DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/22 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.1 - - 45.3 - - 49.8 - - 51.4 - - 47.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 5 - - 18 - - 2 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 85 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4093 - - 4093 - - 4385 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 729 - - 2181 - - 2984 - - 2969 - - 1877 Hgt.Variab. W* 13 - - 19 - - 50 - - 16 - - 10 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 091 - - 109 - - 248 - - 269 - - 037 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -2 - - -5 - - -4 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4117 - - -3751 - - -4353 - - -4159 - - -4330 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8211 - - 7844 - - 8739 - - 8253 - - 8424 sfcLCL ODpotential -12234 - - -10656 - - -11012 - - -9315 - - -11306 ODpotential blCL 16327 - - 14749 - - 15397 - - 13409 - - 15400 blCL maxRH 59 - - 54 - - 84 - - 81 - - 78 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.1 - - 45.3 - - 49.8 - - 51.4 - - 47.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.0 - - 25.7 - - 26.1 - - 29.8 - - 25.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.5 - - 45.5 - - 49.9 - - 51.6 - - 50.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.8 - - 24.5 - - 25.0 - - 28.7 - - 24.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 5 - - 18 - - 2 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 85 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 37 - - 23 - - 10 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96855 24 099 21 107 14 109 18 074 17 131 96855 89736 21 090 23 111 15 113 12 096 16 087 89736 84184 13 107 19 116 10 112 10 116 11 061 84184 79535 10 104 13 112 8 122 4 155 7 044 79535 75519 3 145 6 166 3 121 2 091 4 021 75519 71955 3 282 6 210 9 300 9 292 10 343 71955 68727 7 264 11 243 13 252 9 278 8 289 68727 65754 5 193 8 269 10 287 20 292 19 281 65754 62985 25 255 25 254 29 254 32 265 29 259 62985 60315 25 233 26 241 29 236 29 249 23 255 60315 57542 20 237 27 250 24 252 19 276 19 272 57542 54644 40 264 42 268 42 275 41 277 37 276 54644 51861 60 255 59 261 63 266 58 269 51 275 51861 49369 60 255 65 260 72 264 69 271 65 279 49369 47160 65 265 68 265 77 265 77 270 82 275 47160 45187 81 266 78 265 81 263 79 267 83 270 45187 43408 90 259 86 258 83 260 76 267 76 276 43408 41785 88 255 86 254 85 257 71 267 85 287 41785 40279 88 258 82 258 84 256 67 267 92 289 40279 38864 88 257 82 262 81 256 65 266 88 287 38864 37525 89 256 83 261 79 256 65 264 82 284 37525 36232 90 259 83 261 78 257 67 264 73 279 36232 34925 87 260 80 261 76 258 72 263 70 272 34925 33574 81 260 76 260 76 260 75 263 72 267 33574 32184 76 262 72 258 73 259 76 263 74 264 32184 30747 72 263 67 257 68 255 72 262 74 263 30747 29254 69 264 64 257 64 252 67 258 72 263 29254 27709 68 264 62 256 61 251 62 255 69 265 27709 26111 66 262 61 255 59 253 59 253 65 265 26111 24461 59 257 59 253 57 255 57 254 62 262 24461 22762 53 251 55 251 54 255 54 253 60 258 22762 21010 48 249 50 250 50 253 50 253 56 256 21010 19198 45 247 46 249 47 250 45 251 51 254 19198 17362 44 245 43 247 43 247 41 250 45 251 17362 15598 43 243 41 243 40 244 38 247 38 246 15598 13997 43 243 40 239 38 241 35 242 33 239 13997 12572 42 241 39 237 36 237 33 236 30 232 12572 11300 42 236 37 234 33 233 31 231 28 226 11300 10161 42 230 36 231 32 229 31 228 26 221 10161 9142 40 224 35 228 31 227 31 227 26 219 9142 8231 36 220 32 225 29 225 30 226 25 219 8231 7422 30 217 27 223 25 224 27 226 24 221 7422 6700 23 213 20 222 20 224 24 228 22 226 6700 6049 17 209 13 222 15 224 19 231 18 234 6049 5469 13 202 8 218 11 223 15 234 15 246 5469 4981 10 192 4 207 8 227 11 238 11 259 4981 4604 7 175 2 157 6*235 8 244 7 273 4604 4343 6 150 2 114 5*245 6 251 4 305 4343 4184 5*119 2*111 4 249 5*258 3*012 4184 4093 4*091 2*109 3 251 4*269 4*037 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography