DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/12 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0950z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 34.4 - - 41.3 - - 49.4 - - 38.5 - - 33.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -22 - - 0 - - -3 - - -10 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 54 - - 55 - - 55 - - 54 - - 54 BL Depth Hcrit 2232 - - 2233 - - 2234 - - 2233 - - 2233 Hcrit BL Top 2249 - - 2250 - - 2250 - - 2249 - - 2249 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 142 - - 120 - - 258 - - 146 - - 58 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 17 - - 19 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 186 - - 179 - - 144 - - 117 - - 124 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -792 - - -1463 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2249 - - 3043 - - 3713 - - 2249 - - 2249 sfcLCL ODpotential -11208 - - -11019 - - -9777 - - -10290 - - -10708 ODpotential blCL 13457 - - 13269 - - 12027 - - 12539 - - 12957 blCL maxRH 90 - - 71 - - 68 - - 82 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 34.4 - - 41.3 - - 49.4 - - 38.5 - - 33.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.7 - - 35.9 - - 41.0 - - 37.3 - - 33.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.8 - - 41.4 - - 49.8 - - 41.1 - - 36.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.3 - - 35.3 - - 40.0 - - 38.5 - - 35.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -22 - - 0 - - -3 - - -10 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 54 - - 55 - - 55 - - 54 - - 54 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 61 - - 0 - - 0 - - 29 - - 22 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96177 24 091 33 081 32 096 20 103 23 080 96177 89218 24 096 24 098 20 093 24 091 29 093 89218 83768 20 098 19 121 17 097 19 077 25 109 83768 79204 13 093 15 125 10 099 16 088 16 114 79204 75236 10 100 10 125 6 128 10 097 11 115 75236 71689 8 120 9 164 4 141 8 153 4 129 71689 68459 7 143 9 193 3 218 9 108 6 121 68459 65469 7 143 11 190 18 203 7 282 7 016 65469 62659 6 238 8 208 11 205 15 242 6 254 62659 59941 22 206 13 199 18 210 14 221 7 226 59941 57122 17 246 10 251 17 236 14 244 10 278 57122 54195 45 243 41 250 40 256 30 246 31 253 54195 51398 39 222 36 221 41 239 39 234 38 241 51398 48893 19 234 20 209 34 225 41 230 43 235 48893 46681 41 272 23 247 25 237 42 234 47 235 46681 44701 56 268 46 269 31 248 47 251 50 246 44701 42907 70 260 74 265 58 259 63 258 63 255 42907 41267 79 256 83 257 81 254 83 254 79 253 41267 39755 85 260 84 257 91 254 88 255 83 247 39755 38351 88 260 89 258 94 258 89 256 78 246 38351 37030 80 255 87 257 91 259 86 254 71 245 37030 35751 74 253 80 255 85 260 78 252 62 241 35751 34452 70 253 77 255 76 261 67 249 55 239 34452 33104 61 249 73 253 65 257 57 244 51 234 33104 31709 50 244 62 248 58 251 51 241 50 232 31709 30254 42 236 53 240 54 246 49 242 50 232 30254 28730 43 231 48 236 49 242 49 238 50 234 28730 27139 44 229 47 234 46 240 48 235 49 237 27139 25482 45 228 46 236 46 239 45 233 47 240 25482 23765 45 228 46 239 46 239 44 232 47 240 23765 21991 44 230 46 243 46 238 46 231 49 237 21991 20153 43 232 45 244 46 237 48 230 45 235 20153 18243 44 234 42 243 46 235 49 228 37 230 18243 16298 44 236 37 236 45 235 46 229 33 223 16298 14419 41 235 34 222 41 239 40 232 30 218 14419 12707 36 233 32 213 36 240 34 232 28 214 12707 11181 27 241 26 221 30 234 29 231 26 215 11181 9818 21 266 19 236 28 226 25 228 23 215 9818 8601 13 289 14 221 25 222 24 221 22 218 8601 7515 5 299 15 211 21 222 26 218 20 228 7515 6550 7 296 16 229 19 232 25 222 17 247 6550 5695 13 293 18 250 19 241 23 235 14 260 5695 4937 20 280 19 262 19 241 22 243 13 255 4937 4255 23 281 16 268 15 234 17 236 13 243 4255 3651 14 293 8 281 8 200 12 189 12 219 3651 3146 2 159 1 206 11 158 14 177 13 186 3146 2761 15 165 7 155 14 163 12 163 12 179 2761 2498 17 176 12 168 11 166 13 137 11 169 2498 2339 13*182 9*176 7 154 10 131 9*150 2339 2249 7*186 4*179 4*144 5*117 3*124 2249 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography