DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/01 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 41.2 - - 45.8 - - 40.8 - - 34.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 79 - - 171 - - -10 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9345 - - 9346 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1867 - - 3414 - - 1466 - - 619 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 159 - - 202 - - 31 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 27 - - 7 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 260 - - 265 - - 312 - - 025 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 5 - - -14 - - -19 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4926 - - -5813 - - -5441 - - -6171 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14289 - - 15176 - - 14803 - - 15534 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10448 - - -10297 - - -10951 - - -13045 ODpotential blCL - - - 19810 - - 19659 - - 20313 - - 22407 blCL maxRH - - - 55 - - 58 - - 58 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 41.2 - - 45.8 - - 40.8 - - 34.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 11.9 - - 12.4 - - 9.4 - - 0.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 39.7 - - 43.5 - - 41.1 - - 39.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 11.0 - - 11.4 - - 8.4 - - 0.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 79 - - 171 - - -10 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95376 77 268 61 263 66 266 82 264 95376 88467 55 267 49 280 51 279 54 283 88467 83184 28 283 39 284 38 291 36 297 83184 78771 16 293 33 285 32 288 27 306 78771 74919 13 300 29 283 32 279 27 311 74919 71467 16 310 20 295 27 277 28 305 71467 68329 22 299 23 300 26 280 28 288 68329 65468 23 292 22 293 25 280 30 269 65468 62833 21 301 17 306 23 288 25 269 62833 60273 29 317 28 305 28 300 28 290 60273 57584 42 303 37 295 38 293 42 290 57584 54777 47 302 45 295 44 289 49 285 54777 52085 55 304 54 295 48 287 51 284 52085 49647 55 300 57 290 53 288 55 279 49647 47452 52 300 54 293 49 291 53 276 47452 45451 47 302 47 295 47 293 49 279 45451 43612 44 305 41 297 45 291 48 283 43612 41917 43 309 41 295 42 291 44 279 41917 40357 42 310 40 290 40 289 40 277 40357 38915 42 304 37 286 44 279 43 280 38915 37574 43 298 37 283 39 272 44 273 37574 36303 37 305 39 282 35 272 42 260 36303 35048 30 301 39 278 36 271 41 252 35048 33781 28 292 36 270 36 262 39 252 33781 32505 29 289 32 267 35 258 37 252 32505 31210 28 294 31 273 38 258 39 254 31210 29887 30 297 32 276 40 260 41 256 29887 28541 33 301 32 283 38 266 39 260 28541 27177 35 310 33 293 35 276 34 267 27177 25800 36 318 33 299 32 287 30 274 25800 24414 35 326 32 302 30 295 25 279 24414 23018 37 336 29 307 27 295 21 283 23018 21606 36 345 26 322 23 298 19 280 21606 20198 31 350 23 343 17 307 16 277 20198 18860 25 356 19 353 11 309 14 267 18860 17646 20 002 13 353 8 285 15 258 17646 16559 17 006 8 346 7 259 15 255 16559 15574 14 006 7 335 8 250 15 258 15574 14676 11 002 6 323 9 248 13 262 14676 13854 9 356 6 318 9 251 12 266 13854 13099 8 350 7 319 9 255 10 268 13099 12411 7 345 7 320 7 261 8 268 12411 11781 6 342 7 315 6 275 7 265 11781 11199 5 341 7 309 7 297 5 271 11199 10668 5 337 7 291 8 313 3 282 10668 10212 4 328 7 284 9 316 2 314 10212 9855 2 315 6 275 9 315 2 017 9855 9604 1 292 6 271 8 312 3 028 9604 9451 1*270 6*269 7*311 4*034 9451 9362 1*260 5*265 4*312 4*025 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography