DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/27 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 22.6 - - 34.2 - - 41.8 - - 38.7 - - 30.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 147 - - 222 - - -6 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 173 - - 964 - - 1580 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit 6025 - - 6025 - - 6671 - - 6025 - - 6025 Hcrit BL Top 6041 - - 6832 - - 7448 - - 6042 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 445 - - 762 - - 1995 - - 2091 - - 720 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 220 - - 298 - - 8 - - 38 W* B/S 0 - - 25 - - 10 - - 1 - - 3 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 351 - - 225 - - 217 - - 178 - - 350 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 3 - - 10 - - 5 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6560 - - -7037 - - -7779 - - -8483 - - -6557 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12601 - - 13870 - - 15228 - - 14526 - - 12599 sfcLCL ODpotential -15415 - - -16740 - - -16563 - - -18813 - - -18120 ODpotential blCL 21456 - - 23572 - - 24011 - - 24855 - - 24162 blCL maxRH 94 - - 54 - - 36 - - 73 - - 63 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 22.6 - - 34.2 - - 41.8 - - 38.7 - - 30.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -10.0 - - -4.6 - - -3.5 - - -3.1 - - -2.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 27.8 - - 33.1 - - 39.9 - - 39.2 - - 35.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -10.8 - - -5.2 - - -4.1 - - -3.8 - - -2.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 147 - - 222 - - -6 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 173 - - 964 - - 1580 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 77 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95547 76 273 88 283 78 279 80 286 97 286 95547 88530 60 292 66 290 68 293 73 294 68 300 88530 83052 50 284 51 287 67 297 68 300 60 305 83052 78479 45 286 50 291 58 293 65 302 62 308 78479 74555 49 297 47 295 48 297 58 304 61 310 74555 71111 48 300 42 296 43 298 50 302 54 308 71111 68004 42 301 44 298 38 297 45 300 46 308 68004 65144 42 303 50 296 39 301 45 304 46 307 65144 62490 47 301 50 294 45 303 52 307 53 300 62490 59925 50 299 49 302 49 304 59 303 57 297 59925 57261 50 300 52 309 57 307 57 306 58 298 57261 54494 53 305 57 313 64 313 57 315 57 300 54494 51827 57 305 62 316 69 322 62 314 56 303 51827 49391 55 305 63 318 72 325 66 309 56 306 49391 47182 50 310 62 319 73 322 65 310 57 305 47182 45175 47 314 60 320 72 318 65 315 60 303 45175 43356 49 326 62 325 70 319 66 312 57 303 43356 41701 63 331 69 329 70 327 64 321 54 312 41701 40180 71 334 75 332 77 335 74 332 57 324 40180 38767 76 343 76 335 86 339 80 333 62 332 38767 37444 84 349 74 338 89 342 76 331 63 330 37444 36176 88 350 70 343 86 346 71 326 59 328 36176 34898 90 352 71 349 80 347 68 323 55 326 34898 33587 91 354 73 350 75 346 63 325 54 322 33587 32246 93 355 72 349 71 347 58 333 56 316 32246 30866 90 353 70 348 67 347 54 332 58 311 30866 29438 81 345 67 345 62 342 52 324 56 311 29438 27965 80 337 69 343 60 336 55 319 50 312 27965 26450 77 336 73 341 59 332 55 320 48 317 26450 24898 66 332 74 339 59 330 51 324 47 322 24898 23311 55 322 70 336 59 329 47 328 45 324 23311 21685 50 311 64 332 59 330 45 330 44 323 21685 20017 44 303 56 328 58 333 45 330 42 323 20017 18335 41 300 43 322 52 338 43 331 39 325 18335 16724 36 302 34 316 43 337 39 332 34 330 16724 15263 30 304 28 315 33 331 35 331 30 335 15263 13961 23 306 24 319 28 328 31 329 27 337 13961 12798 18 308 22 325 24 331 26 329 23 338 12798 11753 15 312 19 330 20 339 21 333 19 340 11753 10814 13 317 16 333 15 344 15 339 15 343 10814 9970 11 320 13 335 11 346 11 349 10 344 9970 9215 9 323 11 335 8 347 8 359 5 344 9215 8536 7 328 8 337 5 341 7 007 2 357 8536 7919 5 335 6 338 2*306 5 008 1 011 7919 7366 3 346 4 337 4*231 2 008 1 319 7366 6898 2 002 2*315 5 219 1 157 1 280 6898 6535 2 018 1*253 6 216 2 173 1 318 6535 6284 3 013 2 227 6 214 3 178 1 339 6284 6130 2 355 2 216 6 212 3*179 2*346 6130 6042 2*351 2 210 6 213 3*178 2*350 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography