DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/19 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.9 - - 54.7 - - 55.0 - - 48.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 162 - - 212 - - 44 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3611 - - 3718 - - 342 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8409 - - 8597 - - 6554 - - 6554 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9840 - - 9947 - - 6571 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2725 - - 2349 - - 5796 - - 3166 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 362 - - 396 - - 107 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 28 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 207 - - 106 - - 328 - - 174 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - 7 - - 7 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1488 - - 1253 - - -1760 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8353 - - 8694 - - 8331 - - 6570 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -389 - - -115 - - -3141 - - -2103 ODpotential blCL - - - 10229 - - 10062 - - 9712 - - 8673 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 89 - - 97 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 420 - - 180 - - 410 - - 280 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.9 - - 54.7 - - 55.0 - - 48.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.0 - - 39.4 - - 41.2 - - 44.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.3 - - 52.8 - - 54.1 - - 49.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.0 - - 38.7 - - 40.7 - - 43.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 162 - - 212 - - 44 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3611 - - 3718 - - 342 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 53 - - 58 - - 88 - - 62 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98473 12 342 12 313 10 324 13 307 98473 91158 3 317 10 266 18 301 23 308 91158 85527 13 302 13 319 15 308 18 308 85527 80828 19 302 22 310 21 308 15 332 80828 76753 18 291 22 302 26 303 22 331 76753 73139 15 302 17 282 23 304 26 318 73139 69877 14 297 13 280 18 309 21 312 69877 66880 14 294 18 291 18 298 16 300 66880 64092 14 290 20 282 22 280 19 290 64092 61384 17 276 21 267 26 271 23 286 61384 58563 19 275 16 262 25 273 23 281 58563 55638 20 275 19 260 24 268 24 275 55638 52847 22 266 24 258 24 265 24 269 52847 50335 24 253 24 256 22 259 24 265 50335 48078 27 252 25 246 23 259 22 260 48078 46022 29 245 27 235 23 256 18 264 46022 44135 30 237 27 227 20 250 16 276 44135 42390 29 232 24 224 16 257 17 280 42390 40764 27 230 20 216 14 262 13 282 40764 39242 28 228 16 206 9 230 11 285 39242 37819 28 219 13 205 9 185 9 285 37819 36462 25 209 14 207 9 183 7 299 36462 35108 20 199 19 207 11 199 3 336 35108 33741 21 197 23 204 12 195 5 028 33741 32370 26 195 19 203 10 162 3 339 32370 30985 25 194 11 194 9 110 11 170 30985 29575 18 193 8 175 11 091 17 158 29575 28135 20 180 12 103 13 087 17 153 28135 26657 21 168 13 095 13 083 16 159 26657 25144 24 159 12 090 12 085 10 139 25144 23598 22 160 10 079 10 100 8 095 23598 22017 18 152 8 065 6 125 6 078 22017 20394 17 137 6 053 6 117 4 082 20394 18759 17 140 2 020 7 061 4 063 18759 17193 15 152 3 318 7 037 5 075 17193 15770 12 186 7 337 5 022 7 058 15770 14500 12 209 9 352 2 341 8 033 14500 13360 10 217 8 003 3 273 9 017 13360 12333 7 214 6 012 4 245 8 009 12333 11403 6 203 3 015 4 244 7 349 11403 10562 5*191 1*044 4 253 6 332 10562 9805 4*191 1*109 4 288 5 323 9805 9121 4 201 1 112 5 307 5 319 9121 8495 4 207 2 108 6 317 6 320 8495 7931 4 211 3 108 6 320 6 319 7931 7453 4 214 3 104 7 323 5 315 7453 7080 3 216 4 103 7 324 3 305 7080 6821 3 215 4 101 7 326 1 259 6821 6662 3 215 4 099 6*326 3 187 6662 6570 2 217 3 098 5*328 3*174 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography