DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/20 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.5 - - 79.1 - - 76.7 - - 67.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 450 - - 553 - - 370 - - 49 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4502 - - 6624 - - 4607 - - 1750 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6622 - - 8399 - - 6635 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7905 - - 10027 - - 8010 - - 5153 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1032 - - 1858 - - 3497 - - 1657 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 524 - - 639 - - 495 - - 183 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 13 - - 5 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 9 - - 16 - - 17 BL Wind Direction - - - 308 - - 313 - - 337 - - 345 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 12 - - 7 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 6 - - 10 - - 8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3091 - - -4399 - - -4554 - - -3785 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10996 - - 14427 - - 12565 - - 8939 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7093 - - -7612 - - -7921 - - -7701 ODpotential blCL - - - 14998 - - 17639 - - 15931 - - 12854 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 58 - - 53 - - 46 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.5 - - 79.1 - - 76.7 - - 67.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.4 - - 27.6 - - 33.6 - - 40.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.7 - - 75.8 - - 74.4 - - 66.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.1 - - 27.3 - - 33.5 - - 40.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 450 - - 553 - - 370 - - 49 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4502 - - 6624 - - 4607 - - 1750 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99134 33 096 21 106 24 094 22 102 99134 91579 23 099 20 103 20 085 20 095 91579 85788 19 095 21 099 15 096 18 084 85788 80994 12 087 16 097 12 103 17 087 80994 76863 5 088 11 104 11 091 16 094 76863 73209 11 150 2 170 6 076 14 088 73209 69901 12 120 6 146 6 183 5 057 69901 66861 6 067 4 143 4 215 1 287 66861 64042 1 357 4 194 7 242 7 267 64042 61311 9 256 11 257 8 259 9 275 61311 58467 9 237 17 250 16 271 17 262 58467 55517 13 260 19 257 20 277 18 260 55517 52699 19 273 22 266 24 272 19 278 52699 50161 25 277 26 266 29 270 26 286 50161 47890 28 274 25 272 30 271 31 289 47890 45837 28 272 27 279 29 275 32 287 45837 43966 25 276 27 286 28 281 31 293 43966 42252 22 280 25 296 26 290 27 293 42252 40674 16 277 23 306 22 306 23 301 40674 39208 13 298 21 314 23 327 23 315 39208 37839 17 300 17 327 27 332 27 324 37839 36527 12 279 19 344 27 332 28 325 36527 35205 10 281 21 344 26 333 26 324 35205 33843 14 286 22 334 25 331 24 323 33843 32443 14 265 23 313 23 327 23 319 32443 30990 15 255 24 309 22 322 22 314 30990 29474 18 262 21 313 20 318 22 312 29474 27899 17 279 19 307 19 310 21 311 27899 26265 13 293 17 294 17 307 18 309 26265 24576 11 288 17 285 15 306 16 308 24576 22834 11 280 16 283 14 304 15 308 22834 21032 15 284 15 287 15 300 15 306 21032 19164 17 284 17 290 20 292 17 296 19164 17269 18 280 21 282 24 280 21 284 17269 15449 21 279 25 274 26 271 23 276 15449 13796 23 282 26 272 24 264 23 270 13796 12324 20 283 22 267 19 255 20 265 12324 11010 15 279 14*262 15 257 17 264 11010 9834 13 273 11*270 14 265 14 272 9834 8780 12*273 10 276 11*290 13 284 8780 7838 7*284 9 288 13*317 13 300 7838 7000 6 292 9 311 14 327 14 318 7000 6254 6 302 10 326 16 334 16 331 6254 5580 6 310 11 332 18 340 17*340 5580 4981 6 317 11 336 19 341 18*344 4981 4477 6 321 11 338 19 342 18 345 4477 4087 6 326 12 339 19 343 18 345 4087 3817 6 328 11 340 18 343 17 346 3817 3653 6 329 11 341 17 343 16 346 3653 3558 5 329 10 341 15 344 12 347 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography