DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/21 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.7 - - 62.2 - - 66.1 - - 62.5 - - 56.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 7 - - 20 - - 3 - - 1 - - 26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 333 BL Depth Hcrit 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4633 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1380 - - 3732 - - 8419 - - 5231 - - 2081 Hgt.Variab. W* 25 - - 32 - - 24 - - 17 - - 91 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 8 - - 10 - - 3 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 112 - - 133 - - 148 - - 140 - - 295 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 4 - - 6 - - -1 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2472 - - -2920 - - -3098 - - -2409 - - 540 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6567 - - 7016 - - 7193 - - 6504 - - 4093 sfcLCL ODpotential -6012 - - -5274 - - -4462 - - -4320 - - -804 ODpotential blCL 10107 - - 9369 - - 8557 - - 8415 - - 5437 blCL maxRH 82 - - 81 - - 93 - - 100 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 60 - - 220 - - 1030 - - 430 - - 420 CAPE Temp@2m 58.7 - - 62.2 - - 66.1 - - 62.5 - - 56.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.0 - - 45.5 - - 48.5 - - 47.9 - - 52.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.8 - - 61.7 - - 66.0 - - 62.4 - - 55.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.0 - - 44.3 - - 47.3 - - 47.0 - - 51.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 7 - - 20 - - 3 - - 1 - - 26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 333 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 28 - - 23 - - 73 - - 100 - - 90 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97501 10 345 9 286 10 290 12 320 15 287 97501 90281 3 274 7 311 8 302 9 344 8 358 90281 84700 4 244 4 305 5 267 5 359 11 005 84700 80059 4 213 2 348 4 238 4 279 7 003 80059 76058 2 318 1 284 5 207 10 256 8 346 76058 72516 8 230 5 269 9 214 11 245 5 274 72516 69305 7 202 10 214 14 224 10 244 3 283 69305 66332 5 229 11 191 16 225 13 246 10 288 66332 63553 19 225 17 206 18 204 17 225 22 237 63553 60853 24 211 16 212 15 227 17 217 21 228 60853 58020 33 190 27 212 28 213 25 229 26 228 58020 55067 31 204 30 200 37 206 34 220 31 218 55067 52251 41 206 46 205 45 201 34 215 32 223 52251 49720 48 200 49 196 37 198 42 223 43 227 49720 47453 42 206 38 204 44 210 57 213 58 215 47453 45406 60 216 45 216 54 209 59 200 65 209 45406 43537 76 207 61 213 60 203 52 197 70 205 43537 41821 70 200 68 205 58 197 51 202 74 203 41821 40234 63 207 72 199 52 195 61 206 77 205 40234 38754 73 212 69 195 50 204 75 204 79 206 38754 37371 86 210 64 203 66 212 80 201 77 205 37371 36054 90 207 74 211 82 211 77 200 72 205 36054 34738 88 206 70 208 71 205 68 198 66 207 34738 33397 82 206 59 199 52 199 62 193 57 207 33397 32033 72 208 62 195 51 193 59 187 46 204 32033 30626 60 207 63 191 57 189 56 185 29 191 30626 29163 52 201 58 182 56 180 51 183 22 178 29163 27640 48 195 50 175 49 170 44 174 23 175 27640 26060 39 186 46 173 47 169 43 169 25 177 26060 24427 33 175 41 172 43 172 41 172 30 179 24427 22745 33 170 35 172 39 171 37 181 34 178 22745 21007 30 170 32 173 25 164 38 182 32 180 21007 19211 26 174 27 170 23 157 42 175 30 178 19211 17389 21 177 25 166 20 151 38 169 34 175 17389 15638 17 177 20 164 17 147 30 162 36 165 15638 14047 14 173 17 158 16 144 27 155 36 160 14047 12629 12 164 16 153 16 142 28 154 36 154 12629 11363 11 149 16 150 16 142 28 149 35 151 11363 10225 10 138 16 151 17 143 27 140 31 151 10225 9201 10 131 16 151 17 143 25 130 24 148 9201 8282 9 128 15 151 17 141 23 124 15 141 8282 7464 9 130 15 151 17 141 21 125 6 136 7464 6736 8 133 14 150 16 142 19 127 1 217 6736 6077 7 141 12 144 16 143 16 129 4 256 6077 5490 8 153 11 137 15 144 12 130 4 240 5490 4995 9 148 10 134 15 145 8 130 6*280 4995 4613 9 138 9 133 14 146 5 132 8*293 4613 4348 7 126 9 134 13 147 4 134 8 294 4348 4186 5*117 8*134 12*147 4*137 8 296 4186 4093 4*112 8*133 10*148 3*140 7 296 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography