DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/13 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.2 - - 48.3 - - 62.4 - - 59.4 - - 44.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -45 - - 3 - - 69 - - -1 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 154 - - 1207 - - 155 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit 3540 - - 3540 - - 3541 - - 3541 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top 3556 - - 3557 - - 4610 - - 3558 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 88 - - 291 - - 1101 - - 1987 - - 168 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 - - 35 - - 182 - - 7 - - 10 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 148 - - 138 - - 189 - - 185 - - 175 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -3 - - -2 - - -2 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3957 - - -5572 - - -7757 - - -8267 - - -6137 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7514 - - 9130 - - 12368 - - 11825 - - 9695 sfcLCL ODpotential -16919 - - -16152 - - -15175 - - -16379 - - -17743 ODpotential blCL 20475 - - 19709 - - 19785 - - 19937 - - 21300 blCL maxRH 54 - - 71 - - 62 - - 64 - - 68 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.2 - - 48.3 - - 62.4 - - 59.4 - - 44.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.0 - - 21.9 - - 21.3 - - 20.9 - - 16.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.7 - - 48.3 - - 61.6 - - 61.8 - - 49.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 17.6 - - 21.2 - - 20.8 - - 20.3 - - 16.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -45 - - 3 - - 69 - - -1 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 154 - - 1207 - - 155 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96693 41 058 35 070 26 064 33 059 25 070 96693 89808 32 058 22 056 20 056 24 056 30 070 89808 84405 26 045 17 048 20 058 15 051 26 068 84405 79841 16 044 18 045 16 054 13 035 19 056 79841 75872 14 067 13 051 15 048 12 047 8 051 75872 72348 17 073 14 076 11 052 9 047 12 076 72348 69132 17 042 15 054 11 059 12 046 19 055 69132 66149 15 016 13 023 15 031 21 030 20 058 66149 63393 14 014 18 010 10 019 17 010 19 036 63393 60772 19 007 23 004 18 041 12 038 13 058 60772 58060 26 011 29 002 24 006 26 016 30 032 58060 55257 32 332 32 348 30 347 28 341 34 349 55257 52599 25 348 35 012 27 004 26 311 27 312 52599 50188 41 009 49 026 27 035 21 014 19 342 50188 48004 58 350 59 004 49 021 36 020 29 004 48004 46016 64 350 61 357 53 007 40 019 33 007 46016 44190 69 350 60 357 48 009 39 018 32 016 44190 42503 61 347 53 351 42 010 34 019 30 024 42503 40942 43 339 42 346 33 006 27 019 26 031 40942 39495 24 329 33 339 24 005 21 001 17 032 39495 38142 21 001 26 335 18 003 15 326 7 347 38142 36842 27 360 22 344 16 006 13 313 7 262 36842 35525 33 359 23 353 15 001 9 306 11 247 35525 34162 36 358 23 356 17 351 6 298 10 239 34162 32759 33 355 23 352 17 343 7 321 7 225 32759 31304 27 345 25 338 18 336 9 330 6 198 31304 29785 26 331 26 329 19 329 10 334 8 190 29785 28203 26 318 26 328 19 329 10 348 7 212 28203 26555 25 316 24 329 16 326 8 342 7 258 26555 24845 22 314 21 323 15 311 8 313 10 262 24845 23080 22 304 19 306 15 302 10 296 15 266 23080 21254 23 307 18 302 13 303 10 274 16 266 21254 19360 19 310 13 300 11 283 14 256 16 266 19360 17435 16 304 10 288 12 265 16 258 14 269 17435 15582 16 300 11 283 12 277 14 265 10 268 15582 13896 16 300 12 288 13 291 12 272 8 271 13896 12392 13 299 12 289 12 290 9 278 6 274 12392 11051 10 294 9 281 10 278 8 278 4 272 11051 9851 6 276 6 261 9 260 6 275 2 227 9851 8781 5 245 5 228 9 245 5 264 4 164 8781 7826 6 214 7 198 9 236 5 236 5 148 7826 6980 7 193 8 189 8 230 7 214 6 149 6980 6229 5 204 8 185 7 230 7 203 7 159 6229 5554 7 231 5 186 8 227 7 200 7 169 5554 4956 12 237 6 229 7*216 7 200 8 188 4956 4457 13 234 12 242 5*195 7 198 11 204 4457 4072 12 210 11 237 5 189 6 194 14 208 4072 3808 13 170 7 189 4 187 5 185 13 197 3808 3648 11 155 6*156 4 185 4*182 10*181 3648 3557 7*148 4*138 3 184 3*185 7*175 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography