DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/17 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.5 - - 55.3 - - 56.1 - - 56.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 29 - - 65 - - 5 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 810 - - 1020 - - 705 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 260 - - 261 - - 261 - - 261 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1090 - - 1300 - - 985 - - 278 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 450 - - 1174 - - 1540 - - 2077 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 124 - - 171 - - 72 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 20 - - 18 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 193 - - 195 - - 193 - - 179 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 10 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -8 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 9 - - 415 - - 321 - - -124 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1082 - - 885 - - 664 - - 402 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12665 - - 163 - - 38 - - -875 ODpotential blCL - - - 13755 - - 1137 - - 947 - - 1153 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 97 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.5 - - 55.3 - - 56.1 - - 56.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.9 - - 52.5 - - 54.1 - - 55.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.5 - - 55.2 - - 56.4 - - 58.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.2 - - 51.8 - - 53.9 - - 55.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 29 - - 65 - - 5 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 810 - - 1020 - - 705 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 58 - - 90 - - 100 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96549 18 087 14 064 15 075 18 078 96549 89489 22 095 17 087 14 083 12 073 89489 83990 21 109 13 095 6 079 7 060 83990 79407 13 098 8 111 3 048 0 208 79407 75442 5 064 3 131 2 251 7 261 75442 71921 2 345 3 251 5 271 10 245 71921 68746 5 302 4 199 10 235 7 253 68746 65837 15 290 14 289 6 269 10 285 65837 63126 29 268 29 278 29 275 22 284 63126 60509 30 264 39 269 45 272 42 273 60509 57791 37 272 42 269 48 269 46 273 57791 54961 42 270 49 277 51 276 49 275 54961 52251 50 273 56 278 58 279 58 281 52251 49814 64 277 68 277 69 279 69 280 49814 47647 73 277 82 276 81 278 83 279 47647 45699 75 276 86 274 88 277 87 275 45699 43926 73 279 81 276 86 279 81 272 43926 42289 81 287 84 287 82 283 78 274 42289 40760 88 292 93 294 79 289 81 278 40760 39318 93 297 93 292 79 290 87 283 39318 37952 90 296 90 291 79 287 91 284 37952 36620 84 294 83 290 81 283 90 282 36620 35256 79 294 76 286 83 282 89 280 35256 33831 72 290 76 282 83 284 90 280 33831 32352 67 281 70 278 82 287 90 280 32352 30803 66 275 67 276 78 287 86 278 30803 29171 67 274 70 278 71 285 82 276 29171 27458 68 275 73 281 67 282 79 273 27458 25665 65 272 73 281 68 279 76 270 25665 23792 52 263 68 280 68 276 71 267 23792 21847 43 259 50 270 60 274 60 263 21847 19818 40 258 38 249 43 269 49 253 19818 17694 38 258 35 244 40 257 46 243 17694 15516 37 258 38 258 42 247 47 242 15516 13408 34 252 40 263 38 240 44 243 13408 11485 32 239 38 243 35 236 42 243 11485 9777 32 230 39 230 41 236 40 245 9777 8266 32 226 39 226 45 234 38 246 8266 6930 31 226 36 224 40 231 35 246 6930 5751 28 232 32 227 32 229 31 239 5751 4713 26 237 28 229 29 220 31 231 4713 3813 26 232 25 226 32 216 35 210 3813 3029 26 226 26 215 31 210 37 200 3029 2330 27 221 28 206 30 208 36 197 2330 1713 28 211 27*202 26 201 34 194 1713 1199 24*200 24*198 23*196 30 187 1199 805 19*194 21 195 21*194 26 183 805 535 17 193 20 194 19 193 21 180 535 371 15 193 18 194 16 192 18*179 371 277 12 192 14 193 12 191 12*179 277 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography