DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/31 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 32.6 - - 36.9 - - 38.1 - - 35.8 - - 35.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 13 - - 20 - - -1 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 54 - - 799 - - 1265 - - 54 - - 54 BL Depth Hcrit 2232 - - 2232 - - 2233 - - 2233 - - 2233 Hcrit BL Top 2249 - - 2994 - - 3460 - - 2249 - - 2249 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 495 - - 1299 - - 903 - - 1850 - - 1578 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 93 - - 125 - - 3 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 187 - - 243 - - 207 - - 229 - - 263 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - -1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 500 - - 867 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2249 - - 2494 - - 2593 - - 2249 - - 2249 sfcLCL ODpotential -1288 - - -58 - - 361 - - -899 - - -566 ODpotential blCL 3537 - - 3052 - - 3099 - - 3148 - - 2815 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 32.6 - - 36.9 - - 38.1 - - 35.8 - - 35.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.9 - - 34.0 - - 34.8 - - 34.1 - - 33.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 33.2 - - 36.7 - - 37.8 - - 37.6 - - 36.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.9 - - 33.6 - - 34.2 - - 34.0 - - 33.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 13 - - 20 - - -1 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 54 - - 799 - - 1265 - - 54 - - 54 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 102 - - 101 - - 101 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96085 44 017 41 018 35 015 34 007 45 012 96085 89355 41 013 37 018 33 017 31 003 28 001 89355 84071 36 008 29 021 30 018 28 009 20 008 84071 79591 25 359 20 014 25 018 21 012 18 017 79591 75648 19 003 16 028 20 012 18 014 14 010 75648 72110 13 014 18 035 14 034 12 009 12 003 72110 68862 12 031 14 053 12 045 8 041 8 011 68862 65843 12 038 12 054 9 045 9 054 5 059 65843 63033 8 043 10 043 9 054 8 055 6 095 63033 60299 3 051 8 032 6 046 5 054 7 082 60299 57429 7 051 3 076 4 043 4 074 4 097 57429 54440 7 032 8 138 3 202 1 063 2 094 54440 51584 2 011 6 145 5 185 4 180 4 171 51584 49022 4 181 7 164 10 186 9 182 11 168 49022 46740 7 198 6 169 12 183 13 193 11 170 46740 44680 14 221 9 201 19 184 21 192 13 200 44680 42804 16 198 12 181 20 182 26 189 23 205 42804 41080 9 168 16 209 21 192 23 180 26 201 41080 39486 17 219 24 216 25 211 26 193 28 195 39486 38003 30 229 33 220 34 214 29 199 28 193 38003 36621 42 229 43 224 42 215 35 210 29 202 36621 35303 53 229 53 226 49 216 47 212 34 213 35303 33986 59 229 55 226 49 215 52 209 45 214 33986 32639 60 230 51 226 47 215 49 204 48 209 32639 31258 55 230 48 225 47 217 45 203 45 206 31258 29824 48 232 47 226 46 218 43 203 40 209 29824 28325 41 232 44 229 44 218 42 206 36 213 28325 26761 35 231 38 230 38 218 37 207 34 214 26761 25132 31 231 31 227 30 218 34 204 33 212 25132 23439 30 230 29 225 28 218 30 204 31 210 23439 21684 29 227 28 225 28 219 28 208 28 208 21684 19862 23 233 23 229 26 221 25 215 23 213 19862 17969 18 229 16 227 19 216 22 217 17 220 17969 16042 17 207 16 213 14 208 17 213 14 224 16042 14185 13 212 15 197 12 208 12 221 11 226 14185 12492 11 238 11 197 10 210 9 217 7 226 12492 10982 10 255 7 201 8 211 7 215 7 236 10982 9635 8 267 5 196 7 203 7 222 7 279 9635 8433 7 285 5 180 7 203 6 242 7 319 8433 7363 7 300 6 159 6 207 4 308 7 332 7363 6414 7 305 2 091 1 265 5 011 9 342 6414 5577 8 311 4 334 5 017 7 007 9 348 5577 4836 8 254 6 244 4 337 7 358 10 349 4836 4176 12 235 10 222 6 211 5 267 6 313 4176 3598 12 235 7 241 6*207 6 234 5 238 3598 3118 11 237 6*250 6*206 6 234 5 229 3118 2749 11 228 5*247 5 206 5 234 4 236 2749 2494 10 199 4 243 5 208 5 233 3 242 2494 2338 9*195 4 242 4 207 4 232 3 251 2338 2249 4*187 3 241 4 209 2*229 2*263 2249 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography