DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/15 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.6 - - 77.6 - - - - - 73.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 54 - - 40 - - - - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1874 - - 1250 - - - - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1563 - - 1563 - - - - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3259 - - 2635 - - - - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1845 - - 2675 - - - - - 2122 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 212 - - 164 - - - - - 43 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - - - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 5 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 172 - - 132 - - - - - 080 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1080 - - 917 - - - - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2179 - - 1718 - - - - - 1579 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 156 - - 161 - - - - - -414 ODpotential blCL - - - 3103 - - 2474 - - - - - 1993 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - - - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 1450 - - 2290 - - - - - 750 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.6 - - 77.6 - - - - - 73.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 72.7 - - 74.5 - - - - - 71.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.9 - - 77.1 - - - - - 73.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 71.6 - - 73.8 - - - - - 71.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 54 - - 40 - - - - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1874 - - 1250 - - - - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - - - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 17 - - 19 - - - - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98354 11 061 16 102 14 018 98354 90931 12 074 15 082 17 054 90931 85233 15 085 16 085 14 073 85233 80506 16 081 18 077 14 072 80506 76445 17 085 19 106 18 057 76445 72872 15 071 16 095 12 050 72872 69652 7 055 11 049 9 106 69652 66701 2 150 3 043 8 078 66701 63968 3 133 3 342 12 004 63968 61345 5 103 2 097 9 343 61345 58655 4 014 9 328 12 349 58655 55913 14 294 16 279 12 294 55913 53310 14 271 11 248 14 278 53310 50962 15 270 18 301 19 289 50962 48853 21 282 30 298 28 299 48853 46924 29 285 37 272 32 287 46924 45138 35 282 35 267 33 242 45138 43471 38 288 30 271 33 236 43471 41902 36 291 29 269 31 235 41902 40416 28 291 28 267 28 235 40416 39004 21 293 25 265 24 238 39004 37633 19 291 21 264 24 247 37633 36234 16 280 17 263 23 251 36234 34780 15 269 14 261 20 252 34780 33274 14 260 12 258 20 256 33274 31702 12 256 11 257 16 259 31702 30054 12 266 11 257 11 268 30054 28333 9 282 11 262 8 302 28333 26542 7 290 11 269 4 304 26542 24681 7 275 10 280 5 345 24681 22750 11 251 10 295 9 353 22750 20746 15 236 12 300 10 008 20746 18667 21 217 13 284 7 026 18667 16552 20 207 16 251 7 022 16552 14521 15 214 19 235 3 251 14521 12679 12 232 18 240 4 214 12679 11041 4 222 14 251 4 201 11041 9583 5 161 9 226 2 246 9583 8284 9 170 9 180 1 037 8284 7127 11 173 9 175 4 094 7127 6102 13 173 9 176 5 100 6102 5199 13 173 9 170 4 090 5199 4402 12 174 9 160 6 060 4402 3689 11*174 8 154 7 046 3689 3058 10*173 7*146 5 051 3058 2530 10 172 6*136 5 060 2530 2125 9 172 5 133 5 074 2125 1846 9 171 5 130 4 078 1846 1676 8 170 5 130 4*080 1676 1579 7 171 4 129 3*080 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography