DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/30 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.0 - - 50.0 - - 52.2 - - 45.1 - - 40.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -45 - - 46 - - 53 - - -3 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 342 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 6554 - - 6554 - - 6554 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6570 - - 6571 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 186 - - 5513 - - 6927 - - 2794 - - 1091 Hgt.Variab. W* 34 - - 115 - - 117 - - 12 - - 28 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 9 - - 7 - - 2 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 184 - - 183 - - 204 - - 291 - - 160 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - -12 - - -8 - - -1 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -839 - - -2737 - - -2761 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7409 - - 9309 - - 9331 - - 6570 - - 6570 sfcLCL ODpotential -5520 - - -4734 - - -4297 - - -2154 - - -1874 ODpotential blCL 12090 - - 11305 - - 10867 - - 8724 - - 8444 blCL maxRH 86 - - 84 - - 93 - - 90 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 80 - - 140 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.0 - - 50.0 - - 52.2 - - 45.1 - - 40.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.6 - - 32.0 - - 34.1 - - 41.0 - - 38.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.1 - - 49.2 - - 51.5 - - 46.7 - - 41.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.5 - - 30.8 - - 32.9 - - 40.5 - - 37.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -45 - - 46 - - 53 - - -3 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 342 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 43 - - 34 - - 72 - - 61 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96101 35 290 45 289 40 303 36 307 42 281 96101 89222 18 297 31 283 29 299 21 330 19 298 89222 83816 8 307 23 269 23 297 17 313 18 319 83816 79272 13 298 15 261 15 274 21 292 19 297 79272 75346 14 294 9 278 11 249 19 267 15 284 75346 71856 24 278 10 306 12 255 18 269 16 281 71856 68649 28 271 15 284 24 255 29 253 20 263 68649 65669 28 267 19 266 26 243 26 250 24 260 65669 62887 25 264 20 265 19 252 26 249 25 256 62887 60185 24 257 25 269 28 254 26 242 22 244 60185 57358 30 243 34 247 29 251 25 232 21 245 57358 54421 33 239 36 240 33 248 27 240 26 247 54421 51630 30 243 33 240 40 243 37 241 35 247 51630 49138 33 246 37 235 42 237 43 234 40 237 49138 46922 38 237 41 229 41 229 40 233 39 229 46922 44921 39 236 42 230 41 229 39 236 35 227 44921 43095 44 235 44 232 46 234 43 240 39 238 43095 41425 49 237 46 235 52 238 48 242 45 239 41425 39890 56 233 50 237 60 237 52 240 50 233 39890 38473 57 232 57 236 67 238 57 237 56 228 38473 37155 57 236 60 235 73 239 63 234 59 227 37155 35896 57 240 55 235 77 238 66 234 63 226 35896 34635 58 239 49 235 76 235 65 236 63 227 34635 33344 58 235 50 230 73 229 64 235 61 228 33344 32028 51 233 52 225 74 226 60 227 59 226 32028 30676 43 243 50 221 69 224 60 221 56 222 30676 29282 39 240 48 222 61 222 65 221 53 218 29282 27850 39 237 45 223 54 223 59 224 51 218 27850 26380 38 238 43 223 49 227 50 226 49 218 26380 24878 36 238 41 222 43 229 47 225 46 215 24878 23346 33 236 40 224 38 227 43 219 40 213 23346 21784 32 234 40 228 34 225 40 215 30 211 21784 20185 33 234 39 227 33 223 36 213 26 211 20185 18575 33 234 40 223 32 222 28 211 30 206 18575 17034 32 231 41 219 32 217 25 208 32 202 17034 15634 30 225 39 213 33 214 24 209 30 200 15634 14382 27 219 33 210 32 215 23 206 26 198 14382 13258 23 215 26 210 30 214 22 200 24 196 13258 12243 20 212 22 215 27 210 21 194 21 198 12243 11325 19 211 21 221 24 203 19 192 18 201 11325 10496 18 210 22 223 20 198 18 195 16 206 10496 9749 19 208 23 217 17 198 17 200 15 209 9749 9076 20 205 23 207 16 198 16 209 14 208 9076 8461 21 201 21 197 15 200 14 217 13 200 8461 7906 21 194 19 191 14 201 12 223 14 188 7906 7436 22 185 17 186 13 202 8 237 15 176 7436 7070 20 172 16 185 12 203 6 254 16 170 7070 6816 17 168 14 185 11 203 4 270 14 166 6816 6660 12*172 13*184 10 204 4*282 12*164 6660 6570 6*184 9*183 7*204 2*291 7*160 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography