DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/22 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.4 - - 39.1 - - 36.7 - - 35.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -3 - - 19 - - -17 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2044 - - 2675 - - 2208 - - 807 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 36 - - 85 - - 23 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 10 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 235 - - 229 - - 209 - - 176 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -13 - - -11 - - -8 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -802 - - -1052 - - -1172 - - -1651 ODpotential blCL - - - 7372 - - 7622 - - 7742 - - 8221 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 94 - - 100 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - 20 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.4 - - 39.1 - - 36.7 - - 35.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.7 - - 35.9 - - 35.1 - - 34.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 37.8 - - 39.4 - - 37.8 - - 37.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.6 - - 35.6 - - 35.3 - - 35.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -3 - - 19 - - -17 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 103 - - 75 - - 102 - - 91 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95804 36 315 31 338 38 342 28 350 95804 88778 27 310 27 322 26 322 16 320 88778 83268 30 313 18 301 30 314 23 316 83268 78702 28 298 25 287 35 318 28 318 78702 74784 20 273 29 259 28 293 24 295 74784 71324 11 291 25 265 19 266 23 259 71324 68180 18 279 32 286 27 304 22 293 68180 65272 40 275 43 275 42 281 32 272 65272 62596 48 258 52 250 49 246 46 252 62596 59996 49 231 51 237 54 246 47 248 59996 57226 52 248 51 252 56 258 51 257 57226 54321 63 262 65 263 69 264 68 262 54321 51551 80 262 82 262 83 262 85 257 51551 49069 91 261 91 261 93 259 91 253 49069 46844 95 263 98 263 102 261 93 257 46844 44822 100 264 109 263 114 260 103 259 44822 42973 107 263 115 260 116 257 112 258 42973 41273 114 263 114 260 112 256 114 256 41273 39704 121 264 118 263 114 261 117 258 39704 38252 126 262 124 262 121 264 122 261 38252 36910 126 260 124 259 128 264 124 262 36910 35641 126 258 120 257 129 263 123 262 35641 34377 125 258 117 256 122 261 121 260 34377 33087 123 258 116 257 112 259 118 260 33087 31774 116 259 113 257 104 258 106 260 31774 30428 108 259 108 255 94 259 95 260 30428 29044 103 259 99 256 87 262 88 262 29044 27622 99 259 89 259 84 264 83 261 27622 26164 96 259 84 259 83 263 80 261 26164 24675 91 260 79 256 79 259 79 261 24675 23159 86 260 78 256 70 253 76 259 23159 21611 79 259 78 261 67 252 70 252 21611 20026 71 259 73 262 66 258 64 247 20026 18432 65 257 68 257 62 264 60 253 18432 16908 60 256 64 254 55 264 58 265 16908 15527 55 256 56 257 51 258 50 271 15527 14297 53 258 51 263 49 255 40 269 14297 13192 52 262 47 265 46 261 35 261 13192 12192 50 266 43 265 41 269 32 253 12192 11286 48 266 40 264 34 270 31 245 11286 10465 46 264 37 261 32 264 31 236 10465 9726 45 261 35 256 33 253 30 230 9726 9058 45 255 34 249 33 245 28 225 9058 8447 43 250 32 243 32 240 26 222 8447 7897 41 246 30 240 29 237 24 219 7897 7430 37 243 27 237 26 233 21 215 7430 7066 31 240 24 235 21 228 17 207 7066 6813 26 238 21 234 16 223 13 197 6813 6658 22*237 17*233 13*219 10*187 6658 6570 13*235 10*229 6*209 6*176 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography