DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/21 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.1 - - 57.6 - - - - - 41.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 308 - - 451 - - - - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3589 - - 5822 - - - - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5776 - - 7670 - - - - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6992 - - 9225 - - - - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1463 - - 1072 - - - - - 1589 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 427 - - 570 - - - - - 7 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 13 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 312 - - 316 - - - - - 339 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - 5 - - - - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 6 - - -821 - - - - - -2196 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6986 - - 10046 - - - - - 5753 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -495 - - -5777 - - - - - -7945 ODpotential blCL - - - 7487 - - 15002 - - - - - 11502 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 66 - - - - - 57 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.1 - - 57.6 - - - - - 41.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.9 - - 25.7 - - - - - 29.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.0 - - 54.9 - - - - - 44.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.9 - - 25.6 - - - - - 29.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 308 - - 451 - - - - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3589 - - 5822 - - - - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 55 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 3 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96302 16 264 13 279 19 294 96302 89287 11 274 13 280 10 304 89287 83854 9 258 14 283 10 301 83854 79312 14 278 12 276 12 291 79312 75378 15 284 13 266 18 288 75378 71901 16 270 19 276 11 287 71901 68743 20 275 25 280 20 296 68743 65844 25 265 26 264 28 281 65844 63160 26 266 28 265 35 279 63160 60545 37 272 41 263 47 271 60545 57795 46 266 51 256 52 269 57795 54909 53 263 58 264 51 264 54909 52126 61 263 70 264 62 275 52126 49601 71 261 72 264 75 270 49601 47309 72 259 81 264 69 270 47309 45210 79 262 81 261 78 281 45210 43300 84 260 73 266 99 281 43300 41570 77 263 87 273 106 270 41570 39991 99 263 111 269 99 261 39991 38530 113 255 105 261 88 274 38530 37170 113 254 88 257 92 288 37170 35873 112 255 83 262 109 294 35873 34568 105 260 85 265 116 290 34568 33219 97 265 89 266 121 289 33219 31826 99 263 93 265 116 293 31826 30382 106 261 99 265 99 293 30382 28885 105 264 98 269 84 286 28885 27335 99 274 83 270 79 277 27335 25730 86 279 74 270 80 277 25730 24068 74 277 69 270 73 284 24068 22354 68 272 65 271 67 291 22354 20583 64 269 62 271 62 296 20583 18751 58 268 56 270 55 298 18751 16894 53 271 49 269 44 295 16894 15111 48 278 43 273 37 289 15111 13489 41 280 36 278 32 287 13489 12045 37 279 28 276 27 287 12045 10761 34 278 21 268 20 288 10761 9614 29 281 11*273 14 288 9614 8592 21 286 9*284 11 286 8592 7680 13*288 8 289 8 296 7680 6871 9*291 8 311 8 320 6871 6151 8 298 8 319 9 337 6151 5502 6 313 9 324 12 341 5502 4924 6 319 9 328 15 340 4924 4439 6 324 9 332 16 339 4439 4064 6 329 9 334 17 339 4064 3805 5 330 9 334 15 340 3805 3647 5 332 9 335 11*339 3647 3557 5 333 8 335 6*339 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography