DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/19 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 65.2 - - 82.1 - - 90.0 - - - - - 81.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 70 - - 364 - - 498 - - - - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 521 - - 3031 - - 7146 - - - - - 156 BL Depth Hcrit 3541 - - 5409 - - 8779 - - - - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top 3924 - - 6434 - - 10549 - - - - - 3559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 932 - - 2002 - - 2680 - - - - - 5020 Hgt.Variab. W* 137 - - 428 - - 632 - - - - - 16 W* B/S 8 - - 34 - - 30 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 4 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction 185 - - 250 - - 313 - - - - - 013 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 6 - - 18 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -4 - - -6 - - - - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4428 - - -8019 - - -5924 - - - - - -10492 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8353 - - 14454 - - 16474 - - - - - 14052 sfcLCL ODpotential -11738 - - -12562 - - -9300 - - - - - -15297 ODpotential blCL 15662 - - 18996 - - 19849 - - - - - 18856 blCL maxRH 44 - - 65 - - 82 - - - - - 77 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 65.2 - - 82.1 - - 90.0 - - - - - 81.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.3 - - 31.0 - - 29.3 - - - - - 32.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.4 - - 79.7 - - 86.9 - - - - - 81.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.3 - - 30.9 - - 29.2 - - - - - 32.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 70 - - 364 - - 498 - - - - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 521 - - 3031 - - 7146 - - - - - 156 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 28 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99713 35 095 33 120 20 106 26 107 99713 92188 32 097 25 105 22 111 30 084 92188 86387 27 092 21 108 24 107 24 087 86387 81561 25 081 18 099 20 101 24 095 81561 77409 24 088 23 103 19 111 24 090 77409 73748 20 075 23 094 21 116 13 106 73748 70445 13 102 16 098 14 112 17 122 70445 67417 10 132 9 097 11 143 16 113 67417 64618 10 125 7 109 7 136 8 125 64618 61908 5 120 15 173 9 162 5 153 61908 59078 7 270 10 246 4 252 3 198 59078 56153 19 223 27 225 23 239 17 246 56153 53384 31 225 36 223 38 230 29 242 53384 50908 33 225 35 228 43 236 37 251 50908 48691 55 260 59 249 60 244 60 251 48691 46688 90 242 90 232 92 235 81 241 46688 44861 90 232 85 230 98 229 84 240 44861 43168 86 240 96 252 90 250 84 243 43168 41582 96 249 112 252 103 249 88 245 41582 40087 98 248 112 247 106 243 88 247 40087 38677 90 246 112 245 103 242 87 251 38677 37319 83 245 94 246 101 241 87 252 37319 35947 77 244 75 241 94 243 82 251 35947 34535 71 245 67 240 76 243 77 246 34535 33084 67 246 64 241 66 240 76 245 33084 31583 65 247 63 243 60 243 69 241 31583 30023 58 247 60 244 57 245 63 235 30023 28409 49 245 56 244 56 243 56 243 28409 26740 45 246 47 246 53 242 50 249 26740 25016 42 246 38 247 46 241 45 248 25016 23239 38 244 31 245 38 242 41 244 23239 21408 32 243 29 239 35 240 40 241 21408 19516 29 243 34 237 40 238 39 239 19516 17594 28 242 37 236 44 238 36 240 17594 15743 27 241 33 235 40 238 33 243 15743 14056 24 244 25 232 30 233 28 234 14056 12550 21 250 18 231 19 222 23 214 12550 11204 19 254 13 231 13*220 17 209 11204 9997 18 259 12 234 11*223 9 215 9997 8917 17 267 12 236 7 234 3 286 8917 7952 14 274 12 235 4 257 7 346 7952 7095 10 272 9*234 4 309 10 000 7095 6330 6 252 6*232 6 345 12 008 6330 5639 5 224 4 236 7 352 14 016 5639 5022 4 183 2 250 8 355 15 018 5022 4503 5 150 1 269 8 357 15 018 4503 4103 5*167 1 296 9 358 14 017 4103 3825 4*185 1 310 9 359 13 016 3825 3656 3 185 1 319 9 358 11*016 3656 3559 3 187 1 320 8 359 7*013 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography