DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/02 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 89.0 - - 97.3 - - 96.2 - - 85.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 448 - - 495 - - 191 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3305 - - 14104 - - 13466 - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8163 - - 17007 - - 15783 - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9173 - - 19972 - - 19334 - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3014 - - 1466 - - 2040 - - 880 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 481 - - 809 - - 580 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 39 - - 15 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 9 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 167 - - 275 - - 268 - - 240 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 16 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - -33 - - -17 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6281 - - 765 - - -1485 - - -11598 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15455 - - 19208 - - 20820 - - 17644 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8490 - - -741 - - -5125 - - -15706 ODpotential blCL - - - 17663 - - 20713 - - 24459 - - 21751 blCL maxRH - - - 48 - - 60 - - 42 - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 50 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 89.0 - - 97.3 - - 96.2 - - 85.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.9 - - 32.7 - - 24.4 - - 29.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 86.0 - - 93.9 - - 94.5 - - 88.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.8 - - 32.6 - - 24.3 - - 29.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 448 - - 495 - - 191 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3305 - - 14104 - - 13466 - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99351 37 099 45 101 39 108 33 105 99351 91816 34 099 33 098 35 083 37 099 91816 86039 33 106 26 104 26 078 35 084 86039 81282 32 108 25 112 18 096 25 080 81282 77180 28 106 22 114 18 114 20 092 77180 73540 23 094 18 102 23 121 16 102 73540 70250 14 093 15 107 20 109 16 103 70250 67238 9 116 12 117 13 110 12 088 67238 64471 7 122 12 119 9 136 7 101 64471 61814 8 128 6 124 5 158 3 173 61814 59060 9 151 3 238 4 339 2 023 59060 56239 3 123 1 198 7 287 11 294 56239 53577 9 009 4 047 2 288 9 267 53577 51186 19 339 12 338 9 347 6 272 51186 49037 20 337 18 324 18 339 9 329 49037 47073 18 344 20 327 23 335 20 340 47073 45254 19 341 23 330 23 329 23 330 45254 43558 21 331 23 322 23 322 22 322 43558 41970 22 318 20 313 22 317 20 321 41970 40478 18 313 18 315 22 321 21 320 40478 39076 13 316 20 325 26 323 24 314 39076 37733 12 323 24 326 28 321 26 310 37733 36387 15 333 22 320 25 312 25 304 36387 35010 16 344 14 305 18 290 23 300 35010 33606 17 337 13 298 16 277 22 291 33606 32163 22 326 20 303 19 288 20 282 32163 30673 18 318 21 297 20 285 24 277 30673 29140 13 317 18 291 18 277 25 272 29140 27564 7 315 13 281 16 265 21 263 27564 25949 4 256 10 251 15 249 18 249 25949 24300 5 188 11 215 14 247 17 248 24300 22619 5 218 7 214 11 261 12 259 22619 20900 9 251 7*307 7*283 8 254 20900 19167 9 246 11*320 7*287 5 279 19167 17503 11 261 12 316 8 281 6 286 17503 15983 14 271 11 309 9 277 7 277 15983 14619 16 279 11 299 9 275 10 270 14619 13390 18 288 11 288 10 272 12 268 13390 12278 18 295 10 276 11 269 14 267 12278 11270 15 305 11 264 12 267 15 266 11270 10358 11 332 11 253 13 265 16 266 10358 9538 7*340 11 245 13 263 16 264 9538 8797 2*345 12 240 14 262 16 262 8797 8121 1 160 12 235 14 261 16 259 8121 7512 2 167 12 232 14 260 16 255 7512 6995 3 167 12 229 14 259 16 250 6995 6594 4 167 12 227 14 259 15 244 6594 6314 4 167 12 227 14 258 13 240 6314 6143 4 167 12 226 13 258 10*237 6143 6045 4 166 11 226 12 257 6*240 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography