DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/19 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 33.8 - - 35.1 - - 33.2 - - 32.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 68 - - 43 - - -7 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2775 - - 3747 - - 2199 - - 1454 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 150 - - 130 - - 21 - - 32 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 7 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 124 - - 156 - - 106 - - 086 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 20 - - -2 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -691 - - -757 - - -1142 - - -1797 ODpotential blCL - - - 10053 - - 10119 - - 10504 - - 11159 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 97 - - 88 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 140 - - 10 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 33.8 - - 35.1 - - 33.2 - - 32.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.5 - - 31.7 - - 31.3 - - 29.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 32.3 - - 33.8 - - 33.4 - - 33.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.6 - - 31.0 - - 31.0 - - 29.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 68 - - 43 - - -7 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 98 - - 88 - - 52 - - 73 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96492 18 268 13 314 17 315 23 337 96492 89478 7 333 5 358 8 323 13 354 89478 84037 4 003 3 014 8 310 13 349 84037 79470 7 050 2 095 8 013 8 319 79470 75502 5 125 5 048 10 032 4 098 75502 71972 9 121 5 040 4 314 3 055 71972 68779 6 354 8 322 4 053 2 358 68779 65857 13 304 9 283 5 331 7 323 65857 63147 17 286 11 266 13 283 12 299 63147 60509 20 288 9 279 14 275 17 275 60509 57733 26 274 19 278 18 274 17 264 57733 54833 26 260 23 278 22 266 21 260 54833 52057 32 254 29 263 28 259 23 265 52057 49558 36 236 36 246 29 252 27 256 49558 47320 39 229 41 233 33 245 31 244 47320 45292 38 228 43 231 42 246 35 245 45292 43428 43 235 48 234 55 233 44 242 43428 41703 55 238 57 233 59 231 55 229 41703 40102 68 240 66 232 64 230 59 228 40102 38611 75 236 72 231 67 229 61 227 38611 37226 76 232 75 232 67 229 60 225 37226 35921 75 228 77 231 66 230 62 227 35921 34637 73 225 77 228 66 232 67 228 34637 33350 69 223 73 226 67 232 72 227 33350 32073 65 223 66 226 68 231 76 224 32073 30789 60 224 59 227 67 231 72 222 30789 29484 55 224 54 226 64 230 64 221 29484 28158 50 222 53 224 59 226 63 221 28158 26814 48 221 50 223 53 227 60 221 26814 25456 48 220 47 224 49 230 55 222 25456 24092 46 221 43 225 45 228 49 225 24092 22716 41 223 39 223 40 225 46 227 22716 21328 35 223 35 220 39 224 48 225 21328 19948 30 222 31 217 38 222 47 222 19948 18642 28 220 28 211 35 219 42 219 18642 17462 27 215 25 206 31 214 37 216 17462 16405 26 210 23 204 28 209 32 211 16405 15449 25 202 22 203 27 206 30 203 15449 14576 23 191 21 202 25 203 29 197 14576 13773 22 181 20 199 23 201 28 193 13773 13037 20 174 19 194 21 197 26 185 13037 12363 19 168 17 189 18 191 23 173 12363 11746 18 162 16 183 16 183 21 160 11746 11174 17 154 14 177 13 171 20 148 11174 10651 15 142 13 170 11 157 20 137 10651 10202 13 132 11 163 10 139 19 124 10202 9849 11 127 10 160 9 122 17 112 9849 9601 9 125 10 158 8 112 14 104 9601 9449 8*125 9*157 6*108 10*099 9449 9362 6*124 7*156 4*106 5*086 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography