DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/06 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.6 - - 75.7 - - 71.6 - - 60.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 404 - - 506 - - 299 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4437 - - 6526 - - 4062 - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6533 - - 8285 - - 6131 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7840 - - 9929 - - 7465 - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1551 - - 1543 - - 2868 - - 2538 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 503 - - 617 - - 442 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 9 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 13 - - 19 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 303 - - 312 - - 331 - - 347 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - -7 - - 10 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3356 - - -2131 - - -2990 - - -3745 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11197 - - 12060 - - 10455 - - 7303 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8390 - - -5949 - - -6432 - - -7771 ODpotential blCL - - - 16230 - - 15878 - - 13897 - - 11329 blCL maxRH - - - 43 - - 48 - - 74 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.6 - - 75.7 - - 71.6 - - 60.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.8 - - 34.8 - - 38.0 - - 41.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.0 - - 72.6 - - 69.6 - - 60.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.7 - - 34.7 - - 38.0 - - 41.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 404 - - 506 - - 299 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4437 - - 6526 - - 4062 - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 37 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97913 15 226 15 246 13 267 13 261 97913 90447 8 207 13 227 12 256 9 234 90447 84701 8 218 10 207 14 245 2 237 84701 79948 9 177 9 234 8 247 3 329 79948 75864 6 117 5 253 6 253 6 327 75864 72259 7 342 2 332 5 285 6 315 72259 68994 6 329 4 306 6 298 6 327 68994 65990 7 315 12 314 10 344 5 359 65990 63201 7 306 14 306 16 342 10 007 63201 60501 12 347 12 317 22 334 13 004 60501 57694 13 344 13 313 20 321 20 340 57694 54792 15 349 13 319 18 315 23 325 54792 52031 20 335 23 324 24 320 24 325 52031 49555 27 325 31 317 30 315 27 320 49555 47352 29 319 34 311 34 310 32 317 47352 45376 31 314 39 309 39 312 35 317 45376 43602 37 314 44 311 36 336 39 341 43602 41990 45 310 44 312 46 333 46 343 41990 40490 46 307 40 321 40 347 44 342 40490 39074 44 306 40 329 41 356 43 341 39074 37735 39 309 37 333 42 347 41 343 37735 36444 35 313 36 338 45 342 41 346 36444 35136 34 317 36 341 45 342 40 345 35136 33783 32 318 36 341 44 339 40 344 33783 32388 31 318 35 339 43 336 40 342 32388 30940 30 322 32 338 40 332 40 339 30940 29428 29 325 28 336 35 322 39 335 29428 27854 28 329 29 325 31 313 37 329 27854 26220 29 328 30 320 33 313 34 320 26220 24528 28 324 28 317 32 310 34 313 24528 22784 28 318 27 308 29 304 32 304 22784 20985 26 315 27 298 28 299 32 296 20985 19123 22 316 26 292 30 296 31 294 19123 17232 18 315 25 292 29 294 29 298 17232 15412 15 309 21 297 26 296 26 301 15412 13757 14 307 19 301 21 297 22 302 13757 12284 13 303 17 298 18 291 19 299 12284 10971 12 298 15*292 14 276 16 300 10971 9797 12 293 13*296 13 280 15 307 9797 8747 12*289 13 298 13 294 16 311 8747 7809 10*290 13 302 15*316 17 312 7809 6975 9 293 13 310 16*321 17 312 6975 6233 9 298 13 316 18 328 17 316 6233 5564 8 305 13 318 20 331 17 325 5564 4969 8 307 13 322 20 333 17 335 4969 4468 8 312 13 323 21 334 17 340 4468 4082 7 315 13 325 20 334 16 343 4082 3814 7 317 13 326 20 334 15 344 3814 3651 7 318 12 326 19 335 13*345 3651 3558 6 318 11 327 16 335 9*347 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography