DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/15 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 25.8 - - 29.2 - - 23.3 - - 17.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -3 - - 18 - - -5 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 587 - - 839 - - 538 - - 340 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 33 - - 81 - - 20 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 20 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 196 - - 314 - - 133 - - 175 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - 1 - - -3 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -732 - - -70 - - 0 - - -862 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7301 - - 6639 - - 6569 - - 7431 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9364 - - -6167 - - -5351 - - -8587 ODpotential blCL - - - 15933 - - 12736 - - 11920 - - 15156 blCL maxRH - - - 64 - - 74 - - 80 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 25.8 - - 29.2 - - 23.3 - - 17.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 17.5 - - 23.5 - - 20.4 - - 9.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 26.8 - - 29.0 - - 26.0 - - 22.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.8 - - 22.5 - - 21.6 - - 16.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -3 - - 18 - - -5 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96616 34 059 45 054 42 068 41 062 96616 89692 31 062 38 062 36 075 46 070 89692 84227 27 066 36 064 40 062 42 070 84227 79621 18 053 20 057 35 053 36 068 79621 75605 18 072 8 061 27 046 27 060 75605 72029 22 058 14 072 14 007 22 045 72029 68779 18 004 17 055 13 037 10 020 68779 65791 8 321 18 357 16 034 14 063 65791 63005 9 079 3 165 6 313 23 060 63005 60264 34 351 22 321 15 333 9 002 60264 57422 42 322 30 319 26 310 30 303 57422 54522 36 312 40 325 42 330 37 326 54522 51746 48 315 55 312 58 324 46 334 51746 49222 57 313 65 308 64 316 55 331 49222 46944 63 311 72 309 66 315 61 331 46944 44876 68 311 75 313 68 321 69 331 44876 42994 76 312 78 318 76 325 78 327 42994 41278 85 313 84 323 84 324 83 320 41278 39704 90 313 89 324 86 322 81 316 39704 38251 94 313 88 323 84 322 70 320 38251 36903 92 313 87 322 75 323 66 335 36903 35623 91 316 86 321 65 328 81 348 35623 34351 94 317 81 320 64 341 99 350 34351 33060 91 314 72 323 77 352 108 349 33060 31752 82 314 66 335 89 354 107 349 31752 30411 74 320 71 344 94 354 101 350 30411 29029 69 328 76 346 91 353 95 349 29029 27608 67 335 77 343 84 349 89 345 27608 26152 64 338 72 339 78 342 85 343 26152 24664 60 340 63 337 75 337 81 343 24664 23146 56 342 57 336 74 335 76 344 23146 21594 51 346 55 337 72 335 73 345 21594 20004 47 349 55 339 69 335 70 346 20004 18402 44 351 54 339 66 336 69 346 18402 16870 44 349 52 338 62 338 67 345 16870 15479 43 345 50 337 57 339 64 344 15479 14238 39 342 47 338 52 341 59 344 14238 13126 36 343 44 340 47 343 53 344 13126 12125 33 349 39 342 43 346 47 345 12125 11222 31 354 34 344 40 347 42 345 11222 10406 28 355 29 346 35 345 38 344 10406 9672 25 352 23 346 30 341 35 342 9672 9010 20 345 18 343 24 333 31 340 9010 8406 15 326 14 329 19 320 27 331 8406 7864 12 303 13 311 15 305 21 318 7864 7406 10 285 10 295 11 291 15 303 7406 7051 8 265 7 292 6 281 10 294 7051 6805 5 232 5 306 4 280 5 284 6805 6655 3*199 4*310 1*272 2*231 6655 6569 2*196 3*314 0*133 3*175 6569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography