DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/29 BarrenRidge_CA 4167ft pt28354@35.178,-118.205,3881ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF IN MEMORY OF: Team Oscar Delta (Mark Navarre) RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.3 - - 59.2 - - 62.7 - - 59.8 - - 53.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 182 - - 289 - - 40 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 104 - - 1983 - - 3541 - - 2810 - - 450 BL Depth Hcrit 4146 - - 5171 - - 6491 - - 4146 - - 4146 Hcrit BL Top 4271 - - 6150 - - 7708 - - 6977 - - 4617 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1440 - - 1135 - - 1152 - - 1482 - - 1382 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 297 - - 420 - - 202 - - 15 W* B/S 1 - - 9 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 6 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 325 - - 160 - - 201 - - 242 - - 295 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 12 - - 11 - - -11 - - -32 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3936 - - -3598 - - -405 - - -192 - - -805 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8207 - - 9748 - - 8114 - - 7169 - - 5422 sfcLCL ODpotential -11193 - - -8713 - - -4037 - - -4431 - - -5558 ODpotential blCL 15464 - - 14863 - - 11745 - - 11408 - - 10175 blCL maxRH 84 - - 85 - - 76 - - 90 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.3 - - 59.2 - - 62.7 - - 59.8 - - 53.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.3 - - 31.1 - - 41.4 - - 42.6 - - 43.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.8 - - 58.7 - - 61.6 - - 60.3 - - 55.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.1 - - 31.0 - - 41.3 - - 42.6 - - 43.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 182 - - 289 - - 40 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 104 - - 1983 - - 3541 - - 2810 - - 450 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 37 - - 38 - - 3 - - 62 - - 30 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96983 45 276 52 264 53 271 57 268 57 277 96983 89736 34 262 37 265 36 270 39 269 45 275 89736 84173 25 259 31 273 28 266 25 271 32 273 84173 79551 16 265 24 272 25 259 24 277 25 271 79551 75567 14 259 24 260 25 260 25 275 22 264 75567 72041 18 243 27 246 29 255 29 268 21 255 72041 68827 22 244 27 239 27 251 27 256 20 254 68827 65845 23 256 24 233 27 247 27 248 22 260 65845 63065 27 257 24 234 30 240 28 243 31 259 63065 60362 29 253 23 239 29 238 28 241 37 244 60362 57529 30 256 25 253 30 246 30 252 32 248 57529 54591 34 253 31 254 36 250 38 257 37 264 54591 51819 33 250 34 249 36 250 47 251 46 270 51819 49346 32 255 34 248 35 255 49 248 51 262 49346 47134 35 258 36 254 37 256 44 250 53 254 47134 45130 38 255 36 256 38 252 41 253 50 252 45130 43302 39 250 36 256 40 253 40 259 45 256 43302 41623 38 245 35 258 40 254 42 263 44 262 41623 40070 39 238 36 260 39 254 43 261 47 265 40070 38628 38 232 35 257 38 254 42 256 51 264 38628 37280 36 230 36 252 37 254 40 251 51 264 37280 35991 37 225 34 246 36 253 41 247 44 264 35991 34693 36 223 32 245 37 251 41 244 36 255 34693 33358 34 225 30 245 38 249 44 241 34 237 33358 31991 31 226 30 241 36 247 47 232 37 226 31991 30581 30 227 30 241 34 245 41 234 40 224 30581 29117 29 226 29 243 31 243 35 237 42 228 29117 27600 28 225 28 235 28 238 30 242 41 224 27600 26026 29 225 30 221 28 233 28 241 39 217 26026 24396 29 229 30 227 33 224 31 228 39 214 24396 22719 27 228 30 229 35 221 33 225 37 217 22719 20994 25 226 30 225 34 224 33 227 33 224 20994 19216 23 228 28 224 31 225 31 226 28 226 19216 17412 20 230 22 222 25 223 26 223 23 222 17412 15675 16 233 18 217 20 218 22 221 20 215 15675 14091 13 237 16 217 16 220 19 220 17 210 14091 12675 11 238 14 215 14 222 16 221 13 208 12675 11407 11 233 13 211 13 220 14 223 11 205 11407 10270 11 223 14 203 13 208 13 220 12 199 10270 9250 11 206 14 193 14 200 12 217 12 190 9250 8337 11 189 14 186 12*202 9 224 11 187 8337 7524 11 178 12 182 10*204 9*245 10 191 7524 6798 9 165 11*178 10 204 9*250 10 203 6798 6140 8 163 8*173 10 203 10 247 9 224 6140 5554 7 180 5 162 10 201 10 242 10 260 5554 5061 6 197 5 158 10 199 10 240 12 285 5061 4679 4 200 5 155 10 197 10 237 14*295 4679 4416 2*194 5 154 10 196 9 235 12*296 4416 4255 0*274 5 152 9 195 9 235 10 295 4255 4163 1 331 5 153 8 195 7 234 6 292 4163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography