DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/13 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.5 - - 72.7 - - 66.8 - - 73.7 - - 68.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 121 - - 524 - - 88 - - 196 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 563 - - 5350 - - 564 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit 9347 - - 12796 - - 9347 - - 9348 - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top 9363 - - 14150 - - 9364 - - 9364 - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2615 - - 3306 - - 6419 - - 9593 - - 7572 Hgt.Variab. W* 181 - - 613 - - 171 - - 209 - - 18 W* B/S 5 - - 44 - - 6 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 115 - - 167 - - 005 - - 308 - - 320 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 7 - - 31 - - -28 - - -12 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1343 - - -485 - - -2274 - - -5642 - - -4437 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10707 - - 14635 - - 11638 - - 15007 - - 13802 sfcLCL ODpotential -4927 - - -2713 - - -4641 - - -7536 - - -7584 ODpotential blCL 14290 - - 16863 - - 14005 - - 16900 - - 16948 blCL maxRH 88 - - 69 - - 98 - - 86 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 210 - - 260 - - 570 - - 340 - - 240 CAPE Temp@2m 61.5 - - 72.7 - - 66.8 - - 73.7 - - 68.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.6 - - 40.8 - - 47.8 - - 40.2 - - 40.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.5 - - 68.7 - - 65.1 - - 71.2 - - 69.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.0 - - 40.5 - - 46.5 - - 39.9 - - 39.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 121 - - 524 - - 88 - - 196 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 563 - - 5350 - - 564 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 52 - - 0 - - 91 - - 43 - - 68 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 7 - - 10 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99250 40 109 38 117 40 103 36 097 40 090 99250 91780 41 098 43 094 45 103 35 103 29 099 91780 86028 39 094 39 091 41 093 40 097 33 102 86028 81231 33 091 31 098 30 088 32 085 40 096 81231 77120 21 092 25 101 21 087 26 085 36 087 77120 73517 22 111 20 106 17 103 24 092 30 082 73517 70281 27 107 23 118 18 117 20 099 25 082 70281 67320 27 096 28 119 23 131 12 115 16 081 67320 64584 23 104 28 114 28 130 15 134 9 121 64584 61945 18 126 27 113 28 123 21 129 16 135 61945 59209 13 145 23 132 23 136 23 128 23 119 59209 56396 14 153 23 151 25 152 19 143 22 123 56396 53739 24 154 25 155 28 156 23 153 22 145 53739 51356 32 152 28 159 31 159 30 155 28 169 51356 49209 36 150 30 161 33 164 31 160 33 162 49209 47238 32 145 30 157 31 165 28 166 28 158 47238 45410 24 146 28 153 29 159 24 166 23 159 45410 43708 22 145 22 154 28 151 24 160 21 164 43708 42111 14 142 18 145 22 150 24 153 23 157 42111 40606 6 123 16 131 18 144 21 154 23 151 40606 39192 4 162 16 137 17 145 19 162 20 152 39192 37845 6 163 16 157 15 154 18 167 16 172 37845 36508 6 149 16 171 10 165 12 166 11 183 36508 35153 4 140 14 172 6 196 6 155 5 177 35153 33786 3 175 9 160 5 196 2 054 2 096 33786 32398 5 189 5 166 1 219 4 030 5 045 32398 30986 5 161 6 213 3 273 4 027 9 034 30986 29555 5 131 5 203 2 301 4 028 11 019 29555 28110 5 285 1 211 3 035 5 004 8 021 28110 26658 8 294 1 126 4 068 5 012 6 054 26658 25204 3 349 5 093 8 075 5 088 10 067 25204 23740 5 025 9 082 13 068 11 078 13 064 23740 22256 7 057 15 082 13 061 19 066 13 066 22256 20778 15 086 21 073 11 058 21 063 12 066 20778 19372 16 081 22 069 9 053 20 062 11 064 19372 18097 13 078 19 061 7 048 18 062 11 060 18097 16955 5 078 16 045 6 040 15 060 10 054 16955 15922 2 341 13 026 4 030 12 056 10 048 15922 14979 5 311 8*016 4 017 10 050 10 047 14979 14115 5 285 5*014 4 011 8 039 9 047 14115 13321 7 249 2 021 4 006 6 023 8 046 13321 12595 7 223 1 135 4 002 5 000 7 042 12595 11930 7 187 3 174 5 360 5 341 7 036 11930 11314 8 159 4 175 6 359 6 329 6 025 11314 10751 9 129 5 175 7 000 6 320 5 006 10751 10268 10 115 6 175 7 001 6 316 4 344 10268 9888 10 113 6 175 7 003 6 314 4 327 9888 9622 9 113 7 175 7 004 6 312 3 318 9622 9459 8 113 6 174 7*004 6*311 3*312 9459 9364 7*115 6 174 5*005 5*308 2*320 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography