DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/20 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.3 - - 57.3 - - 54.0 - - 47.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 184 - - 160 - - -4 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5581 - - 6205 - - 4418 - - 475 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 213 - - 205 - - 73 - - 38 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 9 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 263 - - 286 - - 300 - - 329 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - -11 - - -13 - - -30 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3002 - - -4194 - - -3454 - - -3260 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12365 - - 13558 - - 12817 - - 12623 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5615 - - -7360 - - -7792 - - -9680 ODpotential blCL - - - 14978 - - 16723 - - 17155 - - 19043 blCL maxRH - - - 47 - - 43 - - 74 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 70 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.3 - - 57.3 - - 54.0 - - 47.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.6 - - 30.5 - - 30.6 - - 25.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.2 - - 55.3 - - 54.0 - - 51.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.4 - - 29.3 - - 29.5 - - 24.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 184 - - 160 - - -4 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 8 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98330 13 076 17 082 5 111 8 019 98330 90975 14 050 17 074 8 076 14 066 90975 85284 11 042 13 055 9 039 14 041 85284 80578 12 063 7 026 12 020 17 036 80578 76544 12 047 1 052 15 001 21 024 76544 72993 10 043 7 023 13 010 19 021 72993 69778 7 031 11 009 12 018 9 028 69778 66814 11 027 6 354 9 004 9 024 66814 64061 10 001 5 350 6 354 9 347 64061 61404 14 324 8 351 7 358 6 016 61404 58635 15 282 11 297 13 311 10 331 58635 55759 17 265 17 267 21 286 18 295 55759 53019 22 266 24 261 29 274 27 288 53019 50559 29 269 26 269 36 267 35 275 50559 48347 33 270 35 273 38 269 44 278 48347 46335 39 272 39 270 43 278 49 274 46335 44497 39 272 41 286 48 284 52 282 44497 42803 40 288 49 294 54 289 57 286 42803 41224 52 294 57 297 58 291 59 288 41224 39751 55 292 60 296 61 291 57 288 39751 38382 52 295 59 299 60 292 54 286 38382 37086 52 296 61 299 58 288 54 284 37086 35798 49 295 62 306 56 284 53 281 35798 34488 44 293 56 306 48 289 49 284 34488 33165 39 291 52 301 45 290 45 288 33165 31818 34 289 43 298 43 291 43 289 31818 30444 31 289 35 299 36 296 38 289 30444 29048 30 290 31 299 28 289 31 287 29048 27637 29 290 28 296 24 284 26 284 27637 26214 28 288 25 290 23 284 24 280 26214 24784 27 287 24 285 22 284 22 281 24784 23345 25 288 23 284 21 285 20 281 23345 21890 24 291 22 284 20 286 18 282 21890 20443 23 294 21 287 18 289 17 284 20443 19071 22 293 21 289 17 292 16 286 19071 17829 22 292 21 291 17 294 15 284 17829 16719 21 290 20 290 16 298 12 280 16719 15715 23 285 19 287 14 302 9 278 15715 14800 24 280 19 285 14 306 7 285 14800 13961 24 279 19 285 14 308 7 306 13961 13191 21 282 19 286 15 309 9 323 13191 12488 17 284 18 286 15 308 11 327 12488 11844 14 285 18 287 15 307 13 325 11844 11248 11 282 18 288 15 305 14 320 11248 10703 10 276 17 288 15 304 14 314 10703 10236 9 273 17 288 14 302 13 310 10236 9869 9 270 16 288 13 302 11 307 9869 9612 8 267 15 288 12 301 10 312 9612 9454 7*266 13*287 10*301 8*315 9454 9363 6*263 9*286 6*300 5*329 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography