DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/24 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.8 - - 79.6 - - 78.4 - - 72.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 19 - - 32 - - -16 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4095 - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2943 - - 10610 - - 10402 - - 2473 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 30 - - 34 - - 22 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 1 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 134 - - 001 - - 271 - - 308 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 0 - - -5 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5485 - - -6093 - - -5399 - - -5203 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9581 - - 10189 - - 9495 - - 9298 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9375 - - -8067 - - -7711 - - -8794 ODpotential blCL - - - 13470 - - 12163 - - 11807 - - 12889 blCL maxRH - - - 43 - - 57 - - 68 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 50 - - 990 - - 1200 - - 230 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.8 - - 79.6 - - 78.4 - - 72.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.1 - - 49.0 - - 50.9 - - 46.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.7 - - 79.8 - - 79.4 - - 74.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.9 - - 47.8 - - 49.6 - - 45.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 19 - - 32 - - -16 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 43 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98356 4 228 6 162 14 169 11 223 98356 90985 6 204 1 260 5 182 4 157 90985 85306 4 187 3 327 4 151 3 249 85306 80602 4 186 2 326 4 047 2 109 80602 76558 2 206 3 224 7 336 5 074 76558 72978 3 242 4 237 5 325 9 021 72978 69729 6 137 5 219 4 244 1 341 69729 66730 4 111 8 223 4 273 5 183 66730 63937 5 253 9 237 12 274 8 250 63937 61225 10 261 9 237 13 240 14 243 61225 58378 23 247 21 251 18 255 7 248 58378 55419 26 234 31 237 32 251 29 264 55419 52616 27 227 33 230 35 242 38 245 52616 50112 28 233 31 234 33 241 36 241 50112 47884 30 240 30 238 34 243 37 243 47884 45884 29 242 27 241 31 244 34 243 45884 44076 25 242 28 254 26 264 32 258 44076 42426 20 250 25 260 28 278 34 265 42426 40895 21 248 23 260 28 274 34 263 40895 39454 21 247 22 254 28 261 32 260 39454 38091 19 244 22 248 28 252 28 255 38091 36780 20 238 21 246 27 248 27 251 36780 35455 22 234 20 246 27 246 28 249 35455 34091 26 231 20 240 24 241 27 242 34091 32692 29 229 25 233 22 233 27 233 32692 31244 30 228 30 229 25 228 27 228 31244 29738 30 229 31 227 31 228 30 227 29738 28179 29 229 31 226 33 228 32 225 28179 26568 27 230 31 225 31 227 32 225 26568 24902 26 229 28 224 30 225 31 228 24902 23187 24 230 24 220 28 222 31 230 23187 21418 19 231 22 212 27 217 31 228 21418 19593 14 228 21 204 26 215 29 222 19593 17744 13 224 20 209 22 207 27 209 17744 15967 15 220 22 221 17 194 22 189 15967 14345 18 220 20 226 15 193 20 183 14345 12892 21 221 19 228 14 198 17 189 12892 11589 21 223 18 231 13 211 15 200 11589 10418 20 227 16 234 13 227 16 215 10418 9366 19 230 14 236 14 239 19 229 9366 8423 17 231 13 238 16 249 22 238 8423 7582 15 230 11 239 18 254 24 245 7582 6830 13 225 9 241 18 257 24 251 6830 6150 10 218 6 242 19 259 23 256 6150 5541 7 208 4 245 19 261 23 262 5541 5029 6 195 2 253 18 262 21 266 5029 4632 5 179 1 280 18 264 18 271 4632 4358 4 158 1 327 17 265 14 277 4358 4190 3*145 1*353 16*266 10*286 4190 4094 3*134 1*001 11*271 5*308 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography