DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/03 BarrenRidge_CA 4167ft pt28354@35.178,-118.205,3881ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF IN MEMORY OF: Team Oscar Delta (Mark Navarre) RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.2 - - 57.8 - - 64.5 - - 55.0 - - 47.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 106 - - 260 - - 54 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1170 - - 3441 - - 1148 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit 4146 - - 4146 - - 6373 - - 4146 - - 4146 Hcrit BL Top 4164 - - 5337 - - 7608 - - 5315 - - 4282 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 809 - - 943 - - 898 - - 942 - - 674 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 208 - - 401 - - 165 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 13 - - 19 - - 13 BL Wind Direction 324 - - 182 - - 254 - - 300 - - 302 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 7 - - 10 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - 7 - - -7 - - -68 - - -51 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5190 - - -5837 - - -4048 - - -1772 - - -613 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9355 - - 11174 - - 11657 - - 7088 - - 4895 sfcLCL ODpotential -16491 - - -14453 - - -10773 - - -8723 - - -9336 ODpotential blCL 20655 - - 19790 - - 18381 - - 14038 - - 13618 blCL maxRH 85 - - 100 - - 42 - - 60 - - 70 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.2 - - 57.8 - - 64.5 - - 55.0 - - 47.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 22.7 - - 24.0 - - 28.0 - - 38.5 - - 40.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.6 - - 57.8 - - 63.6 - - 55.4 - - 49.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.6 - - 23.8 - - 28.0 - - 38.5 - - 40.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 106 - - 260 - - 54 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1170 - - 3441 - - 1148 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 39 - - 98 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96767 41 280 48 276 48 281 44 277 46 286 96767 89689 32 271 37 283 32 298 25 293 21 279 89689 84248 23 288 25 290 23 285 23 287 22 298 84248 79716 18 300 14 291 15 281 19 273 23 300 79716 75780 13 301 15 294 11 315 9 272 17 292 75780 72271 9 282 13 302 8 308 9 296 14 286 72271 69070 10 293 10 326 11 268 12 288 21 291 69070 66126 17 290 6 270 10 259 13 286 18 286 66126 63399 19 283 15 263 21 280 18 286 15 306 63399 60748 24 273 26 269 29 271 27 292 19 295 60748 57977 30 275 26 280 31 274 31 281 31 287 57977 55120 47 288 42 288 40 286 39 282 41 283 55120 52429 73 271 63 272 53 285 48 295 49 304 52429 50018 82 265 71 272 65 280 68 274 62 280 50018 47856 94 266 96 275 85 275 86 269 71 270 47856 45902 108 271 115 273 106 272 96 271 77 277 45902 44100 121 274 120 271 115 271 101 272 86 282 44100 42421 119 269 118 268 120 269 104 273 90 283 42421 40845 117 266 116 265 119 266 105 273 93 284 40845 39361 115 264 115 263 118 265 103 273 98 284 39361 37964 113 266 114 263 118 266 102 273 101 283 37964 36624 111 270 113 265 119 268 104 271 102 281 36624 35279 107 272 112 266 117 268 103 268 100 279 35279 33905 104 271 110 266 112 263 97 268 98 277 33905 32502 99 269 104 265 108 262 88 272 93 278 32502 31052 93 269 95 264 95 265 85 277 88 280 31052 29547 83 269 88 263 84 265 87 276 83 282 29547 27988 73 266 81 262 79 264 84 272 82 286 27988 26375 67 263 74 259 78 264 77 271 89 289 26375 24708 62 262 69 255 76 263 77 274 89 291 24708 22994 57 259 65 255 71 262 80 276 85 288 22994 21224 51 258 59 256 66 262 79 276 86 291 21224 19391 44 260 51 256 62 260 71 271 82 296 19391 17536 37 262 44 255 56 257 62 266 66 298 17536 15758 31 262 38 255 48 253 56 262 47 296 15758 14143 26 258 33 253 41 250 50 259 35 293 14143 12705 22 252 31 250 37 245 45 258 31 289 12705 11420 19 248 28 247 34 242 41 258 31 284 11420 10271 15 249 24 244 30 243 36 257 30 277 10271 9244 12 251 19 238 26 245 30 255 28 271 9244 8327 9 246 13 226 22*247 25 252 25 267 8327 7512 7 231 9 207 16*251 23 252 23 266 7512 6785 5 211 8 191 14 256 21 261 21 272 6785 6129 5 175 8 185 14 256 19 279 21 283 6129 5544 6 157 7*186 13 255 21*295 24 295 5544 5053 6 148 5*187 13 253 21*300 26 302 5053 4675 4 145 5 184 12 252 21 301 25 305 4675 4413 2 149 5 181 11 251 19 301 22*304 4413 4254 1*316 4 178 10 250 17 301 18*303 4254 4162 3*324 4 177 9 249 11 300 10 301 4162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography