DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/08 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.4 - - 71.3 - - 77.2 - - 76.2 - - 67.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 98 - - 413 - - 463 - - 145 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 774 - - 6406 - - 11528 - - 11308 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit 6027 - - 10598 - - 14836 - - 13840 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top 6642 - - 12274 - - 17396 - - 17176 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 746 - - 3807 - - 2180 - - 1882 - - 11643 Hgt.Variab. W* 180 - - 586 - - 742 - - 502 - - 0 W* B/S 14 - - 15 - - 9 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 7 - - 16 - - 17 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 101 - - 294 - - 320 - - 319 - - 287 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 17 - - 6 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 29 - - -23 - - -18 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7846 - - -3607 - - 152 - - -587 - - -9259 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14489 - - 15881 - - 17244 - - 17763 - - 15303 sfcLCL ODpotential -12968 - - -6100 - - -1819 - - -3612 - - -12273 ODpotential blCL 19610 - - 18374 - - 19215 - - 20788 - - 18317 blCL maxRH 52 - - 65 - - 72 - - 58 - - 75 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 61.4 - - 71.3 - - 77.2 - - 76.2 - - 67.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.2 - - 22.2 - - 21.7 - - 18.5 - - 21.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.4 - - 68.5 - - 74.2 - - 74.9 - - 71.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.8 - - 21.6 - - 20.8 - - 17.9 - - 20.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 98 - - 413 - - 463 - - 145 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 774 - - 6406 - - 11528 - - 11308 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97767 9 010 10 275 10 317 15 291 14 303 97767 90378 5 321 11 242 16 280 11 309 6 312 90378 84654 11 295 3 272 7 258 8 307 7 281 84654 79904 11 272 6 289 5 255 7 277 9 316 79904 75826 7 284 7 283 8 283 7 308 6 322 75826 72229 8 285 10 277 11 295 9 323 5 012 72229 68978 10 321 16 260 19 273 21 286 10 308 68978 65985 16 317 10 268 18 260 21 278 11 319 65985 63215 28 288 17 286 17 263 23 290 23 299 63215 60551 31 276 21 286 16 277 24 272 22 290 60551 57773 31 287 27 288 19 295 17 265 25 289 57773 54895 31 293 30 288 30 299 21 300 25 298 54895 52162 31 294 32 293 35 301 29 313 25 311 52162 49719 32 293 29 293 30 299 31 311 24 314 49719 47546 27 314 24 311 21 314 28 314 27 329 47546 45593 35 332 30 336 28 335 28 332 33 339 45593 43816 42 335 43 337 37 339 32 352 36 344 43816 42177 49 336 50 334 43 338 35 000 36 346 42177 40649 51 337 49 334 44 336 35 354 34 349 40649 39217 49 339 43 334 41 335 35 343 31 351 39217 37873 45 341 39 334 39 335 33 338 28 347 37873 36585 42 343 37 333 38 335 30 337 27 340 36585 35293 41 346 35 331 38 333 27 337 27 332 35293 33970 39 348 33 329 37 333 26 337 26 326 33970 32621 36 346 33 326 36 333 26 335 23 322 32621 31234 31 342 33 322 34 334 27 331 20 318 31234 29800 29 342 31 321 32 335 27 326 17 313 29800 28323 28 344 29 319 30 338 28 324 16 315 28323 26805 26 343 27 315 29 339 28 325 18 321 26805 25248 24 333 25 310 27 337 26 327 22 324 25248 23657 23 320 24 309 26 333 23 332 26 325 23657 22033 25 318 22 313 26 332 24 337 29 325 22033 20369 27 323 24 321 27 330 27 332 29 318 20369 18695 24 326 27 323 24*326 27*324 22 315 18695 17091 20 331 27 323 18*322 20*319 15 321 17091 15626 19 339 22 325 16 319 20 318 15 323 15626 14312 19 343 18 325 15 319 19 318 15 325 14312 13128 17 343 17*325 15 319 19 318 16 326 13128 12056 14 337 15*324 16 319 18 318 16 325 12056 11085 12 329 13 321 16 320 17 319 16 324 11085 10206 11 323 11 313 16 320 16 319 15 321 10206 9414 10 322 8 300 16 320 15 319 15 318 9414 8700 9 323 7 282 16 320 15 319 14 313 8700 8048 7 325 6 257 15 320 14 319 14 308 8048 7460 5 331 6 243 15 320 13 320 13 301 7460 6962 2*004 6 234 15 320 13 319 12 293 6962 6574 2*080 6 228 14 320 12 319 10 286 6574 6304 2 103 6 225 14 320 12 319 8 282 6304 6139 2 110 6 223 13 319 11 318 7*284 6139 6044 2 113 6 221 12 319 10 318 5*287 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography