DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/31 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.7 - - 50.1 - - 53.4 - - 51.3 - - 48.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 9 - - 48 - - 54 - - -4 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 175 - - 2422 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 6026 - - 6441 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6043 - - 6043 - - 8290 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1930 - - 3282 - - 2496 - - 3681 - - 1069 Hgt.Variab. W* 52 - - 90 - - 230 - - 20 - - 12 W* B/S 3 - - 3 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 7 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 148 - - 164 - - 174 - - 132 - - 046 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 6 - - 10 - - 12 - - 5 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 0 - - 2150 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6043 - - 6043 - - 6140 - - 6043 - - 6043 sfcLCL ODpotential -258 - - -727 - - 373 - - -1339 - - -2823 ODpotential blCL 6301 - - 6770 - - 7917 - - 7382 - - 8866 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 97 - - 95 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 110 - - 160 - - 180 - - 210 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 46.7 - - 50.1 - - 53.4 - - 51.3 - - 48.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.7 - - 46.7 - - 47.1 - - 48.3 - - 45.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.3 - - 49.4 - - 52.7 - - 52.3 - - 51.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.5 - - 45.8 - - 45.8 - - 47.4 - - 45.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 9 - - 48 - - 54 - - -4 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 175 - - 2422 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 101 - - 87 - - 79 - - 77 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96667 47 280 54 271 64 277 56 283 59 278 96667 89646 39 285 39 281 43 276 41 285 38 292 89646 84219 40 291 32 294 30 287 34 280 34 289 84219 79697 35 287 29 288 22 271 29 273 30 287 79697 75774 28 278 27 262 18 258 21 275 28 288 75774 72271 13 273 18 259 19 257 19 268 22 271 72271 69077 15 294 22 266 25 255 18 268 16 278 69077 66103 29 265 30 260 25 253 22 253 24 264 66103 63326 30 249 25 252 22 246 26 239 28 254 63326 60643 25 243 19 251 25 252 27 242 33 256 60643 57844 29 249 32 260 32 252 35 257 35 247 57844 54960 41 252 48 253 45 252 41 254 33 252 54960 52234 48 251 56 254 54 262 48 260 44 260 52234 49801 47 262 52 255 67 257 68 256 64 256 49801 47653 63 266 62 262 64 257 72 252 73 260 47653 45736 74 261 67 265 75 267 77 261 98 264 45736 43988 71 256 76 271 89 276 91 269 108 262 43988 42360 58 258 86 271 121 276 113 270 107 261 42360 40830 56 270 95 272 132 271 116 265 102 262 40830 39385 64 270 102 274 128 267 117 262 98 262 39385 38023 75 260 105 275 128 267 119 261 95 262 38023 36713 78 258 101 275 126 270 116 260 91 259 36713 35397 78 261 86 273 113 274 112 262 88 257 35397 34047 77 266 64 267 90 274 113 268 85 257 34047 32669 78 271 57 260 72 271 105 271 82 258 32669 31253 55 284 56 254 64 268 87 269 62 254 31253 29791 31 291 51 253 53 260 64 267 57 245 29791 28284 26 266 46 253 48 251 52 265 62 240 28284 26738 36 249 39 247 49 240 42 251 63 240 26738 25157 39 252 40 242 48 235 42 240 60 239 25157 23547 36 255 43 245 42 239 43 240 58 238 23547 21902 35 255 41 255 36 244 41 240 55 235 21902 20216 34 256 33 262 30 246 36 239 50 229 20216 18522 31 255 29 260 26 247 29 234 43 225 18522 16906 29 248 28 254 23 242 26 227 36 227 16906 15441 28 240 27 249 23 235 26 224 30 222 15441 14134 26 236 24 245 22 233 25 221 25 215 14134 12961 22 234 20 234 21 233 24 214 22 209 12961 11904 18 229 17 218 17 226 23 205 21 200 11904 10951 16 225 16 207 14 209 21 197 21 191 10951 10091 15 223 14 200 12 193 18 190 19 183 10091 9318 14 223 11 195 11 182 16 182 18 170 9318 8622 12 222 8 183 9*177 13 172 17 157 8622 7987 9 209 7 175 8*175 11 162 17 149 7987 7416 6 188 7 171 7 174 9 153 16 143 7416 6932 6 165 6 167 7 174 7 147 12 136 6932 6556 6 156 6 166 7 174 6 142 9 120 6556 6295 5 152 6 164 6 174 5 138 6 091 6295 6135 4*148 5*165 6 174 4*135 5*060 6135 6043 3*148 5*164 6 173 3*132 5*046 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography