DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/21 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 38.3 - - 41.4 - - - - - 39.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 186 - - 228 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1458 - - 2098 - - - - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6911 - - 7437 - - - - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7687 - - 8327 - - - - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2546 - - 2831 - - - - - 3819 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 280 - - 339 - - - - - 13 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 14 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 352 - - 022 - - - - - 097 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 19 - - 17 - - - - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1118 - - 1758 - - - - - -351 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6570 - - 6570 - - - - - 6921 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 371 - - 301 - - - - - -3186 ODpotential blCL - - - 7316 - - 8026 - - - - - 9756 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 94 - - - - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - 240 - - 370 - - - - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 38.3 - - 41.4 - - - - - 39.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.3 - - 35.6 - - - - - 31.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 36.7 - - 39.5 - - - - - 41.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.2 - - 34.4 - - - - - 30.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 186 - - 228 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1458 - - 2098 - - - - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 93 - - 75 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98313 16 110 13 118 11 093 98313 90840 16 114 10 088 7 083 90840 85105 12 115 4 091 10 099 85105 80351 9 134 4 149 11 091 80351 76234 5 107 9 153 4 043 76234 72585 2 156 12 149 5 002 72585 69286 5 111 8 148 2 313 69286 66247 5 111 3 179 6 232 66247 63413 3 343 8 230 3 221 63413 60662 7 275 7 300 5 296 60662 57783 2 008 11 260 8 253 57783 54789 12 005 9 252 10 288 54789 51942 21 347 14 308 10 280 51942 49395 24 327 26 304 18 318 49395 47129 23 324 25 319 25 325 47129 45092 30 330 32 323 33 320 45092 43240 35 330 35 332 36 322 43240 41536 39 335 48 343 40 317 41536 39958 42 341 66 343 43 316 39958 38489 51 345 77 339 44 319 38489 37121 60 348 82 338 47 323 37121 35820 67 348 84 340 52 325 35820 34527 70 346 83 343 58 326 34527 33214 68 342 83 347 62 328 33214 31883 60 342 82 350 65 332 31883 30520 52 341 81 352 67 336 30520 29114 40 336 76 355 67 339 29114 27671 31 332 65 356 63 343 27671 26192 26 328 55 355 60 345 26192 24683 16 319 38 354 61 346 24683 23148 2 260 13 008 61 350 23148 21593 7 357 12 058 49 350 21593 20013 15 355 12 049 37 348 20013 18426 10 351 15 047 33 357 18426 16908 10 341 17 025 31 002 16908 15530 14 349 18 006 26 002 15530 14301 16 355 18 352 22 000 14301 13196 17 355 20 347 19 358 13196 12197 18 357 20 348 18 360 12197 11292 18 359 21 353 18 004 11292 10472 19 001 20 360 18 008 10472 9732 19 001 19 006 16 014 9732 9064 18 001 19 011 14 021 9064 8453 17 359 17*015 12 035 8453 7902 16*357 16*018 11 055 7902 7434 15*355 15 021 11 070 7434 7069 13 353 14 022 10 078 7069 6815 12 351 13 024 9 082 6815 6659 11 350 12 024 6*086 6659 6570 9 349 10 025 3*097 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography