DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/20 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 33.2 - - 36.8 - - 31.5 - - 27.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 102 - - 194 - - -20 - - -88 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 561 - - 562 - - 561 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9344 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9361 - - 9362 - - 9361 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2089 - - 2854 - - 766 - - 158 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 169 - - 209 - - 26 - - 26 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 9 - - 7 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 293 - - 302 - - 315 - - 345 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -19 - - -26 - - -50 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8631 - - -9027 - - -7619 - - -8928 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17993 - - 18390 - - 16981 - - 18291 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14277 - - -13810 - - -13293 - - -15488 ODpotential blCL - - - 23638 - - 23172 - - 22654 - - 24850 blCL maxRH - - - 37 - - 28 - - 46 - - 43 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 33.2 - - 36.8 - - 31.5 - - 27.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - -12.1 - - -10.5 - - -9.0 - - -18.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 31.5 - - 34.5 - - 31.8 - - 30.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -12.9 - - -11.3 - - -9.8 - - -18.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 102 - - 194 - - -20 - - -88 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 561 - - 562 - - 561 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95989 15 316 20 009 7 322 14 284 95989 88904 5 325 14 349 9 009 14 013 88904 83475 7 339 10 339 16 002 14 029 83475 78950 11 036 5 335 15 350 19 011 78950 75016 12 040 8 031 7 324 22 347 75016 71523 13 004 13 020 11 357 18 355 71523 68345 19 353 12 032 8 019 15 336 68345 65433 28 325 20 341 24 355 17 338 65433 62729 28 325 20 334 25 336 24 324 62729 60101 35 321 38 319 36 319 34 317 60101 57369 44 319 47 312 41 321 41 318 57369 54512 49 317 50 310 49 317 51 320 54512 51764 54 310 55 309 58 313 63 316 51764 49288 58 306 61 310 65 308 69 310 49288 47062 59 307 62 310 66 305 67 307 47062 45036 58 308 61 309 65 307 64 306 45036 43176 55 306 60 308 67 309 60 308 43176 41464 55 302 60 306 68 307 59 310 41464 39882 51 302 61 303 66 304 59 311 39882 38419 48 306 58 301 62 303 59 314 38419 37067 49 308 54 300 60 304 60 317 37067 35796 51 306 48 301 57 307 61 319 35796 34545 51 304 43 308 55 311 60 319 34545 33289 50 302 42 315 54 315 57 320 33289 32029 48 298 44 317 54 316 55 320 32029 30752 45 297 44 314 51 314 53 320 30752 29450 42 300 44 309 47 314 52 320 29450 28129 42 303 43 307 45 318 50 321 28129 26792 39 305 42 309 44 322 49 323 26792 25445 36 308 42 313 44 323 48 325 25445 24093 33 312 41 314 42 322 48 325 24093 22733 31 315 39 315 41 323 47 324 22733 21356 29 316 35 316 40 325 44 322 21356 19984 26 317 31 318 38 325 41 320 19984 18678 25 317 28 319 35 324 37 317 18678 17492 24 317 27 321 33 323 34 313 17492 16428 23 318 26 322 31 321 32 312 16428 15465 23 318 25 323 30 319 32 313 15465 14585 22 318 25 324 28 317 32 316 14585 13777 21 318 24 325 27 316 32 319 13777 13036 19 319 22 326 26 316 32 322 13036 12360 18 319 20 326 25 316 32 325 12360 11740 16 320 17 322 23 318 32 327 11740 11167 14 320 16 317 22 321 32 329 11167 10645 11 318 15 313 20 323 30 331 10645 10197 8 314 15 310 19 321 28 335 10197 9845 7 309 14 308 17 319 25 338 9845 9599 5 301 13 306 15 317 21 341 9599 9448 4 297 11*304 12*316 16*343 9448 9362 3*293 9*302 7*315 9*345 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography