DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/30 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 29.4 - - 36.7 - - 42.6 - - 37.5 - - 33.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 95 - - 106 - - 9 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1156 - - 1531 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit 6025 - - 6025 - - 6287 - - 6025 - - 6025 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 7024 - - 7399 - - 6042 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1017 - - 900 - - 2518 - - 2379 - - 2101 Hgt.Variab. W* 13 - - 206 - - 234 - - 51 - - 18 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 6 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 7 - - 7 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 015 - - 167 - - 208 - - 298 - - 327 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 12 - - 11 - - -11 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -839 - - -601 - - -1616 - - 0 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6881 - - 7626 - - 9015 - - 6042 - - 6042 sfcLCL ODpotential -7993 - - -4780 - - -4528 - - -1770 - - -1979 ODpotential blCL 14035 - - 11804 - - 11927 - - 7812 - - 8021 blCL maxRH 92 - - 90 - - 90 - - 97 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 29.4 - - 36.7 - - 42.6 - - 37.5 - - 33.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 20.7 - - 24.5 - - 24.2 - - 32.2 - - 29.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 32.8 - - 35.7 - - 41.6 - - 37.2 - - 34.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.9 - - 23.5 - - 23.3 - - 32.2 - - 29.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 95 - - 106 - - 9 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1156 - - 1531 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 70 - - 59 - - 59 - - 88 - - 53 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96836 32 072 33 066 46 084 42 078 33 090 96836 89628 42 080 34 082 45 083 40 078 35 070 89628 84018 43 085 37 082 47 078 44 086 45 070 84018 79346 31 069 31 076 38 070 44 084 48 078 79346 75285 26 059 22 087 23 059 37 067 45 080 75285 71672 14 040 20 057 12 077 15 048 35 054 71672 68424 12 013 18 039 6 063 10 018 18 028 68424 65450 16 347 13 004 5 344 10 335 18 018 65450 62680 21 333 16 327 13 311 10 329 12 333 62680 59987 21 322 20 296 19 301 16 335 11 333 59987 57174 20 299 20 300 18 284 21 304 21 303 57174 54259 33 303 17 317 14 292 16 292 26 285 54259 51464 53 291 22 294 13 299 14 305 30 287 51464 48938 63 280 43 281 25 282 29 289 41 293 48938 46681 70 276 58 273 37 281 47 287 46 285 46681 44637 74 275 61 272 51 287 49 283 42 283 44637 42764 74 275 63 276 62 290 49 285 45 283 42764 41040 73 275 71 280 76 285 59 284 51 283 41040 39444 74 273 82 277 85 277 70 279 55 282 39444 37957 74 271 85 271 88 270 78 275 62 281 37957 36573 69 271 79 267 88 268 84 272 70 276 36573 35258 64 272 73 268 88 268 93 270 76 272 35258 33953 62 274 70 269 90 270 101 267 82 268 33953 32630 63 278 69 270 93 271 106 263 90 265 32630 31293 65 280 70 272 94 272 106 262 96 263 31293 29927 65 281 71 274 90 275 104 264 95 262 29927 28525 62 284 73 275 85 277 103 269 91 263 28525 27092 60 287 75 276 80 276 97 273 84 264 27092 25633 57 287 73 279 77 273 86 273 74 264 25633 24149 51 282 67 280 75 271 75 267 65 261 24149 22640 49 275 62 279 73 272 69 261 62 258 22640 21100 50 272 59 276 71 274 65 262 59 256 21100 19522 49 273 59 272 69 273 58 266 56 254 19522 17930 45 274 58 267 65 268 54 268 54 257 17930 16405 40 272 54 262 59 263 53 266 53 264 16405 15019 36 268 48 259 53 261 51 263 45 274 15019 13779 35 265 41 258 49 262 47 263 28 281 13779 12663 33 264 37 259 46 263 44 264 19 272 12663 11655 32 263 34 261 41 260 39 267 14 283 11655 10744 30 261 32 261 34 256 35 271 14 306 10744 9920 26 256 27 257 27 248 32 274 19 319 9920 9180 20 245 19 246 22 240 30 278 24 330 9180 8513 15 225 13 218 18 233 28 282 29 334 8513 7906 12 196 12 194 14*224 28 286 32 336 7906 7359 11 171 10*174 9*214 26 290 31 335 7359 6895 14 158 8*168 7 207 24 292 27 335 6895 6534 11 155 7 167 7 207 21 295 21 335 6534 6284 5 149 7 167 7 206 18 296 14 334 6284 6130 1*082 6 167 6 206 16*297 10*332 6130 6042 3*015 6 167 6 205 12*298 5*327 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography