DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/06 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m -5.5 - - -2.9 - - -0.8 - - 1.7 - - 1.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 7 - - 9 - - 5 - - 3 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 515 - - 531 - - 601 - - 616 - - 225 BL Depth Hcrit 2230 - - 2230 - - 2230 - - 2230 - - 2230 Hcrit BL Top 2710 - - 2726 - - 2796 - - 2811 - - 2420 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 471 - - 521 - - 573 - - 753 - - 1247 Hgt.Variab. W* 62 - - 68 - - 58 - - 53 - - 13 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 12 - - 15 - - 16 - - 12 BL Wind Direction 162 - - 151 - - 164 - - 150 - - 155 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 6 - - 7 - - 9 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -1 - - -1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -359 - - -336 - - -239 - - -274 - - -507 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3069 - - 3062 - - 3035 - - 3085 - - 2927 sfcLCL ODpotential -13249 - - -14882 - - -14528 - - -13490 - - -13840 ODpotential blCL 15959 - - 17608 - - 17324 - - 16301 - - 16260 blCL maxRH 92 - - 86 - - 88 - - 94 - - 95 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m -5.5 - - -2.9 - - -0.8 - - 1.7 - - 1.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -10.6 - - -7.9 - - -5.8 - - -3.5 - - -3.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot -5.6 - - -2.9 - - -0.7 - - 1.8 - - 1.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -10.9 - - -7.8 - - -5.8 - - -3.7 - - -3.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 7 - - 9 - - 5 - - 3 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 515 - - 531 - - 601 - - 616 - - 225 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 68 - - 45 - - 53 - - 77 - - 79 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96640 19 025 17 042 15 061 11 021 14 014 96640 89385 13 006 19 025 18 030 20 019 22 040 89385 83753 14 017 14 023 17 030 19 017 25 036 83753 79014 20 004 14 005 14 004 25 013 36 023 79014 74868 19 006 12 329 19 332 27 345 37 003 74868 71171 30 336 20 314 28 317 29 331 35 345 71171 67806 35 326 31 320 33 316 36 325 41 333 67806 64698 42 319 38 312 38 316 40 316 45 318 64698 61812 47 311 43 312 43 309 47 316 45 318 61812 59010 51 306 46 314 48 309 57 315 51 319 59010 56075 56 309 50 316 52 307 63 311 62 314 56075 53035 63 306 59 315 57 308 63 308 67 310 53035 50161 65 307 67 312 64 310 64 309 69 307 50161 47604 66 311 71 310 68 310 66 310 72 309 47604 45324 68 313 73 312 69 314 69 313 74 308 45324 43264 71 311 75 313 72 313 71 313 70 308 43264 41389 72 310 75 312 73 313 72 312 67 311 41389 39668 71 310 75 311 77 313 75 310 69 310 39668 38083 67 313 76 312 79 311 74 309 68 307 38083 36619 69 317 77 312 78 309 70 307 64 306 36619 35265 77 316 77 310 71 308 65 310 59 306 35265 33982 83 313 74 309 67 311 64 312 55 304 33982 32702 81 311 70 312 73 304 61 309 50 304 32702 31392 76 316 75 318 70 288 55 301 47 299 31392 30057 77 324 78 319 63 292 55 286 47 287 30057 28676 83 332 75 320 60 297 51 281 45 276 28676 27235 91 335 73 319 60 297 44 287 40 270 27235 25729 98 337 72 317 59 299 43 289 34 274 25729 24159 90 341 70 315 56 302 41 289 31 281 24159 22527 85 352 64 323 54 305 39 290 28 280 22527 20834 65 351 59 334 52 307 35 300 26 282 20834 19075 46 336 52 344 47 307 32 308 25 285 19075 17245 42 331 43 337 38 308 31 306 24 288 17245 15381 34 324 41 328 32 312 31 301 20 293 15381 13588 32 324 35 321 32 318 28 293 18 312 13588 11958 29 325 28 316 26 326 22 290 21 304 11958 10505 23 318 17 309 18 330 19 297 23 283 10505 9211 17 317 14 299 9 294 14 306 19 259 9211 8059 10 302 13 279 6 254 11 285 16 241 8059 7035 7 274 11 231 9 231 10 226 15 234 7035 6129 6 259 11 202 18 202 15 198 17 228 6129 5334 4 249 12 191 21 184 24 192 20 217 5334 4640 4 218 16 180 23 181 28 181 23 202 4640 4029 7 194 19 177 25 182 28 175 27 183 4029 3495 11 185 20 170 24 176 26 165 26 168 3495 3050 12*171 19*162 21*170 22*155 22 160 3050 2708 9*164 14*152 17*166 20*152 19 158 2708 2473 8 162 13 151 16 164 17 150 16*156 2473 2329 7 161 12 150 13 163 15 149 14*155 2329 2247 6 160 9 150 10 162 11 149 10 154 2247 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography