DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/04 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.0 - - 49.7 - - 58.5 - - 54.9 - - 44.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -28 - - 104 - - 176 - - -7 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 1093 - - 3938 - - 154 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit 3540 - - 3540 - - 5797 - - 3541 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top 3556 - - 4496 - - 7341 - - 3557 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 84 - - 1123 - - 2078 - - 5646 - - 1194 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 201 - - 366 - - 11 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 9 - - 0 - - 3 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 0 BL Wind Direction 152 - - 245 - - 265 - - 355 - - 102 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 2 - - 8 - - 4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -514 - - -3179 - - -3142 - - -5337 - - -1232 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4070 - - 7676 - - 10483 - - 8895 - - 4790 sfcLCL ODpotential -11131 - - -10090 - - -9202 - - -10910 - - -4561 ODpotential blCL 14687 - - 14586 - - 16543 - - 14467 - - 8118 blCL maxRH 64 - - 67 - - 74 - - 85 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.0 - - 49.7 - - 58.5 - - 54.9 - - 44.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.9 - - 28.7 - - 24.9 - - 28.4 - - 35.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.7 - - 48.7 - - 57.0 - - 55.2 - - 47.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.8 - - 28.5 - - 24.7 - - 28.3 - - 35.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -28 - - 104 - - 176 - - -7 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 1093 - - 3938 - - 154 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 38 - - 69 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96294 21 318 21 298 28 303 23 325 23 297 96294 89427 10 316 13 320 16 307 12 312 20 332 89427 84027 4 043 11 333 8 320 7 292 18 329 84027 79488 6 040 7 323 4 327 1 331 11 310 79488 75549 6 350 5 322 7 304 7 005 6 342 75549 72040 9 341 4 014 7 257 9 306 8 344 72040 68839 13 297 7 334 6 269 12 274 9 303 68839 65879 16 272 13 314 9 322 8 298 8 272 65879 63120 16 267 17 287 15 298 14 311 13 284 63120 60443 16 294 14 293 15 311 17 307 15 292 60443 57655 20 313 18 315 18 306 17 304 13 291 57655 54756 28 321 24 316 23 297 24 292 15 308 54756 51979 32 321 26 316 27 293 28 293 32 287 51979 49476 37 315 32 309 32 293 32 289 31 274 49476 47231 33 314 34 296 30 282 32 285 29 278 47231 45193 28 325 27 290 24 284 29 286 35 276 45193 43334 39 323 17 308 30 300 30 289 32 270 43334 41630 38 326 35 314 37 292 37 286 31 277 41630 40050 37 336 38 316 34 285 45 276 44 276 40050 38582 45 338 37 322 30 293 46 266 53 263 38582 37222 48 339 41 324 38 298 41 265 51 254 37222 35925 49 337 49 319 41 298 34 265 44 249 35925 34622 45 339 48 317 37 295 29 264 41 243 34622 33279 41 343 45 320 37 291 30 265 40 238 33279 31899 42 345 43 323 31 290 31 263 39 237 31899 30467 41 345 39 329 25 295 28 257 38 236 30467 28974 35 345 33 335 25 294 26 252 36 234 28974 27421 27 350 30 335 23 294 26 254 31 226 27421 25810 23 355 29 340 22 294 26 260 27 222 25810 24140 20 356 20 357 19 298 25 259 23 229 24140 22416 17 353 15 006 9 293 22 251 23 245 22416 20632 11 347 13 008 8 272 22 251 24 262 20632 18790 9 341 7 344 11 268 21 260 26 283 18790 16926 5 358 8 277 13 266 17 260 29 286 16926 15135 4 073 8 248 12 252 14 254 26 275 15135 13507 7 101 7 214 13 236 15 247 24 256 13507 12063 8 121 9 198 16 229 16 248 23 244 12063 10779 6 153 10 198 17 231 15 255 20 245 10779 9636 4 200 12 211 15 240 14 257 16 252 9636 8614 4 246 13 227 13 249 12 261 13 257 8614 7702 6 237 11 240 10*252 10 272 12 259 7702 6891 7 236 10 249 9*254 8 295 12 259 6891 6168 7 239 12 256 8 259 7 323 12 258 6168 5515 8 245 14 255 7 264 9 343 11 255 5515 4933 12 248 13*251 7 267 10 349 9 255 4933 4444 14 244 10*247 6 271 10 352 5 279 4444 4067 12 234 7 245 6 274 11 354 5 338 4067 3806 8 203 7 244 6 275 10 355 5 359 3806 3648 8*160 6 245 6 275 9 355 2*019 3648 3557 6*152 5 245 5 277 7*355 0*102 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography