DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/02 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 65.4 - - 73.2 - - 79.8 - - 75.8 - - 68.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 74 - - 354 - - 265 - - -16 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2157 - - 2913 - - 3645 - - 194 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1562 - - 3283 - - 3743 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 3542 - - 4298 - - 5030 - - 1579 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 500 - - 615 - - 984 - - 4184 - - 1698 Hgt.Variab. W* 223 - - 414 - - 408 - - 35 - - 22 W* B/S 3 - - 7 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 14 - - 11 - - 12 - - 8 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 162 - - 173 - - 166 - - 142 - - 150 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 506 - - -624 - - -2142 - - -4170 - - -2310 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3036 - - 4922 - - 7172 - - 5750 - - 3888 sfcLCL ODpotential 128 - - -5986 - - -6226 - - -8906 - - -8798 ODpotential blCL 3414 - - 10284 - - 11256 - - 10485 - - 10376 blCL maxRH 96 - - 83 - - 59 - - 65 - - 70 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 30 - - 100 - - 150 CAPE Temp@2m 65.4 - - 73.2 - - 79.8 - - 75.8 - - 68.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 57.4 - - 57.0 - - 53.8 - - 56.1 - - 57.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.6 - - 70.8 - - 77.8 - - 76.4 - - 70.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 57.2 - - 56.5 - - 53.1 - - 55.7 - - 57.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 74 - - 354 - - 265 - - -16 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2157 - - 2913 - - 3645 - - 194 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 86 - - 33 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 10 - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96477 30 255 33 273 25 256 32 268 27 270 96477 89262 21 273 24 270 25 263 30 267 25 278 89262 83714 19 295 20 242 22 252 28 261 27 266 83714 79110 21 258 21 263 15 272 13 277 21 274 79110 75168 11 283 17 281 14 288 8 299 15 295 75168 71733 11 341 15 311 15 327 8 331 10 317 71733 68653 18 318 15 324 16 336 13 354 10 003 68653 65829 22 318 19 324 21 324 21 346 19 004 65829 63221 26 332 23 328 19 312 22 325 24 333 63221 60711 29 331 26 339 23 326 22 324 26 328 60711 58083 36 323 37 332 35 328 32 325 33 319 58083 55337 44 315 42 324 42 319 42 314 41 313 55337 52692 42 305 43 308 46 306 47 305 45 311 52692 50286 41 302 41 297 44 298 46 299 46 303 50286 48113 44 304 40 296 41 296 43 294 44 295 48113 46130 45 307 42 298 40 293 40 291 40 289 46130 44305 46 307 45 297 41 289 39 290 36 283 44305 42613 45 307 44 293 41 285 41 289 34 281 42613 41028 49 308 42 293 41 284 42 289 36 283 41028 39539 53 304 45 296 42 288 43 289 38 283 39539 38138 50 299 48 296 45 292 44 291 38 286 38138 36793 43 293 46 301 44 295 40 295 37 292 36793 35441 33 295 37 300 37 299 34 295 33 295 35441 34049 27 291 27 300 30 302 29 287 28 286 34049 32615 24 291 25 302 25 301 24 279 24 271 32615 31118 24 314 20 291 22 303 22 284 20 270 31118 29544 18 309 17 283 18 289 20 297 16 288 29544 27892 18 298 18 278 18 273 18 290 15 299 27892 26165 20 305 16 290 16 272 20 281 17 308 26165 24364 13 284 12 302 13 292 21 283 20 313 24364 22494 6 244 10 276 15 295 16 289 18 309 22494 20548 6 255 8 259 15 280 13 323 11 315 20548 18517 8 279 10 270 14 286 15 330 9 319 18517 16440 13 296 13 270 15 298 16 317 13 306 16440 14434 12 296 10 274 13 292 15 305 14 306 14434 12608 10 302 5 276 8 252 14 263 12 296 12608 10984 4 262 4 200 9 218 14 238 10 262 10984 9535 3 236 7 187 10 207 13 233 12 244 9535 8241 1 090 8 188 13 215 13 242 13 241 8241 7086 7 225 12 209 16 214 14 213 15 227 7086 6065 14 207 17 210 14 187 15 173 16 205 6065 5167 19 198 16 198 13*171 16 159 15 181 5167 4377 18 182 12*178 13*168 16 154 16 162 4377 3669 16*166 12*175 13 167 16 151 19 159 3669 3043 15*164 11 174 12 166 16 149 25 156 3043 2521 15 163 11 172 12 166 15 147 27 154 2521 2119 14 162 11 171 11 165 14 145 25 153 2119 1843 13 161 10 170 11 165 13 144 19 152 1843 1675 12 161 9 170 10 164 11*144 14 151 1675 1578 9 161 8 171 9 164 8*142 8*150 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography