DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/07 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.0 - - 49.5 - - 54.0 - - 53.8 - - 51.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 3 - - 4 - - 8 - - -2 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4093 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 910 - - 1209 - - 2897 - - 3395 - - 1854 Hgt.Variab. W* 19 - - 20 - - 22 - - 9 - - 8 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 130 - - 134 - - 032 - - 075 - - 079 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2513 - - -2649 - - -2582 - - -3218 - - -3171 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6607 - - 6743 - - 6676 - - 7312 - - 7265 sfcLCL ODpotential -9006 - - -8310 - - -5650 - - -6598 - - -6980 ODpotential blCL 13100 - - 12403 - - 9744 - - 10692 - - 11074 blCL maxRH 84 - - 83 - - 75 - - 80 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.0 - - 49.5 - - 54.0 - - 53.8 - - 51.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.6 - - 34.5 - - 39.1 - - 36.3 - - 34.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.3 - - 49.2 - - 54.2 - - 55.3 - - 53.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.5 - - 33.3 - - 37.9 - - 35.1 - - 33.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 3 - - 4 - - 8 - - -2 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 36 - - 33 - - 1 - - 20 - - 73 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96297 30 091 23 082 23 090 16 085 27 087 96297 89176 27 076 28 085 19 082 19 077 18 065 89176 83667 17 068 17 071 12 055 18 067 12 049 83667 79080 17 060 14 050 6 046 15 035 20 049 79080 75116 18 005 18 024 7 026 14 010 21 029 75116 71613 19 344 16 351 20 007 13 008 11 004 71613 68441 16 332 18 326 18 338 15 339 14 341 68441 65519 21 336 18 327 23 322 26 331 18 344 65519 62809 29 306 23 322 21 296 26 299 26 311 62809 60193 30 306 25 310 17 308 23 298 25 301 60193 57455 37 304 36 301 31 314 31 306 32 298 57455 54606 51 294 46 294 41 299 40 299 39 295 54606 51884 54 293 52 293 47 296 50 300 48 302 51884 49432 56 291 56 291 58 294 61 300 54 305 49432 47236 58 293 58 289 66 292 68 297 61 302 47236 45249 63 294 62 291 71 292 72 294 66 300 45249 43433 69 298 66 297 75 292 74 295 67 301 43433 41758 79 299 76 299 78 293 78 297 70 301 41758 40205 83 297 84 297 81 293 83 297 77 299 40205 38759 81 298 85 295 83 294 84 295 81 297 38759 37408 78 298 83 295 83 295 82 295 83 295 37408 36115 75 299 81 296 80 293 76 294 83 294 36115 34815 74 301 79 297 78 293 72 294 82 293 34815 33480 72 303 75 298 75 293 70 292 78 291 33480 32114 70 303 71 298 71 292 68 290 74 289 32114 30701 68 302 70 298 68 291 66 289 72 289 30701 29229 66 303 69 298 66 293 64 291 69 291 29229 27700 64 303 66 297 64 293 63 291 66 296 27700 26116 62 302 64 296 63 292 61 291 61 300 26116 24477 60 302 63 294 62 290 56 293 54 302 24477 22787 59 303 61 293 61 289 52 296 48 304 22787 21041 56 304 58 293 57 289 48 298 44 306 21041 19232 52 304 52 294 50 289 44 299 42 308 19232 17397 47 302 44 296 43 291 40 301 38 308 17397 15633 42 298 37 297 37 291 35 300 34 307 15633 14030 38 294 33 298 32 290 31 299 29 307 14030 12604 33 292 29 297 28 290 27 299 24 307 12604 11332 28 292 26 297 25 292 25 299 21 308 11332 10193 24 294 22 296 23 296 23 298 18 309 10193 9173 20 295 19 295 21 299 21 293 16 310 9173 8260 17 295 16 294 19 300 18 284 15 312 8260 7447 14 292 14 292 17 297 15 277 14 311 7447 6722 11 285 12 288 14 293 13 278 13 309 6722 6066 8 273 10 283 10 291 11 283 13 304 6066 5481 5 249 8 273 7 296 9 291 11 299 5481 4989 4 214 6 257 4 318 6 302 8 296 4989 4608 5 181 4 217 3 349 4 321 5 293 4608 4345 5 159 4 161 2 015 2 357 1 286 4345 4184 5*137 4*138 2*029 3*053 1*093 4184 4093 4*130 4*134 2*032 3*075 2*079 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography