DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/19 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - -2.8 - - -5.8 - - -11.3 - - -15.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 15 - - -2 - - -41 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 716 - - 51 - - 51 - - 51 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2230 - - 2230 - - 2230 - - 2229 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2911 - - 2246 - - 2246 - - 2246 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2363 - - 2622 - - 2030 - - 865 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 92 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 25 - - 16 - - 11 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 325 - - 319 - - 312 - - 312 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -150 - - -1226 - - -878 - - -919 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3062 - - 3472 - - 3124 - - 3165 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -814 - - -1790 - - -13634 - - -13830 ODpotential blCL - - - 3725 - - 4036 - - 15880 - - 16076 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 91 - - 82 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - -2.8 - - -5.8 - - -11.3 - - -15.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - -8.3 - - -13.1 - - -16.8 - - -21.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - -2.9 - - -5.7 - - -9.0 - - -12.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -8.3 - - -13.6 - - -16.7 - - -19.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 15 - - -2 - - -41 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 716 - - 51 - - 51 - - 51 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 63 - - 64 - - 27 - - 10 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95918 39 334 30 321 38 323 35 315 95918 88909 23 305 36 304 40 308 41 312 88909 83408 26 320 34 309 45 298 53 305 83408 78801 36 315 34 310 48 302 54 304 78801 74793 36 306 36 304 48 305 48 303 74793 71197 40 312 42 296 53 299 44 295 71197 67886 55 313 57 289 60 287 45 282 67886 64787 69 302 70 283 61 281 50 282 64787 61880 76 290 73 283 63 283 56 288 61880 59052 74 282 67 283 61 285 59 290 59052 56100 69 281 61 282 56 287 58 289 56100 53032 65 283 55 284 52 288 52 286 53032 50105 63 284 51 287 49 286 51 282 50105 47480 59 285 53 290 48 285 51 282 47480 45140 58 285 58 289 50 287 48 284 45140 43026 59 286 62 285 51 289 49 284 43026 41095 63 285 62 283 52 285 52 281 41095 39315 67 282 61 281 54 283 52 281 39315 37665 67 279 61 279 55 284 48 284 37665 36132 66 278 62 278 57 284 47 290 36132 34706 64 278 61 278 58 284 50 291 34706 33351 60 278 58 278 56 282 52 287 33351 31997 55 279 54 277 51 280 50 282 31997 30618 48 282 46 276 44 281 45 279 30618 29226 44 282 34 278 35 285 35 280 29226 27809 36 277 23 282 27 286 27 281 27809 26353 23 276 16 280 17 276 20 281 26353 24854 15 279 11 279 11 270 15 284 24854 23306 3 342 8 270 7 290 14 294 23306 21708 2 195 7 255 10 296 18 296 21708 20063 3 214 8 266 16 284 24 296 20063 18365 6 306 13 293 19 273 32 296 18365 16608 10 330 18 294 22 272 38 293 16608 14824 9 343 20 307 29 292 41 295 14824 13107 7 049 30 291 43 303 48 301 13107 11545 17 071 42 302 54 307 55 305 11545 10155 19 059 46 309 59 308 58 306 10155 8916 14 030 48 310 59 308 60 307 8916 7811 16 345 51 310 58 309 60 308 7811 6830 26 326 49 311 54 311 55 312 6830 5968 36 326 41 318 42 319 43 317 5968 5219 39 330 39 325 34 329 31 327 5219 4563 38 329 37 323 35 331 28 339 4563 3979 37 329 35 322 36 326 29 342 3979 3461 36 328 33 322 34 323 31 337 3461 3028 33*327 31 321 30 320 29 328 3028 2695 30*326 28 320 26 317 25 323 2695 2465 27 325 24 320 21 315 19 317 2465 2326 23 325 21 319 18*313 16*315 2326 2246 18 325 16*319 11*312 9*312 2246 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography