DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/27 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.6 - - 35.2 - - 37.9 - - 36.7 - - 32.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 2 - - 46 - - 76 - - -3 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 341 - - 2710 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit 6552 - - 6553 - - 7323 - - 6553 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6569 - - 6570 - - 8939 - - 6570 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1989 - - 3625 - - 2222 - - 3750 - - 721 Hgt.Variab. W* 48 - - 112 - - 259 - - 27 - - 18 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 9 - - 12 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 218 - - 227 - - 241 - - 241 - - 173 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - -8 - - -12 - - -2 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -106 - - 1613 - - -235 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6569 - - 6676 - - 7326 - - 6805 - - 6570 sfcLCL ODpotential -1893 - - -1412 - - -120 - - -2355 - - -3293 ODpotential blCL 8462 - - 7982 - - 9059 - - 8925 - - 9863 blCL maxRH 90 - - 88 - - 92 - - 90 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.6 - - 35.2 - - 37.9 - - 36.7 - - 32.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.2 - - 28.9 - - 28.8 - - 29.7 - - 27.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 31.3 - - 34.4 - - 36.9 - - 37.2 - - 34.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.6 - - 27.8 - - 27.6 - - 28.6 - - 26.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 2 - - 46 - - 76 - - -3 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 341 - - 2710 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 61 - - 51 - - 66 - - 59 - - 22 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96701 14 267 26 258 26 279 18 278 28 270 96701 89608 6 281 14 251 17 255 18 293 16 282 89608 84114 7 316 4 184 13 233 14 284 11 291 84114 79512 7 257 1 219 10 233 11 248 9 280 79512 75525 9 231 2 196 9 243 9 252 10 241 75525 71982 8 226 8 221 12 249 7 258 11 250 71982 68763 9 240 11 217 16 237 19 260 21 271 68763 65791 11 225 10 213 18 218 25 240 21 254 65791 63013 12 231 10 184 15 196 24 239 22 240 63013 60291 18 225 23 234 19 244 23 242 25 242 60291 57427 23 239 30 229 24 235 25 246 28 247 57427 54444 27 228 31 239 27 240 32 250 30 256 54444 51598 31 235 36 243 34 247 34 252 34 261 51598 49051 33 238 34 240 37 247 36 252 35 255 49051 46788 26 230 32 243 39 243 38 246 37 254 46788 44749 25 255 35 251 40 250 35 248 39 258 44749 42889 38 266 43 258 47 260 44 263 44 261 42889 41179 48 271 52 264 60 263 58 257 52 259 41179 39595 63 273 67 268 75 263 72 256 58 257 39595 38123 75 273 79 266 88 260 86 256 65 255 38123 36756 86 276 85 267 93 258 94 254 73 254 36756 35461 95 279 91 270 95 259 97 254 79 254 35461 34175 99 280 94 271 96 260 100 255 82 253 34175 32868 102 280 95 270 95 260 102 255 87 253 32868 31545 104 280 96 268 94 259 102 252 93 252 31545 30194 102 278 97 267 94 258 101 252 97 250 30194 28808 98 276 97 266 92 258 98 253 94 248 28808 27391 95 274 96 267 91 258 92 255 86 248 27391 25944 89 271 91 269 87 258 85 256 80 249 25944 24469 83 267 85 267 80 257 78 256 76 249 24469 22969 79 265 77 262 73 258 73 254 73 249 22969 21439 75 265 71 258 69 258 68 253 69 249 21439 19876 70 264 65 258 66 258 65 253 61 250 19876 18306 62 266 60 260 61 258 57 255 53 251 18306 16805 53 272 53 262 55 259 49 255 46 251 16805 15442 44 277 44 265 49 260 41 253 42 252 15442 14223 35 277 37 269 41 261 35 251 40 253 14223 13126 28 271 32 270 36 260 30 249 37 253 13126 12136 24 263 29 266 32 256 26 249 33 254 12136 11239 22 257 27 257 28 247 23 247 29 257 11239 10427 21 254 27 250 23 240 20 243 26 260 10427 9695 20 254 25 246 19 236 17 238 22 261 9695 9034 21 252 23 242 17*235 15 231 19 262 9034 8430 22 248 20 234 15*237 13 227 17 258 8430 7886 22 241 19 231 14 239 11 227 15 247 7886 7423 19 231 18 229 13 242 9 229 13 229 7423 7062 17 225 16 229 12 243 7 233 11 206 7062 6811 14 222 15 229 11 245 5 237 9 184 6811 6658 12*220 13*228 10 246 4*239 8*174 6658 6570 6*218 9*227 7 246 2*241 4*173 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography