DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/15 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 65.4 - - 75.2 - - 80.3 - - 78.5 - - 69.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 122 - - 472 - - 483 - - 171 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 844 - - 5644 - - 12259 - - 11468 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit 6027 - - 10039 - - 15462 - - 14106 - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top 6712 - - 11512 - - 18127 - - 17336 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 915 - - 6098 - - 1795 - - 2866 - - 8517 Hgt.Variab. W* 199 - - 588 - - 767 - - 532 - - 10 W* B/S 16 - - 13 - - 11 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 8 - - 13 - - 13 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 113 - - 239 - - 263 - - 259 - - 270 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 10 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - -18 - - 17 - - 9 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -10311 - - -6902 - - -597 - - -1286 - - -10549 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 17024 - - 18415 - - 18725 - - 18623 - - 16594 sfcLCL ODpotential -15811 - - -10102 - - -2891 - - -3859 - - -13738 ODpotential blCL 22523 - - 21614 - - 21018 - - 21195 - - 19782 blCL maxRH 69 - - 57 - - 53 - - 46 - - 62 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 65.4 - - 75.2 - - 80.3 - - 78.5 - - 69.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 11.9 - - 14.4 - - 17.8 - - 16.7 - - 17.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.2 - - 72.1 - - 77.3 - - 77.0 - - 73.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 11.4 - - 13.7 - - 17.0 - - 16.1 - - 17.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 122 - - 472 - - 483 - - 171 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 844 - - 5644 - - 12259 - - 11468 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98229 1 020 8 180 12 265 9 324 7 306 98229 90797 2 044 5 231 7 253 9 268 11 327 90797 85039 2 188 7 241 5 265 6 248 12 285 85039 80254 3 184 5 230 5 282 3 300 8 222 80254 76156 5 175 5 195 8 225 7 279 1 277 76156 72544 3 186 7 203 9 212 9 267 7 006 72544 69270 3 294 6 229 10 209 10 247 9 302 69270 66264 11 287 7 266 7 232 10 213 13 260 66264 63500 21 269 15 268 13 266 13 263 17 258 63500 60837 27 258 27 270 28 271 25 271 21 270 60837 58049 28 256 29 271 29 263 30 269 24 273 58049 55145 26 273 27 266 28 255 36 262 35 269 55145 52385 27 280 26 267 29 260 35 263 42 267 52385 49921 21 278 25 270 31 268 37 267 44 263 49921 47716 15 272 23 271 31 267 39 269 48 272 47716 45714 14 274 22 284 38 283 47 278 53 273 45714 43886 17 290 27 290 39 279 48 274 52 271 43886 42208 20 280 25 289 32 272 42 270 47 274 42208 40655 12 255 20 291 28 282 38 275 47 277 40655 39208 11 316 22 307 29 294 38 281 47 278 39208 37854 18 320 25 313 29 295 38 283 47 277 37854 36559 21 318 25 311 29 293 37 281 46 274 36559 35260 21 315 22 305 30 293 37 280 47 272 35260 33930 20 309 20 299 31 293 37 279 47 272 33930 32576 22 306 20 298 30 291 37 277 45 272 32576 31187 21 302 22 296 29 287 37 276 42 272 31187 29753 19 295 23 290 28 285 36 277 40 271 29753 28279 15 283 23 285 27 283 36 280 37 270 28279 26765 16 280 22 283 27 278 35 280 34 271 26765 25216 18 284 23 284 27 276 33 276 32 272 25216 23639 18 288 23 285 26 280 30 274 27 273 23639 22029 16 288 21 283 24 286 24 276 18 272 22029 20376 14 285 18 280 21 288 17 279 14 271 20376 18706 13 272 17 277 14*288 14*279 13 272 18706 17101 14 259 17 275 13*284 13*271 14 266 17101 15635 14 270 16 283 13 282 13 269 14 260 15635 14320 11 286 15 294 13 278 13 266 16 256 14320 13135 7 312 12 296 13 270 13 264 17 255 13135 12063 9 324 11*291 13 265 13 262 17 256 12063 11092 9 324 10*281 13 260 14 258 17 257 11092 10212 7 322 9 268 13 257 14 256 17 259 10212 9420 6 315 9 253 14 254 14 254 17 261 9420 8706 4 304 8 241 14 252 14 252 17 262 8706 8053 3 296 9 225 14 250 15 251 17 262 8053 7464 2 302 9 220 14 248 15 250 16 262 7464 6964 1*036 9 216 14 247 14 249 15 261 6964 6575 2*095 9 214 14 246 14 248 14 261 6575 6305 2 114 9 212 13 245 14 248 11 261 6305 6139 2 121 9 211 13 245 13 247 8 263 6139 6044 2 121 8 210 12 244 12 247 6*270 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography