DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/11 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.7 - - 76.4 - - 86.3 - - 84.3 - - 71.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 126 - - 406 - - 510 - - 305 - - 49 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1086 - - 4630 - - 8353 - - 5306 - - 1627 BL Depth Hcrit 3541 - - 6686 - - 9774 - - 7104 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top 4489 - - 8033 - - 11756 - - 8709 - - 5030 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 703 - - 2089 - - 1840 - - 3277 - - 1193 Hgt.Variab. W* 213 - - 511 - - 672 - - 487 - - 179 W* B/S 8 - - 15 - - 9 - - 8 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 6 - - 14 - - 11 - - 15 BL Wind Direction 026 - - 219 - - 230 - - 296 - - 353 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 12 - - 15 - - 10 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - -3 - - 16 - - 41 - - 12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2864 - - -4128 - - -3501 - - -4550 - - -3624 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7353 - - 12161 - - 15258 - - 13260 - - 8655 sfcLCL ODpotential -10211 - - -9664 - - -6914 - - -7741 - - -8519 ODpotential blCL 14700 - - 17697 - - 18670 - - 16450 - - 13549 blCL maxRH 62 - - 78 - - 91 - - 80 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 61.7 - - 76.4 - - 86.3 - - 84.3 - - 71.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.0 - - 35.2 - - 31.0 - - 38.2 - - 45.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.6 - - 73.9 - - 83.2 - - 82.0 - - 70.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.9 - - 35.1 - - 30.9 - - 38.2 - - 45.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 126 - - 406 - - 510 - - 305 - - 49 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1086 - - 4630 - - 8353 - - 5306 - - 1627 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 10 - - 63 - - 19 - - 24 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99617 29 102 22 115 24 117 23 105 29 103 99617 92091 25 112 18 118 16 100 22 099 23 094 92091 86280 24 104 18 113 13 124 14 092 17 101 86280 81439 20 105 17 114 17 121 10 117 13 085 81439 77268 20 120 13 113 15 120 14 151 3 096 77268 73597 16 107 12 124 13 129 14 130 6 134 73597 70281 14 135 12 158 8 167 5 135 7 097 70281 67223 8 146 8 180 11 170 5 158 4 160 67223 64382 12 184 16 212 11 218 5 212 3 140 64382 61635 11 201 20 188 19 209 12 216 14 200 61635 58800 27 250 21 215 21 221 12 215 16 209 58800 55869 34 227 36 220 35 226 31 229 29 237 55869 53069 35 222 46 218 48 218 53 229 48 230 53069 50558 48 239 50 231 54 223 64 229 60 226 50558 48310 67 242 63 243 61 234 71 234 67 233 48310 46271 87 240 86 241 82 238 92 238 85 239 46271 44403 102 237 102 238 101 236 108 235 99 237 44403 42677 105 235 105 237 106 235 113 233 110 234 42677 41074 102 236 100 238 103 236 109 235 113 234 41074 39580 98 239 95 239 98 238 102 236 105 235 39580 38186 95 240 92 239 93 238 96 236 97 234 38186 36856 93 240 89 239 91 237 93 235 93 233 36856 35521 91 239 87 237 92 237 93 235 94 232 35521 34146 87 239 86 238 94 236 93 234 91 231 34146 32730 85 239 87 237 92 234 86 233 87 229 32730 31262 86 237 85 235 86 232 83 231 86 225 31262 29735 83 238 80 234 86 232 87 229 86 222 29735 28152 81 239 77 235 88 232 91 227 84 223 28152 26510 78 241 75 236 90 232 89 228 80 226 26510 24811 74 242 72 235 86 232 83 229 77 227 24811 23056 70 239 70 233 77 232 76 229 73 226 23056 21242 68 238 68 233 71 233 68 227 68 226 21242 19362 64 239 66 235 66 234 63 228 63 229 19362 17453 54 240 58 238 60 234 58 230 56 233 17453 15616 45 238 48 236 52 230 52 229 50 233 15616 13943 40 235 43 232 41 222 44 224 45 227 13943 12449 35 234 38 230 27*214 32 218 39 220 12449 11113 31 232 33 227 19*211 21 216 30 213 11113 9915 27 227 25 220 18 213 15 223 20 212 9915 8843 24 223 17*211 16 217 12*238 13 223 8843 7887 19 222 13*211 14 227 10*258 10 244 7887 7038 15 226 11 212 13 235 10 277 9 263 7038 6282 11 235 7 216 12 240 11 290 8 294 6282 5600 7 240 5 224 12 245 12 302 11*331 5600 4994 0*230 4 229 12 250 12 306 15*348 4994 4485 5*028 3 235 11 253 12 309 15 352 4485 4092 5 027 3 244 11 255 12 310 16 354 4092 3820 5 026 3 246 11 257 12 311 15 356 3820 3654 4 025 2 250 11 257 12 312 14 357 3654 3558 4 026 2 254 10 258 11 313 11 357 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography