DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/18 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.1 - - 67.2 - - 57.5 - - 51.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 28 - - -2 - - -101 - - -94 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1328 - - 193 - - 193 - - 192 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1562 - - 1562 - - 1561 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2713 - - 1578 - - 1578 - - 1577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1961 - - 3414 - - 345 - - 199 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 168 - - 64 - - 42 - - 40 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 16 - - 11 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 320 - - 015 - - 018 - - 027 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -6 - - -5 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1547 - - -5044 - - -3241 - - -3316 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4261 - - 6623 - - 4819 - - 4894 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8577 - - -13149 - - -13370 - - -15248 ODpotential blCL - - - 11290 - - 14727 - - 14948 - - 16825 blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 38 - - 42 - - 38 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.1 - - 67.2 - - 57.5 - - 51.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.7 - - 43.7 - - 42.2 - - 36.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.8 - - 67.3 - - 60.3 - - 54.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.2 - - 42.5 - - 41.1 - - 35.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 28 - - -2 - - -101 - - -94 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1328 - - 193 - - 193 - - 192 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96488 31 239 29 225 38 264 31 271 96488 89262 9 256 11 193 16 241 13 223 89262 83750 4 271 7 226 12 217 6 247 83750 79173 4 161 6 225 14 231 11 273 79173 75232 6 230 2 209 11 186 14 217 75232 71752 14 232 8 248 3 160 11 170 71752 68606 23 224 19 254 12 299 7 296 68606 65701 27 227 28 243 26 256 15 274 65701 63011 28 249 32 246 35 267 40 289 63011 60446 32 248 39 254 47 265 52 275 60446 57789 35 257 42 251 45 250 45 255 57789 54995 35 258 41 251 42 257 40 265 54995 52290 41 274 51 269 58 287 56 283 52290 49855 60 280 67 278 72 283 70 282 49855 47679 72 275 74 274 70 273 69 274 47679 45711 69 270 71 264 63 259 59 265 45711 43909 57 263 53 255 47 252 44 273 43909 42247 44 256 35 264 32 287 44 316 42247 40710 28 279 35 295 49 324 51 323 40710 39276 32 305 64 322 61 319 53 322 39276 37923 55 325 75 318 61 312 53 319 37923 36613 67 325 71 309 60 314 45 317 36613 35280 66 325 60 316 56 319 34 320 35280 33897 60 333 63 343 48 321 34 330 33897 32462 57 341 74 354 50 331 43 337 32462 30961 61 341 70 349 54 338 50 339 30961 29384 62 339 64 342 53 341 47 335 29384 27732 55 337 63 339 50 343 45 329 27732 26001 50 333 60 338 50 340 43 327 26001 24193 49 330 48 336 51 333 41 326 24193 22313 49 328 43 330 47 333 38 321 22313 20355 45 324 43 322 33 334 34 317 20355 18314 42 319 36 308 30 316 30 315 18314 16233 38 309 34 300 34 296 29 304 16233 14227 35 302 36 302 34 294 36 301 14227 12404 32 299 37 303 33 298 36 303 12404 10787 32 300 32 304 28 303 28 303 10787 9351 26 297 25 309 24 318 21 307 9351 8075 18 299 23 331 26 341 18 333 8075 6943 21 333 25 340 27 355 18 357 6943 5942 26 343 28 002 26 012 20 015 5942 5064 28 345 34 014 29 028 24 029 5064 4293 28 339 36 016 33 032 29 035 4293 3606 26 335 36 016 36 029 34 036 3606 2998 24*331 35 016 37 026 36 035 2998 2491 19*324 33 016 36 024 36 034 2491 2100 17 320 29 016 33 023 33 033 2100 1832 15 318 24 015 26 021 25 030 1832 1670 14 318 21 015 21*020 20 029 1670 1577 11 317 16*015 11*018 10*027 1577 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography