DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/17 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 26.1 - - 31.7 - - 36.3 - - 28.7 - - 29.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 150 - - 258 - - 27 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 152 - - 3946 - - 7153 - - 733 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit 3539 - - 5735 - - 8476 - - 3539 - - 3539 Hcrit BL Top 3555 - - 7349 - - 10556 - - 4136 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3018 - - 2763 - - 4274 - - 3014 - - 5371 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 351 - - 511 - - 116 - - 47 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 12 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 15 - - 8 - - 11 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 205 - - 231 - - 244 - - 302 - - 347 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 7 - - -16 - - -10 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -473 - - 350 - - 1313 - - 581 - - -762 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4029 - - 6999 - - 9243 - - 3556 - - 4318 sfcLCL ODpotential -2117 - - -833 - - 322 - - -456 - - -1933 ODpotential blCL 5672 - - 8182 - - 10234 - - 4592 - - 5489 blCL maxRH 87 - - 79 - - 87 - - 89 - - 101 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 40 - - 40 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m 26.1 - - 31.7 - - 36.3 - - 28.7 - - 29.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 20.6 - - 13.1 - - 7.6 - - 26.3 - - 23.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 26.6 - - 30.5 - - 34.6 - - 28.4 - - 29.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 20.3 - - 12.3 - - 7.2 - - 25.4 - - 23.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 150 - - 258 - - 27 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 152 - - 3946 - - 7153 - - 733 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 49 - - 17 - - 49 - - 57 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97078 22 109 24 103 20 112 24 106 22 096 97078 89875 21 102 20 121 14 110 9 108 17 081 89875 84239 14 096 18 118 14 132 11 112 15 096 84239 79525 12 096 13 124 10 109 8 151 15 090 79525 75448 4 087 14 107 4 131 2 153 14 087 75448 71825 5 225 3 139 8 173 5 256 8 113 71825 68537 6 243 4 210 10 184 9 214 4 161 68537 65505 14 234 12 238 7 218 9 197 6 225 65505 62668 10 251 16 223 11 240 7 220 8 241 62668 59884 10 261 14 207 12 269 11 244 7 251 59884 56945 18 249 14 233 15 266 11 256 9 255 56945 53880 18 248 17 244 18 248 14 269 14 270 53880 50951 15 263 16 259 18 239 14 260 14 281 50951 48311 20 267 18 272 12 255 12 251 16 290 48311 45940 25 254 22 259 15 287 8 275 14 288 45940 43784 21 237 23 252 19 283 8 309 10 289 43784 41809 19 256 20 242 22 264 13 296 9 307 41809 39988 25 261 15 229 21 243 18 272 13 315 39988 38302 22 258 11 239 18 243 19 264 17 312 38302 36737 19 255 16 254 17 262 15 272 19 289 36737 35284 23 248 25 259 19 272 18 283 17 282 35284 33908 31 238 34 252 22 267 23 275 15 293 33908 32541 34 233 35 236 25 255 26 252 18 288 32541 31156 35 239 30 225 28 244 23 240 19 274 31156 29759 37 235 31 231 33 234 20 240 18 260 29759 28339 34 237 37 235 36 235 25 247 23 244 28339 26895 40 245 40 237 42 238 35 246 24 232 26895 25435 53 239 46 234 50 236 45 235 25 236 25435 23955 60 224 54 233 55 228 43 225 35 232 23955 22447 60 216 64 229 51 221 32 207 44 211 22447 20903 55 215 63 228 42 218 20 208 39 197 20903 19307 54 217 54 227 38 216 8 207 36 200 19307 17652 53 223 46 225 36 210 7 180 31 214 17652 15969 47 227 42 227 28 211 3 189 20 240 15969 14349 37 229 36 235 18 226 4 248 11 252 14349 12869 34 230 28 242 15 246 9 264 8 237 12869 11547 33 231 21 247 14*254 14 266 8 232 11547 10365 33 233 19 248 11*258 18 265 6 253 10365 9304 32 235 19 242 9 256 21 266 7 277 9304 8350 31 235 19 236 8 245 22 269 8 289 8350 7493 29 233 18*233 7 238 21 274 9 303 7493 6728 27 231 17*231 7 238 20 280 10 316 6728 6044 25 228 17 231 7 236 19 286 11 326 6044 5425 21 224 16 230 7 236 18 293 12 333 5425 4871 17 219 16 230 7 236 16 298 13 339 4871 4405 13 212 15 231 7 236 15*300 12 344 4405 4045 10 204 14 231 7 237 13*301 11 347 4045 3795 7 198 13 231 7 238 12 302 10 347 3795 3643 5 199 13 231 6 238 11 302 9*347 3643 3556 3*205 11 231 6 238 8 303 7*347 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography