DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/25 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 20.2 - - 27.9 - - 31.0 - - 29.1 - - 26.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 11 - - 88 - - -12 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 53 - - 1987 - - 2199 - - 54 - - 53 BL Depth Hcrit 2232 - - 2232 - - 2846 - - 2232 - - 2232 Hcrit BL Top 2248 - - 4182 - - 4394 - - 2249 - - 2248 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 219 - - 818 - - 622 - - 2560 - - 631 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 124 - - 237 - - 12 - - 11 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 7 - - 9 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 048 - - 148 - - 153 - - 133 - - 133 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -3 - - -3 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -107 - - 1048 - - 417 - - -1097 - - -809 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2355 - - 3134 - - 3977 - - 3346 - - 3057 sfcLCL ODpotential -3712 - - 342 - - -184 - - -1813 - - -11773 ODpotential blCL 5960 - - 3840 - - 4578 - - 4062 - - 14021 blCL maxRH 93 - - 100 - - 96 - - 94 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 20.2 - - 27.9 - - 31.0 - - 29.1 - - 26.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.5 - - 22.7 - - 22.1 - - 23.0 - - 21.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 21.7 - - 27.7 - - 30.4 - - 30.0 - - 27.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.9 - - 21.6 - - 21.3 - - 22.5 - - 21.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 11 - - 88 - - -12 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 53 - - 1987 - - 2199 - - 54 - - 53 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 74 - - 100 - - 84 - - 75 - - 39 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97059 2 034 5 305 15 314 12 311 13 298 97059 89994 2 344 4 334 8 306 10 291 12 313 89994 84456 7 237 7 281 9 264 14 282 15 298 84456 79815 8 234 12 266 10 271 13 274 18 285 79815 75791 9 264 12 275 10 289 11 275 20 264 75791 72225 9 258 11 280 13 285 12 283 14 253 72225 68982 12 237 13 254 18 271 16 286 9 260 68982 65981 14 234 16 244 20 257 19 280 10 285 65981 63176 12 251 14 240 18 257 19 266 16 292 63176 60430 15 268 15 244 20 266 18 266 21 283 60430 57549 17 269 15 250 24 262 19 274 22 274 57549 54561 18 276 14 265 22 258 20 275 22 270 54561 51721 22 274 15 269 19 258 19 273 21 262 51721 49183 22 265 15 270 17 259 19 274 18 261 49183 46924 18 262 15 274 14 263 19 267 15 271 46924 44884 16 275 15 277 12 274 17 258 14 273 44884 43024 16 278 16 275 14 281 14 260 13 270 43024 41316 16 277 18 272 16 282 15 266 14 267 41316 39739 19 285 21 276 19 283 17 265 16 267 39739 38277 23 296 26 276 21 282 21 268 19 275 38277 36914 28 294 28 278 25 284 23 269 24 275 36914 35609 35 286 31 279 29 286 23 271 27 269 35609 34295 41 274 34 278 35 277 28 271 28 269 34295 32942 42 273 37 279 37 265 33 271 31 273 32942 31550 44 282 42 284 35 265 38 273 34 277 31550 30101 48 286 48 284 37 277 42 274 37 278 30101 28584 48 289 51 282 44 279 41 275 39 283 28584 26999 48 294 52 286 44 276 35 278 40 279 26999 25342 46 289 50 282 38 281 31 277 32 272 25342 23615 44 284 40 279 32 293 28 274 24 277 23615 21820 43 292 30 276 33 283 25 271 23 275 21820 19953 44 286 27 290 21 287 26 268 23 277 19953 18009 41 282 26 278 22 268 26 267 23 270 18009 16030 34 288 26 266 28 272 25 267 22 266 16030 14128 25 303 22 271 22 278 21 272 16 268 14128 12404 21 295 12 275 13 273 14 270 10 260 12404 10874 18 277 9 254 8 226 10 235 9 244 10874 9519 12 282 8 248 10 216 14 199 11 230 9519 8322 7 311 6 237 11 212 16 201 15 200 8322 7267 7 334 4 191 10 204 15 212 14 196 7267 6336 6 014 4 150 9 192 13 216 13 211 6336 5517 7 036 4 152 9 187 11 197 14 196 5517 4794 6 049 7*158 10*168 13 168 16 178 4794 4150 6 063 7*152 10*160 13 154 18 164 4150 3581 8 067 7 150 10 156 12 150 20 156 3581 3105 10 067 7 147 10 152 12 144 21 151 3105 2740 10 065 7 145 9 150 11 140 20 145 2740 2488 10 062 6 144 9 148 10 137 16 138 2488 2336 8*058 6 145 8 147 8*134 14 136 2336 2248 3*048 5 144 7 146 6*133 7*133 2248 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography