DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/13 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 42.7 - - 56.7 - - 64.1 - - 53.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 7 - - 107 - - 36 - - -67 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1420 - - 2124 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 260 - - 261 - - 261 - - 261 Hcrit BL Top - - - 277 - - 1700 - - 2404 - - 278 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 482 - - 397 - - 902 - - 209 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 23 - - 222 - - 181 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 20 - - 21 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 224 - - 238 - - 230 - - 211 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 12 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -2 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2286 - - -3789 - - -5696 - - -4753 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2563 - - 5489 - - 8100 - - 5032 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15399 - - -14174 - - -13075 - - -12044 ODpotential blCL - - - 15676 - - 15874 - - 15479 - - 12322 blCL maxRH - - - 64 - - 78 - - 81 - - 34 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 42.7 - - 56.7 - - 64.1 - - 53.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.9 - - 34.1 - - 29.9 - - 32.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.9 - - 56.3 - - 64.1 - - 56.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.2 - - 33.0 - - 28.8 - - 32.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 7 - - 107 - - 36 - - -67 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1420 - - 2124 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 12 - - 25 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95494 21 330 35 287 36 307 31 298 95494 88703 28 348 26 353 21 336 15 312 88703 83380 29 353 23 021 18 358 23 352 83380 78898 25 004 16 014 18 355 29 356 78898 75009 26 001 14 354 15 353 27 354 75009 71557 18 333 19 344 13 335 20 342 71557 68405 20 321 25 332 17 319 16 326 68405 65478 20 307 24 307 19 310 18 316 65478 62740 23 286 26 285 22 300 24 311 62740 60067 28 280 29 280 29 297 27 285 60067 57280 33 267 34 272 36 290 32 276 57280 54388 38 262 42 274 43 282 34 275 54388 51617 47 270 50 278 47 277 42 271 51617 49127 52 272 54 273 52 273 46 274 49127 46901 53 270 55 270 53 271 49 282 46901 44878 53 268 54 270 54 274 54 274 44878 43038 50 270 52 267 59 271 59 268 43038 41367 50 273 51 268 59 265 63 270 41367 39831 42 285 45 272 53 263 62 262 39831 38406 41 296 42 279 46 264 53 258 38406 37076 37 288 42 279 41 273 44 263 37076 35791 29 277 39 269 41 274 43 268 35791 34476 27 291 36 263 41 268 45 268 34476 33103 25 290 31 254 39 264 46 269 33103 31676 23 285 29 249 36 266 45 275 31676 30178 22 274 29 263 33 272 45 279 30178 28597 20 267 28 276 33 280 42 274 28597 26930 22 269 30 269 32 277 39 268 26930 25177 27 266 30 274 31 276 38 270 25177 23338 30 277 28 275 30 269 36 268 23338 21418 30 293 27 265 32 257 38 259 21418 19415 30 297 29 262 36 259 41 261 19415 17326 31 282 33 263 39 268 39 264 17326 15198 32 288 33 270 33 274 35 269 15198 13153 31 297 30 282 28 283 28 281 13153 11299 28 290 31 286 28 288 24 297 11299 9652 27 288 29 286 27 290 23 301 9652 8187 25 283 26 287 25 292 22 301 8187 6882 22 270 24 285 27 293 22 301 6882 5725 24 262 26 278 29 288 24 297 5725 4703 27 253 30 269 32 279 28 287 4703 3807 28 249 32 265 32 268 32 269 3807 3022 29 254 33 264 28*253 28 246 3022 2324 34 261 31*258 23*234 31 233 2324 1709 36 258 25*246 23 231 32 228 1709 1196 32 248 21 237 22 230 32 225 1196 803 28 238 20 236 21 229 29 222 803 533 19 227 19 235 20 228 23 217 533 370 17*225 17 234 18 227 19*215 370 277 12*224 14 234 14 227 9*211 277 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography