DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/01 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.5 - - 63.1 - - 64.6 - - 61.8 - - 53.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 62 - - 314 - - 217 - - 145 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 605 - - 2515 - - 5589 - - 4202 - - 56 BL Depth Hcrit 2234 - - 3760 - - 5937 - - 4668 - - 2234 Hcrit BL Top 2800 - - 4710 - - 7784 - - 6397 - - 2251 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 404 - - 2962 - - 3923 - - 3887 - - 4164 Hgt.Variab. W* 138 - - 380 - - 439 - - 349 - - 8 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 15 - - 19 - - 21 - - 21 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 334 - - 333 - - 313 - - 343 - - 337 Direction Wind Shear 9 - - 7 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 2 - - 9 - - -8 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4931 - - -3034 - - -469 - - -659 - - -2319 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7731 - - 7745 - - 8253 - - 7056 - - 4571 sfcLCL ODpotential -8754 - - -4606 - - -1348 - - -1548 - - -4235 ODpotential blCL 11554 - - 9316 - - 9132 - - 7945 - - 6486 blCL maxRH 67 - - 78 - - 101 - - 75 - - 66 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 100 - - 140 - - 90 CAPE Temp@2m 57.5 - - 63.1 - - 64.6 - - 61.8 - - 53.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.8 - - 36.9 - - 36.1 - - 38.6 - - 41.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.2 - - 61.4 - - 63.2 - - 60.8 - - 55.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.8 - - 37.0 - - 36.1 - - 38.6 - - 41.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 62 - - 314 - - 217 - - 145 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 605 - - 2515 - - 5589 - - 4202 - - 56 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 10 - - 103 - - 1 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97320 15 067 17 113 10 152 10 112 15 071 97320 89933 18 105 16 107 14 107 14 102 20 090 89933 84264 17 114 12 096 12 105 9 101 18 093 84264 79565 13 126 6 082 11 074 8 100 10 077 79565 75517 11 099 7 106 6 034 9 059 9 085 75517 71930 6 054 7 097 4 021 6 022 10 054 71930 68663 2 030 4 043 5 009 6 341 11 033 68663 65643 1 128 5 358 7 338 6 347 9 007 65643 62829 2 028 8 333 7 323 10 353 14 354 62829 60098 8 019 8 299 8 348 10 338 13 332 60098 57244 15 346 13 313 13 314 12 340 15 342 57244 54265 17 325 13 314 15 309 17 320 23 334 54265 51420 21 315 16 316 18 298 22 301 24 317 51420 48875 22 309 16 316 15 301 16 304 21 311 48875 46605 20 307 21 316 20 297 21 300 19 309 46605 44554 21 311 22 304 19 294 24 306 23 314 44554 42686 27 293 26 297 31 302 28 300 31 306 42686 40977 31 268 36 287 35 291 32 298 35 303 40977 39409 35 263 39 275 42 286 42 298 41 300 39409 37960 41 268 42 272 49 278 48 291 46 297 37960 36614 47 268 47 277 52 281 55 289 53 297 36614 35332 45 267 50 280 56 282 60 286 62 294 35332 34043 40 270 49 280 57 282 60 287 69 292 34043 32711 37 277 46 281 55 281 61 288 72 293 32711 31336 38 283 46 281 53 280 61 288 70 293 31336 29905 39 283 47 278 51 279 58 287 66 292 29905 28405 40 279 48 276 50 280 55 288 62 291 28405 26839 40 276 46 275 50 282 52 290 58 290 26839 25208 40 277 44 275 49 282 50 290 52 291 25208 23515 40 277 42 277 47 282 49 289 44 295 23515 21763 38 275 40 278 45 282 47 289 37 298 21763 19944 35 273 37 277 43 285 41 290 38 295 19944 18052 30 271 33 277 38 285 39 290 42 287 18052 16121 26 267 30 282 31 283 42 290 44 290 16121 14262 23 263 26 285 28 282 40 292 39 303 14262 12574 21 262 23 287 27 292 35 299 33 315 12574 11073 20 272 24 292 26 294 33 305 30 323 11073 9733 18 293 24 295 25 294 30 308 28 333 9733 8537 19 310 21 301 24*297 27 313 23 342 8537 7470 21 320 19 322 22*303 24 320 17 350 7470 6520 24 327 22 330 22 307 23*329 17 357 6520 5678 25 332 24 328 22 310 22*338 19 000 5678 4929 24 335 23*329 21 314 22 341 20 359 4929 4256 24 337 21*330 21 316 22 343 21 357 4256 3658 25 340 20 331 21 317 22 344 21 352 3658 3158 23*339 20 333 20 318 22 345 21 349 3158 2771 20*337 19 334 20 319 21 345 19 345 2771 2505 14 333 18 335 19 320 21 345 15 342 2505 2343 13 332 17 334 18 320 19 346 12*340 2343 2251 11 332 15 335 15 320 16 346 7*337 2251 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography