DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/13 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m -21.2 - - -9.3 - - -0.1 - - 6.4 - - 7.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -11 - - -5 - - 12 - - 5 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 50 - - 51 - - 355 - - 221 - - 52 BL Depth Hcrit 2229 - - 2230 - - 2230 - - 2231 - - 2231 Hcrit BL Top 2245 - - 2246 - - 2550 - - 2416 - - 2247 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 90 - - 297 - - 333 - - 741 - - 519 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 0 - - 66 - - 44 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 7 - - 15 - - 14 - - 13 BL Wind Direction 183 - - 171 - - 168 - - 170 - - 170 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -952 - - -627 - - -311 - - -530 - - -539 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3197 - - 2873 - - 2861 - - 2947 - - 2786 sfcLCL ODpotential -25434 - - -22796 - - -20588 - - -19557 - - -19005 ODpotential blCL 27679 - - 25042 - - 23138 - - 21973 - - 21252 blCL maxRH 100 - - 99 - - 92 - - 100 - - 96 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m -21.2 - - -9.3 - - -0.1 - - 6.4 - - 7.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -26.5 - - -13.3 - - -4.2 - - 1.8 - - 3.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot -17.7 - - -8.7 - - -0.1 - - 6.6 - - 8.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -19.3 - - -10.4 - - -4.5 - - 1.5 - - 3.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -11 - - -5 - - 12 - - 5 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 50 - - 51 - - 355 - - 221 - - 52 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 94 - - 68 - - 101 - - 83 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95919 82 006 78 018 101 030 95 028 100 017 95919 88998 75 359 70 015 76 020 87 021 93 013 88998 83704 67 360 66 007 67 017 86 021 80 013 83704 79206 56 000 59 358 64 007 70 017 68 014 79206 75246 48 357 54 356 56 001 63 006 57 011 75246 71708 46 355 47 354 47 355 52 356 47 003 71708 68467 45 345 44 353 40 344 41 343 40 345 68467 65449 45 343 42 352 39 336 40 332 43 330 65449 62638 48 339 43 349 38 334 42 331 38 328 62638 59906 50 337 41 341 39 329 45 325 42 328 59906 57047 53 332 43 336 40 326 46 320 44 315 57047 54088 54 326 46 332 43 330 46 318 50 315 54088 51283 58 328 49 327 54 326 59 320 60 311 51283 48780 68 320 67 322 65 320 68 318 61 313 48780 46538 65 317 72 315 74 320 74 318 68 312 46538 44502 72 328 72 319 82 316 79 313 77 304 44502 42644 90 329 82 322 79 308 82 308 73 299 42644 40939 96 321 87 320 74 312 79 299 72 297 40939 39368 100 322 96 321 80 315 77 297 78 295 39368 37914 111 326 109 318 104 306 87 297 91 291 37914 36560 125 325 115 313 113 299 100 294 101 286 36560 35264 130 323 122 311 113 299 105 290 103 283 35264 33955 121 321 119 312 107 301 102 290 98 284 33955 32607 119 320 109 316 96 304 94 293 90 287 32607 31221 114 321 94 315 88 307 83 296 83 290 31221 29782 104 319 89 312 81 307 74 298 80 293 29782 28273 101 319 87 315 77 304 70 301 76 292 28273 26696 97 319 86 316 76 302 71 302 73 292 26696 25053 94 318 87 316 74 303 68 301 69 293 25053 23347 79 319 89 314 69 306 64 304 64 295 23347 21580 65 317 86 315 68 305 61 304 58 290 21580 19742 56 312 70 317 67 305 56 302 52 288 19742 17830 51 310 55 317 61 304 52 298 49 286 17830 15892 45 310 41 303 51 298 50 298 47 282 15892 14036 37 311 33 290 43 289 49 299 46 283 14036 12353 26 315 23 291 38 283 47 297 45 285 12353 10858 17 318 18 282 36 280 44 294 43 286 10858 9529 13 310 17 270 33 279 40 296 41 289 9529 8346 13 298 15 252 24 274 42 301 39 294 8346 7290 11 287 17 239 17 264 43 299 36 296 7290 6352 8 268 20 238 19 240 29 284 31 295 6352 5522 5 233 20 228 28 219 23 244 24 285 5522 4786 8 204 20 214 35 210 25 224 21 262 4786 4125 11 213 21 202 39 198 30 218 23 248 4125 3543 12 218 25 193 34 188 31 202 28 230 3543 3070 14 204 25 192 29 181 26 180 29 207 3070 2717 16 199 22 186 21*172 21 174 26 179 2717 2477 14 204 15 176 18*169 19*172 21 174 2477 2331 11 201 11 173 16 168 17*170 19 173 2331 2247 5*183 7*171 12 167 12 169 13*170 2247 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography