DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/29 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 20.5 - - 22.8 - - 18.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 146 - - 53 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2054 - - 255 - - 255 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3513 - - 2797 - - 2797 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4612 - - 2813 - - 2813 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 683 - - 2687 - - 1853 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 279 - - 101 - - 16 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 278 - - 269 - - 282 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -363 - - -2344 - - -1069 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4975 - - 5157 - - 3882 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -13246 - - -9767 - - -9080 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 17858 - - 12580 - - 11893 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 78 - - 82 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 20.5 - - 22.8 - - 18.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 8.9 - - 10.4 - - 11.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 19.2 - - 22.0 - - 19.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 7.9 - - 9.3 - - 10.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 146 - - 53 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2054 - - 255 - - 255 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 10 - - 27 - - 77 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96140 60 217 54 224 66 228 96140 88795 65 233 59 234 67 242 88795 83150 72 246 62 244 64 246 83150 78473 70 254 61 248 63 254 78473 74421 66 258 61 256 66 257 74421 70835 61 265 66 268 68 270 70835 67620 63 270 71 270 73 268 67620 64692 66 270 74 269 70 262 64692 61972 70 272 76 269 72 272 61972 59344 74 273 76 267 82 275 59344 56620 79 274 78 269 82 266 56620 53775 85 275 82 268 79 267 53775 51025 90 270 81 265 86 271 51025 48521 90 266 80 268 91 271 48521 46253 94 266 87 271 96 270 46253 44184 101 266 99 271 102 269 44184 42292 107 266 106 269 105 269 42292 40557 109 268 108 268 109 267 40557 38954 115 271 112 266 112 265 38954 37462 123 266 124 263 115 261 37462 36070 120 262 124 261 119 261 36070 34747 113 262 116 260 120 261 34747 33429 108 264 115 264 115 262 33429 32086 108 265 120 265 114 262 32086 30716 105 266 118 263 118 262 30716 29299 102 265 114 261 120 261 29299 27821 98 265 113 260 117 260 27821 26281 95 266 113 260 109 262 26281 24685 95 267 109 259 96 266 24685 23038 93 269 104 262 76 270 23038 21337 87 274 94 267 66 271 21337 19578 81 276 82 272 66 269 19578 17757 79 275 72 271 62 273 17757 15908 70 277 63 275 61 281 15908 14131 63 284 58 283 59 284 14131 12516 56 289 56 284 55 283 12516 11081 44 290 51 282 51 278 11081 9805 34 288 42 278 45 275 9805 8670 29 288 32 273 39 275 8670 7662 28 291 27 272 34 274 7662 6769 26 296 23 276 30 272 6769 5981 22 298 20 277 24 265 5981 5287 19 296 15 271 19 256 5287 4664 13*282 14 269 16 256 4664 4113 12*280 13 270 14 263 4113 3651 12 279 13 269 12 270 3651 3295 11 278 12 269 10 275 3295 3048 10 278 11 269 8 278 3048 2899 9 277 10 270 5 280 2899 2813 7 276 7*269 3*282 2813 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography