DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/07 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0950z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 34.7 - - 41.4 - - 43.1 - - 38.4 - - 36.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -16 - - 77 - - 70 - - -2 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1008 - - 2816 - - 2925 - - 1368 - - 905 Hgt.Variab. W* 44 - - 161 - - 156 - - 19 - - 13 W* B/S 2 - - 29 - - 19 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 010 - - 160 - - 194 - - 307 - - 019 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -24 - - 7 - - 8 - - -7 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2664 - - -1562 - - -898 - - 0 - - -684 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12027 - - 10924 - - 10260 - - 9362 - - 10046 sfcLCL ODpotential -10501 - - -6034 - - -4619 - - -3808 - - -7987 ODpotential blCL 19863 - - 15396 - - 13981 - - 13170 - - 17349 blCL maxRH 35 - - 53 - - 64 - - 69 - - 49 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 34.7 - - 41.4 - - 43.1 - - 38.4 - - 36.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 15.3 - - 26.4 - - 30.9 - - 32.9 - - 25.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 37.0 - - 39.9 - - 41.7 - - 39.6 - - 41.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 14.2 - - 25.3 - - 29.7 - - 31.7 - - 24.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -16 - - 77 - - 70 - - -2 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96338 55 273 67 259 69 276 64 282 57 280 96338 89298 40 281 41 270 44 283 37 286 31 287 89298 83852 26 282 19 278 18 283 22 277 19 294 83852 79297 15 293 11 289 14 283 13 280 16 294 79297 75360 12 279 12 287 22 271 17 310 17 300 75360 71894 8 285 10 299 24 247 21 292 22 302 71894 68765 18 309 16 306 16 249 18 278 23 288 68765 65881 19 297 16 318 12 280 17 304 17 307 65881 63202 21 312 18 316 19 307 25 305 20 307 63202 60599 21 309 17 296 20 304 19 295 13 340 60599 57876 16 316 17 324 27 334 31 313 23 330 57876 55062 30 341 27 329 32 321 31 304 29 313 55062 52387 24 342 23 330 22 305 22 304 28 312 52387 49978 18 354 13 348 15 318 23 337 28 328 49978 47815 33 013 26 004 27 355 37 337 37 327 47815 45848 49 003 42 355 40 354 32 335 34 315 45848 44039 52 001 45 002 38 354 23 350 23 327 44039 42358 54 012 53 016 38 008 28 015 27 352 42358 40787 59 020 62 020 46 014 41 016 34 355 40787 39316 56 025 62 022 57 015 50 012 34 000 39316 37946 48 032 55 023 59 016 57 012 35 007 37946 36652 47 034 47 026 50 021 55 011 36 011 36652 35375 46 037 42 035 44 020 47 012 35 011 35375 34088 43 041 41 042 39 023 40 015 31 009 34088 32793 39 042 40 045 36 030 35 017 26 010 32793 31476 37 046 37 050 35 040 30 020 24 013 31476 30132 38 049 35 052 32 046 26 021 26 013 30132 28765 39 051 35 050 28 043 25 019 29 014 28765 27380 39 051 34 051 27 042 26 017 30 017 27380 25981 38 049 32 051 26 047 25 022 26 018 25981 24574 38 046 31 048 26 049 22 036 21 020 24574 23157 40 045 32 048 27 049 20 054 18 025 23157 21725 40 050 34 052 29 052 20 062 18 027 21725 20300 39 057 34 060 30 059 20 065 16 037 20300 18945 34 056 32 066 30 067 20 071 15 052 18945 17717 27 049 29 064 28 071 19 076 14 059 17717 16616 20 041 25 059 27 069 19 076 13 057 16616 15620 15 035 20 052 24 065 19 073 13 056 15620 14712 11 033 16 045 21 062 18 070 13 060 14712 13880 9 032 13 037 17 058 16 068 14 066 13880 13120 7 034 10 030 14 052 13 067 13 073 13120 12427 6 040 7 025 10 046 11 068 12 080 12427 11793 5 054 6 023 7 038 8 061 11 087 11793 11208 4 071 4 018 3 030 6 041 9 091 11208 10674 4 073 2 019 0 000 5 008 6 095 10674 10216 5 064 1 057 1 201 5 339 3 097 10216 9857 6 052 1 129 1 200 4 322 2 085 9857 9606 6 036 1 156 2 197 4 315 2 061 9606 9452 5*022 1*157 2*199 3*307 2*036 9452 9362 4*010 1*160 1*194 2*307 2*019 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography