DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/06 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.5 - - 76.8 - - 74.0 - - 65.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 183 - - 262 - - 2 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1444 - - 4158 - - 177 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6524 - - 8644 - - 6028 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7312 - - 10026 - - 6045 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2170 - - 5797 - - 8507 - - 1217 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 275 - - 436 - - 34 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 22 - - 20 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 225 - - 251 - - 241 - - 001 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - -8 - - 4 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3146 - - -3014 - - -6042 - - -4137 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10458 - - 13040 - - 12088 - - 10181 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6228 - - -4936 - - -8346 - - -8672 ODpotential blCL - - - 13540 - - 14962 - - 14391 - - 14716 blCL maxRH - - - 47 - - 68 - - 89 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 520 - - 560 - - 690 - - 480 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.5 - - 76.8 - - 74.0 - - 65.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.6 - - 40.4 - - 41.9 - - 41.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.0 - - 74.8 - - 73.8 - - 69.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.8 - - 40.0 - - 41.6 - - 41.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 183 - - 262 - - 2 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1444 - - 4158 - - 177 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 55 - - 50 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97915 19 251 20 256 23 258 25 281 97915 90597 8 259 17 233 19 268 14 299 90597 84928 2 140 14 223 16 291 10 348 84928 80225 4 039 4 230 8 318 7 314 80225 76206 11 356 7 017 6 353 3 298 76206 72675 13 349 12 007 12 011 9 024 72675 69494 9 323 12 340 13 005 16 006 69494 66590 5 354 10 339 10 004 16 346 66590 63906 17 351 15 355 12 351 15 339 63906 61298 21 339 22 347 16 342 21 351 61298 58567 24 319 25 323 27 319 28 326 58567 55744 27 311 29 313 32 309 31 314 55744 53055 32 313 35 322 40 320 45 319 53055 50631 43 323 47 322 53 320 53 316 50631 48447 50 320 52 317 60 316 58 313 48447 46449 53 317 52 314 62 312 61 309 46449 44601 56 313 51 312 59 312 60 308 44601 42879 56 312 49 309 54 312 57 308 42879 41266 57 309 49 310 49 309 53 309 41266 39754 57 306 53 315 45 305 46 304 39754 38342 56 303 59 312 41 302 38 300 38342 36998 51 300 62 305 44 306 35 296 36998 35653 40 297 58 297 50 304 37 295 35653 34279 31 289 42 289 46 303 36 298 34279 32891 26 278 22 275 27 296 17 299 32891 31485 21 272 19 264 14 268 4 173 31485 30046 20 267 17 264 12 250 10 139 30046 28565 19 258 13 262 10 231 11 138 28565 27040 12 226 11 241 12 219 9 157 27040 25474 7 177 14 210 14 221 8 196 25474 23875 4 187 10 198 11 196 8 204 23875 22238 4 224 6 217 8 170 8 152 22238 20557 5 235 3 201 7 175 9 146 20557 18856 5 221 1 129 7 159 8 165 18856 17220 5 196 3 094 7 135 9 165 17220 15728 4 186 5 085 8 124 12 149 15728 14392 2 154 7 063 8 113 12 138 14392 13190 2 091 8 041 6 079 10 121 13190 12103 4 065 9 026 6 029 6 098 12103 11119 4 049 8 018 6 014 4 060 11119 10231 5 038 6*009 6 003 4 042 10231 9432 4 032 4*343 5 342 5 035 9432 8712 4 023 3 299 4 311 5 023 8712 8056 3 007 4 250 5 276 7 012 8056 7465 2*335 5 242 6 253 8 003 7465 6964 2*245 5 237 6 247 8 357 6964 6575 2 228 6 235 6 245 7 352 6575 6305 3 219 6 232 6 243 5 351 6305 6139 3 217 6 230 6*241 4*358 6139 6044 3 215 5 230 5*241 3*001 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography