DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/17 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.6 - - 47.5 - - 49.8 - - 48.5 - - 42.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 32 - - 36 - - 25 - - 17 - - 58 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1395 - - 16 - - 849 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4093 - - 5695 - - 4094 - - 5149 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2252 - - 2795 - - 3005 - - 3952 - - 1564 Hgt.Variab. W* 36 - - 37 - - 146 - - 29 - - 159 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 3 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 8 - - 10 - - 4 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 141 - - 135 - - 117 - - 073 - - 353 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 1 - - 8 - - 3 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1931 - - -1264 - - 384 - - -328 - - 1057 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6025 - - 5357 - - 5312 - - 4422 - - 4092 sfcLCL ODpotential -4708 - - -3375 - - -1131 - - -1474 - - 203 ODpotential blCL 8802 - - 7468 - - 6826 - - 5568 - - 4946 blCL maxRH 100 - - 98 - - 99 - - 100 - - 101 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 80 - - 100 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.6 - - 47.5 - - 49.8 - - 48.5 - - 42.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.2 - - 38.0 - - 40.5 - - 43.0 - - 39.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.4 - - 46.8 - - 49.4 - - 48.0 - - 42.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.0 - - 36.8 - - 39.4 - - 42.4 - - 38.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 32 - - 36 - - 25 - - 17 - - 58 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1395 - - 16 - - 849 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 93 - - 95 - - 102 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96565 11 040 6 005 12 010 17 054 11 078 96565 89506 12 067 8 065 7 052 7 063 13 037 89506 84013 11 079 15 087 7 078 7 012 6 032 84013 79423 15 082 18 089 9 084 6 000 11 060 79423 75459 12 056 12 085 9 073 9 074 15 048 75459 71932 6 037 8 055 4 057 13 067 11 047 71932 68720 5 009 10 056 3 093 10 026 8 020 68720 65756 3 313 6 359 5 024 7 014 8 355 65756 62992 4 040 3 054 3 339 4 354 6 013 62992 60297 8 291 7 276 7 343 0 019 6 004 60297 57469 7 297 9 273 8 306 2 285 6 306 57469 54523 11 261 15 279 8 304 7 302 6 308 54523 51709 12 251 14 262 9 263 12 303 11 354 51709 49174 11 279 8 244 7 241 10 295 12 353 49174 46903 15 267 4 281 2 348 3 349 10 001 46903 44846 21 255 14 256 9 281 9 009 10 344 44846 42957 25 246 19 236 15 223 7 261 6 283 42957 41212 20 231 14 225 12 209 8 187 5 174 41212 39594 19 222 15 225 10 208 4 166 10 115 39594 38088 26 224 28 222 20 210 6 197 6 086 38088 36682 38 221 42 210 36 212 23 196 4 174 36682 35344 46 219 49 205 44 208 32 188 17 178 35344 34020 53 212 51 199 48 203 42 193 33 185 34020 32683 56 209 51 196 50 194 48 190 45 187 32683 31327 54 205 51 198 50 191 47 191 49 178 31327 29932 49 206 51 201 49 192 47 197 48 173 29932 28486 47 212 52 202 48 191 47 193 49 180 28486 26993 47 215 54 202 50 189 49 186 45 186 26993 25458 48 213 55 202 53 193 50 189 35 190 25458 23875 49 211 50 206 48 198 47 190 34 188 23875 22242 47 210 41 214 39 200 40 186 37 182 22242 20553 39 210 33 214 35 197 34 184 38 176 20553 18804 32 211 31 202 35 186 26 176 37 168 18804 17028 31 213 35 198 37 177 23 174 35 158 17028 15319 32 214 36 195 35 177 21 177 34 150 15319 13764 32 213 34 192 33 180 19 172 34 148 13764 12377 30 212 31 190 30 178 19 167 32 145 12377 11137 28 211 26 185 27 174 21 172 26 144 11137 10026 27 210 21 172 24 166 21 161 19 138 10026 9031 25 209 20 157 22 154 21 147 15 123 9031 8142 24 209 21 147 22 147 20 137 13 100 8142 7351 22 206 21 143 20 142 19 127 13 079 7351 6647 20 201 16 147 18 137 16 119 12 062 6647 6010 17 191 12 151 15*129 15 115 10 041 6010 5443 15 175 15 152 12*122 12 110 9*017 5443 4965 14 161 12 143 10 117 10 103 9*000 4965 4595 14 152 11 138 9 116 7 092 9 353 4595 4339 12 145 10 136 9 115 5 081 9 350 4339 4182 11*143 9*136 8 115 5*079 8 349 4182 4092 9*141 8*135 8 115 4*073 8 349 4092 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography