DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/16 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.8 - - 71.0 - - - - - 60.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 141 - - 131 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2399 - - 3904 - - - - - 56 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3395 - - 4458 - - - - - 2234 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4594 - - 6099 - - - - - 2251 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4114 - - 3390 - - - - - 1211 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 294 - - 342 - - - - - 15 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 11 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 305 - - 310 - - - - - 025 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -10 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -338 - - -780 - - - - - -124 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4932 - - 6879 - - - - - 2375 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1830 - - -2565 - - - - - -2996 ODpotential blCL - - - 6424 - - 8664 - - - - - 5247 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 87 - - - - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 730 - - 70 - - - - - 590 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.8 - - 71.0 - - - - - 60.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.9 - - 48.7 - - - - - 57.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.7 - - 70.0 - - - - - 61.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.9 - - 47.4 - - - - - 57.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 141 - - 131 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2399 - - 3904 - - - - - 56 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 10 - - 46 - - - - - 89 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 7 - - - - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99903 11 124 7 132 4 028 99903 92333 3 174 5 175 2 065 92333 86464 8 145 3 168 6 110 86464 81579 4 103 2 100 6 040 81579 77377 2 029 2 002 8 008 77377 73667 3 298 6 353 10 334 73667 70302 7 276 7 324 10 295 70302 67197 7 297 13 297 9 310 67197 64304 14 299 15 283 16 307 64304 61492 19 283 16 288 21 302 61492 58551 23 287 22 283 24 295 58551 55496 27 285 26 280 28 294 55496 52586 28 279 29 282 29 295 52586 49978 29 276 31 285 31 300 49978 47650 31 280 34 286 33 300 47650 45549 34 283 36 286 34 295 45549 43634 37 283 38 287 34 298 43634 41885 39 283 39 287 40 300 41885 40290 41 284 37 292 41 292 40290 38829 38 284 36 300 39 289 38829 37475 29 292 38 298 39 299 37475 36180 27 301 38 296 41 303 36180 34869 25 305 36 295 41 299 34869 33510 25 314 29 290 41 294 33510 32106 24 319 25 307 42 293 32106 30644 23 323 31 319 42 295 30644 29114 24 331 31 319 41 298 29114 27514 24 325 29 313 41 301 27514 25843 26 312 28 307 39 302 25843 24104 28 305 28 312 36 307 24104 22300 27 302 27 312 34 313 22300 20429 25 303 26 306 29 312 20429 18479 25 308 25 304 29 311 18479 16492 26 310 23 303 29 309 16492 14579 26 307 21 304 29 307 14579 12841 24 303 19 312 28 304 12841 11295 25 302 20 330 29 302 11295 9920 29 299 23 343 28 304 9920 8694 28 295 23 348 25 305 8694 7599 25 305 21 348 24 306 7599 6623 22 317 15*338 22 310 6623 5757 19 323 12*319 19 319 5757 4987 14*322 12 312 18 330 4987 4296 11*315 11 310 16 346 4296 3684 10 305 11 309 14 003 3684 3172 10 303 11 308 11 016 3172 2780 10 303 10 307 9 024 2780 2510 9 302 10 307 8 025 2510 2345 8 302 9 306 6*025 2345 2251 7 301 8 306 4*025 2251 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography