DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/25 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.7 - - 46.0 - - 44.9 - - 44.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 40 - - 27 - - 22 - - 32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 947 - - 2061 - - 87 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5247 - - 6361 - - 4387 - - 4093 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2264 - - 2955 - - 4787 - - 4242 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 152 - - 177 - - 57 - - 37 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 31 - - 26 - - 16 - - 18 BL Wind Direction - - - 208 - - 217 - - 205 - - 190 Direction Wind Shear - - - 15 - - 14 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -10 - - 12 - - -5 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -77 - - 744 - - -1077 - - -1720 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5324 - - 5617 - - 5465 - - 5813 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2357 - - -1095 - - -2394 - - -3253 ODpotential blCL - - - 7604 - - 7456 - - 6781 - - 7346 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 84 - - 89 - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 60 - - 90 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.7 - - 46.0 - - 44.9 - - 44.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.4 - - 35.4 - - 35.0 - - 32.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.1 - - 45.5 - - 44.6 - - 43.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.2 - - 34.1 - - 33.8 - - 31.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 40 - - 27 - - 22 - - 32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 947 - - 2061 - - 87 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 16 - - 36 - - 56 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96055 18 330 27 335 24 003 21 322 96055 89001 18 326 17 324 22 330 15 334 89001 83570 12 331 17 314 18 323 20 339 83570 79064 15 292 26 290 24 308 27 317 79064 75148 15 298 18 292 12 293 13 314 75148 71636 23 310 21 290 28 284 25 300 71636 68417 38 253 36 245 40 241 33 254 68417 65456 38 220 30 233 25 227 23 232 65456 62675 29 180 17 188 21 269 18 275 62675 59933 7 150 8 200 39 271 36 264 59933 57057 41 243 58 241 66 239 50 246 57057 54074 79 233 81 232 66 235 51 244 54074 51235 80 234 71 230 57 241 53 246 51235 48711 78 238 63 234 54 241 58 237 48711 46465 74 236 61 237 49 243 50 231 46465 44423 69 232 58 243 58 251 59 243 44423 42555 65 232 64 249 72 249 74 248 42555 40842 64 233 76 248 73 248 77 248 40842 39254 66 234 87 243 78 249 86 250 39254 37777 70 235 91 239 93 250 99 250 37777 36404 74 233 90 239 113 253 114 248 36404 35100 75 230 90 241 127 251 122 245 35100 33798 71 228 92 242 130 248 120 244 33798 32467 66 228 95 242 128 248 117 243 32467 31111 64 228 96 240 127 249 115 241 31111 29715 64 227 94 237 127 249 114 239 29715 28265 70 225 90 234 123 247 112 238 28265 26762 76 223 84 231 114 242 109 239 26762 25208 80 222 77 228 103 237 107 240 25208 23608 80 220 73 224 92 232 105 241 23608 21970 80 218 72 223 86 229 98 240 21970 20298 78 217 72 222 75 229 81 239 20298 18582 79 217 73 221 61 227 66 240 18582 16845 79 218 70 222 53 221 54 239 16845 15175 75 220 65 222 53 221 47 231 15175 13654 66 223 62 222 52 221 47 225 13654 12295 60 224 58 223 51 220 49 221 12295 11080 58 224 53 226 50 218 52 218 11080 9990 56 223 49 227 47 217 54 215 9990 9011 53 223 45 227 43 216 54 213 9011 8133 51 221 42 225 39 215 53 212 8133 7349 49 218 38 223 35 212 51 210 7349 6649 48 214 35*221 31 209 47 207 6649 6014 45 210 32*219 28 207 42 203 6014 5446 41*209 29 217 25 206 38 199 5446 4967 37*208 26 217 22 205 32 196 4967 4596 33 208 25 216 19*205 28 193 4596 4339 29 209 23 217 17*205 23 191 4339 4182 27 209 22 216 16 205 21*190 4182 4092 22 208 18 214 14 204 18*190 4092 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography