DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/03 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.8 - - 53.8 - - 58.0 - - 53.2 - - 50.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 8 - - 10 - - 14 - - 22 - - 32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1156 - - 2610 - - 7488 - - 5818 - - 6693 Hgt.Variab. W* 24 - - 25 - - 28 - - 33 - - 36 W* B/S 2 - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 1 - - 4 - - 9 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 107 - - 018 - - 336 - - 299 - - 329 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 0 - - 0 - - -6 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3194 - - -3952 - - -5540 - - -3453 - - -2403 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7289 - - 8046 - - 9635 - - 7547 - - 6498 sfcLCL ODpotential -9360 - - -8047 - - -7142 - - -4798 - - -3808 ODpotential blCL 13454 - - 12141 - - 11236 - - 8892 - - 7902 blCL maxRH 73 - - 95 - - 91 - - 95 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m 52.8 - - 53.8 - - 58.0 - - 53.2 - - 50.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.4 - - 32.9 - - 30.0 - - 34.4 - - 36.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.1 - - 53.4 - - 57.6 - - 52.7 - - 50.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.3 - - 31.6 - - 28.8 - - 33.3 - - 34.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 8 - - 10 - - 14 - - 22 - - 32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 79 - - 64 - - 80 - - 77 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96385 22 299 21 288 23 304 18 288 27 286 96385 89462 12 275 14 298 18 293 18 301 12 330 89462 84064 6 273 14 302 9 311 12 282 10 260 84064 79554 16 288 19 280 20 282 11 290 12 269 79554 75638 18 288 16 285 22 267 22 268 22 281 75638 72132 22 282 14 320 12 288 24 279 26 279 72132 68935 27 282 20 279 22 279 24 277 24 286 68935 65983 28 283 19 273 25 265 24 271 21 301 65983 63234 25 272 17 280 20 277 21 265 22 287 63234 60567 26 270 21 273 21 280 16 267 24 259 60567 57769 28 275 26 268 23 275 23 281 21 275 57769 54851 34 266 29 272 27 284 33 288 29 304 54851 52066 36 266 36 274 47 276 41 290 39 302 52066 49555 40 265 50 261 53 265 49 280 46 287 49555 47300 45 268 54 254 50 260 52 271 45 282 47300 45249 59 267 54 258 49 262 51 266 43 287 45249 43363 68 258 66 262 55 262 46 269 45 294 43363 41615 71 257 86 257 61 256 46 273 50 295 41615 39986 74 257 95 249 63 250 47 272 53 294 39986 38462 78 254 87 241 66 246 45 271 53 292 38462 37034 77 252 76 242 69 241 47 275 50 291 37034 35668 74 252 77 247 70 238 52 272 50 297 35668 34301 75 251 83 246 71 237 54 264 54 297 34301 32907 73 248 85 241 75 237 51 255 52 289 32907 31491 71 245 84 235 77 233 46 246 44 282 31491 30046 67 244 77 231 73 227 43 239 38 284 30046 28572 65 242 67 227 64 220 38 234 28 279 28572 27073 62 240 61 227 61 211 35 225 22 289 27073 25538 58 237 60 226 59 208 33 222 29 295 25538 23954 53 233 61 225 55 206 33 221 29 296 23954 22319 49 230 59 223 54 206 30 216 24 299 22319 20629 44 227 54 222 54 206 27 214 20 295 20629 18879 40 224 49 220 54 206 25 223 19 293 18879 17100 38 222 47 215 52 208 25 235 15 287 17100 15386 37 220 46 211 49 211 24 241 12 282 15386 13825 36 218 44 209 43 214 21 243 12 282 13825 12435 34 215 41 209 34 216 19 246 11 281 12435 11196 32 211 38 207 23 220 17 248 10 278 11196 10087 29 208 32 206 17 226 15 251 9 281 10087 9091 25 208 24 206 15 234 14 257 9 284 9091 8198 19 208 15 204 13 244 13 264 10 288 8198 7401 14 207 7 197 11 253 12 273 11 292 7401 6688 10 207 4 183 9 260 12 278 12 296 6688 6043 8 212 2 205 8 271 11 284 12 301 6043 5466 6 215 2 252 6 286 10 290 12 310 5466 4980 5 207 1 266 5 308 10 294 11 318 4980 4604 3 182 0 338 4 325 10 296 11 324 4604 4343 3 129 1 006 4 333 9 298 10 327 4343 4184 3*117 1*013 4*336 9*298 9*328 4184 4093 3*107 1*018 4*336 9*299 9*329 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography