DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/05 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.7 - - 65.5 - - 63.4 - - 59.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 257 - - 299 - - 29 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1989 - - 6674 - - 2946 - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4526 - - 8166 - - 3541 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5392 - - 10077 - - 6349 - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2618 - - 5267 - - 6820 - - 6204 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 331 - - 521 - - 183 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 45 - - 50 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 2 - - 8 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 111 - - 182 - - 026 - - 012 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 12 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - 4 - - -6 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1347 - - 143 - - -2904 - - -3860 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6739 - - 9934 - - 9253 - - 7418 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2958 - - -451 - - -4068 - - -5648 ODpotential blCL - - - 8350 - - 10528 - - 10417 - - 9206 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 94 - - 101 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 170 - - 130 - - 130 - - 150 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.7 - - 65.5 - - 63.4 - - 59.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.5 - - 34.1 - - 35.1 - - 39.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.0 - - 63.4 - - 62.9 - - 60.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.3 - - 34.0 - - 35.1 - - 39.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 257 - - 299 - - 29 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1989 - - 6674 - - 2946 - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 37 - - 77 - - 103 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98964 5 338 3 310 8 333 7 001 98964 91557 10 153 5 057 8 030 7 044 91557 85852 14 115 8 072 8 040 11 051 85852 81116 12 114 12 090 6 081 10 053 81116 77029 12 103 13 109 9 112 6 102 77029 73411 12 097 11 140 7 119 8 094 73411 70119 9 118 9 124 8 133 4 107 70119 67072 10 139 9 129 12 160 5 181 67072 64224 10 148 10 169 10 189 9 191 64224 61446 10 195 10 186 7 215 11 187 61446 58530 19 195 17 218 16 231 11 209 58530 55500 14 200 20 211 23 228 20 230 55500 52621 15 234 18 223 20 230 25 228 52621 50032 27 238 26 235 23 239 25 232 50032 47707 33 227 32 234 29 240 26 239 47707 45592 31 227 33 234 33 239 28 241 45592 43654 32 231 34 234 36 236 31 241 43654 41868 34 234 35 240 37 236 32 237 41868 40211 37 238 40 243 40 240 31 240 40211 38668 40 237 45 238 41 236 35 237 38668 37235 43 232 45 238 40 235 37 232 37235 35877 43 227 53 237 46 236 39 233 35877 34529 45 233 54 236 53 234 43 232 34529 33165 52 242 69 238 58 231 48 233 33165 31788 73 244 79 232 58 228 51 235 31788 30370 85 236 76 236 55 230 51 235 30370 28892 86 233 72 241 53 231 48 232 28892 27355 84 234 68 242 49 233 45 227 27355 25761 80 237 63 242 47 232 44 226 25761 24113 73 242 59 243 45 233 41 229 24113 22413 54 247 53 245 42 237 36 229 22413 20653 31 245 41 250 38 235 32 228 20653 18834 19 242 26 253 35 229 30 229 18834 16993 17 240 14 256 27 216 28 220 16993 15229 17 221 12 217 21 205 23 201 15229 13622 17 208 14 201 18 199 20 194 13622 12185 17 202 14 197 15 194 18 184 12185 10900 16 198 12*190 13 190 15 169 10900 9747 15 197 9*185 9 183 11 150 9747 8713 14 198 7 179 6 170 7 118 8713 7787 11 201 5 178 3 140 6 073 7787 6962 9 203 2 171 3*059 10 042 6962 6225 5 200 0 149 6*035 13 034 6225 5560 2*170 1 360 8 028 16 031 5560 4967 1*130 2 355 9 026 17 028 4967 4467 1 115 2 351 9 024 17 025 4467 4081 1 108 3 351 9 023 16 021 4081 3814 1 102 3 351 9 023 14 017 3814 3651 1 099 3 352 9 022 11*014 3651 3558 1 093 3 349 8 023 8*012 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography