DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/14 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.1 - - 60.0 - - - - - 56.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 146 - - 117 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1872 - - 2027 - - - - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7114 - - 7121 - - - - - 6555 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8101 - - 8256 - - - - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2334 - - 2613 - - - - - 2363 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 282 - - 270 - - - - - 8 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 9 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 242 - - 238 - - - - - 144 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 6 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -11 - - 10 - - - - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1530 - - 1400 - - - - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6571 - - 6857 - - - - - 6571 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 219 - - -303 - - - - - -3391 ODpotential blCL - - - 7882 - - 8559 - - - - - 9962 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 100 - - - - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 560 - - 680 - - - - - 600 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.1 - - 60.0 - - - - - 56.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.5 - - 52.2 - - - - - 50.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.7 - - 58.5 - - - - - 59.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.7 - - 51.3 - - - - - 50.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 146 - - 117 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1872 - - 2027 - - - - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 91 - - 100 - - - - - 35 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99700 25 131 20 110 25 106 99700 92189 23 116 15 117 13 107 92189 86377 13 115 12 118 13 123 86377 81528 12 148 10 163 12 103 81528 77341 14 142 14 167 10 088 77341 73648 12 113 10 151 5 124 73648 70315 7 139 13 162 3 164 70315 67253 9 131 11 149 4 236 67253 64422 3 142 7 181 6 208 64422 61687 8 194 11 207 7 304 61687 58852 8 205 11 196 18 251 58852 55929 21 255 18 248 21 229 55929 53132 30 243 28 245 22 232 53132 50604 41 237 45 239 34 241 50604 48342 51 226 53 229 45 232 48342 46294 55 218 57 220 47 220 46294 44424 56 216 63 220 46 217 44424 42700 61 216 75 218 51 229 42700 41104 68 221 82 218 68 230 41104 39619 80 225 84 220 73 227 39619 38238 86 226 81 222 70 226 38238 36926 82 227 77 224 66 227 36926 35619 67 226 70 226 65 224 35619 34287 59 226 65 223 62 221 34287 32930 59 227 61 230 54 224 32930 31534 61 226 55 235 55 221 31534 30092 60 227 47 237 51 232 30092 28608 55 230 39 234 39 242 28608 27086 45 232 29 229 28 240 27086 25532 33 235 34 232 25 236 25532 23949 28 238 29 232 23 245 23949 22333 25 239 27 234 21 250 22333 20678 23 239 26 231 18 251 20678 19011 22 240 24 233 16 265 19011 17417 22 243 22 242 16 266 17417 15971 22 245 21 245 16 267 15971 14678 23 245 20 241 16 271 14678 13516 23 247 21 237 16 275 13516 12466 23 249 22 236 15 276 12466 11515 23 249 20 235 13 276 11515 10655 22 248 17 232 11 273 10655 9879 21 248 14 231 10 263 9879 9180 20 246 13 231 9 247 9180 8540 18*244 12*233 8 231 8540 7963 17*242 11*235 7 217 7963 7474 14 242 10 237 5 206 7474 7093 13 242 9 238 4 190 7093 6827 12 242 8 239 4 169 6827 6665 11 242 7 240 4 150 6665 6571 8 242 5 241 3*144 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography