DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/23 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.4 - - 53.2 - - 55.0 - - 52.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 7 - - 13 - - -2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1626 - - 1903 - - 2043 - - 2529 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 21 - - 25 - - 9 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 105 - - 261 - - 354 - - 038 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -7 - - -7 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5719 - - -5833 - - -6334 - - -5318 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9813 - - 9927 - - 10429 - - 9413 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14449 - - -12487 - - -12714 - - -12690 ODpotential blCL - - - 18543 - - 16581 - - 16808 - - 16784 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 89 - - 101 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.4 - - 53.2 - - 55.0 - - 52.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.4 - - 24.5 - - 24.0 - - 26.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.6 - - 54.2 - - 57.0 - - 55.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.2 - - 23.5 - - 22.9 - - 25.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 7 - - 13 - - -2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 30 - - 54 - - 102 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96626 20 084 23 083 20 092 23 075 96626 89515 15 109 15 083 12 075 18 060 89515 83987 15 097 8 107 10 033 11 052 83987 79373 6 070 2 026 10 005 9 031 79373 75385 3 003 6 295 12 350 7 010 75385 71852 6 327 11 292 16 312 11 351 71852 68648 10 332 15 295 16 324 20 327 68648 65699 23 293 24 283 30 290 30 297 65699 62979 26 294 26 286 30 282 30 280 62979 60343 33 292 31 286 30 282 33 278 60343 57580 43 284 41 286 38 283 38 281 57580 54715 55 276 53 279 52 286 49 290 54715 51993 59 271 62 281 74 282 70 283 51993 49555 67 279 85 276 80 274 80 280 49555 47384 91 276 78 270 75 274 84 281 47384 45436 88 268 66 280 83 283 83 282 45436 43674 69 281 93 288 101 283 93 281 43674 42061 85 287 113 285 115 281 106 275 42061 40556 102 288 115 282 117 280 103 273 40556 39132 106 288 117 284 108 280 101 273 39132 37784 97 288 115 289 92 277 99 274 37784 36482 87 285 102 291 86 272 94 276 36482 35167 82 276 84 287 84 268 88 275 35167 33811 73 265 73 279 87 269 81 270 33811 32416 65 264 71 270 90 275 73 263 32416 30969 68 265 72 261 86 281 72 260 30969 29460 68 266 73 257 76 280 70 262 29460 27895 63 266 72 259 64 273 65 272 27895 26274 58 264 66 263 60 264 60 271 26274 24601 57 261 60 264 59 262 59 261 24601 22879 56 259 56 266 52 262 58 256 22879 21108 54 257 55 267 45 262 52 255 21108 19282 51 252 52 262 43 261 45 257 19282 17433 46 247 47 254 43 258 39 259 17433 15657 42 244 42 245 42 252 36 259 15657 14043 39 242 40 240 39 247 34 255 14043 12608 35 242 38 238 38 244 32 250 12608 11330 31 244 35 237 36 242 32 246 11330 10187 28 245 32 236 35 240 32 245 10187 9165 26 245 29 236 33 238 34 245 9165 8252 24 246 24 234 32 237 35 245 8252 7440 20 245 19 230 30 236 36 245 7440 6716 15 241 14 225 27 237 35 244 6716 6062 9 232 10 220 23 239 31 244 6062 5479 4 223 7 217 18 244 25 247 5479 4988 1 210 5 215 14 251 19 251 4988 4608 1 140 3 219 10 258 14 257 4608 4345 1 126 3 236 7 269 9 266 4345 4185 1*122 2*248 4*286 4*288 4185 4093 1*105 2*261 3*354 3*038 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography