DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/10 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.8 - - 69.9 - - 64.6 - - 60.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 84 - - 70 - - -18 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 851 - - 1833 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1562 - - 1562 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2236 - - 3218 - - 1578 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 557 - - 994 - - 2106 - - 367 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 175 - - 212 - - 29 - - 18 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 8 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 163 - - 187 - - 184 - - 312 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -293 - - -1433 - - -2148 - - -622 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2529 - - 4651 - - 3726 - - 2200 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5356 - - -4401 - - -7434 - - -5517 ODpotential blCL - - - 7592 - - 7619 - - 9012 - - 7095 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 98 - - 94 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 100 - - 290 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.8 - - 69.9 - - 64.6 - - 60.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.0 - - 54.9 - - 53.7 - - 56.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.0 - - 69.1 - - 65.8 - - 62.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.2 - - 54.2 - - 53.1 - - 56.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 84 - - 70 - - -18 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 851 - - 1833 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 80 - - 90 - - 75 - - 81 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96370 8 311 3 070 8 324 15 355 96370 89218 12 053 6 127 15 038 15 050 89218 83737 14 096 8 078 11 077 20 064 83737 79168 14 079 11 104 12 105 14 082 79168 75227 12 066 12 143 11 081 13 105 75227 71761 9 072 9 067 8 086 12 072 71761 68653 3 097 17 016 4 058 7 032 68653 65836 10 217 10 274 9 355 6 030 65836 63241 14 204 15 235 11 277 13 280 63241 60736 22 269 23 250 20 258 23 260 60736 58100 25 261 29 251 34 248 27 260 58100 55333 33 248 40 256 39 253 46 264 55333 52683 60 253 58 253 52 256 49 261 52683 50283 78 256 67 252 61 261 56 266 50283 48112 85 248 73 256 69 263 67 262 48112 46119 86 242 81 253 79 255 71 257 46119 44273 88 240 86 248 88 247 75 257 44273 42557 91 242 88 242 88 244 80 259 42557 40959 94 241 86 239 86 244 82 259 40959 39465 90 236 86 242 86 248 85 258 39465 38059 91 234 95 245 88 249 87 257 38059 36700 92 234 100 242 91 247 86 256 36700 35316 90 235 99 241 94 247 84 257 35316 33877 88 238 96 244 97 247 84 257 33877 32389 82 238 91 244 94 243 86 257 32389 30840 74 233 86 238 86 239 89 254 30840 29225 72 229 79 232 83 241 91 249 29225 27550 70 228 72 229 81 243 87 244 27550 25819 63 227 70 226 77 239 70 243 25819 24035 54 228 66 225 73 233 54 246 24035 22189 51 230 61 232 66 232 45 240 22189 20263 52 231 59 238 56 233 34 241 20263 18252 51 230 56 238 46 240 36 247 18252 16203 43 217 53 224 36 246 38 252 16203 14229 34 201 44 206 31 251 26 261 14229 12432 30 207 31 203 31 253 21 265 12432 10832 28 221 21 207 28 257 21 265 10832 9407 24 228 9 218 22 240 23 267 9407 8136 20 233 4 336 16 216 23 261 8136 7004 16 240 12 350 7 177 16 247 7004 6003 14 244 11 334 6 111 14 239 6003 5122 13 238 8 301 7 157 15 230 5122 4344 12 229 6 232 16 172 13 212 4344 3645 11 218 8*192 18 170 12 194 3645 3026 10 198 9*189 18 170 10 196 3026 2509 10*169 9 188 17 171 8 219 2509 2112 9*164 8 187 15 172 7 259 2112 1839 9 163 8 186 13 176 8 292 1839 1673 8 163 7 186 9 180 7*306 1673 1578 7 163 6 186 5*184 4*312 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography