DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/18 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.6 - - 48.5 - - 51.7 - - 51.9 - - 49.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 18 - - 19 - - 14 - - 5 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 646 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4946 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3112 - - 3016 - - 4691 - - 4124 - - 2794 Hgt.Variab. W* 30 - - 103 - - 28 - - 20 - - 24 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 046 - - 057 - - 132 - - 296 - - 135 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1237 - - -361 - - -2030 - - -1998 - - -1594 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5331 - - 5307 - - 6124 - - 6093 - - 5688 sfcLCL ODpotential -3034 - - -1645 - - -3005 - - -3640 - - -4278 ODpotential blCL 7128 - - 6591 - - 7099 - - 7734 - - 8372 blCL maxRH 90 - - 93 - - 88 - - 75 - - 65 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.6 - - 48.5 - - 51.7 - - 51.9 - - 49.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.4 - - 39.4 - - 39.0 - - 39.3 - - 39.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.6 - - 48.0 - - 51.3 - - 51.6 - - 50.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.6 - - 38.8 - - 38.2 - - 38.6 - - 38.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 18 - - 19 - - 14 - - 5 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 646 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 61 - - 73 - - 50 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96819 16 118 19 086 19 102 17 095 14 126 96819 89725 15 096 16 095 12 084 17 102 12 090 89725 84227 15 077 9 086 10 073 17 093 6 082 84227 79638 16 072 11 109 7 081 13 073 11 071 79638 75659 17 074 14 108 7 096 8 060 12 052 75659 72128 12 064 11 096 8 101 7 103 11 045 72128 68923 11 066 6 076 5 106 6 033 10 043 68923 65968 9 019 5 020 5 031 10 342 8 002 65968 63221 10 342 9 012 6 005 8 324 11 344 63221 60551 11 325 9 354 2 360 7 342 12 339 60551 57760 10 335 17 355 9 358 10 346 14 351 57760 54861 11 358 19 000 18 003 18 007 18 015 54861 52089 19 359 25 014 31 006 30 009 31 022 52089 49589 26 004 32 015 39 009 41 006 44 008 49589 47347 32 008 35 012 42 010 45 005 46 004 47347 45310 36 011 37 013 45 012 49 009 49 009 45310 43439 38 015 38 016 44 011 51 009 54 009 43439 41707 39 021 39 021 43 014 51 011 57 010 41707 40092 41 022 42 024 42 019 53 012 61 009 40092 38579 37 024 46 022 42 021 54 012 63 007 38579 37161 39 021 45 020 44 019 52 011 58 005 37161 35806 26 029 41 018 45 016 48 012 52 005 35806 34453 20 045 33 023 39 017 42 010 46 004 34453 33079 18 074 29 036 33 022 36 008 39 003 33079 31694 18 103 22 051 27 036 22 034 29 005 31694 30285 17 116 16 083 23 056 20 045 23 357 30285 28830 17 123 16 091 17 067 20 042 16 360 28830 27323 17 122 12 107 11 068 17 040 13 003 27323 25765 18 119 13 137 6 082 10 037 13 359 25765 24157 18 117 14 150 5 139 3 106 14 343 24157 22503 16 116 11 162 5 166 5 150 14 337 22503 20794 15 115 9 171 2 187 5 122 14 347 20794 19025 13 105 7 151 2 212 5 102 13 355 19025 17228 13 099 6 126 2 138 4 080 11 360 17228 15496 14 105 6 118 4 127 2 064 7 015 15496 13921 18 111 10 132 6 154 2 136 4 029 13921 12515 22 119 15 143 11 156 6 160 1 092 12515 11258 23 130 16 146 15 147 8 159 5 182 11258 10131 23 143 16 151 15 143 8 155 10 177 10131 9122 23 154 15 157 11 140 7 144 13 173 9122 8218 22 159 12 157 9 127 6 126 12 173 8218 7414 18 158 8 144 7 117 6 101 10 173 7414 6696 13 149 6 120 7 117 6 091 8 171 6696 6047 10 136 6 099 6 118 5 091 7 167 6047 5469 7 118 6 089 4 121 3 091 6 160 5469 4981 6 097 5*075 4 123 1 078 6 154 4981 4604 6 072 4*059 3 126 0 329 5 149 4604 4343 6 057 4 058 3 129 1 306 4 145 4343 4184 5*050 3 056 3*129 1*299 3*139 4184 4093 5*046 3 053 3*132 1*296 3*135 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography