DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/02 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.6 - - 83.2 - - 81.1 - - 69.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 339 - - 381 - - 132 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5065 - - 7297 - - 5724 - - 343 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9821 - - 11654 - - 9855 - - 6555 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11294 - - 13526 - - 11953 - - 6572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3601 - - 3122 - - 4161 - - 254 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 511 - - 602 - - 392 - - 22 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 18 - - 22 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 251 - - 248 - - 249 - - 211 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 13 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 16 - - -10 - - -21 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5672 - - -3161 - - -4578 - - -7384 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16967 - - 16687 - - 16532 - - 13957 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9208 - - -6817 - - -8249 - - -12895 ODpotential blCL - - - 20502 - - 20343 - - 20202 - - 19467 blCL maxRH - - - 50 - - 44 - - 30 - - 33 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.6 - - 83.2 - - 81.1 - - 69.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.6 - - 32.3 - - 31.1 - - 31.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.9 - - 80.5 - - 79.9 - - 72.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.8 - - 31.6 - - 30.4 - - 30.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 339 - - 381 - - 132 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5065 - - 7297 - - 5724 - - 343 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99628 34 115 27 096 31 092 30 096 99628 92130 25 105 26 105 26 098 25 094 92130 86334 20 090 22 109 19 108 22 086 86334 81517 18 105 19 113 16 115 19 090 81517 77364 17 117 11 119 13 111 13 111 77364 73686 16 116 13 128 11 104 12 115 73686 70355 15 101 12 139 7 108 12 100 70355 67290 8 061 13 145 6 187 7 058 67290 64453 8 252 2 120 3 189 2 281 64453 61718 15 217 15 251 12 281 6 227 61718 58907 21 240 21 247 20 274 12 267 58907 56025 25 258 31 261 36 270 29 276 56025 53284 34 269 36 258 42 261 46 267 53284 50826 45 273 43 262 47 264 51 263 50826 48622 56 274 55 270 54 273 55 272 48622 46618 63 271 66 271 67 274 67 277 46618 44780 64 271 71 269 73 270 77 274 44780 43076 66 272 73 269 75 268 80 271 43076 41482 67 271 74 268 76 268 81 271 41482 39985 67 269 74 267 76 267 81 272 39985 38582 65 266 73 267 74 266 78 270 38582 37244 63 262 70 265 70 263 73 269 37244 35909 63 259 66 261 67 261 69 267 35909 34548 61 255 64 258 63 261 65 266 34548 33166 55 255 61 257 60 260 61 264 33166 31755 51 255 55 258 58 260 58 262 31755 30302 52 254 51 259 56 260 56 262 30302 28810 50 255 49 260 53 261 53 262 28810 27282 46 257 48 262 49 261 49 261 27282 25721 44 257 46 261 46 261 45 259 25721 24131 46 257 43 258 43 259 43 258 24131 22508 47 256 43 255 41 257 42 259 22508 20846 47 253 44 250 41 255 41 259 20846 19173 47 252 43 248 41 253 41 260 19173 17572 44 254 42 249 41 253 44 260 17572 16114 36 254 40 251 39 255 45 259 16114 14809 29 253 33 251 36 257 43 259 14809 13632 28 246 26*248 32 256 40 261 13632 12567 25 241 23*246 26*252 36 264 12567 11602 16*246 22 245 24*249 32 264 11602 10729 12*251 20 244 23 248 28 259 10729 9942 9 249 18 246 23 248 26 254 9942 9231 8 248 17 247 23 248 25 249 9231 8580 8 249 16 249 22 249 25 246 8580 7993 7 250 16 251 22 249 25 243 7993 7493 7 254 16 253 21 249 24 240 7493 7104 6 256 15 254 20 249 21 236 7104 6833 6 258 14 255 19 250 17 230 6833 6667 5 260 13 256 17 250 12*221 6667 6572 5 260 11 257 12 250 6*211 6572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography