DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/18 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 33.7 - - 39.8 - - 43.9 - - 42.0 - - 36.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 145 - - 142 - - -4 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 2519 - - 2697 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 7567 - - 7689 - - 6553 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6569 - - 8748 - - 8926 - - 6570 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3019 - - 1385 - - 1519 - - 2942 - - 409 Hgt.Variab. W* 33 - - 310 - - 316 - - 26 - - 18 W* B/S 1 - - 24 - - 8 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 2 - - 7 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 290 - - 301 - - 273 - - 256 - - 188 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -7 - - -1 - - -1 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -361 - - -1059 - - -2048 - - -1874 - - -217 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6930 - - 9808 - - 10974 - - 8444 - - 6787 sfcLCL ODpotential -2532 - - -10460 - - -10039 - - -7855 - - -8442 ODpotential blCL 9101 - - 19208 - - 18965 - - 14425 - - 15012 blCL maxRH 69 - - 62 - - 74 - - 56 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 33.7 - - 39.8 - - 43.9 - - 42.0 - - 36.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.6 - - 20.1 - - 19.0 - - 28.1 - - 30.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 33.9 - - 38.4 - - 42.5 - - 42.6 - - 40.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.6 - - 18.9 - - 17.9 - - 26.9 - - 29.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 145 - - 142 - - -4 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 2519 - - 2697 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 23 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96983 28 252 25 274 26 259 23 270 27 258 96983 89892 11 275 15 265 18 255 22 271 20 281 89892 84359 14 289 16 257 19 243 19 266 13 287 84359 79722 10 280 11 240 15 249 20 259 19 292 79722 75718 15 294 16 271 16 256 22 266 23 277 75718 72181 16 285 21 257 19 253 20 250 19 248 72181 68960 15 298 18 236 22 263 21 275 12 265 68960 65988 18 289 18 260 24 264 27 269 19 284 65988 63247 17 271 13 284 20 251 23 256 22 259 63247 60597 14 279 10 288 10 276 10 270 14 232 60597 57838 20 342 24 313 26 296 29 302 26 297 57838 54996 24 280 32 297 31 289 35 288 41 284 54996 52288 34 320 39 308 31 309 35 291 39 289 52288 49851 55 321 49 309 48 314 41 298 41 297 49851 47665 55 319 49 313 57 314 51 311 47 306 47665 45674 57 326 56 323 70 317 64 315 58 308 45674 43841 75 331 81 318 76 314 70 313 66 306 43841 42142 91 322 87 309 71 315 70 315 71 303 42142 40558 96 311 77 313 74 320 76 317 73 302 40558 39079 86 308 64 322 78 322 82 317 75 305 39079 37702 74 317 62 330 82 323 84 314 78 307 37702 36398 74 335 75 331 84 325 80 314 78 306 36398 35102 85 343 80 325 82 324 74 314 74 305 35102 33783 90 338 78 320 77 321 69 314 68 304 33783 32441 90 332 76 320 71 316 67 311 63 303 32441 31065 89 329 78 323 71 309 65 309 60 304 31065 29645 89 326 81 325 71 303 64 308 59 305 29645 28187 90 326 84 326 67 310 64 308 56 305 28187 26691 91 332 75 322 65 319 64 310 52 305 26691 25162 91 339 63 319 63 325 62 314 49 305 25162 23604 85 341 59 329 60 325 58 318 45 305 23604 22010 77 334 59 336 57 324 53 321 42 304 22010 20375 74 325 57 328 56 323 48 321 38 306 20375 18727 72 323 61 322 55 319 45 321 33 310 18727 17150 68 326 60 323 51 316 45 319 30 313 17150 15717 58 329 52 324 45 318 43 316 28 311 15717 14439 47 329 43 322 38 320 37 310 28 307 14439 13297 39 328 36 321 33 320 30 303 27 301 13297 12269 32 330 30 320 28 317 25 299 24 290 12269 11341 27 336 25 322 22 313 21 295 21 276 11341 10505 23 344 18 326 16 306 16 282 20 265 10505 9754 18 352 11 328 10 288 13 262 19 259 9754 9078 15 359 5*321 8*271 12 247 18 252 9078 8461 13 359 3*303 8*270 10 238 17 243 8461 7906 11 351 3 297 7 271 7 236 16 235 7906 7436 11 335 2 299 7 272 6 238 14 228 7436 7070 11 316 2 303 7 275 5 241 11 217 7070 6815 10 301 2 304 7 276 4 245 8 196 6815 6659 9 296 2 304 6 277 3*252 6*182 6659 6570 4*290 2 310 5 278 2*256 4*188 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography