DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/21 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.3 - - 73.0 - - 70.8 - - 65.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 456 - - 162 - - 29 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7717 - - 564 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 14663 - - 9347 - - 9347 - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top - - - 16517 - - 9364 - - 9364 - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3719 - - 11547 - - 7503 - - 436 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 660 - - 203 - - 123 - - 31 W* B/S - - - 552 - - 10 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 0 - - 4 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 012 - - 282 - - 358 - - 359 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 40 - - 1 - - -26 - - -29 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 928 - - -4819 - - -4700 - - -4314 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15590 - - 14183 - - 14065 - - 13679 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -822 - - -6740 - - -7457 - - -8255 ODpotential blCL - - - 17339 - - 16104 - - 16821 - - 17619 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 97 - - 84 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 570 - - 890 - - 460 - - 240 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.3 - - 73.0 - - 70.8 - - 65.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.2 - - 43.1 - - 41.5 - - 37.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.5 - - 70.8 - - 69.6 - - 67.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.1 - - 41.9 - - 40.3 - - 37.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 456 - - 162 - - 29 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7717 - - 564 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 88 - - 37 - - 37 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99303 27 096 33 099 31 105 23 108 99303 91831 29 108 24 105 21 097 25 072 91831 86053 32 110 13 118 20 090 23 064 86053 81251 27 098 21 123 21 084 21 076 81251 77120 21 088 23 109 17 096 21 092 77120 73473 16 078 18 095 12 098 19 088 73473 70184 8 108 12 075 12 086 17 084 70184 67183 14 133 4 084 9 068 15 078 67183 64420 14 099 10 127 6 130 5 084 64420 61759 6 056 10 112 9 163 4 257 61759 59006 1 186 2 106 6 171 4 323 59006 56166 5 321 7 248 2 312 4 336 56166 53468 10 315 9 267 10 304 6 305 53468 51057 15 312 8 301 10 300 8 289 51057 48909 18 301 10 311 13 309 9 296 48909 46963 17 314 12 315 13 309 10 300 46963 45173 18 327 13 338 10 335 11 298 45173 43510 19 336 16 328 9 345 8 303 43510 41950 18 343 20 319 10 339 6 316 41950 40480 15 340 18 315 15 334 8 323 40480 39098 17 323 17 317 16 315 10 334 39098 37779 16 316 14 320 14 300 12 325 37779 36467 13 322 13 315 11 290 11 316 36467 35132 15 332 14 330 9 294 9 284 35132 33782 16 328 11 336 8 319 7 266 33782 32408 15 322 7 341 5 345 2 251 32408 31008 10 326 8 348 5 342 2 172 31008 29586 5 355 4 054 2 326 3 165 29586 28147 4 016 3 065 2 328 5 162 28147 26696 3 040 2 061 1 303 6 156 26696 25238 4 104 3 104 3 138 8 139 25238 23769 6 135 8 119 8 125 11 115 23769 22282 8 130 11 106 12 118 12 121 22282 20802 9 120 10 105 12 125 13 139 20802 19396 9 112 9 108 10 140 12 150 19396 18121 9 107 7 115 9 163 7 168 18121 16977 7*093 5 132 8 181 4 206 16977 15942 5*067 2 190 7 193 3 252 15942 14995 4 045 3 223 6 207 3 287 14995 14126 3 038 3 249 5 228 3 312 14126 13328 2 027 4 264 4 265 2 339 13328 12600 1 345 4 271 5 309 2 011 12600 11933 1 261 4 277 7 330 3 043 11933 11316 2 238 5 281 9 343 4 050 11316 10752 3 229 5 283 11 350 6 048 10752 10268 4 223 5 284 12 355 6 037 10268 9888 4 220 5 285 12 356 7 023 9888 9622 4 217 5 286 11 357 7 009 9622 9458 4 216 5*285 10*358 7*007 9458 9364 4 213 4*282 7*358 5*359 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography