DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/08 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 24.0 - - 31.6 - - 32.4 - - 26.3 - - 24.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -59 - - 9 - - -3 - - -49 - - -88 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 562 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit 9344 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9344 - - 9344 Hcrit BL Top 9361 - - 9362 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 125 - - 1425 - - 1606 - - 246 - - 95 Hgt.Variab. W* 35 - - 82 - - 50 - - 41 - - 44 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 4 - - 4 - - 7 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 346 - - 356 - - 347 - - 354 - - 347 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -41 - - -14 - - -13 - - -36 - - -48 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -304 - - -752 - - -683 - - -833 - - -1135 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9665 - - 10114 - - 10044 - - 10194 - - 10496 sfcLCL ODpotential -6800 - - -5102 - - -5364 - - -8853 - - -10745 ODpotential blCL 16161 - - 14464 - - 14725 - - 18214 - - 20106 blCL maxRH 55 - - 57 - - 54 - - 45 - - 53 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 24.0 - - 31.6 - - 32.4 - - 26.3 - - 24.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 15.0 - - 20.5 - - 21.5 - - 15.1 - - 11.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 26.8 - - 30.7 - - 32.1 - - 28.8 - - 27.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 14.5 - - 19.4 - - 20.4 - - 14.0 - - 10.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -59 - - 9 - - -3 - - -49 - - -88 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 562 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96220 9 343 13 327 3 065 7 121 12 348 96220 89064 15 033 5 059 10 027 20 040 12 025 89064 83546 17 023 12 064 14 037 15 008 17 028 83546 78956 6 347 18 054 13 041 11 030 16 019 78956 74976 6 299 11 019 5 051 23 357 17 051 74976 71437 16 331 20 339 18 014 15 348 12 043 71437 68221 21 330 26 294 28 320 21 350 17 015 68221 65266 25 314 25 292 32 318 18 325 24 327 65266 62544 30 307 33 300 38 306 35 307 38 318 62544 59953 41 296 36 300 42 298 44 295 48 312 59953 57274 47 293 37 295 43 297 43 298 47 300 57274 54479 48 293 39 290 41 300 44 293 40 295 54479 51785 52 295 45 295 48 297 39 286 41 289 51785 49340 58 294 54 297 52 291 36 295 43 289 49340 47145 59 296 58 293 48 291 46 309 39 299 47145 45173 59 301 54 296 47 298 52 315 47 325 45173 43396 59 305 56 303 51 305 57 319 51 330 43396 41772 58 307 57 301 48 317 61 319 45 347 41772 40264 55 309 49 299 48 329 50 324 65 014 40264 38856 52 314 40 314 51 335 47 351 80 020 38856 37539 49 316 40 328 50 336 51 005 83 020 37539 36284 46 318 42 332 41 341 51 014 78 017 36284 35033 46 317 40 331 36 353 54 020 68 014 35033 33766 47 312 35 330 37 004 54 020 56 012 33766 32488 47 304 28 337 41 009 51 021 47 012 32488 31189 46 298 25 351 45 010 43 021 40 009 31189 29862 47 297 25 000 44 010 33 015 37 006 29862 28512 49 297 27 004 38 014 29 008 37 002 28512 27142 50 299 30 003 32 019 28 359 35 357 27142 25758 48 301 30 001 33 014 28 350 32 349 25758 24365 46 304 27 357 40 004 30 345 32 338 24365 22963 43 307 26 350 41 358 33 344 34 329 22963 21544 41 308 27 340 37 355 34 344 35 328 21544 20133 38 310 30 331 30 351 32 345 35 330 20133 18791 35 313 32 328 25 346 28 345 34 333 18791 17576 33 316 32 327 23 341 25 343 33 335 17576 16489 31 319 31 328 22 338 24 342 31 335 16489 15508 31 322 30 329 22 337 23 341 31 337 15508 14613 30 325 29 330 22 338 24 342 31 339 14613 13795 30 328 28 332 22 339 24 343 32 342 13795 13046 30 331 26 335 22 342 25 344 32 345 13046 12365 30 334 25 341 21 345 26 347 33 348 12365 11743 29 337 23 347 20 348 26 350 32 349 11743 11167 29 340 21 351 19 349 26 354 31 351 11167 10644 27 344 19 354 16 348 25 357 29 353 10644 10196 25 347 16 355 13 347 23 359 27 355 10196 9845 22 349 12 355 11 347 20 359 24 355 9845 9598 18 349 10 355 9 348 16 357 20 353 9598 9448 14*349 8*356 7*349 12*356 16*351 9448 9361 7*346 4*356 4*347 7*354 9*347 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography