DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/10 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1556z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.9 - - 62.8 - - 56.1 - - 53.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 108 - - 37 - - 6 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1274 - - 1228 - - 176 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6027 - - 6027 - - 6027 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7142 - - 7096 - - 6044 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1449 - - 1812 - - 2545 - - 1584 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 223 - - 166 - - 57 - - 37 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 7 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 256 - - 135 - - 270 - - 167 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -14 - - 13 - - -2 - - 12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1487 - - -86 - - 1 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8630 - - 7182 - - 6044 - - 6043 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4355 - - -3109 - - -859 - - -522 ODpotential blCL - - - 11497 - - 10205 - - 6903 - - 6565 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 98 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 80 - - 540 - - 210 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.9 - - 62.8 - - 56.1 - - 53.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.7 - - 51.6 - - 53.3 - - 51.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.9 - - 62.2 - - 56.0 - - 52.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.9 - - 50.4 - - 52.6 - - 51.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 108 - - 37 - - 6 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1274 - - 1228 - - 176 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 95 - - 93 - - 101 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 9 - - 11 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97893 9 264 20 244 25 278 22 299 97893 90606 9 274 9 239 8 252 11 286 90606 84951 8 248 3 268 3 068 5 226 84951 80253 13 213 7 254 7 355 4 079 80253 76210 4 170 2 300 6 298 4 344 76210 72649 4 229 5 286 5 255 7 274 72649 69446 7 307 4 346 4 289 9 266 69446 66513 16 270 12 307 9 315 6 261 66513 63793 12 257 16 291 13 290 9 271 63793 61155 11 289 18 259 15 282 15 282 61155 58417 16 299 15 256 22 263 19 274 58417 55598 27 299 23 267 24 263 22 271 55598 52908 36 278 33 279 35 272 28 269 52908 50479 40 272 42 278 41 270 35 267 50479 48295 39 277 46 272 40 264 40 263 48295 46296 42 278 47 269 38 267 42 258 46296 44444 47 273 48 269 44 270 44 254 44444 42720 49 270 51 267 49 262 55 258 42720 41117 52 268 60 261 65 262 77 257 41117 39619 60 265 67 262 85 265 86 257 39619 38215 65 265 82 267 92 265 88 256 38215 36871 61 262 90 268 91 265 86 255 36871 35528 52 258 87 267 84 264 81 257 35528 34157 45 256 80 264 74 262 67 259 34157 32764 42 252 73 264 59 251 53 255 32764 31338 42 246 63 260 50 243 51 246 31338 29871 44 248 54 253 44 244 47 238 29871 28366 46 251 43 256 44 242 41 226 28366 26822 45 250 36 264 40 241 41 226 26822 25240 43 246 33 265 38 238 39 226 25240 23625 41 245 32 257 36 232 36 224 23625 21975 33 243 31 243 32 226 36 222 21975 20283 34 238 30 237 30 218 35 221 20283 18581 35 238 31 235 29 218 33 219 18581 16954 36 241 32 235 29 213 32 221 16954 15477 37 244 33 234 31 204 34 227 15477 14160 35 239 34 234 31 200 36 232 14160 12981 32 229 32 230 29 204 37 235 12981 11921 29 221 30 220 26 215 33 238 11921 10965 25 216 29 209 26 231 26 241 10965 10103 22 216 26 201 29 242 21 238 10103 9327 19 219 23 195 32 250 20 231 9327 8628 17 226 19 189 32 258 21 230 8628 7991 12 238 14 180 31 264 20 223 7991 7419 7*249 11*166 27 266 17 206 7419 6934 4*257 8*141 25 269 13 192 6934 6557 3 256 7 135 22 271 11 179 6557 6296 3 255 7 133 20 271 9 170 6296 6136 2 255 7 132 18*271 8*168 6136 6043 2 253 6 132 12*270 6*167 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography