DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/24 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0703z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 67.1 - - 77.5 - - 80.3 - - 78.9 - - 70.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 139 - - 477 - - 489 - - 182 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1161 - - 12226 - - 13547 - - 12318 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit 6143 - - 15425 - - 16536 - - 14828 - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top 7029 - - 18094 - - 19415 - - 18186 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1326 - - 3524 - - 2584 - - 4233 - - 14111 Hgt.Variab. W* 230 - - 762 - - 795 - - 555 - - 3 W* B/S 12 - - 19 - - 16 - - 13 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 7 - - 9 - - 8 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 155 - - 190 - - 223 - - 223 - - 184 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 10 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 4 - - 16 - - -24 - - -19 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7516 - - 1186 - - 974 - - -883 - - -10791 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14546 - - 16908 - - 18442 - - 19069 - - 16836 sfcLCL ODpotential -10141 - - -165 - - -171 - - -3074 - - -13467 ODpotential blCL 17170 - - 18259 - - 19586 - - 21260 - - 19511 blCL maxRH 69 - - 67 - - 53 - - 47 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 30 - - 90 - - 30 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 67.1 - - 77.5 - - 80.3 - - 78.9 - - 70.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.6 - - 23.7 - - 19.2 - - 15.2 - - 18.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 65.7 - - 74.5 - - 77.0 - - 77.3 - - 75.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.4 - - 23.2 - - 18.6 - - 14.6 - - 17.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 139 - - 477 - - 489 - - 182 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1161 - - 12226 - - 13547 - - 12318 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 29 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98445 16 122 17 110 12 101 14 083 17 096 98445 90988 10 084 18 115 5 129 11 081 11 062 90988 85283 9 104 14 113 8 139 6 051 11 075 85283 80559 12 125 10 166 7 126 7 094 7 071 80559 76477 8 096 13 180 4 118 8 095 6 104 76477 72853 1 072 9 161 8 166 6 234 2 351 72853 69564 6 188 9 200 9 194 11 214 7 241 69564 66530 7 243 9 215 12 230 12 218 9 226 66530 63700 12 256 11 233 13 249 15 261 8 285 63700 60949 14 251 13 254 17 258 20 275 15 295 60949 58098 18 261 18 267 17 263 21 271 20 274 58098 55177 20 268 21 274 17 267 21 281 20 282 55177 52405 18 273 20 281 20 262 25 271 24 277 52405 49920 18 275 23 273 20 261 22 257 25 260 49920 47706 23 270 22 269 17 271 17 254 22 252 47706 45713 22 272 21 267 19 264 18 255 21 247 45713 43903 22 272 23 255 24 236 20 241 21 238 43903 42244 20 268 21 247 21 232 18 226 21 230 42244 40705 21 270 19 253 17 237 16 212 20 221 40705 39263 24 266 20 254 15 250 14 217 18 216 39263 37912 23 263 23 251 18 251 15 222 19 215 37912 36621 22 265 21 243 20 245 18 223 20 215 36621 35328 19 272 18 234 19 236 20 222 20 216 35328 34006 17 283 15 233 18 229 22 221 20 221 34006 32657 17 278 15 238 18 234 22 220 20 223 32657 31270 19 263 16 245 18 243 20 222 20 219 31270 29839 21 254 18 248 19 246 18 228 19 206 29839 28367 21 249 21 246 20 241 17 236 16 194 28367 26857 20 250 22 244 18 239 16 236 14 195 26857 25310 12 268 19 243 15 250 12 229 14 208 25310 23732 9 282 10 248 13 257 9 230 15 219 23732 22116 11 263 8 273 9 242 10 219 17 218 22116 20454 11 234 11 260 7*249 11 223 18 217 20454 18774 11 236 13*247 7*248 10*227 15 216 18774 17159 9 244 13*226 8 237 9*228 10 219 17159 15684 5 253 9 222 8 229 8 228 7 235 15684 14361 3 251 6 211 9 225 8 228 6 252 14361 13169 3 190 6 188 9 223 8 226 6 257 13169 12090 4 150 7 173 9 221 8 226 5 256 12090 11112 5 134 7 173 10 219 8 224 5 253 11112 10228 5 144 8 172 10 218 8 221 5 250 10228 9432 6 170 8 173 10 218 8 219 5 247 9432 8714 8 181 8 173 10 217 8 218 5 245 8714 8058 11 175 8 173 10 217 8 217 5 244 8058 7467 10*171 8 174 10 217 8 215 5 243 7467 6967 6*163 8 174 10 217 8 214 5 241 6967 6577 3 153 8 175 10 216 7 215 4 234 6577 6305 3 150 8 174 10 216 7 215 3 220 6305 6140 3 150 8 174 10 216 7 214 2 197 6140 6044 2 148 7 175 9 216 7 214 1*184 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography