DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/21 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 40.4 - - 43.1 - - - - - 33.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 115 - - 140 - - - - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - - - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9345 - - 9345 - - - - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9362 - - 9362 - - - - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1858 - - 2775 - - - - - 325 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 177 - - 188 - - - - - 5 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 5 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 6 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 205 - - 239 - - - - - 309 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - 11 - - - - - -22 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1243 - - -2073 - - - - - -482 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10605 - - 11436 - - - - - 9844 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6822 - - -7174 - - - - - -7656 ODpotential blCL - - - 16184 - - 16536 - - - - - 17018 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 72 - - - - - 56 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 40.4 - - 43.1 - - - - - 33.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.8 - - 25.8 - - - - - 23.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 38.5 - - 41.1 - - - - - 38.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 25.9 - - 25.1 - - - - - 23.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 115 - - 140 - - - - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - - - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96155 44 273 27 274 30 292 96155 89125 26 300 18 265 30 298 89125 83674 21 280 14 280 19 297 83674 79116 14 280 18 302 14 309 79116 75171 16 293 21 293 15 313 75171 71705 16 291 18 291 12 310 71705 68593 21 285 17 277 11 280 68593 65751 19 274 23 256 19 268 65751 63139 25 287 19 267 25 262 63139 60611 42 292 32 283 23 267 60611 57947 52 291 43 287 38 271 57947 55152 56 294 49 288 50 272 55152 52463 63 297 60 287 58 271 52463 50032 72 294 72 284 62 271 50032 47842 77 287 76 282 65 272 47842 45846 71 284 75 282 69 271 45846 44008 63 287 68 285 68 273 44008 42305 58 288 62 286 64 277 42305 40722 56 282 58 281 61 279 40722 39247 52 270 55 272 60 278 39247 37877 49 264 52 263 59 276 37877 36585 49 267 49 260 59 272 36585 35311 52 272 46 262 58 266 35311 34024 55 274 45 268 56 266 34024 32728 56 273 46 272 54 271 32728 31412 56 272 49 272 52 272 31412 30068 55 273 51 269 49 270 30068 28702 54 274 52 268 47 269 28702 27318 53 275 52 269 46 270 27318 25922 52 274 51 271 46 272 25922 24519 50 275 49 272 46 274 24519 23104 49 276 47 273 44 275 23104 21674 47 279 46 273 43 277 21674 20251 45 281 45 274 42 279 20251 18899 42 282 44 275 41 280 18899 17675 40 281 42 275 40 280 17675 16580 38 276 40 275 39 280 16580 15589 35 270 38 275 38 279 15589 14686 31 263 37 274 37 279 14686 13859 28 257 34 273 34 278 13859 13103 26 254 29 272 31 276 13103 12413 24 252 24 271 28 272 12413 11782 21 251 17 269 26 267 11782 11200 16 247 12 262 23 260 11200 10669 10 238 10 255 21 255 10669 10213 6 226 9 250 17 252 10213 9855 6 217 9 246 13 255 9855 9605 5 211 8 243 10 263 9605 9451 5*208 7*242 7*271 9451 9362 4*205 6*239 5*309 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography