DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/03 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.9 - - 64.8 - - 69.5 - - 66.2 - - 59.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 9 - - 113 - - 150 - - 25 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1023 - - 3230 - - 4327 - - 2256 - - 56 BL Depth Hcrit 2234 - - 3850 - - 4807 - - 2235 - - 2234 Hcrit BL Top 3218 - - 5425 - - 6522 - - 4451 - - 2251 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1868 - - 2211 - - 2779 - - 2857 - - 2867 Hgt.Variab. W* 94 - - 300 - - 362 - - 171 - - 19 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 14 - - 12 - - 10 - - 10 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 115 - - 160 - - 183 - - 219 - - 209 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 5 - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 967 - - 995 - - 637 - - 540 - - -131 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2251 - - 4430 - - 5886 - - 3911 - - 2382 sfcLCL ODpotential 191 - - 133 - - -162 - - -449 - - -1500 ODpotential blCL 3027 - - 5292 - - 6684 - - 4900 - - 3751 blCL maxRH 100 - - 93 - - 87 - - 90 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 650 - - 330 - - 160 - - 670 - - 240 CAPE Temp@2m 60.9 - - 64.8 - - 69.5 - - 66.2 - - 59.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 58.1 - - 52.5 - - 51.0 - - 56.2 - - 56.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.8 - - 63.9 - - 68.4 - - 65.8 - - 60.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 57.8 - - 51.9 - - 50.2 - - 55.5 - - 55.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 9 - - 113 - - 150 - - 25 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1023 - - 3230 - - 4327 - - 2256 - - 56 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 71 - - 48 - - 61 - - 74 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 9 - - 8 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98984 10 190 5 094 6 039 6 002 8 048 98984 91661 8 169 8 114 2 105 5 097 1 236 91661 85983 7 055 5 135 5 145 3 015 1 314 85983 81234 7 353 5 076 4 235 7 306 5 332 81234 77114 4 271 3 323 4 341 4 280 4 303 77114 73452 5 178 7 239 5 305 2 279 3 331 73452 70116 3 197 7 208 3 245 6 218 2 295 70116 67041 9 264 7 193 9 221 8 231 7 236 67041 64181 15 231 10 197 12 204 11 213 9 205 64181 61395 20 211 12 216 11 211 14 219 16 222 61395 58465 18 201 18 211 18 210 17 216 19 216 58465 55407 16 215 21 202 22 202 20 215 20 204 55407 52489 21 216 17 191 20 196 22 216 18 209 52489 49878 24 199 14 192 21 196 27 216 18 223 49878 47555 25 185 20 196 21 197 26 210 22 229 47555 45455 21 173 22 187 21 194 24 208 23 221 45455 43536 20 176 19 178 22 188 21 204 24 215 43536 41768 22 167 20 178 24 184 20 198 25 202 41768 40128 27 161 29 172 27 181 21 192 25 199 40128 38605 35 166 29 169 32 181 20 191 23 202 38605 37191 47 163 31 184 38 180 21 198 22 198 37191 35850 44 150 36 189 40 178 31 193 21 184 35850 34517 42 146 41 187 42 177 40 181 21 176 34517 33155 46 154 45 185 43 175 40 179 21 166 33155 31757 50 157 49 186 40 175 36 186 23 155 31757 30303 49 159 52 189 36 184 33 192 21 149 30303 28779 44 158 54 189 37 195 30 198 20 153 28779 27187 35 153 52 186 41 197 29 205 20 156 27187 25529 29 141 46 183 42 194 30 202 19 161 25529 23808 26 126 40 183 38 196 30 199 17 178 23808 22027 24 110 34 186 33 209 27 203 18 194 22027 20181 25 111 28 189 29 222 25 212 19 198 20181 18262 26 110 22 183 27 228 23 216 19 198 18262 16308 28 113 18 170 23 227 22 212 23 204 16308 14426 28 112 17 162 22 230 21 219 26 204 14426 12712 27 113 17 155 22 241 23 225 25 213 12712 11187 25 119 15 159 17 241 23 225 27 219 11187 9828 20 121 8 154 13 233 21 223 27 220 9828 8614 15 117 11 144 13 232 18 223 26 219 8614 7532 11 120 14 150 12 225 15 222 25 220 7532 6569 9 121 14 154 11*206 13 218 24 221 6569 5716 11 113 13*158 11*189 12 216 24 224 5716 4960 14 115 13*159 10 186 11*217 23 229 4960 4281 16 118 13 159 10 184 11*218 23 230 4281 3677 16*117 12 160 10 182 10 218 22 229 3677 3170 16*117 12 160 10 180 10 219 21 227 3170 2779 15 116 11 160 9 179 10 220 19 223 2779 2509 14 115 11 160 9 179 9 221 15 217 2509 2345 13 115 10 160 9 178 9 220 13*214 2345 2251 8 112 9 160 8 178 7 220 7*209 2251 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography