DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/03 BarrenRidge_CA 4167ft pt28354@35.178,-118.205,3881ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF IN MEMORY OF: Team Oscar Delta (Mark Navarre) RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.0 - - 47.1 - - 47.3 - - 47.6 - - 47.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 40 - - 28 - - 12 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 220 - - 645 - - 677 - - 625 - - 334 BL Depth Hcrit 4146 - - 4146 - - 4146 - - 4146 - - 4146 Hcrit BL Top 4387 - - 4812 - - 4844 - - 4792 - - 4501 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 853 - - 877 - - 1486 - - 1592 - - 1647 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 125 - - 114 - - 83 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 12 - - 13 - - 17 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 211 - - 211 - - 209 - - 226 - - 229 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 7 - - 8 - - 11 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 2 - - -3 - - -10 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 225 - - 650 - - 682 - - 630 - - 339 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4162 - - 4162 - - 4162 - - 4162 - - 4162 sfcLCL ODpotential -4333 - - 271 - - 225 - - 180 - - 47 ODpotential blCL 8720 - - 4541 - - 4619 - - 4612 - - 4454 blCL maxRH 96 - - 99 - - 101 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m 43.0 - - 47.1 - - 47.3 - - 47.6 - - 47.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.7 - - 46.3 - - 46.4 - - 46.8 - - 46.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.2 - - 47.7 - - 48.1 - - 48.5 - - 48.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.5 - - 45.9 - - 46.1 - - 46.7 - - 46.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 40 - - 28 - - 12 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 220 - - 645 - - 677 - - 625 - - 334 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 85 - - 98 - - 102 - - 98 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96117 8 346 8 292 17 305 8 245 26 268 96117 89008 5 003 5 290 7 271 6 313 15 280 89008 83593 2 259 9 302 8 299 9 324 6 317 83593 79087 3 318 8 305 12 287 9 322 10 286 79087 75171 8 286 12 290 12 302 9 273 15 282 75171 71686 10 262 11 254 17 285 12 292 14 284 71686 68515 12 302 18 253 23 266 19 283 19 293 68515 65597 20 285 22 269 19 282 23 275 22 272 65597 62889 19 275 24 267 25 282 19 262 24 253 62889 60242 22 263 33 233 31 246 22 245 36 239 60242 57451 32 234 27 243 28 220 34 241 40 244 57451 54545 35 226 31 266 33 248 45 244 45 252 54545 51769 38 243 40 258 58 245 59 248 54 255 51769 49265 46 252 60 246 74 241 72 245 69 255 49265 47028 58 251 76 241 82 237 78 244 78 251 47028 45011 68 245 86 236 85 235 82 244 77 246 45011 43174 75 244 89 235 83 233 87 243 77 243 43174 41484 94 247 100 239 90 238 94 240 79 245 41484 39916 115 244 119 239 112 239 102 235 88 249 39916 38465 119 239 128 235 124 234 109 233 92 248 38465 37116 119 237 126 231 126 233 107 233 87 244 37116 35828 121 239 120 228 123 230 102 234 77 247 35828 34538 118 241 118 227 121 226 98 235 73 259 34538 33216 106 242 119 231 121 228 92 236 72 263 33216 31863 93 241 110 237 114 234 78 238 70 262 31863 30461 83 240 90 236 93 233 65 246 69 259 30461 29001 71 236 77 230 71 226 62 254 69 256 29001 27485 61 230 71 226 69 223 62 254 67 256 27485 25914 55 224 69 228 68 223 59 250 62 255 25914 24293 53 220 65 231 64 228 56 245 58 252 24293 22624 49 221 60 232 59 235 54 243 57 249 22624 20902 44 227 56 231 55 240 55 244 55 248 20902 19119 39 232 53 229 54 241 56 247 52 247 19119 17309 35 233 50 230 52 241 53 249 50 247 17309 15569 36 227 45 233 49 243 48 247 48 247 15569 13989 38 222 38 238 45 244 44 244 44 245 13989 12583 39 222 33 243 43 244 41 242 39 240 12583 11329 36 225 29 246 40 239 39 242 36 235 11329 10204 31 228 27 246 39 233 38 242 34 233 10204 9195 26 231 26 242 38 226 37 241 33 234 9195 8293 23 233 26 236 36 222 37 239 30 237 8293 7488 22 231 26 230 34 218 35 236 29 234 7488 6769 22 225 27 223 31 214 33 231 28 228 6769 6119 22 219 25 218 28 211 31 228 28 227 6119 5539 22 215 23 214 25 210 28 226 26 227 5539 5051 20 215 19*213 20*209 25*226 23 227 5051 4673 15 216 15*212 17*209 21*226 18*228 4673 4413 10*215 12 211 13 209 18 226 14*229 4413 4254 7*212 11 211 11 209 15 226 12 229 4254 4162 2 210 8 212 8 210 10 227 7 230 4162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography