DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/08 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.9 - - 76.8 - - 76.0 - - 66.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 249 - - 465 - - 226 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 564 - - 10501 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8901 - - 16959 - - 9347 - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9364 - - 19301 - - 9364 - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 11462 - - 3816 - - 13448 - - 3880 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 226 - - 737 - - 219 - - 18 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 11 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 12 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 294 - - 298 - - 283 - - 308 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -10 - - -17 - - -9 - - -21 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6614 - - 1555 - - -9532 - - -6858 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15979 - - 17747 - - 18897 - - 16222 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8217 - - -217 - - -11127 - - -10765 ODpotential blCL - - - 17581 - - 19518 - - 20491 - - 20129 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 87 - - 48 - - 35 maxRH CAPE - - - 320 - - 400 - - 170 - - 110 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.9 - - 76.8 - - 76.0 - - 66.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.3 - - 31.2 - - 25.5 - - 28.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.2 - - 73.1 - - 73.6 - - 68.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.1 - - 30.8 - - 25.3 - - 27.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 249 - - 465 - - 226 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 564 - - 10501 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 50 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99424 26 110 25 093 32 086 25 102 99424 91828 33 109 30 096 32 103 20 089 91828 85999 36 110 32 095 26 106 22 091 85999 81192 29 096 23 102 22 088 26 085 81192 77059 23 079 22 115 23 100 24 084 77059 73425 20 092 24 104 21 100 24 097 73425 70154 23 102 20 094 19 089 22 096 70154 67165 18 097 17 104 20 082 19 094 67165 64418 12 111 11 112 14 074 18 099 64418 61782 9 114 3 090 2 020 7 103 61782 59064 11 117 12 197 11 238 8 239 59064 56268 8 317 5 262 7 274 10 258 56268 53615 15 279 12 279 19 285 23 281 53615 51232 21 285 21 282 25 276 30 285 51232 49074 26 285 26 277 26 282 35 285 49074 47093 27 282 28 276 27 285 32 281 47093 45255 30 284 32 284 27 290 29 282 45255 43538 36 288 36 288 29 295 29 289 43538 41927 36 291 37 293 32 297 33 299 41927 40412 35 299 37 298 36 299 39 303 40412 38991 34 301 37 298 36 296 41 298 38991 37636 34 291 34 293 35 291 41 295 37636 36287 32 283 33 286 35 287 38 293 36287 34921 30 285 31 288 34 289 36 290 34921 33549 24 278 26 287 30 289 30 289 33549 32170 18 264 24 277 27 277 27 283 32170 30783 17 253 25 276 28 271 26 279 30783 29384 16 248 22 276 22 278 23 285 29384 27968 15 249 19 281 18 289 21 288 27968 26539 15 261 18 294 18 294 19 285 26539 25102 17 284 17 308 16 289 16 278 25102 23654 18 299 14 321 12 281 15 270 23654 22188 19 301 10 343 7 308 14 272 22188 20726 15 304 9 345 7 327 9 269 20726 19335 14 308 9*338 8 326 5 267 19335 18071 14 310 9*330 8 324 4 283 18071 16936 14 311 10 312 9 321 5 301 16936 15907 13 311 11 308 10 311 7 308 15907 14967 11 310 11 303 11 304 10 309 14967 14104 11 310 12 299 12 301 12 307 14104 13312 11 309 13 295 13 297 14 305 13312 12588 10 308 13 293 13 294 15 302 12588 11925 10 306 13 291 14 291 16 300 11925 11309 10 304 13 289 14 290 17 298 11309 10748 10 302 13 288 14 288 17 297 10748 10266 10 300 13 286 14 287 16 296 10266 9887 9 297 13 285 13 286 15 296 9887 9621 9 296 12 285 13 285 13 298 9621 9458 8*295 12 284 12*284 10*300 9458 9364 7*294 9 282 9*283 5*308 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography