DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/04 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.6 - - 46.9 - - 47.6 - - 46.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 18 - - 14 - - 8 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1446 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4094 - - 5746 - - 4094 - - 4093 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4946 - - 3977 - - 10539 - - 8336 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 29 - - 123 - - 26 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 25 - - 14 - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 280 - - 303 - - 309 - - 321 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 14 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -11 - - -7 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2125 - - 562 - - -3921 - - -3066 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6219 - - 5185 - - 8016 - - 7160 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3386 - - -1298 - - -4943 - - -4100 ODpotential blCL - - - 7480 - - 7044 - - 9037 - - 8193 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 87 - - 73 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 330 - - 180 - - 220 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.6 - - 46.9 - - 47.6 - - 46.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.6 - - 38.4 - - 26.8 - - 29.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.6 - - 46.7 - - 47.4 - - 45.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.5 - - 37.5 - - 25.8 - - 28.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 18 - - 14 - - 8 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1446 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 48 - - 0 - - 27 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96202 6 300 19 271 24 307 14 324 96202 89121 8 308 15 299 14 293 14 321 89121 83671 11 333 13 311 13 305 13 319 83671 79160 14 321 11 304 7 309 10 326 79160 75285 13 328 8 320 12 334 11 306 75285 71854 19 294 18 279 10 302 1 098 71854 68704 17 270 13 248 15 284 28 299 68704 65783 16 284 18 263 35 262 39 261 65783 63055 37 279 37 264 33 256 30 253 63055 60397 46 281 35 283 23 259 13 255 60397 57594 49 279 36 276 30 277 30 285 57594 54654 45 277 44 271 53 273 52 272 54654 51852 41 282 54 271 56 277 52 270 51852 49315 45 287 60 273 57 289 48 280 49315 47019 55 287 63 275 63 292 51 285 47019 44923 63 281 65 272 67 285 56 282 44923 42997 66 273 63 269 64 278 56 280 42997 41221 66 268 61 273 57 278 53 287 41221 39576 68 269 65 279 57 286 57 294 39576 38048 75 266 70 275 63 288 61 296 38048 36626 81 255 74 264 68 284 62 297 36626 35274 77 245 72 253 71 278 67 294 35274 33925 69 245 66 249 68 270 66 287 33925 32549 71 247 63 252 60 266 58 283 32549 31151 74 245 64 260 54 270 50 289 31151 29719 75 242 66 265 56 279 50 300 29719 28247 74 243 71 266 61 283 53 305 28247 26737 73 246 76 265 63 282 52 304 26737 25192 73 250 76 263 62 280 46 303 25192 23612 73 253 72 262 59 280 40 303 23612 21999 73 256 67 262 54 282 36 306 21999 20344 68 255 59 264 47 284 31 313 20344 18635 58 249 51 269 40 285 28 320 18635 16900 51 242 43 274 33 290 27 319 16900 15230 48 241 34 275 28 303 22 313 15230 13708 45 246 29 274 26 315 17 312 13708 12346 42 250 27 272 25 318 15 316 12346 11124 40 255 30 271 24 317 17 314 11124 10027 38 259 32 272 24 315 19 312 10027 9042 34 263 33 276 24 311 22 312 9042 8158 28 266 33 280 24 309 24 314 8158 7369 25 268 33 285 23 308 25 315 7369 6663 23 269 31 289 23 307 25 316 6663 6024 21 270 30*294 23 307 25 317 6024 5453 20 271 28*298 22 306 24 317 5453 4971 18 272 27 301 22 306 23 317 4971 4599 16 274 25 304 21 306 20 318 4599 4340 14 275 24 307 20 306 18 318 4340 4183 12*276 22 309 18*307 16*319 4183 4092 7*280 16 316 14*309 13*321 4092 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography