DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/28 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.4 - - 52.4 - - 57.4 - - 64.6 - - 59.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 7 - - 12 - - -4 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4094 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 816 - - 1415 - - 1841 - - 7952 - - 2358 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 20 - - 24 - - 16 - - 11 W* B/S 1 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 347 - - 354 - - 336 - - 273 - - 289 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - -1 - - -1 - - -6 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2349 - - -1992 - - -2890 - - -3672 - - -1815 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6443 - - 6086 - - 6985 - - 7767 - - 5910 sfcLCL ODpotential -8750 - - -7462 - - -6798 - - -5725 - - -4588 ODpotential blCL 12844 - - 11556 - - 10893 - - 9820 - - 8683 blCL maxRH 85 - - 94 - - 100 - - 83 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 60 - - 350 - - 290 CAPE Temp@2m 50.4 - - 52.4 - - 57.4 - - 64.6 - - 59.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.6 - - 40.1 - - 41.1 - - 44.7 - - 47.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.6 - - 54.6 - - 58.8 - - 65.6 - - 60.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.5 - - 38.9 - - 39.9 - - 43.6 - - 46.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 7 - - 12 - - -4 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 41 - - 76 - - 102 - - 33 - - 50 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96622 11 121 3 087 7 102 2 137 1 311 96622 89404 8 093 6 118 2 241 5 331 5 016 89404 83817 3 013 6 026 9 336 11 359 6 322 83817 79232 13 007 11 355 17 305 23 349 14 338 79232 75323 21 338 16 354 13 319 19 330 14 335 75323 71861 29 327 27 337 23 336 22 325 20 327 71861 68720 34 319 31 320 30 322 29 320 26 318 68720 65837 42 306 37 308 37 310 38 310 38 302 65837 63150 49 297 45 302 43 307 41 298 44 299 63150 60514 49 286 47 293 50 293 46 297 50 292 60514 57750 47 290 54 283 49 288 55 292 52 289 57750 54882 59 289 53 284 55 286 62 287 55 292 54882 52139 74 283 64 284 65 283 70 285 62 291 52139 49663 71 273 68 283 73 281 74 285 68 288 49663 47439 65 270 73 274 75 277 79 286 73 285 47439 45417 78 274 69 271 76 280 81 283 78 282 45417 43562 86 266 72 272 80 280 82 281 76 280 43562 41851 84 257 81 271 82 277 83 278 75 278 41851 40274 73 255 86 265 84 271 83 273 81 277 40274 38826 77 255 83 259 82 266 83 272 89 283 38826 37484 76 248 78 259 78 262 89 275 97 289 37484 36197 68 245 77 262 75 263 94 270 92 287 36197 34896 59 244 79 266 74 265 86 270 85 281 34896 33555 54 248 82 268 76 265 84 270 83 278 33555 32175 50 254 83 266 78 265 80 270 85 277 32175 30746 44 252 84 264 79 264 77 269 84 276 30746 29256 41 249 83 265 81 266 74 269 78 276 29256 27709 43 248 71 264 82 269 69 273 69 274 27709 26103 46 249 52 253 79 273 65 277 64 271 26103 24446 48 251 47 242 66 272 58 273 58 270 24446 22746 46 252 43 235 50 263 53 262 52 268 22746 21001 42 249 42 237 42 250 51 258 50 269 21001 19208 37 249 40 242 39 243 45 259 46 270 19208 17397 31 250 36 242 37 242 36 252 34 266 17397 15658 24 254 27 242 36 243 31 246 24 256 15658 14075 17 270 20 251 31 243 27 246 22 257 14075 12661 13 264 18 258 25 246 23 250 22 259 12661 11394 14 254 15 262 21 250 19 252 20 261 11394 10256 14 245 12 259 19 253 16 255 17 264 10256 9232 12 232 10 253 15 251 15 257 14 265 9232 8315 9 213 9 241 10 244 15 260 13 267 8315 7495 8 193 8 223 7 240 15 262 13 267 7495 6762 7 178 7 204 4 240 15 264 14 268 6762 6098 6 170 4 186 2 251 15 265 15 267 6098 5505 4 167 2 150 1 347 15 266 16 268 5505 5005 3 159 1 076 2 004 14 267 16 271 5005 4618 1 138 1 042 2 006 13 268 14 275 4618 4350 1 018 1 023 2 359 12 269 12 279 4350 4187 2*351 1*003 2*351 11*271 9*284 4187 4094 2*347 1*354 2*336 8*273 6*289 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography