DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/16 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.8 - - 72.0 - - - - - 64.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 262 - - 174 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3898 - - 5795 - - - - - 343 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8823 - - 10085 - - - - - 6555 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10127 - - 12024 - - - - - 6572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5879 - - 6417 - - - - - 1541 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 433 - - 433 - - - - - 17 W* B/S - - - 41 - - 23 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 223 - - 222 - - - - - 139 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 21 - - 22 - - - - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -620 - - 451 - - - - - -3438 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10747 - - 11573 - - - - - 10010 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2614 - - -1292 - - - - - -7042 ODpotential blCL - - - 12741 - - 13316 - - - - - 13614 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 95 - - - - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 640 - - 680 - - - - - 490 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.8 - - 72.0 - - - - - 64.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.4 - - 44.0 - - - - - 43.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.7 - - 70.2 - - - - - 68.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.6 - - 43.2 - - - - - 43.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 262 - - 174 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3898 - - 5795 - - - - - 343 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 5 - - 80 - - - - - 15 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99604 27 114 23 100 26 095 99604 92127 17 105 16 088 18 090 92127 86321 17 104 12 102 17 080 86321 81493 14 101 7 123 10 061 81493 77334 11 106 5 142 6 053 77334 73661 8 090 7 119 4 044 73661 70340 2 210 4 129 3 031 70340 67287 2 218 3 143 6 307 67287 64466 2 321 3 281 7 295 64466 61746 9 286 13 286 10 314 61746 58916 7 225 15 246 16 289 58916 55973 9 283 11 247 19 257 55973 53150 26 273 22 263 24 277 53150 50605 33 247 38 258 33 281 50605 48336 46 243 49 253 43 273 48336 46305 48 246 49 252 49 266 46305 44478 45 250 47 257 49 269 44478 42815 44 249 51 263 55 284 42815 41275 41 255 48 268 62 287 41275 39827 42 259 52 279 60 285 39827 38464 44 261 53 279 58 283 38464 37156 46 260 51 273 56 282 37156 35843 44 257 49 268 55 281 35843 34497 41 256 47 267 54 278 34497 33126 36 261 45 270 53 276 33126 31719 33 268 43 270 51 274 31719 30269 32 271 41 267 48 273 30269 28779 31 272 38 266 44 271 28779 27253 31 269 36 263 40 269 27253 25694 30 267 33 262 36 269 25694 24106 28 265 32 265 34 273 24106 22486 26 259 29 269 31 276 22486 20828 26 264 27 272 24 274 20828 19160 27 269 25 265 20 273 19160 17565 23 266 22 261 18 273 17565 16110 20 266 20 262 17 272 16110 14807 18 270 17 263 16 271 14807 13631 17 276 13 261 14 262 13631 12566 16 279 9*255 12 245 12566 11601 14 279 6*238 10 231 11601 10727 10*276 5 234 9 220 10727 9938 6*266 4 227 8 212 9938 9226 3 231 4 221 7 204 9226 8575 2 216 3 216 7 195 8575 7988 2 199 3 210 6 186 7988 7490 2 191 2 204 6 176 7490 7102 1 181 2 199 6 164 7102 6832 1 173 2 195 6 148 6832 6667 1 164 2 194 5*141 6667 6572 1 155 1 191 3*139 6572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography