DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/23 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.7 - - 76.9 - - 79.0 - - 69.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 155 - - 397 - - 247 - - 11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1691 - - 3045 - - 3981 - - 2833 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 956 - - 2298 - - 2833 - - 262 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1971 - - 3325 - - 4261 - - 3113 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 538 - - 959 - - 1132 - - 926 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 258 - - 429 - - 401 - - 128 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 6 - - 5 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 13 - - 14 - - 15 BL Wind Direction - - - 036 - - 026 - - 021 - - 030 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 2 - - 2 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - 1 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -371 - - -1320 - - -1208 - - 276 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2342 - - 4645 - - 5469 - - 2838 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6780 - - -7410 - - -8127 - - 155 ODpotential blCL - - - 8751 - - 10735 - - 12388 - - 2958 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 80 - - 79 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.7 - - 76.9 - - 79.0 - - 69.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.5 - - 57.7 - - 56.1 - - 57.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.8 - - 74.9 - - 77.6 - - 69.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.4 - - 57.4 - - 55.9 - - 57.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 155 - - 397 - - 247 - - 11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1691 - - 3045 - - 3981 - - 2833 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 85 - - 20 - - 15 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98461 9 186 5 172 13 211 12 292 98461 91036 10 074 7 086 5 149 6 178 91036 85308 17 075 9 111 3 044 7 097 85308 80574 14 093 7 140 7 111 8 059 80574 76532 9 085 1 068 4 121 3 033 76532 72967 2 061 2 266 4 333 5 353 72967 69737 3 152 4 301 7 001 7 009 69737 66776 6 091 1 213 6 008 7 030 66776 64044 10 072 8 118 5 027 6 026 64044 61420 6 097 9 089 2 120 4 322 61420 58698 2 318 6 040 1 349 3 335 58698 55884 13 292 12 304 12 308 15 325 55884 53216 26 295 26 297 27 302 31 309 53216 50817 30 296 31 300 29 296 31 297 50817 48647 38 313 34 314 30 308 38 310 48647 46668 53 305 47 306 46 303 54 298 46668 44865 59 299 52 299 54 297 51 294 44865 43207 57 305 51 305 50 303 44 309 43207 41656 59 317 55 323 54 325 49 331 41656 40193 64 324 66 327 57 324 56 327 40193 38801 68 324 67 324 58 320 53 318 38801 37440 66 319 65 319 58 317 53 311 37440 36045 66 315 62 314 53 315 53 315 36045 34588 65 315 63 318 49 309 51 321 34588 33075 63 317 56 321 49 310 45 321 33075 31486 59 319 50 323 47 316 40 320 31486 29809 53 323 48 321 44 320 39 314 29809 28043 51 327 46 312 42 316 37 308 28043 26189 41 314 46 309 40 310 35 306 26189 24250 42 306 43 311 41 313 34 310 24250 22234 37 304 33 311 34 316 32 315 22234 20138 30 294 26 295 28 310 29 314 20138 17957 26 307 22 297 25 301 26 311 17957 15728 26 328 20 319 22 309 24 313 15728 13578 21 336 20 333 23 328 23 330 13578 11627 18 327 16 333 19 324 20 337 11627 9901 15 319 15 328 17 316 18 336 9901 8378 14 309 14 319 16 322 16 333 8378 7031 13 312 14 303 16 321 13 341 7031 5842 11 324 10 304 11 336 11 356 5842 4795 11 357 10 354 12*020 11 028 4795 3880 13 003 12*022 13*021 15*032 3880 3083 15 030 13*025 14 022 16*031 3083 2371 15*037 13 026 14 022 16 030 2371 1743 15*037 13 027 14 021 16 030 1743 1219 15 036 13 027 14 021 16 030 1219 817 14 036 13 026 14 021 15 030 817 541 13 035 12 027 14 021 15 030 541 374 12 034 12 027 13 021 13 029 374 278 10 034 10 027 11 021 10 029 278 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography