DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/08 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.6 - - 58.9 - - 56.6 - - 46.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 107 - - 110 - - -1 - - -54 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9346 - - 9347 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 6434 - - 8869 - - 7242 - - 191 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 181 - - 181 - - 40 - - 50 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 9 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 179 - - 235 - - 274 - - 011 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 13 - - 9 - - -1 - - -39 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2648 - - -3337 - - -3169 - - -8 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12012 - - 12701 - - 12533 - - 9372 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5094 - - -5592 - - -6082 - - -4945 ODpotential blCL - - - 14457 - - 14955 - - 15445 - - 14308 blCL maxRH - - - 53 - - 52 - - 49 - - 55 maxRH CAPE - - - 530 - - 670 - - 410 - - 160 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.6 - - 58.9 - - 56.6 - - 46.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.4 - - 35.7 - - 34.2 - - 38.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.8 - - 57.1 - - 56.9 - - 49.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.2 - - 34.6 - - 33.1 - - 36.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 107 - - 110 - - -1 - - -54 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97609 17 289 19 282 18 283 17 314 97609 90411 8 261 13 298 16 328 7 021 90411 84807 2 353 8 283 12 317 8 000 84807 80139 11 015 7 032 4 308 11 342 80139 76126 9 029 10 034 4 028 13 349 76126 72583 8 049 9 021 7 039 10 345 72583 69384 7 026 7 351 11 009 10 338 69384 66458 12 002 12 348 17 348 15 344 66458 63753 19 348 17 346 20 334 20 340 63753 61137 22 342 19 341 21 329 22 334 61137 58414 21 341 18 329 21 322 26 328 58414 55597 19 339 21 321 23 318 30 323 55597 52914 20 344 24 327 26 323 31 320 52914 50495 22 348 27 331 29 322 30 321 50495 48317 25 358 28 329 32 323 30 324 48317 46329 29 007 29 332 35 325 31 323 46329 44495 29 011 28 338 33 326 31 323 44495 42786 27 012 29 345 32 325 29 325 42786 41185 22 018 25 355 31 323 24 331 41185 39682 21 015 25 004 29 329 23 328 39682 38277 11 016 22 008 22 335 25 318 38277 36943 3 021 17 008 15 350 17 314 36943 35625 2 114 8 343 12 348 10 339 35625 34303 3 084 3 283 9 338 8 337 34303 32984 1 029 3 162 2 025 5 219 32984 31656 4 199 6 189 3 089 8 177 31656 30308 7 183 10 187 3 154 8 158 30308 28938 7 179 10 185 4 173 7 149 28938 27548 7 175 9 175 4 155 6 152 27548 26144 5 178 9 164 6 154 5 171 26144 24731 5 186 8 163 8 162 6 194 24731 23307 6 197 6 163 10 154 8 195 23307 21867 7 188 5 149 11 137 9 182 21867 20435 8 173 5 130 12 119 11 167 20435 19075 8 152 5 117 12 111 13 168 19075 17840 7 130 6 095 9 100 12 168 17840 16734 7 113 7 081 7 093 9 167 16734 15732 6 103 6 075 4 095 6 178 15732 14817 5 098 5 068 1 122 4 196 14817 13976 3 093 3 060 2 263 2 230 13976 13204 1 073 1 313 4 273 2 298 13204 12499 0 357 2 264 5 275 3 327 12499 11853 0 262 3 258 6 276 5 341 11853 11253 1 205 4 250 6 277 6 355 11253 10707 1 183 4 248 6 277 8 009 10707 10238 2 183 4 244 6 277 12 026 10238 9870 3 181 4 240 6 277 16 031 9870 9612 3 178 4 238 5 277 15 026 9612 9454 3*181 4*237 4*276 13*019 9454 9363 3*179 4*235 3*274 7*011 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography