DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/03 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0952z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 66.2 - - 73.0 - - 78.3 - - 75.0 - - 71.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 5 - - 39 - - 24 - - -1 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4077 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 Hcrit BL Top 4095 - - 4095 - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1789 - - 4766 - - 9571 - - 6182 - - 3746 Hgt.Variab. W* 19 - - 36 - - 34 - - 21 - - 17 W* B/S 1 - - 17 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 0 - - 12 - - 12 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 306 - - 270 - - 281 - - 291 - - 301 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 1 - - -5 - - -6 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5705 - - -6016 - - -6154 - - -5074 - - -3939 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9801 - - 10112 - - 10251 - - 9170 - - 8035 sfcLCL ODpotential -11098 - - -9605 - - -8332 - - -7982 - - -8061 ODpotential blCL 15193 - - 13700 - - 12428 - - 12078 - - 12156 blCL maxRH 87 - - 76 - - 49 - - 37 - - 33 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 220 - - 70 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 66.2 - - 73.0 - - 78.3 - - 75.0 - - 71.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.9 - - 43.0 - - 47.4 - - 49.0 - - 49.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.8 - - 73.4 - - 79.0 - - 76.0 - - 72.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.8 - - 41.8 - - 46.1 - - 47.7 - - 48.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 5 - - 39 - - 24 - - -1 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 46 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98547 26 109 28 115 18 090 29 092 23 100 98547 91126 24 115 20 119 24 094 21 094 23 095 91126 85441 22 097 20 113 18 105 19 097 26 087 85441 80710 20 084 25 105 18 120 16 099 20 080 80710 76641 14 076 24 095 18 115 15 095 16 093 76641 73053 11 083 19 080 18 102 12 087 17 096 73053 69807 10 072 13 076 16 088 12 089 14 069 69807 66832 6 061 6 060 13 070 14 086 8 057 66832 64086 5 056 6 334 11 032 12 079 7 073 64086 61413 7 051 4 232 12 316 15 006 13 040 61413 58619 8 357 1 047 10 290 14 332 12 359 58619 55734 17 333 15 349 12 340 15 331 16 337 55734 52990 26 326 24 343 22 340 27 334 29 344 52990 50530 35 323 34 323 33 334 39 336 37 346 50530 48326 44 323 39 329 44 338 43 337 45 337 48326 46328 51 326 47 336 53 338 49 324 50 324 46328 44499 53 335 55 333 48 329 48 321 53 324 44499 42801 64 339 55 329 46 326 50 321 59 323 42801 41216 69 335 56 327 45 318 51 320 58 321 41216 39735 66 331 55 325 42 313 48 316 55 320 39735 38349 62 330 56 326 40 313 45 313 54 319 38349 37023 59 329 57 325 42 313 45 312 53 318 37023 35690 57 329 57 323 43 314 46 313 51 317 35690 34318 55 328 56 320 45 315 47 315 49 316 34318 32910 55 328 53 317 45 316 47 316 48 315 32910 31453 56 327 52 315 46 316 47 317 47 316 31453 29935 58 328 52 314 46 315 47 318 46 315 29935 28358 58 328 51 316 45 312 44 318 43 313 28358 26726 51 323 48 320 43 311 41 318 40 312 26726 25041 39 306 43 316 40 312 37 316 36 312 25041 23307 36 293 40 307 40 313 33 314 34 312 23307 21515 34 289 37 295 40 311 34 315 32 311 21515 19661 29 281 34 281 35 299 34 317 31 314 19661 17779 27 263 30 273 29 276 27 309 28 318 17779 15973 29 246 28 262 26 261 21 284 20 310 15973 14333 27 244 29 250 21 253 20 274 16 287 14333 12873 24 250 29 246 19 257 19 273 16 281 12873 11568 21 258 26 246 18 260 18 275 17 285 11568 10399 18 263 22 247 18 264 18 279 18 288 10399 9350 14 263 18 248 19 267 19 281 18 290 9350 8410 11 262 16 248 19 270 20 283 19 290 8410 7572 9 270 13 250 19 272 20 284 20 291 7572 6823 7 296 11 252 19 273 20 285 21 291 6823 6145 11 309 9 254 19 274 20 286 21 292 6145 5538 13 312 6 256 19 275 20 286 21 292 5538 5027 12 308 3 264 18 276 20 288 20 293 5027 4631 10 303 2 270 18 278 19 289 19 294 4631 4357 7 299 1 288 16 279 18 290 18 295 4357 4190 5*301 0*292 15*280 16*290 15*297 4190 4094 3*306 0*270 12*281 12*291 9*301 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography