DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/13 BarrenRidge_CA 4167ft pt28354@35.178,-118.205,3881ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF IN MEMORY OF: Team Oscar Delta (Mark Navarre) RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.6 - - 52.4 - - 53.6 - - 52.2 - - 44.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 181 - - 167 - - 36 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2699 - - 2824 - - 3766 - - 179 BL Depth Hcrit 4146 - - 5679 - - 5732 - - 4146 - - 4146 Hcrit BL Top 4163 - - 6866 - - 6991 - - 7933 - - 4346 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 975 - - 1520 - - 2322 - - 1781 - - 1278 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 328 - - 324 - - 213 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 17 - - 20 - - 21 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 258 - - 232 - - 233 - - 244 - - 247 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 11 - - 12 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - -21 - - -16 - - -22 - - -16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1445 - - 1468 - - 1104 - - 184 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4162 - - 5421 - - 5524 - - 6829 - - 4162 sfcLCL ODpotential -4187 - - 527 - - 608 - - -274 - - -3085 ODpotential blCL 8350 - - 6339 - - 6383 - - 8207 - - 7431 blCL maxRH 83 - - 96 - - 100 - - 80 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 20 - - 50 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.6 - - 52.4 - - 53.6 - - 52.2 - - 44.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.7 - - 42.8 - - 43.5 - - 36.5 - - 41.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.0 - - 52.0 - - 53.3 - - 52.8 - - 46.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.2 - - 42.8 - - 43.6 - - 36.4 - - 41.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 181 - - 167 - - 36 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2699 - - 2824 - - 3766 - - 179 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 30 - - 86 - - 100 - - 19 - - 44 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96572 43 293 40 291 33 285 41 273 42 289 96572 89287 32 295 28 290 23 301 29 280 33 302 89287 83733 24 290 24 290 23 295 22 294 27 293 83733 79178 21 281 25 286 24 287 21 297 17 295 79178 75254 22 277 24 271 23 287 26 292 20 298 75254 71771 28 278 24 267 26 283 26 289 19 305 71771 68599 27 283 24 269 30 272 21 292 25 292 68599 65680 21 286 23 274 30 268 26 286 24 283 65680 62969 25 282 23 270 30 267 31 278 21 292 62969 60327 29 272 22 270 33 280 27 282 37 301 60327 57577 26 270 30 274 35 281 45 292 53 292 57577 54750 31 287 34 291 52 291 56 293 63 315 54750 52060 39 302 44 300 51 287 76 310 85 315 52060 49622 49 312 41 307 67 305 93 302 91 299 49622 47421 53 322 64 308 86 296 96 287 84 288 47421 45410 67 320 89 286 90 275 90 272 76 287 45410 43555 70 310 80 279 81 265 75 271 71 294 43555 41838 61 307 58 281 64 274 61 288 77 306 41838 40244 55 319 54 299 58 287 75 314 101 314 40244 38761 56 336 67 321 70 309 105 317 123 314 38761 37380 77 335 99 323 100 317 122 309 130 309 37380 36064 90 332 111 320 119 314 116 300 124 303 36064 34743 94 330 99 318 114 307 102 298 111 296 34743 33387 89 329 80 318 108 308 97 304 95 295 33387 32005 82 330 68 317 111 307 98 306 87 301 32005 30582 74 337 66 317 109 304 98 302 86 304 30582 29104 64 341 77 317 107 305 98 300 89 302 29104 27567 58 339 91 315 99 306 96 300 91 300 27567 25973 49 334 93 316 81 306 90 299 92 301 25973 24328 35 315 76 320 63 299 85 295 85 300 24328 22637 20 252 53 322 53 293 81 295 77 295 22637 20896 27 210 45 316 54 292 69 297 74 290 20896 19098 24 200 28 277 47 288 58 299 74 290 19098 17273 19 192 32 229 38 282 50 292 65 292 17273 15524 20 188 27 222 31 270 45 282 52 291 15524 13940 21 186 20 213 26 252 42 275 45 287 13940 12536 21 186 19 203 25 235 37 269 42 282 12536 11285 20 189 20 200 26 227 31 262 41 277 11285 10165 18 197 21 201 27 227 25 259 39 275 10165 9162 16 207 20 207 26 231 23 257 36 274 9162 8264 15 215 20 216 25 234 22*253 32 273 8264 7464 14 220 20*225 24*236 22*250 28 271 7464 6750 14 221 19*230 22*236 22 247 26 267 6750 6105 15 219 19 232 21 236 22 245 27 261 6105 5529 16 219 18 233 20 234 22 243 29 253 5529 5045 16 220 18 232 19 232 21 242 30 247 5045 4670 14 224 17 231 19 230 20 241 27 246 4670 4411 12 230 16 231 18 230 19 240 20*246 4411 4253 9*235 14 230 16 229 17 240 15*246 4253 4162 4*258 10 230 11 228 11 239 8 248 4162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography