DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/11 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.3 - - 72.1 - - - - - 62.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 262 - - 368 - - - - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2973 - - 4505 - - - - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5256 - - 6552 - - - - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6376 - - 7908 - - - - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1238 - - 2559 - - - - - 2013 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 381 - - 490 - - - - - 10 W* B/S - - - 38 - - 17 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 5 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 163 - - 302 - - - - - 359 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 13 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -7 - - - - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1188 - - -4149 - - - - - -5556 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7564 - - 12058 - - - - - 9114 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6677 - - -9299 - - - - - -10937 ODpotential blCL - - - 13053 - - 17207 - - - - - 14495 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 80 - - - - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.3 - - 72.1 - - - - - 62.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.4 - - 31.3 - - - - - 34.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.6 - - 69.6 - - - - - 63.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.2 - - 31.1 - - - - - 34.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 262 - - 368 - - - - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2973 - - 4505 - - - - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 18 - - 19 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 4 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98663 12 293 16 250 21 263 98663 91237 15 274 14 274 16 249 91237 85515 11 261 10 279 8 276 85515 80769 4 327 7 314 4 340 80769 76658 2 297 8 278 11 328 76658 73027 4 349 1 262 8 305 73027 69744 10 296 10 300 3 294 69744 66716 5 250 12 267 14 289 66716 63909 10 337 8 265 10 282 63909 61164 22 294 15 295 16 297 61164 58290 27 288 23 289 30 290 58290 55332 35 281 36 281 36 283 55332 52528 46 276 49 275 43 282 52528 50008 55 276 59 273 51 280 50008 47750 63 278 66 274 60 279 47750 45710 71 280 72 276 71 280 45710 43858 81 282 82 278 82 280 43858 42161 93 284 93 280 90 282 42161 40587 103 283 101 283 96 282 40587 39116 105 283 105 283 97 282 39116 37737 98 282 101 281 95 282 37737 36417 89 280 92 277 89 281 36417 35090 82 279 83 277 81 278 35090 33727 77 279 76 276 76 277 33727 32328 74 279 72 276 73 276 32328 30877 72 279 68 275 69 276 30877 29365 68 279 67 275 65 275 29365 27792 66 278 65 274 63 274 27792 26160 63 278 62 272 59 273 26160 24472 59 278 58 271 55 272 24472 22731 55 278 54 271 51 273 22731 20933 49 276 50 273 47 270 20933 19075 42 273 45 272 41 267 19075 17190 35 269 39 269 36 263 17190 15382 31 269 34 265 33 257 15382 13738 30 270 31 260 30 252 13738 12275 28 271 28 255 26 247 12275 10970 26 268 23 249 23 241 10970 9802 23 264 17 245 18 238 9802 8755 19 258 14*244 13 241 8755 7819 14 251 11*249 9 254 7819 6986 8*235 8 261 5 286 6986 6243 4*204 6 283 6 338 6243 5572 3 187 5 323 10 358 5572 4974 2 158 6 335 13 001 4974 4471 2 140 6 343 15 360 4471 4083 2 116 6 346 15 359 4083 3815 2 107 6 348 13 359 3815 3652 2 099 6 349 10*358 3652 3558 2 098 6 349 6*359 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography