DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/14 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 34.8 - - 39.4 - - 38.2 - - 35.4 - - 30.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - 55 - - 90 - - 7 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 1244 - - 1689 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 6553 - - 6609 - - 6553 - - 6552 Hcrit BL Top 6570 - - 7473 - - 7918 - - 6569 - - 6569 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 872 - - 1201 - - 1719 - - 2586 - - 964 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 177 - - 229 - - 59 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 11 - - 14 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 230 - - 214 - - 221 - - 222 - - 200 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - -16 - - -18 - - -7 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 904 - - 1348 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6569 - - 6569 sfcLCL ODpotential -2016 - - -1318 - - 191 - - -619 - - -2158 ODpotential blCL 8586 - - 8791 - - 7727 - - 7188 - - 8727 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 101 - - 101 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 34.8 - - 39.4 - - 38.2 - - 35.4 - - 30.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.7 - - 34.0 - - 33.2 - - 32.9 - - 28.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.5 - - 38.5 - - 37.1 - - 35.0 - - 31.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.7 - - 33.4 - - 32.7 - - 32.7 - - 29.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - 55 - - 90 - - 7 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 1244 - - 1689 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 100 - - 103 - - 103 - - 56 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96140 0 117 7 288 5 261 2 073 7 284 96140 89108 7 075 7 320 3 357 5 347 4 330 89108 83669 9 050 1 073 5 310 9 330 7 002 83669 79147 12 024 6 070 6 292 8 309 7 006 79147 75218 12 340 10 037 8 291 6 328 7 346 75218 71727 8 322 12 006 7 299 7 323 7 343 71727 68563 10 325 14 331 9 348 10 306 12 323 68563 65653 15 325 17 317 17 346 10 323 15 313 65653 62937 19 323 17 314 18 345 12 336 18 313 62937 60284 19 313 16 317 16 330 14 309 17 300 60284 57506 17 298 12 320 14 320 15 309 16 311 57506 54620 11 298 13 305 17 327 21 317 23 322 54620 51871 11 319 19 300 27 320 26 322 33 329 51871 49395 13 295 21 288 31 317 33 326 41 327 49395 47169 13 259 16 283 33 312 37 322 45 325 47169 45148 14 256 10 303 31 303 41 319 51 322 45148 43303 17 268 9 332 28 286 44 317 52 322 43303 41603 17 263 12 330 22 282 45 314 52 325 41603 40018 13 246 15 298 22 298 45 313 60 317 40018 38540 19 218 13 262 24 309 45 317 64 319 38540 37172 24 186 15 237 20 308 47 321 80 326 37172 35871 26 190 16 207 19 296 51 322 91 325 35871 34570 29 203 19 195 23 261 52 320 90 324 34570 33243 38 202 22 206 22 218 49 319 85 326 33243 31895 38 194 24 205 17 199 43 318 79 328 31895 30517 35 182 20 190 15 198 29 303 72 329 30517 29100 27 173 17 183 19 209 19 236 60 329 29100 27652 20 186 18 195 25 208 26 197 48 328 27652 26170 21 210 23 202 27 202 26 196 44 331 26170 24661 26 212 26 203 26 200 23 205 31 324 24661 23131 29 206 27 204 25 204 25 222 18 296 23131 21578 28 200 27 208 25 211 24 224 20 234 21578 19991 25 192 27 209 24 212 16 222 27 213 19991 18394 27 188 26 207 24 205 13 215 22 209 18394 16867 27 187 24 199 22 206 15 215 17 215 16867 15481 25 185 22 182 20 211 17 224 14 223 15481 14246 23 183 21 174 18 212 16 243 14 227 14246 13138 23 178 22 170 16 210 17 251 15 234 13138 12138 23 168 22 170 15 208 18 251 14 240 12138 11235 21 164 20 175 15 206 16 252 10 247 11235 10421 18 168 19 181 16 207 14 257 7 259 10421 9688 15 182 18 188 17 212 15 255 5 268 9688 9027 13 197 17 193 18 215 15 248 4 251 9027 8423 13 210 16 200 17*217 16 236 7 226 8423 7879 14 216 15*206 17*219 16 233 13 217 7879 7419 13 218 14*211 16 220 15 231 15 213 7419 7060 12 221 12 213 15 221 13 228 15 210 7060 6810 10 226 11 215 13 222 11 225 13 207 6810 6657 8*230 9 216 12 223 10 224 11*204 6657 6569 5*230 6 218 8 222 6*222 5*200 6569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography