DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/17 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.6 - - 89.3 - - 88.3 - - 78.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 447 - - 494 - - 172 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3110 - - 11714 - - 9497 - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8009 - - 15014 - - 12540 - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8978 - - 17582 - - 15365 - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 7553 - - 1779 - - 3719 - - 9110 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 470 - - 757 - - 497 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 40 - - 17 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 181 - - 259 - - 235 - - 201 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 13 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 12 - - -23 - - -24 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5470 - - 61 - - -2404 - - -9665 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14449 - - 17522 - - 17770 - - 15711 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7607 - - -1652 - - -4682 - - -14177 ODpotential blCL - - - 16585 - - 19234 - - 20047 - - 20222 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 68 - - 58 - - 55 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.6 - - 89.3 - - 88.3 - - 78.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.1 - - 32.7 - - 30.9 - - 30.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.6 - - 86.0 - - 86.7 - - 83.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.0 - - 32.7 - - 30.9 - - 30.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 447 - - 494 - - 172 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3110 - - 11714 - - 9497 - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 39 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99242 36 101 37 099 27 110 25 099 99242 91778 33 101 31 094 32 097 30 093 91778 85998 33 100 24 103 26 087 32 087 85998 81197 24 092 21 114 20 083 26 071 81197 77093 20 095 20 102 18 093 18 070 77093 73477 19 080 14 085 15 081 14 086 73477 70195 14 067 11 085 7 075 16 061 70195 67184 9 090 9 056 9 067 12 049 67184 64414 10 082 3 077 4 038 9 038 64414 61745 4 045 7 077 2 069 4 005 61745 58975 7 258 3 329 6 288 10 286 58975 56127 12 283 11 277 12 284 16 271 56127 53424 21 280 24 279 26 291 24 281 53424 50995 29 272 30 282 33 282 26 286 50995 48826 24 289 30 297 27 288 31 293 48826 46874 29 297 35 300 28 294 27 288 46874 45094 27 280 29 287 29 283 26 286 45094 43441 23 284 23 273 25 277 27 295 43441 41885 19 316 17 278 20 270 31 296 41885 40414 24 327 18 296 19 272 31 290 40414 39026 21 333 21 296 20 278 28 285 39026 37692 16 326 21 289 24 282 25 282 37692 36352 13 309 21 291 26 287 23 285 36352 34979 15 300 21 291 24 295 23 289 34979 33576 16 303 25 291 23 300 23 292 33576 32132 14 300 20 289 23 301 24 298 32132 30638 15 297 15 289 22 302 23 301 30638 29099 18 310 17 300 19 307 18 298 29099 27519 16 315 16 308 15 321 13 300 27519 25902 11 308 10 305 11 329 7 310 25902 24254 7 295 8 290 7 298 5 272 24254 22569 5 292 7 267 8 271 7 247 22569 20841 5 275 6 252 8 250 7 251 20841 19104 6 279 5*322 4 307 4 227 19104 17441 10 254 7*334 7 340 1 341 17441 15923 13 239 7 334 6*337 3 002 15923 14562 11 231 6 333 6*332 2 336 14562 13337 8 228 4 316 4 311 3 286 13337 12229 5 221 3 290 4 278 4 267 12229 11225 3 198 4 240 5 243 5 259 11225 10319 4 180 5 222 6 228 6 254 10319 9504 5*180 6 216 8 222 6 248 9504 8769 6*180 7 213 8 219 6 240 8769 8099 6 180 8 210 9 217 6 230 8099 7496 6 181 8 208 9 216 6 218 7496 6985 6 181 9 208 9 215 6 209 6985 6587 6 181 9 206 9 214 6 203 6587 6311 6 181 8 206 9 214 6 201 6311 6142 6 181 8 206 9 213 4*199 6142 6045 6 180 8 206 8 214 3*201 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography