DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/04 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.4 - - 86.3 - - 86.3 - - 75.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 470 - - 482 - - 175 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3587 - - 14195 - - 14779 - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8400 - - 17070 - - 16770 - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9455 - - 20063 - - 20647 - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 7962 - - 1676 - - 1976 - - 10115 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 504 - - 805 - - 584 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 24 - - 12 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 12 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 206 - - 273 - - 299 - - 246 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 19 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -12 - - -23 - - 26 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5508 - - 1377 - - 343 - - -12457 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14964 - - 18687 - - 20305 - - 18503 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7464 - - 291 - - -1198 - - -15940 ODpotential blCL - - - 16919 - - 19772 - - 21845 - - 21985 blCL maxRH - - - 59 - - 70 - - 70 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 160 - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.4 - - 86.3 - - 86.3 - - 75.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.5 - - 24.1 - - 16.7 - - 15.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.4 - - 83.1 - - 84.6 - - 79.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.1 - - 23.4 - - 16.2 - - 15.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 470 - - 482 - - 175 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3587 - - 14195 - - 14779 - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98557 15 104 12 142 13 099 12 124 98557 91092 17 143 15 112 14 115 14 116 91092 85360 16 145 13 115 10 086 22 108 85360 80614 20 132 15 129 10 107 20 096 80614 76548 19 116 15 122 10 123 15 087 76548 72965 19 122 12 117 13 111 13 093 72965 69722 18 108 12 121 11 108 8 075 69722 66740 15 078 14 113 8 117 1 063 66740 63988 8 016 12 094 12 130 1 086 63988 61332 3 284 8 007 8 058 5 107 61332 58552 4 162 3 252 8 322 5 006 58552 55666 9 001 4 006 4 341 4 354 55666 52923 11 347 13 333 17 322 14 336 52923 50470 13 003 17 348 17 339 15 345 50470 48269 26 003 23 002 21 351 19 339 48269 46253 30 356 29 348 23 340 25 334 46253 44386 30 336 30 336 25 334 29 329 44386 42660 31 315 30 325 24 330 25 323 42660 41069 28 305 27 316 22 326 18 323 41069 39597 25 296 24 308 22 323 15 338 39597 38228 24 282 22 301 24 322 17 343 38228 36921 24 271 22 300 24 320 21 339 36921 35614 23 271 23 303 24 319 23 337 35614 34277 22 277 23 307 22 316 22 340 34277 32915 22 288 23 309 22 312 20 339 32915 31518 20 300 20 305 21 310 19 329 31518 30076 18 311 17 304 19 307 18 322 30076 28591 15 313 14 313 14 305 15 320 28591 27067 10 307 14 313 10 306 12 307 27067 25505 9 307 14 303 11 312 10 304 25505 23908 11 318 12 302 15 325 11 318 23908 22273 13 320 12 315 16*334 14 327 22273 20594 16 302 16*325 13*329 13 334 20594 18899 19 286 16*315 11 321 10 327 18899 17270 19 279 15 303 11 318 9 304 17270 15781 17 275 15 297 11 312 11 289 15781 14445 15 271 15 289 11 306 12 281 14445 13241 13 275 14 282 12 300 13 274 13241 12152 12 282 14 271 12 294 14 270 12152 11165 9 292 13 261 12 290 15 266 11165 10272 6*298 13 253 12 286 16 262 10272 9468 4*294 13 246 12 282 16 259 9468 8743 3 243 13 241 12 280 17 256 8743 8080 4 203 13 236 12 277 17 254 8080 7483 5 197 13 233 12 276 17 251 7483 6977 5 193 13 230 12 274 16 249 6977 6582 5 192 12 228 12 273 15 246 6582 6309 6 190 12 227 12 273 12 243 6309 6141 5 189 12 227 11 272 10*241 6141 6045 5 189 11 226 10 272 6*246 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography