DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/11 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 24.5 - - 25.8 - - 25.8 - - 25.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 34 - - 55 - - 5 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 256 - - 256 - - 256 - - 256 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2797 - - 2797 - - 2797 - - 2797 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2814 - - 2814 - - 2814 - - 2814 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3219 - - 3240 - - 3301 - - 3077 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 87 - - 102 - - 52 - - 26 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 299 - - 291 - - 282 - - 283 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -2 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -506 - - -311 - - -279 - - -275 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3321 - - 3125 - - 3094 - - 3089 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -993 - - -782 - - -886 - - -1033 ODpotential blCL - - - 3807 - - 3596 - - 3700 - - 3847 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 24.5 - - 25.8 - - 25.8 - - 25.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.1 - - 22.2 - - 22.3 - - 21.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 23.8 - - 25.0 - - 25.4 - - 24.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.3 - - 21.3 - - 21.8 - - 21.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 34 - - 55 - - 5 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 256 - - 256 - - 256 - - 256 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 100 - - 101 - - 103 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95433 98 242 109 248 104 248 86 249 95433 88415 57 237 69 244 72 250 63 254 88415 82953 53 255 47 240 56 245 56 261 82953 78401 69 268 43 255 43 253 54 265 78401 74485 65 276 52 270 50 276 56 267 74485 71028 57 268 57 269 58 268 54 268 71028 67889 42 257 48 264 45 258 54 270 67889 64981 29 248 35 258 42 266 54 266 64981 62262 33 264 39 267 48 265 51 266 62262 59607 45 273 54 266 51 263 53 268 59607 56809 59 273 63 264 52 270 54 275 56809 53884 68 270 65 268 62 277 68 280 53884 51094 69 273 67 272 73 276 71 273 51094 48587 74 269 67 273 70 271 66 274 48587 46337 73 262 68 271 64 274 70 280 46337 44299 66 265 66 274 70 279 83 277 44299 42446 68 273 67 276 79 277 85 277 42446 40748 72 273 71 278 78 275 92 286 40748 39182 74 271 78 280 79 282 107 289 39182 37730 76 271 82 280 93 290 117 290 37730 36375 78 269 84 279 103 290 130 291 36375 35075 77 266 84 278 103 289 138 289 35075 33762 76 263 79 279 100 290 140 289 33762 32405 76 263 73 282 98 291 141 290 32405 31010 75 271 71 288 98 294 138 291 31010 29567 80 280 78 295 100 297 121 291 29567 28071 86 284 83 297 102 297 106 288 28071 26520 89 285 84 294 103 302 100 285 26520 24910 89 286 83 290 104 302 96 284 24910 23239 87 287 81 286 105 300 90 287 23239 21510 83 286 79 282 96 297 88 293 21510 19720 77 284 73 281 84 295 81 294 19720 17865 75 284 67 280 75 290 74 289 17865 15984 71 291 63 288 64 282 67 287 15984 14185 59 296 61 295 55 285 58 285 14185 12562 47 297 53 295 52 292 50 283 12562 11124 40 294 43 291 48 291 45 284 11124 9843 38 295 38 289 45 286 44 288 9843 8700 39 301 37 289 42 281 42 288 8700 7683 38 303 37 294 38 277 39 283 7683 6786 33 302 32 297 29 277 31 270 6786 6000 28 305 24 296 23 280 25 262 6000 5306 26 305 21 294 22 282 22 266 5306 4681 25 305 20 294 21 282 20 272 4681 4126 23 304 18 294 20 283 18 277 4126 3660 21 304 16 293 18 283 16 281 3660 3300 19 303 15 293 16 283 13 283 3300 3052 16 302 13 293 14 283 11 284 3052 2900 14*300 11*292 12*283 8*284 2900 2814 9*299 8*291 8*282 5*283 2814 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography