DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/06 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.5 - - 80.4 - - - - - 68.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 196 - - 202 - - - - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6450 - - 9629 - - - - - 343 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10669 - - 13192 - - - - - 6555 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12679 - - 15858 - - - - - 6572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 6697 - - 3099 - - - - - 399 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 470 - - 544 - - - - - 25 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 22 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 228 - - 199 - - - - - 169 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 14 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -17 - - -29 - - - - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1877 - - 1529 - - - - - -4040 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14556 - - 14330 - - - - - 10612 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4371 - - -619 - - - - - -7662 ODpotential blCL - - - 17050 - - 16477 - - - - - 14234 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 95 - - - - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 170 - - 600 - - - - - 430 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.5 - - 80.4 - - - - - 68.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.2 - - 40.1 - - - - - 45.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.9 - - 78.9 - - - - - 71.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.0 - - 39.0 - - - - - 44.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 196 - - 202 - - - - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6450 - - 9629 - - - - - 343 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 60 - - 80 - - - - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99612 36 115 27 114 35 093 99612 92047 28 097 31 109 25 110 92047 86225 21 118 22 102 24 115 86225 81398 22 116 21 125 24 103 81398 77255 21 102 18 119 20 095 77255 73614 11 110 13 099 9 107 73614 70337 6 093 10 105 9 119 70337 67330 2 196 6 075 8 095 67330 64543 12 148 6 276 7 037 64543 61842 1 055 5 232 6 275 61842 59033 11 278 12 248 10 274 59033 56116 21 277 12 239 15 262 56116 53323 30 263 33 268 27 280 53323 50805 44 251 46 259 44 266 50805 48554 49 256 53 254 53 259 48554 46519 53 263 56 257 52 260 46519 44660 60 264 61 261 54 262 44660 42948 62 261 61 258 60 259 42948 41362 62 257 60 254 60 254 41362 39885 61 254 59 251 57 250 39885 38505 55 255 54 247 55 245 38505 37189 48 256 51 239 55 243 37189 35873 42 256 48 235 56 246 35873 34532 36 255 40 242 52 248 34532 33167 30 253 33 241 48 243 33167 31764 32 243 32 238 47 235 31764 30315 36 240 34 238 45 235 30315 28825 35 245 36 237 42 236 28825 27296 36 242 34 232 38 236 27296 25734 38 237 34 232 35 232 25734 24143 40 228 35 235 33 225 24143 22521 39 216 36 238 32 224 22521 20862 30 193 33 234 30 223 20862 19193 25 183 28 230 29 213 19193 17593 24 191 25 226 27 211 17593 16138 23 200 23*223 23 218 16138 14834 21 209 23*220 21 227 14834 13658 20*220 22 213 19 233 13658 12592 20*229 23 205 19 236 12592 11624 21 230 23 199 18 237 11624 10747 21 230 23 195 18 236 10747 9956 20 229 23 194 18 234 9956 9241 19 227 23 192 19 228 9241 8586 17 226 23 191 18 219 8586 7996 17 226 23 190 17 208 7996 7495 16 226 22 189 15 195 7495 7105 15 225 20 188 13 181 7105 6833 14 225 19 187 11 171 6833 6667 13 225 17 187 9*166 6667 6572 10 224 12 186 5*169 6572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography