DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/24 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.3 - - 47.5 - - 45.8 - - 49.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 29 - - -2 - - -8 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 174 - - 175 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6042 - - 6043 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1522 - - 2128 - - 876 - - 395 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 73 - - 23 - - 26 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 122 - - 163 - - 141 - - 173 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 6 - - 6 - - 11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2999 - - -1420 - - 1 - - -1127 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9042 - - 7463 - - 6043 - - 7171 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11266 - - -5335 - - -2684 - - -4500 ODpotential blCL - - - 17308 - - 11378 - - 8727 - - 10543 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.3 - - 47.5 - - 45.8 - - 49.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.2 - - 36.0 - - 42.4 - - 38.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.2 - - 48.0 - - 46.8 - - 51.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.4 - - 35.1 - - 41.5 - - 38.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 29 - - -2 - - -8 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 174 - - 175 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 98 - - 102 - - 101 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96032 36 295 28 290 42 301 27 311 96032 89054 26 305 21 301 27 310 28 316 89054 83621 26 304 28 304 22 303 33 309 83621 79067 26 287 29 309 19 308 25 313 79067 75141 19 269 21 302 19 294 25 302 75141 71687 21 296 14 319 12 288 20 292 71687 68574 30 273 23 289 18 277 16 305 68574 65702 27 251 22 265 13 280 16 287 65702 63042 29 268 23 284 24 286 19 282 63042 60482 51 255 46 249 48 256 34 240 60482 57834 75 240 66 245 64 245 55 243 57834 55079 82 234 82 242 72 236 67 240 55079 52422 86 234 85 240 72 233 68 235 52422 50011 89 235 82 241 76 238 67 237 50011 47829 88 239 83 243 80 242 70 242 47829 45836 93 243 91 240 88 242 81 243 45836 44007 94 242 91 235 90 238 91 240 44007 42325 87 244 86 235 87 235 94 237 42325 40764 84 244 81 238 83 237 92 236 40764 39309 78 240 76 238 80 239 87 235 39309 37951 72 239 72 235 78 237 84 233 37951 36654 69 245 69 234 77 237 82 232 36654 35352 67 250 68 237 75 239 79 234 35352 34015 65 251 68 240 72 241 77 233 34015 32649 60 249 67 240 68 238 74 229 32649 31244 56 245 64 237 68 232 73 224 31244 29794 53 238 61 232 68 227 72 221 29794 28298 53 232 59 228 66 225 70 222 28298 26762 54 230 60 225 64 224 66 223 26762 25189 56 235 62 223 59 221 61 223 25189 23584 57 238 62 222 54 216 56 221 23584 21940 57 233 57 224 52 217 53 220 21940 20253 54 228 51 228 51 222 51 222 20253 18553 46 223 45 222 45 223 49 224 18553 16929 41 220 40 206 37 221 45 224 16929 15455 38 218 38 202 36 223 40 221 15455 14141 34 215 35 206 38 232 36 221 14141 12965 31 212 34 209 41 239 34 220 12965 11908 27 208 33 208 40 240 34 217 11908 10955 23 204 32 205 34 232 34 214 10955 10096 19 202 30 198 28 219 32 212 10096 9323 17 202 27 192 26 207 31 210 9323 8626 16 198 23 186 26 198 31 208 8626 7990 14 194 20 179 25 191 30 205 7990 7417 12 179 17 172 23 182 29 202 7417 6933 10 158 13 168 21 172 25 200 6933 6556 8 145 10 168 19 164 20 195 6556 6294 5 132 7 168 14 160 15 184 6294 6134 4 125 5*166 9*154 11*176 6134 6043 3*122 3*163 4*141 5*173 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography