DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/06 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 42.8 - - 51.6 - - 54.5 - - 46.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 370 - - 422 - - 93 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3389 - - 4666 - - 3240 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8549 - - 9588 - - 7821 - - 6554 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9618 - - 10895 - - 9469 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1407 - - 2574 - - 4239 - - 293 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 463 - - 536 - - 290 - - 33 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 9 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 10 - - 18 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 359 - - 295 - - 270 - - 230 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 8 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - -19 - - -12 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2261 - - -1905 - - -3184 - - -2801 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11879 - - 12800 - - 12653 - - 9371 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8513 - - -5113 - - -5818 - - -6760 ODpotential blCL - - - 18131 - - 16008 - - 15287 - - 13330 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 74 - - 93 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 42.8 - - 51.6 - - 54.5 - - 46.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 13.8 - - 18.3 - - 21.9 - - 28.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 40.2 - - 48.8 - - 53.4 - - 49.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 12.8 - - 17.2 - - 20.8 - - 27.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 370 - - 422 - - 93 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3389 - - 4666 - - 3240 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 72 - - 72 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98008 17 237 13 264 9 263 5 247 98008 90519 11 195 14 238 15 250 7 275 90519 84767 9 169 12 227 8 244 6 247 84767 80004 10 191 9 242 7 275 3 095 80004 75904 8 136 11 229 8 250 7 327 75904 72282 4 270 1 188 4 210 6 286 72282 68994 5 246 6 272 9 284 6 291 68994 65955 1 311 12 242 15 279 9 311 65955 63137 9 329 8 298 12 309 11 309 63137 60406 19 279 12 287 13 310 11 300 60406 57556 7 327 17 300 17 309 12 324 57556 54608 21 346 14 313 22 287 17 304 54608 51802 29 342 14 338 16 290 20 303 51802 49285 30 340 31 341 31 337 31 329 49285 47055 34 346 40 342 40 339 40 332 47055 45056 43 357 46 349 43 337 42 326 45056 43235 56 004 52 352 45 334 43 321 43235 41563 66 006 57 351 49 333 45 320 41563 40022 75 006 63 350 54 332 48 328 40022 38597 80 005 66 349 57 332 55 338 38597 37272 80 006 67 350 58 333 58 340 37272 36009 78 007 66 352 57 335 51 338 36009 34741 75 006 64 353 55 338 52 338 34741 33442 74 006 63 355 53 341 55 337 33442 32118 72 006 63 356 54 345 56 336 32118 30759 70 005 62 358 55 349 55 336 30759 29357 69 004 59 000 54 351 53 336 29357 27916 67 004 56 001 53 352 50 336 27916 26440 65 005 55 000 52 351 50 335 26440 24933 61 005 55 000 53 350 52 334 24933 23401 57 005 55 001 53 351 54 334 23401 21838 51 005 54 360 50 353 53 337 21838 20239 47 005 51 358 48 353 48 340 20239 18632 44 005 47 356 44 344 42 340 18632 17099 43 005 44 353 42 338 37 334 17099 15708 44 006 40 350 39 335 34 331 15708 14460 44 005 35 346 34 332 32 332 14460 13336 43 004 29 343 31 327 30 334 13336 12318 38 003 23 338 27 319 27 331 12318 11393 30 004 17*329 24 307 24 324 11393 10556 21 005 14*317 21 293 22 311 10556 9800 14*005 12 304 20*288 21 296 9800 9117 10*003 11 293 19*277 22 281 9117 8492 8 360 10 289 19 272 24 265 8492 7929 8 359 10 288 19 270 26 254 7929 7452 7 357 10 287 18 269 25 247 7452 7079 7 356 10 286 18 268 23 243 7079 6820 7 356 9 287 17 268 18 239 6820 6661 7 355 9 287 15 268 14 235 6661 6570 6 355 7 287 11 268 6*230 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography