DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/20 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.8 - - 77.9 - - 75.5 - - 66.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 431 - - 382 - - 119 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5902 - - 564 - - 565 - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13175 - - 9034 - - 9348 - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14702 - - 9364 - - 9365 - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4003 - - 12072 - - 9709 - - 491 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 595 - - 262 - - 179 - - 40 W* B/S - - - 107 - - 7 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 6 - - 8 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 353 - - 221 - - 293 - - 343 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 29 - - 19 - - -12 - - -32 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 118 - - -6020 - - -5231 - - -2853 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14585 - - 15385 - - 14596 - - 12218 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1950 - - -7654 - - -7540 - - -7332 ODpotential blCL - - - 16652 - - 17018 - - 16905 - - 16696 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 97 - - 96 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 490 - - 740 - - 830 - - 470 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.8 - - 77.9 - - 75.5 - - 66.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.9 - - 42.4 - - 43.6 - - 44.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.0 - - 74.4 - - 73.6 - - 67.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.5 - - 41.9 - - 43.2 - - 44.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 431 - - 382 - - 119 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5902 - - 564 - - 565 - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 86 - - 83 - - 21 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99269 41 112 29 100 19 091 25 083 99269 91723 34 090 32 114 27 099 34 084 91723 85943 31 085 35 107 27 104 30 081 85943 81177 23 100 35 089 28 102 24 097 81177 77070 20 114 27 084 27 091 25 102 77070 73440 22 114 21 101 22 088 23 089 73440 70164 22 102 15 105 21 094 20 087 70164 67179 18 093 14 102 20 091 18 107 67179 64455 14 108 11 116 14 092 17 106 64455 61845 13 115 10 128 7 100 13 076 61845 59123 15 113 13 127 6 144 12 068 59123 56303 18 117 17 121 14 123 13 103 56303 53643 17 111 16 113 16 104 14 102 53643 51267 13 098 15 100 15 100 11 100 51267 49126 16 108 17 112 18 118 16 118 49126 47164 20 111 20 116 23 119 23 119 47164 45345 22 117 23 121 25 123 24 120 45345 43645 27 130 26 136 28 134 26 126 43645 42047 31 132 32 143 32 139 29 133 42047 40543 29 127 29 142 31 144 29 137 40543 39135 26 119 22 138 25 143 25 137 39135 37799 19 115 18 137 16 134 21 135 37799 36472 18 124 17 143 13 143 19 130 36472 35126 21 127 19 144 14 150 18 132 35126 33767 24 130 20 138 15 148 19 132 33767 32387 26 127 20 130 16 138 18 127 32387 30981 29 117 18 117 18 112 15 123 30981 29555 27 119 21 116 20 111 17 127 29555 28112 26 121 26 119 25 113 21 124 28112 26658 23 121 27 116 26 113 22 108 26658 25201 17 121 21 107 26 088 21 080 25201 23739 15 113 19 094 28 077 22 073 23739 22260 15 100 19 071 26 081 22 085 22260 20787 15 092 19 065 23 086 21 101 20787 19386 15 084 17 063 18 089 20 112 19386 18116 15 073 13 060 12 090 17 121 18116 16976 13 059 9 057 7 086 12 129 16976 15943 12 049 5 055 3 058 6 145 15943 14998 10*044 1 057 2 020 3 194 14998 14131 8*038 2 223 5 316 2 270 14131 13334 6 030 5 225 8 302 2 333 13334 12606 3 008 6 226 9 299 5 007 12606 11938 2 316 7 225 10 297 10 016 11938 11319 2 266 7 224 10 297 15 019 11319 10754 2 234 8 224 11 296 18 020 10754 10270 3 221 8 224 11 296 18 015 10270 9889 4 215 8 223 11 295 16 005 9889 9623 4 212 8 223 10 295 14 355 9623 9459 4 208 7*222 10*295 11*348 9459 9364 4 205 6*221 8*293 7*343 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography