DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/05 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.5 - - 37.4 - - 36.8 - - 34.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -10 - - -2 - - -5 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 238 - - 245 - - 311 - - 258 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 23 - - 19 - - 16 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 245 - - 263 - - 217 - - 229 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -5 - - -9 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2650 - - -2498 - - -2721 - - -2818 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9221 - - 9069 - - 9292 - - 9388 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12949 - - -12288 - - -13157 - - -12617 ODpotential blCL - - - 19519 - - 18858 - - 19727 - - 19187 blCL maxRH - - - 46 - - 43 - - 49 - - 39 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.5 - - 37.4 - - 36.8 - - 34.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.9 - - 21.4 - - 19.8 - - 17.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 41.9 - - 39.2 - - 42.1 - - 41.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.8 - - 20.2 - - 18.7 - - 20.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -10 - - -2 - - -5 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95957 30 283 37 319 25 321 27 299 95957 89078 20 348 20 322 25 342 14 336 89078 83698 17 008 19 329 22 336 13 015 83698 79188 10 034 19 352 17 325 17 001 79188 75287 14 039 13 025 10 336 14 348 75287 71826 16 016 9 035 11 007 9 322 71826 68668 13 340 10 334 17 005 4 271 68668 65758 7 294 19 302 26 328 15 005 65758 63086 10 266 19 288 23 290 26 322 63086 60519 12 360 14 325 19 272 27 300 60519 57825 28 355 22 341 14 301 19 298 57825 55006 26 339 23 342 17 342 15 343 55006 52297 19 339 21 339 17 340 17 353 52297 49840 15 353 18 346 13 338 14 333 49840 47628 14 355 15 350 10 351 9 325 47628 45614 9 342 9 330 6 305 9 286 45614 43775 15 299 5 281 9 273 16 266 43775 42102 16 283 12 255 11 268 21 264 42102 40573 12 294 17 259 15 271 20 262 40573 39152 14 299 17 281 16 282 18 269 39152 37818 16 300 12 298 16 283 17 272 37818 36540 17 301 11 296 16 285 18 267 36540 35256 19 298 12 281 14 292 17 266 35256 33942 18 304 9 298 13 289 15 266 33942 32602 15 304 8 324 11 282 14 263 32602 31228 13 286 8 326 8 274 15 261 31228 29810 12 284 6 315 8 268 17 262 29810 28351 10 315 4 275 10 263 17 263 28351 26852 7 347 4 251 11 260 15 263 26852 25316 11 020 3 254 12 251 12 267 25316 23748 14 017 6 247 11 243 9 281 23748 22145 15 007 9 257 9 241 5 278 22145 20500 16 359 10 303 6 235 3 263 20500 18844 17 002 11 319 3 232 2 262 18844 17260 17 013 7 332 1 142 3 121 17260 15820 14 025 4 352 2 100 6 116 15820 14533 7 027 3 005 2 090 8 106 14533 13378 4 001 3 021 3 072 8 094 13378 12336 4 356 4 043 5 064 8 083 12336 11396 3 038 5 063 6 073 9 076 11396 10547 4 082 5 091 6 090 9 074 10547 9785 6 090 5 113 6 102 9 076 9785 9100 6 096 4 130 5 112 7 079 9100 8475 4 101 2 151 3 118 5 080 8475 7914 2 116 1 189 2 125 4 076 7914 7439 1 150 1 313 1 134 3 071 7439 7071 1 192 2 309 1 151 2 071 7071 6816 2 226 2 305 1 188 1 090 6816 6659 4*245 2*292 2*208 1*215 6659 6570 4*245 1*263 3*217 2*229 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography