DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/02 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1555z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.7 - - 47.1 - - 49.0 - - 46.2 - - 42.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 1 - - 52 - - 34 - - -6 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 2348 - - 2057 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 6563 - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 8216 - - 7925 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1567 - - 1543 - - 2112 - - 3922 - - 1558 Hgt.Variab. W* 38 - - 237 - - 205 - - 23 - - 22 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 24 - - 21 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 252 - - 341 - - 349 - - 295 - - 322 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 17 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - -39 - - -39 - - -5 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 1238 - - 1041 - - -26 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6042 - - 6978 - - 6885 - - 6070 - - 6043 sfcLCL ODpotential -2020 - - -2342 - - -2130 - - -2407 - - -3879 ODpotential blCL 8062 - - 10558 - - 10055 - - 8450 - - 9922 blCL maxRH 85 - - 74 - - 72 - - 78 - - 69 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 30 - - 40 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.7 - - 47.1 - - 49.0 - - 46.2 - - 42.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.2 - - 37.5 - - 39.7 - - 40.4 - - 37.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.5 - - 46.6 - - 48.5 - - 48.0 - - 45.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.3 - - 36.2 - - 38.4 - - 39.1 - - 35.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 1 - - 52 - - 34 - - -6 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 2348 - - 2057 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 40 - - 0 - - 0 - - 11 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96677 37 270 48 275 47 293 40 283 45 281 96677 89712 22 301 27 285 33 287 21 300 28 288 89712 84287 24 309 24 292 32 288 16 298 23 310 84287 79747 18 300 14 277 22 294 24 299 22 310 79747 75825 13 311 11 268 7 285 18 290 18 283 75825 72359 17 319 12 282 3 220 4 243 15 271 72359 69195 12 304 13 275 16 258 8 293 6 254 69195 66256 5 260 5 213 19 251 18 276 11 303 66256 63526 8 283 3 050 12 206 25 267 15 273 63526 60890 18 276 12 297 10 266 16 243 22 271 60890 58151 24 251 21 267 9 220 12 217 18 274 58151 55307 23 265 25 245 18 261 17 273 25 286 55307 52594 28 277 35 249 28 267 28 270 42 261 52594 50164 28 263 37 255 25 253 34 257 36 264 50164 47973 24 256 26 254 22 243 30 274 35 291 47973 45969 27 269 20 263 30 269 34 302 39 308 45969 44116 34 269 27 267 36 296 42 314 50 311 44116 42395 35 260 31 270 45 311 50 317 64 310 42395 40798 36 254 29 281 50 315 60 317 80 314 40798 39312 33 248 30 293 53 314 71 317 97 320 39312 37927 31 258 37 302 58 314 80 317 107 324 37927 36604 34 268 45 309 65 316 85 317 107 324 36604 35279 28 272 55 315 74 317 85 317 103 324 35279 33926 28 303 62 319 80 318 80 317 103 325 33926 32547 42 319 67 323 84 323 80 325 107 326 32547 31130 54 313 74 326 90 329 85 332 109 324 31130 29665 53 309 80 326 98 331 87 332 109 324 29665 28154 47 309 78 325 101 331 86 330 107 328 28154 26602 39 318 69 326 97 332 85 330 97 330 26602 25019 29 321 56 327 85 334 82 334 82 330 25019 23412 17 326 41 327 66 335 76 336 70 335 23412 21770 19 323 30 332 48 334 62 333 63 338 21770 20089 21 328 28 339 36 332 45 327 57 335 20089 18403 26 332 30 339 32 332 34 323 46 330 18403 16796 30 334 30 337 30 333 27 327 36 325 16796 15343 32 333 30 336 27 337 22 336 29 320 15343 14047 32 333 31 337 25 344 20 347 23 321 14047 12885 30 335 31 339 23 352 20 356 18 328 12885 11837 31 338 32 342 22 358 21 001 15 342 11837 10892 33 340 33 345 22 001 23 001 15 359 10892 10040 33 339 34 346 23 000 25 359 17 011 10040 9275 31 336 33 345 25 357 26 356 20 016 9275 8587 29 331 32*343 25 354 26 354 22 018 8587 7960 25 324 30*342 25*351 25 352 23 015 7960 7396 21 317 28 342 25*350 23 351 24 009 7396 6919 15 305 25 341 23 349 20 349 22 003 6919 6548 12 288 22 340 21 348 15 347 19 359 6548 6291 9 268 20 339 19 348 10 341 14 355 6291 6133 7 260 17 338 17 347 6*330 9*343 6133 6043 6*252 13 337 13 347 3*295 5*322 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography