DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/07 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.0 - - 54.3 - - 59.0 - - 56.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 25 - - 36 - - 10 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4093 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3655 - - 4764 - - 5421 - - 3298 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 31 - - 35 - - 23 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 097 - - 111 - - 111 - - 243 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3437 - - -3988 - - -4024 - - -4027 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7530 - - 8083 - - 8118 - - 8122 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11506 - - -10087 - - -7433 - - -9648 ODpotential blCL - - - 15599 - - 14181 - - 11527 - - 13742 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 75 - - 63 - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.0 - - 54.3 - - 59.0 - - 56.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.7 - - 33.4 - - 37.9 - - 35.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.6 - - 54.0 - - 59.6 - - 58.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.7 - - 32.4 - - 36.8 - - 34.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 25 - - 36 - - 10 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96081 13 352 15 005 16 066 13 101 96081 89076 18 330 10 337 14 345 13 030 89076 83656 13 332 9 309 18 300 21 002 83656 79127 10 305 11 316 19 289 19 337 79127 75210 8 300 15 308 16 305 13 319 75210 71734 3 297 11 301 18 316 12 297 71734 68576 7 356 12 285 18 322 13 321 68576 65673 20 006 9 271 13 306 17 321 65673 62976 24 357 4 303 8 264 12 318 62976 60352 16 357 8 353 8 244 9 322 60352 57619 15 037 18 011 13 353 11 355 57619 54794 27 038 24 043 15 041 5 006 54794 52093 35 049 35 067 39 055 32 060 52093 49660 53 046 50 044 48 036 42 037 49660 47487 58 027 42 026 41 021 35 030 47487 45522 41 021 34 032 32 034 32 032 45522 43736 35 048 49 044 45 043 39 039 43736 42104 39 046 62 035 54 035 50 035 42104 40593 62 040 66 032 56 031 53 032 40593 39172 76 038 62 036 52 031 53 031 39172 37830 74 039 49 037 49 033 52 030 37830 36534 69 040 46 036 47 036 50 027 36534 35224 68 040 48 037 45 038 49 025 35224 33871 66 039 52 039 45 038 48 022 33871 32480 61 040 54 041 46 037 47 020 32480 31038 58 041 54 041 48 034 48 020 31038 29538 56 041 52 040 52 032 51 022 29538 27982 54 037 51 037 56 030 57 024 27982 26371 50 033 51 035 58 029 60 025 26371 24706 48 036 50 033 57 029 57 027 24706 22990 50 044 50 032 53 031 52 034 22990 21219 54 050 51 038 46 035 47 037 21219 19387 56 052 53 047 46 043 44 038 19387 17532 55 053 55 052 49 050 41 048 17532 15749 53 054 54 054 51 055 41 056 15749 14128 49 057 51 056 50 055 40 059 14128 12684 44 057 45 060 47 057 36 058 12684 11398 37 056 39 066 40 063 31 056 11398 10248 29 058 33 071 32 070 26 055 10248 9218 23 063 24 076 22 076 23 056 9218 8297 21 072 15 084 14 079 19 062 8297 7478 18 078 13 085 13 077 15 070 7478 6746 14 082 11 086 12 077 12 077 6746 6086 12 084 9 087 10 078 10 082 6086 5496 9 085 7 089 9 080 9 085 5496 4999 7 086 6 091 7 082 8 086 4999 4614 5 089 4 098 6 087 6 088 4614 4348 4 091 3 104 5 093 3 099 4348 4187 4*092 3*108 4*099 1*201 4187 4093 4*097 3*111 3*111 2*243 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography