DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/11 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.6 - - 75.5 - - 78.0 - - 69.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 411 - - 494 - - 262 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2860 - - 4354 - - 3372 - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5312 - - 6534 - - 5554 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6263 - - 7757 - - 6775 - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 935 - - 1880 - - 3511 - - 2803 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 436 - - 534 - - 397 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 38 - - 38 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 9 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 120 - - 357 - - 015 - - 351 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -11 - - -9 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5052 - - -5979 - - -7788 - - -8967 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11316 - - 13737 - - 14564 - - 12525 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11029 - - -9512 - - -11577 - - -14720 ODpotential blCL - - - 17292 - - 17269 - - 18352 - - 18278 blCL maxRH - - - 55 - - 59 - - 77 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.6 - - 75.5 - - 78.0 - - 69.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.6 - - 27.4 - - 26.2 - - 27.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.0 - - 72.5 - - 76.0 - - 70.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.5 - - 27.4 - - 26.1 - - 27.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 411 - - 494 - - 262 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2860 - - 4354 - - 3372 - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 9 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98001 11 181 14 192 2 185 7 176 98001 90601 11 163 11 168 8 194 6 120 90601 84904 11 162 7 168 5 194 9 122 84904 80167 10 134 5 200 5 142 6 143 80167 76095 5 098 3 101 4 119 3 100 76095 72508 7 156 6 270 3 339 5 029 72508 69265 3 067 4 221 7 284 11 354 69265 66280 9 000 1 137 9 273 11 312 66280 63502 11 288 6 287 8 293 5 310 63502 60796 10 281 7 259 11 274 12 276 60796 57965 16 277 17 264 18 265 17 262 57965 55040 28 266 28 265 23 270 17 262 55040 52256 34 259 32 261 27 267 22 260 52256 49759 35 258 37 259 35 264 32 255 49759 47544 37 264 41 257 44 265 38 259 47544 45566 44 269 44 259 51 261 44 263 45566 43782 50 269 48 265 54 259 47 263 43782 42149 56 266 55 267 55 262 50 261 42149 40630 57 264 62 264 57 262 55 259 40630 39203 54 266 62 264 55 261 54 260 39203 37855 50 268 61 265 51 260 50 258 37855 36557 47 270 58 267 48 262 46 257 36557 35247 46 271 52 268 45 263 43 257 35247 33896 47 271 47 267 42 264 42 261 33896 32507 46 272 45 268 39 264 41 267 32507 31066 45 272 44 269 38 264 42 268 31066 29563 44 271 44 269 38 265 44 267 29563 27999 42 269 43 269 40 265 45 265 27999 26373 41 266 41 268 41 265 44 265 26373 24689 42 265 41 268 41 266 41 264 24689 22947 40 264 40 269 40 267 38 264 22947 21145 36 262 37 267 38 268 35 264 21145 19275 34 261 33 263 35 267 31 264 19275 17377 34 263 30 260 32 259 28 257 17377 15552 32 264 29 259 30 253 27 247 15552 13891 29 262 28 260 28 251 26 241 13891 12408 27 259 28 259 24 243 23 235 12408 11082 25 256 27 253 19 233 18 229 11082 9894 22 253 20 240 16 229 14 230 9894 8828 18 243 13 223 13 230 10 231 8828 7876 13 220 7*216 6 237 5 232 7876 7029 8*183 3*218 2*319 1 016 7029 6276 4*147 1 257 4*004 4 015 6276 5596 3 137 3 360 8 016 10 012 5596 4992 2 124 4 005 9 017 13 007 4992 4483 2 105 4 005 10 016 14 003 4483 4091 2 081 5 005 10 016 14 359 4091 3819 2 068 5 005 10 015 13 356 3819 3653 1 061 5 005 10 016 10 353 3653 3558 1 057 5 004 9 015 7*351 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography