DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/15 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.4 - - 51.2 - - 52.5 - - 50.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 0 - - 31 - - 6 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 504 - - 918 - - 1523 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 261 - - 260 - - 261 - - 261 Hcrit BL Top - - - 784 - - 1198 - - 1803 - - 278 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1035 - - 1265 - - 1293 - - 2831 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 49 - - 131 - - 112 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 22 - - 26 - - 26 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 017 - - 006 - - 010 - - 003 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 14 - - 15 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 271 - - 589 - - 795 - - -460 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 513 - - 609 - - 1008 - - 738 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 12 - - 327 - - 278 - - -1061 ODpotential blCL - - - 772 - - 871 - - 1525 - - 1339 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 40 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.4 - - 51.2 - - 52.5 - - 50.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.9 - - 49.5 - - 49.1 - - 48.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.6 - - 51.3 - - 52.7 - - 51.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.6 - - 49.0 - - 48.4 - - 48.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 0 - - 31 - - 6 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 504 - - 918 - - 1523 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96449 28 093 27 062 33 080 28 078 96449 89370 18 077 20 077 20 070 16 073 89370 83888 12 099 14 101 8 066 7 042 83888 79288 10 061 9 101 5 132 3 329 79288 75305 8 030 9 109 5 198 7 325 75305 71784 9 347 2 083 4 319 5 333 71784 68604 10 266 11 268 14 303 12 300 68604 65695 14 302 14 270 13 288 22 281 65695 63002 31 302 22 295 16 297 21 262 63002 60380 43 285 32 292 26 288 15 289 60380 57638 44 284 50 276 42 282 41 282 57638 54810 51 276 51 262 51 265 51 264 54810 52124 49 268 51 277 49 271 47 274 52124 49698 56 284 61 284 51 278 59 288 49698 47505 65 289 65 288 62 287 70 290 47505 45497 71 288 68 292 72 290 75 291 45497 43642 71 285 71 294 78 293 75 292 43642 41920 58 292 73 297 81 293 72 292 41920 40324 48 303 74 304 79 298 69 291 40324 38839 44 308 70 310 73 307 62 294 38839 37449 41 307 62 319 63 313 56 305 37449 36113 30 310 57 324 53 316 51 310 36113 34758 29 311 46 329 50 320 48 306 34758 33355 14 305 41 337 48 323 48 302 33355 31904 7 282 44 341 47 322 46 300 31904 30384 9 292 46 335 47 319 42 304 30384 28781 20 314 47 330 48 315 40 313 28781 27097 24 326 46 329 50 314 41 318 27097 25327 31 326 46 333 51 317 44 319 25327 23472 31 336 47 339 50 322 45 319 23472 21535 20 354 46 340 48 330 45 322 21535 19509 19 010 44 343 45 328 42 325 19509 17393 19 006 34 351 47 326 40 327 17393 15232 20 356 33 343 44 334 43 335 15232 13154 20 000 35 347 33 339 45 344 13154 11272 22 006 31 357 32 346 34 354 11272 9604 24 023 29 358 31 003 26 001 9604 8129 27 023 27 003 32 011 27 013 8129 6822 26 015 27 012 34 017 30 021 6822 5666 24 020 30 020 36 025 35 030 5666 4648 21 031 30 027 37 027 39 037 4648 3758 20 030 33 031 36 024 36 031 3758 2983 22 027 36 022 35 018 32 020 2983 2296 30 024 35 017 34*016 30 018 2296 1690 35 022 32*010 30*012 28 016 1690 1185 34 021 31*008 29 010 24 013 1185 797 29*019 27 006 26 009 20 009 797 531 26*018 25 005 23 008 16 005 531 369 23 017 22 004 20 008 13*004 369 277 17 017 17 003 15 007 9*003 277 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography