DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/30 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 18.7 - - 24.1 - - 30.8 - - 25.6 - - 24.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -17 - - -1 - - 0 - - -2 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth Hcrit 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 - - 6553 - - 6552 Hcrit BL Top 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 80 - - 417 - - 525 - - 386 - - 265 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 18 - - 32 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 192 - - 259 - - 187 - - 011 - - 187 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -13 - - -5 - - -5 - - -3 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2303 - - -2111 - - -1291 - - -459 - - -2171 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8872 - - 8681 - - 7860 - - 7029 - - 8740 sfcLCL ODpotential -15620 - - -13885 - - -11140 - - -12241 - - -15347 ODpotential blCL 22189 - - 20454 - - 17709 - - 18810 - - 21916 blCL maxRH 79 - - 71 - - 65 - - 57 - - 46 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 18.7 - - 24.1 - - 30.8 - - 25.6 - - 24.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 4.0 - - 10.0 - - 20.0 - - 18.4 - - 9.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 23.8 - - 25.6 - - 30.7 - - 30.0 - - 28.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 5.8 - - 8.9 - - 18.9 - - 18.8 - - 11.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -17 - - -1 - - 0 - - -2 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 17 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95602 87 007 91 005 72 348 78 353 79 359 95602 88711 97 007 93 009 76 352 76 349 79 360 88711 83357 95 003 88 006 82 002 75 355 74 003 83357 78859 82 352 77 358 83 006 74 001 66 003 78859 74951 72 344 69 354 79 005 71 002 58 003 74951 71472 66 347 64 356 75 001 69 002 52 002 71472 68310 64 348 61 357 68 360 62 001 46 355 68310 65397 59 341 49 351 57 353 54 355 39 355 65397 62685 53 338 44 336 50 342 52 351 37 350 62685 60044 50 337 41 337 45 338 49 351 42 344 60044 57286 47 335 44 332 42 332 46 344 44 343 57286 54441 41 333 45 316 45 319 45 322 49 336 54441 51751 39 329 42 317 43 314 45 308 50 329 51751 49350 45 322 43 321 43 315 43 300 47 312 49350 47213 53 317 45 320 44 315 44 300 44 297 47213 45288 58 311 46 321 42 308 44 301 43 293 45288 43533 51 307 46 328 36 309 42 296 44 288 43533 41917 41 308 46 332 39 334 33 306 28 295 41917 40416 42 309 45 323 47 337 36 329 25 329 40416 39013 42 308 44 312 45 334 43 337 32 332 39013 37695 41 313 44 308 38 333 41 332 33 327 37695 36429 41 318 40 311 32 349 34 325 28 321 36429 35158 41 321 38 321 32 007 22 333 26 318 35158 33853 41 320 37 328 34 008 17 348 26 320 33853 32521 41 317 38 329 31 006 17 344 25 325 32521 31151 42 314 38 328 27 005 20 342 23 327 31151 29735 44 312 39 328 28 357 23 348 20 326 29735 28278 44 313 40 331 32 357 23 356 19 332 28278 26783 42 315 39 333 32 003 21 360 18 336 26783 25252 38 312 34 326 26 354 19 358 19 333 25252 23686 35 307 32 324 26 334 19 350 19 331 23686 22081 36 306 30 329 30 330 20 328 16 332 22081 20431 36 309 27 333 30 328 25 310 17 333 20431 18766 35 314 23 333 25 324 29 309 21 329 18766 17175 33 319 20 329 22 319 29 312 24 330 17175 15731 31 322 18 322 20 314 26 314 24 332 15731 14445 29 324 19 317 21 311 24 314 23 332 14445 13293 26 325 18 313 20 311 22 315 22 331 13293 12255 22 324 17 308 18 311 20 320 21 330 12255 11319 17 322 14 302 14 311 17 326 20 332 11319 10476 13 318 12 295 10 306 13 326 17 333 10476 9722 9 309 9 284 8 294 9 318 12 327 9722 9044 8 289 8 266 7 280 5 299 9 310 9044 8429 7 261 7 245 6 264 3 250 7 282 8429 7880 6 240 6 234 5 237 2 192 5 253 7880 7416 6 228 4 238 5 190 2 152 4 207 7416 7057 6 216 2 246 6 165 2 112 4 164 7057 6808 6 197 1 241 5 165 2 074 6 146 6808 6656 6*183 1*246 3*168 1*044 5*144 6656 6569 5*192 1*259 1*187 1*011 4*187 6569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography