DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/10 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.0 - - 40.8 - - 36.8 - - 35.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -44 - - 43 - - -18 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 257 - - 257 - - 257 - - 257 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2798 - - 2798 - - 2798 - - 2798 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2815 - - 2815 - - 2815 - - 2815 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 792 - - 2383 - - 1982 - - 1757 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 47 - - 100 - - 30 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 15 - - 10 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 237 - - 241 - - 251 - - 241 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1264 - - -1209 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4079 - - 4025 - - 2815 - - 2815 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9252 - - -7379 - - -790 - - -600 ODpotential blCL - - - 12067 - - 10194 - - 3605 - - 3415 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 92 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.0 - - 40.8 - - 36.8 - - 35.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.0 - - 32.8 - - 34.9 - - 34.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 38.1 - - 40.3 - - 36.9 - - 35.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.8 - - 31.8 - - 34.8 - - 34.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -44 - - 43 - - -18 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 257 - - 257 - - 257 - - 257 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 46 - - 67 - - 101 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95602 50 243 57 244 55 252 73 240 95602 88495 53 256 58 254 63 258 68 249 88495 82975 51 263 49 253 59 253 61 265 82975 78403 54 262 43 257 51 253 59 271 78403 74492 47 260 40 260 45 252 54 271 74492 71051 42 263 38 264 41 259 41 258 71051 67902 40 264 39 266 40 265 36 274 67902 64973 48 271 44 265 41 268 42 280 64973 62249 58 274 50 265 50 275 51 281 62249 59605 61 269 58 269 57 275 57 274 59605 56835 58 267 60 271 58 271 56 267 56835 53940 60 269 67 271 60 266 56 264 53940 51154 71 271 77 267 63 262 67 265 51154 48645 83 262 80 257 70 259 81 263 48645 46409 82 256 80 254 78 256 84 258 46409 44388 85 258 88 256 86 253 80 253 44388 42533 91 255 100 251 92 249 81 256 42533 40820 97 259 109 240 98 246 93 254 40820 39233 111 263 107 237 107 245 103 247 39233 37754 121 262 107 243 114 241 105 241 37754 36369 126 258 116 249 114 238 93 237 36369 35038 127 255 126 251 114 240 83 238 35038 33694 124 254 133 250 115 240 82 243 33694 32313 119 255 137 248 117 239 87 246 32313 30898 111 252 135 248 120 243 94 247 30898 29439 107 251 130 247 129 247 103 247 29439 27921 100 256 124 246 140 246 108 244 27921 26347 89 259 121 243 140 244 110 241 26347 24716 81 258 112 244 131 245 113 240 24716 23034 78 255 95 246 130 246 119 241 23034 21310 80 252 91 251 127 248 106 245 21310 19542 75 252 87 251 114 247 83 252 19542 17729 67 258 80 246 102 247 73 257 17729 15902 69 256 74 247 88 246 71 257 15902 14154 66 245 72 250 82 245 70 263 14154 12574 61 238 73 252 77 244 60 271 12574 11169 57 236 75 251 65 245 54 276 11169 9912 55 238 74 246 51 252 55 275 9912 8787 56 245 70 242 47 259 54 271 8787 7780 60 250 65 240 47 260 54 266 7780 6880 62 249 61 242 45 258 54 262 6880 6082 62 245 59 241 44 255 53 258 6082 5371 61 241 57 239 42 252 51 255 5371 4731 58 237 51 237 38 250 49 252 4731 4160 49 234 43 238 35 249 44 249 4160 3682 39 233 38 238 30 250 37 246 3682 3313 30 234 33 239 26 250 30 244 3313 3059 21 235 28 239 21 250 23 243 3059 2904 17*236 24*240 17*251 19*242 2904 2815 9*237 15*241 10*251 11*241 2815 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography