DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/10 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 69.9 - - 75.5 - - 77.5 - - 76.4 - - 67.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 113 - - 502 - - 442 - - 167 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 564 - - 8202 - - 8589 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit 9347 - - 15104 - - 15363 - - 9348 - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top 9364 - - 17002 - - 17389 - - 9364 - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 6899 - - 2926 - - 5260 - - 13008 - - 8214 Hgt.Variab. W* 174 - - 697 - - 678 - - 198 - - 13 W* B/S 12 - - 12 - - 9 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 11 - - 13 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 291 - - 313 - - 313 - - 313 - - 323 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -19 - - -29 - - -23 - - -22 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6774 - - 575 - - 657 - - -7959 - - -5525 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 16139 - - 16428 - - 16733 - - 17323 - - 14890 sfcLCL ODpotential -9380 - - -1347 - - -1269 - - -9737 - - -8892 ODpotential blCL 18744 - - 18349 - - 18658 - - 19101 - - 18256 blCL maxRH 73 - - 72 - - 79 - - 81 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 250 - - 560 - - 260 - - 110 CAPE Temp@2m 69.9 - - 75.5 - - 77.5 - - 76.4 - - 67.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.7 - - 35.6 - - 36.3 - - 32.8 - - 34.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.9 - - 71.5 - - 73.9 - - 74.3 - - 69.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.6 - - 35.4 - - 36.1 - - 32.7 - - 34.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 113 - - 502 - - 442 - - 167 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 564 - - 8202 - - 8589 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 17 - - 22 - - 74 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99406 35 111 29 101 32 108 26 117 20 093 99406 91900 34 098 29 100 29 104 27 096 26 099 91900 86102 26 089 22 106 26 098 25 085 31 099 86102 81287 22 099 19 110 20 089 18 091 27 088 81287 77153 13 100 15 100 17 097 15 094 20 090 77153 73511 11 110 16 107 13 108 15 084 15 115 73511 70215 12 093 12 101 11 125 8 092 14 083 70215 67193 13 107 10 120 9 100 11 139 6 033 67193 64406 11 080 11 111 5 181 3 084 1 150 64406 61714 5 004 4 105 9 170 5 285 1 032 61714 58921 6 308 1 269 3 210 5 253 2 296 58921 56065 4 286 2 023 2 225 4 241 6 216 56065 53387 10 267 6 291 8 260 7 296 6 269 53387 51002 13 275 15 285 17 277 17 275 14 294 51002 48865 17 296 18 286 16 289 19 268 18 293 48865 46915 20 300 20 293 17 305 11 300 14 284 46915 45113 20 304 19 288 18 305 14 329 10 305 45113 43437 22 317 19 289 20 309 16 327 13 328 43437 41867 25 324 19 296 20 309 16 326 16 333 41867 40391 28 321 19 302 20 301 22 331 15 329 40391 39006 28 317 21 301 21 295 24 328 16 325 39006 37687 26 318 22 297 19 296 21 324 17 324 37687 36374 24 314 19 295 19 306 19 319 17 329 36374 35043 20 304 16 291 19 312 14 320 13 323 35043 33698 19 301 13 281 16 298 12 312 9 305 33698 32329 16 290 10 284 13 272 13 293 6 285 32329 30929 12 283 9 296 9 249 15 286 6 281 30929 29506 11 286 10 294 7 244 14 276 8 291 29506 28066 10 293 10 293 5 267 12 257 10 282 28066 26615 9 298 9 293 6 268 10 245 11 268 26615 25158 7 295 7 289 8 268 9 245 12 255 25158 23697 11 283 8 293 10 276 9 250 11 252 23697 22222 18 281 9 304 9 292 7 269 8 260 22222 20754 20 278 11 307 8 313 6 295 5 273 20754 19358 19 270 12 310 8 322 8 307 5 282 19358 18091 18 267 11*319 10*323 10 313 7 306 18091 16955 17 273 10*323 10*323 12 316 9 319 16955 15926 16 284 10 323 11 321 13 317 10 326 15926 14984 16 294 10 322 13 319 14 317 11 329 14984 14119 16 300 11 320 14 317 15 317 11 331 14119 13325 17 304 11 317 14 314 15 316 12 332 13325 12598 16 305 11 313 15 312 16 316 12 332 12598 11933 15 306 11 310 15 310 16 316 13 332 11933 11316 12 306 12 307 15 308 16 315 13 331 11316 10753 10 305 12 304 15 307 16 315 13 330 10753 10269 7 305 11 301 15 305 15 315 12 329 10269 9889 5 303 11 299 14 304 15 314 10 327 9889 9623 4 298 11 298 13 303 14 314 9 324 9623 9459 3*295 10 296 12 302 13*314 7*320 9459 9364 3*291 8 294 10 301 9*313 5*323 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography