DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/08 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.6 - - 49.3 - - 54.7 - - 45.8 - - 43.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -89 - - -52 - - 13 - - -55 - - -59 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 55 - - 55 - - 55 - - 55 - - 55 BL Depth Hcrit 2233 - - 2234 - - 2234 - - 2233 - - 2233 Hcrit BL Top 2250 - - 2250 - - 2250 - - 2250 - - 2250 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 228 - - 482 - - 8510 - - 442 - - 348 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 16 - - 39 - - 11 - - 10 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 14 - - 14 - - 9 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 221 - - 273 - - 261 - - 233 - - 263 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - -1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1723 - - -2884 - - -5896 - - -4793 - - -3913 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3973 - - 5134 - - 8146 - - 7043 - - 6163 sfcLCL ODpotential -7215 - - -5433 - - -6557 - - -7546 - - -6489 ODpotential blCL 9465 - - 7683 - - 8807 - - 9796 - - 8739 blCL maxRH 94 - - 100 - - 78 - - 84 - - 95 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 20 - - 50 - - 0 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 41.6 - - 49.3 - - 54.7 - - 45.8 - - 43.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.9 - - 34.4 - - 26.5 - - 22.8 - - 24.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.3 - - 50.7 - - 54.6 - - 48.1 - - 45.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.8 - - 34.2 - - 26.0 - - 22.6 - - 24.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -89 - - -52 - - 13 - - -55 - - -59 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 55 - - 55 - - 55 - - 55 - - 55 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 78 - - 100 - - 10 - - 34 - - 80 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95427 11 058 19 044 5 113 10 311 21 015 95427 88722 14 081 7 039 8 071 4 030 11 023 88722 83402 5 088 3 108 11 026 7 058 4 080 83402 78882 2 101 2 056 5 004 3 035 3 081 78882 74936 2 255 5 301 5 341 5 277 4 298 74936 71428 4 297 6 241 5 304 6 300 3 296 71428 68233 7 253 9 238 6 297 4 296 10 284 68233 65258 7 177 9 247 8 320 8 021 6 296 65258 62462 14 200 15 233 18 272 8 285 14 341 62462 59742 14 184 16 220 25 288 10 339 19 021 59742 56868 26 278 13 236 29 310 24 301 20 353 56868 53873 40 233 20 239 41 230 35 259 20 253 53873 51036 26 190 11 174 26 179 36 257 27 215 51036 48479 21 293 15 165 30 272 43 264 42 289 48479 46189 69 262 41 278 53 262 58 264 62 283 46189 44120 86 244 86 250 71 252 61 258 64 270 44120 42230 81 242 89 244 60 258 55 255 60 265 42230 40498 81 245 80 249 55 267 52 259 55 261 40498 38899 84 243 84 252 57 266 55 263 54 260 38899 37410 85 236 91 250 66 265 57 265 56 262 37410 36018 87 228 91 246 76 263 60 268 56 266 36018 34687 84 225 85 242 83 261 65 269 57 271 34687 33348 74 226 79 239 85 259 71 269 59 274 33348 31975 65 227 76 237 87 257 76 266 61 274 31975 30572 63 227 75 237 87 254 77 264 61 273 30572 29127 64 226 74 236 85 252 76 264 58 274 29127 27632 66 225 73 237 82 250 75 264 54 278 27632 26090 67 225 70 239 76 248 67 264 52 278 26090 24500 64 225 65 241 70 244 56 263 51 269 24500 22864 60 226 57 239 64 241 53 254 50 257 22864 21179 56 228 53 238 61 238 44 262 43 251 21179 19431 53 230 55 238 51 238 39 272 37 250 19431 17609 53 232 49 243 43 245 33 277 31 266 17609 15751 56 233 35 257 42 247 30 284 30 279 15751 13959 57 233 24 256 40 255 33 292 32 292 13959 12328 43 237 16 282 41 265 42 294 35 309 12328 10872 23 258 23 282 43 272 48 294 37 308 10872 9572 25 264 30 279 43 270 45 292 41 307 9572 8409 29 259 34 278 38 267 38 288 41 303 8409 7369 32 258 36 280 35 265 35 280 38 298 7369 6440 35 257 38 281 34 265 34 273 39 295 6440 5615 37 256 38 283 33 265 34 268 41 292 5615 4882 39 254 37 284 32 264 34 264 43 290 4882 4221 41 248 34 285 30 264 34 261 43 288 4221 3633 45 239 34 284 29 264 32 257 42 287 3633 3140 45 230 34 282 27 263 30 252 36 284 3140 2760 38 227 32 279 24 263 27 247 30 279 2760 2499 27 223 25 275 21 262 21 241 22 271 2499 2340 23*222 21*274 18 262 17*238 18*267 2340 2250 12*221 14*273 14*261 9*233 10*263 2250 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography