DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/05 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.8 - - 79.0 - - 82.6 - - 71.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 54 - - 188 - - 111 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 567 - - 3753 - - 5158 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 262 - - 2566 - - 3270 - - 262 Hcrit BL Top - - - 847 - - 4033 - - 5438 - - 280 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 327 - - 1118 - - 1076 - - 251 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 135 - - 367 - - 342 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 16 - - 13 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 041 - - 049 - - 045 - - 035 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 3 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2152 - - -2791 - - -3293 - - -5061 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3000 - - 6824 - - 8731 - - 5341 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12790 - - -10884 - - -10694 - - -13855 ODpotential blCL - - - 13637 - - 14917 - - 16132 - - 14135 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 48 - - 45 - - 44 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.8 - - 79.0 - - 82.6 - - 71.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.9 - - 50.3 - - 45.5 - - 49.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.6 - - 78.0 - - 82.0 - - 74.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.7 - - 49.1 - - 44.7 - - 49.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 54 - - 188 - - 111 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 567 - - 3753 - - 5158 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98158 12 245 9 211 17 214 16 243 98158 90777 10 232 15 198 16 231 16 229 90777 85057 7 258 12 213 14 201 11 256 85057 80306 6 236 10 229 10 202 8 263 80306 76229 4 263 9 217 5 244 6 289 76229 72654 7 315 5 242 5 297 6 308 72654 69444 7 299 6 280 9 303 5 284 69444 66503 6 323 8 303 10 311 6 329 66503 63784 13 285 13 279 15 296 16 310 63784 61174 11 267 13 267 15 270 21 282 61174 58473 19 295 13 289 15 259 26 268 58473 55683 25 285 22 288 22 277 31 269 55683 53026 33 277 30 279 32 273 37 270 53026 50628 38 277 35 271 36 263 42 275 50628 48462 42 276 41 261 39 262 47 275 48462 46475 44 270 45 251 40 266 51 276 46475 44640 45 267 45 252 40 270 50 276 44640 42941 48 266 42 257 39 271 47 272 42941 41359 52 268 41 260 38 270 42 267 41359 39871 51 268 43 260 39 269 40 269 39871 38460 50 268 46 258 42 266 42 270 38460 37087 49 266 47 258 44 264 39 270 37087 35686 42 262 48 259 44 262 34 277 35686 34229 35 259 42 258 42 262 30 282 34229 32722 27 270 31 258 32 267 26 281 32722 31153 24 287 18 273 21 272 19 282 31153 29510 23 284 19 278 19 285 18 290 29510 27793 19 265 18 255 21 267 20 285 27793 25991 12 285 14 263 17 263 20 278 25991 24103 13 313 12 288 15 286 17 290 24103 22133 14 334 8 306 10 295 12 288 22133 20073 11 347 6 315 8 299 10 299 20073 17918 8 352 7 358 6 326 8 308 17918 15714 8 010 6 022 5 001 4 310 15714 13587 10 024 7 067 3 051 1 324 13587 11650 10 046 10 080 7 085 5 091 11650 9930 8 067 9 075 7 090 7 088 9930 8409 7 055 5 078 3 097 4 099 8409 7066 6 028 5 054 5 059 6 104 7066 5885 9 019 9 046 13*050 11 056 5885 4847 14 036 17*059 13*048 13 048 4847 3933 21 053 17*054 14 047 14 048 3933 3125 24 052 17 053 13 045 16 049 3125 2403 24 058 16 050 13 045 16 049 2403 1765 22 059 16 048 13 044 17 049 1765 1233 19*051 15 046 13 043 17 048 1233 825 16*046 14 045 12 043 16 047 825 545 11 040 14 044 12 043 14 044 545 375 10 039 13 043 11 043 11*041 375 279 9 038 11 043 9 042 5*035 279 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography