DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/16 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.8 - - 50.5 - - 52.5 - - 53.2 - - 53.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 24 - - 51 - - 31 - - -1 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 192 - - 676 - - 192 - - 192 - - 192 BL Depth Hcrit 1560 - - 1561 - - 1561 - - 1561 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top 1577 - - 2061 - - 1577 - - 1577 - - 1577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 700 - - 564 - - 1275 - - 1207 - - 706 Hgt.Variab. W* 68 - - 134 - - 75 - - 16 - - 18 W* B/S 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 4 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 10 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 177 - - 193 - - 192 - - 167 - - 197 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2025 - - -1506 - - -1671 - - -530 - - -521 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3603 - - 3567 - - 3249 - - 2107 - - 2098 sfcLCL ODpotential -12612 - - -11549 - - -11053 - - -9683 - - -9457 ODpotential blCL 14189 - - 13610 - - 12630 - - 11260 - - 11034 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 47.8 - - 50.5 - - 52.5 - - 53.2 - - 53.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.8 - - 40.6 - - 43.9 - - 49.4 - - 49.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.4 - - 49.8 - - 52.0 - - 53.1 - - 53.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.5 - - 40.3 - - 43.7 - - 49.3 - - 49.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 24 - - 51 - - 31 - - -1 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 192 - - 676 - - 192 - - 192 - - 192 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 101 - - 101 - - 100 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96290 17 272 14 268 29 257 40 279 24 284 96290 89252 4 015 13 042 5 126 3 248 9 041 89252 83802 12 079 8 051 9 074 11 101 16 045 83802 79253 15 064 7 064 12 059 16 082 18 073 79253 75333 11 075 8 075 17 076 17 083 22 094 75333 71868 12 082 6 072 17 071 15 082 16 098 71868 68737 9 056 5 091 10 055 14 053 15 083 68737 65875 7 064 7 078 3 041 10 019 11 034 65875 63236 8 044 9 043 4 358 6 351 12 350 63236 60681 5 347 6 003 11 341 7 328 19 338 60681 58009 12 335 8 316 19 338 14 337 21 338 58009 55224 21 329 12 324 19 329 22 334 22 335 55224 52551 19 307 18 323 20 316 23 320 22 323 52551 50124 22 305 20 301 25 310 22 317 21 313 50124 47925 30 290 22 293 26 296 23 314 23 311 47925 45909 43 286 31 282 28 284 27 298 26 300 45909 44047 62 270 45 271 41 267 34 284 27 291 44047 42321 75 264 67 264 55 262 45 268 32 274 42321 40721 86 265 89 262 77 257 58 262 44 264 40721 39228 89 265 94 259 98 250 79 249 60 251 39228 37830 86 265 92 258 95 249 81 247 68 240 37830 36488 84 265 92 256 91 249 74 248 69 242 36488 35128 80 263 87 254 89 250 71 249 72 243 35128 33720 74 258 81 250 85 248 73 248 71 242 33720 32267 69 254 74 248 78 246 75 245 69 244 32267 30757 62 253 65 251 69 248 77 242 66 246 30757 29177 53 252 55 253 59 251 73 244 60 247 29177 27531 43 251 48 253 51 253 64 252 51 250 27531 25816 37 249 45 254 46 254 50 260 39 249 25816 24032 34 251 43 257 41 257 38 251 34 240 24032 22182 29 257 37 249 37 258 37 245 32 241 22182 20261 24 260 26 248 32 247 31 245 28 250 20261 18261 22 263 25 250 28 242 26 245 26 252 18261 16216 22 269 25 247 25 251 25 249 24 251 16216 14238 19 263 22 246 23 253 22 245 21 255 14238 12432 19 236 21 238 20 254 17 257 15 255 12432 10819 20 227 22 233 19 250 13 261 12 255 10819 9380 18 229 22 233 19 248 14 254 12 263 9380 8097 16 235 22 238 18 251 14 254 12 271 8097 6957 15 244 21 243 16 263 12 267 12 273 6957 5950 18 228 22 231 15 253 11 248 13 232 5950 5071 24 209 28 213 24 212 20 202 23 201 5071 4299 30 208 31 209 29 202 27 192 25 197 4299 3607 29 206 29 209 26 197 25 185 22 193 3607 2996 24 200 25 204 22 193 20 178 19 182 2996 2488 19 192 19 198 15 192 14 172 15 174 2488 2099 15 185 13*194 10 192 9 168 10 169 2099 1832 9 179 11*193 9 192 8 167 6 168 1832 1670 7*178 10 193 8 193 6 167 2 177 1670 1577 6*177 8 193 6*192 4*167 1*197 1577 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography