DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/23 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.2 - - 73.9 - - 68.1 - - 64.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 61 - - 58 - - -15 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1172 - - 3096 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1562 - - 2415 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2557 - - 4481 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1391 - - 1731 - - 3334 - - 509 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 174 - - 243 - - 7 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 11 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 179 - - 174 - - 139 - - 134 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 10 - - 2 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 577 - - 741 - - -745 - - -87 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1980 - - 3740 - - 2324 - - 1667 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 208 - - -89 - - -2604 - - -2711 ODpotential blCL - - - 2349 - - 4570 - - 4183 - - 4290 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 96 - - 87 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 220 - - 520 - - 340 - - 450 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.2 - - 73.9 - - 68.1 - - 64.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 63.8 - - 62.9 - - 63.3 - - 62.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.4 - - 73.3 - - 70.5 - - 66.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 63.4 - - 62.1 - - 62.8 - - 62.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 61 - - 58 - - -15 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1172 - - 3096 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 83 - - 50 - - 83 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 12 - - 13 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96292 31 272 39 249 56 256 48 271 96292 89121 28 280 30 257 35 265 30 277 89121 83609 29 273 28 276 31 277 24 281 83609 79066 28 264 30 289 25 281 25 282 79066 75153 28 269 34 289 25 297 25 290 75153 71705 26 279 27 287 30 297 22 300 71705 68621 22 271 14 284 27 291 16 294 68621 65831 16 244 13 245 19 271 15 280 65831 63284 17 231 17 248 18 273 17 281 63284 60838 20 251 22 273 18 285 17 288 60838 58280 23 258 27 276 24 282 24 288 58280 55596 27 248 31 263 31 264 28 279 55596 52996 29 241 36 254 33 271 32 282 52996 50616 26 239 37 256 37 271 32 283 50616 48450 23 248 32 250 30 266 31 278 48450 46461 23 256 24 243 24 257 27 270 46461 44629 21 253 18 251 21 257 21 259 44629 42929 18 242 16 255 17 268 17 269 42929 41337 9 232 13 243 14 276 16 294 41337 39838 3 231 6 216 10 279 15 305 39838 38424 1 119 5 155 5 316 7 358 38424 37058 4 104 7 128 4 033 12 037 37058 35674 8 102 10 108 9 069 13 057 35674 34244 12 103 15 100 13 090 14 069 34244 32773 13 104 18 100 20 103 15 094 32773 31250 11 106 18 093 26 101 24 107 31250 29659 14 116 16 102 24 093 21 099 29659 27994 16 142 14 133 21 098 17 106 27994 26253 10 165 11 143 14 114 17 112 26253 24433 6 157 5 119 9 112 15 111 24433 22540 9 140 9 118 10 117 14 106 22540 20568 9 143 9 118 11 110 13 107 20568 18515 12 126 10 109 12 095 15 104 18515 16421 12 110 12 099 17 100 16 118 16421 14404 13 116 13 107 17 112 16 133 14404 12574 10 123 12 118 12 125 11 145 12574 10949 7 119 8 131 7 139 6 168 10949 9504 6 166 6 182 8 193 10 193 9504 8217 14 200 12 202 12 193 12 198 8217 7071 19 206 16 193 15 183 13 198 7071 6057 19 204 18 182 16 177 12 197 6057 5164 19 200 17*176 15 172 11 189 5164 4375 19 196 15*175 14 165 11 170 4375 3668 14 187 13 173 14 161 14 155 3668 3043 12*182 12 174 14 159 17 154 3043 2520 11*181 11 173 13 156 18 154 2520 2118 10 179 10 173 12 154 17 152 2118 1842 9 179 9 173 10 150 13 148 1842 1674 8 179 8 174 8*144 8*140 1674 1579 7 178 7 173 5*139 5*134 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography