DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/16 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 41.5 - - 45.3 - - 46.5 - - 44.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 124 - - 109 - - 82 - - 53 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3155 - - 4632 - - 6184 - - 5046 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6008 - - 7003 - - 7977 - - 6791 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7455 - - 8932 - - 10484 - - 9346 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1797 - - 2287 - - 2395 - - 2680 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 316 - - 345 - - 354 - - 291 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 15 - - 20 - - 19 BL Wind Direction - - - 334 - - 346 - - 355 - - 024 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -15 - - -5 - - 17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2367 - - -2290 - - -49 - - -632 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9823 - - 11222 - - 10533 - - 9978 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9790 - - -9262 - - -6703 - - -9919 ODpotential blCL - - - 17245 - - 18194 - - 17187 - - 19265 blCL maxRH - - - 33 - - 35 - - 68 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 41.5 - - 45.3 - - 46.5 - - 44.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 12.8 - - 10.3 - - 14.6 - - 15.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 40.3 - - 44.4 - - 45.7 - - 43.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 11.7 - - 9.2 - - 13.8 - - 14.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 124 - - 109 - - 82 - - 53 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3155 - - 4632 - - 6184 - - 5046 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97144 66 263 65 276 61 278 51 270 97144 89710 56 263 66 270 60 273 58 269 89710 83991 42 270 49 260 47 264 54 270 83991 79300 33 269 33 259 34 264 44 271 79300 75287 26 263 30 272 32 275 27 287 75287 71740 23 267 28 270 31 285 24 306 71740 68518 20 266 24 273 28 275 23 304 68518 65547 13 274 19 278 19 270 21 290 65547 62773 19 292 19 299 17 287 19 307 62773 60074 27 289 28 296 22 291 24 294 60074 57256 27 292 28 295 24 300 19 297 57256 54328 29 299 28 299 31 308 30 316 54328 51544 37 295 35 296 38 305 34 317 51544 49048 36 292 33 293 34 305 33 318 49048 46804 32 304 34 305 38 308 36 313 46804 44765 42 310 43 304 43 306 37 308 44765 42901 53 303 47 303 48 313 40 317 42901 41196 57 297 51 304 57 321 55 326 41196 39641 56 295 54 309 65 324 69 328 39641 38209 57 300 60 319 73 328 74 329 38209 36868 63 307 72 324 85 333 76 327 36868 35578 72 310 83 323 95 336 77 325 35578 34279 79 309 87 320 98 336 77 326 34279 32944 83 306 90 320 99 336 77 329 32944 31577 85 304 90 321 99 337 78 331 31577 30165 86 304 90 321 96 337 81 333 30165 28695 87 305 89 321 93 337 83 335 28695 27169 86 307 86 320 91 337 83 336 27169 25587 84 308 82 318 91 339 82 340 25587 23952 80 309 76 315 88 341 80 342 23952 22268 74 308 70 312 82 339 78 345 22268 20533 68 307 64 312 74 334 76 347 20533 18742 63 305 59 313 66 332 70 349 18742 16936 58 303 55 314 60 331 61 350 16936 15215 52 303 51 315 51 332 49 351 15215 13666 46 304 44 315 34 330 34 348 13666 12297 41 307 34 314 21 333 21 340 12297 11080 37 311 21 314 20*340 18 345 11080 9988 30 314 16 329 20*344 18*357 9988 9009 21 319 16*337 20 348 18*011 9009 8131 17*328 16*340 20 353 19 021 8131 7347 17*332 16 343 20 355 19 023 7347 6646 16 333 16 345 20 357 19 025 6646 6011 16 333 15 347 20 359 20 026 6011 5443 16 334 15 348 20 360 19 027 5443 4965 16 335 15 350 20 000 19 027 4965 4595 15 336 14 350 20 001 18 027 4595 4338 15 337 14 351 19 001 17 026 4338 4182 14 337 14 351 19 002 16 026 4182 4092 14 338 13 351 18 001 15 024 4092 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography