DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/12 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.1 - - 66.2 - - - - - 55.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 429 - - 464 - - - - - -46 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6460 - - 11993 - - - - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10659 - - 15221 - - - - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12328 - - 17861 - - - - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2098 - - 2361 - - - - - 1166 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 596 - - 752 - - - - - 17 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 28 - - - - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 213 - - 215 - - - - - 209 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 14 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 27 - - 41 - - - - - 17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -683 - - 1105 - - - - - -7960 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13012 - - 16756 - - - - - 14003 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3040 - - -377 - - - - - -10541 ODpotential blCL - - - 15368 - - 18238 - - - - - 16584 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 61 - - - - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 20 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.1 - - 66.2 - - - - - 55.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.7 - - 12.8 - - - - - 15.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.4 - - 63.6 - - - - - 57.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.1 - - 12.0 - - - - - 14.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 429 - - 464 - - - - - -46 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6460 - - 11993 - - - - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97217 39 288 49 282 59 287 97217 89860 40 279 43 278 43 283 89860 84249 38 268 36 278 31 291 84249 79610 31 271 24 274 22 276 79610 75616 26 265 16 276 23 272 75616 72072 17 252 20 265 17 263 72072 68840 10 274 13 271 14 261 68840 65839 15 235 17 268 14 225 65839 63039 21 262 20 243 14 252 63039 60334 30 243 21 247 12 299 60334 57506 31 228 26 239 30 244 57506 54550 41 238 24 236 31 231 54550 51725 49 235 40 251 38 249 51725 49203 47 237 54 247 51 250 49203 46976 52 240 58 240 61 243 46976 44983 56 241 56 238 64 242 44983 43173 57 246 58 247 66 248 43173 41511 62 254 68 256 76 254 41511 39969 65 258 78 259 87 254 39969 38530 62 259 81 258 93 253 38530 37182 58 260 82 256 91 250 37182 35893 61 260 84 255 88 249 35893 34602 63 255 88 255 87 248 34602 33283 62 248 89 255 87 247 33283 31941 61 242 85 253 88 247 31941 30565 63 240 78 251 88 248 30565 29148 65 240 71 248 82 248 29148 27697 63 243 67 245 73 244 27697 26213 59 244 64 242 65 238 26213 24699 54 243 61 239 59 233 24699 23156 50 238 59 237 54 233 23156 21578 49 234 55 236 51 233 21578 19960 48 232 49 232 47 233 19960 18332 45 229 42*227 42 230 18332 16772 40 227 33*220 34 223 16772 15351 37 227 30 217 32 225 15351 14077 35 229 29 216 34 229 14077 12928 29*225 29 216 34 230 12928 11887 25*221 29 215 35 230 11887 10945 23 218 28 215 35 231 10945 10090 22 216 28 215 35 230 10090 9322 20 213 27 214 35 230 9322 8628 19 212 27 214 35 229 8628 7993 19 210 27 214 34 227 7993 7421 18 209 26 214 33 225 7421 6936 17 208 26 214 30 221 6936 6558 17 208 25 213 27 217 6558 6296 16 207 24 213 21 213 6296 6135 15 207 23 213 17*212 6135 6043 13 206 20 213 10*209 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography