DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/22 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.0 - - 60.5 - - - - - 48.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 101 - - 119 - - - - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1991 - - 342 - - - - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7010 - - 6555 - - - - - 6554 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8220 - - 6571 - - - - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3319 - - 6856 - - - - - 490 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 256 - - 148 - - - - - 25 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 5 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 176 - - 172 - - - - - 167 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -14 - - -6 - - - - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -721 - - -2535 - - - - - -376 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8942 - - 9106 - - - - - 6947 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3268 - - -3989 - - - - - -5172 ODpotential blCL - - - 11488 - - 10560 - - - - - 11743 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 88 - - - - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 270 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.0 - - 60.5 - - - - - 48.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.3 - - 43.1 - - - - - 40.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.7 - - 59.1 - - - - - 50.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.4 - - 42.4 - - - - - 40.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 101 - - 119 - - - - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1991 - - 342 - - - - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 51 - - - - - 80 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97355 9 127 7 262 8 306 97355 90159 10 126 4 172 2 122 90159 84601 4 133 6 150 7 096 84601 79987 6 137 7 147 4 091 79987 76007 8 193 4 161 4 098 76007 72488 7 184 8 199 4 240 72488 69294 8 244 8 213 5 230 69294 66339 13 277 6 243 6 276 66339 63592 19 241 11 271 12 237 63592 60925 11 237 21 235 14 239 60925 58125 26 241 17 239 8 250 58125 55214 35 235 27 242 28 267 55214 52459 44 224 43 226 34 231 52459 49990 30 227 35 230 36 210 49990 47758 46 237 52 236 38 223 47758 45718 69 235 63 235 50 226 45718 43844 76 233 65 232 64 220 43844 42121 81 230 73 230 79 219 42121 40530 85 227 79 228 90 216 40530 39054 88 225 81 226 92 212 39054 37682 87 224 83 224 91 210 37682 36380 81 222 84 221 89 208 36380 35084 73 221 85 218 89 204 35084 33764 66 219 86 216 84 200 33764 32419 62 221 79 215 77 199 32419 31037 58 224 73 214 78 199 31037 29614 55 226 72 217 79 203 29614 28155 49 227 71 222 75 207 28155 26663 41 226 64 224 62 208 26663 25140 37 227 54 225 52 204 25140 23592 34 230 42 224 44 201 23592 22012 34 232 35 226 39 199 22012 20392 35 232 34 231 37 201 20392 18763 34 229 33 233 35 204 18763 17205 33 225 28 226 30 207 17205 15790 31 220 27 217 24 212 15790 14526 26 217 25 210 21 214 14526 13388 19 217 22 207 20 211 13388 12360 15 220 17 207 20 206 12360 11427 13 222 14 204 21 201 11427 10581 12 220 11 197 23 198 10581 9820 11 215 10 190 25 196 9820 9132 11 205 9 186 28 192 9132 8504 11*195 8 183 30 184 8504 7938 10*179 8 183 29 174 7938 7457 10 177 7 181 29 164 7457 7082 9 176 7 177 25 159 7082 6822 8 175 6 176 20 158 6822 6662 8 174 6 174 15*159 6662 6571 6 174 5*172 7*167 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography