DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/31 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.8 - - 39.6 - - 42.4 - - 39.2 - - 36.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 12 - - 76 - - 98 - - -5 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9345 - - 9346 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1646 - - 3838 - - 4597 - - 2710 - - 1279 Hgt.Variab. W* 86 - - 157 - - 172 - - 28 - - 18 W* B/S 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 304 - - 219 - - 193 - - 180 - - 062 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - 13 - - 15 - - 9 - - -17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 sfcLCL ODpotential -604 - - -766 - - -1543 - - -856 - - -2519 ODpotential blCL 9966 - - 10128 - - 10905 - - 10218 - - 11881 blCL maxRH 95 - - 100 - - 87 - - 88 - - 91 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 20 - - 20 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.8 - - 39.6 - - 42.4 - - 39.2 - - 36.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.8 - - 35.8 - - 35.1 - - 37.2 - - 34.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 34.8 - - 38.0 - - 40.6 - - 39.0 - - 39.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.2 - - 34.7 - - 33.9 - - 36.7 - - 34.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 12 - - 76 - - 98 - - -5 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 81 - - 101 - - 48 - - 53 - - 63 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96665 49 277 59 269 63 278 62 282 61 278 96665 89661 47 286 42 282 47 279 45 280 43 286 89661 84244 40 284 33 292 35 276 34 283 33 293 84244 79714 26 291 26 289 18 273 23 276 31 291 79714 75785 22 294 23 276 19 271 18 277 26 289 75785 72290 22 281 25 269 22 264 20 281 20 276 72290 69093 20 295 21 264 17 261 21 270 19 261 69093 66124 23 276 17 267 21 254 21 255 20 263 66124 63352 25 259 24 256 21 250 23 248 23 259 63352 60660 25 249 27 250 21 256 26 253 28 264 60660 57870 29 252 27 263 32 259 35 255 41 250 57870 55011 43 251 42 262 46 251 42 255 33 254 55011 52303 48 251 53 259 58 264 51 260 45 268 52303 49882 44 258 65 255 73 261 67 259 65 257 49882 47736 59 270 62 263 63 252 68 255 63 261 47736 45810 73 266 67 264 70 272 68 266 86 272 45810 44054 72 261 70 271 91 283 84 276 106 270 44054 42425 59 264 77 278 121 283 103 276 110 269 42425 40896 49 276 83 281 122 276 107 271 104 266 40896 39457 69 274 92 281 121 273 106 269 95 263 39457 38106 78 268 97 281 123 275 107 268 93 262 38106 36816 82 269 96 282 120 278 108 269 93 263 36816 35530 83 272 78 281 109 280 107 273 90 264 35530 34224 77 279 58 277 94 282 102 275 78 264 34224 32904 65 290 52 270 78 282 102 275 65 253 32904 31561 50 300 52 266 64 277 85 277 63 248 31561 30188 36 293 52 264 53 269 72 282 57 246 30188 28794 34 278 48 264 48 262 57 280 51 246 28794 27383 39 266 39 263 47 254 42 263 50 246 27383 25962 41 262 35 257 47 245 42 245 51 246 25962 24537 38 262 38 254 45 239 43 243 51 246 24537 23105 35 262 37 260 39 241 40 243 51 242 23105 21662 34 261 33 266 33 250 36 244 51 238 21662 20229 32 259 31 265 28 260 32 246 47 235 20229 18873 29 258 31 261 25 264 29 246 41 235 18873 17650 27 254 30 256 25 260 27 243 35 236 17650 16558 27 250 26 252 22 255 25 241 30 237 16558 15571 26 248 23 252 18 253 24 239 27 233 15571 14672 24 249 19 252 16 252 23 237 24 227 14672 13850 21 252 16 252 14 252 20 235 22 219 13850 13096 17 254 14 251 11 248 16 231 19 211 13096 12409 13 259 11 250 9 244 12 225 16 200 12409 11781 11 263 8 248 7 234 9 216 13 183 11781 11199 10 267 7 243 6 221 7 203 12 165 11199 10668 8 270 6 237 6 208 6 192 12 145 10668 10213 7 279 6 229 6 201 6 187 13 129 10213 9856 5 292 5 224 6 199 6 183 11 118 9856 9605 4 301 5 223 6 196 5 183 9 110 9605 9451 3*304 5*221 5*196 5*182 7*105 9451 9362 2*304 4*219 5*193 3*180 2*062 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography