DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/22 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.5 - - 53.6 - - 56.8 - - 48.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 211 - - 92 - - 31 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3975 - - 342 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8788 - - 6554 - - 6554 - - 6554 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10204 - - 6571 - - 6571 - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3940 - - 4094 - - 4811 - - 1865 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 404 - - 139 - - 95 - - 34 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 6 - - 4 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 222 - - 159 - - 097 - - 185 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -16 - - -9 - - -1 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1677 - - -237 - - -1695 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11882 - - 6808 - - 8266 - - 6571 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3843 - - -1972 - - -3674 - - -1137 ODpotential blCL - - - 14047 - - 8543 - - 10245 - - 7708 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 100 - - 92 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 30 - - 130 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.5 - - 53.6 - - 56.8 - - 48.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.2 - - 46.2 - - 43.1 - - 46.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.8 - - 52.4 - - 56.2 - - 48.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.7 - - 45.0 - - 42.6 - - 46.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 211 - - 92 - - 31 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3975 - - 342 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 68 - - 102 - - 69 - - 90 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98177 9 279 5 203 16 239 17 256 98177 90842 6 249 5 304 4 242 11 211 90842 85186 6 178 7 266 8 325 5 087 85186 80495 4 056 4 244 11 319 10 005 80495 76467 7 335 6 324 7 318 12 349 76467 72910 7 334 1 356 3 296 7 308 72910 69692 5 270 4 333 3 053 2 228 69692 66726 8 224 6 292 3 332 2 207 66726 63957 11 234 10 254 8 264 7 214 63957 61250 14 227 14 230 14 243 12 236 61250 58415 18 220 22 231 28 237 23 250 58415 55478 23 212 29 214 30 228 30 250 55478 52684 22 222 25 222 34 234 38 241 52684 50181 25 244 34 237 38 231 40 224 50181 47941 36 240 38 238 38 232 40 218 47941 45898 37 229 42 237 40 234 38 224 45898 44020 35 225 46 233 42 237 39 229 44020 42284 33 227 45 229 43 237 40 231 42284 40666 37 232 42 233 45 233 41 230 40666 39155 45 231 50 230 48 225 40 226 39155 37750 42 223 51 224 51 216 39 219 37750 36428 34 220 50 220 47 210 32 216 36428 35132 44 216 46 216 40 207 24 191 35132 33824 48 207 39 208 40 203 21 175 33824 32494 45 207 34 197 43 198 21 193 32494 31128 42 212 33 197 40 195 20 202 31128 29715 27 216 32 198 37 202 18 205 29715 28260 21 204 30 201 34 207 16 204 28260 26764 23 207 27 206 28 209 13 198 26764 25233 25 208 26 211 24 208 11 189 25233 23671 27 206 24 212 20 202 9 180 23671 22075 25 204 22 209 17 196 8 175 22075 20440 19 208 21 202 16 201 7 171 20440 18795 13 210 22 196 16 211 7 165 18795 17221 9 197 21 187 15 214 6 154 17221 15792 5 199 19 173 15 211 6 145 15792 14515 1 186 17 158 15 204 6 139 14515 13370 2 250 15 144 14 191 6 130 13370 12336 4 236 13 129 12 175 7 129 12336 11401 7 224 10 114 10 158 9 133 11401 10558 11*220 9 105 9 142 11 143 10558 9800 14*221 7 100 9 131 12 154 9800 9116 15 223 7 107 10 122 13 162 9116 8491 16 222 7 126 10 117 14 172 8491 7928 16 222 8 146 10 112 15 184 7928 7450 15 222 8 157 9 108 17 190 7450 7079 15 221 8 159 7 103 16 191 7079 6820 14 221 8 160 6 099 14 190 6820 6662 13 221 8*159 5*099 12*189 6662 6571 10 220 6*159 4*097 7*185 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography