DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/25 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 36.4 - - 37.3 - - 36.7 - - 35.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 12 - - 21 - - -5 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1141 - - 1868 - - 2554 - - 2785 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 84 - - 102 - - 22 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 9 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 198 - - 239 - - 248 - - 221 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 20 - - 10 - - -1 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 0 - - -204 - - -538 - - -633 ODpotential blCL - - - 9362 - - 9566 - - 9900 - - 9995 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 101 - - 99 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 60 - - 60 - - 110 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 36.4 - - 37.3 - - 36.7 - - 35.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.3 - - 36.5 - - 35.6 - - 34.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 35.5 - - 36.3 - - 36.4 - - 35.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.2 - - 36.4 - - 35.5 - - 35.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 12 - - 21 - - -5 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 103 - - 94 - - 94 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95955 37 292 33 300 27 308 29 294 95955 88907 19 292 20 285 26 305 29 304 88907 83461 21 309 19 300 26 305 25 304 83461 78948 21 300 22 310 17 301 19 310 78948 75056 17 308 18 296 17 314 19 304 75056 71609 19 314 14 290 22 313 23 345 71609 68469 22 294 16 292 22 284 25 319 68469 65578 25 298 26 296 18 233 25 252 65578 62905 38 238 32 247 21 236 15 249 62905 60315 39 221 40 222 27 261 15 003 60315 57581 37 234 46 234 60 256 49 263 57581 54735 57 243 72 241 82 244 81 245 54735 52040 77 241 85 238 88 237 87 243 52040 49607 88 238 86 240 88 240 92 247 49607 47422 88 236 92 246 96 248 98 250 47422 45449 90 238 100 249 104 250 102 250 45449 43654 96 240 103 250 106 248 100 250 43654 42005 101 238 101 251 103 246 94 252 42005 40472 106 237 99 251 99 245 92 256 40472 39038 115 237 96 250 93 247 92 259 39038 37699 120 235 92 246 87 253 91 261 37699 36427 116 232 89 245 85 260 91 261 36427 35162 108 228 87 248 88 264 90 260 35162 33877 102 224 87 253 90 263 89 259 33877 32579 100 222 89 256 91 261 89 258 32579 31258 102 225 89 255 90 259 90 258 31258 29907 103 231 88 252 89 258 89 257 29907 28534 98 236 89 248 87 257 86 257 28534 27144 85 240 90 247 86 255 84 256 27144 25743 73 242 88 249 84 253 82 256 25743 24338 66 244 81 251 82 254 80 256 24338 22927 63 243 71 252 77 255 76 257 22927 21506 62 241 62 251 69 255 72 257 21506 20096 59 240 56 249 62 253 66 256 20096 18762 55 240 47 247 55 251 59 254 18762 17556 50 243 44 246 48 249 54 252 17556 16478 46 246 43 247 43 248 48 250 16478 15505 43 248 43 247 40 248 43 248 15505 14619 41 247 42 248 39 248 36 245 14619 13808 38 245 39 247 37 248 30 243 13808 13066 35 242 36 247 34 247 26 242 13066 12388 33 239 33 245 30 247 24 241 12388 11766 30 235 29 243 26 247 23 239 11766 11189 25 229 27 242 22 246 22 237 11189 10662 21 221 24 241 20 246 20 232 10662 10209 16 213 21 240 17 247 18 226 10209 9853 13 205 18 239 14 248 15 220 9853 9604 12 202 16 239 11 249 13 217 9604 9451 10*200 13*239 9*249 10*216 9451 9362 7*198 9*239 6*248 5*221 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography