DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/04 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1556z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.3 - - 51.8 - - 50.3 - - 45.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 359 - - 385 - - 145 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5272 - - 6974 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12604 - - 13998 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14072 - - 15774 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4113 - - 3146 - - 8375 - - 7451 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 540 - - 608 - - 190 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 19 - - 9 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 264 - - 271 - - 273 - - 308 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -16 - - -35 - - -5 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1454 - - 1421 - - -4687 - - -3967 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12618 - - 14354 - - 14051 - - 13330 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -477 - - -589 - - -6451 - - -6773 ODpotential blCL - - - 14549 - - 16363 - - 15814 - - 16136 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 79 - - 77 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 110 - - 40 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.3 - - 51.8 - - 50.3 - - 45.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.4 - - 21.3 - - 21.3 - - 19.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.4 - - 48.8 - - 48.4 - - 46.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.0 - - 20.8 - - 20.9 - - 19.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 359 - - 385 - - 145 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5272 - - 6974 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 5 - - 15 - - 8 - - 11 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97913 27 261 19 269 17 281 25 276 97913 90421 23 249 22 253 23 272 19 288 90421 84642 13 266 20 253 20 272 18 290 84642 79866 9 287 15 258 19 279 19 297 79866 75783 16 290 19 283 20 278 18 289 75783 72185 18 282 22 283 21 301 20 276 72185 68928 19 296 17 285 25 310 22 289 68928 65940 27 292 21 291 30 296 25 303 65940 63176 36 289 32 284 31 277 25 290 63176 60495 43 289 34 288 31 271 24 290 60495 57692 46 280 41 294 39 291 36 285 57692 54785 51 273 53 285 56 288 50 285 54785 52032 53 273 58 276 62 277 59 275 52032 49583 55 278 59 275 56 272 61 269 49583 47399 69 281 71 279 62 270 68 266 47399 45418 93 277 91 272 79 268 82 262 45418 43608 110 277 101 274 93 274 90 263 43608 41946 134 278 120 276 113 275 111 264 41946 40404 135 275 128 273 127 272 128 263 40404 38957 129 271 128 272 127 269 133 262 38957 37599 130 269 129 271 119 267 133 263 37599 36307 129 270 123 270 110 265 124 264 36307 35025 120 269 117 267 107 263 111 262 35025 33728 114 265 113 262 107 263 100 256 33728 32421 107 263 111 261 103 262 96 253 32421 31091 97 261 105 260 98 258 97 255 31091 29735 88 264 98 261 98 255 98 259 29735 28361 78 276 90 267 95 256 96 266 28361 26975 70 284 69 276 71 266 87 270 26975 25583 62 287 56 282 46 283 62 269 25583 24194 55 282 52 283 37 287 33 263 24194 22803 51 272 49 281 38 281 21 263 22803 21408 50 265 47 276 42 275 19 274 21408 20027 45 264 43 273 40 270 26 273 20027 18721 36 267 32 271 35 265 31 265 18721 17541 29 270 26 271 28 260 31 259 17541 16485 25 271 23*270 23 258 29 256 16485 15527 23 271 23*270 21 259 27 256 15527 14649 21*270 21 271 20 261 25 259 14649 13842 18*267 20 271 19 264 23 262 13842 13099 17 266 20 272 18 267 22 265 13099 12418 17 265 20 271 17 270 20 267 12418 11792 17 264 19 272 17 271 19 269 11792 11211 16 263 19 271 16 273 17 271 11211 10679 16 262 19 271 16 274 15 274 10679 10221 16 262 18 271 15 274 12 280 10221 9861 15 261 17 270 15 275 10 287 9861 9608 14 260 16 270 14 274 8 295 9608 9452 13 259 15 269 13*274 6*298 9452 9363 10 257 11 268 9*273 3*308 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography