DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/16 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.5 - - 72.7 - - 72.7 - - 62.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 298 - - 274 - - 38 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4608 - - 7715 - - 343 - - 343 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9409 - - 11814 - - 6555 - - 6555 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10837 - - 13944 - - 6572 - - 6572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4174 - - 4966 - - 11709 - - 465 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 473 - - 546 - - 102 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 14 - - 7 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 208 - - 210 - - 214 - - 137 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -18 - - -14 - - -7 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -995 - - 947 - - -7081 - - -4690 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11832 - - 12998 - - 13654 - - 11262 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3372 - - -689 - - -8514 - - -8545 ODpotential blCL - - - 14209 - - 14633 - - 15086 - - 15117 blCL maxRH - - - 55 - - 82 - - 82 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 360 - - 470 - - 190 - - 230 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.5 - - 72.7 - - 72.7 - - 62.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.2 - - 38.3 - - 35.5 - - 36.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.2 - - 70.6 - - 71.9 - - 67.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.9 - - 38.0 - - 35.3 - - 35.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 298 - - 274 - - 38 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4608 - - 7715 - - 343 - - 343 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 30 - - 30 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99037 5 189 1 004 5 173 3 186 99037 91645 10 227 6 246 7 243 2 249 91645 85905 15 239 9 240 4 282 4 251 85905 81123 15 228 13 237 8 268 7 278 81123 77006 11 245 15 230 14 251 13 251 77006 73381 17 250 17 247 13 258 9 259 73381 70088 15 243 18 247 18 266 13 297 70088 67048 11 258 18 250 19 261 15 275 67048 64242 14 262 13 267 14 279 14 278 64242 61542 21 256 21 268 20 268 15 267 61542 58720 27 251 32 258 29 270 19 268 58720 55784 31 245 38 250 38 264 30 275 55784 52996 35 242 43 242 49 248 43 252 52996 50511 42 242 51 235 48 237 49 238 50511 48298 47 242 48 236 45 242 49 240 48298 46292 51 249 49 245 55 249 61 241 46292 44456 61 250 60 247 67 247 74 240 44456 42759 73 245 69 245 77 244 81 237 42759 41178 80 241 76 244 83 241 84 234 41178 39699 78 240 79 243 82 240 83 233 39699 38320 73 241 77 243 80 244 79 234 38320 37008 66 243 77 245 81 246 74 236 37008 35700 61 245 77 245 81 245 68 239 35700 34364 60 247 74 247 80 244 66 241 34364 33003 59 248 70 247 78 245 66 242 33003 31604 58 247 65 247 71 249 65 243 31604 30159 53 247 59 247 59 250 63 242 30159 28672 48 248 51 245 50 249 59 240 28672 27149 45 248 44 244 44 246 53 238 27149 25596 43 246 38 245 39 243 42 236 25596 24018 41 245 37 243 36 241 32 240 24018 22406 39 245 36 242 34 239 28 248 22406 20752 33 247 31 242 28 243 27 242 20752 19089 23 249 22 236 21 232 24 225 19089 17502 16 239 18 221 18 216 21 206 17502 16058 12 225 16 210 17 212 19 193 16058 14764 12 220 15*209 15 210 19 191 14764 13597 13 218 15*209 15 210 18 191 13597 12539 13 215 15 209 14 211 17 193 12539 11580 14*211 14 210 14 211 17 197 11580 10710 14*209 14 210 13 212 16 199 10710 9926 15 209 14 210 13 212 15 201 9926 9217 15 208 14 211 12 213 14 202 9217 8568 15 208 13 210 12 213 13 202 8568 7983 15 208 13 211 11 214 11 201 7983 7487 15 208 12 210 11 214 8 198 7487 7100 14 207 12 210 10 214 6 189 7100 6831 13 207 11 210 10 214 5 171 6831 6666 12 207 10 210 9*214 3*146 6666 6572 9 207 8 210 7*214 2*137 6572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography