DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/10 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.0 - - 41.7 - - 44.8 - - 37.1 - - 35.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -61 - - 62 - - 81 - - -20 - - -90 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 113 - - 1559 - - 2553 - - 383 - - 171 Hgt.Variab. W* 24 - - 148 - - 160 - - 29 - - 41 W* B/S 1 - - 8 - - 6 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 350 - - 342 - - 333 - - 358 - - 354 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -41 - - -6 - - -10 - - -20 - - -51 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - -989 - - -1775 - - 1 - - -292 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9362 - - 10351 - - 11137 - - 9362 - - 9654 sfcLCL ODpotential -9164 - - -6796 - - -6758 - - -7170 - - -9034 ODpotential blCL 18526 - - 16158 - - 16120 - - 16532 - - 18396 blCL maxRH 57 - - 59 - - 55 - - 58 - - 52 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.0 - - 41.7 - - 44.8 - - 37.1 - - 35.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.0 - - 29.2 - - 28.7 - - 29.0 - - 26.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 33.6 - - 40.2 - - 43.2 - - 38.8 - - 38.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.5 - - 28.0 - - 27.6 - - 28.2 - - 25.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -61 - - 62 - - 81 - - -20 - - -90 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96083 39 326 47 338 40 342 38 343 30 324 96083 89091 32 338 37 350 33 355 30 352 36 355 89091 83609 27 350 23 338 26 342 29 344 27 002 83609 79052 18 353 14 335 18 343 23 337 23 346 79052 75141 12 008 14 333 18 337 22 342 25 015 75141 71684 15 354 15 342 22 323 27 336 28 353 71684 68552 22 014 9 343 15 319 24 319 15 323 68552 65646 20 005 8 344 10 343 11 292 6 271 65646 62915 9 353 15 310 16 327 18 326 19 316 62915 60279 13 329 20 297 17 301 27 312 36 330 60279 57578 23 313 17 329 25 328 35 327 44 327 57578 54805 29 310 32 314 34 318 36 313 40 318 54805 52153 36 330 32 328 32 307 36 301 39 306 52153 49751 52 330 42 332 36 320 33 312 35 304 49751 47589 56 314 53 327 45 327 37 323 33 316 47589 45631 54 300 55 320 51 327 43 328 39 332 45631 43852 51 297 54 316 50 327 47 330 42 332 43852 42226 50 299 54 314 49 326 49 327 40 328 42226 40722 50 302 53 312 52 322 50 324 38 329 40722 39314 51 305 51 308 53 319 48 325 37 329 39314 37992 49 307 47 306 50 319 45 326 34 333 37992 36731 46 310 44 306 48 323 40 325 30 339 36731 35473 44 317 43 313 45 326 36 328 27 339 35473 34194 44 326 40 318 42 327 34 327 27 338 34194 32900 42 332 33 323 39 328 32 322 28 330 32900 31582 38 336 30 335 35 327 30 317 28 315 31582 30234 35 339 31 340 30 322 28 311 29 307 30234 28863 35 339 31 332 30 319 27 310 28 304 28863 27475 34 336 31 324 30 319 25 311 24 301 27475 26074 33 332 30 321 30 322 23 313 21 311 26074 24665 33 328 31 323 29 322 23 319 20 320 24665 23243 32 325 31 326 28 320 26 325 21 326 23243 21803 32 323 32 328 27 320 28 329 22 328 21803 20367 34 323 32 328 26 324 29 332 25 328 20367 19001 36 324 32 329 27 329 30 334 28 327 19001 17763 37 325 32 329 28 335 31 337 30 328 17763 16654 39 327 33 331 30 339 31 339 31 331 16654 15651 40 329 33 332 30 342 30 341 32 334 15651 14738 41 332 32 334 30 344 29 343 33 338 14738 13901 41 336 32 338 30 347 29 345 34 341 13901 13136 42 341 32 342 29 349 28 348 35 343 13136 12439 42 345 31 347 26 349 27 352 36 346 12439 11801 41 349 28 350 23 349 26 355 37 348 11801 11212 40 352 24 352 18 346 25 357 37 350 11212 10676 37 356 19 352 14 342 22 358 37 353 10676 10217 32 357 13 350 11 338 18 358 35 355 10217 9857 27 357 9 348 10 337 15 358 31 355 9857 9605 20 354 7 347 9 335 11 358 25 355 9605 9451 15*353 5*345 7*334 8*358 19*354 9451 9362 7*350 3*342 5*333 4*358 10*354 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography