DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/13 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.8 - - 81.9 - - 85.0 - - 81.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 41 - - 52 - - 23 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4079 - - 4079 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4333 - - 8181 - - 10999 - - 11751 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 37 - - 41 - - 34 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 002 - - 297 - - 024 - - 014 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6024 - - -7962 - - -8089 - - -5995 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10120 - - 12059 - - 12186 - - 10092 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9684 - - -11365 - - -9990 - - -8537 ODpotential blCL - - - 13780 - - 15461 - - 14086 - - 12633 blCL maxRH - - - 41 - - 40 - - 43 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 40 - - 170 - - 720 - - 1520 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.8 - - 81.9 - - 85.0 - - 81.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.6 - - 43.1 - - 45.7 - - 51.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.6 - - 81.5 - - 84.9 - - 84.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.5 - - 41.9 - - 44.5 - - 50.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 41 - - 52 - - 23 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98861 27 099 28 112 30 109 21 111 98861 91364 20 107 24 102 25 099 25 102 91364 85604 20 125 18 098 18 085 26 089 85604 80848 19 115 15 108 15 087 20 091 80848 76765 17 115 14 106 16 091 19 090 76765 73167 17 106 8 098 11 095 17 073 73167 69922 12 089 13 086 9 113 15 071 69922 66934 12 105 8 082 10 083 14 075 66934 64161 10 088 6 124 6 036 12 045 64161 61490 10 064 4 117 2 048 6 019 61490 58711 7 019 3 337 3 358 6 336 58711 55823 12 327 8 311 7 301 10 300 55823 53062 18 302 15 289 16 285 18 294 53062 50572 22 295 20 291 20 284 22 284 50572 48332 25 294 23 292 22 288 23 286 48332 46293 27 291 26 293 25 291 26 288 46293 44427 29 289 28 292 29 289 28 289 44427 42713 30 292 27 293 28 287 28 290 42713 41127 30 293 28 293 27 289 28 293 41127 39648 30 292 28 291 28 290 28 294 39648 38264 30 289 29 292 28 292 26 295 38264 36939 30 288 31 290 28 293 23 294 36939 35606 30 287 32 287 28 290 22 294 35606 34235 29 287 32 284 28 287 22 292 34235 32829 27 287 28 281 24 286 21 288 32829 31377 22 283 21 282 20 282 15 285 31377 29873 19 277 17 282 13 279 12 282 29873 28319 16 276 16 282 10 288 10 275 28319 26710 12 275 13 285 9 288 7 269 26710 25047 8 273 11 278 10 283 6 266 25047 23333 7 276 9 265 10 275 7 264 23333 21564 6 276 9 259 9 265 7 274 21564 19732 6 264 9 251 8 262 8 276 19732 17873 9 254 9 247 12 256 15 251 17873 16084 16 248 14 251 14 250 14 258 16084 14452 20 238 18 243 14 252 11 277 14452 12991 14 229 13 235 12 257 9 297 12991 11680 9 218 8 233 9 265 9 324 11680 10500 6 208 5 237 7 279 9 339 10500 9439 4 184 2 254 5 305 9 351 9439 8487 3 118 1 357 5 333 9 002 8487 7636 4 079 2 013 6 354 9 009 7636 6874 5 064 2 009 7 006 10 013 6874 6184 5 054 3 002 7 013 10 015 6184 5566 5 044 3 349 7 017 10 016 5566 5046 4 035 3 336 7 021 10 017 5046 4643 4 027 3 325 6 023 9 017 4643 4363 3 020 3 315 6 025 8 016 4363 4193 2*014 3*302 5*025 7*014 4193 4095 1*002 3*293 4*024 5*014 4095 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography