DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/01 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.9 - - 70.7 - - 76.1 - - 77.1 - - 68.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 19 - - 366 - - 453 - - 209 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 154 - - 7137 - - 10496 - - 12364 - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit 3541 - - 8633 - - 11470 - - 12464 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top 3557 - - 10540 - - 13899 - - 15767 - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 596 - - 2301 - - 1851 - - 1847 - - 5061 Hgt.Variab. W* 60 - - 570 - - 697 - - 570 - - 18 W* B/S 3 - - 9 - - 13 - - 14 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 11 - - 9 - - 7 - - 12 BL Wind Direction 157 - - 182 - - 191 - - 199 - - 333 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 8 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 9 - - -4 - - 21 - - 8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7501 - - -3638 - - -1807 - - -519 - - -7467 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11058 - - 14179 - - 15707 - - 16287 - - 11026 sfcLCL ODpotential -13879 - - -6225 - - -3548 - - -1760 - - -9525 ODpotential blCL 17436 - - 16765 - - 17447 - - 17527 - - 13083 blCL maxRH 69 - - 71 - - 73 - - 75 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m 54.9 - - 70.7 - - 76.1 - - 77.1 - - 68.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.5 - - 20.3 - - 18.4 - - 16.8 - - 32.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.8 - - 68.1 - - 73.2 - - 75.3 - - 69.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.4 - - 20.1 - - 18.3 - - 16.7 - - 32.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 19 - - 366 - - 453 - - 209 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 154 - - 7137 - - 10496 - - 12364 - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 73 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97241 4 003 5 052 9 224 6 275 8 313 97241 89889 5 350 4 094 2 330 2 257 5 042 89889 84268 5 039 2 343 7 355 1 128 9 067 84268 79600 6 027 4 345 9 327 8 355 4 056 79600 75586 9 008 9 342 9 332 10 333 5 011 75586 72031 13 338 13 328 10 344 10 330 7 345 72031 68801 13 339 15 315 12 330 13 333 9 335 68801 65822 13 336 14 313 16 323 15 339 9 342 65822 63047 16 319 13 296 20 302 21 331 12 352 63047 60344 13 309 8 299 18 283 22 305 17 328 60344 57509 17 324 13 325 16 282 20 295 17 318 57509 54556 23 307 18 299 17 277 21 291 18 311 54556 51743 21 301 22 293 17 281 21 283 19 296 51743 49226 21 298 22 289 18 282 20 281 17 290 49226 46977 22 298 23 289 20 283 20 284 21 285 46977 44946 19 292 24 285 20 280 22 270 22 267 44946 43103 26 304 27 285 23 281 20 264 20 254 43103 41426 42 293 35 279 28 280 24 274 19 262 41426 39890 52 291 41 271 37 273 35 273 30 261 39890 38474 49 291 33 267 34 267 41 266 39 255 38474 37156 37 293 28 263 32 267 38 263 36 248 37156 35889 31 293 27 264 33 262 36 261 30 239 35889 34607 29 297 26 264 29 253 33 256 30 238 34607 33281 24 302 23 262 27 253 27 248 32 233 33281 31917 20 302 21 261 26 251 26 240 31 219 31917 30503 20 303 20 261 25 239 26 237 28 211 30503 29027 21 310 19 263 25 234 27 236 28 215 29027 27492 20 318 17 262 24 233 30 227 29 220 27492 25899 15 318 10 259 22 229 31 222 33 219 25899 24254 9 306 10 236 22 223 29 220 34 220 24254 22555 5 292 13 222 22 215 28 219 34 222 22555 20798 4 236 15 203 25 210 28 218 32 220 20798 18981 14 211 22 207 29 207 28 216 29 211 18981 17142 20 207 25 207 29 206 23*213 22 198 17142 15372 16 202 21 203 23*207 12*204 16 189 15372 13754 7 206 15 208 13*203 10 203 13 181 13754 12304 2 209 11 200 11 199 9 202 10 170 12304 11004 3 197 8*188 10 197 8 201 7 159 11004 9836 5 161 8*187 10 195 7 199 3 128 9836 8786 7 166 9 187 9 192 6 196 4 035 8786 7847 11 173 11 186 9 188 6 196 8 006 7847 7010 15 176 12 183 9 185 5 194 13 359 7010 6264 19 179 13 182 9 183 5 193 17 354 6264 5589 21 182 13 181 8 179 5 192 21 351 5589 4987 21 188 13 180 8 178 4 190 23 347 4987 4481 19 190 13 179 8 176 4 191 24 344 4481 4089 15 187 12 178 8 175 4 189 23 341 4089 3818 10 177 12 178 7 175 4 188 20 338 3818 3653 8 166 11 177 7 174 4 188 17 336 3653 3558 4*157 10 177 7 174 4 188 12*333 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography