DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/10 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.2 - - 87.5 - - 84.4 - - 72.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 399 - - 417 - - 89 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5477 - - 9317 - - 5940 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9837 - - 12956 - - 9311 - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11345 - - 15185 - - 11808 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2973 - - 2314 - - 4123 - - 213 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 548 - - 664 - - 342 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 11 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 11 - - 12 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 298 - - 319 - - 336 - - 022 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 25 - - -17 - - -23 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8613 - - -7658 - - -9230 - - -12144 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 19959 - - 22844 - - 21039 - - 18189 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14974 - - -13386 - - -14909 - - -20005 ODpotential blCL - - - 26319 - - 28571 - - 26717 - - 26049 blCL maxRH - - - 51 - - 56 - - 71 - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.2 - - 87.5 - - 84.4 - - 72.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 14.9 - - 6.5 - - 12.1 - - 14.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.4 - - 84.5 - - 83.3 - - 76.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 14.8 - - 6.5 - - 12.0 - - 14.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 399 - - 417 - - 89 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5477 - - 9317 - - 5940 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98932 7 139 4 159 5 049 9 087 98932 91487 10 128 7 080 5 080 13 076 91487 85710 5 116 5 127 3 068 8 051 85710 80908 4 118 5 199 4 352 6 033 80908 76764 4 026 9 157 6 214 5 285 76764 73117 3 027 3 148 4 208 7 337 73117 69845 3 317 4 020 7 193 6 318 69845 66855 2 329 7 324 4 327 5 352 66855 64095 7 081 4 269 7 274 6 288 64095 61454 9 336 4 115 5 282 5 264 61454 58736 11 271 9 291 18 313 12 317 58736 55941 20 301 20 297 27 296 26 292 55941 53296 29 291 28 286 31 295 31 292 53296 50922 31 301 30 292 33 306 33 304 50922 48781 42 314 43 310 41 311 38 303 48781 46820 50 306 47 305 46 305 41 298 46820 45004 50 295 47 298 46 299 39 298 45004 43318 48 297 44 295 44 298 35 301 43318 41743 45 300 41 296 41 299 34 301 41743 40263 42 294 37 300 38 300 35 298 40263 38871 41 291 37 305 33 300 35 296 38871 37536 41 294 36 301 30 300 33 295 37536 36194 41 297 33 285 29 297 29 293 36194 34817 41 294 35 278 29 298 27 289 34817 33413 41 292 34 289 29 300 27 288 33413 31969 40 297 34 299 27 298 28 290 31969 30478 37 308 31 301 26 296 28 290 30478 28944 32 316 28 300 24 296 26 286 28944 27369 29 317 25 299 23 289 26 283 27369 25758 26 314 23 301 24 284 28 285 25758 24115 21 311 21 305 23 285 26 288 24115 22438 16 310 17 306 19 290 21 296 22438 20722 14 315 14 305 15 291 14 308 20722 18995 14 319 14 307 13 296 12 310 18995 17337 17 318 15 311 12 301 17 308 17337 15827 21 315 14*313 12 310 20 305 15827 14476 22 313 12*314 13 316 19 305 14476 13261 18 315 12 315 13 321 16 306 13261 12164 15*317 11 315 12*323 12 306 12164 11171 13*319 11 317 12*326 10 303 11171 10275 11 316 11 319 12 329 8 302 10275 9468 10 311 11 321 12 334 7 305 9468 8741 8 303 11 322 12 336 7 314 8741 8077 7 292 11 322 12 338 6 334 8077 7480 6 272 11 323 12 340 6 358 7480 6974 6 264 11 323 12 340 7 014 6974 6581 6 257 11 323 11 341 8 022 6581 6307 6 253 11 324 11 342 8 027 6307 6140 6 251 10 323 10 342 7 026 6140 6044 6 249 9 323 9 342 7*022 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography