DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/07 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.8 - - 89.5 - - 85.0 - - 78.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 251 - - 187 - - 16 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4318 - - 4262 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4261 - - 4100 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5703 - - 5647 - - 1580 - - 1580 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1439 - - 4137 - - 5791 - - 1924 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 434 - - 396 - - 68 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 41 - - 11 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 277 - - 165 - - 186 - - 153 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 31 - - 4 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 554 - - -241 - - -1993 - - -52 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5149 - - 5888 - - 3573 - - 1632 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2245 - - -1602 - - -3121 - - -2013 ODpotential blCL - - - 7948 - - 7249 - - 4701 - - 3593 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 79 - - 86 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 3210 - - 3370 - - 4860 - - 5050 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.8 - - 89.5 - - 85.0 - - 78.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 69.1 - - 68.5 - - 73.8 - - 75.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.0 - - 88.0 - - 84.9 - - 78.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 68.0 - - 67.5 - - 73.1 - - 74.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 251 - - 187 - - 16 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4318 - - 4262 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 12 - - 17 - - 46 - - 68 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 15 - - 19 - - 20 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98034 12 091 8 102 16 075 12 061 98034 90596 11 081 9 075 10 086 14 044 90596 84888 5 067 8 103 13 047 9 041 84888 80188 7 108 9 100 3 117 8 359 80188 76150 10 110 10 080 3 073 3 070 76150 72579 8 106 5 097 3 119 2 144 72579 69354 4 068 3 125 2 158 1 210 69354 66401 9 157 13 182 14 225 13 257 66401 63696 8 270 8 247 14 220 14 223 63696 61098 26 263 23 270 22 272 18 273 61098 58394 33 257 35 262 34 268 28 266 58394 55575 47 252 41 245 42 257 32 233 55575 52837 57 241 52 244 46 250 42 248 52837 50349 61 241 60 242 49 250 58 257 50349 48149 68 252 66 249 66 254 76 257 48149 46189 90 258 80 253 94 253 100 250 46189 44412 103 254 99 250 107 248 109 246 44412 42771 102 252 107 249 106 246 102 250 42771 41231 98 254 106 251 101 247 98 256 41231 39774 91 259 97 255 95 249 95 253 39774 38393 86 260 87 256 93 252 84 251 38393 37055 83 262 83 257 97 258 78 258 37055 35694 79 266 82 259 83 267 75 263 35694 34283 74 266 78 264 64 269 62 262 34283 32825 69 265 75 269 56 267 52 259 32825 31305 67 265 70 271 54 267 49 258 31305 29709 63 264 63 271 53 263 48 251 29709 28039 57 255 55 263 49 254 49 245 28039 26297 54 251 52 253 48 247 46 245 26297 24489 50 256 52 251 47 249 40 250 24489 22613 43 255 51 257 44 259 37 261 22613 20661 37 254 47 259 40 266 33 268 20661 18625 35 255 43 258 37 266 29 268 18625 16546 37 257 41 258 35 266 30 273 16546 14540 36 255 37 251 33 264 33 274 14540 12711 31 237 35 239 29 259 34 271 12711 11085 25 223 29 233 26 245 35 268 11085 9636 18 225 22 225 24 245 34 265 9636 8343 11 227 16 216 17 242 30 264 8343 7189 4 244 12 210 15 196 23 261 7189 6163 3*259 10*202 16 191 17 258 6163 5256 3*263 8*193 15 190 11 220 5256 4452 2 269 7 176 15 191 11 185 4452 3729 2 276 6 165 13 192 14 183 3729 3087 2 280 6 158 12 192 17 175 3087 2550 2 287 6 155 11 190 19 168 2550 2137 1 291 7 153 10 189 18 164 2137 1852 1 294 7 151 9 188 15 159 1852 1679 1 292 6 150 8*187 11*155 1679 1580 1 294 6 149 6*186 7*153 1580 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography