DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/11 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.2 - - 69.2 - - 73.0 - - 66.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 34 - - 94 - - 3 - - -46 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 167 - - 1499 - - 2943 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 261 - - 262 - - 262 - - 262 Hcrit BL Top - - - 447 - - 1779 - - 3223 - - 279 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 295 - - 2425 - - 3505 - - 508 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 73 - - 218 - - 134 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 14 - - 22 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 228 - - 236 - - 256 - - 289 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 8 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -903 - - 316 - - 39 - - -3022 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1350 - - 1463 - - 3184 - - 3301 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3766 - - -834 - - -1163 - - -5520 ODpotential blCL - - - 4213 - - 2613 - - 4386 - - 5799 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 93 - - 81 - - 51 maxRH CAPE - - - 180 - - 790 - - 730 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.2 - - 69.2 - - 73.0 - - 66.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.2 - - 63.5 - - 59.8 - - 52.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.0 - - 68.7 - - 73.3 - - 68.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.0 - - 62.7 - - 59.2 - - 52.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 34 - - 94 - - 3 - - -46 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 167 - - 1499 - - 2943 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 73 - - 22 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 12 - - 10 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96607 64 254 68 253 71 257 71 259 96607 89299 35 265 37 259 42 261 38 267 89299 83773 24 275 26 260 22 270 25 268 83773 79194 23 291 22 276 20 279 17 279 79194 75226 25 295 21 278 22 297 18 300 75226 71701 22 283 19 284 21 294 24 294 71701 68516 20 281 21 289 19 281 25 296 68516 65594 27 281 25 283 19 291 26 297 65594 62881 34 280 32 283 27 296 28 300 62881 60250 41 283 34 284 36 294 36 296 60250 57507 41 270 37 283 39 289 40 288 57507 54659 40 263 37 275 43 278 47 280 54659 51933 40 270 37 273 48 276 51 278 51933 49463 47 274 44 276 55 276 55 283 49463 47230 52 275 51 275 61 271 63 283 47230 45199 57 275 60 270 70 270 70 278 45199 43350 61 270 66 265 73 268 77 272 43350 41666 60 266 67 267 74 271 79 269 41666 40118 56 271 72 272 77 272 74 269 40118 38678 53 275 78 272 82 272 71 272 38678 37321 52 279 79 272 86 273 70 275 37321 36004 52 283 78 277 88 274 70 277 36004 34663 49 284 69 279 84 271 70 278 34663 33274 41 286 62 276 77 270 73 276 33274 31836 36 287 57 276 66 271 71 270 31836 30332 32 287 53 278 58 274 68 277 30332 28749 31 290 51 277 51 282 66 279 28749 27084 32 294 51 277 48 288 63 277 27084 25331 31 299 52 276 49 293 60 280 25331 23492 28 302 47 272 49 295 62 285 23492 21569 28 300 42 274 49 293 66 288 21569 19557 29 295 31 292 50 295 71 298 19557 17456 27 291 31 295 44 293 65 306 17456 15316 23 288 31 294 42 289 44 296 15316 13256 21 290 33 293 45 287 47 287 13256 11386 20 288 31 280 45 289 45 291 11386 9728 23 281 32 272 39 287 33 291 9728 8259 25 275 31 272 32 286 30 294 8259 6957 25 275 28 279 28 284 29 304 6957 5803 23 283 26 282 26 283 29 304 5803 4782 19 286 23 281 25 279 29 299 4782 3882 18 287 21 275 25*271 29 293 3882 3087 17 289 20 266 24*261 29 292 3087 2375 16 287 19*259 23 258 30 293 2375 1746 16 280 17*249 23 256 30 295 1746 1221 15 268 15 235 22 255 29 296 1221 818 13 259 14 233 21 254 26 295 818 541 9*239 13 232 19 253 20 292 541 374 6*229 13 232 17 252 16*291 374 278 5 228 11 231 13 252 8*289 278 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography