DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/01 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.8 - - 77.7 - - 79.5 - - 69.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 463 - - 206 - - 159 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8607 - - 564 - - 565 - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 15399 - - 9347 - - 9348 - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top - - - 17407 - - 9364 - - 9365 - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3932 - - 14017 - - 13857 - - 689 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 689 - - 213 - - 195 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 25 - - 7 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 338 - - 283 - - 322 - - 330 Direction Wind Shear - - - 18 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 59 - - 4 - - -21 - - -28 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1906 - - -9481 - - -10543 - - -8549 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15502 - - 18846 - - 19909 - - 17913 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -458 - - -10767 - - -11977 - - -12878 ODpotential blCL - - - 17865 - - 20131 - - 21342 - - 22242 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 98 - - 84 - - 57 maxRH CAPE - - - 430 - - 80 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.8 - - 77.7 - - 79.5 - - 69.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.1 - - 27.4 - - 24.4 - - 23.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.0 - - 75.4 - - 77.2 - - 71.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.8 - - 27.0 - - 24.0 - - 23.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 463 - - 206 - - 159 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8607 - - 564 - - 565 - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 91 - - 36 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99337 41 096 38 088 42 090 44 096 99337 91885 33 103 35 093 36 086 36 093 91885 86128 36 095 34 102 25 087 35 082 86128 81325 33 085 32 103 21 101 25 080 81325 77191 28 086 30 102 23 102 24 080 77191 73565 21 087 23 084 23 107 22 080 73565 70296 15 088 15 090 20 095 23 092 70296 67287 15 111 15 101 15 087 19 080 67287 64509 16 101 14 101 15 098 14 070 64509 61849 17 090 14 102 12 096 15 074 61849 59107 16 058 13 088 11 102 13 091 59107 56286 13 024 8 025 11 013 10 039 56286 53621 16 358 9 342 15 349 18 334 53621 51235 23 348 16 332 20 335 25 336 51235 49090 28 340 26 334 29 344 31 349 49090 47124 32 334 32 328 34 347 32 350 47124 45301 32 331 32 327 34 346 30 352 45301 43603 29 334 30 327 35 345 31 350 43603 42014 30 340 28 331 33 340 35 349 42014 40522 34 341 27 337 30 334 39 346 40522 39124 35 334 28 335 29 332 39 343 39124 37795 32 331 33 333 32 332 37 340 37795 36478 30 345 34 331 36 335 35 346 36478 35146 32 355 34 340 35 343 32 358 35146 33804 33 359 34 353 31 354 32 008 33804 32438 35 358 35 360 32 006 34 011 32438 31041 38 001 39 004 36 016 33 012 31041 29617 41 006 44 012 39 023 31 016 29617 28171 41 008 46 015 39 024 29 020 28171 26712 37 005 42 016 36 021 29 024 26712 25244 32 001 36 015 31 022 28 029 25244 23769 24 358 23 014 21 027 22 031 23769 22284 18 000 14 010 13 035 12 028 22284 20810 16 359 14 009 12 032 7 030 20810 19409 16 357 13 005 12 024 8 018 19409 18136 16*356 12 359 12 014 10 012 18136 16993 14*353 11 351 13 003 12 008 16993 15957 12 351 10 342 13 356 13 004 15957 15009 10 347 10 333 14 349 13 000 15009 14140 8 344 10 324 14 343 14 356 14140 13341 6 338 9 316 14 338 15 353 13341 12612 4 325 9 309 14 335 16 349 12612 11943 2 299 9 304 14 332 16 346 11943 11323 2 250 9 299 14 329 17 344 11323 10758 2 217 9 295 14 327 17 342 10758 10272 3 204 9 292 14 326 16 340 10272 9891 4 196 8 289 13 325 14 338 9891 9623 4 193 8 288 13 324 12 335 9623 9459 4 192 7*285 12*323 10*332 9459 9364 4 190 6*283 9*322 6*330 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography