DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/10 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.5 - - 87.1 - - 83.2 - - 76.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 285 - - 254 - - 20 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4404 - - 5299 - - 2346 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4370 - - 5009 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5789 - - 6684 - - 3731 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1736 - - 1714 - - 3901 - - 3763 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 452 - - 462 - - 168 - - 31 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 7 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 12 - - 14 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 155 - - 158 - - 117 - - 097 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -367 - - -376 - - -1529 - - -1314 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6156 - - 7061 - - 5261 - - 2894 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3642 - - -3762 - - -3350 - - -2541 ODpotential blCL - - - 9431 - - 10446 - - 7081 - - 4120 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 62 - - 73 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 1810 - - 1870 - - 2430 - - 2960 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.5 - - 87.1 - - 83.2 - - 76.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 62.7 - - 61.4 - - 65.3 - - 69.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.4 - - 85.2 - - 82.9 - - 77.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 61.6 - - 60.3 - - 64.7 - - 68.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 285 - - 254 - - 20 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4404 - - 5299 - - 2346 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 11 - - 13 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97888 13 186 21 193 14 254 5 257 97888 90496 6 160 12 194 10 215 11 358 90496 84760 5 166 8 177 3 308 6 192 84760 80028 9 189 5 242 6 190 7 150 80028 75994 8 146 7 206 12 205 8 013 75994 72411 7 021 9 129 7 177 6 252 72411 69174 6 275 3 310 10 020 17 176 69174 66259 13 205 10 233 9 327 5 276 66259 63590 18 221 17 229 15 243 11 316 63590 60976 23 237 24 248 26 240 15 269 60976 58214 29 254 33 257 37 247 26 263 58214 55335 37 258 37 251 43 249 42 257 55335 52605 45 256 43 252 46 259 54 249 52605 50182 58 254 54 255 52 262 58 248 50182 48027 70 251 64 254 59 261 59 253 48027 46074 77 251 72 254 70 261 62 258 46074 44280 80 251 77 255 81 258 67 260 44280 42613 79 250 79 253 81 255 70 261 42613 41054 76 246 76 250 76 254 68 261 41054 39586 72 244 73 250 73 255 60 262 39586 38200 68 245 70 250 70 255 53 265 38200 36858 61 248 64 248 63 252 49 267 36858 35496 52 250 54 248 56 251 48 264 35496 34087 45 251 48 249 51 250 46 258 34087 32638 39 250 44 248 47 249 41 254 32638 31133 36 248 39 249 44 250 37 254 31133 29556 32 252 31 255 39 251 31 258 29556 27906 28 253 28 259 32 249 26 265 27906 26183 22 251 23 255 22 253 23 265 26183 24385 21 255 19 261 20 260 21 262 24385 22517 21 258 20 261 18 265 17 252 22517 20572 19 258 17 263 18 271 13 254 20572 18544 15 264 13 272 15 273 13 279 18544 16475 10 281 8 306 8 313 13 293 16475 14480 0 069 5 339 10 351 13 315 14480 12658 11 097 5 067 5 011 12 327 12658 11032 14 104 7 100 4 082 6 327 11032 9587 12 119 7 132 5 176 6 282 9587 8300 9 144 9 178 12 190 7 167 8300 7151 11 167 11*179 13 185 13 130 7151 6128 12*166 12*173 12 166 16 120 6128 5223 12*163 12 169 12 152 20 118 5223 4424 12 159 12 160 14*131 22 119 4424 3707 12 156 12 156 15*120 24 119 3707 3071 11 154 12 153 15 118 24 115 3071 2539 11 151 12 150 15 117 23 111 2539 2130 11 150 12 149 14 116 20 106 2130 1849 10 149 12 148 14 116 16 102 1849 1677 10 149 11 148 12 116 13 098 1677 1579 9 148 10 148 10 115 8*097 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography