DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/20 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.0 - - 76.7 - - 80.4 - - 76.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 49 - - 58 - - 25 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 206 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4095 - - 4506 - - 4096 - - 4096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5124 - - 7563 - - 10952 - - 6686 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 40 - - 102 - - 34 - - 22 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 5 - - 4 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 068 - - 070 - - 038 - - 319 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 10 - - 6 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4318 - - -6411 - - -7150 - - -4891 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8413 - - 10917 - - 11246 - - 8988 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7492 - - -9631 - - -8811 - - -7413 ODpotential blCL - - - 11587 - - 14137 - - 12907 - - 11509 blCL maxRH - - - 44 - - 36 - - 50 - - 40 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 40 - - 490 - - 960 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.0 - - 76.7 - - 80.4 - - 76.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.2 - - 42.9 - - 45.1 - - 51.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.5 - - 76.2 - - 80.3 - - 77.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.1 - - 41.8 - - 44.0 - - 49.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 49 - - 58 - - 25 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 206 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98992 28 096 25 114 19 109 20 101 98992 91444 21 099 22 104 21 104 20 103 91444 85657 20 099 18 096 23 100 21 099 85657 80871 16 116 16 083 20 090 19 095 80871 76751 19 113 10 097 12 074 19 082 76751 73107 14 106 10 103 10 074 14 071 73107 69816 9 101 7 126 7 068 11 093 69816 66807 8 047 10 159 1 355 5 063 66807 64026 7 322 3 175 4 272 5 346 64026 61340 8 239 5 239 4 238 8 267 61340 58542 12 272 10 275 11 285 8 297 58542 55645 21 256 23 249 24 258 25 277 55645 52882 26 266 27 258 27 258 29 266 52882 50386 37 263 39 265 38 264 38 271 50386 48142 43 263 46 263 48 262 46 266 48142 46106 47 267 49 266 54 264 50 270 46106 44243 50 270 55 268 58 266 54 270 44243 42529 57 271 60 268 60 266 53 267 42529 40939 63 271 63 269 58 263 50 268 40939 39457 68 272 66 271 53 265 49 271 39457 38072 69 273 69 271 53 270 49 271 38072 36747 66 272 70 270 56 270 50 272 36747 35417 59 273 70 270 58 269 51 273 35417 34053 53 276 67 270 59 268 50 272 34053 32655 49 277 58 271 55 268 48 271 32655 31211 46 278 50 274 48 269 44 272 31211 29710 43 281 46 276 41 271 40 274 29710 28153 40 286 40 276 36 271 35 276 28153 26544 37 287 33 278 31 271 33 273 26544 24884 33 284 31 279 28 271 29 268 24884 23177 30 281 30 275 27 270 27 264 23177 21413 30 276 28 269 28 268 27 262 21413 19587 30 274 25 264 27 264 26 259 19587 17734 25 277 21 261 24 255 23 249 17734 15953 17 282 15 261 18 250 21 235 15953 14333 12 285 12 254 14 264 11 229 14333 12885 8 276 11 250 14 268 4 257 12885 11588 7 252 11 253 13 278 3 305 11588 10421 7 235 11 255 11 286 5 323 10421 9371 5 225 10 256 9 296 8 321 9371 8430 4 222 8 257 8 308 11 318 8430 7589 3 232 6 258 7 323 13 315 7589 6837 2 249 3 259 6 340 15 314 6837 6156 1 275 1 270 6 356 17 313 6156 5547 1 309 2 064 6 010 18 313 5547 5033 1 041 3 068 6 021 18 314 5033 4635 1 064 5*068 5 031 18 315 4635 4359 1 060 5*070 5 037 17 316 4359 4191 2*065 5 070 5*039 15*316 4191 4095 1*068 5 070 4*038 10*319 4095 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography