DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/11 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 45.8 - - 57.2 - - 53.0 - - 41.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 11 - - 92 - - -10 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 153 - - 1757 - - 154 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3540 - - 3717 - - 3540 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3556 - - 5160 - - 3557 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 526 - - 1343 - - 2191 - - 317 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 50 - - 226 - - 8 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 10 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 182 - - 214 - - 228 - - 145 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 6 - - -2 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5998 - - -8282 - - -7217 - - -4127 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9554 - - 13442 - - 10775 - - 7684 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13560 - - -14801 - - -13745 - - -13578 ODpotential blCL - - - 17116 - - 19961 - - 17302 - - 17135 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 68 - - 82 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 45.8 - - 57.2 - - 53.0 - - 41.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 17.2 - - 11.2 - - 18.8 - - 20.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.6 - - 56.3 - - 54.0 - - 45.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 16.6 - - 10.6 - - 18.5 - - 20.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 11 - - 92 - - -10 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 153 - - 1757 - - 154 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 26 - - 5 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96525 37 017 47 031 59 045 60 057 96525 89589 25 033 33 038 43 041 43 043 89589 84144 20 034 20 029 34 038 34 038 84144 79549 17 033 20 018 26 030 25 042 79549 75576 21 036 15 017 17 034 24 035 75576 72041 17 033 11 017 14 036 16 017 72041 68814 16 019 13 003 8 355 13 356 68814 65848 17 351 17 331 17 351 16 347 65848 63093 16 352 13 329 19 321 19 322 63093 60411 23 349 17 344 22 326 22 326 60411 57615 32 342 27 336 30 330 26 339 57615 54716 41 321 33 332 39 333 33 342 54716 51945 41 313 43 325 50 325 41 333 51945 49453 42 315 48 316 46 317 49 327 49453 47235 44 311 43 311 41 321 52 323 47235 45238 40 307 33 320 48 326 50 319 45238 43415 34 312 40 336 49 326 47 317 43415 41736 40 327 45 331 46 322 46 311 41736 40195 49 330 36 329 42 315 47 302 40195 38775 47 328 29 341 30 312 35 290 38775 37455 30 332 30 347 34 319 25 289 37455 36186 20 339 20 347 29 321 26 291 36186 34898 16 345 14 335 12 299 22 283 34898 33564 17 347 11 323 12 256 18 263 33564 32190 18 341 11 309 11 257 22 252 32190 30765 17 326 11 294 18 278 28 265 30765 29276 16 306 15 287 26 285 32 284 29276 27723 22 296 19 282 29 289 35 286 27723 26106 18 296 21 273 28 285 35 279 26106 24429 15 284 27 282 28 281 36 277 24429 22696 24 286 33 291 30 287 37 282 22696 20902 27 285 34 291 31 290 35 286 20902 19043 25 275 32 283 29 284 32 282 19043 17152 25 269 30 277 28 274 31 277 17152 15333 25 272 29 276 27 272 30 275 15333 13678 24 273 27 277 25 274 23 270 13678 12205 22 272 23 275 21 274 17 262 12205 10895 20 271 21 271 17 271 13 258 10895 9725 19 272 18 264 16 267 12 262 9725 8680 18 272 17 254 15 263 11 263 8680 7748 17 274 17 244 16 257 12 262 7748 6921 17 275 17 234 16 250 13 256 6921 6185 17 274 16 226 16 242 15 250 6185 5524 17 268 14*219 15 235 16 242 5524 4936 18 257 12*214 14 230 17 234 4936 4444 17 243 11 213 12 228 16 223 4444 4066 13 229 10 214 10 226 13 201 4066 3805 9 204 9 214 7 226 11 177 3805 3647 6 187 8 216 6*228 8*160 3647 3557 5*182 7 216 4*228 5*145 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography