DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/04 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.4 - - 68.4 - - 72.8 - - 65.5 - - 61.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 53 - - 217 - - 136 - - -8 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 483 - - 2501 - - 3006 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1561 - - 2818 - - 2971 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 1868 - - 3886 - - 4391 - - 1578 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 888 - - 700 - - 796 - - 3007 - - 212 Hgt.Variab. W* 122 - - 337 - - 308 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 13 - - 11 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 182 - - 200 - - 202 - - 196 - - 179 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1504 - - -1354 - - -2216 - - -3299 - - -3272 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3372 - - 5240 - - 6607 - - 4877 - - 4850 sfcLCL ODpotential -13417 - - -11055 - - -11582 - - -13705 - - -14873 ODpotential blCL 15285 - - 14941 - - 15973 - - 15283 - - 16451 blCL maxRH 76 - - 67 - - 58 - - 54 - - 50 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 59.4 - - 68.4 - - 72.8 - - 65.5 - - 61.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 50.3 - - 51.1 - - 49.6 - - 50.0 - - 46.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.8 - - 66.9 - - 71.7 - - 69.0 - - 66.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.8 - - 50.2 - - 48.7 - - 49.4 - - 46.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 53 - - 217 - - 136 - - -8 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 483 - - 2501 - - 3006 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 2 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96964 41 273 44 274 48 274 55 268 55 289 96964 89748 28 270 33 272 36 277 32 283 34 273 89748 84226 25 278 26 265 25 263 32 288 23 271 84226 79651 22 279 20 281 13 265 20 274 17 277 79651 75687 22 271 19 282 15 285 14 273 12 276 75687 72179 21 257 21 252 19 273 15 281 14 275 72179 69014 19 236 21 235 20 255 16 278 15 284 69014 66116 14 228 19 228 21 253 18 271 15 287 66116 63448 8 246 15 232 18 257 19 273 17 295 63448 60885 8 302 10 277 11 274 19 276 17 288 60885 58228 17 296 11 311 9 304 13 265 17 269 58228 55478 21 279 15 299 13 291 13 254 18 258 55478 52848 22 263 18 270 17 264 17 255 19 262 52848 50471 27 256 25 257 25 252 21 261 21 263 50471 48331 33 247 33 253 31 244 24 259 22 259 48331 46378 36 239 35 244 35 242 26 254 22 261 46378 44575 36 234 36 234 39 240 26 249 23 256 44575 42904 33 231 37 230 38 234 23 249 21 246 42904 41345 27 216 33 221 33 227 22 241 19 237 41345 39887 24 210 28 207 28 216 21 227 18 218 39887 38514 22 205 25 208 28 209 22 222 18 211 38514 37186 19 186 23 210 24 210 21 228 15 220 37186 35834 17 181 22 201 20 212 18 224 13 222 35834 34427 16 183 21 197 19 212 15 218 15 208 34427 32971 20 179 20 202 20 214 15 222 14 207 32971 31454 22 176 21 204 20 215 18 226 15 229 31454 29863 19 185 22 202 21 216 21 219 19 232 29863 28198 17 193 22 200 21 210 20 213 19 221 28198 26454 16 185 20 198 21 204 18 205 16 211 26454 24631 14 183 18 196 19 201 18 202 16 205 24631 22732 12 202 20 205 19 211 21 209 19 199 22732 20750 15 219 23 211 21 216 24 215 22 205 20750 18678 10 221 17 218 17 232 15 225 16 218 18678 16560 7 212 10 212 10 228 10 229 10 223 16560 14516 8 214 9 215 9 232 9 266 6 262 14516 12655 8 256 7 224 8 228 9 253 7 283 12655 10999 9 253 7 214 8 217 9 238 8 280 10999 9527 7 222 9 204 9 208 10 232 10 266 9527 8219 12 190 12 198 11 205 10 226 9 251 8219 7060 17 173 16 191 14 207 10 235 11 250 7060 6038 15 171 17 190 14 201 10 219 13 236 6038 5143 12 188 16 194 13*196 12 192 14 213 5143 4359 13 194 15*198 12*198 13 186 15 196 4359 3657 18 199 14*199 12 200 13 186 16 188 3657 3035 21 199 14 200 11 202 12 188 17 184 3035 2515 18 191 13 200 11 204 11 190 16 182 2515 2115 14*183 13 201 10 205 10 193 16 180 2115 1840 10*182 12 201 10 206 8 195 14 179 1840 1673 8 182 11 200 9 206 6 196 9 178 1673 1578 6 182 9 200 8 206 4*196 5*179 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography