DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/20 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 38.4 - - 42.9 - - 41.2 - - 32.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 65 - - 137 - - -2 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1477 - - 2787 - - 154 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3540 - - 4847 - - 3540 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4880 - - 6190 - - 3557 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1850 - - 1605 - - 4224 - - 574 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 193 - - 303 - - 15 - - 2 W* B/S - - - 39 - - 20 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 180 - - 353 - - 074 - - 110 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -5 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 723 - - 99 - - -2473 - - -580 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4157 - - 6091 - - 6030 - - 4136 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -177 - - -2156 - - -3651 - - -7187 ODpotential blCL - - - 5057 - - 8346 - - 7208 - - 10743 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 78 - - 82 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 38.4 - - 42.9 - - 41.2 - - 32.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.7 - - 28.7 - - 27.3 - - 26.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 37.7 - - 41.7 - - 41.3 - - 36.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.9 - - 27.9 - - 26.9 - - 27.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 65 - - 137 - - -2 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1477 - - 2787 - - 154 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 58 - - 13 - - 30 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96825 26 074 26 077 22 077 25 065 96825 89796 25 092 20 085 23 066 21 068 89796 84274 23 098 20 104 18 086 18 096 84274 79651 22 102 11 081 17 107 17 106 79651 75656 16 097 5 100 15 106 10 078 75656 72093 11 106 8 110 10 096 7 036 72093 68828 12 100 9 136 5 036 6 123 68828 65820 11 096 11 140 8 315 12 134 65820 63049 2 044 13 123 9 293 9 121 63049 60381 6 261 7 097 7 233 2 103 60381 57589 7 244 6 358 8 159 4 129 57589 54680 14 183 10 233 5 198 8 096 54680 51902 14 158 14 198 9 238 5 351 51902 49390 17 171 23 176 21 179 12 242 49390 47137 12 178 31 146 27 134 25 169 47137 45106 19 206 15 139 25 112 32 144 45106 43248 27 192 11 170 18 115 30 143 43248 41528 28 175 16 166 22 123 31 138 41528 39936 31 168 20 161 23 121 32 106 39936 38466 33 163 24 147 23 114 47 073 38466 37100 29 166 21 129 22 086 52 061 37100 35790 25 188 21 146 22 069 52 050 35790 34465 33 197 40 159 16 101 49 045 34465 33097 57 173 44 149 30 116 41 047 33097 31693 61 161 44 144 36 109 40 056 31693 30245 64 154 45 135 32 106 40 068 30245 28740 63 154 48 134 23 104 45 077 28740 27180 60 157 38 136 23 109 50 077 27180 25566 57 165 35 153 22 113 47 074 25566 23903 47 176 33 162 24 111 38 069 23903 22194 42 187 28 172 18 119 26 064 22194 20432 35 184 25 173 13 120 20 075 20432 18608 32 179 26 172 13 147 17 098 18608 16758 24 191 20 171 15 164 13 123 16758 14983 14 209 14 160 13 161 8 142 14983 13371 10 224 8 164 11 155 5 147 13371 11941 6 240 4 162 9 158 5 154 11941 10668 4 279 3 136 6 165 4 160 10668 9532 4 313 1 083 3 161 3 136 9532 8519 6 334 2 336 1 258 3 086 8519 7619 6 346 3 319 2 287 3 055 7619 6822 6 353 3*322 2 293 2 017 6822 6114 4 353 3*336 1 040 1 341 6114 5475 1 282 3 345 2 063 1 073 5475 4905 1*207 3 349 3 070 2 115 4905 4426 1*193 3 355 3 070 3 109 4426 4057 1 176 3 002 4 072 3 093 4057 3801 1 179 3 004 4 071 3 085 3801 3645 1 175 3 004 4*073 3*091 3645 3556 1 177 3 005 3*074 2*110 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography