DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/29 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.8 - - 55.9 - - 61.3 - - 64.9 - - 62.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 6 - - 44 - - 59 - - 25 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 238 - - 229 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4538 - - 4529 - - 4095 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1931 - - 5503 - - 7506 - - 9974 - - 10477 Hgt.Variab. W* 23 - - 93 - - 103 - - 33 - - 13 W* B/S 1 - - 13 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 1 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 308 - - 131 - - 073 - - 091 - - 166 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 7 - - 11 - - 7 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3795 - - -3873 - - -5590 - - -7206 - - -5263 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7889 - - 8411 - - 10119 - - 11302 - - 9358 sfcLCL ODpotential -6594 - - -5821 - - -7539 - - -8923 - - -7260 ODpotential blCL 10688 - - 10359 - - 12068 - - 13018 - - 11355 blCL maxRH 61 - - 67 - - 55 - - 58 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 150 CAPE Temp@2m 51.8 - - 55.9 - - 61.3 - - 64.9 - - 62.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.8 - - 33.5 - - 31.2 - - 29.5 - - 36.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.4 - - 55.5 - - 60.7 - - 64.5 - - 64.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.7 - - 32.4 - - 30.1 - - 28.4 - - 35.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 6 - - 44 - - 59 - - 25 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 238 - - 229 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 86 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97531 12 292 19 300 17 296 27 307 19 315 97531 90138 21 319 15 311 19 301 27 314 22 330 90138 84513 19 307 18 311 19 303 24 315 22 337 84513 79873 14 295 19 294 18 300 18 305 20 323 79873 75861 16 292 18 273 17 295 15 294 19 300 75861 72290 21 283 22 276 21 293 16 309 19 288 72290 69037 22 271 22 274 24 284 18 306 17 285 69037 66039 20 275 22 268 23 282 16 300 16 295 66039 63254 21 279 18 280 20 280 19 303 17 286 63254 60548 21 267 19 281 23 276 26 296 19 282 60548 57722 20 284 17 285 18 273 23 291 20 309 57722 54809 19 292 20 292 18 295 24 300 29 310 54809 52048 21 304 22 298 23 296 28 292 25 299 52048 49569 23 309 22 301 23 276 22 302 18 304 49569 47337 25 316 27 332 29 322 29 314 25 315 47337 45312 35 328 40 313 35 313 31 320 40 323 45312 43476 43 319 38 306 32 316 42 332 50 327 43476 41802 41 316 36 332 43 337 50 337 54 335 41802 40254 37 336 50 349 53 344 57 348 58 343 40254 38806 46 353 65 355 63 351 66 355 62 347 38806 37447 55 357 75 356 69 355 71 356 66 350 37447 36141 62 358 80 356 71 354 71 355 68 353 36141 34825 67 000 80 356 71 352 67 352 69 353 34825 33473 62 360 80 357 69 350 64 349 63 349 33473 32090 49 355 75 001 69 350 62 347 57 344 32090 30664 43 351 63 356 65 354 60 346 53 343 30664 29183 39 345 63 350 59 350 57 344 52 342 29183 27645 36 340 63 355 60 345 55 344 51 342 27645 26053 34 339 48 360 61 349 54 347 50 344 26053 24409 30 344 32 354 49 358 48 359 46 354 24409 22721 28 351 25 340 32 354 34 002 37 003 22721 20980 28 351 25 332 25 337 29 350 30 360 20980 19182 28 350 26 335 27 332 29 339 31 353 19182 17366 21 343 23 341 25 336 24 335 27 349 17366 15634 15 338 16 339 17 334 16 327 19 344 15634 14061 10 335 11 337 10 316 11 306 13 342 14061 12653 6 318 8 337 7 286 9 312 10 336 12653 11390 4 294 6 313 7 285 9 319 8 329 11390 10254 3 275 6 268 6 287 9 323 7 327 10254 9232 2 273 5 235 6 290 8 335 5 331 9232 8315 2 284 5 227 5 297 8 344 4 340 8315 7496 2 307 4 222 4 309 7 355 3 360 7496 6763 3 314 3 218 3 332 7 003 2 033 6763 6099 3 324 2 216 3 003 6 014 2 071 6099 5506 4 330 1 200 3 036 5 025 3 096 5506 5006 6 320 1 165 4 052 5 039 3 113 5006 4619 7 311 1*136 4*061 4 053 4 132 4619 4351 6 308 1*130 4*069 3 075 4 147 4351 4187 5*309 1 132 4 073 3*087 4*158 4187 4094 4*308 1 131 3 076 2*093 4*166 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography