DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/05 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 39.8 - - 45.8 - - 49.4 - - 46.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 50 - - 49 - - 4 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4075 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4093 - - 4093 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4731 - - 6172 - - 9347 - - 8016 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 40 - - 39 - - 22 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 5 - - 10 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 355 - - 344 - - 001 - - 358 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2766 - - -4603 - - -4651 - - -3465 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6859 - - 8697 - - 8746 - - 7559 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3842 - - -6196 - - -5589 - - -4775 ODpotential blCL - - - 7935 - - 10289 - - 9683 - - 8869 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 62 - - 83 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 60 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 39.8 - - 45.8 - - 49.4 - - 46.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.3 - - 22.2 - - 25.6 - - 28.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 39.1 - - 45.2 - - 49.4 - - 46.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.3 - - 21.2 - - 24.7 - - 26.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 50 - - 49 - - 4 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 28 - - 0 - - 31 - - 26 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96113 24 290 22 297 26 286 20 308 96113 89073 22 303 11 287 10 334 16 333 89073 83673 18 314 18 300 14 341 15 340 83673 79168 8 323 12 251 15 290 15 343 79168 75250 10 331 13 263 29 290 25 299 75250 71793 17 283 14 271 20 273 18 296 71793 68638 15 291 14 275 16 280 10 312 68638 65680 26 289 28 280 29 291 23 313 65680 62910 32 284 37 283 35 291 35 302 62910 60231 33 280 38 277 31 283 36 288 60231 57424 29 274 29 269 23 278 28 281 57424 54477 25 283 24 278 23 292 21 283 54477 51633 33 296 34 291 32 302 23 293 51633 49065 41 295 42 292 39 303 26 305 49065 46771 40 296 42 288 40 305 31 319 46771 44704 36 296 34 298 37 308 36 333 44704 42831 31 303 31 312 33 320 41 336 42831 41119 34 330 32 331 36 336 44 345 41119 39545 43 340 38 341 39 340 50 351 39545 38091 48 342 43 341 41 351 52 358 38091 36738 49 350 44 348 50 004 58 007 36738 35447 54 001 50 000 59 007 63 012 35447 34153 63 003 58 006 62 006 65 014 34153 32827 68 360 65 005 61 004 63 014 32827 31473 69 000 67 002 60 002 59 015 31473 30075 71 006 67 001 58 002 57 017 30075 28622 77 011 66 359 57 002 56 017 28622 27114 78 011 64 358 53 002 54 015 27114 25553 75 007 63 358 51 001 51 010 25553 23942 75 005 63 359 50 359 48 004 23942 22287 71 006 60 001 50 357 47 360 22287 20581 58 005 56 003 47 357 46 358 20581 18820 50 005 50 003 44 359 43 358 18820 17034 47 007 44 003 40 001 40 000 17034 15319 39 010 39 005 34 002 38 005 15319 13764 33 011 35 005 25 001 31 007 13764 12386 27 014 29 004 18 360 19 004 12386 11157 21 017 22 006 18 001 17 008 11157 10055 17 020 15 009 18 002 19 013 10055 9064 16 024 13 005 17 003 20 015 9064 8175 15 023 12 003 17 003 22 016 8175 7383 12 019 11 001 17 004 22 017 7383 6673 10 010 10 359 16 004 23 017 6673 6031 9 003 9 356 16 004 23 018 6031 5457 9 000 8 352 15 004 22 017 5457 4974 8 357 7 348 14 004 21 016 4974 4600 8 356 6 346 13 004 18 012 4600 4341 8 356 6 345 13 003 15 007 4341 4183 7*356 6*344 12*003 12*003 4183 4093 7*355 5*344 10*001 8*358 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography