DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/06 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.4 - - 75.8 - - 73.8 - - 62.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 314 - - 352 - - 78 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5519 - - 10200 - - 9164 - - 343 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10148 - - 13960 - - 11975 - - 6555 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11748 - - 16429 - - 15393 - - 6572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4228 - - 2445 - - 3924 - - 485 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 513 - - 653 - - 385 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 23 - - 25 - - 25 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 199 - - 207 - - 209 - - 164 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 16 - - 16 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -37 - - -29 - - -35 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4603 - - -799 - - -652 - - -6568 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16351 - - 17229 - - 16046 - - 13141 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8379 - - -3223 - - -2888 - - -10996 ODpotential blCL - - - 20127 - - 19652 - - 18281 - - 17568 blCL maxRH - - - 47 - - 45 - - 58 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.4 - - 75.8 - - 73.8 - - 62.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.2 - - 22.4 - - 25.9 - - 27.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.1 - - 73.5 - - 72.9 - - 67.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.6 - - 21.9 - - 25.4 - - 27.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 314 - - 352 - - 78 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5519 - - 10200 - - 9164 - - 343 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 39 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98829 4 128 10 256 13 319 6 350 98829 91426 9 268 2 321 8 316 8 335 91426 85727 5 280 4 002 3 279 8 337 85727 80988 1 043 8 034 6 052 6 038 80988 76911 7 049 10 083 9 013 9 057 76911 73302 10 063 10 105 6 009 8 050 73302 70026 8 085 5 121 5 023 5 046 70026 67011 4 080 6 127 5 156 3 177 67011 64209 4 161 1 256 3 259 6 026 64209 61501 5 123 5 155 11 168 7 193 61501 58694 15 250 17 260 6 254 4 169 58694 55776 25 241 38 248 28 260 10 209 55776 52965 35 226 40 230 33 232 23 245 52965 50409 44 236 53 233 49 228 43 235 50409 48118 57 238 60 232 63 236 58 230 48118 46062 70 242 68 234 74 234 70 236 46062 44204 86 244 84 238 91 233 89 237 44204 42507 103 242 104 238 106 233 104 230 42507 40942 108 239 118 236 116 232 110 226 40942 39479 109 238 125 234 122 229 113 225 39479 38105 106 237 124 234 123 228 114 224 38105 36791 102 236 118 233 118 227 112 222 36791 35470 96 236 112 232 116 225 110 219 35470 34115 89 235 103 232 115 224 110 220 34115 32734 82 234 94 233 112 227 111 225 32734 31323 74 233 85 232 104 232 105 231 31323 29876 67 230 76 231 90 236 87 235 29876 28406 60 227 68 229 68 237 57 235 28406 26911 55 223 62 227 56 231 48 224 26911 25385 51 221 56 225 51 225 49 215 25385 23830 47 219 51 223 46 220 48 218 23830 22243 43 217 47 221 43 216 46 216 22243 20618 40 215 44 221 40 216 44 215 20618 18979 37 216 41 221 36 216 42 215 18979 17409 34 218 35*218 31 211 40 216 17409 15977 32 218 29*212 28*208 38 219 15977 14695 30 217 28 209 28*208 36 222 14695 13539 28 213 26 207 28 208 34 224 13539 12492 27*208 26 206 27 208 32 223 12492 11542 26*204 25 206 27 209 28 220 11542 10681 25 201 25 206 26 209 25 216 10681 9904 24 200 24 206 26 209 23 213 9904 9201 24 199 24 206 25 209 21 212 9201 8558 23 198 23 206 25 209 20 211 8558 7976 23 198 22 205 24 209 19 211 7976 7483 22 197 21 205 23 209 16 210 7483 7098 21 197 20 205 22 209 13 205 7098 6830 19 196 19 205 20 209 10 190 6830 6666 17 196 17 205 18 209 8*173 6666 6572 13 195 13 204 12 208 5*164 6572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography