DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/02 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.5 - - 55.5 - - - - - 43.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 137 - - 151 - - - - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 679 - - 2063 - - - - - 55 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2233 - - 3154 - - - - - 2233 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2874 - - 4258 - - - - - 2250 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 510 - - 1122 - - - - - 348 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 186 - - 279 - - - - - 7 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 11 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 297 - - 301 - - - - - 313 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -2 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2980 - - -3351 - - - - - -1443 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5854 - - 7609 - - - - - 3693 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8347 - - -7154 - - - - - -5716 ODpotential blCL - - - 11221 - - 11412 - - - - - 7966 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 87 - - - - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.5 - - 55.5 - - - - - 43.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.8 - - 30.0 - - - - - 35.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.5 - - 54.3 - - - - - 45.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.6 - - 29.6 - - - - - 35.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 137 - - 151 - - - - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 679 - - 2063 - - - - - 55 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 45 - - 49 - - - - - 63 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97611 2 265 13 021 4 032 97611 90463 6 034 7 029 11 009 90463 84898 5 336 6 317 6 358 84898 80235 7 291 13 293 8 359 80235 76180 11 273 14 287 21 318 76180 72577 13 291 15 279 27 307 72577 69288 22 287 24 287 32 305 69288 66224 29 291 36 288 37 297 66224 63350 34 287 37 280 36 293 63350 60552 35 291 37 282 38 297 60552 57641 40 292 40 283 41 295 57641 54635 42 290 42 284 47 290 54635 51774 44 291 46 286 49 287 51774 49209 51 290 51 286 47 290 49209 46919 53 285 54 286 50 293 46919 44847 52 280 55 284 54 296 44847 42954 53 279 55 284 56 295 42954 41209 54 280 56 285 58 296 41209 39595 52 280 58 286 60 297 39595 38097 48 282 57 287 57 296 38097 36705 45 280 56 284 51 299 36705 35382 43 279 56 280 50 303 35382 34058 42 278 53 272 51 304 34058 32703 41 277 53 266 50 300 32703 31317 40 276 53 265 51 295 31317 29881 40 275 51 269 50 290 29881 28381 40 275 48 275 48 288 28381 26814 40 276 46 283 47 288 26814 25177 41 280 47 288 46 287 25177 23479 41 283 47 289 44 286 23479 21724 41 286 48 289 41 288 21724 19903 39 290 47 290 38 293 19903 18004 37 290 43 293 37 298 18004 16070 33 287 38 290 32 304 16070 14211 28 283 33 284 31 308 14211 12521 21 281 27 288 31 310 12521 11016 17 274 23 297 27 315 11016 9678 15 274 21 295 23 321 9678 8485 14 270 21 298 20 331 8485 7421 12 268 19 302 17 342 7421 6475 11 272 17 303 17 353 6475 5638 9 275 15 305 17 355 5638 4895 8 268 13*302 17 355 4895 4228 6 261 12*301 19 351 4228 3637 5 285 12 301 21 343 3637 3142 8*298 12 301 22 335 3142 2762 7*297 11 301 21 327 2762 2500 7 297 11 302 18 321 2500 2341 6 297 10 301 15*318 2341 2250 6 296 9 301 7*313 2250 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography