DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/15 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.5 - - 55.4 - - - - - 47.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 54 - - 18 - - - - - -118 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1703 - - 2132 - - - - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6026 - - 6027 - - - - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7571 - - 8000 - - - - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1301 - - 2581 - - - - - 251 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 216 - - 190 - - - - - 43 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 27 - - 25 - - - - - 14 BL Wind Direction - - - 036 - - 034 - - - - - 026 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 13 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -41 - - -37 - - - - - -26 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 277 - - -102 - - - - - -499 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7294 - - 8103 - - - - - 6542 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6104 - - -4152 - - - - - -6124 ODpotential blCL - - - 13675 - - 12152 - - - - - 12167 blCL maxRH - - - 62 - - 57 - - - - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.5 - - 55.4 - - - - - 47.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.7 - - 40.9 - - - - - 39.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.0 - - 55.1 - - - - - 50.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.4 - - 39.7 - - - - - 38.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 54 - - 18 - - - - - -118 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1703 - - 2132 - - - - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97584 9 252 18 248 21 300 97584 90340 12 268 17 264 9 298 90340 84756 11 259 10 266 8 324 84756 80119 5 272 4 251 5 331 80119 76135 3 118 4 226 1 005 76135 72615 6 100 4 138 7 351 72615 69439 5 022 6 101 5 349 69439 66526 0 174 2 244 4 100 66526 63821 5 219 9 261 9 334 63821 61213 10 224 13 227 11 294 61213 58486 8 291 9 272 8 287 58486 55640 21 281 22 279 15 292 55640 52918 27 254 29 258 22 278 52918 50457 28 244 31 241 29 252 50457 48232 29 255 30 246 34 240 48232 46200 39 261 31 251 37 239 46200 44336 58 253 40 252 37 239 44336 42614 67 244 48 249 28 238 42614 41011 64 242 49 247 21 243 41011 39515 52 242 45 248 18 259 39515 38121 40 237 39 246 16 275 38121 36798 25 245 33 243 14 301 36798 35481 16 262 19 242 8 331 35481 34138 13 278 9 285 11 080 34138 32772 14 288 10 326 30 083 32772 31372 15 302 12 350 52 068 31372 29928 14 302 16 015 60 066 29928 28442 10 301 16 018 53 075 28442 26916 4 305 8 016 46 084 26916 25354 3 343 3 018 21 074 25354 23758 7 353 2 339 10 050 23758 22118 12 026 6 360 15 054 22118 20427 17 042 10 017 17 054 20427 18719 19 051 14 051 18 062 18719 17079 21 057 21 080 20 067 17079 15588 21 062 24 087 19 072 15588 14257 23 067 23 089 16 080 14257 13063 25 070 20 090 16 091 13063 11987 28 071 18 090 16 098 11987 11016 32 070 20 085 15 103 11016 10139 35 066 23 072 14 105 10139 9352 36 061 26 055 17 100 9352 8643 36 054 27*043 22 091 8643 7999 32*043 27*037 28 077 7999 7422 30*037 27 035 34 063 7422 6934 29 036 26 034 34 051 6934 6556 27 036 25 033 30 039 6556 6294 25 035 23 033 26 031 6294 6135 22 035 20 033 22*029 6135 6043 16 036 15 034 14*026 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography