DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/28 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 32.9 - - 39.5 - - 44.1 - - 38.9 - - 36.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 95 - - 99 - - 0 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1062 - - 1202 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit 6025 - - 6025 - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6025 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 6930 - - 7070 - - 6042 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 815 - - 575 - - 833 - - 1098 - - 455 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 202 - - 213 - - 8 - - 12 W* B/S 0 - - 10 - - 7 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 1 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 028 - - 147 - - 190 - - 239 - - 003 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - 5 - - 10 - - 0 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 401 - - -208 - - 0 - - -136 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6042 - - 6529 - - 7278 - - 6042 - - 6178 sfcLCL ODpotential -7595 - - -6490 - - -5652 - - -6047 - - -5852 ODpotential blCL 13637 - - 13420 - - 12722 - - 12089 - - 11894 blCL maxRH 73 - - 83 - - 72 - - 72 - - 61 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 32.9 - - 39.5 - - 44.1 - - 38.9 - - 36.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.7 - - 32.1 - - 33.2 - - 34.0 - - 30.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 37.3 - - 38.6 - - 43.1 - - 41.3 - - 41.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.7 - - 30.9 - - 32.1 - - 33.5 - - 30.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 95 - - 99 - - 0 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1062 - - 1202 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 33 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96319 13 099 27 077 40 099 29 129 17 095 96319 89186 22 090 16 100 22 097 25 084 23 078 89186 83643 17 064 11 120 10 074 17 070 15 067 83643 79031 11 011 7 095 7 023 11 068 11 048 79031 75056 7 027 1 082 9 307 15 029 10 023 75056 71530 11 359 5 004 10 298 13 344 12 001 71530 68334 15 327 10 307 13 302 15 317 14 321 68334 65396 13 313 14 310 11 324 15 305 18 318 65396 62670 15 306 21 295 17 319 14 322 16 317 62670 60024 24 291 22 301 19 314 16 301 12 282 60024 57250 35 285 24 307 27 292 24 286 27 294 57250 54352 45 284 39 295 45 289 42 289 44 292 54352 51571 54 279 54 285 59 282 55 286 56 292 51571 49062 57 283 56 282 60 281 59 285 65 291 49062 46821 62 283 57 285 60 284 64 285 68 288 46821 44809 64 285 61 287 62 287 67 287 73 293 44809 43010 64 283 62 286 69 287 76 291 77 293 43010 41385 62 280 62 285 73 284 79 284 69 288 41385 39879 59 276 54 290 63 288 64 281 58 288 39879 38461 50 274 55 304 58 307 53 294 53 304 38461 37126 46 277 57 305 63 313 60 312 63 316 37126 35848 44 275 58 294 63 302 70 319 72 321 35848 34570 43 272 62 287 60 291 74 319 77 324 34570 33262 42 271 61 288 64 291 69 315 79 324 33262 31931 41 274 56 291 59 293 65 309 78 323 31931 30563 42 278 52 293 52 294 64 302 76 320 30563 29151 42 279 47 290 48 294 64 297 73 316 29151 27698 42 278 42 283 47 292 63 296 67 310 27698 26207 42 275 40 280 47 290 62 297 63 303 26207 24681 42 272 39 283 47 286 58 297 64 297 24681 23124 40 271 37 285 45 284 54 296 67 296 23124 21533 37 274 35 286 43 286 52 293 65 297 21533 19904 32 279 33 287 41 286 49 291 60 296 19904 18264 25 284 31 287 40 285 47 287 55 293 18264 16693 21 292 28 287 38 283 45 286 49 291 16693 15266 19 297 25 285 36 282 44 286 43 293 15266 13992 18 297 24 283 34 283 42 287 37 296 13992 12846 17 294 24 281 32 285 41 287 34 300 12846 11811 16 290 24 277 31 285 38 285 33 301 11811 10874 15 283 24 273 29 284 34 282 33 300 10874 10026 14 275 22 266 26 281 31 275 33 296 10026 9264 13 264 19 256 23 275 29 269 34 290 9264 8577 11 249 14 238 17 267 25 262 32 284 8577 7952 8 228 11 216 12 255 19 256 26 280 7952 7389 7 197 8*189 6*219 12 241 19 277 7389 6913 7 168 5*162 5*194 6 218 10 275 6913 6544 5 138 4 145 5 190 3 197 4 282 6544 6288 3 096 3 141 5 189 2 196 2 355 6288 6132 3*049 3 139 5 188 1*206 4*015 6132 6042 4*028 3 138 5 187 1*239 4*003 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography