DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/13 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 1000z - - 1334z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 79.8 - - 78.6 - - 73.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 192 - - -2 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5393 - - 177 - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 9489 - - 6028 - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 11261 - - 6045 - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 4265 - - 10209 - - 3788 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 442 - - 50 - - 15 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 13 - - 8 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 212 - - 242 - - 255 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 22 - - 7 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 536 - - -4270 - - -3101 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 10725 - - 10316 - - 9146 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1613 - - -6468 - - -6662 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 12874 - - 12513 - - 12707 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 89 - - 88 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1060 - - 1210 - - 880 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 79.8 - - 78.6 - - 73.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 53.2 - - 53.8 - - 53.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 78.1 - - 78.7 - - 76.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 52.4 - - 52.8 - - 52.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 192 - - -2 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5393 - - 177 - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 55 - - 53 - - 65 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98745 10 062 8 089 4 113 98745 91358 6 102 6 104 9 090 91358 85604 14 134 4 129 5 073 85604 80821 9 144 9 161 2 181 80821 76721 4 157 5 160 3 103 76721 73109 4 161 3 179 3 246 73109 69842 4 228 1 263 0 291 69842 66847 5 238 9 291 6 321 66847 64076 6 261 9 272 6 282 64076 61409 8 236 12 276 9 290 61409 58660 11 241 18 258 20 268 58660 55863 14 259 17 261 18 254 55863 53227 20 263 16 267 21 255 53227 50845 27 254 34 255 25 254 50845 48695 37 253 36 251 36 249 48695 46734 40 253 39 254 40 244 46734 44926 40 246 40 250 42 249 44926 43240 39 244 40 244 43 249 43240 41655 37 248 41 246 42 245 41655 40164 35 253 40 247 43 244 40164 38765 35 253 39 246 43 244 38765 37430 35 251 39 248 42 243 37430 36093 36 250 40 250 40 242 36093 34725 35 248 39 248 40 242 34725 33329 33 245 37 248 40 241 33329 31893 32 245 34 248 39 241 31893 30410 32 245 31 245 38 241 30410 28883 30 244 30 243 37 242 28883 27317 28 236 30 240 34 240 27317 25715 26 226 29 237 32 241 25715 24078 21 218 27 233 30 246 24078 22404 18 218 27 235 27 249 22404 20687 19 228 23 233 28 243 20687 18960 21 232 23 232 30 235 18960 17311 21 231 24 221 29 219 17311 15813 21 226 23 215 27 213 15813 14472 21 223 22 213 24 214 14472 13264 19 220 19 213 22 217 13264 12170 18*217 17 215 21 221 12170 11179 16*212 16 217 20 225 11179 10284 15 211 14 222 19 229 10284 9477 14 211 14 226 18 233 9477 8749 13 211 13 230 18 238 8749 8085 13 211 12 233 17 242 8085 7486 12 212 12 236 15 247 7486 6979 12 212 11 239 13 252 6979 6584 11 213 11 241 10 255 6584 6309 11 214 10 242 6 256 6309 6141 10 214 9*243 3*253 6141 6045 9 214 8*242 2*255 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography