DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/11 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.7 - - 67.3 - - - - - 58.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 225 - - 139 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1240 - - 2776 - - - - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1934 - - 2813 - - - - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2625 - - 4161 - - - - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 568 - - 1484 - - - - - 622 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 271 - - 301 - - - - - 13 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 9 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 6 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 016 - - 002 - - - - - 049 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - -8 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1306 - - -171 - - - - - -818 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3932 - - 4332 - - - - - 2396 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7494 - - -724 - - - - - -5253 ODpotential blCL - - - 10119 - - 4885 - - - - - 6831 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 95 - - - - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.7 - - 67.3 - - - - - 58.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.1 - - 53.8 - - - - - 53.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.1 - - 66.0 - - - - - 61.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.1 - - 53.1 - - - - - 53.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 225 - - 139 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1240 - - 2776 - - - - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 28 - - 79 - - - - - 12 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 9 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96228 8 008 7 032 6 348 96228 89127 15 058 7 085 12 044 89127 83655 14 085 9 086 13 063 83655 79102 11 068 9 050 12 101 79102 75187 6 103 7 031 14 091 75187 71730 7 108 3 025 12 053 71730 68617 3 030 2 343 10 001 68617 65792 9 356 3 298 7 286 65792 63198 18 305 15 316 8 283 63198 60683 30 286 30 301 26 299 60683 58064 45 266 43 285 41 288 58064 55350 52 259 48 273 45 284 55350 52746 48 256 49 264 47 280 52746 50371 50 269 53 256 50 275 50371 48218 67 274 63 265 69 267 48218 46259 89 275 82 271 80 265 46259 44458 101 272 93 268 85 266 44458 42787 106 270 96 268 90 268 42787 41223 106 270 97 267 94 269 41223 39750 96 269 96 269 98 265 39750 38359 80 267 90 272 96 264 38359 37012 58 266 69 269 82 268 37012 35645 47 271 44 267 65 267 35645 34230 44 273 36 269 60 266 34230 32770 43 282 36 271 57 269 32770 31246 43 289 39 270 56 270 31246 29646 44 290 39 268 52 274 29646 27970 43 288 39 268 48 276 27970 26215 41 282 37 272 42 269 26215 24388 38 278 33 279 38 264 24388 22493 33 284 30 284 29 264 22493 20518 29 299 23 283 22 268 20518 18456 25 308 18 297 18 272 18456 16348 22 305 14 298 15 288 16348 14316 18 292 16 290 11 304 14316 12471 9 299 13 278 10 307 12471 10838 4 289 12 255 16 279 10838 9396 5 234 12 254 19 274 9396 8120 4 159 11 271 18 278 8120 6990 5 112 8 288 11 278 6990 5990 2 082 6 280 2 281 5990 5111 3 258 5 282 6 116 5111 4334 2 249 4*327 9 106 4334 3637 2 265 6*357 9 089 3637 3020 10*018 6 001 9 072 3020 2504 11*017 6 002 12 064 2504 2109 11 016 6 003 14 057 2109 1837 11 016 6 003 13 055 1837 1672 10 016 6 004 8*053 1672 1578 8 017 5 003 4*049 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography