DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/27 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.1 - - 57.9 - - 64.3 - - 63.4 - - 50.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -26 - - 233 - - 297 - - 37 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 2202 - - 4132 - - 176 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 7136 - - 8671 - - 6027 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 8070 - - 10000 - - 6044 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 143 - - 1916 - - 2940 - - 7458 - - 699 Hgt.Variab. W* 14 - - 339 - - 453 - - 80 - - 5 W* B/S 1 - - 11 - - 12 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 357 - - 356 - - 275 - - 343 - - 346 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - 12 - - 23 - - -14 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5264 - - -6106 - - -5432 - - -9176 - - -6965 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11307 - - 14176 - - 15433 - - 15221 - - 13009 sfcLCL ODpotential -15543 - - -11898 - - -10064 - - -13757 - - -14149 ODpotential blCL 21585 - - 19968 - - 20064 - - 19801 - - 20192 blCL maxRH 67 - - 74 - - 68 - - 67 - - 78 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.1 - - 57.9 - - 64.3 - - 63.4 - - 50.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 11.8 - - 17.1 - - 17.6 - - 17.6 - - 15.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.1 - - 56.2 - - 62.1 - - 62.7 - - 55.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 11.2 - - 16.5 - - 17.0 - - 17.3 - - 15.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -26 - - 233 - - 297 - - 37 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 2202 - - 4132 - - 176 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 11 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96545 14 098 3 151 14 118 9 141 7 040 96545 89336 12 082 9 132 5 099 8 102 11 044 89336 83746 7 105 10 101 7 173 1 202 9 016 83746 79112 9 004 3 120 3 217 4 328 7 329 79112 75138 7 253 2 168 4 239 9 298 8 011 75138 71628 14 301 20 325 22 317 28 330 30 342 71628 68487 33 334 35 329 33 319 42 315 45 318 68487 65653 40 336 40 326 35 322 43 322 42 326 65653 63027 50 322 54 318 50 321 53 323 50 327 63027 60464 60 309 61 312 63 316 61 316 56 318 60464 57756 62 306 65 306 65 307 66 304 62 306 57756 54911 67 310 66 308 62 306 61 302 67 296 54911 52192 76 311 73 310 66 311 68 314 74 302 52192 49757 84 310 80 308 75 313 82 317 81 310 49757 47570 90 305 86 306 85 312 91 307 90 313 47570 45574 95 303 93 303 97 306 95 303 92 312 45574 43751 99 304 99 301 101 300 100 302 95 308 43751 42085 104 305 102 301 100 302 99 301 100 304 42085 40546 103 304 101 305 103 307 96 302 101 303 40546 39110 97 303 101 309 102 308 95 305 99 305 39110 37768 90 304 99 310 97 308 94 305 95 306 37768 36485 85 305 92 309 93 307 94 303 90 305 36485 35195 84 304 84 308 87 305 94 302 88 303 35195 33871 83 305 79 306 81 305 93 304 87 302 33871 32519 81 309 77 307 73 306 87 307 82 303 32519 31129 75 311 75 310 66 305 75 306 74 306 31129 29693 68 309 68 311 63 303 68 304 71 308 29693 28215 63 307 60 309 61 300 67 304 68 307 28215 26695 58 306 55 306 59 298 65 304 66 307 26695 25139 54 308 52 306 57 297 59 304 62 309 25139 23549 51 310 50 307 51 300 53 303 56 310 23549 21920 47 312 45 304 45 304 47 303 47 308 21920 20248 44 311 41 300 39 306 40 303 38 308 20248 18562 41 309 38 297 36 305 33 303 33 311 18562 16947 38 307 36 297 34 306 29 305 30 316 16947 15479 34 308 33 301 33 309 25 308 27 320 15479 14168 30 310 30 306 30 313 20 312 25 323 14168 12992 27 312 25 311 24 319 16 317 23 325 12992 11931 24 316 22 317 17 322 13 321 21 327 11931 10972 23 323 20 325 14 322 12 326 19 330 10972 10107 22 331 18 334 12*320 11 330 17 332 10107 9330 21 340 15 345 10*312 10 335 16 334 9330 8631 22 350 12*353 8 299 9 339 14 335 8631 7993 22 359 9*357 7 283 9 342 13 337 7993 7419 23 006 7 359 7 262 8 343 12 339 7419 6934 21 010 5 355 7 253 8 344 11 342 6934 6557 18 011 4 355 7 249 8 344 10 345 6557 6295 13 009 3 353 7 246 7 344 9 348 6295 6135 8 006 3 353 7 244 7*345 6*348 6135 6043 4*357 2 351 7 243 6*343 6*346 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography