DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/05 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.9 - - 61.7 - - 60.8 - - 51.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 117 - - 217 - - 19 - - -65 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 1936 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2799 - - 3586 - - 2800 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2816 - - 4494 - - 2816 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1719 - - 788 - - 2460 - - 1482 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 129 - - 310 - - 74 - - 24 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 28 - - 13 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 250 - - 243 - - 248 - - 259 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 18 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -12 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3395 - - -3517 - - -5249 - - -1937 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6211 - - 8012 - - 8066 - - 4753 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12217 - - -11063 - - -12648 - - -10644 ODpotential blCL - - - 15033 - - 15557 - - 15464 - - 13460 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 86 - - 80 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.9 - - 61.7 - - 60.8 - - 51.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.8 - - 36.6 - - 35.5 - - 40.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.8 - - 60.3 - - 60.3 - - 52.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.4 - - 36.2 - - 35.2 - - 40.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 117 - - 217 - - 19 - - -65 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 1936 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 43 - - 21 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96428 14 239 18 254 23 257 23 272 96428 89287 14 270 18 268 16 253 18 261 89287 83794 23 275 24 260 17 265 18 269 83794 79234 20 284 21 250 24 253 18 279 79234 75277 13 299 11 241 20 236 24 271 75277 71774 18 286 15 266 17 258 22 260 71774 68607 25 254 26 262 24 274 18 274 68607 65671 28 259 32 252 33 260 25 272 65671 62934 26 273 30 255 41 263 37 274 62934 60301 28 271 34 266 43 266 46 270 60301 57586 35 268 39 262 51 266 59 275 57586 54802 42 268 42 263 55 260 70 272 54802 52159 49 275 51 274 57 265 67 267 52159 49768 53 275 59 282 59 269 65 263 49768 47612 55 274 62 277 64 271 68 263 47612 45648 59 275 67 270 69 270 73 263 45648 43845 65 276 72 268 75 270 78 262 43845 42179 70 272 79 267 82 269 81 263 42179 40627 73 266 84 263 88 266 83 264 40627 39173 79 264 86 262 90 263 84 263 39173 37805 82 266 87 263 89 262 82 262 37805 36489 82 267 86 263 88 261 77 261 36489 35159 80 267 84 264 87 260 71 262 35159 33785 75 267 79 264 84 261 68 264 33785 32370 69 267 72 263 80 262 65 264 32370 30899 65 268 67 263 76 264 64 263 30899 29361 62 269 64 262 73 265 63 264 29361 27760 59 270 61 261 70 266 62 265 27760 26094 57 268 60 262 67 267 63 265 26094 24364 54 264 59 262 65 268 65 265 24364 22574 54 263 57 261 64 268 65 265 22574 20717 52 267 56 263 66 269 66 267 20717 18786 50 270 56 265 65 269 64 271 18786 16820 48 265 54 266 62 265 62 275 16820 14928 47 258 53 265 59 263 59 277 14928 13210 45 250 53 259 55 265 55 277 13210 11685 46 246 53 251 55 267 50 278 11685 10329 47 247 54 248 59 264 46 281 10329 9117 50 250 55 250 61 262 43 283 9117 8036 51 252 55 252 61 261 44 288 8036 7076 51 255 55 253 59 262 50 290 7076 6229 49 257 53 252 52 259 53 286 6229 5481 46 256 48 249 48 255 52 279 5481 4810 43 253 40*245 41 250 46 270 4810 4215 39 251 33*243 34 247 41 262 4215 3717 30 249 31 242 32 247 37 258 3717 3334 26 249 29 242 29 247 31 258 3334 3069 24 249 26 243 25 247 24 258 3069 2908 20*249 22 243 21 247 20*259 2908 2816 13*250 15 243 13*248 11*259 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography