DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/27 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1327z - - 1555z - - 1855z - - 2152z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.5 - - 50.3 - - 46.9 - - 44.9 - - 39.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -20 - - 126 - - 49 - - 20 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 3255 - - 2325 - - 2472 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit 3540 - - 5138 - - 3540 - - 3540 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top 3556 - - 6658 - - 5728 - - 5875 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1155 - - 1857 - - 2142 - - 2423 - - 5681 Hgt.Variab. W* 18 - - 311 - - 217 - - 171 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 30 - - 21 - - 12 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 158 - - 224 - - 253 - - 264 - - 154 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 20 - - 11 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 41 - - 13 - - -7 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2355 - - 366 - - 1693 - - 1566 - - -959 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5911 - - 6292 - - 4035 - - 4309 - - 4516 sfcLCL ODpotential -7505 - - -853 - - 373 - - 400 - - -2430 ODpotential blCL 11061 - - 7511 - - 5355 - - 5475 - - 5986 blCL maxRH 84 - - 93 - - 98 - - 97 - - 78 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 200 - - 80 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m 40.5 - - 50.3 - - 46.9 - - 44.9 - - 39.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.1 - - 34.8 - - 41.3 - - 38.2 - - 32.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.5 - - 49.4 - - 46.3 - - 44.6 - - 41.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.9 - - 34.4 - - 40.1 - - 37.0 - - 31.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -20 - - 126 - - 49 - - 20 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 3255 - - 2325 - - 2472 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 35 - - 73 - - 94 - - 88 - - 14 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96642 32 271 27 264 35 270 32 268 30 266 96642 89339 20 260 24 260 25 269 25 287 29 276 89339 83725 22 273 24 262 24 265 21 279 20 277 83725 79051 19 277 19 264 21 266 19 273 15 282 79051 74994 9 254 9 249 15 281 21 281 19 279 74994 71400 12 268 15 246 23 261 23 273 18 280 71400 68137 14 283 15 237 21 233 19 262 12 292 68137 65102 8 319 7 214 12 210 18 257 22 278 65102 62267 21 282 20 257 26 248 26 261 30 255 62267 59522 27 265 26 252 28 243 27 239 26 237 59522 56649 22 271 19 258 19 243 21 217 20 264 56649 53638 27 272 28 265 34 264 36 249 38 262 53638 50760 34 269 36 257 46 260 49 249 48 249 50760 48194 37 276 38 264 49 264 42 247 48 242 48194 45913 50 277 53 269 60 263 51 256 47 244 45913 43856 58 265 62 258 64 253 55 246 46 245 43856 41983 58 266 58 253 57 248 46 246 45 251 41983 40263 78 274 66 260 58 251 50 260 54 258 40263 38673 98 269 87 262 65 253 69 261 66 256 38673 37199 104 266 103 260 74 252 82 256 73 251 37199 35833 111 267 110 260 80 250 87 254 74 248 35833 34539 110 265 107 257 86 251 90 254 76 246 34539 33255 104 264 101 255 90 251 96 255 80 247 33255 31955 100 265 97 254 92 250 101 253 83 246 31955 30635 94 266 88 253 93 247 99 248 83 244 30635 29275 84 267 78 250 91 245 97 245 83 241 29275 27859 71 266 71 248 85 246 96 246 84 242 27859 26387 62 262 67 247 76 248 91 248 82 245 26387 24859 57 258 65 246 67 243 81 246 75 246 24859 23281 54 257 64 246 59 238 70 242 67 244 23281 21653 51 257 58 246 55 234 68 240 62 238 21653 19972 47 258 46 241 49 229 68 238 60 234 19972 18228 43 258 40 238 48 229 62 236 59 232 18228 16455 40 258 46 241 51 233 48 231 58 231 16455 14749 38 257 51 243 50 234 39 232 56 231 14749 13196 37 255 54 245 45 235 36 239 54 231 13196 11815 37 252 55 246 41 236 33 244 49 232 11815 10581 38 250 55 246 40 237 29 248 43 233 10581 9478 41 249 54 243 37 239 25 250 38 236 9478 8489 45 247 50 238 34 241 21 253 35 240 8489 7605 48 243 46 234 31 244 18 256 33 243 7605 6816 48 238 41*229 28 247 16 260 31 245 6816 6113 46 233 37*226 26*249 14*262 29 246 6113 5476 40 227 35 225 24*250 13*263 26 247 5476 4908 32 221 31 224 23 252 13 264 22 248 4908 4429 25 209 29 223 22 254 12 264 17 247 4429 4059 20 192 26 223 20 255 12 264 12 246 4059 3802 16 173 24 222 19 256 12 264 6 241 3802 3646 14 166 21 223 17 256 11 265 3 226 3646 3556 8*158 17 222 13 257 9 265 2*154 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography