DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/27 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.6 - - 72.8 - - 70.8 - - 66.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 19 - - 30 - - -1 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 292 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4078 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4095 - - 4592 - - 4095 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 6263 - - 11527 - - 10747 - - 6360 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 31 - - 92 - - 25 - - 28 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 11 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 158 - - 302 - - 325 - - 336 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -2 - - -6 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5874 - - -7047 - - -6275 - - -5153 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9970 - - 11639 - - 10371 - - 9248 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8357 - - -8398 - - -7538 - - -7243 ODpotential blCL - - - 12452 - - 12990 - - 11633 - - 11338 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 90 - - 94 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 120 - - 280 - - 200 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.6 - - 72.8 - - 70.8 - - 66.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.1 - - 35.8 - - 39.4 - - 40.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.3 - - 72.5 - - 70.7 - - 66.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.9 - - 34.6 - - 38.2 - - 39.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 19 - - 30 - - -1 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 292 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 9 - - 62 - - 74 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98358 2 112 7 120 7 254 6 320 98358 90991 2 206 4 078 4 105 4 165 90991 85285 3 151 2 320 4 033 2 058 85285 80560 2 336 1 055 3 226 8 337 80560 76526 3 069 5 010 8 143 2 311 76526 72973 3 272 7 309 6 021 6 029 72973 69747 2 212 7 226 5 019 5 032 69747 66771 7 270 13 259 13 285 12 291 66771 64008 9 227 16 242 11 242 10 251 64008 61313 11 296 6 248 10 316 14 288 61313 58485 29 268 31 256 34 261 28 269 58485 55565 35 253 36 257 35 255 34 261 55565 52794 36 255 37 258 35 256 32 256 52794 50294 40 256 39 255 37 260 33 266 50294 48040 43 255 45 259 40 260 39 269 48040 45982 49 255 53 257 46 261 45 269 45982 44081 59 252 61 252 53 260 51 267 44081 42310 70 247 68 246 60 256 59 261 42310 40650 76 244 70 243 65 252 65 253 40650 39090 77 242 70 242 67 248 69 250 39090 37628 80 240 70 241 68 246 70 249 37628 36238 81 238 72 240 69 244 69 248 36238 34857 76 234 72 237 73 241 68 242 34857 33463 70 228 71 232 76 237 69 237 33463 32057 68 228 73 228 76 233 70 234 32057 30623 65 230 70 226 71 231 69 230 30623 29144 64 231 63 225 66 230 65 227 29144 27616 65 228 55 228 64 229 61 224 27616 26038 63 223 49 232 60 226 57 219 26038 24413 56 219 54 230 56 222 53 210 24413 22745 50 216 57 222 53 219 48 202 22745 21023 46 213 52 212 49 216 44 198 21023 19242 41 211 43 210 44 204 39 194 19242 17436 35 210 35 209 37 194 34 193 17436 15697 31 210 27 210 29 194 27 198 15697 14110 27 212 20 215 19 203 19 204 14110 12690 25 214 18 219 12 222 12 212 12690 11418 23 217 16 224 9 252 10 223 11418 10276 21 218 14 233 9 274 10 237 10276 9249 18 217 13 237 9 291 11 256 9249 8328 16 215 11 242 10 299 13 274 8328 7507 14 213 10 245 11 306 15 289 7507 6773 11 210 8 250 11 310 16 301 6773 6107 9 208 7 256 11 314 17 310 6107 5512 6 204 5 265 12 317 17 319 5512 5010 4 193 4 278 12 319 16 325 5010 4621 3 175 4*291 12 321 15 330 4621 4353 3 163 3*299 12 322 14 333 4353 4188 2*159 3 302 11*323 13*334 4188 4094 2*158 3 304 11*325 12*336 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography