DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/07 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.8 - - 46.9 - - 48.5 - - 41.0 - - 35.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -28 - - 195 - - 203 - - -16 - - -51 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9346 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 183 - - 3265 - - 4201 - - 2109 - - 261 Hgt.Variab. W* 41 - - 210 - - 213 - - 20 - - 26 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 7 - - 10 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 341 - - 308 - - 300 - - 308 - - 343 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -35 - - -13 - - -16 - - -14 - - -35 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7397 - - -7836 - - -6985 - - -4742 - - -2744 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 16760 - - 17199 - - 16348 - - 14104 - - 12107 sfcLCL ODpotential -16294 - - -13770 - - -12390 - - -12023 - - -11311 ODpotential blCL 25656 - - 23132 - - 21752 - - 21385 - - 20673 blCL maxRH 81 - - 57 - - 64 - - 52 - - 58 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.8 - - 46.9 - - 48.5 - - 41.0 - - 35.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -3.5 - - 4.7 - - 9.8 - - 12.4 - - 15.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 37.4 - - 44.7 - - 46.2 - - 41.6 - - 37.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -4.4 - - 3.7 - - 8.9 - - 12.0 - - 14.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -28 - - 195 - - 203 - - -16 - - -51 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 26 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96627 6 343 4 318 11 243 8 331 12 277 96627 89406 4 005 6 314 6 295 7 320 5 321 89406 83842 5 291 9 288 11 310 10 305 12 330 83842 79222 6 255 9 276 15 309 12 333 19 310 79222 75247 4 287 11 295 14 313 12 309 10 307 75247 71718 14 303 10 325 13 322 21 310 18 330 71718 68519 18 293 18 299 20 298 26 313 20 313 68519 65601 14 305 21 298 22 300 21 309 24 315 65601 62917 22 310 24 296 28 291 29 288 31 311 62917 60322 35 307 29 296 28 289 34 278 36 301 60322 57613 44 309 36 301 33 295 38 293 42 302 57613 54795 53 299 49 298 46 295 45 298 50 303 54795 52109 54 294 56 292 51 297 55 301 59 302 52109 49696 57 295 59 297 61 301 68 300 63 298 49696 47533 65 297 70 300 73 296 74 299 65 295 47533 45563 73 298 79 296 80 294 75 300 66 295 45563 43751 78 301 81 297 82 296 74 302 67 299 43751 42076 81 301 80 296 79 296 71 301 68 306 42076 40522 78 301 77 295 71 294 68 298 71 311 40522 39081 75 304 75 294 63 300 66 300 73 312 39081 37745 72 307 74 293 64 309 69 306 72 311 37745 36480 72 306 73 293 70 312 75 312 72 310 36480 35221 73 305 70 294 74 310 77 313 70 310 35221 33943 72 303 69 297 75 305 74 311 69 310 33943 32653 70 301 69 298 73 300 71 307 68 310 32653 31341 69 299 69 296 72 296 68 305 66 310 31341 30000 68 297 69 294 70 295 65 305 65 311 30000 28636 65 297 68 295 65 301 61 304 62 311 28636 27254 62 296 64 296 60 307 56 303 56 310 27254 25860 58 294 59 295 59 309 53 304 52 312 25860 24462 55 294 54 294 57 307 50 309 48 317 24462 23054 51 294 49 293 53 304 49 316 45 317 23054 21631 48 296 44 295 50 302 49 321 42 313 21631 20213 44 298 40 298 46 300 46 319 43 310 20213 18864 40 300 37 298 42 299 44 313 44 311 18864 17644 37 301 34 298 39 300 42 306 44 314 17644 16552 35 303 32 298 36 301 41 303 44 316 16552 15567 32 306 30 299 33 303 39 303 42 317 15567 14669 30 309 28 301 29 306 36 306 41 317 14669 13848 28 312 26 304 26 311 32 311 40 318 13848 13094 27 314 23 309 21 314 28 318 38 320 13094 12407 26 315 21 316 19 312 24 325 36 323 12407 11779 24 315 18 319 19 311 22 327 35 327 11779 11196 23 316 16 318 18 310 20 325 33 330 11196 10665 21 320 15 317 18 308 19 322 31 333 10665 10211 19 327 14 316 17 307 18 319 28 336 10211 9853 16 335 13 315 17 305 16 316 25 339 9853 9604 14 340 11 313 15 303 13 313 20 341 9604 9450 11*343 10 311 14*302 11*312 15*342 9450 9362 6*341 7*308 10*300 6*308 7*343 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography