DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/30 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.6 - - 63.7 - - 61.8 - - 52.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 189 - - 238 - - 20 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1950 - - 3707 - - 343 - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7258 - - 8633 - - 6555 - - 6554 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8179 - - 9936 - - 6572 - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1749 - - 1956 - - 5395 - - 568 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 308 - - 410 - - 82 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 15 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 357 - - 323 - - 320 - - 206 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - -6 - - 5 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2299 - - -1552 - - -4689 - - -3258 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10479 - - 11489 - - 11262 - - 9830 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7407 - - -5204 - - -8740 - - -9697 ODpotential blCL - - - 15586 - - 15140 - - 15312 - - 16268 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 58 - - 53 - - 56 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.6 - - 63.7 - - 61.8 - - 52.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.5 - - 36.0 - - 35.2 - - 32.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.9 - - 61.6 - - 61.4 - - 57.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.7 - - 35.5 - - 34.8 - - 32.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 189 - - 238 - - 20 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1950 - - 3707 - - 343 - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97862 15 262 12 304 7 290 13 303 97862 90645 5 242 5 292 7 296 9 309 90645 85041 4 341 5 275 10 296 6 031 85041 80371 2 287 6 233 11 320 6 350 80371 76343 1 162 10 216 12 261 3 077 76343 72770 8 303 13 259 17 263 13 299 72770 69546 24 277 19 274 23 278 14 292 69546 66593 32 267 32 274 32 286 22 300 66593 63850 29 261 35 274 33 280 26 292 63850 61178 26 262 31 268 31 266 30 279 61178 58381 28 267 30 265 33 259 36 274 58381 55480 33 273 37 267 36 264 37 271 55480 52725 38 271 38 264 36 270 34 272 52725 50257 33 271 34 269 36 270 34 273 50257 48047 34 277 35 277 36 269 36 274 48047 46040 33 273 38 280 38 274 38 283 46040 44208 30 270 38 275 40 281 37 290 44208 42527 27 270 33 268 38 282 31 297 42527 40968 23 269 28 266 33 276 29 305 40968 39510 18 271 23 266 29 270 30 308 39510 38143 14 281 19 267 26 271 31 309 38143 36834 13 297 19 277 25 277 31 308 36834 35522 15 309 20 287 25 281 32 307 35522 34180 18 312 22 297 25 284 33 307 34180 32815 20 312 24 303 24 288 34 308 32815 31415 23 313 26 306 25 290 35 309 31415 29972 25 313 26 307 25 293 35 309 29972 28490 26 311 27 306 28 298 34 306 28490 26973 26 308 27 305 29 303 32 304 26973 25424 25 305 25 305 29 303 29 302 25424 23847 25 306 24 304 28 301 26 304 23847 22237 26 310 25 305 27 300 23 309 22237 20586 28 311 28 305 27 305 22 317 20586 18926 29 309 30 306 27 312 22 326 18926 17340 25 306 29 307 27 318 22 334 17340 15901 21 303 27 307 26 321 23 336 15901 14616 17 301 23 306 24 324 21 333 14616 13464 15 304 19 304 20 328 16 337 13464 12424 13 310 15 302 15 332 13 352 12424 11482 11 321 12 302 12 331 12 001 11482 10629 9 340 8*307 9 321 11 360 10629 9859 9 359 5*313 7 312 10 352 9859 9164 10 012 5 315 7 311 8 345 9164 8528 9*019 5 320 6 312 5 336 8528 7954 6*013 5 324 6 314 4 319 7954 7468 5 355 5 328 6 317 4 292 7468 7089 5 352 5 331 6 318 3 262 7089 6825 4 350 5 331 6 319 2 227 6825 6664 4 349 5 333 6*319 3*195 6664 6571 4 350 4 334 4*320 3*206 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography