DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/20 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 15.5 - - 14.7 - - 16.7 - - 6.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 149 - - 76 - - 24 - - -47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 560 - - 560 - - 561 - - 560 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9343 - - 9343 - - 9344 - - 9343 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9360 - - 9360 - - 9361 - - 9360 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5723 - - 3736 - - 6040 - - 303 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 193 - - 155 - - 106 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 11 - - 11 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 262 - - 273 - - 291 - - 326 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -9 - - -18 - - -36 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9360 - - 9360 - - 9361 - - 9360 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -241 - - -476 - - -1030 - - -3186 ODpotential blCL - - - 9601 - - 9836 - - 10391 - - 12546 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 99 - - 85 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 15.5 - - 14.7 - - 16.7 - - 6.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 13.1 - - 11.9 - - 12.6 - - 0.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 13.7 - - 13.3 - - 15.7 - - 9.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 12.1 - - 11.6 - - 12.2 - - 5.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 149 - - 76 - - 24 - - -47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 560 - - 560 - - 561 - - 560 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 88 - - 95 - - 39 - - 27 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96627 26 121 19 094 25 109 29 097 96627 89463 26 105 19 120 19 106 24 099 89463 83905 24 112 13 111 18 123 15 094 83905 79265 14 103 8 112 12 120 5 092 79265 75254 9 119 8 113 6 146 5 234 75254 71708 5 107 3 194 2 096 5 261 71708 68496 6 295 4 249 4 225 3 243 68496 65521 11 260 8 265 9 258 10 269 65521 62747 10 233 15 230 9 232 18 241 62747 60045 10 288 3 257 3 209 12 243 60045 57191 15 282 11 245 15 215 21 218 57191 54209 20 249 28 251 29 253 36 258 54209 51375 21 226 40 253 42 269 47 265 51375 48833 31 264 50 274 54 276 52 271 48833 46559 53 269 62 272 62 273 57 273 46559 44495 66 267 68 267 66 271 59 276 44495 42600 70 268 70 267 68 271 61 276 42600 40846 73 270 72 270 70 273 63 276 40846 39215 76 270 75 273 74 276 67 276 39215 37698 75 269 78 276 81 277 72 274 37698 36297 72 271 83 277 86 276 75 274 36297 34985 71 277 89 278 87 278 77 273 34985 33701 76 280 94 277 93 280 78 276 33701 32423 83 279 95 275 99 280 83 279 32423 31154 85 273 93 275 98 279 87 280 31154 29880 81 268 91 276 94 279 84 279 29880 28590 76 267 90 278 90 278 81 280 28590 27286 71 270 91 280 81 279 77 281 27286 25975 66 271 92 281 75 284 70 282 25975 24660 57 273 88 281 77 288 63 283 24660 23346 49 278 73 280 78 289 60 286 23346 22027 44 280 55 280 71 290 60 288 22027 20698 39 281 43 288 59 292 58 289 20698 19380 38 284 40 296 46 295 53 292 19380 18135 37 285 40 299 36 298 46 293 18135 17014 35 284 39 299 31 299 40 292 17014 16017 31 284 37 300 31 300 34 291 16017 15116 29 283 34 303 31 300 31 290 15116 14294 30 281 33 302 30 301 29 292 14294 13538 31 278 32 298 29 303 28 298 13538 12843 32 274 31 295 29 303 28 305 12843 12207 33 272 30 290 28 303 28 313 12207 11623 33 271 29 287 28 302 28 319 11623 11080 32 270 27 283 28 301 27 324 11080 10584 32 268 25 280 27 300 26 326 10584 10159 30 267 23 278 26 299 24 326 10159 9823 28 266 21 276 23 296 20 325 9823 9588 25 265 19 275 21 295 17 324 9588 9443 22*264 17*274 18*294 13*325 9443 9360 13*262 11*273 11*291 7*326 9360 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography