DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/19 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.0 - - 48.0 - - 42.2 - - 32.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 154 - - 216 - - -20 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2019 - - 3562 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6846 - - 8111 - - 6026 - - 6025 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7887 - - 9430 - - 6042 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1656 - - 2675 - - 3525 - - 245 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 287 - - 388 - - 14 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 13 - - 9 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 037 - - 024 - - 011 - - 007 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -15 - - -22 - - -18 - - -18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4337 - - -4251 - - -6464 - - -5385 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12224 - - 13681 - - 12506 - - 11428 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9754 - - -8245 - - -10888 - - -12246 ODpotential blCL - - - 17641 - - 17675 - - 16930 - - 18288 blCL maxRH - - - 40 - - 35 - - 27 - - 23 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.0 - - 48.0 - - 42.2 - - 32.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 10.8 - - 9.2 - - 8.9 - - 4.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 41.7 - - 46.3 - - 42.9 - - 36.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 10.5 - - 8.9 - - 8.8 - - 4.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 154 - - 216 - - -20 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2019 - - 3562 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96239 11 012 20 030 16 053 12 058 96239 89147 8 044 10 049 9 035 14 010 89147 83677 12 027 19 013 13 039 19 021 83677 79122 4 054 15 010 8 004 14 022 79122 75148 13 041 10 007 13 012 16 010 75148 71617 18 015 16 329 22 332 23 341 71617 68415 17 358 17 326 20 321 24 336 68415 65471 25 346 27 346 24 336 31 340 65471 62746 37 335 34 337 34 335 36 336 62746 60100 38 325 36 325 41 332 37 330 60100 57328 39 318 40 317 45 323 41 329 57328 54443 45 322 44 311 49 321 48 328 54443 51696 53 320 50 312 58 320 58 323 51696 49226 61 319 60 312 67 316 64 317 49226 47008 73 310 71 309 72 311 67 314 47008 44992 78 304 74 304 72 306 67 313 44992 43151 80 303 72 301 69 305 65 310 43151 41460 77 304 68 300 67 306 61 308 41460 39898 71 305 65 302 62 306 54 306 39898 38442 67 305 64 305 59 307 49 314 38442 37084 63 303 64 305 59 310 51 324 37084 35794 59 301 63 303 59 309 54 328 35794 34506 56 302 60 302 60 307 56 329 34506 33193 55 303 58 303 61 306 56 330 33193 31857 56 304 58 304 62 305 55 332 31857 30486 56 304 58 304 62 305 52 336 30486 29070 57 302 60 304 61 303 47 339 29070 27615 57 300 62 304 60 303 43 342 27615 26124 57 302 62 304 61 306 41 343 26124 24600 58 306 61 306 60 310 40 343 24600 23050 57 309 58 308 55 315 34 345 23050 21468 54 311 52 312 45 319 27 355 21468 19847 48 312 40 315 34 323 22 010 19847 18211 39 312 31 319 24 334 18 018 18211 16643 32 314 26 325 20 348 15 019 16643 15217 27 321 21 333 18 355 13 019 15217 13941 21 329 16 343 14 356 11 020 13941 12795 17 337 12 356 11 359 10 023 12795 11760 13 347 10 010 9 009 10 028 11760 10826 12 003 11 020 10 024 10 034 10826 9983 12 019 11*022 12 034 11 040 9983 9227 13 030 12*023 15 036 13 044 9227 8547 14 034 13 024 16 034 15 044 8547 7929 14*034 13 024 17 027 19 042 7929 7373 13*035 13 024 17 018 21 040 7373 6903 12 036 13 024 17 014 21 032 6903 6538 11 037 13 025 16 013 20 021 6538 6285 10 038 12 025 15 012 18 015 6285 6130 9 039 12 026 12 011 13*012 6130 6042 8 041 10 026 9*011 7*007 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography