DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/16 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.8 - - 81.1 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 128 - - 74 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4106 - - 260 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5014 - - 2801 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6664 - - 2818 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1681 - - 5613 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 357 - - 119 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 15 - - 8 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 273 - - 247 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 10 - - 0 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - 0 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1154 - - -1732 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5510 - - 4550 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -524 - - -2725 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7188 - - 5543 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 78 - - 82 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1180 - - 2490 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.8 - - 81.1 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 66.9 - - 70.2 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 80.6 - - 80.2 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 65.7 - - 69.4 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 128 - - 74 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4106 - - 260 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 12 - - 29 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 14 - - 17 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99214 34 091 30 080 99214 91766 30 087 29 075 91766 86023 33 083 28 084 86023 81259 33 070 28 086 81259 77152 25 070 24 081 77152 73514 20 076 14 071 73514 70225 12 071 6 079 70225 67205 6 119 4 094 67205 64405 7 114 4 071 64405 61694 4 052 4 075 61694 58897 3 302 5 246 58897 56067 8 302 9 243 56067 53421 10 301 9 294 53421 51060 15 264 25 275 51060 48942 21 262 30 267 48942 47009 25 259 29 252 47009 45214 22 250 30 250 45214 43531 28 250 35 250 43531 41945 35 251 41 251 41945 40447 38 252 42 253 40447 39033 35 250 41 251 39033 37666 30 254 39 248 37666 36280 28 259 37 249 36280 34846 28 267 36 249 34846 33366 28 261 37 255 33366 31829 32 256 33 261 31829 30225 31 257 27 266 30225 28558 27 256 24 267 28558 26826 25 264 24 269 26826 25034 23 270 26 272 25034 23185 23 273 26 278 23185 21276 20 271 24 280 21276 19299 14 260 25 279 19299 17291 14 280 27 289 17291 15361 21 292 28 295 15361 13607 22 286 26 293 13607 12047 22 283 25 289 12047 10657 21 282 23 283 10657 9413 24 282 21 276 9413 8300 22 280 20 272 8300 7309 19*278 19 270 7309 6428 18*277 18 267 6428 5644 17 275 16 263 5644 4937 16 273 15 255 4937 4307 16 272 14 252 4307 3778 15 271 13 250 3778 3370 14 271 13 249 3370 3088 13 270 12 248 3088 2917 12 269 10*248 2917 2818 9 268 8*247 2818 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography