DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/20 BarrenRidge_CA 4167ft pt28354@35.178,-118.205,3881ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF IN MEMORY OF: Team Oscar Delta (Mark Navarre) RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.8 - - 60.5 - - 63.1 - - 57.7 - - 53.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -72 - - 92 - - 190 - - 8 - - -51 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 689 - - 1311 - - 608 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4146 - - 4147 - - 4715 - - 4146 - - 4146 Hcrit BL Top 4164 - - 4856 - - 5478 - - 4775 - - 4164 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 338 - - 680 - - 1044 - - 734 - - 339 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 167 - - 263 - - 73 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 18 - - 19 - - 17 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 304 - - 311 - - 309 - - 306 - - 304 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 12 - - 10 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -34 - - -63 - - -68 - - -63 - - -33 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4580 - - -3712 - - -2403 - - -2191 - - -2684 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8745 - - 8569 - - 7881 - - 6967 - - 6848 sfcLCL ODpotential -14098 - - -9705 - - -6784 - - -8196 - - -9951 ODpotential blCL 18262 - - 14561 - - 12262 - - 12971 - - 14115 blCL maxRH 55 - - 75 - - 70 - - 94 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.8 - - 60.5 - - 63.1 - - 57.7 - - 53.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.7 - - 37.7 - - 43.0 - - 41.6 - - 38.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.7 - - 60.7 - - 62.7 - - 58.7 - - 56.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.5 - - 37.4 - - 42.8 - - 41.5 - - 38.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -72 - - 92 - - 190 - - 8 - - -51 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 689 - - 1311 - - 608 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 75 - - 45 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96504 12 281 21 288 17 276 20 263 37 277 96504 89341 7 181 15 281 16 287 12 329 13 306 89341 83818 6 299 11 280 14 295 10 313 11 308 83818 79234 2 190 8 286 18 306 13 339 8 003 79234 75277 12 328 9 269 20 286 17 309 17 332 75277 71805 4 005 11 139 4 222 5 262 13 334 71805 68689 26 297 15 322 17 323 18 331 15 342 68689 65835 29 292 19 301 23 302 21 299 18 330 65835 63202 23 322 19 316 22 300 24 301 27 308 63202 60658 41 320 33 305 30 300 31 293 31 292 60658 57982 49 307 46 299 40 295 34 294 38 295 57982 55174 54 303 52 295 52 296 52 299 49 295 55174 52483 64 298 64 296 65 295 63 292 57 288 52483 50043 71 292 74 294 68 291 63 289 54 285 50043 47831 77 292 74 293 71 291 67 291 60 289 47831 45812 80 295 75 292 75 291 72 291 68 295 45812 43965 75 291 75 289 78 291 76 292 77 298 43965 42267 62 278 73 282 76 285 75 289 77 289 42267 40703 56 279 68 280 72 279 73 286 70 284 40703 39251 51 277 60 275 62 278 67 283 66 283 39251 37892 49 277 53 275 54 280 57 280 58 277 37892 36589 49 283 49 284 47 286 53 283 52 271 36589 35276 48 293 50 294 47 293 52 288 47 274 35276 33925 48 298 48 298 49 296 49 289 45 273 33925 32538 47 298 48 295 49 297 44 287 46 273 32538 31102 45 292 49 288 47 295 45 283 48 276 31102 29607 48 283 52 285 46 288 49 281 47 277 29607 28055 51 279 55 288 49 282 50 284 44 278 28055 26447 53 279 54 288 53 284 49 286 41 280 26447 24787 52 280 51 286 53 286 47 285 40 278 24787 23077 50 280 49 284 49 285 45 282 41 277 23077 21314 50 281 47 283 46 284 43 280 40 278 21314 19492 50 283 45 283 43 282 41 281 39 281 19492 17644 49 286 42 283 40 280 39 281 39 281 17644 15867 46 285 38 283 36 281 37 282 37 280 15867 14250 41 283 34 281 33 282 35 283 33 279 14250 12807 36 281 31 279 30 282 31 282 29 278 12807 11518 33 279 28 277 28 281 28 281 25 278 11518 10362 30 279 26 278 27 281 25 281 21 277 10362 9326 27 280 25 281 25 283 23 282 18 276 9326 8399 26 283 25 287 24 286 21 284 17 276 8399 7572 24 289 25 295 23 292 20 289 15 278 7572 6834 24 297 26 303 23 301 20 295 15 284 6834 6166 24 304 26 310 23 310 20 304 15 294 6166 5571 24 310 26 314 23*313 22 310 17 304 5571 5070 25 314 25*315 22*311 22*310 19 311 5070 4683 25 313 23*313 20 309 21*308 21 314 4683 4417 22 309 19 311 19 308 18 306 20 310 4417 4255 18*306 17 310 17 308 16 306 16*306 4255 4163 10*304 11 309 12 307 10 304 9*304 4163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography