DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/15 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.9 - - 43.0 - - 50.1 - - 48.5 - - 37.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 89 - - 163 - - 386 - - 211 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1974 - - 1695 - - 3340 - - 2489 - - 54 BL Depth Hcrit 2662 - - 2946 - - 4449 - - 3600 - - 2233 Hcrit BL Top 4169 - - 3890 - - 5535 - - 4684 - - 2249 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1795 - - 1303 - - 1628 - - 1042 - - 2043 Hgt.Variab. W* 230 - - 271 - - 447 - - 331 - - 6 W* B/S 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 21 - - 15 - - 21 - - 15 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 321 - - 336 - - 345 - - 008 - - 069 Direction Wind Shear 9 - - 6 - - 11 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - -6 - - -11 - - -5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 794 - - 875 - - 535 - - -142 - - -1147 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3375 - - 3015 - - 5000 - - 4826 - - 3397 sfcLCL ODpotential 457 - - 403 - - 49 - - -1915 - - -5786 ODpotential blCL 3712 - - 3487 - - 5486 - - 6599 - - 8035 blCL maxRH 101 - - 100 - - 87 - - 86 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.9 - - 43.0 - - 50.1 - - 48.5 - - 37.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.8 - - 37.5 - - 35.8 - - 35.0 - - 30.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.3 - - 41.9 - - 48.2 - - 47.1 - - 38.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.7 - - 36.7 - - 35.6 - - 34.8 - - 30.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 89 - - 163 - - 386 - - 211 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1974 - - 1695 - - 3340 - - 2489 - - 54 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 101 - - 46 - - 42 - - 76 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98276 10 122 6 114 9 125 4 244 9 068 98276 90821 12 119 6 159 5 114 2 132 6 131 90821 85078 10 090 8 130 5 119 2 130 6 134 85078 80290 5 054 7 122 2 090 2 160 5 041 80290 76146 1 250 3 124 4 122 3 146 2 296 76146 72482 7 238 4 205 3 249 2 053 3 179 72482 69162 10 219 3 172 6 247 4 230 3 256 69162 66097 5 171 5 205 6 241 5 214 5 234 66097 63237 2 305 9 220 7 225 6 268 6 245 63237 60437 6 278 7 223 7 222 10 223 12 238 60437 57505 16 222 8 242 8 226 13 214 18 229 57505 54462 27 229 13 197 14 207 14 219 20 218 54462 51552 22 230 13 190 18 220 14 225 13 212 51552 48931 13 237 14 211 19 220 16 223 10 224 48931 46583 14 229 19 220 18 223 16 222 11 220 46583 44451 17 216 22 219 21 226 18 228 12 220 44451 42501 16 220 22 212 21 225 22 231 14 229 42501 40711 18 228 19 217 19 223 22 225 18 226 40711 39062 22 228 19 224 16 222 19 216 20 216 39062 37537 23 225 20 221 15 216 20 211 21 214 37537 36126 20 226 15 209 16 213 21 198 23 213 36126 34790 21 227 18 198 20 196 22 183 24 193 34790 33472 35 171 32 179 24 179 26 179 30 172 33472 32139 49 153 44 159 37 172 33 173 39 163 32139 30775 44 149 38 146 41 158 38 165 42 159 30775 29354 35 146 35 147 36 155 35 161 37 161 29354 27869 27 130 27 144 30 152 32 157 31 162 27869 26321 21 115 21 138 26 139 24 150 29 150 26321 24713 10 117 14 139 18 137 13 155 20 153 24713 23045 2 348 8 109 9 158 10 198 10 145 23045 21323 12 315 2 302 10 243 14 242 5 212 21323 19542 16 318 18 287 12 284 11 276 6 292 19542 17694 16 311 19 305 12 309 8 308 9 316 17694 15811 19 313 15 321 16 307 16 311 16 312 15811 13996 23 315 24 329 24 311 20 314 24 312 13996 12343 27 326 31 322 30 311 27 310 26 314 12343 10869 31 323 34 316 34 312 32 308 26 323 10869 9553 32 327 37 317 36 309 34 310 25 329 9553 8378 34 327 40 322 36 308 33 313 25 334 8378 7326 33 327 41 324 34 312 30 318 26 343 7326 6390 29 330 38 322 29 321 26 328 25 357 6390 5560 25 330 34 321 26*328 24 334 19 007 5560 4829 24 327 28 322 24*334 17*353 11 019 4829 4176 24*323 21*326 23 339 16*003 9 058 4176 3601 23*322 17*332 21 347 16 007 10 068 3601 3120 22 321 15 336 20 349 16 009 11 068 3120 2750 21 321 15 337 20 351 15 010 11 069 2750 2494 20 321 14 339 19 352 15 011 10 069 2494 2338 18 320 13 339 18 352 14 011 9*069 2338 2249 14 320 11 339 15 353 12 011 7*069 2249 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography