DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/10 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.7 - - 40.2 - - 45.6 - - 47.6 - - 44.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 12 - - 19 - - 6 - - -6 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4075 - - 4075 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4093 - - 4093 - - 4093 - - 4094 - - 4093 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1439 - - 1515 - - 2261 - - 2331 - - 1474 Hgt.Variab. W* 27 - - 30 - - 22 - - 12 - - 15 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 130 - - 131 - - 126 - - 088 - - 113 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -2 - - 1 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4872 - - -5128 - - -4985 - - -4289 - - -5223 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8965 - - 9222 - - 9079 - - 8384 - - 9317 sfcLCL ODpotential -14687 - - -14720 - - -13162 - - -11144 - - -14242 ODpotential blCL 18780 - - 18813 - - 17255 - - 15238 - - 18335 blCL maxRH 85 - - 79 - - 84 - - 82 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.7 - - 40.2 - - 45.6 - - 47.6 - - 44.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 14.7 - - 15.0 - - 20.8 - - 25.8 - - 18.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.9 - - 39.8 - - 45.3 - - 48.0 - - 44.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 13.6 - - 13.9 - - 19.7 - - 24.7 - - 17.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 12 - - 19 - - 6 - - -6 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 38 - - 16 - - 34 - - 29 - - 61 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96086 32 290 24 316 25 325 23 310 23 326 96086 89181 20 351 13 010 16 329 20 340 19 353 89181 83780 17 010 13 012 15 336 20 351 14 002 83780 79252 13 026 16 356 17 347 16 351 12 012 79252 75308 12 028 11 346 14 001 14 358 15 008 75308 71796 12 034 9 351 11 351 15 354 15 007 71796 68603 11 046 5 009 8 324 13 334 15 359 68603 65672 21 002 15 007 11 329 15 330 15 340 65672 62963 15 338 16 358 16 335 17 321 18 316 62963 60338 29 350 25 349 23 328 20 304 18 293 60338 57582 31 338 22 344 23 324 19 306 21 303 57582 54714 43 322 31 320 28 302 31 293 34 288 54714 51974 36 320 26 310 28 292 33 278 30 283 51974 49495 31 335 23 315 27 297 33 296 33 294 49495 47267 41 336 34 317 37 303 41 296 37 302 47267 45256 47 329 45 310 45 296 43 289 45 295 45256 43456 41 329 44 307 42 291 39 289 44 287 43456 41839 35 343 33 315 36 293 48 299 45 292 41839 40350 40 349 31 325 41 303 53 298 52 295 40350 38950 44 340 43 321 38 302 49 297 55 296 38950 37624 42 345 42 321 36 303 51 297 51 296 37624 36345 35 354 35 325 36 305 45 296 45 293 36345 35051 29 350 26 330 33 305 33 296 42 290 35051 33715 33 335 24 324 28 306 30 288 36 286 33715 32340 30 337 25 320 23 303 30 287 30 282 32340 30914 27 333 27 318 22 298 28 288 28 284 30914 29423 27 334 25 314 22 298 24 282 26 285 29423 27872 22 333 22 301 20 300 19 277 22 282 27872 26269 15 316 20 295 20 281 19 275 23 282 26269 24613 14 296 20 288 19 275 20 274 26 282 24613 22904 16 282 19 285 19 271 19 273 25 277 22904 21139 18 273 18 280 19 267 16 276 22 276 21139 19311 17 271 15 278 15 267 11 270 18 278 19311 17455 12 263 10 268 11 257 9 240 11 277 17455 15668 9 240 8 239 10 241 10 228 8 262 15668 14043 8 217 8 223 10 238 10 228 8 242 14043 12596 8 202 10 206 10 237 10 229 8 234 12596 11306 9 191 12 193 10 234 9 228 7 236 11306 10153 11 181 14 186 11 224 9 219 5 233 10153 9124 12 174 16 181 12 209 10 207 5 214 9124 8208 14 168 18 175 14 198 12 198 7 198 8208 7397 16 164 19 169 15 189 12 192 9 189 7397 6676 17 159 18 165 13 180 10 183 8 182 6676 6029 18 152 17 162 11 167 9 168 9 178 6029 5453 19 148 16 159 9 151 9 151 11 169 5453 4970 17 144 13 154 7 138 9 136 10 159 4970 4597 14 138 10 145 7 130 8 130 9 146 4597 4339 12 135 8 138 6 129 6 122 7 131 4339 4182 9*133 7*134 6*128 5*112 5*119 4182 4092 7*130 6*131 5*126 4*088 4*113 4092 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography