DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/10 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1555z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 55.2 - - 55.6 - - 55.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 136 - - 60 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2800 - - 2800 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2816 - - 2816 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1798 - - 1683 - - 1162 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 137 - - 105 - - 27 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 16 - - 16 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 091 - - 092 - - 092 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -208 - - -144 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3024 - - 2961 - - 2816 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -610 - - -825 - - -395 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3426 - - 3641 - - 3211 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 10 - - 80 - - 320 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 55.2 - - 55.6 - - 55.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 51.7 - - 52.3 - - 54.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 54.1 - - 54.9 - - 55.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 51.4 - - 52.1 - - 54.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 136 - - 60 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 99 - - 98 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97923 46 247 51 254 47 258 97923 90647 35 242 37 254 34 260 90647 85021 25 240 23 250 23 263 85021 80313 22 245 21 243 22 275 80313 76235 16 242 17 250 20 277 76235 72641 9 234 15 256 15 274 72641 69423 9 267 11 256 11 264 69423 66498 12 261 16 269 8 274 66498 63800 19 252 21 269 14 296 63800 61200 23 246 26 261 22 294 61200 58504 24 247 28 247 29 267 58504 55727 33 253 28 243 33 254 55727 53094 39 251 36 241 39 236 53094 50724 45 245 40 233 43 226 50724 48584 50 236 42 233 44 218 48584 46621 52 231 45 235 47 224 46621 44813 56 227 51 231 59 230 44813 43131 63 220 63 222 70 226 43131 41552 69 216 69 214 83 217 41552 40065 69 215 68 213 89 208 40065 38662 68 215 69 213 86 206 38662 37307 68 214 71 212 82 208 37307 35932 69 214 73 213 80 210 35932 34509 70 215 75 214 79 211 34509 33043 71 216 75 213 76 209 33043 31522 71 217 74 213 72 208 31522 29936 67 216 70 213 66 208 29936 28285 58 212 64 213 62 207 28285 26569 50 207 58 211 58 206 26569 24794 46 206 51 208 51 205 24794 22962 42 209 45 208 46 202 22962 21067 39 209 42 210 45 201 21067 19103 35 203 38 211 40 203 19103 17108 31 200 30 208 30 204 17108 15182 30 204 23 205 28 187 15182 13425 31 200 22 203 34 173 13425 11859 38 183 25 190 40 166 11859 10466 48 156 34 169 43 158 10466 9223 47 138 45 150 42 150 9223 8117 41 125 54 137 41 143 8117 7137 38 115 58 127 45 134 7137 6273 43 109 56 117 50 122 6273 5512 46 104 53 109 50 112 5512 4831 46 101 50 104 47 105 4831 4228 40 097 44 100 41 101 4228 3725 35 094 37 096 35 097 3725 3338 32 093 32 094 28 095 3338 3071 28 092 28 094 24 093 3071 2909 24 091 24*093 19 093 2909 2816 16*091 16*092 12*092 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography