DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/20 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.1 - - 73.0 - - 75.4 - - 66.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 70 - - 260 - - 132 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 306 - - 3278 - - 3790 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 261 - - 2326 - - 2363 - - 262 Hcrit BL Top - - - 586 - - 3558 - - 4070 - - 279 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 314 - - 908 - - 1102 - - 526 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 113 - - 382 - - 321 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 17 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 4 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 086 - - 069 - - 033 - - 028 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -1 - - -5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3724 - - -5134 - - -5827 - - -7805 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4310 - - 8692 - - 9897 - - 8084 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14130 - - -12921 - - -13496 - - -17232 ODpotential blCL - - - 14716 - - 16479 - - 17566 - - 17511 blCL maxRH - - - 54 - - 88 - - 83 - - 31 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.1 - - 73.0 - - 75.4 - - 66.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.9 - - 36.4 - - 33.4 - - 33.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.7 - - 71.5 - - 74.5 - - 70.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.3 - - 35.7 - - 32.9 - - 32.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 70 - - 260 - - 132 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 306 - - 3278 - - 3790 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 51 - - 33 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97503 12 253 19 264 25 253 19 283 97503 90242 15 267 13 259 11 257 15 270 90242 84668 12 264 12 264 10 283 13 267 84668 80037 8 262 10 274 11 276 12 274 80037 76058 3 028 7 246 13 266 11 295 76058 72551 6 036 6 179 10 243 9 300 72551 69384 10 346 1 061 2 244 1 002 69384 66480 12 334 3 005 2 321 2 047 66480 63796 8 332 3 010 4 332 4 331 63796 61212 7 332 7 314 10 320 10 331 61212 58536 10 349 7 330 7 323 10 311 58536 55761 21 338 16 341 10 335 13 303 55761 53103 24 314 24 330 17 328 19 304 53103 50693 29 308 28 317 25 319 24 311 50693 48506 33 302 30 309 29 310 28 311 48506 46501 35 299 32 306 34 304 31 309 46501 44649 34 298 35 304 37 301 36 306 44649 42926 34 296 37 304 37 300 36 302 42926 41312 36 298 37 304 36 303 33 305 41312 39797 41 299 36 301 35 308 32 309 39797 38367 42 299 35 299 35 309 31 310 38367 36979 41 301 33 295 34 307 33 309 36979 35566 42 303 34 294 33 300 34 306 35566 34103 43 305 34 296 31 294 30 302 34103 32597 43 305 35 301 30 294 26 291 32597 31035 40 301 34 300 33 297 26 287 31035 29396 37 298 33 296 33 300 31 292 29396 27675 37 299 30 297 32 303 29 301 27675 25871 31 298 26 307 32 302 23 304 25871 23984 27 284 26 301 36 303 23 279 23984 22015 29 291 22 292 30 306 25 280 22015 19957 30 301 24 296 23 301 25 289 19957 17806 24 319 25 308 24 308 25 290 17806 15608 19 327 17 313 19 323 22 300 15608 13488 13 320 11 346 15 328 14 334 13488 11560 5 332 9 004 10 344 9 001 11560 9854 5 074 6 014 9 023 8 023 9854 8346 10 088 4 057 6 053 6 027 8346 7011 12 083 6 084 6 091 4 041 7011 5830 14 083 8 090 7 102 5 088 5830 4793 12 088 9 092 6*067 9 075 4793 3886 8 113 6*087 7*048 10 066 3886 3088 8 125 5*078 7 040 10 063 3088 2375 7 113 4 073 7 035 10 060 2375 1745 6 103 4 070 8 031 9 057 1745 1220 7 098 4 067 8 029 9 053 1220 818 6*093 4 063 8 027 9 049 818 541 4*087 3 061 8 025 8 043 541 374 3 086 3 060 7 025 6*035 374 278 3 084 3 060 7 025 5*028 278 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography