DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/07 BarrenRidge_CA 4167ft pt28354@35.178,-118.205,3881ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF IN MEMORY OF: Team Oscar Delta (Mark Navarre) RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1331z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.2 - - 84.1 - - 82.2 - - 72.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 372 - - 452 - - 208 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4500 - - 7381 - - 5265 - - 134 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7320 - - 9697 - - 7652 - - 4147 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8667 - - 11548 - - 9432 - - 4301 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1786 - - 2200 - - 2896 - - 1886 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 493 - - 621 - - 428 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 14 - - 14 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 269 - - 265 - - 282 - - 301 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 9 - - 8 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - -18 - - -37 - - -36 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -823 - - 484 - - -2241 - - -5253 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9490 - - 11064 - - 11673 - - 9555 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3172 - - -467 - - -4242 - - -10065 ODpotential blCL - - - 11839 - - 12015 - - 13674 - - 14366 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 88 - - 82 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 110 - - 420 - - 190 - - 170 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.2 - - 84.1 - - 82.2 - - 72.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.8 - - 49.7 - - 45.3 - - 44.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.7 - - 82.3 - - 81.5 - - 74.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.7 - - 49.6 - - 45.2 - - 44.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 372 - - 452 - - 208 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4500 - - 7381 - - 5265 - - 134 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 54 - - 27 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98764 14 092 16 095 16 120 10 116 98764 91372 16 123 11 134 8 104 12 093 91372 85634 15 115 12 148 11 109 9 081 85634 80855 12 086 12 123 9 072 14 081 80855 76761 11 077 14 090 10 091 10 077 76761 73167 11 094 12 087 13 096 10 060 73167 69923 13 096 11 114 7 037 15 061 69923 66942 6 082 10 100 3 115 9 019 66942 64193 6 095 5 093 5 055 3 047 64193 61541 4 319 4 036 4 009 7 033 61541 58783 8 252 7 261 10 274 7 298 58783 55948 19 250 23 262 26 263 20 261 55948 53257 42 254 51 257 46 260 41 251 53257 50844 51 250 56 247 59 242 57 246 50844 48676 56 263 59 257 62 245 56 250 48676 46694 72 268 72 262 66 258 70 259 46694 44864 74 264 77 257 77 255 77 254 44864 43151 72 260 72 252 80 250 76 252 43151 41540 68 254 68 247 76 246 73 253 41540 40025 62 250 68 245 72 246 71 251 40025 38603 62 246 67 245 66 245 67 249 38603 37239 67 244 63 246 63 244 61 246 37239 35871 68 246 61 247 60 246 58 243 35871 34471 62 247 60 247 56 247 55 243 34471 33041 54 248 56 249 56 246 52 247 33041 31566 49 250 49 252 54 250 50 249 31566 30036 43 250 41 257 41 258 46 253 30036 28455 38 252 33 259 29 261 31 258 28455 26823 33 256 27 260 23 259 22 254 26823 25140 28 259 23 260 20 259 18 249 25140 23411 26 256 24 254 21 255 18 246 23411 21628 25 250 25 249 21 248 18 239 21628 19783 24 251 25 249 20 245 20 235 19783 17912 25 258 27 256 22 250 21 240 17912 16110 31 259 31 258 25 257 22 250 16110 14468 36 257 33 259 27 261 23 261 14468 13001 35 259 29 260 26 263 23 270 13001 11687 31 262 23*261 21 260 22 275 11687 10508 26 266 18*260 17 255 20 275 10508 9450 20*267 16 261 16*254 18 271 9450 8503 15*268 15 262 14*258 16 267 8503 7657 13 270 14 264 14 270 15 266 7657 6902 11 271 14 267 14 275 15 271 6902 6219 9 271 13 269 14 286 16 283 6219 5610 8 269 13 271 15 290 17 295 5610 5097 7 266 13 272 15 292 19 303 5097 4701 6 265 12 273 14 293 18 306 4701 4427 6 263 11 273 14 294 16*304 4427 4260 6 262 11 273 13 295 13*303 4260 4164 5 260 9 272 11 294 7 300 4164 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography