DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/07 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.4 - - 74.3 - - 67.4 - - 64.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 176 - - 134 - - -20 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1384 - - 2448 - - 194 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1928 - - 2560 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2769 - - 3833 - - 1579 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 745 - - 1035 - - 2361 - - 1321 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 256 - - 285 - - 15 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 12 - - 6 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 171 - - 159 - - 141 - - 142 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 5 - - 2 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 363 - - -295 - - -826 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2406 - - 4128 - - 2405 - - 1578 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 99 - - -4576 - - -6810 - - -7046 ODpotential blCL - - - 2670 - - 8409 - - 8389 - - 8624 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 83 - - 84 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 180 - - 150 - - 180 - - 340 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.4 - - 74.3 - - 67.4 - - 64.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 62.9 - - 61.3 - - 61.9 - - 62.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.1 - - 73.1 - - 69.5 - - 64.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 62.7 - - 60.8 - - 61.8 - - 62.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 176 - - 134 - - -20 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1384 - - 2448 - - 194 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 87 - - 31 - - 37 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 12 - - 13 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96775 46 227 49 243 49 262 31 294 96775 89406 30 249 31 250 29 259 27 259 89406 83791 24 257 25 251 14 264 19 242 83791 79182 18 278 18 259 7 266 13 241 79182 75243 13 311 11 289 5 222 13 222 75243 71783 10 275 15 311 1 242 10 227 71783 68669 15 230 15 270 6 259 13 247 68669 65830 15 229 17 232 15 230 21 231 65830 63211 19 231 19 232 21 215 24 224 63211 60656 28 228 25 234 24 225 25 226 60656 57966 40 233 37 233 36 241 34 243 57966 55167 49 232 46 236 45 234 47 233 55167 52475 52 239 48 243 48 242 54 235 52475 50028 57 253 65 257 63 255 70 252 50028 47838 66 254 77 257 77 256 83 252 47838 45874 72 255 71 254 66 250 73 245 45874 44097 68 257 62 265 77 278 78 274 44097 42459 62 260 80 284 105 284 97 282 42459 40924 59 264 93 286 101 283 89 278 40924 39477 57 269 85 284 90 279 73 266 39477 38110 58 273 70 281 74 274 73 257 38110 36785 60 274 61 266 65 267 76 255 36785 35434 61 272 65 260 60 258 71 252 35434 34031 58 268 66 259 60 255 64 248 34031 32578 55 266 61 257 60 255 63 244 32578 31061 52 263 57 255 59 255 63 241 31061 29472 46 260 55 252 58 251 63 241 29472 27811 44 257 56 253 56 250 61 243 27811 26077 46 254 57 256 54 251 58 246 26077 24273 46 254 54 259 52 253 56 249 24273 22401 43 257 49 263 49 258 53 253 22401 20454 40 258 40 266 43 263 47 256 20454 18427 32 253 36 266 34 257 39 258 18427 16359 26 243 32 256 31 251 33 254 16359 14364 21 241 25 244 31 248 30 246 14364 12548 18 238 20 232 27 239 28 240 12548 10934 16 236 16 217 21 225 24 229 10934 9495 14 239 13 206 17 208 24 212 9495 8209 14 240 13 204 17 206 22 205 8209 7061 14 235 14 204 18 207 21 205 7061 6044 13 231 14 200 19 197 24 201 6044 5150 12 213 15 181 19 178 27 193 5150 4362 11 192 15*169 19 164 25 182 4362 3656 11 183 14*163 18 159 23 163 3656 3032 11*178 13 160 17 156 28 149 3032 2513 11*176 13 158 16 154 28 145 2513 2115 9 171 12 156 15 152 26 144 2115 1841 8 169 11 155 13 149 19 142 1841 1674 8 169 10 155 10*145 15 142 1674 1578 7 168 9 154 6*141 9*142 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography