DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/03 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 65.8 - - 66.5 - - 76.2 - - 76.8 - - 68.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 85 - - 121 - - 273 - - -27 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1926 - - 1210 - - 2753 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit 1562 - - 1562 - - 3079 - - 1563 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 3311 - - 2595 - - 4138 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 899 - - 1357 - - 867 - - 4036 - - 1650 Hgt.Variab. W* 224 - - 216 - - 373 - - 36 - - 18 W* B/S 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 20 - - 14 - - 15 - - 9 - - 12 BL Wind Direction 180 - - 184 - - 182 - - 159 - - 147 Direction Wind Shear 10 - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 7 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 661 - - 446 - - -357 - - -3669 - - -495 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2651 - - 2150 - - 4495 - - 5248 - - 2074 sfcLCL ODpotential 386 - - 279 - - -5332 - - -8912 - - -7623 ODpotential blCL 2925 - - 2316 - - 9470 - - 10491 - - 9202 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 84 - - 65 - - 95 maxRH CAPE 40 - - 410 - - 1030 - - 880 - - 1390 CAPE Temp@2m 65.8 - - 66.5 - - 76.2 - - 76.8 - - 68.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 59.5 - - 62.3 - - 61.6 - - 59.1 - - 64.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 65.0 - - 65.4 - - 74.3 - - 77.6 - - 69.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 59.3 - - 62.1 - - 61.2 - - 58.7 - - 64.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 85 - - 121 - - 273 - - -27 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1926 - - 1210 - - 2753 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 101 - - 36 - - 0 - - 80 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 12 - - 12 - - 11 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96631 33 255 43 262 39 274 30 283 27 273 96631 89376 23 269 21 247 28 250 24 266 27 264 89376 83828 22 272 13 265 18 231 26 252 27 259 83828 79248 16 264 12 240 18 241 21 262 22 260 79248 75332 12 302 4 270 11 249 15 265 14 271 75332 71909 12 321 6 321 7 296 9 300 11 323 71909 68836 9 336 9 014 2 011 6 315 11 337 68836 66013 22 345 19 348 15 009 12 034 11 016 66013 63402 22 335 21 330 23 351 18 010 13 012 63402 60881 24 333 24 325 25 333 24 349 21 344 60881 58240 29 329 24 319 21 329 19 327 17 325 58240 55467 40 313 31 315 32 321 26 321 25 318 55467 52791 47 303 41 305 42 300 33 297 35 306 52791 50356 48 296 44 297 44 294 38 294 38 303 50356 48148 45 285 43 284 44 284 42 293 41 291 48148 46123 43 274 44 273 47 273 43 283 41 279 46123 44254 42 271 48 265 51 266 44 273 44 271 44254 42521 45 269 47 259 49 261 44 264 44 261 42521 40907 47 263 49 253 49 256 44 259 42 258 40907 39401 50 260 50 248 47 249 43 252 38 256 39401 38001 48 261 48 250 45 248 40 249 33 245 38001 36673 43 265 43 253 43 252 39 254 30 239 36673 35338 35 268 33 248 37 249 38 255 30 240 35338 33957 29 267 26 249 30 237 33 245 30 232 33957 32528 25 268 25 259 26 248 26 237 27 224 32528 31038 22 268 27 266 25 252 22 245 25 230 31038 29471 19 264 25 261 24 252 25 240 26 236 29471 27827 14 252 19 241 24 248 25 235 25 235 27827 26105 8 245 14 230 22 230 25 228 25 231 26105 24307 4 273 8 216 18 213 24 206 24 222 24307 22443 4 264 6 196 15 194 21 197 20 210 22443 20511 7 256 6 209 11 196 15 187 12 192 20511 18498 7 255 6 222 9 227 11 207 9 213 18498 16437 4 272 5 209 8 215 10 238 6 259 16437 14443 3 316 3 203 4 215 8 271 4 303 14443 12622 2 335 2 169 2 266 6 322 5 019 12622 10997 2 039 4 147 2 230 8 354 10 045 10997 9545 4 083 6 160 6 204 4 344 7 078 9545 8249 7 118 10 181 13 202 8 243 2 192 8249 7095 9 149 17 190 19 201 16 211 15 213 7095 6076 13 178 22 197 22 194 22 180 23 197 6076 5179 22 183 25 199 21 183 25 168 25 183 5179 4384 24 181 23 195 18*179 25 165 25 170 4384 3672 24*180 19 188 17*180 24 164 30 159 3672 3044 23*180 18*186 17 181 23 163 33 152 3044 2521 22 180 16*184 16 182 22 162 30 150 2521 2120 21 180 15 184 15 183 20 161 26 148 2120 1843 19 180 14 183 14 184 17 161 21 148 1843 1675 17 180 13 183 13 184 14 159 17*147 1675 1579 13 180 11 184 11 184 9*159 12*147 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography