DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/26 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 28.6 - - 41.0 - - 51.4 - - 53.3 - - 42.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -14 - - 77 - - 250 - - 75 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 786 - - 2916 - - 3109 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit 3539 - - 3539 - - 5197 - - 4623 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top 3556 - - 4189 - - 6319 - - 6512 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 235 - - 1270 - - 1273 - - 1685 - - 1610 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 166 - - 373 - - 256 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 4 - - 7 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 178 - - 218 - - 251 - - 304 - - 330 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -2 - - -2 - - 6 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2163 - - -3400 - - -5445 - - -5176 - - -4257 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5720 - - 7589 - - 11764 - - 11688 - - 7814 sfcLCL ODpotential -14762 - - -14037 - - -14316 - - -12598 - - -13413 ODpotential blCL 18318 - - 18226 - - 20635 - - 19110 - - 16970 blCL maxRH 74 - - 77 - - 86 - - 80 - - 77 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 28.6 - - 41.0 - - 51.4 - - 53.3 - - 42.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 16.7 - - 20.6 - - 12.5 - - 14.7 - - 21.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 32.7 - - 40.3 - - 49.8 - - 52.5 - - 46.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 15.5 - - 19.3 - - 11.5 - - 14.3 - - 20.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -14 - - 77 - - 250 - - 75 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 786 - - 2916 - - 3109 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 6 - - 43 - - 21 - - 8 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96793 14 105 15 141 9 154 12 096 18 081 96793 89626 10 099 10 113 7 155 5 099 10 057 89626 84050 10 078 10 134 2 166 8 014 9 018 84050 79386 7 042 7 044 6 350 3 357 7 330 79386 75346 12 351 13 319 19 314 17 338 16 329 75346 71781 18 310 19 322 19 294 28 319 25 312 71781 68573 30 312 30 313 31 304 37 308 28 316 68573 65621 41 302 43 307 43 301 42 310 40 308 65621 62878 45 295 48 303 50 301 48 305 47 301 62878 60221 45 297 49 296 52 300 51 301 52 297 60221 57457 53 303 51 296 54 297 53 294 58 296 57457 54586 65 297 60 297 56 290 55 296 59 299 54586 51835 66 294 71 290 68 286 68 295 76 294 51835 49353 78 285 69 285 73 290 80 288 83 286 49353 47144 76 288 69 299 82 292 86 288 78 288 47144 45165 83 298 92 294 96 288 98 291 85 292 45165 43356 101 287 106 277 108 279 107 282 97 289 43356 41681 103 275 99 269 102 274 98 271 100 279 41681 40128 92 285 94 282 96 284 89 275 91 277 40128 38686 113 297 115 288 120 291 95 285 91 283 38686 37343 129 298 116 285 117 286 117 289 107 289 37343 36058 130 297 112 284 112 284 120 287 110 288 36058 34758 126 297 110 285 112 285 109 287 106 286 34758 33413 115 299 104 286 104 286 100 287 102 285 33413 32029 100 298 96 288 96 287 97 285 101 285 32029 30592 95 296 85 289 92 288 99 283 102 287 30592 29091 96 295 78 289 91 289 99 284 97 290 29091 27531 94 294 73 292 84 292 90 288 80 292 27531 25915 89 299 67 296 75 295 78 287 65 289 25915 24244 83 302 60 300 63 296 74 292 64 285 24244 22519 83 305 56 297 52 296 61 301 60 297 22519 20738 79 307 59 294 49 296 49 296 49 299 20738 18893 62 301 61 296 51 297 45 284 47 287 18893 17016 52 292 51 298 50 297 45 281 48 284 17016 15205 42 292 36 297 50 295 46 291 43 291 15205 13559 26 297 24 298 44 295 43 299 36 298 13559 12095 14 301 17 300 30 296 35 298 30 296 12095 10794 10 294 11 294 18 295 27 288 28 287 10794 9637 9 287 9 279 12 286 21 280 26 284 9637 8607 8 288 8 264 11 276 17 280 22 285 8607 7692 7 293 7 250 10 268 12 288 17 286 7692 6881 5 303 7 235 9*255 9*298 13 287 6881 6159 5 322 6 221 8*251 8*302 10 288 6159 5508 4 327 5 211 8 251 8 304 8 288 5508 4928 1 294 6 212 7 251 8 304 8 287 4928 4441 4 278 6*220 7 252 8 304 7 290 4441 4065 8 256 5*218 7 253 8 304 6 303 4065 3805 7 228 5 218 6 253 8 303 5 326 3805 3648 6*188 4 217 6 253 7 304 4*334 3648 3557 5*178 4 217 6 253 7 304 3*330 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography