DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/10 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 63.5 - - 74.6 - - 83.5 - - 85.1 - - 75.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 38 - - 381 - - 491 - - 274 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 263 - - 2982 - - 5374 - - 5872 - - 156 BL Depth Hcrit 3541 - - 5383 - - 7345 - - 7493 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top 3666 - - 6385 - - 8777 - - 9275 - - 3559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1499 - - 1151 - - 1475 - - 2281 - - 4624 Hgt.Variab. W* 89 - - 431 - - 572 - - 485 - - 11 W* B/S 6 - - 26 - - 16 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 7 - - 10 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 209 - - 342 - - 333 - - 357 - - 015 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -5 - - -6 - - -9 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5336 - - -6656 - - -7160 - - -7125 - - -9409 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9002 - - 13042 - - 15938 - - 16401 - - 12968 sfcLCL ODpotential -13707 - - -14008 - - -12806 - - -12234 - - -15818 ODpotential blCL 17373 - - 20393 - - 21583 - - 21509 - - 19377 blCL maxRH 38 - - 30 - - 30 - - 30 - - 30 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 63.5 - - 74.6 - - 83.5 - - 85.1 - - 75.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.8 - - 30.0 - - 25.5 - - 25.0 - - 31.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.9 - - 72.0 - - 80.5 - - 83.0 - - 77.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.8 - - 29.9 - - 25.4 - - 25.1 - - 31.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 38 - - 381 - - 491 - - 274 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 263 - - 2982 - - 5374 - - 5872 - - 156 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99584 20 122 19 102 20 095 18 120 13 098 99584 92073 18 103 17 120 13 111 14 090 15 105 92073 86246 13 085 16 121 15 105 10 103 15 081 86246 81412 9 097 10 122 12 105 9 090 15 079 81412 77260 14 088 8 115 7 120 10 078 14 071 77260 73597 15 073 8 117 5 119 5 102 9 056 73597 70275 11 057 10 101 5 124 3 095 7 067 70275 67219 7 035 8 069 8 126 3 224 5 018 67219 64396 3 056 3 104 1 357 5 297 6 011 64396 61677 6 339 2 066 2 278 9 274 9 309 61677 58863 14 284 11 300 9 304 8 278 10 281 58863 55955 12 276 15 274 17 277 14 279 15 270 55955 53182 20 283 21 265 24 267 23 276 22 268 53182 50686 34 281 27 269 30 262 33 270 30 266 50686 48452 43 269 35 275 37 263 43 267 40 270 48452 46428 49 266 45 270 44 264 48 265 47 267 46428 44579 55 265 52 266 49 266 49 265 49 260 44579 42881 62 262 54 265 51 263 49 265 48 259 42881 41305 65 261 55 266 51 262 49 264 48 262 41305 39831 64 260 56 266 52 262 49 264 48 263 39831 38447 59 260 55 265 52 263 48 265 47 264 38447 37115 52 262 53 266 51 264 47 266 45 265 37115 35771 47 266 47 267 50 266 44 265 43 265 35771 34383 40 271 40 264 45 267 43 265 42 263 34383 32957 35 274 35 263 42 263 40 263 40 263 32957 31480 31 273 32 266 38 259 40 262 40 261 31480 29941 27 271 30 269 34 263 39 263 39 262 29941 28343 26 270 28 268 29 266 33 264 35 265 28343 26685 25 272 26 265 27 264 27 261 29 260 26685 24970 25 272 25 263 25 263 25 262 26 260 24970 23200 24 270 23 264 23 263 23 262 23 264 23200 21370 24 269 23 266 22 264 20 261 20 264 21370 19472 28 268 24 267 22 268 19 261 19 263 19472 17545 30 266 26 265 24 269 22 261 22 262 17545 15690 28 266 27 263 25 267 25 260 25 261 15690 14002 25 270 24 264 23 266 25 259 25 256 14002 12497 22 277 20 268 20 267 20 257 23 248 12497 11154 18 282 15 272 16 270 12 263 16 243 11154 9954 14 290 12 278 11 274 7*311 6 254 9954 8881 10 301 10 285 7*301 8*333 3 329 8881 7923 8 311 8 291 6*316 8 338 5 005 7923 7070 6 328 4*308 6 322 9 354 8 023 7070 6310 5 346 3*329 7 331 10 359 11 027 6310 5623 4 359 3 336 7 334 10 003 15 025 5623 5011 4 351 3 342 7 338 11 005 17 022 5011 4496 4 330 3 345 7 341 11 007 18 019 4496 4098 2 274 3 348 7 344 11 007 18 018 4098 3823 3*222 3 349 7 344 11 008 16 016 3823 3655 3*210 3 348 7 345 11 008 13*015 3655 3559 2 209 3 350 6 345 10 008 9*015 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography