DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/11 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.0 - - 78.5 - - 80.1 - - 69.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 460 - - 458 - - 142 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2779 - - 6314 - - 7338 - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7763 - - 10564 - - 10741 - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8647 - - 12182 - - 13206 - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1461 - - 3792 - - 4472 - - 3797 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 459 - - 603 - - 431 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 18 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 6 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 187 - - 254 - - 267 - - 209 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 9 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 12 - - -20 - - -23 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6555 - - -6396 - - -6481 - - -12147 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15202 - - 18579 - - 19688 - - 18193 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10665 - - -9698 - - -9716 - - -17118 ODpotential blCL - - - 19312 - - 21880 - - 22922 - - 23163 blCL maxRH - - - 46 - - 42 - - 48 - - 42 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.0 - - 78.5 - - 80.1 - - 69.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.5 - - 17.3 - - 13.8 - - 11.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.1 - - 75.5 - - 78.6 - - 75.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.9 - - 16.5 - - 12.9 - - 11.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 460 - - 458 - - 142 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2779 - - 6314 - - 7338 - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98082 8 232 6 189 11 214 8 282 98082 90606 16 174 7 219 9 222 6 245 90606 84857 15 182 9 214 4 263 3 216 84857 80115 7 181 13 189 5 244 2 300 80115 76053 5 117 7 181 7 211 1 168 76053 72466 2 050 6 183 4 226 2 123 72466 69223 5 295 3 190 1 210 1 271 69223 66255 10 239 9 299 5 302 5 325 66255 63513 10 203 14 289 13 270 10 295 63513 60867 6 234 13 271 11 297 11 283 60867 58111 11 281 13 269 18 284 15 284 58111 55262 15 267 17 261 21 278 24 285 55262 52564 14 256 19 257 23 266 24 274 52564 50142 17 270 19 264 20 282 24 273 50142 47977 25 283 25 281 29 291 28 286 47977 46026 31 291 31 283 36 290 34 292 46026 44248 35 301 34 296 37 298 38 306 44248 42608 40 311 39 308 41 310 45 313 42608 41079 44 314 44 312 45 315 45 315 41079 39640 45 314 46 312 45 315 41 315 39640 38286 45 311 45 310 42 313 37 314 38286 36988 43 310 43 310 40 310 36 311 36988 35686 41 311 42 310 38 310 36 309 35686 34351 41 310 41 310 36 311 35 312 34351 32989 42 309 41 309 36 311 34 318 32989 31588 40 310 41 309 35 312 33 321 31588 30139 34 309 36 313 32 314 28 321 30139 28647 28 306 27 312 26 316 22 322 28647 27112 25 304 23 311 20 317 19 321 27112 25539 23 301 21 310 17 316 15 315 25539 23932 21 299 20 307 16 312 13 312 23932 22288 19 299 19 302 16 308 13 316 22288 20599 17 297 18 299 16 305 14 319 20599 18894 14 294 16 296 15 304 16 323 18894 17255 11 295 13 294 13 306 16 325 17255 15759 9 304 11 298 12 308 14 328 15759 14418 8 313 10 307 12*306 11 326 14418 13212 8 315 9*307 11*303 8 313 13212 12122 8 310 8*300 11 296 8 296 12122 11136 8 300 7 292 10 286 8 283 11136 10246 6 285 6 274 10 275 9 272 10246 9445 4 252 6 262 9 260 9 265 9445 8723 4*202 6 241 9 250 10 259 8723 8064 5*193 7 234 9 243 10 255 8064 7471 5 189 7 230 9 238 10 247 7471 6968 6 186 7 226 9 234 9 236 6968 6577 6 186 7 224 9 232 8 225 6577 6306 6 184 7 223 8 231 7 215 6306 6139 6 184 7 222 8 229 5*209 6139 6045 6 183 7 221 7 229 4*209 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography