DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/01 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.9 - - 66.0 - - 63.8 - - 52.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 206 - - 240 - - 16 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 343 - - 4263 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6555 - - 9057 - - 6555 - - 6554 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6572 - - 10492 - - 6571 - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4166 - - 1982 - - 5301 - - 425 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 177 - - 430 - - 77 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 10 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 8 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 230 - - 252 - - 289 - - 193 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 9 - - 2 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4596 - - -2465 - - -5833 - - -3294 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11169 - - 12958 - - 12405 - - 9866 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8498 - - -6302 - - -9753 - - -10067 ODpotential blCL - - - 15070 - - 16794 - - 16324 - - 16638 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 65 - - 70 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.9 - - 66.0 - - 63.8 - - 52.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.7 - - 31.9 - - 32.4 - - 32.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.9 - - 63.9 - - 63.5 - - 57.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.1 - - 31.4 - - 31.9 - - 31.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 206 - - 240 - - 16 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 343 - - 4263 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 32 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97781 13 306 9 293 4 253 13 269 97781 90548 7 315 10 287 8 341 2 345 90548 84933 1 214 8 278 10 324 8 359 84933 80273 2 086 3 269 12 291 12 331 80273 76276 14 333 4 314 13 270 11 322 76276 72742 14 285 9 307 14 274 12 286 72742 69534 14 260 16 301 18 290 11 270 69534 66570 19 276 25 285 22 297 12 309 66570 63799 17 281 26 272 26 283 22 285 63799 61113 20 286 25 262 27 272 30 279 61113 58323 23 279 28 263 33 274 34 281 58323 55439 35 286 36 280 37 282 38 285 55439 52703 45 290 41 286 42 291 42 291 52703 50252 52 294 49 299 54 295 53 299 50252 48063 60 290 60 299 62 301 65 299 48063 46086 64 288 65 298 68 302 71 298 46086 44290 64 295 66 303 66 303 70 306 44290 42638 68 308 69 306 67 304 71 308 42638 41093 70 314 70 305 69 302 66 304 41093 39636 66 313 69 303 67 299 61 299 39636 38264 61 311 64 300 63 295 62 295 38264 36949 56 313 62 300 60 293 63 291 36949 35630 59 312 63 303 59 295 60 292 35630 34284 61 308 64 304 59 298 55 294 34284 32919 59 306 64 303 58 302 51 296 32919 31521 57 307 60 303 56 304 48 296 31521 30081 55 308 55 301 51 302 47 297 30081 28600 54 308 52 300 48 296 47 298 28600 27080 50 307 49 298 48 293 46 299 27080 25525 47 305 46 297 47 293 44 298 25525 23941 44 304 43 297 44 293 42 295 23941 22322 39 302 41 296 41 294 39 294 22322 20664 34 296 38 295 37 295 36 293 20664 18996 32 292 35 293 34 297 31 292 18996 17400 28 290 30 293 29 297 26 289 17400 15952 23 292 25 294 25 295 22 283 15952 14658 17 291 20 294 21 291 18 281 14658 13496 14 282 16 290 17 289 16 283 13496 12446 13 271 13 279 14 284 13 287 12446 11496 13 261 10 260 10 273 10 285 11496 10637 13 245 9*246 8 257 8 272 10637 9863 13 229 9*246 7 253 9 260 9863 9165 11 223 9 246 6 256 9 247 9165 8529 9 221 8 250 6 266 9 240 8529 7955 7 221 8 252 6 275 7 236 7955 7468 6 223 8 256 6 279 6 233 7468 7089 5 226 7 260 6 284 4 227 7089 6825 5 228 7 261 6 285 3 205 6825 6663 4*228 7 262 5 287 3*187 6663 6571 4*230 6 263 4*289 3*193 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography