DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/23 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 30.2 - - 27.7 - - 25.4 - - 24.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 21 - - 89 - - 106 - - 57 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1361 - - 1880 - - 1899 - - 1951 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 259 - - 259 - - 867 - - 259 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1641 - - 2160 - - 2179 - - 2231 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 531 - - 392 - - 367 - - 462 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 131 - - 225 - - 239 - - 198 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 29 - - 27 - - 27 - - 27 BL Wind Direction - - - 038 - - 031 - - 035 - - 037 Direction Wind Shear - - - 17 - - 12 - - 13 - - 14 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -3 - - -2 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -930 - - -1003 - - -2267 - - -3113 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2571 - - 3163 - - 4446 - - 5344 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16165 - - -17876 - - -21035 - - -22884 ODpotential blCL - - - 17806 - - 20036 - - 23214 - - 25115 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 30.2 - - 27.7 - - 25.4 - - 24.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.4 - - 15.3 - - 7.4 - - 2.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 30.3 - - 27.4 - - 25.0 - - 24.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.5 - - 14.2 - - 6.2 - - 1.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 21 - - 89 - - 106 - - 57 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1361 - - 1880 - - 1899 - - 1951 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 99 - - 100 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95490 75 243 84 247 82 255 81 256 95490 88529 66 255 62 248 70 251 70 257 88529 83149 54 259 50 257 55 257 55 260 83149 78650 41 262 43 260 47 257 45 264 78650 74774 35 271 36 259 39 262 38 266 74774 71344 36 282 32 267 34 271 32 268 71344 68231 39 279 34 277 35 276 33 270 68231 65366 42 278 39 278 36 276 36 275 65366 62709 44 281 44 282 39 276 38 271 62709 60128 52 279 53 281 46 278 42 273 60128 57417 65 272 64 275 59 276 52 274 57417 54590 76 269 73 269 70 271 66 266 54590 51887 85 267 81 266 79 267 74 264 51887 49444 92 266 88 264 85 265 79 266 49444 47233 94 266 90 263 87 264 81 265 47233 45207 94 267 90 264 89 263 85 264 45207 43345 97 266 95 263 94 262 92 264 43345 41638 104 264 103 261 104 260 103 260 41638 40073 109 264 111 259 112 257 105 256 40073 38627 110 265 110 258 112 257 109 256 38627 37271 110 266 107 261 108 257 114 258 37271 35957 112 267 109 266 109 258 114 258 35957 34610 115 268 111 267 108 261 110 258 34610 33200 115 268 112 266 106 265 105 259 33200 31731 108 269 109 265 106 265 101 259 31731 30186 97 267 100 264 102 263 100 261 30186 28553 90 267 89 266 91 264 94 262 28553 26837 85 266 84 262 82 265 84 263 26837 25041 81 265 79 260 80 267 80 267 25041 23165 77 271 75 266 73 267 75 269 23165 21213 64 272 67 267 67 267 64 270 21213 19181 57 269 57 265 62 267 58 270 19181 17064 49 264 52 267 56 269 55 270 17064 14903 40 264 47 271 51 270 51 271 14903 12819 33 269 42 268 47 270 48 268 12819 10931 28 266 36 264 45 273 46 269 10931 9266 22 253 28 258 33 274 42 274 9266 7801 16 235 16 243 18 273 20 284 7801 6522 2 259 8 210 7 242 9 304 6522 5401 6 014 2 078 3 070 6 021 5401 4414 7 043 10 070 15 071 12 063 4414 3556 18 067 27 061 29 058 28 065 3556 2815 32 062 32 043 33*043 32*047 2815 2167 36*044 30*034 30*036 30*039 2167 1598 34*040 29*033 29 035 29 038 1598 1125 32 038 29 032 28 034 28 037 1125 762 29 038 28 031 27 034 27 036 762 513 26 037 26 031 25 034 24 035 513 361 23 037 23 031 22 034 21 035 361 275 17 037 17 030 17 033 16 035 275 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography