DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/20 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 29.6 - - 32.6 - - 36.7 - - 37.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 50 - - 33 - - 24 - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 120 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4074 - - 4075 - - 4075 - - 4075 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4092 - - 4092 - - 4093 - - 4420 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3122 - - 3304 - - 3669 - - 3437 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 40 - - 35 - - 32 - - 51 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 6 - - 2 - - 4 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 298 - - 225 - - 182 - - 164 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - 1 - - -1 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2263 - - -2531 - - -2878 - - -2679 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6356 - - 6623 - - 6971 - - 7099 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5860 - - -6988 - - -6671 - - -6514 ODpotential blCL - - - 9952 - - 11080 - - 10764 - - 10934 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 63 - - 74 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 29.6 - - 32.6 - - 36.7 - - 37.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 16.3 - - 18.1 - - 20.6 - - 20.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 28.8 - - 32.1 - - 36.1 - - 37.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 15.3 - - 17.1 - - 19.4 - - 19.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 50 - - 33 - - 24 - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 120 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 21 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96740 24 139 20 096 19 087 29 100 96740 89583 21 130 17 122 16 102 19 100 89583 84014 18 117 14 124 13 118 10 093 84014 79353 9 096 9 118 11 127 9 128 79353 75310 10 073 9 137 6 163 3 102 75310 71717 3 013 3 108 7 155 4 192 71717 68447 2 184 4 247 4 221 1 268 68447 65423 4 302 11 288 4 239 4 287 65423 62609 13 270 18 280 12 295 10 328 62609 59887 10 244 15 271 21 294 19 309 59887 57054 7 292 17 303 25 303 24 297 57054 54105 29 306 27 308 30 302 28 293 54105 51275 35 298 36 308 35 302 32 293 51275 48723 38 301 43 308 39 302 35 293 48723 46433 41 302 45 304 41 300 38 294 46433 44355 41 307 46 301 44 300 41 294 44355 42454 44 311 47 301 47 300 44 295 42454 40702 48 308 48 302 48 298 48 296 40702 39078 49 306 48 300 51 296 48 298 39078 37575 51 306 49 300 54 296 50 304 37575 36187 52 305 52 299 52 295 56 306 36187 34877 53 307 50 301 49 296 57 303 34877 33581 57 310 48 304 46 298 52 297 33581 32274 63 313 49 307 49 300 45 288 32274 30953 71 317 50 311 50 299 41 291 30953 29595 73 322 54 318 49 302 39 294 29595 28182 77 326 55 319 48 307 37 291 28182 26713 73 330 54 319 44 309 37 289 26713 25188 54 330 48 327 41 304 36 291 25188 23612 39 328 38 332 34 299 31 292 23612 21989 34 330 29 329 27 298 28 280 21989 20317 29 335 24 329 23 296 24 268 20317 18591 26 343 20 327 19 294 18 264 18591 16841 24 346 15 328 15 290 14 265 16841 15158 22 351 13 328 12 284 14 258 15158 13624 19 358 11 324 10 275 14 249 13624 12255 15 002 8 318 9 260 14 242 12255 11033 9 357 5 300 9 245 14 236 11033 9940 6 339 5 268 9 235 14 232 9940 8962 5 323 4 248 10 226 13 228 8962 8088 5 320 4 243 10 215 11 224 8088 7311 5 322 4 241 9 200 9 213 7311 6616 4 323 3 240 7 188 8 197 6616 5988 5 314 2 236 6 180 7 184 5988 5427 6 304 2 235 5 178 6 175 5427 4954 6 301 2 236 4 180 5 170 4954 4589 6 300 1 236 4 181 4*170 4589 4335 6 299 1 228 4 182 3*166 4335 4181 6*298 1*230 4*182 2 162 4181 4092 6*298 1*225 3*182 2 162 4092 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography