DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/19 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.9 - - 64.2 - - 68.4 - - - - - 63.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 44 - - 101 - - 95 - - - - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1214 - - 2049 - - 3152 - - - - - 56 BL Depth Hcrit 2234 - - 3007 - - 3751 - - - - - 2235 Hcrit BL Top 3409 - - 4244 - - 5347 - - - - - 2251 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1189 - - 1405 - - 2090 - - - - - 2479 Hgt.Variab. W* 164 - - 257 - - 291 - - - - - 19 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind 21 - - 26 - - 26 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction 286 - - 301 - - 305 - - - - - 312 Direction Wind Shear 12 - - 15 - - 13 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -5 - - -7 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 926 - - 1261 - - 1182 - - - - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2483 - - 2983 - - 4165 - - - - - 2251 sfcLCL ODpotential 160 - - 177 - - 48 - - - - - -1418 ODpotential blCL 3249 - - 4067 - - 5299 - - - - - 3669 blCL maxRH 100 - - 98 - - 99 - - - - - 96 maxRH CAPE 210 - - 210 - - 180 - - - - - 520 CAPE Temp@2m 59.9 - - 64.2 - - 68.4 - - - - - 63.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 56.3 - - 58.4 - - 57.5 - - - - - 61.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.6 - - 63.6 - - 68.0 - - - - - 64.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 55.8 - - 57.5 - - 56.6 - - - - - 61.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 44 - - 101 - - 95 - - - - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1214 - - 2049 - - 3152 - - - - - 56 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 92 - - 96 - - - - - 84 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - - - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 100206 29 089 36 112 22 100 26 087 100206 92582 21 085 29 085 24 100 23 087 92582 86732 15 099 18 089 21 099 22 092 86732 81883 19 102 17 111 19 084 19 074 81883 77692 15 086 18 112 15 085 13 092 77692 73992 12 080 16 098 15 109 12 121 73992 70651 8 099 11 106 11 114 12 113 70651 67579 7 140 10 091 9 112 12 079 67579 64721 9 115 3 123 8 060 3 053 64721 61948 6 034 3 176 3 315 5 044 61948 59042 4 339 6 144 7 242 9 338 59042 56017 3 321 7 344 8 289 16 289 56017 53134 11 310 13 267 17 254 18 262 53134 50539 9 252 17 269 18 240 17 266 50539 48210 16 272 20 265 19 244 18 271 48210 46091 19 265 22 256 19 257 20 277 46091 44152 21 245 22 259 20 270 22 275 44152 42367 23 245 19 260 20 273 24 273 42367 40722 24 252 16 269 19 281 25 267 40722 39208 24 257 18 284 21 297 20 262 39208 37813 23 250 20 314 19 290 10 247 37813 36489 23 259 21 329 14 346 8 236 36489 35154 19 272 25 351 22 354 12 231 35154 33773 24 287 27 356 23 337 10 227 33773 32346 23 299 26 022 18 344 10 231 32346 30860 25 308 29 023 22 329 11 242 30860 29304 27 315 25 360 26 327 8 272 29304 27678 29 328 25 336 30 320 9 304 27678 25985 31 335 32 328 31 311 11 308 25985 24226 28 330 29 331 29 311 13 308 24226 22404 26 322 26 333 27 315 15 311 22404 20512 25 318 25 334 25 318 16 306 20512 18547 24 326 27 336 23 321 15 310 18547 16549 22 317 32 334 27 331 14 333 16549 14628 21 298 39 332 35 329 17 343 14628 12880 19 289 43 327 36 325 19 346 12880 11326 20 290 46 319 34 325 18 346 11326 9942 23 286 47 313 31 329 18 345 9942 8708 24 286 43 316 27 328 20 344 8708 7607 25 294 40 322 26 322 20 342 7607 6630 28 303 36 323 27 314 22 337 6630 5765 30 304 34 318 29*307 24 331 5765 4997 32 302 33 312 29*306 26 327 4997 4307 31 297 32*305 28 305 28 322 4307 3694 28*290 31*303 27 305 27 319 3694 3181 25*288 29 301 27 304 24 317 3181 2785 23 286 27 300 26 304 21 315 2785 2512 21 286 25 299 24 304 16 313 2512 2347 18 285 22 299 21 304 14 313 2347 2251 14 285 16 299 16 303 8*312 2251 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography