DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/22 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.9 - - 59.8 - - - - - 43.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 90 - - 57 - - - - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 743 - - 1821 - - - - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3541 - - 3541 - - - - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4146 - - 5224 - - - - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 740 - - 2422 - - - - - 2543 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 170 - - 197 - - - - - 13 W* B/S - - - 34 - - 11 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 3 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 290 - - 003 - - - - - 338 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 2 - - - - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1013 - - -505 - - - - - -495 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5160 - - 5729 - - - - - 4052 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4359 - - -2204 - - - - - -2389 ODpotential blCL - - - 8505 - - 7428 - - - - - 5946 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 94 - - - - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 70 - - 120 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.9 - - 59.8 - - - - - 43.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.5 - - 46.6 - - - - - 38.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.0 - - 59.0 - - - - - 45.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.1 - - 46.3 - - - - - 38.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 90 - - 57 - - - - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 743 - - 1821 - - - - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 75 - - 78 - - - - - 39 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97401 3 266 2 313 5 259 97401 90215 1 188 5 332 3 354 90215 84662 3 112 3 319 5 348 84662 80045 3 302 2 012 2 293 80045 76048 7 271 4 287 8 297 76048 72496 10 255 8 263 12 276 72496 69260 11 244 12 238 10 233 69260 66261 13 231 15 238 9 232 66261 63458 13 226 19 233 14 260 63458 60733 14 236 21 229 19 261 60733 57889 19 242 22 233 20 254 57889 54937 24 239 23 242 20 245 54937 52116 25 234 23 244 19 246 52116 49569 23 234 25 243 20 252 49569 47284 27 231 30 231 20 254 47284 45212 31 227 31 220 19 251 45212 43317 31 220 31 215 20 251 43317 41567 33 215 32 213 20 237 41567 39948 34 205 37 207 17 221 39948 38447 35 206 32 203 12 232 38447 37051 37 202 29 203 11 287 37051 35727 36 195 29 206 10 299 35727 34416 33 190 40 203 15 284 34416 33082 29 189 43 190 15 250 33082 31716 31 192 40 179 11 233 31716 30299 39 196 40 175 12 244 30299 28820 45 190 41 174 10 250 28820 27280 43 186 41 172 7 268 27280 25680 38 200 35 175 5 261 25680 24022 33 205 22 187 6 176 24022 22313 30 205 21 217 4 206 22313 20546 19 208 21 233 4 284 20546 18717 14 210 10 235 10 307 18717 16863 8 218 5 257 13 315 16863 15083 4 299 6 004 14 333 15083 13468 6 329 8 010 15 341 13468 12030 8 337 11 006 17 339 12030 10748 8 344 12 006 19 335 10748 9603 6 349 10 003 20 334 9603 8581 4 287 10 339 20 337 8581 7672 7 238 10 318 21 340 7672 6865 7 212 7 311 23 337 6865 6147 6 185 4 326 25 333 6147 5500 6 172 3*350 26 330 5500 4924 5 185 4*357 25 328 4924 4439 3*202 3 001 23 331 4439 4065 1*258 3 005 21 336 4065 3805 1 297 3 007 17 338 3805 3647 1 299 3 008 13*338 3647 3557 1 306 3 008 8*338 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography