DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/18 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 25.7 - - 24.4 - - 23.1 - - 15.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 51 - - 72 - - 15 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1389 - - 1717 - - 340 - - 339 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 - - 6551 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7618 - - 7946 - - 6569 - - 6568 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2456 - - 1916 - - 3059 - - 1816 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 181 - - 218 - - 75 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 17 - - 12 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 240 - - 248 - - 272 - - 238 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -20 - - -24 - - -2 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1050 - - 1378 - - 1 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6568 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 143 - - -148 - - -525 - - -1234 ODpotential blCL - - - 7475 - - 8094 - - 7094 - - 7802 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 91 - - 96 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 25.7 - - 24.4 - - 23.1 - - 15.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.5 - - 20.4 - - 21.0 - - 13.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 25.0 - - 23.5 - - 22.8 - - 16.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.8 - - 19.2 - - 20.9 - - 13.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 51 - - 72 - - 15 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1389 - - 1717 - - 340 - - 339 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 88 - - 65 - - 84 - - 59 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97023 19 098 21 104 20 107 21 098 97023 89809 15 117 13 105 16 097 20 102 89809 84188 17 128 10 098 16 085 16 084 84188 79508 16 120 10 099 7 114 15 072 79508 75460 13 099 13 114 6 119 9 052 75460 71873 7 126 6 092 5 125 8 053 71873 68611 6 111 8 138 3 142 10 034 68611 65581 5 030 6 187 7 214 2 288 65581 62747 4 251 8 210 13 213 11 231 62747 59975 12 265 8 238 13 240 13 247 59975 57053 25 243 20 253 17 254 21 256 57053 53997 24 237 22 241 15 267 22 250 53997 51066 21 263 17 253 21 276 17 264 51066 48426 27 258 18 280 27 264 21 284 48426 46063 28 244 26 282 28 262 25 278 46063 43923 21 237 29 262 26 268 26 271 43923 41964 20 244 29 246 28 268 27 273 41964 40161 25 243 28 240 28 268 27 273 40161 38491 27 240 24 242 26 266 28 272 38491 36941 27 241 22 254 23 268 29 268 36941 35511 29 244 25 258 23 274 28 265 35511 34167 32 243 27 248 25 270 27 264 34167 32844 37 242 28 241 27 259 27 264 32844 31517 43 228 29 247 25 252 26 263 31517 30195 42 215 31 238 22 234 22 244 30195 28872 46 211 34 213 24 196 19 203 28872 27549 50 201 37 203 31 167 32 171 27549 26214 44 190 41 203 32 162 43 154 26214 24853 42 188 39 206 26 163 42 155 24853 23464 40 197 35 203 23 164 32 166 23464 22055 38 209 31 196 22 167 18 157 22055 20622 33 212 28 197 17 169 11 174 20622 19159 29 213 26 201 8 169 6 242 19159 17688 25 214 25 195 5 255 12 278 17688 16279 24 213 21 185 10 276 10 297 16279 14997 23 215 8 184 14 296 10 309 14997 13848 19 230 4 299 17 307 11 312 13848 12811 17 260 8 312 19 311 13 303 12811 11873 19 281 8 309 21 312 17 291 11873 11021 19 289 8 302 23 308 20 281 11021 10248 17 285 10 293 24 303 23 271 10248 9551 17 271 12 281 26 293 26 264 9551 8921 19 252 14 270 27 284 31 260 8921 8345 21 243 16*257 28 278 35 254 8345 7826 22*241 18*249 28 275 35 248 7826 7384 21*240 18 247 27 273 32 244 7384 7040 20 240 17 247 25 272 28 242 7040 6800 18 239 16 248 22 272 23 240 6800 6653 16 239 15 248 19*272 19*240 6653 6568 10 238 9 248 12*272 11*238 6568 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography