DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/05 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0703z - - 1003z - - 1556z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.0 - - 67.8 - - 75.6 - - 75.1 - - 67.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 75 - - 417 - - 513 - - 280 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 790 - - 3267 - - 8315 - - 8224 - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit 3541 - - 5631 - - 9745 - - 9360 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top 4193 - - 6670 - - 11718 - - 11627 - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1211 - - 1757 - - 2085 - - 2080 - - 7079 Hgt.Variab. W* 161 - - 459 - - 672 - - 547 - - 13 W* B/S 8 - - 10 - - 11 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 9 - - 11 - - 15 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 320 - - 009 - - 012 - - 006 - - 355 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 4 - - 7 - - 8 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2647 - - -2953 - - -249 - - -228 - - -5969 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6840 - - 9623 - - 11968 - - 11855 - - 9527 sfcLCL ODpotential -7001 - - -4703 - - -1055 - - -1393 - - -8680 ODpotential blCL 11194 - - 11373 - - 12773 - - 13020 - - 12238 blCL maxRH 62 - - 69 - - 70 - - 69 - - 62 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.0 - - 67.8 - - 75.6 - - 75.1 - - 67.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.4 - - 37.8 - - 34.9 - - 35.1 - - 37.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.2 - - 65.1 - - 72.5 - - 73.2 - - 68.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.4 - - 37.7 - - 34.9 - - 35.0 - - 37.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 75 - - 417 - - 513 - - 280 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 790 - - 3267 - - 8315 - - 8224 - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97734 12 278 9 202 17 239 13 262 13 307 97734 90258 5 256 7 211 9 241 6 321 3 242 90258 84533 4 000 6 210 3 229 4 280 1 257 84533 79811 5 012 3 283 3 233 1 007 2 086 79811 75755 8 010 2 189 4 245 6 334 6 029 75755 72162 5 011 1 207 1 260 6 285 7 347 72162 68896 4 358 2 310 4 314 5 335 10 008 68896 65886 11 346 9 010 1 051 4 280 9 327 65886 63081 14 333 15 336 9 012 6 353 5 027 63081 60364 9 323 11 303 12 315 20 332 19 356 60364 57545 18 005 14 005 8 321 17 324 17 342 57545 54630 24 000 23 002 20 008 24 017 15 030 54630 51875 21 008 24 017 30 014 33 014 33 025 51875 49428 23 010 24 021 27 015 31 008 34 012 49428 47253 25 027 20 028 24 026 28 019 31 013 47253 45288 34 038 33 036 36 030 39 027 41 019 45288 43498 49 036 46 029 43 024 47 016 47 016 43498 41852 56 039 49 028 47 026 49 017 50 014 41852 40320 59 042 50 034 52 028 49 022 49 018 40320 38884 61 041 52 038 52 029 48 025 47 019 38884 37533 61 040 53 039 48 029 46 027 45 020 37533 36234 56 038 53 037 45 030 43 029 43 023 36234 34922 51 035 50 034 43 031 42 031 44 026 34922 33570 47 033 46 030 42 031 42 031 43 027 33570 32183 43 033 42 027 41 029 41 029 41 026 32183 30747 40 033 40 025 42 028 41 026 40 024 30747 29251 40 035 39 026 42 028 41 026 40 021 29251 27696 40 038 39 028 42 029 41 027 40 021 27696 26083 39 042 39 030 43 031 42 029 40 025 26083 24415 37 045 38 034 43 033 42 034 42 030 24415 22695 33 043 34 037 41 036 42 038 42 034 22695 20916 30 039 30 037 35 037 36 038 38 035 20916 19072 26 040 27 035 28 035 29 034 31 033 19072 17198 19 042 22 035 23 035 22 029 24 024 17198 15395 14 047 16 034 19 035 16 023 19 014 15395 13755 12 040 12 037 15 029 12 011 15 012 13755 12296 11 030 12 044 11*022 12*010 11 016 12296 10993 12 029 14 046 11*020 13*008 9 023 10993 9827 14 030 14 049 11 019 13 008 10 023 9827 8781 15 031 13 052 11 017 14 007 12 018 8781 7844 14 032 12 046 11 015 14 006 14 015 7844 7010 14 031 10*029 12 012 15 007 16 012 7010 6264 14 023 9*015 12 010 16 006 17 010 6264 5590 13 008 9 011 12 008 16 005 18 007 5590 4988 12 354 9 009 12 006 16 005 18 003 4988 4481 10*337 9 007 12 005 16 005 18 002 4481 4089 5*326 9 007 12 005 16 005 17 360 4089 3818 3 318 8 005 12 004 15 005 15 358 3818 3653 3 317 8 005 12 004 15 005 13*357 3653 3558 3 318 7 005 10 003 13 004 9*355 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography