DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/20 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.2 - - 74.8 - - 75.4 - - 72.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 23 - - 32 - - 6 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 933 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5233 - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2723 - - 6320 - - 6722 - - 5210 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 127 - - 35 - - 22 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 129 - - 088 - - 004 - - 333 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 5 - - 2 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5482 - - -7046 - - -5298 - - -5684 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10715 - - 11143 - - 9395 - - 9780 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12007 - - -10810 - - -8099 - - -8982 ODpotential blCL - - - 17240 - - 14906 - - 12195 - - 13077 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 81 - - 82 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 370 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.2 - - 74.8 - - 75.4 - - 72.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.7 - - 40.1 - - 48.3 - - 44.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.0 - - 74.6 - - 75.7 - - 74.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.5 - - 39.0 - - 47.1 - - 43.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 23 - - 32 - - 6 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 933 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 22 - - 27 - - 52 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98347 7 080 12 000 8 305 8 324 98347 91021 14 033 7 074 11 326 19 345 91021 85384 14 022 9 062 8 353 20 355 85384 80716 11 353 11 020 13 033 15 021 80716 76689 5 345 8 355 15 034 13 029 76689 73117 2 012 7 335 10 033 11 018 73117 69867 4 307 8 312 9 020 7 024 69867 66871 5 328 6 299 7 345 5 333 66871 64087 4 330 6 275 7 295 8 297 64087 61382 5 322 6 275 7 287 9 268 61382 58562 11 273 12 273 13 284 11 268 58562 55648 15 257 17 260 19 271 17 282 55648 52876 17 263 19 260 24 256 23 277 52876 50378 18 268 19 258 23 248 23 265 50378 48140 18 275 18 259 21 257 22 259 48140 46114 24 266 23 259 22 255 22 248 46114 44265 25 258 21 250 27 251 17 242 44265 42555 28 272 25 260 27 250 24 247 42555 40967 37 253 33 246 29 241 32 230 40967 39493 34 240 30 236 30 235 31 224 39493 38122 21 234 27 227 25 232 28 224 38122 36813 23 242 27 226 19 223 25 219 36813 35493 25 253 28 228 21 221 21 211 35493 34133 23 267 26 232 23 229 19 202 34133 32735 21 263 19 252 24 231 20 199 32735 31287 16 246 16 261 24 231 21 202 31287 29779 15 224 19 238 24 231 21 207 29779 28213 12 231 14 230 20 237 20 214 28213 26591 9 245 9 211 16 237 18 217 26591 24916 8 250 7 213 11 171 16 215 24916 23192 8 236 7 198 11 170 14 193 23192 21416 7 223 9 186 11 180 19 155 21416 19581 6 205 9 186 11 179 17 156 19581 17721 8 204 9 194 11 182 9 170 17721 15937 8 212 8 207 10 191 8 181 15937 14314 8 216 8 218 8 205 6 198 14314 12864 8 212 8 226 5 219 4 210 12864 11566 8 193 7 223 2 226 3 189 11566 10400 8 167 5 191 3 099 4 122 10400 9352 10 147 6 148 5 094 6 088 9352 8414 11 135 7 136 6 093 6 080 8414 7576 11 128 7 133 6 091 6 079 7576 6827 10 125 7 130 5 087 6 079 6827 6147 9 123 6 128 5 083 5 075 6147 5540 8*123 5 127 4 075 5 065 5540 5028 6*125 4 123 3 058 5 054 5028 4632 5 128 3 115 3 037 5 037 4632 4357 4 131 2 104 3 019 5 013 4357 4190 4 134 2*095 3*010 5*343 4190 4094 4 136 2*088 2*004 4*333 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography