DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/04 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 41.2 - - 44.0 - - 34.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 262 - - 68 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1849 - - 257 - - 256 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3580 - - 2798 - - 2798 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4407 - - 2815 - - 2814 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 616 - - 2292 - - 697 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 323 - - 107 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 283 - - 282 - - 333 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -5192 - - -7361 - - -5495 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 9600 - - 10176 - - 8309 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -15102 - - -17241 - - -17437 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 19509 - - 20056 - - 20251 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 40 - - 48 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 41.2 - - 44.0 - - 34.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 9.5 - - 9.8 - - 9.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 39.2 - - 43.0 - - 37.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 9.2 - - 9.5 - - 8.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 262 - - 68 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1849 - - 257 - - 256 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 14 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96334 54 246 54 242 54 248 96334 89013 33 259 30 247 36 258 89013 83477 21 258 17 270 24 258 83477 78888 14 275 18 285 23 271 78888 74925 11 269 16 274 22 270 74925 71434 10 288 12 256 19 261 71434 68277 21 302 15 289 16 275 68277 65359 30 291 29 289 23 293 65359 62641 38 281 33 283 31 293 62641 60007 36 272 36 281 44 293 60007 57268 39 277 46 278 53 280 57268 54427 46 275 54 275 51 277 54427 51692 48 285 53 274 56 287 51692 49205 62 291 50 289 69 282 49205 46963 71 291 72 293 73 285 46963 44921 70 291 79 289 74 287 44921 43051 64 295 72 289 69 287 43051 41342 73 301 74 299 73 291 41342 39789 79 302 83 299 82 297 39789 38370 71 304 87 299 88 299 38370 37052 77 314 89 301 89 298 37052 35780 78 315 89 304 87 296 35780 34486 76 312 88 308 85 298 34486 33146 62 309 82 314 79 297 33146 31762 56 309 72 311 71 296 31762 30323 57 313 62 310 65 293 30323 28816 58 311 58 305 58 293 28816 27244 57 307 52 299 58 288 27244 25608 57 304 49 293 59 282 25608 23908 56 301 53 296 54 282 23908 22149 53 301 52 298 45 284 22149 20326 48 303 46 298 38 287 20326 18434 44 304 39 296 33 287 18434 16508 42 303 34 294 28 287 16508 14655 40 302 29 295 26 285 14655 12970 39 300 27 296 24 282 12970 11474 39 296 28 294 25 281 11474 10143 38 294 29 292 25 282 10143 8958 37 298 29 295 23 284 8958 7903 36 308 27 300 19 284 7903 6964 33 313 24 303 16 282 6964 6134 29 307 21 296 17 280 6134 5400 24 296 18 283 18 273 5400 4745 18*287 13 277 15 262 4745 4168 14*283 12 279 12 266 4168 3685 13 283 11 281 10 293 3685 3315 13 283 11 281 10 320 3315 3059 12 283 10 282 9 327 3059 2903 10 282 9*281 6 331 2903 2814 8 282 7*282 3*333 2814 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography