DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 04/03 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.5 - - 59.3 - - - - - 51.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 307 - - 416 - - - - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3218 - - 4911 - - - - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5492 - - 6914 - - - - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6621 - - 8314 - - - - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1043 - - 1207 - - - - - 2608 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 411 - - 524 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 79 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 1 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 203 - - 256 - - - - - 006 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 1 - - - - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3774 - - -4715 - - - - - -7017 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10396 - - 13030 - - - - - 10575 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8974 - - -8187 - - - - - -11987 ODpotential blCL - - - 15595 - - 16501 - - - - - 15544 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 71 - - - - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.5 - - 59.3 - - - - - 51.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 17.6 - - 14.4 - - - - - 17.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.5 - - 56.9 - - - - - 54.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.5 - - 14.1 - - - - - 17.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 307 - - 416 - - - - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3218 - - 4911 - - - - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 12 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96555 14 276 20 276 18 268 96555 89415 10 221 14 260 12 253 89415 83963 10 192 9 263 10 278 83963 79432 8 208 10 245 12 301 79432 75487 9 256 11 256 13 283 75487 71967 8 255 13 285 12 295 71967 68764 9 271 16 285 13 284 68764 65809 14 293 16 289 11 280 65809 63060 18 298 18 292 16 286 63060 60390 21 283 23 294 20 280 60390 57596 18 291 31 298 25 289 57596 54689 29 301 35 295 31 291 54689 51903 32 300 35 291 34 283 51903 49380 33 299 34 290 34 280 49380 47106 37 295 37 286 34 285 47106 45038 39 293 39 289 36 290 45038 43160 41 298 44 297 41 294 43160 41463 47 304 48 299 48 297 41463 39917 53 310 46 306 51 299 39917 38488 60 315 47 314 54 302 38488 37154 61 316 49 317 55 304 37154 35875 56 316 48 318 52 304 35875 34585 50 319 45 319 48 304 34585 33253 48 322 42 320 46 304 33253 31884 46 325 40 320 44 306 31884 30465 43 325 39 319 41 309 30465 28983 38 323 36 317 38 311 28983 27441 34 319 33 312 36 311 27441 25838 32 315 32 306 34 310 25838 24179 31 312 31 299 33 310 24179 22469 31 311 29 299 32 312 22469 20704 30 314 29 309 30 315 20704 18876 25 315 30 316 28 316 18876 17022 20 319 27 318 25 314 17022 15238 17 323 21 315 20 312 15238 13614 15 326 15 316 16 310 13614 12165 12 330 10 317 12 305 12165 10870 8 334 6 315 8 294 10870 9710 6 327 2 295 6 248 9710 8674 4 309 2*223 5 202 8674 7751 4 259 2*223 3 197 7751 6930 7*213 2 227 2 340 6930 6199 6*209 1 237 4 357 6199 5538 6 205 1 249 7 005 5538 4950 6 204 1 272 9 011 4950 4455 5 201 1 292 11 014 4455 4074 5 200 1 310 12 015 4074 3810 5 198 1 315 11 013 3810 3649 4 197 1 319 9*009 3649 3557 4 198 1 320 5*006 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography