DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/08 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.1 - - 62.9 - - 64.1 - - 61.2 - - 60.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 30 - - 152 - - 47 - - 12 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 461 - - 889 - - 1393 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1561 - - 1562 - - 1561 - - 1561 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 1846 - - 2274 - - 2778 - - 1578 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 445 - - 547 - - 734 - - 1154 - - 650 Hgt.Variab. W* 105 - - 217 - - 173 - - 57 - - 43 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 B/S BL Wind 13 - - 10 - - 9 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 028 - - 028 - - 070 - - 076 - - 088 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - -5 - - -4 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -177 - - 23 - - 542 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2023 - - 2251 - - 2236 - - 1578 - - 1578 sfcLCL ODpotential -8622 - - -6659 - - -2 - - -228 - - 0 ODpotential blCL 10468 - - 8933 - - 2780 - - 1806 - - 1578 blCL maxRH 100 - - 96 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 910 - - 770 - - 720 - - 1220 - - 1370 CAPE Temp@2m 55.1 - - 62.9 - - 64.1 - - 61.2 - - 60.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 51.7 - - 58.4 - - 59.5 - - 60.1 - - 60.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.6 - - 61.7 - - 63.4 - - 60.8 - - 60.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 51.1 - - 57.2 - - 58.8 - - 59.9 - - 60.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 30 - - 152 - - 47 - - 12 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 461 - - 889 - - 1393 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 99 - - 84 - - 101 - - 101 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 10 - - 11 - - 12 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96608 41 269 39 260 44 259 46 273 48 266 96608 89322 28 275 34 266 44 256 47 260 41 274 89322 83824 32 281 30 292 26 266 36 262 33 275 83824 79280 33 276 31 287 21 295 24 276 18 269 79280 75361 27 270 28 280 18 299 17 293 10 274 75361 71900 11 258 16 260 16 282 17 303 10 261 71900 68782 2 296 7 212 9 243 12 279 7 258 68782 65925 6 340 5 192 6 257 12 259 7 275 65925 63286 12 273 9 251 11 266 12 233 10 258 63286 60742 19 260 16 247 15 265 11 244 11 246 60742 58090 10 240 14 242 17 250 18 236 19 237 58090 55315 11 224 17 243 16 237 19 205 16 230 55315 52632 38 255 33 252 39 257 41 253 44 257 52632 50196 57 245 57 244 63 243 57 241 57 244 50196 47993 68 241 66 236 65 242 56 244 64 245 47993 45984 67 242 70 241 68 250 66 253 75 247 45984 44139 70 247 75 243 75 251 75 252 78 244 44139 42433 72 246 72 243 76 246 79 244 68 247 42433 40852 69 251 68 253 71 259 71 266 68 267 40852 39387 74 263 77 267 84 271 89 277 86 269 39387 38020 84 268 87 270 92 269 98 273 91 265 38020 36702 85 266 89 267 89 262 88 270 91 261 36702 35357 85 263 84 261 81 257 83 264 91 261 35357 33959 87 259 82 257 74 254 72 258 85 263 33959 32512 86 259 78 260 68 251 66 254 71 261 32512 31006 79 264 70 263 62 247 62 252 65 258 31006 29429 65 267 54 261 53 241 57 251 62 258 29429 27777 52 263 52 253 44 238 48 248 51 252 27777 26051 47 260 56 252 43 241 41 244 45 253 26051 24256 48 257 50 255 42 247 35 244 41 255 24256 22393 47 259 44 257 42 252 37 248 40 252 22393 20456 42 261 39 257 40 253 41 247 39 248 20456 18437 37 251 35 256 38 257 39 249 34 256 18437 16375 31 254 28 252 34 258 35 251 32 265 16375 14382 16 252 15 255 28 256 25 240 28 260 14382 12561 14 217 11 222 24 248 19 235 26 261 12561 10935 7 232 11 203 23 241 22 230 23 265 10935 9485 5 299 9 188 18 228 22 225 19 242 9485 8196 3 318 8 170 14 191 18 218 19 220 8196 7055 1 265 11 148 14 178 13 206 18 202 7055 6042 2 083 9 148 11 184 10 195 18 193 6042 5148 1 125 7 170 7 184 11 183 18 193 5148 4357 1 161 6 196 4 164 13 167 17 196 4357 3650 1 116 3 206 6 072 12 159 16 175 3650 3025 9 041 3 029 9*067 9 109 16 147 3025 2506 17 032 10*028 9*068 10 080 13 134 2506 2109 17*029 10*028 9 070 10 078 7 118 2109 1837 15*029 10 028 9 070 9 077 4 098 1837 1672 13 028 9 028 8 070 8*078 3*090 1672 1578 10 028 8 028 7 071 6*076 2*088 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography