DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/01 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.5 - - 55.7 - - 54.4 - - 44.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 155 - - 165 - - -8 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1997 - - 5317 - - 56 - - 55 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3113 - - 5563 - - 2234 - - 2234 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4192 - - 7512 - - 2251 - - 2250 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3683 - - 2573 - - 6946 - - 135 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 277 - - 392 - - 12 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 13 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 282 - - 269 - - 277 - - 181 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -2 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2583 - - -940 - - -6217 - - -3688 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6775 - - 8453 - - 8469 - - 5938 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3942 - - -2441 - - -8279 - - -8475 ODpotential blCL - - - 8134 - - 9953 - - 10530 - - 10725 blCL maxRH - - - 54 - - 68 - - 71 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.5 - - 55.7 - - 54.4 - - 44.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.9 - - 26.5 - - 25.2 - - 27.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.4 - - 54.5 - - 55.1 - - 49.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.6 - - 26.1 - - 24.8 - - 26.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 155 - - 165 - - -8 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1997 - - 5317 - - 56 - - 55 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 28 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97694 7 315 4 321 9 333 6 344 97694 90507 1 044 1 143 5 303 6 329 90507 84908 8 220 6 259 5 317 3 282 84908 80221 9 205 12 265 9 307 2 309 80221 76147 9 230 13 261 11 285 5 313 76147 72525 10 222 13 248 15 274 15 285 72525 69221 14 257 17 258 21 276 20 288 69221 66159 22 269 26 269 25 271 28 274 66159 63308 21 280 27 277 24 277 26 282 63308 60531 29 282 28 288 28 271 31 291 60531 57621 36 282 33 295 25 286 40 279 57621 54602 39 284 41 289 38 294 40 285 54602 51733 41 287 43 284 47 290 42 294 51733 49172 44 293 47 294 51 289 48 296 49172 46895 52 293 54 294 52 293 54 294 46895 44842 58 292 55 295 56 299 60 294 44842 42975 58 299 59 302 64 299 66 294 42975 41265 63 308 69 304 69 296 68 294 41265 39684 75 308 77 301 69 293 66 295 39684 38214 85 305 79 298 66 293 68 293 38214 36853 90 304 78 298 66 293 75 291 36853 35562 92 304 76 302 80 299 81 291 35562 34261 93 305 79 306 96 301 81 289 34261 32912 92 306 85 308 95 299 80 286 32912 31517 89 307 87 306 96 301 80 287 31517 30061 85 309 86 302 94 305 81 288 30061 28533 82 311 81 301 82 310 76 293 28533 26938 78 315 75 303 68 305 63 293 26938 25273 72 316 69 304 63 298 54 290 25273 23544 65 315 64 305 58 297 50 288 23544 21762 57 313 57 309 52 300 44 286 21762 19924 49 313 50 314 46 303 40 290 19924 18018 41 313 41 320 39 310 34 296 18018 16081 34 310 32 314 28 311 28 299 16081 14218 28 306 27 306 24 303 24 296 14218 12524 24 303 25 293 21 298 21 293 12524 11020 22 297 19 279 19 292 17 294 11020 9684 22 290 15 281 16 283 13 284 9684 8493 22 287 16*281 14 269 12 260 8493 7433 21 289 15*274 12 263 13 234 7433 6489 20 293 14 269 11 265 12 225 6489 5653 20 295 14 269 11 267 10 225 5653 4910 20 294 13 269 10 270 8 227 4910 4241 18*290 13 268 10 272 6 228 4241 3647 14*284 13 268 9 274 4 232 3647 3149 13 283 12 268 9 276 3 233 3149 2766 12 282 12 269 8 278 2 229 2766 2502 11 281 11 268 7 278 1 201 2502 2342 11 281 11 268 6*279 2*176 2342 2250 9 281 9 268 5*277 3*181 2250 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography