DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/27 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.9 - - 54.8 - - - - - 47.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 358 - - 235 - - - - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5817 - - 7364 - - - - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7572 - - 8577 - - - - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9220 - - 10767 - - - - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3450 - - 3097 - - - - - 5382 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 528 - - 497 - - - - - 10 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 9 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 10 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 331 - - 336 - - - - - 332 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -17 - - - - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 137 - - 222 - - - - - -3322 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9084 - - 10546 - - - - - 6880 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -601 - - -335 - - - - - -4901 ODpotential blCL - - - 9821 - - 11102 - - - - - 8458 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 100 - - - - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 30 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.9 - - 54.8 - - - - - 47.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.3 - - 20.7 - - - - - 30.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.7 - - 53.0 - - - - - 48.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.2 - - 20.6 - - - - - 30.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 358 - - 235 - - - - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5817 - - 7364 - - - - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 66 - - 101 - - - - - 22 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97217 2 268 15 266 16 310 97217 89908 7 317 11 269 13 263 89908 84319 6 263 13 279 12 260 84319 79661 8 241 12 259 11 271 79661 75620 12 242 10 243 12 280 75620 72032 15 231 13 260 12 267 72032 68767 12 227 16 252 11 255 68767 65748 8 221 17 240 12 260 65748 62936 9 250 14 241 14 265 62936 60203 11 266 12 244 14 270 60203 57338 10 275 8 262 13 278 57338 54353 8 269 6 287 9 306 54353 51506 6 287 5 307 7 339 51506 48955 5 312 6 331 10 005 48955 46678 4 349 6 354 9 350 46678 44615 9 327 8 002 10 012 44615 42733 8 322 9 358 19 014 42733 41010 9 355 12 000 23 014 41010 39426 15 008 16 004 26 013 39426 37964 26 001 22 006 26 011 37964 36609 27 342 22 007 26 012 36609 35320 24 338 18 007 23 014 35320 34026 24 348 16 015 20 008 34026 32699 26 349 17 021 18 002 32699 31340 27 347 18 017 18 002 31340 29934 26 346 19 009 20 006 29934 28471 27 346 20 004 20 003 28471 26952 28 348 21 003 20 355 26952 25376 29 353 21 001 22 352 25376 23744 28 353 22 355 21 355 23744 22065 27 353 24 355 19 356 22065 20335 25 359 26 002 19 349 20335 18547 22 011 23 010 21 349 18547 16731 17 018 16 011 21 357 16731 14985 15 010 10 352 17 357 14985 13400 13 321 9 310 12 336 13400 11988 16 286 9*310 10 290 11988 10727 15 284 9*321 7 285 10727 9597 12*293 9 328 5 311 9597 8585 10*308 9 331 8 340 8585 7680 8 322 10 335 11 345 7680 6875 7 331 10 338 13 343 6875 6157 7 335 11 340 16 337 6157 5508 6 338 11 341 17 334 5508 4930 6 339 11 343 18 333 4930 4443 6 341 11 344 18 333 4443 4067 5 343 11 344 17 333 4067 3807 5 343 11 344 15 332 3807 3648 5 344 10 344 13*332 3648 3557 5 344 9 344 9*332 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography