DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/03 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.8 - - 57.0 - - 61.3 - - 61.2 - - 54.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 19 - - 195 - - 294 - - 91 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 342 - - 4804 - - 9236 - - 8110 - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit 6554 - - 9419 - - 13099 - - 11402 - - 6554 Hcrit BL Top 6571 - - 11033 - - 15465 - - 14339 - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1385 - - 4629 - - 3231 - - 4530 - - 9744 Hgt.Variab. W* 90 - - 431 - - 603 - - 397 - - 17 W* B/S 6 - - 16 - - 15 - - 12 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 169 - - 258 - - 292 - - 288 - - 329 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -2 - - -7 - - -5 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3723 - - -713 - - 1549 - - -533 - - -5428 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10294 - - 11746 - - 13917 - - 14872 - - 12000 sfcLCL ODpotential -6910 - - -3338 - - -591 - - -2622 - - -8053 ODpotential blCL 13481 - - 14371 - - 16056 - - 16961 - - 14624 blCL maxRH 65 - - 55 - - 60 - - 72 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 80 - - 90 - - 10 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m 49.8 - - 57.0 - - 61.3 - - 61.2 - - 54.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.8 - - 28.3 - - 22.9 - - 18.5 - - 24.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.3 - - 55.1 - - 59.1 - - 60.0 - - 57.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.2 - - 27.1 - - 21.7 - - 17.4 - - 23.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 19 - - 195 - - 294 - - 91 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 342 - - 4804 - - 9236 - - 8110 - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 75 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97680 7 221 18 220 23 257 14 288 14 204 97680 90197 7 224 11 223 15 241 15 257 12 268 90197 84459 10 210 12 239 11 243 9 242 12 289 84459 79717 5 214 8 226 9 250 9 261 14 292 79717 75634 3 322 6 293 5 308 10 291 13 321 75634 72029 8 344 7 317 7 315 12 304 16 329 72029 68768 8 345 8 332 7 275 14 306 15 316 68768 65763 11 329 13 306 9 271 17 306 14 304 65763 62970 14 309 14 295 11 298 19 312 15 301 62970 60259 16 309 17 293 17 309 21 315 17 304 60259 57422 18 315 18 294 23 311 23 307 22 303 57422 54471 18 311 16 301 24 304 25 295 28 300 54471 51650 18 302 18 302 25 293 25 291 31 295 51650 49114 19 308 20 300 26 284 25 302 30 288 49114 46857 22 311 23 311 25 281 29 306 30 286 46857 44830 24 309 26 307 23 287 31 298 29 285 44830 42992 24 299 24 300 23 296 30 289 24 296 42992 41314 25 292 22 303 21 298 25 288 22 313 41314 39776 27 304 21 311 16 293 18 296 22 319 39776 38356 38 286 23 316 10 305 13 312 17 305 38356 37039 40 274 30 309 12 335 13 318 9 299 37039 35784 36 278 37 297 21 332 13 325 6 010 35784 34527 32 299 40 288 29 313 15 327 12 024 34527 33244 37 311 35 287 30 304 16 325 17 023 33244 31939 40 311 31 296 26 304 16 326 18 018 31939 30601 39 308 32 304 21 309 16 326 15 014 30601 29223 35 303 32 306 17 320 17 320 12 018 29223 27807 32 304 33 311 15 330 16 315 9 006 27807 26356 31 306 25 318 15 335 13 311 9 344 26356 24874 28 305 21 319 13 317 9 321 9 347 24874 23361 24 291 20 318 15 300 11 297 11 347 23361 21813 20 292 19 320 17 299 17 296 20 318 21813 20231 18 298 17 320 16 301 18 303 20 313 20231 18640 18 295 16 318 14 305 15 318 16 317 18640 17115 18 289 14 316 11 305 13 326 15 304 17115 15726 19 288 13 308 9*302 10 322 13 290 15726 14482 16 293 12 300 8*291 8*316 11 292 14482 13361 13 301 10 293 7 289 7*301 10 296 13361 12343 11 314 8 285 7 289 7 292 9 301 12343 11419 9 332 7*277 7 288 6 289 9 306 11419 10580 8 349 5*262 7 290 6 288 9 313 10580 9823 7 001 5 258 7 291 6 287 9 321 9823 9138 5 007 5 257 7 293 6 285 9 328 9138 8510 4 001 5 256 7 294 6 285 9 333 8510 7943 4 329 5 256 7 296 6 285 9 338 7943 7461 4 288 5 259 7 298 6 286 8 341 7461 7085 3 223 4 259 7 299 6 286 7 342 7085 6823 4 174 4 260 7 299 5 286 6 341 6823 6663 3*172 4 260 6 299 5 286 4*334 6663 6571 3*169 3 261 6 301 4 287 3*329 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography