DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/07 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.1 - - 64.5 - - 69.7 - - 65.6 - - 55.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -28 - - 191 - - 219 - - -5 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 342 - - 2325 - - 4037 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit 6554 - - 7521 - - 8844 - - 6555 - - 6555 Hcrit BL Top 6571 - - 8554 - - 10266 - - 6571 - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 128 - - 1278 - - 2417 - - 4133 - - 609 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 325 - - 409 - - 25 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 16 - - 13 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 4 - - 6 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 202 - - 263 - - 267 - - 296 - - 198 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -13 - - 7 - - 5 - - 1 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5115 - - -5452 - - -5419 - - -7924 - - -5390 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11686 - - 14007 - - 15686 - - 14496 - - 11961 sfcLCL ODpotential -12702 - - -10835 - - -9781 - - -12431 - - -11912 ODpotential blCL 19273 - - 19389 - - 20047 - - 19002 - - 18483 blCL maxRH 52 - - 41 - - 37 - - 40 - - 38 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.1 - - 64.5 - - 69.7 - - 65.6 - - 55.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.6 - - 26.2 - - 23.8 - - 25.3 - - 26.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.2 - - 62.6 - - 67.6 - - 65.8 - - 60.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.1 - - 25.6 - - 23.2 - - 24.8 - - 26.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -28 - - 191 - - 219 - - -5 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 342 - - 2325 - - 4037 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97652 15 022 21 349 20 008 19 031 18 005 97652 90504 22 037 12 043 17 032 22 029 24 038 90504 84897 20 030 16 060 12 052 20 034 29 045 84897 80213 17 015 14 042 6 058 12 034 22 038 80213 76178 7 016 9 010 8 360 8 006 13 032 76178 72623 8 007 5 353 7 334 11 350 8 024 72623 69412 26 353 17 004 13 339 13 344 15 343 69412 66472 25 337 22 338 17 336 20 331 23 338 66472 63756 32 332 22 335 19 330 24 335 24 335 63756 61121 36 324 26 326 25 325 29 330 29 326 61121 58372 37 325 27 324 29 319 30 323 30 317 58372 55521 42 321 33 328 32 323 31 318 30 313 55521 52808 44 314 40 316 38 316 38 315 36 318 52808 50377 43 311 41 309 38 311 40 308 40 314 50377 48192 40 317 39 323 35 324 36 313 36 312 48192 46197 42 326 39 334 35 332 34 325 37 321 46197 44360 40 322 30 330 33 325 34 323 43 322 44360 42654 35 322 24 326 31 312 34 311 37 311 42654 41060 32 331 24 335 26 312 31 311 31 307 41060 39569 29 331 26 340 22 322 27 311 28 309 39569 38185 18 326 21 330 19 327 22 307 23 313 38185 36880 13 312 15 312 17 297 23 299 21 316 36880 35580 14 306 15 302 18 286 25 297 20 309 35580 34250 14 293 15 300 17 277 25 274 22 301 34250 32895 16 288 15 304 16 277 23 271 23 272 32895 31508 17 291 16 304 16 280 20 273 19 268 31508 30079 15 297 16 299 16 281 19 274 17 273 30079 28609 13 302 15 298 15 281 18 270 17 274 28609 27100 12 304 15 301 14 281 18 269 16 276 27100 25556 12 304 15 303 14 286 17 271 14 275 25556 23979 12 302 14 299 13 287 16 270 13 279 23979 22367 11 305 12 292 12 285 15 280 12 287 22367 20714 9 306 10 289 11 285 12 288 11 289 20714 19049 10 299 10 286 11 290 11 291 12 291 19049 17454 12 300 12 287 13 296 13 299 13 297 17454 16003 13 299 14 287 16 297 14 304 13 304 16003 14703 13 294 16 286 16 295 14 307 13 315 14703 13535 13 286 16 285 15 292 14 308 12 326 13535 12480 14 284 15 285 14 288 13 306 12 335 12480 11524 13 283 14 286 11 279 11 300 11 341 11524 10660 10 277 11 283 8*262 9 289 9 340 10660 9881 9 267 10 277 7*258 8 272 8 332 9881 9179 9 257 7*263 6 260 7 267 7 315 9179 8538 9 246 5*250 6 262 6 268 6 298 8538 7961 9 233 4 254 6 267 6 277 4 284 7961 7472 8 224 4 263 5 273 7 283 2 277 7472 7091 9 214 3 274 5 278 6 288 0 160 7091 6826 9 199 3 281 5 281 6 292 2 125 6826 6664 7*197 3 286 5 282 6*293 3 147 6664 6571 5*202 2 291 4 283 4*296 3*198 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography