DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/18 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.1 - - 56.6 - - 64.2 - - 57.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -15 - - 175 - - 93 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 140 - - 1857 - - 2177 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 260 - - 1180 - - 1070 - - 261 Hcrit BL Top - - - 420 - - 2137 - - 2457 - - 279 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1071 - - 459 - - 756 - - 2725 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 40 - - 287 - - 249 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 20 - - 20 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 198 - - 219 - - 211 - - 222 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 8 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2341 - - -2182 - - -4105 - - -3689 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2761 - - 4319 - - 6563 - - 3968 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10836 - - -8619 - - -9830 - - -10340 ODpotential blCL - - - 11256 - - 10756 - - 12287 - - 10619 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 86 - - 83 - - 42 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.1 - - 56.6 - - 64.2 - - 57.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.4 - - 39.0 - - 36.8 - - 41.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.8 - - 55.7 - - 63.8 - - 60.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.1 - - 37.7 - - 35.5 - - 40.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -15 - - 175 - - 93 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 140 - - 1857 - - 2177 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 44 - - 30 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96655 32 273 24 275 23 259 31 267 96655 89486 9 261 13 248 12 267 17 280 89486 83970 4 306 4 263 8 295 6 288 83970 79383 4 107 4 311 12 312 12 343 79383 75448 11 044 3 089 9 276 15 319 75448 71973 16 008 11 018 2 355 6 325 71973 68810 16 339 16 356 11 010 11 357 68810 65889 16 345 16 355 12 010 11 358 65889 63170 23 337 29 340 25 349 23 358 63170 60534 29 339 26 336 31 352 33 358 60534 57778 38 341 35 349 41 342 44 339 57778 54902 43 328 45 336 43 327 46 315 54902 52135 37 320 43 328 43 330 37 324 52135 49627 44 327 41 332 50 334 45 342 49627 47381 46 326 46 336 54 334 53 342 47381 45356 48 329 49 337 57 338 62 352 45356 43512 55 331 59 339 72 348 88 356 43512 41816 61 330 81 344 92 348 107 348 41816 40250 60 327 92 342 95 342 112 342 40250 38788 56 328 74 338 87 344 96 340 38788 37417 55 326 65 339 86 350 82 345 37417 36094 53 322 67 340 87 352 88 353 36094 34748 53 320 68 338 85 351 92 355 34748 33345 54 320 66 335 83 348 85 354 33345 31888 56 319 65 330 86 347 78 349 31888 30362 56 318 62 326 83 348 77 342 30362 28754 57 320 57 323 68 345 77 337 28754 27064 59 320 58 324 63 338 70 347 27064 25295 60 318 60 324 66 333 61 349 25295 23444 61 316 64 325 62 331 54 342 23444 21516 59 314 64 327 57 331 41 335 21516 19506 56 318 60 327 54 334 39 325 19506 17412 42 328 49 325 47 331 37 322 17412 15277 33 325 42 323 39 317 32 316 15277 13218 34 322 42 311 42 308 29 310 13218 11343 34 320 41 295 42 307 27 314 11343 9677 33 315 37 284 39 288 22 324 9677 8197 33 310 26 280 40 276 17 316 8197 6882 28 309 14 273 33 261 19 301 6882 5720 18 315 14 249 27 253 20 297 5720 4703 16 298 19 250 22 253 17 273 4703 3812 31 269 24 257 21 249 18 248 3812 3030 38 256 27 248 22*227 20 237 3030 2331 37 243 25*233 22*214 20 235 2331 1715 33 225 22*221 21 212 20 235 1715 1200 28 212 22 220 21 210 19 234 1200 806 22 203 21 219 20 209 18 232 806 535 19*200 20 219 19 208 15 229 535 371 16*199 18 218 17 208 12*227 371 278 11 197 15 218 14 207 6*222 278 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography