DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/19 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.2 - - 75.3 - - 76.4 - - 65.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 135 - - 309 - - 110 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1592 - - 5169 - - 4858 - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4002 - - 7001 - - 6180 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4995 - - 8572 - - 8261 - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2133 - - 1716 - - 2637 - - 723 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 252 - - 484 - - 336 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 29 - - 30 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 172 - - 158 - - 073 - - 019 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -9 - - -10 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2749 - - -3408 - - -4976 - - -6530 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7745 - - 11981 - - 13238 - - 10089 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8553 - - -8158 - - -9514 - - -13266 ODpotential blCL - - - 13548 - - 16730 - - 17775 - - 16824 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 76 - - 81 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.2 - - 75.3 - - 76.4 - - 65.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.7 - - 35.0 - - 30.6 - - 33.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.0 - - 73.2 - - 75.2 - - 68.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.8 - - 34.8 - - 30.5 - - 33.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 135 - - 309 - - 110 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1592 - - 5169 - - 4858 - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 3 - - 23 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98569 12 274 10 304 22 313 27 317 98569 91271 14 318 9 309 16 308 21 306 91271 85624 10 320 16 317 14 318 14 306 85624 80898 11 302 21 293 16 322 12 313 80898 76801 11 284 17 288 16 304 15 307 76801 73168 13 291 13 274 17 277 21 288 73168 69885 18 279 15 272 17 276 21 287 69885 66869 19 288 21 282 20 287 19 288 66869 64069 23 282 26 278 24 281 22 290 64069 61358 22 274 27 269 29 273 25 291 61358 58530 24 266 27 265 30 273 28 289 58530 55594 26 268 25 267 28 273 29 284 55594 52795 25 277 22 270 28 275 29 281 52795 50279 28 281 23 273 29 275 27 279 50279 48025 32 279 25 277 31 275 25 283 48025 45982 32 276 27 279 32 277 23 291 45982 44117 29 272 28 279 31 278 24 301 44117 42406 25 268 30 274 30 285 25 305 42406 40826 22 274 28 275 32 289 25 302 40826 39361 24 293 29 284 31 284 26 299 39361 37998 29 305 31 293 31 284 31 292 37998 36695 32 305 31 295 30 284 31 284 36695 35377 31 304 30 294 30 285 31 284 35377 34015 29 305 29 291 31 286 31 285 34015 32615 27 306 27 290 30 286 30 284 32615 31163 23 306 26 295 28 290 29 287 31163 29648 22 309 25 297 25 295 26 290 29648 28073 21 314 24 299 22 296 21 291 28073 26439 22 319 23 303 20 296 19 293 26439 24747 22 324 21 309 17 295 18 296 24747 23001 18 324 18 316 16 296 17 299 23001 21192 14 329 16 320 16 304 16 309 21192 19315 11 345 12 336 12 322 13 321 19315 17409 9 355 8 003 7 336 8 324 17409 15572 8 002 7 008 5 345 7 326 15572 13897 4 013 5 351 4 002 5 340 13897 12406 2 080 3 335 1 043 2 296 12406 11080 3 102 1 210 3 191 5 219 11080 9896 4 111 5 183 4 174 8 188 9896 8836 4 130 5*175 4*160 8 168 8836 7886 4 147 5*172 3*151 7 157 7886 7040 4 161 4 169 2 126 6 140 7040 6285 5 174 4 163 2 091 4 103 6285 5604 5*176 3 157 2 068 5 052 5604 4996 5*175 3 150 3 051 9 033 4996 4486 4 173 2 140 3 043 12 028 4486 4091 4 171 2 130 3 039 13 025 4091 3819 3 168 2 125 3 037 12 023 3819 3653 3 168 2 122 3 036 8*021 3653 3558 2 168 2 120 3 035 5*019 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography