DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/09 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.6 - - 47.1 - - 50.9 - - 42.7 - - 36.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -46 - - 34 - - 39 - - -2 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 934 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 6553 - - 6554 - - 6553 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6570 - - 7163 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 76 - - 1347 - - 3273 - - 1482 - - 72 Hgt.Variab. W* 27 - - 146 - - 108 - - 8 - - 17 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 11 - - 6 - - 2 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 190 - - 212 - - 225 - - 238 - - 191 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -15 - - -18 - - -4 - - -2 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -915 - - -2725 - - -3606 - - -470 - - -4 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7485 - - 9889 - - 10177 - - 7040 - - 6574 sfcLCL ODpotential -9069 - - -8857 - - -7534 - - -5794 - - -7104 ODpotential blCL 15639 - - 16020 - - 14104 - - 12364 - - 13674 blCL maxRH 75 - - 69 - - 72 - - 75 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.6 - - 47.1 - - 50.9 - - 42.7 - - 36.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.2 - - 27.0 - - 29.4 - - 34.8 - - 31.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.7 - - 46.5 - - 50.2 - - 46.3 - - 41.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.2 - - 25.9 - - 28.2 - - 34.1 - - 31.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -46 - - 34 - - 39 - - -2 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 934 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 60 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95871 33 293 38 290 38 292 42 290 39 289 95871 89018 20 295 28 285 32 289 27 295 24 300 89018 83663 20 297 17 305 24 293 23 289 19 305 83663 79156 14 314 16 299 17 300 23 309 15 324 79156 75222 21 332 17 297 15 291 22 298 21 328 75222 71724 21 311 19 316 13 310 17 276 23 291 71724 68548 21 276 28 292 22 315 12 289 18 290 68548 65607 15 263 22 273 23 302 17 302 19 301 65607 62864 26 296 17 282 26 281 28 288 25 300 62864 60199 34 285 25 276 29 277 34 273 30 289 60199 57424 39 277 32 275 33 280 35 272 32 278 57424 54560 41 273 38 274 37 282 39 280 38 278 54560 51836 43 278 42 271 45 274 44 275 41 273 51836 49384 49 277 49 269 52 268 45 268 41 264 49384 47189 58 272 57 266 58 265 49 267 43 262 47189 45209 66 268 65 266 64 263 60 266 52 267 45209 43418 71 267 72 266 72 263 75 264 69 266 43418 41790 75 265 77 265 78 265 82 263 81 262 41790 40283 76 264 79 264 78 264 79 260 83 261 40283 38867 75 265 78 265 75 263 76 258 79 258 38867 37534 73 267 76 266 73 264 74 258 75 258 37534 36258 72 269 75 269 72 265 73 258 74 257 36258 34979 72 272 75 272 72 265 72 260 74 257 34979 33673 73 275 76 273 72 265 72 261 73 257 33673 32344 73 277 75 273 72 265 70 262 70 257 32344 30981 72 278 71 272 70 266 67 262 68 257 30981 29575 68 278 66 271 66 264 65 261 66 259 29575 28129 63 279 63 268 63 261 63 262 65 262 28129 26646 58 278 61 264 60 260 60 263 62 264 26646 25130 55 276 59 262 57 263 57 266 57 264 25130 23585 53 274 56 264 53 266 53 269 51 263 23585 22005 52 274 52 266 50 268 50 272 47 263 22005 20385 49 275 48 267 47 267 48 274 43 265 20385 18751 44 275 44 266 45 268 44 273 40 267 18751 17185 39 276 41 267 42 269 40 272 36 269 17185 15761 34 276 36 269 37 270 35 272 31 271 15761 14488 31 275 31 270 33 269 30 272 26 271 14488 13345 28 274 27 270 29 267 25 270 22 266 13345 12314 25 272 23 269 26 263 22 264 21 259 12314 11383 20 266 21 265 23 259 21 259 21 253 11383 10542 16 258 19 258 20 252 20 252 21 249 10542 9785 13 249 18 251 19 245 19 243 21 246 9785 9102 11 238 18 243 17 235 19 233 21 241 9102 8480 10 229 18 232 15 226 18 224 21 238 8480 7919 11 223 18 223 13 221 16 218 21 233 7919 7444 12 216 16*218 12 223 13 217 20 225 7444 7074 13 203 13*213 11 223 10 217 17 215 7074 6817 12 193 12 212 10 224 6 218 12 202 6817 6660 10*190 11 212 9*225 3*220 9*190 6660 6570 6*190 7 211 6*225 2*238 6*191 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography