DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/21 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.1 - - 85.2 - - - - - 70.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 312 - - 221 - - - - - -48 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1994 - - 3289 - - - - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2568 - - 3416 - - - - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3379 - - 4674 - - - - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 987 - - 2620 - - - - - 348 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 353 - - 375 - - - - - 27 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 13 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 205 - - 200 - - - - - 166 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3512 - - -4614 - - - - - -4123 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6892 - - 9288 - - - - - 5702 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7827 - - -8281 - - - - - -10553 ODpotential blCL - - - 11206 - - 12955 - - - - - 12132 blCL maxRH - - - 50 - - 46 - - - - - 45 maxRH CAPE - - - 140 - - 40 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.1 - - 85.2 - - - - - 70.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.5 - - 50.0 - - - - - 51.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.9 - - 83.6 - - - - - 73.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.6 - - 48.7 - - - - - 51.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 312 - - 221 - - - - - -48 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1994 - - 3289 - - - - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 7 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97092 41 245 37 244 35 271 97092 89772 26 262 23 259 27 265 89772 84153 17 278 21 258 24 254 84153 79507 8 256 18 257 8 216 79507 75528 8 194 9 248 2 028 75528 72027 9 130 5 206 2 343 72027 68867 12 075 9 161 3 122 68867 65971 6 038 10 135 5 105 65971 63298 1 305 9 098 4 185 63298 60726 4 280 3 036 7 167 60726 58062 6 237 5 319 6 114 58062 55305 5 185 3 313 7 070 55305 52660 0 243 1 064 8 082 52660 50256 5 084 4 105 7 072 50256 48082 9 078 3 105 3 053 48082 46099 7 038 4 119 1 242 46099 44274 10 013 7 079 3 208 44274 42583 11 014 7 052 2 050 42583 41013 11 015 6 039 6 017 41013 39545 8 008 6 016 5 051 39545 38166 3 321 5 335 7 066 38166 36839 6 257 5 243 9 033 36839 35497 13 236 12 222 10 007 35497 34106 14 225 10 221 7 028 34106 32667 10 225 6 220 9 040 32667 31166 7 220 4 175 7 039 31166 29587 5 163 8 127 8 079 29587 27930 12 110 10 128 11 070 27930 26195 12 104 8 118 15 029 26195 24385 17 051 14 047 22 039 24385 22505 26 043 21 059 26 049 22505 20552 27 054 29 071 27 060 20552 18518 26 048 34 064 28 065 18518 16441 24 035 26 044 29 063 16441 14440 17 027 17 011 25 051 14440 12618 9 027 11 014 22 037 12618 10997 4 033 6 007 11 008 10997 9552 3 109 2 277 8 321 9552 8263 5 152 6 239 10 279 8263 7114 7 210 12 238 15 248 7114 6096 13 230 14 228 19 227 6096 5198 16 225 14*208 20 211 5198 4402 16 218 14*201 21 199 4402 3688 14*213 14 200 24 189 3688 3056 12*206 13 200 27 182 3056 2528 11 205 13 200 29 172 2528 2123 11 204 12 200 27 167 2123 1844 10 204 12 201 20 167 1844 1675 10 203 11 201 16*166 1675 1579 9 203 10 201 7*166 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography