DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/15 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.3 - - 87.4 - - - - - 78.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 460 - - 410 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10500 - - 14774 - - - - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13977 - - 17441 - - - - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top - - - 16368 - - 20642 - - - - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3579 - - 1296 - - - - - 13340 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 714 - - 771 - - - - - 7 W* B/S - - - 19 - - 13 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 11 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 301 - - 317 - - - - - 296 Direction Wind Shear - - - 20 - - 11 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 15 - - 77 - - - - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1107 - - 2814 - - - - - -10089 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15262 - - 17829 - - - - - 16135 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -234 - - 1787 - - - - - -12661 ODpotential blCL - - - 16602 - - 18855 - - - - - 18706 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 81 - - - - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 290 - - 120 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.3 - - 87.4 - - - - - 78.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.9 - - 29.3 - - - - - 28.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.2 - - 84.4 - - - - - 82.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.7 - - 29.0 - - - - - 28.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 460 - - 410 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10500 - - 14774 - - - - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 79 - - 23 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98704 29 098 21 105 29 078 98704 91241 21 095 22 092 20 085 91241 85519 16 090 20 087 18 084 85519 80775 14 095 15 071 12 087 80775 76690 17 103 14 080 12 073 76690 73079 15 071 12 076 13 052 73079 69807 12 058 10 082 16 060 69807 66808 12 049 13 083 19 041 66808 64040 3 089 5 034 15 035 64040 61382 8 057 4 048 16 360 61382 58637 5 353 11 314 19 327 58637 55792 23 314 22 299 27 306 55792 53064 30 299 26 287 30 298 53064 50598 39 294 34 284 34 291 50598 48378 44 283 41 284 35 289 48378 46362 49 276 45 282 35 292 46362 44523 54 273 50 282 33 298 44523 42837 58 271 53 280 28 301 42837 41275 57 269 53 278 21 312 41275 39815 55 272 53 279 19 330 39815 38448 56 277 53 283 18 338 38448 37142 57 279 49 286 16 355 37142 35831 56 281 39 291 18 013 35831 34489 50 286 23 306 21 014 34489 33120 42 296 13 340 23 005 33120 31712 34 310 15 360 22 354 31712 30255 27 332 19 000 20 349 30255 28755 27 351 23 357 17 348 28755 27213 28 345 25 357 16 349 27213 25633 28 329 26 360 18 348 25633 24020 28 323 24 357 16 346 24020 22371 27 323 22*338 13 340 22371 20676 25 316 17*331 20 329 20676 18969 21 313 13 326 25 327 18969 17330 19*315 11 322 22 331 17330 15833 16*319 11 320 20 330 15833 14490 15 320 11 317 18 328 14490 13278 13 320 11 315 17 326 13278 12183 10 317 10 313 15 323 12183 11190 8 310 10 313 14 320 11190 10292 6 297 10 311 13 317 10292 9484 4 269 10 310 12 314 9484 8755 4 240 10 309 11 312 8755 8089 5 219 10 308 10 310 8089 7490 5 209 9 307 9 308 7490 6981 6 203 9 306 8 305 6981 6585 6 199 9 305 7 300 6585 6310 6 198 9 305 6 296 6310 6142 6 197 8 305 5*293 6142 6045 6 195 8 303 4*296 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography