DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/08 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.6 - - 56.1 - - 60.4 - - 61.5 - - 58.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 1 - - 4 - - 10 - - -5 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 644 - - 1725 - - 2597 - - 2247 - - 497 Hgt.Variab. W* 19 - - 20 - - 25 - - 12 - - 17 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 128 - - 073 - - 121 - - 091 - - 112 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 1 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4843 - - -4556 - - -4588 - - -4823 - - -4231 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8938 - - 8651 - - 8683 - - 8918 - - 8326 sfcLCL ODpotential -13281 - - -12807 - - -10640 - - -11117 - - -11123 ODpotential blCL 17375 - - 16901 - - 14734 - - 15211 - - 15217 blCL maxRH 65 - - 84 - - 78 - - 85 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 55.6 - - 56.1 - - 60.4 - - 61.5 - - 58.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.2 - - 32.9 - - 36.8 - - 36.9 - - 36.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.1 - - 56.0 - - 60.1 - - 63.2 - - 59.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.0 - - 31.7 - - 35.7 - - 35.7 - - 35.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 1 - - 4 - - 10 - - -5 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 35 - - 11 - - 38 - - 48 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96209 46 282 43 280 45 284 43 286 51 288 96209 89230 22 304 24 279 24 289 28 282 33 295 89230 83802 23 302 15 295 21 283 21 266 26 284 83802 79262 17 291 13 309 12 273 12 277 24 279 79262 75340 22 289 25 314 17 303 18 303 20 290 75340 71849 30 278 31 305 30 292 26 302 14 324 71849 68648 26 273 28 276 35 282 37 281 29 298 68648 65704 26 274 22 256 32 268 38 267 38 278 65704 62991 29 271 20 263 29 262 35 264 38 274 62991 60370 35 276 30 279 34 273 37 268 37 270 60370 57634 48 273 44 272 42 268 40 267 35 263 57634 54787 52 259 48 262 45 263 45 269 35 265 54787 52079 46 256 49 261 46 263 48 261 43 264 52079 49659 46 260 47 264 42 264 44 256 46 257 49659 47500 43 269 45 274 46 279 46 269 45 259 47500 45556 52 283 54 279 54 280 53 275 51 265 45556 43796 63 279 63 274 53 276 55 275 54 269 43796 42178 61 274 62 271 50 277 51 275 52 268 42178 40663 55 276 56 272 50 280 47 273 51 266 40663 39237 54 279 55 275 49 278 45 269 51 264 39237 37891 53 279 56 276 47 277 44 265 51 263 37891 36595 50 278 57 274 44 278 43 261 52 261 36595 35286 48 275 57 270 43 277 42 257 53 259 35286 33934 48 275 54 266 45 273 43 256 51 260 33934 32545 48 276 51 264 50 269 44 258 49 261 32545 31106 46 276 48 266 51 267 46 261 49 260 31106 29611 42 272 47 270 49 265 46 262 48 259 29611 28062 38 268 45 270 48 264 46 262 48 260 28062 26455 36 266 43 264 47 262 45 263 47 260 26455 24794 35 265 41 258 47 260 44 263 44 260 24794 23081 36 264 42 256 46 261 42 262 41 260 23081 21311 37 262 43 259 44 262 40 262 38 260 21311 19477 37 262 41 263 41 263 38 264 36 262 19477 17615 35 260 37 264 37 265 36 267 34 264 17615 15825 32 256 33 261 33 266 34 269 30 264 15825 14196 30 251 29 255 29 264 31 268 27 263 14196 12745 27 250 26 251 27 260 28 264 23 260 12745 11449 23 253 21 251 24 257 26 260 21 258 11449 10290 20 257 17 251 22 256 24 256 19 255 10290 9253 18 261 14 253 20 255 20 253 17 252 9253 8325 17 264 12 256 18 253 16 252 15 249 8325 7500 16 266 11 260 14 247 13 251 13 248 7500 6763 15 266 9 266 10 236 10 249 12 251 6763 6096 12 264 7 270 6 227 7 243 11 252 6096 5502 9 259 5 277 3 203 4 224 10 245 5502 5002 6 245 3 286 3 147 2 167 8 231 5002 4615 4 221 1 317 3 123 3 123 7 207 4615 4348 4 164 1 074 4 119 4 105 6 175 4348 4186 4*133 2*076 4*120 4*096 6*134 4186 4093 4*128 2*073 4*121 4*091 5*112 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography