DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/21 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.8 - - 82.5 - - 81.6 - - 78.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 69 - - 48 - - -19 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2382 - - 2557 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2249 - - 2105 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3767 - - 3942 - - 1580 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2065 - - 2484 - - 4868 - - 2932 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 249 - - 235 - - 56 - - 35 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 14 - - 9 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 187 - - 196 - - 156 - - 160 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 9 - - 5 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1364 - - 1234 - - -845 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2403 - - 2708 - - 2426 - - 1579 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 404 - - 139 - - -1946 - - -797 ODpotential blCL - - - 3363 - - 3803 - - 3526 - - 2376 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 96 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 2150 - - 3120 - - 3340 - - 3310 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.8 - - 82.5 - - 81.6 - - 78.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 73.8 - - 75.1 - - 75.4 - - 76.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.1 - - 81.9 - - 82.1 - - 78.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 72.8 - - 74.0 - - 74.7 - - 75.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 69 - - 48 - - -19 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2382 - - 2557 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 85 - - 100 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 18 - - 19 - - 20 - - 21 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98554 34 101 32 116 21 114 28 096 98554 91071 23 101 27 102 29 092 30 088 91071 85314 19 092 25 091 27 083 31 087 85314 80547 27 104 24 103 23 091 23 078 80547 76465 28 091 21 096 24 096 20 096 76465 72875 20 074 20 087 21 076 22 102 72875 69636 8 081 17 078 16 072 18 083 69636 66680 8 125 10 074 13 056 18 064 66680 63956 12 138 7 135 4 027 14 026 63956 61348 10 114 7 128 6 186 6 321 61348 58670 10 088 4 118 2 158 4 204 58670 55924 10 034 3 113 3 215 4 208 55924 53330 6 317 2 158 6 250 8 235 53330 50988 7 337 3 335 7 245 11 252 50988 48861 18 328 15 322 13 316 15 295 48861 46906 23 317 21 320 18 319 18 299 46906 45096 22 315 22 312 18 313 17 294 45096 43411 21 321 23 305 19 305 17 297 43411 41835 19 319 20 303 19 309 18 311 41835 40352 17 318 18 306 18 322 20 321 40352 38950 15 326 16 316 17 331 21 332 38950 37590 14 340 15 330 16 337 20 341 37590 36206 18 356 16 339 16 349 18 347 36206 34769 22 360 19 344 19 355 19 353 34769 33282 24 000 21 345 20 352 20 355 33282 31731 22 359 20 345 19 352 21 356 31731 30106 16 355 19 348 20 001 23 002 30106 28404 15 006 16 358 20 011 23 013 28404 26629 16 025 12 017 13 017 17 025 26629 24783 17 028 15 025 12 016 14 012 24783 22867 19 018 18 017 17 004 17 001 22867 20872 14 028 13 016 15 001 19 010 20872 18792 13 044 7 036 9 358 16 002 18792 16675 12 050 6 065 4 046 9 350 16675 14636 9 035 4 046 2 125 2 331 14636 12781 4 012 3 356 3 145 2 225 12781 11129 3 268 4 256 2 145 3 040 11129 9659 15 215 14 214 2 232 2 052 9659 8350 21 212 21 204 9 207 10 194 8350 7186 24 200 23 200 15 190 16 191 7186 6156 25 190 22 197 17 184 18 183 6156 5247 26 187 21 194 17 181 20 177 5247 4441 25*187 20*193 18 173 21 174 4441 3719 24*187 17*194 19 168 22 170 3719 3080 22 187 15 196 19 164 23 167 3080 2546 20 187 14 197 18 161 22 165 2546 2134 19 187 13 198 17 159 20 163 2134 1851 18 188 12 198 15 158 17 162 1851 1679 16 187 11 199 12*157 14 160 1679 1579 12 187 9 198 9*156 11*160 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography