DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/18 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0737z - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.0 - - 52.1 - - 58.5 - - 63.7 - - 60.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 13 - - 40 - - 51 - - 18 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top 4093 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4095 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1953 - - 3175 - - 2627 - - 7440 - - 5309 Hgt.Variab. W* 27 - - 37 - - 40 - - 30 - - 13 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 044 - - 351 - - 036 - - 014 - - 308 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 2 - - 9 - - 5 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5600 - - -6430 - - -6005 - - -5857 - - -3065 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9694 - - 10524 - - 10100 - - 9952 - - 7159 sfcLCL ODpotential -14383 - - -13493 - - -11070 - - -8124 - - -5480 ODpotential blCL 18476 - - 17587 - - 15164 - - 12219 - - 9574 blCL maxRH 47 - - 54 - - 68 - - 64 - - 75 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 46.0 - - 52.1 - - 58.5 - - 63.7 - - 60.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.3 - - 20.6 - - 28.6 - - 34.3 - - 42.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.6 - - 51.8 - - 57.9 - - 63.5 - - 61.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 17.3 - - 19.6 - - 27.5 - - 33.2 - - 41.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 13 - - 40 - - 51 - - 18 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 2 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97654 16 285 12 280 13 276 16 273 18 285 97654 90307 7 234 8 254 12 279 9 276 6 298 90307 84647 4 224 3 161 7 271 2 247 1 042 84647 79947 4 245 1 232 5 262 5 288 6 004 79947 75901 1 286 2 318 3 197 6 255 6 337 75901 72329 8 319 5 290 6 294 4 288 4 336 72329 69092 9 326 5 276 12 266 7 273 7 310 69092 66113 19 316 10 309 15 279 15 294 10 303 66113 63348 23 297 18 296 19 289 18 298 13 279 63348 60657 21 293 22 298 21 298 20 302 14 290 60657 57836 25 287 29 285 29 285 26 289 24 290 57836 54895 32 278 33 277 33 283 32 284 30 281 54895 52072 42 278 37 280 35 277 34 277 34 274 52072 49522 49 276 46 275 45 270 41 276 39 277 49522 47238 53 278 53 273 52 268 45 273 42 273 47238 45181 57 279 54 275 52 270 44 274 39 270 45181 43323 59 276 51 274 53 267 44 268 39 272 43323 41638 56 273 50 273 50 269 44 262 40 266 41638 40096 49 275 52 272 48 270 41 265 37 265 40096 38662 44 284 50 272 46 268 41 269 34 274 38662 37318 44 288 46 273 42 270 40 267 34 272 37318 36032 45 288 45 277 38 272 40 269 33 268 36032 34737 46 287 45 282 37 277 39 267 31 270 34737 33406 47 288 44 285 37 281 39 263 32 270 33406 32038 48 288 41 289 37 284 37 268 32 272 32038 30623 48 287 40 288 35 285 33 272 32 271 30623 29149 46 289 40 286 33 284 31 272 31 271 29149 27621 44 296 40 285 34 285 30 279 29 276 27621 26038 42 298 40 287 34 289 30 285 28 280 26038 24405 36 297 37 289 33 290 28 289 24 284 24405 22725 31 297 34 291 30 291 26 295 21 291 22725 20991 30 296 32 292 28 295 24 303 19 304 20991 19195 30 295 29 293 25 298 23 305 17 307 19195 17376 26 294 24 292 22 296 21 303 17 301 17376 15629 22 295 21 287 20 293 18 299 17 297 15629 14042 18 298 18 284 18 291 17 290 15 295 14042 12628 15 301 16 281 17 286 16 273 13 288 12628 11364 12 294 14 278 17 276 15 270 10 278 11364 10231 12 275 13 271 15 263 15 272 9 280 10231 9213 11 254 12 260 13 253 13 278 10 287 9213 8299 8 232 9 238 11 251 12 288 12 293 8299 7484 4 190 4 194 9 250 10 299 14 295 7484 6755 3 135 4 150 6 249 9 313 15 295 6755 6093 4 120 3 128 3 253 8 328 16 295 6093 5502 6 100 2 106 1 322 7 344 16 296 5502 5004 8 086 2 062 2 038 7 357 16 296 5004 4618 7 071 2 014 4 039 6 006 16 297 4618 4350 5 053 2 359 5 038 5 012 13 299 4350 4187 5*048 2*355 5*037 5*016 11*300 4187 4093 4*044 2*351 4*036 4*014 6*308 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography