DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/13 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.7 - - 79.9 - - 80.6 - - 73.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 378 - - 497 - - 205 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2978 - - 6541 - - 5645 - - 156 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5379 - - 8290 - - 7167 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6381 - - 9944 - - 9048 - - 3559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1876 - - 3577 - - 5675 - - 6463 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 430 - - 614 - - 435 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 37 - - 34 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 8 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 025 - - 307 - - 006 - - 359 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 14 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -18 - - -12 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3381 - - -2134 - - -3387 - - -6733 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9763 - - 12078 - - 12436 - - 10293 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6626 - - -3018 - - -4440 - - -9237 ODpotential blCL - - - 13007 - - 12962 - - 13488 - - 12796 blCL maxRH - - - 59 - - 75 - - 96 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 50 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.7 - - 79.9 - - 80.6 - - 73.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.0 - - 38.7 - - 38.0 - - 40.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.2 - - 76.7 - - 78.9 - - 74.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.0 - - 38.7 - - 37.9 - - 40.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 378 - - 497 - - 205 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2978 - - 6541 - - 5645 - - 156 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 2 - - 82 - - 67 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99486 19 113 17 085 19 110 15 111 99486 91956 11 099 15 097 12 104 14 081 91956 86142 9 095 11 122 9 100 12 075 86142 81311 10 108 9 119 7 108 7 072 81311 77144 13 109 10 132 5 085 9 120 77144 73463 10 090 10 135 5 140 7 104 73463 70135 8 130 7 120 7 123 7 093 70135 67071 8 119 6 166 3 149 4 082 67071 64226 7 094 8 152 4 211 0 323 64226 61479 7 352 7 090 6 203 7 230 61479 58622 8 269 5 294 4 261 7 198 58622 55652 14 246 15 265 13 265 15 253 55652 52819 20 254 24 251 24 256 24 252 52819 50280 24 259 28 247 28 255 26 252 50280 48008 29 257 30 248 30 252 27 252 48008 45944 34 252 34 250 32 247 29 250 45944 44051 36 247 34 253 32 242 32 248 44051 42305 35 246 32 254 31 242 32 246 42305 40688 34 245 32 249 32 245 33 244 40688 39188 33 247 32 243 36 243 35 239 39188 37792 34 248 33 240 39 237 36 238 37792 36461 36 246 35 239 39 232 40 236 36461 35126 34 245 37 237 39 232 44 229 35126 33755 33 245 38 236 39 232 43 226 33755 32351 33 246 39 237 39 232 41 230 32351 30901 31 248 39 238 39 232 39 232 30901 29393 31 249 37 240 37 235 36 235 29393 27829 30 248 34 242 34 240 33 237 27829 26209 27 246 31 245 30 244 31 240 26209 24535 22 247 26 246 26 245 29 244 24535 22808 18 244 22 242 22 245 27 246 22808 21023 15 242 18 240 22 245 27 245 21023 19177 15 241 16 239 23 241 27 236 19177 17308 17 239 19 239 25 220 27 220 17308 15509 19 241 23 234 23 219 23 209 15509 13866 20 242 24 227 19 218 17 213 13866 12396 21 243 21 225 12 217 9 214 12396 11081 20 246 15*225 5 221 4 235 11081 9900 17 248 10*229 4*227 3 316 9900 8842 13 247 6 238 2*312 7 360 8842 7894 8 240 4 254 4 356 9 004 7894 7050 0*202 3 313 8 007 12 009 7050 6296 1*041 4 343 10 008 15 010 6296 5614 2 030 5 350 11 007 16 010 5614 5005 2 027 6 352 11 008 17 009 5005 4492 2 024 6 354 12 008 17 007 4492 4096 3 021 7 355 12 007 16 005 4096 3821 3 019 6 355 12 007 14 003 3821 3654 3 017 7 356 11 007 12*001 3654 3559 3 017 6 357 10 007 8*359 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography