DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/14 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 40.6 - - 49.7 - - 52.5 - - 43.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 70 - - 244 - - 111 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 409 - - 3377 - - 3569 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 260 - - 2375 - - 2080 - - 260 Hcrit BL Top - - - 689 - - 3657 - - 3849 - - 277 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 953 - - 680 - - 946 - - 228 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 124 - - 378 - - 296 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 11 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 043 - - 074 - - 066 - - 073 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -4 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2828 - - -1541 - - -2437 - - -3724 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3517 - - 5198 - - 6286 - - 4001 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14594 - - -10780 - - -11097 - - -14864 ODpotential blCL - - - 15283 - - 14437 - - 14946 - - 15141 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 69 - - 60 - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 40.6 - - 49.7 - - 52.5 - - 43.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.6 - - 28.1 - - 26.1 - - 27.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 40.4 - - 48.3 - - 51.7 - - 46.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 25.9 - - 27.5 - - 25.8 - - 27.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 70 - - 244 - - 111 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 409 - - 3377 - - 3569 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96759 52 248 57 243 56 248 52 253 96759 89405 33 232 35 241 43 246 42 258 89405 83758 24 236 32 238 30 253 30 259 83758 79118 16 245 28 234 28 253 20 272 79118 75123 11 273 16 228 26 239 21 273 75123 71600 12 292 5 288 15 233 21 257 71600 68421 17 276 15 276 14 259 14 261 68421 65485 17 246 21 256 23 242 20 280 65485 62761 7 262 18 265 25 241 28 266 62761 60135 18 289 22 275 23 254 29 264 60135 57400 33 272 33 273 27 268 34 265 57400 54555 41 261 41 258 34 269 35 262 54555 51840 40 267 36 259 48 266 43 267 51840 49409 50 281 36 280 52 256 48 259 49409 47231 60 274 65 288 44 265 39 269 47231 45251 59 268 77 272 54 274 48 279 45251 43437 54 268 84 266 71 269 65 267 43437 41758 50 269 76 267 69 264 63 259 41758 40188 49 273 54 265 56 273 46 277 40188 38720 50 273 36 271 40 270 34 275 38720 37346 50 271 35 272 27 268 24 260 37346 36021 51 271 38 269 25 279 22 286 36021 34670 50 275 40 272 30 288 21 294 34670 33263 46 282 40 277 31 291 23 303 33263 31803 46 288 43 275 34 289 27 300 31803 30275 49 290 45 271 34 283 29 298 30275 28665 51 290 44 276 33 286 29 300 28665 26970 51 297 42 291 32 298 29 300 26970 25191 49 302 37 299 32 297 28 301 25191 23325 46 302 36 309 31 303 29 303 23325 21379 49 312 39 314 31 309 31 305 21379 19356 50 315 43 316 35 313 34 309 19356 17248 47 319 39 323 30 321 31 307 17248 15099 38 329 28 336 21 325 24 311 15099 13032 33 339 23 345 16 326 18 321 13032 11152 29 347 20 347 14 332 15 332 11152 9484 24 353 17 352 12 343 14 337 9484 8013 22 358 14 002 11 354 10 345 8013 6721 19 010 11 017 9 012 6 005 6721 5588 16 029 9 045 7 056 4 095 5588 4594 5 068 8 074 7*071 7 085 4594 3727 5 101 7*077 7*069 9 068 3727 2963 6 080 7*077 7 068 9 069 2963 2281 9 080 7 075 7 067 10 072 2281 1678 13 067 7 076 7 066 10 075 1678 1177 14 054 6 075 7 065 10 078 1177 792 12*050 6 073 7 065 10 079 792 528 8*043 6 073 6 064 9 079 528 368 7 044 6 072 6 064 7*076 368 276 6 043 5 072 6 064 5*073 276 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography