DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/14 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.0 - - 57.0 - - 67.7 - - 67.4 - - 52.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 288 - - 320 - - 13 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1684 - - 6939 - - 10050 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 6824 - - 10915 - - 8445 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 7552 - - 12807 - - 15918 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 559 - - 896 - - 3219 - - 4164 - - 660 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 333 - - 555 - - 232 - - 15 W* B/S 0 - - 9 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 7 - - 23 - - 27 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 062 - - 216 - - 259 - - 298 - - 334 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 16 - - 15 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 12 - - 32 - - 38 - - -16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6289 - - -6748 - - -3902 - - -1718 - - -7796 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12332 - - 14300 - - 16709 - - 17637 - - 13840 sfcLCL ODpotential -13346 - - -11409 - - -6488 - - -4267 - - -13414 ODpotential blCL 19388 - - 18961 - - 19295 - - 20185 - - 19457 blCL maxRH 82 - - 84 - - 85 - - 79 - - 70 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.0 - - 57.0 - - 67.7 - - 67.4 - - 52.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 12.0 - - 15.6 - - 14.8 - - 10.3 - - 13.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.7 - - 55.0 - - 65.8 - - 67.2 - - 56.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 11.3 - - 14.8 - - 13.9 - - 9.3 - - 13.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 288 - - 320 - - 13 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1684 - - 6939 - - 10050 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 28 - - 35 - - 42 - - 14 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96392 9 193 14 200 14 242 18 234 17 283 96392 89171 2 148 3 228 6 170 4 193 12 324 89171 83635 3 049 5 133 6 144 3 110 11 003 83635 79054 9 029 9 117 2 123 9 048 11 043 79054 75081 5 059 5 163 3 323 10 016 13 033 75081 71555 8 012 7 019 5 348 9 356 23 006 71555 68379 9 335 10 325 15 306 17 315 22 353 68379 65491 25 335 18 330 12 306 16 336 19 352 65491 62813 27 301 25 324 8 319 15 327 11 315 62813 60202 27 298 30 298 12 276 23 286 5 224 60202 57449 38 309 26 298 13 298 34 288 18 302 57449 54574 38 300 38 299 35 303 41 294 48 306 54574 51826 51 298 54 293 59 291 60 295 59 300 51826 49347 51 292 55 287 64 286 67 292 65 299 49347 47124 50 293 55 283 68 283 69 288 73 297 47124 45113 53 296 57 282 72 281 67 287 75 292 45113 43269 59 297 63 285 74 280 69 289 71 293 43269 41560 67 295 72 288 76 282 71 288 71 301 41560 39972 80 292 77 288 80 282 71 286 78 306 39972 38505 96 288 77 288 82 280 71 283 78 303 38505 37159 101 286 74 288 79 278 71 281 66 295 37159 35895 96 286 74 285 74 281 73 282 58 290 35895 34634 88 286 76 282 73 284 75 285 55 292 34634 33341 82 285 77 281 73 283 75 286 54 299 33341 32024 76 284 76 281 74 281 72 286 55 304 32024 30670 70 283 74 282 76 282 66 287 56 308 30670 29272 65 284 69 284 75 285 61 292 57 311 29272 27832 59 285 61 284 71 287 58 299 58 315 27832 26352 55 285 54 284 64 285 56 304 59 318 26352 24835 52 284 49 285 58 282 56 305 59 320 24835 23284 49 282 47 286 54 277 55 303 58 321 23284 21694 45 282 47 285 53 274 54 299 55 320 21694 20060 41 283 46 282 52 275 49 295 51 319 20060 18412 36 285 44 276 51 278 36 295 48 315 18412 16831 31 284 40 272 48 282 30*294 45 310 16831 15392 28 282 38 270 44 285 31*294 41 303 15392 14106 27 280 34 269 38 284 30 295 37 295 14106 12949 26 278 31 269 32*279 29 296 34 288 12949 11903 25 277 29 270 28*273 29 297 32 284 11903 10955 25 278 28 272 26 268 28 298 31 284 10955 10097 26 279 27 274 25 264 28 299 30 288 10097 9325 25 279 25 273 24 259 27 300 30 295 9325 8628 22 278 20 270 23 257 27 301 30 304 8628 7993 17 271 13*260 22 254 26 300 31 313 7993 7420 9 250 7*233 21 252 26 300 29 323 7420 6935 5 206 7 216 21 250 25 300 27 330 6935 6558 5 159 7 213 20 249 24 300 22 334 6558 6296 4 123 7 209 19 248 22 300 18 335 6296 6135 4 080 7 207 18 247 20 299 13*335 6135 6043 4*062 6 206 16 246 15 298 8*334 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography