DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/27 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.5 - - 60.7 - - 59.2 - - 51.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 517 - - 529 - - 161 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7583 - - 9823 - - 10125 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11644 - - 13494 - - 12996 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13451 - - 15691 - - 15993 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1414 - - 2387 - - 4383 - - 10121 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 668 - - 734 - - 500 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 21 - - 24 - - 20 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 203 - - 212 - - 226 - - 269 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 11 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 33 - - 32 - - 17 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 119 - - 129 - - 527 - - -8425 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13333 - - 15562 - - 15467 - - 14468 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1983 - - -1402 - - -671 - - -10595 ODpotential blCL - - - 15434 - - 17093 - - 16664 - - 16638 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 84 - - 83 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 40 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.5 - - 60.7 - - 59.2 - - 51.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.6 - - 12.7 - - 11.8 - - 8.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.5 - - 57.8 - - 57.8 - - 51.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.4 - - 12.3 - - 11.5 - - 8.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 517 - - 529 - - 161 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7583 - - 9823 - - 10125 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 34 - - 38 - - 33 - - 37 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97495 7 247 3 233 11 277 13 319 97495 90146 5 127 0 125 6 011 2 356 90146 84523 10 120 8 156 7 030 8 064 84523 79859 5 100 10 119 10 132 9 082 79859 75830 7 102 13 103 16 123 10 108 75830 72262 1 231 11 119 12 115 15 104 72262 69028 13 130 7 146 3 130 9 052 69028 66047 18 111 3 220 7 241 4 326 66047 63274 18 074 11 110 5 055 5 172 63274 60592 17 242 3 242 4 171 13 197 60592 57770 38 193 33 201 28 202 26 206 57770 54807 31 211 30 205 31 211 26 224 54807 51963 33 230 29 240 36 234 34 231 51963 49406 46 231 42 238 44 236 39 233 49406 47125 54 229 49 232 48 234 43 236 47125 45057 56 228 54 229 50 232 47 240 45057 43161 61 227 57 228 52 232 51 239 43161 41411 68 223 59 228 53 231 51 238 41411 39783 71 222 63 228 53 231 52 239 39783 38263 78 224 68 227 57 233 56 243 38263 36849 90 224 77 225 62 232 63 242 36849 35512 99 221 90 223 68 231 69 238 35512 34185 102 219 102 220 75 228 66 236 34185 32844 103 219 109 219 82 225 62 238 32844 31493 102 219 105 219 82 223 62 237 31493 30123 98 219 97 217 76 222 65 234 30123 28725 94 217 94 214 71 222 67 231 28725 27300 91 215 91 213 68 222 66 227 27300 25845 87 215 83 214 65 221 61 222 25845 24362 82 214 72 212 61 217 54 215 24362 22854 75 212 64 209 56 211 46 204 22854 21315 69 210 58 209 49 208 41 196 21315 19733 64 210 51 212 39 208 38 193 19733 18132 59 211 45 214 30 210 36 192 18132 16594 54 214 37*212 27*212 34 196 16594 15192 47 215 27*208 25*214 30 207 15192 13938 33*211 26 209 24 216 25 226 13938 12810 26*205 25 209 22 219 23 242 12810 11788 22 202 24 210 21 224 23 252 11788 10862 21 202 24 211 20 227 23 259 10862 10023 21 202 23 213 19 230 23 265 10023 9268 20 202 23 214 19 232 24 269 9268 8585 20 203 22 215 18 234 25 273 8585 7962 20 203 22 215 18 234 25 275 7962 7400 20 204 22 216 17 236 25 276 7400 6922 19 205 21 216 17 236 24 276 6922 6551 19 205 21 216 17 237 21 274 6551 6292 18 205 20 217 16 237 17 272 6292 6134 17 205 19 217 15 237 14*271 6134 6043 15 205 17 217 13 237 10*269 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography