DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/01 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.8 - - 47.0 - - 46.6 - - 41.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 54 - - 46 - - -12 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 735 - - 767 - - 192 - - 191 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1560 - - 1560 - - 1560 - - 1560 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2120 - - 2152 - - 1577 - - 1576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 406 - - 487 - - 1062 - - 1180 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 140 - - 135 - - 8 - - 22 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 2 - - 4 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 007 - - 009 - - 039 - - 022 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -1 - - -1 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 17 - - -52 - - 0 - - -526 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2103 - - 2204 - - 1577 - - 2102 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9405 - - -8903 - - -9311 - - -11589 ODpotential blCL - - - 11525 - - 11055 - - 10888 - - 13165 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 87 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 230 - - 80 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.8 - - 47.0 - - 46.6 - - 41.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.3 - - 43.0 - - 45.3 - - 38.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.2 - - 46.5 - - 47.9 - - 42.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.0 - - 42.7 - - 45.3 - - 37.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 54 - - 46 - - -12 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 735 - - 767 - - 192 - - 191 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 100 - - 46 - - 40 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96312 6 097 2 055 7 323 1 094 96312 89166 3 100 6 275 10 268 8 305 89166 83663 2 352 5 232 7 264 5 221 83663 79089 18 292 15 278 18 304 13 320 79089 75154 12 286 10 259 15 263 11 267 75154 71665 16 282 15 291 7 255 6 260 71665 68483 22 280 24 300 19 274 16 293 68483 65578 33 268 30 267 28 273 29 282 65578 62929 34 261 35 261 33 264 32 263 62929 60356 38 258 40 263 36 262 32 271 60356 57642 41 261 42 265 45 274 48 278 57642 54826 54 268 54 271 66 269 68 267 54826 52152 71 258 74 261 73 260 74 258 52152 49754 81 253 79 253 74 256 76 258 49754 47623 89 249 87 251 83 255 85 253 47623 45700 98 245 97 250 92 252 90 250 45700 43932 104 245 105 250 100 250 99 256 43932 42296 107 247 108 249 102 251 107 258 42296 40767 108 248 108 250 106 253 107 255 40767 39321 109 249 108 253 110 256 106 252 39321 37948 105 252 107 257 110 255 107 251 37948 36611 103 256 106 258 109 254 109 251 36611 35246 105 257 105 256 108 254 111 253 35246 33824 106 256 103 255 107 256 112 257 33824 32351 108 260 107 257 109 262 111 263 32351 30814 99 262 107 261 107 265 104 265 30814 29206 82 258 91 261 94 264 88 263 29206 27532 74 254 77 256 81 258 77 259 27532 25787 69 259 68 258 73 258 74 260 25787 23971 60 262 59 263 70 264 73 264 23971 22088 49 259 48 261 62 268 68 267 22088 20137 45 256 41 261 51 265 57 267 20137 18116 44 251 37 267 43 265 47 265 18116 16065 33 246 35 264 37 270 40 267 16065 14088 19 256 28 260 32 274 37 273 14088 12289 15 273 22 267 29 270 36 276 12289 10686 15 263 19 261 27 269 34 278 10686 9261 18 239 19 251 27 274 29 283 9261 7994 22 228 22 255 23 275 27 298 7994 6867 25 224 22 254 20 277 24 304 6867 5870 29 208 23 235 19 294 21 316 5870 4994 30 206 25 229 21 312 26 333 4994 4227 17 227 24 236 19 323 29 344 4227 3548 10 254 18 249 17 343 29 357 3548 2954 4 274 7 262 16 358 29 008 2954 2462 4*358 2*346 14 010 27 015 2462 2084 4*006 2*004 12 019 23 019 2084 1825 4 006 2 011 9 028 17 021 1825 1667 4 008 2 011 7*034 15 021 1667 1576 3 007 2 011 4*039 9*022 1576 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography