DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/12 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 66.2 - - 74.5 - - 76.9 - - 77.0 - - 69.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 189 - - 540 - - 370 - - 155 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 564 - - 7913 - - 564 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit 9347 - - 14895 - - 9026 - - 9347 - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top 9364 - - 16713 - - 9364 - - 9364 - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3581 - - 3842 - - 13342 - - 13531 - - 3143 Hgt.Variab. W* 206 - - 705 - - 258 - - 193 - - 27 W* B/S 7 - - 27 - - 6 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 5 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 134 - - 139 - - 163 - - 194 - - 005 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 12 - - 30 - - 30 - - 21 - - -35 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4561 - - 541 - - -8451 - - -9083 - - -5609 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13925 - - 16173 - - 17816 - - 18448 - - 14973 sfcLCL ODpotential -7975 - - -1346 - - -9782 - - -10659 - - -8490 ODpotential blCL 17339 - - 18059 - - 19146 - - 20023 - - 17854 blCL maxRH 54 - - 56 - - 98 - - 100 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 120 - - 220 - - 170 - - 110 - - 130 CAPE Temp@2m 66.2 - - 74.5 - - 76.9 - - 77.0 - - 69.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.7 - - 35.8 - - 31.1 - - 28.5 - - 36.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.8 - - 70.4 - - 73.6 - - 74.7 - - 69.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.6 - - 35.7 - - 30.8 - - 28.3 - - 36.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 189 - - 540 - - 370 - - 155 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 564 - - 7913 - - 564 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 93 - - 99 - - 39 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99454 40 109 32 106 38 093 32 088 30 095 99454 91877 33 091 34 095 30 098 32 095 29 094 91877 86043 30 079 32 095 26 091 26 095 30 089 86043 81250 28 080 27 098 23 091 21 092 24 087 81250 77153 28 088 23 102 22 105 20 083 21 097 77153 73531 27 097 18 100 20 107 23 083 21 094 73531 70252 21 105 17 106 17 104 20 095 22 094 70252 67250 19 119 19 113 16 108 16 118 22 104 67250 64496 16 112 21 116 18 121 15 121 22 110 64496 61866 9 111 16 118 19 136 15 130 19 122 61866 59156 6 116 12 135 16 153 12 140 14 140 59156 56366 9 117 13 150 15 158 13 131 14 129 56366 53721 14 149 14 150 16 152 17 137 16 112 53721 51345 23 149 18 139 22 152 23 151 16 137 51345 49203 22 130 24 122 26 139 28 147 27 160 49203 47235 11 115 22 112 25 124 30 138 35 153 47235 45408 10 132 19 106 23 117 28 127 34 140 45408 43701 17 124 15 116 19 125 23 126 31 130 43701 42099 15 114 13 148 15 135 18 140 24 134 42099 40591 10 139 13 167 12 147 19 159 20 155 40591 39179 6 155 11 162 7 163 18 168 20 172 39179 37834 2 061 11 153 7 182 14 167 18 172 37834 36496 9 069 12 141 9 185 8 160 15 155 36496 35141 12 079 14 116 10 167 5 188 9 147 35141 33776 14 094 15 091 12 135 5 195 2 191 33776 32391 19 090 16 086 12 105 5 147 4 166 32391 30981 22 078 16 092 10 108 6 128 6 154 30981 29549 21 063 15 092 10 108 6 124 6 117 29549 28103 18 050 16 093 13 102 9 116 6 093 28103 26651 16 060 20 092 17 100 12 093 10 050 26651 25198 16 070 21 090 18 072 19 068 10 073 25198 23735 19 071 20 087 19 049 17 073 10 122 23735 22254 18 058 19 080 18 048 15 080 13 153 22254 20778 16 043 16 065 18 048 11 091 15 167 20778 19377 13 044 13 041 14 049 8 105 15 174 19377 18105 10 063 11 038 11 054 6 121 14 178 18105 16964 9 077 8*047 10 058 5 142 13 179 16964 15932 7 096 6*060 7 074 4 161 11 181 15932 14987 7 121 4 087 6 100 5 174 9 181 14987 14119 8 133 3 103 6 130 5 185 6 180 14119 13323 8 148 4 133 6 144 6 189 3 173 13323 12595 9 158 5 143 7 152 6 193 1 063 12595 11929 10 163 6 152 8 156 6 193 5 011 11929 11311 9 158 6 155 8 160 6 195 9 005 11311 10749 8 146 7 158 9 161 6 195 14 003 10749 10266 7 137 8 160 9 162 6 195 17 003 10266 9887 7 134 8 161 9 163 6 196 17 004 9887 9622 7 132 8 162 9 163 6 196 17 005 9622 9458 6*132 8 162 9*163 5*196 14*005 9458 9364 5*134 7 161 7*163 5*194 8*005 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography