DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/25 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.9 - - 47.4 - - 46.4 - - 43.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 4 - - 12 - - -2 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 175 - - 175 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6043 - - 6043 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1664 - - 1710 - - 2367 - - 951 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 40 - - 58 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 170 - - 228 - - 205 - - 209 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - 7 - - 4 - - 8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6043 - - 6043 - - 6043 - - 6043 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -147 - - -886 - - -1811 - - -3400 ODpotential blCL - - - 6190 - - 6929 - - 7854 - - 9443 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 89 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 90 - - 100 - - 190 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.9 - - 47.4 - - 46.4 - - 43.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.5 - - 45.2 - - 44.2 - - 38.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.7 - - 47.1 - - 48.6 - - 48.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.3 - - 44.7 - - 44.4 - - 39.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 4 - - 12 - - -2 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 175 - - 175 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 99 - - 57 - - 34 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95960 33 298 30 302 27 308 27 298 95960 88930 17 290 22 295 24 305 29 304 88930 83502 18 300 17 304 17 306 23 315 83502 78982 21 308 18 294 20 307 23 310 78982 75080 20 298 21 316 19 307 20 305 75080 71629 21 304 19 302 18 334 17 333 71629 68482 22 284 21 282 24 289 23 322 68482 65583 12 285 12 277 23 249 21 270 65583 62900 29 260 8 354 9 214 11 226 62900 60262 35 226 29 245 7 277 32 261 60262 57493 48 240 55 248 61 248 65 254 57493 54645 75 247 77 242 82 241 82 247 54645 51939 85 238 85 239 83 241 89 246 51939 49501 86 233 88 242 89 247 94 248 49501 47318 89 237 95 245 100 249 99 249 47318 45347 101 242 99 246 107 248 101 248 45347 43551 112 239 99 244 106 246 100 248 43551 41901 111 237 97 243 100 246 98 251 41901 40368 109 235 98 244 94 248 97 255 40368 38936 115 233 100 246 89 252 97 257 38936 37594 122 229 98 250 88 259 96 259 37594 36310 121 225 94 253 90 262 93 260 36310 35020 117 223 92 256 94 262 92 261 35020 33697 111 225 94 259 98 261 91 260 33697 32344 106 228 97 259 99 258 92 258 32344 30951 99 231 99 257 98 256 92 257 30951 29510 92 234 97 253 96 254 91 256 29510 28027 89 238 95 249 94 253 87 255 28027 26504 87 241 94 247 91 253 83 255 26504 24947 78 242 90 247 88 253 80 255 24947 23360 69 240 83 248 85 254 79 257 23360 21738 61 238 73 246 79 254 76 258 21738 20075 59 236 64 242 71 251 71 258 20075 18402 56 237 58 239 63 246 63 255 18402 16803 50 241 53 238 57 242 55 250 16803 15353 46 241 49 237 52 239 48 245 15353 14060 43 238 47 237 47 237 42 242 14060 12902 37 231 44 238 42 233 36 237 12902 11860 30 220 39 239 37 232 32 229 11860 10917 26 219 34 237 33 231 30 222 10917 10066 25 223 30 235 29 231 29 220 10066 9299 23 221 27 232 26 231 27 221 9299 8607 21 216 23 229 23 232 26 224 8607 7976 20 212 18 225 19 233 23 229 7976 7409 16 209 15 224 15 232 20 230 7409 6927 11 201 11 222 10 228 16 226 6927 6553 8 185 8 223 6 220 13 216 6553 6293 6 173 6 225 4 212 10 208 6293 6134 5*169 5*227 3*206 6*207 6134 6043 4*170 4*228 2*205 4*209 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography