DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/05 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.7 - - 63.6 - - 63.8 - - 54.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 360 - - 414 - - 107 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2631 - - 5466 - - 4289 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7587 - - 9844 - - 8264 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8499 - - 11334 - - 10157 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2607 - - 2185 - - 3882 - - 2585 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 416 - - 555 - - 327 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 32 - - 14 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 152 - - 191 - - 217 - - 037 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - 9 - - -17 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5827 - - -5717 - - -8185 - - -10472 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14326 - - 17052 - - 18343 - - 16516 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10701 - - -10117 - - -12807 - - -16137 ODpotential blCL - - - 19200 - - 21451 - - 22964 - - 22180 blCL maxRH - - - 29 - - 39 - - 55 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.7 - - 63.6 - - 63.8 - - 54.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 16.1 - - 9.5 - - 3.9 - - 4.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.3 - - 60.9 - - 62.6 - - 60.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 15.1 - - 8.5 - - 3.1 - - 3.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 360 - - 414 - - 107 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2631 - - 5466 - - 4289 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96828 35 275 38 270 42 281 45 286 96828 89605 27 261 25 280 24 279 28 285 89605 84067 12 277 16 276 24 270 21 290 84067 79472 6 277 12 282 20 287 19 304 79472 75523 6 301 10 290 17 306 16 316 75523 72033 12 322 13 312 16 316 17 328 72033 68876 21 321 17 313 20 312 20 330 68876 65976 24 311 20 307 25 314 23 325 65976 63275 27 312 26 300 29 309 30 313 63275 60645 33 306 31 296 34 300 33 301 60645 57881 37 296 34 293 36 297 36 294 57881 54985 37 285 35 292 38 294 38 292 54985 52199 37 283 39 290 40 296 38 293 52199 49680 40 286 45 288 46 293 45 296 49680 47429 41 286 46 284 50 290 51 293 47429 45398 39 289 43 281 51 285 54 290 45398 43553 38 293 39 283 46 284 52 289 43553 41869 37 296 35 290 40 289 50 290 41869 40321 32 294 31 292 37 290 47 291 40321 38887 26 291 24 285 30 287 41 287 38887 37551 23 299 21 287 24 276 34 282 37551 36279 21 303 22 290 22 277 26 273 36279 35006 21 293 23 290 22 279 22 274 35006 33702 19 288 22 285 21 275 22 280 33702 32369 17 296 17 288 20 265 22 283 32369 30997 14 307 14 296 16 258 22 285 30997 29579 12 314 11 297 13 263 19 276 29579 28120 10 318 11 287 10 274 15 269 28120 26619 9 322 9 296 8 276 12 272 26619 25080 8 328 7 312 7 261 10 260 25080 23507 7 332 6 320 6 239 9 240 23507 21895 6 335 4 317 6 225 9 229 21895 20238 5 325 3 307 7 232 9 236 20238 18565 4 285 4 287 8 246 9 244 18565 16960 5 265 6 271 8 247 10 235 16960 15497 5 264 7 254 7 245 11 231 15497 14189 5 267 5 243 5 253 13 235 14189 13014 5 256 3 237 4 259 13 238 13014 11952 5 230 2*210 4 256 11 237 11952 10992 6 197 2*198 3*245 9 236 10992 10124 7 173 2 196 3*231 7 237 10124 9345 7 156 3 193 4 225 4 235 9345 8643 7*151 3 193 4 219 2 221 8643 8003 6*150 3 191 4 215 1 125 8003 7427 6 151 4 190 4 214 2 084 7427 6940 6 151 4 188 4 212 3 076 6940 6561 6 152 4 188 4 212 3 069 6561 6297 6 153 4 188 4 211 3 061 6297 6136 6 154 4 187 4 210 3 044 6136 6043 6 154 4 187 4 209 3*037 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography