DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/10 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 78.9 - - 82.8 - - 90.0 - - 88.3 - - 84.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 30 - - 37 - - -11 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4078 - - 4078 - - 4079 - - 4079 - - 4079 Hcrit BL Top 4096 - - 4096 - - 4097 - - 4097 - - 4096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1381 - - 4271 - - 13229 - - 11179 - - 3365 Hgt.Variab. W* 20 - - 34 - - 38 - - 25 - - 21 W* B/S 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 12 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 295 - - 085 - - 300 - - 274 - - 292 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 4 - - -3 - - -6 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7686 - - -6407 - - -7176 - - -6073 - - -6088 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11782 - - 10504 - - 11274 - - 10170 - - 10184 sfcLCL ODpotential -12599 - - -9965 - - -9053 - - -8614 - - -9707 ODpotential blCL 16695 - - 14061 - - 13150 - - 12711 - - 13803 blCL maxRH 70 - - 64 - - 81 - - 83 - - 61 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 380 - - 1770 - - 2150 - - 890 CAPE Temp@2m 78.9 - - 82.8 - - 90.0 - - 88.3 - - 84.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.8 - - 50.9 - - 54.6 - - 57.6 - - 53.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 78.8 - - 82.6 - - 90.3 - - 89.3 - - 85.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.5 - - 49.7 - - 53.3 - - 56.3 - - 52.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 30 - - 37 - - -11 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 23 - - 34 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99442 27 108 26 097 31 114 21 115 23 094 99442 91943 18 100 23 105 27 091 22 124 14 103 91943 86150 17 106 22 108 20 098 22 102 17 105 86150 81344 18 099 15 113 17 114 13 095 18 083 81344 77199 17 103 13 126 9 116 14 086 15 092 77199 73536 14 090 11 124 9 131 10 080 17 091 73536 70221 9 056 9 120 9 140 6 087 11 070 70221 67188 6 028 9 103 10 144 4 131 2 074 67188 64392 2 109 4 087 6 160 3 268 1 031 64392 61692 5 108 3 151 4 180 3 187 1 274 61692 58891 2 039 5 201 6 252 3 302 2 342 58891 56013 3 286 3 205 9 235 9 271 7 274 56013 53294 14 276 10 267 11 223 14 245 13 231 53294 50860 20 253 16 263 11 244 20 251 18 246 50860 48676 24 251 24 248 25 256 28 251 25 253 48676 46691 32 252 29 243 33 250 32 243 31 246 46691 44869 39 246 35 243 38 247 35 241 34 243 44869 43181 44 238 42 239 43 241 39 239 37 241 43181 41603 46 236 46 236 44 237 43 237 43 238 41603 40119 45 236 45 235 45 235 46 236 48 236 40119 38722 44 237 42 235 43 234 44 233 48 235 38722 37377 39 238 38 237 40 233 42 231 45 235 37377 36021 37 241 35 238 36 233 39 230 41 235 36021 34626 38 240 34 237 35 232 36 230 35 234 34626 33196 39 233 34 235 32 232 31 230 33 233 33196 31721 36 236 31 235 25 225 26 229 31 232 31721 30189 30 245 24 242 20 217 24 225 24 232 30189 28603 21 249 17 254 15 218 21 222 20 231 28603 26966 18 251 15 262 13 219 15 221 19 228 26966 25279 16 254 15 253 12 229 15 238 19 223 25279 23543 14 263 16 250 15 247 21 245 20 222 23543 21751 16 266 20 249 25 246 23 243 22 223 21751 19899 22 251 25 241 29 241 21 238 23 220 19899 18017 31 234 29 232 26 239 18 230 21 217 18017 16204 29 228 27 229 21 248 15 231 18 214 16204 14549 23 237 23 240 20 252 14 240 14 217 14549 13069 22 249 24 251 20 254 14 247 11 230 13069 11741 22 253 27 257 19 258 14 252 12 248 11741 10548 20 253 26 258 18 262 16 261 13 261 10548 9476 16 252 20 255 17 265 17 265 15 268 9476 8515 12 249 15 251 16 267 18 267 16 273 8515 7656 8 239 12 250 14 270 19 269 17 277 7656 6890 5 220 9 250 12 273 19 270 19 280 6890 6195 4 210 6 251 10 276 19 270 20 281 6195 5574 2 226 3 250 9 281 19 271 21 281 5574 5051 3 260 1 229 7 286 19 271 21 282 5051 4645 3 272 1 090 6 290 18 271 19 283 4645 4365 3 274 2 085 5 293 17 272 16 285 4365 4194 2*284 2*083 5*297 16*273 13*287 4194 4095 1*295 2*085 4*300 12*274 7*292 4095 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography