DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/05 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 77.3 - - 81.7 - - 87.4 - - 90.7 - - 85.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 30 - - 36 - - 14 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4078 - - 4078 - - 4079 - - 4079 - - 4079 Hcrit BL Top 4095 - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4097 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1464 - - 3000 - - 5899 - - 11943 - - 4374 Hgt.Variab. W* 24 - - 34 - - 38 - - 28 - - 20 W* B/S 1 - - 8 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 307 - - 059 - - 058 - - 347 - - 310 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 5 - - 8 - - 3 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7136 - - -6255 - - -6854 - - -7141 - - -7387 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11232 - - 10351 - - 10950 - - 11237 - - 11485 sfcLCL ODpotential -13578 - - -10974 - - -10227 - - -9546 - - -11207 ODpotential blCL 17673 - - 15070 - - 14323 - - 13642 - - 15304 blCL maxRH 50 - - 58 - - 57 - - 42 - - 31 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 180 - - 870 - - 1620 - - 400 CAPE Temp@2m 77.3 - - 81.7 - - 87.4 - - 90.7 - - 85.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.7 - - 50.5 - - 53.5 - - 55.4 - - 49.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 77.4 - - 81.3 - - 87.2 - - 92.1 - - 88.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.4 - - 49.4 - - 52.2 - - 54.1 - - 48.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 30 - - 36 - - 14 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99505 31 108 32 109 34 105 27 110 34 106 99505 92022 33 110 29 107 29 113 27 111 28 111 92022 86241 30 106 27 117 25 107 27 109 29 097 86241 81440 30 107 23 121 20 114 25 098 31 094 81440 77306 23 091 24 119 18 120 21 105 24 099 77306 73648 18 083 23 101 20 126 16 117 18 114 73648 70333 14 089 16 104 16 119 12 132 12 096 70333 67297 12 112 12 118 10 099 12 111 9 093 67297 64510 11 087 11 098 8 114 9 105 9 111 64510 61837 5 094 11 095 12 127 4 117 5 112 61837 59065 6 134 6 115 6 115 4 127 5 115 59065 56212 5 096 5 188 7 220 4 260 4 042 56212 53514 8 326 6 289 7 255 8 260 7 282 53514 51093 16 293 14 299 12 285 12 270 14 262 51093 48913 20 284 16 295 13 293 11 289 11 265 48913 46921 22 282 17 297 14 294 11 292 11 279 46921 45085 22 288 17 299 14 298 10 303 13 285 45085 43382 23 289 18 302 14 304 9 321 10 291 43382 41790 26 282 18 310 12 312 8 325 7 305 41790 40293 29 279 19 315 12 320 8 327 8 320 40293 38883 33 275 19 314 14 312 11 323 13 318 38883 37528 36 269 19 311 15 306 14 315 17 314 37528 36164 32 267 17 305 15 304 15 311 20 318 36164 34764 22 272 13 309 13 295 16 308 22 322 34764 33331 15 276 14 303 11 291 12 300 22 326 33331 31851 11 276 13 291 12 283 9 281 18 334 31851 30316 13 267 13 281 12 280 11 285 9 310 30316 28728 14 262 13 275 11 284 14 283 10 277 28728 27085 15 262 15 272 14 280 16 281 14 276 27085 25388 13 264 15 262 16 267 17 276 15 274 25388 23639 12 278 13 259 17 256 18 269 14 272 23639 21831 14 291 13 276 16 258 17 264 14 264 21831 19960 16 289 13 283 13 264 15 255 16 254 19960 18063 17 283 14 280 11 264 15 239 19 235 18063 16240 16 277 14 273 11 256 14 243 21 221 16240 14582 14 266 12 264 12 248 13 262 14 215 14582 13098 12 242 11 245 12 247 13 266 7 214 13098 11768 11 215 13 228 13 251 12 275 5 225 11768 10572 8 202 15 222 13 254 12 283 5 258 10572 9497 4 203 14 222 12 256 10 292 7 279 9497 8532 1 214 11 224 10 259 9 300 10 290 8532 7671 1 348 7 228 8 263 8 309 13 294 7671 6901 2 338 5 240 6 270 8 319 16 296 6901 6204 3 349 4 254 3 290 7 327 17 296 6204 5580 5 346 3 275 2 353 7 334 18 297 5580 5055 6 331 2 296 3 030 6 340 18 297 5055 4648 8 315 1 342 4 044 6 345 17 299 4648 4366 7 309 1 030 5 052 5 346 14 301 4366 4194 6*307 1*047 5*057 5*347 11*304 4194 4096 5*307 1*059 4*058 4*347 7*310 4096 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography