DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/28 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 75.2 - - 81.2 - - 86.8 - - 86.3 - - 76.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 38 - - 312 - - 232 - - 20 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 883 - - 1870 - - 3906 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit 1563 - - 2479 - - 3899 - - 1564 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top 2268 - - 3255 - - 5291 - - 1580 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1900 - - 1500 - - 1217 - - 4303 - - 1728 Hgt.Variab. W* 138 - - 346 - - 404 - - 69 - - 19 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 8 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 15 - - 10 - - 4 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 194 - - 175 - - 202 - - 167 - - 115 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 4 - - 6 - - -4 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 689 - - 806 - - 1037 - - -3180 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1579 - - 2449 - - 4254 - - 4761 - - 1579 sfcLCL ODpotential 74 - - 440 - - -217 - - -6230 - - -695 ODpotential blCL 2194 - - 2815 - - 5508 - - 7810 - - 2274 blCL maxRH 100 - - 98 - - 82 - - 71 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 3240 - - 4510 - - 4360 - - 3580 - - 4400 CAPE Temp@2m 75.2 - - 81.2 - - 86.8 - - 86.3 - - 76.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 72.8 - - 75.0 - - 72.8 - - 70.4 - - 75.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 74.6 - - 79.2 - - 84.9 - - 85.8 - - 77.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 72.4 - - 74.5 - - 72.1 - - 69.9 - - 75.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 38 - - 312 - - 232 - - 20 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 883 - - 1870 - - 3906 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 94 - - 27 - - 0 - - 87 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 18 - - 19 - - 17 - - 17 - - 20 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97847 10 195 15 208 12 216 12 269 6 302 97847 90331 6 195 5 220 8 192 11 257 7 257 90331 84570 11 260 7 279 9 239 11 254 8 258 84570 79862 13 253 10 260 10 265 11 307 5 324 79862 75849 4 262 6 260 4 298 6 309 6 060 75849 72288 6 078 4 169 3 247 4 315 5 358 72288 69088 9 359 7 134 9 171 7 211 13 280 69088 66211 13 253 4 248 4 118 6 218 7 266 66211 63571 19 233 23 239 16 270 14 267 13 259 63571 61021 22 243 33 238 30 260 25 258 18 262 61021 58367 23 271 33 246 31 259 21 269 19 265 58367 55596 43 270 40 263 40 268 33 272 28 277 55596 52922 53 264 50 270 50 267 47 271 45 278 52922 50506 60 260 59 267 62 265 57 268 58 269 50506 48346 62 254 64 261 68 258 64 262 60 262 48346 46382 61 259 63 260 66 259 66 266 57 266 46382 44571 62 269 66 275 73 278 68 279 67 281 44571 42900 77 290 83 286 86 281 79 287 83 287 42900 41350 98 293 97 287 89 286 89 289 89 288 41350 39896 103 290 98 286 92 290 90 287 84 286 39896 38519 97 289 95 286 89 289 86 283 81 285 38519 37182 79 291 90 288 87 288 79 282 77 284 37182 35819 64 286 82 291 84 290 69 277 66 279 35819 34404 65 281 69 284 78 291 65 274 57 272 34404 32940 62 275 65 278 70 286 68 277 53 274 32940 31415 56 271 63 275 62 277 63 278 58 281 31415 29814 49 269 58 271 58 271 58 273 55 281 29814 28138 43 267 55 268 55 270 55 270 48 271 28138 26390 39 265 46 269 53 269 50 271 48 265 26390 24573 40 263 43 271 50 265 50 273 49 265 24573 22689 44 264 47 263 45 260 48 270 46 264 22689 20731 44 260 45 257 43 258 43 266 38 267 20731 18694 36 262 37 257 42 258 36 261 32 276 18694 16616 32 263 26 246 37 255 30 252 27 281 16616 14609 29 253 19 228 25 238 20 256 23 276 14609 12775 23 244 15 233 20 225 19 266 21 270 12775 11137 20 247 15 242 17 226 19 259 21 271 11137 9673 22 257 16 248 12 236 12 267 20 276 9673 8366 24 264 18 256 7 276 4 303 16 282 8366 7200 15 252 18 266 6 264 2 246 9 307 7200 6165 15 197 18 260 8*204 8 175 6 237 6165 5252 20 195 16 219 10*199 12 170 11 196 5252 4444 19 198 17 188 10 200 11 168 12 173 4444 3720 18 197 17*181 10 201 8 168 13 152 3720 3079 17 197 17*178 10 203 5 168 15 146 3079 2544 15*196 16 176 10 204 5 166 16 137 2544 2133 13*195 15 175 9 206 4 166 15 128 2133 1850 12 194 14 174 9 206 4 168 11 120 1850 1678 11 194 13 174 8 206 4 166 9 117 1678 1579 9 194 11 174 8 206 4*167 6*115 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography