DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/11 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.5 - - 88.3 - - 87.2 - - 82.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 29 - - 39 - - -9 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4079 - - 4079 - - 4079 - - 4078 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4270 - - 12050 - - 11440 - - 4700 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 35 - - 38 - - 26 - - 20 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 029 - - 347 - - 290 - - 304 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 1 - - -6 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7299 - - -7449 - - -5830 - - -5525 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11396 - - 11546 - - 9926 - - 9622 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10452 - - -9413 - - -8319 - - -8717 ODpotential blCL - - - 14548 - - 13509 - - 12415 - - 12813 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 78 - - 77 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 280 - - 1200 - - 2190 - - 1220 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.5 - - 88.3 - - 87.2 - - 82.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.8 - - 51.7 - - 57.6 - - 54.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.3 - - 88.1 - - 88.0 - - 83.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.6 - - 50.5 - - 56.3 - - 53.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 29 - - 39 - - -9 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 10 - - 12 - - 8 - - 72 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 9 - - 11 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99422 24 129 25 107 18 090 22 084 99422 91945 26 113 20 090 23 111 15 085 91945 86165 21 095 16 101 18 094 16 100 86165 81357 18 083 17 104 14 085 20 095 81357 77210 15 091 13 094 14 093 17 084 77210 73551 17 105 11 083 15 084 12 080 73551 70245 12 086 11 113 8 070 12 074 70245 67211 5 086 9 113 4 077 6 068 67211 64408 7 039 1 088 1 119 2 046 64408 61703 4 309 3 357 2 166 4 023 61703 58892 6 224 8 259 1 279 3 358 58892 56004 7 169 15 238 10 269 8 278 56004 53270 8 203 17 223 17 245 15 251 53270 50812 16 238 18 226 24 237 23 241 50812 48611 22 243 25 227 28 232 30 232 48611 46613 26 243 29 227 30 226 34 224 46613 44776 33 240 32 232 34 227 36 223 44776 43068 43 233 42 230 41 227 38 224 43068 41471 50 227 52 225 47 223 41 226 41471 39975 53 223 57 219 51 219 44 224 39975 38573 55 220 56 216 49 215 49 219 38573 37232 56 217 53 216 45 215 45 218 37232 35882 54 216 49 219 39 220 37 223 35882 34495 47 216 41 221 37 220 33 229 34495 33074 40 218 34 222 33 216 31 232 33074 31607 33 220 29 218 32 215 29 232 31607 30082 27 220 27 215 32 215 26 235 30082 28501 27 216 26 216 31 217 25 236 28501 26867 28 215 26 218 28 223 25 237 26867 25186 26 214 25 222 26 234 25 241 25186 23457 22 215 22 226 23 239 23 242 23457 21675 20 222 19 230 20 230 23 228 21675 19832 21 233 19 237 20 215 22 211 19832 17960 24 236 22 235 18 202 17 191 17960 16155 23 232 20 231 16 201 14 193 16155 14506 21 229 19 234 14 207 11 200 14506 13030 20 229 18 239 13 218 8 214 13030 11706 18 234 16 248 12 234 6 237 11706 10517 18 241 15 254 13 252 8 268 10517 9448 17 246 13 260 14 261 11 284 9448 8490 14 248 12 265 16 271 15 289 8490 7637 11 250 10 270 18 276 18 291 7637 6874 8 254 8 278 18 278 19 292 6874 6183 4 269 7 290 18 279 21 291 6183 5566 2 293 5 304 18 281 21 290 5566 5045 1 336 5 321 18 282 20 290 5045 4642 2 015 4 337 18 284 19 291 4642 4363 2 025 4 347 17 285 16 293 4363 4193 2*030 3*349 15*287 12*296 4193 4095 2*029 3*347 12*290 6*304 4095 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography