DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/06 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.8 - - 56.7 - - 57.5 - - 49.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 505 - - 556 - - 204 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5637 - - 6998 - - 4950 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10056 - - 11195 - - 9134 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11505 - - 12866 - - 10818 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2858 - - 1676 - - 2461 - - 2912 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 600 - - 666 - - 425 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 25 - - 22 - - 20 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 345 - - 345 - - 359 - - 020 Direction Wind Shear - - - 17 - - 13 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -44 - - -37 - - -38 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1112 - - -281 - - -5086 - - -7531 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10393 - - 13148 - - 15905 - - 13575 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -336 - - -3334 - - -10824 - - -13992 ODpotential blCL - - - 11841 - - 16200 - - 21642 - - 20035 blCL maxRH - - - 64 - - 51 - - 36 - - 31 maxRH CAPE - - - 70 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.8 - - 56.7 - - 57.5 - - 49.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.2 - - 19.7 - - 8.6 - - 11.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.1 - - 53.6 - - 56.0 - - 52.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.8 - - 19.2 - - 7.9 - - 11.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 505 - - 556 - - 204 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5637 - - 6998 - - 4950 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98071 16 231 16 275 13 280 12 297 98071 90606 16 228 19 261 12 298 9 300 90606 84848 11 230 15 248 16 256 16 274 84848 80087 10 268 8 251 11 241 13 257 80087 75999 17 273 16 267 11 284 9 289 75999 72390 18 248 22 250 19 272 15 278 72390 69121 19 262 22 249 23 267 16 283 69121 66112 25 265 25 256 28 268 26 279 66112 63318 28 271 29 260 32 255 29 268 63318 60604 31 270 32 264 30 265 30 272 60604 57777 33 268 34 261 32 264 32 267 57777 54848 35 275 33 266 32 271 32 274 54848 52056 39 276 36 272 38 278 31 276 52056 49549 36 285 33 283 31 281 29 287 49549 47321 39 286 32 284 32 299 24 292 47321 45317 35 276 32 281 29 295 22 312 45317 43495 31 300 35 304 27 312 24 337 43495 41824 38 304 33 320 29 350 31 357 41824 40275 39 288 30 344 42 007 37 006 40275 38829 25 315 43 007 48 010 42 011 38829 37477 40 347 58 018 49 013 45 013 37477 36188 49 350 70 022 51 015 45 013 36188 34900 53 356 75 023 52 015 44 013 34900 33582 60 001 75 022 50 014 43 013 33582 32240 63 002 73 021 47 013 41 013 32240 30860 64 001 70 019 44 013 38 012 30860 29434 65 001 66 016 43 013 35 010 29434 27966 66 001 61 012 43 011 33 009 27966 26459 66 001 57 009 43 010 32 011 26459 24916 62 359 55 008 42 009 33 014 24916 23340 55 354 54 008 41 008 33 013 23340 21728 45 345 53 008 38 008 31 008 21728 20074 39 333 49 006 37 008 28 001 20074 18407 36 324 44 000 36 009 26 359 18407 16811 34 321 41 353 35 010 25 002 16811 15360 32 322 37 345 34 007 26 004 15360 14066 32 325 32*340 32 002 27 360 14066 12905 32 328 27*340 28 357 28 353 12905 11858 31*331 25 341 24 355 27 351 11858 10912 30*334 23 342 22*355 26 352 10912 10059 29 338 23 344 22*356 23 356 10059 9292 28 341 22 346 21 357 21 002 9292 8601 26 346 22 347 21 358 19 009 8601 7972 23 349 21 348 21 359 17 014 7972 7406 22 351 21 349 20 359 16 017 7406 6925 21 352 20 350 20 360 15 018 6925 6552 20 353 19 351 19 001 13 018 6552 6293 19 353 18 351 18 001 10 019 6293 6134 18 354 17 351 17 001 7*020 6134 6043 16 354 15 351 14 002 5*020 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography