DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/23 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.5 - - 42.1 - - 43.6 - - 40.7 - - 39.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 25 - - 97 - - 92 - - -3 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9345 - - 9346 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3050 - - 3886 - - 4350 - - 2985 - - 1727 Hgt.Variab. W* 110 - - 172 - - 170 - - 33 - - 29 W* B/S 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 9 - - 8 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 224 - - 205 - - 193 - - 182 - - 061 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 8 - - 25 - - 26 - - 5 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 sfcLCL ODpotential -467 - - -812 - - -1254 - - -1297 - - -1294 ODpotential blCL 9829 - - 10174 - - 10616 - - 10659 - - 10656 blCL maxRH 97 - - 94 - - 85 - - 81 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 130 - - 170 - - 240 - - 100 - - 90 CAPE Temp@2m 40.5 - - 42.1 - - 43.6 - - 40.7 - - 39.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.6 - - 38.0 - - 37.7 - - 36.9 - - 37.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.5 - - 40.4 - - 42.0 - - 40.4 - - 40.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.1 - - 36.8 - - 36.5 - - 35.7 - - 37.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 25 - - 97 - - 92 - - -3 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 88 - - 76 - - 40 - - 25 - - 70 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97347 6 249 13 241 15 245 11 281 8 281 97347 90093 5 075 3 175 8 225 6 299 11 353 90093 84537 6 073 5 108 4 129 4 088 10 356 84537 79910 5 106 8 085 5 148 6 058 3 015 79910 75931 9 104 4 076 4 054 3 008 4 062 75931 72424 9 060 6 072 8 036 2 072 4 017 72424 69248 5 338 8 082 5 098 2 109 4 328 69248 66315 2 355 4 073 6 111 4 146 3 255 66315 63587 7 149 2 191 6 173 5 207 7 212 63587 60942 3 015 7 250 6 189 6 207 10 214 60942 58192 9 302 6 322 2 093 7 166 14 202 58192 55338 32 219 33 214 27 216 23 242 20 247 55338 52595 33 198 35 199 34 214 34 227 37 236 52595 50119 26 204 33 211 37 217 39 215 49 219 50119 47892 36 222 39 218 42 216 45 215 53 215 47892 45860 49 224 47 218 51 218 52 220 59 221 45860 43991 57 224 53 218 60 220 62 225 67 225 43991 42259 63 222 60 218 68 220 72 226 71 225 42259 40647 68 220 68 216 75 220 78 225 75 223 40647 39147 73 219 74 215 81 219 82 223 78 221 39147 37758 76 217 78 215 84 216 84 221 82 218 37758 36451 77 217 81 215 84 215 83 217 81 215 36451 35164 77 217 80 216 83 215 80 215 77 214 35164 33867 77 215 80 217 82 215 79 216 75 215 33867 32562 75 213 80 216 82 215 79 216 74 215 32562 31239 74 214 80 215 81 216 78 215 73 213 31239 29893 75 216 80 215 81 216 77 215 71 209 29893 28529 76 216 81 215 80 216 75 216 69 207 28529 27150 75 216 80 215 77 217 71 217 67 209 27150 25761 72 216 75 217 72 218 64 217 62 212 25761 24369 68 217 68 217 64 219 57 217 56 214 24369 22969 62 219 60 218 57 219 50 217 51 214 22969 21555 53 217 53 217 51 219 43 217 47 213 21555 20150 45 214 47 215 47 218 39 217 43 212 20150 18819 42 211 43 212 45 215 36 216 38 210 18819 17614 40 209 38 208 38 210 35 215 36 211 17614 16535 39 208 34 205 32 206 33 213 34 211 16535 15559 37 208 31 203 29 204 30 212 31 212 15559 14667 36 209 29 203 26 202 27 211 28 211 14667 13850 34 212 27 204 24 200 23 210 25 210 13850 13100 32 214 25 206 21 199 19 209 20 205 13100 12414 30 216 23 209 18 198 15 206 15 195 12414 11786 28 218 21 210 17 197 12 202 11 177 11786 11203 25 219 19 210 15 196 9 198 9 157 11203 10672 22 220 18 210 14 196 7 193 9 134 10672 10216 18 220 15 209 13 195 5 190 8 119 10216 9857 14 222 14 208 12 194 4 187 8 104 9857 9606 11 223 13 207 12 194 4 186 7 091 9606 9451 10*224 12*206 11*194 3*186 6*080 9451 9362 7*224 9*205 8*193 2*182 3*061 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography