DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/18 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 29.0 - - 41.6 - - 46.9 - - 42.7 - - 35.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 167 - - 219 - - -5 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1021 - - 1557 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit 6025 - - 6147 - - 6650 - - 6025 - - 6025 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 6889 - - 7425 - - 6042 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 421 - - 630 - - 661 - - 1356 - - 747 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 234 - - 295 - - 11 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 13 - - 9 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 6 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 306 - - 198 - - 216 - - 215 - - 007 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 7 - - 11 - - 6 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4326 - - -5464 - - -5948 - - -6393 - - -4653 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10368 - - 12354 - - 13374 - - 12435 - - 10695 sfcLCL ODpotential -16410 - - -14195 - - -13405 - - -14429 - - -14374 ODpotential blCL 22452 - - 21084 - - 20830 - - 20471 - - 20416 blCL maxRH 35 - - 31 - - 81 - - 67 - - 61 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 29.0 - - 41.6 - - 46.9 - - 42.7 - - 35.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 5.9 - - 9.4 - - 10.0 - - 10.1 - - 10.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 34.4 - - 40.3 - - 45.2 - - 43.4 - - 40.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 5.7 - - 9.1 - - 9.7 - - 9.9 - - 10.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 167 - - 219 - - -5 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1021 - - 1557 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 25 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96451 32 051 13 025 22 016 17 054 11 059 96451 89398 24 068 14 037 19 036 17 049 10 073 89398 83885 21 056 16 053 16 057 17 053 19 035 83885 79289 19 045 14 072 12 054 12 039 14 019 79289 75315 20 032 12 061 8 042 9 049 18 007 75315 71778 15 020 11 027 9 004 12 006 20 006 71778 68552 8 005 9 034 6 320 10 010 18 003 68552 65572 11 354 17 352 16 341 19 009 20 006 65572 62820 18 329 20 325 25 342 27 346 22 348 62820 60167 18 333 26 337 24 334 23 341 21 358 60167 57397 30 334 33 340 32 339 31 344 34 346 57397 54529 40 324 43 332 44 323 46 329 43 331 54529 51806 42 325 47 326 47 318 54 320 53 321 51806 49358 45 328 47 323 47 322 52 318 59 314 49358 47163 46 328 50 323 49 322 52 319 62 312 47163 45169 46 330 51 324 52 320 54 319 62 313 45169 43345 47 328 52 327 55 316 56 318 63 312 43345 41667 49 325 53 326 55 310 59 314 64 312 41667 40113 52 322 54 322 54 308 61 309 63 310 40113 38667 51 316 55 317 54 307 60 306 61 308 38667 37320 49 318 55 315 57 307 57 302 59 305 37320 36043 51 323 55 314 59 304 54 300 59 303 36043 34770 54 321 54 313 59 306 53 302 60 301 34770 33470 54 317 54 312 59 309 55 304 58 298 33470 32146 54 317 54 310 56 310 57 304 56 299 32146 30781 52 318 54 310 55 308 56 304 56 300 30781 29368 51 321 53 311 54 307 53 306 57 301 29368 27911 51 323 52 312 52 307 51 307 57 301 27911 26412 52 323 51 313 51 307 50 308 55 302 26412 24875 53 323 49 314 50 308 50 309 54 303 24875 23304 53 324 48 315 50 309 51 311 54 305 23304 21693 53 325 47 315 48 312 51 313 52 306 21693 20036 51 328 45 316 46 313 48 316 48 307 20036 18364 45 329 41 317 43 311 44 315 43 306 18364 16764 37 328 36 319 39 309 39 312 37 306 16764 15311 31 325 30 319 34 307 35 309 32 307 15311 14015 28 323 26 319 29 307 30 307 27 308 14015 12853 25 323 23 318 25 309 26 308 23 308 12853 11806 22 326 19 319 22 313 22 309 19 308 11806 10862 18 329 16 320 17 319 17 310 17 307 10862 10011 14 329 13 322 13 323 13 308 15 301 10011 9248 10 325 10 320 10 322 10 301 14 295 9248 8562 6 316 8 316 8 308 9 289 13 290 8562 7938 3 288 6 309 6*281 9 276 11 287 7938 7378 3 247 3 292 5*231 7 256 8 287 7378 6906 3 231 2*228 6 216 6 232 4 290 6906 6540 2 233 3*204 6 214 5 220 2 323 6540 6286 2 256 3 197 6 211 5 216 2 356 6286 6131 1*284 3 196 6 210 5*214 2*011 6131 6042 2*306 3 196 6 209 4*215 3*007 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography