DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/18 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 28.3 - - 32.6 - - 34.6 - - 27.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 172 - - 246 - - 90 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2941 - - 3743 - - 4589 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5068 - - 5812 - - 5832 - - 3539 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6344 - - 7146 - - 7992 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3056 - - 3797 - - 5185 - - 4560 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 332 - - 404 - - 309 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 11 - - 17 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 264 - - 266 - - 274 - - 239 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 13 - - 13 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -186 - - 551 - - 535 - - -2054 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6530 - - 6595 - - 7457 - - 5610 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1273 - - 194 - - -283 - - -3769 ODpotential blCL - - - 7617 - - 6952 - - 8275 - - 7325 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 92 - - 96 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 70 - - 60 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 28.3 - - 32.6 - - 34.6 - - 27.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 12.0 - - 16.0 - - 14.2 - - 15.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 27.0 - - 30.8 - - 33.8 - - 28.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 11.6 - - 15.9 - - 14.0 - - 15.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 172 - - 246 - - 90 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2941 - - 3743 - - 4589 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 47 - - 70 - - 84 - - 22 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97102 22 116 23 094 23 104 24 117 97102 89919 18 103 14 111 17 110 18 096 89919 84328 17 117 11 097 12 099 14 084 84328 79642 16 108 12 112 9 111 11 057 79642 75576 14 087 11 102 8 119 3 062 75576 71961 8 063 5 110 5 125 3 122 71961 68662 1 103 5 217 4 271 5 061 68662 65596 3 260 7 213 9 240 5 344 65596 62733 7 274 5 219 7 210 4 290 62733 59943 10 270 12 287 5 306 6 271 59943 57018 13 283 13 297 14 303 12 304 57018 53967 17 290 18 314 13 298 15 299 53967 51050 21 300 24 313 19 324 14 306 51050 48426 23 306 26 308 25 316 15 323 48426 46067 24 308 27 306 27 305 21 315 46067 43922 24 306 28 306 30 302 26 310 43922 41962 24 309 28 310 33 304 29 312 41962 40161 28 315 32 314 37 305 32 314 40161 38494 30 311 37 312 39 308 35 313 38494 36946 30 313 39 311 41 308 36 313 36946 35509 32 318 38 312 41 305 39 313 35509 34152 33 322 38 316 40 308 41 307 34152 32817 36 326 43 322 42 312 40 299 32817 31478 40 331 51 325 45 315 38 302 31478 30129 45 336 57 326 48 314 41 304 30129 28744 52 340 61 327 48 312 40 303 28744 27307 60 343 65 330 45 311 40 301 27307 25818 65 343 68 331 44 311 40 303 25818 24277 58 341 68 332 45 311 40 299 24277 22692 44 340 57 332 48 313 39 297 22692 21074 29 337 43 326 40 310 37 304 21074 19425 22 333 36 320 32 299 29 303 19425 17739 22 330 26 307 35 302 19 294 17739 16039 24 326 22 296 33 302 16 289 16039 14405 24 322 21 291 24 300 17 280 14405 12914 20 311 20 288 16 288 17 275 12914 11581 16 297 20 284 15 276 15 272 11581 10388 13 297 18 280 16 273 14 269 10388 9317 14 305 17 277 16 271 14 267 9317 8356 15 301 15 274 17*272 15 263 8356 7496 14 293 14*270 17*272 16 261 7496 6729 13*283 13*268 17 274 16 258 6729 6044 13*272 12 266 17 274 16 255 6044 5424 12 265 12 266 17 275 16 253 5424 4871 12 263 11 265 17 275 16 251 4871 4405 11 263 10 265 17 275 15 249 4405 4044 10 262 10 264 17 275 13 246 4044 3795 10 262 9 264 16 275 11 245 3795 3643 9 262 9 264 15 275 8*244 3643 3556 8 262 8 264 12 275 5*239 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography