DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/21 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 16.5 - - 24.5 - - 36.7 - - 35.9 - - 26.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 52 - - 125 - - 22 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 152 - - 152 - - 153 - - 272 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit 3538 - - 3539 - - 3539 - - 3540 - - 3539 Hcrit BL Top 3555 - - 3555 - - 3556 - - 3675 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 120 - - 484 - - 727 - - 384 - - 132 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 83 - - 111 - - 75 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 15 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 326 - - 332 - - 323 - - 352 - - 029 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -263 - - -337 - - -2657 - - -1503 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3818 - - 3892 - - 6214 - - 5179 - - 3556 sfcLCL ODpotential -14167 - - -12577 - - -12052 - - -11124 - - -11431 ODpotential blCL 17722 - - 16132 - - 15608 - - 14799 - - 14987 blCL maxRH 85 - - 88 - - 84 - - 71 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 16.5 - - 24.5 - - 36.7 - - 35.9 - - 26.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 12.9 - - 20.4 - - 22.3 - - 26.0 - - 23.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 19.4 - - 23.9 - - 35.5 - - 35.5 - - 27.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 16.3 - - 20.3 - - 21.8 - - 25.9 - - 24.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 52 - - 125 - - 22 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 152 - - 152 - - 153 - - 272 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 40 - - 52 - - 35 - - 0 - - 16 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95822 21 035 22 031 25 358 14 348 17 351 95822 88968 26 044 21 036 17 357 27 011 23 036 88968 83610 22 058 23 037 19 009 30 015 20 039 83610 79111 15 040 19 029 18 024 25 018 20 035 79111 75196 21 040 21 023 20 030 26 011 21 026 75196 71719 28 016 25 012 22 022 27 357 23 008 71719 68554 32 007 30 004 24 003 26 356 22 014 68554 65630 37 357 35 352 31 357 35 000 31 017 65630 62915 39 349 39 352 39 344 42 352 38 000 62915 60284 41 343 42 346 43 332 46 345 40 344 60284 57528 42 336 42 340 42 329 46 334 44 339 57528 54657 44 338 46 339 50 338 53 333 52 341 54657 51910 54 339 55 336 63 338 63 335 58 337 51910 49436 54 334 57 331 63 331 66 334 62 337 49436 47207 51 333 54 331 56 331 62 331 66 337 47207 45174 51 332 54 334 53 331 59 329 63 334 45174 43302 50 329 55 328 53 326 59 329 61 335 43302 41565 47 332 54 327 51 326 56 328 58 335 41565 39949 43 333 47 328 44 324 46 327 50 332 39949 38453 41 321 42 317 37 321 36 324 39 318 38453 37071 44 302 39 309 38 311 32 316 33 316 37071 35762 48 295 43 297 41 298 31 312 32 313 35762 34456 56 290 45 295 43 289 33 305 34 308 34456 33122 53 288 48 294 42 294 32 298 40 300 33122 31759 47 291 43 296 43 298 31 304 38 294 31759 30350 44 291 41 295 41 301 32 307 33 296 30350 28880 39 288 39 294 39 302 32 309 29 307 28880 27351 32 290 36 296 36 304 30 310 26 310 27351 25766 24 297 30 298 30 307 27 312 24 304 25766 24125 20 302 24 302 23 310 23 317 22 306 24125 22429 17 302 18 309 17 318 19 320 18 316 22429 20674 15 303 16 308 14 317 17 317 16 329 20674 18854 13 314 14 301 14 309 16 313 16 338 18854 17003 14 339 11 313 13 302 15 322 18 342 17003 15218 15 353 11 331 12 306 16 335 19 344 15218 13587 14 352 11 334 12 309 16 341 19 343 13587 12129 13 347 9 324 13 309 13 337 17 339 12129 10827 11 345 8 314 13 309 12 328 16 335 10827 9660 9 351 7 312 12 309 12 324 15 334 9660 8618 8 354 6 303 10 308 11 319 12 335 8618 7689 6 334 6 282 9 301 11 309 10 338 7689 6866 7 289 6 254 7 274 10 288 9 333 6866 6136 8 262 5 208 5 218 9 260 7 311 6136 5482 4 232 6 168 8 175 7 225 8 276 5482 4903 3 199 7 175 9 168 6 192 6 258 4903 4421 3 205 5 181 5 163 3 181 2 242 4421 4051 3 190 2 184 1 160 2 353 0 026 4051 3797 1 147 2 333 1 324 3*355 2 042 3797 3643 1*333 2*333 1*325 4*352 2*044 3643 3556 1*326 2*332 1*323 3 352 1*029 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography