DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/16 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 49.4 - - 51.4 - - 50.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 105 - - 45 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1410 - - 1698 - - 598 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 260 - - 260 - - 260 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1690 - - 1978 - - 878 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 376 - - 473 - - 1502 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 219 - - 179 - - 28 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 158 - - 180 - - 174 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 643 - - 843 - - 370 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1047 - - 1135 - - 508 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 510 - - 498 - - 89 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 1180 - - 1480 - - 789 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 49.4 - - 51.4 - - 50.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 46.1 - - 47.6 - - 48.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 48.7 - - 51.3 - - 50.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 45.0 - - 46.7 - - 48.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 105 - - 45 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1410 - - 1698 - - 598 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 100 - - 97 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96558 20 077 26 064 19 076 96558 89454 23 093 16 089 9 062 89454 83943 21 099 8 141 1 130 83943 79344 6 126 3 136 1 274 79344 75357 7 222 2 262 2 284 75357 71812 11 234 10 274 7 278 71812 68616 8 243 13 259 13 249 68616 65701 11 284 9 269 13 247 65701 62997 23 279 22 278 25 272 62997 60384 36 277 33 271 32 271 60384 57662 39 273 36 273 35 275 57662 54839 45 275 43 280 48 278 54839 52153 58 280 58 281 60 279 52153 49731 69 277 67 280 65 278 49731 47549 73 278 72 282 67 280 47549 45563 78 282 73 283 66 283 45563 43751 75 283 69 284 66 287 43751 42093 68 287 66 287 68 291 42093 40564 67 294 68 292 70 295 40564 39139 70 298 71 294 70 297 39139 37789 73 300 73 294 68 294 37789 36472 77 301 73 294 68 291 36472 35122 76 302 73 294 70 289 35122 33714 71 301 73 294 70 287 33714 32250 63 298 72 294 68 287 32250 30715 60 295 71 295 64 288 30715 29096 62 297 69 296 58 288 29096 27392 63 298 66 297 51 290 27392 25601 57 298 60 299 46 289 25601 23729 55 296 55 296 46 283 23729 21781 56 297 54 290 49 286 21781 19747 58 296 52 290 48 286 19747 17623 51 291 48 285 48 281 17623 15451 43 288 43 283 44 277 15451 13354 34 287 38 282 39 274 13354 11444 25 275 30 275 33 271 11444 9748 18 263 26 258 27 263 9748 8242 17 245 23 250 25 253 8242 6906 15 241 19 243 22 248 6906 5726 10 229 13 226 16 235 5726 4690 9 189 12 202 13 211 4690 3782 12 163 16 177 15 201 3782 2988 15 144 14 183 15 196 2988 2293 12*150 9*182 12 182 2293 1687 8*157 8*181 11 179 1687 1182 7 158 7 180 10*177 1182 796 7 158 7 180 9*175 796 530 6 157 7 180 8 175 530 369 6 157 6 179 7 173 369 277 6 158 6 179 5 171 277 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography