DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/29 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.0 - - 69.4 - - 64.9 - - 62.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 70 - - 48 - - -1 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1795 - - 1888 - - 194 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1562 - - 1562 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3180 - - 3273 - - 1579 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1809 - - 2455 - - 3157 - - 229 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 213 - - 191 - - 0 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 9 - - 1 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 201 - - 220 - - 329 - - 002 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - -6 - - 0 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 715 - - 331 - - -367 - - -19 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2465 - - 2943 - - 1946 - - 1597 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 189 - - -487 - - -1714 - - -3110 ODpotential blCL - - - 2991 - - 3760 - - 3293 - - 4688 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 98 - - 92 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 500 - - 700 - - 470 - - 360 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.0 - - 69.4 - - 64.9 - - 62.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 61.3 - - 61.7 - - 61.4 - - 60.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.4 - - 68.8 - - 67.2 - - 64.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 60.8 - - 61.1 - - 61.2 - - 60.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 70 - - 48 - - -1 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1795 - - 1888 - - 194 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 94 - - 69 - - 75 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 12 - - 12 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96367 29 292 32 271 41 267 34 275 96367 89200 21 284 27 272 25 286 21 271 89200 83672 24 255 23 268 21 283 21 294 83672 79075 22 246 25 267 22 280 21 307 79075 75118 18 247 27 264 23 271 18 296 75118 71622 12 271 26 266 23 262 18 262 71622 68472 21 288 25 293 22 284 12 269 68472 65587 30 271 24 280 24 297 19 298 65587 62923 33 254 29 276 29 291 32 290 62923 60355 41 269 38 277 36 276 44 278 60355 57684 49 281 47 276 47 275 50 274 57684 54919 54 281 53 275 52 275 54 278 54919 52278 63 277 62 276 59 280 64 280 52278 49897 73 275 74 279 72 282 72 279 49897 47762 82 275 85 279 84 278 81 276 47762 45827 88 276 93 278 91 275 89 275 45827 44049 92 278 98 278 95 276 96 274 44049 42400 98 282 101 279 100 277 104 275 42400 40857 107 285 102 283 106 278 112 276 40857 39401 115 286 105 286 110 279 116 276 39401 38021 114 287 107 288 109 280 116 278 38021 36682 106 286 108 289 108 281 104 282 36682 35322 99 283 102 287 103 287 99 288 35322 33910 91 280 95 284 95 290 91 289 33910 32448 76 278 84 280 86 286 85 286 32448 30920 65 280 69 276 77 280 77 281 30920 29317 60 283 60 276 67 277 66 278 29317 27643 56 283 55 278 58 278 55 277 27643 25902 57 278 49 280 52 282 47 281 25902 24095 56 273 46 280 47 282 42 282 24095 22223 47 272 44 279 45 280 38 278 22223 20285 38 273 37 277 38 278 34 278 20285 18276 34 273 30 276 28 276 27 275 18276 16232 29 271 27 277 23 277 22 272 16232 14259 25 275 24 276 19 281 18 270 14259 12459 23 282 18 276 15 277 15 259 12459 10858 21 287 14 283 11 256 12 247 10858 9434 16 298 13 292 8 249 7 280 9434 8164 10 309 9 290 7 276 6 303 8164 7035 9 311 5 276 7 294 8 212 7035 6034 11 219 7 212 5 282 12 180 6034 5149 20 204 11 205 3 220 11 172 5149 4364 22 203 11 208 4 191 6 160 4364 3660 21*203 11*212 3 201 4 070 3660 3037 18*202 10*217 2 229 8 044 3037 2516 16 201 9 220 1 258 12 032 2516 2116 15 201 9 221 1 280 14 016 2116 1841 14 201 8 221 1 286 14 009 1841 1673 13 201 8 222 1*307 10 005 1673 1578 10 201 7 222 1*329 5*002 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography