DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/04 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.6 - - 73.5 - - 71.6 - - 62.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 372 - - 419 - - 155 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5098 - - 6631 - - 4754 - - 343 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9880 - - 11155 - - 9219 - - 6555 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11327 - - 12860 - - 10983 - - 6572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1956 - - 2675 - - 3822 - - 4254 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 527 - - 600 - - 387 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 20 - - 12 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 9 - - 9 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 243 - - 279 - - 293 - - 180 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - 13 - - -11 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6467 - - -5094 - - -6908 - - -8866 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17795 - - 17955 - - 17891 - - 15438 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11721 - - -9828 - - -11639 - - -15633 ODpotential blCL - - - 23048 - - 22688 - - 22622 - - 22205 blCL maxRH - - - 43 - - 36 - - 36 - - 44 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.6 - - 73.5 - - 71.6 - - 62.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 14.1 - - 17.1 - - 15.6 - - 18.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.9 - - 70.7 - - 70.1 - - 67.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 13.2 - - 16.1 - - 14.9 - - 17.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 372 - - 419 - - 155 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5098 - - 6631 - - 4754 - - 343 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99693 34 115 26 105 29 094 32 094 99693 92197 28 110 26 110 26 096 25 097 92197 86396 28 105 26 114 19 097 21 089 86396 81563 16 082 23 108 16 128 18 064 81563 77401 14 112 19 099 16 123 14 075 77401 73730 14 095 9 098 14 106 14 104 73730 70393 11 079 3 170 6 043 14 078 70393 67317 7 074 2 151 7 012 9 052 67317 64480 6 044 5 220 9 318 14 013 64480 61749 11 328 3 009 2 260 5 223 61749 58912 13 290 14 288 14 305 11 311 58912 55965 27 300 27 287 28 293 20 294 55965 53148 40 298 36 289 36 293 40 302 53148 50621 57 296 53 299 50 303 59 306 50621 48370 72 292 72 295 67 300 71 304 48370 46335 81 289 79 290 77 296 80 302 46335 44478 85 289 83 291 86 296 87 300 44478 42764 89 290 88 293 91 296 88 299 42764 41171 87 290 91 295 92 298 87 302 41171 39684 83 292 90 295 93 300 88 303 39684 38297 81 295 86 296 94 301 89 304 38297 36978 77 297 82 297 92 301 91 302 36978 35660 71 297 79 297 89 302 91 300 35660 34313 66 296 73 296 83 303 88 300 34313 32942 62 294 67 293 75 302 82 301 32942 31538 61 292 63 291 69 300 73 303 31538 30092 59 292 60 291 66 298 66 303 30092 28608 57 293 56 292 62 297 61 302 28608 27087 53 293 52 291 57 296 58 301 27087 25531 49 291 49 289 52 293 55 300 25531 23945 45 290 46 287 48 290 53 299 23945 22327 41 288 42 287 43 288 50 300 22327 20670 37 288 37 287 37 288 47 302 20670 19006 33 289 32 286 31 289 41 299 19006 17419 28 291 27 285 27 291 31 299 17419 15981 23 292 23 283 24 293 25 302 15981 14694 17 290 18 279 21 296 20 304 14694 13536 15 280 13*269 18 297 17 305 13536 12486 13 270 10*263 15 296 14 307 12486 11534 9*250 9 265 12*293 11 310 11534 10672 7*239 9 268 10*290 10 314 10672 9895 6 238 9 274 9 289 8 317 9895 9192 5 238 9 279 9 290 7 318 9192 8550 5 241 9 285 9 293 6 318 8550 7971 4 245 9 290 9 294 4 312 7971 7479 4 250 9 295 9 295 3 300 7479 7096 3 254 9 297 9 297 2 283 7096 6829 3 259 9 298 8 298 1 271 6829 6665 3 260 9 299 8 299 1*203 6665 6572 2 263 7 301 7 301 1*180 6572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography