DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/26 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.4 - - 71.0 - - 72.2 - - 70.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 31 - - 30 - - 4 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 103 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4077 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4095 - - 4403 - - 4095 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4485 - - 7112 - - 8056 - - 5864 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 35 - - 65 - - 22 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 060 - - 038 - - 339 - - 351 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 2 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5544 - - -5447 - - -3903 - - -5087 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9640 - - 9851 - - 7998 - - 9182 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11077 - - -7780 - - -5852 - - -7728 ODpotential blCL - - - 15172 - - 12183 - - 9947 - - 11823 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 75 - - 78 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 810 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.4 - - 71.0 - - 72.2 - - 70.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.5 - - 42.0 - - 51.0 - - 43.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.0 - - 70.7 - - 72.5 - - 70.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.4 - - 40.9 - - 49.8 - - 42.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 31 - - 30 - - 4 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 103 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 16 - - 0 - - 13 - - 12 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 9 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98490 7 163 9 137 10 133 8 133 98490 91112 8 120 7 140 5 121 4 092 91112 85434 4 089 3 162 3 031 5 044 85434 80704 4 158 4 160 2 017 3 055 80704 76626 2 230 6 070 3 012 5 332 76626 73041 3 230 1 051 2 004 3 009 73041 69796 9 279 2 289 7 316 5 334 69796 66796 10 224 9 262 7 237 3 301 66796 64001 8 242 8 272 8 273 12 264 64001 61286 22 252 22 256 20 250 12 229 61286 58438 20 224 20 246 16 253 20 271 58438 55498 20 272 24 261 29 262 37 265 55498 52733 28 276 29 260 36 255 37 254 52733 50255 31 269 32 256 37 248 35 249 50255 48024 34 260 37 254 39 250 38 254 48024 45989 37 258 45 255 44 254 44 257 45989 44116 44 259 52 253 50 252 51 256 44116 42380 51 257 57 249 57 250 58 253 42380 40766 57 255 59 248 60 247 64 251 40766 39265 61 252 58 250 60 248 66 249 39265 37867 64 249 60 249 61 248 66 248 37867 36540 64 246 62 248 63 247 66 247 36540 35215 63 247 60 247 63 247 66 248 35215 33858 59 248 57 247 59 250 61 249 33858 32467 53 247 51 246 53 250 53 245 32467 31029 49 244 47 244 49 250 45 244 31029 29531 47 245 44 247 46 253 43 248 29531 27977 46 246 41 249 43 255 42 250 27977 26366 45 246 41 249 41 254 44 247 26366 24703 42 247 38 248 42 248 46 243 24703 22993 38 249 35 248 41 241 44 239 22993 21234 34 249 32 247 39 239 40 234 21234 19421 31 244 33 245 36 237 37 226 19421 17586 30 239 34 240 34 233 33 220 17586 15820 29 239 33 233 31 225 30 214 15820 14211 29 242 33 229 28 216 28 210 14211 12773 29 243 28 230 21 216 24 212 12773 11487 30 242 22 236 15 229 18 215 11487 10334 31 239 20 240 13 245 12 220 10334 9298 26 235 18 244 12 260 9 230 9298 8368 17 227 15 246 11 271 7 248 8368 7538 11 219 12 249 10 280 7 269 7538 6797 7 214 9 255 9 289 8 286 6797 6125 4 201 5 263 8 301 10 295 6125 5524 1 171 2 294 7 313 11 304 5524 5018 1 079 2 001 7 322 11 311 5018 4626 2 067 3*029 7 330 10 321 4626 4355 2 065 3*037 7 336 9 334 4355 4189 2*061 3 038 6*338 8*342 4189 4094 2*060 3 038 6*339 6*351 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography