DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/01 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.2 - - 76.0 - - 77.0 - - 62.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 188 - - 286 - - 86 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1380 - - 3443 - - 2978 - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3984 - - 5639 - - 4647 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4783 - - 6846 - - 6381 - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1343 - - 2257 - - 3502 - - 879 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 264 - - 411 - - 263 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 21 - - 46 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 2 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 100 - - 033 - - 004 - - 326 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -10 - - -8 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3255 - - -4220 - - -5122 - - -3231 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8038 - - 11066 - - 11504 - - 6789 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8656 - - -9446 - - -9856 - - -10219 ODpotential blCL - - - 13439 - - 16292 - - 16237 - - 13777 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 69 - - 64 - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.2 - - 76.0 - - 77.0 - - 62.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.3 - - 39.7 - - 38.8 - - 45.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.5 - - 73.8 - - 76.0 - - 65.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.3 - - 39.6 - - 38.7 - - 45.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 188 - - 286 - - 86 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1380 - - 3443 - - 2978 - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97799 9 299 6 255 16 305 8 282 97799 90619 7 351 8 334 13 354 6 344 90619 85034 9 016 11 322 7 014 10 031 85034 80365 5 070 6 297 10 328 15 347 80365 76348 7 356 4 314 5 314 11 317 76348 72792 13 314 8 297 11 316 13 311 72792 69557 15 284 20 268 21 292 21 302 69557 66584 11 261 19 271 22 284 24 290 66584 63822 17 285 20 276 23 281 26 269 63822 61140 19 297 22 276 23 283 22 271 61140 58346 33 291 29 282 29 287 30 290 58346 55472 44 283 39 281 44 282 46 283 55472 52740 51 280 49 285 48 281 52 278 52740 50281 60 278 65 287 61 282 57 275 50281 48093 61 281 69 280 68 277 65 276 48093 46124 56 286 63 280 68 276 69 275 46124 44322 51 293 58 286 64 280 65 277 44322 42657 57 286 59 282 62 280 59 277 42657 41103 56 279 57 276 57 270 55 271 41103 39638 51 278 54 270 55 269 52 263 39638 38254 49 281 51 269 52 271 50 256 38254 36918 50 279 49 269 50 271 48 255 36918 35566 49 276 47 271 48 268 45 256 35566 34174 48 273 45 273 45 265 45 256 34174 32748 48 273 45 276 44 266 45 259 32748 31275 50 278 43 276 42 269 43 260 31275 29743 47 281 40 277 41 269 43 261 29743 28153 44 280 40 277 39 267 44 264 28153 26505 42 279 41 275 39 268 44 267 26505 24802 39 277 40 275 40 272 41 269 24802 23044 37 277 38 275 39 276 37 271 23044 21227 34 280 35 272 36 276 34 272 21227 19344 30 282 32 273 32 273 32 272 19344 17431 26 278 28 275 29 273 29 272 17431 15589 22 270 24 273 25 274 26 273 15589 13912 18 266 20 266 20 272 22 271 13912 12418 13 262 14 255 16 263 18 262 12418 11087 10 254 11 248 12 247 14 246 11087 9897 8 235 9 242 9 226 10 230 9897 8832 8 209 8 223 7 217 6 222 8832 7880 9 193 6 197 4 214 2 230 7880 7033 9 184 4*181 1*355 2 331 7033 6279 10 174 2*150 3*005 4 348 6279 5598 9 166 1 096 7 005 7 010 5598 4992 6*156 2 037 8 005 11 026 4992 4483 3*119 2 020 9 004 13 025 4483 4090 2 105 3 011 9 004 13 015 4090 3818 2 088 3 010 9 004 10 002 3818 3653 2 085 3 010 9 003 7 343 3653 3558 2 081 3 009 8 003 4*326 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography