DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/25 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0700z - - 1000z - - 1337z - - 1603z - - 1901z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 68.5 - - 70.4 - - 74.5 - - 72.4 - - 73.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -28 - - 27 - - 28 - - -15 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 555 - - 1598 - - 108 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 262 - - 262 - - 262 - - 262 - - 263 Hcrit BL Top 279 - - 835 - - 1878 - - 388 - - 280 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1435 - - 1338 - - 2158 - - 3061 - - 4040 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 - - 106 - - 168 - - 37 - - 19 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 26 - - 29 - - 13 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 152 - - 168 - - 174 - - 186 - - 176 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 13 - - 17 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -6 - - -2 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -204 - - 428 - - 838 - - -444 - - -690 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 483 - - 407 - - 1040 - - 832 - - 970 sfcLCL ODpotential -2692 - - 72 - - 191 - - -1144 - - -1453 ODpotential blCL 2971 - - 763 - - 1687 - - 1532 - - 1733 blCL maxRH 96 - - 100 - - 98 - - 100 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 280 - - 820 - - 1520 - - 1130 - - 1650 CAPE Temp@2m 68.5 - - 70.4 - - 74.5 - - 72.4 - - 73.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 66.8 - - 68.9 - - 70.3 - - 69.2 - - 69.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 69.4 - - 70.4 - - 74.6 - - 73.1 - - 74.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 66.7 - - 68.7 - - 69.7 - - 68.7 - - 69.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -28 - - 27 - - 28 - - -15 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 555 - - 1598 - - 108 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 85 - - 101 - - 93 - - 101 - - 56 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 14 - - 15 - - 15 - - 15 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98155 10 061 18 095 11 057 13 059 17 044 98155 90770 16 068 17 071 14 084 15 091 13 050 90770 85095 13 076 15 062 17 092 14 101 11 056 85095 80363 11 078 11 094 11 102 7 089 12 052 80363 76262 11 089 12 102 12 112 6 100 12 058 76262 72640 8 062 13 074 13 101 10 114 14 075 72640 69385 4 358 9 063 9 107 7 117 11 083 69385 66422 10 247 4 001 5 116 2 136 5 119 66422 63692 17 201 7 248 8 211 5 195 5 187 63692 61043 15 176 18 226 14 234 8 193 7 198 61043 58268 17 214 23 220 19 233 13 228 11 227 58268 55369 31 197 28 207 30 220 22 222 21 219 55369 52593 27 189 34 202 38 211 31 203 33 205 52593 50094 26 219 31 192 43 200 40 198 35 200 50094 47858 30 223 30 189 43 180 45 195 44 202 47858 45844 33 196 27 189 38 169 42 191 56 202 45844 44022 30 196 27 189 33 174 42 196 61 192 44022 42357 51 195 37 176 37 178 49 204 54 182 42357 40805 55 186 50 176 44 185 52 204 56 192 40805 39340 56 173 59 180 55 186 59 197 69 196 39340 37953 54 166 71 178 61 181 67 185 78 186 37953 36604 49 161 76 172 58 181 69 180 83 185 36604 35228 47 160 77 166 53 187 68 179 84 185 35228 33793 50 165 76 165 56 189 67 176 82 182 33793 32303 50 166 67 170 56 188 65 175 80 178 32303 30744 48 170 56 175 57 184 63 173 76 173 30744 29101 48 175 46 180 57 178 60 173 74 172 29101 27378 49 183 50 183 55 176 57 173 68 181 27378 25580 48 187 48 188 52 177 52 178 56 190 25580 23704 48 189 46 189 45 183 47 187 54 188 23704 21752 44 195 44 192 43 186 45 195 58 188 21752 19728 33 207 43 195 42 189 42 201 46 200 19728 17631 32 208 38 191 39 190 43 195 41 197 17631 15491 35 210 37 190 38 195 44 202 41 197 15491 13425 36 212 40 194 40 205 43 208 41 205 13425 11540 40 209 43 196 43 204 40 213 40 205 11540 9863 41 203 45 198 43 199 37 213 45 202 9863 8375 42 196 44 196 41 200 35 210 44 199 8375 7052 44 197 44 189 39 202 35 205 41 199 7052 5880 47 195 45 184 39 197 36 197 35 207 5880 4844 48 190 45 182 40 189 36 189 30 211 4844 3932 49 186 45 181 39 184 35 185 27 206 3932 3126 48 180 43 178 38 180 33 184 25 199 3126 2405 44 172 41 175 36*178 31 183 23 192 2405 1768 39 161 39 174 34*176 28 184 22 188 1768 1236 34 156 35*172 31 175 25 184 20 182 1236 828 28 154 31*170 29 174 22 184 18 180 828 547 23 153 27 168 26 173 19*185 16 178 547 376 20*152 24 168 23 173 16*186 14*177 376 279 12*152 18 167 17 173 11 186 10*176 279 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography