DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/19 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.6 - - 69.3 - - 69.4 - - 65.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 14 - - 25 - - -13 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4078 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4072 - - 9949 - - 10560 - - 5823 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 30 - - 31 - - 20 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 7 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 1 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 167 - - 146 - - 249 - - 246 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 0 - - -5 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7410 - - -6249 - - -5657 - - -7624 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11505 - - 10344 - - 9752 - - 11720 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12180 - - -7842 - - -7382 - - -10185 ODpotential blCL - - - 16275 - - 11937 - - 11477 - - 14280 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 70 - - 42 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 40 - - 190 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.6 - - 69.3 - - 69.4 - - 65.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.5 - - 38.1 - - 40.7 - - 28.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.3 - - 69.6 - - 69.9 - - 66.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.3 - - 36.9 - - 39.5 - - 27.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 14 - - 25 - - -13 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97703 14 277 17 296 17 297 19 311 97703 90422 16 292 14 324 12 306 10 306 90422 84814 13 305 8 299 12 305 10 323 84814 80162 8 322 5 259 12 286 15 306 80162 76145 8 312 7 282 9 284 10 286 76145 72584 11 279 12 299 11 299 8 296 72584 69355 12 277 15 285 13 277 10 287 69355 66375 11 277 11 266 9 260 6 282 66375 63595 14 253 12 247 12 263 13 254 63595 60907 16 232 21 248 22 243 13 231 60907 58091 25 234 32 236 22 233 22 246 58091 55159 35 240 37 235 34 237 41 236 55159 52383 45 238 45 236 46 237 47 232 52383 49897 50 237 54 234 55 233 55 230 49897 47671 54 235 60 235 61 232 63 225 47671 45647 58 236 65 237 66 232 67 223 45647 43783 60 236 67 236 70 232 73 224 43783 42052 57 235 66 233 73 231 78 223 42052 40437 53 235 66 231 73 230 79 222 40437 38934 51 235 64 231 72 228 77 224 38934 37536 51 235 61 229 69 227 75 226 37536 36206 52 235 59 227 65 224 72 224 36206 34879 50 231 58 224 61 221 66 222 34879 33528 46 224 55 222 58 221 57 221 33528 32151 43 219 53 221 54 222 51 221 32151 30726 42 216 52 220 52 223 51 222 30726 29242 41 217 50 222 51 224 52 224 29242 27706 38 222 46 222 49 225 49 227 27706 26115 37 224 43 218 45 226 46 226 26115 24470 34 225 40 217 42 227 43 223 24470 22778 31 223 38 217 40 226 40 220 22778 21036 28 217 36 219 38 222 38 217 21036 19237 26 214 33 220 37 218 36 212 19237 17416 25 218 29 220 33 213 36 206 17416 15673 27 219 27 218 27 204 33 196 15673 14090 27 214 24 221 19 189 26 181 14090 12676 23 208 20 221 16 184 21 174 12676 11407 19 211 19 221 15 189 19 174 11407 10267 20 223 17 222 14 197 17 179 10267 9242 24 229 15 222 14 208 16 188 9242 8323 24 229 13 221 14 219 16 197 8323 7502 20 225 12 219 15 225 16 205 7502 6768 14 217 10 217 15 229 16 213 6768 6104 12 204 8 214 15 233 15 221 6104 5509 9 191 7 209 15 235 13 229 5509 5008 8 180 5 203 15 237 11 236 5008 4620 7 172 4 196 14 239 8 242 4620 4352 7 169 3 187 13 240 5 248 4352 4188 7*168 2*176 11*243 4*249 4188 4094 7*167 1*146 8*249 3*246 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography