DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/08 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 26.2 - - 32.1 - - 34.0 - - 29.8 - - 26.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 1 - - -1 - - 1 - - -4 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 53 - - 54 - - 54 - - 54 - - 54 BL Depth Hcrit 2232 - - 2233 - - 2232 - - 2232 - - 2232 Hcrit BL Top 2248 - - 2249 - - 2249 - - 2249 - - 2249 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 551 - - 894 - - 1264 - - 600 - - 219 Hgt.Variab. W* 17 - - 8 - - 18 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 145 - - 337 - - 296 - - 146 - - 177 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -56 - - 0 - - -76 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2304 - - 2249 - - 2325 - - 2249 - - 2249 sfcLCL ODpotential -5098 - - -2351 - - -1632 - - -3190 - - -4468 ODpotential blCL 7346 - - 4600 - - 3881 - - 5439 - - 6717 blCL maxRH 100 - - 99 - - 100 - - 99 - - 95 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 26.2 - - 32.1 - - 34.0 - - 29.8 - - 26.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.4 - - 31.1 - - 32.0 - - 29.1 - - 25.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 26.2 - - 32.2 - - 33.9 - - 31.8 - - 28.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.3 - - 30.9 - - 31.8 - - 30.9 - - 27.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 1 - - -1 - - 1 - - -4 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 53 - - 54 - - 54 - - 54 - - 54 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 95 - - 101 - - 94 - - 79 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96564 31 325 26 320 29 333 39 334 37 341 96564 89577 35 342 32 348 35 338 38 341 43 349 89577 84089 36 349 35 356 33 346 31 341 40 344 84089 79434 35 346 33 356 32 351 28 342 33 340 79434 75358 33 344 34 355 30 348 32 342 31 349 75358 71722 34 335 34 345 27 345 32 341 32 349 71722 68420 33 330 32 335 29 334 33 342 30 343 68420 65381 33 326 31 334 29 331 34 335 30 334 65381 62556 35 326 34 330 35 328 38 328 32 331 62556 59815 39 333 33 328 36 327 36 324 30 336 59815 56958 43 332 33 327 36 324 36 325 33 337 56958 54016 42 322 32 324 40 320 39 326 38 335 54016 51237 41 320 37 328 44 319 43 329 49 331 51237 48758 43 324 45 328 45 325 50 327 55 326 48758 46548 45 326 52 325 52 331 57 324 59 323 46548 44553 47 326 54 324 59 328 61 327 69 321 44553 42750 49 326 56 323 65 327 70 326 71 319 42750 41120 52 329 58 325 73 330 84 334 92 343 41120 39619 55 330 64 330 91 331 138 341 130 345 39619 38209 57 328 74 335 108 331 147 341 126 339 38209 36876 59 326 87 337 121 334 135 338 117 338 36876 35589 60 325 104 337 124 335 120 333 100 331 35589 34283 61 325 137 339 125 337 112 330 101 327 34283 32928 60 327 155 339 123 337 110 330 100 325 32928 31526 61 329 155 339 119 338 108 331 95 325 31526 30065 53 329 155 344 116 337 105 335 92 329 30065 28531 47 334 111 344 113 339 99 339 88 329 28531 26927 51 337 67 339 112 345 90 338 76 327 26927 25257 53 332 54 336 90 343 81 343 64 328 25257 23519 48 325 53 334 71 336 76 342 58 329 23519 21716 38 322 52 330 56 335 74 338 53 329 21716 19845 33 327 43 329 46 341 56 334 48 335 19845 17904 34 329 34 331 37 342 40 334 44 326 17904 15945 32 324 31 328 30 337 29 335 37 314 15945 14077 28 324 30 325 27 330 26 334 21 313 14077 12387 26 330 29 325 27 327 27 328 16 327 12387 10885 25 332 27 329 26 324 27 323 18 324 10885 9551 23 333 23 335 22 320 25 322 19 317 9551 8364 20 335 20 337 19 327 19 319 15 321 8364 7311 18 330 19 333 20 333 13 322 9 322 7311 6379 19 325 21 332 21 330 14 326 7 329 6379 5556 20 325 21 335 19 328 14 327 7 342 5556 4829 21 329 18 344 15 323 12 325 6 329 4829 4176 19 326 15 351 11 316 11 314 3 271 4176 3598 16 317 15 348 10 313 9 305 4 192 3598 3116 11 302 14 343 9 314 5 291 6 182 3116 2745 5 264 11 338 7 311 2 209 12 182 2745 2490 3 182 7 336 4 302 5 158 14 180 2490 2336 3 156 6*337 2*298 5*150 12*180 2336 2249 2*145 3*337 2*296 3*146 5*177 2249 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography