DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/31 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.3 - - 48.5 - - 49.5 - - 45.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 215 - - 112 - - 65 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2703 - - 2684 - - 1757 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7870 - - 7588 - - 6554 - - 6554 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8932 - - 8913 - - 7986 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2277 - - 2268 - - 2721 - - 2335 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 365 - - 297 - - 218 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 14 - - 8 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 265 - - 265 - - 241 - - 035 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -8 - - -8 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2357 - - 2204 - - 773 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6576 - - 6710 - - 7213 - - 6570 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 885 - - 453 - - -1830 - - -2423 ODpotential blCL - - - 8047 - - 8460 - - 9816 - - 8993 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 101 - - 83 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 470 - - 500 - - 420 - - 420 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.3 - - 48.5 - - 49.5 - - 45.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.0 - - 41.7 - - 40.6 - - 41.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.5 - - 47.4 - - 48.6 - - 46.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.8 - - 40.5 - - 39.3 - - 40.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 215 - - 112 - - 65 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2703 - - 2684 - - 1757 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 103 - - 30 - - 16 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98658 17 106 12 097 16 057 20 097 98658 91196 22 114 12 103 18 094 21 094 91196 85466 19 117 14 117 14 093 18 087 85466 80732 16 111 20 111 9 101 19 073 80732 76660 12 112 14 109 12 093 15 074 76660 73059 13 120 16 105 10 100 13 072 73059 69796 11 127 12 107 7 113 10 077 69796 66792 11 118 11 131 12 093 14 089 66792 64001 9 150 14 177 7 140 9 121 64001 61277 11 175 13 160 10 197 6 160 61277 58415 19 187 12 168 17 194 19 205 58415 55436 16 196 14 189 14 183 20 203 55436 52578 21 216 15 205 17 196 20 197 52578 49992 21 212 23 201 17 198 17 212 49992 47669 22 200 24 200 19 209 17 221 47669 45561 23 189 21 204 18 207 18 219 45561 43635 20 192 18 210 14 210 18 215 43635 41864 18 197 17 216 13 224 19 219 41864 40224 20 199 17 215 14 226 20 220 40224 38704 23 192 16 202 14 227 19 225 38704 37297 21 177 14 185 13 237 19 239 37297 35971 20 159 13 170 14 243 20 245 35971 34661 18 151 14 155 13 239 19 249 34661 33338 19 146 16 139 10 234 21 255 33338 32007 20 140 19 131 10 217 24 261 32007 30653 22 133 19 127 11 196 26 265 30653 29267 23 130 14 135 9 196 26 267 29267 27848 17 135 11 152 11 252 23 267 27848 26394 9 155 11 131 12 257 18 265 26394 24905 7 190 8 112 13 259 17 267 24905 23387 6 200 4 159 13 263 20 275 23387 21835 4 209 6 197 13 264 24 275 21835 20240 9 279 10 211 11 264 25 270 20240 18635 15 274 13 262 11 285 24 284 18635 17099 18 273 12 285 17 291 27 290 17099 15700 16 268 13 273 22 293 28 288 15700 14446 15 269 15 267 25 295 27 285 14446 13318 15 267 17 270 24 295 25 283 13318 12297 17 264 19 271 22 295 23 284 12297 11372 18 262 19 271 20 294 19 288 11372 10535 18 262 18 269 18 291 16 294 10535 9782 17 262 17 267 15 286 13 301 9782 9102 16*262 16*265 13 280 10 307 9102 8481 15*263 15*264 11*269 7 319 8481 7921 14 264 15 264 9*253 4 338 7921 7446 13 265 14 265 8 240 2 015 7446 7077 13 265 13 266 8 238 2 053 7077 6819 12 266 12 266 7 236 3 055 6819 6661 11 267 11 267 7 236 2 045 6661 6570 9 267 9 267 6 236 2*035 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography