DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/01 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 39.5 - - 47.9 - - 44.2 - - 38.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 19 - - 40 - - -4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 153 - - 154 - - 153 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3540 - - 3540 - - 3540 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3556 - - 3557 - - 3556 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 564 - - 1813 - - 1764 - - 244 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 60 - - 76 - - 18 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 8 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 159 - - 293 - - 052 - - 096 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 1 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5677 - - -7864 - - -4851 - - -5586 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9233 - - 11422 - - 8408 - - 9142 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -17646 - - -17218 - - -13938 - - -15682 ODpotential blCL - - - 21202 - - 20775 - - 17494 - - 19238 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 86 - - 99 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 39.5 - - 47.9 - - 44.2 - - 38.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 12.4 - - 11.0 - - 20.4 - - 12.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 39.1 - - 47.4 - - 44.7 - - 43.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 12.0 - - 10.7 - - 19.6 - - 11.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 19 - - 40 - - -4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 153 - - 154 - - 153 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 40 - - 44 - - 94 - - 61 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97463 73 088 70 083 60 075 65 075 97463 90264 60 085 55 081 56 068 58 072 90264 84698 49 084 43 082 40 065 51 061 84698 80009 38 088 31 081 24 054 38 050 80009 75906 33 078 27 063 20 049 23 047 75906 72244 27 069 27 049 24 049 19 036 72244 68906 20 062 22 040 25 038 18 027 68906 65828 18 054 16 037 19 026 17 019 65828 62981 20 045 12 033 16 019 16 005 62981 60234 18 022 11 005 19 351 22 359 60234 57390 16 016 12 001 16 332 26 342 57390 54463 19 351 23 355 20 344 27 343 54463 51693 26 338 30 334 32 331 33 326 51693 49216 32 324 29 329 35 323 36 311 49216 47001 35 319 40 321 41 311 39 310 47001 45000 43 311 51 306 47 309 53 305 45000 43183 53 305 52 305 46 302 56 299 43183 41515 58 304 59 311 63 309 60 302 41515 39973 65 310 78 306 73 300 73 302 39973 38543 71 308 75 301 67 304 79 298 38543 37213 69 306 64 308 68 310 79 297 37213 35934 61 308 65 315 71 314 80 296 35934 34639 54 311 68 317 71 314 75 294 34639 33301 45 313 69 316 67 309 71 297 33301 31925 39 313 66 314 62 308 66 303 31925 30498 34 316 58 314 60 313 64 299 30498 29007 36 317 49 313 50 309 58 290 29007 27458 43 308 42 307 36 301 53 289 27458 25855 43 302 42 301 32 302 47 295 25855 24200 38 308 44 299 31 307 40 304 24200 22494 34 312 42 308 35 309 37 313 22494 20728 30 318 37 317 39 308 35 319 20728 18896 28 332 33 322 43 309 36 326 18896 17029 27 343 30 326 43 311 36 330 17029 15229 23 348 26 332 42 311 33 331 15229 13588 20 348 23 338 40 313 28 329 13588 12126 18 348 19 341 38 313 26 328 12126 10823 17 347 17 345 35 315 25 329 10823 9661 16 347 15 349 31 318 23 331 9661 8623 14 350 13 352 26 323 20 333 8623 7701 10 345 10 352 20 328 19 331 7701 6885 7 321 8 345 12 325 18 326 6885 6160 6 270 7 330 5 318 16 321 6160 5507 6 245 6 310 2 351 10 310 5507 4927 6 249 5 288 3 035 7 301 4927 4439 7 247 2 272 4 047 7 297 4439 4063 6 232 2 284 5 052 5 293 4063 3804 5 185 2 289 5 049 1 339 3804 3647 4 162 2*294 4 050 2 085 3647 3556 4*159 2*293 3*052 2*096 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography