DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/27 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.8 - - 56.9 - - 55.2 - - 46.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 152 - - 157 - - -10 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3311 - - 4354 - - 167 - - 55 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4045 - - 4828 - - 2234 - - 2233 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5506 - - 6549 - - 2362 - - 2250 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2439 - - 1196 - - 5639 - - 131 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 327 - - 363 - - 24 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 17 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 268 - - 271 - - 260 - - 254 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -6 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1691 - - -1940 - - -5703 - - -3418 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7197 - - 8490 - - 8065 - - 5669 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6169 - - -5302 - - -8627 - - -7771 ODpotential blCL - - - 11675 - - 11851 - - 10989 - - 10021 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 80 - - 84 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.8 - - 56.9 - - 55.2 - - 46.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.1 - - 27.5 - - 27.7 - - 29.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.9 - - 55.9 - - 55.7 - - 49.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.7 - - 27.0 - - 27.4 - - 29.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 152 - - 157 - - -10 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3311 - - 4354 - - 167 - - 55 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 20 - - 35 - - 19 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98166 9 287 5 276 8 265 9 284 98166 90893 5 233 9 289 6 269 6 297 90893 85274 3 250 8 289 5 286 5 272 85274 80580 7 214 9 269 2 312 3 243 80580 76499 6 218 9 248 4 229 11 227 76499 72863 4 172 9 201 9 249 8 240 72863 69540 10 223 13 227 13 225 9 249 69540 66454 17 223 15 221 18 246 13 252 66454 63578 18 222 21 232 18 253 14 263 63578 60785 19 224 18 238 19 266 25 279 60785 57869 14 230 19 249 33 257 27 275 57869 54835 23 255 32 260 34 250 27 276 54835 51936 33 258 33 260 29 256 27 275 51936 49326 35 263 29 263 28 276 31 279 49326 46985 35 266 30 269 35 286 40 277 46985 44873 33 265 35 269 42 281 43 274 44873 42957 35 265 37 266 45 272 41 273 42957 41210 39 266 38 270 43 266 36 274 41210 39602 42 266 41 278 37 266 30 274 39602 38111 41 266 42 283 33 271 28 282 38111 36722 41 267 44 283 32 280 34 296 36722 35399 41 267 46 278 35 286 41 297 35399 34073 46 277 46 277 40 287 41 296 34073 32708 49 280 50 279 45 282 40 297 32708 31303 53 283 57 275 49 276 42 303 31303 29845 57 281 62 269 52 273 39 303 29845 28324 57 281 61 269 56 271 39 298 28324 26746 54 281 59 271 58 269 47 283 26746 25111 51 281 55 272 58 267 49 273 25111 23425 48 281 52 271 55 267 48 270 23425 21685 45 282 50 270 51 268 48 268 21685 19878 42 286 48 269 45 269 47 269 19878 17997 40 288 44 269 39 270 44 271 17997 16079 37 291 39 270 35 273 39 275 16079 14228 31 298 33 273 29 277 33 281 14228 12543 27 303 29 277 25 283 26 288 12543 11043 25 306 26 283 26 295 21 295 11043 9705 29 313 27 294 30 300 21 300 9705 8512 33 301 29 296 30 297 20 303 8512 7447 29 289 27*286 27 290 20 301 7447 6500 25 288 19*273 24 281 20 298 6500 5662 24*283 19 272 20 268 19 292 5662 4917 22*276 18 271 18 264 18 279 4917 4246 21 270 18 271 17 263 18 272 4246 3650 20 268 17 271 17 262 17 275 3650 3152 18 266 17 271 16 262 16 278 3152 2767 17 265 16 271 15 261 14 279 2767 2503 17 264 15 271 13*261 12 275 2503 2341 15 264 14 272 11*260 9*267 2341 2250 13 264 12 271 8 260 4*254 2250 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography