DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/10 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.0 - - 91.0 - - 93.3 - - 89.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 80 - - 159 - - 66 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1838 - - 3962 - - 5108 - - 0 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 643 - - 2697 - - 3079 - - 264 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2118 - - 4242 - - 5388 - - 280 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1376 - - 1832 - - 2287 - - 6409 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 227 - - 368 - - 320 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 17 - - 18 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 240 - - 236 - - 234 - - 229 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - -5 - - -5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -545 - - 275 - - 477 - - -3719 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2663 - - 3967 - - 4911 - - 3999 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3564 - - -1803 - - -1912 - - -5623 ODpotential blCL - - - 5682 - - 6045 - - 7300 - - 5903 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 96 - - 75 - - 63 maxRH CAPE - - - 2300 - - 2570 - - 2210 - - 1980 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.0 - - 91.0 - - 93.3 - - 89.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 74.8 - - 74.2 - - 72.5 - - 72.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.6 - - 90.2 - - 93.0 - - 91.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 74.1 - - 73.2 - - 71.3 - - 71.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 80 - - 159 - - 66 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1838 - - 3962 - - 5108 - - 0 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 98 - - 85 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 18 - - 17 - - 15 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99132 34 083 30 092 24 074 36 082 99132 91676 32 089 28 102 25 075 31 082 91676 85932 30 098 26 105 27 096 23 083 85932 81151 28 098 26 098 28 102 18 077 81151 77037 23 085 23 084 26 097 20 079 77037 73401 18 081 20 085 20 092 18 079 73401 70112 15 073 20 095 11 079 14 086 70112 67106 15 064 20 090 12 101 12 086 67106 64348 14 075 14 069 17 088 14 093 64348 61696 13 078 8 062 13 072 10 086 61696 58944 12 084 8 079 9 076 7 038 58944 56121 10 045 5 036 5 022 11 352 56121 53463 10 016 9 001 11 347 12 342 53463 51091 11 011 15 338 19 331 9 331 51091 48962 6 025 10 315 12 315 3 309 48962 47005 6 057 8 228 9 275 5 274 47005 45186 9 030 4 216 7 278 12 316 45186 43486 15 358 7 347 10 320 22 316 43486 41890 13 321 9 309 15 294 25 283 41890 40386 11 281 14 224 19 258 25 265 40386 38964 11 285 19 223 20 239 25 261 38964 37579 11 326 17 234 18 244 22 252 37579 36163 2 021 13 222 17 249 23 238 36163 34686 3 093 13 199 17 236 26 234 34686 33155 5 029 15 184 21 217 26 227 33155 31563 4 077 15 195 23 215 22 230 31563 29893 4 235 15 237 22 237 18 257 29893 28140 13 261 16 275 19 255 15 258 28140 26299 16 267 17 287 17 266 14 258 26299 24375 16 261 21 283 16 278 14 262 24375 22377 20 271 25 287 17 290 18 277 22377 20299 23 283 25 284 16 304 16 279 20299 18137 20 287 21 286 19 310 13 299 18137 15933 18 284 21 290 17 298 12 309 15933 13807 18 281 18 284 15 279 13 282 13807 11870 14 284 13 263 14 260 14 273 11870 10151 10 293 8 236 12 232 10 255 10151 8623 8 292 6 238 10 228 14 252 8623 7267 9 283 11 257 15 251 18 253 7267 6063 13 267 18 260 18*242 20 245 6063 4996 18 259 19*257 19*237 20 238 4996 4055 24 261 18*242 19 236 20 236 4055 3222 26 257 17 238 19 235 20 234 3222 2477 24*253 17 236 18 234 19 234 2477 1818 19*241 17 234 18 234 18 233 1818 1268 18 240 17 234 17 233 17 232 1268 847 17 239 16 233 17 233 16 231 847 557 16 238 15 233 16 232 13 230 557 381 14 238 14 232 15 232 11 229 381 280 11 238 12 232 12 232 8*229 280 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography