DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/10 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.4 - - 57.9 - - 60.2 - - 57.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 350 - - 595 - - 364 - - 25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4189 - - 5001 - - 4769 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6287 - - 7109 - - 6753 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7592 - - 8404 - - 8172 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1165 - - 809 - - 1035 - - 4765 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 470 - - 594 - - 497 - - 65 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 7 - - 8 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 15 - - 11 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 325 - - 342 - - 353 - - 011 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 8 - - 7 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 562 - - 27 - - -1206 - - -5599 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7030 - - 8378 - - 9379 - - 9157 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 369 - - -6392 - - -8362 - - -13973 ODpotential blCL - - - 7223 - - 14796 - - 16534 - - 17530 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 80 - - 66 - - 58 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.4 - - 57.9 - - 60.2 - - 57.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.1 - - 33.5 - - 31.4 - - 30.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.1 - - 54.7 - - 57.8 - - 57.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.0 - - 33.3 - - 31.2 - - 29.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 350 - - 595 - - 364 - - 25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4189 - - 5001 - - 4769 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 82 - - 21 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99042 22 112 27 097 21 103 23 096 99042 91539 24 113 8 148 20 065 23 099 91539 85776 22 099 15 110 10 076 27 074 85776 80996 11 102 20 090 10 120 15 056 80996 76884 7 128 17 087 11 104 12 081 76884 73249 10 117 12 097 12 087 13 085 73249 69944 6 098 9 102 9 081 13 095 69944 66900 3 054 4 045 10 073 8 105 66900 64069 10 094 3 168 6 329 8 066 64069 61322 13 348 5 068 2 316 2 348 61322 58463 16 307 16 302 15 315 11 349 58463 55506 10 293 21 295 21 305 23 308 55506 52700 24 326 26 309 28 305 27 304 52700 50181 34 311 34 309 34 305 35 313 50181 47932 45 313 46 320 46 317 46 311 47932 45915 64 314 66 319 64 315 56 318 45915 44088 77 307 78 311 72 310 64 324 44088 42412 81 306 81 311 74 316 71 320 42412 40860 94 312 91 313 80 313 72 311 40860 39411 104 308 94 309 81 311 67 310 39411 38045 102 305 90 308 79 315 65 315 38045 36724 95 308 90 315 80 321 65 312 36724 35386 94 316 93 317 80 319 67 311 35386 34003 101 322 93 319 80 313 69 317 34003 32580 105 321 92 318 84 314 70 320 32580 31102 104 318 91 318 86 318 70 323 31102 29560 104 316 90 317 86 321 68 326 29560 27957 103 316 89 316 84 323 66 328 27957 26295 104 315 87 318 80 325 65 326 26295 24576 102 318 89 322 76 326 64 325 24576 22801 95 320 85 322 72 325 64 325 22801 20968 87 321 79 321 68 324 64 326 20968 19074 78 322 71 324 64 326 58 329 19074 17159 66 324 62 326 57 329 50 331 17159 15324 55 323 55 325 49 329 43 332 15324 13661 49 323 48 323 42 329 38 332 13661 12186 43 322 41 323 34 329 33 334 12186 10876 37 323 32 320 26 324 26 333 10876 9709 30 321 22 311 17 317 19 321 9709 8671 19 314 14*323 11*339 12 309 8671 7748 14*313 14*328 11*349 7 332 7748 6929 12*314 14 332 11 351 7 355 6929 6200 11 320 15 342 12 352 8 004 6200 5541 10 324 15 345 12 353 9 006 5541 4953 10 327 15 346 12 354 9 008 4953 4458 9 329 16 348 12 354 9 009 4458 4076 9 331 15 349 12 354 9 009 4076 3811 8 332 15 349 11 354 9 010 3811 3650 8 333 14 350 11 355 8 010 3650 3557 7 334 13 350 10 354 7*011 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography