DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/05 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0703z - - 1003z - - 1556z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.9 - - 45.1 - - 48.8 - - 45.2 - - 37.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 168 - - 573 - - 596 - - 222 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 4387 - - 7248 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 12049 - - 14393 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 13187 - - 16048 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3748 - - 1969 - - 2529 - - 9439 - - 3297 Hgt.Variab. W* 199 - - 593 - - 711 - - 218 - - 68 W* B/S 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 15 - - 18 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 299 - - 265 - - 253 - - 259 - - 239 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -19 - - -31 - - -18 - - 7 - - 12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5299 - - -1919 - - -305 - - -3990 - - -885 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14662 - - 15107 - - 16354 - - 13353 - - 10248 sfcLCL ODpotential -8603 - - -5141 - - -2277 - - -5288 - - -3524 ODpotential blCL 17965 - - 18328 - - 18325 - - 14650 - - 12886 blCL maxRH 93 - - 88 - - 79 - - 90 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 180 - - 100 CAPE Temp@2m 40.9 - - 45.1 - - 48.8 - - 45.2 - - 37.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 9.5 - - 11.4 - - 9.4 - - 19.2 - - 24.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.7 - - 41.1 - - 44.8 - - 42.9 - - 36.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 8.8 - - 10.9 - - 8.9 - - 19.0 - - 24.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 168 - - 573 - - 596 - - 222 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 4387 - - 7248 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 73 - - 54 - - 16 - - 62 - - 22 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97913 16 266 14 284 9 278 11 301 12 311 97913 90437 10 259 17 252 11 257 10 270 16 259 90437 84693 9 288 9 253 14 284 10 309 11 234 84693 79921 11 276 10 260 14 258 11 297 7 300 79921 75827 8 310 12 257 13 240 16 283 13 308 75827 72248 14 333 5 305 10 250 16 290 14 303 72248 69024 21 300 16 325 13 275 19 262 16 264 69024 66043 20 295 19 294 14 290 20 268 18 266 66043 63259 33 285 32 284 26 292 32 284 27 278 63259 60552 35 282 43 275 39 277 45 279 38 273 60552 57715 43 272 46 261 48 263 56 267 47 267 57715 54765 47 267 47 265 49 261 57 259 52 267 54765 51947 52 263 56 263 49 265 55 262 54 268 51947 49412 57 259 58 258 54 266 56 261 53 264 49412 47147 63 254 61 253 63 251 59 254 56 256 47147 45102 66 250 62 251 61 241 61 249 54 251 45102 43232 72 249 70 250 65 246 59 247 53 251 43232 41502 85 249 82 246 78 246 59 249 56 250 41502 39894 96 248 92 244 81 246 64 250 59 249 39894 38397 102 248 98 244 92 247 71 250 61 247 38397 37009 104 248 106 245 103 246 76 248 60 246 37009 35702 104 248 112 245 109 246 77 248 54 247 35702 34414 104 247 113 244 109 246 78 250 48 250 34414 33120 105 246 110 243 104 247 76 251 38 254 33120 31827 107 245 105 244 95 248 67 252 24 264 31827 30527 105 245 96 246 85 249 54 253 13 280 30527 29214 97 246 81 249 72 250 46 252 6 345 29214 27894 81 250 61 251 58 251 42 244 8 016 27894 26565 55 255 41 245 42 255 34 229 5 349 26565 25230 38 255 35 235 32 254 31 226 5 256 25230 23891 36 248 37 234 31 248 28 231 10 228 23891 22544 36 243 34 236 32 248 24 222 14 229 22544 21184 32 245 26 248 28 252 23 229 15 240 21184 19831 26 255 21 262 23 252 21 244 14 254 19831 18548 21 270 17 267 22 251 20 256 14 280 18548 17387 18 282 14 260 20 250 18 266 20 294 17387 16350 16 280 11 251 18*251 18 271 24 297 16350 15410 15 265 11 238 18*251 18 273 24 297 15410 14548 15 246 12 243 18 252 19 274 24 296 14548 13756 15 233 11*251 18 253 19 274 23 293 13756 13026 16 231 13*260 18 253 19 273 21 287 13026 12357 15 237 14 264 18 254 18 271 19 278 12357 11743 14 247 15 266 19 254 18 269 18 269 11743 11173 13 264 16 267 18 254 18 267 16 259 11173 10652 12 282 16 267 18 254 17 265 14 250 10652 10203 11 296 16 267 18 254 17 264 13 245 10203 9850 11 300 16 266 17 253 16 263 11 242 9850 9603 10 301 15 265 16 253 15 262 10 240 9603 9450 9*301 14 264 15 252 14*261 9*239 9450 9362 7*299 11 263 12 250 10*259 6*239 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography