DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/02 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.5 - - 61.7 - - 61.9 - - 53.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 222 - - 305 - - 104 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3975 - - 5916 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8843 - - 10469 - - 6555 - - 6554 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10204 - - 12145 - - 6571 - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3084 - - 3018 - - 8811 - - 466 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 422 - - 528 - - 145 - - 38 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 14 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 234 - - 246 - - 230 - - 167 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -10 - - -10 - - -4 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -621 - - -524 - - -6806 - - -3062 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10825 - - 12670 - - 13378 - - 9633 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4076 - - -4192 - - -8851 - - -7078 ODpotential blCL - - - 14280 - - 16337 - - 15422 - - 13649 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 71 - - 64 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.5 - - 61.7 - - 61.9 - - 53.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.9 - - 29.0 - - 26.2 - - 34.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.7 - - 59.4 - - 60.7 - - 56.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.7 - - 27.7 - - 25.0 - - 32.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 222 - - 305 - - 104 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3975 - - 5916 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98623 21 109 14 097 23 079 22 105 98623 91170 19 116 17 090 15 081 24 096 91170 85476 21 103 14 100 17 088 16 102 85476 80778 21 098 20 115 14 093 19 088 80778 76725 18 098 21 099 15 100 23 079 76725 73128 18 113 14 098 17 094 16 069 73128 69870 19 100 12 109 9 088 13 069 69870 66873 13 093 13 113 2 064 10 058 66873 64087 8 071 12 114 5 173 6 007 64087 61381 1 081 8 089 6 122 2 140 61381 58539 6 190 3 236 1 180 6 125 58539 55569 8 174 9 219 8 237 5 276 55569 52724 3 219 8 197 10 213 12 242 52724 50164 15 237 11 243 7 243 11 235 50164 47872 20 246 18 258 12 279 8 243 47872 45799 22 236 24 254 20 280 11 292 45799 43911 17 232 23 241 22 272 17 296 43911 42177 15 250 19 242 20 268 18 283 42177 40574 20 277 16 285 17 282 16 285 40574 39095 25 280 18 293 15 283 14 298 39095 37733 24 286 15 321 6 020 4 308 37733 36444 22 299 15 333 12 052 14 058 36444 35157 22 292 19 359 10 041 16 054 35157 33841 23 281 14 352 8 032 15 060 33841 32498 26 276 8 290 2 066 9 037 32498 31121 28 283 22 258 9 253 11 344 31121 29705 30 290 25 261 14 255 11 336 29705 28251 31 288 26 267 16 256 10 310 28251 26759 33 282 25 273 19 258 13 283 26759 25231 33 273 24 274 21 262 18 274 25231 23675 34 266 26 275 24 265 20 270 23675 22088 33 264 28 271 26 265 20 262 22088 20469 28 266 28 265 26 265 19 257 20469 18841 24 265 26 261 24 268 17 260 18841 17283 25 258 24 259 21 275 15 270 17283 15864 24 255 21 258 20 276 15 276 15864 14592 20 254 19 258 19 272 16 275 14592 13446 17 249 17 254 18 268 18 271 13446 12410 15 240 16*249 17 263 18 268 12410 11469 15 233 15*246 15 259 18 263 11469 10618 15*232 15 245 13 252 17 257 10618 9850 14*231 15 245 11 245 17 248 9850 9157 13 232 15 245 10 240 16 240 9157 8522 13 233 15 246 9 234 15 231 8522 7951 13 234 14 247 8 233 13 215 7951 7465 12 236 14 248 8 232 12 194 7465 7087 11 238 13 250 7 231 12 176 7087 6824 10 239 12 250 7 231 11 166 6824 6663 10 240 12 251 7*231 10*163 6663 6571 8 240 9 250 5*230 6*167 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography