DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/19 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.3 - - 60.9 - - 61.6 - - 48.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 121 - - 163 - - 19 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1290 - - 3069 - - 1651 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3541 - - 5122 - - 3541 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4693 - - 6472 - - 5054 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1688 - - 2593 - - 3530 - - 489 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 223 - - 328 - - 132 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 17 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 3 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 343 - - 344 - - 009 - - 308 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -13 - - 6 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4103 - - -2751 - - -4921 - - -1865 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8796 - - 9223 - - 9975 - - 5422 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7063 - - -5426 - - -7315 - - -7276 ODpotential blCL - - - 11756 - - 11898 - - 12369 - - 10833 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 93 - - 82 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.3 - - 60.9 - - 61.6 - - 48.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.1 - - 32.7 - - 30.2 - - 37.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.1 - - 59.4 - - 61.2 - - 50.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.1 - - 32.6 - - 30.2 - - 37.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 121 - - 163 - - 19 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1290 - - 3069 - - 1651 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 86 - - 71 - - 27 - - 34 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97609 14 271 15 296 10 305 12 289 97609 90385 13 299 14 315 12 315 8 281 90385 84807 7 302 18 325 12 323 7 331 84807 80148 4 350 11 281 13 289 7 327 80148 76111 5 336 6 230 13 259 7 287 76111 72534 9 281 12 283 10 266 12 296 72534 69293 13 269 18 270 8 244 11 251 69293 66302 13 273 16 270 11 292 7 233 66302 63510 15 263 19 251 18 273 16 271 63510 60790 17 247 17 229 16 233 17 250 60790 57943 24 251 20 247 17 242 15 239 57943 54975 31 250 32 249 27 246 24 239 54975 52141 42 245 42 245 39 242 37 237 52141 49599 58 235 56 236 50 234 48 230 49599 47328 65 229 62 230 59 228 57 227 47328 45269 69 231 67 230 66 225 64 224 45269 43382 77 233 74 230 68 226 66 222 43382 41644 85 232 81 230 70 228 64 221 41644 40038 89 231 84 229 73 228 63 221 40038 38549 88 231 87 229 76 226 69 224 38549 37173 83 231 87 226 79 224 75 222 37173 35873 80 231 81 222 79 222 74 221 35873 34575 78 230 79 221 76 221 73 223 34575 33236 75 229 78 222 73 222 70 223 33236 31861 72 229 73 223 70 222 64 223 31861 30436 67 227 67 223 65 222 58 223 30436 28952 60 224 60 223 59 222 52 221 28952 27409 56 223 55 225 52 222 46 220 27409 25808 53 225 52 225 45 223 42 217 25808 24152 49 227 49 224 40 225 42 215 24152 22446 47 225 48 221 40 224 43 214 22446 20684 47 222 48 218 43 222 43 215 20684 18856 48 220 47 218 45 220 41 214 18856 17000 49 220 47 219 45 220 39 210 17000 15218 48 219 44 220 43 219 37 202 15218 13600 42 215 38 221 35 213 36 198 13600 12158 35 213 30 218 24 199 33 197 12158 10870 27 219 23 207 17 183 27 194 10870 9716 21 231 17 190 14 174 20 183 9716 8681 17 237 12 172 11 168 12 165 8681 7755 12 232 7 165 7 150 7 121 7755 6932 8 224 1*156 4 116 7 058 6932 6198 5 230 1*341 4 057 10 036 6198 5536 3 257 3 343 8*021 13 037 5536 4947 3*310 4 343 12*010 15 038 4947 4453 3*341 4 343 13 009 14 028 4453 4072 4 345 4 345 12 009 12 003 4072 3809 4 344 4 345 12 009 11 339 3809 3649 4 343 4 344 11 008 9*320 3649 3557 4 343 4 345 9 008 6*308 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography