DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/07 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.4 - - 49.7 - - 55.5 - - 53.8 - - 44.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -16 - - 186 - - 248 - - 1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 1153 - - 3092 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 6306 - - 7813 - - 6027 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6043 - - 7021 - - 8960 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 193 - - 2188 - - 4625 - - 7724 - - 1359 Hgt.Variab. W* 16 - - 253 - - 387 - - 30 - - 15 W* B/S 0 - - 13 - - 19 - - 1 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 010 - - 183 - - 229 - - 213 - - 047 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -13 - - 9 - - 9 - - 6 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2771 - - -4937 - - -4306 - - -7044 - - -4869 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8815 - - 11958 - - 13267 - - 13088 - - 10912 sfcLCL ODpotential -8430 - - -8481 - - -6564 - - -9526 - - -9520 ODpotential blCL 14473 - - 15502 - - 15524 - - 15569 - - 15563 blCL maxRH 53 - - 49 - - 53 - - 52 - - 45 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.4 - - 49.7 - - 55.5 - - 53.8 - - 44.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 20.6 - - 18.8 - - 18.5 - - 17.8 - - 18.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.9 - - 48.2 - - 53.6 - - 53.5 - - 49.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 20.5 - - 18.3 - - 18.1 - - 17.5 - - 18.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -16 - - 186 - - 248 - - 1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 1153 - - 3092 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96467 4 178 3 254 7 315 8 268 7 253 96467 89362 11 066 12 140 5 214 5 056 11 109 89362 83892 10 093 13 129 11 189 7 043 6 131 83892 79362 6 036 9 110 10 160 3 235 2 029 79362 75437 5 348 6 082 5 138 1 357 7 355 75437 71942 6 321 4 301 5 002 6 006 7 004 71942 68765 7 295 8 279 8 342 6 313 7 327 68765 65840 4 214 15 257 14 277 15 300 12 313 65840 63134 4 084 17 255 18 274 15 287 11 297 63134 60518 18 295 19 261 19 275 17 249 17 276 60518 57790 24 267 18 257 23 269 21 249 23 254 57790 54953 20 257 19 259 25 264 24 272 22 249 54953 52234 21 258 25 267 22 271 26 258 24 255 52234 49760 29 254 27 257 22 278 21 253 24 247 49760 47515 30 237 29 248 26 273 20 269 16 260 47515 45458 30 236 32 240 31 252 22 274 15 285 45458 43568 36 236 32 247 32 241 22 267 15 290 43568 41826 36 233 33 249 26 245 21 261 15 297 41826 40214 27 240 32 236 29 251 22 263 19 316 40214 38719 26 249 30 224 31 238 21 254 22 324 38719 37333 36 247 32 238 33 234 17 258 24 328 37333 36022 42 240 40 245 36 237 24 263 26 336 36022 34721 47 237 45 243 42 239 26 262 28 346 34721 33401 57 239 51 242 46 238 26 258 31 353 33401 32068 63 239 57 239 51 238 23 255 29 353 32068 30706 63 240 59 237 53 237 21 258 25 350 30706 29303 56 242 59 237 47 241 20 265 22 353 29303 27858 46 242 52 243 39 251 22 270 19 353 27858 26374 39 240 39 244 34 259 24 272 17 336 26374 24855 35 239 25 245 28 258 22 272 20 309 24855 23301 31 247 17 262 21 260 18 275 22 300 23301 21706 28 255 15 271 16 264 17 279 21 303 21706 20062 26 259 16 270 15 274 15 283 17 302 20062 18401 23 264 18 272 15 285 14 294 14 295 18401 16812 18 276 16 279 15 291 14 311 10 296 16812 15368 15 287 13 289 14 301 14 325 9 315 15368 14076 13 294 12 300 13 318 12 338 9 333 14076 12914 12 302 11 305 12 339 11 342 8 343 12914 11866 12 307 11 310 11 343 10 344 6 346 11866 10918 12 311 10 317 10 344 9 344 4 340 10918 10063 12 313 9 324 9 344 7 340 3 325 10063 9294 11 314 8 334 6*338 5 328 3 306 9294 8602 10 315 6 342 3*312 3 302 3 290 8602 7971 9 318 3 344 3 251 3 258 4 280 7971 7404 8 320 0*315 4 226 5 227 4 270 7404 6924 6 325 2*185 5 220 5 219 3 259 6924 6551 5 340 3 184 5 216 5 217 2 246 6551 6292 5 003 4 183 5 213 5 215 1 229 6292 6133 6*011 4 183 5 213 5*214 1*068 6133 6043 6*010 4 182 5 211 5*213 2*047 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography