DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/22 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 27.8 - - 34.2 - - 37.6 - - 33.2 - - 31.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 49 - - 69 - - -19 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9344 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9361 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1051 - - 1900 - - 2701 - - 1421 - - 463 Hgt.Variab. W* 21 - - 137 - - 154 - - 31 - - 38 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 042 - - 101 - - 119 - - 085 - - 049 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -17 - - -1 - - 9 - - -10 - - -29 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -360 - - 1 - - -45 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9721 - - 9362 - - 9408 - - 9362 - - 9362 sfcLCL ODpotential -6684 - - -3484 - - -2681 - - -3261 - - -4579 ODpotential blCL 16045 - - 12846 - - 12043 - - 12623 - - 13941 blCL maxRH 73 - - 75 - - 72 - - 85 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 27.8 - - 34.2 - - 37.6 - - 33.2 - - 31.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.5 - - 26.2 - - 29.1 - - 28.7 - - 26.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 30.7 - - 32.9 - - 36.2 - - 34.4 - - 33.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 17.5 - - 25.0 - - 27.9 - - 28.0 - - 26.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 49 - - 69 - - -19 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 40 - - 75 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96454 8 042 6 255 12 300 15 338 7 295 96454 89352 13 054 8 093 4 132 7 329 10 055 89352 83855 9 050 6 022 7 082 2 214 10 019 83855 79280 8 038 3 162 3 058 3 307 4 346 79280 75340 7 354 3 139 3 193 5 303 5 321 75340 71864 7 262 1 238 4 275 1 207 4 279 71864 68710 6 231 4 263 10 287 1 313 2 096 68710 65788 8 211 10 237 14 254 10 284 4 244 65788 63068 14 238 11 230 11 247 15 271 11 267 63068 60432 20 263 15 244 15 240 23 239 23 263 60432 57677 26 253 23 247 16 247 22 233 23 239 57677 54820 27 241 28 251 23 254 22 240 27 243 54820 52078 25 246 33 239 31 238 31 236 41 242 52078 49605 36 240 32 234 37 233 40 230 42 224 49605 47402 34 238 33 241 42 235 36 227 35 221 47402 45407 30 246 45 238 45 232 35 223 43 218 45407 43584 51 238 44 233 39 220 34 217 39 197 43584 41905 44 238 36 232 30 219 31 218 31 196 41905 40337 38 251 30 242 33 230 39 224 37 221 40337 38866 46 260 38 251 51 236 56 230 59 229 38866 37495 53 259 57 247 66 236 72 227 75 221 37495 36205 61 256 74 240 77 229 77 222 82 215 36205 34934 64 253 74 237 78 225 79 221 84 214 34934 33655 63 251 69 234 74 223 79 220 80 212 33655 32372 61 247 65 232 70 220 73 218 74 209 32372 31072 59 243 61 231 63 218 66 215 68 207 31072 29747 55 241 58 230 57 218 60 213 64 207 29747 28402 54 239 55 229 53 218 57 212 62 208 28402 27039 53 239 52 229 48 216 55 213 56 209 27039 25666 51 243 48 230 43 214 51 213 46 209 25666 24287 45 244 44 233 37 214 42 210 36 202 24287 22898 33 246 39 236 32 215 35 204 35 192 22898 21492 23 245 30 238 28 218 30 199 39 188 21492 20091 15 232 22 236 22 220 24 194 37 183 20091 18762 14 221 18 232 18 214 21 186 31 178 18762 17559 14 224 17 228 16 204 20 179 27 173 17559 16482 12 232 16 227 16 198 19 176 25 170 16482 15508 10 238 15 229 16 195 19 178 24 168 15508 14619 8 236 13 228 15 190 18 177 23 166 14619 13805 7 225 10 218 14 180 17 173 21 163 13805 13059 6 212 9 196 13 170 16 164 20 158 13059 12379 6 204 9 179 11 157 15 150 19 151 12379 11756 5 199 9 161 11 144 15 136 18 141 11756 11181 4 183 9 144 10 132 15 121 17 129 11181 10655 3 143 9 128 10 124 15 114 17 115 10655 10204 4 107 9 116 10 120 15 111 17 103 10204 9850 5 087 8 107 9 119 13 109 16 092 9850 9602 4 067 7 102 9 119 11 105 14 082 9602 9450 4*067 7*101 8*118 9*100 10*070 9450 9362 3*042 5*101 6*119 4*085 6*049 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography