DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/18 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.8 - - 53.0 - - 57.0 - - 52.1 - - 44.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -52 - - 74 - - 130 - - 0 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 342 - - 342 - - 342 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 6554 - - 6554 - - 6554 - - 6554 Hcrit BL Top 6570 - - 6571 - - 6571 - - 6571 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 80 - - 3148 - - 5233 - - 3757 - - 396 Hgt.Variab. W* 39 - - 130 - - 153 - - 21 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 189 - - 204 - - 228 - - 157 - - 170 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -15 - - -6 - - -3 - - 0 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4593 - - -5167 - - -5926 - - -4185 - - -3179 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11163 - - 11739 - - 12498 - - 10756 - - 9750 sfcLCL ODpotential -13745 - - -10788 - - -10216 - - -9645 - - -10296 ODpotential blCL 20315 - - 17359 - - 16787 - - 16216 - - 16866 blCL maxRH 87 - - 75 - - 53 - - 47 - - 59 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.8 - - 53.0 - - 57.0 - - 52.1 - - 44.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 15.8 - - 24.7 - - 25.2 - - 28.1 - - 25.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.2 - - 51.9 - - 55.7 - - 54.1 - - 50.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 14.9 - - 23.5 - - 24.2 - - 27.0 - - 24.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -52 - - 74 - - 130 - - 0 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 342 - - 342 - - 342 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 49 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97440 9 299 12 259 10 271 16 311 10 289 97440 90193 8 306 7 239 12 298 9 299 10 328 90193 84558 9 308 5 274 8 233 15 274 22 290 84558 79935 12 312 12 303 8 318 10 326 10 316 79935 75960 7 294 15 297 20 284 24 309 18 337 75960 72414 22 328 11 354 12 269 30 288 28 296 72414 69218 34 298 32 324 4 030 19 283 22 272 69218 66290 37 285 38 290 22 308 14 306 17 267 66290 63560 32 276 39 272 33 284 23 286 24 275 63560 60900 27 276 39 272 39 277 30 273 27 276 60900 58123 27 280 40 272 43 272 39 278 37 276 58123 55250 34 275 38 267 46 268 47 272 42 271 55250 52513 39 268 38 272 43 269 43 273 43 274 52513 50047 45 273 41 277 45 277 50 279 48 274 50047 47827 51 273 43 276 49 274 52 277 50 275 47827 45798 52 270 45 271 49 269 53 279 54 280 45798 43929 54 267 47 268 49 269 55 279 55 278 43929 42200 54 267 47 269 49 273 55 279 52 274 42200 40597 53 263 45 271 46 274 51 280 48 275 40597 39110 51 256 46 271 43 271 45 278 42 278 39110 37732 49 254 47 267 41 271 42 273 36 276 37732 36430 46 255 47 262 41 270 41 272 34 276 36430 35137 42 258 45 262 42 267 41 270 35 274 35137 33823 38 260 41 266 40 267 41 267 36 271 33823 32489 35 259 38 269 38 269 39 266 37 270 32489 31118 34 256 37 269 36 269 36 267 37 269 31118 29703 33 258 36 268 35 269 33 267 35 268 29703 28247 31 263 35 265 33 268 32 270 33 271 28247 26753 28 263 34 261 33 266 29 272 30 278 26753 25226 26 257 32 256 33 261 26 271 24 280 25226 23669 25 250 30 252 31 259 24 270 21 274 23669 22078 26 248 28 250 28 259 23 274 21 269 22078 20447 25 246 27 250 25 260 20 277 21 274 20447 18803 24 245 24 250 22 259 16 280 17 282 18803 17230 21 246 21 248 20 256 13 279 12 285 17230 15801 17 249 18 246 19 251 11 270 8 278 15801 14525 14 248 15 243 18 246 11 259 6 250 14525 13381 11 245 13 243 16 240 12 253 7 238 13381 12349 10 241 12 242 13 235 12 247 9 235 12349 11415 8 240 10 236 12 231 11 238 9 230 11415 10571 8 226 9 228 10 226 11 224 9 231 10571 9811 8 209 8 217 9 221 10 208 9 225 9811 9125 8 198 9 207 8 221 9 198 10 213 9125 8498 8 196 10 205 8 222 7 191 11 206 8498 7933 9 201 11 204 7 223 5 182 11 203 7933 7454 10 200 9 204 7 224 4 176 10 198 7454 7080 12 193 8 204 6 226 3 170 9 188 7080 6820 11 185 8 203 5 226 2 167 8 175 6820 6662 10*184 6*203 5*227 1*160 7 168 6662 6570 6*189 5*204 4*228 1*157 4*170 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography