DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/03 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.0 - - 61.1 - - 67.8 - - 61.3 - - 53.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 22 - - 134 - - 122 - - -26 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 1685 - - 2874 - - 193 - - 192 BL Depth Hcrit 1561 - - 2039 - - 2834 - - 1561 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top 1578 - - 3070 - - 4259 - - 1578 - - 1577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1314 - - 467 - - 1106 - - 2946 - - 233 Hgt.Variab. W* 67 - - 255 - - 296 - - 30 - - 17 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 8 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 9 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 211 - - 246 - - 324 - - 354 - - 017 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - -3 - - -2 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 617 - - -207 - - -1453 - - -310 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1578 - - 2453 - - 4466 - - 3032 - - 1887 sfcLCL ODpotential 0 - - 160 - - -3732 - - -6271 - - -6981 ODpotential blCL 1578 - - 2910 - - 7991 - - 7849 - - 8558 blCL maxRH 100 - - 98 - - 80 - - 61 - - 76 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 60 - - 50 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.0 - - 61.1 - - 67.8 - - 61.3 - - 53.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 55.7 - - 55.7 - - 53.7 - - 53.5 - - 50.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.6 - - 59.9 - - 66.6 - - 63.1 - - 55.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 55.7 - - 54.8 - - 52.6 - - 52.5 - - 50.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 22 - - 134 - - 122 - - -26 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 1685 - - 2874 - - 193 - - 192 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 90 - - 18 - - 0 - - 2 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96466 30 238 43 254 39 257 38 273 31 279 96466 89249 43 247 46 257 42 255 34 260 35 267 89249 83702 38 254 35 265 37 251 33 271 34 259 83702 79120 25 264 21 257 25 251 32 271 27 268 79120 75193 20 282 13 236 15 255 24 271 24 278 75193 71714 21 264 13 276 11 259 18 271 21 280 71714 68555 19 253 19 298 13 289 15 263 17 262 68555 65647 21 263 24 271 22 278 18 261 19 271 65647 62976 29 267 29 260 34 251 29 275 33 273 62976 60442 32 269 33 266 39 251 37 271 36 273 60442 57801 37 272 36 272 42 266 41 265 39 275 57801 55015 46 271 44 268 52 274 48 265 46 273 55015 52309 55 267 55 263 58 268 61 268 59 270 52309 49853 61 263 62 260 68 265 75 265 78 268 49853 47641 66 262 71 256 76 259 87 261 92 265 47641 45619 71 262 72 256 79 257 89 258 93 261 45619 43749 76 266 74 264 79 260 87 262 90 263 43749 42017 78 271 79 270 80 267 84 267 95 267 42017 40413 79 274 81 271 83 272 87 270 105 269 40413 38926 78 276 82 273 89 273 94 277 107 272 38926 37547 75 276 83 276 92 277 102 283 111 277 37547 36227 74 278 85 278 95 279 106 283 115 279 36227 34890 74 277 85 278 94 276 102 278 110 277 34890 33505 71 276 81 276 90 275 97 278 101 273 33505 32073 68 278 78 278 87 276 91 278 93 273 32073 30577 65 278 73 279 82 277 91 283 89 283 30577 29012 62 278 68 276 76 276 84 285 75 281 29012 27379 61 280 67 275 71 275 71 278 70 275 27379 25671 60 282 64 276 67 275 65 275 67 275 25671 23890 57 282 57 277 60 276 61 277 60 281 23890 22041 51 282 47 278 48 277 52 279 49 283 22041 20127 37 276 39 280 37 284 38 281 39 288 20127 18135 29 261 31 280 31 286 29 287 34 295 18135 16100 26 273 25 283 27 288 27 291 31 297 16100 14136 25 289 25 292 27 298 25 300 26 298 14136 12347 25 295 27 298 20 302 22 311 20 298 12347 10755 19 292 27 299 17 299 18 315 18 302 10755 9336 13 297 24 296 15 300 17 327 15 321 9336 8071 13 308 19 289 12 292 16 336 11 348 8071 6945 15 310 13 272 12 280 15 327 11 000 6945 5948 17 300 7 262 12 291 12 327 11 006 5948 5071 18 275 9 278 10 313 11 351 17 016 5071 4301 18 235 14 275 9*318 12 009 21 017 4301 3614 20 219 13*253 8*320 14 009 23 020 3614 3004 21 214 10*247 7 323 16 005 23 024 3004 2495 19 212 10 246 6 324 16 001 22 026 2495 2104 16 211 9 246 6 326 15 359 20 028 2104 1834 14 211 9 245 5 326 13 357 16 027 1834 1671 11*211 8 245 5 327 10*356 11 022 1671 1577 9*211 7 246 4 328 5*354 6*017 1577 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography