AVERAGE BASED ON 31 DAYS DrJack's BLIP for: DEC 2002 HERNANDEZ 2573ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m 38.7 38.4 40.8 44.7 48.5 49.8 49.7 34.1 49.8 48.1 45.8 43.8 42.3 Temp@2m Temp@Bot 38.9 38.7 40.8 44.3 47.8 49.0 49.0 49.8 49.4 48.1 46.0 44.0 42.5 Temp@Bot Sfc.Heating -10 -9 4 45 94 113 94 88 46 3 -8 -8 -7 Sfc.Heating BLDepth 25 23 45 362 873 1237 1387 1796 1563 854 66 38 63 BLDepth Hcrit 2573 2573 2573 2635 2838 3085 3002 3168 2909 2573 2573 2573 2573 Hcrit BLTop 2598 2596 2618 2935 3446 3810 3960 4369 4136 3427 2639 2611 2636 BLTop Hgt.Variab. 965 809 1132 1759 2313 2552 2617 2525 2578 2717 2680 2010 1542 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 4 17 83 156 187 184 197 143 50 2 4 5 W* B/S 1 0 1 2 5 5 6 6 5 2 0 0 0 B/S BLWind 4.1 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.8 4.0 5.2 4.9 5.0 3.7 3.0 3.1 3.5 BLWind Direction 237 240 226 228 213 208 218 228 232 246 237 239 243 Direction Max.Converg -8 -8 -6 -4 -2 -1 0 0 0 0 -3 -4 -6 Max.Converg maxRH 74 73 73 75 70 69 74 71 70 70 67 70 75 maxRH CLOUDpotent -5672 -6000 -5863 -5059 -4902 -4606 -3720 -4065 -4069 -4473 -5153 -4867 -4582 CLOUDpotent sfcLCL 8272 8598 8483 7995 8351 8417 7682 8436 8207 7902 7794 7480 7219 sfcLCL ODpotential -5683 -6002 -5861 -5187 -5250 -4994 -4093 -4477 -4523 -4613 -5161 -4870 -4590 ODpotential blCL 8283 8600 8481 8123 8699 8806 8055 8847 8661 8042 7802 7483 7228 blCL PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [deg] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 32338 56 288 53 288 55 287 56 289 53 287 51 287 55 287 52 290 53 288 53 287 52 288 54 288 54 287 32338 30110 53 287 49 287 50 286 52 288 48 285 47 286 51 286 49 286 48 287 48 286 47 287 48 288 49 286 30110 28486 50 286 47 285 46 284 49 286 45 283 45 284 49 285 47 284 47 284 47 285 45 286 46 287 46 286 28486 26887 47 284 44 284 44 283 46 285 43 282 43 283 46 284 44 284 45 283 44 283 43 284 45 285 44 285 26887 24956 43 283 42 284 42 282 44 285 41 282 40 282 42 284 41 283 42 282 42 283 41 284 43 285 43 286 24956 23094 40 283 39 282 39 280 41 285 38 281 37 281 39 284 39 284 39 283 38 283 38 287 38 287 38 286 23094 21337 36 283 37 280 37 279 38 284 36 280 35 280 35 283 36 284 36 283 36 284 35 286 36 288 35 288 21337 19681 32 283 33 280 33 278 34 282 32 278 32 278 32 283 33 283 33 283 33 283 33 286 34 288 33 288 19681 17966 29 281 30 279 30 277 31 280 30 276 29 276 30 280 29 280 30 281 29 281 30 284 30 285 29 287 17966 16400 27 279 27 276 28 274 28 277 27 274 26 274 26 278 26 279 27 279 25 279 26 281 26 281 26 281 16400 14851 24 278 25 276 26 274 25 275 23 272 23 272 24 275 23 276 23 276 23 276 23 277 23 277 23 277 14851 13459 23 277 23 278 24 274 23 272 21 269 20 269 21 273 20 274 20 274 20 273 21 273 21 274 21 274 13459 12329 20 274 21 276 22 275 20 272 19 269 19 269 19 273 19 272 17 269 18 269 19 270 19 270 19 271 12329 11083 17 270 18 272 19 271 17 269 17 267 16 268 17 272 17 271 16 266 16 267 18 267 18 268 17 268 11083 9860 15 267 16 269 17 269 15 264 15 263 15 261 16 266 15 268 14 264 15 264 16 264 16 267 15 267 9860 8710 14 264 15 267 15 269 14 260 14 260 13 258 15 260 14 265 13 262 13 264 14 264 14 268 13 265 8710 7756 13 260 13 264 13 266 13 261 13 258 12 254 13 255 12 262 12 258 12 260 13 261 13 265 12 263 7756 7284 12 255 12 262 12 262 12 259 12 257 11 252 12 252 12 260 12 256 12 258 12 259 12 264 11 261 7284 6853 12 252 12 258 12 258 11 257 11 254 11 250 11 249 11 256 11 253 12 256 12 257 12 262 10 259 6853 6428 11 248 11 255 11 253 11 254 11 249 11 247 11 245 11 252 11 250 11 253 11 256 11 259 9 258 6428 6008 11 243 10 252 10 249 11 250 10 244 10 243 11 241 10 247 10 247 11 250 11 253 10 256 8 255 6008 5593 10 239 10 248 10 244 10 245 10 238 10 237 10 237 10 242 10 243 11 246 10 249 9 253 7 252 5593 5184 10 235 9 243 9 238 9 240 9 232 10 231 10 232 9 239 10 237 10 243 10 244 9 249 7 247 5184 4781 10 230 8 237 8 231 8 234 9 226 9 224 10 226 9 234 9 233 10 240 9 240 8 245 7 242 4781 4382 9 226 8 231 8 224 8 227 8 220 9 216 9 220 8 228 8 230 9 235 8 236 7 240 6 236 4382 3989 9 220 7 225 7 216 7 219 8 214 8 208 9 215 7 222 8 226 9 232 8 233 7 235 6 232 3989 3600 8 215 6 219 7 209 7 212 7 209 8 200 8 211 7 218 7 222 8 227 7 230 6 230 5 229 3600 3216 7 210 6 213 7 202 6 204 7 204 7 197 8 207 6 214 6 218 6 223 6 225 6 226 5 226 3216 2963 6 209 5 207 6 199 6 201 6 201 6 196 7 206 5 214 5 216 6 220 5 222 5 223 4 224 2963 2774 5 210 4 208 5 201 5 202 5 202 5 196 6 207 5 215 5 217 5 221 4 223 4 221 4 224 2774 2649 5 220 4 221 4 212 4 208 4 204 4 196 5 209 4 216 4 218 4 224 4 225 3 226 4 230 2649 2589 4 237 3 239 3 224 3 217 3 205 3 196 4 208 3 216 3 219 3 226 3 233 3 240 3 241 2589 PROFILES OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY [%] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 32338 19 18 19 21 23 22 20 19 20 22 22 21 19 32338 30110 27 25 26 28 29 30 28 27 27 27 27 28 27 30110 28486 30 30 31 33 34 35 33 34 32 32 31 31 29 28486 26887 36 35 36 35 38 38 37 39 38 38 36 35 32 26887 24956 39 41 42 38 41 41 39 40 41 41 40 38 37 24956 23094 38 41 43 41 42 41 42 43 42 41 40 38 38 23094 21337 38 40 43 43 41 41 43 42 43 44 41 39 38 21337 19681 41 43 45 42 42 40 42 42 43 44 42 41 39 19681 17966 45 48 48 43 45 44 42 43 45 46 44 42 40 17966 16400 48 51 52 47 46 45 43 45 47 46 45 44 42 16400 14851 47 50 51 48 46 47 47 45 46 48 48 45 44 14851 13459 47 49 51 48 46 48 49 49 50 50 50 47 46 13459 12329 50 50 51 49 47 47 50 49 51 53 52 50 48 12329 11083 51 52 52 48 47 46 48 47 50 51 51 51 51 11083 9860 51 51 50 47 47 47 47 46 47 49 51 51 51 9860 8710 51 50 49 48 48 47 48 47 48 49 51 52 51 8710 7756 50 49 50 50 49 48 50 48 49 51 52 52 52 7756 7284 51 50 50 52 51 50 51 49 50 51 52 53 53 7284 6853 53 50 50 53 52 51 53 51 51 52 53 53 54 6853 6428 54 51 51 55 54 53 55 53 53 54 55 55 55 6428 6008 55 52 53 56 55 55 57 56 55 57 56 57 56 6008 5593 56 54 55 57 56 57 61 59 58 60 58 59 58 5593 5184 57 56 56 59 58 59 64 61 60 62 61 61 61 5184 4781 59 58 57 61 59 60 66 62 62 63 62 61 63 4781 4382 60 59 58 63 61 62 68 63 64 64 63 62 64 4382 3989 62 61 60 65 62 63 68 64 65 66 64 64 65 3989 3600 64 62 62 67 64 64 69 63 65 66 65 65 66 3600 3216 66 65 64 68 65 64 68 61 63 65 65 66 68 3216 2963 68 67 67 70 65 63 67 61 62 64 65 67 69 2963 2774 71 69 69 72 65 63 66 60 61 63 65 68 71 2774 2649 74 73 73 73 65 62 65 59 60 63 66 70 74 2649 2589 87 85 80 74 65 61 63 58 59 64 69 76 82 2589 PARAMETER KEY: (the parameters are described more fully at http://www.dr-jack.net/BLIPMAP/index.html) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 5m AGL (bottom grid point) [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BLDepth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BLTop = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab. = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4 & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BLWind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [deg] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] blLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography