DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/12 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0949z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.4 - - 64.3 - - 63.4 - - 55.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 95 - - 276 - - 130 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1266 - - 4875 - - 5052 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 261 - - 3563 - - 3266 - - 261 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1546 - - 5155 - - 5332 - - 278 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1886 - - 1180 - - 1320 - - 4923 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 200 - - 445 - - 351 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 17 - - 21 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 341 - - 322 - - 323 - - 334 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 13 - - 4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2051 - - -193 - - -889 - - -4809 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3597 - - 5348 - - 6222 - - 5087 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5228 - - -4087 - - -3759 - - -10718 ODpotential blCL - - - 6774 - - 9242 - - 9091 - - 10996 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 83 - - 71 - - 52 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.4 - - 64.3 - - 63.4 - - 55.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.8 - - 41.8 - - 37.1 - - 34.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.0 - - 62.9 - - 62.8 - - 57.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.5 - - 41.5 - - 36.8 - - 33.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 95 - - 276 - - 130 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1266 - - 4875 - - 5052 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 33 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96520 56 267 61 254 59 253 55 250 96520 89207 38 262 38 262 38 267 35 258 89207 83618 22 265 31 261 30 270 30 281 83618 79020 18 299 20 261 19 278 22 275 79020 75050 18 298 14 311 18 299 16 304 75050 71546 20 294 17 311 21 300 21 305 71546 68385 19 299 15 306 21 279 25 295 68385 65467 22 321 16 321 17 308 25 308 65467 62763 36 316 33 316 32 313 37 306 62763 60155 49 311 46 303 41 298 43 298 60155 57414 54 296 52 290 48 295 50 296 57414 54546 51 284 54 288 59 295 59 298 54546 51799 47 286 57 299 66 294 66 295 51799 49320 51 299 70 308 70 300 71 296 49320 47080 62 306 84 309 77 305 74 300 47080 45032 73 307 89 306 85 305 80 306 45032 43150 75 302 84 304 86 299 86 303 43150 41414 72 301 78 302 82 297 85 299 41414 39805 77 292 78 301 76 301 81 299 39805 38315 83 279 79 296 80 304 78 303 38315 36929 72 280 77 293 83 298 82 308 36929 35607 71 303 80 306 83 298 85 305 35607 34277 84 315 84 311 85 302 85 301 34277 32902 87 312 84 310 87 302 85 299 32902 31474 84 306 83 306 87 300 86 297 31474 29975 79 299 84 301 85 297 86 297 29975 28393 78 292 85 296 84 295 85 299 28393 26728 80 294 87 294 85 295 84 300 26728 24977 78 297 87 294 86 296 83 301 24977 23142 76 300 82 296 84 297 83 303 23142 21225 73 301 75 303 79 300 80 306 21225 19223 68 299 69 301 72 301 76 304 19223 17136 62 297 68 297 70 300 74 309 17136 15017 60 298 64 301 67 306 58 318 15017 12983 56 310 54 311 57 313 47 321 12983 11136 47 317 46 314 47 312 43 320 11136 9500 41 316 40 310 39 311 42 320 9500 8053 37 318 34 307 33 311 38 320 8053 6778 31 323 27 311 27 315 29 320 6778 5652 23 325 22*317 21*321 24 325 5652 4658 19 323 18*321 21*322 24 333 4658 3781 20 327 18 321 21 323 25 336 3781 3007 21 337 18 322 22 323 26 337 3007 2315 22 343 17 322 21 324 26 338 2315 1703 21*343 17 322 21 324 26 339 1703 1193 19*342 17 322 21 324 26 339 1193 802 17 341 16 323 21 324 23 338 802 533 16 341 15 323 20 324 18 337 533 370 14 341 14 323 18 324 15*336 370 277 12 341 13 322 15 324 8*334 277 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography