DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/30 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.4 - - 74.1 - - 75.0 - - 72.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 29 - - 6 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4077 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2683 - - 4217 - - 4611 - - 2049 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 31 - - 34 - - 20 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 133 - - 076 - - 011 - - 328 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 6 - - 4 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6607 - - -6486 - - -5290 - - -5904 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10703 - - 10582 - - 9385 - - 10000 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14291 - - -12471 - - -10382 - - -12453 ODpotential blCL - - - 18386 - - 16566 - - 14477 - - 16548 blCL maxRH - - - 35 - - 40 - - 33 - - 37 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.4 - - 74.1 - - 75.0 - - 72.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.0 - - 42.0 - - 48.0 - - 42.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.1 - - 73.9 - - 76.0 - - 75.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.8 - - 40.9 - - 46.7 - - 41.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 29 - - 6 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98055 9 308 11 314 6 296 11 323 98055 90762 6 324 4 303 8 303 10 330 90762 85113 6 323 1 073 9 302 5 004 85113 80449 5 322 6 025 3 344 5 077 80449 76440 5 282 9 314 6 354 8 028 76440 72894 5 265 12 287 10 324 11 339 72894 69674 6 233 12 269 13 285 15 318 69674 66711 4 221 12 237 14 267 18 294 66711 63971 6 285 10 240 14 264 18 271 63971 61321 15 294 13 265 19 271 20 274 61321 58564 24 283 21 289 24 280 19 282 58564 55714 30 281 34 291 30 287 27 285 55714 53001 31 289 42 293 36 286 35 286 53001 50559 36 294 44 293 40 288 41 291 50559 48363 36 295 43 294 45 291 48 294 48363 46365 36 296 43 294 47 290 50 292 46365 44531 35 296 41 293 44 289 46 291 44531 42836 35 300 38 294 41 289 41 294 42836 41258 36 306 37 301 37 296 37 299 41258 39783 35 308 36 305 35 304 34 306 39783 38403 33 311 35 307 35 306 31 310 38403 37080 32 312 36 307 36 305 30 311 37080 35746 32 311 36 308 37 307 28 313 35746 34372 31 306 35 307 35 310 26 319 34372 32962 29 303 34 307 33 312 24 326 32962 31504 29 311 34 309 32 315 23 331 31504 29987 30 321 33 312 31 318 22 331 29987 28412 29 330 31 315 29 321 23 329 28412 26783 27 335 27 319 27 323 23 328 26783 25100 23 337 25 321 25 325 23 330 25100 23366 21 333 24 323 23 329 21 338 23366 21574 20 333 22 328 21 336 19 347 21574 19719 17 337 19 335 17 345 16 351 19719 17836 13 340 15 337 15 352 12 351 17836 16024 11 341 12 330 13 347 11 353 16024 14377 8 340 11 324 12 336 11 355 14377 12909 5 330 8 321 11 330 10 351 12909 11598 3 306 6 312 9 325 9 339 11598 10423 2 233 3 281 6 320 8 326 10423 9369 3 181 3 212 2 304 4 327 9369 8426 5 158 5 169 0 075 2 054 8426 7584 6 149 5 157 2 094 5 075 7584 6833 7 144 6 150 2 090 5 079 6833 6152 6 143 5 144 3 089 5 079 6152 5542 5 141 5 139 3 085 5 075 5542 5029 4 137 4 134 2 078 4 064 5029 4633 3 131 3 124 2 061 4 044 4633 4358 3 132 2 107 1 036 3 014 4358 4191 3*131 2*088 1*023 3*342 4191 4094 2*133 1*076 1*011 3*328 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography