DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 04/03 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.6 - - 51.0 - - - - - 42.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 459 - - 486 - - - - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5615 - - 5906 - - - - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10003 - - 10257 - - - - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11483 - - 11774 - - - - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1978 - - 1672 - - - - - 4182 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 580 - - 601 - - - - - 14 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 17 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 022 - - 005 - - - - - 003 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 6 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -32 - - -29 - - - - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2798 - - -5212 - - - - - -7852 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14282 - - 16987 - - - - - 13894 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11598 - - -12338 - - - - - -14874 ODpotential blCL - - - 23081 - - 24112 - - - - - 20916 blCL maxRH - - - 29 - - 22 - - - - - 26 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.6 - - 51.0 - - - - - 42.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 3.0 - - -2.9 - - - - - 3.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.1 - - 48.1 - - - - - 45.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 1.9 - - -3.9 - - - - - 2.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 459 - - 486 - - - - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5615 - - 5906 - - - - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96803 35 268 36 246 39 276 96803 89587 18 257 23 261 31 285 89587 84053 15 225 20 276 18 301 84053 79463 11 245 16 272 8 322 79463 75501 3 309 12 276 7 301 75501 71996 0 277 14 254 4 052 71996 68812 10 260 14 247 15 323 68812 65871 9 246 7 266 16 288 65871 63145 16 300 4 295 24 293 63145 60519 31 285 16 286 22 274 60519 57759 34 281 21 289 20 287 57759 54863 33 288 24 292 35 308 54863 52102 41 289 36 291 37 309 52102 49615 49 283 47 286 35 307 49615 47369 50 277 50 278 37 299 47369 45317 47 269 47 272 41 291 45317 43429 42 269 46 281 44 287 43429 41692 47 277 58 290 49 291 41692 40095 55 281 69 288 57 296 40095 38628 62 282 76 284 67 295 38628 37271 66 282 79 283 74 292 37271 35982 68 282 81 285 77 290 35982 34692 70 281 83 285 77 290 34692 33373 73 279 84 285 76 292 33373 32028 74 278 83 286 71 297 32028 30650 75 278 81 287 65 304 30650 29233 76 279 78 289 62 310 29233 27778 76 281 74 293 58 314 27778 26283 75 284 69 295 54 319 26283 24753 72 286 62 298 51 324 24753 23189 69 287 55 303 46 327 23189 21586 65 286 47 310 42 331 21586 19940 57 287 35 326 37 334 19940 18285 44 293 34 347 30 340 18285 16700 32 309 36 354 25 348 16700 15259 28 328 34 357 22 349 15259 13973 25 349 29 359 19 348 13973 12821 24 006 22*002 15 355 12821 11785 22*018 18*004 14 011 11785 10851 21*021 17 005 15 025 10851 10009 21 021 17 005 15 032 10009 9252 21 022 17 005 15 033 9252 8570 21 022 17 005 16 031 8570 7948 20 022 17 005 16 027 7948 7388 20 022 17 005 16 022 7388 6914 19 022 16 005 15 018 6914 6545 18 022 16 005 13 015 6545 6289 17 022 15 005 11 012 6289 6132 16 022 14 005 8 008 6132 6042 14 022 12 005 5*003 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography