DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/09 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.1 - - 67.9 - - - - - 58.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 207 - - 254 - - - - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1985 - - 8078 - - - - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4450 - - 9185 - - - - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5388 - - 11481 - - - - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2383 - - 3835 - - - - - 4737 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 308 - - 526 - - - - - 31 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 19 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 068 - - 154 - - - - - 309 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 11 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 8 - - - - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5329 - - -333 - - - - - -3548 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10718 - - 11815 - - - - - 7106 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7989 - - -823 - - - - - -6029 ODpotential blCL - - - 13377 - - 12304 - - - - - 9586 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 100 - - - - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 30 - - - - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.1 - - 67.9 - - - - - 58.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.5 - - 28.1 - - - - - 39.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.5 - - 66.0 - - - - - 59.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.5 - - 28.0 - - - - - 38.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 207 - - 254 - - - - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1985 - - 8078 - - - - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 76 - - 101 - - - - - 60 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96548 35 281 35 264 38 272 96548 89273 39 286 37 277 44 283 89273 83732 30 283 38 275 45 285 83732 79148 23 276 33 266 35 284 79148 75188 25 294 30 275 26 283 75188 71677 29 298 33 288 25 287 71677 68492 30 291 36 287 26 297 68492 65551 29 285 33 285 25 297 65551 62804 26 287 29 282 24 295 62804 60124 23 296 23 281 25 296 60124 57318 21 300 20 282 24 292 57318 54398 19 297 18 280 22 288 54398 51605 20 292 18 284 18 285 51605 49085 24 285 19 284 16 282 49085 46824 23 278 21 279 18 279 46824 44775 20 276 23 271 18 273 44775 42910 21 267 22 266 21 255 42910 41212 23 255 24 243 21 234 41212 39666 22 253 22 234 21 210 39666 38244 28 256 23 231 20 210 38244 36919 32 248 28 226 22 213 36919 35646 32 246 29 222 24 212 35646 34362 32 249 28 221 26 211 34362 33038 31 250 27 222 28 211 33038 31678 28 253 27 224 29 213 31678 30268 21 251 26 226 30 214 30268 28797 17 239 22 226 30 214 28797 27268 16 226 17 218 29 214 27268 25681 13 207 17 211 27 213 25681 24041 11 168 16 211 27 206 24041 22354 12 152 15 208 25 204 22354 20612 12 162 15 205 19 202 20612 18807 11 178 15 207 21 194 18807 16975 11 203 17 211 24 188 16975 15212 13 217 17 207 24 189 15212 13604 12 211 16 202 23 189 13604 12167 10 211 12*189 20 182 12167 10881 13 211 10*183 16 173 10881 9727 12 203 9 178 11 163 9727 8694 9 193 7 167 6 151 8694 7770 5 163 5 155 2 127 7770 6948 5 126 4 144 2 344 6948 6215 5 115 4 131 5 329 6215 5552 5*107 4 118 8 325 5552 4961 4*090 3 105 9 324 4961 4464 4 074 3 095 10 321 4464 4079 4 062 3 092 10 318 4079 3813 4 057 3 088 10 314 3813 3651 4 053 3 087 8 309 3651 3557 4 051 3 085 6*309 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography