DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/19 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.5 - - 56.5 - - 55.6 - - 50.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 176 - - 152 - - 6 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5737 - - 7675 - - 7914 - - 4507 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 208 - - 200 - - 88 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 BL Wind Direction - - - 188 - - 222 - - 235 - - 352 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 23 - - 17 - - 8 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -375 - - -1228 - - -1666 - - -601 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9738 - - 10592 - - 11030 - - 9965 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2384 - - -3161 - - -4013 - - -4377 ODpotential blCL - - - 11747 - - 12524 - - 13376 - - 13740 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 73 - - 76 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - 680 - - 730 - - 530 - - 320 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.5 - - 56.5 - - 55.6 - - 50.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.9 - - 42.3 - - 39.5 - - 38.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.4 - - 54.6 - - 55.2 - - 53.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.7 - - 41.1 - - 38.5 - - 37.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 176 - - 152 - - 6 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 1 - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98415 21 082 20 078 18 068 14 067 98415 91095 20 073 16 096 17 066 16 064 91095 85467 17 080 14 088 14 065 17 058 85467 80788 9 088 10 066 13 060 16 057 80788 76738 7 092 13 046 10 050 13 041 76738 73153 4 098 7 037 8 032 11 025 73153 69906 7 095 5 034 10 009 12 019 69906 66922 6 026 3 041 6 323 11 011 66922 64159 6 344 6 323 7 325 10 001 64159 61490 5 323 9 288 10 325 11 006 61490 58723 5 340 6 288 9 292 12 317 58723 55873 8 312 12 291 15 284 14 296 55873 53151 14 290 18 274 19 272 25 294 53151 50694 20 285 22 270 33 275 36 274 50694 48491 27 269 27 269 37 269 38 264 48491 46480 29 262 31 268 35 270 35 262 46480 44622 31 261 33 268 36 276 35 263 44622 42888 32 256 34 266 41 275 37 264 42888 41263 32 251 37 264 44 271 39 262 41263 39740 34 247 39 259 43 267 40 260 39740 38323 37 244 42 252 39 262 38 261 38323 36988 41 242 44 245 36 261 37 264 36988 35677 42 240 41 241 33 262 37 272 35677 34362 40 239 36 244 32 262 36 273 34362 33044 38 241 34 247 34 261 34 272 33044 31705 36 244 32 250 35 260 35 276 31705 30340 34 247 31 257 33 261 37 279 30340 28954 32 249 30 261 31 269 35 274 28954 27555 31 246 28 264 30 270 33 269 27555 26145 31 243 26 269 31 266 33 270 26145 24728 31 239 25 269 32 266 33 273 24728 23300 31 237 24 267 31 269 32 278 23300 21856 31 236 25 260 31 272 30 278 21856 20419 29 238 24 259 29 271 29 278 20419 19055 27 241 21 259 26 268 29 276 19055 17822 24 245 19 260 22 266 26 266 17822 16720 22 246 19 260 21 266 24 259 16720 15723 20 245 17 260 18 265 22 256 15723 14811 18 240 16 258 15 262 20 255 14811 13974 16 236 15 254 13 260 18 251 13974 13204 15 231 13 250 12 256 15 246 13204 12500 14 229 12 246 11 254 13 240 12500 11854 12 223 11 237 10 251 11 232 11854 11256 11 217 10 232 10 249 9 223 11256 10710 9 203 10 229 9 247 8 213 10710 10241 9 196 10 228 9 244 8 206 10241 9872 9 193 9 226 8 243 7 202 9872 9614 8 191 9 224 7 241 5 199 9614 9455 8*189 8*223 7*239 4*199 9455 9363 7*188 7*222 5*235 0*352 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography