DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/08 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.9 - - 74.8 - - - - - 64.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 255 - - 372 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2378 - - 5437 - - - - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4805 - - 7285 - - - - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5781 - - 8840 - - - - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1742 - - 1243 - - - - - 1321 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 350 - - 522 - - - - - 3 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 38 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 2 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 147 - - 111 - - - - - 348 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -7 - - - - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2728 - - -3366 - - - - - -5491 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8510 - - 12206 - - - - - 9049 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8172 - - -7712 - - - - - -12456 ODpotential blCL - - - 13953 - - 16552 - - - - - 16014 blCL maxRH - - - 53 - - 42 - - - - - 38 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.9 - - 74.8 - - - - - 64.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.1 - - 33.6 - - - - - 38.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.0 - - 72.4 - - - - - 67.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.9 - - 33.4 - - - - - 38.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 255 - - 372 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2378 - - 5437 - - - - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 4 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99022 11 188 12 158 8 218 99022 91590 13 152 6 222 4 172 91590 85877 11 118 6 125 6 073 85877 81139 9 105 11 117 9 051 81139 77053 9 085 9 124 11 045 77053 73435 8 078 9 113 11 031 73435 70157 6 076 6 076 7 046 70157 67139 6 116 4 013 6 058 67139 64335 3 094 3 355 2 326 64335 61615 1 213 4 273 6 276 61615 58774 4 254 8 254 9 277 58774 55827 10 262 12 264 14 289 55827 53024 15 262 17 267 20 285 53024 50516 17 275 19 272 24 282 50516 48277 22 284 24 279 27 286 48277 46246 27 282 28 282 34 285 46246 44387 29 280 32 285 37 279 44387 42678 30 290 35 289 37 278 42678 41097 35 301 37 299 36 280 41097 39624 44 300 43 302 39 281 39624 38247 47 302 45 302 42 279 38247 36926 50 304 45 305 43 279 36926 35594 48 305 43 309 42 280 35594 34221 41 303 39 317 40 281 34221 32810 33 307 38 325 36 281 32810 31346 25 317 37 326 31 282 31346 29820 19 335 36 322 27 289 29820 28232 19 353 34 328 23 294 28232 26585 19 357 28 334 17 298 26585 24879 17 348 19 324 14 313 24879 23118 17 337 10 317 13 310 23118 21295 18 336 7 339 13 303 21295 19404 18 335 8 003 12 301 19404 17482 17 338 7 007 8 289 17482 15630 13 347 5 342 5 268 15630 13943 8 350 5 294 7 270 13943 12441 4 323 8 276 7 269 12441 11103 2 302 8 254 6 255 11103 9908 1 202 5*213 7 203 9908 8840 5 199 4*161 10 168 8840 7886 8 184 4 149 10 155 7886 7038 10 173 3 136 7 138 7038 6282 10*166 3 114 4 103 6282 5600 9*158 3 096 5 039 5600 4993 7 149 3 078 11 018 4993 4483 6 145 3 065 13 013 4483 4090 5 141 3 055 14 008 4090 3818 5 136 3 052 12 002 3818 3653 4 135 3 052 9*356 3653 3558 4 135 3 050 5*348 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography