DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/21 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 27.6 - - 41.5 - - 49.6 - - - - - 37.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -25 - - 66 - - 144 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 718 - - 1843 - - - - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit 3539 - - 3540 - - 4191 - - - - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top 3556 - - 4121 - - 5246 - - - - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 98 - - 699 - - 1121 - - - - - 244 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 151 - - 266 - - - - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 55 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 5 - - 1 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction 148 - - 295 - - 015 - - - - - 170 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 2 - - -2 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1072 - - -3151 - - -4854 - - - - - -3448 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4628 - - 7273 - - 10101 - - - - - 7004 sfcLCL ODpotential -15864 - - -15187 - - -14553 - - - - - -14992 ODpotential blCL 19420 - - 19308 - - 19799 - - - - - 18548 blCL maxRH 52 - - 54 - - 84 - - - - - 36 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 27.6 - - 41.5 - - 49.6 - - - - - 37.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 20.3 - - 22.6 - - 18.1 - - - - - 19.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 31.8 - - 40.9 - - 48.4 - - - - - 42.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 20.3 - - 22.0 - - 17.8 - - - - - 19.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -25 - - 66 - - 144 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 718 - - 1843 - - - - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 36 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96722 23 097 28 088 30 092 28 077 96722 89704 31 081 35 101 25 094 26 091 89704 84216 24 092 29 100 14 098 25 094 84216 79602 20 110 19 101 11 102 15 096 79602 75588 14 102 13 112 12 129 10 122 75588 72013 6 078 8 121 11 139 6 131 72013 68764 6 142 2 174 4 129 2 074 68764 65775 13 147 4 218 3 262 1 238 65775 63005 6 125 6 189 8 243 7 276 63005 60332 8 304 5 209 8 236 13 270 60332 57560 11 253 9 244 9 274 12 269 57560 54693 10 215 12 245 17 277 14 282 54693 51963 10 222 12 259 18 281 16 307 51963 49513 7 252 8 275 15 276 16 312 49513 47323 5 298 6 316 10 267 23 322 47323 45346 9 330 12 341 14 350 24 314 45346 43542 14 337 23 357 22 345 20 326 43542 41881 26 011 28 002 33 012 34 342 41881 40345 38 032 47 014 56 001 39 341 40345 38910 64 018 63 008 60 002 35 338 38910 37560 77 011 67 006 54 006 29 336 37560 36259 74 013 62 009 44 005 26 336 36259 34942 65 018 57 014 38 007 29 334 34942 33583 56 027 51 017 36 006 34 327 33583 32188 54 024 44 023 32 005 36 318 32188 30744 53 023 40 025 25 010 36 314 30744 29239 48 030 34 024 20 004 34 315 29239 27673 40 039 22 017 19 350 31 317 27673 26048 37 045 20 015 20 341 31 323 26048 24366 33 030 23 007 27 343 32 332 24366 22630 32 015 25 004 28 355 32 340 22630 20835 25 018 25 000 23 010 33 346 20835 18975 17 025 23 005 20 004 34 353 18975 17085 21 007 21 018 21 358 30 359 17085 15266 23 020 16 031 17 001 19 009 15266 13609 20 033 12 047 13 009 13 020 13609 12132 15 036 8 075 8 015 12 029 12132 10818 11 035 5 113 4 358 7 034 10818 9650 9 026 3 127 3 339 2 026 9650 8613 8 014 2 069 3 336 2 153 8613 7692 6 002 4 011 2 350 3 156 7692 6878 2 309 5 340 2 033 3 187 6878 6155 4 210 8 334 1 072 3 212 6155 5504 5 223 10 337 1*082 4 198 5504 4924 9 245 9 331 1*043 3 179 4924 4438 13 240 9*316 1 028 2 162 4438 4063 12 223 7*301 1 011 2 141 4063 3804 10 187 5 294 1 004 2 138 3804 3646 9*158 5 292 1 005 3 159 3646 3556 6*148 4 292 1 002 3*170 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography