DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/12 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.0 - - 47.1 - - 39.8 - - 37.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 69 - - 104 - - -3 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1381 - - 2406 - - 682 - - 209 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 152 - - 172 - - 0 - - 23 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 24 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 261 - - 275 - - 312 - - 004 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - -9 - - -31 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3858 - - -3764 - - -3199 - - -6726 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13220 - - 13126 - - 12562 - - 16089 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8872 - - -8109 - - -9389 - - -13826 ODpotential blCL - - - 18234 - - 17471 - - 18751 - - 23188 blCL maxRH - - - 38 - - 37 - - 33 - - 25 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.0 - - 47.1 - - 39.8 - - 37.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.1 - - 22.5 - - 18.1 - - 1.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.4 - - 45.2 - - 42.5 - - 42.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.0 - - 21.7 - - 17.2 - - 0.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 69 - - 104 - - -3 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95891 34 304 25 316 27 279 36 296 95891 88918 23 302 29 313 20 306 31 311 88918 83476 9 296 20 298 21 324 25 331 83476 78947 17 349 5 351 18 317 23 336 78947 75033 22 333 16 347 17 344 15 338 75033 71550 20 341 12 339 16 022 9 357 71550 68360 20 318 18 324 25 352 21 353 68360 65429 23 318 23 332 26 346 25 350 65429 62750 28 315 34 331 39 331 34 346 62750 60190 34 326 36 325 41 316 43 328 60190 57524 39 328 38 324 41 311 42 314 57524 54740 44 318 43 326 40 317 41 311 54740 52072 44 311 45 316 45 323 42 321 52072 49667 41 307 43 309 50 319 48 323 49667 47512 39 309 42 308 47 310 51 315 47512 45558 37 316 39 312 41 309 48 306 45558 43768 40 327 37 323 36 308 43 300 43768 42116 43 327 37 322 31 305 37 292 42116 40583 40 317 38 313 29 306 28 292 40583 39153 36 306 36 304 28 306 23 304 39153 37814 30 307 34 300 29 304 22 305 37814 36539 23 315 27 298 31 304 25 306 36539 35271 22 319 21 299 29 306 29 305 35271 33985 22 317 20 301 27 301 28 298 33985 32688 21 314 20 300 27 301 30 294 32688 31372 20 314 21 301 27 304 31 297 31372 30030 20 317 21 306 28 304 34 300 30030 28664 21 317 22 310 27 306 37 303 28664 27280 20 316 21 309 26 306 37 304 27280 25885 18 313 20 303 24 307 29 306 25885 24487 16 308 18 294 22 307 22 311 24487 23083 15 303 16 289 20 303 19 313 23083 21666 17 306 17 290 19 297 19 306 21666 20255 16 308 19 294 19 295 19 298 20255 18913 14 304 19 298 19 296 19 297 18913 17696 12 297 18 301 19 299 19 301 17696 16604 12 291 16 304 19 302 20 305 16604 15616 11 288 14 307 18 307 20 309 15616 14714 9 285 13 316 17 315 19 313 14714 13887 9 291 12 327 16 323 19 317 13887 13128 9 302 11 338 14 333 18 322 13128 12436 9 312 11 345 13 343 17 329 12436 11801 10 315 10 347 12 351 16 335 11801 11214 9 316 8 339 10 354 15 342 11214 10679 8 319 5 324 9 350 14 348 10679 10219 6 317 4 315 7 341 13 353 10219 9859 4 301 3 308 6 329 11 357 9859 9606 3 279 2 293 5 319 9 002 9606 9451 2*270 2*282 4*311 8*004 9451 9362 2*261 1*275 2*312 5*004 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography