DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/09 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.3 - - 57.0 - - 61.0 - - 62.2 - - 58.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 1 - - 4 - - 11 - - -1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4094 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 989 - - 1739 - - 4554 - - 5222 - - 2067 Hgt.Variab. W* 17 - - 21 - - 24 - - 9 - - 14 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 6 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 091 - - 105 - - 146 - - 003 - - 318 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 1 - - -2 - - -4 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4324 - - -5608 - - -5946 - - -5906 - - -3728 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8418 - - 9703 - - 10041 - - 10001 - - 7823 sfcLCL ODpotential -11358 - - -12163 - - -11173 - - -10214 - - -7486 ODpotential blCL 15452 - - 16257 - - 15268 - - 14309 - - 11580 blCL maxRH 78 - - 60 - - 66 - - 79 - - 78 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 55.3 - - 57.0 - - 61.0 - - 62.2 - - 58.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.1 - - 29.2 - - 31.6 - - 32.9 - - 39.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.8 - - 56.8 - - 61.9 - - 64.3 - - 59.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.9 - - 28.0 - - 30.3 - - 31.7 - - 37.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 1 - - 4 - - 11 - - -1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 11 - - 0 - - 0 - - 15 - - 12 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96303 39 280 44 289 38 286 35 293 40 291 96303 89299 29 290 24 293 24 288 27 290 33 304 89299 83869 15 289 18 287 24 286 18 303 23 306 83869 79344 15 296 15 283 22 278 15 305 22 304 79344 75422 11 298 12 307 17 285 17 286 18 304 75422 71917 20 292 18 305 18 294 15 286 22 302 71917 68723 23 279 24 282 22 287 21 292 25 294 68723 65799 19 292 24 281 19 286 19 302 14 316 65799 63081 28 298 24 285 15 320 22 314 16 348 63081 60434 32 293 29 277 29 290 33 292 26 302 60434 57682 36 278 32 268 39 279 35 288 36 294 57682 54834 37 272 37 265 40 279 36 286 36 299 54834 52114 44 271 41 264 40 275 38 281 36 295 52114 49662 51 266 45 264 40 271 38 279 36 294 49662 47457 57 257 51 261 40 269 40 277 38 295 47457 45449 59 250 54 253 45 262 46 271 45 290 45449 43606 63 248 58 247 56 254 52 262 48 278 43606 41912 67 246 66 245 71 246 61 253 51 266 41912 40356 66 243 69 244 78 242 73 249 60 258 40356 38919 62 241 66 245 73 242 78 247 71 250 38919 37578 59 241 63 245 69 244 74 243 81 245 37578 36290 58 241 61 244 69 244 71 242 78 243 36290 34988 57 241 60 244 68 242 69 241 74 242 34988 33648 57 242 61 242 67 241 67 240 71 242 33648 32275 57 241 61 240 66 242 65 240 69 244 32275 30854 57 241 60 241 63 243 62 239 66 246 30854 29377 56 243 57 242 60 242 60 238 64 246 29377 27845 52 244 54 242 57 240 58 236 63 244 27845 26255 49 246 51 242 55 238 56 234 62 244 26255 24610 47 247 50 241 53 235 56 235 60 248 24610 22913 45 247 49 240 53 236 56 241 56 254 22913 21161 44 246 47 242 51 240 54 249 51 259 21161 19349 41 248 43 245 48 245 49 255 46 262 19349 17511 37 249 39 248 42 248 43 258 39 262 17511 15743 32 247 34 248 37 248 38 259 34 263 15743 14133 27 242 30 244 33 248 33 260 28 264 14133 12698 23 240 26 242 32 250 29 260 23 264 12698 11414 20 241 23 243 32 253 26 259 19 265 11414 10264 18 247 21 247 31 257 22 259 17 268 10264 9233 18 255 20 252 28 260 19 262 17 272 9233 8310 18 262 18 256 21 261 16 267 17 275 8310 7488 16 268 17 260 17 260 15 272 18 277 7488 6754 14 272 15 262 14 260 14 275 19 279 6754 6091 11 276 13 263 11 260 14 277 19 281 6091 5498 7 278 9 262 8 258 12 280 19 284 5498 5000 4 275 5 258 4 254 11 283 18 286 5000 4615 2 262 2 239 3 246 9 288 16 289 4615 4349 2 107 2 107 1 224 6 294 12 294 4349 4187 3*096 3*103 1*186 4*304 8*300 4187 4093 3*091 3*105 1*146 2*003 4*318 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography