DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/16 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.2 - - 66.0 - - 65.0 - - 54.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 437 - - 424 - - 98 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3624 - - 9769 - - 9864 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8409 - - 13342 - - 12362 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9492 - - 15637 - - 15732 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2704 - - 1734 - - 2629 - - 351 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 494 - - 682 - - 423 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 27 - - 30 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 205 - - 228 - - 237 - - 228 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 13 - - 16 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 25 - - 36 - - 31 - - 10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4176 - - -2076 - - -1346 - - -9129 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13669 - - 17713 - - 17079 - - 15173 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8498 - - -5290 - - -3896 - - -12856 ODpotential blCL - - - 17990 - - 20927 - - 19628 - - 18899 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 81 - - 81 - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.2 - - 66.0 - - 65.0 - - 54.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.2 - - 8.2 - - 10.4 - - 9.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.6 - - 63.7 - - 64.3 - - 57.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.3 - - 7.2 - - 9.7 - - 8.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 437 - - 424 - - 98 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3624 - - 9769 - - 9864 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 26 - - 26 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97341 38 303 27 326 13 333 15 255 97341 90060 45 284 43 291 32 297 17 318 90060 84429 43 261 49 281 44 284 31 296 84429 79699 33 253 44 265 45 263 43 274 79699 75598 31 255 39 245 42 252 42 259 75598 71976 32 263 35 242 38 256 39 249 71976 68722 32 260 31 248 34 260 34 249 68722 65742 35 250 31 247 37 254 31 262 65742 62973 38 247 31 250 39 249 31 266 62973 60276 40 247 32 254 37 241 35 259 60276 57451 40 249 36 261 36 239 36 249 57451 54515 39 257 42 255 36 250 38 247 54515 51722 42 258 47 248 44 262 43 254 51722 49226 49 252 49 250 52 261 50 258 49226 46995 55 249 53 253 55 258 52 258 46995 44972 59 247 55 254 57 256 54 259 44972 43123 59 248 60 252 59 255 58 259 43123 41427 64 255 68 249 66 252 61 257 41427 39867 75 259 79 245 73 246 65 255 39867 38427 84 256 84 243 77 240 69 252 38427 37091 84 253 82 243 77 236 69 248 37091 35818 82 252 79 244 76 238 67 246 35818 34543 79 253 76 242 74 241 66 245 34543 33239 72 254 71 240 70 241 64 246 33239 31911 66 255 68 240 65 239 61 248 31911 30549 64 256 65 240 60 239 58 250 30549 29144 61 257 60 243 57 241 56 250 29144 27699 58 258 56 249 54 244 53 250 27699 26217 55 258 54 253 50 246 50 252 26217 24700 51 257 52 254 47 250 47 252 24700 23154 47 256 51 252 46 253 44 252 23154 21575 42 254 50 249 46 254 40 250 21575 19959 39 251 49 246 47 253 41 245 19959 18331 35 246 45 243 44 249 41 242 18331 16772 34 242 39*237 36*241 37 243 16772 15353 33 239 31*230 34*239 35 247 15353 14079 32 237 30 229 33 239 35 248 14079 12931 31 235 29 229 33 239 35 249 12931 11891 30 233 28 228 32 238 35 249 11891 10949 27 230 27 228 31 238 34 250 10949 10095 24*224 27 227 30 237 34 250 10095 9326 21*217 26 227 30 237 34 249 9326 8631 19 213 26 226 29 236 33 248 8631 7996 16 203 25 226 28 236 32 246 7996 7423 15 200 24 225 28 235 31 243 7423 6937 15 199 24 225 27 235 28 238 6937 6559 14 198 23 225 26 235 25 233 6559 6296 13 197 22 225 25 234 20 229 6296 6136 13 197 21 224 23 234 16*228 6136 6043 12 197 18 224 18 234 8*228 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography