DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/14 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.7 - - 53.6 - - 50.9 - - 42.9 - - 39.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -42 - - 53 - - 84 - - 20 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 54 - - 3182 - - 6223 - - 3429 - - 54 BL Depth Hcrit 2233 - - 3066 - - 5726 - - 2233 - - 2233 Hcrit BL Top 2249 - - 5377 - - 8418 - - 5624 - - 2249 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 216 - - 4232 - - 1833 - - 2108 - - 4422 Hgt.Variab. W* 14 - - 234 - - 333 - - 168 - - 28 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 27 - - 47 - - 48 - - 24 BL Wind Direction 244 - - 292 - - 295 - - 314 - - 320 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 22 - - 30 - - 31 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 6 - - -8 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -887 - - -161 - - 1645 - - 610 - - -2029 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3136 - - 5538 - - 6773 - - 5014 - - 4278 sfcLCL ODpotential -5916 - - -1328 - - 730 - - 175 - - -2516 ODpotential blCL 8165 - - 6705 - - 7688 - - 5449 - - 4765 blCL maxRH 100 - - 89 - - 98 - - 101 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 80 - - 40 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.7 - - 53.6 - - 50.9 - - 42.9 - - 39.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.9 - - 37.1 - - 29.1 - - 28.9 - - 29.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.6 - - 53.2 - - 50.5 - - 42.9 - - 39.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.7 - - 36.5 - - 28.8 - - 28.8 - - 29.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -42 - - 53 - - 84 - - 20 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 54 - - 3182 - - 6223 - - 3429 - - 54 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 98 - - 55 - - 92 - - 102 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97456 14 001 22 357 16 002 18 332 23 350 97456 90353 10 345 6 320 15 334 15 320 15 335 90353 84810 6 295 9 302 15 311 15 315 9 324 84810 80162 11 282 10 291 14 290 16 310 8 294 80162 76113 8 281 10 274 14 288 16 286 11 294 76113 72510 14 303 13 248 10 278 11 270 6 263 72510 69231 15 271 13 264 17 297 16 301 8 295 69231 66202 13 296 10 256 20 273 17 269 14 286 66202 63380 19 287 4 220 11 262 6 245 13 261 63380 60627 26 282 23 308 16 280 14 302 3 265 60627 57732 34 283 28 262 22 263 15 255 15 229 57732 54719 28 284 24 246 24 260 29 280 16 276 54719 51850 25 279 29 264 32 270 49 278 41 269 51850 49262 33 267 30 267 27 266 42 262 46 265 49262 46924 43 266 40 276 34 252 33 280 40 280 46924 44805 54 271 49 273 38 272 47 299 46 294 44805 42882 59 274 51 262 39 270 54 296 49 298 42882 41120 60 271 44 255 38 270 49 293 47 299 41120 39490 61 262 36 262 38 279 45 296 49 308 39490 37975 64 255 45 278 54 286 48 302 59 313 37975 36563 65 249 70 272 72 277 59 304 68 314 36563 35219 66 244 85 260 80 271 60 302 75 318 35219 33875 68 240 78 257 75 275 56 313 83 326 33875 32502 71 239 70 262 64 283 69 326 100 338 32502 31099 75 240 75 266 60 294 80 326 124 341 31099 29643 75 240 78 267 66 298 79 322 129 338 29643 28121 71 239 72 269 67 297 72 323 119 333 28121 26540 67 239 64 268 67 296 66 324 104 332 26540 24903 63 239 61 269 65 292 61 321 83 332 24903 23210 60 241 63 272 59 292 56 319 69 329 23210 21463 60 250 65 275 56 295 55 319 61 328 21463 19658 57 259 64 276 54 294 56 318 54 330 19658 17783 54 267 60 276 51 292 55 318 52 330 17783 15869 51 270 55 277 49 289 53 318 54 327 15869 14022 45 268 50 275 50 289 54 319 54 329 14022 12341 36 267 45 272 51 291 55 321 52 332 12341 10848 34 280 43 279 53 290 55 324 50 334 10848 9521 38 290 47 291 53*290 55 324 52 341 9521 8343 40 299 49 298 53*291 57 322 53 345 8343 7299 41 300 46 300 53 292 58 319 54 342 7299 6376 40 298 44 299 50 294 58*318 54 337 6376 5559 40 294 40*298 49 295 56*316 53 331 5559 4835 39 290 37*296 47 296 54 315 52 327 4835 4185 38 286 33 294 46 296 52 314 50 325 4185 3608 37 282 29 292 44 297 50 313 48 323 3608 3124 35 277 26 291 42 297 47 313 45 322 3124 2752 29 265 23 290 39 297 43 312 41 321 2752 2495 21 251 21 289 35 297 38 312 37 320 2495 2339 17 249 19 289 31 297 33 311 32 320 2339 2249 9*244 15 289 24 297 25 311 24*320 2249 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography