DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/17 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.7 - - 49.1 - - 49.8 - - 50.4 - - 48.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 14 - - 25 - - 31 - - 13 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit 9346 - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1336 - - 1045 - - 1106 - - 1224 - - 1036 Hgt.Variab. W* 90 - - 106 - - 115 - - 86 - - 0 W* B/S 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 136 - - 194 - - 201 - - 222 - - 070 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 21 - - 13 - - 8 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 sfcLCL ODpotential -423 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - -1275 ODpotential blCL 9786 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 10638 blCL maxRH 100 - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 10 - - 70 - - 200 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m 48.7 - - 49.1 - - 49.8 - - 50.4 - - 48.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.3 - - 49.1 - - 49.7 - - 50.3 - - 47.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.5 - - 48.0 - - 48.6 - - 49.3 - - 48.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.0 - - 48.9 - - 49.4 - - 50.2 - - 48.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 14 - - 25 - - 31 - - 13 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 103 - - 102 - - 103 - - 77 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98914 21 105 16 105 16 097 11 085 17 067 98914 91526 20 092 19 078 19 100 19 091 21 071 91526 85841 16 095 20 092 17 102 19 083 18 070 85841 81118 17 091 16 106 16 112 13 073 17 075 81118 77034 12 067 15 095 18 091 13 090 15 069 77034 73415 6 073 14 082 13 096 13 083 10 067 73415 70139 3 148 5 102 11 101 8 051 8 050 70139 67130 5 161 5 156 5 105 5 075 4 038 67130 64341 4 243 8 179 4 160 5 143 2 068 64341 61649 11 191 7 197 3 201 6 165 2 219 61649 58870 11 229 11 193 10 230 7 222 7 230 58870 56030 12 240 15 189 22 215 20 237 18 227 56030 53359 18 241 21 209 26 208 23 232 24 240 53359 50968 26 226 26 222 26 223 29 233 31 232 50968 48821 31 218 29 219 29 218 31 221 28 223 48821 46854 33 214 30 219 30 219 30 225 30 232 46854 45035 30 219 30 221 33 226 33 227 34 225 45035 43340 38 237 34 228 39 230 36 224 38 219 43340 41751 46 235 47 228 48 228 44 221 42 216 41751 40258 48 225 53 220 53 221 53 219 46 219 40258 38861 48 217 53 215 52 210 53 215 51 221 38861 37537 47 211 51 212 51 208 51 210 53 217 37537 36225 46 210 47 212 48 211 49 208 51 214 36225 34896 43 210 44 218 40 213 46 210 47 212 34896 33553 40 214 43 223 32 215 42 213 43 215 33553 32187 37 218 38 225 30 219 39 216 41 218 32187 30790 36 216 31 222 29 224 37 217 38 218 30790 29369 35 211 30 220 27 224 35 218 35 216 29369 27929 34 211 29 215 27 222 35 220 34 217 27929 26479 33 211 28 210 26 224 35 224 35 223 26479 25024 33 211 28 208 25 224 32 228 32 228 25024 23562 32 207 28 207 25 223 28 230 27 227 23562 22083 30 208 28 206 25 222 26 226 26 227 22083 20611 29 216 28 205 25 224 27 223 25 231 20611 19211 26 228 29 204 25 227 26 224 23 231 19211 17943 23 232 30 205 26 229 24 227 21 227 17943 16808 20 231 30 207 25 229 21 228 20 223 16808 15783 19 227 28 207 25 231 19 229 19 223 15783 14850 19 223 25 209 23 232 19 229 19 224 14850 13997 20 219 23 208 22 230 18 229 18 226 13997 13216 19 213 22 204 20 223 18 229 16 227 13216 12503 19 207 21 200 19 214 17 229 14 229 12503 11853 18 200 20 198 17 210 14 227 11 228 11853 11252 16 191 19 197 16 211 12 226 9 218 11252 10705 13 181 19 197 16 210 12 225 6 200 10705 10237 10 168 17 196 14 208 11 225 5 174 10237 9869 8 156 15 195 12 205 10 224 5 156 9869 9612 6 144 13 195 10 204 9 223 4 141 9612 9454 5*140 11*195 9*203 8*223 3*128 9454 9363 4*136 7*194 6*201 5*222 3*070 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography