DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/17 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.3 - - 61.9 - - 70.8 - - 69.1 - - 55.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 6 - - 155 - - 155 - - 0 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 55 - - 998 - - 3116 - - 3555 - - 56 BL Depth Hcrit 2233 - - 2235 - - 3922 - - 2235 - - 2234 Hcrit BL Top 2250 - - 3193 - - 5311 - - 5750 - - 2251 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 149 - - 394 - - 3525 - - 2077 - - 66 Hgt.Variab. W* 29 - - 221 - - 324 - - 88 - - 6 W* B/S 2 - - 8 - - 8 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 8 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 277 - - 270 - - 283 - - 303 - - 303 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - -2 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1366 - - -3708 - - -4084 - - -3249 - - -2788 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3617 - - 6902 - - 9395 - - 8999 - - 5039 sfcLCL ODpotential -9837 - - -7882 - - -8365 - - -7467 - - -8248 ODpotential blCL 12087 - - 11075 - - 13676 - - 13217 - - 10499 blCL maxRH 67 - - 62 - - 71 - - 60 - - 62 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.3 - - 61.9 - - 70.8 - - 69.1 - - 55.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.6 - - 39.8 - - 37.4 - - 37.5 - - 41.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.4 - - 60.8 - - 69.6 - - 69.2 - - 58.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.4 - - 39.4 - - 36.7 - - 36.9 - - 41.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 6 - - 155 - - 155 - - 0 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 55 - - 998 - - 3116 - - 3555 - - 56 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98582 29 270 36 254 36 260 37 269 34 275 98582 91234 26 263 31 250 31 264 27 270 30 268 91234 85555 23 251 24 255 30 268 24 290 20 288 85555 80814 19 263 17 252 17 259 20 277 17 295 80814 76722 17 271 16 269 14 265 18 268 17 285 76722 73103 16 255 15 269 14 273 20 286 13 298 73103 69809 18 268 15 267 16 261 20 277 14 293 69809 66759 19 280 16 276 14 265 16 266 16 277 66759 63925 19 284 14 264 15 279 14 270 14 289 63925 61183 21 290 13 272 22 269 20 268 21 278 61183 58326 26 287 22 289 23 276 25 275 24 264 58326 55364 30 282 30 278 34 282 34 287 29 280 55364 52549 36 294 29 280 41 276 43 283 36 282 52549 50029 47 295 38 284 41 277 45 279 38 280 50029 47776 49 288 46 283 44 277 44 277 40 279 47776 45735 45 284 47 281 46 278 45 276 42 278 45735 43866 46 291 48 284 50 280 48 273 45 281 43866 42144 53 293 49 286 52 276 48 267 47 282 42144 40546 54 284 52 284 50 272 47 267 47 275 40546 39060 51 277 52 276 48 271 45 270 44 269 39060 37675 47 278 48 272 45 267 42 271 40 270 37675 36349 45 283 45 272 43 263 42 269 38 270 36349 35010 43 287 43 273 42 262 42 267 37 269 35010 33627 42 287 42 272 41 261 40 265 36 267 33627 32202 40 284 41 269 41 262 38 266 36 265 32202 30718 39 285 38 268 39 264 36 268 36 264 30718 29165 39 287 35 270 38 263 36 271 37 265 29165 27546 39 293 34 271 37 265 37 272 37 267 27546 25859 36 296 34 273 36 272 37 273 36 271 25859 24105 37 282 35 277 36 278 38 276 34 274 24105 22289 40 282 36 283 35 281 36 279 30 276 22289 20405 38 287 34 286 33 283 34 282 27 277 20405 18448 32 291 27 287 29 284 31 281 27 278 18448 16457 27 291 24 282 24 275 28 275 29 280 16457 14543 25 287 20 273 23 278 25 274 30 284 14543 12805 22 280 15 285 21 276 24 282 27 288 12805 11261 18 283 18 298 16 262 19 280 21 293 11261 9887 15 288 17 279 12 261 16 277 16 294 9887 8661 15 294 15 252 14 276 14 283 13 287 8661 7569 17 298 14 252 19 274 12 294 12 286 7569 6599 18 297 12 260 17 275 12*298 12 292 6599 5741 17 297 9 279 13*276 11*301 12 299 5741 4979 16 302 6 303 9*280 11 302 12 307 4979 4294 14 311 4 275 8 282 10 303 12 315 4294 3684 14 316 7*272 8 282 10 304 12 320 3684 3174 17 324 6*272 8 284 10 304 11 325 3174 2781 18 319 5 270 7 284 9 304 10 326 2781 2509 15 309 5 269 7 285 9 304 9 321 2509 2345 9*299 4 270 7 285 8 305 7*305 2345 2251 3*277 4 269 6 286 6 304 5*303 2251 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography