DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/16 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 4.2 - - 7.7 - - 10.5 - - 7.2 - - -1.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - -3 - - 5 - - 0 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 52 - - 52 - - 249 - - 52 - - 52 BL Depth Hcrit 2231 - - 2231 - - 2231 - - 2231 - - 2230 Hcrit BL Top 2247 - - 2247 - - 2444 - - 2247 - - 2247 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 71 - - 115 - - 726 - - 774 - - 66 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 0 - - 47 - - 11 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 7 - - 2 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 324 - - 337 - - 029 - - 046 - - 191 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -596 - - -586 - - -1042 - - -711 - - -692 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2843 - - 2833 - - 3486 - - 2958 - - 2939 sfcLCL ODpotential -14142 - - -12776 - - -17454 - - -18852 - - -20449 ODpotential blCL 16389 - - 15023 - - 19898 - - 21099 - - 22696 blCL maxRH 101 - - 94 - - 86 - - 92 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 4.2 - - 7.7 - - 10.5 - - 7.2 - - -1.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 0.6 - - 4.1 - - 3.9 - - 3.0 - - -5.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 7.1 - - 8.7 - - 10.4 - - 8.2 - - 2.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 3.2 - - 4.0 - - 3.3 - - 2.4 - - -0.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - -3 - - 5 - - 0 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 52 - - 52 - - 249 - - 52 - - 52 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 78 - - 42 - - 69 - - 76 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97664 38 029 48 042 39 053 35 058 31 039 97664 90450 40 027 40 024 39 037 29 048 33 019 90450 84799 38 030 31 019 42 021 31 013 34 359 84799 80054 36 027 30 005 33 360 32 356 32 346 80054 75905 33 018 29 351 22 336 32 344 30 347 75905 72205 27 359 22 342 20 325 32 336 29 346 72205 68848 18 335 21 330 22 328 29 324 25 340 68848 65753 18 322 16 331 22 336 27 342 22 348 65753 62873 16 324 25 352 31 346 37 355 28 357 62873 60087 22 343 34 345 40 345 44 348 35 355 60087 57198 32 338 31 340 35 341 45 344 42 354 57198 54212 25 347 32 356 37 346 46 343 48 346 54212 51376 29 349 43 357 39 352 45 352 51 351 51376 48849 46 352 58 358 56 360 58 359 59 356 48849 46599 59 358 72 358 70 358 66 357 62 355 46599 44569 78 360 78 355 74 357 69 000 72 358 44569 42753 88 353 83 359 85 005 93 000 89 359 42753 41124 100 354 101 360 110 357 106 352 90 001 41124 39623 116 352 112 355 109 353 97 353 97 005 39623 38212 110 349 110 356 111 008 101 009 108 005 38212 36880 107 358 129 006 136 016 122 014 114 002 36880 35591 117 005 152 010 140 015 128 011 117 002 35591 34280 132 008 156 012 136 013 131 010 113 001 34280 32919 139 007 151 013 134 010 128 010 108 003 32919 31509 132 005 141 013 131 006 124 009 104 005 31509 30037 125 003 130 008 129 004 120 007 101 004 30037 28492 120 001 125 003 126 003 113 005 99 002 28492 26875 116 358 114 000 120 006 106 003 94 358 26875 25192 111 356 106 000 111 005 102 001 87 356 25192 23448 104 355 102 000 106 002 103 000 85 358 23448 21644 93 353 99 358 102 001 104 359 85 000 21644 19770 83 352 97 355 97 360 102 360 86 001 19770 17821 75 350 91 352 87 358 92 001 85 001 17821 15839 70 349 79 353 77 357 79 001 79 001 15839 13938 68 348 68 358 65 000 64 359 70 001 13938 12224 66 348 62 000 56 001 51 354 57 001 12224 10718 61 350 55 358 49 358 44 351 44 353 10718 9391 54 352 48 348 44 351 40 349 42 346 9391 8214 47 353 45 342 44 345 37 346 38 346 8214 7168 43 351 44 347 45 341 35 344 31 342 7168 6245 41 350 38 354 42 339 35 343 25 342 6245 5433 37 350 31 348 35 339 34 345 19 345 5433 4718 28 346 29 332 31 341 28 354 15 357 4718 4082 18 343 29 327 28 346 20 012 5 014 4082 3526 13 355 21 340 20 359 14 031 4 153 3526 3067 12 000 14 005 12 021 10 041 7 172 3067 2716 13 001 13 025 10 026 6 044 8 188 2716 2476 12 354 12 018 9*029 3 048 8 191 2476 2330 9 339 9 356 8*028 2 049 7*192 2330 2247 4*324 4*337 7 029 2*046 6*191 2247 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography