DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/14 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.1 - - 81.3 - - - - - 75.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 413 - - 505 - - - - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4468 - - 5676 - - - - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6563 - - 7598 - - - - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7871 - - 9079 - - - - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1064 - - 1319 - - - - - 5275 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 507 - - 588 - - - - - 21 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 17 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 059 - - 026 - - - - - 019 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - 4 - - - - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4453 - - -5843 - - - - - -10476 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12325 - - 14923 - - - - - 14035 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11676 - - -11693 - - - - - -17686 ODpotential blCL - - - 19547 - - 20772 - - - - - 21244 blCL maxRH - - - 53 - - 35 - - - - - 29 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.1 - - 81.3 - - - - - 75.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.5 - - 28.0 - - - - - 27.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.5 - - 78.2 - - - - - 75.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.3 - - 27.6 - - - - - 26.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 413 - - 505 - - - - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4468 - - 5676 - - - - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99172 28 112 21 092 27 105 99172 91640 34 106 25 126 31 086 91640 85850 25 105 27 105 21 078 85850 81062 16 107 17 089 21 081 81062 76966 18 111 11 094 20 070 76966 73359 20 102 10 098 18 074 73359 70089 17 093 10 058 16 071 70089 67089 15 071 10 067 15 057 67089 64315 12 051 8 050 13 040 64315 61625 13 022 9 011 13 017 61625 58808 15 354 14 351 16 008 58808 55869 18 336 17 343 20 343 55869 53057 22 326 19 342 20 336 53057 50534 24 315 25 341 21 350 50534 48287 21 317 25 333 25 358 48287 46264 19 334 22 334 29 359 46264 44426 25 345 27 353 28 004 44426 42743 27 346 30 006 30 010 42743 41190 30 002 31 009 33 013 41190 39741 37 011 30 009 35 017 39741 38381 37 007 31 009 37 021 38381 37071 35 004 33 007 37 023 37071 35746 33 002 31 006 37 018 35746 34377 32 001 27 007 33 012 34377 32966 30 360 27 359 27 010 32966 31500 28 356 30 356 23 009 31500 29968 28 350 29 358 21 006 29968 28374 28 347 25 358 18 358 28374 26718 24 348 22 356 16 350 26718 25002 20 345 20 351 16 347 25002 23228 18 342 20 345 18 347 23228 21390 15 343 18 342 23 348 21390 19480 12 347 14 335 25 353 19480 17538 10 348 12 329 24 357 17538 15671 10 357 10 336 18 358 15671 13976 9 005 9 354 14 346 13976 12469 7 351 6 354 11 321 12469 11125 4 035 3 342 10 294 11125 9925 8 079 5*047 7 268 9925 8854 10*088 6*043 1 244 8854 7899 8*080 6 040 4 044 7899 7051 7 076 6 034 7 037 7051 6295 6 069 6 028 12 031 6295 5612 5 054 6 023 13 028 5612 5003 5 047 6 017 13 025 5003 4491 5 039 6 013 13 024 4491 4095 5 033 6 010 13 022 4095 3821 4 030 6 009 13 021 3821 3654 4 028 6 009 12 020 3654 3558 4 027 6 008 9*019 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography