DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/12 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.5 - - 68.5 - - - - - 57.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 433 - - 448 - - - - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 11279 - - 11827 - - - - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 17574 - - 18047 - - - - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 20079 - - 20627 - - - - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1957 - - 2146 - - - - - 1205 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 742 - - 763 - - - - - 20 W* B/S - - - 22 - - 16 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 9 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 299 - - 303 - - - - - 321 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 14 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 30 - - -20 - - - - - -29 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -317 - - 237 - - - - - -9189 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 20397 - - 20391 - - - - - 18553 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3862 - - -2702 - - - - - -13645 ODpotential blCL - - - 23941 - - 23329 - - - - - 23008 blCL maxRH - - - 52 - - 59 - - - - - 52 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.5 - - 68.5 - - - - - 57.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 10.1 - - 11.1 - - - - - 9.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.0 - - 65.0 - - - - - 60.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 9.0 - - 10.1 - - - - - 8.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 433 - - 448 - - - - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 11279 - - 11827 - - - - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98057 8 225 2 027 5 348 98057 90676 5 179 5 222 10 320 90676 84995 3 211 5 236 4 342 84995 80251 5 203 8 238 6 312 80251 76165 8 225 7 224 5 340 76165 72561 5 177 7 251 5 014 72561 69300 4 099 6 260 7 341 69300 66323 6 333 9 295 8 302 66323 63589 13 310 14 291 10 307 63589 60950 15 313 16 280 13 307 60950 58204 18 291 18 278 17 285 58204 55364 20 275 22 283 19 287 55364 52653 21 285 25 279 23 279 52653 50220 27 284 29 278 30 269 50220 48052 33 281 31 277 34 263 48052 46098 33 284 32 278 32 253 46098 44313 33 288 32 280 23 253 44313 42664 32 289 31 279 21 256 42664 41129 32 291 29 285 25 248 41129 39686 30 297 27 293 22 248 39686 38333 28 300 26 295 16 260 38333 37044 27 303 25 294 12 279 37044 35763 25 308 23 298 13 297 35763 34465 23 313 21 303 10 293 34465 33156 21 315 19 301 9 276 33156 31827 19 314 17 295 11 271 31827 30470 17 314 15 292 11 282 30470 29089 14 317 12 294 10 287 29089 27690 14 321 10 302 9 278 27690 26279 14 320 9 325 7 264 26279 24861 13 313 11 342 7 237 24861 23434 8 316 10 001 10 186 23434 21989 6 004 9*024 10 176 21989 20549 8*012 8*020 6 161 20549 19178 8*007 7 007 5 139 19178 17934 8 358 6 356 4 131 17934 16816 7 341 7 332 2 119 16816 15803 6 329 8 311 1 027 15803 14877 6 308 11 296 4 352 14877 14028 7 294 12 292 7 347 14028 13248 7 281 13 289 9 344 13248 12534 8 273 13 286 10 340 12534 11882 9 268 14 284 11 334 11882 11276 9 264 14 282 12 324 11276 10724 9 260 14 281 13 314 10724 10250 10 258 14 280 13 309 10250 9877 10 256 14 279 12 306 9877 9616 9 254 13 278 10 310 9616 9456 9 253 12 277 9*312 9456 9363 7 250 10 275 5*321 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography