DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/26 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.1 - - 32.4 - - 27.2 - - 26.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 28 - - 42 - - -18 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 341 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6552 - - 6552 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6570 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2701 - - 2932 - - 1656 - - 1602 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 98 - - 107 - - 30 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 13 - - 8 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 209 - - 263 - - 241 - - 208 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -18 - - -4 - - -7 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6570 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1252 - - -323 - - -1172 - - -1478 ODpotential blCL - - - 7822 - - 6892 - - 7741 - - 8047 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 100 - - 88 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 170 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.1 - - 32.4 - - 27.2 - - 26.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.7 - - 30.8 - - 25.5 - - 25.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 36.6 - - 31.8 - - 27.7 - - 28.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.9 - - 30.1 - - 25.3 - - 25.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 28 - - 42 - - -18 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 341 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 77 - - 101 - - 53 - - 46 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95703 23 322 34 355 23 014 32 023 95703 88770 25 342 23 338 28 350 22 010 88770 83361 24 329 19 328 22 343 27 348 83361 78837 21 321 17 331 17 318 23 329 78837 74917 21 313 22 302 13 288 17 328 74917 71423 26 288 29 272 24 276 16 298 71423 68217 25 275 28 261 37 273 23 271 68217 65231 25 277 20 256 30 247 35 260 65231 62438 25 270 24 272 23 259 33 268 62438 59726 27 278 24 279 36 278 34 271 59726 56896 49 256 52 254 53 251 46 264 56896 53951 46 241 46 230 48 241 44 248 53951 51121 34 234 33 253 41 249 30 246 51121 48559 55 269 53 264 49 257 38 262 48559 46274 77 262 76 259 65 258 60 262 46274 44218 88 255 86 257 76 256 72 258 44218 42339 97 252 91 256 81 254 78 253 42339 40611 110 249 105 252 91 255 86 251 40611 39017 122 244 123 245 108 253 99 248 39017 37547 128 241 130 242 123 248 109 243 37547 36189 131 243 132 242 134 246 115 243 36189 34903 138 246 139 245 138 246 119 244 34903 33623 143 246 144 245 139 245 123 246 33623 32324 142 245 141 243 140 245 126 247 32324 31012 137 244 135 241 140 244 126 247 31012 29674 131 245 130 242 135 244 122 247 29674 28304 123 245 122 242 126 244 113 248 28304 26906 111 245 110 241 110 243 101 249 26906 25485 99 245 96 239 94 239 91 247 25485 24043 91 243 88 238 82 237 81 244 24043 22583 86 241 84 238 72 238 72 240 22583 21098 82 240 82 239 63 238 67 237 21098 19578 71 240 80 239 60 237 66 238 19578 18050 58 239 75 242 61 236 64 240 18050 16588 52 236 65 244 63 235 61 243 16588 15260 50 238 58 243 60 238 58 247 15260 14072 49 243 53 238 57 244 55 250 14072 13001 47 247 48 235 54 251 53 253 13001 12032 45 247 44 236 52 258 50 258 12032 11154 44 244 40 240 51 265 47 262 11154 10359 44 242 37 249 48 271 42 264 10359 9642 45 239 35 258 44 274 38 263 9642 8994 44 235 33 261 41 274 34 260 8994 8401 41 228 32 262 37 269 31 254 8401 7865 37 221 31 262 33 262 28 245 7865 7410 32 216 29 262 29 254 25 235 7410 7055 28 213 27 263 23 247 21 227 7055 6807 24 211 24 263 18 244 17 220 6807 6656 21*210 20*263 15*242 13*215 6656 6569 13*209 13*263 8*241 7*208 6569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography