DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/18 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.4 - - 69.4 - - 71.3 - - 60.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 90 - - 298 - - 121 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1598 - - 4585 - - 5472 - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3742 - - 6533 - - 6706 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5001 - - 7988 - - 8875 - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1889 - - 1627 - - 1731 - - 2402 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 228 - - 460 - - 362 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 12 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 7 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 351 - - 333 - - 350 - - 347 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 8 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -5 - - 5 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1169 - - -834 - - -1795 - - -3846 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6170 - - 8823 - - 10671 - - 7404 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4676 - - -3804 - - -4882 - - -8757 ODpotential blCL - - - 9677 - - 11792 - - 13757 - - 12315 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 67 - - 58 - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.4 - - 69.4 - - 71.3 - - 60.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.8 - - 43.0 - - 36.8 - - 41.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.4 - - 67.3 - - 70.1 - - 63.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.5 - - 42.6 - - 36.6 - - 40.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 90 - - 298 - - 121 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1598 - - 4585 - - 5472 - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98954 3 242 7 322 5 322 3 359 98954 91543 5 287 7 284 9 314 21 322 91543 85850 8 267 17 295 12 314 10 331 85850 81091 7 277 16 267 15 293 9 309 81091 76982 12 287 13 258 13 288 13 302 76982 73358 21 274 20 288 14 295 13 293 73358 70063 20 256 19 274 18 281 17 290 70063 67021 15 251 17 247 21 268 18 292 67021 64198 15 271 15 253 21 267 22 280 64198 61471 15 272 20 266 23 263 23 266 61471 58629 16 259 21 259 23 263 22 266 58629 55685 9 285 16 246 26 266 28 276 55685 52891 16 309 16 264 29 269 31 275 52891 50394 22 299 22 273 25 269 28 271 50394 48157 24 305 22 281 20 278 24 274 48157 46124 24 316 21 288 22 287 26 286 46124 44259 25 324 21 296 27 296 28 294 44259 42533 28 328 26 304 30 304 30 302 42533 40924 30 330 29 313 31 310 33 308 40924 39422 30 333 31 325 32 315 34 311 39422 38017 29 344 33 332 33 321 32 323 38017 36680 36 355 36 338 38 327 36 337 36680 35343 47 358 39 346 43 336 40 348 35343 33974 53 000 44 352 43 345 43 355 33974 32568 55 003 47 353 44 348 45 358 32568 31111 56 007 47 356 45 345 44 360 31111 29590 57 010 48 000 45 347 42 360 29590 28008 56 013 45 002 42 351 40 359 28008 26365 53 016 42 002 40 354 37 358 26365 24664 48 016 41 002 39 357 35 356 24664 22907 41 016 39 005 38 000 35 000 22907 21090 35 017 33 007 36 005 35 007 21090 19209 32 016 26 007 31 006 31 011 19209 17302 28 013 22 004 25 003 27 010 17302 15473 20 019 19 004 20 004 23 010 15473 13811 16 026 14 002 16 004 17 008 13811 12331 12 025 9 345 10 353 12 001 12331 11012 9 011 9 350 8 338 10 338 11012 9833 6 344 14 330 8*337 8 305 9833 8780 5 321 13*320 8*339 5 310 8780 7839 6 312 11*319 8 342 6 008 7839 7002 6 312 10 321 8 346 10 017 7002 6256 6 318 8 329 8 349 12 015 6256 5582 5*332 7 337 8 352 14 010 5582 4981 4*341 6 342 8 356 15 004 4981 4476 3 348 6 347 8 358 16 359 4476 4086 3 354 5 351 8 359 15 356 4086 3816 3 358 5 354 8 000 13 353 3816 3652 3 360 5 355 7 000 10*350 3652 3558 3 002 4 355 7 002 6*347 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography