DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/24 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.4 - - 60.1 - - 66.3 - - 65.6 - - 62.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 4 - - 11 - - 19 - - -13 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 64 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4364 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1038 - - 1601 - - 4556 - - 3450 - - 2320 Hgt.Variab. W* 22 - - 42 - - 28 - - 19 - - 20 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 14 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 8 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 115 - - 146 - - 167 - - 283 - - 086 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 2 - - -1 - - -6 - - 10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3596 - - -4147 - - -5096 - - -4647 - - -5456 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7690 - - 8511 - - 9192 - - 8743 - - 9552 sfcLCL ODpotential -10635 - - -10671 - - -9663 - - -8522 - - -10837 ODpotential blCL 14729 - - 15035 - - 13758 - - 12617 - - 14932 blCL maxRH 59 - - 67 - - 83 - - 59 - - 71 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 57.4 - - 60.1 - - 66.3 - - 65.6 - - 62.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.3 - - 37.3 - - 40.3 - - 41.5 - - 35.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.8 - - 60.0 - - 67.1 - - 66.1 - - 63.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.1 - - 36.1 - - 39.1 - - 40.3 - - 34.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 4 - - 11 - - 19 - - -13 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 64 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96867 21 298 16 277 19 277 28 291 27 289 96867 89678 12 298 19 285 17 293 20 283 22 284 89678 84109 13 292 18 292 15 293 16 271 17 286 84109 79483 14 291 17 288 17 291 18 288 22 284 79483 75515 17 280 20 282 20 292 21 292 18 287 75515 72004 13 275 20 281 25 279 17 288 15 297 72004 68801 14 281 17 277 21 268 16 287 18 287 68801 65851 22 287 15 273 21 271 21 281 15 276 65851 63106 23 285 21 271 28 265 19 280 18 273 63106 60442 23 288 20 269 25 265 21 273 28 270 60442 57691 27 282 24 282 24 275 31 269 32 270 57691 54849 30 280 31 281 31 278 38 267 37 268 54849 52120 34 282 35 273 36 275 43 266 40 260 52120 49644 37 279 34 263 40 267 46 269 46 278 49644 47417 34 273 32 262 45 265 58 270 60 280 47417 45421 37 278 41 278 48 272 50 265 60 260 45421 43628 37 288 45 281 46 270 49 273 57 260 43628 41999 34 305 38 272 44 257 59 269 65 265 41999 40495 30 305 33 268 40 245 57 253 63 258 40495 39081 22 298 30 269 39 253 54 241 55 259 39081 37743 21 294 28 266 38 260 50 238 55 268 37743 36451 19 284 28 267 39 266 46 239 59 276 36451 35145 22 270 30 266 40 266 45 247 59 275 35145 33798 26 264 33 267 44 263 46 257 58 271 33798 32413 25 262 34 267 47 261 48 266 59 267 32413 30976 23 261 34 269 48 262 46 269 54 263 30976 29476 24 266 35 272 49 265 47 266 52 256 29476 27922 25 276 35 273 48 266 51 262 54 248 27922 26320 27 282 34 274 45 267 50 259 56 244 26320 24671 26 288 32 275 42 266 48 258 53 243 24671 22973 22 290 30 276 40 264 47 259 50 246 22973 21218 20 285 26 275 37 263 46 260 47 251 21218 19401 20 279 23 270 34 263 43 261 42 255 19401 17559 19 278 21 266 30 262 38 258 36 258 17559 15788 18 282 18 265 27 260 32 252 32 260 15788 14175 17 286 17 267 25 257 28 247 32 260 14175 12735 14 288 17 265 25 254 24 245 33 260 12735 11446 12 284 17 259 24 253 22 245 33 260 11446 10290 11 271 16 252 24 252 22 247 32 260 10290 9253 10 259 15 249 21 250 22 251 32 260 9253 8325 9 250 14 247 17 246 22 256 31 260 8325 7499 8 244 12 245 15 245 22 261 31 259 7499 6763 7 243 10 239 13 243 22 265 30 257 6763 6097 5 249 9 229 11 241 23 268 29 255 6097 5504 3 257 8 214 8 237 22 270 24 253 5504 5004 1 247 7 197 6 232 21 271 17 252 5004 4618 2 141 5*173 4 221 20 272 11 250 4618 4351 4 123 4*150 2 209 18 274 5 248 4351 4187 5*117 4 146 1*193 15*276 1*170 4187 4094 4*115 4 142 0*167 8*283 7*086 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography