DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/15 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.3 - - 63.0 - - 68.9 - - 72.6 - - 67.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 16 - - 49 - - 58 - - 13 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 668 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4078 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4968 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3387 - - 3765 - - 7080 - - 12785 - - 6291 Hgt.Variab. W* 30 - - 138 - - 43 - - 30 - - 19 W* B/S 1 - - 35 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 1 - - 5 - - 9 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 345 - - 275 - - 048 - - 322 - - 285 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -9 - - 10 - - -1 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5092 - - -6094 - - -7013 - - -5786 - - -5096 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9186 - - 11063 - - 11109 - - 9882 - - 9191 sfcLCL ODpotential -9699 - - -10732 - - -9525 - - -7263 - - -7710 ODpotential blCL 13793 - - 15700 - - 13620 - - 11358 - - 11805 blCL maxRH 38 - - 36 - - 35 - - 49 - - 55 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 790 - - 130 CAPE Temp@2m 59.3 - - 63.0 - - 68.9 - - 72.6 - - 67.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.4 - - 28.9 - - 34.4 - - 43.3 - - 41.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.9 - - 62.5 - - 68.3 - - 72.8 - - 67.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.3 - - 27.8 - - 33.3 - - 42.1 - - 39.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 16 - - 49 - - 58 - - 13 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 668 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98214 3 119 8 293 2 027 5 236 12 268 98214 90760 2 101 5 245 6 260 6 231 4 316 90760 85000 4 099 7 207 7 243 6 277 5 017 85000 80223 2 341 8 190 8 224 6 295 4 027 80223 76120 4 359 3 197 8 220 8 302 6 029 76120 72507 7 302 4 277 5 267 7 288 8 320 72507 69247 9 280 9 286 8 300 5 326 7 333 69247 66240 7 295 14 260 19 276 12 298 9 294 66240 63441 10 316 11 256 20 263 19 271 12 277 63441 60722 27 302 16 287 17 275 20 269 21 274 60722 57879 32 277 31 277 29 283 24 278 29 276 57879 54935 35 269 39 272 37 278 34 274 35 276 54935 52127 43 270 41 272 43 273 45 274 41 274 52127 49599 53 265 48 269 51 269 53 272 46 273 49599 47336 53 262 53 268 54 269 55 274 49 277 47336 45294 56 269 59 276 59 274 59 278 53 280 45294 43442 65 276 68 278 66 277 63 279 57 284 43442 41756 75 279 75 278 69 275 65 279 59 290 41756 40210 78 278 78 275 67 275 63 279 60 295 40210 38777 79 276 81 274 62 276 55 281 61 296 38777 37435 79 276 84 272 58 280 48 287 56 294 37435 36147 78 275 84 270 56 282 46 291 52 290 36147 34849 76 274 82 270 54 283 46 292 53 286 34849 33513 73 275 78 272 51 284 47 292 54 287 33513 32142 70 276 73 272 46 285 49 292 52 288 32142 30724 67 276 68 273 42 289 48 293 48 286 30724 29250 64 276 60 276 39 293 45 292 46 284 29250 27722 62 276 51 280 37 295 44 291 45 286 27722 26140 59 275 45 283 33 296 43 292 44 287 26140 24506 55 276 43 282 31 292 40 293 41 286 24506 22823 48 280 40 279 29 291 36 292 38 284 22823 21086 39 285 33 281 27 292 33 291 35 284 21086 19291 32 286 26 287 25 291 29 288 31 280 19291 17471 26 288 22 289 23 289 25 279 26 272 17471 15724 22 292 20 290 22 290 19 270 22 268 15724 14132 20 291 19 288 21 284 18 270 18 268 14132 12711 20 285 18 285 18 272 17 275 14 274 12711 11437 19 283 17 283 17 268 17 282 13 286 11437 10292 17 285 15 278 16 269 16 288 14 295 10292 9264 13 287 11 266 14 271 16 295 16 296 9264 8342 8 289 6 256 11 276 15 301 19 293 8342 7518 3 292 3 259 9 285 15 305 21 289 7518 6782 1 016 2 276 6 300 15 309 22 287 6782 6114 2 067 2 302 5 328 15 312 23 285 6114 5517 4 038 1 314 5 001 14 315 23 284 5517 5014 5 357 1*310 5 022 14 317 23 283 5014 4624 5 344 1*288 5 034 13 319 21 283 4624 4353 5 344 1 273 5 045 12 320 18 283 4353 4188 5*345 1 275 5*048 11*321 15*284 4188 4094 5*345 1 261 5*048 9*322 8*285 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography