DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/14 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 32.0 - - 40.9 - - 44.0 - - 37.3 - - 34.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - 20 - - 70 - - -38 - - -75 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 774 - - 1773 - - 3321 - - 443 - - 76 Hgt.Variab. W* 17 - - 111 - - 155 - - 44 - - 47 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 027 - - 017 - - 044 - - 019 - - 022 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -25 - - -21 - - -20 - - -31 - - -46 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3501 - - -3295 - - -3691 - - -2896 - - -3458 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12864 - - 12657 - - 13054 - - 12259 - - 12820 sfcLCL ODpotential -11628 - - -8717 - - -7903 - - -9572 - - -12025 ODpotential blCL 20990 - - 18079 - - 17265 - - 18934 - - 21387 blCL maxRH 89 - - 79 - - 63 - - 43 - - 38 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 32.0 - - 40.9 - - 44.0 - - 37.3 - - 34.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 9.5 - - 18.7 - - 19.9 - - 17.0 - - 11.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.9 - - 39.9 - - 42.6 - - 39.2 - - 38.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 8.8 - - 17.5 - - 18.8 - - 15.8 - - 10.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - 20 - - 70 - - -38 - - -75 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 55 - - 18 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96123 13 076 17 029 29 038 22 072 14 063 96123 89237 30 064 20 082 20 060 31 067 32 070 89237 83884 26 069 22 085 16 087 25 065 30 066 83884 79412 24 074 20 115 15 104 16 078 23 056 79412 75517 25 059 23 104 14 109 12 085 19 045 75517 72044 16 041 17 083 15 105 9 091 12 030 72044 68882 17 037 13 070 14 103 9 115 1 044 68882 65954 14 042 8 004 11 060 11 056 7 074 65954 63228 4 202 11 235 4 253 12 311 7 341 63228 60596 11 075 15 045 9 036 5 307 14 251 60596 57847 16 027 18 342 14 356 19 003 13 006 57847 55021 16 282 19 279 18 294 22 331 25 330 55021 52355 23 343 30 009 19 008 21 340 21 326 52355 49949 54 007 57 020 45 023 37 016 20 005 49949 47779 72 023 73 026 58 024 47 026 29 028 47779 45795 82 024 79 023 65 022 53 031 36 032 45795 43970 78 021 75 021 70 022 59 027 45 025 43970 42291 78 026 71 023 72 023 60 020 53 015 42291 40739 83 028 71 026 68 022 59 015 56 007 40739 39294 82 026 71 026 61 018 60 012 57 003 39294 37948 80 027 70 025 58 014 60 010 60 001 37948 36670 80 028 69 023 58 012 59 009 61 359 36670 35401 78 028 67 023 59 013 59 009 62 359 35401 34113 70 025 66 023 60 015 59 009 62 359 34113 32811 60 019 64 022 61 017 60 010 60 359 32811 31488 56 014 62 021 63 018 62 009 58 360 31488 30140 57 013 61 020 64 019 63 007 58 359 30140 28771 56 014 60 019 65 018 64 007 58 360 28771 27384 55 015 58 017 64 018 64 010 60 002 27384 25984 55 017 55 015 61 016 62 016 60 007 25984 24574 52 019 52 014 57 014 58 019 57 010 24574 23152 50 020 48 013 53 012 53 019 51 011 23152 21713 46 019 44 014 48 012 48 018 46 011 21713 20281 42 019 40 015 43 013 44 019 42 012 20281 18922 38 018 37 016 39 015 41 023 39 016 18922 17693 36 018 35 017 36 017 38 027 35 022 17693 16593 34 019 33 018 34 020 36 031 32 028 16593 15601 33 022 33 020 33 023 34 034 30 035 15601 14697 33 026 32 022 31 027 32 037 27 041 14697 13869 33 029 32 025 30 031 31 039 26 047 13869 13111 31 033 31 028 27 033 29 041 25 052 13111 12419 28 037 29 030 24 036 27 042 24 055 12419 11787 24 039 26 030 23 038 25 041 24 058 11787 11202 19 042 22 030 20 040 23 040 22 059 11202 10670 15 043 19 028 18 040 21 039 20 058 10670 10214 12 044 15 026 15 041 18 035 17 053 10214 9855 11 044 11 024 13 042 16 029 15 044 9855 9605 8 040 9 021 11 044 14 024 13 035 9605 9451 6*037 7*020 10*044 11*022 11*030 9451 9362 5*027 5*017 7*044 6*019 7*022 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography