DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/09 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 69.9 - - 79.3 - - 83.4 - - 82.0 - - 72.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 17 - - 300 - - 360 - - 103 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 343 - - 4623 - - 7041 - - 7436 - - 343 BL Depth Hcrit 6555 - - 9427 - - 11421 - - 10946 - - 6555 Hcrit BL Top 6572 - - 10852 - - 13270 - - 13665 - - 6572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1194 - - 2769 - - 5903 - - 5245 - - 732 Hgt.Variab. W* 78 - - 476 - - 583 - - 393 - - 13 W* B/S 6 - - 12 - - 7 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 7 - - 15 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 209 - - 292 - - 276 - - 263 - - 176 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 10 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 5 - - -10 - - -20 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7791 - - -6245 - - -5521 - - -4399 - - -8835 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14363 - - 17098 - - 18792 - - 18065 - - 15408 sfcLCL ODpotential -11952 - - -10120 - - -7801 - - -7397 - - -12821 ODpotential blCL 18524 - - 20972 - - 21071 - - 21062 - - 19393 blCL maxRH 87 - - 73 - - 60 - - 65 - - 49 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 69.9 - - 79.3 - - 83.4 - - 82.0 - - 72.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.2 - - 26.9 - - 23.1 - - 25.1 - - 27.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 69.6 - - 77.0 - - 80.8 - - 80.8 - - 77.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.6 - - 26.2 - - 22.3 - - 24.4 - - 27.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 17 - - 300 - - 360 - - 103 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 343 - - 4623 - - 7041 - - 7436 - - 343 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 48 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99582 22 105 22 113 19 107 21 101 15 097 99582 92085 19 109 18 106 14 099 16 084 20 106 92085 86269 19 111 15 099 14 101 11 096 16 086 86269 81427 17 107 13 100 14 091 11 118 14 077 81427 77250 13 095 8 089 11 091 9 108 8 076 77250 73576 10 077 9 124 5 081 8 091 7 057 73576 70257 6 103 8 107 3 139 4 083 9 081 70257 67199 6 090 3 127 3 189 3 084 7 064 67199 64361 4 351 6 087 6 233 4 321 7 032 64361 61612 4 314 2 017 3 233 13 270 6 270 61612 58766 8 312 7 260 6 245 10 232 11 266 58766 55858 22 281 16 300 13 307 8 316 11 289 55858 53115 30 272 32 282 31 288 31 295 31 296 53115 50653 35 279 36 278 37 286 37 280 38 282 50653 48441 42 290 42 282 42 285 41 281 42 282 48441 46434 53 294 48 284 50 283 48 283 47 288 46434 44606 60 293 53 283 55 280 55 283 50 288 44606 42927 61 291 55 283 57 278 58 281 49 292 42927 41367 59 290 53 285 56 277 58 278 50 295 41367 39906 54 291 49 286 52 275 58 274 49 295 39906 38534 50 291 46 288 48 275 57 271 47 296 38534 37221 46 290 45 289 46 275 56 268 47 297 37221 35904 43 289 42 289 43 274 53 266 47 294 35904 34557 41 288 38 287 41 271 51 265 46 287 34557 33188 39 286 36 283 40 269 49 268 44 283 33188 31784 38 285 35 281 40 271 46 271 43 281 31784 30337 35 285 32 281 38 274 41 271 42 279 30337 28849 31 286 30 278 37 275 38 267 39 279 28849 27323 29 284 29 273 36 273 35 265 36 279 27323 25764 29 282 29 271 33 270 31 267 35 277 25764 24177 30 284 30 271 31 269 27 270 33 276 24177 22557 33 289 30 273 30 271 27 273 31 275 22557 20898 40 287 32 277 31 272 28 276 28 273 20898 19230 41 280 38 276 32 272 27 280 23 269 19230 17631 40 277 40 272 32 271 24 280 20 266 17631 16173 39 283 39 269 31 271 20 275 19 263 16173 14864 34 289 36 274 28 274 17 269 19 260 14864 13684 27 291 33 284 24*276 15*264 19 258 13684 12614 21 287 27 289 20*276 13*260 19 255 12614 11644 17 287 18*289 17 275 12 258 19 251 11644 10764 14 294 12*287 15 274 12 259 19 247 10764 9970 11 306 8 286 14 274 11 260 19 242 9970 9253 8 323 7 288 14 275 11 263 19 238 9253 8596 5 345 7 290 14 276 10 265 19 235 8596 8004 2 014 6 294 14 277 10 268 18 232 8004 7500 1 098 6 298 13 279 9 270 16 228 7500 7108 1 198 6 302 13 280 9 272 13 222 7108 6835 3 206 6 304 12 280 9 272 10 209 6835 6668 3*198 6 306 12 280 8 273 7*188 6668 6572 2*209 5 307 10 281 7 274 5*176 6572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography