DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/06 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.8 - - 48.0 - - 51.3 - - 49.3 - - 43.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -15 - - 75 - - 57 - - -1 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 1780 - - 175 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 6289 - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6043 - - 7648 - - 6043 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2063 - - 1294 - - 3931 - - 4941 - - 331 Hgt.Variab. W* 24 - - 230 - - 98 - - 10 - - 17 W* B/S 1 - - 7 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 033 - - 137 - - 075 - - 001 - - 016 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - 8 - - -1 - - -3 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -164 - - 531 - - -1291 - - -394 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6208 - - 7117 - - 7334 - - 6437 - - 6043 sfcLCL ODpotential -4369 - - -2960 - - -3392 - - -2981 - - -3463 ODpotential blCL 10412 - - 10608 - - 9435 - - 9024 - - 9506 blCL maxRH 84 - - 82 - - 81 - - 82 - - 74 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 50 - - 140 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.8 - - 48.0 - - 51.3 - - 49.3 - - 43.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.8 - - 37.9 - - 40.2 - - 42.0 - - 39.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.4 - - 47.1 - - 50.6 - - 51.4 - - 47.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.5 - - 36.7 - - 38.9 - - 40.8 - - 39.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -15 - - 75 - - 57 - - -1 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 1780 - - 175 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 37 - - 26 - - 23 - - 27 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96210 49 277 61 276 52 275 62 271 70 277 96210 89173 32 275 37 287 33 283 36 290 34 293 89173 83766 19 286 27 281 24 285 26 303 16 295 83766 79271 14 312 18 264 23 274 22 305 13 315 79271 75374 18 317 8 272 19 268 21 293 19 313 75374 71910 22 311 6 317 14 277 19 298 21 308 71910 68758 20 305 9 319 12 298 16 311 20 309 68758 65849 14 297 12 300 11 298 17 316 20 309 65849 63144 11 296 13 299 10 295 18 303 19 314 63144 60519 16 302 16 298 12 300 20 301 24 316 60519 57780 21 303 18 291 17 299 20 299 21 313 57780 54926 24 294 19 295 19 295 16 308 17 321 54926 52193 22 288 23 302 20 306 17 325 16 336 52193 49730 23 281 25 296 22 310 20 328 19 351 49730 47517 19 264 21 283 21 313 20 333 22 358 47517 45498 12 258 18 269 23 311 20 335 27 360 45498 43646 12 296 13 267 22 300 19 335 31 357 43646 41938 19 305 10 306 15 290 20 340 26 356 41938 40360 22 276 13 330 10 327 20 360 21 021 40360 38896 16 245 16 321 15 359 22 024 34 043 38896 37531 11 266 14 319 21 015 27 040 49 047 37531 36228 14 269 11 331 24 017 34 042 54 046 36228 34922 18 234 10 310 21 013 37 039 58 041 34922 33588 23 217 8 272 17 014 34 038 58 038 33588 32235 31 205 14 217 8 017 28 037 49 041 32235 30855 33 202 15 211 3 218 14 034 35 042 30855 29436 32 205 17 211 6 191 1 003 25 033 29436 27980 31 203 25 208 9 216 5 201 18 035 27980 26484 31 203 27 213 14 220 5 207 15 051 26484 24951 30 215 28 216 17 223 6 231 13 062 24951 23384 28 225 25 223 16 225 9 246 9 058 23384 21776 20 232 16 235 9 224 10 253 5 041 21776 20124 8 213 7 227 4 160 6 269 6 056 20124 18455 5 223 5 170 7 159 2 256 6 102 18455 16854 3 209 9 194 7 198 1 212 3 120 16854 15397 8 192 13 198 9 210 1 232 1 010 15397 14094 11 180 14 195 10 204 3 149 2 353 14094 12927 14 178 12 188 9 202 6 134 1 073 12927 11876 15 180 10 178 8 202 7 117 4 121 11876 10927 13 161 11 168 6 201 8 112 6 118 10927 10071 11 144 11 162 4 189 8 106 8 114 10071 9302 11 138 11 151 4 156 8 083 9 101 9302 8609 13 141 11 142 4 125 8 064 11 085 8609 7977 15 143 9*137 4 090 8 054 12 071 7977 7408 13 141 7*135 4 071 8 049 13 059 7408 6927 8 132 6 137 4 071 6 044 14 049 6927 6552 5 107 6 137 4 072 4 040 14 035 6552 6292 5 071 5 139 4 073 3 036 13 025 6292 6134 6*041 5 140 4*076 2*026 9*021 6134 6043 5*033 5 140 3*075 1*001 6*016 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography