DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/02 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.2 - - 76.1 - - 76.6 - - 70.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 424 - - 538 - - 303 - - 11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3401 - - 6269 - - 6378 - - 2650 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5739 - - 8100 - - 7938 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6804 - - 9672 - - 9781 - - 6053 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1435 - - 1654 - - 2239 - - 3871 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 467 - - 621 - - 515 - - 129 W* B/S - - - 39 - - 17 - - 9 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 7 - - 11 - - 16 BL Wind Direction - - - 276 - - 328 - - 349 - - 357 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 9 - - 8 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - -11 - - -9 - - 13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3941 - - -2981 - - -2624 - - -3830 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10746 - - 12654 - - 12405 - - 9883 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9096 - - -6199 - - -5763 - - -7184 ODpotential blCL - - - 15900 - - 15871 - - 15544 - - 13237 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 77 - - 83 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.2 - - 76.1 - - 76.6 - - 70.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.4 - - 32.5 - - 34.2 - - 39.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.6 - - 72.9 - - 74.5 - - 70.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.2 - - 32.5 - - 34.3 - - 39.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 424 - - 538 - - 303 - - 11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3401 - - 6269 - - 6378 - - 2650 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 8 - - 32 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99687 40 114 30 126 26 122 31 102 99687 92073 29 118 21 120 24 104 22 089 92073 86231 19 119 20 112 18 105 21 102 86231 81400 11 111 19 111 19 119 12 107 81400 77251 9 124 13 107 19 117 14 115 77251 73591 14 140 8 135 10 111 18 107 73591 70260 10 135 9 155 5 121 13 104 70260 67191 11 137 6 147 5 165 6 111 67191 64343 11 140 7 192 3 197 2 122 64343 61579 4 137 8 176 6 220 4 254 61579 58689 2 235 2 241 3 283 4 274 58689 55686 6 287 6 271 12 294 13 308 55686 52831 13 301 12 301 15 312 13 305 52831 50283 18 305 15 319 22 322 21 326 50283 48012 15 318 21 331 24 318 23 312 48012 45946 20 345 22 345 21 329 23 330 45946 44043 26 000 30 351 28 339 29 332 44043 42286 38 342 38 335 34 330 32 329 42286 40672 39 323 34 313 33 318 32 321 40672 39191 26 309 27 298 29 312 31 316 39191 37821 13 340 29 311 28 308 31 312 37821 36512 26 324 35 303 31 304 29 307 36512 35194 27 323 35 296 35 293 28 305 35194 33836 24 322 31 291 34 284 27 303 33836 32440 15 322 29 285 31 280 27 296 32440 30993 6 318 31 284 28 279 29 284 30993 29484 13 287 31 281 25 279 31 279 29484 27916 19 296 26 277 23 285 30 278 27916 26288 22 301 22 275 24 291 27 276 26288 24605 22 305 21 276 23 291 19 275 24605 22866 19 304 19 279 20 285 17 277 22866 21066 16 298 18 278 17 278 18 272 21066 19200 14 289 17 276 16 275 19 274 19200 17305 14 286 15 274 16 279 19 277 17305 15484 13 283 14 270 14 276 17 271 15484 13830 13 280 13 263 13 266 17 257 13830 12355 12 283 12 257 12 253 17 245 12355 11038 11 288 10 252 9 263 12 240 11038 9859 10 291 7*269 7*296 6 248 9859 8804 8 284 6*278 7*315 4 357 8804 7861 6 261 6 288 8 330 9 008 7861 7022 4*247 6 316 11 349 13 006 7022 6274 3*248 7 334 12 353 15*002 6274 5597 3 259 8 339 12 354 16*359 5597 4993 2 272 8 343 13 355 16 358 4993 4484 2 287 9 347 13 356 16 357 4484 4091 2 301 9 349 13 357 16 356 4091 3819 2 312 9 350 13 357 15 355 3819 3654 2 311 9 350 12 357 14 355 3654 3558 2 316 8 350 11 357 11 354 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography