DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/31 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 72.0 - - 77.8 - - 81.7 - - - - - 69.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 133 - - 486 - - 517 - - - - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 564 - - 564 - - 12530 - - - - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit 9347 - - 9066 - - 18700 - - - - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top 9364 - - 9364 - - 21330 - - - - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 8728 - - 11536 - - 1614 - - - - - 880 Hgt.Variab. W* 184 - - 282 - - 811 - - - - - 23 W* B/S 11 - - 16 - - 14 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 10 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction 301 - - 238 - - 331 - - - - - 328 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 7 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 17 - - 71 - - - - - -32 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7908 - - -9879 - - 759 - - - - - -8719 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 17273 - - 19244 - - 20572 - - - - - 18084 sfcLCL ODpotential -11516 - - -11917 - - -1179 - - - - - -13175 ODpotential blCL 20880 - - 21281 - - 22509 - - - - - 22539 blCL maxRH 37 - - 50 - - 67 - - - - - 29 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 72.0 - - 77.8 - - 81.7 - - - - - 69.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.8 - - 25.6 - - 23.3 - - - - - 23.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 69.9 - - 73.8 - - 77.7 - - - - - 71.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.6 - - 25.1 - - 22.8 - - - - - 23.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 133 - - 486 - - 517 - - - - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 564 - - 564 - - 12530 - - - - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99567 48 093 34 102 43 085 40 092 99567 92068 37 091 37 097 36 096 33 082 92068 86293 36 097 35 093 35 102 31 085 86293 81501 40 101 32 097 31 101 32 078 81501 77364 35 094 28 106 27 101 26 078 77364 73719 20 096 25 098 22 094 25 087 73719 70428 16 099 22 096 22 097 22 085 70428 67407 17 081 13 095 20 093 17 092 67407 64621 13 091 15 082 12 112 20 076 64621 61954 10 073 11 057 15 120 12 067 61954 59208 14 070 6 149 4 038 13 046 59208 56401 11 007 5 052 4 227 9 325 56401 53754 19 275 14 314 10 285 9 295 53754 51374 14 269 16 285 17 280 11 302 51374 49224 15 290 16 277 21 276 26 301 49224 47259 13 307 16 286 21 273 30 282 47259 45440 19 324 18 293 22 292 24 281 45440 43740 20 321 20 292 23 297 22 296 43740 42145 24 309 20 303 23 303 26 298 42145 40643 25 306 25 320 26 317 27 297 40643 39232 25 305 30 323 29 314 29 307 39232 37889 29 304 34 317 34 307 34 314 37889 36555 33 299 34 305 36 302 38 317 36555 35206 31 293 36 295 33 301 38 319 35206 33847 27 292 34 289 32 306 37 325 33847 32466 27 302 31 293 30 306 36 329 32466 31057 28 305 28 293 28 298 34 330 31057 29626 27 301 26 291 28 295 32 331 29626 28180 27 299 27 295 27 296 27 328 28180 26726 25 301 28 300 26 300 22 319 26726 25267 23 307 26 306 25 308 18 310 25267 23800 21 306 21 310 21 316 15 306 23800 22315 18 295 18 311 12*333 12 313 22315 20836 15 291 18 317 9*356 8 320 20836 19429 12 294 12 326 9 357 6 328 19429 18152 9 293 9 330 9 353 8 343 18152 17005 7 283 9 330 10 345 11 349 17005 15966 6 283 7 327 11 337 13 351 15966 15016 6 293 6 320 11 332 15 352 15016 14145 6 304 5 313 12 328 16 350 14145 13345 6 311 5 303 12 324 17 347 13345 12614 6 312 4 294 13 321 18 343 12614 11944 6 312 4 284 13 318 18 339 11944 11324 6 310 4 273 13 316 19 335 11324 10758 6 310 4 264 13 314 19 333 10758 10272 5 308 4 255 12 312 19 331 10272 9891 5 304 4 250 12 311 18 329 9891 9623 4 303 4 248 12 310 15 329 9623 9459 4*304 3*244 11 309 12*327 9459 9364 3*301 3*238 8 307 7*328 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography