DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/17 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.2 - - 64.1 - - 68.7 - - 69.9 - - 67.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 37 - - 55 - - 49 - - 14 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 974 - - 3871 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4077 - - 6003 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top 5274 - - 8171 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3565 - - 3302 - - 10194 - - 10500 - - 7018 Hgt.Variab. W* 157 - - 270 - - 42 - - 34 - - 30 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 15 - - 12 - - 8 - - 11 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 259 - - 246 - - 287 - - 311 - - 310 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - 5 - - -4 - - -4 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2580 - - -1565 - - -7831 - - -8019 - - -6370 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7854 - - 9737 - - 11927 - - 12115 - - 10465 sfcLCL ODpotential -5445 - - -4227 - - -9134 - - -9448 - - -8844 ODpotential blCL 10719 - - 12398 - - 13229 - - 13543 - - 12939 blCL maxRH 51 - - 54 - - 65 - - 63 - - 49 maxRH CAPE 80 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 61.2 - - 64.1 - - 68.7 - - 69.9 - - 67.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.0 - - 35.6 - - 30.5 - - 30.9 - - 35.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.6 - - 63.3 - - 68.2 - - 69.6 - - 66.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.9 - - 34.4 - - 29.4 - - 29.9 - - 34.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 37 - - 55 - - 49 - - 14 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 974 - - 3871 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99040 16 137 12 103 12 101 10 062 15 069 99040 91648 15 136 9 128 10 124 6 123 9 075 91648 85911 11 115 10 152 12 133 10 140 2 291 85911 81160 5 089 16 148 7 147 5 114 5 118 81160 77062 3 283 3 132 9 166 5 201 4 081 77062 73428 9 186 8 224 3 258 6 137 6 136 73428 70133 7 188 9 215 10 273 7 302 5 026 70133 67094 5 267 5 202 10 215 6 243 7 329 67094 64275 14 269 5 266 7 187 15 283 17 273 64275 61574 9 241 13 226 14 256 9 247 10 191 61574 58745 3 342 12 196 10 185 8 177 10 211 58745 55777 31 240 29 236 28 242 31 243 24 257 55777 52955 44 217 42 216 46 223 38 234 33 256 52955 50429 44 200 35 213 37 209 29 238 29 245 50429 48156 34 248 29 244 27 254 29 262 28 269 48156 46085 43 249 42 249 39 260 34 271 35 275 46085 44184 45 245 46 247 46 256 43 269 44 271 44184 42428 42 246 48 246 52 249 51 262 50 266 42428 40796 44 252 52 246 58 247 58 255 57 261 40796 39276 51 251 62 246 66 247 60 253 63 259 39276 37857 60 247 73 244 74 245 66 255 67 257 37857 36501 65 248 80 241 76 241 73 253 74 254 36501 35142 70 249 82 239 76 239 75 246 77 249 35142 33757 79 250 83 239 76 238 74 240 74 243 33757 32350 88 250 84 240 76 238 73 238 71 240 32350 30906 88 247 86 240 77 238 74 236 70 236 30906 29408 80 242 87 237 78 235 75 233 72 233 29408 27854 69 237 87 233 78 232 77 233 73 233 27854 26244 60 233 86 232 80 230 77 235 67 234 26244 24587 51 227 79 235 78 232 70 236 59 230 24587 22886 42 219 60 234 67 235 58 232 54 225 22886 21136 39 214 46 226 53 231 50 225 48 223 21136 19331 35 212 40 219 46 224 44 221 40 219 19331 17503 30 208 35 216 41 220 37 217 35 211 17503 15745 25 203 30 216 33 217 28 205 34 202 15745 14143 20 200 26 216 23 214 18 196 27 202 14143 12713 18 204 23 218 17 218 12 203 16 206 12713 11434 17 211 20 223 15 224 9 222 6 217 11434 10287 18 220 16 230 13 235 7 261 3 270 10287 9257 21 227 15 235 12 250 9 284 6 320 9257 8334 24 232 14*238 11 262 10 294 10 322 8334 7511 25 236 14*241 11 266 11 298 13 317 7511 6774 25 240 13 243 11 271 12 302 15 313 6774 6108 24 247 13 246 11 275 12 304 17 310 6108 5512 22*253 12 247 10 279 12 305 17 309 5512 5010 19*257 11 248 10 282 12 307 17 308 5010 4621 16 259 11 248 9 285 12 308 16 307 4621 4352 14 260 10 249 9 286 12 309 14 308 4352 4188 13 261 10 249 9*286 12*310 13*309 4188 4094 12 260 9 248 8*287 11*311 11*310 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography