DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/17 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.3 - - 81.6 - - 83.7 - - 80.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 21 - - 30 - - 17 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4079 - - 4078 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4261 - - 7891 - - 12376 - - 4672 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 32 - - 35 - - 28 - - 22 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 334 - - 097 - - 060 - - 298 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 9 - - 3 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7182 - - -7009 - - -5676 - - -5279 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11279 - - 11106 - - 9772 - - 9376 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10747 - - -11146 - - -8054 - - -8217 ODpotential blCL - - - 14843 - - 15242 - - 12150 - - 12313 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 92 - - 80 - - 56 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 110 - - 1280 - - 590 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.3 - - 81.6 - - 83.7 - - 80.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.3 - - 47.2 - - 55.0 - - 53.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.0 - - 81.4 - - 84.9 - - 81.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.1 - - 46.0 - - 53.6 - - 52.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 21 - - 30 - - 17 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 30 - - 69 - - 21 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99415 31 110 29 096 29 105 26 103 99415 91911 27 112 23 111 22 099 23 085 91911 86119 24 105 23 109 18 106 19 082 86119 81327 19 091 17 097 19 101 19 096 81327 77199 17 095 15 083 17 090 19 084 77199 73557 15 098 12 086 15 078 17 075 73557 70272 14 076 9 119 9 060 12 067 70272 67255 8 054 8 119 6 079 7 049 67255 64460 3 067 3 185 7 028 7 038 64460 61764 2 057 5 226 8 303 6 304 61764 58960 6 210 12 258 6 261 9 194 58960 56042 13 237 19 240 14 251 20 246 56042 53254 24 240 27 227 32 241 28 233 53254 50760 41 242 40 235 43 244 29 256 50760 48543 56 235 56 240 58 238 53 253 48543 46553 61 233 63 229 48 239 57 244 46553 44742 55 241 62 245 56 252 58 251 44742 43073 69 252 76 249 68 249 71 252 43073 41520 71 249 78 244 73 242 74 249 41520 40059 72 245 74 240 75 239 72 246 40059 38678 75 244 74 238 75 244 72 246 38678 37345 68 244 75 239 69 245 72 247 37345 35997 61 242 68 242 62 243 71 249 35997 34607 60 236 63 240 57 241 68 250 34607 33180 62 232 59 239 57 241 64 250 33180 31704 62 229 54 240 56 244 57 250 31704 30167 60 231 48 240 54 250 54 246 30167 28571 51 233 50 234 48 253 49 246 28571 26916 48 231 56 227 42 241 42 244 26916 25206 46 226 52 226 48 238 43 242 25206 23453 39 220 38 230 47 237 41 244 23453 21655 32 216 30 231 37 236 34 240 21655 19804 25 217 27 224 31 231 31 233 19804 17927 23 221 21 217 23 226 32 221 17927 16121 24 219 21 224 16 236 25 203 16121 14476 22 210 23 229 15 246 12 185 14476 13004 16 192 18 228 14 258 5 154 13004 11684 13 181 12 223 13 263 3 123 11684 10498 8 184 11 218 12 267 0 079 10498 9432 4 209 8 208 10 270 4 301 9432 8478 4 246 7 199 8 271 8 296 8478 7625 3 281 6 193 5 273 12 295 7625 6864 3 314 5 183 3 275 16 294 6864 6175 3 322 4 171 1 282 20 292 6175 5560 4 321 3 153 1 067 21 291 5560 5042 3 325 3 134 2 072 21 291 5042 4640 3 329 2 116 3 071 20 291 4640 4362 2 333 2 105 3 068 17 292 4362 4192 2*333 2*098 3*066 14*294 4192 4095 2*334 2*096 3*060 8*298 4095 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography