DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/06 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 39.7 - - 44.7 - - 41.1 - - 35.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 150 - - 183 - - -10 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1545 - - 2434 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6503 - - 7213 - - 6026 - - 6025 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7413 - - 8302 - - 6042 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1125 - - 1388 - - 2712 - - 1543 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 261 - - 323 - - 6 - - 26 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 10 - - 0 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 6 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 167 - - 201 - - 197 - - 031 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 11 - - 7 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -645 - - -828 - - -2402 - - -721 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8059 - - 9130 - - 8445 - - 6763 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4593 - - -4050 - - -6996 - - -6631 ODpotential blCL - - - 12006 - - 12352 - - 13038 - - 12673 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 71 - - 82 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 39.7 - - 44.7 - - 41.1 - - 35.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.7 - - 25.9 - - 25.4 - - 27.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 38.4 - - 43.1 - - 42.0 - - 39.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 25.4 - - 25.7 - - 25.2 - - 27.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 150 - - 183 - - -10 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1545 - - 2434 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 12 - - 0 - - 30 - - 65 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96264 28 267 21 256 27 245 32 265 96264 89072 17 265 22 284 17 289 17 267 89072 83604 15 253 21 276 22 318 11 309 83604 79074 10 265 11 285 19 296 19 324 79074 75151 12 254 14 298 13 296 19 291 75151 71695 6 261 12 280 11 280 18 276 71695 68565 10 282 16 285 15 290 21 279 68565 65655 20 268 28 276 29 280 26 271 65655 62935 34 269 34 272 35 266 33 262 62935 60289 40 265 39 263 41 264 43 262 60289 57511 47 262 46 260 47 265 50 258 57511 54606 57 256 57 256 54 268 55 261 54606 51815 65 256 63 256 61 267 59 263 51815 49295 71 259 66 259 69 262 67 259 49295 47051 69 258 67 259 72 253 68 252 47051 45044 66 261 64 262 66 253 61 254 45044 43226 74 264 69 266 77 263 71 265 43226 41556 92 262 97 261 102 257 97 259 41556 40014 115 255 108 257 105 252 106 250 40014 38582 119 251 106 250 97 253 97 248 38582 37245 115 250 103 262 90 253 91 254 37245 35970 115 266 106 267 87 260 92 256 35970 34693 113 267 102 267 89 264 84 256 34693 33383 103 261 96 260 88 264 77 254 33383 32046 101 259 97 255 84 263 76 255 32046 30669 95 261 97 256 84 264 78 257 30669 29245 78 263 91 257 85 263 80 257 29245 27780 64 264 81 261 82 261 76 255 27780 26279 55 263 68 265 75 262 65 255 26279 24744 50 262 55 264 64 268 56 261 24744 23179 48 262 47 260 50 269 45 268 23179 21579 47 264 43 258 43 263 36 269 21579 19936 43 268 40 261 39 260 33 263 19936 18279 37 271 37 265 35 263 30 261 18279 16691 29 273 30 263 30 264 27 263 16691 15248 24 274 24 259 26 261 25 264 15248 13961 19 273 19 258 22 260 23 264 13961 12807 14 267 16 260 18 262 20 263 12807 11768 11 255 13 261 15 265 16 259 11768 10832 10 246 12 259 13 268 14 254 10832 9988 9 239 10 255 11 268 13 248 9988 9232 9 223 8 246 8 268 12 244 9232 8552 10 199 6*217 5 250 11 243 8552 7932 9*184 5*206 4 224 7 235 7932 7376 6*175 6 203 4 207 4 205 7376 6906 4 166 6 200 5 201 3 164 6906 6541 4 164 6 198 5 200 3 148 6541 6287 4 163 6 198 5 198 1 129 6287 6131 3 163 6 197 4*197 2*052 6131 6042 3 161 5 196 3*197 2*031 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography