DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/20 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 27.8 - - 43.3 - - 51.3 - - 45.6 - - 38.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 61 - - 77 - - -18 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 54 - - 374 - - 1757 - - 55 - - 55 BL Depth Hcrit 2232 - - 2233 - - 2234 - - 2233 - - 2233 Hcrit BL Top 2249 - - 2569 - - 3952 - - 2250 - - 2250 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 81 - - 551 - - 2789 - - 1905 - - 67 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 116 - - 211 - - 7 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 9 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 285 - - 268 - - 213 - - 202 - - 206 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -156 - - -2392 - - -2927 - - -3258 - - -1485 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2405 - - 4961 - - 6879 - - 5509 - - 3736 sfcLCL ODpotential -6522 - - -5025 - - -7921 - - -10391 - - -10628 ODpotential blCL 8771 - - 7594 - - 11873 - - 12641 - - 12878 blCL maxRH 78 - - 90 - - 63 - - 50 - - 65 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 27.8 - - 43.3 - - 51.3 - - 45.6 - - 38.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.6 - - 29.8 - - 29.3 - - 29.8 - - 30.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 30.4 - - 42.7 - - 50.7 - - 48.4 - - 41.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.0 - - 29.6 - - 28.9 - - 29.5 - - 30.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 61 - - 77 - - -18 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 54 - - 374 - - 1757 - - 55 - - 55 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 11 - - 60 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97143 31 274 35 287 25 290 22 269 36 267 97143 90061 16 279 18 282 17 282 15 302 14 279 90061 84577 9 321 8 281 13 284 12 322 5 330 84577 79977 8 342 4 243 12 291 10 324 3 357 79977 75971 8 332 6 237 13 282 10 314 6 305 75971 72398 11 300 6 273 13 260 12 291 10 284 72398 69141 11 278 9 265 14 269 14 286 17 277 69141 66122 12 274 14 257 17 269 18 277 18 272 66122 63309 22 279 20 265 22 267 24 282 26 290 63309 60583 24 266 25 263 26 269 29 276 31 285 60583 57734 25 265 26 273 28 277 29 274 31 284 57734 54781 31 275 34 280 30 282 30 285 32 286 54781 51967 38 276 37 278 37 290 32 281 28 289 51967 49443 40 271 41 283 34 280 30 306 38 301 49443 47193 40 275 42 278 38 293 40 302 38 288 47193 45159 41 278 36 287 40 294 39 290 28 308 45159 43310 38 284 41 291 34 303 28 332 35 321 43310 41621 41 287 40 294 35 329 48 331 34 322 41621 40066 44 292 41 314 45 334 47 327 26 334 40066 38617 47 288 45 318 46 332 38 330 28 356 38617 37261 47 283 42 313 41 334 37 344 34 354 37261 35960 42 284 33 316 46 007 44 352 36 349 35960 34643 38 288 33 342 61 013 49 355 33 347 34643 33280 40 283 43 003 64 012 51 355 29 344 33280 31873 41 276 59 014 62 011 48 355 28 336 31873 30411 40 278 66 015 59 015 42 353 31 326 30411 28881 45 283 58 009 56 019 35 351 32 320 28881 27280 53 279 46 003 50 009 30 350 30 318 27280 25605 51 272 37 355 44 357 29 335 29 318 25605 23858 44 274 36 342 35 356 32 323 29 314 23858 22043 40 281 36 335 30 350 32 323 31 307 22043 20163 38 289 30 332 29 339 30 321 28 309 20163 18218 36 294 28 318 28 334 24 319 28 312 18218 16246 34 294 29 310 19 331 18 318 21 297 16246 14355 32 291 26 311 18 313 18 294 21 272 14355 12636 29 292 25 307 20 311 20 288 23 272 12636 11104 28 297 22 294 21 305 19 297 21 278 11104 9740 25 299 22 283 18 287 15 295 18 280 9740 8527 21 298 23 272 19 274 15 269 18 280 8527 7449 17 303 18 279 20 270 16 257 17 277 7449 6494 14 309 16 288 18 267 17 256 16 266 6494 5652 13 312 12 293 16 260 19 248 16 255 5652 4906 11 320 10 296 14 251 19 240 16 250 4906 4237 10 339 9 297 11*234 17 229 18 243 4237 3643 12 350 8 303 10*215 15 222 18 237 3643 3146 13 356 6 306 9 213 14 219 19 234 3146 2763 13 352 5*295 9 213 13 215 19 228 2763 2499 13 324 3*271 9 212 11 212 17 221 2499 2340 10*309 3 267 8 211 9*207 14*215 2340 2250 4*285 3 267 7 211 5*202 6*206 2250 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography