DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/22 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.0 - - 59.7 - - 65.3 - - 63.1 - - 55.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 14 - - 120 - - 156 - - -11 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 192 - - 1647 - - 2662 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1561 - - 1924 - - 2799 - - 1562 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top 1577 - - 3032 - - 4047 - - 1578 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 944 - - 775 - - 977 - - 3293 - - 417 Hgt.Variab. W* 58 - - 242 - - 310 - - 16 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 8 - - 7 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 6 - - 8 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 080 - - 150 - - 173 - - 148 - - 111 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 2 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 642 - - 333 - - -1906 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1577 - - 2390 - - 3715 - - 3484 - - 1578 sfcLCL ODpotential 0 - - 245 - - -243 - - -6127 - - -6128 ODpotential blCL 1577 - - 2787 - - 4290 - - 7705 - - 7706 blCL maxRH 100 - - 99 - - 89 - - 78 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.0 - - 59.7 - - 65.3 - - 63.1 - - 55.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 53.0 - - 54.6 - - 54.4 - - 53.3 - - 54.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.7 - - 58.4 - - 64.0 - - 65.1 - - 57.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 53.0 - - 53.9 - - 53.6 - - 52.9 - - 55.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 14 - - 120 - - 156 - - -11 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 192 - - 1647 - - 2662 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 97 - - 56 - - 12 - - 58 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96076 46 239 42 239 49 246 48 263 48 257 96076 88948 37 255 31 242 40 246 47 265 41 265 88948 83453 31 266 38 250 40 252 46 266 34 275 83453 78927 33 264 40 261 37 263 39 274 29 276 78927 75030 32 261 38 261 35 268 31 275 28 273 75030 71568 32 270 36 261 35 265 33 267 33 276 71568 68426 34 277 32 273 29 270 33 258 35 277 68426 65554 36 276 33 285 27 284 26 257 30 273 65554 62927 37 266 41 279 36 291 31 279 29 277 62927 60414 39 258 41 270 40 281 38 284 34 278 60414 57794 37 267 39 270 40 276 38 281 36 278 57794 55050 41 280 44 273 41 276 39 277 41 273 55050 52403 50 284 49 277 46 274 45 271 47 270 52403 49990 59 279 54 272 51 261 51 263 53 265 49990 47804 64 269 57 266 51 256 52 261 55 262 47804 45799 64 262 60 261 53 258 53 262 59 263 45799 43950 62 264 63 257 60 258 60 265 63 264 43950 42250 60 280 61 264 61 265 62 266 66 272 42250 40687 71 295 61 279 60 277 63 277 69 276 40687 39240 76 299 67 289 68 285 69 287 77 272 39240 37883 70 296 69 292 74 287 73 285 75 270 37883 36569 66 294 65 293 75 286 73 287 66 276 36569 35230 60 293 60 289 74 283 69 291 61 279 35230 33838 54 289 56 284 64 282 66 287 58 276 33838 32394 49 286 54 279 59 280 62 277 51 270 32394 30886 47 284 50 278 54 273 55 267 51 264 30886 29303 47 284 46 280 49 265 52 261 51 257 29303 27649 48 284 45 282 47 267 49 260 50 256 27649 25922 45 280 44 280 46 271 47 264 48 255 25922 24120 40 275 41 273 43 269 43 264 45 255 24120 22247 35 269 37 269 39 264 39 259 42 252 22247 20297 32 270 32 270 35 258 35 257 39 251 20297 18267 28 268 27 268 29 259 32 260 35 257 18267 16202 22 250 23 259 25 260 28 266 29 269 16202 14219 17 231 20 247 22 259 25 274 24 281 14219 12417 13 246 18 250 19 263 24 286 24 294 12417 10815 13 266 17 255 17 272 24 289 25 299 10815 9389 15 284 18 261 16 276 21 287 24 298 9389 8119 20 283 20 251 16 268 16 279 19 293 8119 6991 22 269 22 246 19 251 14 258 12 277 6991 5989 17 272 18 243 18 246 16 244 12 247 5989 5104 13 244 16 231 13 234 10 202 14 219 5104 4325 11 216 14 216 9*198 10 179 14 192 4325 3629 12 173 9*197 9*185 10 168 17 164 3629 3014 13 161 6*161 8 176 10 164 19 155 3014 2500 10 109 6 151 8 172 9 158 19 146 2500 2106 10 092 6 147 8 169 9 154 18 126 2106 1835 8 086 5 145 8 167 8 152 15 117 1835 1671 7 083 5 143 7 166 6 150 10*113 1671 1578 5*080 5 142 7 165 4*148 5*111 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography