DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/10 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.7 - - 92.2 - - 93.5 - - 89.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 100 - - 167 - - 70 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1367 - - 5037 - - 5896 - - 0 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 263 - - 3514 - - 3642 - - 264 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1647 - - 5317 - - 6176 - - 280 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2707 - - 2239 - - 2130 - - 6199 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 218 - - 402 - - 335 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 12 - - 14 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 237 - - 224 - - 210 - - 198 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 2 - - -6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1232 - - 109 - - 444 - - -3615 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2879 - - 5208 - - 5732 - - 3895 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2857 - - -1909 - - -1062 - - -5365 ODpotential blCL - - - 4504 - - 7226 - - 7238 - - 5645 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 74 - - 76 - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 2830 - - 1880 - - 1770 - - 3030 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.7 - - 92.2 - - 93.5 - - 89.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 74.7 - - 70.3 - - 69.3 - - 73.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 86.1 - - 91.3 - - 93.2 - - 91.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 73.9 - - 69.0 - - 68.0 - - 72.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 100 - - 167 - - 70 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1367 - - 5037 - - 5896 - - 0 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 6 - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 18 - - 14 - - 14 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99283 38 103 38 096 31 106 28 085 99283 91787 36 092 35 099 31 099 29 083 91787 85994 32 091 31 100 29 086 26 087 85994 81198 26 093 27 098 25 080 25 089 81198 77071 20 092 20 095 20 090 21 080 77071 73420 15 090 14 089 16 105 15 087 73420 70127 12 089 11 081 14 106 10 093 70127 67114 10 088 9 082 10 093 7 076 67114 64330 6 068 6 130 3 067 5 356 64330 61650 2 001 5 167 2 256 5 242 61650 58881 5 268 5 280 4 257 6 226 58881 56033 12 286 13 280 7 250 8 265 56033 53332 20 276 17 275 13 268 15 283 53332 50915 21 257 20 273 21 282 22 286 50915 48758 18 255 20 273 23 276 25 274 48758 46803 19 262 22 265 24 264 28 271 46803 45003 22 261 25 256 26 261 31 270 45003 43330 22 264 27 251 29 261 33 268 43330 41762 23 270 29 247 30 260 34 266 41762 40285 22 269 29 246 31 260 34 264 40285 38884 23 265 28 249 31 258 35 263 38884 37521 26 263 27 253 31 256 34 264 37521 36126 27 259 29 254 32 255 32 265 36126 34672 28 256 31 252 34 256 31 264 34672 33160 28 255 31 252 35 258 31 263 33160 31575 23 249 30 253 35 260 29 264 31575 29907 17 249 29 252 33 259 25 266 29907 28157 17 255 22 251 30 255 19 271 28157 26325 17 247 18 259 24 252 17 273 26325 24411 9 233 18 254 18 257 14 269 24411 22422 5 266 15 238 15 261 8 274 22422 20351 8 276 14 243 13 266 5 315 20351 18190 2 275 12 252 11 276 6 339 18190 15983 9 070 6 249 8 281 8 329 15983 13852 19 070 2 169 4 275 6 013 13852 11911 15 087 4 184 7 244 4 317 11911 10188 5 103 7 210 10 233 8 235 10188 8657 2 291 8 219 13 224 11 226 8657 7294 6 238 11 223 14*214 15 225 7294 6083 10 227 13*226 15*211 17 219 6083 5011 12 224 13*224 15 210 18 211 5011 4066 15 227 13 224 15 210 17 206 4066 3230 17 233 13 224 14 210 16 204 3230 2482 18 240 13 224 14 210 16 203 2482 1822 16*240 13 224 14 210 15 201 1822 1271 13*239 12 225 13 210 15 200 1271 848 10 237 12 224 13 210 13 199 848 557 10 237 11 224 12 211 11 199 557 381 9 237 11 224 11 211 9 198 381 280 7 237 9 224 9 210 6*198 280 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography