DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/23 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 62.3 - - 61.6 - - 61.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 21 - - 22 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 259 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2800 - - 2800 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2817 - - 2816 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1713 - - 1695 - - 1180 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 78 - - 78 - - 27 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 154 - - 145 - - 139 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -216 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3033 - - 2816 - - 2816 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1142 - - -709 - - -3126 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3959 - - 3525 - - 5942 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 101 - - 98 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 62.3 - - 61.6 - - 61.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 58.5 - - 58.8 - - 59.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 61.5 - - 60.8 - - 61.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 58.1 - - 58.5 - - 59.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 21 - - 22 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 259 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 102 - - 92 - - 76 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 11 - - 12 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98446 9 091 4 102 7 048 98446 90976 8 113 4 164 7 072 90976 85220 6 098 5 165 10 042 85220 80442 5 141 4 098 9 034 80442 76345 4 141 6 098 4 032 76345 72756 3 055 4 095 0 103 72756 69510 5 008 1 302 4 354 69510 66517 2 240 4 217 6 292 66517 63753 1 071 1 258 3 266 63753 61078 4 253 9 241 4 287 61078 58287 7 210 6 217 4 254 58287 55398 21 239 7 250 9 249 55398 52650 29 237 16 224 22 234 52650 50188 28 222 22 209 31 228 50188 47993 33 215 29 221 32 227 47993 46021 39 214 36 222 34 226 46021 44238 47 208 48 209 39 220 44238 42598 47 205 51 201 40 221 42598 41065 56 200 51 201 41 220 41065 39623 63 192 50 199 47 211 39623 38263 61 187 50 197 53 203 38263 36947 55 187 50 195 53 199 36947 35610 51 188 47 192 53 199 35610 34223 48 192 46 191 50 200 34223 32792 42 199 44 192 45 198 32792 31301 39 200 42 194 41 197 31301 29741 36 195 40 194 37 199 29741 28113 34 192 40 194 34 204 28113 26419 35 195 40 196 31 214 26419 24661 36 195 38 198 29 220 24661 22843 37 197 33 209 26 224 22843 20960 34 207 28 221 24 236 20960 19007 30 206 26 222 23 250 19007 17024 30 197 26 221 24 250 17024 15118 28 199 27 221 23 244 15118 13385 25 202 27 221 24 233 13385 11841 22 206 27 222 22 224 11841 10468 20 208 25 225 20 225 10468 9243 19 209 23 227 18 234 9243 8150 18 214 19 229 16 236 8150 7177 19 217 16 230 15 228 7177 6314 21 214 14 227 15 214 6314 5548 21 207 15 217 15 200 5548 4860 20 198 16 203 17 187 4860 4249 17 187 15 187 21 176 4249 3739 12 170 12 167 20 168 3739 3346 10 163 10 155 15 155 3346 3076 8 159 8 149 12 150 3076 2911 7*156 7 146 9 145 2911 2816 5*154 5*145 5*139 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography