DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/22 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.1 - - 56.2 - - - - - 53.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 10 - - 10 - - - - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 175 - - 176 - - - - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6027 - - 6027 - - - - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6043 - - 6044 - - - - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1281 - - 1662 - - - - - 1457 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 51 - - 52 - - - - - 51 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 10 - - - - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 153 - - 159 - - - - - 178 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 18 - - 19 - - - - - 27 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - 1 - - - - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6043 - - 6044 - - - - - 6043 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 0 - - -103 - - - - - 0 ODpotential blCL - - - 6043 - - 6147 - - - - - 6043 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - - - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 260 - - 680 - - - - - 290 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.1 - - 56.2 - - - - - 53.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.1 - - 55.8 - - - - - 53.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.8 - - 55.9 - - - - - 52.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.1 - - 55.7 - - - - - 53.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 10 - - 10 - - - - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 175 - - 176 - - - - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 101 - - - - - 105 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 12 - - - - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97280 4 046 9 224 11 275 97280 90093 1 247 3 220 3 348 90093 84559 4 149 1 116 6 012 84559 79940 4 066 7 076 3 044 79940 75968 2 313 6 043 10 066 75968 72473 5 163 4 308 11 029 72473 69298 2 142 2 251 11 002 69298 66364 2 092 4 133 5 310 66364 63648 5 219 4 204 8 252 63648 61017 7 231 4 179 10 186 61017 58278 22 236 13 249 11 210 58278 55446 32 215 26 214 26 218 55446 52731 32 201 28 216 23 208 52731 50273 37 222 39 219 34 231 50273 48070 43 225 49 221 47 225 48070 46065 51 224 56 219 53 220 46065 44220 55 222 60 218 58 218 44220 42514 60 219 64 216 68 214 42514 40935 65 213 67 213 77 209 40935 39465 66 211 70 210 81 203 39465 38092 64 211 71 207 80 198 38092 36781 61 211 69 203 79 195 36781 35468 60 211 62 201 78 191 35468 34125 59 207 58 202 75 185 34125 32753 56 199 57 203 71 183 32753 31341 52 194 54 204 67 184 31341 29880 51 195 56 202 64 185 29880 28375 49 197 55 203 61 188 28375 26830 53 199 53 205 59 193 26830 25251 57 203 52 206 57 203 25251 23645 56 209 51 208 59 206 23645 22005 53 211 53 210 55 208 22005 20322 49 212 53 214 50 211 20322 18625 46 213 51 217 45 212 18625 16999 45 214 48 218 46 214 16999 15523 42 213 45 217 46 217 15523 14205 40 212 42 214 42 215 14205 13024 36 208 40 209 35 211 13024 11959 33 204 36 204 32 205 11959 10996 28 198 33 198 31 199 10996 10125 24 188 29 189 30 194 10125 9343 24 177 25 180 29 190 9343 8640 24 167 23 172 28 188 8640 7999 22 162 22 170 27 187 7999 7424 21 160 22 174 26 187 7424 6937 19 159 20 170 24 184 6937 6559 16 157 18 165 22 182 6559 6296 14 155 15 162 20 180 6296 6136 12*154 13*160 17 179 6136 6043 9*153 10*159 13*178 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography