DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/13 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.6 - - 52.5 - - 57.8 - - 56.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 69 - - 56 - - 20 - - 16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1087 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4093 - - 5387 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3581 - - 3031 - - 4647 - - 3791 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 45 - - 170 - - 31 - - 30 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 14 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 339 - - 301 - - 316 - - 261 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -15 - - 2 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4235 - - -4187 - - -6805 - - -6307 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8328 - - 9574 - - 10900 - - 10401 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10761 - - -10605 - - -13510 - - -13914 ODpotential blCL - - - 14854 - - 15992 - - 17604 - - 18008 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 49 - - 44 - - 58 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.6 - - 52.5 - - 57.8 - - 56.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.6 - - 25.1 - - 24.5 - - 25.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.7 - - 51.9 - - 57.3 - - 57.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.5 - - 24.0 - - 23.4 - - 24.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 69 - - 56 - - 20 - - 16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1087 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97380 13 335 11 312 15 334 16 353 97380 90203 7 329 12 325 12 347 10 003 90203 84643 1 116 9 310 10 337 6 016 84643 80023 1 309 4 283 7 289 3 008 80023 76032 4 342 3 264 7 257 7 314 76032 72511 3 265 8 249 10 250 12 282 72511 69334 7 275 8 255 7 278 6 264 69334 66403 12 261 11 267 13 282 7 283 66403 63677 8 230 10 277 10 273 8 288 63677 61028 5 291 4 272 7 280 10 310 61028 58256 13 302 10 301 13 296 18 300 58256 55373 12 292 12 303 15 309 17 313 55373 52615 9 290 18 317 23 335 23 331 52615 50135 16 318 24 320 30 335 24 342 50135 47904 22 327 26 326 36 339 33 347 47904 45871 28 334 31 332 42 345 40 348 45871 44008 31 337 34 337 46 348 47 357 44008 42285 30 348 33 350 51 352 60 356 42285 40685 38 000 49 359 61 356 68 354 40685 39195 55 001 62 356 69 355 72 354 39195 37808 64 357 65 356 70 353 74 353 37808 36488 67 360 66 359 71 357 73 353 36488 35167 74 003 68 002 75 001 72 357 35167 33813 78 004 70 003 75 002 73 359 33813 32424 78 005 72 004 70 003 66 357 32424 30986 76 007 71 006 65 004 60 357 30986 29486 76 007 67 009 60 006 59 360 29486 27927 75 006 64 011 56 007 56 002 27927 26311 76 007 64 013 55 008 54 004 26311 24642 75 011 65 013 56 009 48 005 24642 22923 74 018 63 015 54 012 44 010 22923 21149 70 023 60 021 51 016 43 014 21149 19316 56 029 54 026 47 019 41 017 19316 17459 45 037 41 029 42 024 38 019 17459 15674 42 040 30 030 35 022 35 022 15674 14054 38 043 28 027 30 019 30 023 14054 12615 31 047 27 029 27 018 26 025 12615 11336 26 056 25 035 24 020 22 023 11336 10194 23 063 21 043 21 020 19 019 10194 9173 20 065 16 048 17 017 17 014 9173 8261 16 062 10 042 13 014 14 013 8261 7448 11 056 7 035 9 003 10 011 7448 6724 6 044 6 025 7 348 6 358 6724 6068 4 011 4 012 6 337 3 326 6068 5484 4 350 3*346 5 328 4 289 5484 4991 4 346 2*318 4 322 4 273 4991 4610 3 343 2 303 4 320 4 267 4610 4347 3 341 2 294 3 317 4 263 4347 4185 3*341 2 291 3*316 4*260 4185 4093 3*339 2 288 3*316 3*261 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography