DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/05 BarrenRidge_CA 4167ft pt28354@35.178,-118.205,3881ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF IN MEMORY OF: Team Oscar Delta (Mark Navarre) RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 66.9 - - 78.6 - - 83.8 - - 82.8 - - 73.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 306 - - 374 - - 86 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3850 - - 7598 - - 7751 - - 302 BL Depth Hcrit 4148 - - 6742 - - 9782 - - 8846 - - 4148 Hcrit BL Top 4165 - - 8017 - - 11765 - - 11918 - - 4469 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2596 - - 2963 - - 1893 - - 2084 - - 8615 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 438 - - 588 - - 362 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 11 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 9 - - 9 - - 6 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 041 - - 107 - - 109 - - 094 - - 144 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 1 - - 3 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 15 - - 20 - - -16 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4738 - - -3437 - - -1169 - - -1320 - - -6936 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8904 - - 11454 - - 12935 - - 13239 - - 11406 sfcLCL ODpotential -11569 - - -7187 - - -5503 - - -5915 - - -13845 ODpotential blCL 15734 - - 15204 - - 17268 - - 17833 - - 18314 blCL maxRH 51 - - 45 - - 43 - - 45 - - 49 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 66.9 - - 78.6 - - 83.8 - - 82.8 - - 73.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.7 - - 42.8 - - 41.2 - - 39.0 - - 38.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 72.5 - - 77.3 - - 82.1 - - 82.9 - - 80.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.7 - - 42.7 - - 41.1 - - 39.0 - - 38.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 306 - - 374 - - 86 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3850 - - 7598 - - 7751 - - 302 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97930 16 249 15 274 15 255 17 233 11 256 97930 90584 10 224 10 248 13 236 11 249 4 283 90584 84934 4 097 6 198 7 250 5 288 3 267 84934 80254 11 083 9 145 1 291 6 000 7 065 80254 76256 16 082 10 107 7 085 9 048 13 052 76256 72751 16 063 14 100 8 079 11 058 15 047 72751 69591 15 055 15 090 7 089 8 045 15 043 69591 66700 10 053 12 054 8 086 8 092 8 048 66700 64025 7 079 8 064 6 053 7 033 11 031 64025 61441 8 029 10 040 10 027 9 357 7 354 61441 58761 9 334 13 336 8 345 10 299 8 313 58761 55992 23 291 22 309 16 314 17 295 18 289 55992 53365 36 297 37 302 36 308 43 307 41 305 53365 51002 47 296 49 296 52 296 52 295 54 295 51002 48864 56 292 53 295 54 296 57 293 58 294 48864 46896 60 293 54 294 53 297 59 295 62 295 46896 45072 60 292 54 290 52 294 61 298 65 299 45072 43369 58 293 55 289 53 291 62 298 65 301 43369 41769 56 296 55 293 54 292 59 296 63 301 41769 40263 56 299 54 297 53 294 57 294 61 299 40263 38847 56 299 52 299 53 295 54 292 56 294 38847 37487 54 297 50 299 52 295 54 292 52 289 37487 36117 53 297 47 300 50 297 51 294 49 290 36117 34707 52 301 46 303 46 300 46 297 46 294 34707 33262 49 307 45 307 43 303 41 297 41 293 33262 31771 42 314 44 310 39 308 39 298 37 294 31771 30225 28 304 37 307 33 309 36 300 33 296 30225 28627 25 288 29 302 31 302 33 299 30 294 28627 26972 23 287 25 301 31 303 32 299 29 293 26972 25261 17 263 21 302 24 310 27 306 26 293 25261 23497 16 232 14 252 14 293 18 313 19 295 23497 21679 14 215 17 210 14 239 13 287 13 291 21679 19804 11 203 14 201 13 223 14 269 13 294 19804 17909 10 192 10 187 8 199 7 269 9 307 17909 16097 8 171 7 156 7 148 1 072 4 051 16097 14458 6 155 8 138 9 137 3 053 8 063 14458 12999 3 121 8 135 9*131 4*046 8 047 12999 11694 2 051 7 127 9*116 5*068 6 042 11694 10522 1 068 9 116 9 109 5 079 6 060 10522 9467 2 097 11 111 10 108 6 085 6 080 9467 8520 5 104 12*111 10 108 6 092 6 096 8520 7675 9 109 12*111 10 108 6 095 6 109 7675 6919 12 113 11 110 10 108 6 099 6 119 6919 6234 13 114 10 108 10 109 6 101 7 124 6234 5622 13 110 9 105 10 109 6 104 6 127 5622 5106 11 099 9 105 10 110 6 105 6 129 5106 4707 9 081 8 105 9 110 6 107 5*133 4707 4430 8 067 8 105 9 110 6 107 3*136 4430 4261 7*055 8 105 9 111 6 107 1 148 4261 4164 4*041 7 105 8 110 5 108 0 287 4164 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography