DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/19 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 76.2 - - 80.4 - - 87.0 - - - - - 86.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 33 - - 39 - - - - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4078 - - 4078 - - 4079 - - - - - 4079 Hcrit BL Top 4095 - - 4096 - - 4096 - - - - - 4096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1630 - - 3407 - - 4943 - - - - - 3818 Hgt.Variab. W* 23 - - 35 - - 38 - - - - - 24 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 9 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 3 - - 1 - - - - - 11 BL Wind Direction 317 - - 332 - - 247 - - - - - 308 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 5 - - 7 - - - - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5978 - - -4688 - - -7122 - - - - - -4901 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10073 - - 8785 - - 11218 - - - - - 8997 sfcLCL ODpotential -11285 - - -8675 - - -10054 - - - - - -8203 ODpotential blCL 15380 - - 12771 - - 14150 - - - - - 12299 blCL maxRH 89 - - 88 - - 82 - - - - - 96 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 480 - - 360 - - - - - 1580 CAPE Temp@2m 76.2 - - 80.4 - - 87.0 - - - - - 86.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.5 - - 55.9 - - 51.9 - - - - - 60.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 76.0 - - 80.7 - - 86.6 - - - - - 87.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.3 - - 54.6 - - 50.7 - - - - - 59.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 33 - - 39 - - - - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 55 - - 50 - - 29 - - - - - 85 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 11 - - 9 - - - - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99571 38 091 38 108 26 106 25 094 99571 92016 35 100 29 110 25 104 30 099 92016 86200 34 101 28 098 27 112 29 103 86200 81394 25 101 25 095 25 105 27 100 81394 77262 27 096 23 109 20 092 21 093 77262 73619 23 086 26 111 18 112 19 090 73619 70325 19 071 20 104 16 105 19 080 70325 67308 9 080 21 100 18 113 17 106 67308 64529 10 085 10 093 15 096 15 125 64529 61849 5 155 7 167 7 097 13 103 61849 59079 15 204 16 188 11 194 3 132 59079 56224 20 189 25 196 25 213 11 242 56224 53510 23 227 25 196 37 205 28 220 53510 51094 47 239 36 227 41 211 39 215 51094 48943 60 229 53 231 49 224 43 216 48943 46981 61 226 60 227 55 226 43 223 46981 45164 62 225 62 226 57 227 44 228 45164 43466 63 226 59 228 57 228 48 227 43466 41876 63 233 57 233 59 230 53 225 41876 40385 64 240 60 240 61 230 54 227 40385 38978 66 244 61 243 61 229 53 232 38978 37621 69 248 61 240 61 229 50 236 37621 36249 68 248 60 238 58 228 50 235 36249 34833 64 243 57 232 55 225 50 233 34833 33380 62 242 57 228 55 226 49 230 33380 31879 57 245 52 226 54 229 45 227 31879 30324 48 241 45 225 50 228 40 228 30324 28718 45 231 42 224 41 222 33 230 28718 27060 42 228 37 222 35 215 30 223 27060 25349 36 227 31 220 30 213 30 216 25349 23596 31 224 28 216 27 211 30 206 23596 21794 30 218 28 211 26 209 27 195 21794 19930 29 217 28 211 26 209 22 196 19930 18039 27 215 28 212 26 210 15 182 18039 16223 24 211 25 211 24 214 14 148 16223 14570 21 206 21 209 20 214 14 136 14570 13090 17 195 17 201 13 207 10 123 13090 11762 13 180 14 193 9 195 7 101 11762 10567 10 170 11 181 7 187 6 059 10567 9492 5 180 8 168 6 187 7 019 9492 8528 2 213 4 158 4 193 9 351 8528 7668 1 335 1 014 3 196 13 330 7668 6898 3 016 4 342 2 200 17 315 6898 6202 3 016 6 335 1 234 20 309 6202 5579 5 334 6 334 1 285 21 307 5579 5054 8 314 6 336 1 310 22 306 5054 4648 9 310 6 338 1 318 21 305 4648 4366 7 312 5 339 1 311 20 305 4366 4194 7*312 4*336 1*270 18*305 4194 4095 6*317 3*332 1*247 11*308 4095 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography