DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/04 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 12.1 - - 23.0 - - 24.9 - - 18.7 - - 15.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -22 - - 56 - - 44 - - -16 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 560 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit 9344 - - 9344 - - 9344 - - 9344 - - 9344 Hcrit BL Top 9360 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 431 - - 2102 - - 2481 - - 746 - - 158 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 140 - - 130 - - 23 - - 29 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 353 - - 316 - - 313 - - 341 - - 351 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -24 - - -4 - - -8 - - -13 - - -33 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -1167 - - -1604 - - -179 - - -1305 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9360 - - 10528 - - 10965 - - 9541 - - 10666 sfcLCL ODpotential -5565 - - -6110 - - -6634 - - -6743 - - -9877 ODpotential blCL 14925 - - 15471 - - 15995 - - 16104 - - 19238 blCL maxRH 59 - - 57 - - 52 - - 58 - - 52 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 12.1 - - 23.0 - - 24.9 - - 18.7 - - 15.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 5.2 - - 10.3 - - 10.2 - - 10.2 - - 2.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 15.9 - - 21.6 - - 23.6 - - 20.3 - - 19.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 6.2 - - 9.2 - - 9.1 - - 10.1 - - 1.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -22 - - 56 - - 44 - - -16 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 560 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96388 15 178 7 088 11 117 9 159 11 145 96388 89261 18 088 13 034 12 099 8 133 10 023 89261 83784 23 051 9 109 13 038 11 062 9 037 83784 79236 18 028 8 103 9 032 20 018 13 065 79236 75300 15 012 10 051 5 064 9 024 10 043 75300 71812 18 360 14 020 17 025 8 032 9 029 71812 68650 17 351 10 336 21 005 14 024 8 034 68650 65736 18 005 9 326 19 005 17 025 16 019 65736 63035 23 356 19 336 14 354 15 023 21 005 63035 60422 20 345 22 342 12 359 14 022 15 014 60422 57675 19 344 26 352 18 001 15 017 18 020 57675 54814 28 342 28 352 24 011 25 015 32 007 54814 52089 28 338 33 354 32 010 33 004 30 356 52089 49617 27 349 33 346 34 002 30 358 26 002 49617 47370 31 351 30 335 34 355 25 355 32 002 47370 45314 32 345 27 326 32 345 26 351 33 357 45314 43420 31 337 26 317 31 330 29 338 31 002 43420 41657 31 330 27 312 32 318 30 329 39 359 41657 40012 31 319 28 307 35 312 31 321 42 350 40012 38480 33 305 30 302 37 306 35 315 45 336 38480 37068 36 290 33 297 35 298 38 313 50 324 37068 35757 35 282 35 293 34 292 38 314 44 323 35757 34482 34 283 35 291 32 290 34 321 35 339 34482 33202 32 291 35 290 31 292 32 341 39 004 33202 31918 32 297 34 289 29 296 42 006 49 010 31918 30624 30 299 34 287 29 302 58 014 58 012 30624 29313 27 301 33 285 32 306 65 014 62 014 29313 27985 24 308 30 288 35 304 51 003 63 017 27985 26640 23 317 28 294 38 298 40 346 59 018 26640 25285 23 328 28 301 37 297 35 341 50 012 25285 23925 25 337 28 305 34 298 32 346 44 000 23925 22561 27 343 27 308 32 298 32 349 41 349 22561 21185 29 349 25 313 30 296 32 343 39 340 21185 19819 28 353 23 317 28 296 30 334 36 332 19819 18524 25 352 21 319 26 298 27 327 34 325 18524 17352 24 345 19 319 24 301 25 323 32 321 17352 16303 23 337 18 320 21 306 24 323 31 320 16303 15355 22 332 17 321 20 315 23 325 29 321 15355 14488 20 330 17 324 19 326 22 327 28 322 14488 13694 19 331 17 326 19 336 22 331 26 325 13694 12965 18 331 17 330 18 343 21 336 25 328 12965 12301 16 332 17 334 18 347 20 340 24 331 12301 11693 14 334 16 339 16 344 19 344 23 334 11693 11130 12 336 15 341 14 340 18 346 22 336 11130 10618 9 336 12 341 12 333 17 347 22 338 10618 10179 8 343 8 334 11 328 15 347 20 341 10179 9834 7 350 6 327 10 324 13 346 18 344 9834 9593 7 355 5 324 8 321 10 345 15 347 9593 9446 6*355 5*321 7*317 7*343 11*349 9446 9361 5*353 3*316 5*313 4*341 6*351 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography