DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/13 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.8 - - 59.5 - - 60.1 - - 47.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 185 - - 267 - - 43 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1784 - - 3141 - - 154 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4263 - - 5387 - - 3541 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5187 - - 6544 - - 3557 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1135 - - 1297 - - 3972 - - 1030 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 286 - - 390 - - 77 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 19 - - 16 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 202 - - 354 - - 360 - - 354 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - -6 - - 4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3900 - - -4709 - - -8764 - - -6261 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9088 - - 11253 - - 12322 - - 9818 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12348 - - -11893 - - -16920 - - -17186 ODpotential blCL - - - 17535 - - 18437 - - 20477 - - 20743 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 81 - - 77 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.8 - - 59.5 - - 60.1 - - 47.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.8 - - 22.7 - - 18.7 - - 18.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.4 - - 57.6 - - 59.4 - - 52.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.8 - - 22.6 - - 18.8 - - 17.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 185 - - 267 - - 43 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1784 - - 3141 - - 154 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 15 - - 25 - - 9 - - 63 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97351 14 061 12 000 20 010 16 044 97351 90229 12 063 11 033 16 015 17 064 90229 84668 7 045 10 026 5 035 8 034 84668 80051 6 014 6 013 5 039 3 189 80051 76073 2 061 4 208 5 293 1 192 76073 72537 2 216 10 236 7 271 2 311 72537 69323 3 238 10 254 7 266 7 282 69323 66370 11 305 5 278 8 253 11 286 66370 63627 9 273 8 293 13 282 12 295 63627 60962 12 282 13 286 15 293 14 304 60962 58174 15 289 12 297 17 304 14 298 58174 55282 13 293 16 304 16 305 20 307 55282 52524 13 296 19 311 21 321 21 314 52524 50039 15 311 24 323 29 320 30 328 50039 47813 16 327 32 324 33 330 38 330 47813 45794 24 346 33 333 38 338 39 333 45794 43941 33 346 37 344 45 339 45 332 43941 42230 36 348 42 347 48 340 49 330 42230 40644 39 350 43 344 50 340 51 330 40644 39171 42 352 41 344 50 338 51 328 39171 37801 44 000 42 349 51 338 49 328 37801 36496 48 006 45 351 52 338 51 332 36496 35183 49 004 46 349 50 339 56 332 35183 33826 47 003 45 348 45 338 57 330 33826 32428 46 005 43 348 40 336 53 336 32428 30976 45 007 42 349 37 335 45 338 30976 29461 39 006 41 351 36 335 38 334 29461 27883 34 000 39 357 34 336 36 332 27883 26245 34 358 34 005 29 342 37 332 26245 24548 33 006 29 004 26 350 35 335 24548 22795 33 008 29 360 25 352 29 338 22795 20981 32 006 28 359 27 353 23 341 20981 19104 29 009 25 356 27 355 22 342 19104 17199 26 016 21 358 22 357 20 346 17199 15371 24 018 18 002 17 355 18 348 15371 13711 23 018 18 007 16 358 15 350 13711 12231 21 019 17 010 15 002 13 359 12231 10912 18 019 15 011 14 003 14 010 10912 9734 16 018 12 008 12 360 15 012 9734 8685 14 014 10 359 10 352 13 009 8685 7752 11 008 9 348 11 336 13 000 7752 6928 9 002 6*343 9 334 14 342 6928 6194 6 354 5*346 8 345 13 338 6194 5534 2*339 5 349 7 352 11 350 5534 4946 3*211 4 352 7 355 9 000 4946 4452 3 203 4 357 7 357 7 010 4452 4072 3 200 4 360 7 358 6 018 4072 3809 3 198 4 000 7 358 5 018 3809 3649 3 197 4 001 7 359 3 009 3649 3557 2 197 4 002 6*360 2*354 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography