DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/15 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 29.2 - - 25.1 - - 19.7 - - 17.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -63 - - -57 - - -95 - - -82 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 54 - - 53 - - 53 - - 53 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2232 - - 2232 - - 2232 - - 2232 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2249 - - 2248 - - 2248 - - 2248 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5547 - - 3339 - - 2035 - - 1637 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 25 - - 22 - - 15 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 31 - - 30 - - 27 - - 24 BL Wind Direction - - - 325 - - 325 - - 324 - - 335 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1646 - - -1473 - - -1204 - - -1261 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3895 - - 3721 - - 3453 - - 3509 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2759 - - -3016 - - -5500 - - -7290 ODpotential blCL - - - 5008 - - 5264 - - 7748 - - 9538 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 71 - - 63 - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 29.2 - - 25.1 - - 19.7 - - 17.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.4 - - 17.2 - - 13.1 - - 10.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 31.4 - - 27.2 - - 22.9 - - 20.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.8 - - 16.6 - - 12.9 - - 10.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -63 - - -57 - - -95 - - -82 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 54 - - 53 - - 53 - - 53 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97307 60 039 56 047 69 044 68 049 97307 90240 46 040 47 042 47 039 52 036 90240 84731 38 041 34 028 45 024 40 030 84731 80077 39 037 29 038 32 020 33 043 80077 75982 29 020 34 042 29 030 31 035 75982 72307 24 034 29 021 33 014 30 011 72307 68971 18 015 18 001 28 359 22 018 68971 65883 12 010 13 023 21 344 20 000 65883 62995 26 026 20 022 18 009 17 001 62995 60204 38 349 31 355 27 356 30 347 60204 57297 33 325 36 324 33 317 38 323 57297 54259 27 347 27 307 27 321 26 321 54259 51325 53 352 42 345 34 352 33 351 51325 48676 68 329 61 334 54 340 54 346 48676 46327 69 319 60 325 61 330 65 337 46327 44226 62 314 52 325 53 325 63 333 44226 42318 54 319 50 334 53 329 65 337 42318 40573 51 329 55 338 59 334 73 340 40573 38972 58 340 63 337 67 337 78 342 38972 37493 69 342 68 338 73 341 78 347 37493 36117 77 340 72 341 82 350 88 357 36117 34804 85 342 81 346 104 357 110 000 34804 33488 101 346 107 351 128 354 127 358 33488 32141 115 345 134 349 136 348 134 355 32141 30762 120 343 138 345 127 346 130 351 30762 29336 119 342 126 347 125 354 122 350 29336 27847 116 342 123 352 134 359 122 353 27847 26293 111 344 131 353 136 358 126 355 26293 24669 106 345 134 351 131 354 125 355 24669 22979 98 345 135 350 128 353 119 354 22979 21227 85 343 131 352 126 353 111 353 21227 19408 69 339 115 352 118 356 105 353 19408 17520 63 338 91 347 103 356 101 355 17520 15605 68 342 72 343 87 353 92 355 15605 13773 73 345 68 346 77 351 82 353 13773 12118 76 346 70 348 73 351 73 351 12118 10655 77 346 73 347 72 349 68 351 10655 9356 75 344 74 345 72 347 66 352 9356 8200 72 341 75 344 72 345 66 352 8200 7173 68 337 75 345 72 343 65 349 7173 6262 66 336 73 345 72 343 64 350 6262 5458 65 335 68 341 72 342 64 353 5458 4749 63 334 63 335 69 339 63 352 4749 4116 60 333 58 331 64 334 60 347 4116 3557 56 331 55 330 57 330 54 343 3557 3091 51 329 51 328 52 328 48 340 3091 2732 47 327 46 327 46 326 43 338 2732 2484 42 326 42 326 40 325 36 336 2484 2334 38*325 37 326 35 324 32 336 2334 2248 31*325 30*325 27*324 24*335 2248 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography