DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/21 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.2 - - 73.0 - - - - - 64.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 514 - - 517 - - - - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8628 - - 11436 - - - - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12497 - - 14816 - - - - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14496 - - 17304 - - - - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3156 - - 3091 - - - - - 10123 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 696 - - 766 - - - - - 13 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 11 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 13 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 248 - - 265 - - - - - 284 Direction Wind Shear - - - 15 - - 8 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 16 - - 15 - - - - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2682 - - -405 - - - - - -9462 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17178 - - 17710 - - - - - 15507 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5240 - - -1990 - - - - - -12287 ODpotential blCL - - - 19736 - - 19294 - - - - - 18331 blCL maxRH - - - 56 - - 61 - - - - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.2 - - 73.0 - - - - - 64.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 14.0 - - 15.2 - - - - - 17.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.9 - - 69.7 - - - - - 66.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 13.4 - - 14.6 - - - - - 17.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 514 - - 517 - - - - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8628 - - 11436 - - - - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 51 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98156 12 094 11 098 10 126 98156 90724 15 129 9 087 3 079 90724 85008 8 117 2 118 10 044 85008 80265 1 047 6 094 9 051 80265 76174 2 168 2 110 11 052 76174 72549 4 149 4 236 6 026 72549 69264 2 153 7 213 6 265 69264 66248 12 241 9 256 7 273 66248 63442 14 227 14 259 13 267 63442 60709 10 233 17 250 16 255 60709 57851 8 224 15 238 12 251 57851 54891 16 286 13 276 9 250 54891 52077 20 264 20 271 13 302 52077 49566 18 266 21 292 22 293 49566 47346 23 293 27 291 18 315 47346 45357 34 294 22 289 31 333 45357 43552 28 275 42 325 33 335 43552 41893 36 315 41 326 37 343 41893 40349 42 309 37 336 43 346 40349 38906 27 311 45 348 44 346 38906 37555 24 341 46 349 42 345 37555 36264 33 349 42 345 38 341 36264 34971 28 343 34 335 34 337 34971 33653 21 329 26 318 32 336 33653 32311 17 310 22 293 28 328 32311 30936 19 297 25 279 25 304 30936 29517 21 300 30 276 26 296 29517 28055 24 307 30 282 28 297 28055 26554 28 308 28 294 29 302 26554 25017 29 315 28 306 28 309 25017 23451 22 313 27 315 27 314 23451 21852 17 279 21 317 23 309 21852 20213 21 275 14 301 18 299 20213 18558 21 271 14*277 15 308 18558 16970 21 265 14*278 15 318 16970 15521 22*263 14 278 16 322 15521 14223 20*264 14 277 16 321 14223 13052 17 264 14 275 16 317 13052 11993 15 262 13 269 16 313 11993 11032 13 256 13 264 16 307 11032 10163 12 253 13 261 16 301 10163 9380 10 236 13 257 17 295 9380 8674 10 229 13 254 17 289 8674 8028 10 225 13 250 17 285 8028 7447 10 222 13 247 18 281 7447 6953 10 220 12 246 17 277 6953 6569 10 218 12 244 16 275 6569 6301 10 216 12 244 14 275 6301 6138 10 216 11 243 12*277 6138 6044 9 216 10 242 6*284 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography