DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/10 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.7 - - 62.0 - - 55.9 - - 50.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 167 - - 139 - - 85 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3725 - - 5177 - - 2987 - - 55 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4423 - - 5386 - - 3442 - - 2234 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5920 - - 7372 - - 5182 - - 2250 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3305 - - 3378 - - 1972 - - 2952 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 357 - - 374 - - 263 - - 20 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 21 - - 27 - - 28 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 288 - - 295 - - 303 - - 295 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 12 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -3 - - -6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -13 - - 574 - - 179 - - -1081 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5933 - - 6798 - - 5004 - - 3331 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1460 - - -382 - - -748 - - -2728 ODpotential blCL - - - 7380 - - 7754 - - 5930 - - 4978 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 86 - - 88 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 200 - - 360 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.7 - - 62.0 - - 55.9 - - 50.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.2 - - 39.7 - - 41.5 - - 43.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.7 - - 61.3 - - 55.5 - - 51.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.4 - - 39.1 - - 41.3 - - 42.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 167 - - 139 - - 85 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3725 - - 5177 - - 2987 - - 55 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 26 - - 44 - - 53 - - 69 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98434 14 280 23 295 25 312 19 292 98434 91039 12 291 13 307 21 283 23 301 91039 85339 11 292 12 308 16 294 26 307 85339 80621 11 306 13 296 16 311 17 295 80621 76539 11 294 13 313 17 317 9 333 76539 72908 9 283 12 317 16 315 18 344 72908 69614 7 314 7 281 11 320 15 329 69614 66577 13 325 9 331 11 315 12 323 66577 63736 15 297 15 336 15 327 17 332 63736 60963 12 315 20 307 21 308 21 310 60963 58049 23 317 20 295 18 288 20 281 58049 55001 27 287 30 284 22 285 22 270 55001 52077 31 283 37 285 34 279 29 276 52077 49442 38 278 38 271 41 266 33 274 49442 47089 42 266 39 263 37 265 31 266 47089 44961 43 264 40 270 37 271 34 270 44961 43021 50 269 46 275 44 277 41 274 43021 41238 59 270 54 273 51 276 48 274 41238 39588 65 268 59 271 54 274 52 274 39588 38054 69 266 59 271 56 274 53 272 38054 36625 73 265 60 270 58 272 55 271 36625 35266 76 264 60 268 59 269 58 270 35266 33910 79 263 61 267 60 268 59 271 33910 32525 81 263 64 268 61 270 57 273 32525 31112 85 261 68 268 60 271 50 275 31112 29659 90 259 68 268 53 270 42 282 29659 28155 93 256 63 269 42 274 39 288 28155 26597 92 255 56 273 30 284 35 288 26597 24981 87 255 48 275 25 298 27 291 24981 23310 79 256 37 281 20 311 20 305 23310 21582 67 256 34 289 26 312 21 321 21582 19786 57 251 36 292 27 317 23 326 19786 17916 53 253 38 292 25 321 23 322 17916 16009 51 260 38 290 25 320 25 315 16009 14169 46 276 34 290 28 311 28 311 14169 12493 37 286 34 292 32 302 30 310 12493 10999 31 287 34 292 34 295 30 309 10999 9667 27 292 32 292 35 292 31 309 9667 8478 26 292 31 292 36 292 32 308 8478 7418 26 290 30*293 33 296 32 310 7418 6476 24*289 29*293 31 300 33 313 6476 5642 23*289 29 294 30*302 34 313 5642 4901 23 288 28 295 30*302 36 311 4901 4235 22 289 28 295 29 303 36 307 4235 3643 22 288 27 296 29 304 34 303 3643 3148 21 288 27 296 28 304 31 300 3148 2766 21 288 26 296 27 304 26 297 2766 2503 19 288 24 296 25 304 22 296 2503 2342 18 288 22 296 22 304 18 296 2342 2250 14 288 17 296 17 303 12*295 2250 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography