DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/08 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 36.2 - - 47.7 - - 54.9 - - 54.5 - - 44.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 313 - - 362 - - 69 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 2062 - - 3318 - - 2128 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6025 - - 7122 - - 8113 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 7930 - - 9186 - - 7996 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 670 - - 1530 - - 1469 - - 2803 - - 1416 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 366 - - 450 - - 224 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 13 - - 15 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 8 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 304 - - 215 - - 229 - - 221 - - 309 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 10 - - 11 - - 12 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7655 - - -5733 - - -6577 - - -8065 - - -7701 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13698 - - 13663 - - 15764 - - 16061 - - 13744 sfcLCL ODpotential -18728 - - -13723 - - -12408 - - -14138 - - -15800 ODpotential blCL 24770 - - 21653 - - 21594 - - 22134 - - 21843 blCL maxRH 47 - - 43 - - 43 - - 50 - - 40 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 36.2 - - 47.7 - - 54.9 - - 54.5 - - 44.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -1.6 - - 9.3 - - 6.9 - - 5.4 - - 6.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.9 - - 45.6 - - 52.4 - - 53.6 - - 49.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -2.6 - - 8.7 - - 6.3 - - 5.0 - - 5.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 313 - - 362 - - 69 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 2062 - - 3318 - - 2128 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96227 13 289 19 289 20 249 17 282 28 265 96227 89074 11 300 18 258 14 285 11 273 17 278 89074 83563 13 288 21 259 16 292 17 277 17 298 83563 79000 18 304 19 264 21 277 21 279 20 301 79000 75071 19 291 16 267 19 264 17 274 19 289 75071 71600 17 275 14 269 18 250 21 274 19 274 71600 68465 21 267 19 270 22 262 28 278 23 277 68465 65580 24 264 24 263 27 267 31 273 29 265 65580 62898 27 268 25 252 31 263 33 265 32 260 62898 60296 28 266 26 245 33 256 35 257 38 259 60296 57570 26 267 23 253 33 246 36 252 37 252 57570 54719 20 262 24 256 31 245 33 251 33 254 54719 51979 16 259 21 243 27 243 27 255 27 252 51979 49503 14 254 10 251 14 239 21 250 19 249 49503 47284 8 220 4 169 6 210 14 242 13 247 47284 45281 10 145 14 121 9 156 5 240 7 302 45281 43464 23 049 23 053 17 084 3 185 9 228 43464 41800 18 048 22 033 19 046 15 053 3 039 41800 40265 9 081 12 037 12 051 15 041 5 011 40265 38840 21 119 14 085 10 082 8 076 1 184 38840 37502 29 089 20 083 13 092 9 095 4 045 37502 36221 33 074 20 074 12 073 9 072 8 023 36221 34935 33 064 20 066 12 067 9 056 10 029 34935 33619 31 062 20 066 12 063 9 055 14 024 33619 32277 29 068 19 074 12 065 10 059 14 017 32277 30897 27 070 15 085 8 072 7 062 10 016 30897 29471 24 071 12 075 7 059 6 050 8 017 29471 28001 22 072 12 057 10 039 9 034 10 026 28001 26492 22 064 14 043 13 041 10 043 12 038 26492 24949 25 057 17 039 14 047 12 042 10 035 24949 23376 24 058 20 051 14 066 10 064 7 044 23376 21766 18 080 21 066 12 078 7 082 5 082 21766 20111 10 093 14 083 7 079 4 050 3 069 20111 18437 8 048 8 089 4 054 5 016 5 052 18437 16831 6 022 7 057 5 058 4 016 4 044 16831 15370 5 002 7 053 2 095 3 309 4 353 15370 14067 5 346 3 048 2 230 6 273 6 318 14067 12900 5 326 2 306 4 265 6 269 7 298 12900 11849 5 306 4 289 5 303 5 295 6 274 11849 10901 4 298 5 293 7 329 9 325 5 241 10901 10047 3 310 5 304 6 324 8 318 5 226 10047 9280 3 333 4 313 5*305 7 296 5 229 9280 8591 2 337 3 296 4*287 7*256 6 241 8591 7962 2 309 3*259 5 241 7*233 7 249 7962 7398 2 288 4*227 6 227 8 223 7 244 7398 6920 4 282 5 217 6 222 8 220 5 233 6920 6548 5 281 5 213 7 219 8 219 4 221 6548 6291 4 285 6 210 7 217 8 218 3 221 6291 6133 3*296 6 209 6 215 8 217 1*252 6133 6043 3*304 5 209 6 215 7 217 1*309 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography