DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/21 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.0 - - 56.3 - - - - - 46.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 542 - - 548 - - - - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9875 - - 9153 - - - - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 16523 - - 15931 - - - - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 18675 - - 17953 - - - - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1798 - - 1845 - - - - - 6310 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 764 - - 748 - - - - - 16 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 15 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 255 - - 270 - - - - - 295 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 14 - - -18 - - - - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1749 - - 631 - - - - - -6412 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16927 - - 17323 - - - - - 15776 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 112 - - -2017 - - - - - -10435 ODpotential blCL - - - 18563 - - 19970 - - - - - 19798 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 56 - - - - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.0 - - 56.3 - - - - - 46.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 13.2 - - 12.7 - - - - - 10.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.2 - - 52.5 - - - - - 49.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 12.1 - - 11.5 - - - - - 10.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 542 - - 548 - - - - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9875 - - 9153 - - - - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98134 12 104 8 111 14 122 98134 90688 11 133 8 104 2 307 90688 84985 4 123 6 114 5 037 84985 80259 8 134 7 171 7 070 80259 76175 3 334 5 154 6 051 76175 72558 4 243 3 231 6 067 72558 69278 7 137 7 236 3 312 69278 66260 3 141 7 228 9 259 66260 63451 11 250 8 261 9 260 63451 60710 16 240 16 257 18 266 60710 57850 15 233 17 245 20 253 57850 54897 12 261 15 261 13 256 54897 52092 21 273 20 266 15 269 52092 49578 23 264 22 270 16 289 49578 47346 26 274 20 294 22 299 47346 45347 28 278 30 290 27 336 45347 43535 30 276 24 261 31 331 43535 41871 32 274 32 313 25 339 41871 40325 35 275 44 308 30 348 40325 38883 38 271 30 301 37 344 38883 37541 40 265 24 314 37 340 37541 36270 41 263 24 318 32 336 36270 35008 40 262 24 317 30 333 35008 33731 38 262 23 306 25 317 33731 32448 36 263 24 291 22 295 32448 31144 32 267 28 285 21 277 31144 29812 29 276 31 290 29 284 29812 28460 29 279 31 291 32 293 28460 27094 29 279 28 290 28 299 27094 25719 29 278 26 293 26 303 25719 24338 29 276 23 300 24 305 24338 22951 29 269 17 300 21 298 22951 21550 25 262 17 286 20 286 21550 20157 21 268 18 278 20 285 20157 18835 21*268 15*272 21 292 18835 17638 20*264 14*271 21 301 17638 16564 18 260 14 271 21 305 16564 15592 18 258 15 271 21 306 15592 14702 16 256 15 271 21 303 14702 13885 15 255 15 271 20 298 13885 13133 15 253 15 271 19 292 13133 12444 15 253 16 271 18 288 12444 11812 14 252 16 271 18 285 11812 11225 14 251 16 270 17 283 11225 10688 14 250 16 270 16 282 10688 10227 13 249 15 269 15 280 10227 9864 13 249 15 268 12 280 9864 9610 12 248 14 267 10 282 9610 9453 12 247 13 267 8*282 9453 9363 9 245 10 265 4*295 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography