DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/01 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.0 - - 77.0 - - 73.7 - - 64.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 322 - - 256 - - -25 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2686 - - 3362 - - 194 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3082 - - 3515 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4071 - - 4747 - - 1579 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 576 - - 995 - - 4090 - - 1312 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 390 - - 392 - - 35 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 17 - - 8 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 162 - - 172 - - 174 - - 151 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 8 - - 3 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 49 - - -1023 - - -3333 - - -486 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4022 - - 5770 - - 4912 - - 2064 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5683 - - -5461 - - -8386 - - -7868 ODpotential blCL - - - 9754 - - 10208 - - 9965 - - 9446 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 75 - - 71 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 160 - - 140 - - 120 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.0 - - 77.0 - - 73.7 - - 64.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.6 - - 57.1 - - 57.6 - - 60.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.9 - - 75.3 - - 74.6 - - 65.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.2 - - 56.5 - - 57.2 - - 60.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 322 - - 256 - - -25 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2686 - - 3362 - - 194 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 72 - - 0 - - 0 - - 56 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 10 - - 11 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96537 24 244 24 245 27 266 24 270 96537 89310 25 264 18 253 22 269 19 292 89310 83797 22 262 23 261 23 277 14 254 83797 79204 16 255 20 267 21 265 21 283 79204 75233 18 243 21 268 23 259 21 287 75233 71748 17 302 12 257 13 286 16 298 71748 68640 12 321 15 302 15 311 15 306 68640 65805 39 332 28 326 23 333 21 344 65805 63178 43 316 38 318 33 317 34 331 63178 60628 39 312 40 316 36 314 41 326 60628 57965 44 305 44 308 42 312 43 316 57965 55203 46 299 43 300 46 308 45 312 55203 52555 48 302 43 299 47 305 46 309 52555 50153 51 304 45 296 49 303 48 301 50153 47984 55 300 50 293 53 301 52 299 47984 46006 61 296 55 293 54 300 54 301 46006 44188 64 294 58 292 56 298 56 302 44188 42507 62 295 59 292 56 295 56 303 42507 40944 59 297 58 293 52 292 54 302 40944 39483 53 295 52 295 46 293 49 303 39483 38111 46 293 49 297 43 294 42 305 38111 36792 44 290 48 295 44 295 31 301 36792 35454 42 291 48 293 44 295 26 308 35454 34067 39 296 48 297 44 297 26 314 34067 32631 38 304 48 301 43 302 26 314 32631 31131 38 302 42 303 38 303 23 311 31131 29555 36 299 33 308 31 300 18 314 29555 27902 36 303 28 309 23 304 15 313 27902 26170 33 306 29 304 22 310 14 307 26170 24365 28 303 28 308 24 311 18 308 24365 22490 24 297 24 311 24 315 20 314 22490 20537 20 290 21 310 21 325 19 319 20537 18500 14 291 21 305 18 321 15 317 18500 16421 12 296 19 303 20 310 17 308 16421 14418 11 287 13 289 20 305 15 300 14418 12592 9 278 12 266 16 275 13 281 12592 10966 6 247 11 244 18 250 15 265 10966 9516 9 225 15 236 18 246 15 256 9516 8223 15 223 18 215 19 231 12 243 8223 7071 20 215 23 204 25 210 16 233 7071 6049 22 205 22 188 23 186 23 214 6049 5153 20 187 19*174 22 174 25 204 5153 4363 16*166 18*172 21 173 22 192 4363 3657 16*163 18 172 21 173 20 175 3657 3034 16 162 18 172 20 172 23 160 3034 2514 15 162 17 172 19 173 25 154 2514 2115 15 161 17 172 17 173 24 153 2115 1840 14 161 16 172 14 174 18 152 1840 1674 13 161 15 172 11*174 14 151 1674 1578 11 161 12 172 8*174 8*151 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography