DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/10 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.9 - - 83.9 - - 81.8 - - 76.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 11 - - 23 - - -14 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4078 - - 4079 - - 4079 - - 4078 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2199 - - 9851 - - 8282 - - 3492 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 24 - - 33 - - 21 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 5 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 134 - - 289 - - 285 - - 270 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -3 - - -6 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4404 - - -4958 - - -3760 - - -5358 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8500 - - 9054 - - 7856 - - 9455 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8277 - - -6720 - - -6124 - - -9318 ODpotential blCL - - - 12373 - - 10816 - - 10220 - - 13414 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 100 - - 90 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 210 - - 1490 - - 2060 - - 130 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.9 - - 83.9 - - 81.8 - - 76.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.9 - - 58.1 - - 61.1 - - 49.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.0 - - 83.9 - - 82.7 - - 79.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.5 - - 56.9 - - 59.8 - - 48.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 11 - - 23 - - -14 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 86 - - 98 - - 60 - - 85 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 12 - - 13 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98830 5 198 5 299 2 113 3 010 98830 91400 1 239 3 267 3 004 1 018 91400 85667 6 271 6 284 8 283 5 299 85667 80899 4 262 6 299 11 292 6 342 80899 76786 4 045 4 288 9 331 10 006 76786 73159 8 058 3 028 3 351 12 350 73159 69891 7 019 9 023 2 336 11 333 69891 66897 5 345 10 327 9 357 9 335 66897 64132 6 322 6 280 16 327 11 325 64132 61469 11 300 12 264 9 285 7 319 61469 58710 16 292 12 273 24 280 16 300 58710 55871 25 287 27 284 36 279 30 273 55871 53177 33 273 38 271 43 272 39 275 53177 50756 44 280 50 273 51 269 51 271 50756 48584 56 277 56 271 53 267 59 267 48584 46604 61 275 59 271 58 268 62 270 46604 44775 63 270 60 268 63 267 64 273 44775 43075 63 265 62 266 67 264 68 272 43075 41487 63 267 62 267 69 262 72 269 41487 39996 61 270 61 271 70 262 76 266 39996 38595 56 267 59 273 70 265 78 267 38595 37247 51 266 56 270 64 267 74 269 37247 35890 49 269 55 267 59 264 66 268 35890 34493 46 273 53 266 58 263 63 265 34493 33061 42 271 49 268 56 264 62 265 33061 31583 41 267 44 268 51 268 57 265 31583 30050 38 263 43 269 46 270 50 266 30050 28463 36 264 39 268 42 270 45 267 28463 26820 34 261 36 264 40 269 42 268 26820 25130 32 261 36 261 39 270 37 268 25130 23393 29 260 36 257 36 265 34 264 23393 21604 28 258 35 254 33 254 32 259 21604 19757 29 257 35 254 31 249 30 256 19757 17887 31 259 34 254 30 251 29 255 17887 16087 30 269 31 257 27 255 28 259 16087 14446 25 277 26 261 24 260 27 263 14446 12980 21 272 21 266 21 264 25 269 12980 11665 20 265 18 271 19 269 23 274 11665 10483 19 261 18 274 19 273 21 278 10483 9422 18 262 17 277 19 275 22 279 9422 8469 16 265 16 281 20 277 23 278 8469 7620 15 267 15 284 20 278 24 277 7620 6860 12 268 13 286 20 278 25 276 6860 6172 10 268 12 288 20 279 26 275 6172 5558 7 267 11 289 20 280 26 275 5558 5040 3 254 9 290 19 281 24 275 5040 4639 1 198 8 290 17 281 21 274 4639 4361 2 152 8 290 15 282 16 274 4361 4192 2*140 7*290 13*283 11*273 4192 4095 2*134 5*289 8*285 5*270 4095 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography