DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/30 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 34.6 - - 35.8 - - 36.6 - - 38.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 44 - - 63 - - 25 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 440 - - 479 - - 414 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3539 - - 3539 - - 3539 - - 3539 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3843 - - 3882 - - 3817 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1495 - - 1621 - - 1473 - - 1954 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 113 - - 131 - - 92 - - 43 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 338 - - 359 - - 008 - - 001 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 287 - - 326 - - 261 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3556 - - 3556 - - 3556 - - 3556 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 154 - - 188 - - -13 - - -400 ODpotential blCL - - - 3689 - - 3694 - - 3830 - - 3956 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 0 - - 10 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 34.6 - - 35.8 - - 36.6 - - 38.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.9 - - 35.0 - - 35.5 - - 37.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 34.1 - - 35.1 - - 36.2 - - 38.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.5 - - 34.5 - - 35.2 - - 36.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 44 - - 63 - - 25 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 440 - - 479 - - 414 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 100 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96320 14 279 13 285 19 270 23 286 96320 89130 5 272 12 231 16 275 17 295 89130 83643 11 308 13 279 16 290 12 294 83643 79074 10 282 17 281 17 287 18 287 79074 75119 16 275 26 292 19 290 24 278 75119 71617 25 277 32 283 23 303 22 287 71617 68420 26 276 34 275 31 299 22 294 68420 65444 28 275 34 271 34 285 27 294 65444 62659 29 274 34 268 37 272 36 285 62659 59946 31 280 33 273 37 271 39 277 59946 57098 37 283 36 278 38 276 41 277 57098 54131 41 282 41 279 41 282 44 278 54131 51304 45 281 47 279 46 282 44 276 51304 48773 49 276 51 278 49 278 42 276 48773 46516 50 274 53 274 50 276 43 278 46516 44473 52 273 55 271 54 277 47 280 44473 42611 54 272 58 269 59 279 52 277 42611 40909 58 278 61 270 64 274 56 279 40909 39342 73 274 65 272 69 272 62 276 39342 37892 80 270 73 268 81 268 75 268 37892 36551 85 267 77 266 87 264 86 261 36551 35275 89 266 77 264 87 261 90 258 35275 33990 91 266 74 258 83 261 89 257 33990 32668 92 265 77 254 77 261 83 260 32668 31317 91 264 82 252 72 259 70 265 31317 29925 87 263 82 254 71 258 65 267 29925 28477 85 264 79 259 70 262 65 264 28477 26970 80 266 71 264 65 269 65 260 26970 25402 73 267 62 268 60 273 63 267 25402 23778 68 267 58 268 55 271 58 277 23778 22102 66 266 58 264 50 271 49 275 22102 20370 64 265 59 262 45 272 43 273 20370 18576 61 267 59 266 44 271 35 268 18576 16751 56 269 52 272 44 270 32 263 16751 14994 49 270 45 272 42 271 32 260 14994 13395 44 265 40 265 38 268 33 257 13395 11973 43 261 38 260 36 261 34 255 11973 10707 39 258 37 257 35 257 33 257 10707 9571 30 252 34 256 32 256 33 257 9571 8552 20 249 28 254 27 259 30 259 8552 7642 10 252 19 255 20 264 24 261 7642 6833 3 233 8 253 10 265 13 263 6833 6117 2 084 3 100 2 168 3 207 6117 5475 5 046 6 075 6 091 5 113 5475 4904 6 021 5 044 6 067 5 078 4904 4426 7 348 6 008 6 022 4 038 4426 4057 7*342 6*002 6*013 4 011 4057 3801 7*339 5*001 5*009 4 005 3801 3646 6 338 5 359 5 008 4*001 3646 3556 5 337 5 358 4 008 4*001 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography