DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/15 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.1 - - 65.7 - - 65.1 - - 52.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 305 - - 335 - - 60 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4297 - - 6650 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9177 - - 11069 - - 6555 - - 6554 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10526 - - 12879 - - 6571 - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2021 - - 2227 - - 7879 - - 1188 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 466 - - 556 - - 117 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 9 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 12 - - 5 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 224 - - 233 - - 262 - - 040 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 13 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - 12 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3167 - - -2355 - - -8903 - - -6171 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13694 - - 15235 - - 15475 - - 12742 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7871 - - -6055 - - -12144 - - -11929 ODpotential blCL - - - 18397 - - 18934 - - 18715 - - 18500 blCL maxRH - - - 45 - - 63 - - 50 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.1 - - 65.7 - - 65.1 - - 52.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.9 - - 21.4 - - 20.0 - - 20.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.7 - - 63.2 - - 64.2 - - 57.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.3 - - 20.9 - - 19.5 - - 20.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 305 - - 335 - - 60 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4297 - - 6650 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 17 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98832 20 225 12 258 14 283 6 233 98832 91439 10 211 14 246 13 272 13 250 91439 85718 17 252 16 260 14 247 15 227 85718 80936 19 245 19 249 20 268 15 262 80936 76801 15 223 19 237 20 267 14 260 76801 73149 13 254 14 237 15 247 12 275 73149 69845 17 261 17 258 19 247 17 280 69845 66815 14 247 19 258 21 247 17 259 66815 63999 15 257 19 251 20 260 16 257 63999 61263 22 269 21 253 26 278 22 264 61263 58416 31 265 29 260 37 268 30 264 58416 55471 38 256 38 256 39 257 32 262 55471 52662 40 252 41 253 37 255 38 263 52662 50135 42 253 41 254 42 258 47 257 50135 47873 45 254 46 257 50 258 54 251 47873 45830 50 253 53 258 57 256 60 249 45830 43965 53 249 57 254 62 254 64 251 43965 42245 55 250 61 251 66 254 68 252 42245 40651 55 252 63 250 71 253 71 250 40651 39172 54 253 62 250 73 252 72 247 39172 37798 53 254 60 248 69 250 73 246 37798 36495 53 254 60 247 66 250 73 245 36495 35199 52 253 61 247 66 249 68 244 35199 33881 50 253 63 247 68 249 60 243 33881 32541 46 253 60 248 67 249 58 243 32541 31164 41 254 53 249 62 248 58 244 31164 29743 37 254 47 248 55 249 55 245 29743 28283 36 253 45 246 49 251 48 249 28283 26788 36 252 45 245 47 251 44 252 26788 25263 37 252 44 244 45 249 42 252 25263 23709 37 252 42 244 42 247 42 249 23709 22122 35 251 41 245 40 246 41 245 22122 20497 33 250 40 245 39 246 38 241 20497 18862 31 247 39 245 38 245 33 240 18862 17296 29 244 36 245 37 244 29 239 17296 15873 27 244 34 242 34 239 26 243 15873 14598 26 244 30 238 31 234 26 240 14598 13449 23 243 23*232 25 222 25 227 13449 12411 21 239 18*228 19 213 22 217 12411 11469 17 232 15 226 18 212 20 216 11469 10616 14*226 13 227 13 213 17 216 10616 9847 12*223 12 230 11 217 13 216 9847 9153 12 222 11 233 9 227 7 218 9153 8519 11 224 10 237 7 240 2 232 8519 7947 11 224 10 240 7 248 2 353 7947 7463 10 225 9 243 7 253 4 006 7463 7086 9 227 8 247 7 257 5 009 7086 6823 8 228 8 248 6 258 4 015 6823 6663 8 228 8 248 6*260 3*032 6663 6571 6 229 7 250 5*262 1*040 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography