DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/30 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.5 - - 70.6 - - 72.3 - - 62.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 375 - - 468 - - 235 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5649 - - 8055 - - 10307 - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7458 - - 9489 - - 10908 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9052 - - 11458 - - 13710 - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1988 - - 1575 - - 1050 - - 3321 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 531 - - 644 - - 557 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 26 - - 44 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 4 - - 2 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 154 - - 132 - - 114 - - 009 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - 5 - - 27 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2462 - - -1759 - - -19 - - -6587 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11514 - - 13217 - - 13730 - - 10145 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5900 - - -4087 - - -2096 - - -9173 ODpotential blCL - - - 14952 - - 15545 - - 15806 - - 12731 blCL maxRH - - - 62 - - 73 - - 68 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.5 - - 70.6 - - 72.3 - - 62.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.2 - - 24.5 - - 23.9 - - 30.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.1 - - 67.7 - - 70.4 - - 63.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.0 - - 24.3 - - 23.7 - - 30.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 375 - - 468 - - 235 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5649 - - 8055 - - 10307 - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97314 8 326 13 305 11 354 6 327 97314 89933 11 327 14 309 14 338 13 350 89933 84316 6 334 8 314 13 327 13 019 84316 79659 7 298 11 303 14 315 10 007 79659 75630 4 322 8 309 11 314 11 344 75630 72053 9 354 7 311 11 308 15 337 72053 68808 6 338 7 314 8 309 13 327 68808 65827 14 318 8 307 12 321 11 343 65827 63051 16 298 11 293 16 307 16 325 63051 60357 11 310 10 286 14 299 18 306 60357 57549 14 307 12 305 14 312 17 304 57549 54635 19 299 20 304 18 311 15 302 54635 51841 20 304 24 305 20 312 16 312 51841 49314 23 308 26 301 26 301 26 303 49314 47054 27 311 28 296 27 294 28 303 47054 45023 32 310 31 305 29 312 29 318 45023 43183 36 311 31 311 33 317 34 320 43183 41504 38 306 29 321 31 321 34 321 41504 39961 38 311 30 329 30 332 30 330 39961 38532 40 315 31 333 28 340 31 340 38532 37200 34 319 31 328 31 338 30 346 37200 35928 27 329 30 315 29 325 26 344 35928 34643 29 329 22 352 25 320 20 342 34643 33317 33 330 26 002 21 337 22 341 33317 31950 33 335 25 348 21 344 25 340 31950 30531 31 333 24 342 25 340 28 344 30531 29049 28 343 24 344 28 341 32 346 29049 27507 29 349 24 338 27 347 31 355 27507 25905 30 342 25 334 24 349 25 357 25905 24249 32 344 26 342 22 351 21 000 24249 22544 32 353 23 003 16 356 13 003 22544 20787 25 007 13 017 9 353 9 006 20787 18967 16 014 9 023 5 059 5 053 18967 17116 9 358 7 010 5 083 5 093 17116 15328 4 357 4 343 4*174 4 150 15328 13701 2 048 1 182 5*169 10 170 13701 12254 2 109 5*161 5 164 12 161 12254 10960 3 154 5*153 4 160 11 155 10960 9798 7*162 5 150 3 145 9 145 9798 8754 9*160 5 146 3 122 7 122 8754 7819 9 159 5 136 3 094 6 085 7819 6986 8 156 5 131 3 072 8 052 6986 6244 8 155 4 124 3 056 12 034 6244 5573 7 153 4 117 4 046 15 027 5573 4975 6 150 4 113 4 041 16 023 4975 4473 5 147 4 107 4 037 17 020 4473 4084 4 146 4 103 4 035 16 016 4084 3815 4 144 4 103 4 033 14 013 3815 3652 4 145 4 101 4 034 11*011 3652 3558 3 143 3 101 4 033 7*009 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography