DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/06 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.1 - - 51.0 - - 56.6 - - 58.8 - - 54.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 12 - - 19 - - 19 - - -3 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 405 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4705 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1753 - - 1335 - - 2846 - - 3088 - - 1739 Hgt.Variab. W* 26 - - 89 - - 30 - - 17 - - 20 W* B/S 2 - - 7 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 104 - - 113 - - 136 - - 129 - - 127 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 2 - - 5 - - 3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3325 - - -3139 - - -4748 - - -4960 - - -4003 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7420 - - 7845 - - 8842 - - 9054 - - 8097 sfcLCL ODpotential -12122 - - -13166 - - -11783 - - -11454 - - -11641 ODpotential blCL 16216 - - 17871 - - 15877 - - 15548 - - 15735 blCL maxRH 76 - - 90 - - 84 - - 75 - - 62 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.1 - - 51.0 - - 56.6 - - 58.8 - - 54.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.3 - - 31.3 - - 32.5 - - 33.7 - - 34.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.4 - - 50.5 - - 56.2 - - 58.7 - - 55.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.2 - - 30.0 - - 31.4 - - 32.6 - - 32.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 12 - - 19 - - 19 - - -3 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 405 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 3 - - 59 - - 37 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96075 35 298 30 293 38 288 38 286 41 284 96075 89185 17 304 16 291 22 292 20 298 19 289 89185 83809 7 315 7 313 11 278 12 316 10 307 83809 79301 3 347 7 331 4 246 6 312 11 310 79301 75409 6 351 6 311 4 277 3 323 4 294 75409 71966 8 326 6 286 9 290 9 313 5 321 71966 68838 11 314 7 304 8 279 14 299 11 294 68838 65950 21 316 11 334 10 325 11 290 11 299 65950 63258 21 318 16 338 12 327 14 302 17 309 63258 60644 19 329 12 328 15 331 18 289 21 302 60644 57924 21 329 20 343 18 333 20 301 25 306 57924 55113 27 344 22 344 21 320 24 308 26 307 55113 52440 36 352 24 345 16 324 26 322 30 316 52440 50038 36 350 33 348 35 340 31 327 30 304 50038 47876 46 001 42 347 38 342 27 331 23 311 47876 45899 53 356 44 352 42 348 38 333 36 325 45899 44081 56 004 48 354 49 342 51 331 54 330 44081 42406 65 004 53 349 48 339 54 327 59 331 42406 40852 68 002 53 347 46 342 49 327 49 331 40852 39398 61 002 52 346 47 343 44 332 45 331 39398 38030 52 003 49 342 45 341 43 332 46 331 38030 36714 47 005 45 340 41 339 41 331 45 331 36714 35388 43 006 42 340 37 340 37 333 42 332 35388 34022 41 007 38 339 31 343 32 336 39 330 34022 32623 43 003 33 342 28 338 27 336 34 329 32623 31174 42 002 28 348 26 328 24 329 25 327 31174 29666 39 359 26 353 22 323 22 321 20 324 29666 28100 37 000 26 349 21 323 19 308 20 322 28100 26479 35 003 27 343 23 323 19 307 20 320 26479 24807 31 007 23 339 23 320 21 309 19 320 24807 23086 25 017 20 333 21 315 23 315 18 322 23086 21310 23 009 17 334 20 315 23 325 18 329 21310 19471 26 356 19 334 20 324 24 335 19 341 19471 17602 24 356 23 342 21 339 24 344 18 354 17602 15805 21 005 22 355 20 353 22 351 16 006 15805 14170 20 012 16 005 14 359 18 001 14 016 14170 12712 18 016 12 007 11 358 15 011 13 025 12712 11411 14 016 10 005 9 000 11 017 11 034 11411 10248 9 017 7 006 7 011 7 025 8 043 10248 9208 4 024 3 015 4 027 4 045 4 063 9208 8282 2 088 1 136 2 074 2 084 3 104 8282 7460 3 146 4 168 2 145 3 140 5 132 7460 6729 4 157 5 175 4 146 5 151 6 140 6729 6070 4 157 5 173 6 140 7 141 5 141 6070 5483 4 156 3 162 6 134 8 133 9 150 5483 4990 4 151 2*140 5 132 7 130 9 148 4990 4609 3 140 2*114 4 133 7 129 8 142 4609 4346 2 120 2 112 4 134 6 129 6 136 4346 4185 2*110 2 111 4*135 5*128 5*130 4185 4093 2*104 2 112 4*136 4*129 4*127 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography