DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/27 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 31.9 - - 33.6 - - 32.3 - - 31.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 33 - - 48 - - 5 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1222 - - 2297 - - 153 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3539 - - 3539 - - 3539 - - 3539 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4625 - - 5700 - - 3556 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3628 - - 2517 - - 4118 - - 3567 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 147 - - 202 - - 42 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 12 - - 7 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 296 - - 331 - - 339 - - 310 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -174 - - 1114 - - -1215 - - -343 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4799 - - 4587 - - 4771 - - 3899 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1499 - - 234 - - -1916 - - -1437 ODpotential blCL - - - 6124 - - 5466 - - 5472 - - 4993 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 98 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 31.9 - - 33.6 - - 32.3 - - 31.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.7 - - 26.3 - - 24.3 - - 27.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 31.5 - - 33.1 - - 32.2 - - 32.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.6 - - 25.5 - - 23.6 - - 26.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 33 - - 48 - - 5 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1222 - - 2297 - - 153 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 100 - - 93 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96543 32 039 30 065 25 071 8 130 96543 89450 20 044 18 053 18 030 13 054 89450 83914 15 048 17 036 21 021 19 048 83914 79289 9 045 9 034 17 036 16 038 79289 75269 7 004 5 003 10 010 13 027 75269 71682 2 063 7 324 12 358 13 019 71682 68407 3 051 4 306 6 321 14 340 68407 65376 10 329 3 041 9 330 18 339 65376 62562 23 297 22 318 14 331 17 338 62562 59840 20 276 16 300 18 343 19 346 59840 57000 11 287 12 339 27 335 22 340 57000 54059 27 315 29 315 29 325 24 332 54059 51261 27 315 24 315 33 333 31 330 51261 48754 21 324 29 338 36 331 37 326 48754 46524 28 337 41 337 34 334 36 327 46524 44518 32 342 43 334 33 345 40 343 44518 42708 34 349 43 340 50 000 51 355 42708 41068 46 355 49 353 72 355 61 359 41068 39562 60 353 65 001 76 352 70 003 39562 38154 63 350 81 003 74 357 76 359 38154 36829 62 354 88 001 78 005 85 351 36829 35552 70 011 84 004 84 005 88 347 35552 34260 92 021 90 012 89 003 78 350 34260 32927 96 018 97 014 89 003 68 356 32927 31557 95 015 97 013 86 006 63 357 31557 30137 93 015 91 011 83 008 61 355 30137 28655 90 014 84 010 78 008 55 355 28655 27114 85 010 77 009 72 006 52 355 27114 25514 77 004 72 009 67 004 51 351 25514 23856 66 355 69 009 61 005 49 350 23856 22145 57 343 65 010 56 008 45 351 22145 20375 52 335 58 007 50 010 43 351 20375 18542 48 333 49 357 45 009 40 349 18542 16683 44 335 44 345 42 006 36 347 16683 14900 40 338 40 339 40 360 33 350 14900 13285 36 342 36 339 38 352 31 353 13285 11853 32 346 31 343 33 348 31 353 11853 10582 29 344 25 343 26 343 27 352 10582 9452 27 332 22 334 22 337 22 349 9452 8450 24 325 20 317 20 328 19 346 8450 7562 22 324 18 315 19 320 17 335 7562 6777 22 320 17 318 17 320 15 322 6777 6078 21 315 16*321 16 324 13 321 6078 5448 19 311 15*325 15 329 12 326 5448 4886 16*306 12 330 14 333 10 330 4886 4414 12*300 12 333 13 336 9 332 4414 4049 10 295 11 334 12 337 7 332 4049 3797 10 294 10 334 11 338 6 326 3797 3644 9 294 10 334 10*339 4*317 3644 3556 7 292 8 334 7*339 2*310 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography