DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/29 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 67.3 - - 66.5 - - 70.8 - - 67.9 - - 65.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 26 - - 22 - - 41 - - -10 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 318 - - 1935 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1562 - - 1562 - - 1562 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 1578 - - 1703 - - 3320 - - 1578 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1816 - - 1610 - - 2134 - - 2835 - - 1221 Hgt.Variab. W* 72 - - 81 - - 197 - - 28 - - 33 W* B/S 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 8 - - 12 - - 7 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 137 - - 116 - - 108 - - 090 - - 087 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - 2 - - -3 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 125 - - 1005 - - 0 - - -57 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1578 - - 1579 - - 2315 - - 1578 - - 1635 sfcLCL ODpotential -153 - - -70 - - 17 - - -728 - - -1977 ODpotential blCL 1731 - - 1773 - - 3303 - - 2306 - - 3555 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 280 - - 210 - - 270 - - 300 - - 100 CAPE Temp@2m 67.3 - - 66.5 - - 70.8 - - 67.9 - - 65.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 66.4 - - 65.8 - - 65.7 - - 66.3 - - 63.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 66.8 - - 66.2 - - 70.2 - - 68.1 - - 65.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 66.2 - - 65.6 - - 64.7 - - 66.1 - - 63.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 26 - - 22 - - 41 - - -10 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 318 - - 1935 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 102 - - 101 - - 102 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 15 - - 14 - - 13 - - 15 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97514 49 254 46 254 48 262 39 274 35 269 97514 90134 30 247 30 253 38 259 28 275 29 268 90134 84446 16 250 20 259 23 252 20 275 24 269 84446 79768 11 264 16 257 15 274 15 282 16 274 79768 75765 10 260 15 214 14 261 12 287 12 301 75765 72243 5 280 13 182 12 226 12 258 12 294 72243 69073 11 317 5 208 7 202 15 232 14 262 69073 66175 15 296 10 268 4 186 15 230 13 214 66175 63496 19 268 15 242 10 206 16 218 13 220 63496 60900 21 236 23 242 17 234 21 227 22 234 60900 58195 24 220 29 234 24 243 21 231 18 208 58195 55410 32 237 34 229 35 247 29 245 34 232 55410 52784 50 228 49 219 52 231 42 228 44 228 52784 50418 49 227 50 223 47 226 44 238 51 241 50418 48284 44 216 47 235 66 249 69 245 69 241 48284 46343 48 257 64 247 76 238 79 237 76 235 46343 44551 75 255 72 240 70 236 75 238 69 236 44551 42884 77 249 72 239 64 237 64 242 60 237 42884 41325 62 243 72 241 62 236 56 235 52 236 41325 39858 56 233 66 240 61 234 53 228 46 233 39858 38472 54 229 56 236 55 228 50 225 44 230 38472 37130 44 226 51 231 49 223 45 226 39 229 37130 35766 37 228 43 224 46 223 41 225 30 211 35766 34347 28 230 38 221 44 231 38 224 31 209 34347 32874 29 237 31 228 42 237 33 232 33 216 32874 31334 30 235 27 240 36 239 30 235 32 217 31334 29715 31 234 26 240 35 232 32 227 29 214 29715 28018 30 233 24 235 24 232 32 219 23 214 28018 26246 28 231 22 229 20 237 24 215 19 227 26246 24401 25 228 24 220 21 243 16 211 18 240 24401 22486 21 225 29 219 22 233 13 243 18 228 22486 20498 19 222 28 219 21 209 19 240 17 228 20498 18433 20 213 23 220 23 206 23 219 18 250 18433 16335 22 198 22 198 26 206 26 197 15 247 16335 14322 28 192 23 195 28 198 28 187 16 225 14322 12497 31 185 26 186 28 191 23 178 24 208 12497 10880 26 181 28 175 27 175 22 170 24 168 10880 9447 22 183 26 168 25 155 22 154 27 140 9447 8174 19 171 23 162 24 135 22 145 28 133 8174 7040 18 150 20 153 27 123 23 139 24 138 7040 6033 18 142 19 144 24 126 25 136 24 143 6033 5145 17 142 18 139 20 129 25 132 26 139 5145 4359 15 143 19 135 18 127 23 125 27 132 4359 3656 14 143 19 133 16*122 21 117 27 124 3656 3032 13 143 17 129 14*113 20 110 26 114 3032 2512 12 140 15 122 13 108 17 099 23 102 2512 2114 10 137 13 118 12 107 15 094 18 093 2114 1840 9 137 11*116 12 106 13 091 13 089 1840 1674 8 136 9*116 11 106 11 091 11 088 1674 1578 6*137 7 115 9 106 7*090 8*087 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography