DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/09 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 78.0 - - 88.3 - - 95.3 - - 94.0 - - 83.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 79 - - 410 - - 418 - - 145 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 759 - - 2819 - - 14069 - - 14356 - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit 6028 - - 7763 - - 16868 - - 16227 - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top 6627 - - 8687 - - 19937 - - 20224 - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 681 - - 5375 - - 2928 - - 2485 - - 2415 Hgt.Variab. W* 166 - - 443 - - 763 - - 540 - - 13 W* B/S 6 - - 16 - - 13 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 5 - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 114 - - 209 - - 273 - - 284 - - 331 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 3 - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - 11 - - 11 - - 7 - - -17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8812 - - -8352 - - 1104 - - 1313 - - -8720 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 15440 - - 17040 - - 18834 - - 18912 - - 14765 sfcLCL ODpotential -12881 - - -10146 - - 264 - - 163 - - -11480 ODpotential blCL 19508 - - 18833 - - 19673 - - 20061 - - 17525 blCL maxRH 73 - - 79 - - 80 - - 91 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 10 - - 150 - - 90 - - 190 CAPE Temp@2m 78.0 - - 88.3 - - 95.3 - - 94.0 - - 83.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.9 - - 34.3 - - 32.6 - - 31.1 - - 39.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 77.0 - - 85.4 - - 92.4 - - 92.6 - - 84.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.7 - - 34.2 - - 32.6 - - 31.1 - - 39.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 79 - - 410 - - 418 - - 145 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 759 - - 2819 - - 14069 - - 14356 - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 18 - - 19 - - 63 - - 74 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99357 34 104 30 102 31 104 31 107 25 092 99357 91834 32 106 31 102 30 102 25 106 26 079 91834 86014 29 097 28 102 27 105 25 106 21 092 86014 81200 29 087 21 112 26 091 24 104 22 096 81200 77066 26 081 18 108 20 098 21 077 24 096 77066 73416 16 083 17 099 14 105 15 079 19 080 73416 70128 7 093 17 110 9 132 11 072 13 085 70128 67118 8 146 8 149 7 097 4 124 6 081 67118 64319 8 126 7 121 4 224 3 048 2 090 64319 61615 4 093 6 033 9 178 7 282 7 305 61615 58837 8 313 3 259 2 267 10 237 5 264 58837 56001 16 298 8 269 9 290 5 269 1 257 56001 53326 17 280 18 277 16 271 15 291 7 311 53326 50933 19 302 19 281 20 265 22 276 17 301 50933 48789 22 298 23 297 24 274 26 269 26 290 48789 46838 25 293 28 298 27 294 23 276 26 286 46838 45041 24 290 30 293 31 297 24 289 27 295 45041 43365 25 299 31 291 34 294 27 297 32 298 43365 41791 29 303 31 292 33 297 30 299 33 297 41791 40309 31 299 30 297 31 301 30 301 31 299 40309 38915 30 298 26 304 28 302 32 305 28 300 38915 37581 29 301 22 311 22 301 32 307 26 301 37581 36245 27 303 20 302 21 298 26 306 23 299 36245 34877 20 308 13 276 21 291 20 301 20 288 34877 33480 17 305 13 261 17 269 19 295 18 283 33480 32045 14 301 12 259 17 263 21 290 17 287 32045 30564 12 290 11 254 15 267 20 284 16 291 30564 29041 11 281 8 253 12 267 15 266 15 296 29041 27476 10 286 7 265 8 267 10 235 14 286 27476 25874 9 300 7 270 7 251 11 227 12 266 25874 24238 10 290 6 267 10 235 11 239 12 245 24238 22566 12 263 7 261 11 246 10 270 12 253 22566 20854 13 234 10 273 10*269 7*304 14 259 20854 19126 11 232 13 273 10*289 7*307 13 253 19126 17464 10 246 14 274 10 292 8 305 11 248 17464 15947 9 258 13 277 10 291 8 301 9 249 15947 14586 7 273 10 282 11 288 8 297 8 254 14586 13359 7 288 8 285 11 283 9 291 8 261 13359 12250 8 292 8 289 11 277 10 285 7 274 12250 11244 7 284 9 290 11 271 10 280 7 294 11244 10336 6 275 10 291 11 265 10 277 9 311 10336 9519 4 277 8 290 11 260 11 275 11 320 9519 8782 3 278 5*272 11 256 11 272 13 324 8782 8109 1 259 4*233 11 252 11 270 14 326 8109 7503 2 154 5 214 11 249 11 268 16 326 7503 6989 5*141 5 208 11 246 11 268 18 324 6989 6590 5*124 6 203 11 244 11 266 19 325 6590 6312 5 112 6 200 10 244 11 265 17 328 6312 6143 4 110 6 199 10 243 10 265 14*329 6143 6045 4 111 5 197 9 242 9 265 9*331 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography