DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/15 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 69.1 - - 69.9 - - 71.6 - - 71.8 - - 71.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 64 - - 32 - - 31 - - 28 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 663 - - 804 - - 1105 - - 915 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit 1562 - - 1562 - - 1562 - - 1563 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 2048 - - 2189 - - 2490 - - 2300 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1661 - - 1803 - - 2167 - - 1716 - - 2475 Hgt.Variab. W* 146 - - 126 - - 142 - - 126 - - 30 W* B/S 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 17 - - 12 - - 7 - - 10 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 160 - - 184 - - 185 - - 186 - - 154 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 5 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 6 - - 5 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 470 - - 494 - - 560 - - 537 - - -990 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1579 - - 1695 - - 1930 - - 1763 - - 2569 sfcLCL ODpotential 144 - - -117 - - -136 - - -102 - - -3086 ODpotential blCL 1904 - - 2306 - - 2626 - - 2402 - - 4665 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 98 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 1260 - - 1270 - - 1670 - - 1910 - - 1340 CAPE Temp@2m 69.1 - - 69.9 - - 71.6 - - 71.8 - - 71.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 67.3 - - 67.3 - - 68.0 - - 68.8 - - 65.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 68.4 - - 69.4 - - 71.1 - - 71.4 - - 72.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 67.0 - - 66.9 - - 67.4 - - 68.5 - - 65.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 64 - - 32 - - 31 - - 28 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 663 - - 804 - - 1105 - - 915 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 101 - - 101 - - 92 - - 50 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 15 - - 15 - - 15 - - 16 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97468 34 298 42 305 30 302 39 311 36 326 97468 90081 34 323 30 316 29 329 38 330 29 325 90081 84395 20 346 22 351 15 325 23 320 27 343 84395 79725 8 325 14 349 12 332 7 336 12 318 79725 75725 3 185 5 291 10 323 8 015 7 085 75725 72216 13 169 11 206 7 258 6 271 5 046 72216 69037 7 168 10 179 13 190 9 217 4 294 69037 66116 6 342 12 190 15 176 21 191 19 221 66116 63452 19 243 13 242 11 215 17 200 24 214 63452 60900 32 228 34 231 22 230 24 217 22 205 60900 58211 38 232 43 231 39 235 39 236 32 241 58211 55388 55 228 58 236 56 234 53 233 49 227 55388 52668 70 230 73 234 67 235 63 232 57 227 52668 50208 81 230 82 233 76 235 76 234 75 240 50208 48019 79 230 86 237 85 236 90 232 93 243 48019 46054 78 238 90 241 89 238 92 231 102 240 46054 44257 92 243 102 243 99 242 96 237 105 239 44257 42591 105 243 113 240 113 241 111 241 111 240 42591 41033 112 241 116 237 121 238 120 240 116 240 41033 39565 110 240 113 236 122 238 119 239 115 240 39565 38175 100 237 108 235 111 239 114 239 106 241 38175 36830 90 232 93 231 93 237 104 242 98 246 36830 35467 83 229 80 226 82 235 93 242 92 248 35467 34058 72 225 77 224 72 234 83 237 84 246 34058 32605 66 220 68 220 56 231 75 237 78 243 32605 31091 64 217 56 216 57 231 65 238 72 243 31091 29504 60 215 60 217 56 232 60 234 62 240 29504 27845 57 217 65 215 60 228 57 231 56 235 27845 26115 57 222 63 216 61 223 56 230 53 235 26115 24315 54 226 59 219 60 224 55 231 49 237 24315 22446 48 230 53 225 56 226 53 233 45 238 22446 20502 45 233 46 232 51 229 50 237 43 243 20502 18475 40 233 42 236 44 234 44 245 40 249 18475 16412 33 228 37 236 34 238 34 251 35 258 16412 14424 28 225 30 225 28 232 23 244 29 266 14424 12611 23 228 26 216 25 228 22 241 21 258 12611 10992 20 233 14 215 17 219 16 252 15 257 10992 9546 18 240 8 223 13 210 15 260 15 266 9546 8255 16 246 11 234 12 217 12 249 17 277 8255 7105 16 237 15 231 13 221 11 213 12 263 7105 6086 17 215 18 209 16 201 13 188 10 197 6086 5189 21 194 19 195 18 191 15 177 12 175 5189 4395 24 179 19 190 18 187 17 173 17 165 4395 3683 26 170 18 187 16 185 17 174 23 159 3683 3054 26 166 17 186 14 186 16 177 26 156 3054 2529 24 164 15*185 11*185 14*181 26 156 2529 2124 22*161 14*184 8*186 11*184 24 155 2124 1845 19*161 13 184 7 186 10 186 19 155 1845 1676 17 160 12 185 7 185 9 186 14*154 1676 1579 14 160 9 184 6 186 7 187 10*154 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography