DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/02 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.5 - - 41.5 - - 38.5 - - 35.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 3 - - 64 - - -10 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 153 - - 2694 - - 153 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3539 - - 4068 - - 3540 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3556 - - 6097 - - 3556 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1696 - - 2655 - - 4842 - - 2422 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 34 - - 231 - - 9 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 15 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 298 - - 338 - - 009 - - 011 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 8 - - 4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1000 - - 828 - - -748 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4556 - - 5270 - - 4304 - - 3556 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2710 - - 233 - - -1811 - - -986 ODpotential blCL - - - 6266 - - 5864 - - 5367 - - 4542 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.5 - - 41.5 - - 38.5 - - 35.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.3 - - 31.0 - - 32.4 - - 33.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 37.5 - - 40.8 - - 39.3 - - 36.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.2 - - 30.9 - - 32.3 - - 33.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 3 - - 64 - - -10 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 153 - - 2694 - - 153 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 98 - - 100 - - 95 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97381 67 077 69 074 74 077 68 080 97381 90078 62 072 61 074 63 068 61 072 90078 84430 58 065 56 071 52 064 52 063 84430 79722 47 061 44 066 45 063 40 057 79722 75655 36 062 29 060 38 052 35 062 75655 72046 30 052 26 056 28 046 34 060 72046 68761 28 054 24 048 28 038 30 051 68761 65744 25 042 27 031 21 036 26 040 65744 62936 26 033 18 030 28 041 29 038 62936 60209 27 008 16 022 24 014 33 015 60209 57368 26 002 19 019 26 011 31 018 57368 54413 39 352 35 356 36 019 36 023 54413 51590 40 346 37 352 46 004 48 012 51590 49070 41 343 45 354 52 355 61 002 49070 46839 48 345 55 352 55 358 63 359 46839 44829 55 343 61 352 65 001 69 002 44829 42996 58 343 67 356 77 000 72 006 42996 41308 61 348 79 359 88 004 84 013 41308 39759 72 355 101 001 103 007 112 005 39759 38330 90 359 126 360 125 359 118 005 38330 36989 110 359 136 356 130 358 124 009 36989 35690 127 357 138 356 133 001 137 008 35690 34374 137 354 141 359 135 004 139 004 34374 33017 141 352 145 000 133 004 133 002 33017 31624 139 352 147 001 131 005 123 002 31624 30180 138 355 146 001 129 006 113 003 30180 28673 123 353 149 005 129 009 111 005 28673 27099 110 344 129 006 128 013 113 013 27099 25463 111 341 92 358 112 012 104 017 25463 23784 104 342 85 346 92 004 86 013 23784 22070 85 343 85 343 81 354 76 004 22070 20312 66 343 71 346 79 352 72 001 20312 18502 56 341 57 348 73 357 67 003 18502 16671 51 340 52 349 63 003 57 011 16671 14912 46 339 48 350 48 009 52 020 14912 13313 42 340 42 351 37 016 47 027 13313 11892 38 341 36 351 30 015 34 040 11892 10629 33 343 28 351 23 010 25 053 10629 9507 28 344 20 349 18 013 18 047 9507 8505 24 339 16 345 15 014 14 031 8505 7610 21 332 16 344 14 008 13 022 7610 6814 21 329 16 341 14 002 13 014 6814 6106 21 328 16*339 14 360 14 009 6106 5468 20 328 16*339 13 001 15 005 5468 4900 20 327 16 338 12 004 14 003 4900 4423 18 326 16 338 12 007 12 006 4423 4055 14 322 15 338 11 008 10 009 4055 3800 11 314 15 338 10 009 8 011 3800 3645 7*302 14 338 8*010 6*011 3645 3556 5*298 11 339 6*009 3*011 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography