AVERAGE BASED ON 25 DAYS DrJack's BLIP for: AUG 2002 HOLLISTER 2573ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m 54.5 60.8 67.7 74.3 77.2 79.5 80.2 79.3 77.0 75.3 69.8 65.8 60.4 Temp@2m Temp@Bot 54.1 59.8 65.9 72.0 74.5 76.5 77.3 76.7 74.7 73.5 68.5 65.2 60.2 Temp@Bot Sfc.Heating 37 128 260 386 492 556 585 539 482 356 235 89 18 Sfc.Heating BLDepth 253 459 829 1311 1686 1832 1942 1587 1489 1371 1008 815 414 BLDepth Hcrit 978 978 1233 1699 2031 2167 2265 1977 1883 1719 1307 978 978 Hcrit BLTop 1231 1437 1807 2289 2664 2810 2920 2565 2467 2349 1986 1793 1392 BLTop Hgt.Variab. 438 488 674 1064 1253 1381 1286 1345 965 913 807 666 683 Hgt.Variab. W* 77 153 241 319 375 400 408 374 351 312 247 165 69 W* B/S 3 9 13 13 10 8 7 5 4 4 3 3 1 B/S BLWind 3.2 2.8 3.4 4.7 7.4 9.9 11.9 14.0 14.8 15.5 14.0 11.6 8.8 BLWind Direction 190 198 233 254 260 263 265 265 266 268 264 264 247 Direction Max.Converg 0 1 2 5 8 10 13 13 14 14 11 9 6 Max.Converg maxRH 79 69 56 46 45 43 40 39 41 44 47 51 61 maxRH CLOUDpotent -12625 -12614 -12671 -12492 -11744 -11634 -11844 -12461 -12810 -12584 -13226 -13583 -13398 CLOUDpotent sfcLCL 13859 14053 14480 14783 14409 14446 14767 15028 15279 14934 15214 15377 14791 sfcLCL ODpotential -12647 -12637 -12791 -12787 -12105 -12027 -12263 -12677 -13044 -12743 -13368 -13665 -13410 ODpotential blCL 13880 14076 14600 15078 14771 14839 15186 15245 15513 15093 15356 15460 14803 blCL PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [deg] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 20727 19 258 19 262 19 265 19 263 18 271 17 272 17 268 15 277 14 278 15 273 15 273 15 275 15 272 20727 18122 16 261 15 263 16 265 16 264 15 268 14 267 15 265 13 277 12 273 13 270 13 271 13 272 13 269 18122 16375 14 262 13 264 15 264 14 264 14 265 13 269 14 266 12 276 10 273 11 270 11 271 11 272 11 268 16375 14937 12 265 12 264 13 264 13 266 12 264 12 268 13 264 11 275 10 273 11 273 10 274 10 274 9 269 14937 13785 11 267 11 266 12 268 12 269 10 264 10 266 11 263 10 275 8 275 9 273 9 272 9 276 8 269 13785 12899 10 272 10 270 11 270 11 272 9 266 9 268 9 265 8 278 7 277 8 273 8 272 8 276 8 269 12899 12230 10 276 10 273 10 273 10 274 8 268 8 269 8 266 7 278 7 276 8 273 7 272 7 275 7 270 12230 11644 9 279 9 278 9 275 9 276 7 271 7 271 7 266 6 277 6 273 7 271 7 273 7 275 7 270 11644 11068 8 282 8 283 8 279 8 278 6 274 6 274 7 266 5 278 6 272 7 273 6 277 7 276 7 272 11068 10501 8 284 8 287 8 283 7 281 5 279 5 276 6 269 5 281 5 274 6 273 6 279 6 280 6 272 10501 9944 8 286 7 289 7 285 7 283 5 282 5 280 5 274 4 287 4 281 5 274 5 285 6 284 5 275 9944 9396 7 288 6 292 6 286 6 284 4 281 4 284 4 278 4 294 4 292 5 274 4 289 5 289 5 279 9396 8856 6 290 6 296 5 287 5 285 3 281 4 284 4 281 3 298 4 302 4 274 4 293 5 295 4 284 8856 8325 6 291 5 301 4 290 5 291 3 282 3 284 3 284 3 304 4 307 3 275 4 298 4 300 3 289 8325 7802 6 296 5 307 4 298 5 296 3 286 3 285 3 286 3 311 3 309 3 277 4 304 4 309 3 299 7802 7287 5 301 5 313 4 307 4 302 3 294 2 287 3 288 3 314 3 311 3 279 4 309 4 315 3 307 7287 6780 5 308 5 320 4 317 4 310 2 303 2 291 3 295 3 315 3 314 3 286 4 313 4 321 4 315 6780 6280 5 314 5 327 4 323 3 315 3 315 2 297 3 301 3 316 3 318 3 292 5 318 5 327 4 320 6280 5788 4 318 5 330 4 327 3 319 3 317 2 304 3 308 3 319 4 325 3 298 5 321 6 328 5 321 5788 5303 4 323 5 333 4 329 3 320 3 319 2 314 3 317 4 322 4 329 4 301 5 318 6 325 5 320 5303 4824 4 327 5 335 4 333 3 320 3 321 3 320 3 317 4 326 5 329 4 301 6 317 7 320 6 317 4824 4352 4 330 5 339 4 335 3 320 4 325 3 317 3 315 5 324 6 326 5 299 7 313 8 316 8 312 4352 3886 5 328 5 337 5 336 3 317 4 326 3 316 3 313 6 321 6 320 7 296 8 308 10 311 9 307 3886 3427 5 323 5 336 5 334 3 317 4 324 4 312 4 308 6 312 8 310 9 293 10 301 12 306 11 302 3427 2974 5 315 5 328 5 329 3 312 4 312 5 299 5 294 8 298 9 297 12 290 13 296 14 301 13 297 2974 2529 6 302 6 318 5 320 3 301 5 291 7 279 8 278 10 283 12 286 15 286 15 290 16 297 15 294 2529 2096 6 288 5 305 4 305 4 275 7 263 10 265 12 267 14 269 15 272 16 277 16 280 16 289 15 289 2096 1677 5 272 4 287 3 254 5 251 8 259 11 262 14 264 15 264 16 265 17 268 15 266 13 270 12 272 1677 1404 4 246 2 216 3 232 6 252 9 258 12 261 14 263 15 262 16 263 16 265 14 262 12 262 10 254 1404 1199 3 207 3 196 3 232 5 252 8 259 11 261 13 263 15 262 15 262 16 264 14 260 11 258 9 247 1199 1063 3 183 3 198 3 233 5 254 8 258 11 261 13 262 14 262 14 261 15 263 13 259 10 256 8 245 1063 994 3 182 2 200 3 236 5 255 8 259 10 262 12 263 13 262 13 261 13 263 11 258 8 255 7 242 994 PROFILES OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY [%] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 20727 23 23 21 20 13 13 13 13 13 12 13 14 15 20727 18122 22 23 21 20 15 16 15 15 14 14 15 16 17 18122 16375 22 23 22 20 16 17 16 16 16 16 16 16 18 16375 14937 22 23 23 20 16 17 16 16 16 16 16 15 18 14937 13785 22 23 22 20 16 16 16 16 16 15 15 15 17 13785 12899 21 22 21 20 15 16 16 16 15 15 15 15 17 12899 12230 19 20 20 18 14 16 16 16 15 14 14 14 16 12230 11644 18 19 19 17 14 16 16 16 15 14 14 14 15 11644 11068 17 18 18 16 14 16 16 15 14 13 13 13 14 11068 10501 17 18 17 16 14 16 15 15 14 13 12 13 14 10501 9944 17 18 17 15 14 16 15 15 14 13 12 13 14 9944 9396 17 17 17 15 15 16 15 15 14 13 12 13 14 9396 8856 17 18 17 15 15 16 15 16 15 14 13 14 14 8856 8325 16 18 17 16 15 16 15 16 15 14 14 15 15 8325 7802 16 17 17 16 15 16 15 16 15 15 14 15 15 7802 7287 16 17 17 16 15 16 15 16 15 15 15 16 15 7287 6780 16 17 17 17 15 16 16 16 16 16 15 16 15 6780 6280 17 17 17 17 15 16 16 17 16 16 16 17 15 6280 5788 17 18 17 18 15 16 17 17 17 17 16 17 16 5788 5303 18 18 18 19 16 17 18 18 17 17 17 18 16 5303 4824 19 19 19 20 17 18 19 18 18 18 18 18 17 4824 4352 20 21 20 21 18 19 20 19 19 19 19 19 17 4352 3886 21 22 22 23 20 21 21 20 21 20 20 19 19 3886 3427 24 24 24 25 23 24 23 22 22 21 21 21 21 3427 2974 28 28 28 28 28 29 26 24 24 24 24 24 25 2974 2529 34 33 34 33 35 35 34 29 29 31 30 30 32 2529 2096 45 43 43 42 44 42 40 38 39 41 41 40 43 2096 1677 61 57 55 45 43 41 39 38 39 43 47 51 57 1677 1404 73 67 55 43 42 39 37 37 38 42 46 50 61 1404 1199 76 67 53 42 40 38 36 35 37 40 44 49 59 1199 1063 77 66 52 41 39 37 35 35 36 39 43 47 58 1063 994 77 64 50 39 37 34 32 32 34 37 41 46 57 994 PARAMETER KEY: (the parameters are described more fully at http://www.dr-jack.net/BLIPMAP/index.html) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 5m AGL (bottom grid point) [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BLDepth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BLTop = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab. = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4 & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BLWind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [deg] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] blLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography