DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/20 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.7 - - 86.9 - - 85.5 - - 75.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 543 - - 553 - - 226 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7509 - - 10212 - - 8910 - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11601 - - 13834 - - 12279 - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13377 - - 16080 - - 14778 - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1428 - - 1655 - - 2657 - - 6129 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 675 - - 753 - - 535 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 22 - - 18 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 228 - - 234 - - 262 - - 249 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 11 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 22 - - 25 - - -5 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6404 - - -6168 - - -7820 - - -15112 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 19782 - - 22249 - - 22599 - - 21158 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12222 - - -11162 - - -13062 - - -21754 ODpotential blCL - - - 25599 - - 27242 - - 27840 - - 27799 blCL maxRH - - - 24 - - 24 - - 22 - - 42 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.7 - - 86.9 - - 85.5 - - 75.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 15.0 - - 8.4 - - 5.6 - - 3.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.5 - - 83.6 - - 83.8 - - 79.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 14.5 - - 8.1 - - 5.4 - - 3.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 543 - - 553 - - 226 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7509 - - 10212 - - 8910 - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98822 35 094 28 094 29 098 27 101 98822 91264 32 104 24 098 22 088 25 085 91264 85485 23 094 23 100 24 083 23 081 85485 80734 20 105 18 094 20 088 21 085 80734 76642 21 090 15 114 13 071 19 087 76642 73024 10 086 16 107 11 100 13 075 73024 69765 9 144 6 114 18 092 13 089 69765 66785 10 099 8 083 6 092 11 073 66785 64021 6 053 4 203 4 211 1 349 64021 61365 7 067 11 153 12 186 14 196 61365 58630 7 327 8 263 4 250 11 183 58630 55801 29 257 28 258 27 284 18 306 55801 53109 35 243 42 252 41 260 39 276 53109 50694 35 257 43 257 46 258 48 263 50694 48519 49 268 54 265 54 265 53 264 48519 46532 62 267 58 267 60 268 58 267 46532 44699 69 268 60 270 65 271 63 270 44699 42996 74 271 63 273 71 273 68 273 42996 41407 78 271 67 274 77 274 73 275 41407 39919 76 271 69 273 80 274 78 275 39919 38525 72 270 69 272 81 274 82 275 38525 37193 69 270 68 271 74 273 81 275 37193 35864 69 270 68 271 67 273 75 274 35864 34507 70 269 68 270 66 274 70 274 34507 33126 66 266 67 269 66 275 67 275 33126 31707 61 264 63 267 64 274 64 277 31707 30240 59 263 59 264 60 272 61 278 30240 28728 58 263 57 264 56 270 58 276 28728 27176 56 263 57 265 53 270 54 273 27176 25586 52 263 55 266 52 271 50 273 25586 23962 47 263 52 266 48 271 44 273 23962 22303 41 261 47 264 43 271 37 272 22303 20606 35 255 39 260 35 270 28 272 20606 18899 33 249 35 257 28 269 19 281 18899 17263 33 243 33*250 24 267 17 298 17263 15771 34 239 26*240 20*263 18 302 15771 14434 29*239 24 236 19*263 17 298 14434 13229 21*237 23 235 18 262 16 289 13229 12140 17 234 23 234 18 263 17 278 12140 11154 16 232 22 234 18 262 18 271 11154 10263 16 230 21 234 18 262 19 266 10263 9461 16 228 21 234 18 262 19 263 9461 8737 16 226 21 233 18 262 19 262 8737 8076 15 224 20 233 18 261 19 260 8076 7480 15 222 20 233 18 261 18 258 7480 6975 15 221 19 233 17 261 17 256 6975 6581 15 219 19 232 17 260 15 253 6581 6308 14 219 18 232 16 260 12 250 6308 6141 14 218 17 232 15 260 10*247 6141 6045 12 218 15 232 14 259 6*249 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography