DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/04 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.9 - - 81.2 - - 78.4 - - 68.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 70 - - 252 - - -19 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1263 - - 4507 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1562 - - 4375 - - 1563 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2648 - - 5892 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2704 - - 2787 - - 7222 - - 1665 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 186 - - 430 - - 38 - - 40 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 15 - - 8 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 175 - - 164 - - 161 - - 141 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 367 - - 380 - - -3379 - - -295 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2281 - - 5513 - - 4958 - - 1874 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -201 - - -305 - - -4321 - - -5215 ODpotential blCL - - - 2849 - - 6197 - - 5900 - - 6794 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 80 - - 91 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 1930 - - 2080 - - 1910 - - 1560 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.9 - - 81.2 - - 78.4 - - 68.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 65.9 - - 62.2 - - 61.9 - - 64.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.1 - - 79.5 - - 78.8 - - 69.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 65.6 - - 61.7 - - 61.6 - - 64.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 70 - - 252 - - -19 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1263 - - 4507 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 83 - - 19 - - 64 - - 93 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 12 - - 12 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96782 41 267 35 270 28 277 37 264 96782 89526 34 260 42 252 41 260 38 270 89526 83978 31 256 35 255 39 259 35 275 83978 79363 18 246 20 245 28 268 18 284 79363 75412 6 241 8 239 13 276 9 306 75412 71966 3 158 5 234 7 314 6 001 71966 68890 8 087 4 190 5 003 7 033 68890 66089 13 079 9 104 8 085 8 085 66089 63495 12 050 9 026 7 075 5 068 63495 60971 14 004 12 356 5 013 5 124 60971 58319 19 338 16 349 7 324 2 249 58319 55533 19 320 18 327 15 313 9 291 55533 52837 21 296 22 292 17 292 16 274 52837 50375 26 275 26 270 23 271 23 267 50375 48142 29 254 31 265 29 264 27 268 48142 46100 32 257 37 263 32 263 28 268 46100 44218 35 259 38 261 31 261 28 266 44218 42471 37 264 39 264 30 264 29 269 42471 40839 38 269 40 267 32 271 31 274 40839 39313 39 270 39 269 35 275 33 277 39313 37887 39 262 37 270 34 267 36 277 37887 36531 40 257 37 264 30 261 36 256 36531 35186 44 257 37 259 25 269 36 232 35186 33810 42 255 38 256 26 272 34 232 33810 32383 36 255 35 254 25 265 35 236 32383 30893 31 255 33 251 25 254 37 243 30893 29327 31 254 30 243 24 252 34 249 29327 27687 32 253 25 245 22 249 28 246 27687 25970 30 241 23 252 21 244 24 241 25970 24179 21 242 25 252 24 253 23 240 24179 22318 18 227 24 234 25 247 25 252 22318 20387 13 202 24 231 24 241 28 265 20387 18377 9 183 20 212 26 237 27 271 18377 16327 4 163 12 194 21 218 25 272 16327 14349 4 125 4 214 10 265 21 272 14349 12546 1 051 8 344 11 319 16 272 12546 10939 7 294 10 351 8 350 14 257 10939 9507 7 263 7 219 1 231 13 223 9507 8227 16 206 16 189 7 190 14 201 8227 7085 23 191 18 183 9 181 12 191 7085 6070 24 190 18*180 12 170 11 175 6070 5173 25 190 17*169 13 166 15 162 5173 4379 25 189 16 166 14 164 20 156 4379 3668 24 185 16 164 15 162 27 150 3668 3042 22*181 15 162 15 162 32 145 3042 2520 19*177 14 161 15 161 31 144 2520 2119 17 175 14 160 14 160 28 143 2119 1843 15 174 13 160 13 160 23 142 1843 1675 13 173 12 160 11 160 18*141 1675 1579 11 172 10 159 8*161 12*141 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography