DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/24 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0703z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.0 - - 63.5 - - 65.3 - - 67.0 - - 59.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -35 - - 131 - - 34 - - 20 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 342 - - 5572 - - 342 - - 343 - - 343 BL Depth Hcrit 6554 - - 9788 - - 6555 - - 6555 - - 6555 Hcrit BL Top 6571 - - 11801 - - 6571 - - 6572 - - 6572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 495 - - 4406 - - 11340 - - 11606 - - 407 Hgt.Variab. W* 46 - - 398 - - 104 - - 91 - - 28 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 17 - - 9 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 157 - - 247 - - 258 - - 263 - - 202 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - -17 - - -3 - - -2 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1672 - - 508 - - -5519 - - -6196 - - -4745 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8243 - - 11294 - - 12090 - - 12768 - - 11318 sfcLCL ODpotential -5728 - - -1586 - - -7113 - - -7580 - - -8192 ODpotential blCL 12299 - - 13387 - - 13684 - - 14152 - - 14764 blCL maxRH 101 - - 86 - - 100 - - 100 - - 72 maxRH CAPE 70 - - 360 - - 350 - - 390 - - 140 CAPE Temp@2m 52.0 - - 63.5 - - 65.3 - - 67.0 - - 59.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.7 - - 36.7 - - 35.0 - - 33.7 - - 33.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.3 - - 62.2 - - 64.9 - - 66.7 - - 63.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.5 - - 35.5 - - 33.9 - - 32.7 - - 31.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -35 - - 131 - - 34 - - 20 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 342 - - 5572 - - 342 - - 343 - - 343 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 103 - - 45 - - 102 - - 100 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98569 11 105 19 131 14 102 13 133 8 096 98569 91103 16 116 17 129 6 163 12 090 10 080 91103 85385 15 122 7 113 10 142 7 083 11 092 85385 80630 11 133 11 156 4 178 3 127 8 088 80630 76512 8 142 14 156 6 217 2 121 5 103 76512 72857 7 198 7 142 13 168 3 217 8 133 72857 69533 13 185 6 207 13 145 8 217 8 083 69533 66459 10 180 13 221 7 118 12 191 2 283 66459 63602 6 200 14 214 4 164 8 180 6 249 63602 60842 5 243 9 199 10 254 6 236 7 213 60842 57975 14 247 12 241 22 246 19 261 14 268 57975 55018 18 263 12 249 18 237 19 263 14 270 55018 52210 20 270 18 276 13 287 20 282 16 286 52210 49697 22 262 26 268 27 281 24 270 20 279 49697 47463 29 277 28 275 27 270 25 268 24 278 47463 45456 39 277 37 280 31 271 31 273 27 277 45456 43632 46 269 47 274 41 273 39 270 32 273 43632 41965 49 268 53 269 47 269 47 265 39 270 41965 40433 50 272 53 268 48 271 49 266 44 265 40433 39007 51 274 52 269 48 274 47 269 43 264 39007 37673 47 275 47 271 47 276 44 273 41 269 37673 36397 43 278 43 274 44 278 42 275 39 275 36397 35120 40 281 41 277 41 279 39 275 36 279 35120 33815 37 283 39 278 40 279 36 274 32 283 33815 32485 36 284 38 276 38 281 34 275 28 283 32485 31121 37 285 38 276 35 285 31 278 24 281 31121 29715 38 285 39 277 30 289 28 283 19 282 29715 28269 40 282 40 276 26 292 26 285 17 291 28269 26785 43 277 41 271 27 289 26 287 17 297 26785 25267 41 274 42 265 28 284 27 284 17 296 25267 23718 35 272 40 263 29 281 28 279 20 290 23718 22137 31 269 37 265 31 279 25 280 28 283 22137 20520 31 278 36 269 28 275 23 277 28 281 20520 18895 31 284 29 277 26 272 23 271 22 281 18895 17337 32 285 23 286 26 270 23 263 18 276 17337 15918 32 279 20 296 25 269 23 259 17 270 15918 14645 30 274 19 300 23 265 22 258 17 266 14645 13497 29 281 17 297 21 261 22 258 17 263 13497 12457 26 285 15*286 20 259 21 258 18 259 12457 11512 23 283 15*272 20 258 20 258 19 255 11512 10656 23 277 16 259 19 258 19 259 20 251 10656 9884 22 272 17 250 18 257 18 259 20 247 9884 9185 20 266 18 245 18 257 17 260 21 244 9185 8545 18 258 18 242 17 257 17 260 21 242 8545 7968 14 247 18 239 17 257 16 260 20 239 7968 7477 10 231 18 238 16 258 15 261 19 236 7477 7094 7 201 18 237 15 258 14 261 16 232 7094 6828 8 159 17 237 14 258 13 262 12 224 6828 6665 8*151 15 237 12 257 12*263 9*211 6665 6572 6*157 11 237 9*258 8*263 6*202 6572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography