DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/30 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.2 - - 49.2 - - 50.1 - - 45.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -6 - - 0 - - -2 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 154 - - 154 - - 154 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3540 - - 3540 - - 3540 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3557 - - 3557 - - 3557 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 282 - - 2690 - - 3646 - - 227 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 19 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 1 - - 2 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 156 - - 107 - - 223 - - 121 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -1 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3680 - - -4724 - - -5963 - - -4457 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7237 - - 8282 - - 9520 - - 8014 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9948 - - -10995 - - -12231 - - -11057 ODpotential blCL - - - 13505 - - 14552 - - 15788 - - 14614 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 101 - - 101 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.2 - - 49.2 - - 50.1 - - 45.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.7 - - 25.8 - - 21.4 - - 23.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.5 - - 51.0 - - 53.0 - - 48.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.5 - - 24.7 - - 20.3 - - 22.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -6 - - 0 - - -2 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 154 - - 154 - - 154 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 103 - - 102 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94905 86 308 69 311 89 300 72 315 94905 88268 57 315 45 319 67 310 52 321 88268 83018 43 313 45 314 58 314 47 323 83018 78593 37 315 44 314 46 314 48 316 78593 74751 36 311 37 315 31 322 39 299 74751 71330 30 308 31 314 24 333 25 299 71330 68191 22 321 28 306 27 328 32 314 68191 65280 29 313 28 299 31 307 40 301 65280 62586 33 307 30 295 31 294 39 286 62586 59971 31 308 28 291 26 283 38 287 59971 57225 37 298 27 295 29 291 41 290 57225 54367 44 295 41 292 43 290 46 282 54367 51633 53 289 56 282 48 286 38 284 51633 49163 61 278 58 278 51 290 47 298 49163 46953 62 269 65 280 71 286 69 287 46953 44971 63 266 72 270 80 274 77 272 44971 43187 69 266 78 261 80 259 76 264 43187 41564 74 267 78 259 74 257 72 263 41564 40064 74 266 70 264 66 265 64 271 40064 38662 69 267 66 266 64 271 56 276 38662 37344 61 269 66 264 65 269 53 276 37344 36071 53 264 63 262 64 266 53 276 36071 34781 52 259 58 262 62 265 54 275 34781 33445 52 258 55 261 60 264 56 276 33445 32067 53 260 55 262 61 267 57 275 32067 30633 51 264 57 266 64 273 57 273 30633 29134 44 268 59 270 66 275 58 272 29134 27570 39 263 60 274 65 275 61 273 27570 25943 40 261 56 277 60 275 62 274 25943 24259 43 268 51 276 51 276 58 275 24259 22527 48 275 46 270 43 278 53 272 22527 20744 45 276 42 263 40 276 45 270 20744 18904 40 275 38 259 41 276 37 273 18904 17038 39 268 38 259 41 277 34 275 17038 15244 43 258 39 265 40 278 32 275 15244 13611 44 247 39 273 37 273 31 274 13611 12156 43 239 39 279 35 266 30 270 12156 10856 40 237 39 277 32 260 29 265 10856 9693 38 242 40 267 30 259 26 262 9693 8655 36 251 38 257 30 262 24 261 8655 7730 36 258 34 249 30 265 23 260 7730 6909 37 261 28 246 28 265 21 259 6909 6181 36 261 23 245 25 263 19 255 6181 5524 32 259 18 246 22 259 16 249 5524 4939 26 253 14 249 18 255 11 239 4939 4448 21 244 10 254 14 255 6 223 4448 4069 16 238 7 259 11 256 3 174 4069 3807 10 229 4 265 7 256 5 125 3807 3648 5*207 1*270 4*250 6*121 3648 3557 3*156 1*107 2*223 5*121 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography