DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/03 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 73.5 - - 78.0 - - 85.7 - - 82.9 - - 77.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 6 - - 42 - - 49 - - 3 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4078 - - 4078 - - 4079 - - 4079 - - 4078 Hcrit BL Top 4095 - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2760 - - 7563 - - 13747 - - 12986 - - 5067 Hgt.Variab. W* 23 - - 38 - - 42 - - 27 - - 22 W* B/S 2 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 1 - - 6 - - 12 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 282 - - 085 - - 262 - - 268 - - 271 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 6 - - -3 - - -6 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5690 - - -5631 - - -9214 - - -6020 - - -4813 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9785 - - 9727 - - 13310 - - 10116 - - 8909 sfcLCL ODpotential -9313 - - -7776 - - -10511 - - -8103 - - -7855 ODpotential blCL 13408 - - 11872 - - 14607 - - 12199 - - 11951 blCL maxRH 58 - - 73 - - 73 - - 89 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 740 - - 550 - - 2150 - - 1710 CAPE Temp@2m 73.5 - - 78.0 - - 85.7 - - 82.9 - - 77.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.9 - - 49.4 - - 41.2 - - 52.4 - - 52.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 73.2 - - 77.7 - - 85.4 - - 83.4 - - 77.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.7 - - 48.2 - - 39.9 - - 51.1 - - 50.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 6 - - 42 - - 49 - - 3 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 58 - - 91 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 8 - - 6 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99200 40 109 40 097 40 127 28 107 27 088 99200 91667 29 103 31 109 31 111 28 123 13 096 91667 85859 22 102 23 120 20 102 24 119 16 097 85859 81039 20 108 18 110 18 113 14 109 22 092 81039 76892 18 111 17 121 11 116 12 102 19 087 76892 73235 18 115 11 122 14 135 11 094 13 096 73235 69942 12 123 11 148 12 131 9 119 11 109 69942 66934 7 161 11 153 13 162 5 145 8 130 66934 64147 8 144 15 167 12 182 6 191 4 179 64147 61451 5 183 5 173 14 172 14 182 15 186 61451 58640 17 212 17 213 14 187 15 183 17 183 58640 55718 19 206 26 211 23 221 13 220 9 218 55718 52930 23 209 31 202 32 220 29 223 22 225 52930 50419 28 236 29 198 35 209 37 210 38 222 50419 48160 42 238 33 214 37 201 39 209 40 216 48160 46093 44 227 36 214 38 213 43 216 42 215 46093 44182 36 230 42 227 46 223 49 217 44 216 44182 42411 36 236 50 228 54 224 53 220 49 218 42411 40770 40 236 47 224 56 223 61 220 52 220 40770 39255 37 224 44 226 53 221 63 217 57 219 39255 37858 29 219 43 233 50 221 59 218 60 217 37858 36538 30 253 44 241 51 224 59 220 64 216 36538 35222 39 265 43 243 51 228 61 218 64 214 35222 33876 41 267 40 241 51 230 58 215 58 214 33876 32500 37 266 39 242 49 230 55 215 52 213 32500 31078 32 264 40 246 46 226 52 218 48 213 31078 29599 29 262 38 244 42 225 46 219 45 211 29599 28064 28 260 36 236 38 221 41 221 42 208 28064 26474 25 261 35 235 36 217 38 225 40 206 26474 24833 24 270 31 244 32 218 36 226 36 203 24833 23144 23 275 27 254 24 229 32 224 33 200 23144 21399 20 271 23 252 23 243 26 221 31 199 21399 19589 14 264 21 238 23 250 20 218 28 198 19589 17748 13 253 21 233 21 251 15 213 24 198 17748 15972 19 238 23 234 17 240 12 220 20 201 15972 14349 23 225 25 225 16 237 11 228 18 209 14349 12897 22 215 23 216 16 238 11 234 17 222 12897 11595 19 212 19 216 15 240 11 242 17 235 11595 10425 16 214 16 219 15 242 13 250 18 247 10425 9373 11 214 13 223 14 244 15 259 19 254 9373 8430 6 218 11 225 14 245 17 261 21 258 8430 7589 4 241 9 224 13 246 18 263 23 261 7589 6837 3 284 7 223 13 246 18 263 23 263 6837 6156 4 311 5 219 12 248 19 264 24 264 6156 5547 5 312 3 210 10 250 19 265 23 264 5547 5033 6 303 1 179 9 252 18 265 23 265 5033 4636 4 295 1 119 8 255 18 265 21 266 4636 4360 3 284 1 095 7 260 17 266 19 267 4360 4191 2*282 1*086 6*262 16*266 17*268 4191 4095 2*282 1*085 6*262 12*268 9*271 4095 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography