DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/03 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.9 - - 72.6 - - 73.0 - - 63.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 315 - - 327 - - 142 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6056 - - 9899 - - 8394 - - 343 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10587 - - 13690 - - 11959 - - 6555 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12285 - - 16128 - - 14623 - - 6572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4961 - - 3541 - - 5010 - - 2082 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 535 - - 637 - - 460 - - 22 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 12 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 258 - - 252 - - 258 - - 096 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 14 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 13 - - -8 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 115 - - 2173 - - -392 - - -3086 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12171 - - 13956 - - 15015 - - 9658 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2387 - - 255 - - -2536 - - -6607 ODpotential blCL - - - 14672 - - 15873 - - 17159 - - 13179 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 84 - - 59 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 440 - - 390 - - 160 - - 920 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.9 - - 72.6 - - 73.0 - - 63.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.1 - - 34.0 - - 29.8 - - 43.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.5 - - 70.2 - - 71.5 - - 65.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.9 - - 32.8 - - 28.6 - - 43.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 315 - - 327 - - 142 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6056 - - 9899 - - 8394 - - 343 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 35 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99615 32 116 23 101 29 102 31 089 99615 92063 23 123 21 097 26 088 26 092 92063 86255 18 121 16 106 19 091 22 095 86255 81444 19 112 16 113 14 105 15 086 81444 77305 19 108 18 127 8 110 14 073 77305 73640 15 107 15 120 10 122 12 079 73640 70313 7 087 14 109 11 103 8 080 70313 67259 8 104 8 108 11 109 4 107 67259 64428 7 103 7 151 3 097 3 187 64428 61678 4 203 1 188 2 104 7 162 61678 58802 14 218 14 265 12 278 4 302 58802 55820 10 217 16 250 19 268 15 322 55820 52988 7 236 12 259 19 268 23 284 52988 50446 14 283 15 282 16 291 24 304 50446 48173 18 286 21 300 32 300 30 305 48173 46109 25 297 30 292 33 294 30 298 46109 44213 28 288 29 280 31 291 30 297 44213 42466 24 270 27 273 33 285 31 300 42466 40858 21 255 27 266 34 274 32 301 40858 39380 23 264 28 267 34 266 33 293 39380 38017 23 266 29 263 34 265 32 281 38017 36731 23 270 31 253 32 269 28 274 36731 35446 24 267 33 248 31 277 27 273 35446 34131 26 265 35 250 31 284 28 278 34131 32788 25 260 34 256 30 293 28 279 32788 31408 30 266 32 259 29 292 28 278 31408 29984 27 270 31 261 30 281 31 279 29984 28519 20 263 31 261 30 270 34 281 28519 27018 19 263 30 257 30 262 33 286 27018 25484 19 262 28 254 31 264 28 288 25484 23920 21 263 28 256 29 265 27 281 23920 22322 24 264 27 260 26 265 28 276 22322 20684 26 261 26 262 24 265 27 269 20684 19036 26 260 24 261 22 264 25 262 19036 17459 25 261 22*255 21 263 22 259 17459 16021 24 260 20*251 19 261 21 257 16021 14730 23 261 17 248 15*257 19 252 14730 13567 20 265 15 248 14*255 17 245 13567 12513 16*265 12 250 11 254 15 237 12513 11556 14*263 11 252 10 254 12 229 11556 10690 12 260 11 253 8 255 9 215 10690 9909 11 255 10 255 8 257 6 189 9909 9204 10 255 10 256 7 259 5 149 9204 8559 10 255 10 258 6 261 7 115 8559 7977 10 256 9 259 6 263 9 101 7977 7483 9 257 9 260 5 264 11 096 7483 7098 9 259 8 262 5 266 12 095 7098 6830 8 259 8 262 5 266 11 095 6830 6666 8 260 8 262 5 267 8*095 6666 6572 7 261 7 263 4 269 4*096 6572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography