DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/08 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.3 - - 90.7 - - 92.1 - - 87.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 25 - - 10 - - -11 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4079 - - 4079 - - 4079 - - 4079 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4097 - - 4097 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2829 - - 9876 - - 15059 - - 748 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 33 - - 29 - - 25 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - 9 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 159 - - 128 - - 232 - - 316 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 4 - - -4 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7238 - - -6787 - - -6314 - - -6396 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11335 - - 10883 - - 10412 - - 10493 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11121 - - -9206 - - -8732 - - -9899 ODpotential blCL - - - 15217 - - 13302 - - 12829 - - 13996 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 90 - - 89 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 270 - - 1910 - - 2860 - - 1500 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.3 - - 90.7 - - 92.1 - - 87.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.1 - - 57.0 - - 60.4 - - 55.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.8 - - 90.9 - - 93.3 - - 90.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.9 - - 55.8 - - 59.1 - - 54.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 25 - - 10 - - -11 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 64 - - 60 - - 58 - - 46 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 11 - - 13 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99517 28 112 29 105 25 109 22 091 99517 92022 25 100 24 107 24 105 21 087 92022 86241 24 107 21 091 26 097 21 106 86241 81442 21 111 17 083 23 093 22 103 81442 77294 19 120 15 107 18 090 18 084 77294 73626 20 100 12 101 11 091 14 073 73626 70320 11 089 10 124 6 089 8 055 70320 67286 8 070 8 136 1 086 2 066 67286 64476 7 040 2 123 2 347 5 045 64476 61761 5 275 6 344 7 013 3 058 61761 58958 7 245 5 280 10 330 9 002 58958 56093 7 288 6 249 6 264 6 317 56093 53386 16 260 14 259 20 275 14 302 53386 50966 23 257 25 252 31 257 32 271 50966 48802 31 250 31 246 39 252 39 262 48802 46834 38 251 33 248 38 253 38 262 46834 45019 42 252 36 248 40 253 39 266 45019 43336 43 251 38 248 42 253 39 266 43336 41763 42 249 37 250 38 252 37 262 41763 40286 40 247 33 257 33 251 35 261 40286 38894 38 247 31 260 30 251 34 260 38894 37554 34 246 29 265 29 254 33 260 37554 36201 32 246 28 267 29 259 33 260 36201 34805 29 253 27 264 28 264 32 264 34805 33373 25 265 28 265 26 265 31 269 33373 31890 27 268 28 267 25 263 28 269 31890 30351 28 271 25 265 25 262 25 267 30351 28758 25 272 21 262 24 262 25 269 28758 27110 21 272 18 261 22 261 23 270 27110 25409 14 260 16 251 20 259 23 262 25409 23662 15 253 18 244 19 244 22 247 23662 21866 22 240 21 253 20 257 18 247 21866 20009 23 229 21 258 21 271 16 251 20009 18123 20 220 20 246 17 277 16 250 18123 16304 17 230 18 244 16 287 15 246 16304 14640 14 242 17 255 16 288 14 250 14640 13150 12 253 17 262 16 286 13 260 13150 11813 9 268 16 263 16 284 13 270 11813 10611 9 284 15 262 15 280 14 278 10611 9530 8 296 13 259 15 276 15 286 9530 8560 8 300 11 254 15 272 16 292 8560 7694 6 292 9 248 14 267 18 295 7694 6920 4 276 7 239 14 262 19 297 6920 6218 4 269 5 224 13 257 19 299 6218 5590 3 269 4 194 13 252 19 301 5590 5061 2 269 3 166 13 247 19 303 5061 4651 1 212 4 146 12 243 18 305 4651 4368 1 160 4 137 11 239 15 307 4368 4195 2*158 4*133 11*236 12*310 4195 4096 2*159 4*128 9*232 7*316 4096 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography