DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/10 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1554z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.7 - - 70.8 - - 69.4 - - 64.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 22 - - 2 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 5670 - - 4399 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4077 - - 6456 - - 4077 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4095 - - 9970 - - 8699 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5670 - - 4017 - - 4254 - - 5925 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 35 - - 253 - - 182 - - 31 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 22 - - 21 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 241 - - 249 - - 250 - - 290 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 10 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - 14 - - 15 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7785 - - -193 - - -723 - - -5028 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11880 - - 10163 - - 9423 - - 9123 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11225 - - -3730 - - -3976 - - -7744 ODpotential blCL - - - 15320 - - 13700 - - 12675 - - 11838 blCL maxRH - - - 52 - - 56 - - 63 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 160 - - 250 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.7 - - 70.8 - - 69.4 - - 64.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.5 - - 39.9 - - 41.8 - - 38.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.3 - - 70.6 - - 69.3 - - 64.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.3 - - 38.8 - - 40.7 - - 37.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 22 - - 2 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 5670 - - 4399 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97907 9 264 7 243 8 251 11 277 97907 90631 8 207 4 253 5 285 6 266 90631 84973 6 217 4 263 6 346 3 346 84973 80264 4 218 5 295 3 286 3 325 80264 76214 3 342 3 015 5 322 6 337 76214 72662 6 308 5 295 7 321 0 314 72662 69454 11 330 16 328 21 333 12 017 69454 66499 15 327 19 316 21 313 19 339 66499 63765 16 000 9 336 6 305 16 307 63765 61112 19 008 8 013 7 346 11 319 61112 58344 25 315 23 312 22 300 14 288 58344 55470 27 287 28 265 24 276 17 277 55470 52704 25 288 22 274 25 281 23 293 52704 50199 29 295 24 279 31 282 38 283 50199 47948 39 299 36 296 40 288 45 282 47948 45899 54 297 55 296 55 290 53 285 45899 44012 63 290 65 290 64 284 61 282 44012 42256 63 287 67 285 67 278 64 276 42256 40610 61 288 68 283 67 277 63 273 40610 39060 62 287 69 282 66 277 61 272 39060 37602 64 284 69 280 65 276 59 271 37602 36209 65 278 66 275 63 273 58 270 36209 34818 63 270 64 267 59 266 56 267 34818 33403 64 260 64 253 57 256 54 258 33403 31969 65 255 64 247 58 248 56 248 31969 30503 65 248 63 245 60 243 55 241 30503 28994 66 243 63 242 60 241 52 239 28994 27444 63 244 63 240 59 240 52 238 27444 25851 58 245 61 239 57 240 51 239 25851 24219 52 244 56 239 53 239 48 240 24219 22552 47 243 49 238 45 239 40 241 22552 20842 41 241 43 238 36 238 32 236 20842 19079 36 238 39 240 29 236 27 229 19079 17290 31 237 37 242 26 238 24 230 17290 15566 28 239 35 242 27 241 23 234 15566 13995 27 243 32 241 28 241 25 238 13995 12592 27 248 27 239 27 239 27 241 12592 11335 28 251 24 239 24 239 31 242 11335 10208 29 252 24*242 22 242 32 243 10208 9195 29 251 24*244 22*244 31 244 9195 8287 27 249 24 246 23*246 27 246 8287 7477 24 247 24 247 22 248 22 253 7477 6751 22 246 23 249 22 249 18 260 6751 6092 19 246 23 250 22 251 16 268 6092 5502 18 245 23 251 22 252 14 275 5502 5004 16 245 22 253 21 253 13 281 5004 4618 15 244 21 253 20 253 12 285 4618 4351 13 243 20 253 19 253 12 288 4351 4187 12*243 18 253 18 254 11*289 4187 4093 11*241 14 253 13 253 10*290 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography