DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/25 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.3 - - 65.6 - - 65.0 - - 57.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 476 - - 453 - - 115 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9788 - - 10827 - - 10281 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13416 - - 14247 - - 12824 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15656 - - 16695 - - 16149 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1672 - - 1665 - - 2735 - - 9426 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 709 - - 722 - - 450 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 19 - - 21 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 246 - - 228 - - 231 - - 222 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 9 - - 15 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 17 - - 24 - - 22 - - 18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 599 - - 1312 - - 1084 - - -7415 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15058 - - 15384 - - 15066 - - 13459 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -494 - - 466 - - -260 - - -9745 ODpotential blCL - - - 16150 - - 16229 - - 16409 - - 15788 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 86 - - 98 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 20 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.3 - - 65.6 - - 65.0 - - 57.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 16.6 - - 18.4 - - 19.4 - - 19.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.5 - - 62.8 - - 64.0 - - 58.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 16.0 - - 17.8 - - 18.9 - - 19.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 476 - - 453 - - 115 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9788 - - 10827 - - 10281 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 26 - - 45 - - 94 - - 59 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97322 29 277 32 283 23 287 32 280 97322 89934 18 280 23 277 29 284 24 294 89934 84293 20 278 20 281 22 288 18 303 84293 79636 17 277 17 298 19 298 16 308 79636 75627 8 268 13 290 12 293 14 289 75627 72083 10 253 16 277 18 303 16 299 72083 68863 13 254 20 267 24 268 21 281 68863 65887 16 263 16 255 20 263 21 269 65887 63118 18 274 20 277 25 274 23 264 63118 60429 30 274 30 272 29 268 28 271 60429 57612 38 266 34 266 36 269 33 276 57612 54674 39 264 41 265 40 268 42 269 54674 51863 42 268 46 266 47 264 48 262 51863 49336 46 273 52 267 54 262 55 259 49336 47082 57 273 58 271 58 263 57 261 47082 45049 65 274 70 273 65 269 63 268 45049 43195 72 274 85 270 78 268 81 266 43195 41498 80 271 88 266 84 265 84 260 41498 39935 85 268 88 265 85 265 82 261 39935 38486 88 267 90 264 86 266 87 262 38486 37136 88 267 87 262 86 264 88 260 37136 35853 79 265 78 263 80 262 79 257 35853 34572 72 265 69 263 70 261 70 257 34572 33268 70 262 67 261 63 259 60 257 33268 31941 65 260 64 260 62 258 54 256 31941 30579 62 262 59 260 61 259 51 255 30579 29173 61 266 57 258 60 261 48 248 29173 27726 61 268 57 258 57 263 47 246 27726 26238 59 269 57 260 54 264 45 254 26238 24714 57 271 56 263 51 263 44 260 24714 23156 54 272 53 265 51 262 43 258 23156 21564 49 270 43 263 49 259 41 249 21564 19932 43 266 37 261 40 252 36 238 19932 18292 37 263 32 254 29 237 28 229 18292 16725 28*259 23*239 27*235 22 227 16725 15304 21*255 22*235 27*235 19 232 15304 14036 19 252 21 234 26 235 20 236 14036 12896 18 250 21 232 24 234 21 234 12896 11863 18 249 21 230 23 233 22 233 11863 10926 17 247 20 228 21 231 23 232 10926 10078 17 245 19 227 20 230 24 232 10078 9313 17 243 19 226 19 229 25 231 9313 8622 17 241 19 224 18 227 26 231 8622 7990 16 240 18 223 17 226 27 231 7990 7420 16 238 18 222 17 225 27 230 7420 6936 16 237 17 221 16 224 26 229 6936 6559 15 236 17 221 16 224 24 228 6559 6296 15 236 16 220 15 224 19 225 6296 6136 14 235 16 220 14 223 17 224 6136 6043 13 234 14 220 12 223 12*222 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography