DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/18 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0741z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1556z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.1 - - 49.8 - - 53.6 - - 51.3 - - 45.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 24 - - 379 - - 413 - - 105 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 4527 - - 6248 - - 562 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 12038 - - 13443 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 13327 - - 15048 - - 9362 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3173 - - 2402 - - 2366 - - 6977 - - 5240 Hgt.Variab. W* 115 - - 525 - - 601 - - 172 - - 16 W* B/S 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 21 - - 22 - - 10 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 303 - - 283 - - 274 - - 267 - - 304 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 15 - - 13 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - -51 - - -48 - - -2 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2479 - - -92 - - -167 - - -5917 - - -5309 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11841 - - 13419 - - 15215 - - 15279 - - 14673 sfcLCL ODpotential -5815 - - -3448 - - -3790 - - -9208 - - -9773 ODpotential blCL 15177 - - 16775 - - 18838 - - 18570 - - 19136 blCL maxRH 79 - - 67 - - 69 - - 76 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.1 - - 49.8 - - 53.6 - - 51.3 - - 45.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.9 - - 23.6 - - 19.4 - - 17.1 - - 14.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.1 - - 46.8 - - 50.4 - - 49.9 - - 48.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.8 - - 22.6 - - 18.5 - - 16.3 - - 13.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 24 - - 379 - - 413 - - 105 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 4527 - - 6248 - - 562 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 17 - - 0 - - 0 - - 4 - - 20 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97680 4 049 8 277 9 271 10 308 15 296 97680 90328 3 022 6 099 2 203 3 012 2 299 90328 84677 2 057 9 083 4 114 4 088 3 069 84677 79995 4 115 0 020 5 095 3 117 6 051 79995 75946 7 089 3 261 2 295 3 017 6 067 75946 72355 2 004 5 173 4 229 3 305 6 018 72355 69106 10 252 5 275 6 279 10 324 5 004 69106 66131 8 253 12 254 12 263 14 287 10 312 66131 63389 13 295 15 290 15 278 21 274 21 288 63389 60745 25 285 19 288 18 266 25 262 27 271 60745 57983 33 272 25 271 24 262 29 260 33 267 57983 55100 42 272 36 274 33 274 34 270 36 263 55100 52335 54 275 53 275 51 275 44 273 44 267 52335 49835 63 271 63 270 59 268 58 272 53 269 49835 47583 68 267 69 269 63 267 68 271 61 269 47583 45536 67 266 72 267 69 270 74 271 69 267 45536 43677 64 267 69 267 77 268 78 268 75 263 43677 41989 63 271 68 273 73 266 78 265 76 260 41989 40439 65 277 73 279 74 277 73 269 76 261 40439 39003 68 281 78 279 89 282 87 272 84 263 39003 37662 70 279 79 277 94 278 90 270 92 261 37662 36387 70 276 76 275 93 275 79 267 90 260 36387 35119 70 275 75 274 91 274 81 266 84 259 35119 33830 71 277 74 274 86 276 74 266 80 258 33830 32529 71 277 74 274 75 276 64 269 78 261 32529 31208 69 275 73 275 68 274 60 271 73 266 31208 29861 65 274 70 277 66 273 59 270 66 263 29861 28495 63 274 67 279 64 273 59 267 63 258 28495 27117 63 276 65 280 62 274 59 265 61 260 27117 25734 63 279 66 280 62 275 58 267 62 261 25734 24349 60 281 65 281 61 275 59 268 63 261 24349 22959 53 280 60 282 60 275 60 268 63 261 22959 21557 46 275 53 281 56 276 60 269 59 261 21557 20163 42 272 48 278 51 275 54 270 55 262 20163 18836 40 272 44 277 45 274 46 271 46 264 18836 17633 38 274 41 276 39 274 40 269 37 258 17633 16557 35 276 39 277 33 275 35 266 31 249 16557 15584 32 278 36 278 28*275 29 265 29 244 15584 14695 29 281 32 279 26*275 24 264 28 244 14695 13878 28 284 28*281 25 275 21 265 27 246 13878 13127 27 289 26*282 24 275 20 265 25 248 13127 12438 27 293 24 283 23 274 20 266 23 249 12438 11807 25 297 22 284 23 274 19 266 20 252 11807 11220 21 300 21 284 22 274 19 267 17 255 11220 10685 17 301 20 284 22 274 18 267 14 260 10685 10225 13 303 19 284 21 273 17 267 12 267 10225 9863 10 305 18 283 20 273 17 267 10 273 9863 9609 7 305 17 283 19 272 16 267 8 279 9609 9453 6*304 15 283 17 272 14*267 6*285 9453 9363 4*303 11 281 12 271 10*267 3*304 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography