DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/01 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.3 - - 42.0 - - 36.1 - - 31.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 124 - - 158 - - -8 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2275 - - 4050 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6943 - - 8331 - - 6025 - - 6025 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8143 - - 9918 - - 6042 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1779 - - 1975 - - 3432 - - 1281 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 282 - - 366 - - 13 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 10 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 6 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 024 - - 359 - - 353 - - 054 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -15 - - 19 - - -8 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1685 - - -1942 - - -4339 - - -3241 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9828 - - 11860 - - 10381 - - 9283 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7010 - - -9543 - - -12857 - - -14392 ODpotential blCL - - - 15153 - - 19461 - - 18899 - - 20434 blCL maxRH - - - 49 - - 43 - - 41 - - 42 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.3 - - 42.0 - - 36.1 - - 31.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 15.6 - - 11.2 - - 12.3 - - 12.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 36.1 - - 40.6 - - 38.1 - - 35.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 14.5 - - 10.4 - - 11.5 - - 11.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 124 - - 158 - - -8 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2275 - - 4050 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96614 44 081 41 064 27 068 30 050 96614 89500 45 072 39 075 31 072 32 050 89500 84033 44 070 40 072 36 073 33 056 84033 79456 41 073 36 074 31 068 30 059 79456 75448 39 075 36 078 31 068 25 062 75448 71857 30 087 26 082 24 067 21 061 71857 68570 18 072 21 061 16 077 12 070 68570 65533 5 013 12 348 16 011 16 021 65533 62730 7 309 7 293 13 293 19 335 62730 60039 12 327 4 302 10 302 19 313 60039 57252 24 310 20 313 18 310 16 307 57252 54377 21 295 25 290 24 311 24 307 54377 51651 26 318 23 308 31 300 24 294 51651 49212 27 316 27 328 27 317 26 312 49212 47041 28 322 34 341 32 337 34 309 47041 45087 36 337 38 351 34 350 37 318 45087 43302 41 344 42 004 42 345 45 324 43302 41653 39 358 50 010 40 343 48 324 41653 40115 51 025 53 016 42 348 51 331 40115 38672 74 031 64 016 52 352 58 338 38672 37320 87 029 73 013 62 354 62 341 37320 36028 87 025 77 009 68 356 62 344 36028 34738 81 020 76 011 69 358 61 347 34738 33420 76 016 71 015 64 002 56 351 33420 32079 72 015 66 015 57 010 48 354 32079 30704 69 017 61 011 47 010 38 356 30704 29286 65 019 54 009 38 006 35 357 29286 27825 60 020 48 008 34 013 35 354 27825 26321 56 021 45 008 34 019 30 354 26321 24779 52 023 43 009 36 018 22 005 24779 23200 46 022 40 010 34 013 17 027 23200 21580 39 013 35 009 32 007 17 028 21580 19914 33 002 33 004 30 002 20 015 19914 18234 28 356 32 359 30 000 22 007 18234 16627 25 353 31 353 29 360 22 001 16627 15171 22 349 29 349 28 359 21 358 15171 13877 19 345 25 348 25 356 20 358 13877 12726 17 345 20 347 22 352 18 357 12726 11696 15 351 15 347 17 349 15 357 11696 10771 14 001 11 349 13 346 12 000 10771 9939 14 011 9*351 11 347 10 006 9939 9193 14 018 8*353 9 350 8 015 9193 8522 13*022 7 356 8 355 8 023 8522 7910 12*022 7 357 8 357 8 026 7910 7361 12 022 6 360 8 359 8 027 7361 6896 11 024 6 001 8 001 7 027 6896 6534 10 024 5 003 7 001 5 030 6534 6283 9 026 5 004 5 001 3 041 6283 6130 8 026 5 004 4*358 3*053 6130 6042 7 027 4 004 3*353 2*054 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography