DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/24 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0703z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.4 - - 61.2 - - 63.5 - - 62.0 - - 55.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 141 - - 392 - - 426 - - 115 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 563 - - 563 - - 10640 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit 9346 - - 9037 - - 17039 - - 9347 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top 9363 - - 9363 - - 19440 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 11231 - - 13126 - - 3036 - - 13053 - - 10450 Hgt.Variab. W* 188 - - 264 - - 724 - - 177 - - 15 W* B/S 14 - - 8 - - 18 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 262 - - 201 - - 236 - - 226 - - 289 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 5 - - 24 - - 38 - - 17 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6544 - - -6941 - - 2138 - - -8058 - - -6807 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 15907 - - 16305 - - 17303 - - 17422 - - 16171 sfcLCL ODpotential -8184 - - -8117 - - 460 - - -9659 - - -9819 ODpotential blCL 17547 - - 17480 - - 18980 - - 19022 - - 19182 blCL maxRH 70 - - 100 - - 101 - - 70 - - 91 maxRH CAPE 50 - - 150 - - 110 - - 60 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 57.4 - - 61.2 - - 63.5 - - 62.0 - - 55.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 20.4 - - 22.2 - - 20.0 - - 18.1 - - 17.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.2 - - 57.8 - - 59.9 - - 60.0 - - 58.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.7 - - 21.1 - - 18.9 - - 17.1 - - 16.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 141 - - 392 - - 426 - - 115 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 563 - - 563 - - 10640 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 102 - - 103 - - 0 - - 63 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98428 13 110 17 097 12 107 17 094 15 096 98428 90987 15 107 16 106 11 124 8 055 15 073 90987 85272 11 105 17 120 4 141 7 071 10 075 85272 80535 11 118 13 153 3 136 7 094 6 057 80535 76455 9 130 13 176 6 105 3 115 3 105 76455 72844 4 132 10 179 3 195 1 009 2 114 72844 69559 6 277 8 165 8 198 11 254 5 320 69559 66532 6 255 8 209 12 182 13 216 10 250 66532 63721 10 248 13 258 7 230 9 192 6 244 63721 60982 13 232 16 263 20 271 16 269 10 306 60982 58130 17 256 18 259 24 263 24 275 17 281 58130 55198 18 275 16 259 18 255 23 281 21 284 55198 52419 18 277 20 269 14 257 26 267 27 273 52419 49939 21 272 23 278 21 260 24 254 27 261 49939 47736 23 266 24 276 21 255 18 248 22 251 47736 45749 20 271 21 270 16 260 16 249 21 246 45749 43945 20 274 22 272 20 256 18 242 25 245 43945 42290 20 271 22 267 21 251 17 235 26 240 42290 40753 22 271 24 266 19 256 15 232 24 231 40753 39313 25 267 26 263 19 260 15 237 22 224 39313 37968 26 266 23 258 19 257 15 239 20 215 37968 36691 24 270 19 257 16 249 16 237 19 212 36691 35423 20 278 14 260 13 241 18 236 19 220 35423 34138 19 280 13 264 12 240 20 235 21 223 34138 32841 18 277 15 263 14 240 19 230 22 220 32841 31522 17 273 16 260 16 239 17 228 21 214 31522 30177 17 270 16 259 17 242 16 230 18 211 30177 28811 17 266 15 258 18 244 15 232 16 211 28811 27427 16 264 15 253 17 244 14 232 14 214 27427 26035 14 271 14 247 16 243 13 230 16 218 26035 24638 16 275 11 243 14 232 11 223 19 222 24638 23231 12 262 7 254 8 223 11 213 18 222 23231 21805 8 251 4 273 2 250 6 205 16 218 21805 20386 7 252 5 276 3*247 5 208 11 204 20386 19039 9 272 5 272 5*242 5 215 7 190 19039 17816 10 284 5 265 6 243 6 218 5 194 17816 16719 9 286 5 261 6 243 6 219 5 215 16719 15724 7 290 5 256 7 241 7 221 5 231 15724 14813 7 293 5 249 7 239 7 225 6 246 14813 13976 7 296 5 237 8 237 8 226 7 253 13976 13207 6 296 6 226 8 235 8 227 8 262 13207 12503 6 295 6 219 8 234 8 228 9 268 12503 11858 5 291 6 215 8 232 8 229 9 272 11858 11259 5 289 7 210 9 231 8 229 10 274 11259 10713 5 287 7 207 9 228 8 229 10 276 10713 10242 4 282 7 205 9 228 8 229 10 277 10242 9873 4 276 7 204 8 227 8 228 9 277 9873 9615 3 271 7 203 8 225 8 228 7 284 9615 9455 3*266 7*202 8 225 7 228 6*282 9455 9363 2*262 6*201 7 222 6*226 4*289 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography