DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/12 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.1 - - 60.3 - - 56.8 - - 44.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 9 - - 84 - - -7 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 154 - - 1239 - - 155 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3540 - - 3541 - - 3541 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3557 - - 4642 - - 3558 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 421 - - 1235 - - 1669 - - 224 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 47 - - 195 - - 10 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 8 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 159 - - 221 - - 211 - - 131 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - 2 - - -2 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6329 - - -7741 - - -7240 - - -5353 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9887 - - 12384 - - 10798 - - 8911 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14762 - - -13224 - - -13436 - - -15590 ODpotential blCL - - - 18319 - - 17866 - - 16994 - - 19147 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 90 - - 72 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.1 - - 60.3 - - 56.8 - - 44.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 17.4 - - 19.0 - - 22.7 - - 19.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.9 - - 59.4 - - 58.3 - - 49.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 16.8 - - 18.7 - - 22.1 - - 18.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 9 - - 84 - - -7 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 154 - - 1239 - - 155 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 43 - - 59 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96499 42 048 43 047 52 048 45 072 96499 89632 27 050 37 048 42 054 40 071 89632 84254 29 062 34 054 37 067 36 075 84254 79696 25 066 27 068 30 073 25 082 79696 75708 25 066 22 074 25 056 19 080 75708 72158 20 049 15 057 19 021 19 045 72158 68933 19 046 14 060 16 019 18 025 68933 65963 19 013 15 011 18 006 19 003 65963 63214 21 351 17 002 17 012 17 356 63214 60570 21 332 22 338 25 350 25 342 60570 57838 26 350 30 342 33 350 30 343 57838 55011 38 332 40 329 40 331 34 332 55011 52308 44 317 38 319 39 322 36 329 52308 49864 37 326 32 328 39 326 42 334 49864 47664 42 340 45 330 48 327 51 335 47664 45658 55 331 54 325 58 333 59 338 45658 43810 61 326 59 330 70 334 72 337 43810 42101 67 327 65 332 69 333 75 335 42101 40528 63 324 67 330 63 335 59 333 40528 39083 53 317 62 326 65 339 57 358 39083 37737 35 301 41 318 59 334 72 002 37737 36449 26 296 39 309 50 330 66 004 36449 35153 24 308 33 303 37 321 51 006 35153 33813 25 317 31 304 30 312 41 004 33813 32431 23 310 26 300 24 310 33 355 32431 30996 20 292 23 297 22 310 27 328 30996 29496 20 298 23 305 20 309 23 311 29496 27935 24 312 22 298 19 310 15 283 27935 26314 17 317 18 283 18 305 15 272 26314 24633 20 284 22 282 19 300 20 282 24633 22893 29 277 26 300 21 306 20 297 22893 21087 30 283 26 302 27 315 19 330 21087 19214 28 286 25 294 29 318 22 327 19214 17312 25 288 23 291 26 312 20 313 17312 15484 22 290 20 294 23 303 17 293 15484 13820 20 289 18 292 19 293 15 275 13820 12334 16 285 16 285 17 282 13 264 12334 11007 12 281 14 275 16 268 12 256 11007 9819 9 274 13 267 14 254 11 249 9819 8756 7 267 11 262 13 241 10 242 8756 7809 5 256 10 252 11 231 8 237 7809 6968 4 232 10 232 11 224 8 237 6968 6221 2 194 9 220 11 222 11 237 6221 5548 2 231 8 223 12 222 14 235 5548 4951 9 252 7*222 12 222 17 233 4951 4453 13 241 5*220 12 221 17 228 4453 4071 10 219 5 220 10 218 13 211 4071 3807 9 176 4 221 7 212 11 176 3807 3648 8*163 4 222 5*211 8*151 3648 3557 7*159 4 224 4*211 6*131 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography