DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/27 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 89.0 - - 92.4 - - 93.9 - - 85.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 441 - - 314 - - 171 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5626 - - 9513 - - 10851 - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9995 - - 12978 - - 13612 - - 6029 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11494 - - 15381 - - 16719 - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4872 - - 3466 - - 3083 - - 8993 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 572 - - 615 - - 521 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 41 - - 17 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 7 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 246 - - 261 - - 269 - - 272 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -11 - - 7 - - 24 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1900 - - 1012 - - 580 - - -8480 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13395 - - 14369 - - 16140 - - 14525 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3636 - - -598 - - -640 - - -11556 ODpotential blCL - - - 15130 - - 15979 - - 17359 - - 17601 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 99 - - 94 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 540 - - 810 - - 310 - - 180 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 89.0 - - 92.4 - - 93.9 - - 85.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.8 - - 49.8 - - 43.6 - - 42.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.9 - - 89.8 - - 92.4 - - 87.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.6 - - 49.0 - - 43.5 - - 42.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 441 - - 314 - - 171 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5626 - - 9513 - - 10851 - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 25 - - 94 - - 74 - - 38 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99249 39 107 30 104 29 099 30 100 99249 91750 33 098 34 105 27 096 35 090 91750 85994 33 095 35 106 24 098 30 092 85994 81207 26 097 31 104 28 099 28 097 81207 77086 23 104 27 088 29 094 30 096 77086 73466 23 108 20 083 26 089 29 087 73466 70209 23 099 19 109 18 101 21 087 70209 67226 17 091 18 114 14 118 13 083 67226 64475 18 081 17 092 12 115 8 105 64475 61831 12 093 16 099 13 110 11 127 61831 59106 5 143 11 104 14 109 12 119 59106 56310 16 173 13 176 10 170 4 175 56310 53659 25 157 24 169 23 180 21 196 53659 51286 22 147 23 163 27 167 30 177 51286 49152 17 173 20 180 23 173 28 181 49152 47196 23 195 27 191 28 187 33 186 47196 45386 29 190 31 190 33 187 37 183 45386 43695 25 185 29 182 32 185 38 182 43695 42105 23 176 29 169 30 183 35 182 42105 40606 22 168 30 168 31 181 32 180 40606 39196 26 161 23 174 30 178 30 178 39196 37848 24 167 21 181 27 177 29 179 37848 36498 18 175 20 191 26 189 28 189 36498 35116 14 183 20 187 29 198 26 198 35116 33706 14 183 18 185 26 201 25 199 33706 32257 14 196 16 201 21 202 23 196 32257 30761 15 216 15 217 21 202 23 195 30761 29220 19 222 18 218 23 204 24 201 29220 27637 21 215 21 225 24 215 24 206 27637 26017 19 210 22 227 22 225 23 220 26017 24363 15 208 20 221 18 233 19 226 24363 22670 14 204 15 204 14 220 14 226 22670 20936 10 232 11 188 13 182 12 189 20936 19192 7 254 4 209 4 187 12 171 19192 17518 4 282 3 270 4*267 6 179 17518 15992 5 289 4*270 5*276 1 249 15992 14625 5 285 5*270 6 276 3 312 14625 13393 5 302 5 267 7 273 5 308 13393 12279 5*317 6 264 8 272 7 301 12279 11270 4*315 6 261 9 270 9 294 11270 10358 3 308 7 260 9 268 11 289 10358 9537 2 289 7 259 10 267 12 284 9537 8797 2 251 7 259 10 266 14 281 8797 8121 3 225 8 257 10 265 15 278 8121 7512 4 217 8 258 10 264 15 276 7512 6996 4 211 8 257 10 263 15 274 6996 6594 5 207 8 257 10 263 15 272 6594 6314 5 205 8 257 10 262 12 270 6314 6144 5 204 8 257 10 262 10 269 6144 6045 5 204 7 256 9 262 6*272 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography