DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/15 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.5 - - 51.1 - - 57.0 - - 61.4 - - 58.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 1 - - 25 - - 37 - - 11 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top 4093 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1539 - - 2595 - - 2962 - - 3187 - - 1986 Hgt.Variab. W* 16 - - 32 - - 36 - - 25 - - 10 W* B/S 2 - - 3 - - 8 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 063 - - 153 - - 174 - - 024 - - 331 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6172 - - -6326 - - -6495 - - -5129 - - -5945 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10266 - - 10420 - - 10589 - - 9224 - - 10039 sfcLCL ODpotential -16405 - - -16130 - - -14844 - - -10737 - - -14643 ODpotential blCL 20498 - - 20224 - - 18938 - - 14831 - - 18737 blCL maxRH 73 - - 83 - - 74 - - 59 - - 74 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.5 - - 51.1 - - 57.0 - - 61.4 - - 58.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 16.6 - - 20.3 - - 25.4 - - 35.5 - - 29.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.8 - - 50.8 - - 56.8 - - 61.7 - - 61.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 15.5 - - 19.2 - - 24.4 - - 34.3 - - 28.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 1 - - 25 - - 37 - - 11 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 31 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96425 3 233 1 114 8 262 5 283 1 218 96425 89357 9 080 9 055 6 123 3 156 5 043 89357 83902 11 082 13 092 5 077 7 054 13 065 83902 79359 9 052 14 042 8 070 5 083 12 041 79359 75424 11 072 11 028 13 050 9 073 15 041 75424 71946 13 015 14 018 18 031 16 045 24 039 71946 68802 18 018 14 018 17 007 21 028 19 037 68802 65899 30 008 21 020 14 003 18 019 13 018 65899 63193 36 349 28 004 21 359 25 004 19 357 63193 60578 36 341 32 349 28 350 31 356 27 002 60578 57860 41 342 39 348 35 350 38 357 34 001 57860 55045 49 337 51 343 46 349 45 352 40 359 55045 52365 54 335 59 341 56 347 53 345 50 351 52365 49965 59 341 67 345 59 346 56 345 54 352 49965 47833 75 343 74 346 69 349 65 349 64 348 47833 45924 81 335 76 341 71 343 70 341 70 334 45924 44187 71 330 68 332 62 342 64 335 61 328 44187 42570 66 345 63 337 62 351 62 339 65 334 42570 41048 78 002 62 346 67 352 66 342 71 339 41048 39609 87 004 67 353 69 348 69 342 76 343 39609 38245 90 001 73 353 69 344 67 342 72 342 38245 36927 90 357 75 350 70 344 68 342 69 341 36927 35594 88 353 77 345 72 345 74 341 71 338 35594 34218 89 350 78 343 74 345 77 339 76 337 34218 32803 92 345 78 342 75 345 75 339 79 338 32803 31335 91 340 76 342 74 346 73 340 78 340 31335 29807 88 340 74 341 70 345 69 341 71 343 29807 28224 83 340 72 340 66 344 63 343 63 345 28224 26588 72 337 66 340 64 343 59 343 57 342 26588 24899 59 332 62 340 62 343 58 340 53 339 24899 23160 54 332 61 341 57 340 56 339 49 335 23160 21362 53 336 59 343 54 336 54 339 48 330 21362 19502 52 338 54 343 53 337 51 336 49 330 19502 17618 48 338 48 338 47 340 46 336 46 334 17618 15814 44 339 40 334 40 340 38 337 40 338 15814 14178 39 342 33 337 35 343 30 340 34 339 14178 12725 35 347 29 346 31 350 24 342 27 337 12725 11432 30 349 24 357 25 358 17 344 20 334 11432 10275 23 351 18 005 17 004 9 344 14 322 10275 9241 15 357 13 010 9 010 3 308 11 299 9241 8315 9 004 8 016 2 071 3 235 10 278 8315 7492 6 007 5 027 3 138 3 215 7 269 7492 6758 3 010 2 061 4 140 2 180 4 260 6758 6093 2 014 2 103 4 136 2 144 1 233 6093 5501 2 046 3 108 4 134 2 110 1 107 5501 5002 6 075 2 121 3 139 2 084 1 053 5002 4616 7 076 2 134 2 143 3 061 2 014 4616 4349 4 076 2 148 2 150 3 041 2 346 4349 4187 3*069 2*154 1*161 3*031 3*328 4187 4093 2*063 2*153 1*174 3*024 3*331 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography