DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/05 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 70.2 - - 77.2 - - 79.2 - - 77.1 - - 66.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 110 - - 494 - - 524 - - 193 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 564 - - 9626 - - 11070 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit 9347 - - 16267 - - 17493 - - 9347 - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top 9364 - - 18426 - - 19870 - - 9364 - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 5744 - - 2110 - - 1862 - - 12364 - - 272 Hgt.Variab. W* 173 - - 731 - - 782 - - 208 - - 19 W* B/S 7 - - 9 - - 10 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 15 - - 14 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 023 - - 297 - - 308 - - 300 - - 319 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 11 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - -13 - - -19 - - -14 - - -27 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -9769 - - -2337 - - -1385 - - -11945 - - -9184 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 19134 - - 20764 - - 21256 - - 21310 - - 18549 sfcLCL ODpotential -14141 - - -6069 - - -4581 - - -14815 - - -14124 ODpotential blCL 23505 - - 24495 - - 24451 - - 24179 - - 23488 blCL maxRH 47 - - 40 - - 43 - - 45 - - 42 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 70.2 - - 77.2 - - 79.2 - - 77.1 - - 66.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.0 - - 18.0 - - 17.7 - - 15.6 - - 18.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 68.3 - - 73.3 - - 75.2 - - 74.8 - - 69.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.7 - - 17.5 - - 17.1 - - 15.2 - - 18.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 110 - - 494 - - 524 - - 193 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 564 - - 9626 - - 11070 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99336 34 104 34 106 33 099 35 106 29 098 99336 91829 34 102 31 100 32 107 32 105 32 098 91829 86051 36 098 30 105 29 105 31 101 30 093 86051 81287 34 091 30 116 27 103 24 100 28 089 81287 77190 30 088 24 100 22 113 24 087 23 089 77190 73559 17 081 18 091 23 114 23 078 20 090 73559 70267 15 115 14 118 15 089 16 100 17 086 70267 67241 13 090 16 105 6 126 9 078 16 080 67241 64438 7 135 6 080 8 135 3 104 9 075 64438 61734 2 129 2 109 0 021 4 176 3 042 61734 58955 9 359 4 008 6 332 10 009 11 019 58955 56128 9 001 3 242 10 272 17 320 19 346 56128 53463 20 336 8 329 9 279 16 291 21 318 53463 51063 31 324 27 332 19 323 17 309 20 307 51063 48901 37 309 36 323 30 320 23 310 22 309 48901 46923 37 300 40 312 35 315 28 310 25 311 46923 45092 39 300 43 305 39 308 35 310 30 311 45092 43389 40 298 45 304 42 305 42 307 36 311 43389 41798 39 293 43 302 43 306 44 305 40 307 41798 40308 38 288 40 297 40 306 43 303 40 304 40308 38916 37 287 39 293 37 303 38 299 39 302 38916 37597 38 290 38 293 36 298 35 297 37 299 37597 36288 38 293 35 295 33 295 31 295 34 295 36288 34962 36 296 32 296 29 295 25 295 31 290 34962 33623 32 299 27 293 25 289 22 290 27 292 33623 32266 27 301 22 288 23 280 22 282 24 288 32266 30881 24 298 20 280 22 273 21 277 24 287 30881 29475 21 294 20 271 21 270 21 277 23 291 29475 28050 18 292 20 268 20 271 19 280 19 293 28050 26612 16 292 20 269 18 277 16 288 16 295 26612 25165 15 288 19 279 15 291 12 306 11 291 25165 23706 15 292 18 288 14 309 11 330 8 286 23706 22229 16 294 17 296 13 324 13 348 6 305 22229 20755 19 285 18 303 12*330 14 345 6 336 20755 19356 22 278 20*299 12*327 15 340 10 341 19356 18088 22 276 19*298 13 325 16 337 14 338 18088 16951 20 282 18 298 13 321 16 333 16 338 16951 15921 19 294 16 299 14 317 16 329 17 336 15921 14979 20 299 15 301 14 312 16 325 18 333 14979 14114 20 302 15 300 15 307 16 320 18 329 14114 13320 20 308 14 299 15 303 16 315 18 325 13320 12594 19 318 14 298 15 300 16 312 18 321 12594 11929 18 328 14 296 15 297 16 309 18 317 11929 11313 16 339 14 294 15 295 16 307 18 314 11313 10750 13 350 14 291 15 293 15 305 18 311 10750 10267 10 002 13 289 15 291 15 304 17 310 10267 9888 8 012 12 288 15 290 15 302 15 309 9888 9622 6 018 12 286 14 289 14 302 12 311 9622 9458 6*020 11 285 13 288 13*301 10*313 9458 9364 4*023 9 283 10 287 9*300 6*319 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography