DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/26 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1555z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.2 - - 47.4 - - 51.7 - - 48.5 - - 43.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 93 - - 71 - - 0 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 175 - - 175 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6043 - - 6043 - - 6043 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1193 - - 2772 - - 3177 - - 2373 - - 1437 Hgt.Variab. W* 18 - - 111 - - 105 - - 10 - - 5 W* B/S 1 - - 6 - - 7 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 029 - - 162 - - 131 - - 142 - - 335 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 7 - - 4 - - 2 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 0 - - -918 - - 1 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6043 - - 6043 - - 6961 - - 6043 - - 6043 sfcLCL ODpotential -3010 - - -958 - - -3309 - - -3786 - - -5782 ODpotential blCL 9053 - - 7001 - - 9352 - - 9829 - - 11825 blCL maxRH 88 - - 96 - - 78 - - 76 - - 72 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.2 - - 47.4 - - 51.7 - - 48.5 - - 43.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.0 - - 42.7 - - 42.1 - - 42.9 - - 40.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.5 - - 46.4 - - 50.8 - - 49.3 - - 48.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.1 - - 41.5 - - 40.8 - - 41.6 - - 40.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 93 - - 71 - - 0 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 175 - - 175 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 51 - - 85 - - 11 - - 3 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97092 11 268 21 240 32 260 23 284 23 276 97092 89862 4 289 7 227 12 255 13 287 11 304 89862 84295 3 293 5 259 5 254 7 278 4 358 84295 79670 6 292 2 254 5 273 4 253 6 344 79670 75690 11 279 3 233 7 277 8 269 8 299 75690 72183 12 283 5 231 8 248 11 252 8 292 72183 69001 10 265 7 240 7 232 9 221 7 261 69001 66052 7 230 9 219 11 233 10 237 7 255 66052 63301 11 215 12 213 15 212 14 216 9 236 63301 60630 12 214 18 225 15 221 13 230 12 260 60630 57838 19 226 25 224 23 236 20 241 22 242 57838 54930 18 215 25 220 24 228 22 233 23 229 54930 52147 19 226 22 219 22 221 24 228 25 224 52147 49638 20 233 20 228 20 218 25 229 22 224 49638 47392 28 231 23 235 20 230 26 240 22 247 47392 45370 31 218 34 227 28 244 29 252 28 263 45370 43542 29 216 37 216 34 240 29 252 28 263 43542 41872 28 223 35 218 34 240 25 256 24 265 41872 40327 31 242 34 225 35 248 29 266 22 277 40327 38888 37 251 37 236 39 245 38 258 23 281 38888 37546 38 251 38 239 41 241 41 249 28 282 37546 36267 40 244 39 239 41 240 38 245 30 275 36267 34987 36 244 39 239 41 245 34 248 30 266 34987 33678 32 250 40 247 44 249 33 256 30 260 33678 32343 31 256 42 252 45 251 35 254 30 258 32343 30971 33 261 41 255 44 255 39 254 31 257 30971 29553 34 266 41 262 43 256 41 254 34 253 29553 28093 33 271 40 267 43 257 40 251 36 248 28093 26594 32 275 38 269 41 261 39 254 35 249 26594 25058 31 279 34 269 34 264 34 257 32 253 25058 23485 28 286 30 273 27 265 30 256 30 253 23485 21874 26 293 25 282 24 265 27 255 28 251 21874 20216 24 299 23 292 20 266 23 250 27 248 20216 18537 22 306 20 298 16 266 20 247 24 243 18537 16923 19 316 17 301 14 265 17 249 22 239 16923 15451 17 324 12 304 12 262 15 254 20 244 15451 14134 15 328 8 313 10 260 14 260 18 252 14134 12952 12 330 4 317 8 250 13 258 15 258 12952 11889 8 326 3 217 8 228 11 248 12 256 11889 10930 3 294 8 190 9 215 10 234 10 242 10930 10068 4 213 12 184 9 209 9 223 11 219 10068 9296 6 198 13 177 8 198 8 200 12 201 9296 8603 7 195 12 173 6 183 8 176 13 191 8603 7972 6 186 11 170 4 159 6 160 13 187 7972 7404 7 184 6 166 3 139 4 147 11 188 7404 6924 7 177 5 163 3 134 2 136 7 191 6924 6552 4 167 4 161 3 133 2 135 3 203 6552 6292 2 104 4 161 3 132 1 131 1 274 6292 6134 3*043 4*160 3*132 1*131 3*330 6134 6043 3*029 3*162 3*131 1*142 3*335 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography