DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/12 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.3 - - 53.0 - - 46.6 - - 38.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 116 - - 156 - - -17 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 690 - - 1946 - - 175 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6026 - - 6797 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6558 - - 7814 - - 6043 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 608 - - 1784 - - 1729 - - 215 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 182 - - 284 - - 11 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 12 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 018 - - 033 - - 029 - - 015 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - -17 - - -9 - - -16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5177 - - -6671 - - -6628 - - -4958 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11735 - - 14486 - - 12672 - - 11000 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11973 - - -12001 - - -13115 - - -13615 ODpotential blCL - - - 18531 - - 19815 - - 19158 - - 19657 blCL maxRH - - - 40 - - 44 - - 31 - - 46 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.3 - - 53.0 - - 46.6 - - 38.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 13.8 - - 11.0 - - 13.1 - - 12.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.2 - - 51.6 - - 49.0 - - 42.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 13.4 - - 10.5 - - 12.8 - - 12.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 116 - - 156 - - -17 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 690 - - 1946 - - 175 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95934 37 017 44 040 35 042 26 043 95934 89101 41 040 48 045 39 050 35 058 89101 83701 33 044 37 051 40 050 41 057 83701 79177 27 043 28 042 30 046 39 054 79177 75262 20 047 21 030 23 046 29 040 75262 71787 17 029 13 022 20 033 21 027 71787 68629 18 005 17 024 18 027 17 024 68629 65706 17 003 18 005 20 030 17 038 65706 62976 17 000 10 002 23 004 23 010 62976 60331 14 359 14 353 25 342 21 346 60331 57570 19 346 18 340 19 336 13 352 57570 54687 21 335 17 359 22 350 21 011 54687 51920 21 338 31 357 34 352 30 003 51920 49433 25 345 37 345 37 353 39 002 49433 47222 23 347 32 340 34 355 40 007 47222 45234 20 352 25 349 30 006 41 011 45234 43424 18 020 18 020 27 022 30 013 43424 41759 29 037 21 043 20 035 24 018 41759 40221 32 042 28 049 25 048 23 035 40221 38800 32 044 34 047 41 043 26 051 38800 37484 29 049 31 054 42 038 28 051 37484 36230 28 063 32 077 35 041 20 070 36230 34971 32 072 37 086 26 068 22 097 34971 33680 35 072 36 082 28 087 25 092 33680 32360 35 070 32 072 32 088 24 082 32360 31000 33 070 29 063 29 074 21 080 31000 29591 32 073 27 063 26 056 20 079 29591 28136 31 078 26 065 26 054 20 060 28136 26636 31 079 25 068 26 054 24 057 26636 25094 30 072 25 066 26 050 25 054 25094 23514 32 058 27 058 27 050 27 053 23514 21891 34 054 28 054 27 053 27 059 21891 20222 33 059 28 059 26 058 25 061 20222 18539 30 065 25 068 22 068 22 058 18539 16925 25 069 20 072 17 080 18 054 16925 15458 22 066 16 067 14 078 14 051 15458 14145 20 061 16 062 11 063 13 051 14145 12964 18 057 17 057 10 067 14 050 12964 11899 16 054 18 054 12 074 17 045 11899 10937 16 052 19 050 15 069 20 041 10937 10070 16 049 20 045 17 062 24 039 10070 9293 17 045 20 041 19 056 28 037 9293 8595 18 041 19 037 21 050 32 037 8595 7961 19 036 18*035 22 044 35 037 7961 7395 16 029 16*033 21 037 36 035 7395 6916 11*023 13 032 19 033 33 031 6916 6545 6*019 12 032 16 028 27 025 6545 6289 5 018 11 033 12 028 20 021 6289 6132 4 017 10 034 9*028 14*018 6132 6042 2 015 8 036 4*029 5*015 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography