DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/21 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.4 - - 79.8 - - 82.9 - - 80.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 42 - - 57 - - 23 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 5 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4079 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4095 - - 4305 - - 4096 - - 4096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4358 - - 8679 - - 11104 - - 10412 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 38 - - 29 - - 34 - - 20 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 306 - - 007 - - 034 - - 322 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 9 - - 7 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6120 - - -6300 - - -7186 - - -4990 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10216 - - 10606 - - 11283 - - 9087 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9025 - - -8605 - - -8863 - - -7209 ODpotential blCL - - - 13120 - - 12910 - - 12959 - - 11305 blCL maxRH - - - 38 - - 49 - - 60 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 180 - - 600 - - 1600 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.4 - - 79.8 - - 82.9 - - 80.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.7 - - 47.3 - - 47.3 - - 54.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.1 - - 79.4 - - 82.7 - - 81.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.6 - - 46.1 - - 46.2 - - 53.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 42 - - 57 - - 23 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 5 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98965 31 115 27 133 19 101 22 086 98965 91432 23 106 20 098 23 107 20 100 91432 85659 18 111 15 105 20 095 21 105 85659 80880 18 112 15 112 18 112 16 088 80880 76768 12 101 10 100 19 099 16 100 76768 73134 11 093 9 089 12 094 16 085 73134 69848 12 103 5 112 6 092 11 065 69848 66832 10 102 10 162 6 217 3 042 66832 64041 4 225 5 189 6 220 3 301 64041 61350 8 289 5 303 4 244 6 267 61350 58550 15 262 14 266 15 268 13 287 58550 55646 19 269 18 265 22 276 20 281 55646 52878 31 272 29 268 31 280 28 283 52878 50392 42 267 37 267 40 272 38 274 50392 48170 49 268 44 269 46 272 48 274 48170 46163 53 268 50 270 53 272 54 276 46163 44336 53 270 53 270 55 273 53 277 44336 42653 54 274 54 272 55 274 53 278 42653 41088 58 276 54 274 57 273 55 278 41088 39623 59 276 53 275 55 271 57 275 39623 38248 57 275 52 276 51 272 56 273 38248 36927 53 274 51 277 46 274 52 272 36927 35595 48 275 51 277 43 276 47 274 35595 34225 45 274 49 276 44 277 41 277 34225 32821 43 274 44 273 43 275 37 281 32821 31370 41 275 39 272 40 272 36 281 31370 29861 37 278 38 271 38 272 36 278 29861 28296 32 278 34 270 37 270 34 276 28296 26674 26 278 29 268 33 268 32 274 26674 24999 20 274 26 266 28 268 29 272 24999 23277 14 268 22 261 22 269 23 273 23277 21502 10 262 16 251 15 267 18 270 21502 19670 10 247 13 240 10 263 12 268 19670 17811 13 238 15 237 11 255 10 266 17811 16024 14 232 17 234 13 253 10 255 16024 14398 13 227 14 231 13 259 7 264 14398 12945 12 212 10 230 13 264 6 310 12945 11642 11 185 9 232 11 272 8 336 11642 10470 9 161 8 238 8 285 9 340 10470 9414 7 140 6 243 7 304 10 338 9414 8466 5 118 4 252 6 328 12 334 8466 7620 4 075 3 264 6 348 13 330 7620 6862 4 048 2 293 7 004 14 328 6862 6175 4 029 2 324 7 014 15 326 6175 5560 4 011 2 352 8 021 15 324 5560 5042 4 351 3 004 7 027 15 324 5042 4640 3 336 3 006 7 031 14 323 4640 4362 3 325 3*005 6 034 13 323 4362 4193 2*314 3*005 6*034 11*322 4193 4095 2*306 3 007 5*034 7*322 4095 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography