DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/07 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 88.1 - - 95.8 - - - - - 83.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 418 - - 453 - - - - - -43 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2480 - - 14323 - - - - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7508 - - 17130 - - - - - 6029 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8348 - - 20191 - - - - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2928 - - 3041 - - - - - 278 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 427 - - 788 - - - - - 9 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 29 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 179 - - 303 - - - - - 355 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 20 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - -29 - - - - - -17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -10116 - - -913 - - - - - -14049 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 18465 - - 21105 - - - - - 20095 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12252 - - -2432 - - - - - -18201 ODpotential blCL - - - 20600 - - 22623 - - - - - 24246 blCL maxRH - - - 39 - - 47 - - - - - 37 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 88.1 - - 95.8 - - - - - 83.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.8 - - 22.6 - - - - - 16.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.2 - - 92.7 - - - - - 87.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.6 - - 22.4 - - - - - 16.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 418 - - 453 - - - - - -43 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2480 - - 14323 - - - - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99328 37 108 28 100 31 089 99328 91864 37 100 32 109 32 091 91864 86109 37 106 37 110 32 091 86109 81324 27 102 30 100 25 088 81324 77218 23 101 28 100 24 102 77218 73595 20 091 19 102 22 096 73595 70317 15 100 15 099 15 096 70317 67310 14 087 11 113 11 095 67310 64524 11 099 11 103 6 097 64524 61835 12 138 10 122 3 067 61835 59063 5 268 4 037 1 066 59063 56226 9 242 14 297 5 006 56226 53543 5 316 9 297 16 338 53543 51139 8 333 5 272 21 318 51139 48986 14 352 0 064 17 315 48986 47024 23 342 12 350 20 318 47024 45211 29 335 27 344 22 328 45211 43520 31 331 32 342 22 334 43520 41934 30 332 31 340 24 339 41934 40443 29 336 30 340 27 343 40443 39042 27 339 30 343 30 348 39042 37702 23 345 28 348 30 347 37702 36358 21 355 25 356 28 344 36358 34983 23 001 25 002 22 343 34983 33580 24 004 24 003 16 338 33580 32140 22 005 20 001 13 337 32140 30654 19 005 15 003 12 326 30654 29128 13 004 11 006 10 310 29128 27566 11 009 8 000 10 309 27566 25972 10 009 4 008 8 300 25972 24344 10 346 5 013 4 312 24344 22674 9 336 8 011 1 092 22674 20953 7 314 12*356 2 075 20953 19212 6 309 13*343 1 045 19212 17538 5 322 12 339 1 068 17538 16009 5 338 11 336 1 067 16009 14636 4 347 9 331 2 053 14636 13401 4 351 7 323 3 041 13401 12283 5 351 5 303 5 033 12283 11271 4 339 4 283 6 026 11271 10357 4 324 5 246 7 018 10357 9534 2 314 5 228 9 012 9534 8793 1*229 7 216 11 007 8793 8117 3*185 7 211 13 003 8117 7508 4 181 8 207 14 360 7508 6993 4 179 8 206 15 358 6993 6591 5 178 9 204 14 357 6591 6313 5 177 9 202 12 357 6313 6143 5 177 8 202 10*356 6143 6045 5 176 8 202 8*355 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography