DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/07 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.3 - - 60.4 - - 62.6 - - 55.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 195 - - 163 - - 63 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5453 - - 7319 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9901 - - 11221 - - 6555 - - 6554 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11682 - - 13548 - - 6571 - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3771 - - 5233 - - 12395 - - 5212 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 445 - - 459 - - 123 - - 26 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 15 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 285 - - 279 - - 298 - - 323 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 3 - - 6 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1467 - - 1392 - - -7945 - - -5665 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10215 - - 12156 - - 14516 - - 12236 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -432 - - -744 - - -9231 - - -8603 ODpotential blCL - - - 12114 - - 14292 - - 15802 - - 15174 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 99 - - 94 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 200 - - 160 - - 30 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.3 - - 60.4 - - 62.6 - - 55.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.2 - - 29.8 - - 21.5 - - 24.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.6 - - 59.0 - - 61.8 - - 57.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.0 - - 28.5 - - 20.4 - - 23.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 195 - - 163 - - 63 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5453 - - 7319 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 97 - - 77 - - 43 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97858 13 238 8 296 8 267 10 293 97858 90430 13 230 9 243 8 272 4 228 90430 84703 9 201 11 245 8 288 1 354 84703 79965 6 175 6 254 10 281 4 042 79965 75884 5 169 3 248 9 307 5 015 75884 72268 6 181 9 269 7 310 7 351 72268 68991 4 273 5 277 5 267 8 326 68991 65977 7 289 8 315 6 286 10 327 65977 63176 4 295 9 275 8 280 10 303 63176 60447 12 351 11 307 11 307 9 323 60447 57595 11 289 12 263 16 301 14 313 57595 54645 14 340 10 332 15 303 16 321 54645 51844 27 321 23 323 21 309 29 311 51844 49346 28 311 24 314 24 292 27 310 49346 47119 35 319 35 315 33 325 30 322 47119 45111 42 319 46 316 49 326 41 322 45111 43293 50 324 56 319 54 321 46 331 43293 41639 61 331 68 329 48 324 67 340 41639 40122 78 332 77 332 70 340 79 339 40122 38710 87 328 85 328 80 339 82 343 38710 37387 84 324 83 324 81 340 82 344 37387 36120 78 323 78 323 80 341 81 343 36120 34847 75 321 73 322 77 341 80 340 34847 33543 74 322 70 320 73 342 79 338 33543 32214 70 323 69 319 69 343 77 337 32214 30850 65 324 65 320 65 343 75 337 30850 29445 61 324 56 321 62 343 73 339 29445 28002 57 324 53 325 58 343 71 343 28002 26525 54 326 51 326 55 341 64 344 26525 25015 49 327 47 322 48 340 52 339 25015 23479 44 325 44 319 42 335 44 335 23479 21910 41 319 40 317 41 330 41 330 21910 20305 37 314 35 316 34 321 39 325 20305 18694 33 309 25 306 23 298 32 311 18694 17158 29 304 21 298 21 288 23 288 17158 15763 27 301 20 296 20 286 19 281 15763 14512 23 298 20*293 19 286 17 282 14512 13384 19 292 18*285 19 285 15 290 13384 12361 17*289 16 280 18 285 14 304 12361 11433 14*285 16 279 17 286 14 319 11433 10591 11 282 16 278 16 287 15 330 10591 9831 11 283 15 278 15 288 17 338 9831 9144 11 284 15 278 14 289 18 342 9144 8515 10 284 15 278 14 291 19 345 8515 7946 10 286 14 278 13 293 19 346 7946 7463 9 288 13 278 12 294 18 346 7463 7086 9 290 13 279 12 295 16 344 7086 6824 8 290 12 279 11 296 12 339 6824 6663 8 292 11 279 10 296 9*333 6663 6571 7 292 9 279 8*298 4*323 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography