DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/17 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 88.8 - - 93.3 - - 92.5 - - 83.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 309 - - 234 - - -5 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3393 - - 5553 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3616 - - 5166 - - 1564 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4778 - - 6938 - - 1580 - - 1580 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1461 - - 1922 - - 8493 - - 229 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 422 - - 457 - - 50 - - 23 W* B/S - - - 22 - - 13 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 140 - - 127 - - 118 - - 121 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -3 - - 2 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2254 - - -2644 - - -7968 - - -6453 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7032 - - 9582 - - 9548 - - 8033 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6385 - - -7413 - - -11773 - - -13292 ODpotential blCL - - - 11163 - - 14351 - - 13353 - - 14872 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 45 - - 47 - - 56 maxRH CAPE - - - 500 - - 40 - - 10 - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 88.8 - - 93.3 - - 92.5 - - 83.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 63.4 - - 56.7 - - 56.2 - - 54.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 86.6 - - 91.4 - - 92.5 - - 86.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 62.4 - - 55.4 - - 54.9 - - 53.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 309 - - 234 - - -5 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3393 - - 5553 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 9 - - 10 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98868 39 094 37 112 39 105 39 093 98868 91382 39 105 31 105 37 093 33 088 91382 85637 40 104 31 097 36 088 33 082 85637 80877 33 083 37 095 34 090 33 082 80877 76784 23 083 33 087 32 082 35 089 76784 73192 21 081 24 077 24 085 28 081 73192 69962 18 073 16 074 18 076 20 073 69962 67001 16 085 13 100 13 066 14 077 67001 64258 14 082 13 102 11 078 13 087 64258 61610 12 071 11 088 9 073 15 056 61610 58864 14 078 13 087 8 086 12 028 58864 56044 13 073 16 075 12 064 12 064 56044 53401 3 056 8 070 12 037 10 054 53401 51043 9 183 9 179 3 125 4 080 51043 48919 20 162 18 163 13 160 9 118 48919 46976 25 159 23 166 20 172 11 145 46976 45177 25 172 26 172 23 168 12 159 45177 43496 30 182 29 176 24 169 13 165 43496 41919 35 180 32 176 26 173 13 168 41919 40429 38 175 33 177 27 173 15 163 40429 39019 37 173 33 179 28 172 18 157 39019 37650 31 172 32 184 28 174 20 159 37650 36257 24 172 22 183 25 177 20 167 36257 34811 20 173 19 175 21 170 17 162 34811 33318 16 152 17 163 18 165 17 152 33318 31763 12 129 12 153 13 160 17 157 31763 30133 9 127 6 155 8 139 15 163 30133 28429 5 142 3 163 6 120 10 151 28429 26652 9 140 9 158 6 133 5 121 26652 24804 14 130 14 145 6 146 4 110 24804 22886 13 118 11 122 7 107 5 090 22886 20891 10 117 10 089 9 063 9 075 20891 18814 12 107 15 081 14 065 15 074 18814 16696 12 095 9 087 14 070 16 081 16696 14653 9 090 9 059 13 061 17 076 14653 12794 10 087 9 065 12 074 19 068 12794 11148 16 082 11 089 15 094 16 062 11148 9687 18 076 14 093 11 111 6 067 9687 8386 16 078 13 102 9 141 5 138 8386 7225 14 083 8*120 9 141 7 141 7225 6192 12 092 7*124 9 138 10 147 6192 5277 7*107 7 125 9 133 12 152 5277 4465 4*130 7 127 9 129 15 155 4465 3737 4 138 6 128 9 125 17 155 3737 3092 4 140 6 128 9 123 18 152 3092 2552 3 144 6 129 9 121 17 147 2552 2137 3 144 5 129 9 120 16 140 2137 1852 3 144 5 130 9 119 13 131 1852 1678 3 146 5 129 8*118 9*124 1678 1580 3 147 4 129 6*118 5*121 1580 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography