DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/17 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.2 - - 75.8 - - 74.3 - - 64.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 508 - - 513 - - 203 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7082 - - 9680 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 14198 - - 16338 - - 9347 - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15882 - - 18480 - - 9364 - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2097 - - 1517 - - 10832 - - 6143 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 670 - - 746 - - 213 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 22 - - 23 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 317 - - 311 - - 313 - - 328 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -54 - - -48 - - -30 - - -24 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3978 - - -1462 - - -10463 - - -8328 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 19861 - - 19943 - - 19828 - - 17693 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8038 - - -4954 - - -13829 - - -13210 ODpotential blCL - - - 23920 - - 23434 - - 23193 - - 22574 blCL maxRH - - - 49 - - 51 - - 64 - - 57 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.2 - - 75.8 - - 74.3 - - 64.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.2 - - 20.2 - - 19.4 - - 20.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.5 - - 72.1 - - 72.1 - - 67.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.2 - - 19.2 - - 18.6 - - 19.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 508 - - 513 - - 203 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7082 - - 9680 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98688 38 108 37 109 27 102 29 100 98688 91202 27 113 24 106 24 099 26 093 91202 85471 24 114 19 114 19 114 18 095 85471 80726 19 108 20 109 21 100 16 106 80726 76638 16 112 18 103 18 083 18 101 76638 73033 17 098 13 090 11 090 18 093 73033 69785 17 073 12 099 7 114 14 076 69785 66805 7 064 10 093 6 124 5 075 66805 64039 4 149 2 027 5 342 2 321 64039 61377 3 215 4 307 8 292 8 305 61377 58627 6 274 11 274 14 278 17 293 58627 55793 13 288 15 283 19 284 24 274 55793 53096 19 292 18 297 21 286 23 279 53096 50670 18 293 16 281 21 288 21 282 50670 48483 10 292 13 250 16 293 15 282 48483 46487 6 259 3 220 13 271 9 269 46487 44651 10 166 3 088 8 239 6 244 44651 42958 17 127 6 099 8 206 7 236 42958 41386 15 111 6 107 7 171 7 260 41386 39919 10 103 3 117 5 137 7 285 39919 38550 6 099 5 192 1 078 8 320 38550 37251 2 115 6 208 5 318 12 327 37251 35960 2 221 6 232 7 310 10 331 35960 34650 8 327 7 255 7 311 10 319 34650 33326 11 311 8 275 9 304 10 305 33326 31981 10 278 10 276 11 299 11 293 31981 30606 10 261 12 271 13 296 12 294 30606 29208 11 248 14 266 14 296 11 298 29208 27794 12 251 15 266 13 299 10 297 27794 26370 12 264 13 274 11 294 9 273 26370 24938 10 270 10 283 8 295 7 262 24938 23495 9 274 8 296 7 322 5 303 23495 22037 11 294 9 321 13 338 15 326 22037 20590 18 312 19 327 20 326 24 319 20590 19217 25 318 23*320 23 315 28 312 19217 17973 28 321 24*318 24 313 28 309 17973 16857 25*322 24 316 24 312 28 310 16857 15846 24*321 25 315 24 312 27 313 15846 14920 24 320 25 313 24 313 27 315 14920 14068 23 319 25 312 24 313 27 316 14068 13285 23 319 24 311 24 313 27 318 13285 12568 23 318 24 310 24 313 26 319 12568 11911 23 317 24 308 24 314 26 320 11911 11300 23 316 23 307 23 314 25 320 11300 10742 22 315 23 307 23 314 23 321 10742 10262 21 314 22 306 22 314 21 322 10262 9885 20 313 21 305 21 314 17 322 9885 9621 18 312 20 304 20 314 14 323 9621 9458 17 312 18 304 17*313 9*323 9458 9364 12 310 13 303 12*313 5*328 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography