DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/14 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.9 - - 53.3 - - 58.6 - - 59.0 - - 57.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 9 - - 15 - - 5 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2322 - - 2630 - - 4099 - - 4398 - - 2686 Hgt.Variab. W* 24 - - 29 - - 22 - - 9 - - 9 W* B/S 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 070 - - 166 - - 173 - - 056 - - 018 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1005 - - -1483 - - -2164 - - -1165 - - -1344 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5099 - - 5577 - - 6258 - - 5259 - - 5438 sfcLCL ODpotential -3139 - - -3832 - - -4216 - - -3049 - - -3810 ODpotential blCL 7233 - - 7926 - - 8310 - - 7143 - - 7904 blCL maxRH 100 - - 83 - - 77 - - 76 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 140 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 50.9 - - 53.3 - - 58.6 - - 59.0 - - 57.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.6 - - 43.0 - - 45.1 - - 49.8 - - 47.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.8 - - 52.8 - - 58.5 - - 59.7 - - 57.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.0 - - 42.1 - - 43.9 - - 48.5 - - 46.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 9 - - 15 - - 5 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 33 - - 9 - - 4 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96278 20 030 15 036 18 030 20 036 21 039 96278 89358 21 046 17 044 14 045 22 041 27 057 89358 83961 14 050 15 053 12 047 19 030 19 049 83961 79458 16 043 12 060 10 050 11 030 13 022 79458 75544 9 046 10 065 11 035 8 041 6 028 75544 72057 8 056 9 054 2 305 8 014 11 030 72057 68895 10 060 10 009 2 125 3 349 15 009 68895 65986 16 358 0 015 3 306 7 352 11 005 65986 63290 17 291 4 079 9 222 8 291 11 311 63290 60659 30 200 14 277 12 240 16 222 18 237 60659 57901 31 224 17 247 15 234 21 242 28 223 57901 55036 39 259 30 234 29 240 31 230 27 225 55036 52290 43 269 36 240 35 230 29 215 25 221 52290 49825 49 249 35 249 27 237 19 226 15 217 49825 47614 56 226 39 246 28 258 21 255 12 241 47614 45591 51 205 48 219 40 231 35 231 31 218 45591 43732 39 213 47 200 53 200 47 206 43 191 43732 42032 49 239 35 197 47 177 44 184 33 169 42032 40469 65 242 22 231 30 175 27 172 21 187 40469 39010 73 239 38 253 12 189 16 224 37 227 39010 37637 78 237 50 251 10 253 26 250 62 227 37637 36321 81 233 65 242 23 256 35 250 85 223 36321 34997 86 231 78 233 36 242 48 244 99 219 34997 33634 91 230 89 227 57 231 64 235 102 220 33634 32236 95 230 94 226 79 225 74 232 93 221 32236 30796 95 229 94 225 89 223 75 231 81 223 30796 29301 93 227 89 224 87 223 69 228 70 223 29301 27755 91 225 85 222 81 221 66 223 61 223 27755 26157 88 223 83 219 77 218 66 221 53 221 26157 24509 85 223 77 216 71 220 62 223 46 222 24509 22814 79 225 64 213 59 223 52 228 40 221 22814 21065 71 227 55 211 48 229 40 223 29 220 21065 19254 63 226 50 213 45 232 35 212 20 203 19254 17419 57 217 47 218 35 227 34 207 20 183 17419 15659 51 211 37 222 32 217 32 208 24 189 15659 14062 45 210 29 231 36 210 35 213 31 191 14062 12641 38 205 24 232 34 210 38 216 33 190 12641 11371 33 204 24 206 30 204 34 213 32 193 11371 10233 31 208 24 194 29 194 28 208 28 197 10233 9211 29 215 19 187 26 190 22 202 23 197 9211 8295 25 220 15 182 22 188 16 192 18 194 8295 7478 19 222 13 180 17 186 12 182 13 192 7478 6748 12 215 11 178 13 183 9 174 9 192 6748 6087 7 187 11 175 11 182 7 165 5 191 6087 5497 5 150 10 174 9 181 4 149 3 187 5497 5000 4 136 9 175 8 179 3 131 1 188 5000 4615 2 114 7 171 7 178 2 102 0 329 4615 4348 2 080 6 169 6 175 2 077 1 008 4348 4187 2*072 6*166 6*174 2*061 2*017 4187 4093 2*070 5*166 5*173 2*056 2*018 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography