DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/29 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.0 - - 67.8 - - 67.0 - - 59.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 484 - - 592 - - 344 - - 29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3535 - - 4600 - - 4424 - - 2037 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5883 - - 6787 - - 6463 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6938 - - 8003 - - 7827 - - 5440 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 695 - - 1235 - - 1386 - - 1768 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 495 - - 578 - - 476 - - 162 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 11 - - 7 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 10 - - 12 - - 15 BL Wind Direction - - - 328 - - 340 - - 338 - - 346 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 6 - - -8 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1934 - - -2755 - - -1833 - - -1729 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8872 - - 10758 - - 9660 - - 7170 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7407 - - -7712 - - -6088 - - -6818 ODpotential blCL - - - 14345 - - 15715 - - 13915 - - 12258 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 77 - - 77 - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.0 - - 67.8 - - 67.0 - - 59.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.4 - - 32.7 - - 36.9 - - 40.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.2 - - 64.5 - - 64.7 - - 59.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.3 - - 32.7 - - 36.9 - - 40.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 484 - - 592 - - 344 - - 29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3535 - - 4600 - - 4424 - - 2037 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 50 - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99382 30 103 27 102 34 100 27 109 99382 91838 27 101 30 098 26 103 26 093 91838 86051 23 099 25 093 23 092 24 088 86051 81267 21 119 14 096 15 079 24 087 81267 77136 17 122 10 095 13 083 19 088 77136 73460 13 115 11 108 9 089 11 097 73460 70111 13 107 8 111 8 086 11 090 70111 67035 12 113 6 122 8 100 11 077 67035 64192 10 117 3 136 5 112 9 080 64192 61430 6 102 3 165 2 113 3 055 61430 58533 4 094 5 151 2 306 5 330 58533 55515 4 018 3 124 6 288 6 305 55515 52637 6 334 2 006 9 290 4 310 52637 50063 9 336 8 018 5 292 8 324 50063 47768 13 337 12 009 7 359 10 290 47768 45702 9 328 14 334 17 007 6 317 45702 43848 13 065 9 005 16 346 16 347 43848 42169 33 055 21 047 13 010 19 313 42169 40617 48 058 24 056 17 008 12 324 40617 39170 50 061 31 034 32 018 14 001 39170 37810 49 054 30 044 26 020 12 348 37810 36499 43 049 28 041 20 039 11 343 36499 35170 39 042 29 026 20 026 16 344 35170 33800 40 035 31 021 24 015 19 346 33800 32394 41 032 33 028 26 025 16 352 32394 30939 38 030 33 032 27 024 16 360 30939 29422 36 027 30 029 26 018 18 350 29422 27844 36 027 29 021 24 018 21 342 27844 26205 35 027 28 019 23 018 20 341 26205 24508 34 025 28 022 22 018 18 347 24508 22757 34 026 27 025 22 022 17 355 22757 20948 32 033 24 031 21 025 15 357 20948 19078 21 033 17 042 17 024 14 355 19078 17181 17 029 12 031 10 020 11 352 17181 15359 18 035 11 016 11 006 11 355 15359 13704 19 024 11 029 8 351 9 349 13704 12232 18 013 11 033 5 332 7 320 12232 10920 15 010 9 017 5 294 8 289 10920 9749 8 009 6 336 8 280 11 286 9749 8703 6 354 7*329 8*307 12 270 8703 7773 8*321 8*335 9*326 8 281 7773 6947 9*324 9 337 10 332 7 341 6947 6213 9 326 9 339 12 336 11 351 6213 5550 9 328 10 341 13 340 14*349 5550 4960 9 329 10 342 14 341 15*348 4960 4463 9 330 11 342 14 341 15 346 4463 4078 9 332 11 343 14 341 15 346 4078 3813 9 332 10 344 14 341 15 345 3813 3651 9 333 10 344 13 341 13 345 3651 3558 8 333 9 344 12 342 10 345 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography