DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/27 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.6 - - 68.2 - - 67.2 - - 54.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 102 - - 239 - - 5 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 342 - - 7776 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6555 - - 11792 - - 6555 - - 6555 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6571 - - 14005 - - 6571 - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 6427 - - 3149 - - 10862 - - 362 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 140 - - 525 - - 55 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 17 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 181 - - 215 - - 215 - - 127 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - 16 - - -9 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3602 - - 688 - - -7892 - - -4071 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10174 - - 13318 - - 14463 - - 10643 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5359 - - -1226 - - -9637 - - -8430 ODpotential blCL - - - 11930 - - 15231 - - 16208 - - 15001 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 74 - - 83 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 290 - - 120 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.6 - - 68.2 - - 67.2 - - 54.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.7 - - 32.4 - - 26.5 - - 31.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.3 - - 66.2 - - 67.1 - - 59.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.2 - - 31.8 - - 26.1 - - 31.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 102 - - 239 - - 5 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 342 - - 7776 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 96 - - 0 - - 31 - - 47 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98229 6 245 5 281 6 333 11 298 98229 90884 10 244 12 289 6 296 7 001 90884 85205 3 281 6 303 4 290 3 324 85205 80512 2 327 5 253 8 332 5 329 80512 76485 4 026 4 200 6 275 11 301 76485 72930 8 311 4 360 4 192 7 293 72930 69698 9 251 8 255 11 282 14 327 69698 66716 8 250 4 225 12 246 15 274 66716 63936 18 259 13 294 9 259 10 247 63936 61223 23 238 23 269 22 270 18 277 61223 58391 24 248 28 251 31 262 27 269 58391 55459 34 258 34 252 35 267 34 270 55459 52665 41 255 44 253 44 265 44 267 52665 50155 50 254 54 253 52 263 52 263 50155 47903 60 255 63 254 66 260 61 259 47903 45854 66 254 70 255 76 256 65 257 45854 43972 70 255 75 255 82 255 68 256 43972 42234 73 255 77 253 85 254 73 254 42234 40622 73 256 76 253 83 252 75 252 40622 39125 72 257 74 253 77 251 71 249 39125 37737 71 258 70 253 70 249 65 248 37737 36428 70 259 65 252 62 248 59 249 36428 35138 64 259 59 250 54 245 48 245 35138 33830 58 257 55 249 53 242 45 237 33830 32496 53 253 52 249 54 241 48 234 32496 31124 47 251 49 250 53 240 51 235 31124 29711 44 249 46 252 48 239 50 239 29711 28260 44 250 44 253 44 240 45 240 28260 26773 42 250 44 252 39 241 42 240 26773 25256 41 250 42 248 37 244 39 237 25256 23709 40 249 41 247 36 245 38 236 23709 22129 36 247 40 245 36 245 37 236 22129 20509 35 247 36 242 36 244 35 238 20509 18877 30 243 31 240 35 241 33 239 18877 17314 26 239 28 236 33 234 32 236 17314 15893 24 233 26 229 27 225 31 231 15893 14621 23 226 23*220 25 221 28 227 14621 13475 19 219 21*215 24 220 25 224 13475 12438 15 213 20 214 23 220 22 221 12438 11496 13 209 20 214 22 220 20 219 11496 10642 12 205 19 214 22 219 19 218 10642 9872 12 202 18 214 21 219 18 216 9872 9175 12 198 17 215 20 219 17 214 9175 8537 12 193 16 215 19 218 15 211 8537 7961 11 189 15 216 18 218 12 205 7961 7472 10 185 14 216 17 217 8 195 7472 7091 9 184 13 216 16 217 6 176 7091 6826 8 183 12 216 14 216 5 150 6826 6664 7 182 11 216 12 215 5 126 6664 6571 6*181 9 217 8*215 3*127 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography