DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/11 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.0 - - 56.9 - - 62.3 - - 61.6 - - 58.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 1 - - 1 - - -10 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4094 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 850 - - 1205 - - 2082 - - 1398 - - 511 Hgt.Variab. W* 19 - - 21 - - 19 - - 15 - - 15 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 105 - - 131 - - 129 - - 118 - - 074 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 2 - - 6 - - 3 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5455 - - -5956 - - -4980 - - -5539 - - -5650 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9549 - - 10051 - - 9075 - - 9634 - - 9744 sfcLCL ODpotential -13115 - - -13338 - - -10363 - - -11288 - - -12176 ODpotential blCL 17209 - - 17432 - - 14458 - - 15383 - - 16270 blCL maxRH 45 - - 40 - - 49 - - 50 - - 58 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 55.0 - - 56.9 - - 62.3 - - 61.6 - - 58.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.1 - - 27.8 - - 37.1 - - 34.0 - - 31.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.3 - - 56.7 - - 62.8 - - 62.9 - - 59.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.0 - - 26.6 - - 35.8 - - 32.8 - - 29.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 1 - - 1 - - -10 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96507 33 285 39 287 42 300 43 294 51 289 96507 89489 19 308 26 288 38 297 26 298 30 293 89489 84054 22 312 19 308 29 289 20 308 25 307 84054 79493 20 295 18 309 16 290 16 301 24 294 79493 75537 15 274 14 304 9 272 14 289 19 297 75537 72025 13 282 15 286 15 272 18 290 18 306 72025 68830 18 285 13 264 17 267 19 269 23 301 68830 65896 20 269 13 232 18 261 23 262 30 283 65896 63202 19 279 17 240 25 253 24 254 29 260 63202 60621 30 294 26 254 26 255 21 269 24 247 60621 57917 41 274 39 256 36 259 32 265 30 259 57917 55107 38 254 39 249 45 249 50 254 48 247 55107 52442 34 273 31 256 44 241 51 248 50 241 52442 50039 49 285 38 269 43 253 50 255 47 252 50039 47872 59 282 49 271 53 263 57 262 55 265 47872 45898 62 276 56 266 58 263 66 264 70 268 45898 44091 61 270 55 261 61 262 61 260 72 260 44091 42423 51 269 52 257 59 261 57 257 59 251 42423 40869 41 278 50 254 54 254 54 253 55 248 40869 39408 43 289 42 261 51 248 50 246 57 248 39408 38031 45 296 42 276 45 254 47 247 56 245 38031 36706 46 300 46 286 45 268 44 254 52 244 36706 35374 46 304 46 288 44 272 43 256 50 245 35374 34007 46 306 43 289 41 270 43 255 50 246 34007 32604 38 305 39 286 37 264 39 249 46 241 32604 31152 24 306 31 280 31 256 37 242 42 234 31152 29638 14 301 21 272 25 246 33 237 38 227 29638 28066 8 304 13 249 20 231 27 228 33 219 28066 26438 7 271 11 234 17 206 23 208 29 202 26438 24762 9 229 10 211 18 189 21 193 28 185 24762 23046 7 231 15 189 22 185 23 187 28 179 23046 21284 10 228 18 199 23 193 25 192 28 181 21284 19462 15 220 18 212 23 200 27 195 29 189 19462 17611 15 222 13 218 21 200 26 196 26 198 17611 15830 10 223 10 213 18 197 22 198 21 200 15830 14208 7 200 10 206 16 199 18 200 19 197 14208 12762 8 169 12 198 15 205 16 204 18 199 12762 11469 11 166 14 197 15 212 16 214 18 208 11469 10309 15 170 16 195 16 216 16 227 17 217 10309 9268 17 173 18 193 17 220 15 237 15 220 9268 8337 17 175 19 190 16 222 12 237 13 221 8337 7508 18 175 20 187 14 219 9 226 9 217 7508 6768 18 174 20 184 11 208 7 207 7 205 6768 6099 17 172 18 180 10 183 6 184 7 188 6099 5503 16 167 16 173 11 160 11 161 11 178 5503 5002 14 162 14 163 12 147 13 148 12 173 5002 4615 12 150 11 149 12 142 13 141 11 161 4615 4348 9 131 9 136 11 138 12 135 9 142 4348 4186 7*119 8*133 10*135 10*129 7*114 4186 4093 6*105 7*131 8*129 6*118 4*074 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography