DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/25 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.4 - - 62.4 - - 62.9 - - 58.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 14 - - 45 - - 11 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 722 - - 1442 - - 1770 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 261 - - 261 - - 261 - - 261 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1002 - - 1722 - - 2050 - - 279 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1489 - - 2401 - - 2762 - - 2627 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 93 - - 173 - - 127 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 11 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 269 - - 287 - - 283 - - 254 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 1 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 375 - - 707 - - 790 - - -98 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 627 - - 1015 - - 1260 - - 377 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 41 - - 211 - - 223 - - -1216 ODpotential blCL - - - 961 - - 1511 - - 1827 - - 1495 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 96 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 90 - - 100 - - 90 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.4 - - 62.4 - - 62.9 - - 58.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.5 - - 58.7 - - 58.3 - - 57.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.6 - - 62.0 - - 62.9 - - 59.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.0 - - 57.9 - - 57.4 - - 57.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 14 - - 45 - - 11 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 722 - - 1442 - - 1770 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 99 - - 82 - - 87 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96218 33 264 40 274 45 273 34 273 96218 89166 20 273 23 274 25 275 26 280 89166 83712 11 254 17 257 14 277 17 277 83712 79157 5 200 10 223 9 275 9 276 79157 75216 6 205 13 197 13 271 6 261 75216 71721 4 204 12 197 17 237 12 248 71721 68560 4 223 9 230 17 231 16 247 68560 65651 13 234 14 244 19 226 24 255 65651 62949 20 238 27 243 25 233 31 242 62949 60337 19 221 28 239 35 235 39 242 60337 57611 35 253 38 235 43 230 46 234 57611 54774 45 244 47 238 51 240 50 235 54774 52058 48 243 57 241 57 245 57 241 52058 49609 50 247 58 244 59 244 64 242 49609 47408 52 252 55 247 60 246 71 241 47408 45401 56 253 57 248 63 246 75 239 45401 43553 61 249 62 244 69 246 76 238 43553 41841 61 243 62 237 73 246 78 243 41841 40252 58 241 61 235 78 248 85 247 40252 38770 59 243 64 238 83 248 89 246 38770 37382 59 245 68 241 86 244 90 243 37382 36047 58 248 71 243 88 242 92 241 36047 34697 57 250 72 247 89 240 93 239 34697 33299 54 251 73 250 86 241 88 237 33299 31851 54 251 72 252 81 242 84 235 31851 30335 53 250 68 251 76 242 81 238 30335 28734 50 247 63 249 71 240 75 240 28734 27051 45 244 58 248 67 241 71 241 27051 25282 43 245 52 246 64 241 68 244 25282 23431 40 244 49 244 58 243 64 246 23431 21503 41 238 46 244 49 244 57 249 21503 19492 47 238 41 247 43 245 47 249 19492 17396 42 243 37 246 40 247 40 242 17396 15258 34 245 35 245 38 253 33 247 15258 13194 32 240 35 242 36 254 32 260 13194 11318 36 239 35 243 35 255 30 271 11318 9654 37 240 35 245 31 265 28 287 9654 8183 34 245 30 249 26 272 23 289 8183 6883 28 254 20 258 19 280 19 285 6883 5734 23 259 15 272 18 289 15 279 5734 4719 20 260 16 271 15 290 17 291 4719 3828 19 256 16 269 14 291 19 303 3828 3043 15 264 15 276 12 292 19 306 3043 2341 13 289 13*286 11*288 18 301 2341 1721 14 291 12*287 9*285 17 288 1721 1205 14*280 12 287 8 283 16 278 1205 809 13*271 11 286 7 282 14 272 809 537 12 269 10 286 7 282 11 265 537 372 11 268 10 287 6 282 9*261 372 278 8 266 8 286 5 282 4*254 278 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography