DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/07 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.7 - - 66.7 - - 71.6 - - 68.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 60 - - 66 - - 17 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 381 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4078 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4094 - - 4681 - - 4095 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4706 - - 5056 - - 10523 - - 6895 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 42 - - 129 - - 31 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 6 - - 6 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 337 - - 038 - - 358 - - 293 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 10 - - 3 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5767 - - -6378 - - -6728 - - -4118 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9862 - - 11059 - - 10823 - - 8214 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11648 - - -12590 - - -8422 - - -6295 ODpotential blCL - - - 15742 - - 17271 - - 12517 - - 10390 blCL maxRH - - - 43 - - 80 - - 84 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 100 - - 220 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.7 - - 66.7 - - 71.6 - - 68.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.7 - - 32.3 - - 38.2 - - 46.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.0 - - 66.1 - - 71.8 - - 69.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.6 - - 31.3 - - 37.1 - - 45.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 60 - - 66 - - 17 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 381 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 21 - - 35 - - 49 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98708 10 099 12 082 19 093 17 097 98708 91224 12 087 12 086 17 095 14 094 91224 85487 18 085 15 097 11 079 16 081 85487 80740 15 125 10 117 11 048 17 083 80740 76646 17 123 7 157 7 052 14 086 76646 73019 8 101 8 144 9 144 9 104 73019 69728 3 151 3 179 11 124 8 116 69728 66698 4 258 7 258 3 085 6 069 66698 63877 12 218 19 220 11 240 4 301 63877 61147 10 286 18 224 17 229 13 253 61147 58298 23 251 25 235 23 246 19 251 58298 55336 23 250 23 237 24 259 22 260 55336 52505 30 259 26 250 27 265 28 266 52505 49957 32 257 31 259 30 264 29 267 49957 47675 31 267 35 265 32 265 32 280 47675 45614 36 275 37 270 38 276 30 294 45614 43755 41 266 41 277 49 289 49 311 43755 42074 35 268 40 281 47 292 60 308 42074 40531 34 304 41 294 46 317 62 309 40531 39093 45 309 41 309 67 326 57 319 39093 37742 38 303 41 308 62 325 60 324 37742 36441 29 314 41 303 47 315 58 318 36441 35124 38 340 44 302 47 305 57 316 35124 33764 44 343 47 306 51 299 56 315 33764 32365 36 343 47 307 55 294 55 316 32365 30916 34 321 42 301 59 288 54 315 30916 29408 40 312 40 290 59 281 50 307 29408 27844 33 303 36 285 52 272 48 298 27844 26225 28 297 34 283 44 264 48 292 26225 24557 26 295 35 279 42 260 49 278 24557 22848 26 294 35 274 42 258 49 265 22848 21095 27 297 33 273 40 257 45 259 21095 19292 26 300 30 275 37 256 39 251 19292 17471 24 298 25 273 32 249 33 243 17471 15721 23 291 23 269 24 241 28 229 15721 14131 23 286 24 261 19 254 22 214 14131 12711 22 281 23 248 18 263 11 207 12711 11439 20 273 20 245 16 275 6 201 11439 10296 17 266 16 248 14 285 3 224 10296 9267 10 260 12 253 12 297 5 268 9267 8344 2 263 9 261 11 312 9 284 8344 7521 1 297 5 275 10 325 13 289 7521 6784 1 329 3 319 9 337 17 289 6784 6116 2 350 4 006 9 346 18 289 6116 5519 2 349 6 025 9 352 18 289 5519 5015 2 345 7*032 8 356 18 288 5015 4624 2 342 7*036 8 359 18 289 4624 4354 2 340 6 038 7 001 17 290 4354 4189 2*340 6 038 7*000 15*290 4189 4094 1*337 6 039 6*358 9*293 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography