DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/11 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 75.8 - - 82.2 - - 85.4 - - 84.7 - - 75.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 48 - - 308 - - 333 - - 119 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 343 - - 5775 - - 7487 - - 5193 - - 343 BL Depth Hcrit 6555 - - 10353 - - 11755 - - 9419 - - 6556 Hcrit BL Top 6572 - - 12004 - - 13716 - - 11422 - - 6572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1862 - - 3804 - - 2196 - - 3865 - - 3407 Hgt.Variab. W* 114 - - 522 - - 585 - - 372 - - 15 W* B/S 2 - - 8 - - 8 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 11 - - 13 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 180 - - 227 - - 242 - - 245 - - 170 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -16 - - -10 - - -9 - - -9 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8168 - - -3748 - - -3782 - - -6962 - - -8851 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14741 - - 15753 - - 17498 - - 18384 - - 15424 sfcLCL ODpotential -11747 - - -7742 - - -7410 - - -10702 - - -13655 ODpotential blCL 18319 - - 19746 - - 21126 - - 22124 - - 20227 blCL maxRH 32 - - 34 - - 24 - - 72 - - 50 maxRH CAPE 70 - - 230 - - 160 - - 30 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m 75.8 - - 82.2 - - 85.4 - - 84.7 - - 75.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.2 - - 35.6 - - 31.1 - - 26.6 - - 31.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 75.2 - - 79.9 - - 82.9 - - 83.3 - - 79.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.0 - - 34.4 - - 29.8 - - 25.3 - - 29.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 48 - - 308 - - 333 - - 119 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 343 - - 5775 - - 7487 - - 5193 - - 343 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99692 35 100 28 103 26 108 25 107 24 099 99692 92113 24 098 24 118 18 095 24 096 24 085 92113 86273 21 110 21 121 17 097 22 093 22 094 86273 81450 19 110 19 102 19 125 16 095 17 105 81450 77306 21 105 12 102 18 116 15 124 11 105 77306 73653 13 115 8 108 12 118 17 129 11 104 73653 70346 15 120 17 134 13 169 6 116 9 094 70346 67310 5 103 11 123 15 164 8 217 3 284 67310 64516 4 153 6 205 11 153 9 198 11 205 64516 61831 10 194 15 228 10 190 14 192 16 214 61831 59045 13 225 21 210 19 227 14 214 16 218 59045 56188 26 237 28 227 34 238 26 245 29 247 56188 53500 35 233 34 232 39 242 42 244 39 244 53500 51090 41 259 40 245 46 250 46 242 48 249 51090 48920 51 263 48 255 53 254 49 249 56 252 48920 46931 57 264 52 261 55 255 54 252 58 252 46931 45089 62 266 55 262 54 256 57 252 54 252 45089 43374 65 268 59 261 56 258 58 255 52 254 43374 41770 64 272 63 264 62 261 60 258 53 258 41770 40265 57 273 60 266 63 263 63 261 56 262 40265 38856 49 269 49 266 56 264 63 265 55 266 38856 37511 45 261 40 262 46 261 54 267 49 266 37511 36167 41 254 36 260 39 257 45 262 39 263 36167 34799 36 253 39 263 34 256 39 258 34 256 34799 33412 30 254 41 261 32 258 32 261 31 250 33412 31995 28 266 35 264 33 265 25 258 26 255 31995 30542 27 266 31 270 32 274 27 277 24 268 30542 29054 25 263 27 273 30 280 30 287 27 281 29054 27532 25 264 24 276 27 284 28 285 29 284 27532 25975 22 259 25 278 25 285 24 281 25 274 25975 24387 23 258 29 273 24 287 19 276 21 261 24387 22758 26 269 29 269 24 287 16 264 19 250 22758 21082 28 274 27 267 23 283 16 251 17 241 21082 19387 29 270 27 268 22 278 17 253 15 235 19387 17758 31 258 26 269 20 276 17 266 14 237 17758 16273 29 251 25 260 18 275 15 276 13 247 16273 14941 21 249 24 248 16*262 13 272 12 253 14941 13742 18 247 22 238 14*243 13 258 10 253 13742 12658 16 239 18*233 13 241 12 248 9 250 12658 11677 16 233 14*232 13 240 11*244 8 247 11677 10788 16 234 12 231 13 240 11*244 8 246 10788 9989 18 235 12 229 13 241 11 243 7 240 9989 9266 19 231 12 228 13 242 11 244 7 232 9266 8606 20 222 12 226 13 243 11 244 7 221 8606 8011 21 208 11 225 13 245 11 245 7 213 8011 7505 20 193 11 224 12 245 11 245 6 207 7505 7111 17 178 11 224 12 247 10 246 6 200 7111 6837 16 177 10 224 11 247 9 246 5 186 6837 6669 13*177 9 222 10 248 9 247 5 173 6669 6572 9*180 8 222 9 248 7 246 4*170 6572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography