DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/25 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.3 - - 56.6 - - 65.0 - - 62.5 - - 52.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 220 - - 247 - - 25 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1561 - - 6893 - - 176 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 6658 - - 10740 - - 6027 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 7429 - - 12761 - - 6044 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 313 - - 1926 - - 2203 - - 8757 - - 1715 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 297 - - 506 - - 70 - - 9 W* B/S 0 - - 14 - - 7 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 13 - - 8 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 081 - - 227 - - 295 - - 313 - - 355 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 8 - - 34 - - -12 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2002 - - -3273 - - -41 - - -5443 - - -3608 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8044 - - 10702 - - 12803 - - 11487 - - 9651 sfcLCL ODpotential -9374 - - -7167 - - -1405 - - -6840 - - -7788 ODpotential blCL 15416 - - 14596 - - 14166 - - 12884 - - 13831 blCL maxRH 87 - - 84 - - 93 - - 88 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.3 - - 56.6 - - 65.0 - - 62.5 - - 52.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.5 - - 30.7 - - 29.7 - - 33.0 - - 31.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.2 - - 54.9 - - 63.2 - - 62.0 - - 55.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.3 - - 30.4 - - 29.4 - - 32.8 - - 30.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 220 - - 247 - - 25 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1561 - - 6893 - - 176 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 49 - - 37 - - 72 - - 52 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96476 16 071 11 074 13 118 11 092 13 070 96476 89323 12 049 12 095 3 125 10 046 14 055 89323 83787 3 026 6 059 3 075 6 052 2 041 83787 79179 6 018 5 201 5 306 2 038 9 345 79179 75189 18 343 6 306 6 316 6 279 6 323 75189 71656 25 311 8 287 8 326 14 312 13 324 71656 68454 30 322 22 323 19 325 18 296 29 297 68454 65553 22 321 27 326 15 338 20 317 21 299 65553 62905 14 331 26 318 36 323 30 309 9 335 62905 60344 16 297 28 312 37 300 39 305 26 322 60344 57647 11 283 33 293 40 289 49 303 48 308 57647 54830 37 304 52 297 52 300 58 303 58 303 54830 52132 68 300 61 297 64 302 67 305 63 302 52132 49693 73 299 67 297 74 302 79 306 76 308 49693 47503 80 300 77 296 85 299 93 303 93 306 47503 45530 89 299 91 296 93 295 101 297 106 300 45530 43745 97 297 101 297 95 293 98 292 107 295 43745 42107 98 296 100 297 94 297 96 292 101 294 42107 40583 96 296 94 299 94 302 99 295 97 296 40583 39149 90 299 91 302 89 303 101 297 96 300 39149 37800 88 302 95 304 86 301 99 299 98 304 37800 36505 91 305 98 304 91 301 93 304 100 306 36505 35202 93 305 97 303 94 300 94 309 100 306 35202 33866 93 303 95 300 93 300 97 311 98 305 33866 32501 91 300 91 297 91 299 95 310 98 303 32501 31099 88 296 88 295 89 297 95 306 98 301 31099 29650 86 294 86 294 89 295 98 301 97 299 29650 28157 85 294 84 293 89 295 97 298 93 299 28157 26625 84 294 82 293 87 295 95 298 88 300 26625 25060 83 295 80 294 84 297 91 301 82 302 25060 23468 79 296 77 296 78 299 81 303 76 306 23468 21844 72 298 72 298 71 301 69 304 69 311 21844 20181 62 300 63 301 63 303 59 307 61 315 20181 18504 52 302 52 303 54 304 51 310 53 316 18504 16900 46 299 43 301 46 304 44 312 45 314 16900 15444 44 292 38 294 38 305 36 312 37 311 15444 14143 43 288 36 288 30 307 28 311 30 305 14143 12976 42 289 35 286 22*306 21 308 24 300 12976 11922 41 295 32 288 18*303 17 307 19 297 11922 10968 36 300 26 289 16 301 16 307 17 301 10968 10107 30 304 18 287 15 299 15 308 17 311 10107 9332 26 308 12 284 14 296 15 309 18 324 9332 8633 24 309 9 290 13 293 14 310 19 335 8633 7996 22 307 7*289 12 290 13 311 22 343 7996 7423 18 304 5*272 11 287 13 312 22 348 7423 6937 12 300 4 229 10 285 12 313 20 350 6937 6559 5 297 4 218 10 283 11 313 16 353 6559 6296 1 328 4 212 9 281 11 313 12 354 6296 6135 2 082 4 210 9 280 10*313 9*356 6135 6043 3*081 4 208 8 280 8*313 7*355 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography