DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/01 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 26.8 - - 28.8 - - 22.4 - - 19.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 66 - - 54 - - -20 - - -81 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9344 - - 9344 - - 9344 - - 9344 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2983 - - 3174 - - 627 - - 146 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 150 - - 140 - - 33 - - 39 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 007 - - 358 - - 351 - - 354 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -17 - - -21 - - -21 - - -50 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3606 - - -4531 - - -2240 - - -3045 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12968 - - 13892 - - 11602 - - 12407 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8114 - - -10801 - - -10258 - - -13023 ODpotential blCL - - - 17475 - - 20162 - - 19619 - - 22384 blCL maxRH - - - 35 - - 33 - - 43 - - 38 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 26.8 - - 28.8 - - 22.4 - - 19.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 3.3 - - 1.2 - - 5.1 - - -0.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 25.4 - - 27.4 - - 23.2 - - 22.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 2.2 - - 0.1 - - 3.9 - - -1.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 66 - - 54 - - -20 - - -81 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96572 41 077 39 060 28 071 26 053 96572 89451 41 076 36 067 28 067 30 044 89451 83981 42 062 38 075 33 069 30 052 83981 79408 40 069 34 072 31 059 30 059 79408 75408 39 072 32 079 28 063 25 054 75408 71826 29 075 27 066 27 070 20 059 71826 68547 19 087 13 061 10 061 12 055 68547 65513 9 350 13 355 15 022 16 026 65513 62721 14 298 23 312 23 332 21 329 62721 60042 13 274 18 278 18 283 17 306 60042 57244 12 298 12 262 16 314 19 304 57244 54355 29 305 25 292 30 305 27 310 54355 51628 34 302 33 312 28 303 32 298 51628 49191 39 306 29 317 26 306 26 298 49191 47018 32 297 26 329 33 322 30 311 47018 45065 23 298 38 341 36 333 34 315 45065 43281 28 323 44 343 43 345 39 317 43281 41623 34 338 43 351 42 340 41 315 41623 40069 41 000 50 006 40 340 41 322 40069 38610 56 017 61 015 49 354 49 335 38610 37248 68 019 70 018 65 360 60 343 37248 35961 72 016 74 018 73 000 68 348 35961 34691 72 015 74 016 71 003 69 351 34691 33414 73 015 70 013 63 009 66 352 33414 32132 72 015 64 010 55 010 58 356 32132 30837 69 016 57 007 51 004 52 357 30837 29519 65 017 53 008 48 004 44 358 29519 28181 61 019 51 009 45 007 39 004 28181 26826 55 018 50 009 44 007 37 007 26826 25458 47 009 49 008 45 006 35 012 25458 24084 38 356 45 006 42 005 33 023 24084 22702 33 346 38 002 38 003 31 028 22702 21308 29 343 34 356 34 001 28 024 21308 19922 26 344 32 352 32 359 26 016 19922 18610 23 344 30 348 30 357 24 010 18610 17423 20 344 28 345 28 356 21 006 17423 16362 18 343 25 342 26 354 18 002 16362 15403 16 344 23 342 24 352 16 000 15403 14529 16 346 21 343 23 351 15 358 14529 13728 16 350 19 347 23 350 15 357 13728 12994 16 355 17 351 22 351 15 356 12994 12324 16 360 16 354 22 353 17 356 12324 11711 16 002 14 354 21 355 18 356 11711 11144 14 003 13 355 21 357 20 357 11144 10627 13 005 13 356 20 358 21 357 10627 10185 12 004 12 356 18 358 21 359 10185 9838 11 005 12 357 16 356 21 000 9838 9595 9 006 11 357 13 356 20 358 9595 9447 8*006 9*357 10*355 16*357 9447 9361 6*007 6*358 5*351 9*354 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography