DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/14 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.8 - - 68.2 - - 63.1 - - 60.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 24 - - 67 - - -29 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 193 - - 1686 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1562 - - 1562 - - 1562 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1578 - - 3071 - - 1578 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1862 - - 2313 - - 1793 - - 223 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 71 - - 211 - - 39 - - 20 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 13 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 218 - - 257 - - 313 - - 281 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -8 - - -3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - 1060 - - -916 - - -858 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1578 - - 2011 - - 2494 - - 2436 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -199 - - 119 - - -3575 - - -4408 ODpotential blCL - - - 1777 - - 2952 - - 5153 - - 5986 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 97 - - 69 - - 58 maxRH CAPE - - - 840 - - 1360 - - 680 - - 200 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.8 - - 68.2 - - 63.1 - - 60.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 63.8 - - 64.2 - - 57.3 - - 55.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.3 - - 67.6 - - 64.6 - - 64.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 63.6 - - 63.3 - - 56.3 - - 54.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 24 - - 67 - - -29 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 193 - - 1686 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 86 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 13 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96463 11 260 11 254 11 287 8 353 96463 89335 8 157 7 146 8 244 9 035 89335 83860 11 141 7 145 4 239 6 028 83860 79291 8 105 3 123 4 218 3 028 79291 75327 5 072 3 132 3 214 5 061 75327 71818 9 015 6 087 0 001 4 074 71818 68652 5 272 5 201 1 077 4 053 68652 65767 7 305 1 251 1 123 2 354 65767 63119 12 257 10 287 5 267 2 260 63119 60589 11 241 10 260 12 251 10 222 60589 57937 31 296 29 288 29 297 23 281 57937 55150 44 269 47 270 45 271 43 264 55150 52476 51 255 49 254 45 267 42 265 52476 50060 53 258 53 255 49 273 35 272 50060 47872 64 260 60 257 50 269 39 281 47872 45860 70 255 62 256 51 273 65 279 45860 44011 70 254 65 260 59 276 76 265 44011 42305 69 255 68 264 69 272 73 257 42305 40709 73 255 70 264 77 265 68 257 40709 39205 79 254 73 261 79 264 64 264 39205 37785 84 251 77 256 76 261 56 276 37785 36414 89 251 78 251 64 262 60 290 36414 35026 95 250 77 250 54 271 70 293 35026 33592 100 248 77 251 55 274 79 290 33592 32118 102 245 75 250 56 272 85 287 32118 30584 99 241 82 248 61 271 85 287 30584 28977 94 237 94 245 72 271 82 285 28977 27302 89 235 97 239 80 269 82 283 27302 25565 86 234 92 235 74 269 82 285 25565 23771 79 232 79 234 64 268 76 287 23771 21927 72 229 62 236 54 264 67 292 21927 20024 62 227 68 238 44 258 63 297 20024 18046 58 225 60 234 43 255 57 296 18046 16030 54 226 51 232 48 254 48 293 16030 14087 42 230 44 231 51 248 42 293 14087 12318 29 228 35 225 49 248 41 287 12318 10745 22 238 25 230 46 255 41 288 10745 9345 20 248 27 254 42 265 41 295 9345 8098 20 243 28 265 42 278 39 298 8098 6986 21 229 25 275 41 286 38 296 6986 5996 20 219 23 282 38 292 37 295 5996 5121 20 217 22 282 35 296 37 296 5121 4344 19 217 19 277 34 298 36 298 4344 3647 18 217 16*267 31 302 34 300 3647 3029 18 219 15*263 27 307 30 299 3029 2511 16 218 14 258 22 312 23 295 2511 2113 15 218 12 256 18 314 18 291 2113 1840 13 218 12 255 14 314 13 289 1840 1673 12 218 11 254 10*313 9*284 1673 1578 9*218 9 253 6*313 5*281 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography