DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/21 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.4 - - 52.3 - - 54.1 - - 53.7 - - 52.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 27 - - 25 - - 1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 175 - - 176 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 6027 - - 6027 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6043 - - 6043 - - 6044 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1045 - - 2002 - - 1674 - - 1827 - - 1122 Hgt.Variab. W* 27 - - 75 - - 74 - - 22 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 021 - - 091 - - 090 - - 173 - - 103 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - 0 - - 1 - - 7 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6043 - - 6043 - - 6044 - - 6043 - - 6043 sfcLCL ODpotential -3195 - - -456 - - -521 - - -157 - - -462 ODpotential blCL 9238 - - 6499 - - 6565 - - 6200 - - 6505 blCL maxRH 98 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 0 - - 270 - - 80 - - 100 CAPE Temp@2m 49.4 - - 52.3 - - 54.1 - - 53.7 - - 52.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.8 - - 50.4 - - 51.9 - - 53.3 - - 52.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.6 - - 51.7 - - 53.7 - - 53.6 - - 53.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.3 - - 49.7 - - 51.2 - - 53.2 - - 53.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 27 - - 25 - - 1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 175 - - 176 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 90 - - 101 - - 102 - - 100 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97414 7 342 8 276 11 323 7 295 14 292 97414 90180 10 298 7 333 5 331 6 356 4 177 90180 84627 8 338 5 318 5 328 9 352 4 064 84627 80031 10 340 4 342 4 317 9 335 10 025 80031 76071 6 354 3 314 6 300 7 319 10 008 76071 72570 3 045 4 065 2 301 4 337 8 332 72570 69400 4 280 1 137 3 261 5 328 6 316 69400 66475 10 231 1 169 3 208 4 294 5 267 66475 63760 16 198 9 241 8 227 10 260 6 230 63760 61126 16 225 16 212 15 225 6 253 11 240 61126 58381 14 212 19 222 29 220 29 227 31 212 58381 55560 26 232 27 223 34 203 38 206 33 216 55560 52872 34 227 33 227 32 223 33 224 33 231 52872 50443 41 226 49 234 43 235 46 232 43 236 50443 48255 47 226 59 228 53 233 56 234 49 237 48255 46264 51 225 58 226 62 233 60 237 55 238 46264 44439 56 228 62 229 68 231 60 239 60 236 44439 42752 64 232 69 230 67 228 61 238 60 234 42752 41181 72 234 72 231 63 228 62 232 60 231 41181 39709 77 237 71 234 68 229 61 227 62 222 39709 38337 79 240 78 238 73 225 63 222 65 208 38337 37031 82 239 79 234 71 225 63 220 58 201 37031 35721 77 234 68 229 73 228 60 223 55 202 35721 34377 63 229 61 228 77 232 57 224 54 205 34377 33002 56 229 58 228 68 234 55 224 55 208 33002 31586 53 229 50 227 57 229 53 221 56 212 31586 30120 51 230 42 226 47 224 50 219 55 216 30120 28608 48 231 39 226 45 225 51 224 54 219 28608 27053 47 234 39 229 48 229 52 226 51 223 27053 25460 46 238 40 231 48 232 50 226 48 229 25460 23834 44 243 42 229 46 231 48 226 48 232 23834 22168 41 241 42 227 46 230 46 227 48 235 22168 20459 39 224 41 227 47 229 44 229 47 236 20459 18735 36 201 40 227 49 229 42 232 45 237 18735 17086 33 188 39 225 49 229 40 233 40 235 17086 15589 30 180 38 221 45 226 37 233 34 231 15589 14253 26 170 38 214 42 219 34 231 31 227 14253 13057 23 159 37 208 42 212 33 228 32 228 13057 11982 20 150 35 202 42 208 33 223 30 230 11982 11012 17 148 29 188 37 204 31 220 25 224 11012 10138 11 149 23 167 26 195 27 220 19 205 10138 9353 5 157 19 150 18 183 22 216 16 183 9353 8647 4 164 16 142 14 168 18 208 15 164 8647 8004 6 164 14 139 14 140 14 197 13 158 8004 7427 7 168 11 132 13 130 12 190 13 167 7427 6938 4 183 9 119 12 112 9 180 12 144 6938 6559 0 273 7 098 10 096 7 175 11 131 6559 6296 3 022 7 092 10 092 6 174 8 117 6296 6136 5*024 6*092 9*091 5*174 6*108 6136 6043 5*021 5*091 7*090 4*173 5*103 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography