DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/19 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.2 - - 61.3 - - 58.9 - - 53.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 121 - - 179 - - -10 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1400 - - 3605 - - 176 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6310 - - 8075 - - 6027 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7268 - - 9473 - - 6044 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1757 - - 3601 - - 7117 - - 1719 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 240 - - 370 - - 30 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 17 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 117 - - 167 - - 138 - - 024 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 6 - - 9 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -197 - - 657 - - -1994 - - -1058 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7466 - - 8817 - - 8038 - - 7102 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2713 - - -1235 - - -4007 - - -4486 ODpotential blCL - - - 9981 - - 10708 - - 10051 - - 10530 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 71 - - 83 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 50 - - 200 - - 250 - - 90 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.2 - - 61.3 - - 58.9 - - 53.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.4 - - 43.5 - - 44.4 - - 43.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.9 - - 59.8 - - 59.6 - - 56.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.4 - - 42.7 - - 43.5 - - 42.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 121 - - 179 - - -10 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1400 - - 3605 - - 176 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 66 - - 0 - - 34 - - 66 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97618 18 281 22 301 15 325 16 304 97618 90355 17 301 21 290 19 304 19 336 90355 84729 18 309 14 278 22 292 22 321 84729 80080 18 305 7 302 13 293 18 312 80080 76108 14 297 11 315 8 317 14 314 76108 72599 8 288 8 300 4 321 8 312 72599 69416 6 249 6 252 5 274 6 302 69416 66488 10 240 11 227 8 240 7 266 66488 63780 11 233 15 228 12 255 9 247 63780 61168 13 244 16 230 19 255 17 260 61168 58447 18 249 20 229 24 238 25 240 58447 55632 24 258 21 246 23 237 25 232 55632 52947 33 260 28 254 27 250 27 241 52947 50523 38 258 34 248 34 245 32 242 50523 48339 41 254 38 246 39 244 37 240 48339 46340 41 254 40 247 41 244 41 241 46340 44492 42 253 42 248 40 246 41 243 44492 42771 42 251 41 249 39 248 41 245 42771 41158 39 251 39 249 37 248 40 244 41158 39642 37 251 37 249 36 249 38 241 39642 38219 36 251 37 247 35 248 33 240 38219 36859 37 250 38 247 33 245 31 238 36859 35502 37 247 37 245 32 241 30 235 35502 34120 33 244 34 243 29 241 26 234 34120 32722 28 240 31 240 27 242 22 238 32722 31294 23 239 27 236 26 240 22 245 31294 29825 19 239 22 239 23 239 20 247 29825 28313 13 249 15 247 18 238 14 245 28313 26763 6 251 7 252 11 240 8 256 26763 25178 1 004 2 039 1 228 8 222 25178 23565 8 145 1 121 6 009 5 116 23565 21924 10 138 6 129 5 347 7 051 21924 20247 8 147 9 129 3 140 2 007 20247 18564 8 123 10 151 8 181 4 219 18564 16957 8 162 9 191 12 209 9 202 16957 15494 12 185 16 215 13 222 15 205 15494 14186 15 183 20 216 13 224 18 209 14186 13011 15 193 20 217 12 224 18 213 13011 11950 15 213 18 218 12 219 16 216 11950 10991 16 220 14 217 10 203 12 216 10991 10125 15 215 10*213 9 178 8 207 10125 9346 12 204 7*206 9 160 6 183 9346 8644 10 181 5 187 9 153 6 164 8644 8004 10 155 4 161 10 150 6 159 8004 7428 8*143 4 152 9 147 5 157 7428 6940 6*126 4 147 9 145 4 147 6940 6561 5 117 4 143 8 143 5 121 6561 6297 4 113 4 140 8 141 3 071 6297 6136 4 111 4 140 7*139 4*032 6136 6044 4 113 3 140 6*138 4*024 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography