DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/27 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 20.6 - - 32.1 - - 37.0 - - 35.3 - - 29.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -46 - - 13 - - 10 - - -22 - - -66 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 340 - - 341 - - 341 - - 340 BL Depth Hcrit 6552 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6569 - - 6569 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6569 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 153 - - 1438 - - 2723 - - 1012 - - 131 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 77 - - 73 - - 33 - - 25 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 196 - - 224 - - 232 - - 205 - - 211 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - -7 - - -4 - - -7 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -537 - - -768 - - -853 - - -493 - - -1168 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7106 - - 7337 - - 7423 - - 7063 - - 7737 sfcLCL ODpotential -9364 - - -5420 - - -3662 - - -4191 - - -7422 ODpotential blCL 15933 - - 11989 - - 10232 - - 10761 - - 13991 blCL maxRH 61 - - 62 - - 69 - - 54 - - 46 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 20.6 - - 32.1 - - 37.0 - - 35.3 - - 29.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 13.2 - - 23.3 - - 27.6 - - 27.5 - - 19.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 25.6 - - 32.7 - - 37.0 - - 38.1 - - 34.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 15.8 - - 22.3 - - 26.5 - - 26.4 - - 19.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -46 - - 13 - - 10 - - -22 - - -66 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 340 - - 341 - - 341 - - 340 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96601 20 120 13 108 8 106 18 098 13 112 96601 89433 17 091 14 088 10 130 11 097 12 066 89433 83831 5 058 5 077 8 085 2 066 9 342 83831 79149 6 144 5 123 8 058 5 359 3 303 79149 75099 8 337 8 284 14 311 10 311 11 294 75099 71516 8 295 8 269 11 241 13 310 10 332 71516 68278 23 299 15 301 15 292 16 299 14 306 68278 65325 37 285 36 283 44 297 38 311 38 298 65325 62617 32 294 35 291 40 282 36 301 39 286 62617 59998 35 328 47 319 45 302 42 310 38 308 59998 57244 62 309 50 313 49 311 52 310 51 313 57244 54363 68 301 58 309 58 306 58 307 56 306 54363 51610 67 297 65 303 64 304 64 305 61 303 51610 49131 67 297 74 299 70 303 71 302 69 304 49131 46906 79 303 84 298 78 300 81 300 80 304 46906 44886 95 306 88 297 83 298 88 296 89 302 44886 43042 100 302 89 300 85 299 90 297 92 300 43042 41356 100 297 92 304 94 304 102 305 95 304 41356 39812 101 296 101 306 112 303 118 305 104 305 39812 38384 101 298 110 301 117 296 120 301 101 300 38384 37048 102 300 112 296 113 297 112 298 81 296 37048 35772 105 301 106 295 106 301 103 297 79 304 35772 34499 109 301 98 299 108 303 94 299 81 308 34499 33200 110 301 97 301 106 304 87 303 78 311 33200 31880 109 300 101 301 102 305 84 307 75 314 31880 30529 106 299 98 301 94 303 81 310 73 313 30529 29137 100 300 90 300 85 301 79 311 73 310 29137 27704 90 300 85 297 78 302 77 311 75 307 27704 26236 78 301 80 297 71 305 73 309 76 307 26236 24735 71 301 72 299 65 308 67 307 75 308 24735 23210 64 303 64 301 60 309 62 306 69 309 23210 21655 57 305 58 301 57 308 58 308 63 310 21655 20065 52 305 53 298 55 307 54 310 58 312 20065 18466 48 305 47 296 52 305 51 313 52 312 18466 16938 44 305 40 294 48 302 47 314 47 313 16938 15549 38 303 33 292 42 298 43 314 42 313 15549 14309 33 300 29 290 36 295 39 312 37 313 14309 13195 29 298 27 288 31 292 35 309 32 312 13195 12191 26 297 25 287 27 292 31 302 26 310 12191 11283 22 296 24 285 23 291 28 289 23 300 11283 10462 19 293 23 281 20 286 27 276 23 284 10462 9723 19 284 24 275 20 276 26 268 25 275 9723 9056 20 273 24 267 19 259 25 262 27 270 9056 8445 22 263 23 256 18 246 24 254 29 266 8445 7895 25 253 20 244 17 244 22 247 31 258 7895 7428 25 242 17 236 15 242 20 240 30 249 7428 7065 20 230 14 232 14 241 17 234 27 241 7065 6812 15 215 12 230 12 240 13 226 21 231 6812 6658 11*201 10 226 10*238 9*219 15 221 6658 6569 6*196 6*224 6*232 5*205 7*211 6569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography