DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/31 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 63.1 - - 71.1 - - 76.6 - - - - - 73.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 38 - - 158 - - 147 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 343 - - 1810 - - 3017 - - - - - 57 BL Depth Hcrit 2235 - - 3027 - - 3872 - - - - - 2236 Hcrit BL Top 2538 - - 4005 - - 5212 - - - - - 2252 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 575 - - 761 - - 1287 - - - - - 4118 Hgt.Variab. W* 99 - - 277 - - 325 - - - - - 7 W* B/S 6 - - 23 - - 23 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction 111 - - 120 - - 168 - - - - - 047 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -937 - - -981 - - -813 - - - - - -1932 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3475 - - 4986 - - 6025 - - - - - 4185 sfcLCL ODpotential -6436 - - -4682 - - -3705 - - - - - -5451 ODpotential blCL 8974 - - 8687 - - 8917 - - - - - 7703 blCL maxRH 80 - - 84 - - 78 - - - - - 65 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 50 - - 350 - - - - - 1130 CAPE Temp@2m 63.1 - - 71.1 - - 76.6 - - - - - 73.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 55.5 - - 56.9 - - 57.8 - - - - - 62.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.7 - - 70.0 - - 75.6 - - - - - 75.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 55.2 - - 56.0 - - 56.7 - - - - - 61.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 38 - - 158 - - 147 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 343 - - 1810 - - 3017 - - - - - 57 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 20 - - 37 - - 11 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - - - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 100358 17 097 23 110 14 133 19 087 100358 92763 12 129 16 105 10 106 5 102 92763 86907 10 122 10 113 9 103 8 093 86907 82040 6 107 8 118 7 096 8 082 82040 77834 7 108 8 142 6 097 4 109 77834 74097 6 119 11 150 7 182 6 066 74097 70710 3 074 7 102 7 164 7 354 70710 67606 5 281 2 061 5 163 6 267 67606 64729 8 264 4 285 5 255 3 278 64729 61946 10 272 9 294 9 231 8 256 61946 59036 13 270 16 291 14 291 15 251 59036 56005 20 271 24 273 24 286 24 264 56005 53125 23 276 27 271 29 274 36 277 53125 50556 32 283 32 279 32 274 40 283 50556 48266 38 277 39 287 37 284 45 283 48266 46205 48 285 52 284 45 283 47 282 46205 44343 58 283 55 279 50 277 49 285 44343 42645 63 290 57 281 52 274 56 284 42645 41079 71 296 60 284 53 275 56 281 41079 39616 73 296 61 288 55 277 53 280 39616 38238 70 295 61 290 55 277 51 278 38238 36909 66 293 60 290 56 278 51 276 36909 35562 63 291 59 290 56 280 51 276 35562 34167 61 288 57 289 57 284 50 276 34167 32729 59 286 55 290 56 287 49 276 32729 31234 57 284 53 291 54 289 49 276 31234 29669 52 282 50 290 51 291 49 276 29669 28035 45 277 48 286 49 291 47 277 28035 26331 41 272 45 285 49 289 42 276 26331 24556 39 275 40 283 48 288 40 277 24556 22712 35 279 38 280 43 289 38 280 22712 20795 31 279 36 281 35 287 37 284 20795 18800 29 277 32 282 31 285 34 287 18800 16773 26 277 27 279 27 286 30 288 16773 14824 21 278 21 270 22 284 26 289 14824 13054 17 276 14 253 18 274 22 289 13054 11479 11 266 12 257 18 263 19 291 11479 10075 9 273 12 256 15 265 15 293 10075 8823 7 280 12 236 10 271 11 300 8823 7707 3 194 9 204 9 262 8 297 7707 6714 6 121 9 153 9 232 7 266 6714 5835 7 083 12 136 6*206 6 244 5835 5053 8 056 8 140 3*171 4 240 5053 4350 6 049 3*126 3 170 2 230 4350 3725 3 094 3*121 3 166 1 212 3725 3201 7 152 2 119 2 168 0 073 3201 2797 7*143 2 118 2 165 1 055 2797 2519 3*114 2 120 2 166 1 046 2519 2349 3 111 2 119 2 168 1 048 2349 2252 3 110 2 117 2 166 2*047 2252 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography