DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/13 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 35.6 - - 46.1 - - 47.9 - - 38.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 37 - - 172 - - 44 - - -46 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 257 - - 1385 - - 257 - - 257 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2798 - - 3112 - - 2799 - - 2798 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2815 - - 3943 - - 2815 - - 2815 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 757 - - 731 - - 2136 - - 549 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 91 - - 258 - - 95 - - 20 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 18 - - 11 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 241 - - 235 - - 236 - - 231 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -4 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3390 - - -3753 - - -5463 - - -2473 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6205 - - 7697 - - 8279 - - 5288 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12407 - - -12582 - - -13208 - - -11953 ODpotential blCL - - - 15222 - - 16525 - - 16023 - - 14768 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 66 - - 75 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 35.6 - - 46.1 - - 47.9 - - 38.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.8 - - 22.5 - - 21.7 - - 25.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 34.9 - - 44.7 - - 47.1 - - 40.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.7 - - 21.5 - - 21.2 - - 25.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 37 - - 172 - - 44 - - -46 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 257 - - 1385 - - 257 - - 257 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95110 59 256 70 272 54 284 60 286 95110 88335 41 289 49 288 48 297 48 298 88335 83046 37 295 32 301 36 299 40 310 83046 78605 32 286 26 302 32 295 35 303 78605 74729 30 278 25 298 29 298 35 299 74729 71275 32 279 28 288 29 295 33 289 71275 68130 31 281 32 284 34 288 29 275 68130 65216 30 278 34 283 32 272 30 271 65216 62489 34 271 36 275 32 266 32 273 62489 59831 35 269 36 261 41 268 37 274 59831 57047 38 266 42 254 49 262 46 268 57047 54140 46 261 47 248 56 254 57 259 54140 51359 61 257 52 254 63 252 62 256 51359 48869 67 259 60 260 66 252 58 254 48869 46646 69 260 66 260 65 255 56 260 46646 44625 68 259 69 259 65 260 61 263 44625 42767 61 255 71 255 68 259 67 258 42767 41070 55 251 58 255 67 261 69 254 41070 39531 54 266 65 267 71 263 66 260 39531 38129 64 274 64 262 73 271 70 268 38129 36824 58 275 55 260 76 272 72 263 36824 35564 40 284 64 274 74 267 71 261 35564 34285 48 307 70 280 73 268 72 257 34285 32960 59 303 72 282 70 268 71 255 32960 31591 57 306 58 279 63 269 68 254 31591 30165 48 307 48 279 58 271 66 252 30165 28672 46 297 48 277 55 270 61 247 28672 27112 41 291 52 273 56 268 61 243 27112 25486 37 287 57 275 59 265 66 246 25486 23795 40 285 59 275 58 260 70 255 23795 22043 44 289 54 274 53 259 69 256 22043 20227 40 291 47 270 44 262 65 256 20227 18340 33 276 44 272 37 264 59 255 18340 16423 33 258 39 278 37 265 52 255 16423 14584 33 249 34 265 41 261 47 259 14584 12917 29 245 34 255 42 258 45 263 12917 11441 26 249 33 253 41 260 44 265 11441 10128 24 255 30 251 39 265 42 268 10128 8957 24 258 28 250 39 268 41 271 8957 7911 24 259 28 252 39 268 41 273 7911 6978 26 261 30 255 40 264 43 270 6978 6151 27 259 33 254 40 257 44 263 6151 5418 28 255 34 248 38 247 45 254 5418 4760 28 249 31 239 35 241 45 242 4760 4178 27 245 25*235 28 236 43 235 4178 3693 25 241 21*234 25 235 36 232 3693 3319 21 238 19 234 23 236 27 230 3319 3061 15 239 17 235 20 236 19 229 3061 2905 12*240 15 235 17 236 14*229 2905 2815 8*241 10 235 11*236 7*231 2815 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography