DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/17 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 25.1 - - 32.3 - - 28.8 - - 26.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 221 - - 187 - - -22 - - -60 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1097 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9292 - - 9344 - - 9344 - - 9344 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9897 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 603 - - 2028 - - 955 - - 236 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 273 - - 207 - - 36 - - 30 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 37 - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 007 - - 009 - - 003 - - 009 Direction Wind Shear - - - 27 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -179 - - -30 - - -32 - - -45 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3993 - - -5739 - - -4723 - - -3453 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13891 - - 15101 - - 14084 - - 12815 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14988 - - -12900 - - -13406 - - -13159 ODpotential blCL - - - 24885 - - 22261 - - 22767 - - 22520 blCL maxRH - - - 56 - - 51 - - 31 - - 30 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 25.1 - - 32.3 - - 28.8 - - 26.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - -2.1 - - -0.4 - - 0.8 - - 3.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 23.2 - - 30.2 - - 28.9 - - 27.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -2.8 - - -1.3 - - 0.1 - - 3.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 221 - - 187 - - -22 - - -60 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1097 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96824 45 070 57 075 50 077 39 079 96824 89711 44 085 46 085 36 079 36 073 89711 84150 37 089 34 089 24 078 31 065 84150 79539 28 088 27 075 25 071 27 078 79539 75542 21 101 19 073 24 063 30 067 75542 71983 20 100 8 070 15 058 25 056 71983 68750 17 096 8 057 13 067 17 048 68750 65765 13 110 6 005 10 002 12 353 65765 62980 9 057 1 195 7 313 6 323 62980 60257 19 302 7 347 3 259 10 312 60257 57438 19 276 10 314 8 307 16 283 57438 54525 14 035 5 091 9 292 13 307 54525 51738 47 008 21 039 24 002 40 335 51738 49260 67 356 60 011 52 357 51 332 49260 47069 64 344 74 356 61 351 56 337 47069 45101 46 344 71 353 66 346 62 334 45101 43318 52 358 67 357 66 338 62 327 43318 41689 65 009 66 001 64 335 57 327 41689 40184 75 014 69 004 62 339 59 333 40184 38781 81 017 74 004 62 345 66 336 38781 37471 83 017 76 004 63 349 68 336 37471 36222 83 016 77 005 66 351 68 336 36222 34976 82 013 78 006 68 352 67 338 34976 33710 79 011 80 007 68 354 66 339 33710 32432 77 009 81 007 66 355 65 340 32432 31132 74 007 79 006 65 354 65 339 31132 29805 71 004 74 003 66 354 65 339 29805 28454 68 001 69 000 69 355 65 340 28454 27083 65 359 64 357 73 359 63 343 27083 25698 63 357 60 356 74 003 62 346 25698 24305 62 357 57 357 71 006 61 348 24305 22903 63 358 55 359 64 007 59 349 22903 21487 64 360 53 002 54 007 56 349 21487 20079 65 003 51 005 47 006 50 351 20079 18745 65 006 50 007 42 006 44 351 18745 17538 64 009 48 008 41 006 39 351 17538 16459 64 011 47 008 40 007 36 350 16459 15485 63 011 47 007 40 007 35 350 15485 14596 63 011 46 007 40 007 35 351 14596 13782 62 009 45 007 40 008 36 353 13782 13037 62 007 43 007 39 008 37 356 13037 12357 62 005 41 008 38 009 37 359 12357 11736 62 005 38 009 36 011 37 002 11736 11163 60 005 35 009 34 012 37 006 11163 10640 58 006 30 009 30 011 35 009 10640 10193 54*007 22 008 26 009 31 013 10193 9843 47*007 19 008 21 007 27 014 9843 9598 41 007 17 008 16 006 21 013 9598 9448 34 007 15*009 13*004 16*012 9448 9361 20 007 9*009 8*003 9*009 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography