DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/22 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 18.9 - - 29.9 - - 34.8 - - 32.0 - - 23.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -53 - - 11 - - 11 - - -7 - - -43 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 340 - - 341 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth Hcrit 6552 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6552 Hcrit BL Top 6569 - - 6569 - - 6570 - - 6569 - - 6569 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 97 - - 1577 - - 2208 - - 1088 - - 66 Hgt.Variab. W* 26 - - 74 - - 73 - - 31 - - 17 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 185 - - 200 - - 201 - - 179 - - 184 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -15 - - -9 - - -6 - - -5 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2526 - - -2580 - - -2279 - - -1223 - - -1669 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9096 - - 9150 - - 8849 - - 7793 - - 8239 sfcLCL ODpotential -12303 - - -9544 - - -7758 - - -7286 - - -11319 ODpotential blCL 18872 - - 16113 - - 14328 - - 13855 - - 17888 blCL maxRH 71 - - 59 - - 48 - - 48 - - 76 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 18.9 - - 29.9 - - 34.8 - - 32.0 - - 23.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 3.2 - - 13.5 - - 19.5 - - 21.4 - - 10.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 24.6 - - 30.9 - - 34.6 - - 34.0 - - 28.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 3.7 - - 12.4 - - 18.4 - - 20.3 - - 12.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -53 - - 11 - - 11 - - -7 - - -43 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 340 - - 341 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 5 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96868 30 112 22 113 27 101 21 126 19 097 96868 89697 22 100 19 116 16 099 14 113 11 075 89697 84135 15 101 15 120 9 102 9 084 4 097 84135 79488 5 141 11 116 6 178 6 021 5 044 79488 75459 5 123 8 115 4 172 6 319 4 001 75459 71879 4 229 2 238 6 238 6 306 10 345 71879 68622 6 212 5 235 2 252 7 335 8 270 68622 65617 7 173 10 252 13 265 16 291 6 318 65617 62822 11 246 16 236 17 248 17 298 15 282 62822 60127 12 278 7 284 15 270 27 288 14 296 60127 57313 27 269 28 267 30 263 35 280 25 284 57313 54399 36 276 37 274 40 280 36 291 45 277 54399 51643 50 273 49 280 47 278 47 282 44 279 51643 49158 50 273 53 275 52 278 54 282 46 293 49158 46925 52 278 61 277 67 276 65 282 64 289 46925 44916 64 285 69 281 73 275 75 281 76 286 44916 43102 83 285 77 283 78 280 85 280 88 284 43102 41455 92 281 87 283 91 284 93 280 94 282 41455 39939 101 281 100 282 104 282 100 279 96 282 39939 38524 112 281 110 279 109 281 103 280 97 283 38524 37195 112 279 111 278 108 281 104 281 97 283 37195 35922 107 278 103 280 102 282 101 281 99 281 35922 34645 103 281 96 285 95 285 95 281 99 282 34645 33343 100 284 97 287 93 288 89 282 92 283 33343 32023 98 286 95 287 91 289 85 284 83 284 32023 30671 94 287 91 287 88 290 82 286 77 285 30671 29276 89 289 87 287 84 290 79 288 74 287 29276 27843 80 291 82 287 79 289 72 288 70 289 27843 26375 68 291 73 288 72 289 65 287 65 289 26375 24874 59 289 63 289 65 288 61 286 60 288 24874 23347 52 284 56 289 57 287 56 285 52 287 23347 21785 47 280 49 283 50 284 50 284 46 284 21785 20181 44 280 44 276 44 281 44 282 41 280 20181 18562 40 280 40 270 40 277 39 278 36 278 18562 17010 38 280 36 269 38 273 37 276 32 276 17010 15600 35 280 31 272 36 272 35 274 29 273 15600 14341 31 281 26 275 32 272 33 270 27 269 14341 13213 26 275 23 275 27 270 29 264 25 264 13213 12199 23 260 22 267 23 267 26 258 23 259 12199 11283 20 246 20 253 22 260 23 254 21 256 11283 10455 18 239 18 241 20 248 22 248 21 248 10455 9712 17 236 15 230 18 232 20 236 20 237 9712 9042 17 238 14 225 16 220 18 224 19 229 9042 8432 18 234 14 224 16 214 19 216 19 227 8432 7884 20 220 15 218 15 209 20 207 19 220 7884 7420 20 205 15 207 13 205 18 202 18 208 7420 7059 18 188 13 203 11 207 14 199 16 197 7059 6809 15 181 11 201 9 207 10 197 12 188 6809 6656 12*181 9 199 7*205 7*194 9*183 6656 6569 6*185 5*200 4*201 3*179 6*184 6569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography