DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/21 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.1 - - 56.5 - - 60.6 - - 55.4 - - 49.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -23 - - 75 - - 129 - - -1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 1423 - - 5141 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit 6554 - - 6554 - - 9408 - - 6554 - - 6554 Hcrit BL Top 6570 - - 7652 - - 11370 - - 6571 - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 333 - - 4484 - - 3449 - - 5964 - - 961 Hgt.Variab. W* 28 - - 208 - - 376 - - 14 - - 7 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 8 - - 11 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 130 - - 167 - - 204 - - 262 - - 182 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -12 - - -13 - - -1 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -1485 - - 1044 - - -1622 - - -293 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6570 - - 9138 - - 10327 - - 8193 - - 6864 sfcLCL ODpotential -3880 - - -3857 - - -786 - - -4041 - - -4548 ODpotential blCL 10450 - - 11509 - - 12156 - - 10612 - - 11119 blCL maxRH 98 - - 87 - - 78 - - 81 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 80 - - 150 - - 230 - - 130 CAPE Temp@2m 44.1 - - 56.5 - - 60.6 - - 55.4 - - 49.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.4 - - 39.2 - - 38.1 - - 42.2 - - 42.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.3 - - 55.5 - - 59.3 - - 57.0 - - 54.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.2 - - 38.1 - - 37.4 - - 41.5 - - 42.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -23 - - 75 - - 129 - - -1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 1423 - - 5141 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 91 - - 48 - - 12 - - 26 - - 55 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97373 3 088 2 140 4 289 6 314 3 021 97373 90196 5 017 4 039 3 055 2 016 8 353 90196 84630 7 019 3 337 5 044 5 012 4 015 84630 79996 4 020 5 288 6 360 4 353 5 045 79996 76016 8 091 8 211 8 277 9 311 4 299 76016 72511 6 338 4 169 6 235 10 281 9 261 72511 69327 4 234 7 185 11 234 9 265 9 275 69327 66369 1 359 5 216 12 226 14 247 12 250 66369 63601 10 243 9 240 18 210 14 218 12 200 63601 60929 13 229 15 225 20 216 20 236 11 225 60929 58154 16 231 20 219 28 214 23 222 18 255 58154 55276 34 234 31 226 31 227 38 233 47 233 55276 52541 41 231 39 226 42 227 47 223 54 217 52541 50066 43 234 43 225 52 222 52 225 44 222 50066 47824 48 237 50 230 52 222 56 229 50 226 47824 45787 55 234 61 234 60 232 59 232 74 240 45787 43939 60 231 68 235 70 236 78 234 92 238 43939 42247 66 236 73 240 82 236 89 233 94 236 42247 40673 77 239 80 239 83 235 90 235 94 233 40673 39202 82 233 76 234 79 235 85 235 92 232 39202 37831 55 227 67 228 76 234 78 235 84 233 37831 36531 53 246 59 228 70 233 73 235 75 234 36531 35235 61 252 57 237 65 233 69 234 67 237 35235 33912 57 251 61 242 60 233 64 235 62 237 33912 32570 52 248 63 241 57 234 61 234 58 233 32570 31195 50 243 62 239 56 234 57 232 52 234 31195 29777 46 239 57 239 53 232 54 234 49 235 29777 28318 40 239 51 241 48 229 49 236 51 229 28318 26820 37 240 46 244 40 229 41 235 51 224 26820 25287 33 234 41 246 34 234 35 231 47 224 25287 23722 27 223 35 248 30 240 28 231 43 221 23722 22123 23 215 30 247 28 240 25 239 42 229 22123 20489 23 220 28 245 24 245 24 241 26 246 20489 18849 23 224 26 240 20 245 21 238 13 231 18849 17281 22 225 24 236 20 234 18 238 16 215 17281 15857 22 225 23 230 20 224 19 229 19 209 15857 14585 22 224 20 216 20 217 19 221 20 204 14585 13439 20 224 18 212 18 211 19 220 21 199 13439 12402 19 227 15 207 17 209 17 212 21 203 12402 11462 18 228 13 200 14*204 15 197 20 207 11462 10612 17 225 11 194 13*202 13 194 17 207 10612 9844 16 216 10 189 12 202 11 197 14 208 9844 9152 16 205 10 188 12 203 9 201 10 208 9152 8518 16 192 10 184 11 204 8 207 6 205 8518 7948 16 178 10*176 11 205 6 216 3 167 7948 7464 16 163 10*167 10 207 6 226 4 105 7464 7086 16 150 9 167 10 207 5 234 5 098 7086 6824 14 136 8 167 9 207 4 244 5 112 6824 6663 12 130 7 166 8 207 3*252 4*128 6663 6571 6*130 6 166 7 206 2*262 3*182 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography