DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/10 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 74.0 - - 79.3 - - 88.3 - - 83.5 - - 79.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 40 - - 44 - - 2 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 6624 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4078 - - 4078 - - 7733 - - 4078 - - 4079 Hcrit BL Top 4095 - - 4096 - - 10924 - - 4096 - - 4096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2070 - - 5223 - - 4392 - - 7317 - - 3436 Hgt.Variab. W* 20 - - 37 - - 303 - - 25 - - 18 W* B/S 1 - - 107 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 0 - - 13 - - 12 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 298 - - 121 - - 260 - - 268 - - 277 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 3 - - 12 - - -6 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4417 - - -4893 - - -1837 - - -5713 - - -5505 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8512 - - 8989 - - 12761 - - 9810 - - 9602 sfcLCL ODpotential -9180 - - -8332 - - -10536 - - -8766 - - -10179 ODpotential blCL 13275 - - 12428 - - 21460 - - 12862 - - 14275 blCL maxRH 34 - - 26 - - 30 - - 45 - - 37 maxRH CAPE 50 - - 690 - - 420 - - 1190 - - 600 CAPE Temp@2m 74.0 - - 79.3 - - 88.3 - - 83.5 - - 79.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 50.8 - - 53.9 - - 46.3 - - 54.5 - - 51.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 74.0 - - 79.1 - - 88.2 - - 84.5 - - 81.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.6 - - 52.6 - - 45.0 - - 53.2 - - 50.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 40 - - 44 - - 2 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 6624 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 10 - - 4 - - 10 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99410 28 113 21 110 18 094 24 101 22 110 99410 91879 22 105 20 108 20 114 20 099 23 116 91879 86057 25 096 23 106 22 118 15 104 22 094 86057 81221 23 105 20 104 22 115 17 114 15 078 81221 77082 21 112 14 110 16 105 18 117 13 107 77082 73437 20 117 16 141 14 119 11 100 16 104 73437 70132 16 097 16 139 9 132 8 139 8 107 70132 67092 5 153 17 136 14 144 10 165 4 142 67092 64293 13 189 12 168 8 171 11 157 13 160 64293 61598 9 188 14 190 12 206 6 216 9 175 61598 58798 14 232 18 181 24 213 10 207 6 195 58798 55925 27 238 20 210 34 228 38 237 30 235 55925 53214 36 249 33 235 37 230 44 234 44 231 53214 50782 50 254 44 245 44 245 44 243 42 234 50782 48590 60 252 59 251 65 253 54 250 49 243 48590 46589 68 254 67 252 71 252 64 248 61 246 46589 44746 72 256 68 253 70 253 69 245 69 245 44746 43032 70 257 67 256 72 253 70 246 74 244 43032 41431 65 259 62 258 68 254 70 248 75 246 41431 39931 60 261 56 260 58 255 65 251 68 249 39931 38526 55 264 53 262 52 256 57 251 59 252 38526 37181 52 269 49 265 49 259 50 248 51 250 37181 35830 48 273 45 269 43 265 45 246 47 244 35830 34447 45 279 44 273 38 270 41 246 44 244 34447 33037 40 279 41 275 37 270 34 256 39 242 33037 31584 35 276 37 273 37 268 35 266 36 240 31584 30075 32 275 35 271 38 268 37 263 36 244 30075 28510 32 278 33 268 40 270 37 259 36 253 28510 26888 33 279 35 267 44 272 37 257 38 263 26888 25210 32 279 38 271 48 272 37 258 39 267 25210 23480 30 277 38 273 48 273 38 263 39 267 23480 21688 29 272 34 272 43 275 37 268 37 268 21688 19830 30 269 30 271 35 274 33 270 33 267 19830 17942 28 268 25 269 29 266 30 269 28 264 17942 16127 23 263 20 262 25 257 27 267 25 261 16127 14474 20 248 18 254 20 249 25 265 24 262 14474 12999 19 229 18 244 18 249 21 262 24 262 12999 11679 18 219 19 236 17*252 19 261 23 263 11679 10494 13 218 17 231 17*254 20 262 22 262 10494 9429 8 211 14 232 16 256 20 264 21 261 9429 8476 4 210 12 234 16 258 21 265 21 260 8476 7625 3 255 10 235 15 259 21 265 21 262 7625 6864 3 280 9 237 14 260 22 266 21 264 6864 6176 5 306 7 237 13 262 22 266 21 265 6176 5561 9 309 5 237 11 264 21 266 21 266 5561 5042 11 301 3 237 10 266 21 267 20 267 5042 4641 10 296 1 237 9 268 20 267 19 268 4641 4362 8 295 0 257 8 272 18 267 17 269 4362 4192 7*296 0*038 7 273 17*268 14*271 4192 4095 5*298 0*121 6 273 12*268 7*277 4095 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography