DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/12 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.0 - - 84.5 - - 81.8 - - 77.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 31 - - 38 - - -14 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4079 - - 4078 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5123 - - 10936 - - 10460 - - 2387 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 37 - - 38 - - 29 - - 29 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - 15 - - 15 BL Wind Direction - - - 324 - - 360 - - 182 - - 235 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9408 - - -7900 - - -4652 - - -3720 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13504 - - 11997 - - 8748 - - 7816 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13254 - - -9710 - - -7009 - - -6545 ODpotential blCL - - - 17350 - - 13806 - - 11105 - - 10641 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 83 - - 90 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 460 - - 1920 - - 1500 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.0 - - 84.5 - - 81.8 - - 77.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.0 - - 45.9 - - 57.2 - - 57.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.7 - - 84.5 - - 82.1 - - 77.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.9 - - 44.8 - - 55.8 - - 56.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 31 - - 38 - - -14 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 65 - - 31 - - 60 - - 43 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 7 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99390 21 103 22 100 24 085 21 092 99390 91907 21 106 19 105 15 102 17 072 91907 86110 20 106 17 096 14 094 12 084 86110 81296 18 108 13 096 10 081 16 093 81296 77140 16 099 5 092 9 068 16 078 77140 73464 13 090 8 109 5 046 15 070 73464 70143 9 084 7 112 6 054 9 056 70143 67098 7 074 8 127 1 080 6 010 67098 64282 2 054 4 124 3 163 5 298 64282 61563 2 318 1 251 3 164 5 311 61563 58742 5 245 5 300 3 304 7 288 58742 55832 8 252 6 284 6 251 10 249 55832 53059 18 238 18 248 15 259 15 252 53059 50572 21 230 27 234 24 251 22 249 50572 48347 23 232 26 223 26 233 27 237 48347 46321 23 236 23 227 25 227 28 230 46321 44461 29 236 26 236 26 236 28 236 44461 42742 37 226 36 236 31 242 31 240 42742 41148 46 224 44 230 37 237 35 238 41148 39664 51 218 47 228 39 232 38 232 39664 38275 45 215 43 228 35 233 40 227 38275 36945 36 214 32 226 29 235 37 225 36945 35608 33 219 24 226 23 238 31 224 35608 34236 28 225 23 229 21 234 34 208 34236 32831 27 231 23 226 28 225 36 196 32831 31375 23 240 19 223 30 217 32 198 31375 29860 17 259 15 223 26 213 26 195 29860 28287 14 244 15 220 20 221 22 198 28287 26660 14 227 18 222 18 216 21 214 26660 24984 15 223 19 224 19 214 21 236 24984 23263 15 222 18 232 16 226 17 252 23263 21492 12 219 15 232 13 237 11 250 21492 19662 9 217 11 228 12 255 5 267 19662 17806 9 232 15 242 13 271 1 049 17806 16021 15 246 19 241 14 279 4 108 16021 14394 17 248 18 247 14 279 3 136 14394 12939 19 256 18 251 14 273 2 197 12939 11634 20 256 17 254 14 267 4 231 11634 10461 20 254 16 257 13 259 6 239 10461 9405 18 256 14 261 13 247 10 240 9405 8457 15 262 12 268 13 234 14 241 8457 7610 12 267 10 275 13 220 17 238 7610 6853 10 276 7 284 14 208 20 234 6853 6167 8 285 5 300 15 197 21 229 6167 5553 7 295 5 317 19 188 23 224 5553 5037 6 304 4 336 21 185 23 223 5037 4637 5 314 4 349 21 184 23 226 4637 4361 5 320 4 357 20 183 21 231 4361 4192 5*321 4*359 19*182 19*233 4192 4095 4*324 4*360 15*182 15*235 4095 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography