DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/10 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.4 - - 52.9 - - 52.3 - - 51.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 2 - - -1 - - 10 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2799 - - 2799 - - 2799 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2816 - - 2816 - - 2816 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1159 - - 978 - - 1419 - - 1995 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 32 - - 22 - - 63 - - 30 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 4 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 116 - - 349 - - 293 - - 253 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -2 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2816 - - 2816 - - 2816 - - 2816 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -543 - - -200 - - -497 - - -439 ODpotential blCL - - - 3359 - - 3016 - - 3313 - - 3255 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 70 - - 10 - - 10 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.4 - - 52.9 - - 52.3 - - 51.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.0 - - 52.4 - - 50.4 - - 50.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.1 - - 52.4 - - 51.8 - - 50.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.0 - - 52.3 - - 50.0 - - 49.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 2 - - -1 - - 10 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96284 55 248 68 260 68 265 55 266 96284 89023 37 249 48 247 53 266 49 268 89023 83522 28 256 26 237 34 253 35 267 83522 79010 21 266 20 260 24 225 30 259 79010 75102 21 272 20 258 23 257 30 245 75102 71656 21 254 24 248 27 263 27 247 71656 68545 24 250 28 247 27 253 28 245 68545 65663 31 257 39 249 36 244 38 237 65663 62966 36 253 45 240 46 240 45 241 62966 60350 44 241 41 244 54 244 59 250 60350 57620 55 240 62 244 64 235 69 244 57620 54767 68 237 68 237 69 231 79 237 54767 52016 72 240 70 241 66 238 74 236 52016 49525 82 248 75 246 81 251 81 244 49525 47311 100 245 97 246 102 247 102 245 47311 45349 106 241 109 241 114 242 116 242 45349 43583 110 241 115 239 118 239 119 238 43583 41950 111 240 116 240 115 238 118 234 41950 40419 110 241 115 239 112 237 115 234 40419 38976 109 244 113 237 110 237 112 231 38976 37613 108 243 112 239 109 240 109 230 37613 36296 108 242 111 240 107 241 109 234 36296 34960 107 241 106 238 105 238 106 233 34960 33580 102 241 96 231 101 232 104 229 33580 32160 93 242 88 223 90 224 104 225 32160 30682 82 244 84 221 81 218 101 222 30682 29138 76 245 80 228 77 218 102 223 29138 27530 71 244 85 238 79 220 102 227 27530 25860 69 245 78 232 89 228 102 229 25860 24130 71 245 79 229 97 235 100 230 24130 22346 75 243 74 232 92 233 95 228 22346 20500 83 241 67 231 85 232 90 226 20500 18587 86 239 59 229 77 234 84 233 18587 16648 77 242 51 228 70 242 78 239 16648 14787 69 231 51 227 66 248 74 241 14787 13095 61 218 54 224 62 250 72 244 13095 11591 57 210 55 220 58 250 67 244 11591 10253 54 203 52 216 56 246 57 243 10253 9062 51 197 47 212 56 241 50 243 9062 7997 47 191 41 210 52 238 45 243 7997 7048 39 182 34 208 45 236 35 246 7048 6210 30 166 27 208 35 236 29 259 6210 5469 22 144 19 209 24 239 28 265 5469 4802 18 117 11 212 16 252 26 264 4802 4210 17 102 3 244 12 280 23 260 4210 3715 17 101 5 338 11 290 19 257 3715 3333 16 107 7 349 11 294 16 255 3333 3069 13 112 7 351 10 295 13 254 3069 2908 10*114 6*350 9*295 10*254 2908 2816 6*116 4*349 6*293 7*253 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography