DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/15 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.1 - - 78.0 - - 73.7 - - 69.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 300 - - 351 - - -3 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3039 - - 6012 - - 177 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7844 - - 10211 - - 6028 - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8907 - - 11880 - - 6045 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2956 - - 2834 - - 7822 - - 2044 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 412 - - 542 - - 54 - - 25 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 8 - - 2 - - 8 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 12 - - 5 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 191 - - 216 - - 243 - - 270 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 15 - - 15 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 81 - - 783 - - -3089 - - -1394 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8826 - - 11098 - - 9134 - - 7439 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2047 - - -603 - - -5440 - - -4674 ODpotential blCL - - - 10954 - - 12483 - - 11485 - - 10718 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 90 - - 91 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 920 - - 860 - - 1220 - - 1480 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.1 - - 78.0 - - 73.7 - - 69.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.9 - - 49.9 - - 54.1 - - 57.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.9 - - 75.6 - - 74.0 - - 70.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.5 - - 49.7 - - 53.0 - - 55.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 300 - - 351 - - -3 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3039 - - 6012 - - 177 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 79 - - 59 - - 62 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - 11 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98852 13 128 17 120 13 143 10 085 98852 91488 15 138 9 163 13 119 7 095 91488 85788 13 138 18 131 6 088 16 123 85788 81022 11 154 12 154 8 112 16 119 81022 76896 10 151 9 188 5 122 8 116 76896 73252 4 113 8 170 9 190 2 140 73252 69959 10 190 10 189 8 201 4 257 69959 66928 3 217 8 191 8 236 7 221 66928 64124 9 208 8 230 12 258 3 296 64124 61435 3 136 10 233 17 241 15 249 61435 58671 21 266 23 275 20 273 15 262 58671 55842 34 243 34 251 28 266 24 257 55842 53163 36 244 38 247 34 246 35 248 53163 50764 47 263 51 257 47 257 45 256 50764 48609 62 258 60 258 56 262 51 262 48609 46637 65 253 62 254 58 261 57 259 46637 44814 67 249 66 248 62 253 59 249 44814 43118 67 243 67 243 67 246 64 245 43118 41531 65 240 66 240 68 242 65 243 41531 40040 65 239 66 239 69 237 65 239 40040 38642 66 239 67 240 70 235 66 236 38642 37307 66 240 67 242 70 235 65 234 37307 35973 64 241 64 245 66 236 64 235 35973 34611 58 245 54 247 59 238 59 237 34611 33224 48 250 45 247 53 237 50 239 33224 31802 42 253 41 247 48 238 45 238 31802 30331 41 249 40 244 45 237 40 238 30331 28816 39 249 36 241 40 241 36 241 28816 27258 35 251 35 244 41 247 33 244 27258 25664 31 249 34 250 36 251 31 244 25664 24037 23 241 30 250 30 251 30 246 24037 22373 18 233 27 245 28 253 28 251 22373 20663 19 244 24 239 26 245 25 249 20663 18937 22 249 24 236 25 245 23 243 18937 17282 24 252 22 239 24 243 23 238 17282 15779 24 247 22 239 23 233 22 230 15779 14438 21 236 22 236 21 226 20 217 14438 13232 18 225 20 229 18 218 20 206 13232 12140 15 223 17*221 16 213 19 197 12140 11151 13 224 14*215 14 209 20 191 11151 10257 10 219 13 213 13 208 20 187 10257 9453 9*199 12 213 12 211 20 185 9453 8729 9*192 12 215 11 214 19 183 8729 8067 9 191 11 216 10 220 17 182 8067 7473 8 190 11 217 9 227 16 185 7473 6970 8 190 10 219 8 234 13 182 6970 6579 8 191 10 220 7 240 9 184 6579 6307 8 191 10 221 7 243 5 186 6307 6140 7 191 10 221 6*245 1 201 6140 6044 7 191 9 220 5*243 1*270 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography