DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/31 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.3 - - 53.2 - - - - - 45.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 99 - - 178 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2372 - - 3552 - - - - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4432 - - 5527 - - - - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5775 - - 6955 - - - - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2657 - - 2891 - - - - - 3878 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 268 - - 357 - - - - - 9 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 12 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 242 - - 258 - - - - - 303 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 13 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - 22 - - - - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1107 - - 596 - - - - - -938 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4669 - - 6360 - - - - - 4495 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -192 - - -143 - - - - - -3372 ODpotential blCL - - - 5967 - - 7098 - - - - - 6929 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 100 - - - - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 150 - - 160 - - - - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.3 - - 53.2 - - - - - 45.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.0 - - 37.4 - - - - - 37.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.4 - - 51.7 - - - - - 48.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.7 - - 37.1 - - - - - 37.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 99 - - 178 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2372 - - 3552 - - - - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 93 - - 100 - - - - - 67 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96277 16 269 10 294 17 308 96277 89083 5 296 11 275 12 346 89083 83584 9 293 14 261 15 338 83584 79021 16 268 18 265 15 315 79021 75075 15 263 27 273 16 289 75075 71556 18 279 33 277 14 286 71556 68325 31 280 36 272 17 299 68325 65329 35 273 34 264 28 290 65329 62543 34 273 30 260 31 285 62543 59827 34 275 29 265 30 283 59827 56974 34 276 34 271 33 281 56974 53999 34 277 39 273 36 281 53999 51156 36 278 43 273 38 279 51156 48605 39 279 45 272 37 276 48605 46327 44 280 45 271 38 280 46327 44268 46 276 44 269 42 280 44268 42395 46 270 46 267 43 275 42395 40685 45 267 43 264 41 271 40685 39114 41 262 39 264 36 269 39114 37662 35 261 37 261 33 273 37662 36315 32 264 30 259 32 275 36315 35032 31 265 25 267 29 272 35032 33750 29 264 21 277 26 267 33750 32441 27 262 17 283 28 261 32441 31105 26 262 14 295 29 256 31105 29722 25 261 14 304 29 253 29722 28281 26 260 14 295 29 253 28281 26782 30 257 17 271 28 256 26782 25227 32 254 23 260 27 260 25227 23618 31 250 29 256 27 260 23618 21957 32 244 32 253 27 258 21957 20240 34 244 32 253 27 256 20240 18463 36 248 31 255 29 255 18463 16662 35 253 30 257 31 252 16662 14935 33 257 29 254 33 248 14935 13365 30 259 29 251 32 244 13365 11965 29 258 31 253 32 244 11965 10713 31 256 30 252 31 245 10713 9592 31 256 28 250 29 248 9592 8585 28 259 25 248 27 251 8585 7683 23 261 23*248 24 253 7683 6880 19 258 19*248 21 255 6880 6162 15*252 16 251 18 257 6162 5513 13*246 14 255 15 260 5513 4934 11 241 11 261 12 265 4934 4446 10 241 9 269 10 273 4446 4069 10 241 9 272 8 285 4069 3808 9 241 9 274 7 297 3808 3648 8 241 8 275 5*303 3648 3557 7 241 7 276 3*303 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography