DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/27 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.1 - - 86.6 - - - - - 75.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 560 - - 568 - - - - - -56 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9377 - - 11986 - - - - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13152 - - 15323 - - - - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15245 - - 17854 - - - - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1784 - - 1327 - - - - - 9979 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 736 - - 803 - - - - - 14 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 35 - - 39 - - - - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 228 - - 231 - - - - - 223 Direction Wind Shear - - - 16 - - 17 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 41 - - 43 - - - - - 19 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2931 - - -5188 - - - - - -12077 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 18177 - - 23044 - - - - - 18122 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7903 - - -10136 - - - - - -18186 ODpotential blCL - - - 23148 - - 27990 - - - - - 24230 blCL maxRH - - - 48 - - 40 - - - - - 39 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.1 - - 86.6 - - - - - 75.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.4 - - 4.2 - - - - - 17.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.4 - - 83.7 - - - - - 77.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.1 - - 3.6 - - - - - 16.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 560 - - 568 - - - - - -56 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9377 - - 11986 - - - - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 1 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99185 36 108 30 112 25 093 99185 91681 30 099 25 110 23 082 91681 85896 30 111 26 104 21 085 85896 81086 28 115 22 109 19 089 81086 76947 23 103 19 105 20 093 76947 73296 13 089 17 112 18 096 73296 69998 9 095 12 114 12 085 69998 66957 2 257 5 056 9 067 66957 64130 6 156 4 213 4 107 64130 61389 8 238 6 242 2 204 61389 58556 15 228 19 243 18 275 58556 55685 15 243 27 240 21 263 55685 52960 14 243 26 240 20 241 52960 50477 32 257 36 269 31 273 50477 48258 53 245 48 268 49 274 48258 46278 62 255 63 259 53 268 46278 44476 69 261 61 253 58 270 44476 42810 67 265 59 274 62 267 42810 41255 70 280 72 283 63 263 41255 39793 74 284 73 279 64 259 39793 38417 71 279 71 276 64 257 38417 37097 69 273 71 275 65 257 37097 35772 69 269 72 272 67 259 35772 34415 70 265 72 269 67 262 34415 33031 72 264 73 266 67 263 33031 31610 74 265 75 266 67 263 31610 30141 75 266 77 267 66 262 30141 28629 74 265 78 268 66 261 28629 27075 69 265 77 268 65 262 27075 25485 61 262 72 267 63 262 25485 23864 58 257 66 262 60 262 23864 22206 57 251 64 254 57 261 22206 20506 56 247 61 249 54 258 20506 18798 54 244 54*243 48 253 18798 17169 52 242 43*233 37 244 17169 15692 46*237 42 232 35 242 15692 14370 39*231 41 231 35 244 14370 13179 37 228 41 231 36 244 13179 12101 36 228 40 231 37 243 12101 11124 36 227 39 231 37 241 11124 10239 35 227 39 231 38 240 10239 9442 34 227 38 231 38 239 9442 8723 34 227 38 231 38 237 8723 8066 34 227 37 231 37 236 8066 7473 33 227 36 231 36 234 7473 6970 32 226 35 231 33 231 6970 6579 31 226 34 231 29 228 6579 6307 30 226 33 231 23 226 6307 6140 28 226 31 231 20 225 6140 6044 24 225 26 230 13*223 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography