DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/13 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 25.7 - - 33.6 - - 36.4 - - 30.7 - - 28.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -19 - - -13 - - -11 - - -15 - - -46 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit 6552 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6569 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 102 - - 473 - - 963 - - 176 - - 65 Hgt.Variab. W* 21 - - 41 - - 38 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 166 - - 196 - - 204 - - 181 - - 181 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -13 - - -8 - - -7 - - -10 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2319 - - -1538 - - -840 - - -729 - - -1781 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8889 - - 8109 - - 7410 - - 7300 - - 8352 sfcLCL ODpotential -13068 - - -10435 - - -8469 - - -9977 - - -12270 ODpotential blCL 19637 - - 17005 - - 15039 - - 16547 - - 18840 blCL maxRH 72 - - 59 - - 57 - - 56 - - 56 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 25.7 - - 33.6 - - 36.4 - - 30.7 - - 28.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 10.6 - - 21.5 - - 27.2 - - 22.2 - - 15.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 31.2 - - 35.5 - - 38.1 - - 35.8 - - 34.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 14.0 - - 20.5 - - 26.0 - - 23.7 - - 17.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -19 - - -13 - - -11 - - -15 - - -46 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95698 45 025 46 005 48 000 47 016 54 022 95698 88906 41 009 46 007 43 008 39 004 45 358 88906 83593 26 028 18 016 23 030 30 010 36 002 83593 79103 28 033 24 026 27 031 28 021 40 019 79103 75209 43 015 41 011 36 006 38 007 38 016 75209 71759 49 360 33 007 30 359 35 000 30 020 71759 68610 33 008 14 006 23 011 28 004 25 013 68610 65678 15 033 6 008 19 010 27 003 21 019 65678 62936 6 354 33 000 26 344 28 342 23 352 62936 60282 47 335 45 345 34 342 29 345 25 350 60282 57529 52 336 49 333 43 330 44 329 46 324 57529 54688 48 333 49 328 46 325 42 322 43 321 54688 51990 50 326 52 332 49 333 40 333 40 340 51990 49550 54 320 57 330 56 335 50 337 48 340 49550 47346 56 316 57 319 58 324 56 327 53 327 47346 45344 56 313 50 312 53 312 57 317 53 321 45344 43516 56 309 44 313 44 306 52 310 48 316 43516 41838 55 315 42 317 35 303 42 301 40 302 41838 40291 58 326 43 319 30 297 30 291 37 284 40291 38851 59 327 44 318 28 292 26 293 37 281 38851 37506 51 323 43 315 27 292 35 291 39 275 37506 36224 53 325 41 315 28 296 38 280 39 265 36224 34943 55 326 42 317 30 304 37 274 41 258 34943 33637 56 323 44 316 33 309 36 271 38 258 33637 32310 58 318 45 314 36 308 35 269 37 259 32310 30952 59 313 46 311 37 306 35 270 38 264 30952 29553 59 314 47 314 37 306 35 279 40 269 29553 28115 59 320 50 323 41 310 38 295 40 276 28115 26638 61 327 54 329 48 314 40 306 37 286 26638 25126 63 330 57 330 52 318 40 314 36 297 25126 23580 62 331 56 330 51 321 40 319 36 303 23580 21996 60 329 54 328 47 323 40 320 37 305 21996 20370 57 326 52 325 43 322 40 321 36 308 20370 18730 54 323 50 322 41 321 38 321 35 314 18730 17160 50 320 48 319 39 320 35 321 35 319 17160 15733 46 319 45 317 38 319 32 320 33 322 15733 14457 42 318 42 315 36 318 29 319 30 323 14457 13312 39 318 38 314 34 317 27 318 27 321 13312 12279 36 319 33 314 30 316 25 316 23 319 12279 11347 35 322 29 317 25 313 21 311 19 314 11347 10506 32 324 24 320 19 304 17 299 16 304 10506 9751 28 323 16 314 14 287 15 285 14 290 9751 9073 21 319 10 293 14 271 16 275 12 278 9073 8455 13 308 10 274 14 254 16 261 12 265 8455 7900 11 292 12 256 14 236 14 244 11 249 7900 7431 12 267 13 236 13 225 13 228 11 228 7431 7066 12 238 13 217 12 216 12 209 12 204 7066 6813 9 210 11 204 11 212 10 191 11 182 6813 6658 7*182 9*199 9*208 8*183 9*175 6658 6570 6*166 5*196 5*204 4*181 6*181 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography