DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/07 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.9 - - 55.1 - - 54.2 - - 45.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 516 - - 525 - - 191 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4571 - - 7013 - - 563 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12166 - - 14152 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13371 - - 15813 - - 9363 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1592 - - 2605 - - 8507 - - 3347 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 580 - - 674 - - 208 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 8 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 15 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 301 - - 318 - - 331 - - 332 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 27 - - -31 - - -33 - - -25 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2837 - - -806 - - -6708 - - -4664 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16209 - - 16620 - - 16072 - - 14027 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6761 - - -3476 - - -9181 - - -9034 ODpotential blCL - - - 20132 - - 19289 - - 18544 - - 18396 blCL maxRH - - - 42 - - 55 - - 54 - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.9 - - 55.1 - - 54.2 - - 45.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 11.6 - - 14.7 - - 16.3 - - 16.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.2 - - 51.3 - - 52.0 - - 47.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 10.9 - - 13.7 - - 15.6 - - 16.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 516 - - 525 - - 191 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4571 - - 7013 - - 563 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97915 14 240 15 274 24 299 15 322 97915 90510 13 263 14 270 11 299 12 294 90510 84794 18 259 14 278 13 283 6 327 84794 80022 15 248 15 237 17 268 11 293 80022 75926 11 245 18 234 16 260 15 270 75926 72334 13 268 20 252 16 269 15 276 72334 69075 18 269 19 259 22 267 18 279 69075 66055 25 259 27 274 29 277 27 296 66055 63259 28 252 35 265 34 267 35 286 63259 60565 30 263 32 263 30 262 35 272 60565 57751 38 271 37 276 33 279 30 280 57751 54835 42 262 42 269 35 278 34 289 54835 52077 32 270 34 270 31 269 36 281 52077 49608 35 282 30 278 30 277 34 275 49608 47401 34 278 33 274 34 276 35 277 47401 45415 35 276 35 268 32 277 31 263 45415 43613 33 277 28 293 26 304 27 306 43613 41966 28 295 32 307 30 321 32 331 41966 40445 22 298 26 306 29 338 39 343 40445 39027 16 337 26 337 33 351 44 347 39027 37700 28 360 33 351 36 353 45 347 37700 36437 36 001 36 351 36 354 43 345 36437 35178 35 359 35 348 33 353 40 342 35178 33900 31 355 33 343 32 351 37 339 33900 32609 28 346 30 340 30 349 35 337 32609 31295 26 338 29 339 27 346 32 338 31295 29954 26 330 28 337 26 343 30 338 29954 28591 25 324 26 331 26 343 26 337 28591 27212 24 323 24 320 24 342 24 335 27212 25820 23 327 24 316 21 337 24 334 25820 24422 25 332 25 320 19 325 25 332 24422 23016 27 335 25 326 19 317 26 331 23016 21598 28 333 24 331 19 319 27 333 21598 20189 25 329 23 333 19 330 27 335 20189 18856 23 325 19 334 19 341 27 337 18856 17650 21 325 16 337 18 346 27 338 17650 16571 19 328 14*335 17 345 26 338 16571 15594 18 337 14*333 18 344 24 336 15594 14701 15 344 14 330 18 342 21 333 14701 13881 10*340 14 327 19 341 20 328 13881 13129 10*337 15 323 19 339 19 326 13129 12440 9 328 15 317 19 337 18 326 12440 11808 7 310 16 315 19 336 18 327 11808 11222 7 298 16 311 19 335 18 329 11222 10686 7 288 16 309 19 334 17 331 10686 10225 7 278 15 306 18 333 16 331 10225 9863 7 271 15 304 18 333 14 332 9863 9609 6 267 14 303 17 332 12 332 9609 9453 6 264 13 302 15*332 9*331 9453 9362 5 259 10 300 11*331 5*332 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography