DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/03 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.2 - - 38.5 - - 42.3 - - 40.8 - - 32.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 5 - - 327 - - 397 - - 90 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 3116 - - 5861 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 10886 - - 13112 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9361 - - 11916 - - 14661 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1962 - - 2339 - - 2517 - - 6823 - - 1432 Hgt.Variab. W* 65 - - 439 - - 578 - - 162 - - 19 W* B/S 2 - - 7 - - 8 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 12 - - 13 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 325 - - 302 - - 320 - - 315 - - 342 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -30 - - -35 - - -31 - - -18 - - -27 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3228 - - -2391 - - -419 - - -4532 - - -1948 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12590 - - 14308 - - 15081 - - 13895 - - 11311 sfcLCL ODpotential -8579 - - -6374 - - -3184 - - -6689 - - -6135 ODpotential blCL 17940 - - 18290 - - 17845 - - 16051 - - 15497 blCL maxRH 35 - - 38 - - 54 - - 63 - - 44 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.2 - - 38.5 - - 42.3 - - 40.8 - - 32.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 9.3 - - 8.8 - - 9.0 - - 12.8 - - 16.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 31.0 - - 35.6 - - 39.1 - - 39.1 - - 33.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 8.5 - - 8.1 - - 8.5 - - 12.5 - - 15.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 5 - - 327 - - 397 - - 90 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 3116 - - 5861 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96241 11 281 10 258 18 241 15 284 13 281 96241 89075 16 224 16 225 17 263 17 304 18 281 89075 83596 12 287 10 255 10 264 11 269 11 268 83596 79077 11 277 11 256 11 268 13 281 8 298 79077 75196 2 067 7 261 15 254 23 277 18 313 75196 71800 14 283 6 308 12 245 17 261 21 298 71800 68752 20 273 16 284 20 276 16 296 18 288 68752 65926 25 296 23 279 30 294 28 301 31 297 65926 63272 39 297 36 291 44 285 44 285 41 277 63272 60680 43 293 45 289 48 279 43 273 39 266 60680 57945 44 291 45 288 50 281 38 280 35 276 57945 55070 49 289 50 290 54 279 54 291 49 283 55070 52303 54 285 59 282 59 274 64 283 63 280 52303 49795 56 282 61 275 60 274 63 278 67 279 49795 47535 60 280 62 276 63 275 62 278 67 279 47535 45472 65 274 62 276 66 273 67 276 69 276 45472 43569 66 273 58 275 61 273 69 274 66 275 43569 41805 66 276 57 276 58 273 64 276 59 275 41805 40182 65 271 62 273 57 269 58 272 49 267 40182 38690 53 263 67 266 53 269 51 274 39 276 38690 37303 43 263 63 257 51 271 47 271 42 287 37303 35988 48 269 53 254 49 273 43 275 47 291 35988 34690 57 270 51 262 47 272 40 276 48 293 34690 33385 63 264 63 267 47 268 38 275 44 293 33385 32080 70 257 71 258 49 266 35 275 38 291 32080 30771 71 254 71 251 50 267 33 278 32 285 30771 29452 63 256 64 251 51 268 33 278 34 281 29452 28122 58 262 56 256 50 267 37 274 37 279 28122 26779 59 263 52 258 48 267 40 271 33 284 26779 25427 60 262 50 259 47 268 36 275 25 293 25427 24070 61 261 48 260 48 268 30 290 20 302 24070 22705 58 262 46 262 48 269 25 306 20 306 22705 21327 53 264 43 266 41 271 20 314 21 312 21327 19954 47 265 40 269 26 274 16 316 22 313 19954 18648 43 266 36 273 14 284 12 308 21 308 18648 17464 40 269 32 279 11 309 6 300 19 297 17464 16405 39 271 28 287 11 325 4 321 14 282 16405 15447 38 273 25 294 12*327 6 328 10 265 15447 14572 37 276 23 301 12*327 8 327 6 238 14572 13771 36 281 19 305 13 326 9 328 4 221 13771 13035 34 286 16 307 13 324 11 326 4 236 13035 12361 33 291 14*306 14 322 11 324 3 280 12361 11744 30 295 14*305 14 320 12 322 5 320 11744 11172 27 299 13 303 14 319 12 321 9 341 11172 10650 25 304 13 303 13 317 12 320 13 349 10650 10201 21 310 12 302 13 316 12 318 14 350 10201 9849 18 317 11 301 12 314 11 318 14 349 9849 9601 15 322 11 300 12 313 11 317 12 348 9601 9449 12*324 10 299 11 313 10*317 10*346 9449 9362 7*325 8 298 9 311 7*315 5*342 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography