DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/01 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.5 - - 68.7 - - 62.4 - - 55.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 29 - - 30 - - 4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1292 - - 176 - - 176 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6027 - - 6027 - - 6027 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7160 - - 6044 - - 6044 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2192 - - 6012 - - 1858 - - 988 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 178 - - 92 - - 50 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 10 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 2 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 037 - - 342 - - 200 - - 050 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - -5 - - 9 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1212 - - -2906 - - 0 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8372 - - 8951 - - 6044 - - 6044 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5323 - - -5235 - - -3013 - - -4111 ODpotential blCL - - - 12483 - - 11279 - - 9057 - - 10155 blCL maxRH - - - 52 - - 51 - - 85 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 140 - - 350 - - 1020 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.5 - - 68.7 - - 62.4 - - 55.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.4 - - 50.0 - - 57.9 - - 53.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.1 - - 68.2 - - 62.1 - - 58.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.1 - - 48.7 - - 57.1 - - 54.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 29 - - 30 - - 4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1292 - - 176 - - 176 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 41 - - 43 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 9 - - 13 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97937 6 249 13 242 17 252 21 295 97937 90673 5 287 9 287 12 266 13 307 90673 85051 5 285 13 299 11 344 7 358 85051 80366 6 261 3 279 9 340 5 347 80366 76334 4 254 2 099 5 330 4 032 76334 72793 3 298 3 115 3 262 8 352 72793 69614 5 282 2 282 3 238 8 337 69614 66704 7 286 8 280 12 287 10 328 66704 64000 11 279 13 257 17 291 12 297 64000 61377 14 277 13 269 19 284 19 292 61377 58649 20 290 18 279 19 281 23 284 58649 55826 22 288 23 295 21 288 22 292 55826 53128 30 294 30 299 27 295 25 303 53128 50692 35 295 31 300 30 300 28 307 50692 48501 36 299 30 307 28 306 26 315 48501 46507 35 307 29 312 28 312 29 323 46507 44677 33 314 22 311 25 310 28 319 44677 42985 29 319 18 337 18 334 20 315 42985 41412 28 329 23 357 19 001 12 345 41412 39939 30 346 25 006 22 010 14 026 39939 38558 32 005 28 013 24 010 19 025 38558 37236 34 014 29 014 23 009 20 014 37236 35911 35 015 29 014 19 011 16 020 35911 34553 34 015 28 017 18 019 16 033 34553 33165 35 017 29 023 20 030 19 032 33165 31738 35 020 31 025 23 036 20 030 31738 30264 34 023 32 025 25 036 20 031 30264 28745 32 024 32 021 25 031 19 033 28745 27185 31 025 32 020 26 026 19 032 27185 25586 29 032 29 020 27 026 19 029 25586 23953 27 041 25 022 26 032 22 034 23953 22283 24 041 22 026 23 034 22 042 22283 20567 21 033 22 025 21 030 20 040 20567 18837 19 023 22 019 21 026 19 032 18837 17180 19 017 21 016 20 024 18 030 17180 15676 19 016 20 017 17 027 16 033 15676 14334 19 021 18 020 16 032 13 041 14334 13131 19 028 17 024 14 032 12 049 13131 12047 19 034 16 028 14 023 11 048 12047 11068 19 040 15 027 14 021 10 040 11068 10184 19 044 13 024 12 018 9 034 10184 9391 18 045 12 023 10 012 6 027 9391 8676 17 044 10 021 7 358 2 015 8676 8027 16 041 8 018 3 322 1 201 8027 7443 13*037 5 012 2 264 2 181 7443 6949 9*036 3 359 4 211 3 155 6949 6566 7 037 3 355 5 203 3 130 6566 6300 6 038 2 349 5 201 2 116 6300 6137 6 039 2*344 5*200 2*071 6137 6044 4 040 2*342 5*200 3*050 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography