DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/24 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 28.3 - - 36.4 - - 38.8 - - 36.0 - - 31.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -77 - - -7 - - 1 - - -56 - - -89 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 68 - - 840 - - 994 - - 223 - - 72 Hgt.Variab. W* 52 - - 85 - - 79 - - 55 - - 43 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 10 - - 10 - - 8 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 328 - - 319 - - 316 - - 315 - - 326 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -34 - - -39 - - -33 - - -29 - - -44 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1608 - - -1720 - - -1652 - - -1027 - - -802 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10970 - - 11082 - - 11014 - - 10389 - - 10165 sfcLCL ODpotential -12160 - - -10465 - - -8710 - - -9520 - - -10547 ODpotential blCL 21522 - - 19827 - - 18072 - - 18882 - - 19909 blCL maxRH 57 - - 60 - - 74 - - 62 - - 68 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 28.3 - - 36.4 - - 38.8 - - 36.0 - - 31.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 13.6 - - 20.8 - - 23.4 - - 23.4 - - 20.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 31.9 - - 36.3 - - 39.1 - - 37.8 - - 35.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 12.6 - - 19.7 - - 22.2 - - 22.3 - - 19.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -77 - - -7 - - 1 - - -56 - - -89 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96309 16 083 10 073 13 068 16 080 14 088 96309 89176 19 059 13 088 8 097 9 033 15 060 89176 83652 12 052 10 088 3 093 5 051 12 016 83652 79053 11 047 10 029 3 324 8 322 9 359 79053 75095 10 025 7 003 4 356 3 339 9 359 75095 71577 14 337 18 342 17 327 17 343 19 330 71577 68400 14 349 14 329 13 309 18 319 17 343 68400 65484 21 346 20 338 18 330 23 318 27 331 65484 62798 33 336 32 325 32 333 32 341 29 345 62798 60219 44 324 38 328 40 336 39 349 32 327 60219 57540 55 311 50 320 47 329 41 319 42 312 57540 54755 63 308 55 314 58 321 57 313 49 316 54755 52087 70 315 68 320 71 319 66 313 55 317 52087 49683 85 314 82 317 78 313 73 310 69 316 49683 47543 87 309 84 307 79 304 82 307 83 308 47543 45625 84 309 81 301 74 300 86 304 86 304 45625 43880 81 312 75 305 69 302 80 302 82 303 43880 42264 76 316 75 315 69 308 73 302 77 302 42264 40747 73 316 78 322 70 314 67 306 73 301 40747 39316 69 313 79 324 73 322 64 310 69 302 39316 37972 60 310 79 326 74 325 65 312 64 302 37972 36692 53 308 79 326 72 324 66 312 61 301 36692 35418 52 309 78 325 67 321 67 311 58 302 35418 34124 55 309 76 324 63 315 68 310 58 302 34124 32815 57 307 67 323 63 310 67 308 59 303 32815 31484 56 303 51 318 63 306 57 303 59 302 31484 30123 53 297 40 310 58 298 49 296 60 301 30123 28737 51 293 40 305 50 287 49 295 61 299 28737 27333 52 292 42 303 46 279 52 298 60 296 27333 25918 52 293 44 301 47 280 56 300 57 294 25918 24499 51 295 49 300 51 286 58 301 56 292 24499 23073 50 296 53 299 54 293 59 301 56 293 23073 21638 48 297 53 298 54 298 59 301 56 295 21638 20214 46 298 50 298 53 301 57 302 55 299 20214 18866 45 298 48 299 51 303 54 302 54 302 18866 17649 45 296 46 300 50 304 50 301 53 303 17649 16561 44 295 45 300 49 304 47 300 51 304 16561 15577 44 294 45 300 47 305 44 299 48 304 15577 14679 43 294 44 301 46 305 43 301 45 304 14679 13856 41 294 43 303 44 307 42 304 41 303 13856 13102 40 295 41 305 42 309 41 308 38 303 13102 12412 39 297 40 307 40 313 39 313 36 304 12412 11782 37 298 39 308 37 316 36 316 33 305 11782 11199 35 300 37 309 33 319 31 317 31 306 11199 10667 32 303 34 312 31 320 28 316 29 305 10667 10211 29 307 31 315 28 320 25 316 27 307 10211 9854 24 314 26 319 24 320 22 316 24 311 9854 9603 19 320 22 320 20 319 18 316 20 316 9603 9450 14*323 18*321 17*318 15*315 15*321 9450 9362 7*328 10*319 10*316 8*315 8*326 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography