DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/25 BarrenRidge_CA 4167ft pt28354@35.178,-118.205,3881ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF IN MEMORY OF: Team Oscar Delta (Mark Navarre) RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.8 - - 61.6 - - 67.1 - - 65.6 - - 55.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 185 - - 280 - - 40 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2409 - - 5172 - - 4748 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4146 - - 5483 - - 7728 - - 5635 - - 4147 Hcrit BL Top 4164 - - 6576 - - 9339 - - 8915 - - 4164 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2238 - - 1961 - - 850 - - 1318 - - 1116 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 319 - - 470 - - 239 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 21 - - 18 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 8 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 314 - - 145 - - 259 - - 277 - - 302 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 8 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - 8 - - 15 - - 13 - - -21 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3795 - - -3713 - - -2500 - - -2420 - - -3939 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7960 - - 10290 - - 11839 - - 11335 - - 8103 sfcLCL ODpotential -12051 - - -10113 - - -7843 - - -7812 - - -11169 ODpotential blCL 16215 - - 16689 - - 17182 - - 16727 - - 15333 blCL maxRH 42 - - 44 - - 48 - - 54 - - 64 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.8 - - 61.6 - - 67.1 - - 65.6 - - 55.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.9 - - 31.2 - - 29.7 - - 30.5 - - 34.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.3 - - 61.0 - - 66.2 - - 66.0 - - 58.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.5 - - 30.8 - - 29.5 - - 30.3 - - 34.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 185 - - 280 - - 40 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2409 - - 5172 - - 4748 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97296 20 234 17 248 17 259 20 241 25 269 97296 90001 7 191 9 213 7 244 9 242 9 300 90001 84444 6 102 7 173 9 233 4 288 4 048 84444 79822 4 334 2 131 7 235 6 357 5 102 79822 75835 5 352 1 248 3 234 7 353 1 095 75835 72323 10 342 3 236 3 311 7 334 3 016 72323 69138 5 298 3 192 5 253 9 280 6 321 69138 66190 10 287 2 149 5 209 8 254 7 295 66190 63441 14 236 9 249 10 251 14 249 14 262 63441 60779 9 241 9 241 8 220 13 232 17 243 60779 57998 20 260 12 265 5 273 9 245 17 239 57998 55094 21 251 16 238 13 259 15 242 17 231 55094 52307 16 234 16 223 17 252 18 239 14 242 52307 49793 18 237 16 221 18 243 19 236 20 255 49793 47540 22 245 17 233 18 237 20 239 28 259 47540 45503 20 244 18 231 19 235 22 244 31 262 45503 43658 13 236 13 219 19 230 21 257 25 269 43658 41982 13 260 11 282 16 237 23 266 23 284 41982 40444 21 301 21 294 19 266 24 275 26 289 40444 39013 27 317 22 295 23 276 26 282 27 287 39013 37671 23 324 20 300 24 278 28 283 27 288 37671 36382 20 343 18 307 22 278 29 280 28 285 36382 35084 23 342 18 314 19 280 28 274 30 275 35084 33749 23 348 18 320 18 290 24 272 30 268 33749 32378 23 356 19 323 19 294 21 277 27 268 32378 30961 25 002 19 323 20 294 22 279 26 267 30961 29486 26 003 18 326 19 293 22 278 26 268 29486 27955 26 357 18 330 18 296 21 282 25 270 27955 26367 26 347 18 331 18 301 19 285 23 273 26367 24724 26 342 18 336 18 305 16 291 21 276 24724 23030 26 346 19 343 15 305 15 293 21 280 23030 21278 25 354 18 352 12 313 13 287 17 285 21278 19460 23 359 17 357 10 326 10 287 14 273 19460 17614 19 358 15 357 9 331 8 299 12 263 17614 15837 17 355 13 352 10 332 8 315 9 269 15837 14217 15 359 12 349 10 334 7 326 6 279 14217 12772 13 002 10 348 8 335 6 330 4 288 12772 11482 11 359 8 345 5 329 4 312 3 264 11482 10329 8 345 6 343 5*305 6 283 4 239 10329 9298 5 319 4 335 7*290 7*274 5 242 9298 8376 3 273 2 306 7 283 7*272 6 238 8376 7555 3 234 2 255 6 279 7 273 7 234 7555 6822 4 220 2*209 5 268 8 276 6 239 6822 6159 5 226 2*173 4 243 8 280 6 262 6159 5567 4 236 2 151 4 230 8 280 10 291 5567 5069 3 243 3 143 4 217 8 279 14 304 5069 4684 2 249 3 140 4 209 8 278 15 306 4684 4418 2 275 3 137 4 205 8 278 14 304 4418 4256 2*309 3 136 4 203 7 278 12*303 4256 4163 3*314 3 135 4 200 6 275 7*302 4163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography