DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/14 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 9.0 - - 7.3 - - 2.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 171 - - 51 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 255 - - 255 - - 254 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2796 - - 2796 - - 2796 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2813 - - 2813 - - 2812 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2598 - - 2885 - - 1931 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 145 - - 98 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 13 - - 13 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 301 - - 304 - - 310 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - -4 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -530 - - -715 - - -613 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3343 - - 3529 - - 3425 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -656 - - -1055 - - -1143 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3469 - - 3868 - - 3955 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 101 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 9.0 - - 7.3 - - 2.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 4.9 - - 2.4 - - -1.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 7.8 - - 6.6 - - 2.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 4.0 - - 1.8 - - -1.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 171 - - 51 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 255 - - 255 - - 254 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 102 - - 102 - - 87 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95597 105 242 112 247 105 250 95597 88590 80 246 84 247 72 255 88590 83213 61 245 63 243 56 247 83213 78665 50 245 50 249 52 260 78665 74715 47 258 50 262 57 279 74715 71256 45 274 50 272 54 279 71256 68154 34 274 38 268 38 280 68154 65297 18 242 20 239 19 264 65297 62597 13 230 11 160 20 273 62597 59913 31 284 26 293 32 292 59913 57076 59 280 53 290 46 295 57076 54128 67 273 65 282 60 298 54128 51341 72 274 71 276 70 280 51341 48864 78 270 71 264 66 262 48864 46639 77 261 65 264 58 277 46639 44609 75 253 65 273 64 286 44609 42754 71 250 70 279 72 287 42754 41044 70 257 78 280 75 289 41044 39451 74 266 84 280 80 291 39451 37962 82 271 88 281 86 291 37962 36568 90 272 91 282 91 290 36568 35234 96 271 94 283 94 290 35234 33889 100 270 98 282 92 293 33889 32508 102 269 100 280 93 297 32508 31096 105 269 97 281 97 301 31096 29638 107 267 96 283 98 302 29638 28120 106 266 97 284 98 305 28120 26541 103 266 94 284 96 309 26541 24903 102 269 89 287 94 311 24903 23211 101 272 90 294 92 311 23211 21467 96 273 92 299 92 313 21467 19657 89 274 92 300 92 317 19657 17776 82 276 86 300 90 317 17776 15873 75 278 78 301 82 316 15873 14061 70 280 72 304 73 316 14061 12428 64 282 69 306 67 319 12428 10980 60 284 65 309 65 323 10980 9694 57 285 61 311 63 326 9694 8552 55 288 58 314 60 329 8552 7542 52 292 54 317 56 332 7542 6654 47 298 48 317 52 335 6654 5878 40 304 40 313 48 336 5878 5199 33 305 36 309 42 330 5199 4596 31 305 35 308 36 322 4596 4064 30 304 33 308 33 319 4064 3619 28 304 31 307 30 317 3619 3276 26 303 29 306 26 315 3276 3039 24 302 25 306 22 314 3039 2895 20*302 21*305 18 312 2895 2812 13*301 13*304 11*310 2812 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography