DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/29 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 56.2 - - 59.3 - - 50.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 364 - - 177 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3808 - - 4992 - - 257 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5160 - - 5750 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6366 - - 7550 - - 2815 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1799 - - 1868 - - 2193 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 461 - - 399 - - 26 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 14 - - 13 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 201 - - 213 - - 163 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 8 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 13 - - 20 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -5472 - - -5193 - - -8059 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 11839 - - 12744 - - 10874 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -13823 - - -12913 - - -17314 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 20189 - - 20463 - - 20129 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 66 - - 59 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 56.2 - - 59.3 - - 50.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 14.2 - - 13.2 - - 13.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 53.9 - - 57.8 - - 51.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 13.1 - - 12.1 - - 12.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 364 - - 177 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3808 - - 4992 - - 257 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 14 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96654 50 238 54 251 49 267 96654 89358 39 240 45 247 42 261 89358 83778 35 255 37 255 36 251 83778 79136 36 257 34 258 33 250 79136 75134 36 265 33 259 36 264 75134 71630 34 277 31 278 31 268 71630 68465 34 276 34 286 34 281 68465 65556 39 280 38 281 36 283 65556 62869 42 281 42 277 38 290 62869 60274 47 286 46 282 44 289 60274 57569 53 284 54 281 53 285 57569 54755 60 280 63 281 61 283 54755 52053 66 280 72 279 67 282 52053 49603 73 282 76 279 74 282 49603 47391 77 284 79 282 79 281 47391 45372 79 284 80 283 81 280 45372 43518 80 285 79 283 80 279 43518 41818 80 285 79 285 75 282 41818 40263 78 285 84 286 75 287 40263 38831 78 286 89 285 78 287 38831 37494 73 287 83 283 78 285 37494 36201 72 286 74 283 72 284 36201 34888 67 283 68 284 64 284 34888 33529 61 284 63 282 60 284 33529 32129 61 285 57 283 54 280 32129 30675 58 288 54 287 48 282 30675 29156 53 287 52 289 43 288 29156 27571 52 285 50 289 41 289 27571 25917 54 284 50 288 39 287 25917 24199 53 284 50 287 40 287 24199 22419 49 284 46 287 39 290 22419 20574 43 285 43 290 36 292 20574 18655 37 286 38 294 35 292 18655 16701 35 281 34 291 31 290 16701 14822 37 274 31 290 31 292 14822 13116 35 266 32 289 33 290 13116 11599 30 256 33 277 32 286 11599 10246 23 248 28 263 29 281 10246 9040 18 253 18 246 26 270 9040 7972 16 252 15*233 22 246 7972 7027 14*227 14*230 18 232 7027 6195 14*220 14 223 16 227 6195 5456 15 207 14 214 18 207 5456 4792 15 201 13 210 20 192 4792 4203 15 197 13 207 22 184 4203 3709 15 195 13 204 21 178 3709 3329 14 193 12 203 19 173 3329 3066 13 192 11 202 15 168 3066 2907 12 191 10 201 11 165 2907 2815 9 190 8 199 6*163 2815 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography