DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/05 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.3 - - 56.6 - - 59.7 - - 56.4 - - 49.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -17 - - 119 - - 108 - - -5 - - -54 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 563 - - 564 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit 9346 - - 9347 - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top 9363 - - 9364 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 533 - - 3716 - - 5718 - - 2598 - - 119 Hgt.Variab. W* 52 - - 187 - - 181 - - 56 - - 50 W* B/S 2 - - 9 - - 7 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 345 - - 297 - - 277 - - 288 - - 342 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -21 - - -1 - - 3 - - -6 - - -39 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -571 - - -852 - - -1130 - - -489 - - -528 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9935 - - 10216 - - 10494 - - 9853 - - 9892 sfcLCL ODpotential -5422 - - -3669 - - -3522 - - -4088 - - -6107 ODpotential blCL 14785 - - 13033 - - 12885 - - 13451 - - 15470 blCL maxRH 53 - - 68 - - 73 - - 64 - - 67 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 540 - - 1160 - - 980 - - 370 CAPE Temp@2m 49.3 - - 56.6 - - 59.7 - - 56.4 - - 49.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.4 - - 44.1 - - 45.8 - - 45.3 - - 38.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.3 - - 54.7 - - 57.9 - - 56.6 - - 53.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.3 - - 42.8 - - 44.6 - - 44.1 - - 37.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -17 - - 119 - - 108 - - -5 - - -54 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 563 - - 564 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97962 21 267 16 255 14 219 19 244 18 260 97962 90641 13 230 10 243 14 252 19 234 16 270 90641 84984 2 150 12 211 14 251 16 250 10 305 84984 80275 7 036 11 188 9 247 8 287 5 331 80275 76242 4 008 5 110 5 205 5 348 1 098 76242 72700 2 176 4 081 2 247 10 342 10 021 72700 69514 4 039 5 042 2 200 8 307 11 357 69514 66607 12 015 8 009 5 337 8 333 11 343 66607 63920 12 344 10 350 8 351 10 343 10 340 63920 61319 14 311 16 324 12 340 14 331 16 334 61319 58610 16 307 19 306 14 305 16 301 19 313 58610 55794 22 306 23 299 21 296 15 289 17 301 55794 53099 36 303 34 295 29 303 31 306 36 299 53099 50676 48 288 44 284 50 291 52 292 46 290 50676 48499 51 283 48 279 54 285 53 293 48 294 48499 46506 50 288 45 278 54 294 56 302 58 301 46506 44664 53 289 48 289 57 299 64 303 65 298 44664 42951 55 287 52 291 57 300 65 302 67 299 42951 41354 52 284 49 290 53 298 62 301 67 301 41354 39864 46 284 43 288 46 297 51 298 60 302 39864 38479 39 284 40 289 41 298 39 294 46 294 38479 37175 34 283 40 292 40 299 36 298 36 292 37175 35888 34 287 40 291 37 302 35 296 30 295 35888 34584 34 294 41 292 36 302 31 302 27 293 34584 33265 30 293 34 298 34 308 30 311 23 300 33265 31921 26 287 27 298 28 311 26 322 19 316 31921 30550 21 299 23 288 25 304 23 322 18 322 30550 29158 16 321 17 287 21 299 20 318 17 329 29158 27749 14 346 11 290 17 296 18 316 15 343 27749 26328 12 353 8 300 13 300 16 315 14 347 26328 24899 9 359 9 319 10 320 12 326 12 341 24899 23460 9 006 10 329 10 342 10 347 11 346 23460 22006 10 004 9 349 10 348 9 002 10 357 22006 20560 7 003 10 009 8 002 8 012 8 004 20560 19184 5 020 10 015 8 031 6 048 6 005 19184 17935 5 039 9 024 9 051 9 067 3 039 17935 16815 5 042 8 036 11 054 11 064 6 086 16815 15801 5 031 8 047 11 050 11 055 8 096 15801 14874 7 016 8 054 10 044 10 048 9 091 14874 14023 8 007 8 052 9 036 9 038 8 084 14023 13242 9 004 8 043 8 024 8 017 7 080 13242 12529 9 002 9 024 6 004 9 353 7 071 12529 11875 9 357 9 003 6 337 9 335 8 054 11875 11271 8 351 8 346 6 314 10 316 9 034 11271 10719 8 345 7 331 6 296 10 304 11 017 10719 10245 7 339 6 318 6 291 10 296 13 003 10245 9875 7 334 6 311 6 285 9 292 13 352 9875 9614 6 337 5 304 6 282 8 289 12 348 9614 9455 5*342 5*301 5*279 6*288 10*345 9455 9363 4*345 4*297 4*277 4*288 7*342 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography