DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/07 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.4 - - 55.2 - - 58.9 - - 59.6 - - 58.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 7 - - 20 - - 23 - - -3 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4095 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2652 - - 3705 - - 5252 - - 4638 - - 3431 Hgt.Variab. W* 23 - - 30 - - 32 - - 12 - - 12 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 10 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 293 - - 312 - - 333 - - 334 - - 337 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - 0 - - 0 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1610 - - -2428 - - -2800 - - -2226 - - -2340 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5704 - - 6522 - - 6894 - - 6321 - - 6435 sfcLCL ODpotential -3972 - - -5108 - - -4118 - - -4175 - - -5126 ODpotential blCL 8066 - - 9202 - - 8212 - - 8270 - - 9221 blCL maxRH 95 - - 79 - - 83 - - 73 - - 65 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.4 - - 55.2 - - 58.9 - - 59.6 - - 58.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.7 - - 40.9 - - 42.9 - - 46.1 - - 44.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.7 - - 54.8 - - 58.7 - - 59.7 - - 58.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.3 - - 40.1 - - 41.7 - - 44.8 - - 43.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 7 - - 20 - - 23 - - -3 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 81 - - 17 - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96785 6 077 7 069 12 064 10 044 17 075 96785 89542 8 057 6 061 6 005 16 004 9 034 89542 83974 10 351 7 010 6 332 17 349 13 352 83974 79366 10 326 5 359 8 336 15 338 14 343 79366 75390 12 319 14 339 14 356 15 338 12 344 75390 71883 10 328 12 314 16 338 18 346 9 016 71883 68696 14 002 16 313 21 331 23 349 22 009 68696 65760 17 340 19 307 24 323 29 334 32 330 65760 63058 21 305 18 303 23 307 31 310 29 308 63058 60449 18 314 20 314 16 299 27 300 27 301 60449 57721 36 306 34 312 32 305 34 304 29 301 57721 54884 46 297 43 300 40 293 41 300 37 303 54884 52174 54 292 51 293 47 291 49 295 45 303 52174 49740 57 289 59 291 55 291 56 296 49 305 49740 47560 64 294 64 291 62 289 60 295 50 306 47560 45585 75 297 68 291 64 290 62 294 54 304 45585 43788 80 295 71 294 66 290 62 296 56 304 43788 42147 80 297 73 299 65 294 61 296 56 304 42147 40631 80 301 73 303 64 299 59 296 54 301 40631 39208 80 304 71 305 62 301 57 294 53 298 39208 37863 79 306 69 306 61 302 54 293 51 301 37863 36566 77 306 66 305 61 303 53 293 52 304 36566 35253 74 308 63 306 59 302 53 291 51 305 35253 33899 72 310 60 307 56 299 52 290 46 305 33899 32507 70 309 58 305 53 297 49 290 43 302 32507 31065 65 307 56 303 52 297 46 291 42 302 31065 29564 62 304 54 300 50 298 45 293 43 304 29564 28007 59 302 52 300 48 300 43 295 43 308 28007 26392 56 300 50 302 45 302 40 296 41 312 26392 24723 53 299 48 304 42 306 37 299 38 313 24723 23004 52 299 44 308 39 310 34 307 35 312 23004 21232 51 302 41 311 34 312 31 312 32 312 21232 19398 47 304 37 312 29 313 28 314 30 313 19398 17537 39 305 33 312 24 312 26 315 26 316 17537 15749 34 303 29 309 22 311 24 317 23 320 15749 14124 35 302 26 305 21 309 22 319 20 326 14124 12680 37 302 24 302 20 309 20 321 17 332 12680 11393 37 303 23 299 20 307 17 321 13 335 11393 10244 35 304 21 296 19 301 13 318 9 329 10244 9215 31 304 19 293 17 292 10 307 6 308 9215 8296 27 304 18 292 15 294 8 300 6 291 8296 7478 24 303 16 292 15 301 8 304 5 293 7478 6747 21 298 14 291 14 307 8 309 5 311 6747 6086 19 293 10 291 14 313 8 316 5 329 6086 5496 16 288 7 296 13 318 8 321 6 338 5496 4999 13 285 6 301 13 323 7 324 7 338 4999 4615 10 286 5 306 12 326 7 328 6 335 4615 4349 7 287 4 309 11 329 6 331 5 331 4349 4187 5*287 4*310 11*331 6*334 3*335 4187 4094 4*293 4*312 10*333 4*334 2*337 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography