DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/08 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 29.4 - - 38.7 - - 42.9 - - 41.3 - - 37.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -24 - - 39 - - 12 - - -43 - - -59 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit 6552 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6569 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 536 - - 1799 - - 3435 - - 3160 - - 280 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 106 - - 79 - - 42 - - 32 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 11 - - 11 - - 7 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 191 - - 233 - - 239 - - 228 - - 213 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - -11 - - -9 - - -8 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - -24 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6569 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6594 - - 6570 sfcLCL ODpotential -6418 - - -1121 - - -1505 - - -3133 - - -4303 ODpotential blCL 12987 - - 7691 - - 8075 - - 9703 - - 10873 blCL maxRH 89 - - 91 - - 89 - - 82 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 30 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 29.4 - - 38.7 - - 42.9 - - 41.3 - - 37.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.4 - - 34.8 - - 37.5 - - 35.0 - - 31.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 31.5 - - 38.1 - - 42.9 - - 44.2 - - 40.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.3 - - 34.1 - - 36.8 - - 34.2 - - 30.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -24 - - 39 - - 12 - - -43 - - -59 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 55 - - 64 - - 57 - - 26 - - 55 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96085 14 045 8 028 9 064 12 083 3 099 96085 88991 15 008 10 037 6 102 2 100 13 010 88991 83506 14 017 7 003 6 351 7 355 11 007 83506 78929 9 348 6 044 8 285 13 343 12 014 78929 74962 4 359 11 326 7 306 8 336 11 318 74962 71434 4 009 9 265 13 295 12 314 7 237 71434 68209 22 269 6 273 17 267 16 291 10 283 68209 65237 29 257 10 273 21 263 26 287 19 277 65237 62489 20 280 20 255 18 266 28 276 27 283 62489 59832 37 286 17 280 18 286 26 268 43 296 59832 57103 40 277 27 291 25 294 31 300 48 299 57103 54294 42 290 33 295 27 294 32 302 47 291 54294 51602 41 295 34 290 32 304 40 292 48 282 51602 49162 38 306 37 288 39 290 44 282 51 280 49162 46957 38 320 38 277 44 275 50 284 56 280 46957 44945 36 321 41 281 47 273 56 281 62 277 44945 43097 36 300 48 287 54 274 58 278 64 274 43097 41396 37 297 53 290 59 277 58 280 61 274 41396 39822 40 300 56 294 62 284 61 286 60 285 39822 38358 45 304 60 299 68 290 68 290 76 296 38358 37000 50 307 62 302 72 290 78 288 93 295 37000 35714 53 308 61 302 72 289 83 282 100 288 35714 34437 54 308 60 301 71 291 84 282 99 283 34437 33139 54 309 58 301 68 295 81 287 94 290 33139 31824 53 310 57 301 67 296 81 290 92 299 31824 30477 55 313 57 302 65 295 82 292 90 301 30477 29085 58 315 58 301 63 292 79 291 86 297 29085 27655 61 315 61 300 63 290 76 288 85 296 27655 26190 62 315 63 298 66 289 74 285 77 295 26190 24697 58 314 60 294 67 287 71 283 72 290 24697 23180 52 312 56 289 66 286 69 283 73 288 23180 21633 49 305 56 285 62 285 67 286 68 289 21633 20052 51 299 57 285 58 285 63 287 60 289 20052 18463 54 298 57 288 55 286 58 287 52 288 18463 16943 53 301 54 291 51 287 53 288 47 288 16943 15563 46 301 49 291 49 288 47 290 42 289 15563 14330 39 296 45 289 46 290 40 291 37 288 14330 13222 35 292 43 288 44 291 35 285 33 285 13222 12220 32 291 41 287 39 290 34 276 32 278 12220 11312 28 291 39 287 35 283 35 268 35 269 11312 10491 24 287 35 285 32 273 35 263 37 261 10491 9749 22 277 33 277 31 262 35 258 39 257 9749 9078 23 269 32 265 30 254 34 255 39 255 9078 8464 27 256 30 251 28 249 33 253 39 253 8464 7909 29 242 28 240 26 245 31 250 39 250 7909 7438 27 229 25 235 25 243 28 247 35 244 7438 7071 23 216 23 234 22 242 23 242 29 237 7071 6816 18 208 20 233 20 241 18 238 21 226 6816 6660 13*201 17*233 17*241 14*235 16*220 6660 6570 6*191 11*233 11*239 7*228 8*213 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography