DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/21 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 19.4 - - 26.0 - - 25.7 - - 17.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 45 - - 53 - - 1 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2055 - - 3330 - - 2852 - - 286 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 108 - - 114 - - 36 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 196 - - 216 - - 209 - - 152 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - -5 - - -3 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -48 - - -1053 - - -776 - - -1355 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6617 - - 7623 - - 7345 - - 7924 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2434 - - -2508 - - -3344 - - -8436 ODpotential blCL - - - 9003 - - 9077 - - 9913 - - 15005 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 74 - - 67 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 19.4 - - 26.0 - - 25.7 - - 17.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 14.0 - - 16.1 - - 17.1 - - 6.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 19.5 - - 25.1 - - 26.2 - - 22.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 13.2 - - 15.1 - - 15.9 - - 13.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 45 - - 53 - - 1 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 34 - - 0 - - 0 - - 3 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97028 28 113 29 123 21 115 21 105 97028 89804 29 118 20 124 16 107 16 095 89804 84185 24 130 14 143 13 092 12 118 84185 79500 20 120 10 156 9 099 7 123 79500 75456 12 108 6 143 4 107 5 071 75456 71877 8 108 4 129 4 198 2 063 71877 68625 4 136 4 126 6 215 4 259 68625 65624 3 286 3 243 10 245 7 254 65624 62829 9 223 8 244 14 252 10 254 62829 60111 8 301 11 294 10 273 5 260 60111 57269 23 289 24 288 20 296 20 288 57269 54320 24 284 30 288 33 286 28 283 54320 51505 29 291 36 286 37 288 36 287 51505 48970 34 289 39 286 43 291 45 289 48970 46702 37 290 44 289 51 288 57 286 46702 44657 42 292 49 288 60 289 61 280 44657 42799 49 297 46 296 69 285 59 282 42799 41097 54 296 58 300 67 287 76 294 41097 39539 58 295 80 292 75 299 100 297 39539 38103 62 294 90 295 112 297 118 294 38103 36769 67 297 107 301 128 295 124 292 36769 35492 73 301 121 301 131 295 123 293 35492 34212 77 308 113 302 129 297 121 296 34212 32907 78 310 94 304 112 299 111 297 32907 31584 72 309 84 308 84 296 96 295 31584 30238 63 309 80 312 74 292 82 292 30238 28857 52 306 76 314 70 295 72 288 28857 27442 43 300 72 316 65 300 67 289 27442 25994 40 299 66 319 59 302 56 294 25994 24519 40 300 58 320 52 303 47 297 24519 23016 40 298 50 316 47 305 44 297 23016 21480 40 295 44 312 43 306 43 296 21480 19904 37 292 40 308 38 307 40 294 19904 18317 33 291 36 298 36 306 34 288 18317 16797 32 291 33 289 33 304 30 288 16797 15416 32 290 29 283 29 300 25 293 15416 14182 31 291 26 281 25 292 21 297 14182 13077 28 293 23 280 22 284 17 291 13077 12079 23 290 19 276 19 275 15 277 12079 11181 20 282 17 267 17 266 13 265 11181 10371 18 271 17 256 15 251 12 257 10371 9645 16 259 16 245 13 227 11 237 9645 8992 14 248 13 230 12 208 11 219 8992 8395 13 238 11 217 12 203 12 214 8395 7859 12 229 10 216 10 203 14 206 7859 7404 9 211 8 216 8 205 14 196 7404 7050 8 206 7 216 6 205 11 187 7050 6805 7 201 6 216 5 208 8 174 6805 6655 6*197 5*216 3*208 7*169 6655 6569 4*196 4*216 2*209 3*152 6569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography