DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/08 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.1 - - 94.6 - - 94.4 - - 84.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 424 - - 451 - - 133 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3040 - - 10141 - - 7315 - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7942 - - 13671 - - 10668 - - 6029 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8908 - - 16009 - - 13183 - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1029 - - 5986 - - 10071 - - 10515 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 459 - - 701 - - 420 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 54 - - 12 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 2 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 164 - - 295 - - 231 - - 250 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 11 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - -39 - - 15 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6338 - - -3449 - - -7162 - - -13075 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15247 - - 19459 - - 20346 - - 19121 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9305 - - -6356 - - -8601 - - -16942 ODpotential blCL - - - 18213 - - 22365 - - 21784 - - 22987 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 80 - - 81 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 140 - - 30 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.1 - - 94.6 - - 94.4 - - 84.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.3 - - 29.2 - - 25.0 - - 21.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.1 - - 91.5 - - 92.9 - - 89.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.1 - - 29.1 - - 25.0 - - 21.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 424 - - 451 - - 133 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3040 - - 10141 - - 7315 - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 53 - - 22 - - 24 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99343 35 108 29 094 30 086 27 088 99343 91862 38 105 25 102 24 087 28 087 91862 86069 37 098 30 111 23 101 23 084 86069 81270 29 096 26 094 27 101 23 082 81270 77158 23 102 22 098 24 087 29 089 77158 73524 24 112 23 103 16 097 23 074 73524 70238 21 103 14 111 14 086 13 077 70238 67223 11 076 17 117 6 132 6 103 67223 64429 7 081 10 125 6 129 5 121 64429 61735 3 043 12 120 7 150 6 164 61735 58952 1 275 8 349 9 029 9 121 58952 56106 4 264 13 306 15 317 14 322 56106 53439 8 261 13 264 18 285 24 303 53439 51058 14 317 7 271 16 273 24 292 51058 48915 24 327 10 334 9 295 19 289 48915 46961 29 324 21 331 16 320 20 308 46961 45159 26 321 26 314 24 315 24 320 45159 43479 25 325 25 308 27 308 28 322 43479 41900 28 330 26 315 27 306 28 317 41900 40412 31 334 26 322 26 312 29 311 40412 39014 31 338 23 328 27 320 27 307 39014 37674 30 335 23 332 26 325 22 315 37674 36330 26 326 26 333 25 333 20 330 36330 34952 24 319 27 332 24 338 19 335 34952 33546 20 312 24 322 20 335 18 334 33546 32104 16 313 19 311 16 320 17 329 32104 30620 13 308 11 319 11 294 13 320 30620 29097 7 330 8 299 7 297 9 304 29097 27536 8 342 5 335 4 319 7 295 27536 25938 9 344 4 342 1 255 7 270 25938 24307 8 340 2 066 3 178 7 236 24307 22637 5 307 1 130 1 268 8 216 22637 20921 6 301 5 256 7 342 1 147 20921 19186 6 291 6 275 10 347 4 012 19186 17517 3 239 7*296 10 346 4 340 17517 15992 5 173 7*314 9 339 4 320 15992 14624 5 165 7 326 7 329 5 309 14624 13392 4 164 6 333 6*313 6 304 13392 12277 2 175 4 333 5*289 7 299 12277 11268 1 011 3 323 5 271 7 296 11268 10355 3 101 2 303 5 246 8 293 10355 9534 4*133 1 263 6 233 8 291 9534 8794 5*149 3 207 7 222 8 287 8794 8118 5 158 4 199 8 218 9 283 8118 7510 5 164 4 195 8 215 8 277 7510 6994 6 167 5 192 8 213 8 269 6994 6593 6 169 6 191 8 212 8 260 6593 6313 6 171 6 190 8 211 6 251 6313 6143 6 172 6 189 8 210 4 248 6143 6045 5 172 6 188 7 210 3*250 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography