DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/04 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.5 - - 59.2 - - 56.5 - - 50.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 250 - - 157 - - -29 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2046 - - 3416 - - 192 - - 192 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2534 - - 3328 - - 1561 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3431 - - 4801 - - 1577 - - 1577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 830 - - 1906 - - 6811 - - 2717 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 329 - - 334 - - 27 - - 25 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 16 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 034 - - 007 - - 015 - - 016 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -9 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2643 - - -1789 - - -4138 - - -1974 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6074 - - 6590 - - 5716 - - 3551 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6085 - - -4751 - - -5344 - - -3953 ODpotential blCL - - - 9516 - - 9552 - - 6921 - - 5530 blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 92 - - 69 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.5 - - 59.2 - - 56.5 - - 50.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.9 - - 36.1 - - 37.5 - - 40.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.9 - - 58.1 - - 57.7 - - 51.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.8 - - 35.3 - - 37.0 - - 39.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 250 - - 157 - - -29 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2046 - - 3416 - - 192 - - 192 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 68 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96414 38 252 37 253 37 276 34 275 96414 89222 28 252 28 248 31 268 29 266 89222 83697 23 262 20 260 23 261 23 259 83697 79079 20 294 16 266 18 265 17 272 79079 75102 12 318 12 239 15 268 15 277 75102 71612 12 295 9 262 9 291 8 286 71612 68459 22 302 15 296 10 287 11 305 68459 65577 31 290 17 299 14 283 14 289 65577 62919 35 272 27 304 19 297 16 314 62919 60327 40 264 43 283 33 284 33 299 60327 57614 46 269 52 271 45 277 42 280 57614 54812 60 276 61 274 58 277 43 288 54812 52120 74 275 73 274 73 276 61 291 52120 49668 83 275 80 273 85 275 81 281 49668 47451 95 274 87 274 91 277 91 275 47451 45424 104 269 95 277 98 279 95 276 45424 43552 109 268 104 275 102 281 99 279 43552 41819 113 271 110 274 104 283 105 282 41819 40213 121 276 119 275 110 284 113 285 40213 38722 131 278 131 276 123 283 121 287 38722 37335 134 277 138 276 135 282 136 286 37335 36002 132 275 140 276 140 282 145 285 36002 34643 132 276 141 277 136 284 135 285 34643 33234 125 278 133 278 120 284 122 287 33234 31781 108 275 114 273 111 278 117 285 31781 30273 91 267 99 267 94 282 98 296 30273 28699 76 271 90 273 80 297 85 316 28699 27059 76 276 83 284 84 310 81 328 27059 25348 73 282 82 292 92 313 83 333 25348 23567 68 288 83 296 96 313 87 335 23567 21717 63 290 77 298 91 315 89 335 21717 19792 59 286 69 294 74 317 87 336 19792 17793 57 291 62 289 59 309 80 337 17793 15770 48 297 49 291 54 307 66 335 15770 13836 31 294 35 301 45 309 55 329 13836 12088 16 290 26 302 42 309 44 324 12088 10540 13 326 24 308 38 321 35 317 10540 9165 11 354 25 323 30 327 32 322 9165 7938 12 359 28 335 24 333 29 327 7938 6846 14 015 26 344 23 342 26 332 6846 5876 18 024 22 350 22 351 24 343 5876 5019 20 034 18*359 22 358 23 357 5019 4261 21 043 18*002 21 001 23 010 4261 3583 19*040 18 005 21 005 25 019 3583 2983 16*036 17 007 20 007 26 021 2983 2481 16 034 17 008 18 010 25 022 2481 2096 15 034 16 009 16 012 23 021 2096 1831 14 033 15 010 13 014 17 018 1831 1669 13 033 14 010 11 014 13 017 1669 1577 11 033 11 011 7*015 7*016 1577 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography