DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/15 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.8 - - 74.1 - - 71.0 - - 66.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 147 - - 217 - - 5 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 259 - - 5458 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2801 - - 6223 - - 2801 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2817 - - 8016 - - 2817 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 6136 - - 3150 - - 7986 - - 3979 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 141 - - 442 - - 52 - - 28 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 14 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 109 - - 060 - - 094 - - 090 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 9 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3482 - - -2 - - -4535 - - -3334 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6299 - - 8018 - - 7352 - - 6152 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4312 - - -973 - - -5630 - - -5465 ODpotential blCL - - - 7129 - - 8989 - - 8447 - - 8282 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 94 - - 101 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 110 - - 60 - - 60 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.8 - - 74.1 - - 71.0 - - 66.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.0 - - 48.7 - - 48.7 - - 49.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.0 - - 72.1 - - 71.1 - - 67.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.2 - - 47.9 - - 48.0 - - 49.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 147 - - 217 - - 5 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 259 - - 5458 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 8 - - 76 - - 102 - - 87 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98247 22 059 23 102 18 128 3 145 98247 90874 8 084 12 074 14 107 5 064 90874 85209 12 104 4 042 11 066 10 051 85209 80526 15 098 8 114 6 074 6 061 80526 76475 12 106 13 109 9 097 4 112 76475 72883 11 111 13 105 11 094 6 105 72883 69633 11 106 8 110 8 089 8 093 69633 66658 10 115 9 138 4 079 10 083 66658 63904 10 109 14 132 5 167 3 071 63904 61236 6 085 15 119 11 161 7 228 61236 58454 2 108 11 117 11 156 9 206 58454 55574 5 141 7 138 8 171 8 166 55574 52829 5 134 6 149 7 177 8 135 52829 50356 5 125 5 132 4 156 6 116 50356 48136 4 133 4 110 3 089 4 104 48136 46118 7 124 4 126 4 064 3 063 46118 44271 11 080 9 112 4 095 2 060 44271 42570 11 067 10 095 6 084 6 050 42570 40987 15 076 12 083 9 059 2 064 40987 39512 25 062 19 061 15 055 17 056 39512 38142 33 055 24 055 21 065 30 052 38142 36828 31 050 25 057 26 065 30 052 36828 35494 27 043 26 061 23 059 27 048 35494 34111 24 044 24 066 16 065 24 048 34111 32682 21 051 20 066 13 067 23 047 32682 31194 20 054 17 058 14 063 23 050 31194 29634 19 055 18 061 19 066 25 056 29634 28006 19 059 22 055 20 061 25 064 28006 26309 18 055 20 052 22 052 24 071 26309 24550 19 041 17 057 22 039 26 053 24550 22737 18 039 17 052 21 037 31 036 22737 20867 19 044 18 049 20 033 30 027 20867 18926 21 049 19 047 24 027 29 026 18926 16949 19 049 18 040 26 033 26 027 16949 15048 17 043 18 038 24 037 22 027 15048 13327 14 026 17 037 19 024 19 007 13327 11804 12 004 15 018 13 353 16 335 11804 10450 14 004 13 010 12 359 14 338 10450 9236 12 004 13 011 11 007 10 002 9236 8150 5 358 9*022 8 025 8 040 8150 7183 3 069 8*028 8 041 9 067 7183 6324 4 098 6 050 8 059 10 087 6324 5560 5 104 6 058 8 072 12 095 5560 4873 4 101 6 065 9 080 14 096 4873 4261 3 097 6 069 9 085 15 095 4261 3748 3 100 6 073 9 088 15 095 3748 3352 2 105 5 075 9 089 14 094 3352 3079 2 107 5 078 8 091 12 093 3079 2912 2 109 5 078 7*091 8*092 2912 2817 2*109 4 080 4*094 4*090 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography