DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/30 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.1 - - 57.0 - - 59.5 - - 53.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 270 - - 489 - - 302 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3268 - - 5010 - - 5907 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5509 - - 7055 - - 7570 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6671 - - 8413 - - 9310 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1175 - - 1211 - - 1183 - - 5575 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 405 - - 559 - - 503 - - 44 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 16 - - 11 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 322 - - 318 - - 327 - - 005 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - -17 - - -9 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 257 - - -456 - - -747 - - -4345 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6414 - - 8870 - - 10057 - - 7902 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6014 - - -4444 - - -4326 - - -8427 ODpotential blCL - - - 12685 - - 12857 - - 13636 - - 11984 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 69 - - 73 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.1 - - 57.0 - - 59.5 - - 53.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.6 - - 30.5 - - 27.7 - - 31.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.2 - - 54.2 - - 57.3 - - 53.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.3 - - 29.9 - - 27.1 - - 31.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 270 - - 489 - - 302 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3268 - - 5010 - - 5907 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98466 16 120 20 110 17 121 16 098 98466 91036 17 106 17 109 21 102 21 108 91036 85340 19 128 13 104 17 100 20 085 85340 80613 20 122 15 122 11 113 17 086 80613 76529 18 111 19 126 13 139 14 091 76529 72911 16 116 14 119 17 138 11 130 72911 69631 11 154 13 147 9 162 12 147 69631 66605 14 177 14 167 15 170 14 177 66605 63782 16 190 13 190 16 151 16 161 63782 61014 21 202 23 215 11 213 10 156 61014 58103 23 196 24 201 18 215 16 200 58103 55078 16 210 21 204 19 214 19 215 55078 52193 23 223 23 211 26 222 27 220 52193 49607 27 220 28 218 27 218 26 217 49607 47302 26 219 25 220 23 220 22 220 47302 45221 24 225 22 227 22 232 19 232 45221 43323 24 231 26 232 24 235 19 233 43323 41580 26 235 25 231 24 234 19 232 41580 39973 26 236 23 238 23 238 19 240 39973 38479 26 233 24 238 22 240 18 250 38479 37089 24 227 25 237 21 241 18 255 37089 35767 23 221 25 234 20 237 19 262 35767 34449 24 219 24 227 20 232 21 267 34449 33106 27 215 22 217 20 222 23 268 33106 31738 29 209 19 213 21 207 21 259 31738 30327 29 208 15 224 19 206 19 243 30327 28861 28 211 15 250 17 218 18 232 28861 27340 28 216 18 259 17 232 17 229 27340 25758 25 220 19 259 16 243 14 238 25758 24117 23 224 19 257 17 251 13 253 24117 22420 23 228 19 249 18 254 13 266 22420 20662 23 230 20 245 17 252 13 270 20662 18836 23 231 19 247 16 256 13 269 18836 16980 21 236 18 253 15 261 11 272 16980 15193 17 248 16 256 14 265 9 276 15193 13565 16 260 15 261 13 270 8 286 13565 12113 16 268 14 269 13 278 9 295 12113 10818 16 275 13 275 11 283 8 282 10818 9665 14 285 10 276 8*304 6 275 9665 8639 12 299 7*288 8*313 6 312 8639 7724 8 310 7*294 8 317 10 343 7724 6910 6*317 6 304 9 323 13 353 6910 6184 6*319 6 315 9 328 16 359 6184 5528 6 321 6 322 9 330 17 002 5528 4944 6 322 7 326 9 332 17 003 4944 4452 6 323 7 328 9 335 17 003 4452 4072 6 324 7 331 9 335 17 004 4072 3809 6 324 7 331 9 336 16 005 3809 3649 6 324 7 332 8 336 14 005 3649 3557 6 324 6 332 8 336 10*005 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography