DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/29 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.1 - - 51.3 - - 48.8 - - 45.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 103 - - 96 - - 5 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3045 - - 3714 - - 3215 - - 1276 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 177 - - 174 - - 74 - - 27 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 8 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 135 - - 132 - - 154 - - 057 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 15 - - 9 - - 12 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1015 - - -1299 - - -1187 - - -2183 ODpotential blCL - - - 10378 - - 10662 - - 10550 - - 11546 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 89 - - 90 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 190 - - 420 - - 180 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.1 - - 51.3 - - 48.8 - - 45.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.0 - - 45.0 - - 44.5 - - 42.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.3 - - 49.5 - - 47.8 - - 45.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.8 - - 43.7 - - 43.6 - - 41.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 103 - - 96 - - 5 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 68 - - 57 - - 59 - - 58 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98042 6 334 2 193 12 253 14 304 98042 90704 9 004 5 201 3 313 10 302 90704 85044 6 328 1 359 10 335 5 025 85044 80358 9 185 1 256 4 344 6 046 80358 76328 12 163 2 167 2 330 7 043 76328 72782 9 151 8 146 1 250 10 056 72782 69589 7 152 4 097 3 078 5 111 69589 66666 9 116 4 234 3 261 3 088 66666 63959 6 076 6 214 5 285 2 092 63959 61334 11 330 3 151 2 275 0 032 61334 58603 22 271 19 277 22 275 18 280 58603 55787 31 240 26 245 26 244 29 250 55787 53096 28 243 36 212 37 238 39 227 53096 50648 38 248 32 241 37 234 30 228 50648 48426 54 254 47 254 41 251 37 241 48426 46397 70 252 62 254 62 250 50 241 46397 44529 81 247 76 251 84 241 67 235 44529 42798 87 241 87 244 95 235 78 230 42798 41184 89 239 92 238 96 229 84 225 41184 39675 85 237 94 234 91 221 83 222 39675 38272 84 232 93 227 85 213 75 216 38272 36948 90 222 92 217 83 211 65 208 36948 35641 87 214 87 211 77 212 57 202 35641 34321 78 211 86 210 70 209 52 197 34321 32991 76 210 81 211 65 207 48 198 32991 31638 70 210 73 212 59 206 46 200 31638 30257 56 211 62 209 50 202 45 203 30257 28854 39 209 54 203 40 197 41 204 28854 27435 33 216 45 200 33 193 33 203 27435 26007 39 239 34 189 29 190 23 198 26007 24577 35 249 23 164 22 177 16 167 24577 23143 28 264 5 246 18 141 13 152 23143 21700 24 276 19 323 13 080 15 136 21700 20271 18 284 17 340 19 061 21 108 20271 18919 13 285 9 024 22 076 28 092 18919 17697 10 268 10 057 23 079 31 088 17697 16607 9 244 9 075 24 080 31 090 16607 15622 8 233 9 081 23 083 29 093 15622 14723 8 227 8 082 20 084 28 095 14723 13899 6 216 7 086 16 089 26 096 13899 13143 5 185 7 090 13 095 24 097 13143 12450 5 148 6 092 11 102 22 096 12450 11816 6 131 6 094 8 108 20 096 11816 11226 6 127 5 097 6 112 17 094 11226 10689 7 128 5 104 5 123 13 093 10689 10227 7 131 5 113 5 142 11 090 10227 9864 7 131 5 121 5 149 9 084 9864 9609 7 134 5 125 5 151 7 076 9609 9453 7*135 5*128 4*152 6*067 9453 9363 6*135 4*132 4*154 3*057 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography