DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/10 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.2 - - 75.6 - - 75.2 - - 64.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 485 - - 475 - - 163 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6130 - - 8800 - - 7923 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10437 - - 12601 - - 11291 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11998 - - 14668 - - 13791 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1973 - - 1897 - - 2347 - - 690 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 608 - - 682 - - 463 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 15 - - 12 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 019 - - 012 - - 359 - - 356 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -23 - - -15 - - -17 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5874 - - -5012 - - -6236 - - -11855 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17873 - - 19681 - - 20028 - - 17900 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10397 - - -9230 - - -10522 - - -17638 ODpotential blCL - - - 22395 - - 23898 - - 24313 - - 23682 blCL maxRH - - - 37 - - 48 - - 49 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.2 - - 75.6 - - 75.2 - - 64.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 12.3 - - 9.1 - - 7.4 - - 7.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.1 - - 72.6 - - 73.6 - - 67.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 11.4 - - 8.3 - - 6.5 - - 7.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 485 - - 475 - - 163 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6130 - - 8800 - - 7923 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97834 7 196 10 237 8 247 4 075 97834 90403 5 178 12 195 9 191 7 232 90403 84696 7 174 10 198 6 166 7 217 84696 79970 7 135 10 201 3 223 6 108 79970 75906 3 140 6 182 3 191 7 114 75906 72324 3 221 2 130 3 127 2 118 72324 69094 2 179 3 117 6 232 4 267 69094 66131 2 275 1 238 6 308 4 329 66131 63394 2 299 7 230 9 265 11 297 63394 60755 12 318 11 328 4 029 3 260 60755 58008 15 287 14 311 14 324 7 355 58008 55157 10 322 13 302 17 313 13 339 55157 52444 16 346 17 325 22 320 22 314 52444 50009 20 327 21 340 21 328 20 310 50009 47829 23 330 25 353 24 355 21 347 47829 45856 36 351 37 352 39 353 33 349 45856 44062 48 351 47 344 44 345 35 346 44062 42417 56 347 50 344 43 343 36 347 42417 40889 61 351 53 352 43 345 38 347 40889 39456 65 357 55 356 44 346 36 349 39456 38109 67 002 55 357 43 348 34 351 38109 36815 67 005 55 357 42 350 34 349 36815 35516 65 005 54 358 41 352 34 345 35516 34186 64 005 52 002 39 351 33 342 34186 32828 62 004 49 004 36 349 32 342 32828 31431 57 002 46 004 33 351 29 341 31431 29986 52 358 43 003 31 353 27 339 29986 28496 47 359 41 359 29 349 26 338 28496 26965 39 359 39 358 29 348 26 340 26965 25398 33 358 34 001 27 356 25 344 25398 23798 30 003 26 002 22 000 22 353 23798 22159 28 009 18 010 18 359 18 355 22159 20472 25 010 15 022 13 360 15 351 20472 18771 22 009 14 025 11 007 13 347 18771 17140 19 011 11 027 8 007 11 347 17140 15653 16 017 8*024 5 002 9 342 15653 14322 14 025 7*018 4*005 5 330 14322 13128 12*026 7 017 4*005 1 293 13128 12050 12*021 8 014 4 004 1 192 12050 11076 13 020 8 013 5 003 2 176 11076 10195 13 019 8 011 7 000 1 145 10195 9403 13 019 8 010 7 359 1 047 9403 8690 13 019 8 009 8 359 3 026 8690 8038 13 019 9 009 8 358 7 013 8038 7453 13 019 9 009 8 358 11 004 7453 6956 13 020 8 008 9 357 13 000 6956 6570 12 020 8 008 9 357 14 359 6570 6302 12 020 8 007 8 357 12 358 6302 6138 11 020 8 007 8 357 10*357 6138 6044 10 020 7 007 7 357 7*356 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography