DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/18 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.0 - - 91.9 - - 90.8 - - 80.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 458 - - 489 - - 165 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3926 - - 12092 - - 11724 - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8656 - - 15323 - - 14260 - - 6029 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9794 - - 17960 - - 17592 - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 8160 - - 1513 - - 1849 - - 7161 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 513 - - 763 - - 526 - - 2 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 14 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 10 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 196 - - 256 - - 271 - - 282 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 12 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 14 - - 17 - - -8 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5502 - - 819 - - -176 - - -9761 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15296 - - 17141 - - 17769 - - 15807 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6744 - - -187 - - -2504 - - -13596 ODpotential blCL - - - 16538 - - 18147 - - 20096 - - 19641 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 79 - - 66 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 40 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.0 - - 91.9 - - 90.8 - - 80.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.6 - - 37.0 - - 33.3 - - 32.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.9 - - 88.6 - - 89.1 - - 85.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.6 - - 36.9 - - 33.2 - - 32.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 458 - - 489 - - 165 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3926 - - 12092 - - 11724 - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 16 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99241 30 103 27 107 27 084 28 115 99241 91741 29 111 25 101 25 099 29 083 91741 85977 31 110 24 094 20 109 26 069 85977 81202 24 099 20 093 20 088 20 084 81202 77086 18 090 14 096 20 074 16 085 77086 73448 16 084 11 118 8 074 14 050 73448 70164 14 067 10 090 7 083 13 038 70164 67158 12 056 9 059 11 055 14 060 67158 64395 13 044 10 061 11 045 12 038 64395 61747 5 032 9 004 11 027 9 067 61747 58991 2 340 8 317 8 342 8 012 58991 56138 8 322 11 290 14 288 13 306 56138 53420 16 318 17 299 23 293 19 301 53420 50977 33 294 32 295 33 297 26 311 50977 48805 40 292 36 294 33 298 24 312 48805 46853 38 297 28 293 26 309 22 320 46853 45070 32 296 24 295 22 317 21 328 45070 43413 32 288 24 294 21 319 22 325 43413 41856 30 284 23 293 25 309 20 322 41856 40385 24 296 20 296 23 299 19 308 40385 38997 22 298 17 295 16 306 19 293 38997 37666 20 284 20 287 13 295 22 291 37666 36329 19 269 20 275 19 287 24 303 36329 34958 16 258 20 266 21 295 27 312 34958 33560 15 255 19 268 22 301 29 312 33560 32123 13 255 18 283 23 298 28 309 32123 30638 11 264 18 291 21 301 24 305 30638 29107 11 274 15 290 17 304 21 296 29107 27532 14 274 15 282 14 291 18 287 27532 25920 17 272 15 280 13 293 16 284 25920 24274 19 278 13 285 9 295 13 293 24274 22593 18 291 10 293 8 300 11 301 22593 20869 13 291 9 295 9 306 10 300 20869 19132 10 279 9*298 9*301 10 298 19132 17464 16 261 10*293 9*291 11 295 17464 15944 16 250 10 288 9 287 11 289 15944 14580 16 251 10 282 9 284 11 284 14580 13353 16 256 11 273 9 280 11 280 13353 12243 14 262 11 262 10 274 11 278 12243 11239 11 263 11 252 10 269 11 278 11239 10331 8*262 11 246 11 266 11 278 10331 9514 5*247 12 240 11 264 12 278 9514 8778 5 217 12 236 12 263 12 277 8778 8106 6 193 12 232 12 261 12 277 8106 7501 6 188 12 229 12 260 12 275 7501 6989 7 186 12 227 12 258 12 274 6989 6589 7 185 12 225 12 258 11 273 6589 6312 7 185 12 225 11 257 9 275 6312 6142 7 184 12 225 11 257 7*276 6142 6045 7 184 11 223 10 257 5*282 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography