DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/21 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 27.8 - - 43.8 - - 55.1 - - 48.8 - - 39.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 74 - - 52 - - -16 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 54 - - 349 - - 656 - - 55 - - 55 BL Depth Hcrit 2232 - - 2233 - - 2234 - - 2234 - - 2233 Hcrit BL Top 2249 - - 2544 - - 2851 - - 2250 - - 2250 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 60 - - 340 - - 641 - - 219 - - 34 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 121 - - 134 - - 7 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 222 - - 247 - - 237 - - 242 - - 207 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -213 - - -3727 - - -6385 - - -5139 - - -2343 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2462 - - 6272 - - 9237 - - 7390 - - 4593 sfcLCL ODpotential -14597 - - -14211 - - -14571 - - -13999 - - -12634 ODpotential blCL 16846 - - 16755 - - 17422 - - 16249 - - 14884 blCL maxRH 65 - - 49 - - 55 - - 41 - - 40 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 27.8 - - 43.8 - - 55.1 - - 48.8 - - 39.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.1 - - 24.7 - - 22.9 - - 24.7 - - 28.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 30.6 - - 43.2 - - 54.5 - - 52.6 - - 43.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.4 - - 24.5 - - 22.3 - - 24.3 - - 27.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 74 - - 52 - - -16 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 54 - - 349 - - 656 - - 55 - - 55 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97152 27 271 28 274 26 281 22 274 25 276 97152 90109 14 312 11 237 16 260 14 298 10 305 90109 84619 4 319 6 240 13 243 6 269 3 041 84619 79997 6 260 7 282 10 248 5 267 3 282 79997 75967 10 244 11 257 11 262 11 254 7 283 75967 72373 12 240 17 242 17 258 14 250 10 283 72373 69104 14 262 20 244 21 250 19 259 12 236 69104 66102 19 274 19 253 24 248 18 267 14 254 66102 63305 25 257 21 262 25 248 23 253 18 237 63305 60586 21 260 21 266 23 255 22 245 25 235 60586 57746 23 271 24 256 23 252 19 257 23 235 57746 54774 25 256 29 247 27 256 29 244 23 248 54774 51919 24 252 29 229 35 250 28 240 33 241 51919 49366 20 258 24 220 36 237 30 250 36 243 49366 47101 17 247 23 225 35 226 34 250 37 249 47101 45052 18 221 26 222 33 224 39 248 38 244 45052 43179 21 211 27 212 33 225 43 235 37 239 43179 41456 19 211 30 212 39 223 40 218 37 238 41456 39857 25 209 32 216 38 222 38 223 36 234 39857 38370 30 197 32 220 36 229 43 238 37 234 38370 36985 34 190 33 215 40 225 48 243 42 235 36985 35671 35 184 38 201 42 219 51 240 46 232 35671 34360 32 186 42 191 40 216 52 232 46 227 34360 33015 29 192 42 191 39 220 52 227 43 225 33015 31630 28 199 42 193 42 229 49 225 41 226 31630 30189 24 203 42 195 44 232 45 223 40 227 30189 28679 21 198 41 199 45 233 43 224 39 227 28679 27102 27 194 42 201 42 235 40 226 38 227 27102 25455 23 198 43 200 38 234 37 228 37 228 25455 23742 20 201 43 200 34 229 34 229 38 232 23742 21965 24 210 40 204 34 227 33 231 40 237 21965 20122 29 220 38 211 33 230 33 234 42 239 20122 18205 27 231 35 222 30 232 35 238 42 237 18205 16251 22 235 31 226 28 235 37 242 40 237 16251 14366 17 235 29 222 31 246 38 248 38 244 14366 12650 14 238 24 228 33 252 37 252 34 247 12650 11124 14 241 22 248 26 252 35 258 30 247 11124 9770 14 240 18 253 21 252 30 266 28 257 9770 8564 14 251 17 257 21 250 25 272 27 269 8564 7490 13 263 15 265 20 256 22 273 26 271 7490 6533 12 265 12 266 19 274 20 274 23 273 6533 5684 10 264 11 275 19 286 19 278 21 276 5684 4931 9 262 12 290 17 294 18 282 20 284 4931 4255 7 264 11 295 15 310 18 288 19 293 4255 3654 5 249 11 297 12 310 15 293 17 297 3654 3152 4 230 10 301 7*280 12 281 14 293 3152 2767 5 269 7*291 5*239 10 267 9 269 2767 2501 13 285 3*250 5 237 9 260 9 223 2501 2341 9*269 3 246 5 235 7 248 10*213 2341 2250 4*222 2 245 4 234 6*242 5*207 2250 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography