DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/27 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 24.5 - - 21.1 - - 16.0 - - 14.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -6 - - 17 - - -27 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 340 - - 339 - - 339 - - 339 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 - - 6551 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6569 - - 6568 - - 6568 - - 6568 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4565 - - 8427 - - 7179 - - 4419 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 39 - - 85 - - 28 - - 27 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 12 - - 6 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 266 - - 296 - - 290 - - 326 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 7 - - 1 - - 11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1 - - -1221 - - -184 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6569 - - 7789 - - 6753 - - 6568 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -975 - - -2469 - - -2307 - - -1650 ODpotential blCL - - - 7544 - - 9037 - - 8875 - - 8218 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 100 - - 98 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 30 - - 30 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 24.5 - - 21.1 - - 16.0 - - 14.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.1 - - 10.3 - - 9.9 - - 9.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 24.4 - - 20.7 - - 17.4 - - 15.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.6 - - 9.2 - - 9.0 - - 9.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -6 - - 17 - - -27 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 340 - - 339 - - 339 - - 339 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 101 - - 93 - - 68 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96125 27 008 35 038 39 033 33 056 96125 89095 14 019 23 022 22 003 27 017 89095 83637 14 027 11 018 14 005 22 026 83637 79062 11 350 4 294 9 347 9 349 79062 75090 10 283 11 244 7 258 11 291 75090 71568 15 247 16 261 10 264 7 231 71568 68332 19 264 27 277 24 296 9 285 68332 65318 25 245 36 261 35 274 27 273 65318 62514 27 223 36 241 34 237 35 252 62514 59786 26 247 29 251 31 222 34 250 59786 56927 32 259 36 266 32 250 33 253 56927 53949 37 256 39 260 36 264 34 270 53949 51106 39 252 38 254 42 270 36 279 51106 48551 41 252 43 258 45 271 36 282 48551 46264 45 258 47 255 48 271 40 294 46264 44205 46 259 44 255 47 263 41 286 44205 42329 43 261 47 265 43 280 32 270 42329 40588 45 266 49 262 41 281 21 285 40588 38955 53 265 43 265 34 280 33 314 38955 37431 61 262 48 279 34 291 43 318 37431 36019 66 259 57 277 39 297 45 314 36019 34685 69 258 60 271 42 299 40 320 34685 33363 75 257 60 270 45 301 42 336 33363 32025 79 256 62 270 48 303 50 344 32025 30677 78 255 66 266 51 302 57 346 30677 29309 77 254 67 263 54 298 63 348 29309 27915 79 251 67 265 55 295 65 348 27915 26497 79 250 67 270 55 298 65 347 26497 25060 75 252 66 274 53 304 64 343 25060 23608 73 255 64 276 52 309 60 336 23608 22151 72 257 62 276 51 309 55 330 22151 20683 70 256 59 276 52 305 50 319 20683 19196 67 256 55 278 51 302 46 312 19196 17710 63 259 50 281 47 301 42 307 17710 16294 53 264 41 281 39 299 34 300 16294 15008 36 266 34 281 31 299 26 293 15008 13854 31 270 30 284 27 300 25 294 13854 12814 31 273 28 288 25 300 25 299 12814 11872 32 274 27 290 24 300 24 307 11872 11019 33 275 27 291 23 299 25 316 11019 10246 33 274 26 292 22 298 26 324 10246 9550 34 274 25 293 22 298 26 328 9550 8921 34 273 24 294 21 297 26 329 8921 8346 33 272 24 294 20 297 26 330 8346 7826 32 271 23 295 20 296 25 330 7826 7384 31 270 22 296 19 295 24 330 7384 7040 28 269 22 296 17 295 22 329 7040 6799 24 268 20 296 14 292 18 329 6799 6653 21*267 17 296 10 292 14*328 6653 6568 12*266 12*296 6*290 8*326 6568 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography