DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/12 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1334z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.0 - - 79.4 - - 81.9 - - 73.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 290 - - 306 - - 81 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2467 - - 5025 - - 6632 - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7406 - - 9383 - - 9746 - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8335 - - 10893 - - 12500 - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1310 - - 3891 - - 5302 - - 6797 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 381 - - 491 - - 346 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 10 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 9 - - 12 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 229 - - 245 - - 241 - - 166 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 5 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 7 - - 12 - - 8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -174 - - 591 - - 11 - - -4385 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8509 - - 10303 - - 12490 - - 10431 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3055 - - -1161 - - -1867 - - -7751 ODpotential blCL - - - 11390 - - 12054 - - 14367 - - 13796 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 87 - - 83 - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 970 - - 1380 - - 570 - - 560 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.0 - - 79.4 - - 81.9 - - 73.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.0 - - 54.7 - - 47.8 - - 48.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.8 - - 77.1 - - 81.1 - - 77.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.6 - - 54.4 - - 47.6 - - 48.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 290 - - 306 - - 81 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2467 - - 5025 - - 6632 - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 51 - - 46 - - 33 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 10 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98839 8 161 7 211 5 236 3 301 98839 91406 5 140 10 152 5 190 4 189 91406 85653 7 120 8 147 7 157 4 125 85653 80874 6 180 8 144 7 156 2 099 80874 76758 8 246 6 211 4 024 3 067 76758 73117 6 277 7 250 3 314 4 332 73117 69828 6 251 5 249 3 300 3 035 69828 66822 6 147 6 178 9 291 7 349 66822 64056 7 342 8 115 3 214 5 265 64056 61393 16 317 13 331 10 341 4 338 61393 58652 23 272 24 290 25 294 24 302 58652 55857 21 269 25 282 28 275 31 283 55857 53218 37 291 38 292 36 296 34 286 53218 50853 45 297 46 294 46 300 37 301 50853 48730 48 300 46 292 46 302 40 309 48730 46791 47 303 47 292 48 298 40 307 46791 44998 46 304 49 292 48 291 40 298 44998 43325 44 302 50 292 46 286 42 288 43325 41753 40 302 46 288 45 281 44 282 41753 40271 38 304 40 283 45 273 44 277 40271 38872 36 305 35 279 44 268 43 275 38872 37530 35 304 33 276 43 271 39 277 37530 36184 34 301 33 274 41 278 34 281 36184 34808 32 295 32 276 35 285 30 289 34808 33407 31 293 30 282 28 293 28 293 33407 31969 31 294 28 290 25 300 24 293 31969 30484 31 290 27 298 22 309 21 295 30484 28957 31 275 25 304 21 317 21 300 28957 27389 31 266 24 309 20 325 19 304 27389 25785 31 268 23 314 19 333 12 301 25785 24148 30 274 23 308 17 342 7 299 24148 22469 31 274 23 284 15 334 7 307 22469 20746 30 271 23 279 17 304 10 300 20746 19011 28 268 23 276 18 282 12 301 19011 17354 25 267 23 273 17 268 12 292 17354 15849 22 267 22 266 17 262 13 265 15849 14503 19 266 20 263 16 258 14 250 14503 13289 15 265 18 261 15*255 14 243 13289 12191 12 264 15 258 15*253 14 242 12191 11197 12 271 13*253 14 250 14 241 11197 10297 15 279 12*250 13 247 13 240 10297 9487 14 281 10 245 13 243 13 237 9487 8757 11*278 10 244 12 239 12 232 8757 8091 6*260 9 243 12 236 11 222 8091 7490 5 233 9 244 11 234 10 211 7490 6981 5 225 8 244 11 231 9 201 6981 6585 5 219 8 244 10 230 8 193 6585 6310 5 216 7 244 10 229 7 185 6310 6141 5 214 7 244 10 229 5*172 6141 6045 4 213 6 244 9 228 4*166 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography