DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/29 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.1 - - 52.6 - - 57.8 - - 60.3 - - 56.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 16 - - 23 - - 24 - - 0 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1465 - - 2260 - - 3750 - - 6331 - - 5234 Hgt.Variab. W* 29 - - 32 - - 33 - - 19 - - 21 W* B/S 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 113 - - 130 - - 096 - - 050 - - 161 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 3 - - 6 - - 3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4410 - - -4358 - - -5557 - - -6784 - - -5564 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8504 - - 8453 - - 9651 - - 10879 - - 9659 sfcLCL ODpotential -10273 - - -9418 - - -9114 - - -9231 - - -7860 ODpotential blCL 14367 - - 13512 - - 13208 - - 13325 - - 11954 blCL maxRH 86 - - 81 - - 82 - - 95 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.1 - - 52.6 - - 57.8 - - 60.3 - - 56.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.3 - - 29.9 - - 29.8 - - 26.8 - - 28.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.2 - - 52.0 - - 57.3 - - 60.2 - - 57.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.1 - - 28.8 - - 28.7 - - 25.6 - - 27.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 16 - - 23 - - 24 - - 0 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 45 - - 25 - - 26 - - 80 - - 43 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96514 29 256 38 274 38 275 45 278 37 281 96514 89397 22 273 27 272 28 274 31 274 29 286 89397 83919 17 282 23 267 22 284 20 271 27 274 83919 79356 17 261 20 255 21 285 14 285 23 261 79356 75397 12 257 19 244 23 278 14 303 12 246 75397 71851 16 271 17 244 29 253 24 261 16 260 71851 68602 23 266 17 257 27 242 28 249 24 259 68602 65599 23 257 21 262 27 248 27 245 28 249 65599 62809 23 258 22 251 28 246 28 247 27 242 62809 60099 25 259 22 240 28 234 31 248 24 249 60099 57267 28 255 25 244 27 238 29 247 26 252 57267 54330 32 250 29 251 26 250 25 248 28 247 54330 51529 32 250 31 253 30 249 28 254 30 251 51529 49015 31 253 31 246 33 247 35 252 33 254 49015 46772 31 254 30 247 35 248 36 244 35 252 46772 44751 31 255 33 250 39 243 39 241 38 248 44751 42914 34 253 33 247 39 237 42 240 38 247 42914 41233 34 244 36 245 40 239 43 238 37 245 41233 39683 43 239 39 239 42 241 44 237 43 241 39683 38248 49 234 41 235 44 240 45 239 46 229 38248 36912 50 231 44 233 47 238 48 237 45 228 36912 35636 46 230 43 231 48 233 48 235 46 231 35636 34354 42 232 43 228 46 226 47 235 46 229 34354 33036 40 232 43 228 46 227 45 231 47 224 33036 31682 39 228 43 228 46 229 43 228 47 223 31682 30282 39 223 41 225 44 228 43 231 45 224 30282 28825 38 224 41 222 43 226 43 230 43 226 28825 27315 36 233 40 225 40 227 39 226 41 228 27315 25751 33 242 36 225 42 232 40 226 42 231 25751 24135 28 231 30 220 45 231 40 230 42 233 24135 22468 27 220 25 215 39 225 39 233 41 233 22468 20749 23 224 22 218 25 216 35 233 36 231 20749 18976 19 221 19 219 19 216 25 232 25 230 18976 17186 16 217 17 219 19 216 12 231 13 236 17186 15472 12 216 14 214 18 214 15 232 6 230 15472 13913 10 213 12 209 18 215 24 225 11 221 13913 12521 9 206 11 206 18 216 23 226 17 216 12521 11276 9 203 10 204 17 218 19 236 15 216 11276 10157 9 204 10 204 15 224 17 239 10 227 10157 9151 10 205 10 204 14 231 13 240 10 234 9151 8248 11 207 10 203 11 236 10 237 10 239 8248 7442 10 206 9 199 9 234 6 228 9 236 7442 6720 9 202 8 192 6 227 3 212 8 226 6720 6067 7 197 7 183 3 206 2 151 7 213 6067 5483 5 190 5 172 2 156 3 087 7 200 5483 4991 4 178 4 159 3 118 4 067 7 190 4991 4610 4 156 4 138 4 101 4 057 6 183 4610 4347 4 130 3 133 4 097 4 053 4 176 4347 4186 4*121 3*132 4*095 4*053 3*164 4186 4093 3*113 3*130 4*096 4*050 3*161 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography