DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/12 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0949z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.9 - - 55.7 - - 61.0 - - 60.4 - - 57.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 8 - - 5 - - 6 - - -10 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 788 - - 1245 - - 3263 - - 2136 - - 703 Hgt.Variab. W* 25 - - 24 - - 23 - - 16 - - 15 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 108 - - 127 - - 130 - - 120 - - 090 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 2 - - 5 - - 3 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4323 - - -5244 - - -4521 - - -5027 - - -6068 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8418 - - 9338 - - 8616 - - 9121 - - 10162 sfcLCL ODpotential -10816 - - -10661 - - -8171 - - -8698 - - -10795 ODpotential blCL 14910 - - 14755 - - 12265 - - 12792 - - 14889 blCL maxRH 64 - - 58 - - 62 - - 84 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.9 - - 55.7 - - 61.0 - - 60.4 - - 57.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.7 - - 29.4 - - 37.5 - - 34.7 - - 27.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.1 - - 55.4 - - 61.2 - - 61.1 - - 58.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.5 - - 28.2 - - 36.3 - - 33.4 - - 26.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 8 - - 5 - - 6 - - -10 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 36 - - 45 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96235 44 299 33 301 36 304 32 298 32 291 96235 89199 31 304 22 299 27 294 20 302 17 310 89199 83752 17 291 20 294 18 280 23 299 19 315 83752 79204 12 294 16 286 15 300 21 283 19 307 79204 75263 17 300 18 289 18 293 18 279 19 292 75263 71772 23 291 18 291 17 278 13 279 13 289 71772 68603 22 297 20 300 16 281 14 285 15 288 68603 65671 20 273 22 278 19 288 18 281 24 276 65671 62935 18 257 23 257 25 266 21 264 23 247 62935 60283 13 246 20 251 21 261 17 256 22 231 60283 57522 21 248 26 243 27 243 26 251 25 248 57522 54646 34 250 32 233 32 229 38 231 34 246 54646 51894 52 245 47 240 41 235 47 228 45 236 51894 49426 66 236 67 241 57 237 57 227 53 227 49426 47217 76 231 82 232 75 232 70 224 60 226 47217 45211 76 232 81 225 84 224 75 219 65 221 45211 43373 77 236 77 227 82 218 74 214 68 212 43373 41680 78 235 80 229 80 215 71 210 69 209 41680 40117 71 232 76 225 82 214 73 211 74 212 40117 38660 62 230 70 223 79 213 76 213 77 212 38660 37296 62 225 66 223 75 217 74 214 75 212 37296 35993 64 220 64 221 72 219 70 215 72 212 35993 34686 61 217 65 218 68 216 67 215 71 211 34686 33343 58 215 64 212 67 210 66 212 66 209 33343 31965 56 215 60 208 67 205 66 209 62 207 31965 30537 54 214 55 207 62 203 63 209 63 207 30537 29052 50 208 52 207 53 203 57 208 56 206 29052 27517 45 202 49 205 48 204 51 207 50 205 27517 25932 38 201 43 202 45 205 47 206 46 207 25932 24298 31 203 36 199 41 205 43 205 41 209 24298 22622 29 201 33 195 37 207 38 208 37 210 22622 20898 28 199 30 196 32 209 35 213 34 211 20898 19119 26 199 27 201 26 212 32 213 33 212 19119 17317 23 200 24 208 23 213 29 208 34 212 17317 15585 21 203 23 213 23 212 28 204 34 209 15585 14008 20 204 22 211 24 206 27 202 34 202 14008 12600 19 202 21 207 25 202 25 200 28 193 12600 11341 18 203 21 206 25 200 21 204 22 183 11341 10211 18 207 21 207 24 201 17 211 18 181 10211 9195 17 212 20 210 22 202 15 213 16 186 9195 8283 15 215 18 211 18 201 14 209 15 196 8283 7469 13 215 16 210 14 198 12 200 15 205 7469 6742 12 213 13 206 11 190 11 187 14 210 6742 6082 10 206 10 196 10 177 12 172 13 211 6082 5493 9 192 10 180 10 156 14 157 12 210 5493 4996 8 175 10 165 10 147 14 146 10 204 4996 4613 8 157 9 151 9 141 14 140 7 186 4613 4348 7 130 7 132 9 137 12 135 6 157 4348 4186 6*116 7*129 8*134 10*130 4*126 4186 4093 5*108 6*127 7*130 6*120 3*090 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography