DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/03 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 34.7 - - 51.3 - - 59.0 - - 57.1 - - 48.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -28 - - 124 - - 265 - - 89 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 1624 - - 4411 - - 3617 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit 3540 - - 3952 - - 6347 - - 5130 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top 3556 - - 5027 - - 7814 - - 7020 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 117 - - 1308 - - 1865 - - 2304 - - 3343 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 244 - - 436 - - 284 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 11 - - 15 - - 14 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 162 - - 212 - - 239 - - 248 - - 251 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -4 - - 22 - - -8 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -377 - - -1782 - - -1196 - - -921 - - -1796 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3933 - - 6809 - - 9011 - - 7941 - - 5353 sfcLCL ODpotential -9158 - - -5906 - - -4928 - - -2677 - - -4690 ODpotential blCL 12714 - - 10933 - - 12742 - - 9697 - - 8247 blCL maxRH 78 - - 77 - - 71 - - 86 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 34.7 - - 51.3 - - 59.0 - - 57.1 - - 48.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.2 - - 34.0 - - 31.8 - - 34.6 - - 37.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.2 - - 50.2 - - 57.2 - - 56.1 - - 51.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.1 - - 33.6 - - 31.5 - - 34.6 - - 37.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -28 - - 124 - - 265 - - 89 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 1624 - - 4411 - - 3617 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 10 - - 10 - - 0 - - 44 - - 46 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96076 17 317 15 316 12 287 18 304 15 330 96076 89006 21 321 12 316 20 305 26 314 13 351 89006 83564 24 330 19 311 23 308 21 331 14 352 83564 79043 26 317 19 311 23 318 29 320 18 334 79043 75141 24 312 28 310 30 299 31 302 24 317 75141 71669 36 308 37 300 33 305 31 310 27 315 71669 68493 44 295 37 298 38 296 34 301 36 303 68493 65548 39 287 35 292 40 286 37 292 42 290 65548 62801 43 285 38 281 45 278 43 287 46 287 62801 60121 47 280 39 280 50 275 52 277 49 281 60121 57305 53 283 45 282 53 275 50 271 49 274 57305 54362 63 279 55 282 55 276 51 276 50 273 54362 51540 64 274 59 279 56 275 54 276 52 273 51540 49008 65 278 61 276 56 275 54 277 52 270 49008 46754 67 278 62 273 54 277 52 277 46 270 46754 44723 62 275 58 274 50 279 50 278 50 279 44723 42879 54 281 56 277 52 282 54 278 56 276 42879 41202 45 290 51 280 53 280 58 275 59 273 41202 39671 60 292 48 284 53 273 54 273 60 264 39671 38264 62 287 53 281 57 270 55 281 56 259 38264 36950 48 292 53 275 58 270 56 281 56 262 36950 35679 44 303 44 273 58 270 57 273 57 268 35679 34394 44 305 42 277 58 269 57 269 55 263 34394 33065 43 300 42 282 58 268 58 268 51 259 33065 31697 43 296 42 283 57 267 58 266 54 259 31697 30279 47 295 42 283 53 267 57 264 57 257 30279 28803 47 298 42 284 50 268 56 259 58 254 28803 27267 36 297 41 288 46 269 54 254 62 252 27267 25673 19 280 38 293 42 271 52 249 65 251 25673 24025 22 277 33 293 36 270 51 249 64 251 24025 22327 23 274 30 276 32 262 50 250 59 249 22327 20572 25 274 34 262 35 253 48 252 50 245 20572 18754 28 269 35 258 39 253 43 250 43 241 18754 16908 28 260 34 249 37 255 37 245 42 239 16908 15132 27 253 33 241 32 248 33 240 40 239 15132 13519 25 246 31 239 31 241 31 240 36 240 13519 12084 23 240 28 239 30 238 31 243 31 243 12084 10804 19 234 25 239 28 236 29 243 28 246 10804 9660 15 230 22 238 25 235 24 239 26 245 9660 8636 13 231 21 236 21*234 18 235 24 241 8636 7721 12 237 20 232 18*233 14*239 21 235 7721 6907 13 244 20 228 16 234 14*242 18 230 6907 6182 15 247 19 224 16 236 14 245 16 233 6182 5527 17 247 18*221 15 239 14 247 16 239 5527 4943 18 242 15*217 15 241 14 249 15 245 4943 4451 18 234 12 212 14 243 14 251 13 248 4451 4072 14 223 11 211 14 245 14 251 11 250 4072 3809 11 199 10 210 13 246 14 252 8 251 3809 3649 9 174 9 211 13 246 13 252 6*252 3649 3557 7*162 8 210 11 247 11 252 4*251 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography