DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/07 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 68.9 - - 71.1 - - 76.3 - - 77.7 - - 74.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 15 - - 26 - - 4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4077 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 Hcrit BL Top 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4096 - - 4096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 911 - - 1983 - - 3757 - - 6471 - - 738 Hgt.Variab. W* 17 - - 28 - - 32 - - 17 - - 12 W* B/S 1 - - 24 - - 7 - - 9 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 328 - - 061 - - 089 - - 107 - - 300 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - 3 - - 6 - - 4 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4621 - - -5421 - - -5535 - - -6396 - - -7417 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8717 - - 9516 - - 9631 - - 10492 - - 11514 sfcLCL ODpotential -9283 - - -9823 - - -8568 - - -9505 - - -11845 ODpotential blCL 13378 - - 13918 - - 12663 - - 13601 - - 15941 blCL maxRH 32 - - 34 - - 34 - - 32 - - 37 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 70 - - 180 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 68.9 - - 71.1 - - 76.3 - - 77.7 - - 74.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.2 - - 43.8 - - 48.3 - - 46.0 - - 38.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 69.5 - - 71.2 - - 76.1 - - 79.4 - - 78.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.0 - - 42.7 - - 47.1 - - 44.7 - - 37.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 15 - - 26 - - 4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97789 10 101 11 038 10 080 13 071 20 058 97789 90548 14 079 14 077 11 102 15 068 23 067 90548 84932 7 067 9 061 9 062 15 057 18 065 84932 80269 17 076 10 120 5 004 11 017 18 047 80269 76270 19 036 13 073 11 055 10 043 13 026 76270 72771 16 021 15 032 13 044 15 053 13 033 72771 69624 16 009 13 044 11 045 10 040 12 027 69624 66725 14 339 9 018 7 025 11 012 13 005 66725 64026 13 294 13 341 12 354 13 346 13 359 64026 61399 10 309 8 296 13 325 15 332 15 337 61399 58655 20 328 11 303 16 299 22 313 20 324 58655 55813 30 306 20 304 22 296 28 308 24 329 55813 53103 39 304 33 305 33 302 35 309 32 330 53103 50664 49 299 50 295 44 300 40 309 41 329 50664 48474 57 300 60 293 55 295 47 307 45 330 48474 46476 58 299 63 293 64 293 52 306 48 329 46476 44630 60 300 65 294 67 293 58 303 49 329 44630 42913 63 301 65 296 66 294 63 300 51 323 42913 41308 65 302 65 297 65 297 67 297 54 318 41308 39807 66 302 62 297 64 299 70 297 58 313 39807 38403 64 302 59 296 63 297 70 298 65 309 38403 37063 62 302 56 296 60 294 67 296 66 306 37063 35721 60 303 53 294 58 291 63 295 65 302 35721 34343 57 302 54 294 58 290 60 296 61 300 34343 32935 56 303 55 295 52 294 53 300 54 302 32935 31483 52 305 50 298 44 297 43 303 43 305 31483 29973 43 308 41 304 35 301 35 303 35 302 29973 28405 37 308 36 308 30 307 29 301 30 299 28405 26782 32 309 32 309 28 310 26 302 28 298 26782 25102 26 309 27 309 25 311 23 303 26 300 25102 23369 21 308 23 309 21 311 19 307 22 304 23369 21580 17 307 18 305 16 311 14 310 16 308 21580 19728 11 300 13 293 13 304 11 316 11 313 19728 17850 6 294 9 276 11 288 11 311 9 330 17850 16048 4 289 6 271 10 275 10 299 9 331 16048 14411 5 267 5 292 8 277 10 295 10 324 14411 12950 6 251 6 298 8 292 8 299 10 323 12950 11641 5 228 5 285 7 303 7 304 9 326 11641 10463 4 191 3 254 7 298 6 311 7 334 10463 9405 5 165 3 202 5 290 5 326 6 345 9405 8457 4 150 4 177 3 281 5 337 4 005 8457 7610 2 123 4 165 2 279 5 349 4 028 7610 6852 2 081 3 156 1 287 5 357 5 038 6852 6166 1 031 1 146 1 314 5 002 5 041 6166 5552 1 359 1 358 1 014 4 006 6 039 5552 5036 2 346 1 337 1 039 4 008 6 038 5036 4636 3 333 1 337 2 046 3 013 6 037 4636 4360 4 323 1 352 1 052 2 015 4 028 4360 4191 3*325 0*023 1*068 1*022 2*334 4191 4095 3*328 0*061 1*089 0*107 2*300 4095 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography