DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/15 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 32.2 - - 39.9 - - 47.6 - - 48.5 - - 42.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 92 - - 178 - - 7 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1101 - - 1897 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6025 - - 6026 - - 6829 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 6969 - - 7765 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1060 - - 879 - - 1159 - - 2177 - - 779 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 202 - - 297 - - 48 - - 13 W* B/S 0 - - 10 - - 11 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 008 - - 154 - - 155 - - 130 - - 025 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - 5 - - 8 - - 4 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -159 - - -377 - - -1816 - - -4021 - - -3103 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6201 - - 7347 - - 9581 - - 10065 - - 9147 sfcLCL ODpotential -9727 - - -7913 - - -7604 - - -9129 - - -9406 ODpotential blCL 15769 - - 14882 - - 15369 - - 15172 - - 15449 blCL maxRH 95 - - 97 - - 90 - - 92 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 32.2 - - 39.9 - - 47.6 - - 48.5 - - 42.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.5 - - 29.0 - - 26.8 - - 25.6 - - 24.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.0 - - 38.9 - - 46.1 - - 48.3 - - 47.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.8 - - 27.9 - - 25.9 - - 25.2 - - 23.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 92 - - 178 - - 7 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1101 - - 1897 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 79 - - 89 - - 61 - - 70 - - 53 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96734 36 086 25 087 36 083 32 104 16 109 96734 89582 25 092 25 102 22 085 23 093 21 098 89582 84023 17 096 14 117 12 108 12 080 18 063 84023 79400 17 087 6 127 6 096 11 078 11 066 79400 75388 8 080 3 179 1 101 6 075 5 041 75388 71822 3 319 5 277 3 022 2 207 5 292 71822 68598 8 226 13 240 10 262 7 263 9 282 68598 65640 5 220 5 243 10 257 17 263 12 250 65640 62897 15 258 23 262 23 264 28 266 23 260 62897 60258 26 247 29 260 30 257 34 247 28 255 60258 57514 29 258 28 260 32 252 31 253 30 254 57514 54658 37 268 41 264 41 258 44 255 43 254 54658 51924 55 264 55 259 53 255 54 255 55 256 51924 49451 69 262 63 256 66 256 66 255 68 260 49451 47226 76 260 74 257 80 256 80 255 79 257 47226 45206 79 258 85 257 89 254 86 255 81 256 45206 43361 80 257 89 255 89 254 86 257 83 258 43361 41674 81 258 87 255 88 257 90 260 91 259 41674 40128 80 260 86 259 89 258 95 261 97 260 40128 38703 78 262 84 262 86 257 95 263 104 264 38703 37375 72 262 79 262 83 259 93 266 105 266 37375 36101 64 262 73 261 83 261 88 263 100 266 36101 34821 61 263 72 261 82 261 82 261 88 264 34821 33510 61 263 72 262 81 261 80 260 81 262 33510 32172 63 262 70 261 79 260 79 260 82 258 32172 30795 66 260 67 259 75 259 77 258 83 258 30795 29371 66 258 66 256 71 257 75 257 79 258 29371 27905 63 255 65 256 66 256 73 257 74 257 27905 26398 59 252 64 254 65 252 70 255 72 256 26398 24854 57 252 63 248 66 249 66 251 70 255 24854 23277 56 253 58 244 65 246 64 246 67 254 23277 21666 57 252 54 245 59 242 64 244 62 251 21666 20016 55 252 53 246 54 243 61 247 58 249 20016 18357 52 252 51 246 49 245 54 249 53 249 18357 16769 45 253 46 246 45 244 47 249 47 252 16769 15325 37 255 40 243 41 241 42 249 41 252 15325 14034 32 256 35 238 39 238 37 247 35 248 14034 12876 27 253 31 233 35 237 32 244 29 240 12876 11833 22 248 28 230 30 236 28 237 25 229 11833 10891 18 238 24 226 24 231 24 229 23 218 10891 10042 15 226 19 217 19 220 21 221 23 212 10042 9278 12 211 15 197 15 204 17 214 22 210 9278 8590 12 195 13 177 12 185 15 209 19 199 8590 7962 11 181 13 167 9*168 11 197 18 176 7962 7398 10 170 11*164 5*158 7 173 17 165 7398 6919 8 159 5*158 5 155 4 144 13 160 6919 6548 3 134 3 154 5 153 3 134 8 146 6548 6291 3 058 3 153 4 154 3 132 4 113 6291 6133 4*017 3 151 4 153 3*133 4*041 6133 6043 4*008 3 151 4 154 3*130 4*025 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography