DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/05 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.5 - - 64.1 - - 61.9 - - 61.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 184 - - 79 - - -7 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1539 - - 1440 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2062 - - 1562 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2924 - - 2825 - - 1578 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 441 - - 565 - - 1527 - - 1194 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 270 - - 200 - - 9 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 8 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 206 - - 215 - - 214 - - 201 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -184 - - 539 - - -10 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3108 - - 2286 - - 1588 - - 1578 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6694 - - 300 - - -7529 - - -7340 ODpotential blCL - - - 9618 - - 2525 - - 9107 - - 8918 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 100 - - 91 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.5 - - 64.1 - - 61.9 - - 61.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.2 - - 59.2 - - 59.9 - - 60.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.1 - - 63.2 - - 63.5 - - 62.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.7 - - 58.9 - - 59.8 - - 60.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 184 - - 79 - - -7 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1539 - - 1440 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 56 - - 100 - - 64 - - 72 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 11 - - 12 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96706 39 235 44 243 45 262 38 276 96706 89396 30 258 29 268 28 250 26 267 89396 83814 27 284 22 274 18 276 17 260 83814 79210 18 288 15 251 17 285 9 286 79210 75265 15 295 8 255 13 258 15 308 75265 71805 14 280 4 260 10 231 16 258 71805 68702 13 298 6 282 4 273 11 222 68702 65869 24 305 13 289 12 305 7 272 65869 63265 24 287 18 295 17 313 11 310 63265 60741 27 292 23 299 25 315 17 317 60741 58077 41 289 36 293 33 293 31 286 58077 55288 41 268 45 269 41 273 44 266 55288 52614 37 269 47 261 43 263 44 259 52614 50193 49 280 51 271 49 264 48 264 50193 48016 60 269 62 262 58 262 57 263 48016 46049 65 260 65 256 64 255 65 250 46049 44265 71 261 71 255 70 249 69 241 44265 42631 68 258 75 257 72 248 71 241 42631 41102 64 256 73 261 71 250 74 243 41102 39657 66 259 70 262 70 254 75 245 39657 38286 65 262 67 262 69 256 74 246 38286 36954 61 266 63 263 67 257 72 249 36954 35598 59 265 58 263 65 258 69 250 35598 34187 56 261 53 262 62 257 64 251 34187 32729 52 260 51 260 60 256 61 253 32729 31206 48 259 52 259 57 256 59 255 31206 29609 48 254 52 258 55 258 54 257 29609 27935 47 253 50 259 51 261 48 259 27935 26186 42 263 47 263 46 261 44 259 26186 24365 33 272 43 265 41 259 43 252 24365 22479 28 268 38 264 36 256 39 246 22479 20519 29 270 33 257 32 250 32 249 20519 18476 30 264 31 252 31 245 30 253 18476 16395 28 255 32 248 31 247 29 260 16395 14389 30 256 32 246 32 257 28 273 14389 12563 26 257 30 257 31 271 29 283 12563 10935 21 265 23 269 29 280 27 284 10935 9487 18 273 21 280 24 280 23 281 9487 8199 15 272 18 282 19 273 20 278 8199 7054 13 269 14 275 16 262 18 276 7054 6039 12 275 12 270 13 257 15 282 6039 5144 14 276 12 277 9 270 12 292 5144 4352 15 251 13 260 7 280 9 296 4352 3646 16 216 11 230 6 225 6 241 3646 3025 14*206 9*217 9 194 12 190 3025 2509 13*206 8*216 9 194 14 187 2509 2112 12 206 8 215 8 202 12 190 2112 1839 12 206 8 215 7 208 10 193 1839 1673 11 206 7 215 6 212 8*196 1673 1578 9 206 6 215 4*214 4*201 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography