DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/13 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.5 - - 73.4 - - 75.2 - - 67.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 173 - - 217 - - 135 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2670 - - 3919 - - 4154 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7394 - - 8387 - - 8323 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8538 - - 9787 - - 10022 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1887 - - 2449 - - 2862 - - 1816 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 336 - - 403 - - 351 - - 24 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 10 - - 6 - - 7 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 10 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 213 - - 238 - - 248 - - 317 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1669 - - 1098 - - 673 - - -14 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6869 - - 8690 - - 9349 - - 6059 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 7 - - -471 - - -1110 - - -3228 ODpotential blCL - - - 8531 - - 10258 - - 11132 - - 9272 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 100 - - 94 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 1120 - - 1160 - - 1150 - - 1510 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.5 - - 73.4 - - 75.2 - - 67.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.5 - - 55.5 - - 54.5 - - 60.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.0 - - 71.5 - - 73.9 - - 67.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.6 - - 55.2 - - 54.3 - - 59.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 173 - - 217 - - 135 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2670 - - 3919 - - 4154 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 53 - - 101 - - 74 - - 80 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 11 - - 11 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99241 27 102 28 103 26 098 30 099 99241 91771 22 099 26 098 21 102 21 095 91771 86001 21 112 22 101 17 097 24 088 86001 81196 22 106 18 125 14 098 22 078 81196 77055 17 082 18 124 7 109 16 080 77055 73397 12 072 16 110 7 129 9 084 73397 70095 6 048 10 094 10 128 5 081 70095 67075 2 027 5 043 7 105 4 106 67075 64280 5 172 3 276 5 060 6 149 64280 61583 7 184 6 223 7 246 6 210 61583 58796 14 231 12 246 11 233 11 228 58796 55929 21 246 21 260 14 242 12 236 55929 53215 22 214 26 232 21 248 20 255 53215 50793 22 193 30 228 30 240 29 244 50793 48625 22 208 35 209 34 229 26 244 48625 46650 27 210 34 217 39 227 32 250 46650 44838 42 223 44 219 42 223 46 238 44838 43168 48 217 48 213 46 222 50 224 43168 41605 47 213 43 218 43 227 44 229 41605 40133 46 216 44 228 41 235 40 246 40133 38750 41 216 41 230 41 240 41 250 38750 37422 38 211 38 231 41 236 41 244 37422 36087 33 210 36 226 43 235 41 234 36087 34717 28 215 33 218 43 230 39 228 34717 33318 28 226 32 217 41 227 38 227 33318 31879 28 230 32 227 38 230 37 228 31879 30392 28 236 31 235 31 226 35 225 30392 28861 30 244 30 239 30 225 32 222 28861 27289 30 242 28 241 27 232 28 225 27289 25679 30 245 27 239 20 243 25 234 25679 24036 21 246 26 236 21 240 24 238 24036 22356 18 238 25 233 23 242 21 234 22356 20634 17 244 19 232 18 241 16 221 20634 18901 14 245 15 238 16 233 14 220 18901 17245 13 243 13 255 15 246 13 229 17245 15742 13 241 12 257 13 250 15 232 15742 14399 14 241 12 250 12 252 14 237 14399 13194 14 245 12 249 12 257 13 248 13194 12107 14 248 13 250 13 260 12 252 12107 11125 13 252 12 250 13 258 12 253 11125 10237 12 254 12*250 12*255 13 258 10237 9437 10 253 10*248 12*252 14 267 9437 8717 8*247 8 241 11 250 14 274 8717 8059 6*236 7 236 10 248 14 281 8059 7467 5 216 7 235 10 247 13 286 7467 6966 5 209 6 234 9 246 11 293 6966 6576 4 205 6 234 9 246 9 301 6576 6306 4 201 6 234 8 246 5 301 6306 6140 4 200 6 233 8 245 3*299 6140 6044 4 200 5 234 7 245 1*317 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography