DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/14 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.1 - - 50.8 - - 51.5 - - 48.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 11 - - -21 - - -3 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2324 - - 55 - - 471 - - 55 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2234 - - 2234 - - 2234 - - 2233 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4519 - - 2250 - - 2666 - - 2250 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3547 - - 3861 - - 4558 - - 4161 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 165 - - 32 - - 74 - - 27 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 34 - - 20 - - 24 - - 17 BL Wind Direction - - - 315 - - 307 - - 316 - - 307 Direction Wind Shear - - - 19 - - 0 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 0 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1379 - - -108 - - -90 - - -231 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3140 - - 2358 - - 2756 - - 2481 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 11 - - -1128 - - -1149 - - -1342 ODpotential blCL - - - 4508 - - 3378 - - 3815 - - 3592 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 101 - - 98 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 200 - - 20 - - 180 - - 90 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.1 - - 50.8 - - 51.5 - - 48.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.5 - - 47.6 - - 46.7 - - 44.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.0 - - 51.3 - - 51.7 - - 49.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.4 - - 47.1 - - 45.8 - - 44.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 11 - - -21 - - -3 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2324 - - 55 - - 471 - - 55 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 102 - - 94 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98299 12 111 8 101 5 137 7 063 98299 90835 9 110 5 107 3 135 11 063 90835 85093 8 115 3 112 2 151 7 049 85093 80322 4 088 6 101 4 051 4 359 80322 76212 4 246 2 031 7 037 1 083 76212 72570 3 211 2 320 4 317 4 032 72570 69261 5 339 8 308 7 312 7 320 69261 66213 8 313 8 299 6 316 9 281 66213 63382 12 313 15 294 13 310 8 296 63382 60618 18 300 16 274 15 300 13 310 60618 57730 20 296 16 289 24 280 20 281 57730 54734 26 295 25 288 25 283 20 244 54734 51855 31 295 34 287 26 265 16 242 51855 49255 35 291 35 279 29 263 16 263 49255 46918 34 288 34 276 30 270 24 256 46918 44783 31 283 31 274 31 268 27 257 44783 42819 27 275 28 273 31 268 28 258 42819 41007 25 269 25 270 32 264 30 255 41007 39331 24 270 24 266 32 257 30 256 39331 37783 23 268 25 259 31 250 28 254 37783 36357 21 266 24 254 26 247 23 242 36357 35014 18 258 18 237 22 234 18 216 35014 33681 22 247 18 207 20 198 19 179 33681 32325 32 216 25 188 25 175 22 165 32325 30943 40 180 27 178 26 166 26 153 30943 29514 34 194 26 180 28 165 22 140 29514 28025 28 199 27 198 20 176 15 118 28025 26473 28 209 22 216 8 183 12 147 26473 24856 24 218 13 219 11 205 8 175 24856 23177 16 230 7 262 8 226 2 176 23177 21441 9 239 16 313 4 298 7 291 21441 19642 7 296 18 323 7 320 11 294 19642 17772 13 329 19 316 17 331 12 342 17772 15870 19 315 24 324 20 346 14 338 15870 14042 26 323 26 332 24 350 18 327 14042 12381 34 325 29 337 30 339 25 320 12381 10904 40 327 33 334 39 322 32 316 10904 9589 44 329 40 331 47 313 37 316 9589 8415 45 328 49 329 51 312 41 315 8415 7369 46 327 54 324 52 314 44 319 7369 6439 45 325 53 321 51 316 44 322 6439 5615 44 323 52 319 48 317 44 320 5615 4883 42*320 50 317 47 317 44 317 4883 4223 39*317 48 315 44 318 42 315 4223 3636 38 316 44 313 39 317 39 313 3636 3143 36 315 40 311 35 317 36 311 3143 2764 33 314 36 309 31*316 31 309 2764 2501 30 313 31 308 28*316 27 308 2501 2342 26 313 27 308 25 316 23*307 2342 2250 20 313 20*307 19 315 17*307 2250 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography