AVERAGE BASED ON 26 DAYS DrJack's BLIP for: APR 2002 PANOCHE 2573ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m 44.8 49.9 55.4 58.8 37.6 65.6 67.3 69.1 66.0 63.1 61.1 55.4 52.0 Temp@2m Temp@Bot 44.7 49.1 53.5 56.6 59.8 63.0 63.5 66.2 65.8 61.9 60.9 57.1 52.0 Temp@Bot Sfc.Heating 22 105 250 362 455 525 540 489 399 306 191 60 12 Sfc.Heating BLDepth 225 713 1481 2635 3288 3970 4865 4566 4468 3726 2231 1305 515 BLDepth Hcrit 2143 2257 2797 3804 4236 5085 5694 5421 5537 4667 3458 2143 2143 Hcrit BLTop 2368 2855 3623 4778 5430 6113 7008 6709 6611 5869 4374 3448 2657 BLTop Hgt.Variab. 993 1487 1878 2098 2217 2441 2493 2708 2869 2450 2081 1670 1675 Hgt.Variab. W* 57 159 279 391 447 522 555 528 501 416 301 161 69 W* B/S 1 7 49 13 70 73 52 14 154 46 160 168 1 B/S BLWind 5.1 5.9 5.7 5.1 5.3 6.2 6.3 7.4 8.7 12.8 16.3 15.1 14.0 BLWind Direction 270 273 292 303 295 299 301 302 297 294 298 295 283 Direction Max.Converg Max.Converg maxRH 77 75 67 63 68 67 67 60 58 61 57 57 65 maxRH CLOUDpotent -6799 -5703 -6683 -5503 -4373 -3748 -2930 -3894 -4548 -4347 -6389 -7560 -6941 CLOUDpotent sfcLCL 9169 8560 10308 10282 9804 9862 9939 10605 11160 10217 10765 11010 9601 sfcLCL ODpotential -6845 -6563 -7176 -6327 -5435 -4565 -4089 -5024 -5306 -5133 -6702 -7712 -6997 ODpotential blCL 9215 9421 10801 11107 10866 10680 11098 11735 11918 11004 11077 11162 9656 blCL PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [deg] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 30466 34 267 31 265 31 271 36 267 33 256 28 265 37 268 32 278 32 283 38 271 34 286 39 284 41 276 30466 27660 32 264 28 265 29 271 33 267 29 257 25 264 33 268 29 279 29 282 34 271 30 282 33 281 37 276 27660 25661 29 265 26 266 25 272 30 265 26 259 24 266 31 269 27 281 26 284 32 272 27 283 30 278 35 276 25661 23817 28 266 24 267 24 272 28 266 24 258 22 265 29 270 26 284 24 289 30 274 25 287 29 282 32 278 23817 21839 27 265 22 270 22 271 26 268 22 259 19 266 27 270 24 286 22 291 27 276 22 291 26 286 29 280 21839 19980 25 263 21 267 20 270 24 269 19 260 18 265 24 271 22 287 20 290 25 279 20 297 24 289 26 280 19980 18280 23 262 18 263 19 272 22 268 17 261 17 267 23 274 19 286 18 289 22 279 18 295 21 291 23 279 18280 16563 20 263 15 262 15 270 20 267 15 260 15 268 20 275 16 285 16 287 19 277 15 292 19 287 21 278 16563 14947 19 267 15 267 14 270 18 271 13 261 12 266 18 275 15 286 13 286 18 277 13 290 16 286 19 279 14947 13565 17 273 14 272 13 274 17 277 11 268 10 273 17 279 13 289 11 290 15 277 11 286 14 284 17 279 13565 12361 15 278 13 278 12 281 15 282 10 275 9 275 16 283 11 290 10 293 14 279 10 290 12 287 14 281 12361 11347 14 282 11 283 11 286 14 288 9 281 8 277 14 285 10 293 9 296 12 283 9 291 10 284 12 285 11347 10505 13 288 9 289 9 287 12 291 7 282 7 281 12 287 8 297 7 293 10 288 7 293 8 287 10 289 10505 9748 12 295 8 302 7 291 10 296 7 280 6 279 10 290 6 299 5 298 8 290 6 298 7 288 8 295 9748 9025 10 299 7 305 6 295 8 298 6 282 5 284 8 294 5 299 5 292 7 293 6 299 7 287 7 303 9025 8343 8 301 6 312 5 302 7 304 5 287 4 294 7 298 4 301 4 300 6 295 5 297 7 288 6 314 8343 7621 6 302 5 314 4 306 5 307 4 290 3 305 5 303 3 303 2 295 4 310 4 301 5 290 5 327 7621 7010 6 303 5 316 4 306 4 310 3 293 3 315 4 302 2 311 2 299 4 305 4 303 5 292 5 332 7010 6560 5 303 5 317 3 307 4 314 3 296 2 314 4 303 3 311 3 308 5 307 4 307 5 298 5 334 6560 6121 5 302 5 314 3 309 4 317 3 297 3 309 4 302 4 304 4 309 6 305 5 314 5 306 6 333 6121 5688 4 304 5 312 3 310 4 322 3 299 3 303 5 304 4 298 5 310 7 303 6 316 6 313 7 330 5688 5261 4 306 4 309 3 312 4 323 3 296 4 298 5 305 5 300 6 308 8 300 7 318 7 316 8 326 5261 4839 4 311 4 305 3 315 4 323 3 296 5 299 6 305 7 302 7 305 9 299 9 317 9 317 9 320 4839 4422 5 315 4 305 3 316 4 320 4 295 6 299 7 305 8 303 9 304 11 298 11 312 10 315 11 315 4422 4010 5 318 5 305 4 312 5 316 5 295 7 298 8 306 9 304 10 303 13 297 13 308 12 311 13 309 4010 3604 6 320 5 303 5 304 5 307 6 295 8 300 8 306 10 304 11 303 14 296 15 304 14 306 16 303 3604 3201 7 319 6 296 6 297 5 302 6 296 8 300 8 306 10 304 11 302 15 295 17 300 16 302 18 298 3201 2806 7 308 7 287 6 288 5 301 6 296 8 300 8 307 11 305 12 302 15 295 18 299 17 297 18 292 2806 2547 7 292 7 276 6 286 5 301 6 296 8 301 8 307 11 304 11 302 15 295 17 298 15 296 17 288 2547 2353 7 274 6 266 5 285 5 301 6 298 8 301 8 307 10 305 11 302 14 295 16 298 14 295 15 286 2353 2224 6 260 5 266 5 285 4 300 6 296 8 301 8 307 10 305 11 302 13 295 15 298 13 294 13 285 2224 2159 4 261 4 265 4 286 4 301 5 298 7 302 7 308 9 305 10 303 12 295 12 298 10 294 10 283 2159 PROFILES OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY [%] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 30466 21 22 21 22 23 23 21 26 21 21 21 22 25 30466 27660 28 30 26 26 27 26 25 28 21 23 24 25 28 27660 25661 32 33 29 30 28 28 26 29 23 26 27 28 32 25661 23817 35 36 34 32 28 29 28 30 26 28 30 33 37 23817 21839 37 38 37 35 30 30 29 31 27 29 30 29 36 21839 19980 40 41 39 39 33 32 30 33 28 30 30 27 35 19980 18280 42 43 41 42 34 32 32 33 28 29 29 27 36 18280 16563 39 43 40 41 31 30 32 34 30 29 28 28 36 16563 14947 36 41 40 38 31 28 29 30 30 26 28 30 31 14947 13565 36 42 39 36 33 28 28 31 30 26 28 30 28 13565 12361 37 41 38 36 35 30 29 31 27 26 29 30 27 12361 11347 36 38 38 37 34 30 31 32 26 28 31 30 28 11347 10505 34 35 35 36 35 32 34 34 26 30 32 32 29 10505 9748 34 36 35 35 35 36 37 36 29 32 35 33 31 9748 9025 35 37 34 34 36 38 38 37 30 34 38 37 33 9025 8343 37 38 36 34 36 40 39 38 31 34 39 37 36 8343 7621 40 40 39 36 38 41 43 40 34 38 40 38 39 7621 7010 42 43 42 39 42 44 47 44 39 44 40 38 41 7010 6560 43 44 44 41 45 46 51 47 43 46 40 38 42 6560 6121 46 46 45 44 47 49 54 49 46 48 40 39 42 6121 5688 47 47 46 47 50 52 56 51 49 49 41 39 42 5688 5261 48 49 48 50 53 57 59 54 50 50 42 40 42 5261 4839 50 51 50 53 57 60 58 54 50 51 42 41 43 4839 4422 51 54 53 56 62 59 56 52 49 51 43 42 44 4422 4010 54 57 56 57 62 59 53 50 47 50 45 43 47 4010 3604 56 60 59 58 61 56 51 47 46 50 47 46 51 3604 3201 58 63 61 57 57 53 48 44 43 49 49 49 56 3201 2806 62 66 63 55 54 50 46 42 41 46 49 52 62 2806 2547 66 70 61 53 52 48 43 40 39 44 47 51 64 2547 2353 72 71 60 51 50 46 42 39 38 43 46 50 63 2353 2224 75 70 58 50 48 45 41 38 37 42 45 49 61 2224 2159 77 68 55 47 45 41 38 35 34 39 43 48 61 2159 PARAMETER KEY: (the parameters are described more fully at http://www.dr-jack.net/BLIPMAP/index.html) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 5m AGL (bottom grid point) [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BLDepth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BLTop = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab. = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4 & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BLWind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [deg] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] blLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography