DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/03 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.4 - - 66.5 - - 71.1 - - 74.4 - - 59.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 25 - - 29 - - 12 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4078 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1426 - - 9414 - - 13845 - - 16078 - - 2056 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 - - 32 - - 33 - - 28 - - 14 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 271 - - 102 - - 130 - - 093 - - 277 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - 3 - - 5 - - 2 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4072 - - -6127 - - -5998 - - -8013 - - -2027 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8166 - - 10223 - - 10093 - - 12109 - - 6123 sfcLCL ODpotential -7730 - - -8283 - - -7478 - - -9094 - - -5265 ODpotential blCL 11824 - - 12378 - - 11573 - - 13189 - - 9360 blCL maxRH 88 - - 89 - - 91 - - 95 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 320 - - 1240 - - 980 - - 780 CAPE Temp@2m 59.4 - - 66.5 - - 71.1 - - 74.4 - - 59.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.9 - - 35.9 - - 40.9 - - 35.1 - - 46.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.5 - - 68.1 - - 71.7 - - 74.5 - - 60.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.7 - - 34.8 - - 39.7 - - 34.0 - - 45.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 25 - - 29 - - 12 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 51 - - 57 - - 64 - - 79 - - 26 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97719 9 241 24 234 29 266 24 248 21 259 97719 90256 11 248 20 246 23 250 22 261 15 270 90256 84559 9 275 13 264 20 240 16 268 20 264 84559 79838 9 282 10 281 14 260 13 284 17 260 79838 75765 13 294 12 292 14 284 15 292 12 285 75765 72168 14 308 15 292 16 285 17 294 12 302 72168 68920 14 307 13 282 16 291 17 292 15 302 68920 65930 14 299 11 279 17 293 18 300 18 306 65930 63148 15 305 12 284 19 290 19 298 20 304 63148 60446 19 303 13 298 20 278 20 286 21 297 60446 57617 20 284 17 311 17 273 22 279 20 286 57617 54677 17 272 22 282 21 279 21 274 20 273 54677 51876 14 280 22 267 25 268 25 267 22 275 51876 49363 15 283 19 264 24 260 28 260 24 277 49363 47112 15 272 19 257 24 256 28 257 25 271 47112 45065 15 261 18 249 22 247 26 250 28 262 45065 43185 18 253 16 243 18 241 20 250 29 246 43185 41456 22 240 15 234 15 231 18 250 27 239 41456 39859 24 230 15 216 14 221 17 237 20 233 39859 38379 27 207 20 197 14 201 14 222 13 234 38379 37003 32 175 25 168 18 162 9 150 8 199 37003 35698 31 177 31 153 25 140 23 123 15 151 35698 34402 28 184 26 141 28 137 30 115 33 124 34402 33087 23 174 24 131 30 117 36 114 40 108 33087 31745 22 159 26 131 30 124 36 114 36 100 31745 30358 23 155 26 134 27 124 29 116 31 102 30358 28916 22 157 22 138 26 125 29 117 29 126 28916 27422 19 158 20 143 25 124 25 122 29 137 27422 25875 16 153 18 148 22 125 23 126 26 137 25875 24274 14 141 17 149 20 129 22 134 21 132 24274 22623 13 131 18 146 20 138 21 145 18 120 22623 20918 13 131 19 142 22 142 20 146 19 108 20918 19151 14 142 22 149 22 147 18 144 21 096 19151 17357 16 156 22 158 21 150 16 138 25 084 17357 15630 16 162 21 161 19 146 14 132 25 082 15630 14054 13 144 19 154 18 144 14 130 21 092 14054 12644 14 135 16 142 16 140 13 124 17 117 12644 11380 20 130 14 126 15 137 12 120 14 127 11380 10242 23 115 13 116 14 135 11 116 10 129 10242 9219 22 095 14 109 13 134 11 114 5 136 9219 8302 23 079 14 104 12 134 10 111 2 170 8302 7484 26 071 14 103 11 135 9 109 3 264 7484 6753 27 067 13 101 11 135 9 107 7 274 6753 6091 24 067 12 101 9 135 8 104 14 273 6091 5499 18 069 12 099 8 135 8 102 18 271 5499 5001 11 071 11 098 7 135 7 099 19 270 5001 4616 4 061 10 098 6 134 7 098 19 270 4616 4350 2 333 9 098 6 132 6 097 17 271 4350 4187 3*282 8*099 5*133 6*094 13*273 4187 4094 3*271 6*102 4*130 5*093 6*277 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography