DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/29 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.3 - - 46.9 - - 49.4 - - 47.1 - - 39.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 91 - - 524 - - 568 - - 215 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 9051 - - 7925 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 15825 - - 14930 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 17851 - - 16725 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 7399 - - 1517 - - 1417 - - 8430 - - 5663 Hgt.Variab. W* 162 - - 733 - - 720 - - 216 - - 15 W* B/S 35 - - 9 - - 9 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 15 - - 15 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 160 - - 286 - - 294 - - 283 - - 313 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 12 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 5 - - -34 - - -28 - - -9 - - -17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5274 - - 2395 - - -127 - - -6857 - - -4969 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14637 - - 15457 - - 16853 - - 16220 - - 14332 sfcLCL ODpotential -7475 - - 57 - - -4896 - - -9327 - - -8604 ODpotential blCL 16837 - - 17794 - - 21621 - - 18689 - - 17966 blCL maxRH 88 - - 52 - - 55 - - 59 - - 53 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.3 - - 46.9 - - 49.4 - - 47.1 - - 39.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 10.1 - - 11.8 - - 8.0 - - 8.7 - - 9.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.5 - - 43.2 - - 45.7 - - 44.9 - - 40.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 9.3 - - 11.0 - - 7.3 - - 8.3 - - 9.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 91 - - 524 - - 568 - - 215 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 9051 - - 7925 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 54 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97520 20 275 15 246 24 254 28 272 26 299 97520 90100 18 292 15 276 13 298 14 277 18 304 90100 84439 10 319 16 298 14 309 13 321 12 303 84439 79797 8 342 9 308 8 321 17 340 10 333 79797 75810 12 002 11 322 13 336 14 330 11 336 75810 72272 11 002 4 337 8 309 10 339 11 348 72272 69061 10 328 6 323 8 316 12 311 12 332 69061 66095 11 312 9 300 14 291 16 294 14 295 66095 63328 18 287 22 273 21 262 20 279 20 284 63328 60629 19 263 28 270 22 266 25 276 27 287 60629 57807 31 278 33 270 33 272 35 274 35 275 57807 54877 44 273 43 275 42 274 42 275 39 277 54877 52082 55 272 53 275 50 274 48 275 46 278 52082 49577 63 271 62 274 59 276 55 276 52 275 49577 47344 72 269 69 271 71 274 63 277 59 277 47344 45324 78 266 74 270 76 271 72 274 70 273 45324 43488 81 266 77 273 78 270 84 269 85 270 43488 41811 84 271 85 276 86 273 98 269 104 270 41811 40256 95 275 100 276 104 275 109 269 121 268 40256 38798 112 277 116 275 118 274 117 268 128 265 38798 37434 123 277 124 275 124 271 123 269 131 265 37434 36138 123 274 128 274 125 269 127 268 132 266 36138 34849 118 270 126 272 118 267 127 266 129 266 34849 33545 109 268 114 271 105 266 119 264 115 263 33545 32239 101 270 95 271 90 266 103 263 98 260 32239 30928 96 272 83 275 77 269 83 266 84 260 30928 29603 93 273 77 275 69 271 70 269 75 262 29603 28261 90 271 73 274 65 271 66 269 70 264 28261 26903 87 270 69 273 63 271 61 270 62 267 26903 25534 79 268 66 273 58 272 54 273 53 269 25534 24158 71 263 60 277 54 273 50 274 47 269 24158 22774 56 258 54 283 50 273 46 274 42 268 22774 21377 46 254 45 283 48 273 43 273 38 265 21377 19993 39 246 33 282 41 274 32 271 33 260 19993 18685 33 242 25*284 24 280 17 275 26 257 18685 17503 28 245 20*288 14*294 11 293 18 259 17503 16446 22 245 19 288 14*297 11 300 11 274 16446 15489 17 240 17 288 14 298 13 300 11 294 15489 14613 14 239 15 288 15 297 13 299 13 302 14613 13809 13 236 14 288 15 297 14 297 15 306 13809 13069 11 230 14 287 15 295 14 296 16 306 13069 12392 9 225 13 286 16 294 15 293 16 304 12392 11770 6 225 13 285 16 293 15 292 16 302 11770 11193 4 228 13 284 16 291 15 290 16 300 11193 10666 2 226 13 283 16 290 15 289 16 298 10666 10212 1 205 13 282 16 288 15 287 15 298 10212 9855 1 187 12 280 15 287 14 286 13 299 9855 9605 1 179 12 279 14 287 14 285 11 302 9605 9451 1*164 11 278 13 285 12*284 8*304 9451 9362 1*160 9 276 10 284 9*283 4*313 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography