DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/25 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 63.2 - - 59.7 - - 58.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 169 - - 43 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1979 - - 258 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3548 - - 2800 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4537 - - 2816 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2155 - - 3266 - - 2779 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 294 - - 97 - - 30 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 14 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 251 - - 247 - - 255 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 539 - - -107 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3998 - - 2923 - - 2817 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -613 - - -774 - - -748 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5150 - - 3590 - - 3565 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 98 - - 99 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 360 - - 380 - - 410 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 63.2 - - 59.7 - - 58.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 55.0 - - 56.1 - - 55.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 61.6 - - 58.7 - - 58.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 54.1 - - 55.5 - - 55.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 169 - - 43 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1979 - - 258 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 92 - - 98 - - 87 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97556 30 255 34 261 29 283 97556 90180 29 248 31 252 34 264 90180 84465 29 236 27 254 30 251 84465 79683 20 242 23 248 21 248 79683 75562 10 237 18 243 20 250 75562 71951 4 307 8 256 15 250 71951 68714 8 317 4 306 9 258 68714 65755 11 299 9 302 12 302 65755 63019 15 299 14 294 16 300 63019 60369 17 306 14 291 19 298 60369 57601 23 302 21 297 23 282 57601 54713 28 284 24 281 17 272 54713 51936 26 267 27 274 27 275 51936 49430 28 261 37 274 30 277 49430 47188 36 265 41 271 45 273 47188 45164 42 253 44 253 46 256 45164 43326 37 220 44 239 38 246 43326 41642 30 233 44 217 43 248 41642 40092 37 262 34 243 53 244 40092 38653 65 261 64 242 58 237 38653 37307 67 255 63 238 52 239 37307 36013 54 250 53 238 47 240 36013 34704 55 244 49 232 43 244 34704 33352 50 243 45 227 43 249 33352 31958 42 235 39 238 39 248 31958 30510 43 230 42 242 38 239 30510 28996 47 223 44 239 38 235 28996 27419 45 216 40 233 31 242 27419 25781 38 214 34 228 25 247 25781 24080 28 217 31 227 25 247 24080 22319 22 217 29 226 27 245 22319 20491 20 233 25 229 26 245 20491 18595 18 244 19 239 18 249 18595 16669 18 242 17 249 16 263 16669 14818 18 241 15 251 17 275 14818 13133 19 231 15 253 19 279 13133 11633 19 229 14 261 20 277 11633 10298 19 222 14 270 19 280 10298 9106 20 220 16 271 17 286 9106 8041 21 226 17 265 13 294 8041 7093 22 236 17 256 11 298 7093 6251 21 246 17 250 10 294 6251 5504 20 250 17 247 10 286 5504 4830 18*251 16 246 10 277 4830 4232 16*252 16 246 9 273 4232 3729 16 251 14 246 8 267 3729 3341 15 251 13 247 7 260 3341 3073 14 250 11 247 6 258 3073 2910 12 249 10 247 5*255 2910 2817 9 248 7*247 3*255 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography