DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/03 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.2 - - 56.6 - - - - - 46.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 118 - - 132 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 952 - - 2964 - - - - - 55 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2233 - - 3708 - - - - - 2233 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3147 - - 5159 - - - - - 2250 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1276 - - 1849 - - - - - 88 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 197 - - 299 - - - - - 3 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 289 - - 286 - - - - - 001 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -6 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3039 - - -2475 - - - - - -2289 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6186 - - 7635 - - - - - 4539 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6074 - - -4985 - - - - - -6635 ODpotential blCL - - - 9221 - - 10144 - - - - - 8885 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 92 - - - - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.2 - - 56.6 - - - - - 46.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.3 - - 31.2 - - - - - 34.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.3 - - 55.5 - - - - - 49.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.2 - - 30.9 - - - - - 34.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 118 - - 132 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 952 - - 2964 - - - - - 55 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 45 - - 67 - - - - - 56 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97757 18 040 12 050 9 355 97757 90582 11 026 10 043 12 357 90582 84962 5 343 8 012 13 352 84962 80258 5 278 6 351 13 337 80258 76180 11 297 12 307 16 324 76180 72561 11 291 16 262 22 323 72561 69275 18 295 20 288 22 303 69275 66242 25 285 33 302 24 309 66242 63417 36 299 39 306 34 312 63417 60681 41 302 43 305 44 307 60681 57833 42 302 50 301 45 303 57833 54877 47 302 53 302 52 304 54877 52057 54 308 62 306 59 298 52057 49528 62 311 65 307 62 303 49528 47273 66 311 67 310 70 313 47273 45240 63 313 73 308 82 313 45240 43389 72 315 78 304 85 310 43389 41686 81 309 78 303 83 311 41686 40107 78 308 74 305 90 314 40107 38647 75 313 72 312 91 317 38647 37302 82 314 78 313 89 318 37302 36020 85 308 82 309 83 314 36020 34717 86 305 81 306 79 317 34717 33363 80 306 81 304 79 324 33363 31961 76 305 80 303 80 326 31961 30497 76 306 77 304 76 323 30497 28959 75 305 75 304 73 321 28959 27351 75 305 74 305 69 323 27351 25672 73 305 71 305 65 322 25672 23920 69 307 65 304 66 320 23920 22103 65 307 62 302 63 320 22103 20221 58 304 57 302 56 314 20221 18264 49 305 56 302 53 311 18264 16271 43 309 55 301 51 311 16271 14361 38 308 49 298 47 308 14361 12635 33 304 40 293 41 305 12635 11105 27 305 33 292 34 305 11105 9748 24 310 25 295 24 305 9748 8540 24 307 19 310 20 313 8540 7466 22 302 20 320 20 311 7466 6511 21 299 20 311 15 307 6511 5667 18 298 16*297 13 306 5667 4918 15 299 11*288 12 306 4918 4247 14 298 10 286 9 312 4247 3651 13*296 10 285 9 322 3651 3151 11*292 9 285 7 334 3151 2767 9 289 9 285 7 351 2767 2503 9 288 8 284 6 004 2503 2342 8 289 8 284 5*003 2342 2250 7 287 7 284 4*001 2250 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography