DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/12 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.8 - - 58.0 - - 54.2 - - 49.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 146 - - 111 - - -7 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1090 - - 3386 - - 192 - - 192 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1561 - - 3093 - - 1561 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2475 - - 4771 - - 1577 - - 1577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2111 - - 1432 - - 4506 - - 941 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 221 - - 296 - - 11 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 10 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 055 - - 122 - - 115 - - 092 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4841 - - -3160 - - -5548 - - -4546 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7317 - - 7932 - - 7126 - - 6124 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14074 - - -12137 - - -14828 - - -14762 ODpotential blCL - - - 16549 - - 16908 - - 16405 - - 16339 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 77 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.8 - - 58.0 - - 54.2 - - 49.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.8 - - 29.0 - - 29.0 - - 28.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.5 - - 56.9 - - 57.3 - - 53.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.0 - - 28.4 - - 28.4 - - 28.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 146 - - 111 - - -7 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1090 - - 3386 - - 192 - - 192 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 99 - - 9 - - 17 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95948 58 262 63 255 74 265 69 268 95948 88869 39 276 37 266 45 268 35 275 88869 83414 31 271 27 292 25 278 24 288 83414 78886 20 272 23 293 18 299 16 305 78886 75013 13 300 16 292 18 299 12 329 75013 71588 15 295 17 292 15 299 13 314 71588 68476 13 269 20 282 15 292 12 286 68476 65614 16 260 19 276 15 285 12 292 65614 62956 19 271 16 267 19 287 18 290 62956 60384 22 262 20 268 25 259 20 280 60384 57696 27 257 24 257 19 252 25 282 57696 54906 33 245 34 258 37 266 35 264 54906 52228 37 241 46 246 48 251 44 265 52228 49781 43 253 45 248 45 250 55 254 49781 47564 56 258 53 251 57 247 61 243 47564 45533 62 250 61 245 59 244 58 242 45533 43664 61 249 60 245 60 245 57 250 43664 41949 61 252 58 248 63 245 62 251 41949 40380 59 252 62 245 59 243 62 245 40380 38936 60 248 62 238 54 239 57 239 38936 37586 60 243 54 233 52 239 47 239 37586 36279 58 244 49 244 54 247 42 255 36279 34952 55 249 58 258 58 256 49 263 34952 33578 54 251 67 261 60 262 51 265 33578 32160 51 248 62 256 54 259 50 268 32160 30680 48 242 46 251 44 251 38 258 30680 29124 45 239 37 235 40 242 33 233 29124 27491 40 245 38 238 37 235 29 236 27491 25780 32 245 36 242 36 235 29 242 25780 23992 27 236 30 248 29 242 30 247 23992 22128 25 237 23 249 22 247 27 252 22128 20185 22 242 21 242 19 246 21 252 20185 18158 17 250 17 244 19 252 18 248 18158 16090 18 245 15 249 17 261 16 255 16090 14097 21 236 13 248 16 271 13 269 14097 12283 21 245 15 267 13 288 8 276 12283 10670 15 243 13 287 10 295 5 262 10670 9241 9 205 3 286 3 344 2 238 9241 7979 3 076 5 043 3 066 3 147 7979 6866 4 025 4 062 3 134 3 143 6866 5888 4 091 10 113 5 154 3 224 5888 5029 10 099 7*118 6 151 4 216 5029 4269 10 098 6*122 6 144 3 185 4269 3589 8 094 6 122 6 139 5 160 3589 2986 7 081 5 122 5 132 7 148 2986 2483 5*065 5 123 5 127 9 139 2483 2097 4*056 5 123 5 122 9 134 2097 1831 4 056 5 124 5 119 8 130 1831 1669 3 054 5 123 4 115 4 117 1669 1577 3 054 4 124 3*115 2*092 1577 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography