DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/04 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.9 - - 71.7 - - 69.9 - - 57.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 324 - - 369 - - 101 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4202 - - 8128 - - 4160 - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9131 - - 12304 - - 8515 - - 6555 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10431 - - 14357 - - 10389 - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2694 - - 2078 - - 6162 - - 1228 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 474 - - 615 - - 321 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 20 - - 9 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 212 - - 213 - - 234 - - 042 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 18 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 14 - - 23 - - 45 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2154 - - -181 - - -3509 - - -3920 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12586 - - 14538 - - 13898 - - 10492 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5149 - - -2483 - - -5321 - - -8710 ODpotential blCL - - - 15580 - - 16840 - - 15710 - - 15281 blCL maxRH - - - 59 - - 64 - - 60 - - 57 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.9 - - 71.7 - - 69.9 - - 57.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.3 - - 30.3 - - 31.5 - - 34.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.6 - - 69.0 - - 68.7 - - 62.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.9 - - 29.9 - - 31.1 - - 34.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 324 - - 369 - - 101 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4202 - - 8128 - - 4160 - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99002 2 217 4 210 7 266 6 330 99002 91578 5 220 3 348 6 307 6 016 91578 85845 9 144 3 311 6 341 10 066 85845 81099 9 114 5 147 3 062 10 067 81099 77008 9 072 13 132 9 096 7 113 77008 73395 5 075 12 108 10 090 7 102 73395 70119 9 123 10 101 11 122 8 120 70119 67092 7 174 10 140 9 110 11 081 67092 64277 7 155 5 168 2 303 3 019 64277 61544 8 150 12 160 9 217 5 223 61544 58704 20 225 11 192 13 197 7 178 58704 55781 31 212 23 218 19 227 19 197 55781 52990 34 231 36 240 41 240 32 232 52990 50475 47 234 54 235 52 229 42 234 50475 48228 50 229 55 231 48 226 47 225 48228 46189 49 225 55 232 50 231 51 224 46189 44320 51 228 61 235 58 239 58 230 44320 42598 58 229 68 235 69 238 66 232 42598 41003 64 227 71 235 74 236 73 232 41003 39519 67 217 71 235 75 235 78 231 39519 38134 66 211 70 235 76 236 80 231 38134 36814 64 210 68 234 79 236 80 231 36814 35495 64 209 66 232 80 236 80 231 35495 34150 62 209 64 229 79 235 80 231 34150 32783 58 210 64 227 76 233 79 230 32783 31384 55 213 64 227 74 232 76 230 31384 29945 55 215 64 228 72 231 72 229 29945 28468 54 219 62 229 71 230 69 228 28468 26956 52 223 59 228 68 229 67 228 26956 25413 50 226 55 226 63 228 63 228 25413 23841 48 226 53 225 58 227 59 228 23841 22238 49 226 53 226 54 227 55 228 22238 20599 49 226 53 227 51 226 51 224 20599 18953 50 227 51 227 49 221 47 216 18953 17381 51 226 47 225 43 213 45 211 17381 15949 48 224 42 220 32 203 43 208 15949 14666 44 220 32*212 26 199 40 207 14666 13511 39 217 27*208 25 199 35 206 13511 12464 35 217 25 208 22 200 30 203 12464 11516 31 215 24 209 19 202 25 202 11516 10657 26*211 22 211 16*205 22 203 10657 9882 21*208 20 213 13*212 17 201 9882 9182 17 209 19 216 10 222 11 196 9182 8542 16 210 17 218 9 234 4 174 8542 7964 14 213 16 221 8 241 3 066 7964 7474 13 215 15 222 8 245 6 040 7474 7093 12 216 14 224 8 248 8 034 7093 6827 11 217 14 224 7 251 7 036 6827 6664 10 219 12 225 7 253 5 043 6664 6571 8 220 10 226 6 257 3*042 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography