DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/03 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.3 - - 58.7 - - 66.2 - - 67.1 - - 58.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 50 - - 286 - - 365 - - 79 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 342 - - 4108 - - 7220 - - 5609 - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit 6554 - - 9008 - - 11567 - - 9363 - - 6555 Hcrit BL Top 6571 - - 10337 - - 13449 - - 11838 - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3469 - - 2104 - - 2025 - - 3591 - - 696 Hgt.Variab. W* 110 - - 450 - - 589 - - 327 - - 10 W* B/S 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 10 - - 14 - - 12 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 210 - - 224 - - 214 - - 210 - - 092 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 14 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -10 - - -11 - - 17 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4264 - - -611 - - 448 - - -2073 - - -5685 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10836 - - 10949 - - 13001 - - 13912 - - 12257 sfcLCL ODpotential -8093 - - -3022 - - -958 - - -5108 - - -10085 ODpotential blCL 14664 - - 13359 - - 14407 - - 16946 - - 16656 blCL maxRH 93 - - 91 - - 86 - - 79 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.3 - - 58.7 - - 66.2 - - 67.1 - - 58.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.7 - - 33.4 - - 31.8 - - 28.7 - - 27.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.4 - - 56.4 - - 63.7 - - 66.1 - - 62.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.3 - - 33.0 - - 31.3 - - 28.3 - - 27.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 50 - - 286 - - 365 - - 79 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 342 - - 4108 - - 7220 - - 5609 - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 71 - - 65 - - 43 - - 16 - - 17 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98985 8 150 5 214 4 215 4 264 7 265 98985 91593 11 090 7 158 5 085 0 293 3 151 91593 85870 14 093 11 081 6 110 5 070 8 087 85870 81112 13 098 5 060 9 082 8 056 10 070 81112 77003 9 069 7 105 3 089 5 080 9 034 77003 73371 2 062 9 092 6 119 5 077 6 112 73371 70083 2 121 4 141 2 192 2 096 7 104 70083 67038 2 308 9 105 8 182 6 081 12 101 67038 64209 10 215 8 202 17 183 11 223 3 012 64209 61471 14 224 14 221 9 212 14 191 11 228 61471 58611 26 239 25 231 23 229 22 224 22 226 58611 55646 37 237 32 232 33 234 31 239 31 247 55646 52832 27 240 28 238 34 251 29 248 37 232 52832 50322 42 262 35 254 40 255 36 247 37 223 50322 48080 54 257 46 260 44 255 38 246 46 233 48080 46046 64 261 55 259 53 242 50 250 53 240 46046 44182 72 261 55 250 57 236 60 245 58 241 44182 42459 76 261 55 251 59 238 62 237 60 239 42459 40858 83 263 68 253 65 237 63 233 59 235 40858 39369 90 258 81 251 69 234 64 233 56 232 39369 37987 90 261 86 250 73 234 65 231 56 232 37987 36676 88 263 87 250 76 232 65 230 56 231 36676 35366 85 262 87 252 76 230 64 229 54 231 35366 34029 81 261 86 253 75 231 64 228 52 233 34029 32668 80 261 83 253 72 237 62 228 50 235 32668 31276 79 260 79 252 69 239 61 229 49 234 31276 29846 78 260 72 251 66 238 60 231 47 233 29846 28377 78 263 67 250 65 237 59 233 48 231 28377 26870 73 267 62 249 64 240 58 233 50 230 26870 25329 63 266 58 248 62 242 58 233 51 230 25329 23759 56 260 53 247 59 241 56 234 50 230 23759 22158 55 257 50 245 55 238 52 235 47 226 22158 20522 51 255 49 244 54 236 48 235 44 221 20522 18882 47 253 48 245 51 237 45 233 41 215 18882 17318 47 250 46 246 45 239 42 225 41 208 17318 15897 48 245 42 248 38 237 37 214 42 205 15897 14624 46 242 35 247 28*230 30 204 42 205 14624 13477 39 240 29 246 21*221 24 202 39 206 13477 12439 31 239 25 242 18 216 22*202 34 208 12439 11498 24 236 21 236 17 215 18*204 30 210 11498 10645 18 233 17*229 15 213 16 206 27 211 10645 9874 14 232 13*224 14 212 14 208 26 211 9874 9177 11 237 12 223 13 212 12 210 24 211 9177 8539 9 243 11 224 12 212 11 213 22 209 8539 7963 8 244 10 224 11 211 10 214 18 205 7963 7474 7 239 10 225 11 211 9 216 12 197 7474 7093 5 222 9 226 10 211 9 217 8 179 7093 6827 4 210 8 227 9 210 8 217 5 147 6827 6665 4*208 8 227 9 210 7 219 5*117 6665 6571 3*210 6 227 7 209 6 219 4*092 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography