DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/14 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.7 - - 46.2 - - 49.3 - - 45.4 - - 38.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 114 - - 102 - - -29 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 1537 - - 2565 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 6765 - - 7454 - - 6554 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6570 - - 7766 - - 8794 - - 6570 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 330 - - 1749 - - 2572 - - 3606 - - 426 Hgt.Variab. W* 18 - - 246 - - 284 - - 45 - - 15 W* B/S 1 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 8 - - 12 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 264 - - 343 - - 342 - - 354 - - 328 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 9 - - 13 - - 9 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -85 - - 370 - - 1029 - - -423 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6655 - - 7396 - - 7765 - - 6993 - - 6570 sfcLCL ODpotential -5268 - - -2448 - - -1010 - - -2841 - - -3918 ODpotential blCL 11838 - - 10214 - - 9804 - - 9411 - - 10488 blCL maxRH 69 - - 75 - - 82 - - 68 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.7 - - 46.2 - - 49.3 - - 45.4 - - 38.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.6 - - 36.6 - - 38.1 - - 37.6 - - 35.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.8 - - 44.8 - - 48.1 - - 46.5 - - 40.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.5 - - 35.4 - - 36.8 - - 36.8 - - 35.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 114 - - 102 - - -29 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 1537 - - 2565 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 28 - - 0 - - 75 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97300 16 050 5 327 4 336 8 004 8 006 97300 90181 14 084 9 094 6 046 14 048 12 089 90181 84659 4 141 7 113 3 163 11 043 9 091 84659 80059 8 217 5 128 11 163 2 177 1 184 80059 76078 3 172 6 176 7 209 6 241 4 274 76078 72552 9 305 4 211 8 258 10 260 5 272 72552 69340 22 276 9 245 13 245 14 261 11 297 69340 66384 23 250 17 251 15 253 15 272 21 289 66384 63654 18 237 20 255 16 268 16 277 19 279 63654 61002 16 242 20 252 18 270 17 280 20 270 61002 58221 16 255 17 246 22 265 21 272 23 267 58221 55322 19 266 17 254 23 263 22 266 24 268 55322 52546 21 269 19 264 22 258 24 275 27 273 52546 50041 21 262 19 269 21 256 27 284 25 282 50041 47790 18 263 20 268 21 265 30 284 28 293 47790 45731 17 259 21 266 21 270 29 281 27 293 45731 43833 13 260 20 262 19 265 25 276 24 285 43833 42079 11 290 15 259 14 259 19 275 17 282 42079 40453 8 284 9 259 10 293 15 282 13 300 40453 38949 4 259 7 275 12 304 13 296 16 319 38949 37557 3 332 2 277 11 307 15 303 18 325 37557 36246 6 014 9 051 9 358 14 317 20 331 36246 34953 9 023 21 036 19 023 14 342 21 339 34953 33644 13 030 25 025 24 015 18 358 22 346 33644 32315 20 035 26 029 30 018 22 008 22 354 32315 30952 26 036 32 028 36 020 25 014 21 004 30952 29544 36 033 35 026 38 023 26 025 21 014 29544 28095 47 032 35 030 32 026 23 030 21 020 28095 26606 48 031 36 039 28 034 20 024 20 018 26606 25082 44 033 36 043 26 046 17 026 22 015 25082 23530 38 038 35 047 21 061 17 026 24 016 23530 21945 30 045 30 056 9 094 19 023 26 017 21945 20320 19 052 18 071 3 166 22 015 28 016 20320 18686 12 061 9 106 5 357 25 010 31 018 18686 17125 11 065 8 124 9 005 25 011 32 025 17125 15709 10 067 7 110 10 015 23 015 32 032 15709 14444 8 067 6 074 13 023 22 022 31 036 14444 13307 6 074 6 040 14 026 21 029 29 039 13307 12281 5 082 7 025 15 033 20 035 27 041 12281 11354 4 083 8 019 14 038 19 038 25 042 11354 10517 4 078 8 017 13 036 18 037 24 043 10517 9763 4 068 8 019 12 023 19 033 23 043 9763 9085 3 068 9 018 12*006 19 028 23 043 9085 8466 3 072 9 013 12*350 20 023 21 041 8466 7910 2 077 9*002 12 344 20 019 19 035 7910 7438 2 076 8*346 12 342 20 013 16 023 7438 7071 1 053 8 344 12 340 18 007 15 008 7071 6816 1 307 8 342 11 339 15 001 13 352 6816 6660 3*281 7 342 11 339 12 357 10*342 6660 6570 3*264 6 341 9 338 7*354 5*328 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography