DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/24 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0703z - - 1003z - - 1556z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.0 - - 31.7 - - 33.6 - - 31.3 - - 30.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 41 - - 40 - - -15 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 428 - - 2572 - - 3463 - - 54 - - 282 BL Depth Hcrit 2232 - - 2232 - - 2232 - - 2232 - - 2232 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 4767 - - 5658 - - 2249 - - 2477 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3412 - - 1525 - - 1082 - - 4402 - - 4135 Hgt.Variab. W* 49 - - 201 - - 221 - - 20 - - 34 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 20 - - 24 - - 25 - - 10 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 315 - - 321 - - 320 - - 322 - - 337 Direction Wind Shear 8 - - 13 - - 14 - - 0 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -604 - - 1307 - - 1708 - - -1248 - - -988 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3227 - - 3460 - - 3950 - - 3497 - - 3466 sfcLCL ODpotential -1253 - - 633 - - 808 - - -1858 - - -1607 ODpotential blCL 3876 - - 4134 - - 4850 - - 4107 - - 4084 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.0 - - 31.7 - - 33.6 - - 31.3 - - 30.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.2 - - 24.8 - - 24.5 - - 24.3 - - 24.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 31.2 - - 31.4 - - 33.4 - - 31.8 - - 31.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.5 - - 23.9 - - 23.5 - - 23.5 - - 23.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 41 - - 40 - - -15 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 428 - - 2572 - - 3463 - - 54 - - 282 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 100 - - 101 - - 101 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97198 7 056 6 216 7 340 8 332 10 351 97198 90121 3 052 3 122 7 305 6 356 5 321 90121 84602 3 236 7 155 5 307 8 276 7 278 84602 79978 6 252 3 251 9 279 5 278 7 201 79978 75953 10 250 6 274 17 254 13 273 4 349 75953 72355 12 241 10 268 16 250 17 247 14 285 72355 69074 12 238 13 236 6 242 13 218 15 259 69074 66038 7 254 13 225 13 248 12 231 16 256 66038 63196 16 258 13 233 18 233 17 234 21 246 63196 60421 19 233 17 227 19 240 16 239 20 235 60421 57512 22 230 20 229 23 243 15 264 15 248 57512 54477 26 236 22 244 29 241 22 270 16 275 54477 51571 36 246 30 245 30 242 28 261 24 268 51571 48961 35 241 31 243 27 241 27 258 25 258 48961 46629 28 236 26 256 20 248 23 268 19 264 46629 44525 27 256 29 263 23 272 26 282 19 281 44525 42610 32 257 31 265 30 277 30 282 25 283 42610 40856 29 263 30 268 32 276 32 279 28 281 40856 39234 31 275 31 275 34 277 33 282 31 281 39234 37723 37 282 35 282 37 280 37 281 36 283 37723 36314 41 284 43 287 41 282 43 279 41 287 36314 34970 49 288 49 286 48 283 49 277 49 287 34970 33629 53 290 51 289 56 282 54 281 60 282 33629 32258 58 298 62 294 65 284 66 285 69 279 32258 30854 72 303 81 298 76 289 88 288 69 282 30854 29404 94 302 97 301 83 290 109 288 79 286 29404 27897 105 305 95 300 83 293 111 284 84 286 27897 26325 93 306 87 297 82 293 111 281 88 285 26325 24686 71 304 82 292 76 290 105 285 90 286 24686 22982 67 306 74 292 69 289 83 285 80 285 22982 21223 68 303 61 296 65 290 62 283 69 283 21223 19411 66 298 60 297 58 289 55 282 58 285 19411 17544 63 296 57 301 52 293 51 287 49 287 17544 15652 55 302 46 308 43 302 44 297 41 296 15652 13831 47 312 40 313 36 311 36 306 32 302 13831 12177 43 320 37 318 33 315 33 312 27 308 12177 10708 42 325 34 324 31 318 31 315 27 317 10708 9404 40 330 33 327 30 321 29 319 25 326 9404 8244 39 334 32 331 29 327 27 326 21 337 8244 7211 39 337 32 335 30 328 27 334 22 349 7211 6300 39 337 31 331 29*323 28 333 23 350 6300 5499 37 332 29 324 29*322 27 332 22 349 5499 4788 36 327 29*323 28 321 27 331 22 348 4788 4150 35 325 28*322 27 320 26 330 21 347 4150 3583 32 321 27 322 26 320 24 328 20 345 3583 3108 30 319 25 321 25 320 22 327 18 342 3108 2742 27*317 24 321 23 319 20 325 16 340 2742 2490 24*316 22 320 21 319 17 324 14*339 2490 2337 21 315 19 320 19 319 15*322 12*338 2337 2249 16 314 15 320 15 319 10*322 8 337 2249 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography