DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/28 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.7 - - 59.4 - - 61.1 - - 56.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 147 - - 423 - - 301 - - 45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3030 - - 6398 - - 6398 - - 3098 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5048 - - 8105 - - 7952 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6433 - - 9801 - - 9801 - - 6501 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3268 - - 1211 - - 1423 - - 3443 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 317 - - 576 - - 515 - - 215 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 10 - - 7 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 11 - - 13 - - 16 BL Wind Direction - - - 332 - - 316 - - 323 - - 331 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - -13 - - 8 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 324 - - 1200 - - 793 - - -575 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6109 - - 8601 - - 9009 - - 7077 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -474 - - 669 - - 199 - - -1366 ODpotential blCL - - - 6907 - - 9132 - - 9602 - - 7867 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 98 - - 100 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.7 - - 59.4 - - 61.1 - - 56.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.3 - - 34.0 - - 33.8 - - 37.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.4 - - 56.8 - - 59.0 - - 55.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.1 - - 34.0 - - 33.8 - - 37.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 147 - - 423 - - 301 - - 45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3030 - - 6398 - - 6398 - - 3098 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 92 - - 101 - - 93 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99457 33 102 24 104 24 089 33 105 99457 91909 28 099 15 101 25 104 25 083 91909 86097 20 106 16 113 20 086 19 095 86097 81269 14 109 12 105 14 095 23 091 81269 77100 14 115 8 131 13 091 17 094 77100 73424 12 117 12 126 10 102 15 086 73424 70097 11 119 9 100 10 112 11 092 70097 67027 8 088 8 121 10 100 10 103 67027 64172 4 037 9 123 8 097 10 100 64172 61403 2 025 5 137 4 057 6 079 61403 58504 4 312 3 121 2 277 4 004 58504 55483 8 336 4 039 4 289 7 346 55483 52593 15 343 10 019 5 331 9 347 52593 49990 19 334 15 354 9 345 10 344 49990 47656 16 334 17 341 13 351 9 349 47656 45543 20 342 20 345 15 349 13 355 45543 43612 20 338 23 349 15 350 12 354 43612 41836 23 343 25 345 19 002 13 019 41836 40199 24 357 21 347 18 360 12 019 40199 38688 31 002 20 357 15 359 7 002 38688 37289 32 357 20 356 14 004 15 089 37289 35966 32 000 21 350 12 004 49 113 35966 34645 28 017 13 032 12 079 64 111 34645 33287 32 025 14 033 20 077 46 116 33287 31904 23 026 4 115 7 089 17 096 31904 30481 20 058 5 148 6 148 5 123 30481 28999 23 054 4 102 7 122 7 127 28999 27456 24 040 7 081 6 073 12 083 27456 25855 29 031 11 052 8 040 15 063 25855 24198 33 017 18 038 10 030 13 045 24198 22486 35 012 18 001 9 002 14 041 22486 20711 33 014 20 005 12 018 15 045 20711 18868 29 017 20 017 14 037 15 046 18868 16997 24 021 18 021 12 036 10 036 16997 15200 22 022 17 016 10 007 9 003 15200 13566 18 022 13 011 9 352 10 352 13566 12112 13 026 12 360 9 345 10 350 12112 10817 11 009 8*307 10*313 8 322 10817 9670 12 335 8*302 11*312 9 317 9670 8648 12 330 9 305 11 315 10 319 8648 7735 13 330 9 306 13 319 11 323 7735 6920 13*329 11 316 14 322 14*327 6920 6193 13*330 12 319 14 324 16*330 6193 5536 13 331 12 321 15 326 17 330 5536 4950 12 332 13 322 15 327 17 331 4950 4456 12 333 13 323 15 328 17 331 4456 4074 12 334 13 324 15 328 17 331 4074 3811 11 334 12 324 15 328 16 331 3811 3650 10 334 12 324 14 328 15 331 3650 3558 9 334 11 324 12 328 12 330 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography