DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/13 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 1000z - - 1334z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 56.7 - - 53.2 - - 49.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 163 - - 10 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5380 - - 154 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 6839 - - 3541 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 8783 - - 3557 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2612 - - 5595 - - 3430 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 398 - - 50 - - 15 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 13 - - 10 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 286 - - 300 - - 345 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 22 - - 5 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 883 - - -2539 - - -969 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7901 - - 6096 - - 4527 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 321 - - -3272 - - -2528 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8462 - - 6829 - - 6085 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 99 - - 100 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 56.7 - - 53.2 - - 49.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 34.4 - - 38.9 - - 42.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 55.4 - - 53.0 - - 50.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 34.1 - - 38.7 - - 41.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 163 - - 10 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5380 - - 154 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 97 - - 101 - - 74 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98513 20 266 20 263 25 267 98513 91146 21 266 20 273 21 270 91146 85457 21 264 17 278 12 274 85457 80716 14 275 12 277 11 291 80716 76627 8 271 6 277 9 283 76627 73020 6 283 8 318 4 325 73020 69753 5 243 11 290 8 323 69753 66749 8 165 7 238 8 275 66749 63968 3 325 4 351 4 290 63968 61266 14 281 14 278 16 273 61266 58431 14 246 16 270 7 276 58431 55474 16 283 20 284 25 289 55474 52663 24 277 22 281 25 304 52663 50148 26 287 30 305 32 313 50148 47887 37 293 42 307 40 310 47887 45826 44 286 47 305 42 310 45826 43927 44 277 47 308 43 314 43927 42164 40 276 49 311 45 315 42164 40519 36 282 52 308 46 316 40519 38977 39 293 51 305 45 323 38977 37533 46 289 45 300 47 320 37533 36158 43 285 30 309 43 323 36158 34803 38 297 48 331 40 334 34803 33443 36 307 56 330 43 347 33443 32059 35 320 54 338 43 348 32059 30623 36 332 57 352 41 345 30623 29122 38 342 58 353 44 342 29122 27558 38 339 52 349 44 339 27558 25933 32 326 49 347 45 337 25933 24252 27 334 45 347 45 336 24252 22516 28 347 40 348 42 338 22516 20722 32 349 35 346 36 340 20722 18864 30 336 32 337 32 341 18864 16979 29 312 31 322 32 343 16979 15174 31 305 31 315 34 345 15174 13542 29 305 27 314 35 346 13542 12097 23 302 19 309 31 350 12097 10811 19 295 17 300 24 357 10811 9662 16*288 19 295 20 001 9662 8634 15*286 19 292 16 356 8634 7718 14 285 19 292 14 340 7718 6903 14 285 18 292 15 317 6903 6178 13 286 18 294 15 307 6178 5524 13 286 17 296 14 307 5524 4940 12 287 17 297 12 312 4940 4450 12 287 16 298 10 321 4450 4071 12 287 16 299 9 330 4071 3808 11 288 15 299 8 337 3808 3649 11 288 13 300 6*342 3649 3557 9 289 10*300 3*345 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography