DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/06 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.3 - - 59.6 - - 66.4 - - 65.0 - - 53.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 15 - - 354 - - 363 - - 92 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 2782 - - 7028 - - 8158 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 7698 - - 11041 - - 10991 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6043 - - 8650 - - 12896 - - 14026 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1649 - - 1147 - - 4936 - - 3564 - - 3087 Hgt.Variab. W* 62 - - 422 - - 579 - - 386 - - 0 W* B/S 3 - - 11 - - 12 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 7 - - 8 - - 10 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 070 - - 171 - - 212 - - 228 - - 284 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 13 - - 14 - - 23 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6033 - - -4068 - - -1686 - - -68 - - -3266 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12077 - - 12719 - - 14583 - - 14095 - - 9309 sfcLCL ODpotential -10597 - - -6782 - - -3161 - - -1525 - - -7070 ODpotential blCL 16640 - - 15432 - - 16057 - - 15551 - - 13113 blCL maxRH 69 - - 84 - - 86 - - 83 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 10 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m 50.3 - - 59.6 - - 66.4 - - 65.0 - - 53.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.1 - - 25.0 - - 23.2 - - 24.0 - - 33.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.0 - - 57.2 - - 63.9 - - 64.0 - - 56.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 17.9 - - 24.3 - - 22.6 - - 23.6 - - 33.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 15 - - 354 - - 363 - - 92 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 2782 - - 7028 - - 8158 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 36 - - 45 - - 31 - - 39 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96501 30 285 33 267 40 265 39 268 37 290 96501 89310 25 292 26 282 27 276 30 273 32 293 89310 83804 26 290 22 301 22 294 25 292 29 307 83804 79244 24 293 21 304 21 302 24 310 28 325 79244 75325 16 323 15 306 24 304 25 321 29 326 75325 71874 23 330 16 331 22 304 25 317 29 321 71874 68760 28 315 24 320 23 313 24 317 26 311 68760 65885 29 310 26 321 25 312 28 316 24 301 65885 63190 31 309 28 304 27 306 32 303 28 292 63190 60548 34 312 28 298 30 301 38 298 33 294 60548 57763 43 303 39 298 41 291 45 285 41 289 57763 54847 55 290 51 293 49 284 49 281 50 282 54847 52043 58 282 61 292 55 283 52 285 51 280 52043 49515 54 277 63 288 58 287 52 289 47 285 49515 47258 49 281 60 283 58 287 51 290 48 288 47258 45220 48 293 55 282 59 280 54 288 47 287 45220 43364 61 299 52 279 59 274 57 283 48 284 43364 41667 89 296 47 280 57 271 56 278 49 281 41667 40110 107 287 52 284 53 274 51 273 44 272 40110 38673 95 283 63 282 55 276 43 272 35 266 38673 37340 89 284 64 278 58 275 38 274 29 266 37340 36069 66 284 51 278 58 275 40 266 30 262 36069 34796 52 280 46 275 54 275 44 262 35 258 34796 33493 46 277 42 269 44 271 39 266 34 264 33493 32163 37 283 35 270 32 265 30 277 30 271 32163 30794 29 287 25 282 23 265 26 265 25 275 30794 29380 26 282 21 286 18 268 25 263 21 278 29380 27926 23 272 19 281 17 266 21 262 20 267 27926 26436 19 256 21 266 17 265 21 259 18 249 26436 24911 15 250 20 260 14 272 23 253 14 246 24911 23353 16 263 19 261 13 270 20 257 9 247 23353 21760 19 270 18 267 14 272 10 280 4 321 21760 20123 19 267 16 270 16 275 9 305 4 338 20123 18468 20 258 17 269 16 275 11 325 0 043 18468 16879 18 252 18 263 15 271 10 323 2 107 16879 15430 16 247 17 256 14 267 8 293 4 075 15430 14134 14 248 15 252 12 262 7*278 4 072 14134 12967 12 249 12 243 10*250 7*257 1 086 12967 11914 11 249 11 236 9*234 8 246 1 209 11914 10961 11 240 9 233 9 217 9 234 3 229 10961 10101 10 228 9 215 9 213 10 229 4 238 10101 9327 8 207 8*195 9 211 11 225 5 248 9327 8630 10 188 7*176 9 210 12 223 5 263 8630 7994 13 172 7 173 9 208 13 221 6 274 7994 7422 16 154 7 171 8 207 13 221 6 277 7422 6936 14 149 7 170 8 206 13 220 6 275 6936 6559 7 131 7 169 8 206 13 220 5 265 6559 6296 4 100 7 170 8 205 13 219 4 264 6296 6136 4*075 7 169 8 205 12 219 3*275 6136 6043 3*070 6 169 7 204 10 218 3*284 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography