DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/11 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.2 - - 85.4 - - 84.7 - - 77.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 180 - - 84 - - -7 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3864 - - 4707 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3793 - - 4043 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5249 - - 6092 - - 1580 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2006 - - 2793 - - 7121 - - 3019 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 381 - - 331 - - 58 - - 37 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 19 - - 10 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 170 - - 164 - - 143 - - 138 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 8 - - 5 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1003 - - 724 - - -2859 - - -573 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4246 - - 5368 - - 4440 - - 2152 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -209 - - -654 - - -3864 - - -1809 ODpotential blCL - - - 5458 - - 6746 - - 5444 - - 3388 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 83 - - 96 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 1290 - - 1380 - - 2390 - - 2260 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.2 - - 85.4 - - 84.7 - - 77.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 68.6 - - 67.0 - - 70.1 - - 72.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.8 - - 84.7 - - 84.9 - - 77.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 67.5 - - 65.9 - - 69.3 - - 72.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 180 - - 84 - - -7 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3864 - - 4707 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 32 - - 33 - - 84 - - 77 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 14 - - 16 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98531 38 083 49 099 48 085 38 091 98531 91126 40 093 36 088 36 100 34 081 91126 85408 43 100 28 084 30 104 27 087 85408 80644 38 093 30 092 30 085 29 094 80644 76548 30 080 34 098 32 078 34 090 76548 72961 24 076 35 097 29 081 35 082 72961 69738 21 090 29 091 25 085 29 076 69738 66795 22 095 21 084 20 088 21 078 66795 64080 22 101 14 079 16 095 16 087 64080 61461 21 107 10 093 13 085 15 089 61461 58738 16 102 13 117 9 077 13 078 58738 55923 17 095 19 111 8 091 11 074 55923 53244 20 090 21 097 12 101 11 068 53244 50843 13 070 17 073 14 102 8 064 50843 48690 9 044 13 029 10 076 7 034 48690 46728 11 017 15 015 12 044 9 043 46728 44923 11 015 11 019 13 022 9 037 44923 43249 6 026 5 014 10 008 8 012 43249 41680 3 100 1 241 8 355 7 359 41680 40200 5 124 3 196 6 006 6 022 40200 38798 5 100 1 170 8 038 6 055 38798 37438 6 083 2 107 7 035 5 071 37438 36056 8 076 4 111 5 019 4 065 36056 34621 8 070 5 117 5 017 8 061 34621 33137 5 085 3 155 9 027 9 035 33137 31590 3 102 3 199 9 022 12 012 31590 29969 5 032 4 023 8 013 15 003 29969 28276 3 337 9 342 10 331 13 353 28276 26510 3 054 9 323 12 314 9 326 26510 24675 6 031 8 324 9 311 8 306 24675 22772 13 027 9 003 6 316 8 303 22772 20790 10 028 11 022 5 011 4 321 20790 18723 4 008 9 004 8 006 8 009 18723 16616 2 294 6 338 9 342 11 017 16616 14584 2 113 3 277 10 311 9 012 14584 12734 6 164 7 207 13 281 7 356 12734 11088 16 185 17 200 11 248 2 303 11088 9625 21 187 21 186 16 191 10 215 9625 8324 23 186 23 176 20 180 16 199 8324 7168 23 182 23 167 21 171 19 194 7168 6141 22*176 22*165 22 164 20 184 6141 5233 21*173 22*164 22 161 22 169 5233 4430 20 171 21 164 22 158 26 158 4430 3711 19 170 20 163 22 156 28 151 3711 3074 19 170 20 163 21 152 28 148 3074 2542 18 170 19 163 20 149 26 145 2542 2132 17 170 18 163 18 147 23 143 2132 1849 16 170 17 163 16 146 18 140 1849 1678 15 170 15 163 14*144 15 139 1678 1579 12 169 12 163 10*143 10*138 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography