DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/23 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.2 - - 68.6 - - 69.3 - - 63.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 253 - - 306 - - 136 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 564 - - 564 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8945 - - 8991 - - 9347 - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9364 - - 9364 - - 9364 - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4538 - - 6274 - - 6894 - - 3562 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 232 - - 244 - - 186 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 7 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 212 - - 256 - - 292 - - 352 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 18 - - 9 - - -6 - - -18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -438 - - -2020 - - -2757 - - -1314 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9803 - - 11385 - - 12122 - - 10678 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2178 - - -3606 - - -4902 - - -5199 ODpotential blCL - - - 11542 - - 12970 - - 14266 - - 14563 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 99 - - 88 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 840 - - 890 - - 620 - - 480 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.2 - - 68.6 - - 69.3 - - 63.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.9 - - 50.5 - - 48.1 - - 48.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.4 - - 65.5 - - 67.5 - - 65.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.9 - - 50.0 - - 47.8 - - 48.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 253 - - 306 - - 136 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 564 - - 564 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 58 - - 97 - - 51 - - 13 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 11 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99484 33 103 44 096 36 102 30 105 99484 91933 38 099 33 098 29 092 31 087 91933 86119 38 100 26 100 29 088 34 085 86119 81312 33 098 29 105 27 098 33 086 81312 77197 26 080 30 101 28 092 29 091 77197 73580 23 090 23 096 23 099 27 085 73580 70320 22 099 21 105 19 119 18 091 70320 67343 22 103 20 116 16 117 15 120 67343 64594 21 117 17 123 11 087 18 120 64594 61941 12 119 10 117 12 084 15 108 61941 59202 9 117 10 158 4 056 9 092 59202 56399 3 103 7 157 6 217 3 205 56399 53749 18 254 9 250 8 239 11 236 53749 51368 29 243 27 247 24 256 21 259 51368 49221 30 248 29 245 29 258 29 260 49221 47262 28 261 27 253 32 259 29 265 47262 45455 28 270 26 264 28 259 29 275 45455 43769 25 268 21 263 26 271 28 280 43769 42182 15 253 18 246 23 275 25 282 42182 40684 17 248 17 240 22 265 20 287 40684 39279 19 250 15 251 22 259 18 272 39279 37943 19 253 15 269 20 260 17 274 37943 36616 18 252 16 271 18 267 16 277 36616 35268 16 251 15 258 17 267 15 272 35268 33908 13 263 12 258 14 263 15 262 33908 32524 11 282 12 281 10 266 11 258 32524 31108 14 291 15 293 10 286 10 268 31108 29668 15 284 15 291 11 294 11 278 29668 28209 13 268 13 285 12 294 12 287 28209 26738 10 268 13 271 13 290 12 299 26738 25261 9 292 14 270 14 288 10 307 25261 23775 13 307 12 278 12 294 8 323 23775 22276 17 306 10 291 9 306 9 316 22276 20784 16 302 11 295 7 311 8 311 20784 19371 15 293 9 303 6 335 5 313 19371 18093 13 286 7 303 5 333 4 313 18093 16951 12 288 7 295 5 320 6 306 16951 15917 10 294 8 286 6 296 7 307 15917 14973 9 296 8 279 6 288 8 303 14973 14107 8 291 8 277 8 287 9 300 14107 13313 8 290 8 275 8 287 9 297 13313 12588 6 288 8 273 8 290 8 297 12588 11924 5 274 8 271 8 291 8 302 11924 11308 4 250 8 268 8 292 8 309 11308 10747 5 240 8 266 8 294 7 320 10747 10265 5 232 8 264 8 294 7 329 10265 9887 4 223 8 261 7 294 6 340 9887 9621 4 218 8 260 7 294 6 347 9621 9458 4*216 7*258 6*293 5*351 9458 9364 4*212 6*256 5*292 4*352 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography