DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/17 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1335z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 85.6 - - 88.8 - - 83.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 291 - - 188 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4947 - - 5926 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3672 - - 4215 - - 263 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5227 - - 6206 - - 280 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1132 - - 1724 - - 7052 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 465 - - 431 - - 19 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 17 - - 20 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 182 - - 182 - - 188 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - 6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 218 - - 320 - - -3759 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5009 - - 5886 - - 4040 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -4731 - - -444 - - -4602 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9958 - - 6650 - - 4882 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 82 - - 79 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1020 - - 1180 - - 1440 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 85.6 - - 88.8 - - 83.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 64.5 - - 63.8 - - 66.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 84.1 - - 87.7 - - 84.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 63.6 - - 62.9 - - 66.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 291 - - 188 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4947 - - 5926 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 27 - - 14 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - 12 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97933 5 305 8 319 6 357 97933 90559 4 156 3 290 8 351 90559 84902 2 286 1 323 5 318 84902 80195 5 225 1 347 4 354 80195 76141 4 152 3 104 3 325 76141 72554 6 146 5 161 2 304 72554 69312 9 139 11 179 10 230 69312 66367 14 044 13 153 12 178 66367 63656 20 327 10 340 3 072 63656 61032 28 273 24 281 13 283 61032 58311 29 256 27 270 31 261 58311 55498 25 261 30 264 31 266 55498 52799 19 272 32 263 30 281 52799 50353 23 281 31 266 37 277 50353 48158 29 278 29 271 40 272 48158 46172 34 273 30 272 41 271 46172 44354 38 266 38 266 46 270 44354 42675 40 260 44 257 52 269 42675 41116 41 255 42 252 59 265 41116 39660 39 256 39 259 68 261 39660 38284 39 261 42 268 73 259 38284 36947 38 262 46 273 70 260 36947 35579 35 259 50 275 63 261 35579 34154 32 256 53 276 51 262 34154 32673 28 257 51 277 37 258 32673 31120 27 257 47 274 33 256 31120 29480 29 257 47 265 34 261 29480 27756 29 249 43 264 36 268 27756 25944 23 234 37 266 33 262 25944 24047 19 217 29 276 31 248 24047 22071 19 213 27 279 28 234 22071 20010 17 241 21 275 26 225 20010 17864 16 250 11 290 19 219 17864 15687 12 222 5 222 12 171 15687 13598 14 191 16 191 18 172 13598 11695 17 184 17 189 22 201 11695 9998 22 178 21 191 28 218 9998 8492 23 183 24 200 20 207 8492 7156 22 203 22*199 23 194 7156 5969 18*198 21*192 25 188 5969 4918 17*189 21 186 26 184 4918 3991 17 185 21 184 26 183 3991 3172 17 183 21 181 26 183 3172 2438 17 181 20 179 25 184 2438 1791 17 180 20 178 25 186 1791 1251 16 179 19 176 23 187 1251 836 16 177 19 175 21 187 836 551 15 177 18 175 18 188 551 379 14 176 17 174 15*188 379 279 12 176 14 174 11*188 279 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography