DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/15 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.3 - - 49.3 - - - - - 41.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 115 - - 127 - - - - - -47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1011 - - 2786 - - - - - 54 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2233 - - 3551 - - - - - 2233 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3206 - - 4981 - - - - - 2249 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1835 - - 1048 - - - - - 309 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 199 - - 288 - - - - - 9 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 5 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 10 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 267 - - 199 - - - - - 175 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -2 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1747 - - -2092 - - - - - -4111 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4954 - - 7073 - - - - - 6360 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5440 - - -8909 - - - - - -14468 ODpotential blCL - - - 8646 - - 13890 - - - - - 16717 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 78 - - - - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.3 - - 49.3 - - - - - 41.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.1 - - 26.8 - - - - - 22.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.5 - - 48.4 - - - - - 43.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.1 - - 26.6 - - - - - 22.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 115 - - 127 - - - - - -47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1011 - - 2786 - - - - - 54 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 13 - - - - - 31 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97624 11 298 14 335 12 290 97624 90456 7 313 15 320 9 321 90456 84841 7 359 13 304 13 329 84841 80145 13 300 16 303 15 306 80145 76094 12 270 15 285 14 297 76094 72499 13 282 19 281 10 277 72499 69235 14 281 22 277 16 297 69235 66228 13 296 17 274 21 287 66228 63421 18 312 14 294 26 285 63421 60700 28 307 28 315 28 296 60700 57858 36 297 41 301 38 301 57858 54928 35 292 35 300 46 298 54928 52168 39 319 44 326 42 303 52168 49707 56 326 64 322 51 316 49707 47516 66 325 71 324 58 324 47516 45543 80 322 74 326 69 328 45543 43753 79 317 73 328 78 323 43753 42113 67 324 74 331 79 318 42113 40583 65 339 77 332 77 315 40583 39138 78 349 80 334 72 316 39138 37769 87 347 81 336 69 317 37769 36444 92 344 81 338 67 316 36444 35100 93 342 80 338 62 311 35100 33708 94 340 78 339 58 309 33708 32274 91 339 76 339 53 311 32274 30781 83 338 73 334 52 315 30781 29218 78 334 72 328 53 319 29218 27585 74 333 68 327 52 322 27585 25882 73 333 62 332 52 323 25882 24112 71 334 57 338 51 322 24112 22279 65 334 56 338 48 321 22279 20378 61 336 54 335 44 320 20378 18405 57 336 49 333 40 321 18405 16398 48 332 46 331 35 327 16398 14471 37 336 41 331 33 321 14471 12720 25 340 30 324 29 300 12720 11166 15 352 20 309 23 295 11166 9786 11 006 10 278 18 278 9786 8557 8 001 7 239 16 266 8557 7464 7 347 7 220 17 255 7464 6497 5 325 8 213 23 236 6497 5647 4 304 10*205 31 222 5647 4898 4 287 10*201 36 209 4898 4229 5 275 10 200 35 202 4229 3636 7*273 10 199 35 197 3636 3140 6*269 10 199 32 192 3140 2759 5 267 9 198 29 186 2759 2498 5 267 9 197 21 179 2498 2340 4 266 8 197 18 178 2340 2249 4 266 7 197 9*175 2249 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography