DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/09 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 28.1 - - 40.4 - - 42.2 - - 34.9 - - 34.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -89 - - 30 - - 72 - - -53 - - -89 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9344 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9361 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 119 - - 946 - - 2047 - - 458 - - 298 Hgt.Variab. W* 42 - - 122 - - 155 - - 41 - - 43 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 7 - - 10 - - 8 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 345 - - 331 - - 332 - - 341 - - 350 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -43 - - -26 - - -35 - - -39 - - -46 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1695 - - -2580 - - -2661 - - -1586 - - -799 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11056 - - 11943 - - 12024 - - 10949 - - 10162 sfcLCL ODpotential -12566 - - -9816 - - -9874 - - -10204 - - -10261 ODpotential blCL 21927 - - 19178 - - 19236 - - 19566 - - 19623 blCL maxRH 57 - - 57 - - 78 - - 56 - - 58 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 28.1 - - 40.4 - - 42.2 - - 34.9 - - 34.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 13.1 - - 21.1 - - 22.4 - - 20.0 - - 22.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 31.5 - - 39.4 - - 40.8 - - 36.8 - - 36.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 12.1 - - 20.0 - - 21.3 - - 19.4 - - 22.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -89 - - 30 - - 72 - - -53 - - -89 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96355 19 054 23 040 13 053 21 059 3 177 96355 89209 19 060 10 037 13 057 11 023 11 030 89209 83640 18 029 10 056 10 012 14 346 20 350 83640 79037 8 033 3 110 3 009 12 328 35 356 79037 75103 20 002 15 008 21 352 19 008 31 003 75103 71610 20 350 15 019 17 338 22 012 24 023 71610 68411 13 002 13 348 18 334 22 348 21 021 68411 65447 26 334 15 351 27 337 26 353 22 337 65447 62724 38 321 38 316 35 325 24 349 14 335 62724 60114 36 305 41 297 32 326 31 331 31 339 60114 57383 32 303 40 312 38 316 34 317 41 320 57383 54538 38 306 40 318 37 308 38 298 45 304 54538 51834 42 314 40 319 38 318 41 305 50 307 51834 49465 49 326 46 321 49 326 48 328 47 318 49465 47393 54 323 52 317 51 321 47 330 44 328 47393 45515 51 315 48 317 46 324 44 316 45 326 45515 43792 42 316 45 334 45 334 40 307 41 315 43792 42197 37 340 52 346 39 337 38 307 40 308 42197 40700 41 350 52 347 28 333 37 312 40 306 40700 39287 39 354 43 346 26 318 38 315 41 307 39287 37958 36 356 30 341 33 321 39 313 41 309 37958 36689 34 357 29 336 38 319 38 308 41 312 36689 35425 33 352 31 339 40 321 37 303 40 314 35425 34140 31 344 31 338 39 324 37 300 39 316 34140 32840 29 336 30 335 38 324 38 298 38 317 32840 31517 29 329 27 330 37 323 38 298 36 318 31517 30166 30 326 25 325 35 319 38 299 34 318 30166 28791 31 327 25 320 32 313 39 301 33 318 28791 27398 31 331 26 316 29 306 40 304 33 317 27398 25992 30 335 27 314 28 301 42 305 34 316 25992 24578 31 337 29 313 29 301 41 307 36 314 24578 23156 34 336 31 315 31 305 40 310 38 315 23156 21718 38 335 34 318 33 309 39 314 41 316 21718 20287 40 334 37 324 33 314 40 319 44 318 20287 18929 41 334 40 328 34 319 41 323 47 319 18929 17699 42 335 42 332 35 323 42 326 49 321 17699 16598 43 336 42 334 37 327 43 329 51 324 16598 15604 43 337 41 335 39 330 43 332 52 327 15604 14698 44 339 39 336 41 332 43 335 53 331 14698 13869 45 341 37 336 42 334 43 336 54 335 13869 13109 45 342 36 335 41 335 43 337 55 338 13109 12417 45 343 34 335 40 336 43 337 55 340 12417 11784 44 344 33 334 38 337 42 337 55 342 11784 11199 42 345 31 335 36 339 41 337 54 344 11199 10666 39 346 29 336 30 339 37 338 51 346 10666 10211 35 348 24 336 25 337 33 339 46 347 10211 9853 30 348 19 335 22 336 27 340 38 348 9853 9604 23 348 15 333 20 335 21 339 28 348 9604 9450 17*347 12*333 16*334 16*340 21*349 9450 9362 8*345 7*331 10*332 8*341 10*350 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography