DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/26 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 17.8 - - 29.3 - - 33.5 - - 32.6 - - 25.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -44 - - 27 - - 20 - - -15 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth Hcrit 6552 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 97 - - 1548 - - 2653 - - 1960 - - 156 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 93 - - 87 - - 35 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 184 - - 207 - - 222 - - 201 - - 200 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -15 - - -10 - - -9 - - -7 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -644 - - -714 - - -792 - - -266 - - -461 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7214 - - 7284 - - 7362 - - 6835 - - 7030 sfcLCL ODpotential -10231 - - -4308 - - -3635 - - -4329 - - -8001 ODpotential blCL 16800 - - 10877 - - 10204 - - 10898 - - 14570 blCL maxRH 56 - - 64 - - 67 - - 61 - - 58 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 17.8 - - 29.3 - - 33.5 - - 32.6 - - 25.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 10.0 - - 20.8 - - 24.6 - - 25.9 - - 17.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 22.7 - - 29.5 - - 33.3 - - 34.3 - - 29.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 12.2 - - 19.8 - - 23.4 - - 24.9 - - 19.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -44 - - 27 - - 20 - - -15 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96729 22 095 19 102 13 128 15 089 25 091 96729 89551 22 071 17 130 8 135 10 065 24 078 89551 83938 10 091 13 122 9 156 5 097 11 074 83938 79255 7 066 5 111 5 151 6 344 2 285 79255 75220 1 335 5 131 4 213 12 305 4 309 75220 71647 5 285 5 282 4 285 12 304 10 309 71647 68392 16 336 8 293 6 223 12 288 6 348 68392 65383 59 283 35 293 13 291 15 293 26 310 65383 62611 61 281 51 285 29 301 31 296 32 281 62611 59962 52 300 52 291 43 308 31 313 23 264 59962 57199 55 309 49 300 65 306 64 308 52 310 57199 54326 61 311 64 303 73 292 72 296 68 296 54326 51585 73 306 75 302 68 299 72 299 68 294 51585 49119 86 304 86 307 75 310 76 304 71 303 49119 46906 93 302 93 304 86 310 83 307 78 308 46906 44897 95 302 95 303 97 305 95 306 89 307 44897 43067 95 304 96 304 104 302 106 302 105 305 43067 41385 96 305 97 305 99 302 110 299 119 300 41385 39830 97 306 98 307 98 307 104 299 116 296 39830 38389 94 307 97 309 98 310 101 302 110 298 38389 37049 84 307 89 309 98 310 99 305 103 304 37049 35773 74 309 77 305 98 309 100 306 101 307 35773 34501 69 313 65 303 96 309 102 306 98 305 34501 33203 68 314 57 306 93 308 100 304 95 303 33203 31883 67 312 52 308 86 305 94 304 91 304 31883 30532 66 310 49 306 70 302 90 306 83 306 30532 29142 62 311 48 303 56 304 83 307 76 306 29142 27715 55 312 48 302 50 307 68 304 71 305 27715 26252 49 311 49 304 48 306 58 299 65 304 26252 24755 44 309 50 305 44 299 46 297 57 305 24755 23230 41 309 50 306 43 295 44 303 51 305 23230 21673 38 309 48 306 45 301 44 306 44 304 21673 20077 35 310 45 306 46 305 42 307 37 300 20077 18473 33 313 41 309 43 305 40 306 35 296 18473 16939 33 318 39 311 39 304 38 304 36 292 16939 15546 33 323 36 313 35 303 37 302 36 291 15546 14301 32 325 33 313 32 301 35 299 34 294 14301 13183 27 324 30 312 28 299 33 298 32 296 13183 12175 21 316 26 309 24 294 28 293 28 297 12175 11263 17 302 22 305 21 288 24 284 24 292 11263 10440 16 294 17 294 20 278 23 274 21 283 10440 9701 15 290 13 276 20 265 23 263 21 274 9701 9034 11 287 12 253 20 251 24 253 23 264 9034 8427 6 272 13 234 20 239 23 244 26 254 8427 7881 4 237 16 223 18 230 22 236 27 245 7881 7419 5 220 16 218 17 228 19 230 27 239 7419 7059 8 217 14 215 16 227 17 226 23 231 7059 6809 10 201 13 214 14 225 14 220 18 222 6809 6657 9*185 10*211 12 224 11*215 13 209 6657 6569 6*184 6*207 7*222 5*201 7*200 6569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography