DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/10 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 78.8 - - 89.2 - - 92.5 - - 91.5 - - 82.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 148 - - 499 - - 539 - - 214 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1106 - - 13325 - - 13774 - - 12195 - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit 6141 - - 16361 - - 16781 - - 14856 - - 6029 Hcrit BL Top 6974 - - 19193 - - 19642 - - 18063 - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1279 - - 1938 - - 2049 - - 2645 - - 12976 Hgt.Variab. W* 231 - - 795 - - 825 - - 582 - - 7 W* B/S 14 - - 14 - - 13 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 10 - - 12 - - 11 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 164 - - 257 - - 265 - - 274 - - 250 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 10 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 6 - - 11 - - -20 - - -13 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -9845 - - 522 - - -2545 - - -4744 - - -13879 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 16819 - - 18672 - - 22188 - - 22808 - - 19925 sfcLCL ODpotential -12993 - - -1379 - - -5254 - - -8242 - - -18257 ODpotential blCL 19967 - - 20572 - - 24896 - - 26305 - - 24302 blCL maxRH 59 - - 47 - - 30 - - 24 - - 24 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 78.8 - - 89.2 - - 92.5 - - 91.5 - - 82.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.2 - - 27.2 - - 14.0 - - 10.5 - - 15.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 77.5 - - 86.0 - - 89.1 - - 89.5 - - 87.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.1 - - 27.1 - - 13.9 - - 10.5 - - 15.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 148 - - 499 - - 539 - - 214 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1106 - - 13325 - - 13774 - - 12195 - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99341 34 105 23 099 33 101 29 107 23 093 99341 91793 24 111 29 107 23 107 27 095 24 104 91793 85994 25 102 21 112 17 118 26 090 25 090 85994 81195 26 094 19 119 17 116 21 105 25 095 81195 77076 18 096 20 116 16 127 19 120 18 099 77076 73449 17 118 20 111 16 120 11 121 15 089 73449 70174 18 116 21 109 18 134 13 135 10 096 70174 67171 18 096 17 108 19 127 9 126 5 125 67171 64403 2 048 5 153 12 098 10 121 6 124 64403 61744 5 107 6 195 7 192 2 208 10 069 61744 58997 8 061 2 200 6 201 7 198 8 220 58997 56183 6 305 8 277 4 165 8 200 14 201 56183 53520 20 260 23 262 16 277 11 232 17 225 53520 51132 27 253 29 251 36 270 29 275 25 284 51132 48980 30 270 31 262 40 261 41 278 40 284 48980 47008 33 278 32 266 40 260 43 272 43 275 47008 45178 36 284 33 275 37 264 43 270 41 270 45178 43468 37 284 35 282 37 273 43 272 40 271 43468 41861 35 279 36 281 38 278 42 276 40 273 41861 40347 36 273 39 274 39 279 38 282 38 279 40347 38925 39 268 41 271 40 282 37 290 35 290 38925 37566 41 266 42 272 43 283 39 291 32 297 37566 36207 44 272 43 277 43 284 39 287 30 294 36207 34816 49 282 46 285 42 286 35 287 30 286 34816 33399 48 288 43 287 37 283 31 284 29 281 33399 31947 39 283 37 288 33 283 27 285 26 289 31947 30459 32 283 33 284 31 286 25 292 21 305 30459 28939 39 284 33 279 30 289 22 308 18 325 28939 27388 40 281 31 279 27 292 18 320 16 334 27388 25800 37 282 29 287 23 292 16 320 16 331 25800 24176 31 280 26 291 21 291 14 311 14 327 24176 22512 20 277 19 283 18 284 13 300 13 326 22512 20805 14 249 15*274 11*284 11 289 13 328 20805 19082 21 231 14*275 9*286 9*292 11 324 19082 17426 25 227 11 272 10 282 9*290 10 312 17426 15916 20 242 10 263 10 280 10 288 10 303 15916 14561 15 248 10 259 11 275 10 285 9 299 14561 13339 10 251 10 257 11 271 10 282 9 297 13339 12234 7 246 10 257 12 265 11 278 9 294 12234 11233 7 239 10 255 13 261 11 273 8 292 11233 10328 8 252 10 254 14 258 11 270 8 288 10328 9513 13 267 10 252 14 257 12 268 8 285 9513 8777 15 271 10 249 14 255 12 266 8 281 8777 8106 11 268 10 246 15 253 12 264 7 278 8106 7502 5*235 10 242 15 252 12 262 7 274 7502 6989 4*188 9 239 15 250 12 261 7 270 6989 6590 3 160 9 237 15 250 11 259 6 264 6590 6313 3 156 9 235 14 249 11 259 5 258 6313 6143 3 154 9 234 14 249 11 258 4*250 6143 6045 3 155 8 234 13 249 10 259 3*250 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography