DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/11 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.2 - - 51.7 - - 50.7 - - 43.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 27 - - 41 - - -5 - - 29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 342 - - 342 - - 342 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6554 - - 6554 - - 6554 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6571 - - 6571 - - 6571 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3301 - - 3378 - - 2946 - - 2159 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 94 - - 111 - - 40 - - 94 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 9 - - 6 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 187 - - 172 - - 189 - - 286 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -12 - - -9 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6571 - - 6571 - - 6571 - - 6570 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -821 - - -1518 - - -1111 - - -127 ODpotential blCL - - - 7392 - - 8089 - - 7682 - - 6697 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 96 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 130 - - 40 - - 50 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.2 - - 51.7 - - 50.7 - - 43.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.2 - - 45.7 - - 48.0 - - 42.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.6 - - 51.0 - - 50.7 - - 42.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.5 - - 44.6 - - 47.6 - - 42.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 27 - - 41 - - -5 - - 29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 342 - - 342 - - 342 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 85 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97556 18 275 22 310 31 296 26 310 97556 90395 16 300 20 300 18 288 20 298 90395 84854 17 312 17 294 11 285 15 289 84854 80233 16 304 7 262 14 311 10 308 80233 76239 12 308 4 225 17 310 8 337 76239 72711 5 276 10 316 14 305 5 323 72711 69520 2 205 11 289 12 294 4 307 69520 66583 4 024 8 247 11 264 8 262 66583 63864 12 335 10 250 10 247 14 251 63864 61231 17 299 15 256 18 227 20 242 61231 58467 19 267 15 248 15 221 20 237 58467 55580 29 266 30 266 26 270 27 241 55580 52809 40 246 43 250 41 259 30 244 52809 50303 51 248 52 247 52 253 42 249 50303 48056 58 249 59 246 58 245 54 243 48056 46013 67 246 68 247 63 243 56 237 46013 44129 71 241 76 245 74 242 57 239 44129 42373 72 241 81 241 79 241 65 238 42373 40729 77 242 84 241 81 241 69 237 40729 39186 83 242 87 243 83 239 70 236 39186 37744 86 240 87 242 83 237 73 234 37744 36374 86 236 83 238 82 237 78 233 36374 35012 85 230 81 232 77 236 81 234 35012 33624 85 226 77 222 69 230 81 234 33624 32222 84 227 68 216 62 218 73 230 32222 30806 83 228 60 219 57 213 63 221 30806 29373 80 225 61 219 55 218 56 219 29373 27915 76 220 62 220 54 218 56 215 27915 26422 71 215 61 221 53 213 52 211 26422 24898 65 217 58 221 52 212 47 213 24898 23351 52 218 55 222 52 210 46 211 23351 21774 41 211 53 222 54 208 44 210 21774 20163 38 201 55 221 54 206 42 212 20163 18545 32 190 58 218 54 206 41 215 18545 17002 25 184 60 217 53 208 40 215 17002 15602 22 187 59 218 53 211 39 213 15602 14354 21 190 53 219 52 210 36 209 14354 13233 21 195 52 219 47 206 29 207 13233 12222 21 196 50 216 44 201 20 217 12222 11308 22 194 44 207 41 198 16 247 11308 10482 22 192 37 197 38 197 18 273 10482 9739 21 189 32 189 35 197 22 286 9739 9069 20 187 28 184 33 197 25 290 9069 8457 18 182 25 181 30 197 27 291 8457 7906 14 178 22 179 26 197 26 290 7906 7436 11 178 19 177 22 197 25 290 7436 7071 7 181 17 176 18 196 23 288 7071 6816 5 184 15 175 13 195 21 287 6816 6660 4*186 13*174 11*194 18*286 6660 6570 3*187 9*172 6*189 12*286 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography