DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/08 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 71.8 - - 84.6 - - 93.1 - - 89.5 - - 77.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 69 - - 367 - - 468 - - 307 - - 35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 669 - - 2905 - - 7429 - - 4580 - - 1693 BL Depth Hcrit 3542 - - 5316 - - 8984 - - 6543 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top 4072 - - 6308 - - 10832 - - 7983 - - 5096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 945 - - 1529 - - 6232 - - 5592 - - 1604 Hgt.Variab. W* 149 - - 423 - - 628 - - 465 - - 163 W* B/S 14 - - 28 - - 108 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 21 - - 17 BL Wind Direction 310 - - 009 - - 172 - - 333 - - 338 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 17 - - 4 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 2 - - -10 - - 12 - - 8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5335 - - -8154 - - -6032 - - -5049 - - -4571 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9407 - - 14463 - - 16865 - - 13032 - - 9668 sfcLCL ODpotential -10473 - - -11041 - - -7516 - - -6605 - - -8184 ODpotential blCL 14545 - - 17349 - - 18348 - - 14588 - - 13280 blCL maxRH 56 - - 45 - - 54 - - 77 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 40 - - 750 - - 380 CAPE Temp@2m 71.8 - - 84.6 - - 93.1 - - 89.5 - - 77.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.3 - - 33.5 - - 30.5 - - 44.4 - - 47.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 71.0 - - 82.2 - - 90.1 - - 87.5 - - 77.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.3 - - 33.1 - - 30.1 - - 44.5 - - 47.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 69 - - 367 - - 468 - - 307 - - 35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 669 - - 2905 - - 7429 - - 4580 - - 1693 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 7 - - 33 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 4 - - 4 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99465 35 119 27 108 28 093 41 105 26 109 99465 91956 26 103 28 116 27 119 22 105 23 092 91956 86170 22 099 26 120 25 119 13 102 21 093 86170 81360 20 107 19 128 20 119 13 103 20 092 81360 77214 16 111 16 121 19 131 11 107 15 100 77214 73557 13 094 10 122 17 131 10 128 11 099 73557 70256 8 120 10 135 12 149 10 152 5 070 70256 67219 9 165 8 153 11 163 11 164 5 163 67219 64401 9 187 9 192 7 198 7 175 8 172 64401 61687 7 227 12 204 12 224 7 235 6 233 61687 58871 14 245 17 222 18 231 17 239 14 240 58871 55954 21 243 23 238 28 237 25 252 24 252 55954 53169 29 246 31 237 35 238 35 246 32 250 53169 50659 37 246 36 243 37 238 38 242 36 243 50659 48407 42 244 39 245 39 243 43 243 44 244 48407 46365 45 244 43 245 44 246 50 242 52 244 46365 44496 47 246 44 246 48 247 53 242 55 244 44496 42773 45 245 43 246 47 246 54 243 55 245 42773 41172 33 240 34 248 42 247 50 244 53 246 41172 39676 24 233 27 243 33 247 41 244 46 247 39676 38276 21 221 24 235 28 247 31 240 37 245 38276 36939 18 214 13 240 25 248 24 240 27 240 36939 35597 15 195 9 244 15 250 21 244 19 235 35597 34221 9 180 6 208 11 237 19 242 14 238 34221 32812 6 181 5 199 9 223 18 247 14 241 32812 31352 7 203 11 228 10 237 19 254 16 239 31352 29831 13 220 16 224 15 233 23 246 22 233 29831 28251 17 218 18 221 20 217 25 241 29 226 28251 26614 17 218 20 219 19 210 26 229 30 223 26614 24921 15 220 19 217 18 202 29 207 28 218 24921 23174 13 242 16 215 17 190 29 193 30 213 23174 21365 18 250 17 222 17 196 28 179 32 202 21365 19489 22 240 21 225 23 205 27 168 32 182 19489 17580 23 225 21 219 28 197 25 167 27 170 17580 15737 19 203 19 210 28 183 22 170 23 178 15737 14052 16 185 19 199 24 180 17 172 16 190 14052 12545 13 182 19 193 21 180 11 175 9 208 12545 11197 8 188 18 189 16*180 5 178 6 236 11197 9989 6 189 17 186 12*179 2 336 4 266 9989 8908 6 184 14 178 9 179 8 345 5 311 8908 7942 5 180 10 173 5 180 14*341 7 313 7942 7082 3 174 5 176 1 165 16*340 10 315 7082 6317 0 101 1*043 2 002 20 337 14 320 6317 5628 2 011 2*013 3 004 22 333 17*327 5628 5014 3 023 2 011 4 003 23 332 18*334 5014 4498 3 040 3 009 5 003 23 332 18 337 4498 4099 1*355 3 008 5 002 23 331 18 339 4099 3823 2*312 3 008 6 003 23 331 17 339 3823 3655 2 311 3 008 5 003 22 331 16 340 3655 3559 2 308 3 010 5 003 18 331 12 341 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography