DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/06 BarrenRidge_CA 4167ft pt28354@35.178,-118.205,3881ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF IN MEMORY OF: Team Oscar Delta (Mark Navarre) RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.2 - - 60.6 - - 66.6 - - 65.1 - - 54.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -33 - - 181 - - 243 - - -3 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2509 - - 4505 - - 4449 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4146 - - 5542 - - 7149 - - 4147 - - 4147 Hcrit BL Top 4164 - - 6676 - - 8672 - - 8616 - - 4164 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 760 - - 1321 - - 1510 - - 1992 - - 3352 Hgt.Variab. W* 2 - - 320 - - 428 - - 46 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 16 - - 16 - - 13 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 020 - - 056 - - 047 - - 048 - - 044 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 10 - - 11 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - -13 - - 11 - - 19 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6514 - - -6270 - - -5864 - - -5633 - - -6481 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10678 - - 12946 - - 14537 - - 14250 - - 10645 sfcLCL ODpotential -14852 - - -13826 - - -13173 - - -13377 - - -16167 ODpotential blCL 19016 - - 20502 - - 21845 - - 21993 - - 20331 blCL maxRH 30 - - 31 - - 52 - - 49 - - 50 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.2 - - 60.6 - - 66.6 - - 65.1 - - 54.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 16.9 - - 18.7 - - 17.3 - - 17.2 - - 22.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.6 - - 60.2 - - 65.8 - - 66.3 - - 60.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 16.5 - - 18.5 - - 17.1 - - 17.0 - - 22.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -33 - - 181 - - 243 - - -3 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2509 - - 4505 - - 4449 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96455 48 283 47 287 53 271 58 277 55 278 96455 89374 33 285 37 289 35 282 32 292 36 288 89374 83929 19 281 33 288 29 298 19 297 27 287 83929 79412 14 318 23 283 28 306 20 303 19 290 79412 75508 17 321 11 274 24 293 24 301 18 301 75508 72031 16 313 5 292 13 270 23 299 24 309 72031 68878 15 329 12 321 5 288 12 296 20 307 68878 65983 15 325 8 328 5 328 4 271 9 274 65983 63287 15 327 12 360 14 332 15 323 15 328 63287 60679 21 320 16 332 20 318 22 319 16 313 60679 57971 21 309 15 335 16 330 15 330 18 355 57971 55171 15 343 21 349 18 002 30 360 34 356 55171 52513 29 358 33 355 34 002 40 351 36 340 52513 50116 37 340 41 349 41 003 39 348 30 335 50116 47956 37 334 36 350 40 008 35 006 35 346 47956 45992 32 338 29 011 41 023 40 014 37 357 45992 44187 27 005 36 032 48 034 39 016 39 011 44187 42503 38 028 54 032 54 034 41 022 43 012 42503 40924 56 030 74 026 63 029 47 025 48 008 40924 39441 74 019 84 024 71 023 54 021 51 007 39441 38051 84 011 85 022 74 017 59 018 53 010 38051 36721 85 008 82 016 71 012 61 013 55 013 36721 35387 76 007 79 011 68 009 58 009 53 015 35387 34018 73 013 73 014 64 009 55 006 49 016 34018 32620 74 019 68 023 60 012 51 008 44 013 32620 31179 69 027 69 029 58 018 48 012 41 010 31179 29682 64 037 71 029 56 025 44 018 38 011 29682 28129 70 039 72 026 56 026 43 021 37 013 28129 26518 69 033 64 029 55 024 44 017 37 011 26518 24853 56 023 63 038 47 031 45 013 37 005 24853 23138 60 017 60 036 48 038 41 024 35 002 23138 21364 56 014 57 026 48 032 40 032 31 010 21364 19524 45 012 53 017 48 021 41 027 30 024 19524 17654 35 013 46 018 46 018 43 022 34 031 17654 15854 29 015 37 021 42 025 44 029 36 034 15854 14218 26 016 30 021 37 031 40 036 37 039 14218 12763 24 016 26 020 32 032 35 036 35 043 12763 11470 21 016 25 019 30 029 30 032 33 045 11470 10316 20 017 24 021 27 026 24 029 31 048 10316 9285 21 022 24 027 23*027 19*033 28 050 9285 8365 21 030 24 035 19*035 17*038 26 052 8365 7547 22 039 24 043 18 039 16 043 24 053 7547 6816 22 045 22*049 17 044 14 047 21 055 6816 6155 23 049 19*053 16 049 14 050 18 060 6155 5565 24 049 18 054 15 052 13 052 15 067 5565 5068 24 046 16 057 15 055 12 054 13 075 5068 4684 22 043 15 059 14 058 11 055 11 077 4684 4418 18 038 14 060 13 059 10 056 8 072 4418 4256 13*032 13 061 12 060 8 056 6*066 4256 4163 6*020 10 063 10 062 6 057 3*044 4163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography