DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/25 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1000z - - 1338z - - 1604z - - 1901z - - 2202z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.0 - - 69.2 - - 77.2 - - 79.0 - - 69.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 16 - - 315 - - 305 - - 30 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 2244 - - 3832 - - 3544 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit 1561 - - 2764 - - 3943 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 1578 - - 3629 - - 5217 - - 4929 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1809 - - 526 - - 1380 - - 2967 - - 292 Hgt.Variab. W* 66 - - 372 - - 436 - - 208 - - 19 W* B/S 2 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 14 - - 12 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 346 - - 343 - - 346 - - 011 - - 042 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -6 - - -5 - - -5 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -694 - - -1043 - - -2552 - - -4428 - - -4291 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2272 - - 4673 - - 7770 - - 9357 - - 5870 sfcLCL ODpotential -6089 - - -5670 - - -6405 - - -8032 - - -8561 ODpotential blCL 7667 - - 9299 - - 11622 - - 12961 - - 10140 blCL maxRH 100 - - 88 - - 55 - - 41 - - 42 maxRH CAPE 910 - - 450 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 61.0 - - 69.2 - - 77.2 - - 79.0 - - 69.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 56.3 - - 54.0 - - 48.6 - - 43.4 - - 49.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.6 - - 67.1 - - 75.1 - - 78.5 - - 71.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 55.7 - - 52.8 - - 47.4 - - 42.2 - - 48.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 16 - - 315 - - 305 - - 30 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 2244 - - 3832 - - 3544 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 53 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 9 - - 7 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98119 13 105 9 131 5 101 7 054 12 064 98119 90716 19 096 15 112 12 122 11 068 16 076 90716 85038 23 066 21 108 18 104 19 087 15 085 85038 80313 18 072 22 095 21 095 22 089 19 100 80313 76239 18 091 19 069 24 101 19 086 20 101 76239 72636 17 116 15 064 24 099 17 107 18 094 72636 69366 18 142 9 125 15 070 17 108 19 102 69366 66364 14 153 16 155 7 066 11 087 14 126 66364 63608 16 153 15 175 8 242 4 004 9 149 63608 60973 14 156 14 188 17 226 10 279 7 228 60973 58219 15 183 22 231 29 220 23 251 16 248 58219 55336 24 232 31 228 32 237 29 244 19 267 55336 52565 37 234 42 231 42 246 35 250 29 267 52565 50061 31 246 40 231 41 253 36 253 33 264 50061 47814 35 268 36 259 43 263 40 268 47 272 47814 45801 60 276 56 264 52 266 56 276 64 268 45801 43994 81 264 74 258 74 263 77 262 63 262 43994 42335 86 252 82 254 86 253 76 253 58 263 42335 40779 85 244 84 249 80 244 58 263 64 282 40779 39318 83 240 77 244 70 264 64 289 74 288 39318 37942 78 235 64 256 78 282 79 295 80 290 37942 36614 64 242 76 278 87 287 87 293 83 293 36614 35267 65 271 91 283 93 287 90 292 85 293 35267 33872 84 281 95 280 95 285 91 293 84 292 33872 32429 95 278 92 277 96 285 93 295 83 291 32429 30925 93 276 91 278 97 285 95 296 83 293 30925 29345 89 276 89 280 97 285 95 296 83 294 29345 27689 87 279 85 280 96 286 93 295 83 295 27689 25954 77 283 80 281 90 288 91 297 82 297 25954 24143 59 281 68 277 78 280 82 296 81 299 24143 22260 53 266 56 264 69 270 71 291 80 305 22260 20303 61 258 55 256 68 260 63 285 74 308 20303 18277 53 263 60 260 67 262 56 282 64 300 18277 16227 43 274 52 276 54 279 57 278 59 293 16227 14257 29 273 37 286 32 289 51 286 56 295 14257 12463 26 251 25 262 26 270 40 295 47 293 12463 10865 25 238 30 246 28 253 27 295 34 300 10865 9444 20 238 30 246 26 251 21 294 23 302 9444 8176 12 257 19 239 19 270 17 301 18 311 8176 7049 14 241 18 248 18 302 12 315 9 328 7049 6047 19 210 17 260 17*324 9 336 8 004 6047 5162 19 204 12 283 13*339 8*343 10 017 5162 4376 10 225 13 324 13 342 7*357 12 023 4376 3671 7 311 14*340 13 345 7 005 13 026 3671 3046 13 342 14*342 13 348 7 012 15 030 3046 2522 12 344 15 343 12 350 7 016 15 035 2522 2120 12 344 14 344 12 352 7 019 15 038 2120 1843 10 345 13 344 11 353 7 020 13 041 1843 1675 9*346 13 344 10 354 6 021 8*042 1675 1579 7*346 11 345 9 353 5 022 5*042 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography