DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/03 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.4 - - 50.1 - - 53.7 - - 51.4 - - 45.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 144 - - 486 - - 487 - - 128 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 6681 - - 8630 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 13852 - - 15448 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 15481 - - 17430 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 5346 - - 2478 - - 2863 - - 10815 - - 7061 Hgt.Variab. W* 189 - - 646 - - 705 - - 183 - - 0 W* B/S 9 - - 14 - - 11 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 8 - - 12 - - 9 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 156 - - 271 - - 270 - - 277 - - 331 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 9 - - 24 - - 6 - - -7 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3381 - - 1242 - - 1929 - - -5949 - - -4310 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12744 - - 14239 - - 15502 - - 15312 - - 13673 sfcLCL ODpotential -5682 - - -525 - - 7 - - -7659 - - -7617 ODpotential blCL 15044 - - 16006 - - 17423 - - 17022 - - 16980 blCL maxRH 76 - - 83 - - 84 - - 95 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 20 - - 60 - - 0 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 43.4 - - 50.1 - - 53.7 - - 51.4 - - 45.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 20.5 - - 20.4 - - 18.2 - - 16.9 - - 18.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.3 - - 46.4 - - 50.1 - - 49.5 - - 47.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 20.0 - - 19.7 - - 17.4 - - 16.4 - - 17.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 144 - - 486 - - 487 - - 128 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 6681 - - 8630 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 3 - - 30 - - 37 - - 81 - - 30 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97773 25 258 25 252 19 261 16 272 21 267 97773 90353 19 244 25 249 26 259 18 272 18 287 90353 84627 16 255 17 243 24 260 22 278 21 297 84627 79865 15 283 9 273 20 252 24 276 23 298 79865 75757 14 281 13 297 16 258 24 285 23 306 75757 72135 21 268 19 283 18 281 24 285 25 299 72135 68881 17 275 24 277 23 292 24 283 26 294 68881 65905 18 299 20 287 24 287 23 284 27 287 65905 63147 25 298 23 296 23 294 22 284 26 285 63147 60468 31 294 30 288 30 291 22 299 27 292 60468 57657 35 291 33 284 33 286 34 290 36 289 57657 54738 40 290 38 285 39 288 41 287 40 292 54738 51960 49 284 48 279 47 286 49 291 51 290 51960 49480 53 279 55 281 56 281 58 284 58 286 49480 47273 53 280 55 281 61 280 66 277 66 284 47273 45275 57 285 64 281 74 281 76 276 77 281 45275 43448 66 284 77 281 88 277 90 274 94 280 43448 41772 71 286 84 279 89 274 99 277 103 279 41772 40221 72 285 79 278 84 277 98 278 107 280 40221 38776 61 280 74 279 89 279 96 280 104 281 38776 37432 50 270 69 281 87 279 101 281 99 281 37432 36160 46 270 64 277 80 278 98 279 97 281 36160 34897 39 272 55 268 72 277 90 277 99 280 34897 33618 34 269 49 265 66 277 81 275 97 279 33618 32329 32 265 45 272 58 278 70 275 88 277 32329 31025 32 264 38 272 51 273 61 277 75 275 31025 29701 33 266 34 265 50 270 52 278 63 275 29701 28361 32 268 33 266 46 274 45 275 49 279 28361 27007 30 270 31 271 36 275 44 273 42 279 27007 25643 25 269 29 266 32 271 43 276 42 275 25643 24272 21 267 27 260 32 271 39 280 40 273 24272 22893 19 270 22 262 30 273 34 278 38 268 22893 21502 17 275 19 265 27 271 29 269 35 264 21502 20117 16 273 20 267 16 278 22 267 33 263 20117 18801 15 278 18 268 11 284 21 266 29 261 18801 17606 15 284 11 286 10*282 18 269 25 260 17606 16536 15 284 9 300 10*280 15 274 22 261 16536 15567 14 282 9*299 11 278 15 276 20 262 15567 14681 11 278 9*296 11 275 15 277 18 262 14681 13867 9 270 9 290 11 273 15 278 16 262 13867 13118 7 256 9 282 12 271 15 279 14 264 13118 12432 7 241 9 276 12 270 15 279 12 266 12432 11802 8 232 9 270 12 268 15 279 10 268 11802 11218 8 220 9 264 13 266 15 280 9 270 11218 10683 6 200 9 258 13 265 15 279 8 274 10683 10224 4 168 9 254 13 263 14 279 7 277 10224 9862 4 161 9 252 12 262 14 279 6 283 9862 9609 4 157 9 249 12 262 13 278 4 290 9609 9452 4*157 8 248 11 261 12*278 4*294 9452 9363 4*156 7 245 9 259 9*277 1*331 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography