DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/27 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.1 - - 49.9 - - - - - 44.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 179 - - 139 - - - - - 20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2995 - - 2371 - - - - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8013 - - 7458 - - - - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9224 - - 8600 - - - - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2442 - - 1771 - - - - - 2807 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 355 - - 303 - - - - - 86 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 2 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 25 - - - - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 234 - - 238 - - - - - 226 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 15 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -15 - - -47 - - - - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1561 - - 2030 - - - - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7663 - - 6570 - - - - - 6570 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -526 - - 465 - - - - - -887 ODpotential blCL - - - 9750 - - 8135 - - - - - 7457 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 95 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 670 - - 360 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.1 - - 49.9 - - - - - 44.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.7 - - 44.9 - - - - - 40.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.5 - - 48.7 - - - - - 43.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.7 - - 43.8 - - - - - 39.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 179 - - 139 - - - - - 20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2995 - - 2371 - - - - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 77 - - 82 - - - - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99461 30 095 24 101 27 089 99461 91903 27 102 23 097 24 088 91903 86110 22 105 15 103 22 089 86110 81300 15 123 16 113 20 084 81300 77127 16 130 15 119 13 082 77127 73438 9 124 9 114 8 094 73438 70098 14 141 8 151 7 089 70098 67014 7 144 7 151 7 079 67014 64148 3 161 7 167 3 140 64148 61381 8 222 2 017 5 248 61381 58512 9 214 2 333 4 216 58512 55517 19 237 23 251 11 242 55517 52619 28 229 34 231 31 247 52619 49997 29 213 31 227 36 239 49997 47656 26 231 29 232 33 235 47656 45540 30 232 31 242 29 241 45540 43605 36 236 38 241 33 250 43605 41822 41 236 41 239 39 252 41822 40172 44 236 42 239 42 253 40172 38638 48 235 44 235 44 252 38638 37214 52 231 45 230 46 248 37214 35866 53 224 43 226 45 245 35866 34535 53 218 43 221 42 243 34535 33195 55 210 44 211 34 236 33195 31852 56 202 44 197 23 217 31852 30494 52 201 35 194 17 194 30494 29106 46 204 27 202 15 198 29106 27688 39 208 25 209 14 219 27688 26235 35 211 26 216 16 226 26235 24749 30 222 26 224 16 226 24749 23233 31 218 29 226 17 227 23233 21685 32 224 31 225 17 226 21685 20100 31 231 29 227 16 223 20100 18505 34 236 28 231 16 221 18505 16977 35 239 29 233 18 220 16977 15590 30 236 29 232 22 221 15590 14348 29 232 28 231 24 223 14348 13232 28 226 27 230 26 225 13232 12223 27 223 26 229 26 226 12223 11310 25 223 26 231 27 229 11310 10484 22 225 26 233 28 233 10484 9741 20*227 27 235 29 235 9741 9071 19*229 27*236 29 235 9071 8459 17 232 27*237 29 233 8459 7907 16 234 27 238 27 232 7907 7438 15 236 26 238 25 230 7438 7072 15 237 25 239 22 229 7072 6817 14 237 23 239 19 228 6817 6660 13 238 20 239 17*228 6660 6570 9 238 13 239 10*226 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography