DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/24 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0703z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.9 - - 73.0 - - 79.4 - - 80.3 - - 72.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 84 - - 423 - - 517 - - 294 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 849 - - 5493 - - 8833 - - 9576 - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit 3541 - - 7384 - - 10172 - - 10473 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top 4252 - - 8896 - - 12236 - - 12979 - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1429 - - 2019 - - 1489 - - 1881 - - 7211 Hgt.Variab. W* 172 - - 548 - - 687 - - 586 - - 16 W* B/S 7 - - 20 - - 15 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 5 - - 8 - - 9 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 190 - - 248 - - 263 - - 273 - - 302 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 6 - - 11 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -3 - - 12 - - 42 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5991 - - -6383 - - -4276 - - -2665 - - -8417 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10244 - - 15280 - - 16513 - - 15644 - - 11976 sfcLCL ODpotential -12269 - - -11706 - - -8166 - - -6254 - - -11459 ODpotential blCL 16521 - - 20602 - - 20402 - - 19233 - - 15017 blCL maxRH 50 - - 52 - - 52 - - 57 - - 46 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 59.9 - - 73.0 - - 79.4 - - 80.3 - - 72.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.7 - - 17.8 - - 18.1 - - 23.1 - - 31.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.0 - - 70.3 - - 76.2 - - 78.2 - - 72.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.6 - - 17.6 - - 18.0 - - 23.1 - - 31.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 84 - - 423 - - 517 - - 294 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 849 - - 5493 - - 8833 - - 9576 - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98568 22 119 17 134 12 149 12 084 15 110 98568 91074 13 128 16 135 15 122 8 104 15 105 91074 85324 9 122 7 146 11 127 4 146 8 083 85324 80559 9 124 10 167 2 092 5 149 5 042 80559 76443 9 159 10 183 2 067 5 181 4 193 76443 72782 7 157 10 209 8 244 2 181 6 171 72782 69463 2 215 8 197 11 252 3 278 2 167 69463 66403 4 267 7 191 12 237 9 278 2 032 66403 63553 8 266 5 222 8 233 13 261 5 322 63553 60792 8 307 5 279 5 232 12 248 10 278 60792 57921 13 294 9 273 7 246 12 254 13 265 57921 54954 16 288 12 274 11 275 14 268 13 266 54954 52137 22 280 18 278 17 277 19 262 19 269 52137 49616 25 278 23 280 20 278 18 273 18 265 49616 47379 26 284 24 283 24 284 25 283 25 284 47379 45376 27 286 23 281 26 264 20 273 19 266 45376 43567 31 285 29 294 24 300 23 312 16 314 43567 41919 36 282 34 297 29 306 28 308 20 335 41919 40394 37 282 31 287 23 297 27 288 21 338 40394 38967 36 281 27 289 15 298 19 277 21 328 38967 37626 30 277 25 293 13 323 13 288 21 318 37626 36337 20 281 23 294 19 323 14 306 19 310 36337 35034 10 282 21 291 23 308 17 302 16 302 35034 33689 8 303 19 289 19 293 18 298 15 296 33689 32306 11 314 16 283 20 289 20 294 18 288 32306 30871 9 295 17 280 21 295 20 292 19 283 30871 29373 12 283 23 295 19 301 18 291 18 281 29373 27814 18 286 26 306 15 302 15 287 17 273 27814 26193 23 288 23 302 15 292 15 276 17 261 26193 24513 22 290 22 293 19 284 16 277 18 252 24513 22776 22 289 21 288 22 276 18 272 21 249 22776 20981 22 287 20 282 23 273 22 268 24 250 20981 19125 20 287 20 279 23 269 23 265 25 246 19125 17246 19 280 18 272 23 262 22 253 24 239 17246 15443 20 274 18 266 23 254 21 238 24 233 15443 13805 20 273 18 263 21 247 16*230 22 224 13805 12344 18 274 17 259 15*242 12*234 19 216 12344 11037 15 274 14 252 13*244 11 240 15 217 11037 9863 12 276 11*243 12 246 10 253 13 226 9863 8811 10 278 8*237 10 254 9 265 12 240 8811 7868 8 276 7 238 9 261 9 277 11 256 7868 7028 6 268 6 241 8 267 10 286 12 271 7028 6279 4 252 5 247 7 274 10 292 13 281 6279 5601 4 227 5 251 7 281 10 296 13 287 5601 4996 3 211 4 259 6 288 10 299 14 292 4996 4486 3*201 4 266 6 293 10 301 14 296 4486 4092 5*191 3 275 6 297 10 303 13 299 4092 3820 4 189 3 277 6 298 10 303 12 300 3820 3654 4 190 3 279 6 300 10 304 11 301 3654 3558 4 189 3 279 6 300 9 304 8*302 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography