DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/12 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1334z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.9 - - 72.1 - - 70.9 - - 60.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 333 - - 325 - - 51 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6005 - - 7839 - - 343 - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10552 - - 12006 - - 6555 - - 6555 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12234 - - 14068 - - 6572 - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3017 - - 2291 - - 9242 - - 487 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 536 - - 582 - - 112 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 20 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 255 - - 249 - - 262 - - 148 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -11 - - -3 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2288 - - -1571 - - -9055 - - -6805 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14522 - - 15640 - - 15628 - - 13377 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4672 - - -4615 - - -12168 - - -12626 ODpotential blCL - - - 16906 - - 18683 - - 18740 - - 19197 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 76 - - 84 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.9 - - 72.1 - - 70.9 - - 60.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.8 - - 26.0 - - 25.0 - - 25.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.5 - - 69.8 - - 70.1 - - 65.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.4 - - 25.5 - - 24.6 - - 25.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 333 - - 325 - - 51 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6005 - - 7839 - - 343 - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 4 - - 4 - - 38 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98668 17 242 27 267 25 279 21 306 98668 91246 22 266 17 264 16 249 22 268 91246 85481 18 276 17 263 17 279 17 275 85481 80709 12 278 11 248 15 281 14 285 80709 76627 12 290 3 282 5 279 9 287 76627 73029 11 287 10 300 7 307 4 321 73029 69759 5 263 12 273 14 286 11 329 69759 66747 8 304 8 312 12 272 16 319 66747 63961 10 299 8 319 8 270 11 287 63961 61259 16 296 18 307 14 320 9 275 61259 58423 24 281 28 287 26 312 21 313 58423 55493 30 272 36 272 43 288 42 298 55493 52741 39 281 44 279 55 281 53 290 52741 50295 53 289 57 283 66 283 63 283 50295 48120 81 283 80 277 78 274 73 271 48120 46159 87 282 82 279 81 277 75 274 46159 44360 95 290 92 288 88 282 83 278 44360 42685 109 293 103 289 95 282 92 277 42685 41114 110 290 103 285 96 279 94 275 41114 39637 107 288 101 282 96 279 90 273 39637 38252 103 288 98 282 93 279 86 271 38252 36930 98 289 94 282 90 278 83 270 36930 35607 94 286 92 281 87 277 81 270 35607 34258 90 285 92 280 86 274 79 268 34258 32887 83 285 92 280 82 272 76 266 32887 31481 74 284 88 282 77 274 75 267 31481 30030 68 283 79 282 74 275 73 269 30030 28542 65 281 68 281 73 276 70 269 28542 27025 62 279 62 278 70 276 68 267 27025 25479 60 274 58 275 64 277 62 267 25479 23906 57 271 56 273 57 276 54 267 23906 22300 54 269 53 271 50 272 49 267 22300 20656 48 268 50 270 46 269 46 267 20656 19002 43 268 45 268 42 267 42 267 19002 17421 38 270 39 264 38 264 37 266 17421 15985 34 271 33 260 35 255 35 257 15985 14699 31 269 26*251 30 245 33 246 14699 13540 26 263 23*247 26 242 28 239 13540 12490 22*257 22 246 24 243 25 236 12490 11538 19*254 22 246 23 244 21 237 11538 10676 17 253 21 247 21 248 19 240 10676 9898 16 253 20 248 19 252 16 243 9898 9196 14 254 19 250 18 254 13 243 9196 8552 14 255 19 251 17 257 10 240 8552 7972 13 257 18 252 16 258 7 231 7972 7480 12 259 17 253 16 259 4 216 7480 7096 12 261 16 254 15 260 3 181 7096 6829 11 262 15 255 14 260 4 143 6829 6665 10 263 14 255 13*261 5*140 6665 6571 8 264 11 256 9*262 4*148 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography