DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/08 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 32.6 - - 34.4 - - 36.2 - - 34.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 105 - - 98 - - 60 - - 42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2973 - - 4222 - - 4044 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5767 - - 6620 - - 6091 - - 4075 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7273 - - 8522 - - 8344 - - 4093 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2956 - - 2505 - - 1764 - - 4689 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 291 - - 321 - - 271 - - 38 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 17 - - 14 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 359 - - 005 - - 013 - - 009 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 5 - - 9 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1014 - - 1092 - - 617 - - -3436 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6260 - - 7431 - - 7727 - - 7529 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -314 - - -498 - - -1033 - - -9105 ODpotential blCL - - - 7587 - - 9020 - - 9377 - - 13198 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 86 - - 76 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 32.6 - - 34.4 - - 36.2 - - 34.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.9 - - 16.5 - - 16.9 - - 16.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 31.5 - - 33.3 - - 35.2 - - 34.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.7 - - 15.4 - - 15.9 - - 15.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 105 - - 98 - - 60 - - 42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2973 - - 4222 - - 4044 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 30 - - 42 - - 6 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96037 33 276 48 274 56 272 46 270 96037 88969 27 284 33 278 37 285 27 280 88969 83546 28 275 23 275 22 270 20 272 83546 78979 20 267 20 271 20 271 19 277 78979 74996 19 278 22 274 24 290 18 286 74996 71463 16 273 20 260 17 282 10 279 71463 68233 24 295 16 273 19 296 12 317 68233 65240 30 276 29 282 31 283 31 297 65240 62463 20 269 24 269 26 280 30 291 62463 59765 13 305 10 288 14 288 17 304 59765 56928 28 306 22 321 16 322 19 315 56928 53968 41 296 37 305 29 314 30 317 53968 51146 42 294 39 290 32 317 35 323 51146 48611 31 301 28 299 38 326 41 326 48611 46349 26 320 38 321 49 322 45 325 46349 44319 40 331 47 321 49 326 43 330 44319 42481 52 329 46 325 46 337 43 343 42481 40795 55 330 48 336 51 345 57 349 40795 39240 58 336 59 344 58 346 65 343 39240 37801 65 339 67 345 64 347 68 350 37801 36471 72 340 68 344 69 351 85 358 36471 35211 77 344 65 348 76 355 94 359 35211 33947 88 352 70 357 80 358 89 001 33947 32646 102 357 78 360 83 001 88 006 32646 31312 113 360 82 356 83 002 91 007 31312 29928 116 000 82 353 80 001 92 003 29928 28484 117 001 81 354 76 360 91 002 28484 26983 116 002 79 355 72 357 83 004 26983 25427 113 002 78 357 70 355 72 002 25427 23820 107 002 78 001 68 356 66 360 23820 22167 97 001 79 006 68 358 64 359 22167 20464 86 358 76 010 67 003 62 000 20464 18705 78 356 73 011 66 009 59 005 18705 16919 66 357 71 010 64 012 57 014 16919 15201 46 356 68 009 59 013 54 022 15201 13638 31 348 56 010 54 015 49 025 13638 12250 19 344 37 011 46 016 42 026 12250 11016 16 359 22 012 34 017 35 025 11016 9918 20 013 17 011 20 015 26 025 9918 8940 23 017 17*010 16*015 19 027 8940 8069 22*015 17*009 16*015 15 030 8069 7294 21*013 17 008 15 015 14 032 7294 6603 19 007 17 006 15 014 13 031 6603 5977 18 000 17 005 15 013 12 028 5977 5419 17 355 17 004 14 012 11 025 5419 4949 17 353 16 003 14 011 10 020 4949 4585 16 351 16 002 14 010 8 015 4585 4333 16 351 16 002 13 009 8 011 4333 4180 15 350 15 001 13 009 7*010 4180 4092 15 349 14 000 12 009 7*009 4092 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography