DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/25 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1000z - - 1338z - - 1604z - - 1902z - - 2202z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.0 - - 55.2 - - 62.4 - - 64.3 - - 53.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 53 - - 225 - - 325 - - 103 - - -61 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1042 - - 4140 - - 6033 - - 4856 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 8970 - - 10582 - - 9087 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 7271 - - 10369 - - 12262 - - 11085 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1599 - - 1799 - - 1585 - - 3562 - - 138 Hgt.Variab. W* 172 - - 428 - - 540 - - 349 - - 46 W* B/S 4 - - 9 - - 7 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 8 - - 14 - - 18 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 214 - - 255 - - 269 - - 250 - - 211 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - -6 - - -5 - - -18 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1820 - - 294 - - 105 - - -2342 - - -3425 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9091 - - 10076 - - 12157 - - 13428 - - 9995 sfcLCL ODpotential -6731 - - -2584 - - -3914 - - -6540 - - -7934 ODpotential blCL 14002 - - 12953 - - 16176 - - 17625 - - 14504 blCL maxRH 87 - - 82 - - 62 - - 74 - - 51 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.0 - - 55.2 - - 62.4 - - 64.3 - - 53.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.1 - - 33.9 - - 31.8 - - 28.1 - - 33.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.1 - - 53.3 - - 60.1 - - 63.2 - - 57.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.9 - - 32.6 - - 30.6 - - 26.9 - - 31.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 53 - - 225 - - 325 - - 103 - - -61 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1042 - - 4140 - - 6033 - - 4856 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 46 - - 29 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98417 13 139 18 113 14 080 15 111 8 112 98417 90960 17 132 4 182 6 151 3 104 8 124 90960 85200 14 141 9 217 7 183 3 250 7 087 85200 80415 6 126 18 168 12 229 2 290 5 098 80415 76292 4 290 14 157 15 215 9 251 1 045 76292 72650 9 243 7 199 5 220 8 213 4 236 72650 69351 7 253 7 249 9 243 9 281 7 247 69351 66320 4 251 7 240 5 249 10 239 10 248 66320 63522 12 264 16 263 15 266 10 257 10 237 63522 60806 12 281 15 261 17 265 13 269 17 268 60806 57981 11 269 11 252 16 249 22 274 27 276 57981 55081 19 312 5 303 10 249 24 282 24 280 55081 52317 34 316 26 312 24 295 26 292 23 281 52317 49825 41 313 39 309 33 304 31 298 34 283 49825 47598 44 313 44 309 43 303 40 298 41 286 47598 45596 49 317 49 308 49 304 49 297 44 294 45596 43784 54 319 53 307 50 302 53 298 46 302 43784 42128 59 318 54 306 48 300 50 297 44 302 42128 40596 61 317 50 304 46 299 45 296 41 297 40596 39165 59 317 46 303 43 298 40 297 38 293 39165 37820 56 319 43 303 41 298 37 302 34 291 37820 36531 54 320 39 304 39 297 35 304 32 290 36531 35237 51 322 36 306 37 296 34 301 32 292 35237 33912 50 324 32 306 35 295 33 296 33 296 33912 32563 48 324 31 303 34 294 32 294 34 298 32563 31178 46 323 33 298 35 291 33 298 35 300 31178 29748 42 319 36 294 36 290 34 303 35 301 29748 28280 39 315 39 296 37 295 34 306 39 304 28280 26778 39 313 40 303 41 302 35 307 46 305 26778 25247 41 314 42 311 45 306 40 307 51 305 25247 23690 43 318 43 316 48 304 46 308 53 303 23690 22102 44 322 44 317 48 302 49 308 51 300 22102 20477 44 324 44 316 47 301 49 309 49 299 20477 18842 43 325 42 314 45 300 45 309 44 300 18842 17280 39 324 39 312 41 301 39 308 35 304 17280 15860 34 323 35 308 37 302 32 301 26 304 15860 14591 29 323 30 305 31 302 27 291 24 297 14591 13449 24 322 24 302 24 298 25 283 26 286 13449 12415 19 320 20 300 17*284 23 274 28 278 12415 11476 15 315 15 295 15*271 21*265 29 274 11476 10625 13 310 11*281 15 269 20*262 29 270 10625 9857 11 301 9*263 15 268 19 253 29 265 9857 9162 11 289 9 259 15 268 19 249 30 258 9162 8527 10 276 9 255 15 268 18 248 30 250 8527 7954 10 245 9 253 15 269 18 247 30 242 7954 7467 10*221 8 251 14 270 17 246 29 236 7467 7088 9*216 8 250 14 270 16 245 25 232 7088 6824 9 215 7 250 13 270 15 245 19 226 6824 6663 8 214 7 250 12 271 14 245 14*218 6663 6570 6 212 6 250 10 272 10 244 7*211 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography