DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/27 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.9 - - 44.1 - - 50.4 - - 51.0 - - 47.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 5 - - 12 - - 4 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4093 - - 4093 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4093 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 863 - - 1161 - - 3397 - - 4638 - - 1616 Hgt.Variab. W* 15 - - 22 - - 25 - - 18 - - 12 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - 1 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 098 - - 136 - - 146 - - 132 - - 078 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 1 - - 2 - - -3 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5180 - - -5819 - - -5477 - - -7113 - - -4873 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9274 - - 9913 - - 9571 - - 11208 - - 8967 sfcLCL ODpotential -14761 - - -14970 - - -12473 - - -13231 - - -10178 ODpotential blCL 18854 - - 19063 - - 16567 - - 17325 - - 14271 blCL maxRH 77 - - 85 - - 71 - - 73 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.9 - - 44.1 - - 50.4 - - 51.0 - - 47.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 17.3 - - 15.6 - - 23.1 - - 16.6 - - 23.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.4 - - 43.8 - - 51.0 - - 53.2 - - 49.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 16.1 - - 14.6 - - 22.0 - - 15.4 - - 22.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 5 - - 12 - - 4 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 10 - - 39 - - 0 - - 0 - - 38 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95716 77 331 68 328 72 325 71 314 71 309 95716 88775 64 334 58 332 61 321 61 323 58 324 88775 83319 59 337 47 342 53 316 61 330 55 336 83319 78743 52 329 41 339 50 310 58 329 56 336 78743 74779 54 320 41 331 42 311 51 321 53 327 74779 71278 49 321 35 324 36 320 49 319 46 317 71278 68125 37 323 36 313 37 318 43 318 40 317 68125 65251 37 323 38 308 35 320 38 316 38 301 65251 62605 43 313 38 310 37 313 38 312 31 303 62605 60028 45 310 40 304 39 309 38 312 34 295 60028 57318 49 311 40 305 43 304 35 301 41 283 57318 54495 51 304 55 300 48 296 44 285 41 275 54495 51784 49 298 57 290 50 282 50 269 42 271 51784 49323 50 294 50 284 46 285 51 265 42 269 49323 47101 46 294 43 289 51 285 50 266 44 263 47101 45075 35 291 41 288 53 279 48 264 49 253 45075 43220 26 296 39 279 49 271 47 260 52 249 43220 41529 48 298 41 274 48 260 52 252 62 248 41529 39990 51 300 47 283 41 255 50 241 71 242 39990 38570 46 297 43 283 34 248 46 231 64 226 38570 37238 39 299 35 282 34 247 46 225 62 222 37238 35952 31 297 27 280 34 239 50 221 67 223 35952 34650 25 293 26 280 34 230 52 221 70 223 34650 33307 23 284 26 272 41 231 53 224 69 225 33307 31928 25 273 30 261 48 241 58 231 64 228 31928 30502 29 272 38 256 54 251 59 238 63 231 30502 29019 30 277 43 254 54 248 56 239 64 231 29019 27480 31 286 42 253 53 244 57 235 65 231 27480 25889 36 283 39 247 51 240 61 235 63 231 25889 24252 35 276 36 241 47 235 58 238 57 230 24252 22574 33 268 33 238 44 230 51 239 52 228 22574 20848 29 262 29 237 42 228 46 235 48 228 20848 19066 25 259 25 238 39 231 39 232 44 228 19066 17258 20 258 20 240 35 230 33 231 41 229 17258 15520 20 251 18 237 31 225 32 229 38 229 15520 13938 22 244 20 232 28 219 32 226 35 230 13938 12527 22 239 21 226 26 214 32 224 34 231 12527 11265 20 236 20 220 25 213 32 223 32 232 11265 10134 18 234 18 218 23 213 29 223 32 232 10134 9121 16 232 17 218 20 210 23 223 32 233 9121 8216 14 229 15 216 16 202 17 224 32 231 8216 7411 12 224 13 212 13 190 13 224 31 227 7411 6693 10 219 10 204 12 176 11 225 26 222 6693 6044 8 209 8 193 12 163 9 224 20 213 6044 5466 7 197 10 177 13 156 7 219 15 201 5466 4979 7 179 11 166 12 152 6 214 11 193 4979 4602 7 159 11 155 11 149 4 208 7 180 4602 4342 6 133 8 144 10 146 3 199 4 147 4342 4183 5*110 7*140 9*146 2*186 4*102 4183 4092 4*098 5*136 7*146 1*132 5*078 4092 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography