DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/21 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.1 - - 67.0 - - 70.6 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 2 - - 0 - - -4 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 228 - - 555 - - 535 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - 262 - - 262 - - 262 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - 508 - - 835 - - 815 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 924 - - 1344 - - 3353 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 39 - - 50 - - 57 - - - W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 14 - - 9 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - 178 - - 222 - - 241 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 7 - - 4 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 42 - - 237 - - -130 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 466 - - 598 - - 945 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2571 - - -246 - - -682 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - 3079 - - 1081 - - 1497 - - - blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 100 - - 99 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - 40 - - 180 - - 660 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.1 - - 67.0 - - 70.6 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 62.8 - - 64.9 - - 67.0 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.3 - - 67.3 - - 71.0 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 62.6 - - 64.7 - - 66.5 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 2 - - 0 - - -4 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 228 - - 555 - - 535 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 92 - - 100 - - 96 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 13 - - 14 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96147 29 281 31 283 23 284 96147 89114 19 307 18 295 22 299 89114 83706 13 316 10 285 24 310 83706 79201 9 340 5 350 14 303 79201 75313 14 343 11 000 8 283 75313 71870 14 316 10 337 7 323 71870 68729 16 299 18 328 15 334 68729 65852 21 295 22 298 19 309 65852 63222 16 280 18 256 19 285 63222 60680 2 309 14 267 19 264 60680 58012 29 320 30 319 30 306 58012 55244 48 297 43 292 42 291 55244 52604 49 276 41 276 42 276 52604 50207 38 258 41 269 38 263 50207 48027 28 263 37 267 37 265 48027 46024 37 296 36 275 42 269 46024 44174 57 290 48 281 50 268 44174 42455 70 276 59 277 57 266 42455 40853 74 267 68 270 61 265 40853 39359 62 264 71 261 64 260 39359 37960 52 264 67 254 64 252 37960 36611 52 269 59 256 66 249 36611 35237 55 270 59 261 65 251 35237 33810 58 269 63 264 66 254 33810 32330 56 270 64 263 67 256 32330 30779 52 270 62 260 67 256 30779 29145 49 262 62 257 65 254 29145 27427 51 255 62 255 65 254 27427 25625 55 253 60 254 66 255 25625 23743 54 254 56 253 67 256 23743 21789 46 249 52 251 63 256 21789 19756 44 238 49 247 56 253 19756 17637 39 239 47 245 51 250 17637 15477 35 249 46 235 47 246 15477 13399 26 255 45 237 42 246 13399 11513 21 263 32 235 35 247 11513 9840 18 261 30 245 31 250 9840 8354 18 254 28 251 31 255 8354 7031 18 243 25 253 33 258 7031 5853 25 239 26 249 33 259 5853 4812 34 240 29 247 28 264 4812 3902 32 234 30 248 21 259 3902 3102 30 228 29 246 19 253 3102 2387 29 221 28 245 18 251 2387 1754 26 208 24 236 17 249 1754 1227 22 194 20*228 14 245 1227 822 16 184 16*223 12*244 822 544 12*179 15 221 11*242 544 375 10*178 13 220 9 241 375 278 7 178 9 220 7 240 278 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography