DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/15 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m -8.3 - - -0.6 - - 17.4 - - 20.7 - - 13.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 4 - - 11 - - -7 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 51 - - 52 - - 187 - - 53 - - 53 BL Depth Hcrit 2230 - - 2230 - - 2231 - - 2232 - - 2231 Hcrit BL Top 2246 - - 2247 - - 2382 - - 2248 - - 2248 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 40 - - 46 - - 556 - - 1459 - - 64 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 25 - - 53 - - 9 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 235 - - 175 - - 219 - - 208 - - 184 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1156 - - -668 - - -1238 - - -745 - - -842 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3403 - - 2915 - - 3620 - - 2993 - - 3090 sfcLCL ODpotential -10579 - - -8448 - - -4763 - - -3060 - - -4876 ODpotential blCL 12825 - - 10695 - - 7145 - - 5308 - - 7124 blCL maxRH 82 - - 78 - - 78 - - 71 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m -8.3 - - -0.6 - - 17.4 - - 20.7 - - 13.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -14.3 - - -4.7 - - 10.1 - - 16.0 - - 8.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot -2.8 - - -0.6 - - 17.4 - - 22.3 - - 17.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -6.1 - - -4.7 - - 9.2 - - 15.4 - - 11.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 4 - - 11 - - -7 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 51 - - 52 - - 187 - - 53 - - 53 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 27 - - 10 - - 11 - - 0 - - 19 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96378 2 214 7 254 8 308 7 255 7 317 96378 89353 8 027 4 063 6 254 5 021 7 044 89353 83884 9 004 5 351 5 333 12 012 9 013 83884 79286 13 360 8 327 7 324 17 312 12 338 79286 75278 19 344 14 316 16 316 24 295 23 334 75278 71709 27 331 20 335 21 317 23 303 30 322 71709 68443 35 322 28 334 29 318 26 324 29 325 68443 65398 41 315 34 331 32 320 33 333 31 320 65398 62560 47 315 44 328 40 326 35 321 40 323 62560 59806 53 318 50 321 44 326 41 319 48 319 59806 56921 56 320 50 317 48 325 47 321 51 316 56921 53914 58 323 53 319 57 325 52 325 55 320 53914 51042 60 326 59 321 63 325 64 327 62 322 51042 48468 62 328 62 323 70 323 73 324 69 322 48468 46174 63 328 62 324 74 321 79 322 75 321 46174 44106 66 328 64 326 77 321 84 322 76 320 44106 42225 69 327 72 328 80 324 92 321 77 320 42225 40509 74 328 81 330 85 327 98 320 81 325 40509 38936 81 330 91 332 95 329 102 324 98 328 38936 37485 90 332 104 332 118 332 122 330 125 319 37485 36134 98 332 121 332 160 337 152 327 131 313 36134 34833 108 331 144 332 177 335 155 324 125 311 34833 33510 118 331 174 333 175 330 147 324 119 314 33510 32139 125 330 189 332 165 328 145 324 117 318 32139 30724 124 330 184 331 157 327 149 323 117 318 30724 29254 114 331 171 332 154 326 151 322 117 317 29254 27719 97 332 141 331 151 327 141 323 109 317 27719 26123 74 331 107 332 152 333 123 323 94 317 26123 24466 60 330 75 331 128 333 114 329 80 317 24466 22750 53 330 52 325 93 329 104 329 78 322 22750 20981 48 328 40 321 67 324 94 325 74 318 20981 19161 44 325 38 319 47 319 80 324 69 316 19161 17288 40 325 35 319 33 310 55 321 64 322 17288 15405 38 325 33 318 29 310 36 313 49 320 15405 13617 37 323 31 317 27 312 28 303 36 310 13617 12004 35 319 28 317 26 312 25 303 32 304 12004 10574 31 316 27 317 25 314 23 307 26 298 10574 9303 28 317 29 315 26 316 19 307 21 296 9303 8169 29 318 29 313 25 313 16 306 16 291 8169 7160 28 317 25 308 22 307 15 308 12 278 7160 6263 25 319 21 299 20 299 15 309 10 271 6263 5469 22 315 17 287 20 291 14 300 9 271 5469 4764 19 306 17 281 20 285 14 288 9 268 4764 4130 16 300 14 279 18 284 13 279 9 257 4130 3568 10 293 10 264 15 285 10 273 10 245 3568 3097 5 275 8 246 11 276 8 260 10 238 3097 2735 5 295 7 254 8 252 7 238 10 228 2735 2485 11 296 7 256 7*223 7 215 9 211 2485 2334 9 279 6*233 6*220 6 211 7*190 2334 2248 3*235 3*175 6 218 5*208 5*184 2248 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography