DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/06 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.8 - - 76.4 - - 77.3 - - 73.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 14 - - 27 - - 4 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4095 - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1953 - - 4392 - - 7935 - - 752 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 26 - - 33 - - 18 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 12 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 273 - - 162 - - 263 - - 330 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 4 - - 1 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4933 - - -5763 - - -5965 - - -6406 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9029 - - 9860 - - 10061 - - 10502 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8504 - - -8491 - - -8648 - - -10550 ODpotential blCL - - - 12599 - - 12587 - - 12744 - - 14646 blCL maxRH - - - 42 - - 33 - - 35 - - 32 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 140 - - 230 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.8 - - 76.4 - - 77.3 - - 73.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.6 - - 47.4 - - 47.5 - - 42.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.0 - - 76.3 - - 78.9 - - 77.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.4 - - 46.2 - - 46.2 - - 41.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 14 - - 27 - - 4 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97852 7 294 13 227 13 281 9 357 97852 90555 8 094 7 231 6 314 3 042 90555 84932 6 043 4 177 3 170 1 039 84932 80294 3 013 6 039 10 109 7 113 80294 76311 6 080 11 012 11 060 12 073 76311 72794 12 078 9 343 13 013 15 036 72794 69623 10 034 4 037 9 359 11 012 69623 66713 7 352 1 354 8 350 11 006 66713 64005 6 309 8 278 12 307 13 324 64005 61380 10 294 9 264 13 287 12 278 61380 58643 17 290 17 287 21 294 17 298 58643 55806 24 283 28 277 33 285 32 286 55806 53100 32 290 39 288 42 287 40 288 53100 50667 49 290 53 288 56 288 56 294 50667 48491 57 289 61 289 66 290 68 295 48491 46508 65 292 66 291 72 291 72 296 46508 44677 68 294 69 294 71 293 71 296 44677 42973 69 294 69 295 69 295 68 296 42973 41379 68 293 68 295 67 296 66 296 41379 39886 64 296 64 295 64 295 64 295 39886 38483 61 299 61 295 61 295 62 295 38483 37137 62 300 61 297 59 296 59 295 37137 35783 63 299 61 299 59 298 57 298 35783 34393 58 299 60 298 59 300 55 301 34393 32971 50 301 57 299 59 301 53 303 32971 31504 39 304 50 300 53 300 49 303 31504 29981 27 303 38 299 45 297 45 300 29981 28405 18 294 21 295 36 301 39 302 28405 26777 14 287 15 287 24 303 25 305 26777 25098 11 288 11 280 18 300 17 298 25098 23367 11 296 9 283 14 292 15 293 23367 21578 9 314 7 286 8 284 11 282 21578 19725 5 342 1 308 4 274 6 264 19725 17848 5 047 3 067 2 241 4 274 17848 16045 7 067 3 085 2 242 4 302 16045 14406 5 065 1 079 2 272 5 319 14406 12943 3 094 0 330 1 289 5 332 12943 11634 3 114 1 224 1 060 4 338 11634 10457 4 122 1 178 3 068 2 024 10457 9400 5 139 1 148 4 069 3 081 9400 8452 5 149 1 111 5 067 5 082 8452 7606 4 154 1 073 5 066 5 078 7606 6848 3 158 2 054 4 063 6 075 6848 6163 1 155 2 052 3 056 5 071 6163 5551 1 003 3 042 2 043 6 061 5551 5034 2 338 2 040 2 019 7 051 5034 4635 2 332 2 036 1 338 6 041 4635 4359 1 332 1 046 1 306 4 023 4359 4191 0*316 0*098 1*283 3*347 4191 4095 0*273 1*162 1*263 3*330 4095 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography