DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/17 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.1 - - 38.0 - - 39.8 - - 38.3 - - 37.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 37 - - 25 - - -9 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1175 - - 2124 - - 2670 - - 2501 - - 1677 Hgt.Variab. W* 23 - - 101 - - 89 - - 0 - - 6 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 9 - - 6 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 227 - - 254 - - 252 - - 237 - - 172 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -7 - - -4 - - -5 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 sfcLCL ODpotential -1492 - - -397 - - -764 - - -1038 - - -1360 ODpotential blCL 8062 - - 6967 - - 7334 - - 7608 - - 7930 blCL maxRH 101 - - 101 - - 100 - - 97 - - 95 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.1 - - 38.0 - - 39.8 - - 38.3 - - 37.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.8 - - 36.1 - - 36.2 - - 35.9 - - 35.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 37.5 - - 37.3 - - 39.2 - - 38.9 - - 37.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.6 - - 35.7 - - 35.8 - - 35.6 - - 35.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 37 - - 25 - - -9 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 103 - - 104 - - 102 - - 89 - - 81 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96473 17 069 10 003 24 045 17 052 7 049 96473 89435 15 049 10 075 7 058 16 063 11 065 89435 83951 7 048 11 064 10 117 8 062 14 051 83951 79367 8 067 9 084 6 095 4 021 15 050 79367 75393 14 057 13 075 8 103 3 341 14 022 75393 71867 10 058 9 078 5 075 2 098 10 018 71867 68656 7 049 6 091 2 331 2 131 6 010 68656 65681 7 338 2 045 3 193 3 288 5 305 65681 62908 12 291 5 294 4 198 7 260 8 271 62908 60221 16 260 14 259 9 278 7 243 8 237 60221 57415 14 247 21 242 17 263 6 254 7 247 57415 54482 18 241 23 235 22 248 13 265 12 260 54482 51667 21 234 16 242 17 238 17 252 16 244 51667 49138 15 198 17 270 15 253 15 245 14 233 49138 46884 13 213 19 254 15 257 16 254 12 248 46884 44847 11 191 19 234 20 254 18 252 16 248 44847 42987 6 117 8 150 20 242 13 236 19 224 42987 41283 5 331 10 029 5 177 8 230 12 215 41283 39720 7 283 20 297 13 270 10 264 12 251 39720 38279 11 108 15 225 16 253 15 267 21 250 38279 36946 19 090 8 180 16 233 16 205 21 222 36946 35685 10 100 4 289 8 234 14 172 22 199 35685 34426 6 151 10 297 6 224 18 175 23 190 34426 33139 3 120 14 300 10 250 17 186 18 185 33139 31827 3 072 11 296 13 247 17 196 19 193 31827 30481 4 087 7 282 15 241 23 208 21 197 30481 29093 6 090 7 236 17 233 19 217 20 201 29093 27667 8 088 7 199 17 226 16 229 19 213 27667 26205 9 081 8 165 14 216 14 241 15 223 26205 24711 11 074 9 151 12 205 10 209 13 203 24711 23192 14 069 9 138 10 195 11 183 14 181 23192 21643 15 079 11 131 9 184 10 189 10 192 21643 20055 15 095 12 140 11 189 9 213 5 201 20055 18456 14 109 10 152 11 197 10 224 5 234 18456 16927 12 106 8 140 10 207 8 233 7 236 16927 15538 10 069 6 096 8 208 6 217 8 222 15538 14298 11 026 5 027 3 223 6 206 8 204 14298 13185 13 357 7 355 5 320 4 206 8 186 13185 12182 15 331 9 340 7 329 2 221 7 174 12182 11274 16 311 11 333 8 346 1 216 5 173 11274 10455 17 298 13 318 8 345 2 246 4 195 10455 9718 19 288 17 295 8 319 5 250 5 228 9718 9052 20 280 20 278 10 282 11 246 6 251 9052 8444 21 273 23 265 12 261 14 244 8 252 8444 7895 23 265 23 260 12 256 15 243 9 244 7895 7429 22 253 22 257 12 254 14 242 9 231 7429 7066 18 244 19 255 11 254 12 242 8 217 7066 6813 14 239 17 255 10 253 9 242 6 197 6813 6659 11*235 14*255 9*253 7*241 5*179 6659 6570 5*227 9*254 6*252 4*237 3*172 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography