DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/17 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.1 - - 69.5 - - - - - 67.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 18 - - 20 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4077 - - 4077 - - - - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4095 - - 4095 - - - - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1923 - - 3125 - - - - - 2472 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 30 - - 30 - - - - - 15 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 135 - - 062 - - - - - 202 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 7 - - - - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6711 - - -5089 - - - - - -6796 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10807 - - 9184 - - - - - 10891 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14185 - - -9155 - - - - - -12039 ODpotential blCL - - - 18280 - - 13250 - - - - - 16134 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 60 - - - - - 53 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.1 - - 69.5 - - - - - 67.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.5 - - 43.6 - - - - - 34.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.8 - - 69.5 - - - - - 69.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.3 - - 42.4 - - - - - 33.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 18 - - 20 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 7 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97671 12 285 16 285 15 291 97671 90381 9 300 13 294 7 292 90381 84755 7 271 11 270 14 308 84755 80104 12 298 12 289 12 301 80104 76103 9 298 14 296 14 296 76103 72555 3 294 13 267 15 300 72555 69338 19 303 15 292 16 310 69338 66396 20 280 17 271 16 279 66396 63672 13 266 12 259 14 259 63672 61024 22 284 22 285 24 294 61024 58276 29 269 34 275 33 286 58276 55441 30 255 32 263 32 281 55441 52731 32 264 32 269 32 282 52731 50282 36 270 37 269 36 278 50282 48072 38 274 39 269 39 275 48072 46055 34 275 40 273 39 274 46055 44208 29 274 36 274 39 272 44208 42513 24 266 28 271 37 275 42513 40952 15 257 22 269 34 277 40952 39499 8 253 12 253 30 271 39499 38133 8 258 9 268 27 274 38133 36819 7 254 10 286 23 278 36819 35494 5 279 8 284 19 273 35494 34128 7 329 4 307 18 277 34128 32726 8 322 6 316 16 285 32726 31276 2 192 3 245 13 287 31276 29768 8 160 6 187 13 289 29768 28204 10 163 8 177 11 284 28204 26584 9 148 6 157 6 276 26584 24911 6 123 6 127 1 310 24911 23185 10 149 9 146 1 304 23185 21401 16 158 14 157 4 210 21401 19554 19 161 14 180 6 254 19554 17686 16 172 11 211 7 285 17686 15896 10 188 9 240 12 286 15896 14267 6 229 10 271 14 272 14267 12815 6 277 11 278 13 264 12815 11518 8 284 12 287 12 262 11518 10356 10 287 13 288 9 267 10356 9314 10 288 13 282 8 282 9314 8380 11 287 12 275 9 288 8380 7547 12 286 10 274 10 289 7547 6802 11 284 8 279 12 286 6802 6128 9 280 5 295 13 283 6128 5526 5 270 3 341 13 280 5526 5018 2 236 3 022 11 275 5018 4625 2 163 4 042 8 266 4625 4354 3 137 4 055 6 244 4354 4189 3*136 3*060 4*223 4189 4094 3*134 3*062 3*202 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography