DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/20 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.6 - - 39.5 - - 34.4 - - 24.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 9 - - 151 - - 29 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 153 - - 683 - - 153 - - 152 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3540 - - 3540 - - 3539 - - 3539 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3556 - - 4086 - - 3556 - - 3555 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 174 - - 418 - - 1013 - - 515 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 49 - - 194 - - 68 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 7 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 139 - - 315 - - 317 - - 294 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5356 - - -3370 - - -1404 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8913 - - 7456 - - 4960 - - 3555 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15664 - - -13221 - - -12047 - - -12198 ODpotential blCL - - - 19220 - - 17307 - - 15603 - - 15753 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 84 - - 82 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.6 - - 39.5 - - 34.4 - - 24.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 12.1 - - 20.0 - - 25.5 - - 23.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 38.1 - - 38.3 - - 33.9 - - 26.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 11.1 - - 19.6 - - 25.5 - - 25.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 9 - - 151 - - 29 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 153 - - 683 - - 153 - - 152 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 37 - - 27 - - 86 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96262 14 039 26 040 24 064 18 093 96262 89296 27 056 19 058 25 064 20 058 89296 83902 28 044 21 058 27 047 26 042 83902 79374 23 045 20 065 23 051 22 038 79374 75419 23 042 23 050 20 038 26 033 75419 71902 26 032 26 045 24 030 27 028 71902 68715 29 021 29 033 27 020 30 027 68715 65776 32 015 30 017 29 008 31 015 65776 63046 32 013 28 003 35 001 35 006 63046 60406 34 009 30 355 42 356 40 358 60406 57645 37 002 33 351 43 351 41 349 57645 54760 41 351 38 348 45 347 45 342 54760 51999 43 342 42 341 46 338 48 338 51999 49512 46 339 44 340 47 335 48 338 49512 47277 50 337 49 341 48 334 50 338 47277 45238 51 336 48 340 48 330 48 336 45238 43361 50 334 47 339 46 329 45 332 43361 41631 50 325 48 329 46 332 44 326 41631 40039 47 320 48 317 47 329 42 322 40039 38573 44 315 45 308 47 313 43 315 38573 37220 40 314 46 300 47 300 46 303 37220 35940 40 313 43 301 48 295 50 303 35940 34651 39 314 39 303 42 295 57 295 34651 33318 37 319 38 303 36 302 51 296 33318 31947 37 319 38 303 36 308 44 302 31947 30526 38 313 38 303 36 309 37 300 30526 29046 38 310 36 299 34 304 38 300 29046 27505 35 310 33 294 32 295 34 298 27505 25908 31 313 29 300 28 298 26 294 25908 24253 26 313 26 305 24 304 23 301 24253 22543 22 313 22 307 21 311 18 308 22543 20774 18 308 18 315 17 323 13 314 20774 18937 13 304 13 325 13 331 10 320 18937 17067 9 303 10 332 10 335 8 325 17067 15262 7 299 8 326 7 340 6 325 15262 13614 5 298 7 314 6 345 5 338 13614 12144 4 306 6 312 5 352 4 358 12144 10830 4 336 5 327 4 002 2 354 10830 9655 4 010 3 012 3 011 2 262 9655 8606 4 030 3 066 2 120 5 227 8606 7673 4 026 4 105 5 137 7 206 7673 6848 3 338 5 115 8 131 8 193 6848 6118 2 290 5 121 9 129 8 182 6118 5464 4 296 4 116 6 132 7 168 5464 4888 7 284 1 051 1 022 5 162 4888 4409 5 269 5*326 5 324 1 153 4409 4045 4 209 7*316 6 322 2 337 4045 3795 7 164 7 315 6 320 3 330 3795 3643 6 147 7 313 6*319 3 311 3643 3555 4*139 7 314 5*317 2*294 3555 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography