DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/16 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 75.0 - - 81.9 - - 84.4 - - 84.2 - - 70.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 90 - - 354 - - 298 - - 163 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 343 - - 7349 - - 9285 - - 8565 - - 343 BL Depth Hcrit 6556 - - 11662 - - 13135 - - 12181 - - 6556 Hcrit BL Top 6572 - - 13578 - - 15514 - - 14794 - - 6572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 4024 - - 2937 - - 3332 - - 3211 - - 263 Hgt.Variab. W* 135 - - 589 - - 603 - - 482 - - 40 W* B/S 10 - - 26 - - 41 - - 53 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 189 - - 237 - - 290 - - 336 - - 160 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 22 - - 47 - - 28 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4904 - - 198 - - 1226 - - 350 - - -1615 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11477 - - 13380 - - 14289 - - 14445 - - 8187 sfcLCL ODpotential -7821 - - -2113 - - -403 - - -1336 - - -5781 ODpotential blCL 14393 - - 15691 - - 15917 - - 16130 - - 12353 blCL maxRH 72 - - 65 - - 80 - - 85 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 230 - - 430 - - 480 - - 380 - - 1590 CAPE Temp@2m 75.0 - - 81.9 - - 84.4 - - 84.2 - - 70.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.3 - - 45.6 - - 44.1 - - 43.3 - - 56.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 73.9 - - 79.1 - - 82.0 - - 82.5 - - 72.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.8 - - 44.8 - - 43.2 - - 42.5 - - 55.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 90 - - 354 - - 298 - - 163 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 343 - - 7349 - - 9285 - - 8565 - - 343 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 19 - - 39 - - 29 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99825 43 104 36 100 37 097 25 101 36 092 99825 92251 31 101 30 107 28 094 28 104 28 103 92251 86427 29 105 27 109 22 113 24 095 26 108 86427 81603 25 096 24 097 28 124 16 102 20 096 81603 77450 20 091 20 114 19 109 16 114 16 089 77450 73786 19 101 18 120 13 122 11 106 18 095 73786 70465 12 106 14 096 13 118 13 109 11 107 70465 67418 10 115 12 091 12 128 7 126 9 101 67418 64605 12 129 6 116 13 149 6 190 3 014 64605 61894 13 133 10 144 10 166 10 168 6 185 61894 59095 12 167 3 170 9 145 12 153 11 197 59095 56215 13 198 16 220 12 204 10 221 12 215 56215 53476 28 222 31 230 26 227 23 240 20 234 53476 51016 40 221 48 227 44 235 40 240 33 239 51016 48816 49 222 57 216 57 230 51 236 46 242 48816 46824 49 214 52 210 61 220 57 230 55 235 46824 44996 42 235 43 220 55 215 52 219 57 225 44996 43299 54 247 47 240 46 231 44 225 42 227 43299 41716 59 244 54 244 47 242 42 238 39 238 41716 40237 59 239 55 243 45 242 42 238 41 236 40237 38851 53 238 47 241 40 241 42 234 43 232 38851 37524 45 232 44 234 38 239 43 231 43 230 37524 36195 41 228 46 229 41 234 44 230 42 228 36195 34834 38 226 40 226 42 230 44 232 40 225 34834 33447 38 229 34 229 40 229 42 234 37 224 33447 32022 38 232 33 231 37 232 40 235 36 232 32022 30554 38 237 32 229 36 241 38 237 36 241 30554 29044 34 251 29 230 28 242 33 238 33 247 29044 27495 20 249 19 233 28 228 28 231 29 246 27495 25912 16 249 17 224 27 221 28 222 27 237 25912 24303 14 249 18 221 21 223 27 224 23 230 24303 22661 11 238 16 226 13 238 19 239 20 232 22661 20982 11 235 15 231 13 254 12 251 17 238 20982 19291 12 246 13 237 11 241 8 260 11 254 19291 17674 9 258 10 239 9 227 7 242 8 284 17674 16204 6 288 7 245 6*218 5 212 7 309 16204 14888 6 300 6 248 4*223 3*200 6 324 14888 13703 5 292 6*246 3 226 3*200 4 335 13703 12630 1 281 5*241 3 235 2 200 1 004 12630 11657 2 119 5 238 2 267 1 219 2 129 11657 10774 2 130 5 237 2 295 1 335 5 141 10774 9978 2 158 4 236 3 307 2 344 7 140 9978 9259 2 204 4 236 4 313 3 348 9 137 9259 8601 2 255 4 235 4 318 4 349 11 132 8601 8006 2 243 3 234 5 321 4 349 11 127 8006 7503 3 197 3 235 5 323 4 348 13 126 7503 7109 4 190 3 237 5 324 4 350 14 127 7109 6836 3 188 3 235 5 325 4 350 13 132 6836 6669 3 190 2 234 5 325 4 351 11 140 6669 6572 3*189 2 239 4 326 4 350 5*160 6572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography