DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/03 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 68.6 - - 78.2 - - 84.4 - - 83.9 - - 74.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 168 - - 469 - - 436 - - 152 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1868 - - 3745 - - 14447 - - 14151 - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit 6773 - - 8524 - - 17215 - - 16129 - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top 7736 - - 9613 - - 20315 - - 20019 - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1112 - - 9492 - - 2408 - - 2818 - - 13542 Hgt.Variab. W* 287 - - 511 - - 783 - - 549 - - 9 W* B/S 10 - - 21 - - 15 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 4 - - 9 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 151 - - 189 - - 275 - - 276 - - 291 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 4 - - 17 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 8 - - 11 - - 16 - - 15 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3052 - - -4520 - - 2162 - - 82 - - -12430 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10788 - - 14134 - - 18154 - - 19937 - - 18476 sfcLCL ODpotential -6824 - - -6228 - - 1533 - - -1222 - - -15627 ODpotential blCL 14560 - - 15841 - - 18782 - - 21241 - - 21672 blCL maxRH 89 - - 74 - - 87 - - 79 - - 71 maxRH CAPE 330 - - 350 - - 120 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 68.6 - - 78.2 - - 84.4 - - 83.9 - - 74.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.3 - - 36.9 - - 24.8 - - 16.1 - - 14.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 66.9 - - 75.1 - - 81.6 - - 82.5 - - 79.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.2 - - 36.5 - - 24.2 - - 15.4 - - 14.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 168 - - 469 - - 436 - - 152 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1868 - - 3745 - - 14447 - - 14151 - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 55 - - 0 - - 47 - - 16 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98507 19 114 18 119 20 104 6 089 18 122 98507 91017 16 101 18 117 19 118 12 098 13 115 91017 85274 26 111 17 110 16 108 15 103 16 102 85274 80533 28 091 20 111 12 105 17 090 22 088 80533 76465 20 072 19 095 14 117 15 087 21 088 76465 72891 10 074 15 075 17 094 14 097 16 099 72891 69668 9 088 13 076 12 073 15 077 16 096 69668 66720 4 071 10 076 6 087 12 060 11 067 66720 63989 6 125 3 098 2 128 7 029 9 071 63989 61328 6 052 8 153 4 194 4 256 6 002 61328 58536 7 292 1 161 1 263 3 244 5 291 58536 55629 9 265 9 272 6 276 9 308 4 292 55629 52840 9 274 10 261 8 259 11 288 8 298 52840 50324 12 274 12 277 9 263 11 282 15 303 50324 48085 14 269 14 277 11 297 13 288 18 299 48085 46075 17 271 15 278 12 322 7 336 13 336 46075 44247 20 260 15 290 25 323 17 355 22 347 44247 42567 22 236 18 298 27 306 22 343 26 354 42567 41005 23 224 14 293 20 294 23 317 28 357 41005 39547 23 222 10 324 18 306 16 289 33 003 39547 38185 20 226 17 342 20 311 15 286 35 003 38185 36885 14 237 18 337 25 311 18 305 21 334 36885 35583 11 253 18 324 25 308 21 310 21 298 35583 34251 11 278 17 314 20 305 20 304 21 291 34251 32891 12 293 17 306 17 301 14 288 17 285 32891 31491 13 298 18 298 19 293 14 284 15 278 31491 30042 13 302 17 292 20 288 14 290 15 276 30042 28551 12 294 15 291 18 283 15 277 17 269 28551 27023 13 278 14 292 14 272 18 264 19 266 27023 25463 14 279 12 287 11 248 17 260 20 269 25463 23872 17 269 12 272 10 253 12 258 18 273 23872 22244 23 251 12 266 10 306 7 259 12 274 22244 20570 19 248 15 275 14*318 6*256 5 245 20570 18878 10 244 17 281 14*316 6*259 1 204 18878 17251 6 268 17 282 14 310 6 262 2 012 17251 15764 7 295 15 280 13 304 7 267 3 352 15764 14430 7 308 14 280 12 296 8 272 4 337 14430 13227 6 323 14 285 11 286 10 276 5 324 13227 12139 4 345 12 290 10 272 11 279 6 317 12139 11154 2 003 9 297 9 259 12 281 7 310 11154 10262 1 328 5*294 9 248 13 281 8 306 10262 9460 1 353 3*231 10 241 13 282 9 303 9460 8736 5 144 3 199 10 235 13 281 9 301 8736 8075 8*146 4 189 10 231 14 281 10 298 8075 7479 8*149 5 186 10 227 14 281 10 297 7479 6974 6 150 5 185 11 225 14 281 10 294 6974 6581 5 151 5 183 11 224 13 281 9 291 6581 6308 5 153 5 182 10 223 13 281 8 289 6308 6140 4 153 5 181 10 223 13 281 7*288 6140 6045 4 156 5 182 9 223 11 281 6*291 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography