DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/14 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 36.7 - - 52.5 - - 57.0 - - 51.3 - - 42.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -53 - - 130 - - 187 - - -31 - - -60 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1367 - - 2294 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6025 - - 6282 - - 7121 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 7235 - - 8162 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 114 - - 1063 - - 1315 - - 1957 - - 182 Hgt.Variab. W* 13 - - 238 - - 319 - - 17 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 20 - - 25 - - 9 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 013 - - 034 - - 038 - - 022 - - 019 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -17 - - -39 - - -39 - - -17 - - -20 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2883 - - -5054 - - -5069 - - -5807 - - -4206 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8925 - - 12289 - - 13232 - - 11850 - - 10249 sfcLCL ODpotential -13564 - - -11630 - - -10513 - - -12926 - - -14142 ODpotential blCL 19606 - - 18865 - - 18675 - - 18969 - - 20185 blCL maxRH 85 - - 66 - - 65 - - 46 - - 31 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 36.7 - - 52.5 - - 57.0 - - 51.3 - - 42.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.6 - - 20.3 - - 20.5 - - 21.1 - - 19.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.9 - - 51.4 - - 55.6 - - 52.6 - - 45.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.4 - - 19.9 - - 20.2 - - 20.9 - - 19.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -53 - - 130 - - 187 - - -31 - - -60 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1367 - - 2294 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 39 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96182 11 081 14 045 25 039 18 067 14 056 96182 89295 29 074 18 088 23 071 28 076 27 071 89295 83916 28 073 21 109 18 080 24 081 29 069 83916 79417 23 076 25 111 11 140 16 090 21 065 79417 75516 24 054 17 108 16 127 12 091 16 058 75516 72051 17 028 17 111 15 124 7 109 12 058 72051 68896 9 042 17 053 17 106 8 117 8 065 68896 65975 9 041 6 031 11 050 10 047 13 026 65975 63262 2 003 3 071 5 072 8 337 9 348 63262 60626 13 080 19 015 13 038 2 302 9 312 60626 57876 12 015 19 353 14 003 17 016 10 332 57876 55053 10 278 3 025 9 320 19 338 19 345 55053 52391 7 008 8 199 12 259 15 323 11 340 52391 49995 55 027 37 031 27 031 24 016 10 015 49995 47833 73 024 66 029 59 029 41 026 18 018 47833 45857 72 019 74 025 66 029 49 030 23 022 45857 44039 58 024 68 025 69 033 52 032 32 021 44039 42364 55 037 64 028 65 034 51 030 42 015 42364 40814 60 041 62 028 58 031 50 027 45 009 40814 39366 64 037 60 026 52 023 51 022 46 004 39366 38009 65 032 57 026 50 017 49 017 48 360 38009 36713 65 030 57 025 52 015 47 011 49 357 36713 35416 64 030 57 024 53 015 46 007 49 358 35416 34089 61 030 57 024 55 017 46 006 48 001 34089 32735 55 028 57 024 55 018 49 008 48 003 32735 31339 49 023 56 025 56 018 51 009 47 002 31339 29895 45 019 56 026 57 018 52 007 45 360 29895 28408 46 020 57 027 57 018 53 005 44 357 28408 26879 49 023 56 026 57 020 53 007 44 359 26879 25311 51 025 53 025 54 021 50 015 46 007 25311 23705 51 025 48 022 49 019 46 021 45 015 23705 22055 48 023 43 021 45 016 43 021 41 019 22055 20357 44 021 38 021 41 015 41 019 37 020 20357 18644 41 020 34 022 36 016 38 020 35 023 18644 17005 38 023 31 023 31 020 32 025 32 026 17005 15517 37 027 29 024 27 023 27 030 27 031 15517 14191 36 031 29 027 24 026 23 035 22 036 14191 13001 35 035 29 030 24 029 22 039 18 041 13001 11929 35 038 29 034 25 033 22 042 17 046 11929 10963 34 041 29 037 27 037 22 043 17 048 10963 10092 34 043 29 040 29 040 24 044 18 048 10092 9313 32 045 28 043 30 041 24 042 19 047 9313 8612 31 046 27 044 28*040 25 039 21 045 8612 7975 29 047 26 043 27*038 24 035 23 041 7975 7405 28 044 25*039 26 037 23 030 26 038 7405 6923 27 037 23*034 25 037 22 025 27 034 6923 6550 24 028 22 034 24 037 21 022 26 029 6550 6291 19 021 20 034 23 038 18 022 22 025 6291 6133 15*017 19 034 21 038 15*023 17*022 6133 6043 8*013 14 035 16 039 9*022 9*019 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography