DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/02 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.9 - - 78.6 - - 77.6 - - 69.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 345 - - 438 - - 190 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2651 - - 13072 - - 12660 - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5105 - - 13572 - - 12617 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6054 - - 16475 - - 16063 - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2004 - - 3079 - - 2385 - - 10482 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 402 - - 742 - - 556 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 31 - - 19 - - 42 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 7 - - 2 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 103 - - 142 - - 089 - - 353 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 18 - - 20 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 68 - - 76 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5261 - - 655 - - 625 - - -8234 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11316 - - 15821 - - 15438 - - 11793 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7133 - - 279 - - 220 - - -9992 ODpotential blCL - - - 13187 - - 16196 - - 15843 - - 13550 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 93 - - 96 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 50 - - 30 - - 100 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.9 - - 78.6 - - 77.6 - - 69.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.5 - - 20.3 - - 21.2 - - 29.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.6 - - 75.7 - - 75.9 - - 70.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.3 - - 20.2 - - 21.1 - - 29.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 345 - - 438 - - 190 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2651 - - 13072 - - 12660 - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 37 - - 71 - - 84 - - 36 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97345 9 160 6 218 6 321 5 021 97345 89990 1 140 4 289 2 345 2 144 89990 84359 3 330 6 270 1 327 3 246 84359 79687 7 341 5 306 5 342 4 294 79687 75649 6 345 7 318 10 340 7 357 75649 72073 3 003 8 305 12 329 13 005 72073 68832 8 013 5 334 10 329 13 346 68832 65848 11 358 9 355 12 339 12 334 65848 63069 12 350 11 357 12 329 12 331 63069 60360 14 345 11 349 9 345 10 324 60360 57521 13 331 12 333 14 347 9 341 57521 54576 10 336 12 320 16 330 12 357 54576 51769 12 334 11 328 13 324 11 344 51769 49252 11 331 12 326 10 336 7 336 49252 47004 10 323 11 325 9 335 6 355 47004 44971 6 261 10 320 10 349 8 008 44971 43115 2 208 6 242 7 284 10 359 43115 41409 2 292 6 207 7 227 5 294 41409 39837 7 224 8 188 12 208 10 212 39837 38387 17 234 13 216 16 224 10 209 38387 37047 35 218 26 223 27 234 9 237 37047 35774 43 208 36 220 41 227 22 236 35774 34494 40 210 37 218 48 224 30 232 34494 33178 38 216 31 217 45 224 32 232 33178 31826 36 217 26 221 37 225 29 234 31826 30425 33 218 25 222 25 223 27 232 30425 28965 31 219 24 208 19 214 25 224 28965 27446 31 222 25 213 18 202 23 219 27446 25871 29 227 25 221 21 205 21 217 25871 24239 22 229 24 219 24 211 20 215 24239 22554 20 221 21 211 26 204 19 207 22554 20809 21 204 22 195 22 188 18 191 20809 18998 19 198 22 184 17 173 17 176 18998 17156 17 179 20*177 15*165 17 165 17156 15381 13 169 15*165 13*159 15 152 15381 13762 13 173 14 159 10 154 11 139 13762 12314 14 178 12 155 8 147 8 129 12314 11014 14 178 10 149 5 134 5 117 11014 9847 14 172 9 143 3 104 3 082 9847 8797 14 166 7 134 3 055 4 029 8797 7857 13 161 5 119 5 025 7 014 7857 7019 11 154 4 098 6 011 10 013 7019 6271 8*144 4 077 7 005 13 014 6271 5595 5*133 4 063 8 002 15 015 5595 4991 3 112 4 048 8 359 17 015 4991 4483 2 099 4 040 9 358 18 012 4483 4091 2 079 4 036 9 357 17 007 4091 3819 2 061 4 033 9 356 15 001 3819 3653 2 055 4 032 9 355 12*357 3653 3558 2 053 4 031 8 354 8*353 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography