DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/18 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.5 - - 60.0 - - 53.3 - - 48.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 33 - - 83 - - 25 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 343 - - 343 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6555 - - 6555 - - 6554 - - 6554 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6572 - - 6572 - - 6571 - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 6502 - - 5985 - - 3605 - - 1321 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 111 - - 137 - - 92 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 175 - - 223 - - 287 - - 314 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -14 - - -3 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -964 - - -1643 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7537 - - 8216 - - 6571 - - 6571 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3099 - - -3225 - - -636 - - -438 ODpotential blCL - - - 9671 - - 9797 - - 7207 - - 7009 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 91 - - 97 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 1150 - - 220 - - 510 - - 280 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.5 - - 60.0 - - 53.3 - - 48.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.8 - - 46.4 - - 50.7 - - 48.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.0 - - 58.9 - - 52.5 - - 49.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.5 - - 45.3 - - 50.2 - - 48.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 33 - - 83 - - 25 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 343 - - 343 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 67 - - 66 - - 90 - - 92 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 8 - - 10 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98727 3 327 9 029 10 020 10 340 98727 91395 2 117 9 331 13 338 11 332 91395 85744 7 312 13 318 16 315 14 341 85744 81016 3 296 13 291 21 296 22 322 81016 76935 7 305 11 272 17 307 18 309 76935 73327 15 292 15 295 16 313 13 320 73327 70049 15 272 20 287 21 293 17 309 70049 67038 7 265 15 281 14 288 16 292 67038 64251 7 292 10 276 13 293 15 281 64251 61541 10 301 14 260 18 279 16 276 61541 58704 16 276 15 250 21 273 24 273 58704 55763 16 229 18 256 27 260 26 265 55763 52959 18 224 28 257 30 252 26 273 52959 50434 35 243 38 238 30 248 31 270 50434 48171 45 224 42 226 31 252 36 265 48171 46116 47 224 48 230 39 254 42 256 46116 44232 56 230 59 227 49 247 49 248 44232 42495 58 226 68 223 60 234 55 242 42495 40877 58 225 73 222 67 225 61 237 40877 39363 63 225 75 218 71 220 65 230 39363 37951 70 221 75 211 70 212 66 223 37951 36610 76 214 68 207 65 205 67 216 36610 35278 67 201 52 204 57 200 65 209 35278 33931 60 198 40 201 46 192 61 201 33931 32576 53 194 43 200 41 188 52 192 32576 31197 48 189 41 201 41 188 43 184 31197 29776 44 189 40 205 39 187 39 183 29776 28315 37 190 38 207 37 189 35 185 28315 26815 33 190 37 208 35 192 30 189 26815 25281 31 189 35 209 33 194 25 196 25281 23719 22 192 34 211 32 195 26 209 23719 22123 21 195 32 214 30 198 30 220 22123 20488 19 204 32 218 28 203 32 227 20488 18842 18 218 33 221 25 209 34 231 18842 17268 19 229 34 223 23 214 38 233 17268 15837 20 237 34 221 24 223 37 235 15837 14559 21 241 34 219 28 231 34 236 14559 13410 19 238 34 216 29 232 30 233 13410 12373 16 230 29 210 26 225 26 230 12373 11433 13 215 22 199 20 213 23 229 11433 10584 12 198 19 191 15 205 19 229 10584 9820 13 189 16 188 12 204 15 228 9820 9130 14 185 13 189 10 207 10 230 9130 8501 15 182 12 194 8 214 7 240 8501 7935 16 180 10 202 7 222 6 262 7935 7455 17 178 9 210 6 245 6 273 7455 7081 17 178 8 215 6 269 6 284 7081 6821 16 177 7 219 5 278 4 301 6821 6662 14*176 7*220 5*284 3*305 6662 6571 10*175 6*223 4*287 2*314 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography