DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/03 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 23.3 - - 23.4 - - 17.6 - - 15.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 87 - - 55 - - -5 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9344 - - 9344 - - 9344 - - 9344 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2971 - - 2908 - - 1237 - - 804 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 162 - - 139 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 141 - - 206 - - 023 - - 025 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 12 - - 22 - - -10 - - -37 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -417 - - -164 - - -1945 - - -3457 ODpotential blCL - - - 9778 - - 9525 - - 11306 - - 12818 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 101 - - 89 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 70 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 23.3 - - 23.4 - - 17.6 - - 15.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.9 - - 22.2 - - 15.0 - - 10.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 21.6 - - 21.9 - - 20.2 - - 18.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.8 - - 21.7 - - 18.1 - - 12.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 87 - - 55 - - -5 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 103 - - 56 - - 26 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96484 11 065 16 067 13 075 8 074 96484 89377 13 095 18 064 10 054 10 040 89377 83867 10 090 10 062 3 075 8 018 83867 79266 5 100 2 352 1 356 14 020 79266 75283 9 013 2 024 5 329 19 009 75283 71762 12 314 8 344 9 351 17 003 71762 68567 9 294 15 312 16 351 14 002 68567 65616 15 290 21 305 21 340 14 334 65616 62865 18 279 22 294 23 323 14 321 62865 60180 17 285 21 292 25 317 18 331 60180 57354 19 287 24 291 28 309 26 324 57354 54402 23 285 23 287 29 296 35 314 54402 51575 26 291 22 293 28 289 39 300 51575 49025 33 289 24 290 26 287 36 292 49025 46742 37 282 26 292 24 288 30 288 46742 44678 39 275 30 291 27 288 28 289 44678 42794 43 267 37 280 31 282 28 288 42794 41055 47 257 46 266 33 278 27 286 41055 39440 51 254 48 260 33 278 24 285 39440 37940 54 254 45 256 33 275 21 285 37940 36550 56 253 43 252 31 265 20 281 36550 35242 57 251 42 250 30 261 18 277 35242 33950 59 248 43 250 32 257 14 283 33950 32651 61 245 46 249 33 255 12 303 32651 31356 60 245 49 250 31 257 13 327 31356 30059 58 248 47 250 28 260 16 320 30059 28757 54 248 40 248 22 256 13 301 28757 27458 44 244 28 248 8 241 6 309 27458 26160 37 244 21 247 5 229 7 322 26160 24855 32 246 16 258 5 221 4 341 24855 23547 29 248 12 254 5 185 5 029 23547 22231 26 245 9 239 3 163 8 032 22231 20903 23 236 9 220 3 243 7 024 20903 19580 18 212 8 192 3 244 7 005 19580 18325 14 191 7 156 1 226 7 351 18325 17187 9 176 5 140 3 009 6 351 17187 16168 6 173 3 126 7 357 5 004 16168 15245 4 186 3 112 10 354 5 024 15245 14401 4 200 2 096 12 355 6 040 14401 13627 4 211 1 064 13 000 8 049 13627 12915 4 217 0 242 14 007 10 054 12915 12264 3 218 2 223 14 012 12 057 12264 11668 2 210 4 219 15 015 14 058 11668 11114 2 133 6 216 14 017 16 056 11114 10608 3 123 7 213 13 018 17 051 10608 10174 3 127 7 211 11 018 18 042 10174 9832 4 134 7 209 8 017 18 035 9832 9593 4 138 7 209 6 017 16 029 9593 9445 4*139 7*208 4*019 13*027 9445 9361 3*141 5*206 3*023 7*025 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography