DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/01 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.3 - - 56.2 - - 52.5 - - 47.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 53 - - 181 - - 16 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 466 - - 2259 - - 154 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3540 - - 4599 - - 3541 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3869 - - 5662 - - 3557 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1077 - - 3885 - - 4332 - - 2629 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 124 - - 309 - - 61 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 48 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 1 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 163 - - 336 - - 144 - - 094 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -6 - - -5 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -516 - - -965 - - -968 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4385 - - 6628 - - 4525 - - 3557 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2808 - - -2005 - - -2111 - - -1810 ODpotential blCL - - - 6677 - - 7667 - - 5668 - - 5367 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 94 - - 96 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 130 - - 220 - - 150 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.3 - - 56.2 - - 52.5 - - 47.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.4 - - 39.4 - - 44.8 - - 44.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.6 - - 54.7 - - 52.2 - - 49.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.7 - - 39.1 - - 43.9 - - 44.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 53 - - 181 - - 16 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 466 - - 2259 - - 154 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 68 - - 78 - - 86 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96441 10 193 3 138 10 236 9 275 96441 89280 8 207 13 271 16 315 10 334 89280 83756 12 340 13 288 15 317 14 307 83756 79183 22 337 22 310 23 317 20 305 79183 75247 24 323 29 306 32 315 28 309 75247 71766 32 315 32 295 37 311 32 311 71766 68599 36 303 32 291 39 303 35 307 68599 65664 38 299 34 295 40 294 37 302 65664 62925 40 294 39 290 40 291 42 298 62925 60259 45 292 43 287 44 295 48 294 60259 57466 50 287 49 286 50 293 54 290 57466 54554 52 287 53 283 51 285 54 282 54554 51764 58 287 58 281 53 281 56 277 51764 49247 62 282 61 277 59 275 55 274 49247 46990 63 277 62 272 58 267 54 274 46990 44939 61 274 59 270 56 267 56 270 44939 43057 62 273 59 269 59 266 60 265 43057 41319 67 271 62 265 59 264 61 260 41319 39706 68 262 63 260 58 259 55 257 39706 38207 66 254 59 253 59 250 50 253 38207 36817 65 253 55 246 53 242 43 244 36817 35508 68 253 51 245 42 242 34 234 35508 34206 72 252 48 247 35 250 28 228 34206 32874 74 251 46 250 34 252 23 227 32874 31510 72 251 45 250 34 253 22 231 31510 30095 67 251 43 249 31 253 21 236 30095 28623 60 248 36 243 28 244 20 232 28623 27096 51 252 31 240 31 236 18 219 27096 25514 33 250 32 241 29 244 15 219 25514 23878 25 249 27 240 19 253 7 238 23878 22194 21 253 22 240 13 224 5 206 22194 20456 15 250 17 234 13 210 8 222 20456 18660 13 226 16 227 12 202 7 254 18660 16836 15 223 16 230 10 205 9 276 16836 15081 18 230 16 234 8 218 9 292 15081 13483 19 234 20 236 11 242 4 276 13483 12059 18 240 22 240 13 240 7 205 12059 10788 15 246 22 243 13 235 10 216 10788 9650 12 253 21 245 11 237 8 229 9650 8629 10 258 18 245 8 243 4 224 8629 7715 8 260 13 239 6 233 2 150 7715 6902 6 249 8 231 7 206 5 134 6902 6178 6 217 4*222 10 187 7 129 6178 5524 7 192 2*224 11 174 9 130 5524 4941 8 187 1 294 12 163 10 134 4941 4450 8 188 1 346 12 153 11 134 4450 4071 6*182 2 355 11 149 9 125 4071 3808 5*164 2 355 11 148 7 113 3808 3648 4 163 2 357 10 146 5*098 3648 3557 4 160 2 356 8*144 3*094 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography