DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/23 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.9 - - 58.3 - - 64.9 - - 64.2 - - 54.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 7 - - 147 - - 171 - - 7 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 54 - - 1081 - - 2306 - - 2641 - - 56 BL Depth Hcrit 2233 - - 2234 - - 3386 - - 2235 - - 2234 Hcrit BL Top 2249 - - 3276 - - 4501 - - 4836 - - 2251 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 86 - - 491 - - 1179 - - 2474 - - 193 Hgt.Variab. W* 30 - - 223 - - 302 - - 114 - - 7 W* B/S 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 5 - - 8 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 214 - - 275 - - 304 - - 304 - - 347 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - -2 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -788 - - -1908 - - -2220 - - -1236 - - -1335 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3037 - - 5184 - - 6721 - - 6073 - - 3586 sfcLCL ODpotential -9085 - - -6347 - - -4924 - - -3374 - - -5623 ODpotential blCL 11334 - - 9623 - - 9425 - - 8210 - - 7874 blCL maxRH 73 - - 72 - - 73 - - 75 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 40 - - 0 - - 60 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m 42.9 - - 58.3 - - 64.9 - - 64.2 - - 54.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.6 - - 43.4 - - 43.2 - - 45.4 - - 46.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.9 - - 57.2 - - 63.6 - - 64.2 - - 56.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.6 - - 43.3 - - 42.9 - - 45.1 - - 46.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 7 - - 147 - - 171 - - 7 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 54 - - 1081 - - 2306 - - 2641 - - 56 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 22 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98282 6 321 2 194 5 213 9 243 6 239 98282 90988 2 247 3 203 3 157 3 211 4 265 90988 85334 4 169 5 170 8 217 5 298 7 130 85334 80611 4 164 5 240 5 184 6 247 1 109 80611 76524 7 131 7 221 5 252 6 192 3 258 76524 72905 4 099 7 182 10 262 5 255 6 199 72905 69610 8 237 6 239 14 243 12 218 15 234 69610 66552 20 243 15 261 19 207 25 222 25 233 66552 63694 32 237 22 242 30 218 32 224 26 244 63694 60898 40 237 35 235 35 228 38 248 31 245 60898 57964 41 231 40 232 41 237 44 241 36 236 57964 54907 41 232 42 232 47 237 45 236 40 236 54907 51999 43 236 45 234 50 234 49 238 47 240 51999 49415 46 238 47 234 50 233 48 239 48 237 49415 47122 48 240 47 234 48 237 48 243 44 240 47122 45050 52 240 46 234 50 241 52 246 45 245 45050 43163 57 237 48 235 53 239 54 242 47 247 43163 41436 57 231 51 234 54 236 55 239 50 247 41436 39851 54 231 53 233 53 236 54 238 51 246 39851 38386 53 233 55 233 55 236 53 238 51 245 38386 37024 54 236 57 234 56 234 54 233 52 243 37024 35724 55 238 57 234 55 234 55 228 53 241 35724 34416 56 238 56 233 54 235 58 228 56 238 34416 33068 57 237 55 233 52 235 59 235 58 237 33068 31678 57 235 54 234 49 232 57 240 57 238 31678 30233 55 233 54 233 49 229 54 240 53 239 30233 28718 54 233 55 232 50 229 51 236 51 237 28718 27135 52 234 54 229 50 230 48 234 51 238 27135 25483 50 234 51 227 50 231 46 233 48 240 25483 23768 47 232 49 229 50 230 45 235 45 240 23768 21993 45 230 46 232 48 227 45 237 42 240 21993 20155 44 229 44 234 45 231 44 239 40 238 20155 18244 42 231 40 235 42 237 41 240 36 237 18244 16297 37 233 33 235 36 238 35 241 34 241 16297 14421 31 234 27 233 30 236 29 242 30 248 14421 12716 25 231 26 228 27 235 23 245 25 255 12716 11197 22 226 23 226 25 237 19 249 21 261 11197 9840 20 227 18 232 21 241 18 253 18 267 9840 8626 14 237 14 235 18 248 20 267 17 276 8626 7541 7 240 13 212 18 258 18 286 17 291 7541 6575 5 280 10 192 14 262 12 289 14 310 6575 5720 5 278 9 195 11 278 10 293 12 324 5720 4961 5 216 9 207 9*296 10*300 9 327 4961 4278 8 189 8 238 9*302 10*302 9 329 4278 3673 9 181 9*272 9 304 10 304 10 338 3673 3167 10 176 6*274 8 304 10 304 12 346 3167 2776 11 170 5 276 8 305 10 305 14 350 2776 2507 9 153 5 276 8 304 10 305 13 351 2507 2344 5 156 5 276 8 305 9 305 11*350 2344 2251 1*214 4 275 7 305 7 305 5*347 2251 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography