DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/16 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.0 - - 48.2 - - 46.4 - - 43.9 - - 40.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 11 - - 18 - - -3 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 175 - - 175 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 6043 - - 6043 - - 6042 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 972 - - 1262 - - 1989 - - 3396 - - 3387 Hgt.Variab. W* 14 - - 56 - - 64 - - 31 - - 15 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - 14 - - 12 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 013 - - 157 - - 187 - - 239 - - 224 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 7 - - 28 - - 13 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -732 - - -1346 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6774 - - 7390 - - 6043 - - 6042 - - 6042 sfcLCL ODpotential -4717 - - -4581 - - -34 - - -442 - - -870 ODpotential blCL 10759 - - 10624 - - 6077 - - 6484 - - 6912 blCL maxRH 101 - - 100 - - 101 - - 100 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 90 - - 90 - - 110 - - 240 - - 190 CAPE Temp@2m 45.0 - - 48.2 - - 46.4 - - 43.9 - - 40.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.4 - - 36.7 - - 46.1 - - 42.5 - - 39.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.8 - - 48.0 - - 46.1 - - 43.8 - - 41.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.1 - - 35.8 - - 45.9 - - 42.2 - - 39.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 11 - - 18 - - -3 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 175 - - 175 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 101 - - 102 - - 102 - - 67 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96327 16 029 14 323 13 036 16 025 13 289 96327 89300 16 038 5 074 16 050 12 050 16 049 89300 83824 10 046 13 070 10 045 13 060 19 056 83824 79259 10 023 11 039 2 354 9 049 14 036 79259 75311 13 349 11 046 2 162 7 355 8 002 75311 71807 10 317 7 005 2 280 10 309 10 333 71807 68631 8 308 8 349 5 001 3 311 9 307 68631 65715 12 279 9 293 7 298 9 298 11 330 65715 63014 14 272 5 299 6 272 13 270 11 264 63014 60409 23 278 16 252 12 250 7 209 12 250 60409 57676 18 283 19 270 17 277 17 255 19 262 57676 54797 26 250 37 255 32 245 28 222 23 230 54797 52006 40 229 47 239 30 234 19 228 23 214 52006 49464 42 232 38 221 26 237 19 251 35 229 49464 47189 39 237 28 221 38 235 38 247 43 238 47189 45131 38 240 32 224 51 225 52 239 53 239 45131 43244 41 236 43 219 61 218 60 230 53 234 43244 41499 49 229 55 219 69 214 67 218 51 232 41499 39877 56 221 70 219 79 211 70 210 51 231 39877 38369 59 218 76 214 91 206 69 205 52 230 38369 36969 58 219 78 208 97 201 72 205 49 232 36969 35644 58 219 79 206 97 199 79 199 48 236 35644 34328 60 218 80 207 97 199 80 189 51 241 34328 32992 63 218 80 208 96 198 76 185 56 242 32992 31640 66 218 81 208 91 197 72 186 58 237 31640 30266 68 219 82 209 79 198 71 187 61 230 30266 28862 68 220 81 208 64 197 68 185 63 226 28862 27429 66 221 74 207 55 190 66 183 62 226 27429 25963 60 219 64 206 49 189 65 183 59 228 25963 24464 55 215 56 206 51 194 64 184 56 229 24464 22931 51 213 52 205 54 195 64 187 54 229 22931 21362 47 211 51 203 55 197 63 191 53 228 21362 19751 43 208 50 201 49 201 59 195 50 228 19751 18127 40 206 47 202 50 202 46 206 45 225 18127 16572 38 208 42 204 52 202 43 210 41 221 16572 15159 34 211 36 205 50 204 44 211 40 222 15159 13895 32 211 33 204 48 206 43 214 38 226 13895 12760 30 213 32 201 45 207 41 218 35 232 12760 11737 27 216 32 199 43 207 40 222 32 238 11737 10812 25 216 32 198 40 205 38 227 31 243 10812 9977 23 215 31 195 38 201 36 232 30 247 9977 9227 21 213 28 190 35 197 33 237 28 251 9227 8552 20 207 25 180 32 193 31 241 23 251 8552 7936 18 199 23 166 29 191 29 243 18 252 7936 7381 14 189 22 160 28 190 28 243 16 253 7381 6910 12 171 18 159 26 190 25 243 14 251 6910 6543 11 163 12 161 23 189 22 242 12 244 6543 6288 5 158 8 162 20 188 19 240 10 233 6288 6132 1 107 6*161 18*188 16 240 8*226 6132 6042 2*013 4*157 14*187 12*239 4*224 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography