DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/30 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 19.8 - - 25.9 - - 28.5 - - 25.4 - - 21.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 61 - - 39 - - -27 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit 9344 - - 9344 - - 9344 - - 9344 - - 9344 Hcrit BL Top 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 707 - - 1727 - - 3624 - - 2814 - - 965 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 145 - - 128 - - 33 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 8 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 8 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 037 - - 160 - - 226 - - 244 - - 296 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -17 - - 7 - - 16 - - 4 - - -16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 sfcLCL ODpotential -5667 - - -2083 - - -1842 - - -2435 - - -1561 ODpotential blCL 15028 - - 11444 - - 11203 - - 11796 - - 10922 blCL maxRH 92 - - 88 - - 91 - - 96 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 19.8 - - 25.9 - - 28.5 - - 25.4 - - 21.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 13.0 - - 20.2 - - 21.0 - - 20.0 - - 19.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 22.7 - - 24.3 - - 27.4 - - 26.8 - - 22.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 12.4 - - 19.1 - - 19.9 - - 19.1 - - 21.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 61 - - 39 - - -27 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 70 - - 53 - - 63 - - 83 - - 91 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96794 31 067 32 065 41 078 39 070 29 090 96794 89576 39 080 36 084 45 078 39 078 37 072 89576 83967 37 081 38 078 45 075 41 078 44 067 83967 79292 31 069 32 068 33 066 38 079 45 069 79292 75248 21 056 18 075 21 047 34 066 36 075 75248 71660 14 026 20 067 10 040 17 025 33 053 71660 68406 15 006 16 018 6 032 11 009 24 021 68406 65427 17 326 16 354 8 292 17 323 16 359 65427 62665 21 328 14 325 11 302 16 305 14 338 62665 59987 24 299 20 310 21 313 19 311 18 312 59987 57174 31 295 22 286 24 296 22 300 20 302 57174 54244 44 291 22 293 19 293 17 295 29 291 54244 51450 57 287 30 289 27 276 21 281 38 293 51450 48935 70 284 51 283 45 283 33 291 46 291 48935 46690 81 278 63 276 59 276 50 279 50 285 46690 44661 83 271 71 269 62 272 52 272 55 274 44661 42804 80 266 73 267 63 276 55 276 55 266 42804 41085 75 268 75 270 74 280 68 280 56 270 41085 39487 75 269 83 273 87 276 81 276 65 275 39487 38005 75 268 88 270 96 270 89 271 75 273 38005 36635 74 268 86 266 94 265 95 268 85 268 36635 35350 71 270 83 262 89 267 101 266 93 264 35350 34089 68 273 79 262 87 273 105 264 102 262 34089 32822 64 277 77 266 90 277 106 263 111 262 32822 31551 62 280 73 269 88 279 104 263 116 262 31551 30265 61 282 70 272 82 278 99 266 114 261 30265 28958 59 285 70 276 78 276 96 270 105 261 28958 27636 55 288 70 281 76 274 90 272 95 264 27636 26307 50 288 67 283 75 273 82 270 85 263 26307 24974 47 281 62 281 75 274 76 267 77 258 24974 23643 49 274 59 276 73 276 75 264 72 257 23643 22313 52 274 60 271 70 277 74 265 66 262 22313 20975 50 277 59 268 67 275 73 269 60 267 20975 19645 45 278 55 265 65 270 70 268 55 265 19645 18383 41 275 51 261 62 266 63 264 51 259 18383 17239 38 271 48 257 58 263 57 262 49 253 17239 16215 37 268 45 256 54 262 51 262 47 249 16215 15286 36 266 41 256 49 261 46 260 44 250 15286 14438 33 264 36 258 43 259 42 258 40 253 14438 13659 29 261 32 260 37 256 38 256 37 260 13659 12943 25 254 27 260 31 253 35 254 35 268 12943 12287 22 247 22 255 27 249 33 252 24 270 12287 11686 19 236 17 245 22 245 30 250 26 276 11686 11128 16 222 13 233 19 239 28 249 27 281 11128 10619 12 208 9 217 15 234 25 247 26 284 10619 10181 9 189 6 192 14 231 22 245 23 286 10181 9837 7 160 4 171 13 229 19 244 19 287 9837 9595 5 134 4 165 12 228 15 243 16 289 9595 9447 4*119 4*163 11*227 12*243 12*290 9447 9361 2*037 3*160 8*226 6*244 6*296 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography