DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/01 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.5 - - 89.0 - - 87.4 - - 76.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 321 - - 354 - - 113 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7171 - - 10686 - - 7681 - - 343 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11472 - - 14369 - - 11234 - - 6556 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13400 - - 16915 - - 13910 - - 6572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5224 - - 2046 - - 3609 - - 517 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 565 - - 668 - - 414 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 19 - - 20 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 219 - - 244 - - 251 - - 208 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 14 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -13 - - -8 - - -24 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4741 - - -1755 - - -5862 - - -12045 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 18142 - - 18671 - - 19773 - - 18618 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10569 - - -7473 - - -11322 - - -18374 ODpotential blCL - - - 23969 - - 24388 - - 25232 - - 24946 blCL maxRH - - - 48 - - 73 - - 75 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.5 - - 89.0 - - 87.4 - - 76.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.3 - - 29.2 - - 22.9 - - 18.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.0 - - 86.5 - - 86.3 - - 81.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.3 - - 28.2 - - 21.8 - - 17.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 321 - - 354 - - 113 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7171 - - 10686 - - 7681 - - 343 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 39 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99719 31 099 24 097 25 086 38 090 99719 92205 25 095 22 112 21 096 22 083 92205 86422 24 104 20 091 22 114 13 091 86422 81628 16 100 15 093 20 101 14 118 81628 77482 16 124 11 103 12 076 17 108 77482 73803 17 097 9 096 7 087 14 094 73803 70480 14 092 9 123 4 081 10 076 70480 67435 12 123 7 128 1 334 5 059 67435 64626 5 058 8 140 6 230 1 312 64626 61921 3 317 1 273 4 225 3 223 61921 59116 2 196 10 213 9 243 7 208 59116 56232 11 286 11 238 16 237 16 230 56232 53506 16 266 18 266 24 264 23 261 53506 51070 22 280 29 272 27 278 27 280 51070 48893 33 283 34 278 35 291 34 297 48893 46920 39 281 37 287 43 291 39 301 46920 45105 41 281 39 290 47 292 43 299 45105 43415 41 284 41 292 51 291 51 295 43415 41836 45 283 43 297 53 291 57 291 41836 40353 43 280 48 303 56 290 59 289 40353 38959 38 282 49 302 56 287 56 289 38959 37624 41 286 44 298 52 283 52 286 37624 36287 44 284 42 291 47 280 47 283 36287 34922 41 284 43 286 43 277 42 278 34922 33531 35 285 42 284 44 274 42 271 33531 32106 29 288 37 282 44 269 45 268 32106 30637 26 289 35 282 43 266 45 266 30637 29129 27 290 34 284 40 266 44 264 29129 27583 28 291 32 286 36 268 42 264 27583 26002 28 293 30 287 33 271 38 264 26002 24392 29 296 27 289 28 272 33 265 24392 22748 28 297 25 290 23 269 30 266 22748 21063 22 291 21 281 22 272 30 270 21063 19366 20 282 21 264 25 274 31 275 19366 17742 21 266 24*248 25 269 32 271 17742 16263 21 250 24*241 24 259 31 264 16263 14938 20 238 23 240 23*252 30 260 14938 13745 18*228 21 239 22*251 29 258 13745 12665 15*224 20 239 22 251 26 259 12665 11685 15 223 19 240 22 250 23 260 11685 10798 14 222 19 243 22 251 21 260 10798 9998 14 220 18 245 21 251 21 261 9998 9274 13 217 17 249 20 251 20 261 9274 8612 13 216 17 252 20 252 20 260 8612 8015 13 215 16 254 19 252 19 258 8015 7508 12 214 16 257 19 253 18 254 7508 7113 11 214 15 258 18 253 15 249 7113 6838 11 213 14 259 17 253 12 241 6838 6669 10 213 13 259 15 253 9 230 6669 6572 8 212 11 260 11 253 5*208 6572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography