DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/23 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.7 - - 51.7 - - 53.2 - - 50.7 - - 46.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 13 - - 77 - - 51 - - 0 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 2282 - - 2790 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 6763 - - 6867 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6043 - - 8150 - - 8658 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3230 - - 2830 - - 1903 - - 3610 - - 1046 Hgt.Variab. W* 59 - - 256 - - 248 - - 8 - - 21 W* B/S 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 9 - - 8 - - 1 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 221 - - 206 - - 200 - - 315 - - 032 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 5 - - 14 - - 13 - - -1 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1679 - - 1401 - - -265 - - -4 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6043 - - 6471 - - 7258 - - 6308 - - 6047 sfcLCL ODpotential -420 - - -336 - - -2182 - - -2583 - - -4373 ODpotential blCL 6463 - - 8486 - - 10840 - - 8626 - - 10416 blCL maxRH 98 - - 79 - - 72 - - 68 - - 62 maxRH CAPE 90 - - 120 - - 90 - - 90 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.7 - - 51.7 - - 53.2 - - 50.7 - - 46.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.3 - - 44.0 - - 42.2 - - 43.8 - - 40.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.5 - - 50.8 - - 52.5 - - 51.3 - - 50.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.7 - - 42.8 - - 41.0 - - 42.5 - - 39.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 13 - - 77 - - 51 - - 0 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 2282 - - 2790 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 90 - - 18 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97301 1 251 15 258 13 254 9 283 7 269 97301 90043 2 088 4 173 9 218 6 299 11 020 90043 84501 3 083 3 109 4 144 3 018 8 351 84501 79901 4 077 3 094 1 126 3 091 9 319 79901 75924 3 056 3 087 1 359 2 042 2 013 75924 72416 6 054 5 078 4 060 2 012 3 044 72416 69238 4 044 8 106 4 050 2 114 2 051 69238 66308 3 050 9 095 7 113 2 094 1 097 66308 63583 2 166 3 343 5 113 2 093 6 276 63583 60934 3 279 2 243 6 178 12 172 16 211 60934 58169 9 286 13 262 9 205 7 172 12 199 58169 55291 30 213 32 224 26 224 11 261 16 240 55291 52538 29 190 33 201 33 213 28 224 27 229 52538 50044 28 222 31 205 29 210 31 221 33 225 50044 47783 44 228 38 219 41 219 43 222 41 225 47783 45721 56 226 49 219 51 222 50 223 56 226 45721 43837 64 226 58 221 60 224 61 228 66 224 43837 42103 73 224 67 220 70 223 71 227 71 222 42103 40493 80 221 74 218 77 220 75 225 75 220 40493 38996 82 217 80 217 80 219 78 221 78 219 38996 37604 82 214 84 214 84 217 80 219 79 217 37604 36285 82 213 85 213 86 214 83 218 78 215 36285 34971 81 213 84 213 84 214 83 217 78 213 34971 33632 82 215 84 215 85 217 83 218 77 213 33632 32275 82 216 86 216 87 218 85 219 78 214 32275 30884 82 215 86 215 87 217 84 217 80 213 30884 29451 82 216 85 214 83 216 79 217 78 211 29451 27980 78 217 82 214 77 217 70 218 71 211 27980 26475 71 218 77 215 72 219 64 219 61 214 26475 24937 64 219 70 217 68 220 58 218 54 216 24937 23366 59 220 63 220 63 220 53 218 49 215 23366 21757 54 220 58 221 56 219 49 219 45 212 21757 20103 51 221 53 222 49 218 45 219 40 210 20103 18437 48 221 48 221 44 218 39 219 32 209 18437 16841 44 218 43 218 40 218 34 220 26 208 16841 15390 40 216 38 215 35 218 28 221 23 209 15390 14094 35 213 33 212 31 219 23 221 20 210 14094 12930 32 211 29 211 26 217 19 220 18 211 12930 11880 28 212 25 210 23 214 15 217 15 212 11880 10931 25 214 20 209 19 208 13 211 12 208 10931 10075 22 214 16 207 16 203 12 207 10 202 10075 9305 18 211 14 206 12*199 10 207 8 199 9305 8612 16 210 12*206 10*199 8 210 5 197 8612 7979 14 211 11*206 8 200 4 220 3 195 7979 7411 11 220 9 206 8 200 2 243 1 093 7411 6929 9 229 8 205 8 201 1 277 4 059 6929 6554 6 229 8 206 7 200 1 289 5 058 6554 6293 4 226 8 206 7 201 1 291 6 051 6293 6135 4*223 7 206 7 201 1*302 6*039 6135 6043 3*221 7 206 6 200 1*315 5*032 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography