DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/05 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.5 - - 74.3 - - 71.9 - - 68.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 45 - - 97 - - -14 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 194 - - 2482 - - 194 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1562 - - 2454 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1579 - - 3867 - - 1579 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3856 - - 2727 - - 3914 - - 2234 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 95 - - 267 - - 42 - - 26 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 21 - - 12 - - 14 BL Wind Direction - - - 164 - - 160 - - 132 - - 139 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 8 - - 4 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1247 - - 539 - - -1561 - - -985 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2827 - - 3329 - - 3140 - - 2563 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1828 - - -402 - - -2721 - - -4451 ODpotential blCL - - - 3407 - - 4269 - - 4300 - - 6029 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 89 - - 90 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 1780 - - 1950 - - 1410 - - 960 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.5 - - 74.3 - - 71.9 - - 68.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 65.1 - - 64.7 - - 63.2 - - 62.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.1 - - 73.6 - - 72.3 - - 68.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 63.9 - - 63.9 - - 62.8 - - 62.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 45 - - 97 - - -14 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 194 - - 2482 - - 194 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 83 - - 54 - - 59 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 13 - - 13 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96727 38 251 42 269 42 270 41 267 96727 89466 41 258 40 262 40 266 42 272 89466 83905 36 255 34 257 38 275 29 274 83905 79318 24 242 23 259 30 275 19 283 79318 75384 12 226 14 240 16 262 11 287 75384 71922 5 208 14 175 12 197 6 245 71922 68823 7 160 11 174 10 155 9 133 68823 66002 19 163 10 191 9 145 13 130 66002 63390 20 158 18 174 17 163 16 148 63390 60852 18 158 21 172 20 170 21 183 60852 58190 13 163 25 176 27 184 27 200 58190 55408 17 191 22 186 27 182 33 200 55408 52721 18 243 23 227 27 205 33 204 52721 50268 30 253 31 247 27 232 31 217 50268 48040 29 253 35 253 34 245 33 231 48040 46003 37 261 37 259 39 254 35 241 46003 44129 41 255 41 261 42 260 41 249 44129 42389 40 251 43 260 40 260 43 250 42389 40764 39 252 43 259 38 259 40 251 40764 39244 40 256 43 260 39 260 39 254 39244 37827 39 259 43 262 43 263 43 258 37827 36484 36 258 41 262 46 266 49 260 36484 35145 36 256 37 264 46 267 48 259 35145 33765 31 248 35 267 41 266 45 258 33765 32337 23 245 35 263 37 261 41 255 32337 30845 23 244 34 258 33 255 38 249 30845 29277 20 240 30 252 29 249 36 243 29277 27636 16 240 26 247 27 243 33 237 27636 25921 15 241 27 244 27 239 31 232 25921 24134 19 239 27 240 27 236 30 226 24134 22281 20 241 25 229 27 235 26 224 22281 20359 18 243 23 227 28 239 26 229 20359 18360 14 248 24 238 30 236 27 224 18360 16320 9 267 17 252 25 219 24 216 16320 14344 7 296 9 268 9 212 24 209 14344 12538 5 303 8 261 8 207 22 201 12538 10926 5 272 7 246 9 208 15 197 10926 9486 8 232 13 206 10 243 11 203 9486 8198 13 212 19 183 18 221 14 199 8198 7055 18 213 23 178 23 198 20 189 7055 6042 25 195 26 176 25 179 23 178 6042 5150 30 178 26 171 25 164 23 164 5150 4362 30 173 25*164 27 151 25 152 4362 3657 29 170 24*162 27 144 30 144 3657 3036 27 169 23 161 27 140 31 141 3036 2517 26 167 22 160 26 137 29 140 2517 2117 24 166 21 159 23 135 26 140 2117 1842 22 166 19 159 20 133 23 139 1842 1674 18*165 17 158 17*132 19 139 1674 1578 14*164 13 158 12*132 14*139 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography