DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/06 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.4 - - 81.1 - - 72.0 - - 62.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 221 - - 188 - - 48 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3834 - - 2654 - - 1216 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3840 - - 2895 - - 1562 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5219 - - 4039 - - 2601 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1825 - - 2322 - - 566 - - 866 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 400 - - 334 - - 166 - - 51 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 11 - - 14 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 022 - - 021 - - 023 - - 034 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - -4 - - -9 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1194 - - 113 - - -664 - - -484 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4025 - - 3926 - - 3265 - - 2062 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -397 - - -873 - - -5767 - - -8714 ODpotential blCL - - - 5616 - - 4912 - - 8368 - - 10292 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 90 - - 95 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 1760 - - 1830 - - 460 - - 210 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.4 - - 81.1 - - 72.0 - - 62.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 68.5 - - 68.6 - - 62.7 - - 58.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.7 - - 79.7 - - 71.5 - - 62.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 67.5 - - 67.8 - - 62.2 - - 58.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 221 - - 188 - - 48 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3834 - - 2654 - - 1216 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 27 - - 59 - - 78 - - 65 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 15 - - 12 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98052 2 101 6 176 13 357 14 027 98052 90613 11 171 8 194 7 313 9 036 90613 84869 9 160 12 170 12 215 7 293 84869 80117 0 093 10 143 15 177 10 225 80117 76061 7 236 8 253 3 195 5 226 76061 72491 14 248 13 263 7 262 4 142 72491 69264 13 247 13 279 13 266 12 299 69264 66321 19 245 16 234 18 244 18 233 66321 63614 24 243 18 230 16 224 19 240 63614 61018 26 239 32 261 30 256 27 247 61018 58318 29 249 41 244 41 246 23 251 58318 55486 49 258 46 249 46 255 46 267 55486 52789 61 253 58 254 59 259 71 259 52789 50393 68 249 70 252 73 252 83 255 50393 48265 77 250 77 250 82 251 87 253 48265 46340 85 251 85 251 89 253 90 251 46340 44566 90 248 89 249 90 251 91 249 44566 42909 90 246 90 247 91 249 91 249 42909 41349 89 245 89 248 89 248 91 250 41349 39874 89 247 88 248 87 248 91 250 39874 38478 89 249 86 248 86 249 89 250 38478 37123 90 251 85 248 85 248 88 248 37123 35744 89 251 84 247 84 247 86 246 35744 34316 86 248 82 245 83 245 83 244 34316 32843 81 244 78 242 81 243 79 242 32843 31310 78 244 76 241 78 243 75 241 31310 29702 75 244 73 242 74 243 72 241 29702 28021 73 242 72 242 70 243 68 242 28021 26264 71 239 70 240 68 242 64 241 26264 24437 67 238 67 240 65 240 61 242 24437 22544 61 239 64 243 61 240 58 245 22544 20580 56 240 60 244 57 243 54 251 20580 18536 53 237 55 243 53 246 51 253 18536 16452 50 234 50 241 49 249 51 255 16452 14445 43 236 46 242 43 250 50 255 14445 12618 38 242 41 249 38 251 45 256 12618 10992 31 247 32 257 35 257 36 258 10992 9542 24 248 23 256 28 273 27 261 9542 8248 11 264 16 249 18 287 23 275 8248 7095 4 315 8 223 8 280 19 293 7095 6072 5*016 4 169 6 271 7 292 6072 5169 6*022 3 140 5 304 1 021 5169 4371 6 022 4*054 7 345 6 042 4371 3656 6 023 8*027 11 011 9 045 3656 3026 7 022 11 022 15*021 18 040 3026 2505 7 021 12 021 16*023 22 035 2505 2109 7 021 12 020 15 023 21 034 2109 1837 7 021 12 020 14 024 18 034 1837 1673 6 022 12 020 13 024 16*034 1673 1578 6 022 10 021 10 024 11*034 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography