DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/24 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0703z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.4 - - 61.8 - - 65.6 - - 66.7 - - 60.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 173 - - 386 - - 343 - - 130 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2605 - - 4627 - - 7602 - - 6787 - - 56 BL Depth Hcrit 3601 - - 5450 - - 7755 - - 6518 - - 2234 Hcrit BL Top 4800 - - 6822 - - 9797 - - 8982 - - 2251 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1076 - - 1712 - - 3145 - - 4059 - - 5176 Hgt.Variab. W* 315 - - 499 - - 566 - - 396 - - 12 W* B/S 4 - - 8 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 14 - - 12 - - 18 - - 15 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 324 - - 276 - - 267 - - 276 - - 016 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 4 - - 17 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -1 - - 4 - - -6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4390 - - -3321 - - -78 - - -784 - - -7170 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9190 - - 10143 - - 9876 - - 9767 - - 9421 sfcLCL ODpotential -9453 - - -5298 - - -557 - - -1695 - - -9917 ODpotential blCL 14253 - - 12120 - - 10354 - - 10677 - - 12168 blCL maxRH 82 - - 83 - - 100 - - 89 - - 78 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 0 - - 20 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.4 - - 61.8 - - 65.6 - - 66.7 - - 60.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.9 - - 24.8 - - 29.6 - - 31.3 - - 27.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.2 - - 59.7 - - 63.7 - - 65.7 - - 62.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 21.6 - - 24.2 - - 29.1 - - 30.9 - - 26.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 173 - - 386 - - 343 - - 130 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2605 - - 4627 - - 7602 - - 6787 - - 56 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 29 - - 31 - - 100 - - 57 - - 12 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98784 22 113 26 120 18 128 12 129 14 099 98784 91282 20 122 14 111 14 098 10 142 19 097 91282 85499 19 133 11 128 7 148 14 134 7 138 85499 80695 15 140 13 158 8 190 10 150 8 158 80695 76539 7 168 14 153 7 213 3 167 8 154 76539 72842 10 197 11 178 9 201 1 336 7 128 72842 69478 14 199 10 193 11 189 9 205 3 190 69478 66387 13 208 11 204 4 225 5 211 5 184 66387 63522 10 211 11 207 11 238 7 251 2 166 63522 60731 7 229 9 215 12 224 12 229 8 230 60731 57816 10 253 7 230 9 233 13 239 9 235 57816 54795 11 220 9 211 14 243 13 265 10 265 54795 51912 11 240 9 250 16 228 15 226 16 247 51912 49328 13 242 11 264 21 252 15 252 20 257 49328 47028 17 258 24 274 28 270 16 287 19 278 47028 44956 29 254 28 263 31 268 28 289 23 277 44956 43073 31 250 28 258 31 269 32 287 29 294 43073 41357 29 260 30 269 39 285 39 292 44 297 41357 39801 33 272 40 283 49 286 53 294 49 305 39801 38372 47 280 54 285 58 290 63 305 59 320 38372 37037 57 277 64 280 70 299 81 320 82 318 37037 35749 58 275 60 280 79 303 96 321 83 314 35749 34438 58 277 60 298 80 302 90 315 78 312 34438 33079 59 283 68 303 75 301 88 314 73 311 33079 31675 62 283 61 290 67 295 84 314 68 311 31675 30212 64 280 65 281 68 290 74 311 66 311 30212 28678 61 275 66 275 69 287 62 303 60 308 28678 27075 56 264 65 273 63 284 57 294 55 304 27075 25405 54 260 61 274 54 285 61 284 53 298 25405 23667 52 259 56 273 54 288 58 282 53 290 23667 21867 51 261 51 268 53 285 52 278 53 292 21867 20008 45 263 48 261 52 283 50 274 49 294 20008 18087 39 264 46 260 51 279 48 274 47 287 18087 16144 36 262 43 260 51 274 46 274 44 277 16144 14282 36 261 40 260 46 268 40 270 41 270 14282 12594 36 264 37 260 38 264 33 265 35 255 12594 11095 33 265 34 260 35*264 26 264 30 250 11095 9759 30 264 30 258 28*264 23*264 26 250 9759 8563 31 268 28 263 24 264 19*267 21 251 8563 7494 30 276 22*269 20 265 17 270 16 253 7494 6541 27 298 13*274 17 267 16 272 11 258 6541 5695 26 320 13 275 16 268 15 276 7 274 5695 4944 19*326 12 276 16 269 14 279 5 317 4944 4268 16*325 12 276 15 270 14 280 7 349 4268 3667 14 324 12 276 15 271 13 282 8 002 3667 3164 14 324 11 276 14 271 13 283 9 007 3164 2775 13 324 11 276 14 272 12 284 10 010 2775 2507 12 323 10 276 13 272 12 285 10 012 2507 2345 12 323 10 276 13 272 11 285 8*013 2345 2251 10 323 9 276 11 272 10 284 5*016 2251 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography