DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/02 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.4 - - 67.3 - - 66.4 - - 63.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 95 - - 91 - - 56 - - 50 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3991 - - 4681 - - 3645 - - 2215 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6499 - - 7031 - - 5985 - - 4770 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8291 - - 8981 - - 7945 - - 6515 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1613 - - 2224 - - 2436 - - 2048 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 322 - - 345 - - 278 - - 228 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 21 - - 20 - - 19 BL Wind Direction - - - 247 - - 254 - - 259 - - 263 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 22 - - 14 - - 16 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -162 - - -1708 - - -1813 - - -1776 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8454 - - 10689 - - 9758 - - 8291 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5387 - - -7237 - - -6499 - - -5888 ODpotential blCL - - - 13678 - - 16218 - - 14444 - - 12403 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 94 - - 98 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.4 - - 67.3 - - 66.4 - - 63.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.5 - - 34.5 - - 37.7 - - 40.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.4 - - 66.3 - - 65.6 - - 62.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.3 - - 33.4 - - 36.6 - - 39.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 95 - - 91 - - 56 - - 50 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3991 - - 4681 - - 3645 - - 2215 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 75 - - 93 - - 77 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99042 12 127 14 103 10 117 7 107 99042 91637 12 107 10 116 8 076 11 083 91637 85900 13 082 10 109 8 078 13 055 85900 81127 13 075 7 076 9 094 11 057 81127 77011 11 074 7 069 9 047 12 062 77011 73367 6 015 3 294 7 003 10 044 73367 70060 2 003 1 351 2 336 4 347 70060 67018 8 268 4 311 7 342 8 324 67018 64191 8 193 11 258 11 290 7 276 64191 61447 10 257 8 246 7 259 8 250 61447 58577 29 237 19 244 24 254 18 252 58577 55595 29 244 32 243 34 256 31 270 55595 52761 35 265 31 260 38 262 39 277 52761 50225 44 272 45 270 43 264 44 291 50225 47974 46 263 45 275 50 282 66 289 47974 45958 40 268 56 287 71 283 76 279 45958 44124 54 284 70 282 78 276 75 273 44124 42428 62 275 71 278 75 277 72 277 42428 40846 57 276 68 281 73 290 75 288 40846 39368 54 283 70 287 81 295 86 293 39368 37989 54 291 72 288 89 293 91 293 37989 36667 51 294 70 288 92 292 91 293 36667 35331 47 295 67 288 94 292 91 292 35331 33953 43 296 63 285 94 292 90 291 33953 32538 42 292 60 279 91 290 89 290 32538 31072 43 283 60 274 84 288 87 288 31072 29547 39 276 63 272 74 282 84 285 29547 27966 37 267 62 271 69 274 81 282 27966 26334 39 256 55 269 68 271 77 282 26334 24654 39 254 49 264 64 271 69 282 24654 22930 37 253 46 259 55 269 62 279 22930 21154 36 248 43 256 49 266 57 276 21154 19322 35 246 39 254 43 263 49 271 19322 17473 32 249 34 251 38 257 37 262 17473 15702 29 253 31 251 32 251 31 257 15702 14094 28 254 29 252 30 252 29 262 14094 12662 30 254 27 250 28 253 28 266 12662 11384 32 251 24 245 26 251 26 267 11384 10238 30 248 22 245 24 249 24 265 10238 9212 23*245 22*248 22 251 23 260 9212 8295 19*244 22*250 22*253 22 257 8295 7478 18 245 22 252 22*255 22 258 7478 6748 17 246 22 253 22 257 22*259 6748 6089 16 247 21 254 21 259 22*261 6089 5499 16 248 21 255 21 260 21 262 5499 5002 14 248 20 256 20 261 20 263 5002 4617 13 249 19 257 19 262 18 264 4617 4350 12 248 19 257 18 262 16 264 4350 4187 12 248 17 257 17 262 15 264 4187 4094 11 248 16 257 14 262 13 264 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography