DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/25 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.7 - - 44.4 - - 46.4 - - 42.7 - - 37.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -56 - - 160 - - 307 - - 65 - - -43 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 1283 - - 2163 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9340 - - 10148 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 10083 - - 10963 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 421 - - 1700 - - 1610 - - 2933 - - 432 Hgt.Variab. W* 54 - - 264 - - 381 - - 145 - - 19 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 23 - - 26 - - 11 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 324 - - 319 - - 310 - - 314 - - 323 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 15 - - 17 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -33 - - -103 - - -102 - - -35 - - -35 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - -393 - - -279 - - -620 - - -476 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9362 - - 10477 - - 11242 - - 9982 - - 9839 sfcLCL ODpotential -5664 - - -4445 - - -3891 - - -3456 - - -4312 ODpotential blCL 15026 - - 14528 - - 14854 - - 12818 - - 13674 blCL maxRH 76 - - 72 - - 68 - - 74 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.7 - - 44.4 - - 46.4 - - 42.7 - - 37.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.5 - - 31.0 - - 29.5 - - 31.4 - - 26.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 37.8 - - 42.6 - - 43.8 - - 41.4 - - 39.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.7 - - 29.8 - - 29.1 - - 31.3 - - 26.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -56 - - 160 - - 307 - - 65 - - -43 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 1283 - - 2163 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 3 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 18 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96477 18 066 13 074 14 121 10 084 12 067 96477 89324 11 051 6 094 6 077 11 053 12 055 89324 83790 6 009 4 067 0 341 6 005 8 025 83790 79175 3 007 0 110 4 342 2 098 6 321 79175 75169 10 331 6 288 8 291 2 272 10 336 75169 71631 22 330 8 328 9 299 17 294 26 310 71631 68458 26 315 14 324 10 306 19 292 19 294 68458 65531 25 307 15 001 11 345 7 310 28 310 65531 62843 14 339 26 342 24 359 34 319 38 310 62843 60294 12 320 50 324 45 317 52 308 44 310 60294 57638 34 305 62 311 53 298 49 302 48 307 57638 54865 50 305 59 301 59 300 53 303 50 302 54865 52198 63 303 58 296 61 301 61 304 49 300 52198 49771 66 300 64 296 68 300 71 305 57 307 49771 47575 73 300 74 294 77 298 84 304 78 309 47575 45582 84 299 85 294 86 294 95 297 95 305 45582 43767 91 298 95 295 90 292 98 290 104 298 43767 42107 93 297 99 295 88 294 95 290 104 294 42107 40573 90 297 93 296 91 301 97 294 101 294 40573 39140 82 298 86 298 93 304 97 297 100 296 39140 37796 78 300 87 302 88 302 93 300 99 298 37796 36514 79 303 90 304 87 300 89 303 100 300 36514 35238 82 305 91 303 89 299 90 306 100 302 35238 33941 83 306 91 301 88 300 91 307 99 302 33941 32630 85 306 88 298 86 299 92 306 99 301 32630 31298 86 305 85 296 85 297 94 303 98 300 31298 29939 85 301 83 295 86 294 95 299 96 299 29939 28559 81 297 82 295 86 293 94 296 93 298 28559 27162 79 295 81 295 84 293 93 297 90 298 27162 25755 78 294 80 295 82 294 91 299 88 299 25755 24346 79 294 79 296 80 296 85 301 84 303 24346 22934 78 295 77 297 76 298 78 302 77 309 22934 21515 75 297 73 299 70 301 69 303 69 313 21515 20108 70 300 66 301 64 304 62 306 63 315 20108 18777 64 302 58 302 58 305 57 310 57 315 18777 17573 60 303 52 302 52 306 53 312 52 314 17573 16498 56 302 48 300 48 305 50 313 48 313 16498 15528 53 301 46 296 46 303 48 314 43 311 15528 14643 50 301 46 292 45 301 45 313 39 309 14643 13832 47 301 47 291 44 299 42 311 37 308 13832 13086 44 302 46 292 42 299 39 310 35 308 13086 12405 42 304 44 295 39 299 37 310 34 310 12405 11780 39 306 41 298 36 301 34 311 33 313 11780 11200 38 309 38 303 33*304 30 313 31 315 11200 10670 38 312 35 309 30*308 28 314 30 318 10670 10215 36 315 32*315 28 310 25 315 28 320 10215 9856 31 317 28*318 26 311 23 315 24 320 9856 9605 24 320 25 319 24 312 21 315 19 321 9605 9451 18*322 21 320 21 312 18*315 14*321 9451 9362 10*324 13 318 14 312 11*314 7*323 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography