DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/13 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.1 - - 69.3 - - 70.2 - - 63.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 449 - - 356 - - 174 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8068 - - 8487 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 14950 - - 15183 - - 9347 - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top - - - 16868 - - 17287 - - 9364 - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3637 - - 4935 - - 12893 - - 8592 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 670 - - 631 - - 202 - - 20 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 8 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 14 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 270 - - 267 - - 269 - - 294 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 9 - - -2 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 372 - - 1027 - - -8354 - - -7049 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16497 - - 16261 - - 17719 - - 16414 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1387 - - -941 - - -9935 - - -10150 ODpotential blCL - - - 18255 - - 18228 - - 19299 - - 19514 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 97 - - 84 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 60 - - 240 - - 80 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.1 - - 69.3 - - 70.2 - - 63.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.1 - - 30.2 - - 24.9 - - 24.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.5 - - 66.2 - - 67.9 - - 64.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.4 - - 29.7 - - 24.1 - - 23.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 449 - - 356 - - 174 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8068 - - 8487 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 32 - - 88 - - 37 - - 68 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98757 22 113 18 113 23 105 22 089 98757 91281 15 114 18 092 19 107 26 090 91281 85545 13 104 13 100 15 085 20 090 85545 80792 12 115 17 093 12 066 14 085 80792 76705 15 107 15 091 10 071 16 055 76705 73097 13 098 10 101 9 065 12 071 73097 69828 11 086 14 116 7 072 13 064 69828 66833 5 061 13 106 6 104 7 048 66833 64071 11 348 6 041 10 066 9 061 64071 61409 11 295 10 290 13 357 11 026 61409 58651 6 300 11 244 15 279 15 305 58651 55805 20 301 15 279 21 272 25 282 55805 53094 32 284 27 283 31 274 33 270 53094 50655 37 271 38 281 36 273 37 265 50655 48464 43 264 49 272 44 268 44 264 48464 46475 49 262 56 265 54 264 54 263 46475 44649 54 263 61 262 62 260 60 263 44649 42956 59 262 65 260 64 259 61 262 42956 41375 62 261 67 259 65 259 63 260 41375 39894 63 261 64 258 65 260 62 260 39894 38509 61 260 57 258 63 261 59 259 38509 37193 52 260 50 260 57 261 54 258 37193 35887 43 262 41 262 47 261 46 258 35887 34568 38 266 34 263 38 261 36 258 34568 33240 39 265 30 261 34 259 31 261 33240 31892 38 256 32 262 33 255 30 261 31892 30521 38 254 37 256 30 236 30 266 30521 29134 35 258 36 249 27 234 23 262 29134 27730 31 266 32 248 26 253 22 240 27730 26308 32 267 27 255 25 270 19 239 26308 24882 34 264 24 261 20 278 14 269 24882 23450 30 267 21 276 15 291 12 308 23450 22006 24 276 15 294 8 331 5 358 22006 20567 18 291 13 298 7 336 5 027 20567 19198 12 305 12 295 8 317 5 005 19198 17954 10*304 12*290 8 305 6 344 17954 16838 8*290 13*286 9 298 8 325 16838 15825 8 285 13 279 11 287 10 314 15825 14899 9 279 14 274 11 284 12 307 14899 14049 9 275 14 271 12 280 13 302 14049 13268 10 269 15 267 13 278 14 298 13268 12553 10 267 15 265 13 276 14 294 12553 11897 10 264 15 263 13 275 14 292 11897 11290 10 264 15 261 13 274 14 290 11290 10734 10 261 15 259 13 273 14 289 10734 10257 11 259 15 258 13 272 13 288 10257 9882 10 258 14 257 12 271 11 287 9882 9619 10 257 14 256 12 271 9 286 9619 9457 9 256 13 255 11*270 7*288 9457 9364 8 254 10 253 9*269 4*294 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography