DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/12 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.0 - - 87.4 - - - - - 69.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 358 - - 469 - - - - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3387 - - 10950 - - - - - 1145 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5677 - - 11861 - - - - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6790 - - 14353 - - - - - 4548 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3664 - - 3775 - - - - - 2212 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 442 - - 715 - - - - - 89 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 7 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 18 - - - - - 19 BL Wind Direction - - - 212 - - 217 - - - - - 347 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 14 - - - - - 9 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - 22 - - - - - 10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7432 - - -2661 - - - - - -2993 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14222 - - 17014 - - - - - 7541 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10221 - - -4454 - - - - - -6283 ODpotential blCL - - - 17011 - - 18807 - - - - - 10831 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 69 - - - - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 570 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.0 - - 87.4 - - - - - 69.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.6 - - 23.7 - - - - - 48.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.6 - - 84.5 - - - - - 69.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.3 - - 23.5 - - - - - 48.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 358 - - 469 - - - - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3387 - - 10950 - - - - - 1145 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 16 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98140 5 252 3 202 4 277 98140 90720 11 192 9 216 5 115 90720 84993 13 147 9 192 4 085 84993 80261 7 135 3 149 5 085 80261 76207 5 127 6 190 7 035 76207 72621 1 088 3 160 3 028 72621 69368 5 064 3 215 7 357 69368 66373 5 332 3 020 9 319 66373 63592 13 271 8 316 7 295 63592 60881 15 251 12 291 9 349 60881 58026 15 233 20 258 22 255 58026 55084 18 242 24 249 21 233 55084 52297 21 258 23 245 18 256 52297 49784 32 253 25 247 24 255 49784 47523 42 243 38 249 33 248 47523 45472 49 230 47 234 42 240 45472 43605 52 222 51 221 54 231 43605 41906 55 221 57 220 68 222 41906 40352 58 222 63 220 80 217 40352 38911 57 221 66 219 87 216 38911 37558 56 223 65 218 87 216 37558 36257 58 224 64 219 86 216 36257 34945 59 224 66 221 87 216 34945 33595 57 224 68 221 86 215 33595 32208 56 226 68 220 81 214 32208 30774 56 226 66 220 75 213 30774 29282 56 226 65 220 72 212 29282 27732 54 225 63 222 68 211 27732 26126 50 224 60 222 65 211 26126 24466 43 220 55 220 62 211 24466 22754 38 216 50 217 58 211 22754 20986 36 214 48 216 55 210 20986 19153 35 213 47 217 51 209 19153 17289 33 212 44 218 47 204 17289 15491 30 210 36*217 41 197 15491 13850 28 207 26*213 34 193 13850 12383 28 203 20 211 27 193 12383 11068 27 200 19 212 22 194 11068 9885 25 199 18 213 16 195 9885 8824 22 200 17 215 7 182 8824 7873 20 201 17 218 5 054 7873 7028 18*202 17 220 15 022 7028 6277 15*203 16 222 18 014 6277 5598 11 204 16 224 20 001 5598 4993 8 210 15 226 21*353 4993 4485 6 220 15 227 21*349 4485 4092 5 228 15 228 20 347 4092 3820 5 235 14 229 19 346 3820 3654 4 236 14 229 17 346 3654 3558 4 239 12 230 12 345 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography