DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/17 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 35.2 - - 37.9 - - - - - 34.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 27 - - 40 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 153 - - 153 - - - - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3539 - - 3539 - - - - - 3539 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3556 - - 3556 - - - - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4581 - - 5815 - - - - - 2773 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 72 - - 80 - - - - - 13 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 6 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 284 - - 269 - - - - - 114 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 1 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1951 - - -2223 - - - - - -742 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5507 - - 5780 - - - - - 4298 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2885 - - -2914 - - - - - -2359 ODpotential blCL - - - 6441 - - 6470 - - - - - 5915 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 93 - - - - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 35.2 - - 37.9 - - - - - 34.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.7 - - 25.2 - - - - - 28.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 34.8 - - 37.4 - - - - - 34.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.6 - - 24.0 - - - - - 26.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 27 - - 40 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 153 - - 153 - - - - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 74 - - - - - 43 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96449 24 040 26 058 19 054 96449 89412 17 049 16 046 23 042 89412 83918 14 013 15 026 17 019 83918 79319 10 031 11 332 10 353 79319 75316 18 318 13 321 7 346 75316 71747 19 302 23 289 26 328 71747 68522 5 283 5 272 29 303 68522 65565 10 341 11 125 19 300 65565 62811 32 313 10 347 28 330 62811 60109 64 286 54 292 43 305 60109 57275 58 283 63 285 51 293 57275 54342 55 286 53 289 56 296 54342 51554 56 283 50 294 65 299 51554 49050 58 286 57 298 72 302 49050 46817 67 291 72 298 87 302 46817 44818 78 294 93 296 95 296 44818 43010 90 294 117 292 87 293 43010 41362 105 292 124 291 97 313 41362 39848 116 294 117 299 123 315 39848 38438 128 301 131 314 124 307 38438 37105 149 310 154 318 122 306 37105 35814 169 312 163 316 123 306 35814 34504 168 309 161 311 124 306 34504 33149 156 306 156 306 125 305 33149 31752 148 304 152 304 124 304 31752 30301 147 301 146 306 118 299 30301 28788 145 300 140 305 114 294 28788 27217 142 304 134 306 109 294 27217 25591 137 306 126 307 107 296 25591 23910 130 302 121 303 104 298 23910 22176 124 298 120 298 99 300 22176 20385 114 296 116 297 94 301 20385 18533 99 297 105 299 81 303 18533 16669 86 301 91 302 67 302 16669 14898 75 302 78 305 55 295 14898 13299 60 298 62 306 47 291 13299 11877 44 293 45 304 39 294 11877 10610 37 289 34 302 32 299 10610 9481 34 288 28 298 26 298 9481 8475 33 287 23 294 21 291 8475 7582 32 286 19 289 17 279 7582 6791 30 286 15 284 16 266 6791 6089 26 286 12 279 16 257 6089 5456 22 285 10 276 14 252 5456 4892 18 285 9 273 11 249 4892 4418 15 285 8 271 8 251 4418 4052 13 284 8 270 4 262 4052 3799 12 284 7 270 1 301 3799 3644 11*284 7*269 1*089 3644 3556 9*284 6*269 2*114 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography