DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/13 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 76.5 - - 87.4 - - 93.6 - - 93.8 - - 85.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 153 - - 484 - - 504 - - 222 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2368 - - 4642 - - 10129 - - 11737 - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit 7086 - - 9241 - - 13717 - - 14522 - - 6029 Hcrit BL Top 8236 - - 10510 - - 15997 - - 17605 - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1138 - - 5110 - - 5582 - - 4273 - - 12582 Hgt.Variab. W* 301 - - 553 - - 727 - - 583 - - 0 W* B/S 4 - - 17 - - 59 - - 41 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 13 - - 6 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 155 - - 178 - - 087 - - 179 - - 188 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 4 - - 13 - - 17 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 23 - - 14 - - -20 - - 21 - - 8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2552 - - -4260 - - -1046 - - 150 - - -10044 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10788 - - 14771 - - 17044 - - 17456 - - 16089 sfcLCL ODpotential -6436 - - -6441 - - -2413 - - -1111 - - -12726 ODpotential blCL 14672 - - 16951 - - 18410 - - 18716 - - 18771 blCL maxRH 91 - - 63 - - 68 - - 81 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 190 - - 160 - - 210 - - 180 - - 90 CAPE Temp@2m 76.5 - - 87.4 - - 93.6 - - 93.8 - - 85.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 50.1 - - 43.3 - - 39.2 - - 37.6 - - 35.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 75.0 - - 84.3 - - 90.3 - - 91.7 - - 88.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 50.0 - - 43.2 - - 39.1 - - 37.5 - - 35.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 153 - - 484 - - 504 - - 222 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2368 - - 4642 - - 10129 - - 11737 - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 64 - - 0 - - 0 - - 25 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99285 42 114 39 113 40 104 38 106 39 090 99285 91810 39 098 42 096 42 103 35 101 34 098 91810 86063 38 095 42 095 42 096 35 091 35 103 86063 81266 31 098 33 098 34 093 33 096 36 093 81266 77142 23 097 23 096 25 089 31 096 32 086 77142 73524 24 102 19 110 19 091 24 090 30 088 73524 70272 26 098 22 121 20 126 17 093 26 087 70272 67305 22 100 25 113 24 141 12 127 16 095 67305 64574 20 121 26 104 23 136 18 149 12 137 64574 61939 22 140 27 113 23 128 21 141 19 148 61939 59197 20 148 27 139 24 138 23 142 24 143 59197 56374 20 151 30 158 28 153 25 147 25 147 56374 53712 25 156 31 163 32 164 28 158 27 159 53712 51328 30 157 32 163 35 168 31 168 29 168 51328 49177 29 159 31 166 36 169 32 172 29 178 49177 47204 28 164 30 167 32 168 30 170 31 175 47204 45379 30 168 28 169 25 175 25 168 29 164 45379 43678 25 164 24 173 24 180 22 174 23 157 43678 42080 12 162 19 153 22 166 23 171 20 162 42080 40575 4 156 15 133 21 149 23 164 18 172 40575 39161 1 314 9 130 15 153 16 162 15 181 39161 37806 3 246 4 142 7 155 5 147 7 179 37806 36447 7 227 3 239 2 221 2 338 3 174 36447 35056 8 224 7 252 4 285 5 319 1 301 35056 33638 9 204 8 235 4 307 5 318 3 338 33638 32182 10 180 9 195 4 276 4 315 5 329 32182 30679 10 173 9 186 3 213 2 359 4 334 30679 29137 5 226 7 188 1 102 5 063 4 056 29137 27559 12 253 1 276 5 037 8 084 5 117 27559 25950 8 212 3 005 7 051 12 103 11 124 25950 24314 8 161 0 071 4 080 11 085 17 107 24314 22639 6 063 12 119 8 112 11 064 17 095 22639 20916 11 062 19 115 11 111 11 045 13 076 20916 19176 16 083 20 107 13 095 9*027 7 057 19176 17507 11 079 13 092 11*081 8*022 5 357 17507 15983 5 057 9 057 8*042 5 021 6 352 15983 14615 2 000 7 020 7 036 4 018 4 343 14615 13384 1 228 6 359 6 037 1 023 2 310 13384 12270 3 139 3 343 5 038 1 184 2 243 12270 11262 5 132 1*243 3 053 4 189 4 217 11262 10351 9 153 3*187 2 139 6 189 5 209 10351 9531 12 168 4 182 3 162 8 188 6 206 9531 8792 15*162 5 179 4 170 9 188 7 202 8792 8117 16*157 6 178 5 174 9 187 7 200 8117 7509 15 156 7 178 6 176 10 187 8 198 7509 6994 13 155 7 176 6 177 10 187 8 197 6994 6593 12 154 7 177 6 177 10 186 8 197 6593 6314 12 154 7 176 6 178 10 186 6 197 6314 6143 11 153 7 176 6 178 10 186 4 195 6143 6045 10 154 7 176 6 178 9 186 3*188 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography