DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/27 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 47.7 - - 49.0 - - 39.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 139 - - 20 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2815 - - 3073 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1733 - - 260 - - 260 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3095 - - 3353 - - 277 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1203 - - 1964 - - 1042 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 302 - - 180 - - 9 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 16 - - 15 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 332 - - 328 - - 004 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1928 - - -3227 - - -3777 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5023 - - 6581 - - 4054 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -7315 - - -10621 - - -8441 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 10410 - - 13974 - - 8718 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 75 - - 60 - - 33 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 47.7 - - 49.0 - - 39.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 27.0 - - 21.4 - - 23.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 47.1 - - 49.1 - - 43.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 25.8 - - 20.3 - - 22.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 139 - - 20 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2815 - - 3073 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95858 15 293 13 280 14 286 95858 88862 9 296 8 286 8 283 88862 83441 11 301 13 273 12 283 83441 78892 12 292 15 285 12 288 78892 74949 12 265 15 287 13 292 74949 71445 16 250 18 272 16 287 71445 68260 18 269 22 284 21 285 68260 65328 26 264 28 268 20 278 65328 62592 31 263 28 282 22 292 62592 59922 41 272 42 285 30 292 59922 57132 45 263 51 270 45 279 57132 54236 43 272 48 271 53 272 54236 51471 61 282 54 281 58 277 51471 48997 64 277 64 283 63 284 48997 46802 70 278 66 281 66 286 46802 44825 70 280 71 283 68 287 44825 43017 76 284 76 288 72 298 43017 41361 85 287 84 293 92 303 41361 39843 91 292 97 303 105 303 39843 38427 100 298 111 306 106 304 38427 37088 114 302 117 303 105 306 37088 35783 124 303 117 301 104 306 35783 34445 128 303 115 302 105 306 34445 33047 128 302 113 304 106 306 33047 31590 125 302 112 306 107 306 31590 30059 122 302 112 306 107 305 30059 28443 118 303 112 306 104 305 28443 26743 116 303 111 306 99 306 26743 24957 108 303 109 309 97 307 24957 23087 93 303 107 312 97 309 23087 21137 76 299 99 313 93 310 21137 19101 62 296 80 310 88 313 19101 16981 55 295 66 303 78 313 16981 14838 51 295 56 300 60 311 14838 12803 48 293 50 300 48 312 12803 10972 46 293 46 305 46 314 10972 9359 39 301 40 317 42 323 9359 7932 34 314 40 327 43 330 7932 6668 30 318 36 330 36 334 6668 5549 28 319 30 331 28 345 5549 4564 26 325 25 328 24 346 4564 3700 23*328 18*324 20 336 3700 2940 17*330 17*326 15 322 2940 2263 17 331 16 327 13 327 2263 1665 17 331 15 328 13 340 1665 1168 16 332 15 329 12 350 1168 787 16 332 14 329 12 357 787 525 15 332 13 330 11 000 525 367 14 333 12 330 8*002 367 276 11 333 9 330 5*004 276 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography