DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/08 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.2 - - 76.4 - - 77.4 - - 73.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 14 - - 26 - - 4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4095 - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2139 - - 4488 - - 6936 - - 607 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 27 - - 32 - - 18 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 58 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 115 - - 325 - - 341 - - 321 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 5 - - 4 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5560 - - -5369 - - -6293 - - -6640 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9655 - - 9466 - - 10389 - - 10737 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9769 - - -8340 - - -9355 - - -10467 ODpotential blCL - - - 13864 - - 12436 - - 13451 - - 14563 blCL maxRH - - - 33 - - 28 - - 28 - - 32 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 180 - - 140 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.2 - - 76.4 - - 77.4 - - 73.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.4 - - 49.0 - - 46.1 - - 41.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.3 - - 76.1 - - 79.2 - - 77.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.2 - - 47.8 - - 44.8 - - 39.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 14 - - 26 - - 4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97773 6 058 13 032 10 061 6 036 97773 90558 13 089 10 085 13 061 12 075 90558 84936 13 087 12 080 11 056 14 066 84936 80262 9 069 10 052 10 033 14 056 80262 76251 11 049 7 027 12 011 15 029 76251 72736 13 044 7 009 12 007 16 014 72736 69567 15 038 9 007 12 352 17 001 69567 66641 13 011 12 348 13 328 17 334 66641 63922 12 339 15 324 20 316 23 323 63922 61296 19 327 19 321 24 312 26 315 61296 58566 25 326 20 319 25 308 26 312 58566 55736 28 314 24 318 25 302 30 307 55736 53034 31 307 31 315 27 304 32 304 53034 50601 32 304 37 299 34 303 31 306 50601 48415 34 305 35 294 36 298 31 308 48415 46420 35 306 33 300 36 297 32 302 46420 44583 38 305 37 303 36 296 33 297 44583 42875 40 307 39 305 35 295 36 293 42875 41278 43 309 41 306 36 294 36 290 41278 39781 44 308 43 304 37 294 36 289 39781 38376 44 309 43 302 39 296 35 290 38376 37031 42 310 42 303 40 297 36 293 37031 35677 38 310 39 303 38 296 37 295 35677 34286 34 310 35 303 36 296 36 295 34286 32863 31 309 30 303 33 295 34 295 32863 31394 29 306 28 303 30 294 32 293 31394 29871 30 305 28 304 27 295 29 292 29871 28295 31 304 27 306 23 298 25 290 28295 26666 29 304 26 306 20 302 20 289 26666 24987 22 308 22 309 16 306 15 283 24987 23260 13 302 14 309 10 307 9 268 23260 21482 5 289 7 298 4 291 5 225 21482 19645 2 170 4 239 2 220 6 188 19645 17784 3 144 5 225 2 221 4 209 17784 15997 1 118 5 241 3 265 5 281 15997 14371 2 313 6 259 4 291 8 290 14371 12917 3 302 5 277 5 307 9 294 12917 11614 2 297 4 282 4 313 7 296 11614 10442 0 005 3 265 3 325 3 304 10442 9389 2 102 2 210 2 346 2 055 9389 8444 4 113 2 166 2 002 4 075 8444 7600 5 122 3 150 2 020 4 075 7600 6845 5 128 3 142 3 029 5 076 6845 6161 4 129 2 134 3 032 4 070 6161 5549 2 120 2 128 2 032 4 058 5549 5034 1 089 1 125 2 028 4 043 5034 4635 1 080 1 107 1 018 3 024 4635 4359 1 089 0 069 1 006 3 357 4359 4191 1*110 0*037 1*000 3*333 4191 4095 1*115 0*325 0*341 3*321 4095 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography