DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/24 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0702z - - 1001z - - 1554z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.2 - - 50.6 - - 55.0 - - 58.3 - - 56.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 44 - - 44 - - 34 - - 11 - - 15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1254 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4093 - - 5554 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2641 - - 1645 - - 3444 - - 3907 - - 3251 Hgt.Variab. W* 39 - - 169 - - 36 - - 28 - - 30 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 6 - - 3 - - 4 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 102 - - 123 - - 101 - - 116 - - 130 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 1 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1790 - - -1105 - - -3677 - - -4416 - - -3472 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5884 - - 6660 - - 7771 - - 8510 - - 7566 sfcLCL ODpotential -9951 - - -9185 - - -10266 - - -10555 - - -9852 ODpotential blCL 14044 - - 14739 - - 14360 - - 14649 - - 13946 blCL maxRH 75 - - 64 - - 52 - - 52 - - 51 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.2 - - 50.6 - - 55.0 - - 58.3 - - 56.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.9 - - 35.8 - - 35.3 - - 35.3 - - 37.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.9 - - 49.9 - - 54.4 - - 57.8 - - 56.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.7 - - 34.6 - - 34.1 - - 34.2 - - 36.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 44 - - 44 - - 34 - - 11 - - 15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1254 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97343 4 008 5 313 5 228 9 239 11 293 97343 90108 5 067 5 036 2 326 2 049 1 103 90108 84521 6 045 7 054 2 011 4 063 7 067 84521 79889 6 020 9 036 3 307 4 084 7 034 79889 75911 4 058 9 353 1 072 4 072 3 159 75911 72379 4 078 3 324 5 216 2 271 2 148 72379 69167 5 277 6 278 7 221 4 245 4 268 69167 66204 7 238 10 280 9 226 8 234 11 231 66204 63437 10 224 14 255 14 248 12 273 8 231 63437 60739 9 251 14 246 19 248 19 267 12 268 60739 57926 15 273 15 251 16 227 19 267 21 272 57926 55017 7 288 10 254 11 266 19 266 26 264 55017 52245 24 307 18 283 19 288 20 257 23 254 52245 49745 32 307 19 303 19 294 18 260 17 259 49745 47495 34 320 28 320 21 312 22 279 22 281 47495 45452 36 323 35 318 26 309 31 290 31 283 45452 43597 35 326 33 319 25 308 32 290 32 284 43597 41911 30 339 25 334 19 329 17 299 24 272 41911 40358 26 015 19 000 22 350 12 341 13 302 40358 38912 44 013 36 007 32 353 28 347 27 338 38912 37565 51 007 40 357 41 349 38 344 35 338 37565 36276 49 007 40 354 44 345 39 343 35 337 36276 34977 46 010 38 356 44 345 36 341 34 335 34977 33639 44 013 36 000 40 348 32 341 32 335 33639 32265 42 014 34 004 35 353 29 345 31 335 32265 30844 40 015 33 007 28 355 28 348 29 337 30844 29364 38 015 33 010 23 358 27 348 27 340 29364 27829 38 014 34 011 20 003 26 355 24 340 27829 26237 36 014 33 012 19 008 26 005 23 337 26237 24592 35 014 30 010 19 012 26 010 21 343 24592 22897 34 013 27 010 20 011 25 010 19 352 22897 21144 30 016 25 014 20 010 23 006 19 354 21144 19327 27 022 23 014 20 009 21 002 19 355 19327 17482 24 028 19 014 18 010 19 001 16 004 17482 15705 22 041 16 027 16 013 15 003 11 016 15705 14088 23 059 15 054 11 023 11 006 8 017 14088 12647 23 073 16 077 8 048 7 005 6 006 12647 11360 22 078 16 087 8 073 5 352 6 351 11360 10209 18 078 15 090 8 091 2 320 5 341 10209 9181 14 082 13 098 7 112 2 242 3 324 9181 8264 11 096 12 111 6 131 3 191 1 252 8264 7450 10 113 11 124 6 131 5 153 3 149 7450 6725 10 123 11 129 6 120 6 131 4 145 6725 6070 10 122 9*127 5 113 6 122 5 136 6070 5484 10 116 8*123 5 106 6 118 9 135 5484 4992 10 108 6 122 4 102 5 118 10 133 4992 4610 9 103 6 122 3 101 5 117 9 132 4610 4346 8 102 6 123 3 102 5 116 8 131 4346 4186 6*101 5 124 3*103 5*115 8*129 4186 4093 5*102 5 125 3*101 4*116 7*130 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography