DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/27 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.0 - - 84.3 - - 80.9 - - 71.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 299 - - 220 - - -8 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2743 - - 4552 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3115 - - 4372 - - 1563 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4128 - - 5937 - - 1580 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 988 - - 1206 - - 4789 - - 2398 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 389 - - 420 - - 49 - - 27 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 17 - - 11 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 159 - - 156 - - 141 - - 149 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - -6 - - 5 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 477 - - -683 - - -3430 - - -554 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3651 - - 6620 - - 5011 - - 2133 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 14 - - -5359 - - -8479 - - -1590 ODpotential blCL - - - 4114 - - 11296 - - 10059 - - 3169 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 79 - - 83 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 1440 - - 1030 - - 1710 - - 1540 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.0 - - 84.3 - - 80.9 - - 71.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 66.1 - - 60.6 - - 64.2 - - 67.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.1 - - 82.8 - - 81.0 - - 71.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 65.3 - - 59.5 - - 63.6 - - 66.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 299 - - 220 - - -8 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2743 - - 4552 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 72 - - 15 - - 33 - - 74 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 11 - - 13 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97791 22 242 18 248 20 278 17 282 97791 90363 10 191 10 221 9 269 8 325 90363 84639 9 126 7 157 5 208 2 033 84639 79897 9 094 12 106 8 127 10 138 79897 75837 7 102 8 110 9 073 17 101 75837 72268 15 122 8 137 6 109 7 119 72268 69064 9 119 7 154 9 118 11 143 69064 66156 10 204 20 187 12 217 10 196 66156 63497 18 187 17 189 20 198 22 215 63497 60947 24 230 24 220 23 218 27 212 60947 58288 34 232 32 243 33 240 32 241 58288 55517 34 236 38 251 41 244 43 238 55517 52850 45 255 45 254 47 253 47 246 52850 50427 57 259 54 254 59 254 56 252 50427 48233 66 257 64 252 63 255 64 255 48233 46225 68 257 65 253 66 256 65 256 46225 44380 65 259 63 255 64 258 61 257 44380 42687 59 262 56 254 56 256 54 260 42687 41132 52 265 49 253 50 253 48 260 41132 39687 47 265 47 251 47 252 44 255 39687 38324 42 262 45 250 45 253 42 255 38324 37001 40 261 43 253 41 257 41 258 37001 35655 39 258 39 255 37 262 40 261 35655 34258 33 254 34 254 36 266 38 261 34258 32812 24 261 33 255 36 265 36 260 32812 31304 22 271 35 258 36 263 35 259 31304 29719 24 278 36 261 35 262 35 260 29719 28058 29 280 35 260 34 264 34 261 28058 26320 33 283 33 249 32 264 32 257 26320 24506 28 286 32 251 28 262 27 253 24506 22623 26 285 31 259 26 261 20 262 22623 20665 29 277 30 272 26 268 19 272 20665 18628 25 282 27 277 28 277 21 278 18628 16551 17 277 18 271 17 280 17 284 16551 14543 14 254 17 261 13 245 7 252 14543 12706 10 269 9 261 14 242 10 222 12706 11065 9 234 8 203 13 240 13 217 11065 9600 10 184 11 183 12 236 13 211 9600 8290 13 170 18 188 12 224 12 208 8290 7124 16 184 18 173 15 176 14 194 7124 6094 21 185 18*162 21 153 18 178 6094 5189 19 176 18*159 23 148 20 167 5189 4393 16*165 18 158 23 146 25 157 4393 3681 15*162 18 156 23 145 29 152 3681 3053 15 160 18 156 23 144 29 151 3053 2528 15 159 17 155 22 143 28 150 2528 2124 14 158 16 154 21 143 25 150 2124 1845 13 157 16 154 19 142 22 150 1845 1676 13 157 15 154 15*142 17*150 1676 1579 11 157 12 154 11*141 12*149 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography