DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/06 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.5 - - 71.2 - - 74.4 - - 71.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 40 - - 50 - - 22 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4077 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5725 - - 7444 - - 8110 - - 5549 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 36 - - 40 - - 32 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 250 - - 230 - - 214 - - 174 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3953 - - -7142 - - -7927 - - -5306 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8048 - - 11237 - - 12023 - - 9401 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6155 - - -10470 - - -10925 - - -8021 ODpotential blCL - - - 10250 - - 14565 - - 15020 - - 12116 blCL maxRH - - - 46 - - 34 - - 29 - - 41 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 170 - - 590 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.5 - - 71.2 - - 74.4 - - 71.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.5 - - 36.2 - - 35.9 - - 44.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.6 - - 70.6 - - 74.1 - - 73.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.4 - - 35.0 - - 34.8 - - 43.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 40 - - 50 - - 22 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98030 18 247 20 260 19 274 20 271 98030 90523 17 252 19 264 14 259 18 264 90523 84735 12 268 15 266 16 251 12 273 84735 79959 8 271 15 252 16 265 9 308 79959 75882 4 223 14 244 17 283 9 323 75882 72292 5 316 8 272 11 296 8 293 72292 69032 9 302 13 288 14 307 14 311 69032 66032 10 290 16 294 18 304 19 318 66032 63256 15 309 19 305 17 303 17 321 63256 60575 15 307 16 304 18 316 17 326 60575 57782 15 328 13 324 18 315 20 326 57782 54886 19 359 14 353 14 314 21 322 54886 52133 22 354 19 344 15 329 19 320 52133 49676 22 355 23 339 23 339 19 336 49676 47494 26 001 23 344 26 338 25 329 47494 45534 31 012 24 356 27 339 30 326 45534 43753 38 018 31 359 33 340 37 328 43753 42115 43 017 36 357 39 339 43 330 42115 40588 45 015 38 356 40 336 46 330 40588 39154 43 016 37 358 39 337 45 331 39154 37806 39 016 35 002 36 340 40 333 37806 36511 36 015 33 003 34 344 36 338 36511 35205 33 015 31 000 31 348 33 342 35205 33860 31 014 29 000 31 353 30 345 33860 32478 29 012 29 005 31 000 28 349 32478 31048 27 009 28 008 30 006 26 357 31048 29561 26 007 25 007 27 009 23 003 29561 28016 26 010 21 007 22 008 22 004 28016 26417 26 016 19 011 17 005 21 357 26417 24766 26 024 19 021 17 011 18 347 24766 23069 28 031 21 030 19 018 15 347 23069 21318 29 034 22 036 19 024 11 358 21318 19505 30 035 22 040 17 032 8 005 19505 17664 27 037 21 041 14 035 5 358 17664 15892 24 037 18 039 11 030 7 343 15892 14279 20 036 15 035 9 010 14 346 14279 12838 17 035 11 033 7 353 15 343 12838 11546 14 035 8 028 7 350 13 335 11546 10384 9 032 7 027 7 352 10 324 10384 9339 7 022 7 026 7 355 9 311 9339 8403 6 022 7 025 6 354 8 304 8403 7566 6 023 6 021 6 353 7 300 7566 6818 5 024 5 015 5 349 6 297 6818 6141 5 020 4 004 4 343 4 291 6141 5535 4 011 3 344 4 335 3 274 5535 5025 3 356 2 318 2 321 2 227 5025 4630 2 334 2 285 2 289 3 191 4630 4356 2 309 2 249 2 237 5 180 4356 4190 2*283 3*234 2*218 6*178 4190 4094 2*250 3*230 3*214 5*174 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography