DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/15 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 19.7 - - 24.1 - - 37.8 - - 32.9 - - 35.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -19 - - -15 - - -58 - - -34 - - -51 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 53 - - 53 - - 55 - - 54 - - 54 BL Depth Hcrit 2232 - - 2232 - - 2233 - - 2233 - - 2233 Hcrit BL Top 2248 - - 2248 - - 2250 - - 2249 - - 2249 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 489 - - 267 - - 252 - - 86 - - 115 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 14 - - 15 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 12 - - 13 - - 8 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 161 - - 195 - - 213 - - 197 - - 226 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - 0 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -383 - - -329 - - -84 - - -239 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2248 - - 2631 - - 2579 - - 2333 - - 2488 sfcLCL ODpotential -13809 - - -12447 - - -7085 - - -8524 - - -6779 ODpotential blCL 16057 - - 14695 - - 9335 - - 10773 - - 9028 blCL maxRH 92 - - 95 - - 93 - - 83 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 110 CAPE Temp@2m 19.7 - - 24.1 - - 37.8 - - 32.9 - - 35.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 17.8 - - 20.4 - - 34.0 - - 30.1 - - 32.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 21.1 - - 25.3 - - 41.5 - - 37.1 - - 39.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.7 - - 20.2 - - 33.9 - - 31.8 - - 32.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -19 - - -15 - - -58 - - -34 - - -51 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 53 - - 53 - - 55 - - 54 - - 54 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 66 - - 80 - - 73 - - 31 - - 69 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96292 68 004 57 007 48 002 55 005 51 010 96292 89262 44 348 50 351 43 351 42 339 51 351 89262 83802 27 338 34 342 34 335 36 321 47 334 83802 79233 32 337 31 336 30 332 30 322 34 326 79233 75238 42 330 40 331 38 334 38 329 28 325 75238 71639 43 318 49 323 44 322 43 327 39 328 71639 68377 43 310 45 320 42 316 46 319 55 321 68377 65413 39 316 41 319 51 312 53 316 47 315 65413 62680 45 324 47 319 59 301 54 306 41 304 62680 60009 60 309 63 298 59 286 50 291 49 295 60009 57176 64 294 52 285 46 284 41 294 57 291 57176 54193 63 296 44 301 44 298 43 301 64 291 54193 51312 70 296 53 310 61 304 54 299 68 288 51312 48699 72 291 70 299 69 295 63 299 75 286 48699 46345 74 285 80 291 78 288 73 294 82 284 46345 44207 75 284 85 286 84 284 83 287 82 282 44207 42255 78 291 82 283 88 279 91 279 79 280 42255 40465 85 299 80 283 85 274 95 270 83 275 40465 38817 97 297 85 280 87 274 97 264 87 268 38817 37299 112 291 99 276 104 268 100 259 83 261 37299 35898 133 284 113 270 108 259 102 252 78 254 35898 34571 133 278 113 265 102 252 98 248 74 253 34571 33246 131 277 108 262 98 248 91 248 73 252 33246 31892 129 278 102 262 90 247 88 252 74 252 31892 30511 122 281 97 263 88 248 90 256 77 253 30511 29090 109 281 98 267 85 251 93 259 79 256 29090 27615 99 279 91 269 80 255 96 261 79 260 27615 26088 94 278 81 267 78 259 98 263 76 263 26088 24504 84 277 79 264 77 262 96 265 70 256 24504 22863 75 277 73 263 78 260 88 264 61 243 22863 21169 64 277 65 265 73 256 77 261 54 243 21169 19420 56 274 56 267 59 254 69 262 48 250 19420 17606 54 270 47 268 46 258 61 266 45 258 17606 15761 51 269 42 268 45 271 51 268 47 267 15761 13979 49 275 38 272 43 275 44 269 54 268 13979 12353 48 281 38 282 39 278 43 273 59 269 12353 10900 49 284 42 288 40 283 49 276 62 270 10900 9601 46 282 46 289 45 285 58 279 64 273 9601 8437 41 278 46 285 48 281 64 280 64 274 8437 7394 35 271 42 279 46 273 66 278 58 275 7394 6461 28 266 37 272 39 264 62 277 51 274 6461 5631 24 257 32 260 34 255 54 274 49 272 5631 4892 27 227 26 244 32 251 45 269 50 267 4892 4227 34 226 26 236 31 247 37 262 46 259 4227 3635 37 224 28 227 31 242 31 253 43 256 3635 3139 32 208 35 220 34 230 28 244 38 253 3139 2758 25 177 33 215 36 225 26 229 33 249 2758 2497 18 166 20 198 25 217 21 216 24 237 2497 2339 15 164 16 196 22*216 17 210 19 233 2339 2249 10*161 12*195 13*213 8*197 11*226 2249 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography