DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/16 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.4 - - 64.0 - - 61.0 - - 60.2 - - 57.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 94 - - 257 - - 101 - - 106 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 564 - - 564 - - 563 - - 563 - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit 9347 - - 8945 - - 9346 - - 9347 - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top 9364 - - 9364 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2049 - - 5571 - - 3939 - - 3265 - - 1215 Hgt.Variab. W* 167 - - 232 - - 177 - - 175 - - 53 W* B/S 13 - - 12 - - 7 - - 5 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 116 - - 221 - - 012 - - 087 - - 064 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 5 - - 18 - - -25 - - -2 - - -19 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1545 - - -1285 - - -1417 - - 0 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10909 - - 10649 - - 10780 - - 9363 - - 9364 sfcLCL ODpotential -5131 - - -3127 - - -4212 - - -2516 - - -3253 ODpotential blCL 14495 - - 12491 - - 13575 - - 11879 - - 12617 blCL maxRH 89 - - 101 - - 100 - - 87 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 100 - - 700 - - 130 - - 660 - - 530 CAPE Temp@2m 60.4 - - 64.0 - - 61.0 - - 60.2 - - 57.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.7 - - 49.1 - - 45.7 - - 51.1 - - 50.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.6 - - 61.2 - - 59.3 - - 58.4 - - 57.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.0 - - 48.3 - - 44.5 - - 50.3 - - 50.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 94 - - 257 - - 101 - - 106 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 564 - - 564 - - 563 - - 563 - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 56 - - 103 - - 102 - - 50 - - 91 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 10 - - 9 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99467 46 099 40 099 47 108 26 099 34 097 99467 91904 44 094 35 096 34 103 32 112 31 080 91904 86094 35 098 34 100 27 103 31 104 31 102 86094 81301 28 103 32 113 26 103 24 081 33 102 81301 77182 24 086 30 117 29 112 17 085 27 087 77182 73554 21 088 24 102 30 106 20 118 22 086 73554 70285 23 105 19 092 22 088 25 113 23 104 70285 67287 22 105 15 096 15 077 18 093 20 100 67287 64514 16 094 16 115 13 098 11 087 10 085 64514 61848 12 099 13 121 12 116 7 057 8 090 61848 59096 12 093 7 119 12 131 4 077 9 088 59096 56267 10 087 10 108 10 138 9 129 8 088 56267 53586 8 110 15 106 7 138 10 136 9 085 53586 51182 11 123 16 119 9 141 7 148 8 063 51182 49016 14 118 13 121 16 129 8 141 5 078 49016 47030 13 106 10 105 14 114 7 116 7 087 47030 45195 12 088 11 085 11 093 7 103 7 086 45195 43483 11 065 13 069 15 075 11 094 8 082 43483 41881 13 036 15 053 18 055 16 070 11 052 41881 40380 14 022 15 041 15 036 19 051 16 038 40380 38977 15 024 14 031 14 027 19 030 19 031 38977 37644 18 035 12 045 14 023 20 020 21 029 37644 36317 19 039 13 054 16 024 20 025 22 031 36317 34971 18 043 16 038 18 034 19 028 22 028 34971 33614 20 037 23 029 20 043 18 027 20 022 33614 32237 23 032 24 027 19 042 15 031 18 023 32237 30833 20 026 22 026 17 033 15 032 16 029 30833 29406 17 026 16 037 14 029 13 039 15 035 29406 27961 12 026 10 039 9 038 13 050 14 042 27961 26506 7 030 10 037 8 037 13 049 14 048 26506 25047 5 023 10 048 8 051 13 044 14 045 25047 23579 7 009 9 042 9 055 13 032 13 041 23579 22097 9 013 8 039 11 055 12 031 12 037 22097 20626 12 048 8 035 13 061 13 039 12 036 20626 19231 15 056 8 034 13 064 16 046 13 037 19231 17969 16 054 8 043 12 064 18 044 11 040 17969 16840 15 045 9 057 10 066 20 039 9 044 16840 15821 14 032 9 059 9 068 21 038 9 050 15821 14892 14 018 9 049 9 067 19 045 9 066 14892 14040 15 005 6 038 9 064 16 059 9 082 14040 13257 15 356 4 014 9 060 14 077 11 094 13257 12542 14 349 2 322 8 057 13 092 13 099 12542 11886 12 343 3 265 8 053 12 100 14 100 11886 11279 8 341 3 252 8 046 12 101 15 100 11279 10726 5 350 4 242 8 039 11 097 15 096 10726 10251 3 031 4 234 7 026 10 090 15 089 10251 9878 2 084 4 230 7 018 10 087 14 081 9878 9617 3 104 4 226 6 014 9 086 12 072 9617 9456 2*113 4*224 6*013 8 086 10*066 9456 9364 2*116 4*221 5*012 7*087 6*064 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography