DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/04 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 36.3 - - 44.5 - - 46.0 - - 38.6 - - 33.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 50 - - 68 - - -9 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 6553 - - 6554 - - 6553 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 246 - - 2324 - - 2591 - - 1189 - - 787 Hgt.Variab. W* 16 - - 116 - - 127 - - 19 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 230 - - 303 - - 307 - - 292 - - 234 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2239 - - -2024 - - -1661 - - 0 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8809 - - 8594 - - 8231 - - 6570 - - 6570 sfcLCL ODpotential -8781 - - -5531 - - -4606 - - -3577 - - -4700 ODpotential blCL 15351 - - 12101 - - 11176 - - 10147 - - 11270 blCL maxRH 78 - - 75 - - 79 - - 77 - - 78 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 36.3 - - 44.5 - - 46.0 - - 38.6 - - 33.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.0 - - 29.8 - - 32.7 - - 35.2 - - 30.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.0 - - 43.6 - - 45.0 - - 40.0 - - 37.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.8 - - 28.6 - - 31.6 - - 34.6 - - 31.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 50 - - 68 - - -9 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 13 - - 2 - - 18 - - 6 - - 13 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95998 33 306 32 289 32 291 30 294 39 290 95998 89181 20 305 23 301 22 293 24 315 27 301 89181 83857 13 308 20 298 15 316 21 309 21 318 83857 79372 9 326 16 279 13 304 15 302 17 322 79372 75456 11 314 7 272 13 277 14 303 17 318 75456 71959 14 280 7 314 11 273 15 300 16 306 71959 68769 13 277 10 316 12 297 15 307 14 311 68769 65816 13 280 12 318 15 302 15 304 15 311 65816 63061 13 278 16 306 16 297 14 303 17 301 63061 60374 15 284 20 297 16 295 15 315 18 298 60374 57557 15 286 17 288 17 299 24 312 19 307 57557 54631 12 290 12 296 20 296 27 301 21 321 54631 51838 11 300 13 313 20 295 21 300 25 322 51838 49320 16 288 15 310 17 304 20 311 25 321 49320 47063 14 285 18 308 17 320 20 311 26 324 47063 45021 15 302 18 302 17 320 15 316 25 328 45021 43161 16 294 13 296 18 313 16 341 25 335 43161 41453 10 272 11 325 12 323 16 354 21 330 41453 39873 2 269 9 021 11 358 20 005 15 003 39873 38416 4 103 9 071 15 011 25 357 22 015 38416 37075 19 121 11 105 13 011 21 347 24 350 37075 35805 32 114 19 128 5 021 14 342 23 326 35805 34535 29 102 24 118 6 088 11 002 18 323 34535 33237 26 091 25 075 16 052 17 015 13 317 33237 31920 21 087 29 049 23 036 20 021 9 305 31920 30574 16 090 25 051 23 040 18 023 8 300 30574 29185 12 100 20 057 17 045 14 014 11 292 29185 27755 11 114 15 068 12 046 10 348 10 296 27755 26288 10 122 10 097 8 045 6 337 6 018 26288 24794 9 113 7 135 7 046 7 107 8 104 24794 23273 10 100 8 149 12 098 24 121 17 130 23273 21722 14 106 18 134 20 115 30 123 24 135 21722 20135 20 113 22 131 20 122 29 126 24 137 20135 18536 20 119 18 130 17 124 22 126 20 134 18536 17005 19 122 15 127 15 125 16 125 16 127 17005 15611 18 122 14 120 15 123 13 123 14 123 15611 14364 16 119 14 110 15 121 12 122 13 122 14364 13242 14 121 13 104 15 118 12 123 12 124 13242 12228 13 124 12 099 14 118 13 122 12 124 12228 11310 12 129 9 096 13 118 13 121 12 124 11310 10480 10 133 7 091 11 117 11 117 10 124 10480 9734 9 136 5 083 7 112 8 108 6 120 9734 9062 8 138 3 065 3 084 5 082 3 087 9062 8449 7 141 2 020 3 020 4 038 3 011 8449 7897 5 149 3 342 6 309 4 335 5 342 7897 7430 4 169 5 318 7 305 7 293 6 317 7430 7066 3 204 6 303 7 306 8 288 7 297 7066 6813 4 226 5 302 7 307 7 290 6 283 6813 6659 4*233 5*303 7 307 6*293 4*266 6659 6570 4*230 4*303 6*307 4*292 2*234 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography