DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/19 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 27.8 - - 42.9 - - 44.3 - - 30.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 37 - - 104 - - 1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 240 - - 691 - - 154 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3539 - - 3540 - - 3540 - - 3539 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3643 - - 4094 - - 3557 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 277 - - 690 - - 1377 - - 219 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 86 - - 173 - - 23 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 19 - - 17 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 337 - - 077 - - 293 - - 142 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -50 - - -3129 - - -4716 - - -1258 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3693 - - 7224 - - 8274 - - 4814 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12037 - - -11990 - - -13378 - - -13230 ODpotential blCL - - - 15680 - - 16084 - - 16935 - - 16786 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 49 - - 39 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 27.8 - - 42.9 - - 44.3 - - 30.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.6 - - 24.3 - - 21.2 - - 22.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 27.3 - - 42.0 - - 44.2 - - 35.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.4 - - 23.7 - - 20.9 - - 23.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 37 - - 104 - - 1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 240 - - 691 - - 154 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 53 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96575 44 057 35 056 34 055 32 070 96575 89518 38 051 32 055 32 051 37 063 89518 84057 35 041 35 040 35 047 32 056 84057 79489 33 043 29 033 33 053 25 060 79489 75519 31 038 27 030 31 043 27 052 75519 71999 30 028 29 022 31 026 31 038 71999 68811 30 021 32 020 32 020 33 031 68811 65872 30 014 31 015 35 014 35 016 65872 63140 29 018 31 012 35 002 37 008 63140 60484 37 021 34 004 38 353 40 001 60484 57705 42 012 37 354 40 345 40 355 57705 54823 44 004 41 351 42 343 42 349 54823 52075 46 000 45 354 45 347 43 347 52075 49589 49 355 46 350 44 347 45 346 49589 47340 48 354 42 348 39 341 42 340 47340 45292 45 350 40 345 40 342 40 338 45292 43423 45 344 40 343 43 341 45 337 43423 41709 45 338 42 339 44 337 44 334 41709 40133 40 336 41 333 41 334 39 331 40133 38681 37 342 35 333 37 334 35 333 38681 37333 37 348 29 340 33 333 37 334 37333 36046 40 345 30 336 34 334 39 327 36046 34754 39 343 31 331 36 333 39 320 34754 33426 39 344 34 336 39 337 37 326 33426 32063 40 345 39 337 42 343 38 333 32063 30648 42 347 42 336 44 348 40 333 30648 29169 46 350 43 336 44 351 39 344 29169 27627 49 352 46 344 44 354 36 353 27627 26023 51 356 48 350 42 002 32 003 26023 24360 51 005 47 359 39 012 30 010 24360 22641 51 016 45 013 35 024 24 015 22641 20861 46 025 41 024 33 034 19 027 20861 19015 38 029 34 033 32 037 18 043 19015 17134 29 028 29 039 29 038 19 046 17134 15320 26 028 26 041 26 041 18 039 15320 13665 25 033 23 042 23 046 16 036 13665 12189 25 039 21 046 21 052 14 042 12189 10872 24 049 20 054 19 059 13 055 10872 9695 20 059 19 063 15 068 11 069 9695 8645 14 064 15 071 12 079 9 079 8645 7710 8 073 10 079 9 089 7 094 7710 6882 6 124 6 110 7 123 7 128 6882 6150 9 150 8 148 8 157 7 156 6150 5495 10 155 10 161 9 167 8 176 5495 4914 9 162 8 160 9 164 10 186 4914 4428 5 167 5*139 5 158 11 186 4428 4056 2 178 2*102 2 157 10 178 4056 3800 1*302 2 074 1 176 6 159 3800 3645 1*337 2 062 0*210 4*147 3645 3556 1 337 1 054 0*293 3*142 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography