DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/08 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.6 - - 68.4 - - 63.4 - - 54.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 185 - - 216 - - -9 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2326 - - 4023 - - 343 - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7511 - - 8825 - - 6555 - - 6554 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8555 - - 10252 - - 6572 - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1639 - - 2675 - - 3788 - - 386 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 322 - - 406 - - 22 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 12 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 6 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 242 - - 271 - - 284 - - 176 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6049 - - -5883 - - -8583 - - -7191 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14605 - - 16136 - - 15155 - - 13762 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11803 - - -11188 - - -14818 - - -15634 ODpotential blCL - - - 20358 - - 21440 - - 21390 - - 22205 blCL maxRH - - - 35 - - 53 - - 81 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.6 - - 68.4 - - 63.4 - - 54.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.7 - - 20.4 - - 20.2 - - 17.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.9 - - 66.4 - - 64.3 - - 59.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.1 - - 19.9 - - 19.7 - - 17.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 185 - - 216 - - -9 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2326 - - 4023 - - 343 - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 23 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97620 22 023 20 355 16 006 19 350 97620 90516 15 031 17 007 17 022 11 027 90516 84928 12 058 10 036 12 021 12 039 84928 80235 11 036 10 031 10 352 11 356 80235 76175 9 061 3 019 8 346 6 026 76175 72580 9 344 4 332 13 320 15 337 72580 69344 16 334 10 331 13 296 20 334 69344 66387 25 335 22 335 19 327 27 331 66387 63645 27 326 26 324 27 322 23 313 63645 60983 27 324 31 315 31 318 26 319 60983 58205 28 314 32 310 36 314 37 315 58205 55341 32 312 35 301 40 302 44 304 55341 52632 34 310 36 291 42 294 45 292 52632 50200 38 307 36 297 40 293 44 291 50200 48010 44 309 45 309 45 302 51 301 48010 46014 50 310 56 309 53 307 57 301 46014 44179 53 313 57 308 58 308 57 300 44179 42483 52 317 54 314 56 308 53 305 42483 40915 45 323 44 319 49 311 42 315 40915 39465 34 333 33 324 41 312 37 319 39465 38118 27 333 28 324 35 316 32 317 38118 36832 20 324 25 323 33 319 32 320 36832 35542 18 327 25 324 29 315 30 324 35542 34222 24 344 24 329 26 317 27 329 34222 32875 23 353 24 334 24 319 24 332 32875 31491 22 358 21 339 23 324 21 331 31491 30061 21 002 19 343 21 330 18 328 30061 28589 21 003 18 348 17 333 16 316 28589 27077 20 358 17 354 13 329 13 303 27077 25529 16 348 13 349 10 322 11 301 25529 23948 12 334 11 325 9 310 9 297 23948 22329 11 316 13 305 10 303 9 288 22329 20666 13 305 15 300 13 307 10 292 20666 18995 15 296 17 295 16 307 14 294 18995 17402 15 287 17 288 17 300 17 288 17402 15957 16 279 17 283 18 292 18 288 15957 14665 17 279 17 280 17 287 19 293 14665 13505 16 280 15 279 16 285 18 298 13505 12456 14 279 13 274 15 281 16 302 12456 11505 12 274 11 266 13 276 13 303 11505 10645 11 267 9*260 11 268 12 300 10645 9870 9 257 8*259 10 259 10 293 9870 9171 8*240 7 262 9 255 9 285 9171 8532 7*234 6 267 8 253 8 276 8532 7957 5 238 6 272 8 260 7 264 7957 7469 4 241 6 278 8 266 4 247 7469 7089 3 248 6 284 7 272 3 210 7089 6825 3 253 6 285 7 276 4 154 6825 6664 3 261 5 287 6*280 4*150 6664 6571 2 260 5 289 4*284 3*176 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography