DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/13 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 32.3 - - 31.2 - - 34.5 - - 33.5 - - 33.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 31 - - 28 - - 4 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 54 - - 146 - - 54 - - 54 - - 54 BL Depth Hcrit 2232 - - 2232 - - 2233 - - 2232 - - 2233 Hcrit BL Top 2249 - - 2341 - - 2249 - - 2249 - - 2249 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 557 - - 539 - - 752 - - 939 - - 956 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 68 - - 47 - - 24 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 168 - - 092 - - 103 - - 102 - - 121 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 92 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2249 - - 2249 - - 2249 - - 2249 - - 2249 sfcLCL ODpotential -387 - - 62 - - 0 - - -3 - - -32 ODpotential blCL 2636 - - 2279 - - 2249 - - 2252 - - 2281 blCL maxRH 100 - - 101 - - 100 - - 101 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 32.3 - - 31.2 - - 34.5 - - 33.5 - - 33.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.2 - - 30.8 - - 34.3 - - 33.5 - - 34.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 32.6 - - 31.0 - - 34.2 - - 33.5 - - 34.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.7 - - 31.0 - - 34.2 - - 33.5 - - 34.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 31 - - 28 - - 4 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 54 - - 146 - - 54 - - 54 - - 54 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 102 - - 101 - - 102 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96339 36 098 41 100 45 100 35 109 33 104 96339 89320 32 096 32 108 29 098 27 102 32 105 89320 83836 24 105 23 113 20 117 17 085 29 103 83836 79227 17 116 16 121 17 115 14 104 18 109 79227 75220 13 133 13 109 16 107 13 122 12 129 75220 71657 11 149 12 128 9 117 10 135 11 126 71657 68406 11 126 14 145 8 180 5 164 10 109 68406 65400 10 061 12 130 10 186 8 178 5 143 65400 62603 2 166 6 149 8 168 7 148 7 136 62603 59882 6 289 10 162 17 193 15 235 5 281 59882 57039 19 242 8 223 15 196 18 206 15 230 57039 54097 18 247 11 279 11 211 15 207 21 218 54097 51298 35 244 30 239 25 234 20 226 22 229 51298 48789 35 231 39 229 34 231 27 236 28 227 48789 46559 33 240 35 230 38 225 31 224 27 213 46559 44564 40 249 37 239 37 227 35 223 35 213 44564 42758 47 242 46 235 44 231 43 218 41 209 42758 41110 59 237 51 230 57 231 50 220 55 211 41110 39592 75 233 54 233 64 235 63 221 63 207 39592 38170 81 230 55 234 74 235 67 222 64 208 38170 36829 77 231 53 229 71 234 62 224 57 213 36829 35534 72 228 49 227 52 227 47 225 48 207 35534 34220 61 215 46 223 44 219 38 207 47 196 34220 32859 52 212 42 216 41 217 40 208 40 197 32859 31457 44 214 33 216 38 211 39 208 35 198 31457 29998 40 222 29 219 34 205 37 207 31 200 29998 28473 37 228 31 215 32 201 33 207 29 199 28473 26886 34 229 30 209 32 203 29 205 29 197 26886 25242 30 224 31 209 34 207 28 201 31 196 25242 23539 26 217 30 208 36 206 29 197 33 194 23539 21776 24 215 28 207 32 203 30 194 32 192 21776 19947 22 217 24 206 28 200 27 190 29 188 19947 18047 18 225 20 201 25 198 22 189 25 181 18047 16116 16 224 15 194 21 199 18 181 22 172 16116 14257 16 244 13 203 16 193 19 167 22 166 14257 12565 18 267 13 214 15 180 20 169 25 167 12565 11055 15 293 13 211 13 180 16 175 27 166 11055 9709 7 296 11 203 11 184 13 177 23 163 9709 8505 6 247 8 186 9 185 14 174 19 150 8505 7429 2 172 11 169 10 183 14 171 18 149 7429 6470 8 105 13 171 12 182 14 175 17 151 6470 5620 13 103 12 180 15 182 12 188 15 157 5620 4866 16 102 11 185 17 186 10 202 9 152 4866 4192 16 100 8 165 11 188 5 169 9 130 4192 3600 15 097 9 144 10 142 11 120 14 136 3600 3115 12 102 8 122 10 127 10 111 15 135 3115 2746 8 124 5 094 7 104 9 108 12 128 2746 2493 6 127 5*093 6 102 8 106 10 124 2493 2338 4*135 4*093 5*101 7*104 9 123 2338 2249 1*168 3 092 4*103 5*102 5*121 2249 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography