DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/27 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 60.4 - - 64.6 - - 59.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 322 - - 186 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2950 - - 3710 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4473 - - 4829 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5508 - - 6268 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 893 - - 1327 - - 3726 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 411 - - 370 - - 11 W* B/S - - - - - - 11 - - 13 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 021 - - 354 - - 028 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -4517 - - -5238 - - -6703 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 10025 - - 11507 - - 9520 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -11884 - - -11760 - - -13391 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 17392 - - 18028 - - 16207 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 81 - - 71 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 60.4 - - 64.6 - - 59.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 26.6 - - 24.1 - - 28.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 57.9 - - 62.8 - - 61.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 25.4 - - 22.9 - - 26.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 322 - - 186 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2950 - - 3710 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 24 - - 0 - - 16 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97660 14 197 10 220 17 256 97660 90301 6 204 7 242 5 281 90301 84649 9 180 7 252 5 340 84649 79960 5 103 9 217 5 257 79960 75901 4 054 2 190 4 357 75901 72298 8 337 6 259 11 327 72298 69057 13 323 9 328 15 332 69057 66098 17 326 13 321 12 327 66098 63345 18 293 18 299 21 318 63345 60668 18 287 23 290 28 303 60668 57869 24 307 30 295 34 303 57869 54955 40 293 39 293 41 294 54955 52175 38 281 42 287 46 287 52175 49687 40 293 46 291 47 290 49687 47474 47 297 47 293 46 292 47474 45480 57 289 47 292 47 292 45480 43665 58 287 52 287 54 293 43665 42002 61 285 58 283 59 293 42002 40465 63 284 59 285 59 291 40465 39033 63 281 58 283 55 288 39033 37688 61 278 57 281 52 284 37688 36390 58 273 54 281 50 284 36390 35073 62 267 51 280 50 284 35073 33708 66 266 50 281 49 285 33708 32301 65 269 48 281 47 290 32301 30839 58 272 48 283 43 293 30839 29312 51 278 47 285 40 292 29312 27718 40 279 42 290 40 294 27718 26057 39 285 34 294 40 297 26057 24331 31 288 31 296 35 297 24331 22543 24 288 30 295 27 300 22543 20688 23 303 27 295 26 296 20688 18762 23 305 24 296 24 292 18762 16805 23 299 26 292 22 291 16805 14925 24 298 27 293 24 297 14925 13215 23 300 27 296 25 296 13215 11694 21 300 22 300 23 293 11694 10340 17 298 16 302 19 291 10340 9132 14 303 11 305 13 281 9132 8056 13 316 7 315 10 259 8056 7100 11 337 4*351 6 234 7100 6255 8*016 5*358 2 125 6255 5506 7*021 5 357 4 073 5506 4832 7 021 5 356 4 058 4832 4232 7 021 5 354 5 047 4232 3729 7 021 5 353 5 040 3729 3341 6 021 5 351 5 035 3341 3073 6 021 5 350 5 032 3073 2910 5 020 4 350 4 029 2910 2816 4 021 4 349 2*028 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography