DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/17 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.5 - - 89.7 - - 92.2 - - 86.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 105 - - 208 - - 93 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 856 - - 4561 - - 7164 - - 0 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 263 - - 3227 - - 4674 - - 263 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1136 - - 4841 - - 7444 - - 280 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2044 - - 4805 - - 2976 - - 8725 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 185 - - 407 - - 371 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 98 - - 70 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 218 - - 281 - - 235 - - 027 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -6 - - -8 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3009 - - -949 - - 295 - - -5418 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4145 - - 5790 - - 7150 - - 5698 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4713 - - -1928 - - -1796 - - -7573 ODpotential blCL - - - 5849 - - 6769 - - 9240 - - 7853 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 75 - - 62 - - 40 maxRH CAPE - - - 1150 - - 1690 - - 1190 - - 1030 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.5 - - 89.7 - - 92.2 - - 86.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 65.4 - - 65.2 - - 61.8 - - 62.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.9 - - 88.4 - - 91.6 - - 89.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 64.9 - - 64.2 - - 60.7 - - 61.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 105 - - 208 - - 93 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 856 - - 4561 - - 7164 - - 0 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 12 - - 10 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98158 15 070 20 112 14 128 10 107 98158 90803 9 091 16 137 11 111 8 121 90803 85134 10 092 10 129 10 129 5 061 85134 80435 14 086 10 089 7 101 5 059 80435 76379 10 082 12 079 9 078 8 080 76379 72798 10 085 11 089 8 085 7 066 72798 69569 10 071 11 104 6 096 6 054 69569 66602 8 067 10 098 7 145 2 350 66602 63848 4 105 7 059 10 146 5 221 63848 61179 5 204 4 351 7 107 6 199 61179 58402 4 157 4 263 2 357 5 218 58402 55538 3 004 5 245 8 298 3 257 55538 52814 7 331 7 241 15 278 11 303 52814 50367 8 338 5 230 16 257 17 290 50367 48176 12 329 5 278 11 243 20 282 48176 46185 14 312 7 288 3 257 18 278 46185 44359 15 300 9 286 7 341 17 294 44359 42672 11 291 12 293 15 352 19 319 42672 41105 8 251 15 285 18 339 24 318 41105 39641 6 204 8 230 12 312 19 311 39641 38261 1 081 4 168 3 212 12 303 38261 36924 4 308 1 283 3 006 7 281 36924 35561 6 288 4 282 5 327 5 282 35561 34138 6 325 6 279 9 301 6 319 34138 32658 5 306 6 292 13 303 9 330 32658 31107 6 338 6 310 13 308 10 329 31107 29473 7 346 8 321 11 317 10 330 29473 27756 8 347 9 331 11 324 11 334 27756 25954 9 348 10 336 11 338 11 350 25954 24069 10 352 11 334 13 351 10 011 24069 22108 10 359 11 336 13 355 10 028 22108 20063 9 002 9 356 11 000 11 042 20063 17930 8 010 10 030 11 013 12 047 17930 15753 11 026 12 041 10 036 12 048 15753 13655 14 032 11 042 9 031 11 039 13655 11750 12 041 6 035 8 003 10 007 11750 10058 9 033 4 027 1 315 7 341 10058 8553 3 359 2 321 2*178 3 307 8553 7212 2 170 1 237 2*182 2 256 7212 6017 6 156 1 229 2 185 2 225 6017 4957 5 184 0*276 1 199 2 205 4957 4022 3 228 0*285 1 219 1 178 4022 3196 3 264 0 273 1 250 1 056 3196 2456 3 280 1 281 1 267 2 037 2456 1803 3 278 1 284 1 279 3 031 1803 1259 3*258 1 283 2 289 3 027 1259 841 2*224 1 281 2 291 4 025 841 554 2 216 1 283 2 289 4 026 554 379 2 218 1 282 2 289 4*027 379 280 2 214 1 282 2 294 3*027 280 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography