DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/28 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 30.3 - - 39.8 - - 45.5 - - 44.8 - - 41.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 30 - - 136 - - 13 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 153 - - 2231 - - 154 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit 3539 - - 3540 - - 4434 - - 3540 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top 3556 - - 3556 - - 5634 - - 3557 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1066 - - 1805 - - 2113 - - 3959 - - 4011 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 68 - - 278 - - 52 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 5 - - 13 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 185 - - 219 - - 256 - - 239 - - 181 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -2 - - -7 - - -1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -809 - - -2184 - - -877 - - -2492 - - -1719 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4365 - - 5740 - - 6512 - - 6049 - - 5277 sfcLCL ODpotential -4554 - - -4768 - - -2406 - - -4123 - - -3722 ODpotential blCL 8110 - - 8324 - - 8040 - - 7680 - - 7279 blCL maxRH 75 - - 80 - - 93 - - 95 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 30.3 - - 39.8 - - 45.5 - - 44.8 - - 41.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.2 - - 27.5 - - 29.7 - - 31.0 - - 30.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.9 - - 39.9 - - 44.3 - - 44.8 - - 43.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.0 - - 27.3 - - 29.5 - - 30.8 - - 30.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 30 - - 136 - - 13 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 153 - - 2231 - - 154 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 18 - - 74 - - 80 - - 89 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95183 69 315 77 317 78 317 78 317 77 304 95183 88430 68 329 65 325 57 319 62 326 61 311 88430 83128 69 328 55 327 50 320 67 320 58 319 83128 78649 62 324 46 322 52 323 65 321 57 324 78649 74746 50 327 39 320 53 321 55 324 53 322 74746 71271 45 330 40 319 51 309 49 316 48 313 71271 68126 46 321 43 315 43 308 42 308 38 308 68126 65235 42 315 41 311 35 311 34 306 28 313 65235 62540 36 317 35 312 35 311 31 310 28 315 62540 59905 32 311 36 310 39 311 34 309 33 307 59905 57140 33 300 38 305 44 307 40 303 42 296 57140 54258 38 291 43 294 46 298 47 295 44 287 54258 51496 41 290 45 283 44 288 43 295 39 282 51496 48992 42 294 39 283 38 287 41 303 36 288 48992 46740 43 295 33 295 37 298 46 300 45 295 46740 44698 41 293 37 306 47 298 50 294 44 293 44698 42830 38 294 44 306 49 292 48 290 46 294 42830 41110 37 299 46 302 44 294 45 288 48 292 41110 39527 40 298 43 301 41 298 43 288 48 293 39527 38067 43 297 40 303 43 298 42 289 47 296 38067 36721 49 304 49 307 45 294 42 292 48 299 36721 35454 62 308 56 305 46 291 44 300 50 298 35454 34190 73 312 59 304 45 292 48 310 62 290 34190 32889 74 313 62 304 44 297 58 308 63 288 32889 31548 67 319 64 304 45 300 63 303 56 291 31548 30155 70 320 64 305 48 300 55 300 48 290 30155 28699 73 319 62 306 48 300 51 303 50 299 28699 27181 72 322 58 306 45 302 45 310 52 302 27181 25599 69 325 52 307 42 305 39 313 42 303 25599 23957 67 324 46 310 41 305 34 308 30 300 23957 22259 61 323 45 309 40 299 32 303 26 299 22259 20503 45 321 42 308 36 293 34 305 33 294 20503 18681 30 309 38 307 33 290 36 304 40 289 18681 16828 23 290 32 307 33 290 37 292 37 284 16828 15047 19 277 27 306 31 288 34 277 30 276 15047 13431 18 273 24 304 25 282 26 270 23 261 13431 11997 19 273 21 299 19 271 21 271 18 244 11997 10720 20 274 17 294 15 261 18 275 15 248 10720 9583 22 274 15 290 13 259 17 275 14 256 9583 8568 24 274 15 285 15 262 17 270 14 263 8568 7663 25 273 16 276 18 265 17 260 15 266 7663 6859 25 271 19 267 20 265 17 252 15 267 6859 6143 25 268 22 261 19*263 17 246 15 264 6143 5497 24 264 23 255 17*261 16 243 13 257 5497 4920 21 256 21 250 15 258 14 242 11 245 4920 4437 18 249 16 243 13 255 12 240 10 229 4437 4063 13 240 11 236 12 254 11 240 8 213 4063 3804 8 225 8 229 11 253 9 239 7 199 3804 3647 6*203 6 223 10 253 8*239 5*189 3647 3557 5*185 5*219 8 253 7*239 4*181 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography