DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/03 BarrenRidge_CA 4167ft pt28354@35.178,-118.205,3881ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF IN MEMORY OF: Team Oscar Delta (Mark Navarre) RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.5 - - 72.1 - - 76.1 - - 73.6 - - 64.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 66 - - 425 - - 525 - - 241 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 356 - - 2033 - - 3441 - - 2885 - - 452 BL Depth Hcrit 4146 - - 5462 - - 6599 - - 5930 - - 4147 Hcrit BL Top 4523 - - 6200 - - 7608 - - 7052 - - 4619 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 376 - - 1196 - - 1547 - - 1626 - - 1277 Hgt.Variab. W* 119 - - 396 - - 506 - - 369 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 21 - - 19 - - 18 - - 19 - - 13 BL Wind Direction 307 - - 297 - - 281 - - 284 - - 291 Direction Wind Shear 11 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 9 Wind Shear Max.Converg -79 - - -57 - - -46 - - -54 - - -44 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3558 - - -4747 - - -4687 - - -4609 - - -4938 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8082 - - 10947 - - 12295 - - 11662 - - 9557 sfcLCL ODpotential -13001 - - -12151 - - -11582 - - -11770 - - -13462 ODpotential blCL 17524 - - 18351 - - 19190 - - 18822 - - 18081 blCL maxRH 54 - - 41 - - 34 - - 35 - - 36 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 60.5 - - 72.1 - - 76.1 - - 73.6 - - 64.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.8 - - 38.6 - - 36.6 - - 36.9 - - 37.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.9 - - 70.4 - - 74.1 - - 72.8 - - 66.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.8 - - 38.6 - - 36.5 - - 37.0 - - 37.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 66 - - 425 - - 525 - - 241 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 356 - - 2033 - - 3441 - - 2885 - - 452 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98891 21 128 17 112 17 131 10 135 8 071 98891 91458 25 102 19 114 18 145 10 111 13 078 91458 85710 20 093 18 096 16 131 15 111 17 088 85710 80952 12 093 17 085 15 094 19 104 16 101 80952 76863 12 111 12 085 14 079 18 098 19 098 76863 73255 10 085 14 129 11 078 14 089 17 089 73255 69991 9 083 11 110 6 087 10 072 11 108 69991 66988 5 008 7 107 6 141 2 067 4 113 66988 64203 9 282 1 329 2 168 3 278 2 280 64203 61514 10 273 5 204 9 207 9 260 8 252 61514 58715 21 266 11 262 8 266 8 261 11 250 58715 55828 25 260 20 264 21 271 19 269 17 263 55828 53102 21 263 22 263 25 272 26 270 19 266 53102 50664 27 277 24 270 27 270 32 276 30 278 50664 48479 29 276 26 275 30 267 36 267 39 268 48479 46485 31 269 31 272 33 264 39 261 44 262 46485 44650 38 267 35 265 37 259 43 258 44 259 44650 42951 45 266 39 262 40 261 45 259 43 265 42951 41367 48 266 43 262 43 263 46 260 44 269 41367 39879 50 265 45 263 44 260 47 261 45 270 39879 38478 51 263 45 263 44 257 47 262 45 268 38478 37132 51 261 44 263 45 256 48 262 45 265 37132 35775 52 260 45 261 47 257 49 261 44 261 35775 34382 52 260 47 258 49 256 50 259 43 261 34382 32956 49 263 50 255 50 254 50 257 42 260 32956 31484 46 264 50 253 49 254 49 255 42 260 31484 29956 44 262 48 253 49 254 48 253 43 259 29956 28376 42 259 46 254 48 254 47 255 43 258 28376 26741 40 256 46 255 46 256 44 257 41 257 26741 25054 38 255 43 257 44 258 41 258 39 256 25054 23317 35 256 39 257 42 257 40 260 39 256 23317 21525 30 258 35 255 38 256 38 260 39 257 21525 19673 25 257 31 251 34 254 34 258 36 257 19673 17797 22 255 28 249 32 252 31 256 31 258 17797 15994 22 255 27 250 30 253 28 255 26 259 15994 14352 21 258 26 252 28 254 26 255 23 258 14352 12889 20 261 24 253 25 253 24 254 22 256 12889 11581 17 259 22 253 23 253 21 254 20 253 11581 10411 16 257 20 252 21 253 20 254 19 251 10411 9363 15 259 18 253 20 255 19 254 19 252 9363 8427 14 266 17 259 19*260 19 255 19 253 8427 7594 15 278 18 270 19*268 18*263 19 258 7594 6852 18 290 19*283 18 276 18*274 19 269 6852 6180 22 302 20*294 19 280 19 282 21 281 6180 5582 27 309 20 297 19 283 20 285 22 290 5582 5079 30 312 20 298 19 285 19 287 22 295 5079 4690 29*311 20 298 19 286 19 288 21*295 4690 4422 26*308 19 299 18 286 18 288 17*292 4422 4257 22 307 17 298 16 287 17 288 14 291 4257 4164 14 306 12 297 13 286 12 288 8 288 4164 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography