DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/24 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.5 - - 84.8 - - 79.3 - - 65.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 435 - - 414 - - 66 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 11403 - - 9867 - - 5900 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 14688 - - 13406 - - 9101 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top - - - 17271 - - 15735 - - 11768 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2672 - - 2067 - - 4425 - - 1370 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 720 - - 677 - - 320 - - 33 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 27 - - 22 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 266 - - 255 - - 259 - - 095 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 11 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 28 - - 35 - - 23 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1114 - - 819 - - -178 - - -169 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16158 - - 14917 - - 11946 - - 6213 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 364 - - -454 - - -2203 - - -3976 ODpotential blCL - - - 16907 - - 16189 - - 13971 - - 10020 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 94 - - 91 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 290 - - 210 - - 610 - - 1000 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.5 - - 84.8 - - 79.3 - - 65.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.1 - - 39.9 - - 47.6 - - 57.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.6 - - 82.4 - - 78.6 - - 65.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.0 - - 39.6 - - 46.9 - - 57.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 435 - - 414 - - 66 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 11403 - - 9867 - - 5900 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 47 - - 75 - - 65 - - 53 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99032 37 093 31 101 29 091 31 092 99032 91530 28 094 26 091 26 096 29 080 91530 85746 24 109 22 089 25 104 24 076 85746 80948 21 099 19 110 21 095 20 085 80948 76819 15 110 19 102 20 086 17 097 76819 73184 16 114 11 101 17 072 15 082 73184 69902 12 092 14 127 8 101 13 068 69902 66887 9 075 13 087 10 130 3 080 66887 64098 3 117 7 045 11 079 7 077 64098 61424 7 068 5 031 8 343 7 007 61424 58662 8 358 5 002 5 279 6 296 58662 55812 22 296 23 300 17 297 14 285 55812 53110 38 292 37 292 34 296 25 299 53110 50688 46 281 47 288 40 295 38 296 50688 48520 45 277 50 285 45 292 51 291 48520 46555 48 277 53 283 51 288 57 287 46555 44754 50 277 54 280 56 284 55 282 44754 43087 51 278 53 277 57 278 54 279 43087 41526 52 280 53 276 56 274 54 278 41526 40057 53 280 53 276 54 272 52 276 40057 38676 53 279 52 276 51 273 44 271 38676 37355 49 277 47 274 45 276 40 264 37355 36029 46 276 36 271 39 277 40 259 36029 34667 47 273 30 266 38 271 38 252 34667 33275 47 269 32 263 38 264 42 256 33275 31843 45 266 37 258 38 264 43 260 31843 30362 42 265 39 255 39 266 37 257 30362 28837 35 269 40 254 43 267 35 254 28837 27270 28 278 40 254 44 266 33 256 27270 25666 26 281 40 255 37 268 28 266 25666 24030 23 275 39 258 30 265 26 270 24030 22357 19 261 36 263 28 268 26 271 22357 20640 23 250 33 265 22 265 26 269 20640 18907 28 250 31 264 21 257 25 265 18907 17249 28*255 30 261 18 254 24 261 17249 15743 23*262 29*258 17 255 23 259 15743 14398 20 267 29*258 18 254 24 259 14398 13191 19 269 29 257 22 255 25 259 13191 12102 19 269 29 256 23*256 26 260 12102 11117 19 269 28 256 24*257 25 260 11117 10227 19 268 28 256 24 258 22 260 10227 9428 18 267 27 255 24 259 18 258 9428 8708 18 265 27 254 23 259 14 253 8708 8051 18 264 26 254 23 259 11 242 8051 7461 17 263 25 253 22 260 8 218 7461 6961 17 262 25 252 22 260 6 178 6961 6573 16 261 24 252 21 259 6 140 6573 6304 16 260 23 252 19 259 7 116 6304 6139 15 260 21 251 17 258 6*100 6139 6044 13 259 19 251 14 257 5*095 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography