DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/09 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.1 - - 85.7 - - 83.8 - - 75.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 189 - - 205 - - 17 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2962 - - 5230 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3121 - - 4862 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4347 - - 6615 - - 1580 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2402 - - 2509 - - 6565 - - 1186 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 347 - - 432 - - 68 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 16 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 249 - - 241 - - 228 - - 143 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 581 - - 498 - - -4193 - - -1520 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3766 - - 6117 - - 5773 - - 3099 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -228 - - -1512 - - -6176 - - -4151 ODpotential blCL - - - 4575 - - 8127 - - 7756 - - 5730 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 70 - - 61 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 2670 - - 2070 - - 1890 - - 2560 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.1 - - 85.7 - - 83.8 - - 75.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 68.5 - - 63.9 - - 63.6 - - 67.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.5 - - 84.1 - - 83.8 - - 78.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 67.6 - - 62.9 - - 62.7 - - 66.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 189 - - 205 - - 17 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2962 - - 5230 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 36 - - 0 - - 0 - - 57 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 11 - - 13 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97771 6 253 6 256 7 259 9 284 97771 90331 6 208 6 259 11 279 11 291 90331 84658 9 260 8 251 11 296 7 319 84658 79958 9 280 10 260 15 306 3 012 79958 75890 6 288 10 270 12 301 5 333 75890 72314 7 266 9 257 9 258 7 316 72314 69109 7 266 6 284 8 268 4 276 69109 66169 13 265 14 294 16 301 12 322 66169 63452 19 242 22 266 27 278 25 279 63452 60851 23 261 24 241 25 253 27 262 60851 58141 34 284 31 278 31 272 33 265 58141 55313 50 266 47 274 41 266 42 260 55313 52595 59 251 57 255 53 251 51 252 52595 50141 61 249 64 251 61 250 58 250 50141 47953 65 255 70 253 69 253 65 251 47953 45984 74 256 77 251 77 252 72 251 45984 44188 80 254 78 250 77 250 72 250 44188 42530 78 252 76 249 75 250 69 250 42530 40982 71 248 72 248 72 250 65 250 40982 39528 66 246 68 248 65 249 60 249 39528 38156 64 246 64 252 59 250 55 248 38156 36828 63 246 61 253 56 253 53 251 36828 35477 60 248 57 256 53 254 51 254 35477 34074 56 253 52 257 47 259 45 257 34074 32624 54 254 48 257 45 261 39 261 32624 31112 53 251 45 261 43 260 37 264 31112 29525 46 259 38 268 38 266 34 269 29525 27865 37 274 30 279 34 267 31 272 27865 26133 32 277 26 297 23 280 23 275 26133 24333 30 274 22 301 19 311 15 285 24333 22465 28 271 16 329 17 323 10 304 22465 20523 21 266 14 355 16 348 12 338 20523 18497 16 280 13 323 13 014 10 350 18497 16426 15 288 11 305 10 013 6 010 16426 14431 9 274 10 271 8 010 7 022 14431 12621 8 288 10 285 5 331 7 071 12621 11013 7 323 9 314 3 358 5 090 11013 9580 4 346 5 283 2 059 2 044 9580 8300 7 290 4 253 4 155 2 219 8300 7157 9 273 4*250 6 164 7 187 7157 6138 8 273 5*246 5 175 8 172 6138 5235 8 271 5 245 4 195 8 160 5235 4434 8*264 5 242 4 211 9 154 4434 3715 7*257 5 241 4 220 11 150 3715 3077 7 251 5 239 5 225 12 147 3077 2543 7 249 5 238 5 226 12 145 2543 2132 6 246 5 237 5 227 11 146 2132 1850 6 243 5 236 5 227 8 147 1850 1678 6 242 5 236 4*228 6 147 1678 1579 5 242 4 235 4*228 4*143 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography