DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/09 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 33.2 - - 38.3 - - 41.0 - - 41.7 - - 34.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 64 - - 101 - - 19 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 2134 - - 3202 - - 153 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit 3540 - - 3539 - - 4983 - - 3540 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top 3556 - - 5537 - - 6605 - - 3556 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2178 - - 1852 - - 2586 - - 6012 - - 1557 Hgt.Variab. W* 15 - - 219 - - 291 - - 62 - - 9 W* B/S 1 - - 12 - - 55 - - 15 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 234 - - 307 - - 135 - - 351 - - 037 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -1 - - -6 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 784 - - 925 - - -2478 - - -420 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3556 - - 4753 - - 5681 - - 6034 - - 3976 sfcLCL ODpotential -1941 - - -412 - - -161 - - -3288 - - -2937 ODpotential blCL 5497 - - 5949 - - 6766 - - 6844 - - 6493 blCL maxRH 94 - - 83 - - 93 - - 82 - - 78 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 33.2 - - 38.3 - - 41.0 - - 41.7 - - 34.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.5 - - 30.3 - - 28.9 - - 27.9 - - 30.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 34.9 - - 37.5 - - 40.0 - - 41.2 - - 37.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.6 - - 29.1 - - 27.6 - - 26.8 - - 29.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 64 - - 101 - - 19 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 2134 - - 3202 - - 153 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 75 - - 32 - - 74 - - 27 - - 12 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97130 27 078 34 090 38 087 39 087 27 095 97130 90011 32 092 32 097 28 098 36 093 27 102 90011 84402 21 091 23 101 24 106 23 094 25 083 84402 79704 17 101 16 098 17 111 15 104 19 085 79704 75631 11 111 7 084 13 104 9 098 14 086 75631 72009 1 090 2 168 8 100 7 092 6 074 72009 68733 2 355 4 298 4 158 1 331 6 337 68733 65725 12 310 6 285 2 012 5 149 4 255 65725 62929 10 251 11 281 10 296 3 332 4 265 62929 60204 7 080 7 189 8 241 13 293 12 286 60204 57343 22 273 16 290 21 274 19 278 17 274 57343 54357 30 255 30 260 26 270 26 272 25 281 54357 51496 24 266 24 251 29 263 30 253 35 271 51496 48924 31 277 20 267 28 263 30 245 41 256 48924 46620 40 274 36 276 38 270 33 252 41 243 46620 44514 46 269 50 269 47 268 35 266 26 260 44514 42588 47 268 61 270 55 269 45 276 37 284 42588 40833 51 271 67 270 60 269 55 276 52 284 40833 39226 55 272 67 268 67 266 69 265 62 264 39226 37750 58 273 66 267 74 261 74 248 68 254 37750 36382 59 277 63 268 63 261 60 245 60 252 36382 35076 62 284 62 280 54 277 47 269 56 262 35076 33774 69 291 76 293 75 295 73 290 61 270 33774 32453 76 294 106 295 115 291 97 285 68 272 32453 31111 81 292 142 293 123 287 100 280 73 271 31111 29722 81 290 140 293 122 285 95 280 77 272 29722 28271 73 289 99 292 115 288 88 284 73 277 28271 26759 65 289 70 290 95 287 78 280 62 278 26759 25191 57 292 60 294 75 283 72 274 53 276 25191 23573 53 299 57 300 58 285 53 282 52 270 23573 21911 48 303 55 304 47 290 40 293 42 272 21911 20201 41 305 54 308 44 294 33 292 26 281 20201 18437 36 307 51 312 43 300 30 296 20 284 18437 16642 33 309 42 311 38 305 27 303 19 287 16642 14912 31 311 33 305 32 307 24 307 16 294 14912 13333 28 313 26 304 27 305 21 308 14 299 13333 11922 25 314 22 308 23 305 17 307 12 299 11922 10661 24 311 19 312 17 305 11 293 10 298 10661 9533 23 305 18 314 10 299 8 247 8 272 9533 8525 23 300 17 314 4 251 8 225 10 219 8525 7628 23 298 16 311 4 234 7 226 10 193 7628 6831 23 295 14 311 3*222 6 230 6 191 6831 6121 22 294 10*312 2*205 3 237 3 172 6121 5479 20 293 6*314 1 161 1 258 2 092 5479 4908 16 289 4 308 1 131 1 295 5 059 4908 4428 12 282 3 301 1 112 1 327 8 046 4428 4057 9 271 3 302 1 101 1 344 9 039 4057 3801 7 264 2 303 1 093 1 347 8 036 3801 3646 5*253 2 301 1 092 1 355 6 037 3646 3556 3*234 2 303 1 089 1*351 4*037 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography