DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/18 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 19.7 - - 27.8 - - 30.8 - - 30.0 - - 27.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 10 - - 12 - - -1 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 53 - - 54 - - 657 - - 54 - - 54 BL Depth Hcrit 2231 - - 2232 - - 2232 - - 2232 - - 2232 Hcrit BL Top 2248 - - 2249 - - 2852 - - 2249 - - 2249 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 213 - - 1019 - - 646 - - 1037 - - 878 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 34 - - 84 - - 4 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 207 - - 184 - - 159 - - 018 - - 317 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - -1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -425 - - -90 - - -140 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2248 - - 2674 - - 2943 - - 2389 - - 2249 sfcLCL ODpotential -11855 - - -9690 - - -8250 - - -6838 - - -3136 ODpotential blCL 14103 - - 11939 - - 11102 - - 9087 - - 5385 blCL maxRH 90 - - 101 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 19.7 - - 27.8 - - 30.8 - - 30.0 - - 27.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.1 - - 24.2 - - 26.0 - - 27.5 - - 26.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 22.1 - - 27.7 - - 30.7 - - 30.6 - - 28.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 20.5 - - 24.0 - - 25.7 - - 27.2 - - 27.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 10 - - 12 - - -1 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 53 - - 54 - - 657 - - 54 - - 54 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 62 - - 102 - - 100 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97149 44 050 39 022 27 028 30 016 20 021 97149 90159 37 055 28 038 26 047 25 018 19 021 90159 84617 30 046 21 045 30 034 22 037 24 020 84617 79934 26 038 20 045 28 019 25 039 22 020 79934 75877 24 029 22 037 19 016 23 020 22 026 75877 72271 17 025 22 022 17 019 17 352 24 023 72271 68974 18 019 19 007 17 021 12 338 20 008 68974 65915 17 009 15 348 13 357 12 335 16 345 65915 63059 19 359 11 332 11 330 16 336 19 330 63059 60283 20 330 14 320 13 337 16 335 18 311 60283 57377 21 313 16 309 19 332 16 331 21 310 57377 54361 18 298 16 303 23 312 20 314 25 310 54361 51495 21 300 16 308 25 306 23 315 24 311 51495 48922 22 304 19 303 24 294 27 306 26 303 48922 46619 24 305 21 302 22 286 26 294 24 293 46619 44533 27 298 21 299 23 285 26 289 24 292 44533 42621 28 286 23 286 25 284 30 283 27 295 42621 40855 26 272 24 277 28 279 35 276 33 283 40855 39222 24 266 25 264 30 273 34 272 33 282 39222 37705 24 271 24 258 29 264 33 271 35 280 37705 36299 27 278 22 260 27 265 31 266 35 270 36299 34965 31 264 26 256 26 272 27 264 33 268 34965 33634 32 256 27 250 30 259 24 266 30 273 33634 32274 35 248 32 254 27 248 20 275 28 277 32274 30889 28 234 28 242 26 225 18 270 18 273 30889 29467 21 239 24 235 24 214 17 268 18 280 29467 27992 24 246 16 237 22 210 26 261 20 262 27992 26455 24 250 16 245 18 218 33 247 16 243 26455 24849 21 256 19 258 19 241 31 249 12 239 24849 23178 22 264 22 268 22 249 26 261 10 245 23178 21442 25 264 26 263 22 250 23 262 9 247 21442 19637 26 267 28 258 21 254 17 250 10 227 19637 17759 26 269 28 254 21 256 19 247 10 227 17759 15845 26 271 27 249 20 250 20 253 10 244 15845 13998 27 268 23 242 19 249 18 258 11 274 13998 12315 26 269 16 241 17 250 13 261 14 285 12315 10818 22 276 14 232 17 235 10 280 14 293 10818 9486 17 279 13 223 16 226 10 273 12 313 9486 8304 13 283 11 225 14 216 11 240 14 333 8304 7257 12 292 10 219 12 204 7 243 15 337 7257 6332 12 305 6 200 10 188 4 260 16 341 6332 5517 11 311 4 174 8 171 3 325 15 346 5517 4798 7 325 3 174 6 157 4 009 13 351 4798 4153 4 029 6 170 7 154 5 018 11 354 4153 3583 4 070 8 177 7 162 5 360 10 349 3583 3107 5 119 8 192 6*161 4 338 9 332 3107 2741 8 138 6 197 5*160 2 336 9 322 2741 2490 7 138 4 187 4 159 1 007 7 320 2490 2336 4*147 3*185 4 158 2*018 6*319 2336 2249 2*207 3*184 3 158 2*018 4*317 2249 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography