DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/21 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 32.9 - - 39.7 - - 39.6 - - 29.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 210 - - 305 - - 47 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2215 - - 3457 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7112 - - 8161 - - 6025 - - 6025 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8083 - - 9325 - - 6042 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1180 - - 979 - - 3543 - - 943 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 329 - - 430 - - 85 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 50 - - 48 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 342 - - 115 - - 099 - - 007 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 8 - - 1 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2819 - - -3710 - - -6633 - - -3583 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10902 - - 13035 - - 12675 - - 9625 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9125 - - -9622 - - -14333 - - -13743 ODpotential blCL - - - 17208 - - 18947 - - 20375 - - 19785 blCL maxRH - - - 50 - - 56 - - 61 - - 51 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 32.9 - - 39.7 - - 39.6 - - 29.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 6.8 - - 4.0 - - 5.7 - - 8.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 31.3 - - 37.6 - - 38.8 - - 33.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 5.8 - - 3.2 - - 5.3 - - 8.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 210 - - 305 - - 47 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2215 - - 3457 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96703 26 111 24 092 28 097 21 111 96703 89552 26 110 17 113 17 089 23 086 89552 84001 18 107 12 126 14 105 17 079 84001 79381 15 128 15 138 8 128 10 066 79381 75393 5 134 8 120 6 171 3 049 75393 71858 6 123 5 162 3 204 1 171 71858 68649 7 262 6 230 3 284 1 239 68649 65692 14 220 15 251 15 280 12 281 65692 62953 10 230 18 253 20 269 17 266 62953 60309 16 298 19 270 19 264 17 265 60309 57540 32 291 25 283 26 277 25 287 57540 54657 40 286 36 286 40 281 42 287 54657 51908 50 284 54 284 53 287 51 284 51908 49434 58 281 61 284 64 287 61 290 49434 47227 58 281 66 286 71 285 70 289 47227 45243 60 289 73 289 71 290 73 287 45243 43444 67 298 78 290 77 293 75 288 43444 41797 89 299 85 294 81 295 72 291 41797 40269 105 296 91 303 84 298 72 293 40269 38835 105 297 101 305 87 295 76 288 38835 37485 97 303 103 300 91 291 80 284 37485 36190 104 310 103 297 93 290 80 285 36190 34891 113 311 101 299 91 294 78 290 34891 33563 116 311 95 302 89 298 76 292 33563 32210 115 312 87 303 86 301 74 294 32210 30820 110 315 81 302 80 301 72 295 30820 29384 103 321 77 300 73 302 69 297 29384 27906 89 328 72 301 67 300 66 299 27906 26387 64 321 68 300 64 296 60 298 26387 24830 49 305 63 301 61 295 56 294 24830 23241 42 295 55 305 57 298 54 294 23241 21618 37 290 46 308 53 305 49 299 21618 19954 33 293 38 303 46 310 39 305 19954 18277 27 298 31 293 36 308 29 306 18277 16674 21 299 25 288 28 298 23 305 16674 15221 16 302 19 291 22 287 17 300 15221 13930 13 308 13 292 15 277 12 284 13930 12774 10 320 7 284 10 263 8 255 12774 11734 9 340 3 258 6 243 8 229 11734 10797 7 003 1 169 4 208 8 211 10797 9955 7 016 1*078 2 163 7 197 9955 9202 5 016 1*085 2 077 6 171 9202 8526 3*012 1 092 3 074 5 139 8526 7912 2*002 2 104 3 082 3 105 7912 7361 2 353 2 116 3 087 2 062 7361 6896 1 339 2 126 3 092 1 056 6896 6534 1 322 2 131 3 095 2 041 6534 6283 1 306 2 135 4 097 3 025 6283 6130 1 297 2 135 3*099 3*012 6130 6042 1 282 2 139 3*099 3*007 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography