DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/17 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.5 - - 84.4 - - - - - 74.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 494 - - 243 - - - - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4730 - - 7327 - - - - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9317 - - 11077 - - - - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10598 - - 13195 - - - - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3998 - - 3782 - - - - - 3095 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 560 - - 515 - - - - - 50 W* B/S - - - 19 - - 27 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 3 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 177 - - 265 - - - - - 145 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 14 - - -8 - - - - - 10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1047 - - 434 - - - - - -2576 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11645 - - 12762 - - - - - 8621 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3137 - - -1059 - - - - - -6061 ODpotential blCL - - - 13735 - - 14254 - - - - - 12106 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 100 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 520 - - 390 - - - - - 1080 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.5 - - 84.4 - - - - - 74.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.9 - - 49.0 - - - - - 57.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.4 - - 82.3 - - - - - 76.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.8 - - 48.7 - - - - - 56.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 494 - - 243 - - - - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4730 - - 7327 - - - - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 36 - - 101 - - - - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99464 42 104 35 101 37 100 99464 91915 36 100 41 104 35 085 91915 86133 32 101 35 103 26 085 86133 81345 28 096 27 090 28 095 81345 77217 19 096 21 092 29 095 77217 73593 17 098 18 106 22 084 73593 70347 19 093 14 106 11 093 70347 67365 22 105 12 127 7 087 67365 64589 24 110 16 132 10 071 64589 61900 16 091 19 113 9 085 61900 59121 9 073 15 101 15 116 59121 56300 11 099 8 129 19 102 56300 53652 15 108 9 138 18 080 53652 51260 15 109 13 122 10 070 51260 49093 11 098 13 110 8 076 49093 47107 6 070 11 113 8 080 47107 45272 3 051 11 111 11 098 45272 43565 2 056 8 083 15 089 43565 41970 5 034 9 046 18 064 41970 40476 11 074 15 066 18 040 40476 39072 19 066 20 067 18 026 39072 37726 19 046 21 053 16 030 37726 36374 16 040 20 042 18 043 36374 34988 14 041 20 041 20 048 34988 33574 13 048 17 042 21 051 33574 32118 13 046 15 047 21 050 32118 30611 13 035 16 043 20 050 30611 29059 13 041 18 041 16 052 29059 27468 12 050 15 047 9 066 27468 25848 6 020 11 050 4 077 25848 24199 8 014 9 039 3 077 24199 22513 9 040 7 072 2 051 22513 20784 8 067 9 091 2 004 20784 19042 7 106 8 091 1 023 19042 17380 9 113 7 099 1 059 17380 15870 10 110 4 110 2 233 15870 14517 10 105 2 145 4 219 14517 13299 9 103 2*227 6 217 13299 12197 7 107 2*241 7 216 12197 11198 4*123 3 247 7 212 11198 10297 4*156 3 256 7 205 10297 9485 4 169 3 262 7 194 9485 8754 5 176 4 267 7 182 8754 8087 5 180 4 271 8 171 8087 7488 6 181 4 273 8 161 7488 6980 6 182 4 274 9 150 6980 6585 7 182 4 275 9 148 6585 6310 7 182 4 274 9 146 6310 6142 7 182 4 274 7*144 6142 6045 6 181 4 273 6*145 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography