DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/23 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.3 - - 55.0 - - 49.0 - - 46.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 102 - - 127 - - 0 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 804 - - 1244 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6026 - - 6148 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6672 - - 7112 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 660 - - 1107 - - 1114 - - 671 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 185 - - 229 - - 7 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 8 - - 1 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 138 - - 159 - - 025 - - 357 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 14 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4515 - - -5580 - - -5020 - - -5168 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11188 - - 12692 - - 11064 - - 11211 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13207 - - -12176 - - -12375 - - -12672 ODpotential blCL - - - 19879 - - 19288 - - 18418 - - 18715 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 70 - - 73 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.3 - - 55.0 - - 49.0 - - 46.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.0 - - 20.8 - - 22.2 - - 19.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.2 - - 53.9 - - 53.4 - - 52.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.3 - - 20.4 - - 22.0 - - 19.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 102 - - 127 - - 0 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 804 - - 1244 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 39 - - 0 - - 0 - - 39 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96062 27 302 34 286 33 292 28 299 96062 88951 25 299 27 287 31 287 30 301 88951 83497 24 295 20 285 22 280 24 308 83497 78975 22 301 18 312 19 290 23 319 78975 75048 25 286 24 296 22 291 24 300 75048 71577 18 286 22 296 19 300 19 304 71577 68451 23 280 28 281 27 281 27 280 68451 65600 31 251 32 254 23 251 22 247 65600 62955 26 242 20 248 18 262 23 249 62955 60384 23 271 27 271 37 262 34 250 60384 57727 44 261 51 249 55 251 51 254 57727 54989 63 246 64 241 68 246 66 254 54989 52365 72 241 73 246 65 244 73 244 52365 49976 80 239 77 249 63 246 71 243 49976 47808 83 238 79 247 72 249 74 247 47808 45818 83 239 82 243 80 245 80 249 45818 43982 79 241 85 241 84 240 84 244 43982 42292 81 247 82 244 86 240 86 236 42292 40737 86 249 83 251 87 242 87 232 40737 39294 83 248 84 251 81 238 87 230 39294 37941 75 245 78 248 79 235 84 228 37941 36640 70 241 72 245 84 236 81 228 36640 35329 69 238 73 242 83 235 80 230 35329 33983 67 238 73 239 79 235 82 231 33983 32607 66 239 71 236 77 235 82 232 32607 31195 66 240 69 233 79 232 80 230 31195 29738 67 240 69 231 79 228 76 229 29738 28237 67 237 69 230 76 226 74 230 28237 26696 66 232 68 227 72 226 72 228 26696 25120 64 226 66 223 69 226 72 224 25120 23518 61 222 65 220 64 224 67 221 23518 21883 58 220 63 217 61 220 63 218 21883 20211 54 223 60 216 58 216 61 215 20211 18527 48 227 55 218 54 214 59 213 18527 16917 43 228 50 220 51 215 54 212 16917 15455 38 224 45 221 48 218 49 213 15455 14151 34 217 41 220 46 220 45 214 14151 12980 31 211 38 218 42 220 41 216 12980 11923 28 208 34 215 37 217 38 216 11923 10966 25 204 30 210 32 210 36 216 10966 10101 22 195 27 204 28 202 33 213 10101 9324 20 184 23 195 26 195 30 211 9324 8624 18 173 20 182 21 182 28 208 8624 7985 20 159 19 167 21 166 24 195 7985 7412 18 156 17*163 25 159 25 174 7412 6928 11*152 10*160 20 160 24 170 6928 6553 5*141 8 159 11 164 15 172 6553 6293 4 136 8 159 5 166 7 176 6293 6134 4 137 7 159 1*153 3*179 6134 6043 4 138 7 158 1*025 1*357 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography