DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/04 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.5 - - 63.0 - - 53.0 - - 49.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 216 - - 382 - - 29 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5154 - - 7374 - - 927 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6822 - - 8845 - - 3541 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8557 - - 10777 - - 4330 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3046 - - 3315 - - 3656 - - 3712 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 430 - - 585 - - 136 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 12 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 9 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 191 - - 212 - - 338 - - 018 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 9 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 13 - - 23 - - -4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 667 - - 749 - - -21 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7891 - - 10028 - - 4351 - - 3557 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 64 - - 539 - - -1420 - - -1622 ODpotential blCL - - - 8493 - - 10238 - - 5750 - - 5179 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 100 - - 92 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 130 - - 200 - - 560 - - 440 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.5 - - 63.0 - - 53.0 - - 49.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.1 - - 31.1 - - 46.1 - - 46.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.8 - - 60.6 - - 52.5 - - 51.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.9 - - 31.1 - - 44.9 - - 45.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 216 - - 382 - - 29 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5154 - - 7374 - - 927 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 85 - - 100 - - 68 - - 82 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98983 1 214 7 276 3 330 5 284 98983 91588 9 091 8 133 0 299 5 113 91588 85901 8 103 7 123 7 116 11 086 85901 81157 9 114 5 105 13 108 11 082 81157 77055 9 110 5 111 9 123 7 066 77055 73425 8 087 7 110 8 121 6 059 73425 70121 6 148 8 112 7 138 7 138 70121 67060 12 156 7 156 8 132 13 145 67060 64198 11 174 16 188 16 226 12 186 64198 61405 6 178 8 175 12 203 9 212 61405 58490 14 226 16 240 13 241 21 226 58490 55469 15 234 20 227 23 232 20 221 55469 52579 18 251 20 225 25 233 23 238 52579 49974 25 249 25 238 34 245 30 244 49974 47638 32 243 36 243 36 242 36 243 47638 45520 36 238 38 237 35 240 41 235 45520 43580 37 236 39 234 36 242 41 231 43580 41785 40 237 41 235 40 242 40 234 41785 40115 45 238 43 239 42 241 40 237 40115 38555 50 237 48 242 44 244 40 245 38555 37099 52 236 55 239 54 243 50 245 37099 35714 54 234 67 233 61 234 59 238 35714 34334 53 232 66 223 57 228 59 233 34334 32933 52 231 57 220 51 230 49 229 32933 31516 54 232 53 227 47 233 42 229 31516 30065 58 231 57 232 47 232 45 232 30065 28571 59 231 54 234 43 227 48 229 28571 27036 52 229 44 234 31 227 45 226 27036 25465 42 225 30 232 17 229 32 226 25465 23851 35 224 25 235 14 222 22 224 23851 22187 30 226 22 239 14 227 20 223 22187 20463 26 225 21 242 15 235 20 229 20463 18674 24 223 19 236 17 221 20 236 18674 16855 20 221 17 225 19 213 19 237 16855 15102 17 220 16 209 22 210 19 226 15102 13504 16 212 15 200 23 210 20 218 13504 12077 16 203 14 195 22 212 21 218 12077 10802 15 195 13*194 21 214 21 221 10802 9660 14 193 12*196 20 216 19 227 9660 8637 12*190 11 200 17 221 16 236 8637 7723 10*190 10 204 15 227 11 251 7723 6909 9 190 9 210 11 236 8 275 6909 6184 8 190 8 215 8 252 6 309 6184 5528 7 191 8 220 6 278 6 352 5528 4944 6 191 7 226 6 303 7 014 4944 4452 6 192 7 230 6*326 7 018 4452 4072 5 193 7 233 7*335 7 020 4072 3809 5 193 6 235 7 338 7 020 3809 3649 5 193 6 236 6 340 5*019 3649 3557 4 193 6 236 6 342 3*018 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography