DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/04 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.9 - - 44.9 - - 47.1 - - 43.1 - - 39.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 96 - - 47 - - -11 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1476 - - 1994 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 6232 - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 7344 - - 7862 - - 6042 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1158 - - 1037 - - 3698 - - 3613 - - 2567 Hgt.Variab. W* 16 - - 231 - - 208 - - 28 - - 6 W* B/S 1 - - 11 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 10 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 003 - - 184 - - 246 - - 284 - - 257 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - 7 - - 9 - - -3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 1289 - - 1647 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6042 - - 6055 - - 6215 - - 6042 - - 6042 sfcLCL ODpotential -4541 - - -1492 - - -392 - - -1825 - - -3159 ODpotential blCL 10583 - - 8836 - - 8254 - - 7867 - - 9201 blCL maxRH 74 - - 87 - - 84 - - 79 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 70 - - 570 - - 180 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.9 - - 44.9 - - 47.1 - - 43.1 - - 39.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.0 - - 39.1 - - 40.6 - - 38.9 - - 34.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.4 - - 43.9 - - 46.5 - - 44.2 - - 42.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.8 - - 37.9 - - 39.3 - - 37.7 - - 33.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 96 - - 47 - - -11 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1476 - - 1994 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 46 - - 36 - - 14 - - 39 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96427 52 283 65 275 49 289 49 269 66 275 96427 89397 32 295 39 278 38 281 37 292 35 290 89397 83969 24 296 22 284 31 274 35 295 25 303 83969 79458 26 282 14 291 19 285 24 297 21 296 79458 75550 20 289 17 292 15 278 15 293 20 296 75550 72069 17 303 18 284 17 283 12 308 21 299 72069 68903 16 297 16 284 23 275 20 302 18 307 68903 65974 15 284 14 292 20 272 19 301 18 307 65974 63237 17 287 10 318 13 279 14 283 25 289 63237 60588 21 301 20 308 18 302 21 277 28 267 60588 57817 23 312 26 280 25 293 22 261 30 271 57817 54930 27 305 30 287 34 295 30 294 36 284 54930 52172 47 276 45 279 42 285 44 295 37 285 52172 49678 44 266 47 274 41 276 53 288 39 295 49678 47427 44 281 48 279 50 291 53 287 48 295 47427 45376 60 282 63 283 65 290 59 291 55 294 45376 43491 69 274 71 276 70 283 67 287 63 292 43491 41746 73 267 72 269 73 277 71 280 67 289 41746 40121 76 264 74 269 77 274 68 277 64 289 40121 38601 78 264 80 271 81 275 65 277 63 287 38601 37181 79 264 88 270 88 273 66 275 64 290 37181 35829 81 267 93 268 89 269 64 278 65 294 35829 34484 88 270 94 266 85 269 65 284 67 295 34484 33120 96 271 95 267 85 273 67 284 62 290 33120 31744 99 269 96 267 87 273 62 283 49 292 31744 30348 95 264 93 266 80 272 51 289 46 304 30348 28929 84 257 87 265 69 272 47 291 51 309 28929 27486 69 252 79 263 58 273 42 289 53 311 27486 26018 57 251 69 258 50 271 37 286 49 309 26018 24522 51 250 59 250 40 271 32 288 42 309 24522 22994 48 249 52 247 29 273 29 296 37 316 22994 21428 47 247 52 248 28 276 27 302 33 321 21428 19816 45 244 47 247 29 276 26 304 29 324 19816 18188 39 239 39 246 29 279 25 307 25 326 18188 16627 32 231 30 245 25 281 23 309 20 330 16627 15206 26 226 26 248 22 283 21 310 18 333 15206 13936 21 229 22 249 19 283 20 311 16 334 13936 12794 18 234 19 248 18 283 19 311 16 336 12794 11763 16 234 16 250 17 282 17 311 17 338 11763 10832 15 230 15 250 15 280 16 311 18 341 10832 9992 12 214 13 248 14 277 15 312 20 342 9992 9237 10 187 11 242 13 273 13 314 21 342 9237 8558 11 172 8 226 12 267 13 314 20 342 8558 7939 15 166 6 203 12*261 12 311 18 342 7939 7382 19 159 4*186 11*253 12 307 15 343 7382 6911 16 156 4*185 10 247 12 302 11 344 6911 6543 8 153 4 184 10 245 11 295 7 345 6543 6288 3 138 4 183 10 243 9 289 3 336 6288 6132 2*020 4 183 9 242 7 286 2*310 6132 6042 4*003 4 182 8 242 5*284 2*257 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography