DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/04 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 73.1 - - 74.8 - - 69.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 197 - - 102 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3933 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5060 - - 2801 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6491 - - 2817 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1721 - - 6560 - - 5171 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 395 - - 130 - - 31 W* B/S - - - - - - 23 - - 7 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 261 - - 263 - - 235 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -7 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1102 - - -5097 - - -2332 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7594 - - 7914 - - 5149 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -6681 - - -8068 - - -4071 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 13172 - - 10885 - - 6888 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 59 - - 63 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 73.1 - - 74.8 - - 69.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 49.7 - - 50.0 - - 56.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 71.2 - - 73.6 - - 70.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 48.4 - - 48.7 - - 55.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 197 - - 102 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3933 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 7 - - 8 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98739 19 100 15 101 10 090 98739 91229 15 104 12 091 9 068 91229 85468 11 094 8 110 13 067 85468 80702 7 121 8 077 12 045 80702 76603 11 140 11 062 8 048 76603 72980 14 108 11 069 6 067 72980 69695 10 095 7 055 11 071 69695 66674 10 083 3 084 10 021 66674 63886 13 036 8 080 5 337 63886 61194 15 002 12 020 8 023 61194 58390 15 352 15 002 12 002 58390 55504 18 342 19 340 17 347 55504 52777 19 340 20 331 19 334 52777 50337 19 339 22 328 19 334 50337 48163 24 334 28 332 29 337 48163 46214 28 336 30 340 30 334 46214 44440 26 011 27 357 24 349 44440 42796 35 027 28 007 23 002 42796 41260 37 020 32 011 23 006 41260 39814 35 013 35 012 23 011 39814 38447 30 005 37 013 23 015 38447 37122 28 007 36 015 20 014 37122 35775 27 360 32 013 17 014 35775 34377 25 352 28 006 16 008 34377 32933 19 336 24 008 16 004 32933 31432 16 341 19 353 17 002 31432 29862 12 351 18 335 19 358 29862 28229 10 344 17 327 20 350 28229 26531 8 328 14 327 19 344 26531 24770 6 317 10 317 16 343 24770 22946 5 323 9 310 10 340 22946 21056 7 328 7 322 10 347 21056 19095 11 332 10 340 15 003 19095 17101 13 328 13 346 16 005 17101 15181 12 329 13 347 14 004 15181 13434 9 337 10 342 11 359 13434 11881 7 345 7 338 8 344 11881 10501 6 341 5 343 6 324 10501 9272 4 331 3 345 4 285 9272 8180 2 331 3 329 5 271 8180 7208 2*297 3 317 6 277 7208 6346 2*287 4 301 7 277 6346 5578 2 274 4 288 7 272 5578 4886 3 265 4 280 7 265 4886 4271 3 259 5 275 7 257 4271 3754 4 255 5 270 7 251 3754 3356 4 253 5 268 7 246 3356 3081 4 253 4 265 6 243 3081 2913 4 251 4 264 5*238 2913 2817 3 252 4*263 3*235 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography