DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/25 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.3 - - 53.1 - - 46.9 - - 36.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 288 - - 510 - - 251 - - 29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4040 - - 4460 - - 3816 - - 1591 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6100 - - 6628 - - 5872 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7443 - - 7863 - - 7219 - - 4994 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1543 - - 1286 - - 1658 - - 2961 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 436 - - 544 - - 408 - - 149 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 26 - - 28 - - 23 - - 19 BL Wind Direction - - - 264 - - 266 - - 276 - - 326 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 12 - - 9 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 16 - - 30 - - 5 - - 9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 269 - - -633 - - -273 - - -493 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7174 - - 8497 - - 7492 - - 5487 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -500 - - -6377 - - -1197 - - -1507 ODpotential blCL - - - 7943 - - 14240 - - 8416 - - 6501 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 68 - - 80 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.3 - - 53.1 - - 46.9 - - 36.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.2 - - 28.2 - - 26.6 - - 25.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.5 - - 50.5 - - 45.4 - - 36.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.9 - - 28.0 - - 26.5 - - 25.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 288 - - 510 - - 251 - - 29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4040 - - 4460 - - 3816 - - 1591 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 11 - - 0 - - 18 - - 89 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95961 19 289 17 298 14 285 23 259 95961 88857 27 272 29 295 29 288 28 280 88857 83444 13 271 16 268 4 340 7 288 83444 78924 30 288 26 282 25 304 16 294 78924 74989 35 287 42 273 50 280 43 287 74989 71549 26 280 42 265 41 264 40 271 71549 68453 20 288 29 234 29 246 32 261 68453 65579 31 286 12 241 24 259 32 269 65579 62888 44 277 35 272 36 273 42 276 62888 60266 56 266 61 266 53 267 56 269 60266 57519 65 259 72 262 64 261 61 259 57519 54660 74 260 80 261 75 266 68 265 54660 51917 86 260 89 260 90 265 81 268 51917 49432 95 260 96 260 96 261 87 262 49432 47190 101 261 103 260 102 262 91 261 47190 45139 106 259 110 258 110 261 99 263 45139 43253 109 255 113 254 115 256 109 261 43253 41520 110 255 115 254 119 255 115 257 41520 39939 114 258 118 255 124 257 120 255 39939 38488 114 258 121 255 124 257 120 256 38488 37136 112 258 120 255 121 255 120 260 37136 35835 112 258 117 256 118 255 122 261 35835 34518 111 257 113 256 115 255 120 259 34518 33159 111 257 109 253 112 256 116 256 33159 31762 109 256 106 255 109 256 113 255 31762 30312 108 256 104 259 108 257 112 258 30312 28798 108 255 104 258 107 257 110 261 28798 27225 107 254 105 256 106 256 107 260 27225 25595 105 254 104 255 103 256 105 258 25595 23913 102 253 99 255 100 256 104 258 23913 22184 98 252 94 254 95 256 98 260 22184 20404 93 252 89 253 90 256 91 261 20404 18564 87 253 84 253 84 256 88 259 18564 16696 79 255 78 254 79 256 86 259 16696 14904 74 258 73 256 75 258 79 261 14904 13283 69 259 67 257 69 259 65 265 13283 11852 63 258 60 256 59 260 51 267 11852 10588 55 256 51 254 47 259 39 269 10588 9467 45 254 41 253 36 260 30 270 9467 8471 36 254 32*257 28 264 23 274 8471 7584 31*257 30*260 25*270 20 282 7584 6796 30*259 29 262 25*272 18 292 6796 6093 29 261 29 265 25 274 18 305 6093 5459 27 264 28 267 24 275 19*315 5459 4895 26 265 28 268 24 277 20*323 4895 4420 24 267 27 269 23 278 20 325 4420 4053 23 269 25 271 23 279 20 326 4053 3800 22 270 24 272 22 279 19 327 3800 3645 20 270 23 273 20 280 17 327 3645 3556 17 271 19 273 16 281 13 328 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography