DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/17 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 30.1 - - 34.7 - - 32.8 - - 25.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -66 - - -76 - - -77 - - -66 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 54 - - 54 - - 54 - - 53 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2232 - - 2233 - - 2233 - - 2232 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2249 - - 2249 - - 2249 - - 2248 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 393 - - 1495 - - 2294 - - 2618 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 19 - - 20 - - 11 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 22 - - 23 - - 20 BL Wind Direction - - - 304 - - 317 - - 322 - - 330 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1338 - - -996 - - -362 - - -748 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3587 - - 3245 - - 2612 - - 2996 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11621 - - -7597 - - -2869 - - -3860 ODpotential blCL - - - 13870 - - 9846 - - 5118 - - 6108 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 78 - - 79 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 30.1 - - 34.7 - - 32.8 - - 25.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.6 - - 28.6 - - 29.5 - - 21.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 33.8 - - 38.1 - - 36.2 - - 29.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.1 - - 28.2 - - 29.3 - - 20.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -66 - - -76 - - -77 - - -66 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 54 - - 54 - - 54 - - 53 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 88 - - 11 - - 15 - - 16 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97497 45 028 42 040 37 019 41 022 97497 90247 37 005 35 031 37 028 35 016 90247 84580 29 360 31 020 36 014 31 011 84580 79828 24 349 31 003 35 010 37 005 79828 75708 18 003 25 341 33 003 36 358 75708 72041 19 009 20 354 33 352 35 357 72041 68712 22 002 28 358 37 348 37 350 68712 65651 32 349 32 344 40 346 39 345 65651 62796 32 329 30 328 38 337 40 344 62796 60018 25 330 25 336 32 328 31 332 60018 57111 27 346 30 003 27 344 34 329 57111 54098 41 344 36 001 25 339 39 309 54098 51240 39 330 38 343 30 315 34 323 51240 48681 34 335 37 329 47 341 57 332 48681 46403 48 346 48 343 71 343 67 323 46403 44349 79 333 77 336 72 328 66 325 44349 42477 89 323 82 328 71 323 73 332 42477 40765 80 318 83 323 80 326 95 327 40765 39203 77 319 90 323 96 325 107 319 39203 37768 78 323 99 325 107 325 109 322 37768 36431 83 328 103 327 112 329 115 329 36431 35143 85 330 104 329 118 334 127 333 35143 33837 84 330 104 329 125 337 130 331 33837 32485 82 330 103 327 126 336 129 329 32485 31087 79 330 100 326 123 334 127 328 31087 29631 78 329 99 327 118 333 121 328 29631 28112 78 329 97 327 113 332 110 328 28112 26527 77 328 95 327 109 331 108 326 26527 24876 78 327 93 327 105 332 105 324 24876 23161 78 328 90 325 102 334 100 324 23161 21392 79 331 87 325 96 334 94 326 21392 19562 79 333 84 326 91 331 89 328 19562 17668 78 333 82 328 84 331 83 327 17668 15745 77 330 79 331 75 339 73 326 15745 13896 76 327 74 332 72 345 64 327 13896 12215 73 324 67 334 70 344 60 331 12215 10725 69 322 63 337 69 341 57 334 10725 9409 66 321 63 340 66 342 54 339 9409 8247 62 321 63 341 61 344 53 344 8247 7217 58 320 59 339 58 346 53 349 7217 6302 54 321 55 338 58 347 52 356 6302 5496 55 325 54 338 58 348 49 356 5496 4784 58 329 56 336 57 344 47 351 4784 4146 60 329 55 331 54 335 46 343 4146 3580 59 326 53 326 51 329 45 339 3580 3106 51 319 48 322 47 326 42 336 3106 2741 42 314 42 320 42 324 38 334 2741 2489 31 308 35 318 36 323 32 332 2489 2336 28*307 31 318 32 322 28 331 2336 2248 17*304 22*317 23*322 20*330 2248 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography