11534 10668 4 296 5*229 12 229 10668 9888 1*247 4 235 10 219 9888 9185 2*189 3 252 6 211 9185 8542 3 183 3 275 2 171 8542 7964 3 182 2 297 3 079 7964 7474 2 182 3 312 4 056 7474 7092 2 177 3 318 4 045 7092 6827 1 174 3 323 3 050 6827 6665 1 175 3 326 1 090 6665 6571 1 172 3 329 2*225 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography