DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/04 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1335z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 43.7 - - 47.8 - - 41.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 143 - - 35 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1142 - - 1434 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 260 - - 260 - - 260 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1422 - - 1714 - - 277 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 508 - - 377 - - 1181 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 223 - - 154 - - 7 W* B/S - - - - - - 10 - - 19 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 4 - - 1 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 042 - - 111 - - 161 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1620 - - -2336 - - -1573 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3043 - - 4050 - - 1850 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -15583 - - -15024 - - -15091 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 17005 - - 16738 - - 15368 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 70 - - 62 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 43.7 - - 47.8 - - 41.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 31.7 - - 31.6 - - 35.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 43.0 - - 47.7 - - 44.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 30.5 - - 30.4 - - 34.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 143 - - 35 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1142 - - 1434 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96290 49 250 46 246 47 258 96290 89019 28 257 28 250 27 275 89019 83481 13 249 16 258 13 297 83481 78944 12 293 13 253 9 287 78944 75040 16 289 12 273 12 292 75040 71570 19 306 15 268 16 283 71570 68417 24 289 20 278 23 282 68417 65514 26 278 25 286 23 271 65514 62825 33 284 29 284 31 278 62825 60239 35 291 39 286 40 278 60239 57563 45 291 43 287 46 283 57563 54774 46 289 52 286 57 289 54774 52077 57 283 60 287 64 287 52077 49623 64 283 68 286 78 285 49623 47409 69 285 76 283 85 280 47409 45388 74 285 80 281 82 278 45388 43540 77 288 80 284 79 287 43540 41865 96 299 92 290 101 294 41865 40341 124 301 110 292 129 294 40341 38917 130 300 115 290 127 292 38917 37569 106 299 114 290 114 290 37569 36258 83 292 108 291 103 287 36258 34915 76 286 96 289 96 284 34915 33512 73 288 87 282 92 284 33512 32050 66 290 87 283 88 284 32050 30519 58 290 71 288 80 284 30519 28905 57 287 54 286 68 284 28905 27209 53 283 50 284 56 281 27209 25429 47 283 52 278 51 276 25429 23569 45 282 53 272 52 281 23569 21627 40 287 44 275 53 286 21627 19601 37 285 35 278 44 285 19601 17487 34 287 29 288 32 288 17487 15324 29 297 24 300 23 284 15324 13232 22 297 18 293 14 298 13232 11327 16 290 16 275 16 294 11327 9636 12 292 14 264 17 283 9636 8143 9 290 11 261 14 268 8143 6824 6 291 8 258 13 248 6824 5662 3 279 6 244 12 233 5662 4640 1 324 5 232 12 217 4640 3747 2 344 4 217 13 208 3747 2964 3 333 3 189 12 202 2964 2272 3 025 2*137 10 181 2272 1668 4*042 2*116 9 165 1668 1170 4*042 2 112 8 163 1170 789 4 043 1 109 8 163 789 526 4 041 1 107 7 164 526 367 4 042 1 108 6*162 367 276 3 041 1 109 4*161 276 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography