DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/21 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 41.4 - - 47.8 - - 47.3 - - 39.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 106 - - 264 - - 63 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1597 - - 2908 - - 2811 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3781 - - 5210 - - 4149 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5000 - - 6311 - - 6214 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 932 - - 1532 - - 1937 - - 2867 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 230 - - 379 - - 233 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 23 - - 25 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 181 - - 192 - - 186 - - 153 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 10 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -10 - - -16 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3061 - - -3766 - - -3569 - - -3633 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8061 - - 10078 - - 9784 - - 7190 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7296 - - -7516 - - -7027 - - -8257 ODpotential blCL - - - 12296 - - 13827 - - 13241 - - 11813 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 86 - - 88 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 41.4 - - 47.8 - - 47.3 - - 39.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.7 - - 16.0 - - 16.8 - - 20.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 40.5 - - 46.1 - - 46.6 - - 41.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.4 - - 15.6 - - 16.6 - - 20.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 106 - - 264 - - 63 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1597 - - 2908 - - 2811 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 36 - - 44 - - 53 - - 7 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96914 25 123 22 114 16 116 21 113 96914 89754 21 127 14 133 13 086 17 113 89754 84186 15 135 13 135 7 121 13 116 84186 79516 12 129 12 146 8 146 9 106 79516 75464 9 134 10 159 8 148 4 158 75464 71865 6 138 9 210 5 146 6 130 71865 68589 6 166 14 214 7 215 2 200 68589 65563 7 225 13 207 13 223 9 227 65563 62754 13 226 13 222 13 224 7 224 62754 60023 10 216 7 214 12 226 16 232 60023 57168 19 259 14 263 21 242 17 237 57168 54199 28 254 30 252 30 253 21 263 54199 51362 34 253 36 254 39 256 40 254 51362 48817 32 253 41 253 47 255 42 248 48817 46542 34 262 44 257 46 256 42 253 46542 44479 44 265 48 260 53 254 58 254 44479 42600 53 262 53 265 69 259 74 257 42600 40887 61 270 65 265 78 260 95 257 40887 39322 84 275 87 260 96 262 112 253 39322 37879 102 270 106 260 113 260 125 251 37879 36533 113 266 118 261 124 258 129 250 36533 35241 117 265 124 262 126 259 126 250 35241 33939 104 268 124 262 123 259 121 252 33939 32600 88 270 110 261 111 258 114 253 32600 31231 78 270 83 259 94 255 103 251 31231 29819 69 266 66 254 81 249 88 246 29819 28358 65 260 58 250 73 246 79 241 28358 26847 64 254 56 247 68 248 73 239 26847 25283 60 251 57 249 63 248 66 238 25283 23665 53 253 53 250 60 246 60 237 23665 21996 46 252 47 240 58 244 55 235 21996 20268 37 245 40 230 52 243 52 233 20268 18477 28 236 35 225 41 237 48 227 18477 16659 23 218 33 218 34 222 43 219 16659 14913 23 200 32 212 33 213 38 214 14913 13327 23 200 30 210 32 212 37 217 13327 11916 25 201 28 211 31 216 38 223 11916 10657 25 202 27 211 32 218 40 225 10657 9532 26 201 27 211 33 216 43 223 9532 8527 26 201 27 210 34 211 44 218 8527 7630 27 202 27 207 33 204 43 211 7630 6834 27 203 26*203 30*195 38 203 6834 6125 27 203 26*199 28*188 33 194 6125 5484 25*199 25 194 27 187 30 186 5484 4912 22*190 24 192 26 186 29 181 4912 4431 19 181 23 190 26 185 26 175 4431 4059 19 179 23 189 24 185 23 167 4059 3803 18 178 21 189 22 184 18 160 3803 3646 16 177 20 188 20 184 14 157 3646 3556 12 176 16 187 16 184 8*153 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography