DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/17 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 33.0 - - 35.9 - - 37.7 - - 40.2 - - 34.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 10 - - 59 - - 67 - - 20 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 3624 - - 3768 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit 6025 - - 7440 - - 7600 - - 6026 - - 6025 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 9492 - - 9636 - - 6042 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 4819 - - 4142 - - 5509 - - 8724 - - 687 Hgt.Variab. W* 54 - - 268 - - 277 - - 66 - - 23 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 27 - - 26 - - 15 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 237 - - 246 - - 246 - - 242 - - 204 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 17 - - 14 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 8 - - 20 - - 19 - - 14 - - 9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 2260 - - 2021 - - -3127 - - -1729 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6042 - - 7232 - - 7615 - - 9169 - - 7771 sfcLCL ODpotential -1021 - - 273 - - 250 - - -4352 - - -4439 ODpotential blCL 7063 - - 9219 - - 9386 - - 10394 - - 10481 blCL maxRH 99 - - 100 - - 100 - - 81 - - 101 maxRH CAPE 120 - - 200 - - 220 - - 50 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 33.0 - - 35.9 - - 37.7 - - 40.2 - - 34.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.7 - - 25.3 - - 25.4 - - 21.1 - - 21.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 32.9 - - 35.3 - - 37.1 - - 39.8 - - 35.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.0 - - 24.1 - - 24.2 - - 20.6 - - 20.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 10 - - 59 - - 67 - - 20 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 3624 - - 3768 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 97 - - 100 - - 102 - - 22 - - 103 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96839 33 099 30 087 29 102 26 090 16 095 96839 89650 31 107 28 114 26 114 19 110 21 087 89650 84053 26 122 20 130 18 124 16 100 14 090 84053 79391 14 131 8 146 4 113 9 097 9 144 79391 75373 8 114 7 158 3 180 6 105 1 006 75373 71816 2 328 4 120 6 171 11 199 5 337 71816 68586 6 259 5 148 4 052 5 168 5 140 68586 65603 4 305 9 174 11 195 15 222 10 179 65603 62821 17 196 20 199 29 201 34 215 21 206 62821 60138 33 229 29 248 30 223 28 220 22 236 60138 57328 56 239 45 229 33 243 31 247 36 233 57328 54375 60 233 48 227 49 242 47 249 39 239 54375 51536 56 238 54 233 55 238 63 250 64 251 51536 48988 59 246 65 240 58 246 77 251 82 250 48988 46701 73 249 78 252 73 255 87 251 86 251 46701 44615 84 250 93 257 94 256 95 254 91 255 44615 42703 91 251 106 257 111 255 106 257 102 259 42703 40946 99 252 117 255 121 253 113 258 112 258 40946 39323 111 253 125 253 125 253 113 258 114 255 39323 37815 124 253 128 253 125 252 111 259 109 254 37815 36413 136 253 126 252 122 251 110 260 106 258 36413 35087 151 251 125 254 120 252 110 260 110 263 35087 33776 171 250 127 257 117 254 109 262 115 264 33776 32452 180 250 127 258 113 260 109 266 118 265 32452 31119 168 250 123 257 117 266 113 269 119 265 31119 29767 152 246 118 257 122 268 116 269 117 265 29767 28387 150 242 113 256 118 265 112 267 111 264 28387 26980 149 240 109 255 105 264 102 265 101 264 26980 25539 135 238 99 253 86 267 91 267 92 267 25539 24068 117 238 82 252 71 274 84 273 84 273 24068 22570 97 241 66 252 64 280 75 278 75 277 22570 21040 77 244 57 254 59 282 65 278 66 277 21040 19469 64 245 54 255 54 280 59 273 60 274 19469 17883 56 246 52 256 44 275 55 268 57 268 17883 16363 52 247 49 259 37 268 48 264 52 260 16363 14986 50 247 46 262 36 264 41 259 44 250 14986 13758 48 250 44 261 36 260 38 255 39 245 13758 12653 46 254 42 260 35 256 37 254 36 244 12653 11654 44 256 39 257 34 254 36 253 33 243 11654 10748 43 258 37 255 34 253 34 251 31 242 10748 9929 41 260 35*253 32*251 31 249 29 241 9929 9190 39 263 33*252 30*249 29 246 28 240 9190 8524 35 266 30 249 28 247 28 245 26 238 8524 7914 31 267 28 246 26 245 27 244 25 235 7914 7365 26 267 27 245 26 245 26 244 23 231 7365 6899 20 264 26 245 25 245 25 244 21 225 6899 6536 15 257 25 244 24 244 24 243 18 220 6536 6284 11 247 23 243 23 244 22 242 13 211 6284 6130 9*241 21 243 21 244 20*242 11*209 6130 6042 8*237 17 242 16 243 15*242 5*204 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography