DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/04 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.1 - - 66.3 - - 71.5 - - 69.2 - - 58.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -24 - - 175 - - 214 - - -4 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 342 - - 2526 - - 4425 - - 343 - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit 6554 - - 7637 - - 9126 - - 6555 - - 6555 Hcrit BL Top 6571 - - 8755 - - 10654 - - 6572 - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 66 - - 1707 - - 2239 - - 5041 - - 241 Hgt.Variab. W* 18 - - 326 - - 418 - - 23 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 12 - - 10 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 203 - - 228 - - 264 - - 286 - - 162 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -13 - - 6 - - 7 - - 1 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6708 - - -6448 - - -6557 - - -9910 - - -6989 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13280 - - 15204 - - 17212 - - 16483 - - 13561 sfcLCL ODpotential -15139 - - -11849 - - -10870 - - -14165 - - -13471 ODpotential blCL 21710 - - 20604 - - 21524 - - 20737 - - 20042 blCL maxRH 27 - - 40 - - 57 - - 63 - - 61 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.1 - - 66.3 - - 71.5 - - 69.2 - - 58.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 17.0 - - 22.8 - - 18.9 - - 20.2 - - 23.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.5 - - 64.6 - - 69.6 - - 69.6 - - 63.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 16.1 - - 22.1 - - 18.2 - - 19.5 - - 22.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -24 - - 175 - - 214 - - -4 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 342 - - 2526 - - 4425 - - 343 - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97725 2 263 11 205 19 249 21 303 5 282 97725 90495 6 304 3 192 10 243 11 296 8 322 90495 84905 2 056 2 295 6 314 7 358 11 343 84905 80275 10 027 9 356 9 048 4 344 12 339 80275 76293 10 015 12 357 11 018 7 335 12 348 76293 72777 11 354 11 349 10 015 8 338 7 352 72777 69585 11 337 13 313 13 340 13 335 9 355 69585 66642 16 323 12 309 12 308 15 311 13 341 66642 63921 17 304 12 320 11 317 11 306 12 311 63921 61287 18 310 17 305 17 308 16 323 10 331 61287 58534 23 314 20 294 25 289 27 303 24 315 58534 55669 24 306 22 289 29 280 32 289 31 302 55669 52930 27 297 24 291 27 281 31 273 33 277 52930 50466 32 288 28 288 26 275 29 263 32 263 50466 48261 32 284 31 285 32 269 32 265 29 264 48261 46267 25 277 35 283 39 264 35 263 33 263 46267 44448 22 271 36 284 39 261 40 265 40 267 44448 42772 21 278 34 286 36 267 43 265 46 268 42772 41210 19 291 31 287 35 275 39 268 44 272 41210 39747 19 300 26 282 34 276 35 269 37 270 39747 38379 20 293 22 273 28 281 35 276 31 276 38379 37074 19 287 20 267 24 280 30 280 28 278 37074 35767 17 288 17 276 22 278 27 282 26 277 35767 34432 13 298 14 283 21 273 26 285 26 279 34432 33074 10 301 12 276 20 262 25 286 25 282 33074 31682 10 297 10 273 16 258 24 288 25 283 31682 30244 11 300 10 278 15 258 24 291 24 280 30244 28764 13 309 10 288 14 263 21 284 24 277 28764 27245 14 307 10 286 15 274 20 279 23 281 27245 25695 14 296 12 285 18 281 21 284 23 289 25695 24114 17 298 14 288 19 282 22 291 23 295 24114 22497 21 303 18 292 20 285 24 296 22 297 22497 20837 25 305 21 294 21 289 24 299 22 290 20837 19161 26 306 22 295 22 290 23 300 22 281 19161 17552 24 307 22 297 21 290 21 300 20 279 17552 16087 21 305 21 296 20 289 19 298 17 281 16087 14775 18 301 19 294 19 287 17 291 15 278 14775 13596 14 298 17 292 18 283 15 283 16 273 13596 12531 12 293 15 287 17 278 14 275 16 269 12531 11567 10 285 14 281 14 270 13 266 15 264 11567 10696 8 279 12 273 11*262 12 255 14 258 10696 9911 7 270 10 261 9*258 10 248 15 251 9911 9203 6 260 8*240 8 258 8 245 15 246 9203 8556 5 250 7*228 8 261 7 247 13 241 8556 7974 5 243 6 227 8 265 6 257 10 231 7974 7479 4 235 5 228 7 269 5 267 6 211 7479 7095 5 215 4 229 7 273 5 273 5 177 7095 6828 6 193 3 232 6 274 5 278 6 152 6828 6665 6*195 3 233 6 276 4*282 6 148 6665 6571 5*203 2 233 5 276 3*286 4*162 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography