DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/17 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.1 - - 58.0 - - - - - 48.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -42 - - -16 - - - - - -78 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 56 - - 56 - - - - - 55 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2234 - - 2234 - - - - - 2233 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2251 - - 2251 - - - - - 2250 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 464 - - 8444 - - - - - 5925 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 18 - - 18 - - - - - 14 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 16 - - - - - 17 BL Wind Direction - - - 264 - - 287 - - - - - 281 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5609 - - -4573 - - - - - -4862 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7860 - - 6824 - - - - - 7113 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8072 - - -5493 - - - - - -6781 ODpotential blCL - - - 10323 - - 7744 - - - - - 9031 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 100 - - - - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 110 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.1 - - 58.0 - - - - - 48.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.5 - - 35.7 - - - - - 24.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.5 - - 58.5 - - - - - 50.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.1 - - 35.5 - - - - - 24.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -42 - - -16 - - - - - -78 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 56 - - 56 - - - - - 55 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 101 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97312 16 259 14 281 19 250 97312 90155 8 269 18 266 6 340 90155 84525 5 225 15 234 10 277 84525 79795 18 275 13 264 13 245 79795 75732 15 255 16 241 12 261 75732 72142 20 281 19 273 11 299 72142 68863 26 289 26 271 26 293 68863 65822 23 284 20 270 26 254 65822 62984 12 276 17 308 12 210 62984 60219 28 266 29 300 36 305 60219 57350 34 273 25 249 38 274 57350 54372 15 244 28 210 26 261 54372 51492 38 285 20 258 48 283 51492 48901 66 280 49 273 61 268 48901 46599 83 267 77 267 61 257 46599 44504 89 257 82 257 62 260 44504 42580 92 250 80 253 69 272 42580 40820 95 246 82 250 78 274 40820 39202 101 246 88 248 85 270 39202 37700 109 246 95 247 89 266 37700 36298 114 247 103 247 91 264 36298 34958 114 247 109 246 93 263 34958 33613 112 247 114 245 95 262 33613 32234 109 246 119 245 97 264 32234 30825 106 245 121 245 100 265 30825 29372 104 243 120 245 103 267 29372 27863 101 243 117 245 102 268 27863 26299 97 243 112 245 98 271 26299 24679 94 243 107 244 88 273 24679 23009 91 242 104 243 75 278 23009 21292 87 242 102 242 69 284 21292 19520 82 241 98 243 64 288 19520 17680 74 241 93 245 58 289 17680 15808 66 243 81 249 51 291 15808 14003 60 247 59 253 48 294 14003 12358 51 254 45 257 50 298 12358 10894 45 258 45 264 55 303 10894 9588 42 260 44 270 58 304 9588 8421 38 261 43 275 58 302 8421 7377 36 263 41 278 55 300 7377 6447 36 266 40 281 53 299 6447 5621 36 267 39 283 52 298 5621 4886 37 269 38 284 50 297 4886 4224 37 271 37 285 48 294 4224 3636 36 271 35 286 44 290 3636 3143 34 270 33 286 40 287 3143 2763 31 268 30 287 35 285 2763 2501 22 266 26 287 29 283 2501 2341 19*265 22*287 24*282 2341 2250 11*264 16*287 17*281 2250 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography