DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/30 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 30.4 - - 31.1 - - 36.4 - - 36.2 - - 29.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 11 - - 75 - - 145 - - -4 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 1009 - - 1765 - - 153 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit 3539 - - 3539 - - 4140 - - 3539 - - 3539 Hcrit BL Top 3556 - - 4412 - - 5168 - - 3556 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1564 - - 1165 - - 689 - - 2111 - - 742 Hgt.Variab. W* 49 - - 175 - - 263 - - 10 - - 7 W* B/S 2 - - 8 - - 30 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 321 - - 336 - - 023 - - 016 - - 327 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - 2 - - -4 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 763 - - -349 - - -1977 - - -346 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3556 - - 3649 - - 5517 - - 5534 - - 3902 sfcLCL ODpotential -37 - - 283 - - -9760 - - -11141 - - -13035 ODpotential blCL 3593 - - 4129 - - 14928 - - 14697 - - 16591 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 84 - - 81 - - 71 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 30.4 - - 31.1 - - 36.4 - - 36.2 - - 29.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.9 - - 27.9 - - 25.0 - - 24.7 - - 25.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 30.1 - - 30.2 - - 35.2 - - 36.8 - - 33.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.0 - - 27.7 - - 24.8 - - 24.5 - - 26.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 11 - - 75 - - 145 - - -4 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 1009 - - 1765 - - 153 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 101 - - 34 - - 25 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97572 75 098 68 094 69 094 67 103 62 095 97572 90411 79 097 68 098 68 094 68 104 63 095 90411 84808 77 099 66 100 62 095 62 097 64 095 84808 80087 67 101 64 101 58 098 56 095 58 087 80087 75965 59 098 57 100 54 100 51 100 50 088 75965 72276 41 098 42 099 45 100 46 098 42 094 72276 68908 32 077 32 100 31 092 32 081 33 089 68908 65815 23 063 21 067 25 076 27 065 26 080 65815 62968 24 032 21 041 24 055 25 054 23 064 62968 60230 20 024 17 024 20 037 23 035 21 037 60230 57386 22 030 21 033 16 021 27 016 29 020 57386 54461 31 018 31 028 23 015 31 000 32 006 54461 51708 34 005 41 025 27 017 29 011 33 017 51708 49265 42 006 49 021 41 026 44 024 41 015 49265 47102 53 007 63 013 64 020 54 016 44 015 47102 45162 67 010 76 009 75 007 61 013 72 019 45162 43414 79 000 80 004 76 006 83 012 86 008 43414 41807 75 004 77 011 79 012 87 008 71 011 41807 40299 73 012 86 022 88 016 83 016 68 021 40299 38876 85 020 111 028 97 022 88 024 74 020 38876 37528 93 023 124 027 104 024 88 019 79 017 37528 36225 100 023 122 026 105 021 87 016 78 016 36225 34903 108 022 116 026 102 018 82 016 74 016 34903 33538 111 023 106 025 102 020 78 017 71 014 33538 32136 112 024 95 025 97 022 76 018 68 012 32136 30684 109 024 88 022 90 021 75 017 66 013 30684 29170 102 022 80 015 81 016 73 016 62 016 29170 27595 91 018 79 011 74 013 72 017 59 018 27595 25957 85 013 79 011 69 012 71 017 57 017 25957 24258 80 010 75 010 68 014 70 016 57 014 24258 22506 74 004 71 008 67 014 70 017 57 014 22506 20695 70 357 67 007 63 011 66 018 57 016 20695 18821 66 355 65 009 58 011 61 020 54 019 18821 16921 59 358 59 014 52 017 53 021 49 022 16921 15101 49 005 48 020 43 024 41 020 43 023 15101 13456 39 013 34 026 31 030 29 021 34 023 13456 11999 33 020 24 031 20 034 19 022 26 019 11999 10706 29 024 17 041 12 039 13 019 19 014 10706 9555 26 028 14 062 7 061 7 016 13 011 9555 8531 22 031 14 082 6 095 3 012 9 012 8531 7621 17 026 12 087 6 112 1 324 6 037 7621 6816 13 014 8 080 4 120 1 306 4 060 6816 6105 12 017 3 038 2 101 2 015 3 074 6105 5465 10 023 3 323 1*048 2 044 3 100 5465 4896 6 009 3*320 1*033 3 031 2 111 4896 4420 7 335 4*334 2 028 3 024 1 052 4420 4053 8 323 4 335 2 018 4 021 3 021 4053 3799 8 323 4 337 2 018 4 017 3 015 3799 3644 7*321 4 338 2 014 4*016 2*357 3644 3556 6*321 4 337 2 018 3*016 1*327 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography