DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/01 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1331z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.9 - - 55.4 - - 55.4 - - 50.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 17 - - 22 - - 0 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3806 - - 5355 - - 7396 - - 2829 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 27 - - 30 - - 8 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 7 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 234 - - 267 - - 242 - - 104 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -4 - - -2 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1617 - - -1641 - - -2335 - - -558 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5711 - - 5735 - - 6429 - - 4652 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4145 - - -3344 - - -4031 - - -2744 ODpotential blCL - - - 8239 - - 7438 - - 8125 - - 6838 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 98 - - 100 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 50 - - 240 - - 130 - - 130 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.9 - - 55.4 - - 55.4 - - 50.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.1 - - 44.4 - - 41.4 - - 44.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.9 - - 55.9 - - 56.8 - - 51.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.9 - - 43.2 - - 40.1 - - 43.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 17 - - 22 - - 0 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 69 - - 93 - - 102 - - 87 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96371 3 116 2 224 3 264 1 033 96371 89269 6 075 3 311 8 311 5 347 89269 83805 14 003 9 319 7 307 7 320 83805 79260 11 350 15 326 16 332 17 335 79260 75356 15 325 18 312 24 317 19 328 75356 71910 22 320 17 309 25 309 25 320 71910 68774 25 319 24 304 32 307 30 306 68774 65876 35 306 35 306 39 302 40 293 65876 63173 38 297 46 288 46 295 41 296 63173 60536 41 289 54 279 52 289 45 300 60536 57768 44 288 52 277 53 282 52 292 57768 54888 49 289 47 281 51 281 56 288 54888 52131 56 284 53 284 53 281 58 286 52131 49637 59 278 60 278 58 280 59 277 49637 47393 55 275 58 271 65 272 58 269 47393 45346 54 276 55 266 64 263 57 266 45346 43459 57 273 57 263 63 259 58 266 43459 41710 61 268 62 261 62 260 63 265 41710 40087 68 262 67 256 67 259 66 258 40087 38577 76 258 75 249 71 251 63 249 38577 37171 78 252 86 242 71 244 61 248 37171 35832 75 246 93 238 75 244 66 250 35832 34496 77 246 90 236 83 244 73 248 34496 33134 79 247 87 239 89 242 75 245 33134 31748 77 249 92 241 88 240 75 243 31748 30323 75 249 93 242 82 238 75 244 30323 28850 74 247 87 243 76 240 76 243 28850 27329 73 248 81 240 70 241 69 240 27329 25760 74 250 73 238 63 243 61 239 25760 24143 73 252 61 236 58 244 57 244 24143 22479 71 254 58 240 53 243 53 246 22479 20762 66 250 59 245 48 243 45 245 20762 18988 54 243 53 240 43 243 39 241 18988 17193 36 232 42 231 36 240 33 238 17193 15471 27 218 30 224 30 235 26 236 15471 13906 23 213 22 227 25 233 22 236 13906 12510 17 215 18 230 21 235 22 238 12510 11262 13 224 18 235 20 238 23 239 11262 10141 12 237 19 240 19 242 24 241 10141 9135 14 246 20 244 18 246 24 244 9135 8234 16 250 20 248 16 249 24 248 8234 7430 17 251 19 251 15 250 23 252 7430 6711 16 252 18 255 14 250 21 258 6711 6060 14 252 16 259 13 250 17 264 6060 5478 11 251 14 261 11 249 13 271 5478 4987 9 249 12 263 10 248 10 274 4987 4608 7 246 11 264 8 246 6 275 4608 4345 6 244 10 264 7 244 1 268 4345 4185 4*238 9*264 6*243 1*114 4185 4093 3*234 7*267 4*242 5*104 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography