DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/01 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.3 - - 51.5 - - 51.7 - - 48.5 - - 46.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 2 - - 11 - - 18 - - 14 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 175 - - 175 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 6027 - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6043 - - 6043 - - 6043 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2224 - - 1350 - - 2742 - - 1906 - - 2199 Hgt.Variab. W* 33 - - 53 - - 66 - - 60 - - 15 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 13 - - 16 - - 19 - - 19 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 171 - - 203 - - 220 - - 213 - - 190 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 28 - - 30 - - 29 - - 32 - - 8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6043 - - 6043 - - 6043 - - 6043 - - 6043 sfcLCL ODpotential -190 - - 0 - - -319 - - -136 - - -581 ODpotential blCL 6233 - - 6043 - - 6362 - - 6179 - - 6624 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 102 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 80 - - 240 - - 100 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 50.3 - - 51.5 - - 51.7 - - 48.5 - - 46.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.8 - - 51.5 - - 50.9 - - 48.1 - - 45.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.2 - - 51.1 - - 51.6 - - 48.3 - - 46.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.7 - - 51.4 - - 50.6 - - 48.0 - - 45.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 2 - - 11 - - 18 - - 14 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 175 - - 175 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 102 - - 99 - - 107 - - 76 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 10 - - 10 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96608 42 287 42 281 47 271 50 294 39 294 96608 89591 33 295 32 289 32 278 36 282 34 296 89591 84170 34 296 24 292 26 302 19 295 28 296 84170 79655 22 284 26 280 25 304 14 298 22 304 79655 75755 17 296 23 287 17 298 10 261 20 310 75755 72303 21 283 19 292 15 282 11 278 18 310 72303 69151 18 275 17 278 21 265 17 277 16 310 69151 66216 15 264 19 269 24 265 18 275 20 295 66216 63480 14 276 21 259 25 255 18 281 26 280 63480 60838 21 284 19 265 21 258 22 279 24 265 60838 58079 28 267 21 272 22 274 29 281 14 270 58079 55189 34 254 36 270 34 265 38 281 22 302 55189 52449 38 249 47 257 47 265 51 275 44 287 52449 50034 51 258 52 252 54 265 59 272 48 286 50034 47883 80 247 62 246 56 262 65 278 56 284 47883 45910 94 235 74 239 59 261 74 275 64 275 45910 44081 91 236 87 231 58 258 74 266 63 268 44081 42374 99 241 92 228 57 255 71 265 64 262 42374 40772 106 239 90 229 56 249 70 263 64 257 40772 39262 98 227 87 230 60 242 70 262 62 254 39262 37841 98 216 87 232 82 235 69 258 60 253 37841 36479 95 216 87 232 103 226 67 251 59 253 36479 35113 92 216 81 229 100 223 67 245 59 252 35113 33717 87 218 74 221 101 220 64 238 61 253 33717 32300 79 220 76 219 100 216 63 225 63 255 32300 30860 71 220 83 220 95 213 71 213 66 254 30860 29393 67 221 87 224 88 210 81 209 64 248 29393 27905 70 226 88 227 81 208 90 206 62 241 27905 26387 79 233 86 228 75 208 92 205 59 234 26387 24836 86 237 81 227 67 210 85 210 54 227 24836 23256 84 238 79 226 57 216 74 219 48 220 23256 21646 75 236 78 224 51 222 58 228 47 214 21646 19999 67 233 68 221 55 227 49 231 47 217 19999 18339 57 229 62 220 58 231 49 230 49 225 18339 16751 53 225 55 219 51 229 48 226 51 232 16751 15309 58 223 51 219 47 226 49 223 51 235 15309 14022 59 220 49 220 46 225 48 221 49 238 14022 12866 57 217 49 221 45 226 48 224 46 240 12866 11825 55 218 48 222 46 228 49 225 41 243 11825 10884 52 221 46 221 47 227 50 223 35 246 10884 10034 45 222 43 218 46 225 49 220 28 248 10034 9272 34 218 40 214 44 223 46 217 22 248 9272 8586 26 208 36 211 41 222 44 215 21 247 8586 7961 25 197 35 210 39 221 42 214 21 244 7961 7398 25 187 34 210 38 221 41 214 18 239 7398 6921 24 180 31 208 35 221 38 214 14 234 6921 6550 22 176 28 206 32 221 34 214 10 225 6550 6292 20 173 24 205 28 220 30 214 7 209 6292 6134 17*172 21 204 25*220 27*214 5*196 6134 6043 13*171 16*203 19*220 19*213 4*190 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography