DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/18 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.7 - - 64.1 - - 71.2 - - 68.5 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 106 - - 331 - - 262 - - -14 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth 864 - - 2438 - - 3360 - - 193 - - - BL Depth Hcrit 1560 - - 2909 - - 3522 - - 1562 - - - Hcrit BL Top 2249 - - 3823 - - 4745 - - 1578 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1300 - - 624 - - 812 - - 3922 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* 187 - - 383 - - 395 - - 37 - - - W* B/S 3 - - 5 - - 7 - - 1 - - - B/S BL Wind 13 - - 15 - - 10 - - 7 - - - BL Wind Direction 183 - - 189 - - 170 - - 156 - - - Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1274 - - -2112 - - -2927 - - -5242 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3523 - - 5935 - - 7672 - - 6820 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential -11762 - - -10248 - - -10634 - - -12915 - - - ODpotential blCL 14011 - - 14071 - - 15379 - - 14493 - - - blCL maxRH 74 - - 67 - - 75 - - 51 - - - maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m 52.7 - - 64.1 - - 71.2 - - 68.5 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.0 - - 43.8 - - 43.3 - - 44.4 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.8 - - 62.0 - - 69.2 - - 69.0 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.2 - - 42.7 - - 42.1 - - 43.6 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 106 - - 331 - - 262 - - -14 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth 864 - - 2438 - - 3360 - - 193 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96909 27 282 30 273 34 277 39 272 96909 89660 30 275 27 265 35 276 27 282 89660 84114 29 274 20 270 21 276 25 274 84114 79482 13 283 7 294 9 228 13 260 79482 75498 4 294 8 358 1 312 1 346 75498 71986 3 019 10 031 8 031 6 036 71986 68818 13 037 10 023 11 038 13 027 68818 65930 18 024 11 024 11 035 12 023 65930 63276 20 012 18 023 15 011 15 023 63276 60710 18 004 19 014 15 003 13 010 60710 58019 23 002 21 014 22 018 19 015 58019 55213 36 352 35 356 31 359 26 358 55213 52542 41 336 40 338 36 341 35 354 52542 50148 39 333 34 332 34 335 33 341 50148 47993 36 340 24 336 21 340 28 351 47993 46031 35 359 26 360 31 011 47 010 46031 44248 59 010 49 009 53 008 56 008 44248 42615 65 000 55 005 55 007 51 009 42615 41094 55 356 47 003 57 018 56 013 41094 39658 49 359 50 014 67 022 56 014 39658 38293 47 002 59 017 70 021 55 015 38293 36966 40 022 69 018 65 018 53 013 36966 35610 44 028 70 019 61 017 49 014 35610 34199 45 025 68 020 58 016 46 013 34199 32737 38 023 62 022 55 014 46 009 32737 31210 35 014 53 024 50 008 44 358 31210 29608 40 013 46 023 41 002 42 350 29608 27929 40 016 34 013 35 358 38 348 27929 26174 37 010 32 003 34 356 37 347 26174 24347 30 355 33 356 31 357 35 346 24347 22450 24 344 30 350 34 358 32 354 22450 20474 22 348 30 352 34 357 32 003 20474 18416 19 329 23 344 27 007 30 011 18416 16321 15 309 18 334 19 006 24 016 16321 14306 11 301 15 309 12 343 18 010 14306 12474 7 297 8 291 11 318 13 006 12474 10850 4 286 4 285 5 304 10 004 10850 9410 2 229 4 185 4 221 5 351 9410 8132 3 190 9 168 9 187 4 254 8132 6997 3 191 11 171 12 181 9 204 6997 5995 6 202 12 176 12 176 11 178 5995 5115 13 204 15 186 11*171 12 167 5115 4340 21 200 16*188 11*170 13 163 4340 3643 25 192 16*189 11 171 13 161 3643 3027 25 188 16 189 11 170 13 160 3027 2510 22*186 16 189 11 170 12 159 2510 2113 16*184 15 190 10 170 12 157 2113 1840 14 183 14 189 10 170 11 157 1840 1674 13 183 13 190 9 171 9*157 1674 1578 10 183 11 189 8 171 7*156 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography