DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/06 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 36.9 - - 40.9 - - 42.1 - - 40.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 37 - - 107 - - 47 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 249 - - 885 - - 897 - - 314 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 259 - - 260 - - 260 - - 260 Hcrit BL Top - - - 529 - - 1165 - - 1177 - - 594 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 307 - - 304 - - 641 - - 1242 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 85 - - 185 - - 142 - - 49 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 218 - - 197 - - 171 - - 160 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 0 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -293 - - 451 - - 442 - - 166 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 822 - - 714 - - 735 - - 428 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7525 - - 506 - - 414 - - 103 ODpotential blCL - - - 8054 - - 659 - - 763 - - 491 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 36.9 - - 40.9 - - 42.1 - - 40.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.5 - - 38.9 - - 40.0 - - 39.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 36.7 - - 40.2 - - 41.8 - - 40.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.1 - - 38.3 - - 39.5 - - 39.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 37 - - 107 - - 47 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 249 - - 885 - - 897 - - 314 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 66 - - 101 - - 100 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96254 3 310 2 060 2 214 6 243 96254 89005 4 295 8 168 11 212 10 276 89005 83459 13 252 5 225 10 239 8 258 83459 78879 13 254 10 261 16 251 11 234 78879 74936 10 289 13 268 17 251 12 268 74936 71466 16 297 18 263 21 264 17 262 71466 68325 22 281 24 271 24 263 16 255 68325 65421 25 263 29 263 32 277 25 285 65421 62741 26 258 38 269 38 271 35 269 62741 60148 35 267 45 260 41 271 36 268 60148 57422 50 258 50 262 52 270 54 270 57422 54595 52 254 59 256 61 259 66 264 54595 51897 56 254 60 257 63 259 73 257 51897 49446 53 258 68 262 75 264 75 263 49446 47242 65 274 80 261 88 266 87 268 47242 45246 76 269 86 260 98 259 89 261 45246 43407 80 261 87 254 92 254 77 258 43407 41686 80 259 85 248 76 263 78 261 41686 40071 79 261 75 253 89 273 84 264 40071 38563 83 263 82 270 106 271 97 265 38563 37154 89 262 114 275 118 265 106 264 37154 35798 98 259 125 272 114 259 107 261 35798 34421 112 254 111 266 113 255 111 257 34421 32987 126 252 95 256 107 255 105 255 32987 31505 131 250 94 247 83 260 99 252 31505 29972 123 250 83 255 74 268 89 251 29972 28372 111 253 75 268 72 269 85 256 28372 26694 98 254 74 268 70 267 82 258 26694 24934 80 258 70 269 67 268 77 262 24934 23095 74 262 66 276 65 271 73 267 23095 21177 69 268 60 281 71 270 70 271 21177 19178 68 273 55 274 73 274 61 275 19178 17103 60 270 57 267 56 278 44 261 17103 14986 58 266 46 266 45 271 54 248 14986 12940 42 272 32 274 41 265 56 259 12940 11083 28 277 30 270 38 261 44 270 11083 9443 22 282 26 276 29 264 31 264 9443 7994 18 279 15 278 19 261 23 252 7994 6711 18 262 11 270 11 245 16 236 6711 5573 15 245 12 257 7 229 10 207 5573 4571 11 230 13 240 9 227 8 187 4571 3695 6 251 10 224 11 216 10 187 3695 2928 4 303 7 197 11 188 13 186 2928 2247 5 321 6 178 11 169 14 180 2247 1652 6 314 7*191 9*169 13 168 1652 1160 8 299 7*196 9*170 12 166 1160 782 7*268 6 197 8 171 11*163 782 523 5*222 6 197 8 172 10*161 523 366 5 217 6 199 7 172 9 160 366 276 4 215 5 199 6 173 6 159 276 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography