DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/12 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.4 - - 54.4 - - 54.2 - - 52.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 0 - - 7 - - -2 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1169 - - 1619 - - 1662 - - 1175 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 14 - - 21 - - 8 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 078 - - 098 - - 004 - - 007 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 2 - - -3 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4281 - - -4039 - - -5361 - - -6338 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8376 - - 8134 - - 9456 - - 10432 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13725 - - -12345 - - -13920 - - -15262 ODpotential blCL - - - 17819 - - 16439 - - 18014 - - 19356 blCL maxRH - - - 54 - - 70 - - 80 - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.4 - - 54.4 - - 54.2 - - 52.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.5 - - 33.5 - - 27.7 - - 21.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.2 - - 55.2 - - 56.5 - - 53.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.3 - - 32.2 - - 26.6 - - 20.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 0 - - 7 - - -2 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 21 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96100 19 335 21 353 20 001 21 012 96100 89189 20 027 8 030 11 343 24 012 89189 83799 23 041 9 028 14 015 20 010 83799 79294 20 051 15 028 25 021 18 014 79294 75392 20 047 16 031 25 029 17 034 75392 71912 19 028 16 013 22 024 20 024 71912 68734 23 014 16 012 21 023 18 025 68734 65803 25 355 27 003 26 017 22 014 65803 63098 23 343 30 345 32 356 28 004 63098 60502 23 337 25 332 30 339 29 348 60502 57802 24 341 22 337 25 331 27 343 57802 54991 28 337 26 331 26 321 26 335 54991 52302 30 332 28 329 27 316 26 331 52302 49877 26 331 25 327 25 314 27 323 49877 47694 23 332 18 323 21 321 25 321 47694 45704 19 320 16 327 16 315 20 322 45704 43872 20 309 18 313 13 323 13 310 43872 42182 20 302 16 303 13 311 9 299 42182 40615 14 297 14 302 10 288 8 293 40615 39154 10 297 10 291 6 277 12 258 39154 37784 16 283 8 294 3 332 13 233 37784 36469 19 264 11 293 4 344 11 220 36469 35144 18 259 14 273 5 308 4 215 35144 33787 17 273 12 279 6 306 3 272 33787 32402 19 292 14 294 8 328 4 287 32402 30979 22 291 18 304 9 332 3 341 30979 29505 21 299 17 313 7 352 4 023 29505 27975 17 327 14 331 8 356 3 024 27975 26387 16 330 14 337 11 344 3 327 26387 24742 15 325 15 326 12 337 7 319 24742 23043 15 324 15 324 11 337 8 324 23043 21283 17 329 14 335 9 340 8 330 21283 19456 16 331 14 345 9 347 8 347 19456 17598 15 334 13 349 10 357 8 009 17598 15809 14 340 12 351 11 007 10 023 15809 14179 12 346 11 352 11 013 12 031 14179 12725 10 352 10 353 10 012 13 036 12725 11424 8 002 8 355 9 009 13 040 11424 10259 6 021 5 001 7 005 11 042 10259 9216 4 051 2 031 4 359 9 045 9216 8286 4 094 2 128 2 339 6 050 8286 7460 5 133 4 156 1 227 4 067 7460 6726 7 151 5 164 2 178 4 100 6726 6066 8 157 5 163 3 148 4 124 6066 5480 7 158 4 144 4 122 5 143 5480 4987 5 155 3 116 5 101 5 141 4987 4607 3 138 2 095 4 084 4 129 4607 4344 2 111 2 094 3 063 2 099 4344 4185 2*086 2*096 2*023 1*038 4185 4093 2*078 2*098 2*004 1*007 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography