DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/27 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 27.3 - - 37.1 - - 43.0 - - 39.3 - - 35.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 18 - - 133 - - 128 - - 4 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 190 - - 1239 - - 1486 - - 191 - - 191 BL Depth Hcrit 1559 - - 1648 - - 1854 - - 1560 - - 1560 Hcrit BL Top 1575 - - 2624 - - 2871 - - 1576 - - 1576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 544 - - 542 - - 428 - - 1556 - - 448 Hgt.Variab. W* 63 - - 228 - - 240 - - 39 - - 38 W* B/S 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 12 - - 8 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 211 - - 211 - - 228 - - 198 - - 260 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 3 - - -3 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -701 - - -817 - - -746 - - -798 - - -734 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2276 - - 3441 - - 3617 - - 2374 - - 2310 sfcLCL ODpotential -16610 - - -14762 - - -12396 - - -11545 - - -12273 ODpotential blCL 18185 - - 17386 - - 15267 - - 13121 - - 13849 blCL maxRH 82 - - 82 - - 73 - - 72 - - 62 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 27.3 - - 37.1 - - 43.0 - - 39.3 - - 35.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.5 - - 28.1 - - 33.1 - - 34.9 - - 31.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 27.0 - - 36.1 - - 41.9 - - 40.8 - - 39.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.8 - - 27.0 - - 31.8 - - 33.8 - - 31.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 18 - - 133 - - 128 - - 4 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 190 - - 1239 - - 1486 - - 191 - - 191 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 30 - - 27 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96577 67 228 71 226 75 232 76 254 57 245 96577 89304 60 247 60 238 61 236 65 256 57 251 89304 83709 60 259 59 245 52 249 61 252 58 249 83709 79019 51 254 57 247 48 251 57 246 59 257 79019 74993 42 248 50 252 43 253 49 244 55 265 74993 71495 35 258 40 259 39 254 40 248 45 265 71495 68367 35 261 39 260 38 263 39 261 42 265 68367 65508 42 264 40 266 41 270 41 262 42 272 65508 62866 51 264 46 265 42 268 46 268 52 271 62866 60308 58 264 50 260 48 270 59 272 55 267 60308 57625 63 257 59 262 59 271 63 269 56 271 57625 54824 67 257 70 256 69 266 63 267 61 277 54824 52134 83 258 79 256 77 262 70 271 67 283 52134 49697 102 249 91 255 88 261 79 268 71 283 49697 47500 104 240 99 249 99 253 81 264 75 280 47500 45500 90 250 95 246 103 244 80 270 80 273 45500 43669 111 265 90 257 93 255 87 275 89 273 43669 41986 133 265 120 274 131 272 116 274 99 274 41986 40425 133 264 123 269 146 273 137 270 105 275 40425 38962 128 266 123 265 133 267 133 265 103 276 38962 37583 124 265 122 264 125 261 127 261 98 279 37583 36247 125 267 117 259 125 259 135 263 100 280 36247 34892 125 268 114 253 126 261 135 265 104 277 34892 33491 116 273 108 255 118 255 124 267 108 271 33491 32048 99 273 105 266 111 253 114 265 97 269 32048 30549 86 265 96 263 103 260 107 262 87 276 30549 28983 82 263 90 257 97 256 97 264 86 280 28983 27342 83 268 85 258 94 256 92 268 80 284 27342 25622 79 269 80 264 89 261 90 271 76 292 25622 23824 67 269 70 264 81 264 78 271 73 298 23824 21954 56 269 60 262 69 265 69 271 76 303 21954 20011 51 270 52 263 58 266 57 276 71 301 20011 17997 47 274 45 264 49 269 51 278 54 295 17997 15951 41 279 39 268 40 269 44 278 46 292 15951 13978 36 282 32 269 33 266 38 283 39 294 13978 12182 31 285 24 263 30 263 33 287 32 298 12182 10585 22 287 20 256 24 259 29 286 29 303 10585 9170 15 289 17 253 19 260 24 282 29 303 9170 7915 11 295 16 252 16 263 18 279 27 302 7915 6805 9 291 15 253 16 257 14 276 23 305 6805 5824 7 281 13 261 17 249 13 268 17 305 5824 4965 7 266 9 260 15 246 15 257 13 294 4965 4210 8 259 11 238 13 243 13 242 11 261 4210 3540 10 258 15 223 11 236 9 224 10 228 3540 2950 13 246 15*217 9*230 6 213 9 208 2950 2460 13 235 13*213 9*229 6 211 9 207 2460 2083 10 227 12 211 9 228 5 211 7 216 2083 1824 8 222 12 211 8 227 5 209 5 231 1824 1666 5 215 11 211 8 227 4 205 4 242 1666 1576 3*211 9 210 7 227 3*198 3*260 1576 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography