DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/10 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0950z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 33.8 - - 44.3 - - 46.3 - - 41.3 - - 37.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -28 - - 78 - - 89 - - -2 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 1305 - - 1859 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 6554 - - 6792 - - 6553 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6570 - - 7534 - - 8088 - - 6570 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 198 - - 2518 - - 2924 - - 2314 - - 267 Hgt.Variab. W* 18 - - 204 - - 238 - - 11 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 9 - - 9 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 202 - - 249 - - 257 - - 217 - - 185 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - -8 - - -8 - - -5 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - -464 - - -596 - - -79 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6570 - - 7998 - - 8684 - - 6649 - - 6570 sfcLCL ODpotential -5002 - - -3197 - - -3391 - - -3420 - - -3246 ODpotential blCL 11572 - - 10731 - - 11479 - - 9990 - - 9816 blCL maxRH 64 - - 64 - - 64 - - 70 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 33.8 - - 44.3 - - 46.3 - - 41.3 - - 37.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.8 - - 32.4 - - 31.3 - - 35.2 - - 34.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 37.0 - - 43.4 - - 45.2 - - 44.0 - - 40.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.6 - - 31.3 - - 30.2 - - 34.6 - - 35.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -28 - - 78 - - 89 - - -2 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 1305 - - 1859 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95918 34 295 23 290 26 275 34 287 30 309 95918 89064 25 302 21 288 20 296 24 303 22 307 89064 83715 20 304 13 312 20 297 19 317 13 310 83715 79224 16 320 10 323 15 293 19 307 14 345 79224 75321 16 319 12 315 7 291 17 296 16 337 75321 71842 12 314 13 328 12 339 9 301 11 313 71842 68666 11 339 16 324 19 326 16 327 9 333 68666 65725 16 322 18 316 19 302 17 317 19 327 65725 63012 21 328 19 301 17 310 18 323 12 334 63012 60385 27 322 24 319 27 334 9 023 28 325 60385 57625 28 315 39 309 40 319 29 313 38 293 57625 54761 27 308 44 299 41 309 38 298 46 302 54761 52036 38 305 39 290 41 308 57 308 48 303 52036 49573 38 293 36 293 51 306 54 301 41 319 49573 47338 38 286 39 304 49 302 41 302 59 326 47338 45310 39 288 47 304 46 304 43 321 69 325 45310 43481 42 289 48 296 52 304 62 317 69 319 43481 41827 48 284 43 299 53 300 60 302 56 304 41827 40313 50 285 48 310 52 292 50 291 42 287 40313 38898 54 294 55 306 49 283 30 296 28 293 38898 37564 63 299 54 301 39 294 30 332 24 321 37564 36288 69 298 48 299 39 326 43 336 33 331 36288 35015 68 294 45 308 50 335 50 330 44 325 35015 33720 65 292 51 320 59 331 51 324 47 318 33720 32401 61 296 62 324 68 328 47 317 45 319 32401 31045 59 312 63 321 74 332 42 316 42 320 31045 29641 65 320 60 313 69 339 40 311 39 314 29641 28195 67 315 60 308 63 346 43 302 37 308 28195 26707 69 312 59 307 58 350 41 293 36 305 26707 25184 65 322 55 308 41 343 42 288 36 301 25184 23630 55 320 54 307 32 322 48 288 36 298 23630 22038 51 306 53 303 35 308 53 294 36 298 22038 20405 53 300 48 301 40 305 55 304 37 304 20405 18757 51 302 45 302 44 307 54 312 39 310 18757 17179 43 300 46 304 45 309 48 314 42 313 17179 15745 36 293 40 303 42 308 40 312 42 315 15745 14467 34 288 30 295 34 306 34 309 39 317 14467 13322 31 288 24 285 26 303 28 307 30 314 13322 12292 28 292 23 282 21 298 24 306 23 305 12292 11362 26 298 21 286 18 294 20 307 18 300 11362 10524 25 304 19 292 16 292 16 309 12 300 10524 9771 23 308 16 294 14 287 12 309 9 295 9771 9092 20 309 13 289 12 276 8 305 8 285 9092 8472 15 306 12 278 11*268 5 290 8 273 8472 7914 12 296 11*260 10*258 4 254 9 258 7914 7440 11 276 10*248 10 256 4 214 11 240 7440 7072 11 250 10 248 10 256 4 208 11 226 7072 6816 10 228 9 248 9 257 4 209 9 202 6816 6660 8*211 8 249 8 258 3*216 7*187 6660 6570 5*202 6 251 6 259 3*217 5*185 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography