DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/08 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.3 - - 65.8 - - 71.6 - - 73.1 - - 69.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 25 - - 105 - - 109 - - 19 - - 14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 784 - - 1260 - - 1246 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit 1561 - - 1562 - - 1563 - - 1563 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 1578 - - 2169 - - 2645 - - 2631 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 956 - - 547 - - 887 - - 1741 - - 1178 Hgt.Variab. W* 71 - - 183 - - 218 - - 124 - - 58 W* B/S 2 - - 6 - - 10 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 8 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 058 - - 113 - - 121 - - 162 - - 118 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -124 - - 530 - - 533 - - 337 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1702 - - 1639 - - 2112 - - 2294 - - 1579 sfcLCL ODpotential -8819 - - 103 - - 129 - - -383 - - -189 ODpotential blCL 10397 - - 2066 - - 2516 - - 3014 - - 1768 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 99 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 1390 - - 1100 - - 1260 - - 1460 - - 1330 CAPE Temp@2m 58.3 - - 65.8 - - 71.6 - - 73.1 - - 69.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 56.0 - - 63.5 - - 67.1 - - 67.8 - - 68.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.8 - - 64.9 - - 70.4 - - 72.7 - - 68.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 55.6 - - 62.8 - - 66.4 - - 67.5 - - 68.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 25 - - 105 - - 109 - - 19 - - 14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 784 - - 1260 - - 1246 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 99 - - 96 - - 100 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 13 - - 15 - - 15 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97749 10 320 5 264 8 253 20 314 14 340 97749 90392 7 040 3 000 2 233 8 284 11 332 90392 84694 11 012 6 329 5 321 5 300 10 300 84694 79948 7 311 5 288 7 335 7 281 7 274 79948 75873 13 290 1 248 9 271 11 292 11 306 75873 72300 12 293 7 309 9 242 12 301 16 310 72300 69113 14 292 9 266 8 247 6 256 11 294 69113 66200 12 285 8 264 8 266 4 250 4 078 66200 63495 12 296 14 266 12 290 12 295 15 322 63495 60904 17 258 21 251 18 231 18 268 11 262 60904 58198 13 217 23 299 24 273 16 265 19 278 58198 55354 43 268 53 270 47 270 35 259 38 263 55354 52635 64 261 71 254 65 259 61 258 58 258 52635 50198 76 252 79 249 81 251 77 254 72 254 50198 48028 88 245 86 245 92 244 89 247 89 251 48028 46077 96 239 88 243 98 240 94 244 99 248 46077 44293 100 238 92 244 100 241 97 243 104 247 44293 42631 103 239 99 244 106 245 100 243 106 246 42631 41067 106 241 100 244 110 246 102 245 108 246 41067 39589 106 242 97 243 110 245 104 246 109 247 39589 38189 101 243 94 244 107 244 105 246 108 249 38189 36832 93 241 93 245 101 245 102 248 99 249 36832 35456 86 238 92 245 93 246 91 249 88 245 35456 34036 82 238 88 244 86 247 81 248 81 239 34036 32576 79 240 81 241 80 244 77 244 77 236 32576 31058 75 241 74 237 77 239 75 240 73 236 31058 29469 68 244 71 235 74 236 74 241 68 238 29469 27811 60 248 68 235 71 236 70 242 61 242 27811 26083 53 249 65 237 69 238 65 244 53 248 26083 24287 47 250 62 245 64 245 61 247 45 257 24287 22426 41 252 50 252 55 253 55 251 35 269 22426 20491 40 251 41 255 44 261 47 257 29 279 20491 18471 39 253 38 258 34 263 35 263 25 281 18471 16406 34 256 30 255 29 258 25 266 22 277 16406 14413 27 251 18 237 24 241 19 257 20 267 14413 12597 20 245 13 239 24 221 21 239 18 256 12597 10977 15 239 14 236 22 222 23 233 19 253 10977 9533 12 217 17 236 17 229 24 246 21 260 9533 8245 15 199 19 225 15 243 17 253 22 273 8245 7098 19 198 21 212 15 226 13 238 19 283 7098 6081 21 204 20 205 15 215 12 230 8 297 6081 5185 21 212 18 208 12 219 9 228 2 242 5185 4392 20 199 13 221 8 224 7 219 4 157 4392 3680 15 182 7 233 5 219 7 198 6 146 3680 3049 9 176 5 191 3*131 8*173 11 132 3049 2523 5 079 6*129 4*121 9*164 12 122 2523 2121 7 061 6*114 4 121 9 162 12 119 2121 1843 7 061 6 112 4 121 9 161 11 118 1843 1675 6*060 6 112 4 121 8 161 9*118 1675 1579 5*058 5 113 4 121 7 161 7*118 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography