DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/15 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.6 - - 90.7 - - - - - 82.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 390 - - 446 - - - - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3927 - - 13677 - - - - - 156 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6122 - - 14082 - - - - - 3543 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7330 - - 17080 - - - - - 3559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 6201 - - 1789 - - - - - 6938 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 477 - - 757 - - - - - 19 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 18 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 8 - - - - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 118 - - 181 - - - - - 341 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 20 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - 13 - - - - - 8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4210 - - 2462 - - - - - -7539 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11540 - - 14619 - - - - - 11098 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5347 - - 1684 - - - - - -9737 ODpotential blCL - - - 12677 - - 15396 - - - - - 13296 blCL maxRH - - - 51 - - 90 - - - - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 350 - - 260 - - - - - 560 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.6 - - 90.7 - - - - - 82.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.2 - - 38.3 - - - - - 46.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.1 - - 87.7 - - - - - 82.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.2 - - 38.2 - - - - - 46.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 390 - - 446 - - - - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3927 - - 13677 - - - - - 156 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 60 - - - - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 5 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99783 40 110 39 099 27 107 99783 92252 27 106 29 100 29 101 92252 86428 23 110 21 107 25 095 86428 81587 26 117 16 104 24 100 81587 77417 27 113 16 121 22 098 77417 73734 17 107 17 120 14 102 73734 70417 10 129 17 121 10 109 70417 67372 11 125 15 130 7 121 67372 64540 17 142 7 144 7 117 64540 61807 13 146 12 159 6 170 61807 58978 10 206 11 215 14 201 58978 56044 17 238 19 234 18 204 56044 53230 29 230 39 231 22 216 53230 50677 52 220 48 221 30 223 50677 48379 55 209 55 217 44 221 48379 46303 52 213 62 217 56 222 46303 44415 61 221 68 217 67 223 44415 42683 68 222 71 218 77 224 42683 41082 72 225 72 222 83 224 41082 39592 76 227 76 224 86 225 39592 38195 76 226 78 225 86 225 38195 36857 73 226 78 229 86 224 36857 35511 65 226 76 232 85 223 35511 34129 56 226 69 231 80 224 34129 32712 48 224 60 229 73 223 32712 31249 44 226 53 226 67 222 31249 29731 43 226 50 224 65 224 29731 28156 41 225 47 222 63 226 28156 26521 39 224 45 221 58 226 26521 24832 38 223 44 221 49 224 24832 23091 35 222 40 218 44 220 23091 21294 31 220 35 214 40 207 21294 19433 26 218 29 205 31 185 19433 17541 19 219 21*193 27 181 17541 15714 15 222 18*186 20 174 15714 14044 11 218 15 181 15 169 14044 12549 8 216 14 180 10 156 12549 11209 8 208 12 179 6 096 11209 10007 9 175 10 177 11 041 10007 8930 12 144 8 176 16 026 8930 7965 11*138 5 177 17 020 7965 7106 10*134 2 177 19 012 7106 6339 8 130 1 181 20 005 6339 5646 5 120 0 330 21 357 5646 5028 4 110 2 345 21 351 5028 4507 3 099 2 346 21 348 4507 4105 3 088 3 347 20 345 4105 3827 3 078 3 347 18 344 3827 3657 2 073 3 346 16 342 3657 3559 2 072 3 346 12*341 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography