DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/01 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.8 - - 50.2 - - 47.5 - - 39.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 233 - - 304 - - 52 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 563 - - 563 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9345 - - 8984 - - 9346 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9362 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3800 - - 4695 - - 3565 - - 477 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 222 - - 242 - - 135 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 290 - - 286 - - 281 - - 321 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -11 - - -13 - - -11 - - -29 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3956 - - -4549 - - -4062 - - -3381 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13319 - - 13913 - - 13425 - - 12743 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8328 - - -8841 - - -8815 - - -9955 ODpotential blCL - - - 17690 - - 18204 - - 18178 - - 19317 blCL maxRH - - - 62 - - 71 - - 68 - - 55 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.8 - - 50.2 - - 47.5 - - 39.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.2 - - 22.0 - - 21.5 - - 16.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.4 - - 47.6 - - 46.5 - - 42.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.5 - - 21.4 - - 21.1 - - 16.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 233 - - 304 - - 52 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 563 - - 563 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96407 4 287 5 109 1 105 3 141 96407 89229 7 292 8 307 4 112 5 343 89229 83684 7 040 5 284 9 269 12 323 83684 79096 9 334 10 301 16 340 8 342 79096 75162 24 331 24 315 17 351 25 335 75162 71726 21 334 24 324 22 326 30 326 71726 68632 19 341 25 326 24 310 31 312 68632 65784 32 328 29 331 29 317 31 316 65784 63127 51 318 44 320 34 326 29 320 63127 60524 56 307 50 310 44 319 37 318 60524 57791 51 307 52 305 54 304 50 306 57791 54965 56 310 54 305 61 300 59 300 54965 52272 63 303 61 305 64 303 56 302 52272 49835 63 295 63 296 65 302 58 301 49835 47633 54 295 59 290 66 297 63 296 47633 45624 54 303 56 293 66 292 66 292 45624 43781 60 303 59 296 60 291 64 286 43781 42088 61 298 56 296 55 290 55 283 42088 40531 57 295 51 294 50 287 46 284 40531 39090 53 293 46 290 46 281 45 279 39090 37748 52 290 43 290 43 275 46 265 37748 36477 52 285 43 290 40 273 46 250 36477 35217 53 284 45 287 39 274 45 248 35217 33939 53 286 46 283 40 276 46 254 33939 32650 53 288 45 281 43 274 51 262 32650 31338 51 289 45 280 46 269 56 267 31338 29999 51 289 47 279 47 266 57 268 29999 28635 52 287 50 280 48 266 55 268 28635 27254 54 285 52 282 48 268 54 269 27254 25860 58 287 54 284 48 275 56 273 25860 24461 61 289 53 286 49 281 58 278 24461 23053 62 291 52 289 48 284 60 282 23053 21629 61 294 50 293 44 283 59 285 21629 20213 56 296 45 296 39 281 53 285 20213 18869 47 298 40 297 36 278 44 282 18869 17654 38 299 34 296 33 275 38 276 17654 16567 31 299 30 293 31 273 33 273 16567 15585 27 298 26 290 27 273 29 271 15585 14689 24 297 22 289 23 273 26 268 14689 13868 22 298 17 290 18 274 25 264 13868 13115 20 300 15 291 15 276 24 262 13115 12426 17 300 14 290 13 278 24 260 12426 11796 15 299 14 289 13 279 23 261 11796 11211 14 297 14 289 12 279 21 263 11211 10678 13 295 14 288 12 279 19 268 10678 10219 12 294 13 287 12 279 16 274 10219 9859 11 293 13 287 12 279 12 282 9859 9606 10 292 12 286 11 279 10 290 9606 9452 9*290 11*286 10*279 8*299 9452 9362 7*290 8*286 7*281 5*321 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography