DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/07 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0950z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.3 - - 43.9 - - 45.4 - - 38.7 - - 33.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -116 - - 52 - - 54 - - -3 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 54 - - 2755 - - 3388 - - 55 - - 54 BL Depth Hcrit 2233 - - 2233 - - 3122 - - 2233 - - 2232 Hcrit BL Top 2249 - - 4950 - - 5583 - - 2250 - - 2249 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3313 - - 1236 - - 1384 - - 2699 - - 43 Hgt.Variab. W* 20 - - 216 - - 234 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 20 - - 41 - - 27 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 294 - - 312 - - 304 - - 247 - - 168 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 25 - - 13 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -1 - - -3 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3547 - - -1198 - - -683 - - -2259 - - -1595 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5796 - - 6148 - - 6266 - - 4509 - - 3844 sfcLCL ODpotential -8181 - - -6726 - - -8038 - - -9467 - - -10933 ODpotential blCL 10430 - - 11676 - - 13621 - - 11717 - - 13182 blCL maxRH 81 - - 78 - - 77 - - 61 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.3 - - 43.9 - - 45.4 - - 38.7 - - 33.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.8 - - 24.9 - - 25.8 - - 27.1 - - 24.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.5 - - 43.7 - - 45.2 - - 42.8 - - 35.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 21.4 - - 24.7 - - 25.7 - - 27.0 - - 24.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -116 - - 52 - - 54 - - -3 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 54 - - 2755 - - 3388 - - 55 - - 54 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 24 - - 11 - - 9 - - 0 - - 32 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95370 21 014 23 023 7 040 15 323 21 004 95370 88689 13 041 14 013 7 046 11 341 13 023 88689 83394 11 037 13 001 6 005 12 012 3 028 83394 78934 8 023 8 354 3 330 8 016 2 055 78934 75051 8 020 6 334 8 294 8 339 6 347 75051 71576 9 002 4 318 7 278 6 313 6 297 71576 68392 7 309 7 275 7 301 10 280 6 281 68392 65430 6 305 8 258 5 264 13 254 11 288 65430 62664 16 316 3 282 6 261 15 248 16 243 62664 59987 14 267 13 268 13 294 12 222 18 196 59987 57172 23 288 18 310 23 275 10 261 20 236 57172 54225 23 277 24 268 30 246 38 237 35 251 54225 51420 15 249 30 275 29 257 45 233 38 253 51420 48896 16 247 37 287 49 270 39 262 40 268 48896 46639 42 274 61 272 55 274 48 275 51 268 46639 44621 46 274 62 268 46 280 60 277 45 257 44621 42803 54 275 67 282 70 284 62 273 38 277 42803 41133 63 271 81 285 77 279 51 290 57 295 41133 39587 74 275 86 281 67 286 56 304 77 283 39587 38152 82 279 82 284 56 296 84 301 84 278 38152 36811 77 283 74 293 63 305 99 294 85 277 36811 35520 71 297 78 308 82 302 101 293 86 277 35520 34215 79 310 96 317 92 295 98 291 86 276 34215 32864 104 310 110 310 93 293 92 288 86 275 32864 31470 135 308 117 301 92 292 87 291 84 277 31470 30020 143 307 118 297 90 291 73 290 79 280 30020 28504 132 309 115 301 87 295 60 285 69 281 28504 26920 120 313 110 307 83 299 54 287 62 278 26920 25269 99 311 105 308 76 301 53 289 61 281 25269 23554 79 304 98 312 68 290 55 288 61 285 23554 21777 49 298 86 318 61 282 55 289 59 288 21777 19931 47 301 75 315 55 295 50 287 56 289 19931 18013 53 298 74 305 52 304 43 283 53 287 18013 16062 56 297 78 300 51 305 36 283 50 284 16062 14188 54 297 77 301 49 306 37 286 45 283 14188 12486 48 297 67 304 50 312 37 290 40 282 12486 10976 44 298 58 310 47 320 34 296 37 282 10976 9632 43 306 55 315 39 324 32 304 35 275 9632 8439 50 314 52 317 34 325 28 311 29 259 8439 7379 59 314 50 322 31 323 23 318 21 266 7379 6437 65 310 53 323 31*315 20 325 15 284 6437 5603 66 306 52*321 29*305 17 328 9 276 5603 4867 63 303 48*315 29 304 14 319 6 257 4867 4207 59 301 46 313 28 304 12 309 5 240 4207 3623 54 299 44 312 28 304 11 308 5 220 3623 3133 48 298 42 312 27 304 10 308 5 199 3133 2757 42 296 38 311 25 303 9 305 5 187 2757 2497 35 295 34 310 23 303 6 298 6 185 2497 2338 29 295 30 310 21 303 5*284 7*180 2338 2249 20*294 23 310 16 302 3*247 5*168 2249 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography