DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/03 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 34.2 - - 34.7 - - 30.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 114 - - 23 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1617 - - 256 - - 256 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3058 - - 2798 - - 2798 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4175 - - 2814 - - 2814 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 456 - - 1803 - - 1229 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 239 - - 77 - - 48 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 255 - - 264 - - 267 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 770 - - -490 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3406 - - 3304 - - 2814 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 30 - - -975 - - -541 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4145 - - 3789 - - 3355 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 96 - - 97 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 34.2 - - 34.7 - - 30.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 29.4 - - 30.3 - - 28.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 33.0 - - 34.0 - - 30.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 28.2 - - 29.5 - - 28.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 114 - - 23 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1617 - - 256 - - 256 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 85 - - 87 - - 88 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96405 2 193 8 222 1 230 96405 89238 7 245 8 276 2 332 89238 83677 11 179 9 265 10 296 83677 79087 2 212 6 185 11 282 79087 75136 6 301 3 258 8 251 75136 71614 11 281 14 282 15 288 71614 68413 15 252 19 255 25 262 68413 65478 25 263 27 249 31 253 65478 62753 37 262 36 261 44 259 62753 60108 42 258 54 264 56 253 60108 57364 56 262 65 257 67 260 57364 54522 74 258 86 260 83 263 54522 51803 88 256 93 258 94 256 51803 49354 96 257 93 257 101 253 49354 47169 100 257 102 255 108 254 47169 45199 103 255 107 252 114 253 45199 43401 105 252 111 253 120 252 43401 41746 105 251 116 253 126 251 41746 40207 104 251 122 253 129 250 40207 38766 100 251 124 252 129 250 38766 37408 97 252 124 254 129 251 37408 36098 96 253 123 256 124 250 36098 34771 92 252 122 258 120 250 34771 33398 91 248 124 262 120 253 33398 31983 90 247 116 264 113 257 31983 30513 82 245 103 261 103 254 30513 28978 76 245 97 258 102 251 28978 27380 73 247 89 261 101 254 27380 25719 68 247 77 261 94 262 25719 23996 63 245 67 255 84 264 23996 22215 58 237 64 241 72 262 22215 20369 56 234 65 228 62 260 20369 18453 58 236 62 225 58 257 18453 16508 57 242 58 232 54 256 16508 14639 52 247 49 243 49 260 14639 12941 46 252 43 249 47 262 12941 11432 40 255 38 254 42 264 11432 10093 33 258 33 255 37 270 10093 8906 27 258 28 255 34 278 8906 7852 23 259 24 257 30 282 7852 6917 19 261 20 268 24 285 6917 6094 17 261 18 282 20 292 6094 5366 16 252 17 281 19 298 5366 4717 13*247 13 269 17 290 4717 4145 8*253 12 266 14 277 4145 3671 8 256 11 265 13 271 3671 3307 7 255 10 265 12 269 3307 3055 7 257 9 265 10 269 3055 2902 6 256 8 264 8*268 2902 2814 5 256 6*264 5*267 2814 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography