DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/15 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 41.5 - - 51.1 - - 46.9 - - 33.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 17 - - 129 - - 15 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 153 - - 1157 - - 154 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3540 - - 3540 - - 3540 - - 3539 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3556 - - 4560 - - 3557 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 730 - - 690 - - 1278 - - 806 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 56 - - 219 - - 55 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 9 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 4 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 261 - - 027 - - 331 - - 275 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 2 - - 5 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3986 - - -4780 - - -3382 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7542 - - 9340 - - 6939 - - 3556 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14693 - - -12971 - - -11641 - - -11146 ODpotential blCL - - - 18249 - - 17531 - - 15198 - - 14702 blCL maxRH - - - 50 - - 53 - - 56 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 41.5 - - 51.1 - - 46.9 - - 33.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.8 - - 23.4 - - 29.6 - - 31.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 41.1 - - 49.9 - - 46.6 - - 36.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.6 - - 23.3 - - 29.5 - - 31.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 17 - - 129 - - 15 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 153 - - 1157 - - 154 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 41 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96877 42 078 46 079 48 085 56 081 96877 89919 42 085 42 084 50 081 51 090 89919 84434 29 076 29 102 43 083 49 097 84434 79802 24 087 29 075 24 085 40 084 79802 75774 24 083 17 069 20 085 24 065 75774 72193 18 084 5 075 20 068 17 054 72193 68939 10 062 6 049 15 017 17 026 68939 65965 12 008 15 026 15 344 19 008 65965 63222 16 352 20 029 14 359 18 358 63222 60555 20 342 22 346 23 346 22 351 60555 57772 24 335 26 321 27 335 28 326 57772 54907 31 330 33 317 34 334 34 322 54907 52187 41 315 44 314 43 322 42 333 52187 49732 48 306 51 311 54 315 53 329 49732 47522 54 306 55 308 59 310 58 322 47522 45516 59 307 58 309 64 310 62 319 45516 43679 63 305 61 311 66 313 62 323 43679 41991 68 308 64 314 64 316 61 328 41991 40436 69 309 65 314 61 319 58 330 40436 38997 65 308 63 313 58 319 55 329 38997 37654 62 307 61 316 54 320 52 332 37654 36366 60 310 58 320 52 326 50 340 36366 35067 56 312 56 324 47 333 46 345 35067 33728 54 315 52 329 41 342 42 348 33728 32350 52 317 49 333 41 349 41 353 32350 30919 47 321 47 333 42 350 40 357 30919 29423 45 321 45 332 42 348 38 357 29423 27863 42 320 43 335 42 347 36 354 27863 26240 39 326 41 335 41 349 33 354 26240 24556 39 338 40 338 35 354 30 353 24556 22814 39 347 40 345 30 359 28 349 22814 21008 35 350 35 352 27 357 28 355 21008 19133 31 354 32 358 26 002 29 008 19133 17229 29 005 30 004 30 012 29 017 17229 15397 28 020 27 013 30 019 27 019 15397 13731 26 033 22 029 26 026 24 020 13731 12245 23 042 19 049 20 040 20 024 12245 10917 20 054 15 062 15 056 14 033 10917 9728 17 073 12 073 14 071 9 051 9728 8667 16 083 11 088 14 089 8 081 8667 7723 16 085 13 100 16 103 10 108 7723 6889 17 087 15 108 17 108 13 119 6889 6152 17 092 13 119 12 108 12 116 6152 5492 12 103 9 127 7 093 6 098 5492 4910 3 118 4*110 5 018 4 020 4910 4426 4 348 4*034 10 340 8 336 4426 4056 4 328 4 029 11 335 10 322 4056 3800 2 307 4 024 10 334 8 310 3800 3645 1 272 4 024 10*333 5*290 3645 3556 1*261 4 023 8*331 4*275 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography