DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/19 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 42.4 - - 50.4 - - 47.5 - - 40.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 73 - - 74 - - -8 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 352 - - 1209 - - 55 - - 54 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2233 - - 2234 - - 2234 - - 2233 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2547 - - 3404 - - 2250 - - 2249 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 421 - - 797 - - 2121 - - 175 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 121 - - 183 - - 0 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 186 - - 214 - - 319 - - 315 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3412 - - -3605 - - -3288 - - -1603 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5960 - - 7009 - - 5538 - - 3852 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9845 - - -7887 - - -8028 - - -7360 ODpotential blCL - - - 12392 - - 11291 - - 10278 - - 9609 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 86 - - 88 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 42.4 - - 50.4 - - 47.5 - - 40.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.6 - - 27.8 - - 31.3 - - 31.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 41.7 - - 49.8 - - 49.1 - - 42.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.4 - - 27.6 - - 31.1 - - 31.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 73 - - 74 - - -8 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 352 - - 1209 - - 55 - - 54 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 56 - - 44 - - 51 - - 68 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97283 19 256 31 261 32 281 37 278 97283 90114 20 270 25 272 25 278 29 270 90114 84574 22 265 23 275 21 274 20 279 84574 79947 21 264 22 292 19 291 17 304 79947 75939 18 264 21 298 13 316 15 305 75939 72379 17 270 18 281 14 316 14 308 72379 69128 17 283 15 283 15 301 16 305 69128 66107 19 284 17 284 15 286 17 290 66107 63282 19 277 20 268 17 277 18 272 63282 60539 22 280 19 269 17 279 15 271 60539 57661 26 281 22 278 20 282 18 286 57661 54653 33 275 30 271 30 267 28 270 54653 51775 36 268 36 264 38 264 33 260 51775 49193 37 271 41 265 43 266 37 260 49193 46887 43 268 50 263 50 265 42 267 46887 44802 55 261 57 261 56 262 50 267 44802 42901 57 258 56 259 57 260 56 262 42901 41159 58 260 59 256 61 262 57 257 41159 39554 65 259 65 257 69 261 58 258 39554 38060 71 258 78 254 76 257 67 254 38060 36673 77 257 83 252 81 253 72 253 36673 35360 85 258 86 253 90 253 85 255 35360 34052 87 257 89 254 96 252 97 249 34052 32713 80 257 86 255 92 250 96 246 32713 31331 69 256 80 256 86 250 91 247 31331 29893 62 255 75 256 82 251 84 250 29893 28391 59 258 70 253 77 252 74 253 28391 26824 56 259 65 251 70 254 69 258 26824 25188 56 259 60 251 62 253 65 256 25188 23485 54 259 56 256 58 253 62 254 23485 21716 46 258 51 258 52 256 57 255 21716 19881 40 257 44 255 44 259 45 259 19881 17982 36 259 40 252 40 258 36 262 17982 16054 34 260 33 254 37 256 32 264 16054 14199 30 257 28 265 34 256 29 262 14199 12514 23 257 24 266 31 266 26 266 12514 11012 15 247 21 266 26 278 22 272 11012 9672 12 222 16 263 18 283 16 268 9672 8477 14 213 14 251 13 276 16 271 8477 7410 19 198 10 245 12 275 17 291 7410 6463 20 190 10 233 8 281 15 310 6463 5626 20 189 11 222 7 300 12 322 5626 4883 18 188 10 216 6 311 11 339 4883 4218 15 183 7 206 4 321 10 341 4218 3629 13 177 5*202 5 328 10 334 3629 3137 8 178 4*208 6 327 10 332 3137 2759 5*186 3 213 6 326 11 336 2759 2498 4*187 3 217 6 326 12 332 2498 2340 3 185 3 218 6 322 10 329 2340 2249 3 188 3 218 4*319 4*315 2249 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography