DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/28 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1555z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.5 - - 50.3 - - 53.3 - - 50.3 - - 47.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 86 - - 46 - - -4 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1333 - - 1642 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 6026 - - 6027 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 7201 - - 7510 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 861 - - 1073 - - 1421 - - 1743 - - 464 Hgt.Variab. W* 15 - - 217 - - 195 - - 24 - - 20 W* B/S 1 - - 8 - - 6 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 064 - - 154 - - 173 - - 013 - - 011 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 8 - - 9 - - -7 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -64 - - 102 - - -472 - - -1033 - - -1855 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6107 - - 7100 - - 7983 - - 7076 - - 7898 sfcLCL ODpotential -6464 - - -4516 - - -5656 - - -5955 - - -7784 ODpotential blCL 12506 - - 11717 - - 13166 - - 11998 - - 13827 blCL maxRH 70 - - 75 - - 86 - - 89 - - 66 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.5 - - 50.3 - - 53.3 - - 50.3 - - 47.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.7 - - 40.1 - - 39.2 - - 40.3 - - 34.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.7 - - 49.4 - - 52.7 - - 52.2 - - 52.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.6 - - 38.9 - - 38.0 - - 39.0 - - 33.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 86 - - 46 - - -4 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1333 - - 1642 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 44 - - 56 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96788 32 264 43 262 48 275 35 281 42 271 96788 89594 27 280 29 263 30 268 35 282 34 272 89594 84068 18 289 18 253 19 253 26 268 31 290 84068 79462 15 281 13 276 13 250 21 247 26 286 79462 75495 15 264 16 283 12 267 16 246 21 273 75495 72005 10 262 18 264 15 271 16 264 14 278 72005 68827 15 261 19 254 15 268 15 262 12 274 68827 65886 19 243 21 239 25 256 20 263 20 252 65886 63151 21 254 21 239 28 241 26 252 24 255 63151 60492 30 266 22 259 31 244 30 250 28 256 60492 57706 36 259 28 260 36 245 36 257 34 250 57706 54810 40 254 35 256 41 250 44 255 41 245 54810 52049 47 248 49 257 47 252 49 249 48 246 52049 49574 52 244 57 251 57 252 59 247 53 247 49574 47363 54 246 61 245 64 249 62 245 57 247 47363 45371 53 249 59 242 64 247 61 247 59 249 45371 43565 51 251 56 245 61 246 62 251 58 253 43565 41921 51 253 54 248 58 248 63 252 57 254 41921 40402 51 255 54 247 57 251 63 252 53 258 40402 38982 52 257 54 247 57 252 60 252 52 267 38982 37651 53 256 55 248 55 251 55 252 53 270 37651 36378 55 254 55 249 53 251 53 252 53 265 36378 35097 55 252 54 250 52 251 52 253 47 259 35097 33781 55 253 52 250 51 252 50 254 43 260 33781 32437 52 253 50 250 49 253 47 254 41 262 32437 31054 49 253 48 251 47 254 46 254 41 261 31054 29627 46 256 46 253 45 256 45 253 40 260 29627 28158 45 260 45 255 42 258 42 255 38 260 28158 26648 44 263 44 260 41 259 40 258 36 258 26648 25101 44 265 42 264 41 257 39 257 34 255 25101 23519 43 266 41 266 40 256 38 255 33 251 23519 21899 40 265 40 265 39 258 37 252 33 246 21899 20234 36 263 39 262 37 259 35 251 33 242 20234 18553 33 260 36 258 36 258 33 251 31 242 18553 16940 30 259 32 255 33 256 29 252 28 243 16940 15473 27 258 28 253 29 252 26 251 25 244 15473 14162 26 257 25 251 26 249 23 249 23 243 14162 12986 24 255 22 249 22 245 21 244 22 239 12986 11927 22 255 18 247 19 239 21 238 21 234 11927 10970 20 256 15 243 15 229 20 232 20 224 10970 10107 17 255 12 235 14 213 19 224 19 216 10107 9331 14 252 10 220 13 202 17 214 17 208 9331 8631 11 245 9 195 12 189 15 202 15 195 8631 7993 8 227 10 178 11*179 12 187 15 178 7993 7420 6 205 8*166 7*173 9 172 15 168 7420 6934 5 174 6*156 6 173 6 157 12 163 6934 6557 7 147 5 154 5 172 2 107 6 150 6557 6295 5 131 5 154 5 172 2 045 3 085 6295 6135 4 100 5 155 5 173 3*023 4*022 6135 6043 3*064 4 154 4 172 3*013 5*011 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography