DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/14 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 39.3 - - 43.5 - - 42.0 - - 37.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 54 - - 170 - - 57 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 257 - - 2218 - - 257 - - 257 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2798 - - 3695 - - 2798 - - 2798 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2815 - - 4776 - - 2815 - - 2815 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1585 - - 1085 - - 3795 - - 2721 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 101 - - 300 - - 102 - - 27 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 23 - - 11 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 243 - - 239 - - 249 - - 252 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 14 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -11 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3058 - - -575 - - -1456 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5873 - - 5351 - - 4271 - - 2815 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10030 - - -4377 - - -1993 - - -682 ODpotential blCL - - - 12845 - - 9153 - - 4808 - - 3497 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 90 - - 98 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 39.3 - - 43.5 - - 42.0 - - 37.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.4 - - 29.6 - - 32.8 - - 34.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 38.7 - - 42.1 - - 41.2 - - 36.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.9 - - 29.1 - - 32.6 - - 34.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 54 - - 170 - - 57 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 257 - - 2218 - - 257 - - 257 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 22 - - 58 - - 90 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95607 36 262 39 286 40 276 43 276 95607 88701 16 312 25 296 26 293 35 299 88701 83360 23 332 18 314 18 321 27 321 83360 78883 22 314 22 324 21 336 23 332 78883 74960 21 310 24 322 26 324 27 326 74960 71455 23 303 23 321 20 318 26 318 71455 68258 24 301 22 313 20 316 25 312 68258 65295 31 294 27 300 23 298 26 294 65295 62527 33 272 32 285 26 283 25 273 62527 59819 34 258 33 264 31 280 23 265 59819 56969 36 255 35 256 39 264 34 262 56969 54005 42 252 40 254 42 255 41 247 54005 51172 48 249 49 247 49 248 45 243 51172 48613 53 248 55 240 57 242 50 250 48613 46311 59 248 61 238 60 243 60 248 46311 44228 61 242 67 237 76 242 67 244 44228 42331 59 239 69 232 80 233 72 233 42331 40593 57 247 65 228 74 224 75 230 40593 38981 70 253 60 238 72 231 81 230 38981 37472 75 238 72 241 85 236 90 225 37472 36064 73 228 78 237 95 238 92 222 36064 34733 78 225 82 227 101 235 100 223 34733 33414 81 218 80 217 97 230 111 228 33414 32068 82 217 85 210 92 227 125 229 32068 30692 76 222 87 207 89 226 128 225 30692 29270 77 225 87 210 85 226 124 221 29270 27791 79 226 87 213 80 221 116 218 27791 26257 75 227 83 218 79 217 98 216 26257 24674 70 231 79 221 77 216 86 213 24674 23039 65 233 75 225 75 218 85 216 23039 21352 58 231 70 230 74 223 80 221 21352 19607 52 227 60 231 70 223 74 225 19607 17799 44 222 48 230 62 222 66 227 17799 15963 40 227 43 225 53 222 60 230 15963 14198 40 233 43 222 49 226 55 235 14198 12597 41 232 45 226 46 234 47 242 12597 11176 41 228 45 235 45 241 39 255 11176 9913 42 226 42 243 43 245 34 269 9913 8785 43 227 41 246 41 250 33 275 8785 7777 43 228 42 245 37 253 32 273 7777 6877 41 229 41 240 33 254 31 269 6877 6079 36 233 37 236 28 251 31 264 6079 5369 31 243 31*236 25 248 30 260 5369 4730 32 246 26*238 24 248 28 258 4730 4161 32 244 25 238 23 248 26 256 4161 3683 28 242 24 239 22 248 23 255 3683 3314 24 242 23 239 21 249 19 254 3314 3059 20 242 21 240 19 249 16 253 3059 2904 17*242 17 240 16*249 13*253 2904 2815 11*243 12 240 11*249 8*252 2815 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography