DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/15 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.8 - - 59.2 - - 62.2 - - 57.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 156 - - 317 - - 91 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1779 - - 3216 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3356 - - 4664 - - 2800 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4337 - - 5774 - - 2816 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 818 - - 985 - - 4818 - - 2520 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 273 - - 418 - - 120 - - 34 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 27 - - 32 - - 13 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 164 - - 162 - - 159 - - 141 Direction Wind Shear - - - 20 - - 21 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 21 - - 38 - - 4 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -863 - - 318 - - -2582 - - -450 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5200 - - 5457 - - 5399 - - 3266 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4437 - - -3535 - - -3212 - - -1337 ODpotential blCL - - - 8774 - - 9309 - - 6028 - - 4153 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 83 - - 95 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.8 - - 59.2 - - 62.2 - - 57.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.8 - - 44.9 - - 48.1 - - 52.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.5 - - 57.4 - - 61.3 - - 56.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.2 - - 44.3 - - 47.7 - - 52.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 156 - - 317 - - 91 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1779 - - 3216 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 8 - - 30 - - 82 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96583 29 245 33 258 35 257 36 276 96583 89384 21 259 20 267 27 251 27 276 89384 83853 18 265 15 257 19 262 21 271 83853 79250 14 273 16 256 17 275 16 278 79250 75241 10 283 14 272 15 272 14 269 75241 71674 11 277 12 286 12 271 10 251 71674 68443 14 278 13 296 7 300 4 267 68443 65478 15 296 13 297 6 270 2 248 65478 62730 13 298 9 288 7 220 8 183 62730 60073 9 296 10 210 14 199 19 233 60073 57319 14 235 19 220 26 235 32 250 57319 54489 27 251 33 243 38 245 46 248 54489 51798 38 244 41 249 41 252 48 249 51798 49367 47 260 51 258 50 256 52 250 49367 47173 53 257 58 254 57 251 54 245 47173 45165 51 253 59 247 61 242 58 239 45165 43325 52 256 54 240 61 237 63 238 43325 41646 54 257 48 240 59 238 65 235 41646 40109 52 255 47 244 59 241 65 235 40109 38680 49 251 51 248 57 241 68 240 38680 37337 49 247 52 249 58 239 72 241 37337 36041 50 247 52 247 60 239 67 236 36041 34726 52 250 53 241 60 239 62 233 34726 33367 52 248 55 238 58 239 61 231 33367 31964 48 242 57 237 57 237 61 231 31964 30506 49 240 55 236 55 236 59 229 30506 28985 50 239 50 235 52 235 55 225 28985 27404 48 235 48 231 49 230 51 223 27404 25765 45 227 46 225 49 220 51 218 25765 24068 42 224 46 222 49 220 52 212 24068 22316 40 226 45 224 46 225 52 216 22316 20501 37 229 42 225 44 228 51 221 20501 18614 32 229 38 223 43 225 50 221 18614 16691 27 227 37 217 43 213 46 216 16691 14841 27 222 36 203 40 202 40 208 14841 13156 32 210 32 199 35 203 35 206 13156 11652 32 206 28 211 38 209 32 204 11652 10307 27 210 31 214 43 199 32 192 10307 9105 25 217 33 204 47 187 36 180 9105 8033 29 214 35 188 45 180 42 174 8033 7083 31 200 37 173 39 175 43 169 7083 6243 36 183 36*166 35 170 42 161 6243 5496 39 174 36*164 32 166 40 155 5496 4823 38*171 36 163 30 164 38 153 4823 4226 33*167 35 162 29 163 35 150 4226 3725 30 164 33 161 27 162 30 147 3725 3339 27 163 30 160 26 161 25 145 3339 3072 24 162 27 159 23 160 21 143 3072 2909 21 161 23 159 19 160 17 143 2909 2816 13 160 15 158 13*159 10*141 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography