DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/02 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.6 - - 65.9 - - - - - 58.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 94 - - 113 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1308 - - 1709 - - - - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6102 - - 6551 - - - - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7176 - - 7577 - - - - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1099 - - 980 - - - - - 604 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 226 - - 258 - - - - - 13 W* B/S - - - 21 - - 16 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 125 - - 208 - - - - - 335 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 6 - - - - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -430 - - -428 - - - - - -545 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7607 - - 8005 - - - - - 6589 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6349 - - -6018 - - - - - -7818 ODpotential blCL - - - 13525 - - 13595 - - - - - 13862 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 66 - - - - - 58 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 190 - - - - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.6 - - 65.9 - - - - - 58.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.1 - - 51.4 - - - - - 50.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.7 - - 64.7 - - - - - 62.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.8 - - 50.1 - - - - - 49.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 94 - - 113 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1308 - - 1709 - - - - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 9 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97842 11 294 5 280 10 318 97842 90533 11 280 8 251 13 298 90533 84898 8 315 6 284 11 298 84898 80239 9 309 11 327 8 349 80239 76245 5 270 8 319 10 004 76245 72730 4 288 7 315 15 001 72730 69568 8 295 9 300 14 338 69568 66676 10 287 12 272 13 315 66676 63998 10 288 13 262 16 297 63998 61404 12 289 18 274 23 289 61404 58705 15 291 20 281 23 275 58705 55910 20 303 20 297 24 279 55910 53239 24 304 30 307 27 281 53239 50826 29 305 34 306 28 290 50826 48647 33 304 39 309 34 299 48647 46654 36 306 42 306 37 298 46654 44813 36 305 44 304 36 297 44813 43096 35 300 43 302 41 294 43096 41488 32 294 39 302 43 289 41488 39980 26 279 32 298 39 290 39980 38575 27 242 28 292 31 284 38575 37244 26 244 29 273 27 275 37244 35921 26 247 32 247 25 286 35921 34570 23 233 29 246 26 302 34570 33193 21 235 27 245 26 312 33193 31774 21 252 25 255 25 317 31774 30306 17 261 20 267 22 319 30306 28794 13 279 17 281 18 309 28794 27241 14 306 15 299 19 300 27241 25651 12 327 12 325 19 306 25651 24027 8 351 7 345 13 318 24027 22365 7 017 5 009 7 335 22365 20658 7 043 5 028 7 353 20658 18933 8 058 6 045 7 014 18933 17275 9 066 7 057 6 021 17275 15763 6 084 6 062 6 016 15763 14409 4 095 5 057 6 017 14409 13194 2 076 4 036 7 021 13194 12097 3 040 5 019 8 022 12097 11109 3 005 6 005 8 024 11109 10218 3 325 8 001 8 029 10218 9419 3 289 8 002 7 031 9419 8699 3 257 5 358 5 021 8699 8043 2 216 1*317 4 354 8043 7454 1*137 2*220 3 320 7454 6956 2*122 3 211 3 300 6956 6570 2 122 3 208 3 299 6570 6302 2 126 3 204 3 307 6302 6138 2 127 3 204 3*324 6138 6044 2 128 3 203 3*335 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography