DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/06 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 49.6 - - 50.1 - - 49.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 70 - - -7 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 257 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2799 - - 2799 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2815 - - 2816 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1851 - - 2491 - - 1755 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 108 - - 26 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 12 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 246 - - 243 - - 247 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -385 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3200 - - 2816 - - 2816 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1343 - - -810 - - -842 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4158 - - 3626 - - 3658 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 99 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 20 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 49.6 - - 50.1 - - 49.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 45.1 - - 47.6 - - 48.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 48.9 - - 49.8 - - 49.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 45.1 - - 47.5 - - 48.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 70 - - -7 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 257 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 98 - - 95 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96543 49 244 57 252 49 261 96543 89239 31 249 38 256 34 266 89239 83657 22 262 28 275 26 263 83657 79065 19 269 21 275 19 282 79065 75126 17 284 14 281 16 286 75126 71646 26 296 18 299 17 287 71646 68494 30 295 22 303 12 276 68494 65564 27 290 24 299 27 310 65564 62826 26 288 37 298 44 300 62826 60188 37 279 45 283 49 287 60188 57439 46 283 48 286 51 286 57439 54565 62 286 57 286 65 288 54565 51800 76 276 81 274 78 275 51800 49315 80 278 81 273 84 268 49315 47100 89 275 89 273 85 270 47100 45097 92 269 93 269 94 272 45097 43280 96 270 103 271 102 267 43280 41625 105 273 116 270 105 265 41625 40091 115 274 115 267 108 268 40091 38653 115 273 115 267 115 269 38653 37299 109 272 116 268 122 267 37299 35992 100 271 113 267 120 264 35992 34668 95 270 108 264 117 264 34668 33298 94 269 103 264 116 266 33298 31885 90 266 100 262 113 267 31885 30419 88 265 99 262 109 266 30419 28889 85 264 95 263 104 265 28889 27299 81 262 91 263 100 263 27299 25649 77 260 88 263 95 263 25649 23943 74 259 84 263 88 261 23943 22184 71 256 81 261 82 259 22184 20364 68 254 75 259 77 261 20364 18478 64 255 68 257 71 262 18478 16561 60 256 62 258 63 261 16561 14716 58 255 55 261 58 261 14716 13037 57 254 50 262 52 264 13037 11545 53 253 49 262 48 267 11545 10215 47 253 48 263 48 272 10215 9029 48 246 47 267 49 277 9029 7970 50 242 47 265 48 281 7970 7029 49 245 46 256 46 276 7029 6199 47 247 44 247 44 266 6199 5462 45 246 43 244 43 260 5462 4799 39 242 41 243 41 256 4799 4208 32 242 39 243 38 252 4208 3713 28 242 33 242 33 248 3713 3332 24 244 27 242 27 247 3332 3068 21 245 23 242 21 246 3068 2908 17 245 19*243 17*246 2908 2816 11*246 12*243 10*247 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography