DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/17 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.8 - - 72.5 - - 79.0 - - 76.1 - - 63.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 19 - - 357 - - 377 - - 69 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 3879 - - 10012 - - 6043 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit 6027 - - 8541 - - 13470 - - 9150 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top 6043 - - 9747 - - 15880 - - 11911 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 625 - - 3593 - - 2696 - - 4282 - - 866 Hgt.Variab. W* 63 - - 471 - - 658 - - 317 - - 6 W* B/S 6 - - 19 - - 10 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - 11 - - 14 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 070 - - 254 - - 305 - - 330 - - 019 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 11 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 18 - - 31 - - -24 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8542 - - -6963 - - -2649 - - -6051 - - -8881 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14586 - - 16711 - - 18529 - - 17963 - - 14926 sfcLCL ODpotential -14302 - - -10870 - - -5173 - - -9062 - - -14123 ODpotential blCL 20345 - - 20617 - - 21053 - - 20973 - - 20167 blCL maxRH 27 - - 26 - - 34 - - 27 - - 28 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 61.8 - - 72.5 - - 79.0 - - 76.1 - - 63.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.7 - - 20.0 - - 17.8 - - 17.9 - - 20.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.5 - - 70.0 - - 76.4 - - 75.2 - - 67.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.5 - - 19.7 - - 17.5 - - 17.7 - - 20.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 19 - - 357 - - 377 - - 69 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 3879 - - 10012 - - 6043 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98077 14 078 10 077 12 093 6 149 7 093 98077 90739 12 096 8 102 9 100 1 243 7 028 90739 85102 12 097 10 093 7 121 5 033 5 051 85102 80423 13 067 11 095 7 163 10 026 12 059 80423 76398 12 057 11 102 9 124 5 068 14 070 76398 72840 10 055 10 090 11 096 3 079 11 064 72840 69601 10 055 10 079 11 071 7 056 12 060 69601 66625 11 045 9 071 4 065 10 035 14 040 66625 63888 10 023 10 075 7 094 8 064 7 033 63888 61249 11 012 14 036 16 046 15 050 10 044 61249 58505 5 007 2 003 5 017 11 019 7 032 58505 55670 7 359 2 309 4 290 14 317 19 338 55670 52987 17 303 23 317 22 312 25 303 20 312 52987 50561 26 314 30 311 31 317 29 311 23 312 50561 48357 39 312 38 303 41 312 35 307 36 303 48357 46350 45 312 41 307 43 314 42 312 44 303 46350 44510 50 314 49 314 52 312 52 315 52 312 44510 42809 56 308 56 311 58 306 58 311 58 314 42809 41221 61 304 60 306 59 301 59 307 61 311 41221 39734 62 302 59 302 58 300 60 304 66 305 39734 38343 62 303 57 301 57 298 62 301 69 300 38343 37014 62 304 57 300 58 297 63 301 69 298 37014 35682 62 303 59 297 63 296 64 302 66 299 35682 34321 61 301 61 294 66 294 66 302 65 301 34321 32936 59 301 61 294 66 295 66 302 64 302 32936 31515 57 305 59 295 64 297 65 303 63 302 31515 30050 56 311 55 299 59 300 61 306 60 305 30050 28542 51 313 53 306 56 305 57 309 55 308 28542 26996 44 310 46 309 54 311 53 312 52 310 26996 25419 39 308 40 306 48 311 47 313 44 310 25419 23815 32 307 36 308 40 309 37 314 33 311 23815 22178 26 307 30 310 32 312 27 315 25 315 22178 20496 23 306 25 308 27 310 22 315 21 318 20496 18795 23 305 22 303 25 305 21 315 21 318 18795 17162 22 303 22 302 20*305 22 314 23 313 17162 15674 22 298 23 304 14*305 21 312 25 307 15674 14343 20 292 23 306 13 305 18 313 25 305 14343 13145 17 285 20 307 12 305 16 315 24 309 13145 12063 15 280 16 308 11 304 15*317 22 315 12063 11085 14 283 14 310 11 304 14*322 20 323 11085 10202 13 292 12*310 11 305 14 325 18 331 10202 9408 11 300 9*304 11 305 14 328 16 339 9408 8694 9 304 6 289 11 305 14 330 15 347 8694 8041 7 302 5 264 11 305 14 332 15 356 8041 7454 5 300 4 232 10 304 14 334 14 004 7454 6957 3 298 5 222 10 304 13 334 13 011 6957 6571 1 340 5 214 10 304 13 335 12 015 6571 6302 3 060 5 210 10 304 13 336 9 019 6302 6138 3 069 5 209 9 303 12 335 7*020 6138 6044 2*070 5 207 8 302 10 336 6*019 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography