DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/23 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.0 - - 52.0 - - 49.6 - - 44.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 83 - - 92 - - 30 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2570 - - 3076 - - 2116 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4335 - - 4774 - - 3540 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5973 - - 6479 - - 5519 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2049 - - 1947 - - 1691 - - 2515 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 249 - - 272 - - 165 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 23 - - 29 - - 29 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 240 - - 240 - - 234 - - 211 Direction Wind Shear - - - 18 - - 18 - - 18 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 19 - - -6 - - 5 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -467 - - -253 - - -655 - - -983 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6440 - - 6733 - - 6175 - - 4541 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2071 - - -1855 - - -3167 - - -2870 ODpotential blCL - - - 8044 - - 8334 - - 8686 - - 6427 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 97 - - 97 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.0 - - 52.0 - - 49.6 - - 44.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.2 - - 35.0 - - 34.9 - - 37.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.3 - - 51.3 - - 49.2 - - 44.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.0 - - 34.9 - - 34.9 - - 37.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 83 - - 92 - - 30 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2570 - - 3076 - - 2116 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 64 - - 88 - - 87 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96827 23 083 26 112 25 065 24 089 96827 89654 15 084 12 103 17 062 18 074 89654 84060 12 094 2 080 5 056 15 041 84060 79380 5 122 6 338 10 029 10 031 79380 75344 4 153 10 313 15 352 9 001 75344 71784 4 294 12 292 13 322 11 333 71784 68567 6 324 8 306 9 311 8 335 68567 65584 19 281 20 275 17 283 21 277 65584 62804 14 258 19 255 21 275 21 266 62804 60111 7 316 9 258 7 229 17 283 60111 57300 32 289 27 275 29 281 38 276 57300 54382 59 272 54 276 59 274 47 277 54382 51607 64 267 70 277 72 275 62 281 51607 49117 74 272 82 269 81 275 72 274 49117 46895 91 269 82 263 85 269 76 272 46895 44903 90 262 89 266 89 271 84 272 44903 43105 90 262 110 268 101 273 90 269 43105 41461 98 266 113 267 107 271 99 272 41461 39941 107 273 113 272 106 273 109 276 39941 38518 115 277 116 277 107 277 125 279 38518 37177 120 276 115 277 109 278 129 279 37177 35886 119 274 111 277 111 278 120 279 35886 34581 116 273 108 277 109 276 111 278 34581 33233 113 271 105 278 106 276 108 277 33233 31846 109 267 102 275 104 274 106 276 31846 30408 108 265 102 270 103 272 104 270 30408 28910 112 264 104 265 102 270 100 265 28910 27351 114 263 105 263 99 267 97 262 27351 25732 106 260 101 261 95 264 95 261 25732 24058 91 256 94 259 94 260 92 261 24058 22333 75 255 89 255 90 256 85 259 22333 20552 69 258 82 252 89 254 80 256 20552 18708 68 260 70 252 82 254 79 255 18708 16843 68 260 56 258 62 255 72 256 16843 15060 68 260 51 266 35 259 55 256 15060 13446 66 260 50 269 26 269 34 254 13446 12014 60 260 49 267 26 270 22 256 12014 10738 52 260 48 264 28 266 22 260 10738 9598 46 259 47 259 33 258 29 259 9598 8580 43 257 44 253 38 251 36 253 8580 7670 42 252 41 247 41 246 38 247 7670 6863 39 247 36*242 40 242 34 241 6863 6145 35*244 35*240 38*239 29 238 6145 5498 30*241 32 240 34*236 25 234 5498 4922 27 240 31 240 32 235 21 230 4922 4437 23 240 29 240 30 234 17 224 4437 4063 20 239 26 240 28 234 13 219 4063 3805 18 239 24 240 25 234 10 213 3805 3647 16 239 21 240 22 233 8*213 3647 3557 13 239 16 240 16 234 5*211 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography