DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/12 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 32.2 - - 34.6 - - 30.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 148 - - 30 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1253 - - 256 - - 256 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2945 - - 2798 - - 2798 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3811 - - 2814 - - 2814 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 586 - - 1757 - - 953 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 239 - - 87 - - 37 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 257 - - 257 - - 255 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -5 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -642 - - -1646 - - -762 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4454 - - 4460 - - 3576 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -11131 - - -9722 - - -10805 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 14942 - - 12536 - - 13619 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 72 - - 68 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 32.2 - - 34.6 - - 30.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 22.9 - - 25.3 - - 24.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 30.7 - - 33.9 - - 30.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 21.8 - - 24.1 - - 23.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 148 - - 30 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1253 - - 256 - - 256 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94967 94 251 98 250 96 255 94967 88139 71 254 73 255 66 263 88139 82905 56 249 58 257 53 266 82905 78497 42 248 47 251 50 263 78497 74646 37 256 40 262 48 265 74646 71232 34 263 38 272 45 266 71232 68129 31 265 34 266 38 265 68129 65250 29 268 30 262 36 264 65250 62552 35 270 33 259 37 271 62552 59920 45 261 38 263 48 270 59920 57160 47 261 52 261 55 258 57160 54283 53 258 58 255 65 259 54283 51522 57 253 65 256 75 261 51522 49028 63 260 76 259 82 263 49028 46788 71 263 82 259 85 263 46788 44762 75 257 81 257 84 261 44762 42915 77 253 79 257 83 260 42915 41221 81 254 83 259 85 258 41221 39662 88 256 89 257 87 257 39662 38227 91 257 90 255 87 257 38227 36894 89 257 89 255 87 258 36894 35612 84 257 88 252 87 258 35612 34314 82 258 86 251 85 257 34314 32973 83 260 85 252 85 257 32973 31590 85 261 87 257 87 261 31590 30153 86 261 85 260 84 263 30153 28651 82 260 80 261 78 264 28651 27089 75 260 77 262 74 266 27089 25462 66 258 71 263 70 267 25462 23771 59 261 65 265 62 267 23771 22020 54 270 61 267 54 268 22020 20208 48 274 55 267 53 275 20208 18327 41 276 47 267 53 275 18327 16413 36 275 43 270 47 274 16413 14570 34 274 41 274 44 283 14570 12896 30 276 37 279 37 290 12896 11407 27 281 32 286 27 296 11407 10083 24 285 28 293 22 298 10083 8904 21 286 27 298 22 297 8904 7854 20 287 26 300 24 298 7854 6922 19 287 25 298 27 301 6922 6099 19 288 24 294 29 303 6099 5371 19 287 22 290 28 298 5371 4721 18 280 18 281 25 287 4721 4148 14*265 14 264 23 269 4148 3672 12*258 13 261 22 255 3672 3307 12 257 13 259 19 253 3307 3055 11 257 11 259 15 254 3055 2902 10 257 10 258 11*255 2902 2814 7 256 7*257 7*255 2814 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography