DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/29 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.0 - - 54.5 - - 62.9 - - 64.8 - - 56.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 62 - - 416 - - 513 - - 275 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 506 - - 3703 - - 6538 - - 6432 - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit 3540 - - 5966 - - 8297 - - 7931 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top 3909 - - 7106 - - 9941 - - 9835 - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1099 - - 1618 - - 1584 - - 2721 - - 4800 Hgt.Variab. W* 130 - - 477 - - 619 - - 500 - - 9 W* B/S 52 - - 38 - - 31 - - 12 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 8 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 262 - - 081 - - 059 - - 028 - - 010 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 8 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -5 - - -10 - - -10 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1354 - - -2012 - - -2238 - - -2567 - - -6270 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5263 - - 9118 - - 12180 - - 12403 - - 9829 sfcLCL ODpotential -5051 - - -5896 - - -6372 - - -6181 - - -10285 ODpotential blCL 8960 - - 13002 - - 16313 - - 16016 - - 13843 blCL maxRH 71 - - 55 - - 55 - - 61 - - 59 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.0 - - 54.5 - - 62.9 - - 64.8 - - 56.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.7 - - 26.9 - - 21.5 - - 22.5 - - 26.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.4 - - 52.0 - - 60.0 - - 62.7 - - 58.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.6 - - 26.8 - - 21.4 - - 22.4 - - 26.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 62 - - 416 - - 513 - - 275 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 506 - - 3703 - - 6538 - - 6432 - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97467 13 325 11 313 13 313 19 326 15 324 97467 90083 16 320 8 308 16 299 25 324 18 332 90083 84453 10 312 13 306 13 297 23 306 19 330 84453 79799 12 279 15 301 11 296 15 291 14 293 79799 75772 17 273 17 291 17 296 15 311 8 303 75772 72175 14 277 22 282 20 291 18 303 13 330 72175 68904 15 290 20 278 16 300 16 289 18 317 68904 65907 18 298 18 272 20 300 18 301 20 314 65907 63125 19 310 17 278 21 292 19 302 19 306 63125 60425 20 315 16 304 19 299 18 311 18 303 60425 57612 18 310 14 319 16 300 20 321 18 312 57612 54702 15 315 19 315 18 306 21 321 18 317 54702 51921 21 336 21 320 19 313 24 330 22 333 51921 49416 29 335 24 326 28 329 32 323 33 320 49416 47179 27 332 30 321 29 326 29 328 35 322 47179 45164 35 346 28 340 39 343 43 337 44 330 45164 43338 45 343 48 348 50 337 48 338 47 335 43338 41666 53 349 58 345 56 344 55 346 58 345 41666 40120 65 352 69 352 71 350 67 349 70 347 40120 38678 77 355 79 354 80 349 77 347 77 346 38678 37324 82 355 82 353 84 348 83 347 82 344 37324 36021 85 355 81 352 81 348 83 348 84 345 36021 34706 85 357 79 352 76 350 73 347 81 349 34706 33349 82 001 76 353 72 353 66 348 72 350 33349 31960 65 359 73 000 69 356 63 353 63 346 31960 30525 52 351 66 006 62 357 61 355 56 348 30525 29032 54 351 59 359 54 354 58 353 55 353 29032 27481 56 354 60 352 53 349 52 349 54 353 27481 25871 55 356 58 359 57 357 51 355 54 352 25871 24206 51 356 49 003 47 006 43 008 46 000 24206 22491 47 356 40 005 37 007 32 010 34 006 22491 20720 42 356 32 007 29 003 26 004 28 003 20720 18884 34 352 25 014 21 004 22 004 25 002 18884 17023 26 349 19 015 15 009 15 003 19 004 17023 15234 18 342 13 009 11 014 9 013 12 008 15234 13608 12 329 9 003 6 029 3 113 3 301 13608 12164 12 331 5 009 4 116 8 125 11 158 12164 10878 10 324 3 081 5*133 8*114 11 143 10878 9725 7 306 3 151 5*117 7*104 9 120 9725 8691 4 274 5 178 4 109 6 088 8 087 8691 7767 3 242 4*161 4 099 6 052 10 061 7767 6945 3 241 3*129 4 061 8 025 14 047 6945 6212 3 255 3 108 4 046 10 015 16 041 6212 5549 1 263 2 088 5 035 11 011 17 036 5549 4958 2 055 2 076 5 027 11 009 18 032 4958 4462 3 060 2 061 5 023 12 007 18 027 4462 4077 1*069 3 051 5 020 12 006 17 023 4077 3812 0*250 3 046 5 019 12 006 15 018 3812 3650 0 268 3 044 5 018 11 005 12*014 3650 3558 0 266 2 044 5 017 10 005 8*010 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography