DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/17 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.6 - - 76.6 - - - - - 66.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 206 - - 88 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4822 - - 1900 - - - - - 343 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9431 - - 6935 - - - - - 6555 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11051 - - 8129 - - - - - 6572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4790 - - 6857 - - - - - 937 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 431 - - 251 - - - - - 42 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 10 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 4 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 204 - - 331 - - - - - 159 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - -6 - - - - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1042 - - -1199 - - - - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12094 - - 9329 - - - - - 6572 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3289 - - -4030 - - - - - -3395 ODpotential blCL - - - 14340 - - 12159 - - - - - 9967 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 94 - - - - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 530 - - 1740 - - - - - 1700 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.6 - - 76.6 - - - - - 66.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.0 - - 57.7 - - - - - 61.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.8 - - 75.5 - - - - - 67.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.2 - - 56.5 - - - - - 60.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 206 - - 88 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4822 - - 1900 - - - - - 343 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 87 - - 75 - - - - - 56 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 12 - - - - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99873 29 111 36 097 30 095 99873 92316 30 100 29 099 24 094 92316 86501 27 105 18 090 18 101 86501 81667 23 098 19 101 20 105 81667 77495 16 100 18 102 21 089 77495 73813 20 118 17 120 19 080 73813 70495 19 104 18 108 13 078 70495 67466 13 104 14 113 13 108 67466 64667 7 077 10 102 14 101 64667 61969 7 112 10 122 7 133 61969 59189 6 167 6 156 9 164 59189 56325 7 218 9 208 8 198 56325 53600 26 246 19 231 19 237 53600 51162 26 226 26 234 27 246 51162 48992 20 231 31 234 35 242 48992 47023 27 271 28 238 36 231 47023 45197 38 274 30 256 34 240 45197 43491 43 269 41 262 37 255 43491 41891 45 259 41 258 36 255 41891 40387 49 250 40 250 35 248 40387 38978 48 243 44 243 37 247 38978 37639 40 234 41 244 36 239 37639 36302 37 229 35 243 34 229 36302 34931 35 230 31 229 34 223 34931 33533 35 226 31 225 26 221 33533 32097 32 214 23 220 25 221 32097 30614 26 204 16 211 22 224 30614 29091 20 212 21 226 22 225 29091 27531 18 221 25 238 23 229 27531 25939 18 198 22 236 23 228 25939 24318 20 189 19 221 22 228 24318 22663 22 183 16 207 21 234 22663 20970 18 179 15 203 21 247 20970 19270 12 162 16 204 21 258 19270 17647 11 149 15 201 20 260 17647 16174 7 165 12 191 18 261 16174 14857 6 197 9 181 16 262 14857 13673 6 208 5 179 13 257 13673 12601 7 211 2 201 9 244 12601 11629 7*209 2 265 6 222 11629 10749 7*207 3 290 4 196 10749 9956 6 204 4 299 5 175 9956 9239 7 204 5 304 7 165 9239 8584 7 204 5*309 9 157 8584 7994 7 205 5*314 9 154 7994 7493 6 205 5 324 11 149 7493 7104 6 204 5 334 12 147 7104 6833 6 202 5 341 10 150 6833 6668 6 203 4 344 7*154 6668 6572 5 201 4 346 5*159 6572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography