DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/24 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0701z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 64.3 - - 69.0 - - 75.1 - - 78.0 - - 71.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 2 - - 41 - - 50 - - 22 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4077 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 Hcrit BL Top 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4096 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2280 - - 4281 - - 8758 - - 12779 - - 2997 Hgt.Variab. W* 20 - - 37 - - 41 - - 32 - - 20 W* B/S 1 - - 33 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 315 - - 321 - - 056 - - 025 - - 312 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5529 - - -4768 - - -7483 - - -6766 - - -4394 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9625 - - 8863 - - 11579 - - 10862 - - 8489 sfcLCL ODpotential -9870 - - -7951 - - -9947 - - -8367 - - -7513 ODpotential blCL 13965 - - 12046 - - 14042 - - 12463 - - 11608 blCL maxRH 76 - - 70 - - 61 - - 70 - - 68 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 80 - - 30 - - 860 - - 650 CAPE Temp@2m 64.3 - - 69.0 - - 75.1 - - 78.0 - - 71.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.5 - - 44.4 - - 38.5 - - 44.5 - - 47.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.2 - - 68.8 - - 74.7 - - 78.1 - - 72.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.5 - - 43.2 - - 37.4 - - 43.3 - - 46.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 2 - - 41 - - 50 - - 22 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 2 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 7 - - 5 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98532 25 121 14 127 16 154 10 143 7 123 98532 91032 15 122 12 148 4 147 12 093 16 124 91032 85268 6 128 7 150 8 160 1 224 9 089 85268 80506 0 281 7 193 8 118 4 201 0 056 80506 76412 2 260 8 205 1 281 3 257 2 171 76412 72783 3 209 8 198 3 236 8 240 2 252 72783 69483 1 188 9 210 5 310 7 216 3 262 69483 66440 4 345 6 222 9 282 7 235 6 258 66440 63613 8 280 6 258 11 269 9 270 8 280 63613 60876 10 245 9 276 15 262 15 277 14 295 60876 58026 9 259 11 282 16 252 20 273 17 280 58026 55083 14 289 13 271 14 249 21 268 18 263 55083 52288 19 291 15 260 15 265 18 259 17 260 52288 49784 22 282 16 274 17 269 17 260 17 264 49784 47552 26 265 20 286 17 261 17 266 17 269 47552 45543 25 253 22 282 17 261 18 266 17 271 45543 43722 23 248 21 264 17 271 16 265 14 267 43722 42063 21 248 21 245 20 272 16 274 13 268 42063 40534 21 255 19 241 22 254 19 276 15 271 40534 39106 21 257 18 247 19 250 19 273 16 267 39106 37760 20 257 17 245 17 263 15 276 15 262 37760 36464 17 264 15 248 16 273 14 283 14 270 36464 35155 17 270 13 260 14 279 12 293 11 282 35155 33807 16 275 11 272 10 291 7 294 7 283 33807 32423 12 279 10 276 7 312 4 300 5 260 32423 30992 8 283 6 271 6 309 2 309 3 222 30992 29506 4 329 1 268 3 296 1 133 2 196 29506 27965 5 001 3 055 2 146 4 147 4 165 27965 26371 3 062 3 088 5 134 7 147 5 153 26371 24727 4 114 4 140 7 151 6 162 3 151 24727 23033 4 126 7 160 9 182 8 187 3 247 23033 21283 2 174 7 163 11 182 13 170 8 212 21283 19473 7 242 6 203 9 176 14 164 14 186 19473 17640 19 230 15 221 11 204 14 189 15 166 17640 15879 24 223 20 216 16 214 11 210 14 151 15879 14272 20 211 19 208 14 220 9 231 9 140 14272 12833 17 205 17 197 14 225 8 267 4 115 12833 11542 15 212 15 193 13 232 8 288 3 033 11542 10381 11 221 13 206 12 237 8 302 5 345 10381 9337 7 234 9 223 10 243 9 312 9 328 9337 8401 4 264 5 245 9 245 8 320 13 316 8401 7565 4 307 4 265 7 249 8 329 18 308 7565 6818 6 332 4 275 4 252 8 337 21 305 6818 6142 8 328 4 290 2 259 7 346 22 304 6142 5536 11 320 3 304 1 005 7 355 23 304 5536 5026 11 315 2 320 3 045 6 005 23 305 5026 4631 9 311 2 337 4 051 5 014 22 305 4631 4357 7 310 1 345 4 053 5 021 20 307 4357 4190 6*311 1*351 4*055 4*023 18*308 4190 4094 5*315 0*321 4*056 3*025 11*312 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography