DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/12 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.1 - - 53.0 - - 52.3 - - 43.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 207 - - 222 - - 12 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2053 - - 4223 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6986 - - 8620 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7921 - - 10091 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2184 - - 4107 - - 8815 - - 2966 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 318 - - 414 - - 55 - - 32 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 13 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 165 - - 214 - - 227 - - 108 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 13 - - -13 - - 7 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 467 - - 328 - - -4166 - - -1780 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7454 - - 9763 - - 10209 - - 7823 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -892 - - -1331 - - -5477 - - -5281 ODpotential blCL - - - 8813 - - 11422 - - 11520 - - 11324 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 84 - - 87 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 80 - - 140 - - 110 - - 90 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.1 - - 53.0 - - 52.3 - - 43.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.5 - - 31.3 - - 28.7 - - 30.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.4 - - 51.2 - - 51.8 - - 47.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.3 - - 31.1 - - 28.5 - - 30.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 207 - - 222 - - 12 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2053 - - 4223 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 73 - - 38 - - 48 - - 22 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96469 21 076 32 068 26 091 14 083 96469 89465 21 079 23 073 17 085 19 054 89465 83979 21 070 18 083 12 078 12 077 83979 79397 17 089 13 084 8 074 14 072 79397 75428 19 106 13 083 7 108 12 019 75428 71904 12 078 5 098 1 087 13 004 71904 68716 14 020 4 095 1 277 12 348 68716 65775 12 322 4 270 5 285 11 326 65775 63038 8 249 9 282 16 243 16 272 63038 60392 21 255 20 284 15 256 20 256 60392 57623 26 265 34 265 30 265 25 266 57623 54710 38 249 47 257 46 253 40 259 54710 51898 45 247 51 247 56 246 51 251 51898 49369 52 252 54 251 61 247 55 249 49369 47116 68 251 64 252 64 248 57 249 47116 45083 86 248 78 251 69 251 62 247 45083 43232 92 247 89 251 81 252 72 251 43232 41530 93 248 90 247 89 249 90 252 41530 39955 105 249 92 249 93 247 99 248 39955 38498 114 248 112 251 106 249 103 249 38498 37145 114 249 126 249 118 249 113 250 37145 35854 119 251 130 249 123 248 122 248 35854 34561 124 251 126 249 123 248 123 247 34561 33242 123 251 119 250 119 248 118 248 33242 31904 116 252 109 251 113 249 109 247 31904 30534 108 254 101 251 103 249 101 247 30534 29122 99 256 97 249 96 249 95 247 29122 27670 87 256 93 250 91 250 89 249 27670 26182 73 255 84 253 86 253 79 252 26182 24661 61 252 71 252 73 256 64 253 24661 23113 53 250 60 248 59 252 53 251 23113 21534 48 250 52 244 51 244 49 246 21534 19914 44 247 49 241 47 243 46 244 19914 18280 40 244 44 242 39 247 40 247 18280 16714 35 244 34 248 30 254 33 252 16714 15287 29 246 28 258 25 261 24 253 15287 14010 21 248 23 266 22 266 18 248 14010 12862 15 253 18 269 20 270 16 243 12862 11825 12 261 14 268 15 273 14 239 11825 10887 10 255 10*262 12 273 13 238 10887 10039 8 215 8*250 9 265 10 238 10039 9277 10 177 6 230 8 255 7 234 9277 8590 10 168 6 214 7 248 5 225 8590 7963 9*167 6 208 7 241 4 209 7963 7399 8*166 6 204 7 236 5 185 7399 6921 8 165 6 202 7 232 6 168 6921 6550 7 164 6 200 6 230 5 160 6550 6291 7 164 6 199 6 229 4 151 6291 6133 7 165 6 199 6*227 3*124 6133 6043 6 164 5 197 5*227 3*108 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography