DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/09 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 68.6 - - 77.2 - - 80.4 - - 77.5 - - 67.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 80 - - 457 - - 497 - - 181 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 564 - - 9079 - - 12745 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit 9347 - - 15780 - - 18857 - - 9347 - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top 9364 - - 17879 - - 21545 - - 9364 - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1942 - - 4251 - - 2703 - - 13603 - - 2024 Hgt.Variab. W* 155 - - 698 - - 805 - - 203 - - 16 W* B/S 7 - - 33 - - 17 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 9 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 092 - - 286 - - 285 - - 288 - - 309 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 11 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 34 - - -8 - - -12 - - -23 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7839 - - -750 - - 1071 - - -10071 - - -5688 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 17204 - - 18630 - - 20475 - - 19436 - - 15053 sfcLCL ODpotential -10878 - - -3111 - - -680 - - -11821 - - -9625 ODpotential blCL 20242 - - 20990 - - 22225 - - 21185 - - 18989 blCL maxRH 71 - - 69 - - 72 - - 75 - - 76 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 70 - - 50 - - 40 - - 220 CAPE Temp@2m 68.6 - - 77.2 - - 80.4 - - 77.5 - - 67.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.1 - - 27.7 - - 22.4 - - 24.5 - - 33.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 66.9 - - 73.3 - - 76.6 - - 75.2 - - 68.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.0 - - 27.4 - - 22.0 - - 24.3 - - 33.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 80 - - 457 - - 497 - - 181 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 564 - - 9079 - - 12745 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 2 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99342 33 102 34 095 30 103 32 103 26 088 99342 91827 36 101 27 107 32 101 26 100 28 090 91827 86008 29 097 25 114 28 094 24 110 24 077 86008 81189 27 086 20 102 27 100 21 093 21 098 81189 77052 22 080 20 111 17 086 22 088 20 097 77052 73412 17 089 19 106 10 123 17 065 19 091 73412 70133 9 098 12 117 12 119 7 073 12 073 70133 67129 2 131 12 117 4 109 5 119 6 092 67129 64335 8 204 4 141 8 140 4 171 4 168 64335 61629 7 174 1 314 9 221 5 293 3 307 61629 58844 1 289 4 357 4 226 10 249 7 288 58844 56009 16 288 10 291 9 322 11 276 5 284 56009 53340 22 288 17 263 16 291 16 284 7 280 53340 50947 16 309 16 272 18 266 18 270 15 291 50947 48797 23 323 23 308 22 280 21 282 22 294 48797 46840 27 313 32 310 28 295 24 296 25 295 46840 45039 28 306 34 306 32 299 26 302 28 300 45039 43361 31 310 35 306 34 299 30 304 31 303 43361 41787 35 312 36 308 34 303 30 307 33 305 41787 40306 35 310 36 311 33 308 29 311 31 306 40306 38920 32 311 31 316 28 312 30 314 28 304 38920 37604 29 316 24 321 22 315 24 313 25 304 37604 36296 24 317 19 327 19 310 17 311 19 298 36296 34967 19 312 18 327 14 289 14 304 15 276 34967 33624 14 313 17 317 14 295 15 297 14 278 33624 32260 10 327 13 299 15 297 15 286 15 282 32260 30869 11 344 9 296 14 297 12 279 16 281 30869 29457 13 331 5 304 10 297 9 276 16 279 29457 28027 13 312 5 316 8 286 7 265 12 269 28027 26585 11 316 4 284 8 246 10 244 12 256 26585 25139 8 331 2 252 6 203 8 216 13 235 25139 23685 6 336 2 292 2 174 6 168 12 220 23685 22215 3 282 8 282 2*356 3 136 9 217 22215 20750 4 224 11 273 3*347 2 106 6 212 20750 19356 5 236 12 278 4 314 3 319 4 200 19356 18090 6 261 11*288 5 305 5 313 2 228 18090 16954 8 275 9*303 7 297 8 308 4 303 16954 15924 9 279 7 315 8 292 10 305 9 316 15924 14982 9 282 6 317 9 288 12 302 12 317 14982 14118 10 285 5 313 10 284 14 299 15 314 14118 13324 10 288 4 303 11 282 15 298 16 310 13324 12598 9 287 4 290 12 280 15 296 17 305 12598 11932 6 284 3 254 13 278 16 294 18 301 11932 11315 1 270 4 237 13 276 16 293 19 297 11315 10753 1 122 4 224 13 275 16 292 19 295 10753 10269 5 097 4 215 13 273 16 291 18 294 10269 9889 6 092 5 209 13 272 15 290 16 295 9889 9622 5 090 5 207 13 271 15 290 13 298 9622 9458 5*089 5 204 12 270 13*289 10*301 9458 9364 4*092 4 202 9 269 10*288 5*309 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography