DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/16 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.8 - - 70.8 - - 70.7 - - 54.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 207 - - 351 - - 129 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2322 - - 4166 - - 3405 - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4690 - - 6271 - - 5241 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5725 - - 7569 - - 6808 - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2103 - - 2004 - - 3281 - - 1053 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 324 - - 470 - - 315 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 11 - - 17 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 242 - - 257 - - 278 - - 267 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 1 - - 10 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3700 - - -4993 - - -5767 - - -3671 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9425 - - 12563 - - 12575 - - 7229 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8801 - - -10823 - - -12155 - - -10887 ODpotential blCL - - - 14526 - - 18392 - - 18963 - - 14445 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 57 - - 51 - - 42 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.8 - - 70.8 - - 70.7 - - 54.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.1 - - 28.1 - - 27.9 - - 35.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.3 - - 68.5 - - 69.5 - - 60.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.0 - - 27.7 - - 27.7 - - 35.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 207 - - 351 - - 129 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2322 - - 4166 - - 3405 - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96539 12 224 8 210 8 287 4 262 96539 89517 9 181 4 188 4 240 6 274 89517 84070 8 103 6 123 4 186 7 261 84070 79534 7 066 2 350 7 104 4 151 79534 75604 6 116 3 222 2 283 4 046 75604 72109 5 084 3 184 6 249 7 300 72109 68951 4 083 4 226 2 318 5 290 68951 66051 17 338 12 293 7 329 5 347 66051 63365 19 323 15 306 17 333 15 013 63365 60753 12 349 21 316 30 311 25 339 60753 58037 26 337 27 318 34 311 29 321 58037 55232 37 328 36 317 36 303 28 308 55232 52549 46 318 38 314 32 304 31 304 52549 50118 53 312 42 318 32 314 42 300 50118 47927 66 307 55 315 43 313 50 298 47927 45942 68 307 71 308 59 308 59 299 45942 44134 53 321 66 306 69 302 69 292 44134 42478 55 333 64 310 72 296 72 287 42478 40936 72 317 67 308 70 294 69 286 40936 39481 74 311 66 307 68 291 68 288 39481 38106 70 310 64 306 67 291 73 288 38106 36781 67 308 62 305 64 293 76 287 36781 35442 63 308 62 303 64 294 76 289 35442 34062 65 310 66 302 67 293 78 292 34062 32641 75 307 67 303 69 293 78 292 32641 31167 84 304 64 304 71 294 77 292 31167 29632 85 307 65 305 74 296 76 293 29632 28038 76 311 68 306 79 300 77 297 28038 26382 66 313 64 307 79 302 77 299 26382 24667 57 317 58 305 71 300 71 299 24667 22897 47 309 54 303 59 297 61 299 22897 21070 45 299 51 300 51 295 54 298 21070 19183 48 300 46 297 46 296 50 297 19183 17274 43 303 41 294 41 294 44 292 17274 15444 36 303 37 292 37 290 39 288 15444 13784 34 304 36 292 35 291 35 286 13784 12307 35 304 34 291 31 295 32 287 12307 10991 34 304 30 289 27 297 29 290 10991 9815 28 304 25 285 23 295 26 291 9815 8762 22 303 20 276 20 288 24 289 8762 7822 15 298 15*264 19 283 23 284 7822 6986 11 283 13*258 19*279 23 276 6986 6242 9*259 12 257 18*278 24 267 6242 5571 9*245 12 256 18 278 24 262 5571 4972 10 241 11 257 18 278 23 258 4972 4470 9 240 11 257 18 278 20 258 4470 4082 9 241 11 258 17 278 15 259 4082 3814 8 242 10 258 17 278 9 264 3814 3651 8 242 10 258 16 278 6*268 3651 3558 7 242 9 258 13 278 4*267 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography