DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/15 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 18.6 - - 17.8 - - 16.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 257 - - 125 - - 25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3259 - - 255 - - 255 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4617 - - 2797 - - 2796 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5817 - - 2813 - - 2813 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2315 - - 5607 - - 3760 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 390 - - 131 - - 78 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 29 - - 14 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 297 - - 298 - - 293 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 17 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -18 - - -4 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1746 - - -1107 - - -1378 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4071 - - 3920 - - 4191 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 1119 - - -1404 - - -1855 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4698 - - 4217 - - 4668 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 18.6 - - 17.8 - - 16.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 10.7 - - 10.6 - - 8.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 17.2 - - 16.7 - - 15.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 10.1 - - 10.3 - - 7.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 257 - - 125 - - 25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3259 - - 255 - - 255 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 98 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95742 39 271 40 265 38 269 95742 88854 15 294 18 287 20 320 88854 83500 10 303 9 274 18 310 83500 79023 11 298 12 290 15 285 79023 75134 10 294 13 295 10 252 75134 71653 9 306 21 301 10 277 71653 68452 15 310 19 293 12 279 68452 65462 12 312 10 288 19 284 65462 62651 20 302 12 292 20 272 62651 59913 30 277 22 283 26 281 59913 57047 35 263 33 276 26 267 57047 54049 34 252 32 261 33 275 54049 51168 30 249 30 262 41 280 51168 48572 32 258 38 271 48 281 48572 46251 41 260 45 271 51 283 46251 44146 48 257 47 268 52 284 44146 42216 48 252 45 263 50 282 42216 40433 43 246 42 259 47 283 40433 38776 40 241 40 260 45 284 38776 37232 39 238 40 260 45 283 37232 35788 40 237 38 257 45 283 35788 34407 41 238 33 254 45 285 34407 33026 42 241 29 261 50 293 33026 31621 44 245 30 279 54 297 31621 30200 45 247 37 290 56 305 30200 28750 47 247 42 292 60 314 28750 27260 47 246 42 288 71 324 27260 25726 47 243 39 289 80 327 25726 24140 52 238 37 291 82 328 24140 22500 60 232 34 292 83 332 22500 20814 64 225 33 292 75 335 20814 19082 60 222 30 289 62 334 19082 17305 51 224 30 291 50 332 17305 15516 40 238 31 300 41 331 15516 13805 34 254 31 312 36 337 13805 12250 32 271 32 314 35 335 12250 10864 30 275 35 315 36 327 10864 9628 32 293 35 314 37 321 9628 8525 30 300 31 306 38 321 8525 7546 31 299 32 302 37 320 7546 6682 31 298 33 302 35 313 6682 5922 32*298 33 301 33 305 5922 5247 32*298 33 301 32 303 5247 4638 31 298 33 301 31 301 4638 4096 31 297 32 300 29 300 4096 3641 29 297 30 300 27 298 3641 3289 28 297 28 299 24 296 3289 3046 25 297 25 299 21 295 3046 2898 21 296 21 299 17*294 2898 2813 14 296 14*298 11*293 2813 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography