DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/04 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1556z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.0 - - 75.8 - - 74.2 - - 64.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 406 - - 499 - - 224 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4876 - - 9439 - - 8211 - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6881 - - 10653 - - 9218 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8279 - - 12842 - - 11614 - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4525 - - 2132 - - 3845 - - 5415 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 520 - - 695 - - 509 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 9 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 13 - - 17 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 008 - - 012 - - 008 - - 352 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - -8 - - 12 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2408 - - 594 - - 76 - - -4963 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10687 - - 12248 - - 11539 - - 8521 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3386 - - -207 - - -676 - - -7113 ODpotential blCL - - - 11665 - - 13049 - - 12290 - - 10671 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 74 - - 84 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 40 - - 60 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.0 - - 75.8 - - 74.2 - - 64.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.1 - - 33.8 - - 35.5 - - 39.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.4 - - 72.8 - - 72.6 - - 65.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.1 - - 33.7 - - 35.5 - - 39.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 406 - - 499 - - 224 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4876 - - 9439 - - 8211 - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 37 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97595 16 200 15 253 13 269 10 304 97595 90121 7 241 6 189 11 239 7 271 90121 84425 1 298 6 219 7 297 2 231 84425 79702 5 065 7 228 7 300 4 323 79702 75631 7 019 7 220 8 267 11 319 75631 72040 6 323 5 303 8 323 9 324 72040 68788 4 302 9 302 11 316 9 333 68788 65793 7 341 9 320 12 327 11 324 65793 63012 10 323 12 301 14 323 10 344 63012 60310 12 339 12 299 18 334 13 347 60310 57486 14 339 13 298 18 329 12 009 57486 54558 10 349 7 328 15 346 17 356 54558 51781 12 356 10 353 14 338 12 339 51781 49295 9 009 13 024 16 019 19 029 49295 47082 17 026 21 026 24 009 32 020 47082 45098 22 037 28 051 21 035 27 020 45098 43298 35 059 39 068 34 067 29 052 43298 41647 56 064 59 060 56 062 50 059 41647 40112 65 058 67 052 66 053 65 054 40112 38674 69 055 68 051 68 049 69 051 38674 37325 70 056 64 053 67 048 66 051 37325 36028 67 059 60 055 62 049 62 054 36028 34719 59 061 54 053 53 050 59 056 34719 33371 48 065 46 052 46 050 54 053 33371 31987 41 063 41 049 42 047 48 050 31987 30555 39 059 37 048 39 044 40 047 30555 29066 38 057 34 049 35 045 36 044 29066 27521 37 060 32 050 33 044 34 040 27521 25918 31 063 31 051 29 045 30 039 25918 24261 24 054 29 057 25 047 27 039 24261 22552 22 050 24 063 23 045 25 039 22552 20787 22 049 22 054 22 043 23 039 20787 18958 19 048 19 051 22 049 21 041 18958 17101 16 047 16 048 17 051 18 043 17101 15315 15 046 16 049 11 055 15 040 15315 13690 17 038 13*042 10 054 10 037 13690 12244 17 023 12*027 12*027 7 048 12244 10950 15 015 12 023 13*023 9 044 10950 9790 14 017 12 019 13 021 12 032 9790 8748 13*018 13 014 17 010 15 018 8748 7816 13*016 14 012 18 008 17 012 7816 6986 12 013 14 009 18 006 21 003 6986 6245 12 010 15 008 18 004 22 357 6245 5575 12 007 15 006 19 004 24 355 5575 4977 12 006 15 006 19 003 24 354 4977 4475 12 005 15 005 19 002 24 354 4475 4086 11 003 15 005 18 002 23 353 4086 3816 11 003 14 004 18 002 20 353 3816 3652 11 003 14 004 17 002 17 353 3652 3558 10 003 12 004 14 001 12*352 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography