DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/10 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.6 - - 68.6 - - 67.7 - - 58.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 525 - - 521 - - 202 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5320 - - 6178 - - 6105 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12776 - - 13471 - - 13006 - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14120 - - 14978 - - 14905 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1796 - - 1600 - - 1834 - - 443 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 615 - - 646 - - 471 - - 22 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 22 - - 24 - - 24 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 284 - - 284 - - 279 - - 289 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 13 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -55 - - -51 - - -35 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3204 - - -3389 - - -3848 - - -7313 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17324 - - 18368 - - 18754 - - 16677 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8451 - - -8479 - - -8979 - - -13577 ODpotential blCL - - - 22571 - - 23457 - - 23884 - - 22940 blCL maxRH - - - 30 - - 29 - - 30 - - 27 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.6 - - 68.6 - - 67.7 - - 58.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.0 - - 20.3 - - 17.9 - - 18.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.8 - - 64.9 - - 65.6 - - 61.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.0 - - 19.2 - - 17.0 - - 18.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 525 - - 521 - - 202 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5320 - - 6178 - - 6105 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98592 16 090 19 075 12 088 10 070 98592 91164 19 082 17 100 14 055 19 084 91164 85447 20 088 21 093 10 079 23 076 85447 80692 24 094 14 098 14 080 18 082 80692 76611 16 081 15 098 13 068 18 090 76611 73007 11 114 13 091 11 079 11 072 73007 69748 9 129 11 098 10 082 9 088 69748 66768 9 146 8 130 3 136 7 120 66768 64004 12 221 1 033 4 153 6 158 64004 61343 20 216 13 254 4 211 2 185 61343 58584 17 208 27 244 12 255 8 277 58584 55723 19 262 32 254 29 256 27 257 55723 52999 30 250 34 255 32 262 33 259 52999 50551 25 270 35 265 39 267 43 272 50551 48356 46 272 52 268 57 268 60 273 48356 46371 63 259 65 264 70 262 73 269 46371 44553 68 255 72 262 73 262 75 266 44553 42867 68 258 69 263 68 264 69 267 42867 41296 67 262 66 265 62 266 62 267 41296 39828 62 265 61 265 57 266 55 268 39828 38458 56 272 57 269 54 267 52 270 38458 37157 51 275 52 272 53 267 50 267 37157 35867 47 278 46 272 50 267 45 267 35867 34560 45 285 41 274 45 269 37 274 34560 33243 47 291 39 281 39 272 33 278 33243 31903 49 293 38 286 35 274 32 280 31903 30536 50 293 38 289 33 275 32 279 30536 29144 52 292 39 291 32 276 32 279 29144 27732 52 291 37 288 33 277 32 282 27732 26307 51 291 43 285 35 279 32 284 26307 24875 50 291 44 283 37 282 32 283 24875 23433 48 291 44 282 38 283 33 282 23433 21975 45 289 44 279 39 284 35 283 21975 20524 43 284 43 277 39 283 38 285 20524 19147 41 282 42 278 39 284 38 287 19147 17901 39 281 41 280 35 283 37 287 17901 16786 38 281 35 282 29 281 35 284 16786 15779 33 282 28*284 26*280 34 280 15779 14859 29*283 26*284 26*279 33 278 14859 14016 26*283 26 285 25 279 32 277 14016 13240 24 284 25 285 25 279 31 277 13240 12531 23 285 25 285 25 279 29 277 12531 11881 22 285 25 285 25 280 28 278 11881 11277 22 285 24 284 24 280 26 278 11277 10725 21 284 24 284 24 279 25 278 10725 10251 20 284 23 283 23 279 22 278 10251 9879 19 283 22 283 22 279 19 279 9879 9617 18 283 20 282 21 279 15 279 9617 9456 16 282 18 281 18 278 10*281 9456 9363 12 280 13 280 12 276 5*289 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography