DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/10 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0950z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.1 - - 49.7 - - 54.0 - - 48.3 - - 44.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 65 - - 50 - - -2 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 745 - - 175 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 6026 - - 6027 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 6613 - - 6043 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 383 - - 1001 - - 2937 - - 794 - - 208 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 162 - - 94 - - 9 - - 16 W* B/S 0 - - 48 - - 15 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 057 - - 096 - - 257 - - 297 - - 356 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 2 - - -1 - - -3 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -239 - - -1417 - - 0 - - -477 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6042 - - 6853 - - 7460 - - 6043 - - 6520 sfcLCL ODpotential -9504 - - -5298 - - -5028 - - -3691 - - -7169 ODpotential blCL 15546 - - 11911 - - 11071 - - 9734 - - 13212 blCL maxRH 73 - - 72 - - 85 - - 80 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.1 - - 49.7 - - 54.0 - - 48.3 - - 44.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.4 - - 40.8 - - 42.3 - - 44.6 - - 37.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.8 - - 49.1 - - 53.4 - - 50.3 - - 49.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.2 - - 39.6 - - 41.1 - - 43.9 - - 37.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 65 - - 50 - - -2 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 745 - - 175 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 41 - - 19 - - 17 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96369 53 276 46 281 51 272 53 281 44 286 96369 89319 29 289 28 288 29 284 30 282 27 301 89319 83847 20 294 24 292 23 291 22 290 18 314 83847 79266 16 311 17 279 18 281 17 301 20 308 79266 75343 19 314 12 278 14 282 13 325 15 320 75343 71897 22 296 22 294 23 292 23 326 18 350 71897 68757 22 294 22 293 20 293 24 304 25 330 68757 65858 21 299 18 298 19 323 21 308 23 314 65858 63172 27 305 30 307 28 321 24 321 24 315 63172 60581 35 301 35 300 29 310 30 310 28 311 60581 57884 32 298 31 299 31 302 28 298 29 311 57884 55079 27 295 30 297 32 304 26 313 31 310 55079 52383 31 301 32 299 39 306 35 323 30 302 52383 49935 38 302 38 296 46 302 41 317 35 305 49935 47726 41 289 41 290 45 299 43 308 39 315 47726 45716 41 278 44 288 41 296 40 307 40 316 45716 43876 41 268 43 273 41 293 43 305 37 307 43876 42187 41 269 46 269 40 282 46 296 36 302 42187 40626 42 270 48 264 48 272 46 285 34 300 40626 39175 39 270 47 265 52 266 52 277 38 285 39175 37825 36 270 46 268 49 262 54 269 47 271 37825 36543 35 271 43 267 48 263 50 265 51 266 36543 35257 33 267 41 262 46 265 45 268 49 267 35257 33938 33 264 40 259 44 270 42 272 42 270 33938 32594 34 266 38 261 40 275 39 274 39 271 32594 31211 32 270 35 265 38 278 34 275 34 273 31211 29782 29 274 35 266 35 282 32 278 30 275 29782 28308 27 275 33 267 33 282 30 281 25 279 28308 26791 27 275 31 271 31 276 27 282 21 283 26791 25235 26 279 29 273 29 268 24 281 18 286 25235 23644 25 281 27 269 28 266 22 284 17 292 23644 22013 21 279 23 267 24 270 19 291 17 304 22013 20335 17 278 19 273 17 280 16 298 15 327 20335 18639 12 286 15 287 14 297 16 312 14 353 18639 17011 10 301 14 305 15 316 17 329 15 010 17011 15528 12 313 13 323 17 332 18 345 17 019 15528 14203 14 322 13 342 18 345 18 000 17 024 14203 13015 14 328 14 354 18 357 18 012 17 028 13015 11946 14 331 14 359 17 009 17 020 17 031 11946 10981 13 333 14 003 17 021 16 025 16 033 10981 10112 11 331 13 005 16 027 14 027 15 035 10112 9331 10 328 13 007 15 028 13 026 14 038 9331 8630 8 322 12 008 12 025 11 023 14 040 8630 7991 6 316 11 008 9 021 11 020 14 040 7991 7418 4 315 9 010 5 013 10 015 14 037 7418 6932 2 324 5*016 2 350 8 008 15 029 6932 6555 1 028 1*044 1 312 6 358 15 018 6555 6294 3 065 1 094 1 278 4 338 12 011 6294 6134 3 068 1 125 1 266 3*314 8*004 6134 6043 3*057 1 143 1*257 2*297 4*356 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography