DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/03 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.6 - - 73.4 - - - - - 61.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 114 - - 194 - - - - - -47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 176 - - 1829 - - - - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6027 - - 6816 - - - - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6044 - - 7697 - - - - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1663 - - 3454 - - - - - 110 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 121 - - 303 - - - - - 36 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 22 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 200 - - 282 - - - - - 005 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - -17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1220 - - -2596 - - - - - -1717 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7265 - - 10294 - - - - - 7762 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6271 - - -6246 - - - - - -8119 ODpotential blCL - - - 12315 - - 13943 - - - - - 14163 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 66 - - - - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 250 - - 580 - - - - - 230 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.6 - - 73.4 - - - - - 61.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.3 - - 49.0 - - - - - 48.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.5 - - 71.7 - - - - - 65.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.0 - - 48.3 - - - - - 47.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 114 - - 194 - - - - - -47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 176 - - 1829 - - - - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97717 12 255 10 257 21 290 97717 90448 3 233 9 222 11 307 90448 84851 2 190 2 219 3 271 84851 80222 3 071 3 063 7 031 80222 76241 3 016 5 012 9 043 76241 72723 5 022 4 348 8 003 72723 69560 14 355 10 354 13 002 69560 66669 13 334 14 001 13 007 66669 63986 10 279 16 312 16 345 63986 61388 7 302 18 272 21 316 61388 58695 15 316 17 269 22 285 58695 55914 24 311 18 299 20 278 55914 53253 36 300 31 296 21 284 53253 50846 41 291 38 291 32 290 50846 48678 42 287 39 289 39 289 48678 46697 39 292 43 290 42 297 46697 44865 41 300 47 293 47 298 44865 43158 45 306 52 301 51 296 43158 41557 49 310 58 308 53 299 41557 40050 51 309 56 309 59 306 40050 38637 43 306 51 308 56 310 38637 37290 34 307 39 303 48 307 37290 35947 28 305 33 303 37 306 35947 34583 26 301 34 310 35 301 34583 33201 23 298 30 310 35 299 33201 31783 22 293 28 310 32 294 31783 30315 24 298 25 309 29 289 30315 28801 22 305 18 305 26 298 28801 27245 19 307 15 312 21 303 27245 25658 17 309 15 330 8 293 25658 24041 14 325 14 354 1 259 24041 22384 12 340 12 005 1 046 22384 20680 10 360 10 012 3 043 20680 18957 10 010 8 020 4 044 18957 17303 8 012 7 022 5 053 17303 15796 8 023 6 027 5 072 15796 14446 8 041 5 051 5 088 14446 13232 10 047 8 066 7 093 13232 12136 11 047 12 054 10 091 12136 11145 12 044 14 036 14 084 11145 10251 12 039 15 031 15 075 10251 9448 11 030 13 028 15 066 9448 8724 10 020 11 024 15 061 8724 8063 8 011 7*014 13 056 8063 7470 5 005 3*333 12 046 7470 6966 1 279 3 289 11 032 6966 6576 2 216 3 271 11 018 6576 6304 2 207 3 263 11 008 6304 6139 2*203 3 259 9*007 6139 6044 2*200 3 258 7*005 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography