DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/14 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.6 - - 50.0 - - 48.3 - - 38.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 96 - - 185 - - 16 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2428 - - 3739 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6950 - - 8195 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8296 - - 9607 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2000 - - 1601 - - 4246 - - 790 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 272 - - 380 - - 62 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 100 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 1 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 003 - - 345 - - 207 - - 098 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 14 - - 10 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -442 - - -830 - - -3376 - - -1322 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8739 - - 10438 - - 9419 - - 7365 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5206 - - -6202 - - -8762 - - -9113 ODpotential blCL - - - 13502 - - 15809 - - 14805 - - 15156 blCL maxRH - - - 56 - - 59 - - 67 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.6 - - 50.0 - - 48.3 - - 38.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.5 - - 25.4 - - 28.2 - - 27.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.6 - - 48.4 - - 47.9 - - 43.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.4 - - 24.2 - - 27.5 - - 26.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 96 - - 185 - - 16 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2428 - - 3739 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96581 25 092 32 091 22 101 27 073 96581 89475 26 096 28 095 23 110 18 071 89475 83962 18 094 19 084 22 107 10 115 83962 79347 13 099 9 085 13 082 12 104 79347 75346 8 099 6 129 2 228 7 015 75346 71807 6 272 2 059 4 217 8 325 71807 68603 11 251 11 266 7 279 10 312 68603 65658 16 242 20 258 15 272 13 281 65658 62925 20 260 25 261 22 263 21 256 62925 60285 24 268 26 258 28 257 27 268 60285 57549 29 258 31 250 36 257 37 258 57549 54719 43 268 38 262 42 264 38 255 54719 52007 54 274 54 276 54 270 49 263 52007 49547 60 277 64 278 64 274 58 269 49547 47324 61 282 68 283 70 279 65 276 47324 45299 65 288 73 286 75 282 72 281 45299 43444 72 290 76 286 78 283 77 283 43444 41739 75 287 75 286 80 284 77 282 41739 40170 64 297 69 292 79 288 72 283 40170 38723 65 317 63 300 70 292 66 285 38723 37382 65 319 62 304 61 294 62 287 37382 36106 58 318 58 303 56 291 60 289 36106 34827 52 319 53 302 53 288 58 289 34827 33518 49 321 48 302 50 288 55 289 33518 32183 43 321 46 302 48 294 51 289 32183 30812 38 318 45 302 47 300 49 289 30812 29395 39 317 46 304 48 303 50 291 29395 27937 43 320 48 308 51 305 53 293 27937 26439 45 326 49 313 54 304 57 293 26439 24904 43 331 49 317 55 304 57 293 24904 23335 41 332 48 319 52 304 55 292 23335 21728 40 333 44 322 45 305 49 291 21728 20076 37 339 37 327 36 307 39 291 20076 18408 30 342 32 333 28 309 28 291 18408 16807 26 342 28 337 22 315 20 288 16807 15349 25 348 25 338 19 318 16 285 15349 14045 22 350 21 345 17 323 13 288 14045 12875 17 344 18 355 15 336 11 291 12875 11822 13 336 14 002 12 353 8 288 11822 10873 11 337 10 003 10 001 5 273 10873 10021 10 347 7*004 7 005 3 247 10021 9258 10 358 5*005 6 003 2 194 9258 8572 9*001 3 002 2 342 3 174 8572 7949 8*002 1 356 2 250 4 205 7949 7388 6 003 0 231 6 218 5 233 7388 6913 5 003 1 199 7 213 5 252 6913 6544 4 004 2 195 7 211 4 247 6544 6288 3 004 2 195 7 208 2 216 6288 6132 3 005 2 196 7*207 1*128 6132 6043 3 003 2 193 6*207 2*098 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography