DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/12 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 75.6 - - 80.8 - - 87.5 - - 84.1 - - 78.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 34 - - 43 - - -9 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4078 - - 4078 - - 4079 - - 4078 - - 4078 Hcrit BL Top 4096 - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1420 - - 5601 - - 11871 - - 10480 - - 4214 Hgt.Variab. W* 15 - - 35 - - 39 - - 26 - - 12 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 14 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 009 - - 318 - - 332 - - 292 - - 293 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 2 - - 1 - - -6 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6246 - - -6238 - - -8420 - - -5108 - - -4076 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10343 - - 10335 - - 12517 - - 9204 - - 8172 sfcLCL ODpotential -11543 - - -9532 - - -10039 - - -7243 - - -7478 ODpotential blCL 15639 - - 13628 - - 14135 - - 11339 - - 11574 blCL maxRH 88 - - 90 - - 96 - - 90 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 130 - - 200 - - 1370 - - 720 CAPE Temp@2m 75.6 - - 80.8 - - 87.5 - - 84.1 - - 78.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.8 - - 49.7 - - 46.7 - - 57.6 - - 56.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 75.8 - - 80.9 - - 87.2 - - 84.5 - - 80.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.6 - - 48.5 - - 45.5 - - 56.4 - - 55.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 34 - - 43 - - -9 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 53 - - 59 - - 83 - - 59 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 9 - - 8 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99573 30 101 34 107 31 101 30 104 31 106 99573 92024 31 100 32 102 24 109 20 106 23 096 92024 86223 26 107 20 111 17 102 19 097 19 084 86223 81421 25 107 14 117 14 099 19 093 18 073 81421 77284 20 119 12 103 15 112 17 108 14 080 77284 73629 18 127 9 132 15 105 15 113 10 115 73629 70327 12 130 11 138 10 125 14 115 13 125 70327 67301 11 141 13 139 7 166 5 123 13 094 67301 64505 11 165 13 143 12 179 15 174 7 162 64505 61801 10 191 12 181 14 191 11 189 13 153 61801 59001 13 226 24 181 20 198 14 212 13 221 59001 56127 26 210 33 194 34 199 30 203 24 202 56127 53404 37 208 39 210 41 204 36 207 36 196 53404 50964 51 208 51 210 51 212 43 218 34 205 50964 48777 55 205 60 202 62 208 58 217 43 222 48777 46793 56 209 60 201 64 201 66 208 53 216 46793 44972 61 218 56 209 58 200 60 203 58 209 44972 43277 68 220 61 217 56 209 55 204 62 203 43277 41687 73 216 70 217 59 214 56 207 65 200 41687 40192 74 212 77 212 68 214 62 210 66 201 40192 38787 75 210 85 210 74 211 70 214 68 204 38787 37437 75 208 80 209 74 207 72 213 68 206 37437 36073 71 210 68 207 70 204 67 208 67 209 36073 34668 66 217 61 209 65 200 67 202 63 211 34668 33229 59 217 49 216 60 201 70 200 58 210 33229 31745 48 217 41 215 52 204 60 206 59 202 31745 30205 41 218 38 209 42 205 38 215 57 197 30205 28608 41 215 38 208 39 204 34 206 52 195 28608 26952 39 215 38 217 38 207 34 199 46 195 26952 25244 40 209 36 225 37 217 37 204 41 198 25244 23486 42 199 40 217 39 224 41 208 39 204 23486 21680 43 192 50 200 47 219 46 201 36 219 21680 19818 40 186 53 195 50 210 46 196 33 221 19818 17935 37 190 42 191 41 207 25 174 29 197 17935 16130 32 196 27 182 21 206 13 146 26 174 16130 14487 23 189 22 180 13 224 8 119 22 176 14487 13015 19 193 19 197 12 229 5 083 19 185 13015 11693 18 211 15 220 11 249 3 027 17 200 11693 10507 15 222 12 242 11 262 5 326 17 216 10507 9440 13 231 12 259 10 270 9 307 17 234 9440 8484 11 239 11 264 9 275 13 299 15 251 8484 7632 9 247 11 266 8 281 16 294 13 267 7632 6870 7 256 9 270 7 287 18 292 11 278 6870 6180 6 266 7 274 6 295 20 290 11 281 6180 5563 5 277 5 281 5 304 20 290 11 283 5563 5043 5 289 4 292 4 315 21 290 11 284 5043 4641 4 297 3 308 4 328 21 290 10 285 4641 4363 3 307 2 322 3 334 20 290 9 288 4363 4193 1*345 2*321 3*334 18*291 8*288 4193 4095 1*009 2*318 3*332 14*292 5*293 4095 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography