DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/26 BarrenRidge_CA 4167ft pt28354@35.178,-118.205,3881ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF IN MEMORY OF: Team Oscar Delta (Mark Navarre) RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.6 - - 64.4 - - 68.9 - - 63.0 - - 53.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -44 - - 223 - - 299 - - 57 - - -57 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2216 - - 3793 - - 1598 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4146 - - 5412 - - 6691 - - 4147 - - 4146 Hcrit BL Top 4164 - - 6383 - - 7960 - - 5765 - - 4164 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 489 - - 1962 - - 1623 - - 1290 - - 559 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 329 - - 433 - - 187 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 7 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 11 - - 12 - - 18 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 303 - - 296 - - 280 - - 296 - - 302 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -24 - - -24 - - -26 - - -55 - - -36 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4125 - - -4234 - - -4225 - - -4605 - - -4355 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8290 - - 10617 - - 12186 - - 10370 - - 8519 sfcLCL ODpotential -11585 - - -9564 - - -9167 - - -11300 - - -12271 ODpotential blCL 15749 - - 15947 - - 17127 - - 17065 - - 16435 blCL maxRH 49 - - 41 - - 49 - - 39 - - 37 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.6 - - 64.4 - - 68.9 - - 63.0 - - 53.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.3 - - 32.6 - - 30.0 - - 32.3 - - 31.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.6 - - 63.7 - - 67.7 - - 63.4 - - 56.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.1 - - 32.4 - - 29.8 - - 32.3 - - 31.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -44 - - 223 - - 299 - - 57 - - -57 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2216 - - 3793 - - 1598 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97158 17 275 25 262 20 280 20 273 18 258 97158 89894 7 262 13 249 16 277 17 289 8 278 89894 84309 5 198 3 252 11 270 13 303 8 286 84309 79679 3 217 5 317 9 270 14 279 8 291 79679 75711 6 283 5 295 5 295 9 271 5 285 75711 72213 7 291 9 296 10 299 7 317 4 294 72213 69030 6 307 5 269 13 267 13 283 8 307 69030 66078 7 320 5 255 8 248 13 257 13 283 66078 63320 17 282 12 271 13 277 11 256 16 277 63320 60635 22 261 13 267 16 269 18 262 18 271 60635 57819 23 263 13 275 16 268 13 247 21 264 57819 54893 27 263 18 275 21 270 20 285 25 276 54893 52129 25 266 20 277 24 275 28 280 29 290 52129 49684 23 277 19 274 27 282 29 279 27 299 49684 47510 23 286 20 283 33 303 28 301 24 303 47510 45544 31 302 35 303 41 306 45 302 27 306 45544 43753 40 291 42 299 36 305 42 304 34 298 43753 42104 36 304 37 295 30 309 41 319 36 299 42104 40573 41 304 31 306 36 323 43 326 39 310 40573 39139 38 308 36 318 42 325 45 324 44 316 39139 37791 38 317 40 322 41 323 44 319 46 315 37791 36492 39 320 42 321 38 326 43 316 47 313 36492 35180 37 317 43 319 37 328 42 315 48 311 35180 33829 37 309 40 319 38 325 41 316 48 311 33829 32444 37 304 35 324 41 324 41 314 45 312 32444 31014 32 298 34 327 39 322 41 315 39 316 31014 29529 28 300 29 329 34 313 36 317 34 320 29529 27988 27 306 22 332 32 309 31 313 31 321 27988 26394 26 300 19 335 30 309 31 310 30 317 26394 24749 24 291 18 340 27 310 30 310 30 313 24749 23055 22 286 16 337 22 307 27 307 29 312 23055 21304 20 288 17 317 18 312 24 303 28 312 21304 19490 17 294 17 299 17 318 22 306 27 312 19490 17646 14 293 16 294 15 306 20 309 25 312 17646 15872 13 289 15 292 15 292 17 307 21 308 15872 14255 12 289 14 286 15 288 16 302 18 304 14255 12811 11 290 13 280 16 289 16 300 16 302 12811 11520 10 293 12 277 15 288 16 300 14 302 11520 10361 9 297 10 279 13 283 14 297 13 303 10361 9323 8 302 9 280 12 274 13 287 12 304 9323 8392 7 305 9 277 11*270 13 278 13 306 8392 7564 6 301 9 275 11*272 14 278 15 309 7564 6825 6 297 10*281 12 276 16 283 18 311 6825 6158 7 300 11*293 12 279 18*290 22 312 6158 5564 10 308 11 296 12 281 19*295 26 311 5564 5065 13 314 11 296 12 284 19 296 29 310 5065 4681 14 314 11 297 12 285 18 296 29 308 4681 4416 14 309 10 297 12 285 17 297 25 306 4416 4255 12*305 9 296 11 285 16 297 20*305 4255 4163 7*303 8 295 9 286 10 296 11*302 4163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography