DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/02 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.9 - - 55.4 - - 52.3 - - 47.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 5 - - 26 - - -11 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 361 - - 16 - - 730 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 260 - - 261 - - 261 - - 260 Hcrit BL Top - - - 278 - - 641 - - 278 - - 1010 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 209 - - 933 - - 1168 - - 468 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 19 - - 89 - - 15 - - 45 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 8 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 2 - - 7 - - 14 BL Wind Direction - - - 035 - - 054 - - 039 - - 044 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2060 - - -932 - - -1326 - - -51 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2338 - - 1574 - - 1604 - - 1061 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8310 - - -4303 - - -5139 - - -5976 ODpotential blCL - - - 8588 - - 4944 - - 5417 - - 6986 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 96 - - 88 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - 10 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.9 - - 55.4 - - 52.3 - - 47.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.8 - - 49.4 - - 46.2 - - 43.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.1 - - 55.2 - - 53.0 - - 47.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.5 - - 48.8 - - 45.6 - - 43.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 5 - - 26 - - -11 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 361 - - 16 - - 730 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 5 - - 84 - - 54 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95593 43 260 51 249 54 258 50 263 95593 88514 23 281 28 271 28 281 30 289 88514 83103 23 318 23 305 19 313 19 300 83103 78617 31 329 24 323 19 320 18 301 78617 74759 29 327 25 328 18 311 20 302 74759 71335 29 328 25 321 21 302 22 304 71335 68209 30 319 28 315 23 300 24 306 68209 65323 35 309 32 305 27 307 27 310 65323 62641 38 303 33 299 33 300 31 302 62641 60037 41 295 38 298 36 295 33 288 60037 57309 45 287 44 295 40 287 39 287 57309 54471 49 283 50 288 46 282 48 279 54471 51765 59 275 56 278 55 283 53 277 51765 49325 59 275 62 277 63 276 56 278 49325 47125 64 274 67 273 67 273 59 276 47125 45118 61 269 63 269 67 271 61 276 45118 43273 60 269 58 269 63 270 62 276 43273 41570 66 261 53 270 57 270 61 277 41570 39993 62 251 51 266 54 271 61 276 39993 38528 55 243 50 262 52 272 61 274 38528 37158 51 239 46 261 53 277 54 275 37158 35838 42 235 39 256 48 278 53 280 35838 34496 35 233 30 251 38 269 57 280 34496 33101 28 226 20 246 34 271 59 281 33101 31653 23 218 18 242 36 276 55 278 31653 30138 24 225 21 242 38 284 47 272 30138 28544 28 231 28 248 36 286 45 271 28544 26868 32 238 33 256 38 283 46 272 26868 25108 35 254 34 256 42 281 47 276 25108 23266 41 262 36 256 43 278 46 282 23266 21344 46 258 36 258 41 275 49 287 21344 19336 47 255 36 263 39 275 48 287 19336 17242 36 251 38 270 35 264 39 291 17242 15106 13 249 37 274 32 257 33 288 15106 13047 4 270 36 269 30 258 24 282 13047 11179 10 188 36 261 32 260 17 282 11179 9532 18 230 31 241 30 249 13 298 9532 8079 23 245 21 216 23 226 11 287 8079 6790 21 228 14 189 19 190 9 256 6790 5647 12 216 9 181 11 159 7 229 5647 4638 5 222 9 181 11 150 5 139 4638 3753 8 252 8 175 10 142 7 123 3753 2975 13 246 5 190 9 131 10 112 2975 2282 16 256 5 212 8 114 13 100 2282 1674 17 260 5 208 8 085 15 075 1674 1172 16 254 3 203 14 055 17*048 1172 790 12 240 1*172 14 046 16*045 790 527 8 213 2*061 12 042 15 044 527 368 4*207 2 052 11*040 13 043 368 276 1*035 2 051 7*039 9 042 276 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography