AVERAGE BASED ON 26 DAYS DrJack's BLIP for: APR 2002 HOLLISTER 2573ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m 44.9 49.2 54.0 58.4 35.7 64.8 65.2 66.1 63.6 60.0 57.9 52.5 51.3 Temp@2m Temp@Bot 44.7 48.6 52.6 56.6 58.8 61.8 62.1 63.4 61.6 58.4 57.1 53.8 51.3 Temp@Bot Sfc.Heating 19 70 180 305 367 491 507 500 424 315 198 66 6 Sfc.Heating BLDepth 254 542 1356 2280 2610 2971 3306 2822 2464 2314 1680 1288 567 BLDepth Hcrit 978 1039 1420 2263 2401 3104 3184 2892 2718 2388 1840 1104 978 Hcrit BLTop 1232 1520 2334 3258 3588 3949 4284 3800 3442 3292 2658 2266 1545 BLTop Hgt.Variab. 1228 1604 1627 2064 1810 2034 2408 1987 1634 1898 1299 1218 1781 Hgt.Variab. W* 51 123 231 341 372 455 458 440 405 351 282 176 51 W* B/S 3 5 51 14 56 61 47 7 147 42 156 168 1 B/S BLWind 1.1 2.4 4.2 5.4 7.0 9.0 10.5 12.3 14.2 16.1 15.3 13.3 10.1 BLWind Direction 191 257 283 286 285 286 284 284 282 283 282 280 280 Direction Max.Converg Max.Converg maxRH 86 85 79 71 75 72 69 64 64 69 69 73 78 maxRH CLOUDpotent -6402 -6122 -5678 -5253 -4237 -4244 -3826 -5082 -5801 -5171 -6745 -7172 -6159 CLOUDpotent sfcLCL 7637 7644 8013 8513 7882 8195 8112 8884 9245 8465 9404 9440 7705 sfcLCL ODpotential -6432 -6197 -6330 -5877 -4930 -5003 -4980 -6048 -6663 -5924 -7146 -7634 -6211 ODpotential blCL 7667 7719 8666 9137 8574 8954 9266 9850 10107 9218 9805 9902 7758 blCL PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [deg] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 30500 33 272 30 269 30 274 35 269 31 259 27 270 36 272 32 278 32 284 37 275 34 286 39 282 41 278 30500 27841 30 269 27 269 27 276 32 270 27 261 23 269 32 274 28 282 28 285 33 275 30 283 34 279 37 278 27841 25802 28 271 25 272 24 277 30 269 24 262 22 272 30 274 27 283 26 285 32 276 28 285 31 279 35 279 25802 24030 28 271 24 271 23 277 28 270 23 261 21 273 28 274 26 286 23 290 30 277 26 289 29 283 32 280 24030 22037 26 270 22 273 22 277 26 272 21 262 20 273 27 275 24 289 23 291 27 278 23 292 27 287 29 282 22037 20056 26 267 21 271 20 276 25 272 19 262 18 271 24 278 22 290 20 293 25 281 21 299 24 291 26 283 20056 18327 23 267 18 268 19 277 23 274 17 264 17 275 22 279 20 288 19 294 22 281 19 299 22 290 24 281 18327 16625 21 269 16 269 16 277 20 274 14 266 14 277 20 279 17 287 16 292 20 281 17 296 20 288 21 280 16625 14950 19 272 15 274 14 279 19 276 13 266 12 272 18 279 15 286 14 288 18 281 15 294 18 287 19 281 14950 13498 18 277 14 280 13 282 17 283 11 270 11 274 17 282 13 289 12 290 16 282 13 294 16 287 17 282 13498 12226 16 284 13 285 12 289 15 287 10 278 10 280 16 284 12 291 11 294 14 285 11 300 14 289 15 285 12226 11127 15 289 12 292 11 293 14 291 9 284 9 280 14 287 11 294 10 301 13 289 10 297 12 286 13 290 11127 10200 14 293 10 300 10 296 12 296 8 288 8 287 12 291 9 300 8 300 12 295 9 297 11 291 11 295 10200 9354 13 299 9 311 8 299 10 300 7 287 7 285 10 295 8 304 7 301 9 297 7 301 9 294 9 300 9354 8550 11 303 9 315 8 304 9 301 7 289 6 289 9 297 6 305 5 297 8 299 7 305 9 294 9 304 8550 7765 9 306 8 318 7 311 8 305 6 294 5 297 7 301 5 306 4 295 7 297 7 306 9 295 8 308 7765 6903 7 308 7 315 6 312 7 311 5 297 4 306 5 308 4 311 2 302 4 303 6 305 7 297 6 315 6903 6164 6 311 6 316 5 314 5 317 4 300 3 313 3 318 3 319 1 331 4 300 6 308 7 299 7 317 6164 5627 5 311 6 320 5 318 5 321 3 308 3 315 3 320 3 317 1 351 4 299 6 312 7 304 7 315 5627 5162 5 313 5 322 4 323 5 327 3 313 4 317 3 319 3 321 2 338 5 300 7 315 7 307 8 311 5162 4703 5 316 5 325 5 327 5 332 3 317 4 313 4 317 3 321 3 328 6 301 8 313 8 306 9 307 4703 4251 6 319 5 327 5 331 5 334 4 318 5 311 5 311 4 311 4 317 8 300 9 312 9 305 10 303 4251 3806 6 321 6 326 5 331 5 332 5 316 5 307 6 303 6 302 6 308 10 299 10 309 10 303 12 301 3806 3367 7 319 6 320 6 323 5 326 6 310 6 300 7 296 8 298 8 302 12 296 12 305 11 303 14 300 3367 2934 7 315 6 310 6 312 5 316 7 301 8 293 9 288 10 294 10 295 14 293 14 301 13 300 16 300 2934 2507 8 312 6 301 6 300 6 299 7 291 10 285 11 283 12 287 13 289 16 289 16 297 15 299 17 299 2507 2087 8 308 7 296 6 291 6 283 8 281 11 281 13 280 14 281 15 283 18 285 17 289 16 293 16 297 2087 1673 7 304 6 289 5 279 6 276 8 278 11 278 14 277 15 278 16 279 18 281 16 281 14 283 14 290 1673 1401 4 296 4 266 4 271 6 273 8 277 11 277 14 276 15 276 17 277 18 279 16 278 13 277 12 283 1401 1197 2 249 2 247 4 267 5 272 8 276 11 277 13 276 15 275 16 276 17 278 15 276 12 275 11 280 1197 1062 2 177 2 236 3 267 5 271 7 275 10 276 13 275 14 274 15 275 16 277 13 275 11 273 9 277 1062 994 1 172 2 234 3 264 5 270 7 276 9 276 12 275 13 275 14 274 14 276 12 274 8 271 7 274 994 PROFILES OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY [%] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 30500 21 22 22 21 22 23 19 24 20 19 20 23 25 30500 27841 27 29 27 26 27 26 24 27 21 21 23 24 29 27841 25802 30 32 29 29 28 28 26 28 23 26 29 28 32 25802 24030 35 36 34 30 29 30 27 29 25 30 36 34 36 24030 22037 37 38 37 34 31 31 29 30 27 31 33 30 37 22037 20056 39 41 39 36 32 31 30 32 28 31 31 28 36 20056 18327 42 43 40 39 33 31 31 32 28 30 29 27 36 18327 16625 40 43 40 38 31 29 32 33 29 29 28 28 36 16625 14950 37 41 40 36 30 27 29 30 29 26 27 28 32 14950 13498 37 40 40 35 32 27 28 30 28 25 24 26 28 13498 12226 37 41 39 37 35 27 29 31 27 26 25 26 29 12226 11127 37 39 39 38 34 27 30 31 24 27 26 25 29 11127 10200 34 36 36 37 35 30 32 33 24 28 27 27 29 10200 9354 34 37 35 36 35 35 35 34 26 28 30 29 30 9354 8550 35 37 35 34 35 37 35 35 28 29 33 31 31 8550 7765 37 39 37 35 36 38 36 34 28 30 33 32 33 7765 6903 40 43 41 38 38 40 39 35 29 32 35 32 36 6903 6164 43 46 44 43 43 42 44 38 31 38 35 33 38 6164 5627 45 48 46 46 46 46 49 42 36 42 37 34 39 5627 5162 48 50 48 50 49 50 52 45 41 46 39 36 40 5162 4703 49 53 50 52 53 54 54 48 45 49 40 38 42 4703 4251 51 55 52 53 57 56 55 50 48 50 41 40 45 4251 3806 53 57 55 55 60 58 56 53 50 51 45 42 48 3806 3367 56 60 58 57 62 61 58 53 50 55 49 46 52 3367 2934 59 64 62 60 65 63 59 54 51 58 52 51 57 2934 2507 63 69 66 63 67 64 60 56 53 61 58 57 63 2507 2087 68 75 72 65 68 63 60 57 57 63 63 64 71 2087 1673 74 80 76 64 65 60 56 55 56 62 65 69 76 1673 1401 79 82 74 62 62 58 54 52 54 60 63 68 76 1401 1197 83 82 72 60 60 56 52 51 52 58 61 66 74 1197 1062 84 80 71 58 59 54 51 50 51 56 59 64 73 1062 994 85 78 68 55 55 51 48 46 48 53 57 63 72 994 PARAMETER KEY: (the parameters are described more fully at http://www.dr-jack.net/BLIPMAP/index.html) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 5m AGL (bottom grid point) [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BLDepth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BLTop = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab. = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4 & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BLWind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [deg] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] blLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography