DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/10 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 31.2 - - 35.3 - - 38.7 - - 33.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 126 - - 252 - - 93 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2713 - - 4273 - - 4249 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1575 - - 3068 - - 2466 - - 259 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2993 - - 4553 - - 4529 - - 277 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1616 - - 1035 - - 1106 - - 3967 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 284 - - 415 - - 301 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 21 - - 18 - - 15 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 336 - - 335 - - 327 - - 284 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 7 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -2 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -96 - - 30 - - -1591 - - -4282 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3089 - - 4523 - - 6120 - - 4559 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1253 - - -6934 - - -9530 - - -13916 ODpotential blCL - - - 4246 - - 11487 - - 14059 - - 14193 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 80 - - 55 - - 43 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 31.2 - - 35.3 - - 38.7 - - 33.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.1 - - 16.7 - - 13.0 - - 14.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 30.8 - - 34.2 - - 38.2 - - 36.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.1 - - 15.8 - - 11.8 - - 13.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 126 - - 252 - - 93 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2713 - - 4273 - - 4249 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 7 - - 22 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96706 48 262 43 248 61 250 60 261 96706 89484 36 260 36 241 43 243 53 257 89484 83902 32 255 31 249 35 239 42 246 83902 79261 32 251 30 267 27 255 27 235 79261 75220 34 245 28 268 21 241 22 251 75220 71625 26 243 29 271 28 272 32 270 71625 68380 25 259 36 259 37 268 30 266 68380 65387 25 239 34 233 30 274 32 275 65387 62597 21 292 19 244 39 273 35 275 62597 59893 37 289 33 280 40 275 39 282 59893 57078 47 280 43 282 44 287 45 287 57078 54162 51 286 45 287 49 290 51 296 54162 51385 56 289 48 292 54 293 57 304 51385 48899 52 289 49 299 57 301 64 310 48899 46682 52 296 56 306 63 309 72 313 46682 44675 58 302 67 310 74 314 82 310 44675 42845 65 305 76 310 84 315 85 323 42845 41176 70 307 81 310 90 315 109 329 41176 39636 71 309 81 312 90 319 110 324 39636 38194 73 312 80 316 91 325 109 332 38194 36838 75 313 81 321 98 333 119 342 36838 35527 75 313 83 324 115 339 128 346 35527 34187 74 315 84 327 128 341 131 344 34187 32786 73 315 84 329 134 342 130 343 32786 31330 74 316 82 331 136 342 131 341 31330 29802 79 320 80 332 136 344 130 338 29802 28189 82 321 79 330 127 343 125 341 28189 26495 83 321 77 328 114 340 123 346 26495 24719 84 320 77 327 100 337 120 343 24719 22857 82 320 79 326 89 333 121 340 22857 20916 79 320 79 325 80 330 111 337 20916 18907 75 320 79 323 75 328 97 330 18907 16826 71 320 76 323 72 328 87 328 16826 14718 67 323 70 325 67 328 72 329 14718 12700 64 325 65 327 62 329 59 332 12700 10874 60 327 62 330 57 332 50 333 10874 9258 56 328 58 333 53 334 45 336 9258 7830 49 330 50 337 47 337 40 338 7830 6567 42 334 39 340 35 338 32 337 6567 5461 39 338 25*336 21*329 23 324 5461 4493 31 341 20*335 17*326 18 316 4493 3646 25*343 19 335 16 327 16 316 3646 2900 24*342 19 335 16 327 15 316 2900 2233 23 339 18 335 15 327 14 317 2233 1644 21 334 18 335 15 327 13 316 1644 1154 20 334 17 335 14 327 12 316 1154 779 19 333 17 334 13 327 10 314 779 521 18 332 16 335 13 327 9 309 521 365 17 332 15 334 12 327 6*298 365 276 13 332 13 334 10 327 4*284 276 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography