DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/14 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.0 - - 51.7 - - 52.2 - - 47.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 8 - - 22 - - -1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4093 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4093 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1701 - - 5412 - - 5546 - - 2866 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 23 - - 30 - - 14 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 3 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 133 - - 257 - - 258 - - 337 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -2 - - -2 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3601 - - -4333 - - -3020 - - -2565 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7694 - - 8427 - - 7114 - - 6658 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7843 - - -6791 - - -4899 - - -5919 ODpotential blCL - - - 11936 - - 10885 - - 8993 - - 10012 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 82 - - 94 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.0 - - 51.7 - - 52.2 - - 47.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.8 - - 29.1 - - 35.2 - - 33.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.8 - - 52.0 - - 52.4 - - 48.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 25.7 - - 28.0 - - 34.1 - - 31.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 8 - - 22 - - -1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 11 - - 27 - - 76 - - 82 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96694 31 083 40 102 39 099 38 105 96694 89578 29 096 28 098 29 104 24 093 89578 84059 21 109 16 100 17 112 14 082 84059 79431 12 109 10 107 11 123 10 100 79431 75408 9 151 2 069 7 126 6 107 75408 71835 4 163 3 287 2 115 2 108 71835 68597 8 249 5 262 6 288 4 296 68597 65607 9 243 14 264 8 264 4 295 65607 62814 17 255 14 264 16 261 14 275 62814 60095 24 254 25 265 28 247 21 253 60095 57265 32 261 36 254 29 245 25 261 57265 54325 47 262 44 254 42 251 46 257 54325 51521 60 258 54 252 57 250 59 247 51521 49001 71 258 61 257 65 253 64 247 49001 46743 79 264 75 262 76 259 71 251 46743 44699 93 264 87 261 89 260 81 253 44699 42834 94 259 93 260 97 257 90 253 42834 41126 87 258 96 259 101 256 98 253 41126 39557 96 261 105 256 109 252 108 251 39557 38113 98 258 105 252 108 246 112 243 38113 36779 92 258 99 253 103 247 107 239 36779 35503 89 263 98 257 101 250 104 242 35503 34215 84 262 93 255 96 249 98 242 34215 32889 81 259 88 252 92 249 95 243 32889 31530 81 256 87 251 91 248 93 243 31530 30125 79 254 86 251 87 248 88 242 30125 28667 79 254 83 250 82 247 82 242 28667 27156 81 252 80 247 78 246 75 241 27156 25594 78 249 77 244 76 243 71 240 25594 23982 71 247 73 241 71 240 66 239 23982 22324 63 245 66 240 64 237 62 239 22324 20619 54 244 58 239 56 235 57 235 20619 18861 44 243 49 235 49 234 50 228 18861 17085 34 239 42 227 44 232 44 223 17085 15380 26 228 36 219 40 227 41 218 15380 13827 25 219 34 218 37 221 40 213 13827 12442 24 221 32 221 34 217 40 207 12442 11202 22 227 30 223 31 214 38 203 11202 10088 20 229 26 224 26 212 36 201 10088 9088 17 228 21 225 22 213 33 203 9088 8193 15 224 18 227 18 216 30 208 8193 7395 13 221 15 230 17 221 26 216 7395 6683 12 217 14 233 16 228 21 224 6683 6038 11 210 13 235 15 236 17 235 6038 5463 10 200 11 237 15 241 15 250 5463 4977 8 186 10 240 15 244 13 264 4977 4602 6 167 8 240 14 247 11 276 4602 4342 5 149 6 241 12 249 9 291 4342 4184 4*140 5*244 11*251 7*308 4184 4092 4*133 3*257 7*258 5*337 4092 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography