DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/20 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.4 - - 57.9 - - 58.2 - - 48.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 236 - - 215 - - 58 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3202 - - 3822 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8252 - - 8676 - - 6554 - - 6554 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9431 - - 10051 - - 6571 - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2293 - - 3445 - - 6005 - - 2190 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 390 - - 400 - - 116 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 21 - - 6 - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 BL Wind Direction - - - 344 - - 308 - - 325 - - 328 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -5 - - 4 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1028 - - 578 - - -2897 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8403 - - 9474 - - 9468 - - 6571 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -444 - - -931 - - -4435 - - -3659 ODpotential blCL - - - 9875 - - 10982 - - 11006 - - 10230 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 94 - - 81 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 40 - - 30 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.4 - - 57.9 - - 58.2 - - 48.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.3 - - 39.1 - - 39.5 - - 43.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.3 - - 55.9 - - 57.3 - - 52.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.7 - - 38.6 - - 39.1 - - 42.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 236 - - 215 - - 58 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3202 - - 3822 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 77 - - 77 - - 22 - - 20 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98173 18 285 16 292 16 304 19 283 98173 90845 11 289 15 316 19 324 22 319 90845 85211 11 302 19 322 20 331 20 338 85211 80548 19 314 18 314 17 320 17 336 80548 76523 17 325 10 300 15 300 19 321 76523 72956 13 327 6 298 16 287 15 318 72956 69720 15 305 10 301 12 285 13 331 69720 66744 18 300 16 299 11 306 12 325 66744 63980 17 286 19 286 16 312 13 313 63980 61292 18 276 23 272 22 295 15 304 61292 58480 18 274 22 268 23 287 17 302 58480 55560 15 275 18 273 23 276 20 294 55560 52771 16 282 16 283 21 270 21 282 52771 50257 19 280 19 279 19 273 20 284 50257 48000 20 272 21 267 19 288 20 306 48000 45955 18 266 21 265 19 297 19 312 45955 44084 15 271 18 267 18 306 17 314 44084 42360 14 295 15 289 19 312 16 315 42360 40765 19 307 16 311 21 310 17 321 40765 39284 22 312 15 321 20 310 19 320 39284 37906 24 319 18 321 21 316 20 313 37906 36599 26 318 22 317 22 317 22 305 36599 35297 24 317 25 315 22 317 22 300 35297 33972 21 321 22 318 21 318 19 301 33972 32628 20 323 19 325 20 322 15 307 32628 31252 19 324 18 325 19 325 13 317 31252 29834 19 324 19 321 19 324 12 327 29834 28375 19 322 19 320 18 322 12 332 28375 26877 20 325 19 324 16 321 13 331 26877 25344 21 329 18 333 15 325 12 327 25344 23779 20 331 16 339 12 331 10 323 23779 22178 16 341 12 345 10 342 6 347 22178 20536 11 352 9 343 9 347 6 012 20536 18881 8 339 10 330 10 346 8 022 18881 17296 7 328 10 337 11 356 9 031 17296 15856 6 334 8 345 10 017 8 049 15856 14573 5 341 6 003 7 045 7 065 14573 13422 5 340 3 079 5 069 6 070 13422 12384 6 348 3 133 2 101 6 053 12384 11444 6 357 2 155 1 258 6 035 11444 10595 6 351 1*255 2 275 6 025 10595 9830 6*346 2*292 3 280 5 017 9830 9140 5*344 3 300 3 293 4 007 9140 8511 4 341 3 305 3 305 2 360 8511 7942 4 343 4 309 4 312 2 020 7942 7460 4 344 4 312 4 317 2 042 7460 7084 4 346 4 316 4 321 2 043 7084 6823 4 347 4 317 4 322 2 044 6823 6663 4 349 4 317 4*324 2*043 6663 6571 3 347 4 317 4*325 0*328 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography