DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/10 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0949z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.5 - - 55.6 - - 60.3 - - 60.2 - - 58.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 5 - - 6 - - 12 - - -3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4094 - - 4095 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1302 - - 2070 - - 2751 - - 2714 - - 1062 Hgt.Variab. W* 21 - - 22 - - 26 - - 11 - - 15 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 133 - - 120 - - 126 - - 112 - - 110 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3003 - - -3945 - - -3953 - - -4387 - - -5040 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7098 - - 8039 - - 8048 - - 8481 - - 9135 sfcLCL ODpotential -9541 - - -9847 - - -8941 - - -9924 - - -11411 ODpotential blCL 13635 - - 13941 - - 13036 - - 14018 - - 15505 blCL maxRH 59 - - 47 - - 44 - - 29 - - 53 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.5 - - 55.6 - - 60.3 - - 60.2 - - 58.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.1 - - 35.0 - - 39.6 - - 37.6 - - 33.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.8 - - 55.3 - - 60.3 - - 61.5 - - 59.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.0 - - 33.9 - - 38.5 - - 36.4 - - 31.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 5 - - 6 - - 12 - - -3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96328 39 302 42 286 49 288 46 300 47 295 96328 89358 30 309 18 301 28 287 34 300 26 301 89358 83926 23 302 17 323 15 295 26 298 22 311 83926 79382 13 295 15 286 15 300 17 292 20 308 79382 75461 12 307 13 297 15 314 9 278 18 296 75461 71979 18 302 19 297 18 311 12 295 23 296 71979 68821 13 286 15 285 16 308 15 286 16 288 68821 65918 20 319 16 308 18 307 16 296 16 310 65918 63232 28 313 23 302 26 294 24 293 22 294 63232 60642 29 296 20 258 22 297 25 310 22 296 60642 57951 23 275 34 300 34 300 35 298 29 290 57951 55160 47 309 43 310 35 298 30 297 26 291 55160 52480 52 306 39 318 34 305 47 323 38 314 52480 50052 43 304 44 307 49 315 59 318 51 309 50052 47863 40 308 42 309 55 319 61 318 55 307 47863 45860 46 314 53 323 66 319 69 320 61 308 45860 44016 57 319 69 317 71 312 75 317 68 308 44016 42313 50 318 62 314 62 313 71 310 63 307 42313 40736 37 314 45 315 57 319 62 319 57 320 40736 39264 31 309 36 313 51 328 63 332 71 334 39264 37883 31 311 32 311 40 333 54 333 73 336 37883 36560 34 316 28 311 29 319 38 315 57 335 36560 35234 33 316 26 314 30 309 36 306 34 326 35234 33880 30 314 25 321 25 307 29 310 29 315 33880 32498 30 313 24 333 19 316 13 308 32 314 32498 31073 29 310 18 337 9 329 2 328 26 307 31073 29591 27 307 17 332 7 324 2 012 12 292 29591 28048 24 307 18 325 10 332 8 123 6 241 28048 26447 21 308 18 325 14 340 5 172 12 186 26447 24793 20 304 17 331 19 338 7 266 11 209 24793 23090 21 293 16 338 18 340 5 277 6 235 23090 21329 20 287 13 343 14 336 4 281 5 231 21329 19503 20 298 11 333 9 321 7 292 5 251 19503 17647 23 311 13 320 12 305 11 303 8 285 17647 15858 24 316 17 312 16 305 14 309 11 305 15858 14229 21 320 15 309 15 302 13 308 9 316 14229 12774 17 324 11 303 11 287 10 297 6 315 12774 11473 12 332 8 300 9 269 8 283 3 286 11473 10308 6 344 4 288 7 250 7 278 3 231 10308 9263 1 326 2 241 6 223 6 275 3 220 9263 8329 2 204 3 208 7 204 5 264 4 199 8329 7499 4 182 4 186 7 189 4 232 5 178 7499 6759 5 169 5 173 8 172 3 176 6 164 6759 6092 5 164 6 163 8 158 6 142 6 160 6092 5498 5 165 6 161 8 151 8 128 11 161 5498 4999 4 166 4 158 7 143 8 125 12 155 4999 4614 3 160 3 142 6 136 8 123 11 148 4614 4348 3 150 3 120 5 130 7 120 8 137 4348 4186 3*137 3*118 5*128 5*118 6*125 4186 4093 3*133 3*120 4*126 4*112 3*110 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography