DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/10 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 72.1 - - 78.3 - - 81.8 - - 81.2 - - 71.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 70 - - 325 - - 348 - - 140 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 343 - - 8596 - - 12684 - - 10659 - - 343 BL Depth Hcrit 6555 - - 12631 - - 16002 - - 13712 - - 6556 Hcrit BL Top 6572 - - 14825 - - 18913 - - 16888 - - 6572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3841 - - 3948 - - 2499 - - 5487 - - 4261 Hgt.Variab. W* 126 - - 606 - - 706 - - 496 - - 21 W* B/S 3 - - 9 - - 12 - - 10 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 12 - - 11 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 192 - - 237 - - 246 - - 244 - - 110 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 14 - - 12 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - 14 - - 27 - - 20 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7285 - - -779 - - 2675 - - 209 - - -6129 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13858 - - 15605 - - 16239 - - 16679 - - 12702 sfcLCL ODpotential -10156 - - -2708 - - 236 - - -2036 - - -9553 ODpotential blCL 16728 - - 17533 - - 18677 - - 18924 - - 16125 blCL maxRH 38 - - 75 - - 51 - - 41 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 50 - - 240 - - 170 - - 390 CAPE Temp@2m 72.1 - - 78.3 - - 81.8 - - 81.2 - - 71.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.2 - - 32.3 - - 32.9 - - 30.5 - - 39.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 71.1 - - 75.8 - - 79.2 - - 79.8 - - 75.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.1 - - 31.1 - - 31.7 - - 29.3 - - 38.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 70 - - 325 - - 348 - - 140 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 343 - - 8596 - - 12684 - - 10659 - - 343 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99612 26 117 28 118 24 102 27 092 28 098 99612 92041 26 113 21 107 21 100 23 097 19 097 92041 86215 22 098 18 107 23 109 19 095 17 107 86215 81390 24 104 15 110 12 118 16 111 19 088 81390 77229 21 092 15 122 12 123 13 119 14 092 77229 73560 18 097 20 106 14 145 11 116 11 111 73560 70253 8 090 17 117 16 143 8 173 4 121 70253 67218 4 152 5 109 12 141 6 163 8 179 67218 64414 9 205 7 277 7 161 8 177 11 195 64414 61720 14 203 15 257 6 255 6 187 10 210 61720 58916 11 243 21 243 18 259 16 253 8 227 58916 56005 19 257 28 244 34 255 31 261 21 268 56005 53237 24 266 30 245 46 246 41 257 38 264 53237 50756 33 272 32 252 44 251 47 260 50 263 50756 48538 43 277 40 266 51 263 54 266 52 266 48538 46527 54 277 50 269 55 268 58 269 56 272 46527 44682 57 274 53 272 57 271 61 271 58 275 44682 42975 46 273 47 270 53 271 60 274 57 276 42975 41381 34 271 36 268 45 271 54 275 53 276 41381 39886 22 272 25 260 35 267 46 278 50 276 39886 38485 14 258 12 236 30 254 42 283 48 278 38485 37148 5 184 10 206 23 234 32 279 47 283 37148 35814 7 118 10 152 14 202 31 269 45 289 35814 34457 8 124 10 147 18 185 26 264 39 294 34457 33083 8 151 12 156 18 183 22 242 36 295 33083 31678 8 164 12 168 17 181 20 228 37 293 31678 30233 8 152 10 171 17 176 19 216 37 290 30233 28748 10 151 11 158 16 173 20 219 36 287 28748 27228 12 163 11 157 16 184 23 220 34 285 27228 25676 11 171 13 179 19 211 22 218 31 283 25676 24099 8 233 12 178 19 215 15 227 28 278 24099 22493 11 249 8 205 17 232 19 252 26 264 22493 20851 11 260 14 264 18 251 26 245 26 243 20851 19192 16 269 22 266 18*254 25 240 24 239 19192 17598 19 267 22 257 17*252 21*238 21 239 17598 16142 19 264 22*253 15 248 17*238 18 241 16142 14837 18 264 19*247 14 246 15 238 16 243 14837 13660 18 262 17 241 13 245 11 238 13 245 13660 12593 18 260 14 237 11 243 9 240 11 244 12593 11626 18 263 11 236 10 243 8 243 7 241 11626 10750 17 268 10 236 9 243 7 247 4 230 10750 9959 14 267 10 234 9 243 6 251 2 193 9959 9244 13 259 10 234 8 244 6 255 2 130 9244 8590 12 247 9 233 8 244 5 260 4 111 8590 7999 12 227 9 232 7 243 5 264 5 107 7999 7498 13 209 9 232 7 243 5 266 6 106 7498 7107 12 200 8 231 7 244 5 267 7 108 7107 6835 11 196 8 231 6 243 4 268 8 108 6835 6668 10*195 7 231 6 245 4 270 7*107 6668 6572 7*192 6 231 5 244 4 270 4*110 6572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography