DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/14 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 15.5 - - 18.3 - - 16.2 - - 12.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 2 - - 6 - - -1 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 53 - - 219 - - 53 - - 53 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2231 - - 2231 - - 2231 - - 2231 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2248 - - 2414 - - 2248 - - 2248 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 302 - - 240 - - 255 - - 62 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 19 - - 47 - - 0 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 6 - - 3 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 085 - - 171 - - 201 - - 294 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -461 - - -450 - - -224 - - -458 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2710 - - 2864 - - 2472 - - 2706 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12411 - - -12074 - - -10172 - - -15879 ODpotential blCL - - - 14659 - - 14488 - - 12420 - - 18127 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 95 - - 86 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 40 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 15.5 - - 18.3 - - 16.2 - - 12.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 11.8 - - 13.9 - - 13.4 - - 8.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 15.5 - - 18.4 - - 19.8 - - 17.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 11.6 - - 13.5 - - 16.8 - - 13.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 2 - - 6 - - -1 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 53 - - 219 - - 53 - - 53 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 52 - - 80 - - 43 - - 27 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96611 88 021 71 019 71 015 58 011 96611 89601 70 013 62 007 61 348 61 351 89601 84099 48 002 49 358 48 331 56 334 84099 79455 38 339 43 333 49 323 57 327 79455 75446 40 326 38 321 52 318 57 320 75446 71892 39 319 34 311 50 312 54 313 71892 68646 36 318 36 299 46 304 49 309 68646 65630 35 314 37 303 44 302 46 307 65630 62812 38 309 41 303 37 302 49 300 62812 60074 43 300 37 303 30 308 54 301 60074 57208 51 288 51 304 59 310 59 301 57208 54217 57 275 71 286 71 295 63 298 54217 51353 63 282 71 282 71 290 68 295 51353 48780 60 291 69 286 71 291 70 292 48780 46483 64 294 76 288 71 292 72 290 46483 44409 72 291 77 285 74 292 76 288 44409 42524 79 281 74 286 79 292 79 287 42524 40807 78 280 76 292 86 291 80 289 40807 39235 79 286 91 291 99 290 83 293 39235 37778 88 287 107 286 108 284 97 291 37778 36427 99 284 113 284 102 285 111 284 36427 35143 108 281 113 284 102 292 112 279 35143 33846 113 279 120 290 117 294 111 277 33846 32500 118 280 131 294 124 289 112 278 32500 31110 116 278 130 292 120 285 108 279 31110 29664 114 276 124 287 106 282 101 281 29664 28152 111 274 122 285 102 283 92 282 28152 26576 109 273 118 284 104 286 85 282 26576 24936 104 274 107 282 104 290 78 283 24936 23234 95 274 94 277 102 293 76 286 23234 21472 84 273 87 276 99 293 77 289 21472 19643 76 273 74 278 91 291 78 292 19643 17744 64 275 63 279 81 288 76 294 17744 15816 52 283 54 279 70 287 72 295 15816 13971 44 280 50 287 55 287 67 296 13971 12306 36 279 49 292 49 286 57 296 12306 10833 39 287 48 293 48 290 50 294 10833 9524 40 288 49 290 48 297 47 293 9524 8357 42 284 49 287 47 302 42 298 8357 7316 39 283 44 280 45 303 40 305 7316 6389 29 270 35 271 43 302 40 307 6389 5565 28 251 27 271 43 299 38 310 5565 4834 25 235 23 277 40 296 38 316 4834 4176 17 215 21 279 36 292 39 324 4176 3594 9 193 21 279 32 281 39 327 3594 3109 5 131 14 251 28 264 36 321 3109 2738 7 084 10 185 19 237 29 308 2738 2485 6 074 8*175 10 206 21 300 2485 2334 4*081 7*171 5*208 13*299 2334 2248 2*085 6 172 3*201 6*294 2248 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography