DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/26 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 38.9 - - 51.0 - - 55.1 - - 40.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 368 - - 453 - - 185 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2704 - - 4113 - - 4228 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5161 - - 6312 - - 6034 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6107 - - 7516 - - 7631 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 891 - - 1249 - - 1720 - - 455 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 412 - - 507 - - 380 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 37 - - 22 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 2 - - 3 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 138 - - 118 - - 053 - - 359 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - -8 - - -5 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2124 - - -5808 - - -7851 - - -7293 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8231 - - 13324 - - 15483 - - 10850 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8632 - - -11834 - - -13762 - - -15777 ODpotential blCL - - - 14739 - - 19350 - - 21393 - - 19334 blCL maxRH - - - 59 - - 59 - - 51 - - 57 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 38.9 - - 51.0 - - 55.1 - - 40.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 15.7 - - 4.9 - - -0.8 - - 6.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 36.8 - - 48.5 - - 53.6 - - 45.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 15.5 - - 4.7 - - -1.0 - - 6.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 368 - - 453 - - 185 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2704 - - 4113 - - 4228 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96069 22 278 26 284 24 276 27 292 96069 88896 27 299 28 287 28 284 33 294 88896 83413 32 304 29 275 31 282 32 292 83413 78906 36 290 33 280 35 283 38 290 78906 75026 37 285 38 288 37 281 35 284 75026 71583 36 285 41 287 34 283 29 288 71583 68439 36 282 42 279 36 285 33 285 68439 65525 39 278 42 275 40 281 35 285 65525 62808 44 273 49 267 45 275 41 276 62808 60175 56 269 53 268 51 275 45 272 60175 57422 60 262 59 264 56 276 51 279 57422 54541 60 260 65 267 67 269 65 268 54541 51778 68 264 74 272 75 271 71 265 51778 49292 83 268 89 271 88 273 81 271 49292 47063 94 265 98 265 99 268 93 273 47063 45041 97 261 97 261 102 264 98 268 45041 43199 98 263 96 264 99 263 95 266 43199 41514 104 268 102 267 102 266 95 267 41514 39963 114 269 109 267 105 268 98 267 39963 38524 122 266 112 266 106 268 100 266 38524 37179 125 265 112 266 106 269 99 266 37179 35885 121 266 111 266 107 268 96 268 35885 34578 116 270 110 271 101 271 91 269 34578 33231 114 272 106 272 98 274 87 270 33231 31848 115 273 106 268 98 273 85 271 31848 30413 114 274 102 270 93 273 86 276 30413 28919 108 272 90 276 79 277 78 281 28919 27374 93 279 74 286 66 284 61 283 27374 25778 79 284 65 294 61 288 52 288 25778 24127 57 290 62 298 59 293 51 292 24127 22422 50 318 58 300 56 299 50 296 22422 20657 54 324 53 302 52 304 47 301 20657 18827 53 316 47 307 46 309 41 306 18827 16967 45 313 41 314 37 313 33 310 16967 15180 35 316 33 322 28 315 26 312 15180 13553 29 319 23 328 19 318 18 307 13553 12103 25 321 15 328 10 322 11 294 12103 10808 22 321 10 323 3 296 6 260 10808 9651 17 318 6 313 5 211 8 207 9651 8620 11 312 2 254 4 174 13 181 8620 7704 2 266 3*158 3*155 13 162 7704 6890 6*148 3*148 3*141 10 147 6890 6165 6*144 3 139 2 077 8 125 6165 5511 6 141 3 127 3 058 7 089 5511 4929 6 139 3 112 4 048 8 049 4929 4441 5 136 2 099 4 040 11 028 4441 4065 5 134 2 088 4 037 13 017 4065 3805 5 131 2 081 5 035 12 012 3805 3647 4 131 2 079 5 034 9*005 3647 3557 4 131 2 081 4 034 6*359 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography