DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/06 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.3 - - 86.3 - - - - - 80.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 383 - - 400 - - - - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3821 - - 8795 - - - - - 156 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6033 - - 10015 - - - - - 3543 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7224 - - 12198 - - - - - 3559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3167 - - 3843 - - - - - 9041 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 470 - - 630 - - - - - 23 W* B/S - - - 20 - - 29 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 173 - - 266 - - - - - 343 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 13 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -11 - - -5 - - - - - 8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7210 - - -1242 - - - - - -7494 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14435 - - 13440 - - - - - 11054 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9855 - - -1798 - - - - - -9156 ODpotential blCL - - - 17079 - - 13996 - - - - - 12715 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 97 - - - - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 120 - - 150 - - - - - 300 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.3 - - 86.3 - - - - - 80.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.0 - - 39.2 - - - - - 44.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.7 - - 83.5 - - - - - 80.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.0 - - 39.1 - - - - - 44.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 383 - - 400 - - - - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3821 - - 8795 - - - - - 156 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 76 - - 87 - - - - - 27 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 6 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99691 34 115 22 118 26 105 99691 92108 32 095 22 125 28 102 92108 86260 20 090 25 112 30 093 86260 81416 21 093 23 104 21 093 81416 77275 16 120 19 091 16 104 77275 73638 20 137 8 110 20 104 73638 70343 19 117 9 164 14 098 70343 67307 9 053 14 159 3 075 67307 64492 4 264 8 188 4 191 64492 61768 11 215 13 214 7 238 61768 58924 10 245 16 240 15 244 58924 55962 21 250 24 233 21 250 55962 53123 28 246 29 239 27 250 53123 50558 33 245 32 240 35 250 50558 48254 38 246 34 242 39 249 48254 46165 39 244 36 242 40 252 46165 44261 36 243 34 241 39 255 44261 42519 32 244 31 241 36 254 42519 40917 27 246 27 239 32 252 40917 39430 21 245 18 232 30 254 39430 38043 16 239 11 228 25 261 38043 36715 7 213 9 242 24 257 36715 35385 4 204 11 230 16 243 35385 34022 8 187 8 194 13 237 34022 32626 6 179 5 165 14 236 32626 31177 3 161 1 335 14 237 31177 29665 3 178 7 291 13 225 29665 28093 4 238 11 271 14 229 28093 26462 7 258 15 259 15 249 26462 24774 8 262 16 258 14 265 24774 23035 1 237 15 257 13 270 23035 21236 0 008 16 254 13 264 21236 19370 3 261 16 251 16 257 19370 17473 7 254 17 246 21 250 17473 15647 8 255 18 241 20 235 15647 13984 9 259 16 238 15 223 13984 12499 11 256 11*232 6 205 12499 11169 14 247 10*231 2 145 11169 9976 15 237 9 232 3 052 9976 8904 10 224 6 240 7 027 8904 7945 7*192 5 249 10 013 7945 7090 6*177 3 285 13 005 7090 6327 6 173 3 311 15 357 6327 5637 5 172 4 327 17 350 5637 5021 4 171 4 337 17 348 5021 4503 3 172 4 343 17 346 4503 4102 3 171 5 347 17 345 4102 3825 2 172 5 346 16 345 3825 3656 2 171 5 348 15 344 3656 3559 2 175 4 348 11*343 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography