DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/01 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.7 - - 46.3 - - 43.5 - - 40.5 - - 35.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 52 - - 13 - - 8 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 340 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 6554 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6569 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 587 - - 3889 - - 2753 - - 2172 - - 2031 Hgt.Variab. W* 15 - - 116 - - 74 - - 62 - - 56 W* B/S 1 - - 10 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 5 - - 8 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 321 - - 146 - - 338 - - 308 - - 304 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -1 - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - -69 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6570 - - 6639 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6569 sfcLCL ODpotential -1906 - - -1568 - - -646 - - -170 - - -135 ODpotential blCL 8476 - - 8138 - - 7216 - - 6740 - - 6704 blCL maxRH 99 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.7 - - 46.3 - - 43.5 - - 40.5 - - 35.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.5 - - 39.5 - - 40.8 - - 39.8 - - 34.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.9 - - 45.5 - - 42.8 - - 40.0 - - 34.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.7 - - 38.4 - - 40.3 - - 39.6 - - 34.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 52 - - 13 - - 8 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 340 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 98 - - 99 - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96244 20 311 21 310 30 298 31 303 29 325 96244 89473 11 344 14 323 16 329 15 317 16 325 89473 84154 11 347 9 358 6 353 6 298 12 324 84154 79648 6 344 9 343 7 354 2 057 6 310 79648 75712 13 276 11 287 11 299 4 311 5 311 75712 72204 16 263 13 264 12 281 11 274 10 302 72204 69011 15 261 17 275 15 278 12 276 9 293 69011 66054 14 258 19 274 19 272 15 282 12 295 66054 63293 16 268 18 255 22 267 19 278 19 292 63293 60604 21 272 15 242 22 265 26 270 26 280 60604 57792 23 263 13 262 20 255 28 266 25 277 57792 54876 21 252 19 273 17 252 26 266 23 281 54876 52091 27 246 29 259 20 272 28 267 24 281 52091 49571 29 236 34 246 30 258 33 268 24 276 49571 47301 31 235 38 241 30 246 33 258 22 275 47301 45234 37 239 48 228 39 243 30 251 21 279 45234 43339 51 239 51 222 48 228 32 244 23 281 43339 41588 63 240 55 223 48 218 32 234 24 276 41588 39959 76 236 61 226 46 215 34 228 23 263 39959 38441 84 231 70 228 51 217 45 219 24 253 38441 37030 94 228 82 228 60 219 52 208 29 250 37030 35692 96 227 99 226 70 219 46 205 36 241 35692 34364 92 225 103 222 76 217 44 212 40 228 34364 33023 86 224 92 220 75 212 45 215 38 215 33023 31678 83 227 83 222 67 207 43 208 32 207 31678 30317 76 226 75 225 64 205 39 195 31 205 30317 28930 70 221 60 223 53 203 36 192 27 209 28930 27516 65 217 52 220 45 210 34 191 24 223 27516 26069 55 214 53 218 42 215 33 200 26 232 26069 24590 48 210 49 219 43 217 35 214 26 233 24590 23081 45 205 40 215 40 216 30 220 25 228 23081 21539 42 200 37 207 34 211 27 224 23 232 21539 19957 37 196 31 197 30 208 17 222 17 241 19957 18367 33 198 21 185 24 205 9 208 10 249 18367 16848 30 208 19 174 17 185 6 218 8 287 16848 15471 26 213 17 174 13 172 3 249 10 309 15471 14241 22 200 16 173 11 180 2 330 12 319 14241 13136 19 182 14 169 9 184 4 336 12 330 13136 12140 16 174 14 163 8 184 6 336 12 343 12140 11238 13 176 14 155 7 177 7 330 13 351 11238 10425 10 175 15 148 5 171 9 329 13 354 10425 9692 10 168 15 146 3 166 10 329 15 349 9692 9032 10 161 13 147 1 133 13 326 16 341 9032 8428 9 154 11 150 2 356 14 322 17 333 8428 7884 8 153 7 151 3 350 15 319 17 324 7884 7422 4 155 5 151 5 342 15 316 15 315 7422 7062 1 214 4 150 6 340 14 312 14 309 7062 6811 2 303 3 150 6 339 13 310 12 306 6811 6658 3*306 3*147 5*339 11*309 11 305 6658 6569 2*321 2*146 5*338 8*308 7*304 6569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography