DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/03 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 88.8 - - 95.2 - - 97.0 - - 92.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 123 - - 192 - - 108 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1737 - - 6209 - - 6399 - - 0 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 894 - - 4449 - - 4237 - - 264 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2017 - - 6489 - - 6679 - - 280 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2862 - - 2797 - - 3993 - - 7914 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 247 - - 442 - - 376 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 13 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 254 - - 190 - - 186 - - 183 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1761 - - 576 - - -103 - - -4809 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3778 - - 5913 - - 6782 - - 5090 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3812 - - -341 - - -1281 - - -6172 ODpotential blCL - - - 5829 - - 6830 - - 7960 - - 6452 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 75 - - 69 - - 56 maxRH CAPE - - - 1820 - - 1530 - - 1130 - - 1570 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 88.8 - - 95.2 - - 97.0 - - 92.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 73.0 - - 70.1 - - 68.1 - - 70.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 88.0 - - 94.0 - - 96.2 - - 94.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 72.5 - - 69.2 - - 67.1 - - 69.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 123 - - 192 - - 108 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1737 - - 6209 - - 6399 - - 0 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 16 - - 15 - - 14 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99019 18 093 19 107 15 122 19 085 99019 91565 21 108 16 126 15 116 6 103 91565 85789 22 098 15 125 12 108 11 113 85789 80972 14 071 14 097 14 115 12 107 80972 76849 6 053 10 077 13 093 10 113 76849 73246 5 051 6 089 10 075 9 110 73246 69999 6 073 5 104 8 072 9 074 69999 67022 7 101 7 089 6 110 9 055 67022 64284 9 101 8 090 3 091 8 033 64284 61668 12 054 6 100 1 043 5 351 61668 58974 8 053 2 078 1 127 5 303 58974 56187 4 057 2 021 4 128 5 288 56187 53532 5 326 3 348 2 095 2 326 53532 51150 5 338 3 334 1 343 4 352 51150 49013 9 021 3 041 2 070 0 011 49013 47057 11 021 6 062 4 079 2 152 47057 45244 12 018 7 062 5 066 3 118 45244 43549 13 011 8 055 7 049 4 069 43549 41955 11 019 8 054 8 039 8 039 41955 40448 13 026 10 056 10 048 11 040 40448 39020 15 039 12 054 12 057 14 056 39020 37634 17 071 14 056 14 058 15 074 37634 36218 19 094 16 075 15 072 16 073 36218 34743 19 093 19 079 17 066 18 058 34743 33211 16 089 19 082 17 076 14 071 33211 31612 12 089 15 084 17 097 11 083 31612 29937 10 089 12 084 16 109 12 104 29937 28184 9 084 12 101 16 114 11 110 28184 26348 10 100 13 118 12 113 11 104 26348 24428 9 104 12 115 10 115 13 107 24428 22429 9 100 11 116 11 110 11 120 22429 20349 9 090 11 122 9 101 10 134 20349 18181 9 117 9 151 3 132 7 116 18181 15967 12 139 10 171 5 199 2 106 15967 13833 13 144 11 162 9 170 3 167 13833 11896 11 161 12 158 11 161 10 157 11896 10180 10 168 12 160 10 165 12 165 10180 8653 11 165 11 168 10 170 8 160 8653 7294 12 168 10*171 9*175 7 144 7294 6086 13 172 8*177 8*179 7 146 6086 5014 12 171 7 184 8 180 7 152 5014 4069 10 172 6 187 8 183 7 159 4069 3233 7 191 6 189 8 186 7 166 3233 2484 7*238 6 193 8 187 7 171 2484 1823 7*249 6 195 8 190 7 176 1823 1272 5 255 6 198 7 191 7 179 1272 849 5 255 5 200 7 193 7 182 849 558 5 257 5 201 7 193 6 183 558 381 4 257 5 201 7 193 5*183 381 280 4 256 5 202 6 194 3*183 280 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography