DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/25 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0959z - - 1337z - - 1602z - - 1900z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.9 - - 68.3 - - 76.8 - - 80.9 - - 77.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 38 - - 45 - - 22 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4077 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 Hcrit BL Top 4095 - - 4095 - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1161 - - 3119 - - 7282 - - 11736 - - 4970 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 36 - - 39 - - 30 - - 20 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 073 - - 128 - - 072 - - 340 - - 269 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 6 - - 10 - - 0 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6210 - - -6334 - - -4946 - - -5638 - - -4569 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10306 - - 10430 - - 9042 - - 9735 - - 8665 sfcLCL ODpotential -13566 - - -11817 - - -7258 - - -7695 - - -7561 ODpotential blCL 17661 - - 15912 - - 11354 - - 11791 - - 11657 blCL maxRH 49 - - 58 - - 73 - - 75 - - 69 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 1080 - - 1950 - - 1650 CAPE Temp@2m 61.9 - - 68.3 - - 76.8 - - 80.9 - - 77.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.5 - - 37.1 - - 51.2 - - 52.2 - - 53.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.0 - - 70.0 - - 76.7 - - 81.9 - - 78.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.4 - - 35.9 - - 49.9 - - 50.8 - - 51.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 38 - - 45 - - 22 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98368 17 118 9 142 10 079 14 093 11 126 98368 90918 11 105 14 142 5 165 4 023 12 104 90918 85152 7 165 13 158 7 195 2 296 9 116 85152 80371 10 183 10 185 7 191 5 149 4 200 80371 76263 7 161 7 178 6 192 4 159 4 152 76263 72635 3 192 5 148 6 190 6 214 3 135 72635 69359 3 130 5 169 4 187 6 226 4 255 69359 66356 4 039 9 192 5 214 5 231 4 249 66356 63575 6 336 7 220 7 243 5 273 3 280 63575 60888 9 333 4 266 8 244 7 268 4 271 60888 58102 14 314 8 298 9 234 13 253 10 266 58102 55230 25 302 20 301 14 282 17 260 20 261 55230 52491 31 287 30 290 25 279 23 269 25 262 52491 50024 29 284 32 278 32 273 29 272 31 262 50024 47815 29 286 31 273 35 271 33 272 36 265 47815 45817 33 280 31 277 33 272 35 267 38 268 45817 43998 36 275 37 270 32 275 36 266 37 270 43998 42330 40 269 43 260 40 265 39 265 32 267 42330 40785 42 265 47 260 42 263 41 259 32 266 40785 39346 41 266 46 263 44 266 44 260 41 262 39346 37999 39 271 43 265 43 268 43 259 45 258 37999 36703 36 276 41 268 41 269 43 260 43 257 36703 35391 33 278 38 271 41 271 41 262 41 258 35391 34039 33 280 37 273 39 272 38 264 39 259 34039 32649 36 282 38 273 39 272 36 265 36 257 32649 31212 38 284 37 271 38 271 35 264 35 254 31212 29716 36 285 34 267 35 267 34 260 37 250 29716 28166 33 286 30 267 32 261 33 255 36 246 28166 26558 30 290 26 271 28 257 29 248 30 241 26558 24896 27 297 21 278 22 258 25 241 29 245 24896 23187 23 299 18 283 17 256 19 237 28 246 23187 21427 19 297 17 282 15 256 17 235 28 249 21427 19609 14 289 17 278 15 262 18 237 26 250 19609 17764 12 281 17 272 15 267 19 241 21 241 17764 15989 11 277 16 267 17 267 16 244 16 222 15989 14370 10 273 14 261 18 259 14 249 12 214 14370 12921 10 273 11 255 15 240 14 253 7 215 12921 11619 7 273 9 246 14 231 13 256 6 226 11619 10448 3 234 7 223 13 226 12 258 6 247 10448 9395 5 177 8 202 12 222 11 260 8 263 9395 8450 7 169 9 183 10 213 10 260 10 270 8450 7605 8 162 10 171 8 200 8 261 13 273 7605 6850 10 158 10 165 6 183 7 261 16 274 6850 6166 10 157 9 161 6 161 5 263 19 274 6166 5554 9 157 9 155 5 141 3 268 20 273 5554 5038 8 152 8 150 5 123 2 279 20 272 5038 4638 7 139 6 144 5 107 1 297 19 272 4638 4361 4 112 5 138 5 094 1 319 17 271 4361 4192 2*078 4*133 5*081 1*332 14*271 4192 4095 2*073 4*128 4*072 1*340 8*269 4095 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography