DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/02 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.3 - - 75.2 - - 77.4 - - 73.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 89 - - 201 - - 100 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 259 - - 2982 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2801 - - 4348 - - 2801 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2817 - - 5540 - - 2818 - - 2818 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3483 - - 2680 - - 6376 - - 5390 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 123 - - 359 - - 129 - - 45 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 8 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 8 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 343 - - 334 - - 317 - - 311 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -4 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -747 - - 499 - - -2995 - - -1929 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3564 - - 5041 - - 5813 - - 4747 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1308 - - -512 - - -3844 - - -3588 ODpotential blCL - - - 4125 - - 6052 - - 6662 - - 6406 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 85 - - 77 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 480 - - 580 - - 640 - - 500 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.3 - - 75.2 - - 77.4 - - 73.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 63.9 - - 62.4 - - 61.2 - - 61.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.0 - - 73.3 - - 76.1 - - 73.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 63.1 - - 61.3 - - 60.2 - - 61.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 89 - - 201 - - 100 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 259 - - 2982 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 97 - - 38 - - 10 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 12 - - 13 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98975 40 088 31 088 34 095 25 084 98975 91468 40 088 31 089 29 082 25 075 91468 85710 34 085 32 091 23 069 25 071 85710 80932 27 081 30 081 19 079 23 070 80932 76808 24 079 27 080 21 076 19 071 76808 73169 19 076 25 078 20 078 12 073 73169 69886 16 081 18 075 15 081 15 081 69886 66881 9 056 12 060 12 075 12 044 66881 64117 7 042 6 033 10 060 7 032 64117 61459 5 349 8 005 9 034 10 002 61459 58701 3 076 8 353 8 001 7 310 58701 55843 15 316 12 357 9 013 4 328 55843 53122 24 281 21 317 26 327 20 333 53122 50693 22 251 28 290 29 318 20 326 50693 48516 19 241 28 269 28 311 17 330 48516 46522 24 249 26 257 28 300 24 327 46522 44679 30 250 28 253 28 285 36 317 44679 42973 35 248 31 240 31 270 41 306 42973 41390 39 240 37 235 35 253 43 293 41390 39914 42 241 46 232 40 241 33 281 39914 38524 39 239 48 229 44 237 20 275 38524 37183 35 237 45 230 43 237 22 305 37183 35825 31 241 40 232 35 241 26 315 35825 34421 28 252 28 235 35 240 23 306 34421 32972 26 257 24 242 31 238 18 281 32972 31461 25 262 25 247 30 246 23 279 31461 29880 25 269 25 248 30 258 35 292 29880 28237 25 270 23 255 31 269 30 298 28237 26537 20 280 22 272 29 271 23 291 26537 24778 14 294 20 285 23 285 22 294 24778 22957 13 297 16 288 21 297 22 305 22957 21069 13 289 12 302 20 302 21 314 21069 19107 15 291 15 335 19 323 18 312 19107 17112 14 287 18 347 19 337 13 320 17112 15195 13 263 15 344 15 343 12 341 15195 13452 9 258 13 336 10 330 12 339 13452 11905 13 298 12 324 7 325 9 325 11905 10530 17 311 10 327 7 014 3 345 10530 9305 12 332 9 340 8 015 3 027 9305 8211 9 348 10 353 7 005 5 006 8211 7235 9 004 10 353 8 350 7 346 7235 6369 9 017 10 351 9 333 9 330 6369 5598 9 015 9*347 9 329 10 324 5598 4902 10 005 9*341 10 325 10 321 4902 4282 9 360 9 336 10 323 10 320 4282 3762 8 352 8 334 10 321 10 318 3762 3361 8 349 8 332 9 320 9 317 3361 3083 7 346 7 330 9 319 8 316 3083 2915 6 345 7 330 8*318 7*314 2915 2818 5*343 5 328 6*317 4*311 2818 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography