DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/25 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.4 - - 41.8 - - 46.9 - - 48.0 - - 38.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 4 - - 120 - - 227 - - 115 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 1482 - - 4296 - - 4703 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit 3540 - - 3852 - - 6202 - - 6104 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top 3556 - - 4885 - - 7699 - - 8106 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1019 - - 2538 - - 1844 - - 1718 - - 2789 Hgt.Variab. W* 36 - - 238 - - 414 - - 338 - - 14 W* B/S 2 - - 6 - - 8 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 7 - - 9 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 115 - - 347 - - 297 - - 308 - - 355 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 9 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 4 - - 7 - - 18 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 405 - - 928 - - -321 - - -2312 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3556 - - 4481 - - 6771 - - 8427 - - 5868 sfcLCL ODpotential -2359 - - -812 - - -478 - - -3484 - - -5283 ODpotential blCL 5915 - - 5697 - - 8177 - - 11590 - - 8839 blCL maxRH 91 - - 84 - - 75 - - 68 - - 76 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.4 - - 41.8 - - 46.9 - - 48.0 - - 38.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.5 - - 34.7 - - 29.8 - - 23.5 - - 25.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.0 - - 40.8 - - 45.3 - - 47.0 - - 40.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.3 - - 33.5 - - 28.7 - - 23.1 - - 25.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 4 - - 120 - - 227 - - 115 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 1482 - - 4296 - - 4703 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 66 - - 35 - - 1 - - 0 - - 3 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96737 12 064 14 099 7 104 10 084 10 093 96737 89553 13 056 12 102 6 101 7 065 14 071 89553 83937 12 047 8 094 1 055 7 077 10 041 83937 79286 6 025 12 074 2 117 11 037 7 015 79286 75289 12 344 7 012 2 042 10 343 6 326 75289 71733 17 322 7 332 12 319 14 330 14 334 71733 68507 18 286 17 312 15 298 25 292 22 316 68507 65536 19 303 20 298 18 288 26 288 29 298 65536 62775 31 311 33 303 30 299 33 290 37 290 62775 60102 46 293 45 292 44 302 41 294 43 297 60102 57309 56 284 51 286 55 296 55 296 53 299 57309 54411 64 280 58 287 65 288 67 293 64 295 54411 51652 68 281 71 287 75 282 74 285 72 288 51652 49170 73 284 74 286 72 284 73 282 71 285 49170 46946 85 282 85 289 83 287 79 285 76 284 46946 44934 99 278 100 282 97 281 93 287 86 285 44934 43092 105 274 104 270 108 272 108 282 96 285 43092 41393 104 276 102 275 102 276 111 277 102 281 41393 39822 128 284 128 280 114 279 111 276 106 279 39822 38366 169 285 143 280 122 280 112 277 105 280 38366 37004 176 284 142 279 133 281 115 281 103 284 37004 35699 171 284 139 278 139 281 125 282 112 289 35699 34384 163 284 138 278 136 282 131 283 119 290 34384 33030 146 286 134 280 129 283 133 284 118 289 33030 31641 125 285 125 281 120 282 127 285 116 287 31641 30202 111 281 112 282 111 282 118 285 114 286 30202 28704 109 278 102 282 101 281 108 283 106 286 28704 27148 107 278 97 281 95 280 97 281 99 284 27148 25539 105 277 95 279 91 280 92 281 93 283 25539 23880 102 276 93 279 89 280 89 284 89 282 23880 22174 96 277 89 281 85 282 83 285 86 284 22174 20413 92 280 84 283 80 283 78 282 81 287 20413 18588 91 285 79 287 77 285 75 283 77 288 18588 16734 79 289 66 286 67 284 70 281 73 285 16734 14955 60 285 56 276 59 276 64 277 66 285 14955 13346 50 277 51 271 54 274 56 277 51 287 13346 11922 48 273 47 272 43 277 42 282 35 289 11922 10659 46 271 42 274 31 280 28 286 24 284 10659 9533 43 271 37 277 22 280 18 285 19 272 9533 8527 39 273 30 280 15*276 12*288 16 263 8527 7630 32 277 22 285 13*277 11*291 13 263 7630 6834 24 281 15 290 11 281 11 298 10 282 6834 6123 16 287 9 297 10 293 11 306 10 310 6123 5482 9 293 7 316 9 303 11 310 11 328 5482 4910 4 308 7*335 8 307 11 314 12 343 4910 4429 2 004 7*345 8 312 11 315 13 353 4429 4059 4 042 7 347 8 315 11 317 13 359 4059 3802 4 072 7 348 8 317 10 318 12 359 3802 3646 4*096 7 348 8 317 10 318 8*357 3646 3556 3*115 6 348 7 318 9 318 5*355 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography