DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/25 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1001z - - 1338z - - 1604z - - 1902z - - 2202z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.8 - - 55.4 - - 59.9 - - 59.0 - - 49.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 219 - - 556 - - 555 - - 223 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 4909 - - 5455 - - 5044 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 12460 - - 12902 - - 12225 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 13709 - - 14255 - - 13844 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3954 - - 1439 - - 1334 - - 1887 - - 1652 Hgt.Variab. W* 217 - - 609 - - 631 - - 454 - - 26 W* B/S 9 - - 7 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 17 - - 23 - - 23 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 001 - - 358 - - 343 - - 346 - - 354 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 13 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -45 - - -67 - - -71 - - -30 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5829 - - -3778 - - -3281 - - -3066 - - -5868 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 15192 - - 17487 - - 17537 - - 16910 - - 15232 sfcLCL ODpotential -12985 - - -9395 - - -7613 - - -7422 - - -11681 ODpotential blCL 22347 - - 23104 - - 21868 - - 21266 - - 21044 blCL maxRH 41 - - 42 - - 44 - - 40 - - 35 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.8 - - 55.4 - - 59.9 - - 59.0 - - 49.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 11.2 - - 11.3 - - 15.5 - - 17.4 - - 16.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.3 - - 51.4 - - 56.1 - - 56.6 - - 50.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 10.9 - - 10.7 - - 14.7 - - 16.8 - - 15.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 219 - - 556 - - 555 - - 223 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 4909 - - 5455 - - 5044 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98270 15 094 7 136 11 065 15 097 22 090 98270 90863 14 104 15 129 5 107 13 091 10 084 90863 85153 15 114 10 133 10 139 4 051 11 088 85153 80403 3 096 14 133 7 153 4 147 5 070 80403 76325 4 265 12 108 6 206 5 128 2 021 76325 72721 8 178 6 157 8 159 7 155 4 078 72721 69443 10 137 8 198 7 144 6 148 5 083 69443 66431 7 131 5 196 9 169 10 168 7 152 66431 63649 4 195 3 183 5 202 2 201 6 195 63649 60950 8 280 4 319 10 170 12 206 12 175 60950 58136 12 286 18 280 8 303 8 282 8 294 58136 55239 13 304 16 313 19 332 14 336 15 311 55239 52499 18 342 16 349 27 337 25 339 22 351 52499 50043 29 355 23 352 30 344 37 346 32 347 50043 47848 43 357 50 355 48 348 46 341 39 335 47848 45866 59 347 60 344 53 344 46 335 39 330 45866 44055 61 343 57 342 53 344 43 335 41 328 44055 42388 62 344 56 345 51 341 42 337 44 327 42388 40841 66 347 57 347 49 338 43 337 44 327 40841 39399 70 346 57 348 46 339 43 337 42 328 39399 38052 71 344 55 348 43 342 41 336 40 330 38052 36773 71 343 54 346 42 347 36 337 38 331 36773 35498 70 342 53 345 42 348 32 340 36 332 35498 34205 70 343 52 343 41 346 29 341 32 332 34205 32902 68 345 50 342 38 345 27 341 30 330 32902 31578 65 346 48 342 34 346 26 337 29 330 31578 30226 62 346 47 343 32 347 25 334 29 332 30226 28851 60 345 46 342 31 347 25 333 29 338 28851 27457 58 346 46 341 32 345 26 335 29 343 27457 26053 57 346 46 340 34 344 27 339 28 347 26053 24643 57 344 48 339 37 343 30 345 27 349 24643 23224 57 343 48 341 39 342 34 348 25 351 23224 21791 57 344 48 344 40 342 37 348 23 353 21791 20363 56 347 48 348 40 343 37 348 22 360 20363 19007 54 350 48 352 40 345 36 351 22 006 19007 17776 51 353 46 355 40 348 35 356 24 011 17776 16674 47 357 42 358 39 351 35 358 26 014 16674 15676 43 001 35 002 34 353 31 357 28 014 15676 14766 38 004 28 003 27*350 26 351 29 013 14766 13931 32 007 21*003 25*348 25*349 30 010 13931 13166 26 008 19*002 25 346 25*348 30 006 13166 12467 19 008 18 000 25 345 25 347 30 002 12467 11827 14 007 18 359 24 344 25 346 30 359 11827 11235 12 005 17 358 24 343 24 346 29 358 11235 10695 9 003 17 357 23 341 23 345 28 358 10695 10231 8 003 16 356 23 340 23 344 26 358 10231 9866 7 001 15 355 21 340 21 344 23 357 9866 9611 6 001 14 355 20 339 20 343 18 356 9611 9453 5*000 13 355 17 338 17 342 14*355 9453 9363 4*001 10 355 12 337 12 342 7*354 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography