DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/19 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.2 - - 73.2 - - 74.1 - - 65.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 162 - - 197 - - 11 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2231 - - 6391 - - 176 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7065 - - 10268 - - 6028 - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8099 - - 12259 - - 6044 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2304 - - 3806 - - 11201 - - 2404 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 313 - - 470 - - 61 - - 20 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 7 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 13 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 176 - - 228 - - 252 - - 301 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - -15 - - 6 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 898 - - 415 - - -8476 - - -7357 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7201 - - 11844 - - 14521 - - 13401 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1806 - - -2198 - - -10636 - - -11863 ODpotential blCL - - - 9905 - - 14457 - - 16680 - - 17907 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 59 - - 41 - - 27 maxRH CAPE - - - 1330 - - 390 - - 50 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.2 - - 73.2 - - 74.1 - - 65.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.0 - - 42.0 - - 31.4 - - 27.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.9 - - 71.7 - - 74.6 - - 70.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.9 - - 41.1 - - 30.5 - - 27.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 162 - - 197 - - 11 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2231 - - 6391 - - 176 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 22 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98452 22 085 14 076 16 072 10 048 98452 91115 19 074 19 087 16 079 15 064 91115 85472 14 069 13 094 15 055 19 061 85472 80797 10 086 13 063 14 052 16 062 80797 76755 7 089 9 029 10 050 14 049 76755 73172 6 069 6 055 10 010 14 027 73172 69925 4 056 7 051 7 008 9 025 69925 66940 8 003 4 010 7 345 9 024 66940 64171 4 350 4 307 10 338 11 003 64171 61497 4 357 4 330 9 313 10 327 61497 58726 3 342 2 311 8 296 9 320 58726 55860 8 317 13 278 15 268 18 299 55860 53134 17 281 20 269 26 282 28 288 53134 50684 25 276 28 270 32 273 33 271 50684 48478 29 274 30 266 32 268 34 263 48478 46457 30 274 30 266 33 271 34 261 46457 44588 31 274 33 272 36 273 35 263 44588 42846 31 272 39 272 41 272 38 267 42846 41212 33 267 43 268 46 271 42 267 41212 39682 37 259 43 263 47 270 43 268 39682 38257 40 247 43 260 44 268 42 272 38257 36911 42 240 43 259 42 271 41 277 36911 35580 40 240 41 258 41 273 41 281 35580 34229 37 244 39 260 39 274 40 283 34229 32854 32 249 38 260 40 278 43 289 32854 31444 31 260 36 261 41 277 46 290 31444 29992 32 263 34 265 39 279 43 291 29992 28504 31 263 33 268 37 280 37 294 28504 26980 28 268 32 266 38 279 30 296 26980 25418 24 269 32 265 37 278 27 301 25418 23818 19 264 31 266 36 280 26 298 23818 22175 18 260 29 265 34 279 27 286 22175 20486 18 257 26 261 31 275 28 277 20486 18785 20 256 25 259 29 268 26 271 18785 17158 24 255 27 260 25 257 23 268 17158 15677 27 250 27 257 20 242 24 263 15677 14350 25 240 23 250 18 235 24 256 14350 13156 22 229 19*244 17 235 23 252 13156 12076 21 227 17*239 17 237 22 251 12076 11099 18 226 16 235 16 240 21 251 11099 10215 15 230 14 230 16 243 20 253 10215 9420 12 233 13 226 15 245 19 256 9420 8704 8*218 12 223 15 247 18 261 8704 8050 6*185 11 221 15 249 16 266 8050 7461 6 178 11 220 14 250 15 270 7461 6962 6 175 10 220 14 251 13 273 6962 6573 6 173 10 220 14 252 11 274 6573 6304 6 172 9 219 13 252 8 281 6304 6139 5 172 9 220 12 252 6*291 6139 6044 5 172 8 220 10*252 5*301 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography