DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/05 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 69.7 - - 72.5 - - 78.7 - - 79.2 - - 75.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 16 - - 27 - - 5 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4077 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 Hcrit BL Top 4095 - - 4095 - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 807 - - 2165 - - 9862 - - 13369 - - 781 Hgt.Variab. W* 16 - - 27 - - 33 - - 19 - - 11 W* B/S 1 - - 10 - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 314 - - 002 - - 023 - - 324 - - 209 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - 3 - - 6 - - 3 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6222 - - -5859 - - -6073 - - -6798 - - -7311 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10317 - - 9954 - - 10169 - - 10894 - - 11408 sfcLCL ODpotential -10789 - - -9270 - - -8073 - - -8757 - - -10212 ODpotential blCL 14884 - - 13365 - - 12169 - - 12853 - - 14308 blCL maxRH 68 - - 84 - - 85 - - 89 - - 66 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 250 - - 850 - - 630 - - 130 CAPE Temp@2m 69.7 - - 72.5 - - 78.7 - - 79.2 - - 75.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.2 - - 43.4 - - 48.4 - - 45.8 - - 39.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 70.4 - - 73.3 - - 78.9 - - 81.0 - - 78.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.0 - - 42.2 - - 47.2 - - 44.5 - - 38.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 16 - - 27 - - 5 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 37 - - 39 - - 57 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97887 10 259 9 282 8 276 8 252 8 258 97887 90591 3 057 7 246 8 285 5 322 2 061 90591 84947 9 053 1 139 4 287 6 333 10 029 84947 80286 9 052 5 073 2 057 2 358 9 029 80286 76301 8 052 6 068 4 028 9 016 10 048 76301 72802 15 044 10 075 3 092 8 003 11 032 72802 69644 13 018 10 040 6 026 10 359 11 010 69644 66742 10 007 8 025 5 345 11 341 11 353 66742 64051 8 003 7 357 5 338 9 328 11 326 64051 61433 9 314 8 321 6 301 9 299 12 287 61433 58694 16 292 14 309 13 300 14 291 15 275 58694 55843 24 281 20 298 19 292 21 306 22 299 55843 53119 29 285 31 300 34 297 35 297 37 296 53119 50673 42 289 45 289 46 290 48 293 49 298 50673 48473 53 287 53 285 54 286 61 291 61 301 48473 46464 57 285 57 282 60 286 69 290 66 301 46464 44610 59 282 59 282 63 288 69 292 70 300 44610 42886 59 280 61 285 65 291 69 293 72 300 42886 41274 57 281 61 287 67 292 70 294 73 301 41274 39762 52 281 60 287 66 292 70 296 72 301 39762 38343 50 281 54 286 63 293 69 296 69 302 38343 36984 50 280 51 285 60 293 61 296 67 302 36984 35622 52 277 51 283 58 292 55 299 59 304 35622 34232 53 270 52 280 57 289 55 301 53 309 34232 32815 47 261 54 276 56 287 55 302 50 315 32815 31355 36 239 54 275 55 283 53 301 50 312 31355 29837 33 219 41 274 51 285 47 300 41 319 29837 28262 32 214 28 259 35 288 37 300 36 323 28262 26639 32 210 24 233 21 292 25 300 31 327 26639 24971 29 206 18 227 19 287 14 306 23 325 24971 23258 27 206 15 229 17 276 13 310 17 332 23258 21493 26 208 14 223 11 272 12 300 15 344 21493 19669 21 210 12 218 7 266 9 298 11 343 19669 17820 12 217 6 202 10 253 11 289 8 329 17820 16038 5 216 3 202 11 243 11 292 7 311 16038 14411 4 225 5 283 9 261 10 298 8 315 14411 12953 2 196 10 311 8 295 9 316 8 326 12953 11644 2 360 13 311 9 300 9 323 8 338 11644 10468 5 351 14 306 9 299 9 324 8 347 10468 9409 6 345 12 309 9 299 9 328 8 354 9409 8460 6 340 11 305 9 302 8 332 8 358 8460 7612 6 336 9 300 8 308 8 336 7 002 7612 6854 5 339 8 294 8 316 7 341 6 004 6854 6167 6 337 7 292 7 327 7 344 5 008 6167 5553 8 322 6 294 6 339 6 347 3 026 5553 5036 10 311 5 298 6 351 5 349 2 051 5036 4636 10 304 3 306 5 000 4 350 2 082 4636 4360 7 301 2 321 4 006 3 350 1 132 4360 4191 4*302 1*333 3*011 2*344 2*196 4191 4095 2*314 0*002 2*023 1*324 2*209 4095 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography