DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/27 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.8 - - 59.1 - - 56.4 - - 47.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 429 - - 526 - - 311 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3606 - - 5184 - - 4658 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5903 - - 7218 - - 6607 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7009 - - 8587 - - 8061 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1040 - - 1307 - - 1348 - - 3953 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 479 - - 579 - - 469 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 14 - - 21 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 344 - - 341 - - 335 - - 331 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 8 - - 11 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2625 - - -2108 - - -1108 - - -2507 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9635 - - 10696 - - 9170 - - 6064 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6019 - - -4676 - - -4075 - - -6512 ODpotential blCL - - - 13028 - - 13263 - - 12136 - - 10069 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 52 - - 64 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.8 - - 59.1 - - 56.4 - - 47.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.7 - - 24.2 - - 28.4 - - 32.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.2 - - 56.2 - - 54.4 - - 46.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.5 - - 23.9 - - 28.3 - - 32.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 429 - - 526 - - 311 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3606 - - 5184 - - 4658 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97518 14 095 6 049 14 061 7 030 97518 90235 13 095 8 097 6 055 10 070 90235 84621 6 088 7 067 5 019 12 076 84621 79941 6 110 6 064 3 022 6 042 79941 75903 3 126 4 114 1 360 5 290 75903 72321 7 245 4 246 6 295 4 228 72321 69045 12 247 10 230 11 255 7 263 69045 66007 14 238 12 237 14 239 12 251 66007 63175 16 225 14 248 14 254 11 256 63175 60419 14 231 16 258 14 266 11 269 60419 57543 11 233 14 252 12 281 10 277 57543 54567 6 256 13 267 14 300 10 315 54567 51733 9 306 8 275 15 309 14 339 51733 49181 11 327 7 327 14 309 17 344 49181 46901 12 339 12 345 16 329 23 342 46901 44853 13 349 16 344 20 003 20 358 44853 42988 14 356 20 000 29 013 32 006 42988 41270 21 001 28 010 34 359 33 354 41270 39684 26 004 32 005 31 355 32 003 39684 38216 27 009 33 359 36 008 45 014 38216 36853 29 015 34 358 51 009 50 014 36853 35557 29 016 34 006 55 006 50 015 35557 34260 27 010 38 011 51 007 49 017 34260 32930 27 005 41 011 47 010 48 018 32930 31569 28 005 42 013 44 012 47 018 31569 30161 30 010 43 014 43 012 43 016 30161 28696 26 010 44 014 40 012 40 014 28696 27174 16 002 44 016 37 013 37 016 27174 25594 11 358 41 016 38 011 35 018 25594 23957 11 359 34 013 39 009 38 015 23957 22265 12 359 24 008 37 010 40 010 22265 20513 15 003 21 005 32 011 37 008 20513 18695 15 012 21 005 25 009 30 005 18695 16851 15 018 19 008 20 005 27 003 16851 15077 15 017 17 007 17 001 24 002 15077 13465 12 015 15 003 16 358 21 001 13465 12028 9 017 14 360 17 358 19 002 12028 10746 8 015 13 359 18 356 20 005 10746 9601 9 012 12 353 18 351 19 005 9601 8579 10 006 13*345 19*344 17 357 8579 7671 12*353 14*344 19*342 17 350 7671 6866 13*345 14 343 20 340 19 341 6866 6149 13 344 15 342 21 335 21 331 6149 5502 13 344 15 341 22 334 21 329 5502 4925 14 344 15 340 22 333 20 329 4925 4440 13 344 15 339 22 333 20 330 4440 4065 13 344 15 338 21 332 19 331 4065 3806 13 344 14 338 21 332 18 331 3806 3648 12 344 14 338 19 332 15*331 3648 3557 11 343 12 337 16 332 11*331 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography