DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/19 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.0 - - 70.0 - - 73.2 - - 71.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 30 - - 44 - - 12 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4078 - - 4078 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5182 - - 5525 - - 6600 - - 5670 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 34 - - 39 - - 27 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 119 - - 290 - - 312 - - 329 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 6 - - 2 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5585 - - -6163 - - -6807 - - -5054 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9680 - - 10258 - - 10903 - - 9150 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12110 - - -12236 - - -11777 - - -9214 ODpotential blCL - - - 16205 - - 16331 - - 15872 - - 13309 blCL maxRH - - - 46 - - 44 - - 72 - - 46 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.0 - - 70.0 - - 73.2 - - 71.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.9 - - 39.4 - - 39.7 - - 45.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.5 - - 69.5 - - 73.0 - - 72.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.7 - - 38.2 - - 38.6 - - 43.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 30 - - 44 - - 12 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98671 12 092 10 082 6 053 9 022 98671 91308 12 072 8 071 9 077 6 038 91308 85609 12 076 4 082 7 023 13 053 85609 80881 10 058 3 054 5 028 14 039 80881 76808 4 313 5 331 8 059 8 022 76808 73215 7 118 1 053 2 331 8 340 73215 69963 4 052 2 071 5 288 8 295 69963 66972 11 302 6 297 6 294 8 247 66972 64188 14 285 12 286 8 321 3 230 64188 61478 15 273 19 273 19 294 13 317 61478 58658 17 260 22 256 26 274 21 289 58658 55749 14 276 21 249 28 267 27 275 55749 52981 24 285 22 262 31 268 32 273 52981 50488 33 284 28 273 31 270 34 277 50488 48245 41 284 33 278 35 276 36 279 48245 46203 48 283 38 279 38 278 37 280 46203 44331 47 282 39 278 38 278 38 284 44331 42608 43 282 37 279 39 281 39 290 42608 41016 35 282 32 283 39 283 39 292 41016 39540 26 293 30 288 32 286 37 293 39540 38167 24 296 27 289 30 292 30 297 38167 36856 20 304 27 287 29 288 28 301 36856 35536 20 311 24 294 26 282 26 302 35536 34177 22 319 24 303 25 280 22 300 34177 32784 24 323 25 305 21 280 20 299 32784 31342 24 324 24 309 20 286 19 294 31342 29839 23 327 23 314 20 294 17 289 29839 28278 23 329 22 316 20 297 15 289 28278 26661 23 328 22 318 19 298 17 289 26661 24989 22 326 23 326 18 305 17 292 24989 23264 20 324 23 333 19 315 16 302 23264 21479 20 327 21 335 17 331 13 321 21479 19626 20 333 17 332 13 337 10 338 19626 17744 19 343 14 340 10 337 7 340 17744 15938 16 347 11 340 7 338 4 346 15938 14299 14 347 7 335 6 336 2 060 14299 12840 9 349 3 331 5 319 2 026 12840 11539 5 004 1 337 3 296 3 320 11539 10374 4 048 1 082 1 051 1 272 10374 9330 5 076 2 083 3 064 3 094 9330 8394 5 085 3 081 4 062 6 086 8394 7560 5 088 3 079 4 061 6 083 7560 6813 4 090 3 075 4 057 7 079 6813 6137 4 094 3 070 4 052 7 075 6137 5532 3 092 2 062 3 042 7 071 5532 5023 2 096 1 038 2 018 6 062 5023 4629 1 101 1 341 2 354 5 050 4629 4356 1 109 1 311 1 332 4 032 4356 4190 1*108 1*300 1*321 3*356 4190 4094 1*119 1*290 1*312 3*329 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography