DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/17 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.9 - - 73.5 - - 72.5 - - 66.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 544 - - 505 - - 136 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 12461 - - 13279 - - 12869 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 15697 - - 16340 - - 15012 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top - - - 18329 - - 19147 - - 18737 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1791 - - 1646 - - 3708 - - 12441 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 803 - - 802 - - 514 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 26 - - 25 - - 30 - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 244 - - 232 - - 227 - - 235 Direction Wind Shear - - - 15 - - 13 - - 16 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 25 - - 32 - - 33 - - 15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1079 - - 1776 - - 1284 - - -9902 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17251 - - 17372 - - 17453 - - 15946 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -39 - - 1151 - - 62 - - -12024 ODpotential blCL - - - 18368 - - 17996 - - 18675 - - 18068 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 90 - - 101 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 50 - - 50 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.9 - - 73.5 - - 72.5 - - 66.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 15.1 - - 17.0 - - 15.9 - - 17.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.0 - - 70.6 - - 71.5 - - 67.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 14.5 - - 16.4 - - 15.4 - - 17.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 544 - - 505 - - 136 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 12461 - - 13279 - - 12869 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 6 - - 61 - - 102 - - 78 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98050 7 233 12 313 8 012 7 332 98050 90632 4 068 2 295 11 281 13 005 90632 84913 3 025 5 279 6 319 5 001 84913 80166 3 270 8 295 7 332 4 243 80166 76108 8 186 1 303 2 012 2 249 76108 72527 4 263 12 296 8 330 9 019 72527 69262 4 181 15 244 16 285 10 343 69262 66251 8 105 18 187 16 257 15 306 66251 63461 9 284 13 210 15 245 11 291 63461 60731 12 244 15 233 17 240 14 267 60731 57855 31 235 28 243 24 242 28 245 57855 54880 37 231 33 247 27 249 31 241 54880 52055 43 241 39 259 35 266 27 265 52055 49506 50 251 50 259 43 257 34 282 49506 47212 56 256 53 249 46 254 41 270 47212 45133 58 253 57 254 53 256 46 259 45133 43240 59 251 63 255 55 253 51 255 43240 41507 61 248 60 255 52 257 55 255 41507 39916 61 245 66 260 61 260 61 257 39916 38452 61 248 76 255 72 253 59 255 38452 37097 65 255 77 249 68 248 53 258 37097 35814 74 257 72 252 62 252 50 254 35814 34540 79 257 71 258 63 252 54 245 34540 33245 76 257 70 261 66 244 61 242 33245 31929 71 261 70 262 68 244 63 241 31929 30579 68 267 70 263 69 248 64 237 30579 29182 62 272 68 262 68 251 63 236 29182 27744 55 271 63 261 63 250 60 238 27744 26269 49 265 58 260 60 246 53 240 26269 24761 46 260 54 257 56 242 45 238 24761 23225 47 258 51 255 50 238 40 234 23225 21655 49 262 47 253 42 232 35 228 21655 20043 46 263 42*248 38*228 33 222 20043 18415 38*257 30*236 35*226 33 220 18415 16853 32*251 28 233 33 226 35 222 16853 15427 30 249 27 232 33 226 36 224 15427 14148 28 247 27 232 32 227 37 226 14148 12995 27 245 26 231 31 227 38 229 12995 11949 26 244 26 231 31 227 38 232 11949 11000 26 243 25 231 30 228 39 234 11000 10141 26 242 24 232 29 228 39 236 10141 9365 25 241 24 232 28 228 39 238 9365 8664 25 241 23 232 28 228 39 239 8664 8022 25 240 23 232 27 228 38 239 8022 7443 24 239 22 232 27 227 36 239 7443 6951 23 239 22 232 26 227 32 238 6951 6568 23 238 21 232 25 227 28 237 6568 6301 22 238 21 232 24 227 22 236 6301 6138 21 238 20 232 22 227 19*235 6138 6044 18 237 17 232 18 227 13*235 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography