DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/13 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.4 - - 88.3 - - 88.2 - - 80.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 236 - - 478 - - 140 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2765 - - 14740 - - 15063 - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7552 - - 17514 - - 16755 - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8633 - - 20608 - - 20931 - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 8313 - - 1540 - - 2790 - - 12923 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 367 - - 811 - - 543 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 17 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 9 - - 12 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 210 - - 252 - - 284 - - 327 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 16 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 15 - - 18 - - 82 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8822 - - 2775 - - 2058 - - -10156 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17456 - - 17834 - - 18874 - - 16202 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10766 - - 2104 - - 935 - - -12375 ODpotential blCL - - - 19399 - - 18504 - - 19996 - - 18420 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 98 - - 91 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 190 - - 130 - - 120 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.4 - - 88.3 - - 88.2 - - 80.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.4 - - 30.1 - - 25.4 - - 30.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.4 - - 85.0 - - 86.9 - - 81.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.3 - - 29.9 - - 25.3 - - 30.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 236 - - 478 - - 140 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2765 - - 14740 - - 15063 - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 98 - - 91 - - 66 - - 73 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98799 22 099 19 112 18 114 20 097 98799 91307 14 100 14 084 21 105 22 095 91307 85554 11 113 14 091 14 075 17 086 85554 80809 14 121 14 089 9 077 17 071 80809 76725 17 110 12 099 9 076 12 068 76725 73104 19 100 16 115 10 071 14 065 73104 69831 14 075 18 114 6 084 12 054 69831 66840 8 055 11 093 8 104 6 078 66840 64082 3 342 3 352 13 038 16 065 64082 61423 0 032 7 236 10 337 11 011 61423 58661 10 331 3 264 10 278 11 311 58661 55808 13 284 18 277 23 274 23 285 55808 53092 28 281 27 277 29 271 27 273 53092 50642 34 276 34 276 32 273 31 272 50642 48438 42 269 42 272 40 266 40 268 48438 46437 49 264 49 267 49 261 50 261 46437 44602 53 262 55 262 56 259 58 259 44602 42904 56 262 62 260 61 260 62 259 42904 41320 59 262 64 260 61 260 62 259 41320 39837 58 263 60 260 60 260 57 261 39837 38449 52 265 51 259 55 262 51 263 38449 37124 47 266 43 262 47 261 44 265 37124 35799 40 268 39 270 38 258 38 266 35799 34446 35 272 39 270 34 259 36 262 34446 33067 32 271 38 263 36 260 36 259 33067 31653 32 266 36 254 37 258 36 259 31653 30194 34 260 36 246 36 262 33 257 30194 28698 32 255 35 246 32 266 26 254 28698 27163 28 258 30 257 26 265 21 262 27163 25592 25 267 28 270 18 267 21 265 25592 23988 25 275 24 278 10 292 17 257 23988 22348 23 275 21 299 9*335 6 229 22348 20663 17 284 17*310 9*335 6 232 20663 18958 12 291 14*300 9 322 8 242 18958 17320 11 294 11 290 10 304 9 245 17320 15822 9 300 10 280 11 294 9 251 15822 14479 6 300 9 267 12 288 10 259 14479 13269 4 280 9 257 13 282 10 267 13269 12175 5 233 9 245 14 278 11 276 12175 11183 7 216 9 237 14 275 13 283 11183 10286 9 215 10 230 14 273 15 290 10286 9479 10 216 10 226 15 271 16 296 9479 8751 9*215 10 222 15 269 18 300 8751 8086 9*213 10 218 15 268 19 304 8086 7487 9 212 10 216 15 267 19 307 7487 6980 9 210 10 214 15 266 18 310 6980 6585 9 209 10 213 14 265 16 314 6585 6310 8 208 10 212 14 265 13 319 6310 6142 8 206 10 212 14 264 11*323 6142 6045 7 206 9 211 12 263 7*327 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography