DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/02 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 38.5 - - 46.5 - - 47.5 - - 39.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 110 - - 218 - - 40 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 257 - - 2182 - - 257 - - 257 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2798 - - 3760 - - 2799 - - 2798 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2815 - - 4740 - - 2815 - - 2815 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1280 - - 977 - - 2853 - - 979 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 126 - - 322 - - 90 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 20 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 272 - - 268 - - 273 - - 291 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -3 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1480 - - -1212 - - -3284 - - -1307 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4295 - - 5952 - - 6100 - - 4122 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10679 - - -8603 - - -9800 - - -9298 ODpotential blCL - - - 13494 - - 13343 - - 12615 - - 12113 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 85 - - 86 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 38.5 - - 46.5 - - 47.5 - - 39.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.5 - - 30.1 - - 30.5 - - 31.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 37.6 - - 44.9 - - 46.7 - - 40.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.5 - - 29.9 - - 30.4 - - 31.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 110 - - 218 - - 40 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 257 - - 2182 - - 257 - - 257 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 8 - - 40 - - 45 - - 61 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95406 77 239 77 249 72 251 74 251 95406 88282 53 263 53 263 43 255 44 263 88282 82799 49 291 46 288 34 282 32 272 82799 78247 37 285 43 290 44 295 36 289 78247 74362 25 264 29 298 43 304 41 304 74362 70958 30 299 29 309 39 306 42 312 70958 67869 61 311 38 311 37 302 41 310 67869 65000 73 305 47 307 38 302 40 301 65000 62314 73 300 51 300 43 296 41 292 62314 59694 70 295 55 296 47 291 44 287 59694 56944 66 291 60 292 54 288 50 284 56944 54083 62 288 65 288 62 286 59 282 54083 51355 63 288 71 285 72 284 64 283 51355 48904 70 284 75 281 79 278 71 279 48904 46716 73 284 78 282 84 275 75 275 46716 44737 85 286 87 283 83 274 74 272 44737 42925 96 282 97 273 84 272 71 271 42925 41256 102 277 98 267 84 266 70 270 41256 39716 100 276 97 264 85 263 65 267 39716 38291 97 276 90 264 74 258 58 263 38291 36960 96 276 82 264 71 261 53 262 36960 35677 95 277 78 269 70 263 53 266 35677 34372 93 278 80 271 67 266 51 269 34372 33021 87 278 79 271 67 270 50 271 33021 31626 82 279 79 271 69 268 51 270 31626 30175 79 284 78 271 70 267 54 271 30175 28658 80 287 73 272 69 270 57 271 28658 27077 77 286 70 273 66 273 54 269 27077 25435 71 284 71 273 61 277 44 263 25435 23737 69 283 70 274 57 285 38 267 23737 21984 68 282 68 275 54 287 36 271 21984 20173 64 279 65 276 52 282 36 269 20173 18302 62 278 62 276 50 278 33 271 18302 16405 61 280 59 279 48 278 31 277 16405 14582 61 282 57 283 47 281 31 281 14582 12921 61 283 54 285 46 283 32 286 12921 11440 61 285 53 287 44 285 33 288 11440 10120 60 285 50 290 41 289 32 288 10120 8943 57 285 47 292 38 289 32 287 8943 7894 55 285 45 289 38 284 33 286 7894 6963 55 284 44 284 40 280 36 284 6963 6139 54 281 40 279 38 276 37 282 6139 5410 51 280 34 275 30 271 35 275 5410 4755 47 280 26*270 24 270 29 264 4755 4175 39 278 23*269 21 271 25 262 4175 3691 30 276 22 268 20 272 21 274 3691 3318 23 274 20 268 18 273 17 287 3318 3061 21 274 19 268 17 273 13 291 3061 2904 18*274 16 268 14 273 11*292 2904 2815 12*272 11 267 9*273 6*291 2815 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography