DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/18 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 75.9 - - 83.4 - - 87.1 - - 84.3 - - 74.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 93 - - 266 - - 165 - - -4 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1643 - - 3903 - - 6690 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit 1679 - - 3949 - - 5837 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top 3028 - - 5288 - - 8075 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1662 - - 1956 - - 2087 - - 8811 - - 2065 Hgt.Variab. W* 226 - - 421 - - 433 - - 25 - - 36 W* B/S 9 - - 10 - - 9 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 8 - - 9 - - 2 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 196 - - 159 - - 155 - - 150 - - 108 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 4 - - 12 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -19 - - -1187 - - 388 - - -5194 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3047 - - 6475 - - 7687 - - 6774 - - 1579 sfcLCL ODpotential -2038 - - -3693 - - -481 - - -6191 - - -553 ODpotential blCL 5066 - - 8981 - - 8556 - - 7770 - - 2132 blCL maxRH 85 - - 89 - - 86 - - 88 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 720 - - 60 - - 110 - - 120 - - 2170 CAPE Temp@2m 75.9 - - 83.4 - - 87.1 - - 84.3 - - 74.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 67.6 - - 60.3 - - 58.7 - - 60.0 - - 72.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 74.8 - - 81.4 - - 85.7 - - 85.1 - - 74.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 66.9 - - 59.3 - - 57.7 - - 58.9 - - 72.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 93 - - 266 - - 165 - - -4 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1643 - - 3903 - - 6690 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 41 - - 56 - - 46 - - 54 - - 90 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 15 - - 11 - - 10 - - 11 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97883 28 086 36 094 33 104 21 106 25 084 97883 90586 26 098 23 091 26 102 21 106 28 076 90586 84936 26 089 20 094 20 089 25 099 27 079 84936 80233 23 094 20 086 19 101 24 082 22 074 80233 76196 21 094 23 084 21 100 21 088 18 062 76196 72647 14 093 17 085 19 084 21 088 18 078 72647 69444 13 096 14 095 13 069 16 072 14 080 69444 66513 15 081 15 110 10 101 6 054 9 080 66513 63810 11 040 12 099 12 110 4 188 5 101 63810 61201 6 344 5 135 4 095 4 153 6 133 61201 58497 2 105 2 195 1 205 4 355 2 043 58497 55715 16 339 12 321 8 327 13 336 12 358 55715 53085 22 298 22 307 24 305 28 307 29 326 53085 50730 17 300 22 317 21 305 24 304 25 314 50730 48606 24 328 28 327 27 325 26 321 25 321 48606 46662 32 326 38 318 38 324 33 325 31 322 46662 44863 42 323 40 315 44 323 38 326 40 318 44863 43186 48 318 44 314 45 312 46 322 45 320 43186 41613 52 316 48 312 43 306 44 313 49 323 41613 40130 51 319 46 315 45 308 43 303 50 321 40130 38725 52 323 43 318 44 307 43 299 43 314 38725 37368 51 320 42 307 39 307 41 294 35 299 37368 35989 52 320 44 302 38 296 36 287 34 289 35989 34556 51 333 43 318 32 302 31 281 36 286 34556 33072 34 322 35 324 31 318 27 274 35 284 33072 31523 34 308 32 314 31 300 25 278 32 281 31523 29900 29 318 35 315 33 306 25 289 29 277 29900 28201 20 317 25 316 25 311 24 296 29 274 28201 26424 15 303 17 293 18 290 19 280 26 272 26424 24578 12 305 16 282 20 278 22 276 25 276 24578 22666 12 299 14 276 20 275 20 291 20 291 22666 20684 12 290 14 281 18 278 18 306 16 306 20684 18620 10 292 10 283 13 283 13 304 13 302 18620 16517 8 315 6 287 9 287 8 293 8 289 16517 14493 3 351 4 237 5 264 5 274 1 215 14493 12656 0 242 5 237 3 257 3 301 2 151 12656 11025 3 165 6 195 4 180 5 147 0 008 11025 9574 6 157 9 159 10 153 10 147 1 322 9574 8284 9 146 14 148 11*152 10 148 2 198 8284 7137 12 143 16 146 11*153 9 146 4 176 7137 6116 17 142 13*150 10 153 8 145 8 166 6116 5214 18 140 10*157 9 154 8 145 13 156 5214 4415 15 144 8 158 9 155 7 144 16 149 4415 3699 10 166 8 160 8 156 7 145 17 141 3699 3065 8*186 8 160 8 156 6 146 14 134 3065 2535 6*193 7 160 7 158 5 147 12 123 2535 2128 5 196 6 160 7 159 5 147 10 112 2128 1847 4 197 6 161 7 158 4 149 8 109 1847 1677 4 198 6 161 6 157 4 149 7*108 1677 1579 3 198 5 160 6 158 2*150 5*108 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography