DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/27 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.0 - - 57.9 - - 58.8 - - 57.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 17 - - 22 - - 5 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 397 - - 976 - - 929 - - 585 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 261 - - 261 - - 261 - - 261 Hcrit BL Top - - - 677 - - 1256 - - 1209 - - 865 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1125 - - 1127 - - 1498 - - 1806 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 79 - - 118 - - 76 - - 30 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 023 - - 349 - - 353 - - 008 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -2 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 274 - - 537 - - 471 - - 310 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 403 - - 719 - - 738 - - 555 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 184 - - 381 - - 238 - - 4 ODpotential blCL - - - 493 - - 875 - - 971 - - 861 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.0 - - 57.9 - - 58.8 - - 57.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.1 - - 55.6 - - 56.4 - - 55.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.0 - - 57.8 - - 58.8 - - 57.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.8 - - 55.2 - - 56.1 - - 55.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 17 - - 22 - - 5 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 397 - - 976 - - 929 - - 585 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - 10 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97054 45 274 46 274 46 278 44 278 97054 89902 37 273 38 267 46 267 44 274 89902 84344 31 274 31 259 37 255 42 265 84344 79697 27 278 23 258 28 258 34 261 79697 75689 27 271 18 271 17 264 19 262 75689 72159 28 253 16 277 11 282 10 283 72159 68964 17 241 18 258 15 287 13 305 68964 66009 9 238 22 244 21 277 20 296 66009 63263 13 264 21 249 22 262 27 270 63263 60621 16 276 17 257 15 266 20 249 60621 57878 22 280 20 281 19 303 18 286 57878 55036 28 276 33 277 41 290 30 295 55036 52322 31 281 27 283 40 282 36 305 52322 49868 35 290 32 302 35 294 55 305 49868 47663 37 299 40 299 47 292 59 284 47663 45656 40 307 47 285 51 290 53 288 45656 43816 45 310 44 295 51 303 50 305 43816 42117 54 313 50 308 58 311 63 314 42117 40532 63 313 56 312 64 308 73 312 40532 39048 58 312 61 311 63 308 74 307 39048 37657 56 317 63 309 61 307 77 305 37657 36317 59 322 56 308 58 304 81 308 36317 34957 60 321 50 308 53 307 85 313 34957 33543 61 316 52 307 47 311 86 315 33543 32074 58 317 53 308 44 313 83 317 32074 30537 55 324 52 312 40 314 69 317 30537 28922 52 331 40 320 36 321 50 311 28922 27230 51 334 32 324 32 313 39 304 27230 25454 48 341 30 322 30 303 34 300 25454 23592 41 342 32 322 28 304 34 300 23592 21646 39 343 29 323 29 302 33 301 21646 19615 25 337 26 310 30 297 34 305 19615 17493 20 323 22 316 29 296 39 310 17493 15323 21 312 15 319 23 300 37 309 15323 13235 14 296 11 299 19 302 27 306 13235 11343 12 284 14 287 15 293 20 303 11343 9668 11 284 15 286 14 289 16 298 9668 8185 8 273 16 288 13 294 11 297 8185 6872 6 285 15 292 11 309 6 307 6872 5712 3 283 8 307 2 334 4 340 5712 4693 2 174 2 048 3 099 1 031 4693 3803 2 058 4 011 4 031 3 017 3803 3020 4 027 7 012 7 016 6 005 3020 2322 5 030 7 007 8 008 7 014 2322 1707 5 041 8*357 8*003 7 015 1707 1196 6 038 8*352 8*356 7*011 1196 804 6*032 7 349 7 354 7*010 804 534 5*025 7 349 7 353 6 008 534 371 4 022 6 348 6 352 5 007 371 278 4 021 5 348 5 351 4 006 278 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography