DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/14 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 75.6 - - 83.4 - - 86.9 - - 77.4 - - 76.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 33 - - 209 - - 146 - - 17 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 194 - - 3704 - - 4338 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit 1563 - - 3694 - - 3994 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top 1579 - - 5089 - - 5723 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2712 - - 1664 - - 2705 - - 1947 - - 2627 Hgt.Variab. W* 78 - - 381 - - 360 - - 62 - - 39 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 17 - - 16 - - 13 - - 12 BL Wind Direction 173 - - 170 - - 161 - - 123 - - 142 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -338 - - 737 - - 285 - - -100 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1917 - - 4352 - - 5438 - - 1679 - - 1579 sfcLCL ODpotential -809 - - -58 - - -510 - - -740 - - -622 ODpotential blCL 2388 - - 5147 - - 6233 - - 2319 - - 2201 blCL maxRH 100 - - 88 - - 87 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 1160 - - 1120 - - 1320 - - 2540 - - 2000 CAPE Temp@2m 75.6 - - 83.4 - - 86.9 - - 77.4 - - 76.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 72.0 - - 69.3 - - 68.1 - - 74.5 - - 73.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 75.1 - - 81.8 - - 85.7 - - 77.1 - - 75.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 71.8 - - 69.0 - - 67.8 - - 74.5 - - 73.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 33 - - 209 - - 146 - - 17 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 194 - - 3704 - - 4338 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 53 - - 49 - - 95 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 18 - - 15 - - 15 - - 19 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97888 33 252 25 270 26 259 22 289 28 261 97888 90505 12 250 19 245 25 243 23 277 17 294 90505 84853 10 271 13 237 12 220 20 253 13 316 84853 80163 8 314 5 258 4 309 6 200 8 327 80163 76120 5 328 7 113 2 333 2 332 5 097 76120 72576 2 102 9 125 9 162 2 277 9 017 72576 69380 3 108 13 111 11 130 11 125 3 085 69380 66469 12 151 11 123 10 106 12 117 12 125 66469 63821 21 127 14 143 11 133 11 132 8 135 63821 61282 18 117 16 160 14 162 11 151 5 183 61282 58643 8 136 15 172 17 178 13 167 14 173 58643 55922 14 168 17 177 20 183 16 180 21 178 55922 53335 25 185 21 172 25 175 22 189 27 185 53335 50998 32 182 25 176 30 175 32 181 32 185 50998 48887 33 175 29 178 32 176 36 177 34 186 48887 46950 30 172 30 177 30 180 34 178 34 186 46950 45151 26 173 30 178 30 183 32 181 33 186 45151 43470 23 178 30 179 29 185 31 184 33 186 43470 41888 23 181 30 179 28 184 29 183 32 184 41888 40394 25 184 28 181 27 184 28 180 31 179 40394 38981 27 191 29 195 28 193 27 185 28 180 38981 37613 34 194 34 201 32 203 28 198 26 192 37613 36224 39 191 38 200 37 201 31 198 27 196 36224 34781 38 189 41 197 37 197 33 193 29 193 34781 33286 31 194 39 196 33 194 33 188 31 188 33286 31725 23 195 36 196 32 187 33 185 32 185 31725 30087 20 195 32 196 32 188 31 188 32 188 30087 28374 23 194 29 199 33 192 30 192 28 192 28374 26588 22 191 29 201 31 199 30 197 27 188 26588 24729 17 188 26 197 27 206 22 199 22 194 24729 22805 16 181 20 188 22 207 16 209 13 197 22805 20810 17 170 17 174 17 196 14 211 9 197 20810 18740 19 170 21 170 19 186 15 197 12 200 18740 16631 19 176 22 171 22 180 18 186 14 200 16631 14597 17 181 18 187 18 188 17 185 14 187 14597 12745 15 185 15 196 13 199 12 193 10 178 12745 11097 17 194 15 201 13 218 9 225 5 193 11097 9631 21 200 17 205 15 204 10 200 9 162 9631 8327 23 199 21 201 17 176 15 169 14 164 8327 7167 24 190 20 188 18 167 18 167 16 171 7167 6138 23 187 20 176 17*164 20 170 17 171 6138 5229 24 184 20*173 17*163 21 167 19 164 5229 4427 24 180 19*172 17 162 22 159 24 154 4427 3707 24 178 18 170 17 161 23 147 26 150 3707 3071 23 177 17 170 17 160 23 139 26 149 3071 2539 20 174 17 170 16 160 22 129 25 147 2539 2130 18 173 16 170 15 159 21 125 22 145 2130 1849 16 173 15 170 15 159 19 124 19 143 1849 1677 14 173 14 170 14 158 17 124 16 143 1677 1579 11*173 12 170 11 159 13*123 12*142 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography