DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/16 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.0 - - 78.2 - - - - - 67.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 496 - - 506 - - - - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 11365 - - 12583 - - - - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 14737 - - 15760 - - - - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top - - - 17233 - - 18451 - - - - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2208 - - 1509 - - - - - 14247 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 755 - - 787 - - - - - 9 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 17 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 223 - - 222 - - - - - 237 Direction Wind Shear - - - 16 - - 9 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 16 - - 24 - - - - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 386 - - 1253 - - - - - -10545 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16848 - - 17199 - - - - - 16590 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1129 - - 119 - - - - - -13013 ODpotential blCL - - - 18362 - - 18332 - - - - - 19057 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 65 - - - - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 30 - - - - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.0 - - 78.2 - - - - - 67.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.3 - - 22.7 - - - - - 15.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.0 - - 75.1 - - - - - 71.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.6 - - 22.0 - - - - - 15.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 496 - - 506 - - - - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 11365 - - 12583 - - - - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 103 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98119 6 273 8 354 14 313 98119 90718 6 252 15 273 8 015 90718 85010 11 259 15 274 4 326 85010 80251 4 236 12 248 9 277 80251 76143 4 124 8 243 5 312 76143 72508 5 282 13 255 10 308 72508 69229 3 004 5 231 12 278 69229 66228 11 325 4 066 15 253 66228 63457 23 289 11 305 15 259 63457 60775 30 279 20 289 14 281 60775 57951 38 268 37 272 20 297 57951 55001 40 257 41 261 38 263 55001 52194 45 258 46 261 50 255 52194 49684 55 258 55 257 55 259 49684 47441 60 256 63 255 64 261 47441 45409 61 256 66 253 71 251 45409 43566 62 258 66 254 67 245 43566 41882 65 258 64 255 60 247 41882 40325 67 256 61 254 66 252 40325 38873 67 254 55 253 72 248 38873 37517 64 254 52 253 74 240 37517 36227 60 255 51 252 75 237 36227 34937 54 254 49 249 73 236 34937 33621 49 252 47 246 68 237 33621 32282 46 251 46 244 63 239 32282 30909 42 251 46 243 58 242 30909 29492 38 252 48 243 54 243 29492 28034 37 251 49 243 49 242 28034 26534 37 248 48 240 46 238 26534 24999 37 246 42 238 41 235 24999 23434 34 244 36 238 36 233 23434 21842 32 240 31 240 33 231 21842 20213 29 232 28 236 30 233 20213 18567 28*225 23*233 27 239 18567 16986 27*214 20*230 26 243 16986 15540 21 204 19 229 25 245 15540 14243 17 207 18 228 25 247 14243 13074 15 215 18 226 24 248 13074 12014 15 225 17 223 24 248 12014 11053 15 234 17 221 23 248 11053 10183 15 235 16 219 23 247 10183 9398 16 237 16 217 22 246 9398 8689 16 238 16 216 21 245 8689 8041 16 238 16 214 20 244 8041 7456 16 238 16 213 19 241 7456 6959 16 238 15 212 17 238 6959 6572 16 238 15 212 15 235 6572 6303 15 238 15 211 12 234 6303 6139 15 238 14 211 10*233 6139 6044 13 237 13 210 5*237 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography