DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/11 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 25.1 - - 25.2 - - 23.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 150 - - 141 - - 158 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 256 - - 256 - - 2413 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2797 - - 2797 - - 3804 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2814 - - 2814 - - 4971 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 6770 - - 5021 - - 1038 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 141 - - 139 - - 302 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 15 - - 15 - - 30 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 298 - - 299 - - 310 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -5 - - -4 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -932 - - -1175 - - 1248 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3746 - - 3989 - - 3723 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1233 - - -1453 - - 508 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4047 - - 4267 - - 4463 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 101 - - 99 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 25.1 - - 25.2 - - 23.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 18.9 - - 18.0 - - 17.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 24.0 - - 24.2 - - 22.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 17.7 - - 16.9 - - 16.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 150 - - 141 - - 158 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 256 - - 256 - - 2413 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 103 - - 94 - - 94 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95730 87 252 85 260 82 259 95730 88669 65 257 65 259 58 264 88669 83270 45 260 46 255 45 266 83270 78769 28 259 36 250 40 266 78769 74882 26 273 32 253 42 270 74882 71446 31 265 33 257 37 269 71446 68309 33 246 34 248 37 265 68309 65393 34 234 38 232 42 247 65393 62664 35 242 40 236 42 244 62664 59988 45 253 40 257 51 259 59988 57186 62 262 64 265 65 262 57186 54282 87 255 83 257 75 260 54282 51510 95 245 87 251 78 259 51510 49016 87 247 87 254 83 261 49016 46792 93 251 96 255 91 259 46792 44786 101 250 102 251 97 254 44786 42958 104 246 99 245 98 254 42958 41275 99 243 87 241 98 253 41275 39712 93 243 75 249 90 262 39712 38258 85 251 73 268 102 271 38258 36907 99 267 93 278 117 269 36907 35613 125 270 112 275 115 265 35613 34302 141 266 128 267 104 266 34302 32948 144 260 134 260 100 274 32948 31558 142 256 126 259 101 278 31558 30115 135 253 118 263 101 279 30115 28605 125 253 108 268 99 279 28605 27028 115 259 94 276 98 280 27028 25385 111 267 89 286 91 284 25385 23679 110 270 90 294 86 288 23679 21916 104 270 93 296 86 294 21916 20088 96 271 93 294 81 299 20088 18188 87 272 89 299 74 305 18188 16250 78 270 82 307 71 310 16250 14381 65 268 73 313 67 314 14381 12683 53 269 65 320 62 315 12683 11182 43 273 59 326 56 316 11182 9863 38 279 56 327 54 319 9863 8699 37 284 47 323 53 323 8699 7673 37 289 38 312 52 325 7673 6770 37 292 38 307 47 325 6770 5983 37 294 37 305 38 319 5983 5291 37 295 37 304 35*314 5291 4669 36 296 36 303 34*312 4669 4117 35 297 35 302 33 311 4117 3654 33 298 33 302 32 310 3654 3297 31 298 31 301 30 310 3297 3050 27 298 27 301 26 309 3050 2900 23*298 23*300 22 308 2900 2813 15*298 15*299 14 307 2813 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography