DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/19 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.4 - - 90.5 - - 90.5 - - 79.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 290 - - 446 - - 238 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3061 - - 7523 - - 5307 - - 156 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5355 - - 9035 - - 6987 - - 3543 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6464 - - 10926 - - 8710 - - 3559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2042 - - 3144 - - 6547 - - 3901 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 397 - - 619 - - 448 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 22 - - 60 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 2 - - 11 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 189 - - 263 - - 006 - - 003 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 13 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -8 - - -8 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7506 - - -5635 - - -8372 - - -10820 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13971 - - 16562 - - 17083 - - 14379 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12025 - - -8331 - - -11622 - - -16481 ODpotential blCL - - - 18489 - - 19257 - - 20332 - - 20040 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 63 - - 52 - - 55 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.4 - - 90.5 - - 90.5 - - 79.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.5 - - 29.4 - - 27.0 - - 28.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.4 - - 87.5 - - 88.4 - - 81.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.4 - - 29.4 - - 27.0 - - 28.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 290 - - 446 - - 238 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3061 - - 7523 - - 5307 - - 156 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 58 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99539 18 120 13 105 14 081 20 087 99539 92025 14 099 17 116 11 103 16 094 92025 86205 14 125 11 106 11 118 8 091 86205 81359 14 108 10 121 10 088 9 118 81359 77195 11 087 10 123 6 094 8 074 77195 73539 8 059 10 103 4 135 9 042 73539 70251 4 018 7 052 5 136 4 046 70251 67232 3 348 5 349 3 061 4 069 67232 64436 3 290 4 310 5 302 4 272 64436 61734 8 295 7 297 6 324 0 270 61734 58911 10 283 15 253 13 274 8 274 58911 55980 14 249 22 233 22 239 18 237 55980 53175 18 252 17 236 18 241 21 247 53175 50640 36 248 33 254 36 253 37 246 50640 48386 42 240 48 239 49 243 43 245 48386 46372 50 236 51 242 51 248 49 252 46372 44553 58 236 59 254 66 255 59 254 44553 42879 64 250 73 256 72 254 64 251 42879 41313 78 254 78 256 72 251 65 247 41313 39841 79 254 77 252 70 248 66 246 39841 38457 75 256 73 252 66 249 64 247 38457 37128 69 257 68 253 63 251 59 247 37128 35788 62 257 65 252 62 252 56 249 35788 34405 54 253 59 257 60 252 55 251 34405 32982 47 248 49 252 55 253 55 252 32982 31505 42 235 48 240 47 249 55 251 31505 29967 42 229 48 235 47 241 52 250 29967 28370 42 233 44 238 49 238 47 247 28370 26714 37 236 40 241 43 243 44 244 26714 25000 32 239 37 245 35 243 40 247 25000 23232 30 237 32 244 31 239 31 247 23232 21404 26 227 28 240 30 238 29 239 21404 19511 21 229 26 236 29 237 29 236 19511 17589 20 232 23 233 27 232 28 238 17589 15741 18 233 19 227 19 216 24 223 15741 14059 15 242 16 220 15 208 17 194 14059 12558 13 248 12 215 13 207 14 184 12558 11212 11 246 11*212 8 211 10 173 11212 10006 11 236 9*212 4 225 4 165 10006 8925 11 228 7 214 2*315 5 004 8925 7960 10 222 4 220 4*350 10 358 7960 7101 8*211 2 235 8 003 13 000 7101 6335 5*200 2 327 11 006 14 005 6335 5642 4 193 3 347 12 007 16 012 5642 5024 3 188 4 355 13 007 17 013 5024 4505 3 185 5 357 13 007 18 012 4505 4103 2 179 5 359 13 007 17 012 4103 3825 2 175 5 358 13 007 15 009 3825 3656 2 174 5 359 12 007 11*006 3656 3559 2 173 5 360 11 007 7*003 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography