DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/03 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.2 - - 44.6 - - 50.2 - - 41.6 - - 36.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - -1 - - 0 - - -11 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 54 - - 55 - - 682 - - 55 - - 55 BL Depth Hcrit 2233 - - 2233 - - 2234 - - 2233 - - 2233 Hcrit BL Top 2249 - - 2250 - - 2877 - - 2250 - - 2250 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 68 - - 409 - - 1688 - - 820 - - 66 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 23 - - 59 - - 6 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 257 - - 302 - - 323 - - 306 - - 297 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - -1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -362 - - -1509 - - -1529 - - -338 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2611 - - 3759 - - 4406 - - 2588 - - 2250 sfcLCL ODpotential -12099 - - -10247 - - -9486 - - -8135 - - -7971 ODpotential blCL 14348 - - 12497 - - 12363 - - 10385 - - 10221 blCL maxRH 65 - - 69 - - 70 - - 83 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.2 - - 44.6 - - 50.2 - - 41.6 - - 36.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.0 - - 36.2 - - 38.8 - - 38.3 - - 34.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 34.9 - - 44.9 - - 50.3 - - 44.5 - - 39.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.5 - - 35.0 - - 37.6 - - 37.9 - - 36.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - -1 - - 0 - - -11 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 54 - - 55 - - 682 - - 55 - - 55 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 32 - - 28 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95915 31 004 29 022 26 010 29 360 35 016 95915 89170 21 017 20 011 21 352 21 355 27 358 89170 83869 22 358 15 346 16 346 19 002 20 349 83869 79410 17 346 14 342 21 353 15 346 16 345 79410 75508 14 327 10 339 11 328 9 337 11 352 75508 71996 8 297 9 268 14 331 9 284 12 330 71996 68772 11 289 13 237 13 308 7 309 8 267 68772 65787 15 279 10 237 17 271 11 305 7 300 65787 62992 11 253 7 272 17 243 12 280 10 324 62992 60251 16 245 9 314 11 242 17 260 16 294 60251 57397 19 248 16 269 9 271 13 240 17 251 57397 54454 23 259 18 254 11 269 12 274 15 258 54454 51649 27 255 26 245 27 258 29 275 21 274 51649 49131 28 251 30 239 34 246 31 265 19 278 49131 46877 29 254 27 243 30 238 23 253 20 256 46877 44837 31 248 25 254 23 240 22 252 18 254 44837 42980 33 236 31 252 29 263 29 271 22 291 42980 41292 29 246 34 246 41 265 42 272 34 272 41292 39756 31 282 34 250 41 263 46 271 36 266 39756 38336 33 288 33 252 32 260 41 267 41 264 38336 37003 33 278 30 254 30 262 39 257 41 261 37003 35715 33 266 30 258 31 261 41 247 41 260 35715 34407 31 256 30 258 27 246 38 240 40 259 34407 33052 27 251 30 255 28 239 33 238 40 254 33052 31655 25 252 29 249 28 248 33 242 42 249 31655 30201 25 259 29 244 32 253 35 248 43 243 30201 28677 25 267 29 245 35 248 39 252 44 235 28677 27083 26 275 32 250 37 246 41 249 45 235 27083 25422 27 278 36 256 37 249 42 248 44 240 25422 23701 32 271 38 262 39 253 45 249 50 236 23701 21923 45 267 39 267 42 257 49 248 56 235 21923 20076 49 263 39 270 41 261 52 248 59 237 20076 18154 51 259 39 272 37 265 49 250 53 239 18154 16200 50 257 38 271 35 267 37 254 39 242 16200 14320 45 253 39 265 35 264 27 263 27 243 14320 12608 40 250 40 257 35 263 23 256 22 249 12608 11083 35 256 39 255 34 269 21 272 17 266 11083 9725 28 257 31 273 31 282 20 297 14 309 9725 8515 25 250 25 279 24 294 18 304 11 316 8515 7437 25 260 18 279 21 290 16 309 11 320 7437 6480 24 286 10 282 21 276 16 308 11 327 6480 5636 23 302 9 290 18 277 18 309 12 330 5636 4889 15 307 16 316 13 294 15 315 11 329 4889 4220 11 323 21 327 12 314 11 325 7 322 4220 3630 18 330 22 326 12 321 10 325 5 315 3630 3138 20 337 22 324 11*322 11 317 6 324 3138 2759 15 356 20 320 8*323 11 314 7 326 2759 2498 12 348 13 310 7 323 9 315 6 320 2498 2340 7*322 10*307 6 324 8*314 4*302 2340 2250 5*257 5*302 5 324 5*306 3*297 2250 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography