DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/30 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.5 - - 82.8 - - 82.7 - - 73.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 441 - - 284 - - 55 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4100 - - 8561 - - 8548 - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8783 - - 12136 - - 10669 - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9968 - - 14429 - - 14416 - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3934 - - 4321 - - 5109 - - 9243 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 515 - - 568 - - 329 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 16 - - 16 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 232 - - 238 - - 251 - - 267 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 13 - - -19 - - 8 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1105 - - 1727 - - -223 - - -5754 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11074 - - 12703 - - 14640 - - 11800 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2731 - - 157 - - -1599 - - -8985 ODpotential blCL - - - 12699 - - 14272 - - 16015 - - 15030 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 92 - - 100 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 990 - - 1060 - - 250 - - 410 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.5 - - 82.8 - - 82.7 - - 73.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.5 - - 47.6 - - 39.3 - - 43.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.5 - - 80.5 - - 82.1 - - 78.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.3 - - 47.5 - - 39.3 - - 43.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 441 - - 284 - - 55 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4100 - - 8561 - - 8548 - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 15 - - 69 - - 98 - - 30 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99090 24 116 16 114 15 097 14 085 99090 91634 20 097 20 113 17 088 21 083 91634 85881 18 102 20 108 13 081 18 089 85881 81120 19 111 18 114 15 107 14 090 81120 77009 14 111 17 107 16 116 13 095 77009 73364 10 113 14 110 11 123 11 112 73364 70061 9 139 10 127 9 110 12 109 70061 67040 10 148 6 162 0 185 5 052 67040 64250 10 156 8 183 8 191 7 241 64250 61563 9 189 13 212 9 206 14 205 61563 58776 11 264 11 226 7 166 9 212 58776 55903 19 234 25 236 23 241 25 235 55903 53195 21 245 34 240 39 237 43 248 53195 50774 45 255 45 248 47 241 52 249 50774 48600 66 257 59 254 58 250 61 253 48600 46620 80 257 73 255 69 254 71 254 46620 44794 84 251 75 252 74 253 74 252 44794 43100 80 243 71 249 72 251 71 249 43100 41522 76 234 68 245 66 249 66 245 41522 40045 74 229 66 240 64 248 63 245 40045 38661 69 229 64 238 63 248 60 247 38661 37338 65 230 60 240 61 250 59 249 37338 36012 62 230 57 243 59 250 57 249 36012 34652 59 231 55 243 56 249 54 245 34652 33265 57 233 52 241 52 246 50 241 33265 31838 54 235 50 239 48 243 46 239 31838 30364 49 238 48 237 46 243 43 238 30364 28846 42 243 44 238 44 244 41 241 28846 27287 36 248 39 241 41 244 40 247 27287 25692 31 252 35 244 38 244 37 251 25692 24063 27 252 33 246 35 243 35 250 24063 22398 26 251 30 247 34 245 32 244 22398 20689 25 248 30 248 31 245 30 242 20689 18969 26 246 26 252 24 247 24 242 18969 17326 26 246 24 252 23 247 22 235 17326 15827 26 245 23 251 22 247 21 235 15827 14483 25 237 22*248 19*248 20 239 14483 13271 24 232 19*244 18*250 18 244 13271 12176 24 233 18 242 17 250 17 248 12176 11184 22 240 16 239 17 250 16 253 11184 10287 18*244 16 238 17 251 15 256 10287 9479 15*244 15 237 16 251 14 259 9479 8751 14 241 15 236 16 251 14 261 8751 8086 11 230 15 236 16 251 13 262 8086 7487 10 227 14 235 15 251 13 263 7487 6979 10 224 14 235 15 251 12 264 6979 6584 10 222 14 235 15 251 10 263 6584 6309 9 221 13 235 14 251 7 264 6309 6141 9 221 13 235 13 251 5*263 6141 6045 8 219 11 235 11 251 4*267 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography