DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 04/03 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.1 - - 74.0 - - - - - 69.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 73 - - 36 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2096 - - 194 - - - - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1881 - - 1562 - - - - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3481 - - 1579 - - - - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1503 - - 3352 - - - - - 2258 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 230 - - 83 - - - - - 32 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 1 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 11 - - - - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 162 - - 148 - - - - - 157 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 4 - - - - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 940 - - -1417 - - - - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2541 - - 2996 - - - - - 1579 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 215 - - -2147 - - - - - -561 ODpotential blCL - - - 3266 - - 3726 - - - - - 2140 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 1470 - - 1450 - - - - - 1440 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.1 - - 74.0 - - - - - 69.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 65.9 - - 65.8 - - - - - 67.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.5 - - 73.9 - - - - - 69.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 65.3 - - 65.4 - - - - - 67.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 73 - - 36 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2096 - - 194 - - - - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 100 - - - - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 14 - - - - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97478 25 237 29 236 32 271 97478 90094 26 242 32 238 20 266 90094 84419 18 245 23 242 12 281 84419 79715 9 248 10 242 11 273 79715 75684 2 293 3 186 14 233 75684 72152 4 280 5 292 5 162 72152 68967 10 239 16 259 4 038 68967 66046 12 236 13 244 12 309 66046 63362 10 263 10 279 19 272 63362 60794 32 307 24 317 18 274 60794 58126 39 297 30 301 21 293 58126 55343 39 284 35 285 31 293 55343 52663 41 275 42 270 39 284 52663 50229 44 270 44 263 48 276 50229 48030 50 271 49 268 53 271 48030 46030 51 273 55 273 55 271 46030 44205 50 275 54 274 52 271 44205 42534 52 274 52 274 49 270 42534 40996 56 270 55 265 40 258 40996 39560 57 266 56 259 34 253 39560 38201 51 263 49 255 32 256 38201 36884 47 261 46 251 28 256 36884 35541 44 261 42 251 25 256 35541 34143 38 261 39 256 23 255 34143 32694 34 259 36 262 22 253 32694 31179 32 254 33 267 20 255 31179 29587 30 248 29 261 20 262 29587 27918 25 231 26 248 20 267 27918 26171 24 233 27 246 20 265 26171 24351 26 249 27 250 21 263 24351 22465 28 255 24 240 23 272 22465 20509 25 258 26 242 25 274 20509 18477 25 255 24 238 28 270 18477 16407 15 259 21 226 27 260 16407 14413 9 276 22 221 26 242 14413 12594 5 244 19 213 22 233 12594 10969 12 219 17 214 15 203 10969 9520 16 217 16 209 17 156 9520 8228 20 201 20 198 23 152 8228 7080 23 194 26 192 27 163 7080 6063 25 184 27 182 30 168 6063 5167 26 171 26 166 32 167 5167 4375 26 164 26 156 35 161 4375 3669 26*163 25 154 35 156 3669 3044 24*162 23 152 34 154 3044 2522 22 162 22 151 30 153 2522 2120 21 162 20 150 26 154 2120 1844 19 161 18 149 21 155 1844 1675 17 161 15*148 18*156 1675 1579 13 161 11*148 13*157 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography