DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/05 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.2 - - 69.8 - - 74.4 - - 70.6 - - 59.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -23 - - 171 - - 209 - - -3 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 342 - - 2470 - - 5363 - - 343 - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit 6554 - - 7586 - - 9830 - - 6555 - - 6555 Hcrit BL Top 6571 - - 8699 - - 11592 - - 6572 - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 202 - - 2782 - - 5044 - - 6496 - - 278 Hgt.Variab. W* 21 - - 321 - - 442 - - 24 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 11 - - 13 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 179 - - 234 - - 261 - - 299 - - 191 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - 12 - - 10 - - 1 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4419 - - -5406 - - -4110 - - -8018 - - -5821 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10990 - - 14105 - - 15703 - - 14591 - - 12393 sfcLCL ODpotential -10372 - - -8812 - - -6739 - - -10849 - - -10953 ODpotential blCL 16943 - - 17511 - - 18331 - - 17421 - - 17524 blCL maxRH 68 - - 67 - - 81 - - 78 - - 76 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.2 - - 69.8 - - 74.4 - - 70.6 - - 59.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.6 - - 30.9 - - 28.3 - - 29.6 - - 29.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.8 - - 68.2 - - 72.4 - - 71.0 - - 65.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.1 - - 30.3 - - 27.7 - - 29.0 - - 28.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -23 - - 171 - - 209 - - -3 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 342 - - 2470 - - 5363 - - 343 - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 25 - - 13 - - 3 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97801 11 222 5 255 11 253 5 298 13 248 97801 90531 2 335 4 191 10 263 4 313 6 050 90531 84906 6 081 7 198 7 255 6 333 7 039 84906 80245 10 038 5 154 2 249 9 324 11 028 80245 76233 8 018 3 060 2 285 5 290 4 001 76233 72685 10 323 7 013 2 283 10 269 9 328 72685 69479 11 302 14 340 5 342 5 327 9 291 69479 66560 9 330 15 313 19 309 15 341 8 028 66560 63844 15 328 16 327 20 327 22 300 16 004 63844 61185 17 302 13 313 20 322 25 300 29 299 61185 58421 23 306 21 309 24 305 24 315 29 296 58421 55558 30 300 28 300 29 292 27 318 25 309 55558 52822 32 293 30 298 29 296 29 304 23 323 52822 50355 32 291 30 300 30 301 30 291 25 326 50355 48138 33 293 30 303 28 302 27 293 25 324 48138 46120 36 292 31 299 26 303 27 304 23 312 46120 44271 39 288 34 293 26 304 24 304 18 308 44271 42568 41 283 34 286 28 291 21 303 16 311 42568 40989 39 271 32 279 33 278 25 292 15 302 40989 39521 31 261 31 274 28 270 30 282 19 286 39521 38157 18 269 28 253 30 262 32 271 22 278 38157 36862 17 282 26 254 30 242 33 257 24 267 36862 35571 19 293 31 261 32 241 32 260 23 255 35571 34255 21 289 32 264 32 246 35 260 22 251 34255 32914 26 277 29 272 28 256 35 260 20 255 32914 31536 31 276 27 280 24 263 32 267 18 268 31536 30112 36 281 29 281 26 266 28 274 17 273 30112 28646 39 283 34 280 29 269 26 275 18 270 28646 27141 41 282 37 283 29 276 25 281 20 273 27141 25600 41 281 37 284 29 283 24 287 21 276 25600 24027 38 281 35 281 30 282 24 279 22 278 24027 22419 37 289 34 283 31 274 27 267 23 276 22419 20771 32 295 32 291 30 277 28 266 25 273 20771 19110 26 298 29 296 27 285 24 273 25 274 19110 17517 23 300 25 296 22 291 20 278 23 278 17517 16067 22 299 22 293 19 287 17 281 20 278 16067 14766 22 297 20 290 18 277 16 278 18 273 14766 13594 21 295 18 289 16 273 16 277 18 274 13594 12532 19 292 16 289 13*270 14 275 15 282 12532 11570 17 287 14 288 9*262 11 266 10 283 11570 10699 17 281 12 287 7 253 8 253 9 265 10699 9915 16 277 9 281 7 253 7 247 10 250 9915 9207 14 270 7*258 6 255 6 246 11 244 9207 8560 12 260 7*237 6 260 5 251 10 239 8560 7977 11 249 6 234 5 265 4 272 8 227 7977 7482 11 235 5 233 5 272 4 284 6 208 7482 7097 12 213 5 233 5 276 5 291 5 184 7097 6829 10 190 4 235 5 278 5 295 6 159 6829 6665 8*179 4 236 4 280 4*299 5 163 6665 6571 5*179 3 236 4 282 3*299 4*191 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography