DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/30 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 17.1 - - 21.4 - - 23.9 - - 18.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 153 - - 238 - - 108 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1709 - - 2253 - - 256 - - 255 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3272 - - 3840 - - 2797 - - 2797 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4267 - - 4811 - - 2814 - - 2813 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 547 - - 617 - - 2924 - - 2150 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 263 - - 334 - - 125 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 27 - - 22 - - 11 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 293 - - 286 - - 286 - - 279 Direction Wind Shear - - - 18 - - 13 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -11 - - -6 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 98 - - 155 - - -2487 - - -1655 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4169 - - 4656 - - 5301 - - 4468 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11961 - - -11191 - - -13784 - - -14650 ODpotential blCL - - - 16228 - - 16002 - - 16598 - - 17463 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 92 - - 78 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 17.1 - - 21.4 - - 23.9 - - 18.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 9.0 - - 11.0 - - 10.7 - - 9.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 16.0 - - 19.9 - - 22.9 - - 19.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 8.8 - - 10.9 - - 10.6 - - 9.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 153 - - 238 - - 108 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1709 - - 2253 - - 256 - - 255 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 73 - - 68 - - 12 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95226 71 227 74 228 89 228 93 236 95226 88088 55 233 64 229 75 231 85 235 88088 82615 48 243 55 232 63 239 70 234 82615 78080 47 239 52 237 59 240 62 237 78080 74149 43 233 51 230 57 237 61 239 74149 70666 37 242 45 234 54 237 61 240 70666 67503 46 248 50 245 53 241 62 239 67503 64581 48 242 53 243 56 248 65 242 64581 61860 44 238 53 243 62 246 63 244 61860 59206 47 251 53 247 58 254 69 249 59206 56408 62 258 60 257 69 259 68 255 56408 53484 74 256 75 259 77 252 81 268 53484 50713 84 258 85 256 80 257 97 266 50713 48248 94 257 87 253 90 263 96 258 48248 46050 94 253 87 255 89 259 82 260 46050 44066 90 256 86 258 78 256 73 269 44066 42261 90 258 81 259 67 266 66 273 42261 40603 90 257 76 259 66 279 63 282 40603 39066 91 255 70 260 63 284 66 286 39066 37635 89 252 62 270 60 283 65 288 37635 36298 82 251 65 282 58 280 65 292 36298 35015 73 252 64 283 58 281 67 296 35015 33719 66 254 54 282 55 285 69 297 33719 32381 61 257 38 288 54 297 68 297 32381 31006 59 261 38 296 55 303 65 297 31006 29581 59 263 40 299 56 301 62 297 29581 28099 56 263 41 297 56 299 62 296 28099 26560 52 268 41 295 56 299 61 294 26560 24962 50 274 43 295 51 304 60 293 24962 23302 51 279 45 296 50 302 57 293 23302 21581 52 283 41 292 51 292 54 293 21581 19795 52 285 40 284 54 284 51 289 19795 17940 51 283 46 285 58 287 51 286 17940 16052 51 284 51 290 56 294 48 286 16052 14238 49 289 51 296 50 298 45 285 14238 12588 46 294 48 299 44 296 43 283 12588 11122 46 297 46 298 43 290 42 284 11122 9821 47 299 47 297 45 289 41 288 9821 8669 48 302 47 298 45 293 41 293 8669 7652 47 302 45 299 44 296 41 298 7652 6756 46 302 44 298 42 296 41 301 6756 5970 45 302 37 295 35 291 38 298 5970 5277 40 299 26*288 26 286 34 289 5277 4658 33*295 25*287 25 286 31 284 4658 4109 32*294 24 286 24 286 28 283 4109 3649 30 294 23 286 23 286 25 283 3649 3294 29 293 22 286 22 287 22 282 3294 3048 26 293 20 285 20 287 17 281 3048 2899 22 292 17 285 17*286 14 280 2899 2813 14 291 12 284 11*286 8*279 2813 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography