DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/19 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.3 - - 52.7 - - 51.3 - - 44.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 593 - - 568 - - 223 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5451 - - 6891 - - 563 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12919 - - 14080 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14251 - - 15691 - - 9363 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1581 - - 1747 - - 7490 - - 1884 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 644 - - 687 - - 218 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 7 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 18 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 208 - - 228 - - 251 - - 335 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 41 - - 27 - - 6 - - -29 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 169 - - 872 - - -5639 - - -4305 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14083 - - 14819 - - 15002 - - 13668 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3567 - - -1163 - - -8048 - - -8637 ODpotential blCL - - - 17818 - - 16854 - - 17411 - - 17999 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 64 - - 74 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.3 - - 52.7 - - 51.3 - - 44.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.2 - - 20.2 - - 18.2 - - 17.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.3 - - 48.8 - - 48.9 - - 45.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.7 - - 19.6 - - 17.7 - - 17.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 593 - - 568 - - 223 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5451 - - 6891 - - 563 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98132 12 174 4 113 3 319 7 083 98132 90708 9 080 5 112 2 258 6 350 90708 85012 1 082 7 351 5 088 7 338 85012 80299 2 267 3 023 6 135 6 347 80299 76232 5 204 7 260 7 048 6 122 76232 72615 11 166 9 166 6 270 5 071 72615 69331 9 189 7 187 4 279 5 353 69331 66319 19 186 18 220 10 269 2 298 66319 63531 14 173 20 214 14 257 6 267 63531 60823 10 202 14 204 18 233 13 252 60823 57986 21 224 18 226 17 216 17 246 57986 55032 26 246 25 248 21 236 22 236 55032 52215 32 243 31 244 29 234 32 243 52215 49705 37 230 35 237 29 240 37 237 49705 47487 42 226 37 243 32 255 35 237 47487 45492 51 242 50 243 46 251 39 247 45492 43676 67 246 69 242 64 244 51 245 43676 42013 81 245 82 245 79 243 66 241 42013 40477 88 244 86 245 83 242 78 235 40477 39042 88 241 84 242 83 242 81 233 39042 37699 88 238 83 240 82 241 78 234 37699 36418 87 238 81 239 79 240 76 236 36418 35143 85 237 80 236 75 239 74 235 35143 33852 85 235 79 234 72 239 70 233 33852 32552 84 235 78 234 69 238 67 234 32552 31237 81 235 75 235 66 239 63 236 31237 29898 76 235 71 235 63 240 58 236 29898 28540 73 235 68 236 61 241 55 235 28540 27166 72 235 65 237 59 241 53 236 27166 25780 70 236 63 239 57 241 52 235 25780 24389 68 236 61 239 56 240 52 236 24389 22989 65 236 58 240 54 240 51 236 22989 21576 61 237 54 239 53 238 51 235 21576 20171 55 237 49 238 50 234 49 231 20171 18840 49 238 43 235 42 227 45 224 18840 17634 42 238 35 229 35 221 41 218 17634 16555 35 239 27*225 30 218 36 216 16555 15578 24 233 22*224 23 220 32 217 15578 14686 18*225 19 225 19 224 28 220 14686 13867 15*215 18 226 17 229 23 226 13867 13115 15 212 18 227 15 235 19 234 13115 12427 15 210 18 228 13 242 15 243 12427 11797 15 208 18 229 13 246 12 256 11797 11212 15 207 17 230 13 249 10 276 11212 10679 15 206 17 230 12 250 10 300 10679 10220 15 205 17 231 12 251 11 317 10220 9860 14 204 16 231 12 252 13 328 9860 9608 14 203 15 230 11 252 12 332 9608 9452 13 203 14 230 10*252 10*334 9452 9362 10 201 11 228 8*251 6*335 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography