DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/16 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.7 - - 64.9 - - - - - 46.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 63 - - 50 - - - - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 342 - - 1078 - - - - - 55 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2234 - - 2234 - - - - - 2234 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2537 - - 3273 - - - - - 2250 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 343 - - 802 - - - - - 39 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 114 - - 156 - - - - - 8 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 8 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 277 - - 261 - - - - - 210 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5489 - - -7302 - - - - - -3299 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8026 - - 10576 - - - - - 5550 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15058 - - -14556 - - - - - -14675 ODpotential blCL - - - 17595 - - 17829 - - - - - 16925 blCL maxRH - - - 42 - - 68 - - - - - 42 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.7 - - 64.9 - - - - - 46.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.2 - - 26.9 - - - - - 30.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.2 - - 64.3 - - - - - 49.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.0 - - 26.4 - - - - - 30.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 63 - - 50 - - - - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 342 - - 1078 - - - - - 55 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97373 14 249 17 289 17 324 97373 90238 11 267 13 298 15 298 90238 84661 9 280 5 274 14 284 84661 79979 12 273 14 274 12 268 79979 75908 15 266 17 273 13 275 75908 72286 9 260 20 249 15 283 72286 69002 13 262 15 234 17 267 69002 65985 22 276 18 274 16 218 65985 63184 26 260 25 262 23 260 63184 60492 28 268 25 224 31 252 60492 57719 30 277 30 263 28 266 57719 54815 41 277 49 274 36 271 54815 52005 54 278 60 278 53 272 52005 49485 62 281 69 274 71 272 49485 47267 72 282 74 271 83 269 47267 45290 75 282 74 271 86 266 45290 43500 76 282 74 274 83 265 43500 41861 75 282 73 276 81 269 41861 40343 70 284 71 276 79 271 40343 38921 64 287 67 276 74 271 38921 37581 59 290 61 277 67 270 37581 36287 53 292 54 276 59 268 36287 34973 48 294 48 276 54 266 34973 33610 43 294 45 277 50 264 33610 32203 41 293 43 278 46 262 32203 30737 41 290 42 279 42 260 30737 29200 42 288 42 277 38 260 29200 27594 45 287 42 275 36 260 27594 25916 47 285 42 275 36 262 25916 24170 48 284 41 277 36 265 24170 22357 47 283 41 279 38 266 22357 20471 43 284 38 281 39 267 20471 18507 38 287 34 283 39 268 18507 16509 31 289 29 288 40 269 16509 14588 26 288 26 292 36 273 14588 12845 23 283 27 291 30 276 12845 11296 24 281 29 287 24 277 11296 9916 27 284 28 284 22 283 9916 8684 24 291 23 284 23 293 8684 7586 15 300 19 284 25 298 7586 6609 14 303 13 284 23 297 6609 5744 16 311 9 287 18 293 5744 4978 18 314 9 285 14 285 4978 4290 20 311 10 282 13 273 4290 3680 21 308 11*275 15 254 3680 3169 19 302 9*264 19 241 3169 2776 13*284 9 262 20 237 2776 2505 8*277 8 260 19 234 2505 2342 7 277 7 259 11*221 2342 2250 6 278 6 259 6*210 2250 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography