DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/26 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 69.2 - - 81.6 - - 81.9 - - 75.9 - - 66.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -14 - - 237 - - 200 - - -45 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 1643 - - 2570 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit 1562 - - 2240 - - 2847 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 1578 - - 3028 - - 3955 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 160 - - 545 - - 1119 - - 3269 - - 902 Hgt.Variab. W* 46 - - 304 - - 334 - - 41 - - 19 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 13 - - 16 - - 10 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 299 - - 350 - - 015 - - 024 - - 029 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -5 - - -12 - - -4 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4759 - - -6333 - - -5310 - - -6196 - - -680 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6337 - - 9362 - - 9266 - - 7775 - - 2259 sfcLCL ODpotential -13821 - - -11765 - - -10787 - - -11754 - - -6848 ODpotential blCL 15399 - - 14793 - - 14742 - - 13333 - - 8427 blCL maxRH 39 - - 32 - - 42 - - 33 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 69.2 - - 81.6 - - 81.9 - - 75.9 - - 66.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.4 - - 46.2 - - 46.8 - - 47.5 - - 61.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 70.2 - - 79.9 - - 80.5 - - 77.3 - - 66.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.1 - - 45.1 - - 45.6 - - 46.9 - - 61.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -14 - - 237 - - 200 - - -45 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 1643 - - 2570 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 26 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96780 17 255 20 265 15 270 21 257 22 273 96780 89525 19 271 23 266 22 257 30 267 22 284 89525 83942 20 255 23 264 31 261 33 277 21 270 83942 79326 14 263 17 246 21 252 24 276 16 265 79326 75327 14 287 9 266 14 233 22 279 8 274 75327 71780 18 287 11 273 13 262 17 288 11 300 71780 68601 14 231 11 245 15 260 13 283 16 317 68601 65715 6 289 10 256 15 293 18 266 20 296 65715 63047 20 310 18 290 21 302 23 271 26 269 63047 60477 25 303 27 312 36 321 27 306 27 289 60477 57824 30 296 44 307 50 318 50 322 45 321 57824 55084 40 293 48 295 51 297 55 305 65 311 55084 52465 38 286 43 285 50 281 52 287 59 295 52465 50096 38 303 41 291 45 279 50 282 53 296 50096 47953 46 318 43 306 47 295 50 288 56 305 47953 45994 57 322 52 317 56 310 57 304 60 311 45994 44189 64 318 59 316 64 315 67 314 65 312 44189 42519 63 313 62 310 65 314 68 314 68 309 42519 40971 60 307 60 304 64 308 65 309 67 303 40971 39521 55 303 56 300 63 300 61 303 67 296 39521 38153 50 301 54 300 61 295 59 298 65 293 38153 36828 52 306 54 303 58 294 59 296 62 293 36828 35477 57 312 55 304 58 298 59 299 63 296 35477 34069 56 312 56 304 58 302 57 302 65 301 34069 32611 49 309 54 304 58 305 56 302 62 302 32611 31092 45 305 50 303 56 306 56 303 55 298 31092 29501 44 301 45 301 52 304 56 302 50 298 29501 27837 43 299 42 298 48 301 52 299 47 302 27837 26097 40 299 41 294 44 296 48 296 43 302 26097 24283 38 300 38 293 42 294 44 293 42 297 24283 22399 35 299 35 300 38 294 42 293 40 293 22399 20443 33 302 33 310 33 297 40 294 39 290 20443 18410 32 307 28 302 30 298 35 290 38 292 18410 16342 33 308 29 302 33 297 34 292 32 302 16342 14352 34 308 34 311 32 305 30 303 26 318 14352 12540 30 314 32 310 28 309 23 310 21 324 12540 10927 22 323 27 303 24 293 14 306 18 317 10927 9489 23 324 22 299 25 287 13 305 18 313 9489 8206 21 321 22 301 24 285 15 318 18 329 8206 7066 19 324 23 302 21 283 13 344 16 349 7066 6055 16 331 21 299 17 292 13 016 14 004 6055 5163 15 341 17 293 12 327 16 022 13 011 5163 4374 17 346 13 302 16*012 19 023 13 017 4374 3666 19 344 12 340 17*015 21 024 16 022 3666 3039 19 336 14*347 17 015 23 025 20 028 3039 2517 18 322 14*348 17 015 24 026 26 032 2517 2117 17 304 14 350 17 015 22 026 25 032 2117 1841 14 296 13 350 16 015 19 025 20 030 1841 1674 10 297 12 351 14 015 16*025 16*029 1674 1579 5*299 10 351 12 015 10*024 10*029 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography