DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/20 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.0 - - 87.0 - - 85.7 - - 76.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 328 - - 360 - - 149 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5875 - - 9071 - - 6246 - - 344 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10452 - - 13066 - - 10332 - - 6556 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12104 - - 15300 - - 12475 - - 6573 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3764 - - 2586 - - 4235 - - 4108 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 533 - - 637 - - 421 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 25 - - 28 - - 16 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 319 - - 315 - - 009 - - 056 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 9 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 13 - - 25 - - 12 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3148 - - -568 - - -2831 - - -5748 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15253 - - 15869 - - 15307 - - 12322 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6012 - - -3067 - - -5332 - - -10000 ODpotential blCL - - - 18116 - - 18367 - - 17807 - - 16573 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 71 - - 72 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 50 - - 140 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.0 - - 87.0 - - 85.7 - - 76.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.6 - - 39.7 - - 41.1 - - 45.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.3 - - 84.2 - - 84.1 - - 80.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.7 - - 38.8 - - 40.3 - - 44.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 328 - - 360 - - 149 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5875 - - 9071 - - 6246 - - 344 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99606 30 102 29 105 16 106 32 082 99606 92075 28 110 28 106 25 093 24 097 92075 86307 24 106 26 100 26 093 21 097 86307 81514 23 097 27 097 21 101 20 092 81514 77364 24 094 20 109 19 106 20 080 77364 73709 20 098 19 108 14 101 16 080 73709 70415 17 102 15 100 17 099 15 101 70415 67397 13 095 14 104 16 099 16 100 67397 64610 8 098 10 098 12 092 11 110 64610 61925 8 136 5 091 8 048 7 085 61925 59147 8 004 5 033 4 351 3 031 59147 56305 25 273 25 301 13 301 11 315 56305 53626 34 256 34 270 29 280 23 291 53626 51224 38 258 41 263 34 279 26 270 51224 49065 44 258 45 264 37 274 29 274 49065 47090 41 264 42 259 39 263 32 273 47090 45265 42 269 37 266 38 252 34 262 45265 43570 38 271 36 273 32 259 33 254 43570 41985 34 276 35 277 30 268 28 261 41985 40495 38 278 35 278 35 269 28 270 40495 39095 39 266 36 266 39 260 31 266 39095 37755 43 253 42 253 40 246 33 257 37755 36409 44 255 43 249 37 249 32 253 36409 35034 45 262 39 256 35 255 29 253 35034 33633 44 268 36 267 35 258 28 261 33633 32195 42 272 34 269 33 263 28 271 32195 30712 40 272 33 268 29 267 25 273 30712 29187 38 274 31 269 24 269 23 271 29187 27624 35 273 29 270 20 265 22 265 27624 26030 33 273 27 271 17 260 21 257 26030 24411 30 274 24 277 14 264 18 249 24411 22764 28 275 24 285 13 273 15 236 22764 21079 29 276 26 285 15 277 14 230 21079 19381 25 279 22 271 16 269 15 235 19381 17755 21 273 18 262 16 260 16 240 17755 16274 19 275 12*265 15 255 15 241 16274 14946 18 286 7*264 12 251 13 243 14946 13751 16 285 6 264 5 255 10 249 13751 12669 11*291 4 279 4*259 7 261 12669 11688 7*302 3 299 2*305 3 290 11688 10799 5 305 3 319 3 356 3 001 10799 9998 4 310 4 333 4 007 5 031 9998 9275 3 317 5 341 5 010 6 039 9275 8613 3 324 6 346 6 012 7 042 8613 8016 3 331 6 348 6 013 8 044 8016 7509 4 338 6 351 7 014 8 046 7509 7113 4 342 7 351 7 015 8 048 7113 6838 4 345 7 352 7 014 7 054 6838 6670 4 345 6 353 6 015 5*058 6670 6573 3 346 6 353 6 014 3*056 6573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography