DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/14 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 79.2 - - 86.2 - - 90.1 - - - - - 76.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 38 - - 293 - - 318 - - - - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 343 - - 5609 - - 10169 - - - - - 344 BL Depth Hcrit 6556 - - 10196 - - 13893 - - - - - 6556 Hcrit BL Top 6572 - - 11838 - - 16398 - - - - - 6573 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2603 - - 4744 - - 4117 - - - - - 3194 Hgt.Variab. W* 104 - - 507 - - 637 - - - - - 25 W* B/S 8 - - 16 - - 17 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction 169 - - 193 - - 203 - - - - - 240 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 10 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 18 - - 39 - - - - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8353 - - -3821 - - -261 - - - - - -6051 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14926 - - 15660 - - 16659 - - - - - 12625 sfcLCL ODpotential -11875 - - -6480 - - -2276 - - - - - -10159 ODpotential blCL 18447 - - 18318 - - 18674 - - - - - 16732 blCL maxRH 76 - - 79 - - 75 - - - - - 86 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 70 - - 190 - - - - - 140 CAPE Temp@2m 79.2 - - 86.2 - - 90.1 - - - - - 76.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.8 - - 40.1 - - 39.3 - - - - - 43.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 78.5 - - 83.8 - - 87.4 - - - - - 78.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.9 - - 39.0 - - 38.2 - - - - - 43.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 38 - - 293 - - 318 - - - - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 343 - - 5609 - - 10169 - - - - - 344 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 2 - - 16 - - 1 - - - - - 45 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99872 45 109 40 106 32 110 32 090 99872 92296 35 103 40 112 26 101 29 089 92296 86455 27 110 28 108 24 096 27 096 86455 81615 24 105 22 120 21 113 24 102 81615 77474 21 100 19 115 21 122 20 090 77474 73821 21 103 18 114 20 135 17 110 73821 70521 14 106 16 124 17 131 18 123 70521 67510 12 136 8 133 10 134 16 118 67510 64727 19 145 12 170 17 195 8 123 64727 62028 10 133 17 157 18 192 12 214 62028 59238 16 260 13 188 13 209 21 205 59238 56380 34 224 26 209 24 212 23 196 56380 53675 37 208 32 221 29 221 21 209 53675 51246 38 202 42 222 41 229 31 234 51246 49066 41 215 49 215 51 219 44 233 49066 47078 48 224 51 215 51 212 47 231 47078 45241 45 234 46 214 45 214 49 228 45241 43530 44 247 37 221 41 215 44 209 43530 41938 45 248 37 237 34 220 35 204 41938 40451 41 244 38 240 31 225 32 212 40451 39051 37 240 37 239 29 224 33 214 39051 37709 33 232 35 242 28 227 32 206 37709 36363 28 223 28 234 24 228 27 199 36363 34985 26 216 27 207 24 203 21 202 34985 33583 22 207 29 204 28 198 19 210 33583 32147 18 195 25 209 26 204 17 221 32147 30670 15 183 21 208 24 219 19 253 30670 29151 12 188 17 206 19 226 23 252 29151 27592 10 204 12 213 15 231 18 241 27592 26007 11 213 11 219 13 222 19 217 26007 24398 13 216 13 209 16 199 22 212 24398 22757 17 218 16 207 17 183 24 208 22757 21074 20 218 18 215 15 191 23 200 21074 19376 20 212 16 218 18 206 19 189 19376 17747 18 200 14 222 16*206 16 175 17747 16264 15 197 15 217 12*198 13 165 16264 14935 13 196 14 204 10 195 8 158 14935 13739 11 191 13 191 9 197 2 144 13739 12657 9 184 12*184 8 198 4 332 12657 11678 6 173 10*182 7 201 6 323 11678 10790 4 156 8 184 6 205 7 302 10790 9990 3 124 7 188 6 209 10 281 9990 9268 3 095 6 192 5 213 14 270 9268 8607 4 095 5 197 5 217 16 265 8607 8011 3 110 5 204 4 220 18 260 8011 7505 3 137 4 209 4 223 18 257 7505 7111 4 150 3 216 4 225 16 253 7111 6837 4 150 3 221 3 226 13 250 6837 6669 4 154 3 221 3 227 10*245 6669 6573 2*169 3 224 3 228 5*240 6573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography