DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/30 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 26.4 - - 30.2 - - 33.4 - - 29.5 - - 30.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 5 - - 13 - - -14 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 54 - - 408 - - 714 - - 54 - - 54 BL Depth Hcrit 2232 - - 2232 - - 2232 - - 2232 - - 2232 Hcrit BL Top 2249 - - 2603 - - 2909 - - 2249 - - 2249 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 642 - - 2194 - - 2012 - - 621 - - 333 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 56 - - 90 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 9 - - 11 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 193 - - 187 - - 188 - - 174 - - 182 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - -1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -164 - - -189 - - -52 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2413 - - 2792 - - 2961 - - 2249 - - 2249 sfcLCL ODpotential -2453 - - -1231 - - -1058 - - -1839 - - -1766 ODpotential blCL 4702 - - 3834 - - 3967 - - 4088 - - 4015 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 98 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 26.4 - - 30.2 - - 33.4 - - 29.5 - - 30.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.1 - - 26.3 - - 28.7 - - 28.1 - - 29.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 27.0 - - 30.2 - - 33.3 - - 31.5 - - 32.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.0 - - 25.9 - - 28.2 - - 28.7 - - 30.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 5 - - 13 - - -14 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 54 - - 408 - - 714 - - 54 - - 54 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 101 - - 98 - - 94 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95975 44 020 37 014 36 015 48 012 37 022 95975 89239 39 023 40 011 38 013 37 018 38 014 89239 83917 37 021 39 013 39 010 37 026 32 019 83917 79393 33 014 34 013 34 016 33 026 29 024 79393 75415 26 008 29 013 30 019 27 025 27 026 75415 71852 21 354 23 011 21 010 24 019 26 027 71852 68592 15 341 16 360 17 004 22 010 21 024 68592 65573 13 357 13 354 17 353 20 008 14 009 65573 62760 14 008 10 350 14 340 18 358 11 012 62760 60016 12 006 9 007 11 316 14 335 12 001 60016 57145 11 341 6 349 8 313 12 310 12 332 57145 54171 12 314 6 310 9 309 8 303 9 311 54171 51337 13 292 9 303 8 283 9 270 9 287 51337 48795 14 284 12 289 10 288 8 265 10 259 48795 46529 13 276 14 267 14 279 8 286 12 237 46529 44491 13 277 12 250 20 259 15 295 10 266 44491 42633 16 263 13 248 23 255 26 260 20 265 42633 40926 18 261 16 265 23 251 30 241 25 245 40926 39356 29 259 29 266 25 262 29 249 27 247 39356 37905 29 245 34 258 35 266 43 256 30 238 37905 36556 24 247 30 255 38 261 39 252 21 232 36556 35265 29 261 33 261 43 266 36 263 19 242 35265 33961 39 259 39 261 53 267 44 268 29 250 33961 32615 39 254 42 259 56 266 51 263 39 250 32615 31227 33 255 41 259 52 263 54 259 41 249 31227 29782 31 261 41 259 46 256 51 259 38 251 29782 28269 32 265 40 260 41 254 44 259 33 254 28269 26691 32 267 38 261 36 255 38 255 29 252 26691 25053 33 268 37 263 32 258 35 253 31 249 25053 23363 34 268 36 263 31 258 33 255 33 249 23363 21620 34 267 36 264 29 255 27 257 33 251 21620 19811 31 268 34 265 27 255 26 260 30 255 19811 17924 23 269 32 264 27 257 26 257 25 256 17924 15995 17 259 29 262 26 259 22 249 22 257 15995 14130 15 250 21 258 25 260 19 247 19 261 14130 12430 14 252 19 246 20 258 17 255 15 252 12430 10917 13 249 18 242 16 245 15 254 13 250 10917 9571 12 257 14 239 15 242 15 242 12 251 9571 8374 14 269 12 234 13 243 13 239 12 256 8374 7313 15 269 11 231 11 239 11 237 11 259 7313 6373 14 276 12 231 12 227 10 228 8 250 6373 5546 18 241 17 228 16 221 15 228 14 233 5546 4821 19 231 19 225 20 219 22 221 20 220 4821 4174 17 230 19 223 20 218 22 216 19 219 4174 3599 18 220 17 218 17 209 20 213 19 216 3599 3118 19 206 15 203 15*200 18 205 18 210 3118 2747 17 198 13*195 12*190 16 194 17 201 2747 2492 12 195 11*188 12 188 13 185 13 193 2492 2337 9*194 9 186 11 187 11*181 11*190 2337 2249 6*193 7 185 9 187 6*174 4*182 2249 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography