DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/09 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.8 - - 45.0 - - 52.8 - - 52.3 - - 43.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 217 - - 266 - - 7 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1220 - - 2355 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6025 - - 6408 - - 7290 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 7088 - - 8223 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 700 - - 717 - - 1293 - - 3186 - - 1137 Hgt.Variab. W* 16 - - 271 - - 362 - - 45 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 11 - - 9 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 7 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 074 - - 173 - - 223 - - 202 - - 349 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 9 - - 12 - - 10 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2576 - - -4195 - - -5126 - - -7399 - - -4877 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8618 - - 11284 - - 13350 - - 13442 - - 10921 sfcLCL ODpotential -13729 - - -12233 - - -11557 - - -13535 - - -12324 ODpotential blCL 19771 - - 19321 - - 19780 - - 19578 - - 18367 blCL maxRH 46 - - 53 - - 50 - - 67 - - 62 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.8 - - 45.0 - - 52.8 - - 52.3 - - 43.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 15.9 - - 17.2 - - 15.7 - - 14.9 - - 17.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.9 - - 43.4 - - 50.8 - - 52.1 - - 48.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 15.9 - - 16.9 - - 15.3 - - 14.6 - - 17.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 217 - - 266 - - 7 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1220 - - 2355 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96880 18 089 8 091 11 069 25 107 12 064 96880 89756 26 079 21 099 14 114 27 098 22 065 89756 84195 26 091 20 115 16 104 18 092 20 072 84195 79560 16 078 14 104 13 088 15 109 13 080 79560 75568 7 072 9 099 10 066 14 115 9 099 75568 72029 7 066 7 143 3 014 10 079 7 079 72029 68810 3 034 5 195 8 264 5 345 3 037 68810 65856 6 333 10 258 10 226 9 276 12 304 65856 63143 16 288 17 279 16 255 17 246 22 266 63143 60507 23 273 29 274 26 266 15 280 20 272 60507 57746 29 253 34 262 35 261 34 269 38 267 57746 54885 29 261 33 250 37 250 37 256 40 261 54885 52139 37 269 37 259 40 258 39 260 51 265 52139 49663 40 258 43 258 47 259 50 258 58 261 49663 47442 30 263 39 254 50 253 54 249 63 250 47442 45414 41 280 42 260 52 252 54 245 60 243 45414 43552 48 264 51 256 57 252 58 254 55 252 43552 41858 41 234 49 237 56 243 63 253 60 256 41858 40321 32 266 36 245 52 232 58 237 62 244 40321 38899 40 302 41 298 33 270 45 233 56 233 38899 37565 48 306 41 307 45 296 39 274 48 253 37565 36287 46 302 31 305 47 297 42 284 45 269 36287 35004 39 296 35 301 47 293 36 280 41 274 35004 33688 34 293 39 292 46 288 36 277 36 269 33688 32343 31 292 38 279 42 278 37 271 38 261 32343 30961 29 286 34 271 36 262 35 261 42 256 30961 29532 28 269 28 263 35 253 35 248 42 249 29532 28059 28 258 25 252 35 242 38 247 44 248 28059 26544 30 259 29 244 39 246 41 254 45 251 26544 24990 30 253 31 241 41 249 42 257 46 255 24990 23404 34 250 30 245 41 251 40 257 46 258 23404 21780 35 256 32 252 40 253 39 258 43 262 21780 20114 33 256 32 249 39 255 37 260 38 264 20114 18436 31 253 32 244 37 256 35 265 34 267 18436 16832 29 256 32 247 33 258 32 269 31 271 16832 15376 27 264 30 258 28 260 30 272 26 274 15376 14077 26 270 28 267 25 262 28 275 21 278 14077 12912 25 270 28 271 24 266 26 278 18 283 12912 11862 25 265 27 268 25 271 24 280 18 287 11862 10913 25 257 27 261 26 274 22 280 19 286 10913 10057 23 248 25 255 23 276 19 278 20 282 10057 9288 21 241 23 250 18 275 15 271 19 277 9288 8596 17 234 19 243 11*263 12 261 17 272 8596 7966 12 217 14 230 8*245 9 249 13 267 7966 7400 10 194 8*205 7 225 7 219 8 261 7400 6921 8 177 5*178 7 219 6 207 4 253 6921 6549 8 162 5 174 7 217 6 204 2 272 6549 6291 5 146 5 172 7 215 6 203 2 325 6291 6133 3*103 5 171 7 214 6*202 4*348 6133 6043 3*074 4 170 7 213 5*202 4*349 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography