DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/01 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 33.0 - - 36.8 - - 33.3 - - 27.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -6 - - -9 - - -9 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 340 - - 341 - - 341 - - 340 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6569 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6569 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 539 - - 1144 - - 658 - - 90 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 42 - - 39 - - 26 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 175 - - 178 - - 179 - - 187 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -7 - - -6 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2046 - - -2033 - - -1303 - - -1164 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8616 - - 8603 - - 7874 - - 7733 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9720 - - -8232 - - -8031 - - -8223 ODpotential blCL - - - 16289 - - 14802 - - 14601 - - 14792 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 88 - - 92 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 33.0 - - 36.8 - - 33.3 - - 27.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.8 - - 22.5 - - 22.1 - - 17.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 34.8 - - 38.4 - - 37.2 - - 32.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.5 - - 21.4 - - 21.0 - - 17.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -6 - - -9 - - -9 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 340 - - 341 - - 341 - - 340 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 35 - - 51 - - 68 - - 55 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94595 91 285 78 293 64 290 67 275 94595 88042 58 286 54 297 52 300 45 305 88042 82876 33 289 39 296 46 299 43 308 82876 78483 22 296 34 286 47 291 46 306 78483 74643 23 303 33 287 46 290 46 302 74643 71221 24 299 30 292 39 293 38 302 71221 68099 20 295 23 294 31 294 33 295 68099 65211 21 296 21 292 24 291 24 282 65211 62509 28 299 27 290 23 292 27 289 62509 59879 34 302 31 288 33 289 34 279 59879 57139 38 294 43 287 39 279 34 269 57139 54287 37 295 44 289 29 284 36 261 54287 51555 45 291 48 290 35 288 40 269 51555 49087 52 287 54 281 55 279 51 273 49087 46863 52 284 55 277 65 270 60 269 46863 44835 49 283 55 274 65 265 64 266 44835 42972 45 285 54 272 65 266 66 265 42972 41260 52 287 59 274 68 266 72 266 41260 39696 61 280 67 273 73 264 82 265 39696 38268 59 274 70 265 77 263 90 261 38268 36947 54 273 68 263 78 264 86 260 36947 35686 53 274 70 265 80 264 86 263 35686 34422 55 275 73 264 82 261 85 261 34422 33131 58 275 74 263 84 259 88 258 33131 31818 62 274 75 264 84 259 90 259 31818 30472 69 272 75 265 83 260 89 262 30472 29087 74 271 73 265 80 261 85 265 29087 27665 71 272 68 265 72 262 77 263 27665 26212 60 273 63 265 64 263 66 262 26212 24730 54 270 59 266 58 265 57 266 24730 23220 51 268 54 266 55 266 55 268 23220 21675 47 267 49 266 53 265 53 267 21675 20089 44 268 47 263 52 264 51 269 20089 18491 37 268 42 262 49 265 45 272 18491 16962 32 268 38 268 44 268 39 275 16962 15572 28 269 33 271 39 269 33 279 15572 14330 26 269 28 268 34 270 28 282 14330 13214 24 268 26 263 29 269 25 280 13214 12205 23 265 25 258 25 266 24 278 12205 11291 22 258 23 254 23 264 22 279 11291 10464 21 252 23 248 23 258 20 280 10464 9721 19 247 21 242 22 249 18 278 9721 9051 17 242 20 234 21 241 18 268 9051 8440 15 234 18 226 21 236 18 252 8440 7891 14 226 19 219 22 228 19 239 7891 7425 14 217 18 210 20 218 18 227 7425 7062 13 201 15 203 16 209 17 214 7062 6811 10 191 11 199 12 203 14 200 6811 6657 8 183 8*195 8*196 11*190 6657 6569 4*175 4*178 3*179 6*187 6569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography