DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/17 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.3 - - 55.9 - - 60.2 - - 63.7 - - 55.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 30 - - 45 - - 89 - - 2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 343 - - 1244 - - 2113 - - 343 - - 343 BL Depth Hcrit 6555 - - 6555 - - 7058 - - 6555 - - 6555 Hcrit BL Top 6572 - - 7473 - - 8342 - - 6572 - - 6572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1120 - - 1948 - - 2149 - - 5464 - - 1243 Hgt.Variab. W* 93 - - 172 - - 256 - - 62 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 2 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 15 - - 8 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 171 - - 211 - - 133 - - 177 - - 134 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 10 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -19 - - -37 - - -8 - - -7 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1845 - - 902 - - 1112 - - -1624 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8418 - - 6571 - - 7231 - - 8196 - - 6572 sfcLCL ODpotential -5793 - - -885 - - -1268 - - -3569 - - -3648 ODpotential blCL 12365 - - 8358 - - 9610 - - 10141 - - 10220 blCL maxRH 85 - - 99 - - 94 - - 83 - - 70 maxRH CAPE 380 - - 110 - - 220 - - 760 - - 1120 CAPE Temp@2m 61.3 - - 55.9 - - 60.2 - - 63.7 - - 55.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.0 - - 51.5 - - 50.9 - - 50.1 - - 51.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.1 - - 55.1 - - 59.0 - - 63.5 - - 60.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.7 - - 50.7 - - 49.6 - - 49.0 - - 52.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 30 - - 45 - - 89 - - 2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 343 - - 1244 - - 2113 - - 343 - - 343 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 39 - - 97 - - 77 - - 32 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99019 9 128 10 202 8 027 8 037 1 088 99019 91659 4 173 6 178 3 324 6 018 3 083 91659 85949 5 202 6 287 7 183 8 280 14 351 85949 81173 6 277 3 210 9 243 12 278 16 316 81173 77059 12 280 6 258 9 251 13 275 12 307 77059 73422 10 260 11 288 8 269 12 270 13 301 73422 70116 8 255 7 264 11 262 12 287 14 277 70116 67088 9 257 6 254 12 236 13 278 10 267 67088 64292 10 255 11 261 9 225 12 231 10 272 64292 61582 14 267 10 253 8 250 8 257 9 237 61582 58765 12 250 15 245 15 250 16 297 7 281 58765 55849 10 242 20 231 19 234 24 262 13 302 55849 53058 23 229 22 236 27 243 33 241 19 256 53058 50545 35 215 41 218 45 231 41 227 29 231 50545 48287 43 219 39 216 49 230 51 229 46 228 48287 46243 53 227 42 228 58 233 60 229 54 225 46243 44383 69 229 72 231 70 227 70 227 62 225 44383 42673 77 228 87 226 78 223 78 223 71 224 42673 41087 78 225 88 224 81 222 80 221 77 222 41087 39606 75 219 71 220 76 220 79 219 77 222 39606 38224 75 212 51 209 68 218 74 218 74 222 38224 36910 75 207 48 211 57 215 67 215 66 221 36910 35598 74 206 45 212 47 207 58 212 57 221 35598 34261 72 207 42 212 41 197 48 211 48 218 34261 32902 67 208 40 211 41 196 39 212 42 217 32902 31510 58 209 37 210 39 198 36 213 39 217 31510 30075 48 214 34 208 38 204 35 215 37 219 30075 28600 44 226 32 205 35 208 35 219 36 222 28600 27087 38 231 30 204 33 211 34 223 35 225 27087 25540 28 229 28 204 34 218 32 228 36 227 25540 23962 23 221 27 204 34 223 32 232 36 229 23962 22350 22 216 26 203 33 228 33 235 36 230 22350 20697 21 214 25 202 33 234 35 236 35 230 20697 19033 21 214 24 199 31 237 36 236 33 233 19033 17442 16 209 23 197 30 240 35 236 30 237 17442 15997 12 212 22 200 30 241 32 237 26 240 15997 14704 12 220 20 206 27 242 28 237 22 241 14704 13540 13 216 19 207 23 241 22 230 18 237 13540 12487 14 214 18 207 19 238 15 216 16 229 12487 11534 15 223 18 207 13 234 14 204 15 224 11534 10671 17 233 18 209 9 225 15 195 13 224 10671 9894 20 231 19 212 8 204 14 187 13 224 9894 9192 24 220 19 214 7 182 12 182 13 219 9192 8550 25 209 20 214 9*145 10 180 13 206 8550 7970 23 196 20*213 9*138 9 179 11 190 7970 7479 24 175 19*212 9 134 9 178 9 177 7479 7095 23 165 17 211 8 132 8 179 7 168 7095 6828 20 164 14 211 7 129 7 179 5 158 6828 6665 17*165 13 210 7 128 6*178 4*144 6665 6572 9*171 8 209 6 126 5*177 2*134 6572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography