DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/17 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.9 - - 53.3 - - - - - 51.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -4 - - -2 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4076 - - 4076 - - - - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4094 - - 4094 - - - - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2595 - - 4221 - - - - - 2075 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 11 - - 16 - - - - - 12 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 12 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 318 - - 321 - - - - - 091 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - -3 - - - - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -647 - - -1609 - - - - - -1242 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4741 - - 5703 - - - - - 5337 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2699 - - -3187 - - - - - -5248 ODpotential blCL - - - 6793 - - 7281 - - - - - 9342 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 64 - - - - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.9 - - 53.3 - - - - - 51.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.2 - - 42.5 - - - - - 41.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.3 - - 53.5 - - - - - 51.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.5 - - 41.6 - - - - - 40.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -4 - - -2 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 22 - - 0 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96340 14 037 13 070 5 031 96340 89305 16 034 8 034 9 052 89305 83843 16 334 11 356 9 014 83843 79284 13 317 17 302 13 036 79284 75297 15 325 17 301 24 009 75297 71767 20 336 15 303 37 312 71767 68604 16 313 13 280 27 294 68604 65684 17 294 10 305 21 327 65684 62955 50 303 39 309 41 318 62955 60323 68 280 54 290 47 303 60323 57585 59 275 60 285 49 299 57585 54725 59 287 63 284 59 299 54725 51992 73 284 72 289 70 294 51992 49539 79 281 83 291 77 296 49539 47337 76 284 89 293 87 306 47337 45351 84 293 107 295 99 303 45351 43556 102 295 114 291 97 295 43556 41917 116 290 99 293 75 292 41917 40392 113 289 90 297 58 308 40392 38958 98 307 88 311 80 329 38958 37615 118 325 90 319 99 322 37615 36329 130 326 95 323 97 319 36329 35028 126 322 107 321 90 317 35028 33687 112 317 114 318 87 317 33687 32306 101 311 113 316 84 317 32306 30876 94 303 98 312 81 315 30876 29385 93 299 80 306 79 314 29385 27836 87 304 73 307 77 312 27836 26228 87 308 74 312 76 310 26228 24567 82 305 74 310 77 309 24567 22854 80 299 75 304 77 308 22854 21085 78 296 78 300 74 308 21085 19255 74 295 76 300 71 310 19255 17400 70 295 71 301 68 312 17400 15622 68 293 65 301 63 312 15622 14011 67 292 61 300 55 309 14011 12581 65 289 56 298 48 307 12581 11308 62 286 51 298 43 304 11308 10170 59 282 45 297 38 303 10170 9152 57 278 40 295 32 301 9152 8243 54 276 37 292 29 299 8243 7433 52 276 34 292 27 295 7433 6711 48 277 32 294 25 289 6711 6059 44 277 30 295 21 284 6059 5476 37 278 28 298 17 282 5476 4986 31 279 26 300 12 287 4986 4607 25 281 24 304 7 294 4607 4344 20 285 22 307 3 317 4344 4185 15*290 18*311 3*061 4185 4093 6*318 12*321 6*091 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography