DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/29 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 21.1 - - 24.3 - - 18.7 - - 18.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 5 - - 19 - - -1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 340 - - 340 - - 339 - - 339 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6568 - - 6568 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 784 - - 1094 - - 444 - - 503 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 53 - - 82 - - 0 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 8 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 241 - - 319 - - 050 - - 187 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 1 - - -4 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1271 - - -797 - - 0 - - -1859 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7840 - - 7366 - - 6568 - - 8427 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13506 - - -12492 - - -12933 - - -16015 ODpotential blCL - - - 20075 - - 19061 - - 19501 - - 22583 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 69 - - 73 - - 51 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 21.1 - - 24.3 - - 18.7 - - 18.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 10.7 - - 15.9 - - 14.8 - - 5.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 21.0 - - 23.8 - - 21.6 - - 23.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 9.6 - - 14.9 - - 15.6 - - 6.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 5 - - 19 - - -1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 340 - - 340 - - 339 - - 339 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96319 40 014 54 353 66 009 63 009 96319 89125 34 356 50 347 74 005 87 008 89125 83574 36 003 50 359 67 358 84 003 83574 78945 30 357 44 346 55 348 65 355 78945 74924 25 334 40 325 48 330 51 347 74924 71347 32 325 34 322 43 325 46 343 71347 68115 36 326 39 324 46 324 60 336 68115 65180 29 325 47 318 50 325 55 322 65180 62485 26 322 49 307 50 326 49 312 62485 59871 32 325 45 302 43 322 42 321 59871 57129 35 330 40 308 35 316 41 330 57129 54282 36 332 37 319 37 330 42 327 54282 51582 40 322 38 323 40 330 41 327 51582 49164 43 323 37 339 35 335 36 336 49164 47004 45 331 43 352 32 347 35 344 47004 45062 45 347 45 352 37 354 35 345 45062 43306 54 359 41 356 42 356 39 348 43306 41699 56 355 47 000 47 352 39 350 41699 40207 52 359 50 005 44 344 36 350 40207 38812 58 011 44 013 31 332 35 346 38812 37500 66 017 36 020 28 330 27 335 37500 36243 69 018 34 027 27 340 23 336 36243 34980 68 018 38 034 26 347 22 340 34980 33685 64 017 42 036 26 351 23 334 33685 32364 60 018 42 039 26 353 21 332 32364 31005 48 018 37 036 25 358 19 344 31005 29600 42 022 33 032 24 003 21 348 29600 28152 37 021 28 035 25 357 23 344 28152 26661 30 011 23 028 24 342 23 339 26661 25130 25 355 25 018 25 340 24 336 25130 23563 26 355 27 000 26 334 27 336 23563 21956 27 356 25 338 29 332 28 344 21956 20307 28 351 25 333 29 340 28 349 20307 18646 28 345 26 336 27 347 24 349 18646 17057 27 339 27 336 24 347 20 345 17057 15616 27 334 27 333 23 339 19 341 15616 14332 27 333 26 331 24 331 20 336 14332 13187 26 333 25 328 25 325 21 332 13187 12161 25 333 22 325 23 319 22 328 12161 11239 23 332 19 322 20 312 21 324 11239 10410 20 332 16 319 17 304 19 318 10410 9669 16 328 11 311 15 294 17 309 9669 9003 12 318 8 297 13 285 15 299 9003 8400 8 297 7 269 10 271 12 286 8400 7860 6 270 6 245 7 254 8 269 7860 7405 4 252 4 230 4 206 4 239 7405 7051 3 235 2 267 4 144 4 176 7051 6805 2 211 2 307 4 122 6 147 6805 6655 1*208 2*314 1 114 5 147 6655 6568 1*241 2*319 0*050 3*187 6568 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography