DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/11 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.1 - - 50.8 - - 53.5 - - 49.2 - - 44.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -43 - - 50 - - 52 - - -1 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 742 - - 1115 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 6026 - - 6027 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 6610 - - 6983 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 100 - - 946 - - 966 - - 934 - - 92 Hgt.Variab. W* 32 - - 152 - - 176 - - 0 - - 21 W* B/S 1 - - 6 - - 22 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 036 - - 098 - - 114 - - 222 - - 018 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - 3 - - 3 - - -1 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1330 - - -1231 - - -602 - - 0 - - -940 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7372 - - 7841 - - 7585 - - 6043 - - 6983 sfcLCL ODpotential -10517 - - -8029 - - -6070 - - -5137 - - -9044 ODpotential blCL 16559 - - 14639 - - 13053 - - 11180 - - 15087 blCL maxRH 41 - - 58 - - 64 - - 70 - - 45 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.1 - - 50.8 - - 53.5 - - 49.2 - - 44.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.4 - - 37.7 - - 41.3 - - 44.3 - - 35.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.1 - - 50.1 - - 52.8 - - 51.8 - - 49.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.3 - - 36.4 - - 40.1 - - 43.4 - - 34.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -43 - - 50 - - 52 - - -1 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 742 - - 1115 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96393 33 283 50 274 47 282 40 290 48 286 96393 89307 20 304 29 287 29 281 35 292 38 302 89307 83830 20 314 20 296 16 282 28 296 27 305 83830 79286 20 309 16 302 13 302 20 308 18 329 79286 75380 20 305 12 310 17 306 19 328 20 346 75380 71930 20 321 13 350 19 305 19 321 19 343 71930 68797 21 327 12 339 14 292 21 307 21 336 68797 65915 19 319 17 325 16 318 25 295 22 314 65915 63260 22 321 25 308 24 325 25 309 22 312 63260 60706 30 323 29 304 35 309 27 310 32 298 60706 58047 35 314 33 318 27 321 23 326 26 294 58047 55279 35 328 40 331 44 335 40 326 31 320 55279 52634 46 335 45 325 48 322 47 319 50 315 52634 50242 54 337 45 323 43 310 48 315 63 303 50242 48067 57 332 43 326 42 310 38 309 48 294 48067 46070 52 337 43 334 43 326 32 327 32 298 46070 44230 53 348 48 339 48 338 43 339 33 334 44230 42532 57 355 53 339 54 340 52 339 47 340 42532 40949 51 356 52 340 57 340 56 340 52 339 40949 39463 39 355 52 358 51 349 50 338 50 340 39463 38071 31 354 52 008 45 358 42 337 47 338 38071 36743 28 352 37 013 45 006 35 351 39 332 36743 35413 19 340 25 013 39 011 38 014 33 002 35413 34056 13 338 17 018 25 018 41 021 41 026 34056 32678 11 012 12 050 16 019 33 013 35 031 32678 31272 11 038 13 066 10 031 20 002 22 016 31272 29832 12 053 15 070 9 055 10 010 16 010 29832 28358 14 069 16 063 11 053 11 032 18 021 28358 26845 17 078 16 060 12 051 15 046 17 029 26845 25291 20 073 13 072 14 052 15 050 14 042 25291 23701 23 068 16 102 13 069 7 071 12 053 23701 22069 24 067 18 094 12 083 7 096 8 057 22069 20387 21 072 19 084 14 077 9 077 7 058 20387 18685 17 074 17 105 12 096 8 118 4 077 18685 17049 12 068 13 119 10 135 6 098 10 060 17049 15558 9 068 8 107 6 097 11 067 14 077 15558 14226 8 075 7 103 8 067 14 070 15 081 14226 13032 8 074 6 109 7 070 13 071 14 085 13032 11958 7 059 5 111 5 078 11 078 10 094 11958 10989 8 069 5 116 4 089 8 092 7 109 10989 10117 11 075 6 108 4 105 6 105 5 120 10117 9336 14 073 6 098 3 120 5 107 5 121 9336 8634 16 071 7 089 3 130 5 092 5 114 8634 7994 18 068 7 080 3 096 7 075 7 109 7994 7420 21 060 9 069 3*063 7 061 8 087 7420 6934 22 051 8*070 2*072 7 055 9 066 6934 6556 20 043 6*086 1 110 4 053 10 052 6556 6294 15 038 5 100 2 131 1 053 10 034 6294 6134 11 035 5 104 2 137 0*178 8*023 6134 6043 7*036 4 107 2 141 0*222 6*018 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography