DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/17 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 33.5 - - 32.5 - - 35.4 - - 34.5 - - 33.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 92 - - 107 - - 59 - - 63 - - 43 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 821 - - 972 - - 1048 - - 819 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4075 - - 4075 - - 4075 - - 4075 - - 4075 Hcrit BL Top 5121 - - 5272 - - 5348 - - 5119 - - 4093 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3239 - - 2089 - - 3764 - - 3470 - - 4885 Hgt.Variab. W* 184 - - 202 - - 172 - - 162 - - 38 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 27 - - 25 - - 17 - - 19 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 220 - - 198 - - 228 - - 213 - - 228 Direction Wind Shear 12 - - 9 - - 7 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -13 - - -4 - - -8 - - -5 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -329 - - 1014 - - 227 - - 38 - - 2 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5450 - - 4258 - - 5121 - - 5082 - - 4092 sfcLCL ODpotential -2171 - - -245 - - -1133 - - -1499 - - -1010 ODpotential blCL 7292 - - 5517 - - 6481 - - 6618 - - 5103 blCL maxRH 69 - - 89 - - 84 - - 77 - - 91 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 60 - - 10 - - 180 CAPE Temp@2m 33.5 - - 32.5 - - 35.4 - - 34.5 - - 33.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.7 - - 27.9 - - 27.0 - - 26.3 - - 29.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 32.5 - - 31.3 - - 34.6 - - 33.8 - - 32.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.6 - - 26.8 - - 25.9 - - 25.1 - - 28.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 92 - - 107 - - 59 - - 63 - - 43 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 821 - - 972 - - 1048 - - 819 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 55 - - 37 - - 9 - - 65 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96917 29 110 22 102 24 115 24 114 19 107 96917 89736 27 106 25 117 25 120 23 111 28 103 89736 84124 21 116 27 117 17 125 18 115 20 099 84124 79456 9 117 20 119 16 144 8 112 16 085 79456 75414 4 164 13 113 7 137 4 163 11 038 75414 71825 1 329 4 169 8 188 7 270 1 294 71825 68567 11 240 10 285 8 261 7 197 1 148 68567 65543 15 173 1 327 3 135 9 163 7 220 65543 62717 12 233 22 233 23 093 15 109 1 308 62717 59961 38 221 46 222 31 228 18 226 14 237 59961 57062 40 229 34 227 37 228 37 237 30 238 57062 54026 30 244 20 252 26 245 34 248 28 253 54026 51113 29 262 35 271 33 267 28 262 37 261 51113 48492 43 261 50 267 40 275 36 266 38 264 48492 46148 54 260 57 261 51 268 40 266 35 273 46148 44020 57 258 58 256 55 256 45 270 36 275 44020 42062 53 259 55 252 54 252 46 266 38 269 42062 40252 54 265 51 253 50 258 43 267 38 264 40252 38576 59 263 50 252 51 263 47 271 42 267 38576 37021 56 254 47 248 54 263 54 268 47 270 37021 35579 47 251 43 249 56 261 57 265 49 271 35579 34216 48 261 46 261 57 263 59 264 53 270 34216 32866 51 261 56 268 60 266 62 262 56 267 32866 31503 53 261 62 269 65 266 64 261 58 265 31503 30130 57 263 70 271 78 263 71 261 64 259 30130 28738 67 266 85 268 91 257 84 257 75 249 28738 27323 82 268 94 263 92 252 96 251 80 242 27323 25882 91 269 94 259 87 246 100 241 83 233 25882 24410 88 268 90 256 83 248 93 237 83 227 24410 22902 84 263 80 255 93 254 90 238 81 232 22902 21353 76 260 73 250 90 251 86 238 83 234 21353 19753 65 261 61 250 83 250 82 237 82 236 19753 18100 56 262 51 251 81 253 79 239 74 243 18100 16430 53 264 45 253 72 251 73 244 51 244 16430 14829 52 264 50 253 71 248 63 250 38 235 14829 13366 52 263 59 247 63 246 53 253 40 236 13366 12057 52 259 65 241 51 243 48 253 38 241 12057 10883 51 254 64 237 47 244 46 249 36 248 10883 9827 48 248 58 235 43 244 46 244 35 254 9827 8879 46 242 52 233 40 243 44 240 33 260 8879 8027 45 237 45 229 37 242 41 237 30 263 8027 7267 44 233 39 224 34 240 37 235 28 264 7267 6585 43 230 33 218 31 239 34 232 24 262 6585 5967 41 228 34 208 27 236 29 227 20 258 5967 5413 36*224 31*203 23*233 25*222 17 249 5413 4946 32*222 29*200 20*231 22*218 14 240 4946 4584 29 220 27 198 18 229 20 214 12 232 4584 4332 26 220 25 197 17 227 18 211 10 228 4332 4180 24 219 23 196 16 226 17 210 9*228 4180 4092 20 219 20 195 14 224 15 208 8*228 4092 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography