DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/08 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.6 - - 88.4 - - 88.9 - - 77.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 358 - - 459 - - 280 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3067 - - 5771 - - 6575 - - 156 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5429 - - 7636 - - 8054 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6470 - - 9174 - - 9978 - - 3559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1468 - - 2069 - - 2853 - - 4775 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 426 - - 572 - - 507 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 22 - - 13 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 8 - - 13 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 330 - - 333 - - 343 - - 344 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -10 - - 9 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9295 - - -7745 - - -6258 - - -8011 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15766 - - 16919 - - 16236 - - 11570 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15055 - - -12293 - - -10349 - - -13632 ODpotential blCL - - - 21525 - - 21467 - - 20327 - - 17191 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 75 - - 42 - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.6 - - 88.4 - - 88.9 - - 77.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.8 - - 26.0 - - 29.5 - - 39.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.2 - - 85.5 - - 86.8 - - 78.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.7 - - 25.9 - - 29.5 - - 39.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 358 - - 459 - - 280 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3067 - - 5771 - - 6575 - - 156 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99703 27 110 19 114 22 091 23 103 99703 92157 23 101 18 098 21 103 14 086 92157 86355 18 106 20 102 17 092 16 087 86355 81549 15 117 15 083 16 092 16 083 81549 77399 13 127 11 091 12 096 15 072 77399 73720 15 121 9 103 7 114 8 067 73720 70383 12 088 10 120 5 123 8 094 70383 67309 9 012 11 119 3 149 5 082 67309 64468 8 270 6 316 6 005 6 036 64468 61730 5 252 9 236 11 285 9 339 61730 58899 13 284 13 291 14 293 11 314 58899 55987 25 274 22 274 23 282 20 280 55987 53212 31 262 31 268 32 273 34 285 53212 50720 40 266 39 265 42 273 44 274 50720 48501 52 263 47 263 50 268 47 275 48501 46498 58 260 51 260 54 264 53 273 46498 44671 59 262 57 265 58 267 56 270 44671 42990 59 266 66 266 61 268 54 268 42990 41429 61 264 68 264 56 267 51 267 41429 39967 56 262 64 266 47 272 45 268 39967 38593 50 265 59 269 42 276 42 272 38593 37267 48 271 54 269 40 280 40 275 37267 35925 43 269 49 270 39 285 40 277 35925 34537 42 264 45 270 39 286 38 278 34537 33108 41 264 42 270 38 284 37 278 33108 31624 38 266 43 271 36 281 35 277 31624 30075 35 267 43 275 35 281 33 277 30075 28463 34 265 38 270 34 280 32 280 28463 26788 33 264 37 265 34 279 33 281 26788 25055 29 265 34 266 35 275 33 280 25055 23271 29 261 30 265 34 272 34 276 23271 21429 30 257 27 264 32 269 34 271 21429 19524 30 255 27 264 31 266 33 268 19524 17589 29 254 27 263 30 265 31 266 17589 15729 26 255 26 262 27 265 28 263 15729 14036 21 257 25 260 23 259 24 258 14036 12528 17 257 23 256 18 254 21 253 12528 11181 13 253 18 254 10 273 16 248 11181 9976 11 251 11*268 9*288 10 256 9976 8898 9 254 8*297 9*320 6 303 8898 7936 7 262 8 316 11 338 10 348 7936 7081 5*281 8 326 13 343 14 354 7081 6319 3*309 8 336 14 345 16 353 6319 5630 3 321 9 340 15 345 18 350 5630 5016 4 330 9 343 15 345 18 348 5016 4500 4 334 9 345 15 346 18 347 4500 4100 4 340 9 348 15 346 18 346 4100 3824 4 341 9 348 15 346 16 345 3824 3656 4 343 9 349 14 346 14*345 3656 3559 4 343 8 348 13 346 9*344 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography