DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/20 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.0 - - 75.8 - - 75.1 - - 63.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 237 - - 342 - - 40 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2866 - - 7956 - - 176 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7643 - - 11758 - - 6028 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8734 - - 13824 - - 6044 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2863 - - 1764 - - 9605 - - 847 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 377 - - 592 - - 82 - - 25 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 9 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 11 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 218 - - 268 - - 267 - - 008 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - -16 - - 0 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2775 - - -1892 - - -11573 - - -8200 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11509 - - 15717 - - 17618 - - 14245 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7478 - - -6335 - - -16039 - - -14842 ODpotential blCL - - - 16212 - - 20159 - - 22083 - - 20886 blCL maxRH - - - 40 - - 54 - - 78 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.0 - - 75.8 - - 75.1 - - 63.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.5 - - 27.5 - - 18.5 - - 23.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.2 - - 73.4 - - 74.4 - - 68.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.7 - - 26.9 - - 17.8 - - 22.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 237 - - 342 - - 40 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2866 - - 7956 - - 176 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 11 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98354 14 072 16 076 7 115 10 021 98354 90984 12 056 18 076 5 057 11 048 90984 85288 11 048 9 051 12 029 17 052 85288 80591 11 053 5 030 13 028 16 033 80591 76570 14 045 8 052 17 025 18 025 76570 73019 8 044 7 031 14 016 17 023 73019 69795 9 037 7 010 12 012 12 030 69795 66826 7 006 5 016 7 002 9 017 66826 64070 10 323 9 001 5 029 6 025 64070 61406 13 293 11 311 8 321 9 354 61406 58628 12 289 14 277 13 302 14 311 58628 55745 19 272 21 268 21 278 21 289 55745 53006 25 260 26 263 29 271 28 285 53006 50544 27 268 27 270 33 264 34 274 50544 48331 30 275 33 267 38 271 44 273 48331 46326 37 273 32 271 47 276 45 274 46326 44497 39 282 42 292 50 283 50 282 44497 42807 49 292 54 291 55 286 55 284 42807 41229 60 292 59 293 58 286 55 284 41229 39754 59 291 58 295 58 288 55 286 39754 38375 59 296 58 293 57 289 52 288 38375 37061 61 301 58 292 53 287 47 286 37061 35744 59 299 54 295 50 282 49 279 35744 34394 52 294 50 299 50 281 46 279 34394 33015 42 293 49 297 45 283 42 282 33015 31596 36 295 46 297 38 284 39 285 31596 30129 33 296 35 293 35 283 37 285 30129 28620 30 296 30 292 29 286 31 285 28620 27072 28 295 27 292 24 281 25 283 27072 25488 26 294 24 288 22 283 22 284 25488 23871 25 295 22 285 20 287 19 288 23871 22216 23 296 21 286 18 290 17 292 22216 20515 22 296 19 288 17 293 17 291 20515 18800 22 292 18 289 16 294 16 287 18800 17159 20 287 18 287 15 294 14 283 17159 15668 19 283 17 289 11 297 12 277 15668 14338 20 279 15*291 8 310 10 266 14338 13143 21 278 15*290 8 311 6 248 13143 12064 18 282 15 289 8 307 3 221 12064 11088 14 290 13 280 8 299 2 221 11088 10206 11 295 12 274 8 290 1 277 10206 9412 8*291 11 264 9 283 2 331 9412 8697 5*266 11 257 9 278 4 348 8697 8044 4 228 11 251 9 275 5 001 8044 7457 5 213 10 247 9 273 7 008 7457 6959 5 209 10 243 9 270 7 011 6959 6572 5 206 10 241 9 269 7 011 6572 6303 5 204 10 239 9 268 7 008 6303 6139 5 203 9 238 9 267 7*010 6139 6044 5 202 8 237 8*267 6*008 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography