DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/09 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.4 - - 87.2 - - - - - 72.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 397 - - 414 - - - - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7714 - - 10061 - - - - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11627 - - 13559 - - - - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13582 - - 15929 - - - - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1592 - - 1323 - - - - - 347 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 612 - - 679 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 29 - - 24 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 314 - - 314 - - - - - 352 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 5 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 31 - - 42 - - - - - -17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3346 - - -2163 - - - - - -12179 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16929 - - 18093 - - - - - 18224 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7497 - - -5402 - - - - - -19733 ODpotential blCL - - - 21079 - - 21331 - - - - - 25777 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 60 - - - - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.4 - - 87.2 - - - - - 72.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.8 - - 28.2 - - - - - 14.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.6 - - 84.3 - - - - - 75.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.8 - - 28.1 - - - - - 14.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 397 - - 414 - - - - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7714 - - 10061 - - - - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99020 17 100 14 141 12 058 99020 91585 11 124 13 103 7 108 91585 85848 14 128 12 106 6 088 85848 81063 8 134 9 110 6 038 81063 76934 7 146 6 135 8 050 76934 73277 11 157 7 158 9 040 73277 69984 13 124 7 150 5 018 69984 66995 7 045 8 165 7 359 66995 64242 5 048 5 166 9 338 64242 61596 10 317 1 335 5 276 61596 58877 13 282 9 299 12 274 58877 56092 20 264 21 286 20 290 56092 53447 30 260 29 269 28 285 53447 51068 35 263 34 267 34 286 51068 48920 38 266 40 265 41 283 48920 46955 38 268 44 266 45 281 46955 45140 38 273 46 273 50 283 45140 43453 40 281 46 282 51 287 43453 41875 38 280 43 284 49 289 41875 40393 33 276 40 280 44 289 40393 39000 31 273 36 274 42 296 39000 37663 32 270 34 275 43 302 37663 36319 34 268 35 277 42 298 36319 34938 35 267 37 277 41 290 34938 33527 34 265 39 275 40 286 33527 32075 33 264 38 272 38 287 32075 30575 32 267 36 269 36 290 30575 29035 31 271 32 266 34 290 29035 27457 29 271 30 264 33 285 27457 25843 27 267 28 268 32 282 25843 24195 25 265 27 273 31 285 24195 22508 23 268 26 278 27 293 22508 20780 22 277 26 284 22 302 20780 19040 21 285 25 295 18 309 19040 17372 20 291 20*305 16 317 17372 15855 16 296 9*313 14 326 15855 14496 9*306 6 311 13 334 14496 13276 7*324 5 312 12 342 13276 12173 7 331 5 311 12 350 12173 11176 6 334 5 314 13 356 11176 10276 5 333 5 315 15 359 10276 9468 4 325 5 317 16 001 9468 8739 3 311 5 317 18 001 8739 8075 3 281 5 316 19 359 8075 7478 3 259 4 316 20 358 7478 6972 3 247 4 317 21 357 6972 6579 3 239 4 314 19 356 6579 6307 3 236 4 314 16 356 6307 6140 3 234 4 315 13*354 6140 6044 3 231 4 312 8*352 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography