DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/26 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.7 - - 53.3 - - 60.0 - - 57.1 - - 51.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 157 - - 192 - - -10 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1346 - - 2481 - - 176 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 6401 - - 7276 - - 6027 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 7214 - - 8349 - - 6044 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 729 - - 813 - - 1725 - - 2817 - - 787 Hgt.Variab. W* 18 - - 257 - - 333 - - 18 - - 2 W* B/S 1 - - 10 - - 7 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 5 - - 9 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 046 - - 166 - - 199 - - 172 - - 045 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 8 - - 15 - - 9 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1297 - - -1218 - - -3019 - - -4966 - - -4434 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7339 - - 8432 - - 11369 - - 11010 - - 10478 sfcLCL ODpotential -8546 - - -6360 - - -8025 - - -11034 - - -12205 ODpotential blCL 14588 - - 13574 - - 16374 - - 17078 - - 18248 blCL maxRH 82 - - 68 - - 64 - - 55 - - 48 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.7 - - 53.3 - - 60.0 - - 57.1 - - 51.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.8 - - 37.3 - - 31.2 - - 30.1 - - 27.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.3 - - 51.9 - - 58.3 - - 58.9 - - 57.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.6 - - 36.4 - - 30.5 - - 29.3 - - 26.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 157 - - 192 - - -10 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1346 - - 2481 - - 176 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 27 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97058 40 284 44 285 52 269 46 276 48 279 97058 89882 40 284 37 281 32 274 37 275 38 283 89882 84318 36 271 35 271 34 273 29 273 32 284 84318 79660 27 268 30 266 33 271 29 278 27 287 79660 75633 23 264 28 270 27 271 25 280 25 290 75633 72082 23 264 25 270 24 273 17 289 23 292 72082 68872 29 267 25 258 28 274 25 296 27 296 68872 65935 22 265 20 260 25 262 27 284 22 294 65935 63241 19 285 16 277 13 268 12 314 12 303 63241 60648 34 300 28 302 22 320 13 336 20 313 60648 57943 38 288 37 295 35 296 34 300 30 297 57943 55123 41 312 37 305 33 296 35 287 38 301 55123 52411 61 314 50 312 46 312 45 307 52 305 52411 49969 69 299 69 301 70 305 72 301 67 296 49969 47799 64 291 73 289 76 290 78 285 72 278 47799 45834 54 292 62 286 64 278 66 278 65 272 45834 44024 56 307 56 304 57 293 60 297 61 292 44024 42345 81 317 80 316 78 309 84 311 76 308 42345 40783 103 312 98 310 98 306 96 304 87 305 40783 39323 96 305 99 301 99 298 94 296 89 297 39323 37961 78 298 88 294 83 292 88 294 87 292 37961 36660 69 295 78 292 73 289 89 299 86 292 36660 35357 68 298 75 298 78 292 95 305 85 295 35357 34022 68 301 74 305 80 297 98 307 85 297 34022 32659 66 302 76 308 80 299 95 306 85 298 32659 31256 65 302 74 307 79 300 90 304 85 298 31256 29805 52 297 70 304 77 299 86 302 83 297 29805 28312 47 278 62 299 74 299 81 301 78 298 28312 26780 52 272 54 292 69 297 75 299 73 299 26780 25213 51 274 46 284 60 293 69 296 70 302 25213 23614 45 274 45 278 52 287 63 294 67 305 23614 21977 38 274 46 277 48 281 57 290 64 304 21977 20297 34 273 42 267 46 275 51 286 54 299 20297 18603 32 267 38 259 43 267 48 282 45 289 18603 16980 27 260 36 259 40 262 47 276 44 277 16980 15503 24 257 35 261 38 261 46 272 44 272 15503 14186 22 257 33 260 36 260 44 270 42 269 14186 13006 21 259 30 258 34 258 39 265 38 263 13006 11944 21 259 27 257 32 256 32 254 33 255 11944 10986 21 259 22 255 29 255 27 243 27 245 10986 10121 21 259 17 246 23 252 24 238 25 235 10121 9343 21 258 13 230 16 245 21 235 24 230 9343 8641 18 255 12 211 11*226 18 232 23 228 8641 8001 13 247 10 191 9*203 15 225 18 225 8001 7426 6 220 7*174 9 199 12 212 13 204 7426 6938 6 166 5*167 9 198 9 194 11 176 6938 6559 6 156 5 166 9 198 8 182 9 163 6559 6296 4 130 5 165 8 197 7 177 5 149 6296 6136 4 077 4 165 8 196 6*172 2*102 6136 6043 4*046 4 165 7 196 4*172 2*045 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography