DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/30 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.9 - - 42.8 - - 43.0 - - 41.9 - - 42.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 67 - - 172 - - 50 - - 20 - - 14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 954 - - 1167 - - 1135 - - 191 - - 191 BL Depth Hcrit 1560 - - 1753 - - 1560 - - 1560 - - 1560 Hcrit BL Top 2339 - - 2552 - - 2520 - - 1576 - - 1576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 439 - - 390 - - 532 - - 1380 - - 1621 Hgt.Variab. W* 167 - - 240 - - 159 - - 67 - - 57 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 25 - - 23 - - 16 - - 12 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 026 - - 026 - - 022 - - 028 - - 046 Direction Wind Shear 12 - - 10 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -16 - - -13 - - -9 - - -4 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1687 - - -1880 - - -1865 - - -2553 - - -3486 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4026 - - 4433 - - 4385 - - 4130 - - 5062 sfcLCL ODpotential -15345 - - -14220 - - -13281 - - -14144 - - -15611 ODpotential blCL 17684 - - 16772 - - 15801 - - 15720 - - 17187 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 60 - - 120 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.9 - - 42.8 - - 43.0 - - 41.9 - - 42.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.2 - - 29.4 - - 29.8 - - 29.8 - - 26.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.5 - - 41.8 - - 42.6 - - 41.6 - - 42.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.5 - - 28.6 - - 29.2 - - 29.2 - - 26.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 67 - - 172 - - 50 - - 20 - - 14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 954 - - 1167 - - 1135 - - 191 - - 191 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 98 - - 74 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96329 12 289 9 266 17 248 16 296 13 298 96329 89198 14 292 7 279 18 250 19 280 14 337 89198 83706 20 279 15 276 22 285 17 264 12 288 83706 79117 20 261 21 264 19 292 13 261 12 244 79117 75142 23 283 22 258 18 279 15 268 11 276 75142 71619 27 285 28 267 22 290 16 261 16 280 71619 68428 25 266 28 270 23 295 13 285 17 273 68428 65511 23 258 28 274 30 282 30 289 24 274 65511 62842 24 262 33 271 35 267 36 269 32 271 62842 60273 31 270 37 265 35 263 39 268 37 269 60273 57593 34 275 38 263 41 269 45 268 42 275 57593 54813 43 274 46 264 54 264 57 267 57 275 54813 52168 57 269 56 262 65 263 74 256 74 258 52168 49786 71 267 68 263 67 255 70 252 78 261 49786 47650 80 262 73 260 74 272 78 270 87 268 47650 45722 80 273 75 272 95 278 95 272 102 267 45722 43967 106 276 110 276 116 271 104 266 107 265 43967 42345 116 273 121 271 116 269 105 265 108 265 42345 40818 118 272 121 268 111 271 103 266 105 264 40818 39372 115 275 116 269 104 274 102 269 98 262 39372 38001 111 274 112 271 95 272 101 270 94 261 38001 36668 106 273 115 276 92 264 96 268 91 261 36668 35308 87 272 115 278 91 257 89 263 88 263 35308 33891 75 269 103 275 87 258 85 256 86 264 33891 32422 71 263 84 268 79 259 85 258 84 262 32422 30885 66 257 70 261 75 255 80 259 84 258 30885 29271 66 253 64 255 78 251 75 257 78 258 29271 27584 64 254 65 249 74 247 75 254 72 259 27584 25830 60 258 61 251 64 250 67 249 66 259 25830 24008 57 260 56 254 56 255 57 249 68 260 24008 22120 51 261 52 258 52 251 52 248 66 253 22120 20164 44 267 44 263 47 251 50 242 57 242 20164 18137 37 268 40 265 39 262 38 248 47 231 18137 16077 31 268 36 263 33 270 31 263 35 234 16077 14093 24 267 28 262 26 268 29 269 26 237 14093 12288 17 271 21 272 19 264 25 259 17 256 12288 10686 12 276 14 268 17 256 22 245 17 270 10686 9260 3 279 10 247 15 239 22 239 23 262 9260 7985 7 236 9 245 15 226 16 223 24 250 7985 6855 11 227 8 236 13 217 8 205 16 218 6855 5856 10 226 6 212 8 193 5 170 16 183 5856 4977 5 223 6 140 12 144 9 153 16 165 4977 4208 11 054 16 085 15 107 12 119 16 134 4208 3532 28 039 25 051 17 048 17 056 15 076 3532 2943 33 030 27*030 19*026 24 033 16 052 2943 2456 32*027 26*026 18*023 23 029 15 050 2456 2081 30*026 25 026 18 022 21 029 14 049 2081 1823 27 026 23 026 16 021 19 028 12 048 1823 1666 24 026 21 026 14 021 17 028 11 048 1666 1576 18 026 16 025 11 020 12*028 8*046 1576 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography