DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/12 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 45.7 - - 49.0 - - 46.4 - - 37.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 360 - - 403 - - 92 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3609 - - 4524 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11296 - - 12052 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12409 - - 13324 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1278 - - 1365 - - 4762 - - 940 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 476 - - 533 - - 163 - - 33 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 27 - - 28 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 326 - - 322 - - 315 - - 324 Direction Wind Shear - - - 20 - - 19 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -74 - - -78 - - -30 - - -25 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2120 - - -1670 - - -5119 - - -2868 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14530 - - 14995 - - 14481 - - 12231 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8119 - - -7086 - - -10409 - - -10211 ODpotential blCL - - - 20528 - - 20410 - - 19771 - - 19573 blCL maxRH - - - 48 - - 61 - - 68 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 45.7 - - 49.0 - - 46.4 - - 37.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 15.0 - - 16.1 - - 15.9 - - 17.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.7 - - 45.8 - - 44.8 - - 38.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 14.2 - - 15.4 - - 15.3 - - 16.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 360 - - 403 - - 92 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3609 - - 4524 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96333 14 298 6 302 10 277 17 297 96333 89180 11 243 7 287 8 328 10 350 89180 83662 8 246 8 244 6 249 4 328 83662 79066 7 234 11 256 10 261 5 327 79066 75098 10 299 9 282 3 256 4 323 75098 71573 19 288 18 301 18 294 12 336 71573 68393 25 293 23 298 27 290 26 306 68393 65523 25 298 19 298 17 295 22 318 65523 62874 29 305 27 312 26 323 26 323 62874 60278 37 305 38 308 39 313 38 314 60278 57552 47 314 46 307 47 309 47 302 57552 54716 59 316 55 312 53 304 56 302 54716 52009 61 312 63 314 59 310 60 307 52009 49576 63 308 66 312 67 315 64 315 49576 47401 61 309 60 308 63 315 63 315 47401 45433 49 313 53 308 50 314 54 309 45433 43642 46 319 52 317 45 315 45 307 43642 42005 55 322 59 323 48 316 40 308 42005 40497 58 316 62 320 50 315 38 312 40497 39091 50 306 53 309 51 312 36 314 39091 37773 48 298 46 300 49 307 35 311 37773 36517 43 298 47 302 46 303 35 306 36517 35263 38 306 43 300 45 302 36 304 35263 33989 34 306 40 302 43 302 38 303 33989 32700 29 299 40 306 43 304 39 303 32700 31388 28 293 40 309 43 305 38 304 31388 30046 29 291 40 309 43 306 37 305 30046 28681 30 293 39 309 43 308 37 307 28681 27297 32 298 39 310 43 310 38 309 27297 25900 33 304 40 312 43 313 40 312 25900 24494 34 309 40 316 43 317 41 316 24494 23077 34 313 41 321 43 322 42 319 23077 21645 36 315 41 326 43 327 41 322 21645 20219 37 316 41 330 43 330 41 324 20219 18866 39 317 41 332 43 332 41 323 18866 17643 41 319 42 332 43 331 41 322 17643 16549 42 320 42 330 42 330 41 322 16549 15563 42 323 42 328 40 329 40 321 15563 14664 41 325 39 327 38 328 40 321 14664 13843 38 328 35*326 33 326 38 320 13843 13091 35*329 32*324 29 323 37 320 13091 12405 32*329 31 323 28 321 35 321 12405 11778 30 328 31 322 27 321 33 322 11778 11196 29 327 30 322 27 320 31 324 11196 10666 27 326 29 321 26 319 29 325 10666 10212 26 325 27 320 25 319 27 326 10212 9854 24 324 26 320 23 318 23 326 9854 9604 22 323 23 319 21 318 17 326 9604 9451 19 322 21 318 18*317 12*325 9451 9362 12 320 13 317 11*315 6*324 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography