DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/25 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 41.8 - - 42.4 - - 37.7 - - 33.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 4 - - 17 - - -20 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 340 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6569 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5279 - - 5278 - - 4239 - - 1054 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 73 - - 90 - - 33 - - 23 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 9 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 229 - - 229 - - 181 - - 195 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -12 - - -9 - - -9 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -508 - - -537 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7079 - - 7107 - - 6570 - - 6569 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2174 - - -2055 - - -1800 - - -1016 ODpotential blCL - - - 8744 - - 8625 - - 8370 - - 7585 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 86 - - 89 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 100 - - 260 - - 240 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 41.8 - - 42.4 - - 37.7 - - 33.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.5 - - 33.9 - - 34.6 - - 33.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 41.5 - - 42.0 - - 38.8 - - 33.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.3 - - 32.7 - - 33.9 - - 33.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 4 - - 17 - - -20 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 340 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 27 - - 43 - - 58 - - 82 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95677 39 315 40 319 38 325 43 336 95677 88695 36 309 35 320 33 327 32 317 88695 83278 27 315 32 317 34 328 26 321 83278 78763 20 318 27 300 39 307 29 323 78763 74866 28 326 27 291 33 301 34 314 74866 71407 27 301 25 300 20 315 31 300 71407 68258 15 293 24 275 24 298 31 269 68258 65349 26 301 35 281 24 268 18 256 65349 62611 39 252 42 271 24 287 17 313 62611 59878 44 236 29 241 37 260 42 272 59878 56988 42 233 35 223 46 248 72 240 56988 54033 43 236 48 244 56 243 56 230 54033 51243 59 245 59 246 55 240 37 239 51243 48720 73 238 68 240 48 246 52 264 48720 46451 75 233 72 235 49 257 74 265 46451 44405 76 233 73 236 69 257 87 256 44405 42542 80 235 79 240 90 250 89 255 42542 40829 85 236 88 243 99 246 97 252 40829 39248 89 235 92 242 97 245 104 249 39248 37797 90 235 92 241 93 245 98 248 37797 36462 90 236 90 239 87 246 92 257 36462 35200 87 237 86 239 83 247 100 261 35200 33944 85 236 79 240 78 248 99 260 33944 32666 84 235 73 241 71 247 94 259 32666 31369 83 234 69 241 61 247 88 259 31369 30044 82 234 66 242 55 250 78 258 30044 28682 79 235 63 243 56 249 68 255 28682 27287 74 236 61 243 58 246 61 255 27287 25862 69 236 60 242 55 244 55 254 25862 24409 65 236 58 241 48 241 49 252 24409 22932 62 235 55 241 41 238 43 252 22932 21422 61 234 53 241 35 236 38 251 21422 19872 61 233 51 242 33 235 34 245 19872 18308 60 234 49 242 34 234 33 239 18308 16809 58 236 46 244 32 236 33 238 16809 15447 55 239 41 246 33 235 34 241 15447 14228 50 241 38 247 33 235 33 243 14228 13132 45 241 36 246 31 240 34 243 13132 12142 40 241 34 244 31 245 35 241 12142 11245 36 243 32 241 30 243 35 239 11245 10432 33 244 29 237 29 239 36 237 10432 9699 33 243 27 235 28 233 34 236 9699 9036 32 242 25 234 28 229 32 234 9036 8430 31 241 23 233 27 226 28 230 8430 7884 29 238 21 232 25 221 25 224 7884 7421 26 235 19 231 22 215 21 216 7421 7061 22 233 17 231 18 209 17 210 7061 6811 19 231 15 230 14 198 13 205 6811 6658 16*230 13*229 11*189 10 202 6658 6569 10*229 9*229 6*181 5*195 6569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography