DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/03 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.6 - - 79.7 - - 77.7 - - 67.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 473 - - 533 - - 202 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10277 - - 10897 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 16785 - - 17359 - - 9347 - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top - - - 19077 - - 19697 - - 9364 - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2489 - - 2166 - - 11828 - - 2640 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 737 - - 783 - - 211 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 7 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 20 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 271 - - 282 - - 284 - - 298 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -36 - - -38 - - -10 - - -20 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 944 - - -594 - - -10146 - - -7658 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 18134 - - 20292 - - 19511 - - 17023 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -515 - - -3739 - - -12544 - - -11849 ODpotential blCL - - - 19592 - - 23436 - - 21908 - - 21213 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 47 - - 50 - - 49 maxRH CAPE - - - 40 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.6 - - 79.7 - - 77.7 - - 67.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.2 - - 22.6 - - 24.4 - - 25.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.0 - - 75.8 - - 75.3 - - 70.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.8 - - 22.2 - - 24.0 - - 25.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 473 - - 533 - - 202 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10277 - - 10897 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 63 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99234 42 097 35 096 30 088 34 091 99234 91725 43 099 38 094 34 100 29 094 91725 85973 33 092 35 093 36 093 31 098 85973 81227 27 093 27 104 27 091 30 084 81227 77133 29 098 20 120 18 095 24 074 77133 73511 23 103 22 132 12 101 18 078 73511 70236 15 107 19 116 10 108 12 086 70236 67228 12 111 14 087 12 110 8 080 67228 64443 5 098 7 065 8 095 6 096 64443 61769 7 214 4 017 4 052 3 061 61769 59006 9 216 7 258 6 297 4 319 59006 56164 6 243 13 243 16 266 18 287 56164 53486 7 290 15 258 18 265 21 293 53486 51096 11 333 9 278 14 264 22 280 51096 48946 13 301 16 306 15 289 20 289 48946 46976 23 311 22 304 25 301 24 297 46976 45152 22 306 24 300 28 306 27 302 45152 43454 22 310 25 301 31 311 29 307 43454 41865 24 309 26 299 35 311 31 310 41865 40374 26 305 25 296 33 308 34 312 40374 38981 28 303 24 293 29 302 37 309 38981 37656 29 301 24 291 28 293 33 302 37656 36339 30 296 26 289 30 287 30 296 36339 35004 30 291 30 291 31 287 27 296 35004 33657 26 282 31 292 29 290 24 299 33657 32287 24 280 28 290 25 292 22 298 32287 30890 24 278 23 284 21 289 20 293 30890 29470 25 277 20 280 18 282 19 287 29470 28031 24 279 20 278 17 281 20 282 28031 26581 25 278 19 279 19 278 19 281 26581 25126 24 270 21 280 17 277 15 280 25126 23667 22 270 19 275 13 280 12 285 23667 22194 19 269 16 275 11 299 7 291 22194 20731 18 264 18*281 10 312 4 335 20731 19339 18*261 19*283 13 310 7 354 19339 18076 18*262 20 283 14 308 9 350 18076 16943 18 263 20 283 14 306 10 345 16943 15915 18 265 20 283 15 303 11 331 15915 14976 17 270 20 283 16 300 11 320 14976 14112 17 272 20 283 16 298 12 307 14112 13320 17 274 20 282 16 295 13 296 13320 12595 17 275 20 281 16 293 15 289 12595 11931 17 276 20 281 16 292 16 285 11931 11315 17 276 20 280 16 290 16 283 11315 10752 17 276 20 279 16 289 16 281 10752 10269 16 276 19 279 15 288 16 280 10269 9889 16 275 18 278 15 287 13 280 9889 9623 15 274 17 277 14 286 11 281 9623 9459 14 274 16 277 13*286 9*282 9459 9364 10 272 12 275 10*284 5*298 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography