DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/18 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.7 - - 60.3 - - 65.2 - - 63.3 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -11 - - 278 - - 308 - - 34 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - - BL Depth Hcrit 9346 - - 8963 - - 8990 - - 9347 - - - Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. 672 - - 5214 - - 7117 - - 5550 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* 47 - - 236 - - 244 - - 121 - - - W* B/S 1 - - 9 - - 6 - - 3 - - - B/S BL Wind 10 - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - - BL Wind Direction 007 - - 004 - - 341 - - 342 - - - Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg -41 - - -8 - - -16 - - -21 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8125 - - -10094 - - -11852 - - -11440 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 17488 - - 19458 - - 21216 - - 20804 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential -16382 - - -15663 - - -16549 - - -16317 - - - ODpotential blCL 25744 - - 25026 - - 25912 - - 25680 - - - blCL maxRH 67 - - 42 - - 45 - - 47 - - - maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m 47.7 - - 60.3 - - 65.2 - - 63.3 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m 5.0 - - 7.9 - - 4.6 - - 4.8 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.4 - - 57.4 - - 62.2 - - 62.0 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 4.1 - - 6.6 - - 3.5 - - 3.8 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -11 - - 278 - - 308 - - 34 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96698 19 288 16 264 17 259 23 285 96698 89513 11 257 9 274 2 238 7 273 89513 84028 10 141 7 265 4 273 7 328 84028 79489 9 096 7 139 5 198 7 271 79489 75558 10 027 9 117 3 131 5 261 75558 72076 5 349 10 127 6 155 6 195 72076 68911 6 012 5 085 1 285 1 061 68911 65994 8 184 14 183 14 229 7 236 65994 63296 18 342 13 317 9 324 14 334 63296 60712 24 323 23 322 20 320 24 333 60712 58059 24 348 15 343 16 316 25 345 58059 55305 23 351 20 340 21 333 32 329 55305 52666 28 346 25 334 23 323 33 319 52666 50285 41 345 33 335 32 321 35 319 50285 48149 46 343 37 335 37 322 38 325 48149 46220 42 348 37 339 34 329 39 328 46220 44460 38 355 35 340 32 337 38 336 44460 42827 36 352 35 337 36 339 44 344 42827 41292 32 346 38 336 43 343 51 343 41292 39847 29 343 40 335 53 345 53 339 39847 38492 32 341 43 337 57 344 53 338 38492 37203 38 338 51 341 58 345 53 339 37203 35920 42 339 57 342 58 346 53 339 35920 34616 47 341 59 341 56 345 53 338 34616 33299 47 342 59 341 55 345 53 337 33299 31958 45 340 58 343 54 346 53 336 31958 30589 43 340 56 344 53 347 54 336 30589 29195 42 343 55 346 51 347 52 338 29195 27782 41 347 53 348 50 347 49 341 27782 26357 40 350 50 351 48 347 45 343 26357 24924 39 351 45 352 43 348 41 343 24924 23481 38 349 40 350 38 348 38 340 23481 22021 36 345 38 348 35 345 37 338 22021 20566 36 340 37 345 36 340 36 336 20566 19183 36 337 37 343 38 338 36 336 19183 17928 36 337 36 344 37 340 35 339 17928 16803 37 338 34 346 33 344 33 344 16803 15787 37 341 32 350 25 348 29 350 15787 14859 37 344 28 354 17 351 24 355 14859 14011 38 348 22 358 14 351 18 359 14011 13233 38 352 18 001 12 350 14 357 13233 12523 38 356 14 004 12 349 13 356 12523 11872 39 002 12 004 12 347 13 352 11872 11270 39 008 11 004 11 346 13 349 11270 10720 38 013 10 004 11 345 13 347 10720 10248 35 014 9 003 10 343 12 345 10248 9876 29 013 8 003 10 342 12 344 9876 9616 22 010 7 003 9 341 11 343 9616 9456 18*009 6*003 8*341 10 342 9456 9363 10*007 5*004 7*341 7*342 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography