DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/14 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.5 - - 86.9 - - - - - 75.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 410 - - 337 - - - - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10362 - - 14400 - - - - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13801 - - 16994 - - - - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top - - - 16230 - - 20268 - - - - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2591 - - 2295 - - - - - 1755 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 684 - - 716 - - - - - 15 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 8 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 17 - - - - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 216 - - 273 - - - - - 001 Direction Wind Shear - - - 18 - - 7 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 24 - - 17 - - - - - -21 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - 3208 - - - - - -7348 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16231 - - 17061 - - - - - 13394 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1652 - - 2167 - - - - - -10322 ODpotential blCL - - - 17882 - - 18101 - - - - - 16367 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 100 - - - - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 130 - - 390 - - - - - 310 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.5 - - 86.9 - - - - - 75.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.8 - - 32.4 - - - - - 37.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.6 - - 84.5 - - - - - 76.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.6 - - 32.2 - - - - - 37.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 410 - - 337 - - - - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10362 - - 14400 - - - - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 86 - - 99 - - - - - 40 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98827 28 104 23 097 27 101 98827 91324 25 093 24 102 19 076 91324 85595 19 088 18 094 17 080 85595 80847 19 101 13 105 20 079 80847 76739 18 097 18 118 17 060 76739 73118 12 115 13 104 12 061 73118 69859 11 125 7 092 13 061 69859 66871 13 121 10 073 12 051 66871 64110 11 069 6 037 11 049 64110 61446 15 354 6 057 6 009 61446 58679 11 312 8 342 10 334 58679 55821 19 303 18 274 21 288 55821 53099 28 293 30 277 28 274 53099 50648 38 279 41 281 36 276 50648 48440 52 272 53 277 45 274 48440 46429 60 263 63 271 55 271 46429 44583 64 258 70 266 61 266 44583 42879 65 257 69 262 62 262 42879 41295 65 259 64 260 61 264 41295 39815 62 259 61 260 60 267 39815 38431 59 262 58 264 56 270 38431 37110 59 263 58 266 54 273 37110 35787 56 260 55 267 52 275 35787 34434 50 262 48 271 48 277 34434 33059 39 271 40 277 36 275 33059 31653 33 277 37 280 31 278 31653 30203 31 281 35 279 30 280 30203 28709 30 289 33 277 29 281 28709 27172 29 296 29 281 26 283 27172 25598 24 292 25 289 22 285 25598 23992 19 292 22 290 22 283 23992 22349 20 293 20 286 23 280 22349 20659 19 284 19*284 25 277 20659 18951 19 272 18*280 25 274 18951 17310 18*273 18 276 24 272 17310 15812 15*270 18 275 24 274 15812 14468 11 260 18 275 23 277 14468 13258 9 247 18 275 22 283 13258 12163 7 227 17 273 21 290 12163 11172 6 203 17 272 20 297 11172 10275 7 194 17 272 20 303 10275 9469 7 185 17 271 19 310 9469 8741 8 180 16 270 19 316 8741 8078 8 177 16 270 19 324 8078 7480 8 174 16 269 19 334 7480 6975 9 173 15 269 20 347 6975 6581 9 171 15 269 19 356 6581 6308 9 170 14 268 17 360 6308 6141 8 170 14 268 15*001 6141 6045 8 170 12 267 10*001 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography