DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/28 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.8 - - 51.5 - - 53.6 - - 53.9 - - 50.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 4 - - 7 - - -3 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1897 - - 2193 - - 2915 - - 3445 - - 2002 Hgt.Variab. W* 16 - - 22 - - 24 - - 16 - - 18 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 7 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 324 - - 340 - - 356 - - 019 - - 069 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6644 - - -5356 - - -4391 - - -3864 - - -5014 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10738 - - 9450 - - 8485 - - 7958 - - 9109 sfcLCL ODpotential -12663 - - -11410 - - -9349 - - -8422 - - -12317 ODpotential blCL 16757 - - 15504 - - 13443 - - 12516 - - 16411 blCL maxRH 41 - - 60 - - 70 - - 62 - - 77 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.8 - - 51.5 - - 53.6 - - 53.9 - - 50.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 20.5 - - 24.7 - - 30.9 - - 33.4 - - 25.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.4 - - 51.3 - - 53.4 - - 54.0 - - 50.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.4 - - 23.6 - - 29.7 - - 32.2 - - 24.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 4 - - 7 - - -3 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 9 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96420 19 096 18 066 20 080 22 107 22 077 96420 89332 22 071 22 089 14 094 15 102 24 065 89332 83806 21 061 22 079 14 101 18 076 26 069 83806 79194 17 048 16 059 11 075 16 063 17 077 79194 75212 10 041 12 034 10 045 13 055 15 072 75212 71680 10 008 12 009 7 014 10 044 11 040 71680 68474 12 352 10 323 11 336 12 358 14 351 68474 65525 13 311 7 325 11 318 13 330 17 323 65525 62782 19 319 12 327 14 313 12 328 14 316 62782 60100 26 309 23 309 23 299 19 316 16 309 60100 57290 31 300 30 306 31 307 35 316 31 311 57290 54381 31 298 29 301 38 297 43 306 42 306 54381 51623 38 298 29 299 41 300 45 305 44 303 51623 49160 42 301 46 312 45 302 44 303 40 307 49160 46963 52 313 54 305 41 303 44 295 46 302 46963 44981 57 304 49 299 42 310 45 291 48 291 44981 43189 48 291 46 311 48 308 47 292 42 287 43189 41558 36 316 54 323 51 312 47 292 44 291 41558 40056 60 328 60 328 52 318 47 294 52 288 40056 38652 76 328 59 330 52 319 46 297 49 284 38652 37331 75 327 58 332 50 320 44 299 46 286 37331 36058 58 331 58 332 47 322 42 302 41 288 36058 34770 51 337 56 332 45 326 39 308 39 288 34770 33441 52 345 50 333 44 326 37 313 37 286 33441 32076 53 343 45 335 43 327 34 314 34 288 32076 30661 52 340 42 336 41 329 32 314 32 293 30661 29188 53 341 41 335 38 330 31 315 32 300 29188 27656 49 340 40 329 37 331 31 316 33 307 27656 26067 41 333 40 324 38 331 32 320 31 307 26067 24424 38 324 40 321 38 329 33 325 29 307 24424 22729 36 316 38 318 35 328 33 329 26 309 22729 20979 31 303 37 319 33 329 29 330 22 317 20979 19171 32 298 36 319 32 327 28 332 19 324 19171 17338 33 299 32 316 32 323 29 335 18 334 17338 15577 33 302 28 313 31 319 31 334 20 336 15577 13976 32 303 25 311 29 316 30 330 21 332 13976 12552 30 302 23 309 27 313 26 325 20 330 12552 11282 28 300 21 306 26 310 22 319 17 325 11282 10148 27 298 20 303 25 307 20 313 13 317 10148 9133 27 297 19 301 23 304 18 309 10 313 9133 8226 27 296 20 301 21 300 17 309 7 320 8226 7420 26 294 21 302 19 297 15 315 5 336 7420 6700 24 292 21 299 16 296 13 326 4 342 6700 6050 22 289 20 296 12 302 12 338 3 006 6050 5470 18 286 16 296 10 319 10 355 7 054 5470 4982 14 285 12 300 8 339 9 010 10 066 4982 4604 10 288 8 310 8 348 9 014 10 068 4604 4343 7 294 6 322 8 352 8 017 7 070 4343 4184 6*296 4*335 7*354 7*017 5*069 4184 4093 3*324 4*340 7*356 5*019 4*069 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography