DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/28 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.1 - - 46.7 - - 51.0 - - 46.8 - - 43.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 2 - - 155 - - 102 - - -3 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 191 - - 1207 - - 1750 - - 192 - - 192 BL Depth Hcrit 1560 - - 1758 - - 1926 - - 1561 - - 1560 Hcrit BL Top 1576 - - 2592 - - 3135 - - 1577 - - 1577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 677 - - 608 - - 744 - - 1625 - - 706 Hgt.Variab. W* 44 - - 239 - - 239 - - 14 - - 10 W* B/S 2 - - 6 - - 19 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 7 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 359 - - 028 - - 017 - - 052 - - 117 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -4 - - -5 - - -1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1751 - - -1132 - - -910 - - -841 - - -1677 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3327 - - 3724 - - 4045 - - 2418 - - 3255 sfcLCL ODpotential -15978 - - -14218 - - -12875 - - -7314 - - -14944 ODpotential blCL 17554 - - 16810 - - 16010 - - 8891 - - 16521 blCL maxRH 63 - - 73 - - 73 - - 68 - - 51 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.1 - - 46.7 - - 51.0 - - 46.8 - - 43.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.7 - - 36.3 - - 39.2 - - 42.2 - - 34.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.0 - - 45.4 - - 50.0 - - 48.8 - - 47.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.5 - - 35.2 - - 37.9 - - 41.0 - - 33.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 2 - - 155 - - 102 - - -3 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 191 - - 1207 - - 1750 - - 192 - - 192 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96427 56 231 52 236 56 227 59 248 44 247 96427 89160 69 246 66 249 62 262 61 265 43 259 89160 83600 58 257 61 250 62 260 58 266 42 273 83600 78993 50 266 45 254 46 251 51 253 41 269 78993 75029 47 274 40 270 38 263 39 269 37 263 75029 71530 43 269 40 275 38 271 39 280 38 271 71530 68395 35 267 36 273 36 276 36 280 38 278 68395 65553 38 275 34 283 33 278 34 281 36 286 65553 62933 37 281 33 285 32 278 38 282 44 282 62933 60407 36 297 36 284 37 275 43 277 44 279 60407 57770 52 293 44 281 41 278 42 272 44 279 57770 55021 63 287 52 283 43 283 45 275 53 268 55021 52389 65 288 56 289 54 285 54 276 58 267 52389 50004 65 289 63 288 61 280 62 279 65 273 50004 47841 65 292 69 284 68 280 68 278 72 276 47841 45861 67 293 72 283 71 280 75 278 75 281 45861 44038 72 289 77 280 80 280 86 283 88 279 44038 42363 80 299 83 283 92 279 102 281 102 275 42363 40817 104 306 93 282 101 280 111 280 106 276 40817 39369 105 303 86 280 108 281 106 281 106 277 39369 37999 100 295 76 288 106 284 101 284 102 277 37999 36668 98 293 76 295 99 286 94 286 93 279 36668 35313 96 297 74 293 78 284 88 287 87 281 35313 33905 85 299 72 294 68 287 78 283 78 285 33905 32450 73 294 67 296 57 293 60 284 64 285 32450 30931 66 287 62 292 52 293 55 286 57 281 30931 29333 61 289 54 289 50 290 52 286 58 280 29333 27657 61 299 48 293 46 290 51 276 54 278 27657 25908 63 306 48 298 39 293 49 277 49 277 25908 24090 62 310 48 305 39 294 42 279 46 280 24090 22203 59 309 44 309 40 296 36 281 39 287 22203 20240 58 310 40 309 36 296 34 288 34 286 20240 18193 54 315 39 311 32 302 32 295 33 281 18193 16107 50 320 40 312 32 308 29 302 28 286 16107 14100 47 323 38 314 32 312 25 307 24 295 14100 12276 41 321 32 328 22 332 19 314 23 298 12276 10662 34 324 25 348 16 348 7 323 20 289 10662 9238 25 337 19 358 12 000 5 307 14 271 9238 7981 23 352 18 010 9 022 3 289 11 263 7981 6870 24 358 18 030 11 047 1 069 9 236 6870 5887 22 000 21 052 14 062 8 093 10 199 5887 5021 19 005 17 056 12 070 9 096 10 171 5021 4256 19 008 8 059 3 059 5 095 10 160 4256 3575 19 008 5 067 2*008 4 078 8 143 3575 2975 19 013 6*044 2*010 5 073 9 123 2975 2475 20 016 7*029 2 017 5 067 12 122 2475 2092 18 012 7 028 2 019 5 060 13 123 2092 1828 12 006 7 027 2 019 5 057 11 123 1828 1668 9 003 6 028 2 021 4 055 6*123 1668 1577 5*359 6 027 2 021 3*052 4*117 1577 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography