DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/21 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 24.4 - - 32.8 - - 34.5 - - - - - 26.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 70 - - 54 - - - - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 562 - - 561 - - - - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit 9344 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - - - - 9344 Hcrit BL Top 9361 - - 9362 - - 9361 - - - - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1027 - - 3105 - - 3795 - - - - - 362 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 152 - - 140 - - - - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 10 - - 6 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction 345 - - 190 - - 186 - - - - - 360 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -13 - - 12 - - 14 - - - - - -24 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9361 - - 9362 - - 9361 - - - - - 9361 sfcLCL ODpotential -2387 - - -795 - - -1097 - - - - - -3251 ODpotential blCL 11748 - - 10157 - - 10458 - - - - - 12612 blCL maxRH 92 - - 94 - - 93 - - - - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 20 - - 70 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 24.4 - - 32.8 - - 34.5 - - - - - 26.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 22.3 - - 28.7 - - 29.4 - - - - - 23.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 26.8 - - 31.1 - - 33.1 - - - - - 28.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.6 - - 27.7 - - 28.2 - - - - - 23.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 70 - - 54 - - - - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 562 - - 561 - - - - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 66 - - 78 - - 72 - - - - - 39 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96313 21 029 5 334 11 357 6 082 96313 89341 18 035 7 044 8 002 10 033 89341 83923 12 015 6 083 9 030 13 352 83923 79382 11 024 6 114 7 113 8 019 79382 75444 7 038 10 089 12 154 13 005 75444 71946 4 084 12 068 17 157 9 319 71946 68777 2 248 3 068 10 132 9 277 68777 65850 12 230 7 217 4 107 12 230 65850 63113 18 211 20 216 8 246 21 207 63113 60466 24 197 20 211 23 217 19 205 60466 57704 26 215 29 208 30 213 22 235 57704 54811 32 206 32 205 33 214 29 239 54811 52022 31 206 35 211 33 218 35 229 52022 49502 36 213 38 215 36 227 36 219 49502 47252 45 212 47 216 43 229 30 231 47252 45222 49 208 54 215 48 223 42 251 45222 43366 50 209 53 212 48 222 46 237 43366 41658 50 213 48 219 50 219 34 240 41658 40071 49 226 54 224 41 222 36 257 40071 38595 65 231 50 225 41 250 63 258 38595 37235 66 225 49 243 53 251 75 251 37235 35953 51 224 55 245 59 248 76 253 35953 34686 42 236 54 240 63 248 86 255 34686 33406 36 244 48 241 65 248 88 253 33406 32116 38 252 48 239 59 246 81 252 32116 30813 39 257 45 235 53 247 70 254 30813 29494 42 260 37 237 50 252 61 254 29494 28162 42 259 29 248 41 252 54 253 28162 26815 33 266 25 244 34 248 47 258 26815 25457 24 254 23 239 32 243 36 258 25457 24092 22 250 21 234 24 236 28 253 24092 22717 21 253 20 233 18 228 20 241 22717 21325 21 260 18 242 13 224 19 227 21325 19942 14 280 13 253 11 225 18 224 19942 18631 10 290 8 252 11 215 14 224 18631 17448 6 284 5 224 11 206 11 228 17448 16390 3 273 4 169 10 193 9 234 16390 15432 0 262 5 152 7 176 8 238 15432 14558 2 069 5 125 5 162 5 232 14558 13756 3 059 5 097 3 148 4 178 13756 13021 4 045 3 081 2 128 5 133 13021 12348 4 039 2 055 1 125 6 121 12348 11733 4 035 2 038 1 143 5 116 11733 11162 3 019 1 043 2 166 3 107 11162 10642 3 352 1 188 3 185 1 062 10642 10196 3 335 2 196 4 187 2 016 10196 9845 3 333 3 193 5 186 2 012 9845 9600 2 334 3 192 5 186 4 001 9600 9448 2*334 3*189 4 186 4*001 9448 9361 2*345 3*190 4*186 4*360 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography