DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/16 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.0 - - 54.4 - - - - - 42.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 309 - - 434 - - - - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5513 - - 7457 - - - - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10144 - - 11841 - - - - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11742 - - 13686 - - - - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5128 - - 3346 - - - - - 4352 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 513 - - 633 - - - - - 26 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 27 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 235 - - 244 - - - - - 240 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 16 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -16 - - -28 - - - - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1489 - - 1260 - - - - - -4141 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13231 - - 12427 - - - - - 10711 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3360 - - 37 - - - - - -6805 ODpotential blCL - - - 15102 - - 13649 - - - - - 13375 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 96 - - - - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 50 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.0 - - 54.4 - - - - - 42.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.6 - - 22.5 - - - - - 18.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.7 - - 52.0 - - - - - 43.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.4 - - 21.6 - - - - - 18.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 309 - - 434 - - - - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5513 - - 7457 - - - - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 41 - - 85 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98107 5 050 3 193 6 360 98107 90711 6 167 9 258 5 067 90711 84987 6 215 9 306 8 036 84987 80206 3 220 11 297 12 324 80206 76093 5 266 5 270 10 303 76093 72467 6 252 6 244 7 303 72467 69181 6 248 10 234 9 287 69181 66135 10 239 8 269 13 266 66135 63274 21 282 14 259 21 258 63274 60481 28 267 20 266 23 242 60481 57570 29 253 29 265 21 255 57570 54552 33 245 34 262 31 274 54552 51687 34 248 35 255 37 270 51687 49122 36 254 38 253 36 260 49122 46832 39 256 42 254 39 260 46832 44767 43 255 44 256 41 255 44767 42888 46 254 48 255 39 250 42888 41158 50 255 51 253 43 255 41158 39556 62 257 58 250 52 250 39556 38075 80 252 67 246 58 244 38075 36711 87 248 79 241 59 239 36711 35430 88 249 83 239 59 235 35430 34166 81 248 81 240 60 233 34166 32883 77 245 78 240 60 234 32883 31582 75 244 72 240 58 236 31582 30248 71 245 67 241 57 238 30248 28874 65 244 64 240 55 240 28874 27462 60 243 61 238 54 243 27462 26016 56 243 57 238 52 247 26016 24541 50 245 53 240 51 251 24541 23041 46 250 49 245 49 252 23041 21511 44 254 46 249 46 249 21511 19945 45 254 42 252 44 247 19945 18369 45 246 38 251 42 249 18369 16863 44 241 33 243 41 255 16863 15495 37 241 32 241 28 264 15495 14277 31 240 31*241 20 278 14277 13181 29 238 31*241 22 284 13181 12188 26*234 30 241 25 282 12188 11287 21*231 29 243 27 277 11287 10470 19 232 29 243 28 272 10470 9733 18 233 28 244 29 265 9733 9066 18 234 28 245 30 258 9066 8456 18 235 27 246 31 253 8456 7904 17 236 26 246 30 249 7904 7436 16 237 25 247 27 247 7436 7070 16 238 24 248 24 245 7070 6816 15 238 23 248 19 244 6816 6660 14 239 21 248 15*243 6660 6570 11 239 15 248 8*240 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography