DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/08 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.8 - - 37.7 - - 39.5 - - 36.3 - - 34.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -44 - - 19 - - 17 - - -30 - - -60 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 266 - - 1259 - - 2278 - - 1028 - - 289 Hgt.Variab. W* 40 - - 89 - - 88 - - 44 - - 43 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 188 - - 201 - - 205 - - 184 - - 186 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -15 - - -13 - - -12 - - -13 - - -16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -393 - - -690 - - -1018 - - -29 - - -278 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6964 - - 7260 - - 7589 - - 6599 - - 6848 sfcLCL ODpotential -5726 - - -3940 - - -4431 - - -4585 - - -5548 ODpotential blCL 12296 - - 10510 - - 11001 - - 11155 - - 12118 blCL maxRH 85 - - 91 - - 96 - - 86 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.8 - - 37.7 - - 39.5 - - 36.3 - - 34.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.6 - - 29.1 - - 29.4 - - 30.4 - - 27.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 34.7 - - 38.0 - - 39.9 - - 38.2 - - 37.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.8 - - 28.0 - - 28.2 - - 29.3 - - 27.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -44 - - 19 - - 17 - - -30 - - -60 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 40 - - 63 - - 83 - - 42 - - 39 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96839 12 012 19 033 11 045 13 047 21 018 96839 89839 18 058 14 083 19 069 17 076 20 050 89839 84326 17 060 17 095 16 087 19 066 17 069 84326 79696 14 076 12 101 9 093 13 064 11 057 79696 75675 9 035 13 105 9 066 6 000 9 077 75675 72091 2 012 4 054 6 013 5 018 7 331 72091 68840 7 291 6 319 5 295 7 306 7 323 68840 65853 17 282 15 313 16 325 10 277 11 325 65853 63088 18 286 23 284 24 299 16 293 17 294 63088 60423 19 288 24 268 29 290 21 307 17 299 60423 57648 22 293 24 281 32 280 24 301 24 293 57648 54764 27 295 27 288 28 278 29 285 29 283 54764 51993 29 297 28 293 32 280 37 280 33 273 51993 49472 37 297 37 287 38 279 47 279 38 274 49472 47198 44 285 42 279 41 278 51 271 48 272 47198 45137 40 282 40 280 40 288 45 267 49 267 45137 43254 46 290 60 290 54 293 50 282 51 281 43254 41534 49 284 72 280 67 278 66 283 76 288 41534 39970 46 305 48 276 56 268 67 280 92 282 39970 38538 84 324 73 319 52 295 71 292 89 282 38538 37212 112 319 108 316 89 309 87 302 91 284 37212 35950 103 315 101 312 101 308 82 298 88 281 35950 34688 77 307 84 305 86 305 67 288 82 274 34688 33397 69 301 79 299 76 299 67 278 82 268 33397 32081 64 295 72 293 72 289 72 272 85 266 32081 30728 61 289 65 288 74 282 73 270 86 268 30728 29328 59 285 64 284 77 283 76 271 85 270 29328 27887 59 283 64 280 76 285 78 274 83 273 27887 26409 59 283 64 280 72 286 76 278 78 275 26409 24902 57 285 62 282 68 287 71 280 68 274 24902 23368 56 289 58 284 62 285 64 282 60 272 23368 21803 52 288 55 283 53 280 56 283 59 270 21803 20197 50 285 51 283 47 275 51 281 59 269 20197 18582 48 280 47 282 46 276 47 277 57 267 18582 17038 41 274 41 279 47 276 45 272 53 265 17038 15636 33 269 37 269 46 271 44 269 50 263 15636 14384 28 266 35 261 43 263 43 268 48 263 14384 13259 26 265 32 253 40 256 42 265 46 263 13259 12244 25 260 30 247 39 252 40 262 44 261 12244 11326 23 256 28 244 39 249 38 257 40 256 11326 10496 23 255 27 243 37 245 36 250 36 250 10496 9749 23 255 25 243 34 240 33 243 34 245 9749 9075 23 253 25 241 31 236 32 238 33 242 9075 8459 23 245 25 236 30 230 32 231 33 238 8459 7903 23 234 25 230 27 222 31 220 33 230 7903 7433 24 221 23 222 24 216 29 212 32 218 7433 7067 22 209 19 212 20 212 24 205 27 208 7067 6813 18 199 16 208 17 211 19 199 21 199 6813 6659 14*193 13*205 14*209 14*194 16*194 6659 6570 8*188 8*201 8*205 7*184 9*186 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography