DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/04 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.3 - - 46.9 - - 51.5 - - 55.1 - - 53.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 43 - - 29 - - 34 - - 8 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 914 - - 907 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4093 - - 5214 - - 5207 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2964 - - 1835 - - 2303 - - 3862 - - 3674 Hgt.Variab. W* 39 - - 130 - - 136 - - 24 - - 23 W* B/S 1 - - 15 - - 8 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 319 - - 336 - - 118 - - 070 - - 135 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 2 - - -7 - - 4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1113 - - -307 - - -1392 - - -3545 - - -3216 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5206 - - 5522 - - 6600 - - 7639 - - 7310 sfcLCL ODpotential -2900 - - -2618 - - -7783 - - -8407 - - -6607 ODpotential blCL 6993 - - 7832 - - 12990 - - 12501 - - 10701 blCL maxRH 76 - - 76 - - 61 - - 83 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.3 - - 46.9 - - 51.5 - - 55.1 - - 53.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.8 - - 37.1 - - 36.9 - - 35.9 - - 36.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.1 - - 46.3 - - 51.0 - - 54.7 - - 54.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.0 - - 36.3 - - 35.9 - - 34.8 - - 35.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 43 - - 29 - - 34 - - 8 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 914 - - 907 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 4 - - 5 - - 0 - - 33 - - 67 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96465 26 287 33 291 34 287 34 283 44 295 96465 89501 13 289 20 291 20 290 13 303 25 290 89501 84061 10 291 15 280 17 291 12 321 17 288 84061 79507 19 284 13 279 18 268 18 300 18 310 79507 75569 23 274 11 281 15 263 22 282 22 304 75569 72080 24 289 14 306 10 296 16 272 18 288 72080 68904 22 281 18 298 13 319 8 296 11 278 68904 65967 14 281 13 283 19 309 11 314 9 281 65967 63229 18 305 15 288 14 284 14 300 8 297 63229 60570 19 298 14 286 16 300 25 295 21 303 60570 57804 22 309 24 304 21 293 23 290 20 300 57804 54934 36 311 26 310 20 303 28 296 32 302 54934 52186 39 315 38 311 32 305 40 291 37 290 52186 49707 46 308 41 310 46 297 40 297 35 287 49707 47478 47 303 47 305 44 297 40 304 39 288 47478 45453 42 312 47 300 40 301 44 302 42 290 45453 43603 50 324 42 309 43 302 49 298 40 299 43603 41898 60 325 46 326 46 308 49 298 47 300 41898 40325 66 325 50 326 54 311 49 303 53 289 40325 38874 62 326 53 329 54 314 54 304 54 286 38874 37524 66 332 58 330 52 321 51 304 55 288 37524 36227 73 335 65 331 54 326 47 305 53 289 36227 34920 78 333 70 331 54 326 44 306 50 292 34920 33573 78 329 72 329 52 321 40 307 46 295 33573 32191 80 328 72 326 50 318 37 308 40 296 32191 30761 81 331 70 330 47 322 37 309 37 294 30761 29273 80 336 67 334 46 325 34 310 36 293 29273 27733 76 341 65 335 44 326 31 310 36 296 27733 26137 71 347 58 340 42 327 31 308 37 300 26137 24489 55 351 48 345 39 334 31 307 33 304 24489 22790 40 001 38 354 26 341 28 311 27 302 22790 21035 37 007 27 005 21 333 23 313 27 297 21035 19219 35 010 24 008 18 329 21 313 25 296 19219 17375 30 001 21 001 19 324 19 311 22 303 17375 15603 26 355 16 349 19 318 15 308 17 311 15603 13996 21 001 12 351 14 316 10 302 10 311 13996 12569 11 012 7 007 7 313 8 282 7 301 12569 11298 5 028 3 001 3 287 9 282 8 304 11298 10165 2 019 2 312 3 265 10 282 9 307 10165 9150 1 358 2 265 3 243 9 273 9 303 9150 8243 2 343 2 236 4 208 7 256 7 296 8243 7435 3 328 3 221 4 183 5 245 3 280 7435 6714 4 322 2 221 4 163 3 236 2 210 6714 6061 5 322 1 238 3 150 1 210 3 154 6061 5478 7 320 1*316 3*137 2 088 6 149 5478 4988 8 318 2*331 3*122 4 074 6 146 4988 4608 8 318 2 334 3 116 4 071 6 144 4608 4346 7 317 1 339 3 116 4 071 5 139 4346 4185 7*319 1 342 3 118 4*071 4*136 4185 4093 6*319 1 341 3 119 4*070 4*135 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography