DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/15 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.0 - - 81.1 - - 81.4 - - 72.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 486 - - 364 - - 157 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6389 - - 9244 - - 9451 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10643 - - 12823 - - 12431 - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12257 - - 15112 - - 15319 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2241 - - 2983 - - 2919 - - 6883 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 615 - - 632 - - 481 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 11 - - 12 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 10 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 259 - - 244 - - 258 - - 262 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - 14 - - 11 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1180 - - 595 - - 26 - - -8238 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13437 - - 14518 - - 15294 - - 14283 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3725 - - -505 - - -1148 - - -12126 ODpotential blCL - - - 15982 - - 15617 - - 16467 - - 18170 blCL maxRH - - - 59 - - 94 - - 83 - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 80 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.0 - - 81.1 - - 81.4 - - 72.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.9 - - 38.1 - - 35.1 - - 31.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.9 - - 78.5 - - 79.8 - - 76.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.7 - - 38.1 - - 35.0 - - 31.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 486 - - 364 - - 157 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6389 - - 9244 - - 9451 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 77 - - 34 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99350 40 107 38 098 35 101 35 081 99350 91870 40 108 36 118 29 087 35 084 91870 86101 33 101 30 114 27 100 32 085 86101 81325 25 096 25 098 24 104 25 105 81325 77209 14 106 21 102 16 098 24 097 77209 73560 11 129 12 112 12 092 16 085 73560 70265 11 139 5 142 11 077 15 074 70265 67253 16 133 9 162 8 072 12 076 67253 64476 13 118 14 154 9 121 5 075 64476 61803 6 118 8 133 9 141 4 206 61803 59043 2 078 5 113 12 139 11 198 59043 56193 15 258 6 252 7 166 12 176 56193 53453 30 228 26 241 23 254 11 267 53453 50981 31 216 42 227 45 225 34 246 50981 48779 33 222 42 220 39 216 39 219 48779 46783 38 229 43 248 33 240 31 247 46783 44957 45 233 58 245 54 253 48 252 44957 43272 46 229 60 233 61 245 54 245 43272 41701 45 223 53 232 60 238 53 238 41701 40223 44 224 47 240 57 241 50 233 40223 38834 43 227 47 246 58 246 47 236 38834 37501 42 231 46 249 59 251 44 242 37501 36163 41 233 43 248 58 255 43 246 36163 34790 39 232 38 244 59 257 44 254 34790 33389 36 228 35 244 51 260 45 263 33389 31949 34 225 33 240 35 255 34 259 31949 30464 35 222 31 233 29 242 27 242 30464 28935 37 223 32 231 30 235 28 235 28935 27364 34 230 32 233 30 236 30 240 27364 25755 28 240 29 234 26 241 28 248 25755 24113 22 243 26 237 22 242 22 252 24113 22435 19 236 21 239 19 239 16 248 22435 20715 19 230 17 244 15 240 12 241 20715 18985 18 235 13 260 8 260 8 230 18985 17329 16 248 9 273 5 306 4 177 17329 15822 15 256 8*269 5*298 3 109 15822 14473 15 268 8*263 5*290 2 055 14473 13258 13*278 9 259 5 284 1 354 13258 12160 11*277 9 254 6 270 2 290 12160 11167 11 275 10 249 7 262 4 275 11167 10270 10 271 10 243 8 257 6 273 10270 9464 9 265 11 241 8 254 8 270 9464 8738 9 256 11 238 9 250 9 269 8738 8075 9 251 11 236 9 248 10 269 8075 7478 8 244 12 234 9 246 11 268 7478 6973 8 238 12 233 9 245 12 266 6973 6580 8 235 11 231 9 244 11 264 6580 6307 8 232 11 231 9 244 10 261 6307 6140 8 232 11 231 9 243 8 259 6140 6044 7 231 10 230 8 242 6*262 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography