DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/06 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.9 - - 49.5 - - 53.4 - - 53.3 - - 51.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 4 - - 9 - - -1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1565 - - 2249 - - 3506 - - 3407 - - 1391 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 - - 19 - - 23 - - 8 - - 9 W* B/S 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 028 - - 241 - - 304 - - 035 - - 068 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -5 - - 0 - - 3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2564 - - -2084 - - -3331 - - -2601 - - -3024 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6659 - - 6178 - - 7425 - - 6695 - - 7118 sfcLCL ODpotential -8294 - - -5791 - - -6813 - - -5089 - - -6752 ODpotential blCL 12388 - - 9885 - - 10907 - - 9183 - - 10846 blCL maxRH 72 - - 76 - - 70 - - 83 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.9 - - 49.5 - - 53.4 - - 53.3 - - 51.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.2 - - 36.9 - - 35.3 - - 38.4 - - 35.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.3 - - 49.3 - - 53.4 - - 54.4 - - 52.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.6 - - 36.1 - - 34.2 - - 37.2 - - 34.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 4 - - 9 - - -1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 33 - - 25 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96363 25 092 31 078 26 087 27 075 30 081 96363 89193 22 072 22 075 22 075 25 071 27 076 89193 83635 20 052 14 069 11 054 21 053 21 056 83635 79010 15 034 15 050 6 008 21 023 13 039 79010 75029 18 026 13 029 9 001 19 349 21 018 75029 71521 18 011 14 355 14 000 17 359 20 338 71521 68352 13 014 22 328 22 001 15 014 18 003 68352 65419 20 310 26 299 37 308 41 321 37 339 65419 62724 25 294 12 290 28 287 43 297 43 311 62724 60155 24 319 20 326 20 310 32 299 41 306 60155 57470 45 310 36 324 33 322 38 308 41 306 57470 54667 62 302 60 305 52 309 55 306 49 306 54667 51973 71 307 68 304 58 303 63 302 57 298 51973 49537 76 306 75 309 66 306 68 305 59 299 49537 47351 78 303 82 305 77 306 74 308 63 305 47351 45364 79 305 84 302 83 304 81 307 73 309 45364 43542 79 311 84 305 85 306 83 307 80 308 43542 41863 81 316 82 309 84 309 83 308 83 308 41863 40307 88 319 84 316 84 312 81 309 85 310 40307 38860 92 319 89 320 87 315 81 313 87 311 38860 37507 91 318 92 320 88 317 81 315 89 311 37507 36211 89 319 91 320 87 318 81 316 86 310 36211 34904 88 321 89 319 86 318 80 317 79 311 34904 33560 86 326 86 318 83 317 78 317 76 313 33560 32180 84 332 80 317 79 316 76 319 74 316 32180 30753 84 332 76 316 76 316 74 320 73 319 30753 29267 83 327 74 318 73 317 73 320 75 321 29267 27726 82 324 73 320 71 317 71 319 76 322 27726 26129 80 321 71 322 70 317 68 320 77 323 26129 24479 76 319 70 323 70 318 65 319 77 323 24479 22778 71 317 70 321 70 320 65 319 74 322 22778 21024 67 316 68 319 66 323 66 320 66 321 21024 19211 63 318 63 319 60 326 63 320 56 321 19211 17376 58 323 58 321 55 326 56 319 49 323 17376 15614 53 327 53 322 50 324 50 320 44 322 15614 14012 48 325 46 323 45 322 45 324 39 319 14012 12587 45 322 38 325 40 321 41 327 35 320 12587 11315 43 320 32 329 32 323 35 329 31 327 11315 10178 40 320 28 333 25 325 28 329 27 335 10178 9161 35 322 24 337 19 327 21 322 22 336 9161 8252 30 323 20 340 16 326 17 309 15 328 8252 7442 25 322 16 340 13 323 15 298 13 316 7442 6719 21 318 12 335 11 315 13 293 12 311 6719 6064 18 312 9 325 8 304 11 293 12 309 6064 5479 15 308 8 309 7 296 8 303 11 308 5479 4987 11 304 7 296 6 300 6 321 9 309 4987 4607 7 304 5 280 5 302 5 336 6 316 4607 4345 3 307 3 255 4 302 4 349 3 348 4345 4185 1*334 2*243 3*303 3*007 2*041 4185 4093 1*028 2*241 3*304 2*035 2*068 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography