DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/19 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.0 - - 58.0 - - 52.6 - - 45.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 96 - - 139 - - -2 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1974 - - 3852 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6971 - - 8501 - - 6554 - - 6554 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8203 - - 10081 - - 6571 - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1864 - - 1898 - - 4519 - - 456 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 252 - - 350 - - 0 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 9 - - 2 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 201 - - 223 - - 273 - - 155 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -13 - - -9 - - 1 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3210 - - -2430 - - -4110 - - -3226 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11414 - - 12511 - - 10682 - - 9797 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9768 - - -7753 - - -9207 - - -9672 ODpotential blCL - - - 17971 - - 17834 - - 15778 - - 16243 blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 47 - - 39 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.0 - - 58.0 - - 52.6 - - 45.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.0 - - 26.0 - - 28.8 - - 26.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.9 - - 56.5 - - 54.6 - - 51.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 25.8 - - 25.1 - - 27.9 - - 25.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 96 - - 139 - - -2 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1974 - - 3852 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 13 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97516 7 310 9 264 7 345 5 317 97516 90265 4 271 9 296 11 344 9 326 90265 84678 4 185 12 298 11 340 7 321 84678 80034 1 132 3 307 11 338 8 335 80034 76038 10 324 6 088 6 294 4 328 76038 72503 14 271 8 269 14 275 6 318 72503 69286 10 278 8 270 14 261 12 272 69286 66319 15 280 14 260 18 251 20 277 66319 63575 21 272 18 260 21 267 22 270 63575 60920 26 265 26 265 30 265 25 254 60920 58148 32 258 33 258 32 256 31 252 58148 55276 40 258 38 255 37 252 35 248 55276 52542 48 254 44 254 41 250 43 242 52542 50084 50 251 48 250 46 250 48 242 50084 47879 48 251 49 249 49 249 49 243 47879 45867 46 255 47 249 50 249 47 245 45867 44013 46 255 46 249 49 249 46 249 44013 42290 44 254 44 248 49 248 46 250 42290 40683 41 255 42 248 47 246 48 248 40683 39181 41 256 40 250 46 247 50 247 39181 37784 40 258 41 254 46 251 49 246 37784 36462 37 259 43 255 46 251 46 245 36462 35155 34 262 41 255 42 246 43 245 35155 33831 32 264 37 252 37 248 37 243 33831 32490 29 257 32 241 30 249 31 241 32490 31119 25 247 31 237 28 246 28 240 31119 29703 24 246 31 240 29 243 28 236 29703 28244 25 243 29 241 28 244 27 235 28244 26747 25 239 26 241 25 246 24 236 26747 25216 22 234 22 239 21 246 20 234 25216 23658 20 231 21 230 17 240 16 228 23658 22065 17 232 19 220 16 230 14 221 22065 20432 15 231 17 216 15 221 12 215 20432 18788 14 227 16 213 14 209 11 197 18788 17218 13 223 15 210 13 205 12 191 17218 15794 11 223 14 209 13 207 13 198 15794 14523 10 222 13 212 13 214 14 208 14523 13382 11 217 13 218 14 221 15 212 13382 12351 11 215 13 223 14 221 16 214 12351 11417 12 215 13 222 14 213 16 214 11417 10573 13 213 11*220 13 209 17 212 10573 9813 14 211 11*221 12 209 16 210 9813 9127 14 208 10 221 10 210 14 208 9127 8500 13*204 10 223 9 211 13 205 8500 7934 12*201 10 223 7 215 11 203 7934 7455 10 201 9 224 5 221 9 198 7455 7081 9 201 8 224 4 229 8 184 7081 6821 8 202 8 226 3 241 7 168 6821 6662 7 201 7 225 2*253 6*156 6662 6571 6 201 6 225 2*273 5*155 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography