DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/20 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.1 - - 63.4 - - 67.5 - - 67.8 - - 65.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 4 - - 18 - - 20 - - -6 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 967 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top 4095 - - 5267 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2448 - - 4177 - - 9783 - - 9296 - - 4301 Hgt.Variab. W* 22 - - 122 - - 31 - - 18 - - 17 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 121 - - 135 - - 133 - - 113 - - 040 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 3 - - 6 - - 5 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5539 - - -5290 - - -5728 - - -4434 - - -4372 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9635 - - 10558 - - 9824 - - 8529 - - 8468 sfcLCL ODpotential -8867 - - -8164 - - -7119 - - -6069 - - -6661 ODpotential blCL 12962 - - 13431 - - 11214 - - 10164 - - 10756 blCL maxRH 69 - - 82 - - 65 - - 70 - - 95 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 150 - - 590 - - 390 CAPE Temp@2m 60.1 - - 63.4 - - 67.5 - - 67.8 - - 65.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.3 - - 31.5 - - 38.6 - - 44.5 - - 42.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.3 - - 63.1 - - 67.4 - - 68.0 - - 66.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.1 - - 30.3 - - 37.6 - - 43.3 - - 41.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 4 - - 18 - - 20 - - -6 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 967 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 27 - - 0 - - 0 - - 80 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97543 7 355 11 274 19 311 18 326 10 321 97543 90326 6 054 9 274 7 276 14 302 13 011 90326 84730 9 356 0 324 4 287 6 265 9 342 84730 80068 12 335 1 219 5 279 4 001 3 289 80068 76064 9 326 2 020 3 205 5 338 3 285 76064 72526 3 300 2 044 6 158 5 238 8 276 72526 69303 7 247 1 289 3 154 8 221 12 245 69303 66339 6 194 5 231 4 234 9 201 15 224 66339 63601 4 207 9 226 12 264 4 208 12 203 63601 60920 8 159 13 211 15 250 15 248 16 216 60920 58093 12 224 21 213 21 222 25 223 24 211 58093 55154 24 227 24 211 32 208 35 212 30 215 55154 52346 34 223 36 216 40 210 45 206 44 211 52346 49823 51 221 54 219 53 216 53 211 52 212 49823 47574 66 219 65 220 68 215 60 212 64 213 47574 45533 69 219 71 217 76 211 64 211 63 209 45533 43649 73 221 72 214 80 210 72 209 66 211 43649 41903 79 221 73 215 82 209 73 205 73 208 41903 40289 78 220 74 214 78 209 73 207 76 206 40289 38801 69 218 69 212 75 210 70 207 67 201 38801 37422 65 221 60 211 66 208 63 205 54 196 37422 36107 70 223 60 216 58 207 57 205 49 201 36107 34786 74 217 66 216 58 210 57 207 53 205 34786 33434 72 210 68 212 60 209 56 206 52 205 33434 32057 63 205 63 206 58 206 52 205 44 202 32057 30643 58 203 57 202 53 203 46 205 32 194 30643 29174 54 201 51 198 47 195 40 202 26 185 29174 27651 50 200 46 197 40 187 35 193 27 183 27651 26072 45 198 42 197 35 184 29 183 25 181 26072 24443 42 193 38 196 30 183 23 179 20 181 24443 22766 39 190 34 194 27 182 20 176 17 174 22766 21038 36 187 31 190 26 182 21 177 16 177 21038 19256 34 187 30 186 27 185 22 180 14 187 19256 17451 33 190 30 183 27 186 21 184 14 186 17451 15715 30 189 27 182 25 183 19 187 13 169 15715 14130 25 187 23 181 21 175 17 183 16 160 14130 12711 22 190 20 181 18 165 15 175 18 155 12711 11439 23 196 17 181 15 158 15 162 19 153 11439 10294 22 197 14 176 13 151 14 150 18 149 10294 9265 19 189 13 162 12 147 13 137 17 144 9265 8341 15 178 14 148 12 144 13 131 16 137 8341 7516 13 175 13 140 11 142 12 124 14 128 7516 6779 10 174 10 135 11 140 12 123 13 116 6779 6111 8 163 9 132 11 139 12 121 13 104 6111 5514 7 153 9*133 10 138 11 120 14 093 5514 5011 7 149 8*134 9 136 11 119 13 087 5011 4621 6 144 7 135 8 135 10 118 11 080 4621 4352 5 131 6 136 8 134 9 117 8 068 4352 4188 4*122 6 137 7*134 9*116 6*058 4188 4094 3*121 5 138 6*133 7*113 4*040 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography