DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/06 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.3 - - 65.3 - - 68.1 - - 59.2 - - 56.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 93 - - 64 - - -11 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 192 - - 1256 - - 1466 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1561 - - 1562 - - 1562 - - 1561 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top 1577 - - 2641 - - 2851 - - 1578 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 193 - - 1025 - - 1463 - - 656 - - 273 Hgt.Variab. W* 33 - - 210 - - 196 - - 14 - - 11 W* B/S 1 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 11 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 294 - - 243 - - 237 - - 222 - - 206 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 4 - - -3 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1274 - - -2059 - - -2553 - - -1055 - - -989 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2851 - - 4701 - - 5404 - - 2633 - - 2567 sfcLCL ODpotential -9232 - - -6041 - - -6073 - - -5936 - - -6969 ODpotential blCL 10809 - - 8682 - - 8924 - - 7514 - - 8547 blCL maxRH 66 - - 61 - - 61 - - 65 - - 60 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.3 - - 65.3 - - 68.1 - - 59.2 - - 56.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.4 - - 50.2 - - 49.8 - - 53.0 - - 50.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.5 - - 64.3 - - 67.4 - - 62.2 - - 61.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.5 - - 48.8 - - 48.7 - - 52.5 - - 50.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 93 - - 64 - - -11 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 192 - - 1256 - - 1466 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96372 11 333 7 358 15 258 19 279 22 284 96372 89135 15 297 8 192 10 237 20 259 20 267 89135 83602 21 278 13 262 10 258 20 249 14 277 83602 79042 19 254 18 265 15 262 18 253 12 273 79042 75125 18 241 18 256 18 266 16 262 14 257 75125 71678 18 256 19 259 18 260 17 259 19 242 71678 68565 16 295 20 270 21 260 22 267 21 259 68565 65705 21 267 23 275 24 269 30 273 29 260 65705 63064 27 249 27 268 27 272 30 265 27 259 63064 60497 30 270 30 262 31 275 32 266 29 280 60497 57808 34 270 32 262 33 276 36 271 36 279 57808 55028 31 255 31 260 29 269 32 267 36 271 55028 52381 22 257 27 251 29 261 32 263 36 261 52381 49989 33 280 32 254 39 250 39 261 42 259 49989 47834 52 273 46 259 49 254 51 259 53 259 47834 45873 71 256 63 256 67 253 67 257 66 256 45873 44072 77 251 77 252 87 251 84 251 86 255 44072 42402 84 256 88 253 96 249 95 246 103 250 42402 40838 100 259 99 251 97 248 96 246 109 244 40838 39365 115 257 103 251 99 250 100 249 108 242 39365 37971 119 253 106 251 103 250 108 251 107 244 37971 36620 120 252 109 250 106 248 111 249 110 247 36620 35248 118 251 110 249 108 247 109 247 113 247 35248 33823 115 251 111 248 109 246 108 245 115 246 33823 32348 111 254 111 247 109 246 109 246 114 246 32348 30812 105 258 109 249 107 247 107 248 111 247 30812 29203 81 255 105 253 101 251 103 253 106 248 29203 27525 85 250 101 258 96 256 100 257 101 251 27525 25781 81 245 95 263 94 260 85 261 82 251 25781 23978 75 246 79 263 84 263 67 258 63 249 23978 22118 78 258 67 255 66 254 59 251 51 252 22118 20190 84 266 67 252 60 246 54 253 34 264 20190 18186 65 269 62 257 53 255 40 265 27 271 18186 16141 50 269 42 269 35 263 32 264 28 262 16141 14175 43 277 33 272 29 263 29 261 28 255 14175 12389 36 279 32 267 31 266 30 265 30 267 12389 10802 29 275 31 264 31 266 32 268 35 271 10802 9389 27 272 26 261 28 264 32 269 34 271 9389 8128 28 271 22 259 26 257 29 267 32 272 8128 7004 26 271 21 268 24 252 26 263 29 272 7004 6005 21 263 20 274 23 256 25 263 25 270 6005 5121 16 254 16 269 22 264 25 267 22 260 5121 4339 13 262 12 242 19 267 22 269 19 248 4339 3639 11 279 11 243 15 255 18 269 17 237 3639 3021 12 296 8*247 13*243 15 264 17 219 3021 2505 14 298 7*245 12*239 13 250 18 209 2505 2110 15 289 7 243 11 237 12 234 18 205 2110 1838 14 287 6 241 11 236 10 227 14 208 1838 1672 9 290 6 241 10 235 7*225 9*208 1672 1578 4*294 5 241 8 235 4*222 5*206 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography