DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/31 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.7 - - 69.7 - - 73.6 - - 59.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 87 - - 166 - - 105 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2078 - - 2611 - - 4091 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6640 - - 7331 - - 8103 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7946 - - 8479 - - 9959 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3251 - - 3888 - - 3910 - - 2291 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 251 - - 328 - - 319 - - 51 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 8 - - 8 - - 4 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 7 - - 7 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 222 - - 229 - - 219 - - 126 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 20 - - 9 - - 12 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 176 - - 701 - - -430 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7770 - - 7778 - - 10390 - - 6044 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2048 - - -1363 - - -2199 - - -314 ODpotential blCL - - - 9994 - - 9842 - - 12158 - - 6358 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 90 - - 82 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 950 - - 1120 - - 400 - - 690 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.7 - - 69.7 - - 73.6 - - 59.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.1 - - 56.0 - - 48.7 - - 58.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.6 - - 68.2 - - 72.4 - - 58.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.2 - - 55.1 - - 48.6 - - 57.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 87 - - 166 - - 105 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2078 - - 2611 - - 4091 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 60 - - 28 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 11 - - 9 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99004 19 104 18 147 15 045 27 085 99004 91574 20 108 19 106 14 110 17 060 91574 85847 22 115 17 094 14 095 14 061 85847 81093 13 106 12 109 9 105 13 063 81093 76994 7 114 12 115 12 117 9 078 76994 73383 10 135 11 136 5 142 7 079 73383 70122 6 187 8 136 12 147 6 126 70122 67109 11 220 7 244 1 225 4 123 67109 64312 12 194 13 219 10 226 10 225 64312 61616 12 212 16 227 13 243 16 245 61616 58819 18 211 22 209 22 214 22 225 58819 55950 20 253 28 238 29 243 30 251 55950 53232 39 235 40 219 42 240 41 229 53232 50775 45 228 47 224 45 231 37 228 50775 48552 50 228 49 227 47 228 37 238 48552 46524 54 229 55 231 51 228 42 239 46524 44668 61 234 66 233 58 225 47 233 44668 42970 70 236 72 228 66 219 55 225 42970 41409 72 235 69 218 66 214 72 217 41409 39951 65 231 61 208 65 209 72 209 39951 38578 61 228 61 207 60 207 65 201 38578 37258 64 227 60 208 57 203 61 203 37258 35929 60 224 55 206 54 206 58 206 35929 34565 49 214 49 196 45 209 51 206 34565 33173 44 208 47 190 41 209 37 205 33173 31741 40 206 47 192 40 210 30 201 31741 30263 37 208 45 193 40 210 28 205 30263 28739 35 213 41 195 43 214 39 219 28739 27172 31 227 37 196 48 222 40 226 27172 25567 22 242 33 193 45 231 32 232 25567 23932 21 242 27 189 34 239 28 234 23932 22258 22 233 19 198 29 249 24 241 22258 20540 20 227 14 229 18 246 17 242 20540 18809 26 235 9 241 8 229 16 246 18809 17153 27 205 8 230 5 237 17 258 17153 15651 25 178 12 212 7 244 17 262 15651 14312 18 163 16 198 9 247 14 253 14312 13113 14 194 18 193 10 244 12 235 13113 12033 13 210 18 193 9 241 11 225 12033 11056 13 210 16 198 8 237 9 231 11056 10174 13 209 14 207 7*232 7 252 10174 9382 12 216 12 214 7*228 5 248 9382 8670 12 222 11*217 7 223 4 206 8670 8023 12*223 8*223 7 220 4 167 8023 7442 12*223 7 228 8 218 3 159 7442 6949 12 223 7 229 8 216 3 146 6949 6566 12 222 7 231 8 215 3 134 6566 6300 12 221 6 232 8 214 3 128 6300 6137 12 221 6 231 7 214 3*127 6137 6044 10 220 6 231 7 213 2*126 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography