DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/01 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1332z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.3 - - 71.3 - - 72.7 - - 68.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 347 - - 494 - - 289 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3089 - - 5497 - - 5846 - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5441 - - 7447 - - 7501 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6492 - - 8900 - - 9249 - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2107 - - 1851 - - 1992 - - 6695 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 425 - - 578 - - 494 - - 22 W* B/S - - - 52 - - 27 - - 13 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 4 - - 7 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 134 - - 014 - - 358 - - 002 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -13 - - -11 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3571 - - -5101 - - -5162 - - -8319 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10064 - - 14002 - - 14412 - - 11877 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8450 - - -8335 - - -8423 - - -11290 ODpotential blCL - - - 14942 - - 17235 - - 17672 - - 14848 blCL maxRH - - - 39 - - 42 - - 63 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.3 - - 71.3 - - 72.7 - - 68.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.6 - - 21.9 - - 21.4 - - 29.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.1 - - 68.4 - - 70.6 - - 69.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.9 - - 21.3 - - 20.9 - - 28.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 347 - - 494 - - 289 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3089 - - 5497 - - 5846 - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98720 19 109 12 109 17 081 19 094 98720 91262 17 113 14 108 16 084 22 080 91262 85535 13 105 16 092 12 091 21 074 85535 80791 15 112 14 086 13 089 14 081 80791 76722 17 110 11 089 15 094 11 085 76722 73136 19 102 9 109 14 089 11 095 73136 69878 9 113 8 114 13 096 10 084 69878 66861 6 136 7 124 8 098 7 096 66861 64044 7 165 4 140 2 131 4 129 64044 61298 10 182 6 194 4 232 3 130 61298 58415 10 180 10 205 7 232 4 197 58415 55415 8 200 11 208 10 244 7 235 55415 52548 7 213 11 203 10 235 10 243 52548 49973 6 269 6 234 4 247 7 240 49973 47674 9 265 7 270 7 309 5 281 47674 45599 7 267 9 297 11 320 8 328 45599 43712 8 290 11 306 14 326 13 330 43712 41979 8 321 13 332 13 329 15 341 41979 40377 13 335 13 336 14 345 19 344 40377 38895 16 345 15 348 15 349 24 336 38895 37523 18 340 14 359 16 011 15 333 37523 36222 21 336 15 014 15 047 15 051 36222 34920 23 335 11 019 22 069 24 052 34920 33578 26 333 7 063 23 072 27 045 33578 32197 28 336 10 078 19 097 14 054 32197 30762 29 337 13 080 13 089 4 050 30762 29267 22 339 21 084 16 080 9 010 29267 27712 15 347 19 086 13 075 15 017 27712 26097 8 356 15 090 11 050 20 017 26097 24425 4 036 10 091 6 019 19 010 24425 22701 5 041 4 074 6 320 18 002 22701 20920 7 013 3 006 10 305 17 348 20920 19076 8 005 6 336 12 325 16 340 19076 17208 7 010 7 329 13 333 14 323 17208 15412 8 014 7 319 11 332 11 305 15412 13776 8 006 6 316 8 332 9 290 13776 12314 6 353 5 319 5 317 9 256 12314 11006 3 337 2 308 2 316 8 244 11006 9835 2 285 1*034 4*358 4 245 9835 8785 3 227 1*039 5*001 2 336 8785 7846 4 176 2 032 5 000 4 360 7846 7010 4*157 3 024 6 359 8 006 7010 6264 4*151 4 017 7 358 11 006 6264 5589 3 146 4 012 7 358 12 006 5589 4987 2 136 5 009 8 358 13 005 4987 4480 1 115 6 007 8 357 13 004 4480 4089 1 070 6 007 8 357 13 003 4089 3818 1 036 6 007 8 357 12 003 3818 3653 1 026 6 006 8 357 11 003 3653 3558 1 023 6 005 7 357 8*002 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography