DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/24 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.1 - - 47.8 - - 57.8 - - 59.2 - - 48.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 247 - - 291 - - 26 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1331 - - 2329 - - 1523 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6025 - - 6528 - - 7299 - - 6027 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 7199 - - 8197 - - 7391 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 499 - - 681 - - 1391 - - 3128 - - 909 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 292 - - 372 - - 147 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 19 - - 11 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 6 - - 10 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 050 - - 183 - - 237 - - 218 - - 087 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 6 - - 9 - - 20 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3811 - - -3917 - - -5270 - - -6038 - - -4918 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9854 - - 11116 - - 13467 - - 13429 - - 10962 sfcLCL ODpotential -15695 - - -12816 - - -12210 - - -12487 - - -13076 ODpotential blCL 21737 - - 20015 - - 20407 - - 19878 - - 19119 blCL maxRH 70 - - 66 - - 78 - - 75 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.1 - - 47.8 - - 57.8 - - 59.2 - - 48.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 14.0 - - 20.6 - - 20.0 - - 21.5 - - 21.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.9 - - 46.0 - - 55.7 - - 58.7 - - 53.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 13.7 - - 20.2 - - 19.6 - - 21.2 - - 21.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 247 - - 291 - - 26 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1331 - - 2329 - - 1523 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 13 - - 1 - - 17 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96342 21 080 13 079 16 071 18 078 17 087 96342 89203 16 062 16 083 7 089 9 062 16 043 89203 83689 17 068 11 073 2 085 8 018 11 026 83689 79085 16 032 6 031 8 352 7 005 12 357 79085 75111 10 001 8 018 5 330 13 345 11 357 75111 71609 13 335 15 328 14 335 18 323 14 333 71609 68434 17 357 18 346 15 328 24 329 19 336 68434 65510 29 334 23 339 17 337 20 327 25 307 65510 62831 30 321 19 329 22 350 16 357 7 302 62831 60262 36 325 24 335 26 354 17 324 16 301 60262 57587 48 313 41 315 41 320 35 300 34 310 57587 54798 58 305 56 313 59 316 45 299 42 315 54798 52111 71 314 71 319 73 316 61 314 53 320 52111 49684 85 314 81 316 77 311 73 312 72 314 49684 47529 87 309 83 307 77 304 85 306 82 304 47529 45601 85 306 81 301 77 300 91 303 85 299 45601 43851 84 308 77 302 72 300 88 299 84 300 43851 42233 83 310 75 312 68 305 81 297 80 300 42233 40716 81 311 77 319 68 313 74 303 76 298 40716 39284 82 312 80 321 73 320 69 312 72 299 39284 37933 86 311 80 320 77 324 69 315 70 302 37933 36636 81 312 78 316 77 323 68 314 67 304 36636 35332 59 310 75 313 67 318 66 311 65 306 35332 33996 53 305 71 313 59 311 66 308 64 306 33996 32632 53 304 67 314 61 306 67 306 66 304 32632 31228 54 302 59 314 58 300 67 304 67 302 31228 29774 56 297 50 311 54 291 66 302 68 298 29774 28277 57 292 45 304 52 285 63 300 65 295 28277 26740 57 291 44 298 53 285 61 299 61 293 26740 25167 56 292 49 295 57 289 62 298 59 292 25167 23564 53 295 54 295 60 292 62 296 58 293 23564 21925 49 297 54 293 59 294 60 295 57 295 21925 20248 44 298 49 292 55 294 57 295 53 297 20248 18559 40 297 44 293 49 295 51 296 48 300 18559 16944 36 296 40 294 45 297 45 298 44 303 16944 15475 34 296 37 295 42 299 42 299 41 304 15475 14163 33 295 35 299 39 302 38 301 37 304 14163 12984 33 293 33 303 36 305 33 304 33 302 12984 11920 33 291 31 307 32 309 26 307 28 298 11920 10959 32 288 29 308 26 314 19 303 24 292 10959 10093 31 285 27 305 20 313 15 290 22 286 10093 9316 27 281 24 298 14 305 14 274 22 280 9316 8619 22 276 19 290 10*290 13 262 24 275 8619 7983 15 267 11 280 7*270 13 247 23 272 7983 7413 9 253 3*249 6 241 11*230 18 268 7413 6930 5 226 3*193 6 233 11*222 11 262 6930 6554 2 181 3 183 6 227 11 218 5 240 6554 6294 3 081 3 180 6 223 10 216 3 192 6294 6134 4*060 3 178 6 222 10 215 2*131 6134 6043 4*050 3 176 6 221 8 213 2*087 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography