DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/12 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 62.7 - - 72.2 - - 76.1 - - 75.5 - - 65.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 195 - - 533 - - 553 - - 233 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 564 - - 9114 - - 12154 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit 9347 - - 15881 - - 18422 - - 9347 - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top 9364 - - 17914 - - 20954 - - 9364 - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2524 - - 2808 - - 2100 - - 12647 - - 4100 Hgt.Variab. W* 208 - - 737 - - 821 - - 221 - - 15 W* B/S 6 - - 18 - - 14 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 7 - - 10 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 125 - - 282 - - 314 - - 308 - - 336 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 13 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 9 - - 44 - - -19 - - -21 - - -27 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3111 - - 1235 - - 862 - - -10941 - - -9735 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12475 - - 16680 - - 20093 - - 20306 - - 19100 sfcLCL ODpotential -6398 - - -1415 - - -1381 - - -13180 - - -14280 ODpotential blCL 15762 - - 19329 - - 22335 - - 22544 - - 23644 blCL maxRH 56 - - 46 - - 50 - - 56 - - 37 maxRH CAPE 530 - - 380 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 62.7 - - 72.2 - - 76.1 - - 75.5 - - 65.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.3 - - 31.2 - - 19.9 - - 18.5 - - 15.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.3 - - 68.1 - - 72.1 - - 73.0 - - 67.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.2 - - 30.8 - - 19.4 - - 18.1 - - 14.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 195 - - 533 - - 553 - - 233 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 564 - - 9114 - - 12154 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98968 42 103 33 112 32 103 37 088 40 106 98968 91465 35 088 33 103 28 106 34 107 29 087 91465 85710 26 087 33 101 27 107 23 103 23 092 85710 80968 23 091 27 093 28 108 23 105 23 095 80968 76880 19 096 23 090 27 110 22 093 25 087 76880 73261 24 100 17 093 22 102 22 095 25 079 73261 69997 20 101 13 090 18 087 22 101 16 081 69997 67011 18 086 14 115 13 079 15 089 14 095 67011 64248 8 074 10 067 12 097 14 103 14 093 64248 61569 7 169 5 005 9 047 17 062 17 086 61569 58786 5 115 4 040 8 325 15 338 14 358 58786 55919 12 359 5 004 10 284 17 298 17 312 55919 53184 25 312 23 324 23 318 21 312 20 315 53184 50726 36 298 33 308 31 316 24 323 24 324 50726 48529 37 299 37 304 36 315 28 330 24 328 48529 46535 43 312 39 308 38 316 31 334 24 344 46535 44712 49 315 41 316 35 315 33 331 29 352 44712 43036 50 318 39 319 29 319 30 329 28 353 43036 41480 45 320 34 323 25 328 26 335 21 011 41480 40024 33 322 30 327 25 339 29 344 24 031 40024 38662 26 327 29 333 26 346 32 348 28 033 38662 37366 24 326 29 336 24 355 30 350 29 032 37366 36078 24 328 27 340 23 011 27 353 27 031 36078 34771 23 333 25 343 23 019 25 360 25 025 34771 33450 20 337 22 344 22 018 24 003 25 019 33450 32107 19 344 19 350 20 018 24 002 23 019 32107 30735 20 354 17 358 19 018 21 359 21 016 30735 29340 20 000 15 008 16 014 20 004 20 012 29340 27927 18 002 14 019 12 009 16 005 20 009 27927 26500 16 006 14 022 10 013 15 355 19 007 26500 25064 15 014 12 018 11 013 14 348 16 009 25064 23615 16 015 10 011 10 002 11 344 13 003 23615 22148 15 355 11 000 9*350 10 345 12 352 22148 20685 19 316 12 337 9*346 11 342 10 353 20685 19297 23 303 14 329 9 342 12 338 10 351 19297 18038 23 304 13*326 9 338 14 334 11 351 18038 16909 20 309 12*324 10 330 14 330 12 349 16909 15885 17 312 11 319 10 323 16 325 13 348 15885 14949 14 314 9 307 11 315 16 322 14 347 14949 14089 12 316 8 294 12 309 17 320 15 346 14089 13300 9 320 8 279 12 305 17 317 15 344 13300 12578 4 338 8 270 13 302 17 316 16 343 12578 11917 2 047 7 259 13 299 17 315 16 342 11917 11304 4 095 8 253 13 296 17 313 17 340 11304 10744 6 113 8 247 13 293 17 312 17 338 10744 10263 7 119 8 241 13 291 16 311 16 337 10263 9886 8 122 8 237 13 290 16 310 15 337 9886 9620 7 123 7 235 12 289 15 310 13 337 9620 9458 7*123 7 233 12 288 14*309 10*337 9458 9364 6*125 6 230 9 286 10*308 5*336 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography