DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/14 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 18.3 - - 29.1 - - 27.3 - - 17.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -2 - - -6 - - -9 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 53 - - 54 - - 54 - - 53 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2231 - - 2232 - - 2232 - - 2232 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2248 - - 2249 - - 2249 - - 2248 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 151 - - 865 - - 705 - - 62 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 0 - - 15 - - 5 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 9 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 358 - - 333 - - 299 - - 281 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - -597 - - -162 - - -254 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2248 - - 2846 - - 2411 - - 2502 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6391 - - -3214 - - -3272 - - -5158 ODpotential blCL - - - 8639 - - 5463 - - 5521 - - 7406 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 77 - - 81 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 18.3 - - 29.1 - - 27.3 - - 17.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 16.6 - - 24.6 - - 24.8 - - 15.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 20.3 - - 29.7 - - 29.8 - - 23.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.9 - - 24.1 - - 24.7 - - 20.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -2 - - -6 - - -9 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 53 - - 54 - - 54 - - 53 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 55 - - 10 - - 26 - - 34 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97448 33 069 35 085 22 080 28 054 97448 90205 27 074 22 083 15 084 25 071 90205 84525 21 072 16 088 15 072 20 081 84525 79742 18 084 15 083 12 073 16 070 79742 75594 16 087 13 078 13 072 8 048 75594 71921 9 078 9 081 9 050 7 028 71921 68577 6 088 9 076 4 112 6 357 68577 65470 8 120 2 016 2 068 3 039 65470 62563 6 124 2 220 6 277 6 023 62563 59734 6 273 4 269 7 294 8 350 59734 56792 8 293 7 268 10 308 13 314 56792 53750 13 269 16 298 12 295 15 294 53750 50848 10 257 20 291 17 301 20 299 50848 48227 11 266 19 261 26 290 26 288 48227 45871 12 275 16 244 26 271 25 282 45871 43738 17 293 9 282 17 262 22 285 43738 41797 24 273 19 312 18 294 24 298 41797 40019 24 251 27 273 31 287 27 297 40019 38375 22 278 31 265 33 271 32 282 38375 36850 35 268 33 273 34 273 35 265 36850 35435 34 257 36 278 36 274 39 268 35435 34087 31 260 38 275 41 271 44 269 34087 32742 36 262 43 270 46 270 44 270 32742 31372 44 260 48 267 47 270 44 271 31372 29981 50 259 50 263 48 269 48 271 29981 28555 52 260 50 260 51 265 53 270 28555 27084 52 260 50 258 50 265 53 270 27084 25569 50 259 49 257 49 266 50 271 25569 24007 47 261 48 258 49 262 49 273 24007 22402 44 261 46 262 48 259 48 272 22402 20751 40 258 42 264 45 259 47 273 20751 19041 35 263 39 264 43 264 43 273 19041 17262 30 267 33 263 36 274 35 279 17262 15446 27 272 28 271 33 279 30 277 15446 13691 25 281 22 275 31 280 28 285 13691 12091 24 290 21 275 28 283 26 287 12091 10664 20 302 24 279 21 291 23 290 10664 9389 14 273 18 288 15 306 19 296 9389 8249 10 257 17 319 15 315 16 300 8249 7230 7 289 18 322 16 315 15 309 7230 6322 6 306 14 324 18 323 16 317 6322 5516 2 342 13 338 19 328 14 316 5516 4800 4 066 13 348 17 331 12 310 4800 4157 6 067 15 354 15 330 12 307 4157 3586 7 055 17 356 15 324 12 306 3586 3108 7 029 18 352 15 316 13 305 3108 2741 7 006 17 345 14 307 15 301 2741 2488 7 005 14 337 12 305 14 297 2488 2335 7*008 12*335 10*304 10*289 2335 2248 4*358 9*333 5*299 6*281 2248 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography