DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/17 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.8 - - 85.1 - - 89.8 - - 87.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 41 - - 51 - - 23 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4078 - - 4079 - - 4079 - - 4079 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4097 - - 4096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3986 - - 6507 - - 10794 - - 12241 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 37 - - 41 - - 33 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 236 - - 039 - - 309 - - 288 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 9 - - 4 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5890 - - -7221 - - -8185 - - -6729 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9987 - - 11318 - - 12283 - - 10826 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10813 - - -10561 - - -10190 - - -9343 ODpotential blCL - - - 14909 - - 14657 - - 14287 - - 13439 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 61 - - 71 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 140 - - 390 - - 1010 - - 1690 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.8 - - 85.1 - - 89.8 - - 87.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.2 - - 49.6 - - 49.9 - - 53.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.1 - - 84.7 - - 89.8 - - 89.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.0 - - 48.4 - - 48.8 - - 52.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 41 - - 51 - - 23 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98892 24 109 27 104 26 114 25 107 98892 91358 27 115 25 108 25 113 21 092 91358 85574 25 111 18 114 21 097 23 094 85574 80810 19 109 17 122 18 092 23 091 80810 76726 15 102 17 126 15 102 20 092 76726 73120 16 099 18 120 13 119 14 092 73120 69859 16 096 16 115 13 132 6 098 69859 66869 10 076 8 104 9 109 5 115 66869 64111 6 038 5 353 7 041 7 089 64111 61457 4 343 8 326 10 347 8 022 61457 58698 6 326 6 313 10 307 11 322 58698 55841 7 335 3 275 11 276 14 286 55841 53121 8 313 4 277 12 277 17 282 53121 50674 10 267 7 261 17 281 23 286 50674 48474 9 227 8 263 19 281 28 288 48474 46467 10 186 14 236 14 276 26 283 46467 44622 8 171 14 192 14 254 20 274 44622 42925 11 184 11 174 16 213 12 249 42925 41357 9 190 8 171 10 181 16 187 41357 39897 4 148 6 178 7 167 12 149 39897 38524 2 056 4 147 5 122 11 141 38524 37201 1 040 4 087 5 100 9 137 37201 35864 3 042 5 079 6 122 10 153 35864 34487 5 082 6 111 7 144 11 165 34487 33075 6 094 6 114 6 141 11 178 33075 31616 7 096 6 100 5 140 8 177 31616 30099 7 096 5 095 4 143 7 172 30099 28524 8 087 6 073 4 137 6 176 28524 26893 9 077 6 068 3 136 5 182 26893 25211 9 072 5 072 3 123 4 195 25211 23479 8 070 3 077 2 075 2 155 23479 21693 6 073 3 065 4 047 4 064 21693 19845 4 063 4 020 7 033 7 070 19845 17971 5 345 6 350 7 021 8 067 17971 16171 10 313 10 334 8 344 10 018 16171 14533 16 304 13 312 10 319 12 005 14533 13065 17 304 14 297 12 320 12 357 13065 11746 14 310 13 290 12 321 12 349 11746 10559 11 317 13 292 12 323 12 341 10559 9490 8 315 12 296 12 323 13 333 9490 8529 5 315 11 304 11 324 13 326 8529 7671 4 321 10 313 11 325 14 321 7671 6902 3 328 9 325 10 326 14 317 6902 6206 3 332 8 338 9 327 14 315 6206 5582 3 335 7 351 8 328 14 312 5582 5056 3 333 7 002 7 329 13 309 5056 4649 2 321 5 013 5 328 12 307 4649 4367 1 299 5 020 4 324 10 303 4367 4194 1*263 3*032 3*316 8*298 4194 4095 1*236 2*039 2*309 5*288 4095 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography