DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/16 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.1 - - 55.6 - - - - - 42.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 83 - - 89 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 341 - - 2074 - - - - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6554 - - 7000 - - - - - 6554 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6570 - - 8303 - - - - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1823 - - 1068 - - - - - 240 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 135 - - 251 - - - - - 16 W* B/S - - - 24 - - 18 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 3 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 060 - - 254 - - - - - 197 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 2 - - - - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4561 - - -2734 - - - - - -885 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11132 - - 11037 - - - - - 7455 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13197 - - -10273 - - - - - -11120 ODpotential blCL - - - 19767 - - 18576 - - - - - 17690 blCL maxRH - - - 43 - - 55 - - - - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.1 - - 55.6 - - - - - 42.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.0 - - 30.6 - - - - - 32.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.0 - - 54.4 - - - - - 47.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.9 - - 29.4 - - - - - 32.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 83 - - 89 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 341 - - 2074 - - - - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97476 7 188 10 241 8 337 97476 90262 7 107 8 132 8 335 90262 84686 6 104 6 129 3 198 84686 80029 7 116 8 174 8 245 80029 75996 1 219 7 176 8 230 75996 72437 13 256 9 267 6 295 72437 69245 13 257 8 257 13 296 69245 66333 15 266 16 281 16 287 66333 63630 14 269 20 276 22 291 63630 61007 9 270 18 269 24 280 61007 58281 16 311 18 283 28 271 58281 55477 18 316 20 292 29 263 55477 52810 19 327 20 308 22 259 52810 50404 21 331 25 311 22 291 50404 48243 20 329 25 304 26 300 48243 46280 20 335 25 300 26 294 46280 44480 23 342 21 306 22 290 44480 42814 25 348 20 318 21 300 42814 41257 25 350 21 326 23 309 41257 39799 24 351 22 331 23 316 39799 38434 24 350 23 335 21 322 38434 37128 25 347 24 332 20 320 37128 35817 25 344 24 326 19 318 35817 34477 23 339 23 324 18 319 34477 33115 23 335 23 331 17 325 33115 31717 24 336 24 338 17 333 31717 30276 26 338 25 343 17 336 30276 28794 27 337 26 346 15 334 28794 27271 28 336 27 347 14 333 27271 25711 28 334 25 347 14 335 25711 24116 26 330 23 340 15 335 24116 22481 23 324 21 326 16 329 22481 20800 20 323 22 316 17 324 20800 19102 18 326 20 312 17 317 19102 17476 15 330 15 309 17 305 17476 15998 11 332 10 297 18 292 15998 14677 6 331 9 273 18 284 14677 13493 3 311 9 257 16 277 13493 12427 3 260 9 248 16 268 12427 11466 5 242 9 241 15 259 11466 10603 6 235 9 242 15 247 10603 9830 7 221 8 230 13 237 9830 9135 7 213 8 215 13 231 9135 8502 6 205 6*220 13 223 8502 7934 4 187 3*237 12 218 7934 7453 2 152 3 247 9 215 7453 7079 1 108 2 259 6 207 7079 6820 1 070 2 269 5 195 6820 6661 1 064 2 274 4 187 6661 6570 1*060 2 279 3*197 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography