DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/06 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.4 - - 39.9 - - 48.6 - - 42.1 - - 39.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -32 - - -23 - - -7 - - -30 - - -55 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 54 - - 55 - - 55 - - 55 - - 54 BL Depth Hcrit 2232 - - 2233 - - 2233 - - 2233 - - 2233 Hcrit BL Top 2249 - - 2250 - - 2250 - - 2250 - - 2249 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 94 - - 289 - - 890 - - 107 - - 144 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 - - 22 - - 23 - - 12 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 8 - - 6 - - 6 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 229 - - 228 - - 214 - - 182 - - 199 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -678 - - -1880 - - -2706 - - -1025 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2927 - - 4130 - - 4957 - - 3276 - - 2249 sfcLCL ODpotential -8877 - - -8163 - - -6299 - - -6949 - - -7456 ODpotential blCL 11126 - - 10413 - - 8549 - - 9199 - - 9705 blCL maxRH 77 - - 99 - - 87 - - 82 - - 75 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.4 - - 39.9 - - 48.6 - - 42.1 - - 39.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.6 - - 29.9 - - 34.7 - - 35.6 - - 37.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 33.8 - - 41.0 - - 49.1 - - 45.0 - - 41.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.2 - - 28.9 - - 33.5 - - 35.1 - - 37.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -32 - - -23 - - -7 - - -30 - - -55 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 54 - - 55 - - 55 - - 55 - - 54 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 9 - - 96 - - 47 - - 27 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95283 31 020 29 010 16 035 21 350 20 009 95283 88630 21 010 22 354 19 010 16 354 12 003 88630 83395 15 356 17 344 19 345 15 345 14 002 83395 78968 18 344 12 334 18 333 17 341 14 337 78968 75098 15 333 9 332 18 321 16 329 10 333 75098 71625 16 313 11 323 15 302 15 317 10 325 71625 68442 16 311 12 316 15 294 17 310 13 309 68442 65493 18 318 16 319 14 273 19 306 12 296 65493 62745 22 294 15 304 14 288 19 275 16 284 62745 60065 21 278 20 301 12 268 22 282 19 264 60065 57240 26 294 21 274 27 305 7 253 10 300 57240 54331 39 272 28 274 29 293 45 295 28 286 54331 51566 35 262 25 258 40 296 41 287 33 264 51566 49040 32 291 29 297 50 284 42 293 48 281 49040 46767 43 283 40 278 47 292 56 282 59 280 46767 44717 38 283 38 279 56 291 51 281 52 282 44717 42846 38 292 45 285 54 282 43 287 58 282 42846 41124 51 291 51 276 44 275 62 281 66 277 41124 39534 60 279 43 267 40 273 70 274 67 276 39534 38058 55 271 37 276 50 282 63 275 71 281 38058 36680 45 288 52 295 64 285 66 282 81 283 36680 35366 54 298 70 290 76 284 83 286 92 279 35366 34053 66 299 79 286 81 284 92 286 98 276 34053 32709 75 298 80 284 81 288 92 285 99 273 32709 31331 80 297 78 284 82 291 87 283 97 272 31331 29897 82 297 77 283 81 290 82 281 94 270 29897 28396 84 296 74 284 78 287 78 279 91 270 28396 26829 83 293 66 286 76 283 75 280 87 271 26829 25199 73 290 59 284 74 283 69 280 82 274 25199 23506 54 291 56 275 67 284 64 278 76 275 23506 21753 32 305 51 266 58 276 61 276 69 273 21753 19931 26 294 46 259 55 270 60 277 63 269 19931 18037 36 283 42 258 52 268 59 275 59 267 18037 16113 42 279 40 258 49 264 53 266 56 272 16113 14263 37 277 37 255 47 255 47 267 52 277 14263 12580 30 265 30 252 45 234 42 273 48 282 12580 11079 26 258 21 246 37 219 40 280 45 285 11079 9738 20 262 21 252 33 220 38 284 44 286 9738 8540 18 283 22 274 27 245 30 280 44 285 8540 7468 22 292 23 286 25 263 26 268 40 279 7468 6515 25 287 24 284 19 264 27 245 37 270 6515 5671 21 273 24 276 16 264 27 229 36 263 5671 4922 18 251 20 263 16 265 26 225 32 249 4922 4248 19 235 17 238 16 254 25 216 31 232 4248 3650 20 230 19 228 17 242 24 207 32 226 3650 3147 21 229 21 227 18 231 24 209 33 224 3147 2762 25 242 24 232 15 225 22 206 32 219 2762 2498 22 241 18 231 12 221 17 199 22 206 2498 2340 17*238 13*230 10*218 13*192 19 204 2340 2249 7*229 8*228 6*214 6*182 9*199 2249 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography