DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/21 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 21.4 - - 26.1 - - 26.6 - - 20.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 80 - - 69 - - 5 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9344 - - 9344 - - 9344 - - 9344 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1705 - - 2515 - - 1728 - - 755 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 159 - - 151 - - 66 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 34 - - 10 - - 100 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 109 - - 230 - - 096 - - 062 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 11 - - 2 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2440 - - -1561 - - -642 - - -3332 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11802 - - 10923 - - 10003 - - 12693 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7394 - - -5106 - - -4370 - - -12873 ODpotential blCL - - - 16755 - - 14467 - - 13731 - - 22234 blCL maxRH - - - 48 - - 58 - - 62 - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 21.4 - - 26.1 - - 26.6 - - 20.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 3.3 - - 11.6 - - 16.1 - - -1.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 19.9 - - 24.5 - - 25.9 - - 25.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 2.3 - - 10.5 - - 15.1 - - -2.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 80 - - 69 - - 5 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96690 26 109 24 085 28 097 21 106 96690 89538 24 103 14 111 19 080 19 083 89538 84002 17 111 15 122 13 098 19 077 84002 79384 13 126 7 132 7 117 11 083 79384 75389 7 102 12 157 9 210 2 333 75389 71860 3 196 4 113 4 150 1 207 71860 68655 3 169 6 267 5 304 1 005 68655 65698 14 246 16 259 17 290 12 300 65698 62960 17 235 20 254 21 269 19 276 62960 60314 12 283 21 262 23 269 21 271 60314 57550 31 296 29 284 29 280 27 285 57550 54672 43 289 39 287 42 284 43 290 54672 51922 53 287 55 286 53 289 53 287 51922 49446 62 284 62 282 65 290 61 291 49446 47235 62 282 62 285 70 287 72 291 47235 45243 57 284 70 292 75 291 74 290 45243 43437 67 294 79 291 82 295 77 292 43437 41783 77 297 86 293 85 295 78 294 41783 40251 90 302 95 299 87 300 79 295 40251 38818 109 299 105 306 92 298 82 292 38818 37476 111 298 108 303 95 294 86 288 37476 36197 109 308 109 300 98 292 87 289 36197 34927 120 317 108 301 96 295 84 294 34927 33642 124 317 102 304 94 300 82 297 33642 32346 125 317 94 305 91 303 79 298 32346 31032 121 323 89 305 85 306 76 299 31032 29692 99 323 84 305 77 306 72 300 29692 28332 72 313 79 303 71 303 66 300 28332 26954 56 301 74 303 68 301 62 296 26954 25564 49 296 67 306 66 300 61 293 25564 24169 46 294 61 308 64 303 59 295 24169 22770 44 295 54 306 59 306 53 302 22770 21361 40 298 46 301 51 309 45 308 21361 19961 33 301 39 294 43 308 38 310 19961 18635 28 304 35 293 36 303 33 310 18635 17438 25 309 31 296 31 297 28 308 17438 16370 22 315 26 302 27 294 24 305 16370 15407 20 322 21 305 22 295 19 301 15407 14530 19 328 16 308 18 298 15 298 14530 13728 18 333 12 314 14 303 12 295 13728 12994 17 336 10 330 10 308 8 290 12994 12324 15 338 8 347 7 318 6 283 12324 11712 13 340 7 353 5 333 4 268 11712 11145 11 344 4 339 4 352 2 244 11145 10629 7 347 3 298 4 003 2 201 10629 10186 3 358 3 264 2 010 2 143 10186 9839 1 023 3 247 1 019 3 118 9839 9596 1 054 3 238 0 040 3 097 9596 9447 1*098 3*233 0*061 3*087 9447 9361 1*109 3*230 0*096 2*062 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography