DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/21 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - -4.9 - - 2.3 - - 5.6 - - 4.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 13 - - 36 - - 7 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 143 - - 581 - - 52 - - 52 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2230 - - 2230 - - 2231 - - 2230 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2338 - - 2776 - - 2247 - - 2247 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 234 - - 747 - - 2027 - - 2252 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 51 - - 112 - - 29 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 3 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 329 - - 099 - - 082 - - 102 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -581 - - -15 - - -706 - - -540 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2919 - - 2791 - - 2953 - - 2787 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13484 - - -11015 - - -1177 - - -1046 ODpotential blCL - - - 15822 - - 13791 - - 3424 - - 3293 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 97 - - 101 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - -4.9 - - 2.3 - - 5.6 - - 4.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - -8.9 - - -1.1 - - 1.5 - - 1.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - -5.1 - - 1.9 - - 5.5 - - 5.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -8.8 - - -1.5 - - 1.3 - - 1.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 13 - - 36 - - 7 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 143 - - 581 - - 52 - - 52 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 104 - - 88 - - 103 - - 105 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97384 27 146 9 121 20 131 13 131 97384 90120 23 126 16 138 11 136 12 097 90120 84448 19 107 19 140 2 149 10 095 84448 79694 16 107 20 149 3 295 7 077 79694 75570 11 109 18 146 4 225 3 073 75570 71905 11 124 11 153 7 202 3 244 71905 68571 9 146 7 212 6 209 8 231 68571 65490 7 202 11 233 7 234 12 242 65490 62617 8 235 13 238 8 239 12 244 62617 59816 9 240 14 243 9 251 10 264 59816 56884 10 253 14 249 12 269 12 281 56884 53848 13 258 14 256 13 277 15 275 53848 50959 14 272 15 263 15 282 15 278 50959 48364 15 272 17 272 19 286 16 280 48364 46048 13 288 18 273 24 283 20 292 46048 43957 13 295 19 277 26 283 24 292 43957 42047 16 290 21 277 28 281 31 290 42047 40288 18 290 22 281 28 282 34 280 40288 38661 20 292 24 283 31 282 34 277 38661 37149 19 292 27 282 29 283 37 276 37149 35744 18 298 27 280 28 287 36 275 35744 34420 22 308 25 290 30 291 27 287 34420 33108 27 300 32 298 33 299 38 306 33108 31781 33 301 39 297 42 296 58 305 31781 30437 35 306 42 299 41 290 67 301 30437 29048 35 311 45 303 38 289 57 301 29048 27592 36 314 45 303 37 293 54 307 27592 26066 39 314 42 302 40 295 56 317 26066 24470 41 313 39 308 37 297 49 320 24470 22807 39 314 37 310 32 294 39 304 22807 21075 31 313 33 308 29 296 35 290 21075 19272 27 314 26 297 28 292 30 290 19272 17396 20 317 23 290 24 288 26 282 17396 15488 15 320 17 296 20 286 25 278 15488 13656 14 336 14 292 16 278 22 270 13656 11995 9 333 9 297 13 266 17 256 11995 10521 5 299 3 308 7 260 12 242 10521 9214 3 274 2 133 4 218 10 225 9214 8056 3 143 3 146 5 178 9 191 8056 7035 6 131 4 156 6 163 12 169 7035 6136 5 144 5 157 6 156 13 161 6136 5347 4 160 4 127 9 163 13 158 5347 4659 1 167 5 072 8 143 12 141 4659 4049 5 052 6 084 7 099 13 122 4049 3511 7 080 5 110 8 087 14 114 3511 3060 6 105 5*113 8 086 13 108 3060 2714 4 104 4*104 7 084 13 105 2714 2475 2*338 3 099 6 083 11 103 2475 2330 1*330 3 095 6 082 10*102 2330 2247 1 328 3 096 5*082 6*102 2247 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography