DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/05 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0703z - - 1003z - - 1556z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.1 - - 58.6 - - 63.7 - - 62.0 - - 52.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 132 - - 489 - - 519 - - 195 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2231 - - 6251 - - 9428 - - 10014 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6922 - - 10542 - - 13163 - - 13057 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 8099 - - 12119 - - 15296 - - 15882 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2092 - - 2056 - - 2025 - - 2664 - - 6596 Hgt.Variab. W* 282 - - 616 - - 721 - - 531 - - 11 W* B/S 4 - - 8 - - 9 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 14 - - 15 - - 14 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 253 - - 229 - - 235 - - 258 - - 250 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 8 - - 17 - - 18 - - -13 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4304 - - -2176 - - -1753 - - -131 - - -8499 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12403 - - 14295 - - 17050 - - 16014 - - 14542 sfcLCL ODpotential -8679 - - -4935 - - -4121 - - -1854 - - -11441 ODpotential blCL 16778 - - 17054 - - 19417 - - 17736 - - 17484 blCL maxRH 88 - - 83 - - 74 - - 59 - - 56 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.1 - - 58.6 - - 63.7 - - 62.0 - - 52.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 17.8 - - 16.4 - - 8.9 - - 12.1 - - 10.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.9 - - 55.8 - - 60.6 - - 60.4 - - 55.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 17.4 - - 15.9 - - 7.9 - - 11.5 - - 10.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 132 - - 489 - - 519 - - 195 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2231 - - 6251 - - 9428 - - 10014 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 52 - - 34 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97923 11 251 12 284 9 272 12 299 16 294 97923 90450 12 269 12 243 12 280 10 294 12 245 90450 84681 10 280 8 262 17 262 14 286 10 253 84681 79905 10 288 16 267 12 265 13 291 10 291 79905 75824 12 330 10 250 8 246 13 286 13 298 75824 72243 15 320 4 321 10 232 18 271 17 284 72243 69012 18 299 14 295 10 250 19 260 18 269 69012 66034 24 281 21 313 17 281 26 279 20 282 66034 63251 31 269 34 281 31 283 34 279 27 282 63251 60533 34 279 42 259 42 272 40 269 34 271 60533 57688 39 274 45 257 46 266 47 265 41 267 57688 54736 42 274 45 259 47 259 51 263 45 270 54736 51922 50 266 45 265 46 258 48 261 47 267 51922 49395 53 253 49 265 48 258 46 260 48 265 49395 47131 56 251 54 253 50 260 47 259 46 260 47131 45075 56 248 53 245 53 253 48 254 43 253 45075 43191 59 251 55 247 52 248 45 254 40 253 43191 41454 73 252 70 248 54 249 43 256 42 257 41454 39844 91 247 82 243 62 246 48 252 46 256 39844 38347 99 245 88 240 65 243 48 249 42 252 38347 36956 99 243 89 242 65 242 45 250 33 254 36956 35638 100 244 89 243 64 242 40 254 22 264 35638 34331 104 244 86 244 61 244 29 261 10 289 34331 33010 102 243 82 245 57 246 14 281 13 037 33010 31677 94 243 78 246 48 250 8 349 29 050 31677 30319 81 243 68 247 37 255 14 028 37 048 30319 28923 61 245 52 247 24 260 18 036 33 038 28923 27492 38 243 34 229 18 256 19 033 27 035 27492 26026 28 239 31 224 18 251 15 016 24 030 26026 24529 31 247 25 229 19 254 9 359 17 021 24529 23005 32 249 21 240 16 257 4 356 11 358 23005 21448 31 246 19 258 12 249 3 266 11 334 21448 19850 28 245 17 269 14 239 8 273 13 338 19850 18238 24 247 14 269 15 238 12 264 14 337 18238 16691 20 245 13 247 15*238 13*256 13 323 16691 15281 17 240 17 225 15*238 13*254 12 306 15281 14016 15 235 21 218 15 238 14 254 12 291 14016 12876 14 232 19*222 15 237 14 255 14 282 12876 11845 14 231 16*228 15 237 14 256 15 276 11845 10910 15 236 15 229 15 236 14 257 15 273 10910 10063 16 242 15 230 15 235 15 258 16 271 10063 9301 17 251 15 230 15 234 15 259 16 269 9301 8611 16*256 14 230 15 233 15 260 16 267 8611 7982 15*258 14 230 15 233 15 260 17 264 7982 7414 12 256 14 230 15 231 15 260 16 260 7414 6932 11 253 14 229 15 231 15 261 16 257 6932 6556 10 250 13 229 14 230 14 260 14 254 6556 6295 10 248 13 228 14 230 14 260 12 250 6295 6135 9 247 12 228 13 229 13 260 10*248 6135 6043 8 246 11 227 12 229 12 260 5*250 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography