DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/07 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.7 - - 44.6 - - 49.0 - - 46.5 - - 38.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 140 - - 213 - - 9 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 3472 - - 4890 - - 154 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit 3540 - - 5327 - - 6604 - - 3540 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top 3556 - - 6875 - - 8293 - - 3557 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3483 - - 1241 - - 972 - - 4424 - - 1266 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 324 - - 418 - - 47 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 9 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 9 - - 9 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 341 - - 283 - - 310 - - 005 - - 352 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1075 - - 449 - - -90 - - -4201 - - -1438 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4632 - - 6426 - - 8383 - - 7758 - - 4995 sfcLCL ODpotential -2398 - - -256 - - -8114 - - -13059 - - -11850 ODpotential blCL 5954 - - 7131 - - 16407 - - 16616 - - 15406 blCL maxRH 100 - - 88 - - 80 - - 68 - - 78 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.7 - - 44.6 - - 49.0 - - 46.5 - - 38.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.1 - - 29.1 - - 24.7 - - 25.2 - - 29.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.0 - - 43.4 - - 47.3 - - 46.2 - - 40.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.0 - - 29.0 - - 24.7 - - 25.2 - - 29.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 140 - - 213 - - 9 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 3472 - - 4890 - - 154 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 51 - - 21 - - 0 - - 12 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96856 18 083 15 081 11 086 19 057 13 086 96856 89644 15 070 12 070 8 082 14 044 22 041 89644 84063 14 039 6 075 10 074 7 025 17 014 84063 79419 4 358 7 015 15 002 10 024 13 009 79419 75411 12 343 9 005 10 338 17 000 19 003 75411 71872 15 338 13 355 6 006 13 347 11 026 71872 68651 18 308 23 320 22 323 35 336 26 010 68651 65681 23 306 20 286 28 286 35 301 35 319 65681 62951 25 330 18 321 15 290 23 284 28 298 62951 60304 45 316 35 327 25 321 17 319 26 318 60304 57520 55 301 49 303 42 310 35 315 30 305 57520 54625 58 298 51 294 51 298 46 303 36 305 54625 51863 63 298 58 293 60 296 57 301 46 306 51863 49383 67 295 65 293 63 293 64 297 54 298 49383 47175 67 291 65 293 67 295 64 300 58 301 47175 45189 64 295 67 299 76 296 74 302 74 308 45189 43391 72 303 84 302 86 297 91 296 92 303 43391 41754 90 306 101 299 94 296 93 292 89 300 41754 40240 113 302 106 297 93 296 88 297 83 304 40240 38820 118 298 103 297 90 301 87 302 81 305 38820 37482 105 297 99 298 89 303 85 302 78 303 37482 36191 85 302 97 298 88 302 83 301 76 302 36191 34883 87 320 97 298 87 300 81 301 75 300 34883 33530 93 316 96 298 85 299 80 300 72 298 33530 32136 97 312 92 299 85 301 79 299 68 298 32136 30688 100 307 89 302 84 300 73 302 65 302 30688 29177 99 305 88 308 80 299 71 309 65 307 29177 27607 98 305 88 314 77 302 72 313 64 311 27607 25979 95 307 84 316 76 307 70 313 60 311 25979 24294 88 309 76 314 70 311 66 311 56 307 24294 22553 76 308 69 308 65 309 61 310 53 305 22553 20752 66 298 64 302 62 305 59 317 51 305 20752 18886 60 289 60 298 59 304 55 317 45 307 18886 16990 57 287 55 295 55 302 50 311 40 313 16990 15168 54 290 51 293 51 300 46 307 41 317 15168 13514 51 292 47 293 47 298 42 307 40 317 13514 12048 47 289 41 294 39 296 35 306 34 314 12048 10749 43 282 36 295 28 295 24 302 26 305 10749 9594 38 279 31 294 18 291 13 287 18 291 9594 8568 31 282 26 290 10*292 9 249 13 267 8568 7657 22 287 20*285 9*296 6 243 12 250 7657 6852 15 293 14*280 9 301 4 259 9 249 6852 6136 11 296 11 279 9 307 2 321 6 259 6136 5490 9 297 10 281 9 311 5 002 2 314 5490 4914 8 305 7 284 9 315 6 005 6 022 4914 4432 7 323 6 287 9 318 7 006 9 018 4432 4060 8 337 6 290 8 320 7 005 9 011 4060 3802 6 340 5 291 8 321 7 006 8 008 3802 3646 5 343 5 291 8 322 7*006 5 002 3646 3556 3*341 4 292 7 322 6*005 3*352 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography