DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/20 BarrenRidge_CA 4167ft pt28354@35.178,-118.205,3881ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF IN MEMORY OF: Team Oscar Delta (Mark Navarre) RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.4 - - 65.7 - - 70.8 - - 69.3 - - 57.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 276 - - 314 - - 55 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2888 - - 7527 - - 7367 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4147 - - 5978 - - 9639 - - 8053 - - 4147 Hcrit BL Top 4164 - - 7055 - - 11694 - - 11534 - - 4164 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1995 - - 3281 - - 2079 - - 2359 - - 1686 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 385 - - 554 - - 308 - - 2 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 12 - - 15 - - 16 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 034 - - 127 - - 151 - - 165 - - 238 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 13 - - 15 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 18 - - 25 - - 23 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5214 - - -3474 - - 1228 - - 705 - - -2579 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9378 - - 10529 - - 10467 - - 10830 - - 6744 sfcLCL ODpotential -10705 - - -5813 - - 667 - - -406 - - -6166 ODpotential blCL 14869 - - 12868 - - 11027 - - 11940 - - 10330 blCL maxRH 79 - - 61 - - 90 - - 84 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 80 - - 20 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m 54.4 - - 65.7 - - 70.8 - - 69.3 - - 57.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.2 - - 33.9 - - 39.1 - - 36.1 - - 42.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.8 - - 64.8 - - 69.6 - - 69.6 - - 61.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.2 - - 33.9 - - 39.1 - - 36.1 - - 42.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 276 - - 314 - - 55 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2888 - - 7527 - - 7367 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 15 - - 0 - - 60 - - 37 - - 31 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97729 17 310 22 294 20 299 24 325 14 295 97729 90419 14 314 16 295 16 289 22 309 13 313 90419 84794 14 302 13 292 14 306 17 302 16 321 84794 80136 10 302 9 282 10 284 17 301 17 314 80136 76112 12 295 4 290 6 275 10 268 17 308 76112 72557 11 288 4 277 7 324 2 292 13 275 72557 69355 9 292 3 247 5 234 9 280 7 299 69355 66415 4 231 5 240 8 230 10 243 11 276 66415 63687 7 195 13 206 12 234 15 229 11 251 63687 61030 11 211 17 204 20 231 20 221 16 204 61030 58236 23 231 25 224 29 220 26 217 26 205 58236 55343 42 225 39 228 38 214 40 219 37 225 55343 52590 52 223 50 221 47 214 50 214 51 221 52590 50105 61 225 60 222 58 219 57 213 59 212 50105 47868 67 224 70 221 72 219 66 216 63 211 47868 45828 71 222 74 218 80 217 75 218 72 215 45828 43950 73 222 77 219 85 214 84 218 82 216 43950 42211 76 223 80 220 88 213 91 216 87 216 42211 40593 79 225 82 219 90 214 96 214 87 216 40593 39082 82 227 83 218 91 215 98 214 86 217 39082 37672 84 228 84 218 91 215 94 213 90 216 37672 36327 84 228 84 219 90 214 87 215 84 214 36327 34976 81 228 82 219 88 214 85 218 78 217 34976 33592 74 225 78 218 84 213 84 216 78 218 33592 32186 68 221 73 216 78 212 80 213 75 215 32186 30744 65 219 68 214 70 211 72 212 73 213 30744 29255 62 218 65 212 67 209 67 211 67 211 29255 27720 58 216 62 211 65 210 66 211 61 212 27720 26137 53 215 58 212 59 211 60 211 52 218 26137 24505 46 214 50 211 49 211 48 209 44 220 24505 22826 36 212 42 206 41 208 41 207 39 216 22826 21097 30 209 35 204 36 201 38 205 36 211 21097 19310 27 205 31 207 32 194 36 205 35 205 19310 17498 26 201 29 206 29 190 33 202 33 198 17498 15755 24 197 26 198 27 184 30 190 29 185 15755 14167 23 191 25 183 26 173 27 169 27 169 14167 12749 22 180 24 171 26*164 23*153 27 154 12749 11480 21 170 24 165 23*159 21*147 26 143 11480 10339 20 166 23 162 20 157 19 147 25 139 10339 9313 18 166 23 161 18 153 18 153 22 140 9313 8392 16 165 22 159 16 151 16 161 20 144 8392 7570 14 165 20*156 14 148 16 170 18 152 7570 6835 13 167 18*150 13 147 16 177 18 162 6835 6169 11 171 15 139 12 146 16 181 19 175 6169 5575 9 172 11 124 12 146 16 183 18 188 5575 5075 7 170 10 113 11 145 16 184 17 200 5075 4687 5 158 10 111 11 145 15 185 15 214 4687 4420 3 130 9 109 10 145 15 185 12 224 4420 4257 2*080 9 109 10 144 13 185 10*228 4257 4163 2*034 8 108 9 144 10 185 5*238 4163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography