DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/15 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 27.6 - - 36.3 - - 39.6 - - 38.3 - - 32.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 82 - - 105 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 659 - - 1368 - - 2249 - - 2616 - - 1601 Hgt.Variab. W* 13 - - 161 - - 174 - - 43 - - 16 W* B/S 1 - - 10 - - 8 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 042 - - 180 - - 195 - - 205 - - 035 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - 6 - - 11 - - 7 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3824 - - -3090 - - -3493 - - -3117 - - -2328 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13186 - - 12452 - - 12856 - - 12480 - - 11691 sfcLCL ODpotential -12021 - - -8953 - - -8089 - - -8168 - - -8408 ODpotential blCL 21383 - - 18315 - - 17451 - - 17530 - - 17770 blCL maxRH 86 - - 94 - - 94 - - 92 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 27.6 - - 36.3 - - 39.6 - - 38.3 - - 32.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 3.7 - - 14.9 - - 16.3 - - 16.6 - - 14.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 32.3 - - 34.6 - - 37.9 - - 37.9 - - 36.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 2.6 - - 13.8 - - 15.1 - - 15.6 - - 13.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 82 - - 105 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 45 - - 75 - - 76 - - 66 - - 90 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96715 36 085 26 084 34 080 31 101 17 099 96715 89566 24 093 21 103 22 085 24 084 20 093 89566 84027 20 089 15 106 12 110 11 081 19 061 84027 79397 14 097 7 119 7 105 10 062 12 050 79397 75383 9 066 6 186 1 248 4 125 6 038 75383 71828 6 358 1 283 7 004 3 068 2 245 71828 68611 5 245 12 252 11 267 9 297 5 293 68611 65661 8 211 13 239 14 243 18 272 17 285 65661 62922 10 269 19 274 19 268 25 266 28 270 62922 60284 26 257 38 262 34 261 37 251 35 252 60284 57557 40 258 41 254 34 251 33 251 35 254 57557 54727 48 261 40 263 39 265 42 263 44 260 54727 52008 54 266 52 265 53 259 54 259 51 259 52008 49541 64 267 62 263 62 257 61 258 60 260 49541 47315 71 265 69 261 72 260 72 259 71 259 47315 45286 74 263 75 259 84 259 84 257 79 259 45286 43433 75 263 81 258 88 256 86 258 82 259 43433 41738 75 264 84 258 86 257 87 262 87 260 41738 40186 75 265 81 261 85 260 91 263 93 262 40186 38759 73 266 79 265 84 262 91 263 97 266 38759 37436 68 265 74 266 82 262 87 264 98 269 37436 36175 63 266 68 263 80 264 82 265 96 269 36175 34920 59 265 66 262 79 263 79 263 87 266 34920 33647 59 265 65 261 77 262 78 263 83 262 33647 32362 62 266 66 261 75 261 78 262 83 260 32362 31054 66 266 67 261 72 261 77 262 81 259 31054 29719 66 264 68 261 69 259 75 261 77 260 29719 28362 63 259 68 260 66 257 73 260 74 261 28362 26990 59 255 66 255 65 255 70 258 71 261 26990 25608 55 254 63 250 65 253 65 256 70 260 25608 24222 54 257 59 247 64 248 61 253 66 257 24222 22830 54 259 57 247 61 245 60 251 61 252 22830 21426 54 260 56 248 56 245 59 250 58 249 21426 20031 52 260 55 249 51 247 55 250 55 249 20031 18710 49 261 52 250 47 249 50 250 50 250 18710 17515 44 261 46 249 44 248 45 250 45 251 17515 16445 39 261 40 247 40 247 40 250 41 252 16445 15479 35 260 35 244 37 245 37 248 36 252 15479 14597 31 259 31 240 34 244 33 248 31 250 14597 13790 27 256 28 237 31 244 28 248 26 246 13790 13050 24 251 25 234 27 244 23 249 23 241 13050 12373 21 245 22 233 23 242 17 249 20 235 12373 11753 18 240 18 231 17 237 12 248 17 230 11753 11179 14 233 14 226 11 228 7 238 12 220 11179 10654 9 222 10 215 7 213 5 230 9 202 10654 10204 5 201 7 203 6 205 5 219 6 178 10204 9850 3 164 5 194 6 200 4 214 4 157 9850 9602 2 132 4 188 5 198 4 211 3 145 9602 9450 2*103 3*183 5*195 4*208 2*131 9450 9362 2*042 3*180 4*195 3*205 1*035 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography