DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/02 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 62.8 - - 75.1 - - 78.7 - - 69.0 - - 64.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 195 - - 113 - - -26 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 1860 - - 2894 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit 1562 - - 2319 - - 2801 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 1578 - - 3245 - - 4279 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 233 - - 846 - - 2252 - - 229 - - 149 Hgt.Variab. W* 32 - - 295 - - 289 - - 17 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 19 - - 18 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 281 - - 292 - - 278 - - 249 - - 256 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -9 - - -8 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5486 - - -3504 - - -3597 - - -3065 - - -2553 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7065 - - 6749 - - 7877 - - 4644 - - 4132 sfcLCL ODpotential -14352 - - -7250 - - -7926 - - -8741 - - -9894 ODpotential blCL 15930 - - 10495 - - 12205 - - 10320 - - 11473 blCL maxRH 47 - - 51 - - 44 - - 46 - - 45 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 62.8 - - 75.1 - - 78.7 - - 69.0 - - 64.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.0 - - 50.9 - - 49.6 - - 54.1 - - 51.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.1 - - 73.7 - - 77.7 - - 72.1 - - 69.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.9 - - 50.7 - - 49.3 - - 54.0 - - 51.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 195 - - 113 - - -26 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 1860 - - 2894 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 8 - - 7 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96077 24 251 32 241 38 255 42 279 30 270 96077 88863 18 287 16 293 21 277 25 278 22 287 88863 83385 19 315 16 317 14 301 12 275 11 288 83385 78871 19 347 9 345 6 298 12 325 11 319 78871 75022 20 008 13 020 3 334 4 298 8 307 75022 71608 12 024 6 025 7 033 2 117 6 326 71608 68497 12 000 9 356 6 330 3 310 4 321 68497 65639 12 312 13 307 9 010 3 017 6 302 65639 62994 25 317 22 302 20 305 19 324 17 315 62994 60440 28 282 28 293 28 275 25 281 24 287 60440 57770 34 264 27 279 28 274 30 270 34 274 57770 54994 35 261 39 271 38 274 39 273 42 271 54994 52334 48 268 51 265 52 270 49 275 47 275 52334 49920 54 272 61 264 62 266 57 272 53 277 49920 47743 56 278 66 264 67 265 63 273 61 274 47743 45767 63 277 68 268 71 267 70 272 65 271 45767 43961 69 270 75 270 78 267 75 268 69 270 43961 42293 77 267 83 268 85 265 79 265 74 270 42293 40741 87 266 90 265 89 264 80 263 80 268 40741 39289 93 266 94 264 90 264 81 264 83 267 39289 37923 92 267 94 265 87 266 81 265 83 265 37923 36604 87 267 88 266 80 266 80 266 78 265 36604 35264 81 268 79 267 74 266 77 265 73 267 35264 33873 80 272 76 270 70 268 71 263 70 268 33873 32433 78 276 75 276 69 274 65 266 66 268 32433 30932 72 277 69 279 66 280 61 276 62 270 30932 29356 67 277 60 282 58 283 57 280 59 276 29356 27706 62 278 53 286 51 286 52 278 56 281 27706 25984 56 283 48 290 45 288 47 276 53 279 25984 24192 51 289 43 296 41 296 41 279 48 271 24192 22331 49 292 41 304 40 305 39 285 43 266 22331 20391 45 288 42 313 38 308 37 287 42 269 20391 18367 38 284 40 312 36 304 36 287 42 281 18367 16303 37 283 38 303 34 300 36 288 38 287 16303 14315 36 287 34 292 32 298 35 291 35 286 14315 12505 34 293 31 278 29 291 32 292 34 287 12505 10896 32 293 30 278 30 281 28 291 32 294 10896 9466 30 290 28 277 31 284 28 295 35 300 9466 8196 29 290 27 276 33 290 31 296 35 296 8196 7068 28 291 26 280 33 292 30 290 27 293 7068 6065 28 293 27 291 29 291 27 284 25 295 6065 5176 26 296 28 300 23 285 26 283 24 293 5176 4387 26 302 29 303 21*282 24 283 23 288 4387 3678 32 307 27*301 21*281 23 283 23 281 3678 3050 37 304 21*294 20 279 21 281 24 274 3050 2524 33 296 20 293 19 278 18 276 23 268 2524 2120 26 289 19 292 18 277 15 268 19 257 2120 1842 19 285 18 291 17 276 12 257 15 248 1842 1674 12 283 16 291 15 276 9*252 8*247 1674 1579 7*281 13 290 12 275 6*249 4*256 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography