DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/02 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 32.7 - - 37.6 - - 39.7 - - 37.4 - - 33.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 62 - - 53 - - -7 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 340 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6569 - - 6569 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2443 - - 3932 - - 4571 - - 4396 - - 2558 Hgt.Variab. W* 31 - - 122 - - 117 - - 32 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 303 - - 351 - - 350 - - 322 - - 262 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 9 - - 9 - - 3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -203 - - -785 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6569 - - 6772 - - 7356 - - 6570 - - 6570 sfcLCL ODpotential -1286 - - -1446 - - -2003 - - -1583 - - -1826 ODpotential blCL 7855 - - 8015 - - 8573 - - 8153 - - 8396 blCL maxRH 98 - - 98 - - 98 - - 100 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 32.7 - - 37.6 - - 39.7 - - 37.4 - - 33.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.1 - - 30.9 - - 30.6 - - 32.6 - - 30.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 32.8 - - 36.7 - - 38.8 - - 37.7 - - 35.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.8 - - 29.7 - - 29.4 - - 31.6 - - 30.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 62 - - 53 - - -7 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 340 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 94 - - 93 - - 92 - - 99 - - 34 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96287 16 324 24 282 35 306 25 323 24 305 96287 89463 10 316 10 359 11 304 18 309 22 336 89463 84127 3 315 8 008 2 022 9 315 16 331 84127 79646 3 357 4 326 1 067 1 021 10 303 79646 75733 5 040 10 250 8 313 4 302 6 270 75733 72234 12 003 10 222 8 276 11 274 6 264 72234 69048 11 296 7 251 12 239 12 271 10 242 69048 66107 13 257 7 248 12 232 13 253 9 263 66107 63364 17 250 9 259 10 256 16 254 15 267 63364 60694 16 268 16 246 17 240 19 269 15 260 60694 57909 19 275 16 252 18 252 27 258 22 251 57909 55037 23 293 22 272 24 247 20 249 20 218 55037 52289 33 290 31 281 29 267 19 269 8 256 52289 49798 38 287 35 274 34 256 33 260 25 275 49798 47562 36 288 31 269 26 248 29 249 27 275 47562 45537 34 290 26 273 21 252 23 238 23 270 45537 43686 33 295 23 285 20 280 15 259 22 265 43686 41974 29 291 21 289 22 289 19 297 18 294 41974 40376 22 294 23 281 24 290 26 318 28 324 40376 38887 23 314 25 275 27 289 36 325 60 317 38887 37508 29 324 22 292 24 296 47 321 80 311 37508 36199 35 326 29 324 24 317 54 322 75 306 36199 34896 37 327 30 328 30 321 57 323 63 317 34896 33574 35 337 30 324 36 325 55 321 64 328 33574 32233 36 348 31 327 45 344 44 328 65 332 32233 30856 37 355 33 334 53 348 48 356 65 337 30856 29435 35 347 35 345 52 345 59 356 65 343 29435 27976 21 324 31 356 46 346 59 350 64 351 27976 26483 18 333 22 005 38 349 56 349 59 352 26483 24957 20 324 18 345 28 349 49 352 51 346 24957 23412 19 316 14 316 22 348 44 357 35 351 23412 21842 18 323 8 318 13 342 41 000 30 006 21842 20232 17 352 6 345 5 331 37 001 38 017 20232 18608 22 353 11 356 8 018 30 000 43 021 18608 17049 28 347 18 351 14 020 23 001 42 025 17049 15629 28 343 21 349 14 011 19 006 36 029 15629 14360 24 342 21 354 13 358 18 012 25 026 14360 13222 22 358 22 005 14 005 17 020 16 015 13222 12199 25 015 22 016 15 021 16 024 12 005 12199 11280 28 020 22 023 13 025 13 019 10 003 11280 10453 28 021 19 025 11 019 11 011 8 015 10453 9713 26 020 16 023 11 012 10 007 7 029 9713 9047 23 017 15 020 10 006 9 003 6 022 9047 8439 19 010 13 014 10 359 9 358 6 002 8439 7892 17 357 12 003 10 356 8 347 6 348 7892 7426 16 342 11 356 10 353 8 338 7 334 7426 7064 15 325 10 354 9 352 7 331 6 322 7064 6812 13 314 10 352 9 351 6 326 5 306 6812 6658 11 309 9 351 8*351 5*324 4*282 6658 6570 6*303 7*351 7*350 3*322 3*262 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography