DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/03 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 34.3 - - 50.8 - - 61.8 - - 61.5 - - 44.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -39 - - 45 - - 159 - - 4 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 424 - - 2354 - - 155 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit 3540 - - 3541 - - 4600 - - 3541 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top 3556 - - 3827 - - 5757 - - 3558 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 95 - - 552 - - 1503 - - 3598 - - 461 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 110 - - 298 - - 36 - - 2 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 11 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 11 - - 5 - - 2 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 161 - - 161 - - 235 - - 202 - - 288 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -7 - - -2 - - -1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2491 - - -6203 - - -6750 - - -9387 - - -3477 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6047 - - 10031 - - 12508 - - 12945 - - 7034 sfcLCL ODpotential -13114 - - -13638 - - -13525 - - -15521 - - -12779 ODpotential blCL 16670 - - 17465 - - 19282 - - 19079 - - 16336 blCL maxRH 76 - - 67 - - 76 - - 66 - - 51 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 34.3 - - 50.8 - - 61.8 - - 61.5 - - 44.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.2 - - 20.2 - - 19.7 - - 17.6 - - 26.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.9 - - 50.3 - - 60.4 - - 61.2 - - 49.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 21.1 - - 20.0 - - 19.3 - - 17.4 - - 26.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -39 - - 45 - - 159 - - 4 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 424 - - 2354 - - 155 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 6 - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96015 43 335 27 326 40 314 37 332 21 322 96015 89122 23 348 20 340 27 334 27 338 14 003 89122 83726 12 342 17 354 22 356 13 340 11 012 83726 79196 13 340 18 329 23 334 19 337 21 007 79196 75276 10 352 10 329 16 316 23 321 25 344 75276 71813 15 327 19 337 18 355 15 331 19 346 71813 68677 26 305 26 320 24 337 21 339 22 343 68677 65786 28 307 25 316 22 328 21 326 24 333 65786 63108 28 328 23 335 25 340 22 333 22 337 63108 60512 36 330 33 335 31 339 26 348 25 343 60512 57787 41 318 36 330 35 342 36 348 27 340 57787 54951 40 325 41 333 42 341 39 337 32 342 54951 52238 47 328 45 334 43 338 38 343 37 349 52238 49778 46 326 46 335 47 339 50 341 47 344 49778 47559 43 330 47 329 54 330 53 327 46 334 47559 45578 44 334 37 323 42 321 51 308 39 317 45578 43816 35 349 28 354 22 325 30 295 31 313 43816 42208 52 351 39 010 31 354 26 331 30 319 42208 40703 64 350 46 356 37 356 33 340 31 322 40703 39282 58 343 48 349 34 358 33 340 28 319 39282 37938 50 331 51 347 32 357 30 340 24 311 37938 36639 50 326 49 346 30 357 29 331 24 305 36639 35320 47 338 44 346 30 348 27 328 24 301 35320 33953 39 359 40 347 33 325 22 324 21 298 33953 32541 33 013 36 338 32 321 24 309 20 294 32541 31074 25 017 29 329 17 322 28 297 18 282 31074 29545 18 001 19 313 20 290 19 280 20 274 29545 27957 14 326 17 296 28 280 21 262 33 271 27957 26308 17 287 20 288 31 280 30 273 39 266 26308 24602 21 261 21 276 31 284 34 279 38 268 24602 22844 27 249 22 262 30 287 33 283 35 270 22844 21029 32 270 23 264 30 289 29 287 32 272 21029 19153 29 284 23 273 27 285 26 291 26 267 19153 17251 21 286 23 281 19 277 23 290 22 260 17251 15421 18 281 20 283 13 272 19 282 18 262 15421 13753 15 276 17 281 11 267 15 264 15 264 13753 12267 14 272 15 279 11 263 12 248 13 261 12267 10942 13 270 12 276 10 261 9 238 11 256 10942 9759 11 266 9 271 8 257 7 223 8 244 9759 8705 9 261 5 260 6 239 7 205 6 222 8705 7767 8 254 4 219 7 212 7 194 5 202 7767 6936 7 251 6 186 7 207 8 178 5 199 6936 6199 8 249 7 182 6*216 7 165 5 216 6199 5535 10 243 8 199 5*224 6 164 6 244 5535 4945 12 234 11 206 5 231 5 171 7 259 4945 4450 13 215 13 193 5 235 3 181 6 281 4450 4070 15 191 14*173 5 239 3 189 7 302 4070 3808 16 173 12*163 5 242 2 194 7 303 3808 3648 12 166 11 160 4 243 2*198 6*294 3648 3557 7*161 9 159 4 243 2*202 5*288 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography