DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/28 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.1 - - 59.0 - - 64.4 - - 66.3 - - 59.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 44 - - 234 - - 229 - - 39 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1268 - - 1674 - - 2172 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1561 - - 2236 - - 2585 - - 1562 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top 2653 - - 3059 - - 3557 - - 1578 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 715 - - 476 - - 810 - - 3821 - - 515 Hgt.Variab. W* 156 - - 298 - - 323 - - 81 - - 5 W* B/S 2 - - 5 - - 11 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 15 - - 10 - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 054 - - 041 - - 030 - - 135 - - 059 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -6 - - -2 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 12 - - -321 - - -526 - - -2906 - - -1037 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2641 - - 3380 - - 4083 - - 4485 - - 2615 sfcLCL ODpotential -5103 - - -4701 - - -4400 - - -6812 - - -6817 ODpotential blCL 7756 - - 7760 - - 7957 - - 8390 - - 8395 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 99 - - 95 - - 91 maxRH CAPE 50 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 55.1 - - 59.0 - - 64.4 - - 66.3 - - 59.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.3 - - 50.0 - - 52.2 - - 52.3 - - 53.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.5 - - 57.3 - - 62.5 - - 65.6 - - 61.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.2 - - 49.6 - - 51.8 - - 52.0 - - 53.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 44 - - 234 - - 229 - - 39 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1268 - - 1674 - - 2172 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 101 - - 95 - - 79 - - 62 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97087 34 260 43 275 40 265 43 268 49 281 97087 89692 31 257 40 263 33 266 38 267 37 266 89692 84094 27 272 35 271 30 270 33 271 25 265 84094 79469 24 281 23 268 29 268 31 283 16 304 79469 75489 19 283 16 268 27 257 26 280 20 299 75489 71978 14 299 12 269 19 254 23 278 20 290 71978 68819 14 302 12 289 10 281 18 278 15 277 68819 65944 16 290 17 303 12 327 10 275 10 246 65944 63303 16 271 20 286 16 311 11 304 6 253 63303 60753 13 264 19 269 18 283 13 286 13 264 60753 58091 13 274 14 269 16 272 15 267 17 261 58091 55325 16 254 13 268 14 269 18 262 19 266 55325 52678 18 253 13 270 14 275 20 257 20 267 52678 50277 19 260 18 275 19 275 20 262 18 266 50277 48101 21 268 23 271 24 274 21 269 16 267 48101 46108 24 277 25 270 26 274 21 271 18 273 46108 44270 28 277 22 274 24 272 26 266 21 271 44270 42564 27 272 21 270 21 262 25 242 22 259 42564 40984 26 264 23 254 19 259 15 239 21 232 40984 39519 22 251 24 239 23 231 14 247 12 227 39519 38149 14 246 18 224 21 210 15 224 12 230 38149 36829 9 239 13 204 17 202 14 212 14 210 36829 35487 4 233 10 197 15 195 12 217 11 206 35487 34094 2 203 9 193 11 203 8 229 6 228 34094 32652 0 047 5 185 7 200 4 223 4 231 32652 31145 3 005 1 102 5 177 4 152 4 179 31145 29561 7 360 5 026 2 112 7 139 8 158 29561 27898 8 003 6 028 3 108 8 165 8 178 27898 26156 4 020 2 067 5 179 9 203 8 221 26156 24338 4 133 4 184 7 215 11 215 10 231 24338 22449 6 142 4 209 4 229 7 229 7 238 22449 20486 4 175 4 267 2 261 2 287 3 309 20486 18441 3 075 3 331 2 342 2 038 3 333 18441 16348 8 003 1 042 4 330 2 332 5 322 16348 14326 7 351 5 160 3 268 4 241 7 252 14326 12490 9 304 1 233 4 224 6 234 10 259 12490 10864 12 288 5 309 6 221 5 229 8 225 10864 9424 4 247 4 331 2 209 6 166 12 179 9424 8144 9 185 4 199 1 190 6 174 12 177 8144 7005 7 186 12 183 8 188 9 219 9 217 7005 5997 6 168 10 207 10 205 9 220 10 229 5997 5114 12 139 10 207 9 208 6 180 11 182 5114 4336 18 120 10 182 6 201 5 150 13 160 4336 3639 19 087 6*090 3*049 5 144 14 151 3639 3022 17*060 10*044 5*036 5 141 14 143 3022 2506 16*055 10 042 5 031 4 139 13 135 2506 2110 16 054 10 040 6 029 4 138 9 121 2110 1838 15 053 10 039 6 028 4 135 6 098 1838 1672 13 053 9 039 6 028 4 135 4*070 1672 1578 10 052 8 038 5 028 3*135 3*059 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography