DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/17 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.7 - - 87.1 - - 87.0 - - 76.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 361 - - 465 - - 221 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2737 - - 8013 - - 6916 - - 156 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5180 - - 9451 - - 8187 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6140 - - 11416 - - 10319 - - 3559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2398 - - 2476 - - 7393 - - 5060 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 411 - - 641 - - 476 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 58 - - 75 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 2 - - 10 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 028 - - 262 - - 355 - - 334 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 14 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -19 - - -12 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4735 - - -2304 - - -3500 - - -6454 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10875 - - 13721 - - 13820 - - 10014 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7607 - - -4216 - - -4539 - - -9418 ODpotential blCL - - - 13747 - - 15632 - - 14858 - - 12977 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 88 - - 91 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 80 - - 150 - - 260 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.7 - - 87.1 - - 87.0 - - 76.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.3 - - 38.9 - - 38.4 - - 45.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.3 - - 84.2 - - 85.3 - - 77.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.3 - - 38.8 - - 38.3 - - 45.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 361 - - 465 - - 221 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2737 - - 8013 - - 6916 - - 156 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 34 - - 51 - - 65 - - 45 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99582 29 124 18 091 22 091 20 101 99582 92080 20 104 17 092 15 107 16 060 92080 86258 11 088 13 112 17 077 12 096 86258 81422 15 097 12 131 10 052 15 086 81422 77276 15 091 11 093 8 081 12 052 77276 73626 12 052 6 051 7 067 12 048 73626 70317 6 067 6 054 3 097 5 040 70317 67267 4 057 4 327 4 332 2 344 67267 64448 7 290 7 252 6 282 5 244 64448 61729 12 257 11 285 11 322 5 295 61729 58882 13 240 16 257 18 285 15 290 58882 55919 12 254 18 236 22 266 18 268 55919 53093 22 269 21 250 23 259 19 273 53093 50548 34 254 26 247 32 242 27 269 50548 48269 34 244 35 249 33 242 36 254 48269 46218 34 245 47 251 41 247 41 239 46218 44361 50 246 50 240 49 247 41 246 44361 42660 63 248 63 246 61 255 52 254 42660 41082 89 246 82 244 74 251 65 254 41082 39608 92 241 85 241 78 247 71 254 39608 38226 92 240 83 238 77 244 74 252 38226 36900 89 241 81 238 75 243 73 249 36900 35560 74 240 74 240 71 241 71 249 35560 34177 60 229 59 236 63 239 68 247 34177 32755 63 223 55 230 57 236 64 245 32755 31285 55 241 48 234 55 235 57 243 31285 29757 35 241 31 238 48 236 47 246 29757 28172 26 226 28 240 27 234 38 251 28172 26532 19 252 25 233 26 222 28 244 26532 24836 15 231 23 219 30 223 26 235 24836 23087 21 220 22 207 30 226 28 241 23087 21280 26 228 21 213 32 215 29 240 21280 19411 28 236 22 230 28 205 30 233 19411 17515 24 241 23 236 17 209 25 230 17515 15687 16 240 19 236 13 216 17 229 15687 14018 12 228 15 223 11 224 13 223 14018 12522 11 215 13*210 8 233 8 225 12522 11182 11 210 9*209 5*264 6 230 11182 9981 9 210 8 209 5*302 2 021 9981 8904 7 211 6 212 6 333 11 025 8904 7942 5 215 3 221 9 348 15 018 7942 7086 2 219 2 338 11 358 17 010 7086 6321 0*117 3 356 12 000 18 001 6321 5632 1*040 4 000 13 002 18 352 5632 5017 1 033 5 002 13 002 19 344 5017 4500 1 029 6 003 14 003 19 340 4500 4100 2 024 6 003 13 003 18 337 4100 3824 2 024 6 003 13 004 16 335 3824 3655 2 025 6 003 13 004 13*334 3655 3559 2 023 6 003 11 004 9*334 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography