DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/04 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.0 - - 65.2 - - 67.2 - - 63.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 66 - - 83 - - 49 - - 40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2333 - - 3530 - - 3980 - - 2341 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5036 - - 6109 - - 6129 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6633 - - 7830 - - 8280 - - 6641 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2988 - - 3602 - - 3147 - - 2472 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 240 - - 300 - - 277 - - 219 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 20 - - 16 - - 15 BL Wind Direction - - - 255 - - 248 - - 282 - - 296 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 7 - - 5 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - -11 - - 16 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 435 - - 62 - - -1965 - - -1667 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6198 - - 7769 - - 10246 - - 8309 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1006 - - -1955 - - -6162 - - -6029 ODpotential blCL - - - 7639 - - 9785 - - 14442 - - 12670 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 65 - - 49 - - 58 maxRH CAPE - - - 100 - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.0 - - 65.2 - - 67.2 - - 63.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.7 - - 45.1 - - 36.3 - - 40.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.0 - - 64.3 - - 66.4 - - 62.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.5 - - 43.9 - - 35.2 - - 39.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 66 - - 83 - - 49 - - 40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2333 - - 3530 - - 3980 - - 2341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 89 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98955 9 151 5 181 4 124 7 121 98955 91562 10 144 6 191 2 081 8 067 91562 85838 9 103 5 125 6 142 5 065 85838 81080 9 093 10 116 11 128 7 109 81080 76988 10 089 9 127 10 105 8 110 76988 73363 10 104 11 134 7 114 12 117 73363 70065 6 125 12 132 3 083 11 120 70065 67007 11 156 15 161 8 181 7 181 67007 64170 8 178 8 184 6 159 9 219 64170 61420 17 174 6 221 14 165 6 193 61420 58549 12 248 25 244 18 237 25 244 58549 55612 25 226 33 227 34 223 29 220 55612 52815 37 189 34 202 33 212 28 227 52815 50275 31 217 24 230 31 228 37 242 50275 47991 50 251 42 249 37 242 47 244 47991 45922 64 259 54 257 46 251 54 248 45922 44035 72 256 68 255 62 254 63 253 44035 42301 80 250 79 249 76 251 74 251 42301 40693 84 249 85 244 85 246 83 246 40693 39197 86 250 87 243 89 243 89 243 39197 37799 85 250 89 243 88 243 89 242 37799 36464 84 249 90 243 86 243 87 242 36464 35127 84 247 90 243 85 244 84 242 35127 33755 81 242 88 244 81 244 81 242 33755 32351 76 238 83 243 78 245 75 242 32351 30903 70 237 75 241 75 243 70 243 30903 29402 66 239 70 242 72 241 67 242 29402 27848 65 241 68 242 69 241 65 239 27848 26239 65 240 67 239 68 239 64 238 26239 24577 65 238 67 236 68 237 62 239 24577 22867 64 237 65 236 64 238 58 240 22867 21106 59 237 59 235 57 237 52 238 21106 19288 51 237 50 232 49 235 45 235 19288 17447 43 237 42 229 40 230 38 232 17447 15682 35 237 34 228 32 224 32 226 15682 14078 30 237 28 229 27 220 27 221 14078 12650 30 234 24 230 22 222 22 223 12650 11376 32 232 22 230 17 228 18 232 11376 10235 31 231 22 233 15 242 15 244 10235 9212 28 233 22 237 15 257 14 258 9212 8296 25 236 22*241 15*265 15 271 8296 7481 22 239 22*244 16*274 16 280 7481 6752 18*244 22 246 17 278 16*286 6752 6091 15*249 21 248 17 281 17*290 6091 5501 14 253 21 248 17 283 16 293 5501 5003 13 255 20 249 16 285 16 296 5003 4617 12 257 19 250 16 287 15 298 4617 4350 12 257 18 250 15 288 14 301 4350 4187 11 258 17 250 15 289 13 302 4187 4094 10 258 15 250 13 290 12 303 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography