DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/30 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.0 - - 53.7 - - 58.0 - - 49.9 - - 47.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 75 - - 77 - - 26 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 1163 - - 2146 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 6027 - - 6582 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6043 - - 7031 - - 8014 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 902 - - 1545 - - 2726 - - 1865 - - 2374 Hgt.Variab. W* 13 - - 199 - - 243 - - 72 - - 20 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 6 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 7 - - 7 - - 13 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 022 - - 157 - - 167 - - 242 - - 263 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 12 - - 12 - - 10 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -943 - - 183 - - 537 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6987 - - 6848 - - 7478 - - 6043 - - 6043 sfcLCL ODpotential -6876 - - -3090 - - -1739 - - 0 - - -340 ODpotential blCL 12919 - - 10121 - - 9753 - - 6043 - - 6383 blCL maxRH 75 - - 80 - - 92 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 90 - - 390 - - 320 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 46.0 - - 53.7 - - 58.0 - - 49.9 - - 47.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.5 - - 44.5 - - 45.8 - - 49.6 - - 47.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.9 - - 52.9 - - 57.1 - - 49.4 - - 47.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.2 - - 43.2 - - 44.8 - - 49.4 - - 46.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 75 - - 77 - - 26 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 1163 - - 2146 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 1 - - 22 - - 69 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96665 57 276 65 277 61 284 53 275 77 272 96665 89560 34 276 50 272 51 275 49 287 42 290 89560 84090 32 282 38 264 43 270 46 289 38 301 84090 79522 32 293 24 270 30 266 37 274 33 291 79522 75580 26 274 26 268 24 269 32 267 30 272 75580 72087 25 261 26 264 23 269 24 264 19 262 72087 68907 25 257 22 262 22 255 17 266 19 262 68907 65957 25 253 19 257 29 257 28 254 22 250 65957 63196 26 244 25 240 36 242 27 238 30 249 63196 60503 27 239 27 229 27 217 26 243 32 251 60503 57687 30 256 27 247 30 246 28 251 37 253 57687 54777 48 261 42 259 41 246 39 247 48 246 54777 52029 58 239 53 244 47 241 50 238 48 240 52029 49573 48 233 47 238 51 243 48 236 41 242 49573 47373 47 248 47 243 50 244 41 237 39 248 47373 45376 56 249 54 243 46 239 40 238 39 252 45376 43545 61 242 56 240 44 239 46 240 42 254 43545 41859 55 233 56 237 47 240 51 243 48 247 41859 40305 44 232 54 229 52 237 57 241 55 238 40305 38867 45 254 50 227 65 231 71 228 63 226 38867 37535 49 257 46 230 64 229 70 220 72 210 37535 36268 49 256 44 234 56 229 53 218 63 213 36268 34994 49 250 42 234 50 230 51 219 52 215 34994 33686 51 247 41 234 47 230 46 220 48 215 33686 32349 53 252 44 239 46 232 42 220 44 218 32349 30972 51 251 47 242 44 233 36 215 39 222 30972 29546 45 245 46 243 43 230 32 208 36 215 29546 28075 42 242 43 243 42 225 29 204 36 201 28075 26561 35 239 40 242 42 220 29 210 36 197 26561 25009 31 233 40 241 41 217 34 222 33 199 25009 23423 28 225 40 232 37 217 32 219 31 199 23423 21799 26 211 32 230 36 211 30 215 29 198 21799 20133 22 199 27 200 37 195 28 208 29 196 20133 18453 22 193 30 188 35 187 27 203 29 194 18453 16845 23 189 31 179 36 181 25 197 29 192 16845 15383 24 184 30 174 36 174 25 193 29 188 15383 14080 25 179 30 174 36 171 25 186 29 183 14080 12911 25 178 27 174 34 174 25 183 28 183 12911 11857 23 186 23 175 29 182 24 182 27 184 11857 10906 20 196 20 174 24 188 22 185 26 187 10906 10051 16 199 18 169 20 187 20 193 24 194 10051 9284 14 191 17 163 17 181 19 208 22 204 9284 8595 13 184 16 163 14*176 19 224 22 214 8595 7967 12 173 15 162 10*170 19 232 22 220 7967 7402 15 162 14*159 7 167 19 232 20 230 7402 6923 16 157 10*158 7 166 19 235 16 245 6923 6551 11 153 7 157 6 165 19 239 13 256 6551 6292 5 139 7 158 6 165 18 240 10 261 6292 6134 2*071 6 158 6 166 16*242 8*262 6134 6043 3*022 6 158 5 165 13*242 6*263 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography