DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/12 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.3 - - 87.9 - - 87.0 - - 77.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 491 - - 517 - - 199 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7029 - - 12109 - - 11904 - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11170 - - 15373 - - 14571 - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12897 - - 17977 - - 17772 - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 6055 - - 2209 - - 2706 - - 11560 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 639 - - 780 - - 565 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 20 - - 9 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 15 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 230 - - 262 - - 280 - - 240 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 12 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -16 - - 19 - - -6 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6415 - - -2437 - - -2492 - - -11926 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 19313 - - 20415 - - 20265 - - 17972 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9686 - - -5178 - - -5181 - - -15504 ODpotential blCL - - - 22583 - - 23155 - - 22953 - - 21549 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 79 - - 84 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.3 - - 87.9 - - 87.0 - - 77.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.4 - - 17.6 - - 17.7 - - 19.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.0 - - 84.6 - - 85.1 - - 81.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.9 - - 17.4 - - 17.5 - - 19.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 491 - - 517 - - 199 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7029 - - 12109 - - 11904 - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 15 - - 35 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98688 16 095 18 094 20 110 17 099 98688 91179 22 105 16 095 18 091 16 089 91179 85438 27 112 17 114 16 059 21 084 85438 80691 21 093 16 103 13 057 20 088 80691 76602 16 096 14 073 13 081 15 083 76602 72998 10 098 11 061 14 074 13 078 72998 69748 9 103 9 112 9 050 14 071 69748 66769 7 097 12 135 2 010 13 060 66769 64012 5 153 6 185 6 253 5 054 64012 61341 2 009 11 205 10 254 5 357 61341 58576 17 284 8 256 18 252 17 287 58576 55738 26 270 20 276 23 261 22 276 55738 53032 30 271 31 268 28 270 28 268 53032 50595 36 276 36 271 34 271 36 265 50595 48419 41 270 43 269 42 266 45 264 48419 46446 44 264 46 263 47 262 54 263 46446 44632 52 260 48 261 52 260 61 261 44632 42948 57 256 55 260 58 260 62 257 42948 41373 54 252 62 257 59 261 59 256 41373 39896 55 250 60 256 57 260 55 258 39896 38510 55 249 52 256 52 261 51 259 38510 37188 52 250 50 258 48 260 46 259 37188 35864 51 252 51 255 46 258 44 258 35864 34511 51 253 49 255 46 258 50 251 34511 33132 49 255 43 255 45 255 56 250 33132 31711 41 262 39 257 39 260 48 258 31711 30244 37 265 37 259 32 266 35 269 30244 28736 34 266 35 262 30 268 29 276 28736 27190 33 265 35 264 31 269 27 279 27190 25606 31 263 35 266 31 268 27 276 25606 23993 31 263 34 267 30 265 27 266 23993 22346 31 264 32 269 27 266 23 259 22346 20657 33 262 32 270 21 278 18 277 20657 18951 33 259 27*275 15*294 19 298 18951 17312 30 259 18*277 13*292 17 298 17312 15815 26 266 17 276 13 291 14 290 15815 14473 19 275 16 275 12 290 12 280 14473 13263 11*284 16 271 12 288 11 271 13263 12170 8*284 15 265 12 284 11 266 12170 11179 6 255 15 260 12 280 12 262 11179 10284 5 240 15 256 12 276 12 259 10284 9477 6 228 15 252 12 273 12 257 9477 8750 6 222 14 248 12 270 13 254 8750 8085 6 218 14 246 12 267 13 253 8085 7487 7 214 14 243 12 265 12 251 7487 6979 7 210 14 241 12 264 12 249 6979 6584 7 208 13 240 12 263 11 246 6584 6310 7 207 13 239 12 262 9 243 6310 6141 7 206 13 238 11 262 7*239 6141 6045 6 206 12 238 10 261 5*240 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography