DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/18 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.0 - - 84.0 - - - - - 75.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 358 - - 375 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6181 - - 8474 - - - - - 344 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10732 - - 12599 - - - - - 6556 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12410 - - 14703 - - - - - 6573 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3477 - - 2880 - - - - - 6149 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 558 - - 630 - - - - - 14 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 18 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 319 - - 323 - - - - - 163 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - 13 - - - - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 57 - - 1158 - - - - - -5605 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12354 - - 13546 - - - - - 12179 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2152 - - -833 - - - - - -9057 ODpotential blCL - - - 14562 - - 15536 - - - - - 15630 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 91 - - - - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 540 - - 550 - - - - - 360 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.0 - - 84.0 - - - - - 75.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.2 - - 47.0 - - - - - 45.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.2 - - 81.3 - - - - - 79.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.6 - - 46.3 - - - - - 44.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 358 - - 375 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6181 - - 8474 - - - - - 344 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 41 - - 63 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99866 36 106 24 093 27 105 99866 92291 31 100 27 097 26 100 92291 86458 27 102 27 101 25 085 86458 81639 27 103 18 114 21 086 81639 77501 25 091 18 113 17 098 77501 73838 17 082 20 092 16 102 73838 70518 14 097 13 090 15 092 70518 67482 11 101 6 113 14 094 67482 64685 16 117 8 141 12 102 64685 61989 12 128 12 138 11 152 61989 59199 10 169 9 195 3 214 59199 56332 18 210 18 209 20 247 56332 53616 20 220 27 237 29 244 53616 51186 24 230 33 233 37 244 51186 49017 30 243 35 233 41 242 49017 47045 31 241 36 233 42 243 47045 45223 31 236 37 236 43 244 45223 43527 32 238 39 235 45 242 43527 41935 37 246 40 233 47 239 41935 40434 42 250 44 238 48 241 40434 39021 46 254 47 244 50 245 39021 37668 45 253 47 247 51 247 37668 36311 44 248 46 245 50 249 36311 34922 42 243 46 242 49 247 34922 33512 40 234 48 238 48 242 33512 32069 40 227 47 235 48 243 32069 30587 39 225 41 230 43 246 30587 29071 33 225 34 222 36 250 29071 27520 28 225 30 225 33 249 27520 25938 27 230 24 222 31 246 25938 24329 26 243 19 239 29 247 24329 22690 21 246 15 256 25 252 22690 21016 13 238 12 265 18 266 21016 19331 8 250 11 266 14 290 19331 17715 8 285 9 278 11 308 17715 16242 9 301 7 297 8 325 16242 14922 9 308 6*308 6 343 14922 13732 8 311 6*312 6 358 13732 12654 8*312 6 314 5 007 12654 11676 7*310 6 317 5 014 11676 10791 6 314 6 320 4 020 10791 9992 6 315 6 323 2 031 9992 9270 5 317 7 324 1 103 9270 8609 6 320 7 327 2 144 8609 8014 6 324 8 328 3 150 8014 7507 6 327 8 329 5 151 7507 7112 6 328 8 329 6 153 7112 6838 6 329 7 330 6 153 6838 6669 5 329 7 330 5*156 6669 6573 5 330 6 331 4*163 6573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography