DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/03 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 93.7 - - 96.4 - - 94.9 - - 84.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 473 - - 491 - - 174 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 11076 - - 13836 - - 13707 - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 14467 - - 16777 - - 15889 - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top - - - 16944 - - 19704 - - 19575 - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3276 - - 2011 - - 1934 - - 1212 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 734 - - 801 - - 565 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 9 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 16 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 261 - - 277 - - 284 - - 251 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 8 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 17 - - -6 - - 4 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2174 - - -511 - - -157 - - -11429 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 19119 - - 20216 - - 19733 - - 17474 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4884 - - -2375 - - -2133 - - -14670 ODpotential blCL - - - 21828 - - 22079 - - 21708 - - 20715 blCL maxRH - - - 51 - - 49 - - 63 - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 93.7 - - 96.4 - - 94.9 - - 84.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.6 - - 27.1 - - 28.2 - - 28.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 90.5 - - 93.2 - - 93.3 - - 87.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.4 - - 27.0 - - 28.1 - - 28.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 473 - - 491 - - 174 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 11076 - - 13836 - - 13707 - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99257 41 104 34 099 31 090 31 096 99257 91759 43 098 38 098 33 102 30 093 91759 86012 34 094 37 093 33 098 32 093 86012 81258 27 091 25 103 28 091 26 088 81258 77156 25 090 20 129 19 088 22 082 77156 73520 21 101 22 132 12 109 15 070 73520 70234 16 111 16 111 12 128 12 073 70234 67230 14 121 11 095 9 109 9 094 67230 64451 5 120 9 074 7 072 5 086 64451 61773 8 215 4 290 6 035 6 087 61773 59006 6 218 11 247 11 292 7 319 59006 56163 9 253 16 251 19 270 18 301 56163 53485 6 248 16 249 18 269 26 296 53485 51098 19 301 17 268 17 281 21 278 51098 48946 33 301 25 300 25 301 21 295 48946 46973 32 295 30 298 30 301 27 303 46973 45147 28 297 30 299 32 304 34 305 45147 43448 28 304 32 300 35 307 37 304 43448 41857 28 306 32 297 37 305 36 304 41857 40364 29 306 31 294 36 300 36 305 40364 38963 30 303 28 291 33 295 37 303 38963 37623 32 302 27 290 30 291 37 295 37623 36280 32 298 28 288 29 288 34 290 36280 34905 32 290 30 287 29 288 30 289 34905 33504 32 285 30 289 29 289 26 292 33504 32065 28 280 28 291 27 290 23 291 32065 30579 22 279 26 292 25 288 23 290 30579 29051 22 276 24 290 23 288 21 292 29051 27482 22 275 20 289 20 285 18 291 27482 25876 21 275 18 284 16 279 16 283 25876 24240 22 272 16 279 15 280 16 283 24240 22570 21 268 17 287 17 290 13 298 22570 20859 20 268 21*290 14*307 13 333 20859 19133 22 263 18*288 13*306 13 338 19133 17473 21*261 16 285 13 303 12 332 17473 15957 18*264 16 284 13 300 11 320 15957 14596 17 265 16 283 13 297 11 304 14596 13370 17 265 16 281 13 289 11 288 13370 12261 17 264 16 278 13 283 13 277 12261 11256 16 263 16 276 13 277 15 272 11256 10347 16 262 16 273 13 274 16 268 10347 9529 16 260 16 272 13 271 17 265 9529 8791 16 259 16 270 13 268 18 263 8791 8116 16 257 16 268 13 265 18 261 8116 7509 16 256 16 267 13 263 19 259 7509 6994 16 254 16 266 13 262 18 257 6994 6593 15 253 16 265 13 261 16 255 6593 6314 15 252 15 264 13 260 13 251 6314 6143 14 252 15 264 12 260 10*248 6143 6045 13 251 13 263 11 260 6*251 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography