DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/23 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.2 - - 86.5 - - 86.4 - - 80.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 395 - - 503 - - 303 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3826 - - 7794 - - 7286 - - 156 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6047 - - 9311 - - 8660 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7229 - - 11197 - - 10689 - - 3559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2129 - - 3580 - - 5255 - - 8424 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 475 - - 653 - - 540 - - 23 W* B/S - - - 31 - - 54 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 2 - - 10 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 082 - - 305 - - 353 - - 007 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 19 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -16 - - 7 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7126 - - -4130 - - -4342 - - -10637 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14356 - - 15328 - - 15032 - - 14196 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10946 - - -6260 - - -5735 - - -13724 ODpotential blCL - - - 18175 - - 17457 - - 16424 - - 17283 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 83 - - 82 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.2 - - 86.5 - - 86.4 - - 80.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.4 - - 30.9 - - 32.3 - - 30.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.6 - - 83.4 - - 84.2 - - 80.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.1 - - 30.8 - - 32.2 - - 30.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 395 - - 503 - - 303 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3826 - - 7794 - - 7286 - - 156 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 32 - - 26 - - 35 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99561 21 112 24 094 26 112 22 106 99561 91976 18 113 18 108 19 114 20 094 91976 86138 20 126 13 108 16 104 18 097 86138 81308 21 109 12 133 12 105 15 099 81308 77147 17 111 14 130 6 131 12 107 77147 73464 12 120 15 135 10 125 9 109 73464 70138 9 110 9 101 7 111 11 135 70138 67079 6 140 4 174 3 012 6 139 67079 64250 2 195 7 184 4 329 1 344 64250 61517 7 244 6 227 10 297 7 309 61517 58661 7 257 11 239 15 259 13 278 58661 55694 15 282 20 271 19 271 18 280 55694 52854 26 273 25 267 23 274 23 273 52854 50304 32 267 29 267 31 268 31 269 50304 48038 37 270 35 268 37 266 39 268 48038 46002 51 269 45 265 45 266 45 269 46002 44157 55 258 52 262 53 265 51 270 44157 42469 55 263 67 264 62 264 51 272 42469 40909 59 268 75 262 70 261 50 274 40909 39450 58 264 73 260 75 260 54 271 39450 38081 54 262 71 258 78 259 60 267 38081 36766 50 264 66 256 77 256 65 265 36766 35439 48 263 63 254 75 256 67 264 35439 34069 47 259 61 256 72 257 65 265 34069 32660 45 256 58 258 66 256 61 267 32660 31200 42 255 55 257 58 257 56 267 31200 29679 39 254 52 253 53 257 52 267 29679 28099 36 252 47 249 52 257 52 266 28099 26464 32 253 42 246 50 254 53 264 26464 24774 29 255 37 243 47 252 49 261 24774 23031 28 255 34 244 43 249 44 258 23031 21228 28 253 32 247 39 245 40 256 21228 19361 26 254 28 249 35 241 37 250 19361 17463 23 253 25 246 29 231 33 240 17463 15636 19 247 23 234 21 217 27 228 15636 13969 16 240 19 213 17 220 19 222 13969 12480 13 228 16*204 11 228 11 235 12480 11149 12 214 12*202 6*250 6 288 11149 9955 14 201 7 201 5*289 8 320 9955 8886 14 177 5 203 6 329 10 333 8886 7929 11*153 2 235 8 345 12 350 7929 7077 7*138 4 342 11 356 14 002 7077 6316 5 121 6 349 13 359 16 008 6316 5628 3 076 7 350 14 359 16 009 5628 5015 3 058 8 351 14 360 17 009 5015 4499 3 041 9 351 14 000 17 009 4499 4100 3 031 9 351 14 000 16 009 4100 3823 3 027 9 350 14 000 15 008 3823 3656 3 026 9 351 14 000 14*008 3656 3559 3 024 8 351 12 000 10*007 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography