DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/27 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - -6.3 - - -6.4 - - -10.4 - - -12.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 3 - - 1 - - -28 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 488 - - 501 - - 51 - - 51 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2230 - - 2230 - - 2230 - - 2229 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2683 - - 2696 - - 2246 - - 2246 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1317 - - 1406 - - 1406 - - 619 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 49 - - 31 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 16 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 332 - - 329 - - 326 - - 319 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -531 - - -602 - - -921 - - -886 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3214 - - 3299 - - 3167 - - 3132 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13706 - - -13713 - - -14564 - - -17217 ODpotential blCL - - - 16389 - - 16409 - - 16810 - - 19463 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 87 - - 85 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - -6.3 - - -6.4 - - -10.4 - - -12.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - -12.0 - - -12.4 - - -15.6 - - -17.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - -6.3 - - -6.4 - - -8.5 - - -11.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -12.2 - - -12.5 - - -14.4 - - -16.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 3 - - 1 - - -28 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 488 - - 501 - - 51 - - 51 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 55 - - 47 - - 39 - - 41 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96186 66 360 61 012 42 005 50 005 96186 88922 51 345 52 348 56 338 52 343 88922 83384 41 334 44 330 55 329 49 336 83384 78771 37 325 34 313 49 322 53 328 78771 74761 31 319 31 312 42 315 50 320 74761 71177 32 317 33 311 40 314 42 311 71177 67895 33 307 36 308 40 311 41 300 67895 64844 34 296 37 301 37 305 41 300 64844 61993 29 287 38 294 35 308 43 304 61993 59230 25 283 40 289 37 308 40 304 59230 56348 29 287 39 289 36 304 32 306 56348 53345 36 288 37 290 37 304 36 316 53345 50474 35 289 34 294 42 303 44 313 50474 47898 31 290 33 299 44 302 47 310 47898 45599 30 297 33 305 42 303 46 313 45599 43527 31 302 34 308 39 310 45 320 43527 41641 31 303 34 311 41 319 45 327 41641 39907 30 304 38 315 44 328 51 334 39907 38305 29 307 40 319 47 335 60 334 38305 36826 27 314 40 322 51 338 68 334 36826 35461 26 321 38 328 56 340 72 340 35461 34165 27 322 38 336 62 341 83 353 34165 32868 27 323 41 342 70 343 119 353 32868 31535 25 327 42 344 78 347 130 351 31535 30158 20 330 40 343 84 350 123 352 30158 28726 15 325 37 343 84 352 114 355 28726 27226 13 284 27 343 78 353 114 359 27226 25663 22 243 19 328 68 351 104 360 25663 24043 23 223 20 264 50 345 90 357 24043 22372 18 191 17 214 28 329 81 355 22372 20649 18 193 13 210 18 300 74 354 20649 18868 16 209 12 232 17 273 64 357 18868 17026 13 203 10 243 15 292 47 352 17026 15158 10 215 10 274 14 319 36 344 15158 13365 6 228 9 294 16 331 26 337 13365 11740 3 290 8 346 15 347 22 339 11740 10301 4 034 6 002 12 354 20 344 10301 9030 8 014 14 360 15 020 12 353 9030 7905 11 011 18 357 18 011 11 008 7905 6911 13 023 17 003 16 005 14 002 6911 6035 17 015 17 006 19 005 15 007 6035 5267 20 004 21 006 20 007 15 013 5267 4593 22 001 23 359 22 003 15 011 4593 3996 26 356 24 346 25 354 18 009 3996 3471 27 342 24 333 26 343 20 360 3471 3034 25 337 23 332 24 336 20 346 3034 2697 23*335 21*330 21 332 19 337 2697 2466 20*333 19*329 16 328 14 325 2466 2326 17 332 16 329 14*327 12*323 2326 2246 13 331 12 328 9*326 6*319 2246 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography