DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/03 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.5 - - 83.1 - - 86.6 - - 83.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 37 - - 48 - - 23 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4079 - - 4079 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3797 - - 5666 - - 7489 - - 5658 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 38 - - 41 - - 32 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 038 - - 286 - - 353 - - 019 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9368 - - -8955 - - -8797 - - -7056 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13464 - - 13052 - - 12893 - - 11152 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -17106 - - -14947 - - -12906 - - -11549 ODpotential blCL - - - 21202 - - 19043 - - 17002 - - 15645 blCL maxRH - - - 34 - - 34 - - 37 - - 30 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.5 - - 83.1 - - 86.6 - - 83.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.0 - - 40.1 - - 44.2 - - 48.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.1 - - 82.7 - - 86.5 - - 85.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.8 - - 38.9 - - 43.1 - - 47.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 37 - - 48 - - 23 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99523 30 108 29 100 34 101 32 100 99523 92009 41 099 32 106 29 109 28 093 92009 86208 33 101 30 110 28 100 27 104 86208 81398 25 106 27 108 24 095 24 097 81398 77266 23 109 20 108 18 096 20 077 77266 73617 15 105 15 099 13 118 11 069 73617 70312 13 088 10 102 10 080 11 078 70312 67284 11 045 10 111 3 118 6 118 67284 64487 1 089 5 027 7 018 10 090 64487 61787 5 095 3 199 5 324 9 032 61787 59003 2 272 5 248 8 283 8 328 59003 56147 11 293 10 256 13 276 11 278 56147 53446 25 289 19 282 20 292 19 289 53446 51028 36 286 32 293 29 295 28 297 51028 48859 42 285 41 288 38 288 35 295 48859 46879 45 285 43 283 42 282 39 293 46879 45054 48 282 46 281 46 282 46 290 45054 43357 49 280 47 281 48 283 49 286 43357 41764 48 282 46 284 48 281 48 286 41764 40264 47 286 46 287 45 284 48 288 40264 38852 46 287 47 286 44 288 48 287 38852 37497 46 287 48 282 43 285 47 287 37497 36134 45 284 46 280 41 278 45 286 36134 34733 44 283 44 281 39 277 44 286 34733 33297 43 286 43 284 39 279 41 285 33297 31812 41 288 42 287 39 282 40 284 31812 30268 40 288 41 291 39 285 40 286 30268 28668 38 286 39 292 38 289 40 290 28668 27013 33 285 35 289 35 292 38 294 27013 25306 30 286 32 286 33 292 35 297 25306 23550 29 286 30 287 30 292 31 297 23550 21741 27 284 26 288 25 291 26 294 21741 19872 24 283 21 287 20 285 21 288 19872 17979 21 281 18 286 15 280 16 284 17979 16161 18 276 16 280 12 284 12 280 16161 14507 15 271 14 271 12 278 12 276 14507 13031 11 266 13 263 11 267 14 273 13031 11709 8 252 11 256 9 272 13 277 11709 10522 6 224 7 249 6 287 11 288 10522 9455 5 198 3 250 5 324 7 311 9455 8499 2 146 0 250 5 344 5 354 8499 7644 3 076 1 030 6 356 7 026 7644 6881 5 061 1 031 6 004 9 034 6881 6189 5 054 2 014 7 007 10 034 6189 5570 5 049 2 355 6 008 11 033 5570 5048 5 046 2 332 6 008 11 031 5048 4644 4 043 2 316 5 007 11 030 4644 4364 4 042 2 304 4 004 10 027 4364 4193 4*040 2*290 3*001 7*022 4193 4095 4*038 2*284 2*353 5*019 4095 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography