DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/04 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 32.5 - - 52.9 - - 60.0 - - 59.3 - - 49.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 127 - - 112 - - -31 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 54 - - 1197 - - 2173 - - 56 - - 55 BL Depth Hcrit 2232 - - 2233 - - 3047 - - 2234 - - 2233 Hcrit BL Top 2249 - - 3392 - - 4368 - - 2251 - - 2250 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 49 - - 893 - - 1206 - - 3468 - - 80 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 219 - - 256 - - 14 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 15 - - 18 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 118 - - 162 - - 167 - - 159 - - 167 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - -3 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -3385 - - -3808 - - -4723 - - -2169 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2249 - - 6778 - - 8176 - - 6974 - - 4419 sfcLCL ODpotential -13076 - - -12372 - - -11684 - - -12232 - - -11430 ODpotential blCL 15325 - - 15764 - - 16052 - - 14483 - - 13680 blCL maxRH 84 - - 75 - - 81 - - 60 - - 57 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 32.5 - - 52.9 - - 60.0 - - 59.3 - - 49.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.1 - - 31.4 - - 32.3 - - 36.8 - - 37.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 33.5 - - 52.1 - - 59.3 - - 60.9 - - 51.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.1 - - 31.2 - - 32.0 - - 36.6 - - 37.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 127 - - 112 - - -31 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 54 - - 1197 - - 2173 - - 56 - - 55 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 35 - - 2 - - 26 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97763 17 340 14 010 15 018 11 340 20 334 97763 90615 10 000 4 311 14 338 19 344 13 358 90615 84990 8 360 5 286 15 324 19 325 14 345 84990 80279 11 326 6 324 11 301 20 317 18 326 80279 76212 16 319 14 322 12 295 24 295 23 313 76212 72607 22 313 17 312 17 297 24 297 23 322 72607 69328 26 309 25 298 26 289 28 305 25 312 69328 66307 28 301 28 292 29 287 28 307 28 310 66307 63503 28 301 29 295 28 293 31 304 32 303 63503 60783 39 299 33 303 37 294 33 300 31 301 60783 57941 40 295 43 295 37 294 42 299 39 301 57941 54996 50 296 40 297 44 296 47 293 44 290 54996 52207 57 300 55 301 53 295 51 295 46 286 52207 49722 67 303 69 297 62 294 60 290 51 288 49722 47510 76 304 74 295 67 290 61 286 56 287 47510 45513 81 303 76 296 67 287 57 285 56 285 45513 43690 83 305 77 300 67 287 55 282 54 282 43690 42013 86 309 78 303 70 285 57 278 52 278 42013 40463 87 311 75 304 68 286 59 273 52 275 40463 39018 84 311 71 304 63 289 56 269 53 273 39018 37658 80 310 69 305 58 289 52 269 53 273 37658 36345 74 309 65 305 56 289 51 271 54 273 36345 35013 68 309 60 305 54 291 50 273 54 271 35013 33634 62 308 57 306 53 293 52 275 54 269 33634 32211 58 309 52 304 51 293 52 274 53 267 32211 30729 55 311 50 302 48 290 51 274 51 266 30729 29179 52 311 45 300 46 288 47 276 48 266 29179 27564 51 311 43 300 42 291 45 277 44 264 27564 25881 51 312 45 301 39 293 43 277 42 262 25881 24131 49 314 46 301 42 294 39 276 38 264 24131 22315 46 314 39 301 41 293 36 277 36 267 22315 20427 42 312 35 301 37 291 35 277 34 269 20427 18465 37 313 31 293 35 284 33 275 31 270 18465 16469 33 314 27 291 30 278 32 273 28 269 16469 14549 30 309 25 293 25 276 30 271 25 271 14549 12805 30 303 24 293 22 276 26 272 23 274 12805 11254 26 296 20 283 19 274 22 270 21 276 11254 9876 19 279 17 254 17 259 19 267 20 275 9876 8647 16 259 17 238 18 241 19 257 19 274 8647 7550 11 250 15 222 20 229 19 245 18 271 7550 6577 7 228 13 193 24 211 22 220 17 256 6577 5718 10 210 15 189 26 193 24 196 20 230 5718 4958 13 192 20 189 25*185 24 181 24 210 4958 4277 12 172 24 180 20*169 23 178 24 201 4277 3671 13 164 21*168 19 168 22 174 24 198 3671 3164 14 161 17*163 19 167 21 171 25 192 3164 2774 15 156 15 162 18 166 19 167 24 187 2774 2505 13 145 14 162 17 165 16 164 20 178 2505 2343 8*136 13 161 16 165 13*162 17*176 2343 2250 3*118 11 162 13 165 8*159 6*167 2250 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography