DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/19 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 61.1 - - 55.4 - - 48.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 96 - - 23 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 258 - - 258 - - 257 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2800 - - 2800 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2816 - - 2816 - - 2815 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2688 - - 2503 - - 4544 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 124 - - 79 - - 49 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 14 - - 14 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 180 - - 238 - - 257 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 4 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1174 - - 0 - - -784 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3990 - - 2816 - - 3600 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1915 - - -364 - - -1766 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4731 - - 3180 - - 4581 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 10 - - 50 - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 61.1 - - 55.4 - - 48.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 53.0 - - 54.0 - - 42.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 60.2 - - 54.8 - - 48.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 52.4 - - 53.7 - - 41.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 96 - - 23 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 258 - - 258 - - 257 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 100 - - 101 - - 91 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 9 - - 10 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97775 20 259 22 279 15 237 97775 90453 17 264 21 264 13 263 90453 84779 17 248 21 255 21 287 84779 80041 18 230 21 243 20 280 80041 75951 10 210 14 224 18 273 75951 72350 4 155 8 226 7 240 72350 69112 4 154 6 264 3 189 69112 66161 4 172 6 246 3 316 66161 63431 7 203 9 193 11 307 63431 60799 14 238 18 197 16 256 60799 58069 17 237 15 212 21 228 58069 55215 24 257 23 256 28 218 55215 52480 34 235 46 255 43 252 52480 50024 53 224 52 233 51 234 50024 47810 60 221 53 216 54 222 47810 45782 55 219 49 212 59 224 45782 43914 53 223 50 223 66 223 43914 42182 60 227 65 235 63 218 42182 40556 71 227 76 233 51 215 40556 39016 81 224 82 228 52 239 39016 37562 86 223 88 224 76 247 37562 36165 87 221 94 219 96 240 36165 34767 90 217 99 214 112 228 34767 33341 94 212 103 209 111 219 33341 31887 90 209 111 207 93 212 31887 30384 83 210 112 208 77 218 30384 28817 79 209 101 207 79 225 28817 27198 75 207 89 206 84 224 27198 25529 70 204 82 214 86 222 25529 23807 69 204 88 225 87 221 23807 22032 70 208 92 229 85 222 22032 20198 70 215 90 230 81 225 20198 18300 65 220 86 234 76 227 18300 16378 60 221 73 230 70 229 16378 14539 59 220 52 217 62 231 14539 12878 57 219 45 218 56 237 12878 11409 55 219 42 221 48 253 11409 10107 52 218 41 225 46 266 10107 8945 48 218 42 228 43 270 8945 7908 46 218 43 232 40 269 7908 6985 45 215 43 237 38 266 6985 6167 46 208 42 239 37 264 6167 5439 45 199 40 240 36 262 5439 4782 40 191 38 241 35 261 4782 4198 36 186 37 240 33 260 4198 3707 34 184 34 240 30 259 3707 3328 31 183 30 239 27 259 3328 3067 27 182 26 239 23 258 3067 2907 23 181 22 239 19 258 2907 2815 14*180 14*238 12*257 2815 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography