DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/20 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.0 - - 56.4 - - 58.3 - - 55.3 - - 47.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 108 - - 102 - - -3 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 2849 - - 4141 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit 6554 - - 7648 - - 8524 - - 6554 - - 6554 Hcrit BL Top 6570 - - 9078 - - 10370 - - 6571 - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 498 - - 4159 - - 3080 - - 6117 - - 507 Hgt.Variab. W* 15 - - 293 - - 324 - - 17 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 9 - - 12 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 129 - - 209 - - 225 - - 008 - - 172 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -7 - - 9 - - 4 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1098 - - 411 - - 1280 - - -2529 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7669 - - 8668 - - 9090 - - 9100 - - 6571 sfcLCL ODpotential -5909 - - -1434 - - -243 - - -4871 - - -4174 ODpotential blCL 12479 - - 10512 - - 10613 - - 11442 - - 10745 blCL maxRH 99 - - 86 - - 83 - - 70 - - 65 maxRH CAPE 50 - - 120 - - 180 - - 40 - - 180 CAPE Temp@2m 44.0 - - 56.4 - - 58.3 - - 55.3 - - 47.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.5 - - 41.0 - - 41.1 - - 38.3 - - 41.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.2 - - 55.1 - - 57.1 - - 56.7 - - 52.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.3 - - 40.0 - - 40.5 - - 37.5 - - 42.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 108 - - 102 - - -3 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 2849 - - 4141 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 94 - - 46 - - 33 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97444 4 081 7 254 15 303 11 009 5 311 97444 90243 11 001 1 037 7 284 13 340 7 018 90243 84677 11 322 4 312 5 269 8 333 5 326 84677 80055 7 335 6 297 3 202 8 290 5 288 80055 76066 4 342 7 268 1 094 6 237 5 278 76066 72531 6 329 9 259 8 292 8 249 6 284 72531 69327 5 276 7 219 12 251 11 280 7 280 69327 66377 10 283 7 225 14 215 17 269 13 268 66377 63642 13 252 11 248 12 227 13 242 10 244 63642 60992 15 237 20 251 15 258 13 272 10 290 60992 58212 24 242 26 244 26 236 31 240 25 257 58212 55330 34 237 31 238 33 222 38 224 38 233 55330 52601 43 243 34 234 36 233 39 237 44 237 52601 50157 51 245 45 248 46 239 42 244 49 237 50157 47959 60 245 64 245 49 247 57 247 50 238 47959 45951 67 241 71 241 65 246 68 244 59 241 45951 44101 70 239 78 242 75 243 74 242 68 241 44101 42389 73 240 81 241 81 242 77 242 75 240 42389 40795 74 239 81 239 85 244 80 244 76 240 40795 39307 70 235 76 237 87 247 80 248 74 240 39307 37916 61 231 70 238 81 249 75 252 70 241 37916 36591 51 233 62 240 68 251 63 254 62 242 36591 35271 44 242 51 243 55 253 51 256 50 242 35271 33932 40 244 42 247 46 248 42 253 42 233 33932 32585 38 237 36 240 45 241 38 248 36 222 32585 31208 34 241 35 234 42 235 38 245 28 220 31208 29783 27 239 36 230 38 225 39 230 30 222 29783 28315 26 232 32 230 37 220 37 216 29 223 28315 26808 23 232 28 235 32 223 35 217 29 223 26808 25268 20 241 25 241 22 228 28 227 27 222 25268 23701 17 252 21 242 18 238 17 221 23 223 23701 22104 17 257 16 251 13 244 11 208 19 218 22104 20472 17 271 13 270 8 250 9 214 17 216 20472 18832 14 256 10 263 8 249 11 218 15 226 18832 17264 14 263 9 246 10 229 13 216 15 222 17264 15841 13 254 11 233 11 227 12 230 17 214 15841 14568 16 231 13 225 12 228 12 224 18 207 14568 13424 16 228 14 225 12 220 12 206 17 207 13424 12388 14 236 13 227 12 215 12 196 15 208 12388 11450 12 237 11 222 10 211 10 192 12 207 11450 10601 10 222 10 216 7*213 7 188 10 203 10601 9836 8 204 9 214 6*216 3 175 8 197 9836 9145 7 193 8*212 6 220 2 146 6 185 9145 8513 6 183 8*210 5 223 1 075 5 162 8513 7944 5 170 7 209 5 225 2 038 5 130 7944 7461 5 159 6 209 5 230 3 028 6 106 7461 7084 5 145 6 208 4 231 3 018 6 100 7084 6823 5 133 5 209 4 234 4 016 7 112 6823 6663 5*124 5 208 4 233 4*016 6*122 6663 6571 3*129 4 208 3 235 3*008 3*172 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography