DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/18 BarrenRidge_CA 4167ft pt28354@35.178,-118.205,3881ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF IN MEMORY OF: Team Oscar Delta (Mark Navarre) RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.2 - - 67.0 - - 71.6 - - 71.3 - - 61.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 263 - - 330 - - 50 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3048 - - 4696 - - 5803 - - 160 BL Depth Hcrit 4146 - - 6081 - - 7425 - - 6818 - - 4147 Hcrit BL Top 4164 - - 7215 - - 8863 - - 9970 - - 4327 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 965 - - 1879 - - 2201 - - 1594 - - 4427 Hgt.Variab. W* 2 - - 386 - - 480 - - 276 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 25 - - 46 - - 18 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 327 - - 107 - - 100 - - 275 - - 272 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 12 - - 10 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 12 - - 16 - - 34 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4950 - - -5081 - - -4597 - - -3577 - - -6828 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9115 - - 12297 - - 13461 - - 13548 - - 11156 sfcLCL ODpotential -13587 - - -11288 - - -9941 - - -8819 - - -14196 ODpotential blCL 17751 - - 18503 - - 18804 - - 18789 - - 18523 blCL maxRH 42 - - 36 - - 39 - - 48 - - 33 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.2 - - 67.0 - - 71.6 - - 71.3 - - 61.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.5 - - 27.7 - - 26.9 - - 26.3 - - 27.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.5 - - 66.0 - - 70.2 - - 71.6 - - 67.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.5 - - 27.7 - - 26.9 - - 26.3 - - 27.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 263 - - 330 - - 50 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3048 - - 4696 - - 5803 - - 160 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97797 19 294 24 277 24 272 37 287 31 301 97797 90523 18 294 24 295 20 280 26 287 25 285 90523 84922 16 287 21 295 20 285 20 280 23 283 84922 80262 15 281 17 295 18 284 17 295 17 288 80262 76232 13 284 14 278 16 272 16 294 13 297 76232 72657 7 283 10 246 14 251 17 289 14 304 72657 69428 2 280 5 249 10 229 14 269 12 289 69428 66474 8 310 6 283 6 220 12 245 14 259 66474 63753 11 266 12 273 10 256 15 260 16 251 63753 61136 9 242 13 259 15 244 17 260 15 257 61136 58419 16 276 16 274 16 247 17 251 17 262 58419 55617 27 262 25 265 23 258 23 255 25 257 55617 52954 29 252 30 259 29 264 28 258 30 253 52954 50546 34 264 34 261 33 267 32 263 34 256 50546 48365 41 268 40 263 40 263 38 262 39 257 48365 46368 46 268 44 261 44 259 44 259 44 256 46368 44522 50 265 48 259 48 259 47 259 47 255 44522 42803 52 262 49 258 49 259 49 260 47 256 42803 41192 50 261 47 258 47 259 47 259 45 256 41192 39678 48 262 44 261 43 260 45 258 43 255 39678 38259 44 263 43 263 39 261 43 257 41 254 38259 36901 39 267 39 262 37 260 39 257 39 255 36901 35540 32 275 31 266 32 255 35 260 37 256 35540 34147 29 290 24 278 22 255 32 255 34 258 34147 32725 22 303 18 292 15 262 24 249 30 259 32725 31258 19 309 13 301 13 269 15 254 24 254 31258 29736 13 318 12 321 9 292 11 280 14 268 29736 28162 13 357 13 359 8 346 7 307 8 288 28162 26534 11 010 14 024 10 020 6 008 5 306 26534 24853 10 030 10 029 9 023 8 017 5 335 24853 23124 15 035 9 041 6 027 8 007 5 349 23124 21347 17 038 12 042 9 040 7 024 5 359 21347 19513 15 035 14 035 11 036 9 041 5 052 19513 17656 13 030 14 032 12 030 11 042 8 063 17656 15874 12 025 12 037 12 029 11 041 10 059 15874 14256 11 020 11 045 10 031 12 045 12 054 14256 12815 10 017 9 047 10 031 11 050 8 052 12815 11526 9 010 9 036 10 013 7 006 4 032 11526 10372 8 002 9 021 10 342 8*322 4 336 10372 9338 8 355 9 006 9*332 8*315 6 331 9338 8412 6 348 8 357 7*332 6 303 8 329 8412 7586 5 341 5*356 3 345 4 292 10 325 7586 6849 3 337 2*018 1 059 3 269 12 323 6849 6180 1 337 2 086 3 120 2 237 12 321 6180 5583 1 122 3 108 4 124 2 214 12 320 5583 5080 2 136 4 117 5 126 3 198 10 319 5080 4691 2 143 4 120 6 126 3 191 9 314 4691 4422 1 153 5 121 6 127 3 187 6*301 4422 4258 0*295 5 123 6 127 3 185 4*280 4258 4164 1*327 4 122 5 127 3 182 3 267 4164 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography