DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/02 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 26.5 - - 28.9 - - 35.4 - - 31.0 - - 32.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 4 - - 23 - - 3 - - -18 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 53 - - 299 - - 54 - - 54 - - 54 BL Depth Hcrit 2232 - - 2232 - - 2233 - - 2232 - - 2232 Hcrit BL Top 2248 - - 2494 - - 2249 - - 2249 - - 2249 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 564 - - 148 - - 464 - - 132 - - 64 Hgt.Variab. W* 25 - - 80 - - 26 - - 6 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 8 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 255 - - 224 - - 241 - - 180 - - 183 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -375 - - -865 - - -98 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2248 - - 2869 - - 3114 - - 2347 - - 2249 sfcLCL ODpotential -102 - - -12995 - - -10902 - - -11864 - - -10350 ODpotential blCL 2350 - - 15489 - - 13151 - - 14113 - - 12599 blCL maxRH 100 - - 84 - - 75 - - 71 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 26.5 - - 28.9 - - 35.4 - - 31.0 - - 32.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.8 - - 24.6 - - 30.0 - - 28.9 - - 31.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 26.4 - - 28.6 - - 35.4 - - 33.2 - - 34.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.4 - - 24.0 - - 29.2 - - 28.8 - - 32.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 4 - - 23 - - 3 - - -18 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 53 - - 299 - - 54 - - 54 - - 54 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 37 - - 1 - - 0 - - 33 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96044 33 360 34 003 27 008 26 355 33 008 96044 89364 30 002 21 355 23 355 27 351 28 006 89364 84082 22 357 16 349 21 344 22 349 18 005 84082 79592 17 350 15 328 16 324 15 356 12 010 79592 75656 12 329 10 323 14 304 13 334 12 350 75656 72141 13 303 7 305 14 278 17 295 11 319 72141 68929 10 289 8 297 11 267 16 260 10 297 68929 65948 5 256 11 274 12 266 13 237 10 269 65948 63161 5 264 12 244 16 253 14 254 9 249 63161 60444 9 273 11 226 15 246 14 253 9 239 60444 57599 15 291 12 245 16 254 18 255 12 239 57599 54653 16 286 12 253 20 250 22 258 19 249 54653 51853 7 296 12 275 19 246 22 259 23 246 51853 49342 17 323 18 288 14 256 19 258 27 251 49342 47096 22 310 22 276 22 261 24 257 34 250 47096 45060 20 302 21 257 31 247 30 255 34 246 45060 43200 23 302 22 256 29 243 32 261 30 256 43200 41489 28 301 29 259 28 266 35 269 30 262 41489 39911 22 285 30 259 35 272 25 281 21 264 39911 38457 17 287 27 274 29 296 35 330 20 306 38457 37113 31 324 46 302 42 318 39 321 27 311 37113 35830 36 341 46 293 37 318 21 294 28 302 35830 34533 37 008 28 322 27 334 9 355 26 287 34533 33192 46 012 49 355 30 003 21 043 22 269 33192 31807 57 003 57 352 32 358 18 004 17 252 31807 30364 60 001 57 341 33 347 19 349 14 249 30364 28847 51 002 48 340 34 335 20 348 14 255 28847 27259 45 355 37 332 35 325 20 349 16 260 27259 25599 41 344 36 321 35 321 21 342 17 259 25599 23873 27 002 35 316 34 317 24 330 19 252 23873 22084 22 002 33 313 33 309 23 318 22 252 22084 20226 23 346 27 311 32 301 28 295 25 266 20226 18293 28 326 27 308 31 295 33 293 27 276 18293 16322 29 332 29 310 30 295 34 292 29 278 16322 14421 22 334 28 311 28 299 34 293 28 278 14421 12691 21 336 24 310 25 304 32 294 25 278 12691 11154 20 333 20 317 19 309 28 296 21 277 11154 9786 17 322 20 329 15 312 24 299 19 277 9786 8568 17 307 21 328 14 316 21 303 20 269 8568 7482 16 310 20 321 14 315 19 310 16 262 7482 6517 17 317 16 317 13 307 14 300 11 266 6517 5663 19 322 12 314 10 292 11 282 10 264 5663 4907 18 323 9 310 10 270 8 268 8 251 4907 4231 16 325 6 290 11 256 9 245 9 230 4231 3633 15 331 7 259 13 247 9 231 11 218 3633 3137 10 322 11 254 14 252 9 237 15 221 3137 2756 5 280 11*243 12 250 10 229 18 218 2756 2496 4 258 8*225 7 241 11 203 16 208 2496 2338 4 256 8 224 6 241 9*188 12*197 2338 2249 3*255 6 223 5*241 5*180 5*183 2249 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography