DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/28 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 26.5 - - 33.1 - - 27.3 - - 24.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 169 - - 174 - - -15 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9344 - - 9344 - - 9344 - - 9344 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1636 - - 2892 - - 1557 - - 603 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 200 - - 201 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 350 - - 004 - - 020 - - 032 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -45 - - -17 - - -16 - - -35 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6473 - - -9323 - - -7414 - - -7446 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15835 - - 18685 - - 16776 - - 16808 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14513 - - -15925 - - -15249 - - -15975 ODpotential blCL - - - 23874 - - 25286 - - 24610 - - 25336 blCL maxRH - - - 21 - - 20 - - 37 - - 40 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 26.5 - - 33.1 - - 27.3 - - 24.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - -9.1 - - -15.5 - - -12.3 - - -14.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 24.7 - - 30.9 - - 28.3 - - 27.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -10.0 - - -16.7 - - -13.2 - - -15.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 169 - - 174 - - -15 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96095 5 200 21 359 19 001 16 354 96095 89131 14 022 15 035 12 337 11 347 89131 83693 11 008 10 005 15 349 20 019 83693 79113 20 347 8 002 12 329 19 348 79113 75157 20 306 18 316 14 338 13 331 75157 71657 18 288 25 283 23 286 20 306 71657 68467 20 268 25 267 28 265 27 282 68467 65519 31 269 31 265 29 271 29 269 65519 62778 36 261 38 269 29 280 29 264 62778 60114 41 263 46 271 34 283 34 276 60114 57335 49 264 52 270 44 279 42 286 57335 54456 54 262 55 263 51 275 48 284 54456 51708 58 263 54 264 51 275 46 277 51708 49244 62 264 60 271 54 276 48 276 49244 47043 68 264 70 269 62 270 56 278 47043 45043 71 262 78 262 73 264 68 269 45043 43212 72 263 76 259 75 261 75 264 43212 41535 73 267 75 263 82 265 82 262 41535 39995 81 268 84 267 90 266 99 262 39995 38568 94 270 97 269 107 267 117 263 38568 37233 97 268 104 269 122 266 132 261 37233 35961 93 265 103 266 130 265 129 261 35961 34694 81 266 91 265 122 267 120 263 34694 33410 66 268 69 265 99 266 102 267 33410 32121 52 267 44 269 75 264 73 270 32121 30821 42 264 36 274 51 262 49 263 30821 29503 38 263 33 280 36 270 37 265 29503 28167 34 265 31 285 34 280 32 275 28167 26814 28 281 30 287 34 281 31 281 26814 25449 28 304 30 287 34 278 30 283 25449 24077 31 317 30 285 32 276 29 284 24077 22697 33 319 30 285 28 276 27 285 22697 21302 34 321 30 292 26 291 26 291 21302 19916 35 325 31 303 27 310 26 303 19916 18601 37 328 30 308 28 317 25 314 18601 17414 39 329 27 307 26 319 23 320 17414 16354 40 329 25 311 23 321 20 324 16354 15397 41 329 24 322 19 324 17 326 15397 14525 42 329 24 335 16 335 13 327 14525 13727 43 330 23 346 13 349 9 334 13727 12995 44 333 21 354 13 005 6 353 12995 12327 45 337 20 360 13 018 5 024 12327 11715 44 341 19 002 14 025 7 045 11715 11148 41 345 17 003 14 029 8 057 11148 10632 36 348 14 004 14 030 10 065 10632 10189 31 349 11 004 12 028 12 063 10189 9841 26 350 10 003 10 025 13 058 9841 9597 23 350 9 004 9 023 11 049 9597 9448 20*350 8*003 7*021 9*040 9448 9361 12*350 6*004 4*020 5*032 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography