DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/09 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1556z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.7 - - 56.4 - - 54.3 - - 48.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 144 - - 119 - - -7 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5238 - - 9629 - - 9608 - - 3335 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 196 - - 184 - - 42 - - 24 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 6 - - 2 - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 148 - - 203 - - 219 - - 268 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 15 - - 19 - - 11 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1944 - - -3354 - - -3970 - - -2870 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11307 - - 12718 - - 13334 - - 12233 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4475 - - -5248 - - -6403 - - -6923 ODpotential blCL - - - 13838 - - 14611 - - 15766 - - 16286 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 63 - - 86 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 310 - - 300 - - 90 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.7 - - 56.4 - - 54.3 - - 48.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.5 - - 33.1 - - 28.5 - - 27.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.6 - - 54.5 - - 54.8 - - 52.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.3 - - 31.9 - - 27.4 - - 26.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 144 - - 119 - - -7 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 45 - - 1 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97750 15 292 8 296 10 290 14 276 97750 90474 3 314 3 335 5 303 3 235 90474 84808 5 069 3 188 3 302 5 018 84808 80100 8 073 2 121 2 288 6 020 80100 76056 3 061 4 347 7 334 8 040 76056 72496 4 343 6 343 10 326 8 358 72496 69300 6 330 7 311 12 310 13 329 69300 66385 10 334 10 316 11 305 16 317 66385 63685 12 326 13 322 9 290 17 295 63685 61066 14 318 17 317 9 296 19 273 61066 58337 16 299 19 290 17 295 21 275 58337 55516 20 291 23 278 27 295 24 287 55516 52827 26 290 23 281 30 284 28 285 52827 50399 30 290 23 289 28 281 30 281 50399 48210 29 286 28 285 27 285 31 280 48210 46212 29 282 31 283 29 291 30 285 46212 44371 29 283 34 283 32 291 31 291 44371 42661 28 288 36 283 34 288 34 289 42661 41065 28 290 33 285 33 284 35 283 41065 39577 29 295 31 295 28 289 32 284 39577 38197 32 298 32 304 29 300 32 292 38197 36893 32 297 35 305 35 304 37 294 36893 35597 31 294 37 304 38 303 38 293 35597 34281 31 289 38 303 38 299 36 293 34281 32953 29 286 39 300 36 296 34 292 32953 31608 25 283 39 296 35 296 34 294 31608 30241 21 273 36 294 36 297 35 299 30241 28855 19 259 29 287 38 298 35 302 28855 27452 21 213 23 270 37 299 33 303 27452 26037 23 205 21 240 35 296 30 297 26037 24616 21 214 20 228 31 286 29 285 24616 23190 19 214 21 228 28 273 28 273 23190 21755 18 211 21 225 24 265 24 270 21755 20331 17 216 18 226 21 258 21 265 20331 18983 16 225 15 231 20 253 20 256 18983 17764 14 232 14 234 19 250 20 251 17764 16672 12 236 14 236 17 248 20 249 16672 15682 10 239 12 234 14 245 18 249 15682 14777 10 243 11 233 13 242 17 250 14777 13945 9 243 10 228 12 239 15 249 13945 13181 9 239 10 225 11 237 12 247 13181 12481 8 231 9 222 11 235 10 246 12481 11840 7 220 9 218 10 234 9 243 11840 11245 5 194 8 215 10 231 8 234 11245 10702 5 160 8 213 9 230 9 220 10702 10236 5 148 8 209 9 229 9 209 10236 9869 6 147 8 207 8 227 8 204 9869 9612 6 146 7 206 7 224 7 205 9612 9454 6*148 7*205 6*221 5*208 9454 9363 5*148 6*203 4*219 2*268 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography