DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/15 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.1 - - 55.5 - - 59.5 - - 59.2 - - 51.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 197 - - 237 - - 40 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit 9346 - - 9346 - - 8911 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2579 - - 4927 - - 6640 - - 6979 - - 5622 Hgt.Variab. W* 42 - - 216 - - 227 - - 126 - - 16 W* B/S 10 - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 059 - - 180 - - 191 - - 186 - - 011 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 19 - - 21 - - 18 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4085 - - -2894 - - -4758 - - -5338 - - -3988 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13449 - - 12258 - - 14121 - - 14702 - - 13352 sfcLCL ODpotential -9595 - - -5705 - - -7619 - - -8763 - - -8967 ODpotential blCL 18958 - - 15068 - - 16982 - - 18126 - - 18330 blCL maxRH 50 - - 47 - - 54 - - 57 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 30 - - 30 - - 80 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.1 - - 55.5 - - 59.5 - - 59.2 - - 51.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.2 - - 34.3 - - 30.2 - - 27.5 - - 26.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.7 - - 53.3 - - 57.0 - - 58.2 - - 56.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.2 - - 33.2 - - 29.1 - - 26.5 - - 25.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 197 - - 237 - - 40 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98246 8 113 12 116 13 129 2 170 5 120 98246 90877 6 119 8 075 16 117 6 200 7 065 90877 85198 11 105 6 061 15 116 7 161 8 041 85198 80506 13 107 9 134 13 100 7 127 10 035 80506 76471 13 101 16 127 9 097 10 088 11 081 76471 72900 12 088 15 112 9 112 10 086 14 098 72900 69657 7 087 13 094 11 124 8 073 15 081 69657 66676 8 083 10 081 11 109 5 097 11 055 66676 63921 9 087 6 091 8 071 7 080 8 053 63921 61258 11 070 7 123 2 027 5 015 11 036 61258 58495 10 360 5 083 2 085 5 315 8 327 58495 55642 10 302 9 297 6 298 10 292 10 298 55642 52925 16 278 19 306 15 296 18 286 16 293 52925 50471 23 281 29 289 26 287 20 284 18 297 50471 48259 31 273 33 266 32 287 43 307 41 298 48259 46249 34 269 37 272 44 282 47 283 47 281 46249 44404 34 275 41 273 41 267 41 265 42 276 44404 42695 45 284 39 272 34 274 42 286 48 291 42695 41109 55 276 41 282 52 295 56 286 58 283 41109 39642 49 270 51 287 61 281 63 278 49 278 39642 38284 50 288 57 284 58 278 63 273 47 286 38284 36996 58 285 55 280 53 275 58 274 53 287 36996 35715 55 279 47 278 50 274 53 275 55 287 35715 34417 44 272 40 278 47 276 49 276 53 283 34417 33107 40 272 37 281 44 281 47 279 48 281 33107 31774 37 277 34 284 39 282 42 281 42 278 31774 30415 36 285 33 285 35 281 36 278 36 275 30415 29034 33 289 30 289 34 283 33 276 31 278 29034 27635 28 284 26 293 28 287 28 279 26 277 27635 26224 26 283 23 292 22 286 20 276 20 270 26224 24804 23 285 20 288 19 283 18 268 21 263 24804 23374 20 284 18 281 20 279 19 272 18 271 23374 21927 19 283 16 270 21 274 19 275 15 270 21927 20485 20 275 14 260 18 265 18 273 15 264 20485 19113 17 270 12 250 15 251 16 261 16 257 19113 17870 12 267 11 248 13 246 14 250 17 248 17870 16758 8 260 11 247 10 244 11 237 18 242 16758 15751 7 252 11 241 8 236 9 224 17 239 15751 14833 8 249 10 234 7 227 8 218 16 238 14833 13990 8 247 8 225 7 223 8 214 14 236 13990 13217 9 238 6 218 7 219 7 211 12 232 13217 12510 9 228 6 213 7 215 7 207 11 226 12510 11862 9 221 5 205 7 209 7 202 9 220 11862 11262 8 211 5 196 7 205 7 198 8 213 11262 10713 6 203 6 189 7 201 7 194 7 206 10713 10243 4 183 6 185 7 197 7 191 6 199 10243 9873 3 147 6 183 7 195 6 189 4 192 9873 9614 1 123 6 182 7 193 6 187 2 179 9614 9455 1*116 6*180 6*192 6*186 0*174 9455 9363 1*059 5*180 6*191 5*186 1*011 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography