DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/12 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1334z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.1 - - 51.0 - - 51.5 - - 43.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 94 - - 105 - - 66 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3211 - - 3585 - - 5230 - - 55 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3671 - - 4018 - - 4765 - - 2233 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5406 - - 5780 - - 7425 - - 2250 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3492 - - 4028 - - 1300 - - 2582 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 277 - - 298 - - 290 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 323 - - 322 - - 310 - - 295 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - -11 - - -15 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1043 - - 0 - - 820 - - -1790 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4363 - - 5780 - - 6605 - - 4040 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 384 - - -715 - - -70 - - -4050 ODpotential blCL - - - 5022 - - 6495 - - 7495 - - 6300 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 96 - - 83 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - 100 - - 60 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.1 - - 51.0 - - 51.5 - - 43.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.0 - - 33.6 - - 30.5 - - 33.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.4 - - 50.0 - - 50.9 - - 46.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.5 - - 33.1 - - 30.1 - - 33.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 94 - - 105 - - 66 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3211 - - 3585 - - 5230 - - 55 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 83 - - 33 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98125 23 252 34 266 29 287 23 292 98125 90813 15 272 19 286 23 286 24 291 90813 85164 13 299 15 295 22 285 22 288 85164 80489 18 309 14 307 20 281 18 293 80489 76451 17 296 17 301 18 307 17 306 76451 72852 14 291 17 296 20 316 18 308 72852 69572 10 294 16 295 16 306 18 311 69572 66541 11 309 15 307 15 314 18 316 66541 63719 17 325 17 319 18 325 16 313 63719 60981 16 330 18 334 18 323 15 339 60981 58117 17 342 19 342 21 340 22 346 58117 55156 22 353 25 341 24 342 22 356 55156 52345 26 354 25 349 26 359 25 359 52345 49821 29 355 26 000 34 009 33 347 49821 47563 32 001 35 013 39 010 26 341 47563 45504 35 010 48 020 36 016 26 355 45504 43604 39 014 51 018 45 023 35 358 43604 41847 45 016 51 020 52 018 41 355 41847 40224 51 019 54 022 56 014 43 356 40224 38721 55 023 58 023 61 014 45 358 38721 37322 59 022 60 023 66 016 47 008 37322 35989 60 022 62 027 68 018 53 015 35989 34646 59 025 67 032 64 024 54 011 34646 33260 59 030 74 035 63 029 48 011 33260 31833 58 030 71 035 61 026 42 016 31833 30351 52 026 68 033 57 021 40 020 30351 28804 41 016 63 027 53 020 39 014 28804 27190 37 005 57 024 52 018 35 012 27190 25507 35 358 52 026 50 016 31 021 25507 23755 36 351 48 023 43 010 30 017 23755 21939 38 349 42 014 35 009 29 005 21939 20058 38 346 35 001 32 003 27 353 20058 18106 34 339 32 352 32 356 27 347 18106 16124 31 332 29 342 29 353 26 348 16124 14225 27 328 26 334 25 347 22 350 14225 12508 24 329 24 328 24 337 19 338 12508 10985 20 335 20 333 20 332 14 333 10985 9636 14 338 14 327 14 333 10 340 9636 8444 13 325 13 324 10*331 9 329 8444 7390 12 322 12 321 9*327 9 312 7390 6454 12 321 11*320 9 318 8 306 6454 5625 11*320 10*321 9 311 7 306 5625 4888 10*320 10 322 9 307 7 303 4888 4225 9 321 9 322 9 306 7 304 4225 3636 9 323 9 322 9 304 6 308 3636 3143 9 325 9 323 9 303 6 310 3143 2762 8 325 8 323 9 302 6 312 2762 2501 8 326 8 323 8 302 6 310 2501 2341 7 327 7 322 8 301 4*300 2341 2250 6 327 6 324 7 301 4*295 2250 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography