DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/10 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.4 - - 78.2 - - 79.6 - - 71.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 35 - - 45 - - -7 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4095 - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3032 - - 8955 - - 9204 - - 2313 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 35 - - 38 - - 22 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 3 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 125 - - 094 - - 262 - - 279 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 3 - - -5 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7576 - - -6508 - - -5754 - - -5322 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11672 - - 10605 - - 9851 - - 9418 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12826 - - -8893 - - -8311 - - -10012 ODpotential blCL - - - 16921 - - 12989 - - 12407 - - 14108 blCL maxRH - - - 50 - - 52 - - 57 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 620 - - 1490 - - 130 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.4 - - 78.2 - - 79.6 - - 71.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.9 - - 46.0 - - 50.5 - - 44.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.5 - - 79.3 - - 80.9 - - 75.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.7 - - 44.8 - - 49.2 - - 43.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 35 - - 45 - - -7 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 7 - - 9 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97751 12 231 12 261 9 291 8 191 97751 90287 9 158 10 206 8 252 6 226 90287 84576 9 143 10 157 5 214 4 215 84576 79890 12 152 4 195 4 349 6 119 79890 75872 9 135 5 191 7 311 6 056 75872 72319 4 043 6 145 8 297 9 007 72319 69107 6 010 4 133 6 269 8 337 69107 66153 9 321 6 345 4 317 7 328 66153 63405 5 301 8 303 8 306 10 288 63405 60744 7 299 8 274 9 321 4 299 60744 57971 9 275 13 242 15 276 10 267 57971 55107 13 275 16 253 18 263 12 258 55107 52389 20 274 22 265 23 262 24 257 52389 49949 24 272 25 260 27 254 33 250 49949 47767 29 277 30 265 33 258 36 252 47767 45798 40 275 41 266 41 264 40 261 45798 44010 42 274 45 267 46 266 44 265 44010 42371 41 274 44 270 45 264 46 265 42371 40843 39 273 42 268 41 264 44 264 40843 39405 42 272 44 268 38 266 42 264 39405 38049 46 271 47 269 36 269 41 264 38049 36743 43 267 48 269 35 270 40 265 36743 35427 36 262 43 266 36 269 38 266 35427 34074 30 258 35 261 34 265 37 266 34074 32688 26 258 28 259 30 262 34 263 32688 31253 25 259 25 259 28 263 30 260 31253 29758 25 258 24 257 26 264 28 262 29758 28205 28 259 25 256 24 264 27 263 28205 26596 30 261 27 258 23 262 24 263 26596 24933 29 262 28 259 24 259 21 263 24933 23222 24 263 26 258 25 256 20 258 23222 21458 18 259 22 255 23 252 20 250 21458 19632 15 254 20 251 21 242 19 242 19632 17779 15 251 21 247 20 231 18 232 17779 15994 15 250 21 243 18 221 17 224 15994 14364 16 249 20 237 16 220 16 220 14364 12906 18 247 19 235 14 224 15 221 12906 11600 17 244 18 235 14 230 14 229 11600 10428 13 238 17 234 14 236 14 240 10428 9374 12 220 15 230 15 244 15 250 9374 8431 12 198 12 226 17 254 16 258 8431 7589 12 182 10 218 18 256 17 263 7589 6836 11 173 8 209 18 258 18 267 6836 6155 10 167 6 195 18 259 20 270 6155 5545 10 159 5 176 18 259 20 271 5545 5032 9 151 4 157 18 260 20 272 5032 4634 8 142 4 136 17 260 18 273 4634 4359 7 137 4 121 16 260 15 274 4359 4191 6*132 4*109 15*261 13*276 4191 4095 5*125 3*094 11*262 6*279 4095 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography