DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/02 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 71.8 - - 80.6 - - 86.4 - - 86.3 - - 78.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 185 - - 494 - - 484 - - 154 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1785 - - 4689 - - 10230 - - 10746 - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit 6753 - - 9286 - - 13783 - - 13438 - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top 7653 - - 10557 - - 16098 - - 16614 - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1216 - - 4588 - - 3467 - - 3964 - - 11311 Hgt.Variab. W* 292 - - 559 - - 721 - - 501 - - 5 W* B/S 7 - - 17 - - 24 - - 12 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 134 - - 189 - - 200 - - 249 - - 265 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 9 - - 14 - - -16 - - 48 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3151 - - -2801 - - 885 - - 864 - - -7414 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10804 - - 13359 - - 15214 - - 15751 - - 13460 sfcLCL ODpotential -6399 - - -4453 - - -497 - - -463 - - -9841 ODpotential blCL 14052 - - 15010 - - 16595 - - 17077 - - 15886 blCL maxRH 83 - - 74 - - 78 - - 91 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 170 - - 180 - - 360 - - 250 - - 200 CAPE Temp@2m 71.8 - - 80.6 - - 86.4 - - 86.3 - - 78.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.3 - - 42.6 - - 40.0 - - 37.7 - - 40.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 70.1 - - 77.4 - - 83.1 - - 84.8 - - 80.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.3 - - 42.5 - - 39.9 - - 37.6 - - 40.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 185 - - 494 - - 484 - - 154 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1785 - - 4689 - - 10230 - - 10746 - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 30 - - 0 - - 13 - - 63 - - 40 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98989 34 097 41 104 25 100 32 085 37 097 98989 91512 34 093 33 106 27 108 22 091 33 088 91512 85770 30 096 24 103 31 109 16 097 28 081 85770 81006 23 102 16 102 27 099 19 108 15 084 81006 76895 18 095 12 098 22 095 22 106 14 096 76895 73265 18 087 14 088 17 103 24 110 15 100 73265 69996 17 090 15 101 12 111 21 105 19 104 69996 67002 13 109 19 110 12 115 15 107 16 109 67002 64242 14 119 19 113 13 131 8 120 13 128 64242 61603 12 125 16 118 13 147 8 146 14 124 61603 58868 6 125 12 140 13 150 8 181 7 137 58868 56036 5 195 11 189 10 168 11 195 8 196 56036 53341 11 181 18 196 17 195 15 201 13 211 53341 50915 13 180 23 186 24 195 24 203 17 221 50915 48726 15 190 24 186 28 193 27 203 28 227 48726 46731 19 203 24 193 28 199 32 209 41 216 46731 44896 21 204 25 196 31 202 37 207 39 205 44896 43189 27 207 27 194 33 204 33 210 32 209 43189 41584 33 205 29 198 33 207 34 224 37 223 41584 40071 30 196 31 204 31 208 36 223 39 227 40071 38653 26 196 30 207 29 211 34 218 41 223 38653 37304 26 207 29 204 26 218 30 217 35 219 37304 35963 25 211 27 204 25 217 28 214 23 214 35963 34600 25 213 23 201 25 208 23 205 19 202 34600 33214 23 210 20 198 20 203 20 195 21 204 33214 31787 17 203 19 198 21 203 19 198 22 202 31787 30312 6 152 17 196 18 208 18 205 16 201 30312 28794 5 129 14 200 13 209 17 196 10 180 28794 27237 5 162 11 191 12 214 13 200 9 160 27237 25645 6 183 6 161 9 199 9 187 8 155 25645 24021 9 187 4 135 8 161 11 155 8 170 24021 22364 10 180 7 141 9 140 15 142 16 159 22364 20666 11 168 6 150 9 131 13 132 22 145 20666 18955 13 144 5 198 4 117 6 126 19 142 18955 17314 8 124 5 191 1*171 3*197 11 148 17314 15818 1 340 7 162 3*216 5*240 5 211 15818 14477 5 255 7 159 3 215 6 246 6 251 14477 13269 7 232 4 189 4 212 7 247 8 268 13269 12176 7 215 4 246 5 207 8 246 8 268 12176 11185 8 195 3*239 5 204 8 246 9 269 11185 10289 7 184 4*203 6 200 8 247 10 269 10289 9482 8 189 5 194 6 197 9 250 10 269 9482 8754 8 186 6 191 7 196 9 252 11 268 8754 8088 8*161 6 189 7 194 8 254 11 267 8088 7489 8*140 7 188 8 192 8 255 11 267 7489 6981 7 134 7 186 8 191 8 255 11 267 6981 6585 7 133 7 185 8 189 8 256 10 265 6585 6310 7 132 7 184 8 189 8 255 8 264 6310 6142 7 133 7 184 7 189 8 255 6*265 6142 6045 6 132 6 183 7 189 7 255 5*265 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography