DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/02 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 22.9 - - 36.4 - - 37.9 - - 31.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -1 - - 16 - - -7 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 260 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 259 - - 259 - - 260 - - 259 Hcrit BL Top - - - 276 - - 540 - - 277 - - 277 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 111 - - 350 - - 817 - - 125 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 9 - - 68 - - 11 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 9 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 210 - - 208 - - 188 - - 133 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1148 - - -1376 - - -1267 - - -599 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1424 - - 1916 - - 1544 - - 876 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -17738 - - -14112 - - -13002 - - -14198 ODpotential blCL - - - 18014 - - 14652 - - 13279 - - 14475 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 73 - - 72 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 22.9 - - 36.4 - - 37.9 - - 31.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.4 - - 29.5 - - 32.5 - - 28.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 23.6 - - 36.4 - - 38.9 - - 35.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.9 - - 28.6 - - 31.8 - - 31.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -1 - - 16 - - -7 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 260 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 11 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96169 57 223 57 235 58 248 57 249 96169 89007 54 244 50 250 49 262 48 260 89007 83510 48 257 39 266 46 257 47 264 83510 78932 40 269 35 274 37 262 41 267 78932 74974 35 298 24 289 25 262 33 266 74974 71483 40 298 27 309 21 278 23 270 71483 68335 41 291 33 302 26 284 25 284 68335 65446 38 300 35 295 33 285 32 278 65446 62770 42 312 37 300 34 285 34 277 62770 60168 49 311 41 301 35 291 41 277 60168 57433 54 298 42 296 42 294 46 279 57433 54579 58 296 51 298 55 294 54 288 54579 51840 68 295 67 295 68 289 66 288 51840 49364 72 293 71 286 73 285 73 284 49364 47139 72 294 68 283 76 284 77 285 47139 45115 74 301 66 287 76 284 80 288 45115 43256 77 304 67 293 73 284 79 287 43256 41541 82 305 72 296 69 285 77 286 41541 39958 83 304 76 296 71 287 74 286 39958 38498 82 304 74 298 75 284 74 283 38498 37142 81 305 72 300 74 285 75 279 37142 35837 83 305 72 302 72 289 75 276 35837 34507 83 304 76 302 74 291 76 277 34507 33121 82 306 79 302 78 291 76 277 33121 31685 79 311 80 303 77 291 74 276 31685 30180 76 317 77 307 73 293 73 275 30180 28593 72 321 73 307 73 294 72 274 28593 26921 71 322 72 308 69 297 69 275 26921 25163 70 322 72 312 63 303 64 281 25163 23322 70 321 69 314 61 307 57 292 23322 21401 69 322 63 315 58 307 54 300 21401 19395 67 319 59 312 52 309 45 296 19395 17296 60 324 56 308 47 304 37 288 17296 15151 52 324 48 306 46 298 36 290 15151 13087 46 321 41 307 42 298 37 294 13087 11220 40 317 36 307 32 303 30 291 11220 9568 41 313 35 304 28 302 24 288 9568 8103 39 311 34 300 29 296 29 282 8103 6802 32 302 33 291 32 278 33 274 6802 5650 29 287 26 288 27 270 32 267 5650 4634 24 281 22 271 24 256 31 261 4634 3743 18 284 19 252 22 246 29 251 3743 2964 17 289 15 249 20 236 30 241 2964 2272 18 290 13 249 18 228 32 233 2272 1665 18 284 14 235 19 224 25 225 1665 1164 15 266 16 227 19 209 18 212 1164 783 15 244 15*220 14 198 15 188 783 522 16 230 10*209 10 192 13 163 522 365 14*224 9 208 8*191 9*153 365 276 5*210 7 208 5*188 5*133 276 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography