DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/11 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.6 - - 48.4 - - 49.1 - - 39.3 - - 35.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -70 - - 47 - - 99 - - -31 - - -74 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 74 - - 1238 - - 2367 - - 271 - - 79 Hgt.Variab. W* 40 - - 136 - - 169 - - 25 - - 24 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 6 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 349 - - 348 - - 350 - - 000 - - 004 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -37 - - -30 - - -29 - - -31 - - -47 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3184 - - -4597 - - -4810 - - -4106 - - -4652 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12546 - - 13960 - - 14172 - - 13468 - - 14014 sfcLCL ODpotential -11086 - - -9583 - - -9583 - - -11089 - - -12726 ODpotential blCL 20448 - - 18945 - - 18945 - - 20451 - - 22088 blCL maxRH 41 - - 42 - - 32 - - 42 - - 33 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.6 - - 48.4 - - 49.1 - - 39.3 - - 35.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 14.3 - - 20.3 - - 20.0 - - 13.8 - - 8.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.1 - - 47.1 - - 47.4 - - 41.3 - - 38.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 13.3 - - 19.1 - - 19.0 - - 13.0 - - 7.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -70 - - 47 - - 99 - - -31 - - -74 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96116 30 346 27 314 33 325 30 310 38 299 96116 89162 30 346 28 350 21 335 19 314 28 310 89162 83707 15 001 26 357 16 350 14 334 22 321 83707 79130 15 015 16 351 18 357 15 339 17 327 79130 75161 18 002 11 301 21 329 18 327 22 345 75161 71645 13 351 3 266 13 276 20 318 23 329 71645 68460 15 306 6 005 5 269 17 306 17 313 68460 65524 15 325 19 304 16 308 26 317 21 304 65524 62819 25 335 23 278 29 293 39 304 30 312 62819 60239 43 317 27 296 29 300 38 293 37 309 60239 57569 46 301 40 309 36 323 33 302 37 316 57569 54795 41 286 41 305 41 315 36 319 38 324 54795 52139 30 303 36 308 39 306 37 315 41 320 52139 49741 37 324 34 315 35 305 36 303 42 312 49741 47588 39 325 35 314 36 307 36 299 41 306 47588 45634 34 323 33 306 35 303 36 305 38 305 45634 43849 29 316 31 301 31 304 36 309 34 305 43849 42210 26 309 28 302 28 310 35 303 30 306 42210 40690 26 300 24 306 26 314 32 295 28 306 40690 39267 25 296 23 312 26 314 31 296 27 307 39267 37931 24 297 24 311 26 310 31 305 26 311 37931 36657 24 300 28 301 27 303 31 311 27 312 36657 35387 24 302 31 297 28 300 32 314 26 313 35387 34098 26 299 31 301 29 300 35 317 25 317 34098 32796 29 298 27 302 26 296 37 319 24 321 32796 31475 30 302 23 301 23 292 37 319 23 323 31475 30126 30 308 23 303 22 290 34 318 22 328 30126 28756 27 314 22 300 24 292 29 316 22 334 28756 27369 23 314 23 290 26 296 24 316 22 339 27369 25972 21 299 23 282 28 295 20 320 21 340 25972 24569 22 290 24 278 28 292 17 322 19 337 24569 23158 23 293 24 281 27 291 15 318 19 330 23158 21732 25 296 25 287 26 293 16 308 21 324 21732 20310 26 301 24 295 25 296 18 303 23 323 20310 18959 26 308 24 302 24 298 21 303 24 324 18959 17733 25 315 24 307 23 300 23 307 24 326 17733 16635 25 322 25 311 24 303 24 313 25 327 16635 15640 25 328 26 313 25 308 25 318 25 329 15640 14733 26 332 27 316 26 314 26 324 26 333 14733 13900 26 334 28 319 27 320 27 329 28 337 13900 13137 26 335 28 322 27 327 27 335 29 343 13137 12440 25 335 28 326 26 333 27 342 30 349 12440 11803 24 335 28 332 26 339 27 348 31 354 11803 11214 23 336 27 338 25 344 27 354 31 000 11214 10677 22 339 26 343 23 347 25 359 31 006 10677 10218 20 343 23 347 20 349 23 003 29 009 10218 9857 18 346 20 349 17 350 19 004 26 011 9857 9605 15 347 15 349 14 350 15 003 21 010 9605 9451 11*349 12*349 12*350 11*002 16*007 9451 9362 7*349 8*348 8*350 6*000 8*004 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography