DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/11 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.0 - - 45.8 - - 43.6 - - 38.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 254 - - 212 - - 59 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2358 - - 2116 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7660 - - 7433 - - 6554 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8587 - - 8345 - - 6570 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4140 - - 2083 - - 3249 - - 2699 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 365 - - 334 - - 121 - - 28 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 16 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 228 - - 253 - - 262 - - 217 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -20 - - -19 - - -1 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1312 - - 1775 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7276 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -644 - - -46 - - -1712 - - -857 ODpotential blCL - - - 9231 - - 8391 - - 8282 - - 7427 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 90 - - 83 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 600 - - 540 - - 190 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.0 - - 45.8 - - 43.6 - - 38.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.6 - - 39.6 - - 37.3 - - 35.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.0 - - 44.2 - - 42.7 - - 38.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.4 - - 38.4 - - 36.1 - - 35.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 254 - - 212 - - 59 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2358 - - 2116 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 68 - - 59 - - 32 - - 91 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96677 37 272 34 263 43 288 40 275 96677 89351 35 266 40 277 42 278 39 296 89351 83766 34 267 41 278 32 272 40 288 83766 79165 35 274 38 276 34 274 36 270 79165 75218 36 272 34 277 33 274 32 261 75218 71717 32 269 34 275 34 281 32 265 71717 68524 31 271 37 270 40 279 36 265 68524 65575 35 268 36 263 45 270 36 266 65575 62825 37 261 32 264 41 263 37 266 62825 60130 34 261 31 265 36 262 36 257 60130 57302 32 262 32 262 38 253 36 248 57302 54370 31 262 36 252 37 248 35 240 54370 51576 33 257 32 250 36 248 31 238 51576 49055 33 252 32 259 33 250 29 242 49055 46783 36 251 37 255 35 255 34 241 46783 44714 39 246 41 250 41 250 36 239 44714 42819 42 234 46 246 43 243 39 239 42819 41085 40 220 48 237 43 240 42 237 41085 39497 34 215 44 226 44 239 40 237 39497 38034 36 215 42 216 43 239 41 254 38034 36683 41 203 41 207 39 245 46 263 36683 35407 45 192 41 202 36 249 50 269 35407 34141 46 187 43 200 35 250 53 272 34141 32858 45 189 45 196 34 239 56 274 32858 31556 45 194 41 193 27 206 58 277 31556 30222 44 197 36 190 24 191 56 280 30222 28846 41 200 33 188 24 194 50 284 28846 27433 37 204 35 190 25 200 43 287 27433 25989 35 209 36 191 26 209 29 253 25989 24519 34 212 36 193 27 218 22 222 24519 23025 34 215 36 197 28 221 22 231 23025 21500 35 218 36 199 28 223 24 242 21500 19937 34 220 35 205 28 227 28 246 19937 18363 34 218 35 211 27 230 31 251 18363 16858 35 217 35 212 28 231 30 255 16858 15487 36 216 37 211 31 228 28 257 15487 14262 37 215 39 211 34 224 28 257 14262 13159 37 215 40 214 37 223 27 257 13159 12162 35 215 40 218 37 226 26 257 12162 11258 34 215 38 222 35 232 25 258 11258 10442 31 214 36 225 31 241 24 259 10442 9706 27 214 32 228 27 249 23 256 9706 9044 21*215 27 233 23 253 23 247 9044 8438 17*221 22*240 18 256 21 234 8438 7892 15 227 19*246 14 257 19 228 7892 7428 14 229 17 252 9 259 17 225 7428 7066 14 231 16 255 7 259 14 222 7066 6813 13 232 14 257 6 260 11 220 6813 6659 12 233 13 258 6*260 9*219 6659 6570 9 233 10 260 5*262 5*217 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography