DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/22 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 20.7 - - 30.1 - - 31.8 - - 30.9 - - 28.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 26 - - 25 - - 0 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 562 - - 561 - - 561 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9344 - - 9345 - - 9344 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9361 - - 9362 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 716 - - 1274 - - 1306 - - 989 - - 847 Hgt.Variab. W* 13 - - 113 - - 110 - - 28 - - 20 W* B/S 1 - - 9 - - 11 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 350 - - 116 - - 132 - - 008 - - 342 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -24 - - 0 - - 4 - - -7 - - -18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7606 - - -4507 - - -2069 - - -1739 - - -6397 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 16968 - - 13869 - - 11430 - - 11101 - - 15760 sfcLCL ODpotential -18918 - - -12803 - - -9268 - - -8996 - - -15794 ODpotential blCL 28279 - - 22165 - - 18629 - - 18357 - - 25156 blCL maxRH 80 - - 70 - - 65 - - 81 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 20.7 - - 30.1 - - 31.8 - - 30.9 - - 28.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -18.7 - - 3.2 - - 15.1 - - 15.7 - - -5.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 26.6 - - 29.0 - - 30.7 - - 32.3 - - 33.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -19.4 - - 2.3 - - 13.9 - - 14.6 - - -6.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 26 - - 25 - - 0 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 562 - - 561 - - 561 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 18 - - 0 - - 0 - - 23 - - 24 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96684 27 097 19 106 16 119 15 085 8 078 96684 89487 20 097 21 106 18 106 14 092 12 059 89487 83956 12 103 17 108 15 104 15 098 6 067 83956 79377 9 111 12 113 10 120 6 086 13 055 79377 75413 4 136 8 093 7 135 5 215 12 002 75413 71892 1 159 6 288 5 027 3 218 9 343 71892 68686 4 275 10 254 14 291 17 295 12 330 68686 65739 4 283 11 248 20 276 22 298 19 315 65739 63014 13 312 12 266 19 278 23 285 20 314 63014 60378 27 301 23 291 27 280 32 283 37 289 60378 57643 37 291 34 283 38 283 43 280 43 284 57643 54815 41 285 42 280 46 283 52 286 45 292 54815 52118 42 279 45 280 53 284 61 287 58 297 52118 49691 44 279 46 282 57 286 62 286 61 287 49691 47508 44 280 43 285 52 288 54 287 58 284 47508 45525 44 289 43 289 51 294 60 294 60 293 45525 43722 48 291 49 290 57 294 69 292 67 296 43722 42076 46 284 48 284 58 290 70 289 69 292 42076 40553 42 281 47 284 57 292 66 290 66 290 40553 39128 42 281 50 292 54 297 63 293 62 293 39128 37792 50 293 52 299 52 300 59 295 59 295 37792 36520 55 288 48 299 49 298 55 297 57 296 36520 35255 60 285 44 292 45 292 51 296 54 298 35255 33971 59 284 49 288 44 290 48 292 49 299 33971 32674 59 286 51 289 44 293 47 291 45 296 32674 31356 59 287 51 291 43 294 45 292 44 292 31356 30009 58 287 49 292 43 293 42 293 42 291 30009 28642 55 288 46 292 42 291 40 296 40 292 28642 27258 52 287 44 291 39 288 38 296 37 295 27258 25862 48 287 40 288 38 286 35 295 33 299 25862 24460 45 288 37 285 36 284 33 291 30 300 24460 23046 42 291 35 283 34 282 32 290 28 300 23046 21618 38 294 34 283 33 282 31 292 28 300 21618 20197 35 293 32 284 32 287 29 298 25 302 20197 18847 33 290 29 286 29 293 26 304 22 306 18847 17625 30 288 26 289 26 297 23 308 18 309 17625 16531 28 287 23 292 22 301 20 310 16 309 16531 15542 25 283 21 294 19 304 17 309 15 307 15542 14642 22 277 19 291 17 305 15 307 14 304 14642 13818 18 269 17 287 15 303 13 306 13 302 13818 13066 15 261 14 281 13 301 11 305 12 300 13066 12380 12 252 11 273 10 298 9 305 10 297 12380 11755 10 242 8 263 7 294 6 306 8 294 11755 11177 8 228 5 245 4 291 4 310 6 291 11177 10651 6 213 2 200 1 312 3 324 5 288 10651 10201 4 193 3 132 1 025 2 337 4 291 10201 9848 2 162 3 105 2 095 3 359 3 302 9848 9601 1 087 3 105 2 120 3 008 3 318 9601 9449 1*056 3*111 2*128 2*012 3*332 9449 9362 3*350 2*116 2*132 2*008 3*342 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography