DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/06 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.9 - - 90.9 - - - - - 82.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 484 - - 500 - - - - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6806 - - 12906 - - - - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10981 - - 16014 - - - - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12674 - - 18774 - - - - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5803 - - 2805 - - - - - 9631 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 628 - - 787 - - - - - 11 W* B/S - - - 19 - - 15 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 9 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 216 - - 243 - - - - - 259 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 8 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 12 - - 17 - - - - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3603 - - 1600 - - - - - -8873 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16277 - - 17175 - - - - - 14918 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5238 - - 663 - - - - - -11666 ODpotential blCL - - - 17912 - - 18111 - - - - - 17711 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 83 - - - - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 90 - - 230 - - - - - 280 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.9 - - 90.9 - - - - - 82.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.0 - - 35.8 - - - - - 38.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.6 - - 87.6 - - - - - 84.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.9 - - 35.7 - - - - - 38.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 484 - - 500 - - - - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6806 - - 12906 - - - - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 33 - - - - - 61 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99227 41 112 35 109 33 097 99227 91678 44 107 32 108 29 105 91678 85889 37 098 31 103 24 116 85889 81118 24 092 25 098 30 095 81118 77038 22 097 22 108 26 091 77038 73442 24 099 21 111 23 101 73442 70181 22 116 12 101 24 093 70181 67199 18 104 16 126 14 070 67199 64459 15 084 10 116 4 106 64459 61815 10 049 13 122 6 089 61815 59070 6 004 2 107 2 033 59070 56242 6 329 8 292 8 246 56242 53560 12 306 16 286 18 273 53560 51145 21 285 24 286 27 282 51145 48963 32 285 31 287 33 289 48963 46963 36 280 36 283 44 287 46963 45109 36 278 37 279 47 284 45109 43379 41 283 38 278 50 284 43379 41761 45 285 39 278 48 285 41761 40246 41 283 37 280 40 288 40246 38832 35 282 29 284 32 291 38832 37490 25 289 15 291 22 289 37490 36155 18 319 9 333 18 289 36155 34793 12 302 7 332 6 290 34793 33403 8 283 7 301 5 230 33403 31972 5 294 5 332 9 236 31972 30494 4 340 4 267 9 252 30494 28973 1 282 9 241 8 261 28973 27412 5 229 11 252 4 248 27412 25817 10 260 11 253 4 251 25817 24193 11 271 9 247 8 254 24193 22532 10 281 7 254 8 242 22532 20826 8 294 8 270 8 223 20826 19100 11 297 8*273 8 221 19100 17439 11 264 9*267 6 229 17439 15924 12 245 9 263 5 234 15924 14566 13 245 9 260 5 233 14566 13342 11*241 9 255 6 234 13342 12235 8*233 9 250 7 237 12235 11232 6 227 10 243 8 245 11232 10326 6 225 10 237 10 252 10326 9511 6 220 10 234 12 257 9511 8776 6 213 11 231 13 260 8776 8104 6 209 11 227 14 260 8104 7500 6 207 11 225 15 260 7500 6988 6 204 11 223 15 259 6988 6589 6 202 11 222 14 257 6589 6312 6 201 11 221 12 256 6312 6143 6 200 11 221 9*256 6143 6045 6 199 10 220 6*259 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography