DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/16 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 42.1 - - 46.3 - - 43.7 - - 33.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 429 - - 461 - - 128 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2840 - - 2889 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10747 - - 10805 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11640 - - 11689 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1010 - - 956 - - 2366 - - 799 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 465 - - 480 - - 182 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 30 - - 32 - - 13 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 351 - - 352 - - 355 - - 316 Direction Wind Shear - - - 24 - - 24 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -108 - - -115 - - -44 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2312 - - -2984 - - -5018 - - -2460 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13952 - - 14674 - - 14381 - - 11823 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9034 - - -8401 - - -12198 - - -12206 ODpotential blCL - - - 20674 - - 20090 - - 21560 - - 21568 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 91 - - 88 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 42.1 - - 46.3 - - 43.7 - - 33.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 13.9 - - 14.8 - - 13.7 - - 15.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 39.0 - - 43.0 - - 41.9 - - 34.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 13.4 - - 14.3 - - 13.4 - - 15.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 429 - - 461 - - 128 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2840 - - 2889 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 52 - - 63 - - 53 - - 49 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96636 16 243 22 255 25 272 29 286 96636 89494 5 264 2 228 7 260 16 289 89494 83974 8 359 4 061 2 205 10 286 83974 79392 10 026 8 003 6 021 11 033 79392 75461 12 086 8 042 9 357 12 009 75461 71984 16 077 12 040 8 064 6 015 71984 68810 15 064 11 032 19 026 17 006 68810 65926 14 056 19 352 12 360 9 336 65926 63235 11 016 8 010 1 334 13 037 63235 60551 10 045 17 037 27 011 35 021 60551 57723 44 002 45 002 55 357 59 002 57723 54817 65 356 67 358 72 358 70 360 54817 52088 74 352 79 357 85 356 79 002 52088 49664 78 350 82 352 90 350 93 358 49664 47514 76 350 81 350 90 349 97 353 47514 45585 76 355 89 356 86 358 84 355 45585 43829 96 005 105 002 96 010 83 012 43829 42209 126 008 119 007 110 013 100 020 42209 40694 135 006 126 010 113 013 106 018 40694 39264 125 002 130 011 114 011 103 011 39264 37920 119 357 130 009 116 010 99 004 37920 36639 109 351 129 007 116 010 96 001 36639 35365 105 346 128 005 113 011 92 002 35365 34072 106 344 126 004 107 011 84 007 34072 32765 107 345 124 005 100 010 74 010 32765 31437 107 348 118 007 94 010 67 008 31437 30083 109 353 115 010 88 012 61 004 30083 28708 108 358 110 012 83 015 59 360 28708 27318 98 359 92 009 74 017 58 357 27318 25919 80 350 73 002 64 016 58 357 25919 24513 73 337 62 351 54 009 55 000 24513 23098 76 331 58 343 47 357 50 003 23098 21665 78 331 56 344 49 346 45 004 21665 20237 75 335 54 350 51 343 43 002 20237 18880 72 340 52 356 51 346 44 000 18880 17651 68 344 52 359 50 351 46 359 17651 16551 64 347 52 359 49 357 48 360 16551 15558 60 349 52 358 50 001 48 000 15558 14655 56 351 52 357 51 004 49 001 14655 13829 53 353 51 357 52 004 49 002 13829 13075 49 354 49 356 51 004 49 004 13075 12387 46 354 46 354 49 002 48 005 12387 11760 42*354 42*353 47 001 46 006 11760 11181 38*353 39*353 41 359 43 006 11181 10654 35 352 37 352 38 358 37 006 10654 10204 32 351 34 352 35 357 29 005 10204 9850 29 351 31 352 31 356 20 001 9850 9602 26 350 28 351 27 356 12 354 9602 9450 22 350 24 351 23*356 9*346 9450 9362 14 349 15 350 13*355 3*316 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography