DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/16 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.7 - - 87.0 - - - - - 75.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 473 - - 497 - - - - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9703 - - 11680 - - - - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13334 - - 14990 - - - - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15571 - - 17548 - - - - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1754 - - 1800 - - - - - 7101 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 701 - - 758 - - - - - 7 W* B/S - - - 42 - - 30 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 5 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 253 - - 283 - - - - - 285 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 15 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 13 - - -20 - - - - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -448 - - -113 - - - - - -9434 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16019 - - 17662 - - - - - 15480 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2830 - - -1399 - - - - - -13670 ODpotential blCL - - - 18401 - - 18947 - - - - - 19715 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 73 - - - - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.7 - - 87.0 - - - - - 75.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.0 - - 29.8 - - - - - 29.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.6 - - 83.7 - - - - - 80.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.9 - - 29.7 - - - - - 29.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 473 - - 497 - - - - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9703 - - 11680 - - - - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 26 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99275 37 103 29 107 28 096 99275 91800 31 088 33 097 36 101 91800 86031 25 104 31 100 31 086 86031 81258 30 104 26 108 23 066 81258 77152 21 100 18 096 18 070 77152 73511 13 109 13 105 17 070 73511 70218 14 082 12 102 13 073 70218 67216 11 063 12 102 11 090 67216 64454 3 085 10 086 8 088 64454 61779 6 124 2 195 7 014 61779 58999 4 038 6 124 11 261 58999 56143 15 255 6 247 11 228 56143 53420 27 243 23 250 25 272 53420 50965 32 233 39 239 34 254 50965 48753 34 245 40 242 35 260 48753 46738 45 255 41 251 31 268 46738 44899 45 244 41 243 31 265 44899 43210 46 229 39 237 33 256 43210 41642 42 231 39 238 35 251 41642 40175 41 238 41 233 34 248 40175 38798 42 241 44 234 28 248 38798 37478 42 239 42 235 26 247 37478 36151 42 237 41 237 25 252 36151 34794 43 234 42 246 23 256 34794 33407 43 245 37 252 21 258 33407 31980 43 250 31 251 18 262 31980 30506 37 245 28 253 16 265 30506 28985 34 254 22 262 13 267 28985 27421 29 259 18 267 11 260 27421 25819 25 260 15 266 11 245 25819 24182 18 258 13 260 13 241 24182 22507 13 253 12 256 13 246 22507 20788 12 256 11 259 11 240 20788 19057 12 267 8*315 10 210 19057 17396 12 285 9*335 4 158 17396 15883 8*308 9 335 4 051 15883 14526 6*319 9 332 3 012 14526 13305 5 318 7 323 3 327 13305 12201 4 316 5 305 4 302 12201 11202 3 284 5 268 6 295 11202 10299 3 253 5 245 8 292 10299 9488 3 229 6 233 9 292 9488 8756 4 218 7 226 10 292 8756 8089 5 212 8 220 11 292 8089 7489 6 208 8 217 12 291 7489 6980 6 207 8 215 12 290 6980 6584 7 206 9 213 12 288 6584 6309 7 205 9 213 10 285 6309 6141 7 204 8 212 7*283 6141 6045 6 204 8 212 6*285 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography