DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/02 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.1 - - 70.8 - - 70.6 - - 60.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 302 - - 283 - - 138 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5455 - - 8576 - - 343 - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10097 - - 12544 - - 6555 - - 6555 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11684 - - 14805 - - 6572 - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4967 - - 4507 - - 11459 - - 1102 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 511 - - 580 - - 157 - - 39 W* B/S - - - 22 - - 8 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 12 - - 6 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 240 - - 252 - - 242 - - 179 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 18 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 14 - - 7 - - -3 - - -17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -280 - - 2039 - - -6830 - - -2571 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11964 - - 12766 - - 13402 - - 9143 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2294 - - -241 - - -8189 - - -6265 ODpotential blCL - - - 13978 - - 15046 - - 14761 - - 12836 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 82 - - 83 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 440 - - 660 - - 390 - - 680 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.1 - - 70.8 - - 70.6 - - 60.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.2 - - 37.3 - - 34.4 - - 43.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.7 - - 68.6 - - 69.0 - - 61.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.9 - - 36.2 - - 33.3 - - 42.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 302 - - 283 - - 138 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5455 - - 8576 - - 343 - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 1 - - 29 - - 32 - - 43 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99654 30 100 35 118 27 107 31 097 99654 92080 34 116 26 111 26 110 26 099 92080 86242 24 126 18 110 20 105 22 106 86242 81411 21 121 17 113 16 096 21 094 81411 77252 19 117 17 115 12 095 17 107 77252 73583 10 130 15 113 12 102 12 099 73583 70264 15 126 6 146 10 107 9 093 70264 67209 10 113 7 153 5 144 4 067 67209 64374 7 228 7 123 7 122 4 162 64374 61621 12 196 8 223 6 109 7 098 61621 58725 12 166 17 212 13 233 6 286 58725 55709 11 202 17 194 15 217 12 231 55709 52840 17 239 16 233 12 244 10 230 52840 50261 27 236 24 238 18 248 15 243 50261 47955 30 232 27 234 21 237 21 248 47955 45872 31 230 29 237 20 247 23 255 45872 43967 30 229 32 240 23 257 25 255 43967 42218 31 232 34 235 28 252 24 251 42218 40616 33 234 34 229 31 242 24 256 40616 39154 34 233 35 229 30 234 24 260 39154 37811 35 234 36 230 26 234 22 266 37811 36534 34 234 36 227 26 239 22 268 36534 35256 32 235 32 227 26 239 22 262 35256 33951 30 236 31 228 25 240 23 260 33951 32621 31 236 33 231 25 241 24 257 32621 31255 30 235 35 232 27 240 28 246 31255 29845 28 233 34 232 29 238 31 235 29845 28394 26 234 33 232 28 236 29 227 28394 26904 24 236 29 229 27 237 28 222 26904 25380 22 238 25 230 26 239 27 228 25380 23825 22 237 24 238 26 245 24 240 23825 22233 24 236 31 241 28 246 21 249 22233 20599 28 237 34 240 33 245 22 260 20599 18955 31 233 31 242 33 249 22 270 18955 17386 27 233 28 244 27 251 19 275 17386 15958 22 236 27*245 23 251 17 274 15958 14677 19 243 23*246 19 247 16 268 14677 13521 19 245 19 247 16 243 16 263 13521 12474 16*243 15 248 15 242 16 257 12474 11524 10*238 12 251 13 241 15 247 11524 10663 5 233 10 255 12 240 15 232 10663 9886 5 235 10 256 11 240 17 214 9886 9185 4 237 9 258 10 241 19 200 9185 8543 4 241 9 260 9 241 23 190 8543 7965 3 244 9 262 8 241 27 181 7965 7474 3 250 8 263 8 242 28 177 7474 7093 3 254 8 264 8 242 26 177 7093 6827 2 256 8 264 7 242 22 178 6827 6665 2 257 7 265 7*242 18 179 6665 6571 2 262 6 266 6*242 10*179 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography