DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/21 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 34.1 - - 37.3 - - - - - 37.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -5 - - -40 - - - - - -47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 340 - - 341 - - - - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6553 - - 6553 - - - - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6569 - - 6570 - - - - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1130 - - 1556 - - - - - 1134 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 29 - - 25 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 0 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 12 - - - - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 207 - - 221 - - - - - 224 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -14 - - -14 - - - - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - 1 - - - - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6569 - - 6570 - - - - - 6570 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1060 - - -1261 - - - - - -1620 ODpotential blCL - - - 7629 - - 7831 - - - - - 8190 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 101 - - - - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 34.1 - - 37.3 - - - - - 37.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.1 - - 35.8 - - - - - 36.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 34.2 - - 38.4 - - - - - 39.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.0 - - 35.8 - - - - - 37.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -5 - - -40 - - - - - -47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 340 - - 341 - - - - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 92 - - 102 - - - - - 94 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95919 23 329 24 326 34 326 95919 88919 22 305 20 317 26 317 88919 83486 31 301 31 303 12 292 83486 78927 27 293 27 288 17 307 78927 74970 25 294 32 283 33 309 74970 71486 32 297 35 278 34 304 71486 68368 34 290 38 293 34 302 68368 65507 40 291 47 280 30 281 65507 62812 51 287 49 277 43 277 62812 60159 61 282 53 278 59 270 60159 57371 63 281 61 277 67 264 57371 54461 73 286 72 278 70 266 54461 51671 87 282 82 277 77 270 51671 49163 89 276 88 277 83 271 49163 46918 86 277 91 276 89 271 46918 44884 90 280 94 274 94 270 44884 43030 97 279 97 273 96 268 43030 41339 101 276 101 274 97 266 41339 39792 104 275 107 272 101 266 39792 38366 103 274 108 268 107 265 38366 37040 100 274 105 266 107 262 37040 35773 98 274 99 267 103 261 35773 34507 97 275 95 268 99 262 34507 33212 96 277 91 269 97 262 33212 31892 93 276 90 269 96 261 31892 30539 90 275 89 269 93 260 30539 29144 85 272 87 268 90 259 29144 27713 80 271 84 267 88 260 27713 26247 75 270 81 267 85 260 26247 24750 73 268 77 266 81 260 24750 23225 74 266 73 263 74 260 23225 21670 75 267 69 260 67 262 21670 20079 72 270 65 260 63 264 20079 18479 66 273 64 264 59 265 18479 16951 61 272 62 266 57 266 16951 15564 58 269 62 268 56 266 15564 14325 57 267 62 269 56 266 14325 13212 57 265 62 268 56 266 13212 12207 58 260 60 266 57 265 12207 11298 56 256 59 262 58 264 11298 10474 54 250 56 259 59 262 10474 9733 52 244 53 254 57 260 9733 9064 50 237 51 249 54 256 9064 8453 47 229 48 245 51 253 8453 7902 42 221 43 239 46 249 7902 7433 35 216 37 233 39 245 7433 7068 29 213 30 228 31 239 7068 6814 23 211 25 225 24 234 6814 6659 19 210 20*223 19*231 6659 6570 10*207 12*221 10*224 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography