DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/19 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 13.7 - - 14.9 - - - - - 13.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 141 - - 152 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 560 - - 560 - - - - - 560 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9343 - - 9343 - - - - - 9343 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9360 - - 9360 - - - - - 9360 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3280 - - 3480 - - - - - 2098 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 190 - - 195 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 8 - - - - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 285 - - 271 - - - - - 035 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -11 - - -5 - - - - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1926 - - -675 - - - - - -1209 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11286 - - 10035 - - - - - 10570 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4605 - - -2443 - - - - - -4772 ODpotential blCL - - - 13965 - - 11803 - - - - - 14132 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 81 - - - - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 13.7 - - 14.9 - - - - - 13.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - -2.4 - - 4.2 - - - - - 0.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 11.7 - - 13.1 - - - - - 14.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -3.4 - - 3.1 - - - - - -0.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 141 - - 152 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 560 - - 560 - - - - - 560 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 31 - - 24 - - - - - 91 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96610 36 119 31 098 27 090 96610 89470 31 108 30 110 25 087 89470 83923 19 095 15 104 18 097 83923 79285 10 107 8 116 9 070 79285 75267 2 029 3 147 4 042 75267 71698 3 253 4 226 3 027 71698 68458 2 126 4 226 3 340 68458 65467 3 307 9 229 8 308 65467 62677 18 222 20 212 18 238 62677 59960 20 229 13 199 18 210 59960 57113 29 246 15 243 20 253 57113 54162 46 247 27 251 29 247 54162 51343 45 242 40 252 38 255 51343 48788 39 238 48 252 48 268 48788 46488 38 242 53 262 59 269 46488 44408 43 260 67 265 69 262 44408 42509 60 268 78 267 75 263 42509 40750 72 270 86 265 84 264 40750 39112 86 267 89 262 92 263 39112 37591 100 263 89 262 100 263 37591 36193 100 263 92 264 110 262 36193 34892 100 267 98 265 119 260 34892 33617 108 270 99 267 119 258 33617 32338 111 267 97 270 111 257 32338 31061 110 263 100 274 101 258 31061 29782 105 262 105 273 95 261 29782 28493 104 262 110 270 92 264 28493 27198 107 262 113 266 91 264 27198 25893 111 261 109 266 91 263 25893 24580 111 260 98 268 87 262 24580 23270 104 262 82 268 79 262 23270 21962 89 266 67 269 66 266 21962 20653 74 271 60 278 53 272 20653 19358 62 275 58 288 44 274 19358 18129 52 276 53 293 42 272 18129 17018 45 276 46 291 40 266 17018 16022 39 277 41 284 37 258 16022 15122 34 280 39 276 34 248 15122 14300 30 285 35 270 30 241 14300 13546 26 291 30 267 27 236 13546 12853 22 296 25 265 26 233 12853 12217 19 299 20 264 24 230 12217 11632 16 300 16 265 21 226 11632 11089 13 298 14 268 18 220 11089 10591 12 296 13 271 14 212 10591 10163 12 293 13 272 10 201 10163 9826 11 291 12 272 6 191 9826 9590 10 289 11 272 4 183 9590 9444 9*287 10*272 2*181 9444 9360 7*285 8*271 1*035 9360 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography