DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/28 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.5 - - 76.9 - - - - - 60.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 420 - - 519 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3646 - - 6135 - - - - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5929 - - 7979 - - - - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7049 - - 9538 - - - - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1378 - - 2416 - - - - - 2932 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 478 - - 610 - - - - - 40 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 6 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 19 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 011 - - 011 - - - - - 312 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 6 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 9 - - - - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1080 - - -220 - - - - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8130 - - 9758 - - - - - 3558 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3200 - - -1400 - - - - - -1371 ODpotential blCL - - - 10249 - - 10938 - - - - - 4929 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 91 - - - - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 720 - - 950 - - - - - 1170 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.5 - - 76.9 - - - - - 60.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.7 - - 45.9 - - - - - 56.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.8 - - 73.8 - - - - - 60.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.6 - - 45.7 - - - - - 56.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 420 - - 519 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3646 - - 6135 - - - - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 72 - - 64 - - - - - 59 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - - - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98741 8 105 11 103 14 061 98741 91286 8 100 12 103 17 087 91286 85533 13 111 7 080 15 084 85533 80762 12 109 7 128 16 086 80762 76654 10 139 14 134 9 091 76654 73032 5 165 13 139 5 103 73032 69744 9 192 11 172 7 142 69744 66691 16 171 12 208 14 159 66691 63842 13 184 13 197 13 169 63842 61080 14 187 9 200 8 184 61080 58199 14 181 14 188 6 198 58199 55204 12 190 12 186 11 196 55204 52346 14 160 13 198 13 188 52346 49786 11 139 17 160 15 174 49786 47505 10 112 16 132 11 171 47505 45438 18 125 22 141 10 198 45438 43541 32 116 28 128 16 175 43541 41787 30 090 30 103 30 143 41787 40166 18 107 25 095 34 095 40166 38676 34 131 22 116 30 055 38676 37306 46 131 27 127 19 068 37306 36014 44 125 27 128 18 078 36014 34719 40 124 36 133 14 080 34719 33383 42 125 43 131 17 082 33383 32010 43 120 41 122 18 079 32010 30585 42 115 38 114 18 076 30585 29097 41 109 35 108 18 075 29097 27549 44 100 34 102 19 072 27549 25942 45 105 38 103 21 075 25942 24278 45 117 40 109 24 077 24278 22562 40 119 33 111 27 076 22562 20792 36 112 28 102 28 078 20792 18963 34 106 27 094 27 085 18963 17112 35 088 28 085 29 095 17112 15331 37 077 29 085 29 093 15331 13707 35 075 27 087 27 086 13707 12256 31 068 22 068 26 079 12256 10957 25 056 23 036 25 066 10957 9791 19 041 21*017 24 050 9791 8744 15 033 20*013 24 026 8744 7808 14*028 20 012 25 003 7808 6978 13*018 20 012 26 347 6978 6238 13 015 19 011 26 334 6238 5570 12 012 19 011 24 330 5570 4973 12 010 19 011 21 331 4973 4472 12 008 18 010 20 327 4472 4084 11 006 18 010 17 322 4084 3816 11 005 17 010 13 318 3816 3652 10 005 16 010 11*314 3652 3558 9 005 14 010 8*312 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography