DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/12 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.3 - - 51.4 - - 51.2 - - 43.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 210 - - 202 - - 145 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2229 - - 2504 - - 2607 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4628 - - 4809 - - 4728 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5632 - - 5907 - - 6010 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1805 - - 2345 - - 2014 - - 2654 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 321 - - 329 - - 298 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 25 - - 23 - - 24 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 266 - - 264 - - 262 - - 236 Direction Wind Shear - - - 16 - - 12 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -8 - - -12 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 342 - - 477 - - 261 - - -635 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5290 - - 5431 - - 5749 - - 4193 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -220 - - 13 - - -327 - - -2530 ODpotential blCL - - - 5852 - - 5894 - - 6337 - - 6087 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 100 - - 99 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.3 - - 51.4 - - 51.2 - - 43.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.6 - - 40.1 - - 38.5 - - 37.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.9 - - 50.0 - - 50.1 - - 45.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.6 - - 40.0 - - 38.5 - - 37.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 210 - - 202 - - 145 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2229 - - 2504 - - 2607 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 88 - - 101 - - 96 - - 66 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96407 14 071 9 071 7 018 14 088 96407 89314 6 064 5 021 10 024 16 063 89314 83804 9 057 3 049 12 331 11 026 83804 79198 6 015 11 331 13 012 8 326 79198 75221 14 307 9 292 16 345 11 315 75221 71691 23 293 25 287 26 328 21 328 71691 68498 14 283 20 290 23 327 24 327 68498 65556 25 299 31 315 9 357 12 300 65556 62826 44 305 45 312 19 319 21 321 62826 60176 53 305 52 311 40 322 39 315 60176 57398 59 308 57 308 56 309 57 308 57398 54521 66 307 61 304 64 303 69 307 54521 51797 74 300 72 302 76 300 78 302 51797 49350 77 292 80 296 79 298 78 296 49350 47147 74 295 79 295 77 302 72 298 47147 45149 90 306 90 303 85 305 78 306 45149 43341 99 298 95 296 93 298 88 304 43341 41698 80 282 85 284 88 288 87 294 41698 40182 60 289 68 285 78 284 80 287 40182 38762 62 304 70 296 74 290 75 290 38762 37422 73 309 75 299 75 297 76 296 37422 36127 78 305 80 295 79 300 80 298 36127 34815 81 299 84 291 82 299 83 296 34815 33456 84 294 85 290 84 297 85 294 33456 32057 85 291 84 292 85 296 84 294 32057 30604 85 291 82 294 83 295 83 295 30604 29089 85 293 80 295 81 295 81 296 29089 27518 84 296 79 294 78 295 78 297 27518 25893 81 297 77 294 76 295 77 298 25893 24216 77 298 75 294 73 294 76 299 24216 22489 71 298 73 294 71 294 76 299 22489 20706 66 298 72 294 69 294 72 299 20706 18861 64 298 70 295 67 295 66 300 18861 16990 65 298 67 295 65 297 60 301 16990 15191 66 298 64 295 63 297 56 301 15191 13554 65 298 61 297 61 297 56 299 13554 12095 60 299 56 299 59 296 56 296 12095 10797 54 299 51 299 55 296 54 294 10797 9638 49 296 46 296 49 294 50 292 9638 8607 46 290 41 290 43 291 46 288 8607 7689 43 283 36 284 37 284 41 283 7689 6878 40 279 33 279 33 278 37 274 6878 6157 36*276 30*275 30*272 34 266 6157 5507 32*271 27*270 28*266 31 260 5507 4928 28 267 24 265 26 263 28 254 4928 4442 25 264 23 262 25 261 24 249 4442 4066 24 264 22 262 24 260 20 247 4066 3806 23 263 21 261 22 260 15 245 3806 3648 21 263 20 261 21 260 11*243 3648 3557 16 263 16 261 16 259 6*236 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography