DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/27 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.0 - - 57.4 - - 57.1 - - 56.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -2 - - -3 - - -7 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 696 - - 1356 - - 1529 - - 1270 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 18 - - 15 - - 14 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 124 - - 114 - - 062 - - 107 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4981 - - -2957 - - -4351 - - -4893 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9075 - - 7051 - - 8445 - - 8987 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10907 - - -7474 - - -8860 - - -9514 ODpotential blCL - - - 15001 - - 11568 - - 12954 - - 13608 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 79 - - 45 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.0 - - 57.4 - - 57.1 - - 56.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.1 - - 40.9 - - 34.6 - - 31.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.0 - - 57.8 - - 58.3 - - 57.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.0 - - 39.7 - - 33.4 - - 30.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -2 - - -3 - - -7 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 34 - - 18 - - 0 - - 50 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96460 20 077 28 064 24 094 14 081 96460 89357 20 080 21 081 21 079 22 069 89357 83821 15 072 13 085 10 064 20 047 83821 79228 14 073 4 053 5 015 19 037 79228 75281 8 055 5 003 6 326 15 008 75281 71790 7 006 10 352 5 340 9 004 71790 68608 8 320 17 332 14 345 14 338 68608 65668 11 312 16 313 19 316 17 325 65668 62938 16 319 19 315 17 303 13 309 62938 60281 24 312 19 307 21 299 26 289 60281 57494 25 312 30 296 31 288 34 281 57494 54586 32 294 38 284 37 290 33 291 54586 51803 37 282 40 275 44 285 44 291 51803 49308 38 274 39 272 47 275 48 285 49308 47085 39 272 41 273 46 274 44 285 47085 45086 40 272 40 273 44 284 41 287 45086 43268 43 271 42 275 47 284 44 286 43268 41595 45 268 44 274 47 278 47 279 41595 40049 47 263 45 270 45 275 47 283 40049 38618 50 266 45 271 44 276 50 288 38618 37290 50 266 46 275 41 278 51 288 37290 36021 48 266 48 276 40 283 48 286 36021 34741 46 264 49 272 38 286 48 285 34741 33420 49 262 46 271 35 285 46 281 33420 32063 53 261 38 277 31 279 43 275 32063 30655 54 259 32 292 27 277 40 273 30655 29189 52 257 33 300 27 287 40 277 29189 27666 46 257 34 300 27 295 37 283 27666 26088 40 259 36 294 24 298 32 285 26088 24459 39 264 38 285 23 293 30 283 24459 22780 39 268 37 279 28 284 33 281 22780 21049 36 272 35 277 31 280 36 280 21049 19257 35 275 35 276 31 276 38 278 19257 17436 35 275 36 274 32 277 38 276 17436 15683 34 275 36 273 32 279 35 277 15683 14085 33 277 35 273 30 281 33 279 14085 12658 30 277 31 272 28 281 31 280 12658 11381 26 274 28 269 27 280 28 281 11381 10235 22 269 26 267 27 279 25 283 10235 9207 20 263 25 267 27 278 22 284 9207 8287 18 258 24 267 26 277 20 286 8287 7468 16 253 22 268 24 276 19 288 7468 6738 14 248 20 269 20 276 19 287 6738 6078 12 240 15 269 15 278 18 283 6078 5489 10 222 9 265 10 285 16 277 5489 4994 9 203 4 250 6 304 13 271 4994 4611 9 180 2 172 3 354 7 262 4611 4347 8 154 4 126 4 035 3 218 4347 4186 7*137 5*117 5*055 5*124 4186 4093 5*124 5*114 6*062 6*107 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography