DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/14 BarrenRidge_CA 4167ft pt28354@35.178,-118.205,3881ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF IN MEMORY OF: Team Oscar Delta (Mark Navarre) RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.4 - - 62.1 - - 69.1 - - 67.8 - - 55.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 272 - - 332 - - 66 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2211 - - 4410 - - 3626 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4146 - - 5471 - - 7205 - - 5617 - - 4147 Hcrit BL Top 4164 - - 6378 - - 8577 - - 7793 - - 4164 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1533 - - 1261 - - 1101 - - 1604 - - 742 Hgt.Variab. W* 2 - - 350 - - 471 - - 258 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 23 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 8 - - 4 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 008 - - 058 - - 307 - - 289 - - 305 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 12 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - -15 - - 27 - - 13 - - -21 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6280 - - -7688 - - -7174 - - -7164 - - -6981 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10444 - - 14067 - - 15751 - - 14957 - - 11145 sfcLCL ODpotential -17833 - - -16490 - - -14428 - - -14226 - - -16229 ODpotential blCL 21997 - - 22868 - - 23005 - - 22019 - - 20393 blCL maxRH 39 - - 61 - - 47 - - 36 - - 29 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.4 - - 62.1 - - 69.1 - - 67.8 - - 55.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.1 - - 15.5 - - 14.6 - - 17.0 - - 22.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.1 - - 61.3 - - 68.0 - - 67.9 - - 60.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.1 - - 15.4 - - 14.6 - - 17.0 - - 22.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 272 - - 332 - - 66 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2211 - - 4410 - - 3626 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97576 9 220 23 288 24 298 16 295 11 301 97576 90321 3 290 13 272 10 278 16 289 15 319 90321 84723 4 331 8 290 7 288 9 300 9 302 84723 80079 9 306 5 320 4 318 9 304 8 320 80079 76091 9 331 2 087 7 300 8 314 6 343 76091 72582 9 354 8 079 5 258 4 296 6 357 72582 69411 5 326 6 050 3 176 1 224 3 021 69411 66493 2 178 7 129 2 238 2 290 5 358 66493 63787 10 313 6 016 7 188 5 248 6 265 63787 61172 12 294 11 334 4 290 8 314 11 313 61172 58465 12 308 15 324 16 315 18 310 18 313 58465 55680 28 329 21 336 20 320 23 312 20 310 55680 53021 37 335 34 339 22 327 25 306 22 305 53021 50609 45 324 40 337 24 337 22 311 25 302 50609 48424 44 323 45 341 34 339 31 316 31 309 48424 46419 46 330 49 340 41 324 41 314 38 318 46419 44566 53 335 50 340 43 320 46 316 44 320 44566 42841 56 337 52 339 46 323 47 317 49 321 42841 41226 58 340 57 336 49 329 50 322 53 321 41226 39710 63 341 63 337 54 333 53 327 54 322 39710 38286 68 342 69 338 61 334 56 331 55 324 38286 36923 71 342 72 337 68 333 60 334 53 326 36923 35555 77 341 76 336 70 331 62 335 53 330 35555 34158 78 341 78 336 71 330 63 334 54 331 34158 32738 70 344 72 334 66 329 61 333 52 332 32738 31284 62 348 61 333 58 327 56 333 45 335 31284 29779 55 348 51 332 51 329 51 334 42 338 29779 28222 50 342 46 334 45 332 47 339 42 338 28222 26608 50 338 46 336 42 333 42 341 41 338 26608 24939 49 340 45 338 41 336 39 340 38 339 24939 23218 47 344 43 338 39 338 37 342 35 339 23218 21440 43 346 40 339 36 337 34 344 33 340 21440 19600 39 349 37 340 33 335 31 345 31 343 19600 17731 36 351 34 343 31 338 30 348 28 350 17731 15931 33 353 31 348 27 344 28 352 25 359 15931 14293 32 354 29 351 23 349 23 356 18 009 14293 12833 30 353 26 351 21 351 18 359 11 027 12833 11532 26 351 21 350 20 349 14 359 8 047 11532 10368 20 350 17 350 16 340 12 348 8 055 10368 9327 17 359 16 359 12*319 9 324 7 061 9327 8396 16 012 16 013 10*315 8*312 6 057 8396 7569 15 023 15 027 8 313 7*305 4 036 7569 6831 14 031 14*040 5 309 7 297 3 005 6831 6164 12 039 12*048 3 302 7 290 3 339 6164 5570 10 044 9 052 1 286 6 285 7 322 5570 5071 8 045 7 061 1 243 6 282 10 316 5071 4685 7 048 7 065 1 184 6 281 13 312 4685 4418 6 039 7 069 1 168 6 279 13 308 4418 4256 4*029 6 073 1 163 5 278 11*306 4256 4163 3*008 6 074 2 154 4 275 7*305 4163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography