DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/15 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.3 - - 75.0 - - - - - 71.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 210 - - 176 - - - - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2366 - - 2729 - - - - - 343 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7591 - - 7793 - - - - - 6556 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8595 - - 8958 - - - - - 6572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3603 - - 3901 - - - - - 3767 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 339 - - 337 - - - - - 18 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 16 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 4 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 293 - - 134 - - - - - 027 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -12 - - - - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2699 - - -2161 - - - - - -3069 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11294 - - 11120 - - - - - 9641 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5448 - - -4602 - - - - - -6743 ODpotential blCL - - - 14043 - - 13560 - - - - - 13315 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 100 - - - - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 100 - - 240 - - - - - 860 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.3 - - 75.0 - - - - - 71.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.3 - - 48.7 - - - - - 52.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.3 - - 73.2 - - - - - 73.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.7 - - 48.1 - - - - - 51.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 210 - - 176 - - - - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2366 - - 2729 - - - - - 343 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 89 - - 102 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99802 43 100 35 100 31 093 99802 92203 31 099 31 105 29 089 92203 86361 23 110 25 109 25 094 86361 81553 25 116 22 117 28 098 81553 77428 26 108 20 114 20 095 77428 73773 19 105 18 126 12 077 73773 70464 14 106 18 139 7 100 70464 67444 8 099 14 132 16 145 67444 64659 15 178 10 187 13 131 64659 61967 24 175 20 206 7 225 61967 59173 23 159 18 200 11 210 59173 56285 18 224 17 204 19 213 56285 53546 38 227 29 226 27 235 53546 51101 45 222 39 221 39 234 51101 48913 47 219 45 220 45 228 48913 46917 44 216 52 221 50 229 46917 45080 40 222 55 215 56 229 45080 43373 39 224 42 207 58 227 43373 41779 36 220 34 219 49 223 41779 40288 34 216 37 220 40 218 40288 38890 33 218 39 217 38 228 38890 37550 34 220 39 222 36 237 37550 36207 37 218 36 230 34 238 36207 34839 37 218 32 229 36 233 34839 33448 35 212 32 233 36 226 33448 32021 30 212 30 224 32 234 32021 30550 27 224 29 213 31 245 30550 29040 26 215 27 212 27 244 29040 27493 19 224 22 212 25 233 27493 25914 19 239 19 215 24 229 25914 24308 19 241 19 224 21 234 24308 22668 21 223 18 231 19 229 22668 20989 25 214 14 255 17 224 20989 19296 23 215 12 267 15 223 19296 17676 20 222 16 267 13 231 17676 16202 20 223 17 246 7 246 16202 14883 19 213 16 226 4 285 14883 13695 14 198 16 217 5 309 13695 12620 6 182 13 228 6 299 12620 11646 5 330 11 232 6 281 11646 10764 8 332 9 226 4 271 10764 9969 7 323 7 211 3 281 9969 9251 6*304 5*194 3 330 9251 8595 6*294 5*175 5 007 8595 8003 6 292 4 145 7 022 8003 7500 6 291 4 131 8 028 7500 7108 6 293 4 120 8 031 7108 6836 6 294 4 114 8 032 6836 6668 5 296 4 112 6 032 6668 6572 5 298 3 110 4*027 6572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography