DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/17 BarrenRidge_CA 4167ft pt28354@35.178,-118.205,3881ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF IN MEMORY OF: Team Oscar Delta (Mark Navarre) RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.2 - - 72.4 - - - - - 60.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 278 - - 341 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3572 - - 4725 - - - - - 642 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6495 - - 7460 - - - - - 4147 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7739 - - 8892 - - - - - 4809 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1678 - - 1492 - - - - - 2769 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 414 - - 486 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 14 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 096 - - 093 - - - - - 121 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 4 - - - - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 21 - - 27 - - - - - 16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5021 - - -4940 - - - - - -5660 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12760 - - 13833 - - - - - 10470 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11100 - - -9409 - - - - - -12801 ODpotential blCL - - - 18839 - - 18301 - - - - - 17610 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 76 - - - - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.2 - - 72.4 - - - - - 60.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.9 - - 26.2 - - - - - 29.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.2 - - 71.1 - - - - - 65.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.8 - - 26.2 - - - - - 29.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 278 - - 341 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3572 - - 4725 - - - - - 642 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 31 - - 3 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97722 29 286 27 278 27 278 97722 90422 21 281 20 267 22 277 90422 84804 14 264 17 271 15 287 84804 80142 7 232 13 271 13 291 80142 76140 2 213 8 268 11 284 76140 72618 5 241 7 259 8 262 72618 69434 10 266 6 250 8 254 69434 66508 12 250 10 246 8 299 66508 63803 10 238 16 254 13 288 63803 61194 9 236 16 247 13 282 61194 58487 14 253 20 245 21 276 58487 55696 14 271 17 235 22 259 55696 53027 29 286 27 272 22 273 53027 50613 36 276 36 274 38 278 50613 48439 32 271 37 272 50 272 48439 46453 29 280 34 274 52 267 46453 44614 25 290 31 278 48 270 44614 42896 21 295 27 286 45 278 42896 41284 15 301 25 288 44 285 41284 39766 16 327 25 287 37 293 39766 38339 17 335 17 306 31 296 38339 36971 21 345 21 344 29 300 36971 35595 13 349 18 004 24 300 35595 34182 6 134 6 351 19 309 34182 32734 19 131 4 160 17 350 32734 31250 25 157 19 128 13 358 31250 29729 23 159 22 119 8 092 29729 28166 17 134 20 103 11 095 28166 26547 18 111 22 097 10 084 26547 24873 14 107 24 102 11 079 24873 23147 19 096 22 102 9 058 23147 21368 21 097 21 095 12 035 21368 19530 21 094 21 079 14 059 19530 17669 21 085 19 075 20 063 17669 15882 20 077 15 078 22 058 15882 14259 18 079 13 083 22 053 14259 12815 17 094 12 090 20 050 12815 11525 20 101 14 093 19 050 11525 10369 23 099 14 090 17 054 10369 9332 24 096 14*088 16 057 9332 8404 23*096 14*089 14 061 8404 7577 19*098 14 091 12 068 7577 6839 16 099 14 092 9 081 6839 6172 15 097 14 093 9 098 6172 5577 14 094 14 094 10 115 5577 5076 14 093 14 095 10*122 5076 4689 13 093 14 096 9*124 4689 4421 13 093 13 097 7 121 4421 4257 12 093 12 097 5 117 4257 4163 10 094 11 098 2 114 4163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography