DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/27 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.3 - - 56.0 - - 49.5 - - 40.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 16 - - 123 - - -2 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 154 - - 3980 - - 154 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3541 - - 5621 - - 3541 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3557 - - 7383 - - 3557 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1776 - - 1813 - - 4873 - - 2779 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 58 - - 326 - - 12 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 26 - - 0 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 219 - - 253 - - 195 - - 148 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 18 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 9 - - 0 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5316 - - 297 - - -2517 - - -765 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8874 - - 7086 - - 6075 - - 4322 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10906 - - -431 - - -4405 - - -3991 ODpotential blCL - - - 14463 - - 7814 - - 7962 - - 7548 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 87 - - 89 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.3 - - 56.0 - - 49.5 - - 40.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.2 - - 37.4 - - 35.4 - - 34.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.1 - - 55.1 - - 51.9 - - 45.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.7 - - 37.3 - - 35.3 - - 34.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 16 - - 123 - - -2 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 154 - - 3980 - - 154 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 84 - - 50 - - 55 - - 39 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96443 18 063 22 060 23 073 32 085 96443 89418 20 074 25 080 18 086 25 067 89418 83930 19 073 18 075 17 093 20 072 83930 79343 15 083 12 057 14 077 15 066 79343 75360 15 065 7 057 11 017 15 044 75360 71811 10 026 8 357 13 001 14 015 71811 68580 6 031 4 251 17 334 18 342 68580 65609 15 317 12 299 13 325 15 311 65609 62849 16 298 8 310 6 356 8 306 62849 60137 19 291 26 281 33 284 28 297 60137 57291 27 286 31 280 32 276 30 295 57291 54350 33 282 23 287 20 296 21 297 54350 51542 35 277 27 294 28 292 25 306 51542 49007 38 274 40 284 43 282 39 296 49007 46739 38 270 48 279 44 287 47 291 46739 44701 36 273 51 281 51 290 49 288 44701 42849 46 276 57 280 57 284 52 289 42849 41149 55 273 61 273 59 277 54 291 41149 39581 60 271 61 272 61 276 56 288 39581 38131 64 267 66 272 68 276 59 283 38131 36786 66 263 71 267 73 271 61 277 36786 35507 66 261 68 266 70 265 62 272 35507 34225 65 260 67 275 69 268 63 270 34225 32908 61 263 73 285 74 274 62 272 32908 31557 62 271 77 287 76 276 62 277 31557 30159 65 273 78 285 73 277 65 279 30159 28703 65 268 76 282 70 276 67 279 28703 27189 61 265 72 279 68 277 67 280 27189 25616 59 266 66 278 67 279 66 281 25616 23986 57 267 64 280 65 279 64 281 23986 22301 55 269 66 281 63 279 63 280 22301 20555 52 269 67 282 61 280 63 279 20555 18742 48 268 63 280 60 281 64 279 18742 16897 45 265 55 276 58 282 65 280 16897 15117 42 262 49 270 55 280 63 280 15117 13495 40 261 46 266 53 276 60 279 13495 12049 38 262 46 265 52 272 58 277 12049 10760 37 262 45 265 50 269 56 274 10760 9610 36 262 43 262 47 265 52 272 9610 8587 35 259 39 259 43 261 47 268 8587 7678 34 256 35*256 40 258 44 263 7678 6872 33 253 32*255 36 255 41 260 6872 6155 32 250 31 254 33 254 37 257 6155 5506 29 247 28 253 29 253 32 254 5506 4928 25 243 25 252 24 253 26 250 4928 4442 18 237 24 251 18 253 18 243 4442 4066 14 231 22 251 12 252 10 225 4066 3806 10 223 20 251 7 250 7 190 3806 3648 9*220 18 251 3 246 6*162 3648 3557 7*219 15 251 0*195 6*148 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography