DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/04 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.5 - - 60.1 - - 59.2 - - 58.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 51 - - 63 - - 20 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1940 - - 2358 - - 2145 - - 233 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 261 - - 702 - - 261 - - 261 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2220 - - 2638 - - 2425 - - 513 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 919 - - 1094 - - 1020 - - 2743 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 200 - - 226 - - 154 - - 25 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 10 - - 10 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 300 - - 289 - - 290 - - 269 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -1 - - -2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 708 - - 819 - - 786 - - -489 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1512 - - 1819 - - 1639 - - 1002 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 72 - - 512 - - 399 - - -901 ODpotential blCL - - - 2148 - - 2126 - - 2026 - - 1414 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.5 - - 60.1 - - 59.2 - - 58.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.8 - - 53.0 - - 52.9 - - 55.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.4 - - 59.6 - - 59.3 - - 59.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.6 - - 51.9 - - 52.1 - - 54.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 51 - - 63 - - 20 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1940 - - 2358 - - 2145 - - 233 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 78 - - 101 - - 101 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96685 81 257 90 259 88 263 88 264 96685 89454 53 267 51 265 53 260 62 265 89454 83919 25 268 32 268 33 266 32 274 83919 79376 12 266 18 246 23 264 13 296 79376 75466 11 278 7 268 13 247 16 294 75466 71982 10 288 8 307 8 246 15 275 71982 68811 11 280 6 281 7 262 9 272 68811 65887 12 266 11 258 13 284 13 274 65887 63170 10 258 16 245 19 269 19 263 63170 60534 8 238 14 241 20 239 19 257 60534 57792 8 259 13 239 16 241 23 260 57792 54951 16 246 19 255 22 260 30 262 54951 52244 25 255 33 251 37 254 41 249 52244 49827 37 254 39 244 41 252 40 263 49827 47667 35 251 34 243 45 269 53 276 47667 45705 35 260 48 263 50 270 63 270 45705 43912 38 256 46 255 56 272 65 272 43912 42257 29 247 37 256 58 275 73 279 42257 40710 21 259 49 279 64 278 86 280 40710 39254 42 282 61 279 72 277 85 277 39254 37878 53 273 60 274 68 273 73 272 37878 36548 48 268 51 275 64 273 61 267 36548 35194 42 264 51 278 62 276 59 270 35194 33781 40 258 50 276 60 277 62 272 33781 32312 36 250 46 273 57 275 63 269 32312 30769 32 243 43 275 54 273 64 269 30769 29142 32 246 39 278 54 273 66 269 29142 27430 33 249 34 274 53 274 66 270 27430 25634 34 250 34 257 47 274 61 271 25634 23754 34 247 37 258 39 266 53 264 23754 21791 33 245 36 262 39 258 51 259 21791 19742 30 254 31 262 42 263 49 269 19742 17605 26 255 30 262 42 265 37 277 17605 15420 24 243 31 262 40 267 34 278 15420 13308 26 246 31 258 33 267 29 280 13308 11397 29 244 28 249 27 261 23 273 11397 9714 32 236 26 250 24 263 21 278 9714 8225 27 241 26 258 22 269 20 285 8225 6905 21 255 25 268 22 281 20 292 6905 5735 20 263 22 277 22 291 20 297 5735 4706 17 260 18 277 19 289 21 302 4706 3807 19 242 12 272 14 278 19 298 3807 3024 14 264 10*280 12*281 12 283 3024 2327 13*299 10*284 11*285 11 282 2327 1712 13*300 10 287 11 289 10 281 1712 1200 12 300 10 290 10 291 9 280 1200 806 12 300 10 292 10 292 7 279 806 535 11 300 9 292 9 293 6*275 535 372 10 300 9 293 9 293 4*272 372 278 9 300 8 294 7 294 2 266 278 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography