DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/07 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0949z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.6 - - 55.3 - - 61.5 - - 61.8 - - 58.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 13 - - 10 - - 6 - - -8 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4095 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1143 - - 1538 - - 2334 - - 1652 - - 486 Hgt.Variab. W* 28 - - 27 - - 23 - - 14 - - 17 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 114 - - 140 - - 133 - - 114 - - 100 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 1 - - 4 - - 2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3181 - - -4323 - - -4019 - - -4783 - - -4706 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7275 - - 8418 - - 8114 - - 8878 - - 8800 sfcLCL ODpotential -12415 - - -12738 - - -10600 - - -11301 - - -12437 ODpotential blCL 16509 - - 16832 - - 14694 - - 15396 - - 16531 blCL maxRH 60 - - 67 - - 52 - - 34 - - 57 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.6 - - 55.3 - - 61.5 - - 61.8 - - 58.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.4 - - 33.1 - - 40.4 - - 37.5 - - 34.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.8 - - 54.9 - - 61.7 - - 63.2 - - 58.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.2 - - 32.0 - - 39.2 - - 36.3 - - 33.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 13 - - 10 - - 6 - - -8 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96103 32 294 41 283 45 284 36 291 41 290 96103 89121 22 304 16 278 22 273 29 288 29 306 89121 83714 15 311 9 262 11 258 18 274 18 286 83714 79215 11 297 14 272 14 271 8 259 14 267 79215 75327 7 269 14 279 19 269 12 270 15 275 75327 71879 6 261 12 284 19 269 16 264 15 287 71879 68734 10 289 11 289 18 258 20 263 20 292 68734 65820 14 294 11 277 21 246 23 258 28 276 65820 63113 19 274 18 276 19 246 25 251 30 258 63113 60493 24 266 24 280 23 269 29 254 33 246 60493 57771 28 268 31 280 23 273 30 252 37 242 57771 54955 32 276 36 282 35 278 37 265 36 247 54955 52268 34 275 42 276 44 271 46 265 43 260 52268 49851 34 277 40 269 47 267 54 263 54 260 49851 47678 39 287 41 276 49 264 56 262 57 267 47678 45704 51 291 52 282 56 274 62 272 66 271 45704 43912 54 288 57 282 64 277 64 274 64 271 43912 42274 53 286 57 281 64 274 62 273 55 275 42274 40752 52 286 62 282 64 275 60 277 50 279 40752 39318 54 286 63 282 64 279 53 283 52 280 39318 37964 52 286 62 284 59 282 45 286 48 277 37964 36660 44 284 57 284 52 284 41 289 44 274 36660 35347 44 288 50 283 49 285 39 291 41 272 35347 33996 47 294 45 287 46 284 36 292 38 273 33996 32612 46 298 45 292 38 284 35 290 39 277 32612 31179 43 300 40 297 32 281 34 281 40 275 31179 29689 34 298 31 301 21 277 30 268 40 264 29689 28142 27 294 29 297 16 277 24 258 35 260 28142 26538 23 293 27 286 19 282 21 264 29 260 26538 24875 22 294 25 284 22 281 22 273 28 265 24875 23156 19 294 22 285 21 278 23 275 28 271 23156 21381 12 287 19 281 19 276 21 273 26 269 21381 19543 9 285 16 274 17 273 19 270 24 264 19543 17678 8 301 14 279 15 276 17 271 21 258 17678 15884 5 314 10 283 13 278 14 270 18 251 15884 14249 2 301 7 273 10 271 12 261 16 240 14249 12788 2 253 6 255 9 260 10 252 14 232 12788 11482 3 219 7 241 9 252 11 249 13 229 11482 10313 5 198 7 229 9 245 12 250 12 227 10313 9267 8 182 8 213 10 237 15 256 11 232 9267 8334 10 176 11 198 11 227 16 258 10 242 8334 7504 12 171 13 189 13 216 14 254 10 252 7504 6764 13 166 15 184 12 204 11 240 10 254 6764 6097 14 162 16 179 11 190 8 215 10 247 6097 5501 13 157 15 174 10 171 7 181 10 231 5501 5001 12 153 12 168 10 159 8 158 9 210 5001 4615 10 145 9 156 10 150 9 145 8 185 4615 4348 8 133 7 146 9 143 8 135 7 152 4348 4186 6*122 7*143 9*139 8*127 6*126 4186 4093 5*114 6*140 7*133 5*114 5*100 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography