DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/30 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 34.7 - - 36.2 - - 37.2 - - 32.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 65 - - 108 - - 59 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2123 - - 2747 - - 2634 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 259 - - 1512 - - 259 - - 259 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2403 - - 3027 - - 2914 - - 277 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 604 - - 595 - - 421 - - 2657 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 213 - - 273 - - 223 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 13 - - 15 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 009 - - 007 - - 003 - - 027 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -3 - - -5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 27 - - 582 - - 505 - - -953 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2376 - - 2445 - - 2409 - - 1230 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12417 - - 319 - - -11270 - - -1768 ODpotential blCL - - - 14820 - - 2708 - - 14184 - - 2045 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 99 - - 89 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 34.7 - - 36.2 - - 37.2 - - 32.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.7 - - 26.9 - - 28.1 - - 28.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 34.4 - - 35.7 - - 36.9 - - 34.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.5 - - 25.7 - - 26.9 - - 28.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 65 - - 108 - - 59 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2123 - - 2747 - - 2634 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 39 - - 96 - - 57 - - 25 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96238 24 051 29 052 23 041 23 041 96238 89099 17 048 16 043 11 028 16 027 89099 83523 6 347 3 302 9 336 16 348 83523 78901 10 325 10 248 17 309 19 328 78901 74928 11 284 9 268 13 280 18 286 74928 71410 16 278 11 301 11 273 17 243 71410 68208 21 281 21 303 18 309 12 265 68208 65253 30 268 37 280 32 290 23 288 65253 62525 36 258 44 258 43 273 40 276 62525 59904 40 256 46 259 49 259 52 266 59904 57164 49 270 51 267 57 263 56 264 57164 54306 74 271 71 265 74 269 71 269 54306 51579 87 267 87 262 90 266 88 264 51579 49126 91 269 94 262 95 265 94 264 49126 46935 99 272 99 265 101 266 105 269 46935 44974 109 272 106 268 106 266 115 270 44974 43198 121 273 114 269 113 269 130 272 43198 41562 143 276 123 273 138 274 155 275 41562 40031 158 277 132 274 160 276 165 272 40031 38581 160 279 127 271 157 275 162 272 38581 37199 142 278 121 267 146 272 159 275 37199 35855 113 269 117 264 129 266 143 273 35855 34487 98 258 115 261 115 258 126 267 34487 33071 95 256 111 260 116 257 122 256 33071 31604 90 250 101 264 111 258 124 259 31604 30072 86 249 88 264 100 265 107 267 30072 28466 82 252 81 260 93 267 87 268 28466 26783 77 255 77 264 84 263 76 262 26783 25016 69 258 70 263 75 258 77 263 25016 23167 62 261 56 259 67 258 71 267 23167 21243 61 258 50 257 51 262 59 270 21243 19240 56 255 48 257 44 270 49 267 19240 17149 49 257 42 262 39 271 43 269 17149 15010 44 262 37 265 37 273 35 268 15010 12947 37 270 35 266 38 265 31 269 12947 11075 37 273 35 267 33 257 30 268 11075 9416 40 275 37 274 31 264 28 268 9416 7947 39 285 32 285 24 278 24 269 7947 6646 31 291 25 295 19 290 18 279 6646 5500 25 299 16 317 13 304 13 297 5500 4500 21 336 14 357 11 343 9 341 4500 3635 23 002 14*008 14*003 16 011 3635 2885 23*008 13*007 15*004 20 015 2885 2222 19*009 13 007 15 004 20 019 2222 1637 18 009 13 007 15 003 20 023 1637 1149 17 009 13 007 15 003 20 025 1149 776 16 009 12 007 14 003 18 027 776 520 15 009 12 006 14 003 14 028 520 364 13 009 11 007 13 003 12*028 364 276 11 009 9 007 10 003 6*027 276 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography