DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/02 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.0 - - 47.2 - - 55.8 - - 55.1 - - 43.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -40 - - 58 - - 182 - - 24 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 715 - - 2971 - - 2924 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit 3539 - - 3540 - - 5105 - - 3540 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top 3556 - - 4118 - - 6374 - - 6327 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 90 - - 911 - - 1942 - - 1990 - - 492 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 143 - - 337 - - 171 - - 15 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 12 - - 11 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 9 - - 5 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 172 - - 242 - - 304 - - 317 - - 238 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -600 - - -3805 - - -3246 - - -2777 - - -2094 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4156 - - 7923 - - 9620 - - 9105 - - 5652 sfcLCL ODpotential -9395 - - -9715 - - -7702 - - -7110 - - -9083 ODpotential blCL 12951 - - 13833 - - 14076 - - 13437 - - 12640 blCL maxRH 77 - - 69 - - 71 - - 71 - - 74 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.0 - - 47.2 - - 55.8 - - 55.1 - - 43.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.8 - - 25.4 - - 26.2 - - 27.9 - - 31.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.1 - - 46.7 - - 54.2 - - 54.7 - - 48.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.0 - - 25.4 - - 26.0 - - 27.8 - - 31.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -40 - - 58 - - 182 - - 24 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 715 - - 2971 - - 2924 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 8 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95510 42 320 46 315 47 322 45 321 36 321 95510 88770 35 327 25 318 29 314 33 323 31 335 88770 83469 26 324 17 324 25 301 28 313 23 334 83469 78994 24 310 16 333 19 311 23 313 20 320 78994 75084 19 282 18 318 20 323 22 314 25 308 75084 71602 15 296 18 299 23 301 24 307 29 308 71602 68437 24 324 16 299 20 297 22 306 30 316 68437 65515 29 310 21 310 23 302 22 308 29 315 65515 62792 32 293 25 294 27 293 23 304 27 307 62792 60129 36 281 28 287 28 292 24 305 27 305 60129 57327 39 275 34 288 30 297 32 305 35 305 57327 54407 39 271 36 285 34 293 42 298 42 299 54407 51624 35 273 35 280 34 288 41 290 37 300 51624 49135 39 288 34 284 34 289 34 298 32 315 49135 46921 51 288 40 294 37 302 42 310 43 320 46921 44924 55 287 44 297 38 304 43 303 46 310 44924 43100 51 284 40 306 32 304 27 305 31 307 43100 41439 39 299 46 319 39 331 40 342 45 343 41439 39934 47 309 50 316 48 324 51 331 51 344 39934 38546 44 307 41 330 39 320 42 323 44 332 38546 37243 49 333 45 344 29 336 37 328 38 336 37243 35986 62 341 47 343 29 332 35 329 37 337 35986 34710 62 339 45 342 29 330 33 328 33 336 34710 33389 58 335 37 322 30 326 32 323 27 327 33389 32029 49 329 43 313 32 318 32 313 26 317 32029 30613 37 323 48 312 36 309 35 300 31 308 30613 29132 36 313 49 314 38 312 37 299 32 309 29132 27590 42 306 48 315 40 315 33 307 26 309 27590 25985 51 304 46 313 38 311 30 314 21 299 25985 24321 54 307 44 308 36 305 27 305 26 279 24321 22599 51 310 42 302 37 301 30 293 32 284 22599 20819 46 309 41 300 37 299 31 297 32 288 20819 18973 41 306 36 303 34 296 29 300 29 286 18973 17095 36 297 31 301 31 291 28 293 28 287 17095 15286 33 288 30 295 29 285 27 288 26 291 15286 13640 30 285 29 293 27 282 24 288 22 293 13640 12175 26 287 26 298 24 284 20 288 18 292 12175 10871 22 290 21 305 19 290 16 288 14 290 10871 9706 19 290 18 306 15 297 11 287 9 291 9706 8667 15 286 14 296 12 301 7 274 5 291 8667 7741 12 279 11 274 9 301 3 248 3 245 7741 6918 9 269 9 256 7*302 2*269 6 202 6918 6186 7 261 9 259 6*301 2*304 7 189 6186 5527 8 257 11 264 5 302 3 315 4 177 5527 4941 10 249 15 254 5 303 3 317 2 208 4941 4449 12 237 15*248 5 305 3 319 5 246 4449 4069 13 220 11*244 5 307 3 320 8 254 4069 3807 12 191 8 242 5 308 3 322 8 254 3807 3648 10*175 8 241 5 309 3 321 5*249 3648 3557 7*172 6 241 4 308 3 322 4*238 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography