DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/14 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1334z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.9 - - 66.6 - - 69.7 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 39 - - 57 - - 42 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 315 - - 1595 - - 2081 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6027 - - 6028 - - 6028 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - 6183 - - 7463 - - 7949 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2115 - - 2446 - - 2227 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 103 - - 205 - - 198 - - - W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 9 - - 7 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - 201 - - 242 - - 171 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 4 - - 1 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 14 - - 10 - - 14 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 139 - - 1419 - - 1417 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6044 - - 6044 - - 6532 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -450 - - -94 - - -548 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - 6633 - - 7557 - - 8497 - - - blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 95 - - 90 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - 1380 - - 2110 - - 2350 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.9 - - 66.6 - - 69.7 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 60.9 - - 62.2 - - 61.0 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.2 - - 65.9 - - 69.2 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 60.3 - - 61.1 - - 60.4 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 39 - - 57 - - 42 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 315 - - 1595 - - 2081 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 79 - - 61 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 14 - - 14 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98739 16 119 15 138 5 178 98739 91379 10 148 15 166 6 122 91379 85663 8 144 8 154 7 118 85663 80895 11 176 5 184 5 165 80895 76770 12 142 9 160 7 148 76770 73121 2 278 9 183 2 251 73121 69825 4 247 6 190 6 201 69825 66805 9 248 9 260 8 259 66805 64021 14 245 9 227 8 250 64021 61338 11 264 12 254 9 246 61338 58566 15 242 14 244 11 277 58566 55739 18 233 22 250 24 270 55739 53069 22 236 33 236 28 254 53069 50651 29 246 34 252 39 264 50651 48472 49 259 54 258 59 263 48472 46501 60 252 65 250 67 256 46501 44699 63 246 67 247 68 252 44699 43025 64 244 67 245 69 250 43025 41454 64 245 65 244 68 246 41454 39975 63 248 61 245 66 243 39975 38582 62 250 54 246 64 244 38582 37249 60 251 46 246 61 245 37249 35913 54 250 47 246 57 246 35913 34550 45 248 47 245 53 247 34550 33161 44 248 46 245 48 247 33161 31734 44 249 45 249 49 248 31734 30262 46 253 44 251 46 250 30262 28745 46 259 44 254 43 251 28745 27185 45 260 42 260 41 249 27185 25588 42 258 39 264 38 251 25588 23960 38 256 37 261 32 260 23960 22296 33 259 34 258 30 271 22296 20588 31 258 31 255 29 272 20588 18866 30 250 29 257 28 270 18866 17221 30 248 28 261 27 267 17221 15727 29 254 26 265 26 265 15727 14392 28 258 23 267 26 263 14392 13191 27 257 22 261 25 261 13191 12105 25 255 23 255 23 260 12105 11122 22 253 22 254 19 255 11122 10234 18 249 19 254 14 247 10234 9436 13 240 16 253 10 231 9436 8717 9 225 14 252 8 209 8717 8060 9 217 12*249 7*183 8060 7470 9 215 11*247 7*174 7470 6968 8 207 10 243 7 172 6968 6578 8 205 9 240 7 170 6578 6307 7*202 9 240 7 170 6307 6140 7*202 8 239 7 169 6140 6045 6 200 7 238 6 170 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography