DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/09 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.3 - - 73.7 - - 76.8 - - 74.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 39 - - 48 - - 21 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4077 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4301 - - 5838 - - 8220 - - 7956 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 36 - - 40 - - 31 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 006 - - 320 - - 288 - - 314 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 5 - - 2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5879 - - -7391 - - -6770 - - -6756 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9975 - - 11487 - - 10865 - - 10852 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10567 - - -10833 - - -9107 - - -9902 ODpotential blCL - - - 14662 - - 14928 - - 13202 - - 13997 blCL maxRH - - - 45 - - 79 - - 61 - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 220 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.3 - - 73.7 - - 76.8 - - 74.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.0 - - 37.6 - - 43.3 - - 41.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.5 - - 73.2 - - 76.7 - - 77.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.9 - - 36.4 - - 42.3 - - 39.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 39 - - 48 - - 21 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 17 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97674 8 265 6 234 8 253 7 228 97674 90213 9 227 6 229 5 265 5 303 90213 84495 7 200 6 277 0 290 3 311 84495 79785 4 208 3 312 3 263 6 360 79785 75747 1 208 3 285 5 005 8 003 75747 72196 4 344 8 287 13 342 13 002 72196 68991 6 356 7 294 12 334 10 002 68991 66043 13 330 12 324 16 334 12 004 66043 63303 13 323 14 313 18 328 15 351 63303 60653 13 337 13 311 18 316 15 335 60653 57899 15 339 10 322 15 309 11 328 57899 55051 22 317 17 322 17 309 13 314 55051 52337 25 308 19 306 23 305 22 306 52337 49896 30 312 30 316 32 310 29 305 49896 47718 43 310 36 313 37 319 32 318 47718 45760 44 317 39 323 47 327 41 327 45760 43979 53 321 55 323 56 325 48 325 43979 42341 61 320 62 320 57 322 50 320 42341 40817 65 323 61 323 54 321 47 317 40817 39383 68 326 59 325 50 322 42 316 39383 38028 69 327 57 326 47 323 38 316 38028 36723 68 327 56 325 47 324 37 316 36723 35407 66 328 55 323 47 324 36 316 35407 34051 63 329 53 322 45 324 35 316 34051 32659 60 331 51 325 43 324 34 316 32659 31218 58 333 47 328 41 324 34 319 31218 29718 54 334 42 331 37 324 35 322 29718 28161 48 333 38 329 34 320 33 323 28161 26548 45 326 37 321 32 317 28 320 26548 24881 42 321 38 320 32 320 25 316 24881 23164 35 323 33 324 31 324 24 319 23164 21391 25 320 24 328 26 325 22 323 21391 19562 21 315 15 327 16 319 15 318 19562 17714 15 322 10 333 8 307 7 284 17714 15939 9 338 6 358 1 253 4 223 15939 14322 5 348 3 028 2 199 5 230 14322 12877 2 339 1 117 2 181 5 231 12877 11581 1 277 2 153 2 140 2 179 11581 10416 2 201 4 143 3 115 3 103 10416 9367 3 139 4 135 3 104 4 082 9367 8427 5 120 4 129 3 094 5 071 8427 7586 6 116 4 124 3 088 5 061 7586 6835 6 112 3 118 3 078 5 051 6835 6153 5 108 3 113 2 067 5 040 6153 5544 4 101 1 099 2 044 5 028 5544 5031 3 088 1 027 1 353 5 014 5031 4634 2 066 1 330 2 321 4 358 4634 4358 2 040 2 324 2 310 4 342 4358 4190 1*018 3*323 2*296 4*325 4190 4094 1*006 2*320 2*288 3*314 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography