DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/08 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0703z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.2 - - 59.7 - - 67.3 - - 66.2 - - 54.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 262 - - 440 - - 213 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 154 - - 3101 - - 6654 - - 5993 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit 3540 - - 5350 - - 8329 - - 7454 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top 3557 - - 6504 - - 10057 - - 9396 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 188 - - 1561 - - 2037 - - 3636 - - 2417 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 386 - - 592 - - 449 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 19 - - 16 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 7 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 191 - - 279 - - 305 - - 339 - - 355 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 7 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -2 - - 5 - - 8 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4667 - - -5513 - - -2972 - - -1338 - - -3556 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8224 - - 12017 - - 13029 - - 10734 - - 7114 sfcLCL ODpotential -12027 - - -9539 - - -4712 - - -2208 - - -6317 ODpotential blCL 15584 - - 16043 - - 14769 - - 11604 - - 9874 blCL maxRH 71 - - 85 - - 80 - - 83 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 44.2 - - 59.7 - - 67.3 - - 66.2 - - 54.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.2 - - 19.4 - - 22.0 - - 31.2 - - 35.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.4 - - 57.9 - - 64.5 - - 64.5 - - 56.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 21.2 - - 19.3 - - 21.9 - - 31.3 - - 35.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 262 - - 440 - - 213 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 154 - - 3101 - - 6654 - - 5993 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 41 - - 21 - - 32 - - 47 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96336 22 316 19 304 25 264 26 292 24 290 96336 89145 20 318 16 311 19 261 28 283 28 303 89145 83669 23 299 21 304 16 283 23 285 23 290 83669 79133 20 297 20 311 22 294 23 301 20 284 79133 75218 23 311 20 311 30 294 32 302 26 299 75218 71740 24 319 19 308 29 295 32 295 29 299 71740 68560 30 319 20 301 29 297 29 293 29 298 68560 65608 30 311 24 299 28 296 28 296 29 300 65608 62853 30 302 25 307 26 292 26 296 30 294 62853 60178 27 302 26 308 26 294 24 300 27 289 60178 57380 22 311 24 299 26 298 24 297 23 291 57380 54460 22 317 21 296 25 295 24 297 23 291 54460 51663 27 305 22 294 24 283 25 293 23 291 51663 49145 32 300 23 300 24 280 29 285 26 296 49145 46887 35 291 27 294 25 278 30 281 28 294 46887 44841 37 283 29 289 27 283 32 282 30 287 44841 42974 33 277 29 280 28 278 30 277 29 277 42974 41264 32 277 32 270 35 268 33 274 33 271 41264 39693 34 274 36 262 39 256 36 262 34 261 39693 38247 34 272 38 260 42 252 36 263 33 266 38247 36904 34 272 38 258 44 250 39 262 36 268 36904 35621 34 274 37 258 42 249 37 260 35 266 35621 34334 33 276 34 260 39 249 32 262 30 268 34334 33014 32 275 30 263 35 246 29 262 25 271 33014 31663 31 273 27 262 32 245 27 261 25 270 31663 30263 30 271 24 262 28 251 25 262 23 274 30263 28802 29 270 23 260 26 253 24 262 22 281 28802 27282 28 270 23 258 24 255 24 265 22 284 27282 25704 28 271 22 258 21 257 24 269 21 282 25704 24069 27 271 21 262 19 261 22 273 19 277 24069 22380 25 270 20 267 19 267 18 278 16 273 22380 20632 24 270 19 272 18 271 17 277 14 270 20632 18818 26 268 19 275 17 272 16 274 14 264 18818 16974 25 270 18 276 19 266 18 269 17 258 16974 15202 23 281 17 269 19 258 19 249 19 253 15202 13590 20 285 16 270 16 251 19 243 19 252 13590 12153 17 286 15 275 13 253 16 247 17 257 12153 10869 15 290 13 275 10*264 9 269 13 263 10869 9718 14 294 12 276 8*276 8*288 10 276 9718 8685 13 296 11 275 8 281 8*313 9 298 8685 7762 11 299 9 269 7 290 10 327 9 321 7762 6939 9 304 7*266 7 304 12 337 10 339 6939 6207 5 306 5*266 7 311 13 341 12 349 6207 5545 2 258 4 270 7 317 14 342 14 353 5545 4955 2 219 4 277 7 323 14 344 15 355 4955 4459 3 257 4 283 7 327 14 344 15 355 4459 4076 6 252 3 289 7 330 14 345 15 354 4076 3812 6 223 3 294 7 331 14 345 13 353 3812 3650 6*197 3 296 7 332 14 346 10 353 3650 3557 4*191 3 297 7 332 12 345 6*355 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography