DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/06 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.5 - - 62.4 - - 61.9 - - 57.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 116 - - 262 - - 118 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1494 - - 3016 - - 3555 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 261 - - 2136 - - 2115 - - 261 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1774 - - 3296 - - 3835 - - 278 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 852 - - 778 - - 451 - - 3710 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 225 - - 373 - - 302 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 12 - - 13 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 028 - - 014 - - 008 - - 020 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -1 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -736 - - -383 - - -106 - - -2417 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2510 - - 3680 - - 3941 - - 2695 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5500 - - -4814 - - -6532 - - -2613 ODpotential blCL - - - 7274 - - 8110 - - 10367 - - 2891 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 91 - - 94 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.5 - - 62.4 - - 61.9 - - 57.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.6 - - 47.4 - - 45.8 - - 46.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.8 - - 61.0 - - 61.3 - - 57.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.4 - - 47.2 - - 45.6 - - 46.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 116 - - 262 - - 118 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1494 - - 3016 - - 3555 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 61 - - 66 - - 75 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96630 76 259 87 258 91 260 82 261 96630 89380 46 258 55 265 53 266 57 266 89380 83844 31 276 28 274 31 268 37 270 83844 79290 22 287 15 284 20 265 24 269 79290 75379 16 286 11 281 17 276 19 289 75379 71905 14 294 12 285 17 260 20 280 71905 68747 19 285 14 282 16 270 20 269 68747 65841 17 268 13 268 17 274 17 263 65841 63144 15 275 16 261 18 260 17 268 63144 60522 24 284 18 270 23 268 19 262 60522 57788 34 267 30 267 32 270 27 273 57788 54956 39 268 40 268 39 265 32 272 54956 52251 46 270 43 265 42 264 41 264 52251 49809 50 265 42 265 50 261 49 258 49809 47607 52 268 53 260 57 255 56 257 47607 45599 61 266 58 257 61 254 58 256 45599 43754 67 262 63 262 56 259 54 256 43754 42045 71 259 67 264 56 266 49 262 42045 40450 71 258 69 259 61 264 50 263 40450 38960 72 260 70 256 65 259 54 264 38960 37562 78 263 71 258 64 260 52 266 37562 36220 79 262 74 260 60 267 45 275 36220 34866 76 262 73 261 56 269 46 277 34866 33465 74 261 68 262 49 268 44 272 33465 32014 69 262 61 268 46 270 44 275 32014 30491 69 261 58 269 49 272 44 279 30491 28882 72 261 61 266 49 274 42 290 28882 27186 66 266 61 268 49 273 41 287 27186 25406 57 268 46 271 43 275 40 282 25406 23544 48 269 37 277 37 275 36 285 23544 21606 36 279 25 286 31 275 28 290 21606 19586 30 289 19 291 25 274 20 298 19586 17478 21 294 16 314 15 292 15 307 17478 15323 12 320 10 340 9 311 13 321 15323 13240 12 345 9 350 9 327 13 329 13240 11345 10 326 10 333 9 319 13 335 11345 9663 13 303 12 308 12 313 13 334 9663 8173 18 299 16 303 15 314 14 325 8173 6857 21 294 19 300 18 310 16 312 6857 5695 19 293 17 297 16 310 17 307 5695 4674 18 315 11 316 10*345 11 334 4674 3785 18 341 10*007 12*007 12 010 3785 3009 15 023 12*013 13 008 13 015 3009 2316 20*038 12 014 13 008 14 016 2316 1704 19*035 12 014 13 008 14 018 1704 1194 16 027 12 014 13 008 14 019 1194 803 15 026 12 014 13 008 13 019 803 534 14 026 12 014 13 008 12 020 534 371 13 025 11 014 12 008 11*020 371 277 11 025 10 014 10 008 8*020 277 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography