DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/27 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.4 - - 41.6 - - 45.7 - - 45.6 - - 36.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -15 - - 13 - - 45 - - 27 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 154 - - 154 - - 3162 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit 3540 - - 3540 - - 3540 - - 3540 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top 3556 - - 3557 - - 3557 - - 6565 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 385 - - 2561 - - 5200 - - 2719 - - 2299 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 54 - - 81 - - 182 - - 14 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 3 - - 6 - - 12 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 149 - - 127 - - 320 - - 299 - - 187 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -2 - - 3 - - 8 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -293 - - -146 - - -1163 - - 523 - - -276 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3850 - - 3703 - - 4721 - - 6042 - - 3832 sfcLCL ODpotential -3264 - - -1247 - - -1820 - - -212 - - -2831 ODpotential blCL 6820 - - 4804 - - 5377 - - 6777 - - 6387 blCL maxRH 99 - - 98 - - 100 - - 99 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 90 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.4 - - 41.6 - - 45.7 - - 45.6 - - 36.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.0 - - 37.8 - - 37.4 - - 31.5 - - 31.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.8 - - 41.3 - - 45.0 - - 45.1 - - 39.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.0 - - 37.3 - - 36.6 - - 31.4 - - 31.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -15 - - 13 - - 45 - - 27 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 154 - - 154 - - 3162 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 97 - - 94 - - 101 - - 96 - - 30 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96741 10 286 19 286 29 281 21 306 19 267 96741 89607 5 306 10 296 12 293 14 288 15 291 89607 84096 6 321 4 294 8 287 10 278 11 315 84096 79491 6 295 6 022 7 291 9 289 11 300 79491 75491 6 270 5 325 8 259 12 257 9 301 75491 71926 5 272 6 299 3 279 9 263 13 286 71926 68672 13 258 15 270 14 284 12 267 14 265 68672 65655 7 216 13 270 18 269 17 267 16 269 65655 62843 13 277 11 254 19 264 18 269 15 277 62843 60107 18 270 12 266 18 265 18 282 10 287 60107 57245 12 269 9 263 15 272 19 285 17 301 57245 54278 17 281 16 281 18 274 26 286 26 293 54278 51455 24 296 20 289 23 277 31 285 30 291 51455 48923 31 292 24 298 24 283 33 286 30 283 48923 46661 31 284 29 294 29 288 31 295 30 285 46661 44617 32 280 34 286 33 292 39 303 38 288 44617 42758 33 289 36 286 39 291 44 295 43 288 42758 41059 36 292 39 288 39 289 41 293 46 302 41059 39502 44 294 42 286 37 294 39 297 54 307 39502 38063 58 282 43 282 38 301 41 312 50 305 38063 36716 67 272 43 279 40 306 54 315 48 312 36716 35426 68 267 41 278 41 309 53 312 55 318 35426 34128 63 268 41 278 41 312 47 309 61 318 34128 32795 59 272 42 278 39 318 43 322 61 315 32795 31428 60 272 42 273 38 328 51 336 56 314 31428 30013 62 272 39 266 39 341 57 343 51 318 30013 28541 65 270 33 266 41 352 54 342 50 324 28541 27012 62 268 28 271 42 002 49 335 49 327 27012 25425 56 268 25 274 45 004 46 332 45 321 25425 23782 48 268 21 270 37 004 43 333 44 311 23782 22088 38 267 17 260 25 007 41 337 45 309 22088 20343 32 267 14 259 21 004 40 341 41 312 20343 18539 25 268 10 281 14 356 32 340 35 318 18539 16705 20 271 7 298 8 343 18 327 29 319 16705 14939 16 269 6 249 6 311 15 313 24 310 14939 13336 16 278 7 213 9 279 15 310 20 296 13336 11914 16 285 8 229 12 276 13 302 17 285 11914 10651 16 287 10 247 13 275 11 294 14 276 10651 9525 14 282 15 261 13 275 9 300 11 266 9525 8520 12 275 19 268 13 274 11 300 8 261 8520 7625 11 270 21 270 13 276 13 294 9 287 7625 6829 11 265 19 268 12 283 13*293 12 287 6829 6119 12 259 16 262 10 291 13*295 15 282 6119 5479 12 251 12 253 9 299 13 297 16 276 5479 4909 12 241 8 244 8 309 12 299 14 268 4909 4429 11 228 5 229 8 314 12 301 11 260 4429 4058 8 203 3 170 8 317 12 301 8 254 4058 3802 8 166 3 134 7 318 11 302 4 253 3802 3646 8 153 3*130 7*319 11 302 2 246 3646 3556 5*149 3*127 6*320 9 302 1*187 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography