DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/14 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 34.3 - - 31.6 - - 29.1 - - 29.5 - - 25.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 13 - - 57 - - 45 - - 20 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9345 - - 9344 - - 9344 - - 9344 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9362 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1151 - - 3837 - - 2518 - - 2285 - - 521 Hgt.Variab. W* 86 - - 143 - - 130 - - 99 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 199 - - 213 - - 226 - - 238 - - 321 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 18 - - 16 - - 14 - - 7 - - -17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9362 - - 9362 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 sfcLCL ODpotential 0 - - -476 - - -196 - - -159 - - -2248 ODpotential blCL 9362 - - 9838 - - 9557 - - 9520 - - 11609 blCL maxRH 101 - - 98 - - 101 - - 101 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 30 - - 30 - - 30 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 34.3 - - 31.6 - - 29.1 - - 29.5 - - 25.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.2 - - 29.3 - - 27.8 - - 28.6 - - 23.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 33.4 - - 30.3 - - 27.8 - - 28.4 - - 26.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.1 - - 28.4 - - 27.5 - - 28.6 - - 24.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 13 - - 57 - - 45 - - 20 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 104 - - 90 - - 104 - - 104 - - 49 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97515 11 283 20 267 27 265 20 298 14 293 97515 90298 8 268 12 246 16 260 14 288 17 293 90298 84711 6 287 5 235 10 238 12 241 15 285 84711 80062 0 282 2 225 9 191 6 208 7 264 80062 76079 4 027 6 123 8 150 1 314 2 115 76079 72568 4 328 9 053 11 113 3 106 5 081 72568 69385 5 224 1 302 3 027 6 038 6 045 69385 66471 5 167 3 139 5 230 3 290 4 358 66471 63781 2 203 6 292 6 298 4 309 6 330 63781 61175 8 090 12 192 11 234 5 312 5 322 61175 58445 6 298 9 197 13 218 15 253 15 254 58445 55585 22 238 16 245 24 222 24 228 21 247 55585 52833 29 216 22 233 22 210 21 216 22 247 52833 50341 26 217 21 242 17 228 18 254 25 244 50341 48088 35 234 31 237 33 246 33 245 22 238 48088 46024 52 231 43 232 39 233 33 230 26 266 46024 44129 66 224 57 227 35 225 25 245 30 261 44129 42370 72 219 61 219 34 228 34 256 28 258 42370 40724 75 218 56 215 38 229 43 245 39 255 40724 39184 79 218 53 218 41 231 40 233 46 254 39184 37750 83 216 61 219 45 234 34 229 51 251 37750 36394 84 215 72 215 51 232 42 244 56 248 36394 35056 87 214 79 208 52 227 49 243 57 244 35056 33709 90 211 78 205 50 223 49 243 49 247 33709 32358 91 209 74 203 50 224 47 247 47 251 32358 30999 94 207 76 202 47 224 47 249 48 254 30999 29623 98 203 80 201 42 226 45 247 49 257 29623 28240 97 198 86 200 41 232 44 243 42 260 28240 26858 93 196 92 197 43 231 39 247 21 279 26858 25480 90 197 94 195 41 232 31 264 36 002 25480 24104 83 195 88 195 39 241 22 288 43 355 24104 22722 66 189 72 197 35 239 19 296 38 352 22722 21327 53 179 53 193 33 240 22 290 28 351 21327 19943 50 180 45 182 32 245 24 288 26 328 19943 18631 41 176 43 176 30 244 24 285 28 313 18631 17444 38 173 40 176 27 240 24 280 28 304 17444 16383 36 174 38 180 25 234 25 275 27 300 16383 15422 35 179 35 185 24 230 24 272 26 297 15422 14546 35 188 32 188 22 228 20 271 24 295 14546 13743 35 196 29 190 21 229 18 274 23 293 13743 13007 33 200 27 192 20 229 16 273 21 291 13007 12336 31 202 24 194 20 229 15 268 19 291 12336 11722 29 201 21 197 19 229 15 263 17 292 11722 11154 26 201 19 201 18 229 14 257 16 294 11154 10636 23 200 16 206 17 229 13 251 15 297 10636 10191 19 199 14 211 16 229 12 247 14 301 10191 9842 16 199 12 213 15 229 10 244 12 308 9842 9598 14 200 11 214 13 229 9 242 11 316 9598 9448 12*200 10*214 11*228 8*241 8*319 9448 9361 7*199 8*213 8*226 6*238 4*321 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography