DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/15 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 14.5 - - 23.0 - - 29.9 - - 25.9 - - 23.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 22 - - -2 - - -3 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 53 - - 302 - - 54 - - 53 - - 54 BL Depth Hcrit 2231 - - 2232 - - 2232 - - 2232 - - 2232 Hcrit BL Top 2248 - - 2497 - - 2249 - - 2248 - - 2249 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 134 - - 182 - - 641 - - 552 - - 62 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 78 - - 12 - - 4 - - 10 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 7 - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 203 - - 259 - - 274 - - 154 - - 197 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -218 - - -667 - - -2945 - - -2619 - - -1121 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2466 - - 3164 - - 5194 - - 4867 - - 3370 sfcLCL ODpotential -10222 - - -8998 - - -10298 - - -11034 - - -10516 ODpotential blCL 12470 - - 11495 - - 12547 - - 13282 - - 12765 blCL maxRH 82 - - 80 - - 86 - - 97 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 14.5 - - 23.0 - - 29.9 - - 25.9 - - 23.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 11.8 - - 17.2 - - 15.3 - - 12.8 - - 17.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 15.9 - - 22.9 - - 30.6 - - 30.3 - - 28.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 12.5 - - 17.0 - - 14.3 - - 12.1 - - 17.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 22 - - -2 - - -3 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 53 - - 302 - - 54 - - 53 - - 54 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 28 - - 21 - - 45 - - 90 - - 45 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96676 40 032 48 028 44 032 38 028 37 028 96676 89707 31 018 35 020 33 026 27 018 28 027 89707 84222 27 014 24 010 26 018 29 022 26 021 84222 79594 26 011 18 352 19 352 24 006 18 012 79594 75573 22 014 22 007 21 344 22 341 19 348 75573 71995 18 000 17 356 14 339 13 311 13 317 71995 68715 7 309 14 325 15 322 14 305 14 305 68715 65672 12 326 17 310 22 303 18 304 13 317 65672 62841 19 307 22 301 28 284 27 319 19 337 62841 60113 22 320 28 304 28 291 38 303 30 319 60113 57276 33 321 35 308 35 296 38 295 35 306 57276 54318 46 311 42 309 40 306 46 304 46 296 54318 51495 61 305 54 305 53 309 55 301 55 290 51495 48970 67 301 63 302 64 304 64 299 59 288 48970 46715 72 301 71 296 76 298 66 297 57 291 46715 44662 73 302 74 295 76 298 68 302 61 296 44662 42776 73 302 77 301 76 300 78 302 72 296 42776 41038 73 302 81 303 82 301 88 295 76 290 41038 39436 74 304 82 300 83 299 85 294 72 294 39436 37952 78 305 83 298 84 295 82 299 76 303 37952 36566 80 305 78 301 84 299 99 309 102 306 36566 35242 82 304 77 306 93 308 122 309 119 302 35242 33910 81 302 87 311 110 310 131 303 120 296 33910 32535 78 301 98 312 121 309 129 299 114 294 32535 31119 74 302 100 310 126 307 124 296 108 294 31119 29647 73 305 95 307 127 307 117 296 105 296 29647 28110 75 305 84 304 127 309 106 299 97 295 28110 26516 69 303 65 305 122 309 100 302 87 294 26516 24866 65 304 56 303 102 309 97 302 81 294 24866 23160 63 304 52 296 78 307 95 302 78 297 23160 21399 58 306 46 290 60 295 91 305 76 301 21399 19580 49 305 40 290 46 291 78 307 71 305 19580 17700 44 300 35 294 44 299 66 304 63 309 17700 15795 42 296 32 300 43 302 49 303 57 310 15795 13965 39 297 33 308 37 302 35 304 51 311 13965 12301 35 300 35 313 33 306 37 306 44 312 12301 10822 30 303 34 313 35 308 41 304 41 313 10822 9507 25 300 28 312 35 304 36 305 38 309 9507 8340 22 299 21 306 28 300 28 309 33 309 8340 7303 18 297 15 297 22 298 27 303 28 315 7303 6379 14 285 13 295 20 295 24 298 22 312 6379 5560 13 273 12 289 20 294 19 290 19 309 5560 4833 14 259 13 288 19 293 18 282 23 309 4833 4179 14 244 14 291 18 294 17 281 22 299 4179 3599 11 244 11 283 18 295 14 289 21 290 3599 3116 5 224 9 268 17 291 10 293 15 288 3116 2745 6 213 11*269 12 284 5 287 8 276 2745 2490 10 224 9*263 8 278 2 204 4 225 2490 2336 9*218 7 258 6*275 2 165 5*193 2336 2249 3*203 6 256 4*274 3*154 5*197 2249 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography