DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/23 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.9 - - 75.3 - - 75.6 - - 68.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 501 - - 335 - - 110 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9130 - - 13461 - - 12452 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12895 - - 16222 - - 14454 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14998 - - 19329 - - 18320 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4222 - - 1767 - - 2994 - - 12783 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 702 - - 700 - - 472 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 12 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 11 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 258 - - 274 - - 281 - - 283 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 13 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -16 - - 31 - - 20 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -265 - - 3035 - - 1010 - - -10009 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15263 - - 16295 - - 17311 - - 16054 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1541 - - 2027 - - -180 - - -12617 ODpotential blCL - - - 16539 - - 17302 - - 18500 - - 18661 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 93 - - 93 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 70 - - 110 - - 30 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.9 - - 75.3 - - 75.6 - - 68.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.5 - - 24.3 - - 20.1 - - 19.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.8 - - 72.8 - - 74.5 - - 72.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.1 - - 23.9 - - 19.7 - - 18.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 501 - - 335 - - 110 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9130 - - 13461 - - 12452 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 73 - - 71 - - 52 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98255 18 126 11 110 9 115 10 107 98255 90840 13 129 10 152 5 108 4 106 90840 85153 16 140 9 192 3 098 6 096 85153 80424 6 112 7 175 1 223 7 099 80424 76332 4 223 2 111 2 223 5 105 76332 72708 6 144 5 230 7 194 3 316 72708 69419 8 191 9 230 10 191 7 230 69419 66389 12 217 11 238 10 191 13 226 66389 63573 8 226 13 230 10 218 12 235 63573 60843 9 223 12 239 14 262 10 271 60843 58001 8 248 14 247 16 265 16 273 58001 55073 9 283 10 274 14 266 18 269 55073 52305 16 306 15 277 15 278 14 284 52305 49841 18 298 13 286 16 286 19 299 49841 47651 24 305 22 293 22 293 23 298 47651 45681 27 315 22 299 26 291 23 291 45681 43891 34 320 26 317 26 298 24 297 43891 42248 37 321 33 318 27 304 30 297 42248 40720 36 322 34 316 25 308 28 294 40720 39285 35 323 32 312 24 305 24 296 39285 37936 34 321 30 307 24 299 23 297 37936 36643 34 319 29 304 23 294 23 291 36643 35347 34 318 28 307 21 294 22 285 35347 34020 33 319 27 316 20 300 18 281 34020 32664 32 319 27 322 19 308 16 278 32664 31270 31 317 26 319 19 312 16 281 31270 29828 29 312 27 316 21 313 16 290 29828 28341 28 309 27 313 23 312 17 301 28341 26814 27 307 27 310 23 311 17 305 26814 25250 26 301 24 305 20 304 16 293 25250 23661 23 292 23 295 19 293 15 289 23661 22043 20 285 22 290 19 293 14 299 22043 20385 17 284 19*296 13 300 13 286 20385 18710 15 295 15*296 10*297 11 270 18710 17102 15 304 14 292 9*294 8 264 17102 15634 14*303 13 290 9 294 7 271 15634 14317 12*297 13 287 9 291 7 276 14317 13131 11 294 12 279 9 286 8 277 13131 12058 11 286 11 272 9 283 8 276 12058 11085 10 272 10 266 10 280 9 276 11085 10206 9 254 10 260 10 277 9 275 10206 9414 9 241 9 255 10 275 10 274 9414 8699 9 233 9 249 10 273 10 274 8699 8047 9 227 9 246 10 272 10 274 8047 7460 9 223 9 242 10 270 10 275 7460 6962 9 220 9 240 10 269 10 275 6962 6574 9 218 8 237 10 269 9 275 6574 6304 9 217 8 236 9 269 7 275 6304 6139 9 216 8 236 9 268 5*277 6139 6044 9 215 7 235 8 268 5*283 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography