DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/28 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.1 - - 42.0 - - 46.3 - - 45.3 - - 39.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 172 - - 564 - - 580 - - 216 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 4650 - - 5551 - - 3771 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 12256 - - 12993 - - 11237 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 13450 - - 14351 - - 12571 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 4850 - - 1595 - - 1522 - - 2486 - - 2518 Hgt.Variab. W* 201 - - 601 - - 643 - - 407 - - 11 W* B/S 4 - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 14 - - 17 - - 16 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 291 - - 282 - - 282 - - 285 - - 338 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - -25 - - -38 - - -45 - - -22 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2794 - - -130 - - -1156 - - -3772 - - -6030 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12156 - - 13580 - - 15507 - - 16344 - - 15393 sfcLCL ODpotential -7249 - - -4414 - - -5052 - - -7637 - - -10708 ODpotential blCL 16611 - - 17864 - - 19403 - - 20208 - - 20070 blCL maxRH 59 - - 55 - - 74 - - 70 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.1 - - 42.0 - - 46.3 - - 45.3 - - 39.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 14.8 - - 15.2 - - 10.9 - - 6.5 - - 5.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 33.1 - - 38.1 - - 42.5 - - 42.9 - - 40.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 14.0 - - 14.7 - - 10.5 - - 6.1 - - 4.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 172 - - 564 - - 580 - - 216 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 4650 - - 5551 - - 3771 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 38 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97453 21 276 25 261 28 270 24 276 22 285 97453 90108 12 285 16 275 19 276 17 286 19 301 90108 84490 9 338 13 296 11 289 15 293 20 317 84490 79847 13 360 15 328 9 334 8 325 17 320 79847 75861 12 345 13 313 11 334 16 339 12 332 75861 72336 11 350 8 335 6 335 13 333 10 349 72336 69122 12 341 12 343 3 007 11 312 4 323 69122 66140 2 213 11 269 9 310 10 267 7 275 66140 63364 6 239 18 197 13 253 11 255 13 259 63364 60670 21 262 17 231 16 262 19 257 22 281 60670 57840 35 256 31 251 28 260 25 260 35 275 57840 54896 44 244 44 259 44 263 44 265 48 265 54896 52100 46 251 54 258 55 261 57 264 59 263 52100 49601 57 264 59 263 64 266 68 266 68 263 49601 47371 71 263 69 267 75 269 79 265 74 266 47371 45348 77 260 77 265 86 265 86 265 85 267 45348 43505 80 265 87 266 92 264 95 264 95 263 43505 41827 96 269 100 267 99 266 100 263 103 264 41827 40284 104 268 105 267 109 267 105 268 111 269 40284 38842 103 269 107 268 115 270 114 271 119 270 38842 37490 104 272 110 270 117 271 116 269 122 268 37490 36205 107 274 115 272 115 271 114 268 121 267 36205 34927 110 275 117 272 112 270 110 269 115 267 34927 33635 106 274 113 271 110 269 105 269 109 267 33635 32335 96 272 105 270 107 270 102 269 104 267 32335 31018 84 270 97 268 102 270 99 269 99 266 31018 29680 71 269 89 269 95 268 94 268 91 264 29680 28324 67 273 73 270 86 266 86 265 83 261 28324 26958 67 276 59 269 73 269 77 265 77 260 26958 25585 62 276 54 269 62 271 65 266 67 262 25585 24210 57 276 54 272 55 270 53 266 55 264 24210 22828 54 277 54 274 52 268 45 265 45 260 22828 21434 53 280 54 275 50 267 41 263 38 256 21434 20048 50 283 52 277 48 270 37 262 34 257 20048 18731 44 285 45 278 44 273 34 264 32 259 18731 17539 38 285 37 280 38 276 31 268 31 257 17539 16471 33 285 29 283 29 278 30 270 29 252 16471 15506 29 287 21 286 20 280 26 271 27 246 15506 14624 25 288 16 286 17*281 20 274 24 244 14624 13815 22 290 15*284 17*282 18 278 21 245 13815 13072 20 291 15*283 17 283 17*282 19 250 13072 12393 19 292 15 283 17 283 17*283 16 256 12393 11770 18 293 15 283 17 283 17 285 14 263 11770 11192 17 294 15 283 17 282 17 286 12 273 11192 10664 16 294 15 283 17 282 17 286 10 286 10664 10211 15 294 15 282 17 281 16 286 9 302 10211 9854 14 294 14 281 16 280 16 285 8 317 9854 9604 13 293 13 280 15 279 15 285 7 330 9604 9451 12*293 12 279 14 279 13 285 7*335 9451 9362 9*291 10 277 11 277 10 283 4*338 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography