DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/07 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 38.9 - - 38.5 - - 34.6 - - 29.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -72 - - -59 - - -31 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 54 - - 54 - - 54 - - 54 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2233 - - 2233 - - 2233 - - 2233 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2249 - - 2249 - - 2249 - - 2249 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1964 - - 5042 - - 235 - - 73 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 20 - - 22 - - 10 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 22 - - 19 - - 9 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 298 - - 292 - - 285 - - 248 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -765 - - -1029 - - -394 - - -38 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3015 - - 3278 - - 2643 - - 2287 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3255 - - -3070 - - -3484 - - -4338 ODpotential blCL - - - 5504 - - 5319 - - 5733 - - 6587 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 81 - - 73 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 38.9 - - 38.5 - - 34.6 - - 29.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.4 - - 31.8 - - 30.7 - - 27.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.4 - - 41.7 - - 38.1 - - 33.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.0 - - 31.2 - - 30.5 - - 29.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -72 - - -59 - - -31 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 54 - - 54 - - 54 - - 54 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 3 - - 24 - - 0 - - 70 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96384 35 024 36 035 34 044 33 034 96384 89106 44 020 36 033 36 027 28 029 89106 83487 41 020 36 017 42 012 40 021 83487 78812 41 015 35 001 41 354 43 004 78812 74815 49 004 38 345 31 351 34 357 74815 71265 49 346 37 332 30 329 29 335 71265 68003 51 339 43 341 37 346 33 338 68003 64977 58 332 55 338 47 338 43 343 64977 62177 63 325 64 328 59 330 54 334 62177 59470 64 329 65 324 66 324 54 328 59470 56652 72 320 69 314 69 316 63 313 56652 53724 75 310 73 308 75 310 68 310 53724 50905 76 312 75 308 77 314 84 303 50905 48365 83 314 79 311 87 312 86 305 48365 46095 84 310 85 309 98 309 95 310 46095 44049 81 311 86 306 98 305 100 304 44049 42193 90 319 84 311 91 304 89 301 42193 40486 125 320 104 324 101 315 90 310 40486 38903 141 313 136 323 130 316 114 315 38903 37436 131 310 158 314 155 310 138 310 37436 36079 124 316 149 311 151 305 146 306 36079 34786 130 323 138 314 132 304 138 306 34786 33478 148 325 146 318 135 311 135 308 33478 32127 151 322 150 317 145 315 139 310 32127 30739 151 321 147 314 146 314 140 309 30739 29301 153 321 146 314 142 312 136 309 29301 27804 150 322 137 314 136 311 125 308 27804 26251 141 319 129 310 125 312 115 306 26251 24637 128 313 129 307 112 313 111 306 24637 22962 118 308 123 307 107 313 106 307 22962 21234 115 307 112 306 105 312 99 310 21234 19447 113 310 108 306 102 311 94 311 19447 17592 106 313 111 310 96 310 87 308 17592 15707 94 313 107 315 93 309 81 305 15707 13896 80 312 90 316 90 306 79 301 13896 12252 69 307 70 311 84 308 73 299 12252 10790 63 301 61 301 68 308 64 300 10790 9488 59 302 54 302 52 304 58 300 9488 8329 54 308 49 305 47 302 50 299 8329 7298 51 314 47 307 45 301 40 300 7298 6381 53 317 47 308 43 303 32 303 6381 5568 55 316 47 308 41 306 27 302 5568 4844 56 314 47 307 39 308 24 300 4844 4192 56 311 46 305 37 309 23 301 4192 3612 53 308 44 303 35 309 25 302 3612 3126 47 304 40 300 31 306 26 300 3126 2751 41 302 35 297 27 302 25 295 2751 2494 34 300 29 294 21 296 18 282 2494 2338 30 299 25 293 17 292 14*273 2338 2249 22*298 19*292 9*285 7*248 2249 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography