DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/20 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.4 - - 86.9 - - 87.0 - - 82.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 26 - - 43 - - 8 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4078 - - 4079 - - 4079 - - 4079 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5619 - - 9800 - - 10490 - - 4757 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 34 - - 39 - - 28 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 5 - - 10 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 324 - - 346 - - 315 - - 318 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 4 - - -4 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4500 - - -5080 - - -4752 - - -4153 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8596 - - 9176 - - 8848 - - 8249 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7687 - - -7043 - - -6982 - - -7285 ODpotential blCL - - - 11783 - - 11139 - - 11078 - - 11381 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 77 - - 87 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 520 - - 1580 - - 2050 - - 1070 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.4 - - 86.9 - - 87.0 - - 82.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.6 - - 60.4 - - 61.9 - - 60.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.8 - - 86.9 - - 87.5 - - 83.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.4 - - 59.1 - - 60.6 - - 58.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 26 - - 43 - - 8 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 24 - - 8 - - 47 - - 54 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 13 - - 13 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99379 33 111 30 107 32 108 29 096 99379 91852 30 095 26 115 28 102 27 095 91852 86065 27 100 24 108 27 101 30 098 86065 81286 24 106 23 090 25 103 31 100 81286 77187 23 104 22 100 21 100 24 103 77187 73572 17 104 23 109 16 091 18 093 73572 70297 21 100 23 114 15 106 17 081 70297 67283 20 096 20 113 19 122 13 093 67283 64499 16 093 18 110 18 117 16 115 64499 61823 4 085 18 094 17 118 19 114 61823 59060 8 188 2 088 11 092 15 118 59060 56228 25 185 17 203 10 230 8 193 56228 53542 30 194 25 194 24 205 21 208 53542 51136 29 214 27 210 23 209 24 196 51136 48982 34 211 32 216 28 219 23 213 48982 47010 40 197 37 202 35 208 28 223 47010 45179 36 192 37 187 37 191 35 206 45179 43471 29 194 34 182 36 179 36 188 43471 41879 27 199 30 183 34 175 34 182 41879 40386 28 205 32 189 29 184 29 187 40386 38980 31 209 35 192 31 193 29 192 38980 37626 37 203 35 189 33 194 33 190 37626 36258 36 197 37 185 31 188 35 183 36258 34850 37 190 37 185 30 181 34 179 34850 33403 37 183 34 185 28 186 28 186 33403 31906 34 182 31 178 26 189 23 195 31906 30350 29 190 28 178 22 187 22 194 30350 28738 26 193 24 184 19 179 20 182 28738 27072 24 194 21 184 18 176 19 175 27072 25355 22 202 18 192 16 179 17 183 25355 23594 19 206 17 200 14 183 12 192 23594 21783 20 197 17 199 14 188 9 206 21783 19912 21 190 18 197 17 202 13 209 19912 18018 22 192 21 200 20 207 15 200 18018 16197 23 197 22 206 17 203 13 176 16197 14538 21 196 17 217 10 213 10 177 14538 13057 17 189 14 237 8 236 6 191 13057 11730 12 194 14 244 8 262 4 222 11730 10539 8 228 13 253 10 282 5 280 10539 9468 9 257 12 259 11 290 9 295 9468 8509 11 269 10 266 12 294 13 298 8509 7653 12 281 9 275 12 298 14 303 7653 6887 12 288 7 286 13 300 16 307 6887 6193 12 295 7 301 13 303 17 309 6193 5573 11 303 6 317 13 305 17 311 5573 5050 11 310 6 330 13 308 17 313 5050 4645 11 317 6 339 13 310 17 314 4645 4365 10 321 6 344 12 312 15 316 4365 4193 10*323 6*346 12*314 14*315 4193 4095 8*324 5*346 10*315 9*318 4095 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography