DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/04 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.1 - - 68.7 - - 67.6 - - 61.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 107 - - 97 - - 24 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2734 - - 2873 - - 3498 - - 56 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3550 - - 3638 - - 2235 - - 2234 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4929 - - 5068 - - 5693 - - 2251 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3684 - - 4077 - - 2900 - - 3457 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 292 - - 295 - - 215 - - 22 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 12 - - 12 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 218 - - 287 - - 316 - - 296 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 12 - - 17 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 470 - - 385 - - 960 - - -1320 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4459 - - 4683 - - 4734 - - 3571 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -939 - - -1450 - - -888 - - -3286 ODpotential blCL - - - 5868 - - 6518 - - 6581 - - 5537 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 75 - - 91 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 1510 - - 1400 - - 1200 - - 690 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.1 - - 68.7 - - 67.6 - - 61.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.9 - - 55.6 - - 54.3 - - 53.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.3 - - 67.9 - - 67.5 - - 62.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.6 - - 54.3 - - 53.0 - - 52.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 107 - - 97 - - 24 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2734 - - 2873 - - 3498 - - 56 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 15 - - 2 - - 64 - - 61 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 100115 25 108 22 117 17 110 23 089 100115 92475 19 106 18 115 14 105 17 094 92475 86608 17 115 15 105 16 101 15 095 86608 81739 20 112 15 114 8 094 15 101 81739 77527 13 109 11 123 8 109 13 099 77527 73803 9 151 5 157 7 073 11 113 73803 70428 8 168 6 179 2 055 8 089 70428 67310 9 193 8 214 7 227 2 190 67310 64412 10 196 8 227 10 203 3 214 64412 61600 14 188 14 235 4 245 7 257 61600 58671 13 204 16 221 13 269 13 267 58671 55623 10 228 16 223 15 222 15 269 55623 52702 15 231 16 201 21 241 28 262 52702 50071 20 251 28 268 35 252 37 258 50071 47724 40 251 42 265 46 253 40 250 47724 45605 45 249 45 253 48 251 42 249 45605 43664 43 248 44 247 44 252 43 253 43664 41876 42 251 44 248 42 254 44 257 41876 40217 45 256 46 253 43 256 48 260 40217 38670 51 257 50 257 48 257 52 261 38670 37228 54 255 55 257 53 257 57 262 37228 35853 54 254 59 256 58 257 63 261 35853 34481 53 253 61 253 62 256 67 259 34481 33083 51 252 63 252 66 255 67 257 33083 31666 50 251 64 250 66 254 63 256 31666 30213 51 251 63 249 64 254 58 252 30213 28702 51 249 62 247 58 253 51 240 28702 27127 50 249 60 247 51 252 48 235 27127 25484 49 250 56 246 47 249 45 239 25484 23775 45 251 51 245 45 246 40 243 23775 22002 40 249 44 243 43 246 37 249 22002 20162 37 245 39 238 42 245 35 254 20162 18250 38 245 39 233 37 236 32 257 18250 16304 39 245 34 235 35 241 31 261 16304 14429 37 245 33 236 32 246 34 264 14429 12723 31 240 29 238 31 246 36 265 12723 11203 27 230 25 239 28 245 34 263 11203 9847 24 223 22 235 24 248 29 256 9847 8632 21 227 20 237 18 254 25 247 8632 7545 18 238 17 244 13 267 19 245 7545 6578 16 239 14 256 12 282 13 275 6578 5723 15 234 13*266 12*302 10 309 5723 4965 14*229 13*282 12*312 11 322 4965 4283 14*223 13 285 12 314 13 321 4283 3678 14 219 13 287 12 315 14 315 3678 3171 13 218 12 289 12 316 13 312 3171 2780 13 216 12 290 12 317 12 310 2780 2510 12 215 12 291 11 317 9 306 2510 2345 11 214 11 291 10 317 7*303 2345 2251 10 213 10 292 9 318 4*296 2251 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography