DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/23 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.6 - - 37.7 - - 41.3 - - 41.6 - - 35.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -18 - - 143 - - 161 - - -3 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1165 - - 2453 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit 6025 - - 6177 - - 7175 - - 6025 - - 6025 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 7033 - - 8321 - - 6042 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 555 - - 996 - - 1440 - - 4808 - - 3052 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 233 - - 311 - - 17 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 43 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 1 - - 8 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 047 - - 143 - - 192 - - 248 - - 217 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 1 - - 17 - - 8 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5394 - - -1801 - - -850 - - -2803 - - -97 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11437 - - 8834 - - 9171 - - 8845 - - 6139 sfcLCL ODpotential -13725 - - -7056 - - -4839 - - -4734 - - -2487 ODpotential blCL 19767 - - 14089 - - 13160 - - 10776 - - 8529 blCL maxRH 98 - - 96 - - 99 - - 97 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.6 - - 37.7 - - 41.3 - - 41.6 - - 35.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 3.5 - - 20.3 - - 22.3 - - 23.9 - - 30.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.1 - - 36.4 - - 39.9 - - 41.5 - - 38.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 2.9 - - 20.1 - - 22.2 - - 24.1 - - 30.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -18 - - 143 - - 161 - - -3 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1165 - - 2453 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 91 - - 82 - - 95 - - 87 - - 95 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95162 37 266 52 277 50 268 55 274 63 272 95162 88380 19 308 31 270 36 285 34 279 38 282 88380 83104 24 325 18 282 23 296 17 281 26 297 83104 78669 20 324 13 301 15 308 12 278 26 307 78669 74829 22 315 15 314 15 311 14 283 24 312 74829 71429 16 303 13 322 13 304 15 294 21 305 71429 68333 12 319 12 299 15 294 17 295 18 299 68333 65467 15 327 12 280 16 283 19 292 16 298 65467 62797 19 336 11 312 13 265 13 265 20 286 62797 60195 23 317 19 327 10 310 6 257 18 277 60195 57458 24 299 21 297 15 285 18 270 28 281 57458 54601 27 300 27 283 29 276 33 278 36 286 54601 51853 36 307 35 291 33 283 40 281 41 280 51853 49350 41 300 40 291 37 284 43 281 45 281 49350 47077 43 290 45 284 43 279 47 281 48 278 47077 44990 42 281 49 277 48 275 51 278 51 276 44990 43062 44 279 52 274 51 273 52 276 54 276 43062 41280 48 280 51 272 54 270 50 275 54 276 41280 39630 50 277 50 267 55 267 50 272 54 272 39630 38100 53 264 52 259 56 264 50 268 58 263 38100 36685 60 267 62 256 62 259 55 264 60 256 36685 35356 73 255 73 250 71 250 64 256 62 250 35356 34052 86 250 79 245 77 245 71 249 65 246 34052 32739 92 250 84 243 80 242 73 246 64 245 32739 31419 87 250 81 244 81 241 71 245 57 247 31419 30077 75 250 76 245 78 243 66 247 53 249 30077 28700 60 250 69 243 71 246 58 248 52 250 28700 27284 51 250 59 238 66 249 52 251 52 252 27284 25829 49 246 51 237 63 248 50 252 49 254 25829 24339 43 243 54 248 59 247 48 254 42 254 24339 22818 37 245 51 258 53 248 45 256 36 252 22818 21260 32 249 42 263 50 252 44 258 36 253 21260 19659 28 253 34 257 48 260 44 259 36 253 19659 18043 25 262 30 251 42 265 40 261 34 256 18043 16495 25 270 27 249 39 266 34 264 31 262 16495 15088 23 273 26 249 36 261 29 267 28 268 15088 13832 22 271 26 249 30 253 25 270 28 270 13832 12705 22 267 26 251 24 252 21 268 28 268 12705 11690 22 265 25 256 22 265 18 266 27 266 11690 10773 22 262 25 266 21 275 15 262 26 267 10773 9945 22 260 26 269 16 277 14 259 25 269 9945 9202 19 259 23 267 10 269 14 257 21 268 9202 8532 14 255 19 266 6*228 14 254 18 263 8532 7921 9 240 12 266 7*198 14 253 15 255 7921 7370 5 193 5*265 8 194 15 252 13 245 7370 6903 6 143 1*184 8 192 15 250 12 234 6903 6538 6 112 1 145 8 190 15 250 12 223 6538 6286 7 080 1 133 8 189 14 249 9 216 6286 6131 7*058 1 131 8 188 13*248 7*214 6131 6042 6*047 1 128 7 188 11*248 4*217 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography