DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/27 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 45.1 - - 46.0 - - 50.6 - - 49.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 55 - - 46 - - 13 - - 15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 778 - - 746 - - 491 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5078 - - 5046 - - 4791 - - 4093 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2327 - - 2137 - - 3372 - - 2771 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 154 - - 143 - - 90 - - 30 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 23 - - 23 - - 20 - - 16 BL Wind Direction - - - 312 - - 300 - - 296 - - 294 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -15 - - -16 - - -14 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 649 - - 623 - - -171 - - -1158 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4429 - - 4423 - - 4962 - - 5251 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -646 - - -924 - - -2062 - - -3084 ODpotential blCL - - - 5724 - - 5970 - - 6853 - - 7177 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 98 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 120 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 45.1 - - 46.0 - - 50.6 - - 49.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.7 - - 40.6 - - 42.9 - - 40.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.4 - - 45.3 - - 50.2 - - 48.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.6 - - 39.6 - - 41.9 - - 39.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 55 - - 46 - - 13 - - 15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 778 - - 746 - - 491 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 101 - - 94 - - 49 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97503 6 090 3 250 10 343 3 352 97503 90175 10 091 3 029 9 019 6 054 90175 84560 7 115 8 102 8 357 9 056 84560 79901 7 115 9 108 3 353 7 035 79901 75873 6 065 8 080 4 065 6 051 75873 72300 2 035 6 055 6 078 5 058 72300 69052 6 207 1 246 6 127 5 139 69052 66045 8 194 9 205 6 199 6 161 66045 63228 14 214 14 204 12 237 5 232 63228 60478 19 211 17 212 16 238 9 246 60478 57598 14 221 15 220 15 241 8 247 57598 54612 12 243 9 238 12 256 8 293 54612 51765 9 248 6 261 9 265 10 292 51765 49205 6 241 8 316 7 307 12 321 49205 46918 3 313 10 320 11 330 14 315 46918 44853 7 337 10 328 15 336 12 334 44853 42970 12 337 9 344 20 351 19 351 42970 41240 12 340 12 357 25 349 19 356 41240 39641 13 351 17 350 27 350 26 007 39641 38157 15 357 21 354 30 357 34 010 38157 36780 21 359 29 014 31 004 38 011 36780 35473 27 007 35 013 33 013 38 010 35473 34172 38 015 37 013 36 016 37 011 34172 32850 47 014 42 011 39 019 36 016 32850 31508 48 010 44 007 40 018 35 019 31508 30126 47 006 42 005 38 017 34 017 30126 28689 44 006 38 009 35 022 31 017 28689 27197 37 003 30 020 26 017 26 014 27197 25651 31 359 24 026 18 034 19 008 25651 24054 28 357 24 025 19 039 13 007 24054 22406 28 001 25 020 16 018 13 005 22406 20703 30 008 27 011 18 000 17 009 20703 18938 30 014 28 009 20 006 23 013 18938 17149 29 019 29 008 26 003 27 008 17149 15431 29 023 29 005 28 005 31 003 15431 13871 30 022 26 360 29 002 30 006 13871 12477 31 019 23 356 30 002 31 013 12477 11230 34 014 21 356 30 000 32 014 11230 10111 36 009 22 356 30 356 30 007 10111 9106 35 006 25 352 30 350 29 356 9106 8208 33 358 27 343 30 341 30 345 8208 7407 31 346 27 335 29 330 31 334 7407 6691 29 334 27 328 28 321 31 326 6691 6043 29 324 26 319 27 312 30 317 6043 5466 28*318 26*310 26 306 29 308 5466 4979 26*314 24*302 24*299 28 300 4979 4603 24 312 24 300 22*297 25 294 4603 4343 22 311 23 299 21 296 22 293 4343 4184 21 311 21 299 20 296 20*292 4184 4092 18 311 18 300 16 296 16*294 4092 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography