DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/13 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.0 - - 50.5 - - 55.1 - - 54.4 - - 51.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - -3 - - 6 - - -2 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 882 - - 860 - - 1684 - - 1693 - - 982 Hgt.Variab. W* 14 - - 17 - - 20 - - 8 - - 11 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 105 - - 093 - - 118 - - 052 - - 083 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -1 - - 2 - - 0 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5907 - - -5490 - - -5550 - - -7049 - - -6929 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10001 - - 9584 - - 9644 - - 11143 - - 11023 sfcLCL ODpotential -14826 - - -14317 - - -13142 - - -14888 - - -15246 ODpotential blCL 18920 - - 18411 - - 17236 - - 18982 - - 19340 blCL maxRH 57 - - 71 - - 61 - - 46 - - 35 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.0 - - 50.5 - - 55.1 - - 54.4 - - 51.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.3 - - 23.5 - - 27.7 - - 20.5 - - 18.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.7 - - 50.6 - - 56.6 - - 56.8 - - 53.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 20.2 - - 22.4 - - 26.5 - - 19.4 - - 17.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - -3 - - 6 - - -2 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96205 26 037 35 013 26 018 35 029 27 009 96205 89261 27 040 23 028 26 033 30 041 27 047 89261 83806 22 051 18 025 21 027 26 041 30 057 83806 79269 26 049 14 037 19 036 22 037 26 054 79269 75374 27 029 12 051 13 039 16 030 26 036 75374 71931 22 022 20 054 13 054 12 029 18 024 71931 68810 22 028 18 036 19 052 18 047 15 046 68810 65925 17 019 14 023 15 037 21 036 17 029 65925 63236 17 016 15 019 10 018 15 029 11 012 63236 60631 24 358 19 356 14 351 13 001 13 355 60631 57913 25 343 20 341 19 334 14 337 14 338 57913 55084 25 320 22 330 22 328 17 333 13 331 55084 52377 23 323 22 331 21 323 20 321 17 313 52377 49935 25 334 21 333 18 322 20 314 20 309 49935 47730 25 334 20 329 16 312 21 314 19 306 47730 45708 22 324 19 324 16 312 20 293 17 298 45708 43842 15 308 16 310 16 295 20 285 13 287 43842 42111 11 306 14 295 14 273 18 274 10 266 42111 40505 10 288 9 283 11 259 18 257 13 246 40505 39015 10 238 9 277 9 247 19 259 14 253 39015 37629 7 214 10 238 12 241 22 253 20 240 37629 36310 6 237 10 219 13 232 24 240 23 233 36310 34992 8 234 9 217 14 224 24 237 25 232 34992 33646 8 238 9 219 14 223 23 236 30 236 33646 32270 9 246 8 228 14 223 19 233 31 235 32270 30847 9 230 7 244 13 226 17 230 29 231 30847 29370 7 195 7 227 11 227 15 212 26 219 29370 27838 8 168 8 185 8 205 13 191 21 212 27838 26255 12 152 9 174 11 192 14 189 17 194 26255 24624 11 155 9 178 12 190 15 188 16 173 24624 22940 8 161 8 172 11 185 15 188 17 169 22940 21195 4 135 7 156 11 171 14 185 18 172 21195 19381 4 104 7 143 12 158 14 177 17 178 19381 17534 4 090 7 135 12 152 14 163 16 185 17534 15755 3 094 8 137 12 153 15 159 15 188 15755 14134 3 107 8 143 11 156 14 165 14 192 14134 12689 2 117 8 151 11 163 12 176 12 196 12689 11397 1 121 8 159 10 172 10 188 9 204 11397 10240 1 145 9 164 10 183 9 201 6 222 10240 9205 2 167 10 170 10 191 9 211 4 254 9205 8280 4 167 12 173 9 194 8 214 4 272 8280 7456 6 165 12 175 9 193 7 211 5 263 7456 6724 7 162 13 174 8 187 5 198 3 240 6724 6064 8 158 13 173 7 171 5 173 3 195 6064 5478 9 155 12 170 6 148 7 150 6 162 5478 4986 9 151 10 163 6 128 8 135 7 154 4986 4606 8 145 8 148 5 123 8 126 7 140 4606 4344 5 131 7 125 5 120 6 118 5 120 4344 4184 4*119 6*107 4*120 4*102 3*103 4184 4093 3*105 5*093 4*118 2*052 2*083 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography