DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/10 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 68.5 - - 68.1 - - 68.6 - - 69.9 - - 68.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 29 - - 28 - - 15 - - 12 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 194 - - 194 - - 193 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit 1562 - - 1562 - - 1562 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 1579 - - 1579 - - 1578 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1375 - - 1460 - - 1523 - - 1460 - - 912 Hgt.Variab. W* 73 - - 73 - - 60 - - 58 - - 32 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 12 BL Wind Direction 186 - - 178 - - 175 - - 131 - - 135 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1579 - - 1579 - - 1578 - - 1579 - - 1579 sfcLCL ODpotential 0 - - 0 - - -85 - - -242 - - -5880 ODpotential blCL 1579 - - 1579 - - 1663 - - 1821 - - 7459 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 1680 - - 1370 - - 1620 - - 1970 - - 1210 CAPE Temp@2m 68.5 - - 68.1 - - 68.6 - - 69.9 - - 68.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 68.3 - - 67.8 - - 68.1 - - 69.0 - - 66.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 68.1 - - 67.6 - - 68.3 - - 69.7 - - 69.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 68.3 - - 67.7 - - 68.0 - - 68.8 - - 66.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 29 - - 28 - - 15 - - 12 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 194 - - 194 - - 193 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 101 - - 102 - - 100 - - 55 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 16 - - 15 - - 16 - - 16 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96826 26 244 33 283 31 251 29 269 41 280 96826 89501 32 245 40 255 34 266 36 267 32 286 89501 83972 26 242 33 248 34 255 38 275 33 265 83972 79404 23 270 23 273 20 272 30 268 27 258 79404 75460 22 279 17 262 17 263 16 261 14 268 75460 71961 12 303 6 244 10 232 13 254 9 293 71961 68797 13 269 6 224 12 217 15 210 16 280 68797 65922 18 243 9 251 12 237 17 204 15 218 65922 63303 28 226 24 231 22 232 18 213 7 178 63303 60778 37 212 34 222 31 228 28 230 15 249 60778 58118 35 227 43 237 41 236 42 241 25 229 58118 55335 46 243 59 239 61 244 59 247 49 244 55335 52667 60 234 71 229 70 236 69 241 73 241 52667 50248 67 232 77 226 73 231 73 236 80 236 50248 48048 73 238 76 232 71 233 74 233 77 237 48048 46030 78 242 77 243 73 239 71 237 74 243 46030 44175 89 242 87 246 83 244 77 244 81 248 44175 42470 94 236 88 239 91 241 90 245 91 245 42470 40896 91 229 86 230 93 233 96 237 97 238 40896 39428 89 229 82 225 94 229 98 228 98 231 39428 38049 91 234 82 225 97 230 94 226 96 227 38049 36716 92 234 82 226 97 229 95 227 95 227 36716 35360 89 231 80 228 94 226 96 224 95 227 35360 33954 84 229 77 228 93 227 94 224 96 228 33954 32498 79 227 74 227 87 229 91 226 96 230 32498 30980 75 228 52 218 69 226 87 227 90 231 30980 29393 66 230 52 218 60 223 80 228 78 230 29393 27740 66 231 57 222 65 226 74 229 68 225 27740 26017 55 228 61 226 68 229 71 226 66 223 26017 24225 52 227 62 229 71 229 70 225 66 223 24225 22368 51 228 62 228 70 226 68 226 67 224 22368 20438 49 229 62 226 66 224 65 227 67 224 20438 18429 48 232 59 224 60 223 63 227 66 226 18429 16381 43 235 53 224 53 221 59 227 60 233 16381 14403 30 205 46 219 46 222 51 229 50 239 14403 12599 31 197 38 209 38 225 46 236 36 236 12599 10988 26 197 30 203 33 219 39 241 30 215 10988 9548 21 210 23 200 30 212 28 237 27 196 9548 8262 19 219 20 197 27 207 27 230 29 182 8262 7115 19 215 19 199 28 200 27 220 31 181 7115 6095 23 207 19 197 26 191 33 200 31 184 6095 5193 24 206 19 191 23 186 33 188 31 184 5193 4396 23 204 20 188 22 184 27 175 33 179 4396 3680 22 197 19 187 20 185 23 156 36 169 3680 3049 21 192 19 187 20 187 20 150 36 157 3049 2523 19 190 17 183 17 183 18 140 32 146 2523 2120 17 187 15 180 14 180 15 134 27 139 2120 1843 15 187 13 179 11 178 14 133 21 137 1843 1675 13*186 11*178 10 176 12*132 17*136 1675 1579 10*186 9*178 8*175 9*131 12*135 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography