DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/16 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.6 - - 85.0 - - - - - 71.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 418 - - 529 - - - - - 38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4140 - - 5242 - - - - - 1833 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6312 - - 7266 - - - - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7543 - - 8645 - - - - - 5236 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1387 - - 1916 - - - - - 1444 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 497 - - 582 - - - - - 171 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 7 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 15 - - - - - 17 BL Wind Direction - - - 322 - - 327 - - - - - 339 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 8 - - - - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 9 - - - - - 8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7652 - - -6705 - - - - - -2991 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15195 - - 15351 - - - - - 8227 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15862 - - -13968 - - - - - -10812 ODpotential blCL - - - 23405 - - 22613 - - - - - 16048 blCL maxRH - - - 56 - - 61 - - - - - 55 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.6 - - 85.0 - - - - - 71.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.3 - - 29.8 - - - - - 47.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.9 - - 81.9 - - - - - 71.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.8 - - 29.4 - - - - - 47.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 418 - - 529 - - - - - 38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4140 - - 5242 - - - - - 1833 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99049 27 100 27 101 23 096 99049 91535 21 090 22 107 24 096 91535 85761 23 111 15 092 24 093 85761 80993 24 106 16 082 18 086 80993 76886 16 099 16 078 19 079 76886 73261 15 089 12 080 21 065 73261 69990 16 079 12 083 17 055 69990 66996 15 043 8 066 10 065 66996 64219 9 043 4 077 12 012 64219 61543 12 345 5 005 6 015 61543 58765 9 342 10 346 17 014 58765 55899 18 348 17 341 24 340 55899 53201 21 338 17 343 19 329 53201 50786 19 334 18 342 12 341 50786 48615 19 344 18 340 11 336 48615 46635 24 340 18 342 12 324 46635 44816 27 336 22 342 17 334 44816 43131 30 337 26 333 22 329 43131 41559 31 335 28 325 22 315 41559 40083 31 330 28 318 23 305 40083 38691 31 326 27 317 25 308 38691 37350 32 322 28 319 27 313 37350 35992 34 319 30 319 30 316 35992 34591 35 315 31 320 32 318 34591 33149 36 314 33 320 34 317 33149 31655 36 314 34 319 35 312 31655 30098 34 314 34 316 35 306 30098 28480 31 310 35 310 35 302 28480 26803 29 305 34 302 37 301 26803 25069 28 305 33 298 40 302 25069 23279 29 308 34 302 42 306 23279 21424 30 309 36 307 43 314 21424 19501 32 308 37 311 40 317 19501 17550 33 307 35 313 36 313 17550 15677 31 306 32 308 34 307 15677 13976 28 303 30 300 32 305 13976 12463 24 297 29 292 30 306 12463 11116 21 291 24 285 27 307 11116 9915 18 288 18 283 24 307 9915 8843 15 288 15*294 21 307 8843 7889 11*299 14*305 19 309 7889 7041 11*308 14 312 18 314 7041 6286 11 314 15 325 18 324 6286 5605 11 321 16 331 18*333 5605 4998 11 325 16 334 18*337 4998 4488 11 328 16 336 18 338 4488 4093 11 330 16 337 18 339 4093 3820 11 331 16 338 17 339 3820 3654 10 332 15 338 15 339 3654 3559 9 333 13 338 12 340 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography