DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/30 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0703z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.5 - - 57.4 - - 62.4 - - 63.6 - - 56.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 70 - - 200 - - 274 - - 134 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1600 - - 4440 - - 6142 - - 5211 - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit 6554 - - 9142 - - 10601 - - 9511 - - 6554 Hcrit BL Top 7829 - - 10669 - - 12371 - - 11440 - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2556 - - 2679 - - 2993 - - 4707 - - 3184 Hgt.Variab. W* 214 - - 420 - - 517 - - 388 - - 27 W* B/S 10 - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 10 - - 10 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 208 - - 248 - - 246 - - 247 - - 012 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -5 - - -6 - - -10 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 217 - - 1722 - - 1627 - - -316 - - -956 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7612 - - 8947 - - 10745 - - 11757 - - 7527 sfcLCL ODpotential -2233 - - -481 - - -389 - - -2611 - - -4027 ODpotential blCL 10062 - - 11150 - - 12760 - - 14051 - - 10598 blCL maxRH 77 - - 88 - - 64 - - 67 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 290 - - 440 - - 250 - - 700 CAPE Temp@2m 51.5 - - 57.4 - - 62.4 - - 63.6 - - 56.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.7 - - 40.7 - - 37.8 - - 34.7 - - 45.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.5 - - 55.6 - - 60.1 - - 62.1 - - 57.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.5 - - 39.5 - - 36.6 - - 33.5 - - 44.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 70 - - 200 - - 274 - - 134 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1600 - - 4440 - - 6142 - - 5211 - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 8 - - 53 - - 0 - - 0 - - 16 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99275 37 104 37 101 31 116 22 093 30 098 99275 91738 28 109 32 097 26 101 26 094 30 106 91738 85958 28 107 25 105 24 107 24 094 21 094 85958 81162 22 102 25 112 19 101 18 098 17 083 81162 77041 17 110 18 115 12 091 12 100 12 096 77041 73408 14 097 15 117 11 142 7 070 13 087 73408 70105 5 132 9 076 18 133 9 157 7 081 70105 67047 4 167 8 117 8 117 14 136 11 154 67047 64199 1 099 8 118 10 187 4 188 6 148 64199 61431 7 181 1 162 7 194 3 227 3 171 61431 58538 12 153 15 213 10 220 9 232 8 234 58538 55533 10 180 17 197 13 214 10 221 12 197 55533 52662 17 202 23 211 21 226 17 233 14 224 52662 50085 21 211 26 210 27 227 20 234 18 233 50085 47780 23 230 26 212 29 221 22 239 20 244 47780 45696 28 238 24 221 27 219 23 239 22 246 45696 43800 30 229 23 230 24 225 19 243 21 249 43800 42066 30 217 24 232 18 222 15 262 14 257 42066 40473 23 217 21 221 10 236 13 290 20 308 40473 39006 12 235 11 207 6 259 15 328 26 321 39006 37650 10 249 1 152 3 110 19 343 21 343 37650 36357 8 246 5 354 8 056 22 021 22 348 36357 35063 4 247 4 339 11 020 31 036 21 002 35063 33739 4 033 3 068 10 015 26 026 20 022 33739 32388 5 345 7 053 9 032 22 024 18 013 32388 31008 5 288 7 044 10 041 20 021 17 002 31008 29594 7 259 3 074 6 036 14 017 12 353 29594 28149 8 253 4 197 0 328 8 357 10 347 28149 26672 10 230 14 214 5 257 9 350 12 344 26672 25159 14 226 17 220 11 230 8 338 9 347 25159 23615 15 240 16 235 13 216 6 255 1 244 23615 22041 21 251 17 255 9 230 15 229 9 233 22041 20427 28 250 22 258 20 251 19 227 15 257 20427 18803 26 247 24 249 28 245 24 237 22 258 18803 17249 19 244 24 240 28 243 29 241 28 252 17249 15835 14 252 18 238 23 242 29 242 30 248 15835 14569 14 266 15 244 18 239 25 242 29 248 14569 13428 15 271 14 248 17 238 20 242 26 249 13428 12396 15 269 14 249 15*237 16 243 22 249 12396 11459 13 266 13*248 13*238 12*243 16 246 11459 10611 12 260 13*247 12 241 11*243 10 237 10611 9846 11 249 11 246 11 243 8 245 4 212 9846 9155 10 238 10 246 10 245 7 247 2 116 9155 8523 8 228 10 247 10 247 7 248 4 069 8523 7952 6*218 9 248 10 249 6 248 6 048 7952 7466 5*213 9 250 9 251 6 249 7 036 7466 7088 4 209 8 251 9 252 6 251 7 027 7088 6825 4 207 8 252 8 253 5 251 7 023 6825 6664 3 203 7 253 8 253 5 251 5*019 6664 6571 3 204 6 254 7 254 4 253 3*012 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography