DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/19 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 80.8 - - 82.2 - - 76.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 245 - - 102 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4281 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5398 - - 2801 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6839 - - 2818 - - 2818 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3418 - - 8986 - - 4899 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 430 - - 129 - - 28 W* B/S - - - - - - 8 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 10 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 252 - - 256 - - 274 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -10 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1155 - - -6188 - - -3987 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7994 - - 9007 - - 6806 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -3417 - - -7595 - - -6243 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 10256 - - 10413 - - 9061 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 82 - - 83 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 370 - - 260 - - 450 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 80.8 - - 82.2 - - 76.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 55.5 - - 52.5 - - 56.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 78.7 - - 81.0 - - 77.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 54.3 - - 51.3 - - 55.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 245 - - 102 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4281 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 26 - - 34 - - 41 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98159 18 144 12 226 4 330 98159 90727 7 158 3 097 1 309 90727 85021 4 206 13 067 9 067 85021 80313 2 130 14 095 9 075 80313 76278 11 080 12 115 5 074 76278 72727 12 068 9 100 6 091 72727 69516 8 071 6 059 6 083 69516 66564 6 101 2 030 6 029 66564 63847 13 082 1 167 5 342 63847 61232 12 339 2 123 1 247 61232 58498 8 306 9 241 8 264 58498 55662 10 324 12 274 13 278 55662 52964 19 321 15 313 11 271 52964 50530 25 291 24 301 13 296 50530 48338 28 265 31 290 23 317 48338 46345 19 229 23 252 27 300 46345 44516 14 094 17 158 24 263 44516 42832 4 086 12 141 16 163 42832 41272 9 194 5 160 12 130 41272 39810 13 146 12 164 6 161 39810 38434 22 100 15 143 13 167 38434 37106 24 090 13 138 18 161 37106 35760 20 085 10 118 17 161 35760 34367 15 075 10 071 12 167 34367 32931 7 051 10 030 4 120 32931 31439 9 023 7 015 5 099 31439 29877 9 358 3 033 6 119 29877 28248 10 320 3 344 4 144 28248 26553 9 294 8 312 3 188 26553 24794 10 260 9 293 7 266 24794 22977 11 255 13 288 15 287 22977 21093 14 238 17 273 15 276 21093 19140 11 222 14 255 12 262 19140 17154 9 237 12 234 10 240 17154 15247 10 230 15 227 12 218 15247 13515 15 222 18 225 14 211 13515 11971 18 222 18 221 14 198 11971 10593 18 227 17 217 14 193 10593 9359 17 229 15 216 14 198 9359 8254 14 230 14 221 13 210 8254 7267 11*239 12 232 12 230 7267 6392 10*246 12 237 12 252 6392 5614 10 250 11 246 11 267 5614 4913 10 252 11 251 11 272 4913 4290 10 254 11 253 11 275 4290 3767 10 254 11 253 11 276 3767 3363 9 254 10 254 10 277 3363 3084 9 255 10 254 8 277 3084 2915 8 254 9*255 6*275 2915 2818 6 255 7*256 3*274 2818 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography