DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/29 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 42.6 - - 47.8 - - 40.2 - - 33.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 135 - - 158 - - -8 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1282 - - 2556 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6229 - - 7234 - - 6026 - - 6025 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7150 - - 8424 - - 6042 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1296 - - 2118 - - 1928 - - 559 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 235 - - 312 - - 0 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 9 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 6 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 038 - - 041 - - 003 - - 003 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -15 - - 17 - - -6 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9633 - - -9288 - - -9543 - - -7678 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16784 - - 17712 - - 15586 - - 13721 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -17824 - - -16225 - - -18225 - - -17982 ODpotential blCL - - - 24974 - - 24649 - - 24267 - - 24024 blCL maxRH - - - 32 - - 27 - - 31 - - 27 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 42.6 - - 47.8 - - 40.2 - - 33.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - -9.2 - - -8.5 - - -5.9 - - -3.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 41.3 - - 46.3 - - 42.7 - - 39.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -10.0 - - -9.2 - - -6.3 - - -4.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 135 - - 158 - - -8 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1282 - - 2556 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96247 29 037 30 030 22 006 34 005 96247 89152 17 016 14 024 25 008 27 015 89152 83635 11 355 17 350 25 348 31 002 83635 79045 13 327 23 336 21 333 34 354 79045 75097 14 328 23 324 20 325 28 336 75097 71595 21 337 21 321 22 326 26 322 71595 68404 21 330 22 316 24 326 29 322 68404 65464 19 312 21 309 24 312 30 323 65464 62744 20 306 22 304 25 304 31 318 62744 60117 22 303 27 308 26 309 30 308 60117 57377 25 294 27 303 27 312 30 297 57377 54530 28 289 27 293 28 306 29 291 54530 51813 31 287 29 292 34 300 29 298 51813 49377 35 289 33 292 36 296 31 304 49377 47207 38 292 32 295 36 288 36 302 47207 45254 41 290 35 298 35 287 39 293 45254 43475 41 285 41 295 39 296 37 287 43475 41834 36 283 44 286 44 296 33 289 41834 40307 30 288 37 279 46 288 37 297 40307 38880 25 297 33 288 42 282 42 295 38880 37544 25 303 34 296 36 282 37 291 37544 36263 28 305 35 298 24 313 22 312 36263 34978 28 308 35 302 27 343 19 336 34978 33666 22 307 34 308 24 340 14 337 33666 32329 14 309 30 317 16 337 10 055 32329 30956 11 355 19 343 14 004 38 077 30956 29539 19 020 23 018 22 012 43 076 29539 28080 32 029 27 022 28 019 42 075 28080 26579 42 033 26 021 29 032 43 069 26579 25038 36 031 24 019 26 040 41 061 25038 23457 20 011 26 014 21 035 40 067 23457 21832 17 335 28 010 22 023 39 075 21832 20158 18 334 25 012 26 018 37 082 20158 18464 16 348 18 012 27 021 27 083 18464 16837 14 358 14 000 22 024 18 055 16837 15358 11 005 14 357 18 022 18 034 15358 14043 10 008 14 006 16 019 14 037 14043 12866 11 009 13 020 16 022 11 036 12866 11809 11 011 11 032 15 030 10 036 11809 10858 9 013 10 040 14 041 9 044 10858 10005 6 024 10 041 12 050 9 058 10005 9241 7 039 9 040 12 049 9 066 9241 8556 10 040 9*039 12 046 10 063 8556 7934 13 037 8*038 13 041 9 059 7934 7376 13*036 7 039 12 035 9 046 7376 6905 12*036 6 041 10 027 7 035 6905 6539 12 038 6 042 9 020 6 022 6539 6286 11 038 5 045 6 017 6 010 6286 6131 10 040 5 047 4*013 4*006 6131 6042 8 041 4 047 2*003 3*003 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography