DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/22 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 36.2 - - 41.8 - - 45.5 - - 37.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 25 - - 148 - - 73 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 567 - - 1032 - - 1515 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 259 - - 259 - - 260 - - 259 Hcrit BL Top - - - 847 - - 1312 - - 1795 - - 277 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 471 - - 460 - - 641 - - 1064 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 105 - - 218 - - 199 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 9 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 056 - - 065 - - 060 - - 035 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1300 - - -279 - - -460 - - -384 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2147 - - 1591 - - 2255 - - 661 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12703 - - -6251 - - -5885 - - -6157 ODpotential blCL - - - 13550 - - 7563 - - 7680 - - 6434 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 92 - - 83 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 36.2 - - 41.8 - - 45.5 - - 37.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.2 - - 36.2 - - 36.9 - - 36.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 36.2 - - 40.9 - - 45.1 - - 39.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.1 - - 35.1 - - 35.7 - - 36.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 25 - - 148 - - 73 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 567 - - 1032 - - 1515 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 67 - - 33 - - 19 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95826 50 243 57 249 66 254 65 258 95826 88756 39 254 45 253 49 247 58 258 88756 83298 34 254 40 246 46 252 50 262 83298 78774 28 253 35 245 43 253 42 265 78774 74852 26 274 25 256 32 251 36 270 74852 71358 35 275 29 274 29 268 36 273 71358 68184 33 270 35 265 34 269 35 267 68184 65265 39 274 43 266 40 277 36 276 65265 62561 43 278 51 268 53 275 48 272 62561 59936 46 268 55 267 61 266 55 269 59936 57187 56 270 63 268 68 267 66 269 57187 54338 78 269 81 271 83 266 82 266 54338 51629 99 266 99 268 90 267 91 265 51629 49189 105 262 103 264 100 269 96 266 49189 46991 103 260 102 263 105 267 100 269 46991 44981 98 261 99 264 103 266 101 269 44981 43128 94 264 96 265 101 266 100 268 43128 41418 91 268 94 265 99 266 96 270 41418 39840 90 273 92 266 97 269 99 274 39840 38381 92 278 92 271 101 275 110 274 38381 37026 97 280 94 275 107 279 110 272 37026 35724 100 278 94 273 106 278 99 272 35724 34396 96 278 91 267 103 273 99 270 34396 33009 92 277 88 264 99 271 99 273 33009 31563 91 276 86 264 97 273 95 269 31563 30044 85 272 86 266 92 273 92 266 30044 28444 80 266 86 267 89 269 85 266 28444 26765 79 262 85 267 87 269 77 265 26765 25007 77 263 83 267 81 269 76 265 25007 23166 73 266 79 270 75 271 72 264 23166 21247 68 272 74 273 70 272 66 265 21247 19248 64 279 70 274 66 272 59 268 19248 17165 55 274 64 275 63 272 56 269 17165 15031 45 259 54 271 56 272 53 268 15031 12967 31 259 41 264 44 270 48 269 12967 11090 23 262 25 263 32 260 38 267 11090 9437 7 244 16 259 17 259 22 266 9437 7984 3 196 12 249 12 259 11 262 7984 6703 5 149 11 188 11 218 8 217 6703 5572 6 087 9 141 14 172 12 174 5572 4576 12 040 11 069 11 111 15 125 4576 3704 17 032 15 048 12 075 15 095 3704 2937 16 035 14 048 12 069 16 091 2937 2256 14 040 13 064 11*063 17 079 2256 1658 22 061 11*066 10*060 17 065 1658 1163 23*058 10*065 10 060 17 057 1163 784 21*057 10 065 10 059 15 052 784 524 17 056 9 065 9 060 13 047 524 366 15 056 9 065 9 060 10*043 366 276 11 055 8 065 7 060 4*035 276 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography