DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/06 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.7 - - 71.1 - - 70.0 - - 66.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 52 - - 47 - - 28 - - 17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4421 - - 4824 - - 3619 - - 1964 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6355 - - 6660 - - 5419 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8721 - - 9124 - - 7919 - - 6264 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3004 - - 3922 - - 3653 - - 3680 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 279 - - 289 - - 239 - - 177 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 20 - - 22 - - 19 BL Wind Direction - - - 235 - - 258 - - 270 - - 287 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 25 - - 17 - - -14 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 35 - - -1242 - - -2310 - - -3422 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8687 - - 10366 - - 10230 - - 9686 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1746 - - -4164 - - -6330 - - -7665 ODpotential blCL - - - 10467 - - 13288 - - 14249 - - 13929 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 60 - - 47 - - 35 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.7 - - 71.1 - - 70.0 - - 66.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.7 - - 39.7 - - 39.2 - - 37.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.1 - - 70.7 - - 69.6 - - 65.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.5 - - 38.6 - - 38.0 - - 36.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 52 - - 47 - - 28 - - 17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4421 - - 4824 - - 3619 - - 1964 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 33 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98880 2 140 4 009 6 350 1 360 98880 91442 6 112 2 018 6 359 7 010 91442 85711 12 094 6 172 5 030 8 056 85711 80972 13 089 11 116 5 097 9 075 80972 76888 11 072 9 084 9 095 12 063 76888 73284 8 035 11 077 9 081 6 060 73284 70025 4 043 2 077 8 059 8 097 70025 67016 5 038 1 206 2 004 6 010 67016 64208 1 119 6 211 5 294 10 331 64208 61493 12 323 5 342 4 275 7 259 61493 58666 22 239 10 241 9 244 12 242 58666 55728 29 219 33 242 33 242 29 250 55728 52934 33 242 37 248 32 245 30 247 52934 50422 41 253 35 260 30 267 26 269 50422 48172 52 255 41 263 45 286 38 287 48172 46137 58 252 47 268 53 287 51 284 46137 44277 63 249 57 269 55 282 56 280 44277 42556 69 246 65 261 53 278 58 276 42556 40951 72 243 68 252 53 276 59 271 40951 39445 75 241 64 249 54 274 58 268 39445 38032 76 240 61 261 56 274 55 268 38032 36678 73 240 65 271 58 275 53 272 36678 35318 68 241 70 270 61 275 53 282 35318 33927 69 240 72 265 62 273 55 290 33927 32511 71 237 72 260 62 270 57 294 32511 31052 71 237 72 256 62 266 58 295 31052 29536 71 239 71 251 63 261 58 295 29536 27962 69 241 72 245 65 255 54 291 27962 26331 65 241 72 244 65 252 52 277 26331 24652 61 241 68 246 63 250 57 269 24652 22929 59 241 64 245 61 249 59 266 22929 21158 58 242 60 244 58 248 56 262 21158 19333 55 243 54 244 54 248 52 257 19333 17488 49 243 47 243 46 249 47 256 17488 15721 43 244 39 239 38 248 39 256 15721 14118 38 244 32 233 32 246 32 256 14118 12690 35 239 26 230 28 244 27 260 12690 11414 32 235 22 233 25 244 25 265 11414 10269 25 233 22 237 22 249 24 269 10269 9242 22*232 21*242 22 255 23 273 9242 8322 21*234 21*249 22*261 22 277 8322 7501 18 235 21 253 23*265 22 282 7501 6767 17 235 21 256 23 268 21*285 6767 6103 16 236 20 258 23 269 21*286 6103 5509 14 236 20 260 23 271 21 286 5509 5008 13 236 19 262 23 271 20 287 5008 4621 12 236 18 264 22 272 19 287 4621 4352 12 236 17 264 21 273 16 288 4352 4188 11 235 16 264 20 274 15 289 4188 4094 10 235 15 265 16 275 13 290 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography