DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/23 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.6 - - 51.3 - - 53.2 - - 51.3 - - 47.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 27 - - 140 - - 132 - - 12 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit 9346 - - 9346 - - 9347 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1876 - - 3617 - - 3952 - - 3335 - - 1060 Hgt.Variab. W* 113 - - 193 - - 189 - - 90 - - 23 W* B/S 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 122 - - 158 - - 200 - - 283 - - 101 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - 20 - - 21 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 sfcLCL ODpotential -1202 - - -1142 - - -1410 - - -1204 - - -434 ODpotential blCL 10565 - - 10505 - - 10773 - - 10567 - - 9797 blCL maxRH 91 - - 89 - - 91 - - 90 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 290 - - 460 - - 390 - - 240 CAPE Temp@2m 46.6 - - 51.3 - - 53.2 - - 51.3 - - 47.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.8 - - 45.4 - - 46.2 - - 46.6 - - 46.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.4 - - 49.2 - - 51.2 - - 50.2 - - 46.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.1 - - 44.2 - - 45.0 - - 45.9 - - 46.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 27 - - 140 - - 132 - - 12 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 65 - - 57 - - 62 - - 62 - - 91 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98421 7 131 8 126 17 189 12 253 7 351 98421 91060 10 124 8 121 10 159 6 168 3 126 91060 85364 5 044 5 126 4 059 9 132 8 133 85364 80611 4 025 5 219 5 017 2 129 6 089 80611 76538 5 136 5 202 1 252 3 274 6 006 76538 72975 10 135 8 153 8 212 9 235 14 339 72975 69753 3 110 5 151 6 164 10 216 9 291 69753 66788 2 219 6 246 7 126 5 177 7 210 66788 64039 7 163 10 206 13 164 4 175 11 204 64039 61381 7 212 11 194 14 192 9 242 13 233 61381 58613 18 237 16 222 17 222 14 239 14 227 58613 55746 28 218 26 224 27 230 24 236 18 229 55746 53021 27 204 35 214 37 217 35 216 29 226 53021 50576 25 218 36 209 37 215 36 214 37 231 50576 48379 31 229 37 218 41 223 43 218 49 220 48379 46380 40 235 39 224 46 225 46 218 48 215 46380 44552 50 236 44 228 50 224 50 219 51 218 44552 42867 66 230 58 222 54 217 57 212 56 214 42867 41298 75 218 70 211 66 206 65 203 60 207 41298 39830 69 217 66 209 69 198 74 198 65 202 39830 38457 66 213 62 207 66 200 77 197 75 197 38457 37152 68 213 60 203 62 207 76 198 68 198 37152 35855 63 213 59 201 55 208 68 203 53 201 35855 34539 57 212 58 201 53 203 46 203 34 201 34539 33212 53 211 56 204 50 197 45 197 30 196 33212 31863 50 208 53 205 50 196 40 191 29 200 31863 30482 49 207 46 204 46 199 31 194 29 205 30482 29078 43 204 42 203 40 199 27 204 27 205 29078 27655 37 200 35 202 35 195 29 201 25 201 27655 26220 35 199 21 197 30 194 28 194 23 188 26220 24779 25 212 11 230 19 197 21 180 18 155 24779 23330 17 239 12 250 10 243 13 161 14 135 23330 21868 13 241 13 242 9 255 3 143 6 132 21868 20417 9 235 14 231 6 228 2 352 2 294 20417 19044 5 210 12 230 4 231 4 338 7 323 19044 17802 3 205 8 233 3 312 4 355 9 336 17802 16693 2 260 5 242 5 340 5 359 9 345 16693 15691 3 314 2 269 6 338 5 357 9 000 15691 14778 6 320 3 328 7 338 6 346 11 012 14778 13941 7 310 3 341 6 334 6 340 12 015 13941 13175 6 297 3 347 5 326 7 334 13 015 13175 12474 2 278 2 354 4 312 7 327 12 014 12474 11833 3 138 1 009 3 281 7 318 10 012 11833 11239 4 140 1 117 4 243 7 311 8 013 11239 10696 7 129 3 151 4 222 6 303 7 017 10696 10231 8 124 5 155 5 212 6 296 5 037 10231 9866 8 119 5 157 5 206 5 291 4 066 9866 9611 6 119 5 157 5 204 5 288 4 084 9611 9454 5*119 5*158 5*202 5*286 3*094 9454 9363 4*122 5*158 5*200 4*283 2*101 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography