DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/24 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 29.7 - - 38.0 - - 41.4 - - 38.7 - - 32.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 65 - - 149 - - -6 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 153 - - 3996 - - 153 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit 3540 - - 3540 - - 5745 - - 3540 - - 3539 Hcrit BL Top 3556 - - 3556 - - 7399 - - 3556 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 472 - - 4449 - - 1480 - - 4201 - - 2020 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 89 - - 347 - - 10 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - 9 - - 5 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 213 - - 341 - - 323 - - 357 - - 152 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -172 - - -1864 - - 418 - - -3145 - - -1290 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3728 - - 5421 - - 6981 - - 6701 - - 4846 sfcLCL ODpotential -3302 - - -2574 - - -25 - - -9308 - - -8707 ODpotential blCL 6858 - - 6130 - - 7424 - - 12864 - - 12263 blCL maxRH 85 - - 95 - - 87 - - 83 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 29.7 - - 38.0 - - 41.4 - - 38.7 - - 32.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.2 - - 27.1 - - 23.5 - - 22.2 - - 24.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 34.2 - - 37.2 - - 40.2 - - 39.0 - - 36.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.5 - - 27.0 - - 23.4 - - 22.2 - - 24.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 65 - - 149 - - -6 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 153 - - 3996 - - 153 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 40 - - 82 - - 49 - - 34 - - 34 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96658 35 095 38 087 35 068 38 084 38 078 96658 89554 22 090 22 091 17 084 23 078 30 086 89554 83991 14 092 15 085 16 101 10 081 22 073 83991 79333 10 092 8 081 9 111 3 031 12 065 79333 75300 7 103 4 085 5 115 2 021 5 059 75300 71717 5 106 2 113 3 201 4 027 4 065 71717 68459 9 265 7 285 7 289 7 323 5 343 68459 65454 5 255 10 248 13 244 4 278 4 320 65454 62653 7 333 9 301 14 287 18 323 14 332 62653 59936 18 281 21 279 27 276 29 281 20 303 59936 57098 25 277 18 271 26 273 26 288 23 302 57098 54153 37 281 25 290 31 294 29 301 33 308 54153 51361 42 273 39 287 39 296 44 302 39 307 51361 48869 43 279 49 288 48 293 44 295 45 308 48869 46655 52 287 52 289 50 296 45 304 51 310 46655 44666 60 283 52 292 54 302 57 310 56 311 44666 42860 58 284 54 301 63 308 65 313 64 317 42860 41215 67 297 68 309 77 310 80 313 67 312 41215 39704 75 296 79 307 84 305 79 308 63 319 39704 38297 70 298 77 306 80 309 75 312 90 335 38297 36980 67 305 79 314 85 315 79 325 98 331 36980 35713 69 313 84 318 95 312 80 325 96 327 35713 34428 74 320 84 314 90 311 78 319 93 325 34428 33099 80 324 85 309 79 310 77 315 86 323 33099 31727 86 322 89 307 79 307 78 312 78 318 31727 30302 92 316 89 308 79 307 80 310 77 312 30302 28810 92 311 86 309 78 307 80 307 75 310 28810 27254 83 313 82 309 78 307 78 304 67 314 27254 25635 78 311 80 309 78 308 74 308 63 309 25635 23954 81 308 76 309 78 309 71 311 67 295 23954 22219 85 307 71 309 76 308 73 309 66 293 22219 20440 81 306 65 308 70 307 72 305 52 302 20440 18616 73 302 60 306 62 306 66 303 47 311 18616 16772 65 300 58 305 55 306 59 304 47 312 16772 14999 58 297 54 305 50 306 49 305 44 308 14999 13385 52 293 48 304 44 308 41 310 40 305 13385 11947 46 290 42 302 37 308 35 315 33 305 11947 10667 40 292 35 302 30 307 27 316 23 307 10667 9529 35 298 29 303 23 303 20 315 14 307 9529 8516 32 302 23 299 14 297 13 305 9 297 8516 7616 28 303 18 291 11*301 9 290 7 272 7616 6818 23 301 14 289 10*303 7 296 7 250 6818 6109 17 298 12 292 10 317 6 322 5 245 6109 5469 11 291 10 303 10 323 7 345 1 292 5469 4901 9 278 8 320 9 326 7 351 3 038 4901 4424 9 268 7 332 9 329 8 354 4 034 4424 4055 7 265 6 338 9 331 8 355 4 027 4055 3800 4 270 5 340 9 333 7 355 3 028 3800 3645 2*232 5 342 9 333 7 356 1*052 3645 3556 2*213 4*341 8 333 5*357 1*152 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography