DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/16 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.0 - - 82.8 - - - - - 75.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 357 - - 495 - - - - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3101 - - 7511 - - - - - 156 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5456 - - 9070 - - - - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6504 - - 10914 - - - - - 3559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2218 - - 2555 - - - - - 6037 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 428 - - 640 - - - - - 10 W* B/S - - - 36 - - 50 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 359 - - 326 - - - - - 341 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 8 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -18 - - - - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1947 - - -777 - - - - - -5443 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8451 - - 11692 - - - - - 9002 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3815 - - -2510 - - - - - -8016 ODpotential blCL - - - 10319 - - 13424 - - - - - 11575 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 71 - - - - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 290 - - 80 - - - - - 250 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.0 - - 82.8 - - - - - 75.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.3 - - 43.6 - - - - - 48.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.7 - - 79.9 - - - - - 76.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.1 - - 43.6 - - - - - 48.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 357 - - 495 - - - - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3101 - - 7511 - - - - - 156 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 34 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99695 27 118 23 110 26 081 99695 92194 24 119 15 099 16 084 92194 86379 15 095 15 106 14 081 86379 81539 10 079 14 095 8 079 81539 77368 11 114 10 078 6 101 77368 73689 11 123 8 107 7 111 73689 70357 6 089 5 121 7 088 70357 67294 3 341 3 195 5 022 67294 64461 7 227 4 290 5 310 64461 61719 8 232 12 249 6 264 61719 58850 18 242 15 243 12 268 58850 55867 19 239 23 236 21 255 55867 53021 18 250 23 231 21 248 53021 50467 27 257 26 246 24 250 50467 48186 34 252 29 247 35 243 48186 46136 34 246 33 249 34 244 46136 44279 37 256 40 260 45 246 44279 42593 47 259 55 263 57 239 42593 41047 59 266 70 259 59 235 41047 39604 66 267 73 257 58 236 39604 38241 67 267 70 259 59 237 38241 36925 61 264 66 264 57 239 36925 35592 52 268 58 262 54 239 35592 34214 42 270 51 256 52 237 34214 32795 32 268 42 254 49 238 32795 31324 28 267 35 259 46 241 31324 29789 26 265 28 258 41 242 29789 28196 27 262 23 254 36 240 28196 26547 27 258 19 248 29 239 26547 24846 26 255 18 248 24 241 24846 23093 25 254 19 248 25 238 23093 21280 22 255 20 249 25 231 21280 19403 18 252 18 247 23 229 19403 17498 16 241 15 236 22 231 17498 15664 14 232 15 228 21 219 15664 13993 11 226 15 228 17 190 13993 12501 8 217 12 225 13 181 12501 11165 7 200 7*224 7 165 11165 9967 6 181 4*227 4 088 9967 8894 5 188 3 242 10 024 8894 7935 4 221 2 256 13 016 7935 7081 1*274 2 332 16 009 7081 6319 2*348 3 347 17 004 6319 5630 2 356 4 350 18 358 5630 5016 2 359 4 353 18 353 5016 4499 2 001 5 356 18 349 4499 4100 2 001 5 357 17 346 4100 3824 3 002 5 357 15 344 3824 3655 3 001 5 358 13*342 3655 3559 2 002 5 358 9*341 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography