DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/03 Beloit_WI 817ft pt38417@42.519,-89.104,854ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: ChicagoLand Glider Council RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.9 - - 88.5 - - 91.1 - - 82.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 30 - - 89 - - 0 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 644 - - 1896 - - 32 - - 31 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 831 - - 1487 - - 832 - - 832 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1461 - - 2713 - - 849 - - 848 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 772 - - 1605 - - 9387 - - 2052 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 128 - - 247 - - 38 - - 20 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 6 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 8 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 238 - - 216 - - 214 - - 156 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2002 - - -1677 - - -4115 - - -1310 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3463 - - 4390 - - 4965 - - 2158 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5397 - - -4005 - - -5445 - - -4675 ODpotential blCL - - - 6858 - - 6718 - - 6294 - - 5523 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 80 - - 88 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - 2480 - - 2580 - - 3050 - - 3530 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.9 - - 88.5 - - 91.1 - - 82.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 72.2 - - 71.8 - - 71.9 - - 75.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.5 - - 87.6 - - 91.1 - - 83.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 71.3 - - 70.4 - - 70.5 - - 74.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 30 - - 89 - - 0 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 644 - - 1896 - - 32 - - 31 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 80 - - 18 - - 50 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 17 - - 16 - - 17 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99107 12 147 8 167 4 202 10 072 99107 91632 11 125 6 149 9 169 4 205 91632 85886 9 060 6 148 4 158 3 148 85886 81118 9 044 10 141 2 192 6 043 81118 77001 8 044 5 109 4 152 4 337 77001 73365 5 020 7 082 7 142 4 271 73365 70082 2 025 4 050 3 085 2 235 70082 67070 1 046 4 272 2 320 3 294 67070 64294 3 244 7 255 4 230 7 268 64294 61617 7 213 13 255 12 272 19 251 61617 58842 8 256 18 253 19 261 24 255 58842 55988 29 274 20 260 27 262 25 268 55988 53276 43 262 38 264 39 265 34 262 53276 50840 52 260 50 258 51 260 49 263 50840 48658 58 267 61 262 65 260 63 265 48658 46673 66 272 70 264 73 262 72 265 46673 44846 72 273 75 265 77 265 78 265 44846 43150 73 271 78 267 80 265 74 267 43150 41566 72 270 77 268 79 267 64 269 41566 40082 70 271 72 267 74 267 57 269 40082 38686 68 274 66 269 70 264 57 267 38686 37335 63 276 60 268 65 259 62 264 37335 35956 59 274 57 262 61 261 65 261 35956 34519 55 269 55 256 58 260 64 264 34519 33026 53 262 53 255 56 259 62 269 33026 31466 51 259 50 256 53 259 53 272 31466 29829 48 262 45 258 51 261 48 267 29829 28114 43 271 40 260 46 264 45 267 28114 26318 37 276 37 260 40 265 43 272 26318 24446 33 268 36 264 37 272 39 274 24446 22496 32 272 36 270 35 273 36 266 22496 20466 30 266 33 265 31 271 35 267 20466 18353 26 264 24 257 26 261 29 270 18353 16201 20 262 19 266 19 260 26 294 16201 14129 19 252 18 250 16 256 27 301 14129 12240 20 236 19 229 18 230 20 297 12240 10560 18 234 22 228 21 235 21 275 10560 9068 18 248 20 232 20 231 22 252 9068 7741 16 253 17 232 19 237 22 245 7741 6558 15 259 17 248 20 244 21 241 6558 5506 18 270 20 246 20 243 21 239 5506 4576 19 274 21 245 18 240 19 234 4576 3754 20 259 19 244 14 228 17 223 3754 3018 23 247 15*240 12 221 15 196 3018 2368 23 245 9*221 11 219 16 175 2368 1826 21*244 8 217 10 217 15 166 1826 1409 13*239 8 215 10 216 13 162 1409 1122 12 238 7 214 9 215 11 160 1122 948 11 237 7 213 8*215 9*158 948 848 8 237 6 213 7*214 5*156 848 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography