DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/11 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 39.6 - - 49.5 - - 52.7 - - 45.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 13 - - 153 - - 50 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 348 - - 1694 - - 2155 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 260 - - 976 - - 260 - - 260 Hcrit BL Top - - - 628 - - 1974 - - 2435 - - 277 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 870 - - 774 - - 974 - - 243 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 70 - - 261 - - 197 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 11 - - 16 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 156 - - 199 - - 201 - - 177 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2221 - - -2026 - - -2394 - - -2133 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2849 - - 4001 - - 4829 - - 2410 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11893 - - -12592 - - -12869 - - -13363 ODpotential blCL - - - 12521 - - 14566 - - 15304 - - 13640 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 73 - - 74 - - 56 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 39.6 - - 49.5 - - 52.7 - - 45.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.4 - - 33.2 - - 32.7 - - 35.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 39.8 - - 48.7 - - 52.5 - - 47.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.5 - - 32.1 - - 31.9 - - 35.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 13 - - 153 - - 50 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 348 - - 1694 - - 2155 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95730 83 257 77 268 64 269 73 271 95730 88718 51 280 55 279 50 275 52 282 88718 83258 39 295 43 273 48 284 45 293 83258 78757 39 297 39 289 46 280 37 289 78757 74870 36 290 37 289 40 291 34 292 74870 71412 29 287 33 289 39 295 33 298 71412 68265 34 303 39 297 42 290 34 299 68265 65360 43 306 44 290 45 290 41 300 65360 62668 45 296 44 281 48 286 47 288 62668 60041 39 290 45 283 47 289 47 283 60041 57292 53 304 49 297 48 300 47 306 57292 54452 61 295 57 300 55 306 55 316 54452 51737 64 290 70 299 70 301 64 296 51737 49281 67 290 75 294 73 297 68 289 49281 47081 68 295 73 297 74 296 73 300 47081 45110 76 300 79 302 79 298 80 302 45110 43329 83 300 82 307 83 296 82 300 43329 41694 88 307 83 313 81 295 81 301 41694 40174 98 316 84 312 79 296 80 301 40174 38749 103 318 83 308 78 300 79 300 38749 37402 104 315 83 308 80 307 77 297 37402 36091 104 310 83 309 85 310 75 294 36091 34752 101 311 84 310 83 307 74 292 34752 33358 94 313 84 311 79 301 79 296 33358 31909 91 315 84 311 77 292 84 295 31909 30388 89 315 83 310 78 286 85 293 30388 28782 89 314 81 308 80 289 87 292 28782 27092 88 313 78 307 82 299 86 292 27092 25313 89 315 77 305 81 301 82 294 25313 23451 88 314 76 306 79 302 75 296 23451 21510 90 311 72 303 74 303 66 291 21510 19487 90 308 71 300 70 305 62 293 19487 17377 85 309 71 303 67 306 60 301 17377 15226 70 309 64 306 62 311 60 308 15226 13157 52 308 54 308 58 311 56 310 13157 11278 48 305 45 304 48 314 49 304 11278 9608 52 303 42 292 36 308 44 286 9608 8125 51 298 42 292 36 289 38 268 8125 6807 44 287 38 294 39 283 42 275 6807 5642 34 277 26 286 37 276 45 276 5642 4626 19 286 22 265 32 254 40 261 4626 3747 12 302 16 247 27 235 33 240 3747 2977 10 346 10 214 21*214 29 224 2977 2290 7 033 12*198 18*203 27 221 2290 1685 4 126 12*199 17 202 26 217 1685 1180 10 156 12 199 17 201 24 208 1180 794 11*157 11 199 16 200 22 194 794 528 10*156 11 199 15 200 18 183 528 368 8 156 10 199 14 199 15*180 368 276 7 157 9 199 11 199 7*177 276 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography