DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/07 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.2 - - 81.8 - - 80.2 - - 71.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 451 - - 451 - - 115 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5098 - - 7665 - - 6873 - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9580 - - 11649 - - 10209 - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10966 - - 13533 - - 12741 - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1729 - - 2065 - - 3220 - - 3521 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 557 - - 639 - - 390 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 15 - - 14 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 236 - - 245 - - 251 - - 309 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 9 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 16 - - 15 - - 7 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -682 - - -705 - - -1498 - - -5890 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11648 - - 14239 - - 14239 - - 11936 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3273 - - -2856 - - -3588 - - -9779 ODpotential blCL - - - 14239 - - 16389 - - 16329 - - 15824 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 78 - - 83 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.2 - - 81.8 - - 80.2 - - 71.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.7 - - 39.9 - - 38.5 - - 40.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.2 - - 78.9 - - 79.1 - - 74.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.7 - - 39.9 - - 38.5 - - 39.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 451 - - 451 - - 115 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5098 - - 7665 - - 6873 - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 31 - - 11 - - 30 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98866 13 124 10 113 10 090 10 140 98866 91458 6 122 13 116 5 120 7 112 91458 85712 5 148 7 111 6 157 10 071 85712 80947 6 108 8 153 3 205 11 044 80947 76851 11 062 13 129 8 135 10 055 76851 73242 10 076 14 107 10 123 10 118 73242 69983 12 100 9 062 16 090 10 110 69983 66988 9 133 4 168 11 060 7 115 66988 64219 14 105 10 131 4 151 4 101 64219 61559 7 191 6 226 5 180 7 253 61559 58820 15 214 16 225 17 235 14 232 58820 56016 27 234 35 230 32 242 28 257 56016 53363 33 240 39 236 42 241 43 254 53363 50972 48 247 49 250 53 248 52 251 50972 48819 59 243 58 244 59 248 55 245 48819 46846 61 240 61 248 63 253 57 249 46846 45018 67 240 70 251 72 253 63 251 45018 43314 75 236 75 239 77 247 70 249 43314 41719 76 231 78 230 75 235 72 244 41719 40222 74 224 76 223 73 225 71 237 40222 38820 72 222 73 221 70 220 69 232 38820 37481 70 222 69 222 67 221 63 228 37481 36137 66 223 63 226 64 225 57 227 36137 34762 60 226 57 228 59 227 54 226 34762 33361 54 232 54 231 56 229 51 225 33361 31920 50 235 53 232 54 230 49 223 31920 30432 48 235 51 232 52 231 47 222 30432 28899 46 235 50 232 50 231 46 225 28899 27323 46 235 48 235 48 232 45 229 27323 25711 47 237 47 238 45 235 43 234 25711 24067 46 242 44 241 42 239 41 238 24067 22388 42 246 41 245 39 244 37 240 22388 20669 38 246 37 248 36 250 32 244 20669 18939 34 245 34 251 33 254 29 252 18939 17286 32 246 32 254 30 255 26 255 17286 15783 30 246 30 256 27 252 23 247 15783 14439 27 248 25*256 21 247 20 231 14439 13230 25 254 19*254 16*246 20 222 13230 12138 21 260 16 250 15*247 18 222 12138 11149 15*258 16 248 14 249 16 227 11149 10256 13*252 15 247 14 249 15 235 10256 9452 12 249 15 244 14 251 14 245 9452 8728 12 238 15 243 14 252 13 258 8728 8068 11 234 15 241 14 252 13 272 8068 7474 11 230 15 240 14 252 13 283 7474 6971 11 226 15 238 13 253 13 288 6971 6579 11 223 14 237 13 253 12 290 6579 6307 11 222 14 237 13 253 9 296 6307 6140 10 221 14 236 12 252 7*300 6140 6045 10 220 12 235 11 252 5*309 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography