DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/16 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.2 - - 64.0 - - 70.7 - - 70.1 - - 58.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 14 - - 174 - - 183 - - 18 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 55 - - 1613 - - 3302 - - 2924 - - 56 BL Depth Hcrit 2233 - - 2895 - - 4130 - - 2235 - - 2234 Hcrit BL Top 2250 - - 3808 - - 5497 - - 5119 - - 2251 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 227 - - 1594 - - 1449 - - 1483 - - 64 Hgt.Variab. W* 38 - - 268 - - 347 - - 159 - - 7 W* B/S 2 - - 8 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 314 - - 311 - - 330 - - 009 - - 094 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -3 - - -2 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1262 - - -2717 - - -3496 - - -4181 - - -4220 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3512 - - 6526 - - 8994 - - 9301 - - 6472 sfcLCL ODpotential -10119 - - -9026 - - -9690 - - -11101 - - -13324 ODpotential blCL 12369 - - 12834 - - 15187 - - 16220 - - 15575 blCL maxRH 76 - - 61 - - 65 - - 44 - - 39 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.2 - - 64.0 - - 70.7 - - 70.1 - - 58.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.0 - - 43.5 - - 39.4 - - 37.6 - - 38.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.0 - - 62.7 - - 69.2 - - 69.8 - - 62.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.0 - - 43.2 - - 38.9 - - 37.1 - - 38.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 14 - - 174 - - 183 - - 18 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 55 - - 1613 - - 3302 - - 2924 - - 56 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 4 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98202 5 319 4 252 5 336 5 275 6 269 98202 90946 4 075 3 151 4 242 6 303 8 034 90946 85341 8 094 3 106 4 182 4 271 9 027 85341 80685 8 087 6 090 4 139 5 279 9 020 80685 76672 5 070 8 084 5 094 2 278 7 046 76672 73112 5 073 9 080 7 082 2 081 5 082 73112 69867 8 098 8 098 5 087 4 083 6 071 69867 66870 7 116 6 111 5 122 3 121 4 076 66870 64081 3 188 3 193 1 178 2 142 3 088 64081 61374 4 261 5 223 5 257 4 283 4 330 61374 58544 9 269 5 245 9 262 7 287 8 300 58544 55604 9 273 7 284 10 269 12 297 14 312 55604 52812 13 284 10 295 11 313 15 300 18 308 52812 50309 15 291 15 298 15 326 12 306 14 300 50309 48072 16 295 12 311 19 338 20 337 20 351 48072 46057 24 320 22 329 24 344 29 338 29 345 46057 44226 25 322 27 328 31 348 29 354 24 354 44226 42545 18 309 22 339 37 005 38 005 30 016 42545 40991 43 007 45 011 45 007 41 008 35 018 40991 39542 53 353 49 004 45 003 40 013 36 021 39542 38182 42 339 44 358 41 002 38 011 33 021 38182 36865 31 004 40 355 38 005 35 005 34 017 36865 35528 35 034 39 357 34 007 31 002 32 011 35528 34141 29 027 39 358 32 004 29 359 29 007 34141 32707 28 354 40 359 34 002 30 357 27 005 32707 31212 35 352 40 360 35 003 30 001 26 004 31212 29644 38 358 39 359 35 360 29 001 25 001 29644 28005 38 001 39 357 35 358 29 355 26 358 28005 26294 39 003 36 358 32 003 28 354 24 356 26294 24515 40 004 31 356 26 004 26 357 21 351 24515 22670 37 011 26 354 22 355 22 356 21 349 22670 20753 27 001 20 341 22 342 22 351 21 352 20753 18757 24 340 22 336 20 337 20 349 18 359 18757 16723 21 338 21 343 19 340 15 345 13 353 16723 14763 21 344 18 341 17 346 12 344 11 336 14763 12980 21 341 18 336 15 345 12 345 11 323 12980 11394 21 340 18 337 14 340 12 344 10 322 11394 9984 21 341 18 338 15 340 12 342 9 324 9984 8732 22 344 18 337 14 340 12 336 10 320 8732 7620 21 345 17 331 14 335 11 333 11 322 7620 6634 17 340 15 327 13 329 9 333 8 332 6634 5764 15 340 13 326 9*327 5*340 3 317 5764 4994 16 346 11 327 8*328 4*356 1 169 4994 4304 14 345 10*322 7 329 5 003 4 124 4304 3691 8 336 8*314 7 330 5 009 6 111 3691 3178 3 331 6 311 7 331 5 012 7 104 3178 2783 4 345 6 311 6 332 5 015 8 098 2783 2511 9 323 5 311 6 333 5 015 8 095 2511 2345 8*320 5 310 6 333 5 015 7*093 2345 2251 4*314 5 310 5 332 4 016 5*094 2251 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography