DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/16 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 74.9 - - 79.4 - - 85.3 - - 87.0 - - 80.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 1 - - 35 - - 44 - - 1 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4078 - - 4078 - - 4079 - - 4079 - - 4078 Hcrit BL Top 4095 - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2577 - - 4814 - - 9593 - - 10624 - - 4092 Hgt.Variab. W* 19 - - 37 - - 40 - - 27 - - 23 W* B/S 12 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 11 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 141 - - 098 - - 044 - - 280 - - 293 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 7 - - 3 - - -6 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5427 - - -6007 - - -6251 - - -6502 - - -5407 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9523 - - 10103 - - 10347 - - 10598 - - 9504 sfcLCL ODpotential -10328 - - -10203 - - -8360 - - -8851 - - -9431 ODpotential blCL 14423 - - 14299 - - 12456 - - 12947 - - 13527 blCL maxRH 78 - - 67 - - 53 - - 38 - - 48 maxRH CAPE 170 - - 20 - - 970 - - 1430 - - 470 CAPE Temp@2m 74.9 - - 79.4 - - 85.3 - - 87.0 - - 80.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.4 - - 49.2 - - 53.9 - - 54.4 - - 52.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 74.8 - - 79.0 - - 85.1 - - 87.7 - - 81.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.2 - - 48.0 - - 52.6 - - 53.1 - - 51.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 1 - - 35 - - 44 - - 1 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 12 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99592 49 103 36 108 39 107 33 116 26 106 99592 92042 34 093 35 110 30 105 31 111 28 104 92042 86230 34 107 32 109 23 110 27 099 29 095 86230 81409 30 110 30 107 26 111 24 098 26 104 81409 77259 26 097 27 106 25 118 21 098 23 099 77259 73594 20 099 18 092 24 112 19 112 21 110 73594 70292 12 111 18 094 20 121 17 112 23 109 70292 67272 14 135 11 127 16 131 9 128 14 093 67272 64486 15 128 17 162 10 153 10 147 6 110 64486 61805 9 117 12 166 13 171 9 156 14 148 61805 59001 9 187 16 186 18 185 13 171 13 166 59001 56094 20 203 22 207 21 219 16 207 14 197 56094 53336 28 199 27 199 30 215 31 216 28 220 53336 50859 27 218 29 205 37 214 40 218 39 218 50859 48635 39 226 36 211 44 214 44 219 44 227 48635 46610 45 231 40 219 45 216 49 222 56 234 46610 44753 50 229 48 221 50 217 55 222 58 231 44753 43041 51 220 55 217 58 216 59 220 56 226 43041 41454 53 218 58 215 61 217 58 220 57 224 41454 39972 53 224 53 218 58 219 57 222 56 222 39972 38582 50 228 47 223 51 221 53 223 54 221 38582 37249 46 227 43 222 45 222 47 220 52 219 37249 35907 44 225 41 220 42 221 43 216 50 211 35907 34520 44 223 41 222 41 219 44 213 50 209 34520 33096 44 224 40 224 40 220 44 216 50 218 33096 31623 42 225 36 226 37 221 40 219 44 221 31623 30093 38 227 33 226 31 217 35 216 39 216 30093 28506 34 232 31 224 28 211 32 210 38 209 28506 26863 32 235 30 221 27 207 33 209 40 211 26863 25173 32 235 29 222 27 209 36 211 42 216 25173 23437 31 235 29 225 29 214 35 212 39 215 23437 21648 29 233 28 223 30 218 31 212 32 208 21648 19796 27 223 27 216 32 219 27 213 30 202 19796 17916 29 207 28 211 31 221 26 207 36 198 17916 16106 33 201 30 209 28 220 22 191 34 189 16106 14456 32 197 32 207 21 215 15 181 25 180 14456 12982 27 189 29 205 20 216 13 184 17 174 12982 11663 22 181 23 205 18 219 10 199 10 178 11663 10479 16 186 16 213 16 223 8 222 5 201 10479 9417 12 206 12 223 14 226 9 247 4 251 9417 8466 10 230 11 230 12 228 11 261 8 283 8466 7617 8 261 9 234 9 229 14 268 13 289 7617 6859 6 289 6 238 6 230 15 270 16 289 6859 6172 8 296 4 238 4 231 15 272 20 286 6172 5558 7 300 2 232 1 236 16 273 21 286 5558 5041 6 297 1 112 1 044 15 274 21 286 5041 4640 3 290 2 091 3 047 15 275 20 286 4640 4362 0 262 2 094 4 047 15 276 18 287 4362 4193 0*168 2*097 4*046 13*278 16*288 4193 4095 0*141 2*098 3*044 11*280 9*293 4095 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography