DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/25 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.7 - - 67.8 - - 66.2 - - 62.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 57 - - 48 - - 0 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 743 - - 1270 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1562 - - 1562 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2128 - - 2655 - - 1578 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1626 - - 1780 - - 2292 - - 615 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 144 - - 163 - - 17 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 8 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 197 - - 194 - - 190 - - 214 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 433 - - 507 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1695 - - 2148 - - 1578 - - 1578 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 72 - - 187 - - -315 - - -1845 ODpotential blCL - - - 2056 - - 2468 - - 1893 - - 3423 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 40 - - 60 - - 90 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.7 - - 67.8 - - 66.2 - - 62.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 63.5 - - 63.6 - - 65.4 - - 62.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.1 - - 67.2 - - 66.1 - - 65.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 63.3 - - 63.4 - - 65.3 - - 64.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 57 - - 48 - - 0 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 743 - - 1270 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - 99 - - 63 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 13 - - 14 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96305 48 258 50 262 49 262 49 269 96305 89134 32 254 36 260 41 264 37 276 89134 83620 22 272 29 268 28 267 34 278 83620 79037 23 298 23 280 17 274 23 274 79037 75111 23 301 19 299 15 300 12 278 75111 71669 14 292 22 303 19 311 12 322 71669 68581 8 284 13 285 18 306 12 277 68581 65794 6 270 10 277 19 307 11 276 65794 63249 13 275 13 267 18 272 24 294 63249 60797 19 243 20 253 22 234 28 261 60797 58226 24 244 23 247 24 232 29 249 58226 55530 34 252 31 246 33 245 37 250 55530 52924 40 255 40 245 39 247 43 245 52924 50550 41 256 43 250 39 252 42 248 50550 48398 35 254 41 251 39 254 41 250 48398 46425 30 249 36 247 39 252 41 252 46425 44604 26 248 29 245 36 246 37 253 44604 42916 19 260 25 260 28 256 30 260 42916 41341 20 293 25 281 24 272 25 273 41341 39865 25 306 29 293 31 294 32 287 39865 38480 27 310 33 301 36 299 35 292 38480 37145 25 317 34 302 33 300 30 298 37145 35788 23 323 25 308 29 302 26 303 35788 34377 21 319 21 316 20 300 23 301 34377 32915 15 319 18 315 19 309 18 297 32915 31387 12 317 13 310 17 311 15 305 31387 29778 9 327 10 307 16 304 14 309 29778 28090 3 346 7 317 9 290 12 299 28090 26323 5 033 5 315 5 285 8 291 26323 24483 7 053 2 076 2 233 3 278 24483 22579 5 005 3 010 2 059 2 127 22579 20604 7 179 5 270 4 001 4 048 20604 18547 14 200 11 249 10 294 11 320 18547 16448 18 204 16 223 14 263 13 304 16448 14430 15 205 16 211 15 238 12 280 14430 12601 11 207 12 207 15 226 13 242 12601 10977 8 221 10 215 13 222 15 230 10977 9528 8 226 10 216 13 229 14 233 9528 8236 9 217 12 219 13 238 13 239 8236 7083 13 213 14 231 12 247 10 246 7083 6061 15 220 14 241 14 245 12 238 6061 5161 16 222 14 236 12 225 18 216 5161 4369 14 214 11 209 12 202 22 206 4369 3664 12 207 11 201 12 199 20 201 3664 3040 11 202 10*199 13 199 17 200 3040 2518 10*200 9*195 12 197 14 202 2518 2118 9*198 8 194 10 195 12 205 2118 1841 8 198 8 194 8 192 9 205 1841 1674 8 197 7 194 7 191 5 204 1674 1578 6 197 6 193 5*190 2*214 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography