DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/20 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.3 - - 50.7 - - 54.0 - - 52.4 - - 51.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 1 - - 6 - - -1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3333 - - 3453 - - 5281 - - 4135 - - 2853 Hgt.Variab. W* 13 - - 14 - - 21 - - 6 - - 11 W* B/S 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 2 - - 6 - - 2 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 304 - - 204 - - 271 - - 267 - - 103 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -16 - - -5 - - -2 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1236 - - -1279 - - -1859 - - -1439 - - -945 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5331 - - 5373 - - 5954 - - 5534 - - 5040 sfcLCL ODpotential -3053 - - -3044 - - -3085 - - -3130 - - -3047 ODpotential blCL 7147 - - 7138 - - 7179 - - 7224 - - 7141 blCL maxRH 91 - - 88 - - 97 - - 98 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.3 - - 50.7 - - 54.0 - - 52.4 - - 51.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.2 - - 41.3 - - 42.0 - - 42.2 - - 43.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.7 - - 50.8 - - 54.0 - - 53.1 - - 51.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.4 - - 40.1 - - 40.8 - - 41.1 - - 42.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 1 - - 6 - - -1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 65 - - 52 - - 88 - - 93 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96310 8 341 17 308 19 321 11 334 22 284 96310 89262 9 053 12 336 14 342 12 003 13 321 89262 83757 2 067 6 356 15 328 14 351 15 333 83757 79169 7 348 6 028 11 278 8 308 16 343 79169 75214 8 333 20 342 15 341 19 342 24 348 75214 71734 19 320 25 291 28 299 35 313 26 321 71734 68590 12 286 17 289 31 259 32 281 25 302 68590 65686 16 320 25 322 24 315 27 290 29 288 65686 62979 46 308 46 302 40 307 35 303 34 294 62979 60345 68 294 57 291 50 297 45 302 45 296 60345 57602 70 281 65 285 58 291 58 290 54 287 57602 54734 70 290 70 286 65 285 63 282 60 282 54734 51967 83 297 77 292 68 291 69 289 72 284 51967 49470 96 294 87 296 80 296 78 294 75 284 49470 47236 103 289 95 293 94 294 89 295 76 289 47236 45215 107 280 105 287 103 288 100 293 90 295 45215 43370 97 275 111 278 108 278 107 287 108 292 43370 41678 90 284 104 269 105 271 108 279 108 279 41678 40127 106 293 92 278 97 272 98 277 100 274 40127 38690 116 293 105 299 92 282 88 289 89 280 38690 37344 113 295 118 301 97 296 91 295 85 283 37344 36051 105 295 107 296 105 300 88 285 83 277 36051 34745 97 291 107 292 104 296 85 282 82 275 34745 33401 93 286 107 292 103 291 90 282 80 276 33401 32022 92 281 98 287 108 289 92 285 79 278 32022 30595 92 276 87 279 101 288 90 286 78 279 30595 29111 94 274 92 275 90 283 87 283 77 280 29111 27571 92 274 90 277 85 276 85 279 76 279 27571 25977 83 269 83 276 82 273 82 276 75 279 25977 24331 78 266 81 273 78 272 78 272 69 282 24331 22641 76 274 84 275 75 270 78 269 60 284 22641 20902 73 284 85 284 71 273 79 269 56 278 20902 19106 62 290 75 293 66 284 69 272 57 269 19106 17282 53 291 55 292 60 296 51 283 60 262 17282 15530 45 292 42 285 49 299 45 291 50 258 15530 13941 38 293 38 285 39 293 35 288 31 261 13941 12530 34 295 37 287 37 288 26 287 23 264 12530 11272 33 294 37 287 38 284 24 287 18 259 11272 10144 35 289 37 285 38 279 24 283 19 250 10144 9133 37 280 37 279 34 276 26 275 21 242 9133 8229 39 273 36 271 29 273 27 268 23 240 8229 7423 37 271 32 265 25 272 26 265 23 238 7423 6704 33 271 27 263 22 273 24 265 20 236 6704 6054 26 272 21 263 20 273 21 265 15 232 6054 5473 20 275 15 261 18 273 17 266 11 228 5473 4985 14 278 10 259 16 273 14 267 8 220 4985 4606 9 282 7 253 14 273 11 267 5 201 4606 4344 5 286 4 243 13 273 8 267 3 151 4344 4184 4*288 3*229 11*273 6*268 5*113 4184 4093 1*304 2*204 6*271 2*267 5*103 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography