DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/25 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1000z - - 1338z - - 1604z - - 1902z - - 2202z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.2 - - 69.6 - - 77.1 - - 76.6 - - 67.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 90 - - 408 - - 495 - - 285 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1192 - - 4081 - - 6751 - - 6505 - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit 3541 - - 6258 - - 8459 - - 8013 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top 4595 - - 7484 - - 10154 - - 9908 - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1361 - - 1624 - - 1999 - - 2648 - - 4874 Hgt.Variab. W* 197 - - 491 - - 620 - - 510 - - 32 W* B/S 5 - - 11 - - 10 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 8 - - 12 - - 11 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 241 - - 277 - - 275 - - 311 - - 355 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 4 - - 8 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 2 - - 4 - - 20 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3582 - - -4171 - - -3369 - - -2640 - - -5034 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8177 - - 11656 - - 13524 - - 12549 - - 8592 sfcLCL ODpotential -10183 - - -9130 - - -7265 - - -5743 - - -8370 ODpotential blCL 14778 - - 16614 - - 17419 - - 15651 - - 11928 blCL maxRH 59 - - 64 - - 72 - - 68 - - 71 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 59.2 - - 69.6 - - 77.1 - - 76.6 - - 67.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.9 - - 30.8 - - 29.7 - - 33.6 - - 42.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.3 - - 67.1 - - 74.1 - - 74.5 - - 67.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.7 - - 30.5 - - 29.3 - - 33.4 - - 42.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 90 - - 408 - - 495 - - 285 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1192 - - 4081 - - 6751 - - 6505 - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98457 12 129 13 132 4 120 14 085 12 118 98457 90984 9 124 8 161 10 160 2 063 13 087 90984 85204 10 120 7 199 6 165 2 127 7 086 85204 80403 8 115 9 169 4 192 4 190 2 154 80403 76277 6 123 4 172 1 233 1 129 2 206 76277 72636 6 085 8 164 6 242 3 330 1 214 72636 69349 4 349 3 132 6 230 8 309 4 346 69349 66336 4 012 1 357 3 241 9 300 8 337 66336 63550 11 327 9 313 9 321 10 311 8 320 63550 60853 5 347 5 235 7 288 11 292 4 298 60853 58030 15 314 7 282 7 281 9 273 10 292 58030 55091 27 295 21 281 22 267 20 273 23 271 55091 52282 38 285 34 279 34 267 32 266 29 264 52282 49754 44 278 43 270 43 268 39 266 39 259 49754 47499 52 275 52 269 48 271 43 267 45 258 47499 45474 54 271 57 270 55 268 47 270 50 260 45474 43655 55 269 61 269 60 264 55 270 53 264 43655 42006 54 268 59 267 63 265 60 266 55 265 42006 40481 51 268 55 265 59 267 59 264 58 262 40481 39051 48 270 53 266 57 265 56 263 58 260 39051 37702 47 271 52 266 54 265 54 261 58 259 37702 36399 47 270 51 267 51 267 52 260 57 257 36399 35080 47 271 51 268 49 268 50 262 54 257 35080 33717 47 273 50 271 47 268 47 264 53 259 33717 32314 47 275 51 274 48 269 46 267 51 261 32314 30861 49 276 55 276 52 270 46 268 50 259 30861 29348 53 277 59 276 55 269 48 262 53 256 29348 27779 56 278 62 276 59 268 53 260 57 255 27779 26155 57 278 63 276 61 266 57 261 56 253 26155 24476 54 275 62 274 62 266 56 263 52 252 24476 22745 50 271 58 271 59 268 53 264 47 253 22745 20958 46 270 52 269 53 268 47 264 43 255 20958 19109 42 271 47 269 46 267 42 262 40 256 19109 17234 39 273 42 270 42 268 38 260 36 258 17234 15428 36 275 37 272 38 270 33 259 33 258 15428 13783 32 277 33 272 32 272 28 256 29 255 13783 12316 29 278 28 271 26 270 22 250 25 252 12316 11005 26 280 23 269 20*265 14*252 22 249 11005 9831 24 281 19 265 14*262 12*264 16 249 9831 8779 22 281 16 260 13 264 10 284 11 262 8779 7840 20 281 11*259 12 268 10 300 8 288 7840 7004 18 279 9*263 12 274 11 313 8 321 7004 6259 16 275 9 269 11 278 12 320 10 341 6259 5585 15 269 8 275 11 282 13 323 12 350 5585 4984 13*260 8 279 11 285 13 326 13 352 4984 4479 10*245 8 283 11 288 13 327 13 353 4479 4088 8 240 7 286 10 290 13 329 13 354 4088 3818 7 239 7 288 10 291 13 329 13 354 3818 3653 7 239 7 288 10 291 13 330 12 354 3653 3558 6 238 6 289 9 292 11 330 9*355 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography