DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/17 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.4 - - 52.1 - - 52.7 - - 48.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -2 - - 8 - - -3 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4093 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1271 - - 2387 - - 2183 - - 1101 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 13 - - 22 - - 9 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 121 - - 152 - - 121 - - 058 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -6 - - -4 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5956 - - -6699 - - -7116 - - -7128 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10050 - - 10794 - - 11210 - - 11223 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16889 - - -15930 - - -16353 - - -17322 ODpotential blCL - - - 20982 - - 20024 - - 20447 - - 21416 blCL maxRH - - - 27 - - 26 - - 27 - - 19 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.4 - - 52.1 - - 52.7 - - 48.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 17.6 - - 19.9 - - 18.7 - - 14.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.6 - - 53.4 - - 55.1 - - 50.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 16.6 - - 18.8 - - 17.6 - - 13.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -2 - - 8 - - -3 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97246 44 096 45 094 46 091 39 106 97246 90065 42 105 35 103 37 097 35 108 90065 84447 39 102 30 097 34 087 34 086 84447 79772 34 096 30 089 31 082 35 069 79772 75752 28 097 26 086 25 077 31 067 75752 72181 25 093 19 086 16 069 25 061 72181 68932 25 074 18 081 9 055 18 052 68932 65953 23 057 18 058 11 035 17 025 65953 63210 22 035 21 042 18 043 15 009 63210 60564 29 013 26 023 27 028 17 020 60564 57804 30 003 26 004 33 004 27 007 57804 54950 30 000 24 356 32 347 31 352 54950 52239 37 355 29 356 34 345 35 352 52239 49799 39 349 33 352 36 338 40 348 49799 47608 37 343 32 344 39 335 44 343 47608 45617 35 336 34 339 39 337 45 340 45617 43794 26 333 32 333 37 338 41 334 43794 42115 18 355 25 316 33 333 32 332 42115 40563 13 345 12 328 26 316 27 331 40563 39125 12 320 7 304 17 287 27 301 39125 37786 9 300 13 253 14 265 29 265 37786 36503 4 263 16 248 21 240 30 248 36503 35208 4 179 16 239 22 240 28 245 35208 33874 6 163 15 234 19 250 22 253 33874 32504 5 165 15 235 18 258 21 258 32504 31084 2 149 12 241 16 258 20 263 31084 29603 2 137 9 245 14 256 20 272 29603 28063 1 148 8 250 13 261 19 277 28063 26464 1 160 7 253 12 266 17 277 26464 24807 1 168 7 252 13 265 17 278 24807 23096 0 170 7 253 15 268 18 284 23096 21325 1 198 10 262 16 278 18 293 21325 19488 3 231 11 272 14 285 17 304 19488 17618 4 239 10 273 14 287 17 315 17618 15816 5 229 10 273 13 288 14 315 15816 14173 6 226 8 272 11 286 12 304 14173 12710 6 218 7 260 9 278 11 292 12710 11404 7 202 7 234 9 263 11 288 11404 10237 8 184 8 206 10 248 11 284 10237 9195 10 170 10 188 11 237 11 276 9195 8266 12 159 12 176 11 226 10 264 8266 7443 14 153 13 167 9 210 7 246 7443 6712 15 150 13 158 7 188 5 217 6712 6055 15 147 12 148 7 163 5 189 6055 5471 14 145 12 145 9 148 7 170 5471 4981 12 141 11 142 9 140 8 159 4981 4604 9 133 10 141 8 137 7 144 4604 4343 7 126 8 138 7 136 5 120 4343 4184 4*122 6*138 5*130 4*088 4184 4093 3*121 3*152 2*121 3*058 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography