DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/28 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.8 - - 71.1 - - 67.6 - - 64.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 114 - - 72 - - -7 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1060 - - 2055 - - 194 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1562 - - 1562 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2445 - - 3440 - - 1579 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 912 - - 1364 - - 1702 - - 2021 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 203 - - 219 - - 0 - - 44 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 19 BL Wind Direction - - - 221 - - 317 - - 089 - - 027 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -1 - - 0 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 433 - - 481 - - -587 - - -3424 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2012 - - 2959 - - 2167 - - 5002 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 276 - - 83 - - -3455 - - -10244 ODpotential blCL - - - 2169 - - 3357 - - 5034 - - 11822 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 79 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 190 - - 290 - - 310 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.8 - - 71.1 - - 67.6 - - 64.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 64.0 - - 63.2 - - 63.2 - - 47.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.7 - - 70.2 - - 69.1 - - 63.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 63.8 - - 62.9 - - 63.1 - - 46.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 114 - - 72 - - -7 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1060 - - 2055 - - 194 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 100 - - 17 - - 43 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 13 - - 13 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96420 57 246 66 248 65 264 56 278 96420 89278 46 266 44 258 42 268 38 275 89278 83761 28 282 31 271 33 282 22 284 83761 79158 14 297 20 292 25 283 16 311 79158 75195 16 313 17 317 11 295 13 295 75195 71734 13 307 18 312 17 346 7 352 71734 68619 11 281 14 278 15 289 22 347 68619 65745 10 254 13 272 13 241 18 283 65745 63102 14 241 12 265 7 257 18 243 63102 60584 20 257 17 256 14 287 16 268 60584 57960 36 254 31 260 25 273 28 283 57960 55201 51 241 50 248 46 254 43 262 55201 52536 59 235 59 244 61 242 67 245 52536 50120 70 244 70 247 69 244 75 246 50120 47956 82 249 80 249 77 251 81 252 47956 46010 74 255 74 248 77 252 77 254 46010 44241 55 261 63 247 67 251 64 251 44241 42611 47 270 53 250 62 254 63 254 42611 41085 50 269 53 257 59 252 66 258 41085 39644 51 268 55 266 57 254 67 262 39644 38273 48 272 57 269 55 256 68 263 38273 36941 49 270 56 271 55 259 66 264 36941 35581 45 259 53 274 58 261 63 268 35581 34167 52 258 54 266 59 260 59 272 34167 32702 53 256 57 258 56 261 52 274 32702 31171 50 254 55 256 53 263 46 274 31171 29561 46 254 54 258 51 266 43 270 29561 27875 40 256 48 259 47 266 43 269 27875 26113 33 253 40 254 41 259 41 271 26113 24280 29 239 34 251 35 251 36 266 24280 22379 25 228 32 252 32 251 33 255 22379 20404 24 236 30 253 30 254 32 251 20404 18353 21 248 27 250 26 252 31 251 18353 16270 19 263 24 254 23 255 28 247 16270 14268 17 267 22 261 23 268 26 249 14268 12448 17 257 19 254 21 274 23 246 12448 10829 16 248 18 248 19 271 15 256 10829 9389 11 244 15 256 13 286 9 290 9389 8111 6 274 12 272 16 337 8 021 8111 6980 10 315 9 311 22 354 17 050 6980 5980 12 304 10 347 23 001 23 052 5980 5099 10 261 8 341 20 006 28 052 5099 4319 13 227 6 327 16 015 33 053 4319 3623 13 222 5*321 12 034 38 044 3623 3010 9 224 5*318 9 058 40 034 3010 2500 7*222 4 317 7 079 39 031 2500 2108 6*222 4 318 6 088 36 030 2108 1837 6 221 4 316 6 090 32 028 1837 1672 5 221 4 317 5*090 28*028 1672 1578 5 222 4 318 4*089 19*027 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography