DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/28 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1553z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.7 - - 63.9 - - 63.2 - - 53.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 89 - - 120 - - 10 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 259 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2799 - - 2800 - - 2800 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2816 - - 2817 - - 2816 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1561 - - 3765 - - 3709 - - 716 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 119 - - 132 - - 63 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 146 - - 163 - - 128 - - 123 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2476 - - -4461 - - -3959 - - -292 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5292 - - 7279 - - 6776 - - 3108 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10324 - - -11554 - - -10815 - - -7123 ODpotential blCL - - - 13140 - - 14371 - - 13631 - - 9939 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 84 - - 89 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.7 - - 63.9 - - 63.2 - - 53.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.6 - - 42.1 - - 43.6 - - 49.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.6 - - 62.4 - - 62.8 - - 54.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.9 - - 41.1 - - 42.7 - - 49.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 89 - - 120 - - 10 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 259 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 52 - - 35 - - 54 - - 67 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97003 41 246 50 247 56 259 54 267 97003 89759 33 241 37 245 37 255 44 261 89759 84180 23 237 26 243 27 255 28 255 84180 79561 11 260 13 227 17 243 23 238 79561 75584 13 265 7 261 12 248 18 240 75584 72085 18 256 11 297 10 245 11 253 72085 68935 18 251 12 258 12 250 12 288 68935 66039 15 261 17 234 18 253 20 277 66039 63359 24 260 19 236 23 253 24 255 63359 60762 25 243 28 247 30 246 26 243 60762 58046 27 239 34 240 29 243 33 253 58046 55222 36 241 38 246 39 252 43 251 55222 52518 48 239 49 250 45 247 46 245 52518 50083 52 234 57 244 49 250 49 255 50083 47907 59 234 60 238 58 252 58 258 47907 45942 60 230 62 234 63 249 64 257 45942 44143 60 239 61 235 65 248 67 255 44143 42480 66 242 61 235 64 247 68 254 42480 40928 65 239 62 235 58 245 67 253 40928 39468 62 237 59 233 52 246 63 254 39468 38090 57 238 53 228 50 243 58 253 38090 36763 54 226 48 228 50 239 50 245 36763 35425 48 217 48 234 49 237 45 239 35425 34045 42 213 49 233 44 240 43 241 34045 32624 42 222 46 229 45 244 46 242 32624 31147 50 242 40 235 45 239 45 239 31147 29604 46 246 37 235 41 238 47 236 29604 27992 44 248 36 239 39 241 45 242 27992 26313 48 241 37 248 34 244 45 251 26313 24567 47 229 40 242 32 251 40 257 24567 22761 41 231 40 238 36 244 31 249 22761 20891 32 223 29 243 32 242 27 249 20891 18951 19 210 21 240 23 242 22 252 18951 16973 12 222 16 242 17 245 19 245 16973 15064 12 235 14 240 14 245 16 240 15064 13326 11 243 13 235 14 242 13 235 13326 11780 9 244 12 225 13 239 11 233 11780 10406 5 250 10 215 12 230 9 232 10406 9182 2 279 6 214 10 218 8 223 9182 8092 1 277 4 221 7 210 6 204 8092 7124 2 189 5 226 5 224 4 191 7124 6270 4 184 6 220 4 215 3 209 6270 5513 7 179 6 205 4 186 2 227 5513 4833 11 169 6 185 4 159 3 175 4833 4230 13 163 6 177 5 145 7 152 4230 3726 12 160 6 173 6 137 13 157 3726 3338 9 153 6 169 6 132 15 155 3338 3071 8 150 5 166 6 131 12 149 3071 2909 7*148 5*164 5 129 8*139 2909 2816 5*146 4*163 4*128 3*123 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography