DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/23 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.9 - - 38.8 - - 37.0 - - 37.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 91 - - 188 - - 146 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 257 - - 951 - - 1641 - - 256 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2799 - - 2818 - - 3214 - - 2798 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2815 - - 3509 - - 4199 - - 2814 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2006 - - 1271 - - 1320 - - 2560 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 120 - - 234 - - 258 - - 27 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 16 - - 19 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 311 - - 313 - - 313 - - 325 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 9 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -8 - - -6 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - 694 - - 916 - - -1491 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2815 - - 2815 - - 3283 - - 4305 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -134 - - 391 - - 267 - - -12660 ODpotential blCL - - - 2949 - - 3118 - - 3932 - - 15474 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 101 - - 100 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.9 - - 38.8 - - 37.0 - - 37.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.6 - - 37.2 - - 32.7 - - 28.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.8 - - 37.3 - - 35.7 - - 37.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.1 - - 36.5 - - 32.0 - - 28.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 91 - - 188 - - 146 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 257 - - 951 - - 1641 - - 256 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 102 - - 102 - - 29 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96482 22 259 23 258 28 255 26 273 96482 89290 10 258 14 237 20 255 20 262 89290 83774 10 233 12 228 16 245 17 264 83774 79180 11 232 8 242 16 243 17 245 79180 75210 12 241 11 261 13 245 16 242 75210 71697 16 226 12 250 16 251 16 250 71697 68514 20 240 21 243 21 248 22 267 68514 65587 26 252 30 247 31 252 31 258 65587 62871 31 246 34 242 38 251 36 257 62871 60246 37 246 36 244 41 245 45 252 60246 57512 39 243 38 246 42 247 46 251 57512 54660 40 249 46 252 51 256 52 256 54660 51922 46 264 52 256 58 259 62 265 51922 49442 51 265 58 264 67 264 73 263 49442 47204 59 265 71 266 75 265 75 261 47204 45171 72 261 76 264 78 266 71 263 45171 43324 74 257 77 262 82 266 71 264 43324 41641 76 258 83 258 85 261 77 262 41641 40094 81 257 82 251 83 258 75 261 40094 38654 81 252 78 252 79 259 75 268 38654 37308 84 255 80 259 80 261 76 270 37308 36017 88 257 87 262 87 263 77 269 36017 34711 88 255 89 262 92 265 77 268 34711 33359 87 253 84 264 87 265 75 269 33359 31964 83 255 80 272 78 266 75 272 31964 30512 81 260 77 277 73 269 74 272 30512 28992 81 265 73 277 68 270 72 269 28992 27405 77 269 70 273 65 268 71 268 27405 25750 71 274 69 275 62 269 68 271 25750 24031 66 277 68 280 60 274 63 270 24031 22253 61 278 64 280 60 278 61 269 22253 20410 56 274 60 277 60 280 59 272 20410 18496 51 272 58 276 56 282 57 278 18496 16549 46 272 56 275 53 286 54 284 16549 14676 43 275 53 277 50 290 49 285 14676 12970 43 284 49 281 47 292 46 284 12970 11454 42 292 45 284 44 293 42 287 11454 10107 37 292 43 286 40 295 37 295 10107 8912 34 294 40 292 38 300 35 307 8912 7853 29 297 36 296 37 307 37 317 7853 6919 26 298 33 297 38 319 39 322 6919 6099 26 300 30 302 35 324 35 324 6099 5379 25 309 27 311 26 320 28 326 5379 4735 25 313 25 315 23*316 25 328 4735 4164 25 314 23 316 22*315 23 328 4164 3684 24 313 22*315 21 313 21 328 3684 3314 22 313 20*314 19 312 19 328 3314 3059 20 312 17 314 17 312 15 327 3059 2904 16 312 14 313 15 311 12 326 2904 2814 11*311 10 312 10 310 7*325 2814 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography