DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/21 BarrenRidge_CA 4167ft pt28354@35.178,-118.205,3881ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF IN MEMORY OF: Team Oscar Delta (Mark Navarre) RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.7 - - 61.4 - - - - - 49.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 95 - - 190 - - - - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 668 - - 1463 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4146 - - 4823 - - - - - 4146 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4835 - - 5630 - - - - - 4163 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 592 - - 811 - - - - - 394 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 168 - - 273 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 20 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 294 - - 292 - - - - - 301 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 11 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -54 - - -59 - - - - - -24 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2466 - - -1905 - - - - - -1930 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7301 - - 7536 - - - - - 6093 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8478 - - -7855 - - - - - -9636 ODpotential blCL - - - 13313 - - 13485 - - - - - 13799 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 85 - - - - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.7 - - 61.4 - - - - - 49.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.4 - - 42.9 - - - - - 37.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.9 - - 61.1 - - - - - 53.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.0 - - 42.6 - - - - - 37.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 95 - - 190 - - - - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 668 - - 1463 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 39 - - - - - 34 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96351 23 292 19 292 19 300 96351 89214 9 340 13 288 17 321 89214 83693 7 345 11 298 12 328 83693 79123 11 000 9 342 12 336 79123 75186 16 314 13 338 15 331 75186 71724 14 314 13 324 8 342 71724 68601 13 303 16 297 10 320 68601 65741 17 291 19 276 16 270 65741 63107 27 282 23 277 21 260 63107 60555 39 265 37 267 29 263 60555 57874 43 260 44 258 43 254 57874 55077 46 262 46 253 54 251 55077 52394 51 260 48 249 56 245 52394 49955 54 262 51 254 57 257 49955 47752 67 263 64 258 75 256 47752 45745 70 259 68 252 78 246 45745 43898 63 262 69 252 74 250 43898 42186 69 265 78 259 82 253 42186 40601 72 263 80 258 91 252 40601 39139 64 256 72 251 83 250 39139 37784 58 251 64 251 74 251 37784 36489 55 258 60 256 70 253 36489 35182 55 263 60 258 68 255 35182 33834 57 263 61 256 67 254 33834 32451 58 261 58 255 66 252 32451 31021 58 261 56 256 63 251 31021 29532 56 261 54 257 60 249 29532 27988 55 261 54 255 56 245 27988 26390 55 261 54 253 53 242 26390 24739 56 261 55 253 53 240 24739 23038 56 261 55 255 54 240 23038 21279 54 262 53 256 53 240 21279 19458 49 261 51 257 49 241 19458 17611 43 260 47 257 44 245 17611 15837 39 259 43 256 40 249 15837 14224 36 258 40 255 37 253 14224 12784 34 258 37 254 35 256 12784 11497 33 258 35 255 32 259 11497 10342 31 259 33 257 30 262 10342 9307 30 259 32 259 28 263 9307 8380 29 260 31 263 26 264 8380 7555 28 260 30 267 25 264 7555 6819 28 262 28 272 24 263 6819 6154 27 267 26*280 22 265 6154 5561 25 276 23*289 21 272 5561 5064 23*287 22 292 21 283 5064 4680 20*293 21 293 21 294 4680 4416 18 294 19 294 19 299 4416 4255 15 294 18 294 16*301 4255 4162 11 293 12 293 7*301 4162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography