DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/02 BarrenRidge_CA 4167ft pt28354@35.178,-118.205,3881ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF IN MEMORY OF: Team Oscar Delta (Mark Navarre) RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.0 - - 54.9 - - 61.1 - - 59.5 - - 51.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 159 - - 226 - - 17 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1352 - - 2063 - - 1628 - - 111 BL Depth Hcrit 4146 - - 4670 - - 5304 - - 4147 - - 4146 Hcrit BL Top 4163 - - 5519 - - 6230 - - 5795 - - 4278 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1190 - - 826 - - 922 - - 1011 - - 1485 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 251 - - 322 - - 127 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 12 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 7 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 045 - - 089 - - 111 - - 152 - - 333 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 10 - - 13 - - 6 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3534 - - -4138 - - -5288 - - -4893 - - -5847 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7698 - - 9658 - - 11518 - - 10689 - - 10126 sfcLCL ODpotential -16512 - - -14226 - - -14494 - - -14859 - - -18021 ODpotential blCL 20675 - - 19745 - - 20724 - - 20654 - - 22299 blCL maxRH 55 - - 75 - - 75 - - 72 - - 78 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.0 - - 54.9 - - 61.1 - - 59.5 - - 51.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.5 - - 27.6 - - 25.6 - - 27.6 - - 22.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.5 - - 54.7 - - 60.4 - - 60.2 - - 58.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.7 - - 26.9 - - 25.3 - - 27.6 - - 22.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 159 - - 226 - - 17 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1352 - - 2063 - - 1628 - - 111 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 13 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96798 43 291 61 280 51 289 43 282 53 277 96798 89823 30 289 38 278 33 288 34 282 37 287 89823 84411 23 301 23 285 29 289 26 296 29 305 84411 79879 16 300 22 318 19 288 17 293 22 300 79879 75945 9 288 11 276 18 272 10 301 10 280 75945 72438 11 281 7 213 13 231 8 238 10 267 72438 69240 10 254 10 215 10 209 11 216 11 245 69240 66296 15 252 11 230 8 193 11 224 8 211 66296 63560 20 257 21 250 16 257 16 253 8 263 63560 60909 20 251 23 241 25 249 19 257 19 267 60909 58165 15 271 17 241 24 255 28 259 28 248 58165 55344 31 289 26 277 33 266 36 275 34 253 55344 52690 40 280 45 276 50 280 53 283 53 266 52690 50331 43 280 49 277 60 280 67 283 63 277 50331 48216 59 291 59 284 55 282 73 283 82 287 48216 46293 67 289 65 297 66 302 84 290 92 287 46293 44519 69 305 74 309 87 304 88 293 90 286 44519 42865 87 316 88 309 90 299 84 293 88 285 42865 41310 93 315 92 306 88 296 82 292 89 285 41310 39842 86 314 91 304 83 295 81 292 88 284 39842 38456 80 309 85 302 77 291 81 292 84 283 38456 37119 81 306 78 300 74 287 80 289 81 283 37119 35769 77 308 71 296 72 288 80 287 80 284 35769 34379 65 308 69 294 65 290 77 287 77 285 34379 32954 60 306 62 300 59 290 69 288 68 284 32954 31484 55 307 53 301 53 290 61 286 59 283 31484 29956 49 312 50 305 46 291 52 289 52 282 29956 28374 49 315 48 307 42 293 44 299 48 282 28374 26734 49 315 47 307 38 297 37 303 47 283 26734 25039 46 313 47 308 36 300 35 299 47 282 25039 23290 44 312 43 310 34 305 36 298 47 283 23290 21485 41 316 39 312 32 314 34 300 44 285 21485 19624 35 320 34 312 26 313 27 303 35 281 19624 17742 28 328 25 314 19 304 20 300 24 274 17742 15937 26 331 18 319 16 300 17 296 14 271 15937 14293 26 332 16 326 15 306 16 302 9 293 14293 12827 26 337 15 330 13 308 13 308 9 325 12827 11516 21 343 12 330 10 300 10 309 8 344 11516 10345 13 349 6 321 7 282 5 309 5 009 10345 9299 10 011 3 352 5 266 1 282 4 081 9299 8368 12 039 6 054 1 351 3 089 7 095 8368 7542 14 058 10 075 3 058 4 079 8 095 7542 6809 16 069 13 087 4*082 3 087 9 096 6809 6147 16 075 14 094 4*101 1*096 10 098 6147 5558 15 077 12*092 5 108 1*155 8 101 5558 5063 13 074 8*088 5 112 2 154 6 105 5063 4681 11 068 8 088 5 114 2 151 4 108 4681 4416 9 061 7 088 5 116 3 152 2*103 4416 4255 7*053 7 090 5 117 3 150 1*005 4255 4163 3*045 6 091 5 118 3 149 2 327 4163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography