DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/27 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 15.4 - - 23.2 - - 27.2 - - 24.2 - - 17.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -36 - - 5 - - 26 - - 4 - - -46 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 339 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth Hcrit 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 Hcrit BL Top 6568 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 76 - - 872 - - 1815 - - 1118 - - 57 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 58 - - 90 - - 49 - - 15 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 204 - - 202 - - 275 - - 143 - - 191 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -13 - - -7 - - -1 - - -4 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2208 - - -2216 - - -1349 - - -212 - - -1411 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8776 - - 8785 - - 7919 - - 6782 - - 7980 sfcLCL ODpotential -9204 - - -7460 - - -5322 - - -5596 - - -12736 ODpotential blCL 15772 - - 14029 - - 11891 - - 12165 - - 19305 blCL maxRH 82 - - 68 - - 63 - - 79 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 15.4 - - 23.2 - - 27.2 - - 24.2 - - 17.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 1.0 - - 8.5 - - 16.2 - - 18.0 - - 6.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 21.0 - - 24.1 - - 27.1 - - 26.9 - - 23.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 1.4 - - 8.1 - - 15.0 - - 17.4 - - 9.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -36 - - 5 - - 26 - - 4 - - -46 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 339 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 26 - - 0 - - 0 - - 15 - - 38 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94069 91 302 102 309 106 307 116 312 121 299 94069 87403 94 310 103 307 101 309 100 315 97 307 87403 82156 95 310 88 304 94 309 89 317 86 319 82156 77718 82 305 74 302 86 311 88 318 89 321 77718 73868 71 311 67 302 80 307 92 313 88 319 73868 70481 71 316 67 302 79 303 89 307 81 318 70481 67418 70 311 67 303 75 304 83 305 79 318 67418 64594 68 307 65 310 71 308 78 307 77 313 64594 61978 63 309 66 319 70 311 74 308 70 310 61978 59448 60 314 70 319 67 315 70 311 64 315 59448 56793 62 317 73 317 65 319 65 317 62 317 56793 54008 66 317 71 319 68 321 65 323 66 313 54008 51320 68 318 70 322 74 323 71 322 67 308 51320 48879 69 319 74 325 77 323 75 315 66 307 48879 46688 70 320 79 327 75 323 75 312 61 302 46688 44716 71 324 82 327 72 324 68 315 55 299 44716 42936 75 327 82 328 73 327 73 320 57 312 42936 41325 73 330 85 330 84 326 84 323 72 312 41325 39842 68 337 93 332 94 326 88 324 74 310 39842 38446 72 345 98 333 96 324 89 322 70 312 38446 37128 82 346 98 335 88 328 87 327 63 315 37128 35865 94 346 95 340 81 332 73 328 57 318 35865 34596 100 344 92 343 80 331 66 325 55 320 34596 33295 100 344 91 344 78 330 63 323 55 317 33295 31968 98 347 88 345 73 332 61 320 55 313 31968 30607 92 352 84 347 68 334 59 320 54 311 30607 29208 89 356 80 347 65 339 56 323 51 315 29208 27772 79 353 78 345 64 340 51 332 49 316 27772 26300 63 340 75 342 62 338 47 336 46 313 26300 24794 64 331 70 338 61 335 45 334 42 313 24794 23256 61 332 66 334 59 332 46 331 38 315 23256 21685 50 331 60 335 57 333 47 330 34 319 21685 20074 40 322 47 333 55 337 47 330 31 325 20074 18453 36 311 37 324 47 339 46 333 29 327 18453 16904 35 306 31 312 37 337 43 336 28 329 16904 15500 33 303 27 307 31 330 37 339 26 330 15500 14249 30 302 24 309 27 326 30 339 22 330 14249 13130 26 302 20 315 24 323 25 336 18 328 13130 12124 23 302 18 322 20 318 20 333 14 326 12124 11217 21 301 16 326 17 313 15 328 11 322 11217 10401 18 300 15 330 14 308 11 318 8 308 10401 9669 15 296 12 329 12 302 8 301 7 283 9669 9010 13 291 9 320 10 289 7 279 8 261 9010 8409 12 283 6 299 9 265 6 247 8 247 8409 7869 12 273 5 266 9 241 7 210 8 236 7869 7410 12 261 6 253 7 238 8 178 9 224 7410 7054 12 242 6 238 5 250 8 159 10 211 7054 6806 10 217 6 216 4 258 7 150 10 193 6806 6655 8*205 4*198 3*266 5*142 8*186 6655 6569 5*204 3*202 2*275 3*143 6*191 6569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography