DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/24 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.7 - - 42.4 - - 45.6 - - 42.5 - - 36.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 9 - - 94 - - 92 - - -1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1097 - - 1152 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit 6025 - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6025 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 6965 - - 7020 - - 6042 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 719 - - 707 - - 1650 - - 1709 - - 481 Hgt.Variab. W* 49 - - 203 - - 206 - - 6 - - 0 W* B/S 6 - - 14 - - 10 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 046 - - 264 - - 226 - - 204 - - 317 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -2 - - 5 - - 3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 923 - - 944 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6042 - - 6042 - - 6076 - - 6042 - - 6042 sfcLCL ODpotential 0 - - -2432 - - -1345 - - -2222 - - -4412 ODpotential blCL 6042 - - 9397 - - 8365 - - 8264 - - 10454 blCL maxRH 100 - - 91 - - 89 - - 81 - - 75 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.7 - - 42.4 - - 45.6 - - 42.5 - - 36.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.5 - - 37.9 - - 39.8 - - 39.9 - - 33.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.5 - - 41.5 - - 44.6 - - 44.3 - - 40.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.5 - - 36.9 - - 38.7 - - 39.5 - - 34.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 9 - - 94 - - 92 - - -1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1097 - - 1152 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 99 - - 63 - - 54 - - 22 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96377 5 261 12 271 17 306 5 286 17 268 96377 89294 6 035 2 259 7 337 1 005 4 297 89294 83798 7 048 4 110 4 170 6 255 4 346 83798 79218 4 072 2 223 5 148 5 218 2 037 79218 75262 4 338 8 232 8 259 7 277 4 016 75262 71743 6 272 12 227 15 257 16 277 6 342 71743 68537 11 274 13 235 17 239 23 268 13 275 68537 65586 18 269 13 245 20 241 24 251 22 265 65586 62845 23 256 19 255 22 236 25 251 29 260 62845 60189 28 252 25 259 27 259 28 254 35 259 60189 57414 30 247 33 264 34 266 33 264 38 262 57414 54536 31 270 33 267 40 266 40 268 40 263 54536 51794 40 274 36 273 43 268 44 268 41 267 51794 49318 41 274 41 273 45 267 53 269 51 270 49318 47090 41 277 44 271 47 267 60 267 57 269 47090 45067 38 280 45 268 50 266 62 265 57 267 45067 43219 37 286 44 270 51 267 58 267 52 269 43219 41519 39 291 47 276 54 275 57 271 54 276 41519 39948 43 297 49 281 53 279 57 272 54 279 39948 38490 45 302 48 286 49 282 55 275 51 283 38490 37137 41 305 46 288 46 286 57 280 51 287 37137 35855 39 306 45 287 46 290 58 282 50 287 35855 34578 36 307 44 288 44 292 57 281 44 293 34578 33279 32 313 39 294 41 292 55 282 40 309 33279 31959 29 317 35 299 36 292 54 283 42 323 31959 30607 28 316 33 299 33 292 51 283 43 333 30607 29210 28 317 32 296 31 293 47 284 44 340 29210 27769 27 317 32 292 30 295 41 284 43 343 27769 26285 27 318 32 288 30 296 37 286 42 344 26285 24763 27 321 30 288 30 294 34 298 38 344 24763 23204 25 324 25 290 30 292 33 314 32 341 23204 21607 20 325 21 291 28 292 31 323 32 328 21607 19968 19 323 18 293 26 294 29 323 34 324 19968 18315 19 325 16 302 24 301 27 317 33 325 18315 16731 20 325 15 314 22 308 24 316 30 328 16731 15290 19 326 14 321 20 314 21 322 27 332 15290 14004 19 328 14 324 19 320 21 329 24 337 14004 12850 17 329 14 326 18 325 20 335 21 341 12850 11809 16 331 13 329 17 332 18 339 20 346 11809 10869 14 334 13 333 16 339 16 342 20 349 10869 10021 12 338 13 336 14 343 14 344 20 351 10021 9259 11 340 13 338 12 342 12 346 19 352 9259 8574 10 339 12 337 9 337 10 345 17 351 8574 7949 9 337 11 335 6 323 8 338 14 348 7949 7388 6 342 8*330 4*285 6 328 11 342 7388 6913 4 356 3*299 3*240 4 314 8 333 6913 6544 3 013 3 265 4 228 2 287 6 328 6544 6288 2 035 3 251 4 222 1 234 4 326 6288 6132 1*048 3 245 4 220 2 208 2*320 6132 6042 1*046 3 240 4 218 2*204 1*317 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography