DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/05 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 71.4 - - 77.0 - - 77.7 - - 73.4 - - 69.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 70 - - 236 - - 149 - - -9 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1347 - - 2686 - - 3910 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit 1562 - - 3000 - - 3700 - - 1563 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 2732 - - 4071 - - 5295 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1130 - - 1059 - - 1267 - - 3788 - - 2375 Hgt.Variab. W* 197 - - 360 - - 352 - - 31 - - 18 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 18 - - 17 - - 15 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 030 - - 029 - - 030 - - 027 - - 028 Direction Wind Shear 8 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - -5 - - -8 - - -3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 310 - - 322 - - 1357 - - -918 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2422 - - 3749 - - 3938 - - 2497 - - 1579 sfcLCL ODpotential -2881 - - -2362 - - 586 - - -1832 - - -1354 ODpotential blCL 5613 - - 6433 - - 4709 - - 3411 - - 2933 blCL maxRH 95 - - 85 - - 97 - - 89 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 70 - - 140 - - 230 - - 340 - - 210 CAPE Temp@2m 71.4 - - 77.0 - - 77.7 - - 73.4 - - 69.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 65.9 - - 65.7 - - 65.6 - - 67.5 - - 67.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 70.8 - - 75.3 - - 76.4 - - 73.6 - - 70.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 65.2 - - 64.8 - - 64.7 - - 67.2 - - 67.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 70 - - 236 - - 149 - - -9 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1347 - - 2686 - - 3910 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 81 - - 41 - - 89 - - 55 - - 59 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 14 - - 13 - - 13 - - 15 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98172 5 137 3 189 9 199 4 252 2 120 98172 90759 9 125 12 148 15 140 8 151 4 036 90759 85043 10 129 12 124 15 103 9 122 10 092 85043 80289 10 127 11 106 14 098 11 123 12 096 80289 76209 7 105 11 117 13 124 8 131 8 086 76209 72641 6 076 8 098 7 105 7 139 9 069 72641 69437 5 067 7 135 3 036 6 076 12 071 69437 66521 9 114 6 085 5 018 10 038 12 054 66521 63845 12 103 6 137 1 200 8 343 10 031 63845 61275 7 058 4 114 5 313 8 330 13 349 61275 58626 8 042 10 155 5 206 6 269 10 295 58626 55898 19 341 12 001 3 079 6 205 10 252 55898 53306 23 320 20 328 13 326 8 315 10 300 53306 50970 19 311 17 319 16 314 15 316 17 301 50970 48856 16 320 20 314 20 314 21 307 24 294 48856 46913 13 315 22 306 25 307 26 298 29 288 46913 45112 13 302 23 295 26 291 29 290 31 283 45112 43429 19 290 23 279 28 277 32 281 33 277 43429 41846 27 275 26 271 30 273 31 274 32 269 41846 40350 28 269 28 263 29 266 32 265 34 258 40350 38933 27 269 25 256 30 257 34 257 38 252 38933 37558 25 266 22 254 29 251 35 254 36 253 37558 36155 21 262 21 250 28 248 37 251 35 254 36155 34695 19 257 24 249 28 249 40 250 36 254 34695 33183 20 251 27 251 29 250 40 252 36 255 33183 31609 21 248 30 251 33 252 35 253 33 259 31609 29966 20 252 29 255 34 258 32 255 31 259 29966 28256 15 277 19 264 31 265 32 261 31 262 28256 26478 15 288 21 278 20 279 25 267 28 267 26478 24631 17 300 19 289 17 286 18 278 20 270 24631 22713 16 316 16 307 13 304 15 289 15 293 22713 20715 13 330 11 322 9 295 12 298 15 305 20715 18631 12 333 10 332 7 306 10 319 13 311 18631 16506 6 331 7 273 8 282 7 324 5 303 16506 14471 1 146 7 216 10 266 6 343 5 041 14471 12637 6 065 3 068 1 038 4 056 5 095 12637 11008 8 020 9 036 9 025 7 038 5 097 11008 9554 9 023 8 044 7 024 6 019 4 066 9554 8257 11 042 7 058 5 033 5 001 5 030 8257 7104 13 058 12 058 10 050 5 039 4 345 7104 6083 16 063 17 053 14*036 10 047 4 333 6083 5182 20 065 19 044 16*030 15 035 7 017 5182 4389 23 061 19*034 16 030 18 031 15 031 4389 3680 24 052 18*030 16 030 18 031 19 035 3680 3052 23*038 18 029 16 030 18 030 20 038 3052 2527 20*032 18 029 16 031 17 029 20 037 2527 2123 19 030 17 029 15 031 15 028 18 034 2123 1844 17 029 16 028 14 031 13 027 14 030 1844 1676 16 030 15 028 13 031 11*027 11*028 1676 1579 12 029 12 029 11 031 8*027 6*028 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography