DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/27 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.0 - - 52.5 - - 57.7 - - 55.6 - - 44.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 46 - - 441 - - 446 - - 126 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 563 - - 2839 - - 5922 - - 563 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9346 - - 10753 - - 13203 - - 9346 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9363 - - 11639 - - 14722 - - 9363 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1709 - - 1560 - - 2645 - - 8197 - - 2001 Hgt.Variab. W* 129 - - 469 - - 602 - - 181 - - 15 W* B/S 5 - - 8 - - 10 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 11 - - 11 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 143 - - 147 - - 197 - - 186 - - 142 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 10 - - 34 - - 38 - - 34 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4956 - - -2925 - - -94 - - -5251 - - -2537 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14320 - - 14565 - - 14817 - - 14615 - - 11899 sfcLCL ODpotential -9901 - - -7036 - - -2284 - - -7128 - - -7366 ODpotential blCL 19264 - - 18675 - - 17006 - - 16491 - - 16728 blCL maxRH 57 - - 50 - - 60 - - 70 - - 65 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.0 - - 52.5 - - 57.7 - - 55.6 - - 44.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.3 - - 21.5 - - 25.4 - - 24.3 - - 24.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.5 - - 49.0 - - 54.2 - - 53.8 - - 44.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.0 - - 21.1 - - 24.8 - - 23.9 - - 24.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 46 - - 441 - - 446 - - 126 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 563 - - 2839 - - 5922 - - 563 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96462 40 279 45 275 44 286 35 276 49 288 96462 89243 23 266 35 281 25 274 30 284 38 294 89243 83753 27 287 23 276 24 280 28 294 26 296 83753 79213 32 301 16 267 23 291 28 297 26 309 79213 75283 22 296 17 279 22 290 30 298 31 312 75283 71806 12 296 18 296 19 271 30 293 32 307 71806 68661 13 305 15 283 18 267 27 282 29 294 68661 65782 24 300 14 273 20 277 23 289 25 289 65782 63135 37 291 22 282 23 281 22 288 23 290 63135 60589 42 277 30 284 27 283 20 287 22 288 60589 57935 40 268 35 279 32 280 24 288 25 282 57935 55171 38 266 37 277 37 278 30 285 29 281 55171 52507 37 269 40 278 40 276 35 283 35 283 52507 50083 39 272 42 275 43 274 41 282 40 284 50083 47884 42 273 44 274 44 274 45 278 43 277 47884 45870 47 268 49 271 46 271 44 275 46 272 45870 44019 51 263 54 264 51 268 47 270 47 267 44019 42326 52 255 58 251 58 256 49 264 49 270 42326 40772 52 254 60 246 59 249 54 256 54 263 40772 39335 56 262 62 252 63 253 60 253 56 254 39335 38003 60 267 63 257 68 251 62 249 52 252 38003 36736 62 264 63 258 62 255 57 251 47 254 36736 35473 60 264 59 260 59 256 57 253 45 255 35473 34191 56 264 54 261 54 258 54 254 43 253 34191 32894 52 266 50 260 49 262 47 260 39 251 32894 31574 49 272 47 263 46 263 42 265 36 252 31574 30223 48 270 46 264 45 264 42 264 37 255 30223 28847 48 266 47 261 46 263 45 262 40 257 28847 27452 47 265 49 263 45 270 45 269 42 265 27452 26046 43 271 44 270 40 279 41 279 38 277 26046 24633 38 278 35 280 34 286 36 284 31 284 24633 23209 35 283 31 290 28 289 30 284 27 282 23209 21769 33 284 29 295 24 292 27 286 26 280 21769 20336 27 283 26 295 21 295 23 291 24 282 20336 18977 21 283 22 293 18 294 20 289 23 280 18977 17746 15 280 18 291 15 286 14 278 20 275 17746 16644 12 276 15 287 12 271 12 258 16 267 16644 15646 10 274 12 276 10 247 11 252 13 257 15646 14736 9 267 10 263 9*225 10 234 10 241 14736 13901 9 269 7 256 9*215 10 218 9 217 13901 13137 9 272 5 214 10 205 12 202 10 196 13137 12439 7 271 6 164 10 201 13 196 12 184 12439 11803 5 257 9*153 11 197 13 193 15 175 11803 11214 3 204 10*148 11 195 14 190 19 170 11214 10679 5 161 11 147 11 193 14 189 20 166 10679 10220 7 147 11 147 11 191 14 188 19 164 10220 9860 7 144 11 147 11 190 14 188 17 162 9860 9607 6 143 11 147 11 189 13 187 14 158 9607 9452 6*144 10 147 10 188 12*187 10*152 9452 9362 4*143 9 147 9 188 10*186 4*142 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography