DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/28 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 58.5 - - 59.3 - - 52.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 52 - - 18 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 258 - - 259 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2800 - - 2800 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2816 - - 2817 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2831 - - 3481 - - 656 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 98 - - 70 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 199 - - 197 - - 194 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1771 - - -2175 - - -490 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4587 - - 4993 - - 3306 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -3360 - - -7399 - - -7591 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6176 - - 10216 - - 10407 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 99 - - 95 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 58.5 - - 59.3 - - 52.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 48.0 - - 47.0 - - 47.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 57.6 - - 58.7 - - 53.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 47.9 - - 46.9 - - 47.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 52 - - 18 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 258 - - 259 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 95 - - 82 - - 82 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95777 71 252 61 257 62 267 95777 88794 42 257 43 269 33 269 88794 83387 29 283 30 275 23 282 83387 78885 26 280 21 259 20 278 78885 74986 14 272 17 235 17 273 74986 71525 9 306 7 249 11 265 71525 68384 11 318 12 296 14 300 68384 65502 12 305 16 299 18 294 65502 62834 24 291 28 296 21 283 62834 60247 40 278 37 289 36 285 60247 57549 48 281 53 286 44 281 57549 54736 67 277 72 276 65 276 54736 52038 78 272 78 271 82 266 52038 49613 78 270 78 268 82 266 49613 47442 73 272 76 273 75 275 47442 45472 74 276 82 280 85 281 45472 43676 82 277 88 279 90 272 43676 42038 79 271 81 273 79 266 42038 40522 80 264 71 278 74 268 40522 39093 78 264 72 285 79 273 39093 37741 63 269 82 284 79 276 37741 36436 64 268 74 288 75 275 36436 35111 62 266 65 295 68 271 35111 33740 55 262 60 291 63 266 33740 32325 52 265 52 284 64 266 32325 30853 54 269 48 275 58 266 30853 29315 57 270 51 272 52 264 29315 27708 58 268 53 275 49 259 27708 26035 57 265 51 274 48 258 26035 24302 57 258 45 271 46 260 24302 22514 56 255 43 271 42 261 22514 20665 54 258 43 266 37 260 20665 18748 49 257 45 259 39 264 18748 16801 43 250 46 260 47 269 16801 14929 39 247 45 262 50 269 14929 13227 37 245 43 261 47 266 13227 11709 33 243 41 259 41 263 11709 10354 31 242 39 256 39 258 10354 9141 31 239 38 254 40 254 9141 8057 31 236 38 248 44 249 8057 7095 29 235 35 238 47 242 7095 6248 27 233 29 232 45 238 6248 5499 26 230 23 227 41 237 5499 4824 22 224 19 220 37 234 4824 4224 17 213 17 213 33 228 4224 3722 15 206 15 205 27 219 3722 3336 13 204 14 203 20 209 3336 3070 12 202 13 200 14 200 3070 2909 10 201 11*198 10*197 2909 2816 7*199 7*197 5*194 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography