DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/24 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.3 - - 80.7 - - 79.5 - - 68.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 144 - - 234 - - 42 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2346 - - 5944 - - 5619 - - 156 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4550 - - 7468 - - 5629 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5749 - - 9347 - - 9022 - - 3559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2107 - - 3031 - - 4585 - - 1953 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 289 - - 462 - - 257 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 16 - - 14 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 232 - - 228 - - 232 - - 269 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 16 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6830 - - -4846 - - -4589 - - -7317 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12579 - - 14194 - - 13612 - - 10876 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11122 - - -7394 - - -6915 - - -11468 ODpotential blCL - - - 16871 - - 16741 - - 15937 - - 15027 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 89 - - 88 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.3 - - 80.7 - - 79.5 - - 68.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.5 - - 30.3 - - 31.7 - - 33.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.0 - - 78.9 - - 78.9 - - 71.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.3 - - 30.2 - - 31.6 - - 33.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 144 - - 234 - - 42 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2346 - - 5944 - - 5619 - - 156 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 4 - - 55 - - 52 - - 67 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98382 9 256 1 008 13 180 13 249 98382 91043 3 244 6 046 5 059 6 156 91043 85364 2 165 8 015 7 054 7 041 85364 80661 6 087 3 351 9 009 12 051 80661 76615 5 063 5 014 6 345 8 047 76615 73021 3 149 7 293 6 352 8 035 73021 69745 3 183 6 214 8 271 3 327 69745 66713 8 235 11 224 10 222 7 261 66713 63879 11 225 10 219 12 230 13 226 63879 61111 9 220 17 235 18 246 22 243 61111 58220 23 243 30 238 31 253 29 244 58220 55228 31 235 36 236 36 245 32 246 55228 52378 34 236 36 231 36 243 34 244 52378 49828 36 244 34 236 38 242 39 242 49828 47564 35 246 37 240 41 238 45 239 47564 45531 36 243 40 237 44 236 48 234 45531 43694 43 242 45 239 49 239 55 232 43694 42033 50 240 52 238 61 243 69 234 42033 40507 49 238 57 232 62 241 68 230 40507 39075 48 237 56 230 59 234 66 227 39075 37724 49 235 55 230 59 231 67 226 37724 36422 49 235 54 230 58 229 65 225 36422 35104 47 235 54 229 57 227 61 225 35104 33745 44 235 51 230 56 227 57 224 33745 32346 43 237 48 231 54 226 56 225 32346 30896 41 239 44 230 53 225 57 226 30896 29384 38 238 42 227 51 226 58 226 29384 27810 35 233 42 224 50 226 57 226 27810 26180 36 230 44 224 51 225 55 228 26180 24497 36 230 45 224 52 221 55 229 24497 22767 36 229 44 222 52 218 55 226 22767 20987 35 227 42 220 50 216 55 221 20987 19148 35 226 41 221 47 219 53 218 19148 17279 35 227 39 222 44 222 48 219 17279 15480 34 229 37 222 40 222 44 221 15480 13841 32 230 34 222 34 220 39 217 13841 12376 30 229 32 220 26 214 35 208 12376 11063 29 227 28 218 19 210 31 200 11063 9885 27 227 22*217 17*213 27 198 9885 8827 26 228 19*219 16*216 24 200 8827 7880 24 229 18 221 15 223 21 204 7880 7036 22 229 18 224 14 229 19 211 7036 6284 19*229 17 228 14 233 18 221 6284 5604 14*229 16 231 13 237 18 233 5604 4997 11 230 15 233 13 239 18 244 4997 4487 10 232 15 235 13 241 16 250 4487 4093 9 234 14 237 12 243 14 257 4093 3820 8 236 14 238 12 243 10 265 3820 3653 7 237 13 238 11 244 8*270 3653 3559 7 237 11 239 10 245 5*269 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography