DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/15 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.5 - - 50.8 - - - - - 40.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 95 - - 94 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 341 - - 2819 - - - - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6554 - - 7582 - - - - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6570 - - 9048 - - - - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3513 - - 2460 - - - - - 613 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 140 - - 285 - - - - - 18 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 8 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 024 - - 018 - - - - - 319 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 11 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2544 - - -887 - - - - - -157 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9114 - - 9935 - - - - - 6727 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5462 - - -4486 - - - - - -7511 ODpotential blCL - - - 12032 - - 13534 - - - - - 14081 blCL maxRH - - - 54 - - 51 - - - - - 63 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.5 - - 50.8 - - - - - 40.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.9 - - 30.6 - - - - - 33.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.3 - - 49.6 - - - - - 44.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.7 - - 29.4 - - - - - 34.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 95 - - 94 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 341 - - 2819 - - - - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97507 8 020 2 062 8 342 97507 90319 8 080 3 151 11 062 90319 84764 8 136 3 121 11 063 84764 80130 7 165 1 072 6 073 80130 76126 4 116 1 136 5 013 76126 72586 6 039 2 154 6 321 72586 69387 10 306 8 262 7 307 69387 66453 8 288 11 285 9 310 66453 63735 14 295 17 283 19 336 63735 61105 13 295 19 279 24 303 61105 58342 17 302 17 278 17 287 58342 55458 18 310 18 324 32 329 55458 52717 30 315 38 322 36 320 52717 50254 36 308 39 316 29 318 50254 48035 34 294 31 302 27 329 48035 46018 16 303 17 282 41 000 46018 44188 21 011 23 017 59 008 44188 42523 62 005 68 003 66 012 42523 40989 72 001 73 357 65 014 40989 39555 72 013 66 012 62 015 39555 38208 81 021 72 019 60 015 38208 36916 80 019 72 015 57 014 36916 35619 77 016 72 014 53 018 35619 34290 74 013 72 014 50 020 34290 32934 73 014 71 013 47 019 32934 31540 72 016 68 014 48 017 31540 30099 67 016 64 016 47 015 30099 28615 62 016 60 016 44 014 28615 27093 58 019 55 017 40 013 27093 25536 54 023 50 021 36 010 25536 23948 49 023 46 022 31 008 23948 22324 44 021 42 020 27 006 22324 20656 39 019 37 018 27 007 20656 18974 33 019 31 017 26 012 18974 17363 27 017 23 014 23 017 17363 15900 22 012 18 007 20 018 15900 14595 19 011 15 001 16 008 14595 13425 17 011 13 002 15 359 13425 12372 15 010 11 009 14 001 12372 11422 13 014 9 026 13 012 11422 10567 11 024 7 040 10 025 10567 9802 9 042 7 042 8 043 9802 9114 8 060 7*037 7 054 9114 8487 8 068 8*027 7 059 8487 7924 6 065 8 021 7 062 7924 7446 4 041 8 018 7 063 7446 7075 4 031 8 015 7 059 7075 6818 4 027 8 014 5 046 6818 6660 4 026 7 014 3*006 6660 6570 4*024 6 013 2*319 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography