DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/04 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 35.6 - - 36.3 - - 35.6 - - 32.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 41 - - 32 - - 33 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1394 - - 1273 - - 1504 - - 901 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1674 - - 1553 - - 1784 - - 1181 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 674 - - 1163 - - 920 - - 958 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 159 - - 142 - - 153 - - 45 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 14 - - 16 - - 15 BL Wind Direction - - - 043 - - 037 - - 030 - - 022 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 6 - - 7 - - 10 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -4 - - -5 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 537 - - 481 - - 665 - - 410 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1137 - - 1072 - - 1119 - - 771 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 300 - - 426 - - 433 - - 143 ODpotential blCL - - - 1374 - - 1127 - - 1351 - - 1038 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 35.6 - - 36.3 - - 35.6 - - 32.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.1 - - 33.1 - - 32.2 - - 30.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 35.6 - - 36.2 - - 35.6 - - 32.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.6 - - 32.5 - - 31.5 - - 30.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 41 - - 32 - - 33 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1394 - - 1273 - - 1504 - - 901 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 99 - - 100 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96261 11 349 8 077 2 100 16 295 96261 89157 4 264 8 029 2 053 9 332 89157 83659 7 218 2 276 5 314 13 315 83659 79082 9 302 5 258 8 299 14 279 79082 75132 18 296 11 286 13 295 13 251 75132 71621 17 281 17 277 21 294 15 290 71621 68438 24 294 20 283 32 288 26 287 68438 65533 31 282 32 265 36 265 29 273 65533 62837 39 272 37 242 32 261 37 271 62837 60210 46 257 32 266 41 268 37 267 60210 57441 51 259 51 272 51 273 39 277 57441 54552 70 261 70 265 66 268 55 276 54552 51812 77 257 84 255 88 263 78 268 51812 49381 85 260 89 255 103 255 96 258 49381 47221 106 259 101 255 106 253 99 249 47221 45254 114 247 114 248 109 254 89 247 45254 43443 109 247 116 246 109 252 90 254 43443 41781 122 258 121 252 124 257 111 259 41781 40257 133 257 140 257 140 254 127 254 40257 38832 126 254 147 252 138 251 123 251 38832 37477 122 252 146 252 141 250 123 248 37477 36155 121 250 144 253 142 252 121 247 36155 34799 120 249 138 253 141 254 121 247 34799 33379 119 250 132 253 136 254 122 248 33379 31898 119 253 127 254 129 254 124 250 31898 30341 115 256 121 252 122 253 125 255 30341 28701 110 256 117 249 118 251 116 256 28701 26977 104 249 114 246 115 247 110 252 26977 25166 103 243 109 245 113 246 106 247 25166 23273 93 246 98 242 104 244 106 244 23273 21308 78 246 84 244 92 242 99 245 21308 19269 75 247 71 245 80 240 88 247 19269 17153 69 251 61 245 73 241 81 247 17153 15000 62 256 52 252 72 246 72 245 15000 12932 53 260 46 255 60 254 60 240 12932 11053 44 258 42 247 47 256 50 251 11053 9389 34 254 39 256 36 274 28 270 9389 7925 26 268 24 274 25 278 19 255 7925 6634 20 285 18 286 18 265 21 250 6634 5498 8 291 7 273 10 239 18 263 5498 4500 1 095 2 212 5 223 15 280 4500 3632 4 099 4 085 7 033 11 313 3632 2875 14 064 15 057 15 041 11 016 2875 2209 25*052 18 045 18*038 18 033 2209 1626 25*048 17*043 18*032 19*025 1626 1143 22 043 15*038 17 030 18*023 1143 773 20 042 14 037 17 029 17 022 773 518 18 041 14 037 16 028 15 021 518 364 16 040 12 037 14 028 13 021 364 275 12 039 10 037 11 028 9 021 275 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography