DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/22 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.9 - - 61.8 - - - - - 46.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 221 - - 391 - - - - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2300 - - 4599 - - - - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4698 - - 6647 - - - - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5703 - - 8002 - - - - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1287 - - 1284 - - - - - 438 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 330 - - 503 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 25 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 142 - - 133 - - - - - 320 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5684 - - -7679 - - - - - -7287 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11387 - - 15682 - - - - - 10844 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12184 - - -14608 - - - - - -16573 ODpotential blCL - - - 17887 - - 22610 - - - - - 20130 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 86 - - - - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.9 - - 61.8 - - - - - 46.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 13.7 - - 4.9 - - - - - 12.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.3 - - 59.3 - - - - - 50.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 13.5 - - 4.6 - - - - - 12.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 221 - - 391 - - - - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2300 - - 4599 - - - - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 44 - - 46 - - - - - 33 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 1 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96334 22 270 19 266 25 287 96334 89236 11 245 15 293 21 280 89236 83775 16 264 24 296 14 283 83775 79238 18 268 29 288 20 315 79238 75316 17 283 24 279 25 299 75316 71842 22 291 22 278 26 293 71842 68682 24 294 28 281 28 293 68682 65753 36 285 37 286 38 294 65753 63020 42 274 45 282 49 281 63020 60366 45 273 52 276 45 280 60366 57589 51 276 53 276 58 293 57589 54704 65 283 64 279 69 290 54704 51943 75 281 71 285 77 289 51943 49448 78 279 78 286 84 288 49448 47203 78 278 82 283 86 285 47203 45179 78 277 83 280 84 284 45179 43348 75 284 80 283 86 287 43348 41682 85 293 84 292 95 286 41682 40158 96 295 99 297 109 279 40158 38737 97 294 108 298 110 276 38737 37392 90 289 104 296 110 275 37392 36090 87 282 89 292 110 275 36090 34770 84 279 77 286 109 278 34770 33406 77 276 75 277 102 284 33406 32007 76 272 75 276 83 287 32007 30561 73 270 66 275 71 282 30561 29054 69 270 62 274 67 276 29054 27486 58 273 62 274 65 270 27486 25860 51 271 58 271 59 271 25860 24182 45 269 49 271 50 281 24182 22455 47 264 45 269 42 278 22455 20672 44 251 42 264 36 271 20672 18829 35 247 35 263 30 266 18829 16971 29 259 27 264 22 257 16971 15193 24 262 20 259 18 247 15193 13573 16 263 15 256 17 245 13573 12128 10 271 10 253 17 236 12128 10838 6 276 7 246 15 212 10838 9686 3 270 6 214 14 171 9686 8656 3 199 6*173 12 154 8656 7734 8 181 6*160 10 135 7734 6914 11 179 5 153 7 102 6914 6184 9*171 4 141 7 054 6184 5525 7*156 4 133 12 035 5525 4940 6 145 3 119 16 028 4940 4449 5 141 3 107 17 019 4449 4069 4 134 3 098 16 008 4069 3807 4 129 3 093 13 354 3807 3648 3 127 3 091 9*338 3648 3557 3 126 3 089 5*320 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography