DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/08 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.5 - - 51.7 - - 59.7 - - 63.8 - - 59.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 18 - - 31 - - 8 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4094 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 730 - - 1224 - - 1116 - - 3724 - - 1908 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 28 - - 33 - - 22 - - 10 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 086 - - 122 - - 076 - - 023 - - 293 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 1 - - 5 - - 4 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2858 - - -3372 - - -4596 - - -4795 - - -3524 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6952 - - 7466 - - 8691 - - 8890 - - 7619 sfcLCL ODpotential -10949 - - -10927 - - -10003 - - -8729 - - -7994 ODpotential blCL 15043 - - 15021 - - 14098 - - 12824 - - 12088 blCL maxRH 60 - - 52 - - 52 - - 54 - - 68 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.5 - - 51.7 - - 59.7 - - 63.8 - - 59.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.7 - - 33.6 - - 36.1 - - 39.1 - - 40.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.5 - - 52.9 - - 60.9 - - 65.5 - - 62.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.7 - - 32.4 - - 35.0 - - 37.9 - - 39.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 18 - - 31 - - 8 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96143 12 027 4 048 6 038 6 077 11 001 96143 89042 4 046 8 069 4 032 10 045 9 037 89042 83548 4 356 9 001 2 229 7 308 11 001 83548 78989 7 289 9 344 7 290 7 260 5 358 78989 75039 11 307 8 297 16 303 13 326 9 339 75039 71543 14 315 10 297 14 287 18 302 12 320 71543 68384 17 308 14 299 20 289 24 302 11 313 68384 65481 15 310 16 282 25 280 25 301 13 307 65481 62797 18 311 17 309 17 281 20 314 17 329 62797 60203 17 291 21 311 17 293 18 316 21 320 60203 57498 19 341 19 340 13 328 14 315 15 295 57498 54670 20 358 20 351 19 341 16 319 18 293 54670 51952 12 021 13 337 20 327 21 311 24 301 51952 49502 13 020 12 326 21 319 24 307 26 298 49502 47304 12 019 14 314 23 308 27 298 31 297 47304 45311 15 021 10 308 19 285 27 289 34 299 45311 43492 28 005 14 325 17 293 23 288 35 299 43492 41822 33 350 24 333 19 312 31 315 41 312 41822 40287 30 341 28 332 30 322 38 317 46 313 40287 38863 27 342 29 330 32 314 36 313 44 307 38863 37528 28 349 30 332 32 311 34 312 40 302 37528 36245 31 354 30 335 31 315 34 315 37 300 36245 34948 32 355 29 337 30 316 35 318 35 302 34948 33612 32 355 27 339 28 315 34 319 34 302 33612 32240 34 353 27 341 28 319 33 319 33 304 32240 30819 36 350 29 344 28 326 31 320 32 306 30819 29340 35 352 30 347 28 332 31 322 30 306 29340 27807 32 356 26 348 28 335 32 323 32 306 27807 26221 26 001 19 343 24 331 32 322 37 309 26221 24584 19 011 11 336 18 318 31 319 41 310 24584 22895 10 032 6 326 15 297 27 315 40 306 22895 21147 6 007 8 312 16 295 24 313 37 302 21147 19335 12 351 14 318 18 309 22 312 34 302 19335 17496 13 350 16 329 20 320 23 311 30 302 17496 15731 10 341 13 336 19 323 23 311 26 301 15731 14127 9 336 11 326 16 321 20 307 22 299 14127 12698 8 337 11 315 12 315 17 303 19 300 12698 11420 6 338 9 302 11 307 15 298 16 305 11420 10274 2 328 9 285 11 296 14 282 13 311 10274 9245 2 199 9 269 11 278 13 270 11 316 9245 8323 4 183 9 251 10 256 12 275 11 316 8323 7501 6 179 9 229 9 247 11 279 13 312 7501 6766 7 179 9 213 8 245 9 286 15 309 6766 6100 6 180 9 200 6 240 7 295 18 304 6100 5507 6 182 7 191 4 226 5 311 19 297 5507 5006 5 183 6 180 2 182 3 331 19 289 5006 4619 3 181 5 163 2 116 3 352 17 284 4619 4351 2 156 4 146 3 093 3 008 14 283 4351 4187 2*112 4*133 3*084 2*017 11*285 4187 4093 2*086 3*122 3*076 2*023 5*293 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography