DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/30 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.4 - - 64.8 - - 68.6 - - 65.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 53 - - 69 - - 31 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 857 - - 976 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5157 - - 5276 - - 4095 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4380 - - 7732 - - 11203 - - 9638 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 152 - - 176 - - 36 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 32 - - 7 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 4 - - 5 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 014 - - 018 - - 328 - - 329 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -13 - - -14 - - 4 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2047 - - -3965 - - -7154 - - -3108 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7205 - - 9241 - - 11250 - - 7204 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3830 - - -5829 - - -8383 - - -4782 ODpotential blCL - - - 8987 - - 11105 - - 12478 - - 8877 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 74 - - 86 - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 50 - - 40 - - 870 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.4 - - 64.8 - - 68.6 - - 65.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.1 - - 38.5 - - 33.4 - - 47.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.9 - - 64.2 - - 68.1 - - 65.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.3 - - 37.3 - - 32.2 - - 46.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 53 - - 69 - - 31 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 857 - - 976 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 45 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98374 15 136 14 095 20 100 17 132 98374 90957 15 140 11 102 16 108 20 094 90957 85260 17 120 14 126 10 102 20 078 85260 80528 15 112 17 123 8 126 14 079 80528 76463 15 110 12 131 11 104 12 087 76463 72882 12 115 12 140 11 107 13 091 72882 69639 7 135 8 144 7 113 12 109 69639 66630 11 197 8 171 6 175 8 116 66630 63810 16 193 15 203 14 219 6 226 63810 61067 8 187 14 190 16 205 12 214 61067 58194 19 239 17 231 15 226 15 217 58194 55207 23 235 21 234 20 242 23 245 55207 52361 23 244 22 241 28 247 28 253 52361 49805 28 250 30 249 28 246 32 253 49805 47517 32 252 32 253 30 260 33 256 47517 45450 36 262 33 261 36 267 35 264 45450 43568 36 271 37 268 40 271 38 272 43568 41845 41 278 41 274 40 278 42 279 41845 40258 44 282 47 282 45 284 48 284 40258 38787 50 286 56 284 51 287 56 287 38787 37419 54 288 59 284 55 288 60 288 37419 36116 56 291 58 286 57 289 58 288 36116 34814 57 293 58 290 56 291 54 288 34814 33478 55 292 56 294 54 294 51 288 33478 32111 50 292 53 295 52 296 48 288 32111 30698 47 294 50 297 50 297 46 287 30698 29229 44 295 46 300 47 300 43 286 29229 27705 42 296 42 299 46 302 41 289 27705 26125 38 293 38 297 44 300 40 292 26125 24491 33 286 35 298 39 298 39 294 24491 22806 27 276 32 301 36 297 35 298 22806 21070 23 271 30 304 32 298 30 301 21070 19276 20 271 24 298 27 300 25 302 19276 17455 17 270 18 290 24 294 22 297 17455 15707 15 267 14 284 16 284 15 297 15707 14119 12 267 13 270 12 282 6 298 14119 12702 10 271 14 271 11 292 5 309 12702 11432 9 274 12 274 11 300 6 316 11432 10289 8 269 11 280 11 305 8 319 10289 9261 7 269 9 292 10 309 10 322 9261 8339 5 279 8 302 10 314 12 324 8339 7516 4 288 7 315 10 318 13 325 7516 6779 4 298 7 329 9 320 14 325 6779 6112 3 310 6 343 8 323 14 326 6112 5515 2*327 6*356 8 324 15 326 5515 5012 1*346 5*009 7 325 15 326 5012 4623 1 022 4 020 6 326 14 327 4623 4353 1 026 4 021 6 326 13 328 4353 4188 1 034 4 023 6*326 11*328 4188 4094 1 029 4 024 5*328 8*329 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography