DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/30 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.8 - - 78.5 - - 81.4 - - 72.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 50 - - 186 - - 76 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 292 - - 2918 - - 3813 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 262 - - 1923 - - 1946 - - 262 Hcrit BL Top - - - 572 - - 3198 - - 4093 - - 280 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 229 - - 1234 - - 1210 - - 2400 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 100 - - 330 - - 269 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 9 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 124 - - 105 - - 108 - - 092 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -2 - - 3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3026 - - -5274 - - -5259 - - -6340 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3598 - - 8472 - - 9352 - - 6621 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9250 - - -11558 - - -9428 - - -11389 ODpotential blCL - - - 9822 - - 14756 - - 13521 - - 11669 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 94 - - 92 - - 46 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.8 - - 78.5 - - 81.4 - - 72.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.5 - - 42.7 - - 41.6 - - 45.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.5 - - 77.3 - - 80.7 - - 75.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.0 - - 42.1 - - 41.3 - - 45.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 50 - - 186 - - 76 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 292 - - 2918 - - 3813 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 74 - - 66 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96990 65 248 79 255 83 263 68 275 96990 89779 41 259 44 254 52 256 51 268 89779 84209 28 266 30 261 31 253 37 256 84209 79593 26 275 25 269 21 271 22 262 79593 75628 26 266 22 265 24 275 21 282 75628 72137 24 262 17 263 24 267 23 285 72137 68992 18 254 12 270 15 261 21 276 68992 66095 16 280 13 276 14 258 14 261 66095 63394 23 269 18 259 15 258 15 268 63394 60777 27 252 25 269 22 258 20 257 60777 58050 37 258 30 263 28 259 26 251 58050 55228 42 263 40 257 36 251 36 254 55228 52544 51 252 50 254 47 259 48 257 52544 50139 57 248 66 248 64 248 57 252 50139 48002 66 249 71 245 67 249 65 256 48002 46073 64 249 73 244 75 245 74 254 46073 44302 46 262 64 241 64 243 64 249 44302 42662 43 266 51 250 46 229 40 251 42662 41130 49 264 47 253 39 233 37 231 41130 39685 52 256 40 248 32 237 32 239 39685 38312 51 246 38 252 30 247 29 246 38312 36974 52 253 39 256 32 247 23 245 36974 35601 49 267 39 252 32 245 21 243 35601 34169 38 262 35 246 31 238 23 242 34169 32679 27 252 34 243 26 240 23 238 32679 31114 31 245 32 249 23 245 21 236 31114 29460 30 244 29 243 21 241 22 238 29460 27719 21 249 27 235 21 237 25 238 27719 25893 18 256 21 226 23 230 32 235 25893 23984 20 245 18 226 25 231 26 235 23984 21997 20 248 19 237 21 230 22 230 21997 19925 11 236 11 233 13 243 17 230 19925 17767 10 210 7 193 5 218 11 249 17767 15578 5 199 8 176 7 191 7 194 15578 13487 4 295 1 099 7 128 8 114 13487 11591 5 315 4 029 8 076 10 109 11591 9903 4 154 4 119 6 082 12 084 9903 8402 13 137 10 152 4 130 12 081 8402 7068 18 126 17 145 10 139 15 096 7068 5885 14 118 17 135 14 140 13 115 5885 4841 11 105 15 123 9*126 10 119 4841 3926 10 105 12*116 7*111 9 116 3926 3120 10 104 8*110 7 110 9 114 3120 2398 9 104 8 107 7 108 10 110 2398 1761 10 108 7 105 7 107 10 105 1761 1231 10 119 7 104 7 105 11 102 1231 824 10*128 6 102 6 105 11 100 824 544 7*125 6 101 6 105 10 098 544 375 6 124 5 101 6 104 8*095 375 279 5 124 5 100 5 104 5*092 279 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography