DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/26 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 3.8 - - 12.8 - - 17.5 - - 12.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 3 - - 103 - - 51 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 947 - - 1277 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 257 - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 Hcrit BL Top - - - 274 - - 1227 - - 1557 - - 275 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 526 - - 508 - - 660 - - 1684 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 16 - - 186 - - 164 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 3 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 10 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 336 - - 344 - - 323 - - 212 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -1 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1642 - - -1233 - - -744 - - -1505 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1916 - - 2460 - - 2301 - - 1780 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14668 - - -11582 - - -10081 - - -16083 ODpotential blCL - - - 14942 - - 12809 - - 11638 - - 16358 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 71 - - 75 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 3.8 - - 12.8 - - 17.5 - - 12.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - -2.9 - - 3.6 - - 9.0 - - 6.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 4.4 - - 12.3 - - 17.3 - - 16.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -3.5 - - 2.6 - - 7.8 - - 8.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 3 - - 103 - - 51 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 947 - - 1277 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 2 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95941 107 237 103 238 112 236 123 236 95941 88742 110 245 100 244 106 247 113 249 88742 83213 96 252 88 247 91 252 94 252 83213 78650 74 254 70 249 72 251 73 253 78650 74736 65 252 59 250 56 250 55 252 74736 71272 57 246 52 254 49 253 48 253 71272 68115 53 253 49 256 50 254 49 252 68115 65210 54 254 52 253 54 253 55 253 65210 62524 52 244 55 249 58 251 60 255 62524 59912 64 247 60 254 64 255 65 256 59912 57158 77 246 72 255 71 250 70 259 57158 54283 90 245 81 253 78 252 80 256 54283 51519 97 242 89 249 87 252 86 254 51519 49006 99 240 94 247 91 251 91 256 49006 46744 101 245 98 250 96 253 98 258 46744 44695 109 252 108 253 107 255 107 257 44695 42816 125 254 120 253 118 255 111 256 42816 41073 138 251 132 252 127 254 114 258 41073 39449 145 249 141 250 134 253 121 259 39449 37933 151 248 145 249 140 253 127 259 37933 36510 155 247 149 248 141 254 128 260 36510 35138 158 247 149 248 140 256 126 261 35138 33749 161 247 147 249 140 257 116 265 33749 32317 156 248 146 250 130 258 109 269 32317 30845 145 249 138 249 118 259 95 275 30845 29322 142 251 135 251 100 262 78 281 29322 27739 145 254 139 252 84 264 59 296 27739 26091 148 256 134 252 64 289 58 311 26091 24367 143 258 116 255 62 304 62 310 24367 22562 122 259 100 259 51 318 63 309 22562 20678 93 261 81 263 46 338 60 308 20678 18710 73 264 59 270 43 347 56 305 18710 16653 51 268 49 285 38 342 50 304 16653 14553 51 271 52 275 38 319 46 311 14553 12536 44 276 50 273 42 295 45 314 12536 10707 35 292 47 282 46 288 37 315 10707 9088 36 296 48 288 50 287 33 311 9088 7668 36 306 47 295 49 291 36 306 7668 6425 37 324 44 306 45 302 39 301 6425 5331 39 331 40 314 42 312 37 303 5331 4371 35 334 35 320 35 317 31 307 4371 3531 30 342 27 325 26 317 25 307 3531 2798 26 358 17 340 20 319 20 296 2798 2152 25 006 16 353 12 323 14 272 2152 1586 26 005 15*351 7*324 10 255 1586 1116 25 359 11*345 5*323 7 240 1116 756 22 353 10 344 5 324 6 232 756 510 15 341 10 343 5 323 5 225 510 360 13*339 9 343 4 323 5*217 360 274 8*336 8 344 4 323 5*212 274 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography