DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/27 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1555z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.9 - - 48.5 - - 52.8 - - 49.8 - - 47.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 97 - - 68 - - -1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1211 - - 1883 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 6026 - - 6313 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 7079 - - 7751 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1100 - - 1104 - - 1574 - - 2291 - - 809 Hgt.Variab. W* 16 - - 217 - - 230 - - 0 - - 15 W* B/S 1 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 6 - - 7 - - 1 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 032 - - 164 - - 182 - - 190 - - 022 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 10 - - 14 - - 3 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 584 - - 769 - - 0 - - -364 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6042 - - 6496 - - 6982 - - 6043 - - 6408 sfcLCL ODpotential -5746 - - -4916 - - -3122 - - -2953 - - -4924 ODpotential blCL 11788 - - 11995 - - 10873 - - 8996 - - 10967 blCL maxRH 74 - - 80 - - 77 - - 74 - - 58 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.9 - - 48.5 - - 52.8 - - 49.8 - - 47.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.7 - - 41.0 - - 43.0 - - 45.3 - - 40.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.2 - - 47.5 - - 52.0 - - 51.3 - - 52.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.7 - - 39.8 - - 41.7 - - 44.0 - - 39.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 97 - - 68 - - -1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1211 - - 1883 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 21 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97010 21 261 31 250 43 261 39 287 32 275 97010 89795 13 269 18 248 22 256 21 281 23 271 89795 84225 9 280 10 245 10 241 11 266 13 259 84225 79603 11 273 11 242 11 252 7 266 10 230 79603 75622 9 268 10 237 13 233 13 273 3 249 75622 72098 12 269 8 230 14 236 17 271 12 272 72098 68914 15 257 13 241 16 248 22 261 13 267 68914 65968 15 262 15 245 17 263 20 258 18 268 65968 63208 18 253 19 245 24 258 22 257 28 259 63208 60533 20 246 25 244 24 248 26 249 28 260 60533 57733 24 254 25 246 22 254 26 250 29 265 57733 54815 28 252 24 247 28 260 28 257 31 264 54815 52027 27 250 26 254 36 260 37 265 34 266 52027 49532 29 258 32 255 37 258 41 263 42 267 49532 47322 26 255 32 250 33 260 43 263 46 268 47322 45342 30 283 34 268 33 267 44 267 52 270 45342 43551 40 287 31 274 35 273 46 269 52 271 43551 41917 37 286 27 276 35 273 47 265 48 270 41917 40405 32 288 26 282 33 271 45 264 46 269 40405 38988 28 295 27 285 32 268 44 265 46 269 38988 37654 26 306 30 285 35 265 43 264 45 269 37654 36373 26 312 31 285 37 265 42 262 43 267 36373 35088 26 312 28 287 35 266 42 259 40 265 35088 33771 25 311 25 290 32 268 42 257 36 262 33771 32428 25 310 23 291 30 269 43 258 34 259 32428 31047 25 307 23 288 29 268 42 259 33 257 31047 29620 25 304 23 286 28 267 38 259 35 254 29620 28150 24 299 24 286 28 266 34 257 36 252 28150 26639 22 294 24 288 27 264 32 257 36 251 26639 25091 21 292 23 287 26 264 31 255 35 251 25091 23509 21 291 23 283 25 266 31 254 33 250 23509 21888 21 284 23 279 24 266 30 257 32 251 21888 20221 23 272 23 273 23 262 29 262 31 249 20221 18538 26 264 24 266 24 257 29 262 30 247 18538 16923 25 262 26 259 26 253 29 258 30 246 16923 15454 22 262 26 255 26 250 28 253 30 248 15454 14143 19 259 25 251 25 245 28 250 30 249 14143 12968 17 254 22 246 24 240 28 247 29 246 12968 11911 16 247 21 238 24 234 27 242 27 239 11911 10958 16 241 19 226 22 226 26 234 25 228 10958 10098 15 234 18 217 20 218 24 223 24 217 10098 9325 12 224 17 205 17 206 21 212 22 212 9325 8627 11 202 15 189 16 195 18 200 19 205 8627 7991 10 180 13 177 12*185 15 186 16 193 7991 7418 12 167 11*170 9*182 12 174 15 179 7418 6933 13 162 7*165 8 182 8 171 15 171 6933 6556 8 152 6 164 7 182 5 174 11 167 6556 6295 4 130 5 164 7 183 3 179 5 160 6295 6135 3 061 5 163 7 183 2*185 1*105 6135 6043 3*032 5 164 6 184 1*190 2*022 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography