DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/25 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0659z - - 0959z - - 1337z - - 1602z - - 1900z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.0 - - 59.9 - - 65.7 - - 63.3 - - 59.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 23 - - 139 - - 192 - - 95 - - 20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 258 - - 1202 - - 1809 - - 259 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit 2800 - - 2877 - - 3492 - - 2800 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top 2816 - - 3760 - - 4367 - - 2817 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 844 - - 584 - - 685 - - 1952 - - 1491 Hgt.Variab. W* 77 - - 233 - - 302 - - 125 - - 73 W* B/S 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 12 - - 14 - - 9 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 097 - - 143 - - 140 - - 134 - - 132 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 688 - - 821 - - -281 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2816 - - 3072 - - 3546 - - 3098 - - 2816 sfcLCL ODpotential -6558 - - 55 - - -3416 - - -741 - - -460 ODpotential blCL 9374 - - 3705 - - 7783 - - 3558 - - 3276 blCL maxRH 97 - - 97 - - 97 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 55.0 - - 59.9 - - 65.7 - - 63.3 - - 59.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 53.5 - - 56.1 - - 59.7 - - 59.2 - - 57.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.2 - - 58.5 - - 64.0 - - 62.1 - - 58.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 53.3 - - 55.2 - - 58.5 - - 58.5 - - 57.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 23 - - 139 - - 192 - - 95 - - 20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 258 - - 1202 - - 1809 - - 259 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 89 - - 89 - - 87 - - 99 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 10 - - 11 - - 12 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98167 15 078 9 062 20 053 9 088 11 053 98167 90735 12 067 14 051 13 064 10 055 17 054 90735 85060 14 071 12 069 6 073 8 037 15 048 85060 80354 8 036 12 071 4 119 3 057 12 044 80354 76275 6 070 10 074 5 131 2 098 12 017 76275 72668 8 069 12 062 8 101 6 137 12 347 72668 69413 4 070 4 044 5 075 4 098 6 356 69413 66439 5 036 5 352 3 071 2 037 2 006 66439 63704 7 272 8 300 5 332 4 277 1 158 63704 61069 15 223 10 261 12 287 15 265 8 265 61069 58327 17 262 12 251 15 247 18 257 17 271 58327 55480 25 257 23 254 18 256 18 271 22 267 55480 52761 29 241 30 249 29 253 20 273 20 280 52761 50322 18 243 24 233 30 249 21 258 23 267 50322 48169 16 279 14 217 20 241 27 250 15 260 48169 46251 20 281 12 246 17 217 32 246 22 285 46251 44493 22 278 16 253 17 209 26 237 26 253 44493 42852 21 275 16 248 13 213 17 220 19 221 42852 41311 13 255 13 217 9 215 10 205 15 195 41311 39853 5 237 15 191 7 214 13 179 21 193 39853 38472 1 287 12 183 8 196 18 175 28 192 38472 37133 3 347 7 185 14 172 20 200 21 209 37133 35774 6 346 3 156 14 172 19 210 16 228 35774 34369 6 324 1 102 13 172 13 201 16 222 34369 32923 6 261 5 253 10 186 11 174 17 198 32923 31420 9 271 11 250 10 219 15 164 20 183 31420 29849 13 270 7 234 16 199 18 169 22 175 29849 28212 12 260 3 172 20 186 19 173 21 172 28212 26507 12 225 9 175 18 183 21 184 19 182 26507 24737 14 232 11 195 17 191 26 199 20 196 24737 22907 19 226 14 213 16 201 24 206 23 201 22907 21014 21 231 19 224 20 218 20 211 26 194 21014 19052 19 222 23 235 21 227 22 211 30 194 19052 17060 18 201 24 231 23 222 30 205 33 199 17060 15141 14 187 23 228 27 212 35 205 34 204 15141 13398 9 186 22 231 29 207 34 206 32 205 13398 11850 8 206 18 225 26 204 31 205 28 204 11850 10473 9 213 12 226 22 205 27 204 26 206 10473 9243 10 208 9 233 20 208 23 206 26 208 9243 8145 11 206 8 231 18 210 21 206 26 203 8145 7166 11 211 9 221 17 210 21 199 28 191 7166 6300 9 218 9 216 17 207 22 190 30 183 6300 5533 7 221 8 207 16 195 22 180 30 178 5533 4846 6 209 10 179 15*170 19 163 26 167 4846 4239 7 150 14*151 15*144 16 141 20 146 4239 3732 11 115 14*145 14 141 16 138 19 142 3732 3342 11 105 13 143 14 139 15 136 17 138 3342 3074 10 102 12 142 13 138 14 135 14 135 3074 2910 8 099 11 140 12 137 12*134 12 133 2910 2816 6*097 8 140 9 136 9*134 8*132 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography