DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/06 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 28.1 - - 34.8 - - 43.8 - - 40.1 - - 34.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 94 - - 51 - - -3 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 173 - - 174 - - 175 - - 175 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit 6025 - - 6025 - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6041 - - 6042 - - 6043 - - 6043 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 435 - - 937 - - 3397 - - 4865 - - 2515 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 - - 108 - - 89 - - 5 - - 6 W* B/S 1 - - 13 - - 3 - - 0 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 BL Wind Direction 023 - - 158 - - 309 - - 338 - - 299 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 2 - - -9 - - -6 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -99 - - -1652 - - -2356 - - -2209 - - -950 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6140 - - 7694 - - 8400 - - 8252 - - 6992 sfcLCL ODpotential -7798 - - -8352 - - -4536 - - -5364 - - -4764 ODpotential blCL 13839 - - 14394 - - 10579 - - 11407 - - 10806 blCL maxRH 100 - - 89 - - 92 - - 58 - - 57 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 28.1 - - 34.8 - - 43.8 - - 40.1 - - 34.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 22.6 - - 22.5 - - 28.1 - - 25.2 - - 25.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 30.3 - - 33.9 - - 43.1 - - 43.7 - - 39.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.4 - - 22.0 - - 27.7 - - 24.9 - - 26.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 94 - - 51 - - -3 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 173 - - 174 - - 175 - - 175 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 55 - - 69 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96314 6 075 4 334 4 117 4 026 6 355 96314 89097 6 004 5 026 2 125 5 353 5 349 89097 83497 5 000 4 002 1 202 9 315 13 336 83497 78868 4 320 6 282 4 296 5 313 10 300 78868 74908 12 342 5 276 12 285 11 292 11 352 74908 71405 13 302 9 275 17 280 16 306 13 319 71405 68229 13 307 5 260 10 309 20 317 11 313 68229 65301 17 315 10 305 14 291 12 305 17 286 65301 62590 20 279 6 294 22 267 23 261 24 285 62590 60000 41 284 41 285 43 282 39 263 43 288 60000 57354 43 285 24 303 24 286 31 288 37 290 57354 54596 32 275 27 289 48 301 51 303 33 287 54596 51907 61 306 62 297 65 296 67 297 49 300 51907 49453 76 303 71 296 71 294 75 294 64 301 49453 47245 74 296 71 297 74 294 79 297 75 301 47245 45239 68 293 74 297 77 296 84 300 79 301 45239 43397 64 295 76 297 81 298 85 299 80 302 43397 41693 64 303 77 296 84 299 83 298 81 304 41693 40106 70 314 78 299 84 300 82 301 83 307 40106 38625 78 322 81 308 81 303 85 307 90 312 38625 37245 84 325 87 317 80 310 94 315 99 315 37245 35936 86 324 92 320 84 318 103 322 103 317 35936 34631 85 321 95 319 93 324 107 324 103 322 34631 33302 85 319 96 318 101 324 105 324 104 326 33302 31956 87 318 97 316 105 324 101 322 108 326 31956 30578 89 319 97 313 100 324 99 323 107 324 30578 29157 89 320 98 311 90 322 99 326 100 319 29157 27693 88 320 97 308 79 317 95 326 91 318 27693 26187 83 319 92 306 69 314 90 325 84 322 26187 24645 76 317 83 305 63 316 82 323 79 325 24645 23072 69 315 76 305 61 319 71 320 72 323 23072 21465 65 313 71 305 60 320 62 318 63 319 21465 19820 64 312 67 305 58 320 57 319 55 319 19820 18168 61 311 65 306 57 319 54 323 48 321 18168 16593 56 311 61 307 55 319 50 327 44 325 16593 15166 49 313 55 307 51 320 46 331 41 329 15166 13894 43 316 47 308 46 321 41 333 39 334 13894 12755 40 319 40 309 41 323 36 334 37 338 12755 11730 39 322 37 314 38 324 31 333 35 339 11730 10805 38 322 34 321 35 325 27 332 31 339 10805 9970 35 320 32 326 32 326 25 333 27 338 9970 9221 31 317 28 326 28 326 23 335 23 339 9221 8545 27 311 24 323 24 326 22 339 20 342 8545 7929 22 305 18 316 21 326 21 343 18 349 7929 7375 14 299 11 306 16 323 19 346 16 356 7375 6906 6 292 3 302 12 320 17 347 13 358 6906 6540 1 307 0 135 8 317 13 348 8 357 6540 6287 3 061 2 157 7 314 9 347 4 353 6287 6131 4 043 2*154 6*312 6*345 2*352 6131 6042 3*023 2*158 5*309 3*338 0*299 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography