DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/14 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.5 - - 45.4 - - 48.3 - - 51.6 - - 49.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 42 - - 36 - - 38 - - 9 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 2518 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4093 - - 4093 - - 6818 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3569 - - 4677 - - 2130 - - 5066 - - 3460 Hgt.Variab. W* 38 - - 36 - - 200 - - 25 - - 25 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 6 - - 1 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 168 - - 227 - - 224 - - 240 - - 180 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -2 - - 3 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -467 - - -1861 - - 67 - - -3666 - - -3458 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4560 - - 5954 - - 6751 - - 7761 - - 7552 sfcLCL ODpotential -1468 - - -2819 - - -1816 - - -11420 - - -11856 ODpotential blCL 5561 - - 6912 - - 8634 - - 15514 - - 15950 blCL maxRH 95 - - 84 - - 79 - - 86 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.5 - - 45.4 - - 48.3 - - 51.6 - - 49.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.7 - - 33.5 - - 32.9 - - 31.9 - - 31.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.1 - - 44.7 - - 47.6 - - 51.3 - - 49.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.9 - - 32.4 - - 31.7 - - 30.7 - - 29.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 42 - - 36 - - 38 - - 9 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 2518 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 81 - - 37 - - 16 - - 45 - - 57 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96298 18 296 28 292 18 282 29 270 32 289 96298 89199 13 313 9 290 21 265 20 284 19 309 89199 83742 11 291 8 291 10 288 9 263 15 290 83742 79207 12 301 10 270 9 297 2 342 11 266 79207 75278 7 328 3 178 15 264 12 336 7 303 75278 71791 12 355 4 327 15 267 14 299 7 308 71791 68620 15 312 3 298 6 274 15 268 11 319 68620 65702 23 296 13 295 7 292 18 266 21 280 65702 63018 23 314 17 309 10 300 11 268 19 258 63018 60427 30 320 21 327 17 314 13 303 8 255 60427 57707 38 316 34 328 24 318 24 301 18 288 57707 54887 48 320 49 322 40 305 38 287 32 277 54887 52197 61 315 53 303 42 297 39 293 35 275 52197 49760 56 309 37 303 37 307 39 295 41 276 49760 47562 52 331 43 320 47 310 45 296 41 280 47562 45561 58 341 67 315 56 300 52 294 48 287 45561 43724 87 315 68 304 58 292 57 290 60 286 43724 42026 81 308 62 306 60 295 59 287 67 281 42026 40447 78 320 67 314 64 299 62 286 68 278 40447 38973 90 322 74 315 72 301 65 285 68 277 38973 37595 100 316 78 314 75 301 67 283 66 275 37595 36277 101 312 79 312 71 300 67 282 65 274 36277 34949 99 312 78 310 67 301 64 282 64 276 34949 33584 97 314 78 310 64 304 58 283 62 280 33584 32185 96 316 76 312 63 306 54 285 58 281 32185 30739 93 319 73 314 62 307 53 288 55 283 30739 29235 89 321 70 315 60 305 54 290 53 285 29235 27679 87 320 66 311 58 302 52 292 52 285 27679 26071 87 320 62 309 54 300 48 293 51 285 26071 24415 79 322 57 309 48 298 44 292 49 285 24415 22712 69 319 51 310 43 294 41 292 47 286 22712 20958 63 314 47 308 41 293 40 294 43 286 20958 19145 57 317 43 303 40 297 38 296 40 283 19145 17306 49 323 36 300 37 300 35 295 36 279 17306 15539 37 322 28 297 33 295 32 293 31 273 15539 13934 28 312 23 291 29 285 29 288 27 267 13934 12508 22 303 20 282 26 275 26 276 24 259 12508 11239 12 299 15 268 22 263 22 259 23 248 11239 10107 10 294 11 253 17 246 19 241 23 237 10107 9098 12 282 8 255 13 230 15 228 21 231 9098 8199 12 276 8 267 9 221 11 219 15 226 8199 7400 10 270 9 264 8*221 9 221 11 221 7400 6687 7 259 8 259 7*224 8 228 9 214 6687 6041 5 231 8 255 7 225 7 233 9 211 6041 5464 5 200 6 244 6 225 7 236 8 207 5464 4979 6 183 5 237 6 224 6 238 7 201 4979 4603 6 175 5 232 6 223 6 239 6 192 4603 4342 6 170 5 230 5 222 5 241 4 183 4342 4184 5*169 4*228 5 221 5*241 4*177 4184 4093 5*168 4*227 5 220 5*240 3*180 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography