DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/17 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 24.5 - - 24.6 - - 25.4 - - 24.0 - - 15.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 44 - - 47 - - -6 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 339 BL Depth Hcrit 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 Hcrit BL Top 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6568 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2229 - - 4295 - - 7663 - - 4963 - - 295 Hgt.Variab. W* 32 - - 109 - - 112 - - 27 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 15 - - 15 - - 12 - - 4 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 231 - - 239 - - 250 - - 262 - - 178 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -15 - - -12 - - -6 - - -1 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - -218 - - -916 - - -322 - - -275 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6569 - - 6787 - - 7486 - - 6891 - - 6844 sfcLCL ODpotential -946 - - -1606 - - -2191 - - -2282 - - -4135 ODpotential blCL 7515 - - 8175 - - 8760 - - 8851 - - 10703 blCL maxRH 94 - - 79 - - 91 - - 78 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 90 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 24.5 - - 24.6 - - 25.4 - - 24.0 - - 15.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.5 - - 17.8 - - 15.6 - - 16.7 - - 8.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 24.5 - - 24.1 - - 24.8 - - 25.1 - - 20.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 21.3 - - 16.7 - - 14.5 - - 15.8 - - 13.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 44 - - 47 - - -6 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 339 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 75 - - 17 - - 63 - - 10 - - 30 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97009 22 100 17 101 22 090 26 116 18 086 97009 89865 13 086 16 117 14 120 14 124 18 078 89865 84271 16 105 17 136 11 117 13 124 21 065 84271 79546 16 108 13 148 10 123 7 117 9 059 79546 75457 3 041 15 104 9 156 4 114 6 101 75457 71844 4 252 3 047 10 165 5 199 10 051 71844 68576 8 129 6 177 8 108 5 106 2 263 68576 65580 16 254 6 201 14 218 4 266 8 100 65580 62760 30 239 17 223 21 221 21 225 3 077 62760 59978 36 245 29 222 29 234 33 225 28 228 59978 57063 40 240 36 246 44 234 40 215 39 218 57063 54034 38 236 41 244 40 237 28 230 27 220 54034 51122 42 237 43 240 36 245 26 257 17 243 51122 48471 47 239 46 243 40 250 37 255 29 252 48471 46078 49 241 51 243 49 245 46 243 39 242 46078 43917 50 244 55 234 55 240 48 238 41 240 43917 41957 50 246 49 225 56 236 49 237 42 243 41957 40165 49 245 40 229 48 232 48 235 51 242 40165 38513 47 243 37 241 34 230 41 231 49 230 38513 36989 45 242 40 242 27 240 30 237 30 226 36989 35580 46 245 40 237 31 251 28 256 17 253 35580 34242 47 245 36 232 36 250 28 266 26 276 34242 32917 46 241 34 235 34 246 31 272 44 263 32917 31595 42 234 37 240 30 245 46 268 49 253 31595 30289 42 234 42 242 30 249 52 259 42 244 30289 28987 44 238 46 241 37 256 45 255 30 254 28987 27673 42 238 48 236 47 257 36 274 59 279 27673 26344 43 237 46 230 52 255 57 289 78 276 26344 24989 45 235 47 231 51 255 71 283 74 271 24989 23606 45 236 53 237 49 259 67 279 72 270 23606 22196 42 241 54 242 48 267 56 277 69 273 22196 20757 42 251 46 247 48 273 49 273 58 266 20757 19284 43 258 38 252 47 274 51 267 55 256 19284 17800 43 262 35 257 45 275 52 261 53 251 17800 16380 43 264 34 263 41 274 50 254 49 250 16380 15086 43 268 33 268 37 269 47 250 45 251 15086 13927 45 273 32 270 35 262 42 251 40 250 13927 12883 47 274 34 270 34 257 37 253 36 248 12883 11936 49 273 36 268 34 255 33 255 32 246 11936 11077 48 272 39 265 33 254 29 255 28 243 11077 10297 48 269 40 260 33 253 24 255 24 236 10297 9593 48 266 41 255 32 252 20 255 21 229 9593 8956 47 257 40 250 31 252 18 256 17 221 8956 8372 45 247 38 246 29 251 16 257 15 214 8372 7845 42 242 37 244 28 251 14 258 15 208 7845 7397 39 239 35 243 27 251 13 259 14 202 7397 7047 35 236 32 242 25 251 11 260 13 194 7047 6803 30 234 29 241 22 251 9 260 11 180 6803 6654 25*233 25*241 19*251 7*261 9 175 6654 6568 15*231 15*239 12*250 4*262 6*178 6568 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography