DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/19 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 55.2 - - 53.6 - - 48.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 26 - - 1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2800 - - 2799 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2816 - - 2816 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3113 - - 2477 - - 632 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 83 - - 40 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 4 - - 5 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 277 - - 266 - - 277 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -151 - - -40 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2967 - - 2857 - - 2816 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -794 - - -774 - - -4171 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3610 - - 3590 - - 6987 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 30 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 55.2 - - 53.6 - - 48.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 51.8 - - 50.7 - - 47.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 54.4 - - 53.0 - - 50.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 51.2 - - 50.3 - - 49.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 26 - - 1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 101 - - 61 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 9 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96115 50 260 49 271 49 258 96115 89068 50 281 51 283 38 275 89068 83635 32 287 50 288 45 290 83635 79144 13 286 32 277 35 293 79144 75269 17 306 9 256 17 301 75269 71797 32 304 9 304 16 301 71797 68614 33 291 26 299 28 295 68614 65694 21 285 26 290 34 290 65694 63014 15 283 19 283 29 285 63014 60421 17 281 19 282 25 287 60421 57695 22 278 28 284 37 289 57695 54858 38 283 44 284 49 287 54858 52165 52 293 59 285 60 282 52165 49756 70 292 68 285 61 280 49756 47594 75 286 72 289 66 287 47594 45624 78 285 83 286 77 290 45624 43817 85 286 89 283 89 286 43817 42154 89 289 93 284 92 285 42154 40610 100 292 99 285 95 286 40610 39163 111 293 107 284 100 286 39163 37804 119 291 110 284 103 285 37804 36495 117 291 108 285 104 285 36495 35168 112 294 103 286 100 286 35168 33795 103 296 94 287 95 288 33795 32381 88 298 86 287 80 288 32381 30915 75 296 78 295 66 287 30915 29382 70 293 67 298 62 286 29382 27781 63 293 62 291 61 285 27781 26110 57 292 62 288 56 287 26110 24374 54 291 57 293 52 293 24374 22577 51 294 48 296 49 295 22577 20717 48 296 44 294 47 294 20717 18784 46 292 43 295 45 293 18784 16815 39 287 38 295 39 295 16815 14921 31 287 32 293 32 294 14921 13201 29 290 29 290 28 290 13201 11674 30 291 25 287 24 287 11674 10317 28 291 22 286 20 288 10317 9109 25 289 19 285 17 286 9109 8036 22 289 17 286 14 284 8036 7082 19 290 14 288 16 283 7082 6237 15 288 15 280 18 278 6237 5488 13 288 16 269 19 274 5488 4816 13 288 15 265 17 274 4816 4220 11 287 13 265 13 275 4220 3720 8 283 11 265 10 276 3720 3335 7 280 9 265 8 275 3335 3070 6 279 8 265 5 275 3070 2908 5 278 7*266 3*277 2908 2816 4*277 5*266 1*277 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography