DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/19 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 32.9 - - 36.5 - - 31.4 - - 24.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 151 - - 199 - - -7 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 561 - - 562 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9344 - - 9345 - - 9344 - - 9344 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9361 - - 9362 - - 9361 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3749 - - 6491 - - 4372 - - 628 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 193 - - 211 - - 28 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 15 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 005 - - 348 - - 029 - - 018 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -5 - - -15 - - -35 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3776 - - -5057 - - -4588 - - -6960 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13137 - - 14420 - - 13949 - - 16322 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7526 - - -7511 - - -8282 - - -13102 ODpotential blCL - - - 16887 - - 16873 - - 17643 - - 22463 blCL maxRH - - - 44 - - 46 - - 27 - - 21 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 32.9 - - 36.5 - - 31.4 - - 24.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 8.5 - - 6.4 - - 3.6 - - -12.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 30.7 - - 34.2 - - 31.2 - - 27.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 7.4 - - 5.5 - - 2.9 - - -14.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 151 - - 199 - - -7 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 561 - - 562 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96208 11 357 19 017 11 068 7 027 96208 89124 2 026 8 010 10 357 11 015 89124 83637 8 007 15 016 5 022 19 001 83637 79093 9 034 17 000 10 005 9 007 79093 75125 3 351 12 309 14 356 17 360 75125 71593 14 010 15 348 23 335 24 345 71593 68389 18 339 17 312 21 316 25 330 68389 65435 19 343 23 328 22 323 31 331 65435 62700 36 341 34 335 34 329 36 329 62700 60054 41 326 40 327 42 328 38 324 60054 57282 41 311 43 314 48 321 40 322 57282 54396 46 309 46 305 49 312 47 322 54396 51645 53 311 50 302 54 310 56 317 51645 49174 60 313 56 305 64 309 63 312 49174 46953 73 310 68 306 73 306 68 309 46953 44933 82 303 77 302 76 301 70 308 44933 43083 86 300 78 298 75 299 70 308 43083 41387 83 300 75 295 72 300 69 305 41387 39823 75 301 71 297 69 300 63 305 39823 38370 71 302 70 299 67 302 57 309 38370 37021 66 300 72 300 66 303 56 312 37021 35744 63 299 71 298 66 301 54 313 35744 34481 61 298 68 296 67 298 53 314 34481 33205 61 299 66 296 68 296 51 314 33205 31923 62 299 66 297 68 295 49 313 31923 30626 62 299 66 298 67 294 47 313 30626 29306 63 297 67 298 67 293 45 314 29306 27970 63 297 68 298 66 295 44 318 27970 26623 62 299 67 299 66 298 43 323 26623 25270 61 301 65 300 65 301 40 328 25270 23917 61 303 64 303 60 306 34 332 23917 22561 58 305 58 306 51 310 27 338 22561 21194 52 305 47 306 41 313 20 347 21194 19836 45 304 37 306 31 316 17 002 19836 18546 39 304 31 310 24 322 14 010 18546 17378 34 307 26 318 19 330 13 015 17378 16331 29 312 21 328 15 342 11 020 16331 15383 25 317 16 337 12 356 10 026 15383 14518 21 322 11 341 9 011 9 034 14518 13723 18 325 8 343 7 027 8 042 13723 12994 15 332 7 344 6 038 8 052 12994 12327 12 341 6 346 6 045 8 060 12327 11716 11 347 5 346 6 046 8 064 11716 11150 9 351 5 345 7 043 8 064 11150 10633 7 354 5 346 7 038 10 064 10633 10190 6 356 4 347 8 034 11 059 10190 9842 4 359 4 348 8 031 12 049 9842 9598 4 001 4 347 7 030 11 035 9598 9447 3*002 3*348 6*029 9*026 9447 9361 2*005 3*348 4*029 6*018 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography