DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/01 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.2 - - 74.1 - - 76.5 - - 74.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 49 - - 57 - - 19 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 183 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4077 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4862 - - 4483 - - 4096 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5359 - - 8549 - - 11897 - - 9194 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 132 - - 97 - - 32 - - 22 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 5 - - 7 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 353 - - 048 - - 354 - - 313 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 10 - - 4 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6915 - - -7642 - - -5688 - - -4411 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11778 - - 12125 - - 9785 - - 8506 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11452 - - -10784 - - -7292 - - -6550 ODpotential blCL - - - 16314 - - 15267 - - 11388 - - 10645 blCL maxRH - - - 54 - - 77 - - 80 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 1070 - - 1290 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.2 - - 74.1 - - 76.5 - - 74.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.8 - - 35.0 - - 47.5 - - 50.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.7 - - 73.6 - - 76.7 - - 74.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.7 - - 33.9 - - 46.4 - - 49.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 49 - - 57 - - 19 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 183 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 9 - - 20 - - 39 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99311 30 104 27 119 27 122 23 109 99311 91753 26 107 27 119 16 121 24 093 91753 85939 25 117 22 118 19 101 19 086 85939 81130 25 114 23 118 19 103 18 089 81130 77000 19 095 19 100 21 109 17 107 77000 73357 13 124 15 082 20 100 18 125 73357 70054 14 129 9 109 13 104 15 119 70054 67001 11 150 9 151 4 114 8 096 67001 64162 10 166 4 214 4 103 8 116 64162 61408 8 157 10 209 4 239 5 110 61408 58534 4 222 8 190 7 223 4 201 58534 55561 13 246 15 241 15 253 11 290 55561 52724 10 252 15 235 21 245 18 269 52724 50165 17 282 16 257 22 249 21 268 50165 47869 26 280 20 273 20 263 21 269 47869 45794 33 278 24 282 23 274 23 273 45794 43906 35 278 26 277 27 274 25 278 43906 42177 31 279 27 271 30 272 25 282 42177 40586 29 286 28 273 30 271 23 281 40586 39112 30 289 31 271 30 269 21 281 39112 37742 33 291 32 267 29 266 19 277 37742 36435 32 292 30 260 27 261 18 271 36435 35122 30 294 27 259 24 256 17 268 35122 33774 26 298 28 261 21 250 16 266 33774 32394 23 298 25 261 21 251 15 261 32394 30967 22 299 23 258 23 258 15 258 30967 29483 23 300 22 254 22 262 17 259 29483 27945 23 300 20 251 18 250 18 261 27945 26350 21 303 18 254 14 242 17 261 26350 24705 18 308 15 261 12 249 17 254 24705 23013 17 313 12 269 11 254 16 249 23013 21266 13 307 10 267 10 254 15 250 21266 19458 12 293 10 257 10 254 16 248 19458 17624 13 278 12 255 13 250 20 236 17624 15861 14 264 15 256 15 255 20 227 15861 14255 13 257 15 253 15 261 8 241 14255 12821 12 261 15 254 14 267 5 280 12821 11534 11 260 15 256 12 279 6 311 11534 10377 9 253 14 258 11 293 9 318 10377 9336 8 255 11 261 10 312 11 316 9336 8402 7 263 9 265 10 324 13 314 8402 7567 6 269 6 274 10 332 15 311 7567 6821 5 278 4 292 10 338 17 308 6821 6144 4 291 3 334 10 343 18 307 6144 5538 3 307 4 015 10 346 18 308 5538 5027 3*328 5 032 10 349 18 308 5027 4632 2*347 6*042 10 351 18 308 4632 4358 2 352 6*047 9 352 16 310 4358 4191 2 355 6 048 8*353 15*310 4191 4094 2 358 5 048 7*354 9*313 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography