DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/16 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 11.7 - - 13.9 - - 21.6 - - 18.7 - - 14.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - -14 - - 28 - - -2 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 339 - - 339 - - 339 - - 340 - - 339 BL Depth Hcrit 6551 - - 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 Hcrit BL Top 6568 - - 6568 - - 6568 - - 6569 - - 6568 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1041 - - 364 - - 1868 - - 1063 - - 521 Hgt.Variab. W* 17 - - 26 - - 93 - - 11 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 284 - - 308 - - 313 - - 245 - - 219 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -1 - - 1 - - -4 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2430 - - -1681 - - -2336 - - -2221 - - -1208 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8998 - - 8249 - - 8904 - - 8791 - - 7777 sfcLCL ODpotential -12728 - - -9974 - - -7860 - - -9014 - - -7505 ODpotential blCL 19296 - - 16542 - - 14428 - - 15583 - - 14073 blCL maxRH 55 - - 72 - - 70 - - 78 - - 69 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 11.7 - - 13.9 - - 21.6 - - 18.7 - - 14.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -3.6 - - 1.8 - - 6.4 - - 4.1 - - 4.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 18.1 - - 16.0 - - 21.2 - - 22.1 - - 20.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 3.2 - - 0.9 - - 5.5 - - 3.3 - - 12.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - -14 - - 28 - - -2 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 339 - - 339 - - 339 - - 340 - - 339 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 13 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97048 53 069 49 052 63 071 57 079 54 070 97048 89972 49 070 50 068 49 070 51 067 44 075 89972 84442 48 069 45 076 40 083 51 063 45 064 84442 79810 46 078 42 084 38 077 41 064 39 062 79810 75757 41 075 34 090 29 074 31 066 33 070 75757 72114 22 076 27 067 23 066 27 065 30 069 72114 68802 19 063 22 067 16 063 22 058 22 064 68802 65757 18 045 21 055 16 068 18 047 19 052 65757 62928 12 073 10 063 11 062 11 034 17 019 62928 60182 22 049 16 026 19 033 18 024 29 016 60182 57313 29 358 16 003 25 002 31 357 36 355 57313 54342 27 335 21 018 27 024 30 005 36 357 54342 51513 49 004 54 007 52 007 51 359 51 360 51513 48984 55 341 56 341 59 338 56 343 56 351 48984 46730 43 343 44 340 58 337 55 347 54 352 46730 44692 54 000 52 359 64 349 57 358 58 000 44692 42836 75 354 70 359 71 357 68 007 68 007 42836 41138 84 343 79 354 77 004 83 011 90 011 41138 39584 77 341 83 357 89 008 109 008 111 006 39584 38150 82 357 96 002 107 007 126 359 113 001 38150 36815 101 003 106 001 117 003 117 360 101 007 36815 35542 103 356 104 359 109 360 104 012 109 022 35542 34278 91 349 94 000 98 005 111 019 122 027 34278 32995 77 351 88 003 105 016 113 019 117 022 32995 31690 76 005 86 004 116 020 110 018 107 014 31690 30350 78 008 86 002 116 019 105 016 102 008 30350 28965 77 001 85 358 104 014 102 014 109 007 28965 27538 79 356 86 355 97 009 98 011 110 007 27538 26073 82 356 86 355 95 005 94 006 110 006 26073 24572 79 355 84 355 93 003 93 004 111 007 24572 23039 75 355 79 357 89 002 92 003 110 008 23039 21473 73 355 71 358 82 002 89 003 106 010 21473 19871 70 356 63 355 71 001 85 005 97 011 19871 18266 64 358 57 351 60 356 72 005 80 012 18266 16740 58 359 53 349 53 351 55 358 62 010 16740 15361 52 359 50 350 48 349 47 350 49 005 15361 14135 48 359 47 354 44 349 43 346 42 359 14135 13037 44 358 45 357 41 352 40 346 39 356 13037 12049 41 358 42 000 38 356 37 347 38 356 12049 11157 39 359 40 005 35 000 33 348 35 356 11157 10353 37 004 37 010 30 005 28 349 31 355 10353 9630 34 010 33 015 24 008 24 349 27 353 9630 8979 30 016 27 018 18 008 20 349 24 350 8979 8385 25 021 20 017 14 006 16 347 20 343 8385 7851 20 026 15 011 10 358 13 344 16 332 7851 7399 15 031 12 358 9 346 10 340 12 322 7399 7047 12 037 10 343 6 329 7 336 9 316 7047 6803 8 038 9 328 5 317 5 325 6 304 6803 6654 5*020 7*318 4 314 3*300 3 288 6654 6568 3*284 5*308 3*313 2*245 2*219 6568 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography