DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/07 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0949z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.0 - - 52.6 - - 54.1 - - 48.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 60 - - 129 - - 105 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2350 - - 2748 - - 2794 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 260 - - 1599 - - 1492 - - 260 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2630 - - 3028 - - 3074 - - 278 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 842 - - 776 - - 485 - - 2228 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 212 - - 285 - - 268 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 7 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 020 - - 002 - - 356 - - 004 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 1 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 164 - - 116 - - -415 - - -1813 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2466 - - 2912 - - 3489 - - 2091 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 208 - - 274 - - -9893 - - -12418 ODpotential blCL - - - 2422 - - 2754 - - 12967 - - 12696 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 92 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.0 - - 52.6 - - 54.1 - - 48.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.5 - - 41.1 - - 40.1 - - 40.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.6 - - 51.7 - - 53.4 - - 49.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.1 - - 40.8 - - 39.9 - - 40.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 60 - - 129 - - 105 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2350 - - 2748 - - 2794 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 99 - - 66 - - 14 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96668 77 257 83 256 86 256 85 255 96668 89383 48 256 51 260 54 254 60 266 89383 83841 28 265 33 258 29 264 34 261 83841 79274 17 277 23 268 25 272 20 268 79274 75336 18 279 22 269 26 280 21 295 75336 71851 17 280 21 254 27 279 28 290 71851 68684 16 287 19 253 27 266 27 280 68684 65755 16 267 18 258 24 253 25 270 65755 63032 15 261 17 269 19 254 25 262 63032 60394 21 268 21 278 20 271 24 264 60394 57650 26 262 27 261 28 273 28 270 57650 54814 29 267 27 257 32 265 30 271 54814 52102 36 264 34 265 36 267 37 268 52102 49657 43 259 42 263 43 262 46 265 49657 47465 47 259 47 263 48 262 48 264 47465 45473 49 264 51 263 50 268 49 266 45473 43645 57 265 57 262 56 268 51 271 43645 41954 61 261 60 259 62 260 64 270 41954 40382 59 261 59 261 62 260 74 266 40382 38917 64 265 64 264 61 268 72 261 38917 37544 68 268 73 262 72 271 64 264 37544 36224 61 269 70 257 73 268 69 270 36224 34885 54 264 48 258 69 267 73 269 34885 33491 53 259 44 260 63 266 75 271 33491 32038 51 257 45 263 50 262 76 274 32038 30512 46 260 44 263 46 260 65 275 30512 28903 38 266 38 261 42 265 52 272 28903 27212 37 267 32 265 37 268 40 268 27212 25437 34 265 31 270 32 266 34 264 25437 23581 29 262 32 266 31 270 32 268 23581 21646 25 266 30 265 30 272 28 272 21646 19619 21 274 24 270 26 278 25 277 19619 17497 15 276 17 271 19 278 19 288 17497 15335 9 303 10 279 12 276 13 286 15335 13253 8 327 6 304 7 284 9 281 13253 11357 8 334 6 317 7 299 8 297 11357 9671 10 345 7 337 8 326 8 326 9671 8175 12 348 9 346 9 337 9 345 8175 6851 12 352 9 356 10 345 10 353 6851 5681 11 001 7 019 8 354 8 359 5681 4652 8 342 5 013 7 021 6 009 4652 3755 12 018 7*006 9*356 9 018 3755 2977 13*021 7*002 9*354 9 014 2977 2289 10*021 8 003 10 355 10 006 2289 1685 9 021 8 003 10 356 10 002 1685 1181 9 020 8 002 10 357 10 003 1181 795 8 019 7 002 9 358 10 005 795 530 7 019 7 001 9 358 9 006 530 369 7 018 7 002 9 358 8*006 369 277 6 018 6 002 8 359 4*004 277 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography