DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/05 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.1 - - 81.8 - - - - - 70.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 280 - - 226 - - - - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8200 - - 14685 - - - - - 343 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12241 - - 17337 - - - - - 6555 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14429 - - 20914 - - - - - 6572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 6678 - - 1093 - - - - - 200 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 571 - - 647 - - - - - 28 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 10 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 12 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 220 - - 244 - - - - - 163 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 12 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -12 - - 24 - - - - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1025 - - 4722 - - - - - -6772 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15455 - - 16192 - - - - - 13345 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3585 - - 2081 - - - - - -10477 ODpotential blCL - - - 18014 - - 18833 - - - - - 17049 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 98 - - - - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 220 - - 270 - - - - - 110 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.1 - - 81.8 - - - - - 70.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.9 - - 33.2 - - - - - 35.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.0 - - 79.7 - - - - - 73.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.7 - - 32.0 - - - - - 34.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 280 - - 226 - - - - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8200 - - 14685 - - - - - 343 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 21 - - 93 - - - - - 22 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99517 32 099 29 097 31 094 99517 91962 26 099 27 110 29 096 91962 86145 23 110 23 105 21 092 86145 81332 24 117 14 099 16 102 81332 77198 25 106 12 115 17 088 77198 73559 15 094 20 114 12 064 73559 70275 9 089 11 096 6 107 70275 67253 5 076 14 125 6 062 67253 64441 6 264 3 310 6 216 64441 61725 11 240 15 282 4 282 61725 58915 14 269 19 270 18 287 58915 56003 20 273 23 265 22 281 56003 53220 31 274 32 261 36 272 53220 50721 38 264 36 256 43 265 50721 48482 40 267 44 263 52 266 48482 46449 51 272 57 267 59 269 46449 44595 60 271 61 268 66 273 44595 42888 64 273 66 270 69 271 42888 41300 56 270 59 270 65 268 41300 39820 51 264 53 265 56 267 39820 38444 48 266 50 268 45 266 38444 37138 35 259 47 268 37 258 37138 35828 31 254 36 248 40 262 35828 34486 28 255 34 246 43 262 34486 33116 30 253 30 244 43 259 33116 31708 30 247 27 244 40 256 31708 30256 29 243 29 244 34 259 30256 28767 29 235 31 235 29 265 28767 27245 30 227 29 226 27 266 27245 25693 29 226 29 225 26 258 25693 24118 25 237 25 235 25 240 24118 22511 18 252 20*245 23 241 22511 20864 12 266 16*259 22 252 20864 19203 15 276 16 259 21 261 19203 17609 15 265 15 256 19 263 17609 16153 16 256 14 246 18 263 16153 14847 15*250 13 240 18 260 14847 13668 13*240 12 237 17 258 13668 12601 12 231 12 236 15 255 12601 11632 12 226 10 234 14 253 11632 10754 12 221 9 232 13 251 10754 9962 11 217 9 230 12 248 9962 9246 11 214 8 229 10 244 9246 8591 11 211 8 228 9 236 8591 8000 11 210 7 227 8 223 8000 7497 10 208 7 227 7 205 7497 7106 10 207 6 226 8 191 7106 6834 9 207 6 225 8 178 6834 6667 9 206 6 225 8*163 6667 6572 7 206 5 223 5*163 6572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography