DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/19 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.0 - - 53.4 - - 49.4 - - 34.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 99 - - 166 - - -5 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 891 - - 3494 - - 154 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3540 - - 5446 - - 3541 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4294 - - 6897 - - 3557 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1433 - - 1471 - - 5469 - - 249 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 185 - - 346 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 10 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 165 - - 195 - - 193 - - 266 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - 8 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -952 - - -785 - - -3342 - - -457 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5247 - - 7682 - - 6899 - - 4014 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6131 - - -5311 - - -5502 - - -6220 ODpotential blCL - - - 10425 - - 12208 - - 9059 - - 9776 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 72 - - 79 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.0 - - 53.4 - - 49.4 - - 34.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.4 - - 32.0 - - 31.6 - - 29.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.0 - - 52.0 - - 51.7 - - 39.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.4 - - 32.0 - - 31.6 - - 30.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 99 - - 166 - - -5 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 891 - - 3494 - - 154 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 27 - - 0 - - 18 - - 31 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97020 15 097 18 076 31 085 19 096 97020 89908 24 107 16 081 28 094 21 103 89908 84335 23 094 12 109 12 078 19 096 84335 79681 18 077 13 101 6 106 12 080 79681 75667 11 074 12 092 6 115 8 094 75667 72105 8 068 6 065 3 085 8 087 72105 68866 3 058 0 194 2 313 9 076 68866 65875 4 333 0 275 4 278 5 006 65875 63095 6 266 4 252 8 220 10 252 63095 60396 6 299 10 283 8 258 7 229 60396 57568 11 270 11 252 17 245 12 252 57568 54644 14 315 13 301 11 255 16 232 54644 51874 20 286 21 283 22 270 17 220 51874 49396 17 322 16 293 27 268 20 234 49396 47179 35 328 21 311 21 268 21 236 47179 45158 35 317 24 309 25 278 22 248 45158 43292 28 320 24 303 31 271 29 253 43292 41562 28 329 25 294 29 257 34 248 41562 39956 28 329 29 288 22 251 34 241 39956 38463 30 329 34 288 19 259 31 231 38463 37074 36 326 36 293 26 272 27 220 37074 35758 46 324 35 298 31 271 25 216 35758 34448 46 326 30 298 30 272 23 215 34448 33106 43 334 22 295 29 268 24 212 33106 31727 45 342 15 305 28 254 24 211 31727 30296 46 341 17 312 25 245 25 211 30296 28802 44 348 21 310 22 249 25 214 28802 27249 43 356 22 314 17 250 26 218 27249 25636 31 354 19 325 15 262 26 219 25636 23969 21 334 15 344 13 265 23 212 23969 22249 14 346 11 331 5 193 22 192 22249 20469 14 005 9 292 7 187 24 180 20469 18629 14 017 9 281 10 222 22 188 18629 16774 16 001 9 306 8 246 16 197 16774 15002 22 349 10 335 6 273 13 234 15002 13398 19 351 7 314 7 285 13 256 13398 11976 11 352 6 261 10 257 14 254 11976 10710 3 314 12 226 15 236 16 248 10710 9579 5 211 15 213 16 233 18 248 9579 8569 7 187 16 214 16 232 18 246 8569 7666 10 178 14*213 14 231 16 242 7666 6863 12 172 12*207 13 227 15 242 6863 6146 11 172 11 203 12 224 14 244 6146 5498 13 177 11 195 11 220 11 247 5498 4920 16 175 11 192 10 215 7 253 4920 4435 15*169 10 189 9 210 3 267 4435 4061 13*166 10 187 8 206 2 323 4061 3803 11 165 9 185 6 200 3 310 3803 3646 10 164 9 185 5*195 3 280 3646 3556 8 164 8 185 3*193 3*266 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography