DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/04 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 39.7 - - 44.2 - - 42.9 - - 34.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 297 - - 347 - - 64 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8977 - - 9014 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2845 - - 4984 - - 4663 - - 2574 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 240 - - 253 - - 144 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 7 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 172 - - 222 - - 231 - - 310 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 18 - - 19 - - 11 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5172 - - -6089 - - -6726 - - -5232 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14534 - - 15452 - - 16089 - - 14595 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10496 - - -10743 - - -11934 - - -12030 ODpotential blCL - - - 19858 - - 20105 - - 21296 - - 21392 blCL maxRH - - - 34 - - 35 - - 72 - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 39.7 - - 44.2 - - 42.9 - - 34.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 9.1 - - 9.3 - - 5.5 - - 3.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 36.8 - - 41.2 - - 41.7 - - 38.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 8.5 - - 8.8 - - 4.8 - - 3.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 297 - - 347 - - 64 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96306 23 272 26 265 20 298 23 274 96306 89110 16 269 19 247 27 275 31 298 89110 83624 12 251 10 270 23 262 21 291 83624 79110 11 273 16 297 16 300 13 318 79110 75256 10 264 19 268 20 298 19 336 75256 71876 10 277 19 261 19 282 17 313 71876 68805 21 294 21 279 20 284 19 281 68805 65952 29 287 27 277 25 278 25 279 65952 63277 34 279 37 275 35 275 33 274 63277 60656 43 268 46 270 43 273 40 267 60656 57897 50 266 54 271 52 271 49 266 57897 55015 59 267 63 266 61 268 60 265 55015 52245 65 266 67 263 65 264 67 262 52245 49734 69 266 70 262 67 265 66 264 49734 47470 71 268 71 264 69 267 61 267 47470 45403 73 270 66 266 65 265 62 269 45403 43503 67 272 60 268 55 263 63 265 43503 41749 60 273 56 270 50 266 57 262 41749 40134 54 278 54 272 49 269 49 263 40134 38650 53 282 52 272 46 271 47 269 38650 37291 53 282 46 269 43 271 49 271 37291 36021 43 285 39 269 43 267 45 269 36021 34771 36 292 33 265 36 267 40 273 34771 33508 34 295 28 261 33 268 38 277 33508 32234 33 291 27 262 32 262 38 277 32234 30941 30 288 28 265 28 252 40 276 30941 29621 24 290 28 266 26 249 40 275 29621 28279 23 302 26 268 25 248 34 271 28279 26921 26 304 23 271 26 248 32 259 26921 25555 28 301 22 275 26 248 33 249 25555 24184 26 300 22 278 26 247 34 244 24184 22804 20 312 21 274 25 245 33 241 22804 21409 16 336 15 264 22 243 31 240 21409 20019 12 341 11 249 21 241 28 241 20019 18699 10 310 12 244 21 241 25 240 18699 17506 11 283 13 249 20 240 23 240 17506 16438 13 272 13 252 19 238 22 240 16438 15475 13 267 13 251 17 236 23 239 15475 14596 12 264 11 245 14 235 23 238 14596 13791 10 262 9 240 11 233 22 237 13791 13052 8 257 8 238 9 234 21 237 13052 12377 5 242 8 237 9 233 19 236 12377 11757 4 213 9 234 9 233 16 234 11757 11183 4 197 9 232 9 232 13 228 11183 10658 4 187 9 230 9 232 10 221 10658 10206 5 181 9 228 9 232 7 217 10206 9852 5 178 9 226 9 232 5 222 9852 9603 5 175 9 224 8 231 4 229 9603 9450 5*174 8*223 7*231 3*238 9450 9362 5*172 7*222 6*231 1*310 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography