DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/08 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.9 - - 79.5 - - 79.5 - - 64.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 151 - - 242 - - 45 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 859 - - 2193 - - 1823 - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3542 - - 4654 - - 3542 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4262 - - 5596 - - 5226 - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 713 - - 3237 - - 3884 - - 380 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 209 - - 335 - - 180 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 19 - - 14 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 144 - - 006 - - 007 - - 313 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -8 - - 5 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7435 - - -8568 - - -9237 - - -8363 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11698 - - 14165 - - 14463 - - 11921 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15350 - - -14398 - - -14966 - - -17359 ODpotential blCL - - - 19612 - - 19994 - - 20192 - - 20917 blCL maxRH - - - 27 - - 34 - - 34 - - 33 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.9 - - 79.5 - - 79.5 - - 64.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.5 - - 29.7 - - 28.4 - - 25.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.6 - - 77.6 - - 78.8 - - 69.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.5 - - 29.6 - - 28.3 - - 25.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 151 - - 242 - - 45 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 859 - - 2193 - - 1823 - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97885 13 014 13 012 13 009 16 025 97885 90669 10 029 16 032 12 056 11 044 90669 85019 8 074 11 022 13 038 11 051 85019 80307 12 049 6 037 13 003 13 029 80307 76269 14 020 12 357 18 354 15 003 76269 72733 17 352 17 336 19 345 18 349 72733 69529 19 344 19 335 21 328 19 325 69529 66568 22 330 23 315 26 309 26 323 66568 63815 23 312 28 303 32 306 31 308 63815 61143 27 308 31 295 33 296 31 310 61143 58363 33 307 33 301 37 305 38 305 58363 55498 41 300 42 296 43 294 42 297 55498 52768 44 301 41 300 45 298 44 287 52768 50306 52 305 49 302 52 300 56 295 50306 48107 50 299 53 295 56 296 59 293 48107 46114 50 292 52 288 58 289 58 289 46114 44284 46 294 49 290 56 287 56 287 44284 42590 42 296 45 294 47 288 49 288 42590 41015 38 297 38 294 35 294 40 292 41015 39545 30 299 28 301 27 295 30 294 39545 38169 18 294 17 294 23 288 25 295 38169 36848 7 281 9 289 17 264 23 288 36848 35517 5 336 5 303 14 240 19 257 35517 34146 3 328 5 287 10 234 16 220 34146 32738 2 294 5 271 9 241 11 232 32738 31278 1 299 5 277 7 257 8 250 31278 29758 3 001 4 309 4 265 7 242 29758 28177 5 008 3 334 3 278 7 223 28177 26536 5 348 4 321 3 294 7 203 26536 24836 4 339 5 316 2 287 7 196 24836 23077 4 358 3 325 2 271 9 205 23077 21256 5 010 3 339 2 260 9 226 21256 19367 3 350 2 315 4 267 7 256 19367 17451 6 269 7 269 7 275 6 261 17451 15610 10 255 13 260 9 275 8 254 15610 13937 12 250 16 253 12 264 12 259 13937 12445 13 246 17 250 16 255 19 254 12445 11114 13 242 17 248 17 246 21 245 11114 9922 13 239 17 245 16 245 18 242 9922 8853 13 236 15 242 14 247 13 253 8853 7897 12 229 13 240 10 252 8 274 7897 7048 10 219 10 240 7 265 6 312 7048 6290 9 209 6 246 4 304 7 337 6290 5606 7 197 2*302 6*358 8 347 5606 4997 6 182 4*004 9*007 8 357 4997 4485 4*164 4 006 10 007 8 004 4485 4091 2*149 5 007 10 007 9 007 4091 3819 2 143 5 006 10 007 7 358 3819 3653 2 141 5 006 10 006 5 332 3653 3558 2 137 5 006 8 006 4*313 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography