DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/05 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.2 - - 65.2 - - 63.4 - - 40.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 31 - - 154 - - 3 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 517 - - 2503 - - 155 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3541 - - 4690 - - 3541 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3920 - - 5906 - - 3558 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 806 - - 1651 - - 3998 - - 335 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 105 - - 301 - - 34 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 12 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 163 - - 206 - - 221 - - 311 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -11 - - 12 - - -2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7667 - - -8465 - - -9900 - - -184 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11587 - - 14372 - - 13458 - - 3740 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16222 - - -15180 - - -16541 - - -9068 ODpotential blCL - - - 20142 - - 21086 - - 20099 - - 12624 blCL maxRH - - - 56 - - 64 - - 73 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.2 - - 65.2 - - 63.4 - - 40.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 16.7 - - 14.7 - - 17.0 - - 37.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.0 - - 63.8 - - 63.2 - - 43.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 16.6 - - 14.3 - - 16.6 - - 37.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 31 - - 154 - - 3 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 517 - - 2503 - - 155 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 4 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96097 20 355 16 341 18 348 14 330 96097 89235 14 025 17 011 12 005 8 010 89235 83833 14 039 15 359 12 016 14 069 83833 79299 17 049 8 348 9 354 19 069 79299 75364 16 046 4 038 7 330 16 053 75364 71876 7 033 9 058 1 343 6 008 71876 68724 2 092 10 044 2 134 5 310 68724 65819 4 002 5 055 2 180 7 262 65819 63120 10 285 5 064 4 125 4 209 63120 60511 13 228 7 331 2 087 8 170 60511 57798 12 210 11 254 5 213 15 188 57798 54972 8 231 5 232 4 172 18 184 54972 52244 10 216 7 209 10 164 23 162 52244 49768 7 192 14 196 20 189 22 163 49768 47533 16 190 27 185 24 190 23 182 47533 45490 23 181 28 179 24 183 26 190 45490 43620 27 179 28 180 31 189 31 194 43620 41908 30 193 34 187 37 196 38 198 41908 40341 43 195 41 193 46 194 46 190 40341 38903 49 195 48 195 52 192 49 186 38903 37564 47 195 46 194 50 194 51 187 37564 36273 43 195 42 194 47 198 50 189 36273 34967 41 198 40 194 42 196 48 192 34967 33619 38 200 38 190 39 189 42 193 33619 32231 33 194 38 184 38 186 39 192 32231 30790 31 181 39 179 38 187 37 196 30790 29289 32 176 39 177 36 189 35 199 29289 27730 31 176 37 178 33 188 29 197 27730 26114 30 177 33 182 29 183 24 190 26114 24440 29 180 28 183 26 175 23 183 24440 22711 26 182 25 179 25 173 23 177 22711 20920 25 182 25 176 26 175 24 178 20920 19060 26 178 27 178 27 181 25 185 19060 17168 26 173 28 183 28 189 24 194 17168 15350 26 171 27 191 24 200 18 200 15350 13699 26 171 25 199 20 212 11 210 13699 12228 27 170 23 204 19 221 10 228 12228 10916 27 171 22 205 18 227 10 227 10916 9742 27 174 22 207 18 231 10 216 9742 8694 28 178 22 210 17 232 11 199 8694 7760 28 182 21 212 15 226 12 189 7760 6932 30 183 19 213 13 218 14 185 6932 6195 32 181 16*211 11 209 14 181 6195 5530 34 176 15*209 9 205 12 182 5530 4939 33 171 13 206 7 206 7 197 4939 4444 30 167 12 205 6 211 4 271 4444 4065 26*164 12 204 6 215 7 327 4065 3805 23*164 11 204 6 217 8 326 3805 3647 20 163 10 204 5*219 6 318 3647 3556 13 162 9 204 5*221 4*311 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography