DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/26 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.5 - - 57.5 - - 62.1 - - 60.2 - - 49.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 247 - - 320 - - 35 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 5066 - - 5903 - - 4016 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 9314 - - 10086 - - 6027 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6043 - - 10934 - - 11771 - - 9884 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 389 - - 2139 - - 2227 - - 3096 - - 1470 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 456 - - 523 - - 223 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 13 - - 16 - - 16 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 008 - - 343 - - 323 - - 319 - - 020 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 16 - - 9 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 22 - - -25 - - -23 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1684 - - 262 - - -2228 - - -3947 - - -5225 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7728 - - 10673 - - 14000 - - 13831 - - 11269 sfcLCL ODpotential -8373 - - -1356 - - -6207 - - -8501 - - -11937 ODpotential blCL 14416 - - 12290 - - 17978 - - 18385 - - 17980 blCL maxRH 65 - - 74 - - 57 - - 53 - - 62 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.5 - - 57.5 - - 62.1 - - 60.2 - - 49.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.0 - - 31.8 - - 21.6 - - 20.7 - - 21.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.3 - - 55.6 - - 59.9 - - 59.8 - - 53.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.8 - - 31.4 - - 21.2 - - 20.4 - - 21.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 247 - - 320 - - 35 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 5066 - - 5903 - - 4016 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96581 17 096 14 105 14 123 10 095 11 071 96581 89418 17 096 8 121 8 114 7 067 12 050 89418 83846 11 075 15 121 11 182 8 036 12 072 83846 79192 9 029 4 158 9 144 8 276 11 339 79192 75190 8 331 2 159 8 138 9 274 13 285 75190 71676 12 308 12 004 1 043 11 304 17 323 71676 68533 33 332 33 330 18 357 26 353 32 333 68533 65679 35 322 33 326 30 319 21 309 27 317 65679 63029 24 320 26 305 38 312 33 287 30 315 63029 60440 8 332 37 309 46 318 48 302 46 314 60440 57721 30 306 52 316 51 310 62 308 61 303 57721 54907 64 305 62 306 61 302 71 311 69 302 54907 52236 73 304 66 297 69 304 79 314 76 311 52236 49827 76 312 71 305 76 310 84 313 83 314 49827 47645 87 313 84 312 84 310 87 309 90 312 47645 45649 99 307 97 309 93 306 91 306 96 307 45649 43826 112 301 107 304 102 304 97 305 101 304 43826 42162 120 299 114 304 107 303 101 303 103 302 42162 40631 120 298 115 305 106 304 101 302 103 304 40631 39199 115 298 110 305 101 305 99 304 102 307 39199 37852 110 299 105 305 96 306 98 306 101 308 37852 36559 105 302 101 305 90 308 97 306 96 310 36559 35259 103 306 100 307 89 311 94 307 88 312 35259 33927 102 308 100 308 92 312 91 309 83 317 33927 32566 101 307 100 309 93 313 87 311 80 321 32566 31168 99 307 98 311 90 314 81 313 78 322 31168 29726 96 307 92 312 83 315 75 316 73 321 29726 28242 93 308 84 312 76 314 70 318 68 320 28242 26717 86 307 76 311 72 313 67 319 65 320 26717 25153 75 306 69 313 67 314 64 319 62 321 25153 23555 65 308 64 316 61 316 61 319 58 321 23555 21920 59 313 61 316 57 317 55 320 52 321 21920 20244 57 317 58 312 54 317 51 321 47 321 20244 18555 56 317 55 307 52 315 49 323 44 322 18555 16937 52 315 52 305 49 314 49 325 43 325 16937 15466 46 312 47 308 44 314 47 325 43 328 15466 14152 41 312 40 313 36 315 43 325 41 328 14152 12973 36 313 33 319 27 315 36 323 38 326 12973 11913 31 316 26*327 21*315 28 321 33 322 11913 10957 27 320 20*334 19*315 23 319 28 320 10957 10095 24 326 18 338 17 318 20*318 23 320 10095 9321 21 330 15 342 16 321 19*318 18 324 9321 8624 18 333 13 345 16 324 18 319 15 332 8624 7988 15 332 11 348 16 326 18 319 13 343 7988 7417 11 328 9 350 15 327 17 319 11 355 7417 6932 8 325 8 352 15 329 16 320 10 004 6932 6556 5 328 7 354 14 330 15 319 8 011 6556 6295 3 352 6 354 13 330 13 319 6 018 6295 6135 3*011 6 356 12 331 12 319 5*022 6135 6043 3*008 5 355 11 330 10 319 5*020 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography