DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/13 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.3 - - 54.3 - - 56.1 - - 51.7 - - 44.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 15 - - 15 - - -3 - - 25 - - 70 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 1518 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 5818 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3528 - - 6374 - - 7243 - - 5788 - - 3058 Hgt.Variab. W* 29 - - 31 - - 26 - - 35 - - 208 W* B/S 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 14 - - 20 - - 15 - - 21 BL Wind Direction 198 - - 171 - - 196 - - 216 - - 267 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 11 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 0 - - -4 - - -6 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2329 - - -2890 - - -3345 - - -2217 - - 854 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6423 - - 6985 - - 7440 - - 6312 - - 4965 sfcLCL ODpotential -4511 - - -4297 - - -4598 - - -3389 - - -824 ODpotential blCL 8605 - - 8391 - - 8692 - - 7483 - - 6642 blCL maxRH 85 - - 97 - - 100 - - 98 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 20 - - 130 - - 50 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m 51.3 - - 54.3 - - 56.1 - - 51.7 - - 44.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.1 - - 37.5 - - 37.2 - - 37.8 - - 36.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.5 - - 53.9 - - 56.0 - - 51.3 - - 43.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.2 - - 36.3 - - 36.1 - - 36.6 - - 35.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 15 - - 15 - - -3 - - 25 - - 70 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 1518 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 39 - - 87 - - 102 - - 92 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96171 33 287 32 302 21 299 29 290 31 300 96171 89095 22 307 16 287 15 291 23 292 21 311 89095 83624 14 319 9 291 12 291 16 299 15 292 83624 79065 11 283 11 293 13 291 8 344 9 302 79065 75122 15 284 13 288 15 273 14 319 14 313 75122 71643 14 291 10 294 11 272 14 293 12 328 71643 68475 20 278 17 280 11 307 18 296 20 328 68475 65537 21 271 16 257 25 269 23 268 20 295 65537 62810 20 266 17 249 24 251 15 298 18 300 62810 60142 30 269 19 253 12 270 19 313 29 299 60142 57337 32 258 18 272 31 282 32 279 33 284 57337 54416 29 270 29 270 40 267 31 287 34 285 54416 51617 47 262 35 262 37 277 38 292 40 291 51617 49088 44 252 43 273 42 279 45 285 42 297 49088 46815 51 268 45 271 43 275 46 286 47 301 46815 44746 62 269 50 265 42 275 47 289 55 298 44746 42848 64 263 59 255 44 272 50 287 60 293 42848 41097 58 247 58 241 48 267 52 281 60 290 41097 39473 42 224 47 231 50 261 53 274 59 291 39473 37959 26 233 39 237 51 254 54 270 60 293 37959 36545 25 267 39 249 52 252 55 267 61 291 36545 35198 40 277 40 253 53 254 55 264 62 286 35198 33852 52 271 38 245 51 253 52 260 61 282 33852 32479 44 259 41 224 44 239 47 258 58 278 32479 31085 36 241 47 215 42 198 41 253 50 274 31085 29662 43 230 51 215 44 191 36 236 40 262 29662 28199 46 236 48 219 37 205 36 215 30 239 28199 26702 46 235 46 221 42 214 42 211 29 229 26702 25165 48 226 48 219 48 221 45 215 36 234 25165 23587 53 213 51 213 51 228 47 226 45 236 23587 21969 56 207 51 209 53 231 51 230 47 234 21969 20303 51 205 47 206 54 231 52 229 48 229 20303 18580 49 203 45 205 54 227 50 226 53 223 18580 16830 49 199 44 205 54 221 47 223 58 222 16830 15149 48 196 46 208 54 218 49 221 57 225 15149 13622 48 195 48 212 53 214 52 220 40 235 13622 12267 48 198 50 214 52 211 54 218 16 250 12267 11057 47 205 51 214 50 208 53 217 21 264 11057 9971 47 212 48 211 48 205 50 218 24 273 9971 8996 45 216 43 208 47 202 47 217 28 277 8996 8122 42 218 36 204 45 200 43 217 30 277 8122 7341 38 219 31 199 42 198 38 216 30 276 7341 6643 32 220 29 195 39 197 34 216 30 274 6643 6010 27 220 26 191 37 197 31 216 28*272 6010 5444 21 219 22 186 34 197 27 217 25*269 5444 4966 16 216 19 180 31 198 24 217 22 267 4966 4596 12 209 17 176 28 197 21 217 20 266 4596 4339 10 202 16 173 26 197 18 217 18 265 4339 4182 9*199 16*172 24*197 17*217 16 265 4182 4092 8*198 14*171 20*196 15*216 14 264 4092 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography