DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/20 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.4 - - 80.3 - - 80.9 - - 68.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 175 - - 310 - - 100 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2055 - - 6462 - - 7203 - - 156 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4439 - - 8017 - - 7828 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5458 - - 9865 - - 10606 - - 3559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2857 - - 1472 - - 1985 - - 473 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 296 - - 522 - - 372 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 11 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 8 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 166 - - 157 - - 147 - - 067 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -6 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4639 - - -3965 - - -3706 - - -7571 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10098 - - 13831 - - 14313 - - 11130 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9358 - - -7432 - - -7397 - - -13505 ODpotential blCL - - - 14816 - - 17297 - - 18003 - - 17064 blCL maxRH - - - 37 - - 38 - - 41 - - 44 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.4 - - 80.3 - - 80.9 - - 68.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.6 - - 31.6 - - 30.2 - - 33.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.9 - - 78.0 - - 79.7 - - 73.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.1 - - 31.4 - - 30.0 - - 32.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 175 - - 310 - - 100 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2055 - - 6462 - - 7203 - - 156 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98263 11 338 11 317 20 317 20 326 98263 90993 14 348 13 331 18 318 18 333 90993 85396 15 346 10 352 13 310 18 314 85396 80740 15 314 15 339 15 334 16 322 80740 76695 14 306 17 320 16 331 17 344 76695 73096 12 305 17 297 17 320 17 343 73096 69832 14 293 19 296 16 306 14 325 69832 66825 15 288 18 292 16 295 12 299 66825 64027 16 286 17 282 18 284 15 285 64027 61312 17 285 18 274 18 271 20 279 61312 58478 17 287 18 266 20 270 21 272 58478 55546 15 285 17 267 22 264 19 277 55546 52771 11 280 15 265 18 251 17 268 52771 50292 7 328 9 256 10 246 17 241 50292 48068 9 001 2 256 5 197 11 211 48068 46048 7 014 2 036 3 144 4 133 46048 44206 8 062 4 111 5 134 6 126 44206 42511 10 051 5 096 8 121 10 148 42511 40938 13 045 8 069 9 105 15 142 40938 39470 17 046 11 057 11 086 16 131 39470 38095 18 048 12 062 11 080 15 129 38095 36775 16 045 11 060 9 078 11 136 36775 35444 14 035 9 052 8 081 8 148 35444 34071 12 024 8 043 7 084 7 152 34071 32660 10 016 7 023 6 078 5 154 32660 31198 10 004 6 003 4 053 3 169 31198 29677 10 345 7 344 4 012 3 210 29677 28097 12 333 10 334 6 347 5 246 28097 26457 12 337 9 335 7 309 7 265 26457 24759 12 330 8 328 10 293 7 274 24759 23008 12 313 9 313 10 290 8 281 23008 21198 9 308 6 303 9 283 6 289 21198 19323 7 307 5 279 8 276 4 286 19323 17420 4 326 2 249 5 251 4 244 17420 15590 1 052 3 158 5 193 7 202 15590 13924 2 114 4 144 7 168 10 189 13924 12441 3 143 5 148 7 167 9 185 12441 11118 5 153 7 162 7*161 7 177 11118 9933 8 154 9*164 7*156 7 164 9933 8869 9 157 9*162 7 154 8 160 8869 7916 10 165 9 162 6 151 8 157 7916 7066 11 172 9 160 6 147 8 153 7066 6307 13 174 9 158 6 145 8 149 6307 5621 12*173 9 157 6 142 8 141 5621 5009 10*169 8 155 6 140 7 130 5009 4494 9 166 8 153 6 138 6 112 4494 4096 9 165 8 152 5 137 5 086 4096 3821 8 164 7 151 5 138 5 065 3821 3654 7 163 7 151 5 137 4*060 3654 3559 6 163 7 151 5 136 3*067 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography