DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/09 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 65.3 - - 60.3 - - 56.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 1 - - 10 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2800 - - 2800 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2816 - - 2816 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 4130 - - 2494 - - 1532 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 41 - - 66 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 10 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 220 - - 234 - - 222 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -3115 - - -919 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5932 - - 3735 - - 2816 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -5579 - - -2251 - - -526 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8395 - - 5067 - - 3342 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 98 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 50 - - 0 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 65.3 - - 60.3 - - 56.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 49.1 - - 53.5 - - 56.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 65.2 - - 59.7 - - 56.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 48.9 - - 53.1 - - 56.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 1 - - 10 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 93 - - 95 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96646 48 260 51 267 47 270 96646 89396 36 253 35 265 32 265 89396 83869 26 249 24 261 25 255 83869 79279 14 245 15 262 18 255 79279 75313 4 219 11 240 18 264 75313 71805 4 151 12 206 21 241 71805 68660 7 236 10 193 20 236 68660 65800 16 241 14 232 25 238 65800 63150 26 254 28 249 29 232 63150 60563 35 246 32 245 38 247 60563 57851 42 242 45 251 50 248 57851 55011 45 247 51 252 49 247 55011 52258 54 253 60 255 53 258 52258 49751 73 257 76 260 74 264 49751 47517 80 253 89 258 91 261 47517 45534 80 251 101 253 101 260 45534 43754 88 253 109 253 111 260 43754 42125 94 254 111 254 115 258 42125 40603 95 253 110 253 113 255 40603 39169 97 252 109 252 110 254 39169 37814 97 251 107 252 105 255 37814 36506 97 251 103 252 101 254 36506 35179 95 252 98 252 100 250 35179 33805 95 255 93 252 94 243 33805 32389 99 255 85 250 84 239 32389 30916 90 254 55 241 71 232 30916 29375 69 251 49 240 68 229 29375 27767 49 248 47 244 69 233 27767 26096 50 245 47 247 60 238 26096 24363 47 242 47 247 40 235 24363 22572 48 239 47 245 33 229 22572 20714 60 236 46 242 36 232 20714 18786 57 233 43 240 33 240 18786 16830 44 227 39 237 41 255 16830 14952 41 231 37 237 48 265 14952 13247 41 238 35 240 50 266 13247 11726 42 242 35 245 42 266 11726 10369 43 244 36 250 32 266 10369 9158 45 244 36 254 31 257 9158 8079 47 241 35 253 34 250 8079 7119 45 238 35 250 35 246 7119 6268 40 234 35 243 32 243 6268 5514 34 229 32 234 29 237 5514 4835 29 225 28 229 28 232 4835 4233 26 223 25 229 25 228 4233 3729 24 222 21 231 21 226 3729 3340 22 221 19 232 16 225 3340 3072 19 221 17 233 11 224 3072 2910 15 221 14 234 9*223 2910 2816 10*220 9*234 5*222 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography