DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/18 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.8 - - 68.1 - - 71.6 - - 63.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 103 - - 67 - - 9 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2545 - - 2881 - - 177 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7101 - - 7177 - - 6028 - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8413 - - 8749 - - 6045 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2571 - - 3002 - - 8645 - - 1546 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 287 - - 275 - - 59 - - 27 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 7 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 174 - - 181 - - 155 - - 106 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 21 - - 13 - - 10 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1997 - - 1817 - - -2820 - - -238 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6416 - - 6932 - - 8866 - - 6282 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -38 - - -865 - - -4876 - - -4465 ODpotential blCL - - - 8451 - - 9614 - - 10921 - - 10509 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 83 - - 73 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 1620 - - 1570 - - 1310 - - 1680 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.8 - - 68.1 - - 71.6 - - 63.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.0 - - 57.9 - - 53.2 - - 56.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.9 - - 67.4 - - 72.1 - - 66.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.7 - - 56.6 - - 52.3 - - 55.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 103 - - 67 - - 9 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2545 - - 2881 - - 177 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 37 - - 32 - - 0 - - 17 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 11 - - 10 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98698 17 124 17 108 14 069 19 058 98698 91345 22 102 15 094 16 063 22 067 91345 85672 20 067 19 078 18 078 22 062 85672 80959 14 074 16 080 17 070 20 055 80959 76900 11 085 10 068 14 039 17 042 76900 73317 14 092 6 051 10 033 15 028 73317 70067 14 074 7 067 10 041 8 035 70067 67064 4 030 3 322 8 005 7 029 67064 64279 6 039 1 358 3 278 11 320 64279 61602 2 320 7 312 5 281 8 302 61602 58817 3 324 9 283 13 310 9 300 58817 55941 23 257 16 305 15 290 16 300 55941 53215 22 232 25 248 19 258 19 276 53215 50766 20 235 25 238 24 248 18 270 50766 48563 26 242 26 245 25 249 21 262 48563 46555 35 239 33 241 28 245 26 244 46555 44711 43 237 39 233 33 240 32 246 44711 43001 48 231 44 230 38 237 39 242 43001 41401 52 225 49 229 43 236 43 240 41401 39899 54 222 52 227 46 235 45 234 39899 38491 55 221 53 224 48 232 46 228 38491 37148 55 219 53 222 50 229 47 226 37148 35807 54 217 53 221 51 227 47 224 35807 34440 52 215 53 218 49 226 45 219 34440 33052 50 216 50 217 47 224 41 215 33052 31629 45 219 46 218 45 222 36 214 31629 30160 38 225 39 222 41 222 30 220 30160 28649 32 233 34 228 37 225 25 230 28649 27099 26 235 30 231 32 234 27 240 27099 25516 21 230 28 234 30 242 32 244 25516 23903 20 229 27 238 31 246 35 243 23903 22253 21 229 29 241 33 246 35 243 22253 20559 22 230 30 243 34 245 33 243 20559 18852 22 232 29 241 33 243 30 240 18852 17217 22 223 28 236 29 239 28 237 17217 15730 23 213 26 233 25 231 23 229 15730 14398 23 210 23 233 24 224 20 227 14398 13198 22 210 21 234 22 218 19 231 13198 12111 20 209 19 233 20 211 17 233 12111 11128 17 201 16 228 16 201 15 226 11128 10238 16 188 14 220 14 190 14 207 10238 9437 14 181 12*208 12 182 16 185 9437 8715 13*178 9*195 11 176 20 169 8715 8057 13*175 8 182 10 171 23 159 8057 7466 12 174 7 179 10 166 25 151 7466 6965 12 173 7 177 8 161 22 145 6965 6575 11 173 7 176 8 158 18 143 6575 6305 11 173 7 175 7 155 14 139 6305 6140 10 172 6 174 6*154 10*128 6140 6044 9 172 6 174 5*155 5*106 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography