DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/29 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.3 - - 50.7 - - 55.5 - - 52.6 - - 50.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -11 - - 65 - - 69 - - -8 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 1110 - - 1430 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 6026 - - 6027 - - 6026 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top 6043 - - 6978 - - 7298 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 983 - - 1025 - - 2026 - - 1417 - - 475 Hgt.Variab. W* 20 - - 188 - - 207 - - 22 - - 18 W* B/S 1 - - 9 - - 8 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 018 - - 149 - - 160 - - 020 - - 032 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - 6 - - 7 - - -8 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -720 - - -864 - - -827 - - -1177 - - -1904 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6764 - - 7842 - - 8125 - - 7221 - - 7948 sfcLCL ODpotential -7230 - - -6227 - - -4587 - - -5299 - - -7045 ODpotential blCL 13273 - - 13205 - - 11885 - - 11342 - - 13088 blCL maxRH 85 - - 81 - - 80 - - 71 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m 43.3 - - 50.7 - - 55.5 - - 52.6 - - 50.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.9 - - 37.3 - - 40.7 - - 41.8 - - 36.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.9 - - 49.9 - - 54.7 - - 54.7 - - 55.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.7 - - 36.2 - - 39.5 - - 40.5 - - 35.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -11 - - 65 - - 69 - - -8 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 1110 - - 1430 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 39 - - 24 - - 20 - - 0 - - 39 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96685 43 278 54 270 53 270 53 272 60 278 96685 89545 34 265 33 269 42 273 38 273 38 279 89545 84067 22 261 22 269 30 271 29 289 25 290 84067 79501 18 276 18 266 23 264 27 281 26 293 79501 75555 20 270 22 264 22 259 24 271 25 276 75555 72058 21 261 26 267 23 275 21 276 23 259 72058 68867 21 250 24 260 24 262 25 262 26 250 68867 65903 23 250 20 254 21 249 26 246 25 245 65903 63136 27 257 26 254 25 251 29 243 27 252 63136 60450 29 252 34 245 32 242 32 244 29 258 60450 57640 35 246 38 236 39 231 35 238 34 252 57640 54724 44 248 40 238 41 231 39 234 44 244 54724 51956 53 247 43 242 45 236 43 234 47 241 51956 49488 55 243 51 239 52 236 52 237 48 240 49488 47293 54 239 54 237 57 232 56 235 48 237 47293 45313 52 235 52 237 57 228 56 232 48 235 45313 43513 48 233 49 236 53 227 56 228 50 234 43513 41863 47 235 52 231 51 228 55 225 53 229 41863 40338 48 232 52 226 53 229 51 223 55 222 40338 38915 46 231 51 228 55 228 49 223 54 217 38915 37580 42 232 51 230 53 227 49 223 52 216 37580 36302 39 235 51 230 50 229 48 223 51 217 36302 35019 37 236 47 229 47 229 49 223 50 219 35019 33704 38 234 42 229 45 229 49 221 49 221 33704 32361 39 235 41 227 43 226 48 220 47 224 32361 30982 38 237 40 230 40 223 43 220 45 229 30982 29559 35 237 39 233 40 224 38 225 44 233 29559 28094 34 235 39 232 41 226 35 230 43 233 28094 26589 34 235 38 231 43 227 36 233 42 235 26589 25048 33 236 37 232 43 228 38 232 42 235 25048 23476 30 239 35 232 40 230 38 232 41 233 23476 21864 28 240 32 232 34 230 35 234 38 235 21864 20207 26 237 29 232 30 232 33 237 36 240 20207 18538 24 234 27 233 29 236 32 238 33 237 18538 16938 21 233 27 234 28 238 30 234 32 227 16938 15481 19 230 26 234 28 237 28 229 32 220 15481 14177 17 225 25 233 26 233 27 224 30 217 14177 13005 17 219 23 230 24 227 26 220 28 215 13005 11947 16 212 21 225 22 220 25 216 24 211 11947 10990 15 203 19 216 21 214 22 211 19 203 10990 10125 14 190 17 203 19 209 19 203 19 192 10125 9347 14 178 16 191 18 200 17 196 19 180 9347 8645 12 170 13 180 16 189 14 190 20 170 8645 8004 12 165 13 167 13 177 12 178 21 164 8004 7427 16 160 12*163 9*168 10 165 19 163 7427 6939 12 156 7*157 6*161 6 150 14 160 6939 6560 5 142 3 146 5 159 3 100 7 144 6560 6296 3 086 3 144 4 159 3 047 4 100 6296 6135 4*031 3 147 4 159 4*025 4 050 6135 6043 5*018 3 145 4 159 4*020 5*032 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography