DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/29 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.3 - - 59.5 - - 56.9 - - 46.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 133 - - 70 - - -19 - - -79 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1228 - - 1719 - - 193 - - 192 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1688 - - 1561 - - 1561 - - 1560 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2613 - - 3104 - - 1578 - - 1577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 741 - - 1186 - - 3359 - - 992 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 231 - - 216 - - 23 - - 42 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 13 - - 5 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 229 - - 256 - - 342 - - 003 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -7 - - -2 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -80 - - -442 - - -1413 - - -1828 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2693 - - 3546 - - 2991 - - 3405 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7028 - - -6601 - - -3958 - - -11384 ODpotential blCL - - - 9641 - - 9705 - - 5536 - - 12961 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 82 - - 74 - - 55 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.3 - - 59.5 - - 56.9 - - 46.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.1 - - 49.5 - - 49.4 - - 37.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.3 - - 58.8 - - 60.1 - - 48.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.8 - - 48.1 - - 48.2 - - 36.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 133 - - 70 - - -19 - - -79 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1228 - - 1719 - - 193 - - 192 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 42 - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96618 42 238 61 229 60 258 34 271 96618 89304 45 247 49 242 51 257 38 273 89304 83682 40 265 43 256 38 255 37 272 83682 79031 28 265 31 258 31 253 31 267 79031 75031 21 257 20 265 27 243 32 260 75031 71502 19 266 23 281 20 260 30 267 71502 68345 26 280 26 286 26 290 26 267 68345 65484 30 275 36 276 30 282 25 258 65484 62844 34 273 40 275 34 286 35 272 62844 60300 42 279 46 287 42 282 44 273 60300 57658 49 280 50 289 42 278 45 267 57658 54904 53 277 54 282 51 274 51 266 54904 52247 57 277 60 274 64 268 66 265 52247 49830 64 279 65 272 68 261 77 263 49830 47642 76 275 75 275 73 265 87 265 47642 45638 89 271 85 277 84 275 92 268 45638 43794 98 268 89 272 94 277 97 270 43794 42092 110 266 99 266 100 272 104 269 42092 40517 118 266 116 264 117 265 113 264 40517 39049 121 267 123 263 126 263 121 263 39049 37672 116 269 115 264 122 265 124 265 37672 36343 104 272 109 267 120 269 120 266 36343 34994 98 273 105 272 118 273 117 268 34994 33595 91 273 98 270 115 278 114 275 33595 32150 87 276 93 267 104 279 111 279 32150 30643 86 280 92 268 97 275 104 278 30643 29058 82 280 90 270 94 273 96 277 29058 27399 77 277 84 275 83 276 87 276 27399 25663 74 275 79 277 78 277 82 278 25663 23854 71 275 75 278 75 277 77 282 23854 21986 65 275 67 277 68 278 66 279 21986 20055 55 276 56 279 56 278 51 280 20055 18049 45 281 45 282 46 280 44 293 18049 16004 37 290 38 286 42 287 43 293 16004 14031 35 299 34 298 36 288 40 292 14031 12235 34 296 31 305 34 294 37 294 12235 10642 26 288 29 311 35 304 34 304 10642 9229 20 290 26 310 34 316 27 318 9229 7980 20 300 22 307 27 327 18 333 7980 6872 25 305 17 311 19 335 17 345 6872 5890 27 301 18 317 16 339 21 001 5890 5024 27 281 20 308 19 348 24 006 5024 4259 26 252 19 293 22 354 26 004 4259 3575 25 233 16*273 24 356 29 001 3575 2974 24*230 14*259 24 357 34 002 2974 2474 18*229 14 256 21 356 34 003 2474 2091 17 229 13 255 17 354 30 004 2091 1828 16 229 12 254 12 350 23 003 1828 1669 15 228 11 254 8*347 19*003 1669 1577 12 228 9 253 5*342 11*003 1577 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography