DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/02 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 18.9 - - 28.1 - - 31.5 - - 28.6 - - 23.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -19 - - 14 - - 16 - - -5 - - -47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth Hcrit 6552 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6552 - - 6552 Hcrit BL Top 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 150 - - 1717 - - 2344 - - 1947 - - 133 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 75 - - 78 - - 13 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 13 - - 8 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 172 - - 323 - - 209 - - 179 - - 190 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -13 - - 0 - - -3 - - -5 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -769 - - -623 - - -538 - - 0 - - -473 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7338 - - 7193 - - 7107 - - 6569 - - 7043 sfcLCL ODpotential -6057 - - -4839 - - -3134 - - -3007 - - -5833 ODpotential blCL 12626 - - 11408 - - 9703 - - 9576 - - 12402 blCL maxRH 71 - - 70 - - 70 - - 73 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 18.9 - - 28.1 - - 31.5 - - 28.6 - - 23.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 10.6 - - 20.1 - - 23.8 - - 24.3 - - 16.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 25.6 - - 29.0 - - 31.1 - - 31.3 - - 28.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.6 - - 20.0 - - 22.7 - - 23.9 - - 18.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -19 - - 14 - - 16 - - -5 - - -47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 22 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95287 72 287 61 295 71 307 50 305 53 288 95287 88536 39 302 41 301 44 310 46 310 34 316 88536 83237 26 305 29 295 33 291 41 302 34 326 83237 78761 29 305 15 322 26 280 32 283 35 305 78761 74867 32 305 15 317 18 298 22 283 28 299 74867 71401 30 309 24 283 26 301 32 294 26 310 71401 68236 28 298 19 258 31 278 41 290 30 316 68236 65303 23 296 10 280 28 273 37 289 37 311 65303 62571 23 304 23 305 27 281 30 291 39 302 62571 59917 37 290 32 293 24 279 26 294 35 294 59917 57139 42 287 37 284 29 282 30 298 35 296 57139 54242 38 294 43 288 35 297 37 294 35 292 54242 51450 49 303 59 296 52 294 41 297 37 303 51450 48917 65 295 70 289 61 287 52 296 48 308 48917 46650 59 285 64 275 62 284 56 291 54 303 46650 44612 43 274 49 278 60 286 53 290 51 303 44612 42768 39 284 47 289 56 290 46 303 46 305 42768 41088 42 300 50 293 48 295 46 319 46 312 41088 39548 49 302 47 292 44 308 51 319 48 337 39548 38121 51 300 39 302 52 324 51 337 70 346 38121 36797 54 301 44 320 57 337 64 342 85 341 36797 35544 54 297 59 325 63 341 68 339 81 335 35544 34298 45 306 66 331 65 336 69 335 71 329 34298 33031 47 330 75 340 63 331 69 331 64 332 33031 31743 58 341 78 341 60 330 65 324 60 337 31743 30419 60 338 68 342 60 332 63 315 60 336 30419 29049 58 331 67 351 62 334 64 311 62 334 29049 27640 50 319 72 355 61 338 60 314 64 336 27640 26194 44 307 73 356 58 338 56 318 62 339 26194 24712 44 302 63 352 52 335 51 321 55 334 24712 23196 44 301 47 335 46 331 46 322 54 325 23196 21643 45 302 44 320 43 326 44 322 57 324 21643 20047 44 304 45 317 44 323 45 321 53 326 20047 18440 41 306 43 318 45 323 46 317 44 326 18440 16902 37 305 39 318 43 321 44 316 40 326 16902 15506 33 304 35 316 38 317 39 317 39 322 15506 14262 29 303 31 312 34 312 34 317 38 313 14262 13148 26 307 28 308 30 308 31 315 32 308 13148 12146 24 315 26 309 27 309 27 311 25 312 12146 11242 23 325 24 313 24 311 25 306 19 319 11242 10426 22 336 22 319 20 316 22 298 16 314 10426 9692 21 346 19 327 17 321 18 289 15 298 9692 9029 19 354 15 333 12 324 15 279 16 285 9029 8425 15 001 11 330 7 319 11 266 15 273 8425 7880 9 006 9 315 4 294 9 246 14 260 7880 7418 5 355 8 300 3 236 7 220 13 239 7418 7058 2 314 6 293 3 216 7 207 14 219 7058 6809 3 170 3 290 2 218 6 201 12 204 6809 6656 6*160 1*315 2*215 4*187 10*194 6656 6569 6*172 1*323 2*209 3*179 6*190 6569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography