DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/03 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.2 - - 48.7 - - 50.3 - - 45.9 - - 41.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 64 - - 52 - - -8 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1492 - - 2180 - - 175 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 6026 - - 6258 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 7360 - - 8048 - - 6043 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 563 - - 2060 - - 1139 - - 2123 - - 1497 Hgt.Variab. W* 20 - - 209 - - 226 - - 25 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 10 - - 8 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 358 - - 247 - - 241 - - 207 - - 012 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - 4 - - 6 - - 7 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1073 - - 245 - - 881 - - 1 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7116 - - 7115 - - 7167 - - 6043 - - 6042 sfcLCL ODpotential -11298 - - -7076 - - -6140 - - -1493 - - -7370 ODpotential blCL 17340 - - 14436 - - 14188 - - 7536 - - 13412 blCL maxRH 64 - - 70 - - 73 - - 82 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.2 - - 48.7 - - 50.3 - - 45.9 - - 41.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.5 - - 38.6 - - 39.9 - - 43.3 - - 39.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.1 - - 47.9 - - 49.7 - - 46.6 - - 44.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.3 - - 37.4 - - 38.7 - - 42.5 - - 39.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 64 - - 52 - - -8 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1492 - - 2180 - - 175 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 29 - - 28 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96388 42 268 56 276 45 283 40 278 51 275 96388 89459 29 288 33 277 33 293 26 301 21 283 89459 84091 22 301 19 300 27 275 27 285 20 309 84091 79570 14 283 20 313 20 271 23 285 24 304 79570 75652 9 308 13 294 17 255 28 275 29 304 75652 72180 15 343 10 299 14 263 23 263 30 297 72180 69006 22 307 12 314 9 289 11 264 20 284 69006 66057 17 283 10 307 10 279 9 266 14 262 66057 63310 14 277 10 299 12 264 8 257 14 259 63310 60640 18 250 17 282 18 288 16 291 18 276 60640 57848 21 247 32 264 32 267 27 282 23 280 57848 54961 25 258 39 264 35 269 35 272 35 268 54961 52229 36 274 34 283 39 284 41 278 39 270 52229 49794 39 290 53 293 54 286 48 291 44 290 49794 47618 55 297 74 285 69 289 68 293 62 289 47618 45647 76 291 88 281 85 290 84 288 74 280 45647 43843 92 290 97 285 103 289 96 286 80 279 43843 42171 108 292 116 288 114 286 106 283 86 276 42171 40609 118 292 129 288 118 285 108 280 88 273 40609 39142 117 291 126 288 117 285 103 280 89 273 39142 37767 112 290 118 288 113 286 96 281 94 275 37767 36458 105 291 109 289 104 288 89 283 93 275 36458 35154 95 295 99 291 89 291 82 284 83 276 35154 33825 86 298 87 294 75 295 75 284 70 276 33825 32473 78 298 71 295 73 296 68 283 66 276 32473 31084 72 297 63 295 75 294 63 283 64 276 31084 29651 67 294 61 296 73 294 61 285 60 275 29651 28175 64 294 60 297 71 297 59 286 57 274 28175 26658 60 298 59 297 62 298 55 287 51 275 26658 25101 55 304 56 297 52 295 52 287 45 276 25101 23511 50 308 51 301 45 299 50 290 44 278 23511 21885 43 307 48 308 41 302 44 292 40 276 21885 20215 37 307 46 317 38 307 37 290 35 271 20215 18527 35 317 44 322 36 312 33 288 31 266 18527 16905 37 328 36 316 32 314 30 290 27 266 16905 15429 34 333 30 315 28 312 26 294 21 267 15429 14109 22 339 25 324 24 311 23 299 18 268 14109 12924 12 355 16 331 17 311 20 303 14 268 12924 11859 7 008 8 338 9 296 15 304 11 261 11859 10900 5 343 3 008 6 251 9 287 10 237 10900 10039 3 281 2 030 5 229 6 236 10 219 10039 9271 1 304 2 326 3 248 5 205 11 201 9271 8582 4 045 2 309 3*282 4 193 12 183 8582 7955 9 045 2 325 4*271 3 202 12 169 7955 7393 14 043 2*306 5 246 4 214 10 160 7393 6917 15 038 3*255 5 239 6 212 6 153 6917 6547 14 028 4 250 6 234 6 209 2 149 6547 6290 10 020 4 244 6 233 6 209 0 071 6290 6133 6 013 4 243 6 233 5*207 2 015 6133 6042 3*358 4 242 5 232 4*207 2*012 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography