DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/09 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.2 - - 57.5 - - 55.8 - - 50.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 388 - - 546 - - 387 - - 51 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4901 - - 5660 - - 5154 - - 3482 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6883 - - 7611 - - 7081 - - 4327 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8304 - - 9063 - - 8557 - - 6885 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1660 - - 1286 - - 1302 - - 1482 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 513 - - 602 - - 521 - - 233 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 16 - - 18 - - 15 BL Wind Direction - - - 281 - - 284 - - 294 - - 303 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 13 - - 15 - - 15 - - 8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 803 - - 528 - - 768 - - 429 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7501 - - 8536 - - 7789 - - 6456 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 361 - - 193 - - 363 - - -371 ODpotential blCL - - - 7943 - - 8870 - - 8194 - - 7256 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 81 - - 91 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.2 - - 57.5 - - 55.8 - - 50.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.6 - - 32.3 - - 33.9 - - 34.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.9 - - 54.6 - - 53.6 - - 50.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.4 - - 32.2 - - 33.8 - - 34.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 388 - - 546 - - 387 - - 51 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4901 - - 5660 - - 5154 - - 3482 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 50 - - 24 - - 63 - - 60 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99027 26 122 16 133 17 106 17 120 99027 91531 18 141 10 138 15 104 13 113 91531 85779 11 126 12 131 10 107 22 097 85779 81009 11 127 12 124 10 124 10 085 81009 76893 10 123 14 105 11 116 11 084 76893 73248 13 153 5 130 11 103 15 091 73248 69937 12 136 9 135 3 183 7 072 69937 66883 6 100 4 111 3 129 3 101 66883 64054 3 175 8 268 7 281 5 322 64054 61307 3 234 9 237 7 228 1 127 61307 58450 15 301 16 284 24 276 27 294 58450 55513 21 284 22 286 21 290 28 291 55513 52709 31 305 36 307 43 305 35 301 52709 50171 50 306 51 306 54 302 42 300 50171 47891 57 306 59 303 55 305 46 299 47891 45814 63 306 64 309 58 309 50 300 45814 43911 67 310 70 310 60 311 62 306 43911 42164 72 313 69 313 74 315 78 308 42164 40558 76 318 74 320 94 313 90 311 40558 39075 93 323 105 319 104 314 103 314 39075 37696 115 322 114 313 114 317 109 313 37696 36372 120 319 115 320 119 318 109 313 36372 35034 110 319 128 326 116 317 109 315 35034 33652 102 321 132 327 113 319 108 316 33652 32232 106 324 129 327 111 321 104 317 32232 30759 114 325 119 324 112 322 101 317 30759 29224 118 325 116 319 107 321 101 316 29224 27626 103 325 111 318 103 319 100 317 27626 25970 76 322 101 320 102 318 97 316 25970 24259 60 313 87 325 91 320 92 315 24259 22502 55 305 65 322 74 320 84 314 22502 20696 53 302 52 309 61 316 73 313 20696 18836 49 301 50 302 54 310 63 309 18836 16956 45 301 47 302 49 306 55 308 16956 15154 41 299 42 301 42 303 47 308 15154 13518 39 296 37 296 37 300 40 308 13518 12064 36 293 32 289 31 297 34 308 12064 10772 30 290 24 282 24 289 28 307 10772 9622 21 285 17*278 18 282 23 300 9622 8599 17*281 16*278 17*282 19 291 8599 7690 15*279 16 280 17*285 16*290 7690 6883 15 279 16 282 17 289 16*294 6883 6164 15 280 16 284 18 292 15 298 6164 5514 15 280 17 286 18 295 15 303 5514 4934 15 281 17 287 18 296 15 305 4934 4446 14 281 17 288 18 298 15 306 4446 4069 14 282 16 289 18 299 15 307 4069 3808 13 282 16 290 18 299 15 308 3808 3648 13 282 15 289 17 300 14 308 3648 3557 11 282 14 290 15 299 11 309 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography