DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/05 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 52.5 - - 52.2 - - 43.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 209 - - 37 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2226 - - 258 - - 257 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3778 - - 2799 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4784 - - 2816 - - 2815 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 992 - - 2960 - - 392 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 320 - - 88 - - 10 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 20 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 244 - - 244 - - 229 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -9 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2950 - - -3424 - - -913 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7735 - - 6240 - - 3728 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -10260 - - -9552 - - -9994 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 15044 - - 12368 - - 12809 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 66 - - 66 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 52.5 - - 52.2 - - 43.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 28.5 - - 34.8 - - 36.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 50.9 - - 51.5 - - 45.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 28.3 - - 34.7 - - 36.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 209 - - 37 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2226 - - 258 - - 257 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96477 63 243 55 250 53 249 96477 89170 33 257 34 253 33 260 89170 83602 22 275 26 266 27 279 83602 79025 20 269 22 279 23 283 79025 75082 17 278 18 280 20 285 75082 71580 21 295 19 280 25 281 71580 68403 24 292 20 274 26 283 68403 65478 21 299 19 293 27 288 65478 62755 28 300 22 298 27 293 62755 60092 35 301 26 305 33 302 60092 57304 50 290 41 291 46 290 57304 54427 54 288 49 284 56 290 54427 51689 54 291 56 287 64 291 51689 49231 63 287 60 291 73 289 49231 47044 58 287 71 294 75 293 47044 45078 69 301 81 289 82 293 45078 43295 88 294 81 289 82 293 43295 41664 79 292 78 298 91 298 41664 40155 75 301 88 303 96 302 40155 38739 77 305 88 301 91 301 38739 37399 83 306 83 298 88 299 37399 36102 84 304 79 296 79 292 36102 34788 81 301 79 294 74 285 34788 33428 77 297 77 290 74 284 33428 32027 72 292 75 285 73 285 32027 30571 68 289 74 283 71 284 30571 29049 65 290 72 283 66 282 29049 27462 62 291 72 285 62 280 27462 25813 57 292 67 292 59 281 25813 24103 53 296 57 293 52 287 24103 22335 50 297 51 288 44 291 22335 20503 51 288 51 283 41 287 20503 18597 51 283 50 282 43 282 18597 16657 50 279 48 280 43 281 16657 14790 45 277 47 278 41 282 14790 13093 40 276 43 278 37 285 13093 11584 38 271 38 282 34 285 11584 10243 36 264 37 280 31 285 10243 9047 32 262 35 270 31 284 9047 7980 28 261 33 263 32 278 7980 7032 28 260 32 260 32 269 7032 6193 29 253 31 256 33 260 6193 5452 28*249 29 254 35 252 5452 4787 22*244 23 247 35 246 4787 4199 21 243 20 245 32 241 4199 3706 21 244 19 244 26 236 3706 3327 20 244 18 244 21 233 3327 3065 18 244 16 244 15 230 3065 2906 16 244 14*244 10 229 2906 2815 11 243 9*244 5*229 2815 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography