DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/13 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.2 - - 67.1 - - 57.1 - - 54.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 245 - - 279 - - 44 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2237 - - 3732 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7564 - - 8718 - - 6554 - - 6554 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8466 - - 9961 - - 6571 - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5556 - - 3384 - - 3324 - - 1999 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 356 - - 435 - - 110 - - 46 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - 9 - - 4 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 14 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 200 - - 190 - - 009 - - 295 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -30 - - -20 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -233 - - 330 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8700 - - 9631 - - 6571 - - 6571 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2620 - - -1353 - - -750 - - -513 ODpotential blCL - - - 11086 - - 11314 - - 7321 - - 7084 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 99 - - 100 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 980 - - 210 - - 310 - - 90 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.2 - - 67.1 - - 57.1 - - 54.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.2 - - 47.1 - - 53.6 - - 52.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.1 - - 64.8 - - 56.2 - - 54.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.4 - - 46.7 - - 53.0 - - 52.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 245 - - 279 - - 44 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2237 - - 3732 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 74 - - 95 - - 100 - - 96 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99497 19 103 21 110 17 110 16 103 99497 91965 12 110 18 101 16 100 16 097 91965 86149 12 097 10 113 15 089 15 094 86149 81330 13 104 9 111 7 109 13 071 81330 77177 10 078 12 113 9 135 8 070 77177 73505 7 076 6 120 5 128 7 082 73505 70178 3 118 7 100 5 174 4 060 70178 67119 6 118 5 132 4 147 3 115 67119 64288 7 095 6 157 3 253 2 204 64288 61551 4 052 5 158 3 249 2 159 61551 58710 6 244 8 223 13 247 14 252 58710 55788 13 247 17 246 17 240 19 233 55788 53016 29 257 30 260 24 253 27 234 53016 50526 39 242 43 248 32 252 24 236 50526 48292 47 237 45 243 44 245 38 243 48292 46258 48 233 49 238 50 236 46 240 46258 44400 47 228 50 230 47 228 50 230 44400 42702 52 232 52 235 47 227 48 229 42702 41127 63 236 70 231 51 228 53 239 41127 39647 69 232 81 226 57 230 58 241 39647 38258 68 234 77 227 57 230 62 238 38258 36938 69 234 63 226 53 230 69 227 36938 35625 62 231 49 220 50 226 66 225 35625 34285 58 228 46 214 46 218 49 231 34285 32920 53 230 41 207 36 203 40 229 32920 31517 42 227 39 204 31 198 38 228 31517 30068 40 223 36 211 25 198 36 232 30068 28578 38 221 32 217 22 203 35 235 28578 27050 36 219 29 224 27 212 34 237 27050 25488 32 220 27 224 27 219 31 244 25488 23897 22 220 24 225 30 225 30 248 23897 22274 16 219 21 227 31 227 28 244 22274 20616 11 203 19 223 29 239 26 238 20616 18950 7 179 17 213 29 249 25 243 18950 17357 3 171 15 204 25 252 21 257 17357 15911 2 096 14 195 19 252 18 264 15911 14619 3 078 12 194 15 250 15 261 14619 13459 4 101 10 187 14 249 13 259 13459 12411 4 139 9 185 14 247 10 252 12411 11465 6 168 10 185 14 245 7 249 11465 10610 9 182 11*188 12 241 5 252 10610 9841 12 189 12*190 10 237 4 283 9841 9148 15 195 13 191 7 236 4 303 9148 8515 17*198 14 191 3 239 4 303 8515 7946 18*199 15 191 2 248 4 287 7946 7463 18 200 15 190 1 341 4 284 7463 7087 18 200 15 190 2 011 3 289 7087 6824 17 200 14 189 2 009 3 295 6824 6664 16 200 13 188 2*012 3*296 6664 6571 12 200 11 187 2*009 2*295 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography