DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/25 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 33.5 - - 34.6 - - 36.2 - - 34.1 - - 25.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -16 - - -10 - - -13 - - -15 - - -53 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 340 - - 341 - - 341 - - 340 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6570 - - 6569 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6569 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1596 - - 4087 - - 5092 - - 2850 - - 122 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 39 - - 42 - - 29 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 8 - - 8 - - 4 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 266 - - 273 - - 264 - - 268 - - 224 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -2 - - -3 - - -2 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 0 - - 1 - - -21 - - -520 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6570 - - 6569 - - 6570 - - 6592 - - 7089 sfcLCL ODpotential -868 - - -2067 - - -1870 - - -2968 - - -4581 ODpotential blCL 7438 - - 8636 - - 8440 - - 9538 - - 11150 blCL maxRH 101 - - 100 - - 98 - - 92 - - 66 maxRH CAPE 100 - - 0 - - 90 - - 60 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 33.5 - - 34.6 - - 36.2 - - 34.1 - - 25.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.1 - - 29.3 - - 30.5 - - 28.1 - - 18.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 34.8 - - 35.5 - - 36.7 - - 36.7 - - 30.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.3 - - 28.6 - - 29.7 - - 27.3 - - 20.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -16 - - -10 - - -13 - - -15 - - -53 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 340 - - 341 - - 341 - - 340 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 100 - - 92 - - 69 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96697 14 080 16 096 16 086 20 088 17 082 96697 89531 13 060 15 104 14 070 15 077 23 070 89531 83923 12 051 20 072 4 104 9 041 12 072 83923 79224 13 016 4 106 8 099 7 039 11 047 79224 75141 9 356 3 078 8 352 2 086 6 007 75141 71551 15 315 14 344 11 302 13 318 11 291 71551 68341 15 305 21 303 17 296 19 302 19 281 68341 65390 20 335 22 271 20 298 15 302 25 310 65390 62637 28 305 18 280 21 250 25 275 29 314 62637 59973 31 288 24 294 16 283 19 267 28 289 59973 57188 57 303 39 299 45 315 30 318 35 281 57188 54266 70 291 58 297 64 308 56 315 52 301 54266 51468 82 292 77 294 78 300 74 303 64 300 51468 48955 91 295 87 295 86 295 86 296 74 298 48955 46708 107 297 98 298 96 296 95 293 86 298 46708 44676 125 295 116 298 114 295 110 292 99 298 44676 42827 132 290 130 293 125 293 120 291 108 294 42827 41135 130 288 129 291 124 293 116 292 112 295 41135 39573 134 291 130 294 126 295 118 296 120 297 39573 38118 160 296 141 296 139 297 129 297 126 297 38118 36762 176 297 146 295 149 296 140 296 126 296 36762 35472 160 296 140 294 149 295 144 296 123 297 35472 34187 139 294 134 294 140 296 139 297 123 301 34187 32879 135 291 133 295 132 296 129 297 122 301 32879 31554 130 287 131 295 128 296 121 297 117 298 31554 30202 126 287 128 295 124 295 116 296 111 296 30202 28813 122 288 124 294 121 293 114 296 105 295 28813 27390 119 289 121 294 118 293 112 296 100 296 27390 25935 116 290 118 295 115 294 108 296 95 298 25935 24451 111 292 114 296 109 296 104 296 88 299 24451 22943 102 293 108 297 100 297 97 297 75 299 22943 21407 93 293 98 296 88 298 88 297 57 300 21407 19838 86 291 85 293 79 296 77 296 43 306 19838 18262 80 288 77 289 73 294 68 294 35 309 18262 16757 72 285 70 288 66 291 60 294 27 309 16757 15393 65 286 66 291 62 292 51 292 22 306 15393 14179 58 288 66 297 59 296 42 286 20 302 14179 13090 51 291 65 302 53 299 36 275 18 298 13090 12107 46 297 60 306 44 300 34 272 18 292 12107 11217 44 300 52 307 37 297 33 274 19 285 11217 10411 41 300 43 306 32 291 32 275 20 280 10411 9684 38 298 37 303 29 285 31 276 22 280 9684 9025 36 295 33 298 27 280 30 278 24 280 9025 8423 34 285 30 294 26 278 28 279 26 278 8423 7881 33 275 27 290 25 275 26 279 28 273 7881 7419 32 271 24 285 23 272 22 279 26 266 7419 7060 29 268 20 279 20 269 18 277 23 258 7060 6810 24 267 17 276 17 266 13 274 18 249 6810 6657 20*267 14 275 14*265 10*273 13*240 6657 6569 10*266 8*273 8*264 4*268 6*224 6569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography