DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/21 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.5 - - 75.7 - - - - - 65.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 302 - - 351 - - - - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1649 - - 3199 - - - - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6808 - - 8012 - - - - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7517 - - 9067 - - - - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 704 - - 1821 - - - - - 904 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 335 - - 440 - - - - - 27 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 9 - - - - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 9 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 172 - - 227 - - - - - 243 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 6 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 12 - - 13 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -10869 - - -10451 - - - - - -11663 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 18387 - - 19519 - - - - - 17708 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16591 - - -14890 - - - - - -17820 ODpotential blCL - - - 24108 - - 23957 - - - - - 23864 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 79 - - - - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.5 - - 75.7 - - - - - 65.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 10.2 - - 10.5 - - - - - 9.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.3 - - 73.3 - - - - - 71.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 9.5 - - 9.7 - - - - - 9.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 302 - - 351 - - - - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1649 - - 3199 - - - - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 17 - - - - - 23 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96575 19 242 23 273 25 255 96575 89440 11 257 19 277 9 241 89440 83944 3 270 14 255 12 311 83944 79382 9 337 2 216 16 294 79382 75457 10 287 6 316 11 294 75457 71981 8 252 9 307 15 334 71981 68837 5 353 6 337 11 326 68837 65959 17 360 13 355 7 334 65959 63311 15 002 13 338 9 009 63311 60774 15 010 6 333 11 344 60774 58141 16 352 7 349 10 340 58141 55386 16 325 12 334 11 325 55386 52725 18 311 20 323 21 328 52725 50295 19 315 19 305 24 314 50295 48085 19 313 21 302 26 296 48085 46061 21 309 25 290 33 285 46061 44204 28 297 30 290 40 280 44204 42499 34 288 39 286 45 283 42499 40933 41 280 45 286 51 292 40933 39486 46 277 49 289 56 287 39486 38139 47 278 49 288 51 280 38139 36851 47 278 46 282 47 281 36851 35554 47 279 46 281 46 286 35554 34223 47 280 45 282 47 285 34223 32862 47 281 44 282 47 283 32862 31462 48 281 45 281 45 278 31462 30013 49 280 46 277 42 275 30013 28522 49 279 47 274 39 273 28522 26990 46 278 45 270 38 273 26990 25420 41 276 43 267 41 275 25420 23817 37 272 41 265 44 275 23817 22178 35 267 39 263 46 272 22178 20495 36 266 38 261 46 270 20495 18796 35 269 37 262 44 270 18796 17166 32 270 35 264 41 270 17166 15682 27 267 32 265 37 269 15682 14353 25 260 30 265 33 268 14353 13158 25 252 29 264 31 267 13158 12077 25 246 28 263 30 266 12077 11099 24 242 26 263 29 266 11099 10215 22 239 21 262 28 267 10215 9419 18 237 14*255 26 269 9419 8703 14 230 12*249 25 270 8703 8049 10*209 9 230 22 269 8049 7459 6*178 9 225 18 267 7459 6961 6 172 9 223 13 261 6961 6573 6 172 9 220 9 250 6573 6303 6 171 9 218 6 237 6303 6139 6 171 9 218 3*238 6139 6044 6 170 8 217 2*243 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography