DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/02 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.2 - - 69.5 - - - - - 54.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 201 - - 235 - - - - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2752 - - 4721 - - - - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7859 - - 9399 - - - - - 6555 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8981 - - 10950 - - - - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2605 - - 3024 - - - - - 162 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 352 - - 442 - - - - - 9 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 15 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 240 - - 246 - - - - - 171 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 9 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -9 - - - - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4209 - - -3512 - - - - - -4016 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13191 - - 14463 - - - - - 10588 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9223 - - -7171 - - - - - -10573 ODpotential blCL - - - 18204 - - 18121 - - - - - 17144 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 73 - - - - - 37 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.2 - - 69.5 - - - - - 54.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.4 - - 28.9 - - - - - 31.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.4 - - 67.5 - - - - - 59.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.7 - - 28.3 - - - - - 31.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 201 - - 235 - - - - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2752 - - 4721 - - - - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97618 15 289 9 294 15 295 97618 90427 4 311 5 331 12 335 90427 84842 7 331 5 304 15 346 84842 80197 11 315 8 304 15 330 80197 76198 12 304 11 302 15 331 76198 72672 10 274 11 294 13 321 72672 69483 13 291 16 304 12 335 69483 66536 18 289 19 295 12 322 66536 63790 17 287 22 274 27 308 63790 61135 23 275 28 276 37 301 61135 58368 32 284 34 282 36 283 58368 55494 45 289 44 287 38 287 55494 52748 59 284 57 283 51 291 52748 50279 65 281 66 281 64 287 50279 48071 69 283 74 281 68 284 48071 46073 70 282 73 281 68 286 46073 44248 65 278 69 281 68 289 44248 42563 57 272 65 280 69 290 42563 40997 52 276 62 280 69 290 40997 39534 48 284 59 280 68 289 39534 38167 47 287 57 283 61 289 38167 36862 49 287 55 284 53 292 36862 35559 54 285 56 281 50 292 35559 34227 57 284 59 279 49 291 34227 32871 56 283 59 282 42 292 32871 31483 56 284 56 287 37 295 31483 30051 55 287 54 289 36 296 30051 28580 55 290 58 285 36 297 28580 27070 55 290 58 282 36 296 27070 25526 55 289 56 281 39 292 25526 23952 53 285 55 280 42 290 23952 22343 51 282 53 279 42 289 22343 20693 48 280 50 279 40 288 20693 19030 44 280 45 283 37 288 19030 17437 39 281 40 285 34 289 17437 15989 33 280 35 283 29 288 15989 14695 28 279 31 277 23 285 14695 13532 26 278 27 270 19 283 13532 12480 25 278 24 263 20 278 12480 11527 24 274 21*254 23 266 11527 10666 23 268 18*247 25 259 10666 9889 21 260 16 245 25 257 9889 9187 18*251 16 245 24 257 9187 8545 14*243 15 246 22 256 8545 7966 13 240 14 246 17 251 7966 7474 12 239 14 247 12 242 7474 7092 11 239 13 249 8 225 7092 6827 10 239 12 250 6 186 6827 6665 9 240 11 251 6 166 6665 6571 7 240 9 251 5*171 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography