DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/05 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.0 - - 67.5 - - 66.1 - - 55.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 413 - - 492 - - 341 - - 55 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3953 - - 6014 - - 4843 - - 2426 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6162 - - 7863 - - 6789 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7356 - - 9417 - - 8246 - - 5829 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1189 - - 1471 - - 2045 - - 2087 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 488 - - 596 - - 490 - - 213 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 11 - - 8 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 10 - - 12 - - 16 BL Wind Direction - - - 298 - - 285 - - 303 - - 334 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 11 - - 10 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 26 - - 43 - - 17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2991 - - -1600 - - -2304 - - -1851 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10347 - - 11017 - - 10551 - - 7680 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9924 - - -6673 - - -6983 - - -7426 ODpotential blCL - - - 17280 - - 16090 - - 15229 - - 13255 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 85 - - 84 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.0 - - 67.5 - - 66.1 - - 55.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.9 - - 31.2 - - 31.9 - - 34.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.5 - - 64.7 - - 63.8 - - 55.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.5 - - 30.8 - - 31.7 - - 34.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 413 - - 492 - - 341 - - 55 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3953 - - 6014 - - 4843 - - 2426 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 42 - - 38 - - 35 - - 41 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98857 22 126 15 117 18 112 15 116 98857 91337 18 125 12 149 8 111 17 116 91337 85541 12 143 14 133 8 120 11 108 85541 80739 14 152 9 131 8 145 5 102 80739 76618 12 158 6 123 8 119 8 109 76618 72982 10 148 6 166 3 128 6 109 72982 69686 3 116 7 174 4 203 3 062 69686 66647 4 236 7 225 6 211 5 248 66647 63818 6 211 10 228 6 271 4 237 63818 61064 12 263 16 259 22 274 19 268 61064 58195 22 255 25 250 29 258 28 259 58195 55224 26 262 28 255 31 260 30 266 55224 52385 37 267 39 264 37 269 38 271 52385 49835 46 264 49 260 50 264 51 268 49835 47565 51 263 53 254 56 253 60 255 47565 45517 58 267 57 264 55 254 60 249 45517 43653 70 269 72 272 63 267 61 259 43653 41950 76 265 83 269 78 269 79 267 41950 40388 76 262 81 264 81 264 85 262 40388 38935 74 261 77 261 81 259 85 258 38935 37570 74 261 79 258 81 257 87 256 37570 36255 75 260 79 256 83 258 87 255 36255 34927 75 258 79 257 85 259 87 255 34927 33556 76 259 81 261 84 260 84 255 33556 32147 76 262 81 263 81 259 82 254 32147 30688 75 263 79 261 78 257 80 252 30688 29167 74 263 77 259 77 255 79 251 29167 27587 73 263 75 258 76 255 78 251 27587 25948 72 262 74 259 73 256 74 252 25948 24255 72 260 72 259 70 257 70 252 24255 22514 72 259 68 259 66 255 66 250 22514 20722 70 259 64 258 62 253 62 248 20722 18871 65 258 61 255 58 253 57 249 18871 16998 58 257 57 255 52 254 49 250 16998 15202 51 257 52 255 44 255 41 249 15202 13572 45 256 44 255 37 253 35 247 13572 12120 40 254 37 253 32 247 32 245 12120 10827 36 253 28 249 25 239 29 241 10827 9673 31 255 18*249 17 239 24 236 9673 8644 24 258 13*257 13*253 16 239 8644 7727 13*265 12 261 12*267 12 259 7727 6913 8*278 10 277 11 284 12 288 6913 6187 8 287 10 288 12 299 13*314 6187 5531 7 296 10 295 13 309 15*326 5531 4946 7 302 10 301 13 313 16 333 4946 4454 7 307 10 306 13 316 16 335 4454 4074 7 311 10 309 13 318 16 336 4074 3810 7 314 10 310 13 319 16 338 3810 3650 7 314 9 311 12 320 15 338 3650 3557 6 315 9 312 11 320 12 339 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography