DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/06 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.3 - - 83.7 - - 81.7 - - 73.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 383 - - 413 - - 96 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3905 - - 7758 - - 6596 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8584 - - 11685 - - 9857 - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9773 - - 13626 - - 12464 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4826 - - 2478 - - 3526 - - 3910 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 483 - - 623 - - 363 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 11 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 10 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 196 - - 220 - - 232 - - 319 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 14 - - 15 - - -11 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5915 - - -1087 - - -1602 - - -5898 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15689 - - 14714 - - 14066 - - 11943 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9210 - - -2400 - - -3415 - - -9347 ODpotential blCL - - - 18983 - - 16026 - - 15879 - - 15391 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 91 - - 88 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.3 - - 83.7 - - 81.7 - - 73.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.2 - - 39.7 - - 40.7 - - 42.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.5 - - 80.9 - - 80.5 - - 75.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.1 - - 39.7 - - 40.7 - - 42.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 383 - - 413 - - 96 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3905 - - 7758 - - 6596 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 85 - - 65 - - 52 - - 60 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98853 12 132 13 113 8 014 11 072 98853 91420 8 074 6 107 4 080 2 341 91420 85680 9 056 5 126 3 127 6 091 85680 80917 7 080 5 162 5 040 7 082 80917 76809 11 096 9 098 5 103 10 060 76809 73198 15 083 10 072 8 105 6 045 73198 69947 12 079 7 119 6 071 6 070 69947 66958 5 117 10 116 3 286 8 025 66958 64186 8 199 2 309 5 323 3 157 64186 61521 11 194 12 209 12 239 8 252 61521 58792 26 244 21 224 23 240 17 263 58792 55998 23 249 28 228 29 228 27 239 55998 53343 35 260 36 241 37 236 45 234 53343 50951 41 250 46 248 44 237 51 236 50951 48796 45 247 51 244 50 238 53 243 48796 46825 49 247 51 241 57 239 57 243 46825 45006 53 248 52 243 59 242 59 243 45006 43313 56 250 55 247 63 245 66 245 43313 41732 55 249 59 247 64 246 68 247 41732 40247 53 248 60 245 62 246 66 246 40247 38849 51 248 57 245 57 245 66 245 38849 37508 51 246 53 244 52 245 61 245 37508 36164 52 245 52 242 53 247 55 242 36164 34789 54 244 51 242 55 248 45 235 34789 33384 53 243 47 244 49 246 40 228 33384 31941 46 243 43 245 41 246 37 220 31941 30449 36 248 38 242 33 248 34 213 30449 28913 34 248 35 235 31 236 34 210 28913 27337 39 237 34 229 32 221 38 217 27337 25726 37 231 33 219 32 216 39 219 25726 24084 29 224 33 210 33 218 39 223 24084 22407 26 211 32 202 34 220 39 227 22407 20691 25 210 31 205 34 221 37 230 20691 18960 22 212 28 213 33 219 37 225 18960 17303 19 214 25 221 29 216 34 212 17303 15797 16 214 23 223 25 213 27 206 15797 14451 16 217 19*223 18 212 21 203 14451 13240 16 219 13*222 10*216 15 197 13240 12147 16 228 11 222 7*224 10 186 12147 11157 15 233 10 221 6 227 6 174 11157 10264 11*228 10 221 7 229 2 170 10264 9460 7*208 10 220 7 232 1 302 9460 8735 7 198 10 220 7 233 4 330 8735 8073 7 196 10 219 7 234 8 330 8073 7478 7 195 10 217 7 235 11 326 7478 6973 7 194 10 217 7 235 14 322 6973 6581 7 193 10 216 7 235 14 319 6581 6307 7 192 9 216 7 235 12 317 6307 6141 7 192 9 215 7 234 9 318 6141 6044 6 191 8 215 6 234 7*319 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography