DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/11 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.2 - - 59.5 - - 56.4 - - 51.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 33 - - -11 - - -54 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 176 - - 176 - - 176 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6027 - - 6027 - - 6027 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6044 - - 6044 - - 6044 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2272 - - 4907 - - 3515 - - 249 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 82 - - 56 - - 48 - - 33 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 17 - - 12 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 181 - - 217 - - 203 - - 202 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 29 - - 27 - - 24 - - 15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6044 - - 6044 - - 6044 - - 6043 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -419 - - -1195 - - -2493 - - -3171 ODpotential blCL - - - 6463 - - 7239 - - 8537 - - 9214 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 99 - - 73 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 680 - - 930 - - 380 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.2 - - 59.5 - - 56.4 - - 51.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.6 - - 55.7 - - 51.6 - - 46.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.8 - - 59.8 - - 58.2 - - 54.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.1 - - 54.8 - - 50.6 - - 45.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 33 - - -11 - - -54 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 176 - - 176 - - 176 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 98 - - 0 - - 90 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 12 - - 10 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97810 25 276 24 303 19 296 26 299 97810 90553 10 292 13 287 20 296 13 294 90553 84934 2 247 12 258 17 286 8 315 84934 80264 2 254 5 234 9 272 8 312 80264 76262 2 346 1 179 7 258 6 292 76262 72740 4 000 2 171 3 263 4 279 72740 69560 7 326 0 291 4 035 3 115 69560 66636 10 297 6 256 7 290 3 338 66636 63933 11 271 6 237 4 216 3 192 63933 61322 12 259 9 242 13 241 5 242 61322 58617 12 258 13 250 17 233 24 235 58617 55844 20 259 19 237 10 198 28 219 55844 53201 32 255 23 266 18 281 25 180 53201 50792 40 257 33 268 37 274 23 214 50792 48594 43 258 43 262 45 262 36 231 48594 46579 46 258 48 262 49 257 44 241 46579 44715 50 258 52 261 51 254 52 245 44715 42977 55 261 57 260 55 250 57 240 42977 41344 60 262 62 257 58 247 60 237 41344 39807 64 259 65 252 60 244 62 237 39807 38361 69 255 67 247 61 240 65 238 38361 36975 72 252 67 242 63 236 67 239 36975 35584 76 246 67 237 64 233 67 239 35584 34162 79 239 67 233 63 230 66 237 34162 32721 78 232 67 229 62 226 65 233 32721 31254 70 227 65 226 63 223 65 228 31254 29754 65 221 65 223 67 222 66 224 29754 28225 62 218 68 221 72 222 68 221 28225 26672 64 219 71 217 75 220 71 219 26672 25098 65 220 73 215 75 217 74 217 25098 23504 64 219 73 212 74 214 73 216 23504 21878 62 215 72 210 72 212 69 214 21878 20209 59 212 71 209 70 212 65 211 20209 18529 57 210 68 208 69 213 58 211 18529 16921 56 211 65 208 68 216 51 215 16921 15460 56 211 61 210 68 217 47 219 15460 14153 56 211 58 211 68 218 45 223 14153 12980 55 209 56 211 66 219 44 224 12980 11923 51 206 53 210 61 220 42 223 11923 10970 47 202 50 210 55 218 41 220 10970 10110 44 199 48 211 48 215 39 218 10110 9337 40 195 45 213 43 212 37 218 9337 8640 35 191 42 215 40 211 36 217 8640 8003 32 187 39 216 38 210 34 215 8003 7428 31 188 36 217 37 209 32 212 7428 6940 28 185 32 217 34 208 30 209 6940 6561 24 183 29 218 29 206 27 206 6561 6297 21 182 25 218 23 204 21 205 6297 6136 18*182 22*218 19*204 16*204 6136 6043 14*181 17*217 12*203 8*202 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography