DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/12 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.8 - - 63.8 - - 63.7 - - 57.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 30 - - -13 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4094 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1471 - - 6640 - - 4434 - - 1039 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 29 - - 33 - - 17 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 5 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 155 - - 302 - - 297 - - 302 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -2 - - -6 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5193 - - -6849 - - -4960 - - -4227 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9287 - - 10945 - - 9056 - - 8322 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10617 - - -10999 - - -8156 - - -9498 ODpotential blCL - - - 14711 - - 15094 - - 12251 - - 13593 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 47 - - 43 - - 55 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.8 - - 63.8 - - 63.7 - - 57.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.0 - - 30.5 - - 38.6 - - 35.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.3 - - 66.1 - - 65.2 - - 60.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.9 - - 29.4 - - 37.3 - - 34.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 30 - - -13 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96347 13 006 5 264 11 297 6 008 96347 89268 4 336 6 003 5 328 13 064 89268 83772 2 163 5 334 11 334 12 025 83772 79180 6 017 6 336 7 330 10 351 79180 75225 15 000 12 317 16 333 19 325 75225 71752 20 343 16 343 17 327 16 312 71752 68614 29 317 22 349 21 344 25 327 68614 65729 35 305 37 319 35 332 31 324 65729 63057 36 301 42 307 43 321 39 322 63057 60456 37 306 42 302 45 313 47 311 60456 57735 41 313 43 304 45 307 51 304 57735 54904 47 309 50 310 48 306 53 305 54904 52187 53 301 54 311 53 310 54 310 52187 49728 58 294 60 304 63 308 60 311 49728 47528 58 294 62 296 70 300 63 306 47528 45547 56 302 57 296 64 296 63 302 45547 43740 58 314 54 308 54 302 54 300 43740 42077 60 314 53 310 50 304 49 300 42077 40535 56 308 48 304 47 302 48 298 40535 39099 52 303 46 304 44 307 46 298 39099 37755 44 304 40 301 42 304 42 297 37755 36463 33 308 35 299 37 299 38 298 36463 35156 36 301 34 295 33 300 37 300 35156 33808 40 299 33 293 32 299 38 299 33808 32423 42 301 35 290 34 295 44 297 32423 30993 43 301 42 286 38 293 55 300 30993 29508 44 298 46 286 43 291 63 302 29508 27969 45 295 47 288 47 294 67 302 27969 26372 46 295 48 291 52 299 66 302 26372 24718 47 294 49 294 53 302 62 306 24718 23010 47 295 49 298 51 303 57 311 23010 21244 47 299 47 302 47 303 49 313 21244 19416 45 302 45 305 42 305 43 309 19416 17561 41 302 42 305 36 305 38 307 17561 15780 35 301 39 303 32 304 31 305 15780 14161 30 297 34 298 29 301 25 304 14161 12719 26 294 28 291 25 296 21 303 12719 11432 23 291 22 281 21 288 18 301 11432 10279 20 289 17 273 18 283 17 300 10279 9246 18 288 16 274 18 284 18 300 9246 8321 17 286 16 276 18 285 19 298 8321 7498 15 283 15 279 19 286 21 296 7498 6763 14 280 13 282 19 287 22 292 6763 6098 12 277 12 286 19 288 22 289 6098 5504 9 274 11 290 18 289 21 287 5504 5004 6 271 9 294 18 290 20 288 5004 4618 3 265 8 297 17 291 17 289 4618 4350 1 219 7 300 16 293 14 290 4350 4187 1*172 6*301 14*294 11*292 4187 4094 1*155 5*302 10*297 5*302 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography