DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/18 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 40.6 - - 45.0 - - - - - 38.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 614 - - 609 - - - - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5795 - - 5358 - - - - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13211 - - 12853 - - - - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14595 - - 14158 - - - - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1086 - - 1287 - - - - - 1950 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 666 - - 647 - - - - - 17 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 27 - - 21 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 249 - - 261 - - - - - 330 Direction Wind Shear - - - 17 - - 11 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -22 - - -33 - - - - - -24 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 894 - - -918 - - - - - -3952 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13701 - - 15077 - - - - - 13314 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9413 - - -9308 - - - - - -13153 ODpotential blCL - - - 24008 - - 23466 - - - - - 22515 blCL maxRH - - - 59 - - 47 - - - - - 56 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 40.6 - - 45.0 - - - - - 38.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 13.2 - - 11.4 - - - - - 12.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 37.0 - - 41.1 - - - - - 38.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 12.8 - - 10.9 - - - - - 12.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 614 - - 609 - - - - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5795 - - 5358 - - - - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98012 3 115 5 280 1 190 98012 90615 10 204 5 205 10 006 90615 84934 12 158 3 165 12 336 84934 80233 9 126 7 215 4 267 80233 76177 3 106 6 181 3 176 76177 72580 2 088 5 220 5 115 72580 69311 6 090 6 172 4 199 69311 66307 2 179 2 171 6 140 66307 63512 8 205 15 181 2 142 63512 60790 13 209 10 205 8 223 60790 57947 30 235 20 228 14 251 57947 55014 33 223 34 224 30 245 55014 52242 25 217 34 218 37 238 52242 49772 25 269 27 237 37 230 49772 47592 46 262 38 249 39 232 47592 45639 53 260 41 263 46 238 45639 43855 48 277 51 267 55 237 43855 42200 60 282 59 268 61 236 42200 40650 64 283 64 273 66 237 40650 39193 66 288 67 275 68 243 39193 37828 70 294 67 275 69 250 37828 36529 74 295 65 273 69 252 36529 35239 74 294 64 270 69 247 35239 33935 75 291 64 267 69 244 33935 32620 77 290 64 265 69 245 32620 31285 79 289 66 264 69 248 31285 29922 79 287 68 265 68 250 29922 28540 78 283 68 267 66 252 28540 27143 77 280 68 269 65 252 27143 25737 77 277 66 268 63 251 25737 24326 79 273 63 262 62 249 24326 22906 81 269 62 258 60 249 22906 21474 83 264 63 259 57 251 21474 20058 81 261 62 262 53 253 20058 18723 71 260 58 263 50 251 18723 17521 56 258 52 259 47 245 17521 16451 45 253 44 254 44 240 16451 15485 37*249 34 252 41 236 15485 14605 31*247 26*253 36 236 14605 13797 29 247 23*257 31 240 13797 13056 29 248 22 259 26 246 13056 12380 28 249 22 261 21 256 12380 11759 28 250 21 262 16 268 11759 11184 27 251 21 262 13 285 11184 10658 27 251 21 262 13 302 10658 10207 26 251 20 263 12 312 10207 9852 25 251 19 262 12 320 9852 9603 23 251 18 262 11 325 9603 9450 21 250 17 261 9*329 9450 9362 15 248 12 259 5*330 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography