DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/08 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.6 - - 42.8 - - 45.4 - - 40.0 - - 38.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 56 - - 42 - - -12 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1082 - - 1780 - - 2326 - - 745 - - 853 Hgt.Variab. W* 23 - - 146 - - 137 - - 31 - - 13 W* B/S 1 - - 71 - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 031 - - 266 - - 315 - - 353 - - 034 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -20 - - 2 - - -11 - - -15 - - -17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3762 - - -2158 - - -1292 - - 0 - - -1178 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13124 - - 11521 - - 10654 - - 9362 - - 10540 sfcLCL ODpotential -12052 - - -8389 - - -6515 - - -5626 - - -8530 ODpotential blCL 21414 - - 17751 - - 15877 - - 14988 - - 17892 blCL maxRH 31 - - 44 - - 53 - - 62 - - 49 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.6 - - 42.8 - - 45.4 - - 40.0 - - 38.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 11.8 - - 25.3 - - 31.4 - - 33.2 - - 25.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.1 - - 41.5 - - 44.3 - - 42.2 - - 43.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 10.7 - - 24.2 - - 30.2 - - 32.1 - - 24.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 56 - - 42 - - -12 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96408 48 282 56 271 63 270 67 275 73 279 96408 89292 30 288 37 283 33 273 38 276 35 275 89292 83822 20 284 22 278 28 287 23 283 18 286 83822 79253 19 287 16 273 26 275 27 282 22 309 79253 75310 19 281 11 269 22 269 26 274 25 305 75310 71840 20 294 12 292 18 273 19 260 24 283 71840 68710 22 291 17 294 16 282 15 277 21 271 68710 65836 17 279 18 274 14 280 19 294 17 290 65836 63173 17 287 18 277 15 271 23 283 22 296 63173 60593 19 286 20 287 18 266 25 273 26 274 60593 57893 22 288 23 286 23 286 24 273 29 256 57893 55080 26 281 32 278 30 283 29 266 32 264 55080 52397 25 277 36 269 36 266 31 258 38 264 52397 49979 27 285 34 272 37 270 34 271 37 267 49979 47798 37 295 39 285 41 286 39 282 37 280 47798 45813 42 300 41 295 41 295 39 295 33 281 45813 44003 40 310 34 303 37 301 37 307 23 286 44003 42343 31 314 26 319 27 304 31 313 20 296 42343 40805 21 334 22 346 16 327 26 317 20 302 40805 39367 25 019 22 012 15 340 22 319 19 300 39367 38025 37 025 25 021 15 349 21 321 12 310 38025 36752 43 021 28 019 17 357 20 328 9 324 36752 35487 42 027 30 014 23 359 22 343 11 341 35487 34203 39 033 30 013 28 357 25 351 17 347 34203 32905 37 040 26 018 28 360 24 357 21 350 32905 31585 35 044 23 027 23 006 20 005 21 355 31585 30237 30 044 23 031 20 015 17 008 19 360 30237 28866 26 040 23 032 19 023 16 016 18 003 28866 27476 25 034 25 032 19 026 15 023 16 006 27476 26071 26 033 25 033 20 030 15 029 17 009 26071 24658 27 032 24 035 20 039 15 041 17 013 24658 23234 27 032 24 038 21 048 15 057 17 021 23234 21793 25 033 24 044 20 054 15 066 16 030 21793 20358 20 031 21 052 17 059 12 068 14 037 20358 18995 16 028 17 053 15 062 10 061 12 041 18995 17759 13 027 13 050 12 058 9 056 11 043 17759 16653 11 026 10 044 10 049 8 053 10 044 16653 15653 10 025 8 037 8 037 7 052 9 047 15653 14741 9 022 7 025 7 024 6 056 8 054 14741 13906 7 019 5 005 7 010 6 063 7 062 13906 13142 6 018 5 346 6 001 6 064 6 069 13142 12445 4 025 4 330 6 358 6 057 6 072 12445 11807 3 052 4 318 7 353 5 053 5 074 11807 11218 2 096 4 312 7 345 5 058 4 078 11218 10681 4 108 3 317 7 335 5 045 4 082 10681 10221 6 104 2 321 7 329 6 017 4 084 10221 9860 6 095 1 307 7 325 6 003 4 081 9860 9607 5 076 1 287 6 322 6 357 4 068 9607 9452 4*067 0*288 5*319 5*351 3*064 9452 9362 3*031 0*266 4*315 3*353 3*034 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography