DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/05 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.9 - - 50.3 - - 54.6 - - 56.7 - - 54.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 28 - - 32 - - 25 - - 2 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4093 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1995 - - 2682 - - 3549 - - 5338 - - 4170 Hgt.Variab. W* 34 - - 36 - - 32 - - 21 - - 21 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 5 - - 2 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 323 - - 333 - - 003 - - 349 - - 100 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1866 - - -2900 - - -4429 - - -5697 - - -4663 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5961 - - 6993 - - 8523 - - 9792 - - 8757 sfcLCL ODpotential -6105 - - -7392 - - -8807 - - -10139 - - -9994 ODpotential blCL 10199 - - 11485 - - 12901 - - 14233 - - 14088 blCL maxRH 60 - - 56 - - 60 - - 84 - - 51 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.9 - - 50.3 - - 54.6 - - 56.7 - - 54.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.1 - - 34.2 - - 31.8 - - 28.3 - - 30.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.9 - - 49.6 - - 54.2 - - 56.6 - - 54.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.2 - - 33.0 - - 30.6 - - 27.1 - - 29.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 28 - - 32 - - 25 - - 2 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 35 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96298 37 293 33 290 44 288 38 305 33 317 96298 89416 19 300 21 300 21 310 21 309 30 308 89416 84009 14 323 14 308 13 332 10 307 22 299 84009 79445 14 326 8 312 5 304 8 308 14 313 79445 75491 16 324 12 336 3 323 14 285 17 323 75491 72006 15 305 18 324 9 328 10 277 14 317 72006 68852 16 305 15 317 16 311 12 302 16 327 68852 65938 18 309 13 313 17 297 18 299 21 319 65938 63226 23 304 16 318 13 306 17 302 20 311 63226 60585 23 292 20 303 14 300 18 299 17 307 60585 57804 21 286 17 278 19 283 20 300 15 304 57804 54899 26 296 22 278 27 289 26 303 21 316 54899 52142 37 286 31 278 31 291 30 303 22 320 52142 49678 41 278 34 280 29 297 28 304 25 345 49678 47464 43 278 33 285 28 298 25 321 35 338 47464 45451 36 280 33 285 29 304 35 322 37 328 45451 43606 31 284 30 284 35 307 34 318 33 326 43606 41897 28 286 32 287 35 303 29 322 28 332 41897 40307 29 296 35 286 32 304 28 338 33 355 40307 38832 35 298 34 284 31 311 37 351 50 004 38832 37463 35 293 29 288 37 317 51 354 61 005 37463 36160 33 288 30 298 40 309 60 355 67 010 36160 34853 34 291 36 304 37 301 61 358 76 013 34853 33510 39 294 38 317 29 315 57 360 80 014 33510 32132 43 294 40 330 42 347 54 001 79 014 32132 30705 45 288 41 341 48 350 48 358 74 015 30705 29219 46 281 48 349 49 347 42 354 67 013 29219 27677 44 279 53 352 49 344 41 347 60 008 27677 26087 38 284 55 357 46 343 41 341 45 358 26087 24451 32 294 57 359 43 343 38 339 36 345 24451 22766 30 305 55 357 41 344 36 337 31 341 22766 21025 32 316 48 357 38 344 32 335 27 344 21025 19223 33 321 41 358 34 347 28 337 25 347 19223 17391 30 320 32 352 32 353 27 341 23 347 17391 15629 24 322 26 340 28 350 27 347 21 348 15629 14025 21 329 23 335 26 342 28 352 19 353 14025 12594 20 339 22 341 26 339 28 357 19 360 12594 11317 16 344 22 351 25 341 26 003 19 005 11317 10176 12 342 20 358 22 348 21 008 17 011 10176 9157 10 334 14 358 17 358 15 009 13 019 9157 8247 8 324 9 352 11 006 12 005 10 019 8247 7438 7 321 6 345 7 006 10 003 8 026 7438 6716 7 322 4 346 4 346 8 359 7 038 6716 6063 7 326 4 353 4 346 8 355 5 053 6063 5480 8 326 5 340 4 347 7 352 5 071 5480 4988 9 322 6 328 3 350 6 351 5 083 4988 4608 9 321 6 328 3 359 6 351 4 089 4608 4345 8 321 6 330 2 001 5 350 4 093 4345 4185 7*323 5*331 2*003 5*350 3*100 4185 4093 6*323 5*333 2*003 5*349 3*100 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography