DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/13 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 72.6 - - 77.3 - - 81.5 - - 81.3 - - 76.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 4 - - 43 - - 4 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4079 - - 4078 Hcrit BL Top 4095 - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2042 - - 4826 - - 7759 - - 10219 - - 5696 Hgt.Variab. W* 19 - - 23 - - 38 - - 20 - - 9 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 4 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 BL Wind Direction 344 - - 321 - - 331 - - 293 - - 322 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - 1 - - 5 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2796 - - -3942 - - -5353 - - -4072 - - -3216 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6891 - - 8039 - - 9449 - - 8169 - - 7312 sfcLCL ODpotential -6483 - - -6850 - - -7373 - - -6383 - - -5895 ODpotential blCL 10578 - - 10946 - - 11469 - - 10479 - - 9991 blCL maxRH 101 - - 100 - - 96 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 140 - - 470 - - 410 - - 1460 - - 740 CAPE Temp@2m 72.6 - - 77.3 - - 81.5 - - 81.3 - - 76.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 56.3 - - 56.1 - - 54.1 - - 59.3 - - 58.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 72.6 - - 77.3 - - 81.1 - - 82.5 - - 78.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 55.1 - - 54.8 - - 52.8 - - 58.0 - - 57.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 4 - - 43 - - 4 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 100 - - 83 - - 102 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 11 - - 10 - - 12 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99551 46 107 37 110 34 114 36 110 39 098 99551 91993 40 100 31 116 29 105 32 113 31 101 91993 86179 27 094 28 110 26 112 27 098 27 108 86179 81385 18 096 22 099 25 114 20 094 26 099 81385 77267 15 107 19 112 18 101 17 094 24 090 77267 73621 20 105 19 121 14 114 17 106 16 093 73621 70316 17 105 18 107 17 110 19 118 11 123 70316 67292 15 128 9 127 12 107 15 124 17 128 67292 64503 13 127 14 151 9 162 8 135 16 127 64503 61804 8 124 12 181 14 164 9 163 12 147 61804 59001 14 173 19 171 22 165 19 177 16 198 59001 56105 22 209 26 182 30 173 25 189 23 179 56105 53360 34 203 36 194 32 189 25 188 24 182 53360 50913 42 191 46 190 40 200 40 209 28 212 50913 48732 43 186 52 187 55 198 56 207 48 212 48732 46754 40 209 40 188 58 195 53 201 54 203 46754 44934 48 214 39 202 51 188 52 203 52 204 44934 43241 48 211 42 205 46 187 59 206 54 202 43241 41658 48 208 46 204 45 195 62 204 58 197 41658 40174 48 207 50 204 51 204 61 205 61 197 40174 38782 51 210 54 206 65 213 64 206 66 199 38782 37442 55 213 60 207 73 210 67 202 61 196 37442 36090 57 214 61 206 69 208 68 205 48 190 36090 34694 61 214 60 208 60 205 67 208 46 187 34694 33259 61 213 58 209 58 204 65 204 43 181 33259 31772 56 214 56 208 57 204 64 199 42 178 31772 30222 43 208 50 207 53 203 54 198 39 175 30222 28615 38 197 39 202 47 202 45 193 36 175 28615 26951 36 203 38 198 41 204 43 194 32 175 26951 25237 31 203 35 201 36 205 37 197 28 186 25237 23477 30 204 30 208 34 204 29 200 23 212 23477 21665 29 210 28 210 27 198 22 199 20 212 21665 19795 31 218 28 210 22 198 16 206 16 208 19795 17903 33 220 28 207 22 204 13 210 13 205 17903 16086 39 207 26 200 20 208 11 176 13 184 16086 14437 38 192 25 194 16 211 12 143 13 178 14437 12969 28 168 23 184 14 219 11 152 14 167 12969 11655 22 161 19 159 11 223 10 166 14 169 11655 10473 16 168 15 140 8 216 8 188 14 175 10473 9412 11 186 7 139 4 218 8 208 14 181 9412 8461 9 210 0 154 3 237 8 231 13 187 8461 7613 8 238 3 330 3 271 9 247 11 191 7613 6855 7 263 4 346 3 298 9 257 7 194 6855 6168 8 272 4 348 4 310 8 264 3 206 6168 5555 9 276 5 345 4 319 8 273 1 244 5555 5038 9 282 6 332 4 328 7 284 1 300 5038 4638 7 300 6 328 4 332 6 289 1 323 4638 4361 5 327 5 326 4 335 6 292 1 338 4361 4192 4*337 5*325 3*334 5*293 1*342 4192 4095 3*344 4*321 3*331 4*293 0*322 4095 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography