DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/26 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.3 - - 51.0 - - 55.8 - - 55.9 - - 52.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 7 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1145 - - 1238 - - 1593 - - 1809 - - 1033 Hgt.Variab. W* 24 - - 21 - - 18 - - 8 - - 16 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 167 - - 122 - - 090 - - 046 - - 093 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -2 - - 2 - - 0 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4887 - - -4977 - - -3916 - - -4580 - - -5318 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8982 - - 9072 - - 8010 - - 8675 - - 9413 sfcLCL ODpotential -13870 - - -13134 - - -9623 - - -10698 - - -12527 ODpotential blCL 17964 - - 17228 - - 13717 - - 14792 - - 16621 blCL maxRH 63 - - 54 - - 56 - - 53 - - 36 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.3 - - 51.0 - - 55.8 - - 55.9 - - 52.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.9 - - 26.2 - - 35.3 - - 32.7 - - 26.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.7 - - 50.8 - - 55.6 - - 57.3 - - 52.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.7 - - 25.1 - - 34.2 - - 31.4 - - 25.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 7 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96351 36 090 27 087 33 078 29 094 26 087 96351 89283 22 073 19 081 10 109 16 067 17 085 89283 83797 6 094 9 061 6 087 2 102 16 076 83797 79203 6 090 2 352 8 007 6 003 13 047 79203 75234 10 049 5 316 8 340 8 350 12 001 75234 71731 12 013 9 333 12 350 7 352 9 331 71731 68552 14 353 13 304 18 324 15 339 14 331 68552 65633 14 321 12 305 20 311 17 328 14 343 65633 62922 16 329 18 314 23 315 22 327 20 348 62922 60286 22 318 22 313 29 317 31 313 29 326 60286 57538 25 307 24 318 27 312 31 306 29 310 57538 54681 30 319 33 329 27 317 31 306 30 293 54681 51948 40 313 41 322 36 318 36 301 29 295 51948 49488 39 300 40 311 39 311 38 294 33 308 49488 47301 34 298 34 296 33 304 35 286 34 298 47301 45350 33 308 32 299 31 300 27 284 36 278 45350 43580 37 305 33 307 28 291 16 291 26 259 43580 41954 30 294 31 315 24 282 17 284 8 268 41954 40451 20 311 21 321 19 283 20 266 6 249 40451 39042 25 339 23 340 15 288 26 237 20 218 39042 37714 29 345 28 340 13 305 26 233 29 210 37714 36432 28 339 25 330 13 324 26 225 31 203 36432 35136 24 333 18 310 12 310 25 211 32 203 35136 33795 21 325 12 288 12 262 23 205 33 202 33795 32415 22 319 15 279 16 228 20 204 33 206 32415 30984 23 312 25 271 19 229 23 213 36 220 30984 29496 26 303 31 261 24 227 30 221 33 232 29496 27952 31 287 34 261 35 236 40 230 29 239 27952 26352 32 280 35 261 42 245 40 239 27 242 26352 24698 32 273 37 259 39 248 32 246 29 245 24698 22991 38 271 40 261 36 256 29 251 26 252 22991 21230 41 278 39 270 32 272 25 263 19 261 21230 19408 38 292 30 291 27 285 19 272 18 266 19408 17559 36 303 26 299 22 294 18 278 20 277 17559 15779 34 310 26 308 22 300 20 294 23 293 15779 14157 32 312 25 309 21 303 21 305 23 306 14157 12709 27 309 21 305 19 301 21 309 20 310 12709 11413 22 302 17 297 17 294 19 308 18 310 11413 10252 17 295 14 286 16 288 17 304 15 306 10252 9212 13 290 12 276 15 282 16 300 14 301 9212 8284 10 284 11 264 15 276 15 295 13 294 8284 7460 8 277 9 251 13 269 13 286 10 285 7460 6727 6 265 8 233 11 259 9 273 7 274 6727 6066 4 242 7 217 8 250 4 253 4 247 6066 5479 5 194 7 202 4 248 2 186 4 185 5479 4986 7 183 6 191 1 277 2 125 5 165 4986 4606 7 177 4 173 3 083 2 102 5 150 4606 4344 6 173 4 142 3 090 2 072 4 124 4344 4184 5*169 3*127 3*091 2*056 4*104 4184 4093 4*167 3*122 3*090 2*046 3*093 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography