DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/11 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 34.8 - - 35.8 - - 35.4 - - 34.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 24 - - 49 - - 0 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1433 - - 2170 - - 250 - - 151 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2233 - - 2233 - - 2233 - - 2233 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3628 - - 4365 - - 2445 - - 2346 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2476 - - 2311 - - 4340 - - 4918 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 136 - - 198 - - 30 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 8 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 080 - - 102 - - 127 - - 132 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -2 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 848 - - 1126 - - -887 - - 97 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2780 - - 3239 - - 3332 - - 2249 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 206 - - 531 - - -1517 - - -416 ODpotential blCL - - - 3422 - - 3834 - - 3962 - - 2762 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 100 - - 101 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 34.8 - - 35.8 - - 35.4 - - 34.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.0 - - 29.9 - - 29.1 - - 32.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 34.6 - - 35.3 - - 35.4 - - 34.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.3 - - 29.0 - - 28.2 - - 32.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 24 - - 49 - - 0 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1433 - - 2170 - - 250 - - 151 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 101 - - 103 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97157 27 335 30 296 33 323 31 322 97157 90144 23 323 24 324 19 327 23 326 90144 84678 20 322 23 331 14 323 14 338 84678 80094 17 322 22 318 13 325 9 349 80094 76114 16 330 19 311 13 314 10 341 76114 72574 15 330 16 312 18 304 16 321 72574 69349 13 326 14 311 18 297 20 301 69349 66358 15 321 15 295 18 300 18 283 66358 63564 18 315 19 283 20 297 18 269 63564 60848 24 314 20 288 20 287 19 266 60848 58011 25 308 22 287 21 282 24 270 58011 55061 24 303 21 281 24 278 28 270 55061 52231 23 307 18 287 28 277 28 277 52231 49669 21 311 20 297 28 276 30 282 49669 47365 21 310 22 297 26 278 29 285 47365 45266 21 307 23 297 22 287 27 286 45266 43340 18 309 22 293 20 293 24 281 43340 41563 16 307 20 292 21 291 18 277 41563 39919 15 308 17 295 20 289 13 289 39919 38390 14 297 14 288 19 287 14 307 38390 36963 12 285 16 288 17 285 14 310 36963 35600 9 277 14 287 12 288 12 311 35600 34237 7 285 13 288 8 311 10 328 34237 32842 7 256 8 289 9 358 11 350 32842 31414 9 227 4 334 15 015 12 011 31414 29938 14 226 5 006 20 021 15 028 29938 28400 17 229 5 360 21 026 17 038 28400 26802 17 230 4 345 20 037 19 043 26802 25142 11 227 4 307 17 048 19 045 25142 23420 2 154 7 266 12 054 17 049 23420 21639 3 071 7 252 8 043 15 057 21639 19790 8 062 1 132 5 026 13 054 19790 17869 5 070 5 050 8 058 9 042 17869 15914 9 102 2 112 6 065 7 043 15914 14033 9 087 4 086 6 110 5 051 14033 12328 12 091 5 062 8 105 5 085 12328 10816 18 098 10 087 9 114 6 106 10816 9475 16 113 16 089 12 109 8 109 9475 8289 15 112 16 122 10 107 9 111 8289 7249 14 102 15 138 7 143 6 160 7249 6337 11 094 12 131 8 146 8 167 6337 5529 12 094 10 116 8 144 8 167 5529 4812 12 089 9*111 7 140 9 167 4812 4166 12*086 9*105 7 136 10 162 4166 3594 11*083 9 103 7 133 11 157 3594 3115 11 080 8 101 7 131 10 150 3115 2747 10 079 8 101 6 129 8 141 2747 2492 9 079 8 101 6*128 7*134 2492 2338 9 078 7 100 5*127 5*133 2338 2249 7 077 6 100 4 126 4 132 2249 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography