DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/31 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 65.1 - - 78.8 - - 89.5 - - - - - 82.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 49 - - 353 - - 464 - - - - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 440 - - 2276 - - 5115 - - - - - 156 BL Depth Hcrit 3541 - - 4828 - - 7118 - - - - - 3543 Hcrit BL Top 3843 - - 5679 - - 8518 - - - - - 3559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 851 - - 843 - - 3537 - - - - - 5393 Hgt.Variab. W* 115 - - 384 - - 552 - - - - - 13 W* B/S 7 - - 46 - - 52 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 10 BL Wind Direction 276 - - 048 - - 048 - - - - - 339 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 2 - - 9 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -4 - - -19 - - - - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5082 - - -7188 - - -6993 - - - - - -8417 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8925 - - 12868 - - 15512 - - - - - 11976 sfcLCL ODpotential -12152 - - -13999 - - -11489 - - - - - -13924 ODpotential blCL 15995 - - 19678 - - 20007 - - - - - 17483 blCL maxRH 56 - - 50 - - 44 - - - - - 49 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 65.1 - - 78.8 - - 89.5 - - - - - 82.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.0 - - 35.1 - - 33.4 - - - - - 42.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.6 - - 76.5 - - 86.5 - - - - - 82.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.9 - - 35.0 - - 33.4 - - - - - 42.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 49 - - 353 - - 464 - - - - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 440 - - 2276 - - 5115 - - - - - 156 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99992 40 097 37 108 28 126 23 089 99992 92461 28 106 26 118 26 104 19 090 92461 86628 23 115 24 122 18 094 21 119 86628 81787 22 102 19 115 15 107 23 103 81787 77615 15 113 14 102 16 110 16 085 77615 73927 11 111 10 086 18 117 10 101 73927 70593 12 126 8 114 11 131 9 102 70593 67531 11 146 8 169 4 161 7 111 67531 64713 6 154 10 165 9 195 5 145 64713 61997 9 229 9 197 10 216 6 232 61997 59176 17 224 18 211 20 231 17 233 59176 56272 17 246 17 218 28 238 18 237 56272 53512 32 267 24 262 33 242 31 245 53512 51049 47 264 38 266 35 258 38 247 51049 48858 60 265 50 273 50 269 41 253 48858 46875 64 268 64 273 61 267 45 258 46875 45056 72 274 72 273 64 268 51 257 45056 43367 76 275 74 276 65 272 59 250 43367 41784 74 275 74 277 65 275 60 247 41784 40291 70 273 70 277 66 275 58 250 40291 38883 66 272 67 277 66 275 60 254 38883 37529 58 271 66 278 63 274 63 256 37529 36164 52 271 63 280 61 274 62 258 36164 34760 40 266 59 282 61 275 62 260 34760 33318 32 252 49 280 60 275 62 262 33318 31820 32 248 43 275 57 275 62 263 31820 30257 27 243 37 269 49 275 61 266 30257 28632 25 243 32 254 42 269 57 268 28632 26944 22 246 27 246 37 265 47 269 26944 25198 19 250 24 237 29 257 39 267 25198 23398 19 249 21 233 24 240 32 261 23398 21540 16 235 20 236 23 234 29 253 21540 19620 14 203 18 228 20 233 27 250 19620 17676 16 201 16 203 18 226 26 248 17676 15808 22 206 18 187 19 210 25 240 15808 14109 23 201 22 184 22 199 21 213 14109 12595 19 196 22 186 20 195 17 189 12595 11243 15 196 20 186 16 195 12 188 11243 10029 12 190 16 186 14 190 4 191 10029 8944 8 189 11 181 9*179 7 002 8944 7975 5 188 7 171 5*167 13 002 7975 7113 3 132 6 161 3 152 16 360 7113 6344 5 080 4*145 2 067 17 354 6344 5649 6 057 1*099 3 031 19 348 5649 5030 6 042 1 061 4 023 19 345 5030 4509 4 032 2 046 4 019 20 343 4509 4106 2*337 2 035 5 018 19 341 4106 3827 3*281 2 031 5 016 17 340 3827 3657 3 275 2 027 5 015 14 340 3657 3559 2 273 2 026 5 015 10*339 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography