DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/11 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.9 - - 57.8 - - 51.4 - - 46.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 253 - - 187 - - -14 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2121 - - 3416 - - 192 - - 192 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2583 - - 3408 - - 1561 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3506 - - 4801 - - 1577 - - 1577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1483 - - 1166 - - 3733 - - 194 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 331 - - 352 - - 8 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 9 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 026 - - 037 - - 004 - - 028 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -10 - - -6 - - -3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6049 - - -5504 - - -6185 - - -4631 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9555 - - 10305 - - 7763 - - 6209 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -17729 - - -15818 - - -16798 - - -16369 ODpotential blCL - - - 21235 - - 20619 - - 18375 - - 17946 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 80 - - 33 - - 46 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.9 - - 57.8 - - 51.4 - - 46.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.1 - - 18.6 - - 23.6 - - 25.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.2 - - 56.3 - - 53.8 - - 50.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.0 - - 17.5 - - 22.9 - - 25.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 253 - - 187 - - -14 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2121 - - 3416 - - 192 - - 192 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 26 - - 22 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96389 45 257 51 262 58 262 61 267 96389 89121 42 262 46 269 41 272 40 255 89121 83621 28 251 35 272 33 281 22 269 83621 79099 12 235 19 255 22 271 18 301 79099 75195 6 270 10 232 18 277 21 309 75195 71741 10 279 10 256 18 285 17 301 71741 68614 7 267 8 247 17 272 14 277 68614 65734 13 274 13 271 18 260 16 275 65734 63056 22 265 24 264 24 254 28 278 63056 60462 32 252 29 251 29 261 39 268 60462 57757 34 246 38 257 35 261 36 265 57757 54937 39 250 41 256 36 263 38 269 54937 52230 46 250 41 256 40 261 45 265 52230 49785 50 247 42 254 44 257 50 265 49785 47589 49 244 49 256 52 258 56 267 47589 45600 52 246 56 256 58 256 64 264 45600 43786 59 247 61 255 59 255 66 261 43786 42120 64 245 66 250 61 252 65 258 42120 40579 67 242 65 243 61 247 59 255 40579 39140 68 242 61 239 61 243 61 246 39140 37788 71 242 62 240 66 239 60 241 37788 36484 68 243 64 243 69 236 58 240 36484 35157 65 245 62 245 68 239 59 239 35157 33775 63 247 61 244 63 243 57 240 33775 32340 58 246 60 244 55 246 54 242 32340 30835 51 243 55 245 50 249 50 246 30835 29255 49 239 43 238 44 246 42 251 29255 27601 45 238 39 228 36 248 36 251 27601 25874 41 241 37 235 31 246 32 253 25874 24071 31 250 36 247 27 243 30 256 24071 22193 21 259 22 260 25 248 27 259 22193 20236 14 263 12 254 19 246 20 265 20236 18194 13 257 13 252 13 239 14 240 18194 16110 12 254 13 252 13 257 11 247 16110 14103 12 256 12 274 12 259 11 272 14103 12279 8 245 10 280 9 279 11 277 12279 10660 5 340 4 331 8 286 8 292 10660 9227 10 341 9 359 10 342 8 341 9227 7963 8 349 8 357 12 005 11 020 7963 6850 9 023 8 030 10 035 10 031 6850 5874 14 040 10 046 9 057 7 057 5874 5018 16 048 10*044 8 063 6 074 5018 4261 17 046 10*042 8 057 7 080 4261 3583 16*041 10 039 7 044 7 082 3583 2982 14*031 9 038 7 030 7 080 2982 2480 12 026 9 036 7 020 7 072 2480 2095 12 025 9 034 6 012 6 063 2095 1830 11 024 8 033 6 007 5 054 1830 1669 10 024 8 034 6 005 4 043 1669 1577 9 024 7 033 4*004 3*028 1577 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography