DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/08 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.5 - - 49.8 - - 54.5 - - 54.0 - - 52.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 1 - - 3 - - 8 - - -2 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1196 - - 1355 - - 2265 - - 1826 - - 728 Hgt.Variab. W* 15 - - 19 - - 22 - - 9 - - 13 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 045 - - 123 - - 108 - - 095 - - 093 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -2 - - 3 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2489 - - -3526 - - -3165 - - -4275 - - -4023 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6584 - - 7620 - - 7259 - - 8369 - - 8117 sfcLCL ODpotential -9053 - - -10956 - - -9298 - - -11756 - - -12523 ODpotential blCL 13147 - - 15050 - - 13392 - - 15850 - - 16617 blCL maxRH 53 - - 60 - - 68 - - 73 - - 68 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.5 - - 49.8 - - 54.5 - - 54.0 - - 52.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.3 - - 31.2 - - 37.2 - - 32.1 - - 31.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.7 - - 49.6 - - 54.9 - - 55.7 - - 53.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.5 - - 30.1 - - 36.0 - - 30.8 - - 30.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 1 - - 3 - - 8 - - -2 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96300 23 077 18 075 20 061 20 077 14 083 96300 89268 15 072 18 070 20 076 22 078 19 082 89268 83831 23 063 23 080 16 080 24 070 21 069 83831 79273 25 062 26 075 16 074 21 064 20 066 79273 75305 19 056 20 058 19 053 19 042 26 054 75305 71770 13 041 21 048 16 045 19 036 23 050 71770 68548 13 015 14 008 16 012 20 001 21 028 68548 65589 19 358 16 334 15 351 15 356 18 359 65589 62865 25 352 11 325 19 339 24 347 19 347 62865 60238 36 333 33 335 30 327 29 327 22 345 60238 57498 40 323 36 325 29 315 32 314 33 336 57498 54658 43 315 37 325 31 319 32 315 38 324 54658 51959 43 307 39 320 36 314 38 319 38 318 51959 49542 43 306 42 313 36 310 42 317 38 326 49542 47399 45 310 42 308 33 322 36 325 43 328 47399 45483 46 316 39 314 52 348 37 337 39 332 45483 43747 46 318 49 335 54 355 47 346 41 343 43747 42149 41 322 42 338 53 001 57 356 42 351 42149 40653 41 332 54 003 56 005 60 360 41 355 40653 39240 47 353 65 008 54 003 55 359 42 354 39240 37904 51 003 59 007 49 003 46 355 44 350 37904 36613 52 007 52 005 43 003 40 347 46 347 36613 35307 50 008 47 003 39 359 36 339 45 344 35307 33959 47 006 37 004 39 353 35 336 43 341 33959 32571 45 357 31 353 38 345 36 335 41 333 32571 31134 46 342 35 342 39 341 37 333 41 325 31134 29637 47 331 41 340 40 336 38 332 40 322 29637 28082 43 327 44 337 41 333 38 331 37 322 28082 26469 38 327 44 327 41 333 38 330 35 323 26469 24798 36 324 44 321 39 330 37 330 33 325 24798 23075 35 321 42 322 37 324 36 333 32 326 23075 21295 34 319 39 323 36 322 37 333 32 325 21295 19452 34 322 35 322 33 323 38 327 31 321 19452 17583 33 328 31 320 29 321 37 320 30 317 17583 15785 31 333 27 320 28 315 34 313 29 316 15785 14150 27 331 23 318 26 308 30 308 28 316 14150 12696 24 324 20 310 23 300 26 303 26 314 12696 11399 20 317 18 298 20 293 23 299 23 309 11399 10241 17 313 16 290 18 289 20 295 21 304 10241 9205 13 308 15 285 16 287 17 291 18 301 9205 8282 10 298 12 278 14 283 14 285 16 299 8282 7461 7 281 9 263 11 272 11 274 14 294 7461 6730 5 263 7 239 9 254 9 255 12 286 6730 6070 3 252 6 214 6 233 7 233 10 280 6070 5482 2 262 7 194 4 199 5 209 8 275 5482 4989 1 311 6 182 3 163 5 168 5 270 4989 4608 1 001 5 168 3 141 5 146 2 249 4608 4345 2 033 4 144 3 124 4 132 2 124 4345 4185 3*046 3*128 3*115 4*116 3*101 4185 4093 3*045 3*123 3*108 3*095 3*093 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography