DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/01 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.0 - - 47.6 - - 49.3 - - 47.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 3 - - 1 - - -1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1284 - - 2199 - - 5350 - - 3550 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 19 - - 14 - - 6 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 6 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 142 - - 141 - - 098 - - 229 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -2 - - -1 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -501 - - -93 - - -105 - - -1679 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4595 - - 4187 - - 4200 - - 5773 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3627 - - -1698 - - -1795 - - -3831 ODpotential blCL - - - 7721 - - 5792 - - 5889 - - 7925 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 97 - - 85 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 220 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.0 - - 47.6 - - 49.3 - - 47.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.0 - - 43.2 - - 44.8 - - 36.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.8 - - 47.4 - - 50.1 - - 48.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.5 - - 42.9 - - 43.7 - - 35.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 3 - - 1 - - -1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 86 - - 40 - - 56 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95821 34 003 30 011 32 011 15 358 95821 88972 25 012 29 021 22 016 15 024 88972 83597 17 025 21 018 16 021 13 031 83597 79061 11 018 15 352 14 001 14 025 79061 75122 9 358 10 335 12 331 16 353 75122 71630 9 337 8 339 7 338 9 317 71630 68466 8 326 10 314 10 332 6 278 68466 65546 3 302 9 292 9 309 6 255 65546 62823 2 154 9 251 10 274 11 256 62823 60172 1 292 9 248 14 262 13 264 60172 57397 8 283 15 258 17 265 21 267 57397 54510 17 287 18 269 23 269 28 272 54510 51747 28 271 24 267 31 264 34 272 51747 49256 33 261 28 265 33 256 36 270 49256 47022 34 254 31 258 31 257 36 265 47022 44991 33 239 36 248 33 262 36 260 44991 43125 27 235 35 237 37 258 34 257 43125 41399 29 228 33 234 39 250 30 257 41399 39796 31 214 31 228 34 243 26 262 39796 38305 33 202 28 223 30 244 27 265 38305 36916 35 192 29 216 25 240 21 268 36916 35595 37 183 31 205 19 230 23 276 35595 34274 38 171 33 190 15 214 14 270 34274 32926 39 161 33 177 11 185 6 281 32926 31556 38 158 35 165 12 157 2 217 31556 30150 37 162 34 160 15 157 9 107 30150 28699 34 167 28 162 21 155 12 090 28699 27198 32 175 25 164 30 143 11 076 27198 25644 30 184 21 170 30 135 11 063 25644 24036 30 196 18 184 25 137 11 065 24036 22379 30 205 18 196 20 131 10 069 22379 20667 30 209 20 204 18 123 7 079 20667 18895 29 211 21 208 16 135 2 030 18895 17096 28 212 22 211 16 165 5 356 17096 15369 29 215 21 216 16 192 3 038 15369 13808 30 219 21 221 19 205 5 181 13808 12425 30 224 26 227 23 207 4 237 12425 11190 28 230 31 232 26 208 9 260 11190 10079 26 236 37 233 27 215 21 254 10079 9082 24 235 36 233 28 221 28 251 9082 8188 19 228 32 233 27 225 29 248 8188 7392 15 214 25 229 26 230 28 246 7392 6681 14 194 20 224 25 234 25 245 6681 6037 16 180 15 217 22 237 22 244 6037 5462 17 171 12 202 19 240 18 243 5462 4977 17 163 9 186 15 241 14 243 4977 4602 15 156 8 164 10 236 10 243 4602 4342 12 148 7 150 5 217 7 242 4342 4184 11*146 6*144 3*179 5*238 4184 4093 8*142 6*141 3*098 3*229 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography